English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For May 05/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.may05.22.htm

News Bulletin Achieves Since 2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006

Bible Quotations For today
Jesus answered them, ‘Do not complain among yourselves. No one can come to me unless drawn by the Father who sent me; and I will raise that person up on the last day.”I am the bread that came down from heaven
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 06/40-44: “This is indeed the will of my Father, that all who see the Son and believe in him may have eternal life; and I will raise them up on the last day.’Then the Jews began to complain about him because he said, ‘I am the bread that came down from heaven.’They were saying, ‘Is not this Jesus, the son of Joseph, whose father and mother we know? How can he now say, “I have come down from heaven”?’Jesus answered them, ‘Do not complain among yourselves.No one can come to me unless drawn by the Father who sent me; and I will raise that person up on the last day.”Formerly, when you did not know God, you were enslaved to beings that by nature are not gods’’

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 04-05/2022
Everything is for sale ahead of crucial Lebanese election/Mohamed Chebaro/Arab News/May 04/2022
Expats prepare to vote, marking the start of Lebanon elections
Aoun wades into debate over 'electoral money'
Mufti Qabalan Orders Vote for Hezbollah, Amal in Lebanon Elections
Speaker Berri continues to receive Eid well-wishes
Berri meets with Adnan Traboulsi, General Head of Nabatieh Sisters
Corona - Health Ministry: 86 new Corona cases, one death
State Security: Arrest of a gang of six armed Syrians in the Bekaa Valley
Families of Beirut Port Explosion Victims: Government must approve judicial formations immediately, otherwise our response will...
Interior Minister: Parliamentary elections are 100% occurring, all preparations have been completed
Siniora: Mufti Derian, Dar Al-Fatwa’s stance on heavy participation in elections is “good”
Unidentified persons impersonate Lebanon’s Ambassador in Germany, his media office issues clarification statement
Hot summer tourist season bodes well for a massive return of expatriates,” says Nassar
Bahaa Hariri meets US Congress Representatives in Washington

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 04-05/2022
Iranian-Swedish Tensions Rise over Trial of 1988 Mass Executions Jailer
Iran: Outstanding Issues at Vienna Talks Not Limited to Revolutionary Guards
Kremlin Dismisses Speculation Putin to Declare War on Ukraine on May 9
War in Ukraine: Latest developments
Ukraine Welcomes EU’s Proposed Oil Embargo
EU chief proposes gradual Russian oil import ban
Russia Pounds Ukraine, Targeting Supply of Western Arms
Belarus launches 'surprise' military maneuvers
Armenian Authorities Block Roads, Warn Anti-govt Protesters
Erdogan: Turkish Plan to Encourage Voluntary Return of One Mln Syrian Refugees
Bashagha Urges Britain's Help to Remove Russia's Wagner Mercenaries from Libya
Shabaab says it killed scores of Burundian troops in Somalia

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on May 04-05/2022
Iran’s rulers demanding too much even for Biden/Clifford D. May/The Washington/May 04/2022
Team Biden must stop Russia’s Iran deal/Andrea Stricker/Inside Sources/May 04/2022
State Department Report Glosses Over Assad’s Narco-Trafficking Wealth/David Adesnik/Policy Brief/May 04/ 2022
Israel Needs a Statesman – Now/Guy Millière/Gatestone Institute/May 04/2022
Turkey: NATO's Pro-Putin Ally/Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/May 04/2022
Boris Johnson Has Partied His Way to a Midterm Thrashing/Therese Raphael/Bloomberg/May 04/2022
Iran likely to be left behind if ‘new world order’ emerges/Maria Maalouf/Arab News/May 04/2022

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 04-05/2022
Everything is for sale ahead of crucial Lebanese election
Mohamed Chebaro/Arab News/May 04/2022
Poverty-stricken Lebanese have welcomed the festivities of Easter and the end of Ramadan with empty pockets, empty fridges and empty promises from politicians. They now hope that the same political elite that have supervised the bankruptcy of their country will not be returned at the May 15 general election. However, the opposition voices look too splintered to have any serious success that could challenge the clout of the traditional political elite. I am therefore minded to think that Lebanon’s starving constituents would easily sell their votes for crumbs and reelect the same corrupt politicians, whom I expect to have an even bigger majority in the next parliament.Lebanon these days is living a schizophrenic existence. On the one hand, it is life as normal for the top 10 to 20 percent of society, whose financial means have not been dented by the country’s economic collapse, its default on foreign debt or the decision of the state to apply capital control. On the other, one cannot fail to notice the beggars that line many intersections and the streets of city centers as the country prepares for a general election that could change the face of the Lebanese Republic for good.
Independent candidates and opposition forces that emerged after the Oct. 17, 2019, uprising and those who have called for accountability after the Beirut port explosion are busy preparing to dislodge the so-called corrupt political class that has sucked dry the country’s national assets, wealth, economic potential and even people’s life savings.
Begging is not strange in any country suffering economic hardship, but in recent years the number of those in desperate need in Lebanon has multiplied. Among them are the visibly desperate Syrian refugees that have resorted, along with many Lebanese, to begging. Some have even fallen victim to organized begging gangs. But what is more dangerous is the invisible poverty that has struck the majority of Lebanese families, making the lucky among them even more dependent on remittances from relatives working in the Gulf countries and beyond, while others are increasingly dependent on the charitable programs of political parties that offer handouts, but always at a price of course.
Those in need have even resorted to creative ways of earning a few crumbs. In Beirut, I was approached a few times by people who politely introduced themselves before asking for any cash that could help them pay their rent, buy their medicine or whatever contribution in pennies that might help them. The organs of the state have long since ceased catering for these people’s basic needs, amid the total paralysis of the Hezbollah-controlled government. These same individuals were previously members of a buoyant Lebanese middle or lower middle class, but they lost their safety net due to the worsening economic situation.
Despite all of the above, Lebanese streets from north to south are littered with election campaign banners promoting more than 300 competing lists of candidates, each promising salvation, change and to rid the country of its mafia-like corrupt political elite that has dominated the country’s affairs since the end of the civil war in 1990. The members of this elite are seen as responsible for the failure of the state due to the mismanagement that orchestrated the siphoning of billions of dollars from the state’s coffers, leaving the country’s infrastructure beyond repair and its people on the brink — to the point that the World Bank has described the scale of the Lebanese economic collapse as one of the worst three economic crises witnessed globally in the last 150 years.
On the face of it, the campaigning by more than 1,200 candidates is a healthy sign, but those tasked with overseeing the vote fear for the fairness of the process amid the increased levels of poverty, meaning the election looks increasingly unlikely to dent the status quo. The poverty factor is also likely to work in favor of those parties that have long preyed on a clientelist relationship with a polarized electorate on religious, sectarian and tribal grounds.Vote buying is not strange to Lebanon. Amid a failed economy, a depreciated Lebanese lira and a needy and impoverished population, the likelihood of vote buying is on the mind of the authorities.
Retired judge Nadim Abdel-Malek, the 80-year-old head of Lebanon’s election commission, admitted recently that violations are likely, with ballots liable to be sold, meaning the candidates with greater means will be at a huge advantage.
Food distribution was noticeable during the month of Ramadan, with some political parties and groups attempting to ensure dissent remains at zero by providing food, fuel and other basic needs in return for votes. Abdel-Malek said: “This is undoubtedly going to play a role. There are a lot of people who are going to sell their vote. These factors are going to hit the integrity and transparency of the elections.”
Those tasked with overseeing the vote fear for the fairness of the process amid the increased levels of poverty. The Lebanese people have never, despite decades of instability, faced as tough a predicament as they do today. Many of the so-called opposition to the current discredited ruling elite are pledging to usher in a new era of governance in Lebanon, but the problem remains that this month’s elections will be fought according to the 2018 electoral law that is in favor of the ruling alliances dominated by Hezbollah. The lack of any credible Sunni bloc that is able to fill the vacuum left by the exit from the political arena of former Prime Minister Saad Hariri and his Future Movement is likely to result in a parliament controlled by forces loyal to Iran and Syria, the so-called axis of resistance. One can only hope that the parliament of 2022, 100 years after the creation of the Lebanese Republic, will not oversee the official end of a nation state based on the perhaps imperfect tenets of tolerance, freedom of speech and neutrality in favor of permanent chaos and the official downgrading of the country into a failed state.
*Mohamed Chebaro is a British-Lebanese journalist, media consultant and trainer with more than 25 years’ experience covering war, terrorism, defense, current affairs and diplomacy.


Expats prepare to vote, marking the start of Lebanon elections
Arab News/May 04/ 2022
BEIRUT: Lebanese expats voting on Friday will inaugurate the first phase of this month’s parliamentary elections. Expats will vote in 59 countries, but just 10 nations will commence the first phase of voting on Friday. The expats in these countries, which include Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Syria and Iraq, have a Friday weekend. The second phase of voting takes place on May 8 in countries that have a Sunday weekend. The elections in Lebanon will take place on May 15 with candidates competing in 15 districts in all of the governorates and districts to select new representatives for 128 parliamentary seats. The term of the current parliament, elected four years ago, will end on May 21. The code of conduct for candidates and media outlets comes into force 24 hours before the vote. All means of invitation, intimidation and sectarian polarization have been used by the ruling parties to ensure their continuation in parliament, defeating tireless attempts by the opposition to turn the tables. Regions with Christian influence top the list of candidates, with 269 registered in Mount Lebanon and 292 in the north. The south, a region with a Shiite majority, has the lowest rate of candidacy, with just 105 standing, while Beirut registered 174 and the Bekaa region 203. Nadim Abdelmalak, president of Lebanon’s supervisory commission for elections, criticized “the chaotic opinion polls that claim the victory of one candidate and the failure of another, despite the warnings sent by the commission to those concerned. The election requires every opinion poll prepared for the announcement to be provided to the commission.” Abdelmalak criticized “the magnitude of hate speech and treason, given that the electoral law requires that such rhetoric be mitigated, steering away from abasement, revilement, incitement to sectarian conflict and sometimes terrorism, perhaps used to reinforce sectarianism.”The Lebanese Association for Democratic Elections said that money has been spent to buy loyalties to secure victory, in addition to providing aid, promises and electoral bribes. The association added that violence, pressure tactics, influence, public resources, racist and sectarian rhetoric, libel and defamation had all been used by some candidates seeking an electoral advantage.
Intimidation began in the Sarafand region of southern Lebanon to prevent opponents of Shiite groups Hezbollah and the Amal Movement from announcing their candidacy. Intimidation was also exercised in the northern Bekaa region by the same duo against other Shiite candidates, including Sheikh Abbas Al-Jawhari. Gunshots and rockets were fired in an electoral meeting he held.Candidate Hassan Raad was beaten at a religious gathering in Baalbek. The Amal Movement and Hezbollah have previously pushed some families to disown female candidates participating in competing lists. As a result, three Shiite candidates — Ramez Amhaz, Hayman Mchayek and Rifaat Al-Masri — withdrew from the election.
Intimidation also took place in the northern region of Jbeil. An unidentified drone was seen hovering over the district of candidate Faris Saeed, who opposes Hezbollah and the Iranian influences in Lebanese politics. A car was also spotted around his house in Qartaba allegedly monitoring his activities. The inciteful atmosphere reached the highest level when Sheikh Nazir Jishi called for the election of Hezbollah’s candidates and attacked the Lebanese Forces Party, using derogatory terms against women in predominantly Christian tourist areas, to the extent that he was renounced by Hezbollah and the Supreme Islamic Shiite Council. The visits of Gebran Bassil, president of the Free Patriotic Movement, to some regions have been met with popular denunciations against the backdrop of Bassil’s alliance with Hezbollah. During his visit to the northern Lebanese region of Akkar, Bassil’s convoy was blocked, and images and signs of the party were burned, escalating into a violent clash. Sunni voters are divided into two categories. The first, with the majority being loyal supporters of Saad Hariri’s Future Movement, will abstain from voting, whereas the second group says there is a chance for change, noting that the Sunni scene controls more than half of the electoral districts in Lebanon. Hassan Nasrallah, chief of Hezbollah, described the vote as “the most important political battle in Lebanon.” In March, he stressed that “it’s important for all Hezbollah’s MPs to win and that we should work toward obtaining the majority.”


Aoun wades into debate over 'electoral money'
Naharnet/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
President Michel Aoun has stepped into the ongoing debate in the country over electoral spending, days after a war of words erupted over the issue between the Free Patriotic Movement and the Lebanese Forces. "With the rise in the levels of electoral money, I remember what I wrote in 1998: 'Avoid voting for candidates for what's in their pockets, because that belongs to them. Choose them for what's in their hearts and minds, because this belongs to you,'" Aoun tweeted. "Work on electing the honorable candidates who enjoy the will to work, seeing as honor protects them from humiliations and the will to work gives them the ability to implement and achieve,'" Aoun added, repeating his 1998 advice. FPM chief Jebran Bassil had on Sunday filed a complaint against the LF and the Kataeb Party, accusing them of exceeding the allowed limit of electoral spending in a "blatant and extreme manner." Bassil cited the quantity of billboards and unipoles rented by the two parties for their campaigns. The LF hit back at Bassil, calling him "the thief of the republic." "Discussing electoral ceilings begins after the end of parliamentary elections, seeing as the electoral expenses are still ongoing, and accordingly the supervisory commission can rule on who exceeded the allowed ceilings and who didn't after receiving all the bills in the wake of the elections," the LF added.

Mufti Qabalan Orders Vote for Hezbollah, Amal in Lebanon Elections
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Jaafarite Mufti, Sheikh Ahmad Qabalan issued on Tuesday what could be interpreted as a "religious order" by calling on Shiite followers to vote for the Shiite duo of the Hezbollah party and Amal movement in the May 15 parliamentary elections in Lebanon.
He said the elections were a form of "major worship and religious duty", barring a boycott of the polls or the submission of a blank vote. He described the elections as "fateful" and "one of the greatest obligations before God." "The elections are a decisive national, religious and moral duty," Qabalan said during a sermon on the Eid al-Fitr holiday marking the end of the holy fasting month of Ramadan. "Hesitation is haram [religiously forbidden], abandoning the electoral battle is forbidden, submitting a blank vote is forbidden, because the country and state are a blessing from God lest you squander them. Whoever abandons the electoral battle is abandoning one of the greatest duties before God ," he warned. Moreover, he framed the elections as an American-regional plot aimed at "eliminating" and "Zionizing" Lebanon. "Neutrality is therefore a great crime," he added. The elections will "liberate" political decision-making and "save the country from treacherous tutelage", alleged Qabalan. "The issue is not about who can reap a homogeneous parliamentary majority, but rather about national priorities and goals. Everything else is marginal," he remarked. Addressing all Lebanese, regardless of their sect, he declared: "We want to live together away from the mentality of a victor and a vanquished and away from psychological barriers and abhorrent republics." "The sectarian political experience has torn us apart and divided us. It has transformed our one national family into statelets of fear, spite and boycott that is exploited by the ruling elite and their family deals and barbaric cartels," he lamented. By voting for the Shiite duo, he said, the people would be voting in favor of "burying a sectarian system in favor of a national one."

Speaker Berri continues to receive Eid well-wishes
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
House Speaker Nabih Berri continued, Wednesday, to receive congratulatory calls and greetings on the occasion of Eid Al-Fitr, namely from Vice Speaker, MP Elie Ferzli; Marada Movement Chief, former Minister Sleiman Franjieh; Army Commander General Joseph Aoun; Army Intelligence Director, Brigadier General Tony Kahwaji, and various current and former cabinet ministers and MPs. The Speaker also received a stream of well-wishing calls from spiritual, security, military, judicial, economic, expatriate and municipal leaders and dignitaries.

Berri meets with Adnan Traboulsi, General Head of Nabatieh Sisters

NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, met today with a delegation from the Islamic Philanthropic Association, headed by MP Adnan Traboulsi, who visited him at his Mseileh home in the South. Talks centered on the latest political developments and relevant hour issues.
The Speaker also discussed educational matters with the General Head of the Nabatieh Sisters, Sister Mary Touma, and later met with the Imam of the Lebanese community residing in Senegal, Sheikh Abdel Moneim El Zein. In the afternoon, the House Speaker received a delegation from the Arab “Numeirat” clan in al-Arab village in Sidon’s Zahrani district, with whom he tackled relevant issues of concern.

Corona - Health Ministry: 86 new Corona cases, one death
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
In its daily report on the COVID-19 developments, the Ministry of Public Health announced on Wednesday the registration of 86 new Corona virus infections, which raised the cumulative number of confirmed cases to-date to 1,097,204.
The report added that one death was recorded during the past 24 hours.

State Security: Arrest of a gang of six armed Syrians in the Bekaa Valley
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Lebanese Public Security’s General Directorate issued a statement today, in which it indicated that "on Sunday morning, May 1, 2022, a patrol unit from the Bekaa Regional Directorate - Zahle Office, managed to arrest a gang consisting of six armed Syrians of initials (M.D.), (K.G.), (M.N.), (A.S.), (A.B.) and (A.N), as they were riding in two Mercedes and BMW vehicles and were stopped by the patrol which seized two action bombs and disguise face masks that were in their possession, and several other materials used for theft. Following interrogation, they confessed that they had carried out many thefts and robberies in different areas of the Bekaa and Baalbek.Furthermore and after briefing the concerned judiciary and informing it of the course of the investigation, arrest warrants were issued against the afore-mentioned six Syrians, who are currently at the Zahle Judicial Unit.

Families of Beirut Port Explosion Victims: Government must approve judicial formations immediately, otherwise our response will...
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
The Association of the Families of Victims of the Beirut Port Explosion organized a march this afternoon, which set out from Mar Mikhael towards the “Statue of the Expatriate” at the entrance to the Port of Beirut, under the slogan, “Crimes continue - May 4, the march of victims in the face of criminals,” in which the families of the martyrs and victims of the port explosion and the fire brigade participated, with the national anthem playing in the background as they marched, carrying banners calling for investigation and the punishment of criminals. In a word on behalf of the families of the fallen martyrs, Marianne Vodolian said: "Four and a half months have passed, i.e. about 132 days, while the investigating judge is still kept away from pursuing his investigations into the largest crime against humanity that Beirut has witnessed,” citing the failure to decide on the judicial formations as a factor that has further contributed to obstructing the investigations’ process, following the repeated attempts to bring arbitrary lawsuits against the judge. “The Lebanese government must take a quick decision to approve the judicial formations immediately and put them to a vote on the cabinet table, otherwise our response, the families of the victims, will be very harsh,” Vodolian said in her statement on behalf of the families. Referring to the upcoming parliamentary elections on May 15, she questioned how “a defendant can brazenly have the right to run for elections, covered by those who have defended and protected criminals?”She pledged that the victims’ families will not cease their demand for justice for their fallen victims, adding, “We are still more determined than ever to reach the truth and uphold the rights of our victims and we will not be intimidated by their threats.”Addressing the Lebanese citizens, Vodolian said: “What is required of the Lebanese people today is to take the crime of the era into consideration, to know that pain and calamity are common to all, and to know well who to vote for...!”Finally, she reiterated the families’ call not to tamper with what remains of the silos at Beirut’s port, “for they must stay a witness to the crime for future generations to see and know well that whoever blew us up is the one who is obstructing the investigation."

Interior Minister: Parliamentary elections are 100% occurring, all preparations have been completed
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Minister of Interior and Municipalities, Judge Bassam Mawlawi, confirmed, in an exclusive interview with “Al-Hurra” TV Channel, hours before the start of the Lebanese expatriates’ voting process within the 2022 parliamentary elections, that “the elections are definitely occurring and all preparations have been completed in full,” adding that “the security forces are fully prepared and will not be reluctant to play their role.”He added: “The amount that was allocated in the election budget was secured as a grant to the members and officers participating in the electoral process, and the problem of electricity on all Lebanese territories was addressed, whether in registration committees or in polling stations.”Referring to what the Election Supervisory Board Head Nadim Abdel-Malik’s mentioned about paying bribes, Mawlawi considered this as “dangerous and must be documented.”He added: “He must inform me as well as the Public Prosecution, which will act immediately...In fact, I have not personally received from any candidate a documented bribery complaint, nor did I receive any complaint from the supervisory authority.”Referring to the complaint by MP Gebran Bassil to the Election Supervisory Board against the "Lebanese Forces" and the "Kataeb" parties regarding exceeding the financial ceilings for electoral spending in media and advertising, Mawlawi said: "The Supervisory Board did not inform me of anything."The Interior Minister continued to state that "the Election Supervisory Board began its work on January 15, 2022, and today we are in the month of May, and it did not appear to me that the Supervisory Board has taken any deterrent measure against any media outlet...I call on it to play its full role with decisions and measures, not only through the media, and if the issue calls for the intervention of the judiciary, then we shall render it with the judiciary, or with the Public Prosecution if the issue is related to bribery, or the Publications Court if it is related to media and advertising....”“The Election Supervisory Board knows its role and must play it to the end, and we provide it with all the logistics, support and backing for everything it needs,” Mawlawi underlined.

Siniora: Mufti Derian, Dar Al-Fatwa’s stance on heavy participation in elections is “good”
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
In an interview with “Al-Hadath – Al-Arabiya” Channel on Wednesday, former Prime Minister Fouad Siniora considered that "the position of Grand Mufti Abdul Latif Derian and Dar Al-Fatwa is good with regards to the call to partake in the May 15 elections."“There is no doubt that the call by some for the Lebanese not to participate in the electoral day comes as a misinterpreted and inaccurate reading of what former Prime Minister Saad Hariri said,” Siniora explained in response to a question, stressing that all claims that PM Hariri has asked the Lebanese and Muslims not to participate in the elections as voters are baseless.He asserted that all Lebanese voters, especially the Sunnite community, are called upon to massively practice their voting rights, as confirmed by Dar Al-Fatwa and His Eminence the Mufti, “because failing to partake in the elections leads to facilitating the process of forging the will of the Lebanese and the will of Muslims.”At the regional level, Siniora stressed Lebanon’s Arab identity and belonging and its keenness on its close relations with Arab countries, and on not being a tool to be used by regional powers to obtain gains in the negotiations they are conducting with the major countries. “This is not in the interest of the Lebanese and neither in the interest of young men and women, whom we now expect to show a significant turnout in the elections, and not to listen to those who try to distort their will or divert their attention from seeing the main problem that Lebanon suffers from, which is the problem of the hijacked state of Lebanon,” he said. Siniora asserted that Lebanese young men and women are called upon “to clearly define the correct vision and view of Lebanon and its future,” and that their “performance and effort are incumbent on encouraging all Lebanese to participate in these elections.”

Unidentified persons impersonate Lebanon’s Ambassador in Germany, his media office issues clarification statement
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
In an issued statement by the media office of Lebanon’s Ambassador in Germany, Dr. Mustafa Adib, it indicated that “a number of unknown persons are impersonating Ambassador Adib, his advisor or acting in the capacity of an official in his office, whereby they are contacting a number of philanthropists asking for medical aid or medicine coverage for a number of patients in large financial sums, in an illegal and unethical attempt to get money.”The statement affirmed that such calls are “fraud and deceptive” by individuals who are in no way connected with Ambassador Adib nor does he know their identity. The statement assured that Ambassador Adib will file a personal complaint before the judiciary against anyone who is proven to be involved in this shameful and fraudulent act.

Hot summer tourist season bodes well for a massive return of expatriates,” says Nassar
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Tourism Minister Walid Nassar indicated that "a hot tourist summer season awaits us this year following the Corona pandemic, according to reservations and flight lines that herald a massive return of expatriates."
Speaking to “Radio Ehden” this morning, Nassar said: “The Ministry of Tourism cooperated with the various committees of Lebanon’s international festivals to arrange for festivities in central Beirut that would restore life to this region after the August 4th blast.”He stressed that the priority of his ministry today lies within the administrative decentralization plan to open tourism offices in different parts of Lebanon. He disclosed herein that he has deliberated with MP Tony Franjieh and various prominent dignitaries and officials from the Zgharta-Ehden region over opening the Ehden tourism office this summer. Nassar considered that the tourist situation is not as hazy as it is being portrayed to be, especially that 2010 tourists entered Lebanon in the past month.
In this connection, and in his capacity as head of the higher committee tasked with preparations for the Pope's visit to Lebanon, Minister Nassar called on all citizens from Zgharta and the North, including schools and university students, to volunteer to help in this “historic and important visit in both content and timing."

Bahaa Hariri meets US Congress Representatives in Washington
NNA/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Bahaa Rafik Hariri met today in Washington with US Congressman, James E. Claiborne, and other representatives in Congress.
According to his media office, "he raised a number of issues, such as the difficulties of expatriates voting in the parliamentary elections and ensuring the re-negotiation of the 'Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action' so that it does not come at the expense of Lebanon, as well as encouraging the United States to reconsider its dealings with corrupt Lebanese officials in government."During his meetings with the US officials, Hariri thanked the United States for its "economic and security assistance to Lebanon."

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 04-05/2022
Iranian-Swedish Tensions Rise over Trial of 1988 Mass Executions Jailer
London – Stockholm – Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Swedish-Iranian national Ahmad Reza Jalali is to be executed on May 21 at the latest, Iran's semi-official ISNA news agency said on Wednesday, citing sources. Jalali, a disaster medicine doctor and researcher, was arrested in 2016 on an academic visit to Iran and sentenced to death on charges of espionage for Israel's Mossad. The report comes as Hamid Nouri, a former Iranian prosecution official arrested by Swedish authorities in 2019, faces a life sentence in Sweden on charges of international war crimes and human rights abuses. Nouri is accused of playing a leading role in the killing of political prisoners executed on government orders at the Gohardasht prison in Karaj, Iran, in 1988. Swedish prosecutors and plaintiffs have requested life imprisonment for Nouri for his role in the prison purges. In the 89th session of Nouri’s trial, plaintiffs’ lawyers said Nouri played “an active role” in the execution of thousands of political prisoners in Iranian prisons and requested the court hand out the maximum sentence of life imprisonment for him. On Sunday evening, Tehran summoned Sweden's ambassador over what it considered “baseless and false allegations” made against Nouri. Iran's Secretary of High Council for Human Rights Kazem Gharibabadi described Sweden’s trial of Nouri as “unlawful and unfair.”Gharibabadi said Nouri's trial is a sham that violates the principles of justice and human rights. Gharibabadi pointed out that “Nouri has been arrested based on false accusations and his detention is regarded as forced disappearance since his family was kept unaware of the arrest.”There was no comment from the Swedish government on the Iranian statements. In 2019, Nouri was arrested upon his arrival in Sweden over alleged human rights abuses. Swedish prosecutors have invoked the principle of “universal jurisdiction” for serious crimes to bring the case against Nouri to trial. Last week, the Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in a message on Twitter, advised its country’s citizens against non-essential travel to Iran “due to the security situation.”

Iran: Outstanding Issues at Vienna Talks Not Limited to Revolutionary Guards
London, Tehran - Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
A news platform associated with Iran's Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) reported that unresolved issues at the Vienna talks aiming to revive the 2015 nuclear deal are not exclusive to clearing sanctions facing Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. Nour News, a website affiliated to the secretary of the SNSC, blamed the Biden administration for “ignoring” the solution for remaining obstacles inhibiting a deal in Vienna. The Wall Street Journal on Sunday quoted two sources as saying that the European coordinator for the Vienna talks, Enrique Mora, is awaiting an Iranian invitation to visit Tehran. Mora, according to the New York-based daily, would attempt breaking the impasse by getting Iranian officials to sign a final text of a deal that does not include removing the Revolutionary Guards from the list of terrorist organizations. Nour News questioned the US report, saying that “independent sources did not confirm this information.”Moreover, the Iranian news platform said that the published report was “an attempt to show that the arrogant US position, which insists on Iran retreating from its initial position to reach an agreement, will not change.”“Iran has repeatedly declared that parties must seek a strong, just and sustainable agreement, in order to reduce the West's concerns about Iran's peaceful nuclear program, and create the appropriate conditions for Iran to benefit from the economic interests of the agreement,” reported Nour News. “On this basis, red lines were drawn,” it added, stressing that the Iranian nuclear team's dealings with the other parties in negotiations are taking place within these boundaries. The agency also commented on another report that talked about the dwindling hopes among the West to revive the agreement.“Increasing complications in international developments centered around the Ukrainian crisis, should make the US realize that continuing this path will make it difficult to reach an agreement,” it explained.

Kremlin Dismisses Speculation Putin to Declare War on Ukraine on May 9
Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
The Kremlin on Wednesday dismissed speculation that President Vladimir Putin planned to declare war against Ukraine and declare a national mobilisation on May 9 when Russia commemorates the Soviet Union's victory in World War Two. Commenting on speculation that Putin will declare war against Ukraine on May 9, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "There is no chance of that. It's nonsense."Putin is set to deliver a speech on May 9 and oversee a military parade on Moscow's Red Square. Peskov also said Russia has been looking into various options as it braces for an oil embargo by the European Union. The European Union's chief executive on Wednesday proposed a phased oil embargo on Russia, sanctions on its top bank and a ban on Russian broadcasters from European airwaves in its toughest measures yet to punish Moscow over Ukraine. Earlier on Wednesday, the Kremlin said no agreement had been reached on a possible meeting between Putin and Pope Francis for talks about Ukraine. Pope Francis said in an interview published on Tuesday that he had asked for a meeting in Moscow with Putin to try to stop the war in Ukraine but had not received a reply.

War in Ukraine: Latest developments
Agence France Presse/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Here are the latest developments in the war in Ukraine:
- A deadly day -
In one of a series of assaults in Ukraine's east, 21 civilians are killed and another 28 wounded in the Donetsk region, local authorities say. Ten of the 21 dead are killed in the shelling of the Avdiivka coke plant, according to regional governor Pavlo Kyrylenko, who calls the daily death toll the highest since a Russian strike on a train station in Kramatorsk about a month ago.
- Evacuees reach Zaporizhzhia -
More than 150 people are extracted in evacuation operations in the long-besieged port city of Mariupol, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenksky says in a daily address.
"Today, 156 people arrived in (the Ukrainian-held city) Zaporizhzhia. Women and children. They have been in shelters for more than two months," Zelensky says.
- EU preparing more sanctions -
European officials are preparing a new package of sanctions against Russia, but some EU states are jockeying to opt out of an oil embargo. The package, which needs unanimous approval, would phase in a ban on Russian oil imports over six to eight months, but Hungary and Slovakia -- both highly reliant on Moscow's supplies, will be allowed to take a few months longer, EU officials have told AFP.
- Biden sees battle for democracy -
U.S. President Joe Biden tells workers at an Alabama munitions factory they should be "proud" of their work producing Javelin missiles, the bane of Russian tanks fighting in Ukraine. He goes on to describe the war as part of a wider contest between democracies and autocracies worldwide that includes China.
- Attack on Azovstal -
Russian forces launch a "powerful assault" on the Azovstal plant, Ukraine's army says. The Kremlin says its forces, along with pro-Moscow Ukrainian separatists, are using artillery and planes to target the site.
- Putin demands end to Ukraine arms deliveries -
Russian President Vladimir Putin tells French counterpart Emmanuel Macron the West must stop supplying weapons to Ukraine and accuses Kyiv of not taking talks to end the conflict seriously, the Kremlin says. Accusing Ukrainian forces of committing war crimes, Putin tells Macron "the West could help stop these atrocities by putting relevant pressure on the Kyiv authorities, as well as halting the supply of weapons to Ukraine."
- Johnson salutes Ukraine, promises fresh aid -
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson announces another $376 million in UK military aid for Ukraine and hails the country's resistance to Russia as its "finest hour."
In a video link address to the Ukrainian parliament, the first by a foreign leader since Russia invaded on February 24, Johnson says the Ukrainians were fighting "with the energy and courage of lions."
- Pope seeks Putin talks -
Pope Francis says he has requested a meeting with Putin in Moscow but has heard nothing back. The pontiff tells Italy's Corriere Della Sera newspaper he made the request in March but "I fear that Putin cannot, and does not, want to have this meeting at this time." "I'm not going to Kyiv for now ... I have to go to Moscow first, I have to meet Putin first," he says.
- Israel slams Lavrov Hitler comments -
Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid slams his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov for alleging Adolf Hitler may have "had Jewish blood" in a bid to discredit Kyiv.
Lavrov's comments -- which invoke a conspiracy theory exploiting a gap in the dictator's ancestry -- see Israel summon Moscow's ambassador for "clarifications" and condemn the "unforgivable and outrageous statement."
Moscow in turn accuses Israel of supporting "the neo-Nazi regime in Kyiv."
- Top Russian general visits Ukraine -
Russia's top general, Valery Gerasimov, visited the Donbas front in the Ukraine war last week, a Pentagon official says, but reports that he was injured in a Ukrainian attack could not be confirmed.
- Russian clubs banned from Champions League -
Russian clubs are banned by UEFA from participating in the Champions League and all other European competitions next season, European football's governing body announces.

Ukraine Welcomes EU’s Proposed Oil Embargo
Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
In a video message posted on Twitter, Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba welcomed the European Union’s decision to propose an embargo on Russian oil. He added that Ukraine isn’t happy it will be delayed for several months, but "it’s better than nothing."Kuleba stressed it should be clear now "that times for half-sanctions or half-measures when it comes to sanctions is gone." He said the EU can no longer support Ukraine on one hand by imposing sanctions, while continuing to pay Russia for oil and gas and support their "war machine."He also said if any country continues to oppose the embargo on Russian oil, it will be a reason to say the country is complicit in the crimes committed by Russia in Ukraine. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed that EU member nations phase out imports of crude oil within six months and refined products by the end of the year as part of a sixth package of sanctions against Russia. The proposals need unanimous approval from EU countries and are likely to be the subject of fierce debate. Hungary and Slovakia have already said they won’t take part in any oil sanctions. They could be granted an exemption. In a video on social media, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said Hungary’s energy supply "would be completely destroyed" by an EU embargo of Russian oil, which he said would make it "impossible for Hungary to obtain the oil necessary for the functioning of the Hungarian economy."He said Hungary would only support the sixth round of sanctions if oil imports were exempted.

EU chief proposes gradual Russian oil import ban
Agence France Presse/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
EU chief Ursula von der Leyen on Wednesday said the EU would impose a gradual Russian oil ban, as Brussels unveiled new sanctions to punish Russia for invading Ukraine. "We will make sure that we phase out Russian oil in an orderly fashion," the EU chief told a session of the European Parliament in Strasbourg."This is why we will phase out Russian supply of crude oil within six months and refined products by the end of the year," she added. In a document seen by AFP, von der Leyen's proposal asked that Hungary and Slovakia, both hugely dependent on Russian oil, be given more time to meet the ban.
Ambassadors from the 27 European Union countries will meet on Wednesday to assess her plan, and it will need unanimous approval before going into effect. Von der Leyen also said the EU would ask that the member states agree to deny Sberbank, Russia's biggest bank, access to SWIFT, the global banking communications system. By hitting Sberbank and two other banks, "we hit banks that are systemically critical to the Russian financial system and Putin's ability to wage destruction," she said. The draft of her proposal also said the EU was seeking to add the head of the Russian Orthodox Church, Patriarch Kirill, to the latest list of sanctioned individuals in the package. The new list includes 58 people, including many Russian military personnel, but also the wife, daughter and son of Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov. Von der Leyen said the list would add high-ranking military officers and other individuals "who committed war crimes in Bucha and who are responsible for the inhuman siege of the city of Mariupol.""This sends another important signal to all perpetrators of the Kremlin’s war: We know who you are, and you will be held accountable," von der Leyen said.

Russia Pounds Ukraine, Targeting Supply of Western Arms
Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Russian forces pounded targets across Ukraine, taking aim at supply lines for foreign weapons in the west and intensifying an offensive in the east, as the European Union moved Wednesday to further punish Moscow for the war with a proposed ban on oil imports. The Russian military said Wednesday it used sea- and air-launched precision guided missiles to destroy electric power facilities at five railway stations across Ukraine, while artillery and aircraft also struck troop strongholds and fuel and ammunition depots. The defense minister said a steel mill in Mariupol - the last pocket of Ukrainian resistance in that city - was sealed off, a day after Russian troops began storming it. Ukrainian authorities, meanwhile, said attacks in the eastern Donbas region left 21 civilians dead. The flurry of attacks over the past day comes as Russia prepares to celebrate Victory Day on May 9, marking the Soviet Union’s defeat over Nazi Germany. This year the world is watching for signs of whether Russian President Vladimir Putin will use the occasion to declare a limited victory - or expand what he calls a "special military operation" to a wider war. While the Russian attacks were across a wide swath of the country, some were concentrated in and around Lviv, the western city close to the Polish border that been gateway for NATO-supplied weapons. Explosions were heard late Tuesday in the city, which has seen only sporadic attacks during the war and has become a haven for civilians fleeing the fighting elsewhere. The mayor said the strikes damaged three power substations, knocking out electricity in parts of the city and disrupting the water supply. Two people were wounded. The strikes on the train stations were meant to disrupt the delivery of Western weapons, Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov said, while the minister warned any such deliveries are legitimate targets. Sergei Shoigu told top military brass Wednesday that the West was "stuffing Ukraine with weapons."Western weaponry pouring into Ukraine helped to blunt Russia’s initial offensive and seems certain to play a central role in the potentially decisive battle for Ukraine’s Donbas, where Russian-backed separatists have been battling Ukrainian forces since 2014. Moscow shifted its focus to the industrial region after failing to take Kyiv in the early weeks of the war. The governor of the eastern Donetsk region, which lies in the Donbas, said Russian attacks left 21 dead on Tuesday, the highest number of known fatalities since April 8, when a missile attack on the railway station in Kramatorsk killed at least 59 people. Russia has deployed a significant number of troops in the region and appears to be trying to advance in the northern Donbas, as they try to cut Ukrainian forces off, according to an assessment from the British Defense Ministry. However, Moscow’s push has been slow as Ukrainian fighters dig in and use long-range weapons to target the Russians. The US believes Ukrainians in recent days pushed Russian forces about 40 kilometers (25 miles) east of Kharkiv, a northeastern city that lies outside the Donbas but is key to the offensive there. In another effort to consolidate their control in the east, Russian forces began storming the bombed-out steel mill in Mariupol on Tuesday, the city’s last pocket of resistance. The renewed push to take the mill came after scores of civilians were evacuated from the plant's underground tunnels after enduring weeks of shelling.
Shoigu said Wednesday that the fighters at the Azovstal steel mill have been "securely blocked" inside, while Russian forces continue to demand their surrender. The mill's defenders have repeatedly refused to lay down their arms. In addition to supplying weapons to Ukraine, Europe and the United States have sought to punish Moscow with sanctions. The EU's top official called on the 27-nation bloc on Wednesday to ban Russian oil imports. "We will make sure that we phase out Russian oil in an orderly fashion, in a way that allows us and our partners to secure alternative supply routes and minimizes the impact on global markets," European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen told the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France. The proposals need to be unanimously approved to take effect and are likely to be the subject of fierce debate. Hungary and Slovakia have already said they won't take part in any oil sanctions, but von der Leyen didn’t elaborate on whether they would receive an exemption, which appears likely. Von der Leyen also proposed that Sberbank, Russia’s largest bank, and two other major banks be disconnected from the SWIFT international banking payment system.
Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk said authorities on Wednesday plan to continue efforts to evacuate civilians from the city of Mariupol and nearby areas if the security situation allows it. Thanks to the evacuation effort over the weekend, 101 people - including women, the elderly, and 17 children, the youngest 6 months old - emerged from the bunkers under the Azovstal steelworks to "see the daylight after two months," said Osnat Lubrani, the UN humanitarian coordinator for Ukraine. One evacuee said she went to sleep at the plant every night afraid she wouldn’t wake up. "You can’t imagine how scary it is when you sit in the bomb shelter, in a damp and wet basement, and it is bouncing and shaking," 54-year-old Elina Tsybulchenko said upon arriving in the Ukrainian-controlled city of Zaporizhzhia, about 140 miles (230 kilometers) northwest of Mariupol. It is unclear how many Ukrainian fighters are still inside, but the Russians put the number at about 2,000 in recent weeks, and 500 were reported to be wounded. A few hundred civilians also remained there, Vereshchuk, the deputy prime minister, said. In his nightly video address, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that by storming the steel mill, Russian forces violated agreements for safe evacuations. He said the prior evacuations are "not a victory yet, but it’s already a result. I believe there’s still a chance to save other people."Mariupol - and the plant in particular - has come to symbolize the human misery inflicted by the war. The Russians’ two-month siege of the strategic port has trapped civilians with little or no food, water, medicine or heat, as Moscow’s forces pounded the city into rubble.The city's fall would deprive Ukraine of a vital port, allow Russia to establish a land corridor to the Crimean Peninsula, which it seized from Ukraine in 2014, and free up troops for fighting elsewhere in the Donbas. Also Wednesday, Ukraine’s Interior Ministry said a crash in the western Rivne region killed 26 people and injured 12 more. The crash involved a bus, a van and a fuel truck, the report said. The bus was headed to Poland, which has been a key destination for Ukrainian refugees.

Belarus launches 'surprise' military maneuvers
Agence France Presse/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Belarus, a Moscow ally that shares a border with Ukraine, launched "surprise" military maneuvers on Wednesday, to test the reactive capacity of its army, its defense ministry said. Belarus military units were testing their capacity to "go on the alert, move to predetermined zones and undertake combat training," the ministry said in a statement. "The aim is to evaluate the readiness and ability of troops to react rapidly to a possible crisis," it continued, describing the maneuvers as a "surprise" exercise. It published photos of columns of vehicles, including tanks, moving along roads. The exercise will be closely watched by Kyiv, which has repeatedly accused Belarus of planning to send troops into Ukraine to help Russia's military operation against its pro-Western neighbor. Belarus has been ruled with an iron fist by strongman Alexander Lukashenko, an ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, for nearly 30 years. The country serves as an air and logistics base for Moscow. Nevertheless, not all Belarusians are in favor of participation, however indirect, in the current conflict and there have been acts of sabotage in recent months and several suspects have been arrested. In 2020, Belarus was rocked by protests over the allegedly fraudulent re-election of Lukashenko, who ordered a ferocious crackdown on the dissent.

Armenian Authorities Block Roads, Warn Anti-govt Protesters
Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Authorities blocked streets in Armenia's capital Wednesday and warned anti-government protesters against trying to seize the country’s parliament building as they demonstrated to demand the prime minister's resignation. Police used cement mixers and trucks to close off roads and bridges leading to the center of Yerevan as demonstrators chanted, "Armenia without Nikol," referring to Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. The protesters, meanwhile, used cars to block the area around pedestrian underground passageways at major intersections. They marched in at least 10 directions. "We can speak with the authorities about only one thing - their immediate departure," Ishkhan Saghatelyan, vice president of the country's parliament, the National Assembly of Armenia. He also is chair of the Armenian Revolutionary Federation's Supreme Council. Police arrested some of the protesters, and security officials warned them against trying to storm the parliament building. Pashinyan was scheduled to speak to parliament on Wednesday. Anti-government demonstrations have taken place almost daily since April 17. The prime minister became a renewed target of rancor after he spoke in parliament about the need to sign a peace agreement with neighboring Azerbaijan. The two countries have clashed for decades over the separatist region of Nagorno-Karabakh, which is part of Azerbaijan but has been under Armenian control since early 1990s. During a six-week war in 2020, Azerbaijan reclaimed control over some of the region before signing a Russia-brokered truce with Armenia.

Erdogan: Turkish Plan to Encourage Voluntary Return of One Mln Syrian Refugees
Ankara - Saeed Abdulrazzek/Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Amid heated debate between the Turkish government and the opposition over the issue of Syrian refugees, Interior Minister Suleyman Soylu on Tuesday inaugurated a housing complex for displaced persons in Northern Syria’s Idlib. The opening of the complex came in the context of Turkey’s announcement of preparations to have a million Syrians residing in the country to voluntarily return to Syria with the support of Turkish and international civil organizations. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan affirmed that the comprehensive project allows the voluntary return of one million Syrians.
The initiative will be implemented with the support of Turkish and international civil organizations in 13 regions, including Azaz, Jarablus, Al Bab, Tal Abyad and Ras Al Ayn. To be realized in cooperation with the local councils in those regions, the Turkish project includes the construction of various facilities such as schools and hospitals.In a video address, Erdogan said around 500,000 Syrians have returned to “safe zones” on the Turkey-Syria border since 2016. The Turkish president pointed out that the new project includes making the planned residential communities self-sufficient in terms of economic infrastructure, from agriculture to industry. “All infrastructure projects, from housing to hospitals, everything regarding daily life will be in this project,” said Erdogan. So far, 57,306 homes have been completed in northern Syria as part of the campaign to build 77,000 homes with the support of civil organizations.
The initiative is being coordinated by the Turkish Disaster and Emergency Management Authority. Erdogan explained that these residential communities are designed so that they are suitable places for living and do not lack any facilities, such as mosques, schools, health centers, bakeries, and gardens. Around 50,000 families have been accommodated to date. “No one abandons their home without reason and throws themselves into an unknown future,” said Erdogan, noting that Turkey considers extending a helping hand to refugees a humanitarian responsibility.

Bashagha Urges Britain's Help to Remove Russia's Wagner Mercenaries from Libya
Cairo - Asharq Al-Awsat/Wednesday, 4 May, 2022
Libya's east-based parliament appointed Prime Minister Fathi Bashagha called on Tuesday British leaders to help remove the mercenaries of Russia's Wagner Group from his country. In an article published by The Times newspaper, Bashagha declared his desire for a strategic partnership with Britain at the business, security and intelligence levels. “Today my country is facing one of its toughest battles yet; as Ukrainian troops battle Russia with British missiles, we in Libya are fighting the same fight,” the PM-designate wrote. “As a Libyan, I know what it is like to see foreign forces enter your country illegally,” he stressed. Bashagha explained that since 2014, thousands of mercenaries from Wagner, a private military group, have been in Libya, leaving a trail of destruction behind. Addressing his “British friends” at the government of Boris Johnson, the Libyan official said his government is ready to work with Britain if the latter needs a partner in Africa to resist Russia. He said his country needs the assistance of British businessmen in rebuilding Libya and providing services to the people, stressing that the Libyans do not want to see another decade of civil war, nor do they want to see the Wagner mercenaries looting their cities and villages. Moreover, Bashagha expressed Libya’s willingness to take part in efforts to help the world wean itself off Russian oil. He said that Libyan oil and gas can help make up for the global oil shortage, and help bring down fuel prices in Britain.


Shabaab says it killed scores of Burundian troops in Somalia
FDD's Long War Journal/May 04/2022
Unofficial video propagated by Shabaab showing civilians pillaging from the overran AU base.
Earlier today, Shabaab, al Qaeda’s branch in East Africa, launched a suicide assault against an African Union (AU) military base in the area of Ceel Baraf in the Middle Shabelle region. The Forward Operating Base (FOB) was manned by AU Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS) forces from Burundi.
Exact casualty figures have varied. Local witnesses have stated that three civilians were killed in the crossfire. Meanwhile, Shabaab initially stated its men killed at least 59 Burundian troops before raising this total to 173.  FDD’s Long War Journal cannot independently confirm any casualty figures given by Shabaab or local press. Somali officials reported Burundian troops repulsed the attack, though Voice of America, citing other Somali officials, stated that Shabaab indeed overran the military base.  According to local reports and later confirmed by Shabaab, the jihadist group began the assault with a large suicide car bomb (or vehicle borne improvised explosive device, VBIED) before gunmen then entered the fray. This is a common tactic utilized by Shabaab both against military and civilian targets.  The base, which sits just outside of Ceel Baraf approximately 130 km north of Mogadishu, was being prepared to be handed over to the Somali National Army (SNA). After the brutal firefight, Shabaab apparently managed to wrest control over the compound from the Burundian troops. Unofficial videos propagated by Shabaab appear to show the base completely abandoned, with civilians pillaging supplies as well as fuel from abandoned armored vehicles.  In a brief statement released by its Shahada News Agency, Shabaab claims to have killed at least 173 AU troops in the assault while capturing an unspecified number of the survivors as prisoners. This number cannot be independently verified. However, photos released by the group show at least 12 dead Burundian soldiers inside the base. Given the scale of the assault, as well as the subsequent complete abandonment of the compound, the losses to Burundian forces were likely substantial. Additional statements released by Shabaab imply that many Burundian troops fled the base, as Shabaab’s leadership has given permission for local residents to track down fleeing troops. Currently, neither the African Union nor the Burundian government have commented on the assault. Following similar large-scale incidents in the past, the AU has taken several days to officially comment on the assaults as it collects information. If the large number of Burundian troops is confirmed, this assault will have been the largest against African Union troops since the 2016 raid at El-Adde in Somalia’s southern Gedo region. That suicide assault left between 141 and 200 Kenyan troops dead. Kenya has rejected these numbers, however. Similarly in Jan. 2017, Kenya lost an additional 68 troops in another large suicide assault conducted by Shabaab against one of Kenya’s bases in southern Somalia. And in Aug. 2018, at least 46 Ugandan troops were killed by Shabaab in a suicide assault involving two car bombs on an AU base in Lower Shabelle.Despite some setbacks in recent years, Shabaab continues to be one of al Qaeda’s most effective branches. It maintains significant control over much of southern Somalia and retains the ability to strike in Mogadishu, Kenya, where it also controls territory, and against heavily fortified bases in both Somalia and Kenya. Though its fortunes have ebbed and flowed over the past decade, it has weathered numerous offensives from an array of local, regional, and international actors, including the United States.Are you a dedicated reader of FDD's Long War Journal? Has our research benefitted you or your team over the years? Support our independent reporting and analysis today by considering a one-time or monthly donation. Thanks for reading! You can make a tax-deductible donation here.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on May 04-05/2022
Iran’s rulers demanding too much even for Biden

Clifford D. May/The Washington/May 04/2022
For months, the smart money has been betting that a nuclear deal between President Biden and Iran’s rulers was a sure thing.
Mr. Biden had promised that any new agreement that would be “longer and stronger” than the deal President Obama concluded in 2015 and from which President Trump withdrew in 2018. But Iran’s rulers refused to go along.
They demanded concession after concession, knowing that Mr. Biden’s envoys would claim they’d prevented the Islamic Republic from acquiring a nuclear weapons capability — even if that claim was in stark contrast with reality.
If Iran’s rulers kept their end of the bargain — unlikely if history is any guide — the doors of the nuclear weapons club would still open to them soon enough. The deal would be an echo of the Agreed Framework of 1994 which then-President Clinton proudly proclaimed would prevent North Korea from becoming nuclear-armed.
Now for the good news: Tehran’s most recent demand has brought the negotiations to a screeching halt.
The clerical regime is insisting the U.S. lift its designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a Foreign Terrorist Organization. Mr. Biden has not capitulated.
Perhaps that’s because he knows that more than 600 Americans have been killed by weapons that, according to a U.S. Army study, were developed under IRGC auspices specifically to kill Americans, smuggled into Iraq, and given to Shiite militias whom the IRGC trained in their use.
He certainly knows that the IRGC is responsible for attacks against U.S. forces in Afghanistan, Syria, and Lebanon and that it supports Hezbollah, Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and the Houthis.
Most of those pushing for a weaker and shorter version of President Barack Obama’s deal don’t dispute that the IRGC is a terrorist organization. But they argue that the designation is merely “symbolic” and therefore unimportant. This should surprise the State Department which maintains an FTO list of over 70 terrorist groups, including al Qaeda and the Islamic State. The Obama administration added 25 organizations to the list.
Last week, a delegation of Gold Star families, relatives of American military personnel killed or wounded by Iranian weapons, came to Washington to urge Mr. Biden not to remove the FTO designation.
The visit follows up on a letter sent recently to Mr. Biden by over 900 wounded veterans and Gold Star family members opposing the lifting of the IRGC’s terrorist designation.
A letter sent earlier this year by more than a thousand vets and family members urged Mr. Biden not to release billions of dollars in frozen Iranian funds. That money should be used to compensate parents and spouses of those killed or wounded by the Islamic Republic and its agents. If transferred to Tehran’s rulers, the money will instead underwrite more terrorism and aggression.
As this controversy plays out, the IRGC is not laying low. On Saturday, the Israeli Prime Minister’s office released a statement saying: “In recent months, attempts made by the Iranian regime to assassinate a U.S. General in Germany, a journalist in France and an Israeli diplomat in Turkey were foiled … These terror attacks were ordered, approved and funded by the senior leadership of the Iranian regime and were intended to be executed by the IRGC.”
Meanwhile, Secretary of State Antony Blinken has acknowledged that Tehran poses “an ongoing threat against American officials present and past.”
During a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing earlier in the week, Sen. Ted Cruz asked Mr. Blinken: “Is it true that American negotiators made specific requests for a commitment that the IRGC will stop trying to murder former American officials and is it true that they said no?”
He added: “If they are actively refusing, saying, ‘No, we’re going to keep trying to murder your former secretary of state,’ the idea that our negotiators are sitting in Vienna saying, ‘Okay, that’s great, so how many more billions can we give you?’ – that doesn’t make any sense.”
Unmentioned was the fact that Iran’s theocrats, in addition to targeting former and current U.S. government officials, have threatened several Iran experts at think tanks, including the one where I hang my hat.
Those with longer memories will recall that, in 2011, the FBI foiled a plot to bomb Cafe Milano, a posh Georgetown restaurant, while Adel al-Jubeir, then the Saudi ambassador to the U.S., was taking his supper. Diners at tables near him would have been collateral damage.
That plot, along with many others, is believed to have been orchestrated by Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani, commander of the IRGC’s Quds Force whose specialty is running terrorist and paramilitary operations around the world. President Obama vowed serious consequences but never delivered them.
In January 2020, however, Soleimani was the target of an airstrike in Baghdad ordered by President Donald Trump, who explained in a tweet that the general had “killed or badly wounded thousands of Americans over an extended period of time and was plotting to kill many more.” Iran’s rulers pledged “severe revenge.” Subsequent attacks on Americans in Iraq and elsewhere appear not to have satisfied that desire.
Several Democrats have now joined Republicans in opposing the lifting of the FTO designation. Sen. Robert Menendez, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, told Fox News on Sunday: “I want the administration to understand that no deal is better than a bad deal.”
What happens next? The logic by which Iran’s rulers make their decisions is difficult to fathom.
As for Mr. Biden, he could go wobbly. But it’s also possible he’ll decide to consider other means to prevent the Islamic Republic from becoming a nuclear-armed terrorist sponsor. If so, Israel and its Arab allies (now there’s a phrase I never expected to write) will be pleased to offer suggestions.
• Clifford D. May is founder and president of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) and a columnist for the Washington Times.

Team Biden must stop Russia’s Iran deal
Andrea Stricker/Inside Sources/May 04/2022 |
The Biden administration — which repeatedly asserts that it has adopted tough policies on Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine — plans to allow Moscow to receive a major economic windfall under a revived Iran nuclear deal.
The new accord reportedly contains terms that would grant Vladimir Putin’s regime more than $10 billion to aid the development of Iran’s nuclear projects, even as Putin’s army kills and maims innocent Ukrainians. President Biden must reverse course and block Russia from gaining financially under a renewed nuclear accord. Team Biden is attempting to resurrect the nuclear deal with Iran, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, that President Barack Obama concluded in 2015 and that President Donald Trump abandoned in 2018. That agreement will expire within the next decade and will allow Iran to enrich uranium to weapons-grade levels, thereby reducing the regime’s breakout time — that is, the amount of time it takes to develop enough fissile material for one nuclear weapon — to near zero.
Under the 2015 accord, the Obama administration permitted Russia the lead in carrying out several plan of action nuclear projects in Iran related to Tehran’s “civil” nuclear program. Russia’s state-run nuclear agency, Rosatom, and its subsidiaries seek to resume such work in Iran, including a $10 billion project to complete two new units of Tehran’s nuclear power plant at Bushehr. Moscow could also recoup a $500 million debt for past work on the plant.
Four Rosatom entities — Rusatom Energy International, Atomstroyexport, TVEL Fuel Co., and Techsnabexport — stand to gain from supplying fuel to Bushehr and another small Iranian research reactor, removing used reactor fuel, overseeing operations, and carrying out new construction. TVEL Fuel Co. may also resume work at Iran’s underground uranium enrichment plant at Fordow, originally built by Tehran to make weapons-grade fuel for nuclear bombs.
Washington may also acquiesce to Russia’s Novosibersk Chemical Concentrates Plant — another Rosatom subsidiary — as well as TVEL Fuel Co. purchasing Tehran’s enriched uranium stockpile in exchange for a third-party nation’s natural uranium. Allowing Iran to import natural uranium ensures that Tehran can resume enrichment to higher levels and violate the nuclear accord at a time of its choosing.
In May 2019, as part of its maximum pressure campaign against Iran, the Trump administration announced it had ended special “waivers” from U.S. sanctions that permitted Russia’s Iran-related projects to move forward. Washington prohibited both the Russian Bushehr expansion project and the purchase of natural uranium. The Trump administration stated that any expansion of Bushehr beyond an existing unit and any transfers of enriched uranium out of Iran in exchange for natural uranium would be “exposed to sanctions.”
When Tehran quickly resumed — and then expanded — uranium enrichment at the Fordow plant in November 2019, the Trump administration also swiftly terminated the waiver for Russia’s work at Fordow. The Trump administration ended another sanctions waiver for Iran’s small reactor in May 2020, citing Iran’s continuing “nuclear brinkmanship” and Tehran’s “expanding proliferation activities.”
When the Trump administration announced that Russian entities would face sanctions for continued Iran nuclear work, those entities reportedly halted their efforts. Yet in February, as part of its Iran deal diplomacy, the Biden administration unilaterally restored the sanctions waivers.
Last month, Russia abruptly forced a pause in the Iran nuclear talks, underway for more than a year, and demanded that the Biden administration provide Moscow with “written guarantees” that it won’t sanction Russian nuclear projects in Iran — projects that come with an anticipated price tag reaching into the billions. Around March 15, the State Department reportedly provided the Kremlin with such guarantees. A week later, a State Department representative acknowledged that the Biden administration would “be willing to entertain” exempting Moscow’s work in Iran from U.S. sanctions over Ukraine.
Given the situation in Ukraine, Team Biden must change this policy. The Kremlin must not financially benefit from a restored Iran deal while Washington and its allies are attempting to pressure Moscow to halt its unprovoked invasion.
A wiser policy is for Washington to restore a campaign of economic pressure on Iran and persuade the regime to halt its growing nuclear provocations. Yet if the Biden administration insists on pursuing the plan of action and helping Tehran refine its nuclear capabilities, there is no technical reason that Russia must be the party to perform such work. America and Europe should be making every effort to close Russia’s revenue streams. President Biden ought to recognize that this means not providing avenues via Iran to fund Putin’s war machine.
*Andrea Stricker is a research fellow on nonproliferation issues at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Follow her on Twitter @StrickerNonpro. FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research institute focused on national security and foreign policy.

State Department Report Glosses Over Assad’s Narco-Trafficking Wealth
David Adesnik/Policy Brief/May 04/ 2022
In a congressionally mandated report issued last week, the State Department made a single passing reference to drug trafficking as a source of wealth for the family of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad. The report’s errors and omissions reflect the Biden administration’s lack of interest in the robust enforcement of sanctions on the Assad regime, especially those authorized by the bipartisan Caesar Syria Civilian Protection Act of 2019.
Since taking office, the Biden administration has sanctioned only two sets of Syrian regime targets, none of them economically significant. In contrast, the previous administration issued new sets of designations each month for seven consecutive months after the law went into effect in June 2020. Congress made the application of Caesar Act sanctions mandatory, so the slow pace of designations suggests the Biden administration is refusing to shoulder its legal responsibilities.
To spur the Biden administration’s enforcement of the Caesar Act and related sanctions, Congress included a provision in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for the current fiscal year that requires the secretary of state to submit a public report “on the estimated net worth and known sources of income of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his family members.” The provision specified that the report should address income “from corrupt or illicit activities.”
Yet rather than using this as an opportunity to reinvigorate the enforcement of sanctions against the Assad regime and its financiers, the Biden administration downplayed the problem by issuing a report that barely covers the information available in the public domain. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the report’s cursory treatment of narcotics production and trafficking networks in Syria and Lebanon, whose growth has been explosive.
News media have reported widely on the direct involvement of senior Assad regime figures in the trafficking of captagon, an amphetamine, especially after Italian authorities confiscated 84 million pills in a single bust in July 2020. A New York Times investigation found that “much of the production and distribution is overseen by the Fourth Armored Division of the Syrian Army, an elite unit commanded by Maher al-Assad, the president’s younger brother.”
In 2020, global captagon seizures had an estimated retail (or “street”) value of nearly $3.5 billion. The estimated figure for 2021 is over $5.7 billion, or several times greater than the value of Syria’s legitimate exports. With Syria’s domestic economy in ruins, narco-trafficking is likely the most important source of income for the regime.Despite the wealth of information available on this subject, the State Department’s report addressed it in just a single sentence: “The Fourth Armored Division is widely reported to be involved in Syrian drug smuggling operations, including smuggling of the amphetamine captagon as well as other illicit substances.” Nor does the report refer to the critical role that Lebanese Hezbollah plays in the Assad regime’s drug enterprise. Representatives French Hill (R-AR) and Brendan Boyle (D-MA) have introduced a bill that would require the administration to provide Congress with “a written strategy to disrupt and dismantle narcotics production and trafficking” linked to the Assad regime. The House included a similar requirement in its version of the NDAA last year, but the Senate removed it for unclear reasons.
If the White House wants to show it recognizes the gravity of the situation, it should pledge to produce a strategy of its own this year rather than waiting for Congress to work through the annual authorization cycle. Violence from the captagon trade is now spilling over Syria’s southern border into Jordan, a key U.S. ally, as well as enriching Hezbollah. The drug does not just bankroll the Damascus regime’s atrocities; it is a transnational security threat the Biden administration cannot afford to ignore.
*David Adesnik is research director and a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), where he also contributes to FDD’s Center on Economic and Financial Power (CEFP). For more analysis from David and CEFP, please subscribe HERE. Follow David on Twitter @adesnik. Follow FDD on Twitter @FDD and @FDD_CEFP. FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.

Israel Needs a Statesman – Now
Guy Millière/Gatestone Institute/May 04/2022
The years before 2021 had brought relative calm and improvements. The United States had cut much of its funding for the Palestinian Authority, which had been used for terrorism. As a result, terrorism had substantially decreased. When the US pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal and drastically sanctioned Iran, the mullahs and their Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps had less money to finance and arm Hamas. ISIS was crushed. A rapprochement began between Israel and the Arab world and led to the Abraham Accords, signed between the United States, Israel, and five Muslim countries – the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, Kosovo and Sudan. For the first time in decades in the Middle East, "peace, security and prosperity" held sway.
The election of US President Joe Biden, however, quickly revealed that better lives for people in the region, including the Palestinians, were about to end. The Biden administration immediately returned to the policies of the Obama years. It restored the funding that Palestinian leaders use for terrorism, without first stipulating that the terrorism had to stop. The Biden administration resumed nuclear negotiations with Iran -- through an intermediary from, of all places Russia. (Iran did not allow the US officials in the room.) The US government itself had named Iran "the world's worst state sponsor of terrorism;" now the Biden administration was again enabling the ruling mullahs -- who call for "Death to Israel" and "Death to America" -- soon to have an unlimited number of nuclear weapons, the intercontinental ballistic missiles to deliver them, and billions of dollars for terrorism and resuming their efforts to take over the oil-rich Middle East. Meanwhile, America's interlocutor, Russia, has been working with Iran on how it can evade US sanctions for invading Ukraine so that both countries may further enrich themselves by Iran selling Russia's oil.
When "settlement expansion" is made to sound as grave a transgression as murder, terrorism will resume.
Since June 2021, for the first time in 12 years, Israel seems to have a weak prime minister, Naftali Bennett. He has evidently promised to work in "quiet coordination" with the Biden administration and never criticizes the administration's anti-Israel policies.
The leaders of the Palestinian Authority and Hamas see that an anti-Israel administration is in place in Washington and draw their own conclusions.
Sunni Arab leaders are currently "trying to decide whether to grovel to Iran, or stand with Israel... Israel has but one option – to become the strong tribe of the Middle East". — Caroline Glick, Israel Hayom, March 25, 2022.
Israel needs its strong tribe status. Israel needs a statesman. Now.
Since June 2021, for the first time in 12 years, Israel seems to have a weak prime minister, Naftali Bennett. Israel needs its strong tribe status. Israel needs a statesman. Now. Pictured: Bennett (right) and his foreign minister, Yair Lapid, on June 13, 2021.
Beersheba, Israel. March 22. Mohammed Abu al-Kiyan rams his car into a rabbi riding a bicycle, killing him, then drives to a gas station and stabs a woman to death there, and then drives to a shopping mall and stabs two more people to death. After fleeing the mall, he crashed his car into another vehicle and was finally shot and killed by armed civilians as he charged at one of them with a knife.
On March 27, Ayman and Ibrahim Ighbarieh open fire at people standing at a bus stop in Hadera, kill two Border Police officers and wound ten more people before they, too, are shot and killed by off-duty police officers who were eating nearby.
March 29, in Bnei Brak, a suburb of Tel Aviv, Diaa Hamarsheh, murders five people in a shooting spree before being shot dead by policemen, one of whom Hamarsheh had mortally wounded.
April 7, Raed Hazem opens fire at people in a central Tel Aviv pub, killing three and wounding a dozen. He is killed a few hours later in an exchange of fire with police.
Fourteen Israelis were murdered; two dozen wounded, some seriously. It was the worst wave of terror attacks Israel has seen in a while.
Three of the five terrorists had previously been arrested for serious crimes, tried, imprisoned, then released. Abu al-Kiyan, a teacher who encouraged children to join the Islamic State, was convicted in 2016 for membership in a terror group and sentenced to four years in prison, but released after only three years. There he had taken part in a "rehabilitation program for 'ISIS prisoners'".
Ibrahim Ighbarieh, arrested by Turkish authorities for attempting to join the Islamic State, was handed back to Israel, where he was tried, convicted, served a prison sentence of 18 months and released. Hamarsheh, imprisoned in 2015 for dealing in illegal firearms and affiliating with a terrorist group, had spent six months in prison.
The Israeli judiciary gives light sentences to people who appear ready to commit murder and other terrorist acts. In Israel, constantly threatened by terrorism, terrorists and would-be terrorists are imprisoned only briefly before being released back out on the street.
The terrorists who murdered in Bnei Brak and Tel Aviv came from territories exclusively controlled by the Palestinian Authority (PA) and were in Israel clandestinely. There are many breaches in Israel's security fence; the Israeli government knew about them but did not fix them. The terrorists in Beersheba and Hadera, however, were Arabs from within Israel -- and constitute a threat that may be gaining ground.
There are nearly two million Arabs in Israel, full-fledged citizens who make up about 20% of the population of 9.5 million. Many serve in the military, police and civil service. Israeli Arabs sit as members of parliament, serve as mayors and judges (including on the Supreme Court), and work "in the foreign service, with a handful serving as ambassadors since 1995." Israel's Arab citizens have the same rights as its Jewish citizens but are not required to serve in the military, although many volunteer to join. These Arab citizens are descendants of families who did not flee in 1948 during a war that was begun -- but then lost -- by five Arab countries, Egypt, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon and Iraq, that invaded and tried to kill the new country.
When, after the war, the Arabs who had fled wanted to return, Israel refused, explaining that they had been less than loyal. These are now known as Palestinians. They live in Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, the West Bank (of the Jordan River; formerly occupied by Jordan), the Gaza Strip (formerly occupied by Egypt), and in other countries around the world. While the Jews welcomed their co-religionists to Israel as full citizens, the many Arab states did not do the same for their brethren. Instead, Arab states left the newly-stateless Palestinians in refugee camps, often squalid, presumably in the hope that one day they would resume the war they lost, but this time win it.
Propaganda from Hamas and the Palestinian Authority that advocates jihad and martyrdom indoctrinates the Arabs who live in the Gaza Strip (ruled by Hamas) and the Palestinian Authority-run West Bank (ruled by Fatah).
In an atmosphere of a daily diet to hate Israel and the Jews, some Arabs become murderers. Although all of the Arabs born in Israel have Israeli citizenship, many today, out of communal solidarity, define themselves as Palestinians and believe it is their duty as Muslims to wage jihad against Jews and Israel.
In Israeli Arab towns, or in mixed cities where the population is partly Arab and partly Jewish, there is evidently significant traffic in arms that are stolen or smuggled into Israel. Even though the Israeli police regularly carry out operations to seize them, trafficking continues. Arms not seized by the police are sometimes used to commit ordinary crimes -- or can be used for terrorist attacks.
The uprising of Israeli Arabs that shook Israel last spring, as Hamas launched missile attacks on Israel, indicated that a worrying situation was taking shape. Synagogues were ransacked and burned; nearly 400 Jewish homes were looted. Arabs blocked road to stop cars and attack drivers that were Jewish. Jews were lynched, killed or wounded, in the streets just because they were Jews. Rioters destroyed Israeli flags and raised Palestinian ones. Israeli intelligence established that during the uprising, Hamas operatives had been coordinating with Israeli Arabs.
Israeli security experts said that a problem existed and answers were needed.
The "problem" is all the more serious because the situation in the region has also been deteriorating; the Middle East policies of the United States since January 2021 have been exacerbating the "problem".
The years before 2021 had brought relative calm and improvements. The United States had cut much of its funding for the Palestinian Authority, which had been used for terrorism. As a result, terrorism had substantially decreased. When the US pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal and drastically sanctioned Iran, the mullahs and their Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps had less money to finance and arm Hamas. ISIS was crushed. A rapprochement began between Israel and the Arab world and led to the Abraham Accords, signed between the United States, Israel, and five Muslim countries – the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, Kosovo and Sudan. For the first time in decades in the Middle East, "peace, security and prosperity" held sway.
The election of US President Joe Biden, however, quickly revealed that better lives for people in the region, including the Palestinians, were about to end. The Biden administration immediately returned to the policies of the Obama years. It restored the funding that Palestinian leaders use for terrorism, without first stipulating that the terrorism had to stop. The Biden administration resumed nuclear negotiations with Iran -- through an intermediary from, of all places Russia. (Iran did not allow the US officials in the room.) The US government itself had named Iran "the world's worst state sponsor of terrorism;" now the Biden administration was again enabling the ruling mullahs -- who call for "Death to Israel" and "Death to America" -- soon to have an unlimited number of nuclear weapons, the intercontinental ballistic missiles to deliver them, and billions of dollars for terrorism and resuming their efforts to take over the oil-rich Middle East. Meanwhile, America's interlocutor, Russia, has been working with Iran on how it can evade US sanctions for invading Ukraine so that both countries may further enrich themselves by Iran selling Russia's oil.
Since June 2021, for the first time in 12 years, Israel seems to have a weak prime minister, Naftali Bennett. He has evidently promised to work in "quiet coordination" with the Biden administration and never criticizes the administration's anti-Israel policies.
The leaders of the Palestinian Authority and Hamas see that an anti-Israel administration is in place in Washington and draw their own conclusions.
The nuclear deal that the Biden administration has been trying to sign with Iran is even more disastrous for Israel than the original 2015 deal, yet Bennett remains silent. He hinted a few months ago that he no longer considers the Iran deal to have been a "historic mistake." Recently, he added, "We are not automatic naysayers. We're taking a practical approach". The deal, however, deeply worries the leaders of the Sunni Arab world, who are as threatened by Iran as Israel; Bennett's attitude can only increase their concerns.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently visited Israel to explain the administration's Middle East policies. He was supposed to go to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, but Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Crown Prince Mohamed bin Zayed declined to receive him.
Israel's Foreign Minister Yair Lapid wanted to find a way to remedy the refusals. He invited the leaders of four Arab countries (UAE, Bahrain, Egypt, Morocco) to a summit at Sde Boker, in Israel, to meet with Blinken. There was almost no mention during the summit of Iran. Lapid simply stated briefly that "the shared capabilities we are building intimidates and deters our common enemies, first and foremost Iran and its proxies". Blinken used the opportunity to insist on a make-believe "two-state solution", downplay the Abraham Accords and criticize Israel.
Although the summit took place just a few days after the Beersheba attack and coincided with the Hadera attack, Blinken did not denounce terrorism. He said instead that the Abraham Accords "are not a substitute for progress between Palestinians and Israelis," and added that peace involves working "to prevent actions on all sides that could raise tensions, including settlement expansion, settler violence, incitement to violence".
When "settlement expansion" is made to sound as grave a transgression as murder, terrorism will resume. Lapid said nothing. The Arab leaders also said nothing; they could hardly have been reassured.
On December 29, Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz hosted Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas in his home, and offered the PA a $32.2 million loan against future tax revenues that Israel collects on Ramallah's behalf, as well as to "legalize the status of 9,500 undocumented Palestinians and foreigners living in the West Bank and Gaza." Gantz reported that the meeting had gone well and added, "I will continue to meet with him and other elements... with whom discourse helps our stability, security and interests". Two days later, Abbas delivered a speech accusing Israel of "racial discrimination", "organized terrorism" and "ethnic cleansing". Gantz said he was disappointed, but ready to meet Abbas again.
"[F]or the past 70 years," wrote the journalist Caroline Glick, "the nations of the Middle East have viewed the US as the most powerful tribe in the region", but that this is no longer applies. The Biden administration's concessions to Iran are perceived by Arab leaders as treason, and the behavior of the Israeli government has led them to doubt Israel's strength. Sunni Arab leaders, Glick wrote, are currently "trying to decide whether to grovel to Iran, or stand with Israel". She concluded that today, "Israel has but one option – to become the strong tribe of the Middle East".
The Israeli government will have to curb the Israeli Arab terrorist threat and, internationally, take a stand on the Biden administration's policies on terrorism and the immense danger coming from Iran.
Israel needs its strong tribe status. Israel needs a statesman. Now.
*Dr. Guy Millière, a professor at the University of Paris, is the author of 27 books on France and Europe.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Turkey: NATO's Pro-Putin Ally
Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/May 04/2022
Western leaders shrugged it off when, in 2016, Erdoğan said in plain language that Turkey did not need to join the European Union "at all costs" and could instead become part of a security bloc dominated by China, Russia and Central Asian nations.
Erdoğan's popularity, since he came to power in 2002, has worked as a self-poisoning instrument in the Turkish society, increasingly fuelling anti-Western sentiment, particularly anti-Americanism.
The... poll also indicated that 48% of the Turkish public think that the U.S. and NATO are responsible for the situation in Ukraine. Turks also think that Russia is their country's third most important partner.
Nearly six out of 10 Turks (58.3%), according to the GMFUS poll, see the U.S. as the country's biggest threat, while 31% said Russia and 29% said Israel. The percentage of Turks who say the U.S. should help solve global problems stands at just 6%.
While sending smiley messages of reconciliation to the West and the West's partners in the Middle East, including Israel, Erdoğan keeps fuelling anti-Western sentiments in Turkey.
When they are not reading pro-Erdoğan newspapers, Turks are watching pro-Erdoğan television channels featuring commentators who blame the war on Washington and NATO's eastward expansion.
Turkey... dismissed the idea of send its S-400 missiles to Ukraine to help Kyiv resist Russian troops.
"The Russians are buying houses and other properties in Turkey, taking advantage of the law that allows foreigners to become Turkish citizens if they invest at least $250,000. Many Russians are able to circumvent Western sanctions by transferring their money from Russian to Turkish banks and converting their rubles to Turkish liras or other currencies. All NATO member countries, with the exception of Turkey, have imposed strict sanctions on Russia..." — Wall Street Journal, April 13, 2022.
"Turkey's central bank took in about $3 billion in just two days in mid-March... That money was likely largely composed of deposits from Russians." — Wall Street Journal, April 13, 2022
This is how NATO ally Turkey is "fighting" the Western battle against Russian aggression. In return, the Biden administration seems to be rewarding Erdoğan.
The Biden administration, evidently, at the behest of Turkey, has tried to kill the EastMed gas pipeline project, which could supply gas from Cyprus and Israel, via Greece, to Europe.
Worse, the US State Department, in a March 17 letter to Congress, said that a potential sale of F-16 fighter jets to Turkey would be "in line with U.S. national security interests" and would also "serve NATO's long-term unity."
Greece, which recently has experienced countless illegal Turkish overflights, not to mention the last few years, must be thrilled.
Turkey needs to start acting like an ally; not a deceitful, pro-Putin ally.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's popularity, since he came to power in 2002, has worked as a self-poisoning instrument in the Turkish society, increasingly fuelling anti-Western sentiment, particularly anti-Americanism. Turkey needs to start acting like an ally; not a deceitful, pro-Putin ally. Pictured: Erdoğan meets with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, on March 10, 2017. (Image source: kremlin.ru)
Turkey's "balancing act" during the Russian invasion of Ukraine is the result of the country's Islamist leader's two-decade long indoctrination of a generation of Turks to make them "pious." President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan may or may not have raised pious generations, as he declared was his political mission, but he has definitely raised an anti-Western generation. That anti-Western sentiment once again makes Turkey the odd-man-out in NATO.
Western leaders shrugged it off when, in 2016, Erdoğan said in plain language that Turkey did not need to join the European Union "at all costs" and could instead become part of a security bloc dominated by China, Russia and Central Asian nations. Earlier, in 2013, Turkey had signed up as a "dialogue partner" saying it shared "the same destiny" as members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation -- China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan) -- which was formed in 2001 as a regional security bloc.
The same Western leaders looked silly when they were "shocked" at a 2019 Turkish decision to buy the Russian-made S-400 surface-to-air missile system. They simply missed that Turkey had long been only a part-time NATO ally.
Erdoğan's popularity, since he came to power in 2002, has worked as a self-poisoning instrument in the Turkish society, increasingly fuelling anti-Western sentiment, particularly anti-Americanism. The Turkish public's views of the Russian invasion of Ukraine today is an inevitable consequence. A poll by the German Marshall Fund of the U.S. (GMFUS) found that nearly 84% of Turks want their country either to mediate or stay neutral -- 10 times more than those who want Turkey to back only Ukraine. Put in other words, 84% of Turks do not support Ukraine in the conflict.
Turkish pollster MetroPoll found in March that fewer than half (49.3%) of those surveyed think Turkey should be a member of the EU, down from 80% in the early 2000s. The same poll also indicated that 48% of the Turkish public think that the U.S. and NATO are responsible for the situation in Ukraine. Turks also think that Russia is their country's third most important partner.
Nearly six out of 10 Turks (58.3%), according to the GMFUS poll, see the U.S. as the country's biggest threat, while 31% said Russia and 29% said Israel. The percentage of Turks who say the U.S. should help solve global problems stands at just 6%.
While sending smiley messages of reconciliation to the West and the West's partners in the Middle East, including Israel, Erdoğan keeps fuelling anti-Western sentiments in Turkey. Speaking at the inauguration of a madrassa (Islamic seat of learning) on April 15, Erdoğan spoke of "these days when the Western culture and life-style has invaded the whole world."
Echoing his boss' ideological obsession, Interior Minister Süleyman Soylu said in a March 14 interview that the Ukraine war shows that the "UN, NATO, and global institutions are going bankrupt" and "the EU is no longer meaningful as a community." Soylu claimed that the Kremlin merely reacted against U.S. efforts to contain Russia "at a time when the vulnerability of the U.S. and the EU reached a peak under the pandemic." The war, in Soylu's thinking, symbolizes the end of globalization as nation-states rise to power.
When they are not reading pro-Erdoğan newspapers, Turks are watching pro-Erdoğan television channels featuring commentators who blame the war on Washington and NATO's eastward expansion. One well-known admiral saluted the Russian invasion of Ukraine as "a step to end the imperialist Atlanticist age", and another claimed that Moscow was tricked into the conflict so that it can be weakened for years to come. Others said that Moscow was not massacring people and was in fact opening an opportunity for peace by not seizing Kyiv.
Since the beginning of the Russian aggression, some of the confused Turkish action reflecting the country's confused directions included:
On February 25, Turkey abstained from voting on suspending Russia's membership in most bodies of the Council of Europe in response to the military operation in Ukraine. "During the vote in Strasbourg, Turkey decided to abstain," Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu said. "We don't want to break off the dialogue with Russia."
In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal, former CIA official Paul Kolbe suggested that "Turkey should send Ukraine the Russian-made S-400 missile defense systems." Turkey, however, dismissed the idea of send its S-400 missiles to Ukraine to help Kyiv resist Russian troops.
Although Turkey has blocked some Russian ships from their Black Sea blockade of Ukraine, according to retired U.S. Admiral James Stavridis, "This is an illegal blockade in every dimension -- no declared war, no self-defense involved, illegitimate and flagrant violation of international law. Designed to starve the population and break the economy. Yet another example of Russian criminal behavior." No one, of course, has held Russia accountable. Turkey has, in fact, blocked all naval vessels, including NATO's ships, which must make Russia happy -- but not supplies.
As Western governments targeted Roman Abramovich and several other Russian oligarchs with sanctions to isolate Putin and his allies, a second superyacht linked to the Russian billionaire docked in a Turkish resort. A source in Ankara told Reuters that Abramovich and other wealthy Russians were looking to invest in Turkey, given the sanctions imposed elsewhere. "He wants to do some work and may buy some assets," the source said, adding that the oligarch already had some assets in Turkey. Another source in Ankara said Turkey was not currently considering joining sanctions action and expected wealthy Russians to purchase assets and make investments.
Çavuşoğlu said on March 26 that "Russian oligarchs are welcome in Turkey." The message was taken. On April 16, the Clio, a superyacht owned by Russian tycoon Oleg Deripaska, arrived at Turkey's port of Göcek. Deripaska, the founder of the Russian aluminum giant Rusal, was sanctioned by the US, the EU and Britain.
Erdoğan's government announced the creation of an airline, Southwind, with the aim of bringing Russian tourists to resorts and attractions in Turkey. This is part of a Turkish-Russian understanding that Russia keeps using Turkish airspace as free as if it had never invaded Ukraine.
The Wall Street Journal reported in a headline that "Superyachts, Seaside Apartments and Suitcases Full of Cash: Russians Pour Money Into Turkey." The article said that tens of thousands of Russians have fled to Turkey with suitcases full of money, yachts, private jets and other assets:
"The Russians are buying houses and other properties in Turkey, taking advantage of the law that allows foreigners to become Turkish citizens if they invest at least $250,000. Many Russians are able to circumvent Western sanctions by transferring their money from Russian to Turkish banks and converting their rubles to Turkish liras or other currencies. All NATO member countries, with the exception of Turkey, have imposed strict sanctions on Russia, preventing its citizens from wiring their money out of the country, blocking Russian Airlines from flying to western countries, and confiscating the oligarchs' superyachts and private jets. Refusing to impose sanctions on Russia, Turkey is trying to revive its bankrupt economy by generating desperately-needed funds... Turkey's central bank took in about $3 billion in just two days in mid-March... That money was likely largely composed of deposits from Russians."
This is how NATO ally Turkey is "fighting" the Western battle against Russian aggression. In return, the Biden administration seems to be rewarding Erdoğan.
The Biden administration, evidently, at the behest of Turkey, has tried to kill the EastMed gas pipeline project, which could supply gas from Cyprus and Israel, via Greece, to Europe.
According to Gatestone Senior Fellow Soeren Kern:
"The EastMed pipeline has been in the works for more than a decade. The Israel-Greece-Cyprus project — joined by Bulgaria, Hungary, North Macedonia, Romania and Serbia — has long been seen as a way to diversify natural gas supplies to Europe."
Worse, the US State Department, in a March 17 letter to Congress, said that a potential sale of F-16 fighter jets to Turkey would be "in line with U.S. national security interests" and would also "serve NATO's long-term unity."
Greece, which recently has experienced countless illegal Turkish overflights, not to mention the last few years, must be thrilled.
Turkey needs to start acting like an ally; not a deceitful, pro-Putin ally.
*Burak Bekdil, one of Turkey's leading journalists, was recently fired from the country's most noted newspaper after 29 years, for writing in Gatestone what is taking place in Turkey. He is a Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Boris Johnson Has Partied His Way to a Midterm Thrashing
Therese Raphael/Bloomberg/May 04/2022
Britain’s Tories have been in power for a long time and incumbents generally get a midterm beating. So, of course, Boris Johnson is expecting a slapdown in local government elections on Thursday.
There are plenty of reasons for voters to deliver one. Historically, there is a pretty strong correlation between confidence in the economy and governing popularity. With inflation at a 30-year high and Britons feeling squeezed on all fronts, polls show the economy is the biggest concern voters have right now, well ahead of even health-care.
At least inflationary pressures are common to many other countries — and proving a drag on Joe Biden’s own knife’s edge midterm prospects. But Johnson and his Conservatives are carrying some added baggage. In what other legislature do you have dozens of lawmakers — 56, according to a Sunday Times report, which is 8% of the elected leaders making rules for the country — being investigated for sexual misconduct, including several cabinet ministers? Not all are Tory MPs, but there is plenty to give Tory voters pause. For voters who can keep up, this looks like heaps more evidence of an entitlement culture that is resented even more in leaner times.
Last month, Tory MP Imran Ahman Kahn was convicted of sexually assaulting a 15-year-old boy in 2008. Last week, Tory MP Neil Parish admitted to watching porn on his mobile phone in the House of Commons in a “moment of madness,” but only after two female MPs complained. Both men have resigned, leaving two by-elections ahead. A dozen female Conservative MPs and plenty of Westminster journalists have, meanwhile, shared tales of everything from misogynistic attitudes to harassment within the party and parliament more broadly. Not even Donald Trump’s mores-defying White House quite compares.
That makes for a pretty awkward election backdrop. Johnson’s government, and parliamentary leaders such as Speaker Lindsay Hoyle, are trying to find the appropriate response. It shouldn’t be rocket science. Having a proper human-resources department in parliament – instead of MPs employing staff directly and party “whips” acting as both enforcers of discipline and trying to play a pastoral role – would help. A 2019 independent inquiry suggested as much. But change in parliament comes at a glacial pace. While half of Labour MPs are female, only a quarter of Conservatives are.
How all these factors will play out in Thursday’s vote will be difficult to untangle, however. More than 6,000 councilors in 200 local authorities will be selected in England, Wales and Scotland, but while all the councils in Scotland and Wales (where the last local election was held in 2017) are up for grabs, only 144 of England’s 333 councils have elections and in many of them only a third of the seats are being contested.
Such midterm votes tend to track the popularity of the major parties but there are also local factors, from garbage collection and school places to the popularity of individual candidates (or in the case of Northern Ireland, divisions over governance and the direction of the union with Great Britain), that matter. The Liberal Democrats generally do better in local elections than in national elections and Greens would also be expected to do better. But it’s difficult to extrapolate from their showing.
In London, Labour already controls 21 of the 32 councils, and the Tories are only defending seven councils. That doesn’t mean the Tories won’t suffer, either from absolute losses or by losing key councils. As polling expert John Curtice told Bloomberg radio last week, a Tory loss in London’s Wandsworth Council – which has been held by the Tories since 1978 and pursued a Thatcherite agenda of low taxes and gentrification – would be a major symbolic defeat.
While the invasion of Ukraine, and Johnson’s close support for Ukrainian President Volodymir Zelenskiy, has helped blunt some criticism, the long-term impact of the partygate scandal is to undermine trust in government; an erosion that’s difficult to reverse. And there will be more to come. The full report into the breaking of lockdown rules by government officials is likely to be withering about the culture of exceptionalism.
How voters will respond to the latest sleaze revelations and allegations of misogyny is harder to gauge. While partygate is ultimately about trust and fairness, the latest reports, disclosures and convictions speak to expectations of public officials and to some extent reflect wide societal issues, which became more evident in the aftermath of the gruesome 2021 murder of Londoner Sarah Everard by a police officer. The party that has been in power since 2010 bears some responsibility for that culture, even if such problems long predate it.
The Tories have set expectations for this vote so low that anything short of a total wipeout will be spun as a victory of sorts. Losses will be accepted as a slice of humble pie and a raft of new measures announced. Until either the Tories see a viable substitute for Johnson, or voters view Labour as an acceptable government in waiting, danger isn’t imminent. But with inflation at a high and parliamentary standards sinking to a new low, the pressure will just keep building.

Iran likely to be left behind if ‘new world order’ emerges
Maria Maalouf/Arab News/May 04/2022
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei last week announced that “the world is on the threshold of a new world order” and that Tehran would have a strong role in creating it. This was the message the most senior cleric in Iran delivered to students enrolled in Iranian universities. In the past, Khamenei has addressed his remarks about the future of global politics to Iran’s Assembly of Experts. This time, the audience was different.
According to Khamenei, there are many students who attend universities in America who loathe the imperialist instincts of the US. He admonished his audience to start getting in touch with these students to acquaint them with Iran and to let them know about its true character and attributes away from what he considered the bias of the Western media. He put emphasis on what he considered to be the fact that Iran will be one of the leading countries in this “new world order.” He was predicting that this rearrangement of international politics would replace American influence. This is due to the fact that both capitalism and Western influence are eroding and, consequently, the decline of the US is inevitable.
This political prediction was made while Iran and the US are negotiating to reach an agreement over the former’s nuclear program. The supreme leader also said that America is becoming weaker day after day. And he established a nexus between the rise of a new global order and the war in Ukraine. Again, he advised the Iranian people to be ready for the emergence of this new world order. He characterized it as moving toward multipolarity and away from the bipolar or monopolar arrangements that have long dominated global politics.
However, Khamenei did not give details about the processes through which these radical changes will take place. He did not specify the role Iran will play in such a huge transformation of international politics. He did not list the losers and winners of the decline of America.
The loss of America’s military power from the region does not necessarily translate into an enhancement of Iran’s nuclear power. The US will retain a big military prowess compared to Iran, which cannot afford to spend too much money on its military. This comes at the expense of the welfare of the long-suffering Iranian people. Any system of interstate relations depends on the big military power that manages it. But Iran will not be able to overtake America’s military power since the US is a formidable military nation. Incidentally, Khamenei did not explain how the war between Russia and Ukraine will change the foundations of international politics.
Perhaps Iran will try to engage with other countries in the world, especially after the lifting of sanctions against it. But it could be rebuffed in its attempt to increase the level of contacts it has with the outside world. Most countries know that the Iranian state is a sponsor of terrorism. They are also fully cognizant of the fact that Iran suppresses its people and that it is not a democracy. Tehran cannot hide its terrible human rights record from the rest of the world. If Iran is a case of a failed political regime, how can its foreign policy be a catalyst for wholesale changes in relations among nations?
The loss of America’s military power from the region does not necessarily translate into an enhancement of Iran’s nuclear power.
The world knows that Iran’s foreign policy has a peculiar goal, which is regional dominance and the disruption of the coherent social and political fabrics of many societies. One more time: How can it be a leader in international circles when its diplomacy is based on the harming of other states’ national interests?
Most likely, Iran will find it sufficient to be a member of diplomatic gatherings such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, of which it is currently an observer state. However, if China and Russia were to reject Iran’s full membership bid, it would be a slap in the face for Tehran’s leaders. It would send the message that, despite Iran talking about its pioneering role in changing the direction of international relations, even the two nations that support it most will not allow it to become a full member of an important regional association of states. Iran cannot effect change in international politics on the basis of an anti-American coalition of nations.Khamenei’s statement made a prediction about the future of global politics. However, Iran has nothing good or positive to contribute to an improved system of relations between nations.
*Maria Maalouf is a Lebanese journalist, broadcaster, publisher and writer. She has a master’s degree in political sociology from the University of Lyon. Twitter: @bilarakib