English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For September 01/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2024/english.september01.24.htm
News Bulletin Achieves
Since 2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006
Click On
The Below Link To Join Eliasbejjaninews whatsapp group
https://chat.whatsapp.com/FPF0N7lE5S484LNaSm0MjW
اضغط
على الرابط في
أعلى للإنضمام
لكروب
Eliasbejjaninews whatsapp group
Elias Bejjani/Click
on the below link to subscribe to my youtube channel
الياس
بجاني/اضغط
على الرابط في
أسفل للإشتراك في
موقعي ع اليوتيوب
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAOOSioLh1GE3C1hp63Camw
Bible Quotations For today
Parable Of The The Widow & The judge who neither feared God
nor had respect for people
Luke 18/01-08: “Jesus told them a parable about their need to
pray always and not to lose heart. He said, ‘In a certain city there was a judge
who neither feared God nor had respect for people. In that city there was a
widow who kept coming to him and saying, “Grant me justice against my opponent.”
For a while he refused; but later he said to himself, “Though I have no fear of
God and no respect for anyone, yet because this widow keeps bothering me, I will
grant her justice, so that she may not wear me out by continually coming.” ’And
the Lord said, ‘Listen to what the unjust judge says. And will not God grant
justice to his chosen ones who cry to him day and night? Will he delay long in
helping them? I tell you, he will quickly grant justice to them. And yet, when
the Son of Man comes, will he find faith on earth?’”.
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on August 31-September 01/2024
South Lebanon: Intermittent Fire Exchange
Israeli artillery shelling in Yohmor Al Shaqif, South Lebanon, causes fires near
homes
Firefighters persist in containing Yohmor Al Shaqif fire in South Lebanon
following Israeli artillery shelling
Hezbollah and the Presidential Candidates
Bukhari at Ain al-Tineh
FPM leader Bassil tells Hezbollah: We support you in defending Lebanon, not in
starting wars
Algerian Fuel Grant to Lebanon: High Quality Confirmed Amid Speculations
Presidential Election: Berri Reiterates Call for National Dialogue
Moussa Sadr: The Charismatic Father of the Shia Awakening/Michel Touma/This Is
Beirut/August 31/2024
Lebanon Joins Middle East Green Initiative
Abu Faour representing Jumblatt in a Golan, Palestine, Lebanon gathering:
Jumblatt denotes a guarantee of the Arab Islamic identity of the Druze from
Palestine to Syria to
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on August 31-September 01/2024
Israeli troops, Palestinian militants clash
in West Bank after incidents near settlements
Israeli forces kill two attackers in West Bank, military says
Reuters/August 31, 2024
Israeli army announces death of soldier during West Bank operation
Israeli military reports several bodies found in Gaza; hostages' families,
others protest
Netanyahu clashes with defense minister over Gaza deal terms, Israeli media
reports say
‘Nothing is left’: Israel’s military tells Gaza residents to go home but they
find only rubble
Frail and malnourished, rescued hostage hopes war in Gaza ends ‘for all
Palestinian and Israeli families’
Health official says polio vaccine campaign begins in war-torn Gaza
Egypt bolsters defenses against cholera threat
Death toll from war in Gaza Strip rises to 40,691 martyrs
Al-Azhar warns against Israeli occupation’s plans to seize ownership of West
Bank, judaizing its landmarks
Yemen’s Houthis suspected of firing missiles at a container ship as an oil
tanker burns
Iran’s president says his country needs more than $100 billion in foreign
investment
Decades after independence, France-Algeria ties still tense
Libyan authorities dismantle human trafficking network
Raid by US, Iraqi forces kills 15 Daesh operatives in Anbar
Where do US presidential candidates stand on major Middle East issues?
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on August 31-September 01/2024
Will The Biden-Harris Administration Allow the World's Leading State Sponsor of
Terrorism to Acquire Nuclear Weapons?/Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone
Institute./August 31, 2024
Do Israel and Hamas really want to end the conflict?/Yossi Mekelberg/Arab
News/August 31, 2024
Europe and the post-America Middle East/Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/August 31,
2024
Egypt, Turkiye pin hopes on a new era of cooperation/Dr. Abdellatif El-Menawy/Arab
News/August 31, 2024
Ukraine’s daring move will do little to alter a war of attrition/Andrew
Hammond/Arab News/August 31, 2024
Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on August 31-September 01/2024
South Lebanon: Intermittent Fire
Exchange
This Is Beirut/August 31/2024
Intermittent exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and the Israeli army continued
throughout the day in southern Lebanon on Friday. Late in the day, Israeli
aircraft launched air strikes on the outskirts of the village of Zebqine in the
western sector. A drone then targeted the same area, and artillery bombarded the
plains of Marjayoun and Kfar Kila. The town of Yaroun was also struck by a
guided missile. In the evening, Israeli warplanes attacked the village of Tayr
Harfa. At dawn, Israeli warplanes had carried out a series of raids on the
outskirts of the villages of Zebqine, Naqoura and Wadi Hamoul in the western
sector, causing extensive damage to property, crops and surrounding forests. The
Israeli army also fired several mortar shells at the outskirts of the town of
Aita al-Shaab. The outskirts of the villages of Naqoura and Alma al-Shaab were
the target of Israeli artillery fire.
The Israeli army’s Arabic-speaking spokesperson, Avichay Adraee, stated on X
that “readiness on the northern front has been stepped up; the Galilee Division
(91) carried out a joint maneuver with police forces and other security
agencies.” For its part, in a series of communiqués, Hezbollah claimed
responsibility for strikes on the Zabdin barracks and on deployments of Israeli
soldiers in Horsh Baram and Metula.
Israeli artillery shelling in Yohmor Al Shaqif, South
Lebanon, causes fires near homes
LBCI/August 31/2024
On Saturday, the National News Agency (NNA) reported that the outskirts of
Yohmor Al Shaqif and the riverbed in southern parts of the area were hit by
Israeli artillery shelling. The attacks resulted in fires that spread to the
edges of nearby homes.
Firefighters persist in containing Yohmor Al Shaqif fire in South Lebanon
following Israeli artillery shelling
LBCI/August 31/2024
The municipality of Yohmor Al Shaqif reported that "firefighting teams from the
Lebanese Civil Defense, the Islamic Health Association's Civil Defense, and the
Risala Scout are still combating the fire that broke out on Saturday morning on
the western outskirts of the town, facing the areas of Deir Seryan and Taybeh.
The teams are making a concentrated effort to control the fires due to the
rugged terrain, while hostile drones repeatedly drop incendiary materials on the
fire-affected area."
Hezbollah and the Presidential Candidates
This Is Beirut/August 31/2024
Potential presidential candidates are visiting Dahyeh (the southern suburbs of
Beirut) in a bid to secure support and endorsement. During these visits, the
head of Loyalty to the Resistance parliamentary bloc, Mohamad Raad, meets with
these visitors, attentively listening to their proposals, opinions, and plans
without making any explicit comments, whether positive or negative. Upon parting
ways, he simply suggests, “Let’s keep in touch.”Raad expresses regrets to the
visitors for his inability to arrange a meeting with “Sayyed” (Hezbollah’s
Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah), citing Nasrallah’s involvement in pressing
matters on the battlefield, leaving him with limited availability due to ongoing
conflicts.Informed sources disclose ongoing communications between select
candidates and Dahyeh. Recent briefings have highlighted an offer put forth by
Gebran Bassil, the leader of the Free Patriotic Movement. This proposal entails
withdrawing the candidacy of Jihad Azour in exchange for Hezbollah retracting
its support for Sleiman Frangieh, thus pivoting towards a third candidate.
Bassil has presented a roster of three names endorsed by himself and aligned
with Hezb’s political stance, assuring non-betrayal and steadfastness.
Nevertheless, this proposition has not been accepted, as the party has yet to
rescind its support for Sleiman Frangieh, its current candidate.
Bukhari at Ain al-Tineh
This Is Beirut/August 31/2024
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri received Saudi Ambassador to Lebanon Walid
Bukhari in Ain al-Tineh to discuss the general situation in Lebanon, regional
issues, and bilateral relations between Lebanon and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
FPM leader Bassil tells Hezbollah: We support you in
defending Lebanon, not in starting wars
LBCI/August 31/2024
MP Gebran Bassil, leader of the Free Patriotic Movement, commented, "In this
country, some say we can't coexist, while others, like us in the Free Patriotic
Movement, believe we can only live together." At a dinner with the Free
Patriotic Movement's Chouf branch, Bassil stated, "People question our position
on Hezbollah and accuse us of inconsistency. We tell Hezbollah: We stand with
you in defending Lebanon, but not in starting wars. We support a defensive
strategy, not an offensive one... and this does not mean we support Israel."
Bassil added, "Commitment in a political party doesn't need explaining.
Diversity is a strength. We follow a broad path with principles, not a narrow
ideology. The issue arises when someone strays from this path and, even more,
insists on demonstrating their lack of commitment to decisions." He continued,
"The decision is made, but we won't tolerate anyone speaking negatively about
those who left, especially on social media, or about their supporters."
Algerian Fuel Grant to Lebanon: High Quality Confirmed Amid
Speculations
LBCI/August 31/2024
After the arrival of the Algerian fuel grant on Tuesday to Beirut for operating
the power plants, voices were heard casting doubt, claiming that this fuel did
not meet specifications. Some even began talking about a new deal or an attempt
to "whitewash" the reputation of Sonatrach, the Algerian national company that
had previously been responsible for supplying part of the fuel to Lebanon and is
involved in a lawsuit related to the so-called "adulterated fuel" case. Upon
investigation, it was found that the fuel granted to Lebanon consists of 30,000
tons of high-quality fuel known as Sahara Blend, which is one of the best
quality types worldwide and is, in fact, of the highest quality. It is light and
contains a very low sulfur content. However, the Zahrani and Deir Ammar power
plants currently in operation do not use this type of fuel. Potential FATF
sanctions: Can Lebanon curb the risks of a cash-fueled economy amid financial
crimes? Therefore, the Ministry of Energy launched a tender through the Public
Procurement Authority to exchange the shipment of fuel granted to Lebanon for
another shipment that meets the required specifications. The shipped fuel,
sourced from the well-known Skikda region, is valued at more than 25 million
dollars. The Ministry of Energy sent samples from the ship to Bureau Veritas in
Dubai to verify its specifications. Thus, the talk by some about the poor
quality of the Algerian fuel is completely unfounded. Algeria has no issue with
how Lebanon benefits from this unconditional grant, how it is used, or the
possibility of exchanging it for a type that is compatible with Lebanon's power
plants. The decision is left to the concerned authorities, and Algeria’s stance
is: "Our support for Lebanon is far from any ulterior motive or interest, and
President Abdelmadjid Tebboune's decision was made with the aim of sparing
Lebanon from darkness, especially as it faces Israeli aggression."
Presidential Election: Berri Reiterates Call for National
Dialogue
This Is Beirut/August 31/2024
In a televised address on the 46th anniversary of the disappearance of Imam Musa
al-Sadr and his two companions, Amal movement leader and Parliament Speaker
Nabih Berri reiterated Lebanon’s commitment to United Nations Security Council
Resolution 1701, while accusing Israel of failing to comply with it.
On August 31, 1978, Imam Musa al-Sadr and his two companions were last seen in
Libya, after which they were reported missing. Berri pointed out that Israel
violated Lebanon’s sovereignty “more than 30,000 times by land, sea and air.” In
his speech, he urged the Lebanese government to move beyond “theatrical
posturing” and focus on providing “the most basic needs” to the displaced people
of southern Lebanon, who have been severely affected by the ongoing conflict in
the region. He also stressed that resistance – diplomatic, cultural and military
– is essential to counter Israel. On the subject of the presidential election,
which has been blocked for almost two years, the head of the Amal movement
reiterated his August 31 call for a national dialogue or consultations, followed
by successive sessions to elect a president of the Republic. This initiative was
rejected by the sovereignist bloc, notably the Lebanese Forces, which refused to
accept that a dialogue chaired by the head of Parliament should be a
prerequisite for the election, and considered it a violation of the
Constitution. Berri insisted that “the election of a president is an internal
constitutional obligation that has nothing to do with Gaza and the war in the
south,” urging political leaders to seize the moment to fulfill this
constitutional duty as quickly as possible. Berri described the situation in
Gaza and the region as “an open attempt to impose new facts in the Middle East,”
warning that the fall of Gaza “would be a resounding fall for the nation in its
national security, history, future and borders, as a prelude to dividing the
region into sectarian and confessional states, where Israel would be the
strongest entity.” Berri also criticized the Netanyahu government, saying,
“Netanyahu’s government is assassinating any effort to stop this unprecedented
war in modern history, and is paving the ideological ground for the
extermination of the Palestinian people.” He added that “Israel is absolute evil
and dealing with it is forbidden, period.”
Moussa Sadr: The Charismatic Father of the Shia Awakening
Michel Touma/This Is Beirut/August 31/2024
The Libyan capital, August 25, 1978: Imam Moussa Sadr, the spiritual leader of
the Lebanese Shia community and President of the Supreme Islamic Shia Council (SISC),
along with two of his close associates Sheikh Mohammad Yacoub and journalist
Abbas Badreddine, arrived in Libya at the invitation of then-leader Colonel
Moammar Gaddafi. On August 31, Imam Sadr and his two companions were seen for
the last time in Libya. Since then, they have been reported missing. The Libyan
regime claimed they had flown to Rome, but Italian authorities confirmed that
the three men never arrived, and no trace of them was ever found in Italy. This
disappearance occurred amid a highly volatile situation in the Middle East:
Ayatollah Khomeini was orchestrating the Islamic Revolution from his Parisian
exile in Neauphle-le-Château, starting the winter of 1978. Meanwhile, the
escalating tensions in southern Lebanon, where armed Palestinian groups were
repeatedly launching Katyusha rockets on Israel, provoked retaliatory air raids
on villages predominantly Shia-inhabited. The heavy impact of Moussa Sadr’s
disappearance is still deeply felt today. As a pivotal figure, the missing imam
was instrumental in asserting the Shia community’s presence and rights in
Lebanon, effectively ending a long history of ostracism. For example, during the
Ottoman rule, the advisory council for the two kaimakams established in Mount
Lebanon in the mid-19th century included representatives from Maronite,
Greek-Catholic, Greek-Orthodox, Sunni, and Druze communities. However, the Shia,
who had a minimal presence in Mount Lebanon, were represented by a Sunni
delegate.After the formation of Greater Lebanon in 1920, political
marginalization was exacerbated by a pronounced socio-economic divide. Moreover,
Mount Lebanon (or Little Lebanon) had enjoyed substantial autonomy under Ottoman
rule, resulting in notable advancements in education, culture, healthcare, and
economic development. However, the peripheral regions—such as the South, the
Bekaa, and parts of the North—that were integrated into this “center” (Beirut
and Mount Lebanon) in 1920 were predominantly Shia and had not benefited from
the same level of development experienced in Mount Lebanon. This socio-economic
gap between the “center” and the periphery persisted after independence in 1943,
setting the stage for the missing imam to play a crucial role from the 1960s
onward.
Originally from Jabal Amel
Moussa Sadr was born in Qom, Iran, in 1928, to a family originally from Jabal
Amel in southern Lebanon. He then pursued his religious and classic academic
studies in Qom, Tehran, and Najaf in Iraq. He moved to Lebanon in 1959 and
acquired Lebanese citizenship in 1963. In the 1960s, Sadr spearheaded a major
outreach campaign, organizing conferences, meetings, and debates in clubs and
places of worship. This initiative was parallel to the efforts of two other
dignitary Shia figures, Sheikh Mohammed Mehdi Chamseddine and Sheikh Mohammed
Hussein Fadlallah, who also arrived in Beirut in the 1960s after accomplishing
their studies in Qom and Najaf. Moussa Sadr swiftly distinguished himself in the
Shia community thanks to his exceptional charisma, commanding presence, and deep
religious knowledge. These fundamental qualities were also embodied by Sheikh
Chamseddine and Sheikh Fadlallah, who similarly traveled throughout the country
to educate and mobilize the Shia population. Imam Sadr articulated a clear
vision for the political and social strategies needed to guide the community
towards comprehensive development and to advocate for Shia rights. By the late
1960s, his relentless efforts had made him a pivotal and influential figure in
both political and communal aspect. In 1967, Moussa Sadr secured the creation of
the Supreme Islamic Shia Council (SISC) from the central government, a body
aimed at strengthening the socio-political presence and identity of the Shia
community. He assumed its presidency in May 1969. However, due to the inactivity
of traditional leaders, the SISC turned into merely a forum for community
notables. In response, the Imam shifted his focus to establishing the “Movement
of the Dispossessed” in 1974, a movement dedicated to championing the political
aspirations of the Shia community and addressing socio-economic
underdevelopment. The “Movement of the Dispossessed” has been the first
political structure established by the Shia community since the Ottoman era.
Many analysts believe the purpose of the movement was to shield the Shia
underclass from the influence of armed Palestinian groups and leftist parties,
particularly the Communist Party and the Communist Action Organization in
Lebanon (CAOL) led by Mohsen Ibrahim. Building on the “Movement of the
Dispossessed,”, Moussa Sadr announced the formation of the “Amal” militia in
January 1975, just three months before the onset of the Lebanese Civil War in
April 13, 1975. Although the militia was established in 1974, Imam Sadr had kept
it secret until its existence was revealed by a fatal accident at a training
camp in the Bekaa Valley.
Socio-Economic Development
Through his extensive political and military efforts, Moussa Sadr spearheaded
the awakening of the Lebanese Shia community, ending decades of marginalization
from the 1960s onward. In addition, the imam has not overlooked the community’s
socio-economic needs, and has established, starting 1963, a network of schools,
primary healthcare centers, and vocational training institutes, especially for
Shia girls and young women. To achieve these goals, he closely worked with Mgr.
Grégoire Haddad, the former Greek-Catholic bishop of Beirut and founder of the
Social Movement. Today, this network remains active under the Moussa Sadr
Foundation, led by his sister, Rabab Sadr.
“Pro-Lebanese” Approach and Openness Policy
From Moussa Sadr’s extensive journey, Lebanese people will remember not only his
historic contribution to the Shia awakening but also his “pro-Lebanese” stance
and his openness policy, especially towards the Christian community. In 1963, he
stood out as the only Shia dignitary to attend the enthronement of Pope Paul VI.
At the national level, he maintained strong relationships with figures such as
Bishop Grégoire Haddad and former MP Pierre Hélou. At the outset of the Lebanese
Civil War, he delivered notable sermons on Good Friday at the Saint Louis
Capuchin Cathedral in Beirut’s downtown. True to his inclusive approach, he
refused to fully engage in the Lebanese war and undertook a hunger strike in
Beirut in an attempt to compel the militias to cease fighting, though his
efforts ultimately proved unsuccessful. The most significant legacy of Moussa
Sadr’s work lies in his staunchly “pro-Lebanese” stance, which was notably ahead
of its time. His approach sharply contrasted with the rising transnational Shia
ambition. By the winter of 1978, Khomeini’s ideology of Wilāyat al-Faqīh was
beginning to emerge. This ideology would later face substantial criticism from
figures such as Imam Mohammed Mehdi Chamseddine and Mohammed Hussein Fadlallah,
who emerged as leading opponents of the Wilāyat al-Faqīh system, established by
Ayatollah Khomeini with the onset of the Iranian Islamic Revolution in 1979.
Lebanon Joins Middle East Green Initiative
Beirut: Asharq Al Awsat/August 31/2024
Lebanon’s caretaker Prime Minister announced that the country has joined the
Middle East Green Initiative, launched by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
to mitigate the impact of climate change on the region. “This is an essential
step for Lebanon, especially since our southern villages and towns have been
exposed to significant environmental and agricultural damage due to Israeli
attacks, which requires cooperation with all of Lebanon's friends,” a statement
released by the Lebanese Council of Ministers quoted Mikati as saying.
Agriculture Minister Abbas Hajj Hassan welcomed Lebanon’s participation in the
initiative, confirming that a high committee has been established to ensure the
project’s sustainability and facilitate relevant cooperation. He noted that the
timing of the announcement “comes in light of the continued Israeli attacks on
Lebanon, and this matter must be drawn to attention, especially since Israel is
destroying very large areas, whether agricultural lands, fruit trees or
forests.”Environment Minister Nasser Yassin said that the Middle East Green
Initiative has very important goals to plant 40 billion trees across the region
and protect the Gulf and the Middle East from climate change, stop land
degradation and desertification and find the means to adapt to future
challenges. The Lebanese Ministry of Agriculture estimates that more than 2.8
million square meters of forest and agricultural land were completely burned,
while about 6.7 million square meters of agricultural and forest land were
partially damaged as a result of Israel’s attacks and its use of
internationally-banned incendiary munitions.
Abu Faour representing Jumblatt in a Golan, Palestine,
Lebanon gathering: Jumblatt denotes a guarantee of the Arab Islamic identity of
the Druze from Palestine to Syria to
NNA/August 31, 2024
Member of the “Democratic Gathering” parliamentary bloc, MP Wael Abu Faour,
stressed that “Chief Walid Jumblatt is the guarantor of the Arab Islamic
identity of the Druze community from Palestine to Syria to Lebanon,” considering
that “the real compass is in Lebanon, and the real compass is with Walid
Jumblatt, Taymour Jumblatt, and in Mukhtara, in this Arab and Islamic
affiliation of the Druze of Syria, the Golan, Palestine, and everywhere.”“The
Druze are not a minority in this land, neither a sectarian minority nor a
religious, ethnic or racial minority, but rather part of the Arab Islamic
majority in this nation," Abu Faour asserted. He added: “Walid Jumblatt is the
guardian of this Arab and Islamic identity, and after him, Taymour Jumblatt is
the guarantor of this Arab and Islamic identity against anyone who wants to
tamper with it.”His words came as he represented Jumblatt in patronizing a book
signing ceremony by journalist and writer Hassan Bahmad in his recent work
honoring the great Arab poet Samih al-Qasim on the tenth anniversary of his
passing, in a uniting Druze national gathering between the Golan, Palestine and
Lebanon at the invitation of the Social and Cultural Council of Western Bekaa
and Rashaya and the Progressive House, held at the Al-Irfan School premises in
Dahr al-Ahmar. “In our national book, we are one...We differ and are distinct,
but if our opinions differ, this does not rule out our nationalism. In our
national book, there is no place for treason or political atonement...When it
comes to the issue of Palestine, we differ in this matter, but the difference
does not mean that anyone from this side or that has the right to reproach the
other in his affiliation or nationalism, for we are all sons of this homeland
and we all care about it,” Abu Faour underscored.He added: “This persistence,
represented by Samih al-Qasim and many of the sons of occupied Palestine, has
today become a real dilemma for the Israeli occupation, which views more than
one million and two hundred thousand Arabs, equivalent to 22 percent of the size
of the Israeli electorate, as are Arabs clinging to their Arab identity.”
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on August 31-September 01/2024
Israeli troops, Palestinian militants clash in West Bank after incidents
near settlements
AFP/August 31, 2024
JENIN:Clashes broke out between Israeli troops and Palestinian fighters in the
occupied West Bank on Saturday as Israel pushed ahead with a military operation
in the flashpoint city of Jenin. Israeli troops searched areas around Jewish
settlements after two separate security incidents on Friday evening. In Jenin
itself, drones and helicopters circled overhead while the sound of sporadic
firing could be heard in the city. Hundreds of Israeli troops have been carrying
out raids since Wednesday in one of their largest actions in the West Bank in
months. The operation, which Israel says was mounted to block Iranian-backed
militant groups from attacking its citizens, has drawn international calls for a
halt. At least 19 Palestinians, including armed fighters and civilians, have now
been killed since it began. The Israeli military said on Saturday a soldier had
been killed during the fighting in the West Bank. The Israeli forces were
battling Palestinian fighters from armed factions that have long had a strong
presence in Jenin and the adjoining refugee camp, a densely populated township
housing families driven from their homes in the 1948 Middle East war around the
creation of Israel. The Palestinian Red Crescent said on Saturday a child had
been taken to hospital in Jenin with a bullet wound to the head. The escalation
in hostilities in the West Bank takes place as fighting between Israeli forces
and Hamas militants still rages in the coastal Gaza Strip nearly 11 months since
it began, and hostilities with the Iranian-backed Hezbollah movement in the
Israel-Lebanon border area have intensified. Late on Friday, Israeli forces said
two men were killed in separate incidents near Gush Etzion, a large West Bank
settlement cluster located south of Jerusalem, that the military assessed were
both attempted attacks on Israelis. In the first, a car exploded at a petrol
station in what the army said was an attempted car bombing attack. The military
said a man was shot dead after he got out of the car and tried to attack
soldiers.
In the second incident, a man was killed after the military said a car attempted
to ram a security guard and infiltrate the Karmei Tzur settlement. The car was
chased by security forces and crashed and an explosive device in it was
detonated, the military said in a statement. The two deaths were confirmed by
Palestinian health authorities but they gave no details on how they died. Troops
combed the area following the two incidents. Security forces also carried out
raids in the city of Hebron, where the two men came from.Hamas praised what it
called a “double heroic operation” in the West Bank. It said in a statement it
was “a clear message that resistance will remain striking, prolonged and
sustained as long as the brutal occupation’s aggression and targeting of our
people and land continue.”The group, however, did not claim direct
responsibility for the attacks. Israeli army chief General Herzi Halevi said on
Saturday Israel would step up defensive measures as well as offensive actions
like the Jenin operation. Amid the gunfire, armored bulldozers searching for
roadside bombs have plowed up large stretches of paved roads and water pipes
have been damaged, leading to flooding in some areas. Since the Hamas attack on
Israel last October that triggered the Gaza war, at least 660 Palestinian
combatants and civilians have been killed in the West Bank, according to
Palestinian tallies, some by Israeli troops and some by Jewish settlers who have
carried out frequent attacks on Palestinian communities. Israel says Iran
provides weapons and support to militant factions in the West Bank — under
Israeli occupation since the 1967 Middle East war — and the military has as a
result cranked up its operations there.
Israeli forces kill two attackers in West Bank, military
says
Reuters/August 31, 2024
JERUSALEM: Israel’s military on Saturday said its forces killed two people in
separate incidents in the occupied West Bank, after one infiltrated an Israeli
settlement and another shot at soldiers after his car exploded .Israel’s
ambulance service said two men were wounded by gunshots in the incidents. It did
not identify them. “Terrorists attempted to run over a security guard at the
entrance to the community Karmei Tzur a short while ago and infiltrated the
community,” the military said, referring to an Israeli settlement. Soldiers who
arrived at the scene killed one assailant who had opened fire at them and were
searching for others, it said.In another incident, a car caught fire and
exploded in a gas station, the military said. It said forces sent to the scene
“shot and eliminated the terrorist who exited the vehicle and tried to attack
them.” The military said it was too soon to know if the incidents were related.
Palestinian Islamist group Hamas issued a statement on Saturday praising what it
called a “double heroic operation” in the West Bank, saying it “is a clear
message that resistance will remain striking, prolonged and sustained as long as
the brutal occupation’s aggression and targeting of our people and land
continue.” The group, however, did not claim direct responsibility for the
attacks. Violence in the West Bank, already on the rise before the war in Gaza,
has escalated recently, with stepped-up Israeli military raids and settler and
Palestinian street violence.
Israeli army announces death of soldier during West Bank
operation
AFP/September 01, 2024
JENIN, Palestinian Territories: Israel’s army on Saturday announced the first
death of a soldier during its ongoing raid in the occupied West Bank that began
four days ago. An army statement said 20-year-old Elkana Navon “fell during
operational activity” on Saturday and that another soldier was “severely
injured” in the same incident, without providing details. Since Wednesday at
least 22 Palestinians have been killed by the Israeli army, most of them
militants, in simultaneous raids in several cities in the northern West Bank.
Since Friday, soldiers have concentrated their operations on the city of Jenin
and its refugee camp, long a bastion of Palestinian armed groups fighting
against Israel. Violence has surged in the West Bank since Hamas’s unprecedented
October 7 attack on southern Israel triggered the war in the Gaza Strip.The
United Nations said on Wednesday that at least 637 Palestinians had been killed
in the territory by Israeli troops or settlers since the Gaza war began. Twenty
Israelis, including soldiers, have been killed in Palestinian attacks or during
army operations over the same period, according to Israeli official figures.
During a visit to Jenin on Saturday, Israeli army chief of staff Herzi Halevi
said Israeli forces “have no intention of letting terrorism (in the West Bank)
raise its head” to threaten Israel. “Therefore the initiative is to go from city
to city, refugee camp to refugee camp, with excellent intelligence, with very
good operational capabilities, with a very strong air intelligence envelope...
We will protect the citizens of Israel just like that.”Of the 22 Palestinians
reported dead since Wednesday, Hamas and its ally Islamic Jihad have said at
least 14 were members of their armed wings. Earlier on Saturday, Hamas issued a
statement saying one of its fighters carried out an “ambush” using “a highly
explosive device” in the Jenin refugee camp “which led to the deaths and
injuries of members of the advancing (Israeli) force.”
Israeli military reports several bodies found in Gaza;
hostages' families, others protest
Allen Cone/United Press International/ August 31, 2024
Aug. 31 (UPI) -- After Israel Defense Forces reported finding "a number of
bodies" in the Gaza Strip, the Hostages and Missing Families Forum rallied,
demanding Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu sign a hostage deal. The IDF
has not confirmed if the bodies are those of hostages. IDF said it will not be
able to confirm any specifics until the bodies have been returned to Israel and
checked, likely Sunday. "At this stage, the forces are still operating in the
area and carrying out a process to extract and identify the bodies, which will
last several hours," the military said in statement. IDF sources told the
Jerusalem Post if the bodies are hostages, that they were not killed by any
recent fight with Hamas in the area because the military did not use force
nearby. "Netanyahu abandoned the hostages! This is now a fact," a statement
issued by the Hostage and Missing Families Forum read. Thousands already rallied
at Hostage Square in front of the Tel Aviv Museum of Art and in front of
Netanyahu's residence on Saturday night and plans are for more protests Sunday.
"Starting tomorrow the country will tremble. We call on the public to prepare.
We will stop the country," the statement continued. Opposition leader Yair Lapid
said: "While our sons and daughters are abandoned and die in captivity,
Netanyahu is busy spinning the narrative.""We will continue to stand by the
families and hug and protect them in difficult times," he added. There are 107
total hostages, living and dead, being held in Gaza according, to Israel's Prime
Minister's Office and the Hostages and Missing Families Forum. Of those, 103
hostages are from the Oct.7 Hamas attack on Israel.
Netanyahu clashes with defense minister over Gaza deal
terms, Israeli media reports say
Tim Lister, Eugenia Yosef and Lauren Izso, CNN/August 31, 2024
A bitter dispute about the conditions for a hostage and ceasefire deal in Gaza
erupted between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister
Yoav Gallant at a meeting of the Israeli security cabinet on Thursday night,
according to multiple reports in Israeli media. The two men argued furiously
over whether, as part of any deal, the Israeli military should leave the
Philadelphi Corridor, a 14-kilometer (8.7-mile) that runs along the border
between Gaza and Egypt, according to CNN affiliate Channel 12, the Times of
Israel and other outlets. The Philadelphi corridor is currently controlled by
the IDF. The deployment of Israeli troops along the corridor during the first
phase of a ceasefire agreement has been a major point of contention between
Israel and Hamas, with Hamas saying Israeli troops must withdraw from the border
zone.
According to multiple accounts, Netanyahu produced maps showing how the IDF
should remain in the corridor during the first phase of the deal – in which
hostages are also meant to be released – so as to prevent Hamas from resuming
arms smuggling through tunnels under the corridor. “I would like to bring the
decision on the IDF troops remaining in the Philadelphi Corridor for the
Cabinet’s approval,” Netanyahu is reported to have said.
Gallant interjected, according to the accounts of the meeting, saying: “The
significance of this is that Hamas won’t agree to it, so there won’t be an
agreement and there won’t be any hostages released.” He also alleged that
Netanyahu had drawn up different maps to those preferred by Israeli negotiators
in Cairo, adding: “You imposed these maps on them.” Netanyahu angrily rejected
the claim, but Gallant persisted. “Of course you forced (it). You’re running the
negotiations on your own. Since you disbanded the War Cabinet, we hear
everything after the fact.” Gallant appeared to receive support from the Chief
of the General Staff Herzi Halevi, who was at the meeting. He is reported to
have said that the IDF could withdraw from the corridor and return “at the end
of six weeks of ceasefire. There are enough constraints for negotiations,
there’s no need to add another one.”
According to published accounts, Gallant said at one point that “the prime
minister can indeed make all the decisions, and he can also decide to kill all
the hostages,” provoking rebukes from other ministers. He added that “30 lives
are at stake.”
Gallant added that “in the end Sinwar will dictate to you and you’ll retract,” a
reference to the Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who is thought to be in hiding in
Gaza. Netanyahu in response reportedly insisted that no one dictated to him,
saying that “only determined negotiation will make him (Sinwar) fold.”
The cabinet proceeded to vote on the maps that Netanyahu presented, approving
them by eight to one, the only dissenter being Gallant. The right-wing National
Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir abstained from the vote. Israeli media cited
sources close to him as saying he opposed any gradual decrease in the number of
soldiers in the corridor. An Israeli official told CNN on Saturday that they
were unable to comment on the maps presented to the meeting but confirmed
Netanyahu asked the cabinet to hold a vote on forces remaining in the
Philadelphi corridor.
The Hostage and Missing Families Forum responded to the media reports of the
meeting with a statement that they “should cause every Israeli citizen to lose
sleep.”
West Bank incidents
Reports of the dispute between top Israeli officials emerged as violence
continues to rock the Israeli-occupied West Bank. Two security incidents
happened overnight on Friday, in which two men were shot dead and a vehicle
exploded, according to the IDF.
The IDF said that a vehicle caught fire and exploded late Friday at a gas
station at the Gush Etzion intersection. “Forces that arrived at the point shot
and killed the terrorist who got out of the vehicle and tried to attack them.”
The IDF said that nearby, “terrorists tried to run over a security guard at the
entrance to the settlement of Karmei Tzur,” a settlement north of the city of
Hebron. One of them was killed. The IDF said there had been several casualties
in the two incidents.
The Israeli emergency services (MDA) said that shortly before midnight it
received a report of two gunshot victims near the gas station. The victims were
moderately injured with gunshot wounds. The MDA said that a vehicle apparently
breached the entrance to the Karmei Tzur community. The head of security at the
settlement received minor injuries when pursuing the vehicle, according to the
IDF, and “during the confrontation, an explosive device in the terrorist’s car
detonated.” The Palestine Islamic Jihad movement said its fighters were
responsible for the attacks and claimed without offering evidence that a number
of Israeli soldiers had been killed. The IDF said Saturday that security forces
continue searches for additional suspects near Karmei Tzur community. “The
initial examination of the vehicle explosion at the Gush Etzion gas station
indicated that the incident was an attempted car bombing by a terrorist,” it
said.
Several soldiers had received light or moderate injuries, it said. The incidents
come amid a substantial Israeli operation in the West Bank over the past few
days which the IDF has said is targeting militants preparing attacks on Israel.
In the north of the West Bank, Israel’s military is continuing its offensive in
Jenin city and refugee camp for a fourth consecutive day, Palestinian news
agency WAFA reported Saturday, citing local sources.
It said eyewitnesses claimed Israeli military reinforcements had been deployed
to the Jenin refugee camp and raided several homes. “Israeli military bulldozers
have been destroying streets and infrastructure in both the city and the refugee
camp, causing significant damage to electricity and water networks,” WAFA
reported. Videos obtained by CNN on Saturday appear to show Israeli military
bulldozers digging up streets in Jenin refugee camp on Saturday. The IDF says
this is done to find and dismantle explosive devices. CNN’s Eve Brennan, Ibrahim
Dahman and Eugenia Yosef contributed reporting.
‘Nothing is left’: Israel’s military tells Gaza residents to go home but they
find only rubble
Mohammad Al Sawalhi, Abeer Salman and Tim Lister, CNN/August 31, 2024
Health officials request pause in Gaza fighting to administer polio
vaccinesScroll back up to restore default view. For the first time since the
Israeli military began ground operations in Gaza in October, the Israel Defense
Forces (IDF) has sent out messages to people’s phones and on social media saying
that the residents of some areas can return to their neighborhoods. The IDF
posted on X, formerly known as Twitter, on Thursday that people who had been
ordered to leave three neighborhoods of Deir Al Balah in central Gaza could go
home. CNN interviewed a number of families who had returned to find scenes of
destruction. One man, Abdulfattah Al Bourdaini, said: “We came home and found
nothing, no power, no gas, no house, and we cannot change our clothes.”All he
had been able to salvage was a teddy bear for the son he hoped one day to have.
“I am penniless like the day I was born,” Al Bourdaini said. “I have nothing. I
came to check on my house, didn’t find a house or anything, nothing is left…
There is nothing left to cry about.”
His brother, Musa Al Bourdaini, surveyed the scene in disbelief, telling CNN:
“Why would they want to destroy this house? This house could have housed 120
people… What did they do to the house? They didn’t find a single human being in
it, but yet they hit it with missiles and destroyed an entire neighborhood.”He
said he had come home with a key to his own, neighboring building – but had
found no house for it. “Now we will bring a tent, that is if we find a tent, and
put it next to our house,” he added. Several people said they had been displaced
from the neighborhood about 10 days ago, when the Israeli military posted on X
and dropped leaflets telling people to evacuate the area for their own security.
Many Gaza residents have been displaced multiple times since October, worsening
the ongoing humanitarian crisis; experts also warn that evacuation orders have
complicated aid efforts. In its post on X on Thursday, the IDF said that
“following the operations against terror organizations in the (Deir Al Balah)
area, the IDF is enabling the return to these blocks which are part of the
designated Humanitarian Area.”
On Friday, the IDF announced that people in three more blocks in the Khan Younis
area of southern Gaza could also return home, saying on X: “After the IDF’s
activities against terrorist organizations in the area, you can return to these
blocks. In the meantime, the humanitarian zone will be adapted and those areas
will from now on be classified as part of the humanitarian zone.” In a statement
Friday detailing its operations in recent weeks, the Israeli military said
“troops of the 98th Division have completed their divisional operation in the
Khan Younis and Deir Al Balah area, after about a month of simultaneous above
and underground operational activity.”Israeli forces had “eliminated over 250
terrorists,” and destroyed terrorist infrastructure including six underground
tunnel routes in the course of the operation, the statement said. “In some of
the tunnel routes the troops eliminated terrorists and located terrorist
hideouts and weapons.”Abdul Raouf Radwan said that he and his family had moved
into a tent closer to the coast to escape the bombardment. They had returned
hoping to reoccupy their home, “hoping to find a life, find something, find a
room to live in,” he said. “We found nothing but destruction. Our dreams were
destroyed, our memories were destroyed… The house that our ancestors built was
all gone.”His brother, Muhammad Ramzi Radwan, said he had already lost a son as
a result of the Israeli military’s operations. “A young man of 30, who built
himself up from scratch, education, marriage, a son. All is gone, nothing is
left.”“My message is to stop the war,” Radwan said. “There is no time left to
rebuild ourselves… We have endured this. This is beyond our capacity.”
Yamen al Tabi’s house was also destroyed. He said the family had left the
neighborhood out of fear and returned to find their home completely ruined. “I
wish I had been buried in the house. I wish I had died in the house and not
returned and seen the scene that I saw,” he told CNN. “Where will we go now
without shelter?” Raouf Ayesh said he and his children had taken refuge in
tents. “And we said, ‘Oh God, let us return to our homes and find our
belongings, our clothes, our winter clothes.” But they returned to nothing but
debris. Ayesh appeared to place some of the blame on Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar.
“Let Sinwar be satisfied,” he said. “Can you hear? They ruined us. We were not
like this.”Hanan Al-Arabeed, a widow who had returned to her home with her
children, found it in ruins. “Should I go to a tent I am now in the street, I
have two disabled children. I did not take anything with me from my house, there
is total destruction as you can see,” she said.Al-Arabeed had harsh words for
Arab governments, saying: “We demand that the Arab countries stand with us, they
make us feel that we are not Muslims…. The negotiations are at whose expense? At
the expense of the martyrs, at the expense of the blood of children that is
wasted.” Her sister, Umm Kareem Al-Arabeed, said she was collecting whatever she
could from the ruins of her apartment. “Unfortunately, Israel has made its
decision to eliminate the Gaza Strip. Indeed, it wants to eliminate the
Palestinian people so that they do not raise their heads from here for 100
years. But you know, we are a steadfast people, coping people,” she said. “We
will start from the beginning and anew. We will start over,” she added. Nearly
84% of the enclave has been placed under evacuation orders since the start of
the war, according to the United Nations’ main agency for Palestinian
humanitarian relief, UNRWA. All the while, the Israel-designated “humanitarian
zone” has been steadily shrinking. In the past month alone, the IDF has reduced
this zone by 38% – with the remaining space making up just over a tenth of
Gaza’s total area, according to a CNN analysis.
Frail and malnourished, rescued hostage hopes war in Gaza ends ‘for all
Palestinian and Israeli families’
Nadeen Ebrahim, CNN/ August 31, 2024
After more than 300 days in Hamas captivity, a frail and malnourished Farhan Al-Qadi
sat in a large tent set up by his family and friends in the Negev desert, where
loved ones came by to welcome him home on Wednesday. “I am well,” Al-Qadi told
reporters, adding that he wishes “that the war ends for all Palestinian and
Israeli families.”“I know that there are negotiations in Cairo,” he said
regarding ongoing discussions on a proposed ceasefire-for-hostages deal aimed at
halting the fighting. “I wish to God that this is all resolved.”The 52-year-old
Bedouin Israeli citizen from southern Israel lost some 65 pounds (30 kilograms)
in captivity, his family told CNN, and his complexion appeared pale from lack of
sun exposure. His eyes were glassy, often seeming tired. The Israeli military
said Tuesday that Al-Qadi is the eighth hostage to be rescued alive in Gaza by
the Israeli military since the beginning of the war – but he is the first to
have been reclaimed alive from inside Hamas’ tunnel network underneath Gaza.
Al-Qadi sat at the center of long rows of plastic chairs, where visitors greeted
him with long embraces and kisses on the cheek in a gathering near Tarabin – one
of Israel’s many unrecognized Bedouin villages.
With limited power and water services, the village is about 20 miles from the
Gaza Strip and is not protected by Israel’s Iron Dome defense system. The
closest city is Rahat, which is the largest Arab Bedouin city in Israel. The
Bedouin community – a Muslim, semi-nomadic, and ethnically Arab group – is
considered a subset of Israel’s Arab population, which makes up about 20% of the
total population. While some identify as Bedouin Israelis, others see themselves
as Palestinian citizens of Israel. Unlike Jewish Israelis, Bedouins are not
required to serve in the Israeli military, though some choose to volunteer,
often serving in specialized units like the Gadsar 585, known as the Bedouin
battalion, which operates in the Negev desert, where most Bedouins originate.
‘Isolated alone’
From the village, CNN’s team on the ground could hear heavy strikes and impacts
from the nearby Gaza Strip.Fayez Sohaiban, Al-Qadi’s relative and the former
mayor of Rahat city, said the former hostage had lived in captivity not knowing
what his fate would be the next day, and food “was almost nonexistent.”
Al-Qadi was working as a security guard in Kibbutz Magen when he was taken 11
months ago. He told reporters on Wednesday that he spent a lot of his time in a
tunnel, and had not seen the sky for eight months before his rescue. He added
that he did not meet other hostages during his time in Gaza. “No one, no. Not
once,” his brother, Juma’a, said, adding that Al-Qad was “isolated alone” the
entire time.
Ali El-Ziyadne, whose brother and nephew were also kidnapped on October 7 and
remain in Gaza, joined the Bedouin community to welcome Al-Qadi home. His
brother, Youssef Ziyadne, and nephew, Hamza Ziyadne, have been held hostage by
Hamas for 11 months, he said. “We are afraid for their lives. We don’t know
anything about them,” El-Ziyadne told CNN, adding that Youssef suffers from
diabetes. El-Ziyadne said he pleaded several times to Hamas that they release
his relatives, who are Muslim, hoping to appeal to the group’s “Islamic values
and humanity.”
El-Ziyadne asked about his brother and nephew when he met Al-Qadi, but the
former hostage did not see them, he said. Before Israel’s founding in 1948, the
Negev was home to 92,000 Bedouins, but only 11,000 remained after the
Arab-Israeli war of that year, according to Minority Rights Group. Those who
stayed “were treated harshly, uprooted time and again and forced to live in
reservations,” the international human rights organization said. Today, Bedouin
in the Negev still struggle to exercise basic human rights to water, shelter and
education, according to Minority Rights Group, which blames Israeli authorities
for withholding essential services from Bedouin villages it does not recognize.
Tens of thousands of Bedouin live in such villages, where they face the threat
of home demolition, eviction or forced displacement, the group estimates.
According to the National Library of Israel, there are almost 250,000 Bedouins,
many of whom live in towns that are yet to receive recognition from the state,
while others live in unincorporated villages. Al-Qadi’s rescue means there are
now 103 hostages from the October 7 attack being held in Gaza, according to
figures from the Israeli prime minister’s office and the Hostages and Missing
Families Forum. Last week the bodies of six Israeli hostages were retrieved from
Gaza during an overnight military operation in Khan Younis, Israeli authorities
said. Hopes of a ceasefire-for-hostages deal, which would halt fighting in Gaza
and see the return of people held by Hamas, have repeatedly been raised and
dashed in recent months. Negotiators are continuing to work on a deal, and have
met with increasing intensity in recent weeks. Talks made progress over the
weekend, according to a senior US official familiar with the discussions in
Cairo, Egypt, where mediators discussed “final details” of a potential
agreement. An Israeli delegation is expected to head to Doha on Wednesday for
ceasefire talks. Clarification: This story has been updated to provide
additional context on the current issues faced by the Bedouin community in
Israel.
Health official says polio vaccine campaign begins in
war-torn Gaza
AFP/August 31, 2024
GAZA: A health official said a polio vaccination campaign had begun in Gaza on
Saturday after the war-torn territory recorded its first case of the disease in
a quarter of a century. Local health officials along with the UN and NGOs “are
starting today the polio vaccination campaign in the central region,” Moussa
Abed, director of primary health care at the Gaza health ministry, told AFP. The
World Health Organization (WHO) said on Thursday that Israel had agreed to a
series of three-day “humanitarian pauses” in Gaza to facilitate vaccinations,
though officials had earlier said the campaign was expected to start on Sunday.
After beginning in central Gaza, vaccines are set to be administered in southern
Gaza and then in northern Gaza. The campaign, which involves two doses, aims to
cover more than 640,000 children under 10. Michael Ryan, WHO deputy
director-general, told the UN Security Council this week that 1.26 million doses
of the oral vaccine had been delivered in Gaza, with another 400,000 still to
arrive. The Ramallah-based Palestinian health ministry said earlier this month
that tests in Jordan had confirmed polio in an unvaccinated 10-month-old baby
from central Gaza.
Poliovirus is highly infectious, and most often spread through sewage and
contaminated water — an increasingly common problem in Gaza as the Israel-Hamas
war drags on. The disease mainly affects children under the age of five. It can
cause deformities and paralysis, and is potentially fatal. Bakr Deeb told AFP on
Saturday that he brought his three children — all under 10 — to a vaccination
point despite some initial doubts about its safety. “I was hesitant at first and
very afraid of the safety of this vaccination,” he said.“After the assurances of
its safety, and with all the families going to the vaccination points, I decided
to go with my children as well, to protect them.”Abed, the health official,
stressed on Saturday that the vaccine was “100 percent safe.” The war in Gaza
was triggered by Hamas’s unprecedented attack on southern Israel on October 7
which resulted in the deaths of 1,199 people, mostly civilians, according to an
AFP tally based on Israeli official figures. Israel’s retaliatory military
campaign has killed at least 40,691 people in Gaza, according to the territory’s
health ministry. The UN rights office says most of the dead are women and
children.Incessant Israeli bombardment has also caused a major humanitarian
crisis and devastated the health system.
Egypt bolsters defenses against cholera threat
Layla Mohamed/Arab News/August 31, 2024
CAIRO: Egypt has introduced new measures to tackle cholera despite having not
recorded any recent cases, amid growing reports of outbreaks in neighboring
countries, including Sudan. The guidelines for diagnosing and treating the
disease were announced by the Ministry of Health and Population. “We have
implemented health surveillance measures, particularly for passengers, transport
and goods arriving from countries affected by cholera,” ministry official Dr.
Gamal Hussein told Arab News. “The first step is screening passengers and crew
on all regular, charter and cargo flights coming from cholera-affected
countries, directly or indirectly. “Suspected cases will be referred to a
designated hospital for evaluation and the preventive medicine department,
general administration of quarantine and the relevant health affairs directorate
will be notified immediately,” he said. “We will implement the highest level of
infection control measures when handling suspected cases.”Any food and beverages
entering the country would be destroyed unless stored in sealed, tamper-proof
containers and not suspected of contamination, Hussein said. “If a suspected
case is found, the means of transport will be disinfected and any waste from the
transport will be treated as hazardous and disposed of safely under quarantine
supervision.”Egypt was also ready to care for anyone who might arrive in the
country already infected with the disease, he said. “Patients infected with
cholera will be admitted to fever hospitals, where contact isolation precautions
will be enforced and they will be placed in a single room with a dedicated
bathroom. “The situation in Egypt is safe at present but we are fully prepared
to respond to any emergency.”Health Ministry spokesperson Dr. Hossam Abdel
Ghaffar said: “Cholera is a severe bacterial infection. It can lead to rapid
dehydration and loss of salts from the body within hours if not treated
promptly. “Most people infected with cholera show no symptoms or have only mild
symptoms and they can be effectively treated with oral rehydration solutions.
“In the 19th century, cholera spread globally from its original reservoir in the
Ganges Delta in India, leading to six worldwide pandemics that caused millions
of deaths,” he told Arab News. According to a statement from the Health
Ministry, there are between 1.3 million and 4 million cholera cases reported
each year around the world, with 21,000 to 43,000 deaths. The rapid spread of
outbreaks is primarily attributed to its short incubation period of between two
and five days, it said. In the first seven months of this year, 307,233 cases
and 2,326 deaths were reported to the World Health Organization, the ministry
said.
Death toll from war in Gaza Strip rises to 40,691
martyrs
NNA/August 31, 2024
The Hamas Ministry of Health in the Gaza Strip announced on Saturday that the
death toll from the war between Israel and the Palestinian movement, which has
been going on for ten months, has reached at least 40,691 martyrs, according to
Agence France-Presse.
The ministry said in a statement that during the past 48 hours, it counted “89
martyrs and 205 injuries” who arrived at hospitals, noting that the total number
of wounded had risen to 94,060 in the Gaza Strip since the start of the war on
October 7.
Al-Azhar warns against Israeli occupation’s plans to seize
ownership of West Bank, judaizing its landmarks
NNA/August 31, 2024
Al-Azhar condemned, in a statement issued today, "the Zionist terrorist
aggression on the cities of the West Bank, and its destruction of a large sector
of roads, facilities and homes, and the shedding of the blood of dozens and the
injury and arrest of hundreds," according to the Palestinian "Wafa" news agency.
Al-Azhar warned "the entire world" of "a Zionist plan being implemented on the
occupied Palestinian land in the West Bank with the aim of seizing its ownership
and Judaizing its landmarks, killing its owners and Palestinian citizens, and
committing a new genocide in light of the brutality of this entity, and in light
of international collusion and the unprecedented international collusion and UN
failure, and in light of the world’s preoccupation with the daily massacres
taking place on the proud land of Gaza, reassuring the enemy that no one would
lift a finger regarding what was happening there.”
It also warned of the "danger of this aggression on the security and stability
of the region," calling on "the human community and all active parties" to
"assume their responsibilities towards the tragic and painful number of brutal
massacres committed by the Zionist killing machine against the people of the
Gaza Strip, and what is about to happen in the West Bank, and the necessity of
exerting all efforts to stop the Zionist plans aimed at taking lives, stealing
land and falsifying history as if everything is permissible!”
Yemen’s Houthis suspected of firing missiles at a container
ship as an oil tanker burns
AP/August 31, 2024
SANAA: Two missiles suspected to have been fired by Yemen’s Houthis targeted a
Liberian-flagged container ship in the Gulf of Aden late Friday, splashing down
nearby without causing any damage, authorities said. The attack comes after the
Houthis repeatedly assaulted and then boarded a Greek-flagged oil tanker in the
nearby Red Sea, planting explosives on it they later detonated. That attack, the
worst in weeks, risked a major oil spill as the militia’s campaign disrupts the
$1 trillion in goods that pass through the Red Sea each year over the Israel-Hamas
war in the Gaza Strip, as well as halting some aid shipments to conflict-ravaged
Sudan and Yemen. The attack Friday saw two missiles “exploding in close
proximity to the vessel” some 240 kilometers (150 miles) east of Aden, the
British military’s United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations center said. The
ship “reports all crew are safe and proceeding to next port of call,” the UKMTO
said. “Investigations are ongoing.” The Joint Maritime Information Center, a
multinational body overseen by the US Navy, on Saturday identified the vessel
targeted as the Liberian-flagged container ship Groton. The Groton came under
attack Aug. 3 as well in a similar Houthi assault off Aden that included two
missiles fired at the vessel, with one causing minor damage.The ship “was
targeted due to other vessels within its company structure making recent port
calls in Israel,” the center said. The Houthis did not immediately claim the
attack Friday. However, it can take the rebels hours or even days to acknowledge
their assaults. The Houthis have targeted more than 80 vessels with missiles and
drones since the war in Gaza started in October. They seized one vessel and sank
two in the campaign that also killed four sailors. Other missiles and drones
have either been intercepted by a United States-led coalition in the Red Sea or
failed to reach their targets. The militia maintain that they target ships
linked to Israel, the US or the UK to force an end to Israel’s campaign against
Hamas in Gaza. However, many of the ships attacked have little or no connection
to the conflict, including some bound for Iran.
Meanwhile, the US military’s Central Command said Saturday it destroyed two
drones over Houthi-controlled territory in Yemen.
Iran’s president says his country needs more than $100 billion in foreign
investment
AP/September 01, 2024
TEHRAN, Iran: Iran’s president said Saturday his country needs some $100 billion
in foreign investment to achieve an annual target of 8 percent economic growth
up from the current rate of 4 percent. The remarks by Masoud Pezeshkian, who was
elected in July, came in his first live televised interview by state TV.
Pezeshkian said Iran needs up to $250 billion to reach its goal but more than
half is available from domestic resources. Experts say growth in GDP of 8
percent would reduce double-digit inflation and unemployment rates. Hundreds of
entities and people in Iran — from the central bank and government officials to
drone producers and money exchangers — are already under international
sanctions, many of them accused of materially supporting Iran’s Revolutionary
Guard and foreign militant groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis.
Pezeshkian in his interview complained about the sanctions and said his
administration plans to reduce inflation, which is running at more than 40
percent annually, “if we solve our problems with neighbors and the world.” He
did not elaborate. Pezeshkian confirmed that his first visit abroad will be to
neighboring Iraq and he would then fly to New York to attend the United Nations
General Assembly meeting on Sept. 22-23. He said while he was in New York he
would meet with Iranian expatriates to invite them to invest in Iran. Out of
more than 8 million Iranian expatriates, some 1.5 million Iranian live in the
United States. Pezeshkian, who is viewed as a reformist, was sworn in last month
and parliament approved his cabinet earlier in August, promising a softer tone
both inside and outside the country. His predecessor, Ebrahim Raisi, a hard-line
protege of Iran’s supreme leader who led the country as it enriched uranium near
weapons-grade levels, died in a helicopter crash in May, along with seven other
people. Iran’s economy has struggled since 2018 after then-President Donald
Trump pulled the US out of the deal to constrain Tehran’s nuclear program and
imposed more sanctions. Pezeshkian said during his presidential campaign that he
would try to revive the nuclear deal.
Decades after independence, France-Algeria ties still tense
AFP/September 01, 2024
ALGIERS: The fraught relations between France and its former colony Algeria had
eased a little in recent years, but a new rift over Paris backing Morocco’s
autonomy plan for disputed Western Sahara has sent rapprochement efforts into a
tailspin. Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune, who is seeking a second term
in presidential elections on September 7, was set to travel to France for a
state visit, but this has been rescheduled twice and it is now doubtful in will
happen at all. Last month, Algiers withdrew its ambassador to Paris after French
President Emmanuel Macron said Morocco’s autonomy plan was the only solution for
the territory. Algeria, which backs the territory’s pro-independence Polisario
Front, denounced this as a “step that no other French government had taken
before.” France colonized Algeria in 1830 and the North African country only
gained independence in 1962, after a war that authorities say killed more than
1.5 million Algerians. French historians say half a million civilians and
combatants died during the war for independence, 400,000 of them Algerian. While
France has made several attempts over the years to heal the wounds, it refuses
to “apologize or repent” for the 132 years of often brutal rule that ended in
the devastating eight-year war. Experts now accuse both countries of exploiting
the war for present-day political ends. “The national narrative about the
Algerian war is still dominant and during a campaign like the presidential
election, Algerians are sensitive to these issues in their internal policy
choices,” Hasni Abidi of the Geneva-based CERMAM Study Center told AFP. Abidi
said Tebboune now needed to “readjust his electoral speeches to protect himself
from criticism on foreign policy” after the “complete fiasco” of failed attempts
to restore relations with Macron.
Last week, Algeria marked its Moudjahid National Day commemorating war
combattants with a speech by Tebboune, in which he said France wrongly “believed
it could stifle the people’s revolution with iron and fire.”In 2022, the two
countries set up a joint commission of historians in an attempt to mend
historical differences and appease tensions.
But, according to Abidi, the commission didn’t work fast enough and “did not
succeed in freeing itself from political supervision.” The expert said France’s
latest move backing Morocco’s plan in Western Sahara “will deal another blow to
the issue of memory” at the risk of “reopening old wounds and stigma from the
colonial past.”What followed France’s conquest of then Ottoman ruled Algiers was
the destruction of its socio-economic structures, mass displacement, and the
bloody repression of numerous revolts before the war erupted in 1954. This
chapter in the two countries’ history has been “exploited according to their
issues and interests of the moment,” historian Hosni Kitouni told AFP. During
the historians’ debate, Algeria asked France to return the skulls of resistance
fighters and historical and symbolic artifacts from 19th-century Algeria,
including items that belonged to Algerian anti-colonial figure Emir Abdelkader.
“These items are in museums in France, where, from a legal standpoint, their
presence is illegal,” Amira Zatir, an adviser at the Emir Abdelkader Foundation,
told AFP. She said many of these items were stolen when French forces looted the
emir’s library during the Battle of Smala in 1843. Algeria has also demanded the
return of original archives from the Ottoman and colonial eras that were
transferred to France before and after Algeria’s independence. Algeria seeks
reparations for actions committed by the former occupying power, such as the 17
nuclear tests conducted in its Sahara desert between 1960 and 1966. Mustapha
Boudina, a 92-year-old former war combattant who now heads the National
Association of Former Death Row Inmates, said Algeria should require even more
reparations.“We need to put pressure on our enemies of the time so that they
repent and apologize” for their “numerous crimes,” he said. Several historians
believe that recognizing French colonization as a “crime against humanity” would
be more appropriate. That was exactly how Macron described it during a visit to
Algiers amid his presidential campaign in 2017, sparking an outcry from the
French right.
Libyan authorities dismantle human trafficking network
Reuters/September 01, 2024
CAIRO: Libyan authorities have dismantled a human trafficking network operating
in the country’s southwest and arrested members of the group, the country’s
Attorney General’s office said on its Facebook page on Saturday. Authorities
arrested one of the network’s leaders and 10 members who are accused of murder,
illegal detention, torture, and rape of migrants, the statement said. The
investigation documented violations affecting 1,300 migrants, including cases of
forced detention, torture, and extortion for their release.
Libya descended into chaos after a NATO-backed uprising in 2011 led to the
overthrow and killing of leader Muammar Qaddafi, with two competing governments
backed by militias scrambling for control of the oil-producing country. Daesh
militants also gained a foothold in the North African state. People smugglers
operating with impunity in Libya have sent hundreds of thousands of migrants by
sea to Europe, mainly Italy, since 2014. Thousands have died during the voyages.
Raid by US, Iraqi forces kills 15 Daesh operatives in
Anbar
AP/August 31, 2024
BAGHDAD: The US military and Iraq launched a joint raid targeting suspected
Daesh terrorists in the country’s western desert that killed at least 15 people
and left seven American troops hurt, officials said on Saturday. For years after
dislodging the militants from their self-declared caliphate across Iraq and
Syria, US forces have fought Daesh. However, the casualties from this raid were
higher than in previous ones. The US military’s Central Command said the
militants were armed with “numerous weapons, grenades, and explosive ‘suicide’
belts” during the raid on Thursday, which Iraqi forces said happened in the
country’s Anbar Desert. “This operation targeted Daesh leaders to disrupt and
degrade Daesh’s ability to plan, organize, and conduct attacks against Iraqi
civilians, as well as US citizens, allies, and partners throughout the region
and beyond,” Central Command said.
“Iraqi security forces continue to further exploit the locations raided.”It
added: “There is no indication of civilian casualties.”An Iraqi military
statement said “airstrikes targeted the hideouts, followed by an airborne
operation.”“Among the dead were key Daesh leaders,” Iraq’s military said,
without identifying them.
“All hideouts, weapons, and logistical support were destroyed, explosive belts
were safely detonated, and important documents, identification papers, and
communication devices were seized.”A US defense official said that five American
troops were wounded in the raid, while two others suffered injuries from falls
during the operation.The official said that one who suffered a fall was
transported out of the region, while one of the wounded was evacuated for
further treatment. “All personnel are in stable condition,” the official said.
It was not immediately clear why it took two days for the US to acknowledge it
took part in the raid. Iraq did not say the US took part in the operation when
initially announcing it, as politicians debate the future of having American
troops in the country.
There are approximately 2,500 US troops in Iraq.
Since the US toppled Saddam Hussein with its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the country
has struggled to balance relations between America and neighboring Iran. Since
the Israel-Hamas war broke out, Iraqi militias allied to Iran have targeted US
forces there, leading to American airstrikes targeting them.
At its peak, Daesh ruled an area half the size of the UK. It attempted to
enforce its extremist policies, which included attacks on religious minority
groups. A coalition of more than 80 countries led by the US was formed to fight
the group, which lost its hold on the territory it controlled in Iraq in 2017
and in Syria in 2019. However, the militants have continued to operate in the
Anbar Desert in Iraq and Syria while claiming attacks carried out by others
elsewhere in the world inspired by the group. That includes the two suspects in
a foiled plot to attack Taylor Swift’s shows in Vienna. Meanwhile, the Daesh
branch in Afghanistan is known to carry out intensely bloody assaults. Last
month, the US military said the number of attacks claimed by Daesh in Syria and
Iraq was on track to double this year compared with the year before. Daesh
claimed 153 attacks in the two countries in the first six months of 2024,
compared with 121 attacks in 2023. Iraqi officials say that they can keep the IS
threat under control with their forces and have entered into talks with the US
aimed at winding down the mission of the US-led military coalition in Iraq.
Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza last October, US military
presence in the region has become particularly contentious. An umbrella group of
Iran-backed militias calling itself the Islamic Resistance in Iraq has
periodically launched drone attacks on bases housing US troops in Iraq and
Syria, which they said was in retaliation for Washington’s support of Israel in
the ongoing war in Gaza and were aimed at forcing US forces to withdraw from
Iraq.
Where do US presidential candidates stand on major Middle East issues?
ANAN TELLO/Arab News/August 31, 2024
LONDON: With the ongoing conflict in Gaza, the looming threat of a full-scale
war in the Middle East, a stalemate in Ukraine, and intensifying competition
between the US and China, America’s 47th president will face multiple foreign
policy challenges.
Indeed, international affairs could prove even more demanding than domestic
economic concerns for the incoming administration, with implications for
national security, the price of commodities, and America’s standing in the
world. And while uncertainty hangs over the trajectory of the next US
president’s Middle East policy, there are indications it will broadly align with
the status quo, with regional alliances playing a key role in helping Washington
address current and emerging challenges. Saudi-US partnership, built on more
than 70 years of friendship, has been strengthened by exchange opportunities
promoting mutual understanding. (AN archives). Analysts believe America’s
cooperation with Gulf states, notably with regional leader Saudi Arabia, will
continue to yield strategic benefits in areas including energy security and
regional stability.
Norman Roule, a former senior US intelligence official, told Arab News: “There
is no shortage of areas in which the US and its partners in the region,
especially Saudi Arabia, can cooperate.”Vital growth areas for the US and Arab
states, particularly Saudi Arabia, include trade, defense, energy, artificial
intelligence, space, communications, environmental technology and strategic
investments.
Despite a rocky start early in his presidency, President Joe Biden has upheld
America’s long-standing security, educational and institutional ties with Saudi
Arabia. This partnership, built on more than 70 years of friendship, has been
strengthened by exchange opportunities promoting mutual understanding. “The next
US president and administration can build on the work of its predecessors by
reinforcing existing collaboration with regional allies,” Joe Macaron, a fellow
at the Washington-based Wilson Center, told Arab News.
This appears to be high on the agenda for both of the main party candidates —
Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President
Donald Trump — both of whom view Riyadh as an important partner for Washington.
Throughout his term as president, from 2017 to 2021, Trump placed Saudi Arabia
at the heart of his Middle East agenda, viewing the Kingdom as a key business
partner and an ally against Iran’s malign influence in the region. Likewise,
Harris, who replaced Biden as the Democratic nominee in July, has acknowledged
Riyadh as an important partner.
In 2019, she told the Council on Foreign Relations that the US and Saudi Arabia
“still have mutual areas of interest, such as counterterrorism, where the Saudis
have been strong partners,” and stressed the need for continued coordination.
However, Macaron emphasized that “as challenges and new geopolitical trends”
continue to emerge in the Middle East, “US interests are at stake in the next
four years.
“The US can potentially enhance trade and cooperation, but most importantly the
expectation is for the US to have a clear and predictable approach to the Middle
East,” he said. Failure to do so could have dangerous consequences. For Roule,
“the region’s broken states,” including the Palestinian territories, Syria, Iraq
and Lebanon, “cannot be ignored,” as “doing so makes them vulnerable to Iran,
Iranian proxies and terrorism.”
“Sudan, Yemen and Libya stand out as areas where much more work needs to be
done,” he said. “The end of the Gaza war will bring highly expensive
reconstruction projects that will require careful and long-term management.”
Israel’s assault on Gaza, which came in retaliation for the Oct. 7 Hamas-led
attack on southern Israel, has threatened to spill over into neighboring
countries, including Lebanon and Syria, raising concerns about the potential for
a regional war pitting Israel and Iran and its proxies. As the US is Israel’s
biggest financial and military backer, the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza and the
possibility of a full-scale Israel-Hezbollah war in Lebanon have become key
issues in the US election race. While reaffirming his staunch support for
Israel, Trump has urged the Israeli government to quickly conclude its military
operation in Gaza, saying the prolonged war is damaging Israel’s global image.
In an interview he gave in April, Trump said Israel needed to “finish what they
started” and “get it over with fast” because it was “absolutely losing the PR
war.”“You’ve got to get it over with, and you have to get back to normalcy. And
I’m not sure that I’m loving the way they’re doing it, because you’ve got to
have victory. You have to have a victory, and it’s taking a long time,” he said
on the “The Hugh Hewitt Show.”
Harris, too, has been clear about her support for Israel’s security and its
right to exist. Despite opposing an arms embargo on Israel, the vice president
has said she and Biden are working to end the conflict. Since the launch of her
presidential campaign in July, Harris has sought strike a balance between
reaffirming US support for Israel and expressing sympathy for Palestinian
civilians — mirroring Biden’s approach to the conflict. In her speech at the
Democratic National Convention in Chicago last week, she said: “Let me be clear,
I will always stand up for Israel’s right to defend itself, and I will always
ensure Israel has the ability to defend itself. At the same time, what has
happened in Gaza over the past 10 months is devastating … The scale of suffering
is heartbreaking.”INNUMBERS.
• 40k+ US troops and contractors in the Middle East. • 7.5k Personnel aboard two
aircraft carrier groups deployed in the region. For her part, Green Party
candidate Jill Stein has been a vocal advocate for Palestinian rights, openly
vowing in several media appearances and social media posts to “end the Gaza
genocide.”
On Tuesday, the Green Party told the Jewish news website Forward that Stein
believes the Gaza war “makes any other issue pale in comparison.”
Caption
Earlier this month, she also slammed Israel in a post on X for “attempting to
drag the US into escalations on the brink of WWIII. “We are seeing ourselves on
the verge of potentially nuclear conflicts, which is terrifying,” she said,
referring to the possibility of all-out war between Israel and Iran. More than
40,000 US military personnel deployed across the Middle East, including in Iraq,
Syria and Jordan, are at risk of being drawn into a broader conflict should
regional tensions escalate.
A US Army soldier hands out candy to children while on joint patrol with local
forces on May 25, 2021 near the Turkish border in northeastern Syria. (Getty
Images)
Trump has also voiced concerns that conflict in the Middle East could drag the
US into a third world war scenario. “Who is negotiating for us in the Middle
East? Bombs are dropping all over the place!” he posted on X.
“Let’s not have World War lll, because that’s where we’re heading!”Fears of an
all-out war between Israel and Iran have intensified in recent weeks following
Israel’s suspected killing of Hamas’s political chief Ismail Haniyeh in the
Iranian capital, Tehran, on July 31 and of Hezbollah number two Fuad Shukr in
Beirut on July 30. Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, immediately
threatened Israel with a “harsh punishment” for the suspected killings. Iran’s
security chief Ali Akbar Ahmadian, meanwhile, told Mehr news agency that “all
fronts of the resistance will take revenge for Haniyeh’s blood.”On Aug. 25,
Hezbollah launched hundreds of missiles at Israeli targets, marking the onset of
its retaliation for its slain commander. Shortly beforehand, Israel launched a
wave of preemptive airstrikes aimed at thwarting Hezbollah’s barrage.
All of the US presidential candidates have expressed a desire to prevent a
broader war in the Middle East, yet their specific strategies for this remain
unclear. One thing they appear to share in common, however, is a commitment to
normalization.“At a time of great political polarization in US politics, there
is an emerging consensus on the importance of deepening and broadening the
process of normalizations between Israel and America’s Arab partners,” Firas
Maksad, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute in Washington DC, told Arab
News.“The style and pace might differ depending on who is elected to the White
House, but not the strategic trajectory.”
The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on August 31-September 01/2024
Will The Biden-Harris Administration Allow the World's
Leading State Sponsor of Terrorism to Acquire Nuclear Weapons?
Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute./August 31, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/08/133908/
Iran's runaway strides in its nuclear program have taken place largely under the
watch of the Biden-Harris administration.
Will this administration allow the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism to
acquire nuclear weapons? It many have been what the Obama administration wished
-- so long as it was "not on my watch" -- but it was a terrible idea then, and
it is a worse one now. The prospect of Iran and its Islamic Revolutionary Guard
Corps arming groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Iraqi militias
with nuclear weapons is bad for the world's health.
Iran's regime that has also repeatedly vowed to annihilate the State of Israel
and the United States— after that, presumably, the oil-rich Gulf states. Iran
already controls five other countries in the region: Syria, Lebanon, Yemen and
Iraq. There are flashing neon signs that Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's dream of
"exporting the Revolution" is steadily extending to America's backyard. Latin
American rogue states allied with Iran could potentially be transformed into
nuclear-armed threats.
Iran's runaway strides in its nuclear program have taken place largely under the
watch of the Biden-Harris administration. Will this administration allow the
world's leading state sponsor of terrorism to acquire nuclear weapons? The
prospect of Iran arming groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Iraqi
militias with nuclear weapons is bad for the world's health.
Despite widespread concerns over Iran's advancing nuclear program, the Biden-Harris
administration, along with European leaders, are largely inactive in curbing
this growing threat. As the clock ticks, there has been no concrete strategy
proposed to halt Iran's march towards nuclear weapons, leaving the world in an
alarming position.
In a recent development, Representative Mike Turner, Chairman of the US House
Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, voiced extreme concern regarding
Iran's potential declaration as a nuclear weapons state. Turner pointed out the
unsettling prospect that Iran could announce its nuclear status "by the end of
the year." He further blamed the Biden administration's policies for
contributing to this dangerous situation, and stated that they have set the
stage for a significant escalation. Turner emphasized:
"There is a possibility, with the advances that have been made under the Biden
administration's policy, that Iran could, reports are out, that Iran could
declare itself a nuclear weapon state by the end of the year, if—and you would
not have had that."
The gravity of the situation has also been acknowledged by the State Department.
Secretary of State Antony Blinken issuing a warning that Iran is on the verge of
producing the materials needed for a nuclear weapon, potentially achieving this
within just "one or two weeks." This prediction underscores the immediacy of the
threat and the limited time left to address it.
Iran's runaway strides in its nuclear program have taken place largely under the
watch of the Biden-Harris administration. During this administration's tenure,
Iran not only surpassed the level of 3.67% uranium enrichment but also
accumulated a large stockpile of low-enriched uranium well beyond the 300 kg
cap. Additionally, Iran has expanded the number of its centrifuges and invested
heavily in additional research and development of centrifuge technology,
bringing the regime close to nuclear-weapons capability.
Recent reports paint an even more alarming picture: Iran's uranium enrichment
levels have now reportedly reached 84%, a level uncomfortably close to the 90%
threshold required for weapons-grade material.
It is perplexing-verging-on-treasonous that the Biden-Harris administration has
not taken any decisive action to prevent Iran from going nuclear, or even
causing any less devastation in the Middle East. Iran was also behind "over 150
attacks" on US troops in the Middle East, just since October 7, 2023, wounding
many American troops.
Will this administration allow the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism to
acquire nuclear weapons? It many have been what the Obama administration wished
-- so long as it was "not on my watch" -- but it was a terrible idea then, and
it is a worse one now. The prospect of Iran and its Islamic Revolutionary Guard
Corps arming groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Iraqi militias
with nuclear weapons is bad for the world's health.
Iran's regime that has also repeatedly vowed to annihilate the State of Israel
and the United States— after that, presumably, the oil-rich Gulf states. Iran
already controls five other countries in the region: Syria, Lebanon, Yemen and
Iraq. There are flashing neon signs that Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's dream of
"exporting the Revolution" is steadily extending to America's backyard. Latin
American rogue states allied with Iran could potentially be transformed into
nuclear-armed threats.
Adding to the problem is the Biden-Harris administration's lack of a clear plan,
let alone any desire, to stop Iran's nuclear ambitions. Instead of enforcing
stringent sanctions, the administration has provided and enriched Iran with over
$50 billion, thereby financing not only its nuclear program, but also its
regional aggression as well – including against the US.
The US and the West have only a narrow window of time left to prevent Iran from
becoming a nuclear-armed state. It is imperative not only to cut off the flow of
funds to the Iranian regime by fully enforcing sanctions and preventing oil
sales, but also to neutralize Iran's nuclear plans -- the sooner, the better.
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated
scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and
president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has
authored several books on Islam and US Foreign Policy. He can be reached at
Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2024 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/20909/biden-harris-iran-nuclear-weapons
Do Israel and Hamas really want to end the conflict?
Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/August 31, 2024
In principle, negotiations are aimed at bridging differences with the ultimate
objective of resolving a conflict. But then there is the Israel-Hamas
negotiating approach, one that increasingly leaves the impression that they
engage, albeit indirectly, in ceasefire talks more for the sake of them, while
failing to convince anyone that reaching a deal is their top priority. All the
evidence shows that they are more invested in continuing the conflict than
ending it, or are at least incapable of internalizing that neither side has
anything to gain in prolonging the war, and that it is only by agreeing on the
necessary compromises that this horrific bloodshed will end. For both the
Israeli and Palestinian people a ceasefire is an urgent necessity, one that will
also ensure that the hostages who are wasting away in captivity will be freed.
But the same sense of urgency is not shared by their respective leaderships.
The longer that this most violent episode in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
since 1948 continues, the more it becomes evident that there are no political
achievements possible for either side to gain from it. Moreover, the war from
its outset has been internationalized, at some points leaving the entire region
on the very brink of a regional war and providing the Iranian-led so-called
“Axis of Resistance” an opportunity, more accurately an excuse, to dangerously
draw the battle lines between themselves, the rest of the region, and the
Western powers, in the name of defending the Palestinian cause.
The route to defusing bilateral and regional tensions, even if not immediately
resolving their underlying causes, goes through a ceasefire in Gaza. Hence the
constant derailing and delaying tactics of the Israeli government, and
especially of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, that are being employed to save
his political skin rather than for any viable strategic reason, have become
detrimental to the future of Israelis, Palestinians, and regional stability.
There is a credible argument that at least until last week, when Israel
pre-empted a massive Hezbollah missile and drone attack and consequently limited
its scope and damage, enough had been done to satisfy both sides that all scores
had been settled, at least for now. Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar was also
uninterested in a ceasefire, in the hope that Israel’s recent spate of
assassinations carried out in Beirut and Tehran would lead to a powerful
military retaliation against Israel, leaving the latter weakened and thus
improving his position with or without negotiations.
Now that this danger has, at least temporarily, been averted and ceasefire
negotiations have resumed in Cairo and Doha, comes the real test of both sides’
desire for a ceasefire, and of the determination of the mediators and other
elements in the international community to use their power to convince both
protagonists that it is in their interests first to reach a ceasefire deal, but
only as a first step toward a comprehensive agreement that will peacefully
resolve the entire Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
All the evidence shows that they are more invested in continuing the conflict
than ending it.
Yet, on the Israeli side, and not only on this issue, it is the presence of
Netanyahu and his disturbing reliance on the far right that is perpetuating a
political-diplomatic bottleneck. I have long been a critic of Netanyahu’s
politics, his unquenched hunger for power and his lack of morality. However, the
current Netanyahu model that has emerged since he was charged with corruption,
and the subsequent formation of his sixth administration in December 2022, is in
a different league altogether and is totally self-serving. His responsibility
for the misperceptions and miscalculations that for years built up Hamas’
military power; the lack of preparedness on Oct. 7; the weakening of Israeli
society as a whole by forming a coalition with the most damaging, extreme
right-wing elements who see Armageddon as desirable rather than as a cataclysm
to be avoided; in addition to his and his family’s sheer hedonism in the midst
of a war when so many people are dying every day — all of these failures are
bound to be officially and thoroughly investigated when the war ends. But
prolonging the war has become a means for Netanyahu to indefinitely delay such
an investigation that would bring the curtain down on his time in Israeli
politics.
To expect that Netanyahu would show any sympathy for all the Palestinians who
have been killed, maimed or lost everything in the war and who are in desperate
need of humanitarian aid would be reasonable, but also a big ask of someone with
a psychological profile such as his, one that also dictates his policies. Yet,
for a right-wing nationalist who fashioned himself as the defender of Israel and
its people, his callous attitude toward the hostages and their families while it
becomes increasingly evident that more dead hostages than live ones are
returning home while those still held in Gaza have been going through hell for
almost a year and soldiers are dying almost every day, is truly shocking.
Delaying a deal, one that his defense minister and the chiefs of the different
branches of the security forces are encouraging him to reach, is evidence of
someone who has lost all sense of judgment and morality. Netanyahu sends
representatives of the Israeli Defense Forces, Mossad, and Shin Bet to negotiate
in Cairo and Doha, seems to give them some leeway to make progress, and then
presents new conditions that pull the carpet from under the feet of the
negotiators, condemning many more people to immense suffering.
Israel’s demands for security and ensuring that Oct. 7 will never happen again
are an understandable priority, as should be the security of Palestinians in
Gaza and the West Bank, but holding onto the Philadelphi Corridor or even the
Netzarim/Salah Al-Din Road Corridor will not result in long-term security, but
merely perpetuate the occupation and the conflict, as Netanyahu and his
government have been advised by so many current and past senior security chiefs.
What hurts and divides Israeli society is the hostages issue, one that is
breaking the bond between the people and a state that is failing in its basic
responsibility to protect them from danger, something it failed to do on Oct. 7
and ever since by abandoning the hostages in the tunnels of Gaza. What makes it
even worse is that it is being done for Netanyahu’s self-preservation and under
duress from his coalition partners with their messianic ambitions to reoccupy
and settle the Gaza Strip. It makes both the prime minister and his Cabinet
culprits in prolonging this horrific war that should have long ago been
concluded in a ceasefire.
• Yossi Mekelberg is a professor of international relations and an associate
fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House.
X: @YMekelberg
Europe and the post-America Middle East
Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/August 31, 2024
In the days following US President Joe Biden’s decision to abandon his
reelection campaign, a wave of hope surged among American policy influencers and
key decision-makers anxious about Washington’s waning commitment to its global
security responsibilities. Current polls suggest the race for the Oval Office
this November remains tight between Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald
Trump — tempering expectations for the success of the electoral challenge to the
latter’s isolationist “America First” ideology. But a palpable shift has
reignited discourse among those convinced that only US leadership can navigate
the world’s geopolitical crises, especially in the Middle East and North Africa.
Yet, despite Washington’s elites repeatedly asserting the primacy of American
leadership in a restless world, the failures of the administrations’ handling of
threats to global stability clearly signals an irreversible erosion of US
influence. For the world weary roaming the halls of power in Washington, the US
still faces tough questions about the coming post-America order for the Middle
East, regardless of who wins in November.
However, Brussels cannot simply ignore or sideline the Arab region, a volatile
neighborhood merely a stone’s throw from its own shores. In a world where US
influence is increasingly diluted, Europe finds itself at a crossroads. Long
relegated to playing second fiddle in a region once dominated by post-First
World War European powers, the continent must now confront its limitations,
while recognizing its core interests in the Middle East. The stakes are high;
from the threat of nuclear proliferation to proxy conflicts and the implosion of
entire Arab states, the region’s instability has direct and severe repercussions
for Europe. As America’s retreat looms, Europe cannot afford passivity. Instead,
it must carve out a strategic role that promotes stability and preempts the
disastrous cycles of conflict and impoverishment threatening to spill over into
European territory.
Gone are the heydays, long before the current administration, where the US had
sufficient breadth to grapple with a unique unipolar ability to shape outcomes
in sprawling crises and critical conflicts, counting on unreserved support from
a Europe preoccupied with complex institution-building. With the tenor of US
engagement slowly shifting toward absenteeism in favor of a vaunted “pivot” to
the Indo-Pacific, Europe must now grapple with a new Middle East “reality.” It
will demand a permanent detachment from colonial pasts and patronizing
post-Second World War era policies for new forms of diplomatic engagement among
equals.
Unfortunately, recent efforts have left much to be desired.
Contradictory, highly self-interested policies of France and Italy in Libya
failed to achieve reunification under an effective government. Tunisia’s
much-praised democratic ascent has since collapsed under a Kais Saied
“hyper-presidency,” emboldened by Brussels’ unwillingness to check the attacks
on political pluralism. Similarly, France’s inability to mediate in Lebanon has
highlighted its dwindling influence, capped off by rising anti-French sentiment
in parts of North Africa and the adjacent Sahel. Worse yet, myopic border
externalization policies have inadvertently led to Europe bankrolling aspiring
despots and turning a blind eye to serious human rights violations and the
kleptocratic networks that thrive on trafficking in desperate migrants. Brussels
cannot simply ignore or sideline the Arab region.
If Europe is to have a role to play in a fast-changing Arab region, it must do
more than acknowledge its limitations, unforced errors, and grave
miscalculations. On the contrary, Europe’s economic clout, diplomatic
experience, and strategic interest provide it with unique tools to affect the
region. One area of critical engagement is Iran and its nuclear ambitions. As
Washington recalibrates its foreign policy and distances itself from the
dizzying geopolitics of the Middle East, Europe confronts an unavoidable
reality: stepping up to fill the void. The E-3 — Britain, Germany, and France —
must galvanize efforts not merely to chastise Iran for its nuclear ambitions but
also to enact concrete measures, such as reintroducing sanction “snapbacks,”
which could decisively curb Tehran’s regional machinations or, at the least,
heighten the cost of Iranian adventurism.
Europe’s proximity also necessitates a proactive stance on issues such as Iran’s
influence through its proxies in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. The region,
rife with proxy wars and political instability, carries enormous repercussions
for European security and economic interests. A united European front, coupled
with strategic collaboration with a US eager to hand over the reins, could deter
escalating threats. While US engagements in the region wane, Europe’s
leadership, assertive diplomacy, and economic sanctions, could forge a path to
more stable and less volatile dynamics on its doorstep.
For instance, in Iraq, Europe can counter Tehran’s growing influence by
bolstering local political forces that resist Iranian meddling through strategic
economic aid and an enduring security presence. Drawing parallels from the
bloc’s relatively successful economic diplomacy in the Balkans, the application
of targeted financial incentives could fortify Iraq’s political factions against
Iran’s hegemonic aspirations. Concurrently, a coordinated European-American
approach could thwart Iran’s ambitions of transforming Iraq into a proxy state
and impede its strategic objective of establishing land corridors stretching to
the Mediterranean. Lebanon, on the other hand, has proven a more formidable
challenge given Hezbollah’s entrenched influence that renders its swift
disentanglement virtually impossible. Realistically, any involvement in Lebanon,
while fraught with complexity, is not without precedent and serves as a crucial
test of Europe’s ability to act as a stabilizing force. By backing anti-Iranian
political factions through economic and military aid, Europe can proactively lay
the groundwork for long-term stability. Europe’s conditional financial support
for political reforms in Eastern Europe teases the relative efficacy of such an
approach. Concurrently, enhancing the UN Interim Force in Lebanon could help
dislodge Hezbollah’s stranglehold on Lebanon and disrupt its operational
capabilities.
Ultimately, in a post-America Middle East, Europe must reshape its role to align
with the region’s evolving realities. The era of futile, ad-hoc initiatives must
end. Whether it is Iran’s nuclear brinkmanship, Iraq’s struggles with
reasserting its sovereignty, the messy aftermath of Syria’s civil war, Lebanon’s
fragmentation, the shattered prospects of Palestinian statehood, or even North
Africa’s peculiar dynamics, Europe must develop a cohesive, proactive approach.
This shift requires a fundamental rethinking and restructuring of Europe’s
engagements in the Arab region.
The future Middle East, less shaped by American influence, will demand a Europe
that is not just a partner but a leader. As America’s footprint recedes, Europe
must fill the vacuum with determined diplomacy, strategic foresight, robust
action, and ensuring historical mistakes are not repeated but, instead, lessons
are learned and applied. What unfolds over the next decade will define not just
the Middle East’s trajectory, but also Europe’s role in the global order.
*Hafed Al-Ghwell is a senior fellow and executive director of the North Africa
Initiative at the Foreign Policy Institute of the Johns Hopkins University
School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, DC. X: @HafedAlGhwell
Egypt, Turkiye pin hopes on a new era of cooperation
Dr. Abdellatif El-Menawy/Arab News/August 31, 2024
The relationship between Egypt and Turkiye has experienced significant and
varied developments over the past decade, transitioning from a state of
disagreement and tension that almost escalated into open conflict to a new phase
of rapprochement and constructive dialogue. This relationship, shaped by
multiple geopolitical and regional factors, reflects deep changes in the
position of both countries toward each other, and on regional and international
issues. To understand the current shift in Egypt-Turkiye relations, it is
necessary to review the background of the tensions that arose between the two
following the so-called Arab Spring in 2011, a time when the region witnessed
drastic political changes. Turkiye, under the leadership of President Recep
Tayyip Erdogan, was one of the countries that supported the Arab uprisings,
especially those that brought Islamist groups to power, such as the Muslim
Brotherhood in Egypt. The uprisings led to the removal of former President Hosni
Mubarak after 30 years in power, which paved the way for the Muslim Brotherhood
to take control. Consequently, Mohammed Morsi, a member of the Brotherhood,
assumed the presidency of Egypt in 2012. At that time, Egyptian-Turkish
relations were at their peak, marked by close cooperation between the two
countries’ leaders. Turkiye, under Erdogan’s leadership, viewed Morsi’s rise as
a positive development, in line with its broader support for Islamist movements
in the region. However, Morsi’s presidency did not last long. In 2013, Egyptians
ousted the Brotherhood-affiliated leader following widespread popular protests,
supported by the Egyptian military led by Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, the defense
minister at the time.
Ankara strongly condemned Morsi’s ousting, supported him, and denounced his
removal in international forums, leading to clear tension in relations with
Cairo. This was accompanied by frequent Turkish criticism of the new Egyptian
authority, and a refusal to recognize the new government, resulting in a severe
deterioration in relations and almost a decade of diplomatic estrangement.
During this period, mutual trust was absent, and conflicting positions emerged
on several regional issues. The discord was further exacerbated by the two
countries’ opposing stances on various regional conflicts, especially in Libya,
where Turkiye supported the Government of National Accord, while Egypt backed
the Libyan National Army led by Khalifa Haftar. As relations deteriorated, Egypt
and Turkiye moved into a phase of political and diplomatic escalation, halting
official visits, withdrawing ambassadors, and filling speeches with mutual
criticism. The tension also extended to other areas, such as the media and
economy, with both countries seeking to limit the other’s influence. For
instance, Turkiye supported media channels opposing the Egyptian regime.
The real shift in Egyptian-Turkish relations began in 2021, when the two
countries began “exploratory talks” aimed at rebuilding ties. This step came
after both realized the need to move beyond old disputes, and adapt to regional
and global changes. The geopolitical landscape in the Middle East and the world
had undergone significant alteration since the peak of the conflict between
Egypt and Turkiye. Several factors contributed to the move toward
reconciliation.
The region began what could be called a realignment of regional alliances. The
Middle East witnessed a wave of diplomatic realignments driven by changing power
dynamics and a desire for stability. Economic considerations cannot be
overlooked. Both Turkiye and Egypt have faced significant economic challenges in
recent years. Turkiye has been struggling with a severe economic crisis
characterized by high inflation and a depreciating currency, while Egypt has
been working to stabilize its economy through reforms and international aid.
Both countries realized that it was necessary to enhance cooperation rather than
confrontation in order to open new avenues for economic partnership that would
benefit both parties. Regional security was also an important factor, as both
Cairo and Ankara understood that regional stability depended on coordination
between major regional powers. In Libya and Syria, there were emerging
understandings on how to end conflicts and reach political solutions, with the
realization that political settlement is the only viable path to stability.
Both countries have faced significant economic challenges in recent years.
Moreover, both countries faced pressure from international actors to ease
tensions, particularly as the US shifted its focus from the Middle East to Asia.
With declining direct interest in the region from Washington, regional powers
such as Egypt and Turkiye needed to strengthen their relations to protect their
interests. This shift prompted both countries to reposition themselves in the
new global order. Clearly, a cooperative and coordinated relationship could
enhance their ability to negotiate with global powers and give them a degree of
decision-making independence, even if within certain limits.
Regarding the restoration of relations, the turning point in the relationship
occurred in February 2024, when Erdogan made a historic visit to Cairo at the
invitation of El-Sisi. This visit marked a significant milestone in the
reconciliation process, being the first official trip by a Turkish leader to
Egypt since the ousting of the Muslim Brotherhood regime in 2013. The visit was
characterized by a warm reception and high-level discussions on various issues,
including trade, investment, regional security, and cultural exchange.
The February visit sent a strong message to the international community that
both countries were serious about mending their relations and exploring
opportunities for cooperation. It also emphasized the importance of direct
dialogue in resolving long-standing disputes. Joint statements issued during the
visit reaffirmed a commitment to building a “new chapter” in bilateral relations
based on mutual respect and shared interests.
Now, the upcoming visit of El-Sisi to Ankara raises the question: What can we
expect?
There are high expectations, with several key issues likely to be on the agenda
that could shape the future of Egypt-Turkiye relations as they enter a new
phase. Several areas could see fruitful cooperation, with economic cooperation
being one of the most important, particularly in the fields of energy,
infrastructure, and trade. Turkish investments in Egypt constitute a significant
part of the foreign direct investments, and political understandings could
enhance these investments and increase the volume of trade exchange. The Middle
East conflicts, particularly those in Libya and Syria, may also be on the
agenda, as both sides recognize that a continuation of the troubling situation
is not in their favor. The visit could lead to progress in cooperation between
the two countries on the issues of Libya and Syria, as Egypt and Turkiye have
shared interests in regional stability, and their coordination could contribute
to achieving lasting political solutions. It is true that the Egyptian
president’s visit to Turkiye carries many opportunities, but politics and
history always teach us lessons, the most important of which is that there are
no opportunities without challenges. Despite the significant opportunities for
cooperation, challenges remain. Among these are ideological differences that
still exist, particularly regarding support for Islamist groups. These
differences could hinder reaching agreements on some sensitive issues if there
is no trust in the parties’ commitment to what they promise. Turkiye has taken
concrete steps in this regard, but there is still anticipation regarding the
seriousness and sustainability of this new Turkish approach. Additionally,
Turkiye and Egypt may find themselves in conflicting positions in the future
over other regional issues. Overcoming this requires sufficient clarity in
managing the relationship between the two countries in its new phase.
Furthermore, the impact of international pressures on this relationship cannot
be ignored. Pressures from actors such as the US, Russia, or China could
influence the trajectory of relations between the two countries if they find
that this rapprochement affects their interests. Again, the way the relationship
between the two countries is managed will play a significant role in dealing
with these pressures if they arise.
Recent progress in bilateral relations between Egypt and Turkiye suggests that
both sides are ready to overcome these challenges in pursuit of common goals.
The key to the success of this reconciliation will be sustained political will,
pragmatic diplomacy, and a focus on areas of shared interest. By building on the
momentum of recent high-level visits and translating political goodwill into
tangible actions, Egypt and Turkiye have the opportunity not only to strengthen
their relations but also to establish a strategic partnership that could
contribute to the stability and prosperity of the region.
• Dr. Abdellatif El-Menawy is a critically acclaimed multimedia journalist,
writer and columnist who has covered war zones and conflicts worldwide.
X: @ALMenawy
Ukraine’s daring move will do little to alter a war of attrition
Andrew Hammond/Arab News/August 31, 2024
Kyiv’s dramatic incursion into Russia in early August is widely seen as a
spectacular attempt to reframe the narrative of the Ukraine conflict. However,
about 900 days after the Russians launched their invasion, the most likely
outcome remains a continued war of attrition, at least until the November US
presidential election, which could prove to be a “game-changer.” The surprise
Kursk offensive has resulted in the greatest loss of western Russian territory
since the Second World War. Ukraine claimed this week that it had captured more
than 100 small-sized settlements, taken about 600 Russian military personnel
prisoner, and seized over 1,000 sq. km of territory, forcing tens of thousands
of Russians from their homes. Kyiv has targeted this border area, around 200 km
northwest of the closest front line in Kharkiv, and 350 km from the main front,
because it was weakly defended.
To put the territorial gains into perspective, the amount of land seized is
similar to that occupied by Russia in Ukraine so far this year. However, it is
much smaller than the 100,000 sq. km — around 20 percent of Ukraine’s total
homeland — taken by Russia in recent years.Ukraine’s daring move may not
ultimately turn out to be a decisive factor in the war, but it has changed, at
least temporarily, the story so far in 2024 of steady Russian gains in Ukraine.
The offensive deep into the Kursk region adds to the challenges facing Moscow.
After a troubled two-and-a-half-year campaign, unverified estimates this month
from the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces indicate Moscow has lost
about 600,000 troops. Ukraine also asserts that Russia has also lost about 8,500
tanks, 16,500 armored fighting vehicles, 23,000 vehicles and fuel tanks, 17,000
artillery systems, 1,150 multiple-launch rocket systems, 900 air defense
systems, 360 aircraft, 330 helicopters, almost 30 warships and boats, and one
submarine. This underlines how the war has not gone to plan despite Moscow
hoping for a victory within days.
Yet, many military experts are skeptical that Kyiv’s latest bold move will
fundamentally change the course of the war, with Russian forces still on the
offensive in Ukraine. Russia is estimated to have hundreds of thousands of
troops on the front line, so diverting a few thousand may not have a large
impact. This means Ukraine may be unable to hold its new Russian territory in
the long term as a potential bargaining chip in any future peace negotiations.
Even in the event of a Harris presidency, there is every possibility that
Ukraine will fail to achieve all of its strategic war objectives.
In this context, the most likely scenario remains a continued war of attrition,
at least until the US presidential election. At that point it will be clear if
US support for Kyiv will probably remain steadfast, under a Kamala Harris
administration, or potentially open to complete reversal under a second Donald
Trump presidency.
A Harris leadership is most likely to broadly continue the Biden
administration’s policy — avoiding escalation, and providing military assistance
only in small amounts to try to avoid direct confrontation with Russia — meaning
the war may become more protracted.
However, a big Republican win could see Trump try to make good on his wholly
unrealistic pledge to “end the war in 24 hours.” This could result in him
seeking to cut off support for Kyiv, a fear that has only grown since the
selection of Sen. J.D. Vance as his running mate, with his comments that “I
don’t really care what happens to Ukraine one way or another,” and “the American
people will not tolerate another endless war, and neither will I.” It remains
unclear what a Trump policy toward Ukraine would exactly look like. However,
there is no question that it could be hugely different to that of team Biden.
That is why there is so much Ukraine policy uncertainty emanating from the US
presidential election. Hence, why Kyiv and its allies are undertaking much
planning of scenarios for 2025 and beyond.
Even in the event of a Harris presidency, there is every possibility that
Ukraine would fail to achieve all of its strategic war objectives. If
Republicans control one or more chambers of Congress, for instance, there could
be significant attempts to frustrate Harris’ full policy ambitions.
A growing number of Western experts share the view of Lord Ricketts, a former UK
national security adviser, who highlights the possibility of a Korea-style
scenario. This would result in Russia keeping control of perhaps around a fifth
of pre-war Ukraine, the amount of territory it controls today, and the remainder
moving in pro-Western direction in the years to come. However, even this
scenario might appear unrealistic under a Trump presidency. What Washington’s
allies, especially those in Europe, particularly want to avoid is any result
that is perceived as a big Russian victory, which it is feared would only
embolden Moscow and its allies across the world. This is why US allies are
thinking through how they might be able to “buy Ukraine time” in 2025 under a
potential second Trump presidency. What the Brussels-based club has done,
already, is move forward with around half the previously promised aid to Ukraine
— €50 billion ($55 million) over the next four years — in order to offer Kyiv
more predictability with its strained budget. Ukraine’s offensive is changing
the narrative about the war, but is unlikely to fundamentally affect the course
of the conflict. More important, potentially, could be the result of the US
election in November, with possibly huge differences between a Trump and a
Harris administration.
**Andrew Hammond is an Associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.