English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For  June 14/2026
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
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Bible Quotations For today
Blessed are the eyes that see what you see! For I tell you that many prophets and kings desired to see what you see, but did not see it, and to hear what you hear, but did not hear it.
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 10/21-24:”At that same hour Jesus rejoiced in the Holy Spirit and said, ‘I thank you, Father, Lord of heaven and earth, because you have hidden these things from the wise and the intelligent and have revealed them to infants; yes, Father, for such was your gracious will. All things have been handed over to me by my Father; and no one knows who the Son is except the Father, or who the Father is except the Son and anyone to whom the Son chooses to reveal him.’ Then turning to the disciples, Jesus said to them privately, ‘Blessed are the eyes that see what you see! For I tell you that many prophets and kings desired to see what you see, but did not see it, and to hear what you hear, but did not hear it.”’

Titles For Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on 13-14 June/2026
Gebran Bassil and Walid Jumblatt are enemies of Lebanon and are Trojan-horse mercenaries working for Hezbollah
Dhimmi, shortsighted, and ignorant of the concepts of Wilayat al-Faqih is anyone who equates Israel on one hand, with Iran and Hezbollah on the other./Elias Bejjani/June 12/2026
Lebanon says death toll from Israeli attacks since March 2 rises to 3,756
Lebanese army soldier injured in Israeli drone strike in Nabatieh area
Lebanon reports Israeli strikes in south after evacuation warning
Israeli warning urges evacuation of Lebanon villages amid military activity
Diplomatic sources: Lebanon insists on separate negotiation track from Iran, US supports official channel only
Heavy shelling and evacuations mark Israeli push toward Ali al-Taher hill: here is what we know
Israel strikes south after warning 20 towns in Nabatieh, Jezzine districts
Hezbollah says it confronted Israeli troops advancing in south Lebanon
Report: Aoun asks Hezbollah for written ceasefire proposal
Lebanon rules of engagement shift under US-Iran framework, Israel guidance changes
US official says Iran war deal 'includes Lebanon'
Vatican envoy's aid convoy stopped by Israeli forces in south Lebanon
Lebanon conflict holds echoes of 1982 — and Israeli failure/Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/June 13, 2026
Walid Jumblatt – and the Relationship with Al-Azhar/Nadim Barakat/ X Platform/ June 13/2026

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on 13-14 June/2026
Trump says Iran peace deal to be signed Sunday, opening Hormuz
Iran says signing of Islamabad memorandum will not take place on Sunday
Trump says US will get Iran's enriched uranium when 'all is calm'
Pakistan PM says US-Iran peace deal signing expected within 24 hours
Senior Trump administration official outlines deal Iran agreed to, Vance plays down rumors
Iran FM says draft US deal to be signed 'remotely', possibly in 'coming days'
US says downed multiple Iran drones as both insist deal closer
Tanker struck by unknown projectile six nautical miles east of Oman, UKMTO says
Funeral for Iran’s late Supreme Leader Khamenei to begin July 4, burial set for July 9
Migrants deported from US, including an Iranian woman, arrive in Central African Republic
Ukraine drone strikes kill one, sparks fire at Russian port of Temryuk
UAE denies media reports alleging transfer of funds to Iran
Iranians endure war fatigue and soaring prices as conflict deepens domestic woes

Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on 13-14 June/2026
Iran's Regime Is Irreformable: Time to End It Once and For All/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/June 13, 2026
Geography of wealth ties Sudan’s feuding factions together/Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/June 13, 2026
Global focus shifts to hot spots beyond Iran/Andrew Hammond/Arab News/June 13, 2026
What if Europe loses access to its climate data?/Bertrand Badre and Stephane Voisin/Arab News/June 13, 2026
Selected Face Book & X tweets on 13 June/2026

Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on 13-14 June/2026
Gebran Bassil and Walid Jumblatt are enemies of Lebanon and are Trojan-horse mercenaries working for Hezbollah.
Elias Bejjani/June 13, 2026
Gebran Bassil has been, still is, and will remain tied by the neck and tongue to the humiliating ropes of the Party of Satan (a derogatory reference to Hezbollah). His continued presence as a politician is an insult to free people, the martyrs, and history.
Walid Jumblatt, a man of abandonment and opportunistic transformations—an opportunist, a chameleon, and a submissive figure—is alienated and estranged from the Druze community (Bani Ma‘ruf), their values, pride, patriotism, dignity, and honor.


Dhimmi, shortsighted, and ignorant of the concepts of Wilayat al-Faqih is anyone who equates Israel on one hand, with Iran and Hezbollah on the other.
Elias Bejjani/June 12/2026

https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/06/155244/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tjmYqJxPX9Y
The State of Israel is liberating Lebanon from the occupation of the Iranian and its jihadist Hezbollah, not out of love for Lebanon or the Lebanese, but because Iran and Hezbollah poses an existential threat to its entity and its people… Its interests transitionally align with the interest of Lebanon… Therefore, no equivalence should be made between a liberator (the State of Israel)—despite all its violence and destructive capacity—and a barbaric, jihadist, terrorist, and criminal occupier that destroyed Lebanon, seized its governance, and holds absolute control over its rulers, while hijacking the Shiite community, stripping it of its Lebanese identity, taking it hostage, displacing it, destroying its areas, and killing its youth in the futile wars of the Mullahs. Wisdom, reason, logic, and foresight dictate that all free people of Lebanon and friendly countries should not miss the golden opportunity that Israel offers, but should welcome it and support it by all available means, while at the same time freeing themselves from the complexes, illusions, hallucinations, and daydreams of the Nasserists, the nationalists, the rotten left, and the merchants of the lie of resistance.

Dhimmi, shortsighted, and ignorant of the concepts of Wilayat al-Faqih is anyone who equates Israel on one hand, with Iran and Hezbollah on the other.
Elias Bejjani/June 12/2026

The State of Israel is liberating Lebanon from the occupation of the Iranian and its jihadist Hezbollah, not out of love for Lebanon or the Lebanese, but because Iran and Hezbollah poses an existential threat to its entity and its people... Its interests transitionally align with the interest of Lebanon... Therefore, no equivalence should be made between a liberator (the State of Israel)—despite all its violence and destructive capacity—and a barbaric, jihadist, terrorist, and criminal occupier that destroyed Lebanon, seized its governance, and holds absolute control over its rulers, while hijacking the Shiite community, stripping it of its Lebanese identity, taking it hostage, displacing it, destroying its areas, and killing its youth in the futile wars of the Mullahs. Wisdom, reason, logic, and foresight dictate that all free people of Lebanon and friendly countries should not miss the golden opportunity that Israel offers, but should welcome it and support it by all available means, while at the same time freeing themselves from the complexes, illusions, hallucinations, and daydreams of the Nasserists, the nationalists, the rotten left, and the merchants of the lie of resistance.
Introduction: Defining Friend and Foe (00:00)
Greetings from Canada, Friday, June 12, 2026. Today’s commentary is titled: "Who is the Enemy, Who is the Friend, Who is the Occupier, and Who is the Liberator?"
We must look at this without emotions, illusions, or the outdated ideologies of Pan-Arabism or Political Islam (both Sunni and Shia). Free Lebanese seeking liberation must identify who occupies our country today and who is actually trying to free it.
01:07 | The Danger of Political Islam and the "Wilayat al-Faqih" Project
The true enemy is Political Islam. This includes the Iranian regime’s project—not the Iranian people, but the "Wilayat al-Faqih" system that seeks to export its revolution and impose a dictatorship through proxies like Hezbollah, the Houthis, and the PMF. Simultaneously, Sunni Political Islam, represented by Erdogan’s ambitions in Lebanon and Syria, poses a similar threat. The reality is that Iran and Hezbollah are the ones currently occupying Lebanon.
02:51 | Hezbollah’s Practices and Tunnel Infrastructure
Hezbollah acts as Iran’s "assassination machine." It has turned Lebanon into a honeycomb of tunnels, acting like a "mole" that destroys the land from beneath. From Beirut to the mountains and the South, they have dug tunnels under homes, schools, hospitals, and even historic sites like the Beaufort Castle (Qala'at al-Shaqif). This proves this occupier has no respect for Lebanese heritage or the safety of its citizens.
04:15 | The Shia Community as a Hostage to Iran’s Futile Wars
The Iranian occupier has taken the Shia community hostage, using its youth as "sacrifices" on the altar of the Iranian regime's futile regional wars. These fighters are victims of a project that does not serve Lebanon.
04:39 | Israeli Peace Messages and the Legacy of the Cairo Agreement
The Israeli Prime Minister has recently messaged the Lebanese people, stating they want peace and cooperation, similar to the era before the 1969 Cairo Agreement. That agreement brought chaos by allowing foreign armed groups (Palestinian, then Syrian, then Iranian) to control Lebanon. Now, even Turkey is attempting to exert influence through certain local politicians.
05:28 | Historic Intersection of Interests to Liberate Lebanon
Today, a unique opportunity exists. Israel is not dismantling Hezbollah out of "charity" for Lebanon, but because Hezbollah and Iran pose an existential threat to Israel. However, Israeli interests now perfectly align with the interests of free Lebanese. While Israel uses force, it has shown in the past (such as the 2000 withdrawal) that it has no territorial ambitions in Lebanon. Only those stuck in the past or fueled by the hatred of Political Islam claim otherwise. We must recognize Israel as a liberator from Iranian hegemony.
08:03 | Criticism of "Dhimmi" Politicians, Media, and Clergy
Many "subservient" (Dhimmi) journalists and politicians—products of Syrian and Iranian influence—claim there are "two occupations": Iranian and Israeli. This is false. Israel is acting in self-defense and has stated it wants peace once the Hezbollah threat is removed. Many religious leaders are also criticized here for prioritizing their personal interests over the long-term vision of a free Lebanon.
09:44 | The Error of Demanding Israeli Withdrawal Before Disarmament
It is foolish for Lebanese leaders to demand an Israeli withdrawal while Hezbollah is still armed. If Israel leaves now, who will stop Hezbollah? The current political class is largely compromised or controlled by Hezbollah through fear and manufactured legal files. The President’s recent interviews suggest he is still mentally shackled by the "resistance" culture.
11:20 | Refuting Historical Distortions in President Aoun's Interview
The claim that Hezbollah was merely a "result" of Israeli occupation is a fabrication. Many of Hezbollah's own founders have admitted the group was created as an Iranian military arm to project power to the Mediterranean. Claiming Israel is the "aggressor" ignores the fact that Hezbollah initiated the current conflict to support Gaza and Iran.
13:55 | The Role of Arab States and the "Islamic" vs. "National" Cause
Waiting for the Arab League or other Arab nations to save Lebanon is unrealistic. Most of these countries have already made their own peace deals with Israel (officially or unofficially) to serve their own interests. For Political Islam, the "Palestinian Cause" is a religious issue, not a national one. Lebanon must prioritize its own national interest, which lies in peace and normalization.
14:50 | A Historic Opportunity Through the Abraham Accords
Free Lebanese should view the US-led Abraham Accords and Israel as the path to stability. Our "friends" are those who want peace. Our "enemies" are the Iranian occupiers and those (like certain regional players) who want to keep Lebanon as a "battlefield" for their proxy wars. We have gained nothing from decades of "resistance" slogans except destruction.
18:08 | The Real Distinction: Occupier vs. Liberator and Lebanon’s Future
In summary, we cannot equate Israel with Iran. There is only one occupation (Iran) and one force currently dismantling it (Israel). Israel’s military actions are a reaction to attacks launched from Lebanese soil. A responsible Lebanese official should stop calling for Israeli withdrawal until the existential threat of Hezbollah is completely dismantled. Lebanon’s future depends on being free from both Sunni and Shia Political Islam and joining the regional trend of peace and stability.
Long live Lebanon, freed by its true friends.

Lebanon says death toll from Israeli attacks since March 2 rises to 3,756
LBCI/13 June ,2026
Lebanon's Health Ministry said the cumulative toll from Israeli attacks between March 2 and June 13 has risen to 3,756 people killed and 11,632 wounded. The figures were released by the ministry's Public Health Emergency Operations Center, which said the numbers reflect the overall casualties recorded during the period.

Lebanese army soldier injured in Israeli drone strike in Nabatieh area
LBCI/13 June ,2026
The Lebanese army said Saturday that a soldier was injured in an Israeli drone strike in southern Lebanon. According to the army, the soldier was first targeted while passing near the al-Najdeh Hospital in Nabatieh but escaped without injury. He was later struck again on the Kfar Roummane–Nabatieh road, where he sustained serious injuries.

Lebanon reports Israeli strikes in south after evacuation warning

Al Arabiya English/13 June ,2026
Lebanon reported Israeli strikes on the country’s south on Saturday as the Israeli army issued evacuation warnings for more than 20 locations including the city of Nabatieh ahead of raids there. The state-run National News Agency (NNA) said Israeli airstrikes hit several areas covered by the warning, including the villages of Rihan and Sujud, located not far from Nabatieh, and other areas not mentioned in the evacuation notice. It said an Israeli strike killed a local official in Rihan, located in the southern region of Jezzine. An AFP correspondent in Nabatieh said the city was almost deserted and also reported artillery shelling there and in nearby areas overnight and on Saturday. A day earlier, the NNA reported explosions and artillery shelling near the Ali Taher hills overlooking the city. The Israeli army warned residents in 24 locations, both in and around Nabatieh and nearer to the coast, to “evacuate your homes immediately and move to the north of the Zahrani River,” around 45 kilometers (28 miles) from the southern border with Israel. Last month it declared all areas south of the river “combat zones,” and has been heavily striking the area. Israel’s military also said its air force on Saturday “intercepted a suspicious aerial target that crossed from Lebanon into Israeli territory.” Israel and Hezbollah have been at war since early March when the Iran-backed group drew Lebanon into the Middle East conflict with rocket fire at Israel to avenge the killing of Iran’s supreme leader in US-Israeli strikes.Iran insists that Lebanon must be part of any agreement to end the wider Middle East war, and a senior US official said Friday that a peace deal with Iran “includes Lebanon.”
‘Test’
Neither Israel nor Hezbollah have respected a ceasefire announced in April, and a conditional truce deal announced this month after a fourth round of direct Lebanese Israeli negotiations in Washington has also failed to halt the fighting. Lebanon says Israel’s massive campaign of airstrikes and ground invasion have killed more than 3,700 people.Hezbollah has rejected the direct talks and the conditional agreement, which requires it to cease attacks but makes no mention of Israel doing so or withdrawing troops from Lebanon. Lebanon’s leaders have instead accused Tehran of treating the country as a “bargaining chip.” Hezbollah lawmaker Ali Fayyad on Saturday urged Lebanon to take advantage of any deal to end the Iran war that includes the country. “We want the Lebanese state to negotiate for itself, and nobody is suggesting forfeiting this role,” Fayyad said, “however, the state must abandon the policy of being crushed in the face of the Israelis and submission to the Americans.”Lebanese President Joseph Aoun said in a statement on X on Saturday that Lebanon faces “a fateful test.”“Either its people unite around a sovereign state that monopolizes weapons, upholds the law and protects citizens irrespective of their affiliation or position, or it remains hostage to the logic of militias,” the statement said. Further Israel-Lebanon talks are scheduled for later this month. With AFP

Israeli warning urges evacuation of Lebanon villages amid military activity
LBCI/13 June ,2026
The Israeli military issued Saturday a warning to residents in several Lebanese villages, urging them to evacuate immediately in light of ongoing military operations. According to the warning, the areas included Ghassaniyeh, Zrariyeh, Mazraat Kauthariyet el-Rez, and Sir el-Gharbiyeh. Residents were instructed to leave their homes without delay and move north of the Zahrani River. The Israeli military said it is acting in response to what it described as violations of the ceasefire arrangement by Hezbollah, and stressed that its operations are not directed against civilians. It added that individuals remaining near Hezbollah members, facilities, or military assets would be exposing themselves to significant risk.

Diplomatic sources: Lebanon insists on separate negotiation track from Iran, US supports official channel only
LBCI/13 June ,2026
Diplomatic sources said Lebanon is firmly committed to keeping its negotiation track separate from any Iran-related talks, describing this approach as increasingly aligned with positions within the U.S. administration, particularly the State Department. According to the sources, the official Lebanese state remains the only legitimate party authorized to conduct negotiations, without any parallel or overlapping channels. They added that Washington is concerned about suggestions that alternative negotiation tracks could be endorsed or capable of producing agreements, warning that such narratives create confusion around the official process. The sources said these claims are seen as attempts to undermine Lebanon’s formal negotiations and weaken the state’s position. They also emphasized that the United States deals exclusively with Lebanese state institutions and recognizes the official Lebanese delegation in Washington as the sole authorized body handling the negotiations. On regional dynamics, the sources noted that Washington is exerting pressure on Israel to achieve tangible progress in negotiations, while also indicating that Iranian interference is complicating efforts to reach a ceasefire agreement.

Heavy shelling and evacuations mark Israeli push toward Ali al-Taher hill: here is what we know

LBCI/13 June ,2026
Israeli forces are attempting to advance toward Ali al-Taher hill. So far, troops have reached only the base of the hill as developments continue on the ground. Israeli forces have been gradually advancing inside Kfar Tebnit, south of the hill, amid gunfire from Hezbollah fighters. The advance has been met with heavy shelling, which has caused widespread destruction in the area. As the advance continued, Israeli troops reached the eastern junction leading to the road toward the hill. The movement suggests efforts to secure the exposed route before continuing the operation, likely by establishing earthen berms to protect troops from potential attacks from surrounding areas, particularly Nabatieh al-Fawqa to the west, and Jarmaq, Mahmoudiyeh, Aaichiyeh, Aaramta, and Sejoud to the east. What reinforces the assessment that Ali al-Taher is the current objective, beyond the advance itself, are evacuation warnings issued for surrounding towns in multiple directions. These include villages to the west and northwest, such as Deir el-Zahrani, Nmairiyeh, Doueir, Harouf, Habbouch, Kfarjoz, Zebdin, Nabatieh al-Tahta, and Nabatieh al-Fawqa; to the east, Mahmoudiyeh and Jarmaq; and to the north and northeast, Sejoud, Rihan, Aaramta, Kfar Houneh, Mlikh, al-Lwaiza, Jarjouaa, and Arab Salim. The Israeli army appears to be attempting to evacuate these villages and disrupt Hezbollah activity within them. It has already begun shelling Kfar Houneh, Rihan, Sejoud, and Mahmoudiyeh as part of preparatory fire typically preceding a ground advance. The strategic importance of Ali al-Taher lies in its direct oversight of Nabatieh and its surroundings. If Israel were to take control of the hill, it would be able to impose artillery and armored fire control over Nabatieh and nearby villages. Hezbollah has not been heavily engaged on Ali al-Taher itself, possibly preparing instead for confrontation in the broader Nabatieh area. The terrain of the hill, lacking forests, valleys, or dense structures, makes defensive or positional warfare more difficult. Ali al-Taher’s importance is not only geographic but also military, as it is believed to contain infrastructure and tunnel networks linked to Hezbollah. Gaining control of the area would therefore represent both a blow to the group’s military assets and a step closer to Nabatieh, a city considered a key stronghold in southern Lebanon. For this reason, a potential battle for Nabatieh is expected to be particularly difficult, and any further advance could potentially prompt the group to carry out strikes inside Israel.

Israel strikes south after warning 20 towns in Nabatieh, Jezzine districts
Agence France Presse/13 June ,2026
Lebanon reported Israeli strikes on the country's south on Saturday shortly after the Israeli army issued an evacuation warning for 20 locations including the city of Nabatieh ahead of raids there. The state-run National News Agency (NNA) said Israeli airstrikes hit several areas covered by the warning, including the villages of Rihan and Sujud, located not far from Nabatieh. The Israeli army warning urged residents to "evacuate your homes immediately and move to the north of the Zahrani River", around 45 kilometers (28 miles) from the southern border with Israel. The Israeli army last month declared all areas south of the river "combat zones", and has since been striking the area. The NNA late Friday reported explosions and artillery shelling near the Ali Taher hills overlooking Nabatieh. On Friday Hezbollah, which has kept up attacks on Israeli troops who have invaded south Lebanon, said its fighters had confronted Israeli forces advancing towards the town of Majdal Zoun. Israel and Hezbollah have been at war since early March when the Iran-backed group drew Lebanon into the Middle East conflict with rocket fire at Israel to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader in U.S.-Israeli strikes. Israel launched a massive campaign of airstrikes and a ground invasion, killing more than 3,700 people in Lebanon, authorities say. Neither Israel nor Hezbollah have respected an April ceasefire, and a conditional truce deal announced this month after the fourth round of direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations in Washington has also failed to halt the fighting. Hezbollah has rejected the direct talks and the conditional agreement, which requires it to cease attacks but makes no mention of Israel doing so or withdrawing troops from Lebanon. Iran insists that Lebanon must be part of any agreement to end the wider Middle East war, and a senior U.S. official said Friday that a peace deal with Iran "includes Lebanon". But Lebanon's leaders have accused Tehran of treating Lebanon as a "bargaining chip".Hezbollah lawmaker Ali Fayyad on Saturday urged Lebanon to take advantage of any deal to end the Iran war that includes the country. "We want the Lebanese state to negotiate for itself, and nobody is suggesting forfeiting this role," Fayyad said, "however, the state must abandon the policy of being crushed in the face of the Israelis and submission to the Americans."President Joseph Aoun said in a statement on X on Saturday that Lebanon faces "a fateful test"."Either its people unite around a sovereign state that monopolizes weapons, upholds the law and protects citizens irrespective of their affiliation or position, or it remains hostage to the logic of militias," the statement said.

Hezbollah says it confronted Israeli troops advancing in south Lebanon
Agence France Presse/13 June ,2026
Hezbollah said on Friday its fighters had confronted Israeli forces advancing towards a southern Lebanese town, as Israel pressed on with its strikes in Lebanon. In a statement, Hezbollah said its fighters first targeted Israeli troops advancing towards Majdal Zoun, around five kilometers (three miles) from the western side of the border, on Thursday evening "with repeated rocket barrages, forcing them to retreat".It then said it engaged with an advancing force there on Friday "engaging them with light and medium weapons and rockets".
The group also claimed other attacks on Israeli troops in southern Lebanon. The Israeli military meanwhile issued an evacuation warning for three southern Lebanese villages. Lebanon's state-run National News Agency reported a series of strikes across the south, including on areas not included in the Israeli warning. The NNA later reported large explosions and artillery shelling near the Ali Taher hills, which overlook the southern city of Nabatieh. An aid convoy organized by the Vatican envoy to Lebanon that was headed for southern Christian villages, whose residents remained despite the conflict, was stopped by the Israeli military and forced to change course, a convoy member told AFP on Friday. Lebanon was dragged into the Middle East war on March 2, when Hezbollah fired rockets at Israel in retaliation for the killing of Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei. Israel has since carried out a massive campaign of strikes and a ground invasion that have killed more than 3,700 people in Lebanon, while occupying a large chunk of the country's south. An April ceasefire in Lebanon was never observed, and the fighting has continued despite a new conditional truce deal announced last week after Lebanese-Israeli talks in Washington. Hezbollah rejected the conditional agreement, which requires it to stop launching attacks but makes no mention of Israel having to cease attacks or withdraw its troops from Lebanon. Iran insists that Lebanon must be part of any agreement to end the wider Middle East war.

Report: Aoun asks Hezbollah for written ceasefire proposal

Naharnet/13 June ,2026
President Joseph Aoun, through private channels, has asked Hezbollah, for the first time, to submit a written proposal for its vision for ending the war with Israel, a political source close to the Shiite Duo said. "This document is essential for discussion and feedback; otherwise, we will remain stuck in the same cycle," the source told al-Joumhouria newspaper. The source anticipated progress in the coming hours, linked to the progress achieved in Islamabad.Moreover, al-Joumhouria learned that the meetings held yesterday by Saudi envoy Prince Yazid bin Farhan with Aoun, Berri, PM Nawaf Salam and several prominent political figures resulted in narrowing the differences regarding the negotiating points and priorities.

Lebanon rules of engagement shift under US-Iran framework, Israel guidance changes
LBCI/13 June ,2026
The terms of the agreement with Iran, along with a phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, have established new rules of engagement in Lebanon. Under these rules, the political leadership instructed the military to avoid operations that could violate the agreement and to limit actions to targeted strikes. The call reportedly included limited input from Netanyahu, but Trump was understood to have been clear about implementing the agreement, a development that is raising concern among security agencies, particularly regarding the balance of power in Beirut, Nabatieh, and Tyre. Regarding the U.S.-Iran agreement clause related to an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, Israeli officials say the issue will be addressed at a later stage, as Tel Aviv seeks to maintain a security buffer zone until guarantees are secured to weaken Hezbollah’s capabilities. So far, according to a military official, Israel has not received any request to withdraw its forces from Lebanon, but the situation could change later. This would require the army to prepare a plan ensuring strong military capability for the future, a scenario in which Washington may not necessarily stand shoulder to shoulder with its traditional ally.

US official says Iran war deal 'includes Lebanon'

Agence France Presse/13 June ,2026
The United States is "80 to 85 percent" confident of signing a peace deal with Iran in the coming days, a senior official in President Donald Trump's administration said Friday. The deal would involve "significant" sanctions relief and the unfreezing of Iranian assets, in exchange for Iran agreeing to dismantle its nuclear program and hand over its nuclear material, the official said. "I feel very good about the deal. I think the president has gotten to a very good spot," the senior official told reporters in a call, speaking on condition of anonymity. "We're not quite at the finish line yet, but we are very close," A location and date for any deal signing had not yet been decided although Europe, which Trump had suggested, was a possibility, the US official said. "We do expect us to be signing this agreement over the next few days. I can't give you an exact date," the official added. "If I were to give you a confidence that we were going to be signing this agreement, I maybe would have said 75 percent this morning, it's probably more like 80-85 percent now, but it's not 100 percent." The path to a deal began to clear as Iran agreed to "specificity" on how its enriched uranium would be disposed, the official said. Washington also believed that Iranian control over the critical Strait of Hormuz had weakened, added the official. Lebanon would also be included in the deal, a key issue that has threatened to unravel the process in the past as Israel continued to strike Iran's Hezbollah allies there. "It includes Lebanon, it includes Iran, it includes the Gulf Coast countries, and includes Israel," the official said.

Vatican envoy's aid convoy stopped by Israeli forces in south Lebanon

Agence France Presse/13 June ,2026
An aid convoy organized by the Vatican envoy to Lebanon that was headed for Christian villages in the country's south was stopped by the Israeli military and forced to change course, a convoy member told AFP. A number of Christian-majority villages near the border have been caught up in the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah but many residents have refused to leave. "While approaching the village of Debl on Thursday, we got face-to-face with several Israeli tanks" who stopped the convoy, a member of the convoy told AFP on condition of anonymity. "There were several tank and machine gun shots towards rear positions that we could not identify... which caused panic," he added. The person said it was not clear "whether they wanted to intimidate us or they were targeting Hezbollah positions". Contacted by AFP, the Israeli military and the Vatican did not immediately respond to requests for comment. The convoy, led by the Apostolic Nuncio Paolo Borgia, included 25 trucks and several cars transporting residents wanting to return home. The route was coordinated with U.N. peacekeepers through an international committee created to monitor a ceasefire that sought to end the 2024 Israel-Hezbollah conflict. After being halted for over an hour, the convoy took another longer route to reach their destination after 12 hours, the member said. Vincent Gelot, head of Catholic organization Oeuvre d'Orient which regularly takes part in aid convoys, told AFP that the people who chose to remain in their villages "are completely isolated from the rest of the country". "They are deprived of resources because most of them are farmers. They do not have access to their fields."The villages are surrounded by areas and localities Israel has warned to evacuate, with Gelot saying they are "threatened to disappear". On Tuesday, the association of Christian border villages in southern Lebanon urged authorities to "immediately open safe humanitarian and medical corridors to ensure the access of citizens, aid and medical and relief teams to the affected and isolated villages". On June 2, an Israeli drone strike killed a student alongside her father and brother as she was returning to her border village after sitting for university exams in Beirut.

Lebanon conflict holds echoes of 1982 — and Israeli failure
Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/June 13, 2026
It was Mark Twain who famously said that “history doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” In other words, events rarely recur in exactly the same way, but the similarities can be striking, and often painfully so. The direction in which the war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is heading, frighteningly, reminds me of what Israel calls the “First Lebanon War of 1982,” as well as several other Israeli military incursions into its northern neighbor, which ended with significant losses and no lasting political achievements.
Back in 1982, under the guise of pushing Palestinian militants away from the Israeli-Lebanese border, Israel fell into the trap of using the attempted assassination of its ambassador to the UK, Shlomo Argov, as a pretext to launch a preplanned regime-change operation in Lebanon. The plan had been concocted in coordination with right-wing Christian factions in the country. It took Israel 18 years to leave Lebanon, and by then the genie was out of the bottle: Hezbollah, a Shiite movement allied with Iran, had emerged not only as a major political force but also as a formidable military one, and has posed a constant threat to communities in northern Israel ever since. Forty years ago, the decision to embark on what was initially described as an “operation” and later became a full-scale war was taken by the first Likud Prime Minister, Menachem Begin, and his hawkish Defense Minister, Ariel Sharon. Together with Mossad, Sharon was the mastermind behind a wide-ranging plan to destroy the PLO’s infrastructure in Lebanon, force Syria out of the country, and install a friendly Christian-dominated government led by Bashir Gemayel, who would then sign a peace treaty with Israel. At least in theory, it all appeared neat and carefully thought through, a strategy designed to translate military superiority into political triumph.
It did not take long, however, for the rapid military advance to Beirut and the occupation of large parts of Lebanon to collide with the reality of the country’s deeply fragmented political landscape. Although Gemayel was elected president as the sole candidate, his assassination marked the beginning of the end of this grand fantasy and the start of a long nightmare.
To make matters worse, Israel allowed Christian Phalangist forces to enter the Palestinian refugee camps of Sabra and Shatila in Beirut, where they carried out a horrific massacre. The episode severely tarnished Israel’s international reputation and led to widespread condemnation. What followed were 18 years of the Israeli military struggling in Lebanon’s quagmire. Although Yasser Arafat and the PLO leadership were forced into exile, the vacuum they left behind paved the way for Hezbollah, which would prove to be a far more challenging adversary. More than 40 years later, Israel is once again occupying much of the Lebanese territory south of the Litani River and, following the recent capture of Beaufort Castle, has expanded its ground offensive even further. But to what end?
Weakening Hezbollah, particularly as a military force, is as much in Lebanon’s interest as it is in Israel’s. This convergence of interests should encourage Israel to make it easier for its counterpart in Beirut to negotiate a long-term ceasefire agreement.
Israel has legitimate security concerns regarding Hezbollah, which has attacked northern Israel and dug tunnels suggesting an intention to infiltrate the country, potentially enabling elite units to carry out attacks similar to those perpetrated by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023. Hezbollah’s close relationship with Tehran — its principal financial, military, and political backer — makes it a significant threat to Israeli security.
However, Israel’s response carries the unpleasant scent of the 1982 war. It appears to be operating under the same false assumption that military force is the only way to guarantee security and, with it the creation of a permanent security zone, which would require seizing and holding large areas of territory without a clear exit strategy. At the same time, this is also being done by continuing to devastate villages and neighborhoods in southern Lebanon, displacing more than one million people and repeatedly bombing Hezbollah strongholds in Beirut. This has resulted in substantial civilian casualties. According to the Lebanese health minister, almost 3,700 people have been killed during the conflict, reflecting an approach that failed to provide long-term security for northern Israel in the past and is likely to also fail in the future.
What makes the current situation even more dangerous is the presence of the most right-wing government in Israel’s history, some elements within which appear to operate with few moral constraints, and even less strategic understanding, are already contemplating the permanent occupation and settlement of parts of southern Lebanon, in a move that is linked with the inability to reach an agreement with Iran and the fast deteriorating situation there, too. On the Lebanese side, Hezbollah is a different proposition from the PLO. It is fighting not only to survive Israel’s assault but also to maintain its relevance in Lebanese politics by presenting itself as the standard-bearer of resistance to Israel.
There is little doubt that Hezbollah’s close ties to the Iranian regime are complicating efforts to find a solution. Yet they also create a shared interest of both the Israeli and Lebanese governments in reducing the threat posed by Hezbollah and, by extension, Iran. The current Lebanese government, and much of Lebanese society, is exhausted by being caught in the crossfire between these opposing forces and is paying a heavy price for a war in which it has little interest.
Weakening Hezbollah, particularly as a military force, is as much in Lebanon’s interest as it is in Israel’s. This convergence of interests should encourage Israel to make it easier for its counterpart in Beirut to negotiate a long-term ceasefire agreement. Such an agreement could see the Lebanese Armed Forces deployed all the way to the internationally recognized border, the complete withdrawal of Israeli forces, and the strengthening of the UN peacekeeping mission to ensure that Hezbollah does not operate south of the Litani River.
But by relying on overwhelming force, causing significant civilian casualties and inflicting widespread destruction, Israel has adopted a strategy that recalls aspects of its conduct in Gaza. This leaves little political space for Lebanese President Joseph Aoun to negotiate with Israel. Were he to engage directly with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, let alone reach an agreement, he could easily be accused of capitulation or even treason, while Hezbollah portrays itself as the last force to resist occupation and destruction.
With a general election a pproaching, Netanyahu and his government appear unlikely to prioritize diplomacy, let alone compromise, unless compelled to do so by Washington. Instead, there are growing fears that Israel will entrench its occupation of southern Lebanon while continuing strikes in Beirut. This evokes a chilling sense of a 1982 deja vu. What would begin as a limited and rapid military operation could evolve into a prolonged occupation, accompanied by an enduring resistance movement that would inflict pain on both sides while further weakening the Lebanese state.
The question, for now, is who has both the capability and the will to stop it.
• Yossi Mekelberg is a professor of international relations and an associate fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House. X: @YMekelberg

Arabism and the Palestinian Cause Were Used as Weapons to Destroy the Druze, Their Institutions, and Their Identity – The Connection Between the Criminal Arabist Approach of Gamal Abdel Nasser and the Criminal Arabist Approach of Walid Jumblatt – and the Relationship with Al-Azhar
Nadim Barakat/ X Platform/ June 13/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/06/155265/

Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser systematically employed the Al-Azhar institution to legitimize his socialist policies, relying on a comprehensive legal restructuring of the institution that enabled the regime to integrate religious discourse with the state’s economic and social policies.
Here we see a similarity between what Abdel Nasser did to the state and what Jumblatt did to Druze institutions such as property holdings, religious endowments (waqf), and the sectarian council. In this way, he transformed the office of the Sheikh al-Aql into a position that merged religion with politics for the purpose of destroying the Druze, through laws supported by the “terrorist” Nabih Berri.
It should be noted that all of Jumblatt’s sheikhs attended Al-Azhar and continue to do so. They received religious education there, and the Sheikh al-Aql, Al-Azhar projects, and their suspicious associations remain active in Lebanon, as does cultural exchange with Al-Mahdi schools and the Iranians.
This utilization was carried out through specific mechanisms and religious rulings (fatwas), including the following aspects:
Legal Engineering and the Nationalization of the Al-Azhar Platform
Before beginning its ideological deployment, the regime sought complete administrative and financial control over the institution.Al-Azhar Organization Law No. 103 of 1961—exactly like the law governing the Druze Sectarian Council and the Sheikh al-Aql: This law abolished Al-Azhar’s historical independence and made it subordinate to the executive authority (the Ministry of Religious Endowments). Under it, the President of the Republic directly appointed the Grand Imam of Al-Azhar, turning the institution into part of the state’s official apparatus. Jumblatt placed the Sheikh al-Aql and the religious endowments under his personal control.
Confiscation of Endowments (Awqaf):
Al-Azhar was stripped of its private endowments, which had provided financial independence from rulers. Religious scholars became state employees paid from the public treasury, making religious rulings subject to the prevailing political orientation. The Sheikh al-Aql became a state employee, and Jumblatt stripped him of all his powers.
Legitimizing Major Socialist Laws
The Al-Azhar sheikhs of that era (such as Sheikh Mahmoud Shaltut) issued fatwas and statements declaring socialist policies to be a genuine application of the spirit of Islam. Among the most prominent examples:
Jumblatt allegedly ordered people to return to Islam and formed an alliance with the Al-Nusra Front and the Muslim Brotherhood in 2014.
Agrarian Reform Laws and Land Seizures
To justify taking land from large landowners, Al-Azhar issued fatwas stating that private property in Islam is not absolute but rather restricted by the public interest. These rulings relied on the legal principle that “the ruler may restrict what is otherwise permissible” and on measures taken by Caliph Umar ibn al-Khattab during the Year of Ashes, arguing that expropriation with compensation achieved justice and prevented monopolies.
He allegedly seized mountain lands through forgery, restrictive construction permit laws, extortion, Ministry of Agriculture projects, cooperatives, and other suspicious activities, with Nora Jumblatt allegedly playing the largest role.
Nationalization Laws
The nationalization of factories and major companies was justified as protecting the people’s livelihood from “capitalist greed.” Essential means of production were considered public benefits that individuals could not monopolize, based on the prophetic saying: “People are partners in three things: water, pasture, and fire.”
This is linked to Siblin, hospitals, institutions, and obstructing development projects.
Establishing the Concept of Islamic Socialism
Al-Azhar’s role went beyond issuing temporary fatwas and extended to creating a complete jurisprudential foundation for the Nasserist project under the slogan
Socialism is the essence of Islam.
The Druze Sectarian Council and the Sheikh al-Aql allegedly became offices of the Socialist Party promoting Islamization.Official Al-Azhar publications (such as Al-Azhar Magazine) were mobilized to publish studies claiming that Islam had anticipated Marxism in formulating a just socialist system, but that it surpassed Marxism because it represented a “faith-based socialism” that preserved spiritual values and conditional, non-exploitative private ownership.
Jumblatt: Al-Duha newspaper and Al-Anbaa newspaper.
Invoking History and Heritage
Al-Azhar’s discourse focused on figures such as Abu Dharr al-Ghifari, portraying him as the first socialist in Islam. Zakat and social solidarity were presented as early forms of progressive taxation and wealth redistribution implemented by the modern state.
Confronting Political and Ideological Opponents
The regime used Al-Azhar’s fatwas as a religious shield and justification in its political battles.
Likewise, the Sheikh al-Aql was allegedly used as a tool and cover for political conflicts, with religion and “taqiyya” employed in the battles of Idlib and Suwayda, fearmongering about Shiites during the 2022 elections, and other matters.
“Mukhtara under red seal!” (an expression implying closure, condemnation, or being officially shut down

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on 13-14 June/2026
Trump says Iran peace deal to be signed Sunday, opening Hormuz
LBCI/13 June ,2026
U.S. President Donald Trump said a long-awaited deal to end the war in the Middle East is scheduled to be signed on Sunday, paving the way for the opening of the strategic Strait of Hormuz. "The Deal is scheduled to get signed tomorrow, and immediately after it is signed, the Hormuz Strait is OPEN TO ALL," Trump said in a post on his Truth Social platform on Saturday. Trump's statement, however, ran counter to Iran's foreign ministry, which indicated earlier in the day that the deal would not be signed on Sunday, according to state media reports. AFP

Iran says signing of Islamabad memorandum will not take place on Sunday
Reuters/13 June ,2026
The exact timing of the signing of the Islamabad memorandum will not be on Sunday, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said, according to state media on Saturday.
Baghaei said the possibility of signing the Islamabad memorandum in the coming days could not be ruled out but added that caution was needed regarding any comment on the signing date due to the hesitation of the other side.

Trump says US will get Iran's enriched uranium when 'all is calm'
LBCI/13 June ,2026
President Donald Trump said the United States would find and destroy Iran's enriched uranium when the region is calmer, as he announced that a deal to end the war would be signed on Sunday. "When all is calm, we will go in and get the Nuclear Dust, buried deep under the powerful sunken granite mountains, thanks to our beautiful B-2 Bombers and their brilliant pilots, and downblend and destroy it, whether in Iran, or the United States," he said on social media Saturday. AFP

Pakistan PM says US-Iran peace deal signing expected within 24 hours
Reuters/13 June ,2026
Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said on Saturday that the United States and Iran have agreed to a framework for a peace deal that would end the months-long conflict in the Middle East, with a final text of the deal reached. Pakistan is now preparing for an electronic signing expected within the next 24 hours followed by technical level talks next week, Sharif added.

Senior Trump administration official outlines deal Iran agreed to, Vance plays down rumors
Al Arabiya English/13 June ,2026
US VP hit back at critics in an apparent swipe at Republican lawmakers and commentators who have publicly criticized President Donald Trump’s pursuit of a deal US Vice President JD Vance on Friday played down recent reports on the potential Iran deal, saying that Tehran would not receive any cash and no funds would be released “for simply signing a deal or attending a meeting.”In a post on X, Vance said the deal was structured so that Iran would gain economic benefits if it met “its obligations.”The vice president also hit back at critics in an apparent swipe at Republican lawmakers and commentators who have publicly criticized US President Donald Trump’s pursuit of a deal “People who (rightly) said Donald Trump was a historic president a month ago now criticizing a deal based on unconfirmed media reports,” Vance said. “The president is going to get us a good outcome, one way or the other,” he added.Meanwhile, a senior Trump administration official told Al Arabiya English the details about what Iran has agreed to:
Nuclear material will be destroyed and removed
Nuclear program will be dismantled
None of their money released until they perform
Strait of Hormuz will be open
No Iran funding of terrorist groups
“This is what they have agreed to. This is a performance-based deal,” the official said.

Iran FM says draft US deal to be signed 'remotely', possibly in 'coming days'
Agence France Presse/13 June ,2026
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that upon finalization, a draft deal with the United States would be signed "remotely", which could happen "in the coming days." "As soon as the final stages of our negotiations are completed, this agreement will be signed and announced. The signing will initially take place digitally. Each side will sign remotely. After that, it will be announced that this memorandum of understanding has been signed by both parties," said Araghchi in an interview with state television. "This could happen in the coming days. I am very hopeful."Araghchi had earlier said that a framework dubbed the "Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding" aimed at ending the war with the United States which broke out on February 28 "has never been closer." On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump said he had called off planned strikes on Iran and claimed a deal to end the war could be signed soon. In his interview, Araghchi said he would announce details of the framework once it was "concluded and finalized" and that going into details now would risk "jeopardising the signing of the deal."He said the draft deal included ending the U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports, in place since April 13, and arrangements on managing the strategic Strait of Hormuz. Traffic through Hormuz, a vital global shipping route, has come under Iranian control since the outbreak of war with the United States and Israel on February 28. Iran, which has only allowed a trickle of ships to pass through the strait, has insisted that vessels obtain permission from its armed forces before transiting. The naval blockade must be completely lifted. That is the first point mentioned in the agreement," Araghchi said. "Iran has made a firm decision that the administration of Strait of Hormuz will no longer be the same as before," he noted, adding that discussions were ongoing with Oman on the matter. He said Hormuz was among Iran's "main instruments of deterrence". He confirmed that details of Iran's nuclear programme including its stockpile of highly enriched uranium -- contentious issue for Washington -- would be discussed during a 60-day period following the signing of the framework. "Our position has always been that the only way to deal with the stockpile of enriched material is to dilute it inside Iran," said Araghchi. During the interview, he warned against attempts to sabotage the potential deal especially by Israel. "I must frankly say that this agreement has enemies, the foremost of which is the Zionist regime, who are looking for pretexts to derail it," he said.

US says downed multiple Iran drones as both insist deal closer
Agence France Presse/13 June ,2026
The United States said it downed multiple Iranian drones targeting commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz early Saturday, hours after both sides said a deal to end the Middle East war was closer than ever. The interception came after weeks of halting talks between Tehran and Washington, mediated by Pakistan, that have been marked by threats and exchanges of fire despite a fragile truce agreed in April. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), which oversees operations in the region, posted on X that Iran had "launched multiple one-way attack drones in an attempt to strike commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz". "U.S. forces have downed all of them in recent hours as traffic flow through the strait continues unimpeded," it said. CENTCOM added that the Strait of Hormuz -- a key maritime trade route for oil and gas from the Gulf -- "remains open for transit", despite an Iranian-enforced blockade since the start of the war. Disagreements between the two sides have persisted, with Iranian state media publishing a breakdown of what was purportedly on the table that was at odds with Washington's account.
"The Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding has never been closer," Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, wrote in a social media post, referring to the Pakistani capital that hosted previous U.S.-Iran talks. Trump -- who on Friday morning accused the Iranians of negotiating in bad faith and misrepresenting the terms that had been agreed -- posted a screenshot of Araghchi's message on his own feed just hours later. But state broadcaster IRIB reported Araghchi as saying that until a complete agreement was reached on all issues, "it cannot be said with certainty that an understanding has been achieved with the United States".Araghchi provided some details on the agreement in an interview with state television, saying it calls for the lifting of the U.S. naval blockade of Iran's ports and unspecified changes to the administration of the Strait of Hormuz. He also said the only way to deal with the country's enriched uranium -- which Washington alleges is part of a nuclear weapons programme -- "is to dilute it inside Iran".
'Not 100 percent' -
Disputing Trump's "bad faith" accusation, Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei said an agreement had now been reached with Washington "on most points". Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, whose country has been a key mediator since the initial talks, confirmed that "a final, agreed-upon text of the peace deal has been reached". "Peace has never been as close as it is now," Sharif said, while acknowledging "incessant misinformation" surrounding the deal. A senior U.S. official also voiced optimism that the parties would be "signing this agreement over the next few days". "If I were to give you a confidence that we were going to be signing this agreement, I maybe would have said 75 percent this morning, it's probably more like 80-85 percent now, but it's not 100 percent," the official told reporters in a call. The Swiss foreign ministry on Friday said it had been in contact with both the United States and Iran, and had "proposed Switzerland as the venue for a possible signing, should the parties agree to it". But Araghchi said that upon finalization, a draft deal with the United States would be signed "remotely", adding that this could happen "in the coming days". U.S. ally Israel has said that Trump had promised it that any agreement would see Iran stripped of its enriched nuclear material, but Tehran's official IRNA news agency said this was not even on the table.
'Benefits will flow'
According to IRNA's account, after an initial agreement is signed, Iran and the United States would hold 60 more days of talks and "Iran's right to enrich uranium and the retention of enriched material... will be emphasised with a view to their inclusion in the final agreement".
Beyond this, according to IRNA, Iran would insist on managing traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which Tehran has blockaded since the outbreak of the war, causing major disruptions to the global economy. On Friday, Iran's Mehr news agency, quoting a source close to the country's negotiating team, said the deal would also see the release of $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets. But those details clashed with a summary offered by a senior White House official, who told AFP Iran had agreed to dismantle its nuclear program, destroy its enriched uranium stockpile and reopen the strait -- and that Tehran would not see any of its frozen funds returned until it had honored these commitments. U.S. Vice President JD Vance likewise said Iran was "not receiving any cash, and no funds are being released for simply signing a deal or attending a meeting". But, he added, if "Iran meets its obligations, then economic benefits will flow to them and to the entire region".

Tanker struck by unknown projectile six nautical miles east of Oman, UKMTO says
Reuters/13 June ,2026
A tanker was struck by an unknown projectile in its port bow off the coast of Oman, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said on Saturday. UKMTO said the incident had occurred on Friday, 6 nautical miles east of Oman. The crew were reported safe and there was no reported environmental impact, while the tanker was continuing to its next port of call.

Funeral for Iran’s late Supreme Leader Khamenei to begin July 4, burial set for July 9
Al Arabiya English/13 June ,2026
The funeral for Iran’s late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will begin in Tehran on July 4 and conclude with his burial in his hometown, the northeastern city of Mashhad, on July 9, state media reported on Saturday. Khamenei was killed on the first day of Israeli and US airstrikes against Iran on February 28. The 86-year-old cleric had been at the helm of the Islamic Republic for 36 years. The funeral arrangements will include ceremonies on July 7 in the holy city of Qom, south of Tehran, media said. During his rule, Khamenei built Iran into a powerful anti-US force, spreading its military sway across the Middle East through proxy forces such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, while using an iron fist to crush outbreaks of unrest at home. Khamenei remained a strong critic of the United States throughout his rule, while successive US administrations tried unsuccessfully to resolve a dispute with Iran over its nuclear program. The airstrike that killed him pulverized his central Tehran compound. His 56-year-old son Mojtaba, who also lost his wife in the airstrike and was himself injured, succeeded his father as Supreme Leader. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said on Saturday that Iran and the United States had agreed on a framework for a peace deal after more than three months of war and are expected to sign the initial deal in the next 24 hours.

Migrants deported from US, including an Iranian woman, arrive in Central African Republic

The Associated Press/13 June ,2026
A flight carrying at least two dozen migrants, including an Iranian woman facing persecution in her home country, landed in the Central African Republic on Friday. It is the latest example of the Trump administration’s widely criticized deals with African and Latin American nations to take third-country deportees. The Central African Republic, a deeply impoverished country plagued by conflict, is one of at least nine African nations with this type of agreement. Under a series of often-secret agreements that are part of a broad US crackdown on immigration, the Trump administration has deported thousands of people to nearly two dozen countries that are not their own, advocates say. The Trump administration uses deportations to third countries as a legal loophole to indirectly force asylum seekers back to their home countries, immigration lawyers said. It was unclear exactly how many migrants were on the deportation flight that left Louisiana late Thursday on the way to the Central African Republic’s capital, Bangui. Some of the migrants are temporarily staying at a firefighters’ base near the US Embassy compound under construction in Bangui, while others will be housed at other locations, according to a source close to the embassy. The source, who spoke on condition of anonymity as they were not allowed to speak publicly on the matter, also said women and men were separated upon arrival. Among those set to be deported Thursday were people from Iran, Jordan, Armenia, Turkey, Georgia and Afghanistan, according to Ali Rahnama, interim executive director of the Iranian American Legal Defense Fund, who has been in touch with some of the migrants. Three Iranian women in the US were originally scheduled to be sent to the Central African Republic, according to Sahar Jalili Pawelski, one of their immigration lawyers, who said two of them received emergency court orders temporarily stopping their deportation while judges reviewed whether the government was acting legally.
All had been granted court protection against deportation to Iran after judges ruled they faced credible fears of persecution, Rahnama said.“Despite being granted withholding of removal, these individuals are being removed from the United States and abandoned in a country where they have no status, no connection and no support network. We fear they will ultimately be forced to return to the countries they originally fled,” Emily Trostle, an attorney representing two of the women, said Friday. The US Department of Homeland Security on Thursday would not comment on the case, saying it would not confirm future removal operations for security reasons. US Immigration and Customs Enforcement did not immediately respond to requests for comment. The Central African Republic has been plagued by years of conflict between pro-government forces and armed groups and is one of the poorest countries in the world. Despite vast reserves of gold, one in three people live on less than $2 a day. It also is one of the countries where Wagner, a Russian mercenary group, was first active in Africa. The group has been responsible for President Faustin-Archange Touadera’s security and fighting rebel groups. The country remains one of Russia’s closest allies in Africa, despite recent tensions between Touadera and Moscow over Russia’s push to replace Wagner with the state-controlled Africa Corps. Rahnama of the Iranian American Legal Defense Fund expressed concerns about an Iranian asylum seeker being sent to the Central African Republic, noting Russia’s influence in the country and Moscow’s close security ties with Iran. The International Organization for Migration, a UN-affiliated agency, will “provide post-arrival humanitarian assistance” to the migrants at the request of the Central African authorities, a spokesperson said. The US earlier this year awarded $85 million to the IOM for operations in the Central African Republic to provide “assistance to migrants” and promote “community stabilization.”

Ukraine drone strikes kill one, sparks fire at Russian port of Temryuk
Reuters/13 June ,2026
A Ukrainian drone attack killed one person and sparked a fire at a sea terminal in the southern Russian port of Temryuk, in the Krasnodar region, Governor Veniamin Kondratiev said on Saturdayon the Telegram messaging app. Ukraine’s military and the SBU security service said that Ukrainian drones hit several targets in Russia during overnight attacks – the oil and gas terminal in the Russian Krasnodar region and also an oil processing and pumping facility in the Volgograd region. Ukraine continues to pummel Russia’s energy infrastructure as peace talks to resolve the four-year Ukraine war have stalled. Ukrainian drones hit the Tamanneftegaz oil and gas terminal in the Russian Krasnodar region, striking five fuel tanks and also two oil loading stands, the SBU security service said. It said fires were burning in the area of the Tamanneftegaz freight transport depot and its storage facilities.Temryuk was previously targeted by Ukrainian drones in late May, when Kyiv’s security service said it had struck a gas terminal there. A separate strike on Saturday sparked a fire in an industrial area of the Kotovo district in the Volgograd region, regional authorities said, citing Governor Andrei Bocharov. Bocharov did not disclose details of the damage or identify the facilities affected. The Ukrainian General Staff said that its troops hit the oil processing and pumping facility near the town of Kotovo in the Volgograd region, causing a fire. It said that the facility handles processing, transportation, and pumping of oil via pipelines to Russian oil refineries and its export infrastructure. On June 1 Reuters reported that the Lukoil-owned Volgograd oil refinery in Russia’s south has suspended oil processing since May 29 following a Ukrainian drone attack.

UAE denies media reports alleging transfer of funds to Iran

WAM/June 13, 2026
ABU DHABI: The UAE has categorically denied reports published by certain international media outlets alleging the transfer of funds from the UAE to the Iran, including allegations concerning $3 billion. In a statement, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs affirmed that these allegations are entirely false and unfounded, stressing that no frozen Iranian funds have been released, transferred, or facilitated through the UAE. The Ministry also called on media outlets to exercise accuracy, rely on official sources, and refrain from publishing or circulating unverified information and unfounded allegations.

Iranians endure war fatigue and soaring prices as conflict deepens domestic woes

AP/June 13, 2026
CAIRO: Iranians are living between confusion and exhaustion as the country and its economy are squeezed between war and multiplying crises at home. US President Donald Trump said Thursday that he called off fresh strikes on Iran as he claimed a deal to end the war was imminent. Back-and-forth strikes earlier this week pushed a shaky ceasefire to the edge of collapse, which, if it happens, would inflict more havoc on Iran’s battered economy. Strikes on steel and petrochemical industries and energy infrastructure earlier in the war have spurred a wave of business closures and job losses in Iran, where people now struggle to afford groceries in the face of triple-digit food inflation.
Many Iranians are desperate for peace
Along with the cratering economy, the spectre of war has left many people desperate for an end to the turmoil and deeply anxious about the future. Huraz Ahmadi, a 19-year-old street vendor in the capital of Tehran, said he feared renewed fighting. “I don’t think they will reach an agreement, given the way things are going. But I hope they make a deal. An agreement is much better than war,” Ahmadi said. “In wars, innocent and good people die. I personally lost a relative.”In the past year, Iranians have faced two wars – first Israel’s 12-day war in 2025 against Iran followed by a joint assault with the US that began on Feb. 28. Both attacks were launched in the middle of talks about Iran’s nuclear program. Fresh US strikes on Monday sowed confusion in Iran’s capital following growing optimism that Tehran and Washington were nearing a deal. One Tehran resident in his late 20s said the echo of explosions and air defenses in the capital triggered “maybe a half hour of panic.” Long lines formed at gas stations, but people returned within hours to “living normally,” he said.
“War is also becoming normal. And that is very upsetting,” the resident said, speaking on the condition of anonymity out of security fears. “Everybody is stressed out for a thousand reasons,” he added. “Our lives are constantly in this political game where we can’t plan anything or know what’s going to happen.”
A country ‘tired of instability’
A critical demand in talks for Iranian negotiators is that the US deliver some kind of sanctions or economic relief, besides lifting a naval blockade that has throttled Iran’s oil exports as well as imports of raw materials and other goods. Many business owners are struggling to survive, a member of a council representing Iranian industrialists said. “The main concern of many industrialists and entrepreneurs is the survival of their businesses and production. The concern is about the disruption of the supply chain of raw materials, parts and machinery due to the cruel US blockade,” Mehdi Bostanchi said. Tehran-based Bostanchi, who owns a company that makes ventilation systems, is part of a trade group for factory owners across Iran. Its members include textile, food and metal producers and printing firms. Bostanchi said uncertainty over any deal to end the war is stifling the ability of businesses to plan ahead and look toward any kind of recovery. “Society is tired of instability and does not want a wider war to break out,” he added. Iran’s rial currency has also lost over half its value in the past year. Exchange rates have crashed to around 1.8 million rials to the dollar, compared with 41,600 rials 10 years ago.
Economic woes stoke unrest and fear
The deepening economic problems have stoked unrest in Iran. In January, security forces shot thousands of anti-government protesters in the streets. Arrests of protesters and those expressing support for them has continued through the war. Alongside fear of their own leaders, Iranians who oppose the government also fear a return to open war, said a social media influencer and therapist who lives in central Tehran and has participated in past anti-government protests. “The war isn’t anything but destruction for us. And in reality, the attacks that happened killed a number of ordinary people and destroyed a number of homes and residential buildings,” she said, speaking on the condition of anonymity out of fear of retribution. Residents contacted by The Associated Press also expressed worries that renewed conflict would lead Iranian authorities to cut Internet service again. Repeated blackouts since the January protests have crippled what was a strong digital economy and stoked job losses. A partial restoration has seen a limited uptick in connectivity.
Next steps are unclear
A few hours after threatening to launch further attacks, Trump posted on social media that significant points in the negotiations “have been brought to the highest level of Iranian leadership and approved.” But a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Esmail Baghaei, said in a live phone call on state television that mediators were active and nothing had been finalized to end the conflict. Iran’s ability to withstand US-Israeli assaults and to close the globally strategic Strait of Hormuz has also rallied the Islamic Republic’s hard-liner base. Authorities have organized nightly rallies in past weeks as they try to project popular support for a tough stance in US talks. Hamid Reza Bani Ebrahimi, a 47-year-old merchant, said he opposed any agreement that would limit what he sees as Iran’s right to enrich uranium and develop nuclear technology. Israel and the US have repeatedly struck sites and figures linked with the country’s atomic program. “Our scientists worked so hard to acquire this technology, and then they came and martyred them,” Bani Ebrahimi said. Abdullah Hosseini, a 45-year-old university professor in Tehran, said Iranian strikes on Gulf states and Jordan this past week were part of an effort to deter further attacks. “I don’t like war. I am extremely worried about people and children being killed,” Hosseini said. “But sometimes war is necessary, and now is the time for Iran to stand against its enemy.”But Tehran-based analyst Rahman Ghahremanpour said the back-and-forth strikes this week had deepened concerns in Iran that the conflict “could turn into a crisis without end and in reality make running the country more difficult” in the face of economic pressures. “Both America and Iran are looking for a way out of this situation with honor and claiming victory so they can strengthen their own domestic situation,” he said.

The Latest LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on 13-14 June/2026
Iran's Regime Is Irreformable: Time to End It Once and For All
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/June 13, 2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/06/155267/
Iran's rulers might sign a piece of paper -- as Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) Chairman Yasser Arafat did with Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin with the 1993 Oslo Accord – but, like the PLO, its fundamental goals will not change.
The regime cannot abandon "Death to America" or "Death to Israel" without dissolving its own reason for being. Leaving it in place only ensures that it will dig its hooks in even deeper -- especially after President Donald J. Trump leaves office and his successor possibly turns to interests more enjoyable than "enforcement."
Iran's regime will not change -- especially not for "infidels." Deals simply buy time for the regime to rebuild its power. Deals do not alter core behavior.
If the regime wanted reform, it could easily have renounced those slogans and stopped sponsoring terrorism. Any negotiations or deals that leave the current system intact simply grant it "oxygen," resources, and time to rebuild capabilities aimed at annihilating its perceived enemies, foreign and domestic.
The West's -- particularly the United States' -- most important decision is recognizing that the Iranian regime simply cannot be reformed. No deal will essentially alter it. It will continue its objectives, its terrorism, and its oppression. We should not be deceived by tactical "moderates" fronting for the IRGC.
The regime's revolutionary identity has brought only suffering -- for Americans, for Iran's neighbors in the Gulf, for Israelis, and especially for the Iranian people. Ending this regime is the only path to peace.
Iran's regime cannot abandon "Death to America" or "Death to Israel" without dissolving its own reason for being. Leaving it in place only ensures that it will dig its hooks in even deeper -- especially after President Donald J. Trump leaves office and his successor possibly turns to interests more enjoyable than "enforcement."
We have seen in the last few weeks — and for the last 47 years — that Iran's regime is not one with which any responsible actor should seek a deal. Iran's rulers might sign a piece of paper -- as Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) Chairman Yasser Arafat did with Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin with the 1993 Oslo Accord – but, like the PLO, its fundamental goals will not change.
Iran's regime is fundamentally revolutionary. It seized power in 1979 with an identity rooted in anti-Americanism, anti-Semitism, and the suppression of Iranians seeking liberty. This identity defines it. Even if individual figures shift or new "moderates" appear at the negotiating table, the underlying revolutionary structure endures. The regime cannot abandon "Death to America" or "Death to Israel" without dissolving its own reason for being. Leaving it in place only ensures that it will dig its hooks in even deeper -- especially after President Donald J. Trump leaves office and his successor possibly turns to interests more enjoyable than "enforcement."
For 47 years, through multiple U.S. administrations and various agreements, chants of "Death to America" and "Death to Israel" have continued, as have, to this day, repression and mass executions inside Iran. Past deals, such as the JCPOA in 2015, empowered Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to grow stronger and expand the terrorism of its regional proxies.
Its anti-Americanism, its hatred toward Israel -- and its hatred toward the Iranian people who yearn for freedom -- remain, in the minds of their rulers, the very reason for the country's existence ever since it began its reign by holding 66 Americans hostage, most of them for more than a year. The regime will pursue its goals as long as the core system of the Supreme Leader and the IRGC remains in place.
Despite efforts, including Trump's, to pursue diplomatic deals and avoid broader war, the Iranian regime has continued its belligerent actions, including the recent downing of a U.S. helicopter and strikes on targets linked to U.S. interests in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan.
Iran's regime will not change -- especially not for "infidels." Deals simply buy time for the regime to rebuild its power. Deals do not alter core behavior.
If the regime wanted reform, it could easily have renounced those slogans and stopped sponsoring terrorism. Any negotiations or deals that leave the current system intact simply grant it "oxygen," resources, and time to rebuild capabilities aimed at annihilating its perceived enemies, foreign and domestic.
We have witnessed so-called moderates or negotiators making promises, while the IRGC directs policy, launches attacks, and consolidates power.
Half-measures and endless negotiations have failed – for nearly half a century. Any new policy should rest on four pillars:
First, unwavering solidarity with Israel. As a frontline state sharing the same existential threats -- but even more immediately -- from the regime, Israel possesses unparalleled intelligence networks within Iran and a profound understanding of its operations. The US and Israel share aligned strategic interests against a common adversary that views both countries as enemies to be destroyed.
Second, any attempts by the regime to rebuild nuclear energy or missile capabilities should be met with immediate, decisive force to degrade those assets.
Third, intensify economic pressure. Sanctions, blockades, and targeted financial restrictions must remain robust and, where possible, expand. By denying the regime revenue from oil and other resources, its ability to fund nuclear and missile development, terrorist proxies, and domestic security forces can be curtailed. Economic isolation will weaken the pillars that sustain the theocracy's hold on power.
Finally, genuine support for the Iranian people themselves offers the most promising lever for change. Millions of Iranians reject the fundamentalist rule and long for freedom, but face a heavily armed, crushing apparatus that mows down protesters and stifles dissent. Empowering these voices that seek freedom through material assistance, weapons, communications support, and defensive capabilities help the population -- once armed and organized -- to successfully challenge its oppressive regime, just as in America's founding fathers' struggle against British colonial rule. The Iranian people, however, need to be generously aided with the tools to level the playing field.
The West's -- particularly the United States' -- most important decision is recognizing that the Iranian regime simply cannot be reformed. No deal will essentially alter it. It will continue its objectives, its terrorism, and its oppression. We should not be deceived by tactical "moderates" fronting for the IRGC.
The regime's revolutionary identity has brought only suffering -- for Americans, for Iran's neighbors in the Gulf, for Israelis, and especially for the Iranian people. Ending this regime is the only path to peace.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/22598/iran-regime-is-irreformable
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a political scientist, Harvard-educated analyst, and board member of Harvard International Review. He has authored several books on the US foreign policy. He can be reached at dr.rafizadeh@post.harvard.edu
Follow Majid Rafizadeh on X (formerly Twitter)
© 2026 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.


Geography of wealth ties Sudan’s feuding factions together
Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/June 13, 2026
Decades after South Sudan voted overwhelmingly to break Africa’s largest country in two, a new seam is being stitched into Sudan’s political fabric. In diplomatic circles and even on social media, speculation has hardened into a strange fascination: that the war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces is headed toward a “Libyafication” of Sudan, cleaving the riverine heartland from the western peripheries of Darfur and Kordofan.
On the ground, the conflict has indeed entrenched two rival administrations. Yet the prospect of a clean, internationally recognized divorce is a mirage. Sudan is destined to remain a single state — perpetually broken, violently contested, and incapable of governing itself either as a coherent whole or through a surgical amputation.
Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan’s SAF operates from the Red Sea city of Port Sudan, preserving the institutional skeleton of the old regime: the central bank’s transaction records, the Foreign Ministry’s diplomatic cables, and control of the arterial highways that channel agricultural exports toward the port that handles more than 90 percent of the country’s legitimate foreign trade. On the other hand, Gen. Mohamed Hamdan “Hemedti” Dagalo has established a shadow “state” across Greater Darfur and chunks of Kordofan. Since late 2025, a self-proclaimed civilian administration in Nyala, South Darfur, has issued ministerial decrees, collected informal taxes, and printed its own identification documents. No capital has recognized it, but within its territory it runs the schools, the clinics, and the checkpoints.
Parallel to the military fragmentation, a populist discourse has taken root in the Nile Valley that frames partition as liberation. The “State of the River and Sea” movement argues that the north should cleave itself from Darfur and Kordofan. It is rhetoric that draws from the deep veins of anti-Darfuri and anti-pastoralist sentiment, promising that a smaller, ethnically homogeneous Sudan might finally stabilize. The campaign has since mobilized diaspora communities, gaining traction among northern elites who see the western territories as a permanent economic drain and a security liability.
For all the visible scaffolding of two separate governments, however, a formal partition cannot work. Neither faction can afford to sever the territory, and the Horn of Africa cannot absorb the shock of a multi-state collapse.
The first obstacle is geography, and it is called Kordofan. Unlike the 2011 secession of South Sudan, which followed a clear administrative boundary established in colonial times, the front lines slicing through Kordofan are jagged, constantly shifting, and studded with heavily armed communities. Kordofan is the hinge between the Nile Valley and the western provinces. Its desert roads and gum arabic orchards form a nonnegotiable strategic corridor.
Moreover, South Sudan’s only crude oil export pipeline winds through Kordofan’s Muglad Basin to Port Sudan. For the SAF, losing Kordofan would cut off pipeline revenues and sever the eastern heartland from Darfur’s gold and livestock, turning the west into a hostile bloc on its doorstep. For the RSF, relinquishing Kordofan would cut its supply lines to weapons smuggled through Libya and Chad and choke off the pastoral migration routes that sustain its tribal base. Consequently, the battle for Kordofan is existential, and it precludes any stable demarcation.
The geography of wealth further ties the antagonists together.
Darfur and Kordofan host most of Sudan’s livestock — a herd of over 100 million head, with camels, cattle, and sheep that constitute one of the world’s largest live-animal export trades. Those animals cannot walk themselves to foreign markets; they require the quarantine stations, veterinary certifications, and refrigerated shipping berths concentrated in Port Sudan.
Sudan is trapped in an unusual equilibrium that defies both unity and partition. Proponents of the latter should abandon the fantasy of a clean territorial divorce and the seductive rhetoric of isolationists.
Western Sudan also accounts for most of the gold that made Sudan the continent’s third-largest producer before the war, with the Jebel Amer mine in North Darfur alone yielding an estimated $1 billion annually at its peak. But raw gold must be refined and stamped to enter international markets legally. That processing happens in Khartoum’s industrial zone and in Port Sudan’s mint. A landlocked rump state in the west would be forced to smuggle its entire mineral output across porous borders into Chad or Libya, accepting deep discounts that would make governance unviable. Meanwhile, the eastern state would lose the primary commodities that generate foreign exchange and customs revenue, leaving it dependent on handouts from international backers. A formal split would thus deliver immediate economic strangulation to both hypothetical entities. What is more, the international community has its own reasons to resist a breakup. The first is the risk of cascading border failures. Chad, already hosting more than 700,000 Sudanese refugees, would face an expanded Darfuri statelet bristling with militias linked by blood to Chadian Arab groups. Weapons and mercenaries would flow freely along the Ouaddai corridor, reigniting cycles of rebellion that have destabilized N’Djamena for decades. Elsewhere, South Sudan’s entire economic architecture is tethered to Sudanese territorial unity; its oil pipeline is a single thread that any warlord along the 1,500 km route can sever. The Central African Republic and Ethiopia’s Benishangul-Gumuz region would similarly absorb blowback from a stateless belt stretching from the Sahel to the Horn.
An already staggering humanitarian emergency would tip into an uncontrollable catastrophe. Under a formal partition scenario, the legal vacuum would collapse the humanitarian coordination architecture that, however fragile, still enables the World Food Programme to negotiate access with both sides. Without a recognized state framework to sign memoranda of understanding and guarantee safe passage, aid convoys would become untenable.
For external powers with strategic interests along the Red Sea, a unified Sudan — however hollow — remains indispensable.
Port Sudan sits within striking distance of the Bab Al-Mandab chokepoint, through which roughly 10 percent of global seaborne oil trade passes. Egypt, for instance, views eastern Sudan as its strategic depth, essential to protecting the Nile’s flow and preventing encirclement by hostile actors on its southern border. Other actors have poured billions into Red Sea hubs, logistics corridors, and investments that rely on a single sovereign partner to secure land rights as well as port contracts. None of these powers can protect their interests by negotiating with a scattering of ethnic fiefdoms.
Sudan is, therefore, trapped in an unusual equilibrium that defies both unity and partition. Proponents of the latter should abandon the fantasy of a clean territorial divorce and the seductive rhetoric of isolationists. Instead, mediators must concentrate on what is achievable. After all, a catastrophic divorce is not the only alternative to a failed marriage. The alternative is a prolonged, messy but managed cohabitation within a single fractured home.
• Hafed Al-Ghwell is senior fellow and program director at the Stimson Center in Washington and senior fellow at the Center for Conflict and Humanitarian Studies. X: @HafedAlGhwell

Global focus shifts to hot spots beyond Iran
Andrew Hammond/Arab News/June 13, 2026
While an agreement to end the Iran crisis has yet to be signed, attention is increasingly turning to other geopolitical challenges that might become hot spots in the future. Perhaps the key takeaway from the crisis in the Middle East is the huge human and economic cost of the war, including in energy markets. While a global recession may be averted, the costs have been eye-wateringly high, including with well over 3,000 people reportedly killed. Moreover, the worst economic ramifications are potentially still to be felt in some nations, as the International Monetary Fund and World Bank flagged at their spring meetings a few weeks ago. In the wake of the Middle East crisis much international attention is turning to other geopolitical fissures that could also have profound implications for the global economy. This includes the South China Sea, a major waterway where about $4 trillion of goods is transported a year, or about 30 percent of global maritime trade. The emerging fault lines in the waters include continuing tensions with not just the US, but also other countries such as the Philippines, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Brunei that are frequently in dispute with China about this key economic channel. Any significant conflict, which could result in an air and sea blockade, or direct attack on Taiwan, is forecast by Bloomberg Economics to potentially be even bigger than the Iran crisis. It could cost the global economy up to $10.7 trillion, around 9.6 percent of global economic output, in the first year alone. To put these numbers into perspective, the damage would be greater than the economic impact of the global pandemic from 2020 onwards — plus also the 2007-09 international financial crisis which led to the collapse of Lehman Brothers and other major institutions.
While any hot conflict remains a worst-case scenario, it would also wipe trillions from global GDP, although probably less than from a major conflagration in the South China Sea involving Taiwan.
A key reason the cost could be even higher than in the Middle East is that Taiwan is a nation of the highest importance in the global semiconductor supply chain. Any conflict could severely damage firms dependent on Taiwan’s chips, from Asia Pacific to Africa and the Americas. It is also probable that trade between China and the US plus their closest partners would nosedive. Shipping in the South China Sea could also slow to a trickle, as has been seen in the Strait of Hormuz since late February. There might also be corrections in many stock markets which are currently at, or near, all-time highs centered around the future potential of AI and wider tech which is dependent on chips.
Overall, the forecast impact by Bloomberg Economics is about 23 percent of gross domestic product in South Korea, 14.7 percent in Japan, 11 percent for China, 10.9 percent for the EU, India 8 percent, and 6.6 percent for the US. The impact could also be huge for wider nations, not least from diminished investor confidence. The South China Sea has been one of the key issues discussed formally and on the margins of a wide range of key recent global security events, including the Shangri La conference, Asia’s premier geopolitical event, in Singapore last month. Sessions were scheduled not only on “Asia’s maritime security disorder” and “managing threats to strategic stability by enhancing littoral security in Asia,” but also “cross-regional security threats,” “building defense-industrial resilience,” “managing regional tensions amid global competition,” and “evolving security partnerships in a fragmenting world.”
Amid these topics, one other specific potential conflict that worries many in the world is the Korean Peninsula with North Korea now a nuclear power. In US President Donald Trump’s first term, from 2017 to 2021, he met with his North Korea counterpart Kim Jong Un several times, including at the Singapore summit in 2018, but no major peace breakthrough was ultimately delivered. Pyongyang has since said that it would continue expanding its nuclear arsenal and dismissed renewed US calls for denuclearization as an “anachronistic dream.”
Coincidentally, Chinese President Xi Jinping visited North Korea last week for the first time since the pandemic. Discussions about North Korea’s denuclearization were notably absent from state media readouts of the talks. In recent years, Beijing has significantly toned down its calls to denuclearize the peninsula and largely avoided mentioning the subject publicly. This despite the fact that Kim in 2024 formally declared that South Korea is the North’s “principal enemy.” While any hot conflict remains a worst-case scenario, it would also wipe trillions from global GDP, although probably less than from a major conflagration in the South China Sea involving Taiwan. Taken together, and framed by the Iran crisis, a fresh look is being taken at a wider range of geopolitical challenges that could be future hot spots. As over the last three-and-a-half months in the Middle East, the escalation of tensions could hit the global economy hard, and raise risks of the regional conflagrations spreading to wider geographies.
• Andrew Hammond is an associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.

What if Europe loses access to its climate data?

Bertrand Badre and Stephane Voisin/Arab News/June 13, 2026
Last October, Signe Ratso, deputy director-general of the Directorate-General for Research and Innovation of the European Commission, issued a stark warning while speaking on a panel at the European Parliament. “When critical datasets and analytical tools are hosted outside” the EU, she explained, “their access or even the content … can change beyond our control.” As a result, “core scientific values can be compromised.”Ratso’s remarks highlight one of the main issues facing European climate researchers. While many people are focused on the implications of the “backlash” against sustainability for the European Green Deal, these conversations — as important as they are — overlook the less visible, but arguably more significant, problem of data extraterritoriality.
The threat is subtle. The US has enacted laws that give it effective control over data and digital infrastructure, regardless of where they are located. This suggests a creeping expansion of the US International Traffic in Arms Regulations, which govern the export of military technologies and technical data into the civilian realm. Such instruments allow the US to exert pressure by imposing traceability and end-use monitoring on sensitive fields such as climate research and digital systems. Instead of instituting outright bans, US policymakers can quietly shape what is studied and how.
The EU seems well-equipped to counter this threat. The General Data Protection Regulation, the Data Act, the AI Act, and soon the Cloud and AI Development Act are meant to defend the bloc’s digital sovereignty. But Europe’s regulatory fortress has a foundational weakness: overreliance on foreign-controlled infrastructure and datasets. Equally worrying are Europe’s excessive focus on compliance, rather than operational implementation, and its insufficient real-world testing of usage governance, particularly for AI.
Over the past decade, for example, the share of ESG (environmental, social, governance) and climate datasets and models owned or controlled by non-EU actors has steadily grown. Now, according to the PARC Foundation’s ESG Data Cartography, more than 80 percent of the ESG data volume used in the EU falls into this category. This concentration of control creates an asymmetry. Europe writes the rules, including the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive and the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation, that are responsible for generating vast amounts of data: corporate disclosures, green taxonomies, climate-risk analyses, decarbonization pathways, and just-transition policies. But the analytical tools that turn these data into power are overwhelmingly non-European.
To remain a leading scientific and industrial force in climate policy, renewable energy, and sustainability, the EU must secure access to the underlying data and analytics.
Bertrand Badre and Stephane Voisin
What makes the asymmetry particularly troubling is its cumulative effect. The raw data feed models that improve with scale and the most advanced systems become ever more dominant and difficult to replace. Over time, this dynamic could lock Europe into a dependency on the foreign-owned infrastructure that captures the economic value of ESG data. Such ownership concentration is not only a sovereignty risk, but also a competitiveness trap.
AI is accelerating the process. While traceability of training data — along with documentation and auditability — is a prerequisite for AI access to EU markets, that is not necessarily how it works in practice, especially because compliance deadlines are still far away. And while it is conceivable that large language models could act as effective safeguards against climate-skeptic narratives on social media, they have tended to exhibit regressive complacency biases and, in some cases, regurgitate falsehoods. Research by PARC shows a significant gap between Grok and DeepSeek in terms of spreading climate misinformation.
Efforts to make these data publicly accessible have fallen short of their potential. The Net-Zero Data Public Utility, now called the Climate Data Utility, launched in 2022 to create a centralized, open repository for climate transition-related data from companies worldwide, has stalled. Likewise, the scope of the European Single Access Point, which is set to go live in 2027, has narrowed amid a simplification push.
Europe’s green transition rests on an informational infrastructure that it does not control. In February, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright reportedly asked the International Energy Agency to abandon its climate scenarios, long regarded as the global benchmark for decarbonization pathways, and the closest thing to a shared net-zero scripture that the world has. This episode highlights how contested an agreed theory of change can become. At stake is more than the execution of specific policies; the EU’s entire climate agenda and even its foundational values could come under threat.
Of course, the answer is not digital autarky. Instead of cutting itself off from the rest of the world, Europe must promote freedom of choice. As the European Parliament made clear in its Jan. 22 resolution on European technological sovereignty and digital infrastructure, the first step is to map the EU’s dependencies. Following that operational challenge for the bloc, the next is to develop alternative methods: modular, interoperable, locally governed data ecosystems that can ensure continuity for scientific and industrial uses.
Data sovereignty is more than a political slogan; it could determine Europe’s ability to produce its own knowledge. To remain a leading scientific and industrial force in climate policy, renewable energy, and sustainability, the EU must secure access to the underlying data and analytics. That requires taking Ratso’s warning seriously.
• Bertrand Badre, a former managing director of the World Bank, is Chair of the Project Syndicate Advisory Board, CEO and Founder of Blue like an Orange Sustainable Capital, and the author of “Can Finance Save the World?” (Berrett-Koehler, 2018).
• Stephane Voisin is Director of the PARC Foundation at the Institut Louis Bachelier.
©Project Syndicate

Selected Face Book & X tweets on 13 June/2026
Nadim Koteich
Iran’s MP threatens to wipe Baku off the map in “3-4 hours.”Keep talking, clowns. The world is done with your lunatic regime. The map is being redrawn, and soon the regime in Tehran will get erased. Your collapsing theocracy is next.

Jonathan Elkhoury- جوناثان الخوري
From Tel Aviv  to Beirut , our rainbow is stronger than fear, louder than hate, and bigger than any border. As an Israeli-Lebanese gay man, I carry two homes in my heart: Lebanon and Israel.Today I walked alongside @Noatishby at Tel Aviv pride holding the Lebanese flag and Israeli flag with a clear message From Tel Aviv to Beirut: Our rainbow stretches across the Mediterranean, serving as a bridge between our two peoples. We are people. We are families, citizens, dreamers, and builders of peace. As Lebanon and Israel engage in peace talks, I believe that only peace can protect the diversity of our region and allow all its people to live, love, be safe, and prosper.
And yes, WE WANT PEACE!
Not as a slogan.
Not as a dream.
But as a future we build together.
Happy Pride, Tel Aviv.
Happy Pride, Beirut.

Tom Harb
It is now time to elevate the negotiating team to the Foreign Ministers level, involving Lebanon’s FM @YoussefRaggi , Israel’s FM @gidonsaar , and U.S. Secretary @SecRubio Their direct engagement will expedite the process and help put forward acceptable solutions to achieve the objectives.

Barak Ravid
President Trump will hold a separate bilateral meetings with leaders of Qatar, UAE and Egypt on Tuesday on the sidelines of the G7 summit, U.S. official says. Netanyahu is not expected to attend

Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Shout out to two dear friends and staunch proponents of peace in the Middle East:
@MorganOrtagus and Antoun Sehnaoui. Morgan is a force of nature who wrote the foreword to my book, The Arab Case for Israel. Antoun has been at the forefront of pushing for Lebanese-Israeli peace.

Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Lebanon’s Druze chief Jumblatt told Al-Jazeera that “a Lebanese group in Washington is more Israeli than the Israelis.” Hezbollah spun his comments and made it an attack on the Lebanese government delegation engaged in direct talks with its Israeli counterpart. Jumblatt then clarified that he didn’t mean the delegation because he supports direct talks, and that he only meant “political activists who work at American think tanks in Washington and put Israel’s interests ahead of the interests of Lebanon and its people.”Not a long time ago, Jumblatt said he wanted to go back to being an Ottoman (Turkish) citizen. He then accuses think tankers like me, who insist on Lebanese-Israeli peace, of being against Lebanon.

Shehbaz Sharif
We are closer to a peace deal than ever before. With finalisation likely expected in the next 24 hours, Pakistan is preparing for the electronic signing of the peace deal immediately after, followed by technical level talks next week. We would like to thank United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran for their ongoing commitment during the negotiations, and we extend our sincere appreciation to our brothers in the region for their support. We are confident that this historic peace deal will form a strong foundation for lasting peace.