English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News &
Editorials
For July 14/2026
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Jesus Stresses the Importance Of persistence in life
Luke 11/05-08: “And he said to them, ‘Suppose one of you has a
friend, and you go to him at midnight and say to him, “Friend, lend me three
loaves of bread; for a friend of mine has arrived, and I have nothing to set
before him.” And he answers from within, “Do not bother me; the door has already
been locked, and my children are with me in bed; I cannot get up and give you
anything.”I tell you, even though he will not get up and give him anything
because he is his friend, at least because of his persistence he will get up and
give him whatever he needs.”
Titles For Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on 13-14 July/2026
Lebanon and the Free Lebanese People Mourn Senator Lindsey Graham
Alongside All Lovers of Peace and Freedom/Elias Bejjani/July 12/2026
Conscience in Faith Concepts: The Divine Voice Dwelling in Man/Elias Bejjani/July
12/2025
A Testimony of Faith: The Story of the Three Massabki Brothers and Enduring
Sacrifices/Elias Bejjani/July 10/2026
Pilot Zones: Netanyahu Rejects Simultaneous Israeli Withdrawal, Lebanese Army
Deployment/Mohamed Choucair/13 July 2026
Hezbollah Insists on Linking Lebanon to Iran-US Negotiations
Leiter says to withdraw only if Hezbollah is removed from pilot zones
Health Ministry: 4,324 killed and 12,221 wounded in Israeli attacks since March
2
Israel’s Lebanon dilemma: Withdrawals, border security and reserve force
concerns
President Aoun, PM Salam discuss new Rome negotiations and upcoming U.S. visit
Israeli army shells Kfartebnit, detonates houses in Haddatha and Bint Jbeil
Iran tells Hezbollah, Berri that ending war, withdrawal are priorities in talks
with US
LBCI source: Lebanese delegation in Rome seeks agreement on start of pilot zones
implementation
Post-UNIFIL: Lebanon debates future of international forces in south
Israel drags feet on Lebanon troop pullout ahead of legislative vote
Berri claims 'vast majority of Muslims', half of Christians against framework
agreement
Hajj Hassan says framework agreement is an 'Israeli-Israeli agreement'
Sovereignty is No Longer the Goal of Settlements, but One of their Terms/Sam
Menassa/Asharq Al Awsat/July 13/2026
New Sanctions, Old Challenge: Hezbollah’s Bank Still a Problem for Lebanon/Ralph
Atrach & Jeremy Brecher/This Is Beirut/July 13/2026
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on 13-14 July/2026
Trump says Lindsey Graham’s sister should be
interim South Carolina senator
Trump says US reinstating Iran naval blockade after new clashes
Trump Suggests a Standing Order to Attack Iran if it Assassinates Him. But Vance
Would Make the Call
US Military Says It Struck Iran Port with Sea Drones
US hits Iran, Iran retaliates on Oman, Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan
Trump Says US will Be 'Paid' for Guarding Strait of Hormuz
ISF says detained Islamic State commander
Iran says continuing talks with mediators to 'prevent escalation'
Trump Says US Reinstates Blockade of Strait of Hormuz After New Clashes with
Iran
US Vows Campaign to End ICC ‘Threat’ to Americans
UK Unveils Plan to Ban Iran Revolutionary Guards
Nine European Countries and Ukraine Form Anti-Ballistic Missile Coalition
Oil prices jump nine percent on worsening US-Iran conflict
Saudi defense ministry says dealt with ballistic missiles launched by Houthis
Jordan Says it Shot Down 4 Missiles Launched by Iran
Arab League Secretary-General Reiterates Rejection of Iranian Attacks on Arab
States
EU, Partners Launch $1 billion Scheme to Help Gaza Recover from War
Top UN Official Accuses Hamas of Gaza Aid Obstruction
Yemen Signals Military Action and Diplomatic Move Against Iran
Israel sought to recruit Ahmadinejad in failed plan for regime change in Iran:
Report
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials
from miscellaneous sources published
on 13-14 July/2026
Video-Text Link from Fox News/ Extensive Interview with
President Trump REVEALS what Lindsey Graham told him before his death, War with
Iran & Many other interesting topics
In numbers, Hezbollah’s wars on Lebanon/Joanne Naoum/The Briruter/July 12/2026
The Great Palestinian Election Scam/Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/July
13, 2026
The Memorandum of Misunderstanding/Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al Awsat/July 13/2026
Politicians and Leaders’ Funerals: The Difficulties of Continuity/Hazem Saghieh/Hazem
Saghieh/Asharq Al Awsat/July 13/2026
Abbas Throws a Stone into Still Waters/Nabil Amr/Asharq Al Awsat/July 13/2026
On the Edge of Meaning… A Word in a Time of Noise… Lebanon… A Match Without
Goals/Father Tony Bou Assaf/Facebook/July 13/2026
David Schenker on Trump’s Syria delisting move/Amal Chmouny/The Beiruter/July
11, 2026
When Karbala Reached Its Limit/Nadim Koteich/Asas Media/July 13, 2026
Iran overstretching its hand: A dangerous gamble in a volatile region/Dr. Majid
Rafizadeh/Al Arabiya English/13 July, 2026
Selected Face Book & X tweets on 13 July
Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese
Related News & Editorials published on 13-14 July/2026
Lebanon and the Free Lebanese People Mourn Senator Lindsey Graham
Alongside All Lovers of Peace and Freedom
Elias Bejjani/July 12/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/07/155874/
“The Lord gave, and the Lord has taken away; blessed be the name
of the Lord.” (Job 01:21)
With profound sorrow and a heavy heart, we mourn the passing of Senator Lindsey
Graham.
His departure leaves a deep sense of loss not only among his family, friends,
colleagues, and fellow Americans, but also among countless Lebanese who regarded
him as a sincere friend, steadfast supporter, and courageous advocate for
Lebanon's sovereignty, independence, freedom, and democratic values.
Throughout the years, Senator Graham stood firmly in support of Lebanon's right
to remain a free and independent nation. He consistently voiced his support for
the Lebanese people's aspirations for dignity, liberty, self-determination, and
the preservation of their national integrity. His friendship toward Lebanon and
his concern for its future earned him the respect and gratitude of many Lebanese
across generations.
Today, Lebanon and its free people mourns the loss of a friend whose voice was
often raised in defense of freedom and whose commitment to democratic principles
resonated far beyond the borders of the United States. His legacy of public
service, conviction, and dedication to the values he cherished will long be
remembered.
In this moment of grief, our thoughts and prayers are with his family, loved
ones, friends, and the American people. We pray that God grants them strength,
comfort, and peace. As Christians, we find solace in the words of Holy
Scripture: “I am the resurrection and the life. The one who believes in Me will
live, even though they die.” (John 11:25) And: “Blessed are those who mourn, for
they shall be comforted.” (Matthew 5:4)
We also remember the comforting promise: “He will wipe every tear from their
eyes. There will be no more death or mourning or crying or pain.” (Revelation
21:4)
May the soul of Senator Lindsey Graham rest in eternal peace, and may perpetual
light shine upon him. His memory will remain alive in the hearts of those who
cherished freedom and in the gratitude of the Lebanese people who considered him
a dear friend.
May God receive him into His heavenly kingdom and grant him everlasting rest.
Conscience in Faith Concepts: The Divine Voice
Dwelling in Man
Elias Bejjani/July 12/2025
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/07/146391/
The study of conscience in the evangelical tradition is not merely an inquiry in
psychology or ethics, but a spiritual journey to explore the intimate
relationship between Creator and creature. Conscience, in its essence, is not
simply a human feeling or a product of social upbringing, but the Divine voice
dwelling in man—the presence of God guiding us to discern between good and evil.
It is the inner compass placed by the Creator in every human heart to be the
“judge” of thoughts and actions.
Conscience as a Divine Compass and Grace
Conscience is the “presence of God” within us. This is what distinguishes it
from a mere “feeling of guilt.” Saint John Chrysostom said: “Neither fame, nor
wealth, nor authority, nor bodily strength, nor a splendid table, nor elegant
clothes, nor any other human distinction can bring true happiness; but all these
come from a pure conscience.” This teaching affirms that true happiness springs
from inward harmony with God’s will, realized only through a straight
conscience. Christ likened conscience to the eye, saying:
“The lamp of the body is the eye. If therefore your eye is sound, your whole
body will be full of light. But if your eye is bad, your whole body will be full
of darkness.” (Matthew 6:22-23)
Here the “eye” is conscience—pure and undefiled, allowing the light of God to
fill the whole of life.
Conscience as an Inner Witness and the Voice of God
God, who created man in His own image and likeness (Genesis 1:27), did not
abandon him in the face of trials. He gave him conscience as a living voice, a
witness warning and restraining him—a kind of inner adversary against evil
intentions. Christ in the Sermon on the Mount said:
“Agree with your adversary quickly… lest your adversary deliver you to the
judge.” (Matthew 5:25)
This “adversary” is the conscience, confronting our wrongful desires to bring us
back to repentance before standing in divine judgment. The Apostle Paul
emphasized this truth, showing that conscience serves as a law written in the
heart even for the nations that did not receive the written Law: “For when
Gentiles, who do not have the Law, by nature do the things in the Law, these,
although not having the Law, are a law to themselves, who show the work of the
Law written in their hearts, their conscience also bearing witness, and between
themselves their thoughts accusing or else excusing them.” (Romans 2:14-15)
The Relationship Between Conscience and Freedom
In Christian understanding, freedom is not liberation from God but liberation
from sin. Jesus said:
“You shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.” (John 8:32)
Conscience directs and guards freedom. Neglect of conscience turns freedom into
demonic chaos leading to moral and social corruption. True freedom, however, is
the fruit of the Holy Spirit, freeing man from slavery to passions. Paul
declared:
“All things are lawful for me, but not all things are helpful. All things are
lawful for me, but I will not be brought under the power of any.” (1 Corinthians
6:12)
Thus, a pure conscience empowers man to exercise freedom responsibly, without
falling captive to desires, while considering the weakness of others:
“Conscience, I say, not your own, but that of the other. For why is my liberty
judged by another man’s conscience?” (1 Corinthians 10:29)
Conscience and Shame as Signs of Spiritual Life
Shame is the fruit of a living conscience. When man feels guilt, it is proof his
conscience is still listening to God’s voice. After the Fall, Adam and Eve felt
fear and shame:
“I heard Your voice in the garden, and I was afraid because I was naked; and I
hid myself.” (Genesis 3:10)
Likewise, when Jesus rebuked the scribes and Pharisees,
“Those who heard it, being convicted by their conscience, went out one by one,
beginning with the oldest even to the last.” (John 8:9)
The Apostle Paul warns against a “seared conscience”: “Speaking lies in
hypocrisy, having their own conscience seared with a hot iron.” (1 Timothy 4:2)
The death of conscience is the greatest spiritual danger—losing the ability to
hear God’s voice, leading to corruption and destruction.
The Saving Dimension of Conscience
A pure conscience leads to the Kingdom, for it brings repentance and holiness.
True peace comes only through forgiveness and the cleansing of conscience. Paul
proclaims:
“How much more shall the blood of Christ, who through the eternal Spirit offered
Himself without spot to God, cleanse your conscience from dead works to serve
the living God?” (Hebrews 9:14)
Baptism is not merely an external washing but the renewal of conscience:
“There is also an antitype which now saves us—baptism (not the removal of the
filth of the flesh, but the answer of a good conscience toward God), through the
resurrection of Jesus Christ.” (1 Peter 3:21)
The Christian Mission of Conscience
The believer is called to maintain a pure conscience and bear witness to truth
in a world that justifies sin under false slogans. Paul declared:
“This being so, I myself always strive to have a conscience without offense
toward God and men.” (Acts 24:16)
And again: “For our boasting is this: the testimony of our conscience that we
conducted ourselves in the world in simplicity and godly sincerity, not with
fleshly wisdom but by the grace of God.” (2 Corinthians 1:12)
Conscience in the Qur’anic Understanding: The Voice of God Within Man
Surah Ash-Shams (91:7–8)
Qur’anic text: {وَنَفْسٍ وَمَا سَوَّاهَا • فَأَلْهَمَهَا فُجُورَهَا وَتَقْوَاهَا}/Interpretive
translation in Arabic: By the soul and He who proportioned it, and inspired it
with its wickedness and its righteousness.
Surah Al-Qiyamah (75:2)
Qur’anic text: {وَلَا أُقْسِمُ بِالنَّفْسِ اللَّوَّامَةِ}/Interpretive
translation in Arabic: And I swear by the self-reproaching soul — the one that
reproaches its owner and blames him for his deeds.
Surah Al-Hashr (59:18)
Qur’anic text: {يَا أَيُّهَا الَّذِينَ آمَنُوا اتَّقُوا اللَّهَ وَلْتَنْظُرْ
نَفْسٌ مَا قَدَّمَتْ لِغَدٍ}/Interpretive translation in Arabic: O you who
believe, fear Allah, and let every soul look to what it has sent forth for
tomorrow (the Day of Judgment).
Surah Al-Infitar (82:10–12)
Qur’anic text: {وَإِنَّ عَلَيْكُمْ لَحَافِظِينَ • كِرَامًا كَاتِبِينَ •
يَعْلَمُونَ مَا تَفْعَلُونَ}/Interpretive translation in Arabic: Indeed, over
you are appointed guardians, noble recorders, who know whatever you do.
Surah Qaf (50:16)
Qur’anic text: {وَلَقَدْ خَلَقْنَا الْإِنسَانَ وَنَعْلَمُ مَا تُوَسْوِسُ بِهِ
نَفْسُهُ}/Interpretive translation in Arabic: We have certainly created man, and
We know what his soul whispers within him.
Surah Al-Isra (17:14)
Qur’anic text: {اقْرَأْ كِتَابَكَ كَفَى بِنَفْسِكَ الْيَوْمَ عَلَيْكَ حَسِيبًا}/Interpretive
translation in Arabic: Read your book; sufficient are you today against yourself
as reckoner.
Surah Aal ‘Imran (3:30)
Qur’anic text: {يَوْمَ تَجِدُ كُلُّ نَفْسٍ مَا عَمِلَتْ مِنْ خَيْرٍ مُحْضَرًا
وَمَا عَمِلَتْ مِنْ سُوءٍ}/Interpretive translation in Arabic: On that Day,
every soul will find present whatever good it has done, and whatever evil it has
done.
Surah Az-Zalzalah (99:7–8)
Qur’anic text: {فَمَنْ يَعْمَلْ مِثْقَالَ ذَرَّةٍ خَيْرًا يَرَهُ • وَمَنْ
يَعْمَلْ مِثْقَالَ ذَرَّةٍ شَرًّا يَرَهُ}/Interpretive translation in Arabic: So
whoever does an atom’s weight of good will see it, and whoever does an atom’s
weight of evil will see it.
Surah At-Takwir (81:14) Qur’anic text: {عَلِمَتْ نَفْسٌ مَا أَحْضَرَتْ}
Interpretive translation in Arabic: Then every soul will know what it has
brought forth.
Conclusion
In both the Bible and the Qur’an, conscience is understood as the inner voice of
God.
In Scripture: a witness of truth, guiding freedom, convicting of sin, and
leading to holiness.
In the Qur’an: the self-reproaching soul, the divine inspiration within man,
God’s knowledge of hidden thoughts, and the call to a pure heart.
Conscience, therefore, is the sacred meeting point between Creator and creature.
Whoever keeps his conscience pure lives in God’s light and tastes already the
pledge of the Kingdom. Whoever silences his conscience becomes enslaved to sin
and strays from God.
Let us pray to preserve this divine voice within us—alive, active, and obeyed—so
that our lives may glorify God and lead us into His eternal presence.
A Testimony of Faith: The Story of the Three
Massabki Brothers and Enduring Sacrifices
Elias Bejjani/July 10/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/07/145053/
In the bright pages of history that is filled with faith and sacrifice, shines
the story of the three Massabki brothers: Francis, Abdel Moati, and Raphael. In
Damascus in 1860, they wrote with their blood a powerful testament to spiritual
heroism. These Maronite martyrs, all over sixty years old, refused to abandon
their Christian faith despite threats of death. They became living examples of
what faith means in Christianity, proving that those who kill the body cannot
kill the believing soul. This heroic testimony still resonates today, connected
to similar sacrifices recently witnessed in Damascus, such as the bombing of St.
Elias Greek Orthodox Church.
The 1860 Massacres and an Unwavering Faith
On the night of July 10, 1860, Damascus saw bloody events targeting Christians.
The Massabki brothers, along with many other Christians and Franciscan priests,
sought refuge in a church. But the attackers broke in, demanding they change
their religion. It was then that the brothers’ strong faith shone through.
Francis spoke unforgettable words, showing their courage and resolve: “We don’t
fear those who kill the body… Our crown awaits us in heaven, and we have but one
soul, which we will not lose. We are Christians and we want to die Christians.”
Francis was a silk merchant known for his good Christian life; he’d never start
work without first visiting the church. Abdel Moati had left trade to teach at
the Franciscan school, while Raphael helped the brother in charge of the
sacristy. This good character and Christian commitment weren’t just outward
show; they were deeply rooted in their hearts, allowing them to face death with
unshakeable resolve. The three brothers were killed in the church before the
altar, their blood becoming a living testament to the power of their faith.
The Meaning of Faith in Christianity: “Whoever Acknowledges Me Before Others”
The story of the Massabki brothers clearly shows what faith means in
Christianity. In Christianity, faith isn’t just believing intellectually that
God exists. It’s a complete and total trust in God, involving surrender to His
will, obedience to His commands, and a readiness to sacrifice for Him. It’s a
living, personal relationship with God, built on love and hope.
The Bible verse: “Whoever acknowledges me before others, I will also acknowledge
before my Father in heaven. But whoever disowns me before others, I will disown
before my Father in heaven” (Matthew 10:32-33), highlights the importance of
publicly declaring one’s faith. Acknowledging Christ isn’t just words; it’s a
way of life—a willingness to face challenges and persecution for the truth. This
verse emphasizes a core principle: eternal life is the fruit of this confessed
faith, and witnessing for Christ in this world is the key to being acknowledged
by God in heaven.
Another important verse: “Do not be afraid of those who kill the body but cannot
kill the soul. Rather, be afraid of the One who can destroy both soul and body
in hell” (Matthew 10:28), points to the truth that physical death cannot end
spiritual life. For believers, physical death is a doorway to eternal life with
Christ. The Massabki brothers deeply understood this, so they didn’t fear death;
instead, they saw it as a path to the crown prepared for them in heaven.
The Continuation of Sacrifice: From the 1860 Massacres to the St. Elias Church
Bombing
Tragic events, such as the bombing of St. Elias Greek Orthodox Church in
Damascus, show that the spirit of persecution for faith has not ended with time.
Despite the significant time gap between the martyrdom of the Massabki brothers
and this horrific crime, there are strong and deep-rooted connections between
them:
Sacred Space as a Target: The Massabki brothers were martyred inside a church.
The same occurred at St. Elias Church, where terrorists stormed the building
while worshippers were inside, and one detonated an explosive belt, killing and
injuring dozens, including children, elderly, and women. In both incidents, a
house of God was turned into a scene of brutal violence against believers.
Targeted Because of Faith
The Massabki brothers paid the ultimate price for refusing to abandon their
faith. In the St. Elias Church bombing, the targets were Christian worshippers
gathered for prayer, confirming that the primary motive behind the attack was to
target the Christian faith itself. Both crimes aimed to terrorize Christians and
force them to abandon their religious identity.
Continuous Witness
The victims of St. Elias Church, like the Massabki brothers, made the ultimate
sacrifice. They became martyrs for their faith, not necessarily for verbally
refusing to deny Christ, but because they were killed for being Christians
exercising their right to worship. This embodies the profound meaning of the
verse: “Do not be afraid of those who kill the body,” for despite the killing
and destruction, faith remains alive and triumphant. Connected History of
Persecution: What happened at St. Elias Church reminds us of the persecutions
that occurred in 1860 and others throughout history. It confirms that Christian
communities in the region continue to face existential challenges that demand
steadfastness and resilience in the face of violence and extremism.
Ecclesiastical Honor: Saints on the Altar of God
In recognition of their heroic sacrifice, the Catholic Church beatified the
three Massabki brothers. On October 10, 1926, Pope Pius XI declared their
beatification. Then, on October 20, 2024, Pope Francis declared them saints,
placing them on the altar of God.
Today, the Lebanese Maronite Church, along with the entire Catholic Church,
remembers the testimony of these brothers who never abandoned Christ or their
faith in Him. They accepted martyrdom because of their unwavering belief. Their
remains are still kept in the Maronite church in Damascus, serving as a lasting
reminder of their sacrifice and unshakeable faith.
The story of the three Massabki brothers, and the sacrifices of the martyrs of
St. Elias Church, call every believer to reflect on the meaning of true faith
and to be ready to bear witness to Christ in all circumstances, understanding
that the believing soul is stronger than any attempt to destroy it. These
stories highlight that faith is not just a belief, but a life lived and
sacrificed for.
Pilot Zones: Netanyahu Rejects Simultaneous Israeli Withdrawal, Lebanese Army
Deployment
Mohamed Choucair/13 July 2026
Implementation of the “pilot zones” in southern Lebanon under the Framework
Agreement remains stalled by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s refusal
to allow the Lebanese army to deploy simultaneously with an Israeli troop
withdrawal, a move intended to prevent a security vacuum.
The issue has become a top US priority as Washington presses Netanyahu to
facilitate the Lebanese army’s deployment ahead of the sixth round of
US-mediated Lebanese-Israeli talks, scheduled for July 15-16 in Rome. The
negotiations are expected to discuss the formation of joint committees,
including a coordination committee headed by US General Joseph Clearfield, to
oversee the Lebanese army’s deployment in the areas covered by the agreement and
coordinate field operations to ensure smooth implementation. The talks are also
expected to consider expanding the pilot zones beyond southern towns already
under Lebanese state control to include, in phases, towns that remain under
Israeli occupation. The proposed committee would intervene immediately to
address any operational problems that could disrupt the deployment. A
ministerial source told Asharq Al-Awsat that a recent meeting between the
Lebanese army command and the US monitoring team overseeing the deployment ended
with an understanding that Lebanese forces should deploy simultaneously with an
Israeli withdrawal. The plan would extend beyond areas already under state
control to include occupied towns. According to the source, the main obstacle
remains Netanyahu himself, who opposes both the concept of pilot zones and the
gradual withdrawal of Israeli forces from occupied Lebanese towns. The source
said US Secretary of State Marco Rubio intervened during the fourth and fifth
negotiating rounds to pressure the Israeli delegation into making the pilot
zones a main clause because they would pave the way for the Lebanese army’s
deployment up to the international border. The source argued that Netanyahu’s
position is shaped by domestic politics as he prepares for parliamentary
elections and therefore opposes any explicit commitment in the Framework
Agreement requiring an Israeli withdrawal. Instead, Netanyahu insists that the
Lebanese army first deploy only in towns outside the occupied areas to test its
ability to establish full control and prevent any armed Hezbollah presence
before considering subsequent phases. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, however,
continues to insist on simultaneous deployment and withdrawal, the source
underlined, adding that his position has received backing from the US monitoring
team following a meeting with Admiral Brad Cooper, commander of US Central
Command (CENTCOM).
The source added that Aoun reiterated the same position during talks with US
Ambassador to Lebanon Michel Issa, who expressed understanding for Lebanon’s
insistence on simultaneity and did not object to amending certain provisions of
the Framework Agreement, describing it as a negotiating roadmap rather than a
final accord. In practical terms, the source said, any amendments would
facilitate implementation on the ground with US support. Lebanese and American
preparations for the deployment plan are complete, pending Netanyahu’s approval
of simultaneous implementation.
Issa is said to view the planned July 21 meeting in Washington between US
President Donald Trump and Aoun as an opportunity to gauge whether the US
administration is prepared to back Lebanon with concrete action rather than
rhetoric. The source said Washington’s military pressure on Iran serves two
objectives: compelling Tehran to honor its commitments under its memorandum of
understanding with the US and ending its interference in Lebanon by encouraging
Hezbollah to facilitate implementation of the Framework Agreement, now viewed as
the only viable path after the military option collapsed. According to the
source, Trump remains committed to supporting Lebanon, while Washington
continues to pressure Iran to curb the Revolutionary Guard’s role in Lebanese
affairs and remove obstacles to implementing the agreement, seen as the only
route toward an Israeli withdrawal.
Hezbollah Insists on Linking Lebanon to Iran-US
Negotiations
Beirut: Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
As Lebanon places its hopes on direct negotiations with Israel, Hezbollah
continues to insist that the Lebanese file be tied to Iran-US talks, with party
officials declaring Sunday that Lebanon would be the first item in any final
agreement. Days before a sixth round of Lebanese-Israeli negotiations expected
in Rome, Hezbollah MP Hussein Hajj Hassan said Iranian officials had assured
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri and Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim
Qassem that Lebanon would top the agenda of any potential final agreement with
Washington. “The first item will be a permanent ceasefire, an end to the war and
an Israeli withdrawal,” Hajj Hassan told a memorial ceremony, calling this a
clear and sufficient Iranian commitment. He also denounced the Framework
Agreement between Lebanon and Israel as “full of sins, flaws and loopholes.” It
linked redeployment to pilot zones whose number and size remained unclear, he
argued, while making disarmament dependent on Israeli satisfaction with the
outcome. Hajj Hassan renewed Hezbollah’s refusal to surrender its weapons.
“Disarmament is unattainable,” he told Lebanese officials. “You will not be able
to achieve it, and we will not hand over our weapons.” Fellow Hezbollah MP
Ibrahim Mousawi likewise reaffirmed support for the “resistance and its
leadership,” maintaining that its popular base would remain steadfast despite
mounting pressure. Mousawi claimed Lebanon was the first item in the memorandum
of understanding signed by Iran and the United States in Islamabad. He also
criticized Lebanon’s negotiating track, arguing that sovereignty was achieved
through defending and sacrificing for the country, not through slogans.
President Joseph Aoun, however, has insisted on keeping the Lebanese and Iranian
tracks separate. “Under no circumstances will I allow anyone to negotiate on
Lebanon’s behalf,” Aoun said recently, adding that Lebanon had secured Israeli
recognition that it had no territorial ambitions in the country. “The state’s
train has left the station, and the decision to establish a state monopoly on
weapons will be implemented,” he added. Meanwhile, Israeli violations continued
across southern Lebanon early Sunday. Israeli forces demolished homes in Majdal
Zoun, fired toward houses in Mansouri and carried out explosions in Bint Jbeil.
Artillery struck Kfar Tibnit, while machine-gun fire was reported from Qantara.
An Israeli aircraft also dropped a stun grenade near Mansouri, and artillery
fire sparked blazes around Hamra Farm, between Zawtar al-Sharqiya, Arnoun and
Yohmor al-Shaqif. Lt. Col. Ella Waweya, the Israeli military’s Arabic-language
spokesperson, maintained that Israel would not allow Hezbollah to rebuild. She
wrote on X that the 551st Brigade, under the 91st Division, had completed a
two-month deployment in southern Lebanon, during which Israeli troops killed
more than 80 Hezbollah members and destroyed over 200 sites, including
underground routes, launchers, weapons depots and observation posts. The
developments came as a US military delegation visited Beirut to discuss
implementing an Israeli withdrawal from the first pilot zone.Lebanon, Israel and
the United States signed the Framework Agreement in Washington on June 26. It
provides for a phased Israeli withdrawal alongside Lebanese Army deployment.
Implementation, however, remains stalled by Israel’s demand that further
withdrawals be tied to Hezbollah’s disarmament, which the group rejects while
continuing to rely on Iran’s role in any future settlement.
Leiter says to withdraw only if Hezbollah is removed
from pilot zones
Naharnet/13 July 2026
Israeli Ambassador to the United States Yechiel Leiter has said that the Israeli
army will only withdraw from Lebanon if Hezbollah is removed from pilot zones in
the country's south. "If Hezbollah is going to stay there, we haven't
accomplished anything, and that's why they're called pilot zones," Leiter told
U.S. TV network CBS. "If it works, then we continue the withdrawal. If it
doesn't work, then we stay where we are."Leiter, one of the lead representatives
on the matter in Washington, stressed that the withdrawal plan is not delayed
and that the framework hinges on the Lebanese Army being "receptive" to the
pilot zones. "Hezbollah has no business in Lebanon," he said. "As a matter of
fact, Israel and Lebanon are on the same page. We want Hezbollah out for our
security and for their sovereignty. We can withdraw the moment that Hezbollah is
dismantled," Leiter added. He referred to himself as "leading the negotiations
on Israel's behalf with Lebanon," adding that he knows "a thing or two about the
trilateral agreement."Leiter emphasized Israel's refusal to return to a
situation where it is threatened by a possible October 7-like attack by
Hezbollah. He added that talks between Israel and Lebanon are set to continue in
Rome, noting that his attendance will depend on plans for the funeral of the
late U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham, who died on Saturday following health
complications. When asked about the relationship between the U.S.-Iran
Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) and Israel's negotiations with Lebanon, Leiter
responded that Tehran has "no business" in the region. "What the agreement with
Lebanon does is completely remove Iran from the paradigm," said Leiter. "Iran is
not to be involved in Lebanon."
Health Ministry: 4,324 killed and 12,221 wounded in Israeli
attacks since March 2
LBCI/13 July 2026
Lebanon’s Health Ministry said the cumulative toll from the hostilities since
March 2 through July 13 has reached 4,324 killed and 12,221 wounded.
Israel’s Lebanon dilemma: Withdrawals, border security and
reserve force concerns
LBCI/13 July 2026
Israeli security agencies consider the situation in southern Lebanon to have
entered a highly complex phase, amid U.S. and international pressure to reach
diplomatic understandings with Beirut, including Israeli withdrawals from areas
entered by the army. Amid the evolving situation and time pressure, the Israeli
military has developed an intensive plan aimed at strengthening what it
describes as its defense of the international border line between Lebanon and
Israel, including communities near the border fence. As part of the plan, the
army is reinforcing its presence along the Yellow Line to counter potential
infiltration attempts, gunfire, drone activity and anti-tank missile launches by
Hezbollah. The military plan coincides with the presence of a U.S. military team
that has been traveling between Tel Aviv and Beirut since the beginning of July.
U.S.-Israeli coordination extends beyond Lebanon and also includes Iran-related
issues. Despite Israeli reports that U.S. President Donald Trump does not want
Israel to participate in the current confrontation with Iran, the two countries'
air forces are conducting joint exercises. Meanwhile, Israel has promoted its
involvement in strikes against Iran by highlighting the intelligence it has
provided to the U.S. military regarding targets there. Amid preparations by the
air force for a possible attack on Iran and increased ground forces activity to
achieve objectives in southern Lebanon, Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir has
presented decision-makers with a new challenge: the reserve forces. Zamir has
ordered reductions in the military presence in Gaza and Lebanon in preparation
for strengthening the West Bank front. The military establishment has warned
decision-makers that the operational capacity of reserve soldiers has reached
its limits and is close to collapse.
President Aoun, PM Salam discuss new Rome negotiations and
upcoming U.S. visit
LBCI/13 July 2026
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun met with Prime Minister Nawaf Salam at Baabda
Palace on Monday to discuss the general situation in the country, particularly
in the south, amid the continuation of Israeli hostilities. The meeting also
focused on the new round of Lebanese-U.S.-Israeli negotiations scheduled to take
place in Rome on Tuesday and Wednesday. Aoun was briefed on the instructions
given to the Lebanese delegation to demand the immediate start of an Israeli
withdrawal from the two pilot areas before addressing any other issues. Salam
also briefed Aoun on the outcome of his official visit to Turkey and his talks
with Turkish officials, including President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The
discussions also covered Aoun’s upcoming visit to the United States and his
planned meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump.
Israeli army shells Kfartebnit, detonates houses in
Haddatha and Bint Jbeil
Naharnet/13 July 2026
Israeli forces detonated and burned houses in the southern town of Haddatha, on
Monday, and carried out at dawn massive explosions in Bint Jbeil. Israeli
artillery later shelled the Nabatieh-Kfartebnit region, the National News Agency
said. Lebanon would take part in planned talks with Israel next week in Rome,
after Beirut conditioned participation on Israel withdrawing from certain areas
it occupies in the south. A U.S. military delegation visited the country
Saturday to discuss implementing a framework agreement that stipulates Israel's
withdrawal from pilot zones it occupies in south Lebanon.
Iran tells Hezbollah, Berri that ending war, withdrawal are
priorities in talks with US
Naharnet/13 July 2026
Speaker Nabih Berri and Hezbollah’s leadership have received a “new message”
from the Iranian leadership, which was sent on Sunday, al-Akhbar newspaper
reported on Monday. “Tehran informed the Qatari and Pakistani mediators that
ending the war on Lebanon and completing the Israeli withdrawal are priorities
that are equal in importance to the issue of the Strait of Hormuz, as well as
implementing the memorandum of understanding signed with the United States,”
informed sources told the daily.
LBCI source: Lebanese delegation in Rome seeks agreement on
start of pilot zones implementation
LBCI/13 July 2026
LBCI reported that the Lebanese delegation participating in upcoming talks in
Rome will seek to secure an agreement on the launch of the pilot zones in South
Lebanon. The move comes under the direction of Lebanese President Joseph Aoun,
who instructed the delegation to work toward ensuring that the meetings result
in a clear timeline for beginning implementation of the pilot zones along with
all related requirements. According to the source, Lebanon's position is that
implementation must include the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the designated
areas, the redeployment of the Lebanese Army, and the start of reconstruction
efforts.
Post-UNIFIL: Lebanon debates future of international forces in south
LBCI/13 July 2026
A debate is intensifying in Lebanon over the future of international military
presence in the south as the mandate of the United Nations Interim Force in
Lebanon (UNIFIL) approaches its expiration at the end of this year. Amid
discussions over the future security arrangements for South Lebanon, there is a
growing push for maintaining some form of foreign military presence, either
under the United Nations flag, the European Union, or potentially through other
international frameworks, including a possible U.S. role. With no agreed formula
yet for what would replace UNIFIL, 86 Lebanese lawmakers sent a letter to the
United Nations Security Council calling for the continuation of the peacekeeping
force's mission.The letter was not signed by two major political parties:
Hezbollah and the Lebanese Forces. Sources close to the Lebanese Forces said the
south requires a different arrangement from the current UNIFIL framework, adding
that Washington and several other capitals are working on an alternative
formula. Meanwhile, Hezbollah has remained silent on the issue, although the
group has previously expressed dissatisfaction with UNIFIL's role, and several
confrontations have occurred between the force and communities in areas where
Hezbollah has influence. In contrast, the Amal Movement, whose leader Parliament
Speaker Nabih Berri signed the letter, strongly supports maintaining UNIFIL in
its current form, considering it the most acceptable arrangement at this stage.
Foreign Minister Youssef Rajji facilitated the transmission of the lawmakers'
letter to the Security Council, while a delegation of parliamentarians is
expected to visit member states to advocate for extending UNIFIL's mandate.
French diplomatic sources told LBCI that the issue of a replacement for UNIFIL
must be decided soon, but that Paris is still awaiting an official Lebanese
request clarifying the type of force Beirut wants to see deployed on its
territory. The sources said the decision appears linked to the outcome of
Lebanon-Israel negotiations as well as U.S.-Iran talks. France, Italy, Spain,
and Germany have officially expressed readiness to participate in any future
international force, while Lebanese authorities have welcomed their willingness
to contribute.
Israel drags feet on Lebanon troop pullout ahead of
legislative vote
Naharnet/13 July 2026
Israel is still procrastinating and coming up with excuses to delay withdrawal
from south Lebanon despite U.S. and Lebanese pressure in this regard, media
reports said. The Israeli government wants to delay any withdrawals until after
the Israeli parliamentary elections, scheduled for October, the reports said.
“So far the efforts have not reached final results, knowing that Lebanon is
coordinating with the Americans over the occupied territories from which Israel
is supposed to withdraw so that the Lebanese Army can enter them,” the reports
added.
Berri claims 'vast majority of Muslims', half of
Christians against framework agreement
Naharnet/13 July 2026
In response to questions conveyed by local and international mediators, Speaker
Nabih Berri and Hezbollah have reiterated their rejection of the framework
agreement with Israel, emphasizing that they would not engage with all its
provisions, al-Akhbar newspaper reported on Monday.
“The Army Command is aware of this stance and understands that implementing any
military action on the ground by force would be extremely difficult,” Berri and
Hezbollah reportedly added. Berri has also been quoted as saying that “the
framework agreement is now a thing of the past, having lost any significant
support on the domestic scene.”Berri reportedly claimed that “the vast majority
of Muslims oppose it, while it enjoys the support of no more than half of the
Christians.”Berri has also told Druze leader Walid Jumblat that “the
U.S.-Iranian communication channels remain open despite the existing tensions,”
and that “the Lebanese issue would once again become a separate item on the
agenda,” al-Akhbar reported.
Hajj Hassan says framework agreement is an 'Israeli-Israeli
agreement'
Naharnet/13 July 2026
MP Hussein al-Hajj Hassan of Hezbollah on Monday suggested that "the Presidency
and the government are committing to things they cannot implement” in the
negotiations with Israel.
“They send a Lebanese delegation to Rome to continue negotiations regarding
pilot zones, while at the same time Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz says
that 200,000 Lebanese citizens whose villages in the south were destroyed will
not return," Hajj Hassan noted.
"What is your response to this statement?" the MP added, addressing President
Joseph Aoun. "In the framework agreement, you committed to disarming the
resistance. You committed to something that is both wrong and sinful, and you
will not be able to fulfill your commitment. You will not be able to disarm the
resistance, no one will be able to disarm it, and we will not allow it,” Hajj
Hassan went on to say. "The Israelis will blackmail you to the fullest extent,”
the legislator warned. He considered that "the agreement between Lebanon,
America, and Israel is an Israeli-Israeli agreement, and since the signing of
the agreement until today, the destruction, bulldozing, and aggression have not
stopped.” Hajj Hassan added that “there are developments and possibilities that
will bring an agreement that includes Lebanon with a ceasefire and Israel’s
withdrawal from the south without any restrictions or conditions, and this
requires patience and steadfastness.”“Lebanon is the first item in the
memorandum of understanding that was signed between the U.S. and Iran under
Pakistani-Qatari sponsorship, with two basic conditions, which are a ceasefire
without freedom of movement, and an Israeli withdrawal from all Lebanese
territories,” the lawmaker added.
Sovereignty is No Longer the Goal of Settlements, but
One of their Terms
Sam Menassa/Asharq Al Awsat/July 13/2026
However which way one reads the visit of Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani
to Beirut, it restored Lebanese-Syrian relations to their normal course and
remains a step of great importance- provided the relationship rests on
cooperation and coordination between two independent states. This was no
ordinary diplomatic pitstop. It came at an exceptionally sensitive regional
moment, amid increasing discussion of new arrangements concerning Lebanon's
future and Hezbollah's place in the regional balance of power.
Shaibani's statements about Damascus's readiness to help address the Hezbollah
question cannot be understood in isolation from the positions voiced by US
President Donald Trump, who has said more than once that Syria should play a
role in this matter.
Damascus appears eager to present itself as a partner in building stability
rather than an extension of the former era. It understands that a return to the
Lebanese arena cannot be accomplished by the old methods, and it is therefore
seeking to put its geographic position, its renewed Arab and international
engagement, and its intimate knowledge of Lebanese affairs to work in restoring
its regional role and entrenching its presence in the region's emerging security
and political arrangements.
American reliance on Syria in dealing with Hezbollah, in turn, reflects a shift
in Washington's approach. The United States appears to have moved from managing
the war to managing its consequences. In the American reading, Israel succeeded
in degrading Hezbollah's military capabilities without eliminating its political
and social power. Washington is therefore leaning toward a political approach
that reshapes Hezbollah’s base rather than pursuing military means alone.
In the background, Washington also appears to be encouraging expanded economic
cooperation between Iraq and Syria as a way of reintegrating Damascus into its
Arab surroundings, and of gradually weaning both countries off the Iranian axis.
This would, in time, have implications for their political and regional
alignments.Türkiye's position, by contrast, reflects concern that these
arrangements could redraw the map of influence in the Levant and the eastern
Mediterranean in ways that marginalize Ankara, whether through a new Syrian role
or through a US-Iranian understanding that alters the region's balance of power.
Where does Lebanon stand amid this flurry of activity? From Washington to
Tehran, by way of Damascus, Ankara, and Tel Aviv, everyone is discussing
Lebanon's future. Lebanon’s voice remains absent from the process of shaping it.
This is not merely a political irony; it is a genuine crisis of sovereignty that
turns the Lebanese state into an arena where the interests of others intersect,
rendering Lebanon once again the consolation prize of other parties'
settlements. State-building, meanwhile, remains a distant objective, and
sovereignty negotiable rather than the starting point of any settlement.
The threat is no longer confined to the substance of any agreement; it extends
to the logic governing it. When Lebanon is reduced to Hezbollah within
US-Iranian understandings, or when security arrangements with Israel are tied to
reshaping the Lebanese reality, the issue goes the resolution of a security
crisis and raises a question about the very nature of the state. The conflict is
no longer solely about Hezbollah's arms. It is also a conflict between two
conceptions of the state: one in which the state alone holds the power of
decision, exercises sovereignty, and has the right to use force; and another in
which state institutions and de facto powers share sovereignty.When settlements
are built around arrangements that bypass the state's authority, when unofficial
actors are treated as part of the mechanism for implementing agreements, or when
a foreign state is licensed to intervene militarily, the discussion stops being
about restoring sovereignty and becomes about delineating it. Sovereignty, then,
is no longer the foundation on which settlements are built. It has become merely
one of their terms that is subject to negotiation and redefinition with every
new crisis.
It is true that Lebanon's internal divisions invite external powers to intervene
to facilitate settlements. There is a fundamental difference, however, between
international support for a sovereign Lebanese decision and a situation in which
Lebanon's future is determined by arrangements drawn up beyond its borders and
then handed to it for implementation.Imposed settlements may ease tensions for a
time, but they build neither a stable state nor sustainable sovereignty. The
real challenge remains changing the perception of Lebanon as an arena for
managing regional balances. Lebanon must be neither within Iran’s sphere of
influence nor a security zone Israel invokes to justify its interventions or a
bargaining chip in regional and international deals.Restoring sovereignty does
not begin with ending security crises alone. It begins with affirming a simple
principle: Lebanese decisions must be made first and foremost in Beirut, not in
regional and international capitals, and not as a reflection of balances of
power beyond the country's borders.
New Sanctions, Old Challenge: Hezbollah’s Bank Still a
Problem for Lebanon
Ralph Atrach & Jeremy Brecher/This Is Beirut/July 13/2026
On June 30, the U.S. and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries’ Terrorist
Financing Targeting Center (TFTC) announced new sanctions against Hezbollah’s
financial network, including its de facto bank, Al-Qard al-Hassan.
“Hezbollah uses Al-Qard Al-Hassan to facilitate its destabilizing militant
activities, undermining the Lebanese people’s ability to rebuild while enabling
the group’s own interests,” the U.S. Department of the Treasury said in its
sanctions announcement.
First sanctioned by the U.S. in 2007, Al-Qard al-Hassan has long operated beyond
Lebanon’s regulatory oversight. After Lebanon’s banking sector collapsed in
2019, a shadow cash economy expanded, creating new opportunities for Hezbollah
and Al-Qard al-Hassan to exploit. Since 2024, the institution has also emerged
as a major target of Israeli military operations. “By hoarding hard currency
that is desperately needed by the Lebanese economy, Al-Qard al-Hassan allows
Hezbollah to build its own support base and compromise the stability of the
Lebanese state,” the U.S. Treasury added.
This is Beirut spoke to experts to explain Al-Qard al-Hassan’s regulatory
workarounds, its operations as a lender, its role in Hezbollah’s global illicit
financial networks, and the sanctions targeting the organization.
Regulatory Exploit
Exploiting its legal status as a non-governmental organization, Al-Qard
al-Hassan has served as a financial workaround that allows Hezbollah to avoid
regulatory scrutiny. "It functions as a bank," said Matthew Levitt, a senior
fellow at the Washington Institute and a former U.S. Treasury official.
"The key difference is that it is registered as a charity—not as a licensed
financial institution—which means it has largely operated outside Lebanon's
financial regulatory framework," he explained. By operating outside the
regulatory framework governing financial institutions, Al-Qard al-Hassan has
become a powerful tool for Hezbollah’s sanctions evasion. "Unless law
enforcement or intelligence services actively investigate it," Levitt said, "the
government simply does not have the same visibility it would normally have over
a licensed financial institution."Al-Qard al-Hassan is emblematic of Lebanon’s
gray cash-based economy, according to Lebanese political activist and financial
advisor Amir Mokdad. Unlike licensed banks, whose transactions are subject to
anti-money laundering rules and financial reporting requirements, institutions
that operate largely in cash leave few records for regulators to examine. Mokdad
explained that "if an institution is not part of the national or international
financial network—or even the international money transfer system—it becomes
much harder for authorities to monitor or audit its financial
activities.""Because Hezbollah operates outside that regulatory framework, it is
able to evade sanctions, avoid audits, and remain outside both the Lebanese and
the international financial system.”
Gold, Loans, and Cash
Al-Qard al-Hassan operates under a relatively simple lending model. Individuals
seeking small loans provide physical gold—such as jewelry, necklaces, or gold
bars—as collateral. The institution assesses the gold’s value before issuing a
loan worth only a fraction of the collateral’s market price.
"If someone brings in gold worth $1,000, they may receive a loan of around
$800," Mokdad explained. "If the borrower defaults, the institution simply sells
the gold."The defining feature of Hezbollah's financial model, according to
Mokdad, lies in its cash flow. "Hezbollah doesn't necessarily need to launder
large amounts of money because it operates largely within a cash economy," he
said. Cash transactions leave few electronic records, making them considerably
more difficult for regulators to trace. Mokdad said that much of Hezbollah’s
funding still enters Lebanon physically from Iran rather than through
conventional banking channels. The remainder, he added, must be generated
through domestic and international networks. Since Lebanon’s 2019 economic
collapse, the party’s reliance on cash has become even more pronounced. With
decreased confidence in commercial banks, Al-Qard al-Hassan increasingly
positioned itself as an alternative financial institution for many within
Hezbollah's support base.Beyond lending, Al-Qard al-Hassan functions as a social
institution, Mokdad noted, comparing it to Hezbollah's Martyrs Foundation and
Jihad al-Binaa Foundation. "These organizations don't only generate revenue.
They strengthen Hezbollah's influence within society because many people benefit
directly from the services they provide."
Why Sanctions Matter
While international sanctions cannot on their own dismantle Hezbollah’s illicit
financial networks, they have an important role to play in constraining the
party’s operations. "They reduce the number of available options and increase
both the cost and the difficulty of moving funds," Mokdad said.
Beyond restricting financial flows, sanctions negatively impact client
confidence in targeted institutions, such as Al-Qard al-Hassan. "If people begin
to fear that branches could be targeted or that the gold they deposited may no
longer be safe, they may decide not to entrust the institution with their
savings," Mokdad said. Likewise, he said, Israel’s military strikes against Al-Qard
al-Hassan could have further undermined confidence in the institution’s lending
model and increased perceived risk in what would otherwise be low-risk financial
practices.
Levitt argued that actions against Hezbollah’s financial infrastructure
strengthen Lebanon’s legitimate banking sector. "There is often concern that
taking action against Hezbollah financing could damage Lebanon's financial
system," he said. "In reality, that concern is usually exaggerated."
Lebanese bankers welcome international enforcement efforts because they
reinforce attempts to protect the country's financial system from abuse, Levitt
said. "Taking action against institutions behaving illegally actually
strengthens confidence in the banking sector," he said.
But Levitt stressed that international sanctions have a limited impact without
complementary enforcement from local authorities. “This is the Lebanese
financial system, so it would be great if we could see Lebanon taking action,”
he said. He cautioned that Al-Qard al-Hassan “is not the end-all, be-all” and
that a notable number of exchange houses in the country, “some of which have
been sanctioned for years,” remain operational and are of high importance to
Hezbollah.
Following Hezbollah's Money
Al-Qard al-Hassan is merely one node within Hezbollah’s broader financial
network. The militia relies on a global illicit financial network that
facilitates its money laundering processes and diversifies and expands its
sources of cash revenue. Despite Hezbollah's heavy reliance on cash for its
domestic operations, moving money across borders requires more sophisticated
methods. Former U.S. Treasury official Hagar Chemali says that one of the most
effective tools remains trade-based money laundering. Rather than transferring
illicit funds directly, organizations exploit legitimate commercial transactions
to disguise the movement of value. Shipments may be deliberately misdeclared,
with expensive equipment falsely described as low-value goods such as office
supplies. In other cases of trade-based money laundering, legitimate cargo is
mixed with concealed goods, allowing transactions to pass through ordinary
banking and customs procedures while appearing entirely lawful. Chemali
highlighted structural weaknesses in customs enforcement in several
jurisdictions, including Lebanon, all of which suffer from limited inspection
capacity that reduces the likelihood of detection. She pointed to physical cash
smuggling, prepaid financial cards, and cryptocurrencies as increasingly
important components of illicit financial networks. Digital assets present
particular challenges because identifying the beneficial owner behind a
cryptocurrency wallet remains difficult. Beyond Hezbollah’s core in Lebanon,
Chemali identifies several regions that continue to attract international
attention as a part of the party’s global network. The tri-border area between
Argentina, Paraguay, and Brazil is vulnerable due to its porous frontiers and
limited regulatory oversight, allowing seemingly legitimate businesses to serve
as conduits for financial transfers.
Hezbollah's Financial Global Network: The Transnational Cash Pipeline This is
Beirut
Expand
Hezbollah has also utilized networks for illicit financing in West Africa—Côte
d'Ivoire, Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Senegal—tapping into significant Lebanese
diasporas living and conducting business in the region. Activity in this region
has been used in Hezbollah’s fundraising and money laundering endeavors, further
supported by weak institutional oversight in these countries. Chemali also
pointed to Venezuela, where networks allegedly involving organized crime and
political actors have previously facilitated illicit financial activity.
However, following the U.S. capture of former President Nicolás Maduro,
Venezuela’s connections to Hezbollah and the broader Iran-led “Axis of
Resistance” could be coming to an end. Syria, for its part, had long served as a
hub for Hezbollah’s smuggling of cash, arms, and goods into Lebanon under the
Bashar al-Assad regime. Even as Syria’s new authorities and Lebanon’s government
seek to reassert state control along the border, Hezbollah has sought to
preserve these networks. From these spokes to its hub in Lebanon, Hezbollah has
turned its illicit financing into an ongoing contest of adaptation and evasion
against the authorities trying to stop it. The persistence of Al-Qard al-Hassan,
which continues operating in Lebanon after nearly two decades of U.S. sanctions,
highlights the challenge of constraining the group’s financial networks.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on 13-14 July/2026
Trump says Lindsey Graham’s sister should be interim
South Carolina senator
Reuters/13 July, 2026
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that he had recommended Lindsey
Graham’s sister to fill the late South Carolina senator's seat on an interim
basis. “I recommended, to Governor Henry McMaster, Lindsey Graham’s wonderful
sister, Darline, to serve as interim Senator from the Great State of South
Carolina. This would be a fabulous tribute to Lindsey, who loved her dearly!” he
wrote on Truth Social.
Trump says US reinstating Iran naval blockade after new
clashes
Al Arabiya English/13 July, 2026
President Donald Trump said on Monday the United States was reinstating its
blockade of Iranian shipping in the Gulf and would ensure the Strait of Hormuz
stays open after the two sides exchanged more missile and drone attacks. The
latest hostilities followed an announcement by Iran over the weekend that it was
closing the strait, and cast further doubt on the viability of an interim deal
to halt the war in the Middle East and drove oil prices higher. “The Hormuz
Strait is OPEN, and will remain OPEN, with or without Iran. We are reinstating
THE IRANIAN BLOCKADE,” Trump said on Truth Social. “The U.S.A. will be, from
this point forward, known as ‘THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT’, but as such,
and as a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20 percent on
all cargo shipped.”Iran’s top joint military command said the US had no role in
determining the future of the vital shipping route and said in a statement on
Monday it would not be allowed to intervene in the management of the strait.
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed on Monday it had
targeted US military facilities in Bahrain and Kuwait, destroyed radar systems
in Oman and hit fuel tanks and ammunition depots at Prince Hassan Air Base in
Jordan in response to US strikes. The US military said it had struck Iranian air
defense systems, coastal radar sites, missile and drone capabilities and small
boats on Sunday, using aircraft, naval vessels and drones. On Monday, the US
attacked military sites in southern parts of Iran, including Qeshm, Bandar Abbas
and Abadan, Iran’s official news agency IRNA said, citing a local official.
Bahrain said its air defense systems had intercepted several Iranian missile and
drone attacks early on Monday. The latest exchanges mark an escalation in both
the pace and geographic reach of attacks over the past week, throwing into
question an interim US-Iranian agreement signed last month to reopen the strait
and halt hostilities while the sides pursued a further 60 days of negotiations.
Trump has said he considers the ceasefire over, while leaving the door open to
further talks. “We had a deal. It was a done deal, and then they broke it. They
always break it. We’ve had 10 deals with these people, and so we’re just going
to hit them very hard,” he said in a phone interview on Fox News’ “Fox &
Friends” program on Monday. Iran’s top negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf,
struck a similarly defiant tone, posting on X on Sunday: “The era of one-sided
deals is OVER. We told you: keep your word or pay the price. Reality is
knocking.”The war launched by the United States and Israel against Iran on
February 28 has destabilized the Gulf and spread across the region, with Iran
attacking US bases in multiple countries. Control of the Strait of Hormuz, a
vital waterway for global oil supplies, has become one of the main battlegrounds
of the conflict. Iran’s effective blockade of the strait has pushed up energy
prices and increased concerns about inflation globally. Brent crude jumped by
more than 4 percent on Monday on Trumps’s latest comments and on fears of
disruption to one of the world’s most important energy shipping routes, although
prices remained below the peaks reached earlier in the conflict.
Higher energy prices, particularly gasoline costs, are politically sensitive for
Trump before congressional elections in November. After announcing the strait’s
closure on Saturday following what it described as an unauthorized transit,
Tehran said on Monday it continued to control the channel. Thousands of people
have been killed during the war, mainly in Iran and Lebanon. On Monday, Iranian
state media confirmed the deaths of two people in Abadan in southwestern Iran.
Iran’s IRGC said in a statement on Monday that the only way to restore regular
shipping traffic through the strait was to end US military interventions in the
waterway, and warned that “continued interference could lead to greater
incidents in the global oil and gas sector.”Iranian foreign ministry
spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said Iran was seeking to establish a joint
mechanism with Oman to manage traffic through the strait, adding that US
pressure on Oman had hindered discussions. Iran has sought to establish a
permanent fee and permit system for vessels using the strait, which before the
war carried about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments. The
US, which revoked a license waiving sanctions on Iranian crude sales last week
after earlier attacks on shipping, said its forces were positioned to safeguard
freedom of navigation.
“Iran does not control the strait. Traffic is flowing,” it said. US officials
said around 20 vessels had been escorted through the strait in the previous 24
hours, though ship-tracking data showed little traffic moving. MarineTraffic
said on Monday that vessel activity through the strait declined by about 52
percent over July 10 to 12 compared to the previous week. With Reuters
Trump Suggests a Standing Order to Attack Iran if it Assassinates Him. But Vance
Would Make the Call
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
President Donald Trump is suggesting he has left standing orders for the US
military to destroy Iran “at levels they've never seen before” if Tehran follows
through on its long-standing threats to kill him. But the US government has no
way to create an automatic, preauthorized “dead man’s switch” that would prompt
immediate retaliation, The Associated Press said. Instead, if Trump were killed,
the transfer of power to his successor is governed by the 25th Amendment and the
Presidential Succession Act of 1947. Vice President JD Vance instantaneously
would become commander in chief and have authority for any retaliation. Under
such a scenario, Vance could do exactly what Trump called for, though there also
is a chance he could decide not to follow his predecessor's orders — or offer a
direct response in a different way. “The US has, for a whole variety of reasons,
never utilized a technical ‘dead man’s switch,'” said Garrett M. Graff, author
of “Raven Rock: The Story of the US Government’s Secret Plan to Save Itself --
While the Rest of Us Die.”The United States does have extensive contingency
plans for continuity of government in the event of a nuclear attack or other
major catastrophe that wipes out most or all of Washington. But those plans also
do not allow for immediately launching retaliatory strikes upon the death of a
president, even if that president had demanded that the military be ready to do
so. Trump nonetheless posted on his social media website Saturday that Iran had
made threats “to assassinate, or attempt to assassinate” him and he said 1,000
“missiles are Locked and Loaded and aimed at the Islamic Republic of Iran, with
thousands more to immediately follow, should the Iranian Government act on its
threat.”Iran's supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, said hours later that Iranians
would continue to avenge the killing of his father, Ali Khamenei. The elder
Khamenei died in the initial US and Israeli strikes that started the war in late
February, and he was mourned in funeral events throughout Iran this week. His
son said retaliation “is the will of our nation and must certainly be carried
out.”“We pledge to take revenge for the pure blood of you and all the martyrs of
these two wars from the criminal and disgraceful killers," he said in remarks
aired on state television. "This revenge is the will of our nation and must
certainly be carried out.”The White House on Saturday did not immediately answer
questions about what would become of Trump's military orders should he be
killed. During those recent funeral events, mourners repeatedly held posters or
banners calling for Trump to be killed along with Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu. The Wall Street Journal reported this week that Israel
alerted US officials to fresh Iranian plots to kill Trump. The White House has
refused to comment, but Trump appeared to reference such threats in comments
during this week's NATO summit in Türkiye, saying, “They want to take out the US
leader — me.” Sabrina Singh, former Biden administration deputy Pentagon press
secretary, said “Iran wanting to target senior American leaders is something
that we know is happening."
“You have to take these as credible threats,” Singh said.
US retaliations would almost certainly come, just not automatically Trump was
targeted in two domestic assassination attempts during the 2024 presidential
campaign and saw a gunman storm the White House Correspondents' Association
dinner he was attending in April. The US and Iran once again began trading
strikes, jeopardizing last month's initial deal to end the war. Asked about
Iranian threats, Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One, “I’m No. 1 on their
list."Graff said the US prepared years of plans for how nuclear launch authority
would devolve in the event of a surprise attack. That included, during 30 years
of the Cold War, the country keeping fleets of airborne command posts flying 24
hours a day with a general aboard one of them who could take over nuclear launch
orders in the event Washington was lost. “What I believe Trump is saying is that
he’s left standing orders to attack if he’s killed, e.g., that the Pentagon
should proceed with standard launch protocols,” Graff said. “There’s a lot of
reason to doubt the legality of such standing orders, since in the event of a
president’s death, the nuclear launch authority would immediately pass to the
vice president or designated successor — and ultimately it would be up to him or
her to determine whether to proceed.”Trump’s post only refers to firing missiles
at Iran, which the US has done scores of times since its war with Iran began. He
did not expressly threaten involving nuclear weapons. Graff said that, in
addition to leaving standing orders in case of his death, Trump also might say
“something to Vance like, ‘If I’m killed, nuke Iran,'" and that would make” more
sense and would be absolutely legal.”Biden administration once warned Iran about
Trump, too Washington receiving credible threats against the president and top
US leaders from Iran and other foreign adversaries is not uncommon and is often
disclosed via national security briefings or other classified means. But far
less common is Trump declaring publicly that he personally has been targeted by
Iran. Still, this is not the first time Washington has threatened Iran over
threats against Trump. In 2022, the Biden administration warned Iran against
attacking US citizens after the Justice Department's disclosure that a member of
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps had planned to assassinate John Bolton, Trump's
first-term national security adviser. Now a Trump critic, Bolton last month
pleaded guilty to illegally retaining classified documents in a case led by
Trump’s Justice Department. President Joe Biden’s national security adviser Jake
Sullivan said in 2022 that “should Iran attack any of our citizens, to include
those who continue to serve the United States or those who formerly served, Iran
will face severe consequences.” Two years later, in the heat of Trump’s campaign
against Democrat Kamala Harris, Biden's vice president, the Biden administration
again quietly warned Iran. This time, officials made clear that an attack on
Trump would be considered an act of war.
US Military Says It Struck Iran Port with Sea Drones
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
The United States used one-way attack sea drones in combat for the first time to
strike the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas, the US military said on Monday. Three
US Corsair drones targeted "a submarine and ship maintenance facility" at the
port on Sunday, marking "the first time American forces have employed sea drones
in combat operations," US Central Command (CENTCOM) said on X. The strikes --
which highlight the growing role of drones in US combat operations -- "degraded
Iran's ability to continue attacking commercial shipping," CENTCOM said. The
military command's post included a video of sea drones exploding near two piers,
sparking fires and sending smoke pouring into the air over the port. Last month,
the US military used a Corsair drone to assist with the rescue of two US Army
aviators whose Apache attack helicopter was shot down by Iran.
The Corsair is made by Texas-based Saronic Technologies, which says the 24-foot,
diesel-powered "autonomous surface vessel" can be launched at sea, allowing
larger ships to deploy and retrieve it without returning to port.
US hits Iran, Iran retaliates on Oman, Bahrain, Kuwait
and Jordan
Agence France Presse/Associated Press/13 July 2026
The United States launched several waves of strikes on Iran into Monday morning
over an Iranian attack on a container ship in the Strait of Hormuz that set it
ablaze and left a crew member missing over the weekend. Iran retaliated by
targeting countries across the Middle East. Missile alert sirens sounded at dawn
Monday in Bahrain, home to the U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet. There was no immediate
word on damage. Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed strikes against Bahrain and
Oman, saying they destroyed radar systems in Oman and targeted U.S. military
facilities on the southern edge of Manama. "In addition to targeting U.S.
military facilities and infrastructure in Juffair, Bahrain, where fires are
raging, the navy of the Revolutionary Guards has... targeted and destroyed the
long-range airborne FPS radar and the ship-detection radar in the Sultanate of
Oman," said a statement from the Guards carried by their Sepah news outlet. The
Jordanian military said it had shot down four Iranian missiles over the country.
"At dawn today, air defense systems intercepted and shot down four missiles that
had entered Jordanian airspace from Iranian territory," an official source from
the Jordanian General Staff said, adding that there were no reports of injuries
or damage to property. Kuwait's armed forces also said they were responding to
"hostile aerial targets" on Monday. "The Armed Forces are currently intercepting
hostile aerial targets within Kuwaiti airspace," the head of Kuwait's army said
in a statement published by the state-run news agency KUNA.
Iranian state media acknowledged the latest attacks on its soil early Monday,
describing explosions in several locations with at least one person being
killed. Iranian attacks on Sunday stretched Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan and
even Oman — whose territorial waters with Iran make up the strait. The narrow
mouth of the Persian Gulf, which once saw a fifth of all oil and natural gas
pass through it, has become the key issue challenging an interim deal between
the U.S. and Iran. Iran and the U.S. are nearly at the midway point of the
60-day period of that deal, which was supposed to set up talks for a permanent
end to the war. Instead, it has devolved into a series of attacks over the
strait and its future, worrying world leaders the Iran war could resume. “A
return to full-scale hostilities would have catastrophic consequences,” United
Nations Secretary-General António Guterres said in a statement.
Trump Says US will Be 'Paid' for Guarding Strait of Hormuz
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
US President Donald Trump said Monday that the United States would be paid for
guarding the Strait of Hormuz after declaring that it would be "taking over" the
strategic waterway. "We'll become the guardian of the Strait," Trump told Fox
News, adding that the US had been guarding it for "nothing" but now would be
reimbursed by wealthy nations, AFP reported. "We're going to get paid for
guarding it. A lot of money, but we just want to be reimbursed for doing all of
this, for putting our people in danger."
ISF says detained Islamic State commander
Agence France Presse/13 July 2026
Lebanese authorities said Monday they had detained a Syrian commander from the
Islamic State group, as Damascus investigates an IS-linked cell accused of
bombings during a visit by France's President Emmanuel Macron. In a statement,
Lebanon's Internal Security Forces (ISF) said they arrested the suspect "after
careful monitoring and follow-up operations" on June 30 and that he was the
group's leader in central and southern Syria. The announcement comes nearly a
week after two bombings hit Damascus during Macron's visit to Syria, killing one
person and wounding dozens, near the hotel where the French leader spent the
night. Syrian authorities had said Thursday that preliminary investigations
showed IS was behind the attack. On Monday, the Syrian interior ministry
published the names of three men it had interrogated, alleging that they were
behind the bombings. While its grip on Syrian territory it had claimed was
broken in 2019, IS remains active in some cells across the country. In Lebanon,
Sunni extremist groups that pledged allegiance to IS fought several battles with
the army in the 2010s and carried out a series of deadly bombings targeting
Hezbollah and its supporters. But they were largely defeated militarily in 2017.
Last year, Lebanon's military said it arrested the suspected leader of the IS
group in the country, implicating him in planning several operations. Lebanon
and Syria share a porous, 330-kilometer (205-mile) border notorious for the
smuggling of people and goods.
Iran says continuing talks with mediators to 'prevent
escalation'
Agence France Presse/13 July 2026
Iran said Monday it was continuing talks with mediators from Qatar, Pakistan and
Oman in an effort to prevent any further escalation in its war with the United
States. "The role of the mediators is to continue their efforts to prevent an
escalation of tensions," said Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei.
Trump Says US Reinstates Blockade of Strait of Hormuz After
New Clashes with Iran
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
President Donald Trump said on Monday the United States was reinstating its
blockade of Iranian shipping in the Gulf and would ensure the Strait of Hormuz
stays open after the two sides exchanged more missile and drone attacks. The
latest hostilities followed an announcement by Iran over the weekend that it was
closing the strait, and cast further doubt on the viability of an interim deal
to halt the war in the Middle East and drove oil prices higher. "The Hormuz
Strait is OPEN, and will remain OPEN, with or without Iran. We are reinstating
THE IRANIAN BLOCKADE," Trump said on Truth Social. "The USA will be, from this
point forward, known as 'THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT', but as such, and as
a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20% on all cargo
shipped." Iran's top joint military command said the US had no role in
determining the future of the vital shipping route and said in a statement on
Monday it would not be allowed to intervene in the management of the strait. The
Revolutionary Guards said on Monday they had struck Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman and
Jordan in response to US strikes. The US military said it had struck Iranian
air defense systems, coastal radar sites, missile and drone capabilities and
small boats on Sunday, using aircraft, naval vessels and drones. On Monday, the
US attacked military sites in southern parts of Iran, including Qeshm, Bandar
Abbas and Abadan, Iran's official news agency IRNA said, citing a local
official. Bahrain said its air defense systems had intercepted several Iranian
missile and drone attacks early on Monday. The latest exchanges mark an
escalation in both the pace and geographic reach of attacks over the past week,
throwing into question an interim US-Iranian agreement signed last month to
reopen the strait and halt hostilities while the sides pursued a further 60 days
of negotiations. Trump has said he considers the ceasefire over, while leaving
the door open to further talks. "We had a deal. It was a done deal, and then
they broke it. They always break it. We've had 10 deals with these people, and
so we're just going to hit them very hard," he said in a phone interview on Fox
News' "Fox & Friends" program on Monday. Iran's top negotiator, Mohammad Baqer
Qalibaf, struck a similarly defiant tone, posting on X on Sunday: "The era of
one-sided deals is OVER. We told you: keep your word or pay the price. Reality
is knocking." The war launched by the United States and Israel against Iran on
February 28 has destabilized the Gulf and spread across the region, with Iran
attacking US bases in multiple countries.
OIL PRICES JUMP
Control of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for global oil supplies, has
become one of the main battlegrounds of the conflict. Iran's effective blockade
of the strait has pushed up energy prices and increased concerns about inflation
globally. Brent crude jumped by more than 4% on Monday on Trumps's latest
comments and on fears of disruption to one of the world's most important energy
shipping routes, although prices remained below the peaks reached earlier in the
conflict. Higher energy prices, particularly gasoline costs, are politically
sensitive for Trump before congressional elections in November. After announcing
the strait's closure on Saturday following what it described as an unauthorized
transit, Tehran said on Monday it continued to control the channel. "We
continue to assert our authority and control over the Strait of Hormuz with
strength and power, and we will force foreigners and their allies to surrender
to the will of the Iranian people," Hossein Mohebbi said in comments carried by
state media. Thousands of people have been killed during the war, mainly in Iran
and Lebanon. On Monday, Iranian state media confirmed the deaths of two people
in Abadan in southwestern Iran.
IRAN SEEKS OMAN DEAL ON STRAIT TRAFFIC
Iran's Revolutionary Guards said in a statement on Monday that the only way to
restore regular shipping traffic through the strait was to end US military
interventions in the waterway, and warned that "continued interference could
lead to greater incidents in the global oil and gas sector."
Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said Iran was seeking to establish
a joint mechanism with Oman to manage traffic through the strait. Iran has
sought to establish a permanent fee and permit system for vessels using the
strait, which before the war carried about a fifth of global oil and liquefied
natural gas shipments. The US, which revoked a license waiving sanctions on
Iranian crude sales last week after earlier attacks on shipping, said its forces
were positioned to safeguard freedom of navigation. "Iran does not control the
strait. Traffic is flowing," it said. US officials said around 20 vessels had
been escorted through the strait in the previous 24 hours, though ship-tracking
data showed little traffic moving. MarineTraffic said on Monday that vessel
activity through the strait declined by about 52% over July 10 to 12 compared to
the previous week.
US Vows Campaign to End ICC ‘Threat’ to Americans
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
The United States on Monday announced a campaign against the Hague-based
International Criminal Court (ICC), accusing the tribunal of posing "an
intolerable threat to US sovereignty" and threatening sanctions. "The ICC and
its friends are waging a war against our country, not with bullets or missiles,
but with statutes, compacts and the force of so-called international law,"
Secretary of State Marco Rubio said in a video statement. The State Department
said in a statement the campaign will "systematically disable the ICC's ability
to operate, target American servicemen or officials, or otherwise threaten
American sovereignty."Relations between the government of Donald Trump and the
ICC have been extremely poor, with several court officials, including its chief
prosecutor, already under US sanctions. The sanctions bar the officials from
entering the United States and block property and financial transactions
involving them in the world's largest economy. The measures have often focused
on ICC investigations involving Israel, a US ally. The court issued arrest
warrants in 2024 for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and others.
However, in its statement, the State Department focused on what it called the
ICC's "intolerable threat to US sovereignty," saying the court "claims the
authority to prosecute and even imprison American servicemen and officials
operating on behalf of America's national interest." "Americans never signed up
for this, and all American presidents since the ICC's ratification have
maintained that the ICC does not have jurisdiction over Americans," the State
Department said. The department listed a range of measures it was considering
against the court, including having American diplomats call other nations to
urge withdrawal from the body, as well as travel bans and sanctions against ICC
officials.
Established in 2002, the ICC prosecutes individuals accused of the gravest
atrocities, including war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide. Neither
Israel nor the United States is a party to the international treaty that
established the ICC. Russia is also not a member, and its President Vladimir
Putin has been the subject of an ICC arrest warrant since March 2023.
UK Unveils Plan to Ban Iran Revolutionary Guards
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
The UK government announced plans on Monday to ban Iran's Revolutionary Guard
Corps (IRGC) as a threat to national security, alongside an Iran-linked group
accused of a series of attacks against the Jewish community. "Anyone found
supporting or assisting these groups will now face up to 14 years in prison,"
Prime Minister Keir Starmer said of a proposed law to be presented to parliament
this week, AFP reported. The banned groups would also include proxies and
volunteers of Russia's GRU military intelligence agency, and the Islamic
Movement of Companions of the Right (IMCR), an Iran-linked group which has
claimed attacks on Jewish properties in London. The new legislation gives the
British government "proscription-like" powers to designate foreign state proxies
deemed a threat to Britain's national security. "The move will step up the
government's ability to counter state threats linked to foreign powers including
espionage, foreign interference in our democracy, sabotage and physical
attacks," the Home Office said in a statement. The new legislation will mean
that prosecutors do not need to establish a foreign power connection in cases
involving designated groups. "The United Kingdom has identified activity linked
to the IRGC involving threats to life and intimidation on UK soil," Home Office
minister Angela Eagle said in a written statement. The announcement comes after
several antisemitic attacks struck the British capital earlier this year,
including a spate of arson attacks on synagogues, community ambulances and other
Jewish sites. "The government fast-tracked legislation to bring in new powers
after the abhorrent antisemitic attacks in north London," the Home Office said
in a statement. Last month, 22 countries including the UK, US and European
nations blamed the IRGC and its foreign operations branch, the Quds Force, for
plotting against Iranian dissidents, journalist and Jewish communities. The IMCR,
also known as Harakat Ashab al-Yamin al-Islamiyah (HAYI), have claimed multiple
attacks, including an arson attack against four ambulances of the Hatzola Jewish
charity. "Iran and Russia are using proxies and thugs to do their dirty work on
our shores. I have rapidly designated three groups so those working for them
will be tracked down and put behind bars," Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood said.
Nine European Countries and Ukraine Form Anti-Ballistic
Missile Coalition
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
Nine European countries and Ukraine on Monday announced the formation of a
coalition to develop "purely defensive" anti-ballistic capabilities in Europe,
citing the growing threat of ballistic missiles. Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelensky was in Paris on Monday for a meeting of Kyiv's allies to reaffirm
support for the country and step up pressure on Russia to end the war, now well
into its fifth year. "We believe that the protection of Europe, requires a
global solution of integrated missile defense architecture to deter and defeat
future missile threats," said the joint declaration by Denmark, France, Germany,
Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Ukraine and the United Kingdom. "By
bringing together our defense industrial base, our research, and our operational
experience, we aim to build a shared anti-ballistic missile capacity for
Europe," it said. "We do this not against any people, but in defense of our
own," it added, citing the "unique experience of Ukraine" whose air defenses
have faced repeated Russian ballistic missile strikes in recent weeks. At least
25 heads of state were due to attend the Paris meeting, with some staying on for
the military parade marking France's national public holiday on July 14 which
this year will highlight support for Ukraine.
Oil prices jump nine percent on worsening US-Iran
conflict
AFP, Washington/13 July, 2026
Oil prices shot up around nine percent Monday as President Donald Trump
announced the reimposition of a US naval blockade on Iranian ports while the two
sides traded attacks.
Near 1820 GMT, Brent oil futures jumped 9.1 percent to $82.90 a barrel while US
benchmark West Texas Intermediate also climbed by 9.1 percent, to $77.87 a
barrel. The surge came as the two countries clashed over control of the Strait
of Hormuz, a key waterway for petroleum shipments.
Saudi defense ministry says dealt with ballistic missiles
launched by Houthis
Al Arabiya English/13 July, 2026
Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Defense said on Monday its air defenses dealt with
ballistic missiles launched by Yemen’s Houthis toward the Kingdom’s southern
region.
Jordan Says it Shot Down 4 Missiles Launched by Iran
Amman: Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
The Jordanian military said on Monday it had shot down four Iranian missiles
over the country, which Tehran said were intended as retaliation for US strikes.
"At dawn today, air defense systems intercepted and shot down four missiles that
had entered Jordanian airspace from Iranian territory," an official source from
the Jordanian General Staff said. There were no reports of injuries or damage to
property.
Arab League Secretary-General Reiterates Rejection of Iranian Attacks on Arab
States
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
Arab League Secretary-General Nabil Fahmy reiterated his condemnation of Iran's
continued attacks against several Arab states, affirming that such actions
constitute a violation of international law and the United Nations Charter and
threaten regional security, stability, and the freedom of international
navigation. In a statement, Fahmy rejected any practices that infringe on the
sovereignty and territorial integrity of Arab states, stressing that Arab
national security is indivisible and that any attack on the sovereignty of any
Arab state requires a unified Arab position. The secretary-general reaffirmed
the Arab League's full solidarity with the State of Kuwait, the Kingdom of
Bahrain, the State of Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, the Sultanate of Oman,
and the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, calling on the Security Council to take
effective steps to halt these violations and ensure respect for international
law and the security of international navigation. Iran launched missile and
drone attacks on Sunday targeting US military facilities in Qatar, Bahrain,
Kuwait, Oman, Jordan, and the United Arab Emirates, marking a significant
escalation in regional tensions following US strikes on Iranian targets.
EU, Partners Launch $1 billion Scheme to Help Gaza Recover
from War
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
The European Commission and more than a dozen countries launched an initiative
on Monday to deliver €883.6 million ($1 billion) in aid projects to help Gaza
recover from war. The small coastal enclave remains in ruins more than 2-1/2
years after the conflict was triggered by the October 2023 attack on Israel by
Palestinian militant group Hamas. A fragile ceasefire has been in place since
last October, and the United Nations has estimated the cost of rebuilding work
in Gaza at around $70 billion. The "Team Gaza Initiative", launched at a meeting
of aid donors in Brussels, will support projects such as restoring water and
sanitation, removing debris and re-establishing health systems, the Commission
said in a statement, Reuters reported. Spain, Denmark, Britain, Germany, Norway,
Finland, Italy, the Netherlands, France, Japan, Switzerland, Sweden and Belgium,
the World Bank and the European Investment Bank are taking part in the
initiative, along with the Commission itself, the statement said. Australia and
Canada are also expected to join. "Our objective is clear: to help build hope,
resilience and a better future for the Palestinian people," said Dubravka Suica,
the European Commissioner for the Mediterranean. The European Commission did not
provide a breakdown of how much each partner would contribute to the new
initiative. Israel's devastating aerial and ground bombardment of Gaza displaced
nearly the entire population of 2 million people, most of whom now live in tents
or damaged buildings in a greatly reduced coastal strip of territory governed by
Hamas. Israeli troops control nearly 70% of Gaza, patrolling what Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu describes as a buffer zone to deter Hamas attacks. Netanyahu
says Israel will not withdraw from the territory.
Top UN Official Accuses Hamas of Gaza Aid Obstruction
Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
A senior UN official on Monday accused Hamas of interfering with humanitarian
deliveries in Gaza and intimidating aid workers, warning that the group's
actions were making relief operations increasingly dangerous. Hamas continues to
control parts of Gaza, even after Israeli forces expanded their presence across
more than 60 percent of the territory. In a statement, UN Deputy Special
Coordinator for the Middle East Peace Process, Ramiz Alakbarov, said he
"strongly" condemns the obstruction of humanitarian operations by Gaza's de
facto authorities, referring to Hamas.
Hamas's actions "endangered humanitarian personnel, intimidated workers
delivering life-saving food assistance and disrupted life-saving humanitarian
operations", AFP quoted him as saying. Armed men linked to Hamas allegedly on
Saturday forced their way into a food distribution point in Jabalia, in the
northern Gaza Strip, the UN statement said. Militants "also entered a WFP (World
Food Program) warehouse and reportedly assaulted two truck drivers who were
delivering humanitarian supplies", it added. Alakbarov said "these incidents are
not isolated" and "reflect an increasingly dangerous pattern of intimidation,
violence and obstruction, including smuggling attempts, targeting and abusing
humanitarian operations".He warned that such actions were hampering the delivery
of life-saving assistance at a time when civilians across Gaza faced severe
hardships. A ceasefire was reached in Gaza between Israel and Hamas in October
following two years of war, which was sparked by the Palestinian militants'
unprecedented attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. The second phase of the
ceasefire, which was to involve Hamas' disarmament and a gradual withdrawal of
Israeli forces from Gaza, has been stalled for months. Israeli forces have
expanded their presence in recent months, taking control of more than 60 percent
of the territory.
Yemen Signals Military Action and Diplomatic Move Against
Iran
Aden: Asharq Al Awsat/13 July 2026
The Yemeni government has escalated its confrontation with Iran over the
operation of a flight to Sanaa International Airport, which is under Houthi
control. For the first time, it has signaled military options in response to any
future violations of Yemeni airspace, while President of the Presidential
Leadership Council Rashad Al-Alimi is leading a diplomatic effort with the
permanent members of the UN Security Council ahead of the emergency session
requested by the government to discuss what it describes as a violation of
Yemen's sovereignty. Defense Minister Lt. Gen. Taher Al-Aqili announced that the
armed forces would respond to any aircraft he described as "hostile" that
violates Yemeni airspace "using all available means." He said the government had
exhausted legal and diplomatic efforts to persuade Iran and the Houthi group not
to operate flights outside the approved framework, but that the latest flight
represented what he called "a challenge to international legitimacy."In a
statement addressed to the armed forces and the Yemeni people, Al-Aqili said the
government, in cooperation with the regional and international communities, had
made every legal and diplomatic effort to deter Tehran and the Houthi group from
violating Yemeni airspace. He argued that the latest incident differs from
previous ones because it constitutes a direct challenge to international
legitimacy. He added that "patience has run out" and that the armed forces "will
deliver an appropriate response to this brutal act and confront hostile aircraft
violating Yemeni airspace and sovereignty using all available means until we
teach the enemy a lesson." He held the Iranian regime legally and morally
responsible for any escalation that may occur in the coming period. This
military escalation comes alongside intensified political efforts led by
Presidential Leadership Council President Dr. Rashad Al-Alimi, who on Sunday
held separate meetings with Zhao Zheng, chargé d'affaires of the Chinese Embassy
in Yemen, and Yevgeny Kudrov, Russia's ambassador to Yemen, as part of the
government's consultations with the permanent members of the UN Security Council
ahead of the emergency session scheduled for Monday. According to the Yemeni
presidency, Al-Alimi's discussions with the Chinese and Russian officials
focused on bilateral relations as well as developments related to the Iranian
flight to Sanaa Airport and what the Yemeni government considers a violation of
its sovereign authority. Al-Alimi stressed that the Yemeni government alone is
the legally authorized body to grant permits for operating international flights
to Yemeni territory. He emphasized that no armed group, regardless of the
territory it controls, has the right to exercise sovereign powers or establish
foreign relations on behalf of the state. Al-Alimi also reaffirmed Yemen's firm
commitment to the "One China" principle and its rejection of any actions that
undermine China's territorial integrity or sovereignty. He expressed his
government's appreciation for China's continued support for Yemen's unity and
territorial integrity.
In his meeting with the Russian ambassador, Al-Alimi praised the historic ties
between the two countries and Russia's role in helping build Yemen's state
institutions. He stressed the importance of continuing to strengthen the
partnership between the two sides. A Houthi delegation arrives in Tehran aboard
an aircraft that violated Yemeni airspace (X)
A National Alternative for Flights
Al-Alimi explained to the Russian officials that the government does not oppose
the operation of Sanaa Airport for civilian purposes, but rejects its use for
activities that violate legal frameworks or for military purposes. He noted that
the government had proposed an initiative to continue flights through Yemenia
Airways to any destination agreed upon, while providing the necessary guarantees
to ensure the safety of the flights and air crews. The proposal also includes
the option of chartering an aircraft to transport members of the Houthi group
from Tehran in accordance with legal procedures.
He argued that the rejection of this initiative showed that the issue was not
humanitarian in nature, as the Houthi group claims, but rather an attempt to
replace the national carrier with Iranian flights, which, he said, no
responsible government could accept. Al-Alimi emphasized that managing Yemen's
airspace and approving international flights are exclusive sovereign
responsibilities of the Yemeni state. He warned that any violation of this
principle would not affect Yemen alone, but would set a precedent that armed
groups in other parts of the world could exploit to exercise sovereign functions
and establish international relations outside the framework of internationally
recognized states. Al-Alimi concluded his meetings by reaffirming his country's
commitment to maintaining balanced relations with all countries. He expressed
hope for an international position consistent with the principles of the United
Nations that protects state sovereignty and prevents any attempts to undermine
legitimate state institutions.
Israel sought to recruit Ahmadinejad in failed plan for
regime change in Iran: Report
Al Arabiya English/13 July, 2026
Israel spent years cultivating former Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as
part of a failed plan to install him as Iran’s new leader during this year’s
war, the New York Times reported on Monday, citing American, Israeli and Iranian
officials familiar with the operation.
According to the report, Israeli intelligence maintained secret contacts with
Ahmadinejad, including meetings in Budapest during trips to Hungary in 2024 and
2025 that were arranged under the cover of academic conferences. Former Mossad
chief David Barnea was among those who met Ahmadinejad in the Hungarian capital,
the newspaper said. The effort culminated in late February, during the opening
days of the US-Israeli war against Iran, when Israeli operatives allegedly
sought to extract Ahmadinejad from Tehran as part of a broader regime-change
operation, the report said. The plan ultimately failed. The New York Times
reported that an Israeli airstrike hit Ahmadinejad’s compound before Mossad
operatives allegedly moved him to a safe house inside Iran. Ahmadinejad later
left the safe house under unclear circumstances and reappeared publicly only
last week at the funeral procession of Iran’s late supreme leader Ali Khamenei.
The report said four senior Iranian officials believe Ahmadinejad is now under
house arrest in the custody of the intelligence branch of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) after authorities uncovered details of his
alleged contacts with Israel. Israeli officials did not comment on the alleged
operation, while Ahmadinejad’s spokesman declined to comment, according to the
newspaper.
The Latest LCCC analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published
on 13-14 July/2026
Video-Text Link from Fox News/ Extensive Interview with President Trump
REVEALS what Lindsey Graham told him before his death, War with Iran & Many
other interesting topics
July 13/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/07/155901/
President Donald Trump joins ‘Fox & Friends’ by phone to honor
the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, give an update on U.S. airstrikes crushing Iran
and reflect on the two-year anniversary of the Butler assassination attempt.
Below Is The Entire Fox News Interview Text
Joining us by phone is one of his best friends, President Donald Trump.
I’m really sorry for our country’s loss, I know you lost a close friend and ally
in the Senate.
How are you feeling?
President Trump: I don’t feel great, he was a great guy.
A friend, he called me all the time.
I would say, stop calling me, he was amazing, he just didn’t stop.
He was a worker, work-a-holic politician, some don’t call that work, some call
that a lot of talking.
Everybody loved him, he was good with the other side.
If I had Democratic problems, he could solve them.
Man of all different abilities and a nice man. Great guy.
He loved playing golf, loved being outside.
He would play golf with people and you just liked him.
It wasn’t he was a great striker of the ball, he wasn’t Jack Nicklaus or Tiger,
he loved it and he had fun.
He was a man who had fun with politics, he was really good at it.
When he got angry, like in the case of Brett Kavanaugh, I think it saved the
Brett becoming a Justice, it was a moment in time, Democrats got so sick and
crazy and angry they were going to do something very bad and Lindsey went on his
tirade, one of the great 10 moments of Congress.
I said, that was one of the 10 greatest moments in Congress.
And I think you wouldn’t find 10 other cases where somebody did what he was able
to do there and saved Brett from an unfair decision or they would have had
turned a man down who is qualified and such a good man.
So, I do think it was one of the top 10 in Congress.
You have top 10 in sports, this was top 10 in politics, he was a good man.
He called me, came back from Ukraine and called me.
Which did not surprise me at all, he said, I’m back.
And told me a couple of things, he was strong on fighting for the Save America
Act.
I’m not sure if he was at the beginning, he became primary advocate for it.
And I think he would have felt the same way about the Philadelphia, which is so
important.
Republicans have to do it, it is insane.
Or we will have a shutdown in September and we have a debt ceiling problem
coming and if you terminate filibuster, everything goes away and we do anything
we want, pass what we want and Democrats are going to do it and he started to
see that. Everybody — not everybody against, 20% and were he was one and now he
was starting to say terminate the filibuster or we’ll have crazy Trump deranged,
he’s people suffer from a fine disease known as Trump Derangement Syndrome, he
was seeing that.
Lawrence: Mr. President, did you notice —
Long way terminating filibuster, single smartest thing you could do then you get
everything.
If we took the — Save America Acts, it is very simple, voter ID, proof of
citizenship and no voter — in the ballot, look what happened to the kid in
California, send million ballots, nobody knew where they came from.
You don’t do mail-in ballots unless you are in military, deployment, you don’t
do them if somebody is sick or disabled or if you go on vacation, you get a
pass. Make it nice and easy.
Lawrence: Mr. President, did you notice anything different?
President Trump: Millions of ballots, Spencer Pratt came up to my office,
thought he won, why didn’t you complain, he did not know who to complain to.
What they did to that guy, unbelievable.
They found millions of ballots and took the election from him.
They almost did it to Steve Hilton, I complained and got U.S. Attorneys involved
and FBI and soon as — he was, they were putting out reports, Steve Hilton is
starting to fade, he’s running for governor of California.
I said, here we go, they are going to find ballots, they said he was starting to
fade. Opposite.
I put U.S. Attorney involved, we will know in two weeks, this is week after the
election, say he’s starting to fade.
I got U.S. Attorney involved and they did not know they let it be known an hour
later —
Lawrence: Mr. President, quickly, did you notice anything different from Lindsey
on the phone.
President Trump: You can’t have a country unless you have honest election, when
people don’t want voter ID or proof of citizenship, it is only for one reason
because they want to cheat and they are good at it.
Griff: Mr. President, Senator Lindsey Graham was a co-sponsor of the Save
America Act, let me ask you, though, we were talking about that Brett Kavanaugh
moment being a top 10 moment and I would agree, we were all watching on that day
in 2018 and knew we were witnessing history, I wonder whether or not that was a
significant pivotal moment in your friendship, in the development of your close
bond with him when you saw him standing and fighting since no other person was
that delivered ultimately, Justice Brett Kavanaugh?
President Trump: No, it was a sign of respect, I knew Lindsey by that time.
There were 18 people running for president, couple dropped out early.
He was one of them, one of them running.
And he was totally against me, he was fighting me, used me as the example, I was
leading in the poll by a lot.
He said, I will get you in South Carolina.
That did not work out well, I joke about it. Amazing. Whole thing amazing.
Whole career amazing, Lindsey was a big part of it.
He left the race and I became good friends with him.
He had a back moment, January 6 thing, he stood up, now I’ve had it, that’s it,
I can’t do it anymore.
He called me 40 minutes later and said, did I really say that and took it back.
I give him 99 instead of 100, a lot of people are 100.
He had that one little moment, it was funny, he goes, did you see it, now I’ve
had it.
He was just, too much for him. He said, this is it. I’ve had it.
I had nothing to do with that, just so you understand and people got terribly
destroyed because of that, they did nothing wrong, proud to give everybody a
pardon.
He goes, now I’ve had it, that is it, his only bad moment. He said, I wish I
never said it.
45 minutes later, I made a big mistake, what do I do? 99.9 instead of 100.
Lawrence: Mr. President, Lindsey Graham was definitely on your side when it
comes to Iran and threat, them not having a nuclear weapon.
Looks like they are back at business trying to take over the strait, what is
your response?
President Trump: We’re taking over the strait, they have nothing.
Something nobody knows, yesterday they had an 11-hour meeting, can’t be one hour
and one minute, it should be one minute.
Everything was agreed to yesterday and they leave the room and they call back
and they say, we had to make a couple of changes.
I said, they are going to make changes? We’re not going to make changes.
Always changes, they are professional negotiators, I don’t even call them good
at it. They have got nothing from me.
Look for 47 years, they have been tapping every president got tapped along and
did not do anything and they became more powerful.
This should have been done 47 years ago, Clinton and Bush let them go, everybody
let them go and Obama was worst of all, Obama went to their side, you know,
because he’s — well, let’s not say, let’s leave that for another time.
He was terrible.
He allowed them, allowed Iran, gave them $1.7 billion in cash in satchels in an
airplane and brought to Tehran. $1.7 billion.
Did you ever see a million dollars in cash, this is 1.7 billion, took up entire
Boeing 757, they flew to Tehran and gave it to people waiting in a plane.
These people never saw money and now have $1.7 billion in cash and hundreds of
billions in cash and everything else.
He went to their side and they built and became more powerful because of Obama.
And Biden, who was Vice President, he probably had nothing to say, he was such a
stupid person.
Biden came in and I held him down, I stopped him, the JCPOA, I stopped it.
And stopped it really powerfully.
I ended that agreement was the worst, see, it ends with C, that agreement is
worst agreement that has been signed by this country, a top five bad agreements
and that basically gave them everything and they built and built and built and
they were minutes from a nuclear weapon.
Had I not terminated the agreement, Iran nuclear deal, it is called, they would
have had a weapon.
Had I not killed Khamenei, who was a brilliant but mad general, he was a crazy
Soleimani, I killed Soleimani, Soleimani was like one of the really, really bad
people in this whole thing.
He was good at what he did, a brilliant general. That was one of the biggest
things.
Ainsley, had I not attacked B-2 bombers they would have had a weapon.
Ainsley: Last summer you destroyed their nuclear sites, it was awesome and we
are hearing they are trying to rebuild again, what are you going to do about
that?
President Trump: They have no chance.
Most of their equipment is gone, anti-aircraft stuff is gone. We hit them hard
last night.
They send a drone, we hit hard.
We had a deal, it was a done deal and they broke it. They always break it.
We’ve had 10 deals with these people, we’re going to hit them very hard and keep
the strait and probably run it.
We will become guardian of the strait, guardian angel of the strait and we
should be reimbursed because other nations are wealthy, on our side and we can’t
do that for nothing like we have for many years.
We guarded the strait for 50 years and never got paid for it.
They made all the money and United States, it is amazing, we never — we guarded
it for nothing.
We are going to guard it and get paid a lot of money.
We want to be reimbursed for doing this, putting our people in danger. We are
really saving people.
They killed 52,000 protesters so far as of this moment, 52,000 who is going to
protest.
Nobody is going to protest when they get shot.
They have AK-47s and machine guns aimed at people, if you move one step further
you get shot and they will shoot 10 of them and everybody flees. They don’t have
guns.
They are a bad group of people, I don’t say that often.
I live with that statement, bad group of people, been this way for a long time
and right now they are getting their ass kicked in the top form.
I get a kick when New York Times and CNN, you got to understand, their entire
military is gone, they have nothing, no Navy, no Air Force, it is gone,
anti-aircraft is gone. Leaders all killed.
Best leaders have been killed. Khamenei is gone.
The son is 99% gone and New York Times writes an article, they have inflation,
350%, used to be 5% six months ago, they have 3250% inflation and New York Times
writes an article, stronger today than four months ago, these people are sick.
Lawrence: American people don’t believe that, they understand who is winning
this war.
President Trump: I think it is treasonous. How good is Lawrence doing? Is he
doing a good job? >> Ainsley: He’s great.
President Trump: I had my doubts, I wasn’t sure. >> Griff: Doing great.
President Trump: And Griff, you have a very good team.
Lawrence: Thank you, Mr. President, we want to ask you about something you don’t
like talking about, because you don’t want to talk about yourself, today marks
two years since they tried to assassinate you in Butler, Pennsylvania, Iran
still trying to take you out, threat level is high, you continue to serve this
country.
President Trump: I’ve known Ainsley longer than the two of you, through a great
gentleman, Sean Hannity, he is attracted to him for whatever the reason.
I told her, this is a very dangerous, being President is a very dangerous
profession, why didn’t you tell me that, I wouldn’t have run.
The press will take that and say, he wish he did not run. They are sick.
You can never be sarcastic when dealing with fake news.
Ainsley, if you would have told me this, I wouldn’t have run.
5.2% of Presidents are killed, 8.5 are shot at or shot like Ford was shot and
Teddy Roosevelt was shot but it hits his wallet.
He took one to the heart and it did not get through, it got through, but not far
enough.
5.2% are assassinated, no other industry that anybody can think of like I
consider race car driving very dangerous, 1/10th of 1%, bullriding those are
pretty brave guys it is 1% out of 1%, think of that. It is a very small number.
They get pretty well beat up, very small number.
Griff: Mr. President, can I just ask you — >> President Trump: 5.2%, Ainsley
should have told me that right Ainsley?
Ainsley: We have you covered in prayer, most of America is praying for you, Look
at George Washington, he was shot at.
How are you feeling today?
After report came back, I hate to Monday morning quarterback and put down law
enforcement, they do an amazing job, they missed some thing and the report
showing that, what is your response and reaction to that?
President Trump: Talking about the Butler report?
They blew Butler, they had a building empty and blew it.
David, our sniper from 300 yards able to act within less than four seconds and
took out somebody he did not know existed, unbelievable.
If he did not do that, you would have had a lot of people.
Maybe not me, they were on top of me quickly and very brave.
Secret Service were on top of me very fast.
They saw what was happening, everybody saw quickly.
I knew exactly what was happening, there was nothing, it was amazing how I
understood.
They thought it was over, some fact, ask your doctor, who is fantastic, just
gave report on Lindsey.
You ask him, the ear bleeds, I got hit in the ear, it was a bloody mess.
I knew I only got it there, they thought many different locations because of
amount of blood. They blew it.
After that, incredible and brave. They stood over.
And the — our shooter from very far away on the other side of a field, he had
one shot, one bullet and it was over.
If he did not do that, this guy had 300 rounds of ammunition, 55,000 people were
at that rally.
We went back and had 117,000 people show up.
I always have to go back, you can’t let crazy people win, crazy people, bad
people and he was a strange cookie, very academically smart, very disturbed,
very disturbed person, but academically, almost perfect boards, great student, a
person who was tormented.
They should have had somebody, this is now history we’re talking about, I guess,
they should have had somebody standing on that building or watching that
building, that being said, after that, I got lucky God was watching.
God was watching, my son Don and Eric, both of them know they know a lot about
guns, like to shot, they said from that distance, that particular gun, there is
almost no chance of missing.
They considered it something maybe easier than a two-foot putt, they said from
that distance with that gun, it is like, Dad sinking a two-foot putt, for
nongolfer says, a two-foot putt is almost automatic.
For some people it is not, almost automatic. And so God was with me.
I turned my head to show a chart, a chart I never show on the right-hand side, I
did this time and chart I don’t use that much, probably one in 10 times at
rallies, always on my left, it was on my right.
If I looked left, I wouldn’t be talking right now.
So many amazing things, the chart is always at the end, I put this one at the
beginning.
I start and won’t be reading things, it is more interesting, people like it. I
said, I will put it there.
Felt good.
I speak the way I feel and it felt right.
I said, let’s talk about the chart and look to the right, Wow, what was that?
Either biggest most violent mosquito in history or I just got shot, I touched my
ear, blood all over my ear in like slow — wasn’t a slow bleed.
I said to myself and I guess it is much as you can joke about something like
this.
That is most violent mosquito in history or I got shot.
Lawrence: So glad you are still with us.
President Trump: I knew what happened, Lawrence. >> Lawrence: We pray hard.
We thank you for giving “Fox and Friends” time this morning.
Griff: Thank you, Mr. President.
President Trump: We lost a great man, a great politician, kind man.
Who lost, Israel and Ukraine, a lot of countries he fought for lost somebody
very special.
Real loser was the United States of America, we lost a great person, a kind
person, a very smart person and a great, great — they asked me sometimes what do
you think, he was a great politician.
We have mostly bad politicians, he was a great politician, really got it and he
was a nice guy.
You interviewed him probably 500,000 times, I think he got more television time
than anybody in history.
Lawrence: Remarkable man.
President Trump: It was about work and loving the country.
Not easy when you do television, it is not easy to get ready, be prepared, look
good, not easy.
A lot of people can’t do it at all, some people are terrible and not very good.
He did it and he did it with pride and because he loved our country.
Griff: He served his country until his death.
Mr. President, thank you for taking time and sharing your thoughts.
President Trump: Thank you, we lowered the flags for a full week for Lindsey.
Every American flag in the country is lowered until Saturday night.
He was a special man and thank you and we’ll give him a special type of funeral,
he deserves it.
Thank you all very much.
In numbers, Hezbollah’s wars on Lebanon
Joanne Naoum/The Briruter/July 12/2026
For years, Hezbollah has repeatedly dragged Lebanon into wars it did not choose,
fought in the name of the "Axis of Resistance," the "Unity of the Fronts," and
Iran's regional agenda. The Beiruter compares the human and economic toll of the
wars of 2006, 2024 and 2026, while security analyst Riad Kahwaji explains that
“Hezbollah suffered tremendously and its situation is irreversible”
For years, Hezbollah has repeatedly dragged Lebanon into wars it did not choose.
Fought in the name of the "Axis of Resistance," "Unity of the Fronts," and
Iran's regional agenda. The slogans changed but the outcome never did. Thousands
died, billions were lost and a nation pushed deeper into collapse.
Catastrophic numbers
What many Lebanese have long described as “the wars of others” on Lebanese soil
has left the country exhausted. The human, economic and social costs have
reached staggering levels.
The July 2006 war. According to figures provided to The Beiruter by Information
International, the conflict inflicted approximately $5.3 billion in damages.
Infrastructure: $900 million
Housing: $2.2 Billion
Commercial and industrial enterprises: $470 million
Agriculture, environmental damage and fires: $450 million
Rubble removal and related expenses: $50 million
Indirect economic losses: $1.2 billion
The human toll was equally devastating:
Approximately 900 deaths and 4000 injured
Mass displacement nearly 600.000 civilians
The 2024 War “In Support of Gaza”. Eighteen years later, the scale of
destruction proved even greater.
The conflict generated nearly $9.97 billion in losses:
Infrastructure: $570 million
Housing: $4.25 billion
Commercial and industrial enterprises: $470 million
Agriculture, environmental damage and fires: $900 million
Rubble removal and related expenses: $390 million
Indirect economic losses: $3.38 billion (from October 8, 2023, to September
16,2024: $6 million per day, equivalent to roughly 10% of the GDP, resulting in
$2.06 billion in losses over 343 days.
From September 17 to October 31, 2024: $30 million per day, equivalent to nearly
50% of the GDP, generating an additional $1.32 billion in losses over 44 days.)
The human cost was severe:
Approximately 1.347 deaths and 2.865 injured
Mass displacement nearly 1.2 civilians
The 2026 War. The latest conflict has pushed Lebanon even deeper into crisis.
According to Information International, the war has caused approximately $10
billion in losses from March 2, 2026, until today. Combined with the economic
damage accumulated between October 8, 2023, and March 1, 2026 estimated at $13
billion. The total cost reaches roughly $23 billion.
According to Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health, between March 2 and July 9,
2026:
The number of casualties reached 16.525, 12.204 injuries and 4.321 death
In 2026, The confrontation expanded beyond Lebanon into a broader regional
conflict involving Israel, Iran and the United States, and targeting Arab
countries.
Once again, Lebanon became an active battlefield in a conflict whose strategic
decisions were taken beyond its borders and the consequences were catastrophic.
These figures represent far more than destroyed infrastructure. They reflect
generations of lost investment, businesses that never reopened, families forced
into displacement, children whose education was interrupted, and a country
repeatedly denied the opportunity to rebuild
After three wars, the question facing Lebanon is no longer only what these
conflicts have cost the country, but whether they have fundamentally altered
Hezbollah itself.
Security analyst Riad Kahwaji believes they have.
“Hezbollah suffered tremendously and its situation is irreversible” security
analyst Riad Kahwaji told The Beiruter.
According to Kahwaji, the group's military, financial and strategic position has
been transformed by a series of regional developments that extend well beyond
Lebanon. Chief among them is the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria, long
considered Hezbollah's strategic lifeline and Iran's main corridor for
transferring weapons and military support.
"Syria was the bridge that allowed Iran to build and strengthen Hezbollah over
the years," he said. "The stronger and more stable the new Syrian government
becomes, the more irreversible Hezbollah's decline becomes."
He also points to a shifting political landscape in both Beirut and Damascus.
With Lebanon's new leadership moving closer to Western allies and Syria
increasingly distancing itself from Tehran, Hezbollah finds itself more isolated
than at any point in its history.
According to Kahwaji, the group is now largely dependent on its remaining
internal resources, while external supply routes continue to shrink under
tighter border controls and growing international pressure.
"Financially, there is a strong chokehold by the Americans that continues to
tighten," he said.
Militarily, he argues, Hezbollah has sustained losses that cannot easily be
reversed.
"A significant portion of its weapons arsenal has been depleted, and its
manpower has also suffered. That is why we are increasingly seeing foreigners
and underage recruits on the front lines."
The changes are not limited to the battlefield. Kahwaji says discontent is also
emerging within Hezbollah's traditional support base, while Iran, its principal
backer, continues to face mounting military and economic pressure.
"Regionally, everything is changing," he said. "Iran is being weakened, and the
stronger the Lebanese state becomes, the weaker Hezbollah becomes."
Yet Kahwaji cautions against expecting a swift resolution.
In his view, the confrontation is likely to continue intermittently until at
least late 2027, shaped by broader regional dynamics, including developments in
Israel, Iran and the United States.
"This is no longer only about Lebanon," he said. "The regional conflict is
evolving, with new priorities emerging. But one objective has become
increasingly clear: stripping Iran of its Lebanese card while minimizing the
repercussions inside Lebanon."
The Great Palestinian Election Scam
Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/July 13, 2026
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/22696/palestinian-election-scam
Western governments and donors will undoubtedly welcome the announcement [of
presidential elections] as a sign that Abbas is finally responding to
long-standing demands for reform. They should not. Holding elections for the
sake of holding elections is not reform. Elections alone do not create
democracy, end corruption, or establish accountability. Elections by themselves,
as Natan Sharansky and Ron Dermer emphasize in A Case for Democracy, do not
signify a democracy. There first need to be functioning institutions of
democracy — freedom of speech, freedom of the press, separation of religion and
state, freedom from religion, an independent judiciary, separation of powers,
equal justice under the law, due process, and so on — and then, at the end of
these processes that actually embody democracy, after they are up and running,
an election can be held that represents a democracy. Otherwise, as can be seen
in Russia, Iran and other dictatorships, elections are not signs of reform, at
all but just choreographed burlesques.
The Palestinians desperately need transparent institutions, an independent
judiciary, a free press, functioning checks and balances, and leaders who answer
to the public rather than rule indefinitely by presidential decree. None of that
exists under the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank or Hamas in the Gaza
Strip. The Palestinian parliament, known as the Palestinian Legislative Council
(PLC), has been effectively defunct since Hamas violently seized control of the
Gaza Strip in 2007, and Abbas formally dissolved it in 2018.
"[T]he clearest evidence of the slide to authoritarianism has been the decision
taken by the party that lost the 2006 elections, Fatah, to dissolve the PLC in
2018. The inevitable outcome of the suspension of the PLC meetings has been the
transfer of its legislative and oversight functions to the executive authority
represented by the president. Since 2007, President Abbas issued more laws by
decree than those ever issued by the PLC during its entire life since the first
election in 1996. Most of these laws were not urgent, as required by the Basic
Law, and many of them violated the terms of that law. In the absence of a
parliament, the president gave himself the power to rule by decree without
accountability or oversight." — Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey
Research (PCPSR), January 2021.
The latest poll conducted by the PCPSR found that 80% of Palestinians want [PA
President Mahmoud Abbas] to leave office. If Abbas and the Fatah leadership
determine which candidates may participate, the outcome will be largely
predetermined before the first ballot is cast.
Fatah remains firmly under the control of the same leadership, the same
political culture, and the same patronage networks. Some names changed, but the
system remained unchanged. Same old politics, decorated with a few new faces,
including Abbas's son, Yasser.
For ordinary Palestinians, the choice remains essentially between Fatah and
Hamas. There is no viable third force capable of competing nationally, and both
movements have spent years suppressing independent political voices.
Public opinion surveys over the past two years have repeatedly shown that
Hamas... enjoys greater support than Mahmoud Abbas's Fatah faction. Under these
circumstances, new elections could once again hand victory to Hamas. Such an
outcome would strengthen an Iran-backed terrorist group that openly seeks
Israel's destruction, rejects peace, and continues to advocate armed jihad (holy
war).
Democracy cannot exist when the ruling faction controls the rules, the
institutions, and the political playing field. Power is concentrated in a small
inner circle. There is no functioning parliament. There is no meaningful
separation of powers. There is little room for genuine public debate.
Journalists operate under constant pressure and fear. Political appointments
often depend more on personal loyalty than merit. The question is not whether
Palestinians should vote. The question is whether the conditions for free and
meaningful elections exist. As long as Hamas remains an armed terrorist group
with substantial public support, and as long as Fatah continues to monopolize
Palestinian political life, elections are more likely to reproduce the current
crisis than resolve it.
Palestinians need institutional reform. They need independent courts. They need
financial transparency. They need anti-corruption mechanisms. They need genuine
freedom of expression. They need political pluralism. They need peaceful
transfers of power.
Only after these foundations are established can elections produce meaningful
change. Otherwise, elections merely provide democratic decoration for an
undemocratic system.
Western governments should therefore resist the temptation to celebrate Abbas's
latest decree as evidence of reform and democratic progress. His decree should
be viewed for what it most likely is: another political maneuver designed to
preserve international legitimacy and secure continued Western financial
support, rather than a sincere effort to bring democracy to the Palestinian
people.
The question is not whether Palestinians should vote. The question is whether
the conditions for free and meaningful elections exist. As long as Hamas remains
an armed terrorist group with substantial public support, and as long as Fatah
continues to monopolize Palestinian political life, elections are more likely to
reproduce the current crisis than resolve it. The Palestinian parliament, known
as the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC), has been effectively defunct since
Hamas violently seized control of the Gaza Strip in 2007, and Abbas formally
dissolved it in 2018.
Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas has once again announced
legislative and presidential elections, presenting the move as evidence of
democratic renewal. According to a presidential decree issued on July 9,
legislative elections are scheduled for November 28, 2026, while presidential
elections are to follow during the first quarter of 2027. The decree calls on
Palestinians in the West Bank, Gaza Strip and Jerusalem to participate in "free
and direct" elections aimed at strengthening democracy. Western governments and
donors will undoubtedly welcome the announcement as a sign that Abbas is finally
responding to long-standing demands for reform. They should not. Holding
elections for the sake of holding elections is not reform. Elections alone do
not create democracy, end corruption, or establish accountability.
Elections by themselves, as Natan Sharansky and Ron Dermer emphasize in The Case
for Democracy, do not signify a democracy. There first need to be functioning
institutions of democracy — freedom of speech, freedom of the press, separation
of religion and state, freedom from religion, an independent judiciary,
separation of powers, equal justice under the law, due process, and so on — and
then, at the end of these processes that actually embody democracy, after they
are up and running, an election can be held that represents a democracy.
Otherwise, as seen in Russia, Venezuela, Iran and other dictatorships, elections
are not signs of reform at all, but just choreographed burlesques. The
Palestinians desperately need transparent institutions, an independent
judiciary, a free press, functioning checks and balances, and leaders who answer
to the public rather than rule indefinitely by presidential decree.
None of that exists under the Palestinian Authority (PA) in the West Bank or
under Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Abbas, now 91, is serving the twenty-first year
of what was supposed to be a four-year presidential term, after being elected in
January 2005. The Palestinian parliament, known as the Palestinian Legislative
Council (PLC), has been effectively defunct since Hamas violently seized control
of the Gaza Strip in 2007, and Abbas formally dissolved it in 2018.
Since then, Abbas has governed without a functioning parliament, without
meaningful oversight, and without genuine public accountability.
According to the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PCPSR):
"The suspension of the activities of the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC)
in the West Bank in 2007, in the immediate aftermath of the Hamas violent
takeover of the Gaza Strip, has been one of the most damaging governance
measures taken by the PA since its creation. "But the clearest evidence of the
slide to authoritarianism has been the decision taken by the party that lost the
2006 elections, Fatah, to dissolve the PLC in 2018. The inevitable outcome of
the suspension of the PLC meetings has been the transfer of its legislative and
oversight functions to the executive authority represented by the president.
Since 2007, President Abbas issued more laws by decree than those ever issued by
the PLC during its entire life since the first election in 1996. Most of these
laws were not urgent, as required by the Basic Law, and many of them violated
the terms of that law. In the absence of a parliament, the president gave
himself the power to rule by decree without accountability or oversight. Without
a parliament able to defend its members, the president gave himself the power to
annul the immunity of the PLC members, to suspend the payment of their salaries,
to send them to court, and to close their offices ending eventually in his
decision in December 2018 to dissolve the entire PLC utilizing for that mission
the services of a body he created for that purpose, the constitutional court."
This is not democracy.
The latest election announcement also deserves skepticism because it is not the
first time Abbas has made such promises. In 2021, he announced legislative and
presidential elections, only to cancel them at the last minute, blaming Israel's
refusal to allow voting in Jerusalem.
This explanation was always unconvincing. According to the Palestinian Central
Elections Commission back then, 150,000 eligible voters from east Jerusalem
suburbs "can vote in the upcoming elections without Israeli obstructions since
they do not require Israeli approval." Abbas used the Jerusalem issue as an
excuse to call off the elections because he was afraid that his Fatah faction
and loyalists would not win. The reality is that Abbas has never been eager to
test his popularity at the ballot box.
If Abbas truly enjoyed broad public support, he would have little reason to fear
elections. The reality is that for years, Palestinian public opinion surveys
have consistently shown that most Palestinians want him to resign. The latest
poll conducted by the PCPSR found that 80% of Palestinians want him to leave
office. Such findings explain why many Palestinians view Abbas's latest election
announcement with deep skepticism. Even if elections are eventually held,
another fundamental question remains unanswered: who will be allowed to run?
If Abbas and the Fatah leadership decide which candidates may participate, the
outcome will be largely predetermined before the first ballot is cast. Recent
internal Fatah elections offer little reason for optimism. Elections for Fatah's
Central Committee and Revolutionary Council introduced several younger faces,
yet they produced no meaningful political transformation. Fatah remains firmly
under the control of the same leadership, the same political culture, and the
same patronage networks. Some names changed, but the system remained unchanged.
Same old politics, decorated with a few new faces, including Abbas's son,
Yasser.
The broader Palestinian political landscape is equally bleak.
For ordinary Palestinians, the choice remains essentially between Fatah and
Hamas. There is no viable third force capable of competing nationally, and both
movements have spent years suppressing independent political voices.
This is perhaps the greatest tragedy of Palestinian politics.
For decades, both Fatah and Hamas have systematically prevented the emergence of
alternative leadership. Independent candidates, reformists, liberals, and
pragmatic figures have found little political space to organize or compete. Both
factions have monopolized Palestinian political life while accusing each other
of authoritarianism, even as each exercises authoritarian control over the
territories it governs.
The result is a political monopoly that has suffocated Palestinian society.
Both Fatah and Hamas bear responsibility for widespread human rights abuses,
political repression, arbitrary arrests of opponents, media intimidation, and
corruption. Both have repeatedly placed factional interests above the welfare of
their own people.
Instead of building democratic institutions, they have built systems designed to
preserve their own power.
Many Westerners continue to believe that elections automatically produce
moderation and legitimacy. The Palestinian, Russian, Venezuelan and Iranian
experiences demonstrate otherwise.
The 2006 parliamentary election brought Hamas to power through the ballot box.
Instead of strengthening democracy, the outcome triggered violent conflict
between Hamas and Fatah, culminating in Hamas's bloody takeover of the Gaza
Strip a year later. Since then, Palestinians have lived under two rival
authoritarian administrations.
There is another compelling reason why rushing into Palestinian elections would
be a grave mistake. Hamas, after nearly three years of a devastating war in the
Gaza Strip and the immense suffering it has brought upon the Palestinians,
continues to enjoy significant support among many Palestinians, especially in
the West Bank.
Public opinion surveys over the past two years have repeatedly shown that Hamas
remains one of the most popular political forces in Palestinian society and, in
many cases, enjoys greater support than Abbas's Fatah faction.
Under these circumstances, new elections could once again hand victory to Hamas.
Such a result would strengthen an Iran-backed terrorist group that openly seeks
Israel's destruction, rejects peace, and continues to advocate armed jihad (holy
war).
Repeating the same experiment while expecting different results would be
idiotic. Allowing an armed organization to compete in elections without first
requiring it to disarm and renounce violence would repeat one of the gravest
mistakes made in 2006.
Equally dangerous would be allowing Fatah to manipulate the electoral process by
deciding who may or may not compete.
Democracy cannot exist when the ruling faction controls the rules, the
institutions, and the political playing field.
The deeper problem is that the Palestinian Authority continues to function less
like a democratic government than a centralized political machine dominated by
Abbas and his closest loyalists.
Power is concentrated in a small inner circle. There is no functioning
parliament. There is no meaningful separation of powers. There is little room
for genuine public debate. Journalists operate under constant pressure and fear.
Political appointments often depend more on personal loyalty than merit.
The Palestinian political system has become increasingly personalized, with
major decisions resting almost exclusively in the hands of Abbas and a narrow
leadership elite.
This is precisely why many Palestinians no longer believe elections alone can
solve their political crisis. The question is not whether Palestinians should
vote. The question is whether the conditions for free and meaningful elections
exist. As long as Hamas remains an armed terrorist group with substantial public
support, and as long as Fatah continues to monopolize Palestinian political
life, elections are more likely to reproduce the current crisis than resolve it.
Palestinians need institutional reform. They need independent courts. They need
financial transparency. They need anti-corruption mechanisms. They need genuine
freedom of expression. They need political pluralism. They need peaceful
transfers of power.
Only after these foundations are established can elections produce meaningful
change. Otherwise, elections merely provide democratic decoration for an
undemocratic system.
It is also difficult to ignore the timing of Abbas's latest announcement. The PA
has faced growing international pressure to demonstrate reform as Western
governments continue financing it and discussing a larger role for it in
governing post-war Gaza. Announcing elections helps project an image of
modernization and democratic renewal precisely when international donors are
demanding evidence of political change.
Yet appearances should not be confused with reality.
If Abbas genuinely believed in democracy, he could have stepped aside years ago
and allowed a new generation of Palestinian leaders to emerge. Instead, he has
remained in office for more than two decades while repeatedly postponing
elections and concentrating power in his own hands.
Western governments should therefore resist the temptation to celebrate Abbas's
latest decree as evidence of reform and democratic progress. His decree should
be viewed for what it most likely is: another political maneuver designed to
preserve international legitimacy and secure continued Western financial
support, rather than a sincere effort to bring democracy to the Palestinian
people.
*Khaled Abu Toameh is an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem.
*Follow Khaled Abu Toameh on X (formerly Twitter)
© 2026 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
The Memorandum of Misunderstanding
Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al Awsat/July 13/2026
If the American-Iranian memorandum of understanding is worthy of the name it was
given, why is this happening? Why does the US continue its punitive strikes on
targets in Iran in response to the latter's attacks on ships attempting to cross
the Strait of Hormuz? Why does Iran continue its assaults on the Gulf
Cooperation Council states (including those that mediated and encouraged
settlements, like Qatar and the Sultanate of Oman)? And if Tehran considers the
memorandum a victory, why would it risk the memorandum’s collapse under the
weight of exchanged blows?
The memorandum of understanding generated some hasty hopes. Some believed the
region had escaped the trap of sliding into a chapter more destructive than the
one it had witnessed. Others imagined that Iran had survived open confrontation
with America and would now turn to obtaining the long-awaited funds its
exhausted economy needs.Still others overshot and wondered when American
companies would come streaming into Iran. However, the developments of the past
two days suggest that optimism on this score is hasty, and that the dispute
between Washington and Tehran is too deep and too acrimonious to end with an
agreement riddled with ambiguity and equivocation. In Baghdad, I heard words
that gave me pause. The man said the conditions for a grand bargain are not
there, and that the current Iranian regime dreads returning to being a normal
state. By a normal state, he meant a state that abides by international law in
dealing not only with the Strait of Hormuz but with its neighbors and the entire
world. A normal state does not fight wars by proxy. It does not raise small
armies inside its neighbors' territories.
The speaker said the Iranian regime was born carrying a mission written into its
constitution, "exporting the revolution" to change the region and the Islamic
world. He noted that Iran's retreat into its own borders leaves the Iranian
revolution waiting for a man to reconcile it with the age and the world, as Deng
Xiaoping did with the Chinese revolution and the legacy of Mao Zedong. The other
option is to await the appearance of Iran's Mikhail Gorbachev who opens the door
to collapse on the model of what befell the Soviet Union. The issue, he
reckoned, is that today's Iran does not want to change and cannot change. It has
produced no Deng, and it will not allow for the emergence of an Iranian
Gorbachev.
The ink of the memorandum does not change the choices of those who signed it.
Donald Trump wasted no time hinting that he would wash his hands of the
memorandum in response to Iran’s actions in Hormuz. Iran, for its part, demands
the implementation of the agreement’s clauses (but according to its own reading,
which tries to tame the ambiguities and press them into the service of its
policy).
Iran behaves as though it emerged from the clash with America and Israel, which
holds the title of the region's great power. It cites its clash with America as
a pretext for shelling its neighbors, punishing them for hosting an American
military presence or for defense and security agreements with Washington. Iran
gave itself license to garrison the territory of other states without their
governments' approval, while denying neighboring states the right to conclude
agreements whose necessity Iran's own conduct, past and present, has helped
confirm. Iran behaves as though gripping the world economy by the throat at
Hormuz could become the engine of its transformation into the region's great
power, after that transformation proved beyond reach under the umbrella of the
nuclear project.
The message of Iran's Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, after his father's
funeral rites was clear and severe. He vowed categorically to avenge his father.
He wrote: "These criminals, of whose names there exists a complete list from the
first of them to the last, will carry with them to their graves the wish of
dying a peaceful death in their beds."He also said: "Soon, individuals from
among the free people of the world will each carry out a part of this divine
mission," meaning the vengeance.
And the Supreme Leader's abstention from appearing even at his father's funeral
shows that Iran does not rule out new chapters of military confrontation. No one
expected the Supreme Leader's words after burying his father to be moderate.
Nonetheless, the insistence on vengeance, and in this form, suggests the
memorandum of understanding is surrounded by mines, not only those said to have
been planted in the waters of the strait. From Baghdad to Beirut, visiting
journalists sense that the memorandum of understanding has done nothing to turn
the page on the confrontation. The US presses on with its policy of cutting the
Iranian thread that lets Tehran move certain Iraqi factions in the region's
wars, and keeps the conflict between Hezbollah and Israel in south Lebanon
renewable.
Iran, in turn, presses on with its traditional policy of cutting the American
thread it believes lies behind Arab states' refusal to bow to Iran’s dictates on
the region's security and its decisions.
Was the American-Iranian memorandum of understanding merely an attempt to avert
a tunnel of vast destruction? Was it dictated by energy prices, Trump's
relationship with Congress, and the approach of the midterm elections? Was it
dictated, on the Iranian side, by fear of the costly destruction of bridges and
power stations, which Trump had brandished more than once? The memorandum of
understanding emerged as a solution, a way out, and an attempt to rescue the
region from a great catastrophe. Does it now need saving?
The pessimists say diplomacy sprinkles sugar over death. It plays for time. It
invents unwarranted hopes. And they say the memorandum of understanding is
fragile and ambiguous and overlooked many clauses, which nominates it for the
title of memorandum of misunderstanding.
Politicians and Leaders’ Funerals: The Difficulties of
Continuity
Hazem Saghieh/Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al Awsat/July 13/2026
The funerals of politicians and leaders grow out of their immediate occasion to
become political spectacle — a platform for staking out public positions,
issuing pledges, and shoring up particular states of affairs. Some funerals,
deny any attachment to continuity and genuinely build the foundations for a new
order that breaks with part of the past. Into this category falls, for example,
the funeral of Jan Palach, the young Czech who set himself alight in 1969 in
protest at the Soviet invasion of his country in 1968- a funeral that outlined
the path to independence which triumphed two decades later. The funeral of the
Lebanese politician Rafik Hariri in 2005, for its part, triggered a movement
that led to the withdrawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon.
Most grand political funerals, however, transform into occasions for affirming
continuity and fidelity to the prevailing order. The protagonists and setting of
this genre, in most cases we encounter, share more or less of the following
features:
The man being buried may be the founder of a state, a revolution, or a mass
party. This holds for the funerals of Vladimir Lenin in 1924, Sun Yat-sen in
1925, Mustafa Kemal Atatürk in 1938, Gamal Abdel Nasser in 1970, Mao Zedong in
1976, and Ayatollah Khomeini in 1989 (as we know, the crush at Khomeini’s
funeral tore the shroud and sent the body tumbling to the ground, and more than
10 people died in the event).
Often, the deceased is a father-leader who infantilizes his children and plays
on their emotions: a leader who ruled for a long time, and whose name
monopolized public life and became the central axis of this life, whereby the
future, in his absence, looms like a cloud of uncertainty that threatens
potential violence and chaos.When Joseph Stalin died in 1953, he was closing
three decades of personal rule in the Soviet Union. When Gamal Abdel Nasser
passed, it had been 18 years since his military coup and 16 since he took sole
power. Before them, Atatürk's death came after 15 years in the presidency. The
same holds, of course, for Ali Khamenei, who was president of the republic in
Iran from 1981 and then named supreme leader in 1989. In such cases, moreover,
the tools and traditions of expression are likely weak and scarce, if not absent
altogether. With institutions frail or elections abolished, funerals become one
of the few legitimate occasions for mass political mobilization, demonstrations,
referendums, and the founding of political and party projects. These occasions
thereby seem like a kind of constitutional moment standing as an alternative to
constitutionalism and its mechanisms.
The leader's death may, in turn, crown a tragedy, such as assassination or
defeat. Lenin had spent the last two years of his life suffering from wounds he
had suffered as a result of successive attempts on his life. Nasser was weighed
down by the enormous defeat he had suffered three years before his death.
Khomeini, for his part, had announced a year before his passing that his
approval of Resolution 598 was a "drinking of the chalice of poison," which was
considered as an admission of defeat in the war with Iraq. And Khamenei, who was
assassinated, had his funeral riddled with images and specters: the destruction
visited on Iran by two successive wars, the killing of commanders and
scientists, its shrinking regional role, and perhaps the struggles among the
ruling wings.
It seems that the question of continuity these funerals affirm remains highly
problematic. What is sought, here, is to stress that the departed leaders
bequeath the future and to turn the individual into an institution and an icon
by way of a carefully staged spectacle in which collective emotions are churned
by symbols, speeches, processions, flags, uniforms, and stirring anthems... The
political order is thereby symbolically reconfigured, and the funeral turns from
a commodity produced by the regime into a factory that produces the regime,
while the deceased is painted as immortal, undying. The authorities, in such
contexts, are the ones engineering the mourning ritual in the way Emile Durkheim
explains when he argues that funeral rites rebuild solidarity and mend the
social fabric that death seemed to have torn. The grief of sons bereft of the
father and their tears, here, become one more element of unity and continuity,
exhorting the living to complete the work of the dead.
Many scholars have stressed that modern nationalism is not built by armies and
constitutions alone: collective public mourning, military cemeteries, and
commemorative rituals share in the same task, whereby modern states take on the
"nationalization of death."
The bottom line of these acts is denial of the death. Stalin, in a literal
application of the notion, insisted on embalming Lenin's body over the objection
of his widow, Nadezhda Krupskaya. It is not wholly unrelated that Mojtaba
Khamenei was chosen as Supreme Leader to succeed his slain father despite
lacking the "scholarly" credentials the post requires (bearing in mind that the
father himself had not possessed them either). Here, the new leader is bound
biologically to the legacy and estate of the departed, to affirm that the
assassination has done nothing to shake the existing system and its
institutions- indeed, not the slightest change in the pillars of power. As such,
it became necessary to summon the chants that intimate continuity: "Death to
America and Israel," the demand for vengeance on the father's killers, and the
rest of the stockpile of chants and phrases of such occasions. "We will complete
the journey.We remain.We continue." All of them dispel the fear of change death
might bring. Even so, experience shows that change defeats continuity more often
than continuity defeats change. Leninism, in the eyes of many, did not survive
under Stalin- though many others saw it as the field in which Stalinism
sprouted. Sun Yat-sen's all-embracing nationalism split between nationalists and
communists. Maoism was soon undone by Deng Xiaoping in late 1978, when the
Communist Party installed "economic development" in place of "class struggle" as
"the Party's central priority," and the program of "reform and opening up" was
set in motion in the making of policy. In Egypt, Anwar Sadat pursued sweeping
economic and political liberalization, as in foreign alliances and the questions
of war and peace. It has become a fixture of conversations around Iran to note
the growing weight of the IRGC and the waning importance of the "House of the
Leader," to say nothing of the many large question marks still hanging over
Mojtaba himself. So does the din of great funerals, and the affirmation of
continuity that comes with it, leave the general principle as Sigmund Freud
formulated it unaltered? Death is a moment of farewell, while mourning- a
natural response to loss- detaches the bereaved, emotionally and gradually, from
the deceased, enabling him to carry on with his life. As for those who cannot
see in mourning rites a rite of passage, and in funerals an oblique public
proclamation of it, they end in melancholia, their grief transmuted into
illness.
Abbas Throws a Stone into Still Waters
Nabil Amr/Asharq Al Awsat/July 13/2026
President Mahmoud Abbas has issued a decree setting a date for presidential and
legislative elections, reversing a course he himself had previously charted
toward elections for the Palestinian National Council, an alternative widely
viewed as a substitute for long-overdue national elections.
Since the last general elections, Palestinian political life, long known for its
vitality and dynamism, has sunk into a state of deadly stagnation. The affairs
of the Palestinian Authority have been managed through ad hoc administrative
measures and improvised decisions, while presidential decrees have gradually
become a substitute for elected institutions, the only bodies with the
legitimate authority to enact legislation governing the affairs of both the
Authority and Palestinian society.
Since the last legislative elections in 2006, and the presidential election of
2005 held after the death of Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat, the Palestinian
national movement has endured some of the gravest crises in its history. The
internal division that emerged during that period remains unresolved. The
promise of peace born of the Oslo Accords gave way instead to a brutal conflict
imposed on Palestinians across the West Bank, Gaza, and Jerusalem, culminating
in Israel's war of annihilation in Gaza and its campaign to tighten its grip on
the West Bank.
At the same time, the threats of displacement and annexation have intensified
dramatically. Together, they represent different expressions of a single
objective: the liquidation of the Palestinian cause through the destruction of
the two foundations upon which any future solution depends, the land and its
people. During years of internal paralysis, as every avenue for completing the
process launched by Oslo gradually closed, Palestinians increasingly focused on
preserving whatever remained of the very possibility of the Palestinian cause's
survival. Internationally, meanwhile, attention shifted toward demands for
reforming the Palestinian Authority so that it could credibly represent the
Palestinians in matters concerning both their national cause and their political
future.
The reform agenda promoted by the principal external actors involved in
Palestinian affairs, the United States, Europe, and Israel, consisted largely of
measures the Palestinian Authority could neither realistically nor fully
implement in the form demanded of it. By contrast, the reform that commands
broad Palestinian consensus is fundamentally different. It is also the approach
preferred by Europe and much of the wider international community: genuine
reform rooted in presidential and legislative elections. The Palestinian
leadership attempted to chart an alternative path to reform, one that differed
substantially in both substance and procedure from the internationally preferred
approach. Rather than holding general presidential and legislative elections, it
proposed elections for the Palestinian National Council. At the same time, it
launched a parallel process beginning with elections for Fatah's youth movement,
followed by local elections and internal Fatah elections.
Important as these measures were at the local level, they nevertheless appeared
to the outside world as an attempt to play the wrong game altogether. They were
never accepted as a substitute for presidential and legislative elections.
President Emmanuel Macron captured this reality when he asked President Abbas:
If you are capable of organizing all of these elections, why not hold
presidential and legislative elections as well?
Everything associated with the Palestinian cause is now viewed negatively in
Washington and Israel. Elsewhere, however, it continues to command support, even
if that support has become less influential than before. Arab and Islamic
countries remain at the forefront, joined by many other states that continue to
express solidarity with the Palestinians. All seek to see a Palestinian
political order capable of placing this long-running national cause on a
realistic path toward a sovereign state.
That objective requires genuine reform of the Palestinian Authority, reform that
equips it to participate meaningfully in efforts to resolve the crisis,
beginning with the deadlock in Gaza and extending to the unresolved questions
surrounding the future of the West Bank.
It would be a denial of both reality and common sense to ignore the influence of
external actors on Palestinian internal affairs, down to the smallest details.
That influence is a consequence of the Palestinian need for political and
financial support. In today's world, no assistance is given purely out of
humanitarian concern or moral sympathy. Every form of support carries a
political price, and those who depend on it are expected to pay it. Otherwise,
they must rely solely on their own resources, if they are capable of doing so.
President Abbas remains the official face of the Palestinian political system
and the central figure through whom its crises are managed and its possible
solutions pursued. He possesses enough realism and pragmatism to distinguish
between populist slogans repeated in statements and speeches and the politically
difficult obligations that must be met if any opportunity for a solution is to
emerge, however uncertain or difficult that prospect may be.
The Palestinian Authority, trapped beneath a thick layer of internal paralysis
and external political constraints, cannot afford to turn its back on those
whose support it seeks, particularly its Arab and Muslim partners and the
Europeans. They want to see a Palestinian political system that derives its
credibility and authority from the confidence of its own people, and one capable
of fulfilling its responsibilities effectively.
That is a far cry from the current reality. The deepening Palestinian division
has revived two questions that remain unanswered: Who should negotiations be
conducted with? And who truly represents the Palestinians? Abbas's decision,
long overdue by any measure, is like throwing a large stone into still water.
Without reading more into it than it can reasonably bear, it should nevertheless
be regarded as a step in the right direction. Yet unless the decision is
implemented with the integrity, transparency, and credible procedures that
genuine elections require, procedures capable of convincing Palestinians before
they convince the rest of the world, the downward trajectory will continue. When
that happens, even government by presidential decree will no longer be enough.
“On the Edge of Meaning”… A Word in a Time of Noise…
Lebanon… A Match Without Goals
Father Tony Bou Assaf/Facebook/July 13/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/07/155913/
(Googl translation from Arabic)
Lebanon today is less a state and more an open football field for ninety endless
minutes. Two teams have been facing off for decades, exchanging attacks and
accusations, each celebrating a goal they believe to be a victory.
But the tragedy lies not in the existence of two teams, but in the fact that
both have forgotten why the match was even held in the first place.
Plans are absent, vision is lost, and the objective is lost. Politics has become
a game of deception rather than building a future, and defeating the opponent
has become more important than protecting the field, to the point where it seems
that true victory lies in defeating the other, even if the nation falls with
them.
In Lebanon, the ball is no longer a means to reach the goal; rather, the nation
itself has become the ball, tossed about by everyone whenever their interests
are threatened. The players aren’t afraid of losing the match because they’ve
grown accustomed to its continuation, while the public is the one paying the
price for this absurdity.
The stands are worn down by poverty, emigration, and betrayal, and the referee
doesn’t dare blow the final whistle because the continuation of the match has
become a source of influence for some and a source of profit for others.
Thus, no one asks: How do we win Lebanon? Instead, they ask: How do we win over
Lebanon?
The homeland has been transformed from a goal into spoils, from a mission into
an arena for settling scores. The conflict is no longer between two projects for
building the state, but between two wills to possess it.
The most painful truth is that Lebanon doesn’t need a team to defeat another
team, but men who dare to end the match when it becomes more dangerous on the
field than defeat itself.
For nothing is more dangerous to nations than for teams to disagree, but for
them to master the game… and remain ignorant of the meaning of homeland.
In Lebanon, the question is no longer: Who will win the match?
But: Will there even be a field left to play on when this match, which no one
wants to end, finally comes to a close? Father Tony Bou Assaf
Theology of Existence
David Schenker on Trump’s Syria delisting move
Amal Chmouny/The Beiruter/July 11, 2026
Former U.S. official David Schenker explains in an exclusive interview to The
Beiruter how Trump’s Syria delisting decision could reshape regional politics,
security, and economic recovery.
In a move that has already sent ripples across the Middle East and Washington
alike, President Donald Trump has begun the process to rescind Syria’s
designation as a State Sponsor of Terrorism (SST). The July 8, 2026,
announcement by Secretary of State Marco Rubio heralds a 45-day Congressional
review period before the delisting becomes official, a step that could reshape
Syria’s economic fortunes, recalibrate U.S. leverage in the region, and redefine
how America approaches post-conflict states that once hosted terrorist networks.
To unpack the logic, stakes, and possible fallout of this historic decision, I
sat down with David Schenker, former Assistant Secretary of State for Near
Eastern Affairs and now Director of the Program on Arab Politics at the
Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Schenker, known for his clear-eyed
analyses of Levantine politics, has followed Syria’s tumultuous trajectory from
Bashar al-Assad’s brutal rule to the rise of President Ahmed al-Sharaa, and now
to the prospect of U.S.-Syria rapprochement.
Rationale: Why Now?
Schenker begins by situating the SST designation’s origins: “Syria was an
inaugural member of the State Department's state sponsor of terrorism list. They
were put on in 1979, largely in response to the Assad regime's support for
Palestinian terrorist organizations.” Over the decades, the Assad regime’s
support for groups like Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK)
entrenched Syria’s pariah status. But, Schenker notes,
these sanctions were imposed because of the Assad regime, and the Assad regime
is no longer there.
With the ouster of Bashar al-Assad in 2024 and the ascent of President Ahmad al-Sharaa,
the question for U.S. policymakers became whether the new government maintained
those malign behaviors. “If the al-Sharaa government was sponsoring terrorism,
the designation could remain in place,” Schenker explains. “But this government
is not like the Assad regime supporting terrorist organizations or providing
them with haven. They’re taking steps to prevent weapons transfers to Hezbollah,
have no apparent relationship with Hamas, and aren’t providing safe haven to the
PKK.”
That said, Schenker is careful not to paint a picture of sudden transformation.
U.S. intelligence and military sources remain wary of the presence of former
foreign fighters and alleged former jihadis in key military positions. “There
are concerns about who holds power in the new military, and whether this will be
a tolerant government going forward. But the administration has seen enough
movement to justify this step.”
From Symbolism to Substance
Is this move a calculated signal, or does it reflect a deeper shift in U.S.
policy? “No, I think it has substantial, substantive implications,” Schenker
asserts. “Countries and companies can start more freely doing business with
Damascus without concern for violating U.S. sanctions and being in violation of
U.S. law. This is a significant change, not merely symbolic.”
He points to the sequential rollback of sanctions as part of a broader strategy:
“Early on, the administration lifted a whole host of other sanctions against
Syria to give the government a chance to develop economically and stabilize
post-conflict.”
The state sponsorship of terrorism sanctions are particularly onerous—they
prevent investment and economic life from resuming, which is a key element of
stabilizing the country.
Congressional voices have echoed this logic. In a bipartisan letter, U.S.
Senators Jeanne Shaheen, Elizabeth Warren, and U.S. Representative Joe Wilson
argued that the legal basis for Syria’s designation no longer applies, and that
continued isolation undermines U.S. interests by blocking economic recovery,
impeding counterterrorism cooperation, and ceding ground to adversaries like
Russia, Iran, and China.
Leverage and Conditionality: What Does the U.S. Still Hold?
If the SST designation is lifted, does Washington lose its main source of
leverage? Schenker is nuanced: “There are always other sanctions. The
administration would say that new sanctions can be levied against the government
or individuals for human rights abuses, for example. So yes, it’s harder, but
there’s a balancing act. The administration is really invested in Syria’s
success and stabilization, and that requires the resumption of economic life.
But the U.S. retains the ability to reimpose or target individuals if
necessary.”
On whether delisting should be explicitly conditioned on further Syrian reforms
like counterterrorism, chemical weapons, detainees, or humanitarian access,
Schenker sees a kind of implicit conditionality at work. “The Syrians are
already doing much of this. The Organization for the Prevention of Chemical
Weapons is on the ground. The new government has been open, not committed to
retaining the capabilities of the Assad regime. There’s been some judicial
process on past atrocities. And U.S. intelligence assesses that Syria is
cooperating on counterterrorism.”
He sees the 45-day Congressional review as a critical period: “There’s an
implicit understanding that the U.S. will stand by Syria if it is a responsible
state that doesn’t destabilize its neighbors.”
No one expects Syria to become a Jeffersonian democracy overnight, but the bar
is higher than just renouncing terrorism.
Still, some in Congress have called for explicit reporting requirements,
benchmarks, or written conditions before the delisting becomes final. The
concern is that premature relief could permit backsliding or impunity. “Even
after delisting, the U.S. retains tools to target human rights abusers and
malign actors,” Schenker notes. “But the SST designation itself had become more
of a blunt instrument than a precise lever.”
Regional Reverberations: Turkey, Iran, Israel, and Beyond
Syria is not an island. Schenker underscores the regional dimensions of the
move. “Turkey is pleased. They want Syria to succeed; they have significant
interests and influence there. Under Assad, Syria was an adversary to Turkey,
providing sanctuary and support to the PKK. Lifting sanctions helps stabilize
Syria, which is in Turkey’s interest.”
On Iran, Schenker observes that “Syria considers Iran to be a destabilizing
force in the region. There are no direct flights between Damascus and Tehran,
and relations are chilly, and rightfully so after the role Iran played in
helping Assad. Part of the expectation is that Syria will cooperate with Iraq on
a pipeline to the Mediterranean, reducing reliance on the Strait of Hormuz.”
Senator Lindsey Graham, echoing this sentiment, recently praised President al-Sharaa
for being a “true thorn in the side of Iran” and urged the U.S. to give him the
tools to build a functioning, united Syria—a blow to Tehran’s regional
ambitions.
For Israel, the message is more complex. “The U.S. is invested in Syria’s
success, and the administration has pushed back on Israeli intervention in
Syria,” Schenker notes. The status of the Golan Heights remains a sticking
point, but al-Sharaa is seen as unlikely to escalate over that issue. “He can’t
have peace with Israel as long as that remains unresolved, but he also
recognizes the risks of further conflict.”
As for Lebanon and the Gulf states, the implications are mixed. Arab efforts to
reintegrate Syria may find new momentum, but old suspicions linger, especially
given Syria’s fraught history in Lebanon and the enduring presence of Hezbollah.
Schenker is wary of proposals to deploy the Syrian army against Hezbollah,
warning that such moves could “further undermine regional stability and U.S.
interests” by reigniting sectarian tensions and distracting Syria from its
primary goal of internal stabilization.
Success or Failure: What’s at Stake?
What would success look like? For Schenker, it’s not about instant
transformation.
Success means Syria remains a responsible state, focused on internal
stabilization, not exporting violence or providing haven to terrorist groups.
“It means continued cooperation on counterterrorism, accountability for past
abuses, and gradual economic recovery that benefits ordinary Syrians.”
Failure, on the other hand, would be a return to impunity, either through
renewed support for terrorism, resurgence of sectarian violence, or a slide back
into authoritarianism. It could also mean Syria becoming a battleground for
regional powers, or a source of instability for its neighbors.
Schenker’s prescription for the administration is clear. He underscores that the
most important benchmark for Syria’s normalization is a sustained rejection of
support for terrorism. He argues that this principle remains the foundational
reason behind the original designation and should continue to serve as the
minimum requirement for any future U.S.-Syria relationship.
A Calculated Strategy
As the 45-day review unfolds, the Trump administration’s move to delist Syria
from the SST roster stands as a calculated strategy. The rationale is grounded
in a recognition of changed realities on the ground, a desire to give Syria a
chance to rebuild and reintegrate, and an acknowledgment that the old tools of
leverage had become counterproductive. Yet the risks, from insufficient
accountability to regional blowback, are real.
Ultimately, as Schenker emphasizes, the process is not about rewarding Syria,
but about aligning U.S. policy with evolving facts, retaining the capacity to
punish backsliding, and giving the Syrian people a shot at something better
after years of war and isolation. “No one expects miracles,” he concludes, “but
we can and should expect measurable progress.”
The next six weeks will tell whether this new chapter brings Syria closer to the
community of nations or reveals the limits of American optimism and leverage in
the Middle East.
When Karbala Reached Its Limit
Nadim Koteich/Asas Media/July 13, 2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/07/155909/
(Translation from Arabic by Google)
Everything in the Islamic Republic of Iran has changed, yet nothing has changed.
In the first message attributed to the new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei,
following his father’s burial, he portrayed his father’s death as a heroic
continuation of the Hussein journey and the Karbala narrative.
On the 10th of Muharram (680 AD), Hussein bin Ali, the Prophet’s grandson, stood
with about seventy of his companions against the Umayyad army on the banks of
the Euphrates. The battle ended in a massacre that created a clear dividing line
in Islamic consciousness, establishing a distinct Shiite identity defined by
grief and the narrative of the oppressed. Khomeini’s movement later successfully
repackaged this historical trauma into a modern political framework.
However, Mojtaba—or whoever is speaking in his name today—has done nothing more
than invoke a 1,400-year-old political rulebook that is no longer fit for the
modern age.
The Karbala Narrative and Signs of Decline
In an era where power gaps are widening, the “Hussein model” offers only a way
to keep an ideology alive; it is incapable of bringing prosperity to society or
achieving a decisive victory for the faith. Iran’s current path, which relies
solely on managing crises through the exhaustion of the “martyrdom narrative,”
confirms this. Because ideas must either evolve or vanish, the Karbala narrative
today shows every sign of obsolescence.
Historically, the Karbala model helped preserve a specific Islamic vision during
early power struggles. It inspired various uprisings over centuries and
protected a minority’s traditions against dominant central powers. Yet, even
with these revolts, the Umayyad state survived for over seventy years after
Karbala, until it collapsed due to deep structural, economic, and organizational
factors—not just symbolic resistance.
In the past, symbolic sacrifice could undermine an opponent’s legitimacy. Today,
that is no longer the case. Portraying Khamenei’s death as a “Karbala-style
martyrdom” is mere ideological rhetoric that may rally the base, but it ignores
a different reality:
The Imbalance of the Modern Era:
In the 7th century, battles were fought between tribal armies of similar
strength, decided by individual courage and numbers. Today, Iran faces
high-precision military systems and intelligence superiority—proven by the
recent assassination of the Supreme Leader himself in the heart of Tehran.
Relying on proxies and ballistic missiles only gives Tehran the ability to cause
trouble, not true deterrence.
The Economics of Martyrdom (Slow-Motion Suicide):
The doctrine of “Resistance Economics” has turned defiance into a program for
the systematic impoverishment of Iran. Annual inflation surpassed 88% in June
2026, one of the worst spikes since World War II. The IMF expects the Iranian
economy to shrink by 6% this year. The Rial has plummeted, and the minimum wage
no longer covers even 37% of basic living costs. More than half of Iranians
suffer from some form of malnutrition, and meat and bread have become luxuries
in a country sitting on the world’s second-largest gas reserve.
Governance Crisis: Mobilization Instead of Development
A country of 90 million needs institutional efficiency, transparency, and
long-term planning. The Karbala model only knows how to turn sacrifice into
“victory” and media manipulation into a “future.” Development is entirely
outside its scope. The result is extreme wealth for a religious and military
oligarchy, public misery for Iranians, and a reliance on police-state repression
to survive.
Revenge as a Governing Program
Mojtaba’s rise follows the same tired scenario: funeral rituals, tears, promises
of revenge, and calls to historical victimhood. Meanwhile, the economy is in
freefall. Adopting the “Karbala approach” as the state’s supreme strategy is an
existential risk. The cohesion that Karbala provides is short-lived; its
long-term price is the draining of the civilization’s vitality.
The new leader’s first promise was revenge. Revenge may mobilize an angry
generation for a day or a month, but modern states are built on electricity,
bread, jobs, a stable currency, and a social contract. They crumble when managed
like a funeral procession.
Mojtaba invoked Karbala to rule with it, only to find that it is now ruling him.
The tragedy that gave the Shiites an identity across centuries is now setting a
date for the Islamic Republic’s decline. What serves as theology for the
survival of a small group becomes a burden for a state that must provide bread
and jobs.
The paradox is that the regime has enough tools of repression to delay its end,
but lacks everything needed to prevent it. Revenge buys time but does not build
an economy. Mobilization gathers the angry but does not feed the hungry.
Bringing up the past no longer excuses Khomeini’s Iran from the judgment of the
present. The Hussein narrative has reached its limit; what comes next must be
written in a language other than that of mourning.
Historical Context: The Shiite Path to Power
Over several centuries, Shiites reached power through various sectarian forms.
The Abbasid Revolution in 750 AD rode the wave of Alawite and Hashemite
resentment to reach power, but then turned against the Prophet’s household,
leaving the Caliphate in Sunni hands. The first actual Alawite entity was
established in Morocco with the Idrisids around 788 AD—more than a century after
Karbala—on the fringes of the Islamic world, far from the center of the
Caliphate.
This was followed by the Zaydi states: the Alawites in Tabaristan (864 AD), then
the Zaydi Imamate in Yemen (897 AD), which survived in various forms until the
fall of the Mutawakkilite Kingdom in 1962. Shiite ambition reached its first
peak with the Ismaili Fatimids, who established the first rival Shiite Caliphate
in 909 AD and built Cairo in 969 AD to challenge Baghdad for the legitimacy of
the Islamic world. In 945 AD, the Buyids took hold of the heart of the Caliphate
itself, ruling effectively while keeping the Abbasid Caliph as a symbolic
figurehead. Under their rule, public Ashura commemorations were organized in
Baghdad for the first time in 963 AD.
However, all these experiences remained Zaydi, Ismaili, or Alawite, and were
never fully crystallized. As for Twelver Shiism, it waited until the Safavids in
1501, when Shah Ismail imposed the Jafari school as the state religion and
brought in scholars from Jabal Amel to institutionalize it, giving birth to
modern Shiite Iran. Nevertheless, the Safavids built a state for the sect under
royal authority, where the cleric stood beside the throne to issue fatwas and
legitimize, while the Shah ruled. Only with Khomeini in 1979 did the cleric sit
on the throne himself through the theory of “Absolute Guardianship of the
Jurist”—a novelty with no precedent in fourteen centuries, rejected by the
majority of traditional clerics.
Iran overstretching its hand: A dangerous gamble in a
volatile region
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Al Arabiya English/13 July, 2026
After the funeral of slain Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Iran appeared to become
more emboldened, targeting ships in the Strait of Hormuz in actions widely
condemned by the international community. The multi-day ceremonies coincided
with a surge in aggressive maneuvers that have heightened fears of renewed
full-scale conflict. US Central Command and regional allies swiftly denounced
the attacks on commercial vessels, including a Cyprus-flagged ship that suffered
heavy damage and resulted in a missing crew member. Countries such as the United
States, United Kingdom, Kuwait, and Qatar issued strong statements condemning
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) for these blatant violations.
European nations and the UN echoed calls for restraint, labeling the actions as
threats to global trade and maritime security.
Escalation risks and spiral of retaliation
The problem with the current situation is that it can easily spiral out of
control. One or two strikes – whether on shipping lanes or military positions –
risk triggering rapid tit-for-tat retaliation, as evidenced by recent US strikes
on Iranian targets in response to the Hormuz incidents. The situation remains
highly volatile following earlier periods of fragile calm, with no clear path to
a permanent resolution. Iran seems not to fully grasp that even limited
provocations can ignite a cycle of escalation, drawing in more actors and
leading to consequences far beyond its control.
This risk extends directly to the potential re-involvement of Israel. Any
significant Iranian move could prompt Israeli retaliation, transforming
bilateral tensions into a multi-front war. Israeli leadership has already
signaled preparedness to act against perceived threats, and historical patterns
suggest that proxy conflicts or direct strikes could rapidly expand the
battlefield with catastrophic humanitarian and strategic fallout.
Antagonizing Gulf neighbors and breaching sovereignty
Compounding these dangers is Iran’s unneighborly posture toward Gulf states.
Recent attacks have impacted Gulf states including Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and
Jordan. These countries, which have often sought diplomatic off-ramps and peace
initiatives without fully aligning against Tehran, have rightfully condemned the
aggression. Kuwait, for example, reported interceptions of ballistic missiles
and drones, with falling debris causing injuries and damage. Qatar and others
faced similar threats, prompting unified Gulf Cooperation Council statements
decrying the “indiscriminate and reckless” actions. By striking nations
attempting to foster stability, Iran antagonizes potential mediators and
isolates itself regionally. This behavior portrays the Islamic Republic as the
primary bad actor, undermining its narrative of self-defense. Under
international law, such attacks constitute clear violations of state sovereignty
as enshrined in Article 2(4) of the UN Charter, which prohibits the threat or
use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any
state. Targeting commercial shipping further breaches principles of freedom of
navigation, long protected under customary international law and the UN
Convention on the Law of the Sea. These norms exist precisely to prevent the
kind of chaos now threatening global energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Economic self-sabotage amid overreach
While Iran may feel temporarily emboldened by domestic rallies or perceived
strategic gains, it is dangerously overstretching. Its actions target not only
adversaries but also those seeking de-escalation, international commerce, and
the fragile post-conflict equilibrium. This approach risks uniting a broader
coalition against it. Economically, the timing could not be worse. Iran’s
economy was already battered by years of sanctions, mismanagement, and prior
conflict damage. Projections indicate a contraction of around 5-10 percent for
the year, with inflation surging dramatically – food prices like bread and
cereals have risen over 140 percent year-on-year in affected periods, while
overall consumer prices hover near or above 60-70 percent. Public
dissatisfaction, simmering in past uprisings, is likely to intensify as
resources are diverted to military efforts and global isolation deepens. Renewed
disruptions to oil exports and infrastructure repairs could set recovery back by
a decade, exacerbating poverty and eroding regime legitimacy. In conclusion,
Iran’s post-funeral assertiveness reveals a critical miscalculation. By
targeting ships, antagonizing neighbors, violating core international laws, and
courting wider war, Tehran is playing a high-stakes game with diminishing
returns. The region – and the world – can ill afford another spiral. Sustainable
strength lies not in provocation but in diplomatic engagement, economic reform,
and respect for international norms. Without a course correction, the current
path leads not to empowerment but to greater isolation, hardship for its people,
and the very conflicts it claims to deter. Urgent de-escalation remains the only
viable off-ramp before overstretched ambitions ignite an uncontrollable blaze.
Selected Face Book & X tweets on
13 July
Ted Cruz
https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/2076300296708370700/video/1
This was Lindsey at his very best.
Ted Cruz
https://x.com/tedcruz/status/2076718637931483622/video/1
I'll always remember Lindsey’s wit, infectious sense of humor, and the countless
battles we fought side by side in the Senate. A few years ago, Lindsey was the
very first guest on Verdict. I still laugh when I think about his cold open. It
captured his wit perfectly and was a reminder that, even in the midst of serious
fights, he never lost his sense of humor.
Secretary Marco Rubio
https://x.com/SecRubio/status/2076671740407652582/video/1
The International Criminal Court seeks to become the unaccountable arbiter of a
new global law — empowered to prosecute and arrest our citizens at will and
existentially threaten American sovereignty. We will teach the ICC the full
meaning of American resolve.
Gideon Sa'ar | גדעון סער
's repeated attempt to impose sanctions against Israel failed
again today in the EU Council of Foreign Ministers.
There was no consensus. There was no relative majority. To be honest - there was
no majority at all.
But Kallas decided to continue her obsessive campaign against Israel and
transfer the discussion to the forum of senior ambassadors (the COREPER) in
order to try to continue the campaign against Israel and find a new way to
circumvent the rules. Israel-Europe relations should be based on dialogue and
fairness. Tricks of this kind do not help realize the common interests.
UN Watch
https://x.com/UNWatch/status/2076709762108998128/video/1
UN Watch mourns the passing of Senator Lindsey Graham, a great defender of
freedom who confronted evil with moral clarity and courage. He never hesitated
to call out those who enabled terror: “UNRWA has blood on its hands. They're
part of the problem, not the solution. ”
Israel-Alma
https://x.com/Israel_Alma_org/status/2076621821638524991/video/1
A nursery, a high school, and a center for children with special needs- these
are just a few of the locations Hezbollah used as human shields in Beirut during
Operation Roaring Lion (March–April 2026). Hezbollah operatives and military
infrastructure were positioned as close as 10 meters from these civilian
institutions while the organization joined the war alongside Iran by launching
rocket attacks against Israel. During our mapping of Hezbollah military targets
destroyed in the Dahieh using recent satellite imagery, we identified additional
sensitive civilian institutions adjacent to Hezbollah military infrastructure,
further illustrating the organization's systematic use of the human shield
tactic during Operation Roaring Lion. The full findings will be published in a
comprehensive report in the near future.
George Deek
Israel strongly condemns the shameful decision of the Church of England
@Synod
to grant legitimacy to the extremist Kairos Palestine document. This hateful
document undermines the right of the world's only Jewish state to exist, and
seeks to justify the atrocities of October 7 by blaming Israel for causing it.
Even more disturbingly, it urges churches to boycott dialogue with “Zionist
voices,” in practice excluding the overwhelming majority of the Jewish community
in the UK from Christian-Jewish engagement unless they renounce Jewish
self-determination.
The irony is striking. The Church of England has itself adopted the IHRA Working
Definition of Antisemitism, including all of its examples without qualification.
So by the Church’s own standard, its decision to delegitimize Jewish
self-determination falls under the definition of antisemitism.
At a time of unprecedented hatred against Jews, and after centuries in which
Christian institutions contributed to the persecution of Jews, the Church had a
special responsibility to exercise moral clarity. Instead, it has chosen to
reward extremism, damage Christian-Jewish relations, and bring profound shame
upon the Church of England.
And on a personal note:
The Church of England had an opportunity to promote understanding by engaging
the full diversity of Christian voices from the Holy Land. It did not. I say
this as an Arab Christian whose family has lived in this land for centuries.
Instead, the Church opted to elevate one of the most radical and divisive
theological and political manifestos produced in recent years. The consequences
of that decision will echo far beyond the walls of the General Synod.
Jennifer Gingrich
Shame kept me from saying anything earlier in memoriam to Sen. Lindsey Graham,
who was a truer friend to Jews & Israel than we may ever see in Congress again.
I was a hard-left liberal for most of my life. I used to despise Lindsey
Graham. I thought he was a hateful bigot. I mocked him and posted ugly rumors
about him on social media. The Democratic party's
abandonment of women's rights and embrace of antisemitism has since turned me
into a slightly-left-of-center moderate. When I saw friends posting gleeful
comments about Graham's death on Facebook today, I was disgusted, but I also
knew that if he had died 6 or 7 years ago, I probably would have done the
same.The truth is, he was never a bigot, but I was. I hated any politician on
the right because Hollywood and the media told me they were all racists,
homophobes and misogynists. I didn't examine their beliefs, or mine, beyond
that. It took me too long to grow up. I didn't love Lindsay Graham's decision to
change course and back Trump, but he was nevertheless a man of integrity who
stood by Jews even when it wasn't popular to do so, and who fought for the US'
alliance with Israel even when it cost him. May his memory be a blessing.
Zéna Mansour ܙܺܝܢܵܐ ܡܲܢܨܘܪ
Lebanon and future generations will never forget Senator Graham’s US-Lebanon
defense treaty proposal - a turning point to end 80 years of other nations’ wars
on Lebanese soil.
Shadi khalloul שאדי ח'לול
The President of Lebanon must understand and fully grasp that if he desires
stability, security, and peace for his country and its citizens, he must first
disarm Hezbollah and all the militias. All the rhetoric and
finger-pointing—blaming the world at large or Israel (which is defending its
citizens against these militias and the failure of the Lebanese state)—is
nothing but empty talk. Peace between Lebanon and Israel will come through the
dismantling of the militias; this will strengthen the Lebanese state and pave
the way for a genuine peace.
U.S. Central Command - Arabic
https://x.com/CENTCOMArabic/status/2076685089199489385/video/1
نجحت قوات القيادة المركزية الأمريكية، يوم أمس، في ضرب منشأة لصيانة الغواصات
والسفن في إيران باستخدام زوارق مُسيّرة هجومية أحادية الاتجاه. أصابت ثلاث زوارق
مُسيّرة من طراز كورسير Corsair الميناء الواقع في قاعدة بندر عباس البحرية، في
خطوة مثلت المرة الأولى التي تستخدم فيها القوات الأمريكية مركبات بحرية مُسيّرة في
عمليات قتالية. أدت الضربات التي شُنّت الليلة الماضية إلى إضعاف قدرة إيران على
مواصلة مهاجمة حركة الملاحة التجارية.
Mike Pompeo
https://x.com/mikepompeo/status/2076707910428582362/video/1
As we mourn Senator Graham, I can think of few more fitting tributes to him than
winning in Iran.
Lindsey's life's work was keeping America strong and defeating the bad guys.
Let's make him proud.
John Bolton
The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding and its ceasefire were effectively dead
on arrival. The MOU was never viable because Tehran does not currently have a
government in any coherent sense. In national-security affairs, it has no
authoritative decision maker or process that produces binding government-wide
decisions.
Joseph Gebeily
Saddened by the passing of Senator Lindsey Graham. A lifelong patriot,
unwavering advocate for America’s national security, steadfast defender of
freedom, and a great friend of Lebanon. I was honored to know him and grateful
for his unwavering support for Lebanon’s sovereignty and democracy. May he rest
in peace.