English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For May 18/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.may18.22.htm

News Bulletin Achieves Since 2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006

Bible Quotations For today
If any want to become my followers, let them deny themselves and take up their cross and follow me
Matthew 16,21-28: “From that time on, Jesus began to show his disciples that he must go to Jerusalem and undergo great suffering at the hands of the elders and chief priests and scribes, and be killed, and on the third day be raised. And Peter took him aside and began to rebuke him, saying, ‘God forbid it, Lord! This must never happen to you.’But he turned and said to Peter, ‘Get behind me, Satan! You are a stumbling-block to me; for you are setting your mind not on divine things but on human things.’Then Jesus told his disciples, ‘If any want to become my followers, let them deny themselves and take up their cross and follow me. For those who want to save their life will lose it, and those who lose their life for my sake will find it. For what will it profit them if they gain the whole world but forfeit their life? Or what will they give in return for their life? ‘For the Son of Man is to come with his angels in the glory of his Father, and then he will repay everyone for what has been done. Truly I tell you, there are some standing here who will not taste death before they see the Son of Man coming in his kingdom.’””

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 17-18/2022
Final results: Interior Ministry announces all 128 MPs
Hizbullah supportes burn "revolution fist" in DT Beirut
Hizbullah weapons: Will polls make radical changes
Berri urges dialogue on new and non-sectarian electoral law
Bassil hits out at LF for losing Bsharri seat
Hizbullah loses parliamentary majority, Oct. 17 secures 16 seats
Wronecka looks forward to 'active role' of new parliament, swift formation of govt.
British embassy urges new MPs to form 'inclusive and reformist govt.'
Hizbullah MP warns rivals against becoming 'shields for Israel'
Lebanon elections point to a shift, but more turmoil ahead
Aoun in hospital for medical checkups
Israel says Hizbullah drone infiltrated its airspace
Lebanese Pound declines to 29,500 after elections
UN Chief Calls for 'Inclusive Government' after Lebanon Vote
MPs Charged over Beirut Blast Re-Elected, Troubling Families of Victims
Hezbollah, Allies Lose Majority in Lebanese Parliament, Final Results Show
Will New Faces at Lebanese Parliament Form Opposition Bloc?
Lebanese movement for change should heed warnings from history/Nadim Shehadi/Arab News/May 17/2022
What Hezbollah’s Parliamentary Loss Means for Lebanon/Hanin Ghaddar/ The Washington Institute/May 17, 2022

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 17-18/2022
Iran Awaits US Response to Nuclear Talks ‘Solutions’ Submitted to Mora
Tehran Criticizes Washington's Support for Peaceful Assembly of Iranians
Schools, Offices Close in Tehran as Sandstorm Hits Iran
Iran State TV Air Footage of French Couple Accused of Spying
Israel Says Iran Working on Advanced Centrifuges at New Underground Sites
Ukraine Working to Pull Last Fighters from Mariupol Mill
Jian Omar: European Decision Facilitated German Embrace of the Ukrainians
Berlin... Ukrainian Suitcases, Syrian Sorrows, and a Russian Thread
Russia’s Lavrov Says Finland, Sweden Joining NATO Makes ‘No Big Difference’
Kremlin Critic Navalny Appeals against Nine-year Jail Sentence
Gantz in Washington Wednesday to Defend ‘Settlements,’ Israeli Measures in West Bank
EU Allocates 25 Mln Euros in Humanitarian Aid to Palestinians
After Syria strike, Gantz vows to stem Iranian transfer of ‘advanced capabilities’
Massacre video reopens wounds for missing Syrians' families
U.S. State Department Set to Delist Mujahideen Shura Council of Jerusalem
Canada/Minister Joly concludes trip to Germany and Belgium
Canada/Statement on International Day Against Homophobia, Transphobia and Biphobia

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on May 17-18/2022
Biden’s Unwise Attempts to Save the Iran Deal/Con Coughlin/Gatestone Institute/May 17/2022
President Biden’s Missed Opportunities at U.S.-ASEAN Summit/Craig Singleton/Policy Brief/May 17/2022
Biden administration can’t overlook the Balkans when sanctioning Russia/Ivana Stradner and Matthew Zweig/The Hill/May 17/2022
Israel's Collaboration With Qatar – Morally Disgraceful And Strategically Damaging/Y. Carmon*/MEMRI/May 17/2022

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 17-18/2022
Final results: Interior Ministry announces all 128 MPs
Agencies/May 17/2022
Interior Minister Bassam al-Mawlawi announced on Tuesday the final results of the parliamentary elections.
Below are the names of the 128 MPS as announced by the minister:
- Beirut I: Ghassan Hasbani, Nadim al-Jmayyel, Nicolas Sahnawi, Paula Yaakoubian, Hagop Terzian, Jihad Bakradouni, Jean Talouzian, Synthia Zarazir
- Beirut II: Amin Sherri, Ibrahim Mnaymneh, Fouad Makhzoumi, Adnan Traboulsi, Waddah Sadek, Melhem Khalaf, Imad al-Hout, Faisal al-Sayegh, Edgard Traboulsi, Mohammad Khaweja, Nabil Badr
- Jbeil/Keserwan (Mount Lebanon I): Ziad Hawwat, Raed Berro, Nada al-Bustani, Neemat Frem, Shawki al-Daccache, Farid al-Khazen, Salim al-Sayegh and Simon Abi Ramia in the Keserwan-Jbeil district
- Metn (Mount Lebanon II): Elias Bou Saab, Ibrahim Kanaan, Melhem Riachi, Michel al-Murr, Hagob Pakradounian, Sami Jmayyel, Elias Hankash, Razi al-Hajj
- Baabda (Mount Lebanon III): Ali Ammar, Pierre Bou Assi, Alain Aoun, Camille Chamoun, Fadi Alameh and Hadi Abu al-Hoson
- Shouf (Mount Lebanon IV): Marc Daou, Akram Shehayyeb, Nazih Matta, Raji al-Saed, Taymour Jumblat, Georges Adwan, Marwan Hmade, Najat Aoun Saliba, Cezar Abi Khalil, Bilal Abdallah, Halima Kaakour, Ghassan Atallah, Farid al-Boustani
- Zahle (Bekaa I): Michel Daher, Georges Okais, Elias Estephan, Bilal al-Hshaymi, Salim Aoun, Rami Abu Hamdan and Georges Boujikian
- West Bekaa/Rashaya (Bekaa II): Qabalan Qabalan, Wael Abu Faour, Hassan Mrad, Yassine Yassine, Charbel Maroun and Ghassan Skaff
- Baalbek/Hermel (Bekaa III): Antoine Habshi, Hussein al-Hajj Hassan, Ghazi Zoaiter, Ihab Hamadeh, Ali al-Mokdad, Ibrahim al-Moussawi, Jamil al-Sayyed, Samer al-Toum, Yanal Mohammed Solh and Melhem Mohammed al-Hujeiri
- Sidon-Jezzine (South I): Abdul Rahman al-Bizri, Osama Saad, Saeed al-Asmar, Charbel Masaad and Ghada Ayyoub
- Tyre/Zahrani (South II): Nabih Berri, Hussein Jishi, Ali Khreis, Enaya Ezzeddine, Ali Osseiran and Michel Moussa
- Marjeyoun-Bint Jbeil - Hasbaya (South III): Hassan Fadlallah, Mohammad Raed, Ali Fayyad, Habi Kobaisi, Ali Hassan Khalil, Elias Jradi, Ayyoub Hmayyed, Qassem Hashem, Firas Hamdan, Ashraf Beydoun, Nasser Jaber
- North I: Walid Baarini, Mohammad Suleiman, Ahmad Rostom, Sajii Atiyya, Mohammad Yehya, Assaad Dargham, Jimmy Jabbour
- North II: Ahmad al-Kheir, Abel Aziz al-Samad, Jihad al-Samad, Ashraf Rifi, Taha Naji, Ihab Matar, Abdel Karim Kabbara, Rami Fanj, Elias al-Khoury, Firas al-Salloum, Jamil Abboud
- North III: Sethrida Geagea, William Tawk, Michel Mouawwad, Tony Franjieh, Ghayyath Yazbek, Jebran Bassil, Adib Abel Massih, Georges Atallah, michel el-Douaihi

Hizbullah supportes burn "revolution fist" in DT Beirut
Agence France Presse/May 17/2022
After roaming cities chanting "Shiites, Shiites," a group of youths on scooters descended on Martyrs Square overnight and burned down the "revolution fist". It was interpreted by independents as a gesture of spite by Hizbullah, after the election of Elias Jradeh and Firas Hamdan in the South III district for seats that Hizbullah and its allies had not lost in three decades. The ministry of interior had announced the final results on Monday night. The first breakthrough had already been confirmed by early results but the second was a surprise to both parties. The two Oct. 17 candidates and new MPs defeated Asaad Hardan of the Syrian Socialist Nationalist Party and chairman of al-Mawared bank Marwan Kheireddine. The "revolution fist" had become a visual symbol of the secular protests that swept Lebanon in October 2019 and had raised hopes of democratic change. The movement lost momentum as Lebanon's ruling cartel of sectarian political barons bided their time and one of the sharpest economic downturns of our time muffled popular discontent. The parliamentary elections were a first major test for those in the protest camp who chose to enter the political fray. 17 candidates who backed the 2019 protests won seats. At least twelve of them will sit in parliament for the first time.Another major satisfaction for those described in Lebanon as the "thawra" (revolution, in Arabic) candidates, was the defeat of several reviled MPs loyal to the Syrian government of Bashar al-Assad.
Hizbullah and Amal retained all 27 parliament seats reserved for Shiite lawmakers but other allies lost ground.

Hizbullah weapons: Will polls make radical changes
Agence France Presse/Associated Press/May 17/2022
The main issue that would polarize the new parliament elected on Sunday is Hizbullah's right to keep an arsenal that is described as equivalent to or better than the state's. Some see it as a historical right and the best defense for the small Mediterranean country while others consider Hizbullah's weapons to be the root of all of Lebanon's ills. “They forgot the political system, economic system, corruption, the war in Syria and its effects on Lebanon and they forgot the American sanctions,” Hibullah's MP Hussein Haj Hassan said. Sami Nader, an analyst with the Levant Institute for Strategic Affairs, said that Hizbullah had suffered symbolic losses but was skeptical the polls could yield radical changes. "Hizbullah and the Iranian axis took a blow but will this pave way for change in Lebanon? I have doubts," he told AFP. The formation of a government, the election of parliament's speaker and the presidential election could all be very contentious and lead to protracted political crises. Speaker Nabih Berri has held his job since 1992. President Michel Aoun, the world's third oldest head of state, had long planned for his son-in-law Jebran Bassil to take over but the Lebanese Forces' surge in the polls could disrupt that scenario.
Disarming Hizbullah has dominated political campaigns among almost all of the group’s opponents, while Hizbullah supporters consider the group defended Lebanon against Israel and against attacks by the Islamic State group and al-Qaida-linked militants over the years. “Personally, I am not optimistic about these elections, and I do not think that the U.S. administration should bet on these elections,” said former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs David Schenker last week, in a webinar for the Washington Institute. Hizbullah was fighting Israeli forces occupying parts of south Lebanon, before Israel's withdrawal in 2020.

Berri urges dialogue on new and non-sectarian electoral law
Naharnet /May 17/2022
Parliament Speaker and Amal Movement leader Nabih Berri on Tuesday called on all forces that competed in the parliamentary elections to "respect the choices of the people" who voted. “Some claim a link to the principles of independence and sovereignty, while in their performance, behavior and political rhetoric are deeply immersed in slavery and subordination to the interests of foreign forces,” Berri decried. Calling on all parties to “put aside the tense and provocative political and electoral rhetoric,” Berri said all “hot heads” must cool down and everyone must become convinced that it is the destiny of the Lebanese to “live together as the sons of the same country.”“No one and no sect wants to eliminate another sect,” he stressed. He accordingly called on all political forces and parliamentary blocs to engage in “serious dialogue, in partnership with all honest and serious civil society forces, to bury this (electoral) law that harms partnership and represents a magic spell for deepening the distribution of quotas and sectarianism.”“It’s about time for a non-sectarian law” and for “lowering voting age to 18 years, introducing a women’s quota and establishing a senate in which sects would be fairly represented,” the Speaker added.

Bassil hits out at LF for losing Bsharri seat
Naharnet /May 17/2022
Free Patriotic Movement Jebran Bassil has hit out at the Lebanese Forces after they lost a seat in Bsharri, the stronghold of the LF and Samir Geagea's hometown. The LF lost the expected seat to William Tawk, a Marada-allied candidate, after having said they won at least 20 seats, which makes them the largest Christian bloc in the new Parliament at the expense of the FPM. As the ministry of interior announced the final results, the LF secured a total of 19 seats, an increase of 4 seats from the previous vote, while the FPM won 18 with a drop of two seats from the previous vote. The FPM's bloc may however grow to 21 seats if it allies with the 3 MPs of the Tashnag party. Bassil who had maintained his seat in his hometown, Batroun, said in a tweet that he "stands tall" and "holds his head high" in Batroun and all over Lebanon, while the LF are "stumbling" in Bsharri.

Hizbullah loses parliamentary majority, Oct. 17 secures 16 seats
Agence France Presse/Associated Press/May 17/2022
Lebanon's Hizbullah and its allies lost their parliamentary majority, official results showed Tuesday, while independents achieved a surprise breakthrough. Full results announced by the interior ministry two days after the election revealed that no bloc will control the 128-seat assembly, a deadlock observers fear could usher in a tense period of political jostling. The polls, the first since Lebanon was ravaged by its worst ever economic crisis and a cataclysmic explosion at Beirut port in 2020, were seen as a prerequisite for a crucial IMF bailout. The Hizbollah-led coalition won 61 seats in the 128-member legislature, a drop of 10 members since the last vote was held four years ago. They fell short of the 65 needed to retain a majority following Sunday's polls. The loss was largely due to setbacks suffered by the group’s political partners, and was not expected to weaken the group’s domination of Lebanese politics. All 13 Hizbullah candidates who ran got elected. Their strongest opponents in parliament will be led by the Christian Lebanese Forces party of former warlord Samir Geagea, that raked in several new seats on the back of a virulent anti-Hizbullah campaign. New reformist faces who entered the legislative race on the values of a 2019 anti-establishment uprising made a stronger showing that many had predicted. 17 candidates who backed the 2019 protest movement won seats. At least twelve of them will sit in parliament for the first time.Together with independents and other non-aligned MPs who have sometimes supported the now-defunct protest movement's demands, they could find themselves in a kingmaking position.They could obtain the support of MP Osama Saad, who supported the protests, and new MP Abdul Rahman al-Bizri. That was a major achievement considering they went into the vote fragmented and facing intimidation and threats by entrenched mainstream parties. Their showing sends a strong message to ruling class politicians who have held on to their seats despite an economic meltdown that has impoverished the country and triggered the biggest wave of emigration since the 1975-90 civil war. One of the most notable victories notched up by independents was the election in the third South district of Elias Jradeh and Firas Hamdan for seats that Hizbullah and its allies had not lost in three decades. Another major satisfaction for those described in Lebanon as the "thawra" (revolution, in Arabic) candidates, was the defeat of several reviled MPs loyal to the Syrian government of Bashar al-Assad.

Wronecka looks forward to 'active role' of new parliament, swift formation of govt.
Naharnet/May 17/2022
United Nations Special Coordinator for Lebanon Joanna Wronecka on Tuesday congratulated Lebanon on the conduct of parliamentary elections on May 15, which she said “enabled the Lebanese people to exercise their democratic right to select their representatives and make their voices heard.”
“I was pleased to see that the Lebanese authorities delivered parliamentary elections within the constitutional timeline. It was important for the Lebanese people to have a say in choosing the political leadership they believe can tackle the country’s challenges. The elections were a vital expression of Lebanon’s citizen engagement, which should serve to strengthen the country’s institutions,” the Special Coordinator said.
Wronecka welcomed the role played by European Union, other international and local observers in the elections process and noted the preliminary statement of the EU Election Observation Mission Lebanon. Underlining that the elections are not an end but rather a starting point, the Special Coordinator urged Lebanon’s political leaders to put the country’s interests first and “engage constructively to ensure there will be no vacuum nor paralysis in much-needed institutional decision-making, in particular through the swift formation of a reform-oriented government.”
To this end, the Special Coordinator noted “the important role of the new Parliament in working with the government to prioritize the implementation of reforms and Lebanon’s recovery, including through a final agreement with the International Monetary Fund.”
“Adoption of the necessary legislation will also be critical for expediting the reform process,” she added. The Special Coordinator also stressed that Lebanon’s rescue and recovery process would remain incomplete in the absence of women’s full participation and representation. “I note that eight women have been elected to the new Parliament. I hope this can be built upon to improve women’s representation in all future national decision-making,” the Special Coordinator said. She also underlined the need for youth participation and involvement.
Noting the “long-standing partnership and cooperation” between the U.N. and Lebanon, the Special Coordinator expressed the U.N.’s readiness to continue supporting Lebanon through the recently adopted U.N. Sustainable Development Cooperation Framework and the implementation of relevant U.N. resolutions, particularly Security Council Resolution 1701 (2006). The Special Coordinator also reiterated the U.N.’s support for “Lebanon’s security, stability, prosperity, political independence and territorial integrity.”

British embassy urges new MPs to form 'inclusive and reformist govt.'
Naharnet/May 17/2022
Following the completion of Lebanon’s parliamentary elections, the British Embassy in Beirut called on the new parliament to “proceed urgently to form an inclusive new government that is empowered to take forward the essential reform agenda,” including finalizing the agreement with the International Monetary Fund to “get Lebanon on the path to recovery.”“The British Embassy in Beirut congratulates Lebanon for holding parliamentary elections on time and welcomes the participation of many Lebanese people in the democratic process despite challenging circumstances. We commend the security institutions for maintaining security and order on elections day. We also applaud polling station staff for their contribution to the electoral process and the Lebanese diplomats who arranged out of country voting, including in the UK,” the embassy said in a statement.
Welcoming the increase in the number of female candidates elected, the embassy said “the UK is a proud advocate of the importance of increased participation of women in political life,” including through its collaboration with U.N. Women to build capacity for female candidates.
However, the embassy said the UK shares concerns raised by the European Union’s Elections Observation Mission’s finding that “vote buying and clientelism overshadowed elections.”“We are especially concerned by reports of intimidation, lack of access for voters with disabilities and problems with the lack of secrecy of the vote. These represent clear violations of international standards and fundamental principles of democracy. It is disappointing that the Lebanese authorities have not implemented any of the recommendations made by the EU Elections Observation Mission in 2018,” the embassy added. Politically, the embassy underlined that “it is now time for action.”“Lebanon’s new Members of Parliament must put aside their differences to work together in the interests of the Lebanese people. We urge the new parliament to proceed urgently to form an inclusive new government that is empowered to take forward the essential reform agenda, including finalizing the agreement with the International Monetary Fund to get Lebanon on the path to recovery,” the embassy said. “The UK stands ready to support this process and the people of Lebanon who deserve a brighter future,” it added.

Hizbullah MP warns rivals against becoming 'shields for Israel'
Agence France Presse/May 17/2022
Hizbullah MP Mohammad Raad has warned rivals against becoming "shields for the Israelis", as Lebanon awaits election results."We accept you as opponents in parliament, but we will not accept you as shields for the Israelis," said Raad, according to Hizbullah's al-Manar TV channel.
In mid-2006, a 34-day war pitted Israel -- whose troops had withdrawn from southern Lebanon in 2000 -- against Hizbullah.Raad headed the outgoing parliamentary bloc led by Hizbullah and was re-elected Sunday in the first polls since the country's economy was dragged to the brink of collapse and a mass anti-government protest movement sparked hope for change in 2019. His comment raised fears of unrest as the country awaits results Tuesday, which will show whether Hizbullah and its allies can keep an actionable majority in parliament. "Don't become the fuel for civil war," Raad told opponents. Lebanon suffered a 15-year-old civil war that ended in 1990 with most belligerents turning into political parties that have ruled the country for the past 30 years. Independents from the country's nascent protest movement and members of Hizbullah's arch-rival, the Lebanese Forces (LF), are expected to make major gains in Sunday's polls. Samir Geagea's LF, which has strong ties with Saudi Arabia, should emerge as the largest Christian party, at the expense of President Michel Aoun's Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), which is allied with Hizbullah. Hizbullah has so far retained all its seats. Hizbullah supporters last year accused LF gunmen of killing seven of their supporters during a protest in Beirut. The Christian group denied the charges. Hizbullah is the only group that has kept its weapons arsenal after the country's civil war ended.

Lebanon elections point to a shift, but more turmoil ahead
Associated Press/Agence France Presse/May 17/2022
The final results of Sunday's parliamentary elections, expected on Tuesday, will show whether Hizbullah and its allies can keep an actionable majority in Parliament.
Counting was ongoing and official results were only available for 99 of the 128 seats up for grabs a little before midnight (2100 GMT), fuelling opposition fears of foul play in some of the closest races.
- 'Complaints' -
The Lebanese Association for Democratic Elections said its members were threatened and attacked by several groups, mostly in areas controlled by Hizbullah and Amal. Several candidates lodged complaints claiming irregularities and forgery. Scuffles and cases of voter intimidation were reported, although Interior Minister Bassam al-Mawlawi insisted Monday when announcing partial results that their number was "very low". Tension was high in some constituencies where opposition candidates who looked to be squeezing into parliament suspected traditional parties of attempting to cook the results.
- Polarized parliament -
The preliminary results point to a shift, but more turmoil lies ahead. They portend a sharply polarized parliament divided between pro and anti-Hizbullah lawmakers who will find it difficult to work together to form a new government and pass the laws needed to enact reforms and begin the country's financial recovery. With two main blocs — Hizbullah and the Lebanese Forces — opposed to each other, analysts said the results could be more paralysis. “Going forward, unless these two groups can reach a modus vivendi on governance, Lebanon will be stuck in a political deadlock with long-term disastrous economic consequences,” said Randa Slim, senior fellow with the Washington-based Middle East Institute. Hizbullah MP Mohammed Raad warned opponents Monday against becoming "shields for the Israelis", raising fears of unrest as the group's rivals appeared to make gains.
"We accept you as opponents in parliament, but we will not accept you as shields for the Israelis," Raad said in televised remarks.
- 'New start' -
New opposition candidates also made advances, pushing forward the agenda of a cross-sectarian protest movement that erupted in late 2019 against the ruling elite. “Personally, I am not optimistic about these elections, and I do not think that the U.S. administration should bet on these elections,” said former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs David Schenker last week. "There is a broken system in Lebanon, and elections with such electoral laws will clearly not fix it,” he said in a webinar for the Washington Institute. In comments that reverberated in Lebanon, he described candidates running against Hizbullah and its allies as “incredibly divided, brimming with narcissistic and individualistic leaders" more interested in personal gain than getting together and overthrowing a corrupt elite.”However, independents and newcomers scooped up at least 16 seats. That was a major achievement considering they went into the vote fragmented and facing intimidation and threats by entrenched mainstream parties. Their showing sends a strong message to ruling class politicians who have held on to their seats despite an economic meltdown that has impoverished the country and triggered the biggest wave of emigration since the 1975-90 civil war. Analyst Ziad Majed said that the economic context could play in favor of reformists who will for the first time be pushing from within parliament, not just as outsiders. "This will create political and popular pressure for reformists and forces of change to cooperate," he said. The outcome of the vote could have an impact on a presidential election due later this year.

Aoun in hospital for medical checkups
Naharnet/May 17/2022
President Michel Aoun underwent medical checkups including x-rays this morning at the Hotel Dieu hospital in Beirut, the Presidency said on Tuesday. “He will be discharged in the next few hours once the checkups are completed,” the Presidency added. Prime Minister Najib Miqati meanwhile called the President to inquire about his health, the National News Agency said.

Israel says Hizbullah drone infiltrated its airspace
Naharnet/May 17/2022
The Israeli army on Tuesday said it “detected” a Hizbullah drone that crossed from Lebanon into Israel. “The drone remained under the monitoring of surveillance units throughout the incident,” Israeli army spokesman Avichay Adraee said in a tweet in Arabic.The Israeli army “will continue to work to prevent any breach of the sovereignty of the State of Israel,” Adraee added. The incident comes amid a major Israeli military drill and two days after Lebanon’s parliamentary elections.

Lebanese Pound declines to 29,500 after elections

Naharnet/May 17/2022
As Lebanon awaits the final results of its parliamentary elections, enormous difficulties lie ahead. The value of the Lebanese pound dropped on Tuesday, reaching 29,500 to the U.S. dollar. The Lebanese currency was pegged at 1,500 pounds to the dollar for 22 years until decades of corruption and mismanagement led to the country’s worst economic crisis in its modern history starting in October 2019. Informed political sources had expressed concern that the Lebanese currency could witness a new freefall after the May 15 parliamentary elections. “The central bank is still intervening so that any surge does not affect the choices of voters in the parliamentary elections," sources had told al-Joumhouria newspaper last week. Now, the new parliament voted in on Sunday will have to tackle a dire economic crisis and overdue reforms required for international assistance. Setting up a legal framework to reform and restructure the banking sector will be among the new parliament's major tests, given the shared interests between Lebanon's political and financial elite, said Sami Nader, director of the Levant Institute for Strategic Affairs.

UN Chief Calls for 'Inclusive Government' after Lebanon Vote
Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres called on Lebanon to form an "inclusive government" to tackle the country's economic crisis, after elections held over the weekend, his office said Monday.Guterres "looks forward to the swift formation of an inclusive government that can finalize the agreement with the International Monetary Fund and accelerate the implementation of reforms necessary to set Lebanon on the path to recovery," his office said in a statement. The UN chief also called on the country's new parliament "to urgently adopt all legislation necessary to stabilize the economy and improve governance."He stressed the need for Lebanon’s "political leaders to work jointly with the best interest of Lebanon and the Lebanese people in mind."Lebanon's largest parliamentary bloc, led by the powerful pro-Iranian Hezbollah armed movement, appeared to have suffered a setback against the opposition and independents, according to partial results released on Monday, AFP said. Turnout was particularly low in Sunni-dominated areas mostly inhabited by Sunnis -- one of the main communities in the country governed by a political system based on communal power-sharing.

MPs Charged over Beirut Blast Re-Elected, Troubling Families of Victims
Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Two Lebanese lawmakers charged in connection with the 2020 Beirut port blast have been re-elected in the first poll since the catastrophe, leaving some families of victims fearing further delays in a stalled investigation into the explosion. Many in Lebanon blame the disaster, which killed more than 215 people, on safety failings by senior political and security officials. Accountability for the blast emerged as a main rallying issue for opposition candidates and voters. Interior Ministry results show Ali Hassan Khalil and Ghazi Zeaiter, both running with the Hezbollah-backed Shiite Amal Movement, won seats in Baalbek-Hermel and south Lebanon respectively. Khalil and Zeaiter were charged in December 2020 but deny any wrongdoing and have declined to attend interrogation hearings, citing immunity afforded to them by their parliamentary seats. The investigations are secret so the exact charges against them have not been made public.Rima Zahed, whose brother Amin died in the blast and who sits on a committee representing victims, described their victory as a "farce". Another committee member, Kayan Tleis, whose 39-year-old brother Mohammad died in the explosion, told Reuters: "We are troubled and provoked and don't want anybody to be above the law."An arrest warrant was issued for Khalil but was not implemented by security forces, who cited parliamentary immunity. Lawsuits filed by suspects including the two MPS against the judge investigating the blast have stalled the probe for months. Still, victims' relatives said they were encouraged by wins by newcomer opposition candidates in Beirut, who took five of 19 seats across the capital's two electoral districts. "We have more people in parliament who can work for us... They are people who will help our cause," Tleis said. "I hope we will not have to wait long for justice." Newcomers who won include the former head of the Beirut Bar Association, Melhem Khalaf, who was backed by the families of some blast victims. "He is our voice," said Zahed, who was celebrating Khalaf's victory at his home on Monday night.

Hezbollah, Allies Lose Majority in Lebanese Parliament, Final Results Show
Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Iran-backed Hezbollah and its allies have lost their majority in Lebanon's parliament in a general election, a Reuters tally of final results showed on Tuesday, a major blow to the armed group that reflects anger with Lebanon's ruling elite. The Shiite party and factions that support its possession of arms won around 62 of parliament's 128 seats in Sunday's election, a reversal of the 2018 result when they secured a majority of 71. In the first election since Lebanon's economic collapse and the Beirut port explosion of 2020, reform-minded political newcomers won about a dozen seats, making an unexpectedly strong breakthrough into a system long dominated by the same groups. Hezbollah opponents including the Christian Lebanese Forces gained ground. It won around 19 seats, up from 15 in 2018, while the Hezbollah-allied Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) kept 18 seats, according to officials from both parties. The results leave parliament split into several camps, none of which have a majority, raising the prospect of political paralysis and tensions that could delay reforms needed to steer the country out of its devastating economic crisis."Fragmentation has increased in the parliament, and this makes the process of legislation and forming majorities difficult," FPM leader Gebran Bassil said in a Tuesday news conference, calling on newcomers to work together with his party. While the 2018 election pulled Lebanon closer into the orbit of Iran, these results could navigate again towards its Arab fold. The final results on Tuesday included a record of eight women lawmakers, nearly half of them newcomers. Unexpected upsets included the dislodging by two new MPs of Hezbollah allies Talal Arslan, heir to one of Lebanon's oldest Druze political dynasties, and deputy speaker of parliament Elie Ferzli. Faisal Karami, scion of another Lebanese political dynasty, also lost his seat in the country's second city Tripoli.
'Crack in the wall'
United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres called in a statement late on Monday for the swift formation of an inclusive government to stabilize the economy. Sami Atallah, director of The Policy Initiative, a Beirut-based think tank, said that was unlikely. He said groups within the "polarized parliament" would lock horns when electing a parliamentary speaker, naming the next prime minister and voting on a president later this year. And while Hezbollah and the allied Amal Movement maintained their control of the 27 Shiite-allocated seats, they lost two seats in their traditional stronghold of south Lebanon. Atallah said that could push them to take a hardline stance: "They don't want to have a crack in the wall."Overnight, large crowds carrying Hezbollah flags gathered in downtown Beirut, chanting in support of the party, according to footage posted on social media. Reuters could not independently verify the videos. By the morning, a giant cardboard fist in downtown Beirut that was first erected when protests against the ruling establishment erupted three years ago appeared to have been torn down and burned, according to a Reuters witness. The 2019 demonstrations reflected anger at a political class seen as corrupt and inefficient. Since then, Lebanon has plunged into an economic crisis that the World Bank has described as one of the worst since the Industrial Revolution. The local currency has lost more than 90 percent of its value, reaching 30,000 pounds to the US dollar on Tuesday, roughly a 10% loss since Sunday's election. But Lebanon's central bank said on Tuesday it would continue to allow commercial banks to purchase dollars on its Sayrafa platform rate "without amendment," an operation that has helped stabilize the exchange rate since it began in January. The economic decline has pushed nearly three-quarters of Lebanon's population under the poverty line, which election observers had warned could open the door to more vote-buying. In a preliminary statement on Tuesday, the European Union Election Observation Mission said the poll had been "overshadowed by widespread practices of vote-buying, clientelism and corruption".

Will New Faces at Lebanese Parliament Form Opposition Bloc?
Beirut - Caroline Akoum/Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
The results of the parliamentary elections in Lebanon have sprung several surprises, most notably among "revolution" groups that have reaped at least 10 seats, defying predictions and the odds given that they had waged the electoral battle on numerous lists instead of a united one.
These groups emerged in wake of the October 2019 popular uprising against the country's ruling elite that has been in power for decades and is largely blamed by the people for Lebanon's current devastating economic crisis. Sunday's elections also led to surprises among the ranks of traditional opposition figures and parties, who may share some visions of the revolution, but are unlikely ally themselves with them. Some members of the revolution groups refuse to align with traditional parties and politicians because they perceive them as part of the problem in Lebanon and because they differ with them over their view of Hezbollah and demands for the party to lay down its arms. As official results were announced, the opposition revolution groups managed to achieve breakthroughs in the districts of Beirut, the Chouf, South, North and Bekaa. Winners among the traditional opposition groups and politicians included the Kataeb party, Michel Mouawwad, former minister Ashraf Rifi, MP Oussama Saad, who was allied with Dr. Abdulrahman al-Bizri in the Sidon-Jezzine district, and others. The challenge lying ahead for these oppositions figures is working together inside parliament to reach change they waged the electoral battle in the first place for. Ibrahim Mneimneh, one of the winners of the revolution groups in the Beirut II district, and Bizri, a winner in Sidon-Jezzine, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the results of the elections were expected. Mneimneh said he predicted that the revolution would win around ten seats in parliament.
"Our first mission after the announcement of the final results should be the formation of a united parliamentary bloc that represents all forces of change," he urged. He added that some of these forces agree with the traditional opposition parties over some issues, but they are unlikely to come together in a united bloc. This stage in Lebanon will be marked with consolidating the change in the country that has indeed started as revealed by the elections, he continued. For his part, Bizri, who is the son of former MP and minister Nazih Bizri, said it did not come as a surprise for the revolution groups to win seats in parliament. Rather, the surprise would have been if traditional political class, which has piled catastrophes on Lebanon, had won, he stated. "We have chosen the confrontation, and in spite of the negatives of the proportional electoral law, the people expressed their views and proved that the elites have lost their clout," he added. "Parliament will have a different role to play. The opposition against the political class will be clear and it will play a different role and shoulder many responsibilities after they were entrusted by the people," he went on to say. "The people are banking on us to create change," stressed Bizri. On whether the opposition will form a united bloc, he replied that the desire for cooperation is there and so are the common factors between the various groups. The first step should be creating a united voice against the political system. "We must then distinguish ourselves from it by reaching a cooperation mechanism that aligns with the views of the Lebanese people and their desire for reform."

Lebanese movement for change should heed warnings from history
Nadim Shehadi/Arab News/May 17/2022
Everybody wants change in Lebanon, the key question is what exactly this will entail. Today, the demand for change is led by Lebanese millennials, a post-civil war generation that has no memory of Lebanon’s golden days. Their debate tends to emphasize the flaws in Lebanon’s principles of communal power sharing and its liberal laissez-faire economy, which they blame for turning the country into a failed state. Yet, in doing so they are rewriting history in a narrative that could favor authoritarian models of rule.
If we were to go about this scientifically, we would have to conduct a laboratory experiment under controlled conditions in order to find out which system is better. Such as building an iron wall separating two halves of a continent and observing on which side people were desperate to escape to the other and which side initiated the bringing down of that wall.
In fact, such an experiment did happen in the Middle East over two decades in the last century. After the defeat of 1948, various forms of secular nationalism dominated in Turkey, Egypt, Syria, Palestine and Iraq. These regimes overthrew what were seen as failed post-colonial liberal governments dominated by Ottoman-era elites and notables.
Lebanon, meanwhile, skipped the nationalist models that dominated the 20th century. Since 1926, the Lebanese constitution has enshrined sectarian power-sharing measures, which are based on the legacy and values of its Ottoman past. Lebanon maintains an archaic Levantine system that views its population as a composition of different religious groups. By contrast, its regional neighbors adopted a modern, secular and homogeneous view of citizenry.
In the words of historian Philip Mansel, the old Ottoman cities like Smyrna, Alexandria and Beirut were “simultaneously windows on the West, generators of revolt against it, and targets for its battleships.” They were cultural beacons in the Levant: Port cities where making deals mattered more than ideals and where foreign consuls had more say and people approached them for protection.
Across the region, the zeal of nationalism clashed with the customs of Levantine society. Nationalism’s ideals of homogeneity and cohesiveness gradually triumphed over the region’s natural diversity. By contrast, Beirut remained as the last outpost of Levantine cosmopolitanism, where multiple identities coexisted and religious cultures were allowed a certain autonomy.
Where did the people choose to move to? Beirut. Subsequently, Lebanon flourished and became the cultural and financial center of the region. The cream of intellectuals and merchant classes from societies like those of Adana, Haifa, Alexandria, Aleppo, Damascus, Mosul and Baghdad moved to Beirut, each bringing rich traditions and global business networks. It became a service economy because it had the human capital to provide the services. The standard of living in the capital and the country’s gross domestic product per capita exceeded those of the lower-income European states like Greece, Spain and Ireland. In fact, Alexandria in its heyday also attracted people from Greece and Italy because the standard of living was higher and jobs were better paid.
That model was disputed during the Lebanese civil war. Yet, when it looked like progressive nationalist secular forces were winning, people voted with their feet and migrated out of the country. Many came back while Rafik Hariri was trying to restore that old diverse culture.
Meanwhile, the secular nationalist states became authoritarian and failed. The defeat of 1967 gave rise to more radical forces and the systems crumbled with the Arab Spring. But it is difficult to move away from authoritarianism once it has been established. Today, the trend is to engage with authoritarian regimes, such as Syria’s Bashar Assad, and for them to be propped up with the idea of maintaining stability.
The UAE is the closest successor to the Levantine cosmopolitan model, with more or less all of its advantages and faults. Again, we see the same phenomenon of talent, businesses and creativity in the region moving to the UAE and the other Gulf states. The Gulf model attracts people from all over the world and it is not just because of the oil. States like Iran, Venezuela and Iraq also have oil but people do not emigrate there because of the types of regimes and governance. On the contrary, people are moving out. The wars that caused their failures were also driven by nationalism and homogenizing ideologies, as well as authoritarian regimes.
Such experiments in the laboratory of history are not perfect and are full of flawed assumptions. There is the obvious lesson that cities that are at intersections of caravan routes and have more diversity and freedom of movement will always prosper over the closed societies of fortresses and garrisons. But open and free cities that prosper also have to protect themselves from the greed of the garrisons who want to capture them and the corruption of their rulers.
The homogeneous identity created by secular nationalism ultimately became intolerant of diversity and rejected it.
Another paradox from Ottoman times is that intellectuals in cosmopolitan cities tended to favor the secular nationalists. The Committee of Union and Progress was a product of the rich cosmopolitan atmosphere of Ottoman Salonica; it ultimately led to its demise and the demise of other such cities when the Young Turks and later Kemalist nationalists homogenized these societies. The poets and intellectuals of Alexandria, like Constantine Cavafy and Henri Curiel, also favored the nationalists and viewed their homogenizing ideas as promoting equality. But the homogeneous identity created by secular nationalism ultimately became intolerant of diversity and rejected it.
Lebanese demands for change tend to totally discredit the Levantine model, with its service economy that made the country prosperous in the past. They only see its flaws. Some blame the freedom it provided and the weak state for the dominance of the Palestinian Liberation Organization and Hezbollah. They also tend to favor a homogenizing, strong secular state with a “productive” economy, perhaps some sort of Syria-envy, and disregard its flaws.
The forces of change in Lebanon need to examine the past more closely before going down a path from which return is difficult. There are already discussions of handing power over to the army “temporarily,” ignoring that previous instances of such a move have proven to be difficult to reverse.
*Nadim Shehadi is a Lebanese economist. Twitter: @Confusezeus

حنين غدار/معهد واشنطن: ماذا تعني خسارة حزب الله النيابية للبنان
What Hezbollah’s Parliamentary Loss Means for Lebanon
Hanin Ghaddar/ The Washington Institute/May 17, 2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/108705/108705/
The voting results provide even more hope for change than meets the eye, though the winners will need international help to prevent Hezbollah from obstructing the next steps.
On May 15, Hezbollah suffered a major defeat in Lebanon’s parliamentary election, losing not only its majority control of the legislature but also all of its non-Shia-Muslim allies. Despite low turnout, threats of violence, financial difficulties, and growing national despair, the people voted for change, choosing reforms over Hezbollah and its ever-growing military arsenal.
From a distance, one might conclude that the major political parties managed to maintain substantial parliamentary blocs. Yet a closer look at the details reveals that a number of significant changes will mark Lebanon’s new political scene.
First, Hezbollah lost the Christian cover that has enabled it to manipulate various levers of power and flout the constitution, including the arms that make it the country’s most potent military force. Previously, the Hezbollah-allied Free Patriotic Movement, headed by Gebran Bassil, enjoyed the majority of Christian representation in parliament, but Samir Geagea’s “Lebanese Forces” party will now claim that mantle, winning more than twenty seats compared to thirteen for the FPM. Bassil’s loss will also affect his ambitions to win this fall’s presidential election.
Second, Druze areas in the Chouf and Aley districts witnessed real breakthroughs by the opposition, with three seats going to independents—Mark Daou, Najat Aoun Saliba, and Halime Kaakour. Druze leader Walid Jumblatt maintained his representation as well. Even more notable were the losses by Wiam Wahab and Talal Arslan, two key allies of Hezbollah and Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria. In fact, Assad lost traditional allies all across Lebanon, such as Assaad Hardan, Elie Ferzli, and Faisal Karami.
Third, in Beirut’s western second district, Sunni voters defied former prime minister Saad Hariri’s calls to boycott the election, and many of their votes went to new independent candidates, including big wins for Ibrahim Mneimneh and Melhem Khalaf. Hezbollah had its eye on this district, where it worked hard to boost its own Sunni candidates and hoped that low overall turnout among this community would help compensate for its expected loss of Christian allies. Ultimately, the group aimed to cultivate a significant Sunni bloc via wins in Beirut, Tripoli, West Beqa, and Saida-Jezzine. Yet its plan to penetrate the Sunni street failed, and the majority of its Sunni candidates lost. As for Hariri, his exit from the country’s political scene is now finalized.
Fourth, the south brought the biggest surprise. For the first time ever, Hezbollah’s joint list with allied party Amal lost seats to two outside candidates, Elias Jradeh and Firas Hamdan. This setback came despite the many violations committed by Hezbollah-Amal representatives inside and outside the voting stations.
So what does all this mean? Hezbollah lost nearly everywhere in Lebanon, and although it managed to force the preservation of its twenty-seven-member Shia bloc in parliament, its support appears to be slipping even among this core constituency. Compared to the 2018 election, all Shia districts witnessed lower turnout, indicating that a considerable silent majority is dissatisfied with the group politically.
Moreover, the new independent members of parliament generally do not abide by sectarian identities or political affiliations. This is a big break from the opposition’s former “March 14” coalition, which was larger but definitely more sectarian. In addition to new civil society representatives, a combination of winning factions—Samy Gemayel’s Kataeb Party, traditional independent candidates, the new anti-Hezbollah Sunni bloc, and the Lebanese Forces with their largest bloc yet—could have a real chance to take Lebanon in a new direction. The formation of the next government, the outcome of the presidential election, and, most imminently, the selection of the next speaker of parliament will go a long way toward determining the horizons of this potential change.
Current speaker Nabih Berri, the head of Amal, can no longer guarantee holding that post for an eighth time—at least not unless he is willing to compromise with Jumblatt and Geagea. The challenge remains agreeing on another Shia candidate (as the constitution mandates for this post) when all of the Shia members are members of Hezbollah or Amal. After their election victories were announced, Geagea, Gemayel, and Tripoli Sunni politician Ashraf Rifi publicly promised their constituencies that they would not repeat the previous mistake of allowing Berri to remain speaker. If all opposition forces decide to reject Berri and take the daring step of agreeing on a single nominee, the parliament might finally see a new speaker—a development that would greatly affect Amal’s internal politics, popular support, and relationship with Hezbollah.
The new majority, although fragmented, shares many of the same views regarding reforms and Hezbollah’s arms. If they manage to coordinate, they could even spark a new discussion on national defense strategy, focusing on Hezbollah’s arsenal while also addressing the role of the Lebanese Armed Forces, the appointment of key security and financial officials, and, most important, what kind of leader they want to emerge from the presidential election.
The main obstacle to such momentum will be a humiliated and anxious Hezbollah. Having lost this round, the group will no doubt use all of its tools to influence the next steps, including threats of violence. Yet its old formula of bullets vs. ballots—which worked after the 2005 and 2009 elections—might not be as successful this time around, simply because the group’s political allies can no longer provide cover.
Hezbollah could also play another game at which it has long excelled: delaying key processes by blocking decisions and creating vacuums in government institutions. It has used such deadlocks to affect government formation and presidential elections many times before. This time, it might try to link those two events in order to force a compromise that guarantees its preferred presidential candidate a win. Unfortunately, this scenario could obstruct reforms and political change, ensuring that the promising electoral outcome is not properly reflected in state institutions. More international pressure is therefore needed immediately to prevent an institutional vacuum and discourage any compromises that threaten to cripple the movement toward change.
*Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Fellow at The Washington Institute and author of its recent study Hezbollahland: Mapping Dahiya and Lebanon's Shia Community.

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 17-18/2022
Iran Awaits US Response to Nuclear Talks ‘Solutions’ Submitted to Mora

London, Tehran - Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh said diplomatic efforts to revive the nuclear agreement have “taken steps forward” when compared to the stalemate before Enrique Mora, the European Union’s nuclear talks coordinator, visited Tehran last week. Mora had held two days of discussions with Iran’s chief negotiator Ali Bagheri in Tehran last week, leading the EU to say talks had been unblocked. Nevertheless, Khatibzadeh said on Monday that Iran awaited the US response to “solutions” discussed with the EU envoy for breaking a deadlock in talks aimed at restoring the 2015 deal. The negotiations, aimed at bringing the US back into the deal and Iran to full compliance with it, had stalled for about two months. “Serious and result-oriented negotiations with special initiatives from Iran were held,” Khatibzadeh told reporters. “If the US gives its response to some of the solutions that were proposed, we can be in the position that all sides return to Vienna,” where the talks are held, he added during his weekly press briefing. “If the US announces its political decision today, which we have not yet received, we can say that an important step has been taken in the progress of the negotiations,” Khatibzadeh also noted.
Iran has been engaged in direct negotiations with France, Germany, Britain, Russia, and China to revive the deal, known formally as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The US has participated indirectly. The agreement gave Iran sanctions relief in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program to prevent Tehran from developing an atomic bomb. Broad outlines of a deal were agreed in March, but the agreement stumbled over Russian and Iranian last-minute demands. Khatibzadeh pointed out that Mora’s visit came after a phone call between the EU Foreign Policy Chief Josep Borrell and Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, reported the state-run Mehr news agency.

Tehran Criticizes Washington's Support for Peaceful Assembly of Iranians

London, Tehran - Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Protests against deteriorating living conditions continued in several Iranian provinces, while Tehran protested the support of the US State Department's spokesman for the right to peaceful assembly and freedom of expression in Iran. US State Department Spokesperson Ned Price said in a tweet on Sunday: “We support their rights to peaceful assembly and freedom of expression online and offline -- without fear of violence and reprisal”. “Brave Iranian protestors are standing up for their rights.”Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh described the position of his US counterpart as “exaggerated enthusiasm.”He accused Washington of fearing the Iranian economy getting fortified. Nour News, the news platform of the Supreme National Security Council, protested Price's statement, describing it as “interference in Iran's internal affairs.”In a statement, it added that the US position “comes at a time when some citizens have expressed their concerns in the past few days without any problems.”Waves of protests hit the provinces of Lorestan, Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari and Fars in the south and west of the country. This comes two weeks after demonstrations erupted in the southwestern province of Ahwas. Demonstrators are rallying against the rise in flour prices, which raised the price of bread tenfold, according to Iranian websites. Footage widely circulating on social media showed police firing tear gas to disperse protesters at the Tehran (Sadeghiyeh) Metro Station, one of the largest metro stations in west Tehran. Earlier footage showed the police using tear gas also in the city of Shahr-e Kord, the capital city of Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Province in the southwest of Iran. On Monday, civil transport workers in Tehran joined the protests, chanting slogans calling for the dismissal of Tehran's mayor. Protests had spread to about ten out of 31 Iranian provinces last week, after the government announced a price hike for four food commodities: oil, dairy, chicken, and eggs. Authorities cut off the Internet in some provinces that witnessed protests. The Iranian government began implementing its plan to stop the support allocated to the dollar for the purchase of food commodities. Last week, President Ebrahim Raisi tried to calm an angry public by vowing to speed up reform of the state aid payment system. Last Thursday, the commander-in-chief of the Revolutionary Guard Corps Hossein Salami described what is happening in the country as “economic surgery” and gave tacit orders to the Basij forces to “help the people.”

Schools, Offices Close in Tehran as Sandstorm Hits Iran

Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Schools and government offices closed in the Iranian capital on Tuesday and elsewhere in the country after yet another sandstorm blanketed Tehran, state TV reported. The report said the air quality was very poor and that the pollution from the dust was high. It was the third severe sandstorm in Iran since mid-April. Last week, authorities also shuttered schools in Tehran and other provinces because of a similar sandstorm but Tuesday marks the first time government offices closed in Tehran due to a sandstorm. Tehran is among the most polluted cities in the world. The country’s west, along the border with Iraq, has seen frequent closures of schools and offices due to sandstorms. On Monday, airports in western Iran saw dozens of flights canceled or delayed. In neighboring Iraq, sandstorms - at least eight since April - have landed thousands in hospitals with severe respiratory problems and killed at least one person. In Syria, at least three people died along the border with Iraq because of the storm. Experts blame poor government policies, desertification and low water levels as well as climate change for the frequency and intensity of recent sandstorms.

Iran State TV Air Footage of French Couple Accused of Spying
Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Iran's state television on Tuesday showed what it described as details of the arrest of two French citizens earlier this month, saying they were spies who had sought to stir up unrest. Iran's intelligence ministry had said on May 11 it had arrested two Europeans for allegedly fomenting "insecurity" in Iran, but had not revealed their nationalities. France has condemned their detention as baseless and demanded their immediate release, in an incident likely to complicate ties between the countries as wider talks on reviving a nuclear deal stall. On Tuesday, state television named the two as Cecile Kohler, 37, and her partner Jacques Paris, 69, adding that "the two spies intended to foment unrest in Iran by organizing trade union protests". Iran's judiciary has yet to comment on the matter. In Paris, there was no immediate response from the French Foreign Ministry to a request for comment on Iranian television's assertions.
In recent months, Iranian teachers across the country have staged protested demanding better wages and working conditions, according to Iranian state media. Dozens of them have been arrested. "They traveled to Iran as tourists ... But they took part in anti-government protests and met members of the so-called Teachers' Association," it said, showing Kohler and Paris apparently talking in a meeting with what it said were protesting Iranian teachers. The TV footage showed what it said was their arrival at Tehran's International Imam Khomeini Airport on April 28 with Turkish Airlines from Turkey, as well as their arrest on their way to the airport on May 7. Christophe Lalande, federal secretary of France's FNEC FP-FO education union, told Reuters on May 12 he suspected that one of his staffers and her husband were missing on a holiday in Iran. Two other French nationals are held in Iran on national security charges their lawyers say are politically motivated. Rights groups have accused Iran of trying to extract concessions from other countries through such arrests. Iran has repeatedly dismissed the charge. Western powers have long demanded that Tehran free their citizens, who they say are political prisoners. The two French citizens were arrested a week after a Swedish national was also detained in Iran. The detentions come at a sensitive time, as the United States and parties to Iran's 2015 nuclear deal struggle to restore the pact that was abandoned in 2018 by then-US President Donald Trump.

Israel Says Iran Working on Advanced Centrifuges at New Underground Sites
Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Iran is working on advanced uranium centrifuges at new underground sites being built near its Natanz nuclear plant, Israel's defense minister said on Tuesday, giving figures that appeared to go beyond those published by a UN watchdog. Centrifuges are used to purify uranium for civilian projects or, at higher levels, to make bomb fuel. Iranian progress in the field is being watched by world powers trying to resurrect a nuclear deal with Tehran, which denies having military designs. "Iran is making an effort to complete the manufacturing and installation of 1,000 additional advanced IR6 centrifuges in its nuclear facilities, including new facilities being built at underground sites abutting Natanz," Defense Minister Benny Gantz said in a speech at Reichman University near Tel Aviv. A March 3 report by the UN International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said Iran had installed or planned to install a total of three IR6 cascades, amounting to around 660 machines. IAEA chief Rafael Grossi said last month that Iran had set up a new underground Natanz workshop for making centrifuge parts, an apparent precaution against attacks. In his remarks, Gantz alluded to Israel's long-standing threat to take military action if it deems diplomacy is at a dead end to deny its arch-enemy the means to make nuclear weapons. "The cost of such a future war, which we hope will not happen, can be prevented or reduced" with tougher negotiations by world powers, he said. Ram Ben-Barak, head of parliament's Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee, confirmed Israeli media reports on Tuesday that Israel's air force, as part of a scheduled one-month military exercise, would be simulating an attack on Iran. "This exercise was planned long ago," Ben-Barak told Reshet Bet Radio. "We are preparing for the worst and hoping for the best."

Ukraine Working to Pull Last Fighters from Mariupol Mill

Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Hundreds of Ukrainian fighters defending the last holdout in Mariupol were evacuated to areas controlled by Russian-backed separatists and officials worked Tuesday to get the rest out, signaling the beginning of the end of a siege that became a symbol of Ukrainian resistance.
Russia called the operation a mass surrender. The Ukrainians avoided using that word - but said the garrison had completed its mission. More than 260 fighters - some severely wounded - were pulled from a steel plant on Monday that is the last redoubt of Ukrainian fighters in the city and transported to two towns controlled by separatists, officials on both sides said. Other fighters - their precise numbers unknown - remain inside the Azovstal steelworks that sprawl over 11 square kilometers (4 square miles) in a city otherwise controlled by Russian forces. The complete capture of the plant would mark a significant milestone. It would give Russia its biggest victory of the war yet and could help free up forces for offensive action elsewhere in the industrial heartland of eastern Ukraine that is now Russia's focus after a series of setbacks. "Ukraine needs Ukrainian heroes to be alive. It’s our principle," Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in announcing that the evacuation had begun from the relentlessly bombarded mill and its warren of tunnels and bunkers. "There are heavily wounded among them. They are receiving medical help," he said. "The work continues to bring the guys home and it requires delicacy and time."
Ukraine Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar said 264 fighters were evacuated from the plant, including 53 "heavily wounded" brought to a medical facility. Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov gave slightly different numbers: 265 evacuees, 51 of them seriously wounded. The discrepancy couldn’t immediately be explained. After nightfall Monday, several buses pulled away from the steel mill accompanied by Russian military vehicles. Russian Defense Ministry video of some evacuees did not show any that were armed. The video shows troops patting down and searching the fighters. Some were on stretchers as they were loaded onto the buses.
Oleksandr Danylyuk, a Ukrainian former national security chief and finance minister, told the BBC that because Ukrainian forces were unable to liberate the plant, the negotiated evacuation to Russian-controlled territory had been "the only hope" for Azovstal’s defenders. Those remaining in the plant are still "able to defend it. But I think it’s important to understand that their main mission is completed and now their lives need to be saved," he said. A full negotiated withdrawal could save lives on the Russian side, too, sparing Russian-backed troops from what almost certainly would be a bloody and difficult battle to wrest the labyrinth-like plant from Ukrainian control. Danylyuk added that those evacuated should be swapped for Russian prisoners - but Vyacheslav Volodin, speaker of the lower house of the Russian parliament, said that there are "war criminals” among the plant defenders and they should not be exchanged but tried. Maliar heaped praise on the fighters who survived in the plant for nearly three months and said it been impossible to liberate them "by military means.""Thanks to the defenders of Mariupol, we have gained critically important time to form reserves, to regroup forces and to receive aid from our partners," she said. "Mariupol’s defenders have fully accomplished all missions assigned by the commanders."
Russia has been plagued by setbacks in the war, most glaringly in its failure early on to take the capital of Kyiv. Much of the fighting has shifted to the Donbas region in the east but also has turned into a slog, with fighting village-by-village.
Strikes have also occasionally rocked other areas of the country. The western city of Lviv was rocked by loud explosions early Tuesday. Witnesses counted at least eight blasts accompanied by distant booms. The sky west of the city, which was under an overnight curfew, was lit up by an orange glow. Howitzers from the US and other countries have helped Kyiv hold off or gain ground against Russia, a senior US defense official said. The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the US military assessment, said Ukraine has pushed Russian forces in the east to within 1 to 4 kilometers (a half-mile to 2.5 miles) of Russia’s border but could not confirm if it was all the way to the frontier. In another setback for Moscow, Sweden's decided to seek NATO membership following a similar decision by neighboring Finland. That is a historic shift for the countries, which have been nonaligned for generations. On Tuesday, Swedish Foreign Minister Ann Linde signed the formal request to join the alliance, which will now be sent to NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg. Stoltenberg has said the membership process for both could be quick - but President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey, a NATO member, has cast doubt on the process. He has objected to allowing Sweden and Finland to join NATO, saying they failed to take a "clear" stance against Kurdish militants and other groups that Ankara considers terrorists, and imposed military sanctions on Turkey. All 30 current NATO members must agree to let the Nordic neighbors join. Russian President Vladimir Putin said Moscow "does not have a problem" with Sweden or Finland as they apply for NATO membership, but that "the expansion of military infrastructure onto this territory will of course give rise to our reaction in response."Putin launched the invasion on Feb. 24 in what he said was an effort to check NATO’s expansion but has seen that strategy backfire.

Jian Omar: European Decision Facilitated German Embrace of the Ukrainians
Berlin - Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
As part of a report on Syrian and Ukrainian refugees arriving in Berlin, Asharq Al-Awsat spoke to Jian Omar, of Syrian origin, who won the general elections in Germany in September with the Green party. The young Syrian Kurd, born in Qamishli in 1985, came to Germany as a student. In 2012, he became a refugee, after the Syrian embassy refused to renew his passport because of his political activism against the regime in Damascus.He has been in Berlin for more than ten years, and today he is a member of its parliament, and the spokesman for the Green party on issues of immigration, asylum and naturalization. Omar said that German society was very receptive to Ukrainian emigration. He noted that in the early days of the war, he had seen a number of Germans offering the refugees accommodation in their homes while waiting to find a permanent residence. He also stressed that some German families carried aid to receive those fleeing the Russian war. According to the parliamentarian, the European Union’s decision to receive Ukrainians, according to the criteria of mass immigration from war countries, allowed the granting of residency to refugees, in addition to other facilitations.
In this regard, he noted that the European decision was taken unanimously, while some countries, including Poland and Hungary, opposed this mechanism when it was raised to address the influx of Syrian refugees in 2015. Omar told Asharq Al-Awsat that while some social media cited criticism over a preference for European refugees over those coming from the Middle East, he noted that Syrian and Ukrainian activists organized joint demonstrations against the war and Russia’s engagement in Syria and Ukraine. He pointed to the Europeans’ concern about the return of war to their continent, and to the divisions in public opinion about the extent to which they can go to arm Ukraine without directly engaging in the conflict.

Berlin... Ukrainian Suitcases, Syrian Sorrows, and a Russian Thread
Berlin - Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
A convoy of refugees and a line of bags. How difficult it is for you not to have anything left of your country but a suitcase. This sight breaks my heart. As if the bag was a coffin carrying the soul of the homeland, the smell of its soil and ashes of memories. Asharq Al-Awsat visited the central train station in Berlin, the German bosom, where refugees meet refugees…On the Ukrainian trip, there are no death boats. Trains are a means of escape. The evacuees have fled the Russian missiles and bombs, but they don’t know how long the absence will be and what the days of exile will hide. Most of the Ukrainian refugees prefer to stay in Berlin. But this is not possible because German authorities prefer to scatter them into different regions to ensure the availability of services and facilities. Nothing but a suitcase In a nearby hall, while waiting to go to the shelters, the arrivals spread out at tables and have food and drinks. They have nothing but a suitcase…Sophie, 21, came from the city of Kherson on the Black Sea in southern Ukraine. At first, she did not believe that the war would break out and prolong. Now she says that she doubts the possibility of an imminent return, “because living under Russian occupation is impossible.”She recounted how the bombs “did not target only military centers, but rained down in every direction, making life hell.”No water, no electricity, and many fires broke out in the buildings. Food ran out and the streets became deserted. Larina, Sophie’s companion at Kherson University and on the asylum trip, says that a return to Ukraine is inevitable, noting that the Ukrainians will not surrender, and are preparing themselves for a broad resistance to force the Russians to leave. She seems to be holding on to a thread of hope, when she asserts that Ukrainian soldiers “are fighting bravely, but they do not have enough weapons.”
Tears, prayers and escape
Irina Kovalenko came to Berlin with her daughter, mother and aunt. She was in Kyiv at the start of the war. She thought that the nightmare would end soon. She moved to a village outside the capital to wait for the war to stop. She spent eight days “crying, praying, screaming and fleeing to places she thought were safe.” “We were terrified when we watched the destroyed buildings, burned houses and empty streets amid the sound of missiles and raids,” Irina told Asharq Al-Awsat. Irina wipes her tears. She lost her “home and tranquility, and the beautiful and rich country.” She wants a school for her daughter and an education in Ukrainian. It scares her that the future is uncertain. She talks about the “horrors perpetrated by the Russian army” and says that she will not return until after its withdrawal.
Sonnenallee
I left the Ukrainian refugees with their aches and suitcases, and decided to visit, with my colleague Raghida Bahnam, the Sonnenallee (Sun Street), which has been dominated in recent years by a Syrian character. Sweets, falafel, shawarma, halal meat, molokhia, clothing stores and vegetable stands…The Syrians go to this neighborhood for shopping. Ehab Sahari came from Idlib in a “sort of asylum.” He says: “The shop was Turkish, and it became ours, me and my brother.”
He continued: “I sympathize with the Ukrainians; we have tasted the bitterness of losing one’s country and seeing it destroyed. When we said that Russian air force destroyed our country, no one wanted to listen.”Ehab said that some Syrians have found a stable job, while many are still waiting. The kids born here don’t speak Arabic at all.
“We escaped the war; what’s important is that war don’t follow us here because of Ukraine,” he remarked. He continued: “Prices increased because of war in Ukraine. The demand for flour, oil and sugar surged”“I sympathize with the Ukrainians; we have tasted the bitterness of losing your country and seeing it destroyed. When we said that Russian air force devastated our country, no one wanted to hear. My cousins were killed by the Russian raids, which also targeted schools and hospitals. Responsibility for what happened to Syria lies with Iran, Russia and Hezbollah.
“I am not thinking of returning, especially since I am from Idlib. The current regime is just a front for Russia and Iran. I hope the Ukrainians won’t have the same fate as ours.”
Ehab said he is grateful to the country that hosted them.“They gave us what we could not get in our country.”On the way back to the hotel, I saw young men sitting next to a Ukrainian flag. He does not want his name or photo published. The reason is simple. He is returning to his country after finding a safe place for his mother and sister. His father refused to leave. He said that he would not accept to abandon his land and would rather die there. He is returning to participate in a resistance that is expected to be fierce and costly. He believes that the world is responsible for what happened to Ukraine because it did not act decisively when Russian President Vladimir Putin annexed Crimea in 2014. He describes the Russian president as “the Stalin of this century,” who is “extremely dangerous” for his country, its neighbors, and the world. He talks about “painful blows” that the Ukrainian army has dealt the Russian army. Night fell on Berlin, which is preoccupied not only with receiving refugees, but also with the new European landscape. Fear returned to the continent. Terrorism is no longer the problem. The source of fear is Russia, on which Germany relies for its gas imports.
As I entered my room, I heard the sounds of Arab melodies throughout the hotel. I went out and saw a bride in a white dress, surrounded by her groom and relatives. It’s a Syrian wedding, meters from the Brandenburg Gate…In the first years of their arrival in the country of asylum, refugees struggle to preserve their heritage. Tradition becomes the last bridge that connects them to their homeland. But time changes everything. Tomorrow their children will go to school, learn another language and live a different way of life. This applies to the Syrians, and will later be true for the Ukrainians…

Russia’s Lavrov Says Finland, Sweden Joining NATO Makes ‘No Big Difference’
Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Tuesday that Finland and Sweden joining NATO would probably make "not much difference" as the two countries had long participated in the alliance's military drills. "Finland and Sweden, as well as other neutral countries, have been participating in NATO military exercises for many years," Lavrov said. "NATO takes their territory into account when planning military advances to the East. So in this sense there is probably not much difference. Let's see how their territory is used in practice in the North Atlantic alliance."Sweden on Tuesday signed a formal request to join NATO, a day after the country announced it would seek membership in the 30-member military alliance. In neighboring Finland, lawmakers are expected later in the day to formally endorse Finnish leaders’ decision also to join. The moves by the two Nordic countries, ending Sweden’s more than 200 years of military nonalignment and Finland’s nonalignment after World War II, have provoked the ire of the Kremlin. While most NATO members are keen to welcome the two countries as quickly as possible, Turkey has potentially complicated their accession by saying it cannot allow them to become members because of their perceived inaction against exiled Kurdish militants. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Monday doubled down on comments last week indicating that the two Nordic countries' path to NATO would be anything but smooth. All 30 current NATO countries must agree to open the door to new members. He accused the two Nordic countries of refusing to extradite "terrorists" wanted by his country. In Stockholm, Swedish Foreign Minister Ann Linde signed the formal request to join the Alliance, which she said would be sent to NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg. "It feels like we have taken a decision that is the best for Sweden," she said while signing the document. Finnish President Sauli Niinisto arrived in Sweden for an official visit and was welcomed by Sweden’s King Carl XVI Gustaf and Queen Silvia, who had invited him. Niinisto is scheduled to address Sweden's Parliament in a speech expected to focus on NATO, and meet Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson. On Twitter, Niinisto said that "the timing is excellent, a strong and stable Nordic region is our common cause."

Kremlin Critic Navalny Appeals against Nine-year Jail Sentence
Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Jailed Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny was due on Tuesday to appeal a nine-year prison sentence he was handed in March on charges that he and his allies say are politically motivated. His hearing comes as Russian authorities seek to silence remaining government critics and Moscow pushes on with its military campaign in neighboring Ukraine, with thousands killed and some 10 million displaced, AFP said. A vocal critic of Russian President Vladimir Putin, Navalny in late March had his jail time extended to nine years after he was found guilty of embezzlement and contempt of court. He is already serving two-and-a-half years in a prison some 100 kilometers (60 miles) east of Moscow for violating parole on old fraud charges. On Tuesday, he will appeal the extension of his jail term, joining the hearing at a Moscow court via video link from his prison colony. If his new sentence comes into force, the 45-year-old opposition politician will be transferred to a strict-regime penal colony, which will place him in much harsher conditions. The new sentence will replace the old one -- that he was handed in February last year -- meaning Navalny will remain behind bars for another eight years.
Declared 'extremist' -
As part of the new charges, investigators accused Navalny of stealing for personal use several million dollars' worth of donations that were given to his political organizations. Navalny rose to prominence as an anti-corruption blogger and, before his imprisonment, mobilized anti-government protests across Russia. In 2018, he campaigned as a presidential candidate but was eventually barred from running in the election that saw Putin secure a fourth term in power. In his absence, Navalny's team continues publishing investigations into the wealth of Russia's elites that have garnered millions of views on YouTube. In 2020, Navalny narrowly survived a poisoning attack with Novichok, a Soviet-designed military-grade nerve agent. Despite accusations from Navalny, the Kremlin denied any involvement. He was arrested on his return from rehabilitation in Germany last year, sparking widespread condemnation abroad, as well as sanctions from Western capitals. After his arrest, Navalny's political organizations across the country were declared "extremist" and shut down, while key aides have fled Russia. Navalny's key allies have since fled the country, several of them are wanted by Russian authorities on criminal charges. Russia has recently ramped up pressure on independent media and non-governmental organizations, declaring many "foreign agents", while others have stopped operating for fear of prosecution. In an effort to further control the information available to its domestic audience, authorities have blocked access to the popular social networks Instagram, Facebook and Twitter and taken legal action against tech giant Meta, accusing it of spreading "calls to kill" Russians.

Gantz in Washington Wednesday to Defend ‘Settlements,’ Israeli Measures in West Bank
Tel Aviv - Nazir Magli/Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz announced he will travel Wednesday to the United States, where he expects to meet with his US counterpart Lloyd Austin in Washington to tackle issues of interest for both countries.Although his office did not give details of the nature of the meeting, a source in his ministry said Gantz will try to defend the Israeli government’s decision to build about 4,000 new housing units in Jewish settlements in the West Bank. The source said that Washington had strongly criticized the settlement decision, as well as the recent Israeli operations in the West Bank and Jerusalem, particularly the assassination of Palestinian-US journalist Shireen Abu Akleh and the brutal assault on her funeral processions. Gantz will carry with him the results of the investigation conducted by an Israeli officer into the assassination. Earlier this month, the Israeli Defense Minister had arranged to attend two Jewish events held in the US by his ministry, the World Zionist Organization and the Jewish Agency, to raise funds for the Israeli army. However, the assassination of Abu Akleh pushed Gantz to ask to meet US officials. Last week, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken called for an "immediate and credible investigation" into the circumstances of the killing of Abu Akleh. Blinken announced that he spoke to Shireen's brother and expressed deep condolences for her loss, and deep respect for the work that she did as a journalist for many years. US President Joe Biden has accepted an invitation to visit Israel in June and show support for Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett against the two men’s opponent, Benjamin Netanyahu. Despite the announcement, the Biden administration had appealed several times to the Bennett government in recent weeks, warning against approving new settlement projects. The US envoy to Israel, Thomas Naides, said he and other Biden administration officials have made it clear to Israeli officials several times in the last two weeks that the administration is opposed to the construction of new settlements and asked Israeli authorities not to move ahead with it. Few days following Naides’ comments, the Israeli Civil Administration, a military body, said the Higher Planning Committee met last Thursday to give green light to the building of 3,988 new settler units. Political sources in Tel Aviv expressed their fear of an angry US reaction to the Committee’s decision that would push the Biden administration to cancel or postpone the president’s visit to Israel. Meanwhile, the Jerusalem Post newspaper said that Bennett decided to take rightward steps to strengthen his Yamina party and prevent further defections from it. It said Bennett will visit Elkana in Samaria on Tuesday, his first public visit to a West Bank settlement since becoming prime minister 11 months ago.

EU Allocates 25 Mln Euros in Humanitarian Aid to Palestinians

Ramallah, London - Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
The EU announced on Monday it was allocating 25 million euros in humanitarian aid to meet the basic needs of vulnerable Palestinians in the West Bank, East Jerusalem and Gaza. The EU funding will focus on providing healthcare assistance, including mental care for trauma, to those affected by the continued violence, the ramifications of the blockade on Gaza and the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, the bloc announced in a statement. The aid will also focus on improving access to schooling of Palestinian boys and girls to uphold their right to education, it added. According to the statement, over 2 million Palestinian women, children and men in the Occupied Territories and Gaza Strip are in need of humanitarian assistance. The fragile economic situation and the unprecedented financial crisis in the West Bank and Gaza, have also resulted in high unemployment rates, limited trade and restricted access to resources.
“The situation is further worsened by the impact of Russia's aggression against Ukraine, resulting in increased food and fuel prices,” the statement said. Commissioner for Crisis Management, Janez Lenarcic, said the EU continues to stand in solidarity with the Palestinian people and that the newly announced EU humanitarian aid will support Palestinians families' access to basic services and assistance, which is now even more urgent due to the rising food prices and food shortages as a global consequence of the Russian war on Ukraine. “Furthermore, we insist on the full respect for international humanitarian law and condemn the continued evictions of civilians and demolitions of their homes, schools and basic infrastructure. This needs to stop,” Lenarcic stressed. According to the bloc, some 1.79 million in Palestine suffer from food insecurity of which 1.1 million people are severely food insecure. Last week, Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammed Shtayyeh called on the EU to accelerate the provision of financial support to Palestine and exert pressure on Israel to release withheld funds and stop all forms of financial deductions from Palestinian tax revenues.

After Syria strike, Gantz vows to stem Iranian transfer of ‘advanced capabilities’
Emanuel Fabian/The Times Of Israel/ May 17/2022
Defense minister hints at recent raid attributed to Israel that ‘completely destroyed’ facility in Masyaf, says IDF preparing against Hezbollah and Hamas in Lebanon
Days after a reported Israeli airstrike in Syria, Defense Minister Benny Gantz on Monday vowed to prevent Iran from transferring “advanced capabilities” to other entities in the region.
“The State of Israel will continue to act against any enemy that threatens it, and prevent the transfer of advanced capabilities from Iran that endanger the citizens of Israel and harm the stability of the entire region,” Gantz said during a visit to the military’s Northern Command. Israel has long accused Iran of transferring advanced munitions to the Lebanese Hezbollah terror group, via Syria. At the same time, Syria has also improved its air defense capabilities, in part due to upgraded Iranian-made components, according to military officials. Gantz said Israel was continuing to push ahead with defensive measures in the north. The Defense Ministry in recent months has started construction of hundreds of bomb shelters for Israeli citizens in northern towns who currently do not have access to functioning ones. On Monday, the Israel Defense Forces continued its monthlong “Chariots of Fire” exercise, including a military drill within the northern city of Haifa. Gantz said the exercises were aimed at “preparing for various scenarios against our enemies in the various theaters, and against Hezbollah and Hamas, which also operates from Lebanon.” It was the first time an Israeli official has confirmed the Gaza-based Hamas terror group has established a base of operations in Lebanon. Israel has repeatedly blamed “Palestinian factions” for rocket attacks from its northern neighbor that were not claimed by the powerful Hezbollah terror group. “The combination of training, operational activity, and strengthening civil resilience makes up our complete paradigm of protecting the north and the entire State of Israel,” he added. Friday’s airstrikes in the northwestern Masyaf region of Syria “completely destroyed” a structure leading to an underground facility, according to a satellite imaging service. According to media reports, six Syrian soldiers were killed in the raid, all crewmembers of an air defense system. The Masyaf area is thought to be used as a base for Iranian forces and pro-Iranian militias and has been repeatedly targeted in recent years in attacks attributed to Israel. Israel has carried out hundreds of sorties over Syria in the last decade, mostly to stymie attempts by Iranian forces to transfer weapons or establish a foothold. Israeli strikes have continued in Syrian airspace, which is largely controlled by Russia, even as ties with Moscow have deteriorated in recent weeks. Israel has found itself at odds with Russia as it has increasingly supported Ukraine, while seeking to maintain freedom of movement in Syria’s skies.

Massacre video reopens wounds for missing Syrians' families
Associated Press/Tuesday, 17 May, 2022
For years, the Siyam family clung to hope they would one day be reunited with their son Wassim, who they believed was being held in a Syrian government prison after he went missing at a checkpoint nearly a decade ago.That hope evaporated the moment they saw him in a newly leaked video: He was among dozens of blindfolded, bound men who, one by one, were shot and thrown into a trench by Syrian security agents. "It shocked us to our core," Siham Siyam said of the gruesome video, which was taken in 2013 and emerged late last month."They killed him in cold blood ... No mother can accept to see her child being harmed this way," Siham told The Associated Press from Germany, where she now lives with her family. The video has set off a wave of grief and fear rippling through the families of the tens of thousands of Syrians who disappeared during their country's long-running civil war. After the video went online, thousands rushed to painstakingly scan through the footage online for traces of vanished relatives. Even as similar atrocities take place in Ukraine, the Syrian war's years-old massacres and disappearances have gone unpunished and largely uninvestigated. Families of the missing who spoke to the AP describe an endless torture inflicted on them daily, not knowing their loved ones' fate. The video was allegedly smuggled out of Syria by a pro-government militiaman who gave it to a pair of University of Amsterdam researchers, apparently in hopes it would help him get asylum outside Syria. The researchers worked to verify it and identify the location and some of the perpetrators. The British newspaper The Guardian first reported on the video in late April, and a fuller version of the video has since circulated widely online. "Even if the families' loved ones do not appear in the video, the horrible images will be forever etched into their mind, and they will wonder if they faced the same fate," Mohammad Al Abdallah, the Executive Director of the Washington-based Syria Justice and Accountability Centre, told the AP.He called Syria's network of prisons the "Black Box," with no information about who is held inside and who has been killed.
Learning the truth brings a new kind of torment.
Siham and her husband vow to watch the video every day, to see their son's last moments alive and to bid him farewell. The video was stamped with the date April 16, 2013, two days after Wassim, a father of two who would now be 39, disappeared at a checkpoint near the Palestinian refugee camp of Yarmouk on the outskirts of Damascus.The 6 minute and 43 second clip shows members of Syria's notorious Military Intelligence Branch 227 with a line of around 40 prisoners in an abandoned building in Tadamon, a suburb of Damascus near Yarmouk. For much of the war, the district was a front line between government forces and opposition fighters. The prisoners are blindfolded, with their arms tied behind their backs. One after another, the Branch 227 gunmen stand them at the edge of a trench filled with old tires, then push or kick the men in, shooting them as they fall.
In a cruel game, the agents tell some — including Wassim — that they are going to pass through a sniper's alley and that they should run. The men tumble onto the bodies of those who went before. As bodies pile up in the trench, some still move, and the gunmen shoot into them.
Then the gunmen set the bodies on fire, presumably to erase all traces of the massacre.
According to the Syrian Network for Human Rights, 102,207 people remain missing, more than 11 years since Syria's conflict began.
The group says the one most responsible for forced disappearances is the Syrian government with 86,792 people missing, an unknown number of whom vanished into the murky labyrinth of prisons. The Islamic State group was responsible for 8,648 disappearances, and armed opposition groups for 2,567. The rest were held by the U.S.-backed Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces and al-Qaida-linked militants. One man who spoke to the AP said 25 of his relatives were taken from their homes in Tadamon by Branch 227 agents in July 2013. "We are sure they were killed the same way (as those in the video) because they were taken by the same people who appeared in the video," said the man, who asked that his name not be made public. He said residents know of multiple pits in Tadamon where people were killed and later burned. Security agents who appear in the video were neighbors of the missing families and had known each other for over 30 years, he said. Among his missing relatives are children and a sister who went to check on her family two days after they were taken from their home. She never returned. His family's tragedy didn't end there. A few months later, a brother who wasn't present the day his family disappeared was taken from a checkpoint. Years later, a photo of his tortured body appeared in a large file of photos and documents smuggled out by a dissident known as Caesar. In a May 9 open letter, 17 human rights and civil society organizations urged the U.N. Security Council to launch an investigation into the killings to bring to justice the perpetrators of the massacre and those who gave them orders. They also denounced international inaction over Syria, saying it has allowed Assad and his allies to continue to commit crimes against the Syrian people with impunity.
Families of the disappeared described to the AP the years of anguish and fruitless searching, punctuated by waves of false hope.
One man, Maher, said he still hopes his brother, missing since 2013, is alive and will one day be released. It's a new blow every time a prisoner release is announced, and his brother is not among them. "One tries to adapt throughout the years, but the wound reopens with every report that comes out," he said, speaking on condition that he be identified only by his first name.
His brother vanished while bringing home food aid from the U.N. agency that helps Palestinian refugees, known as UNRWA. Maher said hundreds of people were arrested while going to collect food boxes, so many that they became known as "death boxes."
Hoping to avoid arrest, people would send the elderly to collect the boxes, he said. His brother went four times; on the fifth, he was detained.If confirmation emerges that he is dead, "the wound would be cut wide open, and the real misery would start then," Maher said.
A racket of war profiteers preys on families, extorting large sums of money from them with false promises of an eventual release of missing relatives. Days after the video showing the killings came to light, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad issued an amnesty for hundreds of prisoners. Families flocked to a Damascus square, holding up pictures of missing relatives and pleading for information, according to videos on pro-government media outlets. Among them, profiteers circulated, telling families they could get their loved ones' names on the release list in return for 50 million Syrian pounds — nearly $13,000 — Al Abdullah said. "These are all lies," he said. Still, some families pay, desperate for any information. "How can I say no when my father's life is on hold? ... How can I say no, even if I know they're lying?" Wafa Mustafa told the AP from Berlin.
The walls of her room are covered with pictures of her father, missing since he was taken from his home in 2013. "It's crazy how after 11 years, and after we have left the country, the regime can still control us and control our mental and physical health," Wafa said. "They control our existence."

U.S. State Department Set to Delist Mujahideen Shura Council of Jerusalem
Joe Truzman/FDD's Long War Journal/May 17/2022
The U.S. State Department is expected to remove the Gaza-based Mujahideen Shura Council of Jerusalem (MSC) and several other groups from its Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) list, according to an Associated Press report.
The groups are believed to be inactive and unlikely to pose further threats to warrant their continued listing as FTOs.
“Based on a review of the Administrative Record assembled in this matter and in consultation with the Attorney General and the Secretary of the Treasury, I determine that the circumstances that were the basis for the designation… have changed in such a manner to warrant revocation of the designation,” the AP reported, citing a statement by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken.
The groups named in the AP report are the Japanese doomsday cult Aum Shinrikyo, the Spanish separatist organization Basque Homeland and Liberty, a Jewish ultra nationalist group called Kahane Chai, the Egyptian Sunni Islamist movement Gama’a al-Islamiyya, and the MSC.
In the context of the MSC, the Salafi-jihadist organization was established in 2012 in an effort to resurrect the Islamic caliphate and wage violent jihad against Israel.
The State Department designated the organization in 2014 due to numerous rocket attacks against Israel, a cross-border attack targeting an Israeli construction site that killed one civilian and the group’s declaration of support to the Islamic State.
As noted in the State Department’s FTO listing, MSC is responsible for several attacks against Israel, notably in 2012 when two of its members detonated an IED and attacked vehicles carrying construction workers at the security fence Israel was constructing at the Egyptian border.
In a video released by the MSC after the attack, the organization proclaimed its establishment and responsibility for the cross-border raid.
“We announce the formation of the Shura Council of the Mujahideen of Jerusalem as the foundation of a blessed Jihadi operation, with a clear path and features to be a brick in the global project of bringing back the [Islamic] caliphate,” according to a translation made by al-Arabiya News.
The second half of the video is dedicated to the two militants who perpetrated the attack named Khalid Salah Abdul Hadi Jadullah (a.k.a. Abu Salah al Masri) and a Saudi named Adi Saleh Abdullah al Fudhayli al Hadhli (a.k.a Abu Hudhayfa al Hudhali). [See: FDD’s Long War Journal: Al Qaeda-linked group claims responsibility for attack in Israel.]
The MSC have been operationally inactive for years and the U.S. State Department’s decision to remove them from the list of FTOs is unlikely to change the landscape of jihadist activity against Israel emanating from Gaza.
*Joe Truzman is a contributor to FDD's Long War Journal.

Canada/Minister Joly concludes trip to Germany and Belgium
May 16, 2022 - Berlin, Germany - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today concluded a productive trip to Germany where she participated in multilateral and bilateral discussions at the G7 and NATO foreign ministers’ meetings.
At the G7 foreign ministers’ meeting in Wangels, Germany, Minister Joly reaffirmed Canada’s commitment to a coordinated approach on the most pressing issues facing the international community today. Ministers discussed the growing food and energy security crises, which are a threat to vulnerable populations around the world and to global peace and stability and are a direct result of the Russian regime’s reckless actions in Ukraine. They pledged to continue working together to support Ukraine and its courageous people in response to Russia’s unprovoked and unjustifiable invasion of their country. Minister Joly and her counterparts also agreed to continue working closely together on the fight against climate change, a sustainable and fair recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and peace and security issues in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East.
In Berlin, NATO foreign ministers gathered to discuss shared priorities, including the impact of President Putin’s war, the gravest threat to global security in decades. They also reviewed NATO’s evolving security and defence priorities and identified strategies to adapt to them successfully in preparation for the NATO Leaders’ Summit that will be held in Madrid this June. Given Finland’s and Sweden’s aspirations to join the Alliance, NATO foreign ministers met with them to underscore NATO’s “open door” policy.
Minister Joly met with a number of her counterparts on the margins of her meetings in Germany. She highlighted Canada’s unshakeable resolve to uphold the international rules-based order alongside its likeminded allies and partners. The Minister also reiterated Canada’s unwavering commitment to Ukraine and to NATO’s collective defence.
Minister Joly visited Brussels, Belgium, on May 16, to participate in the Joint Ministerial Committee Meeting under the Canada-EU Strategic Partnership Agreement with Josep Borrell, High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, and the member states of the European Union. While in Brussels, she also attended a meeting of the European Union Foreign Affairs Committee, alongside Dmytro Kuleba, Ukraine’s Foreign Minister, where she highlighted the strong relationship between Canada and the EU, our close cooperation to support Ukraine and its people, and our collective determination to build a safer and more secure world.
Quotes
“President Putin’s war of choice is an unprecedented threat to world security and yet, it will fail. Putin sought to divide our Allies but we are more united than ever. In discussions with my G7, NATO, and EU counterparts, I reiterated Canada’s commitment to work together to hold Putin’s regime to account, adapt to global challenges and to protect the values we hold dear.”
- Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs
Quick facts
Since the beginning of 2022, Canada has committed $245 million in humanitarian assistance to respond to the worsening humanitarian crisis in Ukraine and neighbouring countries. Of this, $170 million has been allocated to United Nations organizations, the Red Cross Movement and to non-governmental organizations.
Since Russia’s illegal occupation and attempted annexation of Crimea in 2014, Canada has imposed sanctions on more than 1,400 individuals and entities. Many of these sanctions have been undertaken in coordination with Canada’s allies and partners. Canada’s latest sanctions impose asset freezes and prohibitions on listed individuals and entities.

Canada/Statement on International Day Against Homophobia, Transphobia and Biphobia
May 17, 2022 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, the Honourable Harjit S. Sajjan, Minister of International Development and Minister responsible for the Pacific Economic Development Agency of Canada, and the Honourable Mary Ng, Minister of International Trade, Export Promotion, Small Business and Economic Development, today issued the following statement:
“Everyone has the right to feel safe in being their true self and expressing their gender and sexuality freely. The International Day Against Homophobia, Transphobia and Biphobia gives us an opportunity to reaffirm the equality of LGBTQ2I persons and also strengthen alliances and partnerships. Through education and dialogue, the world has seen progress in recent years. Several countries have taken concrete steps to address stereotypes and prejudices and end discrimination and violence aimed at LGBTQ2I communities.
“Despite progress made, LGBTQ2I persons are still often victims of discrimination and hate crimes based on their sexual orientation, gender identity or expression, or sexual characteristics. They are murdered, arrested and subjected to violence, including from so-called “conversion therapies,” a discredited practice that attempts to change the sexual orientation, gender identity or expression of LGBTQ2I individuals. Humanitarian crises, such as those resulting from COVID-19 and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, also exacerbate challenges faced by LGBTQ2I communities and threaten the livelihoods, health and safety of their members.
“Canada is a global leader in promoting and protecting the human rights of LGBTQ2I persons. For example, earlier this year, Canada joined a dozen countries that have banned “conversion therapies,” and we recently became the first country to provide census data on transgender and non-binary people. This data will allow governments, service providers, employers and all Canadians to have a better understanding of the needs and realities of this segment of our population.
“LGBTQ2I entrepreneurs are also an important element of Canada’s global Export Diversification Strategy, and Canada negotiates progressive free trade agreements that promote inclusive growth that benefits everyone.
“May 17 is a day on which we unite to help end discrimination and violence against LGBTQ2I persons and remember that all people—without exception—are born free and equal in dignity and rights.”

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on May 17-18/2022
كون كوغلين/معهد جاتستون: محاولات بايدن غير الحكيمة لإنقاذ صفقة إيران
Biden’s Unwise Attempts to Save the Iran Deal
Con Coughlin/Gatestone Institute/May 17/2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/108715/108715/

Mr Biden’s hopes of pressing ahead with the nuclear talks suffered a significant setback the other week when a bipartisan super-majority of US Senators voted to endorse a Republican-led measure insisting that any future agreement with Tehran must address Iran’s support for terrorism in the region, and that Washington should not lift sanctions against the IRGC. Tehran is unlikely to concede to either measure.
Iran’s refusal to clarify the true extent of its undeclared nuclear activities is entirely consistent with the uncooperative stance it has adopted in its dealing with the IAEA over many years.
In an indication of how desperate the Europeans are to revive the deal, Mr Borrell said the EU was giving serious consideration to the ludicrous proposition whereby the terrorist designation against the IRGC was lifted, but kept in place on other parts of the organisation, which has several arms across the security apparatus and a sprawling business empire.
The EU initiative is not dissimilar to other hare-brained options being considered by the Biden White House, with analysts recommending that one compromise option for the US is to lift the terrorist designation against the IRGC while keeping it on the Quds Force, the unit responsible for the IRGC’s foreign operations and which arms and backs militant groups throughout the Middle East.
The lengths to which some naive politicians on both sides of the Atlantic are prepared to go to revive the nuclear deal is nothing less than shameful, especially at a time when the world is struggling to deal with another tyrannical regime following Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.
Hopefully, the more Iran refuses to cooperate with international bodies such as the IAEA, the more it will become clear that any hopes of securing a new deal with Tehran would not only upend the region but the president’s legacy as well.
The lengths to which some naive politicians on both sides of the Atlantic are prepared to go to revive the Iran nuclear deal is nothing less than shameful… Hopefully, the more Iran refuses to cooperate with international bodies such as the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the more it will become clear that any hopes of securing a new deal with Tehran would not only upend the region but President Biden’s legacy as well.
The utter futility of the Biden administration’s obsession with reviving the Iran nuclear deal has been laid bare by the latest damning assessment by the head of the UN’s nuclear watchdog.
US President Joe Biden has indicated to Tehran that he is willing to rejoin the deal so long as Iran agrees to fall back into compliance with the terms of the original Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) negotiated by the former Obama administration in 2015.
That would require Iran to accept the limits imposed on its stockpiles of nuclear material by the JCPOA instead of continuing with its efforts to produce weapons-grade material. According to the latest assessment by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the U.N.-sponsored body responsible for monitoring the ayatollahs’ nuclear activities, Tehran continues to defy Washington by converting some of its uranium stockpiles to near weapons-grade, thereby greatly enhancing the regime’s ability to produce nuclear warheads.
Despite Tehran’s continued defiance, the Biden administration remains committed to reviving the deal, and is even reported to be exploring ways to meet Iran’s outrageous demand that Washington removes its long-standing designation of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist entity from the State Department’s Foreign Terrorist Organization list.
Mr Biden’s hopes of pressing ahead with the nuclear talks suffered a significant setback the other week when a bipartisan super-majority of US Senators voted to endorse a Republican-led measure insisting that any future agreement with Tehran must address Iran’s support for terrorism in the region, and that Washington should not lift sanctions against the IRGC. Tehran is unlikely to concede to either measure.
Moreover, bipartisan opposition to a revived deal is likely to increase further following this week’s stark warning by the head of the UN’s nuclear watchdog who said he was “extremely concerned” about what he described as Iran’s lack of cooperation regarding unexplained traces of uranium in the country.
As part of the IAEA’s efforts to revive the deal, Rafael Grossi, the organization’s director general, has been trying to persuade Iran to explain the existence of traces of uranium found at several undeclared sites in Iran.
Mr Grossi has reported that, instead of responding to the IAEA’s request for further information, Iran “has not been forthcoming” with details of its undeclared activities.
In a briefing to the European Parliament earlier this week, Mr Grossi explained that in the last few months IAEA inspectors “were able to identify traces of enriched uranium, in places that had never been declared by Iran as places where any activity was taking place”.
“The situation does not look very good,” he said. “Iran, for the time being, has not been forthcoming in the kind of information we need from them… we are extremely concerned about this.”
Iran’s refusal to clarify the true extent of its undeclared nuclear activities is entirely consistent with the uncooperative stance it has adopted in its dealing with the IAEA over many years.
Mr Grossi’s stark warning, therefore, that Tehran is still up to its old tricks so far as UN inspectors are concerned, is likely to harden opposition in Congress to any attempt by the Biden administration to press ahead with a new deal regardless.
His stern words should also serve as a wake-up call to European leaders who remain committed to reviving the deal, irrespective of Iran’s non-cooperation.
In an interview with London’s Financial Times earlier this week, EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said he was seeking a “middle way” to end the impasse.
In an indication of how desperate the Europeans are to revive the deal, Mr Borrell said the EU was giving serious consideration to the ludicrous proposition whereby the terrorist designation against the IRGC was lifted, but kept in place on other parts of the organisation, which has several arms across the security apparatus and a sprawling business empire.
The EU initiative is not dissimilar to other hare-brained options being considered by the Biden White House, with analysts recommending that one compromise option for the US is to lift the terrorist designation against the IRGC while keeping it on the Quds Force, the unit responsible for the IRGC’s foreign operations and which arms and backs militant groups throughout the Middle East.
The lengths to which some naive politicians on both sides of the Atlantic are prepared to go to revive the nuclear deal is nothing less than shameful, especially at a time when the world is struggling to deal with another tyrannical regime following Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.
Hopefully, the more Iran refuses to cooperate with international bodies such as the IAEA, the more it will become clear that any hopes of securing a new deal with Tehran would not only upend the region but the president’s legacy as well.
*Con Coughlin is the Telegraph’s Defence and Foreign Affairs Editor and a Shillman Journalism Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

President Biden’s Missed Opportunities at U.S.-ASEAN Summit
Craig Singleton/Policy Brief/May 17/2022
President Joe Biden hosted an in-person summit last week with leaders from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), a bloc of 10 countries with a total annual GDP of approximately $3 trillion. While the Biden administration billed the summit as an opportunity to signal its renewed commitment to the region, the White House gathering resulted in few tangible outcomes and received scant media coverage, likely compounding regional concerns that Washington has no clear agenda for the Indo-Pacific.
Overall, Biden has held few substantive engagements with ASEAN leaders, although he did attend last October’s virtual heads-of-state summit, an event that former President Donald Trump skipped during all four years of his administration. Apart from that one engagement, Biden has not held a single bilateral telephone call with any ASEAN leader since assuming office. Moreover, Biden decided against conducting any one-on-one exchanges with ASEAN leaders on the margins of last week’s White House gathering.
The ASEAN summit’s agenda focused primarily on COVID-19 recovery efforts and global health security, climate change, promoting gender equality and women’s empowerment, and deepening people-to-people ties. There was little emphasis on security matters, such as China’s unlawful claims to sovereignty over most of the South China Sea. Moreover, summit attendees largely avoided discussing the deteriorating situation in Myanmar, including whether to boost support for Myanmar’s National Unity Government, a group formed in exile by elected officials ousted during the 2021 military coup.
On the economic front, White House officials rebuffed appeals by ASEAN leaders for enhanced U.S. market access. This snub is consistent with Biden’s moratorium on any new trade deals, even those that could potentially help ASEAN countries reduce their dependence on China. During the lead-up to the summit, the White House also declined to unveil any substantive details regarding its Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), which will reportedly focus on a series of unenforceable agreements involving “fair and resilient trade,” supply chain resilience, decarbonization, and anti-corruption policies. IPEF is unlikely, however, to meaningfully improve U.S. market access for ASEAN countries or their companies.
At the summit’s conclusion, the White House announced plans to provide ASEAN countries with $150 million in infrastructure, security, and pandemic-related assistance. Of that, Washington committed $40 million to reducing the carbon footprint associated with the region’s power supply. ASEAN countries will also receive funds to develop digital economies and legal frameworks for artificial intelligence. Regrettably, Washington’s meager contributions pale in comparison to the $1.5 billion in development assistance that China pledged to ASEAN countries last fall.
Moving forward, Biden’s disinterest in conducting regular leader-to-leader exchanges with his ASEAN counterparts, as well as the White House’s refusal to consider a more robust regional trade agenda, will severely hamper the administration’s Indo-Pacific Strategy. Regarding the IPEF, the White House has thus far not outlined what incentives it intends to offer ASEAN countries to secure their participation. The administration’s reliance on executive orders rather than legislation or formal trade treaties to enact IPEF-related deals also raises questions about what deals, if any, will outlast Biden’s time in office. The adjudication process for resolving IPEF-related disputes also appears unclear.
While Biden neglected ASEAN diplomacy even before the invasion of Ukraine, the war is likely to hinder any nascent efforts to shift American policymaker attention and resources to the Indo-Pacific. That concern, one felt widely in the region, was recently voiced by Ong Keng Yong, former secretary-general of ASEAN and Singapore’s current ambassador-at-large, who noted that “[s]ince the end of the Second World War, it is obvious that Europe comes first to the U.S. before any other region of the world.” Beijing will be keen to take advantage of Washington’s policy void to expand its economic, political, and security-related commitments throughout the region, with an eye towards further eroding Washington’s influence.
*Craig Singleton, a national security expert and former U.S. diplomat, is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), where he contributes to FDD’s China Program. For more analysis from Craig and the China Program, please subscribe HERE. Follow Craig on Twitter @CraigMSingleton. Follow FDD on Twitter @FDD. FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.

Biden administration can’t overlook the Balkans when sanctioning Russia
Ivana Stradner and Matthew Zweig/The Hill/May 17/2022
As Western economic sanctions tank Russia’s economy, the Kremlin and its supporters are scouring the globe for jurisdictions to use to evade sanctions. Moscow appears to have set its sights on the Western Balkans, long plagued by corruption and malign Russian influence. Washington and its Western allies must work to combat Russia’s illicit financial networks and broader malign influence in the Western Balkans while expanding our own economic ties to the region.
Exploiting corruption in the Western Balkans is central to the Kremlin’s efforts to cultivate influence in the region. This problem began decades ago. As the former Yugoslav states liberalized their economies after the 1990s, festering corruption exposed openings for Russian manipulation. Under Vladimir Putin, Moscow has used the corrupt actors who benefited from this kleptocracy to exploit economic, ethnic, and religious fissures in Balkan societies, in order to use that instability to challenge the United States and our allies. Western disengagement has compounded the problem, allowing Russia and China to fill the void through corruption and “debt-trap” investments in critical areas such as energy and security.
This inattention may ultimately weaken the impact of Western sanctions against Russia. Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, where Russian influence is particularly strong, have refused to sanction Russia. Serbian media reported in early April that nearly 300 Russian persons, including many in the IT sector, had opened companies in Serbia since Moscow invaded Ukraine on Feb. 24, likely reflecting an attempt to dodge Western sanctions by re-registering Russian firms in Serbia. And although Albania, Montenegro, and others have developed Russia sanctions regimes in line with EU sanctions, they may be unable or unwilling to enforce them if Moscow can prevail upon their leadership through either political pressure or corruption.
For a Biden administration that’s declared fighting corruption and Russian sanctions evasion to be top priorities, this should be a call to action. While the Kremlin has a head start, the West can wield a combination of economic incentives and pressure to undercut Russia’s efforts in the Western Balkans. Washington and its European allies should leverage existing regional institutions to strengthen their political and economic influence. In concert, the Western allies should use sanctions to expose and disrupt Russian illicit financial schemes and discourage regional actors from working with Russia.
The newly minted Open Balkan initiative represents the West’s best opportunity to build and effectively utilize economic leverage in the region. Established by Albania, North Macedonia, and Serbia in 2021, the project aims to promote ties between the three countries by ultimately creating a single market for goods, services and capital.
The Open Balkan initiative could enable the West to exploit its greatest advantage over Russia in the Western Balkans: economic clout. Europe’s economic ties to the region dwarf Russia’s, which are concentrated mostly in the energy sector. While Russia dominates Serbia’s energy industry, Russia is only Serbia’s fifth-largest trading partner, lagging behind Germany, Italy, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Romania. Russian trade with Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, North Macedonia, Croatia, and Montenegro is similarly limited. By spurring Western investment in the region, using the Open Balkan initiative as an instrument for incentivizing regional players to embrace anti-corruption, anti-money laundering and other rule of law measures, Washington and its allies could work to limit Russia’s influence.
While the Open Balkan initiative’s underlying concept is sound, the West must ensure this prospective asset does not turn into a long-term liability by perversely facilitating Russian and other illicit finance.
Unless properly policed, a single market in the Western Balkans could create opportunities for Russian sanctions-evasion networks and transnational criminal organizations to move Russian capital into and through regional economies. For these reasons, trade liberalization initiatives such as Open Balkan require strong institutions that can track and thwart illicit financial schemes involving Russia or other malign actors.
Western governments should pair the promise of economic opportunity with sustained pressure to strengthen the rule of law and defenses against illicit finance. Washington and its allies should also encourage Western companies to invest in the Western Balkans — but on the conditions that regional governments and their private-sector counterparties comply both with international anti-corruption and anti-money laundering standards and with Western sanctions against Russia.
Tech wreck: Is technology delivering a better world?
Population stabilization, not growth, is the key to America’s future
Along with these economic carrots, Washington and its allies should wield the stick. The West should threaten and, if necessary, impose sanctions against regional actors who continue to facilitate Russian illicit finance or other malign Russian activity in violation of U.S. sanctions against Moscow. Executive Order 14033, signed by President Biden in June 2021, offers an additional tool for the administration to do so, authorizing sanctions against persons who are involved in corruption or undermine security or democracy in the Western Balkans.
As Russia’s invasion in Ukraine continues, more Western sanctions are likely to follow. Russia’s cultural and political influence and economic presence in the Western Balkans offers the Kremlin a chance to establish one or more jurisdictions for sanctions evasion in the middle of Europe. Through a combination of carrots and sticks, the United States and its allies can foil Russia’s plans.
*Ivana Stradner is an advisor to the Foundations of Defense of Democracies (@FDD) and Matthew Zweig is a senior fellow at the FDD. FDD is a nonpartisan research institute focused on national security and foreign policy. Follow the authors on Twitter @ivanastradner and @MatthewZweig1.

Israel's Collaboration With Qatar – Morally Disgraceful And Strategically Damaging
Y. Carmon*/MEMRI/May 17/2022
Qatar is a great supporter of major extremist Islamic organizations and ceaselessly acts against Israel on the regional and international levels. Enlisting its help to achieve a temporary calm in Gaza is a self-inflicted strategic blow, as well as a moral disgrace.
For decades, Qatar has extended economic and political support, whether direct or indirect, to all the major extremist Islamist organizations: the Muslim Brotherhood, Al-Qaeda, and even organizations affiliated with the Islamic State (ISIS). Muslim Brotherhood ideologue Sheikh Yousuf Al-Qaradawi, a prominent Islamic jurisprudent known for his antisemitic and extremist views and for justifying the extermination of the Jews in the Holocaust, has for years operated in Qatar and enjoyed its sponsorship. Qatar has also harbored other jihadi leaders, and its educational system is rife with incitement to jihad and martyrdom. Its media, entirely state-sponsored, frequently spreads antisemitism and Holocaust denial.
In 1996, the U.S. government informed the Qatari emir personally that its agents had arrived in the country to arrest Khalid Sheikh Muhammad (KSM), a terrorist involved in the planning and execution of serious attacks in Asia who had found safe haven as an employee of the Doha municipal water department. Within hours, KSM disappeared, only to resurface five years later as the mastermind of the 9/11 attacks. Had Qatar not harbored him and facilitated his escape, 9/11 might not have happened. Qatar has also long supported the Taliban, and last year it helped it overthrow the democratically elected Afghan government and violently take over the country. Today, it makes every effort to legitimize the Taliban regime and secure international aid for it.
The Al-Jazeera TV channel, which is owned and operated by the Qatari regime, has since its inception functioned as a mouthpiece for jihadi terrorist organizations, and constantly broadcasts anti-Israel incitement. The claim that Qatar has helped to maintain calm between the Palestinians and Israel is ludicrous, and reflects profound ignorance. Amid the recent violent clashes at the Al-Aqsa compound, Al-Jazeera, the most-watched channel in the Palestinian territories, claimed that Israel intends to hold "Talmudic prayers" and make animal sacrifices in Al-Aqsa mosque itself, which naturally intensified the violence.
Israelis will especially remember how Al-Jazeera celebrated – live on-air – the release from prison of the terrorist Samir Quntar – who in 1979 murdered four-year-old Einat Haran by smashing her head on a rock at Nahariya beach in front of her father and then killed him as well. The party featured fulsome praise for Quntar, in addition to a large cake, an orchestra, and fireworks.
Qatar has perpetuated Hamas's rule in Gaza with financial support in the hundreds of millions of dollars; according to a May 1, 2022 report in Israel's Haaretz daily, this support has totaled $5 billion over the last decade. The Israeli government allows the delivery of these funds, ostensibly to be handed over to the Gazans, not to Hamas itself. This attempt to buy temporary quiet with "other people's money" enables Hamas to build up its military capabilities, including tunnels, rockets, drones, and units comprising thousands of fighters.
This quiet would better have been achieved by Israeli investment, in the form of aid for the people of Gaza, instead of by funding and arming Hamas. Such investment can be carried out via international organizations with no commitment to Hamas, via the tens of thousands of Gazans who work in Israel, and via major commercial and economic players who operate in cooperation with the Israeli economy. It is true that it will not be easy to change direction, after years of Qatar funding Hamas with Israeli consent. But it is nonetheless possible, particularly since Israel now has the support of the United Arab Emirates, a peace partner and an ally, which is capable of effecting the main change in Gaza on the political and economic levels. The UAE is just as capable as Qatar of investing heavily in Gaza In fact, The UAE has for years been bewildered as Israeli governments have, one after another, preferred the enemy, Qatar, to the friend, the UEA. Egypt too is capable of providing extensive logistical and administrative support to facilitate this change; it would love to see an end to Hamas's rule in Gaza, since Hamas is a branch of the Muslim Brotherhood, the bitter enemy of the Egyptian regime.
The current Israeli government should end this policy of indirectly supporting Hamas via Qatar – a policy deeply detrimental to Israel's long-term security interests. This is especially true in light of the fact that Qatar is the strongest opponent of the Abraham Accords, regionally and internationally. Moreover, over the past year it has strengthened its ties with the Iranian regime in all areas. Although Israeli Prime Minster Bennett himself said, at the height of the unrest at Al-Aqsa, that Al-Jazeera – that is, the Qatari regime – "lies constantly," his spokesmen's contradictory statements to media are aimed at paving the way for a continuation of this policy, with the inability to see the security and political damage that it is causing.
Israeli collaboration with Qatar, for any purpose whatsoever, is, beyond all its strategic and political considerations, also a moral disgrace, and the responsibility for this lies solely with the Israeli government.
*Yigal Carmon is the President of MEMRI and a former counterterrorism advisor to Israeli prime ministers.
A version of this article was published in Hebrew in the Israeli daily Haaretz, on May 10, 2022.