English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For December 03/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For
today
Mary visits Zechariah and Elizabeth
Luke 01/39-45/And Mary arose in those days and went into the hill country
with haste, into a city of Judah, and entered into the house of Zacharias
and saluted Elizabeth. And it came to pass, when Elizabeth heard the
salutation of Mary, that the babe leaped in her womb, and Elizabeth was
filled with the Holy Ghost. And she spoke out with a loud voice and said,
“Blessed art thou among women, and blessed is the fruit of thy womb. And why
is it granted to me that the mother of my Lord should come to me? For lo, as
soon as the voice of thy salutation sounded in mine ears, the babe leaped in
my womb for joy. And blessed is she that believed; for there shall be a
fulfillment of those things which were told her from the Lord.”
Titles For The
Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on December 02-03/2023
The terrorist Hezbollah continues to preoccupy the Israeli army from
southern Lebanon/Elias Bejjani/December 2, 2023
Etiene Saqr/Abu Arz: No Cause Surpasses the Lebanese Cause/December 2, 2023
2 Hezbollah members and civilian killed by Israel's strikes on Friday
Israeli strikes kill two pro-Hezbollah fighters in Syria
Border clashes resume as Hezbollah targets soldiers, Israel shells south
Fresh skirmishes between Israel and Hezbollah on Lebanon border
Paris says war may go beyond south Lebanon if 'miscalculation' occurs
Lebanon is offered 'Israeli pullout' in return for 'Hezbollah pullback'
France's Le Drian fails to break Lebanese deadlock
Defense Minister and Maronite Patriarch clash over Army Leadership
Mikati meets with France's Macron in Dubai
PM Mikati to LBCI: Working to enhance health and environmental conditions
Energy Minister Walid Fayad pledges carbon reduction and energy optimization
Iran says an Israeli strike in Syria killed 2 Revolutionary Guard members while
on advisory mission
Israeli shells hit southern Lebanon in second day of violence after Israel-Hamas
truce ends
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on December 02-03/2023
Dozens
dead, hundreds hurt as Israel bombs hundreds of Gaza targets after truce ends
Israel intensifies its assault on southern Gaza, causing renewed concern about
civilian deaths
IDF strikes 400 terror sites in Gaza as war against Hamas resumes
‘Israel going for the absolute elimination of Hamas’
Nowhere to hide, say Gazans in south under Israeli bombardment
Mossad team leaves Qatar as talks to renew truce hit impasse
Israel-Hamas war: Mossad negotiators leave Qatar as truce talks hit 'dead end'
Harris says US will not permit forced relocation of Palestinians from Gaza
Israelis Are Angry at Netanyahu, but Chances of His Ouster Are Slim
Israel wants 'security envelope', no Hamas on border after war, official says
France's Macron says he is going to Qatar to work on new Gaza truce
Experts, advocates deeply divided on question of 'genocide' in Gaza
Turkey's Erdogan: chance for peace in Gaza conflict lost for now
Erdogan Defends Hamas Amid US Concerns Over Turkey’s Support
Protester critically injured after setting self on fire outside Israeli
consulate in Atlanta
Vatican says Pope Francis' health condition is improving
Breaches by Iran-affiliated hackers spanned multiple U.S. states, federal
agencies say
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published
on December 02-03/2023
Iran's Regime Soon to Have Nuclear Bombs; Hezbollah Is Next/Dr. Majid
Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/December 02, 2023
As the military junta looks increasingly vulnerable, what next for Myanmar?/Hafed
Al-Ghwell/Arab News/December 02, 2023
‘Expo 2030’... Saudi Diplomacy’s Dynamic Victories/Emile Ameen/Asharq Al-Awsat/December
02/2023
What are the chances of a permanent ceasefire?/Yossi Mekelberg/Arab
News/December 02, 2023
Western policymakers should not dither over support for Ukraine/Luke Coffey/Arab
News/December 02, 2023
Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News &
Editorials published
on December 02-03/2023
The terrorist
Hezbollah continues to preoccupy the Israeli army from southern Lebanon
Elias Bejjani/December 2, 2023
Hezbollah, the Iranian army that has occupied Lebanon since 2005 after the
forced withdrawal of the invading Syrian army, regurgitating disappointment and
defeat. This party, made up of Lebanese citizens, are practically mercenaries,
and there is nothing Lebanese in them and in their party, including the name,
which is the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon. In the same context, Hezbollah
mourns its dead in jihadist Islamic terms and does not mention Lebanon or any
Lebanese constitutional concepts. Today, the Iranian Hezbollah continued to
provoke the Israeli army militarily and exchanged bombardments with it.
According to the party’s statements, two of its members were killed today in
addition to a number of civilians. Party leaders who are delusional and detached
from reality brag about victories that do not exist except in their rotten and
cancerous minds. Israel, through its senior leaders, threatens to destroy
Lebanon if it commits any mistake and attacks Israel.
In the same realm of the
party's terrorism, its Iranian missions, and its complete subordination to Iran,
it was reported today that two members of its militias, as well as two
Iranian military personnel were killed in Damascus as a result of an Israeli
raid.
Etiene Saqr/Abu Arz: No Cause
Surpasses the Lebanese Cause
Statement by the Lebanese Guardians
Party - Lebanese National Movement
December 02/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/124878/124878/
As the Lebanese political references holding onto political decision-making are
dull-minded and stubborn, we reiterate what we previously stated about the
"Palestinian cause," that it fell from the Lebanese national conscience when it
declared war on Lebanon on April 13, 1975, and raised the slogan "The road to
Palestine passes through Jounieh." This led to havoc across the country for
seven continuous years, causing killings, looting, and destruction. This paved
the way for the entry of Syrian occupation forces, which depleted Lebanon's
remaining vitality and resilience. The Syrian occupation did not leave until 30
years later, handing it over to an even worse occupation, the Iranian
occupation, which dismantled the country's entity and submerged it in a sea of
misery, poverty, and ruin.
Based on the above, we assert that any Lebanese reference, whether political or
spiritual, declaring solidarity with the so-called "Palestinian cause," commits
an act of betrayal against the martyrs of the Lebanese resistance who fell under
the treacherous Palestinian bullets. This betrayal extends to thousands of
martyrs among our children, women, and elders who were slaughtered like sheep
with the knives of Palestinian organizations in Damour, Aishiyeh, Chekka, Beit
Mlait, and other towns invaded by those gangs, committing atrocities that send
shivers down the spine, including the massacres of Tel al-Zaatar and the
Mongols.
What is even sadder is that the whole world stood by watching Lebanon at that
time, either as a spectator or as a conspirator, turning a deaf ear to the
tragedies that struck it for half a century and continue to afflict it without
hearing a single word of condemnation or a single supportive stance for the
Lebanese cause, similar to the global solidarity with the "Palestinian cause" or
the Ukrainian cause or others. It is as if the lives of the Lebanese are cheap,
and their blood is permissible!
Lebanon today is in the midst of danger, hanging between life and death. Any
Lebanese reference that expresses solidarity with a cause other than the
Lebanese cause, in addition to the described act of betrayal, commits the crime
of political adultery against its homeland and people.
In conclusion, we say to the political charlatans among us that peoples who deny
their history have no present or future.
Long Live Lebanon.
Etiene Saqr/Abu Arz
(Free Translation by: Elias Bejjani)
2 Hezbollah members and
civilian killed by Israel's strikes on Friday
Agence France Presse/December 02/2023
Hezbollah said two of its members were among three people killed in Israeli
strikes on Lebanon Friday, as its militants resumed attacks against Israel
following the end of a Gaza truce. The group identified the members killed as
Mohammad Mazraani and Wajih Msheik in separate statements. A source close to the
group said Mazraani was killed in his home along with his mother Nasifa, denying
he was engaged in combat at the time of his death. Lebanon's official National
News Agency had earlier identified both mother and son as civilians.
Cross-border exchanges between Hezbollah and Israel resumed just hours after the
expiry of a truce between Israel and Hamas militants in Gaza that had largely
halted violence at the Lebanon-Israel border. Hezbollah said its fighters
targeted "a group of enemy soldiers in the vicinity of the Jal al-Allam
position," an Israeli post across the border from near the Lebanese town of
Naqoura. A source close to Hezbollah, requesting anonymity as they were not
authorized to speak to the media, had previously told AFP that the group
considers the Jal al-Allam position a key target due to Israeli surveillance
equipment located there. The militant group also claimed four other attacks. The
Israeli army said it struck "a terrorist cell" and "intercepted two launches"
from Lebanon, adding that "artillery struck the sources of the fire."
- Fears of broader conflict -
Apart from a few limited incidents, a week-long truce between Israel and Hamas
saw a halt to the cross-border exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah seen
during the first seven weeks of the war. A source close to Hezbollah had
previously told AFP that the group would adhere to the truce if Israel did.
Hezbollah says its attacks have been in support of Hamas after the Palestinian
group's assault on southern Israel on October 7, which allegedly killed some
1,200 people, mostly civilians, and saw about 240 taken hostage, according to
Israeli officials. In response, Israel has vowed to eliminate the militant group
and unleashed an air and ground campaign that authorities in Hamas-run Gaza say
has killed more than 15,000 people, also mostly civilians. Skirmishes between
Hezbollah and Israel, which fought a devastating war in 2006, have raised fears
of a broader regional conflagration. Since hostilities broke out in October,
more than 110 people have been killed on the Lebanese side of the border, most
of them Hezbollah fighters but including more than a dozen civilians, according
to an AFP tally. On the Israeli side, six soldiers and three civilians have been
killed, according to the Israeli authorities.
Israeli strikes kill two pro-Hezbollah fighters in Syria
Agence France Presse/December 02/2023
Israeli air strikes killed two Syrian pro-Hezbollah fighters when they hit sites
belonging to the Iran-backed group near Damascus early on Saturday, a war
monitor told AFP. The strikes near Damascus came less than 24 hours after the
end of a Gaza truce between Hezbollah ally Hamas and Israel. "Two Syrian
fighters working for Hezbollah were killed and seven other fighters working for
the group were wounded in Israeli air strikes on Hezbollah sites near Sayyida
Zeinab," said Rami Abdel Rahman, who heads the Syrian Observatory for Human
Rights. Israel has launched hundreds of air strikes on its northern neighbor
since Syria's civil war began in 2011, primarily targeting Iran-backed forces
and Lebanese Hezbollah fighters, as well as Syrian army positions. But it has
intensified attacks since its war with Hamas began in October. Hamas last year
said it had restored relations with Syria's government. The chief of the
British-based monitor, which has a network of sources inside Syria, had earlier
told AFP that Israel struck "Hezbollah targets" in the Sayyida Zeinab area south
of Damascus. Syria's defense ministry had also said Israel hit near the Syrian
capital, with an AFP journalist in Damascus reporting the loud sound of
bombings. "At approximately 1:35 am (2235 GMT) today, the Israeli enemy carried
out an air assault from the direction of the occupied Syrian Golan, targeting
some points near the city of Damascus," the defense ministry said in a
statement, reporting no casualties. Syria state television had reported an
"Israeli aggression near the capital."The Israeli army did not comment when
contacted by AFP. On November 8, Israeli air strikes on the same area near
Damascus killed three pro-Iran fighters as they hit sites belonging to the
powerful Lebanese group, the Observatory had said. Israeli air strikes on
November 26 rendered Damascus airport inoperable just hours after flights
resumed following a similar attack the month before. Damascus and Aleppo
airports were both put out of service following Israeli strikes on October 12
and 22. Israel rarely comments on individual strikes targeting Syria, but it has
repeatedly said it will not allow arch-foe Iran, which backs Syrian President
Bashar al-Assad, to expand its presence there. Hezbollah is an ally of Damascus
and has long fought alongside Assad in the country's war.
Border clashes resume as Hezbollah targets soldiers, Israel
shells south
Naharnet/December 02/2023
Border skirmishes resumed Friday after a weeklong truce in Gaza brought a
temporary halt to the daily exchanges of rockets, artillery shelling and
airstrikes between Hezbollah and Israel in south Lebanon. While Lebanon and
Hezbollah weren't officially parties to the cease-fire between Israel and Hamas,
a cautious calm prevailed over the border area in south Lebanon during Gaza's
weeklong truce. As war resumed in Gaza, Hezbollah targeted a group of soldiers
near the Israeli post of Jal al-Alam and fired anti-tanks missiles towards the
Manara settlement. Israel bombed in response the al-Labbouneh, Hamoul and
Rwaisat areas near Lebanon's Naqoura with artillery shells, and al-Qawzah
forests with a guided missile. The shelling followed the explosion of an Israeli
interception missile over the town of al-Khiam, as the Israeli army said its air
defenses had "successfully intercepted a suspicious aerial target that crossed
from Lebanon". The calm in the past week was interrupted by occasional Israeli
violations and a constant buzz of Israeli surveillance drones. On Friday,
caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati arrived in Dubai to attend a COP28 climate
summit shadowed by the resumption of war in Gaza. World leaders brought up the
war while Iranian delegates walked out of the talks in protest over the presence
of Israeli representatives and Palestinian climate change expert Hadeel Ikhmais
asked "We're negotiating for what in the middle of a genocide?" Since the
Israel-Hamas war began on October 7, the frontier between Lebanon and Israel has
seen intensifying exchanges of fire, mainly between Israel and Hezbollah, but
also Palestinian groups, raising fears of a broader conflagration. The
cross-border exchanges have killed 109 people in Lebanon, at least 77 of them
Hezbollah fighters and 14 civilians. More than 55,000 people have fled their
homes. Six Israeli soldiers and three civilians have been killed on the Israeli
side. Lebanese who had fled their border villages after the cross-border
skirmishes began timidly to return, once the truce was announced last week.
Fresh skirmishes between Israel and Hezbollah on Lebanon
border
Naharnet/December 02/2023
A new round of clashes erupted Saturday morning between the Israeli army and
Hezbollah in the Lebanese-Israel border region. In a statement, Hezbollah said
it fired rockets at artillery positions in the Khirbat Maer Israeli post near
the border. The Israeli army later said that shells were fired at the Shomera
area in northern Israel and that it responded with artillery fire. Israeli
shelling meanwhile targeted the outskirts of the southern Lebanese border towns
of Tayr Harfa, Naqoura, Maroun al-Ras, Yaroun, Blida, Alma al-Shaab and al-Qawzah,
Hezbollah's al-Manar TV said. Hezbollah meanwhile announced the death of one
more of its fighters, identifying him as Khodor Abboud, who hailed from the
southern town of Deir Ames. Two Hezbollah members and the mother of one of them
were killed in Israel's strikes on south Lebanon on Friday as the hostilities
resumed following a weeklong truce between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.
Paris says war may go beyond south Lebanon if
'miscalculation' occurs
Naharnet/December 02/2023
French Foreign Minister Catherine Colonna has warned against “miscalculation”
and “escalation” on the Lebanese-Israeli border, as the war resumed in full
force between Israel and Hamas in Gaza following a seven-day truce. “The
situation between Lebanon and Israel is more dangerous than in 2006,” Colonna
said, in remarks to Al-Arabiya television. “Any miscalculation might drag
Lebanon into an escalation that might spread beyond its south,” Colonna warned.
Hezbollah militants and Israeli troops have clashed along the border since Oct.
8, stoking fears that the Hamas-Israel war in the Gaza Strip will spill over
into the rest of the region. Though the clashes have been intense, with both
combatants and civilians killed on both sides, they have remained largely
contained to areas near the border. Hezbollah was not officially a party to a
seven-day truce between Hamas and Israel that took effect last Friday and ended
today, but calm has largely prevailed on the Lebanon-Israel border since then.
Lebanon is offered 'Israeli pullout' in return for
'Hezbollah pullback'
Naharnet/December 02/2023
French Special Presidential Envoy for Lebanon Jean-Yves Le Drian has called on
Lebanon to “implement” U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701 by “ending the
presence of armed appearances within a 30-kilometer-deep area so that it serves
as a buffer zone,” a media report said on Friday. If Lebanon does not comply, Le
Drian has warned that the resolution would be amended so that the U.N. forces
become “more effective in their military jurisdiction” and that the
international community might resort to Chapter 7 of the U.N. Charter to
implement the resolution “by force,” the Nidaa al-Watan newspaper reported. “The
international pressure for the implementation of the resolution has reached
Lebanese officials from several international sides, not only from Le Drian, and
it is something expected to happen, especially that the settlers of the Israeli
north are refusing to return to their homes without security guarantees starting
by the withdrawal of armed appearances from the area south of the Litani River,”
diplomatic sources told the daily. “International pressure on Lebanon will
intensify as time passes with the aim of rearranging the situations in the
border area, seeing as it will be difficult to return to the pre-October 7
situation,” the sources added. “That’s why the stances of the Lebanese forces
are being explored regarding the issue of delineating the land border after
Israel’s withdrawal from the occupied areas and the 13 contested points while
halting its violations, in return for pulling back armed appearances from the
area south of the Litani River,” the sources said.
France's Le Drian fails to break Lebanese deadlock
LBCI/December 02/2023
After the visit of the French presidential envoy, Jean-Yves Le Drian, Lebanon
returned to a state of confusion on all levels and hesitancy in handling various
issues. This article was initially published in and translated from Lebanese
newspaper Al-Joumhouria. As expected, the visit did not bring anything
substantial, described by a political source as a "visit with neither progress
nor setback."The source told Al-Joumhouria: “Le Drian did not present any new or
serious ideas to help advance the presidential file, maintaining the same stance
as in previous visits. This implies that the presidential file remains
unresolved, outside the scope of serious consideration until circumstances
change.”“However, Le Drian's priority this time was not the presidency but
rather a warning against being drawn into a war from the southern front,” he
added. In addition, the source said: “The primary and most significant focus was
the enthusiastic attempt to convince all parties of the necessity to extend the
term of Army Commander General Joseph Aoun. In summary, this was the essence of
the visit, nothing more and nothing less.” In this context, there is a notable
French stance on the Lebanese situation, articulated by French Foreign Minister
Catherine Colonna, who considered the situation between Lebanon and Israel more
dangerous than in 2006. She warned that any miscalculation could lead Lebanon to
escalate beyond its southern borders.
Defense Minister and Maronite Patriarch clash over Army
Leadership
LBCI/December 02/2023
Nidaa Al-Watan learned that Defense Minister Maurice Slim requested a meeting
with Maronite Patriarch Cardinal Mar Bechara Boutros al-Rahi on Friday. This
article was initially published in and translated from Lebanese newspaper Nidaa
Al-Watan. Slim's speech after the meeting was prepared for him by a former
minister and a prominent advisor. During the meeting, the Patriarch emphasized
extending the term of Army Commander General Joseph Aoun, not emptying the
military institution, and aligning actions with national interest. However, Slim
insisted on his stance, refusing to extend General Aoun's term and appoint a new
commander, even in the absence of the President of the Republic, which aroused
the dissatisfaction of the Patriarch, who rejected all the appointment proposals
conveyed by Slim. Bkerke sources expressed their frustration at the
intransigence shown by the Minister of Defense and those behind him regarding
the issue of the army, especially since there is a group that places personal
and utilitarian calculations above Christian and national concerns.
Additionally, the sources indicated that Al-Rahi is making plans to move “and
does not rely on the awakening of the conscience of the Minister of Defense, but
rather there are several plans and paths that the extension may take.”
Furthermore, he is discussing all paths with legal experts and politicians,
whether through the Council of Ministers or the House of Representatives, and he
will not allow a vacuum in the army's leadership.
Mikati meets with France's Macron in Dubai
LBCI/December 02/2023
The Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati met with French President Emmanuel
Macron in Dubai while he participated in the Conference of the Parties to the
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change - COP 28. However, they
discussed the situation in Gaza and southern Lebanon during their meeting. They
also tackled the results of the visit of President Macron's envoy to Lebanon,
Jean-Yves Le Drian, and the talks he held with officials and leaders.
PM Mikati to LBCI: Working to enhance health and environmental conditions
LBCI/December 02/2023
Lebanon’s caretaker Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, considers health a fundamental
factor motivating the enhancement of a healthy climate and environment for the
future of humanity. He noted that the Lebanese delegation is active in
addressing critical Lebanon-related issues. In addition, Mikati stated that
Lebanon will seek to benefit from the Loss and Damage Fund and contribute to
developing green areas. On the situation in Gaza, he said, "The resumption of
fighting in Gaza is a source of concern for officials, and everyone is working
to stabilize the ceasefire. This war will remain a stain on Israel."
Energy Minister Walid Fayad pledges carbon reduction and
energy optimization
LBCI/December 02/2023
Caretaker Minister of Energy Walid Fayad expressed Lebanon’s commitments to
reducing carbon emissions and optimizing energy consumption. Speaking on the
sidelines of COP28, he highlighted the current government's efforts to
capitalize on cost reduction and increased utilization, as outlined in the
Ministry's recent bill. Fayad told LBCI that Lebanon's current revival is
centered on renewable energy, stressing the need for substantial international
community involvement. In addition, he called for a reduction in Lebanon's
carbon bill through Egyptian gas imports, continued exploration of gas reserves
in the country, and the revitalization of the liquefied gas project using
offshore platforms.
Iran says an Israeli strike in
Syria killed 2 Revolutionary Guard members while on advisory mission
TEHRAN, Iran (AP)/December 2, 2023
Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard stated through its website that two of
its forces stationed in Syria were killed in an Israeli airstrike Saturday. The
report on the Guard's news portal identified the two members as Mohammad Ali
Ataei Shourcheh and Panah Taghizadeh, and said they were carrying out an
advisory mission in Syria. It did not elaborate on their rank, or the area where
they were killed. Syrian state media, quoting an unnamed military official, said
Israeli airstrikes hit several areas on the outskirts of the capital Damascus
early Saturday. The strikes resulted in only “material losses,” the report
added. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based opposition war
monitor, said the strikes hit the southern Damascus suburb of Sayyida Zeinab,
where “there are military forces working with the Lebanese (militant group)
Hezbollah.” It said the strike killed two Syrian citizens and two foreigners and
wounded five others. This latest development is likely to increase tensions
between Israel and Iran, which has been a staunch supporter of the militant
Palestinian group Hamas. Iranian officials have warned repeatedly that the
Israel-Hamas war, which erupted on Oct.7, could spread to other parts of the
region. Iran’s military presence in Syria has been a major concern for Israel,
which has vowed to stop Iranian entrenchment along its northern border. Syria
has accused Israel of carrying out hundreds of strikes on targets in
government-controlled parts in recent years — but Israel has rarely acknowledged
such strikes. Iran has been a main supporter of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
during the country's 12-year civil war. Thousands of Iran-backed fighters have
been deployed in Syria where they helped tip the balance of power in Assad’s
favor over the past years. Scores of Iranian Revolutionary Guard members have
been killed during the war in Syria though Tehran has long said it has only a
military advisory role in Syria. Since the Israel-Hamas began, Israel has
carried out several strikes targeting Syria, putting the international airports
of Damascus and the northern city of Aleppo out of commission for more than a
month.
Israeli shells hit southern Lebanon in second day of violence after Israel-Hamas
truce ends
Reuters/December 02, 2023
BEIRUT: Israeli forces and Hezbollah militants exchanged fire across the
Israel-Lebanon border on Saturday in a second day of hostilities after the
collapse of a truce in Gaza between Palestinian group Hamas and Israel.
Iran-backed Hezbollah said in a statement that one of its fighters was killed
but did not specify when. Three people in south Lebanon were killed by Israeli
shelling on Friday in south Lebanon, according to Lebanon’s state news agency.
Hezbollah said two of the dead were its fighters. Hezbollah also said it fired
rockets at an Israeli position. Israel’s military said two mortar bombs launched
from Lebanon fell in open areas in Shomera, across the border from the south
Lebanon village of Marwahin. The military said it responded by attacking the
launch site and elsewhere in south Lebanon. Earlier on Saturday, shelling from
Israel hit close to the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL)
headquarters near the coastal town of Naqoura and around the border village of
Rmaych, a UNIFIL spokesperson said. The Israeli military said it carried out
shelling near Naqoura after spotting “unusual activity” in the area. UNIFIL also
detected fire around 11 a.m. (0900 GMT) from the area of Tayr Harfa, about a
mile from the Israeli frontier, toward Israel, the spokesperson said. Following
the eruption of the Hamas-Israel war on Oct. 7, Hezbollah mounted near-daily
rocket attacks on Israeli positions at the frontier while Israel waged air and
artillery strikes in south Lebanon. But the border was largely calm during the
week-long truce in the Gaza war. It has been the worst fighting since the 2006
war between Israel and Hezbollah, a Hamas ally. Just over 100 people in Lebanon
have been killed during the hostilities, 83 of them Hezbollah fighters. Tens of
thousands of people have fled both sides of the border.
Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on December 02-03/2023
Dozens dead, hundreds hurt as Israel bombs
hundreds of Gaza targets after truce ends
Agence France Presse/December 02, 2023
Israel carried out deadly bombardments in Gaza for a second day on Saturday,
hitting hundreds of targets, after a week-long truce with Hamas militants
collapsed despite international calls for an extension. Smoke again clouded the
sky over northern Gaza, whose Hamas government said 240 people had been killed
since the pause in hostilities expired early Friday. According to the United
Nations an estimated 1.7 million people in Gaza -- around 80 percent of the
population -- have been displaced by eight weeks of war which have left them
short of food, water and other essentials, with their homes destroyed. The truce
had allowed increased aid into Gaza via the Rafah crossing point with Egypt, but
the Palestinian Red Crescent said Israel had told NGOs that "the entry of aid
trucks has been suspended until further notice."Both sides blamed each other for
the breakdown of the truce, which had enabled the release of 80 Israeli hostages
in exchange for 240 Palestinian prisoners. During an unprecedented attack on
October 7, Hamas fighters broke through Gaza's militarized border into Israel,
allegedly killed about 1,200 people and took around 240 Israelis and foreigners
hostage, according to Israeli authorities. Israel vowed to eliminate Hamas in
response and unleashed an air and ground campaign that has killed more than
15,000 people, also mostly civilians. Since the end of the pause, Israel's air,
naval and ground forces have attacked more than 400 targets in Gaza, the army
said on Saturday. The figure is roughly in line with the daily average number of
strikes prior to the pause, according to figures released previously. Warplanes
hit "more than 50 targets in an extensive attack in the Khan Yunis area" of
Gaza's south, the military added. Separately, members of an Israeli armoured
brigade "eliminated terrorist squads and directed fire against terrorist targets
in the north of the Gaza Strip", the military said.
Fighting spreads
Since the truce expired militants have fired rockets from Gaza towards Israel.
International leaders and humanitarian groups condemned the return to fighting.
"I deeply regret that military operations have started again in Gaza," UN
Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said on X, formerly Twitter. "Today, in a
matter of hours, scores were reportedly killed and injured," U.N. humanitarian
chief Martin Griffiths said. "Families were told to evacuate, again. Hopes were
dashed." The United States said it was working with regional partners to reach
another truce. "We're going to continue to work with Israel and Egypt and Qatar
on efforts to reimplement the pause," U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said
on Friday.
Disappointment over hostages
The week of hostage-prisoner exchanges yielded tearful reunions of Israeli
families with their released relatives and jubilation in the streets of the
Israeli-occupied West Bank as Palestinians walked free from Israeli jails.
Twenty-five other hostages, mostly Thais, were also freed in separate
arrangements. The Israeli army said Friday that five more hostages had died,
bringing the total number to seven, and 136 were still being held, including 17
women and children. The end of the pause meant bitter disappointment for the
families of those still not freed. "We saw a chance for people to come out, be
reunited with their families and resume their old lives," said Ilan Zharia, the
uncle of 20-year-old Eden Yerushalmi, one of the women not to have been
released. Romania said it had been told by Israel that a Romanian-Israel hostage
had died in Gaza. In Dubai on Friday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the
United States remained "intensely focused on getting everyone home, getting
hostages back" and "pursuing the process that had worked for seven days" during
the truce. The Doctors Without Borders charity said one of the only hospitals
still working in Gaza's north "was damaged in a blast" after the truce ended.
Guterres has warned of a "humanitarian catastrophe" in Gaza. "The health care
service is on its knees," Rob Holden, a World Health Organization senior
emergency officer, told journalists from Gaza as explosions were heard in the
background.
'Most dangerous place'
Outside Al-Ahli hospital in Gaza City, a man in a blue sweater bellowed in grief
and turned his face and hands to the sky after viewing a dead boy in a body bag,
AFPTV footage showed. "What did he do wrong? God, what did we do to deserve
this?" he yelled. Thousands of children had already been killed in Gaza before
the truce. "Today, the Gaza Strip is once again the most dangerous place in the
world to be a child," the U.N. children's fund executive director, Catherine
Russell, said in a statement Saturday. Visiting the region this week, Blinken,
whose country provides Israel with billions of dollars in military aid annually,
urged Israel to minimise innocent Palestinian casualties, "including by clearly
and precisely designated areas... where they can be safe and out of the line of
fire".The Israeli military published a map of "evacuation zones" in Gaza that it
said would enable residents to "evacuate from specific places for their safety
if required". Residents in various areas of Gaza were sent SMS messages on
Friday warning that "a crushing military attack on your area" was coming, with
the aim of eliminating Hamas. Among those killed on Friday were three
journalists, Gaza's Hamas rulers said. Turkey's Anadolu state news agency
confirmed the death of cameraman Muntassir al-Sawwaf and two others whom it did
not name.
Israel intensifies its
assault on southern Gaza, causing renewed concern about civilian deaths
AP/December 02, 2023
KHAN YOUNIS, Gaza Strip: The Health Ministry in Hamas-run Gaza said the death
toll has surpassed 15,200 and that 70 percent of those killed were women and
children. The figure was announced Saturday by ministry spokesman Ashraf Al-Qidra,
who did not provide further details. The previous toll given by the ministry was
more than 13,300 dead. Al-Qidra did not explain the sharp jump. However, the
ministry had only been able to provide sporadic updates since Nov. 11, amid
problems with connectivity and major war-related disruptions in hospital
operations. The ministry does not differentiate between civilians and
combatants.More than 40,000 people have been wounded, Al-Qidra said. Israel
intensified a renewed offensive that followed a weeklong truce with Hamas,
giving rise to renewed concerns about civilian casualties, even as the United
States urged ally Israel to do everything possible to protect civilians. “This
is going to be very important going forward,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken
said Friday after meetings with Arab foreign ministers in Dubai, wrapping up his
third Middle East tour since the war started. “It’s something we’re going to be
looking at very closely.”Many of Israel’s attacks Saturday were focused on the
Khan Younis area in southern Gaza, where the military said it had struck more
than 50 Hamas targets with airstrikes, tank fire and its navy. The military
dropped leaflets the day before warning residents to leave but, as of late
Friday, there had been no reports of large numbers of people leaving, according
to the United Nations.
“There is no place to go,” lamented Emad Hajjar, who fled with his wife and
three children from the northern town of Beit Lahia a month ago to seek refuge
in Khan Younis. “They expelled us from the north, and now they are pushing us to
leave the south.”Israel’s military said it also carried out strikes in the
north, and hit more than 400 targets in all across the Gaza Strip. Some 2
million people — almost Gaza’s entire population — are crammed into the
territory’s south, where Israel urged people to relocate at the war’s start and
has since vowed to extend its ground assault. Unable to go into north Gaza or
neighboring Egypt, their only escape is to move around within the
220-square-kilometer (85-square-mile) area. In response to US calls to protect
civilians, the Israeli military released an online map, but it has done more to
confuse than to help. It divides the Gaza Strip into hundreds of numbered,
haphazardly drawn parcels, sometimes across roads or blocks, and asks residents
to learn the number of their location in case of an eventual evacuation. “The
publication does not specify where people should evacuate to,” the UN office for
coordinating humanitarian issues in the Palestinian territory noted in its daily
report. “It is unclear how those residing in Gaza would access the map without
electricity and amid recurrent telecommunications cuts.”
In the first use of the map to order evacuations, Avichay Adraee, the Israeli
military’s Arabic spokesperson, specified areas in the north and the south to be
cleared out Saturday in posts on X, formerly Twitter. Adraee listed numbered
zones under evacuation order — but the highlighted areas on maps attached to his
post did not match the numbered zones. Egypt has expressed concerns the renewed
offensive could cause Palestinians to try and cross into its territory. In a
statement late Friday, the Egyptian Foreign Ministry said the forced transfer of
Palestinians “is a red line.”
US Vice President Kamala Harris, who was in Dubai on Saturday for the COP28
climate conference, was expected to outline proposals with regional leaders to
“put Palestinian voices at the center” of planning the next steps for the Gaza
Strip after the conflict, according to the White House. US President Joe Biden’s
administration has been emphasizing the need for an eventual two-state solution,
with Israel and a Palestinian state coexisting. The renewed hostilities have
also heightened concerns for 136 hostages who, according to the Israeli
military, are still held captive by Hamas and other militants after 105 were
freed during the truce. For families of remaining hostages, the truce’s collapse
was a blow to hopes their loved ones could be the next out after days of seeing
others freed. The Israeli army said Friday it had confirmed the deaths of four
more hostages, bringing the total known dead to seven. During the truce, Israel
freed 240 Palestinians from its prisons. Most of those released from both sides
were women and children. The war began after the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas and
other militants, who killed about 1,200 people, mostly civilians, in southern
Israel and took around 240 people captive. After the end of the truce, militants
in Gaza resumed firing rockets into Israel, and fighting broke out between
Israel and Hezbollah militants operating along its northern border with Lebanon.
HUMANITARIAN AID HALT
Hundreds of thousands of people fled northern Gaza to Khan Younis and other
parts of the south earlier in the war, part of an extraordinary mass exodus that
has left three-quarters of the population displaced and facing widespread
shortages of food, water and other supplies. Since the resumption of
hostilities, no aid convoys or fuel deliveries have entered Gaza, and
humanitarian operations within Gaza have largely halted, according to the UN.
The International Rescue Committee, an aid group operating in Gaza, warned the
return of fighting will “wipe out even the minimal relief” provided by the truce
and “prove catastrophic for Palestinian civilians.”Up until the truce began,
more than 13,300 Palestinians were killed in Israel’s assault, roughly
two-thirds of them women and minors, according to the Health Ministry in Hamas-controlled
Gaza, which does not differentiate between civilians and combatants.
The toll is likely much higher, as officials have only sporadically updated the
count since Nov. 11. The ministry says thousands more people are feared dead
under the rubble. Israel says it is targeting Hamas operatives and blames
civilian casualties on the militants, accusing them of operating in residential
neighborhoods. Israel says 77 of its soldiers have been killed in the ground
offensive in northern Gaza. It claims to have killed thousands of militants,
without providing evidence.
IDF strikes 400 terror
sites in Gaza as war against Hamas resumes
JNS/December 2, 2023
An "extensive" wave of airstrikes targeted Hamas infrastructure in the Khan
Yunis area in southern Gaza. The Israel Defense Forces said Saturday morning
that it struck over 400 terror sites in the Gaza Strip in the past 24 hours, as
the war against Hamas resumed following a week-long ceasefire. Airstrikes
overnight Friday included an “extensive” wave of more than 50 attacks on Hamas
infrastructure in the Khan Yunis area in southern Gaza, according to the
military. Naval forces also attacked Hamas terror assets in the region. Heavy
ground battles were fought near Khan Yunis after intelligence showed Hamas
leaders entrenching in the city, Channel 12 also reported. The IDF is widely
expected to expand its ground operation to the southern Gaza Strip and has
published a map splitting the area into scores of small zones, which will be
used to notify Palestinian civilians of impending active combat. “The people of
Gaza are not our enemies. For this reason, the IDF is leading controlled and
specific evacuations in order to remove them as much as possible from areas of
combat,” the military said in a message to Gaza residents. Overnight Friday,
ground forces in northern Gaza called in airstrikes on several targets,
including a mosque used by Palestinian Islamic Jihad to direct terror
operations. The IDF also eliminated a terror cell that had ambushed troops.
Earlier, five IDF soldiers were wounded by a mortar shell that struck near
Kibbutz Nirim, located close to the border with the Gaza Strip and 4.3 miles
east of Khan Yunis. Three of the soldiers were in moderate condition while the
others were lightly injured. Air raid sirens blared across southern Israel
throughout Friday, and in the country’s center later in the day, as Palestinian
rocket fire expanded. On Saturday, the IDF confirmed that terrorists in Lebanon
fired numerous rockets at Israel the previous night. The Iron Dome missile
defense system was not activated as the projectiles hit in open areas, causing
no injuries or damage. In response, the IDF shelled the area from which the
launches were carried out, and fighter jets struck the terror cell responsible
for the fire. Later Saturday, the military said that aircraft and artillery were
striking Hezbollah terror assets in Lebanon. The IDF on Friday struck a terror
cell operating in southern Lebanon after Hezbollah resumed attacks on northern
Israel. Several rockets were fired from Lebanese territory at military posts
along the border near Rosh Hanikra and Moshav Margaliot, and Iron Dome
intercepted two rockets launched at the city of Kiryat Shmona. The IDF resumed
combat operations in Gaza on Friday morning after Hamas broke a ceasefire by
firing rockets at the Jewish state. Amid renewed fighting, Israel’s government
said it is committed to seeing that all the hostages return home. To date, 110
people have returned to Israel. Eighty-six are Israelis and 24 foreign citizens.
According to the latest numbers, 137 remain in captivity. Of those, 20 are women
and 117 are men. They include 126 Israelis and 11 foreigners. Hamas terrorists
killed at least 1,200 people during its Oct. 7 attack on Israeli communities
near the Gaza border.
‘Israel going for the
absolute elimination of Hamas’
JNS/December 2, 2023
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant stated on Saturday night that the military
is operating in new areas of the Gaza Strip, adding that Jerusalem’s war
objective to fully dismantle Hamas remains unaltered. “In the last two days, we
are operating in areas we have not been active in over the last month, and it
will increase and intensify,” said Gallant. “This operation will reach every
point that needs to be reached. We are going for the absolute elimination of the
Hamas terror organization. “We are going until we defeat them, dismantle their
military capabilities and break their governing ability, and we will need to do
this by adapting to the new conditions of the terrain we are fighting in. There
will be intense and precise fire,” continued the minister. Gallant said that the
IDF’s offensive in northern Gaza has produced “very good achievements in the
first month,” adding that Hamas battalion commanders across the entire Strip
“already know very well what the IDF can do.” Large numbers of Hamas battalion
commanders in northern Gaza have been eliminated by Israeli airstrikes. Earlier
Saturday, the IDF announced that it had struck over 400 terror targets
throughout Gaza since the war resumed the previous morning when Hamas violated a
week-long ceasefire agreement by firing rockets at Israel.
In a focused operation overnight Friday, Israeli Air Force fighter jets hit more
than 50 targets in the Khan Yunis region of southern Gaza. Additionally, IDF
ground troops were active in Beit Lahia in northern Gaza, employing tank fire
and directing aerial strikes against terrorists and Hamas infrastructure.
The northern Gaza Strip saw targeted artillery fire and aerial strikes. An IAF
aircraft struck a mosque used as an operational command center by Palestinian
Islamic Jihad. The Israeli Navy conducted targeted activities in the Khan Yunis
marina, striking Hamas assets with precision munitions. Furthermore, IDF troops
thwarted terrorist cells. The IDF confirmed on Saturday evening that Col. Assaf
Hamami, who commanded the southern Gaza Brigade and who had been missing since
Hamas’s Oct. 7 invasion, was killed during the Palestinian terror group’s
cross-border assault. The IDF has also renewed activity in the north, responding
to attacks by striking Hezbollah targets in Lebanon. On Saturday, the IDF said
aircraft and artillery were striking Hezbollah terrorist infrastructure in
Lebanese territory. Later, Hezbollah launched projectiles at Israeli military
posts, to which the IDF responded by firing at the source. Also in the north, an
airstrike occurred early Saturday in the Sayda Zaynab area of southern Damascus,
with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps subsequently announcing the deaths
of two “advisors.” The Alma Center, a defense research organization in northern
Israel, explained in a report: “The Iranian ‘advisors’ in Syria deal with
operational, intelligence, training and technology issues. They are part of the
operation of the Iranian corridor to Syria and Lebanon, act as intelligence
personnel engaged in building the strength of terrorist infrastructures and
gathering intelligence against Israel, instruct the militias and the Syrian army
in various fields, and serve as experts in the development of weapons in
cooperation with the CERS Institute.” On Friday, the IDF announced that it had
taken proactive steps to minimize civilian casualties in Gaza. It began
distributing evacuation information and maps to Palestinians and delineating
safe zones in southern Gaza to avoid during operations. The map was published on
a special page on the IDF’s Arabic-language website and in a video posted to
online social networks. Additionally, the map was published in announcements the
military distributed in the Gaza Strip.
The IDF’s efforts have also focused on retrieving and identifying Israeli
hostages, with recent operations leading to the confirm
Nowhere to hide, say Gazans in south under Israeli
bombardment
KHAN YOUNIS, Gaza (Reuters)/Arafat Barbakh and Nidal al-Mughrabi/Sat, December
2, 2023 .
Under aerial bombardment from Israel, people sheltering in the south of the Gaza
Strip after fleeing their homes earlier in the war said on Saturday they had
nowhere safe to go now.The city of Khan Younis is the focus of Israeli air
strikes and artillery fire after fighting resumed on Friday following the
collapse of a week-long truce. Its population has swelled in recent weeks as
several hundred thousand people from the northern Gaza Strip have fled south.
Some are camping in tents, others in schools. Some are sleeping in stairwells or
outside the few hospitals operating in the city. A World Health Organisation
official said on Friday that one of the hospitals was "like a horror movie" as
hundreds of wounded children and adults waited for treatment. Abu Wael Nasrallah,
80, scoffed at the Israeli army's latest order to move further south to Rafah,
bordering Egypt. Children were injured in Israeli strikes in the town on Friday.
The message was delivered via leaflets dropped from the sky over several
districts Khan Younis. "This is nonsense," Nasrallah told Reuters. He had heeded
Israeli evacuation orders and moved from the northern Gaza Strip earlier in the
war that broke out on Oct. 7 when Hamas militants crossed into Israel and killed
1,200 people, mostly civilians. Some 193 Palestinians had been killed since the
truce expired, the Gaza health ministry said on Saturday, adding to the death
toll of more than 15,000 Gazans announced by Palestinian health authorities. He
and his family would stay put because they had already lost everything. "There
is nothing left to fear. Our homes are gone, our property is gone, our money is
gone, our sons have been killed, some are handicapped. What is left to cry for?"
A mother of four, who gave her name as Samira, said she had fled south from Gaza
City with her children after Israel began bombing there last month. They now
shelter with friends in a home west of Khan Younis. She said Friday night had
been one of the most terrifying since she arrived: "A night of horror."She and
other residents said they feared the intensity of the bombing in Khan Younis and
the nearby city of Deir al-Balah meant Israel's ground invasion of the south was
imminent. Another man, who gave his name as Yamen, said he and his wife and six
children had fled the north weeks ago and were sleeping in a school."Where to
after Deir al Abalah, after Khan Younis?" he said. "I don't know where to take
my family." The U.N. estimates that up to 1.8 million people in the Gaza Strip -
or nearly 80% of the population - have been forced to flee during Israel's
devastating bombing campaign. Israel has sworn to annihilate Gaza-based Hamas in
response to the Oct. 7 rampage by the militant group, when Israel says gunmen
killed 1,200 people.
Mossad team leaves Qatar as
talks to renew truce hit impasse
December 2, 2023/JNS
The Israeli spy agency thanked Washington, Cairo and Doha for mediation efforts
that resulted in over 100 hostages freed during a week-long ceasefire. Mossad
agents negotiating the potential renewal of the ceasefire deal between Israel
and Hamas left Qatar on Saturday due to an impasse in the talks.“Due to the
impasse in negotiations and following instructions from Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu, Mossad chief David Barnea ordered his team in Doha to return to
Israel,” according to a statement released by the premier’s office on behalf of
the spy agency. “The Hamas terror group did not fulfill its obligations under
the agreement, including releasing all the women and children in accordance with
a list provided to Hamas and approved by it,” the statement added. “[Barnea]
thanks the head of the CIA, Egypt’s intelligence minister and the prime minister
of Qatar for their partnership in the tremendous mediation efforts that led to
the release of 84 women and children from Gaza, in addition to 24 foreign
nationals,” concluded the statement. The IDF resumed combat operations in Gaza
on Friday morning after Hamas broke a week-long ceasefire by firing rockets at
the Jewish state. Barnea has repeatedly flown to Doha to hold discussions aimed
at securing the release of additional hostages held by Hamas terrorists in Gaza.
On Tuesday, The Washington Post reported that CIA director William Burns was
pushing for a future truce deal that would include the release of male hostages
and Israel Defense Forces personnel held captive by Hamas. Amid renewed
fighting, Israel’s government said it remains committed to seeing that all the
hostages return home. According to the latest numbers, 137 remain in captivity.
Of those, 20 are women and 117 are men. They include 126 Israelis and 11
foreigners. Hamas terrorists killed at least 1,200 people during its Oct. 7
attack on Israeli communities near the Gaza border.
Israel-Hamas war: Mossad
negotiators leave Qatar as truce talks hit 'dead end'
The Telegraph/December 2, 2023
Israel has pulled out of negotiations for a new truce with Hamas after they
reached an “impasse”.Officials from the Mossad intelligence agency had been in
talks with Qatari mediators in Doha about a new ceasefire deal that would have
seen more hostages released. “Following the impasse in the negotiations and at
the direction of prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, David Barnea, head of the
Mossad, ordered his team in Doha to return to Israel,” Mr Netanyahu’s office
said in a statement on behalf of the agency. The statement also praised the
“tremendous mediation efforts” of Qatar, Egypt and the CIA for securing the
release of 108 hostages. Israel says 136 hostages remain in Hamas captivity.
Harris says US will not
permit forced relocation of Palestinians from Gaza
LBCI/December 2, 2023
The United States reassured Egypt that it will not allow the relocation of
Palestinians. According to the White House, US Vice President Kamala Harris
affirmed to Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi that Washington will not
permit the forced relocation of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip or the West
Bank, the blockade of Gaza, or the redrawing of its boundaries.
Israelis Are Angry at Netanyahu, but Chances of His Ouster Are Slim
Sheera Frenkel/The New York Times Company/December 2, 2023
TEL AVIV, Israel — Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s longest-serving prime minister,
has weathered many controversies, including accusations of corruption and
allegations this year that a contentious overhaul of the country’s judiciary was
a poorly disguised power grab. But he now faces the greatest crisis of his
political career. The backlash to his government’s failures to prevent the Oct.
7 Hamas-led terrorist attack, in which 1,200 people were killed and more than
240 others taken hostage, and criticism of his handling of the war in the Gaza
Strip are steadily growing. People inside Netanyahu’s government and those who
hope to see him replaced agree that his standing has never been so low with the
Israeli public. Sign up for And yet — owing to the complexities of Israel’s
parliamentary system and the vagaries of war — few paths exist for Netanyahu to
be ousted soon from office. His long-term political prospects and his legacy,
however, rest largely on how he handles the coming days, analysts said.
In recent days and weeks, vigils for slain Israelis have turned into protests
over Netanyahu’s leadership. Calls for him to take responsibility for the
intelligence failures that preceded the Hamas attack have morphed into a
campaign seeking his resignation.
A far-right member of his governing coalition, Itamar Ben-Gvir, has threatened
to topple the government. Members of Netanyahu’s own Likud party have talked
about defecting, according to two senior party members. And the United States,
Israel’s closest and most important ally, has begun pushing the prime minister
to limit the number of civilian deaths in Gaza. As the war entered a new phase
Friday after the collapse of a seven-day truce and the start of a renewed
Israeli air campaign, Netanyahu is searching for a solution — including the
potential assassination of Hamas’ top leader in Gaza — that could appease his
coalition, silence his critics and satisfy a population desperate for him to
bring home the remaining hostages from Gaza and defeat Hamas. In a statement to
reporters Friday, Netanyahu said that he was committed to “destroying Hamas.”
Privately, he has told aides that he is pushing for the military to assassinate
the head of Hamas in Gaza, Yahya Sinwar, according to a current Israeli official
and a former one who have spoken with the prime minister in recent days.
Netanyahu believes, the officials said, that the assassination of Sinwar, the
presumed mastermind of the Oct. 7 attacks, would be enough to convince the
Israeli public that a major victory had been won against Hamas and the war can
end.
Israeli political analysts said Sinwar’s death could stem but not reverse the
tide of public anger directed at Netanyahu. “If the Israeli military succeeded
in assassinating a major Hamas figure, I expect Netanyahu would seek to take
credit,” said Anshel Pfeffer, a columnist for Haaretz newspaper and the author
of “Bibi: The Turbulent Life and Times of Benjamin Netanyahu.” Pfeffer added
that despite the many past scandals that have rocked Netanyahu’s reputation, he
has always managed to save his political skin.
For much of the past year, hundreds of thousands of Israelis have taken to the
streets to protest the prime minister’s plans for a judicial overhaul. Many
Israelis see the changes as tied to Netanyahu’s ongoing trial on charges of
corruption, though he has denied any connection between the two.
In a Sept. 7 poll by Kan, Israel’s public broadcaster, 75% of respondents said
that they believed that Netanyahu’s government was “not functioning well.”In the
weeks since the start of the war, Netanyahu’s numbers have steadily dropped. In
a poll released Friday by the Israeli newspaper Ma’ariv, 30% of respondents said
that Netanyahu was best fit to serve as prime minister, while 49% preferred his
closest political rival, Benny Gantz, a former defense minister. The same poll
found that support for Likud had also fallen. In Israel, governments are formed
through a multiparty system based on which party can cobble together a majority
of at least 61 seats in the 120-seat Parliament. Netanyahu’s coalition currently
holds 74 seats. To topple him, at least 13 members of Parliament would need to
leave his coalition, or a no-confidence vote would have to be held in the
Legislature, with another candidate selected to replace Netanyahu. Aviv
Bushinsky, a former political adviser to Netanyahu, said that neither scenario
was likely. “Almost everyone you speak to today will tell you the same thing:
that Netanyahu must step down from office; he cannot continue to lead this
country,” said Bushinsky. “And yet, at the same time, there is a very real
scenario in which he remains prime minister despite his unpopularity because of
the difficulty in replacing or removing him.” Bushinsky said that some members
of Netanyahu’s Likud party had spoken about splintering to form their own party,
but they were unlikely to do so in the midst of a war. “People are only going to
strike while the iron is hot,” Bushinsky said. “It’s not just about them leaving
Likud; it is about them being able to put together their own coalition of 61
people who will support them. I just don’t see a political constellation like
that which will work.”Israeli political sentiment, he added, has shifted to the
right since Oct. 7. Any future election, he predicted, could be won only by a
right-wing candidate who was seen as a strong military leader. Many of the
Israelis who gathered Friday afternoon in Tel Aviv’s so-called Hostage Square
agreed with Bushinsky. The large area outside the Tel Aviv Art Museum has become
a regular site of protest, mourning and celebration for the families of those
abducted from Israel and taken to Gaza on Oct. 7. On Thursday, Moran Gal, 24,
and her boyfriend came to the square to cheer and celebrate the return of eight
Israeli hostages. But by Friday, with the cease-fire ended and reports trickling
out that some of the oldest hostages held by Hamas had been killed, Gal had
tears on her face.“This is all Bibi’s fault,” said Gal, a student, using
Netanyahu’s nickname. “How come he hasn’t apologized? How come he hasn’t
admitted he failed us?”In Jerusalem, where almost-daily protests have been held
in front of Parliament calling for Netanyahu’s resignation, hundreds gathered
Thursday night to listen to Eran Litman, whose daughter was killed Oct. 7.
Litman accused the Israeli prime minister of failing to protect his daughter and
of returning to war in Gaza instead of saving the lives of additional Israeli
hostages. “He only thinks about himself, not about his country,” Litman said.
“Shame,” a crowd of hundreds thundered each time he mentioned Netanyahu’s name.
Israel wants 'security envelope', no Hamas on border after war, official says
JERUSALEM (Reuters)/December 2, 2023
Israel will seek a "security envelope" with special zones and arrangements that
will prevent Hamas from being positioned on its border after the war in Gaza is
over, a senior adviser to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Saturday. On
Friday, Reuters reported that Israel has informed several Arab states that it
wants to carve out a buffer zone on the Palestinian side of Gaza's border to
prevent future attacks as part of proposals for the coastal enclave after the
war ends. Asked whether Israel was indeed seeking such a buffer zone, senior
adviser Mark Regev told reporters: "Israel will have to have a security
envelope. We can never again allow terrorists to cross the border and butcher
our people the way they did on October 7." Israel has suggested in the past it
was considering a buffer zone inside Gaza, but the sources who spoke with
Reuters said it was now presenting them to Arab states as part of its future
security plans for Gaza. "If you ask me about a buffer zone, let me be clear;
you won't have a situation in the future where you can have Hamas terrorists on
the border, directly on the border, positioned just to cross over and kill our
people again," Regev said. "That is not Israel taking territory from Gaza," said
Regev. "On the contrary, that is creating security zones where you have a
special situation on the ground which limits the ability of people to enter
Israel to kill our people. It's common sense." According to three regional
sources, Israel related its plans to its neighbours Egypt and Jordan, along with
the United Arab Emirates, which normalised ties with Israel in 2020. They also
said Saudi Arabia, which does not have ties with Israel and which halted a
U.S.-mediated normalisation process after the Gaza war erupted on Oct. 7, had
been informed. The conflict broke out on Oct. 7 when Hamas militants crossed
into southern Israel and killed 1,200 people, mostly civilians, in a rampage
against kibbutzim and other communities. More than 200 hostages were taken back
into Gaza. Israel, vowing to wipe out Hamas once and for all, responded with a
bombing campaign and ground offensive which has destroyed large areas of Gaza
and killed, according to the enclave's health ministry, more than 15,000 people.
France's Macron says he is going to Qatar to work on new
Gaza truce
Reuters/December 2, 2023
French President Emmanuel Macron said on Saturday that France was "very
concerned" by the resumption of violence in Gaza and that he was heading to
Qatar to help in efforts to kickstart a new truce ahead of a ceasefire. Macron
also told a press conference at the COP28 climate summit in Dubai that the
situation required the doubling down on efforts to obtain a lasting ceasefire
and the freeing of all hostages. A temporary truce between Israel and Hamas
collapsed on Friday after mediators were unable to extend the pause. Israel and
Hamas have traded blame over the collapse. Macron also urged Israel to clarify
its goals towards Hamas. "We are at a moment when Israeli authorities must more
precisely define their objectives and their final goal: the total destruction of
Hamas, does anyone think it is possible? If this is the case, the war will last
10 years," he said. "There is no lasting security for Israel in the region if
its security is achieved at the cost of Palestinian lives and thus of the
resentment of public opinions in the region. Let's be collectively lucid,"
Macron added. Asked for a response to that remark, Mark Regev, a senior adviser
to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, told reporters Israel does not
want to see Gaza civilians caught in the crossfire as battles resume. "Israel is
targeting Hamas, a brutal terrorist organization that has committed the most
horrific violence against innocent civilians. Israel is making a maximum effort
to safeguard Gaza's civilians," said Regev.
Experts, advocates deeply divided on question of 'genocide' in Gaza
CBC/ December 2, 2023
A growing number of academics, legal scholars and governments are accusing the
Israeli government of carrying out a genocide against Palestinians in Gaza.
The word "genocide" is seen and heard at pro-Palestinian protests across Canada
and the U.S. A rally in Toronto was attended by a coalition called Jews Say No
to Genocide. In the U.S., members of the group Jewish Voice for Peace have
accused Israel of carrying out a genocide in their names. Globally, too, the
word is being used more frequently. The presidents of Colombia and South Africa
have levelled the accusation. Last week, a group of UN human rights special
rapporteurs warned of a "genocide in the making." Last month, a UN human rights
official resigned from his post, calling the situation a "textbook case of
genocide."
Why are some using the term?
The term was codified by the UN in the 1948 Genocide Convention and defined as
"acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national,
ethnical, racial or religious group, as such." Those acts are not limited to
killing members of the group — causing "serious bodily or mental harm," among
other actions, can also constitute genocide. Since Hamas's Oct. 7 attacks on
Israel, which killed an estimated 1,200 people, Israel has killed around 14,000
people in Gaza and displaced 1.5 million more, according to the UN. Two-thirds
of the dead are estimated to be women and children. But a high death toll alone
is not proof of genocide. Legal experts say one key element is intent. "The
intent that we have observed is extensive and it comes from all quarters of the
Israeli state," said Anisha Patel, a legal researcher with the group Law for
Palestine — which provides legal analysis on international law as it relates to
Palestinians. Patel says it has identified more than 400 instances "from all
levels of the Israeli elite" expressing what the organization considers evidence
of genocidal intent. They include statements by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu immediately following the Oct. 7 massacre, in which he described Gaza
as "the city of evil." "We will turn all the places in which Hamas deploys and
hides into ruins. I am telling the people of Gaza — get out of there now. We
will act everywhere and with full power," Netanyahu said in a televised
statement. The UN, the World Health Organization, the International Red Cross
and other international groups, have repeatedly stated that Palestinians in Gaza
have nowhere safe to go. Raz Segal, associate professor of holocaust and
genocide studies at Stockton University in New Jersey, said there are "dozens of
pieces of evidence that show intent to destroy," per the UN convention. "Israeli
leaders and senior army officers have done exactly what they said. So Gaza
today, particularly the north but not only the north, is rubble," said Segal.
"We're talking about, indeed, conditions calculated to bring about the
destruction of the group."
'Elements of genocidal thinking'
Adam Jones, professor political science at the University of British Columbia
Okanagan and author of a textbook in genocide studies, says use of the term has
erupted since Oct. 7, but that the extremes of both parties to the conflict have
shown "genocidal strands and ideologies" going back decades. "I believe that the
events of Oct. 7 qualify as a genocidal massacre of Israelis. I also think that
the Israeli response, and indeed long standing Israeli policy towards the Gazan
population, evinces elements of genocidal thinking and increasingly practice,"
he said. "When we see phenomena such as the massive destruction of
infrastructure, the threats to clean water supply and the increasing threat of
epidemic disease, all of which is being inflicted quite knowingly and with full
awareness of the possible consequences by the Israeli leadership. I think alarm
bells need to be going off."
Is Canada complicit?
Canadian Palestinian Muhannad Ayyash is a professor of sociology at Mount Royal
University who studies violence and colonialism. He says what's happening in
Gaza is "a deliberate genocidal operation" and that Canada is complicit by
having not called for a ceasefire."So it is partaking in the U.S. effort to not
de-escalate the situation and give the Israelis a blank diplomatic cover so that
they can carry out this operation without much international pressure. So
[Ottawa is] part of the U.S. protective umbrella for the Israeli state to carry
out the genocide."The Liberal government has said Israel has the right to defend
itself, though Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has pushed for temporary pauses in
fighting and called on the Israeli government to "exercise maximum
restraint."The U.S. and Canada have long stood by Israel, or at a minimum
refused to condemn its actions. In October, the UN General Assembly passed a
motion calling for an "immediate and sustained 'humanitarian truce'" in the
fighting. The U.S. voted against the motion; Canada abstained. On Thursday, an
Ottawa law firm representing Canadians with families in Gaza served the
government with "notice of intention to prosecute" Canadian officials who have
been complicit in or "aided and abetted in war crimes, crimes against humanity,
or genocide."The firm "thought it necessary … given the seriousness of Israel's
crimes in Gaza which include the killing of our clients' family members," said
Yavar Hameed, the lawyer behind the notice.
'A number of costs'
But there are those who view the accusations of genocide as not only inaccurate,
but potentially harmful. Dov Waxman, chair of Israel studies at UCLA, says that
while the death toll in Gaza is "unacceptably high," he does not believe the
Israeli military is deliberately targeting civilians. He says he believes there
is a risk of "genocidal action," but that using the term at this point risks
creating a "boy who cried wolf" situation. "In order to make those warnings
credible we need to not then characterize the existing situation as yet."
Accusing Israel of genocide also contributes to a narrative that portrays the
country as "exceptionally evil," said Waxman. "It's particularly weighty and
significant to accuse Jews of perpetrating genocide as themselves having been
the victims of genocide."
'Clearly not a genocide'
The Israeli government refutes allegations of war crimes by claiming the country
is acting in self defence. Several times, Netanyahu has likened Israel's fight
against Hamas to the Allies' fight against the Nazis in the Second World War.
The CEO of the Jewish advocacy group B'nai Birth Canada, which also lobbies on
issues relevant to Israel, says using "genocide" to describe the current
situation in Gaza is "factually inaccurate and it is absolutely wrong.""Every
country, when faced with the horrors and the savagery of what Hamas perpetrated,
would act to wipe out that threat to ensure that its civilians are safe from
that threat in the future," said Michael Mostyn. "That is what Israel is doing.
That is clearly not a genocide."Since 2007, Israel has maintained a blockade of
Gaza, virtually cutting off the territory from the outside world. According to
the UN and many human rights groups, Gaza is an occupied territory. This, along
with the scale of casualties, delegitimizes Israel's claim of self-defence
according to some critics including Patel, at Law for Palestine. "Even if this
was their defence … It's the dis-proportionality of the attacks, the absolute
lack of distinction between civilians and civilian objects," said Patel.
Turkey's Erdogan: chance for peace in Gaza conflict lost for now
ISTANBUL (Reuters)/December 2, 2023
Turkey's President Tayyip Erdogan said that the chance for peace in Gaza after
the humanitarian pause was lost for now due to what he described as Israel's
uncompromising approach, broadcaster NTV reported on Saturday."We have always
emphasized that we are in favor of a permanent ceasefire rather than a
humanitarian break...There was an opportunity for peace here, and unfortunately,
we have lost this opportunity for now due to Israel's uncompromising approach,"
Erdogan was quoted as saying by NTV and other Turkish media. The truce that
started on Nov. 24 had been extended twice. But after seven days during which
women, children and foreign hostages were freed as well as a number of
Palestinian prisoners, mediators failed to find a formula to release more. Since
then Israeli air strikes and artillery bombardments hae hit southern Gaza,
extending the nearly two-month-old war in which thousands of people have died.
The war was triggered by a cross-border killing and kidnapping spree by Gaza's
governing Islamist faction Hamas, which is sworn to Israel's destruction.
Speaking to reporters on his way back from the United Arab Emirates, Erdogan
said that he is not losing hope for a lasting peace in the conflict adding that
Hamas cannot be excluded from its potential solution, according to NTV. "We need
to focus on the two-state solution...The exclusion of Hamas or destruction of
Hamas is not a realistic scenario," Erdogan said during the interview, adding
that he will not define Hamas as a terrorist organisation. In a social media
post addressed to Erdogan, Israeli Foreign Minister Eli Cohen said he was
"welcome to host in your country Hamas terrorists who aren't eliminated and flee
from Gaza"."We will free Gaza from Hamas, for the sake of Israel's security and
to create a better future for the residents of the region," Cohen added.
Separately, sources told Reuters that Israel has informed several Arab states
that it wants to carve out a buffer zone on the Palestinian side of Gaza's
border to prevent future attacks as part of proposals for the enclave after war
ends.Erdogan also said a contact group formed by the OIC and Arab League would
visit the United States to discuss possible resolution of conflict in Gaza after
meeting with authorities in London, Paris, Barcelona and the United Nations.
Erdogan Defends Hamas Amid US Concerns Over Turkey’s Support
Bloomberg/Ugur Yilmaz/December 2, 2023
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan reiterated his refusal to designate Hamas
as a terrorist organization, dismissing concerns raised by a senior US Treasury
official about this country’s alleged support for the group’s financial
operations. “I can never accept Hamas as a terrorist organization, no matter
what anyone says,” Erdogan said, responding to remarks by US Under-Secretary
Brian Nelson, which expressing apprehension about Turkey’s suspected
facilitation of Hamas’s financial dealings. Hamas is a designated terrorist
organization by the US and European Union.
The Financial Times reported that during Nelson’s visit to Ankara for talks on
Palestinian militant group Hamas and American sanctions against Russian entities
this week, concerns were voiced about Turkey’s historical involvement in
enabling financial access to the group, particularly following an Oct. 7 attack
on Israel. Nelson highlighted Hamas’s fundraising capabilities on Turkish soil
for potential future attacks.The differing viewpoints on the Israel-Hamas
conflict have intensified discussions between the US and Turkey. While the US
supports Israel’s self-defense measures and aims to restrict Hamas’s financial
backing, Erdogan has vocally condemned Israel, labeling it as a “war criminal”
and positioning Hamas as a movement for liberation. Erdogan — speaking in an
interview with a group of journalists on his way back from the United Arab
Emirates — also emphasized the necessity of a two-state solution to resolve the
conflict in Gaza. His appeal comes amid Israel’s indication of its intention to
expand its campaign in the southern part of Gaza, raising concerns about a
potential deepening of the humanitarian crisis in the territory. US Secretary of
State Antony Blinken said he told Israeli leaders not to repeat the scale of
destruction seen in northern Gaza. Still, the US has not threatened to attach
conditions to military and financial assistance to Israel. Criticizing Western
countries, particularly the US and the UK, Erdogan urged a shift from focusing
solely on the perceived Hamas threat to prioritizing a comprehensive two-state
solution. Erdogan asserted that such an approach could potentially mitigate
issues in Gaza and mutual threats, underlining that “excluding or eradicating”
Hamas isn’t a realistic scenario.
Protester critically injured
after setting self on fire outside Israeli consulate in Atlanta
Associated Press/December 2, 2023
A protester was in critical condition after setting themself on fire outside the
Israeli consulate in the U.S. city of Atlanta, authorities said. A security
guard who tried to intervene was also injured. A Palestinian flag found at the
scene was part of the protest, Atlanta Police Chief Darin Schierbaum said at a
news conference. He added that investigators did not believe there was any
connection to "terrorism" and none of the consular staff was ever in danger. "We
do not see any threat here," he said. "We believe it was an act of extreme
political protest that occurred."Authorities did not release the protester's
name, age or gender. The person set up outside the building in the city's
midtown neighborhood on Friday afternoon and used gasoline as an accelerant,
Atlanta Fire Chief Roderick Smith said. The protester was in critical condition,
with burn injuries to the body. A security guard that tried to stop the person
was burned on his wrist and leg, Smith said. Schierbaum said police are aware of
heightened tensions in the Jewish and Muslim community and have stepped up
patrols at certain locations, including the consulate. Demonstrations have been
widespread and tensions in the U.S. have escalated as the death toll rises in
the Israel-Hamas war. A weeklong cease-fire that brought the exchanges of dozens
of hostages held by Hamas for scores of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel
gave way Friday morning to resumed fighting between Israel and Hamas.
Vatican says Pope Francis' health
condition is improving
LBCI/December 02, 2023
The Vatican announced on Saturday that the health condition of Pope Francis is
"improving," after the Supreme Pontiff was forced to cancel his participation in
the United Nations Climate Change Conference COP 28, held in Dubai, due to a
respiratory infection.
Breaches by Iran-affiliated
hackers spanned multiple U.S. states, federal agencies say
HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP)/Sat, December 2, 2023 at 1:09 p.m. EST
A small western Pennsylvania water authority was just one of multiple
organizations breached in the United States by Iran-affiliated hackers who
targeted a specific industrial control device because it is Israeli-made, U.S.
and Israeli authorities say.
“The victims span multiple U.S. states,” the FBI, the Environmental Protection
Agency, the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, known as CISA, as
well as Israel’s National Cyber Directorate said in an advisory emailed to The
Associated Press late Friday. They did not say how many organizations were
hacked or otherwise describe them. Matthew Mottes, the chairman of the Municipal
Water Authority of Aliquippa, which discovered it had been hacked on Nov. 25,
said Thursday that federal officials had told him the same group also breached
four other utilities and an aquarium.
Cybersecurity experts say that while there is no evidence of Iranian involvement
in the Oct. 7 attack into Israel by Hamas that triggered the war in Gaza they
expected state-backed Iranian hackers and pro-Palestinian hacktivists to step up
cyberattacks on Israeli and its allies in its aftermath. And indeed that has
happened. The multiagency advisory explained what CISA had not when it confirmed
the Pennsylvania hack on Wednesday — that other industries outside water and
water-treatment facilities use the same equipment — Vision Series programmable
logic controllers made by Unitronics — and were also potentially vulnerable.
Those industries include “energy, food and beverage manufacturing and
healthcare,” the advisory says. The devices regulate processes including
pressure, temperature and fluid flow. The Aliquippa hack promoted workers to
temporarily halt pumping in a remote station that regulates water pressure for
two nearby towns, leading crews to switch to manual operation. The hackers left
a digital calling card on the compromised device saying all Israeli-made
equipment is “a legal target.”
The multiagency advisory said it was not known if the hackers had tried to
penetrate deeper into breached networks. The access they did get enabled “more
profound cyber physical effects on processes and equipment,” it said. The
advisory says the hackers, who call themselves “Cyber Av3ngers,” are affiliated
with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, which the U.S. designated as a
foreign terrorist organization in 2019. The group targeted the Unitronics
devices at least since Nov. 22, it said.
An online search Saturday with the Shodan service identified more than 200 such
internet-connected devices in the U.S. and more than 1,700 globally. The
advisory notes that Unitronics devices ship with a default password, a practice
experts discourage as it makes them more vulnerable to hacking. Best practices
call for devices to require a unique password to be created out of the box. It
says the hackers likely accessed affected devices by “exploiting cybersecurity
weaknesses, including poor password security and exposure to the internet.”
Experts say many water utilities have paid insufficient attention to
cybersecurity. In response to the Aliquippa hack, three Pennsylvania congressmen
asked the U.S. Justice Department in a letter to investigate. Americans must
know their drinking water and other basic infrastructure is safe from
“nation-state adversaries and terrorist organizations,” U.S. Sens. John
Fetterman and Bob Casey and U.S. Rep. Chris Deluzio said. Cyber Av3ngers claimed
in an Oct. 30 social media post to have hacked 10 water treatment stations in
Israel, though it is not clear if they shut down any equipment. Since the
beginning of the Israel-Hamas war, the group has expanded and accelerated
targeting Israeli critical infrastructure, said Check Point's Sergey Shykevich.
Iran and Israel were engaged in low-level cyberconflict prior to the Oct. 7.
Unitronics has not responded to the AP queries about the hacks.
The attack came less than a month after a federal appeals court decision
prompted the EPA to rescind a rule that would have obliged U.S public water
systems to include cybersecurity testing in their regular federally mandated
audits. The rollback was triggered by a federal appeals court decision in a case
brought by Missouri, Arkansas and Iowa, and joined by a water utility trade
group. The Biden administration has been trying to shore up cybersecurity of
critical infrastructure — more than 80% of which is privately owned — and has
imposed regulations on sectors including electric utilities, gas pipelines and
nuclear facilities. But many experts complain that too many vital industries are
permitted to self-regulate.
*Frank Bajak And Marc Levy, The Associated Press
Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on December 02-03/2023
Iran's Regime Soon to Have Nuclear Bombs; Hezbollah
Is Next
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/December 02, 2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/124874/124874/
The threat of a nuclear-armed Iran must not be underestimated. Iran's regime has
frequently threatened to wipe a whole country -- Israel -- off the map, and is
also increasing military cooperation with Venezuela and Cuba to threaten the US.
Europe, too, remains a rich target for nuclear blackmail. Iran would not even
have to use its nuclear bombs; the threat would be enough.
It is high time for the Biden administration and the European Union at least to
stop Iran from selling its oil. If not, much of the planet will soon see itself
either in World War III or a surrender.
It would have been so much less costly in life and treasure to stop Hitler
before he sent the German army across the Rhine in 1936. Perhaps US President
Joe Biden is trying to bribe the mullahs not to create any more mayhem before
next year's US presidential election – but the only result of such timidity is
that the price goes up – with a worse war to follow. Biden would not have won
WWII.
The Iranian regime, through its proxies, has already attacked US forces in Iraq
and Syria at least 74 times since October 17. US retaliation – against the
proxies, not Iran – apparently could not impress Iran's regime less. Someone
else takes the bullet: that is why Iran has proxies in the first place... The
Biden administration is not only allowing to Iran's mullahs to create a war
cost-free, it is paying them to do it.
The threat of a nuclear-armed Iran must not be underestimated. Once Iran obtains
nuclear weapons, it will most likely provide some of them to its proxies,
including Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen.
Iran is closer than ever before to obtaining nuclear bombs; meanwhile, the Biden
administration's only policy toward the ruling mullahs of Iran is to keep
"rewarding" them with billions of dollars.
After the Iran-backed Hamas terror group launched its genocidal war against
Israel and Jews, the Iranian regime ratcheted up its enrichment of uranium. The
regime claims it now has enough enriched uranium to make three nuclear bombs,
according to one of the two confidential reports by the International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA) and seen by Reuters.
On November 22, 2023, IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi warned in his latest
report on verification and monitoring:
"Iran's stockpiles of uranium enriched up to 5%, enriched up to 20% and enriched
up to 60% – high enriched uranium – have all increased since we met in September
with the increase of the 60% continuing at the same rate as I reported at the
time of the last Board."
The regime has also barred IAEA's inspectors from entering Iran to monitor its
nuclear activities. In a press briefing, Grossi said:
"Iran has ceased to implement lots of aspects and nuclear related obligations
under the JCPOA [the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action] and it's not
implementing mutually agreed additional measures under the joint statement of
March 4th."
The European Union and the Biden administration have been turning a blind eye to
the escalation, ostensibly because they reportedly do not want to add "fuel" to
the current hostilities in the Middle East (which Iran's proxy Hamas started it
in the first place). Nonsense. This is simply the most dangerous, disingenuous,
cowardly appeasement policy in modern history. The West is basically saying,
"Let's not upset the mullahs! Instead, let's allow the world's top state sponsor
of terrorism to continue its march toward having nuclear weapons in the hope
that it will not use them."
"There is a sort of paralysis, especially among the Americans... because they
don't want to add fuel to the fire," said a senior European diplomat to Reuters
on the condition of anonymity.
"The picture is pretty bleak, but the fact at the moment is that there is no
appetite to provoke a reaction in Iran in the context of the war in the Middle
East," an unnamed senior diplomat told Agence France-Presse.
This feckless rush to appease aggressors and abdicate of responsibility for
national security is exactly that Winston Churchill warned against: "Each one
hopes that if he feeds the crocodile enough, the crocodile will eat him last."
Once the Iranian regime gets access to nuclear weapons, it will most likely
provide some of them to its proxies, including Hezbollah in Lebanon and the
Houthis in Yemen. The threat of a nuclear-armed Iran must not be underestimated.
Iran's regime has frequently threatened to wipe a whole country -- Israel -- off
the map, and is also increasing military cooperation with Venezuela and Cuba to
threaten the US. Europe, too, remains a rich target for nuclear blackmail. Iran
would not even have to use its nuclear bombs; the threat would be enough.
General Hossein Salami, the commander in chief of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary
Guard Corps (IRGC) has made the regime's plans vehemently clear: "Our strategy
is to erase Israel from the global political map," he announced on Iran's
state-controlled Channel 2 TV in 2019.
In case anyone had a doubt, Iran's Supreme Guide Ayatollah Ali Khamenei,
published "Palestine," a 416-page "guide to destroying Israel," and railing
against "The Great Satan," the United States
It is high time for the Biden administration and the European Union at least to
stop Iran from selling its oil. If not, much of the planet will soon see itself
either in World War III or a surrender.
The present strategy of Western powers is no different than enriching Nazi
Germany during WWII or the Soviet Union during the Cold War. For the
expansionist, hegemonic Islamic Republic of Iran, concessions and appeasements
mean only weakness. It would have been so much less costly in life and treasure
to stop Hitler before he sent the German army across the Rhine in 1936. Perhaps
US President Joe Biden is trying to bribe the mullahs not to create any more
mayhem before next year's US presidential election – but the only result of such
timidity is that the price goes up – with a worse war to follow. Biden would not
have won WWII.
The Iranian regime, through its proxies, has already attacked US forces in Iraq
and Syria at least 74 times since October 17. US retaliation – against the
proxies, not Iran – apparently could not impress Iran's regime less. Someone
else takes the bullet: that is why Iran has proxies in the first place. The
proxies – Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, Palestinian Islamic Jihad -- are Iran's
human shields. The more the US and the EU give Iran a pass, the more belligerent
it will become. The Biden administration is not only allowing to Iran's mullahs
to create a war cost-free, it is paying them to do it.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated
scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and
president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has
authored several books on Islam and US Foreign Policy. He can be reached at
Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2023 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/20191/iran-nuclear-bombs
As the military junta looks increasingly vulnerable,
what next for Myanmar?
Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/December 02, 2023
Recent developments in Myanmar stand in stark contrast to the halting despair
that descended upon the country almost three years ago. Not only did the
despotic rule of a seemingly unassailable military junta usher in a period of
civil unrest and violence, it also amplified pre-existing vulnerabilities,
resulting in the catalyzation of a broad-based resistance movement. The People’s
Defense Forces, a coalition of diverse ethnic armies and deposed elected
leaders, has made sweeping gains in recent months, prompting predictions that
the regime could be on the verge of collapse.
Anti-government forces have seized critical border crossings, disrupting the
junta’s control over the country’s frontiers with China, India and Thailand.
These developments, driven by unprecedented interethnic coordination, represent
a massive blow to the regime’s staying power, and are further complicated by
battles on several fronts against pre-2021 armed resistance groups and emergent
ethnic forces.
Frequent confrontations and daily ambushes targeting the junta’s forces have
inflicted troop losses and a decline in morale. The Three Brotherhood Alliance,
for instance, has made significant strides by seizing substantial territory,
including more than 130 military bases and strategic outposts in the northern
Shan state. Alliance operations have led to the demise of a light infantry
division commander and the surrender of two battalions. Resistance forces have
also seized military equipment, further bolstering the insurgency movement. The
swift fall of junta forces suggests there are significant vulnerabilities in the
regime’s long-term grip on power, as a result of nearly three years of losses
since its unpopular coup, coupled with internal decay caused by corrupt and
self-serving senior officers. Since the power grab, Myanmar’s economy has
contracted significantly, while the seizure of strategic towns such as
Chinshwehaw, a major trade hub with China, has reduced trade revenues.
Chinshwehaw is particularly important because between April and September 2021,
more than a quarter of Myanmar's nearly $2 billion of border trade with China
passed through the town.
Besides the economic fallout, which is poised to get worse as the fighting
intensifies, the State Administrative Council, the junta’s administrative body,
is grappling with severe financial and diplomatic challenges. Apart from Russia,
China and a few Southeast Asian regimes, the junta is not internationally
recognized. This lack of global acceptance, coupled with financial sanctions
imposed by the US, is straining its resources and further weakening its
position.
In some circles, there is a palpable sense that the regime’s downfall is
imminent, a question of when, not if, provided the progress of the resistance
does not stall or lose its cohesion. Naturally, the conversations around the
latest developments in Myanmar have shifted to what comes next, including the
role of the international community in managing the aftermath of the regime’s
collapse. The post-junta period will most likely involve a combination of
domestic initiatives and non-kinetic external interventions. The collapse of the
regime could lead to a power vacuum that might be filled by a resistance
coalition, given its high degree of coordination and its motivation to establish
a new political paradigm. On the international front, there is potential for a
rare collaboration between China and the US. Given its vested interests in the
stability of Myanmar, China might step up its involvement in peacekeeping
efforts. Beijing has been known to provide shelter to refugees, appoint special
envoys for peace talks, and defend Myanmar over the crisis in Rakhine State.
Myanmar’s evolving needs have become a critical test for the commitment of the
international community.
Given the recent souring of its relations with the junta, China might find an
opportunity to increase its influence among anti-government forces by leveraging
its ability to influence the actions of the ethnic armies, as demonstrated by
its adoption of more robust measures against military-sponsored criminal
activities along the border. Moving forward, with the junta’s days possibly
numbered, China will likely maintain a strategic balance of support for both
military and resistance forces, thereby increasing its influence on the two
sides of the conflict.
While China initially adopted a wait-and-see approach after the coup, it has
increased the pressure on all parties to safeguard Chinese strategic interests.
Careful management of its relations and business engagements will allow Beijing
to take unilateral actions, focusing mainly on border enclaves within its sphere
of influence. Such steps, albeit driven by self-interest, can enhance China’s
credibility among anti-junta forces and position it as a key player in Myanmar’s
transition process.
The US, on the other hand, has had a limited role in Myanmar’s ever-evolving
dynamics, largely as a result of Chinese opposition to Washington’s engagement.
However, the Americans might elevate Myanmar in their list of priorities in
Southeast Asia by adopting a posture and policies designed to better understand
and counteract China’s influence, or at least add some degree of balance to it.
Given the junta’s lack of international recognition and the imposition of
financial sanctions by the US, opportunities remain for Western nations to
engage more actively with Myanmar’s resistance forces. Alternatively, the West
could bet on shared interests: deposing an undemocratic military junta and
Beijing’s desire to stabilize the convulsions in a neighboring country and
prevent the contagion spreading. Such an “alliance” would make it much easier to
utilize diplomatic channels, economic sanctions, and international law to sue
for a settlement that would result in the junta ceding power in favor of a
civilian-led interim authority. Concurrently, the opposition’s National Unity
Government would also receive more generous and overt support, having proven its
capabilities, while capitalizing on higher-level engagements with external
actors.
Geopolitics and great-power rivalries aside, however, Myanmar is in desperate
need of humanitarian assistance for a displaced group of more 300,000 people
across the country. In Rakhine State alone, more than 26,000 people remain
displaced as a result of the conflict between the Arakan Army and the military
junta. The UN reports that most humanitarian activities have been suspended,
rendering the situation dire not only for those displaced and aggrieved by the
conflict, but also for more than 200,000 people affected by a devastating
cyclone in May.
Myanmar’s evolving needs have become a critical test for the commitment of the
international community to safeguarding the security of the population,
stabilizing volatile regions, and protecting human rights.
Before debates begin about whether the patchwork of ethnic armed groups, deposed
elected leaders, activists, and armed defense forces will be able to govern, or
whether the country will descend into even greater chaos, Myanmar’s resistance
needs to be given a chance. Otherwise, Southeast Asia will be faced with the
next hot spot in a disordered world that is balanced on a knife edge.
*Hafed Al-Ghwell is a senior fellow and executive director of the North Africa
Initiative at the Foreign Policy Institute of the Johns Hopkins University
School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, DC. X: @HafedAlGhwell
‘Expo 2030’... Saudi Diplomacy’s Dynamic Victories
Emile Ameen/Asharq Al-Awsat/December 02/2023
Saudi Arabia has won the bid to organize the oldest and most prestigious
international exhibition, the 2030 World Expo, which was first held in London in
1852. This event has drawn a lot of deep discussions that go beyond the glee
following the announcement and victory.
Riyadh has achieved this through the successful diplomatic efforts it has made
as part of a vision of change and liberation to reach glorious heights. The
Kingdom has been engaging with the world without self-deprecation or chauvinism.
It has been confident and genuine, demonstrating an ability to innovate, renew,
and constructively change. Just from the logo of the exhibition that will be
held in 7 years' time, one can see where the Kingdom is heading, that it is
pushing for the realization of sustainable development goals, through what has
been called “The Era of Change: Together we anticipate the future.”
Beyond the minutiae of this precious victory, though it is important in any
case, a question arises: Are we facing a coincidental, momentary triumph, or is
this the result of a well-thought plan and a futuristic vision that has
represented a roadmap for the Kingdom, through both words and deeds?'
These remarkable successes are certainly not random. They were achieved as a
result of planning and programs, committing to implementation mechanisms,
schedules, and deadlines, and the rise of a sincere nation with a government and
people working to achieve them.
It's no secret that the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia managed to realize this
significant victory because of its focus on human capital, which has been put at
the forefront of “Vision 2030.” It has produced leaders who recognized the
significance of hosting the event and worked to ensure that it happened, turning
a dream into reality.
A focus on youth seems to be the cornerstone of Vision 2030, and this was
crucial to success. Soon, another global dream will be realized with the Kingdom
winning its bid to host the FIFA World Cup in 2034.
Saudi Arabia has succeeded in equipping its youths with intellectual skills and
capabilities. They are proficient in all fields needed to ensure prosperity
adding the “oil rents” that continue to boost growth.
Those shaping Saudi Arabia's future, who have ensured that it hosts global
competitions and is striving to make Riyadh one of the top 10 economies in the
world, understand that human capital is not only a question of knowledge,
skills, abilities, attributes, and characteristics. It also encompasses how
individuals can harness what they have learned and utilize their skills
productively to grow the economy. From here, one can see how contemporary Saudi
diplomacy, through proactivity and effectiveness, managed to snatch the victory
from “Rome, the mother of the world,” as the competing Italians, with all due
respect to their imperial history, and from South Korea, with its all of its
innovation and development. Those who followed the speech of Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman after the announcement of the victory understood the future
of the Kingdom. A leading role is on the horizon, and global confidence in Saudi
Arabia is accumulating further by the day. This has made the Saudi capital,
Riyadh, an ideal destination for major scientific forums, and the Expo is among
them.
Nothing is haphazard about the rise of nations, who do so through a deep
understanding of the present era. Eras are not with us or against us, as those
with one-dimensional thinking imagine. Instead, we are the ones who determine
our place in any given era. The circumstances of the era become suitable for
movements of change and liberation depending on the extent to which we manage to
positively adapt to contemporary conditions and realize the benefits of life's
novelties. The reader can understand the civilizational shift underway in the
Kingdom this way, as a process integrating the tools of the present era to
achieve its renaissance.
The Saudi people have become a rising nation in tune with the developments of
the era. It has done so by improving education, health, and the economy, taking
them to heights unseen in the history of the Kingdom. The methodology of the
Vision is to make optimal use of the state's human resources first, and its
natural resources second, and through institutions that believe ”the human being
is the cause... the human being is the solution.”The world awaits an exceptional
and unprecedented edition of the Expo in 2030. With Saudi Arabia hosting it, the
event could soar to new heights. Perhaps one of the most effective human aspects
of this event - and this aligns with the political leadership of the Kingdom's
belief in positive and active partnership with other countries - Saudi Arabia is
prepared to allocate $353 million to support over 100 developing countries and
allow them to participate in the upcoming Riyadh Expo. Moreover, the private
sector and non-governmental organizations have committed to providing more
support to needy countries - a move that reflects Saudi Arabia’s commitment to
hosting a remarkable and pioneering edition of this international exhibition.
Analyzing the announcement of the victory, some may wonder: Are we looking at a
promotional campaign or a pragmatic, in the positive sense of the word, economic
movement? According to trusted economic experts and global analysts, the 'Expo'
has economic value for the Kingdom, which is currently seeking to diversify its
sources of revenue and reduce reliance on oil. The Kingdom is preparing for this
major event, and many of its platforms will remain on Saudi soil, not just
remaining there for the 6 months of the exhibition. That was achieved through 68
initiatives and investments amounting to $92 billion that are intended to make
Riyadh one of the most sustainable cities in the world. The organization of the
Expo also boosts consumption and purchasing power, which positively reflects on
several sectors, especially the service sector. As we see the following COP 28,
which aims to save Earth's climate from the brink of massive ecological changes,
Saudi Arabia is making progress on its green initiative for environmental
protection and launching billion-tree planting projects. Day after day, the
dynamics of positive change are becoming more evident across Saudi Arabia,
heralding a better tomorrow for its people and for the entire world.
What are the chances of a permanent ceasefire?
Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/December 02, 2023
After nearly seven weeks of bloodshed, terror, and horrors in the war between
Israel and Hamas, the four-day pause in the fighting, which was subsequently
extended by several days, was urgently needed.
To the relief of everyone, the bombardments, the rocket launches and the
shootings ceased — if only for a week. The temporary truce agreement allowed for
some of the Israeli hostages held by Hamas and Palestinian prisoners held by
Israel to be released, and for desperately needed humanitarian aid to enter the
Gaza Strip.These few days of calm were the first rays of hope after one of the
darkest periods in the long-running conflict between Israelis and Palestinians.
But now that hostilities have resumed in their full intensity, what does this
mean for the likely trajectory of the war in the days and weeks ahead?
There was no guarantee that the pause in fighting would lead to a permanent
ceasefire, or even to further humanitarian truces, in the near future. However,
it did signal that even though this initially seemed to be a war in which Israel
would not call even a temporary halt to its military operations until it had
achieved its declared objective of destroying Hamas — whatever that means — it
was prepared to alter its priorities to secure the release of as many hostages
as possible, even if this meant giving Hamas a chance to regroup. There is no
reason to believe that, through third-party negotiations, this pattern will not
repeat itself.
Moreover, the truce also indicated that despite the distorted judgment of the
leaders of the Palestinian Islamist organization, which manifested itself in its
most extreme form in the Oct. 7 attacks, the realization filtered through to
them that it was in their own best interest to release their hostages,
especially the most vulnerable among them. The pause in fighting in the past
week yielded political benefits for both sides. In Israel, Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu and his government had been under immense pressure,
justifiably so, to prioritize the release of hostages. The joyful sight of
dozens of them returning home from captivity eased some of that pressure.
At the same time, it handed Hamas the prize status of being seen as the power
within Palestinian society capable of bringing about the release of Palestinian
prisoners so that they could be reunited with their families. This, at least
temporarily, strengthens its position in relation to the Palestinian Authority,
and enhances its narrative that the only way to free Palestinians from Israeli
jails is by holding Israeli citizens hostage. While the truce agreement,
mediated and facilitated by Qatar, Egypt, and the US, could prove to be a
watershed moment in this tragic war, the final chapter is far from being written
and it remains to be seen whether it will be repeated any time soon.
Understandably, much of the focus over the past week has been on the release of
Israeli hostages and Palestinian prisoners. Nevertheless, also of great
importance was the fact that the pause in hostilities gave the people of Gaza a
brief respite from the horrors of war, and allowed humanitarian aid to reach
them: food, water, emergency medical supplies, and winter clothing. This is aid
that is literally lifesaving for hundreds of thousands of people whose homes
have been destroyed or who were forcibly displaced from northern Gaza to the
south.
This mechanism for humanitarian aid must remain in place and functional even
though fighting has resumed; that aid is essential for the survival of civilians
of all ages.
The pause in hostilities gave the people of Gaza a brief respite from the
horrors of war.
Negotiations for the release of the remaining Israeli hostages will only be more
complex, however. Hamas has its sights set on the release of other high-value
prisoners in Israeli jails, and knows they will not be freed as long as it
continues to hold the most vulnerable among the remaining Israeli hostages,
including children and the elderly, some of whom reportedly have serious health
conditions.
The militant group is most interested in bringing about the release of
Palestinians sentenced to long terms, including those Israel classifies as
having “blood on their hands” and so is more reluctant to release.
It was reported that during meetings last week between Qatari Prime Minister
Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani, CIA Director William Burns, Mossad
chief David Barnea, and Egypt’s head of the General Intelligence Service, Abbas
Kamel, negotiators outlined five categories of Israeli hostages for future
release: men too old for military reserve duty, female soldiers, male
reservists, active-duty male soldiers, and the bodies of those who died before
or during captivity.
This suggests future negotiations could be prolonged and much more difficult and
complex than the talks that led to the phased release of hostages and prisoners
in the past week, especially now that Israeli military operations have resumed
in full force.
Each side has objectives that clash with those of the other. They are likely to
complicate the negotiations and, to a large extent, are behind the resumption of
hostilities. The Israeli leadership argues that military pressure persuaded
Hamas to agree to release hostages. As true as this might be, declaring the
elimination of Hamas to be Israel’s main objective does not exactly motivate the
group to give up the main asset it is left with — hostages — unless a permanent
ceasefire is agreed.
Meanwhile, any deal that results in Israel agreeing to free more Palestinian
prisoners on a large scale could improve the political standing of Hamas among
Palestinians, not only in Gaza but also in the West Bank and the wider diaspora.
Israeli officials could have done themselves a favor, at the very least for the
sake of improving the chances of reaching a comprehensive exchange of hostages
and prisoners, had they toned down the rhetoric about eliminating the Hamas
leadership — or in threatening Qatar, as one senior Israeli Foreign Ministry
official did in a comment about settling scores after the war because of Doha’s
supposed support for Hamas, a statement that defies logic at this point.
Now that the war is raging again, it remains to be seen whether the
international community can convince Israel that military operations cannot
continue to be conducted without regard for the massive loss of life among
Palestinians and the complete destruction of Gaza, and cannot go on for much
longer. There are real fears for what might happen in southern Gaza, where many
of those displaced from the north of the territory have sought refuge.
It might be the case — and I hope this is not simply wishful thinking — that
Israel has been reassessing the methods for achieving its war objectives and
might take a longer-term view. It might realize that military force is not the
only way to tackle Hamas and that achieving its objectives will primarily
require political and diplomatic efforts that can guarantee a better future in
which everyone involved in this conflict, and future generations, enjoys
equality in terms of security, rights, and prosperity.
Even if this feels like a remote possibility right now, it is not one that is
impossible to achieve.
*Yossi Mekelberg is a professor of international relations and an associate
fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House. X: @YMekelberg
Western policymakers should not dither over support for
Ukraine
Luke Coffey/Arab News/December 02, 2023
Winter has arrived in Ukraine, and there is no indication that this year will be
any easier for civilians than the last. Russia has been holding back its air
strikes against Ukraine in recent months to build up a larger inventory of
missiles and drones for use this winter. In the past week, air strikes have
increased noticeably. Meanwhile, snow already covers much of the ground in
eastern Ukraine. Where freezing temperatures have not yet arrived, a sea of mud
covers the battlefield. This makes the trench warfare in Ukraine miserable for
the soldiers on both sides of the conflict.
Thousands of kilometers away in Washington, DC, American lawmakers are debating
whether to send more aid to Ukraine. So far, the US has spent around $113
billion on aid for Ukraine over the course of 22 months. While on the face of it
this seems like a large amount, it equates to about 0.03 percent of America’s
gross domestic product during the same period. Also, approximately $70 billion
of the aid will never leave the US. Instead, it remains in the US supporting the
American defense industry and creating well-paid jobs.
However, what started as a bipartisan issue in the early days of the conflict
has since become a partisan matter plagued by the usual politics in Washington.
Ukraine should not despair. Even though the critics of additional aid to Ukraine
are vocal, they remain a minority. Between the two major parties, the Democrats
and the Republicans, there remains enough support in Congress for additional aid
to Ukraine. This reflects the mood of the American people too. A poll released
by the Reagan Foundation this week revealed that three-quarters of Americans
believed it was important that Ukraine won the war against Russia’s invasion.
This included 71 percent of Republican respondents agreeing.
When asked if the US should continue sending weapons and munitions to Ukraine,
almost 60 percent of Americans supported doing so, but only 50 percent of
Republicans agreed. While the lower number from Republican respondents might be
alarming when taken at face value, it actually paints a positive picture.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is now in its 22nd month and US support for Ukraine
is viewed by most Americans as being an initiative of President Joe Biden’s
administration. So, the fact that 50 percent of Republicans still support the
Biden administration’s policy of arming Ukraine is extraordinary. There is no
other example where such a large percentage of Republicans support an initiative
being led by Biden.
For example, another recent poll showed that only 16 percent of Republicans
supported his economic policies. Also, the new speaker of the US House of
Representatives, Mike Johnson, recently signaled his support for additional aid
to Ukraine. After Johnson was voted into the job last month, there were concerns
he would block or delay a vote for more US aid to Ukraine. He has been one of a
handful of Republicans who have, over the past year, consistently voted against
aid to Ukraine.
What started as a bipartisan issue in the early days has become a partisan
matter plagued by politics in Washington.
However, since taking on the speaker’s role Johnson has shifted his position.
This week he told journalists he was “confident and optimistic” that Congress
would pass additional aid. He said: “Of course, we can’t allow (Russian
President) Vladimir Putin to march through Europe. And we understand the
necessity of assisting there (Ukraine).”
There also remains strong support in Europe for aiding Ukraine. In fact, recent
data published by the respected Kiel Institute showed that European commitments
to Ukraine were now double that of America’s. As a percentage of GDP, 20
European countries ranked before the US when it came to the amount of aid
provided to Ukraine.Of course, there are the outliers. Slovakian elections in
October saw a pro-Russian populist party form a new government. This week’s
elections in the Netherlands also saw a far-right party, that wants to stop aid
to Ukraine, win the most seats. In both cases, coalitions with other political
parties are required before forming a government.
This means that the anti-Ukrainian rhetoric voiced by some political parties
during the campaign may not translate into major changes in Ukraine policy when
a new government is formed. Meanwhile, support for arming Ukraine in Europe’s
larger countries such as the UK, Germany, Poland, Italy, and Romania remains
strong. In recent weeks, officials from these European countries and others have
been visiting Washington to make the case to US lawmakers for more aid to
Ukraine.
Most Americans are worried about the bread-and-butter issues of daily life. High
inflation, an increase in the price of groceries, access to affordable
healthcare, and good education for children are the top issues driving US voters
to the polls. In fact, most Americans do not think about Ukraine or even foreign
policy issues from day to day. This is why leadership from the White House and
Congress is so important when it comes to maintaining support for Ukraine.
Ukraine’s highly anticipated counteroffensive that started earlier this year has
not met expectations. Russia is increasing its military spending to historically
high levels and has shown no desire to enter negotiations with Ukraine. It is
unlikely that 2024 will be a year of peace for Ukraine. So, as winter sets in,
and as Congress heats up the debate about additional aid, the war is entering a
crucial period for Ukraine.
Now is not the time for Western support to be put into jeopardy or for Western
policymakers to dither on additional aid for Ukraine.
*Luke Coffey is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. X: @LukeDCoffey