English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For October 29/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For
today
The Judgment Day
Matthew 25/31-46/:”‘When the Son of Man comes in his glory,
and all the angels with him, then he will sit on the throne of his glory.
All the nations will be gathered before him, and he will separate people one
from another as a shepherd separates the sheep from the goats, and he will
put the sheep at his right hand and the goats at the left. Then the king
will say to those at his right hand, “Come, you that are blessed by my
Father, inherit the kingdom prepared for you from the foundation of the
world; for I was hungry and you gave me food, I was thirsty and you gave me
something to drink, I was a stranger and you welcomed me, I was naked and
you gave me clothing, I was sick and you took care of me, I was in prison
and you visited me.” Then the righteous will answer him, “Lord, when was it
that we saw you hungry and gave you food, or thirsty and gave you something
to drink? And when was it that we saw you a stranger and welcomed you, or
naked and gave you clothing? And when was it that we saw you sick or in
prison and visited you?” And the king will answer them, “Truly I tell you,
just as you did it to one of the least of these who are members of my
family, you did it to me.” Then he will say to those at his left hand, “You
that are accursed, depart from me into the eternal fire prepared for the
devil and his angels; for I was hungry and you gave me no food, I was
thirsty and you gave me nothing to drink, I was a stranger and you did not
welcome me, naked and you did not give me clothing, sick and in prison and
you did not visit me.” Then they also will answer, “Lord, when was it that
we saw you hungry or thirsty or a stranger or naked or sick or in prison,
and did not take care of you?” Then he will answer them, “Truly I tell you,
just as you did not do it to one of the least of these, you did not do it to
me.”And these will go away into eternal punishment, but the righteous into
eternal life.’”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News &
Editorials published on October 28-29/2023
Iran's Destructive, Expansionist, Fundamentalist and Jihadist Schemes,
and the Spread of its Armed Proxies Threaten Moderate Arab Countries and their
Societies./Elias Bejjani/October 29/2023
Jihadist Hamas does not serve the Palestinian cause, and its victory will be a
victory for ISIS, fundamentalism, and for the Vicious Iranian mullahs’
Schemes/Elias Bejjani/October 26/2023
Drone strikes stoke tensions as Israel, Hezbollah trade fire
Broken Lebanon cannot afford war, and Hezbollah knows it
Iran FM says militants in Lebanon, region have 'finger on trigger'
New Lebanon-Israel war would devastate both sides, experts say
UN says nearly 29,000 displaced in Lebanon amid border clashes
Shell hits UNIFIL HQ amid fresh Hezbollah-Israel clashes
Lingering threat: Unexploded cluster bombs haunt southern Lebanon
Israel downs missile from Lebanon, shells border areas
Mufti Urges Action Against Israeli Aggression in Meeting with Prime Minister
Hamas spokesperson to LBCI: hostages held by Hamas are considered guests until a
ceasefire is reached
Lebanon court orders Carlos Ghosn out of Beirut home
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous
Reports And News published on October 28-29/2023
Benjamin Netanyahu Confirms That Israeli Troops Are Now In The Gaza Strip
— Update
Netanyahu says the Gaza war has entered a new stage and will be 'long and
difficult'
Israeli troops clear Gaza areas 'slice by slice', but is this an invasion?
Israel sends elite troops into Gaza Strip for ‘long war’
100 Israeli warplanes bomb 150 'underground targets' in the hunt for Hamas
tunnels in Gaza dubbed the 'metro'
Republican presidential candidates profess strong support for Israel as war
enters new phase
NYC protesters demand Israeli cease-fire, at least 200 detained after filling
Grand Central station
Prayers, protests and clashes in Jerusalem and West Bank as Gaza war rages
Palestinians face tight restrictions going into Al-Aqsa for Friday prayers
Mass graves, unclaimed bodies and overcrowded cemeteries. The war robs Gaza of
funeral rites
Palestinian-Canadians worry for relatives as offensive in Gaza ramps up
Hamas is seeking eight Gaza hostages at Russia's request - RIA
Egypt says 'Israeli obstacles' impeding aid delivery to Gaza
The ‘Gaza metro’: The mysterious subterranean tunnel network used by Hamas
Hamas calls Israeli incursion a failure
Palestinian President calls for urgent Arab Summit
Israel's Gallant says Gaza war entered new stage with expanded ground operations
Israel recalls diplomats from Turkey after Erdogan compares Gaza to Holocaust
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on October 28-29/2023
Stronger Action Needed Against Iran/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone
Institute/October 28, 2023
Tehran Makes Its Moves on the Border of Israel Amid Gaza Standoff/Jonathan Spyer/The
Australian/October 28, 2023
Proxy Master/Alberto M. Fernandez/The American Mind /October 28/2023
The Israeli war against Hamas must not be a war against Gaza and its people/Yossi
Mekelberg/Arab News/October 28, 2023
A distracted world cannot afford to ignore Sudan’s growing plight/Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab
News/October 28, 2023
Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News &
Editorials published on October 27-28/2023
Iran's Destructive, Expansionist,
Fundamentalist and Jihadist Schemes, and the Spread of its Armed Proxies
Threaten Moderate Arab Countries and their Societies.
Elias Bejjani/October 29/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/123688/123688/
In the turbulent landscape of the Middle East, a sinister and destructive force
has stealthily crept into the region, posing a severe threat to the very fabric
of Arab moderation and stability. Iran, with its sponsorship of various Jihadist
terrorist groups and proxy entities, has skillfully woven a web of influence
that now stretches across several Arab nations, and its strategy bears serious
implications for the entire region.
The Iranian Global Jihadist Agenda
Iran's nefarious influence in the region hinges on its persistent promotion of
its Shiites' Jihadist expansionism and ideology of a satanic agenda. Through its
sponsorship of extremist groups like Hamas, Hezbollah, and various militia
factions, Iran actively fuels radicalism and terrorism. These Jihadist
organizations, driven by an extremist ideology, undermine the stability of Arab
nations, pushing them farther away from the path of moderation.
The Occupation of Lebanon
One of the most glaring examples of Iran's predatory agenda is its occupation of
Lebanon through its terrorist and criminal proxy, Hezbollah that was once
camouflaged as a resistance movement against Israeli occupation, has now exposed
its deeply rooted affiliation to the Iranian scheme of expansionism and Jihadist
destructive strategy. Hezbollah, the most powerful Iranian terrorist and
Jihadist proxy, has openly and boldly evolved into a well-armed and highly
destabilizing force, acting as Iran's long arm in the region. Hezbollah's
actions have plunged Lebanon into political turmoil, eroding its sovereignty,
and sowing discord among its diverse communities. It is worth mentioning that,
Hezbollah is designated as a terrorist organization by several countries and
international bodies, including the United States, Canada, the European Union,
Israel, the Gulf Cooperation Council, and the Arab League, among others. It is
considered a Shiite militant group based in Lebanon with close ties to Iran.
Iranian Schemes of Terrorism
Iran's involvement in orchestrating acts of terrorism across the Middle East,
especially in Lebanon, Gaza, Syria, Iraq and Yemen is well understated by
analysts and reputable thinking tanks' entities. From supporting Houthi rebels
in Yemen, Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Popular Mobilization Militias in
Iraq, to militarily supporting the Syrian dictator, Al-Assad regime, Iran
has consistently employed terror as a means to achieve its geopolitical goals.
This reckless approach only deepens the chaos and insecurity plaguing the
region.
The Gaza Strip and Iran's Role
The ongoing war in the Gaza Strip serves as another distressing chapter in
Iran's Jihadist-expansionism playbook. While the Palestinian issue is a
legitimate and crucial concern for many in the Arab world, Iran's support for
its proxy, the Jihadist Hamas, has exacerbated the conflict. Iran's provision of
weaponry and financial support to Hamas fuels the flames of war, putting
civilian lives at risk and exacerbating the suffering of the people of Gaza.
The Urgent Need for Resistance
To counter Iran's destructive strategy and the proliferation of its evil
Jihadist ideologies, Arab nations must unite and strengthen their resolve.
Cooperation is essential in facing the multifaceted threat that Iran represents,
that not only endangers the Arab countries' stability. In this regard,
initiatives should be taken to counter extremist narratives, promote moderation,
and dismantle the support networks that prop up these Jihadist entities.
Conclusion:
Iran's destructive strategy, fueled by a Jihadist agenda and a web of proxy
entities, has plunged the Middle East into a state of turmoil and instability.
The Arab world must stand together to combat this threat, preserve their
cultural heritage, and uphold the values of moderation, tolerance, and peace
that have been at the core of their rich history. Only through unity and a
resolute commitment to these principles can they hope to emerge from the shadow
of Iran's destructive influence and secure a brighter, more stable future for
their nations.
Jihadist Hamas does not serve the
Palestinian cause, and its victory will be a victory for ISIS, fundamentalism,
and for the Vicious Iranian mullahs’ Schemes
Elias Bejjani/October 26/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/123570/123570/
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas: “Hamas actions” do not represent the
Palestinian people… and the PLO is the only legitimate representative.”
When trying to understand the political dilemma in the Middle East, it is
imperative to deeply focus on the dangers and threats posed by terrorist,
jihadist, and ideologically driven organizations such as Hamas, Hezbollah, ISIS,
Houthies, and all the Muslim Brotherhood Islamic Jihadit’s offspring.
These groups represent a serious and significant threat to peace, security, and
stability, not only in the Middle East, but also in all countries worldwide.
It is crucial to keep in mind that Hamas is a jihadist organization with
ideological ties to the Muslim Brotherhood, Hezbollah, the Iranian regime, ISIS,
Al-Qaeda, Turkey’s Erdogan and the Qatar Emirate etc.
If left unchecked and the Jihadists emerge victorious in Gaza’s ongoing war
since the seventh of this month, there will be catastrophic consequences and
dangers for various regional and international affairs, including a serious
threat to moderate Arab and Gulf states’ regimes.
Hamas, and as the Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abass stated on October
15/2023: “Its actions” do not represent the Palestinian people… and the PLO is
the only legitimate representative”.
Hamas’s success in the Gaza war will undermine regional security and stability,
ignite destructive populist hysteria, and trigger a wave of military coups that
may target several Arab countries.
Hamas’s success will pose a significant threat to moderate Arab regimes and have
highly negative consequences for strengthening the influence and presence of
extremists in the region, and increasing their popularity among the youth.
Such a new imposed status could force many Arab and Islamic governments to
abandon their moderate principles, in a bid to maintain domestic stability and
avoid popular pressure.
Meanwhile, many political Islamic leaders may view Hamas’s success as an
opportunity to achieve their jihadist, religious, and ideological goals, and
could drive them to endorse and lead violent acts and angry popular protests
that marginalize and threaten national identities, and also undermine peace and
stability.
With the possibility of escalating tensions and disruptions in some Arab
countries, military coups may occur, as the military Generals in these countries
may see themselves responsible for maintaining stability and restoring order,
which would impact democracy, freedoms, and a return to an era of regimes ruled
by their military.
In conclusion, the jihadist success of Hamas, or any other jihadist terrorist
organization poses a serious threat to security, stability, and peace in the
region. At the same time, the repercussions of Hamas’s success on the fate of
moderate Arab regimes, the spread of hysterical and impulsive uprisings among
the people, and the likelihood of military coups cannot be ignored.
Addressing these fundamental challenges posed by Hamas, Hezbollah, and their
patron, the Iranian regime, requires immediate and serious cooperation from all
moderate Arab countries, their societies, intellectuals, and moderate leaders to
coordinate openly with the free Western world in a bid to combat terrorism and
promote stability in the region.
Such world-wide endeavors MUST also involve plans to diminishing Iran’s
influence and ending its proxies, especially Hezbollah, in addition to openly
and courageously supporting moderate and democratic forces.
Drone strikes stoke tensions as Israel, Hezbollah trade
fire
Arab News/October 28, 2023
BEIRUT: Israeli drones on Saturday fired three missiles at a site in Jabal Safi
in Lebanon’s Iqlim Al-Tuffah area, about 20 km from the border demarcation line.
It was a second violation of Lebanese airspace by Israeli forces in the past 21
days amid growing tensions with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon against the
backdrop of the Gaza war. A shell also struck the perimeter fence of the UNIFIL
headquarters in Naqoura, causing minor damage. A Hezbollah surface-to-air
missile fired at one of the drones was intercepted and destroyed by an Iron Dome
missile. Activists on social media platforms shared footage of the remains of a
Patriot missile east of Tyre. Last week, an Israeli drone targeted the Birket
Jabbour area in Jabal Al-Rihan, north of the Litani River. The latest exchange
of fire came after the Israeli army said that it is “targeting Hezbollah
infrastructure on Lebanese territory.”
Israeli reconnaissance aircraft flew over the southern border region at medium
altitude. Avichay Adraee, the Israeli army spokesperson, said that an Israeli
drone targeted an armed Hezbollah cell that was trying to launch anti-tank
missiles toward Hanita in northern Israel. In southern Lebanon, Israeli forces
fired more than 20 incendiary shells on the outskirts of Labbouneh in Naqoura.
Israeli phosphorus shells also set fire to areas near Alma Al-Shaab.
Firefighters trying to reach the scene were forced to withdraw because of
Israeli shelling. A Lebanese medical association warned Israel against using
internationally prohibited phosphorus shells, and urged authorities to take
samples, especially from the skin in case of injuries, to document any abuses.
It also advised “fighters and citizens to place a wet cloth on the mouth and
nose to avoid suffocation.” The US reiterated its call for its nationals in
Lebanon to leave while commercial flights remain available, “due to the
unpredictable security situation.” The US Embassy said on X: “There is no
guarantee the US government will evacuate private US citizens and their family
members in a crisis situation.” A circular issued by the Lebanese Civil Aviation
Authority on Friday regarding an emergency plan to evacuate the airport if
necessary caused confusion among the public. Fadi Al-Hassan, acting
director-general of civil aviation, said: “The Beirut Rafic Hariri International
Airport is still operating normally. As of now, two airlines have suspended
their flights to Beirut, Lufthansa and Saudia, while the rest are still
operating normally.”Al-Hassan said that between 4,000 and 5,000 passengers
arrive in Lebanon every day, while the number of departing passengers ranges
from 6,000 to 7,000. “The numbers are very reasonable given the current
circumstances,” he said. Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati and Lebanon’s
Grand Mufti Sheikh Abdul Latif Deryan met to discuss developments in the Gaza
Strip. Mikati said that “the government is engaged in diplomatic and political
efforts, both regionally and internationally, to stop the Israeli aggression on
southern Lebanon and Gaza.”He said that the government has “an emergency plan to
contain the repercussions of what might happen.”Sheikh Nabil Qaouq, a member of
Hezbollah’s Central Council, said that “the resistance on the ground is
monitoring the aggression on Gaza.” He added: “It is ready for all scenarios and
has set up many surprises,” and warned that the US should be in no doubt about
Hezbollah’s stance. “We do not wish to reassure (the US), but rather, we want
them to become increasingly concerned,” he said.
INSIGHT-Broken Lebanon cannot afford war, and Hezbollah
knows it
Laila Bassam, Tom Perry/Reuters/BEIRUT, October 28/2023
Lebanese state paralysed since financial collapse four years ago
Big questions over who would pay to rebuild after any war
Hezbollah battles Israel but has no interest in big war-source
'Totally unacceptable' for Hezbollah to call the shots-opponent
With an economy in ruins and a crumbling state, Lebanon can ill afford another
war between Hezbollah and Israel.
Iran-backed Hezbollah knows this and is keeping Lebanon's crises in mind as it
plots the next steps in the conflict with Israel, sources say. As the war
between Israel and Hezbollah's Palestinian ally Hamas reverberates across the
Middle East, the risk of war between Hezbollah and Israel remains higher than at
any point since their last big conflict in 2006. Analysts say the Shi'ite group
could escalate if Hamas appears to be on the ropes in the Gaza Strip 200 km (130
miles) away, while Lebanese leaders fear Israel could chose to instigate a major
conflict with Hezbollah. But with Israel warning Hezbollah it would wreak
"devastation" upon Lebanon were the group to open the front, the costs of any
war loom large in a country already suffering one of the most destabilising
phases since its 1975-90 civil war. "Hezbollah has no interest in war. Lebanon
has no interest in war", a source familiar with Hezbollah thinking said. The
group did not want to see the country destroyed and Lebanese fleeing from the
south as thousands already have, the source said. With state coffers empty, many
also wonder who would pay to rebuild. Some question whether Sunni-led Gulf Arab
states that financed reconstruction in 2006 would rush to help this time, given
Hezbollah's bigger role in Lebanon. Hezbollah's clashes with Israeli forces at
the border have been calibrated to avoid major escalation so far, sources say,
though as of Friday 47 of its fighters have been killed since the Hamas-Israel
war erupted. However, Hezbollah has also indicated a readiness for war,
reflecting its position as the spearhead of an Iran-backed alliance against
Israel and the United States. Lebanese politicians have urged Hezbollah not to
escalate, though they have little to no sway over its decisions. "The fate of
Lebanon is at stake," Druze leader Walid Jumblatt said, calling this perhaps the
most dangerous phase he had seen in his political career. He said there was
nothing Lebanese could do to stop a war instigated by Israel. "But from our
side, we must control matters, via dialogue and advising the brothers in
Hezbollah to keep the rules of engagement as they are," he said in comments to
media.
'LEBANON WILL PAY'
Israeli President Isaac Herzog has said Israel was not looking for a
confrontation on its northern border "but if Hezbollah drags us into war it
should be clear that Lebanon will pay the price". One of Hezbollah's closest
allies, the Christian politician Suleiman Frangieh, said on Wednesday the group
did not want war. If it had, Hezbollah fighters would have stormed Israel on
Oct. 7 as Hamas did from Gaza, he said. One senior Lebanese official said
governments had contacted Lebanon to cool tensions. "We're telling them that
instead of telling us to restrain Hezbollah, they need to put pressure on the
Israelis not to escalate," he said. The last several years have been
particularly difficult for Lebanon, which has known little stability since
independence and endured wars including Israeli invasions in 1978 and 1982.
Decades of corruption and mismanagement by ruling politicians led the financial
system to collapse in 2019, wiping out savings, demolishing the currency and
fuelling poverty. The following year, Beirut was shattered by a huge chemicals
explosion at the port. Hezbollah used its sway to help derail an investigation
that sought to prosecute some of its allies, calling it politicised. Tensions
led to deadly violence. The state is barely functioning, while factional
squabbling has left it without a president and a fully empowered government.
Nabil Boumonsef, deputy editor-in-chief of Annahar newspaper, said any war would
be far more destructive than 2006, while Lebanon did not have a government
capable of managing the fallout. "We would be facing a scenario of real terror -
the destruction of the infrastructure in Lebanon and aborting any prospect of
economic recovery," he said. Lebanon took years to rebuild from the 2006 war
which killed 1,200 people in Lebanon, mostly civilians, and 158 Israelis, most
of them soldiers. After the war, which began after Hezbollah kidnapped two
Israeli soldiers and killed others in a cross-border raid, Hezbollah leader
Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said the group had not anticipated war and would not
have carried out the operation if he had known it would lead to such a conflict.
'CALLING THE SHOTS'
Seventeen years later, Hezbollah's massively expanded arsenal has cemented a
power balance in its favour to the dismay of opponents who say the group is once
again deciding matters of war and peace. "They are calling the shots. This is
totally unacceptable," said Ghassan Hasbani, a leading member of the Lebanese
Forces party, a Christian faction staunchly opposed to Hezbollah. "There are
serious concerns about Lebanon being dragged into a destructive confrontation by
Hezbollah, at a time when the fragility of its social and economic situation
mean it cannot sustain any further instability." Mohanad Hage Ali of the
Carnegie Middle East Center said Hezbollah would be thinking hard about how
reconstruction would be financed after any war, with questions over whether Gulf
Arab states would help and how much cash Iran could provide. "If there is no
reconstruction, there is definitely a political cost for the organisation
...People will ask questions, and there will be widespread anger."
Iran FM says militants in Lebanon, region have 'finger on
trigger'
Agence France Presse/October 28, 2023
Iran's foreign minister has warned that Lebanese and Palestinian militants had
their "finger on the trigger" in anticipation of an Israeli ground offensive in
the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip. Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian
however insisted that Tehran-backed militants would decide on their own to take
action if Israel continued its war on Hamas. "What I gathered from what I heard
from them and the plans that they have -- they have their finger on the
trigger," Abdollahian said of Lebanese and Palestinian militants he has met.
Speaking to U.S. National Public Radio from the United Nations, where he was
attending a General Assembly session on the crisis, Abdollahian said the
militants' actions would be "much more powerful and deeper than what you’ve
witnessed." "Therefore I believe that if this situation continues and women and
children and civilians are still killed in Gaza and the West Bank, anything will
be possible," he said. "We don't really want this conflict to spread out," he
added. His remarks came after U.S. President Joe Biden ordered air strikes on
two sites in Syria said to be used by Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards. The
Pentagon cast the strikes as measured retaliation after strikes by
Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Syria that left one U.S. citizen contractor
dead from a cardiac incident and 21 U.S. military personnel with minor injuries.
New Lebanon-Israel war would devastate both sides, experts
say
UPI/Dalal Saoud Lebanon, October 28/2023
Israel-Hezbollah border clashes, which broke out with the raging Israel-Hamas
war, were relatively contained, with new rules of engagement. But a full-scale
war cannot be ruled out, Lebanese analysts told UPI. It wouldn't be the first
wide military confrontation between the two arch-enemies. However, it is feared
that it would be much more devastating -- for both sides this time -- and could
lead to a broader regional war. Lebanon cannot afford another war while it is
still on the verge of collapse amid a years-long financial crisis. It has been
without a president since October 2022, with only a caretaker government to run
the country, a paralyzed public sector, a fragile healthcare system and 80% of
the population living in poverty. Meanwhile, the stunning Hamas "Operation Al-Aqsa
Flood" on Oct. 7 has Israel in disarray and limited its ability to fight on
multiple fronts. Iran-backed Hezbollah, which has grown in power since the last
round of fighting with Israel in 2006, can now inflict much more damage to
Israel, armed with 100,000 fighters and a vast arsenal, including precision
missiles. Triggers for a full-scale war may include Israel's planned ground
operation in Gaza, Hamas' defeat or Israel initiating a war in Lebanon.
Neither wants war
Firas Maksad, senior fellow and director of Strategic Outreach at the
Washington-based Middle East Institute, said neither Hezbollah nor Israel wants
a full and destructive war, for their own reasons. Hezbollah "is achieving one
of its key objectives without having to incur the cost of a full-on war;
primarily harassing, distracting and forcing Israel to redeploy resources away
from Hamas and Gaza," he said. Israel has moved more than 100,000 soldiers onto
its northern front. "I don't see a push for a direct confrontation, at least one
that goes beyond the scale of what we are currently seeing," Maksad said. "That
said, there are lots of room for errors." Hezbollah is not likely to risk
another war with Israel due to Lebanon's precarious situation and the large
destruction and the number of casualties (nearly 1,200 dead and 4,400 wounded,
mostly civilians) and displaced (975,000) during the 2006 war.
Today, 29,000 Lebanese have moved out of the southern border areas where clashes
have so far killed 52 Hezbollah fighters. "I am convinced that Hezbollah will
not trigger a war because it knows the price for this... In 2006, he was the
hero," said Sami Nader, Middle Eastern affairs analyst and director of the
Levant Institute for Strategic Affairs. Nader referred to many "hurdles" that
would obstruct any military adventures, naming the country's financial collapse,
the 2020 Beirut port explosion that killed 251 people and destroyed large parts
of the capital, the economy that shrunk 60%, in addition to the burden of
hosting some 2.5 million displaced Syrians and Palestinian refugees.
Footage showing the high casualty toll and destruction inflicted by Israel's
relentless bombing on Gaza since Oct. 7 is another factor. "It depends on where
the Israelis will stop and what's the aim target of their operation," Nader told
UPI. The United States, which has dispatched an aircraft carrier group to the
eastern Mediterranean, and other European countries have been exerting pressure
on the Lebanese government to keep Hezbollah away. Nicolas Nahas, adviser to
caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, said the expansion of the Israel-Hamas
war is in no one's interest. "We asked all parties to exert self-restraint... We
want to keep Lebanon away from any implications, anything that happens in Gaza,"
Nahas told UPI, emphasizing that Israel should refrain from any "reaction"
against Lebanon. However, it is not the government but rather Hezbollah,
Lebanon's most powerful group, which decides on war. This is a reality that the
world knows well.
Lebanon's resilience and ability to survive any war is almost zero.
"In 2006, we were in a much better situation. Today, it is clear that the
government has limited capacities. It is clear what the Lebanese's conditions
are," Nahas said. "In 2006, Lebanon's state budget was $17 billion. We are now
at $2 billion to $3 billion. It is bad." Israel is equally under a lot of
pressure -- despite a green light from Washington -- to delay and contain its
operation in Gaza, as well as to allow for "hostage diplomacy" by the Biden
administration, Maksad said. "The U.S. has lots of interest in freeing not only
the American hostages but also international and possibly Israeli civilian
hostages," he said. "Also, they are using the pretext of justifications that the
Israeli war plans are not adequate." Maksad cautioned that an Israeli invasion
of Gaza would be "a very complicated urban warfare" that "does not solve their
Hamas problem."Iran and Hezbollah, too, have "a very difficult choice ahead"
once a ground offensive commences in Gaza: Hamas finding itself on its back foot
and Israel making progress toward destroying or significantly degrading Hamas'
military infrastructure. "That very much then would undermine Iran and
Hezbollah's multi-front strategy," Maksad said. "They fear that they would be
that much more exposed if Hamas is destroyed or degraded. So they will have very
difficult choices whether to enter a full-scale war on behalf of Hamas with
perhaps futile effort to try and save it, or to sit back and allow it to
happen."Stepping up attacks on Israeli and U.S. targets from various fronts is
an option, but they will remain "just below the threshold of a full-scale war,"
he said. "Again it would be a risky situation that is rife with possible
unintended consequences."Meanwhile, mediation efforts involving the United
States and many other regional parties are underway to contain the conflict,
release the Hamas-held hostages and achieve a cease-fire. "We are still in the
process of threats and counter-threats.... Diplomacy still has a way to go,"
Maksad said. "For now, there is no light at the end of the tunnel, with
significant risks ahead in the days and weeks to come."
UN says nearly 29,000 displaced in Lebanon amid border
clashes
Agence France Presse/October 28, 2023
Nearly 29,000 people have been displaced in Lebanon amid deadly exchanges
between Hezbollah fighters and the Israeli army, a United Nations agency. A
total of 28,965 people have been displaced, mainly in the country's south, the
International Organization for Migration said in an update, adding that the
figure had risen by 37 percent since October 23. Some have found refuge with
family members elsewhere in the country, while those who can afford it have been
able to rent apartments on a short-term basis. But with Lebanon in the grips of
an economic crisis that has plunged most of the population into poverty, some
are living in makeshift shelters in the south's larger towns. At least 58 people
have been killed in the cross-border exchanges of fire in south Lebanon, most of
them Hezbollah fighters but also including at least four civilians, one of them
Reuters journalist Issam Abdallah.
Shell hits UNIFIL HQ amid fresh Hezbollah-Israel clashes
Agence France Presse/October 28, 2023
A shell hit the headquarters of the U.N. peacekeeping mission in south Lebanon
on Saturday, its spokesman said in the second such incident since the Israel-Hamas
war erupted in Gaza. "A shell hit inside the base" in Naqoura, said Andrea
Tenenti, spokesperson for the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon,
indicating there were "no injuries but some damage." He said UNIFIL was seeking
to verify who fired the shell. A Lebanese military source, who spoke on
condition of anonymity as they were not authorized to talk to the media, said
"an Israeli shell penetrated the cement wall" around the UNIFIL headquarters.
Since Palestinian militant group Hamas carried out an unprecedented attack on
Israel from the Gaza Strip on October 7, Lebanon's southern border has seen
tit-for-tat exchanges between Israel and the Iran-backed Hezbollah, a Hamas
ally. The shell did not explode, a UNIFIL statement said, adding that "several
of our other positions have also sustained damage in the past three weeks" and
urging "all parties to immediately cease fire." On October 15, UNIFIL said its
headquarters was struck by a rocket but nobody was hurt. Hezbollah said it
attacked a number of Israeli positions on Saturday, using artillery, guided
missiles and other weapons. Israel's army confirmed that "several anti-tank
missile and mortar shell launches" had been fired at its posts along the border,
indicating they "fell in open areas."It said its tanks and artillery were
"responding with fire toward the origin of the launches and striking Hezbollah
military infrastructure in Lebanon." Lebanon's official National News Agency (NNA)
reported Israeli shelling at several locations along the border, while "a
hostile drone" carried out three strikes in an area more than 20 kilometers from
the frontier. The cross-border skirmishes have killed at least 58 people in
Lebanon, according to an AFP tally, mostly Hezbollah combatants but also four
civilians, including Reuters journalist Issam Abdallah. At least four people
have been killed on the Israeli side, including one civilian. The unrest has
displaced nearly 29,000 people across Lebanon, according to the International
Organization for Migration.
Lingering threat: Unexploded cluster bombs haunt southern
Lebanon
LBCI/October 28, 2023
Southern Lebanese border villages continue to pay the price for Israel's actions
during the July 2006 war, when they left behind 4 million banned cluster
munitions, which were internationally forbidden but were used during the war.
Since the end of the war and the return of residents to their villages, these
unexploded munitions have claimed the lives of 200 individuals. As part of an
international agreement, the Lebanese Army has diligently worked on their
removal. The priority has been on clearing roads, followed by residential areas,
and finally, agricultural zones. Up to 90% of these cluster munitions have been
successfully removed, with the gradual elimination of the remaining artillery
targeted for completion by 2026, as outlined in a new international agreement.
In the past 48 hours, the residents of villages in the Alma Al Shaab and Naqoura
regions have heard the detonations of the remaining unexploded cluster bombs
ignited by Israeli airstrikes causing wildfires. Despite enduring Israeli
airstrikes and the use of white phosphorus and cluster bombs, many of Naqoura's
residents steadfastly refuse to leave. Residents near Ras Naqoura hold firm in
their belief in the possibility of survival. Therefore, Naqoura, a border
village in southern Lebanon, stands as a unique model of resilience, where life
persists, even amid the echoes of explosions.
Israel downs missile from Lebanon, shells border areas
Associated Press/October 28, 2023
Israel’s military announced it shot down a surface-to-air missile fired at an
Israeli drone from Lebanon Saturday. It was not immediately clear if the missile
was fired by Lebanon’s Hezbollah. Lebanese security officials said two missiles
were fired toward an Israeli drone flying over Lebanon but did not hit the
target. The explosion of an Israeli interceptor missile was meanwhile heard over
Lebanon's Tyre region. The Israeli army said it attacked the site from which the
missile was fired at its drone, as Lebanese media reports said an Israeli drone
bombed the heights of Lebanon's Jabal Safi, which lies around 25 kilometers away
from the border. The Israeli army later said that an Israeli drone targeted a
cell that was trying to fire anti-tank missiles from Lebanon at Israel's Hanita.
Al-Hadath television meanwhile reported Israeli shelling on the Lebanese border
areas of Naqoura, Alma al-Shaab and al-Labbouneh, noting that the shelling
triggered blazes in the area. Machinegun fire was also reported in the area. The
Israeli army had earlier announced that a warplane had attacked "Hezbollah
military infrastructure" in south Lebanon overnight in response to "rockets
fired from Lebanon at Israel that landed in Syria."
Mufti Urges Action Against Israeli Aggression in Meeting with Prime Minister
LBCI/October 28, 2023
Lebanese Mufti Sheikh Abdel Latif Darian and Caretaker Prime Minister Najib
Mikati discussed on Saturday various issues in Lebanon and the Arab world,
particularly the Israeli aggression on Gaza and southern Lebanon. The discussion
took place during a meeting before Mikati joined a session of the Higher Islamic
Shiite Council. Mikati affirmed that "the government is engaged in diplomatic
and political efforts, both regionally and internationally, to stop the Israeli
aggression on southern Lebanon and Gaza." He emphasized that the government has
prepared an emergency plan to mitigate the consequences of the Israeli
aggression in the south and the ongoing attacks on Palestinian brethren. Mufti
Darian expressed his commitment to supporting the government in its national and
unifying work, despite the obstacles and challenges facing Lebanon due to
consecutive crises. He praised Mikati's efforts, initiatives, and communications
in this regard. He expressed hope that the pressure exerted on the Israeli enemy
would succeed in stopping the crimes and collective punishment in Gaza and the
continuous Israeli violations of Lebanese territory.
Hamas spokesperson to LBCI: hostages held by Hamas are
considered guests until a ceasefire is reached
LBCI/October 28, 2023
Spokesperson for the Hamas movement, Jihad Taha, affirmed on Saturday that
civilian hostages held by Hamas are considered guests by the resistance until a
ceasefire is reached in the Gaza Strip. In an interview on LBCI’s "Naharkom
Said" TV show, Taha pointed out that regional and international negotiations and
initiatives regarding the hostages file are ongoing. On another note, Taha
believed that Israelis will not dare to conduct a ground incursion due to
political divisions within Israel. Additionally, the absence of comprehensive
international cover for such an incursion and the presence of dozens of hostages
in the hands of the resistance act as deterrent factors. He emphasized that all
current Israeli ground attempts in the Gaza Strip have faced fierce resistance.
Taha highlighted the resistance's success in destroying Israeli tanks using
Kornet and Yassin missiles.
Lebanon court orders Carlos Ghosn out of Beirut home
Agence France Presse/October 28, 2023
A Lebanese judge has decided to evict former Nissan boss Carlos Ghosn from his
luxury home, a judicial official said Saturday, four years after an investment
firm accused him of "trespassing."Ghosn, who took up residency in the Beirut
property after fleeing prosecution Japan in 2019, appealed the ruling on Friday,
the official added, requesting anonymity as they were not authorized to speak to
the media. Ghosn and his wife must "vacate the property... within a month,"
according to a copy of the decision seen by AFP and dated October 16. The home
with pink walls in the Lebanese capital's upscale Ashrafieh neighborhood is
worth some $19 million and is registered to Lebanese company Phoinos Investment,
the judicial official said. Phoinos initiated the legal action in 2019 and has
accused Ghosn of "trespassing on private property and living in the home without
legal basis," the official added. According to the court document, Ghosn said
the company was affiliated with Nissan and that "the property was purchased...
for his residence, and there is a signed agreement with Nissan that grants him
the right to reside" there. Ghosn occupied the home "according to a contractual
relationship linking... Ghosn and Nissan," the decision said. However, the end
of that relationship and the plaintiff's wish to retake the property invalidates
"the legal basis" of his occupancy, it added. Ghosn, the former chairman and
chief executive of the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance, was arrested in Japan
in November 2018 on suspicion of financial misconduct, before being sacked by
Nissan's board in a unanimous decision. He jumped bail late the following year
and made a dramatic escape from Japan hidden in an audio-equipment box, landing
in Beirut, where he remains an international fugitive. Ghosn has always denied
the charges against him, arguing they were cooked up by Nissan executives who
opposed his attempts to more closely integrate the firm with French partner
Renault. Japan and France have sought his arrest, but Lebanon does not extradite
its citizens, and judicial authorities have slapped a travel ban on Ghosn, who
holds Lebanese, French and Brazilian nationality.
Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published on October 28-29/2023
Benjamin Netanyahu Confirms That Israeli
Troops Are Now In The Gaza Strip — Update
Dominic Patten, Ted Johnson/Deadline/October 28, 2023
UPDATE: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that Israeli soldiers are
now in the Gaza strip, in what he characterized as the next stage of the war
with Hamas.
Appearing at a press conference that was covered on major news networks,
Netanyahu said that ground forces have gone into Gaza, entering the terrritory
through the “gates of evil,” with the objective of eradicating Hamas’ military
capabilities and to retrieve hostages.
“Our brave troops and combatants are now in Gaza or around Gaza,” he said. He
also pushed back against accusations that Israel was committing war crimes,
saying that it was Hamas that was using people as “human shields,” per the BBC.
He said that Israeli Defense Forces were taking steps to try to protect
civilians.
Netanyahu said that the Israeli troops “are deployed all over’ the Gaza strip.
He said that they decided to expand operations in Gaza in a “very educated”
manner.
“This will be a long and difficult war,” Netanyahu said, while assuring Israeli
citizens that they would win.
Per the BBC, Netanyahu said that “we will fight and we will not surrender. We
will not withdraw.”
PREVIOUSLY, FRIDAY: The Fox News chyron read “Israel’s Ground Invasion About To
Begin,” as news networks continued their watch for a potential invasion
overnight.
On CNN, Israeli government spokesman Eylon Levy told Erin Burnett, “I am not
going to speculate as to whether this is the invasion.”
But throughout the evening, networks offered an array of analysts to give their
takes on whether the stepped up bombing in Gaza was a prelude to an invasion.
Earlier in the afternoon, former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said, “We have
to be careful not to jump to conclusions here.” He said that Israel could be
creating a “buffer zone” in advance of troops moving in to Gaza.
The Israeli Defense Forces said it was “expanding ground operations” in the
region, with Axios’ Barak Ravid reporting incursions in northern Gaza.
Networks also continued to schedule special programming, with Hallie Jackson
anchoring The Breakdown: Israel-Hamas War on NBC News Now.
PREVIOUSLY: A surge of Israeli airstrikes over Gaza this morning and
announcements of further military action has cable news anticipating a ground
invasion of the Hamas-run jurisdiction could finally be starting.
“Clearly something is happening tonight,” Fox News’ Trey Yingst said live at
just before 10 pm local time from the Gaza border. “We don’t want to speculate,
or call this it for what it could be, because we need to wait and we need to be
patient here, but this is unlike any other night we have covered, we’ve been out
here the past 21 days,” the correspondent added under self-described “heavy
fire” as tanks moved behind him and and weapons fire exploded.
“We Will Not Let Them Win”: Israeli Delegate Who Attended Last Week’s Mipcom
Explains Why He Journeyed To Cannes Amidst The Conflict
“We do not have confirmation on exactly what’s happening on the ground,” CNN’s
Anderson Cooper told viewers Friday live from Israel as the night lit up behind
him also. “We simply do not know,” the BBC said said as what have been termed
“limited operations” by Israeli ground forces commenced.
“We are beefing up the pressure on Hamas,” Mark Regev of Israeli Prime Minister
Netanyahu’s office told Fox’s Martha Bowes MacCallum in an interview from
Jerusalem just after noon West Coast time. “I can’t be more specific of course
at this stage, but Hamas is feeling now Israel’s might.” Appearing minutes later
on MSNBC, Regev referred to today’s operation as “payback” for Hamas’ shocking
and murderous offensive into Israel almost three weeks ago.
From the White House, the National Security Council’s John Kirby said the Biden
administration was not going to “get into the habit of chiming in from the
sidelines.” In another sign of the administration’s strong support for the
Jewish state, Kirby added, “the US will not draw Red Lines for Israel.”
Jordanian’s Foreign Minister Friday said a “humanitarian catastrophe of epic
proportions” will be one of the results of Israel’s estimated 300,000 troops
moving into Gaza after Hamas leadership.
Earlier this morning, Israeli Defense Forces spokesperson Brig. General Daniel
Hagari bluntly said in a press conference: “The ground forces are expanding
their operations tonight.” Declaring that the airstrikes were targeting
“terrorist infrastructure,” he added that the holding of over 200 hostages by
Hamas and rumors of a wide-spread release is a form of “psychological terror.”
Brig General Hagari went on to say, that talks on the hostages are ongoing.
“This is an extended ground raid,” he also said of the troop moves.
CNN, MSNBC, Fox News, and the BBC World News all went live with Hagari’s remarks
as part of their already in process coverage of the conflict. Having cut in with
special reports on numerous occasions since Hamas’ surprise attack on Israel on
October 7, broadcast networks stayed with their regularly scheduled programming
Friday.
The terror raid on the Jewish state left over 1400 dead and hundreds captured in
the worst attack on Jews since the Second World War. In the weeks since October
7, Israeli airstrikes have left thousands dead and hundreds of thousands ordered
to evacuate.
Live from Israel, CNN’s Nic Robertson in the past hour said live on air that
“perhaps indicates that troops are engaged in some level of fire fight on the
ground inside of Gaza right now. The network’s International Diplomatic Editor
added: “We can’t define it, we can’t know it for sure …it’s all indicative of
what the IDF has been speaking about, about using greater force, about expanding
the incursions that have been going on over the past couple of nights.”
“Israeli troops are on the move here along the Gaza border,” Fox News’ Yingst
also noted on the Rupert Murdoch-owned channel with the sounds of artillery
explosions and trucks in the background. “It’s getting louder and louder as they
go up this ridge behind us …it’s an indication that these troops are moving
closer to the border …for limited raids.”
While nothing official, events were moving very fast. Cell service and online
communications have gone down in Gaza, reports say. Fox’s Yingst noted that only
those in Gaza City with “foreign SIM cards” can call out right now.
“We are seeing an intensification of explosives over and in the Gaza strip more
than we’ve seen in recent days, said CNN’s Jake Tapper a couple of hours ago
from a late-night Tel Aviv, with Cooper by his side. “The IDF, Israeli Defense
Forces, have not commented on what seems to be a definitive uptick in military
activity. They are not commenting whether there has been officially any
upscaling of their operations targeting Hamas.”
Fox’s Yingst said earlier Friday: “The sun went down a few hours ago and the
Israelis have been ramping up airstrikes all along the Gaza strip…massive
explosions behind us …roar of Israeli fighter jets overhead.” In a helmet and
vest, Vingst noted the “limited ground incursions” by IDF over the past 48 hours
and added of today’s action from the air: “This is significant though tonight,
because over the past 21 days we have not seen any sort of bombardment like we
are witnessing unfolding here in Southern Israel.”
Netanyahu says the Gaza war has entered a new stage and
will be 'long and difficult'
JERUSALEM (AP) /October 28, 2023
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the nation Saturday night that
the military has opened a “second stage” in the war against Hamas by sending
ground forces into Gaza and expanding attacks from the ground, air and sea. He
said it will only increase ahead of a broad ground invasion into the territory.
“It will be long and difficult,” he said. “We are ready.”The bombardment,
described by Gaza residents as the most intense of the war, knocked out most
communications in the territory. This largely cut off the besieged enclave’s 2.3
million people from the world, while enabling the Israeli military to control
the narrative in the new stage of fighting.
The military released grainy images Saturday showing tank columns moving slowly
in open areas of Gaza, many apparently near the border, and said warplanes
bombed dozens of Hamas tunnels and underground bunkers. The underground sites
are a key target in Israel’s campaign to crush the territory’s ruling group
after its bloody incursion into Israel three weeks ago. The escalation brought
more domestic pressure on Israel's government to bring about the release of
dozens of hostages seized in the Oct. 7 Hamas attack, amid concerns they were
being held underground. Desperate family members met with Netanyahu on Saturday
and expressed support for an exchange for Palestinian prisoners held in Israel,
a swap floated by the top Hamas leader in Gaza.
Netanyahu told the nationally televised news conference that Israel is
determined to bring back all the hostages, and maintained that the expanding
ground operation “will help us in this mission.” He said he couldn’t reveal
everything that is being done due to the sensitivity and secrecy of the efforts.
“This is the second stage of the war, whose objectives are clear: to destroy the
military and governmental capabilities of Hamas and bring the hostages home,” he
said in his first time taking questions from journalists since the war began. He
didn't address calls for a cease-fire. Netanyahu acknowledged that the Oct. 7
“debacle,” in which more than 1,400 people were killed, would need a thorough
investigation, adding that “everyone will have to answer questions, including
me.”
The Israeli military said it was gradually expanding its ground operations
inside Gaza, while stopping short of calling it an all-out invasion. “We are
proceeding with the stages of the war according to an organized plan,” said the
chief military spokesman, Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari. The comments hinted at a
strategy of a staged escalation, instead of a massive and overwhelming
offensive. Early in the war, Israel amassed hundreds of thousands of troops
along the border. Until now, troops had conducted brief nightly ground
incursions before returning to Israel. Palestinian militants have fired
thousands of rockets into Israel over the past three weeks.
The Palestinian death toll in Gaza on Saturday rose to just over 7,700 people
since the war began, with 377 deaths reported since late Friday, according to
the Gaza Health Ministry. A majority of those killed have been women and minors,
the ministry said.
Ministry spokesman Ashraf al-Qidra told reporters that the disruption of
communications has “totally paralyzed” the health network. Residents had no way
of calling ambulances, and emergency teams were chasing the sounds of artillery
barrages and airstrikes. An estimated 1,700 people remain trapped beneath the
rubble, according to the health ministry, which has said it bases its estimates
on distress calls it received.
Some civilians were using their bare hands to pull injured people from the
rubble and loading them into personal cars or donkey carts. In a video posted by
local news media, Palestinians sprinted down a street with a wounded man covered
in the dust of a building’s collapse. “Ambulance! Ambulance!” the men shouted as
they shoved the stretcher into a truck and shouted, “Go! Go!” Some Gaza
residents traveled by foot or car to check on relatives and friends. “The bombs
were everywhere, the building was shaking,” said Hind al-Khudary, a journalist
in central Gaza and one of a few people with cellphone service. “We can’t reach
anyone or contact anyone. I do not know where my family is.” Israel says its
strikes target Hamas fighters and infrastructure and that the militants operate
from among civilians, putting them in danger.
The World Health Organization appealed to “the humanity in all those who have
the power to do so to end the fighting now” in Gaza. “There are more wounded
every hour. But ambulances cannot reach them in the communications blackout.
Morgues are full. More than half of the dead are women and children,” it said.
Palestinians say the war was also robbing them of the funeral rites that long
have offered mourners some dignity and closure. Overcrowded cemeteries have
compelled families to dig up long-buried bodies and deepen the holes. More than
1.4 million people across Gaza have fled their homes, nearly half crowding into
U.N. schools and shelters, following repeated warnings by the Israeli military
that they would be in grave danger if they remained in northern Gaza. A large
number of residents have not evacuated to the south, in part because Israel has
also bombarded targets in so-called safe zones where conditions are increasingly
dire. Food and water supplies were running out. Israel knocked out electricity
early in the war. Humanitarian workers say the trickle of aid Israel has allowed
to enter from Egypt in the past week is a tiny fraction of what is needed. Gaza
hospitals have been scrounging for fuel to run emergency generators that power
incubators and other life-saving equipment.
The U.N. agency for Palestinian refugees, which runs a network of shelters and
schools for nearly half the displaced Gaza residents, has lost contact with most
of its staff, spokeswoman Juliette Touma said Saturday, and coordinating aid
efforts was now “extremely challenging.”
The intensified air and ground campaign raised new concerns about hostages
dragged into Gaza. On Saturday, hundreds of relatives gathered in Tel Aviv and
demanded that the government put the return of their loved ones ahead of
Israel’s military objectives.
In comments likely to inflame these tensions, Hamas’ top leader in Gaza, Yehiyeh
Sinwar, said the Palestinian militant groups “are ready immediately” to release
all hostages if Israel releases all Palestinians held in Israeli prisons. Hagari,
the Israeli military spokesman, dismissed the offer of an exchange as
“psychological terror.”
In Cairo, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi said his government was
working to de-escalate the conflict through its talks with the warring parties
to release prisoners and hostages. On Saturday, he spoke with U.N.
Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, his office said. Guterres in a statement
said he was “surprised by an unprecedented escalation of the bombardments and
their devastating impacts" in Gaza.
Among many, impatience was growing. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan told
hundreds of thousands of people at a pro-Palestinian rally in Istanbul that his
country was preparing to proclaim Israel a “war criminal” for its actions in
Gaza. He did not give details. Israel's foreign minister said he had ordered the
return of Israel’s diplomatic mission from Turkey to reassess ties. The overall
number of deaths in Gaza and Israel far exceeds the combined toll of all four
previous Israel-Hamas wars, estimated at around 4,000. The conflict has
threatened to ignite a wider war across the region. Arab nations — including
U.S. allies and ones that have reached peace deals or normalized ties with
Israel — have raised increasing alarm over a potential ground invasion.
Israeli troops clear Gaza areas 'slice by slice', but is
this an invasion?
Jeremy Bowen - BBC International editor, Jerusalem/October 28, 2023
Israeli forces appear to be concentrating on the northern area of the Gaza
Strip, in Beit Hanoun, and pushing down a bit further south from there.
I am in Sderot, the Israeli border town overlooking Gaza.
Continuous heavy artillery fire into Gaza continues.
The Israeli battery near here is firing several times a minute.
The town itself is almost deserted.
Most civilians have either left or been evacuated.
The Israeli army has said it is upping the tempo of operations.
We have seen from video that has emerged from Gaza on Saturday morning, and from
what could be seen along the border area on Friday night, evidence of a very,
very large bombardment.
But the communications blackout means it's very hard to find out exactly what's
going on. For example, I have spoken to the UN who have been able to communicate
with their main office in the south over a satellite phone, but as there is no
internal communication, they can't connect with their area offices that look
after their aid operations - currently suspended completely - to see how they
are doing.
While the bombardment is very focused on the north, the Gaza Strip is only about
45km long (28 miles), so you can hear the extent of the explosions for miles
around and certainly throughout the area.
As I understand it, the Israeli army is most likely attempting to clear out
tunnels, probably with special forces spotting targets for those air force
attacks.
Tanks can be more vulnerable in daylight so they may pull some of those back.
But as far we can tell, it is still going on.
Is it a ground offensive? I don't think we should get too hung up on the
definitions of all of this. When we saw the military build-up, the mobilisation
of over 300,000 reservists, we thought we would be seeing an all-fronts invasion
of Gaza.
I think what they may be doing, though, is clearing areas of Gaza slice by
slice. I have felt from the tone of comments from the Israeli army that their
emphasis was that they would continue pushing, and that this was about
"payback".
I think you could call this a very extended raid, or a ground offensive. It is
certainly a very large military operation. Israel's push on the ground is
certain also to be killing Palestinian civilians. The more Palestinians they
kill the greater the outrage elsewhere in the Middle East, in countries friendly
to Israel as well as its enemies. That doesn't guarantee the war will spread.
But it increases volatility and uncertainty in a region that is already fragile.
Israel sends elite troops into Gaza Strip for ‘long war’
James Rothwell/The Telegraph/October 28, 2023
Israel said its best soldiers were fighting Hamas inside the Gaza Strip on
Saturday night, as Benjamin Netanyahu declared that the “second stage” of a long
war against the terror group had begun. Israel’s forces fought fierce street
battles against Hamas in northern Gaza using tanks and infantry, with Herzi
Halevi, the chief of the general staff of the Israel Defense Forces, saying his
troops had killed “hundreds” of terrorists. But Mr Netanyahu, the Israeli prime
minister, said Israel’s campaign to “abolish evil” was “only just beginning”.
“This is a war with multiple stages, today we move to the next one,” Lt Gen
Halevi said on Saturday. “The objectives of this war require a ground operation
– the best soldiers are now operating in Gaza.” A larger Israeli military
operation against Hamas had long been anticipated since it pledged to destroy
the group in the wake of the Oct 7 attacks, but it appeared to have been delayed
amid fears of a wider regional war involving Iran and its Middle East proxies.
The prime minister and military leaders stopped short of calling the country’s
expanded ground offensive in Gaza an invasion, even as they confirmed that
troops would remain in the coastal enclave.
Earlier on Saturday, the Israeli military dropped leaflets across Gaza City,
which before the war had a population of half-a-million people, warning
civilians to evacuate because it had become “a battlefield”. “To the residents
of the Gaza Strip: The Gaza governorate (Gaza City) has become a battlefield.
Shelters in northern Gaza and Gaza governorate are not safe,” read one leaflet
in Arabic. The Israeli army claims Hamas runs an underground headquarters
beneath the al-Shifa hospital in Gaza City. Hamas denies that claim.
On Saturday, the families of those held hostage in Gaza urged the government to
tell them how it planned to rescue their loved ones as Israeli forces intensify
their operations against Hamas. Mr Netanyahu said it was hoped that the ground
offensive would pile pressure on the terrorist group, making the release of its
captives more likely.
As Israeli leaders braced for a regional escalation, Eli Cohen, the foreign
minister, confirmed that he had recalled diplomats from Turkey, which has been a
strong critic of the war on Hamas in Gaza because of the heavy loss of civilian
life.
At a rally in Istanbul earlier on Saturday, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the Turkish
president, likened Israel’s assault on Gaza to the Holocaust and took aim at the
country’s Western backers. “The main culprit behind the massacre unfolding in
Gaza is the West,” he told a crowd of hundreds of thousands of supporters.
Israel was facing mounting criticism over the assault from Gulf neighbours,
including Saudi Arabia, which before the war had been considering a historic
normalisation treaty. In Egypt, the foreign ministry warned Israel that there
would be “grave risks” and “unprecedented humanitarian and security
repercussions” if it continued with the ground offensive. Riyadh said it
“condemns and denounces any ground operations carried out by Israel due to the
threat they pose to the lives of Palestinian civilians”. The Pentagon said Lloyd
Austin, the US secretary of defence, had spoken to his Israeli counterpart on
Saturday and “underscored the importance of protecting civilians” during the
next stage of the war. He also raised “his focus on the need for Hamas to
release all of the hostages”. Josep Borrell, the EU foreign policy chief,
reiterated calls for an urgent ceasefire, adding that “far too many civilians,
including children, have been killed. This is against international humanitarian
law”.
But James Cleverly, the Foreign Secretary, resisted calls for a ceasefire,
saying: “Calls for a ceasefire in the abstract aren’t going to help the
situation – we have consistently sought to bring about pauses to facilitate the
inward passage of the humanitarian aid that we are providing, and the release of
hostages and the evacuation of British nationals in Gaza.”Israel insists it is
operating within international law and is taking care to avoid civilian deaths.
It has almost completely cut off the internet in Gaza, having placed it under a
“total siege” in response to the Oct 7 massacre, isolating the enclave from the
rest of the world. Palestinians in Gaza were using mosque loudspeakers to
communicate with each other because of the total internet blackout imposed on
Friday night, while ambulances were blindly driving towards explosions as they
scrambled to treat the wounded. Video footage posted online showed mosques
broadcasting emergency messages using speaker systems that would usually deliver
the call to prayer. “The communications have been cut,” said one message
broadcast over a mosque’s loudspeakers. “All help from the outside world has
been cut.”
From the Israeli side of the border, huge fireballs could be seen rising from
the sky as Israel launched a torrent of air strikes across the Palestinian
enclave.
Aid and media organisations, including The Telegraph, have lost contact with
colleagues on the ground, making it difficult to confirm what has taken place in
the blockaded strip since Friday night. Some reports have trickled through,
including a dispatch from Rushdi Abualouf, the BBC’s Gaza correspondent, who
described the situation as “total chaos”. “There was a huge bombardment in the
north of Gaza strip on a scale we’ve never seen before,” he reported on
Saturday. “Huge flames could be seen rising into the sky – it seemed they were
using different types of bombs.
“There’s been panic everywhere, even here in Khan Younis, where the bombing was
less, as people try to reach family members in other areas to check they are
safe, but the phones have been cut off.”Earlier on Saturday, Israel claimed to
have killed Asem Abu Rakaba, the head of the aerial wing of Hamas’s armed
forces. Abu Rakaba, who was killed in an air strike, was responsible for Hamas’s
air defence as well as its unmanned aerial vehicles and drones.
100 Israeli warplanes bomb 150 'underground targets' in the hunt for Hamas
tunnels in Gaza dubbed the 'metro'
Business Insider/Sat, October 28, 2023
The Israel Defense Forces said fighter jets hit some 150 "underground targets"
in Gaza.
The IDF hit Hamas targets with the heaviest bombardment of the conflict so far.
The Hamas tunnel system, known has been dubbed the "metro" by Israeli military
planners.
One hundred Israeli fighter jets hit 150 "underground" Hamas targets in Gaza as
part of the heaviest bombing raid of the conflict so far on Saturday. The
airstrikes targeted Hamas tunnel networks and underground combat areas, the
Israel Defense Forces said in an announcement reported by outlets including The
Guardian. Hamas has developed an extensive tunnel network under the streets of
Gaza. They were described by one 85-year-old Israeli hostage taken by Hamas
during the October 7 terrorist attacks as a "spider's web," while another expert
said they were like the "Viet Cong times 10," Reuters reported. The Palestinian
militant group's tunnels have a variety of uses, including storage, transport,
and attack, said Western and Middle East sources who spoke to Reuters. Israel
was targeting the tunnels, said IDF spokesperson Jonathan Conricus in an update
posted on X earlier this month. Over the past 20 years Hamas had built "a
network of tunnels from Gaza City and under Gaza City" down to Khan Yunis and
Rafah, he said. "Think of the Gaza Strip as one layer for civilians and then
another layer for Hamas. We are trying to get to that second layer that Hamas
has built," Conricus said.
"These aren't bunkers for the Gazan civilians to have access to when Israel is
striking. It's only for Hamas and other terrorists so that they can continue to
fire rockets at Israel, to plan operations, to launch terrorists into Israel,"
he added. The Hamas tunnel system, known has been dubbed the "metro" by Israeli
military planners, per The Guardian. More than 1,400 people were killed in the
terrorist attacks on Israel on October 7 and 200 were taken hostage into Gaza.
Republican presidential candidates profess strong support for Israel as war
enters new phase
LAS VEGAS (AP)/October 28, 2023
Republican presidential candidates professed their strong support for Israel on
Saturday as they addressed an influential Republican Jewish group during a
campaign stop that coincided with Israel’s stepped-up offensive in the war
against Hamas and included the exit of a high-profile contender from the 2024
race. Former Vice President Mike Pence used his last speech as a candidate to
emphasize his traditional Republican views of a robust U.S. foreign policy that
contrasts with the “America First” positions taken by his old boss, former
President Donald Trump, the current front-runner for the nomination.
Pence did not mention Trump while announcing he would drop out of the race. But
he called on Democratic President Joe Biden to unconditionally support Israel's
incursion into Gaza, which was launched in response to Hamas' Oct. 7 attack that
resulted in more than 1,000 deaths. Israel has targeted the Palestinian enclave
with airstrikes and cut off power and communications as it mounts an operation
against the militant group.
Pence, after announcing his decision, urged the crowd at the Republican Jewish
Coalition summit to “hold fast” to faith, family and the U.S. Constitution and
he promoted America's role “as leader of the free world.”
Trump, who in the past has received an enthusiastic reception from the Jewish
group, was scheduled to speak in the afternoon, the final White House hopeful to
take the stage at the annual gathering. U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., and biotech
entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy were among backing the unequivocal right for Israel
to defend itself after the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas. They also criticized
Democratic officials and liberals for what they saw as a failure to sufficiently
condemn antisemitism across the United States.
The Republicans made their pitches in Las Vegas hours after Israel expanded its
ground operation into Gaza. The gathering at a casino-resort on the Las Vegas
Strip has typically offered an opportunity for GOP hopefuls to try to reach
Jewish voters and showcase political backing of Israel, a priority for the party
and its base, including Christian evangelicals. But this year's summit comes as
Israel has been plunged in crisis and put on war footing. Scott, who frequently
invokes his Christian faith, called the actions of Hamas “evil personified” and
cited from the Book of Proverbs, saying, "As a Christian, I see the Jewish
people as my elder brothers and sisters in faith.”
Ramaswamy, long criticized by Pence as inexperienced and wrong on foreign
policy, has at times been questioned by conservatives for his views on Israel.
His speech was filled with bellicose rhetoric, claiming he “would love nothing
more” than for the Israeli military “to put the heads of the top 100 Hamas
leaders on stakes and line them up on the Israel-Gaza border.” He also Israel
should abandon “the myth of a two-state solution ” — with a Palestinian state
alongside Israel — if it wants, which drew cheers.
Though the crowd of about 1,000 coalition donors was not waring red yarmulkes
with the word “Trump,” as in years past, their support of him was on display
early. Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who has made criticizing Trump
central to his campaign, took the stage and was met with immediate boos.
The organization's longtime benefactor, billionaire casino mogul and GOP
megadonor Sheldon Adelson, became a big backer of Trump and implored coalition
members to support Trump in 2016. Adelson died in 2021. His widow, Miriam
Adelson, has remained a major party donor but has pledged to stay neutral in the
primary. Many of the candidates criticized President Joe Biden, especially for a
$6 billion transfer to Iran as part of a deal to release five U.S. citizens
detained in Iran, which administration officials insist had not been spent.
Biden made a wartime visit to Israel this month to show support for the Israelis
while also trying to blunt the war from expanding into to a broader regional
conflict. Back in the U.S., Biden has asked Congress for billions of dollars in
military assistance for Israel and Ukraine, linking the wars as larger global
threats and that stopping Hamas and Russia are important for America’s national
security.
In their remarks, most of the candidates pledged robust support for Israel. Few
touched on Ukraine. Ramaswamy, who has at times criticized U.S. aid to Israel,
said he personally funded a 200-seat charter flight to get Americans out of
Israel, similar to the actions a rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, had his state
take. Ramaswamy drew boos when he said America’s job “is to be strong at home,
to mind our own affairs, to avoid foreign military entanglements that do not
relate directly to our homeland here.” Scott called the actions of Hamas “evil
personified” and spoke about his work in the Senate on antisemitism legislation.
He accused liberal politicians of failing to speak up enough about the
marginalization and oppression of Jewish Americans. When Scott brought up U.S.
Rep. Rashida Tlaib, D-Mich., the crowd booed. The lone Palestinian American in
Congress has called for a cease-fire and reevalution of U.S. military aid to
Israel over concerns it could be used to commit war crimes. She has been widely
criticized by members of both parties who say she hasn’t explicitly faulted
Hamas for the attack. Scott said of Democrat: “They would rather embrace
antisemitism within their ranks than upset their liberal base."
NYC protesters demand Israeli cease-fire, at least 200 detained after filling
Grand Central station
NEW YORK (AP)/October 28, 2023
A sea of hundreds of protesters filled the main concourse of New York City’s
famed Grand Central Terminal during the evening rush hour Friday, chanting
slogans and unfurling banners demanding a cease-fire as Israel intensified its
bombardment of the Gaza Strip. Wearing black T-shirts saying “Jews say
cease-fire now” and “Not in our name,” at least 200 of the demonstrators were
detained by New York Police Department officers and led out of the train
station, their hands zip-tied behind their backs. The NYPD said the protesters
were taken briefly into custody, issued summonses and released, and that a more
exact number of detentions would be available Saturday morning. Some protesters
hoisted banners as they scaled the stone ledges in front of leaderboards listing
departure times. The Metropolitan Transportation Authority asked commuters to
use Penn Station as an alternative. After the sit-in was broken up by police,
the remaining protesters spilled into the streets outside. “Hundreds of Jews and
friends are taking over Grand Central Station in a historic sit-in calling for a
ceasefire,” advocacy group Jewish Voice for Peace said on social media.
The scene echoed last week's sit-in on Capitol Hill in Washington, where Jewish
advocacy groups, including Jewish Voice for Peace and If Not Now, poured into a
congressional office building. More than 300 people were arrested for illegally
demonstrating. Israel stepped up airstrikes across the Gaza Strip on Friday,
knocking out internet and largely cutting off communication with the 2.3 million
people inside the besieged Palestinian enclave. Gaza’s Hamas-run Health Ministry
says more than 7,300 people have been killed, more than 60% of them minors and
women.
The Israeli military’s announcement it was “expanding” ground operations in the
territory signaled it was moving closer to an all-out invasion of Gaza, where it
has vowed to crush the ruling Hamas militant group after its bloody incursion in
southern Israel three weeks ago. More than 1,400 people were slain in Israel
during the attack, according to the Israeli government, and at least 229
hostages were taken into Gaza. The U.N. General Assembly approved a nonbinding
resolution calling for a “humanitarian truce” in Gaza leading to a cessation of
hostilities. It was the first U.N. response to Hamas’ surprise Oct. 7 attacks
and Israel’s ongoing military response.
Prayers, protests and clashes in Jerusalem and West Bank as Gaza war rages
Palestinians face tight restrictions going into Al-Aqsa for Friday prayers
JERUSALEM/RAMALLAH (Reuters)/October 28, 2023
Israeli security forces restricted young Palestinians from entering Al-Aqsa
mosque in Jerusalem for prayers on Friday and deployed in strength across the
Old City and beyond to quell any unrest spilling over from the conflict in Gaza.
In the occupied West Bank, Israeli troops killed four Palestinians during raids,
the official Palestinian news agency WAFA said. Two of the dead were identified
by militant factions as their members. Large numbers of Israeli police kept
guard around Al-Aqsa, a perennial flashpoint and often the scene of clashes, as
Palestinians gathered for Friday prayers, Reuters journalists said. At one point
they fired teargas. It was the third week in row that Palestinians have been
restricted from praying at the mosque following the Hamas assault on southern
Israel on Oct. 7 and the ensuing Israeli bombardment and siege of Hamas-ruled
Gaza. They were made to say prayers outside the Old City, gathering by roadsides
while Israeli security forces watched. Eventually about 5,000 elderly
worshippers were allowed to enter. The authority in charge of the mosque, the
Jerusalem Islamic Endowments Department, said that normally about 50,000 would
take part. The mosque is sited on a hill known to Jews as the Temple Mount and
to Muslims as The Noble Sanctuary. In the West Bank, the Israeli military said
that during arrest operations, its troops came under attack in the city of Jenin
and fired back, killing two men. The Islamic Jihad militant group confirmed one
of them belonged to it, and Hamas said one its fighters was killed in the Jenin
fighting. WAFA said another two Palestinians were killed, one in Jenin and one
in the town of Qalqiya, saying their deaths took the number of Palestinians
killed in the West Bank since the Hamas-Israel conflict broke out to 110. The
military said that in Qalqiya, troops came under fire while shutting down a
store whose owner was accused of incitement to violence. They returned fire,
hitting at least one person, a military statement said. Protests also took place
in Hebron in the West Bank. In the capital of neighbouring Jordan, thousands of
people took to the streets to denounce Israel and voice support for the
Palestinians. Many waved the green, red white and black Palestinian flag. "We
are with Palestinians and with Gazans. We also came to stress that we are
standing behind the resistance until the end," said participant Mahmoud Aqalan.
Another protester, Hassan Sultan, said: "It is our brothers who are being killed
in Gaza. This is the least we could do - to make our position known to the
world."
Mass graves, unclaimed bodies and overcrowded cemeteries. The war robs Gaza of
funeral rites
DEIR AL-BALAH, Gaza Strip (AP)/October 28, 2023
It was neither the place nor the time for a proper goodbye, said Omar Dirawi.
Not here, in this dusty field strewn with dead people wrapped in blankets and
zipped up in body bags. And not now, as Israeli airstrikes crashed around him
for the third week, erasing more of his neighborhood and sundering hundreds of
families and friendships. Yet on this October week in Gaza’s central town of
Zawaideh, the 22-year-old Palestinian photojournalist buried 32 members of his
family who were killed in Israeli air raids last Sunday.
Dirawi’s aunts, uncles and cousins from Gaza City had heeded Israeli military
evacuation orders and taken refuge in his home farther south. Days later Dirawi
was unloading their bodies from the back of a truck, digging a narrow trench
partitioned with cinder blocks and reciting abbreviated funeral prayers before
nightfall, when Israeli warplanes screeched and everyone ran indoors. “There’s
nothing that feels right about this,” Dirawi said of the mass burial. “I haven't
even grieved. But I had no choice. The cemetery was full and there was no
space.”
Palestinians say this war is robbing them not only of their loved ones but also
of the funeral rites that long have offered mourners some dignity and closure in
the midst of unbearable grief. Israeli strikes have killed so many people so
quickly that they’ve overwhelmed hospitals and morgues, making the normal
rituals of death all but impossible. And along with everything else stolen by
the bombardments, Palestinians on Saturday added another loss: cellular and
internet service. A few in Gaza who managed to communicate with the outside
world said people could no longer call ambulances or find out if loved ones
living in different buildings were still alive. Since Oct. 7, when Hamas mounted
a bloody and unprecedented attack on Israel, the Israeli military's response has
left over 7,700 Palestinians dead, said the Gaza-based Health Ministry. Of the
dead, it added, nearly 300 have not been identified. Fear and panic were
spreading Saturday as Israel expanded its ground incursion and intensified
bombardment.
An estimated 1,700 people remain trapped beneath the rubble as Israel's air
raids impede and imperil civil defense workers, one of whom was killed during a
rescue mission Friday. Sometimes it takes days for medics to recover bodies. By
then corpses are often too swollen and disfigured to be recognizable.
“We have hundreds of people being killed every day,” said Inas Hamdan, a
Gaza-based communications officer for the U.N. Palestinian refugee agency. “The
whole system in Gaza is overwhelmed. People are dealing with the dead however
they can.”
Overcrowded cemeteries have compelled families to dig up long-buried bodies and
deepen the holes. That's how survivors interred Bilal al-Hour, a professor at
Gaza's Al Aqsa University, and 25 of his family members killed Friday in
airstrikes that razed their four-story home in Deir al-Balah.
Al-Hour's brother, Nour, exhumed his family's old plots in the local cemetery
Friday to place the newly deceased inside. His hands dark with grave dirt, he
became breathless listing each relative being lowered into the ground.
“There's Bilal’s son with his wife and children, his other younger son and of
course his daughter who finished high school last year and was supposed to be a
doctor,” he said before trailing off and quoting the Quran. "To Allah we belong,
and to him is our return.”
Overflowing morgues have compelled hospitals to bury people before their
relatives can claim them. Gravediggers have laid dozens of unidentified bodies
side by side in two large backhoe-dug furrows in Gaza City now holding 63 and 46
bodies, respectively, said Mohammed Abu Selmia, the general director of Shifa
Hospital. The nightmare of ending up as an anonymous body piled up in a morgue
or chucked into the dirt has increasingly haunted Palestinians in Gaza.
To increase the chances of being identified if they die, Palestinian families
have begun wearing identification bracelets and scrawling names with marker on
their children’s arms and legs. In some cases, bodies have decomposed so much
they are unrecognizable even to their kin. In other cases, not a single family
member may survive to claim the dead. “We often find this during our work, even
just (Thursday) night in Gaza City when 200 people were killed, there were names
and ID numbers written in ink on the children's bodies,” said Mahmoud Basal,
spokesperson of the Palestinian Civil Defense. “It's a pain I can't describe, to
see that.”Gaza’s Awqaf ministry, which is in charge of religious matters, now
urges hasty burials and authorizes the digging of mass graves due to the “large
numbers of people killed and the small amount of space available." Each Gaza
governorate has at least two mass graves, authorities say, some holding over 100
people. In the crowded Nuseirat refugee camp in central Gaza on Wednesday, a
fierce barrage of Israeli airstrikes leveled an entire block — some 20
multi-story buildings — killing 150 people and trapping more beneath the ruins,
residents said. Shell-shocked survivors staggered out of the hospital, not
knowing what to do with the dead. “We have no time to do anything and no space
anywhere,” said 52-year-old Khalid Abdou from the camp. “All we can do is dig a
big hole with our hands. Then we throw bodies inside.”
Residents of Nuseirat peered into dozens of blood-smeared body bags arranged
outside Al Aqsa Martyrs Hospital on Thursday, searching for familiar faces,
Abdou said. Workers labeled some body bags “unknown" before shoveling them into
mass graves. Families were buried together.
When trying to sleep, Abdou said he hears sounds from that night — the thunder
of the blast mixing with screams of shock and the cries of children.
But what keeps him up most, he said, is the thought that no one washed the
bodies of the dead or changed their clothes before burial. No one lovingly
shrouded their bodies, as is customary in Islam, or held a poignant service.
And certainly no one served the traditional bitter coffee and sweet dates to
friends and relatives paying condolences. “In Islam we have three days of
mourning. But there's no way can you observe that now," Abdou said. "Before the
mourning ends you'll probably be dead, too.”
Palestinian-Canadians worry for relatives as offensive in Gaza ramps up
The Canadian Press/October 28, 2023
MONTREAL — Moayed Salim says his father planned to come back to Canada from Gaza
at the end of the month for the birth of Salim's son. Instead, Salim says his
father is stuck in the Palestinian Territory and the London, Ont. resident has
no way to know if he's alive or dead.
Israel launched an expanded ground operation in the enclave on Saturday after
knocking out communications and creating a near-blackout of information in the
Gaza Strip with increased bombardment and artillery fire overnight.
Mansour Shouman, a Canadian citizen who returned to Gaza three years ago, says
it seems like the scale of the bombing has increased. Shouman, who is in the
south of Gaza, says he worries about food and water shortages and notes many
residents fled their homes without warm clothes as winter approaches.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Saturday night that the war has
entered a new stage as it seeks to eliminate Hamas' military and governmental
capabilities and recover more than 200 hostages taken during an Oct. 7 attack on
Israel that killed more than 1,400 people.
Hamas is seeking eight Gaza hostages at Russia's request - RIA
(Reuters)/Sat, October 28, 2023
Hamas is looking for eight people identified by Russia as possibly being among
the hostages in Gaza and is ready to free them, Hamas Politburo member Abu
Marzouk told Russian state news agency RIA on Saturday. RIA cited Marzouk, who
has been visiting Moscow, as saying that the Russian foreign ministry had handed
over a list of eight names, all of whom had dual citizenship. "We are very
attentive to this list and we will handle it carefully because we look at Russia
as our closest friend," Marzouk was cited as saying. "Now we are looking for
those people. It's difficult, but we are looking. And as soon as we find them,
we will release them. Despite the difficulties due to the current situation."
Russia on Friday defended its decision to invite a Hamas delegation to Moscow
against strong Israeli criticism, saying it was necessary to maintain contacts
with all sides in the conflict.
Egypt says 'Israeli obstacles' impeding aid delivery to
Gaza
(Reuters)/Sat, October 28, 2023
Egypt's Foreign Ministry said on Saturday "Israeli obstacles" including truck
inspection procedures were impeding the prompt delivery of aid to the Gaza Strip
through the Rafah crossing between Egypt and the Palestinian enclave. "The
trucks must be inspected at the Israeli Nitzana crossing before they head to the
Rafah crossing on a journey that takes a distance of 100 km (62 miles) before
they actually enter the Rafah crossing, which causes obstacles that
significantly delay the arrival of aid," a ministry spokesperson said in a
statement. The Rafah crossing, which is controlled by Egypt and does not border
Israel, has become the main point of aid delivery since Israel imposed a siege
on Gaza in retaliation for an attack by Hamas militants from the coastal strip
on Oct. 7. Before the conflict, about 500 trucks a day were crossing into Gaza,
but in recent days, an average of only 12 trucks a day have entered, U.N.
Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said on Friday. A border source said that
trip results in a 16-hour delay and was the reason why the number of trucks
never again reached a high of 20 achieved on the first day deliveries were
restarted. Israel has vowed to wipe out the Hamas group that rules Gaza, which
it says killed 1,400 people and took hundreds hostage in an Oct. 7 assault on
southern Israel. Gaza's besieged people had barely any communications with the
outside world on Saturday as Israeli jets dropped more bombs and suggested a
long-threatened ground offensive against Hamas was starting. Palestinian
authorities say more than 7,000 have been killed.
The ‘Gaza metro’: The mysterious subterranean tunnel
network used by Hamas
Joshua Berlinger, CNN/October 28, 2023
The myriad tunnels under Gaza are best known as passageways used to smuggle
goods from Egypt and launch attacks into Israel. But there exists a second
underground network that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) colloquially refer to
as the “Gaza metro.” It’s a vast labyrinth of tunnels, by some accounts several
kilometers underground, used to transport people and goods; to store rockets and
ammunition caches; and house Hamas command and control centers, all away from
the prying eyes of the IDF’s aircraft and surveillance drones. Hamas in 2021
claimed to have built 500 kilometers (311 miles) worth of tunnels under Gaza,
though it is unclear if that figure was accurate or posturing. If true, Hamas’
underground tunnels would be a little less than half the length of the New York
City subway system. “It’s a very intricate, very large – huge – network of
tunnels on a rather small piece of territory,” said Daphne Richemond-Barak, a
professor at Israel’s Reichman University and expert on underground warfare.
It’s unclear how much the tunnel network would have cost Hamas, which governs
the impoverished coastal strip. The figure is likely significant, both in terms
of manpower and capital. Gaza has been under a land, sea and air blockade by
Israel, as well as a land blockade by Egypt, since 2007 and is not believed to
possess the type of massive machinery typically used to build tunnels deep
underground. Experts say that diggers using basic tools likely burrowed deep
underground to dig the network, which is wired with electricity and reinforced
by concrete. Israel has long accused Hamas of diverting concrete meant for
civilian and humanitarian purposes toward the construction of tunnels. Hamas’
critics also say that the group’s massive expenditures on tunnels could have
instead paid for civilian bomb shelters or early warning networks like those
across the border in Israel.
The asymmetric advantage
Tunnels have been an attractive tool of warfare since medieval times. Today they
offer militant groups like Hamas an edge in asymmetric warfare, negating some of
the technological advantages of a more advanced military like the IDF. What
makes Hamas tunnels different from those of al Qaeda in the mountains of
Afghanistan or the Viet Cong in the jungles of Southeast Asia is that it has
constructed a subterranean network below one of the most densely populated areas
on the planet. Nearly 2 million people live in the 88 square miles that make up
Gaza City. “It’s always difficult to deal with tunnels, don’t get me wrong, in
any context, even when they are in a mountainous area, but when they are urban
area, then everything is more complicated – the tactical aspects, strategic
aspects, the operational aspects, and of course, the protection that you want to
ensure for the civilian population,” said Richemond-Barak, who is also a senior
fellow at the Lieber Institute for Law and Land Warfare and the Modern War
Institute at West Point. Since the October 7 terror attack in Israel in which at
least 1,400 people were killed, according to Israeli authorities, the IDF has
repeatedly alleged that Hamas is hiding inside these passages “underneath houses
and inside buildings populated with innocent Gazan civilians,” effectively
turning them into human shields. Israeli airstrikes on Gaza have killed more
than 7,000 people, according to Palestinian health officials, drawn from sources
in the Hamas-controlled enclave. One of the few hostages released by Hamas
described what it is was like to be kidnapped by gunmen and taken into a tunnel
system in Gaza.
Yocheved Lifshitz, a frail 85-year-old grandmother, said she was forced to walk
on wet ground and descended into an underground tunnel system – which she
likened to a spiderweb – where she was greeted by “people who told us we believe
in the Quran” and promised “not to harm” her and her fellow hostages.
She added that she and other hostages, separated into groups, slept on
mattresses on the floor of the tunnels. The IDF is expected to go after the
network in its forthcoming ground incursion into Gaza, as it has in recent years
gone to extreme lengths to eliminate Hamas’ tunnels. Israel launched a ground
assault on Gaza in 2014 to try and eliminate the underground passages. Israel
has repeatedly warned about 1.1 million people living in Gaza to move south
ahead of its likely operation, according to the United Nations. Critics said
such an order was impossible to carry out on short notice in the middle of a war
zone. The top UN human rights official said the evacuation call “defies the
rules of war and basic humanity.” Moving civilians out of Gaza City would help
make it safer to eliminate tunnels, but such operations will be dangerous,
Richemond-Barak said.
This week the Israeli military expanded its ground operation, pounding sites in
Gaza. It said 150 underground targets were hit. The IDF can either render the
tunnels temporarily unusable or destroy them. According to Richemond-Barak,
bombing the underground passages is typically the most efficient way to
eliminate them, but such strikes can impact civilians. What is clear is that
technology alone won’t be enough to stop the subterranean threat. Israel spent
billions of dollars attempting to secure the border with a smart system that
boasts advanced sensors and subterranean walls, yet Hamas was still able to
launch its October 7 assault by land, air and sea. Richemond-Barak said a
holistic approach is required, one that employs visual intelligence, border
monitoring and even asking civilians to keep an eye out for anything suspect.
“There is no foolproof solution to deal with a tunnel threat,” Richemond-Barak
said. “There’s no Iron Dome for tunnels.”
Hamas calls Israeli incursion a failure
Associated Press/October 28, 2023
Hamas has proclaimed Israel’s overnight ground incursion to be a failure. Hamas
said in a statement Saturday that its military arm, Qassam Brigades, used
anti-tank Kornet rockets and mortar shelling to repel the attack and claimed its
fighters inflicted casualties among Israeli troops. Qassam Brigades said late
Friday its fighters were clashing with Israeli troops in the town of Beit Hanoun
in northwestern Gaza and in al-Bureij in central Gaza. Al-Quds Brigades, the
military wing of Palestinian Islamic Jihad movement, said it fired a barrage of
rockets Saturday morning on the Kissufim kibbutz, northwest of the Negev desert.
Palestinian President calls for urgent Arab Summit
LBCI/October 28, 2023
On Saturday, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas called for an emergency Arab
summit as Israel responded to the UN resolution with ground invasion and
escalated airstrikes.
Israel's Gallant says Gaza war entered new stage with expanded ground operations
Associated Press/October 28, 2023
Israel on Saturday expanded its ground operation in Gaza, sending in tanks and
infantry backed by massive strikes from the air and sea. Israel's defense
minister said that "the ground shook in Gaza" and that the war against the
territory's Hamas rulers had entered a new stage. The bombardment, described by
Gaza residents as the most intense of the war, also knocked out most
communications in Gaza. This largely cut off the besieged enclave's 2.3 million
people from the world, while enabling the Israeli military to control the
narrative in the new stage of fighting. The military released grainy images
Saturday showing tank columns moving slowly in open areas of Gaza, many
apparently near the border, and said warplanes bombed dozens of Hamas tunnels
and underground bunkers. The underground sites are a key target in Israel's
campaign to crush the territory's ruling group after its bloody incursion into
Israel three weeks ago. "We moved to the next stage in the war," Defense
Minister Yoav Gallant said in remarks broadcast Saturday. "Last evening, the
ground shook in Gaza. We attacked above ground and underground ... The
instructions to the forces are clear. The campaign will continue until further
notice."
His comments signaled a gradual ramping up toward what is expected to evolve
into an all-out ground offensive in northern Gaza. Early in the war, Israel
amassed hundreds of thousands of troops along the border. Until now, troops had
conducted brief nightly ground incursions before returning to Israel. The
Palestinian death toll in Gaza on Saturday rose to just over 7,700 people since
Oct. 7, with 377 deaths reported since late Friday, according to the Gaza Health
Ministry. A majority of those killed have been women and minors, the ministry
said.
Ministry spokesman Ashraf al-Qidra told reporters that the disruption of
communications has "totally paralyzed" the health network. Residents had no way
of calling ambulances, and emergency teams were chasing the sounds of artillery
barrages and airstrikes to search for people in need. An estimated 1,700 people
remain trapped beneath the rubble, according to the health ministry, which has
said it bases its estimates on distress calls it received. Some civilians were
using their bare hands to pull injured people from the rubble and loading them
into personal cars or donkey carts to rush them to the hospital. In a video
posted by local news media, Palestinians were sprinting down a ravaged street
with a wounded man covered in the dust of a building's collapse while he winced,
eyes shut, on a stretcher. "Ambulance! Ambulance!" the men shouted as they
shoved the stretcher into the back of a pickup truck and shouted at the driver,
"Go! Go!" Some Gaza residents traveled by foot or car to check on relatives and
friends. "The bombs were everywhere, the building was shaking," said Hind al-Khudary,
a journalist in central Gaza and one of a few people with cellphone service. "We
can't reach anyone or contact anyone. I do not know where my family is." Israel
says its strikes target Hamas fighters and infrastructure and that the militants
operate from among civilians, putting them in danger.
The World Health Organization appealed to "the humanity in all those who have
the power to do so to end the fighting now" in Gaza. "There are more wounded
every hour. But ambulances cannot reach them in the communications blackout.
Morgues are full. More than half of the dead are women and children," it said in
a statement, and it expressed "grave concerns" about reported bombardment near
hospitals in the northern half of Gaza. Palestinians say this war is robbing
them not only of their loved ones but also of the funeral rites that long have
offered mourners some dignity and closure in the midst of unbearable grief.
Overcrowded cemeteries have compelled families to dig up long-buried bodies and
deepen the holes. Across Gaza, terrified civilians were huddling in homes and
shelters with food and water supplies running out. Electricity was knocked out
by Israel in the early stages of the war. More than 1.4 million people have fled
their homes, nearly half crowding into U.N. schools and shelters, following
repeated warnings by the Israeli military that they would be in grave danger if
they remained in northern Gaza. The military renewed such warnings Saturday, in
leaflets dropped over Gaza. A large number of residents have not evacuated to
the south, in part because Israel has also bombarded targets in so-called safe
zones where conditions are increasingly dire.
Humanitarian workers say the trickle of aid Israel has allowed to enter from
Egypt in the past week is a tiny fraction of what is needed. Gaza hospitals have
been scrounging for fuel to run emergency generators that power incubators and
other life-saving equipment.
The U.N. agency for Palestinian refugees, which runs an extensive network of
shelters and schools for nearly half the displaced Gaza residents, has lost
contact with most of its staff, spokeswoman Juliette Touma said Saturday. She
said that coordinating aid efforts was now "extremely challenging."
The intensified air and ground campaign raised new concerns about dozens of
hostages dragged into Gaza on Oct. 7. On Saturday, hundreds of relatives of
hostages gathered in a square in downtown Tel Aviv and demanded that the
government put the return of their loved ones ahead of Israel's military
objectives. In comments likely to inflame these tensions, the spokesman of the
Hamas military wing on Saturday offered a comprehensive swap of hostages for the
thousands of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel. The spokesman, using the nom
de guerre Abu Obeida, said in a televised speech that the price for freeing the
hostages, said by Israel to number 229, is "emptying the Zionist prisons of all
detainees." Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was expected to meet with
the hostage families later Saturday. Military officials have said they are
trying to both topple Hamas and bring back the hostages but have not explained
how they could obtain both objectives at the same time. The families of the
hostages fear Israel's ramped up offensive in Gaza is endangering the captives.
The Israeli army spokesman, Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, said four hostages were
released in recent days through mediation by Qatar and Egypt. Hagari dismissed
news reports about a possible cease-fire deal in exchange for the release of
hostages, saying Hamas was engaged in a "cynical exploitation" of relatives'
anxieties.
In Cairo, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said his government was
working to de-escalate the conflict through its talks with the warring parties
to release prisoners and hostages. On Saturday, he spoke with U.N.
Secretary-General Antonio Guterres about those efforts, his office said. In a
written statement, Guterres said he was surprised by Israel's unprecedented
escalation of bombardments overnight on Gaza."This situation must be reversed,"
he wrote. But Guterres said he was encouraged by an apparent growing consensus
on the need for a humanitarian cease-fire.
Among many, impatience was growing. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan told
hundreds of thousands of people at a pro-Palestinian rally in Istanbul on
Saturday that his country was making preparations to proclaim Israel a "war
criminal" for its actions in Gaza. He did not elaborate and his office said it
could not comment on the statement.
Erdogan's government recently restored full diplomatic ties with Israel, whose
foreign minister on Saturday said he had ordered the return of Israel's
diplomatic mission from Turkey to reassess ties. Elsewhere, tens of thousands of
pro-Palestinian protesters turned out in London for a second straight weekend to
demand a cease-fire in Gaza. More than 1,400 people were allegedly slain in
Israel during Hamas' Oct. 7 attack, according to the Israeli government. Among
those killed were at least 311 soldiers, according to the military. Palestinian
militants have fired thousands of rockets into Israel over the past three weeks.
The overall number of deaths in Gaza and Israel far exceeds the combined toll of
all four previous Israel-Hamas wars, estimated at around 4,000.
Israel has said it aims to crush Hamas' rule in Gaza and its ability to threaten
Israel. But how Hamas' defeat will be measured and an invasion's endgame remain
unclear. Israel says it does not intend to rule the tiny territory but has not
said who it expects will — even as Gallant suggested a long-term insurgency
could ensue. The conflict has threatened to ignite a wider war across the
region. Arab nations — including U.S. allies and ones that have reached peace
deals or normalized ties with Israel — have raised increasing alarm over a
potential ground invasion.
Israel recalls diplomats from Turkey after Erdogan compares Gaza to Holocaust
Lizzie Porter/The Telegraph/October 28, 2023
Israel said it was recalling its diplomatic staff from Turkey after President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan likened its military campaign in Gaza to the Holocaust.
“Given the grave statements coming from Turkey, I have ordered the return of
diplomatic representatives there in order to conduct a re-evaluation of the
relations between Israel and Turkey,” Eli Cohen, Israeli foreign minister, said.
Top Turkish officials have already called off planned visits to Israel and
Israeli diplomats have left posts in Istanbul and Ankara on security grounds.
But Mr Erdogan accused Israel of carrying out war crimes in Gaza. “Israel has
been openly committing war crimes for 22 days,” he said, comparing its actions
to the Nazi genocide against the Jews. “In the past they were massacring the
Jewish people in the gas chambers and they were indeed wiping out whole regions
with bombs,” the 69-year-old Turkish president told a crowd in Istanbul. “A
similar mentality is being shown in Gaza today.” Since winning another four-year
term in May elections, Turkey’s Islamist president has appeared to make
overtures to Western nations. But his speech firmly criticised them for backing
Israel in its response to Hamas’s brutal Oct 7 attacks.
‘Product of the West’
“If you put some politicians with consciences aside, this massacre taking place
in Gaza is the product of the West,” he told the crowd as he stood on the stage,
draped in a silky banner bearing Turkish and Palestinian flags. “With this
attitude, the West has accumulated a lot of sins.”The vast crowd – toting as
many Turkish flags as Palestinian ones – cried in approval at the president’s
remarks. Some attendees justified Hamas’s brutal and deadly attacks on Israeli
civilians as necessary to claim what they see as Palestinian’s territorial
rights. “It’s normal that they were protecting their land, the way a Briton or a
Turk would protect their land,” said Elban Aydoğdu, a retired admin
worker. Other Erdoğan supporters stressed the need for calm, and an end
to the killing on all sides. “We are here to oppose Israel’s acts,” said
50-year-old Muharrem Karagöz. “In our holy book, the Quran, it says, do not
kill. The important thing is that it applies to Hamas too. We need to have
dialogue, there should be no killing.”Ties between Israel and Turkey that had
been improving before the war broke out on Oct 7, are growing more strained by
the day. A Turkish government official said that a planned visit to Israel next
month by Turkey’s energy minister to discuss gas sales has been called off.
While there has been no official downgrading of relations, Israel has
temporarily evacuated all its diplomats from Turkey. “All the diplomats in
Ankara and Istanbul have left Turkey for security reasons. Not just Turkey, but
also Egypt, Oman,” a source familiar with the matter said. “This is only for
security reasons, it’s not a diplomatic issue – it’s not a downgrading of
diplomatic relations.”
Sharpening rhetoric
The envoys had been appointed just last year as Jerusalem and Ankara attempted
to improve diplomatic relationships. Israel’s continuing attacks on Gaza and
Turkey’s sharpening rhetoric will likely push the two eastern Mediterranean
powers further apart, analysts say. “Now it’s not possible to further deepen the
normalisation between two countries, and Israel probably doesn’t care about
normalisation at this stage,” said Murat Yeşiltaş, foreign policy
director at SETA, a pro-government Turkish think tank. “Israel will probably
continue its aggressiveness in terms of causing the humanitarian cost on the
ground, and probably Turkey will also increase its criticism against Israel,
which will ultimately undermine the possibility of deepening the normalisation
between the two countries.”Turkey has long allowed senior Hamas officials to
live in the country – a bone of contention with Israel. It has been trying to
use its relationships with Jerusalem and the designated terror group to play a
mediating role in negotiating the release of hostages, according to a senior
Turkish government official. But Qatar – which has the trust of Israel’s Western
allies, as well as hosting Hamas’s political leadership – appears to have played
a more central role in the release of the four hostages let go by Hamas so far.
Through his fiery anti-Israel rhetoric, the Turkish president is likely
attempting to appeal to a wide range of Turks; a pro-Palestinian attitude is one
of the few things capable of bridging divides in Turkish society.
Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published
on October 28-29/2023
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh: Stronger Action Needed
Against Iran/Instead of neutralizing the avowed murderers of Americans, the US
is bankrolling them.
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When the Iranian regime says, “Death to Israel” and “Death to America,” they
mean it. The US, by trying to bribe Iran not to carry out at least the American
part of that threat, has, in reality, been financing Iran’s ability to do
exactly that. Instead of neutralizing the avowed murderers of Americans, the US
is bankrolling them.
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https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/123655/123655/
/Gatestone Institute/October 28, 2023
Stronger Action Needed Against Iran
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/October 28, 2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/123655/123655/
Removing even just one oil refinery might also "send a message" and persuade
Iran's ruling mullahs to rethink their plans.
The Biden administration, it appears, has been funding both sides of two wars:
Hamas's invasion of Israel, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
When the Iranian regime says, "Death to Israel" and "Death to America," they
mean it. The US, by trying to bribe Iran not to carry out at least the American
part of that threat, has, in reality, been financing Iran's ability to do
exactly that. Instead of neutralizing the avowed murderers of Americans, the US
is bankrolling them.
The US needs to resume, even step up, enforcing sanctions to cut off the flow of
funds to the Iranian regime. If not, the next war, when Iran has nuclear
weapons, will make this one look like one of those five-star hotels in Qatar.
When the Iranian regime says, "Death to Israel" and "Death to America," they
mean it. But the US been financing Iran's ability to do exactly that. Instead of
neutralizing the avowed murderers of Americans, the US is bankrolling them.
(Image source: MEMRI)
With the Biden administration's deference towards the ruling mullahs of Iran,
its regime — called the world's "top state sponsor of terrorism" — is so far
still the winner of Hamas's barbaric massacre on October 7. The invaders from
Gaza killed at least 1,400 people in Israel, including at least 31 Americans,
wounded 4, 500 people, and abducted more than 222 people who were taken back to
Gaza as hostages. Thirteen US citizens are still unaccounted for.
Iran has targeted US forces in Syria and Iraq 83 times since January 2021, when
President Joe Biden took office.
When the US finally launched retaliatory strikes on Syria on October 26, Iran
itself was carefully avoided.
One can only hope that a strong enough message was sent to the Iranian regime
and its proxies -- Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Hizballah, the Houthis in
Yemen -- many of whose leaders are tucked safely away in five-star hotels in
Qatar.
It is shameful that the Biden administration continues to deny that Iran had any
role in Hamas's attempted genocide, while the leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah
have themselves confessed that their paymaster, Iran's regime, helped plan the
attack.
The Washington Post reported that, according to U.S. intelligence sources, Iran
"provided military training and logistical help as well as tens of millions of
dollars for weapons". '
The Wall Street Journal cited "senior members of Hamas and Hezbollah," admitting
that that Iranian government leaders helped plan the brutal and barbaric
assault.
Iran provides roughly $100 million a year to Palestinian terrorist organizations
such as Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and $700 million a year to
Hezbollah. As US Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) correctly said:
"The idea that Iran read about this operation in the paper, or on television is
laughable. 93% of Hezbollah and Hamas' money comes from Iran. They're the source
of the problem. They're the great evil. So, if Hezbollah escalates against
Israel, it will be because Iran told them to. Then Iran, you're in the
crosshairs of the United States and Israel."
Graham also told CNN host Abby Phillip:
"If there's an escalation, Abby, if there's people's throats being cut on
television as Israel goes into Gaza, they're threatening to kill the hostages,
if Hezbollah is unleashed on Israel in the north, it will be because Iran is
supporting that. If you don't get the connection between Iran and this terrorist
activity by Hamas and Hezbollah, you're missing a lot".
As Tehran's major revenues come from exporting oil, US Senator Lindsay Graham
has suggested targeting Iran's oil refineries. "What I would do," he told CNN
host Abby Phillip, "is I would bomb Iran's oil infrastructure. The money
financing terrorism comes from Iran. It's time for this terrorist state to pay a
price for financing and supporting all this chaos."
Removing even just one oil refinery might also "send a message" and persuade
Iran's ruling mullahs to rethink their plans. The US should also enforce
sanctions against Iran instead of looking the other way.
The Iranian regime, according to reports, possesses the world's second-largest
natural gas reserves and the fourth-largest proven crude oil reserves. The sale
of oil accounts for nearly 60% of the Iranian government's total revenues and
more than 80% of its export revenues.
The Trump administration, when it killed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps'
Qods Force Commander Qasem Soleimani, had warned Iran that 52 additional targets
had been selected if Iran were to avenge Soleimani's death -- and that was the
end of Iran acting up.
The Biden administration also needs to cut the flow of funds to the Iranian
regime by enforcing sanctions instead of showering the regime with billions of
dollars. Presumably intended as bribes in exchange for not starting wars, those
billions are immediately used to finance terrorism and start wars. US taxpayers
therefore have been paying for the murder of at least 31 Americans at the hands
of Hamas on October 7; the abduction of "20 or more Americans" who are missing
and held hostage; the bounties on the heads of former US officials, and the
finishing touches the ruling mullahs are putting on their nuclear weapons
program. The Biden administration, it appears, has been funding both sides of
two wars: Hamas's invasion of Israel, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Worse, when the Iranian regime says, "Death to Israel" and "Death to America,"
they mean it. The US, by trying to bribe Iran not to carry out at least the
American part of that threat, has, in reality, been financing Iran's ability to
do exactly that. Instead of neutralizing the avowed murderers of Americans, the
US is bankrolling them.
When the Trump administration strongly sanctioned Iran and adopted a policy of
"maximum pressure," the sanctions did, in fact, impose significant pressure on
Iran, and the country's rulers had to cut funding to their allies, militias and
terror groups.
The enforcement of sanctions, for instance, caused Iran to cut funds to its
proxies in Syria. They were not getting their salaries and benefits, a loss that
made it extremely difficult for them to continue fighting and destabilize the
region. A member with an Iranian-backed militia in Syria told the New York Times
in March 2019 that "The golden days are gone and will never return... Iran
doesn't have enough money to give us."
In 2019, feeling the pressure of sanctions on Iran, Hassan Nasrallah, the leader
of Iran's Lebanese terror proxy, Hezbollah, called on his group's fundraising
arm "to provide the opportunity for jihad with money and also to help with this
ongoing battle".
Hamas was forced to introduce "austerity plans". Then Iranian President Hassan
Rouhani stated that the Islamic Republic was encountering the worst economic
crisis since its establishment in 1979.
The Biden administration urgently needs to abandon its policy of appeasing Iran
and adopting a policy of massive deterrence.
The US needs to resume, even step up, enforcing sanctions to cut off the flow of
funds to the Iranian regime. If not, the next war, when Iran has nuclear
weapons, will make this one look like one of those five-star hotels in Qatar.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated
scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and
president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has
authored several books on Islam and US Foreign Policy. He can be reached at
Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2023 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/20102/stronger-action-needed-against-iran
Jonathan Spyer/Tehran Makes Its Moves on the Border of
Israel Amid Gaza Standoff
The Australian/October 28, 2023
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Israeli forces are completing the final stages of preparation before the start
of a ground offensive into Gaza. The goal of this offensive, according to
statements by senior Israeli officials, will be to put an end to 16 years of
Hamas rule over this area.
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/123660/123660/
/Ðí ÇæÓÊÑÇáíä/ 28 ÊÔÑíä ÇáÃæá/ 2023
Tehran Makes Its Moves on the Border of Israel Amid Gaza
Standoff
Jonathan Spyer/The AustralianOctober 28, 2023
https://www.meforum.org/65088/tehran-makes-its-moves-on-the-border-of-israel?fbclid=IwAR0phd5Er2q2pne_MvxjGrh70ykmdtpKAvFRxHTN4N3-_PxXHyxTPLQJuvc
Israeli forces are completing the final stages of preparation before the start
of a ground offensive into Gaza. The goal of this offensive, according to
statements by senior Israeli officials, will be to put an end to 16 years of
Hamas rule over this area.
But even as the world's attention remains focused on the narrow and dusty strip
to Israel's southwest, a far larger and potentially more consequential
mobilisation is taking place across the Middle East.
From Lebanon to Yemen, via Syria and Iraq, the Iran-led regional axis of which
Hamas is only a minor element is moving into position. Some of its component
militias have entered the fray already, carrying out limited attacks against
Israeli and US forces. Others have arrived at their jump-off points, awaiting
the order to intervene.
It's important to understand the nature of the alliance in question. It is the
fruit of the methodology and the investments of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary
Guards Corps during the past four decades in the Middle East. In that time,
patiently, and with tactics adjusted to fit local conditions, Tehran has built
an army of a type never before seen in the Middle East and that is now preparing
for action.
This army consists of a host of nominally independent militias, that in reality
are controlled by a central guiding hand. It is a unique melding of regular and
irregular capacities, and of the political with the military. Most crucially,
the IRGC method weds the Islamist fervour from below that remains the dominant
force across the Arab world at street level, with the capacities, armaments and
organisation that can be supplied only by a powerful state.
From Lebanon to Yemen, via Syria and Iraq, the Iran-led regional axis of which
Hamas is only a minor element is moving into position. Some of its component
militias have entered the fray already.
This is what the mobilisation of this army looks like: On Israel's border with
Lebanon, the Hezbollah organisation that is Lebanon's de facto ruler is
launching Kornet antitank missiles, drones and rockets at both military targets
and civilian communities every day. Efforts to infiltrate terror squads across
the border also are ongoing. Fifteen to 20 attacks a day of this kind are taking
place, according to figures released by the Institute for the Study of War.
Israel has evacuated 28 civilian communities close to the border.
I reported from the border area at the end of last week, from the moshav
settlement of Shtula and the town of Kiryat Shmona, both pummelled in recent
days by Hezbollah-IRGC ordnance. In the villages on the border fence, the
civilians have gone. Only mobilised infantry units and local emergency response
teams remain. Activity is ongoing and frenetic, the atmosphere tense and
charged.
In Syria, the Iran-supported militias that defeated the rebellion of 2012-19 are
once more on the move. From their positions in the deserts of Deir al-Zor
province in the country's east, they are heading west, toward Deraa and Quneitra
provinces, adjoining the Golan Heights. In recent years Iran has carved out an
area of its exclusive control that stretches from the al-Qaim-Albukamal border
crossing between Iraq and Syria to Syria's border with Israel.
Exclusive means the IRGC doesn't need the permission of the nominal ruler of
Syria, Bashar al-Assad, to move its pieces across the board. It is along this
area of control that the militias, with Iraqi, Syrian and Lebanese fighters
chief among them, are making their way, from the border crossing to the town of
Mayadeen, exclusively controlled by the IRGC, and then onwards west.
The militias are attacking US targets in Syria, too. On October 19 they launched
three drones at the US-controlled al-Tanf base in the desert on the Syria-Jordan
border. The Conoco Mission Support Site, located inside Kurdish-controlled
eastern Syria, also was targeted.
Across the border in Iraq last week, Kata'ib Hezbollah, the most powerful of the
Iran-led militias in that country, and its allied organisations launched drone
and rocket attacks at three sites where US troops are present: the Ain al-Asad
air base, Baghdad International Airport and the al-Harir base in Iraqi
Kurdistan. The Badr Organisation, largest of the militias in Iraq, issued a
statement threatening further attacks.
"We're only responding, responding, responding," Shlomi told me as he stood by
the entrance to the moshav, an M16 rifle slung across his shoulder. "We aren't
initiating anything. I hope that changes. That has to change."
The political element here is once again no less crucial than the military one.
These militias are not independent forces operating out in the wilderness.
Rather, in their other form as political parties, they form the central core of
the government of Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani. Indeed, Iraqi
National Security Adviser Qassem al-Araji is a veteran member of Badr.
Even as far afield as Yemen, Iran's Houthi allies appear to have tried to launch
missiles at Israel last Thursday. The Houthis, again, control the Yemeni capital
of Sanaa and a large swath of the country.
So Iran's long investment, arming and organisation of Islamist forces across the
region appear to be heading for a denouement now. It is impossible, of course,
to predict the precise course of events in the next days. But the mobilisation
is plain to see. As for the Israeli side: in Shtula last week I spoke with
Shlomi, 54, who has headed the emergency response team in his border community
for the past 20 years. Like almost all the residents of Shtula, his family came
from Iraqi Kurdistan to Israel in the early 1950s.
They came to escape the predecessors of the forces that are now launching
antitank rockets on their community.
"We're only responding, responding, responding," Shlomi told me as he stood by
the entrance to the moshav, an M16 rifle slung across his shoulder. "We aren't
initiating anything. I hope that changes. That has to change."
*Jonathan Spyer is director of research at the Middle East Forum and director of
the Middle East Center for Reporting and Analysis. He is author of Days of the
Fall: A Reporter's Journey in the Syria and Iraq Wars (2018).
Alberto M. Fernandez/Proxy Master … Iran continues to
expand its proxies’ influence throughout the Near East
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Americans have been killed or wounded from three directions in three different
countries in the Middle East in just the last few weeks. The Palestinian
terrorist group Hamas killed 30 Americans inside Israel and is holding others
hostage. Meanwhile American military installations in Syria and Iraq were
targeted repeatedly by missile and drone strikes. If you include naval movements
in the Mediterranean and Red Sea, the Americans were attacked, responded to, or
were getting ready to respond to threats emanating from five places—Gaza, Syria,
Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen.
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/123664/123664/
The American Mind /October 28/2023
Proxy Master
Alberto M. Fernandez/The American Mind /October 28/2023
https://americanmind.org/salvo/proxy-master/?fbclid=IwAR2QBxItARfmZVikLmonhS0vVeYchqBvndDef85LupuKpAcRkTnGSh8RIFE
Iran continues to expand its influence throughout the Near East.
Americans have been killed or wounded from three directions in three different
countries in the Middle East in just the last few weeks. The Palestinian
terrorist group Hamas killed 30 Americans inside Israel and is holding others
hostage. Meanwhile American military installations in Syria and Iraq were
targeted repeatedly by missile and drone strikes. If you include naval movements
in the Mediterranean and Red Sea, the Americans were attacked, responded to, or
were getting ready to respond to threats emanating from five places—Gaza, Syria,
Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen.
All of the local groups perpetrating these actions are closely allied to the
Islamic Republic of Iran. Some political observers and wary Americans fear that
the United States is going to be dragged into yet another expensive foreign
misadventure or that Iran was going to attack the Americans as part of a broader
war between Israel and its many adversaries.
The truth is rather more complicated. The actual chances of a hot war between
Iran and the United States of America are still relatively low. Or putting it a
different way, the chances of the ongoing decades-long low intensity war between
Iran and the U.S. abruptly changing its character now and becoming a more direct
confrontation still remain low. This is entirely different than a much more
likely confrontation between Iran and Israel.
The pattern was set decades ago, in the eighties. Forty years ago, Iran struck
the U.S. Marine Barracks in Beirut, killing 241 Americans. It is incredible to
consider the fact that the United States did not respond. Iran had used a cutout,
or rather a cutout of a cutout for the operation. The group claiming
responsibility for the barracks bombing was called Islamic Jihad, which was a
pseudonym for Hezbollah, the Shia Islamist militia set up by Iran. A joint
American-French strike on an Iranian Revolutionary Guard barracks in Lebanon was
called off because officials within the Reagan Administration were divided as to
Iran’s culpability.
It was only in September 2023 that Ali Tabatabai, the personal representative in
Lebanon of the Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei, confirmed in an Iranian News
Agency interview that it indeed had been Iran which ordered the Beirut
operation. This part of the interview was subsequently deleted from the IRNA
website shortly after publication.
A vivid example of how not to confront the United States occurred a few years
later, during the so-called “Tanker War” in the Persian Gulf, part of the
Iran-Iraq War waged between Iraq’s Saddam Hussein and Khomeini’s Iran. In April
1988, in response to Iranian naval mining of international waters that damaged
an American warship, the Americans launched Operation Praying Mantis, which
struck a wide range of Iranian naval targets. It was the first time since World
War Two that the U.S. Navy had sunk a major surface combatant when the
British-built Iranian frigate Sarhand was struck by Harpoon anti-ship missiles.
This is the closest that the U.S. and Iran have come to a conventional hot war.
In sharp contrast to direct confrontation, the use of proxies in carrying out
operations against the Americans, giving Iran a certain amount of cover, has
served the regime very well. Such ambiguity sometimes prevents a response, as in
Beirut. But even when there is a response, it is almost always the local proxy
that is targeted and not Iran itself.
A rare exception to this rule was the chain of events that led to the
liquidation of Iranian Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani in January 2020. An
Iranian-controlled militia had struck an American base, killing an
Iraqi-American contractor. The Trump Administration responded with an airstrike
on the militia which killed several fighters. The militias then responded by
attacking the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad which led President Trump to authorize the
attack that eliminated Soleimani and his close Iraqi collaborator Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis,
one of the most powerful men in Iraq. In true Trumpian fashion, the American
President threatened to attack Iran itself if the escalation continued. Either
through native cunning or blind luck, Trump had—briefly—lifted the veil
separating the local proxy from the puppet masters in Iran.
And it was Soleimani himself who was credited with developing the network of
heavily armed proxy militias throughout the region that allow Iran to project
power beyond its borders. When Iran used its proxies in 1983 against the Beirut
Marine Barracks, anti-Iranian regimes existed in Iraq and Yemen, and Assad’s
Syria was not interested in being a direct battlefield in a war against Israel
or the Americans. Forty years later, Yemen and Iraq are ruled by pro-Iranian
regimes and Assad’s Syria is much more dependent on Iran and Hezbollah than it
was in 1983. And Iran was able to forge intimate ties with non-Shia Palestinian
terrorists like Hamas. The tactics and equipment used by Hamas in their recent
attack on Israel were pioneered by Iran or its proxies, notably Hezbollah, the
main Arab enforcer of Iran’s regional presence. Given recent developments in
relatively cheap offensive strike capacity, the Iranian proxies in Lebanon,
Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and in Gaza all have Iranian-pattern missiles and drones
capable of striking both Israel and various American targets in the region.
In the euphoria immediately after the disastrous overthrow of the Baathist
regime in Iraq, American Neocons dreamed of overthrowing the Iranians. George W.
Bush dubbed Iran, Iraq, and North Korea the “axis of evil” in his 2002 State of
the Union Address. Today, some speak of Iran, Russia and China as a new “axis of
evil.”
To say that the Iranian regime is evil in many ways is patently obvious. Not
only does it oppress women and execute gays, but it also represses ethnic
minorities and a growing Evangelical Christian convert underground. It is the
world’s chief purveyor of antisemitic propaganda and supports various
anti-American leftist regimes in Latin America. There is something for everyone
to despise about the regime.
The question is what, if anything to do about it. Best of all would be if the
Iranian people themselves were able one day to actually overthrow the regime.
While the Neocon Right dreamed of overthrowing the Mullahs—a laughable thought
after the expensive debacles in Iraq and Afghanistan—the Obama and Biden
Administrations tried to appease Iran with tens of billions of dollars in
sanctions relief in the hopes that over time the regime would moderate its
behavior and become, if not pro-American, at least a “responsible” regional
power whose equities in the region would be recognized and respected by the West
as part of an illusory equilibrium in the Near East.
We’ve now had alternating right and left-wing fantasies about Iran, to overthrow
or to appease. Behind both fantasies is a grim reality. Iran is a country with
many problems, including a sclerotic dictatorship that could come apart at the
seams. But it is also—in relative terms—a rising power with regional ambitions,
a nation of almost 90 million people with its own energy supplies, educated
middle class, industrial base, and arms industry. In this sense, it resembles
its rivals Turkey, Israel, and potentially Saudi Arabia as nations dreaming of
regional power if not hegemony.
The 44-year-old clerical regime ostensibly ruling the country is widely
despised. But the discredited mullahs serve as useful frontmen for what are
becoming the country’s real rulers, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)
and their internal and regional military-industrial empire. As long as the
country’s rulers remain more or less united, they will be difficult to overthrow
from within, though they certainly deserve to be. The regime’s goals have
remained consistent no matter who is in charge – to defeat or destroy Israel and
drive the Americans from the region.
Unless Iran seeks to challenge the Americans directly – a very unlikely
eventuality – leading to open conflict between the two countries, it will
probably remain the master of a potent, flexible proxy network that will allow
it to lash out at its adversaries at arm’s length while keeping vast swathes of
the Arab world under heel. A ramshackle, messy empire, but an empire none the
less.
*Alberto M. Fernandez is Vice President of the Middle East Media Research
Institute and a former Chief of Mission of the US Embassy in Khartoum.
The Israeli war against Hamas must not be a war against Gaza and its people
Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/October 28, 2023
The past three weeks have been a sheer nightmare for Israelis and Palestinians,
with unprecedented bloodshed and destruction in a very short period of time and
no end in sight as yet. At the time of writing, Israel was yet to launch its
widely anticipated ground offensive but it is expected at any minute. Amid this
sea of bloodshed there might be at least a flicker of hope that the nature of
such an incursion, if and when it comes, will be more surgical in nature than a
frightening demonstration of military power that sweeps away and destroys
everything in its path.
As the horror of the Hamas attack of Oct. 7 came to light, it was self-evident
that the Israeli response would be harsh and unforgiving. Furthermore, the
response from the international community — mainly the West, and first and
foremost the US — in repeatedly declaring that “Israel has the right to defend
itself” was bound to be interpreted by Israeli authorities as a blank check to
react in whatever way they saw fit.
This still leaves the question, however, to what purpose? After all, as was
contended nearly two centuries ago by the Prussian general and military theorist
Carl von Clausewitz, “War is merely the continuation of policy by other means,”
In other words, it is not about revenge or punishment but about achieving
political goals.
Understandably, the shock experienced in the aftermath of the surprise attack by
Hamas, especially about its extraordinary brutality, led to strong emotional
responses from Israel’s politicians, military chiefs and, to be fair, from most
quarters of Israeli society. Unfortunately, many Israelis since then have
conflated the war that Israel formally declared against Hamas and Islamic Jihad
with the attacks on the people of Gaza and Palestinians everywhere.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated: “We have only one goal in sight —
to destroy Hamas. We will not stop until this target is met.” It remains to be
seen whether this is achievable, or mere rhetoric to rally the country around
the flag.
That goal likely means a long war, however, and enormous numbers of casualties
on both sides. It is becoming increasingly apparent that Israel’s delay in
embarking on a ground offensive was no coincidence, but due to operational
considerations and international pressure. This in turn has created the space
for Israel to reconsider the timing and scale of such an operation. While the
visits to Israel by Western prime ministers and presidents after the attacks
were a show of solidarity with the country in its time of pain and grief, and
equally of addressing a political and military crisis, the delay to the
anticipated ground assault has also enabled US President Joe Biden and other
world leaders to deliver the message that Israel’s response should be
proportionate and spare civilian lives. There is real concern that should this
not be the case, the war might spill over to other arenas, destabilize the
region and eventually harm Western interests throughout the Middle East.
But one might argue that achieving this will be no easy task, in light of the
intensity of the situation and the ever-rising number of casualties.
The instant support shown by the US in particular, and personally by Biden, not
only in terms of solidarity with Israel and its people but also regarding arms
supplies and naval vessels being moved into position off Israel’s shores, means
that Washington is best placed to have the last word on when the ground
offensive starts and how it is conducted. Looking at the bigger picture, which
is usually forgotten, preventing extremism and violence of the kind committed by
Hamas will not be achieved by treating the entire population of Gaza as mere
collateral damage.
Yet, wars inevitably have their own dynamics, and one knows how they start but
rarely how they will end. In a way, the focus on the timing and nature of an
Israeli ground attack has diverted and sedated the response to Israel’s non-stop
aerial bombardment of Gaza over the past three weeks, which has already claimed,
according to the Health Ministry in Gaza, more than 6,000 lives, many of them
civilians with nothing to do with Hamas or militancy, It has also inflicted huge
swaths of destruction on Gaza’s infrastructure, which was already on the brink
of collapse before Oct. 7.
Moreover, the lives of about 220 hostages, many of them foreign nationals, are
dependent on how this conflict, dubbed the “Iron Swords War” by Israel, unfolds.
It is mystifying that while Washington has been hesitant to give Israeli
authorities the green light to send ground forces into the Gaza Strip — in part
because it does not think Israel is adequately prepared for such an intense and
exacting operation, but also because of the potential for further loss of life —
it has not called on those authorities to be more surgical in their aerial
bombardment campaign, to prevent widespread civilian casualties, or to allow
more aid convoys to enter Gaza.
A wholesale ground incursion into the Gaza Strip might be inevitable, not only
for military purposes (a number of very targeted actions have already taken
place) but also because Israel’s prime minister, his Cabinet and his military
commanders have committed themselves to the sole objective of destroying all of
Hamas’ and Islamic Jihad’s military capabilities, leaving very little room for
them to mitigate this decision.
In light of the events of Oct. 7, which shocked Israeli society to the core,
spread fearful doubt in the ability of its security forces to defend its
citizens, and broke whatever little trust was left in the government and,
especially, Netanyahu, Israel’s excessive use of force in its response was
expected, even if not justified. Yet, three weeks into this response, the worst
war between Israelis and Palestinians since 1948, there is a need to ensure that
it does not become a matter of saving Netanyahu from the anger of his own people
and his inevitable political downfall, not only for failing so spectacularly to
defend the nation but also for showing such flaccid leadership abilities since
the attack.
Looking at the bigger picture, which is usually forgotten, preventing extremism
and violence of the kind committed by Hamas will not be achieved by treating the
entire population of Gaza as mere collateral damage. This would be immoral and,
equally, counterproductive.
Netanyahu might be correct that the war with Hamas will be a long one, but it
must avoid hurting the innocent in the process because that would also
compromise any future attempt to embark, in due course, on talks that could
result in peaceful coexistence and reconciliation in the aftermath of the war.
Israel’s response must be one that builds hope for a better future that
guarantees its own security, not one that will deliver Palestinians into the
hands of the very people who would like to see the destruction of Israel.
This is where the international community can, and must, play an important role
in restraining Israel’s use of force against civilians, ensuring the delivery of
humanitarian aid, and negotiating a ceasefire and a political plan for the day
after.
**Yossi Mekelberg is professor of international relations and an associate
fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House. He is a regular contributor to the
international written and electronic media. X: @YMekelberg
A distracted world cannot afford to ignore Sudan’s growing
plight
Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/October 28, 2023
As the world takes stock of six months of unrelenting civil war in Sudan, the
scale of human suffering and devastation is staggering and impossible to ignore.
The conflict has claimed up to 9,000 lives and displaced almost 6 million
people, forcing them to seek refuge in neighboring countries. An estimated 25
million people are in dire need of aid. However, the world’s priorities have
largely been drawn away from this catastrophe. The war in Ukraine and the
escalating crisis in the Middle East have diverted the focus of the
international community, leaving Sudan’s conflagrations suffering an inadvertent
“visibility crisis.” Irrespective of how profound the devastation in Sudan may
be, its plight is likely to worsen, as pleas for empathetic global intervention
and support get suffocated under the weight of the world’s divided attention.
Adding to the complexity of this situation is a growing health crisis. The
conflict-ridden parts of Sudan are already grappling with cholera outbreaks,
with more than 1,000 suspected cases reported. Continued fighting not only
hampers aid efforts but also exacerbates the spread of this and other
communicable diseases, creating a vicious cycle of violence and despair. As the
war rages on, there is also the potential for significant long-term damage,
creating another “lost” or displaced generation. Basic services are crumbling,
infrastructure is devastated, and the social fabric torn asunder. The
underfunding of humanitarian efforts, with just 33 percent of the required $2.6
billion received, further compounds these challenges.
Extensive research has consistently shown that neglecting conflicts of this
nature not only exacerbates the dire humanitarian crises, but also leaves room
for the propagation of extremism, the threat of regional destabilization, and
generational loss to an entire nation. If left to fester, Sudan’s tumult could
mature into a crisis of unimaginable proportions.
So, after six months of escalation, sporadic violence and brief lulls, what is
the situation in Sudan today? At the heart of the conflict remain the two
powerful entities: the Sudan Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support
Forces. Both were instrumental in the overthrow of the Omar Bashir regime in
2019, and engineering a subsequent military takeover that effectively sidelined
civilian participation in the post-Bashir interim government just two years
later. However, a deep-seated power struggle over the integration of the RSF
into the SAF has resulted in these erstwhile allies becoming enemies, with
catastrophic consequences for Sudan’s civilian population.
If left to fester, Sudan’s tumult could mature into a crisis of unimaginable
proportions.
As it stands, the SAF has managed to secure its base in Eastern Sudan,
headquartered at Port Sudan along the Red Sea coast. This strategic positioning
gives the SAF a degree of control over maritime trade routes, which could
potentially be leveraged for military advantage. However, the capital Khartoum,
once the emblem of a unified Sudan, is under the control of the RSF. The SAF’s
ability to dislodge the RSF from Khartoum (or not) will be a critical
determinant of the conflict’s trajectory.
On one hand, the RSF’s control of the city is significant, not just
symbolically, but also for the practical control it offers over the country’s
remaining, still-functional administrative apparatus. Moreover, the RSF’s
seizure of the town of Kas in South Darfur has allowed it to strengthen its
foothold in Sudan’s peripheries, highlighting the group’s ability to expand
operational reach. Tragically, a “return” to Darfur with unremitting violence,
much attributed to the RSF, paradoxically surpasses the brutality of the
Janjaweed, the RSF’s notorious predecessor, intensifying the damage to Sudan’s
social fabric.
Meanwhile, the SAF’s control of Eastern Sudan and Port Sudan offers it a
strategic advantage. This region’s proximity to the Red Sea could potentially
facilitate foreign military assistance, notably from Egypt, with which the SAF
has a well-established historic relationship. This rush to establish competing
areas of influence risks transforming Sudan into a disastrous mirror image of
neighboring Libya, yet another casualty of a chaotic post-2011 era, and now torn
apart by internal conflict and external meddling.
Foreign patrons, with vested interests and reduced deterrence from a distracted
global community, will likely continue fueling this conflict, or hardening the
resolve of either side in hopes of tilting the balance of power and gaining an
upper hand in ceasefire negotiations. The SAF, for example, still maintains a
few stubborn strongholds in and around Khartoum. A haunting anxiety hangs over
the city, its fate relying on the unknown pendulum of military strategy. Will
the SAF employ artillery or muster air power to expel the RSF? Failure to
negotiate a credible truce and the need to up the stakes would only deepen the
humanitarian catastrophe, as civilians and critical infrastructure are caught in
the crossfire.
Clearly, the international community’s role in this conflict is influential. The
UAE’s documented relationship with the RSF and Egypt’s ties with the SAF could
potentially tip the scales in either direction. After all, the possibility of
foreign reinforcement for either of the combatants could drastically alter more
than just the military landscape in Sudan — it could also shape the contours of
an enduring settlement. Unfortunately, despite renewed attempts, encouraging
diplomacy and conciliatory efforts at conflict resolution, the quest for an
enduring peace remains elusive.
Neighboring Libya’s woes are a stark reminder of the kind of future that awaits
Sudan.
Thankfully, efforts persist to bring the feuding sides together at the
negotiation table. It is much too premature to opine on whether the latest
iteration of talks will either establish a durable ceasefire, freeze the
conflict in an uneasy stalemate, or simply sow more discord. Still, the imminent
return of Sudan’s army and RSF to negotiation talks convened by the US and Saudi
Arabia does offer some hope, with both sides indicating a readiness to resume
discussions. The military’s declaration that it will not stop fighting raises
serious concerns, but it could just be more bluster to eke out greater leverage
before engaging in dialogue behind closed doors. However, the situation on the
ground remains as precarious as ever. Prolonged inaction has planted the seeds
of disillusionment and distress, while intense battles and the fog of war
nurture fertile grounds for malign actors to emerge in pursuit of interests
diametrically opposed to Sudan’s stabilization. As it stands, the balance of
power seems to oscillate between the SAF and the RSF, with both sides showing an
uncanny resilience and a troubling defiance when neighboring Libya’s woes are a
stark reminder of the kind of future that awaits Sudan.
The international community’s role in this conflict, particularly that of
regional powers, will be crucial in determining the eventual outcome. It is a
grim situation, and the world must act swiftly and decisively to quell the
violence and restore peace in Sudan. Should fighting resume, as always, it is
civilians who will endure unimaginable suffering amid this power tussle. Thus,
the global community must develop a coordinated response, not only to broker a
lasting peace but also to address the unfolding crisis, while taking care not to
repeat the mistake of facilitating Sudan’s stabilization and transformation with
deadlines and ultimatums. The conflict in Sudan is not merely a localized
squabble to be compartmentalized and dismissed, but a regional crisis with
potential global implications.
• Hafed Al-Ghwell is a senior fellow and executive director of the North Africa
Initiative (IKSI) at the Foreign Policy Institute of the Johns Hopkins
University School of Advanced International Studies in Washington D.C., and the
former adviser to the dean of the board of executive directors of the World Bank
Group.