English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For February 02/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For
today
Baby Jesus is circumcised and Presented To The
Temple
Luke 02/21-39/ And at the end of eight days, when he was
circumcised, he was called Jesus, the name given by the angel before he was
conceived in the womb. And when the time came for their purification
according to the Law of Moses, they brought him up to Jerusalem to present
him to the Lord (as it is written in the Law of the Lord, “Every male who
first opens the womb shall be called holy to the Lord”) and to offer a
sacrifice according to what is said in the Law of the Lord, “a pair of
turtledoves, or two young pigeons.” Now there was a man in Jerusalem, whose
name was Simeon, and this man was righteous and devout, waiting for the
consolation of Israel, and the Holy Spirit was upon him. And it had been
revealed to him by the Holy Spirit that he would not see death before he had
seen the Lord’s Christ. And he came in the Spirit into the temple, and when
the parents brought in the child Jesus, to do for him according to the
custom of the Law, he took him up in his arms and blessed God and said,
“Lord, now you are letting your servant depart in peace, according to your
word; for my eyes have seen your salvation that you have prepared in the
presence of all peoples, a light for revelation to the Gentiles, and for
glory to your people Israel.”and his father and his mother marveled at what
was said about him. And Simeon blessed them and said to Mary his mother,
“Behold, this child is appointed for the fall and rising of many in Israel,
and for a sign that is opposed (and a sword will pierce through your own
soul also), so that thoughts from many hearts may be revealed.” And there
was a prophetess, Anna, the daughter of Phanuel, of the tribe of Asher. She
was advanced in years, having lived with her husband seven years from when
she was a virgin, and then as a widow until she was eighty-four. She did not
depart from the temple, worshiping with fasting and prayer night and day.
And coming up at that very hour she began to give thanks to God and to speak
of him to all who were waiting for the redemption of Jerusalem.
Titles For The Latest
English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on February 01-02/2024
Israel and Lebanon are prepping for a war neither wants, but many fear
it's becoming inevitable
U.S. defense secretary: No ‘all out-conflict’ between Israel, Hezbollah
US downgrades travel warning for Lebanon
Israel braces for potential war with Lebanon amidst talks of Gaza truce
UK's Cameron urges calm on Lebanon-Israel border in Beirut talks
Report: Le Drian to carry new ideas to Beirut
Paris may replace Le Drian as Qatari envoy meets Shiite Duo, Franjieh
Report: Hochstein resumes talks on post-war arrangements
Israel braces for potential war with Lebanon amidst talks of Gaza truce
512 houses damaged in north Israel as Hezbollah attacks continue
Report: KSA, US disagree with Qatar over Bayssari's nomination
US sanctions 3 companies in Lebanon and Turkey for 'funding Iran, Hezbollah'
Beyond the 10% tax: Companies grapple with interpretation amid budget
controversy
UNRWA funding cut: Sheikh Kaouk condemns US and Western complicity in
Palestinian suffering
Mikati Emphasizes Commitment to UN Resolutions and Diplomatic Solutions
Lebanese Army Commander meets British Foreign Secretary
Bou Habib: Lebanon desires complete peace, not partial solutions
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published
on February 01-02/2024
Houthi Red
Sea attacks: Group claims to have hit US container ship
Houthi leader: The US sought China's assistance to halt operations in Red Sea
Missile reportedly fired from Houthi-controlled Yemen explodes near ship in Red
Sea
Gunmen take hostages at US company's Turkish factory in apparent protest of Gaza
war
US hints large response to Iran-backed militias is imminent as Houthi rebels
target another ship
Iran pulls top Guard officers out of Syria over deadly Israeli strikes
CBS: The US approves strikes on Iranian targets in Iraq and Syria
Iran begins building 4 more nuclear power plants
Biden sanctions four Israeli settlers who attacked Palestinians in the West Bank
Israel defense minister declares victory in Gaza's Khan Younis
What is the cause of embattled Gaza’s humanitarian aid imbroglio?
UN Palestinian aid agency warns cuts may force shutdown
Mediators work for halt to deadly fighting in Gaza
Hamas won’t accept truce plan, hostage release unless Israel quits Gaza
Oil Slides on Reports of a Potential Israel-Hamas Ceasefire
Babies Killed In Gaza Are ‘Not Innocent Palestinian Civilians,’ House Republican
Says
European Union agrees on a new 50 billion-euro aid package for Ukraine despite
Hungary's veto threat
Pakistani troops kill 22 insurgents in southwest after coordinated attacks over
Iran strikes
Journalists, lawyers and activists hacked with Pegasus spyware in Jordan,
forensic probe finds
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources
on February 01-02/2024
Palestinian Terrorists, Hospitals, and Plans for Palestinian State/Bassam
Tawil/Gatestone Institute./February 01, 2024
Why Oct. 7 has bound Israeli Druze and Jews even more tightly/Taylor
Luck/Christian Science Monitor/Wed, January 31, 2024
Is Israel at risk of becoming a pariah in the Middle East again? Maybe not/Tracy
Wilkinson/Los Angeles Times./ February 1, 2024
Sudanese people’s dire plight should not be ignored/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab
News/February 01, 2024
Reading Our World Through an Old Book/Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/January
02/2024
Positioning in Sanaa and Messages to Tehran/Suleiman Jawda/Asharq Al-Awsat/January
02/2024
Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published
on February 01-02/2024
Israel and Lebanon are prepping for a war neither wants, but many fear it's
becoming inevitable
ABBY SEWELL and MELANIE LIDMAN/AP/February
01, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/126607/126607/
BEIRUT (AP) — The prospect of a full-scale war between Israel and Lebanon’s
Hezbollah militia terrifies people on both sides of the border, but some see it
as an inevitable fallout from Israel’s ongoing war against Hamas in Gaza.
Such a war could be the most destructive either side has ever experienced.
Israel and Hezbollah each have lessons from their last war, in 2006, a monthlong
conflict that ended in a draw. They've also had four months to prepare for
another war, even as the United States tries to prevent a widening of the
conflict.
Here’s a look at each side's preparedness, how war might unfold and what's being
done to prevent it.
WHAT HAPPENED IN 2006?
The 2006 war, six years after Israeli forces withdrew from south Lebanon,
erupted after Hezbollah captured two Israeli soldiers and killed several others
in a cross-border raid.
Israel launched a full-scale air and ground offensive and imposed a blockade
that aimed to free the hostages and destroy Hezbollah’s military capabilities —
a mission that ultimately failed. Israeli bombing leveled large swaths of south
Lebanon and Beirut’s southern suburbs. Hezbollah fired thousands of unguided
rockets into northern Israel communities.
The conflict killed some 1,200 Lebanese, mostly civilians, and 160 Israelis,
mostly soldiers.
A United Nations resolution ending the war called for withdrawal of Israeli
forces from Lebanon and a demilitarized zone on Lebanon's side of the border.
Despite the deployment of U.N. peacekeepers, Hezbollah continues to operate in
the border area, while Lebanon says Israel regularly violates its airspace and
continues to occupy pockets of Lebanese land.
HOW PROBABLE IS WAR?
An Israel-Hezbollah war “would be a total disaster,” U.N. Secretary-General
Antonio Guterres warned last month, amid a flurry of shuttle diplomacy by the
U.S. and Europe.
Iran-backed Hezbollah seemed caught off-guard by Hamas' Oct. 7 attack on Israel,
a regional ally. Since then, Hezbollah and Israel have exchanged daily
cross-border strikes, escalating gradually. Israel also carried out targeted
killings of Hezbollah and Hamas figures in Lebanon.
More than 200 people, mostly Hezbollah fighters but also more than 20 civilians,
have been killed on Lebanon's side, and 18 on Israel's.
Tens of thousands have been displaced on both sides. There are no immediate
prospects for their return.
Israeli political and military leaders have warned Hezbollah that war is
increasingly probable unless the militants withdraw from the border.
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah hasn't threatened to initiate war but warned
of a fight “without limits” if Israel does. Hezbollah says it won't agree to a
ceasefire on the Israel-Lebanon border before there's one in Gaza and has
rebuffed a U.S. proposal to move its forces several kilometers (miles) back from
the border, according to Lebanese officials.
Despite the rhetoric, neither side appears to want war, said Andrea Tenenti,
spokesperson for the U.N. peacekeeping mission in south Lebanon. However, “a
miscalculation could potentially trigger a wider conflict that would be very
difficult to control," he said.
HOW PREPARED ARE THEY?
Both Hezbollah and the Israeli military have expanded capabilities since 2006 —
yet both countries also are more fragile.
In Lebanon, four years of economic crisis have crippled public institutions,
including its army and electrical grid, and eroded its health system. The
country hosts more than 1 million Syrian refugees.
Lebanon adopted an emergency plan for a war scenario in late October. It
projected the forcible displacement of 1 million Lebanese for 45 days.
About 87,000 Lebanese are displaced from the border area. While the government
is relying on international organizations to fund the response, many groups
working in Lebanon can't maintain existing programs.
The U.N. refugee agency has provided supplies to collective shelters and given
emergency cash to some 400 families in south Lebanon, spokesperson Lisa Abou
Khaled said. The agency doesn't have funds to support large numbers of displaced
in the event of war, she said.
Aid group Doctors Without Borders said it has stockpiled some 10 tons of medical
supplies and backup fuel for hospital generators in areas most likely to be
affected by a widening conflict, in anticipation of a blockade.
Israel is feeling economic and social strain from the war in Gaza, which is
expected to cost over $50 billion, or about 10 percent of national economic
activity through the end of 2024, according to the Bank of Israel. Costs would
rise sharply if there's war with Lebanon.
“No one wants this war, or wishes it on anyone,” said Tal Beeri of the Alma
Research and Education Center, a think tank focusing on northern Israel
security. But he said he believes an armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah
is inevitable, arguing that diplomatic solutions appear unlikely and would only
allow Hezbollah's strategic threats to increase.
Israel has evacuated 60,000 residents from towns nearest the border, where
there's no warning time for rocket launches because of the proximity of
Hezbollah squads.
In a war, there would be no point in additional evacuations since the militia's
rockets and missiles can reach all of Israel.
After the Oct. 7 attack, the war in Gaza had broad domestic support, even if
there's now a growing debate over its direction. Around half of Israelis would
support war with Hezbollah as a last resort for restoring border security,
according to recent polling by the think tank Israel Democracy Institute.
In Lebanon, some have criticized Hezbollah for exposing the country to another
potentially devastating war. Others support the group’s limited entry into the
conflict and believe Hezbollah’s arsenal will deter Israel from escalating.
HOW WOULD WAR PLAY OUT?
A full-scale war would likely spread to multiple fronts, escalating the
involvement of Iranian proxies in Syria, Iraq and Yemen — and perhaps even draw
in Iran itself.
It could also drag the U.S., Israel's closest ally, deeper into the conflict.
The U.S. already has dispatched additional warships to the region.
Hezbollah has 150,000 to 200,000 rockets and missiles of various ranges, said
Orna Mizrahi of the Israeli think tank Institute for National Security Studies.
This arsenal is at least five times larger than that of Hamas and far more
accurate, she said.
The militia's guided projectiles could reach water, electricity or
communications facilities, and densely populated residential areas.
In Lebanon, airstrikes would likely wreak havoc on infrastructure and
potentially kill thousands. Netanyahu has threatened to “turn Beirut into Gaza,”
where Israel’s air and ground incursion has caused widespread destruction and
killed more than 26,000 people, according to Hamas-controlled Gaza's Health
Ministry.
Israel is far more protected, with several air defense systems, including the
Iron Dome, which intercepts rockets with a roughly 90% success rate. But it can
get overwhelmed if a mass barrage of rockets is fired.
Some 40% of Israel's population live in newer homes with private safe rooms
fortified with blast protection to withstand rocket attacks. Israel also has a
network of bomb shelters, but a 2020 government report says about one-third of
Israelis lack easy access to them.
Lebanon has no such network, and shelters would be of little use against massive
“bunker buster” bombs Israel has dropped in Gaza. Hezbollah has limited air
defenses, while those of the Lebanese army are outdated and insufficient because
of budget shortfalls, said Dina Arakji, with the UK-based risk consultancy firm
Control Risks.
The Lebanese army has remained on the sidelines over the past four months. In
2006, it entered fighting in a limited capacity, but it's unclear how it would
react in the event of a new Israel-Hezbollah war.
*Lidman reported from Tel Aviv, Israel.
U.S. defense secretary: No
‘all out-conflict’ between Israel, Hezbollah
ANDREW BERNARD/JNS/January 10/2023
“How much Iran knew or didn’t know, we don’t know. But it really doesn’t matter,
because Iran sponsors these groups,” Lloyd Austin said. U.S. Secretary of
Defense Lloyd Austin addressed the media on Thursday in his first press
conference following his initially undisclosed medical incapacitation earlier
this month. Alternating between questions about his personal health and the
widening crisis in the Middle East, Austin apologized for failing to properly
inform U.S. President Joe Biden, his colleagues at the Pentagon and the American
people of his hospitalization following surgery for prostate cancer in December.
“I did not handle this right. I should have told the president about my cancer
diagnosis. I should have also told my team and the American public, and I take
full responsibility,” he said. “I apologize to my teammates and to the American
people.”Austin underwent minor surgery in December that required anesthesia and
a one-night stay in the hospital. On Jan. 1, he was readmitted to Walter Reed
National Military Medical Center with an infection and was transferred to the
intensive care unit the following day. Biden first learned the secretary
was incapacitated on Jan. 4 and Congress and the Pentagon press corps first
learned about it the following day. His doctors have called his prognosis
“excellent.” While Austin said that there were “no gaps” in command authorities
as he had handed over responsibility to his deputy, Republican senators have
described the situation as a “chain of command crisis” that left Biden unaware
of the health or location of the second-in-command of the world’s largest
military. Austin stated that he would continue to answer questions from
Congress and added that new procedures were being implemented to ensure that the
deputy secretary of defense and the White House would be informed immediately if
the secretary needed to hand over his command in the future.
‘These kinds of things don’t happen’
Austin addressed Israel’s war against the Hamas terror organization in the Gaza
Strip, as well as the efforts of the United States and Israel to prevent a wider
regional war as Iranian proxy forces continue to strike U.S. forces and
international shipping in the Red Sea.
“We don’t see an all-out conflict between Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah. I think
managing that has been artfully done,” Austin said. “We remain in contact with
our Israeli counterparts to make sure that that doesn’t blossom into a war on
another front.”
“We don’t see Israel engaged in a conflict with other countries in the region,”
he added. Austin said the United States is “not at war with Iran,” but that
Iranian proxies continue to carry out strikes like the attack on a U.S. outpost
in Jordan that killed three American soldiers on Sunday. He attributed the
latter to the Iran-led “axis of resistance” forces. “How much Iran knew or
didn’t know, we don’t know. But it really doesn’t matter because Iran sponsors
these groups, it funds these groups, and in some cases, it trains these groups
on advanced conventional weapons,” he said. “Without that facilitation, these
kinds of things don’t happen.”Asked about mounting Palestinian civilian
casualties, Austin said that Israel needs to carry out a more “focused” phase of
military operations in Gaza. “We are starting to see the Israelis shift their
stance and change their approach to a more focused and controlled—controlled is
probably not the right word—but a more focused effort, focused on a discrete set
of objectives,” said the defense secretary.
US downgrades travel warning for Lebanon
Naharnet/February 1, 2024
The U.S. State Department has downgraded its travel warning for Lebanon from the
“Do Not Travel” category to the “Reconsider Travel” category. Some parts of the
country -- south Lebanon, the Syrian border and refugee settlements -- however
remained under the “Do Not Travel” category. “U.S. citizens in Lebanon should be
aware of the risks of remaining in the country and review their personal
security plans. U.S. citizens are urged to avoid travel to southern Lebanon, the
Syrian border, and refugee settlements in Lebanon,” the updated advisory said.
“The U.S. Embassy strongly urges U.S. citizens to avoid southern Lebanon; that
is, all parts south of the city of Saida (Sidon) … Cross-border rocket, missile,
and artillery fire continues to impact southern Lebanon on a daily basis and has
caused a significant number of fatalities and injuries,” the advisory adds,
referring to the daily clashes between Israel and Hezbollah. The U.S. State
Department had hiked the travel advisory for Lebanon to “Do Not Travel” -- the
highest level -- on October 17, around 10 days after the eruption of hostilities
between Israel and Hezbollah and amid anti-U.S. protests near the U.S. embassy
in Awkar. Several Western and Arab embassies had issued similar warnings. Since
the outbreak of war between Hamas and Israel on October 7, the Lebanese-Israeli
border has witnessed a daily exchange of fire between Israel's army and
Hezbollah. More than 200 people have been killed in south Lebanon, over 150 of
them belonging to Hezbollah. According to Israeli authorities, 15 Israelis have
been killed in the northern border area, including nine soldiers and six
civilians. The fighting has also displaced tens of thousands of residents on
both sides of the border and Israel has warned that it is ready to use military
force to return its settlers to their homes.
Israel braces for potential war with Lebanon amidst talks
of Gaza truce
LBCI/February 1, 2024
In a time dominated by talks of an imminent truce in the war on Gaza, the
Israeli public and media continue to discuss an extensive war on the northern
borders with Lebanon. The first signs appear with the Israeli Ministry of
Justice warning its employees to prepare for power outages in Israel for several
days in case of a war with Lebanon. The ministry anticipates power cuts
affecting at least 60 percent of the population for a duration ranging from 24
to 48 hours, with repairs potentially taking up to 72 hours. Israelis are deeply
concerned about this possibility. The "Israel Hayom" Military and Defense
Correspondent, Lilach Shoval, says that the first concern in a "power outage
scenario" is the population connected to a ventilator at home, who depend on
oxygen to live. According to Shoval, around 30,000 citizens in Israel use such
devices in their homes. Beyond the electricity issue, the war with Lebanon poses
a threat to the food security of the occupying entity. According to the Israeli
Ministry of Agriculture, the farms in the north, which have been largely
evacuated, produce 40 percent of the fruits in Israel and 70 percent of the egg
needs. Now, these areas have become areas for the Israeli army to gather and are
crowded with tents and tanks, and there is no longer a place for farmers. Today,
Israel is attempting to import more vegetables, but these efforts face
challenges from security incidents in the Red Sea, suspension of flights by
several airlines to Israel, as well as Palestinian missile attacks on several
ports, such as Ashdod, which is close to the Gaza border and is the largest
Israeli port. Amidst all these media and news "mobilizations," there is a
"contradictory" military reality. Yedioth Ahronoth revealed on Wednesday that
the army is reducing its forces on the Lebanon border, replacing them with local
security units to handle security incidents. Which narrative holds the truth?
Have the confrontations in the South reached their end, or has the real war not
yet begun?
UK's Cameron urges calm on Lebanon-Israel border in Beirut
talks
Agence France Presse/February 1, 2024
British foreign minister David Cameron discussed defusing deadly tensions on the
Lebanon-Israel border Thursday in Beirut talks with Lebanese prime minister
Najib Mikati, the premier's office said.Since the outbreak of war between Hamas
and Israel on October 7, the border has seen near-daily exchanges of fire
between Israel and Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, a Hamas ally. Cameron and
Mikati discussed "ways to restore calm in southern Lebanon, as well as the
political and diplomatic solution that is needed," the prime minister's office
said. Cameron is the latest in a succession of Western ministers to visit Beirut
amid concern that the Gaza war could spark a wider conflict involving Iranian
allies around the Middle East. A major focus of their efforts has been to
reinforce the United Nations Security Council resolution that ended a 2006 war
between Israel and Hezbollah.
Resolution 1701 called for all armed personnel to pull back north of the Litani
River, some 30 kilometres (20 miles) from the border, except for Lebanese state
security forces and U.N. peacekeepers. While Hezbollah has not had a visible
military presence in the border area since 2006, the group still holds sway over
large parts of the south, where it has built tunnels and hideouts and launched
missile and drone attacks into Israel.
Mikati discussed with Cameron "ways to implement U.N. Resolution 1701," his
office said. "Lebanon supports a peaceful solution in the region," Mikati said,
adding: "Lebanon supports the implementation of international resolutions to the
letter, especially Resolution 1701."Cameron also met Parliament Speaker Nabih
Berri, as well as army chief Joseph Aoun. Berri also told Cameron that Lebanon
is committed to Resolution 1701 and is awaiting its full implementation. A
Western diplomat told AFP there was an increasing possibility that Israel will
escalate border tensions due to internal political pressure, "but meanwhile,
Hezbollah does not want to start a war". Hezbollah had previously signalled
willingness to endorse a diplomatic solution, but only after Israel ends its war
on Gaza. Western diplomats, including British officials, are pushing for a
solution that would include "fully implementing resolution 1701 and giving new
impetus" to U.N. peacekeeping forces in Lebanon (UNIFIL), said the Western
official. Senior Hezbollah official Nabil Kaouk said on Wednesday that the group
had "intensified" its operations "in response to Israel's escalation," Lebanon's
state-run National News Agency reported. His comments came after Israeli Defence
Minister Yoav Gallant said on Monday that troops would "very soon go into
action" near the Lebanese border. Nearly four months of cross-border fire have
killed over 210 people in Lebanon, most of them Hezbollah fighters but also
including more than 25 civilians, according to an AFP tally. On the Israeli side
of the border, nine soldiers and six civilians have been killed, Israeli
officials have said.
Report: Le Drian to carry new ideas to Beirut
Naharnet/February 1, 2024
French President's Special Envoy to Lebanon Jean-Yves Le Drian will carry new
ideas to Beirut in his upcoming visit in a bid to push the presidential election
file forward, informed diplomatic sources said. “We believe that the date of his
visit is nearing and we are in constant communication with him,” the sources
added, in remarks to al-Joumhouria newspaper published Thursday. Declining to
reveal what the “new ideas” are, the sources said they are aimed at “speeding up
the election of a president in Lebanon.”“Credible” sources meanwhile quoted
senior French officials as saying that Paris is counting on Le Drian’s mission
in Beirut and his possible success in “convincing the political leaders in
Lebanon to engage in a presidential solution.” “It would be naive to suppose
that Le Drian would come to Beirut empty-handed, seeing as it seems that he will
come with a double impetus -- one from the five-nation committee according to a
plan for a swift presidential solution for Lebanon and another from the Elysee,
which will strongly support him given that the presidential file in Lebanon is
at the heart of French President Emmanuel Macron’s priorities and because he is
determined to find a quick and consensual solution for it,” the French officials
said.
Paris may replace Le Drian as Qatari envoy meets Shiite
Duo, Franjieh
Naharnet/February 1, 2024
Paris might send to Lebanon an envoy other than Jean-Yves Le Drian, whose
performance has been “criticized by Arab and Western officials,” a media report
said. Qatari envoy Jassem Al-Thani meanwhile left Beirut after a series of
meetings with Lebanese forces, including Hezbollah, the Amal Movement and Marada
Movement chief Suleiman Franjieh, al-Akhbar newspaper reported on Wednesday. “It
was notable that for the first time, the man did not mention names of candidates
and did not carry any list. He rather focused his remarks on the idea of a third
choice without delving into other details,” the daily added.
Report: Hochstein resumes talks on post-war arrangements
Naharnet/February 1, 2024
U.S. mediator Amos Hochstein has held behind-the-scenes talks with Deputy
Speaker Elias Bou Saab, who is the official Lebanese “channel” for talks
regarding the situation in the south, informed sources said. Hochstein is
seeking to devise a Lebanon-Israel settlement that would follow the cessation of
hostilities in Gaza and that would put an end to the daily clashes between
Israel and Hezbollah on the Lebanese-Israeli border, the sources told ad-Diyar
newspaper in remarks published Thursday. Hochstein had said Sunday that he “will
likely head back soon” to Lebanon and Israel as part of the efforts to prevent a
bigger conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. “But I think we, this is something
we do every day, not just when we're in the region. We do this also when we're
here,” Hochstein added, in an interview on CBS News.
Asked whether the Israeli government has set an “end-of-January” deadline for
Hezbollah to pull back from Lebanon’s border with Israel, Hochstein said: “Well,
I don't know about hard deadlines, but the window for diplomacy is definitely
there. And that is what (U.S.) President (Joe) Biden has said: we have to try to
solve this diplomatically.”He added: “I don't deny that the status quo of where
we are now can't last forever. And that is why we need to make sure that we can
get to diplomatic resolution.” “What we need to do now is to get to two things:
one is the cessation of hostilities across both sides, so that people over
almost 100,000 people on each side and Lebanon and Israel are refugees in their
own countries, because they can't live in southern Lebanon or in northern
Israel,” Hochstein said. He added: “We also have to make sure that Israelis and
Lebanese can live in their homes with security. And that is not just a
ceasefire, it requires a more intricate piece of the negotiations to ensure that
the Lebanese army is in that area, that there is more parameters of security for
civilians.”“Once we do that, though, we do need to start looking at how do we
mark the border, an actual border, between the two countries so that we can have
long term security and long term peace in an area that's seen so many rounds of
conflict over the last several years,” Hochstein went on to say. Since the
outbreak of war between Hamas and Israel on October 7, the Lebanese-Israeli
border has witnessed a daily exchange of fire between Israel's army and
Hezbollah. More than 200 people have been killed in south Lebanon, over 150 of
them belonging to Hezbollah. According to Israeli authorities, 15 Israelis have
been killed in the northern border area, including nine soldiers and six
civilians. The fighting has also displaced tens of thousands of residents on
both sides of the border and Israel has warned that it is ready to use military
force to return its settlers to their homes.
Israel braces for potential war with Lebanon amidst talks
of Gaza truce
LBCI/February 1, 2024
In a time dominated by talks of an imminent truce in the war on Gaza, the
Israeli public and media continue to discuss an extensive war on the northern
borders with Lebanon. The first signs appear with the Israeli Ministry of
Justice warning its employees to prepare for power outages in Israel for several
days in case of a war with Lebanon. The ministry anticipates power cuts
affecting at least 60 percent of the population for a duration ranging from 24
to 48 hours, with repairs potentially taking up to 72 hours. Israelis are
deeply concerned about this possibility. The "Israel Hayom" Military and Defense
Correspondent, Lilach Shoval, says that the first concern in a "power outage
scenario" is the population connected to a ventilator at home, who depend on
oxygen to live. According to Shoval, around 30,000 citizens in Israel use such
devices in their homes. Beyond the electricity issue, the war with Lebanon poses
a threat to the food security of the occupying entity. According to the Israeli
Ministry of Agriculture, the farms in the north, which have been largely
evacuated, produce 40 percent of the fruits in Israel and 70 percent of the egg
needs. Now, these areas have become areas for the Israeli army to gather and are
crowded with tents and tanks, and there is no longer a place for farmers. Today,
Israel is attempting to import more vegetables, but these efforts face
challenges from security incidents in the Red Sea, suspension of flights by
several airlines to Israel, as well as Palestinian missile attacks on several
ports, such as Ashdod, which is close to the Gaza border and is the largest
Israeli port. Amidst all these media and news "mobilizations," there is a
"contradictory" military reality. Yedioth Ahronoth revealed on Wednesday that
the army is reducing its forces on the Lebanon border, replacing them with local
security units to handle security incidents. Which narrative holds the truth?
Have the confrontations in the South reached their end, or has the real war not
yet begun?
512 houses damaged in north Israel as Hezbollah attacks
continue
Naharnet/February 1, 2024
Israeli artillery shelled Thursday several border towns in southern Lebanon as
Hezbollah targeted an Israeli post in the occupied Shebaa farms. Hezbollah said
it has attacked surveillance equipment in the Radar post, while Israel shelled
Yarine, al-Jebbayn, Em el-Tout, and the outskirts of al-Hebbariye. An Israeli
drone had struck overnight an ambulance for the Amal Movement-affiliated Islamic
Risala Scout Association in the border town of Blida, causing damage to the
vehicle but no casualties. "The paramedics miraculously escaped with no
injuries," the Islamic Risala Scout Association said in a statement. A Hezbollah
fighter was also killed overnight in an Israeli strike on a house in Beit Lif.
More than 200 people, mostly Hezbollah fighters but also more than 20 civilians,
have been killed on Lebanon's side, and 18 on Israel's. Tens of thousands have
been displaced on both sides. Israeli media said Thursday that 512 houses in
northern Israel have been damaged by Hezbollah fire. Some of these houses - in
Metula, Kiryat Shmona, Manara, Melkia, Avivim, Zar'it, Shtula, Hanita and Shlomi
- have been completely destructed, the report said. Israeli soldiers usually
gather inside these houses as residents have been evacuated. Israel has
evacuated 60,000 residents from towns nearest the border, where there's no
warning time for rocket launches because of the proximity of Hezbollah squads.
In many statements, Hezbollah said it has targeted groups of soldiers gathered
inside a house, inflicting casualties. In Lebanon, some have criticized
Hezbollah for exposing the crisis-hit country to a potentially devastating war.
Others support the group's limited entry into the conflict and believe
Hezbollah's arsenal will deter Israel from escalating.
Report: KSA, US disagree with Qatar over Bayssari's nomination
Naharnet/February 1, 2024
There is a deep disagreement between Saudi Arabia and the U.S. on one side and
Qatar on the other side over Doha’s continued support for General Security
acting chief Elias Bayssari’s presidential nomination, a media report said.
“During his presence in Beirut, Qatari envoy Abou Fahad re-proposed the third
(presidential) choice as a middle-ground solution, voicing support for the
nomination of Bayssari, whose candidacy is serious contrary to what many think,”
informed sources told ad-Diyar newspaper in remarks published Thursday. “It is
clear that Qatar is distancing itself from the five-nation group for Lebanon by
promoting Bayssari, whereas Saudi Arabia and the U.S. are still tacitly
supporting the election of Army Commander Joseph Aoun,” the daily quoted
“credible” sources as saying.
US sanctions 3 companies in Lebanon and Turkey for 'funding
Iran, Hezbollah'
Associated Press/February 1, 2024
The U.S. has slapped sanctions on three companies and one person in Lebanon and
Turkey, accusing them of funneling funds to Iran's Revolutionary Guard and
Hezbollah. The U.S. Treasury announced sanctions on Turkish company Mira Ihracat
Ithalat Petrol (Mira), which it said "purchases, transports, and sells Iranian
commodities on the global market;" on its chief executive, Ibrahim Talal al-Uwayr;
and on Lebanon-based Yara Offshore SAL and Hydro Company for Drilling Equipment
Rental, both of which it said have sold large quantities of Iranian goods to
Syria. The sanctioned companies "generated hundreds of millions of dollars'
worth of revenue from selling Iranian commodities, including to the Syrian
government," the U.S. Treasury said in a statement. The move comes as the region
is waiting for Washington's response to a strike, likely launched by one of the
region's Iranian-back militias, that killed three U.S. troops Sunday at a base
in Jordan near the Syrian border.
Beyond the 10% tax: Companies grapple with interpretation amid budget
controversy
LBCI/February 1, 2024
The ten percent tax imposed in the budget on companies importing petroleum
derivatives remains a subject of debate between these companies, as well as how
to interpret the text of the article. The draft text of the article discusses a
tax on revenues, while the intention is a tax on exceptional profits that these
companies may have achieved due to subsidies, considering that imposing a tax on
revenues would lead to the bankruptcy of these companies. In this context, MP
Marwan Hamadeh's statement called for the necessity of separating the text of
the article from its interpretation in the file of corporate profit tax during
the "subsidy period." The controversy is not limited to this new tax but extends
to the corporate income tax, amounting to 17 percent. During the "subsidy
period," companies used to sell goods in "fresh dollars" and pay this tax based
on LBP 1,500 per US dollar initially, then at LBP 3,900. These companies
benefited from the US dollar exchange rate difference to achieve more profits.
UNRWA funding cut: Sheikh Kaouk condemns US and Western
complicity in Palestinian suffering
LBCI/February 1, 2024
Sheikh Nabil Kaouk, a Hezbollah's Central Council member, emphasized that as
yesterday, today, and tomorrow, the decisive statement for the resistance is on
the field, and threats do not change the equations. Sheikh Kaouk affirmed during
an honorary celebration that the resistance in the region, with its integration
and collaboration, is approaching the achievement of a historic and strategic
victory, establishing new equations and tightening the noose on the Israeli
enemy. He considered that "the decision to cut funding for UNRWA means US and
Western participation in famine, genocide, and the crime of the humanitarian era
against the Palestinian people." "It signifies a siege upon a siege, and the
goal is for US and Western countries to break the will of the Palestinian
people, who have stood heroically against hunger and the war of extermination,"
he continued.
Mikati Emphasizes Commitment to UN Resolutions and
Diplomatic Solutions
LBCI/February 1, 2024
Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati reiterated on Thursday, "Lebanon's
commitment to the decisions of the United Nations, including Resolution 1701,
which calls for a ceasefire and the deployment of the army in southern
Lebanon."He also reaffirmed "the commitment to respect and implement UN
resolutions for long-term stability in the region." During a Zoom dialogue with
the "American Task Force for Lebanon" chaired by Mr. Edward Gabriel, Mikati
stated, "UN Resolution 1701 called for a cessation of hostilities between
Hezbollah and Israel and the deployment of the Lebanese Armed Forces in southern
Lebanon. However, Israel did not respect the resolution, and we recorded 35,000
Israeli violations, including violations of Lebanese airspace, land, and sea
sovereignty." He added, "The Lebanese government is working with the United
Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) to maintain stability in the region
and prevent any further escalation of tensions. All parties involved must
respect the rules of engagement and international law to prevent further
conflict."
He emphasized, "Dialogue and diplomacy are the keys to resolving any disputes or
tensions in the region, and the Lebanese government is committed to working
towards a diplomatic solution. However, an immediate ceasefire in Gaza is
necessary for diplomacy to prevail over violence and war."
In response to a question, he said, "The presidential vacuum in Lebanon has
already posed significant challenges during these difficult times. The absence
of the president has led to a constitutional governance vacuum."The "Group of
Five" is working to resolve the presidential vacuum, communicating with various
parties and political factions to reach a consensus on the presidency file.
However, political divisions and external factors have hindered these efforts,
making it difficult to reach a solution. He called on "all MPs to responsibly
act in Lebanon's interest and work diligently to elect a president." Regarding
the talks he held with US Special Envoy Amos Hochstein in Beirut some time ago,
he said, "Hochstein made it clear that a diplomatic solution allowing the people
of the south to return to their cities and villages, as well as the residents of
northern Israel, is required. We hope to continue working on this effort to
reach a solution allowing everyone to live safely and return to their
homeland."He added, "I highly appreciate the Biden administration's commitment
to avoiding the extension of the conflict between Israel and Hamas to Lebanon,
and I am grateful for the ongoing efforts of the United States in addressing the
crisis." He reiterated his proposal, which firstly calls for a long-term
ceasefire in Gaza to secure humanitarian aid for the besieged residents,
allowing for the resumption of mediation for the exchange of hostages and
prisoners. The proposal also stipulates reconvening tripartite meetings under
the auspices of the United Nations to resolve the controversial points on the
Blue Line between Lebanon and Israel through the implementation of all United
Nations treaties and resolutions, starting with the Armistice Agreement in 1949
and ending with the implementation of Security Council Resolution No. 1701. The
proposal also calls for launching an international initiative for a just and
permanent resolution to the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict for 75 years,
based on the two-state solution initiative to ensure fair and equitable rights
for Palestinians and sustainable security for all.
Lebanese Army Commander meets British Foreign Secretary
NNA/February 1, 2024
Lebanese Army Commander, General Joseph Aoun, on Thursday welcomed British
Foreign Secretary, David Cameron, alongside Minister of State for the Middle
East and North Africa, Baron Ahmad of Wimbledon, Tariq Ahmad, in his office at
the Yarzeh headquarters. The meeting was also attended by British Ambassador to
Lebanon Hamish Cowell. Discussions centered on the general situation in Lebanon
and the region, with a specific focus on developments along the southern
borders. The visiting delegation expressed their country's unwavering support
for the Lebanese Army during the exceptional circumstances facing Lebanon.
Bou Habib: Lebanon desires complete peace, not partial solutions
NNA/February 1, 2024
Caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants, Abdallah Bou Habib, on
Thursday declared Lebanon's stance against partial solutions in southern
Lebanon. During a conversation with journalists, Bou Habib emphasized that the
Israeli project aims for Hezbollah's withdrawal from the north to enable
settlers' return “a proposition Lebanon rejects.”Bou Habib then asserted
Lebanon's pursuit of a comprehensive solution, delineating borders based on the
1923 demarcation affirmed in the ceasefire agreement. "We seek the restoration
of Shebaa Farms and Kfarshuba Hills, which are Lebanese territories, and demand
Israel cease its aerial, maritime, and land violations," Bou Habib stated.The
Foreign Minister then expressed readiness for indirect negotiations but insisted
on refraining from signing any agreements before the presidential election. He
highlighted the potential for negotiation akin to the maritime delineation
agreement, advocating for boundary clarity, a request reiterated during
discussions with the United Nations Secretary-General and thirteen other foreign
ministers in New York. "Lebanon desires complete peace, not partial solutions,"
he emphasized, referencing discussions with US officials, as well as the
ambassadors of France and the US in Lebanon. Furthermore, Bou Habib discussed
the matter with Hungary's Foreign Minister, stressing Hungary's interest in
maintaining Lebanon's diversity and requesting support for the implementation of
UN Resolution 1701. Responding to inquiries regarding the involvement of Hungary
in conflict resolution efforts, Bou Habib acknowledged the challenges posed by
Israel's friendships with several European nations but emphasized leveraging
good relations, such as with Germany, to achieve Lebanon's objectives. Regarding
the United Nations' role in implementing Resolution 1701, Bou Habib reiterated
Lebanon's demands for border clarity, Israel's withdrawal to delineated borders,
and the cessation of all violations. On the topic of negotiations, Bou Habib
indicated a willingness to commence negotiations even without a president in
place. However, he stressed Lebanon's consensus on border delineation,
withdrawal from Shebaa Farms and Kfarshuba, and halting violations. Regarding
the potential return of the US envoy, Bou Habib suggested significance in his
return, which might hint at undisclosed developments. In response to claims of
Hezbollah's exclusive control over indirect negotiations, Dr. Bou Habib affirmed
ongoing dialogue between the Lebanese government and Hezbollah, with Hezbollah
acknowledging the state's responsibility for negotiations.
Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published
on February 01-02/2024
Houthi Red Sea attacks: Group claims to have hit US
container ship
Patrick Jackson - BBC News/February 1, 2024
The Houthi movement in Yemen says it has struck a US merchant ship it named as
KOI in the Red Sea in a fresh attack targeting commercial shipping. But two
maritime sources told BBC Verify that the Houthi claim was fake. US and UK
authorities are yet to say whether an attack took place. Security firm Ambrey
said a ship located south of Yemen reported a blast on its starboard but did not
name it. Meanwhile, the US launched new air strikes in Yemen. Ten drones
reportedly being set up to launch were targeted in the strike.
According to Reuters news agency, the KOI is a Liberian-flagged container ship
operated by UK-based Oceonix Services. The same company's fleet includes the oil
tanker Marlin Luanda, which was damaged by a missile on Saturday. The Houthis
regard all Israeli, US and British ships as legitimate targets following
Israel's war on Hamas in Gaza, and US and British targeting of Houthi missile
positions in what the two countries say are efforts to protect commerce. Houthi
military spokesperson Yahya Sarea said on Wednesday that the movement's armed
forces had targeted an American merchant ship named KOI with "several
appropriate naval missiles". The ship, he said, had been heading to "the ports
of occupied Palestine", a phrase which is sometimes used to mean Israel. However
industry publication Trade Winds said that the claim was "fake" and that in fact
a sick crew member had been taken off the ship in a medical evacuation. Two
maritime security sources supported this assessment. There has also been no word
from UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), which normally sends alerts when such
attacks are carried out. But Mr Sarea reiterated that the Houthis would "not
hesitate" to retaliate against "British-American escalation". "All American and
British ships in the Red and Arabian Seas are legitimate targets for the Yemeni
Armed Forces as long as the American-British aggression against our country
continues," the Houthi spokesman said.
Troubled Waters: War in the Red Sea? Frank Gardner explains who the Houthis are
and what they want. US Central Command said the 10 drones being prepared for
launch in Yemen had posed a threat to merchant vessels and US warships in the
region. All 10 were destroyed along with a Houthi drone ground control station,
it said. The US added that one of its warships had shot down three Iranian
drones and a Houthi anti-ship ballistic missile in the Gulf of Aden. Houthi
attacks on shipping in the Red Sea have slowed down international trade, raising
fears of supply bottlenecks. On 7 October, hundreds of Palestinian gunmen from
Gaza infiltrated southern Israel, where they killed around 1,300 people - mostly
civilians - and took 250 others hostage. Israel responded by launching a
military campaign in Gaza, during which more than 26,900 people - most of them
women and children - have been killed, according to the health ministry there
which is controlled by the Hamas group.
Houthi leader: The US sought China's assistance to halt
operations in Red Sea
Reuters/February 1, 2024
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, the leader of the Yemeni Houthi group, said on Thursday
that Washington's attempt to seek assistance from China to mediate in order to
stop Houthi targeting of ships affiliated with Israel in the Red Sea indicates
that the United States and Britain have failed in their mission.
Missile reportedly fired from Houthi-controlled Yemen explodes near ship in Red
Sea
SAEED AL-BATATI/Arab News/February 01, 2024
AL-MUKALLA: A missile reportedly launched from a Houthi-controlled military base
in Yemen on Thursday is thought to have exploded close to a ship in the Red Sea.
The UK Maritime Trade Operations agency was alerted to the offshore blast 57
nautical miles (106 km) west of Hodeidah. Eyewitnesses in Yemen’s Ibb province,
which is controlled by the militant group, claimed the missile had been fired
from the Al-Hamza military facility in Al-Sabrah region on Thursday afternoon.
An alert sent to the UKMTO described “an explosion a distance off the vessel’s
starboard side. Vessel and crew are safe.”On Jan. 26, the Houthis launched a
missile from the same location, but it missed its target and detonated near the
launch site.
Meanwhile, on Wednesday, the Houthis detained four civilians in Ibb’s Al-Maitam
on suspicion of photographing their operatives prepping rockets to fire. On
Thursday morning, the US military launched strikes on Houthi-controlled
territory in Yemen, targeting 10 drones about to be fired at ships.
The US Central Command reported that its forces had destroyed a “Houthi UAV
(unmanned aerial vehicle) ground control station and 10 Houthi one-way UAVs”
that were deemed a threat to commercial vessels and US Navy ships in the area.
In a statement, CENTCOM said: “US forces subsequently struck and destroyed the
UAV ground control station and 10 one-way attack UAVs in self-defense.” And
three drones and a ballistic missile fired by the Houthis from Yemeni areas
under their control were intercepted by the USS Carney on Wednesday evening. The
Houthis said recent US strikes had hit Al-Jabanah in Hodeidah’s west and Saada,
the militia’s heartland in the north. Over the past three months, the Houthis
have seized a commercial ship and fired dozens of missiles and drones at
commercial and navy vessels in the Red Sea, Bab El-Mandeb (the strait that
connects the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden), and the Gulf of Aden in an attempt
to prevent Israel-linked ships from using maritime shipping lanes off Yemen and
pressure Israel into lifting its siege of Gaza. Houthi leader Abdul Malik Al-Houthi
said that 165,429 Yemenis who had graduated from military training courses in
the last two months would be sent to fight against Israel in Palestine. He also
pledged to continue assaults on commercial and naval ships operating off Yemeni
shores. In a broadcasted speech, he claimed that American officials had sought
help from China in trying to urge his group to stop its Red Sea attacks. Al-Houthi
said: “One indication of America’s failure is its effort to seek aid from China
to mediate and persuade us to suspend our actions in favor of the Palestinian
people. “The American and British attacks are ineffective and will not diminish
our military capability.” Yemen’s Foreign Minister Ahmed Awad bin Mubarak on
Thursday called on the EU to designate the Houthis as a terrorist organization.
During a meeting with members of the EU Political and Security Committee in
Brussels, he noted the Iran-backed group’s derailment of UN-brokered peace
efforts in Yemen, and crimes against Yemenis.
The minister reportedly encouraged the EU to form a “complete” collaboration
with the Yemeni government to assist in the restoration of peace and stability
in the war-torn country.
Gunmen take hostages at US company's Turkish factory in apparent protest of Gaza
war
ISTANBUL (AP)/February 1, 2024
Two gunmen took seven hostages at a factory owned by U.S. company Procter &
Gamble in northwest Turkey on Thursday, according to media reports, apparently
in protest of the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza. Turkish media published an image of
one of the purported suspects inside the factory, a man wearing what appeared to
be a rudimentary explosives belt and holding a handgun. Private news agency DHA
said the suspects entered the main building of the facility in Gebze in the
province of Kocaeli, at around 3 p.m. local time (1200 GMT) and took seven
members of the staff hostage.
It claimed the suspects’ actions were to highlight the loss of life in the
Palestinian enclave. Some 27,000 have been killed in Israel’s military operation
since Oct. 7, according to the Hamas-controlled Health Ministry. Ismet Zihni
said his wife Suheyla was among the hostages. Speaking from near the factory, he
told DHA that he had called her. “She answered ‘We’ve been taken hostage, we’re
fine’ and she hung up,” he said. Police sealed off surrounding roads at the
factory and were said to be trying to negotiate with the hostage-takers. P&G’s
head office in Cincinnati confirmed an ongoing incident. A spokesperson said:
“The safety of P&G people and our partners is our top priority. Earlier today,
we evacuated our Gebze facility and are working with local authorities to
resolve an urgent security situation.”P&G Turkey employs 700 people at three
sites in Istanbul and Kocaeli, according to the company’s website. It produces
cleaning and hygiene brands such as Ariel washing powder and Oral B toothpaste.
Public feeling against Israel and its main ally the U.S. has risen in Turkey
since the conflict began, with regular protests in support of the Palestinian
people in major cities and calls for an immediate cease-fire.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been particularly outspoken,
referring to Israeli “war crimes” and comparing Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu to Nazi leader Adolf Hitler. The U.S. Embassy in Ankara issued a
warning in November about demonstrations “critical of U.S. foreign policy” and
calls for boycotts of U.S. businesses. The advice followed protests and attacks
on outlets such as McDonald’s and Starbucks over the conflict in Gaza. The
photograph of the suspect carried in the Turkish media shows him with a
black-and-white Arabic headscarf covering his face. He is standing next to a
graffitied wall showing the Turkish and Palestinian flags with the slogan “The
gates will open. Either musalla or death for Gaza.” A musalla is an open prayer
area for Muslims, usually used for funeral rites. DHA also published a
photograph of some of the hostages celebrating a birthday. It reported that the
staff had brought a cake into work for one of their colleagues and the
hostage-takers allowed them to celebrate.
US hints large response to Iran-backed militias is imminent as Houthi rebels
target another ship
JERUSALEM (AP)/February 1, 2024
Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said Thursday it's time to further disable
Iran-backed militias that have struck at U.S. forces and ships in the Middle
East and the U.S. is preparing to take significant action in response to the
deaths of three U.S. service members in Jordan. For days the U.S. has hinted
strikes are imminent. While the threat of retaliation for Sunday's deaths has
driven some militant groups to say they were stopping hostilities, as late as
Thursday Yemen’s Houthi rebels were still attacking vessels and fired a
ballistic missile at a Liberian-flagged container ship in the Red Sea.
“At this point, it’s time to take away even more capability than we’ve taken in
the past,” Austin said Thursday in his first press conference since he was
hospitalized on Jan. 1 due to complications from prostate cancer treatment.
Previous U.S. strikes have not deterred the attacks. Since the war between
Israel and Hamas broke out in October, Iranian-backed militant groups have
struck U.S. bases in Iraq and Syria at least 166 times with rockets, missiles
and one-way attack drones, drawing about a half-dozen U.S. counterstrikes on
militant facilities in both countries. The U.S. military also has carried out
airstrikes targeting the Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen. The U.S. has
attributed the attack on Tower 22 in Jordan to the Islamic Resistance in Iraq,
an umbrella group of Iran-backed militias that includes the militant group
Kataib Hezbollah. While Iran has denied involvement, Austin said Thursday that
“how much Iran knew or didn’t know, we don’t know. But it really doesn’t matter
because Iran sponsors these groups.”Austin said “without that facilitation,
these kinds of things don’t happen.” He said the Pentagon is still looking at
the forensics of the drone that struck Tower 22, a secretive base in
northeastern Jordan that’s been crucial to the American presence in neighboring
Syria. “I don’t think the adversaries are of a ‘one and done’ mindset. And so
they have a lot of capability. I have a lot more,” Austin said. "We’re going to
do what’s necessary to protect our troops."In the Red Sea, the Houthis have
fired on commercial and military ships almost 40 times since November. In the
latest attack, they fired a ballistic missile at a Liberian-flagged container
ship on Thursday, U.S. defense officials said.
The attack happened west of Hodeida, a port city in Yemen long held by the
rebels, said the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations, a British military
group overseeing Mideast waterways. It said the crew and the vessel were safe
and the blast came far off the vessel's starboard side. The U.S. defense
officials identified the targeted container ship as the Koi, a Bermuda-owned
vessel. Its management could not be immediately reached for comment. The
officials spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence matters. The
Houthis did not claim responsibility for the assault. The Houthis say they are
targeting ships over Israel’s offensive in Gaza against Hamas. But they have
frequently targeted vessels with tenuous or no clear links to Israel, imperiling
shipping in a key route for global trade between Asia, the Mideast and Europe.
The Houthis hit a commercial vessel with a missile on Jan. 26, sparking a fire
that burned for hours. The Pentagon has the aircraft carrier Dwight D.
Eisenhower in the region, along with at least a half dozen other major U.S.
warships, U.S. Air Force fighter jets and radar aircraft. It has already been
regularly using those assets to conduct strikes and defend ships. Late
Wednesday, American F/A-18 fighter jets struck and destroyed 10 Houthi drones
that were prepared to launch, as well as a ground control station used by the
rebels, the U.S. military said. The U.S. also intercepted a ballistic missile
and other drones already in the air during the day.
Iran pulls top Guard officers out of Syria over deadly
Israeli strikes
ARAB NEWS/February 01, 2024
JEDDAH: Iran has pulled senior officers from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard
Corps out of Syria amid a series of Israeli airstrikes that have killed at least
six military “advisers” since December. One attack on Jan. 20 killed five
Guards, including a general who ran intelligence for the Quds Force, which is
responsible for overseas operations. The strike flattened a building in
Damascus. Another strike outside Damascus on Dec. 25, killed a senior Guards
adviser responsible for coordinating between Syria and Iran. Supreme Leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei led prayers at his funeral. A senior regional security
official briefed by Tehran said top Iranian commanders had left Syria along with
dozens of mid-ranking officers, and described it as a downsizing of the
presence. Another source, a regional official close to Iran, said those still in
Syria had left their offices and were staying out of sight. “The Iranians won’t
abandon Syria but they reduced their presence and movements to the greatest
extent.”
BACKGROUND
One attack on Jan. 20 killed five Guards, including a general who ran
intelligence for the Quds Force. Guards chiefs are thought to have raised
concerns with Syrian authorities that information leaks from the Syrian security
services had played a part in the lethal Israeli attacks. The precision of the
strikes had prompted the Guards to move operational sites and officers’
residences, amid concerns of an intelligence breach. Iranian assets in Syria and
Iraq also face retaliation from the US after three American soldiers were killed
in a drone strike last week on a military base in northern Jordan. The US has
blamed the attack on Kata’ib Hezbollah, a pro-Iranian militia in Iraq. US media
reported on Thursday that the White House had approved plans for strikes over
several days on Iraqi and Syrian targets including “Iranian personnel and
facilities.”
CBS: The US approves strikes on Iranian targets in Iraq
and Syria
Reuters/February 01, 2024
CBS News reported on Thursday, citing US officials, that Washington has approved
plans to carry out attacks over several days in Iraq and Syria, targeting
various objectives, including Iranian military personnel and facilities.
Iran begins building 4 more nuclear power plants
AP/February 01, 2024
TEHRAN: Iran began construction on four more nuclear power plants in the
country’s south, with expected total capacity of 5,000 megawatts, the official
IRNA news agency reported Thursday. Iran seeks to produce 20,000 megawatts of
nuclear energy by 2041.
The country has one active nuclear power plant, a 1,000 megawatt plant that went
online with help from Russia in 2011. It’s also building a 300-megawatt plant in
oil-rich Khuzestan province, near the western border with Iraq. The UN’s nuclear
watchdog said last year that Iran has increased the rate at which it is
producing near-weapons grade uranium. Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi
said in the report that Iran “in recent weeks had increased its production of
highly enriched uranium, reversing a previous output reduction from mid-2023,”
according to an IAEA spokesperson. Iran had previously slowed the rate at which
it was enriching uranium to 60 percent purity, which is just a short technical
step away from the weapons-grade level of 90 percent. The West has long
suspected that Iran is acquiring nuclear weapons. Iran denies it is seeking such
weapons. IRNA quoted Mohammad Eslami, the head of Iran’s atomic agency, saying
it will take up to nine years to complete the new plants. The report said the
four new plants are being built in the port town of Sirik on Iran’s east coast,
some 1,150 kilometers (715 miles) south of the capital, Tehran. Nasser Shariflou,
the head of the project, told IRNA that the project will cost some $20 billion
and will create 4,000 jobs. Each plant is expected to use 35 tons of nuclear
fuel per year.
Biden sanctions four Israeli settlers who attacked
Palestinians in the West Bank
AP/February 01, 2024
WASHINGTON: President Joe Biden on Thursday issued an executive order that
targets Israeli settlers in the West Bank who have been attacking Palestinians
in the occupied territory, imposing financial sanctions and visa bans in an
initial round against four individuals. Those settlers were involved in acts of
violence, as well as threats and attempts to destroy or seize Palestinian
property, according to the order. The penalties aim to block the four from using
the US financial system and bar American citizens from dealing with them. US
officials said they were evaluating whether to punish others involved in attacks
that have intensified during the Israel-Hamas war. Palestinian authorities say
some Palestinians have been killed, and rights groups say settlers have torched
cars and attacked several small Bedouin communities, forcing evacuations. Biden
is facing growing criticism for his administration’s strong support of Israel as
casualties mount in the conflict, which began when Hamas, the militant group
that rules Gaza, attacked Israel on Oct. 7. His order is a rare step against
America’s closest ally in the Mideast who, Biden says, has the right to defend
itself. But the Democratic president has pressed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu’s government to show greater restraint in its military operations
aimed at rooting out Hamas. Biden has spoken out against retaliatory attacks by
Israeli settlers and pledged that those responsible for the violence will be
held accountable. He said in late October that the violence by “extremist
settlers” amounted to “pouring gasoline” on the already burning fires in the
Middle East. “It has to stop. They have to be held accountable. It has to stop
now,” Biden said.
Israel Defense Forces stepped up raids across the West Bank after the war began.
Hamas militants are present in the West Bank, but largely operate underground
because of Israel’s tight grip on the territory. Palestinians have accused the
Israeli military of not preventing attacks by settlers or, at times, of even
protecting those settlers. White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan
met on Wednesday at the White House with Ron Dermer, Israel’s minister of
strategic affairs. US officials said the Israeli government was notified in
advance of the sanctions.
The order will give the Treasury Department the authority to impose financial
sanctions on settlers engaged in violence, but is not meant to target US
citizens. A substantial number of the settlers in the West Bank hold US
citizenship, and they would be prohibited under US law from transacting with the
sanctioned individuals. US lawmakers have zeroed in on the role of Americans or
dual citizens in the settler violence and intimidation. In a letter last month,
Sen. Ben Cardin, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, asked the
White House to take action against any US citizens involved in attacks against
Palestinians. He said that could include criminal charges and financial
sanctions. “There’s got to be a strong message against the extreme activities
taken by some settlers on the West Bank, jeopardizing the lives of Palestinians
as well as the peace in the region,” Cardin, D-Md., told reporters Thursday.
Biden’s order was first reported by Politico. Officials said there are no plans
to penalize far-right Israeli ministers who have defended the violence by
Israeli settlers and have called for the expansion of settlements.
The new executive order comes as Biden was set to visit Michigan on Thursday to
rally support from union members in a key presidential battleground state. The
Democratic president has faced sharp criticism from Arab and Muslim leaders over
his handling of the war with Hamas, and the shadow of the conflict has some
Democrats worrying that it could have a major effect on the outcome in the
November election. The president’s campaign team has already seen alarming signs
of the growing rift with Michigan’s Arab American community.
Last week, the president’s campaign manager, Julie Chavez Rodriguez traveled to
suburban Detroit and found a number of community leaders unwilling to meet with
her. Some frustrated by Biden’s Israel policy are working to discourage voters
from supporting the president in the general election. The State Department
announced in December it would impose travel bans on extremist Jewish settlers
implicated in a rash of recent attacks on Palestinians in the occupied West
Bank.The department did not announce individual visa bans. But officials said at
the time the bans would cover “dozens” of settlers and their families, with more
to come if the violence continued.
Israel defense minister declares victory in Gaza's Khan
Younis
Ehren Wynder/United Press International/February 1, 2024
Feb. 1 (UPI) -- Israel's defense minister said Thursday that ground forces have
officially routed Hamas from Gaza's Khan Younis. Defense Minister Yoav Gallant
said the victory comes as Israel Defense Forces have killed 10,000 Hamas
fighters and wounded another 10,000. Earlier in the day, Gallant told ground
troops that their actions "(bring) the return of the hostages closer, because
Hamas only understands power."Gallant's statement came days after IDF
predictions that Hamas' hold on Khan Younis would be broken within a few weeks.
The IDF has not yet announced full operational control of Khan Younis. The
military just days ago said it was on the verge of dismantling the final Hamas
battalion in the western section of the city but suggested the process could
take weeks. Gallant's announcement would suggest the IDF has reduced Hamas'
forces by 56-75%, presuming Hamas' pre-war forces were between 30,000 and
40,000. The IDF said it has achieved significant victories in Khan Younis by
limiting Hamas' ability to operate discreetly in the area. Israel's 55th Reserve
Brigade concluded its mission in the area Thursday by destroying approximately
70 shafts used by Hamas for covert operations and disabling two Hamas missile
launch sites. Sniper teams also dispatched several Hamas squads, according to
the IDF. Gallant also vowed to drive Hamas out of Rafah, which is divided by the
Gaza-Egypt border. The IDF has avoided using ground troops in the area for fear
of stoking armed conflict with Egypt.
"Hamas's Khan Younis Brigade boasted that it would stand against the IDF, it is
dismantled, and I am telling you here, we are completing the mission in Khan
Younis, and we will also reach Rafah and eliminate everyone there who is a
terrorist who is trying to harm us," the defense minister said to members of the
IDF's 98th Division.
What is the cause of embattled Gaza’s humanitarian aid
imbroglio?
ALEX WHITEMAN/Arab News/February 01, 2024
LONDON: Humanitarian assistance in Gaza could “collapse” by the end of February
if Western donors do not resume funding for the UN’s primary aid delivery body
within the Palestinian enclave, officials have warned.
Several major donors to the UN Relief and Works Agency, including Germany, the
UK and the US, paused their funding after an internal investigation was launched
into 12 of the agency’s own staff over allegations that they participated in the
Hamas-led Oct. 7 attacks.
To make matters worse, members of the Israeli war cabinet are reportedly
considering a further reduction in the amount of aid that is permitted to enter
Gaza, after Israeli intelligence reports alleged that Hamas is hijacking more
than half of the aid trucks entering the territory.
On top of this, the families of several Israeli hostages have been holding daily
protests at the Kerem Shalom border crossing between Israel and the Gaza Strip,
demanding that no aid be allowed to enter the territory as long as their
relatives remain in captivity.
Charlotte Leslie, a former member of the UK parliament and director of the
Conservative Middle East Council, condemned the suspension of funding for UNRWA
and said she had “very serious concerns” about such decisions.
“If there are serious, evidentially founded allegations of the involvement of
UNRWA staff in the Oct. 7 terror attack, these must be properly investigated and
appropriate measures must be taken,” Leslie told Arab News.
“However, that is not a justification to deprive thousands of desperate,
innocent Gazans of basic humanitarian care, which only UNRWA can deliver.”
Echoing Leslie’s concerns that cutting funding for UNRWA would only result in a
“humanitarian catastrophe,” a spokesperson for Action Aid told Arab News the
move by Western powers was “reckless” and effectively a “death sentence” for
more than 2 million displaced people in Gaza.
A spokesperson for Oxfam told Arab News the “abrupt and arbitrary suspension” of
funding had severed the main aid lifeline to Gaza.
“This sanctioning of an entire agency based on allegations against 12
individuals out of 13,000 staff in Gaza, before a proper investigation into the
accusations, would be immensely reckless and irresponsible,” the spokesperson
said.
“What we need is a scale-up of humanitarian aid in Gaza, not the dwindling of
vital aid at this critical moment when children are starving and the sick are
getting no medicine.”
The US, by far the biggest single source of funding for the UN relief agency,
poured about $343 million into UNRWA’s operations throughout 2022. Germany
provided the next-biggest donation of $202 million during the same period. The
UK, in comparison, donated £21 million.
Although the US has suspended further payments to UNRWA, the State Department
has said it wants to see the agency continue its work. Nonetheless, State
Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said that as UNRWA’s biggest donor, the
US needs the UN to “take the matter seriously, to investigate, and ensure
there’s accountability for anyone who is found to have engaged in wrongdoing.”
UNRWA said it fired nine of the employees allegedly involved in the Oct. 7
attacks and launched an investigation after receiving evidence from Israel.
This evidence was presented to the agency’s commissioner general, Philippe
Lazzarini. On the same day the UN’s highest court, the International Court of
Justice, ordered Israel to increase the amount of aid permitted to enter the
Gaza Strip, as part of a series of measures designed to prevent a genocide.
Israel has since alleged that six UNRWA employees were part of the Hamas-led
operation that infiltrated Israel on Oct. 7, with four allegedly involved in the
kidnapping of Israelis.
Describing the alleged acts of UNRWA staff as “abhorrent,” UN Secretary-General
Antonio Guterres nonetheless pleaded with donor states to “guarantee continuity”
of funding for the agency, urging them not to penalize the “tens of thousands
who work for UNRWA” based on the actions of a few. Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the
US ambassador to the UN, welcomed the investigation into the allegations and
said Washington will need to see “fundamental changes” before funding can
resume.
A spokesperson for UNRWA warned that without the immediate resumption of funding
from its two biggest donors, the agency’s operations will be unable to continue
beyond February.
The latest allegations are the latest in a long history of efforts to discredit
the agency. Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, has been especially
keen to end the UNRWA’s policy of allowing Palestinian refugees to pass on their
refugee status to their children, thereby perpetuating the “right of return.”
Israeli officials say the policy keeps the conflict alive by preventing
Palestinian refugees from fully integrating into new communities.
Casting doubt on the efficacy of the internal investigation, Netanyahu labeled
UNRWA as an agency “perforated” by Hamas. “I think it’s time that the
international community and the UN itself understand that UNRWA’s mission has to
end,” he told a delegation of ambassadors to the UN on Wednesday.
“UNRWA is totally infiltrated with Hamas. It has been in the service of Hamas
and its schools, and in many other things. I say this with great regret because
we hoped that there would be an objective and constructive body to offer aid.
“We need such a body today in Gaza. But UNRWA is not that body. It has to be
replaced by some organization or organizations that will do that job.”
Professor Kobi Michael, a senior researcher at Tel Aviv’s Institute for National
Security Studies and the Misgav Institute for National Security, told Arab News
that the suspension of funding for UNRWA represents a moment of optimism, noting
that “if done in the right way,” Gaza’s civilians would not suffer. “Now the
world begins to understand and acknowledge that UNRWA is no less than another
wing of Hamas,” he said.
Caption
Referencing an Israeli intelligence report shared with foreign governments that
alleged 10 percent of agency staff were Hamas members, Michael said he had “no
doubt around the figures regarding UNRWA staff involved.”
He added: “The personnel and staff involved directly and indirectly in terrorism
are much bigger. The agency must be shut down.”Given the timing of the delivery
by Israel of the evidence to the UN, Jordanian analyst Osama Al-Sharif said that
it was nothing more than a perpetuation of Netanyahu’s campaign to have the aid
agency shut down. He told Arab News it also represented an effort by the Israeli
government to “gaslight” the international community. “The allegations against
UNRWA are not new and have been used on previous occasions, but this time
they’re being used to deflect attention from the historic ICJ ruling that found
a plausible case for genocide being committed by Israel in Gaza,” he said. “And
then there is the main objective behind killing UNRWA, which is to bury the
right of return for Palestinian refugees, which Israel has always rejected.”
Gershon Baskin, the Middle East director of the International Communities
Organization, did not dismiss rumors of a joint US-Israeli plan to replace UNRWA
after the war, but he said that with the likes of the UK, the US and other
countries becoming increasingly vocal about the need for recognition of a
Palestinian state under a two-state solution, such plans might prove to be moot.
He told Arab News that if Palestinian statehood was recognized by major Western
powers, the need for a dedicated refugee agency would become superfluous. While
it may be true that Hamas has been stealing aid supplies, it still made sense
for the country to meet its obligations under the provisional ruling of the ICJ
and to facilitate increased aid deliveries into Gaza, says aid exec. (AFP)
“You cannot be a Palestinian refugee inside the state of Palestine, so with
recognition of the state, Palestine itself would have to take over governmental
responsibility for the civil service and all the duties UNRWA undertakes now,”
he said.
“At which point, UNRWA becomes a negotiating issue between the State of Israel
and the State of Palestine.”
While recognizing the Israeli concerns over allegations that Hamas has been
stealing aid supplies since the start of the conflict in October, Baskin said it
nonetheless made sense for the country to meet its obligations under the
provisional ruling of the ICJ and to facilitate increased aid deliveries into
Gaza. “My own proposal was that the Israeli army should bring the aid into Gaza,
and should deliver it with the Israeli army protecting it so that the goods are
not confiscated,” he said. “And that aid should be brought to the areas where
Israel is telling people that there will be safe zones. There are people in
Israel that are beginning to talk about that possibility, so it might happen.”
UN Palestinian aid agency warns cuts may force shutdown
Agence France Presse/February 01, 202423:15
The U.N. aid agency for Palestinians said Thursday that international funding
cuts may force the shutdown of operations across the region "by the end of
February". Several major donor countries to UNRWA said they would suspend
funding after Israel alleged 12 agency employees took part in Hamas's October 7
attack. UNRWA chief Philippe Lazzarini said that "if the funding remains
suspended, we will most likely be forced to shut down our operations by end of
February not only in Gaza but also across the region".
Mediators work for halt to deadly fighting in Gaza
Agence France Presse/February 01, 202423:15
Mediators pushed on with efforts for an Israel-Hamas ceasefire as fighting raged
on in the besieged Gaza Strip on Thursday, deepening a dire humanitarian crisis.
The Israeli military said troops had "eliminated dozens of terrorists" in the
past day and destroyed a long-range missile launcher in the embattled southern
city of Khan Younis. The Qatar-based leader of Hamas Ismail Haniyeh was expected
in Cairo on Thursday or Friday for talks on a proposed truce. The group was
reviewing a proposal for a six-week pause in its war with Israel, a Hamas source
told AFP, after mediators gathered in Paris.
In Gaza, there was no let-up in fighting or aerial bombardment, with the current
focus of combat in Khan Younis, where Israel says leading Hamas militants are
hiding. Overnight, witnesses said several Israeli air strikes hit the city,
while aid and health workers have for days reported heavy fighting, particularly
around two hospitals. According to the health ministry in Gaza, 119 people were
killed in the latest night of strikes. "There is a massacre taking place right
now," said Leo Cans of international aid group Doctors Without Borders. Israel
accuses Hamas of operating from tunnels under hospitals in Gaza and of using
medical facilities as command centres, a charge denied by the Islamist group,
which is designated a "terrorist" organisation by the European Union and the
United States. Due to constraints on the delivery of humanitarian aid, the
population is "starving to death", the World Health Organization's emergencies
director Michael Ryan said on Wednesday. "The civilians of Gaza are not parties
to this conflict and they should be protected, as should be their health
facilities," he added. In its latest update, the U.N. reported heavy bombardment
across the Gaza Strip, particularly in Khan Younis, while it said 184,000 more
Palestinians from the city had registered to receive humanitarian assistance
after fleeing their homes in recent days.
Three-stage plan
As Qatari and Egyptian-led mediation efforts intensified, Haniyeh was due in
Cairo to discuss a truce proposal thrashed out in Paris last weekend with CIA
chief William Burns. A Hamas source told AFP the three-stage plan would start
with an initial six-week halt to the fighting that would see more aid deliveries
into the Gaza Strip. Only "women, children and sick men over 60" held by Gaza
militants would be freed during that stage in exchange for Palestinian prisoners
in Israel, the source said, requesting anonymity due to the sensitivity of the
talks. There would also be "negotiations around the withdrawal of Israeli
forces", with possible additional phases involving more hostage-prisoner
exchanges, said the source, adding that Gaza's rebuilding was also among issues
addressed by the deal. The war was triggered by Hamas's October 7 attack on
Israel, which resulted in the deaths of around 1,140 people. Militants also
seized about 250 hostages. Israel says 132 remain in Gaza including at least 29
people believed to have been killed. Following the deadliest attack in Israel's
history, its military launched a withering air, land and sea offensive that has
killed at least 26,900 people in Gaza, most of them women and children.
The U.N. Conference on Trade and Development said tens of billions of dollars
would be required to rebuild Gaza, which "currently is uninhabitable" as half
its structures are damaged or destroyed.
Aid access
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ruled out withdrawing troops from
Gaza and has repeatedly vowed to destroy Hamas in response to the October 7
attack.
Netanyahu has also opposed releasing "thousands" of Palestinian prisoners as
part of any deal. With scores of Israeli hostages still trapped in Gaza, there
has been mounting criticism of Netanyahu's government that has triggered street
protests and calls for an early election. For people in Gaza, access to aid has
been further hampered by a controversy surrounding the U.N. agency for
Palestinian refugees, UNRWA, after Israel accused several of its staff of
involvement in the Hamas attack. The claims last week saw several donor
countries, led by key Israel ally the United States, freeze funding for the
agency. United Nations chief Antonio Guterres told a U.N. committee he had "met
with donors to listen to their concerns and to outline the steps we are taking".
UNRWA spokeswoman Tamara Alrifai told AFP the agency supports "an independent
investigation" into the Israeli claims that led to the funding crisis. Netanyahu
told a meeting of U.N. ambassadors in Jerusalem that UNRWA had been "totally
infiltrated" by Hamas and called for other agencies to replace it. The U.S.
State Department has said 12 UNRWA employees "may have been involved" out of
13,000 in Gaza and has said that it is "imperative" that the agency continue its
"absolutely indispensable role". The war's impact has been felt widely, with
violence involving Iran-backed allies of Hamas across the Middle East surging
since October and drawing in U.S. forces among others. The White House blamed
the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, a loose alliance of pro-Iran armed groups, for a
drone attack that killed three U.S. soldiers at a base in Jordan. Yemen's Houthi
rebels, part of the anti-Western, anti-Israel "axis of resistance" of
Iranian-backed groups, have been harassing Red Sea shipping for months,
triggering U.S. and British reprisal attacks. As a result, the International
Monetary Fund said container shipping through the vital trade route has dropped
by about one-third this year. A missile fired from Yemen hit a merchant vessel,
maritime security firm Ambrey said early Thursday, after the Houthis claimed an
attack on a U.S. ship. The U.S. military said a destroyer shot down three
Iranian drones along with an anti-ship missile fired by the Houthis on
Wednesday. It also said it had conducted strikes in Yemen against 10 attack
drones and a ground control station operated by the rebels.
Hamas won’t accept truce plan, hostage release unless Israel quits Gaza
ARAB NEWS/February 01, 202423:15
JEDDAH: Hamas will not accept new plans for a ceasefire in Gaza and the release
of hostages unless Israel commits to ending the war and quitting the enclave, a
Palestinian official close to peace talks said on Thursday. Qatari and Egyptian
mediators have offered the militant group the first concrete proposal for an
extended halt to fighting, agreed on by Israel and the US at talks last week in
Paris. Hamas is studying the text and preparing a response. An initial ceasefire
would last for 40 days, when fighting would cease while Hamas freed remaining
civilians from about 130 Israel hostages it still holds.
In further phases, Israeli soldiers would be released, followed by the handover
of the bodies of dead hostages. “I expect that Hamas will not reject the paper,
but it might not give a decisive agreement either,” the Palestinian official
said. “Instead, I expect them to send a positive response, and reaffirm their
demands: for the agreement to be signed, it must ensure Israel will commit to
ending the war in Gaza and pull out from the enclave completely.”The diplomatic
progress comes despite confusion over the stance of Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu, who is thought to need the war to continue to save his
political career. In public, Netanyahu insists that there will be no ceasefire
until all the hostages are released and Hamas has been eradicated. However, US
National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said: “I can’t speak to the prime
minister’s public comments, all I can tell you is that the conversations we have
had in recent days with our counterparts, including Israel, lead us to believe
that there is real potential progress here toward getting a deal.” The number of
Palestinians killed in the war passed 27,000 on Thursday, with thousands more
uncounted bodies still under the rubble.
Israel launched a huge ground assault last week to capture the main southern
city Khan Younis, which is sheltering hundreds of thousands of displaced
civilians. Combat has also surged in northern areas that Israel claimed to have
subdued weeks ago. Osama Ahmed, 49, a father of five from Gaza City now
sheltering in western Khan Younis along the Mediterranean coast, said there had
been fierce resistance in the city, and relentless bombardment from air, ground
and sea as tanks advance. “They haven’t entered deep into Al-Mawasi where we
live but everyday they get closer,” he said. “All we want is a ceasefire now and
to return to our homes, end the war and humiliation.”
Oil Slides on Reports of a Potential Israel-Hamas Ceasefire
Julia Fanzeres and Sharon Cho/Thu, February 1, 2024
(Bloomberg) -- US benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude slid more than 2% to
trade below $75 a barrel, reversing earlier gains, on reports of a potential
ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war. Negotiations to pause the conflict and free
civilian hostages captured by Hamas are advancing, Bloomberg reported, citing
people familiar with the matter. Still, conversations are in the early stages,
and a breakthrough isn’t expected in the coming days. Meanwhile, Al Jazeera
reported that Qatar said Israel has agreed to a ceasefire proposal. The
spillover from the war in Israel and Gaza, most notably disruptions to shipping
in the Red Sea, has been among the key drivers pushing crude futures higher this
year. With the US and allies striking the Iran-backed Houthis, concerns had been
spreading that the conflict may widen enough to significantly disrupt oil flows.
“The Israel-Hamas ceasefire proposal is the first de-escalation in the Middle
East,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president at Bok Financial. The
headlines about the ceasefire triggered long liquidation, and a breach below the
200-day moving average escalated selling pressure, he said. Futures earlier
rallied as much as 1.5% to trade near $77 a barrel, largely mirroring
equity-market movements. OPEC+ delegates said Thursday that the group’s members
plan to decide in early March whether to extend output cuts into the second
quarter. The alliance previously pledged additional curbs of roughly 900,000
barrels a day for the period as global demand growth slows and rival supplies
continued to climb.Oil capped its first monthly gain in four months in January
as the Israel-Hamas war dragged on and attacks on commercial shipping in the Red
Sea gathered pace. President Joe Biden said this week he’d decided how to
respond to last weekend’s assault that killed US troops, without providing
details. He said Iran was responsible for providing weaponry, but Tehran denied
involvement and vowed to hit back against any strike on its soil or assets
abroad.
Babies Killed In Gaza Are ‘Not Innocent Palestinian
Civilians,’ House Republican Says
Matt Shuham/HuffPost/February 1, 2024
According to one congressional Republican, babies in the Gaza Strip should not
be considered “innocent Palestinian civilians” during Israel’s ongoing military
operations. “You haven’t seen the pictures of all the babies being killed?” one
activist asked Mast.
“These are not innocent Palestinian civilians across the world,” Mast replied.
“What about the half-a-million people starving to death?” another asked. “[They]
are people that should go out there and put a government in place that doesn’t
go out there and attack Israel on a daily basis,” Mast said. A spokesperson for
the congressman didn’t immediately return a request for comment. Mast, a U.S.
Army veteran who wore an Israeli military uniform to Congress after Hamas’ Oct.
7 attack against Israel, has downplayed even the existence of innocent Gazans
before. “As a whole, I would encourage the other side to not so lightly throw
around the idea of innocent Palestinian civilians, as is frequently said,” Mast
said in November. “I don’t think we would so lightly throw around the term
‘innocent Nazi civilians’ during World War II.” Mast also told the Code Pink
activists Wednesday that he supported the defunding of UNRWA, the United Nations
Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East, the main aid
agency in Gaza. The United States and several other countries suspended funds to
UNRWA after Israeli intelligence reportedly claimed that at least 12 employees
of the agency — out of 12,000 on its payroll in Gaza — had some connection to
Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack on Israel. In the wake of the reports, UNRWA said it had
fired “several” employees and launched an investigation into Israel’s claims,
which UNRWA Chief Philippe Lazzarini called “shocking.” Lazzarini said any
employee involved in acts of terror “will be held accountable, including through
criminal prosecution.”On Oct. 7, Hamas militants killed some 1,200 people in
Israel and took hundreds of hostages, about half of whom have since been
released through prisoner swaps. In response to the October attack, Israel began
months of airstrikes and a ground invasion of Gaza. That offensive has killed
more than 26,000 Palestinians, more than two-thirds of whom were women and
children, according to local health officials. On Saturday, Lazzarini referred
to the defunding of UNRWA as “collective punishment,” warning that “famine
looms” in Gaza.
European Union agrees on a new 50 billion-euro aid package for Ukraine despite
Hungary's veto threat
BRUSSELS (AP)/February 1, 2024
The leaders of the 27 European Union countries sealed a deal Thursday to provide
Ukraine with a new 50-billion-euro ($54 billion) support package despite
Hungary's weeks of threats to veto the move. European Council President Charles
Michel announced the agreement about only an hour into the leaders' summit in
Brussels. “We have a deal,” Michel said in a post on X, formerly known as
Twitter. He said the agreement “locks in steadfast, long-term, predictable
funding for Ukraine,” and demonstrated that the “EU is taking leadership and
responsibility in support for Ukraine; we know what is at stake.” It was not
immediately clear if any concessions were made to secure Hungarian Prime
Minister Viktor Orban’s approval. He raised staunch objections to the financial
aid package in December and in the days leading up to Thursday's summit in
Brussels. On their way into their meeting, several fellow leaders had lashed out
at Orban, accusing him of blackmail and playing political games that undermined
support for Ukraine and the country's war-ravaged economy. Almost two years
after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the war has ground to a halt and Ukraine’s
economy desperately needs propping up. But political infighting in the EU and in
the United States has held up a long-term source of funding. Concern has mounted
that public support to keep pouring money into Ukraine has started to wane, even
though a Russian victory could threaten security across Europe.
“There is no problem with the so-called Ukraine fatigue issue. We have Orban
fatigue now in Brussels,” Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk told reporters
Thursday. “I can’t understand. I can’t accept this very strange and very
egoistic game of Viktor Orban.”
In December, the 26 other leaders agreed on an aid package worth 50 billion
euros ($54 billion) for this year through 2027. They also agreed to make Ukraine
a candidate for EU membership, which Orban reluctantly accepted. But the
financial package was part of a review of the EU’s continuing seven-year budget,
which requires unanimous approval. Orban, the EU leader with the closest ties to
Russia, is angry at the European Commission’s decision to freeze his
government’s access to some of the bloc’s funds. The EU's executive branch did
so over concerns about possible threats to the EU budget posed by democratic
backsliding in Hungary. In response, Hungary vetoed statements at the EU on a
range of issues. Orban’s also exported the problem to NATO, by blocking high
level meetings with Ukraine until only recently. Budapest is also holding up
Sweden’s bid for membership in the military organization. “I don’t want to use
the word blackmail, but I don’t know what other better word” might fit, Estonian
Prime Minister Kaja Kallas told reporters as she arrived at EU headquarters.
“Hungary needs Europe,” she said, highlighting the country’s own economic
problems and high interest rates. “He should also look into what it is in it for
Hungary, being in Europe.” Tusk insisted that there could be “no room for
compromise on our principles, like rule of law. And for sure there is no room
for compromise on the Ukraine question.” The recently elected Polish leader
added: “If his position will dominate in Europe, then Ukraine will lose for
sure.”Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar said it was important for the leaders to
try to seal a deal supported by all 27 member countries but that in any case “we
can’t go away without an agreement.”“That war is now raging for two years.
Ukraine will not be able to continue to defend itself without the support of the
European Union, and we can’t leave them short,” Varadkar told reporters. German
Chancellor Olaf Scholz said that “we want to finish what we started in December”
and stressed that the planned 50 billion euros for Ukraine is “urgently
necessary.”“I will make a great deal of effort, together with many others, to
make a decision by 27 (member states) possible,” Scholz said. Ukrainian
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was scheduled to address the leaders via video
link.
Pakistani troops kill 22 insurgents in southwest after
coordinated attacks over Iran strikes
QUETTA, Pakistan (AP)/February 01, 2024
Pakistani security forces killed 22 insurgents this week in an operation against
Baloch separatists, who had launched attacks with suicide bombers and gunmen in
retaliation for Pakistani strikes on insurgent hideouts in Iran in January,
officials said Thursday. Four security forces and two civilians died when
insurgents launched rocket attacks before dawn on Monday on security facilities
in Mach, a district in Baluchistan province. The outlawed Baluchistan Liberation
Army (BLA) claimed responsibility for the coordinated attacks, which continued
until Tuesday night.
Jan Achakzai, a government spokesman in Baluchistan, said the situation in Mach
was under control now after the killing of the 22 insurgents. The violence in
Mach came after the BLA threatened to target security forces following
Pakistan’s Jan. 18 strikes on their camps in Iran that killed at least nine
people. Those strikes were made in response to an Iranian strike in Pakistan
that appeared to target a different Baluch militant group with similar
separatist goals. Following the tit-for-tat attacks, both sides agreed Monday to
improve their security cooperation, though the two countries had earlier accused
each other of providing safe haven to the groups in their respective
territories. Baluchistan in recent days has seen multiple attacks. Also on
Thursday, a bomb exploded in Quetta, killing one man and wounding three others.
Last week, unidentified gunmen shot and killed nine Pakistani laborers in Iran,
prompting Pakistan to seek a probe into the killings. The bodies of those
laborers were repatriated to Pakistan on Thursday. It was still unclear who was
behind the attack on Saturday in a home in Iran’s Sistan and Baluchestan
province. Three Pakistanis wounded in the attack were still being treated at an
Iranian hospital.
Tehran handed over the bodies of the slain men at the Taftan border crossing,
local government administrator Waqar Kakar said. He said the bodies were being
flown to the city of Multan and would be sent from there to their hometowns.
Quetta is the capital of Baluchistan province, where Islamic militants also have
a presence.
Journalists, lawyers and activists hacked with Pegasus
spyware in Jordan, forensic probe finds
Associated Press/February 01, 2024
Israeli-made Pegasus spyware was used in Jordan to hack the cellphones of at
least 30 people, including journalists, lawyers, human rights and political
activists, the digital rights group Access Now said Thursday. The hacking with
spyware made by Israel's NSO Group occurred from early 2020 until last November,
Access Now said in its report. It did not accuse Jordan's government of the
hacking. One of the targets was Human Rights Watch's deputy director for the
region, Adam Coogle, who said in an interview that it was difficult to imagine
who other than Jordan's government would be interested in hacking those who were
targeted. The Jordanian government had no immediate comment on Thursday's
report. In a 2022 report detailing a much smaller group of Pegasus victims in
Jordan, digital sleuths at the University of Toronto's Citizen Lab identified
two operators of the spyware it said may have been agents of the Jordanian
government. A year earlier, Axios reported on negotiations between Jordan's
government and NSO Group. "We believe this is just the tip of the iceberg when
it comes to the use of Pegasus spyware in Jordan, and that the true number of
victims is likely much higher," Access Now said. Its Middle East and North
Africa director, Marwa Fatafta, said at least 30 of 35 known targeted
individuals were successfully hacked. Citizen Lab confirmed all but five of the
infections, with 21 victims asking to remain anonymous, citing the risk of
reprisal. The rest were identified by Human Rights Watch, Amnesty
International's Security Lab, and the Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting
Project. NSO Group says it only sells to vetted intelligence and law enforcement
agencies — and only for use against terrorists and serious criminals. But
cybersecurity researchers who have tracked the spyware's use in 45 countries
have documented dozens of cases of politically motivated abuse of the spyware —
from Mexico and Thailand to Poland and Saudi Arabia. An NSO Group spokesperson
said the company would not confirm or deny its clients' identities. NSO Group
says it vets customers and investigates any report its spyware has been abused.
The U.S. government was unpersuaded and blacklisted the NSO Group in November
2021, when iPhone maker Apple Inc. sued it, calling its employees "amoral 21st
century mercenaries who have created highly sophisticated cyber-surveillance
machinery that invites routine and flagrant abuse."
Those targeted in Jordan include Human Rights Watch's senior researcher for
Jordan and Syria, Hiba Zayadin. Both she and Coogle had received threat
notifications from Apple on Aug. 29 that state-sponsored attackers had attempted
to compromise their iPhones.
Coogle's local, personal iPhone was successfully hacked in October 2022, he
said, just two weeks after the human rights group published a report documenting
the persecution and harassment of citizens organizing peaceful political
dissent. After that, Coogle activated "Lockdown Mode," on the iPhone, which
Apple recommends for iPhone users at high risk. Human Rights Watch said in a
statement Thursday that it had contacted NSO Group about the attacks and
specifically asked it to investigate the hack of Coogle's device "but has
received no substantive response to these inquiries." Jordanian human rights
lawyer Hala Ahed — known for defending women's and workers rights and prisoners
of conscience — was also targeted at least twice by Pegasus, successfully in
March 2021 then unsuccessfully in February 2023, Access Now said. About half of
those found to have been targeted by Pegasus in Jordan — 16 in all — were
journalists or media workers, the report said. One veteran Palestinian-American
journalist and columnist, Dauod Kuttab, was hacked with Pegasus three times
between February 2022 and September 2023. Along the way, he said, he's learned
important lessons about not clicking on links in messages purporting to be from
legitimate contacts, which is how one of the Pegasus hacks snared him. Kuttab
refused to speculate about who might have targeted him. "I always assume that
somebody is listening to my conversations," he said, as getting surveilled
"comes with the territory" when you are journalist in the Middle East. But
Kuttab does worry about his sources being compromised by hacks — and the
violation of his privacy. "Regardless of who did it, it's not right to intervene
into my personal, family privacy and my professional privacy."
Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on February 01-02/2024
Palestinian Terrorists, Hospitals, and Plans for Palestinian State
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute./February 01, 2024
In light of the aversion of the Palestinian Authority (PA), its ministry of
health, and its security forces to expelling the three terrorists from the Jenin
hospital, the US administration's plan for bringing the PA back to the Gaza
Strip to replace Hamas and create a Palestinian state seems more than foolhardy.
In addition, a Palestinian state without Israel's consent would be a massive
violation of the Oslo Accords. The nonstop actions, or rather inactions, of the
PA serve as further evidence that, contrary to what the US administration
believes, the PA cannot be "revitalized."
The PA indisputably has no intention of changing its policy of glorifying and
financially rewarding terrorists. PA leaders continue to praise terrorists as
"heroes" and refuse to halt their policy of paying monthly stipends to
Palestinians who murder Jews.
The incident in Jenin is further proof – more is hardly needed – that the PA
cannot be trusted to enforce law and order or rein in terrorists in the Gaza
Strip, were there to be a state. The PA, in its current location in the West
Bank, does nothing to stop Hamas and other terrorists from pursuing their
activities to murder Jews and obliterate Israel. There is no evidence to assume
that it would behave any differently in Gaza. There is much evidence to assume
that it would.
On January 30, Israeli security forces found and killed three Palestinian
terrorists who were hiding inside Ibn Sina Specialized Hospital in Jenin. The
terrorists were planning an attack against Israelis inspired by Hamas's massacre
on October 7, 2023. Pictured: Armed terrorists march in Jenin at the funeral of
their three dead comrades, on January 30, 2024. (Photo by Zain Jaafar/AFP via
Getty Images
The Ibn Sina Specialized Hospital is one of several medical facilities in the
West Bank city of Jenin, which is under the exclusive control of the Palestinian
Authority (PA). As such, the hospital operates in accordance with a license from
the PA's Ministry of Health.
On January 30, Israeli security forces found and killed three Palestinian
terrorists who were hiding inside the hospital. A statement issued by the
Iran-backed Hamas group identified the three terrorists as Mohammed Walid
Jalamneh and brothers Mohammed and Basel al-Ghazawi. Al-Jalamneh was described
as a commander of Hamas's armed wing, the Izaddin al-Qassam Brigades, while the
two brothers were labeled by Palestinians as mujahideen (holy warriors)
belonging to Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, another Iran-backed
Palestinian terrorist proxy group.
The three terrorists did not come to the hospital to receive medical treatment
or visit patients. In reality, they had been hiding inside the hospital for
several weeks because they knew that Israeli security forces were searching for
them. The Israelis were not searching for them because they had failed to pay
their electricity or water bills.
According to Israeli authorities, the terrorists were planning an attack against
Israelis inspired by Hamas's massacre on October 7, 2023, in which 1,200 people
were murdered, beheaded, raped, mutilated and burned alive. Jalamneh, the slain
leader of the terror cell, was previously wounded while preparing a car bomb
attack. He had been in contact with Hamas officials abroad, presumably in Qatar,
Lebanon and Turkey, and provided weapons to other terrorists for shooting
attacks against Israelis. Jalamneh had also served as a spokesman for the
Izaddin al-Qassam Brigades in the Jenin area, and had often appeared in military
uniform and a mask to read out statements by his group.
The presence of the Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad gunmen inside the
hospital did not surprise those who have been following and documenting the
Palestinian terrorist groups' use of hospitals as safe shelters and bases for
their activities. Since the beginning of the current Israel-Hamas war, it has
been confirmed that hospitals are Hamas's preferred central sites for terrorist
activities. The terror infrastructure in the hospitals is meant to ensure
optimal protection for the terrorists during times of war, by taking advantage
of Israel's commitment to the laws of armed conflict and avoidance of carrying
out significant strikes on hospitals and other locations such as schools and
mosques, which are protected under the Geneva Conventions (unless they are used
for military purposes; then, they are no longer protected).
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have documented a consistent and systematic
method of operation by the terrorist groups:
Above ground, on the floors of the hospitals themselves, alongside the normal
wards that exist in every hospital, the terrorist organizations store weapons
and military equipment. Among the weapons found in the hospitals were hand
grenades, explosive devices, and RPGs (rocket-propelled grenades). Senior Hamas
terrorists stay in hospitals during times of war, even using Intensive Care Unit
wards where they are disguised as "patients" or medical staff.
In the basements of the hospitals, on the underground floors, next to offices,
are exits connecting to underground operational infrastructure and Hamas command
and control centers, communication infrastructure and technological equipment.
Beneath hospital complexes in Gaza is an underground network of terrorist
tunnels leading from hospitals to nearby terrorist bases.
On the premises of hospitals, the IDF has discovered vehicles loaded with
weapons, including at Gaza's Shifa Hospital, as well as operational tunnels
under the hospitals designed to ambush IDF soldiers. In addition, Hamas has
deliberately embedded terrorist infrastructure near the hospitals with the
understanding that Israel would try to avoid targeting these locations as that
could be portrayed as a strike on the hospitals themselves.
Ahmad Kahalot, director of Kamal Adwan Hospital in Gaza, has admitted that Hamas
has turned hospitals into military facilities under its control. During an
Israel Security Agency interrogation, Kahalot revealed how Hamas uses hospitals
for military purposes, including storing weapons, hiding its operatives, and
moving members of Hamas.
Hamas, he said, even brought a captured soldier to the hospital. Kahalot, who
was arrested on December 12, 2023, said he has been part of Hamas since 2010.
"I was recruited to Hamas in 2010 with the rank of Brigadier General," he
revealed. "There are employees in the hospital who are military operatives of
the Izaddin al-Qassam Brigades -- doctors, nurses, paramedics, clerks, and staff
members."
According to Kahalot, Hamas members hide in hospitals, which they realize are
"protected." "They hide in hospitals because for them a hospital is a safe
place. They won't be targeted when they are inside a hospital," he said. "I know
16 employees in the hospital – doctors, nurses, paramedics, or clerks... who
also have different positions in al-Qassam."
What is surprising and disappointing is that many in the international community
and media, including the World Health Organization (WHO), continue to ignore --
or even deny or cover for -- the actions of the terrorists in the hospitals.
During a recent session with WHO's executive board, Israeli ambassador Meirav
Eilon Shahar said that Hamas "embeds itself in hospitals."
In "every single hospital that the IDF searched in Gaza, it found evidence of
Hamas's military use," she remarked. "These are undeniable facts that WHO
chooses to ignore time and time again. This is not incompetence; it is
collusion."
In Jenin, the terrorists found shelter inside a hospital under the
administration of the Palestinian Authority Ministry of Health. It is safe to
assume that many of the staff, including the administration at Jenin's Ibn Sina
Specialized Hospital, were aware of the presence of the gunmen in one of the
patient rooms. What did hospital administrators and doctors do to remove the
terrorists from the hospital? Nothing. What did the PA Ministry of Health do to
make sure that the terrorists were expelled from the hospital? Nothing.
The PA, undoubtedly aware of the presence of the terrorists inside the hospital,
has multiple security and intelligence agencies in Jenin; they are known for
their tight grip on the city. Did the PA government order its security officers
to remove the terrorists from the hospital out of concern for the safety of the
medical staff and the patients? No.
Instead of condemning Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad for turning the
hospital into a safe haven for terrorists and using it as a base to plan another
massacre of Israelis, the PA was quick to condemn Israel for eliminating the
gunmen who, by the way, belong to two groups opposed to the Palestinian
Authority. PA Prime Minister Mohammad Shtayyeh, on a tall-tale-binge, accused
Israeli security forces of "storming hospitals and carrying out field executions
of patients, while intimidating other patients and the doctors."
Instead of thanking the Israeli security forces for getting rid of the
terrorists who were holed up inside the hospital, Tawfik al-Shoubaki, director
of Ibn Sina Specialized Hospital, also denounced the security raid as a
"dangerous precedent."
Wissam Subeihat, director of healthcare services in Jenin for the PA Ministry of
Health, condemned the killing of the terrorists as a "crime" and called on
international organizations to "hold Israel accountable." Subeihat also claimed,
falsely, that the Israeli soldiers assaulted medical staff during the raid.
In light of the aversion of the PA, its ministry of health, and its security
forces to expelling the three terrorists from the Jenin hospital, the US
administration's plan for bringing the PA back to the Gaza Strip to replace
Hamas and create a Palestinian state seems more than foolhardy.
In addition, a Palestinian state without Israel's consent would be a massive
violation of the Oslo Accords. The nonstop actions, or rather inactions, of the
PA serve as further evidence that, contrary to what the US administration
believes, the PA cannot be "revitalized." The PA has never acted as a peace
partner to Israel. Instead, it has constantly incited its people against Israel
and Jews by denying Jewish religious links to Israel, to Jerusalem and the
Temple Mount, all the while accusing Jews of "defiling" Islamic holy sites and
waging a diplomatic and legal warfare to delegitimize and isolate Israel in the
international community.
The PA indisputably has no intention of changing its policy of glorifying and
financially rewarding terrorists. PA leaders continue to praise terrorists as
"heroes" and refuse to halt their policy of paying monthly stipends to
Palestinians who murder Jews.
The incident in Jenin is further proof – more is hardly needed – that the PA
cannot be trusted to enforce law and order or rein in terrorists in the Gaza
Strip, were there to be a state. The PA, in its current location in the West
Bank, does nothing to stop Hamas and other terrorists from pursuing their
activities to murder Jews and obliterate Israel. There is no evidence to assume
that it would behave any differently in Gaza. There is much evidence to assume
that it would.
*Bassam Tawil is a Muslim Arab based in the Middle East
© 2024 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/20360/palestinian-hospitals
Why Oct. 7 has bound Israeli Druze and Jews even more
tightly
Taylor Luck/Christian Science Monitor/Wed, January 31, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/126620/126620/
The events of Oct. 7 are imprinted on Salih’s body and mind.
As he sits outside his former training base in central Israel on a crisp
mid-January day, the 20-year-old Israeli Druze soldier recounts carefully the
day his unit was deployed to repel a surprise Hamas attack. That day saw Hamas
militants kill 1,200 people, mostly civilians, as they rampaged through southern
Israeli towns and kibbutzim, igniting the devastating Israel-Hamas war in Gaza.
The day ended with Salih being seriously wounded in combat. He refuses to
discuss certain details. But a single glance from his distant eyes offers a
glimpse into the death he saw. Hamas “did not differentiate between Jewish or
Druze, Muslim, Bedouin, or Christian; young or old; men, women, children,” Salih
recounts, as if still processing the violence. “They didn’t care.
“This was something monstrous, barbaric, against human nature,” he says. “Go to
the root definition of ‘terrorism,’ and all of its derivatives, and they all
align in this organization.”
For Israeli Druze, the Israel-Hamas war is becoming increasingly personal.
Members of the Arab religious minority, who for decades have served in Israel’s
security services, say the graphic Oct. 7 attack and ensuing war have been a
turning point in Druze-Jewish relations, with the shared threat and an
outpouring of support binding the two communities like never before.
Still on medical leave, Salih, who asked not to use his full name for security
reasons, says he’s itching to get back into the fight to protect his 16-year-old
sister, mother, and neighbors.
“Each one of us is defending where they live and their family. I am defending
myself and my loved ones,” he says. Oct. 7 ingrained in him, and in Druze across
Israel, that “terrorism takes away the people you love.”
“We must stop terrorism,” he says, clenching his jaw. “Where there is terrorism,
there can be no humanity.”
An emphasis on duty
The Druze, a religious minority found across the Levant, number some 149,000 in
Israel, less than 2% of the population. Much of the adult population – men and
women – serve in the army, security services, or government agencies. Serving
the state in which Druze live is both a civic duty and a tenet of their faith.
Druze civilians are now stepping up to support Israeli Jewish and Bedouin
friends and colleagues affected by the attack. Artist Sam Halabi installed a
mural in central Tel Aviv commemorating hostages held by Hamas.
“Hamas is ISIS,” he says from his studio in Daliyat al-Karmel, his anger
simmering. “They are terrorists who butchered innocent people. Hamas is a
cancer. We cannot live in peace and security until this cancer is removed.”
Israeli Druze believe the Islamist Hamas sees them as both “infidels” for their
religious beliefs – the monotheists believe in prophets that came after the
Prophet Muhammad and in reincarnation – and “traitors” for serving in the
Israeli army.
“We know Hamas hates us specifically,” says shopkeeper Abu Hamad. “As Arabs who
support Israel, we are doubly targeted.”
Since 1952, Druze men, like Jews, have been drafted into military service. Yet
the equality they felt there didn’t always translate to life outside the army.
Druze communities in northern Israel have longstanding grievances against the
state, chief of which is that much of their land is registered as
“agricultural,” preventing them from acquiring building permits for homes for
their children and grandchildren and from expanding their villages.
Others point to discrepancies in budgets their communities receive in comparison
with predominately Jewish towns of similar size. Tensions with the government
increased with the rise of the Jewish far-right. They came to a head in 2018
when a previous Benjamin Netanyahu-led government pushed through the
nation-state law, which stated, “The right to national self-determination in the
State of Israel is exclusive to the Jewish people.”
Druze lawmakers failed to challenge the legislation in court as discriminatory,
and many today still describe it as a “stab in the back” to non-Jewish Israelis.
Yet today, these tensions – which sparked riots as recently as July – seem a
distant memory, minor compared with the existential conflict that Druze and Jews
say they face together.
“Any difference or gap between Druze and Jews ... completely disappeared after
Oct. 7,” says Zahee Mansour, who along with his wife, Raja, runs the Druze
Cultural Heritage Center in the Mt. Carmel village of Isfiya, next to Daliyat
al-Karmel. “We have a closer understanding of one another, a better appreciation
of one another.”
Aid to Druze communities
Helping smooth relations was an Israeli government announcement Jan. 7 of 12.5
million shekels ($3.41 million) to “strengthen the resilience” of Druze and
Circassian communities in northern Israel, and of a five-year plan to develop
their communities devised in meetings with Druze leaders and politicians.
In leafy Daliyat al-Karmel, the largest Druze town in Israel, Israeli and
multicolor striped Druze flags hang side by side from shops and restaurants, and
atop the municipality.
With several thousand Druze men serving in the war in Gaza, the impact of the
conflict is being felt in these tightly knit communities across Israel.
Salih, the wounded soldier, says he feels an “absence” in his home village
outside Haifa. His cousin Salman is fighting in Gaza, so, too, are neighbors and
friends.
“I worry about them because Gaza is dangerous,” he says.
In Beit Jann, near the Israel-Lebanon border, Adi Malik Harb’s photo hangs from
buildings and in shop windows across the mountaintop village of 13,000 people.
If you stop anyone in the street, they will eagerly tell you a story about the
20-year-old, who was killed in action Nov. 17 in Gaza.
Yet even amid such loss, members of the Druze community say they still hold out
for peace.
“We can be a bridge between the Israelis and the Palestinians. We know both
communities and understand the cultures and languages,” says Beit Jann Mayor
Radi Najm, glancing at hand-sketched portraits of Mr. Harb on his office shelf.
“The Druze community can be a bridge for peace.”
Um Rami, a Daliyat al-Karmel cafe owner, shakes her head as she scans the news
on her phone.
“We need more humanity and empathy on all sides,” she says. “It was inhumane to
see Hamas cart off young children and elderly in cages like animals, and it is
inhumane to see children crushed in missile strikes in Gaza. We don’t want any
more civilian deaths, no matter if they are Israeli or Palestinian, Jewish,
Muslim, or Druze.
“Human life must be protected no matter what,” she says. “That is our spiritual
belief and our national duty.”
https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2024/0131/Why-Oct.-7-has-bound-Israeli-Druze-and-Jews-even-more-tightly
Is Israel at risk of becoming a pariah in the Middle East
again? Maybe not
Tracy Wilkinson/Los Angeles Times./ February 1, 2024
Since its 1948 founding, Israel was seen by Arab neighbors as an interloper in
the Middle East, a hostile nation imposed by Western powers in the aftermath of
World War II.
After decades of wars, diplomatic and economic isolation and ostracization
rooted in a combination of politics and antisemitism, Israel in recent years
began to make significant progress in normalizing relations with several Arab
neighbors.
The Trump-era Abraham Accords raised hopes that diplomatic, financial and
cultural ties with fellow Mideast nations would bring greater peace and
stability to the region.
But the Israel-Hamas war upended that process almost overnight.
Here's a look at why Israel could again find itself isolated and what it could
mean for the U.S. and international community.
Why was Israel so isolated from the start?
To Jewish people fleeing the European persecution that culminated in the
Holocaust, settling in the Holy Land felt like coming home, to a region with
deep religious and historical significance.
They'd been migrating for decades to what was then British Mandate Palestine.
But with the creation of Israel under a 1948 U.N. declaration, hundreds of
thousands of Palestinians were displaced. They were supposed to also receive a
nation, but it never materialized.
What followed were decades of wars and conflicts over land, borders and
refugees, with Arab nations and much of the international community refusing to
recognize Israel in any form — including exchanging ambassadors, conducting
trade or even permitting travel — unless Israel's occupation of Palestinian
territories ended.
When did that isolation first begin to thaw?
In 1979, following meetings at Camp David led by President Carter, Egypt became
the first Arab country to agree to peace with and recognition of Israel.
Fifteen years later, Jordan followed suit.
This meant Israel exchanged ambassadors with Egypt and Jordan, and ordinary
people could fly between the countries' international airports.
The Jordan agreement emerged in conjunction with the landmark Oslo peace accords
that for the first time established Israeli and Palestinian recognition of each
other, earning the 1994 Nobel Peace Prize for signatories Yasser Arafat, Yitzhak
Rabin and Shimon Peres.
Part of the agreement was a guarantee that Israel, the Palestinians and world
powers like the United States would pursue the so-called two-state solution —
the establishment of an independent, sovereign Palestinian state sitting next to
Israel.
That remains an elusive goal today, more than a generation later.
Did that 'thaw' continue, improving Israel's regional ties?
Not even close.
Unlike Egypt and Jordan, most of the countries in the Middle East year after
year insisted that until Israel ended its occupation of the West Bank and other
Palestinian lands, they would not recognize or normalize diplomatic relations
with Israel.
Jerusalem, especially, was a source of contention: Israelis and Palestinians
alike claimed the holy city as their capital.
Efforts to pursue the two-state solution repeatedly floundered.
What changed during the Trump administration?
The equation changed dramatically under President Trump, who largely abandoned
U.S. efforts to remain somewhat neutral. Siding firmly with Israel, Trump
brushed aside Palestinian concerns, relocated the U.S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to
disputed land in Jerusalem and recognized Israel's annexation of the Golan
Heights. His administration invited other Arab countries, especially from the
Persian Gulf, to explore a new relationship with Israel. The truth is several of
those gulf countries already had quiet, behind-the-scenes business and security
relations with Israel. But this would be the first public display.
On Sept. 15, 2020, in an elaborate White House ceremony, the United Arab
Emirates and Bahrain signed an agreement called the Abraham Accords for "peace,
diplomatic relations and full normalization" with Israel.
The UAE insisted Israel back off from any plans for a wholesale annexation of
the West Bank in exchange for its agreement. But otherwise, few demands were
made of Israel regarding the plight of Palestinians. Critics say Trump
squandered an opportunity to make progress on the conflict, in essence handing
Israel the better relations it long sought without making any significant
concessions for the Palestinians.
Did the accords change things on the ground?
It was a remarkable shift in Middle East alliances.
The participating countries opened embassies and flight paths, while Israeli
tourists for the first time could travel to the shopping mecca of Dubai.
At the signing ceremony, Trump announced his confidence that other nations would
soon follow suit. And while Morocco and Sudan did, no other major Arab country
has done so.
In this new equation, the prize was Saudi Arabia. Trump, and especially his
son-in-law and special advisor Jared Kushner, had lobbied the Saudis hard. But
the Saudis resisted, largely because of King Salman's lingering allegiance to
the Palestinians.
His heir, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, is thought to have no such loyalty
and to have been eager to join the economic windfall that better relations with
Israel might portend. As a result, Saudi Arabia was moving slowly toward a
normalization agreement with Israel, according to U.S. officials. Saudi Arabia
also had big asks, including a massive defense pact with Washington.
How has the Israel-Hamas war changed ties?
The war — which so far has left close to 1,200 Israelis and more than 26,000
Palestinians dead, according to each side — put an immediate brake on Saudi
Arabia and other nations getting closer to Israel.
Bahrain, one of the countries that opened ties with Israel, recalled its
ambassador.
There has been an enormous drop in tourism travel between Tel Aviv and the
United Arab Emirates, although the UAE has not canceled the flights nor recalled
its ambassador from Israel. The other two countries that signed on to the
Abraham Accords, Morocco and Sudan, had lesser dealings with Israel all along,
and have not reversed the agreement. Their acquiescence had more to do with
getting concessions from the U.S. than stepping up relations with Israel.
Morocco has allowed rare massive street demonstrations against Israel. Sudan and
Morocco were tepid in criticism of the Oct. 7 Hamas attacks, but quick to join
regional opprobrium over Israel's retaliation. And all of the Arab nations
involved in the Abraham Accords have demanded an immediate cease-fire in the
war.
What does all this mean for the fate of the Abraham Accords?
It is not yet clear if any of these countries, ruled primarily by royal families
and dictators, will ever return to a path of normalization with Israel. While
not democratic, they are mindful, and wary, of the anger toward Israel and
support for Palestinians among their own populations. The war has only
heightened those feelings. But there are lucrative business and military deals
at stake, and several leaders have told the Biden administration they hope to
continue to improve relations with Israel once the current crisis is over, U.S.
officials say. Saudi Arabia will be the country to watch. The desert kingdom has
given Israel a potential shot at opening ties, saying in recent days that it
would consider such steps if a credible path to statehood for the Palestinians
is established.
A senior UAE official said last month that its new strategic relationship with
Israel, including economic ties, remained a "long-term" goal. Get the best of
the Los Angeles Times’ politics coverage with the Essential Politics newsletter.
Exclusive-Iran's Guards pull officers from Syria after Israeli strikes
Iran's Revolutionary Guards have scaled back deployment of their senior officers
in Syria due to a spate of deadly Israeli strikes and will rely more on allied
Shi'ite militia to preserve their sway there, five sources familiar with the
matter said.
The Guards have suffered one of their most bruising spells in Syria since
arriving a decade ago to aid President Bashar al-Assad in the Syrian war. Since
December, Israeli strikes have killed more than half a dozen of their members,
among them one of the Guards' top intelligence generals.
As hardliners in Tehran demand retaliation, Iran's decision to pull out senior
officers is driven partly by its aversion to being sucked directly into a
conflict bubbling across the Middle East, three of the sources told Reuters.
While the sources said Iran has no intention of quitting Syria - a key part of
Tehran's sphere of influence - the rethink underscores how the consequences of
the war ignited by Palestinian militant group Hamas' Oct. 7 attack on Israel are
unfolding in the region.
Iran, a backer of Hamas, has sought to stay out of the conflict itself even as
it supports groups that have entered the fray from Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq and
Syria - the so-called "Axis of Resistance" that is hostile to Israeli and U.S.
interests.
One of the sources - a senior regional security official briefed by Tehran -
said senior Iranian commanders had left Syria along with dozens of mid-ranking
officers, describing it as a downsizing of the presence. The source did not say
how many Iranians had left and Reuters was unable independently to determine
that. The news agency could not reach the Guards for comment and the Syrian
information ministry did not respond to emailed questions for this story.
Iran has sent thousands of fighters to Syria during the Syrian war. While these
have included members of the Guards, officially serving in the role of advisors,
the bulk have been Shi'ite militiamen from all over the region. Three of the
sources said the Guards would manage Syrian operations remotely, with help from
ally Hezbollah. The Lebanese group did not immediately respond to a request for
comment. Another source, a regional official close to Iran, said those still in
Syria had left their offices and were staying out of sight. "The Iranians won't
abandon Syria but they reduced their presence and movements to the greatest
extent." The sources said the changes so far had not had an impact on
operations. The downsizing would "help Tehran to avoid being pulled into the
Israel-Gaza war," one of the sources, an Iranian, said.
Since the Gaza war erupted, Israel has stepped up a years-long campaign of air
strikes aimed at rolling back Iran's presence in Syria, attacking both the
Guards and Hezbollah - which in turn has been exchanging fire with Israel across
the Lebanese-Israeli border since Oct. 8. Israel rarely comments on its attacks
in Syria and has not declared responsibility for the recent strikes there. In
response to Reuters' questions, the Israeli military said it did not comment on
foreign media reports.
'INTELLIGENCE BREACH'
In one of the attacks, on Jan. 20, five members of the Guards were killed,
Iranian state media reported, including a general who ran intelligence for the
Quds Force, which is responsible for the Guards' overseas operations. The strike
flattened a Damascus building.
Another, on Dec. 25 outside Damascus, killed a senior Guards adviser responsible
for coordinating between Syria and Iran. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei led prayers at his funeral. Reuters spoke to six sources familiar with
Iranian deployments in Syria for this story. They declined to be identified due
to the sensitivity of the subject. Three of the sources said the Guards had
raised concerns with Syrian authorities that information leaks from within the
Syrian security forces played a part in the recent lethal strikes. Another
source familiar with Iranian operations in Syria said the precise Israeli
strikes had prompted the Guards to relocate operational sites and officers'
residences, amidst concerns of an "intelligence breach". Iranian forces came to
Syria at Assad's invitation, helping him to beat back rebels who had seized
control of swathes of the country in the conflict that began in 2011.
Years after Assad and his allies won back most of Syria, Iran-backed groups
still operate across large areas. Their presence has cemented a zone of Iranian
influence stretching through Iraq, Syria and Lebanon to the Mediterranean,
helping to counterbalance Tehran's regional adversaries including Israel. Three
of the sources said the Guards were once again recruiting Shi'ite fighters from
Afghanistan and Pakistan to deploy to Syria, echoing earlier phases of the war
when Shi'ite militias played a part in turning the tide of the conflict.
The regional official close to Iran said the Guards were drawing more on Syrian
Shi'ite militias. Gregory Brew, an analyst with Eurasia group, a political risk
consultancy, said the failure to protect Iranian commanders had "clearly
undermined Iran's position" but Tehran was unlikely to end its commitment to
Syria to preserving its role in Syria. Russia has also supported Assad,
deploying its air force to Syria in 2015, and any weakening of Iran's role there
could play to its advantage. "Moscow and Tehran are working more closely
together but their relationship may be strained if they compete openly in
Syria," Brew said. Russia said this month it expected President Vladimir Putin
and his Iranian counterpart Ebrahim Raisi to sign a new treaty soon, amid
strengthening political, trade and military ties between the two nations.
Sudanese people’s dire plight should not be ignored
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/February 01, 2024
The protracted conflict in Sudan, which is now in its 10th month, has caused a
dire humanitarian crisis that is inflicting profound suffering upon millions,
both within the country and in neighboring nations. The repercussions of this
war are particularly acute for women and children, who bear the brunt of the
devastating effects. As the situation unfolds, the pervasive hardships extend
beyond national borders, casting a wide-reaching shadow of distress that demands
urgent attention and concerted international efforts to alleviate the plight of
those affected by the conflict.
Sudan currently bears the unfortunate distinction of harboring the highest
number of displaced individuals globally, also marking it out as the center of
the world’s most extensive child displacement crisis. Commenting on the enduring
repercussions of the conflict, which began last April, Marie David, the acting
country director of CARE Sudan, said: “Loss of life, mass displacement,
gender-based violence, hunger, cholera are all on the rise and occurring at an
alarming rate. Between 70 and 80 percent of hospitals in conflict-affected areas
are no longer functional. This crisis demands more attention, and funding.” New
data from the International Organization for Migration reveals a staggering 10.7
million people displaced by conflicts in Sudan, including 9 million who remain
within the country. This organization is requesting coordinated international
efforts to urgently enhance the humanitarian response and address the colossal
displacement crisis. Among the displaced, 1.7 million have sought refuge in
neighboring countries, with the majority (62 percent) of these being Sudanese.
This mass displacement is exacerbating humanitarian needs in an already deeply
troubled region.
Chad hosts the highest percentage of those leaving Sudan at 37 percent, followed
by South Sudan at 30 percent and Egypt at 24 percent, while Ethiopia, Libya and
the Central African Republic host the remaining refugees. This mass displacement
is exacerbating humanitarian needs in an already deeply troubled region. Amy
Pope, director general of the International Organization for Migration, said:
“As of today, one in every eight internally displaced persons in the world is in
Sudan.” She highlighted the overwhelming needs of these displaced individuals,
including critical shortages of food, shelter, healthcare and sanitation. This
is placing them at heightened risk of disease, malnutrition and violence.
Despite the severity of the situation, the current humanitarian response falls
short of meeting these critical needs. As Pope emphasized, it is important not
to turn away from the millions of people who are in desperate need of support.
The protracted conflict in Sudan continues to exact a severe toll on the lives
of ordinary citizens. The widespread devastation extends to critical
infrastructure, encompassing healthcare facilities, educational institutions,
transport networks and essential utilities such as power and water. This
extensive damage has significantly curtailed access to fundamental necessities
and essential, life-saving services, plunging communities into desperate
circumstances. The resulting scarcity has not only led to heightened
susceptibility to disease outbreaks, hunger and malnutrition, but has also
exacerbated the vulnerability of the population to sexual and gender-based
violence.
Women and girls find themselves particularly at risk within the prevailing
chaos. This underscores the urgent need for comprehensive humanitarian
intervention.
Expressing the challenges she faces, Manal Adam Yousif, a woman in her 20s from
the town of Nyala in South Darfur state, told UN Women: “Unfortunately, our
house and all other houses in the neighborhoods were robbed. So, I am very
afraid for the rest of my family. We just fled with the clothes we are wearing …
winter brings many diseases.” She went on to share the difficulties she is
encountering, mentioning that her son and several other children are unwell.
Yousif also highlighted her financial constraints, stating: “I do not have the
money to take (my son) to the hospital. I hope the war will stop and there will
be safety and stability so that we can return to our homes and families.” The
international community must ensure the safety of women and girls in
conflict-affected areas. Addressing this crisis requires a comprehensive and
coordinated approach, including mobilizing international humanitarian
organizations and governments to provide immediate and sustained aid to the
affected regions. They need to deliver emergency relief supplies, including
food, clean water, medical supplies and shelter, to address the pressing needs
of displaced individuals, as well as initiate efforts to restore some of the
critical infrastructure to enhance people’s access to essential services.
Another approach would be to establish mobile healthcare units and clinics to
provide medical assistance to those facing health challenges. This would address
issues such as disease outbreaks, malnutrition and the general well-being of the
population. It would also facilitate access to medical care, especially for
vulnerable groups like children, women and the elderly. In addition, the
international community must ensure the safety of women and girls in
conflict-affected areas. Temporary learning spaces can also be set up in order
to ensure that children affected by displacement continue to have access to
education. Finally, there is a need for robust diplomatic efforts and
negotiations to bring about an end to the conflict. In a nutshell, the dire
situation in Sudan underscores the profound and far-reaching impacts of this
conflict, particularly on the lives of ordinary individuals. There is an urgent
need for a comprehensive and coordinated response from the international
community.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist.
X: @Dr_Rafizadeh
Reading Our World Through an Old Book
Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/January 02/2024
Around thirty years ago, six years before 9/11, "Jihad vs. McWorld" was
published and widely read. It was printed in two editions, each with a different
subtitle: "How Globalism and Tribalism Are Reshaping the World" and "Terrorism's
Threat to Democracy."
The author of the book is the American political theorist Benjamin Barber (who
died in 2017), and his fundamental theory is that our single world is divided in
two: "Jihad" and "McWorld." By "Jihad," Barber was not only referring to
militant Islamic political movements, but broader phenomena entrenching
tribalism among vast segments of the global population through violence,
bloodshed, and the spread of various forms of protectionism, religiosity,
nationalism, and narrow local and identitarian loyalties. Similarly, "McWorld"
transcends McDonald's. It encompasses all the products and symbols of
globalization, from mobile phones and computers to communication technologies,
to fast music..."McWorld" is turning our world into a global network led and
controlled by large corporations, in which commerce and interests dominate and
goods are standardized, rendering it a highly homogenous network. As for "Jihad
World," it is fueled by local grievances that stem from the hatred for anything
that falls outside "our" group, "our" region, or "our" values. "McWorld" is
characterized by the prioritization of the market. Here, capitalism crushes
nationalism in the way that Marx and Engels said it does in their 1848 Communist
Manifesto. Every country, no matter how large, must trade with others in search
of resources it does not possess. Information technology has also become among
the engines powering "McWorld," through its modern, rational formation and its
enlightenment symbols (which postmodernists are skeptical of). The entire world
shares environmental concerns, as we all share the same environment and it
affects us all, and must all share the concern of keeping it clean.
However, "McWorld's" claim that enlightenment and rational universality would
create a more optimized global society driven by globalization has been
contested. Indeed, globalization has come to us in a commercial guise, bearing
highly homogenized, politicized, and bureaucratized fruit. Once we add the
states of exception imposed by its conflict with "Jihad World," we are left with
globalization that has little concern for the spread of modern values, justice,
or equality in the world.
At the end of the day, the only thing it seeks from the world is trade and the
profits of that trade. In turn, capitalism can coexist with all kinds of
political and value systems, so long as they do not obstruct its pursuit of
profit and capital accumulation. Today, we see China presenting us with one of
the latest and most robust testament to this fact.
As for "Jihad World," or "the Lebanonization of the world," its forces, now
called "cultures," are fractious: doctrines, sects, and communities have a
stronger presence here than religions, states, and nations. Unlike the old
nationalisms that unified countries and created peoples, here, we are faced with
factions that fight, exchange hatreds, and splinter relentlessly. Thirty major
or minor wars are raging in our world today (1995) - most of them religious or
ethnic conflicts and the figure is rising.
The Jihadist zeitgeist, therefore, is one of wars that stem from identities and
elevate those identities to an end in themselves, without war being politics by
other means. Religion, in this world, is an arena for war to the death in which
the belligerents seek to subjugate and dominate souls, as the Crusaders had.
Moreover, the prevalence of fundamentalism leads to fragmentation and leaves
religions with nothing left of their supposed capacity for unifying people.
While "Jihad World" nurtures a sense of community among members of the in-group,
outside this group, it has risen through the exclusion, persecution, and
subjugation of the other. Today's (1995) nation-states are all threatened with "Lebanonization,"
whereby culture is pitted against culture, people against people, and tribe
against tribe. The banner of jihad is raised by countless numbers of faiths,
each denouncing social links, integration, civil cooperation, and any give and
take with those who differ.
These two worlds are at odds with one another, and they differ on almost
everything. However, they come together around democracy, which faces a bleak
future. One is openly opposed to democracy, while the other is not concerned
with saving it. For instance, it was notable that only months after the Soviet
Union and the other countries in its bloc fell, the question of democracy took
the back seat to preoccupations with markets and integration into "McWorld,"
just as the countries of former Yugoslavia and the Asian segments of the Soviet
Union were plunged into vicious identitarian civil wars.
Barber's premise was a forerunner. It is undoubtedly more intelligent and
nuanced than the simplifications offered by Francis Fukuyama and Thomas Friedman
at the time, though it opened the door to other questions that crystallized over
the years since its publication. Nonetheless, we are still faced with a world
that is unified and divided at the same time. The conflicts of our planet,
including the war on Gaza, can be placed into what the categories (among many
others) presented by the book. As for those who agree with Barber's thesis,
their location dictates how they should protest: those who live in the "McWorld"
should directly oppose "McWorld", and those who live in the "Jihad" part should
oppose "Jihad" first.
Positioning in Sanaa and Messages to Tehran
Suleiman Jawda/Asharq Al-Awsat/January 02/2024
If someone leans on a stick while walking, he is described as needing others,
and likewise if he leans on another person, he is seeking the help of others
along the way.
This exact meaning was present in the mind of the decision-maker in Washington,
when he asked China to exert pressure on Iran to pressure the Houthi group in
the south of the Red Sea. The administration of US President Joe Biden must have
understood such a meaning from the beginning, and had been aware of it since it
decided to strike the group’s sites in Yemen. However, it appears that
Washington carried out what is called a “situation assessment” after launching
the strikes, and it became clear to it that Beijing’s route to Tehran and from
there to Sanaa, where the group’s members have resided since 2014, is shorter
than the path of the strikes, in addition to the fact that the road that passes
through China to Iran and then to Yemen is less costly at the economic level,
despite its multiple curves and twists.
In mathematics, we know that a straight line is the shortest connecting two
points. This is an accurate mathematical rule in theory. But in a case like the
Houthi attacks on tankers passing through the Red Sea, it becomes clear that
this is not the appropriate rule, and that another, non-straight path is the
shortest to reach the desired point. It is not only a twisted and winding road,
but it is a path that goes straight to the correct location. Washington knows
that it is knocking on the right door to address the problem of the attacks.
Every time one looks at American policy here in the region and around the world,
he realizes what is exactly said about Washington: it does not take the right
path until it has tried all the wrong ones.
When the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia warned of the danger of the group since its
members entered Sanaa in 2014, the administration in Uncle Sam’s country paid no
heed, and treated the matter as if it concerned the Kingdom and no one else.
Riyadh did not despair and repeated the alert on every occasion, while the US
administration kept turning a blind eye to the Saudi warnings.
Today, Saudi Arabia must be watching the American request to China, and thinking
of the poet who kept advising his people, but they did not listen to his advice
until it was too late.
But why is the government of Chinese President Xi Jinping in particular required
to tell the administration of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei about Biden’s wishes?
Why did the American administration not resort to another government other than
the Chinese government in Beijing?
China is not the only country whose trade passes through the Red Sea, as we all
know that 12 percent of the world’s trade crosses this path, so does 40 percent
of trade between the south of Asia and the north of Europe.
There are two reasons: the first is that China has strong ties with Iran, and
that, by virtue of this relationship, it sponsored the agreement that was signed
on March 10, 2023 between Tehran and Riyadh. Since that time, it has continued
to back the arrangement and monitor the extent of compliance with it, especially
by the Iranian side. This is the first reason why the line is open between
Beijing and Tehran, and makes the Chinese able to talk to the Iranians and be
heard. It is also no secret to anyone that the axis that comprises Russia and
China internationally also clearly includes Iran, and therefore, there is a
common language that can be understood by the Iranians when the Chinese speak.
The second reason is that China’s trade passing through the Red Sea to Europe is
mostly the largest, for nothing but the fact that the Chinese economy is the
second biggest in the world. Most of its movement is with the European Union
economy, and this would make the stability of trade in the Red Sea a Chinese
economic priority that surpasses the economic interest of any other country.
This was crystal clear to all who have read a recent report by Reuters, quoting
Chinese officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity and revealed the details
of a message to Iran regarding the need for stability in the Red Sea. They did
not talk about politics, but rather used their usual language of economics,
which they wanted to convey to the office of the Iranian spiritual leader.
China’s trade with the Old Continent cannot tolerate turning around Africa as an
alternative route to the direct passage in the Red Sea. Such route not only
takes a longer time but is also more expensive. As there is no justification for
taking a longer time, nor paying a higher cost, the government in Beijing has
communicated this message to Iran, as reported by the agency. The Chinese memo
arrived in Tehran, with a warning that harm to Chinese trade in the Red Sea in
any way will, in return, be reflected in the relations between the two
countries. As you can see, this is diplomatic rhetoric on the outside, but in
its content lies a message that the Iranian government must understand and
therefore must deal accordingly with the group on the land of Yemen. The truth
is that the United States is not harmed economically by the Red Sea attacks as
it may seem at first glance, and that the attacks even benefit it in terms of
weakening its opponents, but this is certainly another story.