English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For March 11/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
The Parable of the Unmerciful Servant: You wicked servant,’ he said, ‘I canceled all that debt of yours because you begged me to. Shouldn’t you have had mercy on your fellow servant just as I had on you
Matthew 18/23-35/ Then Peter came to Jesus and asked, “Lord, how many times shall I forgive my brother or sister who sins against me? Up to seven times?”Jesus answered, “I tell you, not seven times, but seventy-seven times. “Therefore, the kingdom of heaven is like a king who wanted to settle accounts with his servants. As he began the settlement, a man who owed him ten thousand bags of gold[h] was brought to him. Since he was not able to pay, the master ordered that he and his wife and his children and all that he had be sold to repay the debt. “At this the servant fell on his knees before him. ‘Be patient with me,’ he begged, ‘and I will pay back everything.’ The servant’s master took pity on him, canceled the debt and let him go.“But when that servant went out, he found one of his fellow servants who owed him a hundred silver coins. He grabbed him and began to choke him. ‘Pay back what you owe me!’ he demanded.“His fellow servant fell to his knees and begged him, ‘Be patient with me, and I will pay it back.’“But he refused. Instead, he went off and had the man thrown into prison until he could pay the debt. When the other servants saw what had happened, they were outraged and went and told their master everything that had happened. “Then the master called the servant in. ‘You wicked servant,’ he said, ‘I canceled all that debt of yours because you begged me to. Shouldn’t you have had mercy on your fellow servant just as I had on you?’ In anger his master handed him over to the jailers to be tortured, until he should pay back all he owed. “This is how my heavenly Father will treat each of you unless you forgive your brother or sister from your heart.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on March 10-11/2022
STL Reverses Acquittals of Merhi and Oneissi in Hariri Case
Aoun: Lebanon Committed to Timely Elections, Resolution 1701
Govt. Drops Megacenters Plan, Names New Information Minister, State Security Chiefs
Hizbullah Bloc Backs Megacenters, Urges Elections on Time
Hariri Slams Hizbullah after STL Reverses Acquittals of Merhi and Oneissi
Miqati Urges U.N. to Discuss Lebanese Crisis in Security Council Talks
Judge Aoun Slaps Travel Bans on Chairmen of 5 Lebanese Banks
Report: Possibility of Elections Postponement More Than 65%
Fears Mount Over Iran’s Use Of Lebanon Front To Respond To Israeli Raid In Syria
France to Donate Buses to Lebanon in Integrated Transport Plan
WHO, UNICEF Hand over Reconstructed Central Drug Warehouse to MOPH
Americans in Japanese Prison in Ghosn Escape Seek to Go Home
Lebanon: Government to Start Disbursing Social Aid Next Week
Closed for Decades, Theater Returns to Lebanon's Tripoli
Hizbullah MP Mohammad Raad: We Would Rather Leave Natural Gas Underwater Than Share It With Israel, Even If It Could Pay Our Debts
Lebanese TV Show Claims Jews, Israelis Control The Media: This Enemy Infiltrates Our Culture, Societies, And Systems Of Morality

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on March 10-11/2022
Iran Vows to Avenge the Death of 2 IRGC Members in Syria
Iran Rejects Curbs on its Defensive Power, Regional Presence
Iran Nuclear Talks Stumble Over Russian Demands
Iran Says Lack of US Decision on Nuclear Deal Complicates Talks
US National Intelligence: Iran Poses Major Threat to US Security
US Deputy Assistant Secretary for Iran and Iraq Jennifer Gavito: Washington Committed to Defending Saudi Arabia, Confronting Iranian Threat
No Breakthrough in Russia-Ukraine Talks amid Fury over Hospital Strike
Experts Says Russia Tactics in Ukraine War Mirror Syria Testing Ground
Attack on Ukrainian Hospital Draws Outrage as Talks Stall
U.S. VP Harris Embraces Call for War Crimes Probe of Russia
From 'Puppets' to Players: Ukraine War Reveals Shift for U.S.' Gulf Allies
Israeli President Ends Turkey Trip with Synagogue Visit
Trump-Era Israeli Settlement Growth Proceeds in His Absence
Battleground Ukraine: Day 15 of Russia's Invasion
Islamic State Names New Leader, Confirms Death of Predecessor
S. Korea's President-Elect Wants Tougher Stance on N. Korea

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on March 10-11/2022
Europe’s Future is Our Present/Hussam Itani/Asharq Al-Awsat/March,10/2022
The Goal is Not to Save Ukraine/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al-Awsat/March,10/2022
Russia’s Brain Drain Will Be Hard for Putin to Stop/Stephen Mihm/Asharq Al-Awsat/March,10/2022
Palestinians: US Weakness Facilitates the Rise of Jihad and Fundamentalism/Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/March 10, 2022

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on March 10-11/2022
STL Reverses Acquittals of Merhi and Oneissi in Hariri Case
Agence France Presse/Associated Press/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
The Appeals Chamber of the U.N.-backed Special Tribunal for Lebanon on Thursday reversed the acquittals of Hizbullah operatives Hassan Merhi and Hussein Oneissi, convicting them of all charges against them and issuing arrest warrants for them. "The chamber has unanimously decided to reverse the acquittals of Misters Merhi and Oneissi. We unanimously find Mr Merhi and Oneissi guilty," presiding judge Ivana Hrdlickova said. "The evidence shows a significant number of exchanges between the (third) mobile phone and both Misters Merhi and Oneissi in the hours following the assassination of Mr Hariri," Hrdlickova added. "Telecommunication evidence shows that Misters Merhi and Oneissi... simultaneously discarded their phones after the attack," she said. It had been established "beyond reasonable doubt" that Merhi "knowingly and willingly entered into an agreement to participate in the commission of a terrorist act, namely the assassination of Mr Hariri by means of an explosive device," the judge added. Moreover, Merhi could have foreseen that in attacking Hariri in such a public place "other people could have died." Similarly, Oneissi too "knowingly and willingly" agreed to participate "in the commission of a terrorist act," said Hrdlickova. Appeals judges at the Netherlands-based court said trial judges "erred" in 2020 by acquitting the two men, together with a third, in finding that there was a lack of evidence. The Appeals Chamber will now proceed with sentencing proceedings in relation to Merhi and Oneissi.
The Office of the Prosecutor of the STL said the convictions of Merhi and Oneissi “resulted from the Prosecutor’s successful appeal against findings by the Trial Chamber,” adding that both men “played a significant role immediately after the attack to shield the perpetrators from justice.”
“Shortly after the attack, Merhi and Oneissi participated in the distribution of a video in which a fictitious group falsely claimed responsibility for the attack and ensured that the video would be collected and broadcast on Al-Jazeera television within hours of the attack,” the OTP said.
“The acts for which they have been convicted were callous and manipulative, designed not only to shield the real perpetrators from justice but to deceive the Lebanese people,” stated STL Prosecutor Norman Farrell “But accountability does not end with their conviction. Merhi and Oneissi, along with their co-conspirator Salim Ayyash remain fugitives. Justice demands that they be arrested,” added the Prosecutor. In addition to convicting Merhi and Oneissi, the Appeals Chamber concluded that a network of phones, labelled by the Prosecution as the “Green Network”, was used to coordinate the attack.
“Despite the sophisticated efforts by the perpetrators to conceal what took place in Lebanon on 14 February 2005, their role and participation were revealed through a complex investigation using technical data showing their use of telephone networks to coordinate and carry out the attack,” the Prosecutor said.
“This result would not have been reached without the efforts of courageous witnesses, including the victims. It is hoped that this judicial process and outcome will contribute to the strengthening of accountability as well as the role of international justice. I wish to thank my Deputy, and my team in The Hague and in Beirut for their excellent work and dedication,” the Prosecutor added. The STL had in August 2020 convicted Hizbullah member Salim Ayyash of involvement in the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, as it acquitted Merhi, Oneissi and Assad Sabra. The STL said back then that Ayyash was guilty as a co-conspirator of five charges linked to his involvement in the suicide truck bombing. Hariri and 21 others were killed and 226 were wounded in a huge blast outside a seaside hotel in Beirut on Feb. 14, 2005. The tribunal's 2020 verdict was met with anger and disappointment in parts of Lebanon after judges said there was no evidence that Hizbullah's leadership and Syria were involved in the attack, despite saying the assassination happened as Hariri and his political allies were discussing calling for Syria to withdraw its forces from Lebanon. Prosecutors based their case largely on data from mobile phones allegedly used by the plotters to plan and execute the bombing. During the trial, which started in 2014 and spanned 415 days of hearings, the tribunal in Leidschendam, near The Hague, heard evidence from 297 witnesses. Initially, five suspects were tried, all of them Hizbullah members. Charges against one of the group's top military commanders, Mustafa Badreddine, were dropped after he was killed in Syria in 2016. The court said in 2020 it could not prove that Badreddine was the mastermind behind the assassination. Hizbullah has vowed not to hand over any suspects. The Iran-backed also denies involvement and claims that the case is an Israeli plot to tarnish the group. The Special Tribunal is expected to close after the appeals phase because of a cash shortage, with a further case against Ayyash over attacks on several politicians likely to go unheard.

Aoun: Lebanon Committed to Timely Elections, Resolution 1701
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
President Michel Aoun on Thursday stressed to U.N. Special Coordinator for Lebanon Joanna Wronecka that Lebanon is committed to holding the parliamentary elections on time. “Lebanon is committed to working for holding the parliamentary election on time on May 15 and to continuing the negotiations with the International Monetary Fund to approve the economic and financial recovery plan,” Aoun told Wronecka. He also emphasized that Lebanon is abiding by U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701 and will continue to support the work of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL).
Wronecka visited Aoun to put him in the picture of the briefing that she intends to present to the U.N. Security Council on March 17 over the situations in Lebanon and the implementation of UNSCR 1701. According to the National News Agency, the U.N. official expressed her relief over the support she has received from Aoun in her work as Special Coordinator for Lebanon.

Govt. Drops Megacenters Plan, Names New Information Minister, State Security Chiefs
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Cabinet agreed Thursday to drop a controversial plan for setting up voting megacenters for the May 15 parliamentary polls, as it took note of the appointment of Ziad Makari of the Marada Movement as a successor to resigned information minister George Kordahi.The conferees, however, agreed that it is necessary to implement the megacenters plan in the 2026 elections. MTV meanwhile reported that Sport and Youth Minister George Kallas rejected during the session that he be allotted the information portfolio, which led to naming Makari as information and not sport minister as initially planned. Separately, Cabinet approved the appointment of Maj. Gen. Tony Saliba as a civilian head of the State Security directorate and named Brig. Gen. Hassan Shqeir as his deputy. Minister of the Displaced Issam Sharafeddine meanwhile walked out of the session after Cabinet refused his request to re-discuss the issue of Syrian refugees.

Hizbullah Bloc Backs Megacenters, Urges Elections on Time
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022 
Hizbullah’s Loyalty to Resistance bloc on Thursday stressed the need to hold the May 15 parliamentary elections on time, while stressing that the voting megacenters plan is a “required and landmark step.”In a statement issued after its weekly meeting, the bloc said it “categorically rejects any postponement of the parliamentary elections under any excuse.”“The adoption of megacenters is a required and landmark step that should be taken in this electoral round, on the basis of holding the elections on time,” the bloc added. The bloc also said that it “strongly opposes” the official Lebanese stance on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, noting that “the Lebanese Foreign Ministry statement and the vote against Russia at the U.N. General Assembly harm Lebanon and its interests and do not reflect the true stance of the Lebanese people.”

Hariri Slams Hizbullah after STL Reverses Acquittals of Merhi and Oneissi
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Ex-PM Saad Hariri on Thursday lashed out at Hizbullah for “protecting the criminals,” after the Special Tribunal for Lebanon reversed the acquittals of Hizbullah operatives Hassan Merhi and Hussein Oneissi in the case of Rafik Hariri’s assassination. “Ex-PM Saad Hariri renews his full confidence and complete commitment to what the Special Tribunal for Lebanon issues in the case of the assassination of martyr premier Rafik Hariri and his companions as well as in the connected cases,” his press office said in a statement. “The Appeals Chamber’s decision to reverse the acquittals of the Accused Hassan Habib Merhi and Hussein Hassan Oneissi obligates the Lebanese state and all its military and security authorities and agencies to seek the arrest of the convicts to hand them over to the STL for the execution of the decided penalties,” the statement added. It said that Hariri also calls for the arrest of the third convict in the case – Hizbullah operative Salim Ayyash. Hariri “holds Hizbullah responsible for covering up for the crime, protecting the criminals who belong to it, and evading the rulings of international justice,” the statement added. “History will not be merciful on all the culprits and plotters who planned the assassination crime, and it will remain on the lookout for every party or leadership that fails to implement justice and penalize the criminal murderers,” the statement said.

Miqati Urges U.N. to Discuss Lebanese Crisis in Security Council Talks
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022 
Prime Minister Najib Miqati called Thursday on the United Nations to intensify the international efforts to support Lebanon. He asked U.N. Special Coordinator for Lebanon Joanna Wronecka to urge the U.N. Security Council to address the Lebanese crisis, in its upcoming session next week. Wronecka discussed with Miqati possible propositions to be added to the report she will send to the Security Council that will discuss in a session on March 17, the implementation of the U.N. resolution 1701.

Judge Aoun Slaps Travel Bans on Chairmen of 5 Lebanese Banks
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Mount Lebanon Prosecutor Judge Ghada Aoun on Thursday issued travel bans against the chairmen of five Lebanese banks in connection with a financial corruption complaint, the state-run National News Agency said. NNA identified the five chairmen as Salim Sfeir of Bank of Beirut, Samir Hanna of Bank Audi, Antoine Sehnaoui of SGBL, Saad al-Azhari of BLOM Bank and Rayya al-Hassan of BankMed. Aoun had interrogated several chairmen of banks in recent weeks over the complaint, which is filed by an activist group called the People Want to Reform the Regime. The complaint targets the chairmen of all Lebanese banks in connection with a lawsuit alleging that the central bank had transferred $8 billion to seven banks to pay to depositors abroad, and that the banks paid only $1 billion and kept the remaining $7 billion in their coffers. The lawsuit also targets Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh and six central bank officials.

Report: Possibility of Elections Postponement More Than 65%
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
The country’s top leaders are afraid that the repercussions of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict might have an impact on the organization of the upcoming parliamentary elections, a media report said on Thursday. “The possibility of the parliamentary elections’ postponement is around 65%, and this possibility surged after the eruption of the Russian-Ukrainian war,” ad-Diyar newspaper quoted a senior leader as telling his visitors. “All political forces, specifically the top leaders, want to postpone the parliamentary elections, but the question remains ‘who would be the suicidal person who would dare announced that,’” the senior leader added. The daily added that “when the Tourism Minister suggested postponing the elections for six months in the last Cabinet session, his stance was not met with objections, contrary to what was leaked to media outlets.”

Fears Mount Over Iran’s Use Of Lebanon Front To Respond To Israeli Raid In Syria
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Fears mounted in Lebanon over a possible Iranian retaliation from the south of the country, after Tehran vowed to respond to the killing of two Revolutionary Guards officers in Syria following an Israeli raid. On Tuesday, the IRGC announced the death of two of its officers in an Israeli bombardment targeting sites near Damascus at dawn on Monday, threatening that Israel would pay “the price for its crime.” The British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) reported that the bombing targeted “at least a warehouse of weapons and ammunition belonging to Iranian fighters” in the vicinity of Damascus International Airport, and led to the killing of “two fighters loyal to Iran.” Following Iran’s announcement, concerns mounted over the possibility that Tehran would use the Lebanese southern front to respond to the Israeli strike. Some Lebanese expressed their fears of the outbreak of a confrontation, given Hezbollah’s ties with Tehran, and the party’s previous declaration of “the unity of the fronts.”However, Makram Rabah, a researcher in history and conflicts, downplayed the importance of these concerns, telling Asharq Al-Awsat that the party was involved in the fighting in Syria, and was exposed to the Israeli night strikes that also target Iranian-affiliated militias. Rabah said that a direct confrontation in southern Lebanon was unlikely, “because Israeli raids on Iranian militias have been ongoing for years, and despite the threats of the Revolutionary Guards, they did not trigger tensions in Lebanon’s southern front.”
Iran is a key ally of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and has provided political, economic and military support to Damascus since the outbreak of the war in 2011. While Tehran claims that members of its armed forces were in Syria on advisory missions, Hezbollah emphasizes the unity of fronts from Syria to southern Lebanon.The nuclear talks in Vienna prevent Hezbollah from responding from southern Lebanon, according to Rabah, who said that Iran “does not want the military response to affect the negotiation process.”He continued: “Hezbollah does not care about the Lebanese economy and security, but at this very moment, it sees the priority in the Iranian project and the success of negotiations that will give Tehran the ability to sell oil to the West if the confrontation in Ukraine continues.”

France to Donate Buses to Lebanon in Integrated Transport Plan
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022 
French Transport Minister delegate Jean-Baptiste Djebbari arrived in Beirut on Thursday to donate buses to Lebanon. Djebbari will sign with Public Works and Transport Minister Ali Hamiyeh a memorandum of understanding. France will successively provide Lebanon with buses as part of an integrated transport plan. The first donation will be 50 buses, Hamiyeh said. A surge in gasoline prices and an unprecedented economic crisis have exacerbated the need for public transportation, that is effectively non-existent in Lebanon. Several proposals over the decades to revamp public transport have been shelved. In 2018, the World Bank approved a $295 million package to jumpstart the country's first modern public transport system. The Greater Beirut Public Transport Project, however, never took off, as Lebanon has been struggling since 2019 with a major financial crisis dubbed by the World Bank as one of the planet's worst in modern times. Lebanon has had a railway network since the end of the 19th century but it has been out of service since the start of the country's 1975-1990 civil war. Spain is also expected to sign a deal with Lebanon to finance a plan to revive the railway network.

WHO, UNICEF Hand over Reconstructed Central Drug Warehouse to MOPH
Naharnet/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Thursday marked the handover of the Ministry of Public Health’s Central Drug Warehouse (CDW) in Qarantina, one year and a half after it was destroyed by the Beirut port explosions, WHO Lebanon said.
Early in 2020, WHO initiated the expansion of the CDW from 600 m3 to around 2,000 m3. However, the work was put on hold by the devastating explosions in August 2020. In response, a new plan was developed "aiming at fully reconstructing the warehouse and increasing the storage capacity to 8,000 m3, as well as modernizing the storage and distribution capacities of the warehouse."“Within our support to the people living in Lebanon who are burdened under so many difficult livelihood circumstances, we prioritized our efforts to ensure that this medicine hub that gives relief to people is restored and upgraded to serve faster, better and leave no one behind,” said Dr Iman Shankiti, WHO Representative in Lebanon. The team of engineers supervised by WHO rebuilt the warehouse with the highest standard and safety measures. Bloc A houses the cold rooms, short-term storage, order preparations, with office spaces on the higher floors; Bloc B is dedicated to long-term storage and has safe rooms for high-value medications. Through the support of UNICEF, 14 refrigeration rooms were also rebuilt at the warehouse and linked to a solar power system to guarantee the safe storage of all vaccines. “The restoration of the cold rooms at the central drug warehouse was critical to ensure the safe delivery of vaccines to support the routine immunization of children and mothers, as well as the country’s COVID-19 vaccination campaign,” said Ettie Higgins, UNICEF Representative in Lebanon. “We are extremely grateful to the Government of Australia for having provided critical funding to restore the cold chain for vaccines.”The statement went on to say that the whole project was made possible "through the generous funding from the Government of Japan, the State of Kuwait and WHO Emergency Funding, while Australian Aid through UNICEF provided 12 cold rooms, two refrigeration rooms and a photovoltaic electricity system (with solar source of electricity) as per WHO recommendations on sustainability and clean sources of energy."
It stated that the structure also includes a server room to operate the new fully-automated Logistic Management System (LMS) and provide backup for the servers located centrally at the MOPH in Bir Hassan.
“This project is an integral part of the process of the storage and delivery of essential medications and medical supplies to patients. We thank our partners for their support in rehabilitation of the physical part of this process, and pledge to continue working with them on the digital transformation of our logistics to ensure a transparent, efficient and timely distribution practice,” said Dr Firass Abiad, Minister of Public Health. The new capacity of the warehouse allows for the storage of medication supplies and vaccines that can serve over 1 million beneficiaries either directly or through 830 primary healthcare centers, dispensaries or mobile clinics across the country. "The storage of the warehouse is almost at full capacity with essential medications for chronic, acute and mental health conditions, as well as vaccines, which are provided through generous support from the European Union and distributed through primary health care centres in Lebanon," the statement concluded.

Americans in Japanese Prison in Ghosn Escape Seek to Go Home
Associated Press/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Two Americans imprisoned in Japan for helping former Nissan Chairman Carlos Ghosn avoid trial and escape to Lebanon are hoping to serve the rest of their time in the U.S. The Boston-based attorney for Michael Taylor and his son Peter Taylor, Paul Kelly, said Thursday that the elder man was suffering from serious back pain and frostbite. The U.S. Justice Department in October requested the Taylors, who were convicted in the same trial, be transferred to a U.S. prison. "It's not been an easy time for them, between the extreme cold and the isolation," Kelly told The Associated Press. "Japan has not acted on the transfer issue at all. If Japan were to grant the transfer, then Michael and Peter would be literally taken immediately out of Japan and brought back to the United States," he said. Japan's Justice Ministry must agree for the transfer to be carried out. The ministry had no immediate comment.
Ghosn fled to Lebanon in late 2019, hiding in a music instrument box aboard a private jet. Japanese prisons lack Western-style heating, air-conditioning or beds. Inmates get a mattress that's rolled out at night. Japanese authorities say their prisons meet humanitarian standards. Michael and Peter Taylor were convicted in Tokyo District Court in July for their roles in helping Ghosn escape Japan for Lebanon, the country of his ancestry. Lebanon has no extradition treaty with Japan. Taylor, 61, was sentenced to two years in prison. Peter Taylor, 29, was accused of arranging the escape and sentenced to 20 months in prison. Since he is athletic and younger, he is in better shape than his father, Kelly said. In their trial, they said they had been misled and wanted to save Ghosn from an unfair system, believing Ghosn could not expect a fair trial. Japan's justice system has been long criticized by human rights advocates.
The Taylors were extradited from the U.S. in February 2021, after spending nine months in detention. They were kept in solitary confinement in Japan while awaiting their verdict. That is fairly standard in Japan for suspects not given bail. But they were not given credit for the time spent before they were sentenced. The Taylors' family members have not been able to visit or telephone them. They have only been able to meet with their attorneys and U.S. Embassy officials. Ghosn was arrested in November 2018 and charged with under-reporting his compensation and of breach of trust in misusing Nissan money for personal gain, such as fancy homes, a yacht and lavish parties. He says he is innocent. Another American, former senior Nissan Motor Co. executive Greg Kelly, recently returned home to the U.S. after being cleared of nearly all charges related to Ghosn's compensation. Kelly says he is innocent and is appealing. He is not required to stay in Japan while the Tokyo High Court hears an appeal. Tokyo prosecutors, who demanded two years in prison for Kelly, also are considering an appeal, spokesman and Deputy Chief Prosecutor Hiroshi Morimoto said. Ghosn was a superstar for two decades at Nissan's helm. Kelly's trial has highlighted discontent at the Japanese automaker over what was perceived as its lesser position in the alliance with French partner Renault.

Lebanon: Government to Start Disbursing Social Aid Next Week
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
The Ministry of Social Affairs will begin disbursing social assistance to 150,000 eligible families, amid rising unemployment levels and procrastination by the Lebanese authorities in addressing economic and social crises. Following a meeting with President Michel Aoun on Wednesday, Minister of Social Affairs Hector Hajjar said that the distribution of aid to eligible families within the so-called Aman program “will start next week for 150,000 families,” stressing “full adherence to the criteria set by the ministry and the relevant ministerial committee in selecting the families.”The Lebanese government is working on three internationally supported local programs to provide social assistance to the most vulnerable groups in the country. Tens of thousands of Lebanese families are expected to benefit from the projects, which aim at helping the population withstand the economic and living crisis that has marred the country since 2019.
In remarks to reporters at the Baabda Palace, Hajjar explained that the selected families will receive monthly the amount of $25, in addition to $20 for each child and up to 6 children per family. The Aman program will take into account at the first stage, families with elderly persons or with special needs, inappropriate housing and other criteria, such as the lack of a monthly income. In a statement, member of the Democratic Gathering bloc MP Nehme Tohme said that the measures taken by the government were not commensurate with the scale of the disasters.
The deputy stressed that the ongoing financial, economic and social collapse required firm steps, saying: “It seems that those concerned live on another planet, and are not aware of the people’s suffering… How can they see the tragedies at the doors of hospitals, difficulties in settling school and university tuitions, and the impossibility of securing heating, in addition to the unprecedented migration wave?”Tohme regretted the “absence of statesmen,” pointing to “arbitrary and random policies in addressing the accumulated crises, away from any clear vision or a practical and scientific approach to these problems.”

Closed for Decades, Theater Returns to Lebanon's Tripoli
Associated Press/March 10/2022
The hissing of a water hose spraying the ground reverberates around the walls of the dimly lit Empire Cinema in Lebanon's northern city of Tripoli. From the floor of a paint-chipped room that was once a ticket office, a man sorts through rusty bolts and screws, while in the adjacent foyer, a woman sweeps dust off a mirror. The person leading the restoration efforts is 35-year-old actor and director Kassem Istanbouli, known for his theater work throughout Lebanon. Several days a week, his team — which includes a Syrian, a Palestinian, a Lebanese and a Bangladeshi — drives three hours from their homes in the country's south to work on the space, built in the early 1940s but abandoned for decades. The restoration project launched last month is the first of its kind in hardscrabble Tripoli, Lebanon's second largest city more often known in recent years for sectarian and other violence. "What we are trying to say is that Tripoli is a city of culture and art," Istanbouli said. "When you open a cinema and a theater, people will come and attend. But if you give them a gun, of course they will shoot at each other and kill each other," he added. For much of the rest of Lebanon, Tripoli's artistic history is considered a relic of the past, overshadowed by crushing poverty, corruption, and migration. But Tripoli has an especially long cinematic tradition, once boasting up to 35 movie houses, including Lebanon's first. Cinema Empire is the last of five historic cinemas still standing in Tripoli's Tell Square, which encircles a clock tower gifted by Ottoman Sultan Abdul Hamid II in the early 20th century. It shut down in 1988 as massive cinema complexes opened inside malls, and home video players grew in popularity.
Istanbouli, founder of the Tiro Association for Arts in the southern city of Tyre, has already transformed three abandoned cinemas there into theater and film venues. Much like Tyre's Rivoli theatre which he restored in early 2018, Istanbouli aims to transform the Empire into a multi-purpose venue featuring not only arts festivals and plays, but also a library, a visual arts studio and area for workshops. That's no small order these days, given a crippled economy and over 80% of the population living in poverty. Even before a financial crisis led to the current depression, Tripoli was already Lebanon's poorest city — plagued by government neglect and a lack of investment. It has been a major point of departure for illegal migration, with Lebanese now following the same precarious path as Syrians fleeing their civil war, trying to reach Europe via the Mediterranean. The director's project was inspired by his father, an electrician who used to repair movie houses in the south, and his grandfather, who was a sailor and hakawati — a storyteller who sported a red fez while recounting folkloric tales in Tyre's old cafes. "This project will improve the city economically. It will bring tourism and change to its reputation," Istanbouli said.
Charles Hayek, a 39-year-old historian and conservationist said that Istanbouli's project will do more than just fight negative perceptions.
"Kassem is saving one of the heritage buildings and giving it back life," he said. Tripoli has lost much of its architectural heritage — especially around Tell Square — in the past decade due to neglect. Before the 1975-1990 civil war, the square's oldest cinema, Inja, once attracted two of the Arab world's biggest music celebrities: Umm Kalthoum and Mohamed Abdel Wahab. That building has now been demolished, replaced by a parking garage. For rehabilitation funds, Istanbouli has partnered with the DOEN Foundation and The Euro-Mediterranean Foundation of Support to Human Rights Defenders.The cinema contract from a private owner is for five years, and he hopes to officially open within six months. One afternoon, Istanbouli led volunteers who had finished with repairs through acting exercises. "Pretend that you're an animal," he said to a woman who then announced she was a panda. "Now I want you to face off against a dog… who wants to be a dog?" he asked. Maha Amin, one of the attendees from Tyre who was sweeping dust off mirrors in the morning and was now on stage, never thought about the possibility of acting, let alone visiting Tripoli. "The environment we live in doesn't accept a woman who is my age to do this," the 57-year-old special needs teacher said. She initially went to Istanbouli's Rivoli theater in Tyre to enroll her seven grandchildren, but ended up joining them. "Especially in the tough times today, people need to breathe and express themselves," she said. "It's here on stage after a long day of work that I'm able I'm able to say what I want, in total freedom."

Hizbullah MP Mohammad Raad: We Would Rather Leave Natural Gas Underwater Than Share It With Israel, Even If It Could Pay Our Debts
MEMRI/March 10/2022
Source: OTV (Lebanon)
Hizbullah MP Mohammad Raad, the leader of the Loyalty to the Resistance Bloc in the Lebanese parliament, said in a February 28, 2022 interview on OTV (Lebanon) that it would be better to leave the natural gas off the shores of Lebanon untouched rather than share it with Israel. Emphasizing that this is the preferable course of action even though extracting the natural gas from the water could pay off Lebanon's debts, he said: "We'd rather leave the gas buried underwater until the day comes when we can prevent the Israelis from touching a single drop of our waters." Raad's statements were made on the backdrop of an ongoing debate in Lebanon about the demarcation of maritime borders with Israel and the sharing of natural gas reserves.Mohammad Raad: "In order to be able to drill in our territorial waters and extract natural gas that would pay our debts, they tell us that we can drill in the water, but it may turn out that you will need to share the gas field with the Israelis.

Lebanese TV Show Claims Jews, Israelis Control The Media: This Enemy Infiltrates Our Culture, Societies, And Systems Of Morality
MEMRI/March 10/2022
Source: Mayadeen TV (Lebanon)
In a February 18, 2022 show on Mayadeen TV (Lebanon), show host Yahya Abu Zakariya said that Jews own half of the world's media, including influential Arab TV channels, and that Western platforms bankroll films that call for "Arab-Israeli love," for outlawing "the resistance," and that support homosexuality and pedophilia. Sheikh Muhammad Khidr, the head of the Islamic Forum for Da'wa and Dialogue, claimed that the Israeli Radio and Television Law talks about broadcasting Arabic programs outside Israel "in order to achieve the goals of Zionism and defend the Israeli policy of settlement, Judaization, and all the violent acts of war carried out by Israel." He said: "This enemy infiltrates into our culture, our societies, and our moral system."
Yahya Abu Zakariya: "How can we protect our situation when the Western platforms that invade our cultural and artistic scene bankroll films calling for normalization, Arab-Israeli love, the outlawing of the resistance, supporting homosexuality and pedophilia, and everything that goes against the general Arab and the Islamic traditions?
"Why do we seem helpless and incapable of producing sublime artistic works that would serve our cultural values and bolster our national identity?
"You can see that wealthy Jews spend money on the media. I can give you the names of Jews who own half of the world's media. They have even bought half of the Arab media. Some of the influential Arab TV channels are owned by Jews. 50% of their capital. Where are the wealthy Muslims? It's sad."
Sheikh Muhammad Khidr: "In validation of what you just said, I bumped into Article 3 of the Israeli Radio and Television Law. It states, in short, that 'the goals of the Israeli media in all areas is to highlight the Zionist character of Israel.' Then it says: '...in addition to broadcasting programs in Arabic outside of Israel, in order to achieve the goals of Zionism, and defend the Israeli policy of settlement, Judaization, and all the violent acts of war carried out by Israel.' With this in mind, I would like to add to what you have said that we do not want to pin all our problems on conspiracy theories, I fear that we are inclined to giving this arrogant enemy a clean bill of health. This enemy infiltrates into our culture, our society, and our moral systems, and we say that the only problem is our emptiness."
Abu Zakariya: "Let me play the devil's advocate. Have you heard in the Israeli discourse any dispute between Ashkenazi Jews and Sephardic Jews? In the Islamic TV Channels, you have Sunnis, Shiites, Ibadis, Zaydis, people accusing one another of heresy, 'You go to hell, and we go to Heaven...' We are mentally ill. Why not admit that?"
Khidr "True. That is the reality. This is why Ben-Gurion said in the past: 'The media founded our state, and helped us gain international legitimacy.'"

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on March 10-11/2022
Iran Vows to Avenge the Death of 2 IRGC Members in Syria
Tel Aviv, Tehran - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Israel awaits with anticipation Iran's retaliation for the airstrike on Syria that killed four people on Monday, including two of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC). Syrian state media said that two civilians were killed during the attack, while the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) said they were two Syrian militants fighting with pro-Iran militias. The Observatory said the two dead Iranians killed were affiliated with al-Quds Force. Six militiamen were also wounded, it added. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh said revenge for Monday's strike will be taken, adding that holding Israel accountable for such attacks "is one of the main goals of the resistance (forces) in the region."The IRGC's Sepah News website said: "Guard colonels Ehsan Karbalaipour and Morteza Saidnejad were martyred, a crime committed by the Zionist regime, during a rocket attack on the suburbs of Damascus, Syria, yesterday morning."The site stated that Israel would "pay for this crime."The strike's target was an ammunition depot operated by Iran-backed militias near Damascus international airport. SOHR said Israel has carried out raids in Syria at least seven times this year. Iran is Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's strongest ally in the conflict. The Syrian army and thousands of Iranian-backed militants are fighting the Syrian opposition, backed by the Russian air force. According to Walla's military correspondent, Israel is aware of Iran's determination to respond to the killing of the two IRGC members.
The Israeli army raised the state of alert and readiness of its units operating the "Iron Dome" systems along the border with Syria and stated that it was preparing for a possible missile attack from Syria. In April, Iran admitted to casualties among its forces during an Israeli attack on sites in Syria, including seven fighters killed in an attack on T4 airport east of Homs. A month later, Iran responded with a barrage of missiles fired by armed militia at Israeli sites. The Quds Force unofficial Telegram channel reported that Iran retaliated for the death of its members at the Syrian T4 base after an Israeli raid that killed seven Iranian forces in 2018. The channel reported that Tehran responded by bombing an Israeli base in the occupied Golan with fifty missiles, noting that Israelis did not report the attack and the damage incurred. Several Israeli experts admitted that the firing of 50 missiles from Syria at Israeli bases was an unprecedented matter that surprised observers.

Iran Rejects Curbs on its Defensive Power, Regional Presence

Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei said on Thursday that Tehran will not bow to pressure to reduce its defensive power, regional presence and progress in nuclear technology, Iranian state media reported.
“Suggestions to reduce our defensive power so as to appease the enemy are nothing more that naive and ill-advised. Over time, these flawed proposals have been rebutted, but if they weren’t, Iran would have now faced great threats,” the country's top political authority said according to state media. “Regional presence gives us strategic depth and more power," Khamenei said. "Why should we give it up? Scientific progress in the nuclear field is related to our future needs, and if we give that up, will anyone help us in the future?” he added. Iran on Thursday called on the United States to drop "unacceptable proposals" in the talks on the nuclear deal, while Russia's demands for guarantees from Washington have complicated efforts to close an agreement.

Iran Nuclear Talks Stumble Over Russian Demands
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Parties trying to revive the Iran nuclear deal scrambled on Wednesday to resolve last-minute Russian demands that threaten to scupper negotiations, diplomats said, with the United States appearing unwilling to engage with Russia on the matter. Western powers on Tuesday warned Russia against wrecking an almost completed deal on bringing the United States and Iran back into compliance with the 2015 accord. Iran's top negotiator returned to Vienna on Wednesday from consultations in Tehran. Russia's envoy to the talks, Mikhail Ulyanov, dismissed any suggestion Moscow was holding up an agreement and said a final text had in any case not been completed. Eleven months of talks to restore the deal, which lifted sanctions on Iran in return for curbs on its nuclear program, have reached their final stages with several diplomats saying there was broad agreement. But just as the final issues were being resolved, Russia presented a new obstacle by demanding written guarantees from the United States that Western sanctions targeting Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine would not affect its trade with Iran. Ulyanov said Moscow's demands had not received a positive reaction. "In view of the new circumstances and wave of sanctions against Russia we have the right to protect our interests in the nuclear field and wider context," Ulyanov said. He said the United States and the European Union had to make it clear that neither now or in the future sanctions could hit the implementation of nuclear projects in Iran as well as its trade and economic relations. Ulyanov met the coordinator of the talks, Enrique Mora of the European Union, on Tuesday evening and again on Wednesday. He said he would still have to report back to Moscow for a final decision after the text was finalized. "There is no final text so how can our position delay anything if final negotiations are not finished," Reuters quoted him as saying. "A number of participants at this moment are not ready to confirm that the text is fully acceptable to them." US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland on Tuesday accused Russia of seeking to reap extra benefits from its participation in the effort to restore the nuclear agreement, but she said Washington would not be playing "Let's Make a Deal."Two Western diplomats said it was still not clear what the exact nature of Moscow's demands were, while a European diplomat said Russia was demanding sweeping guarantees on trade between Moscow and Tehran, demands that were deemed unacceptable. They said the talks were now not likely to end this week. Mora broke off informal meetings on Monday saying the time had come for political decisions to be taken to end the negotiations. European negotiators from France, Britain, and Germany had already temporarily left the talks as they believed they had gone as far as they could go and it was now up to the United States and Iran to agree on outstanding issues. Iran's chief negotiator, Ali Bagheri Kani, returned to Tehran unexpectedly after Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov outlined Moscow's new demands. Iran's foreign minister said at the time that Tehran would not let its interests be harmed by "foreign elements".

Iran Says Lack of US Decision on Nuclear Deal Complicates Talks
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
The United States does not have the will to reach an agreement to revive a 2015 nuclear deal with Iran at talks in Vienna where it is insisting on "unacceptable proposals", Iran's top security official, Ali Shamkhani, said on Thursday. The 2015 deal that lifted sanctions on Iran in return for curbs on its nuclear program was on the verge of being restored after 11 months of negotiations until Russia presented a new obstacle by demanding written guarantees from the United States that Western sanctions over its invasion of Ukraine would not affect its trade with Iran. Shamkhani, secretary of Iran's Supreme Security Council, said on Twitter that in the absence of a political decision by the United States the talks "become more complicated every hour". The United States “has no will to reach a strong agreement", he said adding that it was making “unacceptable proposals (and) insists on a quick agreement with false pretenses”. According to Reuters, he did not elaborate on the US proposals. US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland on Tuesday accused Russia of seeking to reap extra benefits from its participation in the effort to restore the nuclear agreement. European negotiators from France, Britain, and Germany have temporarily left the talks as they believed they had gone as far as they could and it was now up to the United States and Iran to agree on outstanding issues. Iran's chief negotiator, Ali Bagheri Kani, returned to Tehran unexpectedly after Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov outlined Moscow's new demands. Iran's foreign minister said at the time that Tehran would not let its interests be harmed by "foreign elements".
Bagheri Kani flew back to Vienna on Wednesday.

US National Intelligence: Iran Poses Major Threat to US Security
Washington - Muath al-Amri/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
In light of the Biden administration’s continuous attempts with Iran to restore mutual compliance over the nuclear agreement, the US intelligence service warned that Tehran is still pursuing a policy of “aggressive actions” and that it has become a “major threat” to the security of the US and allied networks and data, calling for the need for maximum cyber protection. The US intelligence report presented to the Congress revealed that Iran’s growing expertise and willingness to conduct aggressive cyber operations make it a major threat to the US and allied networks and data security. “Iran’s opportunistic approach” to cyber-attacks makes critical infrastructure owners in the US susceptible to being targeted by Tehran, “especially when Tehran believes it must demonstrate that it can push back against the United States in other domains.” Intelligence experts indicated that recent Israeli and US targets attacks show that Iran is more willing than before to target countries with stronger capabilities, as Tehran was responsible for multiple cyber-attacks between April and July 2020 against Israeli water facilities. The report warned that Tehran would try to leverage its expanding nuclear program, proxy and partner forces, diplomacy, and military sales and acquisitions to advance its goals. The Iranian regime sees itself as “locked in an existential struggle” with the US and its regional allies while it pursues its longstanding ambitions for regional leadership. The report indicated that “the election of President Ebrahim Raisi in 2021 has invigorated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei to try to make progress toward his long-term vision of molding Iran into a pan-Islamic power,” adding that: “Iran’s hardline officials deeply distrust Washington and do not believe the United States can deliver or sustain any benefits a renewed JCPOA might offer.”
The report issued Tuesday indicated that Iran’s hybrid approach to warfare using both conventional and unconventional capabilities would threaten US interests in the region. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force (IRGC-QF) and its proxies will remain central to Iran’s military power, and Tehran will seek to improve and acquire new conventional weaponry despite its economic challenges. Iran’s ballistic missile programs, which include the largest inventory of ballistic missiles in the region, continue to threaten countries across the Middle East. The experts assessed that Iran is not currently undertaking the key nuclear weapons-development activities that they judge would be necessary to produce a nuclear device. The report also warned that Iran would threaten US persons directly and via proxy attacks, particularly in the Middle East. Iran also remains committed to developing networks inside the US, an objective it has pursued for more than a decade. Iranian-supported proxies will launch attacks against US forces and persons in Iraq and Syria, and perhaps on other countries and regions. Iran has threatened to retaliate against former and current US officials for the killing of IRGC-QF Commander Qasem Soleimani in January 2020 and has previously attempted to conduct lethal operations in the US. Meanwhile, a Justice Department official told the Washington Examiner newspaper that the al-Quds Force was plotting to assassinate former national security adviser John Bolton and that this was not the first time that the IRGC attempted to carry out a high-profile assassination on US soil. In 2011, security officials disrupted al-Quds Force’s plot to assassinate the then-Saudi ambassador Adel al-Jubeir as he dined at Cafe Milano in the Georgetown district of Washington.

US Deputy Assistant Secretary for Iran and Iraq Jennifer Gavito: Washington Committed to Defending Saudi Arabia, Confronting Iranian Threat
Riyadh - Fatehelrahman Yousif/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
US Deputy Assistant Secretary for Iran and Iraq Jennifer Gavito, in an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, confirmed that Washington is committed to reinforcing Saudi defenses. Gavito admitted US concerns towards Iranian influence in Iraq undermining the stability and security of national institutions in the country.She pointed out that US diplomacy seeks to dissuade Tehran from financing and arming groups outside the control of governments throughout the region. Gavito stressed that illegal flow of weapons from Iran to Yemen has led to an increase in the Houthis' brutal attacks and the suffering of civilians.
Here is the full text of the interview:
What worries the US administration the most about the development of events in Iraq, and what impact does this have on the security and stability of the country?
· ISIS remnants and armed groups operating outside of government control are the biggest obstacles to Iraq’s security and stability. Another area of concern is the economic challenges Iraq faces. We look forward to assisting Iraq diversify its economy and encourage foreign private sector investment in the country.
· Once government formation is complete, we look forward to working with a new government that reflects the will of Iraqi voters and that strives to improve services for all citizens and combat corruption in the interest of the Iraqi people.
· I believe that if we help Iraq strengthen its own sovereignty and institutions over time, improve the capabilities of Iraq’s security forces, and continue to encourage Iraq’s reintegration into the Arab neighborhood, then Iraq will be stable and prosperous. Moreover, it will be a stabilizing force for the entire region.
Some observers believe that the US presence in Iraq has not achieved what the people aspire to. What is your comment?
· We have been and will be a steady, reliable partner that supports Iraq’s sovereignty and security, anti-corruption and economic reform efforts, helps it improve regional relationships, provides humanitarian and demining assistance, supports respect for the human rights of all Iraqis, backs efforts to combat criminal activity and control unlawful armed groups, and advises and assists the Iraqi security forces.
· We are committed to these efforts because our aspiration is to see a stable, prosperous, democratic, and unified Iraq. I believe that the Iraqi people have the same hope and aspirations.
To what extent do the elements of corruption and sectarianism contribute to the complexity of the situation in Iraq?
· Corruption is a threat to all nations as it undermines the rule of law and tears at the fabric of trust and respect between people and their government.
· We share interests with our Iraqi partners in maintaining respect for freedom of expression and of peaceful assembly, enforcing the rule of law, respecting the rights of protesters, journalists, women, members of Iraq’s diverse ethnic and religious communities, and members of other marginalized groups, and pursuing judicial accountability for violent crimes committed against persons belonging to those groups.
To what extent does Iran have a role in the complexities of the political and security situation in Iraq?
· While we encourage Iraq to maintain friendly, productive relations with all its neighbors, we remain concerned about Iranian influence that undermines the stability and the integrity of Iraqi national institutions. Our diplomatic approach seeks to dissuade Iran from funding and arming groups outside the control of governments around the region, including Iraq.
How do you view the risks of Iranian activity on the security and stability of the region?
· The United States is concerned about Iranian influence that undermines the stability and the integrity of Iraq’s sovereignty and national institutions, and so are the Iraqi people.
· President Biden has made very clear that the United States wants to resolve our differences with Iran through diplomatic means.
· We firmly believe that a stable, sovereign, economically prosperous Iraq is key to broadening our mutually beneficial partnership with the Iraqi people and to bringing greater stability to the region.
· This Administration is committed to working toward regional de-escalation and wider economic and political integration in the region, including across historical lines of conflict.
· If regional actors and Iraq’s neighbors follow the same strategy with the same goal in mind, our chances of success will be far greater.
What is your assessment of the Iranian support for the Houthis in Yemen and its implications for the safety and security of the region?
· The United States has consistently seen evidence of the smuggling of arms from Iran to the Houthis. This represents a flagrant violation of the UN targeted arms embargo. It is yet another example of how malign Iranian activity is prolonging the war in Yemen.
· Iran’s support for armed groups throughout the region threatens international and regional security, our forces, our diplomatic personnel and citizens in the region, as well as our partners in the region and elsewhere.
· The Biden Administration is committed to countering this threat from Iran. The US seized dozens of anti-tank guided missiles, thousands of assault rifles, and hundreds of machine guns and rocket-propelled grenade launchers from similar vessels in December, May, and February of last year.
· The illegal flow of weapons from Iran to Yemen is enabling the brutal Houthi offensives in Yemen, increasing the suffering of civilians. Further fighting - whether in Marib or elsewhere – is only bringing more suffering.
What is your assessment of the Saudi-US cooperation in the security and strategic fields? How important is this to international peace and security?
· Saudi Arabia faces significant threats to its territory; we are committed to working together to help the Saudis strengthen their defenses to defend its territory, its citizens, and the thousands of US citizens residing in Saudi Arabia.
· Cross-border attacks launched by the Houthis on the UAE, as well as Saudi Arabia, have killed civilians - including the January 17 attack on the Abu Dhabi airport that resulted in civilian casualties.
· There were more than 400 cross-border attacks last year launched by the Houthis with Iranian support, which affected Saudi infrastructure, schools, mosques, and workplaces, and endangered the civilian population, including 70,000 US citizens living in Saudi Arabia.
· With US support Saudi Arabia has been able to intercept 90 percent of the attacks, but we need to aim for 100 percent.
· The United States is committed to advancing Saudi defenses through security cooperation, arms transfers, and defense trade, exercises, training, and exchanges, alongside engagement on human rights and civilian harm mitigation. We have a number of tools available to assist Saudi Arabia to strengthen its air defense capabilities and will continue to discuss a range of security needs with our partners.

No Breakthrough in Russia-Ukraine Talks amid Fury over Hospital Strike
Agence France Presse/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Russia and Ukraine failed to make a breakthrough Thursday in their first top-level talks since Moscow's invasion two weeks ago, amid international outrage over the bombing of a children's hospital that Kyiv said killed three people, including a young girl. Ukraine's Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said there was "no progress" even on a 24-hour ceasefire, after talks with Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Turkey, although the latter said Moscow would keep talking. Russian forces on Thursday rolled their armored vehicles up to the northeastern edge of Kyiv, an AFP team saw, edging closer in their attempts to encircle the Ukrainian capital. Mayor Vitali Klitschko said half the population had fled, adding: "Kyiv has been transformed into a fortress. Every street, every building, every checkpoint has been fortified." The UN estimates more than 2.3 million refugees have left Ukraine since Russia's invasion on February 24, which prompted unprecedented Western sanctions against Moscow along with a cultural and sporting boycott. At least 35,000 civilians were evacuated from the cities of Sumy, Enerhodar and areas around Kyiv on Wednesday, President Volodymyr Zelensky said, with three more routes set to open up Thursday, including out of the southern port city of Mariupol. The children's and maternity hospital in Mariupol was attacked on Wednesday in what Zelensky described as a Russian "war crime", and which sparked global outrage. Local officials said Thursday that at least three people were killed in the attack, including a young girl.  Overall, at least 71 children have been killed in Ukraine since the start of the war, and more than 100 have been wounded, said Lyudmyla Denisova, the Ukraine parliament's point person on human rights.
'Barbaric' hospital attack
Ten days of constant attacks on Mariupol have already left more than 1,200 civilians dead, according to the mayor, and created what aid agencies call an "apocalyptic" situation, with no water, power or heat. Zelensky shared footage on Wednesday of massive destruction at the hospital, saying the "direct strike by Russian troops" had left children under the wreckage. Officials had previously said 17 people were injured, including doctors. Video shared from the site by rescue workers showed a scene of complete devastation, with the wounded being evacuated, some on stretchers, past charred and burning carcasses of cars and a massive crater by the building. The White House slammed the "barbaric" use of force against civilians, while EU foreign policy chief Joseph Borrell echoed Zelensky in calling it a "heinous war crime". "Strikes of residential areas from the air and blocks of access of aid convoys by the Russian forces must immediately stop," Borrell said. Russia's foreign ministry did not deny the attack but accused Ukrainian "nationalist battalions" of using the hospital to set up firing positions after moving out staff and patients. Lavrov reiterated the claim on Thursday, saying it was a military base for members of the radical Azov Battalion. Asked by a Turkish reporter if Russia was planning to attack other nations, Lavrov replied "we don't plan to attack other countries" and claimed "we did not attack Ukraine". He insisted that Russian President Vladimir Putin launched the operation as the situation in Ukraine "posed a direct threat to the Russian Federation".
'Nowhere to run'
On the northeastern edge of Kyiv, Ukrainian soldiers described a night of heavy battles for control of the main highway leading into the capital. An AFP team witnessed missile strikes in Velkya Dymerka, a largely deserted village just outside Kyiv's city limits. Ukrainian forces only had a minimal presence in the village, which locals said witnessed heavy fighting overnight. "It's frightening, but what can you do, there is nowhere to really run or hide. We live here," said Vasyl Popov, a 38-year-old advertising salesman. In the surrounding villages, there were few cars on the road and they drove with utmost caution in what was now frontline territory. On their rear windscreens, they fix handwritten signs saying simply: "Children", in the hope this will protect them from Russian bombardment. The conflict has raised fears of a nuclear accident in a country with major nuclear plants and the site of the Chernobyl disaster.
The UN's atomic watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency, said Wednesday it saw "no critical impact on safety" at Chernobyl, location of the world's worst nuclear disaster in 1986, after a loss of power there. But it warned it was not receiving updates from either Chernobyl or Zaporizhzhia, Europe's largest nuclear plant, which is also now under Russian control.
US aid passes House
The United States meanwhile rejected Russian claims that it was involved in bioweapons research in Ukraine, and warned Russia could be preparing to use chemical or biological weapons in the war. Washington has strongly backed Ukraine, leading the push for tough international sanctions and sending weapons and other aid. But it has ruled out enforcing a no-fly zone and rejected a Polish plan to transfer fighter jets via a US air base for fear of being drawn into the conflict directly. Washington has however beefed up defenses in Poland, where it said Wednesday it was sending two new surface-to-air missile batteries.
And Britain said it was preparing to send more portable missile systems to help Ukraine, in addition to more than 3,000 anti-tank weapons sent so far, while Canada pledged an additional $50 million of military equipment. In Turkey on Thursday, Lavrov said the supply by EU and other countries of deadly weapons to Ukraine was "creating a colossal danger for themselves". The US House of Representatives green-lit a spending package including nearly $14 billion for Ukraine and allies in eastern Europe, which must be rubber-stamped by the Senate. The International Monetary Fund has meanwhile approved a $1.4-billion emergency package for Kyiv to provide "critical financial support." Western nations and allies are also trying to squeeze Moscow with unprecedented sanctions, hitting the Russian economy but also its oligarchs and those close to Putin. The United States this week imposed a ban on Russian imports of oil and gas, a move followed by Canada and a pledge from London to end the imports within the year. Britain urged the entire G7 to follow suit, but some nations are wary, with Germany and Italy both dependent on Russian energy.

Experts Says Russia Tactics in Ukraine War Mirror Syria Testing Ground
Agence France Presse/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Besieging cities, shelling civilian infrastructure and arranging "safe corridors": the tactics used by Russia in its war on Ukraine mirror those it tested and fine-tuned to drain resistance in Syria's conflict. But unlike its Syria play book, the challenge Russia faces from a Western-backed army in Ukraine dwarfs that of Syrian rebels who lacked military might or broad international backing, analysts said. Russia entered Syria's civil war in 2015 on the side of President Bashar al-Assad's regime, allowing Damascus to clock up decisive victories in the decade-long conflict. Since President Vladimir Putin ordered an invasion on February 24, tens of thousands of Russian troops have swarmed into Ukraine, where they have shelled urban centers and forced people to flee, sparking international outrage. Moscow denies targeting civilian areas in Ukraine, despite widespread evidence suggesting otherwise, with Western powers and rights groups accusing it of committing possible war crimes. A French military source said Russia's operations in Ukraine marked a "change of scale". "Syria was a small theatre," he told AFP on condition of anonymity. But many of the tactics deployed in Ukraine draw from Russia's battles in Syria, where it tested weapons systems and gained vital combat experience. "For Russia, Syria is a training ground for men and equipment," said analyst Fabrice Balanche.
Strategy to 'terrorize'
Russia has long been accused by rights groups of supporting Syria's regime in besieging civilian populations and bombing infrastructure to draw rebels out of key areas. To bolster Assad, "Russia's first goal in Syria was to reconquer big cities," including the economic hub of Aleppo and rebel-held districts around Damascus, Balanche said. In Ukraine, Russia's push towards major cities including Kyiv, Kharkiv and Odessa follows a similar pattern but is meant to strip legitimacy from authorities there, he said. Balanche said indiscriminate Russian bombing of hospitals and schools is another aspect of the Syrian conflict playing out in Ukraine as part of a strategy to "terrorize" civilians. At least 270 medical facilities in Syria have been attacked by Russia and Assad's regime since 2011, according to the Syrian Archive, a non-profit organization that archives digital material from the war. Russia also targeted schools and markets during a blistering Aleppo offensive in 2016 and a devastating 2019-2020 campaign against rebels in neighboring Idlib province, the country's last major opposition bastion, according to rights groups. "Russia bombs military targets... then health and energy infrastructure to make life impossible for civilians and to push them to leave," Balanche told AFP. "Once the civilians are gone, it is easier for the army to move forward."Last month, Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International accused Russia of using cluster munitions on a hospital and school in Kharkiv, saying the attacks could constitute war crimes. On Wednesday, Russian forces reportedly bombed a children's hospital in the Ukrainian city of Mariupol that Kyiv says killed three people, including a girl. That attack sparked international outrage with many global powers accusing Russia of committing an atrocity.
Different battlefield
In another parallel strategy, Russia has announced so-called safe corridors to allow civilians to exit Ukrainian cities it has laid siege to.
It is a strategy tried and tested in Syria, sometimes resulting in the death, injury and detention of civilians who try to escape besieged rebel districts without international guarantees, according to experts. But Russia faces a different landscape in Ukraine, where it has deployed a much larger contingent, in a high-stakes intervention. "In Syria, Russia primarily relied on its air power and certain specialized units to advise and assist the pro-Assad forces," said Nicholas Heras of the Newlines Institute in Washington. "Whereas in Ukraine the Russians are the (main) fighting force," he added. Another key difference, according to Heras, concerns the capabilities of Russia's opponents. In Ukraine, Russia is confronted by an army that is armed and supported by Western nations, Heras said, flagging its anti-air and anti-armor capabilities. Meanwhile, "Russia was involved in a minor league war in Syria where it had total dominance," he added.
According to Anton Mardasov, a non-resident expert at the Russian International Affairs Council, Moscow now has a sharper sense of its weapons systems. It has "corrected many of the shortcomings of high-precision ground, sea and air-based weapons that were identified during the use of missile systems in Syria," he told AFP. "In Ukraine, high-precision weapons are used quite actively and accurately."

Attack on Ukrainian Hospital Draws Outrage as Talks Stall
Associated Press/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
A Russian airstrike on a Mariupol maternity hospital that killed three people drew outrage on Thursday, with Ukrainian and Western officials branding it a war crime. As talks to reach a broad cease-fire failed, emergency workers renewed efforts to get vital food and medical supplies into besieged cities, and to get traumatized residents out. Ukrainian authorities said a child was among the dead in Wednesday's attack in the crucial southern port of Mariupol. Another 17 people were wounded, including women waiting to give birth, doctors and children buried in the rubble. Images of pregnant women covered in dust and blood dominated news reports in many countries, and brought a new wave of horror at the 2-week-old war sparked by Russia's invasion, which has killed thousands of soldiers and civilians, driven more than 2 million people from Ukraine and shaken the foundations of European security. Millions more have been displaced inside the country. Kyiv mayor Vitali Klitschko said Thursday that about 2 million people — half the residents of the capital's metropolitan area — have left the city, which has become virtually a a fortress. "Every street, every house … is being fortified," he said in televised remarks. "Even people who in their lives never intended to change their clothes, now they are in uniform with machine guns in their hands." Bombs also fell on two hospitals in a city west of Kyiv on Wednesday, its mayor said. The World Health Organization said it has confirmed 18 attacks on medical facilities since the Russian invasion began two weeks ago.
As the war entered its third week, Western officials said Russian forces have made little progress on the ground in recent days. But they have intensified the bombardment of Mariupol and other cities, trapping hundreds of thousands of people, with food and water running short.
Temporary cease-fires to allow evacuations and humanitarian aid have often faltered, with Ukraine accusing Russia of continuing their bombardments. But Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said 35,000 people managed to get out on Wednesday from several besieged towns, and more efforts were underway on Thursday from towns and cities in eastern and southern Ukraine — including Mariupol — as well as the Kyiv suburbs. The Mariupol city council posted a video Thursday showing buses driving down a highway, with a note saying that a convoy bringing food and medicine was on the way despite several days of thwarted efforts to reach the city. "Everyone is working to get help to the people of Mariupol. And it will come," said Mayor Vadym Boychenko.
Images from the city, where hundreds have died and workers hurried to bury some of the bodies in a mass grave, have drawn condemnation from around the world. The living have resorted to breaking into shops for food or melting snow for water. The city has been without heat for days as nighttime temperatures fall below freezing and daytime ones hover just above it. When the series of blasts hit the children's and maternity hospital in Mariupol, the ground shook more than a mile away. Explosions blew out windows and ripped away much of the front of one building. Police and soldiers rushed to the scene to evacuate victims, carrying a bleeding woman with a swollen belly on a stretcher past burning and mangled cars. Another woman wailed as she clutched her child. Britain's Armed Forces minister, James Heappey, said that whether hitting the hospital was "indiscriminate" fire into a built-up area or a deliberate targeting, "it is a war crime."U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, on a visit to Ukraine's neighbor Poland, backed calls for an international war-crimes investigation into the invasion, saying "the eyes of the world are on this war and what Russia has done in terms of this aggression and these atrocities."
Polish President Andrzej Duda called the strike on the hospital an "act of barbarity" and said "it is obvious to us that in Ukraine Russians are committing war crimes."Regional Ukrainian police official Volodymir Nikulin, standing in the ruins, called the Mariupol attack "a war crime without any justification." Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov dismissed concerns about civilian casualties as "pathetic shrieks" from Russia's enemies. He claimed without providing evidence that the Mariupol hospital had been seized by far-right radical fighters who were using it as a base — despite the fact that photographs from the aftermath show pregnant women and children at the site.
Several rounds of talks have not stopped the fighting, and a meeting in a Turkish Mediterranean resort between Lavrov and his Ukrainian counterpart Dmytro Kuleba failed to yield much common ground. In their highest-level talks since the war began, the two sides discussed a 24-hour cease-fire but did not make progress, Kuleba said. He said Russia was still seeking "surrender from Ukraine." "This is not what they are going to get," he said, adding that he was willing to continue the dialogue. French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz called for an "immediate cease-fire" in a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday. Lavrov also said Russia was ready for more negotiations but showed no sign of softening Moscow's demands. He said Putin could meet with Zelenskyy but only after further negotiations about Russia's broader grievances. Russia has alleged that western-looking, U.S.-backed Ukraine posed a threat to its security — but Western officials suspect Putin would like to install a government friendly to Moscow in Kyiv as part of efforts to draw the ex-Soviet state back into its orbit. Russia's military is currently struggling, facing stronger than expected Ukrainian resistance and heavier losses of its own troops. But Putin's invading force of more than 150,000 troops retains possibly insurmountable advantages in firepower as it bears down on key cities. Despite often heavy shelling on populated areas, American military officials reported little change on the ground over the previous 24 hours, other than Russian progress against the cities of Kharkiv in the east and Mykolaiv in the south, in heavy fighting. Western countries have sought to hasten the war's end by imposing punishing sanctions on Russia, and a cascade of global companies have abandoned the country, plunging its economy into isolation. Britain added more oligarchs to its sanctions list on Thursday, including Roman Abramovich, the billionaire owner of Premier League soccer club Chelsea. The government said Abramovich's assets — including Chelsea — were frozen, he was banned from visiting the U.K. and barred from transactions with U.K. individuals and businesses. The fighting has repeatedly raised the specter of a nuclear disaster. It knocked out power to the decommissioned Chernobyl nuclear plant on Wednesday, raising fears about the spent radioactive fuel stored there that must be kept cool. But the U.N. nuclear watchdog agency said it saw "no critical impact on safety."Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk pleaded Thursday with the Russian military to allow access for repair crews to restore electricity to the plant, and to fix a damaged gas pipeline in the south that left Mariupol and other towns without heat.

U.S. VP Harris Embraces Call for War Crimes Probe of Russia
Associated Press/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris on Thursday embraced calls for an international war crimes investigation of Russia over its invasion of Ukraine, citing the "atrocities" of bombing civilians, including a maternity hospital. Speaking alongside Polish President Andrzej Duda at a press conference in Warsaw, where she is demonstrating U.S. support for NATO's eastern flank allies, Harris expressed outrage over the bombing Wednesday of the maternity hospital and scenes of bloodied pregnant women being evacuated, as well as other attacks on civilians. She stopped short of directly accusing Russia of having committed war crimes. "Absolutely there should be an investigation, and we should all be watching," said Harris, noting that the United Nations has already started a process to review allegations. "I have no question the eyes of the world are on this war and what Russia has done in terms of this aggression and these atrocities."Duda, for his part, said "it is obvious to us that in Ukraine Russians are committing war crimes." He added that in his view the invasion was "bearing the features of a genocide — it aims at eliminating and destroying a nation." Harris praised the Polish people for their generosity for taking in nearly 1.5 million refugees since Russia invaded Ukraine last month. "I've been watching or reading about the work of ordinary people doing extraordinary things, and so I bring you thanks from the American people," Harris said earlier during a meeting with Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki hours after the U.S. House passed a massive spending bill that includes $13.6 billion in aid for Ukraine and its European allies.
The legislation includes $6.8 billion to care for refugees and other economic aid to allies.
Later Thursday, the vice president was slated to meet with Ukrainian refugees who have fled to Poland since the Russian invasion began. The vice president is also scheduled to meet with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau while in Warsaw. The Canadian leader has been in Europe in recent days meeting with allies about Ukraine. Harris' whirlwind visit to Poland and Romania was billed by the White House as a chance for the vice president to consult with two of the leaders from eastern flank NATO nations about the growing humanitarian crisis caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Already, more than 2 million refugees have fled Ukraine — with more than half coming to Poland — and even more expected to arrive in the days ahead. Duda warned of a "refugee disaster" if Poland doesn't receive more assistance to help house and feed Ukrainians fleeing the conflict. He said he asked Harris for the U.S. to "speed up" the process for those Ukrainian refugees who would want to go to the U.S. and might have family there. The United States is absolutely prepared to do what we can and what we must to support Poland, in terms of the burden that they have taken on," said Harris.
But differences between Warsaw and Washington over a Polish plan to send Soviet-made fighter jets to a base in Germany for Ukraine's use have cast a shadow over Harris' visit to Poland. Just as Harris arrived in Warsaw late Wednesday evening, the Pentagon definitively rejected the idea.
The proposal was publicly floated by Poland — without first consulting the U.S. — days after Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the Biden administration was "very, very actively" looking at a proposal under which Ukraine's neighbor Poland would supply Kyiv with Soviet-era fighters and in turn receive American F-16s to make up for their loss. Polish government officials, however, insisted any transfer of planes must be done within the NATO framework. "In a nutshell we have to be a responsible member of the North Atlantic Alliance," said Duda. On Wednesday, the Pentagon shut the door on the prospect of NATO transferring jets to Ukraine, saying such a move with a U.S. and NATO connection would run a "high risk" of escalating the Russia-Ukraine war. Harris, in her remarks, brushed aside any notion of tensions between Poland and the U.S. over how to effectively support Ukraine. "I want to be very clear, the United States and Poland are united in what we have done and are prepared to do to help Ukraine and the people of Ukraine, full stop," she said. Gen. Tod D. Wolters, the commander of U.S. European Command, said in a statement Thursday that the "most effective way to support the Ukrainian military in their fight against Russia is to provide increased amounts of anti-tank weapons and air defense systems." That effort by the U.S. and allies is ongoing, Wolters added. Harris will travel on Friday to Bucharest, where she's to meet Romanian President Klaus Iohannis.

From 'Puppets' to Players: Ukraine War Reveals Shift for U.S.' Gulf Allies
Agence France Presse/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Russia's invasion of Ukraine has exposed a once unthinkable divergence between Washington and key Middle East allies Saudi Arabia and the UAE, the oil giants that are increasingly independent on the international stage. The wealthy Gulf nations, which host U.S. forces and have dependably backed Washington for decades, have notably refrained from supporting President Joe Biden's administration as it tries to choke Moscow's lifelines, from energy to diplomacy. Analysts say the new position, rooted in many discords including the 2018 murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi by a Saudi hit squad, reveals a turning point in Gulf relations with the U.S., long the region's protector against neighbor Iran. "More than an actual shift, this moment is definitely a catalyst for Gulf-U.S. relations," Anne Gadel, a Gulf expert and contributor to the French think-tank Institut Montaigne, told AFP. "The optics are that they are conscious that they need to prepare for a different Middle East, and that the balance of power is changing in general," she added. The United Arab Emirates, which currently holds the rotating U.N. Security Council presidency, abstained last month from voting on a U.S.-Albanian draft resolution condemning the invasion of Ukraine. And as the now two-week-old war in Ukraine since sends energy costs soaring, the Gulf countries have so far resisted Western pressure to raise oil output in an attempt to rein in prices. Saudi Arabia and the UAE, meanwhile, have stressed their commitment to the OPEC+ oil alliance, which Riyadh and Moscow lead, despite mounting U.S. sanctions on Russian crude that culminated in a ban on Tuesday. The UAE reaffirmed that commitment on Thursday, a day after its ambassador to Washington said his country would encourage OPEC to "consider higher production levels".
Oil for protection
According to a Wall Street Journal report Tuesday citing Middle East and U.S. officials, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the UAE's Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al-Nahyan, their countries' de facto rulers, have both declined U.S. requests to speak to Biden in recent weeks. However, the report "does not reflect reality", said Emily Horne, spokeswoman for the White House's National Security Council, adding that Biden had spoken to Saudi King Salman last month. "There have been no requests for calls since that conversation," she said. But the U.S. president and the crown prince haven't spoken since Biden took office and vowed to treat the kingdom as a "pariah" state over Khashoggi's October 2018 murder in Istanbul that the CIA blamed on the Saudi royal. Asked by The Atlantic magazine whether Biden misunderstands him, the 36-year-old prince shrugged: "Simply, I do not care." Founded on an American battleship in 1945, when then Saudi king Abdul Aziz bin Saud and U.S. president Franklin D. Roosevelt first held talks, the U.S. alliance with Saudi Arabia, and later with neighboring monarchies, has always been defined as an oil-for-protection arrangement. In the Arab world, the six Arab countries of the Gulf, hosting U.S. and other foreign troops and bases, were long regarded as "puppets" for the Americans. This started changing a decade ago when the 2011 Arab Spring uprisings sidelined traditional Arab powers such as Egypt and Syria, allowing the stable and prosperous Gulf states to play a more prominent role. With this change, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, the two biggest Arab economies, made clear that they are seeking an independent foreign policy based on national interests. The Gulf allies are now fighting Iran-backed Huthi rebels in Yemen and have strengthened ties with Russia and China, while the UAE has established ties with Iran's arch-enemy, Israel. "The UAE (shouldn't) be projected as a puppet of the United States anymore," Abdulkhaleq Abdulla, a political science professor in the UAE, told CNN this month. "Just because we have such great relations with America, we do not take orders from Washington, and we have to do things consistent with our own strategy and priority."
Military downgrade
Many frustrations have strained relations, including Biden's engagement with Iran, the U.S. refusal to label Yemen rebels as terrorists, and the showdown over Khashoggi's murder. But security is at the heart of the matter: the lack of a strong U.S. response when Saudi's Aramco oil facilities were attacked in 2019, and Washington's announced desire to downgrade its military commitments in the Middle East. "Gulf countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE... are no longer willing to rely on the United States as the ultimate guarantor of security," Hussein Ibish from the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington wrote last week.
"While the United States remains a primary strategic partner, these... vulnerable states with much to lose have no choice but to diversify their diplomatic options and strategic toolkits." "The rise of a multipolar world involving much greater global power and influence, mainly by Russia and China, is inevitable," he added.

Israeli President Ends Turkey Trip with Synagogue Visit
Agence France Presse/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
Israel's president on Thursday ended his landmark trip to Turkey with a visit to the Jewish community in Istanbul, a day after the two countries hailed a new era in relations. Isaac Herzog held talks in Ankara on Wednesday with Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan in the first visit by an Israeli president since 2007. He then took part in a prayer for Ukrainian refugees as well as "Turkey and President Erdogan" with members of the Jewish community in Istanbul at the Neve Shalom synagogue in the historic Galata district. "The entire process is without illusions, but reflects strategic and bilateral interests," Herzog told journalists about the visit and talks before entering the synagogue. He left Turkey shortly after. "We will not agree on everything... But we shall aspire to solve our disagreements with mutual respect and goodwill," Herzog said during a press conference with Erdogan on Wednesday. The Neve Shalom synagogue, which is also home to a museum about Jewish heritage, holds a special place for local Jews. It is a synagogue which "suffered in the past", Herzog said, referring to terror attacks in 1986 which left 22 dead, and others in 1992 and 2003. On November 15, 2003, 30 were killed and over 300 others were injured after vehicles filled with explosives targeted two synagogues in Istanbul. The attacks were claimed by a Turkish cell of Al-Qaeda. Under the Ottoman Empire, Istanbul, then Constantinople, welcomed many Jews expelled from Spain in 1492 who found refuge and established thriving communities until the 20th century. In the 1930s, Jews were subject to discriminatory laws and pogroms. These "500 years" of living together is often cited by Turkish officials, although the status of Turkish Jews has sometimes been less than equal. Around 15,000 Jews live in Turkey today, the majority in Istanbul, compared with 200,000 at the start of the 20th century.

Trump-Era Israeli Settlement Growth Proceeds in His Absence
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 10 March, 2022
The growth of Israel’s West Bank settler population accelerated last year, according to figures released by a pro-settler group on Thursday, despite renewed American pressure to rein in construction on occupied territory that the Palestinians want for a future state. The figures show that a settlement surge initiated when President Donald Trump was in office shows no sign of slowing down. Trump provided unprecedented support for Israel’s claims to land seized in war, reversing decades of US policy. President Joe Biden’s administration has returned to the previous approach, criticizing settlement expansion as an obstacle to resolving the conflict. But Israel has continued to build and expand settlements, and major road projects are expected to bring even more settlers into the territory, The Associated Press reported. The statistics, compiled by WestBankJewishPopulationStats.com and based on official figures, show the settler population grew to 490,493 as of Jan. 30, a nearly 3.2% rise over 13 months. The population has risen by 16.5% since the group began compiling statistics in 2017, it says. Israel’s overall annual growth rate, by comparison, is around 1.7%. In 2020, the last year of the Trump administration, which also saw repeated coronavirus lockdowns, the settler population in the West Bank grew by 2.6%, according to the group. “There’s a tremendous amount of construction going on,” said its CEO, Baruch Gordon, including in his community of Beit El, just outside the West Bank city of Ramallah, where the Palestinian Authority is headquartered. “Right now there’s 350 units going up that will probably be finished within a year, year and a half. So when that hits, that’s going to increase the size of our town by about 25%,” he said.
The settler population tends to be younger and more religious, with a higher average birth rate. Many Israelis are drawn to the state-subsidized settlements for the quality of life. They resemble suburbs or small towns and offer lower housing prices than Israel’s crowded and increasingly unaffordable cities. The pandemic might have made the settlements even more attractive. “Just like in America, people moved out of Manhattan and went to suburbs and found that they could live in more open spaces, and the same is happening in Israel,” Gordon said. His figures do not include east Jerusalem, which Israel annexed in a move not recognized internationally, and which is now home to more than 200,000 Jewish settlers. The West Bank and east Jerusalem are together home to some 3 million Palestinians. Israel captured both territories, along with Gaza, in the 1967 Mideast war. The Palestinians view the growth of settlements as the main obstacle to peace because they cut off Palestinian communities from their land and from one another, and make it nearly impossible to create a viable state. Settlements have expanded under every Israeli government, even at the height of the peace process in the 1990s.
There have been no serious peace negotiations in over a decade, and Israel’s current prime minister, Naftali Bennett, is a former settler leader opposed to Palestinian statehood. Israel’s political system is dominated by pro-settler parties that view the West Bank as the biblical and historical heartland of the Jewish people. The international community still considers a two-state solution to be the only realistic way of resolving the century-old conflict, but it has provided no incentive for Israel to end the occupation — now well into its sixth decade. Hagit Ofran, an expert at the anti-settlement monitor Peace Now, says the population figures are an imprecise measure of growth, as they reflect the higher birth rate and people moving into homes built after years of planning and approvals.
She says that while US pressure appears to have succeeded in pausing some of the most controversial settlement projects, the overall enterprise is proceeding in the same way it always has, with several projects gradually advancing and new homes and roads being built. “The Americans, as far as I know, are trying to stop it and have had very limited success,” she said. The seemingly permanent military occupation has led three well-known human rights groups to conclude that Israel is committing the international crime of apartheid by systematically denying Palestinians equal rights. Israel rejects those accusations as an attack on its very existence as a Jewish-majority state. The increasingly authoritarian and unpopular Palestinian Authority, established through agreements with Israel in the 1990s, administers parts of the West Bank, while the Islamic militant group Hamas controls Gaza, from which Israel withdrew troops and settlers in 2005. Israel’s current government, which relies on the support of parties from across the political spectrum, has vowed to preserve the status quo, with neither a settlement freeze nor any formal annexation. It has also taken some steps to improve economic conditions for Palestinians.
But Ofran says that in practice, pro-settler ministers and other officials do as they please, and the government does damage control when it is called out. “The minister of foreign affairs gets phone calls from the Americans, or whatever, and suddenly the government needs to do something about it,” she said.

Battleground Ukraine: Day 15 of Russia's Invasion
Agence France Presse/March,10/2022
On the 15th day of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Russian forces were encircling at least four major cities Thursday and inched closer towards the city limits of Kyiv. The capital remains under Ukrainian control but is increasingly at risk of being surrounded, with many observers believing Russia is still aiming to capture the city. Here is a summary of the situation on the ground, based on statements from both sides, Western defense and intelligence sources and international organizations.
The east
Kharkiv remains in Ukrainian hands despite increasingly intense Russian bombardment, according to Western sources, and the city is likely now surrounded. Russian forces are also pressing an offensive through the separatist Donetsk and Lugansk regions that are backed by Russia and seeking to join up with Russian forces who entered from the north.
The city of Sumy in northeast Ukraine is now encircled by Russian troops but thousands have been able to leave through a humanitarian corridor.
Kyiv and the north
Kyiv remains under Ukrainian control despite heavy bombardments, though Western observers point to a Russian column of hundreds of vehicles outside the city. An AFP team saw Russian armored vehicles rolling up to the northeastern edge of Kyiv, edging closer in their attempts to encircle the Ukrainian capital. But the British defense ministry said the column was suffering "continued losses" at the hands of Ukrainian forces.
Ukrainian forces also retain control of the northern town of Chernihiv, which has seen heavy civilian casualties in recent days and appears to be encircled.
The south
Russia has besieged the strategic city of Mariupol, and attempts to evacuate an estimated 200,000 civilians from the city have so far failed.
The children's and maternity hospital in Mariupol was attacked on Wednesday in what Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky described as a Russian "war crime." The major port city of Odessa remains under Ukrainian control and has so far been spared fighting. But the U.S. Defense Department said Russian ground forces appeared primed to attack the city, possibly in coordination with an amphibious assault.
Russian forces last week took the southern city of Kherson, just north of Crimea, and there is now heavy fighting for control of the city of Mykolayiv to the northwest. Some sources believe Russia could bypass Mykolayiv and head direct for Odessa.
The west and center
The west of Ukraine remains largely spared from the fighting. The main city of Lviv has become a hub for foreign diplomatic missions and journalists as well as Ukrainians seeking safety or wanting to leave the country.
Casualties
The United Nations said Thursday that it had recorded 549 civilian deaths in Ukraine, including 41 children, though the actual toll could be far higher. Ukraine and Western sources claim that the Russian death toll is far higher than Moscow has so far admitted to. Ukraine says more than 12,000 Russian soldiers have been killed, though U.S. estimates put the number of Russians killed at 2,000 to 4,000. Russia's only official toll, announced last week, said 498 Russian troops had been killed in Ukraine.
Refugees
Around 2.3 million refugees have fled Ukraine since the invasion began, more than half going to Poland, according to the U.N. refugee agency.

Islamic State Names New Leader, Confirms Death of Predecessor
Agence France Presse/March,10/2022
The Islamic State jihadist group confirmed the death of its leader Abu Ibrahim al-Qurashi in a statement Thursday and named Abu Hasan al-Hashemi al-Qurashi as his replacement. IS jihadists have "pledged allegiance" to "Abu Hasan al-Hashemi al-Qurashi as an emir over believers and the caliph of Muslims," the group's spokesperson said in an audio recording. The recording confirmed the death of the former IS chief along with the group's ex-spokesman. "Abu Ibrahim al-Qurashi and the official Islamic State group spokesman... Abu Hamza al-Qurashi... were killed in recent days," the new spokesperson said. The former leader blew himself up in early February during a U.S. raid in northwest Syria, according to Washington, in an area controlled by rival jihadists. Abu Ibrahim al-Qurashi, who led IS from 2019, was an ethnic Turkmen from the Iraqi city of Tal Afar. He replaced IS supremo Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, who was killed in a US raid in October that year. Little is known about the new leader, who will serve as the group's third chief since it's inception. He rises to the helm at a time when the group has been weakened by US-backed operations in Iraq and Syria aiming to thwart a jihadist resurgence. IS' self-declared caliphate, established from 2014, once stretched across vast parts of Syria and Iraq and administered millions of inhabitants. A long and deadly military fightback led by Kurdish-Syrian and Iraqi forces with backing from the United States and other powers eventually defeated the jihadist proto-state in March 2019. The remnants of IS in Syria mostly went to their desert hideouts from which they continue to harass Kurdish-led forces and Syrian government troops. A U.N. report last year estimated that around 10,000 IS fighters remained active across Iraq and Syria.

S. Korea's President-Elect Wants Tougher Stance on N. Korea

Associated Press/March,10/2022
South Korea's president-elect Yoon Suk Yeol said Thursday he would solidify an alliance with the United States, build up a powerful military and sternly cope with North Korean provocations, hours after he won the country's hard-fought election to become its next leader.
Yoon, whose single five-year term is to begin in May, said during his campaigning he would make a boosted alliance with the United States the center of his foreign policy. He's accused outgoing liberal President Moon Jae-in of tilting toward Pyongyang and Beijing and away from Washington. He's also stressed the need to recognize the strategic importance of repairing ties with Tokyo despite recent bilateral historical disputes. Some experts say a Yoon government will likely be able to reinforce ties with Washington and improve relations with Tokyo but can't really avoid frictions with Pyongyang and Beijing.
"I'll rebuild the South Korea-U.S. alliance. I'll (make) it a strategic comprehensive alliance while sharing key values like a liberal democracy, a market economy and human rights," Yoon told a televised news conference. "I'll establish a strong military capacity to deter any provocation completely," Yoon said. "I'll firmly deal with illicit, unreasonable behavior by North Korea in a principled manner, though I'll always leave door for South-North talks open." After his election win, he spoke with U.S. President Joe Biden on the phone. According to a White House statement, Biden congratulated Yoon on the election and emphasized the U.S. commitment to the defense of South Korea. The statement said the two also committed to maintain close coordination on addressing the threats posed by North Korea's nuclear and missile programs. North Korea hasn't made any comments on Yoon's election. In recent weeks, it's launched a spate of sophisticated, nuclear-capable ballistic missiles in what experts call an attempt to modernize its weapons arsenal and pressure the Biden administration to making concessions like sanctions relief amid stalled diplomacy. Last week, North Korea said it tested cameras and other systems needed to operate a spy satellite. Its state media on Thursday cited leader Kim Jong Un as saying his country needs reconnaissance satellites to monitor "the aggression troops of the U.S. imperialism and its vassal forces."On Japan, Yoon said that Seoul and Tokyo should focus on building future-oriented ties. "The focus in South Korea-Japan relations should be finding future paths that would benefit the people of both countries," he said. The two countries are both key U.S. allies and closely linked to each other economically and culturally, but their relations sank to post-war lows during Moon's presidency over disputes related to Japan's 1910-45 colonization of the Korean Peninsula.
Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on Thursday expressed a desire to communicate with Yoon to bring back good ties. But he still said Tokyo will stick to its position that all compensation issues have been settled by a 1965 bilateral treaty.
Yoon, who ran on the ticket of the main opposition People Power Party, had previously served as Moon's prosecutor general. But he left the Moon government and joined the opposition last year after high-profile infighting over his investigations on some of Moon's allies.
Wednesday's election was largely a two-way showdown between Yoon and liberal ruling party candidate Lee Jae-myung. The two spent months slamming, mocking and demonizing each other in one of the most bitter political campaigns in recent memory, aggravating the country's already severe domestic division.
Lee and his allies attacked Yoon over his lack of experience in foreign policy and other major state affairs.
They said Yoon's hardline stance on North Korea would unnecessarily provoke the North, and picking a side between Washington and Beijing would pose greater security threats to Seoul. Yoon has accused the Moon administration of being "submissive" to Pyongyang and Beijing at the expense of Seoul's 70-year alliance with Washington. Yoon's razor-thin victory against Lee was partly seen as a referendum on the liberal government, whose popularity waned in recent years over failures to deal with stark economic inequalities, decaying job markets and soaring house prices that paint bleak financial futures for many people in their 20s and 30s. Yoon during the campaign focused much of his message on vows to create more jobs and restore social mobility by creating a fairer, competitive environment for young people. He fiercely criticized Moon's government over the policy failures and high-profile investment scandals surrounding Moon's allies that he said exposed hypocrisy and disregard for law. On domestic agendas, Yoon faces urgent tasks to suppress a record-breaking COVID-19 surge, ease widening economic inequalities and runaway house prices and heal a nation sharply split along regional antagonism, ideologies, age and gender. Yoon was criticized during the campaign for stoking gender animosities by promising to abolish the country's Gender Equality and Family Ministry, which he accused of pushing policies unfair toward men.
While he was apparently trying win the votes of young men who decry gender equality policies and the loss of traditional privileges in a hyper-competitive job market, exit polls released after Wednesday's election indicated that his gains in male votes were largely canceled out by young women who swung toward Lee. During Thursday's conference, Yoon rejected accusations that his campaign raised gender tensions but repeated a view that the country no longer had structural barriers to women's success.
"Regarding gender issues, laws and systems are pretty much in place now," he said. "Instead of approaching the issue as a matter of equality and fairness between groups, I think the government should provide stronger response and protection regarding individual cases of unfairness."Yoon said building a better pandemic response would be a priority for his power transition committee, which will have a dedicated team designing plans to reinforce the country's medical capacities and more effective financial packages to help devastated service sector businesses.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on March 10-11/2022
Europe’s Future is Our Present

Hussam Itani/Asharq Al-Awsat/March,10/2022
The Europeans are terrified by the prospect of Ukraine’s flames reaching their countries. They are afraid that their safe countries, thriving economies, and free societies will be Russia’s next target. The specter of losing today’s privileges is a major motive for their cautious and confused support for Ukraine. Memories of the 1938 Munich Agreement with Hitler and the 1945 Yalta Conference with Stalin invoke deep apprehension of repeating the mistakes of “deescalation” and agreeing to share spheres of influence with hardened authoritarian rulers.
Europeans and the West more generally want to stay true to the values of democracy without undermining their standard of living. Their governments have denounced the Russian invasion and sent weapons and money. However, they are also extremely hesitant about halting imports of oil and gas from Russia. However, it seems that nothing comes free. Those seeking to save face politically should expect a spike in fuel costs in their country and the electoral losses that this spike could cause in the French Presidential elections and the congressional midterms in the United States.
And the Europeans do not have to dig deep in the history books. The prospective future they tremble at the thought of unfolding is being experienced today by the peoples of Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and other countries that have fallen into the hands of despotic and oppressive regimes, slogans, and infallible leaders. The “Aleppo strategy,” which Putin is said to be implementing today against Kharkiv, Mariupol and Sumy, encompasses a political track as well as the destruction of cities. Rather, political objectives are the primary mover of this strategy, which some Lebanese newspapers cheered on when it began, calling it the “Sukhoi storm.”This storm that led to the destruction of entire cities and the deaths of children and entire families was particularly successful in its bid to rescue a shaky regime from collapse. It left the worst aspects of this regime, its prisons, political nihilism, moral bankruptcy, and an economy that has left more than half of the Syrian population hungry. The political objective that justified the use of barrel bombs was the need for the armed junta to stand “steadfast” and maintain their power and privileges.
It is the “future of the past” in which, like zombies, regimes and governments rise from the dead. Their only concern is roaming the destroyed streets of Aleppo, Beirut and Baghdad and eliminating all apparent signs of life. A song from here and a book fair from there…
Each of these regimes has its own pretext to justify taking human life. Not the least of which is resistance, the fight against terrorism, and preparations to march on “occupied Jerusalem.” As for the argument that ends all discussion and boggles the mind, is that “Russia cannot allow Ukraine to join NATO.” Russia is so worried for its national security that it has forgotten that the small countries neighboring it would not have thought of joining NATO if they had not been scared of Russia, whose leadership is obsessed with a false narrative of history and avenging the humiliation- as they see it- of their country.
All the post-war national frameworks for this country being discussed agree that it will lose some of its territory and sovereignty and that it will be subjected to being ruled by a regime loyal to Moscow, even if it pretends neutrality. Experiences like those of Finland and Austria will be brought up to tempt the Ukrainians with opportunities for the prosperity that reconstruction offers if the war effort is abandoned. Ukraine has already lost the war. That is what they are saying. Russia will come out on the other side weak and on the brink of collapse. The ramifications that will ensue from this war will be felt for many years… Something resembling the situation in Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq, where Iran, which is bankrupt and extremely drained, runs things. Nonetheless, all of them lead proud, dignified lives, their stupid, meaningless propaganda claims.
The debris of states and rubble of peoples and societies fighting for scarce resources amid an exacerbating climate crisis and threat of another pandemic and new diseases more dangerous than COVID-19. All the talk about alternative energy and abandoning fossil fuels did not stand up against suggestions of stopping gas exports to Europe by the man in the Kremlin.
It will be a multipolar world, scream the supporters of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The unipolar world that the West failed to lead has been brought down. It has become necessary, they claim, for countries like Russia and China to occupy positions among nations worthy of their stature. Moscow and Beijing have no alternative to the model of autocratic personalistic rule to offer the world. People like Eric Zemmour in France, Viktor Urban in Hungary, and Matteo Salvini in Italy will pluck its fruits. Countries like Ukraine, with their “Nazis,” should disappear from the face of the earth.
As for the question of who gave Russia the right to safeguard its security and deprive Ukraine of security, there is no answer right now, as the world is currently preoccupied assessing the implications of a potential nuclear attack by Putin, who is deeply concerned for the “single nation” in Ukraine and Russia.
Perhaps the poet Said Akl had been mistaken when he said, “The most beautiful history happens tomorrow.”

The Goal is Not to Save Ukraine
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al-Awsat/March,10/2022
This is the biggest crisis in world history since World War II, a far cry from the Cuban missile crisis, the chaos of the collapse of the Soviet Union, wars in the Middle East, etc. These kinds of wars go beyond defining the borders and interests of countries to deciding the fate of humanity. Their direct consequences, if extended, would be devastating to weaker nations, as the African proverb goes, “When elephants fight, the grass gets trampled.”
It’s only a matter of time – days or maybe weeks – before Russia takes over Ukraine, unless, of course, an unexpected miracle happens. As long as it is fighting alone, the Ukrainian resistance cannot prevent the inevitable, especially since the NATO will not dare enter into a direct confrontation with a nuclear-armed Russia.
The massive Western diplomatic, economic, and military pressure aims primarily at making Russia’s decision to invade Ukraine as expensive as possible, so the spoils are not cheap. This will make Russia think twice before moving on to its next target if it has a hidden expansion agenda. The second objective is to drain Russia economically and technically and isolate it politically, as the West hopes to push the Kremlin to retreat in the future or push it towards its collapse within a few years in order to achieve European security.
Russia will take over Ukraine in no time, but can it bear the consequences of the next phase of the crisis that could last for years? It is difficult to assess that today because of the ambiguity surrounding the numerous possibilities that the future holds, including the balance of power or even the conflict with China. The need will arise, then, to either neutralize Russia and win it over as an ally or reconcile with China as Henry Kissinger did back in the 1970s and raise the level of pressure on Moscow.
However, these are different times, and the future is uncertain. No one can claim to know how the Kremlin will respond if cornered. The world has been haunted by the nuclear dilemma for nearly seventy years, with no decision made yet on whether or not to use nuclear weapons. It is a dangerous nightmare. In reasonable political conditions, no one would choose to commit nuclear suicide. But this is not necessarily the case today. Those who spend their time criticizing “double standards” may need to look at things from a different perspective. In short, the rule is that standards are dropped in times of war, even in wars of smaller scale. The West punished Saddam’s Iraq and Iran by depriving these regimes of aviation, information, media, markets, sports, and art. We must deal with crises realistically.
The state of panic that reigns in Europe, and the West in general, is evident, especially since this is the first direct war to erupt since WWII. In wars, countries fight over resources, such as oil, gas, and wheat, which they consider key weapons in any battle. All three are at stake in the Ukrainian war, and every country in the world –regardless of its distance from the war and Kyiv– is paying dearly. For instance, we may benefit from the rise in oil prices, but on the other hand, we are paying a high price for our purchases of wheat and all imported goods. The rise in the price of oil preceded the Ukrainian crisis, as it came in the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis and the recovery of global markets. But naturally, the war and the fears that pervaded the markets did not help with the price hike.
The magnitude of today’s crisis goes beyond the Ukrainian borders, and the goal is not to save Ukraine, but to stop the global deterioration. Good fortune is not having to take sides in a crisis, but neutrality might be out of place here, for even Switzerland has adopted sanctions against Russia.
During the UN General Assembly’s vote to condemn Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, an eagle-eyed Washington was watching for countries voting against it. Russians then announced that their side will not forget the countries’ positions regarding the crisis. Today, our increasingly divided world is living on a knife-edge. Tension is growing, signaling the end of the post-Cold War peace era and the return to war camps.

Russia’s Brain Drain Will Be Hard for Putin to Stop
Stephen Mihm/Asharq Al-Awsat/March,10/2022
As President Vladimir Putin was launching his battle to restore Russia’s former glory by leveling Ukraine, something as important to his country’s future had already begun to play out at home. Russia’s most valuable asset — its young people — were indicating they want out.
A poll taken before the Feb. 24 invasion found that 43% of Russians between the ages of 18 and 24 want to leave the country for good. Of those, 44% cited the economic situation as the primary reason for departing. That sentiment will surely be strengthened by the impact of global sanctions and domestic crackdowns. As growing numbers of Russians contemplate leaving their country, Putin will face a predicament familiar to his Communist predecessors and other authoritarians. China is seeing financial professionals flee Hong Kong in response to its crackdowns, a reminder that repressing citizens is one thing; keeping them from voting with their feet is another. That’s a challenge Putin will find difficult to win.
To understand why, consider what happened in Eastern Europe after World War II. When the Soviet Union began to consolidate its sphere of influence over what would soon become known as the Eastern Bloc, a first wave of emigrants from the new Communist countries fled west, seeking refuge in the democracies of Europe as well as the US.
The leading edge of this exodus included the country’s most successful people. In Poland, for example, one historian has described the initial wave as encompassing “former political elites, wealthy landowners, professionals [and] entrepreneurs who saw grim future prospects in the Communist dominated country.”
Something similar happened in Germany. An article published in West Germany’s Der Spiegel observed that the first wave from 1945 to 1947 consisted “mostly of owners of large businesses and industries, deposed by Soviet reorganization.” Then came small-business owners, followed by members of commercial firms.
As Communists intensified their hold on East Germany, doctors and pharmacists fled, too. By the end of 1952, the magazine noted, “the exodus of the farmers had begun. The iron stirring the cauldron of the transformation had now reached the depths of the social pyramid.”
At a certain point, the Soviet satellite states realized that these runaways cast doubt on claims that the Eastern Bloc was a socialist paradise. The authorities dealt with it the only way they knew how, locking their citizens behind the Iron Curtain.
Repression took many forms: brutal punishments meted out for anyone caught trying to flee; domestic travel restrictions designed to steer people away from borders with the West; military checkpoints at any vulnerable crossing, and even more draconian measures. Hungary, for example, created a no-man’s land 30 kilometers wide on its western border.
The crackdown served its purpose but was a disaster in other ways. The spectacle of the Eastern Bloc turning its societies into country-wide jails was hardly a winning strategy in the global battle of ideas.
The West understood this, of course, and exploited it. As early as 1952, the administration of President Harry Truman created the United States Escapee Program, which targeted high-profile defectors, providing enticements to intellectuals, scientists and others to flee the Soviet Union and its client states.
As one historian of this program has noted, the term “escapee” deliberately “conjured the Soviet sphere as one vast prison, surrounded by barbed wire, watchtowers, and guards zealously posed over automatic weapons.” American popular culture helped cement this perception around the world.
Still, one portal to freedom remained open: Berlin. The city’s anomalous status in the Cold War, even after Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev’s failed attempt to starve the city into submission, meant that East Germans could cross into the western half of the city and never return. And they did. Between 1949 and 1961, it’s estimated that upward of 3.5 million East Germans — 20 percent of the country’s population — fled for the West. These individuals tended to be the smartest, best educated and youngest members of East German society. More than 75 percent of those who left were under 40.
The outflow of human capital caused no end of consternation for the East German state, which eventually declared these departures a crime: “Republikflucht,” or “flight from the republic.” The authorities described such behavior as an “act of political and moral backwardness and depravity.” But millions of East Germans failed to get the memo. As East Germany bled its best and brightest, the government finally got permission from Moscow to build its infamous wall, closing the migration loophole in Berlin and stanching the exodus. But by then the damage had been done.
Putin may soon face a similar dilemma. If the youngest, most enterprising people make a break for it, he can sit by as they take Russia’s future with them. Or he can turn his vast country into a gigantic prison, resurrecting Soviet-style controls on borders.
Either way, Putin and Russia will lose.

Palestinians: US Weakness Facilitates the Rise of Jihad and Fundamentalism
Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/March 10, 2022
"America is unable to decide on war against Russia, and therefore the US will not be a decision-maker in international politics." — Musa Abu Marzouk, member of the Hamas "politburo," Twitter, February 26, 2022.
As far as Hamas is concerned, the weaker the US the greater are their chances of fulfilling their goal of replacing Israel with an Islamic state.
Articles 13 of the Hamas Charter states "There is no solution to the Palestinian problem except by Jihad."
Washington's image in the Arab world has been battered to the point at which even its allies are beginning to challenge its policies and decisions, Atallah said.
"Biden [in his State of the Union speech] ignored the Afghanistan issue, especially in light of the confused [US] withdrawal. He was also cautious not to talk about relations with China so as not to provoke it. Biden's speech confirms with full clarity the loss of a consistent strategic vision with regard to central issues globally. This is a sign of the loss of the prestige of the great country [the US]. Biden's speech was a message of a historical recognition of the upcoming political defeat and the beginning of the birth of a new international order." — Hassan Asfour, former Palestinian Authority minister, Khbrpress.ps, March 2, 2022.
"When two Gulf countries refuse to support the US, this means the image of America in the region is deeply tarnished, and that there is a changing mood." — Sami Abu Zuhri, Hamas official, Khbrpress.ps, March 4, 2022.
The Americans need to understand that no matter how many gifts they give to the Palestinians, that will not stop Hamas and many others from continuing to hate the US and look at it as an enemy.
Some Arabs hate the US because of its support for corrupt Arab dictatorships and its war against Islamist terrorist groups. Others see the US as a country that represents the anti-Muslim "infidels" in the West.
The only way for the Americans to deal with these Muslim extremists is by not showing any sign of weakness or appeasement. The weaker you are and the more you try to appease them, the bigger their appetite becomes to fight against the US.
Such voices coming from the Palestinians corroborate claims of the erosion of the US standing, especially among the Arabs. They are responding to an anemic US under the Biden administration that has forfeited its credibility as well as its capacity to stand behind its allies and friends. This US approach does not bode well for the future of the region. The pattern of weakness and inaction are being interpreted as a sign of cowardice posing as "caution," and as a green light to pursue jihadi and terrorist schemes and establish yet another Islamic fundamentalist state.
The Iranian-backed Hamas movement that controls the Gaza Strip sees the Russia-Ukraine war as evidence of the weakness of the Biden administration and the end of the status of the US as the world's sole superpower. "America is unable to decide on war against Russia, and therefore the US will not be a decision-maker in international politics," said Musa Abu Marzouk (pictured), a member of the Hamas "politburo."
Like many Palestinians and Arabs, the Iranian-backed Hamas movement that controls the Gaza Strip sees the Russia-Ukraine war as evidence of the weakness of the Biden administration and the end of the status of the US as the world's sole superpower.
The timidity of the Biden administration and the perceived decline of the US in the international arena are good news for Hamas, whose leaders are hoping that this will pave the way for them to achieve their goal of replacing Israel with an Islamic fundamentalist state.
Musa Abu Marzouk, a member of the Hamas "politburo," said recently:
"The Russia-Ukraine war indicates that the era of America's unipolar role has ended. America is unable to decide on war against Russia, and therefore the US will not be a decision-maker in international politics..."
The Hamas leader seems predictably optimistic about the prospects of killing Jews and eliminating Israel under a weakened US. Abu Marzouk is so excited about the perceived decline of the US that he believes that now Hamas and the Palestinians can start talking about the "future" of the Middle East.
What future does Hamas and many Palestinians foresee?
The Hamas leaders deserve credit for being transparent about their ambitions and for reminding the world that Hamas remains committed to its 1988 Charter, which explicitly and unambiguously calls on Muslims to wage jihad (holy war) to displace both Israel and the Jews.
The charter expresses hatred of Jews by quoting a hadith (saying) attributed to the prophet Mohammed:
"The Day of Judgement will not come about until Muslims fight the Jews, when the Jew will hide behind stones and trees. The stones and trees will say: O Muslims, O Abdulla, there is a Jew behind me, come and kill him." (Article 7).
In the charter, Hamas defines its slogan as follows:
"Allah is its goal, the prophet (Mohammed) its model, the Koran its constitution, jihad its path and death for the sake of Allah as the loftiest of its wishes." (Article 8).
The charter lays out the strategies and methods of Hamas as follows:
"The Islamic Resistance Movement believes that the land of Palestine has been an Islamic Waqf throughout the generations and until the Day of Resurrection. No one can renounce it or part of it, or abandon it or part of it." (Article 11)
Articles 13 of the Hamas Charter states "There is no solution to the Palestinian problem except by Jihad."
Last year, Hamas leaders celebrated the US "defeat" in Afghanistan and said it too was a sign of the weakness of the Americans in general and the Biden administration in particular.
In a phone call to congratulate the Taliban "foreign minister" on the "victory" after the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, Haniyeh, the Hamas leader who is currently based in Qatar, expressed hope that the Taliban will support the Palestinians in their war on Israel.
Another Hamas official, Sami Abu Zuhri, also expressed joy over the US "retreat" in Afghanistan.
The statements of the Hamas leaders show that they see the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and failure to take tough measures against Russia as signs of weakness and retreat. As far as Hamas is concerned, the weaker the US the greater are their chances of fulfilling their goal of replacing Israel with an Islamic state.Palestinian political analyst Akram Atallah also appears to comprehend the perception that the standing of the US has dramatically diminished as a result of the Russia-Ukraine war. Washington's image in the Arab world has been battered to the point at which even its allies are beginning to challenge its policies and decisions, Atallah said.
He pointed out that the United Arab Emirates abstained on a US-led resolution to condemn Russia's invasion of Ukraine at the United Nations Security Council, due to the Gulf state's frustrations over the Biden administration's weak response to recent drone and missile attacks on Abu Dhabi by Yemen's Iranian-backed Houthi militia. Atallah also pointed out that Saudi Arabia recently rejected requests from the US to increase its production of oil in order to reduce prices.
"This reflects the self-confidence of the two [Arab] countries and their ability to challenge and contradict the demands and interests of the US... When two Gulf countries refuse to support the US, this means the image of America in the region is deeply tarnished, and that there is a changing mood. We are not only facing countries that may rediscover their strength, but also rediscover American weakness. Does America understand that the world is changing and that the wings of an eagle are weakened by factors of natural erosion and time?"
Hassan Asfour, a former Palestinian Authority minister, wrote that he too believes that the US has lost its "central" role in the Middle East. Asfour pointed out that Biden, in his State of the Union speech, did not make any reference to the Iranian nuclear issue and the negotiations in Vienna about reviving the 2015 nuclear deal. "It did not stop here," Asfour added.
"Biden [in his speech] ignored the Afghanistan issue, especially in light of the confused [US] withdrawal. He was also cautious not to talk about relations with China so as not to provoke it. Biden's speech confirms with full clarity the loss of a consistent strategic vision with regard to central issues globally. This is a sign of the loss of the prestige of the great country [the US]. Biden's speech was a message of a historical recognition of the upcoming political defeat and the beginning of the birth of a new international order." (Khbrpress.ps, March 2, 2022)
Hani al-Masri, a prominent Palestinian political analyst, wrote that America's "retreat can be seen in several areas in the world, such as what happened in the shameful withdrawal from Afghanistan and its quest to reach an agreement with Iran."
Ahmed Issa, former Director General of the Palestine Institute for National Security Research, said that the current war shows that Israel can no longer rely on the US to play an influential role in the international arena.
The Americans need to understand that no matter how many gifts they give to the Palestinians, that will not stop Hamas and many others from continuing to hate the US, looking on it as an enemy and chanting, "America is the Great Satan!"
Some Arabs hate the US because of its support for corrupt Arab dictatorships and its war against Islamist terrorist groups. Others see the US as a country that represents the anti-Muslim "infidels" in the West.
The only way for the Americans to deal with these Muslim extremists is by not showing any sign of weakness or appeasement. The weaker you are and the more you try to appease them, the bigger their appetite becomes to fight against the US.
Fayez Abu Shamala, a political analyst from the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip, also sounded optimistic regarding the growing weakness of the US and its allies. He wrote:
"Today, NATO stands unable to protect its allies and is facing a rising Russian power. Some NATO countries want to be liberated from American hegemony. The coming days will bring many surprises. We, the Arabs and Palestinians, have nothing to do but watch events with great caution and ponder how to exploit the developments."
Such voices coming from the Palestinians corroborate claims of the erosion of the US standing, especially among the Arabs. They are responding to an anemic US under the Biden administration that has forfeited its credibility as well as its capacity to stand behind its allies and friends. This US approach does not bode well for the future of the region. The pattern of weakness and inaction are being interpreted as a sign of cowardice posing as "caution," and as a green light to pursue jihadi and terrorist schemes and establish yet another Islamic fundamentalist state.
*Khaled Abu Toameh is an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem.
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