English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News
& Editorials
For June 17/2026
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
For the Son of Man came to seek and save those who are lost
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew
18/11-14:”What do you think? If a shepherd has a hundred sheep, and one of them
has gone astray, does he not leave the ninety-nine on the mountains and go in
search of the one that went astray?And if he finds it, truly I tell you, he
rejoices over it more than over the ninety-nine that never went astray. So it is
not the will of your Father in heaven that one of these little ones should be
lost.
Titles For Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related
News & Editorials published on
16-17 June/2026
A prayer for the freedom,
safety, sovereignty, and independence of Lebanon/Elias Bejjani/June 16/2026
Israel remains tasked with eradicating Hezbollah from all of Lebanon, and its
army will not withdraw before that/Elias Bejjani/June 15/2026
Gebran Bassil and Walid Jumblatt are enemies of Lebanon and are Trojan-horse
mercenaries working for Hezbollah/Elias Bejjani/June 13, 2026
Trump Says Syria ‘Will Do the Job’ with Hezbollah if Israel Unable
Hezbollah's Financial Arm Referred to Lebanese Prosecutors
Iran Races against Lebanese Negotiators to Secure Israeli Withdrawal from South
Israel targets van in south and shells al-Rihan and Kfartebnit
4 killed in Israeli strikes on south, Israel says intercepted Hezbollah rockets
Qassem thanks Iran negotiator for help stopping Israel's Lebanon war
Iran FM says ending war including in Lebanon 'most important issue' in US deal
Aoun and Salam discuss preparations for new round of Israel talks
UN chief: Israel and Hezbollah must stop fighting
Hezbollah believes Iran will not sign final nuclear deal if Israel stays in
Lebanon
What is the cost to Lebanon of the latest Israel-Hezbollah war?
Lebanese leaders discuss preparations for new round of Israel talks
Berri says phased, 60-day Israel pullout mentioned in Iran-US deal
Lebanon’s sixty days to choose statehood/Makram Rabah/Al Arabiya English/June
16/2026
on 16-17 June/2026
Al Arabiya English obtains 14-point
draft of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
Trump says Iran deal to be public soon and will rule out nuclear weapon for
Tehran
US-Iran deal to be signed at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort on Friday
US Senate narrowly blocks new bid to rein in Trump war powers
US President Donald Trump invokes Defense Production Act, citing ‘fragile supply
chains’
Israel condemns Lukashenko remarks to Al Arabiya English as ‘deeply disturbing’
China warns next phase of US-Iran talks will be ‘more difficult’
Saudi Cabinet, chaired by MBS, welcomes US-Iran agreement
Israel Seizes Powers over Hebron Shrine from Palestinian Authority
Israeli Military Takes More Territory, Kills Two People in Gaza, Medics and
Witnesses Say
After 'Blank Ballot' Round, Hamas Resumes Vote for New Leader
Türkiye Opposes Iraq Pipeline Deal Extension under Current Conditions, Official
Says
Tension in Samarra Tests Iraq Govt's Plan to Impose State Monopoly over Arms
ISIS Claims Responsibility for Attack on Police Camp in Syria’s Raqqa
Arab League Condemns Opening of Embassy for So-Called 'Somaliland Region' in
Occupied Jerusalem
Titles For The Latest
English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on 16-17 June/2026
Bitter Victory or Sweet Defeat in the
Middle East, But Whose?/Alberto M. Fernandez/National Catholic Register/June
16/2026
The Ceasefire Between Iran and the United States and Its Impact on
Lebanon/Colonel Charbel Barakat/June 16/2026
Can Iraq’s New Prime Minister Thread the US-Iran Needle?/Bridget Toomey/The
National Interest/June 16/2026
Be Optimistic/Samir Atallah/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
On a Changing Iran/Hanna Saleh/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
Saudi Arabia and the Art of Statecraft/Mishary Dhayidi/Asharq Al-Awsat/June
16/2026
Selected Face Book & X tweets on 16 June/2026
on 16-17 June/2026
A prayer for the freedom, safety, sovereignty, and
independence of Lebanon
Elias Bejjani/June 16/2026
In these difficult and painful times through which Lebanon is passing, the
homeland of saints, martyrs, holiness, freedom, and coexistence, prayer for its
salvation acquires a special urgency and importance.
Today, Lebanon suffers from various forms of domination, political paralysis,
economic collapse, and social hardship. Its sovereignty, national identity, and
historic mission continue to face serious challenges, while its people endure
poverty, emigration, uncertainty, and the loss of hope.
The prayers of the Lebanese people for the salvation, liberation, and renewal of
their country are not merely a patriotic duty; they are also an act of faith,
hope, and trust in God. If the Lord Jesus responded to the faith of those who
carried the paralytic to Him, if He healed the centurion's servant in response
to the centurion's request, and if He raised Lazarus from the dead in answer to
the pleas of Martha and Mary, then surely the prayers of believers on behalf of
their homeland, their families, and their people are heard and welcomed by God.
The Church throughout its history has witnessed the power of intercessory prayer
and the countless blessings that flow from faithful supplication offered for
others. Lebanon today is in great need of such prayer. Its salvation begins with
the conversion of hearts, with a renewed commitment to faith, truth, freedom,
and moral responsibility. It also begins with the conviction that God never
abandons those who place their trust in Him and seek His help with sincerity and
perseverance.
Therefore, praying for Lebanon—for its freedom, sovereignty, peace, stability,
and liberation from corruption, injustice, fear, and every form of domination—is
both a spiritual and national responsibility entrusted to every Lebanese who
believes in God's love and justice.
Let us therefore raise our hearts together and pray: A Prayer for Lebanon
Lord God, Father of mercy, love, and peace, look with compassion upon Lebanon
and its people.
Bless its land and preserve its heritage. Protect it from violence, division,
oppression, and all who seek to diminish its freedom and dignity. Enlighten the
minds and consciences of its leaders so that they may serve the common good with
wisdom, integrity, and courage.
Strengthen the faith of its people, comfort those who suffer, give hope to the
discouraged, and bring back those who have been forced to leave their homeland.
Heal the wounds of the nation, unite its children in truth and reconciliation,
and restore to Lebanon its historic mission as a beacon of freedom, faith,
culture, and coexistence in the Middle East.
Free Lebanon from corruption, injustice, dependency, and fear. Grant its people
perseverance, patience, and confidence in Your providence. Through the
intercession of the Blessed Virgin Mary, Our Lady of Lebanon, and all the saints
of Lebanon, protect this beloved nation and grant it lasting peace, security,
sovereignty, dignity, and prosperity.
For Yours is the glory, now and forever. Amen.
Israel remains tasked with
eradicating Hezbollah from all of Lebanon, and its army will not withdraw before
that
Elias Bejjani/June 15/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/06/155280/
The era of the criminal, terrorist,
and theocratic jihadist Hezbollah is over. It should be noted that despite all
the illusory Iranian jubilation following the signing of the Iranian-American
agreement, Israel remains tasked with eradicating Hezbollah from all of Lebanon,
and its army will not withdraw from Lebanon before that. The bluster of the
mullahs is empty and nothing but delusions.
Do not believe any leaks about the terms of the US-Iranian agreement currently
circulating in Arab media.
Most of these leaks originate from the Iranian Mehr News Agency, known as a
propaganda platform for the Iranian regime, and not a reliable source for
revealing details of an agreement of this magnitude. Trump has not yet announced
all the actual terms and details of the agreement, and there is still a 60-day
period during which sensitive and crucial issues will be addressed, most
notably:
- The ballistic missile program.
- Support for armed proxies and militias.
- Support for Hezbollah.
- The negotiations between Lebanon and Israel.
- Israel's conditions for withdrawing from southern Lebanon.
Therefore, everything published today about the final and decisive details of
the agreement should be treated with extreme caution until the full official
statements and documents are released.
Gebran Bassil and Walid Jumblatt are
enemies of Lebanon and are Trojan-horse mercenaries working for Hezbollah.
Elias Bejjani/June 13, 2026
Gebran Bassil has been, still is, and will remain tied by the neck and tongue to
the humiliating ropes of the Party of Satan (a derogatory reference to
Hezbollah). His continued presence as a politician is an insult to free people,
the martyrs, and history.
Walid Jumblatt, a man of abandonment and opportunistic transformations—an
opportunist, a chameleon, and a submissive figure—is alienated and estranged
from the Druze community (Bani Ma‘ruf), their values, pride, patriotism,
dignity, and honor.
Trump
Says Syria ‘Will Do the Job’ with Hezbollah if Israel Unable
Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
US President Donald Trump said Tuesday he had suggested to Israel that Syrian
President Ahmed al-Sharaa should deal with Lebanon's Tehran-backed Hezbollah
group as the Israeli campaign was causing too many casualties. Praising Sharaa
as doing an "amazing job", Trump said at a G7 summit: "If Israel can't do the
job (against Hezbollah) without killing everyone else, than he (Sharaa) will do
the job. Syria will do the job."Sharaa last week quelled renewed speculation
that Syria could become involved in the war in Lebanon, saying reports that
Damascus intends to intervene militarily are “mere rumors.”Sources in Damascus
told Asharq Al-Awsat at the time: “So far, there has been no official US request
to Damascus related to any form of Syrian military intervention in Lebanon.”They
said Tom Barrack, Trump’s envoy to Syria and Iraq and Washington’s ambassador in
Ankara, had previously asked Damascus “to take a clear, explicit and serious
position against Hezbollah.”They added that “entering the quagmire of war and
sending military forces unilaterally is completely ruled out,” and that it was
“very, very early” to discuss the possibility of Syrian forces entering Lebanon
in support of the Lebanese army. Syria’s Interior Ministry said, “Lebanon is a
sovereign state and not a backyard, as the former regime viewed it,” stressing
that “coordination with Lebanon is the basic pillar for any assistance Syria
provides to Lebanon.”Brigadier General Hassan Abdul Ghani, commander of the
Border Guard Forces in the Syrian Arab Army, met last Thursday with a Lebanese
army delegation headed by liaison official Brigadier General Michel Boutros.The
talks focused mainly on “enhancing cooperation and coordination between the two
sides in border control and combating smuggling activities, in a way that
contributes to strengthening border security between the two countries.”
Hezbollah's Financial Arm Referred to Lebanese Prosecutors
Beirut: Youssef Diab//Asharq Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
In a move carrying legal, financial, and political implications, Lebanon's
justice minister has referred Al-Qard Al-Hassan, Hezbollah's financial arm, to
the Public Prosecutor's Office, requesting the opening of an investigation into
its financial activities.
The step revives a longstanding dispute between Hezbollah and state institutions
over financial operations that function outside Lebanon's banking system and the
extent to which they comply with the country's laws and regulations.
The referral comes as Lebanon faces growing international pressure over
anti-money laundering and counterterrorism financing measures, alongside
repeated calls for all financial and lending activities to be brought under the
supervision of Banque du Liban and the relevant regulatory authorities. Justice
Minister Adel Nassar said the decision followed a ministry review of the matter.
"Based on a study conducted by the ministry, we reached conclusions and
identified grounds that warranted placing the case before the Public
Prosecutor's Office, which will now take the necessary steps," Nassar told
Asharq Al-Awsat. He added that the ministry had examined more than one issue and
found sufficient reasons to make the referral, stressing that determining
whether any offense had been committed was a matter for prosecutors."The
ministry's role is limited to making a referral when information emerges that
warrants an investigation," he said.
Internal Initiative, Not External Pressure
Al-Qard Al-Hassan has for years been subject to sanctions imposed by the US
Treasury Department, which accuses it of providing financial services that
support Hezbollah and its illicit activities. The institution is neither
licensed nor recognized by Lebanon's banking authorities, while Banque du Liban
has previously issued directives prohibiting licensed banks and financial
institutions from dealing with it. Asked whether the move resulted from requests
by foreign parties, Nassar insisted that it stemmed from the ministry's own
responsibilities and was not prompted by any external approach or demand. "This
is not limited to Al-Qard Al-Hassan," he said. "It also involves other entities,
including Joud."Nassar said the ministry's internal review had identified
questions regarding the nature of the activities carried out by these entities
and the financial operations that could stem from them. He stressed that the
judiciary would independently determine whether any violations or crimes had
occurred and whether prosecution was warranted. "That is a matter for the courts
to decide, independently and without interference from any authority, including
the Ministry of Justice," he said.
Investigation Taking Shape
Attention is now focused on the course of the judicial proceedings and whether
they will lead to concrete decisions or legal measures against the institution
or those responsible for running it. A judicial source said Public Prosecutor
Judge Rami Hajj received the referral on Monday and is currently reviewing it
before setting dates for investigative sessions. The source said the inquiry was
likely to be complex and involve multiple authorities. "Part of it may fall
within the jurisdiction of General Security, while another part may involve the
Interior Ministry in order to determine whether Al-Qard Al-Hassan's association
license remains valid or has been suspended," the source told Asharq Al-Awsat.
The source added that if financial violations are established, part of the
investigation would involve Banque du Liban and the Special Investigation
Commission to determine the origin of the funds involved. The move is widely
seen as an important test of the Lebanese state's ability to enforce regulatory
oversight over all financial institutions operating within the country,
particularly after the financial collapse that struck the traditional banking
sector in 2019. That collapse was accompanied by the expansion of alternative
financial networks, most notably Al-Qard Al-Hassan, which Hezbollah used to
circumvent US sanctions. Over time, the institution developed into a de facto
banking system serving the party and its support base, providing loans to
thousands of clients in exchange for collateral including jewelry and real
estate.
ATMs and Transfers Under Scrutiny
The case is also expected to trigger political controversy and draw a response
from Hezbollah, which views mounting pressure on Al-Qard Al-Hassan as part of a
broader campaign of sanctions and financial restrictions imposed on the group
and its constituency for years. That perception has been reinforced during the
recent conflict, as the institution played a role in providing assistance to
large numbers of displaced residents from southern Lebanon, Beirut's southern
suburbs, and the Bekaa Valley. The judicial source said Hezbollah was expected
to cooperate with the investigation and provide evidence to demonstrate that the
institution had not engaged in unlawful activity. The source also disclosed that
a delegation of Hezbollah lawmakers met the Public Prosecutor around two weeks
ago and pledged to suspend the institution's ATM operations, as well as any
transfer or deposit activities that might conflict with the scope of its
authorized license.
Iran Races against Lebanese Negotiators to Secure Israeli
Withdrawal from South
Beirut: Nazir Rida/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
Two tracks are moving in parallel to secure Israel’s withdrawal from occupied
Lebanese territory. The first is Lebanon’s direct negotiations with Israel,
which are scheduled for their fifth session next Monday in Washington. The
second is Iranian pressure to complete the withdrawal before Tehran reaches a
nuclear agreement with Washington within a 60-day window. Iran has told
Hezbollah it will not sign the agreement before Israel fully withdraws from
Lebanese territory, a source from the “Shiite duo” in Lebanon told Asharq Al-Awsat.
The duo is comprised of Hezbollah and its ally the Amal movement headed by
parliament Speaker Nabih Berri. Lebanon has insisted from the start that direct
talks with Israel address a package of demands, led by the full withdrawal of
Israeli forces from Lebanese territory they occupied during the war. The
declared understanding between Washington and Tehran made no mention of the
issue, according to leaks. But Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on
Tuesday that ending the war would not be complete “without the withdrawal of
Israeli forces from the territories they occupied in this war.”“Any military
attack by the Zionist entity against Lebanon from now on, and any continued
occupation of Lebanese territory from now on, will be considered, from our point
of view, a violation of the memorandum of understanding,” he told a meeting with
foreign diplomats broadcast by state television. A displaced woman holds an
Iranian flag as she makes her way back to her home in southern Lebanon, on the
highway of Sidon, Lebanon, June 16, 2026. (Reuters)
Lebanon’s negotiation track
The Lebanese state, meanwhile, is pressing ahead with a new round of
negotiations due to open next Monday in Washington and run until Wednesday, with
developments to be discussed in security and diplomatic sessions. The Lebanese
presidency said President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam discussed
the preparations on Tuesday. Aoun and Salam described the US-Iranian
understanding as “a positive factor” in easing regional tensions and pushing
toward peaceful solutions and an end to the war. At the same time, they
reaffirmed “Lebanon’s firm position in the Washington negotiations” on a final
ceasefire, the withdrawal of Israeli forces, the deployment of the Lebanese army
up to the international border, the release of Lebanese prisoners and the start
of reconstruction.
Gradual withdrawal within 60 days
Iran and Hezbollah are pursuing a parallel track. A source, who requested
anonymity, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the agreement between Iran and the United
States “stipulates a ceasefire, a halt to Israeli attacks and a guarantee of
Lebanon’s territorial integrity.”
The source said this would require Israeli commitment, “guaranteed by the United
States.”“Hezbollah was informed by the Iranian side that Israel, after the
agreement is signed next Friday, must begin a gradual withdrawal from inside
occupied Lebanese territory and complete the withdrawal before the date of
signing the nuclear agreement with Iran,” the source said, referring to the
60-day deadline. “The party was informed that Tehran will not sign the nuclear
agreement with Washington before Israel’s full withdrawal,” the source added.
Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem on Tuesday sent a message of thanks to
Iranian parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Ghalibaf “for obliging the Israeli
entity to immediately and permanently halt military operations on all fronts,
including Lebanon, in connection with the end of the war on Iran, as the first
and fundamental clause of the agreement between Iran and America.” Lebanese
Speaker Nabih Berri and Ghalibaf discussed, in a phone call, field and political
developments linked to the deal between the United States and Iran, especially
the clause on ending Israel’s war on Lebanon.
A statement from the Lebanese parliament said Ghalibaf and Berri “stressed the
need for the United States, the guarantors of the memorandum of understanding
and the international community to assume their responsibility to compel Israel
to end its war, stop demolishing villages, respect Lebanon’s sovereignty and
withdraw immediately from the territories it occupied.”
Hezbollah’s opponents doubtful
Inside Lebanon, Hezbollah’s opponents questioned Iran’s ability to force an
Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon. Members of the Strong Republic parliamentary
bloc and the executive body of the Lebanese Forces party said after an
extraordinary meeting that any agreement between the United States and Iran
“remains a matter concerning the two states involved.”“The ceasefire mentioned
in the agreement is general and concerns the Middle East region. It has no
practical repercussions for Lebanon because the party fighting in Lebanon is
Israel, not the US,” they said in a statement. They accused Tehran of “providing
verbal services to Hezbollah so that it can continue fighting to achieve Iran’s
objectives.”They said that “what is required after all the suffering endured by
the Lebanese people is not merely a ceasefire while keeping the old order in
place, with Iran and Hezbollah forming an essential part of that old order, but
a complete end to the successive wars that have torn Lebanon apart and
impoverished it.”They said the time had come to achieve that by dissolving
illegal military organizations, “foremost among them Hezbollah.”
They also backed the direct negotiation track with Israel, describing it as “the
only gateway to ending the wars in Lebanon and reaching an actual state that
restores Lebanon’s Arab and international relations.”The Kataeb Party stressed
that Lebanon “is not concerned with any agreement involving Lebanon except one
in which the Lebanese state and its legitimate institutions elected by the
Lebanese people are involved, through the parties officially authorized to
negotiate on their behalf in Washington.”The party said those representatives
were carrying out their role to restore Lebanon’s sovereignty and free
decision-making, secure the Israeli withdrawal, halt attacks and complete
government decisions to confine arms to the state and restore security
decision-making to the official authorities.
Israel targets van in south and shells al-Rihan and Kfartebnit
Naharnet/June 16/2026
An Israeli drone strike targeted a van on the Harees-Hadatha road in the Bint
Jbeil district on Tuesday, as Israeli artillery shelling hit the vicinity of al-Rihan
in the Jezzine district and the town of Kfartebnit in the Nabatieh region.
Violence seems to have abated between Israel and Hezbollah since an
Iranian-American peace deal was announced two days ago. Hezbollah said on Monday
that it had attacked an Israeli force trying to advance in southern Lebanon in
response to three Israeli drone attacks and artillery shellinh. Fighters from
the group "using rockets and drones" blocked an Israeli force consisting of an
excavator and two Merkava tanks that was "advancing" in the vicinity of
Kfartebnit, Hezbollah said in a statement. In another statement late Monday, it
added: "The enemy army regrouped its forces in the vicinity of the crossing area
by bringing in an armored force consisting of five Merkava tanks and four
vehicles. "The mujahideen of the Islamic Resistance targeted them with rocket
barrages and artillery shells, and the clashes are still ongoing."Earlier on
Monday, an Israeli drone targeted a car in the same area "killing its driver,"
Lebanon's National News Agency (NNA) reported, marking the first deadly strike
since the agreement was announced. Details of the agreement to end the Middle
East war on all fronts have not been made public, but Iran and mediator Pakistan
have both said it includes Lebanon. Hezbollah drew the country into the Middle
East war on March 2 with rocket fire at Israel to avenge the killing of Iran's
supreme leader in U.S.-Israeli strikes. Israel responded with airstrikes and a
ground invasion that Lebanon says have killed more than 3,700 people and
displaced more than one million others. An official source told AFP that
"Lebanon was not informed of the terms of the agreement or the time of the
ceasefire."
4 killed in Israeli strikes on south, Israel says
intercepted Hezbollah rockets
Agence France Presse/June 16/2026
Lebanon said Israeli strikes killed four people in the country's south on
Tuesday as Israel said it intercepted Hezbollah rockets and launched raids,
despite a U.S.-Iran deal that includes Lebanon. Lebanon's official National News
Agency (NNA) said Israeli drone strikes targeted two vehicles in the town of
Mayfadoun and another in nearby Shukeen, both in the Nabatieh area, "leading to
an initial toll of four dead" and others wounded. The Israeli military said it
conducted a strike in south Lebanon after it "identified a suspicious vehicle"
where its soldiers were operating, without specifying where. It also said its
forces intercepted several rockets fired at Israeli soldiers in south Lebanon,
following which the air force "struck and dismantled" a launcher. Hezbollah has
so far not issued any statements on Tuesday claiming attacks on Israeli targets
in south Lebanon. While violence declined in Lebanon after the U.S.-Iran
agreement to end the Middle East war was announced on Monday, Israeli strikes on
the south have now killed at least five people since, according to the NNA. The
reduction in violence has allowed some south Lebanon residents to return and
inspect their towns and villages, but the Lebanese army has urged locals to
delay their return, citing "the risk of Israeli violations and attacks".
Lebanon's health ministry on Tuesday raised the death toll in Israeli attacks
since March 2 to 3,826, as rescuers pull bodies from the rubble. Hezbollah drew
Lebanon into the Middle East war by firing rockets at Israel to avenge the
killing of Iran's supreme leader in U.S.-Israeli strikes. Israel responded with
a massive campaign of airstrikes and a ground invasion. Iran's Foreign Minister
Abbas Araghchi said on Tuesday that an end to the conflict would be incomplete
"without the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the territories it occupied in
this war"."Any military attack by the Zionist regime on Lebanon from now on and
the continued occupation of Lebanese territories from now on will be considered
a violation of the memorandum of understanding in our view," he added. Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Monday that the country's forces would
remain in Lebanon "for as long as necessary".
Qassem thanks Iran negotiator for help stopping Israel's
Lebanon war
Agence France Presse/June 16/2026
Hezbollah's chief on Tuesday thanked Iran's top negotiator for helping stop the
"Israeli-American aggression" on Lebanon, after the announcement of a U.S.-Iran
deal on ending the Middle East war that includes Lebanon. In a message to
Iranian parliament speaker and top negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf,
Hezbollah's leader Sheikh Naim Qassem expressed "profound gratitude" for Iran's
efforts "to compel the Israeli entity to an immediate and permanent cessation of
military operations on all fronts including in Lebanon". "You have transformed
the only effective glimmer of hope in ending the Israeli-American aggression on
Lebanon into a reality that has proved to the world that Iran is the champion of
truth and the resistance," he said, according to the message published by
Hezbollah. "We have always said that Iran has given Hezbollah, the resistance
and the Lebanese people everything, and has taken nothing in return. It has
supported us in our choices and strengthened us to liberate our land," he added.
Hezbollah drew Lebanon into the Middle East war on March 2 with rocket fire at
Israel to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader in U.S.-Israeli strikes.
Israel responded with a massive campaign of airstrikes and a ground invasion
that Lebanese authorities say has killed more than 3,800 people. Qassem is due
to make a televised address on Wednesday.
Iran FM says ending war including in Lebanon 'most
important issue' in US deal
Agence France Presse/June 16/2026
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Tuesday that ending the war on
all fronts, including Lebanon, was "the most important" issue in the peace deal
with the United States announced the day before. "The important point I want to
emphasize here is that in our view, there are two parties to this memorandum --
one side is America and Israel, and the other side is Iran and Hezbollah," said
Araghchi during a briefing with foreign diplomats broadcast on state television.
"This is perhaps the most important issue in the memorandum -- the declaration
of an immediate and permanent end to the war on all fronts, including in
Lebanon," he said, adding that "ending the war in Lebanon is an inseparable part
of the complete end of the war."His remarks came one day after Tehran and
Washington announced a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the conflict,
which broke out on February 28 with U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and engulfed
the Middle East. Lebanon was pulled into the war in early March when Iran-backed
Hezbollah launched rockets at Israel after the killing of Iran's supreme leader,
prompting Israeli strikes and a ground invasion. Araghchi said an end to the war
would not be complete "without the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the
territories it occupied in this war". "Any military attack by the Zionist regime
on Lebanon from now on and the continued occupation of Lebanese territories from
now on will be considered a violation of the memorandum of understanding in our
view," he added. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said Israel's
forces will remain in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza "as long as necessary". Following
the deal announcement on Monday, Hezbollah said it had attacked Israeli forces
trying to advance in southern Lebanon in response to drone attacks and artillery
shelling by Israel. The deal is expected to be signed on Friday in Switzerland.
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Takht-Ravanchi said his country's top
negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf will attend the signing with an Iranian
delegation, according to state television. The U.S. delegation will be headed by
Vice President JD Vance, he added. "It is also not yet clear how the signing
will take place, including whether it will be conducted electronically or not,"
he said. On Tuesday, Araghchi said the signing "will take place soon" and that
talks with the United States on a final agreement covering Iran's nuclear
program will begin after the signing. "Likely on Friday, at a location to be
determined... a new round of negotiations between Iran and the United States to
reach a final agreement will begin," Araghchi said. "In the final agreement,
decisions will be made on the nuclear issues and the lifting of sanctions," he
added.
Aoun and Salam discuss preparations for new round of Israel
talks
Agence France Presse/June 16/2026
Lebanon's president and prime minister on Tuesday discussed preparations for a
new round of talks with Israel next week, after the U.S. and Iran announced a
peace deal that includes Lebanon. Lebanon and Israel have been holding direct
talks in Washington since April, seeking to end hostilities and separate the
Israel-Hezbollah conflict from the wider regional war. But the announcement of
the U.S.-Iran deal has reshuffled the cards in Lebanon. The office of President
Joseph Aoun said in a statement that he and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam discussed
preparations for the fifth round of talks, scheduled to begin on June 22. The
pair view the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding as "a positive factor in
reducing the regional tensions and pushing towards peaceful solutions and an end
to the state of war," according to the statement. They also reiterated that
through the Washington talks, Lebanon continues to seek "a permanent ceasefire
and the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the lands they occupy, the deployment
of the Lebanese Army up to the international border, the return of Lebanese
prisoners and launching the reconstruction process."Details circulating of the
Iran-U.S. deal fail to mention a withdrawal of Israeli troops from Lebanon. But
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Tuesday that an end to the
conflict would be incomplete "without the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the
territories it occupied in this war.""Any military attack by the Zionist regime
on Lebanon from now on and the continued occupation of Lebanese territories from
now on will be considered a violation of the memorandum of understanding in our
view," he added. Hezbollah drew Lebanon into the Middle East war on March 2 with
rocket fire at Israel to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader in
U.S.-Israeli strikes. Israel responded with a massive campaign of airstrikes and
a ground invasion. Neither side has respected previous ceasefire
announcements.Hezbollah on Monday thanked its backer Tehran for insisting
Lebanon be included in the agreement with Washington. The militant group said it
would be "wise to review all the calculations and approaches pursued by the
authorities... and acknowledge that a united Lebanese position and reliance on
true friends is the optimal way to safeguard national interests". Hezbollah,
which has rejected a government decision to disarm the group, also repeated its
demand that authorities abandon the direct talks with Israel. Since the Iran-U.S.
deal announcement, hostilities and military operations between Hezbollah and
Israel have declined significantly. Lebanon says Israeli attacks since March 2
have killed more than 3,700 people and displaced more than one million others.
UN chief: Israel and Hezbollah must stop fighting
Associated Press/June 16/2026
U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has called on Hezbollah to allow
Lebanon’s government “to have the primacy of arms and authority throughout its
territory,” U.N. spokesman Stephane Dujarric said. Guterres also called on
Israel to respect Lebanon’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and withdraw
its troops. The U.N. peacekeeping force in Lebanon known as UNIFIL reported that
from midnight until 4 p.m. local time Monday, it observed a decrease in violence
and exchanges of fire between Israel and Hezbollah, Dujarric said. UNIFIL
recorded 133 trajectories of projectiles and two airstrikes attributed to
Israeli forces during that time period and none from Hezbollah or other armed
groups, he said. It also recorded 25 violations of Lebanese airspace. Before the
agreement was announced on Sunday, UNIFIL recorded 1,374 trajectories of
projectiles over the weekend, with 1,328 attributed to Israeli forces and the
rest “presumably” to Hezbollah, Dujarric said. It also recorded 135 Israeli
violations of Lebanese airspace.
Hezbollah believes Iran will not sign final nuclear deal if
Israel stays in Lebanon
Reuters/16 June ,2026
Hezbollah said on Tuesday it believes Iran will not sign a final nuclear deal
with Washington unless Israel withdraws from Lebanon, as Iran’s top diplomat
said Israel’s continued troop presence in Lebanon would be considered a breach
of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding.
Israeli troops still occupy a swathe of territory in southern Lebanon that they
seized in their three-month air and land campaign against Hezbollah, which began
after the Iran-backed group fired at Israel on March 2 in support of Tehran.
Fighting in Lebanon has eased significantly after the Iran-US memorandum of
understanding but has not stopped in full, and Israel has said troops would
remain in the country’s south. Hezbollah has objected to Israel’s continued
occupation. On Tuesday, the group’s media office said it understood that Iran
would demand an Israeli withdrawal as part of the next round of US-Iran talks,
set to begin after the two formally sign their memorandum of understanding this
coming Friday. Those talks are set to address difficult issues like the future
of Iran’s nuclear program.
“We believe there will be no nuclear deal between Iran and the United States if
Israel does not withdraw,” Hezbollah’s media office told Reuters, the first time
the group linked Israel’s withdrawal to a possible nuclear deal. It said an
Israeli withdrawal would be the result of, and not a precondition for, those
talks. It said it had received Iranian assurances that any Israeli breach of the
Lebanon ceasefire would affect those upcoming negotiations. Iran’s Foreign
Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Tuesday that the end of the regional war must
include the end of conflict in Lebanon, including “the end of the occupation” of
Lebanese land. “Without the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the territories
they have occupied in this war, a full end to the war has not been achieved,” he
said. Araghchi added that any Israeli attack on Lebanon or the continued
occupation of Lebanese land “will, in our view, be considered a violation of the
memorandum of understanding.”
What is the cost to Lebanon of the latest Israel-Hezbollah
war?
Reuters/16 June ,2026
Lebanon has suffered the deadliest spillover of the regional war triggered by
the US-Israeli strikes on Iran more than three months ago, which is set to end
with a deal between Washington and Tehran. The conflict spread to Lebanon on
March 2, when Iran-backed group Hezbollah fired on Israel in support of Tehran,
triggering an Israeli air and ground campaign.
Here are some of the main costs for Lebanon.
Casualties
From March 2 until June 14, the night the US-Iran deal was announced, at least
3,783 people were killed and 11,699 wounded in Lebanon, according to the
country’s health ministry. The death toll included 247 children, 363 women and
133 healthcare workers. The ministry’s figures do not distinguish between
civilians and combatants, and Hezbollah has not said how many of its fighters
were killed. The toll surpasses the 3,468 killed in Iran as of late April, when
a US-Iran ceasefire was reached.
It is also higher than the ministry’s figures for the last Israel-Hezbollah
conflict, which lasted from October 2023 to November 2024. That war saw 3,768
people killed, the vast majority of whom were killed after Israel went on the
offensive in September 2024.
At least 28 Israeli soldiers have been killed in Lebanon in the latest war,
according to a Reuters tally of Israeli military announcements, while four
civilians have been killed in Hezbollah attacks. That compares with 73 Israeli
soldiers and 45 civilians in northern Israel in the 2023-2024 war.
Destruction
Israel’s airstrikes have damaged and destroyed buildings across Lebanon. Most of
the damage has been concentrated in the south, but buildings were also destroyed
in the capital and its southern suburbs. Israeli troops occupying a southern
swathe of the country have also flattened dozens of villages there, saying their
aim is to keep residents of northern Israel safe from attacks by Hezbollah
fighters embedded in civilian areas. Buildings damaged in the south within the
first month of the war included hospitals, power stations and water pumping
stations. The latest figures from Lebanon’s National Council for Scientific
Research, which cover the period from March 2 until May 17, show that more than
68,000 housing units across the country have been damaged or destroyed. Nearly
30,000 of those units are in the three southernmost districts of Lebanon, and
more than 8,000 in Beirut and its southern suburbs. In a report published this
month, the United Nations Development Program said that in Beirut and the
southern suburbs alone, the damage amounted to $365 million. Israel’s
destruction of buildings and inflicting of casualties has drawn criticism from
US President Donald Trump. “You don’t have to knock down an apartment house
every time you’re looking for somebody, because there a lot of people in those
apartment houses, and they’re not all Hezbollah, that I can tell you,” Trump
told reporters at the G7 summit in France.
Displacement
More than 1.2 million people have been displaced by Israel’s airstrikes and
evacuation warnings across Lebanon since March 2, according to Lebanese
authorities. They include hundreds of thousands of people who fled Beirut’s
southern suburbs, which Israel’s military ordered entirely evacuated for the
first time during this war. Even after the announcement of the US-Iran deal,
many displaced did not return home - either because they had no homes to return
to or because they were skeptical the ceasefire would hold in Lebanon.
Economic impact
Lebanon’s authorities have not yet assessed the full scale of the war’s economic
impact, but have said that it derailed the country’s recovery from a series of
recent crises, including the 2023-2024 war, the Beirut port blast of 2020 and
the financial collapse of 2019. Finance Minister Yassine Jaber told Reuters in
May that the war could see Lebanon’s economy contract by at least 7 percent this
year. The 2024 war cost Lebanon at least $8.5 billion in physical damage and
economic losses, according to the World Bank. Lebanon’s real GDP contracted by
7.1 percent in 2024, the World Bank said, leading to a cumulative GDP decline of
nearly 40 percent since 2019.
Lebanese leaders discuss preparations for new round of
Israel talks
AFP/16 June ,2026
Lebanon’s president and prime minister on Tuesday discussed preparations for a
new round of talks with Israel next week, after the US and Iran announced a
peace deal that includes Lebanon. Lebanon and Israel have been holding direct
talks in Washington since April, seeking to end hostilities and separate the
Israel-Hezbollah conflict from the wider regional war. But the announcement of
the US-Iran deal has reshuffled the cards in Lebanon. The office of President
Joseph Aoun said in a statement that he and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam discussed
preparations for the fifth round of talks, scheduled to begin on June 22. The
pair view the US-Iran memorandum of understanding as “a positive factor in
reducing the regional tensions and pushing towards peaceful solutions and an end
to the state of war,” according to the statement. They also reiterated that
through the Washington talks, Lebanon continues to seek “a permanent ceasefire
and the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the lands they occupy, the deployment
of the Lebanese army up to the international border, the return of Lebanese
prisoners and launching the reconstruction process.”Details circulating of the
Iran-US deal fail to mention a withdrawal of Israeli troops from Lebanon. But
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Tuesday that an end to the
conflict would be incomplete “without the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the
territories it occupied in this war.”“Any military attack by the Zionist regime
on Lebanon from now on and the continued occupation of Lebanese territories from
now on will be considered a violation of the memorandum of understanding in our
view,” he added. Hezbollah drew Lebanon into the Middle East war on March 2 with
rocket fire at Israel to avenge the killing of Iran’s supreme leader in
US-Israeli strikes. Israel responded with a massive campaign of airstrikes and a
ground invasion. Neither side has respected previous ceasefire announcements.
Hezbollah on Monday thanked its backer Tehran for insisting Lebanon be included
in the agreement with Washington. The militant group said it would be “wise to
review all the calculations and approaches pursued by the authorities... and
acknowledge that a united Lebanese position and reliance on true friends is the
optimal way to safeguard national interests.”Hezbollah, which has rejected a
government decision to disarm the group, also repeated its demand that
authorities abandon the direct talks with Israel. Since the Iran-US deal
announcement, hostilities and military operations between Hezbollah and Israel
have declined significantly. Lebanon says Israeli attacks since March 2 have
killed more than 3,700 people and displaced more than one million others.
Berri says phased, 60-day Israel pullout mentioned in
Iran-US deal
Naharnet/June 16/2026
Speaker Nabih Berri revealed Monday that a phased, 60-day Israeli withdrawal
from south Lebanon is mentioned in the latest peace deal between Iran and the
U.S., whose details are yet to be officially disclosed. In remarks to the "Whyz"
news portal, Berri added that he rejects the so-called "pilot zones" that have
been recently proposed by Washington. "Lebanon consists of 24 districts, not 24
pilot zones," he said. Pilot zones are areas from which Israel would withdraw
its forces to be replaced by Lebanese troops who would clear the area of any
weapons belonging to nonstate actors. Asked what guarantees that Israel would
implement the terms of any agreement, Berri said: "This agreement is bigger than
Lebanon and its implementation cannot be flouted as happened in the 2024
agreement, because U.S. President Donald Trump has take it upon himself."
Lebanon’s sixty days to choose statehood
Makram Rabah/Al Arabiya English/June 16/2026
The latest agreement between the United States and Iran has produced the
predictable wave of Lebanese illusions. Some have rushed to declare that the war
is over. Others have convinced themselves that the next sixty days will somehow
produce a miracle: Hezbollah will accept the logic of the state, Iran will
abandon its Lebanese military investment, Israel will withdraw, and Lebanon will
wake up to a new dawn of reconstruction, stability, and sovereignty.
This is not analysis. It is escapism.
The sixty days leading up to the memorandum of understanding will not change the
fundamentals of the Lebanese crisis. They may silence some guns temporarily.
They may reduce the tempo of Israeli strikes. They may give diplomats enough
language to claim progress. But they will not answer the only question that
matters: will Hezbollah disarm and allow the Lebanese state to become sovereign
again?The answer, unless proven otherwise by facts on the ground, is no.
Iran did not build Hezbollah over four decades to dismantle it because a piece
of paper was negotiated elsewhere. Hezbollah did not drag Lebanon into this war
to then discover the virtues of state authority. Its weapons are not a detail.
They are the core of the Iranian occupation of Lebanon. They are the instrument
through which Tehran negotiates with Washington, threatens Israel, blackmails
the Lebanese state, and prevents any serious recovery of the country.
As long as these weapons remain, Israel will not fully withdraw from Lebanon.
And even if Israel withdraws for some magical reason, this will not mean that
Lebanon has been liberated. It will simply mean that the external symptom has
changed while the disease remains. No serious state, donor, investor, or
institution will rebuild a country whose strategic decision is held hostage by
an Iranian militia. No one will pour billions into a territory that can be
destroyed again the moment Tehran needs a bargaining chip.
This is the painful truth many Lebanese refuse to confront. Reconstruction is
not a technical question. It is a political question. Sovereignty is the first
condition of recovery.
Many Lebanese today are frustrated because they secretly hoped Israel would do
the job that the Lebanese state has failed to do. They believed that Israel
would clean the Lebanese house, destroy Hezbollah’s military machine, and spare
them the cost of an internal confrontation. This is both morally bankrupt and
politically childish. Israel is not in Lebanon to save Lebanon. Israel is in
Lebanon to protect Israel. Its war aims, its targets, and its red lines are
determined by Israeli security, not Lebanese statehood.
The Lebanese must finally understand that no one will do their job for them. Not
the Americans. Not the Saudis. Not the French. Not the Israelis. A state that
refuses to defend its own sovereignty cannot expect others to respect it.
There is another dangerous illusion circulating in Beirut: that the problem is
Benjamin Netanyahu. Some Lebanese are almost celebrating the possibility that
Netanyahu might lose power, as if a change in Israeli leadership would magically
spare Lebanon. This is a fatal misunderstanding of Israel. The Israeli state,
regardless of who leads it, will not accept an Iranian military force on its
northern border. This is not a Netanyahu position. It is an Israeli consensus.
If Netanyahu loses and someone like Gadi Eisenkot rises, Lebanon should not
expect mercy. Eisenkot is not a dove in the Lebanese imagination. He is
associated with the very doctrine that turned Dahiya into a military concept:
overwhelming force, massive destruction, and the treatment of Hezbollah’s
civilian environment as part of its war machine. Those who think Netanyahu’s
departure means the end of Israeli pressure on Lebanon have understood nothing.
In some scenarios, it could mean more war, more destruction, and a more
disciplined Israeli campaign.
The same applies to Donald Trump. Many in Lebanon reduce Trump to his theatrics,
his rashness, and his contradictions. All of that exists. But Trump’s
unpredictability does not only work in favor of deals with Iran. It can also
work against Iran. This is the same Trump who ordered the killing of Qassem
Soleimani. This is the same Trump under whom the United States participated in
the war that killed Ali Khamenei. To assume that Trump will always restrain
Israel, or always spare Iran’s assets in Lebanon, is reckless.
The Lebanese cannot base their future on reading Trump’s moods, Netanyahu’s
polls, or Iran’s negotiating tactics. They have sixty days, not to wait, but to
act.
The real question is not whether the US-Iran deal will hold. The real question
is whether Lebanon will use this window to present a clear national roadmap:
disarmament, full deployment of the Lebanese Armed Forces, restoration of state
authority south of the Litani and beyond it, direct political engagement in
Washington, and a serious commitment to peace as a sovereign Lebanese decision.
Lebanon cannot afford to remain a spectator while others decide its fate. If
Beirut enters these sixty days as a bystander, it will exit them as debris. If
the Lebanese state hides behind vague language, behind Nabih Berri’s maneuvers,
behind Hezbollah’s threats, and behind the illusion that time alone will solve
the crisis, then everything will go down in shambles.
The ceasefire may last for days, weeks, or even sixty days. But no ceasefire
will save Lebanon unless Lebanon saves itself.
The choice is brutally simple: either Lebanon becomes a state, or it remains a
battlefield rented out to Iran and bombed by Israel.
There is no third option.
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on 16-17 June/2026
Al Arabiya English obtains 14-point draft of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
Al Arabiya English/6 June ,2026
Al Arabiya English has obtained a copy of the 14-point agreement expected to be
signed on Friday between Washington and Tehran.
1. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States, together with their
allies in the current war, declare upon the signing of this Memorandum of
Understanding an immediate and permanent end to the war on all fronts, including
Lebanon, and undertake that from now on they will not launch any hostile action
against each other, and will refrain from the threat or use of force against
each other. The final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article and
the remaining Articles.
2. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to respect each
other's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and to refrain from interfering
in each other's internal affairs.
3. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to negotiate and
reach a final agreement within a maximum period of 60 days, extendable by mutual
consent.
4. Immediately upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, the United
States Lift the naval blockade and prevent any interference or obstruction
against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and restore traffic within a maximum of 30
days to its full capacity; the traffic of ships shall be proportional to the
pre-war volume of traffic on the part of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United
States also undertakes to withdraw its forces from the surrounding areas within
30 days after the final agreement.
5. Upon signing this Memorandum of Understanding, the Islamic Republic of Iran
will immediately take steps to ensure that the movement of merchant ships from
the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman and vice versa is resumed within 30 days to
the pre-war volume, taking into account the need for the removal of technical
obstacles and the neutralization of mines by Iran.
6. The United States undertakes, together with its regional partners, to create
a comprehensive plan agreed upon by both parties for the rehabilitation and
economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran, While ensuring financing
of at least $300 billion. The implementation mechanism of this plan, as part of
the final agreement, will be formulated within 60 days.
7. The United States commits to ending, on a schedule to be agreed upon as part
of the final agreement, all types of sanctions currently facing the Islamic
Republic of Iran, including resolutions of the United Nations Security Council
and the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and
all unilateral U.S. sanctions, both primary and secondary.
8. The Islamic Republic of Iran reiterates that it will never produce nuclear
weapons. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States have agreed that the
fate of enriched material and the fate of all other mutually agreed
nuclear-related issues, including Iran’s nuclear needs, will be adequately
addressed in a final agreement; the final agreement will confirm the provisions
of this Article.
9. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States agree that, pending a
final agreement, they will maintain the status quo: Iran will maintain the
status quo on its nuclear program, and the United States will not impose new
sanctions on Iran or strengthen its forces in the region.
10. The United States undertakes that immediately after the signing of this
Memorandum of Understanding, and until the date of the lifting of sanctions, the
United States Treasury Department will issue waivers for exports of Iranian
crude oil, petrochemical products and their derivatives, and all related
services, including banking, insurance, transportation, and the like.
11. The United States undertakes that, in light of the progress of negotiations
towards a final agreement, frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic
Republic of Iran will be released and made fully available. These funds, whether
held in the master account or transferred, will be used for any final
beneficiary payment determined by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of
Iran and will be fully available for use. The United States undertakes to issue
all necessary permits and licenses on this basis.
12. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States agree that an
implementation mechanism will be established to oversee the successful
implementation of and future commitment to the Final Agreement.
13. Following the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, and upon receipt
of assurances regarding the commencement of implementation of Articles 4, 5, 10,
and 11 of this Memorandum of Understanding, and the continued implementation of
these steps, the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States will enter into
negotiations for a Final Agreement solely with respect to the remaining
Articles.
14. The final agreement will be approved through a binding resolution of the UN
Security Council.
Trump says Iran deal to be public soon and will rule out
nuclear weapon for Tehran
Al Arabiya English/16 June ,2026
Doubts swirled around the US-Iran interim deal to end the war in the Middle East
with warnings that shipping and energy exports could take weeks to recover,
although US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday the text would be made public
soon. The interim deal would extend a tenuous ceasefire announced in April by
another 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has effectively
blocked since the US and Israel attacked Iran in February. Trump said the text
of the deal states clearly that Tehran will not have a nuclear weapon, and the
full agreement would be made public in a formal setting in a few days. Speaking
at the G7 meetings in France, Trump added that he liked the idea of sending the
Iran deal to Congress for review, a request by some Republican lawmakers.
Negotiators would address difficult issues like the future of Iran’s nuclear
program during the next phase of talks, which Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas
Araghchi said would start in Switzerland on Friday after the formal signing of
the framework deal. Two other issues that Trump and Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu used to justify the war – ending Iran’s support for regional
armed proxies and curbing its missile program – are not thought to be on the
agenda for those negotiations. “Iran wants to get it done,” Trump told reporters
about the next phase of negotiations with Iran. “They have to get back to
business, and the relationship is now normalized, so I think it’s going to go
pretty quickly.” Earlier he described the deal as “a wall to a nuclear weapon”
for Iran.
Vice President JD Vance and Iran’s top negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf are
expected to attend Friday’s formal signing.
Final deal yet to take shape
Oil prices slid more than 2 percent to new three-month lows on Tuesday, a day
after tumbling nearly 5 percent following news of the deal, though industry
officials say Middle East oil and gas output will take months to fully recover.
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian wrote on social media Monday that the
interim agreement was an “important step” toward stopping the fighting but noted
a final deal for a lasting truce “has yet to take shape.”Vance told CNN that the
signed memorandum was a “very general document.” Details would be released over
the next two days, US officials said. Both sides still face pressures following
a conflict that killed at least 7,000 people, mostly in Iran and Lebanon, and
upended global energy markets.The accord exposes Trump to criticism from within
his own party, while Iran’s leaders could face the risk of renewed protests if
they fail to alleviate economic pressures after a destructive war. US and
Iranian officials say the deal could eventually deliver substantial economic
benefits to Iran by lifting sanctions and unfreezing foreign assets. US
officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Iran would have to satisfy
US demands never to build a nuclear weapon and cut off support for militias like
Hezbollah in Lebanon in order to get those benefits. Iranian officials, who have
always denied intending to build a nuclear weapon, say they have given up little
by agreeing to resume diplomatic discussions over Iran’s uranium enrichment
program that were interrupted by the war.
Caution over shipping
Both sides say the Strait of Hormuz, which normally carries about one-fifth of
the world’s trade in oil and liquefied natural gas, will be open from Friday. On
Tuesday, Iranian state television reported operations to lift its maritime
blockade, while stressing that vessels must still coordinate with Iran’s Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Trump said earlier that tankers were starting
to move out of the strait, and Reuters reported that the US – which had imposed
its own blockade on Iranian ports – had been overseeing scores of secretive
ship-to-ship oil transfers to keep Gulf energy exports flowing. The US said the
strait will be open toll-free for 60 days and it would expect that provision to
be part of a final agreement. Iran has suggested it will retain control with
Oman over the strait.
Shippers say a return to normal traffic will be gradual. One concern is the
possible presence of mines in the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman. A
thorough minesweeping operation would “take weeks to months,” an official with
Greek maritime security company Diaplous told Reuters on Tuesday.
Uncertainty over Lebanon
The conflict between US ally Israel and the Iran-allied Hezbollah militia in
Lebanon, which has uprooted 1.2 million people, remains another complication.
Iran has said the deal requires a full cessation of hostilities there, but
Netanyahu said Israel would keep its forces in southern Lebanon and retain the
right to respond to Hezbollah attacks. Trump has expressed frustration at
Israel’s military campaign, saying on Tuesday he was “not happy” with the way
Israel had handled itself. Israel has not directly participated in the peace
talks with Iran. A US official said an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, which it
invaded in March after Hezbollah joined the war, was not a condition of the
deal. Araghchi said Israeli attacks must stop immediately. With Reuters
US-Iran deal to be signed at Switzerland’s Burgenstock
resort on Friday
AFP/16 June ,2026: 06:07 PM GST
A US-Iran deal aimed at ending the Middle East war will be signed at
Switzerland’s mountainside Burgenstock resort on Friday, the Swiss foreign
ministry said. Tehran and Washington announced Sunday they had agreed a
memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the conflict, which broke out on
February 28 with US-Israeli strikes on Iran and engulfed the Middle East. “At
this stage, the signing is scheduled for Friday, June 19, at Burgenstock,”
Switzerland’s foreign ministry said in a statement. The uber-plush resort,
perched high above Lake Lucerne in central Switzerland, is difficult to access,
with water on three sides, and therefore easily secured. The location, the
ministry said, “was proposed by the Pakistani and Qatari mediators, as well as
by the US and Iran.”“Switzerland is acting as a facilitator in this process,
creating the practical and diplomatic conditions necessary for this meeting to
take place on Swiss territory.”The deal follows weeks of fraught negotiations
and threats of renewed hostilities. According to a senior US official, the
framework agreement has already been signed electronically by US President
Donald Trump, Vice President JD Vance and Iran’s chief negotiator and Parliament
Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The text of the agreement has not been made
public, leaving room for doubt over what specifically was agreed in the arduous
negotiations to end the conflict. The sides disagreed bitterly on terms around
Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz. But Vance told CNN
it was “about a page and a half, so it is a very general document.”
US Senate narrowly blocks new bid to rein in Trump war powers
Reuters/17 June ,2026
The US Senate on Tuesday narrowly blocked the latest Capitol Hill effort to end
the Iran war until it is authorized by Congress, the ninth since Israel and the
United States began their air attacks on Iran in February. The Senate voted by
48-47 to block the resolution under the war powers law, which followed a
framework agreement announced this week by the White House and Tehran for a
further ceasefire and talks to end the conflict. The vote was largely along
party lines, as Republicans Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, Susan Collins of Maine,
Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Rand Paul of Kentucky voted with most Democrats in
favor, and Democratic Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania voted no along with
most Republicans. Five senators - Republicans Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and
Josh Hawley of Missouri, Democrats Michael Bennet of Colorado and Cory Booker of
New Jersey and independent Bernie Sanders of Vermont - did not vote. The vote
came as lawmakers waited for President Donald Trump’s administration to provide
them with details about a memorandum of understanding announced by Trump on
Sunday to end the war.Democrats and some of Trump’s fellow Republicans have
called on the administration to provide them specifics about the plan.
Republicans hold slim majorities in both the Senate and House of
Representatives. The House also recently backed a resolution that would end the
Iran war. In a sign of lawmakers’ frustration with the continuing conflict, the
Senate on May 19 voted to advance the eighth war powers resolution. That measure
faces another procedural vote before coming up for a vote on passage in the
Senate. Congressional aides said its sponsors were still working on gathering
support, while waiting for more information about peace negotiations.
US President Donald Trump invokes Defense Production Act,
citing ‘fragile supply chains’
Al Arabiya English/16 June ,2026
US President Donald Trump has invoked the Defense Production Act, citing
“limited production capacity, fragile supply chains, long-lead dependencies, and
related production bottlenecks.”
“I hereby find that conditions exist which may pose a direct threat to the
national defense or its preparedness programs,” Trump said in a memo to the
Pentagon.The memo dated June 11, 2026, states that systemic constraints in the
munitions industrial base may impair the ability of the US to “produce, sustain,
and expand the availability of munitions, missiles, and equipment required for
the national defense.”The memo orders Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth to provide
plans of action to mitigate the issue.
Israel condemns Lukashenko remarks to Al Arabiya English as
‘deeply disturbing’
Al Arabiya English/16 June ,2026
Israel on Tuesday condemned remarks made by Belarusian President Aleksandr
Lukashenko during an exclusive interview with Al Arabiya English, describing
them as “unacceptable and deeply disturbing.”In a post on X, Israel’s foreign
ministry said: “The remarks made by the President of Belarus – a country that
knows all too well the horrors of the Holocaust committed on its own soil – in
his interview with Al Arabiya are unacceptable and deeply disturbing.”“Any
comparison between the Holocaust of the Jewish people and Israel’s just war
against terrorism must be unequivocally rejected,” the ministry added. It also
criticized what it described as “the revival of vile, outdated antisemitic
conspiracies that should have long been consigned to history.”During the
interview, Lukashenko criticized Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, saying the
country had acquired a “bad reputation” and describing the war as a “holocaust.”“Why
do we speak about the Holocaust suffered by Israelis when they themselves have
killed so many people?” Lukashenko said. “Women, and above all children, have
died in the Gaza Strip,” he added. “They are trying to build a resort on the
land where those people were killed.”Lukashenko also argued that Israel was
heavily reliant on US support and would struggle to defend itself against
Iranian attacks without American military assistance. “Israel is not a country
with colossal resources, compared, for example, with Russia in the conflict with
Ukraine, that would allow it to wage a war with Iran,” he said. “Israel has to
start thinking about its future, because otherwise even nuclear weapons will not
help them.”
China warns next phase of US-Iran talks will be ‘more difficult’
AFP/16 June ,2026
China’s top diplomat told his Pakistani counterpart on Tuesday that the next
phase of negotiations between the United States and Iran – which Pakistan has
helped mediate – will be “more difficult.”
In a phone conversation ahead of the planned signing on Friday of a US-Iran
memorandum of understanding to end their war, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi
told Pakistan’s Ishaq Dar that “it is foreseeable that, compared with the first
stage, the second stage of negotiations will be more difficult.”Wang added that
the United Nations Security Council “should also play a greater role” in
supporting these talks, according to a statement from Beijing’s foreign
ministry. “The current consensus is far from the final destination, rather it is
a new starting point,” Wang said. “Achieving lasting peace in the Middle East
and Gulf region still requires unremitting efforts from all parties,” Wang said,
adding that China was willing to work with Pakistan to promote peace.
Saudi Cabinet, chaired by MBS, welcomes US-Iran agreement
Al Arabiya English/16 June ,2026
Saudi Arabia’s Cabinet, chaired by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, on Tuesday
welcomed the agreement reached between the United States and Iran to end
military operations and begin negotiations aimed at securing a permanent
agreement. The Cabinet also expressed appreciation for the mediation efforts
undertaken by Pakistan and Qatar to help facilitate the deal. The Cabinet
reiterated the importance of restoring freedom of navigation in the Strait of
Hormuz to the conditions that existed before February 28, the first day of the
war. It said it hopes peace can be achieved in a way that strengthens security
in both the region and the wider world, while taking into account the security
interests of regional countries and respecting their internal affairs. At its
meeting in Jeddah, the Cabinet also welcomed the statement issued by
International Monetary Fund experts following the conclusion of the IMF’s 2026
Article IV consultations with Saudi Arabia. The statement highlighted the
resilience of the Saudi economy and its ability to withstand regional
developments, supported by strong economic fundamentals, ample reserves,
diversified infrastructure, and the continuation of reforms under Vision 2030.
The Cabinet reviewed the outcomes of discussions and consultations held in
recent days between Saudi Arabia and a number of “friendly and sister
countries.” According to the Cabinet, these engagements were aimed at
strengthening relations and expanding bilateral and multilateral cooperation
across various fields in a manner that serves shared interests, delivers mutual
benefits, and supports regional and international security and stability
efforts. The Cabinet also welcomed the selection of Riyadh as the headquarters
of the first office dedicated to cybersecurity at the United Nations Institute
for Training and Research (UNITAR). It said the move reflects Saudi Arabia’s
leadership in the field of cybersecurity and builds on the Kingdom’s efforts and
initiatives to enhance the stability of cyberspace while supporting the
prosperity of societies and economic growth.
Israel Seizes Powers over Hebron Shrine
from Palestinian Authority
Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
Israel has seized planning and construction powers at a Jewish and Muslim shrine
in the occupied West Bank from the Palestinian Authority, scrapping an agreement
in place since the 1990s, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said on Tuesday.
Under the 1997 Hebron Agreement, Palestinians controlled planning and
construction in the entire city, including the Jewish Tomb of the Patriarchs and
the adjoining Muslim Ibrahimi Mosque. The far-right minister said he had given
the final sign-off late on Monday to the transfer of those powers as they
affected the religious site and the nearby Jewish settlement to Israeli
authorities. Israel's right to control the West Bank, which it captured in the
1967 Middle East War, is not recognized internationally. Palestinian President
Mahmoud Abbas's office called the seizure of powers an "infringement upon the
political and legal status of Hebron", and a violation of international law. In
a speech marking the establishment of a new Israeli settlement near Hebron,
Smotrich said the "historic step" would deepen "Israeli sovereignty" in the West
Bank, which Palestinians seek as the heart of a future independent state. Israel
is due to call an election by the end of October, ahead of which Smotrich is
struggling in the polls. A settler himself, he has long pushed for the
annexation of the West Bank and his party draws much of its support from
ideologically motivated settlers who view the West Bank as their biblical
heartland. Hebron has at times been a flashpoint for Israeli-Palestinian
violence. In 1994, a Jewish settler killed 29 Muslims praying at the shrine. The
decision to transfer the powers was taken by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's
security cabinet in February, one of a series of measures meant to make it
easier for settlers to buy land and give Israeli authorities more enforcement
powers in the territory. Smotrich has been key to a rapid expansion of Israeli
settlements in the West Bank, which has been accompanied by a rise in violence.
UN bodies and most countries have found Israel's settlements in the West Bank to
be illegal. Israel disputes this view, citing biblical and historical ties, as
well as security needs. Settlers have killed 13 Palestinians this year,
according to UN data.
Israeli Military Takes More Territory, Kills Two People in
Gaza, Medics and Witnesses Say
Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
An Israeli strike killed at least two Palestinians in the central Gaza Strip,
health officials said, as residents of an area in the north of the enclave fled
their homes after Israeli forces expanded their control in the territory. Medics
said an Israeli strike near a residential building in the Nuseirat refugee camp,
in the central Gaza Strip, killed two brothers, Ahmed and Mahmoud Abu Heen. The
Israeli military did not immediately comment. An October 2025 truce brokered by
US President Donald Trump has so far failed to halt Israeli attacks in Gaza or
to secure the disarmament of the Hamas group. The new deaths brought to nearly
1,000 the number of Palestinians killed by Israeli fire since October, according
to the Gaza health ministry. Israel says four of its soldiers have been killed
by fighters in that period. The violence comes as Nickolay Mladenov, Trump's
Board of Peace envoy for Gaza, arrived in Cairo to pursue talks that
mediators from Egypt, Qatar and Türkiye have held with Hamas leaders over
implementing the second phase of Trump's Gaza plan, sources close to the talks
said. Israel and Hamas remain deadlocked over how to proceed with the next stage
of Trump's Gaza plan, which involves Hamas laying down its arms and Israeli
withdrawals.
ISRAEL TAKES MORE GAZA LAND
Israeli troops still control more than 60% of Gaza's territory, where they have
ordered residents out and destroyed remaining buildings. On May 28, Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reaffirmed that he had directed Israel's military
to expand its hold and take control of 70% of the enclave. Witnesses in
southern Gaza have said Israeli forces have in the past few days expanded the
"Yellow Zone" - the areas they control - in eastern Khan Younis and northern
Rafah, where new markers and concrete blocks have been placed. On Sunday,
Israeli forces sent tanks further into the Al-Tuffah neighborhood of Gaza City
in the north, forcing several families to flee. Reuters footage, taken on
Monday, showed two yellow blocks used as boundary markers that had been moved
closer to houses. "I swear we don't know where to go," said Umm Muhammad
Junaynah, a resident of Al-Tuffah, as she struggled to hold back tears. "We
are getting our furniture out, we don't know where to go. We don't know where
to go, we have nowhere to go." Nearly the entire population of 2 million people,
most of whom have been displaced several times, now live in a tiny strip of land
along the coast, mainly in makeshift tents or damaged buildings, under Hamas
control. "It was a night of terror, we were scared," said Nour Shabat, a
27-year-old woman, referring to events of Sunday night in Al-Tuffah. The
territory has been bombarded to ruins by Israel's two-year military assault that
followed the 2023 Hamas attack on southern Israel. "I'm tired of displacement,
honestly I'm tired of displacement. What is our fault that this is happening to
us?" said Shabat. "Should I take my belongings, myself and go sleep in the
street? I have slept in the streets many times and I have been displaced many
times. I'm tired and can't handle anymore. Enough, I am tired."
After 'Blank Ballot' Round, Hamas Resumes Vote for New
Leader
Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
Hamas has resumed voting to elect the head of its political bureau, the
movement’s highest leadership position, after an initial round last month failed
to produce a winner. The process was delayed after some voters submitted blank
ballots rather than backing any candidate.
Former political bureau chief Khaled Meshaal and Khalil al-Hayya, the movement’s
chief in Gaza and head of its negotiating team in ceasefire talks, are competing
for the post. Two Hamas sources in Gaza told Asharq Al-Awsat that voting in the
runoff round has begun in the enclave. One source said eligible voters are
participating through a more secretive and complex process because of difficult
security conditions and ongoing targeted killings.Hamas is facing its most
severe crisis since its founding in 1987. Israeli operations launched after the
October 7, 2023 attack have targeted the movement across multiple levels and
branches, creating significant organizational and financial challenges. The two
sources, speaking separately, said ballots are being delivered to eligible
voters in sealed envelopes. After selecting a candidate, voters return their
ballots through channels governed by strict security procedures designed to
protect both participants and those overseeing the election process. The
political bureau chief is elected by the movement’s Shura Council, a 71-member
body representing Hamas’s three main constituencies: Gaza, the West Bank, and
the external leadership. The council had 50 members about a decade ago, but its
size was later expanded following amendments to the movement’s internal
regulations. The sources said voting is also expected to take place in the West
Bank and among Hamas officials abroad, although neither could confirm whether
the process has already begun in those arenas. On May 16, Hamas announced that
the first round of voting had failed to determine a winner and said a second
round would be held in accordance with the movement’s internal rules. Under
Hamas regulations, the runoff was expected to take place within 20 days.
However, sources within the movement said security and political developments,
including assassinations in Gaza and meetings between Hamas leaders abroad and
regional mediators, delayed the process. They said the new round is being
conducted under tighter secrecy than the first to prevent security breaches or
media leaks. Hamas leaders agreed to elect only a political bureau chief for
now, postponing broader elections for the political bureau, the Shura Council,
and other administrative bodies until early next year. Israel killed Hamas
political bureau chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran in July 2024. He was succeeded
by Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in Gaza in October of the same year. For roughly
the past year and a half, Hamas has been run by a collective leadership council.
Earlier this year, the movement launched a new effort to elect a leader to serve
out the remainder of the current political bureau’s term, which was due to end
in 2025 but was extended by an additional year, pending broader elections
expected late this year or early next year. Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat on May
21 that some voters had cast blank ballots as a way of declining to endorse
either candidate, al-Hayya or Meshaal. According to the sources, this was the
first known instance of blank ballots being used in a vote for the movement’s
top leadership post.
At the time, some sources interpreted the blank ballots as a sign of
dissatisfaction with both candidates and possibly with the movement’s handling
of certain issues, as well as an effort to encourage the emergence of a younger
generation of leaders. Others said the move was not necessarily directed at the
candidates themselves but reflected broader objections to some existing
policies, or a preference for postponing the election of an interim leader until
comprehensive elections are held and the current leadership council remains in
place.
Türkiye Opposes Iraq Pipeline Deal Extension under Current
Conditions, Official Says
Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
Türkiye does not want an extension of the existing Kirkuk-Ceyhan oil pipeline
agreement under current conditions, a senior Turkish official said, after
Baghdad asked Ankara to extend it for at least a year to allow time for more
talks.The decades-old Türkiye-Iraq Crude Oil Pipeline Agreement, which governs
exports through the pipeline, is due to expire on July 27. Baghdad and Ankara
are still discussing a new draft agreement. "There is no point in extending an
agreement that has been subject to arbitration," the Turkish official, speaking
on condition of anonymity, said when asked about Iraq's extension request.Ceyhan
is a crucial export outlet for Iraqi oil, with the state's main export terminal
in Basra suffering from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz since US-Israeli
strikes on Iran in late February. Türkiye last year announced the end of the
accord covering the pipeline and asked to renew it under new conditions.
Türkiye's proposal included a mechanism to ensure the full use of the pipeline
and options, such as extending the pipeline to the south of Iraq. The pipeline
had remained offline for 2-1/2 years after an arbitration court ruled for Ankara
to pay $1.5 billion in damages for unauthorized Iraqi exports Türkiye received
between 2014 and 2018. Flows began late last year. There is also a second
arbitration case that covers a period from 2018 onwards and an award enforcement
case running in a US court. The pipeline has a capacity of almost 1.5 million
barrels per day but has been working significantly below capacity due to
security and other issues. Crude exports from Kirkuk to Türkiye were at 177,000
barrels per day in April, according to shipping data reviewed by Reuters.
Tension in Samarra Tests Iraq Govt's Plan to Impose State Monopoly over Arms
Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
The Saraya al-Salam faction loyal to influential Iraqi cleric Moqtada al-Sadr
said on Tuesday it firmly rejected serving under the command of the pro-Iran
Popular Mobilization Forces, a dispute that could pose an early test for Prime
Minister Ali al-Zaidi’s plan to bring arms under state control. The rejection
followed reports that a new security commander had been appointed in Samarra,
where Sadr’s armed wing is based. The commander is rumored to be close to the
Asaib Ahl al-Haq faction. Asaib Ahl al-Haq, led by Qais al-Khazali, a leading
member of the ruling Coordination Framework, has uneasy ties with the Sadrist
movement and its leader, Sadr, for reasons observers describe as “political and
ideological.” A Sadrist official told Asharq Al-Awsat that Samarra was
witnessing a “state of severe tension” because of “deliberate friction” by some
commanders and parties in the PMF with Saraya fighters.The official said the
dispute erupted after PMF chief Falih al-Fayyadh dismissed Ali al-Aqili, the PMF
operations commander in Samarra and a member of the Sadrist movement, and
replaced him with another commander close to or affiliated with Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
The move angered Saraya fighters.
The official urged the prime minister, who is also commander-in-chief of the
armed forces, to “intervene immediately to settle this matter,” saying Saraya
was now under his command. At the start of June, Zaidi issued an administrative
order forming a higher committee to oversee Saraya al-Salam’s integration into
government security forces and place it directly under the commander-in-chief.
The Joint Operations Command later said it had received the full lists and data
for Saraya al-Salam formations, including personnel, weapons and equipment, to
complete directives for integrating all Saraya al-Salam formations into security
forces tied to the commander-in-chief. Saraya al-Salam is part of the PMF
through brigades 313, 314 and 315. It carries out security duties in several
areas, most notably Samarra, where it has been based since June 2007, after the
bombing of the Imam al-Askari shrine. Sadr said on May 27 that he was
integrating his armed wing, Saraya al-Salam, into the state and called on PMF
factions to hand over their weapons. Although formally part of the PMF, Saraya
al-Salam has long operated semi-independently. It does not take orders from the
PMF’s commanders and has poor relations with many factions.
Test for weapons monopoly
The PMF has not commented on the tension. But Saraya al-Salam appealed to Sadr
and Zaidi, stressing that it would not remain under PMF command. In a statement
on Tuesday, Saraya al-Salam pointed to its voluntary disarmament and integration
into other security institutions, calling the move “a practical model” for
placing weapons exclusively in the state’s hands. It said the PMF’s recent
dismissal of some commanders “contradicts the spirit of the integration process
and the monopoly of weapons” through changes in commanders, sectors and
responsibilities.
The faction said the appointment of the new security commander “conflicts with
the provisions and procedures” of the integration committee formed by the
government, calling it “an unjustified targeting” of Saraya personnel. It
stressed its categorical rejection of “working under the command of the Popular
Mobilization Forces.”Tribal sheikhs and clerics in Samarra warned on Saturday
against replacing Saraya al-Salam with other factions. They called on the prime
minister to visit the city personally and assess conditions on the ground. They
demanded that the security file be handed to the Interior Ministry if there was
any intention to replace Saraya with other factions. Observers see the standoff
between Saraya al-Salam and the PMF as a challenge to the weapons control plan
and to whether it is truly “serious and not merely symbolic.”
It is also a test of the prime minister’s readiness to use his powers to settle
a dispute between armed groups that had already announced their integration into
state institutions. Al-Zaidi, Barrack Discuss Iraq’s Plans for Disarmament of
Armed Groups ahead of US Visit The agreement between the United States and Iran
to end the conflict in the region has revived hopes that the Iraqi government
will be able to disarm armed factions that are aligned with Iran. Iraqi Prime
Minister Ali al-Zaidi received US Special Presidential Envoy Tom Barrack in
Baghdad for talks on the “shared commitment” of the US and Iraqi governments “to
a strong and mutually beneficial US-Iraq partnership, able to fulfill Iraqi
aspirations for a sovereign, secure, and prosperous future and to deliver
tangible benefits for Americans and Iraqis alike,” said the US Embassy in Iraq
in a statement on Tuesday. Barrack said US President Donald Trump looks forward
to welcoming al-Zaidi to the White House mid-July “to discuss the future of this
important relationship”. The leaders discussed “the shared aspirational vision
for the Iraqi government to build a brighter future free from terrorism, to
implement Iraqi plans for ensuring the complete disarmament and disbandment of
all armed groups and formations operating outside the authority and control of
the Iraqi state, to ensure the confinement of their weapons within the authority
of the Iraqi state, and to assert full sovereignty in order to keep Iraq away
from conflict and ensure that Iraqi territory cannot be used by any side to
threaten regional peace.”“Al-Zaidi and Barrack underscored the urgency in full
completion of these efforts,” added the statement. Al-Zaidi also reaffirmed
Iraq's commitment to deepening trade and investment relations between the two
countries, and Barrack welcomed this shared approach. The two sides also
underscored “the importance of supporting a strong, sovereign, and united
federal democratic Iraq, grounded in robust constitutional institutions, and
ensuring full equality for all citizens, in a manner that strengthens Iraq's
unity, stability, and prosperity.”
Disarmament of factions
Efforts to impose state monopoly over arms continue to be shrouded in mystery
given the lack of clear mechanism and plans to that effect. So far, the
government has said that it wanted to resolve this issue when the international
anti-ISIS coalition ends its mission in Iraq in September. Meanwhile, more
factions have been voicing their opposition to disarmament. The Kataib Sayyid
al-Shuhada reneged on Sunday on its previous declaration that it would lay down
its arms. Observers said it changed its position after its leader Abu Ala al-Walai
was placed on a US sanctions and terrorism list. They predicted that other
factions may also change their stance on disarmament. Kataib spokesman Kazem al-Fartousi
told the media on Sunday that the “resistance’s weapons was too great an issue
to be discussed by the Iraqi government.”Rather, he said it was the “choice of
the people and nation. So we cannot comply with calls that could be attributed
to the government or foreign pressure.”“The weapons are needed for one goal and
purpose: the withdrawal of the occupier,” he added. “We respect al-Zaidi's
government as one that represents the Iraqi people, but we do not agree to the
demand of disarmament and categorically reject it,” he continued, citing
“repeated attacks on Iraq’s sovereignty.”“We have several reasons to keep the
weapons,” he added. The staunchly pro-Iran Kataib Hezbollah and al-Nujaba
movement have been adamantly opposed to disarmament since the government
expressed its determination to impose state monopoly over weapons. A source
close to the factions revealed that “direct and serious threats have been made
against political and government powers” against pursuing disarmament, which
explains why discussions over the issue have died down somewhat in Iraq in
recent days. The source, speaking on condition of anonymity, did not elaborate
on the threats, but spoke of fears of “intra-Shiite strife should the
authorities maintain their position on disarmament.”The source did not rule out
the possibility that Iran could exert its influence over the factions to respect
a long-term truce in Iraq should the agreement to end the war with the US stand.
Researcher and former diplomat Ghazi al-Faisal stressed that Iran plays a
decisive role in the disarmament file. He told Asharq Al-Awsat: “Any strategic
shift in the Iranian policy will reflect directly on Iraq.”“Should Iran choose
the path of a developed state and economic integration instead of backing
cross-border armed groups, then that will pave the way for a new phase of
stability in the region,” he remarked. “Iraq will benefit the most from such a
shift,” he predicted.
ISIS Claims Responsibility for Attack on Police Camp in
Syria’s Raqqa
Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
The ISIS claimed responsibility on Tuesday for an attack on a Syrian interior
ministry camp in the city of Raqqa that killed one member of the security
personnel a day earlier. Syria's Interior Ministry said on Monday that one of
its security personnel had been killed as its forces thwarted an attack by
two ISIS militants on a command headquarters of the country's internal
security forces in Raqqa.
Arab League Condemns Opening of Embassy for So-Called 'Somaliland Region' in
Occupied Jerusalem
Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
The General Secretariat of the Arab League strongly condemned the move by the
so-called "Somaliland Region" to open an embassy in occupied Jerusalem. It
described the step as a challenge to international law and international
legitimacy resolutions concerning the legal status of the city. In a statement
issued by the Palestine and Occupied Arab Territories Sector, the Arab League
said the move further entrenches the illegal occupation and forms part of
attempts to alter the legal, historical, and demographic status quo of Jerusalem
and isolate it from its Palestinian surroundings. It stressed that such measures
are null and void and carry no legal effect, SPA reported. The Arab League
reiterated that East Jerusalem is an integral part of the Palestinian
territories occupied since 1967. It also reaffirmed its commitment to the
legitimate rights of the Palestinian people, foremost among them the
establishment of an independent state along the pre-1967 borders, with East
Jerusalem as its capital. The organization further reaffirmed its support for
the unity, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of the Federal Republic of
Somalia and rejected any measures that undermine those principles. It called on
the international community to uphold its responsibilities in preserving the
legal and historical status quo of Jerusalem and preventing attempts to impose a
new reality or legitimize the Israeli occupation and its illegal practices.
The Arab League stressed that establishing diplomatic missions in occupied
Jerusalem or recognizing the city as a location for foreign missions violates
the international consensus regarding the city's status. It added that such
actions undermine efforts to achieve a just and comprehensive peace based on the
two-state solution and international legitimacy resolutions.
on 16-17 June/2026
Bitter Victory or Sweet Defeat in the Middle East, But Whose?
Alberto M. Fernandez/National Catholic Register/June 16/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/06/155310/
COMMENTARY: The consequences of this war will only be revealed over time, months
and even years into the future.
Did America just lose a war to Iran in the Middle East? Or was it a great
American victory whose full import will only be seen over time?
Partisans of Iran were quick to claim victory — but they always say this. Some
supporters of Israel are furious and fear that the deal that supposedly ended
the war will only strengthen the Iranian regime. Others compared the war to the
1956 Suez Crisis that humbled the might of colonial powers Britain and France.
Vice President JD Vance went on CBS News on June 15 to shoot down some of the
more extravagant claims, such as that Iran will be rewarded with $300 billion in
new funding. Vance noted that the agreement “ensures that Iran will never have a
nuclear weapon, while simultaneously opening the Strait of Hormuz” to transport
much-needed oil to the world. In the eventuality that Iran fulfills all of its
commitments, it would eventually be rewarded. Vance touted this as an
opportunity for the United States and Iran — bitter adversaries for nearly half
a century — “to turn over a leaf of 47 years of a failed relationship.”
In our world of instant news and instant reaction, everyone’s a pundit and
everyone is sure what this war’s outcome actually means. But, of course, the
reality is that some of the consequences of this war, like so many others, will
only be revealed over time, months and even years into the future. It is quite
possible that both those celebrating and those “dooming” will be proven wrong
and there is still much of the agreement, and any possible side deals, that are
still opaque.
Some results should be immediate. Gas prices will decline and inflation fears
will ease. The United States will be at peace for the 250th anniversary
celebration of its founding. As analyst Jonathan Spyer explained, “Trump,
caricatured before his presidency as a warmonger, is nothing of the kind. The
place, very clearly, where he feels comfortable is where deals are made.”
Some wanted the president to double down on the conflict but that is not a path
he wanted to pursue. It seems significant that in 1956, it was President
Eisenhower who forced France and Britain (and Israel) to withdraw from Suez. In
2026, it was the American president who decided not to continue.
Despite the pundits, most Americans seemed to focus on almost anything other
than Iran’s fate. For Iranians, Israelis, Lebanese and Gulf Arabs — in addition
to those in the Global South paying for higher energy prices — the worrying
impact hits much closer to home.
As America has the luxury to step back a bit and survey the scene, some big
Middle Eastern questions loom.
What will become of Lebanon? Can ongoing negotiations between Israel, the
Lebanese state and the United States rescue the country from constant cycles of
war and destruction or will Hezbollah’s stranglehold remain?
This is not just an academic question. For some Lebanese Christians, the
breaking of Hezbollah’s hold on power is a matter of life or death, of whether
or not Christians in Lebanon persist and remain in their ancient lands.
The government of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is deeply skeptical,
to put it mildly, about the agreement. With elections expected later this year,
it could prove fatal for Israel’s longest-serving prime minister. But is Israel
truly in a weaker position than when the war started? Or does it maintain its
hard-fought dominance over the Levant, at least? Many, or most, in Israel
believe that this war was left unfinished. Away from the battlefield, Israel
faces the massive challenge of rising antisemitism and anti-Zionist fervor in
the West. Although Iran is a major threat, this rising anti-Israel prejudice is
a growing problem for Israel that is of and in the West.
Is Iran truly now a “top five world power,” as American academic Robert Pape has
said? The answer to that is No. But is Iran better off now or in the long run as
a result of the war? Some of the answers lie in how soon Iran can recover from
the damage caused by the war, and what money it gets out of the deal, but Iran
was already in deep economic trouble even before the war began. The currency is
worthless, the country’s capital is running out of water, and no one knows what
the new crop of regime leaders will actually do.
One thing that the engagement with Trump has done is expose, more clearly than
before, the fissures existing within the regime, not between moderates and
hardliners, but between hardliners and other hardliners.
And to what end? Has the Iranian Revolution now positioned into power younger,
committed revolutionaries? Or are they the counterrevolutionaries, the Napoleons
or Thermidorian Reaction, of the future?
Perhaps those expecting that a fanatical regime will inexorably return to its
fanaticism, exactly like before, are exaggerating the regime’s core stability
and strength?
Many Catholics criticized this war. A few defended it.
At the beginning, I wrote that “Trump will also be judged by history on how the
conflict ends and what comes out of it.” We are just beginning to enter this
stage, the blame game and the praise game.
Pope Leo XIV recently noted that just war theory was “outdated,” and that may
certainly be the case. But the biggest, still unanswered, question coming out of
this latest conflict — however one judged it — is whether or not it will
engender more wars or whether anything better or different can come out of it,
especially for the peoples of the Middle East.
https://www.ncregister.com/commentaries/iran-us-war-bitter-victory-or-sweet-defeat
**Alberto M. Fernandez Alberto M. Fernandez is a former U.S. diplomat and a
contributor at EWTN News.
The Ceasefire Between Iran and
the United States and Its Impact on Lebanon
Colonel Charbel Barakat/June 16/2026
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2026/06/155332/
Following the announcement of an agreement between Iran and the United States to
halt hostilities—the full details of which have not yet been published (and will
likely be released after the signing next Friday)—a media campaign has commenced
in Lebanon. Led by the Iranian Embassy and echoed by Hezbollah and its allies,
this campaign heralds that Lebanon is included in the agreement.
Consequently, some citizens headed back to the areas they had evacuated under
Israeli military orders, believing the war had ended, and celebrations broke out
to express gratitude to Iran for this achievement.
The Dilemma of the Lebanese Front and the Absence of Israel
Naturally, if the United States and Iran reach an accord to halt hostilities
between them, Iran should logically stop its attacks from Lebanon as well. It is
the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) fighting on Lebanese soil, and
Lebanon has no stake in this conflict except for bearing its catastrophic
consequences. Therefore, what is being said in this regard is logical, and the
alternative would be the anomaly; if the two parties have agreed to stop
fighting, why shouldn't it stop on the Lebanese front, which was ignited by the
Iranians?
Iran is fighting Israel in Lebanon as part of its wider war against the United
States and its allies. That conflict included strikes inside Iran, while Iranian
responses against Israel and the Gulf states targeted civilian sites—such as
airports, commercial centers, hotels, and residential buildings—rather than
being confined to American military bases.
The Turning Point: Israel considered the targeting of its civilian population
unacceptable, prompting a harsher retaliation that impacted Lebanese civilians
in cities and villages sympathetic to Hezbollah, and by extension, Iran.
However, the alleged agreement was brokered between the United States and Iran,
and apparently does not include Israel. Hence, Lebanese citizens are left
asking: Will Iran's declaration of a halt to its operations from Lebanon be
enough for Israel to cease its retaliatory actions against Lebanese citizens?
The Military Background and the Balance of Power
Last June (approximately a year ago), Israel launched unilateral strikes on Iran
to pressure it into halting its nuclear program. Those operations ceased after
the Americans joined the final phases, striking facilities housing highly
enriched nuclear materials in the Qotz and Isfahan reactors. Yet, the Iranians
failed to grasp the message, escalating further until a second war erupted last
March. No agreement to end it had been announced until this past weekend.
However, the Israeli player—who initiated the war on Iran—did not participate in
reaching these recently announced solutions. Has Israel agreed to them? And have
its objectives been secured,
both regarding the Iranian nuclear file and eliminating the threat of shelling
that menaces its citizens from the Lebanese front?
Israeli Interests and the Conditions for a Sustainable Peace
President Trump may have numerous interests and priorities urging him to
expedite a solution to end the conflict with Iran. However, the situation and
objectives of his Israeli ally—especially regarding the security of its citizens
in northern towns and cities—cannot be overlooked. Therefore, to comprehend the
reality resulting from the negotiations that culminated in the ceasefire, we
must examine Israel's interests in this process.
It is not enough for the Lebanese people to rejoice at the prospect of returning
to their villages, even if homes have been destroyed and towns bulldozed. The
more critical question remains: What about the weapons, the stockpiles, and a
complete, definitive declaration ending all military action from Lebanon?
Scenario One (State-Building): If Tehran’s decision is to hand Hezbollah’s
weapons over to the state and permanently end the state of war—disallowing any
party from jeopardizing the agreement—then the Lebanese government will be
liberated. It can then move swiftly to conclude negotiations with Israel,
reaching a definitive formula that prevents Lebanon from being used as an arena
for others' wars, and beginning a true path toward peace. In that case, everyone
will applaud this achievement, which would lead to the rebirth of a real state
in Lebanon—one no longer threatened by rogue weapons or dictates coming from
across the border.
Scenario Two (Deferred Conflict): On the other hand, if the Iranians and their
proxies in Lebanon believe they have merely secured a temporary halt to
hostilities while retaining their weapons, fighters, and the unaccountable flow
of funds—leaving Lebanon as an open arena for a continuous conflict where only
names change but the substance remains the same—then this will fail. Neither the
Lebanese nor the Israelis will accept it.
The destruction inflicted upon the villages of southern Lebanon, the
displacement forced upon their inhabitants, and the suffering endured by the
rest of the Lebanese people will not be repeated—not for the sake of the
"Supreme Leader" (Wali al-Faqih), nor for President Trump, or anyone else.
Similarly, Israeli citizens will not tolerate further suffering just so certain
idle factions in Lebanon can pocket money from Iran and other nations that seek
to impose their hegemony and fulfill their agendas by exposing the security of
both Lebanese and Israelis to danger, humiliation, and displacement once again.
A Vision for the Future: From Dependency to Stability
Today, mutual solutions between Israel and Lebanon must prioritize the security,
safety, stability, and prosperity of civilians on both sides of the border. The
era of dependency and the sowing of hatred must end. Work must begin on
spreading real peace and raising awareness of its importance among citizens, so
that everyone can cooperate to rebuild villages and homes. Our people in the
South must contribute to protecting the future of their children, ensuring there
is no longer a need for displacement or suffering.
If the regime in Iran has finally been convinced of the futility of reviving
violence and attempting to dominate its neighbors—whether in the Gulf or further
west and south in Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen, and other nations—the future will be
bright. Hezbollah's factions must understand that wars and mobilization yield no
benefits, regardless of the funds poured into them. Instead, the focus must
shift entirely toward ending conflicts and building a genuine peace.
Our hope is that the rule of the Supreme Leader will come to an end after
Khamenei is buried, and that Iran will join the train of cooperation with its
neighbors without harboring further malice or using violence as a tool for
domestic mobilization. Instead, it should focus on construction and production,
which will revive the country after the destruction it has suffered. We also
hope that the Lebanese people have grown weary of violence and wars, and will
initiate a critical self-reflection that inspires them to move toward productive
work, rather than chasing slogans that easily choose hostility over building
friendships and seeking common ground for progress and prosperity.
Can Iraq’s New Prime Minister Thread the US-Iran Needle?
Bridget Toomey/The National Interest/June 16/2026
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/middle-east-watch/can-iraqs-new-prime-minister-thread-the-us-iran-needle
Ali al-Zaidi finds himself in a seemingly untenable position between Iraq’s
paramilitary groups and President Donald Trump.
The question of what to do about Iran-backed militias in Iraq threatens to
derail the new government of Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi before it has time to
get its feet under it.
Zaidi squeaked a partial cabinet through parliament on May 14, six months after
the country’s parliamentary elections, with 14 of the 23 cabinet ministers
approved and the remaining ministries operating under acting heads until a
candidate is approved by parliament. Officially, the new prime minister’s next
challenge is filling the nine empty ministerial seats, which he and his
supporters hope to accomplish by mid-June.
However, Zaidi has a more urgent problem that will set the stage for his
government’s success and, ultimately, Iraq’s political stability. Iran-backed
Iraqi militias and US, Iraqi, and Iranian officials are pushing for the new
government to address the issue of disarming militias first. And unfortunately
for the new prime minister, the interested parties are seeking vastly different
outcomes.
After months of political haggling, the Coordination Framework, the dominant
Shia parliamentary bloc closely aligned with Tehran, nominated Zaidi, a
businessman with no political experience, for the top job on April 27. He
quickly received the blessings of both Tehran and Washington, but ongoing
support from the two capitals may hinge on how he navigates their competing
interests.
Just by forming a government, he cleared a hurdle that some thought
insurmountable. However, Zaidi didn’t do so by resolving major issues; instead,
he and his backers kicked the can down the road on several unavoidable
disagreements between both foreign and domestic actors—particularly the question
of militias.
The first hurdle that Zaidi sidestepped instead of clearing was an American
prohibition on cabinet membership for affiliates of six Iran-backed militias
that the United States has designated as Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs).
These groups have political arms that are integral to the Coordination
Framework, and they seek powerful political positions in Iraq.
By leaving nine ministries—including several wanted by the militias—empty, Zaidi
left this problem for another day. Asaib Ahl al-Haq (AAH), a major militia, a
Coordination Framework member, and an FTO, is waiting, with Iranian approval, to
decide whether it will participate in the government until the issue of militia
disarmament is resolved. If AAH sticks to this position, Iraq’s next government
likely will not be complete until some resolution is found on the question of
militias.
The United States has been insisting that Iran-backed militias be “fully
disarmed, dismantled, and disempowered” since President Donald Trump took office
in January 2025. Since then, the militias have launched hundreds of attacks
during the recent US conflict with Iran, including repeated strikes on the US
Embassy in Baghdad, only hardening Washington’s position against them.
Meanwhile, Tehran and the Iranian regime’s partners in Iraq are hoping to
institutionalize and protect the militias by strengthening the Popular
Mobilization Forces (PMF), an official Iraqi security organization primarily
comprised of Iran-backed militias, including all six FTOs. The PMF was formed in
2014 to fight ISIS, and its current legal basis is only a brief authorizing law
from 2016.
Iran’s partners and other advocates of the PMF repeatedly attempted to pass
robust legislation in 2025 to enshrine the organization and its funding, but the
efforts failed. In its current form, the PMF’s bare-bones authorization leaves
the door open to changes by a reform-minded prime minister without parliamentary
approval.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio “reiterated serious US concerns” over the most
recent iteration of the PMF legislation in July 2025, a month before it was
pulled from parliamentary consideration. Washington’s reported counterproposal
for the PMF would instead integrate it, alongside other security bodies, into a
new ministry that reports to the prime minister.
While the PMF currently nominally also reports to the prime minister, it
frequently conducts operations outside of Iraqi political dictates, including
the recent wave of attacks against US interests and partners. In 2015, Akram al-Kaabi,
the leader of the Iran-backed FTO Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba (HHN), even said
that he considers Iran’s supreme leader to be the group’s “source of leadership”
and indicated that the PMF could engage in a coup if “a religious authority
makes a decision to change the rule in Iraq.”
“With [our weapons], we have protected Iraq from the defilement of ISIS and
their American handlers,” al-Kaabi said in response to reports in early May of
this year about America’s calls for disarming the militias. “[The weapons] will
not be surrendered as long as we have breath, nor will they be taken even if
lives are sacrificed.”
Some militias, like HHN, have opposed integration into the state. Others, such
as AAH, are open to such a path because the resulting influence is crucial to
the economic and political success that protects and legitimizes their weapons.
Coordination Framework member and Minister of Health Abdul Hussein al-Moussawisaid
that some factions would hand their weapons over to the state under the right
conditions.
Shia leaders in Baghdad reportedly formed a three-man committee to address the
disarmament issue around the time of Zaidi’s selection as prime minister at the
end of April. The committee includes Zaidi, outgoing Prime Minister Mohammad
Shia al-Sudani, and Hadi al-Ameri, the head of the Badr Organization, a large,
undesignated Iran-backed militia with a political arm, which was included to
ease concerns among other militia leaders.
While the details of the committee’s proposal have not been disclosed, available
information indicates that it strengthens—not eliminates—the PMF. Iraqi
officials, particularly those from or indebted to militias, are likely seeking
to repeat past attempts that amounted to window dressing. They would offer
cosmetic changes that nominally bring militias in line with official Iraqi
security institutions and dictates without actually severing ties with Tehran.
The challenge for Zaidi will be to bring all actors onto the same page,
including the Iran-backed militias and officials in Baghdad, Tehran, and
Washington. Nearly all parties involved agree in principle to “state control of
weapons.” Yet, there is no consensus on what that would look like in practice.
Unfortunately for Zaidi, he likely won’t have the luxury of time before
confronting this issue. And while Washington has expressed confidence that he is
the man for the job, his lack of political experience leaves his effectiveness
in question. Little is known about Zaidi aside from his prominent roles across
Iraq’s business sectors, which certainly helped his selection. His tenure as
chairman of Al-Janoob Islamic Bank for Investment and Finance has gained the
most attention.
In February 2024, the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) banned Al-Janoob from
participating in the daily dollar auction, the primary means by which Iraqi
financial institutions received US dollars until the auction’s termination in
early 2025. Al-Janoob was one of eight Iraqi banks that were proscribed to
“reduce fraud, money laundering and other illegal uses of US currency,” part of
a longstanding US focus on preventing Iranian access to dollars. Regardless,
Zaidi’s apparent ties to illicit finance were not enough to prompt American
objections to his selection as prime minister—despite the Trump administration’s
continuing policy of countering Iran’s funding schemes through Iraq.
Zaidi emerged as a compromise solution to the five-month deadlock in forming a
government, as the Coordination Framework struggled to navigate infighting and
the competition between Washington and Tehran for influence. The prime
minister’s lack of political experience or a popular support base satisfied
Tehran and the Coordination Framework, as Zaidi is more likely to be a malleable
leader. The bloc seeks to retain decision-making authority and use the prime
minister as its executor.
Simultaneously, Zaidi’s business background may have appealed to President
Trump, and Washington has previously had to work with other “less-bad” actors in
Iraq, where Tehran-aligned Shias are the dominant political bloc. Thus, the new
prime minister’s history and associations are likely less concerning to the
United States than if Iraqi leaders had appointed someone with direct ties to
the militias and Iran.
Nevertheless, Zaidi’s background and relationships, both inside and outside
Baghdad, don’t indicate a clear path for the new leader through the muddy issue
of militia disarmament, which will likely define the remainder of his tenure. If
the new prime minister somehow manages to thread the needle on this issue, it
won’t be smooth sailing afterward. Tehran’s partners in Iraq won’t settle for a
loss of weapons and political influence, likely impacting his choices for the
remaining cabinet positions.
Zaidi will have to navigate the fallout of hard decisions as well as America’s
desire to counter Iranian illicit finance in Iraq, and Washington will certainly
watch his performance closely, given al-Janoob’s history. Simultaneously, Iraq
is facing an impending budget crisis as its oil exports, which account for 90
percent of the country’s revenue, are curtailed by the closure of the Strait of
Hormuz. This will only compound the existing budgetary challenges posed by
Iraq’s bloated public sector.
To say that Zaidi has his work cut out for him is an understatement. Iran’s
partners in Iraq, particularly their political leadership in the Coordination
Framework, do not want an independent leader who will accede to Washington’s
demands. Meanwhile, the United States has expressed a seemingly implacable
position on Iranian influence and the fate of Tehran-backed leaders and
militias.
If Zaidi proves unable to strike the right balance between the two countries, he
will either lose crucial domestic political support or Washington’s initially
warm reception will turn cool. And in an era where the Trump administration is
increasingly willing to use the stick instead of the carrot, there could be
grave consequences for Iraq.
About the Author: Bridget Toomey
Bridget Toomey is a research analyst at the Foundation for Defense of
Democracies (FDD), focusing on Iranian proxies, specifically Iraqi militias and
the Houthis. Before joining FDD, she was a Fulbright fellow in Israel, where she
completed an MA in security and diplomacy at Tel Aviv University. During her
undergraduate studies, she interned for the American Enterprise Institute’s
Critical Threats Project, focusing on jihadi terror groups, and for the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee. She holds a BA in government with a minor in modern
Middle Eastern studies from Harvard University.
Be Optimistic
Samir Atallah/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
Fouad Boutros was among the most brilliant foreign ministers Lebanon ever knew.
Yet President Suleiman Frangieh would constantly mock his gloomy demeanor and
perennial pessimism, calling him an owl that never stopped hooting bad omens.
The difference between the two men was that the first was highly pragmatic,
while the second sought to lighten people’s burdens with a measure of optimism
and hopeful expectations. Yesterday, I surveyed the views of newspapers around
the world on the Trump–Iran agreement and found them divided into two camps:
Boutros and Frangieh. People would like to be optimistic, yet they fear a sudden
shock of the kind that has struck the world repeatedly in recent years. Leading
the pessimists was The Daily Telegraph, which reminded us that we live in a
region where nothing can be taken for granted, a region fraught with problems
and unlikely to enjoy lasting peace of mind.
The Telegraph pointed to the many occasions on which agreements were announced
only to be abandoned later. Another example was the war of October 7, 2023,
followed the next day by the “support war.” From there, conflicts multiplied
between Gaza and Lebanon until they came to resemble a quasi-global war whose
repercussions extended across the entire blue planet. Wisdom, necessity, and
plain common sense all require us to side with the optimists. Many mocked the
exaggerated optimism of the recipient of the “Peace Prize,” yet he proved to be
right. Even the issue of nuclear fallout, which we had assumed was an insoluble
problem, eventually found a formula for being quietly buried when the time
comes, that is, when it is no longer a matter of Iran’s submission or America’s
victory.
For that reason, both sides, by mutual consent, resorted to the formula of
“constructive ambiguity” as a prelude to a long period of peace, as Abdulrahman
Al-Rashed argued in his long-range reading of the agreement’s provisions.
Everyone has grown weary of a war that produces nothing but more death and more
ashes. Israel’s punitive campaign is not a solution. Nor has Israeli occupation
ever solved anything at any point in time. So let us try an agreement in which
Donald Trump is the one delivering the rebuke, and Benjamin Netanyahu the one
who deserves it, at the very least.
On a Changing Iran
Hanna Saleh/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
Wars end at the negotiating table, and the current US-Iran conflict will be no
exception. Despite the delay in signing the “memorandum of understanding”
between the two countries, a deal that President Donald Trump has described as
“great” and “wonderful,” while Tehran insists it has imposed its own terms, it
is important, before the expiration of the 60-day deadline set for the
negotiations, that oil prices fall, benefiting the American consumer; that the
World Cup in the United States proceeds successfully; and that Tehran turns its
attention to burying Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on July 4, 126 days after his
death.
Tehran’s rulers have neither raised the white flag nor declared that they have
“drunk the poison chalice,” as Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini did at the end of the
Iran-Iraq War. Yet a significant shift is taking shape, one that points to
geopolitical changes ahead. At its core lies an American strategy that has moved
toward decisiveness, mirrored by Israel’s own approach. This makes it necessary
to examine the implications of that shift and reflect carefully on where matters
may stand after the war, far removed from the rhetoric of triumphal speeches.
When Khomeini announced nearly 38 years ago that he had accepted the poison
chalice, that moment gave fresh momentum to the project of “exporting the
revolution,” aimed at establishing an Iranian Islamic model that transcended
borders and national identities. The project targeted the region from the
Caspian Sea to the Mediterranean. Khomeini himself defined its context and
objectives, promising a different Islamic model capable of confronting the
prevailing international order.
The overthrow of Saddam Hussein’s regime provided a major boost to that project,
particularly through the fateful decision by Iraq’s administrator, Paul Bremer,
to dissolve the Iraqi army, allowing Tehran to begin filling the resulting
vacuum. It was not long before Iranian officials boasted of controlling four
Arab capitals. It can now be said with confidence that President Trump’s
decision to kill Qassem Soleimani, the leading symbol of Iran’s expansionist
project, was, among other objectives, an important early step toward forcing
that project into retreat after it had fractured states across the region and
shaken their stability and the security of their peoples.
In the weeks following the outbreak of the US-Iran war, different concerns and
priorities began to emerge inside Iran. It was therefore neither insignificant
nor inconsequential when Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf declared that “Iran did not
win, but it endured,” and that on the basis of that endurance it could move
toward “striking a deal with the Americans.” Such a deal would close the chapter
on a confrontation that has lasted for decades.
Equally noteworthy was President Masoud Pezeshkian’s statement that “Iranians
are hungry despite sitting atop oil and gas.” This concern is both major and
central. Protecting the regime, protecting its leadership, and turning attention
inward have moved to the forefront. The challenge has become how to safeguard
the system and prevent “change”- a theme that featured prominently in President
Trump’s rhetoric and even more so in Israeli discourse. It is still too early to
conclude that Iran has fully accepted that it can no longer return to the
situation that existed before Operation Al-Aqsa Flood and its consequences for
Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and for Iran itself, its Revolutionary Guard, and
its political order.
It is likewise premature to say that Tehran has accepted the reality that its
expansionist project is no longer on the rise, or that it is unable to preserve
what remains of its regional proxies and, by extension, its influence across the
region. Nor should one dismiss what General Esmail Qaani proposed regarding a
“new resistance security belt extending from the Strait of Hormuz to Bab
el-Mandeb, and from the Gulf to the Red Sea,” because “in the blink of an eye”
Tehran could return to its previous course, despite the sharp criticism voiced
by President Pezeshkian, the only official elected by Iran’s people: “Martyrdom
is a great triumph, but it is absolutely unacceptable for the enemy to be able
to assassinate our leaders so easily.” All of this points to the growing
priority of regime security and delicate internal balances, especially after
Iran’s regional proxies proved unable to provide the external defense the regime
had hoped for.
The question that presents itself, amid what appear to be carefully orchestrated
demonstrations calling for the downfall of Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas
Araghchi, a member of the negotiating team, is this: Are we witnessing the
beginning of the end of the era of the “Islamic Revolution,” which ushered in a
period of transcending borders and national identities? Or is Iran, following a
framework agreement with the Americans, moving instead toward becoming a
hardline nation-state that may one day return as a source of danger to its
surroundings, benefiting from the continued presence of the Supreme Leader at
the center of the political scene, even if the current period has been marked by
his prolonged absence from public view and public speech?
It is a strong possibility, one that may today appeal to figures who still hold
power on the ground, such as General Ahmad Vahidi and his associates, though
they must also fear the anger of a hungry population. Having seen their nuclear
gamble fail, they are likely to cling to the “Strait of Hormuz- the second
nuclear card,” which Tehran will not easily surrender as a source of strategic
leverage. The strait has become one of the world’s most important arteries of
trade and energy, and Washington knows that Tehran understands that a permanent
American maritime stranglehold is unsustainable.
Saudi Arabia and the Art of Statecraft
Mishary Dhayidi/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 16/2026
Many people imagine that courage has but one form: a raised weapon, a booming
voice, striking and thrusting. There is no doubt that these are among the
manifestations of courage and valor, and on the battlefield the mettle of men is
tested and the heroism of warriors revealed.
Yet courage takes other forms, subtle in character and difficult to master. They
are attainable only by those who place reason above emotion and make both serve
their purpose until they reach their goal. It was this kind of courage that Abu
al-Tayyib al-Mutanabbi had in mind when he wrote: "Judgment comes before the
courage of the brave."
Indeed, this is the very essence of leadership, its heart and core. Brave men
who do not fear combat are many. Men of judgment, possessed by constant caution,
are also many. But those who combine courage of heart with clarity of mind, and
who possess both the ability to draw the sword and the wisdom to know when to do
so, are exceedingly rare throughout history.
Among them, and among the finest of them, was King Abdulaziz bin Abdulrahman Al
Saud, founder of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and heir to a long legacy of glory,
rule, and leadership.
Allow me to share this lesson in leadership from Abdulaziz recounted by his son,
the late King Faisal bin Abdulaziz. He said:
"I remember that when a dispute arose between him and Imam Yahya, the former
Imam of Yemen, he did not rush to severity. Instead, he sought to resolve their
differences through patience and forbearance, to the point that we, his sons and
the men of his state, were almost ready to accuse him of weakness. Yet he paid
no heed to us and continued on his chosen path until no reproach could
reasonably be directed at him. Only then was he compelled to take up the sword.
And when prominent Arab leaders intervened between the two kings, he was quick
to cease the fighting."
(Al-Musawwar (Egypt), 1948, as cited in Mohammed Mounir Al-Badawi's Al-Mutawakkil
'ala Al-Wadud: Abdulaziz Al Saud, pp. 294-295.)
Many stories are told of Abdulaziz's forgiveness and his willingness to
relinquish his personal rights. But when it came to the public interest and the
authority of the state itself, he neither maneuvered nor equivocated. He would
not surrender so much as a mustard seed's worth of principle, and he stood firm
to the very end.
This responsible spirit of leadership became woven into the DNA of Saudi
leadership from Abdulaziz to the present day. It is what has preserved the Saudi
state from the pitfalls of political adventurism that have brought ruin to
peoples and nations across this region, from the days of the First World War,
through the Second World War and the Cold War, and through all that followed,
down to the present era of Iran and America, of Trump, Netanyahu, and Khamenei,
and those aligned with them here and there.
War, when nothing else remains, is the inheritance of the early horsemen of the
Arabian Peninsula. But politics and patience, when they offer a path to avert
war, are the chosen method of this leadership. That is the golden equation,
mastered only by those who can distinguish precious metals from base ones.
on 16
June/2026
Lindsey Graham
To me one of the most important
things said by President Trump today is that it is his desire to expand the
Abraham Accords, bringing historic stability and prosperity to the Middle East.
President Trump is correct in his analysis that this can only be achieved if the
region believes Iran has been weakened or Iran has changed its behavior in terms
of being a disruptive force and supporting terrorist organizations.
I sincerely hope the upcoming negotiations to forever foreclose Iran’s nuclear
ambitions are a success. Due to President Trump’s actions, it is clear to me
Iran and its proxies are incredibly weakened and their ability to generate
another October 7 doesn’t exist, and there has been a major setback in their
nuclear capability.
The ultimate win for taking on Iran is to open up a pathway to peace through
Abraham Accord expansion and build on regional integration.
If the conflict with Iran yields this outcome, it will be one of the most
successful military operations in American history.
Mr. President, you are right to keep your eye on the big prize: regional
integration and lasting peace.
Dr Walid Phares
There is no evidence that the Islamic regime in Iran wants to
change their ideology, their geopolitical ambitions, their goal for an Imamate,
their support for militias. They will open the Hormuz strait, let go of the
dust, and lie about the future, to obtain billions of dollars.
Giving them time and opportunities are a grave challenge to US national
security.
Hussain Abdul-Hussain
For the sake of global oil prices, America is throwing Lebanon and its
Christian’s under the bus by handing their country over to Islamic Iran.
Arabic-speaking Christian communities have been irreversibly shrinking in
Mideast, except in Israel.
Nadim Koteich
On Israeli forces in Lebanon, a senior US official told a group of journalists
the following:
WITHDRAWAL WAS NOT A CONDITION OF THE DEAL.
The deal is a ceasefire, and it will not be a one-way ceasefire.
If Iran is not able to control Hezbollah, and if they attack Israeli positions
or Israeli towns, Israel will have the right to defend themselves and respond.
Reported by @nahaltoosi
Mossad Commentary
HUCKABEE: ISRAEL DOES NOT NEED IRAN’S PERMISSION
U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee says Iran and Hezbollah are not linked
in the reported deal. Responding to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Huckabee
wrote:
“Fortunately,
@SecRubio
made clear that Iran & Hezbollah aren’t linked in a deal.
@Israel
doesn’t need Iran’s permission to defend itself. The tether of terror must end.”
Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Polls from Lebanon are consistently showing that the majority of Lebanese oppose
Hezbollah and support peace with Israel. NY Post: In Lebanon, 59% of residents
said Hezbollah’s military presence has a negative impact on the country’s
security, against just 11% who viewed it as positive with the remaining 40%
unsure. For the first time in the group’s ongoing tracking, more Lebanese
residents support engagement with Israel than oppose it. A 41% plurality now
considers eventual peace between Israel and Lebanon likely, versus 27% who think
it unlikely and the rest unsure.
Nadim Koteich
So Iran is calling this a victory. A VICTORY.
I'd need @mb_ghalibaf to lend me the Iranian dictionary, because I want to use
that definition in my next argument with my wife. However, let's review the
spoils of the glorious triumph he is propagandizing.
Step one: they shut down the Strait of Hormuz, the single most important oil
artery on the planet, choking the global economy … and their own. Boom! And the
crown jewel of the deal? They agree to reopen it. That's the prize.
They took the world's gas pump hostage, and the ransom they collected was
permission to put the nozzle back.
Oh, and the deal, Iran says, includes "reconstruction plans." RECONSTRUCTION!
You know who needs reconstruction Mr. Qalibaf? The side that got deconstructed.
Honestly, though, I respect the consistency. Iran's been branding defeats as
victories since 1988… if not since Karbala… Meanwhile the supreme achievement is
a 60-day window to negotiate away even more. Sixty days! That's the free trial
before they cancel the subscription on your entire regime. Good luck!
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, this evening at a press
conference:
"Dear citizens of Israel,
For decades, I have been fighting Iran's efforts to arm itself with nuclear
weapons. I can define this as the mission of my life. I have stood firm in it
until today, and I will continue to stand firm in the future. With an agreement,
without an agreement—Iran will not have nuclear weapons. Not today, and not
tomorrow. As long as I am Prime Minister of Israel—this will not happen.
I hear people asking: What have we achieved? And I answer them: 'What have we
achieved'? We have pushed away from us the immediate threat of annihilation.
Together with our American friends, we launched the largest attack sortie in
Israel's history. We neutralized their nuclear scientists, decapitated the
leaders of the terror regime, crushed their nuclear facilities, destroyed
missiles and most of the factories that produce missiles, struck countless
military industries and infrastructures, destroyed their navy, their air force,
neutralized Basij commanders who massacred the Iranian people, inflicted
enormous damage—we estimate it at hundreds of billions of dollars, and some
estimate it even close to a trillion dollars—enormous damage to Iran's economy
that took them decades to build.
But here's the most important thing—we saved the State of Israel from the threat
of nuclear annihilation. Because it must be understood, Iran was racing toward
the nuclear bomb right before 'With a Lion'—it was racing toward the bomb and
racing to bury its missile and nuclear industry deep underground.
If we had not acted at the time we did, and with the intensity we did—both in
'With a Lion' and then in 'Roar of the Lion'—in historic cooperation with
President Trump and the American military—if we had not acted in this way, Iran
would already have atomic bombs by now. And what does that mean? It means that
millions of Israeli citizens, you who are listening to me now, all of you would
have been in terrible danger of mass death. We were all in that danger. And that
danger, of the extermination of Israel's population, we have pushed away from us
for years. That's what we achieved—we saved the State of Israel from
destruction.
But I say to you, citizens of Israel, the struggle is not over and done with. We
will need to continue to stay vigilant, continue to be strong and determined to
defend ourselves as much as required. This is true not only against Iran. It is
true also against Iran's terror arms, which we have struck in an unprecedented
manner. We did it in Gaza, we did it in Lebanon, in Syria, in Yemen, we did it
in the refugee camps in Judea and Samaria—we did it everywhere.
We eliminated Deif, Haniyeh and Sinwar along with many of Hamas's leaders. In
fact, almost all of them—everyone who was there in that horrific massacre, I
think one is left, he will be eliminated too. We destroyed thousands of
terrorists and countless terror infrastructures. We brought back all our
hostages from Gaza, to the last one. No one believed we would do it. I believed.
They told me: Prime Minister, we must concede, don't enter Rafah, end the war.
We'll bring back the hostages, we'll frame our exit from Gaza as a victory. I
did not accept those nonsensical words. We entered Rafah, we entered the city of
Gaza, against the opinion of many—and we brought back all the hostages, to the
last one. And not only that, we blew up the pagers, eliminated the tyrant
Nasrallah, prevented the Radwan Force's invasion of the Galilee, destroyed the
overwhelming majority of the 150,000 rockets and missiles that Nasrallah built
to devastate Israel's cities.
You remember what they told us—'If we enter into battle with Hezbollah, we'll
have tens of thousands of dead, the towers will fall in Tel Aviv, Haifa,
Jerusalem, Be'er Sheva. The cities of Israel will become a city of ruins.' You
remember that. I did not accept it, we fought them, and how we fought them, we
also captured key positions of theirs like Beaufort, from which Hezbollah
threatened the northern settlements for years, in fact the entire country.
In parallel, we did something else: we established deep security zones around
the State of Israel. We did it in Gaza, in Lebanon, in Syria—where, by the way,
we eliminated all of Assad's weapons that were a central link in the axis of
evil. And I want to make it clear: we will remain in the security zones as long
as required to defend our country.
Because after October 7, I set a simple principle: Israel will not allow terror
organizations to camp on our borders. To dig terror tunnels into our territory,
to prepare for massacres near our civilians. Today, our heroic IDF fighters
stand between the terrorists and our civilians. In fact, what we did, we changed
our entire security doctrine. We changed ourselves too. We broke through the
barrier of fear. We initiate, we attack, we surprise, and we strike hard at
those who seek our souls.
Israel is stronger than ever, and Iran's axis of evil is weaker than ever. If
someone had told you, at the beginning of the war, that we would achieve
everything I detailed, and I didn't detail everything—you would say he is
daydreaming. Well done, security experts, no. We did it.
And today, after achieving all this, there are those who want to downplay it, to
dismiss our tremendous achievements. And I say to you—we are going to achieve
many more great things. We will continue to thwart threats in the arena, we will
build new alliances with countries in the region and outside the region. We will
ensure our military independence, that's another principle I set and I am
allocating an additional 350 billion shekels to the defense budget. We will
develop technologies that break the boundaries of imagination, and we will turn
Israel into an even stronger power. Because our strength is the key to our
future, it is the key to our security, it is the key to our economy, it is the
key to our alliances. Because alliances are made with the strong, and Israel
today is a very strong country. It is strong thanks to you, citizens of Israel.
I want to thank you, citizens of Israel, for your steadfast stance, for the
backing you give the government, for the backing you give me as Prime Minister.
And above all, I want to thank our heroic fighters and female fighters in the
regular and reserve forces, at sea, on land, and in the air. In the IDF and in
all security branches. There is none like you, heroes of Israel.
Together we will continue to stand, and together we will continue to win.
'Fear not, My servant Jacob, and do not be dismayed, O Israel.'
Together, with the help of God, we will ensure the eternity of Israel."
Video: Omer Miron / GPO
Sound: Nir Saraf / GPO