English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For February 06/2025
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Gratitude: Jesus cured 10 Lepers, but one only came
back to thank him/Was none of them found to return and give praise to God except
this foreigner
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 17/11-19: “On
the way to Jerusalem Jesus was going through the region between Samaria and
Galilee. As he entered a village, ten lepers approached him. Keeping their
distance, they called out, saying, ‘Jesus, Master, have mercy on us!’ When he
saw them, he said to them, ‘Go and show yourselves to the priests.’ And as they
went, they were made clean. Then one of them, when he saw that he was healed,
turned back, praising God with a loud voice. He prostrated himself at Jesus’
feet and thanked him. And he was a Samaritan. Then Jesus asked, ‘Were not ten
made clean? But the other nine, where are they? Was none of them found to return
and give praise to God except this foreigner?’ Then he said to him, ‘Get up and
go on your way; your faith has made you well.’”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on February 05-06/2025
Passing of Retired Captain Ghassan Al-Homsi
To President Joseph Aoun: Silence on Berri and Hezbollah’s Terrorism is a Sign
of Approval—A Clear and Courageous Stand is Required/Elias Bejjani / February
04/2025
The Nasserist, Arabist, and Leftist Will Only Form a Government in His Own
Image/Elias Bejjani/February 03/ 2025
To All Friends in Lebanese Political Parties: Compare Lebanon’s Parties with
Those in Established Democracies/Naufal Daou/Facebook/February 05/ 2025
Netanyahu gifts Trump golden pager in reference to attack on Hezbollah
Lebanon's PM-designate Nawaf Salam vows to form a 'reformist' government,
prioritizing effective governance
Salam meets Aoun amid reports of imminent govt. formation
Egypt's ambassador to Lebanon tells LBCI: Government formation nearing
consensus, international support growing
European Council President António Costa congratulates Lebanon’s Aoun, urges
full ceasefire implementation
Palestinian refugees in Lebanon say Trump's proposal doomed to fail
Khamenei names Qassem as Lebanon 'representative'
Destruction in south Lebanon's Yaroun: Israeli bombings, demolitions leave
historical sites in ruins
To What Extent Does Nawaf Salam Adopt a Common Criteria?/Johnny Kortbawi/February
5, 2025
Qatar PM says to help Lebanon rebuild after government is formed
Bassil says against 'isolating' Shiites or 'favoring' them
On LBCI, former minister Rashid Derbas proposes fund for Beirut blast victims
ISF Foils Arms Smuggling From Syria
Aoun Urges French Support for Israeli Withdrawal from South Lebanon
Hezbollah official says US plans for Palestinians are 'criminal'
Aoun Receives Credentials of Four Ambassadors
Lebanon: A State of Insecurity? Where Exactly?/Marc Saikali/This Is
Beirut/February 05/2025
Is Hope Bound to Lead to Disillusionment?/David Sahyoun/This Is Beirut/February
05/2025
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on February 05-06/2025
Trump says he's given advisers instructions for Iran to be 'obliterated' if it
assassinates him
Iran praises US for cutting foreign aid funding as it looks for a Trump message
on nuclear talks
Turkey, Iraq, Syria, Jordan aim to jointly tackle Islamic State, Ankara says
Trump says wants Iran deal and 'big Middle East Celebration when it is signed'
Islamic State members held for years in a Syria prison say they know nothing of
the world
Gaza is in ruins, and it's unclear how it will be rebuilt
French president is first EU head of state to call new Syrian leader
CIA sends ‘buyout’ offers to entire workforce
Titles For
The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on February 05-06/2025
What Is Really Destroying Europe? The EU./Drieu Godefridi/Gatestone
Institute./February 05/2025
Netanyahu must push Trump to take real action on Iran/Jacob Nagel/ The Jerusalem
Post/February 05/2025
Trump's Gaza plan has stunned the region. Here's a look at the serious obstacles
it face/Joseph Krauss/The Associated Press/February 5, 2025
After Tariff Fight with Canada and Mexico, Trump’s Next Target Is Europe/Europe,
you’re next./Patricia Cohen/The New York Times/February 05/2025
Sharaa’s Rationality/Tariq Al-Homayed/The New York Times/February 05/2025
The End of ‘Palestine’...Donald Trump reminds the world that ideas have sell-by
dates/Lee Smith/The Magazine/February 05, 2025
What next after Al-Sharaa’s visit to Saudi Arabia?/Hassan Al-Mustafa/Arab
News/February 05, 2025
The challenge to find a better solution for Gaza/Alistair Burt/Arab
News/February 05, 2025
The Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on February 05-06/2025
Passing of Retired Captain Ghassan Al-Homsi
Retired Captain Ghassan Al-Homsi
passed away yesterday in the United States due to a heart attack.
February 03/ 2025
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2025/02/139859/
The late Captain was one of the heroic sovereign patriots who dedicated his life
to Lebanon, offering everything he had—both at home and abroad—for the
liberation, freedom, sovereignty, and independence of his sacred homeland.
On behalf of all honorable and sovereign Lebanese who knew him, we extend our
deepest condolences to his family, loved ones, and comrades. We pray that God
grants his soul eternal rest among the righteous and the pure in His heavenly
dwellings
To President Joseph Aoun: Silence on Berri and Hezbollah’s Terrorism is a Sign
of Approval—A Clear and Courageous Stand is Required
Elias Bejjani / February 04/2025
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2025/02/139837/
Three weeks have passed, and yet Judge Nawaf Salam—the leftist, Nasserist, and
former member of the Palestinian Fatah organization—remains stuck in a
humiliating state of confusion and surrender to the dictates of the corrupt
Nabih Berri and the terrorist, Satanic Hezbollah. Instead of completely
isolating them from government participation to facilitate the implementation of
international resolutions—specifically, all provisions of the ceasefire
agreement with Israel, which they signed under Prime Minister Mikati’s
government—Salam is caving to their blackmail, engaging in appeasement and
submission.
How can they be part of the very same government that is supposed to oversee the
disarmament of their militias, confiscate their war capabilities, and the
handover of their stockpiles and military sites to the Lebanese Army?
We ask you, President Joseph Aoun:
Do you agree to hand over the Ministry of Finance to this defeated Iranian
terrorist duo?
Will you allow them to monopolize Shiite representation, effectively
booby-trapping your government, undermining your presidency, and sabotaging your
national rescue mission?
A clear, transparent, and decisive stance is required.
You assumed the presidency under direct and commendable international and
regional pressure, with the hope that you would lead Lebanon’s salvation,
dismantle Iran’s occupation grip, and restore the state from the grasp of the
militia-run mini-state.
Your silence on Judge Salam’s submission to the terrorist threats and extortion
of this obstructive duo is both baffling and deeply concerning.
A firm and bold position is needed—before it is too late!
The Nasserist, Arabist, and Leftist Will Only Form a Government
in His Own Image
Elias Bejjani/February 03/ 2025
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2025/02/139798/
How can a government controlled by the Iranian-occupational obstructionist duo
implement Resolution 1701, uphold the ceasefire agreement, disarm Hezbollah, and
confiscate its vast military stockpiles?
Will this diabolical duo, led by the corrupt and vengeful Nabih Berri, agree to
fill 700 vacant state positions without imposing its dominance and further
paralyzing governance?
With a government dictated by Berri, Mohammad Raad, Naim Qassem, and Wafiq Safa,
can Lebanon expect aid from Gulf and Western nations?
And with a government of mullahs and their proxies, will Israel withdraw from
the South?
Nawaf Salam should have formed a de facto government within 24 hours of his
appointment—without consultations, without seeking confidence, just as the
current caretaker government operates.
Had he done so, he would have secured parliamentary confidence through the same
international pressure that installed Joseph Aoun as president and appointed him
as prime minister-designate.
Unfortunately, Salam has already failed, and if external pressure—especially
from Saudi Arabia and the U.S. under Trump—is not exerted soon, the entire
Joseph Aoun tenure may collapse with him.
The Bottom Line
For 70 years, no leftist, Nasserist, jihadist Arab nationalist waving the
banners of false and delusional "liberation and resistance" has ever brought
anything to the Arab world and the Middle East but disaster, defeat, and
catastrophe.
If Salam is not forced to step down, he will be no different.
To All Friends in Lebanese
Political Parties: Compare Lebanon’s Parties with Those in Established
Democracies
Naufal Daou/Facebook/February 05/ 2025
Free translation from Arabic and the Title & introduction by Elias Bejjani)
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2025/02/139855/
Introduction
Lebanon’s Political Illusion: No Real Parties, Only Agencies and Factions
In Lebanon, what we call “political parties” are nothing more than illusions. By
Western democratic standards, Lebanon has no real political parties—no
structured institutions that operate on ideological competition, internal
democracy, or policy-driven agendas. Instead, the so-called parties fall into
one of three categories: foreign-backed agencies serving the interests of
external powers, jihadist militias using politics as a cover for armed control,
or feudal, commercial, and family-run enterprises that treat the state as a
private inheritance. Those who defend Lebanon’s current party system by
comparing it to democratic models in the West are either misinformed or
complicit in the deception. True political parties uphold accountability,
internal democracy, ideological diversity, and national loyalty. In Lebanon,
these concepts are absent. Until real political reform dismantles this corrupt
structure, talk of democracy remains meaningless.
***To all friends in Lebanese political parties who were “offended” by my
proposal for a government formation that would help Lebanon emerge from its
crisis—one that limits but does not eliminate the role of political parties—and
who justify their parties’ control over state institutions by referencing the
role of parties in advanced democracies, I say this:
*When you name a party in Lebanon whose internal system prevents its leader from
remaining in power for more than two terms—then compare Lebanese parties to
those in established democracies.
*When you point to a research and policy center affiliated with a Lebanese party
that develops strategies and plans for the future, just as think tanks do in the
U.S. and Europe—then compare Lebanese parties to those in established
democracies.
*When you identify a Lebanese party that is not built on political dynasties and
family-based rule—then compare Lebanese parties to those in established
democracies.
*When you cite a Lebanese party where candidates truly compete for leadership
positions, just as they do in U.S. and European parties to secure
nominations—then compare Lebanese parties to those in established democracies.
*When Lebanese parties become democratic models, where internal competition
revolves around policies and visions rather than blind loyalty to a leader, and
where all perspectives have a seat at the decision-making table—then compare
Lebanese parties to those in established democracies.
*When a party’s leadership is held accountable for strategic miscalculations or
failed decisions that harmed the party and the people, rather than having its
supporters blindly justify contradictions and reversals—then compare Lebanese
parties to those in established democracies.
*When a Lebanese party does not expel members for expressing dissenting opinions
and allows ideological diversity within its ranks, with right, center, and left
factions coexisting as they do in Western democracies—then compare Lebanese
parties to those in established democracies.
*When Lebanese parties become genuine talent incubators, promoting competent
individuals from within instead of resorting to non-partisan appointees for
parliamentary, ministerial, or administrative positions—then compare Lebanese
parties to those in established democracies.
*When a Lebanese party transparently publishes its annual budget, income,
expenses, and assets—then compare Lebanese parties to those in established
democracies.
Before discussing political reform in Lebanon, and before making broad
comparisons, understand that true reform must be enacted by law—and perhaps it
should start with party structures themselves.
Until then, silence might serve you better than unjustified criticism of others’
opinions. Self-criticism is the foundation of reform. Before attempting to judge
others, try practicing it within your own parties.
Netanyahu gifts Trump
golden pager in reference to attack on Hezbollah
Naharnet/February 5, 2025
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has gifted U.S. President Donald Trump
a golden pager and a regular one, a reference to the clandestine operation
against Hezbollah last year. “That was a great operation,” Trump responded,
according to Israel’s Channel 12. In return, Trump gave Netanyahu a photo of the
two of them from the visit, with the dedication “To Bibi, a great leader.”In
September, thousands of pagers used by Hezbollah operatives across Lebanon
suddenly exploded, killing at least 12 people, including two Hezbollah members
and two children, and wounding more than 2,750, including civilians and Iran's
ambassador to Lebanon. A day later, hundreds of walkie-talkies also blew up,
killing at least 30 people and injuring over 750 others. The 150 hospitals
across Lebanon that received victims of the explosions witnessed chaotic scenes.
The attacks, eventually claimed by Israel, were the opening strike in an all-out
war against Hezbollah that ended in late November.
Lebanon's PM-designate Nawaf Salam vows to form a
'reformist' government, prioritizing effective governance
LBCI/February 5, 2025
Lebanon's Prime Minister-designate Nawaf Salam affirmed that the aspirations of
the Lebanese people are his guiding principle as he works to form a government
committed to ministerial solidarity. During remarks on Wednesday after meeting
with President Joseph Aoun at Baabda Palace, he acknowledged the significant
role of political parties in Lebanon but emphasized that, given the current
critical phase, he prioritizes effective governance over internal political
disputes within the government. Salam further noted that he is working to form a
"reformist government" with high expertise, ensuring no potential for
obstruction in any form. He emphasized the importance of political parties in
Lebanon's political life, adding, "I have worked carefully and patiently, facing
challenges that some find difficult to let go of or accept new approaches in
confronting."
He further expressed confidence in Lebanon's future, stating, "My bet is your
bet on rebuilding the state. We have no choice but to trust ourselves, and I
will not waste this opportunity." Salam also expressed his personal commitment,
saying, "I am ready to invest my personal resources to form a government."
Salam meets Aoun amid reports of imminent govt. formation
Naharnet/February 5, 2025
Prime Minister-designate Nawaf Salam met Wednesday evening in Baabda with
President Joseph Aoun, amid reports that the formation of the new cabinet has
become imminent after the issue of the Lebanese Forces' share was resolved.
Speaking after the meeting, Salam said he is "working on" forming a "harmonious"
and "reformist" government. “I will not allow that it contain the possibility of
its work being obstructed in any form, and to this end I have worked patiently,”
Salam added. “We need to build the state and we cannot but move forward,” Salam
went on to say. Media reports had expected that the government would be
immediately announced after the Aoun-Salam meeting. Salam’s negotiations with
the LF are nearing a “happy end,” MTV reported earlier in the day. It added that
the LF’s share will consist of Youssef Rajji for foreign affairs, Joe Saddi for
energy, Kamal Shehadeh for telecom and Joe Issa al-Khoury for industry. Sky News
Arabia meanwhile reported that the heath portfolio will go to Rakan Nasreddine,
who is close to Hezbollah, finance will go to Yassine Jaber, who is close to the
Amal Movement, defense will go to Michel Menassa and interior will go to Brig.
Gen. Ahmad al-Hajjar. Informed sources had earlier told Annahar newspaper that
progress was made after Salam agreed to grant the Lebanese Forces the foreign
affairs portfolio in addition to three other portfolios. “Salam will propose the
matter this afternoon to President Joseph Aoun and will also brief him on the
contacts regarding the portfolios that will go to the Sunni community,” the
sources told Annahar newspaper on Wednesday afternoon. “Things have made
progress and might quickly reach a positive conclusion,” the sources added. Al-Jadeed
television later said that the LF will be given "foreign affairs, energy and
telecom, amid negotiations over a fourth portfolio.""Negotiations are currently
underway over a candidate for the foreign affairs portfolio that the LF will
present, amid ongoing negotiations over the fifth Shiite seat," Al-Jadeed added.
Egypt's ambassador to Lebanon tells LBCI: Government formation nearing
consensus, international support growing
LBCI/February 5, 2025
Egypt's Ambassador to Lebanon, Alaa Moussa, told LBCI that the government
formation process carries historical complexities and is moving slowly, but
progress is being made toward resolving outstanding issues. The ambassador
praised Prime Minister-designate Nawaf Salam, describing him as experienced,
dedicated, and determined to overcome political obstacles through cooperation
with political forces. He highlighted Lebanon’s recent political steps,
including the election of President Joseph Aoun and Salam’s designation, as
crucial in encouraging international and regional engagement. “This has been
reflected in the number of high-level visits to Lebanon recently,” he noted.
Regarding the international community’s role, the ambassador emphasized that the
Quintet Committee supports swift government formation but does not interfere in
its structure. “There will be no veto on the cabinet as long as it is formed
smoothly and ensures the implementation of reforms,” he said. He stressed that
the criteria for government formation remain in the hands of Salam and political
forces, dismissing the need for external pressures or vetoes. Following
discussions with U.S. Ambassador Lisa Johnson, he confirmed that Washington
shares the Quintet Committee’s view on the urgency of forming a government but
sees the process as Lebanon’s sovereign matter. Additionally, he said that the
Egyptian foreign minister congratulated President Aoun, inviting him to visit
Egypt and urging swift government formation to accelerate Lebanon’s stability.
“We are pushing in this direction because the region needs a stronger Lebanon,”
the ambassador said. He concluded by stating that the international and regional
community will engage with the government that secures parliamentary confidence.
European Council President António Costa congratulates
Lebanon’s Aoun, urges full ceasefire implementation
LBCI/February 5, 2025
European Council President António Costa congratulates Lebanon’s Aoun, urges
full ceasefire implementation European Council President António Costa praised
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun on his recent election, expressing hope for
Lebanon’s future.
In a statement on X, Costa emphasized the need for all parties to fully
implement the ongoing ceasefire. "I look forward to enhancing the EU-Lebanon
partnership and to welcoming President Aoun to Brussels soon," he added.
Palestinian refugees in Lebanon say Trump's proposal doomed
to fail
Associated Press/February 5, 2025
Palestinian refugees in Lebanon, many of whom in exile since 1948, believe that
U.S. President Donald Trump's proposal for Gaza is doomed to fail, an activist
said. Suheil Natour, who heads an aid group in the Mar Elias camp in Beirut,
said that neither the Palestinians themselves nor the neighboring countries that
Trump suggested might absorb them will accept the population transfer plan. He
said that even U.S. allies like Egypt or Jordan refuse to be threatened to
absorb the Palestinians from Gaza. Fathi Kallab, a member of the Democratic
Front for the Liberation of Palestine, a leftist political faction, said that
the displacement of residents under humanitarian pretexts is “considered a war
crime punishable by law, as recognized by multiple international organizations.”
Khamenei names Qassem as Lebanon 'representative'
Agence France Presse/February 5, 2025
Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has named Hezbollah leader Sheikh
Naim Qassem as his "representative" in Lebanon, Iranian media reported
Wednesday. "The leader of the revolution in a decree introduced Sheikh Naim
Qassem, secretary general of Hezbollah, as his representative in Lebanon,"
Tasnim news agency said. Tasnim carried a copy of the official decree which said
Qassem will represent Khamenei in handling "non-litigious matters" and "managing
religious affairs" in Lebanon. The news agency recalled that Qassem's
predecessor Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah -- who was killed in an Israeli air strike
on Beirut's southern suburbs in September 27 -- had held the same title.
Hezbollah is part of the "axis of resistance", an alliance of Iran-backed armed
groups opposed to Israel and its U.S. ally. Khamenei, who has the final say in
all matters of state in Iran, has representatives in all of Iran's provinces
with a mandate to collect religious funds and perform other duties. Qassem was
named Hezbollah leader in October after heir apparent Sayyed Hashem Safieddine
was killed in an Israeli strike shortly after Nasrallah's death. Hezbollah is to
hold a public funeral for both Nasrallah and Safieddine on February 23. It had
put off public commemorations for safety reasons until after a fragile ceasefire
with Israel took hold on November 27.
Destruction in south Lebanon's Yaroun: Israeli bombings, demolitions leave
historical sites in ruins
LBCI/February 5, 2025
Rooftops in the western neighborhood of Yaroun, many of which have been reduced
to rubble, are being traversed. From Rmeish's direction, access to the town
square is possible. Israeli demolitions, bombings, and battles have turned
archaeological and historical areas into disaster zones. Among the destroyed
sites are the shrine of Nabi Al-Khidr, the town’s cemeteries, the Husayniyya,
the church of Yaroun, and the rock of Sheikh and historic leader Nassif Nassar.
Old homes and buildings have been destroyed, and rubble has covered and altered
roads. The Lebanese army, entering from Rmeish, has begun clearing the area and
removing remnants of war. On the eastern side of the town square, Israeli forces
are deployed in Yaroun, extending toward the entrance of Bint Jbeil. Some areas
of Yaroun remain occupied, while others have been liberated. Meanwhile, a
similar situation is seen in Maroun El Ras, Meiss El Jabal, and Houla. The fully
occupied villages are primarily located to the east, including Blida, Markaba,
Odaisseh, and Kfarkela, and extending to Wazzani, passing through El Hamames
hill, Sarda, Aamra, Ain Arab, and Al Majidieh. In contrast, the fully liberated
villages are situated in the western sector, except for the Labbouneh hills,
Jabal Blat, and the outskirts of Marwahin. Central areas like Ramyeh, Qouzah,
Aita al-Shaab, and Aitaroun have also been liberated. In the eastern region,
Khiam is liberated, except for El Hamames hill. Kfarchouba and Shebaa are
liberated in the far east, with some land still contested on the outskirts. This
map was released less than two weeks before the deadline for the second phase of
Israel's withdrawal. On Tuesday, Israel began paving the way for freedom of
movement in the south, even in fully liberated towns. This similarly occurred in
Arkoub, where an Israeli force and tanks entered from Kfarchouba to Kfarhamam
for searches and inspections, despite the return of residents and the ongoing
presence of the Lebanese army.
To What Extent Does Nawaf Salam Adopt a Common Criteria?
Johnny Kortbawi/February 5, 2025
A quick assessment of the current situation shows that among the majority of MPs
who nominated Nawaf Salam to form the new government, only a few remain
satisfied with the prime minister-designate’s performance. So far, Salam has
managed to infuriate most of those who were on his side, while satisfying his
opponents, particularly Amal and Hezbollah, who believed they were “betrayed” as
soon as Salam was tasked with forming the new government. According to reports
yet to be confirmed, the Amal-Hezbollah duo reportedly secured the Ministry of
Finance, along with the Health, Labor and Environment portfolios, and succeeded
in imposing their own terms. Meanwhile, the Lebanese Forces have expressed
dissatisfaction for many reasons. They initially did not seek the Ministry of
Energy, but Salam insisted on assigning it to them. They demanded four
ministries in line with their parliamentary representation, while the Shiite
duo, with 27 MPs, secured five. Logically, a bloc with 20 MPs is entitled to
four ministries. Yet the Lebanese Forces only obtained two portfolios and the
“honorary” post of deputy prime minister. They requested a key ministry, being
the largest Christian political force in Parliament, but their request went
unheeded, knowing that in the previous governments, they couldn’t get a key
ministry because of Hezbollah’s opposition. The Free Patriotic Movement is
equally frustrated, finding its representation limited to the Ministries of
Tourism or Youth and Sports. The Moderation Bloc also raised objections,
demanding representation for the Akkar region and involvement in appointing
Sunni ministers, given that it comprises 11 of the 27 Sunni MPs in Parliament.
This demand, however, went unanswered. The Marada Movement further alienated
Najib Mikati by not nominating him, only to receive no support from Nawaf Salam
in the government formation process. The entire cabinet formation process is
riddled with contradictions. It seems impossible for the prime
minister-designate to satisfy all parties. But the biggest paradox is that he
only satisfied those who did not nominate him. He also didn’t comply with the
criteria he announced himself, such as the rotation of portfolios, the size of
the parliamentary blocs, the norms for the nomination of ministers or his
opposition to the government being a reduced version of the Parliament. In
reality, Salam prioritized the Shiite duo to avoid complications related to the
so-called consensual charter — even though it has no constitutional basis — and
to placate a Shiite community often depicted as “marginalized and abandoned.”
However, this portrayal is far from accurate because the Shiite community might
be the first to break free from Hezbollah’s military dominance and regain its
political autonomy. The prime minister-designate may believe he has a duty to
accommodate a supposedly marginalized community. But then, one can recall that
governments did ignore the marginalization of the Christian community from 1992
until the Syrian withdrawal, and later overlooked the Sunni community’s
grievances after the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafic Hariri.
Governments are not meant to satisfy partisan interests. Their formation should
be a national duty focused on assembling the best competencies and ensuring fair
political representation.
Qatar PM says to help Lebanon rebuild after government is
formed
Agence France Presse/February 5, 2025
Qatar's prime minister said during a visit to Beirut that Doha would help
Lebanon rebuild after a devastating Hezbollah-Israel war, but only after a new
government is formed. Reeling from years of crisis and a conflict, Lebanon has
pinned hopes on wealthy Gulf states to fund reconstruction, with Qatar having
been heavily involved in such efforts after the Hezbollah-Israel war of 2006.
"When it comes to economic support and support for reconstruction, there is no
doubt that the State of Qatar will be there," Prime Minister and Foreign
Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al-Thani told reporters
after meeting Lebanon's newly-elected President Joseph Aoun. "We look forward to
ongoing efforts to form a government, and after that, we will discuss these
files," Al-Thani said, adding that he looked forward to forming "a strategic
partnership" with Lebanon. Al-Thani is set to meet other senior officials during
what he described as a "visit of support", including prime minister-designate
Nawaf Salam, who has been tasked with forming a government, though efforts have
stalled. Qatar was among five countries, including the United States, France,
Saudi Arabia and Egypt, which lobbied heavily for Lebanon to elect a president
last month and end a two-year vacuum due to political deadlock. A fragile
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire has been in place since November 27, after more than
a year of hostilities including two months of all-out war. Al-Thani said it was
crucial for Israeli troops to "adhere to the agreement on the withdrawal... from
southern Lebanon."He also called for implementing a Security Council resolution
that states United Nations peacekeepers and the Lebanese Army should be the only
forces present in the country's south. Under the truce deal, Lebanon's military
was to deploy in the south alongside U.N. peacekeepers as the Israeli army
withdrew over a 60-day period. Hezbollah was also to pull back its forces north
of the Litani River -- about 30 kilometers (20 miles) from the border -- and
dismantle any remaining military infrastructure in the south. The withdrawal
period was extended to February 18 after the Israeli military missed the
original January 26 deadline. Both sides have repeatedly accused the other of
violations of the truce deal. Al-Thani also said Qatar would continue providing
humanitarian aid, as well as support for Lebanon's cash-strapped army.
Washington is the main financial backer of Lebanon's army but it also receives
support from other countries including Qatar, which has granted in-kind and
monetary aid.
Bassil says against 'isolating' Shiites or 'favoring' them
Naharnet/February 5, 2025
Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil has noted that the FPM supports the
principle of rotating ministerial portfolios. “No component or group should
monopolize any ministry, and we’re specifically against perpetuating the
allocation of the finance portfolio to the Shiite community, especially in light
of the bad practices we have witnessed,” Bassil said at a press conference. “The
FPM is against isolating or targeting any component, specifically Shiites, or
making them feel that there’s an attempt to make them lose politically as an
outcome of the (latest) war (with Israel), but this does not mean favoring them
over others in nominations or giving them what’s not being given to others as a
compensation to them,” Bassil added. As for the concerns that the FPM might join
Hezbollah, the Amal Movement, the Marada Movement and the Tashnag Party to wield
a one-third-plus-one veto power in cabinet, Bassil said: “We are not allies of
the Shiite Duo to work with them on toppling the government, and we’re also not
allies with what’s left of the opposition to work with it on that.”“We are not
allies with anyone and we are not enemies with anyone,” he stressed.
On LBCI, former minister Rashid Derbas proposes fund for Beirut blast victims
LBCI/February 5, 2025
In an interview on LBCI, former minister Rashid Derbas urged the establishment
of a fund to collect donations for temporary compensation for the families of
victims and those affected by the Beirut Port explosion. The fund would collect
contributions from both domestic and international sources until the
investigation process is concluded. Derbas also directed his comments to Prime
Minister-designate Nawaf Salam, stating, "Aren't you aware of the danger in what
[U.S. President Donald] Trump said about Israel? He referred to Israel as a
small country needing expansion, and that's when I realized that the slogan
'Your kingdom, Israel, from the Euphrates to the Nile' has become frighteningly
real."
ISF Foils Arms Smuggling From Syria
This is Beirut/February 5, 2025
The Internal Security Forces (ISF) announced that it has foiled an attempt to
smuggle weapons and ammunitions from Syria, and confiscated the arms transported
on board a four-wheel drive vehicle. In a press release issued on Wednesday, the
ISF stated that “as part of their mission to combat crime in all its forms, an
operation carried out by their units led, on January 11, to the arrest of an
individual driving a Jeep Grand Cherokee on the Dahr el-Baidar road, which links
the Bekaa region to Beirut. During the check, the car was seized after the ISF
discovered a substantial stock of weapons and ammunition.
The cargo contained rifles, pistols, magazines and ammunition. The suspect was
immediately referred to ISF’s Information Branch for further interrogation.
During the interrogation, the apprehended suspect, identified by his initials,
A.R., a Lebanese born in 1982, quickly confessed that he was transporting
weapons from Syria to Lebanon in the company of another individual, B.F., also
Lebanese, born in 1987. He explained that, after colliding with a pedestrian at
the Syrian customs checkpoint, B.F. was forced to get out of the vehicle at the
Lebanese border. On January 13, following investigations and surveillance, ISF
personnel successfully arrested the second suspect in the city of Aley. During
interrogation, he not only admitted his involvement in the attempted smuggling
operation, but also confessed to having taken part in five other similar
operations. “Upon interrogation, he admitted to participating in the arms
smuggling operation but claimed he hesitated to continue the journey after the
customs incident,” the statement added. Legal action was taken against the two
suspects, and the case was referred to the relevant judicial authorities. The
ISF further disclosed that the two suspects had been involved in at least five
similar smuggling operations, and efforts are ongoing to track down additional
individuals linked to the network.
Aoun Urges French Support for Israeli Withdrawal from South Lebanon
This is Beirut/February 5, 2025
President Joseph Aoun has called on France to support the complete withdrawal of
Israeli forces from South Lebanon and to pressure Israel to stop violating the
November 27 ceasefire agreement. During a meeting with French Ambassador to
Lebanon Hervé Magro and Vice-Chairman of the Ceasefire Supervisory Committee
General Guillaume Ponchin, Aoun urged Paris to exert diplomatic pressure to
secure the release of Lebanese detainees held by Israel before the February 18
deadline. This deadline was set for the Israeli withdrawal from Lebanese
villages where they still maintain a presence along the border. Meanwhile, on
the ground in southern Lebanon, Israeli troops and tanks remain stationed in the
al-Mufailha region, west of Mays al-Jabal, while Lebanese Army (LAF) personnel
are positioned just meters away on the western side.
Hezbollah official says US plans for Palestinians are 'criminal'
Reuters/February 5, 2025
An official from Hezbollah on Wednesday described U.S. plans to move
Palestinians out of the Gaza Strip as "criminal orders."The comments by Hussein
Moussawi, political advisor to the group's secretary general, were published in
a statement from Hezbollah.
President Donald Trump said on Tuesday the United States would take over Gaza
after Palestinians were resettled elsewhere and develop it economically. He was
speaking at a joint press conference with visiting Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu.
Aoun Receives Credentials of Four Ambassadors
This is Beirut/February 5, 2025
President Joseph Aoun officially received the credentials of four ambassadors to
Lebanon on Wednesday, marking the first such diplomatic procedure since his
election.
The ambassadors presenting their credentials included Herve Magro (France),
Sheikh Saud bin Abdulrahman Faisal Thani al-Thani (Qatar), Maria Hadjitheodosiou
(Cyprus) and Despina Koukoulopoulou (Greece). Notably, these diplomats had not
submitted their credentials for the past two years due to the presidential
vacuum that persisted in Lebanon following the end of former President Michel
Aoun’s term on October 31, 2022.
Lebanon: A State of Insecurity? Where Exactly?
Marc Saikali/This Is Beirut/February 05/2025
For the past few weeks, in a scattered yet synchronized manner, acts of
delinquency have been multiplying in certain neighborhoods of Beirut. Of course,
there’s no proof that these incidents are coordinated. However, in Lebanon,
there’s always a “but!” The profile of the targeted areas, the locations… strong
clues cast a dangerous shadow of suspicion. Businesses, nightlife spots,
establishments and individuals are being targeted in Achrafieh, Badaro… And some
people have been injured. Not to mention the heinous crime in Faraya and the
assassination of Archimandrite Kojanian. Sometimes, when criminals aren’t
enjoying certain “protections,” they’re arrested, but there’s always someone
ready to take over. The pool of bandits, of all kinds, is far from running dry.
The feeling of insecurity is growing alongside the anger of residents. They have
limited trust in the judicial system and are wondering where the municipal
police have gone. Therefore, what everyone fears is starting to unfold. People
are beginning to talk about self-defense, about coming together to protect their
property… a dangerous shift away from state control. Let’s be honest, the state
is preoccupied elsewhere, trying to form a government. Back to the familiar game
of political horse-trading. Every party is scrambling for as many “prime
positions” as it can get. A pinch of Shiite tandem here, a dash of the Free
Patriotic Movement there… The designated prime minister’s main task? To avoid
ruffling too many feathers while steering clear of the most “unacceptable”
names. It’s as if there had been no war. No defeat. No international pressure.
We’re recycling the same old faces and starting over… running in vicious
circles! To break this cycle, a little push is needed. And it's on the way. This
Thursday, Beirut is expecting the visit of Morgan Ortagus, who succeeds Amos
Hochstein as Donald Trump’s special envoy to Lebanon. One can’t exactly say her
personality is of any convenience to irresolute and procrastinating Lebanese
politicians. She will surely demand strong actions and, chances are, she’ll be
back regularly to shake up the current apathy. What will she talk about? A
government in which Hezbollah doesn’t call the shots, respect for UN
resolutions, the disarmament of militias, support for the Lebanese army, the
looming February 18 deadline, marking the end of the extended Israeli withdrawal
and the truce… The list is long. Meanwhile, the Lebanese, not just those in the
capital city, will continue to keep a close eye on the delinquents lurking
around—as if an invisible hand is trying to divert their attention. Paul Valéry
once said, “Politics is the art of preventing people from engaging with what
concerns them.” And here we are.
Is Hope Bound to Lead to Disillusionment?
David Sahyoun/This Is Beirut/February 05/2025
Is hope bound to lead to disillusionment? This fundamental question shapes our
individual and collective lives, from the intimacy of the psychoanalytic couch
to the political upheavals that shake public squares, to the conjugal bedrooms
where the dramas of love unfold. Psychoanalysis, through its various theoretical
currents, offers valuable insight into understanding this relentless dialectic
between hope and disillusionment. Just as Freud contrasts the existence of two
realities that govern us—the reality of the psyche, primarily governed by our
unconscious, and that of the external world—he also introduces the “reality
principle” as a necessary counterpoint to the “pleasure principle,” subjecting
the human psyche to a fundamental and continuous tension between desire and its
limitation, foreshadowing the dynamic between hope and disillusionment.
Childhood is the crucible where the hope-disillusionment dynamic is forged. From
birth, the child experiences expectations, often accompanied by an illusion of
omnipotence. However, the child must quickly deal with the frustration
experienced in the “loss of the object” (the mother). The emergence of this
feeling is a crucial step in their development. A little later, with the
transition from a position marked by the splitting of the object, still the
mother, into good and bad, the child will learn to recognize that these two
aspects actually belong to the same object, thus constituting a structuring
disillusionment, integrating the ambivalence of reality.
With Lacan’s “mirror stage,” the child, around 7 or 8 months old, gains access
to a first form of idealized identity, with a part of foundational illusion.
This stage marks the entry into the symbolic order, where the subject structures
itself around an idealized image of itself. But this imaginary identification
carries within it the seed of disillusionment because it is based on a
fundamental misunderstanding of the division of the subject. Another decisive
contribution is made by Winnicott with his concept of the “transitional object”
and his theory of the “good enough mother.” The transitional object (such as a
security blanket) is the child’s first attempt to manage the separation from the
mother, creating an intermediary space between the illusion of fusion and the
reality of separation. This “transitional space” will later become a model for
all societal, cultural and creative spaces where the adult can invest their
hopes without falling into total delusion. In adulthood, this dynamic finds a
particular echo in romantic relationships, where the loved one is often invested
with a near-magical aura, a promise of flawless happiness. But love cannot
escape disillusionment. The encounter with the other’s alterity, the discovery
of their imperfections, will shake the ideal forged in the early stages of love.
Elaborating on this disillusionment, mourning the idealized love to access a
more mature and lucid love will prove crucial for maintaining the relationship.
But if this dialectic of hope and disillusionment permeates our intimate lives
from childhood and in our romantic relationships, it also finds a striking echo
in the political sphere, particularly in our Lebanese society. The confessional
structure of this society, inherited from a complex history and often
devastating communal tensions, fosters a dependency on religious and political
leaders. These leaders are viewed as paternal figures invested with a
quasi-messianic savior mission, entrusted with defending the interests of their
community and carrying their hopes. However, they are just human beings, divided
and limited, like everyone else. Similarly to what is happening now, citizens
project onto these leaders a chimera-like thought, similar to what the child
develops toward their parents, oscillating between exalted hope and violent
rejection. Each citizen places in the leader the hope for recognition,
protection or even revenge on other communities. But this excessive expectation
can only clash with the reality of power dynamics and political compromises. The
disillusionment that results then fuels a cycle of frustration and identity
retreat, with each clan feeling betrayed by leaders who are incompetent and
corrupt to the core.
The dependency relationship thus created prevents the emergence of an autonomous
civic consciousness, capable of transcending confessional divides. The Lebanese
political structure can be understood as an institutionalization of what Lacan
calls the “master's discourse,” where the leader occupies a position of
authority that masks the structural division of the subject. This discourse
maintains the illusion of possible social harmony, while in reality, it is based
on submission to an all-powerful master, obscuring the conflicts and
contradictions that run through both individuals and society.
Lebanon does not have a monopoly on this logic of the master. It can be found,
in various forms, in many countries in the region. From the cult of personality
surrounding certain leaders to the dominance of tribal or religious
affiliations, the idealization of authority figures seems to respond to a deep
need to believe in the mirage of a father of the tribe, imposing a stable and
protective order. But this quest for an all-powerful father, whether in the form
of a political leader, religious figure or even an ideology, can only lead to
disenchantment. For no master and no ideology can permanently patch up the
cracks of a system that generates corruption, division and exclusion.
The political disillusionment that runs through Lebanon cannot be reduced to a
mere loss of confidence in failing leaders. It reveals a deeper crisis of
representation and identification mechanisms that structure these Middle Eastern
societies. As long as individuals remain prisoners of an infantilizing
conception of power, projecting their hopes and frustrations onto the masters of
the day, the sobering-up will remain the price to pay for being misguided.
Literature and cinema are full of examples illustrating this dialectic of hope
and disillusionment, reflecting our own humanity and inviting us to reflect on
the human condition. Flaubert’s Madame Bovary paradigmatically embodies the
quest for an idealized love and the painful confrontation with prosaic reality.
Fitzgerald’s The Great Gatsby shows how the American dream crashes against the
impossibility of reclaiming an idealized past. In cinema, Fellini’s La Dolce
Vita or Sam Mendes’ American Beauty sharply explore the tension between the
characters’ aspirations and the mediocrity of their existence.
In the end, we can say that disillusionment, far from being a mere accident, may
constitute a necessary moment in individual and collective psychic development.
For the issue is not to avoid it, but to make it an object of elaboration and
creativity. In a context like the Middle East, this work takes on particular
significance. The challenge, which we have faced for many years, is to transform
social and political structures while allowing the emergence of new forms of
social connection that no longer rely on the massive idealization of leaders.
This requires abandoning the childish illusions of an all-powerful master in
order to assume civic responsibility in building a common future together.
Perhaps true psychological maturity, both individual and collective, lies
precisely in this ability to maintain a lucid hope, conscious of its limits, but
no less vibrant.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on February 05-06/2025
Trump says he's given advisers instructions for Iran to be
'obliterated' if it assassinates him
Michelle L. Price, Aamer Madhani And Zeke Miller/The Associated Press/ 05/2025
President Donald Trump said Tuesday that he's given his advisers instructions to
obliterate Iran if it assassinates him. “If they did that they would be
obliterated,” Trump said in an exchange with reporters while signing an
executive order calling for the U.S. government to impose maximum pressure on
Tehran. "I’ve left instructions if they do it, they get obliterated, there won’t
be anything left.”The Justice Department announced in federal charges in
November that an Iranian plot to kill Trump before the presidential election had
been thwarted.. The department alleged Iranian officials had instructed Farhad
Shakeri, 51, in September to focus on surveilling and ultimately assassinating
Trump. Shakeri is still at large in Iran.
Iran praises US for cutting foreign aid funding as it looks
for a Trump message on nuclear talks
Nasser Karimi And Jon Gambrell/TEHRAN, Iran (AP)/February 05/2025
Iran's government seems to be welcoming some recent decisions by the
United States — even though they happen to come from a man Iranian operatives
have allegedly been plotting to assassinate. President Donald Trump's moves to
freeze spending on foreign aid and overhaul, maybe even end, the U.S. Agency for
International Development have been lauded in Iranian state media.
The reports say the decisions will halt funding for opponents of the country's
Shiite theocracy — pro-democracy activists and others supported through programs
as part of U.S. government's efforts to help democracy worldwide. At the same
time, Iranian officials appear to be signaling that they are waiting for a
message from Trump on whether he wants to negotiate over Tehran's rapidly
advancing nuclear program. At stake are potentially billions of dollars withheld
from Iran through crushing sanctions and the future of a program on the
precipice of enriching weapons-grade uranium.
And even when signing an executive order to reimpose his “maximum pressure on
Iran” on Tuesday, Trump suggested he wanted to deal with Tehran. Meanwhile,
ordinary Iranians worry what all this could mean for them. “It encourages
hard-liners inside Iran to continue repressions because they feel the U.S. would
have less capability in supporting Iranian people who seek freedom,” said Maryam
Faraji, a 27-year-old waitress in a coffee shop in northern Tehran. Iranian
media say Trump's cuts could stop the opposition in Iran. The state-run IRNA
news agency said that “cutting the budget of foreign-based opposition” could
“affect the sphere of relations” between Tehran and Washington. Newspapers, like
the conservative Hamshhari daily, described Iran's opposition as
“counterrevolutionaries” who had been “celebrating" Trump's election as
heralding the "last days of life of the Islamic Republic.”
They then "suddenly faced the surprise of cut funding from their employer,” the
newspaper crowed. Even the reformist newspaper Hammihan compared it to a “cold
shower” for opponents of Iran's theocracy abroad, an idea also expressed by the
Foreign Ministry. “Those financial resources are not charity donations," Esmail
Bagahei, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman, said during a briefing with
reporters on Monday. “They are wages paid in exchange for services." "This is a
clear sign of America’s interventionist policy particularly during the Biden
administration, which tried to pressure Iran and meddle in its domestic affairs
through financial aid,” Bagahei added.
It remains unclear how funding for Iranian activists and opposition figures
would be affected by the USAID decision.
The lion's share of money for civil society in Iran has come through the U.S.
State Department's Near East Regional Democracy fund, known by the acronym NERD,
which grew as an American response to the Green Movement protests in 2009.
In 2024, the Biden administration requested $65 million for NERD after over $600
million had been appropriated by Congress for the fund, according to the
Congressional Research Service. That money and other funding had gone in the
past toward training journalists and activists on how to report on human rights
abuses, funding access to the internet amid government shutdowns and other
issues. The State Department did not respond to a request for comment over the
NERD funding and its future. American officials for years have kept the awardees
of NERD grants secret due to what they describe as the risk activists face from
Iran, particularly after Iranian intelligence officers have allegedly targeted
in kidnapping or assassination plots, U.S. prosecutors say.
Iran repeatedly hints it's ready to talk to Trump
Iran also noticed that the U.S. avoided direct criticism of the Islamic Republic
during a review by the United Nations Human Rights Council meeting in Geneva
last week. For those in Iran's government, there's anticipation this could mean
that Trump is willing to negotiate, something he repeatedly brought up in his
election campaign as a possibility.
Even Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has final say on all
state matters, in a speech in September opened the door to talks with the U.S.,
saying there is “no harm” in engaging with the “enemy.” More recently, he
tempered that, warning that sinister plots could still be “concealed behind
diplomatic smiles.”“We must be careful about who we are dealing with, who we are
negotiating with, and who we are speaking to," Khamenei said last week. While
Bagahei, the Foreign Ministry spokesman, acknowledged Iran hasn't seen any
“green light” yet for talks, Iran is trying to do everything it can to signal it
wants them. The country's reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian, who campaigned
on outreach to the West, urged officials on Monday to listen to dissent from the
Iranian people and avoid further crackdowns like those that followed the 2022
death of Mahsa Amini. “The enemies are hoping that by stirring up disputes
within the country, they will throw people into the streets and then ride the
wave of protests themselves," Pezeshkian said. As he signed the executive order
on Iran on Tuesday, Trump warned the country would be “obliterated” if he was
assassinated by Tehran. But he still left the door open for talks.
“I’m going to sign it, but hopefully we’re not going to have to use it very
much,” he said from the Oval Office. “We will see whether or not we can arrange
or work out a deal with Iran.”“We don’t want to be tough on Iran. We don’t want
to be tough on anybody," Trump added. "But they just can’t have a nuclear
bomb.”However, factions within Iran's theocracy are still likely to oppose
talks, whether out of their own self interest or over anger that Trump ordered
the 2020 drone strike that killed Gen. Qassem Soleimani, the country's top
general and a revered figure. That killing fueled Iranian calls for Trump's
assassination — and alleged plots against him. In November, the Justice
Department disclosed an Iranian murder-for-hire plot to kill Trump. While Iran
denied being involved, Tehran has a history of plotting the killing of opponents
abroad. "This will not have any impact on the factions that oppose talks with
the U.S. but maybe some moderates find it as an excuse to say that Trump is
taking some steps,” Iranian political analyst Ahmad Zeiabadi said.
For now though, much of this can seem as conjecture and theorizing to many of
Iran's over 80 million people who continue to struggle in the grips of the
country's ailing economy. Tehran taxi driver Gholanhossein Akbari, 27, insisted
Iranians like him never benefitted from U.S. support of Iran’s pro-democracy
activists abroad. "We did not see any result from the funds the U.S. paid to
foreign-based Iranian activists who only make comments in the media,” Akbari
said.
Turkey, Iraq, Syria, Jordan aim to jointly tackle Islamic
State, Ankara says
Reuters/Wed, February 5, 2025
Turkey, Iraq, Syria and Jordan will take steps toward jointly combating Islamic
State in the region and they aim to hold a first meeting on the issue in Jordan,
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Wednesday.
Since the ousting of former Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad in December, Western and regional countries have warned of a possible
resurgence of Islamic State.
Thousands of members of the militant Islamist group are being
held in prison camps in northeast Syria. Fidan told Turkey's state-owned Anadolu
news agency that the four countries had reached a preliminary agreement for
closer cooperation involving their foreign and defence ministries and
intelligence agencies. The four countries plan to take measures on border
security, he added, though he did not say but did not say when the first meeting
would take place. The U.S.-allied Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) are guarding
the Islamic State prison camps in northeast Syria. Turkey regards the SDF and
the YPG militia which spearheads the group as terrorists, and says the prisons
must be handed over to Syria's new leadership. Ankara has repeatedly said it
would support the new Syrian administration - which is friendly toward Turkey -
in its battle against both Islamic State and the YPG, while calling for a joint
battle against them. On Tuesday, President Tayyip Erdogan hosted Syria's newly
appointed president, Ahmed al-Sharaa, in Ankara for talks on steps to be taken
against Kurdish militants and other issues.
Trump says wants Iran deal
and 'big Middle East Celebration when it is signed'
Agence France Presse/February 5, 2025
U.S. President Donald Trump said Wednesday that Iran "cannot have a Nuclear
Weapon", a day after he signed an order reinstating a "maximum pressure" policy
against Tehran over allegations that it was trying to develop such weapons. "I
want Iran to be a great and successful Country, but one that cannot have a
Nuclear Weapon," he said in a post on his Truth Social platform, adding: "I
would much prefer a Verified Nuclear Peace Agreement, which will let Iran
peacefully grow and prosper.""We should start working on it immediately, and
have a big Middle East Celebration when it is signed and completed. God Bless
the Middle East!" Trump added. He also said reports that the United States,
"working in conjunction with Israel, is going to blow Iran into smithereens"
were "GREATLY EXAGGERATED."
Islamic State members held for years in a Syria prison say
they know nothing of the world
The Associated Press/Wed, February 5, 2025
Men of various ages and nationalities sit silently in their cells, a small
window in the metal doors their only opening to the world. All are alleged
members of the Islamic State group, captured during the final days of the
extremists' so-called caliphate declared in large parts of Iraq and Syria.
The Gweiran Prison, now called Panorama has held about 4,500 IS-linked detainees
for years. The Associated Press was given an exclusive visit to the prison,
nearly two months after the fall of the 54-year Assad dynasty in Syria — an
upheaval the detainees might not even know about as prison officials try to
limit outside information.
Syrian President Bashar Assad's ouster during a lightning insurgent offensive in
December has led to new attention, and new pressures, on such detention centers
in the country's northeast that have been holding some 9,000 IS members without
trial.
The centers are guarded by members of the U.S.-backed and Kurdish-led Syrian
Democratic Forces that in March 2019 captured the last sliver of land that IS
members once held, the eastern town of Baghouz.
SDF chief commander Mazloum Abdi told the AP that after the fall of Assad, IS
members captured large amounts of weapons in eastern Syria from posts abandoned
by forces loyal to the former president.
An SDF security official warned that the extremists might attack detention
facilities and try to free their comrades. He spoke on condition of anonymity in
line with regulations.
The detainees are “a literal and figurative ‘ISIS army’ in detention," Gen.
Michael Erik Kurilla, commander of the U.S. Central Command, said during a visit
to Syria last month. The prison visit occurred in a corridor with six cells on
each side and with masked guards holding clubs. A window in a cell door was
opened, and the detainees were told they could speak briefly to journalists.
A young man moved forward and identified himself as Maher, a nurse from
Melbourne, Australia. Prison authorities asked that only first names be used.
“I’d love to go back to Australia,” the man said, adding that he was not
arrested in 2019 in Baghouz but gave himself up when the U.S.-led coalition
opened a humanitarian corridor. “I didn’t do anything to anyone. I’ve been here
for seven years without judgement. Without anything,” he said, and expressed
regret for “a lot of things.”
Maher said he married a Syrian woman and has two sons, and they are at one of
the camps housing families of IS members in northeast Syria. He said he has not
had information about them, and that he sent a letter to his parents via the
International Committee of the Red Cross and never received an answer.
The security of the detention centers is a growing question since Assad's fall.
One of the most serious threats to the centers came in January 2022 when IS
gunmen stormed the prison, leading to 10 days of battles with the SDF that left
nearly 500 people dead. The prison, formerly the classrooms of a technical
school, was later renovated with the help of the U.S.-led coalition. Security
was tight when the AP visited, with armed fighters stationed on roads leading to
the facility.
But SDF officials have said that recent clashes between their fighters and
Turkey-backed gunmen in northern Syria, which coincided with the insurgent
offensive that led to Assad's fall, are affecting their ability to protect the
prisons.
During a visit to Turkey last month by Syria’s foreign minister, Asaad al-Shibani,
his Turkish counterpart Hakan Fidan told reporters that Ankara was ready to help
Syrian authorities manage the detention centers as well as the camps where more
than 40,000 people, many of them women and children, with alleged IS links are
held.
But the SDF chief commander didn't welcome the idea.
“The way Turkey can help is to stop its attacks on us so that we concentrate on
the protection of al-Hol and the prisons,” Abdi said.
He added that the fate of al-Hol and other prisons can be solved within Syria.
The country's future is being discussed in talks between the SDF, which controls
nearly 25% of Syria, and the new government in Damascus led by the Hayat Tahrir
al-Sham group.
Inside the cells, the men wait for word on their own fate.
A British prisoner from London who asked that his name not be made public said
he wants to return to Britain and stand trial there. He was 18 when he came to
Syria a decade ago after seeing media reports on “the killings of kids” by
Assad’s government forces during a popular uprising that turned into civil war.
He said he later wanted to leave Syria but could not.
“Once you enter (IS) it's hard to leave,” he said.
He claimed he had not been a fighter but bought and sold cars while living in
IS-held areas. He said all men captured by the SDF in the Baghouz area in early
2019 were classified as IS members.
Seven years have passed in detention.
“To survive a day in this place is a miracle," he said, adding that he and
fellow detainees know nothing of the world now, not even the date.
Asked what day it was, he replied: “We are in early 2025.”
Bassem Mroue, The Associated Press
Gaza is in ruins, and it's
unclear how it will be rebuilt
Joseph Krauss/February 5, 2025
Palestinians in the Gaza Strip are eager to leave miserable tent camps and
return to their homes if a long-awaited ceasefire agreement in the Israel-Hamas
war holds, but many will find there is nothing left and no way to rebuild.
Israeli bombardment and ground operations have transformed entire neighborhoods
in several cities into rubble-strewn wastelands, with blackened shells of
buildings and mounds of debris stretching away in all directions. Major roads
have been plowed up. Critical water and electricity infrastructure is in ruins.
Most hospitals no longer function. And it's unclear when — or even if — much
will be rebuilt. That's particularly come into question as U.S. President Donald
Trump suggested that displaced Palestinians in Gaza be permanently resettled
outside the war-torn territory and that the United States take “ownership” of
the enclave. The agreement for the phased ceasefire and the release of hostages
held by Hamas-led militants does not say who will govern Gaza after the war, or
whether Israel and Egypt will lift a blockade limiting the movement of people
and goods that they imposed when Hamas seized power in 2007. The United Nations
says that it could take more than 350 years to rebuild if the blockade remains.
Two-thirds of all structures destroyed
The full extent of the damage will only be known when the fighting ends and
inspectors have full access to the territory. The most heavily destroyed part of
Gaza, in the north, had been sealed off and largely depopulated by Israeli
forces in an operation that began in early October. Using satellite data, the
United Nations estimated last month that 69% of the structures in Gaza have been
damaged or destroyed, including over 245,000 homes. The World Bank estimated
$18.5 billion in damage — nearly the combined economic output of the West Bank
and Gaza in 2022 — from just the first four months of the war. Israel blames the
destruction on Hamas, which ignited the war with its Oct. 7, 2023, attack into
Israel, killing some 1,200 people, mostly civilians, and abducting another 250.
Israel's retaliatory offensive has killed over 47,000 Palestinians, more than
half of them women and children, according to Gaza's Health Ministry, which does
not say how many of the dead were fighters. Israel says it has killed over
17,000 militants, without providing evidence. The military has released photos
and video footage showing that Hamas built tunnels and rocket launchers in
residential areas, and often operated in and around homes, schools and mosques.
Mountains of rubble to be moved
Before anything can be rebuilt, the rubble must be removed — a staggering task
in itself. The U.N. estimates that the war has littered Gaza with over 50
million tons of rubble — roughly 12 times the size of the Great Pyramid of Giza.
With over 100 trucks working full time, it would take over 15 years to clear the
rubble away, and there is little open space in the narrow coastal territory that
is home to some 2.3 million Palestinians. Carting the debris away will also be
complicated by the fact that it contains huge amounts of unexploded ordnance and
other harmful materials, as well as human remains. Gaza's Health Ministry says
thousands of people killed in airstrikes are still buried under the rubble.
No plan for the day after
The rubble clearance and eventual rebuilding of homes will require billions of
dollars and the ability to bring construction materials and heavy equipment into
the territory — neither of which is assured. The ceasefire agreement calls for a
three- to five-year reconstruction project to begin in its final phase, after
all the remaining 100 hostages have been released and Israeli troops have
withdrawn from the territory. But getting to that point will require agreement
on the second and most difficult phase of the deal, which still must be
negotiated. Even then, the ability to rebuild will depend on the blockade, which
critics have long decried as a form of collective punishment. Israel says it is
needed to prevent Hamas from rebuilding its military capabilities, noting that
cement and metal pipes can also be used for tunnels and rockets. Israel might be
more inclined to lift the blockade if Hamas were no longer in power, but there
are no plans for an alternative government. The United States and much of the
international community want a revitalized Palestinian Authority to govern the
West Bank and Gaza with the support of Arab countries ahead of eventual
statehood. But that's a nonstarter for Israel's government, which is opposed to
a Palestinian state and has ruled out any role in Gaza for the Western-backed
authority. International donors are unlikely to invest in an ungoverned
territory that has seen five wars in less than two decades, which means the
sprawling tent camps along the coast could become a permanent feature of life in
Gaza.
French president is first
EU head of state to call new Syrian leader
ARAB NEWS/February 06, 2025
LONDON: French President Emmanuel Macron on Wednesday called Ahmad Al-Sharaa,
the new leader of the Syrian Arab Republic, and congratulated him on assuming
the presidency. The telephone call was the first from a head of state of an EU
nation to the new leadership since Bashar Assad fled to Moscow in December amid
the collapse of his family’s 54-year rule. Macron congratulated Al-Sharaa on
“liberating the country … from the Assad regime” and expressed his full support
for the transition of power in Damascus, the Syrian Arab News Agency reported.
Macron also emphasized France’s efforts to ensure Western sanctions on Syria are
lifted, and its support for the country’s territorial sovereignty. He invited
Al-Sharaa to visit France in the coming weeks. Al-Sharaa, elected president by
rebel groups on Jan. 29 for the transitional phase, said Syria would play a
positive role in efforts to ensure stability in the region. He thanked France
for supporting the Syrian people over the past 14 years of civil war. The
leaders also discussed the security challenges facing Syria, the Assad-era
international sanctions that weakened the economy, and the challenges associated
with rebuilding the country. Syria was a French colony from 1919 until 1946.
During that time, Alawite and Druze minorities established small states that
were eventually incorporated into the Syrian state.
CIA sends ‘buyout’ offers
to entire workforce
Katie Bo Lillis and Kaitlan Collins, CNN/February 5, 2025
The Central Intelligence Agency on Tuesday became the first major national
security agency to offer so-called buyouts to its entire workforce, a CIA
spokesperson and two other sources familiar with the offer said, part of
President Donald Trump’s broad effort to shrink the federal government and shape
it to his agenda. The offer — which tells federal employees that they can quit
their jobs and receive roughly eight months of pay and benefits — had up until
Tuesday not been made available to most national security roles in an apparent
cognizance of their critical function to the security of the nation.
CIA Director John Ratcliffe personally decided he also wanted the CIA to be
involved, one of the sources said. The spokesperson said that the move is part
of Ratcliffe’s efforts to “ensure the CIA workforce is responsive to the
Administration’s national security priorities,” adding that is “part of a
holistic strategy to infuse the Agency with renewed energy.”Still, even as the
offer was sent to the entire workforce at the agency, it was not immediately
clear whether all would be allowed to take it. Some specific occupations and
areas of expertise appear likely to be restricted, one of the sources familiar
with the offer said, suggesting that the effort is far less sweeping than in
civil service agencies that are not considered to be doing national security
work. There’s also a caveat for Ratcliffe to retain flexibility to work through
the timing of officer departures in critical areas, according to another source
familiar with the matter.
The Office of Personnel Management had issued internal guidance last week that
some officers at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence may be able
to participate in the program but that not all positions at the ODNI will
necessarily be eligible, according to two other sources familiar with the
communications. The decision to include the CIA in the program appears to be a
recent one: As of last week, the CIA workforce was still being advised that
officials were trying to determine whether they would be eligible for the
program, one of those sources said. The broad CIA offer was first reported by
the Wall Street Journal. Trump and his allies have claimed at different points
that intelligence officers at the CIA have been part of a “deep state”
determined to undermine him, and some critics have described the deferred
resignation program as a purge – something Trump officials have denied. Some
national security officials in Trump’s orbit believe that the CIA in recent
years has become too heavily weighted towards analysis at the expense of
clandestinely collecting intelligence and carrying out covert operations –
functions of the agency’s much smaller Directorate of Operations.
Ratcliffe during his confirmation hearing vowed to reinvest in both.
“To the brave CIA officers listening all around the world, if all of this sounds
like what you signed up for, then buckle up and get ready to make a difference,”
he said in his opening statement. “If it doesn’t, then it’s time to find a new
line of work.”The deferred resignation program has caused an uproar across
government. The controversial offer, which unions have urged members not to
accept, was unveiled in a mass email from the OPM to federal employees on
January 28. The Trump administration is now planning widespread layoffs among
the federal workforce soon, leaving employees across the government who don’t
accept the deferred resignation offer at risk of losing their jobs. The layoffs,
which are being referred to internally as sweeping “Reductions in Force,” are
expected to begin soon after the Thursday deadline that the Office of Personnel
Management set for workers to accept the resignation package, officials said.
The package allows them to leave voluntarily and be paid through September 30
but not have to continue working. It was not clear whether those same terms
applied to the offer sent to the CIA workforce.
The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on February 05-06/2025
What Is Really Destroying Europe? The EU.
Drieu Godefridi/Gatestone Institute./February 05/2025
The truth is that the reduction in CO2 emissions in Europe is almost exclusively
due to industry leaving Europe. That is the dirty little secret of the Green
Deal: Europe is reducing its CO2 emissions to the extent and in proportion to
the destruction of its industry.
The EU elite has lost control of the narrative. Europeans are turning away from
the lies and myths of the Green Deal en masse.
Given the absence of precise definitions, the censors do whatever they want....
In practice, these censors massively quash so-called "right-wing" content, while
leaving the abundant anti-Semitic, Islamist and Marxist literature untouched.
[T]he EU is, in reality, a Potemkin democracy. It looks like a democracy, but is
in fact an authoritarian bureaucracy. There is no election by the citizens of a
parliament worthy of the name, no transparency, no recourses and, it seems, no
way of eliminating the organization or any part of it. European citizens can
vote as they please, but it is a self-appointed elite within the European
institutions who decide the future of Europe. These "elites" will do anything to
keep themselves and their ideology in power.
In addition, Qatar has massively infiltrated the European Parliament, buying
parliamentarians to promote its interests and its Islamist vision of the world.
Can one measure the sense of alienation that must be felt by Europeans, forced
to finance a corrupt bureaucracy working against their interests?
When it comes to migration, the economy, free speech and democracy, the EU is
not the solution to any problem. The EU is the problem.
The truth is that the reduction in CO2 emissions in Europe is almost exclusively
due to industry leaving Europe. That is the dirty little secret of the Green
Deal: Europe is reducing its CO2 emissions to the extent and in proportion to
the destruction of its industry. (Image source: iStock/Getty Images)
The founding idea of the European Union was to build, through shared prosperity,
solidarity and a sense of shared destiny among the nations of Europe. That was
why three communities were formed: the economy, coal and steel, and nuclear
energy. Until around 2000, in terms of growth and innovation, the European
economy, year in, year out, was on par with the American one.
Of that initial -- and fairly brilliant -- gesture of "peace through
prosperity," literally nothing remains. None of the EU's current leaders cares
about the financial well-being of Europeans. Coal is regarded as the devil's
fuel, and nuclear energy is abhorred by Europe's elites, who say they prefer the
inefficient and erratic wind turbines. Since 2000, the European economy has been
mired in stagnation, which has worsened since 2008 and threatens to reach its
height in the coming years -- ending in the destruction of Europe.
Green Deal
The EU is a web of institutions with which an American would find nothing
familiar, so let us just say that this web is dominated by one institution: the
European Commission. It is a kind of European "government'" with a monopoly on
legislative initiatives. Nothing is voted on in the EU without the Commission's
assent.The Commission makes no secret of the fact that its absolute priority is
the Green Deal: to turn Europe into a "Carbon Neutral Society" by 2050. This
means achieving a balance between the greenhouse gas emissions produced and
those absorbed by natural or technological carbon sinks. The EU's key strategies
to achieve this balance include reducing emissions by massively increasing the
use of "renewable energy" sources such as solar, wind, hydro and biomass,
improving the energy efficiency of buildings, vehicles and industries, and
moving towards low- or zero-emission industrial processes, particularly in
steel, cement and chemicals. They also aim to develop carbon capture and storage
(CCS) technologies to absorb and store CO2 from combustion sources or from the
air. Carbon dioxide captured is typically stored in geological formations such
as depleted natural gas fields, or old coal mines. In Europe, the North Sea
seabed serves as an ideal location for carbon storage.
The problem is that these CCS technologies are extremely expensive. Imposing
them in the gigantic way that zero-carbon requires implies additional costs that
are impossible for any developed economy to digest. That is probably why these
fantastical CCS technologies play such a marginal role in Europe. The truth is
that the reduction in CO2 emissions in Europe is almost exclusively due to
industry leaving Europe. That is the dirty little secret of the Green Deal:
Europe is reducing its CO2 emissions to the extent and in proportion to the
destruction of its industry.
The industry destroyed in Europe, however, is immediately reborn elsewhere in
the world: in East Asia, South America and, of course, the United States. This
means that the CO2 emissions destroyed in Europe reappear as if by magic
somewhere else -- before the products of that particular industry are
re-exported to Europe. In the majority of cases -- because transporting anything
emits CO2 -- the balance sheet in terms of this European sleight of hand in
reducing global CO2 emissions is negative.
The stated motive and reason for being of the Green Deal is to save the climate,
which in European circles is often spelled with a capital C – "Climate" -- which
says a lot about the religiosity of the whole approach. To "save the planet," we
are told, we need to reduce CO2 emissions.
The only technological way we know so far to reduce CO2 emissions is by nuclear
power. The EU "elites," however, hate nuclear power: their real objective is not
to mitigate climate change and "save the planet", but to force an exit from
capitalism and return to the subsistence economy that has always been the
ambition, the dream and the horizon of environmentalists -- long before there
was any talk of global warming. "Capitalism is killing the Planet", wrote The
Guardian.
Freedom of speech
If there is one reality that leaders whose power is founded on myths abhor, it
is transparency. Whereas in 2020, the power of the American legacy media still
allowed it to make people believe that Hunter Biden's laptop was a Russian
disinformation operation, over the last few years, this power was been reduced
to shreds. The same shift is happening in Europe, under the influence not of
European social media networks, because they do not exist, but of American ones,
such as X. The EU elite has lost control of the narrative. Europeans are turning
away from the lies and myths of the Green Deal en masse.
This is what the EU cannot tolerate. By adopting the Digital Services Act (DSA),
the EU wanted to give itself an instrument with which to subdue the American
platforms, and are obliged to fund hordes of censors to hunt down content that
disagrees with the European Queen-Commission. The EU has been requiring a fine
of 6% of worldwide revenue from social media companies, which would inevitably
kill off the platforms.
These faceless censor-hunters, who are accountable to no one, are supposed to
remove all content that is hateful, discriminatory or transphobic. None of these
vague terms can be rigorously defined. Given the absence of precise definitions,
the censors do whatever they want. The arbitrariness is total. In practice,
these censors massively quash so-called "right-wing" content, while leaving the
abundant anti-Semitic, Islamist and Marxist literature untouched.
That, apparently, is the whole point. The European Left, like the American Left,
devotes unlimited antagonism to anything that does not think like it, talk like
it, dream, eat or work like it.
By introducing legislation such as the DSA, Europe is asserting itself as a
major player in the censorship camp, following the example of China, Iran,
Russia and Islamist countries, and contributing to the de-civilization of the
European continent. After all, isn't freedom the definition, the reason for
being and the sole distinguishing criterion of Western civilization?
Open borders
Not a week goes by in Europe without an illegal immigrant, a recent migrant, an
asylum seeker or an Afghan who is here without anyone knowing in what capacity,
deliberately mowing down pedestrians, stabbing young women or massacring infants
and young children in a crib. Europe is experiencing the worst crisis of
migratory anarchy since the Norman and Islamic invasions of the High Middle
Ages.
This anarchy is not a natural calamity. It is the result of a series of
political decisions, shared between the EU, the European Court of Human Rights
and the member states. The EU in particular, being a borderless market, has
created and developed an external border guard service, FRONTEX. The problem is
that, as European law currently stands (EU + ECHR), these border guards
essentially provide a free ferry service between Africa and Europe. European law
expressly prohibits them from turning back illegal immigrants when they are
intercepted. They are obliged to bring them into the European Union so that they
can exercise all their "rights".
In Europe, even more than in the USA, once an illegal immigrant is in the
country, in the overwhelming majority of cases, they stay -- millions of them.
Europeans watch in amazement as their proud cities -- Paris, Berlin, Brussels,
Rome, London -- undergo demographic metamorphoses in real time, while
hate-filled crowds march regularly through their streets shouting anti-Semitic
slogans, "death to the Jews" and other benedictions borrowed from their friendly
native culture.
Can the EU be saved?
One reason for democracy to exist is to allow a peaceful change of leadership
and policy. In the last European Parliament elections, Europeans voted massively
to the right, evidently in reaction and fury against the policies of the
European Commission under Ursula von der Leyen. What enraged voters is the Green
Deal, which makes energy unaffordable, and the migratory chaos, now heavily
tinged with Islamism and hatred of Jews.
What came out of those elections? A new von der Leyen Commission! With a
different program? No, with a program that is even more radical,
environmentalist and censorious than the first von der Leyen Commission. It is
as if Americans voted 60% Republican, and the president then appointed was a
socialist. How can this be, when Europe claims to swear by "democracy"?
Because of two factors, it seems. The first: the largest group in the European
Parliament is the centre-right European People's Party (EPP). This group is
numerically dominated by Germany's CDU/CSU – the party of former Chancellor
Angela Merkel. Her party, however, is to the left of the US Democratic Party on
most issues. Its support for the most obtuse environmentalism, and the Green
Deal in particular, appears total. Therefore, when it came to imposing a new
president of the European Commission after the June 2024 elections, the CDU/CSU
chose someone from within its ranks who maintains strong environmentalist
convictions: Ursula von der Leyen.
The second and most important factor is that the EU is, in reality, a Potemkin
democracy. It looks like a democracy, but is in fact an authoritarian
bureaucracy. There is no election by the citizens of a parliament worthy of the
name, no transparency, no recourses and, it seems, no way of eliminating the
organization or any part of it. European citizens can vote as they please, but
it is a self-appointed elite within the European institutions who decide the
future of Europe. These "elites" will do anything to keep themselves and their
ideology in power. Last week, the Dutch daily De Telegraaf revealed that the
first von der Leyen Commission had massively financed environmental NGOs to put
pressure on members of the European Parliament -- long live the separation of
powers! -- and citizens in favor of the Green Deal.
In addition, Qatar has massively infiltrated the European Parliament, buying
parliamentarians to promote its interests and its Islamist vision of the world.
Whether people vote left or right, it makes no difference: Von der Leyen and her
far-left environmentalist agenda are still in power. Can one measure the sense
of alienation that must be felt by Europeans, forced to finance a corrupt
bureaucracy working against their interests?
When it comes to migration, the economy, free speech and democracy, the EU is
not the solution to any problem. The EU is the problem.
**Drieu Godefridi is a jurist (University Saint-Louis, University of Louvain),
philosopher (University Saint-Louis, University of Louvain) and PhD in legal
theory (Paris IV-Sorbonne). He is an entrepreneur, CEO of a European private
education group and director of PAN Medias Group. He is the author of The Green
Reich (2020).
© 2025 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Netanyahu must push Trump to take real action on Iran
Jacob Nagel/ The Jerusalem Post/February 05/2025
Any resolution must address all three components of Iran’s nuclear program:
fissile materials, weaponization, and delivery systems.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is preparing in Washington for one of his most
important meetings in recent years with President Donald Trump.
Netanyahu has the honor of being the first leader invited for an official
meeting, receiving the full protocol, including the Blair House and an official
dinner. This recalls the positive atmosphere of the first official visit in
February 2017, in which I had the privilege of participating — both in its
preparation and in the meeting itself — as acting national security advisor. The
discussion will cover crucial and urgent issues for both leaders, even if there
are expected differences in approach on some of them. From my experience in the
previous meeting (and in many that followed), the warm and close personal
relationship between the leaders is of utmost importance in reaching as many
agreements as possible. This time, the topics at hand are at the core of
Israel’s national security.Naturally, the focus is on the ceasefire in Gaza and
the beginning of negotiations for the second phase of the hostage deal. However,
it is essential to remember that the most central and critical issue on
the agenda is the need for a determined and joint effort to counter Iran’s
nuclear ambitions, its aggressive regional behavior, and its continued support
for terrorism. In addition to discussions on Gaza and Iran, other topics will
include the ceasefire in Lebanon, the collapse of Assad’s regime in Syria and
the rise of al-Jolani, a potential normalization with Saudi Arabia and its
implications, the new U.S. aid agreement (MOU), and other strategic matters.
Discussions About Iran
When IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi states that Iran must reach an
understanding with the Trump administration to avoid another military
confrontation in the Middle East, and when some administration officials do not
rule out the possibility of a new and improved deal with Iran, it reflects a
fundamentally flawed and highly dangerous approach. Even discussions about the
possibility of entering negotiations with Iran are perilous. The question should
not be what a future good agreement should look like but rather what
preconditions Iran must meet before any negotiations can begin.
The current status of Iran’s nuclear program does not allow for an agreement
that would be acceptable, one that will prevent Iran from continuing its nuclear
activities, as Iran is unlikely to agree to such terms. Any resolution must
address all three components of Iran’s nuclear program: fissile materials,
weaponization, and delivery systems.
Negotiations can only begin after rolling back all the capabilities Iran has
developed since 2009 — and even earlier — including full compliance with the UN
Security Council resolutions that were in place before the signing of the
disastrous JCPOA. Fissile materials (uranium and plutonium) and the technology
for their production must be entirely banned on Iranian soil and monitored by
the IAEA. All built capabilities — conversion and enrichment facilities,
centrifuges and raw materials for their construction, stockpiled enriched
material at all levels, heavy water reactors, and similar infrastructure — must
be completely dismantled. On this issue, there is no room for negotiations.
Moreover, the prime minister must clarify to the president that the strategic
priorities of 2015 have shifted. Even a severe strike that destroys Iran’s
enrichment facilities in Natanz and Qom — whether by Israel alone or in
coordination with U.S. capabilities, including platforms and bombs currently not
in Israel’s possession — may not be sufficient. In some cases, such an attack
could even be counterproductive if not accompanied by a simultaneous and severe
blow to Iran’s weaponization program, resolution of past weaponization efforts,
and addressing the uranium already enriched to 60 percent. With this enriched
uranium, a small number of advanced centrifuges and a deeply buried underground
facility could still lead Iran to a nuclear weapon.
At the same time, efforts must continue to weaken the Iranian regime until the
Iranian people overthrow the oppressive dictatorship that rules over them.
Additionally, Israel must prepare for a broad confrontation with Iran to
eliminate the primary existential threat to its continued existence.
Second Phase of Gaza Ceasefire
As expected, the first phase of the agreement is progressing, and our hearts are
filled with joy as the hostages reunite with their families. The price Israel is
paying at this stage is heavy but still manageable. However, the second phase is
expected to be far more challenging. While we all wish to see all the hostages
safely home as soon as possible and the fallen laid to rest in Israel, it must
not come at any cost. The prime minister must convince the president that Israel
cannot afford to forfeit the military achievements in Gaza and allow Hamas to
continue ruling the Strip. Instead, Israel must prepare, with U.S. support, for
the continuation — and even escalation — of military operations alongside the
return of the hostages despite the inherent contradiction between the two.
Strategic Defense Shift
The “Nagel Committee,” which recently submitted its recommendations, emphasized
the necessity of a big shift in Israel’s security strategy. The shift must be
from a doctrine of containment and defense to a doctrine of prevention and
offense. While this is true for Gaza, it is even more relevant for Lebanon,
Syria, Judea and Samaria, and any other threat. Israel must not allow any entity
— state or terrorist organization — to pose a threat on its borders or from a
distance. The newly appointed IDF chief of staff, Major General (res.) Zamir,
whom we all wish great success, has expressed similar views. Under his
leadership, the IDF can implement the recommended strategic shift. In Lebanon,
the IDF is already implementing this approach, albeit not fully, by striking
threats before they materialize. This must be the standard across all borders,
even if it means ongoing friction and conflict.
Saudi Arabia and U.S. Aid Agreement
The Saudi issue is of great importance, and the prime minister himself listed it
as one of his key objectives upon his reelection, following the Iranian threat.
However, it is crucial not to lose focus: countering Iran and, after October 7,
safeguarding Israel’s strategic interests at its borders are more pressing
priorities. The new U.S. aid agreement will also be discussed and is of
paramount importance. I strongly recommend that the Israeli team adopt the
recommendations of the “Nagel Committee Report,” communicate with Trump in his
own terms, and ensure that the entire budget is spent in the United States,
focusing on key platforms and American-made munitions. Netanyahu and Trump
understand each other and the Middle East exceptionally well. As in 2017, much
of what will be discussed in the Oval Office will likely remain confidential —
and rightly so. However, this meeting must serve as a turning point, from which
Israel and the United States will work hand in hand to achieve their shared
strategic goals.
**Brigadier General (Res.) Professor Jacob Nagel is a senior fellow at the
Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), a visiting Professor at the
Technion – Israel Institute of Technology, and former acting national security
advisor to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and head of the National Security
Council.
Trump's Gaza plan has stunned the
region. Here's a look at the serious obstacles it faces
Joseph Krauss/The Associated
Press/February 5, 2025
Trump's Gaza plan has stunned the region. Here's a look at the serious obstacles
it faces
President Donald Trump's stunning proposal to forcibly transfer hundreds of
thousands of Palestinians out of the Gaza Strip and develop it as a tourist
destination faces major obstacles. The Palestinians
and many others view such plans as ethnic cleansing, an attempt to drive them
from their homeland after Israel's 15-month offensive against Hamas rendered
much of it uninhabitable. It was also seen as an attempt to liquidate their
decades-long struggle for a state, which has wide international support.Arab
countries, including Egypt and Jordan — close U.S. allies at peace with Israel —
have condemned such plans and roundly rejected Trump's suggestion that they take
in more Palestinian refugees. Saudi Arabia issued a
rare overnight statement rejecting the idea of transfer and reiterating that it
won't normalize relations with Israel — a key goal of the Trump administration —
without the establishment of a Palestinian state including Gaza.
The proposal also risks undermining the ceasefire in Gaza and the
continued release of hostages taken in Hamas' Oct. 7, 2023, attack that
triggered the war. Trump has claimed credit for brokering the truce, but its
future is now more uncertain.
The Palestinians don't want to leave
Palestinians view Gaza as an integral part of their national homeland and aspire
to an independent state in Gaza, the West Bank and east Jerusalem, territories
Israel captured in the 1967 Mideast war. Most of
Gaza's population are descendants of refugees from the 1948 war surrounding
Israel's creation, when hundreds of thousands of Palestinians fled or were
driven out of what is now Israel. They were not allowed to return because they
would have outnumbered the new state's Jewish population.
The Palestinian ambassador to the United Nations, Riyad Mansour,
suggested that if Trump's goal is to send the Palestinians to a “happy, nice
place,” they should return to their ancestral homes in Israel.
The ideal of remaining on one's land despite threats of expulsion is at
the heart of the Palestinians' struggle and self-identity, and was on vivid
display last week when hundreds of thousands returned to northern Gaza despite
its near-total destruction. Both Hamas and the
Western-backed Palestinian Authority, which recognizes Israel and cooperates
with it on security, have vehemently condemned Trump's proposal.
Arab countries will not accept Palestinian refugees
Egypt and Jordan, which made peace with Israel decades ago, have repeatedly
rejected previous proposals to resettle Palestinians within their borders.
They too fear that Israel would never allow the Palestinians to return,
and that a mass influx of Palestinian refugees would once again destabilize the
region, as it did in the decades after 1948, when it was a key factor in
Lebanon's civil war and Israel's two invasions of that country. Both countries
also have struggling economies that would have a hard time absorbing large
numbers of refugees. Trump suggested that wealthy Gulf
countries could pay to resettle the Palestinians, but that appears unlikely.
Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar have joined Egypt and
Jordan in rejecting any transfer plans, and the Saudis repudiated the plan
almost immediately. The Saudi statement reiterated
remarks made in September by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who said Saudi
Arabia would not normalize relations with Israel without the creation of a
Palestinian state with east Jerusalem as its capital.
The kingdom said its “unwavering position is non-negotiable and not subject to
compromises.”
Trump has leverage, but so do Mideast leaders
Trump seems to relish using tariffs, sanctions and aid cutoffs to pressure
allies and adversaries alike, and could apply economic pressure on countries
like Egypt and Jordan, which have long relied on American aid.
But those countries have levers of their own in the face of what they see
as a major threat to their national security. And wealthy Gulf countries, which
have also historically provided aid to Egypt and Jordan, could help cushion any
economic blow. Egypt has already warned that any mass
transfer of Palestinians into the Sinai Peninsula bordering Gaza could undermine
its peace treaty with Israel — a cornerstone of regional stability and American
influence for nearly a half-century. Egypt and Qatar
have also served as key mediators with Hamas in the talks that led to the
ceasefire, and both are working with Trump's Mideast envoy, Steve Witkoff, to
try to extend it.
Israelis welcome the plan, but hostages are a priority
The idea of mass transfer has historically been confined to the far-right in
Israel, but on Wednesday, mainstream leaders said Trump's plan was worth
considering.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, at the press conference with Trump,
acknowledged that “jaws drop” when the U.S. president proposes unorthodox ideas,
but then “people scratch their heads and they say, ‘You know, he’s right.'"Benny
Gantz, a centrist politician and former general long seen as a more moderate
alternative to Netanyahu, said Trump’s proposal showed “creative, original and
intriguing thinking,” and should be studied alongside other war goals,
“prioritizing the return of all the hostages.”Opposition leader Yair Lapid, a
fierce critic of Netanyahu who has voiced support for a two-state solution in
the past, did not object to the idea. Instead, he said in an interview with
local media that it was too early to react to Trump’s proposal since there are
no concrete details, and that returning the hostages was most important.
The current phase of the Gaza ceasefire, in which Hamas is to release 33
hostages in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners, ends in early March.
The second phase, in which the remaining 60 or so hostages would be freed in
exchange for more prisoners, is being negotiated.
Hamas has said it will not release the remaining hostages without an end to the
war and a full Israeli withdrawal — which would likely preclude any forcible
transfer. Israel's far-right Finance Minister Bezalel
Smotrich, who supports what he refers to as the “voluntary emigration” of large
numbers of Palestinians and the re-establishment of Jewish settlements in Gaza,
has threatened to leave Netanyahu's coalition if he doesn't resume the war after
the first phase, which would likely lead to early elections. He welcomed Trump's
proposal. The resumption of the war would put the
remaining hostages' lives at risk, and there's no guarantee it would eliminate
Hamas, which still controls most of Gaza. It would also undo what Trump has
portrayed as a major accomplishment and further delay any normalization with
Saudi Arabia.
An opening gambit?
There's another possibility: That Trump's proposal is an opening gambit in a
bargaining process aimed at eventually securing the kind of Middle East
mega-deal he says he is seeking. It was only last week
that Trump was threatening major tariffs against Canada and Mexico, America's
two biggest trading partners, before putting them on hold after their leaders
took steps to appease his concerns about border security and drug trafficking.
During his first term, Trump flirted with the possibility of Israel
annexing parts of the occupied West Bank before the idea was shelved as part of
a normalization agreement with the United Arab Emirates.Trump could ultimately
pare down his proposal or put it on hold in exchange for concessions from Arab
leaders, perhaps on Gaza's reconstruction or on normalization with Israel —
though the Saudi statement appeared to rule that out.
There could be more clarity when the shock wears off, and when Trump meets with
Jordan's King Abdullah II at the White House next week.
After Tariff Fight with Canada and Mexico, Trump’s Next
Target Is Europe/Europe, you’re next.
Patricia Cohen/The New York Times/February 05/2025
That’s the latest message from President Trump, who has repeatedly said in
recent days that he would slap punitive tariffs on the 27 members of the
European Union.
Tariffs “will definitely happen with the European Union,” Trump told the BBC
Sunday evening, and they are coming “pretty soon.” He doubled down on the threat
on Monday, complaining about deficits in auto and farm products. New tariffs
were set to go into effect on imports from Canada, China and Mexico on Tuesday,
but on Monday Mexico and Canada were granted a one-month delay. “The European
Union has abused the United States for years, and they can’t do that,” Trump
said on Monday.
A head-spinning blitz of executive orders and policy reversals related to
international trade, aid and agreements has come out of the White House in the
past two weeks. But one common thread is that Trump has directed the harshest
penalties at some of America’s closest economic and military allies. One reason
is that the United States has large trade deficits with Mexico, Canada and the
European Union in addition to China, said Agathe Demarais, a senior policy
fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations. “Trump is obsessed with
trade deficits,” she said. And he may be “starting with the places where he
feels he will have quick wins.”Of course, trade surpluses are not necessarily
any indication of a country’s economic health. The last time the United States
had an overall trade surplus was 1975, when the American economy was still in a
severe recession. The United States did have a trade surplus in 2023 with
Britain, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. And that may help
Britain avoid tariffs. “I think that one can be worked out,” Trump said,
contrasting Britain with Europe. As for the European Union, Trump has
characterized the bloc’s trade practices as an “atrocity.” But tariffs imposed
by the United States and the European Union on each other are pretty similar.
“The pattern of protectionism between the US and Europe is very even, and there
is absolutely no evidence that the US has been taken advantage of,” said
Kimberly Clausing, an economist at the Peterson Institute for International
Economics in Washington. “This claim is disingenuous.”
Products exported from the United States to the European Union are on average
subject to a 3.95 percent tariff, according to ING Global Markets Research. A
3.5 percent tariff on average is added to products from the European Union that
head west across the Atlantic. The disparities, however, are bigger on some
items, like cars. The European Union tariff is 10 percent, compared with 2.5
percent from the United States. And E.U. tariffs on food and beverages are on
average 3.5 percent higher than those set by the United States. Mr. Trump has
long complained about both sectors. The United States is the No. 1 buyer of E.U.
exports, accounting for nearly 20 percent of the total in 2023, according to
Eurostat. The bloc’s surplus on goods was roughly $160 billion; there was a $107
billion deficit on services. Mette Frederiksen, Denmark’s prime minister, said
Monday that she would “never support fighting allies,” but that “if the US puts
tough tariffs on Europe, we need a collective and robust response.”Donald Tusk,
Poland’s prime minister, said, “We have to do everything to avoid it — totally
unnecessary and stupid tariff war or trade wars.”For months, European leaders
have quietly been preparing for how to respond. Business leaders and trade
associations are warning that the brewing trade war and the unpredictable way in
which it is being waged could slow investment. American tariffs on European
goods would also hurt companies when they were weakened by flagging demand at
home and in China.
The US Chamber of Commerce to the European Union issued a statement on Monday
criticizing potential tariffs, arguing that they would invite retaliation and
cause companies on both sides of the Atlantic to suffer. German business leaders
were reluctant on Monday to comment on the possibility of tariffs on Europe, but
they reacted with a mixture of concern and resignation to those targeting Mexico
and Canada.
“German industry is directly affected by the tariffs, as it also supplies the
U.S. market from plants in Mexico and Canada,” said Wolfgang Niedermark, a board
member of BDI, a German industry lobby group. “The automotive industry and its
suppliers, including the chemical industry as a supplier of chemical raw
materials, will be hit much harder than other sectors.”
Many of the 2,100 German companies that have operations in Mexico, including
BMW, Volkswagen and Audi, chose to build there after Trump signed a trade
agreement with Mexico and Canada during his first term, when the threat of
tariffs against Germany loomed. Nearly a quarter of the 1.3 million vehicles
that German automakers sold in the United States last year were produced in
Mexico. In addition to the car companies, a web of auto parts suppliers, such as
Bosch and ZF, have research and production plants there. Asian and European
stock markets fell on Monday, with some of the biggest drops in share prices
among auto manufacturers.
Economists at the Prognos Institute in Switzerland calculated that 1.2 million
jobs in Germany were dependent on exports to the United States, and that as many
as 300,000 of them could be endangered if tariffs against Europe came into
effect.
Europe’s luxury industry has also been bracing for a hit. In 2019, the United
States briefly imposed 25 percent tariffs on French wines and Italian cheeses,
as well as luxury leather handbags and luggage from brands like Louis Vuitton
and Gucci.
Bernard Arnault, the head of the LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton empire, has
sought to cultivate direct ties with Trump, who personally invited him to attend
last month’s inauguration in Washington. At an earnings presentation last week,
Arnault said that by lowering the corporate tax to 15 percent and “welcoming you
with open arms,” Trump was making the United States more attractive for
companies.
There can be reasons for a country to worry about too large a trade deficit,
said Clausing, the Peterson Institute economist. But the United States is not
facing those problems at the moment. The trade deficit signals that American
consumers are getting a lot of stuff from the rest of the world, she explained.
If tariffs drive up prices and Americans have to pay more, as most economists
expect, their standard of living will go down.
Sharaa’s Rationality
Tariq Al-Homayed/The New York Times/February 05/2025
Since Bashar al-Assad fled the country and Ahmad al-Sharaa arrived in Damascus,
eventually being declared president, every speech and interview he has given,
whether televised or in print, reflects a degree of rationality Syria had not
seen in half a century.
President Sharaa has been interviewed by both Western and Arab media. All of
them were substantive. Unlike the criminal, Assad, who could speak for three
hours without saying anything worth listening to, he has totally avoided
meaningless repetitive statements. Sharaa is swimming with the sharks, or
traversing a landmine, both domestically and externally. He has to manage
challenges coming from Iran to Israel, from Lebanon to Iraq, and with the Arab
states reluctant to support Syria.
Some may argue that the Arabs’ hesitation stems from concerns over the
"political Islamism" of Sharaa and his allies. However, various regional actors
have aligned with the Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas, Hezbollah, and others, even
endeavoring to accommodate them.
Despite all these risks, Sharaa has managed to communicate well, with the Syrian
people, as well as with Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and, of course, Türkiye. He also
reassured Iraq with a recorded video message, engaged with European leaders, and
put his foreign minister’s diplomatic skills on display in Davos. Now, Sharaa
seeks to open a new chapter with the United States. Sharaa’s sensible approach
is evident in how he has handled the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and his
responsiveness to criticism of all kinds following Assad’s fall. He has, for
example, outlined a clear roadmap for the formation of a new government and
holding elections. His statements on Israel also reflect this pragmatism, as he
has tried to defuse its hostility to the new Syria.
His grounded approach was also evident in the countries he has chosen to visit.
Saudi Arabia was the destination of his first foreign visit, followed by Türkiye,
showing that he understands the regional balances and knows how to play the game
in a way that maximizes Syria’s leverage. His emphasis on not seeking aid from
the Gulf, but rather a partnership - a fundamental distinction - is particularly
notable.
Does this imply that he should be given unconditional support? A blank check? I
will not hide the fact that I have advocated unwavering support for Syria and
its cause - the fall of the Assad regime - throughout my journalistic career.
However, this is not a matter of sentiment or journalistic posturing. My stance
is rooted in a fundamental principle: Syria must remain an Arab country.
Bringing Syria back into the Arab fold curbs Iranian expansionism and pushes
back against its project to export its revolution. Support must be given to
individuals. We must support a political project that ensures regional security,
stability, and social cohesion, and diffuses sectarian tensions. So far, Sharaa
has demonstrated a grounded approach that we had not seen from Bashar al-Assad,
Hamas, Hezbollah, or even its Lebanese rivals. Self-proclaimed leaders have not
shown similar pragmatism either.
Therefore, it would be unwise to squander the historic opportunity that has
emerged in Syria. Instead of competing for influence, regional powers should
invest in ensuring that Damascus plays a central role in stability rather than
conspiracies. The mistakes of the power struggles we saw in Lebanon should not
be repeated. They present a long and cautionary tale in themselves. Some in our
region have wasted years and vast resources trying to persuade Assad to end the
violence and distance himself from Iran. Today, Syria is very much out of Iran’s
orbit. Russia’s influence has waned, and the country is closer to the Arab world
than ever. Yes, Türkiye has gained a foothold there, but it maintains a balanced
relationship with Arab states. The current priority is to support and invest in
Sharaa’s rational approach. Until we see signs to the contrary, this is an
opportunity that we and the Syrian people have awaited nearly fifty years for.
The End of ‘Palestine’...Donald Trump reminds the world
that ideas have sell-by dates
Lee Smith/The Magazine/February 05, 2025
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2025/02/139866/
Yesterday, President Donald Trump single-handedly collapsed the most destructive
idea of the last hundred years—Palestine. During meetings with Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and other Israel officials, Trump said he was going
to move 1.7 million Palestinians out of Gaza. And just like that, he broke the
long spell that had captured generations of world leaders, peace activists and
Middle East terror-masters alike, who had paradoxically come to regard the
repeated failure and haunting secondary consequences of the idea of joint Arab
Muslim and Jewish statehood in the same small piece of land as proof of its
necessity.
Palestine was an misshapen idea from the beginning, engendered by an act of pure
negation. The Arabs could have gone along with the UN’s partition plan like the
Jews did, and chosen to build whatever version of Switzerland or Belgium on the
Eastern Med in 1948. Instead, they resoundingly chose war. That’s the storied
“Nakba” at the core of the Palestinian legend—the catastrophe that drove the
Arabs from their land and hung a key around the neck of a nation waiting to go
home. The Arabs chose the catastrophe; they chose war, based on the premise that
they would inevitably win and exterminate the Jews.
Yet despite repeated military failures, and the increasing distance between the
first-world powerhouse that the Israelis built and their increasingly war-torn
third-world neighborhood, the global conscience was always pre-disposed to
rebuilding what the Palestinians destroyed. Accordingly, the Palestinian Arabs
became a tribe of feral children whose identity was carved out of the relentless
vow to eliminate Israel and slaughter the Jews en masse—despite repeated
failures, each one more crushing than the last.
Trump said enough, we’re not rebuilding Gaza. Time for a new idea—the Gazans
have to to go, they can try to start again somewhere else, in a land where every
building still standing isn’t already wired to explode.
Gazans waged an exterminationist campaign against Israel, and they lost. At any
other time in history, save the last 75 years, they would be lucky to lose only
territory and not have their legend and language permanently deleted from the
book of the living.
What if they won’t go, or if the Egyptians and Jordanians won’t take them?
They’ll take them, said Trump. Ah, he’s talking big but it’s not real, say the
experts—after all, he’s a real estate guy, and he’s pretending it’s just another
property deal to pressure Hamas—Mar-a-Gaza. You can’t move a million people just
like that, says an American electorate that elected Trump because he promised to
deport tens of millions of illegal aliens who crossed the U.S. border in the
last four years. He’s nuts says the D.C. foreign policy crowd: He’ll destabilize
Egypt and Jordan, and undermine America’s best Arab friends and allies in the
region.
Yet Trump is right to see both Egypt and Jordan as paltry constructions with
little-to-no ability to project force on America’s behalf, and whose survival
depends month to month on American aid. Cairo is useful to the United States
only insofar as it, one, makes sure the Suez Canal is open and, two, observes
the peace treaty with Israel—i.e., continues its campaign of repression against
a populace of 112 million people who can barely afford to buy bread, and many of
whose dreams are filled with the same insanity that drives Hamas. The only
antidote to this misery that Egypt’s rulers have found is blaming the Zionists
next door for the ills of their own society, while torturing religious
extremists in their prisons. Maybe when Elon Musk is finished fixing Washington
he can conduct an audit of where American money goes in Egypt. Somehow, I doubt
he’d get in the door.
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi’s problem is that he allowed Hamas to
smuggle arms through the Philadelphi crossing into Gaza, thereby violating
Egypt’s peace treaty with Israel—which is what we nominally pay him for. From
the perspective of Trump, an American president keen to enforce treaty
obligations, Sisi has a new chance to prove himself as a friend of America and
not a grafting liar by adding a million Gazans—who in the past have been ruled
by Egypt and have family names like al-Masri (“the Egyptian”)—to Egypt’s
existing population of 112 million, amounting percentage-wise to roughly the
same number of legal immigrants that the United States accepts per year. Sisi
can deal with the Hamas members among the Gazan immigrants the same way he deals
with Muslim Brotherhood militants in his own society—or he can give them all
medals for their service. It’s up to him.
And if not? Well, he might remember that Hosni Mubarak’s regime collapsed not
because of Muslim Brotherhood-led street protests during the 2011 Arab Spring
but because Barack Obama withdrew his support from the longtime U.S. ally.
With money from the Gulf states, or even Israel, Sisi can afford to absorb
Palestinians and might even volunteer to take all of Gaza—the average salary in
Egypt at present being the equivalent of $5,000 per year. He can then leave
Jordan’s King Abdullah responsible for the rest of the Palestinians in the
likely event that Trump, as he did in his first term, encourages Netanyahu to
annex the Jordan Valley, or goes a step further and acknowledges Israeli
sovereignty over Judea and Samaria.
Since the CIA has long treated the Hashemite Kingdom as a key asset, we can
expect within the next week The Washington Post’s David Ignatius to publish an
article based on intelligence sources—i.e., U.S. and Jordanian spies—concocting
a story about Trump’s rationale for “destabilizing Jordan.” The reality is that
the Jordanians, with U.S. help, put down a Palestinian rebellion in 1970. The
country of a little more than 11 million is already estimated to be two-thirds
Palestinian, the rest Jordanian tribesmen, and it’s hard to see how adding
another 500,000 Palestinians will make it harder for Jordan’s notoriously
effective security services to contain their neighbors, especially if the offer
includes a few dozen more Black Hawk helicopters. After all, no one will expect
the Jordanians to allow Hamas to build a giant tunnel-city stuffed with rocket
factories beneath their encampments while giving them billions in foreign aid to
pay for it all.
Again, the key players here aren’t Jordan and Egypt but the oil rich Gulf
Cooperation Council states, especially Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates,
and of course Qatar. Trump might make Saudi largesse in resettling the Gazans a
pre-condition for the much-hyped prospect of normalizing relations between
Riyadh and Jerusalem. Given the fact that Israel regularly attracts nine- and
ten-figure investments from Silicon Valley’s biggest funds, the reality is that
the Saudis have little to offer Israel except for money applied to exactly this
type of local purpose. Moving millions of Gazans who have repeatedly attacked
their Israeli neighbors out of what is now a shattered war zone is a sensible
investment in the kind of stability that helps rich people get richer.
The Arabs and Democrats are only the most vocal of the many opposed to Trump’s
initiative. Left-wing governments from Europe to Australia are lining up to
pledge their allegiance to the fantasy of a Palestinian state, in the hopes of
propitiating Muslim and Arab constituencies at home—whose understanding of
“peace” means eliminating Israel. But even leaving the patent bad faith of those
professing “peace” aside, moving Gazans out of Gaza is the only sane option 14
months after they initiated a campaign of rape, murder, and hostage-taking that
brought their own house down on their heads.
After all, what’s more fanciful, moving 1.7 million people out of Gaza, a large
portion of whom would simply be required to board air-conditioned buses or walk
across the nearby Egypt border, or compelling them to live in a giant rubble
field booby-trapped by an Iran-backed terrorist group? Estimates vary as to how
long it would take to clear Gaza of explosives—half a decade or more? 15 years?
20? Are the Gazans supposed to live quietly in tents for the next decade or two
while their homes are rebuilt next door? Where? In “temporary cities” made of
Dwell Magazine-like rehabbed shipping containers built by graduates of
Birmingham University? In Hamas’ tunnels?
Regardless, should the Palestinians remain in Gaza, they would invariably return
to war no matter how much munificence the Gulf Arab states, the European Union,
and perhaps even the U.S. might shower on the toxic sand-castle built over the
past two decades with billions of Western aid money. Proof the Palestinians
can’t and won’t keep the peace is that even after they won a reprieve when
Trump’s Middle East envoy Steven Witkoff forced the Biden administration’s
ceasefire on Jerusalem, Hamas and its NGO-supported human shields celebrated in
the streets as if the Hamas space program had successfully landed Palestinians
on Mars. Even as Israel released jailed murderers, the Gazans paraded Israeli
hostages through the ruins of Gaza like trophies of war.
The Saudis, Qataris, Emiratis and others who now rend their clothes while
lamenting the likely fate of their ant-farm death cult might well have
counseled: Quiet brothers, you have been spared. Don’t bring attention to
yourselves. For the winds of Gaza shift on a whim and who knows if you are not
next to be swept away by fate—or the American President.
Here is the stark reality: Gazans, not just the enlisted members of the Hamas
brigades, waged an exterminationist campaign against Israel, and they lost. At
virtually any other time in history, save the last 75 years, they would be lucky
to lose only territory and not have their legend and language permanently
deleted from the book of the living.
Trump’s generous offer to the Gazans therefore signals a return to history, but
with a twist. Trump has not only spared them, but vowed to provide them with new
lives, better lives, work, new homes, a chance to raise their families in peace,
an existence not premised on total and permanent war with a more powerful
adversary destined to rout them entirely, and would have already done so if not
for the objections of other powerful global players.
Trump, in his innovative mercy, has offered to save the Palestinian people from
their own history, and give them a new idea to live by. They should thank their
maker for the chance to start anew—and give thanks as well to the American
President, who realistically promises them a better future, backed by U.S.
global power. Given the repeated failure of the multi-decade-long dream of
eliminating and replacing the Jews of Israel, it seems unlikely that the
Palestinians will receive a better offer.
**Lee Smith is the author of Disappearing the President: Trump, Truth Social,
and the Fight for the Republic (2024).
https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/israel-middle-east/articles/end-of-palestine
What next after Al-Sharaa’s visit to Saudi Arabia?
Hassan Al-Mustafa/Arab News/February 05, 2025
Saudi Arabia is taking a proactive and serious approach to the dramatic shifts
in the Syrian Arab Republic following the collapse of Bashar Assad’s regime. The
Kingdom is determined to play a strategic role that safeguards its national
interests while ensuring stability in Syria — a key element of broader Arab
security. This strategy has direct implications for the stability of neighboring
countries, including Saudi Arabia itself.
Rather than reacting to events, Riyadh has positioned itself as a key player
from the outset, engaging in political, humanitarian and diplomatic efforts
through its Ministry of Foreign Affairs. These initiatives include dialogue with
influential nations involved in the Syrian crisis.
The withdrawal of Iran and its allied militias, coupled with the reduced
military and political presence of Russia, has created a significant power
vacuum. Regional powers like Turkiye are eager to fill this void, seeking
influence in Damascus through soft power strategies.
In response, Saudi Arabia has not merely observed these changes, it has sought
to shape them. By doing so, the Kingdom aims to maintain regional balance in the
Middle East, while facilitating Syria’s return to the Arab fold, helping its
gradual transition toward stability and reconstruction and building a civil
state beyond ethnic and sectarian divisions. Moreover, Saudi Arabia, as
custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, carries forward an enlightenment project
aimed at reviving moderate Islam based on mutual respect and the rejection of
violence and fundamentalism. To counter radical groups, the Kingdom approaches
extremist groups with measured wisdom, implementing direct security measures
against terrorist cells while addressing ideological issues and challenging
extremist rhetoric.
Thus, the Saudi interest in Syrian stability partly stems from a desire to
prevent the country from becoming a haven for terrorism or a platform for
violent ideologies spreading across the Arab world. Supporting Damascus aligns
with reinforcing moderation and addressing extremist thought methodically.
It is also worth noting that millions of Syrians reside in Saudi Arabia, treated
not as refugees but as legal residents granted free education, employment
opportunities and dignified living conditions. Riyadh seeks to send positive
signals that this care extends to their homeland, emphasizing that Saudi policy
seeks to help Syrians rebuild their modern nation-state without interfering in
its internal affairs.
Observers of Saudi Arabia note its continuous modernization of society, laws and
state structures. Vision 2030 has initiated fundamental transformations that
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman intends to sustain long-term. This vision’s
success requires not just strong economic performance but also regional
stability, making Syria’s security a strategic Saudi interest for sustaining its
development and megaprojects.
Against this backdrop, Ahmad Al-Sharaa’s visit to Saudi Arabia this week and his
reception by the crown prince carries significant weight. According to the Saudi
Press Agency, the pair discussed Syrian developments, bilateral relations and
regional issues, exploring ways to support Syria’s security and stability while
strengthening cooperation across various fields.
The Kingdom aims to maintain regional balance in the Middle East, while
facilitating Syria’s return to the Arab fold.
The crown prince’s reception of Al-Sharaa signals Riyadh’s support for Damascus’
political transition and genuine desire for positive developments in security,
stability and development, leading toward an inclusive national government
representing all Syrian demographics.
However, this does not translate to unconditional Saudi support for every action
by Syria’s new leadership. Riyadh’s policy typically avoids giving any party a
blank check or acting as a guardian of other nations’ political administrations.
Instead, it supports broad principles of security, stability, reconstruction,
development and filling any security or political vacuums. Riyadh seeks to avoid
destabilizing tremors that could unsettle the Syrian landscape, leaving the
finer details and specific implementations to Syrian discretion. The Kingdom may
agree or disagree with particular decisions, offering advice when requested by
Damascus.
Al-Sharaa’s Saudi visit, while providing political backing and potentially
opening doors to other capitals, presents a historic opportunity for Syria.
Success depends on it developing credible, practical plans that engage all
Syrians in political processes and state reconstruction, avoiding revenge
politics and sectarian or ethnic quotas. This approach can build trust and
foster sustainable cooperation between the two nations.
*Hassan Al-Mustafa is a Saudi writer and researcher interested in Islamic
movements, the development of religious discourse and the relationship between
the Gulf Cooperation Council states and Iran. X: @Halmustafa
The challenge to find a better solution for Gaza
Alistair Burt/Arab News/February 05, 2025
It is quite hard to know where to begin with the news that the US president has
had a revelation that the way forward in the Middle East is to move not those
who are occupying land illegally, but to evict those who have been bombed to
destruction in Gaza so as to redevelop it for hotels and apartments.
However, let us unpick the headline. Behind the breathtaking absurdity of the
proposed solution — rightly denounced by Arab states including Saudi Arabia,
Egypt and Jordan — lies a land of catastrophic destruction, people in need and a
political minefield across an entire region that demands urgent attention. There
are now no voices claiming that the situation between Israel and the
Palestinians can be “managed.”
There was a sharp contrast in power at the press conference where President
Donald Trump made his remarks. On the one hand was a president, flushed with
electoral success, in complete political command of all branches of government
and possessing a belief that he can now do exactly what he wants. On the other
was a weakened Israeli prime minister, not in full control of his Cabinet, who
could fairly claim that his actions against Hezbollah and Iran had changed the
dynamics in the region, but at huge cost and without either defeating Hamas or
freeing the cruelly taken hostages.
There is a logic to the new US position if you see the whole region as one vast
real estate plot and believe that business and money can overcome everything. If
you are not a politician, and have seen politics fail time and again, why would
you not think that something different is worth a try? Gaza is indeed now a
wasteland, where the condition of the people is desperate and will be for some
time. Who would not want the prospect of living in the same location, but one
which was safe, thriving and bustling, and making a good living? After all, he
would say, barely 300 km away is Beirut, once truly the Riviera of the
Mediterranean.
A moment’s reflection would remind you of the reality behind the comparison. As
Lebanon and the suffering of Beirut has illustrated, the region is not real
estate and it is not a new land. It is history, as well as both current and past
politics.
If you have seen politics fail time and again, why would you not think that
something different is worth a try? The removal of Palestinians in Gaza as some
form of logistical challenge was presented like cleaning up a landslip before
construction can begin. This is reminiscent of the carelessness with the
displacement of Palestinians in the past. Almost everything in the current-day
understanding of the issues between Israel and its neighbor demands an awareness
of the Nakba and its influence. Israel itself is a response to the historic
Jewish diaspora of centuries, and the region is filled with memory, poetry and
story of home, exile, the longing for return and the misery of enforced
movement.
That is why, at the beginning of this round of conflict, Egypt and Jordan were
clear that they would not take refugees from Gaza. They knew that Palestinians
would rightly fear that, once they left Gaza, there would be little chance of a
return and that their own populations would likely be violently opposed to any
collusion in such a plan. They still are. This fear is rightly bolstered by the
development of hard-line Israeli politics. The racism represented by Meir Kahane
and his followers, which would once never have been countenanced by a decent
Israeli leadership, is now a potent force in the government itself, to the
dismay of many other Israelis. Extremist settlers, too often protected by the
Israeli state, terrorize Palestinian villagers in the West Bank and make no
secret of their intention to push them out for the exclusive use of the
territory by Jewish Israelis. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, who can still
make or break Benjamin Netanyahu’s Cabinet, openly calls for Israeli sovereignty
and annexation.
Is it any wonder that the idea of the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians in Gaza,
whatever the excuse given, looks exactly like what it is: the delivery of the
most carefully-thought-out, hard-line, extremist Israeli political agenda?
The tragedy of what has happened will be compounded if the possibility of a
better option is lost
The tragedy of what has happened will be compounded if the possibility of a
better option is lost. Saudi Arabia’s rapid response to the president’s
suggestion was “to reaffirm its unequivocal rejection of any infringement on the
legitimate rights of the Palestinian people, through … attempts to displace the
Palestinian people from their land.” It has reinforced its commitment to a
Palestinian state as part of any normalization with Israel. And there lies the
better option. President Trump is right to say that, if we keep trying the same
things, then there will be conflict everlasting. Something different is worth a
try. It is called a Palestinian state and a normalized Israel, based on the
Global Alliance for Implementation of the Two-State Solution. Could it possibly
be that he has, unwittingly or not, thrown out the challenge: if you do not like
what I am suggesting, what have you got instead?
It is time to deliver the better option.
**Alistair Burt is a former UK member of Parliament who has twice held
ministerial positions in the Foreign and Commonwealth Office; as parliamentary
undersecretary of state from 2010 to 2013 and as minister of state for the
Middle East from 2017 to 2019. X: @AlistairBurtUK