English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News &
Editorials
For October 25/2026
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2026/english.october25.26.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
The Talents Parable/As for this worthless
slave, throw him into the outer darkness, where there will be weeping and
gnashing of teeth
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 25/14-30/:”‘For it is
as if a man, going on a journey, summoned his slaves and entrusted his property
to them; to one he gave five talents, to another two, to another one, to each
according to his ability. Then he went away. The one who had received the five
talents went off at once and traded with them, and made five more talents. In
the same way, the one who had the two talents made two more talents.But the one
who had received the one talent went off and dug a hole in the ground and hid
his master’s money. After a long time the master of those slaves came and
settled accounts with them. Then the one who had received the five talents came
forward, bringing five more talents, saying, “Master, you handed over to me five
talents; see, I have made five more talents.”His master said to him, “Well done,
good and trustworthy slave; you have been trustworthy in a few things, I will
put you in charge of many things; enter into the joy of your master.”And the one
with the two talents also came forward, saying, “Master, you handed over to me
two talents; see, I have made two more talents.” His master said to him, “Well
done, good and trustworthy slave; you have been trustworthy in a few things, I
will put you in charge of many things; enter into the joy of your master.”Then
the one who had received the one talent also came forward, saying, “Master, I
knew that you were a harsh man, reaping where you did not sow, and gathering
where you did not scatter seed; so I was afraid, and I went and hid your talent
in the ground. Here you have what is yours.” But his master replied, “You wicked
and lazy slave! You knew, did you, that I reap where I did not sow, and gather
where I did not scatter? Then you ought to have invested my money with the
bankers, and on my return I would have received what was my own with interest.
So take the talent from him, and give it to the one with the ten talents. For to
all those who have, more will be given, and they will have an abundance; but
from those who have nothing, even what they have will be taken away. As for this
worthless slave, throw him into the outer darkness, where there will be weeping
and gnashing of teeth.”
Titles For The English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related
News & Editorials published on October 24-25/2026
Statement of Condemnation and Denunciation Regarding the terrorist attack
on Hammoud Church in Karak – Jordan And the terrorist attack in Hebron – West
Bank/Elias Bejjani/October 23/2026
Why Is Benjamin Netanyahu’s Re-Election a Strategic Interest for Lebanon?/Elias
Bejjani/October 23/2026
Elias Bejjani’s Writings and Commentaries/Joseph Hanna/October 24/2026
New U.S. Warning on Lebanon… Which Areas Are Covered by the Evacuation Call?
Ongoing Disagreements Between Lebanon and Israel Prevent Implementation of the
“Framework Agreement”… Tampa Meetings End Without Results or Joint Statement
Explosions in Khiam and Earthworks in Shebaa Amid Ongoing Aerial Violation of
the South and Bekaa
Airstrikes in the South… Deadline for Palestinian Camps and Upcoming Lebanese
Talks in Qatar
UNIFIL: Peace in Southern Lebanon Is Not Guaranteed
Aoun seeks to 'strengthen trust between state and residents' in visit to Tripoli
President Aoun from Tripoli: Fighting corruption a priority, judicial
independence essential
US reduces staffing in Lebanon, 3 Arab countries over Iran fears
The “Liberation” Equation Has Become Clear… The Ball Is in the State’s Court!
U.S. Embassy Warns Its Citizens in Lebanon: Leave These Areas Immediately!
700 Square Kilometers Under Israeli Occupation in Lebanon: What Does the
‘Security Belt’ Mean?
What lies behind the change in official attire during the President’s and his
ministers’ visit to Tripoli today?/Colonel Charbel barakat/October24/2026
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published on October 24-25/2026
Iran Reportedly in ‘Advanced Stages’ of Planning Attacks Against
Americans
Iranian president to meet Putin in Moscow
US spy chief warns Iran has ramped up efforts to target Americans
Iran’s Pezeshkian blames US for interim deal failure, urges new try
Iran says US military not allowed to enter Gulf 'under any circumstances'
US could strike Iran this weekend, Barrack says
Signs point to renewed major US military ops against Iran
Death toll in Jordan church shooting rises to nine
Jordan’s King Abdullah orders security review, vows firm response to church
attack
Terrorist Attack on Church in Jordan's Karak Leaves Dozens Dead, Wounded
Israel launches major West Bank operation after soldiers killed
US Embassy Says Security Ramped up in Jordan after Deadly Church Attack
Netanyahu Says Palestinian Authority in for 'Big Surprise'
Saudi-led coalition intercepts ballistic missile launched towards Riyadh
Debris from two intercepted Houthi ballistic missiles falls in Mecca
Saudi intercepts two missiles aimed at Taif and Yanbu, alerts issued in Mecca
and Jeddah
Houthis say targeted three Saudi airports, oil facilities, pipeline in past day
Rubio Urges Cubans to Work with CIA, but Warns: Be Discreet
Clashes erupt in Paris after demonstration over cost of living
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on October 24-25/2026
If You Love This Country, When You Vote, Consider the Policies That
Islamist Sharia Ideology Demands/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/October
24/2026
The Church Massacre in Karak/Mamdouh al-Muhainy/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Europe: Protests, the Far Right and a Struggling Economy/Emile Ameen/Asharq Al-Awsat/October
24/2026
Safe Passageways: Global Interests and a Shared Responsibility/Dr. Ibrahim Al-Othaimin/Asharq
Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Something in Tehran Resembles What Once Unfolded in Moscow/Mohammed al-Rumaihi/Asharq
Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Analysis: Muslim Brotherhood - Part Chameleon, Part Octopus/Yigal Carmon/MEMRI/October
24/2026
Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on October 24-25/2026
(Some of the News reports below are
translated from Arabic by AI)
Statement of Condemnation and Denunciation Regarding the terrorist attack
on Hammoud Church in Karak – Jordan And the terrorist attack in Hebron – West
Bank
Elias Bejjani/October 23/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/10/158518/
Today October 23, 2026, two cowardly terrorist crimes were committed that
warrant the strongest terms of condemnation, denunciation and revulsion:
First: The massacre at Hammoud Church of the Greek Orthodox in Karak Governorate
– Southern Jordan
The fact that an armed group of terrorists stormed a house of God in a vehicle,
and opened fire indiscriminately and continuously for five minutes inside
Hammoud Church and at its entrance, during a funeral ceremony attended by
between 150 and 200 people, resulting in at least 7 martyrs and 34 wounded, most
of them elderly between 50 and 70 years of age, is a barbaric, savage, jihadi,
takfiri, criminal, satanic act that has nothing to do with humanity, religion,
or morality.
Turning a burial ceremony into a bloody massacre inside a sacred place dedicated
to prayer, peace and mercy reveals the true ugly face of jihadi terrorism, and
confirms that political, terrorist, jihadi Islam in both its Sunni and Shiite
wings constitutes an existential danger not only to the Hashemite Kingdom of
Jordan and its Christian-Muslim national fabric, but also to international peace
and security and to human civilization in every country of the world.
This vile and cowardly act targets Jordanian national unity, targets the
authentic Christian presence in the Mashreq, and targets all values of
coexistence and peace.
Second: The terrorist operation at a checkpoint near Hebron
In the same terrorist context, severe condemnation is recorded for the
treacherous terrorist operation that took place on Friday morning at a temporary
checkpoint at the exit of the city of Hebron, where two armed Palestinian
gunmen, armed with an assault rifle, a pistol and a large quantity of
ammunition, opened fire on the checkpoint, leading to the killing of two Israeli
soldiers and the wounding of three others with varying injuries.
Targeting soldiers while performing their security duty, while preliminary
investigations by the Israel Defense Forces indicate that the terrorists were
planning to carry out a larger attack against civilians on Route 35, is a
cowardly terrorist act condemned by all standards, especially after the
terrorist Hamas movement described the operation as “heroic”.
The Principled Position
Although different in location, both crimes stem from one swamp, the swamp of
global jihadi terrorism, and this calls for the following positions:
Political, terrorist, jihadi Islam, in its Sunni wing represented by Hamas,
ISIS, Al-Qaeda and Boko Haram, and its Shiite wing represented by the Iranian
regime, Hezbollah, the Houthis and the rest of the militias, is the number one
enemy of human civilization. There is no peace or stability in the Middle East
and the world without uprooting this dark, takfiri ideology from its roots.
The downfall of the criminal terrorist regime in Tehran, as the mastermind,
financier and central supporter of global terrorism, has become an urgent
international necessity to protect world peace.
The complete and final elimination of the terrorist organizations Hamas,
Hezbollah, Boko Haram, ISIS and all of Iran’s arms, militarily, financially and
ideologically, is a human and civilizational demand that tolerates no
settlement, appeasement or containment.
Holding accountable, exposing and pursuing the states and regimes that finance,
arm and harbor jihadi terrorism, led by Iran, Qatar and Turkey, and every regime
that seeks to strike civilization and its values by exporting extremism, is the
responsibility of the free international community.
The pure blood that was shed in Hammoud Church in Karak, and the blood that was
shed at the Hebron checkpoint, cries out to the world: Enough silence, enough
complicity, enough justification of terrorism.
Mercy to the innocent martyrs, a speedy recovery to the wounded, and shame and
disgrace to the murderous jihadi terrorists and their supporters and financiers
forever.
*The author, Elias Bejjani, is a Lebanese expatriate activist
Author’s Email: Phoenicia@hotmail.com
Author’s Website:
https://eliasbejjaninews.com
Why Is Benjamin Netanyahu’s Re-Election a Strategic
Interest for Lebanon?
Elias Bejjani/October 23/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/10/158503/
As a Lebanese citizen who believes in state sovereignty, the independence of
national decision-making, and Lebanon’s distinctive national identity, I view
the re-election of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu next Tuesday, and
his ability to form the next Israeli government, as an option that directly
aligns with Lebanon’s supreme national interests at this critical juncture. Over
the past several years, Netanyahu has demonstrated that he is among the Israeli
leaders most determined to confront Iran’s regional project. This project, which
involves supporting and arming Hezbollah and turning southern Lebanon into an
advanced military platform, has for decades constituted the principal obstacle
to restoring Lebanon’s full sovereignty. Treating Hezbollah as an illegitimate
armed force linked to Tehran and seeking to dismantle its military
infrastructure are consistent with international resolutions, foremost among
them Resolution 1701, as well as with the aspirations of Lebanese citizens who
want to establish a single state that monopolizes weapons and the decisions of
war and peace.
Netanyahu’s position is not limited to confronting the Iranian axis and its
regional allies. He also embraces a political, regional, and international
vision that regards ideological extremism, represented by hard-line political
Islam and destructive terrorist and jihadist organizations, whether Sunni or
Shiite, as a common source of threats to stability in countries around the
world, particularly in the Middle East. Accordingly, the military campaign
against Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad following the events of October 7,
along with the determination to disarm these organizations and prevent them from
rebuilding their military capabilities, clearly reflects this approach. His
efforts to weaken the Iranian regime itself are likewise rooted in the firm
conviction that the regime’s continued existence means the continued financing
and support of armed networks in Lebanon, Gaza, and Yemen. This position rejects
selective distinctions between forms of extremism and seeks to protect the
region from a culture of violence and militias.
In this context, the existential risks associated with Iran’s nuclear
capabilities emerge as a central threat that cannot be ignored. The Iranian
regime’s pursuit of nuclear weapons, or its attempt to approach the nuclear
threshold, threatens not only Israel but also poses a grave danger to the
stability of the entire region, particularly Lebanon. If Tehran acquires nuclear
weapons, it will gain a deterrent shield that could enable it to escalate its
support for its militias in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq without genuine fear of
effective retaliation. It would also turn Hezbollah into an even bolder
instrument for imposing a foreign agenda on the Lebanese people. Furthermore,
nuclear proliferation in the Middle East could open the door to a devastating
regional arms race, increase the likelihood of proxy wars or direct
confrontations, and undermine any prospect of building a genuinely sovereign
Lebanese state. Preventing the Iranian regime from acquiring nuclear
capabilities is not merely an Israeli interest; it is a shared Lebanese,
regional, and international interest, because an Iranian nuclear arsenal would
increase the risks of chaos, blackmail, and the erosion of sovereignty in
neighboring countries.
On the diplomatic front, Netanyahu has played a pivotal role in the Abraham
Accords, which opened new horizons for cooperation between Israel and several
Arab countries, including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan.
These agreements were not merely a symbolic normalization of relations; they
represented the beginning of a process of practical cooperation among countries
that share opposition to Iranian expansionism and ideological and jihadist
extremism. In this context, the presence of an Israeli leadership committed to
this course strengthens the prospects for expanding the circle of regional
stability, an outcome that serves Lebanon’s interests in both the medium and
long term.
Consequently, any weakening of Israel’s resolve to confront Hezbollah and the
Iranian regime would give both parties an opportunity to regroup and restore
their capabilities. For Lebanon, this would mean prolonging the existing
situation: a weak state, illegitimate weapons, borders exposed to persistent
tensions, and a collapsed economy. Therefore, the continuation of firm Israeli
leadership, capable of maintaining military and diplomatic pressure, could help
create more favorable conditions for restoring Lebanese sovereignty.
Noteworthy in this context is the public support that President Donald Trump has
expressed for Netanyahu, whom he has described as a strong and courageous leader
and a partner in confronting the Islamic Republic. This position reflects a
convergence of views on the priority of containing the Iranian threat and
preventing the regime from acquiring nuclear capabilities that could endanger
regional and international peace.
In conclusion, this is not a matter of blindly supporting any external party,
but rather of making a realistic assessment of the balance of power and the
interests at stake. Lebanon needs a regional environment in which foreign-backed
militias have less ability to impose their agendas on states and peoples. In
this context, Netanyahu’s re-election and his ability to continue his policies
toward Iran and Hezbollah appear, in my view, to be the option most consistent
with the Lebanese people’s goal of building a free, independent, and fully
sovereign state.
*The author, Elias Bejjani, is a Lebanese expatriate activist
Author’s Email: Phoenicia@hotmail.com
Author’s Website:
https://eliasbejjaninews.com
Elias Bejjani’s Writings and Commentaries
Joseph Hanna/October 24/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/10/158522/
Elias Bejjani’s writings and political commentaries represent a sustained,
highly committed, and ideologically consistent body of work devoted to Lebanon’s
sovereignty, independence, national identity, and future. Through years of
persistent writing, publishing, documenting, and political commentary, Bejjani
has established a recognizable voice within the Lebanese diaspora, particularly
among those who advocate restoring the Lebanese state’s full authority and
ending Iran’s influence through Hezbollah.
Publishing extensively in both Arabic and English through his website,
eliasbejjaninews.com, Bejjani has demonstrated an exceptional level of personal
dedication to his work. His output encompasses political analysis, historical
documentation, commemorations of martyrs, religious reflections, and
commentaries on developments in Lebanon and the wider Middle East. He frequently
supplements his articles with videos and multimedia material, extending the
reach of his message to Lebanese readers at home and throughout the diaspora, as
well as to English-speaking audiences.
What distinguishes Bejjani’s work is not simply the firmness of his political
positions, but also the persistence with which he continues to research, write,
publish, and defend them. His journalism reflects a deeply held conviction that
Lebanon’s independence is not merely a political objective, but a national and
moral responsibility. His tone is often urgent, uncompromising, and
confrontational, reflecting his belief that the country’s sovereignty, identity,
and future are at stake.
I. His Core Ideological Framework
Bejjani approaches Lebanon’s crises through a clear distinction between the
sovereign Lebanese state and what he considers successive forms of foreign
domination and internal complicity. In his interpretation of modern Lebanese
history, the country has endured successive periods of external interference,
beginning with Palestinian armed organizations, followed by the Syrian Baathist
regime, and culminating, in his view, in the Iranian regime’s influence through
Hezbollah.
He regards Hezbollah not simply as a Lebanese political party or resistance
movement, but as an Iranian-backed military organization operating according to
the doctrine of Wilayat al-Faqih. He argues that its independent military
structure has undermined the authority of the Lebanese state, compromised
national decision-making, and contributed to Lebanon’s repeated involvement in
regional conflicts. He also maintains that Hezbollah’s influence constrains the
freedom of the Lebanese Shiite community, whose members, like other Lebanese
citizens, should enjoy the right to determine their political future without
coercion or armed domination.
Iran occupies a central place in Bejjani’s political analysis. He views the
Iranian regime’s regional strategy and its support for armed proxies as
fundamental threats to Lebanese sovereignty, regional stability, and the
security of the wider international community.
These convictions have led him to advocate consistently for:
Full implementation of United Nations Security Council Resolutions 1559, 1680,
and 1701, particularly regarding Lebanese sovereignty, the authority of the
state, and the disarmament of armed groups outside its control.
Severing diplomatic relations with Iran and expelling its ambassador from
Lebanon.
Ending Lebanon’s transformation into what he frequently describes as a permanent
battleground or a regional mailbox for conflicts driven by foreign powers.
Establishing peace and mutual recognition between Lebanon and Israel under
international auspices, which he considers a potential pathway toward resolving
outstanding border issues, restoring stability, and enabling national recovery.
These positions form the foundation of his political writing and provide
continuity across a substantial body of work produced over many years.
II. The Major Themes of His Writing
1. A Persistent Campaign Against Hezbollah and Iranian Influence
Opposition to Hezbollah and Iran is the most consistent theme in Bejjani’s
political commentary. He repeatedly examines the consequences of Hezbollah’s
military autonomy, its regional alliances, and its influence over Lebanese
political institutions.
He attributes substantial responsibility to Hezbollah and the wider political
system surrounding it for Lebanon’s political paralysis, recurring wars,
displacement, and erosion of state authority. In some of his writings, he also
addresses political assassinations, the 1983 Beirut barracks bombings, and the
2020 Beirut port explosion within his broader critique of armed organizations,
political impunity, and Iranian influence.
A notable feature of his work is his refusal to accept the argument that
Hezbollah’s weapons are indispensable to Lebanon’s protection. He instead
maintains that genuine national security requires a sovereign state, a unified
chain of command, and an army capable of defending the country under
constitutional authority.
Bejjani also insists on distinguishing Hezbollah from the Lebanese Shiite
community as a whole. He argues that no political or religious organization
should claim exclusive authority to represent an entire community or determine
the fate of its members through an independent armed structure.
His sustained attention to these issues reflects a long-term commitment to a
single central objective: restoring the Lebanese state’s exclusive authority
over weapons, security, and decisions concerning war and peace.
2. Criticism of Lebanon’s Political and Religious Leadership
Bejjani’s criticism extends beyond Hezbollah to political leaders, public
officials, and religious figures whom he believes have failed to defend
Lebanon’s sovereignty with sufficient determination.
He is particularly critical of leaders who, in his assessment, accommodate
Hezbollah’s armed dominance, accept foreign interference, or avoid confronting
the fundamental question of state authority. His language can be severe, and he
sometimes employs terms such as subservience, political dependency, and
dhimmitude to express his opposition to what he considers the surrender of
national principles.
His criticism also reaches Christian politicians and clergy whom he believes
bear a particular responsibility for defending Lebanon’s historical identity,
constitutional pluralism, and independence.
This aspect of his writing demonstrates that his commitment to Lebanese
sovereignty is not confined to criticizing one political organization or foreign
power. He also directs his scrutiny toward those within Lebanon’s established
political and religious institutions whom he considers responsible for the
country’s continuing weakness.
For Bejjani, defending sovereignty requires more than declarations and patriotic
rhetoric. It demands political courage, consistency, accountability, and a
willingness to confront powerful interests when national principles are at
stake.
3. Opposition to Political Islam
Another recurring element in Bejjani’s work is his opposition to political Islam
when religious doctrine is used to justify political domination, armed
expansion, or the subordination of national institutions to ideological
authority.
His criticism encompasses both Shiite and Sunni expressions of political Islam
that he considers incompatible with Lebanese sovereignty and pluralism. He
frequently invokes painful episodes in Lebanon’s history, including the Aishiyeh
massacre and the assassination of Dany Chamoun and his family, to underline his
condemnation of political violence and the failure to achieve accountability for
past crimes.
Historical remembrance occupies an important place in this work. Bejjani returns
repeatedly to the experiences of victims, the sacrifices of martyrs, and the
consequences of political extremism. His objective is not simply to recall past
events, but to argue that national reconciliation cannot be built on forgetting
victims, concealing responsibility, or denying historical suffering.
His approach reflects a belief that the preservation of Lebanon’s pluralistic
identity requires both the defence of individual freedom and the rejection of
any political project that places an ideological authority above the state.
4. His Position on Israel and the West
Bejjani’s support for Western engagement and his advocacy of Lebanese-Israeli
peace distinguish his political outlook from that of many Lebanese and Arab
commentators.
He has supported Israeli military actions when he believes they weaken Hezbollah
or Iran’s regional influence. He also argues that direct negotiations and a
peace agreement between Lebanon and Israel, conducted under appropriate
international auspices, could help resolve longstanding border disputes and
remove Lebanon from the cycle of recurring wars.
His position rests on the conviction that Lebanon should pursue its own national
interests rather than remain subordinated to regional conflicts or the strategic
priorities of Tehran.
At the same time, Bejjani criticizes Western governments, particularly certain
US Democratic administrations, when he believes their policies have accommodated
Iran or failed to confront the expansion of Iranian influence through armed
proxies.
These views remain politically contentious in Lebanon and across the Arab world.
Nevertheless, they form an integral part of his broader political project: a
sovereign Lebanon, oriented toward democratic institutions and international
partnerships, capable of determining its own future without armed coercion by
domestic or foreign actors.
5. Lebanese Christian Identity, Faith, and Historical Memory
Beyond daily political developments, Bejjani devotes considerable attention to
Lebanon’s Christian heritage, particularly its Maronite tradition, and to the
historical experiences of Lebanese Christians.
His articles commemorate martyrs, national anniversaries, religious figures, and
tragic events that have shaped the collective memory of Lebanese communities.
Saint Charbel and other figures of Christian spirituality also appear in his
religious writings, alongside biblical reflections and appeals to prayer,
conscience, forgiveness, and moral responsibility.
These articles reveal another dimension of his commitment. For Bejjani, Lebanon
is not merely a geographical territory or a political system; it is a historical
and cultural homeland whose identity has been shaped by generations of
sacrifice, faith, and attachment to freedom.
He frequently presents Lebanon’s Christian communities as important contributors
to the country’s pluralistic character and historical connections with the West.
His writing emphasizes the preservation of this heritage against ideological and
political forces that he believes threaten Lebanon’s diversity and independence.
His commemorative and religious work also serves a personal and national
purpose: keeping the memory of those who sacrificed their lives for Lebanon
alive for younger generations, including Lebanese expatriates who may be
geographically distant from their ancestral homeland.
6. Advocacy for International Action to Restore Sovereignty
Bejjani’s frustration with Lebanon’s prolonged political paralysis has led him,
in some of his more forceful articles, to advocate stronger international
involvement in restoring the authority of the Lebanese state.
He has described Lebanon as a country whose institutions have been weakened or
effectively held hostage by armed and political interests. In this context, he
has raised the possibility of international supervision or robust enforcement
mechanisms under Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter if Lebanese
institutions prove unable to implement their obligations concerning sovereignty
and security.
Such proposals are controversial and raise serious questions about national
independence, constitutional legitimacy, and the practical limits of external
intervention. They nevertheless illustrate the extent of Bejjani’s concern about
the gap between Lebanon’s formal sovereignty and the state’s ability to exercise
effective authority throughout its territory.
His willingness to advance such proposals also reflects his conviction that the
crisis cannot be resolved through declarations alone. He calls for concrete
implementation of international commitments and measures that, in his view,
would allow Lebanon to recover the functions of a normal sovereign state.
III. The Characteristics of His Work
1. A Consistent and Uncompromising Voice
Bejjani writes with a sense of urgency and conviction. His vocabulary is
frequently forceful, employing terms such as terrorism, occupation, betrayal,
criminality, and the culture of death to describe what he considers threats to
Lebanon’s independence.
This style reflects his belief that the country faces a fundamental struggle
over its identity and future rather than a routine disagreement among political
parties.
His uncompromising approach has helped establish a recognizable editorial
identity. At the same time, the intensity of his language can limit
opportunities for dialogue with those who disagree with his interpretations or
policy proposals.
2. Sustained Publishing in Arabic and English
One of the most significant characteristics of Bejjani’s work is the persistence
of his publishing activity. Through his website and associated media platforms,
he maintains a substantial record of articles and commentaries in both Arabic
and English.
This bilingual approach enables him to address two important audiences: Lebanese
readers who follow political developments in their native language and
international readers who seek perspectives on Lebanon’s internal crisis,
Hezbollah, Iran, and the wider Middle East.
The combination of written articles and video material further expands his
reach. It also reflects a willingness to adapt his publishing methods to
changing media habits while maintaining his central editorial priorities.
Maintaining such a body of work requires sustained personal effort: identifying
developments, formulating arguments, preparing articles, publishing material,
and preserving a continuing record of political and historical events. His
output demonstrates a long-term commitment to keeping Lebanese affairs in public
discussion, even when the subjects are controversial or the political
circumstances discouraging.
3. A Strong Moral and Religious Dimension
Bejjani’s political writing is frequently informed by Christian theology,
biblical references, and appeals to conscience, shame, justice, and
accountability before God and history.
He treats political responsibility as a moral question as well as a matter of
constitutional order. In his view, silence in the face of injustice, the
abandonment of victims, and the acceptance of political subordination are not
merely strategic errors; they can also constitute failures of conscience.
This moral framework connects his political commentary with his religious and
commemorative writings, giving his work a broader character than conventional
daily political reporting.
4. Persistence, Volume, and Long-Term Commitment
Perhaps the most distinctive feature of Bejjani’s publishing career is its
continuity. Over many years, he has returned to the same fundamental questions:
Who exercises authority in Lebanon? Who controls the weapons? Who determines
whether the country goes to war? And what must be done to restore genuine
independence?
His continued engagement with these questions demonstrates a level of dedication
that extends beyond occasional commentary or reaction to breaking news.
He has maintained his publishing work across political crises, regional wars,
changing governments, and successive periods of uncertainty. Rather than
abandoning his central concerns when public attention shifts elsewhere, he
repeatedly returns to them, documenting events and connecting current
developments to Lebanon’s longer historical experience.
Supporters of his outlook may regard this persistence as evidence of principle
and personal commitment. Critics may see the same continuity as an indication
that his analysis remains confined within a relatively fixed ideological
framework. Both observations are relevant to understanding the nature of his
work.
IV. Strengths and Criticisms
Strengths from a Sovereignty-Oriented Perspective
Bejjani’s principal contribution is his sustained insistence that Lebanon cannot
function as a fully sovereign state while an armed organization maintains an
independent military structure and exercises substantial influence over national
decisions.
His criticism of Hezbollah’s relationship with Iran and his advocacy of state
control over weapons and decisions of war and peace overlap with the positions
of several Lebanese opposition figures and governments that regard Hezbollah’s
military role as incompatible with full state authority.
He has also consistently drawn attention to United Nations resolutions, the
importance of national accountability, and the need to prevent Lebanon from
being drawn into conflicts driven by external interests.
Equally important is his commitment to documentation and remembrance. By
repeatedly publishing articles about political developments, historical
tragedies, religious occasions, and the sacrifices of Lebanese individuals and
communities, he contributes to a continuing written record of the issues that
shape his understanding of the country.
His bilingual publishing activity gives this record a wider potential audience
and allows his arguments to circulate beyond Lebanon’s geographical boundaries.
Limitations and Criticisms
A balanced assessment must also acknowledge several limitations of his approach.
First, the centrality of Hezbollah and Iran in his analysis can leave less room
for examining other causes of Lebanon’s crisis, including sectarian
power-sharing arrangements, corruption across political communities, financial
mismanagement, institutional weakness, and the responsibilities of the wider
political establishment.
Second, his sharp language can make constructive engagement with opposing
viewpoints more difficult. Political disagreement does not necessarily
demonstrate disloyalty, and the distinctions between political compromise,
ideological disagreement, and collaboration deserve careful examination.
Third, his support for Israeli military operations in certain circumstances and
his advocacy of international supervision remain deeply controversial. These
positions require consideration of civilian suffering, international law,
Lebanese national interests, and the practical consequences of proposed security
arrangements.
Finally, his emphasis on Christian historical memory, while central to his
identity and editorial interests, may leave some readers seeking a broader
account of the experiences and historical narratives of Lebanon’s other
communities.
These criticisms do not erase the significance of his sustained publishing
effort. Rather, they help distinguish the value of documenting a committed
political viewpoint from the separate question of whether every interpretation
or policy proposal within that viewpoint is persuasive.
V. Overall Assessment
Elias Bejjani can be described as a dedicated Lebanese expatriate writer,
journalist, and political activist whose work is driven by a strong commitment
to national sovereignty, independence, and the preservation of Lebanon’s
distinctive identity.
His writing is advocacy journalism rather than detached academic analysis. It
combines political argument, historical remembrance, religious reflection, and
calls for action, all organized around a relatively consistent set of
convictions.
What merits particular recognition is the persistence with which he has pursued
these subjects over many years. He has continued to write, publish, document,
and comment on Lebanon’s crises in both Arabic and English, seeking to keep
questions of sovereignty, accountability, national identity, and foreign
interference before the public.
His work reflects a belief that journalism should not merely record events but
also challenge prevailing narratives, preserve historical memory, and defend
principles that the writer considers essential to the nation’s survival.
At the heart of Bejjani’s political project is the conviction that Lebanon
cannot recover its independence while decisions about war and peace remain
outside the effective authority of its constitutional institutions. He therefore
calls for the restoration of state sovereignty, the implementation of
international resolutions, the end of Iranian political and military domination,
and the establishment of a stable Lebanon capable of determining its own future.
His positions on Hezbollah, Iran, Israel, and international intervention remain
open to legitimate debate and criticism. Yet his sustained commitment to
expressing and documenting those positions is an important part of understanding
his place within Lebanese diaspora journalism.
Ultimately, Bejjani’s body of work represents more than a series of isolated
political commentaries. It is a continuing personal and editorial undertaking
shaped by his attachment to Lebanon and his determination to keep its
sovereignty and future at the centre of public discussion.
Whether readers agree or disagree with his conclusions, the consistency of his
efforts, the breadth of his publishing activity, and his continued engagement
with Lebanon’s political and historical struggles demonstrate a longstanding
commitment to the causes he has chosen to defend.
New U.S. Warning on Lebanon… Which Areas Are Covered by
the Evacuation Call?
Janoubia/24 October 2026
The U.S. Embassy in Beirut updated its travel advisory for Lebanon on Saturday,
24 October, renewing its call not to travel to the country and urging American
citizens currently in specific areas to leave immediately amid security risks
and the possibility of regional escalation. The embassy clarified that the
update did not change the overall advisory level, which is based on risks of
crime, terrorism, civil unrest, kidnapping, landmines, and armed conflict. It
noted that the U.S. government’s ability to provide emergency assistance to its
citizens in Lebanon is limited due to the security situation.The advisory stated
that U.S. Embassy personnel in Beirut are prohibited from personal travel
throughout Lebanon without prior authorization, and that staffing arrangements
for American personnel may be adjusted according to developments in the security
situation. Washington also warned of the potential for broader regional
escalation, citing attacks by Iran-backed Houthis on Saudi Arabia and the
possible accompanying security disturbances and effects on travel.The warning
included a note about the risk of terrorist attacks without prior warning that
could target tourist sites, transportation hubs, markets, and facilities
belonging to local authorities. It also highlighted the ongoing risks of
kidnapping and hostage-taking, explaining that foreigners—including tourists,
journalists, humanitarian workers, and businesspeople—may be targeted. The
embassy further warned of the possibility of rocket and drone strikes in various
parts of Lebanon, including Beirut, and of potential disruption to commercial
flights or access to Beirut’s international airport as a result of
hostilities.Washington called on its citizens not to travel to areas it
described as extremely dangerous and urged those already there to leave
immediately. These areas include southern Lebanon, the border areas with Syria,
the southern suburbs of Beirut and areas south of the capital, as well as
refugee gatherings. The warnings were attributed to varying risks including
terrorism, kidnapping, armed conflict, and civil unrest, as well as the presence
of landmines and unexploded ordnance, particularly near the Syrian border, south
of the Litani River, and in some refugee gatherings.Regarding aviation safety,
the advisory cited the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration’s call for caution
when operating flights within 200 nautical miles of the Damascus Flight
Information Region due to increased military activity in and around Syria. The
embassy urged its citizens to register in the Smart Traveler Enrollment Program
(STEP) to receive security alerts, follow local media, avoid demonstrations and
gatherings, and prepare emergency departure plans without relying on U.S.
government assistance. It also recommended reviewing the travel and security
guidance for Lebanon and ensuring that travel insurance covers evacuation
assistance, medical services, and trip cancellations.The update comes amid
ongoing concerns about the impact of regional tensions on Lebanon’s security
situation, while Washington called on its citizens to monitor developments and
take necessary precautions.
Ongoing Disagreements Between Lebanon and Israel Prevent
Implementation of the “Framework Agreement”… Tampa Meetings End Without Results
or Joint Statement
Beirut: Asharq Al-Awsat/ 24 October 2026The Tampa meetings held between the
Lebanese and Israeli military delegations under U.S. auspices from Tuesday to
Thursday yielded no results, according to Lebanese sources familiar with the
substance of the negotiations who spoke to Asharq Al-Awsat, while declining to
describe them as “negative.” No joint statement has been issued at the
conclusion of the talks “because no agreement was reached on any of the issues
discussed.” The sources said the two sides agreed to continue the discussions,
counting on the American role, but the entire matter remains postponed until
after the Israeli elections at the end of this month or even the U.S. midterm
elections.Before the Tampa meetings, the Lebanese presidency had announced that
a Lebanese military delegation would present Beirut’s demands to end Israeli
attacks in Lebanon. This followed several rounds of direct talks between Lebanon
and Israel in recent months aimed at discussing ways to implement the “Framework
Agreement” reached between the two countries. The presidency said: “The Lebanese
military delegation will participate in the tripartite meeting to place
Lebanon’s demands for a halt to Israeli escalation on the table, in the hope of
achieving results consistent with the Framework Agreement.”No photographs of the
Tampa meetings have been released so far. The sources noted that the Lebanese
delegation renewed its longstanding demand for a halt to Israeli airstrikes,
explosions, earthworks, and demolitions in the south, compliance with the
ceasefire agreement, withdrawal from occupied Lebanese territory, and the return
of prisoners, in addition to allowing farmers access to their lands in the
border areas so they can harvest olives amid ongoing Israeli threats.Beyond the
non-implementation of the agreement’s provisions, outstanding issues continue to
hinder its execution and occupied a significant portion of the Tampa discussions
without producing results. The most prominent of these is the “verification
mechanism,” which Beirut insists on establishing to implement the security
arrangements, make progress in the pilot areas, and prepare the conditions for
the deployment of the Lebanese army. Determining the party that will monitor the
implementation of the security arrangements therefore remains one of the main
points of disagreement. Israel wants to establish a joint operations room or
adopt a direct means of communication with the Lebanese army so that it can play
a supervisory role in clearing Hezbollah areas and military installations of
weapons—something Lebanon categorically rejects, proposing instead that the
verification task be assigned to a UN or international body.While sources
monitoring the negotiations are cautious about the possibility of a breakthrough
in the coming phase, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz raised the level of
his threats while the participants in Tampa were holding their discussions. On
Tuesday he said the Israeli army had imposed control over a security zone inside
Lebanese territory estimated at about 700 square kilometers, stressing that its
forces would not withdraw from this area until Hezbollah is fully disarmed
throughout Lebanon. Katz also announced the Israeli army’s readiness to advance
toward Nabatieh and the Litani to permanently annex them to that security zone,
threatening that any attack targeting towns in northern Israel would be met with
a direct response in Beirut’s southern suburbs.Pending the scheduling of a new
round of military meetings, it is now confirmed that political negotiations will
not resume before the electoral deadlines in Israel and the United States are
completed.
Explosions in Khiam and Earthworks in Shebaa Amid Ongoing Aerial Violation of
the South and Bekaa
Janoubia/24 October 2026In continuous field escalation reflecting the Israeli
occupation forces’ determination to alter the features of the border strip and
impose a buffer zone by force, several sectors in southern Lebanon witnessed a
series of violations, earthworks, and explosions targeting villages and vital
areas, in parallel with intensive reconnaissance flights that extended deep into
the Bekaa. These field movements confirm the continuation of the Israeli
strategy of undermining any basis for life and return in the border villages,
amid official helplessness and international disregard for the violation of
national sovereignty.The Israeli army continued its direct attacks on property
and facilities in the Marjayoun district, directing its strikes at educational
and social institutions:Destruction around “Al-Mabarat” in Khiam: Israeli forces
carried out a series of large-scale engineering explosions targeting the
building and surroundings of the Al-Mabarat school in the town of Khiam,
destroying large parts of it and leveling it to the ground as part of a policy
of booby-trapping residential and public buildings.Road construction and
penetration in Shebaa: Occupation forces advanced a military unit supported by
heavy bulldozers from the Birket al-Naqqar area to carry out earthworks and dig
a new road extending toward the “Wadi” area in the town of Shebaa (Hasbaya
district), in an attempt to impose a new security strip.Near the Litani River
and Nabatieh district, direct attacks continued to secure the movements of
Israeli military vehicles:Heavy machine-gun sweeping: The outskirts of the town
of Zoutar al-Sharqiyeh witnessed intensive sweeping fire with heavy machine guns
in conjunction with unprecedented movements of Israeli vehicles and armored
units overlooking the area.Wide intelligence violation: Intensive low- and
medium-altitude flights by Israeli “MK” reconnaissance aircraft were recorded
over the skies of Hasbaya, the Shebaa Farms, and the Arqub, before the
intelligence surveillance circle expanded to include the skies of the eastern
and western Bekaa and the Iqlim al-Tuffah.These continuous field movements show
that the occupation seeks to establish a permanent security and military reality
along the southern border, exceeding all international lines and conventions,
while the political authority stands by as a spectator to the leveling of
villages and the violation of the skies and the land.
Airstrikes in the South… Deadline for Palestinian Camps and
Upcoming Lebanese Talks in Qatar
Janoubia / 24 October 2026The south witnessed field escalation, with the town of
Kfar Tebnit in Nabatieh district targeted by Israeli airstrikes followed by an
explosion carried out by the Israeli army, concurrent with low-altitude flights
by warplanes over the Nabatieh area and the execution of mock airstrikes in the
skies of the south. Field information indicated that an Israeli airstrike
targeted the town of Kfar Tebnit, after which the Israeli army carried out an
explosion in the town, with no further details available on the extent of the
damage or casualties. In the air, Israeli warplanes flew at low altitude over
the Nabatieh area and conducted mock airstrikes in the southern skies.In another
matter, the Board of Directors of Electricité du Liban decided to grant
Palestinian camps that are in arrears on their payments a 20-day deadline from
the date of notification of the decision to settle their financial obligations,
under penalty of cutting electricity supply after the deadline expires. MTV
reported that the file was raised during the Board of Directors session on
Friday, and that the decision requires notifying the Lebanese-Palestinian
Dialogue Committee and the General Secretariat of the Council of Ministers of
the specified deadline. The Board had also decided to cut electricity supply to
public administrations, institutions, and independent authorities that are in
arrears on their payments, effective from the morning of Monday, 2 November
2026.In the context of Lebanese-Qatari relations, a Lebanese technical
delegation from the Ministry of Energy is heading to Qatar at the beginning of
next week to complete the bilateral technical talks held in Beirut over the past
two weeks. According to MTV information, the meetings are expected to result in
the preparation of a final draft of a letter of intent between the two
countries, to be submitted to the Lebanese government for a decision.
UNIFIL: Peace in Southern Lebanon Is Not Guaranteed
Al-Markazia / 24 October 2026The United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL)
marked United Nations Day, recalling the enduring values on which the
organization was founded and renewing its commitment to achieving peace and
stability in southern Lebanon. In a message on the occasion, the Head of Mission
and Force Commander, Major General Diodato Abagnara, stressed the continuing
importance of the principles on which the United Nations was founded—peace,
dialogue, and cooperation—saying: “Here in southern Lebanon, we know that peace
is not a given. It requires trust, determination, and a readiness to work
together.”He added: “On this United Nations Day, let us renew our commitment to
peace and cooperation and to serving the people for whom we work. Together, we
fulfill our mission. Together, we build peace. Together, we shape the future.”
UNIFIL personnel, both military and civilian, representing countries from around
the world, work daily to support the implementation of UN Security Council
Resolution 1701, maintain stability, and contribute to efforts to help local
communities recover and return to normal life.The occasion also holds particular
significance as it will be the last time UNIFIL marks United Nations Day before
the end of the mission’s mandate at the end of 2026. In a tribute to the
peacekeepers who perform their duties under the United Nations flag, Major
General Abagnara praised their dedication to supporting peace and security in
southern Lebanon. As UNIFIL enters the final phase of its presence in southern
Lebanon, the mission continues to focus its efforts on supporting stability and
preserving the foundations necessary for lasting peace. Reaffirming the
mission’s commitment, Major General Abagnara stressed that UNIFIL will continue
to work side by side with the Lebanese Armed Forces and local communities until
the last day of its operations.United Nations Day is celebrated annually on 24
October to commemorate the entry into force of the United Nations Charter in
1945. This year’s observance comes at a particularly critical time, as
communities across southern Lebanon continue to recover from the effects of
recent hostilities and work to rebuild their lives.
Aoun seeks to 'strengthen trust between state and
residents' in visit to Tripoli
Naharnet/24 October/2026
President Joseph Aoun stated Saturday from the Rachid Karami International Fair
in Tripoli that "Tripoli has the capacity to be a model of convergence,
cooperation, and looking toward the future.""What I hope for is that we make
this visit a milestone to strengthen trust between the state and the city’s
residents," said Aoun in the impoverished northern city. He lamented that the
ancient city "has been wronged for decades by state neglect and the tampering of
masked gangs hiding behind politics, until it was violated and turned into a
dark mailbox for exchanging poisoned messages." "I am in Tripoli today to place
a message in Tripoli's mailbox stating that this city is history, knowledge, and
the heart of the North, all of the North," Aoun added. "I am the President of
the Republic, and my responsibility is to remain equidistant from all Lebanese
and to work for a Lebanon that accommodates everyone," he said. "Lebanon cannot
rise with a single faction alone, nor with a single sect alone; rather, it rises
when its sons and daughters converge around the project of the state. Let us
work together for a strong, just state and a productive society," the president
urged.
President Aoun from Tripoli: Fighting corruption a priority, judicial
independence essential
LBCI/24 October/2026
President Joseph Aoun stressed during a visit to the Tripoli Justice Palace that
the judiciary and security go hand in hand and complement one another,
emphasizing that delayed justice is justice denied. "Citizens have the right to
justice and a transparent, independent judiciary. Independence begins with the
individual and the decisions they make," Aoun said.He described combating
corruption as a priority, noting that digital government services and a fair
judicial system contribute to fighting corruption and strengthening
constitutional institutions. "A judge must neither convict an innocent person
nor acquit a criminal," he said, highlighting significant judicial achievements
made this year. Aoun also expressed his support for judges, urging them to
resist external pressure and carry out their duties according to their
conscience. Separately, during a visit to the General Security Directorate at
the Tripoli Serail, Aoun thanked personnel for their efforts in providing
services to citizens. "I came to tell you that I stand by you and to encourage
you to continue on this path," he said. He praised the progress achieved by
General Security, stressing that serving citizens is a sacred duty and
acknowledging the considerable efforts made by its personnel.
US reduces staffing in Lebanon, 3 Arab countries over Iran
fears
Associated Press/24 October/2026
The U.S. State Department is reducing staffing at four U.S. embassies in the
Middle East after receiving intelligence that Iran has stepped up efforts to
target American personnel in the region and elsewhere. In a memo sent Friday to
Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton
said his teams "have received intelligence that Iran has substantially increased
efforts to target U.S. personnel." "The lethal plotting efforts by the Iranians
against U.S. citizens have reached advanced stages in both the Middle East and
certain other countries," Clayton wrote. The memo was obtained by The Associated
Press and reported earlier by Axios. Three U.S. officials, speaking on condition
of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter, confirmed that the memo was
sent to Rubio in his capacity as secretary of state and national security
adviser. The memo emerged shortly after the State Department announced it is
reducing staff at the U.S. embassies in Jordan, Lebanon, Qatar and the United
Arab Emirates. The three officials said the threats from Iran and Yemen's
Iranian-backed Houthi rebels are related to the staffing changes. The embassies
involved are all under what is known as "restricted operations" status that has
already reduced the size of their personnel footprints. The embassies will
remain open. However, unlike in Saudi Arabia, where nonessential U.S. personnel
and their families were ordered Wednesday to leave the country, staff in the
other four countries are not compelled to depart. In announcing the staffing
drawdowns this week, the State Department pointed specifically to increased
threats from Yemen's Houthi rebels and did not mention threats to U.S. personnel
directly from Iran. There has been a resurgence of fighting between a Saudi-led
coalition and the Houthis, with the militant group launching missile and drone
strikes against Saudi Arabia. U.S. officials have adamantly denied the drawdowns
are tied to any potential new U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran. The unpopular
war has spiked energy costs for Americans and posed political problems for
President Donald Trump and Republicans, who are trying to keep control of
Congress in the Nov. 3 midterm elections. Trump, speaking at a rally Friday in
Florida, touted the U.S. military operations in Iran, which were dubbed
"Operation Epic Fury," and said that "we may do another little Epic Fury, or
they'll agree. If they're smart, they'll just say, 'Let's get down to
business.'"Mediators have been trying to bring Washington and Tehran back to
formal talks as the war has reached a stalemate. According to Iranian state
television, the Revolutionary Guard navy this week again threatened to strike
U.S. military bases in the region if the United States keeps helping guide
commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for the
global energy trade. Any further escalation around the Strait of Hormuz or
elsewhere in the region will put civilian lives and the well-being of all
regional states and the global economy at great risk," Iranian Foreign Minister
Abbas Araghchi wrote in an opinion column in the Financial Times this week.
The “Liberation” Equation Has Become Clear… The Ball Is
in the State’s Court!
Lara Yazbeck / Al-Markazia / 24 October 2026The equation in the south
specifically, and in Lebanon generally, has become as clear as daylight. It
requires neither analysts nor fortune-tellers to uncover it or determine the
path the field situation will take in the coming phase—whether escalation or
liberation. Rather, the choice between these two scenarios now appears to lie in
the hands of the Lebanese state.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said
on Sunday that Israeli forces would continue to remain in what he described as
the “security zone” in southern Lebanon unless Hezbollah is disarmed and its
military capabilities dismantled. In a radio interview, Netanyahu added that he
does not trust the Lebanese government’s ability to disarm Hezbollah, affirming
that Israel would continue to maintain its military presence in the area as long
as the party retains its weapons. On Tuesday he again issued a harsh warning to
both Iran and “Hezbollah,” saying: “Do not think of attacking us; you will
receive a blow you have not imagined.”For his part, Israeli Defense Minister
Israel Katz announced “the readiness of the Israeli army to carry out a military
maneuver toward additional areas in Nabatieh and the vicinity of the Litani
River.” He stressed that Israel would not withdraw from the security zone in
southern Lebanon as long as Hezbollah’s weapons have not been removed throughout
Lebanon, threatening the party with a “harsh blow” if it joins any Iranian
attack on Israel. He confirmed that any firing or sending of drones toward
Israel would be met with a strong response targeting the southern suburbs of
Beirut.The picture is therefore clear, according to sovereign political sources
speaking to Al-Markazia: disarming Hezbollah leads to Israeli withdrawal, while
its retention means the continuation of the occupation. Netanyahu and Katz have
thus announced that their army will leave—but they link that departure to ending
Hezbollah’s armed wing. For this very reason, it can be said that the ball is in
the Lebanese state’s court: if it implements today rather than tomorrow the
ministerial decisions of 5 and 7 August and 2 March, and begins executing them
now without justifications or preconditions—from the Bekaa or Beirut or Dahr el-Baidar,
before the south—it will corner the Israelis and push them to withdraw. But if
it does not, the Israelis will remain in Lebanon and will themselves take on the
task of eliminating the party, even if it takes years or decades, and all rounds
of negotiation between Beirut and Tel Aviv will continue to go around in
circles.That is the long-term picture. In the short term, if the party enters
the line of any American and Israeli war on Iran, it will also mean that Israel
will resume its war on Lebanon without any restraints. But if the Lebanese state
succeeds in deterring the party, it may protect itself from a new round of
destructive fighting. Lebanon’s fate, sovereignty, liberation, and security are
therefore in the hands of the Lebanese state. Which path will it choose?
U.S. Embassy Warns Its Citizens in Lebanon: Leave These
Areas Immediately!
Al-Markazia / 24 October 2026
The U.S. Embassy in Beirut announced in a statement released today, Saturday, an
update to its travel advisory for Lebanon. It clarified that the update did not
include any change in the advisory level or risk indicators, while maintaining
its call not to travel to Lebanon for any reason due to the risks of crime,
terrorism, unrest, kidnapping, landmines, and armed conflict.
Restrictions on Movements of U.S. Embassy Personnel
The advisory affirmed that the U.S. government’s ability to provide emergency
services to its citizens in Lebanon is limited because of security risks. It
noted that U.S. Embassy personnel in Beirut are prohibited from undertaking
personal travel throughout Lebanon without prior authorization. It also pointed
to the possibility of additional adjustments to the presence arrangements of
American personnel under the security responsibility of the Chief of Mission,
depending on developments in the situation.
Houthi Attacks and the Possibility of Escalation Expanding
The advisory stated that the “Iran-backed Houthis” have engaged in hostile acts
against Saudi Arabia, including attacks on civilian airports and other critical
infrastructure, which resulted in civilian casualties and severe disruptions to
travel. It warned that these acts could escalate rapidly and extend beyond their
immediate geographic scope, adding that the Lebanese government cannot guarantee
the safety of American citizens in the face of a sudden outbreak of violence and
armed conflict.
Aviation Alert
Regarding aviation safety, the advisory cited the U.S. Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA) calling for caution when operating flights in the airspace
within 200 nautical miles of the Damascus Flight Information Region (FIR), due
to increased military activity in Syria or its surroundings. It urged American
citizens to review the prohibitions, restrictions, and notices issued by the
Administration for further information.
Crime and the Risk of Attacks Without Warning
The advisory noted the existence of risks of non-violent crime throughout
Lebanon, explaining that most crimes targeting foreigners are opportunistic,
such as bag-snatching and pickpocketing. On terrorism, it warned of the
possibility of attacks and terrorist activities, naming “Hezbollah,” the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard, “ISIS,” and “Hamas” among the entities it said continue to
plan potential attacks in Lebanon. It added that attacks could occur with
limited or no warning and target tourist sites, transportation hubs, markets,
commercial centers, and facilities belonging to local authorities. It also
referred to U.S. State Department reports on terrorism for additional details.
Kidnapping Includes Journalists and Humanitarian Workers
The advisory highlighted the ongoing risk of kidnapping and hostage-taking,
noting that local authorities have warned of the possible targeting of foreign
nationals. It explained that Americans and other travelers—including tourists,
humanitarian workers, journalists, and businesspeople—may be viewed as
accessible targets for exploitation, and that the reason for a person’s presence
in Lebanon is unlikely to provide protection if they are kidnapped or detained.
Possible Strikes in Beirut and Disruption of Access to the Airport
The statement warned of the possibility of drone and rocket strikes across
various parts of Lebanon, including Beirut. It noted that hostilities could
disrupt commercial flights, including the infrastructure required for access to
the international airport.
Landmines and Unexploded Ordnance: Where Are the Risks Concentrated?
The advisory pointed to the presence of landmines and unexploded ordnance
throughout Lebanon, identifying the highest-risk areas as the border with Syria,
the areas south of the Litani River, and refugee gatherings. It stressed that
the locations of these mines and ordnance are often unmarked or difficult to
identify.
Call to Leave the South, the Southern Suburbs, the Border Areas, and Refugee
Gatherings
The advisory identified areas it described as extremely dangerous, calling for
people not to travel to them for any reason and demanding that American citizens
already there leave immediately. These are:
Southern Lebanon: due to risks of terrorism, kidnapping, and armed conflict.
The border with Syria: due to risks of terrorism, kidnapping, unexploded
ordnance, and armed conflict.
The southern suburbs and areas south of Beirut: due to risks of terrorism,
kidnapping, unexploded ordnance, and armed conflict.
Refugee gatherings: due to risks of crime, terrorism, civil unrest, unexploded
ordnance, and armed conflict.
Recommendations for Americans Present in Lebanon
The embassy issued a set of recommendations to American citizens in Lebanon,
including registering in the Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) to receive
important updates and alerts and to facilitate contact by the embassy or
consulate, or by the emergency contact they designate. It also urged them to
review the Country Security Report for Lebanon, avoid displaying signs of wealth
such as expensive watches and jewelry, and refrain from accepting drinks from
strangers in bars and nightclubs. It recommended designating one family member
as a point of contact who, in the event of kidnapping or hostage-taking, would
handle communication with the captors, the media, U.S. or foreign government
authorities, and members of Congress.
The recommendations also included:
Preparing an emergency departure plan that does not rely on U.S. government
assistance, and reviewing information on crises and evacuations.
Avoiding demonstrations and gatherings.
Following local media for breaking news and being prepared to adjust plans.
Considering the use of a specialized security firm.
Reviewing information on travel to high-risk areas, missing Americans abroad,
crimes outside the United States, and guidance for crime victims.
Visiting the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) website for the
latest health information related to travel to Lebanon.
Preparing a will and instructions regarding arrangements to be made in the event
of death.
The advisory strongly recommended purchasing travel insurance before departure
and confirming with the insurance company coverage for evacuation assistance,
medical insurance, and trip cancellation.
700 Square Kilometers Under Israeli Occupation in
Lebanon: What Does the ‘Security Belt’ Mean?
Beirut: Soubhi Amhaz/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Israel’s expanding operations in southern Lebanon are raising questions about
how much territory its forces actually occupy, and how much they control through
surveillance, firepower and the ability to launch attacks from forward
positions. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has repeatedly cited an area of
roughly 700 square kilometers. But developments on the ground paint a more
complex picture: Israeli control varies from troops stationed at fixed positions
to mobile incursions and firepower dominance over much wider areas. Military
assessments suggest the area is far from a uniform security belt stretching from
the Mediterranean coast to Mount Hermon. Its depth varies sharply across
sectors, shaped by terrain, commanding heights and routes of movement.
Israeli troops and military vehicles are stationed in some areas. Others
have no permanent Israeli military presence but remain under aerial surveillance
or within striking range, allowing forces to operate there without maintaining
troops on the ground.
Single Front
Defense and security expert Riad Kahwaji told Asharq Al-Awsat that Israel views
Lebanon and the Golan Heights as "a single front" stretching from Mount Hermon
to the Mediterranean coast at Naqoura and Bayada, despite crossing two
countries. "From its perspective, Israel is establishing a security belt along
its northern border," Kahwaji said, adding that the belt is "no longer confined
to areas south of the Litani River but has extended north of it in some
locations."Geography helps explain why. "The
geographical scope has effectively expanded beyond the area south of the Litani,
particularly from the direction of Metula, where the river is only about seven
kilometers away, compared with roughly 30 kilometers between Naqoura and the
Litani," he said. That difference, Kahwaji explained, means the security belt
can extend north of the Litani in some areas without maintaining the same depth
across the entire border. The river, therefore, is not a uniform dividing line
between northern and southern operational zones. Distances vary, and geography
dictates how far Israeli troops or firepower can reach. Kahwaji drew a
distinction between occupying territory and controlling it through surveillance
and firepower. He said Israel relies on about 20 military positions, each
capable of accommodating a small force, while drones continuously monitor
movements deeper inside the area. "Each position could accommodate a
company-sized force, while drones operate continuously farther behind these
positions to monitor movements," he said.
"When drones detect movement, it is targeted by artillery or an airstrike.
Alternatively, a patrol can be dispatched from one of these positions toward the
location where the movement was detected within what is known as the yellow
belt."That, he said, is what control through firepower means.
"It does not require an extensive military presence throughout the entire
belt. Instead, it relies on specific military positions, continuous surveillance
through drones and firepower, and the ability to target any movement or dispatch
a patrol." The result is a military footprint that extends well beyond the
positions troops physically occupy. From elevated or fortified positions, forces
can monitor surrounding roads and towns, strike targets or send patrols without
establishing permanent bases in every location.
From the Coast to Beaufort Castle
The pattern is visible across southern Lebanon. In the west, Israeli operations
extend from Naqoura and the coastal sector into areas that have recently faced
incursions, demolitions and repeated shelling, including Mansouri and its
surroundings. Farther east, central-sector towns such as Beit Yahoun, Hadatha,
Haris and Aita al-Jabal have experienced varying degrees of Israeli military
activity or attacks, though the level of troop presence differs. The reach of
operations extends farther inland toward Beaufort Castle and the Ali al-Taher
heights. There, elevated terrain offers commanding
views over wider areas toward Nabatieh, Iqlim al-Tuffah and surrounding movement
routes. The result is a zone of control shaped less by a continuous border strip
than by strategic elevations and the areas they overlook.
Could Israeli Operations Reach the Awali River?
Retired Brigadier General Fadi Daoud offered a broader assessment of where
Israeli operations could extend, arguing that control of high ground may
determine the limits of any advance. "What is clear in
southern Lebanon is that the expansion could reach the Awali River. Even if it
does not, forces will remain positioned on the heights overlooking the river,"
Daoud told Asharq Al-Awsat.He said such a deployment could also encompass Rihan
and areas around Jezzine, particularly Kfarhouna. "The western boundary will be
the Awali River," he said, identifying geographical control, especially over
commanding heights, as the key factor shaping military movements. Holding
elevated positions, he argued, would allow Israeli forces to dominate
lower-lying areas with firepower without maintaining troops throughout them.
"Geographical control will enable Israel to control the western Bekaa from the
right flank because it is already present on Mount Hermon. The western Bekaa has
effectively become a pocket between Mount Hermon and Rihan," Daoud said. "Israel
will establish positions there to control the Bekaa."
The Strategic Heights of Rihan and Iqlim al-Tuffah
Daoud said the potential advance could stretch from Mount Rihan toward the
heights of Iqlim al-Tuffah, including Mount Safi.
"It will move from Mount Rihan to the heights of Iqlim al-Tuffah, including
Mount Safi, where it will establish control over Hezbollah's stronghold in Iqlim
al-Tuffah, as well as Sidon, eastern Sidon and the Awali River," he said.
For Daoud, terrain is the determining factor. "Geography is fixed, and
Israel will follow it," he said, stressing that forces positioned on high ground
can control areas below through firepower without deploying throughout them. He
argued that Israeli control of Mount Hermon would leave the western Bekaa
militarily exposed as far as Qaraoun. "Its control of Mount Hermon makes the
western Bekaa militarily vulnerable as far as Qaraoun," he said.Mount Hermon, he
explained, overlooks two major areas: the western Bekaa to the west and Daraa in
Syria to the east. Both, he said, "will form pockets"
on either side of the mountain. The two military assessments point to a central
distinction in the debate over the 700-square-kilometer area: the territory
Israel can monitor, strike or enter is not necessarily territory it physically
occupies. Commanding heights, observation posts, fields of fire and the ability
to deploy patrols can extend military control far beyond fixed positions, even
as the scale of Israel's actual troop presence varies from one sector to
another. Israeli Drone Strike, Demolitions Hit Southern Lebanonز
Meanwhile, Israeli military operations continued across southern Lebanon
on Friday. An Israeli drone struck a roundabout in
Kfar Tebnit, in the Nabatieh district, with preliminary reports indicating
casualties. At the same time, Israeli troops carried out two demolitions, one on
the outskirts of Kfar Tebnit and another in Mansouri in the Tyre district.
Israeli forces also set fire to wooded areas in Qantara and swept Wadi
al-Hujeir with machine-gun fire. An Israeli drone dropped a stun grenade near
Kfarshouba, while low-flying drones were reported over Beirut's southern
suburbs, Tyre and surrounding areas.
What lies behind the change in official attire during
the President’s and his ministers’ visit to Tripoli today?
Colonel Charbel barakat/October24/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/10/158549/
Today, the President of the Republic, General Joseph Aoun, paid an official
visit to the city of Tripoli, accompanied by a number of ministers and members
of parliament, and with the participation of religious figures and local Tripoli
dignitaries. He toured the Rashid Karami International Fair, where he delivered
a speech praising the city’s historical and national role. We do not intend here
to comment on what was said in the speech, nor on the visit itself; rather, what
caught our attention was the attire adopted by the official visitors—starting
with the President and the rest of the ministers, down to the majority of
attendees. Namely, the absence of neckties from the adopted formal attire (a
suit and white shirt with a collar, but without a necktie)—resembling, to an
extent, the behavior of Iranians immediately following the success of the 1979
revolution, when a fatwa from Khomeini banned neckties on the grounds that they
imitated Western civilization.
Has President Aoun committed to this look, with instructions generalized to the
official attendees, simply to appease the "Iranian Party" group and signal that
the visit is not an expression of support for Sunni Tripoli against Shia
dominance?
We know that protocol—especially during the presidency of a former military
commander—is strictly observed down to its finest details. Hence the question:
this could hardly be a coincidence, like the occasional appearance of the leader
of the Lebanese Forces party on television interviews without a tie and with an
unshaven beard, or his advisor, MP Melhem Riachi, occasionally adopting a
Mandarin collar shirt (resembling official Iranian attire), perhaps to curry
favor with the Party during political negotiations. However, for the
Presidential Palace to issue instructions distributed to all invitees—sparing
only MP Ashraf Rifi and a few local figures who did not receive the directive—is
an important indicator worth dwelling upon, and hence this inquiry.
We believe that President Aoun undoubtedly knows what is happening on the ground
and senses that the Iranian era is waning. Why, then, does he continue to cater
so heavily to the feelings of those who destroyed the country, demolished
villages, displaced residents, and prevented the state from recovering,
especially at this critical time? Does the President believe that the internal
balance between Shias and Sunnis must be preserved so that events do not take a
different turn—leaving us to escape Shia extremism (which Israel will bring to
an end) only to fall into Sunni extremism (which will be backed by the Syria of
Ahmed Al Sharaa and the Ottoman regime of Erdoğan behind it)?
Our reading of the situation certainly differs from that of many in Lebanon. We
advocate for a capable state where nothing reigns above the law and where no
faction is allowed to overreach. The world has had enough of bigotry and
sabotage in the name of religion and sect; it is time—starting with the Middle
East—to enjoy civilizational advancements and scientific discoveries that
contribute to human well-being, reduce fanaticism, and foster openness. The
stability of the country will not require a balance of terror, rearmament, or
confrontations between those
entrenched behind old-world slogans—the remnants of which must be addressed with
a modern, open-minded mentality grounded in cooperation and development,
reinterpreting various (if not backward) doctrines that used faith for the
interests of rulers and imposed their control through violence and subjugation,
perpetuating their decline.
We know that advisors in the Presidential Palace were the ones who formulated
these instructions and imposed them on the President and ministers, and we
understand why some chose not to participate in this visit. However, we address
the person sitting in the presidential chair, hoping he will open his eyes to
see how his image is being tarnished—from the Army leadership’s reluctance to
execute the expected plans, to circumventing laws and decisions, and acting with
cowardice in the face of evildoers who remain undeterred despite their relatives
being killed and their communities' homes and livelihoods destroyed, while still
leading people toward a mirage, deluding them that aid is coming and victory is
near.
We wish to believe in the President’s good intentions regarding his visit to
Tripoli, but we also want him to remove the blindfold placed before his eyes so
he can see more clearly. He must act as a leader responsible for protecting the
country, safeguarding the Constitution, and continuing to move toward final
peace and joining the regional project for normalization among all its
states—starting with our neighbor, Israel—which alone will save Lebanon, restore
prosperity to the South, and grant its residents peace and stability.
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published on October 24-25/2026
(Some of the News reports below are
translated from Arabic by AI)
Iran Reportedly in ‘Advanced Stages’ of Planning Attacks Against
Americans
Washington/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Iran has "substantially increased" its efforts to target Americans in the Middle
East and beyond, US national intelligence chief Jay Clayton has warned. The US
government has put employees on heightened alert across the Middle East and
moved to reduce personnel levels at embassies and consulates, officials said
Friday. "We have received intelligence that Iran has substantially increased
efforts to target US personnel," Clayton said in a memo sent to Secretary of
State Marco Rubio, according to a US official. "The lethal plotting efforts by
the Iranians against US citizens have reached advanced stages in both the Middle
East and certain other countries," said the memo, which was first reported by
Axios. The US official said: "When it comes to our staffing at embassies, we
constantly evaluate new information about the security environment."Trump
suggested on Friday that the US might launch renewed military operations against
Iran."We may do another little Epic Fury" Trump said, referring to the US name
for its attacks on Iran. He did not give any indication on timing. The conflict
began in late February with US-Israeli attacks on Iran, killing the country's
supreme leader, along with senior military commanders.
The United States and Israel have drawn up plans for a new wave of strikes on
Iran after the US midterm elections, though Trump has not made a final decision
to carry them out, The New York Times reported on Wednesday.
Iranian president to meet Putin in Moscow
Agence France Presse/24 October/2026
Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian will meet his Russian counterpart Vladimir
Putin in Moscow next week, Iranian media reported. Pezeshkian is due to visit
Russia for a meeting of gas-exporting countries. Russia and Iran, two of the
most sanctioned nations on earth, have grown closer together in the years since
Moscow launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. "The
Iranian president will visit Moscow to attend the summit of gas-exporting
countries that will take place on Tuesday October 27," the Tasnim news agency
reported, citing Tehran's ambassador to the country, Kazem Jalali. The two
leaders will discuss economic cooperation as well as "questions of geopolitics",
Jalali was quoted as saying. On Friday, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi
signalled that talks between Tehran and Moscow would take place next week with
both presidents in attendance. His Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov visited
Iran this week for the first time since the start of the Middle East war, with
Araghchi declaring Russo-Iranian cooperation closer than ever. In early October,
Putin said Russia was prepared to take part in mediation to bring an end to the
war started by the US and Israel in February. Negotiations between Washington
and Tehran have been stalled for months, with both the U.S. and Israel
threatening to resume their strikes on Iran.
US spy chief warns Iran has ramped up efforts to target
Americans
Agence France Presse/24 October/2026
Iran has "substantially increased" its efforts to target Americans in the Middle
East and beyond, U.S. national intelligence chief Jay Clayton has warned. The
warning comes after Washington ordered non-essential U.S. embassy staff and
their families to leave Saudi Arabia this week, following increasing attacks
from Yemen's Houthis. The kingdom has come under near-daily attacks this month
from the Iran-backed group, including a strike on Riyadh's international airport
that was the kingdom's deadliest in years. "We have received intelligence that
Iran has substantially increased efforts to target U.S. personnel," Clayton said
in a memo sent to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, according to a US official.
"The lethal plotting efforts by the Iranians against U.S. citizens have reached
advanced stages in both the Middle East and certain other countries," said the
memo, which was first reported by Axios. Washington previously ordered
non-essential staff to leave the Gulf ahead of the start of its war against Iran
and again in July before US President Donald Trump called off a new wave of
strikes. The U.S. official said: "When it comes to our staffing at embassies, we
constantly evaluate new information about the security environment."
"The threat of Houthi attacks and of Iranian terror plots targeting US officials
are informing our decisions," the official added. Trump suggested on Friday that
the US might launch renewed military operations against Iran. "We may do another
little Epic Fury" Trump said, referring to the U.S. name for its attacks on
Iran. He did not give any indication on timing. The conflict began in late
February with U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran, killing the country's supreme
leader, along with senior military commanders.
Iran’s Pezeshkian blames US for interim deal failure, urges
new try
Reuters/24 October/2026
Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian, in remarks broadcast on state TV on
Saturday, blamed the United States for the failure of an interim deal with Iran,
but said there should be a new attempt at concluding it.“We were having
negotiations, the cowards (Americans) messed everything up...I still think we
should go and conclude it,” Pezeshkian said.
Iran says US military not allowed to enter Gulf 'under any
circumstances'
Agence France Presse/24 October/2026
Iran said on Saturday that U.S. military ships would never be allowed to enter
the Gulf "under any circumstances" and President Donald Trump will "take that
dream to his grave". The remarks came amid mounting U.S. and Israeli threats of
renewed attacks on Iran, as US ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack warned that
Washington could "absolutely" strike Iran as soon as this weekened. "We will not
allow U.S. military ships in the Persian Gulf under any circumstances and at any
time," said Iran's armed forces chief of staff Ali Abdollahi, according to
Iranian state television. "The U.S. president must dream of seeing the armed
forces enter the Persian Gulf. He will take that dream to his grave."Iranian
forces have restricted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital energy
conduit and gateway to the Gulf, since the war with the United States broke out
on February 28. In retaliation, the United States has imposed a counterblockade
on Iranian ports and ships. Tehran has required vessels to seek permission to
transit, and repeatedly targeted ships attempting to pass through Hormuz via a
southern route close to the Omani coast. According to the Guards, several
tankers attempting to transit Hormuz through the route Tehran considers
"illegal" were hit by mines in recent days. On Friday, the Guards said two
supertankers carrying more than 4.5 million barrels of crude oil have been
abandoned at sea after hitting mines in the strategic waterway. "Their engine
rooms were disabled by an explosion and a fierce fire," the Guards said in a
statement carried by their Sepah News website.
In peacetime, around a fifth of the world's oil and gas passed through Hormuz.
US could strike Iran this weekend, Barrack says
Agence France Presse/24 October/2026
The United States could strike Iran as soon as this weekend, a U.S. envoy said,
after mounting threats by both Washington and Israel. "Could there be a strike
this weekend? Absolutely," Tom Barrack, the US ambassador to Turkey and point
man on Syria who does not have a direct role on Iran, told podcast host Mario
Nawfal. President Donald Trump "is very clear. He's open and available and
accessible to a deal and we've been at the table for months and months and
months," Barrack said in an interview as he visited the Gulf. Trump, a business
partner and friend of Barrack, downplayed the remarks when asked to confirm an
attack could come this weekend. "That was my ambassador? He's a pretty powerful
man, I guess. If that's the case, I don't know anything about it," Trump told
reporters in Florida. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who faces
elections Tuesday, has in recent days repeatedly vowed to topple the clerical
state in Iran, following two major bombing campaigns against it since last year.
Trump has also signalled an openness to resuming strikes after a long deadlock
in diplomacy, although he earlier said it would not happen before U.S.
congressional elections on November 3. Barrack, in remarks that contradict
Netanyahu, said the U.S. was not looking to topple the Islamic republic, a sworn
enemy of the United States and Israel since a 1979 revolution toppled the
pro-Western shah. "If you keep threatening the world, our allies, the Gulf,
there will be a consequence. The consequence won't be regime change," Barrack
said. "The United States -- the president of the United States -- has said he's
not interested in regime change," he added. "The problem with regime change
always is, what's the day-two scenario?"
Signs point to renewed major US military ops against Iran
Agence France Presse/24 October/2026
The United States appears to be preparing to resume large-scale strikes against
Iran, but there is unlikely to be a military solution for either side in the
devastating conflict, experts say. Washington and Tehran's forces have settled
into a pattern of strikes on commercial ships, with the United States seeking to
enforce a blockade of Iran's ports and the Islamic republic trying to exert
control over the key Strait of Hormuz waterway. Neither country has engaged in
major attacks on land-based targets since early September, but that may soon
change. "I'm banking now on the likelihood of strikes shortly after the
midterms," said Suzanne Maloney, director of the foreign policy program at the
Brookings Institution, referring to November 3 elections in the United States.
She pointed to potential signs including the movement of additional U.S.
military assets and troops to the Middle East, warnings issued to Americans in
the region, and a high alert status for Israeli forces. Additionally, President
Donald Trump "came out publicly and said that he wouldn't strike before the
midterms," and "it wouldn't seem to help him at the polls to do so," Maloney
said.
The U.S.-Israeli war against Iran is largely unpopular in the United States,
especially because it has sharply driven up fuel prices, and is likely to be a
drag on Trump's Republican Party in the key vote. "Fundamentally, the situation
isn't sustainable in its current state," Maloney said, noting that the U.S.
blockade is "creating greater pain for the Iranians," while Washington has a
large number of naval assets tied up in enforcing it.Trump said Friday that "we
may do another little Epic Fury" -- the name for the U.S. operation against Iran
that was launched in late February -- if Tehran does not make a deal, but gave
no indication on timing.
'Impossible to predict'
Jason Campbell, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, said there have
"certainly been recent signs that renewed strikes may be in the offing," or that
"the U.S. is expecting strikes carried out by Iran" or their Houthi allies in
Yemen. He noted the planned deployment of the USS Theodore Roosevelt to the
Middle East -- which could at least temporarily bring the number of carrier
strike groups there to three -- as well as the decision to dispatch another
Marine Expeditionary Unit to the region. Campbell also said Israeli warplanes
recently carried out a "show of force" mimicking previous strikes on Iran, and
noted that U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth had met with Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel. However, "timing here is impossible to predict,"
he said of renewed strikes, while noting that "this is admittedly an expansive
set of actions to take if the intent is to simply pressure Iran to the
negotiating table."Campbell said Trump's options are more limited than they were
earlier in the conflict, with damage to U.S. bases in the region having made any
potential ground operation more difficult. "At this point, there is no safe
place to stage the thousands (in some scenarios tens of thousands) of forces
that would be required for such an operation," he said. Maloney meanwhile said
that "most of the conventional military sites (in Iran) have already been
heavily degraded" by previous strikes, meaning any new campaign will likely
"entail more strikes on civilian infrastructure and targets that impact the
Iranian population."But that -- or any type of military action -- is unlikely to
bring about a resolution to the conflict. "From the start... this has been a war
that can't be ended with further escalation on either side," Maloney said.
Campbell agreed, saying: "I do not see how renewed strikes on Iran akin to the
first fifty days of the war will move the strategic needle for the Iranian
regime." "They have demonstrated a willingness to absorb a significant amount of
physical pain and even some alterations to targeting that includes key mixed or
even civilian infrastructure will not significantly change this," he added.
Death toll in Jordan church shooting rises to nine
Al Arabiya English/23 October/2026
The death toll from the shooting at a church in southern Jordan has risen to
nine, Jordanian public security directorate announced Saturday. The gunmen
wounded dozens after they stormed the compound of a Greek Orthodox church in the
village of Hammoud in al-Karak governorate and opened fire. The king has vowed
retaliation for the rare attack on Christians in the majority Sunni Muslim
kingdom. The gunmen got out of a vehicle and started shooting during a funeral
procession, the public security directorate said in a statement, adding that a
manhunt was underway for the perpetrators. “The terrorist attack against Karak
will be met with the harshest retaliation,” King Abdullah II said in an
English-language post on X. “We will strike with an iron fist against those who
dare to threaten our nation.” According to images from state broadcaster al-Mamlaka,
the king arrived in al-Karak on Friday evening. After authorities gave a death
toll of six, Director of Public Security Major General Abdullah Al-Maaytah said
it had risen to seven with 34 injured, 27 of whom were still receiving
treatment. Footage aired by al-Mamlaka showed the moment of the attack. Two
gunmen are seen dressed in casual clothes and brandishing pistols, with a third
carrying a long gun, before they open fire on the church from an entrance on the
street and charge forwards. “A terrorist group has carried out a horrific act,
one that is condemned in every respect, and the security services are working
round the clock to track them down,” Interior Minister Mazen al-Faraya told a
press conference.“Jordan has been targeted by a terrorist attack carried out by
a group of extremists.”He said the perpetrators had “absolutely no connection
whatsoever to human values” and it “only serves to strengthen the Jordanians’
resolve... to combat and fight terrorism in all its forms.”Minister of
Government Communications Mohammed Al-Momani said security forces were
investigating the attack. A witness told al-Mamlaka the gunmen fired
continuously for five minutes before fleeing the scene.Between 150 and 200
people were in and around the church at the time, the witness said, adding that
most of the victims were aged between 50 and 70. Al-Karak is home to a
significant Christian community in the Muslim-majority kingdom, where Christians
make up between two and three percent of the population.
The Greek Orthodox Archdiocese in Jordan said that if the attack was aimed at
driving out Christians from the holy land, “it will only make us cling to it
more firmly and deepen our roots in it.” “We are absolutely certain that
Jordanian society will remain impervious to every dark, extremist ideology, and
that this criminal act is far removed from - and alien to - the moderate Islam
of our country,” it said. Attacks on houses of worship in Jordan are rare. In
2016 an attack in Karak targeted a security centre and police patrols, leaving
10 people dead. The victims included seven security personnel and a female
tourist, before four militants who had barricaded themselves inside al-Karak’s
historic castle were killed. With Agencies
Jordan’s King Abdullah orders security review, vows firm
response to church attack
Al Arabiya English/24 October/2026
Jordan’s King Abdullah II has ordered a comprehensive security assessment of how
authorities respond to terrorist acts and called for a review of policies to
combat extremist ideology following a church attack, the Royal Court said. The
monarch directed relevant authorities to respond firmly to the attack and pursue
those responsible, while intensifying efforts to cut off the sources of
extremist ideology. King Abdullah also called for a comprehensive assessment of
the mechanisms used to deal with terrorist acts. The Jordanian monarch urged
authorities to take a firm stance, directing them to “respond firmly and strike
with an iron fist.” He also called for the prosecution of anyone who supported
or justified the church attack, the Royal Court said.With Reuters
Terrorist Attack on Church in Jordan's Karak Leaves
Dozens Dead, Wounded
Amman/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Jordan's King Abdullah II vowed to impose the "harshest penalties" on those
responsible for an attack on a church in Karak, southern Jordan, that left
dozens of people dead and wounded. The king visited
people injured in the "terrorist attack" and checked on their condition,
according to the Jordan News Agency. The Jordanian monarch stressed the need to
confront the perpetrators of the terrorist attack in Karak with the harshest
penalties, expressing confidence that those who believed their treacherous
bullets could divide Jordanians would see their efforts fail. He reaffirmed the
strength and unity of the Jordanian people. In a post on X, the king said: "All
Jordanians, from the north of the country to the south, share the same land and
stand united, and no act of treachery will divide them." King Abdullah offered
condolences to the families of those killed and wished the wounded a speedy
recovery. "Every Jordanian life is precious, and we will deal with an iron fist
with anyone who attacks this country," he said. In Hamoud village in Karak
Governorate, about 150 kilometers south of the capital, Amman, two gunmen opened
fire indiscriminately with automatic rifles, killing several people and wounding
dozens, some critically.
The village is home to the Christian Al Halasa clan, one of the largest
Christian clans in the governorate.Surveillance footage from outside the church,
widely circulated online, showed the two gunmen carrying out the attack. A third
armed man also appeared in the footage but apparently did not manage to fire his
weapon.
Eyewitness Account
An eyewitness described to Asharq Al-Awsat the horrifying scenes experienced by
people near the church. At approximately 2:15 p.m. local time in Amman, two
armed men entered and opened fire. Bloodshed quickly engulfed the area, with
bodies lying outside the church before the scene of the massacre extended into
the church's nave. One eyewitness, who had been standing at the church entrance,
said he initially struggled to comprehend what was happening. He realized the
gravity of the attack only when a bullet missed him and struck his cousin, who
was standing beside him, in the chest. His cousin died in his arms. The witness
described being overwhelmed by shock and confusion as his cousin died in his
arms while his mother remained inside the church.
Realizing that death surrounded the building, he rushed through gunfire coming
from every direction in an attempt to rescue his mother, even if it meant
sacrificing his own life. "The shooting went on for a long time, and no one
managed to stop the two gunmen," he said. The scenes described by the eyewitness
were documented in dozens of videos circulated on social media. The attack was
unprecedented in Jordan, targeting members of the Christian community in Karak,
a governorate known for its tradition of coexistence between Muslims and
Christians.
Who Were the Attackers?
Jordanian Interior Minister Mazin Al Farrayeh subsequently declared that the
country was confronting "a terrorist operation carried out by a group of
extremists who committed a horrific act."Public Security Director Maj. Gen.
Obaidallah Maaytah later announced that the death toll had risen to seven, with
27 people wounded. The church had been receiving mourners attending a funeral
service for a member of the clan and was crowded with people paying their
respects. The gathering made it easier for the
attackers to inflict a large number of casualties among villagers who
traditionally come together for such occasions. Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat
that the two attackers, who fled the scene, were residents of Karak Governorate
and adherents of extremist takfiri ideology. They were reportedly aware of the
location and timing of the funeral service, indicating that the attack had been
premeditated. The sources confirmed that the identities of the two attackers had
been established and that security forces were continuing to search for them and
other suspects believed to be involved in a terrorist cell. They added that
entrances and exits to the governorate had been secured to prevent the suspects
from escaping. Maj. Gen. Maaytah confirmed that authorities possessed
information about the perpetrators of the terrorist attack but said it was
premature to disclose the suspects' names. He also declined to set a deadline
for their arrest. "We cannot specify a timeframe for concluding the operation
because it depends on the nature of the situation," he said. This is not the
first time Karak has experienced a terrorist attack.
Residents still recall the events at Karak Castle in December 2016, when
security forces pursued ISIS members who subsequently barricaded themselves
inside the historic fortress, where weapons had been concealed. During that
incident, hostages were held inside the castle, and the operation lasted more
than 15 hours. According to the account, 14 people, including security
personnel, civilians and a foreign tourist, were killed, while many others near
the castle were wounded. All four militants involved in the attack were also
killed.
Israel launches major West Bank operation after soldiers
killed
AFP/24 October/2026
Israel’s military launched an operation in the occupied West Bank on Friday it
said would last several days and include searches and building demolitions,
after gunmen killed two soldiers days ahead of Israeli elections in which
security has been a key focus. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is locked in a
tight race to keep his job in Tuesday’s vote, having campaigned on promises to
keep Israelis safe, and he and his right-wing allies visited the scene of the
attack to pledge an even harder line on West Bank militancy. Security forces
were searching targets and questioning suspects to “locate and dismantle
terrorist infrastructure” in the Hebron area from they said the attackers had
emerged, according to a joint statement from the Israeli military and Shin Bet
domestic security agency. Forces were also “demolishing illegal structures that
could pose a security threat at the site of the encounter,” they said, adding
that “counterterrorism operations” were underway at dozens of locations. The
operation “is expected to continue for several days,” the statement, released
late on Friday, said. Militant group Hamas, without claiming responsibility,
praised Friday’s fatal attack on two Israeli soldiers as a “heroic operation”
and called on supporters to carry out more. A Hebron-based AFP photographer
heading to another assignment witnessed the gun battle break out at the Farsh
al-Hawa checkpoint between the soldiers and two Palestinian men armed with a
handgun and an automatic rifle.
Israeli forces eventually shot dead the attackers. Netanyahu credited the
soldiers with having “prevented what could have been a major attack,” and
ordered a lockdown in the West Bank. Visiting Hebron, the premier said he and
Defense Minister Israel Katz were “considering a very extensive IDF operation in
Judea and Samaria, such as has not been carried out since” the 1967 war. The
first step would see Israeli forces “enter the neighborhood from which the
terrorists came, evacuate the residents, go from house to house, and destroy the
terrorist infrastructure,” he said. The military would apply a model previously
used in refugee camps in the northern West Bank, he said, the scene of a
large-scale operation launched in January 2025 that the United Nations said
forcibly displaced thousands. Israeli rights group B’Tselem called for urgent
international pressure to prevent Israel from “plans for collective punishment
and acts that could constitute war crimes.”UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres
through a spokesman voiced concern over Israeli closures that affect Palestinian
livelihoods and called for a halt to violence on all sides.
‘Exactly like Gaza’
Far-right Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, who also holds a position
within the defense ministry, called for a large-scale military offensive in the
West Bank “exactly like in Gaza.”
He said authorities were “sending an unequivocal message to our enemies: if you
mess with the Jews, you will pay a very painful price.”National Security
Minister and far-right firebrand Itamar Ben Gvir said the Ramallah-based
“Palestinian Authority must be dismantled.”“It is impossible for there to be an
authority within Judea and Samaria that incites murder, calls for murder, and
works for murder,” he told reporters. No evidence suggests that the Palestinian
Authority - which exercises limited self-rule in parts of the West Bank - was
connected to Friday’s attack.
Both Ben Gvir and Smotrich are especially vocal champions of Israeli settlements
in the West Bank, which have proliferated under Netanyahu’s government but are
illegal under international law.Netanyahu vowed to “pursue Hamas terrorists”
everywhere, adding: “You have no place to hide.”Israel vowed to obliterate the
group in the wake of the October 7, 2023 attack that resulted in 1,221 deaths,
according to an AFP tally from official Israeli figures, in what was the
deadliest day in the country’s history. Gadi Eisenkot, the former army chief who
is Netanyahu’s top rival in the upcoming vote, said he was praying for soldiers
wounded in Friday’s shooting. The operation comes as tensions soar in the West
Bank, including over attacks by extremist Israeli settlers against Palestinian
olive harvesters. According to an AFP tally based on data from the Palestinian
health ministry, Israeli forces and settlers have killed 1,117 Palestinians in
the territory since the start of the Gaza war in October 2023. Israeli figures
show at least 51 Israelis, including civilians and security personnel, have been
killed in Palestinian attacks or during Israeli military operations during the
same period.
US Embassy Says Security Ramped up in Jordan after
Deadly Church Attack
REUTERS/Alaa Al Sukhni/October 24/2026
The US embassy in Amman said security had been stepped up at malls, foreign
embassies and other locations across Jordan after Friday's attack on a church in
Jordan that authorities described as a terrorist act by extremists. Seven people
were killed and dozens were injured when gunmen opened fire during a funeral at
a Greek Orthodox church in Karak governorate, the head of Jordan's Public
Security Directorate said. There was no immediate claim of responsibility.
Such attacks are extremely rare in Jordan, though authorities in the US
ally say that in recent years they have repeatedly foiled attempted attacks by
extremist militants. Authorities said they are still searching for the
attackers, adding it was too early to determine whether they had links to known
groups inside or outside Jordan. "This is a result of a terrorist ideology and
blind extremism and we will not allow society to go down this path," Prime
Minister Jafar Hassan said in a post on X hours after the violence. Jordan's
King Abdullah visited Karak hours after the attack and said the perpetrators
would be punished "with an iron fist". Christians make up a minority of Jordan's
population. The country is home to several biblical sites that attract Christian
pilgrims from around the world.
Netanyahu Says Palestinian Authority in for 'Big Surprise'
Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that the Palestinian Authority
(PA) was in for a "big surprise" after he ordered a major military operation in
response to an attack on soldiers in the West Bank. Netanyahu, days ahead of
elections, declined to answer directly when he was asked if he would dismantle
the Palestinian Authority but said he favored "ruse and surprise.”"We
transformed the Middle East. I said that we would change things and we have,"
Netanyahu told i24News in an interview conducted late Friday. "There is a very
big surprise for the Palestinian Authority as well."Netanyahu on Friday promised
a massive military response after Palestinian militants killed two Israeli
soldiers near Hebron in the occupied West Bank. One of his far-right allies
called after the attack for Israel to bring down the Palestinian Authority, the
semi-autonomous body that governs parts of the West Bank in cooperation with
Israel as part of peace accords in the 1990s. No evidence suggests that the PA
was connected to Friday's attack.
Saudi-led coalition intercepts ballistic missile
launched towards Riyadh
Al Arabiya English/24 October /2026
The Saudi-led coalition fighting Yemen’s Houthis said on Saturday it had
intercepted a ballistic missile launched towards Riyadh by the Iran-backed
group.An early warning system was activated to alert residents to a potential
threat, the Saudi civil defense said.“Air defenses intercepted and destroyed a
ballistic missile launched by the Houthi terrorist militia toward Riyadh,”
coalition spokesman Turki al-Malki posted on X. A drone was also intercepted in
the country’s Eastern Province, al-Malki said in an earlier post on Saturday.
Saudi Arabia has come under sustained attack from the Iran-backed group this
month, including a strike on Riyadh’s international airport that was the
country’s deadliest in years. Following a four-year truce, fighting reignited in
Yemen in July, months into the US-Iran conflict that has plunged the wider
region into crisis.The Yemen conflict has killed hundreds of thousands of people
in one of the world’s poorest countries, which was already suffering a vast
humanitarian crisis. With AFP
Debris from two intercepted Houthi ballistic missiles falls
in Mecca
Al Arabiya English/24 October/2026
Saudi Arabia intercepted two ballistic missiles launched by Yemen’s Houthi
militia toward the holy cities of Mecca and Medina, with debris from the
interceptions falling in several locations across the kingdom, according to
Saudi Civil Defense. Parts of the two intercepted missiles fell in Wadi al-Mughammas
in Mecca, Saudi Civil Defense said. The authority also reported falling debris
in Wadi Jalil in Taif, the al-Nuzha neighborhood in Jeddah and Mastoura Center
in Rabigh, west of the kingdom.
Saudi intercepts two missiles aimed at Taif and Yanbu, alerts issued in Mecca
and Jeddah
Al Arabiya English/24 October/2026
The Saudi-led coalition fighting Yemen's Houthis said it destroyed two ballistic
missiles fired by the Iran-backed group towards Taif and Yanbu on Saturday, as
fighting between the sides continued. Saudi Arabia's Civil Defense on Saturday
briefly issued alerts warning of potential danger in Taif and Yanbu, as well as
the holy city of Mecca and its second-largest city Jeddah. Saudi Arabia’s civil
defense agency broadcast warnings of “potential danger” for four of its western
provinces, including that of Mecca, home to Islam’s holiest city, on Saturday.
The alerts were all rescinded minutes later. Residents were instructed to
“proceed to the nearest safe place” by the agency. The agency also repeated a
legal warning against sharing images or information related to “countering
missiles and drones.” This follows an earlier warning issued early Saturday as
the Saudi-led coalition intercepted a ballistic missile launched towards Riyadh
by the Iran-backed Houthis. A drone was also intercepted in the country’s
Eastern Province, al-Malki said in an earlier post on Saturday. With AFP
Houthis say targeted three Saudi airports, oil facilities,
pipeline in past day
LBCI/24 October/2026
Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis on Saturday said they targeted a range of Saudi
assets in the past 24 hours, listing three airports including capital Riyadh's,
two oil facilities, a pipeline and an air base.
Military spokesman Yahya Saree said the group targeted "King Khalid
International Airport in Riyadh, the capital of the Saudi enemy, in two phases",
the airports in Dammam in the east and Najran in the south. The group also
targeted the southern Khamis Mushait air base as well as "crude oil pumping
stations and the crude oil pipeline from east to west."AFP
Rubio Urges Cubans to Work with CIA, but Warns: Be Discreet
Washington/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Friday called for Cubans to make "discreet"
contact with the American intelligence services as Washington seeks to force an
end to the island's communist government. For months, President Donald Trump and
other senior US officials have openly hinted at a military intervention or
takeover of Cuba, ramping up economic, political and legal pressure on the
country. "To those who seek to create positive change
in Cuba -- now is the time," Rubio said on social media. "The disappointment of
failed promises, corruption, and the privileged lives of only a few; seize this
opportunity to create the change you desire through a discrete partnership with
the CIA."The unusual post appeared to confirm that the CIA is currently active
in Cuba after a long history of covert operations including backing the
disastrous Bay of Pigs invasion in 1961.The CIA later uploaded a video to X
offering instructions in Spanish for those who believe they have information of
interest to the intelligence agency, encouraging them to first and foremost
visit an official US installation in person if they can safely travel to one.For
those hoping to contact the CIA online via the cia.gov website, the agency
instructed users to access the internet on a secure network like a VPN using a
private browser and a burner email account unassociated with any personal
details. Those sharing information should be prepared
to include their city, job, level of access and contact information with their
message. Trump, speaking at a rally in Florida earlier
Friday, underlined his ambitions to impose regime change in Cuba."Those
beautiful (US military) ships will pass Cuba. We'll have one of them stop about
50 yards off the coast," he said. "They'll raise up their hands. And then we're
going to send Marco Rubio in to finish up the deal." Cuban Foreign Minister
Bruno Rodriguez quickly dismissed Trump's threats. "Our coastline is full of
beautiful beaches, but there are also razor-sharp limestone spikes, an
inhospitable environment for those who make it to our shores with hostile
purposes and lust for domination," he posted, according to AFP. In the latest US
move against the Cuban leadership, Florida's top prosecutor this week announced
an arrest warrant for former president Raul Castro on state murder charges that
echo a federal indictment unveiled earlier this year.
Castro, 95, is wanted on murder charges connected to the 1996 shooting down of
two civilian aircraft from "Brothers to the Rescue," an organization assisting
Cubans fleeing to the US state by sea. Castro, brother of the late revolutionary
leader and US nemesis Fidel Castro, was indicted on federal charges related to
the incident in May. Trump previously seized on a US indictment to justify
military action that toppled Venezuela's then-president Nicolas Maduro, a
staunch ally of the Cuban authorities. Current Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel
has said the US federal indictment against Castro has "no legal basis" and was
an attempt "to justify the folly of a military aggression against Cuba."
Washington also imposed a de facto energy blockade on Cuba in January,
threatening to sanction any country that supplies fuel to the island of 9.4
million people.
Clashes erupt in Paris after demonstration over cost of
living
AFP/24 October/2026
Clashes broke out in Paris late Saturday after a demonstration over the high
cost of living, with AFP reporters seeing police use batons and tear gas, and
officials saying a water cannon was also used. “The police started moving
towards everyone, telling them to get down and back off. They were just taking
people down, you know, beating protesters,” one demonstrator bleeding from a
baton blow, who gave his first name as David, told AFP.Nearly 800,000 people
took part in fresh nationwide demonstrations, with 250,000 in Paris, one of the
unions organizing the rallies, the CGT, said.Earlier, the Paris police had said
it estimated the turnout in the demonstration in the capital at 110,000
protesters. French police arrested “nearly 1,000” people Saturday in nationwide
protests, a number that “will rise” as more figures come in, Interior Minister
Laurent Nunez said.
Although marches over the cost of living “passed off well” in cities, officers
found themselves later confronted with “an extremely elevated level of violence”
from “ultra-left” groups, Nunez told journalists. Earlier on Saturday French
police seized a variety of weapons as they deployed for nationwide
demonstrations with orders to prevent renewed street violence, Nunez said.
Weapons confiscated included metal balls, lead pellets, fireworks, slingshots,
steel balls, improvised weapons, a katana and airsoft weapons, he said, while
adding that, so far, “there has been no major incident.”Police had started
firing tear gas at protesters, on a day of fresh nationwide demonstrations over
the high cost of living. Police in the southeast city of Lyon fired tear gas to
disperse some 150 protesters near the city center – where demonstrations had
been banned – when they briefly tried to block a road, an AFP journalist
saw.Elsewhere, authorities and rattled shopkeepers geared up for potential new
street violence. Near Paris’s Bastille neighborhood, a clothing store had
removed all its merchandise from shelves ahead of the demonstrations, while a
nearby restaurant was boarded up with signs insisting it was “still open.” Many
other retailers in the capital also had wooden boards covering their windows.
The Louvre and the Musee d’Orsay museums were closed. Police were seen readying
riot gear in zones that bore the brunt of last weekend’s clashes and looting.
They were among 70,000 security personnel the interior ministry said were
mobilized to counter the “high” threat of violence. “We will not tolerate any
unrest,” Interior Minister Laurent Nunez said on Friday, adding that calls had
been circulating on social media calling for violence and looting.
Protest against far-right party
Adding to tensions, far-right leader Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) party
was holding a weekend congress in the central city of Orleans to kick off her
campaign for elections in six months to choose President Emmanuel Macron’s
successor. Thousands of people yelling anti-fascist slogans marched on Saturday
against Le Pen, and also against Macron, a pro-business centrist leader. “Macron
resign. Le Pen in prison,” the crowd yelled. The violence last weekend and the
heightened tensions over this weekend’s demonstrations highlighted the febrile
atmosphere in France ahead of that vote, which Le Pen is best-placed, according
to surveys, to win. Last weekend saw rioters on the margins of the nationwide
demonstrations clash with police, vandalize public buildings and loot hundreds
of stores. Some 2,700 people were arrested and the retail sector said shop
owners were left with damage and stolen stock totaling hundreds of millions of
euros. Macron attributed the worst of the violence to “ultra-left” groups that
he said “want to bring down the republic.”Groups organizing Saturday’s renewed
demonstrations have accused Macron and his government of ignoring widespread
public anger over rising costs, and over classroom conditions for students.
Inflation in France, as elsewhere, has been sent surging by the Middle East war,
started in February by US President Donald Trump and Israel. Protests have also
been taking place in Italy, Belgium, Spain and Portugal over different issues,
yet with some overlap on inflation and education problems. Italy has sent 500
troops to try to quell street violence in Milan.
Boarded-up shops
In Paris, streets on Saturday were unusually quiet, with many shop windows
boarded up, and some of the bigger retailers sent messages to customers warning
that they were closed for the day. The capital’s police at the last minute
ordered a union-organized march in the city be moved from Bastille, in the
center-east, to the more remote eastern Porte d’Italie on the southern rim of
the capital. Unions said they reluctantly would go along with that. But the
Yellow Vest movement -- a loosely organized grouping that staged disruptive
street protests against Macron eight years ago -- indicated it would not comply.
Macron and his government have sought to draw a line between the legitimate
demands of protesters and the looting, burning and ransacking that erupted on
the sidelines of demonstrations last Saturday. Courts have already sent 217
people, half of them first-time offenders, to prison over the events on
Saturday, officials said. Macron has said authorities would accept only
union-led demonstrations and would counter any others they deemed “illegitimate.”Authorities
in Marseille had banned all protests but announced Friday that a union-organized
demonstration would be allowed on an “exceptional basis.”The restrictions,
including outright bans on protests in some cities, have drawn criticism.
Amnesty International denounced what it called “a slide toward authoritarian
practice,” saying the measures were “jeopardizing the right to demonstrate
peacefully.” “Police have a responsibility both to ensure that protests can take
place peacefully and safely and to protect the public from violent disorder,”
said Eva Cosse, senior Europe researcher at Human Rights Watch.
The Latest English LCCC analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on October 24-25/2026
If You Love This Country, When You
Vote, Consider the Policies That Islamist Sharia Ideology Demands
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/October 24/2026
When you go to vote in ten days, please keep in mind the many doctrines and
policies that are not just preferred but required by those who identify with the
ideologies of Islam. As someone who grew up in Iran
and Syria and experienced these realities, I have seen firsthand people who
identify with Islamist Sharia law. Islamists and jihadists do not treat Sharia
as one policy preference among many. It is not just their identity; it is what
they are committed to advancing as the sole identity for everyone.
Their entire sense of self, their purpose in this life, and their belief
about the next life depend on implementing Sharia completely. It outweighs
everything else. They will die for it. Changing this commitment would mean
changing who they are. It is like expecting the Pope to denounce Jesus on Easter
or a rabbi to down a pork chop on Yom Kippur — only more — to the zillionth
power. Nothing external — prosperity, compromise, or democratic norms — can
override it. As we were taught for years and saw with
our own eyes, Islamist Sharia law stands in complete contradiction to American
values in every major respect. The very reason that the United States grew and
became a superpower in technology, the economy, and influence is that its
founding values run directly in opposition to Islamist Sharia.
Just look at countries taken over by Islamic ideology: Afghanistan, Turkey,
Syria, Pakistan, and Iran are clear examples. If
someone truly believes in Islamic Sharia law, they must follow it point by
point. One of the central points is the rejection of free speech. Just look at
Pakistan's blasphemy laws. One can be killed not only for criticizing Islam,
Mohammed or Sharia, but even for the suspicion that you might have done so. The
slighted questioning of the religion or the rulers who claim to implement
Allah's will makes you a blasphemer or an infidel, the punishment for which can
be death. In countries where Islamists have taken
power, people are imprisoned, tortured, raped and executed for words or online
posts. Asia Bibi spent eight years on death row in Pakistan for taking a few
sips of water from a well on a hot day, and, because she is Christian, thereby
having contaminated it. Supporting people identified with this Sharia means
supporting people who do not believe in freedom of speech or, it seems, freedom
of much else — especially individual rights. If you
are raped you are guilty of committing adultery and can be stoned to death —
unless four males who could testify have witnessed the attack! If you are gay,
you must be thrown to your death from a high place. Apostasy — leaving Islam —
is punishable by death. A person raised in this system is taught that conversion
is not a private choice; it is a capital offense. Do you really want someone who
genuinely believes that you should not be free to choose your own faith or your
own actions and choices holding power over your city, your state, or your
country — and seated on intelligence committees?
This same ideology holds that men are legally superior to women in inheritance,
testimony, and nearly every legal domain. Women are regarded as inferior by
doctrine and design. It is astonishing that some self-described, apparently
masochistic feminists and women's rights advocates still support policies that
so openly abuse them.The policy and priority of those committed to this
worldview is not the equal rights, prosperity, health, or livelihood of the
American people. Their priority and main policy consist of advancing and
imposing their Islamist version of Sharia. That is what they believe earns
rewards in this world and the next. Failure to pursue it makes them bad servants
of Allah. Few in Iran expected the sudden total
transformation that followed the advent of the ayatollahs. Once power was
secured, new laws appeared virtually overnight.
Similar patterns have already become entrenched in parts of the United Kingdom
and Europe. Only occasionally are there calls for
countermeasures. They usually amount to nothing -- both out of fear by the
leaders of violent opposition on the streets, as seen now in France and as far
as South Korea, or out fear of being abandoned at the altar of the ballot box.
Going backwards — fast — can happen here too.
Every election presents a choice between candidates, some of whom may be more
supportive of your individual freedoms than others. There are many candidates
whose primary loyalty is to the United States: they put America first, seek to
improve it, and defend its core constitutional values: freedom of speech and of
the press, equal justice under the law, the right to due process, separation of
powers, an independent judiciary, the right to keep and bear arms, and the full
range of the rights of individuals -- not groups.
Those individuals whose identity is bound to an Islamist framework, however, are
committed to implementing their version of Sharia law. Unfortunately, this
seventh-century version of justice will not improve our country or the West; it
will only move them backwards.As someone who grew up in Iran and Syria and
experienced these realities, I have seen firsthand people who identify with
Islamist Sharia law. Islamists and jihadists do not treat Sharia as one policy
preference among many. It is not just their identity; it is what they are
committed to advancing as the sole identity for everyone.
Their entire sense of self, their purpose in this life, and their belief
about the next life depend on implementing Sharia completely. It outweighs
everything else. They will die for it. Changing this commitment would mean
changing who they are. It is like expecting the Pope to denounce Jesus on Easter
or a rabbi to enjoy a pork chop on Yom Kippur – only more — to the zillionth
power. Nothing external — prosperity, compromise, or democratic norms — can
override it.
As we were taught for years and saw with our own eyes, Islamist Sharia law
stands in complete contradiction to American values in every major respect. The
very reason that the United States grew and became a superpower in technology,
the economy, and influence is that its founding values run directly in
opposition to Islamist Sharia. Look, for example, at
countries taken over by Islamic ideology: Afghanistan, Turkey, Syria, Pakistan,
and Iran are clear examples. Iran, for instance, possesses one of the world's
largest oil and gas reserves and should be wealthy. After the Shia Islamists
seized power and imposed their version of Sharia, the economy became one of the
worst performing for a resource-rich nation, and its citizens, ordinary people,
like you, have paid the price. Under Sharia, one
cannot have it both ways. If someone truly believes in Islamic Sharia law, they
must follow it point by point. One of the central points is the rejection of
free speech. Just look at Pakistan's blasphemy laws. One can be killed not only
for criticizing Islam, Mohammed or Sharia, but even for the suspicion that you
might have done so. The slighted questioning of the religion or the rulers who
claim to implement Allah's will makes you a blasphemer or an infidel, the
punishment for which can be death.
In countries where Islamists have taken power, people are imprisoned, tortured,
raped and executed for words or online posts. Asia Bibi spent eight years on
death row for taking a few sips of water from a well, and, because she is
Christian, of thereby having "contaminated" it. Supporting those people
identified with this Sharia means supporting people who do not believe in
freedom of speech or freedom of much else, especially individual rights.
There are few extenuating circumstances in Sharia. There is no freedom of
conscience. If you are raped you are guilty of committing adultery and can be
stoned to death — unless four males witnessed the incident! If you are gay, you
must be thrown to your death from a high place. Apostasy — leaving Islam — is
punishable by death. A person raised in that system is taught that conversion is
not a private choice; it is a capital offense. Do you really want someone who
genuinely believes that you should not be free to choose your own faith or your
own actions and choices holding power over your city, your state, or your
country – and seated on intelligence committees? This
same ideology holds that men are legally superior to women in inheritance,
testimony, and nearly every legal domain. Women are regarded as inferior by
doctrine and design. It is astonishing that some self-described, apparently
masochistic feminists and women's rights advocates still support policies that
so openly abuse them.
The policy and priority of those committed to this worldview is not the equal
rights, prosperity, health, or livelihood of the American people. Their priority
and main policy is advancing and imposing their Islamist version of Sharia. That
is what they believe earns rewards in this world and the next. Failure to pursue
it makes them bad servants of Allah. They will promise free electricity, free
everything, social benefits, and moderation — exactly as Ayatollah Ruhollah
Khomeini and others did before consolidating power. Once in power, the rules
change. This pattern is called taqiyya — dissimulation — the permission to
conceal true intentions and present a milder face until the moment of strength
arrives. It has happened in Afghanistan, Turkey, Syria, Pakistan and Iran, among
other places. It has been repeated elsewhere. Americans would do well to
recognize the pattern.
Wherever this ideology has taken control, countries that once had greater
openness and potential have sped backward. The process starts gradually —
gaining positions in education, government, building influence, and waiting.
Then the enforcement comes: mandatory dress codes, suppression of dissent, and
restrictions on faith and speech. Few in Iran expected the sudden total
transformation that followed the advent of the ayatollahs. Once power was
secured, new laws appeared virtually overnight.
Similar patterns have already become entrenched in the United Kingdom and parts
of Europe Informal Sharia councils have proliferated, supposedly handling "just"
personal and family matters — marriage, divorce, and inheritance according to
Islamic principles — but heaven help anyone who might try to protest a ruling.
These bodies lack all formal legal authority under national law and operate as
voluntary or advisory forums, yet their growth — estimated in the dozens across
Britain — has fueled parallel systems: unequal treatment of women in divorce and
inheritance rulings, and pressures against free expression or freedom of action.
Broader Islamist networks, including those associated with the Muslim
Brotherhood, have drawn attention in several European countries for violent
societal pressure, parallel communities, and increasing political pressure at
the ballot box that accompanies demographic proliferation. Only occasionally are
there calls for countermeasures. They usually amount to nothing -- both from
fear by the leaders of violent opposition on the streets, as seen now in France
and as far as South Korea, from fear of being abandoned at the altar of the
ballot box. Supporting candidates whose identity is
bound to Islamist Sharia law risks sending the country backward — for you, your
children, and your grandchildren. The examples around the world are clear: once
these forces reach significant numbers or high levels of power, they show their
true face. If you care about the values of the West, you would be better off
voting instead for people whose loyalty is to this country, whose identity is
not an imported Islamist ideology, and whose priority is the opportunity for a
freer, more prosperous life and constitutional guarantees that send America
forwards. Going backwards — fast — can happen here too.
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a political scientist, Harvard-educated analyst, and
board member of Harvard International Review. He has authored several books on
the US foreign policy. He can be reached at dr.rafizadeh@post.harvard.edu
*Follow Majid Rafizadeh on X (formerly Twitter)
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/22938/policies-that-sharia-demands
© 2026 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute.
The Church Massacre in Karak
Mamdouh al-Muhainy/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
The terrorists who stormed a church in the Jordanian city of Karak did not
simply wake up one morning and decide to attack the church and commit a horrific
massacre. They had absorbed extremist ideology until every trace of humanity had
been stripped from them, turning them into savages consumed by a thirst for
blood. What makes a person who was once an ordinary,
peaceful child become a terrorist who kills innocent people in cold blood,
believing that he is performing a righteous deed that will earn him a place in
paradise? There is only one answer, and no other:
religious hatred. The equation is clear, despite attempts to confuse and obscure
it. Religious hatred leads to extremism, and extremism leads to terrorism.
Eliminating religious hatred is the foundation of any solution. Without it, we
will continue to see terrorists emerge, time and again, in one country after
another.Reverse the equation, however, and the outcome changes. Building a
culture from the outset on genuine tolerance, not merely the appearance of it,
and respect for human dignity will raise well-adjusted children and foster a
healthy society that does not breed extremists and terrorists. In other words,
eliminating extremism is a necessary condition for eliminating terrorism.
Otherwise, we will remain trapped in a vicious cycle.
We have repeated the same story so often that it has become tiresome. Security
personnel perform heroic acts to prevent terrorists from committing massacres,
but they face an impossible task. They are like people trying to hold back the
waves of the sea with their bare hands. They cannot wrest the gun from a
terrorist's hand at the last possible moment every single time. Nor can security
forces prevent the spread of the culture of extremism and hatred propagated by
hardliners. That is neither within their power nor their responsibility.That
responsibility belongs to educational, religious and social institutions, as
well as families. Instilling tolerance in the minds and hearts of new
generations from the very beginning is one of the greatest responsibilities
governments must undertake.
It is no easy task, given the legacy of extremism that has taken shape over
recent decades as extremist groups and their rhetoric came to dominate Arab
societies through the media and education. But it is a
responsibility that cannot be avoided. Otherwise, we will witness more massacres
committed by terrorists who were once ordinary, well-adjusted children, but whom
we left vulnerable to extremist ideology until we ourselves became its victims.
Europe: Protests, the Far Right and a Struggling Economy
Emile Ameen/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
For nearly an entire year, from 1848 to 1849, Europe experienced what became
known as the "Spring of Nations" or the "Springtime of the Peoples," a wave of
revolutions and unrest that spread from France to some 50 European countries and
provinces. That period witnessed the most widespread
revolutionary wave in European history. Although predominantly political, with
democratic aspirations, the uprisings sought to dismantle old feudal structures
and establish independent nation-states. Historically,
what is striking is that the spark of Europe's first revolutionary spring came
from France. As the old saying goes, when Paris sneezes, the rest of Europe's
capitals catch a cold.Is Europe now entering an autumn that could rewrite the
history of that earlier spring?Any comparison requires a degree of historical
perspective. The scenes of violence unfolding across Europe today will not
necessarily develop into the kinds of revolutions that shook the European order
in the 19th century. This time, the forces driving
Europe's autumn of anger center on a crisis of confidence in ruling elites,
economic pressures that fuel social and humanitarian unrest, the rise of
nationalism and protests against traditional institutions.
Above all, in this writer's view, there is the recurring question of Europe's
identity, its roots and its future. Some senior European politicians argue that
the left, accused of extremism and of making common cause, however haphazardly
rather than through any organized alliance, with criminals and thieves, has
managed to turn the French Republic upside down in a matter of hours.
A closer examination reveals a dangerous triangle of interconnected
forces, not only in France but probably in most, if not all, European countries:
severe economic headwinds; waves of immigration, with large segments of migrant
populations struggling, and sometimes unwilling, to integrate, though this
certainly does not apply to everyone; and a ruling political class that appears
to have run out of ideas and become almost incapable of creativity or innovation
on various fronts. The current situation raises a
fundamental question about the fate of Europe's liberal, Enlightenment-inspired
civilization. Is a continent that has enjoyed such a long age of enlightenment
now heading toward darkness? The answer lies in the European street, where
hard-right movements, some verging on extremism, are gaining ground. From the
Alternative for Germany (AfD) to France's National Rally, which could capture
the French presidency in a matter of months, similar political forces are
advancing across the continent. Yet Europe's troubles
will not simply disappear, even if the political elites currently clinging to
power are replaced. The continent's economic predicament will persist,
particularly as Europe loses its ability to compete economically with East Asia
on one side and the United States on the other. Its inability to meet the
demands of economic reform will therefore remain unresolved. Dark clouds of
austerity programs will hang over the continent, deepening social tensions and
intensifying populist anger.
But what if the populists fail to gain power across Europe and the status quo
remains unchanged? Here, another set of European
theories emerges, connected to an even more intriguing external dimension that
takes us into the world of Russophobia and hybrid warfare. Some observers of the
European scene believe Russia has a hand in recent events, using Europeans
themselves to destabilize the continent rather than bearing the burden of
another direct military confrontation.The Kremlin is at odds with recent
European moves, particularly those of Germany and Britain, which continue to
support Ukraine with Storm Shadow missiles and billions of euros despite severe
economic crises at home. This support is intended to compensate Ukrainian
President Volodymyr Zelensky for Washington's reluctance to remain engaged, as
President Donald Trump presses ahead with diesel deals and the easing of
sanctions with Russian President Vladimir Putin as part of a broader arrangement
aimed at rescuing an America struggling with crises on other fronts.On walls
across Paris, protesters have written the words: "Pitch Darkness in the City of
Light."Will the flames of this anger spread across the rest of Europe?
The outcome of the revolutions of 1848 will not necessarily be repeated.
But Europe's existential questions remain: Who governs? In whose interests? And
what keeps societies together when confidence in the established order begins to
crumble?
Safe Passageways: Global Interests and a Shared Responsibility
Dr. Ibrahim Al-Othaimin/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Saudi Arabia has long warned, ever since the Houthis overthrew Yemen's
legitimate government and began threatening maritime navigation, that the
consequences of this danger would extend far beyond the region and has called
for an international response. Yet those warnings were not taken seriously by
the international community. Today, the full picture has become clear, and the
world is experiencing firsthand what disruptions to navigation in the Strait of
Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandab Strait truly mean. Interruptions in shipping
through these waterways have disrupted production, increased shipping costs, and
driven up commodity prices. Consumers around the world
are now bearing the consequences of these disruptions and tensions, even in
countries far removed from the region. This comes as no surprise given the scale
of energy and trade flows that pass through these two strategic chokepoints,
which together account for nearly 30 percent of the world's energy trade.
According to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), an average of 21.8
million barrels per day of crude oil and petroleum products pass through the
Strait of Hormuz, while 9.3 million barrels transit Bab al-Mandab daily.
The effects of these tensions and supply disruptions from the Middle East and
Russia are evident in a recent International Energy Agency (IEA) report, which
noted that global diesel exports in September fell by approximately 700,000
barrels per day compared with the previous year.
In Asia, the report indicated that disruptions to oil flows through Hormuz
reduced refinery operations, particularly in China, India, and South Korea.
Wholesale diesel prices exceeded $200 per barrel in Singapore and reached around
$220 per barrel in Europe and the United States.
There is no need to dwell further on what the world now clearly understands:
disruptions to energy supplies and maritime navigation spread like wildfire,
eventually reaching factories, markets, and household budgets worldwide. The
scale of these interconnected interests means that protecting these two straits
is a responsibility that extends beyond the littoral states to all nations that
benefit from them. This raises an important question: How can this shared
interest be transformed into a genuine shared responsibility, with countries
collectively bearing the burden? In my view, this can be achieved through five
key avenues.
The first is supporting the multinational defensive maritime coalition led by
Saudi Arabia as a practical framework for sharing responsibility in safeguarding
freedom of navigation and ensuring the continuity of international trade and
global supply chains. Such support requires broader participation from countries
that benefit from secure navigation in the Red Sea, Bab al-Mandab, and the Gulf
of Aden, including the provision of naval, intelligence, logistical, and
financial capabilities according to each country's capacity. In this way, shared
responsibility becomes tangible protection for vessels, trade routes, and energy
supplies.
In addition, countries such as China, Russia, and Türkiye can leverage their
relations with Iran to press for secure navigation in Hormuz and encourage
Tehran to use its influence over the Houthis to halt attacks on vessels in Bab
al-Mandab and the Red Sea. Political and diplomatic influence is an important
tool for protecting common interests. China has already demonstrated this when
it reportedly warned Tehran, according to Reuters, that continued Houthi attacks
could harm their commercial relations.
Another important avenue is addressing the sources of financing and supply that
sustain these threats. This includes tracking intermediary companies used to
procure missile and drone components, verifying the end users of dual-use
technologies, and monitoring financial transfers linked to financing attacks. It
also requires coordination among countries from which shipments originate or
through whose ports they transit, enabling the exchange of information and the
prevention of supplies reaching implicated actors within established legal
frameworks. Protecting vessels will remain difficult as long as these groups can
continue acquiring the means to carry out their attacks. Therefore, intelligence
sharing and stricter oversight of such activities are essential elements of a
shared maritime security responsibility.
From this perspective, no single country can bear the cost of guaranteeing the
continued flow of supplies that benefit the entire world. Nations that depend on
the region's energy and trade should contribute to protecting ports, repairing
damaged facilities, and helping sustain shipping operations to keep global
commerce moving. When piracy off the coast of Somalia
threatened trade routes, countries from outside the region took part in
protecting commercial shipping. Likewise, when energy markets were disrupted
following the war in Ukraine, consuming nations helped alleviate the crisis by
drawing on strategic petroleum reserves. Just as countries share in the benefits
of trade and stable supplies, they should also share the burden of protecting
them. It is unreasonable for the benefits to be global while the cost of
safeguarding them is treated as a purely regional concern.
All of these approaches, however, will remain little more than aspirations and
good intentions unless they are translated into clear and sustained action, with
each country specifying the funding, capabilities, or technical support it is
prepared to provide.
Protecting maritime routes requires continued cooperation even after tensions
subside and escalation is contained, in order to prevent future crises and avoid
repeating the same losses whenever regional tensions re-emerge. The
International Energy Agency's emergency stockpile system provides a useful
example of how countries can commit to maintaining specific reserves, regularly
reviewing preparedness, and participating in coordinated responses during supply
disruptions. Such cooperation could take the form of a joint committee tasked
with monitoring the implementation of national contributions and addressing
causes of delay, in coordination with relevant international organizations.
Finally, I believe Saudi Arabia's position is grounded in an undeniable
reality: stability in this region and the security of its maritime corridors are
fundamental pillars of global economic stability. Consequently, contributions
from beneficiary nations to protect the Straits of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab are,
in essence, investments in their own economies and the well-being of their
citizens.
The time has come to share responsibility in the face of these crises.
Something in Tehran Resembles What Once Unfolded in Moscow
Mohammed al-Rumaihi/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 24/2026
Reading On the Edge of Empire: From Brezhnev to Putin by Salam Musafir, a
journalist who spent many years living in the Soviet Union and its aftermath,
prompted me to compare the Soviet Union with Iran. The similarities between the
two are striking. Both can be classified as authoritarian systems, though one
was secular and the other religious. In both cases, power erected a wall of
intellectual isolation, leaving people with two choices: obedience or survival.
I do not believe history repeats itself, but I do believe that political
systems may differ in ideology while sharing the same sources of weakness. The
factors that make a state appear strong abroad can also render it incapable of
addressing its internal ailments. The testimonies of journalists who witnessed
the Soviet Union's decline reveal a society that gradually drifted away from the
language spoken by its leadership. The Communist Party boasted of socialism's
triumphs while ordinary citizens stood in long lines for basic necessities. The
privileges enjoyed by officials and their families conveyed a reality very
different from the one proclaimed by official platforms. The first cracks
appeared in the gap between rhetoric and lived experience. The state could send
a man into space while farmers still harvested crops with sickles. It could
manufacture missiles while its leaders remained trapped in ritualized displays
of power.
I see something similar in Iran's experience. The revolution was launched under
the banner of defending the oppressed, yet a network of institutions and vested
interests emerged around the state that proved difficult to hold accountable.
Citizens who hear promises of justice want to see them reflected in their
incomes, employment opportunities, and their children's future. Constant appeals
for patience are not enough, especially when sacrifices appear unevenly
distributed and those closest to power seem least burdened by their costs. The
second factor is economic. The Soviet economy did not collapse overnight.
Stagnation accumulated, incentives weakened, and meaningful reforms were
delayed. In Iran, repression is compounded by poor governance, inflation, and
distorted investment patterns. Then there is the cost of foreign ambitions. The
Soviet Union carried the burdens of an arms race, military commitments, allies,
and wars, even as domestic needs continued to grow. In Iran's case, regional
expansion through armed proxies has, in my view, imposed costs beyond available
resources and narrowed opportunities for domestic development. What value is
influence in an Arab capital if citizens at home endure power outages and a
steadily depreciating currency?
The two experiences also converge in the belief that ideology grants those in
power a unique understanding denied to others. The Communist Party claimed a
monopoly over interpreting the course of history, while Iran's leadership
derives part of its legitimacy from a particular religious interpretation of
politics. The problem arises when political judgment is elevated into a truth
beyond criticism. In such circumstances, the ruler himself becomes a doctrine.
The Soviet leadership eventually recognized that the system required change, but
it acted too late. Its hesitant reforms unleashed conflicts it could no longer
control. In Tehran, fear of a similar fate appears to inform resistance to
political opening. Yet blocking the path to reform does not eliminate the need
for it; it merely postpones addressing underlying imbalances, allowing them to
deepen within institutions that increasingly depend on security measures for
protection. Nor does society remain frozen at the moment of a revolution. In the
Soviet Union, new generations emerged that no longer responded to old promises.
In Iran, younger generations seek a normal life, personal freedoms, and greater
engagement with the wider world. The case of Mahsa Amini in 2022, whose death
after demanding her rights sparked widespread protests, illustrates this. So too
does the worker demanding fair wages and the student rejecting paternalistic
control. Their grievances cannot all be dismissed as the work of foreign agents.
Such explanations may comfort those in power, but they prevent genuine
understanding.
The writings of Iran's opposition add another layer to this picture, criticizing
the concentration of wealth, deteriorating public services, and the
prioritization of foreign commitments over domestic needs. I do not treat
everything the opposition says as unquestionable truth. It is diverse, divided,
and driven by its own calculations. Yet the persistent repetition of economic
and political grievances deserves examination, particularly when economic
indicators lend them credibility. They cannot simply be dismissed by questioning
the motives of those who voice them.
There is also the question of the center and the periphery. The Soviet federal
structure enabled local elites to transform dissent into demands for
independence. Iran is different, and it would be wrong to assume that its ethnic
and sectarian diversity will inevitably lead to fragmentation.
What can be compared, however, is the impact of discrimination and exclusion
from political participation. Equal citizenship strengthens the state, whereas
responding to local grievances primarily through security measures makes
national cohesion more fragile, as can be seen among Kurds, Turkmen, Baluchis,
and Arabs. Finally, the Soviet Union's fate was not determined by popular
dissatisfaction alone. Divisions within the leadership and the breakdown of its
ability to reach consensus were decisive factors. This point is worth
considering when examining Iran. Public approval may decline, yet the system can
endure as long as its core institutions remain cohesive.
For that reason, monitoring tensions among Iran's centers of power is
particularly important. In my view, such internal divisions are among the main
obstacles preventing Iran from reaching lasting accommodation with the outside
world. External pressure, I believe, accelerates the appearance of existing
flaws rather than creating them from nothing. It may allow governments to
postpone accountability in the name of confronting an enemy, but it cannot
repair failed governance or turn political slogans into bread on people's
tables.
My conviction is that the fundamental factors are shared: an ideology resistant
to self-examination, an economy weighed down by poor political choices, an elite
determined to protect its privileges, and a society changing more rapidly than
its rulers. What differs is the form and timing of the outcome. The result may
be a long process of transformation rather than a sudden collapse. The real task
is not to predict the date of a system's fall, but to understand the causes of
its gradual erosion. Final thought: Abandoning a belief may sometimes be less
painful than continuing to live with its contradictions.
Analysis: Muslim Brotherhood - Part Chameleon, Part Octopus
Yigal Carmon/MEMRI/October 24/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/10/158553/
Pattern recognition is a mental process in human beings and in other animals. It
is a way to understand our surroundings and to identify best practices, to
uncover pending threats. An animal sees a differently colored patch in a field
of grass and surmises that a predator could be hiding there.Avoiding the
pattern, disguising the threat, delaying recognition, also exists in warfare.
That is where camouflage comes in. The same is true in political warfare:
Political, social, and organizational camouflage is also essential in the battle
for supremacy.
Two broad-based political movements – ironically these days sometimes in close
alliance with each other – have been heavily invested in this strategy of
political camouflage, part chameleon and part octopus: Revolutionary Communism
in its various manifestations and Revolutionary Political Islam, the Muslim
Brotherhood, and its many, varied iterations.
Hamas in Gaza, various political parties under different names, organizations of
clerics, media outlets, fatwa councils, social justice and civil society groups
of Muslims in the West, business associations, the ideological founders of
Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State, student groups, professional organizations of
lawyers, doctors, pharmacists, dentists and engineers in some Arab states, the
founders of Turkey's ruling AKP; all of them are part of that very broad
Islamist front marching – more or less, with local variations and diversity
present – along the same path and toward the same goal. Supremacy. Dominance.
Victory.
In the 1930s, it was the Communists in various countries that forged popular
fronts that included like-minded but separate groups aligned towards a greater
common goal. The Popular Front concept was a way to make the demands of
Communists more palatable to a larger group of people, some of whom may have
been hesitant to embrace the pure, unadulterated original under the Hammer and
Sickle. Some of the popular front members were genuinely authentic – allies –
while others were actually puppets, stand-ins, or subsidiaries for the
Communists and quietly controlled by the party.
When thinking of the Communists back then and of today's Muslim Brotherhood and
burgeoning "Red-Green Alliance," which brings leftists and Islamists together,
it is useful to think of these fronts as a very broad spectrum rather than a
tightly regimented union, a political spectrum incorporating true believers,
allies of convenience, puppets and any other possible variation along a common
theme.[1]
Islamists, like Communists, have turned out to be extremely flexible and
pragmatic on a tactical level while never losing sight of the larger strategic
goal.[2] You will find Islamists in rallies that, as has happened in the United
States and recently in France, seem to have little or nothing to do with Islam.
So it is not surprising when Islamist/MB-type entities like Erdoğan's AKP and
the State of Qatar are sometimes "helpful" to the West, to American
Administrations, in certain fields while also seeking to promote the fall of the
West to Political Islam. Pragmatism whether in high-stakes diplomacy or on the
streets of Paris.
So when we see Hamas, we can and should think that this is the Palestinian
Muslim Brotherhood under arms. When we think of Turkey's AKP, we can imagine a
Turkified Muslim Brotherhood inspired by Neo-Ottomanism.[3] When we think of
Al-Qaeda and its offspring in the Islamic State we are talking of a melding of
the Muslim Brotherhood under arms with militant Salafism.
Media would present Hamas, the AKP, Al-Qaeda, and the Islamic State as four
different organizations and they are indeed four different organizations, but
all four are variations along a roughly common theme. Hamas has persecuted AQ/ISIS
type Jihadists in Gaza, ISIS has targeted AKP-ruled Turkey, Al-Qaeda and ISIS
war against each other in Africa, Afghanistan, Somalia, and elsewhere. They are
rivals that differ, often greatly, in tactics, strategies, and methods. But they
are similarly focused on the same ultimate objective – the victory of Islam,
their specific, often contending, version of that Islamified end state.
Our problem then with dealing with the Muslim Brotherhood in the West is not
only a legal one – how to prosecute or ban entities which are – not now anyway –
not actually practicing violence in the West or breaking existing laws while
pursuing a hostile anti-Western agenda.[4] It is also a semantic one, a problem
of labels.
Ironically, almost a century ago, when Hassan Al-Banna first founded the
original Muslim Brotherhood in Ismailiyah, Egypt, the question of mislabeling,
of waging war by political means was present. Al-Banna and six others "took an
oath to God to be troops [jund] for the message of Islam."[5] The group
initially prioritized building cadres and launching propaganda efforts but Al-Banna
saw the movement as encompassing a broad front appealing to a diverse audience
from the beginning: "he defined the movement as a Salafiyya message, a Sunni
way, a Sufi truth, a political organization, an athletic group, a
cultural-educational union, an economic company and a social idea."[6]
It is a good thing that the danger of the Muslim Brotherhood is finally on the
radar of the Trump Administration.[7] It is good that the state of Texas issued
a proclamation on the danger of the group, even if the practical aspects of the
proclamation are extremely limited.[8] But these steps are mostly symbolic.
Western governments urgently need to broaden their perspectives, think
creatively and constructively, to better understand the MB's imperial project
and to fully grasp and delineate the networks, connections and formal and
informal ties that define it.
*Alberto M. Fernandez is Vice President of MEMRI.
[1] Meforum.org/fwi/fwi-news/muslim-brotherhood-leftist-axis-sweeps-french-student-union-elections,
April 24, 2026.
[3] Fdd.org/analysis/islamist-turkey-a-base-for-muslim-brotherhood-jihadism,
April 1, 2026.
[5] Richard P. Mitchell, The Society of the Muslim Brothers (1969, Oxford
University Press), p. 8.
[6] Ibid, p. 14.
[7] Apnews.com/article/muslim-brotherhood-terrorist-organizations-trump-sanctions-d862fcc5b04558f9af8d648dd4e9a0d1,
January 13, 2026.
[8] Gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-designates-muslim-brotherhood-cair-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations,
November 18, 2025.
Selected Face Book & X tweets
on October 24/2026