English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For May 12/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
Jesus said to them, 3It is I; do not be afraid
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 06/16-21/:”When evening came, his disciples went down to the lake, got into a boat, and started across the lake to Capernaum. It was now dark, and Jesus had not yet come to them. The lake became rough because a strong wind was blowing. When they had rowed about three or four miles, they saw Jesus walking on the lake and coming near the boat, and they were terrified. But he said to them, ‘It is I; do not be afraid.’Then they wanted to take him into the boat, and immediately the boat reached the land towards which they were going.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 11-12/2022
UN blames Lebanon govt., BDL for crisis, urges change of course
Despite public anger, Lebanon elections set to entrench status quo
Timeline of Lebanon's economic and political dire straits
Lebanon elections: No hope for short-term fix as diaspora looks for a brighter future
Aoun says Abu Aqleh's killing adds to Israel's 'bloody history'
Miqati urges for high turnout Sunday, says voting 'gateway for change'
Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Finance deliver investor presentation at 4:00 pm to update Lebanon’s creditors on government’s Staff-level...
UN urges crisis-hit Lebanon to ‘change course’
EU EOM Chief Observer visited Ibrahim, Arslan, LADE and LTN
Transport Minister: First batch of French buses to reach Beirut port on May 23
Mikati: Let election day be a landmark station en route to democracy
Mawlawi urges Sunnis to pull Lebanon out of 'new type of war'
Representatives of Associations of Persons with Disabilities brief Al-Makary on ‘Code of Conduct for Persons with Disabilities and Media’
Lebanon to complete cenbank FX audit, an IMF condition, by June: Deputy PM
Lebanon: small, multi-religious country
Chiyah- Berlin- Chiyah/Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al Awsat/May 11/2022
Can Lebanon buck the Middle East’s trend of futile elections?/Sir John Jenkins/Arab News/May 11/ 2022
Lebanese passports are exits to nowhere/Makram Rabah/Al Arabiya/May 11/2022

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 11-12/2022
Iran detains 2 Europeans; EU envoy in Tehran about nuke deal
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Shell Militant Bases North of Iraq’s Erbil, Says State Media
US Intelligence: IRGC to Escalate Attacks in Case of Sanctions Waivers
‘This is a fight he really doesn’t want’: Pentagon chief warns Russia’s Putin
Russian FM visits Oman to discuss Ukraine, trade
US Senators to introduce resolution to designate Russia a state sponsor of terrorism
Five Egyptian soldiers killed in attack north of Sinai
EU strongly condemns Abu Aqleh's killing as U.S. urges transparent probe
Al-Jazeera reporter killed during Israeli raid in West Bank
Shireen Abu Akleh: Al-Jazeera journalist shot and killed during Israeli raid in West Bank
Biden Extends State of Emergency in Syria, Iraq, Yemen

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on May 11-12/2022
Will NATO Fight?/Richard Kemp/ Gatestone Institute./May 11/2022
Palestinians Lie to Murder Jews; U.S. Rewards Them/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute./May 11/2022
More Islamic Death Threats in Europe: Dutch MP Targeted Twice/Pete Hoekstra/Gatestone Institute./May 11/ 2022
Jihadist Conquests Were About Bringing “Justice, Freedom, and Equality” to Conquered Infidels, Says Leading Muslim Scholar/Raymond Ibrahim./May 11/ 2022
Assad in Tehran… The Summit of Illusions/Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al Awsat/May 11/2022

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 11-12/2022
UN blames Lebanon govt., BDL for crisis, urges change of course
Agence France Presse/May 11/2022
The "destructive actions" of Lebanon’s political and financial leaders are responsible for forcing most of the country’s population into poverty, in violation of international human rights law, the U.N. Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, Olivier De Schutter, said in a report published Wednesday.
Urging the country to "change course," De Schutter accused the central bank of an "accounting sleight of hand regarding its losses... that covertly created a massive public debt... which will condemn the Lebanese for generations."The report follows a country visit to Lebanon and an investigation into the root causes and impacts of the country’s worst economic and financial crisis in history. “Impunity, corruption, and structural inequality have been baked into a venal political and economic system designed to fail those at the bottom, but it doesn’t have to be that way,” said De Schutter, an independent expert appointed by the U.N. Human Rights Council. “The political establishment knew about the looming cataclysm for years but did little to avert it. Well-connected individuals even moved their money out of the country, facilitated by a legal vacuum that allowed capital to flow out of the country. Truth and accountability must be sought as a matter of human rights.”With parliamentary elections on 15 May, the U.N. expert called on the next government to place accountability and transparency at the “heart and center of its actions,” starting with publicly disclosing its own finances and conflicts of interest and demanding that Central Bank officials do the same. Lebanon’s "man-made" economic crisis started in 2019, and today the country stands as "a failing State", the U.N. expert said. He cited current estimates that put four in every five people in poverty. “Political connections with the banking system are pervasive, pointing at serious concerns about conflicts of interest in their handling of the economy and people’s savings,” De Schutter said.
“There is no accountability built into the latest rescue plan, critical to restoring the lost confidence of the population and the financial sector. We’re talking about national wealth that belongs to the public in Lebanon and that was squandered over decades of mismanagement and misplaced investments by the Government and the Central Bank.“Central Bank policies, in particular, led to a downward spiral of the currency, the devastation of the economy, the wiping out of people’s lifetime savings and to plunging the population into poverty. The conclusion of my report is that the Central Bank has brought the Lebanese State into clear contravention of international human rights law.
“Political leadership is completely out of touch with reality, including with the desperation they’ve created by destroying people’s lives. Lebanon is also one of the most unequal countries in the world, yet leadership seems unaware of this at best, and comfortable with it at worst.”
De Schutter also said there was a serious lack of robust social protection mechanisms. “As it currently stands, it is a system that protects the rich while leaving poor families to fend for themselves,” he said. “Public services, including electricity, education, and healthcare, have been gutted, with a State that heavily subsidizes private provisioning of these services. Over a quarter of all public education expenditures go to the private sector, which exacerbates inequality, does not lead to better education, and leads to higher dropouts among children from poor households.
“More than half of families report that their child has had to skip meals, and hundreds of thousands of children are out of school,” he added. “If the situation does not improve immediately, an entire generation of children will be sacrificed.”
The U.N. expert criticized decades of underinvestment in the public healthcare system and the Government’s “disgraceful” partial removal of subsidies on essential medicines. “Medicines remain in severe shortage and prices for chronic disease medication have increased at least fourfold, an all but guaranteed death sentence for those most in need,” the U.N. poverty expert said. Despite the dearth of official poverty data -- which the Government does not systematically collect, in part owing to the lack of census since 1932 -- estimates suggest that multidimensional poverty nearly doubled between 2019 and 2021, affecting 82 percent of the population last year. The U.N. report finds Palestinian and Syrian refugees face disastrous living conditions in Lebanon, with 88 percent living under minimum survival conditions. Almost half of Syrian families are food insecure. “The horrendous plight of refugees is a direct result of the administrative and legal measures imposed by the State, which continues to sideline and blame them for its own failure to provide basic goods and services to the population, whether education, decent jobs, safe drinking water or electricity,” he said. “If trust for a better future is to be restored, the Government must strengthen the Central Inspection, free the National Anti-Corruption Commission from potential political interference, ensure independent oversight of Électricité du Liban, and ingrain accountability and transparency into the recovery plan,” he added. The U.N. expert also called on the incoming government to commit to improving its human rights record in all spheres by reducing inequality, fighting corruption and impunity, building strong and resilient social protection, education, and healthcare systems, and placing the interests of the public above private profits.

Despite public anger, Lebanon elections set to entrench status quo
Agence France Presse/May 11/2022
Lebanon's elections Sunday won't yield a seismic shift despite widespread discontent with a graft-tainted political class blamed for a painful economic crisis and a deadly disaster, experts say. Given Lebanon's sectarian-based politics, it will likely "reproduce the political class and give it internal and international legitimacy," said Rima Majed of the American University of Beirut. "Maybe candidates from the opposition will clinch some seats, but I don't think that there will be a change in the political scene," said Majed, an expert in sectarianism and social movements. Beirut voter Issam Ayyad, 70, put it more simply: "We will not be able to change." The small country's political system has long distributed power among its religious communities, entrenching a ruling elite that has treated politics as a family business. By convention, the Lebanese president is a Maronite Christian, the prime minister a Sunni Muslim, and the speaker of parliament a Shiite. In the current parliament, the Shiite Hizbullah party and its allies, including the Christian Free Patriotic Movement, command a majority. The system has held back the emergence of non-sectarian political parties and civil society representatives. The elections will be the first since a youth-led protest movement broke out in October 2019 against a political class seen as inept, corrupt and responsible for a litany of woes, from power blackouts to piles of uncollected garbage.The anger exploded into months of street rallies but lost momentum as the Covid-19 pandemic hit, together with a financial crash that the World Bank has labelled one of the world's worst in modern times.
'Game of loyalty' -
Popular fury flared again after a huge stockpile of ammonium nitrate that had languished in a Beirut port warehouse for years exploded in August 2020, killing more than 200 people and devastating entire neighborhoods. Successive governments have since failed to chart a path out of Lebanon's worst crisis since the 1975-1990 civil war that has sparked runaway inflation, deepened dire poverty and fuelled a mass exodus. Where the Lebanese state has failed to provide basic services, traditional political leaders have tended to step in with their decades-old patronage networks -- a trend more alive than ever during the current crisis. "The elections are not meant to assess the performance of politicians," said Majed. "They are more a game of loyalty to whoever provides... the most basic services." Public sector jobs have long been among the main handouts, but now fuel and cash assistance also feature high on the list, giving an advantage to established parties over new opposition groups that lack funds and foreign support. While bolstered by the 2019 protest movement, new independent candidates have also failed to build a coherent front that could energize a dispirited electorate, observers say. Nearly 44 percent of eligible voters plan to abstain, according to a survey last month of more than 4,600 voters by British charity Oxfam.
Voter intimidation
Polling expert Kamal Feghali said many voters had hoped the newcomers would run "with a unified list and program" but said that instead their competing electoral lists "will scatter the vote." While independents will likely do slightly better than in 2018, when only one of them won a seat, said Feghali, the winner once more is likely to be Hizbullah, Lebanon's biggest political and military force, and its allies. Iran-backed Hizbullah, first formed as a resistance force against neighbor Israel, is now often described as a state within a state that is all-powerful in regions under its control. Its pre-election intimidation tactics are "salient", said Oxfam, warning that such behavior tells voters "that change might be denied, and in turn might lead to either a reduction in turnout or a distortion in voting behavior." In east Lebanon's Bekaa Valley, three Shiite candidates were running on an anti-Hizbullah list but withdrew last month, despite the expiry of a legal deadline to do so. The move stripped the anti-Hizbullah list of essential Shiite representation and was widely seen by local media as a result of pressure by the powerful movement.

Timeline of Lebanon's economic and political dire straits
Agence France Presse/May 11/2022
Lebanon, which holds parliamentary elections on May 15, has been mired in a deep financial, economic and social crisis, aggravated by a political deadlock.
Here is a recap since turmoil broke out in October 2019.
Protests erupt -
Mass protests follow a government announcement on October 17, 2019 of a planned tax on voice calls made over messaging services such as WhatsApp.
In a graft-plagued country with poor public services, many see the tax as the last straw, with demonstrators demanding "the fall of the regime."
The government of prime minister Saad Hariri scraps the tax the same day.
But protests continue over the ensuing weeks, culminating in huge demonstrations calling for the overhaul of a ruling class in place for decades and accused of systematic corruption.
Hariri's government resigns in late October.
First default -
Lebanon, with a $92 billion debt burden equivalent to nearly 170 percent of its gross domestic product, announces in March 2020 that it will default on a payment for the first time in its history.
In April, after three nights of violent clashes, then-prime minister Hassan Diab says Lebanon will seek International Monetary Fund help after the government approves an economic rescue plan.
But talks with the IMF quickly go off the rails.
Catastrophic blast -
A massive explosion on August 4, 2020 at Beirut port devastates entire neighborhoods of the capital, kills more than 200 people and injures at least 6,500.
It emerges the huge pile of volatile ammonium nitrate that caused one of the biggest non-nuclear explosions ever recorded had been left unsecured in a warehouse for six years, further enraging the Lebanese public.
Political impasse -
Diab's government resigns shortly after the blast after just over seven months in office.
Diplomat Mustafa Adib is named new premier but bows out after less than a month, and Hariri, who already served as prime minister three times, is named in October.
One of worst crises -
Amid runaway inflation, authorities announce in February 2021 that bread prices will rise further.
In June, the World Bank says Lebanon's economic collapse is likely to rank among the world's worst financial crises since the mid-19th century.
New government -
After nine months of political horse-trading, Hariri steps aside on July 15, 2021 saying he is unable to form a government.
Billionaire Najib Miqati, Lebanon's richest man and already twice prime minister, forms a new government on September 10 after a 13-month vacuum.
Bloody clashes -
But the new government is shaken by demands from the powerful Hizbullah for the judge investigating the Beirut blast to be removed on grounds of political "bias."
Tensions come to a boil on October 14, 2021 when a shootout kills seven people following a rally by Hizbullah and its ally Amal demanding Tarek Bitar's dismissal.
Accord with IMF -
On January 24, 2022 the IMF launches talks with Lebanese officials.
Miqati's government meets for the first time after months of negotiations between rival factions.
On February 11 the IMF calls for fiscal reforms to ensure Lebanon can manage its debt load as well as measures to establish a "credible" currency system.
On April 7, the lender says it has reached a staff-level agreement to provide Lebanon with $3 billion in aid over four years.

Lebanon elections: No hope for short-term fix as diaspora looks for a brighter future
Tala Michel Issa, Al Arabiya English/11 May ,2022
In interviews with Al Arabiya English, the United Arab Emirates-based Lebanese expats all shared one common notion: Change will happen, but only in the long-run. They were not hopeful for any changes in the Levantine country’s political and economic situation in the short term but said that the shift in voter attitudes away from traditional parties was a step in the right direction. The Lebanese diaspora in the UAE took to the polls on Sunday, where many were voting for independent candidates that were not affiliated with any of the traditional political parties.
“I’m not hopeful that things will change in the short term, but I’m hopeful for the long-run,” said Lebanese expat Mark El-Khoury, 27. “Everyone knows changing the constitution takes time, for you to change the culture and mentality of a country takes time. You cannot erase the [Civil] war, the trauma from the war, the programming that the previous generation has given the current one. But what you can do is your part, which is to vote,” he added. “Change is not going to happen in three or five or 10 years, but maybe my kids’ kids can finally have a country in the future, and I want to be able to contribute to that. I don’t think change will happen in my time,” said El-Khoury. Politics in Lebanon have left society deeply divided, with many people choosing to support certain traditional political parties for financial support driven by the worsening economic crisis. Lebanese politics have long been a sensitive topic for people due to their ties to religion, experiences from the Civil War, and the need for backing, security and safety as the country grapples with endemic corruption and a lack of basic necessities such as regular access to electricity and water. In an interview with Al Arabiya English, Raphael Daniel, 31, said when asked about his hopes for the diaspora making a change with their votes this year: “In the short to medium term, I don’t think we will see change, but in the long term, yes.” Regardless, “we need to take a step forward,” he added. “If you think of it, voting [against traditional political parties] is just taking a step forward, in the right direction, because if nobody votes and nobody does anything, nothing will change. We are just trying to make as much change as possible,” Daniel said, noting the exponential voter turnout in Abu Dhabi this year. “Things are definitely going to change but they won’t change overnight. I think it’s going to take probably a good eight to 12 years because this is the first battle. There’s going to be other battles in the future, again and again, and gradually things are going to change,” said Lebanese expat Omar, 34. “Nothing is going to change overnight especially when it comes to politics unless you have a coup or the people [bring about another] revolution, but in our case, right now, with all the givens, I believe that it’s going to happen gradually, it’ll take some time,” he continued. Citizens in Lebanon will take to the polls on May 15 to elect new members of parliament, and a lot of hope is riding on the global Lebanese diaspora to make a difference.This year’s parliamentary elections mark the second time out-of-country voting is allowed, with the first time being in 2018, and the first electoral test since the country-wide Revolution in October 2019 and the infamous Beirut port blast.

Aoun says Abu Aqleh's killing adds to Israel's 'bloody history'
Naharnet/May 11/2022
President Michel Aoun on Wednesday sent a cable of condolences to Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas over the killing of veteran Al-Jazeera journalist Shireen Abu Aqleh with “treacherous Israeli bullets as she was practicing her journalistic work.”“As she joins the procession of the martyrs of occupied Palestine, who faced the Israeli occupation’s arrogance with their firm will, she confirms once again, with her blood, that this brutal occupation has total disregard for all international conventions and laws that govern journalistic work,” Aoun says in the cable. “Through this crime, it adds to its bloody history a new chapter of abuse, aggression and disregard for rights, life and justice,” the President added.

Miqati urges for high turnout Sunday, says voting 'gateway for change'
Naharnet /May 11/2022
Prime Minister Najib Miqati urged the Lebanese Wednesday to cast their votes in the parliamentary elections on Sunday. "Voting is a right and duty that one should not refrain from nor hesitate to perform," Miqati said. He added that "this is the natural gateway for change." The elections on May 15 will be the first since a youth-led protest movement broke out in October 2019 against a political class seen as inept, corrupt and responsible for a litany of woes, from power blackouts to piles of uncollected garbage. The anger exploded into months of street rallies but lost momentum as the Covid-19 pandemic hit, together with a financial crash that the World Bank has labelled one of the world's worst in modern times. While independent candidates are expected to improve slightly on their 2018 showing, experts believe the elections will largely consolidate the status quo in a country beholden to sectarian politics. Lebanese expatriates had kickstarted the critical election on Friday and Sunday in 58 countries, as the unprecedented crisis has spurred a mass population exodus.

Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Finance deliver investor presentation at 4:00 pm to update Lebanon’s creditors on government’s Staff-level...
NNA/May 11/2022
Following the announcement made by the International Monetary Fund on 7 April 2022 on a Staff-level Agreement on Economic Policies with Lebanon for a 4-year Extended Fund Facility, Deputy Prime Minister Saade Chami, with the participation of Minister of Finance Youssef Khalil, will give a presentation via webcast on Wednesday 11 May at 4.00pm Beirut time to update Lebanon’s creditors on the latest macroeconomic developments, the content of the agreement with the International Monetary Fund, and the government’s guiding principles for the upcoming public debt restructuring. Parties who would like to attend the presentation via webcast should register at:
https://lazard.webex.com/lazard/onstage/g.php?MTID=e9764e142f5fc5c0b360e965dbcc83368.
The deadline for registration is 3.30pm Beirut time on 11 May 2022.
For any investor enquiry, please contact lb.bondholders@lazard.com

UN urges crisis-hit Lebanon to ‘change course’
AFP/May 11, 2022
The report said that the crisis was “manufactured” by failed government policies
BEIRUT: Lebanon’s government and central bank are responsible for an unprecedented financial crisis that has impoverished the majority of the population, the UN said Wednesday. The report, drafted by the UN’s special rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, said that the crisis was “manufactured” by failed government policies and it urged the country to “change course,” days ahead of parliamentary elections scheduled for May 15. Since 2019, Lebanon’s currency has lost more than 90 percent of its value against the dollar, prices have risen by more than 200 percent and the poverty rate has shot beyond 80 percent of the population. “The misery inflicted on the population can be reversed with leadership that places social justice, transparency and accountability at the core of its actions,” the report contended. Special rapporteur Olivier De Schutter visited the country in November last year to assess the impact of the economic crisis. Nine in 10 people are finding it difficult to get by on their income and more than six in 10 would move abroad if they could, the report said. “The economic crisis was entirely avoidable; indeed, it was manufactured by failed government policies,” the report said. It accused the central bank of an “accounting sleight of hand regarding its losses.... that covertly created a massive public debt... which will condemn the Lebanese for generations.” The UN report comes as Lebanon readies for parliamentary elections on May 15, the first since the onset of the crisis. While independent candidates are expected to improve slightly on their 2018 showing, experts believe the elections will largely consolidate the status quo in a country beholden to sectarian politics.

EU EOM Chief Observer visited Ibrahim, Arslan, LADE and LTN
NNA/May 11/2022
During his second visit to Lebanon, the European Union Election Observation Mission’s Chief Observer György Hölvényi met yesterday Archbishop of the Melkite Greek Catholic Archeparchy of Zahle and Ferzol, Bishop Ibrahim Ibrahim with whom he discussed the upcoming parliamentary elections that will be held on 15 May. Today, he met the head of the Lebanese Democratic Party, MP Talal Arslan to discuss the preparations of the party for the elections. Hölvényi also had a meeting today with Executive Director of Lebanese Transparency Association Julien Courson and Aly Slim, Executive Director of Lebanese Association for Democratic Elections LADE to talk about the parliamentary elections that will be held on Sunday 15 May. -- EU EOM

Transport Minister: First batch of French buses to reach Beirut port on May 23
NNA/May 11/2022
Minister of Public Works and Transportation Ali Hamieh on Wednesday announced that the first batch of public transport buses donated by France will reach Beirut port on May 23. "A batch of fifty buses will sail from Marseilles on Sunday, May 15, and will arrive in Lebanon on Monday, May 23," the Minister told a press conference.

Mikati: Let election day be a landmark station en route to democracy
NNA/May 11/2022
Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, on Wednesday delivered a word in which he called on the Lebanese in various regions to heavily participate in parliamentary elections on Sunday, May 15, 2022.  “Two successful rounds of elections were held last week for expatriate voters, and this has constituted an essential step in cementing ties between the Lebanese diaspora and Lebanese residents,” Mikati explained. "The government, through the Ministry of the Interior, has taken all the necessary measures to ensure voting safety and freedom, but the main role remains entrusted to citizens who are expected to head to polling stations and cast their ballots so that their votes will be a practical translation of their opinions and aspirations,” the PM added. “Voting on election day is a right and a duty that should not be evaded, and it’s the responsibility of citizens, in the first place, is to choose whom they want to represent them. This is the natural pathway towards the change that the Lebanese aspire, regardless of their affiliations,” added Mikati. “Let us vote and let election day be a landmark step en route to democracy for the future of Lebanon and the Lebanese,” the PM concluded.

Mawlawi urges Sunnis to pull Lebanon out of 'new type of war'
Naharnet /May 11/2022
Interior Minister Bassam Mawlawi has called on Lebanon’s Sunni community to turn out heavily in the May 15 parliamentary elections, warning that “reluctance from practicing the right of voting would deepen the country’s crises.”“You actively took part in founding the country and enshrining its National Pact. You did not take part in civil war and you did not take up arms. Today you are invited to participate heavily in pulling Lebanon out of a war that is of another nature – the war of poverty, deprivation and employment, which has entered into the homes of all Lebanese,” Mawlawi said in an interview with the Saudi al-Bilad newspaper. “You are asked to be loyal to your Arabism and keen on the legitimacy of your state,” the minister added. Ex-PM Saad Hariri, the leader of the biggest Sunni party in the country, had recently announced that his al-Mustaqbal Movement would not take part in the elections.

Representatives of Associations of Persons with Disabilities brief Al-Makary on ‘Code of Conduct for Persons with Disabilities and Media’
NNA /May 11/2022
Information Minister, Ziad Al-Makary, on Tuesday welcomed at his ministerial office a delegation representing associations of persons with disabilities, who briefed him on the parliamentary elections’ code of conduct. Al-Makary stressed "the importance of this code and adherence to it to the fullest extent."An agreement has been reached between the Minister of Information and the representatives of the aforementioned associations on the “Code of Conduct for Persons with Disabilities and the Media”. This code seeks to transcend the stereotypical view of the capabilities and needs of persons with disabilities and to stop using the terminology of disability as insults against politicians. It also seeks to offer persons with disabilities optimal treatment and to involve them in everything that concerns them, with a special focus on their political rights in terms of candidacy and voting at the current stage.

Lebanon to complete cenbank FX audit, an IMF condition, by June: Deputy PM
Reuters, Beirut/11 May ,2022
Lebanon will complete the first in a set of conditions for an IMF bailout, an audit of the central bank’s forex position, by June, the country’s deputy prime minister said during a meeting with the creditors of the Lebanese state on Wednesday. Lebanon in April reached a draft agreement with the IMF for a four-year $3 billion bailout, the final approval of which was conditional on the implementation of eight main requirements. An IMF program is seen as crucial for Lebanon to begin emerging from a devastating financial crisis that has left most people poor, due to the deep reforms it would entail and the international funding it could unlock. Saade Chami said Lebanon required between $8 billion and $10 billion over 10 years on top of the IMF funds. He said he could not give a specific date for the completion of all conditions, as many require parliamentary approval. Those include capital controls, amendments to banking secrecy regulations and a framework for banking restructuring. Lebanon holds its first polls in four years on May 15. “If parliament approves the draft laws, the prior actions, then we can move very quickly,” he said, suggesting parliament could do so by mid-June. The World Bank has described Lebanon’s crisis, the result of decades of corruption and mismanagement, as one of the worst in modern times. Chami said that governance reform, though difficult, would be at the center of the government’s recovery plan, which aims to reduce government debt from more than 300 percent of GDP in 2021 to 100 percent of GDP by 2026. “To be frank, this entrenched problem cannot be solved overnight, it will take some time in order to change the culture and make a difference, but I think this is something the government intends to do,” he said.

Lebanon: small, multi-religious country
Agence France Presse/May 11/2022
Lebanon, a small Middle East country wracked by political and economic turmoil and the fallout of the decade-old Syrian conflict next door, holds parliamentary elections on May 15. Here are some key facts about Lebanon.
Multi-confessional -
The country with the cedar tree flag is one of the smallest in the Middle East, at about 10,000 square kilometers (3,900 square miles). Its population of around 4.5 million Lebanese is dwarfed by its diaspora, spread across the Americas, Europe, Africa and Australia. Lebanon is considered relatively liberal in a broadly conservative region. Political power is split between 18 recognized religious communities under a confessionalist form of government. Lebanon is a parliamentary republic, with a 128-member house split between Muslims and Christians. In line with Lebanon's "national pact" dating back to independence from France in 1943, the president must be a Maronite Christian, the prime minister a Sunni Muslim and the parliament speaker a Shiite.
Between Israel and Syria -
Lebanon endured a brutal civil war between 1975 and 1990 and was under Syrian domination from the 1990s until troops withdrew in 2005. Its political institutions have long been paralyzed by disagreement between the pro- and anti-Syrian camps.
In March 1978, Israel launched "Operation Litani" in south Lebanon, which it said was to protect the north of its territory from fighters from the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO). It withdrew partially in June that year. In June 1982, Israeli troops invaded Lebanon and besieged Beirut, forcing the PLO to flee. In mid-2006, a 34-day war pitted Israel -- whose troops had withdrawn from southern Lebanon in 2000 -- against the Lebanese Shiite group Hizbullah, which is backed by Iran.In 2013, Hizbullah said it was fighting in Syria alongside the troops of President Bashar al-Assad, its involvement dividing the Lebanese political scene even more.
Shelter for refugees -
Lebanon saw the influx of an estimated 1.5 million refugees following the outbreak of Syria's civil war. More than three quarters of them live below the poverty line, according to the U.N. Tens of thousands of Palestinian refugees also live in Lebanon, mainly in the country's 12 camps.
Economic turmoil -
Lebanon is going through a severe economic crisis, described by the World Bank as one of the world's worst since the 1850s. Lebanese residents have since 2019 suffered draconian banking restrictions on access to money. Meanwhile, the local currency has plummeted some 90 percent against the dollar on the black market. Around 80 percent of the population are struggling to escape poverty, the U.N. says. For the first time in its history, Lebanon announced in 2020 it was defaulting on its debt payments. The country lags in development in areas such as water supply, electricity production and waste treatment. The pain was worsened by the August 2020 Beirut port explosion of ammonium nitrate fertilizer that devastated entire neighborhoods and killed more than 200 people.
- Ties with France -
France is a traditional ally of Lebanon, with which it has historic, cultural, political and economic links, underpinned by the French language. The close links go back centuries. In the 16th century after an accord with the Ottoman Empire, the kings of France became the official protectors of the East's Christians. After the collapse of the Ottoman Empire, France became in 1920 the mandate power in Lebanon, setting the country's borders with Syria. It granted it independence in 1943.

Chiyah- Berlin- Chiyah/Hazem Saghieh
Asharq Al Awsat/May 11/2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/108607/hazem-saghieh-chiyah-berlin-chiyah-%d8%ad%d8%a7%d8%b2%d9%85-%d8%b5%d8%a7%d8%ba%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b4%d9%8a%d9%91%d8%a7%d8%ad-%d9%80-%d8%a8%d8%b1%d9%84%d9%8a%d9%86-%d9%80-%d8%a7%d9%84/

Presenting the leader as a demi-god is among the features of Lebanese cronyism. Those who present him this way are followers drawn to him by kinship loyalties, primarily sectarian, which are reinforced with services that take an array of forms, the most prominent of which is the provision of employment opportunities in the public sector. The more public money is stolen, then, the bigger the politician becomes.
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri is not the only one who has enjoyed and continues to enjoy the image of an infallible leader. The other so-called “gravitational poles” of Lebanese political life, who head blocs in their sects and regions, share this same image.
Nevertheless, Mr. Berri may have had more glorifying chants dedicated to him than any of the others, and praise of man has gone so far that any believer could see it as explicit blasphemy. For example, among the slogans and phrases on posters glorifying him, one reads: “If it were not for the h (in Nabih), you would have been a prophet (Nabi in Arabic).” Another announces your arms “purify” (in the religious sense). A third cries out for help: “Oh, what will become of us after you’re gone;” a fourth is surprised: “By God, where did you come from?” A fifth threatens: “All of you are doomed if he loses his patience.”
Recently, with the Lebanese diaspora voting in the general elections from the countries where they reside, Lebanese followers of Berri exported this "culture" to Germany, chanting:
“Oh, Nabih rest assured (irtah)
Berlin's turned into Chiyah”
Chiyah is a Shiite part of the southern suburbs of Beirut that is adjacent to the Christian part known as Ain al-Rummaneh. The Two Years War (1975-1976) was sparked by clashes between the two areas, leaving them both destroyed. Some of the traces of the devastation wreaked at the time continue to attest to it. At the time, the leftist youths showed unique enthusiasm for war in Chiyah, and a communist tenor sang that he would plant “a million daisies” in that area. These people looked and did not see, or that they saw the sectarian clashes between the two neighborhoods as a struggle waged by “toilers” from both sides (who were killing each other) against their both sides’ capitalists. And so, full of confidence in the future, they chanted:
“The red flag is flying high!”
Over Ain Al-Rummaneh and Chiyah.”
Of course, as in every other area in the country, only the flags of sectarian parties were waved, some green and some yellow, and all black. Amal Movement flags were Chiyah’s fate. Then came the flags of Hezbollah, who fought one of the Lebanese civil war’s most vicious wars against Amal in the second half of the eighties. Chiyah was among the theaters of their war. Chiyah certainly got its share of the destruction and killing wreaked by the Israelis in the 2006 war. As for the present, it is among the spots in the capital’s suburbs that are described as steadfast and more than capable of standing up to a long list of enemies.
In any case, Amal youths insisted on turning Chiyah into a model for Berlin. Wasn’t the German capital itself, during the Second World War, destroyed and impoverished to an immeasurably greater degree than Chiyah?
However, Germany broke with violence three-quarters of a century ago. Its democracy has consolidated, and its economy has become the strongest in Europe. Moreover, its two halves were then united three decades ago. With that, the Lebanese youths insisted on preaching the need to embrace the Chiyah model. That inclination could perhaps be seen as natural, similar to that of a merchant promoting his products. Syrian youths did something of this sort after they fled Assadist hell in droves and found refuge in Germany. Many jokes, inspired by their country’s political culture under Assad, emerged about how to deal with German Chancellor Angela Merkel: Merkel would rule “forever” and hand power down to her son like Hafez had handed it down to his.
Unlike their Syrian counterparts, though, the Lebanese youths were not joking. They seemed dead serious about exporting their model with Speaker Nabih Berri firmly on top. It would not be far-fetched to claim that they expressed, in their own way, a broad sentiment that has dominated Arab political culture for half a century. After Chiyah once aspired to become like Berlin, the latter must now aspire to become like Chiyah. This reversal of this course- which was set by Rifaa Rafi al-Tahtawi before being adopted by intellectuals, politicians, and educators who aspired to build their countries on the Western democratic model- was a gradual process, but its rise was steady.
In the meantime, political disputes with Western countries went from being political to cultural. Those intellectuals and politicians were slandered, and the West was depicted as a factory manufacturing only conspiracies, occupation, plunder, and aggression, while a key segment of contemporary culture was decried as a form of cultural invasion and misleading supremacist orientalism.
Who wants to follow in those footsteps? Who wants to follow in the footsteps of Berlin, whose war has ended and now despises wars in principle, while Chiyah remains on constant alter and awaits nothing but wars and bloodbaths of glory and heroism? Berlin should imitate the southern suburbs, not the other way around. Berlin should find itself a Nabih Berri type, or a Bashar al-Assad, to worship as Chiyah does.
We come to you with our idealized leader; Berlin, open your arms.

Can Lebanon buck the Middle East’s trend of futile elections?
Sir John Jenkins/Arab News/May 11/ 2022
So, Lebanon is going to the polls again on Sunday. Excited? No, me neither. Elections in the Middle East tend to follow a pattern as predictable as “Star Wars.” You turn up at the polling station, queue patiently in the heat, cast your vote, have your fingers marked with ink, go home, rejoice at democracy in action and, when you wake up the next morning, absolutely nothing has changed.
Iraq currently provides a nonstop political cabaret illustrating the problem vividly. On the face of it, the main gainers from last October’s national elections were the Sadrists. They might not have increased their total vote count, but these votes were distributed where they made most impact. Their main opponents, the grouping of Shiite parties now known as the Coordination Framework, were dismayed — but not discouraged. They simply prevented a new government from being formed with a variety of stalling tactics straight out of the playbook used to malign effect by Nouri Al-Maliki back in 2010, including the co-opting of the chief justice and the cynical exploitation of ambiguities in the 2005 Iraqi Constitution. They have been helped by divisions among the two main Kurdish parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, which each demand the presidency for themselves.
The Coordination Framework has the impudence to claim it is acting in the name of democracy and constitutional propriety — on the grounds that no government should be formed that does not guarantee political control to the Shiite bloc as a whole. They object to the Sadrists’ attempt to exclude them and include independents and Sunni and Kurdish parties instead. They are supported in all this by Iran, which is worried about losing influence if Iraqi politics were to become genuinely more open and responsive to the real, material needs of all Iraqis, not just a small number of ideologically motivated and power-hungry stooges. So much for the national interest…
But this is exactly what you get if you have a system of “muhasasah,” known in English as consociationalism — the distribution of political representation along communal lines, as defined by self-appointed gatekeepers. Some will say that this is a practical way to keep communal tensions in check, by guaranteeing proportionate shares in political benefits to mutually suspicious groups. In practice, it guarantees corruption, political opportunism and a freeze on any positive political development.
And of all the countries in the region, the one with the longest experience of this slow-motion car crash is poor Lebanon. I understand the reasons for the National Pact of 1943 — and why the 1989 Taif Agreement failed to do more than tweak the representational framework to take account of demographic changes. After all, civil wars are exhausting and stopping them is always a priority. But consociationalism is not a long-term answer. It promotes the representation or well-being not of individuals or the community as a whole but of predatory small groups and their leaders.
Electoral democracy is a process not an outcome. It is the product not the cause of a political ideology.
In both Lebanon and now Iraq, it has produced professionally communalist politicians who make decisions not on the basis of voter intentions as revealed through elections but in negotiations behind closed doors with other elite groups whose main aim is to preserve their power and the access to state resources that this power affords — and that in turn supports the patronage on which such a system depends. This has provided fertile ground for external actors such as Iran to sponsor the growth of militias like Hezbollah in Lebanon and Asa’ib Ahl Al-Haq and Kata’ib Hezbollah in Iraq. In both places, they have blocked change and hobbled good governance and, in the interests of their sponsor, now effectively hold these entire countries hostage.
Where does this end? In Iraq, in massive economic inequality, environmental catastrophe (with chronic water shortages, agricultural failure and, in recent days, some of the worst sandstorms in living memory), wholly inadequate national infrastructure, lawlessness and the looting of state coffers. In Lebanon, the same again, as vividly illustrated by the complete failure of accountability for last year’s Beirut port explosion, the collapse of the central bank, a disastrous economic situation and rapidly rising poverty.
If you look at the evidence of elections, social surveys and other opinion polling across the Middle East and North Africa since 2011 (or in Iraq since 2003), it is clear that many if not most Arabs — and indeed Iranians, Kurds, Amazigh, Tuareg, Turkmen, Armenians, Assyrians and Yazidis — want a say in choosing clean, competent, effective, accountable and responsible governments. The absence of such governments was a major driver behind the events of the Arab Spring.
But if you then consider the actual outcomes of these elections, you see a graphic illustration of the observation of the Italian Marxist, Antonio Gramsci — made in the context of 1930s Europe — that the new cannot be born, the old will not die and the struggle between the two gives rise instead to a variety of more or less morbid symptoms. More particularly, you see the continued grip that systems of tribe, clan, ethnic, religious, sectarian and other group affiliation have on the politics and sociology of the region and its constituent parts.
Neither Lebanese nor Iraqi elections have produced a permeable and removable class of politicians that represent the interests of their constituents to the best of their ability and judgment. They instead confirm in office a set of elites whose power derives not from the ballot box but from the accumulation of social capital, patronage and the purposeful construction of ethnic, communal or sectarian boundaries.
This story is repeated with variations across the region. Some observers thought that the Arab Spring would produce better and more accountable governance. Instead, it produced insecurity, social turmoil, the instrumentalization of religion, the rise of often violent identity politics and, where elections were held, unresponsive and corrupt confessional elites that looked very much like the old ones. And, as a result, in all elections in the region since 2011, we now see the slow ebbing of popular confidence in the ballot box in response to endemic and persistent problems of misgovernance, corruption and state capture. If voting changes nothing, why bother voting?
Electoral democracy is a process not an outcome. It is the product not the cause of a political ideology. In Europe — whose political liberalism is an exception to be explained rather than a normative rule to be exported — the electoral systems expressed in diverse ways in different countries are the result of a highly contingent set of historical experiences and are underpinned by an articulated ideology of individual rights and freedoms whose origins can be traced back to Roman and common law.
And in the West, modernity was a cultural before it was an institutional project. Successful electoral democracy requires the development of sustained habits of mind and social practices and a shared sense of the past and the future. It needs an acceptance that power can be transferred peacefully, a living memory of efficient and non-predatory state behavior, and an unintimidated civil society. It needs a common sense of justice and acceptance of the rule of law. And it needs strong, independent and impartial state institutions to arbitrate.
So, the real question is this: How do we think the conditions can arise in which functioning electoral democracy can arise and be sustained in Lebanon, Iraq, Tunisia or anywhere else in the Middle East and North Africa? At the heart of this is a question not about democracy but about the state and about governance. Most people want strong and accountable states that deliver security, prosperity, services and jobs. Political systems like those in Lebanon and Iraq have failed catastrophically to meet this desire. Sunday’s elections in Lebanon will not fix the problem. They will simply illustrate it.
Everywhere these systems persist, there is probably a majority of people in favor of something different. But first the existing systems must be swept away or — at the very least — radically changed. And that brings its own huge risks, especially in places where murderous militias are embedded. Nevertheless, there is perhaps some comfort to be taken in the courage of those people — often the young — who have taken to the streets over the past few years in Beirut, Basra, Baghdad, Sidon, Tripoli and Tyre to demand fundamental change. In Iraq, some have even got themselves elected. If their counterparts in Lebanon could come together around a single agreed platform, they might just make some progress. It will be slow, it will be hard and it will be dangerous. And it will need first to construct a strong and effective state rather than simply a set of Potemkin ballot boxes. But something has to give, doesn’t it?
• Sir John Jenkins is a senior fellow at Policy Exchange. Until December 2017, he was corresponding director (Middle East) at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, based in Manama, Bahrain, and was a senior fellow at Yale University’s Jackson Institute for Global Affairs. He was the British ambassador to Saudi Arabia until January 2015.

Lebanese passports are exits to nowhere
Makram Rabah/Al Arabiya/May 11/2022
The August 4 Beirut port explosion did not only destroy half of the capital, kill hundreds and injure thousands, but it also drove many people to give up on the country and decide once and for all to leave their homeland in search of new lives. A few minutes after the blast, a friend of mine saw her next-door neighbor, bleeding and still in total shock, wet from taking a shower, wearing only shorts and flip flops and dragging a suitcase. Holding his passport he walked to the airport more than 7 kilometers away. For the Lebanese, emigration always was, and remains today, a serious option. As their country has time and again tested their resilience, it has driven many of them to settle around the world with a diaspora exceeding 10 million.Unfortunately for many, this option has been curtailed by the current political and economic breakdown as the Lebanese state has recently declared that it can no longer issue or renew passports to meet such high demand. Stocks are depleted, and it’s a problem which the Lebanese Security General in charge of passport controls cannot replenish without the necessary funds.
The passport crisis is not merely one caused by excessive demand, but rather is an analogy to the rapid spiraling collapse of Lebanon. The country’s political establishment has yet to take any rational steps to mitigate its impending crash landing.
In real terms, a passport is not merely a travel document but rather a set of rights and duties which binds its carrier from the issuing country with a document which can be a blessing. In the case of the Lebanese the passport situation is a curse, making the ability to get visas to travel a constant nightmare.
More than 60 per cent of those who have applied to renew or obtain a new passport have yet to collect it. There is no point in making travel plans, at least for the foreseeable future, but those waiting have already paid $45 for the passport. It’s anyone’s guess how long they will wait.
There are many people in Lebanon that are desperate for their passport to exit the country and set up home in faraway lands. These are a growing number who do not see a future in the country and are waiting for the right moment to depart. They will join the hundreds and thousands of their compatriots who have already emigrated. Lots of them have no plans to return.
While emigration has for long been Lebanon’s unofficial national sport, when the country sees a 346 per cent spike during 2021 in the number of people leaving its shores it has dangerous implications. Few of those emigrating see any chance of the land of the Cedars ever rising up again. The lack of progress of the Beirut port explosion investigation compounds this. In reality, the Lebanese have few options even if they decide to exit the country. The global economic fallouts from the COVID-19 pandemic as well as the fact that many Arab Gulf states consider some Lebanese as a security risk makes emigration an unsavory route. The hundreds of people who decided to venture onto the migrant death boats in attempts to escape to Europe searching for better lives didn’t require passports. Beware, it’s something other Lebanese might consider given the unfolding situation.
Sooner or later Lebanon will be able to cater to the excessive demand for new passports. Eager Lebanese will have their precious documents to tuck away in their closets with what remains of their savings.
But, their real anxiety will fester as long as they do not address the crux of their problem. A passport is only as good as the state that issues it, and as it stands the Lebanese passport is not worth the ink that it is printed on. Even as potential members of the diaspora, their search for better lives will always bear on the hearts of those left behind in a country which needs to reform or perish.

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 11-12/2022
Iran detains 2 Europeans; EU envoy in Tehran about nuke deal
Associated Press/May 11/2022
Shortly before the European Union envoy met Iran's nuclear negotiator in Tehran on Wednesday in a last-ditch attempt to salvage Iran's nuclear deal with world powers, Iran's Intelligence Ministry announced it had detained two Europeans.
Photos surfaced of the EU coordinator of the nuclear talks, Enrique Mora, looking stern as he shook hands awkwardly with Iranian negotiator Ali Bagheri Kani, who beamed and waved. The Intelligence Ministry gave scant details about the detained Europeans, saying only that they shared the same unidentified nationality and sought to "take advantage" of the protests springing up in several Iranian provinces as laborers and teachers press for better wages. The Europeans were held on vague charges of planning to cause "chaos, social disorder, and instability," authorities said.
The provocation came as Tehran vows to execute an imprisoned Swedish researcher later this month — a case that coincides with a landmark war crimes trial of an Iranian official in Sweden. And, in yet another escalation, Iran's powerful Revolutionary Guard reportedly shelled Kurdish targets in northern Iraq. A local official confirmed the strike, saying it caused no casualties. The events could have obviated negotiations with the visiting EU coordinator. Nonetheless, the schedule proceeded. There were no immediate details from Kani's meeting with Mora, who has sought to break the deadlock that has prevailed since talks to revive the nuclear deal paused in late March. Four years ago, former President Donald Trump pulled the U.S. out of the deal, which granted Tehran sanctions relief in exchange for strict curbs on its nuclear program. Talks in Vienna to revive the accord have apparently stalled over an Iranian demand that Washington lift a terrorist designation on the paramilitary Revolutionary Guard.
Despite the deadlock, officials say the urgency to close the deal has grown. Iran's nuclear program has rapidly advanced, with its stockpile of enriched uranium at some 3,200 kilograms (7,055 pounds) earlier this year compared to 300 kilograms (661 pounds) under the nuclear deal. Some of that uranium has been enriched up to 60% purity — a short technical step from weapons-grade levels. Iran has stopped the International Atomic Energy Agency from accessing its surveillance camera footage, worrying nuclear nonproliferation experts. Meanwhile, Russia's war on Ukraine has increased European interest in sanctioned Iranian crude. Punitive sanctions on Moscow are driving the continent to seek alternatives to Russian oil to curb rising energy prices. Iran says it's selling its crude despite sanctions and benefiting from the windfall. Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian offered his support for ongoing negotiations. "Talks for the lifting of sanctions will be pursued in the right direction with the aim of reaching a good, strong and lasting agreement and observing Iran's red lines," he wrote on Twitter. However, Iran's hard-liners have criticized any concessions on the designation of the Guard. Despite repeated Iranian claims that a separate but closely linked deal would unfreeze billions of dollars in assets tied up abroad and result in a prisoner swap with America, the State Department has repeatedly said that no such agreement is imminent.
The reported imprisonment of the two Europeans on Wednesday has revived long-standing accusations from rights groups that Iran uses foreigners and dual nationals as diplomatic pawns to gain leverage in its negotiations with the West. Tehran denies this. As Swedish prosecutors reported they would seek life imprisonment for Hamid Nouri over Iranian war crimes allegedly committed during the final phase of the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s, Iran announced plans to execute Ahmad Reza Jalali, the imprisoned Swedish researcher, and separate reports emerged that authorities arrested a Swedish tourist in the country. It was not immediately clear whether the Swedish tourist was one of the two Europeans detained Wednesday. Iran's Intelligence Ministry alleged the two Europeans were "expert" foreign agents hired by the unnamed European country, adding that Iranian authorities had pursued them from the "moment of their arrival" and tracked their attempts to mobilize teachers' protests and assist illegal unions. Meanwhile, Iran's Guard said it struck a "terrorist base" near Irbil in Iraqi Kurdistan, according to the semiofficial Tasnim news agency. Projectiles struck uninhabited areas in northern Iraq home to Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, Ihsan Chalabi, a local official told the Irbil-based Rudaw news agency. No damage or injuries were reported from the strike, he said. The Guard in the past has fired missiles at Kurdish opposition groups in the north of Iraq, stoking regional tensions.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Shell Militant Bases North of Iraq’s Erbil, Says State Media
Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 11 May, 2022
Iran's Revolutionary Guards shelled an area north of the Iraqi Kurdish capital of Erbil on Wednesday, targeting what Iranian state television described as terrorist bases. Iraqi Kurdish media reported that an artillery shell had landed in a village in the Sidekan area near the Iranian border, around 60 miles (100 km) northeast of Erbil. The Iranian state TV said no casualties had been reported and details of the attack would be announced shortly. Iran's Tasnim news agency said the Guards have previously targeted Iranian Kurdish militants based in northern Iraq. A local official, quoted by the Erbil-based Rudaw news website, said shells have occasionally hit the area in the past. In March, the Guards carried out an attack against what Iranian state media described as "Israeli strategic centers" in Erbil, suggesting it was revenge for Israeli air strikes that killed Iranian military personnel in Syria.
The Iraqi Kurdish regional government said the attack in March only targeted civilian residential areas, not sites belonging to foreign countries, and called on the international community to carry out an investigation.

US Intelligence: IRGC to Escalate Attacks in Case of Sanctions Waivers
Washington - Rana Abtar/Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 11 May, 2022
A US top official said Iran would increase its targeting of Americans and US allies as a result of the Biden administration’s significant sanctions relief and offer to return to the 2015 Iran nuclear agreement. US Army Lt. Gen. Scott Berrier, director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said in a testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee on Tuesday that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) would increase targeting against US partners in the region, as well as US forces if they had increased funding due to sanctions relief. He warned that Iran - through its partners and proxies - threatens neighbors in the Middle East and American forces, while enriching uranium to new levels. His remarks came in response to mounting criticism by Republicans, who accuse President Joe Biden’s administration of offering major sanctions waivers to Tehran in exchange for its return to the nuclear deal. The US intelligence hinted that Iran still poses a major threat to the United States and its interests. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines said during the same hearing that the Iranian regime continues to threaten US interests as it tries to “erode US influence in the Middle East, trench its influence, project power in neighboring states and minimize threats to regime stability.”She also warned that the iterative violence between Israel and Iran has the potential to escalate or spread. Moreover, she remarked that Iran’s frequent efforts to assassinate current and former US officials are an attempt to avenge Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani’s killing in a US drone strike in Iraq in January 2020. “A fair amount of their motivation in this scenario we assess to be in relation to Soleimani as part of their sort of efforts for revenge, and is a particularly challenging area, I think, to deter them from action in this space,” she said, noting that she could go into further details in a closed session. Bipartisan lawmakers' dissatisfaction with Biden's Iran policy was evident during the hearing. Senator Jack Reed, Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee said in the four years since then-President Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), Iran has made key nuclear advances. “While negotiations to return Iran to the JCPOA are in the final stages, the final outcome has not yet been determined,” he added. He stressed that Iran and its proxies continue to mount drone and rocket attacks in the region, including against bases in Iraq and Syria where the US has forces deployed, Saudi Arabia, and now the United Arab Emirates.

‘This is a fight he really doesn’t want’: Pentagon chief warns Russia’s Putin
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/11 May ,2022
US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin warned Russia’s Vladimir Putin on Wednesday against attacking any NATO nation, saying such a move would be a “game changer.”“This is a fight that he [Putin] really doesn’t want to have,” Austin told lawmakers during a hearing with the top US military general, Gen. Mark Milley. But Austin said he believed Russia wouldn’t want to take such a risk. “As you look at Putin’s calculus, my view… is that Russia doesn’t want to take on the NATO alliance.” He added: “If Russia decided to attack any nation that’s a NATO member, that’s a game-changer.”Austin revealed that NATO members had already discussed what kind of response would be carried out in the event of a Russian attack. Article 5 of the NATO treaty states that if a NATO ally is attacked, “each and every other member of the Alliance will consider this act of violence as an armed attack against all members and will take the actions it deems necessary to assist.”The US defense secretary pointed to the almost 2 million forces in NATO and the “most advanced capabilities of any alliance in the world.”Asked if the US was prepared to respond to such an attack, Gen. Milley said, “the short answer is yes.”
“Militarily, we are very capable of responding to any form or fashion of escalation if directed by the president,” he said. Milley said the US was monitoring the situation and the potential for escalation “every single day.”Putin ordered a so-called “special military operation” in February, claiming that he would liberate Russian-speaking towns in Ukraine from “neo-Nazis.”After initially offering Ukraine’s president a route to flee the country, Ukrainian resistance has drawn international praise and forced the West to recalculate its belief that Russia would overthrow the government in Kyiv within days. Fighting has gone on for over 75 days now, and Russia has had to reshape and re-prioritize its goals in Ukraine. The international community has united to provide Ukraine with military assistance as well as crushing economic sanctions on Russia and its oligarchs. But NATO members, including the US, have said they have no intention of deploying troops to Ukraine to fight against Russia.

Russian FM visits Oman to discuss Ukraine, trade
Marco Ferrari, Al Arabiya English/11 May ,2022
Russia’s foreign minister Sergey Lavrov visited Oman to discuss a range of issues including the Ukraine conflict, trade, and migration. The two countries announced on Wednesday a mutual visa exemption program, amid a wider package of bilateral agreements, the Oman News Agency (ONA) reported.
Oman’s Sultan Haitham bin Tariq Al Said met with Lavrov and stressed the need to adhere to the rules of international law in Russia’s conflict with Ukraine. He also urged parties to intensify efforts to reach political and diplomatic solutions through dialogue “in a manner that preserves the independence, sovereignty, and sound coexistence of countries and peoples,” according to ONA. The two also discussed the ongoing conflict between Palestine and Israel, with Lavrov stressing Russia’s belief in the importance of negotiations between the two sides. Lavrov also extended President Vladimir Putin’s good wishes. He also expressed Russia’s wish for Syria to return to the Arab League, saying that he believes Oman can help with this goal. Syria lost its Arab League seat in 2011 after civil war erupted. Russia is one of the Assad government’s main backers in the ongoing conflict. The Russian diplomat also discussed bolstering trade ties between the two countries. It was his first visit to the Gulf country since 2016, Russia’s TASS news agency reported. Lavrov also met with a number of officials, and gave a joint press conference with foreign minister Sayyid Badr bin Hamad al-Busaidi. For his part, al-Busaidi said that Oman is “following with great interest the situation in Ukraine and calls on all parties to exercise restraint and resolve differences peacefully in order to avoid aggravating the situation.”He also commented on the negotiations over a proposed Iranian nuclear deal. Oman supports all international efforts that work to make the negotiations a success, ONA reported al-Busaidi as saying. “We do not blame any party for disrupting the negotiations, but we support dialogue and direct talk,” al-Busaidi added.

US Senators to introduce resolution to designate Russia a state sponsor of terrorism
Tuqa Khalid, Al Arabiya English/11 May ,2022
Two US Senators said on Tuesday they will be introducing a resolution to designate Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism over its war on Ukraine, calling Russian President Vladimir Putin a terrorist. “Last week, the Ukrainian parliament took a vote urging the US Congress to designate Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism. So, we heard their plea and we're answering their request. Today we will be introducing a resolution urging the Secretary of State and the Biden administration to designate Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism because they are,” Republican Senator Lindsey Graham said at a press conference. He added: “The hope is that we can take this resolution and put it in the Ukraine supplemental, because I think it does two things. It sends a strong message to the people of Ukraine, we listen to you, and we agree that the person who is destroying your country, who's murdering, raping and killing your citizens runs a nation that is a state sponsor of terrorism. And we're also letting the Russian people know that our fight is not with you, but is with Putin.”Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal said: “If there is anybody who embodies terrorism and totalitarianism and torture, it is Vladimir Putin. And Russia, unfortunately, is in his hands. And so, this resolution is absolutely appropriate and it will put Russia outside the pale of civilized nations.”Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had asked US President Joe Biden to designate Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism in mid-April.
The US currently designates four countries as state sponsors of terrorism: Iran, Syria, North Korea and Cuba. Graham added: “Putin has challenged the world. He's put in question everything we believe in. If he's still standing when this is over and he's not labelled a state sponsor of terrorism, we've missed a mark. Every law on the books regarding war crimes have been violated. Every international norm has been turned upside down. For 20 years, he's literally gotten away with murder. Now it's time to designate him in a fashion befitting his conduct. He is a terrorist and Russia is in the hands of a terrorist state run by Putin.”

Five Egyptian soldiers killed in attack north of Sinai
The Arab Weekly/Wednesday 11/05/2022
CAIRO- At least five Egyptian military personnel were killed in a terrorist attack on Wednesday in northern Sinai, two security sources said, the second deadly strike against security forces on the peninsula in less than a week. Four others were injured when armed men opened fire at a security post in the coastal area of northeastern Sinai, which borders the Gaza Strip, the sources said. There was no immediate comment from Egyptian authorities. The deaths follow a May 7 ambush at a checkpoint in Sinai which killed 11 Egyptian soldiers and was claimed by Islamic State, one of the deadliest attacks in recent years. Egypt expanded security control over populated coastal areas of northern Sinai after a major counter-insurgency operation was launched in 2018, but sporadic attacks by militants linked to Islamic State have continued. News of Wednesday's attack came as President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi met US national security advisor Jake Sullivan in Cairo. The Egyptian presidency said the two had discussed the strategic partnership between Egypt and the United States, which is a major provider of military aid to Cairo. On Monday, Sisi voiced hopes for deeper counter-terrorism ties with Washington in a meeting with the general who oversees US forces in the Middle East, a US military official said.

EU strongly condemns Abu Aqleh's killing as U.S. urges transparent probe
Agence France Presse/May 11/2022
The U.S. envoy to the U.N. on Wednesday said the killing of Palestinian-American Al-Jazeera journalist Shireen Abu Akleh as she covered an Israeli army raid in the occupied West Bank must be "investigated transparently." "We're encouraging both sides to participate in that investigation so that we can get down to why this happened," U.S. ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield said, adding that Washington's "highest priority is protection of American citizens and the protection of journalists."The European Union meanwhile "strongly" condemned the killing and demanded an independent investigation into the circumstances of her death. "It is essential that a thorough, independent investigation clarifies all the circumstances of these incidents as soon as possible and that those responsible are brought to justice," it continued. "It is unacceptable to target journalists while they perform their job. Journalists covering conflict situations must be ensured safety and protection at all times."The European Union statement did not attribute blame for the shooting. The 51-year-old reporter's employer, Qatar-based news network Al Jazeera, charged that Israeli forces had shot her deliberately and "in cold blood." Israel's Prime Minister Naftali Bennett said it was "likely" that "armed Palestinians -- who were indiscriminately firing at the time -- were responsible for the unfortunate death of the journalist."An AFP photographer reported that Israeli forces were firing in the area and that he then saw Abu Akleh's body lying on the ground, with no Palestinian gunmen visible at the time.

Al-Jazeera reporter killed during Israeli raid in West Bank
Agence France Presse/May 11/2022
Veteran Al Jazeera journalist Shireen Abu Aqleh was shot dead Wednesday as she covered an Israeli army raid on Jenin refugee camp in the occupied West Bank. The Qatar-based TV channel said Israeli forces shot Abu Aqleh, 51, deliberately and "in cold blood" while Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett said it was "likely" that Palestinian gunfire killed her. Abu Aqleh, a Palestinian Christian who also held U.S. citizenship, was a prominent figure in the channel's Arabic news service. Another Al Jazeera journalist, producer Ali al-Samudi, was wounded in the incident, the broadcaster added. An AFP photographer at the scene said Abu Aqleh was wearing a press flak jacket when she was shot. The photographer reported that Israeli forces were firing in the area and then saw Abu Aqleh's body lying on the ground. The Israeli army confirmed it had conducted an operation in Jenin refugee camp early Wednesday but firmly denied it had deliberately targeted a reporter. The army said there was an exchange of fire between suspects and security forces and that it was "investigating the event and looking into the possibility that journalists were hit by the Palestinian gunmen." "The (army) of course does not aim at journalists," a military official told AFP. A statement from Al Jazeera said: "In a blatant murder, violating international laws and norms, the Israeli occupation forces assassinated in cold blood Al Jazeera's correspondent in Palestine." It called on the international community to hold the Israeli forces accountable for their "intentional targeting and killing" of the journalist.
- 'Palestinian gunmen'-
Foreign Minister Yair Lapid said Israel was seeking a "joint pathological investigation into the sad death of journalist Shireen Abu Aqleh.""Journalists must be protected in conflict zones and we all have a responsibility to get to the truth," Lapid added. The U.S. ambassador to Israel, Tom Nides, tweeted that he was "very sad to learn of the death of American and Palestinian journalist Shireen Abu Aqleh" and called for "a thorough investigation into the circumstances of her death." The Israeli prime minister said Palestinian gunmen in the camp were likely responsible for Abu Aqleh's death. "According to the information we've gathered, it appears likely that armed Palestinians — who were indiscriminately firing at the time — were responsible for the unfortunate death of the journalist," Bennett said in a statement. The wounded Al Jazeera producer, Samudi, said there were no Palestinian fighters in the area where Abu Aqleh was shot. "If there were resistance fighters, we would not have gone into the area," he said in testimony posted online, stating that the Israelis "fired towards us."In recent weeks, the army has stepped up operations in Jenin, a historic flashpoint in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Several of the assailants blamed for deadly attacks on Israelis in recent weeks were from the area. The army said that during its operation in the camp, "massive fire was shot toward Israeli forces by tens of armed Palestinian gunmen".People in the camp "also hurled explosive devices toward the soldiers, endangering their lives. The soldiers responded with fire toward the sources of the fire and explosive devices. Hits were identified."
Rising tensions
The fatal shooting comes nearly a year after an Israeli air strike destroyed a Gaza building that housed the offices of Al Jazeera and news agency AP. Israel has said the building also hosted offices for key members of the Hamas Islamist group, which controls the Israeli-blockaded Gaza strip. The Palestinian Authority called Abu Aqleh's killing an "execution" and part of an Israeli effort to obscure the "truth" about its occupation of the West Bank. Hamas called the incident "a premeditated murder". Qatar's assistant foreign minister Lolwah Al Khater said Israeli troops had killed Abu Aqleh "by shooting her in the face" in what she called an act of "state sponsored Israeli terrorism". Tensions have risen in recent months as Israel has grappled with a wave of attacks which has killed at least 18 people since March 22, including an Arab-Israeli police officer and two Ukrainians. A total of 30 Palestinians and three Israeli Arabs have died during the same period, according to an AFP tally, among them perpetrators of attacks and those killed by Israeli security forces in West Bank operations.

Shireen Abu Akleh: Al-Jazeera journalist shot and killed during Israeli raid in West Bank
Sky New/May 11/2022
A journalist has been shot and killed and another injured while covering an Israeli raid in the occupied West Bank, the Palestinian health ministry has said. It is said that Palestinian reporter Shireen Abu Akleh, who was working for Al-Jazeera's Arabic language channel, was shot in the town of Jenin early on Wednesday and died soon afterward. Another Palestinian journalist from the Jerusalem-based Al-Quds newspaper was wounded but is in a stable condition. While the health ministry said the reporters were hit by Israeli fire, the Israeli military said it is "investigating" the event and is looking into the possibility the journalists were hit by "the Palestinian gunmen". In a statement flashed on its channel, Al-Jazeera blamed Israel and called on the international community to "condemn and hold the Israeli occupation forces accountable for deliberately targeting and killing our colleague, Shireen Abu Akleh". Israel's foreign minister, Yair Lapid, said it had proposed to the Palestinian Authority a joint pathological investigation into the reporter's death. "Journalists must be protected in conflict zones and we all have a responsibility to get to the truth," he tweeted. In video footage of the incident, Ms Abu Akleh can be seen wearing a blue flak jacket clearly marked with the word 'PRESS'. Citing the Palestinian healthy ministry and its own journalists, Al Jazeera claims Ms Abu Akleh was hit by a live bullet and rushed to hospital in critical condition, where she later died. Al Jazeera's Nida Ibrahim told the broadcaster 51-year-old Ms Abu Akleh was a "very well-respected journalist" who had been working with the channel since 2000. The Israeli military said its forces came under attack with heavy gunfire and explosives while operating in Jenin, and that they fired back. Israel has carried out near-daily raids in the West Bank in recent weeks amid a series of deadly attacks inside Israel, many of them carried out by Palestinians from in and around Jenin. The town, and particularly its refugee camp, has long been known as a militant bastion. Israel captured the West Bank in 1967, and the Palestinians want the territory to form the main part of their future state. Nearly three million Palestinians live in the territory under Israeli military rule. Israel has built more than 130 settlements across the West Bank that are home to nearly 500,000 Jewish settlers, who have full Israeli citizenship. Israelis have long been critical of Al-Jazeera's coverage, but authorities generally allow its journalists to operate freely.

Biden Extends State of Emergency in Syria, Iraq, Yemen
Washington - Heba El Koudsy./May 11/2022
US President Joe Biden has extended the state of emergency in Syria, Iraq and Yemen, pointing out that the turbulent internal conditions in these countries continue to pose an unusual and extraordinary threat to US national security. Biden sent a letter to the Federal Register for publication the enclosed notice stating that the national emergency with respect to the actions of the Syrian government is to continue in effect beyond May 11. “The regime’s brutality and repression of the Syrian people, who have called for freedom and a representative government, not only endangers the Syrian people themselves, but also generates instability throughout the region,” the letter read. It stressed that the regime’s actions and policies, including with respect to chemical weapons and supporting terrorist organizations, continue to pose an unusual and extraordinary threat to the US national security, foreign policy and economy. The United Stated condemned the brutal violence and human rights violations and abuses of Bashar al-Assad’s regime and its Russian and Iranian enablers. It called on the regime, and its backers, to stop its violent war against its own people, enact a nationwide ceasefire, facilitate the unhindered delivery of humanitarian assistance to all Syrians in need and negotiate a political settlement in Syria, in line with United Nations Security Council Resolution 2254. Biden said the US will consider changes in policies and actions of the Syrian government in determining whether to continue or terminate this national emergency in the future.
On May 11, 2004, the US declared a national emergency with respect to the actions of the Syrian government. It imposed sanctions against the Assad regime and accused it of supporting terrorist organizations in Lebanon and Iraq. Biden also decided to extend the state of emergency in Iraq, stating that it is to continue in effect beyond May 22. “Obstacles to the orderly reconstruction of Iraq, the restoration and maintenance of peace and security in the country, and the development of political, administrative, and economic institutions in Iraq continue to pose an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States,” he said in a letter to the Federal Register.He also called for extending the state of emergency in Yemen, noting that it is to continue in effect beyond May 16. Biden said the actions and policies of certain former members of the Yemeni government and others in threatening the country’s peace, security, and stability continue to pose an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on May 11-12/2022
Will NATO Fight?
Richard Kemp/ Gatestone Institute./May 11/2022
If NATO blood would in fact be spilt should Russia invade Poland or the Baltic states, why have we utterly rejected the prospect of spilling it to help protect Ukraine from Putin's mass killings, torture, rape and destruction? Ukraine is not a NATO member and NATO states have no treaty obligation to come to its defence as they do to each other. But that is surely just a technicality, a few lines on a page. There is no practical or moral difference between protecting a friend who is a member of the alliance and one who is not.
[I]f nuclear terror applies to Ukraine, why doesn't it apply to any NATO country that becomes the target of Russian military aggression? Why would NATO leaders fear Putin's nukes any less if he takes a bite out of Poland or the Baltic states? The reality is, if it is true that NATO could not risk intervention over Ukraine for fear of Russian nuclear retaliation, it could not risk intervention over, say, Latvia for the same reason.
On top of that, every country in the West has capitulated to a concerted and systematic assault on its history, its virtue and its self-worth. Past glories are denigrated because they are not in line with 21st century wokeism... Governments, including defence and foreign ministries, the very people that must lead any fight against Russian attack, have succumbed to this sickness to the extent that even they abrogate their own past and repudiate their own present.
Meanwhile, in pursuit of a superstate, the European Union and its cheerleaders have been doing their level best to openly undermine and cancel national or patriotic spirit in member countries..
Can we expect Europeans to fight and die for countries whose histories and modern sense of worth have been roundly denounced and condemned by their own leaders?
No such feeling exists for the EU even as it seeks to replace national loyalty. Allegiance to Brussels is transactional and in only one direction. People ask not what they can do for the EU but what the EU can do for them. Of course many of our young people would fight for their country — with as much courage and commitment as their ancestors ever did — and we witness this whenever we send them into battle. But when the time comes to expand our forces, how many more will answer the call after being educated to despise their own country and the very notion of fighting for it?
If somehow the political and popular will to defend NATO member states did materialise, what would European countries fight with? Constantly expanding social welfare programmes have driven the military out of the marketplace across the continent.
While he remains in the Kremlin, Putin's objective is the neutralisation of NATO. He knows that the alliance's failure to fight for its own under his provocation would spell its final humiliation and signal the end of the US-led world order. For the liberty, prosperity and security of future generations, this cannot be allowed to happen.
This is not a rehearsal; it is a foretaste of the far greater threat that will be coming from President Xi Jinping's Chinese Communist Party.
If NATO blood would in fact be spilt should Russia invade Poland or the Baltic states, why have we utterly rejected the prospect of spilling it to help protect Ukraine from Putin's mass killings, torture, rape and destruction?
Great Britain is Russian President Vladimir Putin's public enemy number one. In March the Kremlin branded UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson the most active anti-Russian leader. A few days ago on television, Putin's propagandist Dmitry Kiselyov fancifully suggested Russia should drown Britain in a radioactive tsunami created by Poseidon nuclear torpedos that would leave survivors in "a radioactive desert, unfit for anything for a very long time".
Putin is upset about Britain's stance over Ukraine, leading Europe and much of the world in aggressive sanctions against Russia; and pouring in financial and military aid plus decisive secret intelligence to help keep Kiev in the fight.
Needless to say, front-line states facing Russia take the opposite view of the UK. During visits to Poland and Finland in the last two weeks, the enthusiasm for Britain was palpable — among politicians, military and ordinary people alike. As a Brit I don't remember such a warm reception anywhere in the world except perhaps in the US when we stood firmly by their side in the aftermath of 9/11.
Poles, Finns, Latvians, Lithuanians and other close neighbours of the Russian bully also appreciate the UK's forward-leaning role in NATO's pre-emptive deployment, positioning increased combat forces on their territory alongside other allies, predominantly the US.
Promises by NATO leaders that Putin will face the consequences if any of his soldiers so much as puts a toe-cap onto NATO soil of course reassure these beleaguered countries. But are we giving them false hope? Can eastern states really rely on the US and western European NATO members to ride to their aid if they get into a fight with Russia? Would we actually throw our young men and women against Putin's steamroller — even the rather ramshackle steamroller that has been grinding its way across Ukraine?
If NATO blood would in fact be spilt should Russia invade Poland or the Baltic states, why have we utterly rejected the prospect of spilling it to help protect Ukraine from Putin's mass killings, torture, rape and destruction? Ukraine is not a NATO member and NATO states have no treaty obligation to come to its defence as they do to each other. But that is surely just a technicality, a few lines on a page. There is no practical or moral difference between protecting a friend who is a member of the alliance and one who is not.
A German general, once head of the Bundeswehr, told me the other day that he believes NATO as a whole will fight if it comes to it. He cited the unity shown in the 1999 Kosovo air campaign and operations against the Taliban in Afghanistan after 2003. Both of these, especially Afghanistan, did risk NATO soldiers' lives, but they were never going to incur anything like the scale of casualties to be expected in a war with Russia. While accurate statistics are not available, it is likely that Ukrainians killed and wounded in nearly three months of war have vastly exceeded all NATO casualties in all conflicts in which NATO forces have ever engaged, including Iraq, Afghanistan, Kosovo and Africa.
Nor have any of these previous conflicts ever run any risk of conventional, as opposed to terrorist, attacks against NATO members' homelands. There was never any prospect of air raids on Berlin, Paris or London as there would be if we went to war with Russia. In citing previous conflicts we are not comparing like with like.
Then there is the nuclear threat. In the event of a wider war between NATO and Russia, this is unlikely to materialise, but it could, and that slim possibility alone understandably terrifies NATO leaders. Like Pavlov's dogs, they fall over each other to renounce any intention of military engagement in Ukraine each time Putin blows his over-used nuclear whistle. His threats are actually very convenient for NATO leaders, because the last thing they want to do is fight in or for Ukraine and hardly anyone questions the wisdom of taking no action that might provoke Armageddon.
But if nuclear terror applies to Ukraine, why doesn't it apply to any NATO country that becomes the target of Russian military aggression? Why would NATO leaders fear Putin's nukes any less if he takes a bite out of Poland or the Baltic states? The reality is, if it is true that NATO could not risk intervention over Ukraine for fear of Russian nuclear retaliation, it could not risk intervention over, say, Latvia for the same reason. Or do a few lines on a page actually justify risking nuclear war over a "quarrel in a far away country, between people of whom we know nothing" (to borrow Chamberlain's words from the 30s)?
NATO demonstrated itself to be an unreliable ally last year. When US President Joe Biden took the disastrous decision to withdraw US forces from Afghanistan without any conditions, the British defence secretary claims to have approached all other NATO countries with forces deployed there, asking them to consider remaining in a UK-led force after US withdrawal. He said there were no takers. Not one country was willing to honour its obligations to the Afghan government and people.
NATO's abject surrender and humiliation in Afghanistan, compounded by its indulgence of Germany's Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, including Biden's reversal of Trump's opposition to it, and early US assurances that there would be no military intervention if Russia attacked, led directly to Putin's invasion of Ukraine. As the "special military operation" unfolded, NATO's continued pleadings that they would take no action against Russia beyond sanctions and arms supplies further emboldened Putin, reassuring him that there is no direct military risk from NATO.
As well as fear of nuclear weapons, there are long-entrenched structural issues that also raise the question of whether NATO collectively would fight if one of its member states were attacked. For generation after generation, western European NATO countries have become very comfortable, not to say complacent, with decades of virtually unchallenged peace and prosperity. In every country, across most political parties, a strong pacifist culture dominates, with the conviction that all conflict can be resolved by reasoned argument, compromise and appeasement rather than violent military force. It is unlikely that even the horrors witnessed today in Ukraine have shaken this deep-seated and widespread conceit.
On top of that, every country in the West has capitulated to a concerted and systematic assault on its history, its virtue and its self-worth. Past glories are denigrated because they are not in line with 21st century wokeism. Statues of national heroes of yesteryear are torn down. Any favourable mention on social media, for example, of Winston Churchill, who did more than anyone to save the world from Hitler's Nazis, is guaranteed to receive a barrage of vitriol in response. Governments, including defence and foreign ministries, the very people that must lead any fight against Russian attack, have succumbed to this sickness to the extent that even they abrogate their own past and repudiate their own present.
Meanwhile, in pursuit of a superstate, the European Union and its cheerleaders have been doing their level best to openly undermine and cancel national or patriotic spirit in member countries, fervently plastering their own flags everywhere from car licence plates to city halls and spending millions on propaganda indoctrinating young people in the virtues of the EU from elementary school to university and beyond.
Can we expect Europeans to fight and die for countries whose histories and modern sense of worth have been roundly denounced and condemned by their own leaders? Will they fight for the bureaucratic agglomerate that is the EU? Patriotism — of the kind that led millions across the world to volunteer to fight the Nazis in World War Two — requires emotional investment in your own country.
No such feeling exists for the EU even as it seeks to replace national loyalty. Allegiance to Brussels is transactional and in only one direction. People ask not what they can do for the EU but what the EU can do for them. Of course many of our young people would fight for their country — with as much courage and commitment as their ancestors ever did — and we witness this whenever we send them into battle. But when the time comes to expand our forces, how many more will answer the call after being educated to despise their own country and the very notion of fighting for it? The British Army, for instance, has struggled for decades to fill its ever-shrinking ranks from an ever-growing population.
If somehow the political and popular will to defend NATO member states did materialise, what would European countries fight with? Constantly expanding social welfare programmes have driven the military out of the marketplace across the continent. Every country's armed forces are inadequate to fight a real war together or alone.
Over the decades, successive American presidents have tried to cajole leaders of European NATO countries to meet their minimum defence spending commitments. They have been mostly ignored. True, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, shocked by Russian depredations in Ukraine, announced 100 billion Euros over 10 years to re-energise the defence forces that his predecessor, Angela Merkel, wilfully neglected. But that will barely scratch the surface, even if the promised cash actually materialises, which remains to be seen.
Meanwhile Britain, considered militarily the most powerful and dependable nation in Europe, is still merrily implementing defence cuts agreed last year. Even before the latest reductions were conceived, Britain's armed forces were at a perilously low ebb, unprecedented in centuries of history. Almost three months of shattering object lessons on why we should rebuild our armed forces have not prompted any suggestion from the government that last year's defence review might have been ill-judged — not so much fiddling while Rome burns as throwing gasoline on the flames.
Looking at Europe one is tempted to think: can't fight, won't fight. What about America? Will the president who shied away from even the comparatively mild conflict in Afghanistan and has been desperate to convince Putin that the US will not fight for Ukraine, send US boys to fight and die in Europe for countries that many Americans have never heard of? Anyway, how could he do so if European nations will not step up to the plate to defend their own backyard?
Putin knows all this despite his ludicrous rhetoric about feeling threatened by NATO's eastward advance towards Russia — which actually means the defensive alliance accepting membership applications from former Warsaw Pact countries once again fearful of their erstwhile overlords in Moscow. Especially with the unwelcome prospect of Sweden and Finland joining NATO, Putin will be tempted to continue testing the alliance, including by intensive cyber war and military incursions against member states' sovereignty.
While he remains in the Kremlin, Putin's objective is the neutralisation of NATO. He knows that the alliance's failure to fight for its own under his provocation would spell its final humiliation and signal the end of the US-led world order. For the liberty, prosperity and security of future generations, this cannot be allowed to happen. It will not be easy or quick to undo generations of self-obsessed complacency, deep-rooted pacifism, deliberate subverting of patriotic spirit and refusal to make hard sacrifices in the national interest. Above all it will take strong leadership of the kind that is hard to discern in any NATO country today. Whether or not this is mission impossible depends on Putin's timetable and exactly how fast European countries can re-forge their national steel.
This is not a rehearsal; it is a foretaste of the far greater threat that will be coming from President Xi Jinping's Chinese Communist Party.
*Colonel Richard Kemp is a former British Army Commander. He was also head of the international terrorism team in the U.K. Cabinet Office and is now a writer and speaker on international and military affairs. He is a Jack Roth Charitable Foundation Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Palestinians Lie to Murder Jews; U.S. Rewards Them
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute./May 11/2022
The terrorists and their families are saying that they actually believe the lies of the Palestinian leaders that the mosque is being attacked, violated and desecrated by Jews. They are saying that this is the reason they are sending Palestinians to murder Jews on the streets of Israeli cities.
Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas, with whom the Biden administration is currently talking, even had the gall to repeat the blood libel against Israel and Jews when he issued a statement "condemning" the murder of Israeli civilians in Elad.
Please note: in the very same breath that Abbas "condemns" the murders of Israeli civilians, he continues to push his people to murder Jews for allegedly desecrating the holy sites in Jerusalem.
Palestinian leaders not only normally lie to their people about the fictitious "danger" facing the mosque; they also lie to the Americans and Europeans, who continue to believe that Abbas and his team are sincere about making peace with Israel.
Americans and Europeans additionally fail to grasp that by using the Aqsa Mosque as a pretext for terrorism against Jews, the Palestinian leaders are also aiming to rally Muslims against Western "infidels" around the world.
Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas has said that the Jews "have no right to defile with their filthy feet" the Aqsa Mosque and the Church of the Holy Sepulcher. "We salute every drop of blood spilled for the sake of Jerusalem. This blood is clean, pure blood, shed for the sake of Allah, Allah willing. Every martyr will be placed in Paradise, and all the wounded will be rewarded by Allah." Pictured: Abbas speaks on PA television, September 16, 2015. (Image source: MEMRI)
The Palestinian terrorists who used axes to murder three Israeli Jewish men in the city of Elad on May 5 have cited the recent violence at the Aqsa Mosque compound (Temple Mount) in Jerusalem as their main motivation for the attack. The violence began when Palestinian rioters attacked Israeli police officers at the compound with fireworks, stones and other objects during the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan. The goal of the rioters: to prevent Jews from conducting peaceful walking tours of the Temple Mount, as has long been officially agreed.
The rioters attacked the police because Palestinian leaders had told them that Jews were planning to "storm into the mosque" during the Jewish holidays.
These leaders, who belong to the Palestinian Authority (PA) and Hamas, had told their people, falsely, that Israel was planning to "commit crimes" against the Aqsa Mosque, the third holiest site to Muslims, and the leaders urged Palestinians to converge on the site to "defend" it against the "aggression of Jewish settlers."
The lies of these leaders led thousands of Palestinians to clash with Israeli security forces at the Aqsa Mosque compound. The rioters chanted slogans calling for the slaughter of Jews, the bombing of Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities, and "blowing up the head of the Zionists." The rioters praised Hamas, the terrorist group that explicitly calls for the elimination of Israel, and raised the Hamas flag on the mosque's walls.
Importantly, despite the violence, Israeli police enabled tens of thousands of Muslim worshippers to peacefully attended prayers at the compound during Ramadan, thereby refuting more false allegations, that Israel had imposed "restrictions" on the entry of Palestinians into the area.
The riots were the direct result of the vicious incitement and outright falsehoods by the leaders of the PA and Hamas, who continue to spread the libel that the Aqsa Mosque is "in danger" because of the Jews' allegedly evil schemes.
Days before the start of Ramadan, Mahmoud Habbash, adviser on religious affairs to the Palestinian Authority president, claimed (again falsely) that Israel was "preparing to commit a new crime" against the mosque. "The Palestinian response to this crime will not be easy or normal," said Habbash, considered one of the closest aides to PA leader Mahmoud Abbas.
Earlier, the PA minister for religious affairs, Hatem al-Bakri, had warned that visits by Jews to the Temple Mount during the Jewish holidays would be seen by the Palestinians as a "crime" and "provocation." Bakri, like other Palestinian leaders, went on to repeat the old provocative lie that Israel was planning to "change the status quo" at the holy site by dividing it between Jewish and Muslim worshippers in terms of time and space.
Abbas's chief spokesman, Nabil Abu Rudaineh, added to the fire by accusing Israel of "waging war" on the Palestinians, Jerusalem and the Muslim and Christian holy sites.
While Abbas and his senior officials were spewing their hatred against Israel and Jews from the West Bank, the leaders of Hamas in the Gaza Strip were also repeating these same old lies and libels.
Before and during the riots at the Aqsa Mosque compound, Hamas issued several appeals to the Palestinians to arrive at the site to "defend" it and prevent Jews from "desecrating" it. The terrorist group warned that allowing Jews to tour the Temple Mount during the Jewish holiday of Purim would constitute a "crime and provocation and against the feelings of our people and the Islamic nation."
Later, Hamas issued another false and incendiary statement in which it claimed that Jews were planning to conduct "animal sacrifice" and "religious rituals" at the Temple Mount:
"This constitutes a dangerous escalation, a crossing of all red lines, and an assault on the religion and feelings of the Palestinians and all Muslims during the holy month of Ramadan."
Hamas warned that the Palestinians will not allow the Jews to carry out this "criminal scheme."
Less than a week before the two terrorists carried out the axe-murders in Elad, Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, a convicted murderer released by Israel in a prisoner exchange agreement with the terrorist group more than 10 years ago, called on all Palestinians to preparing "guns, cleavers, axes, and knives for the defense of the Aqsa Mosque and Jerusalem." Sinwar also threatened that his group would target synagogues throughout the world if the Aqsa Mosque is "desecrated" by Jews.
In a written will prepared by one of the terrorists before the attack, he wrote that he and his friend were "prepared to kill and be martyred in order to defend Jerusalem and the Aqsa Mosque."
Several Palestinian factions have confirmed that the attack in Elad was aimed at "defending Jerusalem and the Aqsa Mosque. The factions praised the murder of the three Israeli Jewish men as an "heroic operation."
The father of one of the terrorists also confirmed that his son went out to murder Jews as part of a protest against Israeli "attacks and incursions against the Aqsa Mosque." According to the father, his son used to "cry" each time he watched the (nonexistent) "attacks" on the mosque.
The terrorists and their families are saying that they actually believe the lies of the Palestinian leaders that the mosque is being attacked, violated and desecrated by Jews. They are saying that this is the reason they are sending Palestinians to murder Jews on the streets of Israeli cities.
The latest wave of terrorist attacks has continued, although the mosque has not been harmed and the status quo at the Temple Mount remains unchanged. The attacks by Palestinians continue even though Muslims have, and have always had, perfectly free access to the mosque. The attacks by Palestinians continue even though no Jewish "settler" has "stormed" the mosque or even set foot inside it.
The Aqsa Mosque libel is again being used by the Palestinians as an excuse to carry out terrorist attacks to murder Jews. This, of course, is not the first time that Palestinian leaders have lied about either the Jews or the Aqsa Mosque. That goes back at least 80 years.
More recently, in 2015, Abbas said in a pretty unmistakable speech that the Jews "have no right to defile with their filthy feet" the Aqsa Mosque and the Church of the Holy Sepulcher. "We salute every drop of blood spilled for the sake of Jerusalem. This blood is clean, pure blood, shed for the sake of Allah, Allah willing. Every martyr will be placed in Paradise, and all the wounded will be rewarded by Allah."
Abbas's speech triggered what became known as the "knife intifada," during which dozens of Israeli Jews were murdered or wounded by Palestinian terrorists.
Now, Abbas, Hamas and other Palestinians are repeating the same lies in order to encourage young Palestinians to take to the streets and murder Jews. Abbas, with whom the Biden administration is currently talking, even had the gall to repeat the blood libel against Israel and Jews when he issued a statement "condemning" the murder of Israeli civilians in Elad.
Abbas's ostensible condemnation included an implicit call to Palestinians to continue the battle to "defend" Jerusalem and the Aqsa Mosque.
"The President [Abbas] renewed his condemnation of the ongoing attacks against our people and their Muslim and Christian holy sites," read the statement issued by Abbas's office, apparently under pressure from the Biden administration.
Please note: in the very same breath that Abbas "condemns" the murders of Israeli civilians, he continues to push his people to murder Jews for allegedly desecrating the holy sites in Jerusalem.
Abbas and other Palestinian leaders have become experts at gaming the Biden administration and many in the international community. On the one hand they pretend that they are opposed to violence and terrorism, while on the other hand they explicitly encourage the murder of Jews.
Palestinian leaders not only normally lie to their people about the fictitious "danger" facing the mosque; they also lie to the Americans and Europeans, who continue to believe that Abbas and his team are sincere about making peace with Israel.
Americans and Europeans additionally fail to grasp that by using the Aqsa Mosque as a pretext for terrorism against Jews, the Palestinian leaders are also aiming to rally Muslims against Western "infidels" around the world.
*Bassam Tawil is a Muslim Arab based in the Middle East.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

More Islamic Death Threats in Europe: Dutch MP Targeted Twice
Pete Hoekstra/Gatestone Institute./May 11/ 2022
Geert Wilders has dedicated his life to supporting freedom of speech and religious tolerance...
What seems to have earned him these death threats is his unrelenting passion for freedom. To others, it seems, this commitment, is not a plus. Radical cleric Muhammad Abdullah Ahsan, for instance, recently proclaimed: "The rascals like Geert Wilders can't be stopped by mere condemnation. He must be handed over to Muslims for public execution to ensure world peace."
"It is no use threatening me, Muslims in Pakistan, Netherlands or anywhere else. Fatwas won't stop me.... Freedom is my ideology. And no one will stop me." — Geert Wilders, Twitter, April 15, 2022.
"An Imam who wants a politician dead is—however reprehensible—allowed to say so." — Geert Wilders, NIS News Bulletin. March 15, 2005.
Islam is the Trojan Horse in Europe." — Geert Wilders, speech in the Dutch Parliament, September 6, 2007.
"There is no such thing as 'moderate Islam'. As Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan said the other day, and I quote, 'There is no moderate or immoderate Islam. Islam is Islam and that's it."' — Geert Wilders, speech in the Dutch Parliament, September 6, 2007.
"We must never give a free hand to those who want to subjugate us." — Geert Wilders, Middle East Online, May 31, 2011.
"'I feel that the more Islam that we get in our societies the less freedom we get.' He opened the press conference with a quote from George Orwell's preface to Animal Farm: 'If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they don't want to hear'". — Margaret Davis, quoting Geert Wilders, in The Independent, October 16, 2009.
The American version [of George Orwell's Ministry of Truth, the US Disinformation Governance Board] is to be headed by a supposed "expert" on disinformation, Nina Jankowicz, who already has a record of unexpertly dismissing Hunter Biden's easily verifiable laptop as a "Trump Campaign product;" supporting the notoriously false "Steele Dossier;" saying on National Public Radio: "I shudder to think about if free speech absolutists were taking over more platforms," and, while discussing "online abuse" against women, she actually recommended deploying the police...
"Liberty is meaningless where the right to utter one's thoughts and opinions has ceased to exist. That, of all rights, is the dread of tyrants. It is the right which they first of all strike down. They know its power.... Equally clear is the right to hear. To suppress free speech is a double wrong. It violates the rights of the hearer as well as those of the speaker." — Frederick Douglass, freed slave, December 9, 1860.
Freedom of speech in free nations should supersede imposing even more limitations on freedom.
As the powers that be continue clamping down on the free speech we all should cherish, we must recognize the value and strength that people like Wilders, and even those who burn flags, bring to the public square. We may or may not agree with their views, but should recognize that through their freedom of expression they enrich the debate and discourse. They make us stronger, not weaker.
Geert Wilders, a Dutch Member of Parliament, has dedicated his life to supporting freedom of speech and religious tolerance... What seems to have earned him these death threats is his unrelenting passion for freedom. Pictured: Wilders speaks to the media outside the Dutch Parliament on March 22, 2021.
Last month, a Dutch Member of Parliament, Geert Wilders -- the leader of the Party for Freedom, which is the largest opposition party in the Netherlands' Parliament -- received two fatwas. Fatwas, officially, are Islamic religious opinions; they sometimes contain calls, however, to kill whomever might be considered insufficiently supportive of Islam or its prophet, Mohammad.
Wilders has dedicated his life to supporting freedom of speech and religious tolerance, and pointing out problems in radical, violent Islamist extremism. Because of this, he has been the target of frequent death threats by Islamist leaders. There are many who appear to prefer religious conformity, restricted speech and often the death penalty for what they might consider blasphemy.
As for this author, born in the Netherlands, it was always a particular pleasure for many years, while serving as a member of the US Congress, to meet with political visitors from the Netherlands to the US. A special one, with whom I often met, is Wilders.
What seems to have earned him these death threats is his unrelenting passion for freedom. To others, it seems, this commitment, is not a plus. Radical cleric Muhammad Abdullah Ahsan, for instance, recently proclaimed: "The rascals like Geert Wilders can't be stopped by mere condemnation. He must be handed over to Muslims for public execution to ensure world peace."
Another radical Islamist leader, Saad Hussain Rizvi Sahib, according to an online post, "issued a fatwa against the Arrogant [sic] Greet [sic] Wilders, to Kill [sic] him and he ordered Ummat-a-Muslima to spread this message to Muslims of Haaland and kill him as soon as possible."
In response to these latest threats, Wilders tweeted: "It is no use threatening me, Muslims in Pakistan, Netherlands or anywhere else. Fatwas won't stop me..... Freedom is my ideology. And no one will stop me."
After years of countless threats, Wilders, since 2004, has been forced to live with around-the-clock security, generously provided by the Dutch government. "It is a situation," he has said, "that I wouldn't wish on my worst enemy". "I am in prison," he has said privately; "they are walking around free."
"An Imam," Wilders has noted, "who wants a politician dead is—however reprehensible—allowed to say so."
Wilders' first alleged "offense," in 2004, was to have been part of a team that created a ten-minute film, Submission, produced and directed by Theo van Gogh, to dramatize the abuse of Muslim women that sometimes takes place based on three Quranic suras: 4:34, 2:222 and 24:2.
Film critic Phill Hall wrote:
"'Submission' was bold in openly questioning misogyny and a culture of violence against women because of Koranic interpretations. The questions raised in the film deserve to be asked: is it divine will to assault or kill women? Is there holiness in holding women at substandard levels, denying them the right to free will and independent thought? And ultimately, how can such a mindframe exist in the 21st century?"
After Submission (the English for the word "Islam") was released, a 26 year old Dutch-Moroccan Muslim, Mohammad Bouyeri, murdered van Gogh by shooting him and slitting his throat. Bouyeri later told a Dutch court, "If I ever get free, I would do it again." Papers on a knife stuck in van Gogh's body warned that Wilders, among others, would be next. Since then, for 18 years, Wilders has had constantly to move from one safe house to another, unable to live in his own home or with the freedom to go out alone in public. His life, every minute, is in extreme danger.
Wilders, nonetheless, sees the personal sacrifice as the price to be paid to advocate for a free society and free speech, saying:
"[T]he point is, if you really speak out in favour of freedom, let alone if you use the freedom of speech. ... [a]nd why Islam (I'm not talking about the people, but the ideology of Islam) why they are not free. ... [y]ou either get fatwas as I got; you are taken to court by people who hate your guts. You are silenced in parliament...."
Free speech, he comments, is "absolute for the people who talk according to the wishes of the elite that are in charge. But if you diverge from that, it's very relative, it's non-existent."
Wilders is indeed extremely outspoken. To the Dutch Parliament, he said, "Islam, is the Trojan Horse in Europe, and, "there is no such thing as 'moderate Islam'. As Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan said the other day, and I quote, 'There is no moderate or immoderate Islam. Islam is Islam and that's it.'"
In New York, after the 9/11 attacks, he said, "We must never give a free hand to those who want to subjugate us."
In London, he said, "I feel that the more Islam that we get in our societies the less freedom we get [and quoting George Orwell]: 'If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they don't want to hear'".
Yet, despite years of death threats and a lifestyle no one would want, he remains a passionate advocate for free speech. This conviction -- aligned with America's First Amendment and dating back to our founding fathers, flies in the face of today's trends in the West where "cancel culture" runs rampant and people try to silence those with whom they disagree.
Here in the US, you were not allowed to talk freely about the very real possibility that the Covid virus, which has killed more than six million people worldwide, may have escaped from a Chinese laboratory; and you were blocked from making any statements about treatments for Covid that were not approved by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. You also could not, in the middle of a national campaign for the presidency, talk about Hunter Biden's laptop computer, filled with potentially damaging evidence that voters might find useful as they assessed which candidate to vote for.
The most recent assault on freedom of speech in the US now comes from the Department of Homeland Security, which is armed: the Disinformation Governance Board. According to its website, it supposedly "protects free speech." The great American public, evidently sensing something awry, immediately renamed it "The Ministry of Truth" after the government's propaganda center in George Orwell's novel, 1984.
The American version is to be headed by a supposed "expert" on disinformation, Nina Jankowicz, who already has a record of unexpertly dismissing Hunter Biden's easily verifiable laptop as a "Trump Campaign product;" supporting the notoriously false "Steele Dossier;" saying on National Public Radio: "I shudder to think about if free speech absolutists were taking over more platforms," and, while discussing "online abuse" against women, she actually recommended deploying the police:
"We need to at least upskill police officers and local law enforcement to deal with these things and perhaps start some collaboration... Online, that just doesn't exist yet. So I'm hopeful for that architecture to come into play."
The historian Robert Spencer commented:
"'[D]isinformation' and 'hate' re entirely subjective categories, based on the point of view of the person who is doing the evaluating.... [and] who gets to decide what 'hate speech' is? Nina Jankowicz, apparently."
As the freed slave Frederick Douglass said in 1860:
"Liberty is meaningless where the right to utter one's thoughts and opinions has ceased to exist. That, of all rights, is the dread of tyrants. It is the right which they first of all strike down. They know its power.... Equally clear is the right to hear. To suppress free speech is a double wrong. It violates the rights of the hearer as well as those of the speaker. It is just as criminal to rob a man of his right to speak and hear as it would be to rob him of his money."
Who really believes that the rhetoric of Wilders -- or just about all of us, for that matter -- would ever pass the scrutiny of the new Orwellian-sounding federal Disinformation Governance Board? Certainly not those who embrace free speech. In my years in Congress there were frequent votes about flag desecration, well-intended attempts by colleagues to ban defiling the American flag. I love our flag as much as anyone can, but voted every time against making flag desecration a crime. Freedom of speech in free nations should supersede imposing even more limitations on freedom.
As Wilders receives still new fatwas, we would do well recognize the price that he and others have paid for expressing their points of view. As the powers that be continue clamping down on the free speech we all should cherish, we must recognize the value and strength that people like Wilders, and even those who burn flags, bring to the public square. We may or may not agree with their views, but should recognize that through their freedom of expression they enrich the debate and discourse. They make us stronger, not weaker.
*Peter Hoekstra was US Ambassador to the Netherlands during the Trump administration. He served 18 years in the U.S. House of Representatives representing the second district of Michigan and served as Chairman and Ranking member of the House Intelligence Committee. He is currently Chairman of the Center for Security Policy Board of Advisors.
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Jihadist Conquests Were About Bringing “Justice, Freedom, and Equality” to Conquered Infidels, Says Leading Muslim Scholar
Raymond Ibrahim./May 11/ 2022
On April 24, 2022, the grand imam of Islam’s most prestigious university, Al Azhar, delivered an address before the heads of state, with Egyptian President al-Sisi sitting in the front row. This occurred during state-level celebrations of Laylat al-Qadr (the “Night of Power”), which, in Islamic teaching, is the night when Allah first revealed the Koran to Muhammad.
Considering the occasion of the speech and the speech deliverer himself, Grand Imam Sheikh Ahmed al-Tayeb—arguably “the most influential Muslim in the world”—Islam was praised to the ceiling. Of especial interest, however, was al-Tayeb’s rendition of history. At one point he said:
In just a few years after the death of the prophet Muhammad (Allah pray on and grant him peace), the Islamic conquests [literally, “openings,” futuhat] caused the two most powerful empires that divided and controlled every corner of the Middle East to collapse, and their lands in Iraq, Syria, Egypt, and North Africa to become Islamic lands to this very day.
This, of course, is true. The two empires the sheikh refers to are the Eastern Roman Empire (“Byzantium”) and the Sassanian Empire of Persia. Most of the lands cited by al-Tayeb—from Syria and Egypt in the east, to Morocco and Algeria in the west—were Christian and governed by the Eastern Roman Empire. Only Iran and parts of Iraq were under Sassanian rule and Zoroastrian in religion. During the seventh century, Muslims conquered and Islamized all of these lands.
As usual, however, when it comes to Islamic retellings, facts are quickly mingled with fiction. After making the above statement, al-Tayeb offered this:
These [Muslim] conquests were not conquests of colonization that rely on the methods of plunder, oppression, control, and the policies of domination and dependency, [all of which] which leave nations in ruin.
He went on to condemn conquests of colonization that are about oppression and plunder—a swipe at Europe’s historic colonization of the Middle East—before continuing:
Yes, the Islamic conquests were not like this—dominating peoples and controlling them with the arrogance of force and weapons; rather, they led to a new avalanche of life—full of knowledge, justice, freedom, and equality—which flowed in the veins of those [once] powerless people.
It is difficult to emphasize how utterly surreal such claims are, at least for those familiar with Islam’s true history. The conquests of all the Christian lands mentioned by the Grand Imam (from Syria in the east to Morocco in the west), as well as those Christian lands of later Islamic conquests (ignored by al-Tayeb as they were eventually overturned)—in Spain, the Mediterranean islands, Asia Minor, the Balkans, etc.—featured bloodshed, massacres, terror, enslavement, plunder, and the oppression of the conquered and exploitation of their resources on a grand scale. Page after page of Sword and Scimitar: Fourteen Centuries of War between Islam and the West, clearly document this, based on both Christian and Muslim sources.
Even more absurd is the grand imam’s claim that the Christian and Zoroastrian peoples living under the Eastern Roman and Sassanian empires were happy to be “liberated” by the sword of Islam, and that—seeing that Islam was a religion of “knowledge, justice, freedom, and equality”—they eagerly responded by converting in droves.
As is well known, the supposedly “liberated” peoples—the ones to survive the initial massacres and enslavements, anyway—who preferred to remain Christian, Zoroastrian, or Jewish, could do so only by becoming dhimmis, second-class citizens who had to make regular tribute (jizya) payments and adhere to a host of humiliating social strictures (as captured in the “Conditions of Omar”). The desire not to be financially fleeced or treated inferiorly—or sporadically persecuted, as many dhimmis were, depending on whether the next ruler was “radical” or not—is what caused so many non-Muslims to convert to Islam over the centuries.
This was the only way they could experience “justice, freedom, or equality”—at least of a sort.
Especially ludicrous is that al-Tayeb depicts the Muslim conquests as somehow being more virtuous than European colonization of the Middle East. In reality, whereas jihads culminated in slavery, depopulation, and devastation—certain regions especially in North Africa, Spain, and Anatolia never recovered—European colonialists abolished slavery and introduced their Muslim subjects to the boons of modernity, from scientific and medicinal advances to the radical concepts of democracy and religious freedom.
Although it is difficult to find an analogy from Western history that captures the lunacy of al-Tayeb’s claims, consider for a moment whatever the worst point of American history might be—say slavery. Now imagine a state ceremony, attended by the U.S. president, where a leading Christian delivers a speech about how the enslavement of blacks was a wonderful and altruistic thing—certainly not to be compared to the cruel enslavement practiced by those evil non-Christians—and that it was really about bringing “knowledge, justice, freedom, and equality” to enslaved Africans.
That is the level of absurdity of al-Tayeb’s claims.
But why all these lies? Here we come to the crux of the matter. To feel good about themselves and their religion, Muslims must maintain this happy fiction—that their non-Muslim ancestors were “liberated” by Islam and that they were only too eager to embrace it, at which point they began to enjoy “knowledge, justice, freedom, and equality.”
The alternative, the truth—that their ancestors were Christians or other non-Muslims who were conquered and compelled to embrace Islam due to sporadic bouts of persecution and systemic discrimination—is not quite as satisfying, not to mention may get them thinking.
Hence the chronic chicanery of the Grand Imam of the Muslim world’s most prestigious university—also known as Pope Francis’s closest Muslim ally.
*Raymond Ibrahim is author most recently of Defenders of the West: The Christian Heroes Who Stood Against Islam.

Assad in Tehran… The Summit of Illusions
Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al Awsat/May 11/2022
Bashar al-Assad conducted a secret visit to Tehran, the second since 2019. What’s the significance of its timing? Its purpose? And what does it purport, especially following efforts to remove Assad from the arms of Iran?
Before answering the above questions, we must stop at two statements broadcast by Iranian TV. The first is for Assad, in which he says that the “strategic relations between Iran and Syria have prevented the Zionist regime - Israel - from taking control of the region.”
The second statement belongs to Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. He reportedly told Assad that Syria today “is not the same as before the war. Although there was no destruction at that time; but respect for Syria’s status is now greater than before, and everyone sees this country as a force.”
These two declarations confirm that the Tehran summit was nothing but the summit of illusions, and that the Assad regime and Iran are architecting a stage, in which Russia is preoccupied with the war in Ukraine and subject to more than 10,000 international sanctions.
We are not exaggerating by saying that it was the summit of illusions. Amidst talk about the Iranian-Syrian strategic relations that prevented Israel from controlling the region, according to Assad, and Syria’s strength and status, as described by Khamenei, we find that the facts are different.
Israel has targeted Iranian and Assad forces, as well as Hezbollah militias in Syria with more than 400 airstrikes since 2017. Crimes committed by Iran and the Assad regime also contributed to improving Israel’s image in the region.
Accordingly, all that was said during Assad’s visit to Tehran is nothing but propaganda and delusional talk. In fact, the two sides are trying to arrange their cards with Russia’s preoccupation with the war, and in anticipation of an expected Saudi and Gulf rapprochement with the United States.
Assad’s visit to Tehran shows that every attempt to contain the Syrian regime and keep it away from the arms of Iran is bound to fail. The regime is wrecked. No matter the effort to save it. Syria, as we used to know it, is also gone at the foreseeable level.
Someone might say here: What is wrong with Assad visiting Tehran, while the countries of the region are engaging in dialogue with Iran? The difference is great. The countries of the region, including Saudi Arabia, are communicating with Iran in a rational attempt to defuse a crisis caused by the Tehran regime, and in the hope of stopping Iranian terrorism.
Assad, on the other hand, threw all his cards into the Iranian basket, in search of protection from the Syrians. He has pushed the whole country into a narrow sectarian corner, after it has turned into an arena for all Iranian militias.
Here is another observation that shows the difference between the Assad regime and the entire region. Iraq is rising up, rejecting Iran and its militias, and adopting the state logic. Assad, for his part, is succumbing to Tehran in the hope of being protected from the Syrians.
What’s more striking is the fact that the West and the United States are threatening to punish those who deal with the Assad regime through the Caesar Act, while Assad visits the Iranian Supreme Leader and they both boast off America’s weakness in the region. In parallel, Western countries and America continue to scramble to reach an agreement with Iran. Therefore, the summit was nothing but a Syrian-Iranian attempt to arrange cards in a rapidly-changing region. But Assad is not relying on logic, rather on mere illusions, like the recent meeting in Tehran.