English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For October 24/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
The Weed & Good Wheat Seed Parable/The kingdom of
heaven may be compared to someone who sowed good seed in his field
Matthew 13/24-30: “Jesus put before them another parable: ‘The
kingdom of heaven may be compared to someone who sowed good seed in his field;
but while everybody was asleep, an enemy came and sowed weeds among the wheat,
and then went away. So when the plants came up and bore grain, then the weeds
appeared as well. And the slaves of the householder came and said to him,
“Master, did you not sow good seed in your field? Where, then, did these weeds
come from?” He answered, “An enemy has done this.” The slaves said to him, “Then
do you want us to go and gather them? ”But he replied, “No; for in gathering the
weeds you would uproot the wheat along with them. Let both of them grow together
until the harvest; and at harvest time I will tell the reapers, Collect the
weeds first and bind them in bundles to be burned, but gather the wheat into my
barn.” ’
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on October 23-24/2024
To social media Politicized activists: Confront criticism with facts, not
threats and insults/Elias Bejjani/October 23/2024
41 Years After Hezbollah’s (Islamic Jihad) Attack on American and French
Soldiers of the Multinational Force/Gen (r) Maroun Hitti/October 23/2024
41 Ans Après l’Attaque du Hezbollah (Jihad Islamique) Contre les Soldats
Américains et Français de la Force Multinationale/Gen (r) Maroun Hitti/23
octobre 2024
Israeli raids destroy neighborhoods in Tyre
Israeli Strikes Pound Lebanese Coastal City after Residents Evacuate
‘The whole city shook’: Israel pounds Lebanon’s ancient Tyre
Rocket slams into building after barrage unleashed on northern Israel
US has not seen evidence of Hezbollah cash bunker under Beirut hospital,
Pentagon chief says
Netanyahu says Hezbollah prepared ‘invasion’ of Israel
Lebanon state media says drone strike hits Beirut apartment
Western diplomat says foreign forces an option in Lebanon after truce
German foreign minister warns Lebanon ‘on brink of collapse’
IDF eliminates three Hezbollah sector commanders, 70 more terrorists
'IDF to act forcefully': Israel strikes Lebanon's Tyre hours after warning
residents to evacuate
German FM Calls for Diplomatic Solution to Fighting on Her Visit to Beirut
Hezbollah's Hashem Safieddine, heir apparent to Nasrallah, killed in Israeli
attack, group says
Austin: US Has Not Seen Evidence of Hezbollah Cash Bunker Under Beirut Hospital
Lufthansa Suspends Flights to Beirut, Tehran until Early 2025
Israel Confirms Hezbollah’s Safieddine Killed
Hezbollah Confirms that Top Official Hashem Safieddine was Killed in an Israeli
Strike
Israel Says it Killed Three Hezbollah Commanders
US has not seen evidence of Hezbollah cash bunker under Beirut hospital,
Pentagon chief says
War Likely to Wipe 9% off Lebanon’s GDP, with Fallout Set to Exceed 2006
Conflict
Like in Gaza, Israel Attacks Lebanon’s Healthcare Sector
Bassil Disavows Hezbollah, Blames it for Israeli Assault on Lebanon
Israeli weapon seen in rare AP photos of Beirut airstrike appears to be a
powerful smart bomb
Israel says it killed a Hezbollah official expected to become the group's next
leader
Blinken warns Israel to not escalate conflict with Iran, Hezbollah
Israel Is Hurting Hezbollah. But It Can’t Rely on Lebanon to Finish the
Job/David Daoud & Ahmad Sharawi/Haaretz/October 23/2024
With Hezbollah weakened by Israel, its political opponents see an opportunity
Nabih Bulos, Tracy Wilkinson/LA Times/October 23, 2024
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on October 23-24/2024
Twenty reported killed in Gaza as Israel intensifies siege of north
Sirens Sound Across Tel Aviv as Projectiles are Intercepted Near Blinken's Hotel
UNRWA Calls for Truce in North Gaza ‘Even if for Few Hours’
Israel Has Denied Requests to Deliver Aid to Northern Gaza, UN Humanitarian
Office Says
IDF soldiers should refuse orders that may be war crimes, Israeli ex-security
adviser tells BBC
Israel names Al Jazeera reporters as Gaza militants, network condemns 'unfounded
allegations'
Israel's military accuses 6 Al Jazeera journalists of acting as Hamas operatives
Blinken urges Israel to seek deal after tactical gains as truce efforts remain
stalled
Saudi Crown Prince, Blinken Discuss Efforts to Stop Escalation in the Region
An attack targeting a Turkish defense company leaves 4 dead and 14 wounded
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on October 23-24/2024
'The House With Nobody In it' - In Washington D.C.?/Lawrence Kadish/Gatestone
Institute/October 23, 2024
Yes, It’s Time for Painful Decisions/Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al Awsat/October
23/2024
Israel Does Not Intend to Stop/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/October
23/2024
Kurdish Democracy’s Last Chance/Lahur Sheikh JangiAsharq Al Awsat/October
23/2024
Yair Lapid urges deal to free all captives at once, pushes for Saudi
normalization/Elav Brueer & Tova Lazaroff/Jeruselem Post/October 23/2024
Israel must not end war yet despite Sinwar success/Gil Troy/Jerusalem
Post/October 23/2024
Will Israel assassinate Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei?/Salem Alketbi/Jerusalem
Post/October 23/2024
Netanyahu must put his ministers in order to make successful 'day after' plan
/Editorial/Jerusalem Post/October 23/2024
Arab Advocates for Israel Speak Out on Social Media/Hllel Kuttler/The
Magazine/October 23/2024
Why Canceled Christopher Columbus Sailed West (Hint: Islam)/Raymond Ibrahim/The
Stream/October 23/2024
Today in History: Muslims Worship Allah Atop 2,400 Christian
Heads/Raymond Ibrahim/The Stream/October 23/2024
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News &
Editorials published
on October 23-24/2024
To social media Politicized activists: Confront criticism with facts, not
threats and insults.
Elias Bejjani/October 23/2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/135661/
Dear social media activists you MUST be aware that our duty toward the martyrs,
the country, and its people is not to appease anyone … government officials,
clergy, journalists, activists, or politicians—whoever they may be—are all meant
to be servants of the people, yes, servants of the people and their interests,
not deities to be worshiped, praised for their blessings, and shielded from
criticism or opposition to their stances and choices. Whoever supports any
politician, politica party leaderl or official in any position, part if they are
truly human and not mere mouthpieces, slaves, or parrots, must focus on
criticism based on documents and facts, not on insults, mockery, or threats. And
they shouldn’t sulk or leave or threaten to leave the groups they belong to.
Especially during times of crisis and war, it is crucial to explain the stances
and choices of politicians, and freely accept or reject them. Remember that the
saying, “No voice is louder than the voice of battle,” has led the Arabs, their
nations, our country, and our rulers to the depths of hell. Those who wish to
sulk يحرد are free to do so, but neither they nor anyone else has the right to
tailor criticism to fit their allegiance to the idols they worship. As for those
who act like herds of sheep they should at least remain silent and try to
educate themselves.
41 Years After
Hezbollah’s (Islamic Jihad) Attack on American and French Soldiers of the
Multinational Force
Gen (r) Maroun Hitti/October 23/2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/136073/
As today, Hezbollah, under the name of Islamic jihad, attacked the lives of
American and French Soldiers of the Multinational Force, which came to help in
the pacification of Lebanon and the evacuation of the PLO from Beirut and
Lebanon.
After this attack, the Multinational Force hastily evacuated Lebanon, leaving it
easy prey to the vulgar Syrian Ba’ath regime and its acolytes, and leaving
behind its allies from within to confront alone these forces of evil for many
years.
Today Lebanon is still living in tragedy. The evacuation-abandon of 1983 is
partly one of the causes. It is also the indirect cause of October 7 and 8,
2023… in the same trajectory that Israel is breaking today for the nth time.
History lessons are learned slowly. Let us hope that the West will not repeat
itself in hasty abandonment, and will know that the borders of its security
begin here, in this Near Levant. Let us hope that he will remember October 23,
1983, his Soldiers, French and Americans, our Brothers in Arms to us Lebanese
Soldiers, so that their sacrifice will never be in vain. Let us hope that the
struggle that is taking place today before the eyes of the West will lead, not
to miserable ceasefires or weak so-called “humanitarian” truces, which would
only allow the tentacles of the monster to grow back, but to a real definitive
and lasting solution of which only this West has the means to impose.
As for us, we will never forget them. God Have their souls!
41 Ans Après
l’Attaque du Hezbollah (Jihad Islamique) Contre les Soldats Américains et
Français de la Force Multinationale
Gen (r) Maroun Hitti/23 octobre 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/136073/
Comme aujourd’hui, le hezbollah, sous le nom du jihad islamique, attenta à la
vie de soldats Américains et Français de la Force Multinationale, venue pour
aider à la pacification du Liban et à l’évacuation de l’OLP de Beyrouth et du
Liban.
Après cet attentat, la Force Multinationale évacua hâtivement le Liban, le
laissant une proie facile au vulgaire régime baath syrien et ses acolytes, et
laissant en plan ses alliés de l’intérieur confronter ces forces du mal pour de
longues années.
Aujourd’hui le Liban vit toujours dans le drame. L’évacuation-abandon de 1983 en
est partiellement une des causes. Elle est aussi la cause indirecte des 7 et 8
octobre 2023…dans une même trajectoire qu’Israël brise aujourd’hui pour une
nième fois.
Les leçons de l’Histoire s’apprennent lentement. Espérons que l’Occident ne
récidivera plus en abandons hâtifs, et saura que les frontières de sa sécurité
commencent ici, dans ce Levant si proche de lui. Espérons qu’il se souviendra du
23 Octobre 1983, de ses Soldats, Français et Américains, nos Frères d’Armes à
nous Soldats Libanais, afin que leur sacrifice ne sera jamais en vain. Espérons
ce que le combat qui se passe aujourd’hui sous les yeux de l’Occident, aboutisse,
non à de misérables cessez-le-feu ou de mièvres trêves dites” humanitaires”, qui
ne permettraient qu’au tentacules du monstre de repousser, mais à une véritable
solution définitive et durable dont seul cet Occident à les moyens d’imposer.
Quant à nous, on ne les oubliera jamais. Dieu aie leur âme.
Israeli raids
destroy neighborhoods in Tyre
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arab News/October 23, 2024
Raids destroyed several neighborhoods, including hotels, restaurants and
commercial institutions
BEIRUT: Intense Israeli raids targeted the southern coastal city of Tyre on
Wednesday following evacuation warnings by the Israeli army. Although the number
of people in the city had decreased, panic gripped the remaining residents,
prompting them to flee. Half an hour after the warnings by Israeli army
spokesperson Avichay Adraee, the city was targeted, with plumes of black smoke
filling the sky. The raids destroyed several neighborhoods, including hotels,
restaurants and commercial institutions. Tyre often hosts UN peacekeepers on
their first break from deployments along the border region. It comprises rich
Phoenician, Byzantine and Roman remains recorded on the World Heritage List
1984. A portion of the city, formerly known as “the onshore Tyre,” also includes
Qana, Sarafand and the surroundings of Naqoura. Maha Al-Khalil Chalabi, chief of
the International Association to Save Tyre, described what was happening as “brutal.”The
destructive Israeli bombing, she said, besieged Tyre and the old town
specifically. UNESCO has warned of the need to take immediate measures to
protect Tyre and Baalbek from the dangers of bombing and destruction to protect
its population. The Israeli army says that it is targeting Hezbollah’s
infrastructure, while simultaneously invading several border villages to
bulldoze them after bombing houses and facilities. These villages include Aita
Al-Shaab, notably the old town, as well as other villages in Bint Jbeil, which
was subject to artillery shelling. Israeli raids also targeted more than 20
villages, including Khiam, Taybeh, Chakra, Ainata, Sarbin, Mayfadoun, Habboush,
Maarakeh, Kfarsir, Aaichiyeh, Jibchit, Harouf, Blat, Kfar Reman, Arab Salim and
Yohmor Chkeif, killing and injuring dozens of people.One of the fleeing
residents in the south, who wished to remain anonymous, said that after
remaining in his village for 22 days, what he saw “is black hell I’ve never seen
in my life.”
He added: “They left us to our fate and let us down. If you see the magnitude of
the destruction, you will not believe your eyes.”
He said that “many Hezbollah members are shaving their beards and fleeing the
country to Iraq.”
Hezbollah announced the execution of a series of military operations, some of
which targeted “a gathering of soldiers at the eastern outskirts of the Lebanese
town of Taybeh, as well as two gatherings at the Misgav Am site and at the
borders of the Lebanese town of Rab El-Thalathine.”
The clashes remain intense at the triangle of Taybeh-Rab El-Thalathine-Adaisseh
between Hezbollah and the Israeli army, aimed at preventing any incursion into
Lebanese territory. On Tuesday night, Israeli airstrikes hit the southern
suburbs of Beirut with about eight raids targeting residential buildings that
had been evacuated in the neighborhoods of Al-Laylaki and Haret Hreik, the
vicinity of Al-Rayah Stadium, Al-Qaim Mosque, the Atwi complex in Al-Marija and
Burj Al-Barajneh, and a building opposite Bahman Hospital, causing massive
damage to the hospital.The Israeli army reported that it intercepted “four
drones on Wednesday that were attempting to approach the border, and detected
the launch of 25 projectiles from Lebanon toward Haifa Bay and Upper
Galilee.”Israeli media reported “the interception of a missile in the airspace
over the city of Petah Tikva, located northeast of Tel Aviv, as well as two
missiles in the airspace above the Ramat David military airport in the Jezreel
Valley, east of Haifa.”The Israeli army announced that “22 soldiers were injured
in battles in southern Lebanon over the past 24 hours.”
Hezbollah is mourning the head of the party’s executive council, Hashem
Safieddine, who was killed in Israeli raids that targeted buildings in Al-Marija
in the southern suburbs of Beirut early this October. The Israeli raids
prevented any efforts to approach the targeted site to retrieve his body to
confirm his death. Safieddine was the likely successor to the party’s
secretary-general, Hassan Nasrallah, who was killed by Israel in raids that
targeted his underground residence in Haret Hreik on Sept. 27. The Israeli army
announced on Tuesday evening the “elimination of Safieddine” after receiving
intelligence in Beirut about the recovery of his body and the bodies of about 20
leaders. The conflict between Israel and Hezbollah appears to be far from
resolution, despite diplomatic efforts, and has entered a phase of attrition.
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock, who arrived in Beirut, said: “Israel
has significantly weakened Hezbollah, and the current task is to achieve an
effective diplomatic solution.”MP Ibrahim Mneimneh predicted that the conflict
will be long.
“Israel has confirmed that it will not cease its operations against Lebanon
until it has completely dismantled Hezbollah’s military capabilities, disarmed
the group, and returned the residents of the north to their settlements.
“Conversely, Hezbollah asserts that it will continue to resist Israel until the
last fighter.“Therefore, it is unlikely that the fronts of combat will calm down
in the near future, especially given that the US administration is preoccupied
with the election campaigns for the presidential race.”Mneimneh said: “This
situation is accompanied by the Lebanese government’s inability to exert
pressure to halt the war, and the ruling system that has led the country to this
disaster remains determined to dismantle what is left of the state. “Iran is
stepping forward to negotiate on our behalf as if its previous interventions
have not already brought devastation and ruin to all of Lebanon.”Meanwhile, a
meeting was held on Wednesday between the two former presidents, Amin Gemayel
and Michel Suleiman, and former prime minister, Fouad Siniora, at Gemayel’s
residence in Bikfaya.
The meeting praised Prime Minister Najib Mikati’s “stance against Iranian
guardianship and hegemony and his affirmation of the sovereignty of the Lebanese
state and its full control of its free decision.”The attendees said that
“efforts should now focus on saving Lebanon without any delay to stop the
horrifying and open massacre of the Lebanese people at the hands of the Israeli
aggression, through an immediate ceasefire and the implementation of Resolution
1701 under the exclusive authority of the state strictly and completely.”The
meeting called for supporting the parliament’s speaker, prime minister and Arab
parties in these efforts. The process of electing a president for the republic
should be freed from any preconditions, and the elected president should have
the confidence of parliament, they said.
“A national salvation government should be formed, and work should commence on
preparing and implementing a plan for state-building that ensures economic
recovery in all its forms, including efforts to rebuild what the Israeli
aggression has destroyed, in cooperation with friendly institutions and
nations,” a statement released after the meeting said. The attendees called for
“the need to re-establish the authority of the state over all Lebanese
territories, in compliance with international and Arab legitimate
resolutions.”They also urged “adopting and implementing the financial, economic,
administrative and institutional reform plan in the country.”Siniora said: “From
the first day after the 2006 July war, there was a failure to implement
Resolution 1701 by Israel and Hezbollah. It is true that the state sent a large
number of army personnel to the south, but at that time, we witnessed a laxity
in implementation.”Meanwhile, the 11th relief plane in the Saudi air bridge,
operated by the King Salman Humanitarian Aid and Relief Center, arrived at
Beirut Rafic Hariri International Airport, carrying food, tents and medical aid.
Israeli Strikes
Pound Lebanese Coastal City after Residents Evacuate
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Israeli jets struck multiple buildings in Lebanon's southern coastal city of
Tyre on Wednesday, sending up large clouds of black smoke, while Hezbollah
confirmed that a top official widely expected to be the group's next leader had
been killed in an Israeli strike.
The state-run National News Agency reported that an Israeli strike on the nearby
town of Maarakeh killed three people. There were no reports of casualties in
Tyre, where the Israeli military had issued evacuation warnings prior to the
strikes. Hezbollah meanwhile fired another barrage of rockets into Israel,
including two that set off air raid sirens in Tel Aviv before being intercepted.
A cloud of smoke could be seen in the sky from the hotel where US Secretary of
State Antony Blinken was staying on his latest visit to the region to try to
renew ceasefire talks. The group confirmed that Hashem Safieddine had been
killed in an announcement Wednesday, one day after Israel said it had killed him
in a strike earlier this month in Beirut’s southern suburbs. Safieddine, a
powerful cleric within the party ranks, had been expected to succeed Hassan
Nasrallah, one of the group’s founders, who was killed in an Israeli airstrike
last month. Hezbollah began firing rockets, missiles and drones into Israel,
drawing retaliatory airstrikes, after Hamas' Oct. 7, 2023 attack out of Gaza
triggered the war there. All-out war erupted in Lebanon last month, and Israeli
strikes killed Nasrallah, and most of his senior commanders. Israeli ground
forces invaded southern Lebanon at the beginning of October.
Tyre, a provincial capital, had largely been spared in the Israel-Hezbollah war,
but strikes in an around the city have intensified recently. The 2,500-year-old
city, about 80 kilometers (50 miles) south of Beirut, is known for its pristine
beaches, ancient harbor and imposing Roman ruins and hippodrome, a UNESCO World
Heritage Site. It is among Lebanon’s largest cities and a vibrant metropolis
popular with tourists. The buildings struck on Wednesday were between several
heritage sites, including the hippodrome and a cluster of seaside sites
associated with the ancient Phoenicians and the Crusaders. The Israeli military
issued evacuation warnings a couple hours prior for dozens of buildings in the
heart of the city. It told residents to move north of the Awali River, dozens of
kilometers (miles) to the north. Avichay Adraee, an Israeli military spokesman,
said on the platform X that there were Hezbollah assets in the area of the
evacuation warning, without elaborating or providing evidence. The city is in
southern Lebanon, where the Shiite Hezbollah has a strong presence, and its
legislators are members of the group or its allies. But Tyre is also home to
civilians with no ties to the group, including a sizable Christian community.
First responders from Lebanon’s Civil Defense used loudspeakers to warn
residents to evacuate the area and helped older adults and others who had
difficulty leaving. Ali Safieddine, the head of the Civil Defense, told The
Associated Press there were no casualties.
Dr. Wissam Ghazal, a health official in Tyre, said the strikes hit six
buildings, flattening four of them, around 2 1/2 hours after the evacuation
warnings. People displaced by the strikes could be seen in parks and sitting on
the sides of nearby roads. The head of Tyre's disaster management unit, Mortada
Mhanna, told the AP that although many people had fled, thousands of residents
and others who have been displaced from other areas have chosen to stay in the
city. Many people, including hundreds of families, previously had fled villages
in South Lebanon to seek refuge in shelters in Tyre. An estimated 15,000 people
remain in the city out of a pre-war population of about 100,000, Mhanna said.
“It’s very difficult for many to leave. They’re worried about being subjected to
further chaos and displacement,” he said, adding that he and his team had chosen
to stay in the city, but “it’s a big risk. It’s not safe here anymore.” Over
2,500 people have been killed in Lebanon since the conflict began late last
year, according to Lebanon's Health Ministry, which does not distinguish between
civilians and combatants. Over a million people have fled their homes since
September. On the Israeli side, attacks have killed around 60 people, half of
them soldiers. Near-daily rocket barrages have emptied out communities across
northern Israel, displacing some 60,000 people. In recent weeks Hezbollah has
extended its range, launching scores of rockets every day and regularly
targeting the northern Israeli city of Haifa. Most of the projectiles are
intercepted or fall in open areas.
‘The whole city
shook’: Israel pounds Lebanon’s ancient Tyre
AFP/October 23, 2024
TYRE, Lebanon: Israeli strikes on Wednesday pounded Lebanon’s Tyre, an ancient
coastal city which boasts a UNESCO World Heritage site, leaving swathes of its
center in ruins. The raids, among the worst since the start of the
Israel-Hezbollah war last month, hit the “heart of Tyre,” said Rana, a resident
who asked to only use her first name over security concerns. “The whole city
shook,” said Rana, after fleeing to the seafront following an Israeli military
warning for people to evacuate much of Tyre’s center in the morning. Thick black
plumes of smoke were seen rising from several neighborhoods, with parts of the
evacuation area just 500 meters (yards) from the city’s ancient ruins. The
strikes caused “massive destruction and serious damage to homes, infrastructure,
buildings, shops and cars,” said the official National News Agency.
AFP footage showed entire neighborhoods buried under rubble. The Israeli army
struck “command and control complexes of various Hezbollah units,” according to
a post from the military’s Arabic-language spokesman, Avichay Adraee, on social
media platform X. Adraee described Tyre as an “important” Hezbollah stronghold,
although Amal, an ally of the Iran-backed group, was believed to hold more sway
there. Bilal Kashmar of Tyre’s disaster management unit said seven building were
completely levelled and more than 400 apartments in their vicinity damaged in
the strikes. Four streets were completely blocked by debris, he told AFP, adding
that at least two people were left wounded after most residents fled. Before
Hezbollah and Israel started trading fire over the border last year, at least
50,000 people lived in Tyre, a vibrant city home to both Christians and Muslims.
The city was emptied of most of its population when Israel’s heavy bombardment
began last month.Only 14,500 remained there on Tuesday, Kashamr said. But the
city saw a fresh exodus on Wednesday as people began to escape immediately after
the Israeli army issued an evacuation warning for four neighborhoods at 8:00 am
(0500 GMT). Emergency teams drove around the city, urging people to evacuate
over megaphones, a video journalist collaborating with AFP said. An AFP
photographer in the city of Sidon, further north, saw dozens of cars on the
coastal highway filled with families carrying mattresses, suitcases and clothes.
“Some families, who had not left the city of Tyre before, began leaving their
homes to stay clear of areas that the Israeli enemy threatened to target,” NNA
said. Civil defense teams helped transport elderly people and people with
limited mobility “to safe areas,” the NNA added. The Risala Scouts, rescuers
affiliated with Hezbollah ally Amal, deployed ambulances to targeted areas to
transport wounded civilians to nearby hospitals. “We are working on providing
alternative housing with municipalities,” said Rabih Issa, an official with the
organization. Tyre is one of the oldest continuously inhabited cities in the
world. It is home to important archaeological sites, mainly from Roman times.
Kashmar of Tyre’s disaster management unit said there has yet to be a damage
assessment for heritage sites.However, “damage is possible,” he said, explaining
that one strike hit less than 50 meters away from one of the city’s ruins.
UNESCO said it was “closely following the impact of the ongoing conflict on the
World Heritage site of Tyre” using remote sensing tools and satellite imagery.
On September 23, Israel launched an intensive air campaign in Lebanon, after
almost a year of cross-border exchanges with Hezbollah over the Gaza war. Since
then, at least 1,552 people have been killed in Israeli strikes on Lebanon,
according to an AFP tally of health ministry figures, although the real number
is likely to be higher due to data gaps.
Rocket slams into building after barrage unleashed on
northern Israel
Jerusalem Post/October 23/2024
Twenty-five projectiles were identified crossing over from Lebanon into Israel
following the Wednesday rocket barrage that targeted northern Israel, the IDF
announced shortly after the incident. During the barrage, sirens were heard in
Israel's Upper Galilee, Central Galilee, and Haifa Bay. According to Israel's
military, most of the projectiles were intercepted, while others struck in
identified areas. Footage released by N12 showed a building in the Naaman
industrial area after being hit by the strike and sustaining significant damage.
Flames can be seen in the building. No reports of any wounded. Following the
barrage, MDA said that medical teams were en route to the areas where rocket
strikes were identified. There have been no reports of any wounded.
Additionally, the Israel Air Force intercepted a total of four drones on
Wednesday morning following drone sirens that also sounded in northern Israel,
the military said.
US has not seen evidence of Hezbollah cash bunker under
Beirut hospital, Pentagon chief says
REUTERS/October 23, 2024
ROME: US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said on Wednesday that he had not seen
evidence that there was a Hezbollah bunker filled with cash built under a
hospital in Beirut, adding that Washington would continue to work with Israel to
get better insights. Israel’s military said that Hezbollah has stashed hundreds
of millions of dollars in cash and gold in a bunker built under a hospital in
Beirut, adding that it would not strike the facility as it keeps up attacks
against the group’s financial assets. “We have not seen evidence of that at this
moment. But, you know, we will continue to collaborate with our Israeli
counterparts to gain better fidelity on exactly what they are looking at,”
Austin told reporters in Rome. Fadi Alameh, a Lebanese lawmaker with the Shiite
Amal Movement party and the director of the hospital in question, Al-Sahel, has
told Reuters that Israel was making false and slanderous claims and called on
the Lebanese Army to visit and show it had only operating rooms, patients and a
morgue. In a televised statement on Monday, the Israeli military’s chief
spokesman said Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, killed by Israel last month,
had built the bunker which was designed for lengthy stays.
Netanyahu says Hezbollah prepared ‘invasion’ of Israel
AFP/October 23, 2024
PARIS: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Wednesday Israel had uncovered a
plot by Hezbollah to attack his country via underground tunnels involving jeeps
and missiles. He told French broadcasters CNews and Europe 1 that had the plan
succeeded such an assault would have been more damaging than the October 7,
2023, Hamas attack on Israel. “A hundred meters, two hundred meters from the
border we found tunnels, tunnels that were preparing an invasion of Israel, an
attack even greater than on October 7,” Netanyahu said, according to a
simultaneous translation provided by the networks. “With jeeps, with motorbikes,
with rockets, with missiles. They were planning an invasion.”Netanyahu had told
French daily Le Figaro earlier this month that the Israeli army found Russian
cutting-edge military hardware in Hezbollah arms caches. Since Israel last month
escalated its bombing in Lebanon before sending ground troops across the
frontier, the war has killed at least 1,552 people, according to an AFP tally of
Lebanese health ministry figures, though the real toll is likely higher.
Lebanon state media says drone strike hits Beirut apartment
Arab News/October 23, 2024
BEIRUT: Lebanese state media said an Israeli drone strike hit an apartment in
the Jnah neighborhood of south Beirut on Wednesday, as raids targeted the nearby
suburbs of Ouzai and Haret Hreik. “An enemy drone strike targeted a residential
apartment in Jnah near the former location of the Iranian embassy,” the official
National News Agency said, also reporting other strikes in the suburbs of Ouzai
and Haret Hreik which were not preceded by an Israeli evacuation warning.
Western diplomat says foreign forces an option in
Lebanon after truce
AFP/October 23, 2024
BEIRUT: Western countries have floated the idea of deploying international
forces to Lebanon alongside the country’s army in case of a ceasefire between
Israel and Hezbollah, a Western diplomat said Wednesday. Some 10,000
peacekeepers with the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) are
already deployed in the country’s south, but the diplomat said a separate
multi-national troop deployment was under consideration. “What is needed right
now is a ceasefire and a presence trusted by both sides — this could be the
Lebanese army with international forces,” the diplomat told AFP, requesting
anonymity as the matter is sensitive. “Partners of Lebanon have already been
supporting the Lebanese army and are looking very concretely into how they can
support it further... in the context of a ceasefire and long-term diplomatic
agreement,” the diplomat added. After nearly a year of war with Hamas in Gaza,
Israel shifted its focus to Lebanon last month, vowing to secure its northern
border under fire from Hezbollah, ramping up air strikes on the group’s
strongholds and sending in ground troops. UN Security Council Resolution 1701,
which ended a 2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah and called for the
deployment of only Lebanese government forces UNIFIL peacekeepers in south
Lebanon, has come under fire for its limited implementation. Lebanese media
outlets have reported discussions on bolstering the UN resolution’s
implementation, dubbing such an option as “1701-plus.”On a visit to Beirut on
Monday, US envoy Amos Hochstein said that “both sides simply committing to 1701
is just not enough.”“We have to put things in place that would allow for
confidence that it will be implemented for everyone,” he added.The Western
diplomat told AFP that “the push toward a 1701-plus is a reflection of the
reality that neither side implemented” the resolution.Lebanese Prime Minister
Najib Mikati said this month that Lebanon was ready to bolster the army in the
south after any ceasefire was reached. UNIFIL, set up in 1978 to monitor the
withdrawal of Israeli forces after they invaded Lebanon, has accused Israel’s
military of “repeatedly” and “deliberately” firing on its positions in recent
weeks. Hezbollah, founded after Israel invaded and besieged Beirut in 1982, is
the only group that refused to give up its weapons after Lebanon’s 1975-90 civil
war, doing so in the name of “resistance” against Israel. A UN-mandated
multinational force including contingents from the United States and France
deployed in Lebanon after the 1982 invasion, but the mission was targeted by two
deadly attacks that killed almost 300 personnel.
German foreign minister warns Lebanon ‘on brink of
collapse’
October 23, 2024
BEIRUT: German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock warned on Wednesday that
“Lebanon is on the brink of collapse” as she arrived in the war-torn country for
a visit. As Israel clashes with militant group Hezbollah in Lebanon, she also
said that “any deliberate attack on UN peacekeepers violates international
humanitarian law.”Baerbock was on her 12th trip to the Middle East since the
Hamas attack of October 7 last year set off Israel’s war in Gaza and now against
Hezbollah in Lebanon. “The humanitarian situation in Lebanon is becoming more
desperate by the day,” she said at the start of her trip, which Berlin had not
previously announced because of security concerns. “Hundreds of thousands of
people are fleeing with their last belongings, children are being separated from
their parents, hospitals are working at the limit of their capacity. “Lebanon is
on the brink of collapse.”She said Hamas allies Hezbollah are “hiding behind
civilians and continuing to fire rockets at Israel” but also cautioned that
Israel must operate within “the narrow limits of the right to self-defense and
international humanitarian law.” The UN Interim Force in Lebanon has accused
Israel of attacking its peacekeepers multiple times in recent weeks. “All
parties to the conflict also have an obligation to protect UN peacekeepers,”
said Baerbock. “The soldiers of UNIFIL have our full support. They are needed
for a political solution to the conflict. “Any deliberate attack on UN
peacekeepers violates international humanitarian law.”
The war in Gaza began with Hamas’s October 7, 2023 attack on Israel, which
resulted in the deaths of 1,206 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP
tally of Israeli official figures. Israel’s retaliatory offensive has killed
42,718 people in Gaza, also mostly civilians, according to figures from the
Hamas-run territory’s health ministry which the UN considers reliable. Israel
shifted its focus to Lebanon in late September, vowing to secure its northern
border under fire from Hezbollah. Baerbock urged efforts involving the United
States, Europe and the Arab world “to develop a viable diplomatic solution that
protects the legitimate security interests of Israel and Lebanon.”
IDF eliminates three Hezbollah sector commanders, 70
more terrorists
Jerusalem Post/October 23/2024
The three sector commanders had reportedly overseen many attacks on civilians in
Israel, including rocket and anti-tank missile attacks on communities in the
North. Over the past two days, the Hezbollah commanders of the Jibchit, Jouaiya,
and Qana sectors were killed by Israeli air force strikes in Lebanon, the IDF
stated on Wednesday morning. The three sector commanders had reportedly overseen
many attacks on civilians in Israel, including rocket and anti-tank missile
attacks on communities in the North. Additionally, Khalil Mohammad Amhaz, a
terrorist operative in Hezbollah's Aerial Unit, was killed by the IAF on Monday,
the IDF added. According to Israel's military, Amhaz's role in the unit made him
responsible for the development and launching of explosive and
intelligence-gathering drones into Israel. Furthermore, since Tuesday morning,
some 70 terrorists were eliminated via ground encounters and aerial strikes
during ongoing “limited, localized, targeted raids against Hezbollah terrorist
infrastructure and operatives,” the military added. Around 20 of these
terrorists reportedly posed an immediate threat to IDF troops, and were
eliminated by the IAF and troops of the 36th Division, the IDF noted. During
this operational activity, troops uncovered and destroyed subterranean terror
infrastructure and weapons caches. The IDF reported that rockets, anti-tank
missile launchers, mortars, and munitions were among the ordnance destroyed.
IDF activities in Gaza
Concurrently, the IDF reported that troops also killed terrorists and located
weapons in the Gaza Strip during ongoing operations in the Jabalya area. In one
such encounter, the military stated that an Israeli aircraft struck a group of
armed terrorists and that after the strike, secondary explosions went off,
indicating “the presence of significant quantities of weapons.”Israeli forces
also reportedly captured dozens of terrorists as troops enabled civilians in the
Strip to evacuate along humanitarian routes.
'IDF to act forcefully': Israel strikes Lebanon's Tyre hours after warning
residents to evacuate
Jerusalem Post/October 23/2024
The reports of the strikes came approximately three hours after the IDF called
on residents of Tyre, Lebanon, to evacuate the area. Israel conducted an
airstrike on the Lebanese port city of Tyre on Wednesday, witnesses in the area
told Reuters. The reports of the strikes came approximately three hours after
the IDF called on residents of the Lebanese city to evacuate the area. Arab
Media Spokesperson Avichay Adraee posted the announcement on X/Twitter,
emphasizing that the residents were required to move out of the locations marked
in red in the accompanying graphic. Hezbollah's endangerment Adraee also noted
that the residents should head "north of the Awali River.""Anyone who is near
Hezbollah facilities and combat equipment is putting his life in danger," he
added. "Hezbollah's activities force the IDF to act against it forcefully, as it
does not intend to harm you." The area highlighted in red by the graphic was
bordered by Jaafar Sharaf Al-Din Street in the west, Hiram Street in the north,
Al-Athar Street in the east, and Abu Deeb Street in the south.
German FM Calls for Diplomatic Solution to Fighting on
Her Visit to Beirut
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock has called for a diplomatic solution
to the conflict between Hezbollah and Israel. Baerbock, upon her arrival
Wednesday in Beirut, said that “we must now work with our partners in the USA,
Europe and the Arab world to find a viable diplomatic solution that safeguards
the legitimate security interests of both Israel and Lebanon.”The foreign
minister warned that “a complete destabilization of the country would be fatal
for the most religiously diverse society of all states in the Middle East and
also for the entire region.”She also asked all parties involved in the conflict
to protect the United Nations peacekeeper troops stationed in the
Israeli-Lebanese border region. Baerbock is on her 12th visit to the region
since Hamas’ attack on Israel on Oct. 7, 2023. She held talks with influential
parliament Speaker and Hezbollah ally Nabih Berri upon her arrival in Beirut.
Hezbollah's Hashem Safieddine, heir apparent to
Nasrallah, killed in Israeli attack, group says
Reuters/October 23, 2024
Hashem Safieddine, the top Hezbollah official widely expected to succeed slain
secretary general Hassan Nasrallah, was killed in an Israeli attack, the group
said Wednesday. Hezbollah confirmed that Safieddine was killed in an Israeli
airstrike. Safieddine had been running Hezbollah alongside its deputy secretary
general Naim Qassem since Nasrallah's assassination and was expected to be
formally elected as its next secretary general, although no official
announcement had yet been made. A relative of Nasrallah, Safieddine had sat on
the group's Jihad Council - the body responsible for its military operations. He
was also head of its executive council, overseeing Hezbollah's financial and
administrative affairs. Safieddine assumed a prominent role speaking for
Hezbollah during the year of hostilities with Israel that ultimately led to his
death, addressing funerals and other events that Nasrallah had long been unable
to attend for security reasons. His killing further erodes the group's top
leadership as Israeli strikes pummel Lebanon's south, eastern Bekaa Valley and
southern suburbs of Beirut - all Hezbollah strongholds - and the group's
fighters seek to push back Israeli ground incursions.
Austin: US Has Not Seen Evidence of Hezbollah Cash
Bunker Under Beirut Hospital
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23, 2024
US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said on Wednesday that he had not seen
evidence that there was a Hezbollah bunker filled with cash built under a
hospital in Beirut, adding that Washington would continue to work with Israel to
get a better insight. Israel's military said that Hezbollah has stashed hundreds
of millions of dollars in cash and gold in a bunker built under a hospital in
Beirut, adding that it would not strike the facility as it keeps up attacks
against the group's financial assets. "We have not seen evidence of that at this
moment. But, you know, we will continue to collaborate with our Israeli
counterparts to gain better fidelity on exactly what they are looking at,"
Austin told reporters in Rome. Fadi Alameh, a Lebanese lawmaker with the Amal
Movement and the director of the hospital in question, Al-Sahel, has told
Reuters that Israel was making false and slanderous claims and called on the
Lebanese Army to visit and show it had only operating rooms, patients and a
morgue. In a televised statement on Monday, the Israeli military's chief
spokesman said Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, killed by Israel last month,
had built the bunker which was designed for lengthy stays.
Lufthansa Suspends Flights to Beirut, Tehran until Early
2025
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Lufthansa extended the suspension of its flights to Tehran and Beirut until
early next year for operational reasons, the German flagship airline said on
Wednesday. For Lufthansa Airlines, this means flights to Tehran will be
suspended up to and including Jan. 31, 2025, while those to Beirut are suspended
up to and including Feb. 28, 2025, it said.Lufthansa, SWISS, Austrian Airlines,
Brussels Airlines and Eurowings are all part of the Lufthansa Group. SWISS said
in a separate statement that flights to Beirut would be cancelled up to and
including Jan. 18, 2025, to provide greater planning certainty for both its
passenger and crew.
Israel Confirms
Hezbollah’s Safieddine Killed
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Israel on Tuesday confirmed it had killed Hashem Safieddine, the heir apparent
to late Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah who was killed last month in an
Israeli attack targeting the group in Beirut’s southern suburbs. The military
said Safieddine was killed in a strike carried out three weeks ago, its first
confirmation of his death. Earlier this month, Israel said he had probably been
eliminated. There was no immediate response from Hezbollah to Israel's statement
that it had killed Safieddine. "We have reached Nasrallah, his replacement and
most of Hezbollah's senior leadership. We will reach anyone who threatens the
security of the civilians of the State of Israel," said Israeli army chief
Lieutenant General Herzi Halevi. Israel has been carrying out an escalating
offensive in Lebanon after a year of border clashes with Hezbollah. A relative
of Nasrallah, Safieddine was appointed to its Jihad Council - the body
responsible for its military operations - and to its executive council,
overseeing Hezbollah's financial and administrative affairs. Safieddine assumed
a prominent role speaking for Hezbollah during the last year of hostilities with
Israel, addressing funerals and other events that Nasrallah had long been unable
to attend for security reasons. Israel has so far shown no sign of relenting in
its Gaza and Lebanon campaigns even after assassinating several leaders of Hamas
and Hezbollah, which lost Nasrallah, its powerful secretary-general, in a Sept.
27 airstrike. The Beirut suburb where Safieddine was killed was pummeled by
fresh airstrikes Tuesday, including one that leveled a building Israel said
housed Hezbollah facilities. The collapse sent smoke and debris flying into the
air a few hundred meters from where a spokesperson for Hezbollah had just
briefed journalists about a weekend drone attack that damaged Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's house. Tuesday's airstrikes came 40 minutes after
Israel issued an evacuation warning for two buildings in the area that it said
were used by Hezbollah.
Hezbollah Confirms that Top Official Hashem Safieddine was Killed in an Israeli
Strike
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Hezbollah announced Wednesday that Hashem Safieddine, one of its top officials
who had been widely expected to be the group’s next leader, was killed in an
Israeli airstrike. The announcement came a day after Israel said it had killed
Safieddine in a strike earlier this month in Beirut’s southern suburbs.
Safieddine, a powerful cleric within the party ranks, had been expected to
succeed Hassan Nasrallah, one of the group’s founders, who was killed in an
Israeli airstrike last month, The AP reported. Over the past several weeks,
Israeli strikes have killed much of Hezbollah’s top leadership.
Israel Says it
Killed Three Hezbollah Commanders
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Israel's military said it had killed three Hezbollah commanders and some 70
fighters in southern Lebanon in the past 48 hours, a day after confirming it had
killed Hashem Safieddine, the group's heir apparent leader. n southern Lebanon,
Israeli “troops continue conducting limited, localized, targeted raids against
Hezbollah terrorist infrastructure and operatives," the army said in a
statement. "Over the past day, the troops eliminated approximately 70 terrorists
in ground and aerial strikes," it said. n Tuesday, the Israeli military said it
had confirmed the killing of Hashem Safieddine, the heir apparent to Hezbollah
leader Hassan Nasrallah who was killed in an Israeli attack last month. The
military said Safieddine was killed in a strike carried out three weeks ago in
Beirut's southern suburbs, its first confirmation of his death. Earlier this
month, Israel said he had probably been eliminated. here was no immediate
response from Hezbollah to Israel's statement that it had killed Safieddine. We
have reached Nasrallah, his replacement and most of Hezbollah's senior
leadership. We will reach anyone who threatens the security of the civilians of
the State of Israel," said Israeli army chief Lieutenant General Herzi Halevi.
US has not seen
evidence of Hezbollah cash bunker under Beirut hospital, Pentagon chief says
REUTERS/October 23, 2024
ROME: US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said on Wednesday that he had not seen
evidence that there was a Hezbollah bunker filled with cash built under a
hospital in Beirut, adding that Washington would continue to work with Israel to
get better insights. Israel’s military said that Hezbollah has stashed hundreds
of millions of dollars in cash and gold in a bunker built under a hospital in
Beirut, adding that it would not strike the facility as it keeps up attacks
against the group’s financial assets. “We have not seen evidence of that at this
moment. But, you know, we will continue to collaborate with our Israeli
counterparts to gain better fidelity on exactly what they are looking at,”
Austin told reporters in Rome. Fadi Alameh, a Lebanese lawmaker with the Shiite
Amal Movement party and the director of the hospital in question, Al-Sahel, has
told Reuters that Israel was making false and slanderous claims and called on
the Lebanese Army to visit and show it had only operating rooms, patients and a
morgue. In a televised statement on Monday, the Israeli military’s chief
spokesman said Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, killed by Israel last month,
had built the bunker which was designed for lengthy stays.
War Likely to Wipe 9% off Lebanon’s GDP, with Fallout Set
to Exceed 2006 Conflict
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
The war between Israel and armed group Hezbollah is expected to wipe 9% off
Lebanon's national wealth as measured by GDP, the United Nations said on
Wednesday, with the scale of hostilities and the economic fallout set to surpass
the last war in 2006.
The UN Development Program's rapid appraisal of the conflict's impact on
Lebanon's gross domestic product was released a day ahead of a summit hosted by
France to help drum up international support for Lebanon. UNDP said it expected
the conflict to last until the end of 2024, leading to a 30% jump in the
government's financing needs in a country in dire straits even before violence
began. "GDP is projected to decline by 9.2% compared to a no-war scenario,
indicating a significant decline in economic activity as a direct consequence of
the conflict (around 2 billion dollars)," the report said. UNDP said that even
if the war ended in 2024, the consequences would persist for years, with GDP
likely to contract by 2.28% in 2025 and 2.43% in 2026. Lebanon was already
suffering a four-year-old economic downturn and a political crisis when
Hezbollah began firing rockets at Israel last year in support of its Palestinian
ally Hamas. In late September, Israel dramatically ramped up its bombing across
Lebanon, with strikes now regularly hitting Beirut's southern suburbs, major
cities in southern Lebanon and parts of the eastern Bekaa Valley, including the
border with Syria. Hezbollah and Israel last fought in 2006, when a month-long
conflict left much of Lebanon's south and the capital's southern suburbs in
ruins and required international help to rebuild. UNDP said the damage to
physical infrastructure, housing and productive capacities like factories would
likely be close to that estimated for the 2006 war, which was between $2.5
billion and $3.6 billion. But it warned of larger overall damage to Lebanon.
"The scale of the military engagement, the geopolitical context, the
humanitarian impact and the economic fallout in 2024 are expected to be much
greater than in 2006," it said. UNDP's report said the closure of border
crossings critical for trade would bring a 21% drop in trade activities, and
that it expected job losses in the tourism, agriculture and construction
sectors.
It said Lebanon had already sustained "massive environmental losses" over the
last year, including due to unexploded ordnance and contamination from possibly
hazardous material, particularly the use of white phosphorus across southern
Lebanon. Government revenue is expected to fall by 9% and total investment by
more than 6% through both 2025 and 2026. As a result, increased international
assistance will be essential for sustainable recovery in Lebanon, UNDP said -
not only to address the spike in humanitarian needs but to stem the long-term
social and economic consequences of the conflict. Lebanon's minister in charge
of its crisis response told Reuters that the country needed $250 million a month
to help more than 1.2 million people displaced by Israeli strikes.
Like in Gaza, Israel Attacks Lebanon’s Healthcare Sector
Beirut: Youssef Diab/Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Israel is executing a systematic plan to weaken Lebanon’s healthcare sector,
aiming to shut down hospitals and medical facilities, starting from the south
and spreading to the Bekaa and southern Beirut. The latest strike hit the
entrance of Rafic Hariri University Hospital in Beirut’s Jnah area, just an hour
after Israeli forces warned Sahel Hospital to evacuate, alleging a Hezbollah
tunnel with $500 million underneath. Lebanon’s Health Minister Firass Abiad
condemned this as an “Israeli attack on the healthcare sector.”Jihad Saadeh,
director of Rafic Hariri Hospital, said the facility was damaged by Israeli
shrapnel but confirmed they are still operating at full capacity despite the
severe damage. He stated that the hospital would not be evacuated, and urgent
repairs are needed. Fadi Sinan, Director-General of the Ministry of Health,
denied any involvement of the healthcare sector in non-medical activities and
called on the international community to help stop Israel’s attacks on
hospitals. The strikes have damaged three hospitals in the Bekaa and shut down
all facilities in southern Beirut. In response, MP Bilal Abdallah sent a memo to
global health organizations, documenting Israel’s violations of the healthcare
sector. Abdallah also questioned why Israel would target Rafic Hariri Hospital,
which serves the poor and provides essential care like dialysis and cancer
treatment, rejecting Israeli claims that it was linked to Hezbollah. In comments
to Asharq Al-Awsat, Abdallah argued that Israel’s assault on Lebanon’s
healthcare system was a reaction to the sector’s effectiveness in treating
casualties from Israeli attacks and part of a broader attempt to undermine the
resilience of the Lebanese people. Following the attacks, Abiad set up an
emergency operations rooms to distribute patients across remaining hospitals.
Mobile clinics are also providing care to displaced people across the country.
Sahel Hospital’s media tour prompted an angry response from Israeli army
spokesperson Avichay Adraee, who accused journalists of ignoring alleged
Hezbollah bunkers. Hospital director Fadi Alameh dismissed these claims as
false, saying the facility has no political ties and was turned into a field
hospital after other hospitals were damaged. Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, Alameh
called the Israeli allegations about a Hezbollah money vault under the hospital
“pure fabrication,” part of a strategy to destroy Lebanon’s healthcare
system—similar to what Israel had done in Gaza. Despite later assurances from
the Israeli military that Sahel Hospital would not be bombed, Alameh insisted
that a Lebanese army engineering team inspect the hospital and its surroundings
to disprove the claims of an underground Hezbollah facility. Israeli army
spokesperson Daniel Hagari, meanwhile, maintained that Hezbollah had constructed
a tunnel under a hospital in southern Beirut, allegedly storing hundreds of
millions of dollars in cash and gold.
Bassil Disavows Hezbollah, Blames it for Israeli Assault on Lebanon
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Head of the Free Patriotic Movement MP Gebran Bassil announced on Tuesday that
his party was no longer in alliance with Hezbollah. In scathing remarks against
the Iran-backed party to Al-Arabiya television, he said Hezbollah had
relinquished Lebanon’s claim to self-defense when it opened the “support front”
for Hamas in Gaza on October 8, 2023. This weakened the party and exposed its
military capabilities and rendered Lebanon completely vulnerable to Israeli
assaults, he added. Bassil’s statements are another in a slew of criticism by
Lebanese officials that have blamed Hezbollah for dragging Lebanon to another
conflict with Israel. They have slammed the party for taking the unilateral
decision to launch the “support front” without informing official authorities.
Bassil held Hezbollah responsible for committing a strategic error when it said
it would “unify arenas” in Lebanon and Gaza to champion Hamas, a fellow
Iran-backed ally. He stated that the “unity of arenas” does not benefit Lebanon,
rather another – Iran. Moreover, Bassil said Hezbollah committed another error
when it prioritized Shiite interests at the expense of Lebanon’s. “We are no
longer in an alliance with the party,” he declared.
The FPM had struck the alliance with the party in 2006.
Iran is using Hezbollah and the Lebanese people, Bassil went on to say,
expressing his fears over internal strife erupting in Lebanon. “We are facing an
existential threat,” he said. He also voiced concern over attemts to divide the
country. Meanwhile, the Kataeb party warned that Lebanon is enduring one of the
most dangerous phases in its history that could be a turning point in shaping
its future for generations to come. In a statement after a politburo meeting, it
added: “After the end of all conflicts, the Kataeb will not under any
circumstances agree for the situation to return to the way it was” before the
eruption of the conflict. It will not agree to the return of the absence of the
state and its authority. It will not return to a state that sells its
decision-making power to countries near and far. It will not agree to the spread
of weapons outside of state authority, “which the decades have proven is the
main reason for undermining the authority of the state and wronging the Lebanese
people and exposing them to all forms of occupation,” added the statement.
Israeli weapon
seen in rare AP photos of Beirut airstrike appears to be a powerful smart bomb
Adam Schreck/JERUSALEM (AP) /October 23, 2024
In all but the blink of an eye, an Associated Press photographer's camera
captured the moments that a battleship-gray Israeli bomb plummeted toward a
Beirut building before detonating to bring the tower down. The airstrike came 40
minutes after Israel warned people to evacuate two buildings in the area that it
said were located near Hezbollah warehouses and assets. The site was not far
from where a spokesperson for the militant group had just briefed journalists.
It was a rare glimpse into the use of one of the most powerful bombs in Israel's
arsenal.
What kind of weapon was it?
An examination by independent arms researchers suggests the weapon was a guided
bomb, also known as a smart bomb, launched from an Israeli jet. The tail fin and
nose sections indicate this was a 2,000-pound warhead fitted with an
Israeli-made guidance kit known as SPICE, according to Richard Weir, a senior
conflict, crisis and arms researcher at Human Rights Watch. SPICE — Smart,
Precise-Impact and Cost-Effective — guidance systems are made by Israel’s
government-owned Rafael Advanced Defense Systems. They are attached to a
standard unguided bomb to direct the weapon to its target. Minutes before the
strike brought down the building, there were two smaller strikes on it, in what
Israel’s military often refers to as a “a knock on the roof" warning strike,
according to AP journalists at the scene. The practice has been observed in
Israel's military campaign in Gaza; there, over 40,000 have been killed,
according to local officials who don't distinguish between civilian and
combatant deaths, in one of the most destructive conflicts in recent history.
The Israeli military declined to comment about the type of weapon used.
Why does Israel use this type of bomb?
Rafael advertises SPICE kits as being able to operate day or night, through bad
weather, and in areas jammed against GPS. It says the weapons offer “high
lethality and low collateral damage” and “pinpoint hit accuracy.”It also keeps
the attacking aircraft out of harm's way. The 2,000-pound version can be
launched as far as 60 kilometers (37 miles) from its target. Rafael also makes
smaller versions. Once released by an attacking Israeli warplane such as an
American-made F-15 or F-16, the bomb glides toward its target, adjusting course
using movable fins. Joseph Dempsey, a defense and military analyst at the
International Institute of Strategic Studies, agreed the photos indicated the
weapon was a 2,000-pound SPICE bomb. He said the guidance system is thought to
rely on GPS and what are known as electro-optical guidance systems, which use
cameras or sensors to zero in on the bomb's target. The destructive nature of
the weapon comes down to many factors, including the size of the warhead and the
way it is fused. “This was clearly a delayed action fuse. It buried down into
the ground (and) detonated, which has the effect of limiting the fragmentation
and blast damage of this particular strike,” Weir said. That explains why the
destruction was limited almost entirely to the targeted building. People
standing a few hundred meters away felt little to nothing from the blast and
didn't see much fragmentation.
Where is this bomb made?
The answer isn't straightforward.
“The guidance kits for the SPICE 2000 are manufactured by Rafael in Israel,
though the level of reliance on foreign sub-components is unclear,” Dempsey
said. In 2019, Rafael and U.S. defense contractor Lockheed Martin signed a deal
to work together to build and sell SPICE guidance kits in the U.S. At the time,
the companies said production of over 60 percent of the SPICE system was spread
across eight U.S. states. In late October 2023, weeks after Hamas’ deadly Oct. 7
attack, the U.S. State Department issued a letter approving the export of
additional SPICE bomb assemblies to Israel. That letter, first reported by The
New York Times, notified Congress that Rafael USA, an American subsidiary of the
Israeli defense company, was seeking the $320 million shipment. That request was
an amendment to an earlier $403 million license in 2020. The explosive warhead
is a basic bomb, in this case likely a 2,000-pound MK-84 style explosive, where
the nose and tail section have been swapped out for the guidance system. The
U.S. earlier this year paused shipments of those powerful bombs to Israel
because of concerns over civilian casualties, though Israel is believed to still
have supplies in stock. It is difficult to know for sure where the bomb part was
produced. Israel relies on the U.S. for supplies of MK-84 bombs, but it and
other countries also produce similar weapons.
Determining that with certainty would require recovering remnants with markings
on them, Weir said.
Israel says it killed a Hezbollah official expected to
become the group's next leader
Sarah El Deeb, Farnoush Amiri, And Tia Goldenberg/BEIRUT
(AP)/Wed, October 23, 2024
Israel said Tuesday that one of its airstrikes outside Beirut earlier in the
month killed a Hezbollah official widely expected to have replaced the militant
group's longtime leader, who was killed by an Israeli airstrike in September.
There was no immediate confirmation from Hezbollah about the fate of Hashem
Safieddine, a powerful cleric who was expected to succeed Hassan Nasrallah, one
of the group’s founders. Safieddine was killed in early October in a strike that
also killed 25 other Hezbollah leaders, according to Israel, whose airstrikes in
southern Lebanon in recent months have killed many of Hezbollah’s top leaders,
leaving the group in disarray. Last week, Israel killed the top leader of Hamas,
Yahya Sinwar, during a battle in Gaza. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken
said during a trip to Israel that leaders there should “capitalize” on Sinwar's
death as an opportunity to end the war in Gaza and secure the release of
hostages taken during the deadly Hamas attack that started the war. Blinken also
stressed the need for Israel to do more to help increase the flow of
humanitarian aid to Palestinians. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office
called his meeting with Blinken, which lasted more than two hours, “friendly and
productive.”The Beirut suburb where Safieddine was killed was pummeled by fresh
airstrikes Tuesday, including one that leveled a building Israel said housed
Hezbollah facilities. The collapse sent smoke and debris flying into the air a
few hundred meters (yards) from where a spokesperson for Hezbollah had just
briefed journalists about a weekend drone attack that damaged Netanyahu's house.
Tuesday's airstrikes came 40 minutes after Israel issued an evacuation warning
for two buildings in the area that it said were used by Hezbollah. The Hezbollah
news conference nearby was cut short, and an Associated Press photographer
captured an image of an Israeli bomb heading toward the building moments before
it was destroyed. There were no immediate reports of casualties. Hezbollah’s
chief spokesperson, Mohammed Afif, said the group was behind the Saturday drone
attack on Netanyahu’s home in the coastal town of Caesarea. Israel has said
neither the prime minister nor his wife were home at the time.
Blinken's meetings with Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders was part of his 11th
visit to the region since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war. He landed hours
after Hezbollah launched a barrage of rockets into central Israel, setting off
air raid sirens in populated areas and at its international airport, but causing
no apparent damage or injuries.
Hospitals in Lebanon fear being targeted by Israel
An Israeli airstrike late Monday in Beirut destroyed several buildings across
the street from the country’s largest public hospital, killing 18 people and
wounding at least 60 others. The Israeli military said it struck a Hezbollah
target, without elaborating, and said that it hadn’t targeted the hospital
itself. AP reporters visited the Rafik Hariri University Hospital on Tuesday.
They saw broken windows in the hospital’s pharmacy and dialysis center, which
was full of patients at the time.Staff at another Beirut hospital feared it
would be targeted after Israel alleged that Hezbollah had stashed hundreds of
millions of dollars in cash and gold in its basement, without providing
evidence. The director of the Sahel General Hospital denied the allegations and
invited journalists to visit the hospital and its two underground floors on
Tuesday. AP reporters saw no sign of militants or anything out of the ordinary.
The few remaining patients had been evacuated after the Israeli military's
announcement the night before. “We have been living in terror for the last 24
hours,” hospital director Mazen Alame said. “There is nothing under the
hospital.”Many in Lebanon fear Israel could target its hospitals in the same way
it has raided medical facilities across Gaza. The Israeli military has accused
Hamas and other militants of using hospitals for military purposes, allegations
denied by medical staff. Lebanon’s Health Ministry said Tuesday that 63 people
have been killed over the past 24 hours, raising the death toll over the past
year of conflict between Israel and Hezbollah to 2,546. Three Israeli soldiers
were killed on Tuesday: one in Gaza, one in Lebanon, and one in a rocket attack
in northern Israel, according to the military.
Blinken trying to restart efforts to reach a cease-fire in Gaza
During his meeting with Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders, Blinken underscored
the need for a dramatic increase in the amount of humanitarian aid reaching
Gaza, according to U.S. State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller. The need
for more aid in Gaza is something Blinken and U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd
Austin made clear in a letter to Israeli officials last week. Miller said
Blinken also stressed the importance of ending the fighting between Israel and
Hezbollah, which escalated earlier this month when Israel began a ground
invasion of southern Lebanon.
The United States, Egypt and Qatar have brokered months of talks between Israel
and Hamas, trying to strike a deal in which the militants would release dozens
of hostages in return for an end to the war, a lasting cease-fire and the
release of Palestinian prisoners.
But both Israel and Hamas accused each other of making new and unacceptable
demands over the summer, and the talks halted in August. Hamas says its demands
haven't changed following the killing of Sinwar. Israel said it invaded Lebanon
to try to stop near daily rocket attacks from Hezbollah since the start of the
war in Gaza. Israel has said it plans to strike Iran — which backs both Hamas
and Hezbollah — in response to its ballistic missile attack on Israel earlier
this month.
War rages in Lebanon and northern Gaza
The U.S. has also tried to broker a cease-fire between Israel and Hezbollah, but
those efforts fell apart as tensions spiked last month with a series of Israeli
strikes that killed Nasrallah and most of his senior commanders. Israel has
carried out waves of heavy airstrikes across southern Beirut and the country’s
south and east, areas where Hezbollah has a strong presence. Hezbollah has fired
thousands of rockets, missiles and drones into Israel over the past year,
including some that have reached the country’s populous center. On Oct. 7, 2023,
Hamas-led militants killed around 1,200 people in Israel, mostly civilians, and
took another 250 hostage. Around 100 of the captives are still held in Gaza, a
third of whom are believed to be dead. Israel’s retaliatory offensive has killed
more than 42,000 Palestinians in Gaza and wounded tens of thousands, according
to local health authorities, who don't say how many were combatants but say more
than half were women and children. It has also caused major devastation and
displaced around 90% of Gaza's population of 2.3 million.
Blinken warns
Israel to not escalate conflict with Iran, Hezbollah
Jerusalem Post/October 23/2024
“It's also been an imperative for us to try to make sure that this conflict
doesn't spread."US Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned Israel not to
escalate its conflict with Tehran and the Iranian proxy group Hezbollah as it
continues to respond militarily to attacks from both entities.
“It's also been an imperative for us to try to make sure that this conflict
doesn't spread. We are resolute in our defense of Israel when it comes to
attacks it's receiving from Iran, from Iran's proxies,” Blinken told reporters
on Wednesday morning before departing Tel Aviv for Saudi Arabia.“We stand with
Israel and will always stand with Israel and its defense,” he stressed. “It's
also very important that Israel respond in ways that do not create greater
escalation and do not risk spreading the conflict with Hezbollah and Lebanon,”
he said. He spoke as Israel continues to weigh its retaliatory response both to
Iran’s direct ballistic missile attack against it at the start of October and
the Iranian and Hezbollah attempted assassination against Netanyahu last week.
The IDF has continued to strike at Iranian and Hezbollah targets in Lebanon.
Israel on Wednesday began to bomb the UNESCO-listed port city of Tyre on
Wednesday roughly three hours after issuing an order online for residents to
flee central areas. Huge clouds of thick smoke billowed above residential
buildings. Tens of thousands of people had already fled Tyre in recent weeks.
The port is typically a bustling hub for the south - with fishermen, tourists,
and even UN peacekeepers on a break from deployments near the border spending
time there by the sea. But Israel's evacuation orders this week for the city
have for the first time encompassed swathes of it, including right up to its
ancient castle. In Lebanon, Israel's military said it had killed three Hezbollah
commanders and some 70 fighters in the south in the past 48 hours, a day after
confirming it had killed Hashem Safieddine, the militant group's heir apparent
leader.
Ceasefire deal The United States has pushed in particular this week to advance a
ceasefire to end the year-long IDF-Hezbollah war in Lebanon that would be based
on UN Security Council Resolution 1701 that set the ceasefire terms which ended
the 2006 Second Lebanon war. That text calls for Hezbollah not to operate
between the Israeli-Lebanese border and the Litani River. US special envoy Amos
Hochstein has been in Lebanon this working working on a ceasefire deal that
would be based on that same resolution. “We're working intensely on the
effective implementation of 1701… that many years ago should have avoided what
we're seeing now, but didn't, because it's never been implemented,” Blinken
said. “It's absolutely critical that the parties, and notably, Hezbollah, be
moved back from the border, that the Lebanese Armed Forces are able to assume
their responsibilities,” Blinken said. He stressed that it was important that
evacuated Israeli and Lebanese civilians on both sides of the border be allowed
to return home. Separately, German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock arrived in
Beirut for talks on Wednesday and said the task was to find a viable diplomatic
solution between Israel and Lebanon after Israel succeeded in weakening
Hezbollah. "The task now is to work with our partners in the U.S., Europe, and
the Arab world to find a viable diplomatic solution that safeguards the
legitimate security interests of both Israel and Lebanon," Baerbock said in a
statement.
Israel Is
Hurting Hezbollah. But It Can’t Rely on Lebanon to Finish the Job
David Daoud & Ahmad Sharawi/Haaretz/October 23/2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/136089/
The Iranian-backed group has deep popular roots, and its degradation or
elimination will have to rest equally on military defeat coupled with political
and social pressure
The Third Lebanon War has begun, and Israel has already landed impressive blows
against Hezbollah. But victory has yet to be achieved and remains far from
certain.
The group has deep popular roots, and its degradation or elimination will have
to rest equally on military defeat coupled with political and social pressure to
finish the job. Israel is handling the military prong – it possesses the
capabilities and means, the numbers and organization and, most importantly, the
will to finish its part of the task. Israeli popular support for degrading
Hezbollah, no matter the price, has never been higher. Israel is therefore
certain to severely weaken the group if it continues fighting at this level of
tenacity.
Who will carry out the political and social prong remains an open question.
Lebanon and the Lebanese, Hezbollah’s host state and society, are the most
obvious candidates. But they lack any of the vital components to make them
credible or viable actors to undertake that task.
Hezbollah today is hurting but is far from decimated. The group continues to
demonstrate both its ability to take the fight into Israel – albeit at much
lower levels, so far, than previously expected – and to put up a determined
defense in south Lebanon. This, the group is still insisting, will continue
until a prior cease-fire in the Gaza Strip.
Considerable erosion of Hezbollah’s popular support also cannot be identified.
At Hezbollah’s nadir, figures like Abbas Ibrahim – former head of Lebanon’s
General Security and an allegedly opportunistic supporter – poetically eulogized
Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah. From fear or conviction, lead “opposition”
figures like Mark Daou similarly condemned attacks on Hezbollah, including
Nasrallah’s assassination, describing him as a “historical figure” whose death
“was a loss to all.” More surprisingly, so did Saad Hariri and An-Nahar CEO
Nayla Tueni, whose fathers were both murdered by Hezbollah.
This continued popularity has restrained even Lebanon’s old feudal chieftains
who would be so inclined from undermining the group. Much ado was made of
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, caretaker Prime Minister Najib Miqati and Druze
figurehead Walid Jumblatt’s joint October 2 statement allegedly decoupling
Lebanon from Gaza – including, erroneously, that it had forced Hezbollah to
follow suit. Speculative rumor and gossip aside, Berri’s moves are not aimed at
seizing this opportunity to settle decades-old scores with Hezbollah or
undermine it. To the contrary, he still supports Sleiman Frangieh, the
pro-Hezbollah candidate, for president and has been meeting with Iranian
officials. By exploiting misplaced Western and American trust in him as a
reliable interlocutor, he is – as he did during the 2006 Hezbollah-Israel war –
playing the political angle to obtain a cease-fire that would prematurely halt
Israel’s campaign, giving Hezbollah room for survival and regeneration and a
possibly face-saving off-ramp from continuing to fight on behalf of Gaza.
Hezbollah could then theoretically accept decoupling Lebanon from Gaza by saying
it was following Lebanon’s orders, not succumbing to Israeli military pressure.
No wonder, then, that Hezbollah’s top remaining officials have expressed their
utmost trust in Berri and his maneuvering – while Berri says Hezbollah has
authorized him to act on their behalf since 2006. Jumblatt has similarly
condemned Nasrallah’s assassination and insisted now is not the time to force
terms upon Hezbollah domestically. Frangieh’s alleged request to fleeing
Hezbollah leaders and their families that they stay out of his
political-sectarian stronghold of Zgharta also should not be interpreted as
severing alliances. Lebanese identity is very local, and Frangieh doesn’t want
his Lebanon to suffer the consequences of war with Israel. This hyper-localized
identity also prevented Jumblatt, in May 2008, from supporting his erstwhile
allies against Hezbollah’s onslaught but didn’t stop him from tenaciously
fighting off the group’s encroachment into his Druze-Progressive Socialist Party
sectarian enclave. So long as Hezbollah and the consequences of its actions
remain the problem of Hezbollah’s Lebanon, feudal chieftains like Jumblatt or
Frangieh will not act against it. The self-styled Lebanese opposition – both
those aligned with traditional political parties and the so-called independent
and civil society figures – is disunited and ineffective, and as unreliable as
the old political establishment they seek to unseat. The former, including
Kataeb and the Lebanese Forces parties, have produced little more than rhetoric
for two decades, with no meaningful progress or action against Hezbollah. Much
like their idol Bachir Gemayel, they seek foreign forces to solve their domestic
problems while they observe from the sidelines and reap the benefits after the
fact.
In fact, rather than exploit the group’s weakness, they publicly condemned both
Israel’s telecommunications device attacks and Nasrallah’s assassination.
Lebanese Force’s leader Samir Geagea, despite obvious and real disagreements
with Hezbollah, nevertheless insisted Israel was Lebanon’s real enemy to be
fought. Civil society figures, framed as anti-Hezbollah progressive
alternatives, critique the group’s independence from the Lebanese state but not
its status as a national resistance or ultimate objective of destroying Israel.
This camp’s far-left orientation has led it to likewise adopt strong
anti-Western, anti-American and anti-Israel stances, with rhetoric that
inadvertently but frequently mirrors Hezbollah. As many, like Paula Yaacoubian
and Elias Jarade, have demonstrated their willingness to compromise with
Hezbollah, they and others have also openly defended or celebrated violence
against Israelis – including the October 7 massacre – accused Israel of genocide
and framed the Israeli national psyche as inherently evil. Prominent figures
like Mark Daou have even connected to anti-Israel and pro-Palestinian movements
in the United States.
Discounting both prongs of the opposition is therefore not making the perfect
the enemy of the good. It is recognizing that, while these figures and factions
do nothing to counter Hezbollah, their ideas and rhetoric unwittingly create an
intellectual environment that legitimizes the group. Promoting the notion that
Israel and Zionism are inherently evil and their destruction desirable – albeit,
through a soft-power delegitimization approach that Hezbollah also endorses – as
Lebanese consensus normalizes Hezbollah’s ideology and objectives.
Furthermore, neither the old feudal lords nor the opposition in its various
permutations are calling for making Hezbollah disarm by force or law. Instead,
they are calling for a solution through “dialogue and consensus” that includes
Hezbollah, and which will allegedly culminate in a national defense strategy.
The group, after all, won 356,000 of 1.8 million votes cast in the 2022
parliamentary elections and a 2024 poll found 93 percent of Lebanese Shi’ites
support Hezbollah. The group therefore can’t be ignored. Nor can a solution be
imposed upon it. Hezbollah can, as in the past, mobilize its supporters to
paralyze the country, its fighters to forcefully repel any attempt at
disarmament, or summon its regional allies, as the Resistance Axis did in Syria,
if it feels in mortal danger. But neither will Hezbollah ever agree to disarm.
But even this national defense strategy dialogue, if it ever happens, would come
at the end of a long political process, one that involves international
financial aid and assistance in electing a president, followed by the election
of a cabinet, and only then dealing with Hezbollah’s arms. Meanwhile, Lebanese
officialdom is simply trying to extract benefits from the international
community. Until the Israeli war effort against Hezbollah intensified, Beirut
sought this by exploiting the group’s continued attacks. Now, Lebanon is
replicating its 2006 war playbook and seeking the same through empty promises
that will lead to a premature cease-fire.
Once that cease-fire is imposed, Beirut likely hopes that the world will tire
and move on as the issue of Hezbollah’s arms becomes lost again in the byzantine
mazes of Lebanese politics. Hezbollah will survive to rearm, Lebanon will have
received a needed injection of international aid, and the current crisis will
inevitably repeat itself in several years’ time. The current opportunity to
degrade Hezbollah is too important, and too rare, to prop up half the strategy
against the group on an undependable leg – on the hope that a reed that has long
proven itself splintered and broken will now, for once, step up and act at all,
let alone correctly.
**David Daoud is senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies,
where he focuses on Israel, Hezbollah and Lebanon affairs.
**Ahmad Sharawi is a research analyst at the Foundation for Defense of
Democracies focused on Iranian intervention in Arab affairs and the Levant.
With Hezbollah
weakened by Israel, its political opponents see an opportunity
Nabih Bulos, Tracy Wilkinson/LA Times/October 23, 2024
Under heavy attack from Israel, the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah has been
seriously weakened militarily in recent weeks, with many of its top leaders
killed, and at least some of its arsenal destroyed.
That has raised hopes among its opponents both foreign and domestic that it may
also be vulnerable politically. Hezbollah is also a powerful political party —
and in the view of its critics a major reason why Lebanon has been so difficult
to govern. The country has been without a president for two years, meaning it
has no commander in chief of the army or effective way to deal with an economy
in shambles. Here's a look at whether recent development could be the beginning
of the end of Lebanon's political paralysis.
How did Hezbollah get so much power in the first place?
Hezbollah got its start in 1982 during Lebanon’s civil war as a cadre of Shiites
dedicated to ending Israel’s occupation of southern Lebanon. With backing from
Iran, it grew into a highly organized force responsible for major attacks
against the U.S. and Israel.
When the civil war ended in 1990, Hezbollah was the only faction to keep its
arms, saying it needed them to continue its resistance against Israel. Ten years
later, it forced Israel to withdraw from the country — though Israel continues
to control some disputed territory — but did not disarm. In 1992, it entered
politics, parlaying its growing popularity to elect lawmakers to parliament. It
wooed Lebanon’s long-disenfranchised Shiites — who make up roughly 32% of the
population, according to research groups — with micro-lending programs and
medical and social services often superior to those provided by the government.
Even as the U.S. designated the group as a terrorist organization, Hezbollah
evolved into what many describe as “a state within a state.”It holds just 13
seats of the 128 seats in parliament, but as part of a parliamentary bloc can
count on 58 in total — still short of a majority. Before the current war began,
it was thought to have about 100,000 fighters, who are widely considered to be
better trained and equipped than the estimated 73,000 active-duty soldiers in
the Lebanese army.
What's the situation with the Lebanese presidency?
Lebanon’s last president, Michel Aoun, left his post in October 2022 after his
term expired. Since then, the country has been run by a caretaker government led
by Najib Mikati, who was nominated as Prime Minister-designate but never formed
a government. That has limited the ability of the cabinet to make executive
decisions and left the country's institutions virtually running on autopilot.
With 18 official sects, Lebanon employs a complex political system in which
religious communities share power and government positions and seats in
parliament are distributed in rough proportion to the country's demographics.
The president must be a Christian, the prime minister a Sunni Muslim and the
speaker of parliament a Shiite Muslim.
The parliament has made 12 attempts to elect a president over the last two
years. All have failed because the parties — none of which has enough seats to
impose its choice — have refused to cooperate. Hezbollah, which is backed by
Iran, and its partners insisted on a candidate close to Tehran and Syrian
President Bashar Al-Assad, another Hezbollah ally. Others called for a more
pro-Western candidate, which Hezbollah believes would curtail its influence in
the country, and work against what it calls its “resistance” against Israel and
the U.S.
What's the new plan to break the impasse?
Over the past few weeks, U.S. officials have corralled support from regional
governments and held discussions with Lebanese politicians with the aim of
convening parliament to choose a president. Besides helping restore stability
and getting the economy on track, Lebanese politicians say a president would be
empowered to negotiate a cease-fire. U.S. officials and many Lebanese
politicians would like to see a full implementation of United Nations resolution
1701, a 2006 agreement under which Hezbollah fighters would withdraw from a
section of southern Lebanon and the Lebanese army would take sole responsibility
for security in the region. The army has remained neutral in the current
conflict even as Israel has fired on its positions, killing or wounding at least
five of its soldiers since the beginnng of Israel's invasion. Last week,
Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Lebanon’s caretaker prime talked by phone
and discussed “the need to empower leadership that reflects the will of the
people for a stable, prosperous, and independent Lebanon,” according to a
transcript of the call.
Blinken “emphasized that Lebanon cannot allow Iran or Hizballah to stand in the
way of Lebanon’s security and stability.”
How is Hezbollah reacting?
Hezbollah and its allies say they will entertain no talks about the presidency
without an end to the war, which began last fall after the militant group began
firing rockets into northern Israel in what it called a "solidarity campaign"
with Gaza. Since Israel invaded southern Lebanon this month, it has killed more
than 2,500 people there and driven 1.2 million from their homes. Some 60,000
people have been displaced in Israel over the last year, and Israeli authorities
say 59 people have been killed in northern Israel and the Golan Heights. “The
solution is a cease-fire," Hezbollah’s deputy chief Naim Qassem said in a
pre-recorded address last week as he insisted that the group remained a powerful
military force. "We are not speaking from a position of weakness.”“If the
Israelis do not want that, we will continue,” he said. Politically, Hezbollah
has enough seats with its allies to thwart quorum in parliament even as many of
its MPs have maintained a lower profile for fear of drawing Israeli fire.
What is Israel saying?
In a speech this month, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu urged the
Lebanese people to “take back their country” from Hezbollah, saying the group
was the weakest it has been in many years. “Now you, the Lebanese people, you
stand at a significant crossroads,” he said.
Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid has called for the recreation of a South
Lebanon Army, an Israeli-backed Christian-dominated Lebanese militia that
operated in south Lebanon during Israel’s occupation of the area stands accused
of torture and forcing residents from their homes.
Michael Young, a Lebanon expert with the Carnegie Middle East Center, said those
statements suggest that Israel plans that go beyond merely pushing Hezbollah
back from the border — to its disarmament if not destruction.
So does any of this have a chance of working?
Despite a flurry of consultations between various parliamentary blocs, there has
been little progress. Parliament head Nabih Berri, who leads Amal, a Shiite
party that has in the past been a rival of Hezbollah but is now its top ally,
has yet to call parliament in session.
And if the past is any indication, the chances for success are low. In 1982,
Christian president-elect Bachir Gemayel came to power with Israeli and U.S.
support. The aim was to remove Palestinian factions fighting using south Lebanon
as a staging ground against Israel and head a government friendly towards
Israel. He was assassinated a few weeks later. Indeed, whatever initiative comes
for the presidency would almost certainly require buy-in from Hezbollah.
“Hezbollah still has tens of thousands of armed men," Young said. "They will
provoke a civil war if they need to defend their interests."At the same time,
few people have faith that the Lebanese army would be able to deploy to the
south in a meaningful fashion, especially if it means removing Hezbollah by
force. Any confrontation would be a recipe for civil war, since a significant
portion of the army is Shiites.
This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on October 23-24/2024
Twenty reported killed in Gaza as Israel intensifies siege of
north
Nidal al-Mughrabi/CAIRO (Reuters)/October 23, 2024
Israeli strikes across Gaza killed 20 people on Wednesday as Israeli forces
intensified a siege of northern parts of the Palestinian enclave, surrounding
hospitals and refugee shelters, and ordering residents to head south, medics and
residents said. The Gaza health ministry and the World Health Organization said
they would be unable to start a polio vaccination campaign in northern Gaza as
planned because of the intense bombardments, mass displacements and lack of
access.
Israeli forces began the operation in the north about three weeks ago with the
declared aim of preventing Hamas fighters from regrouping. The operation has
intensified since the killing of Hamas chief Yahya Al-Sinwar a week ago.
Israel's allies, including the United States, have said they hoped Sinwar's
death could provide a fresh impetus for peace by allowing Israel to declare that
it had achieved some of its major objectives in Gaza. But so far, Israeli forces
seem to have only intensified their assault, especially on the northern areas,
where Israel says Hamas fighters are regrouping in ruins of areas that were
among the first targeted by Israel's campaign last year. The Israeli military
announced last Friday it had sent another army unit to Jabalia on the northern
edge of Gaza. Residents say the troops have besieged shelters, forcing displaced
people to leave while rounding up many of the men. The health ministry said at
least 650 people had been killed since the new offensive began. Of at least 20
people reported killed by Israeli military strikes across the enclave on
Wednesday, 18 deaths were in northern Gaza. The United Nations Palestinian
refugee agency UNRWA said on Wednesday one of its staff members was killed when
an UNRWA vehicle was hit in Deir Al-Balah in the central Gaza Strip. Medics said
the man's brother was also killed. The municipality of Gaza City said two city
workers were killed and three others wounded in a strike there. Health and civil
emergency officials said dozens of bodies of Palestinians killed by Israeli fire
in and around Jabalia were scattered on roadsides and under the rubble where
medical teams could not reach them. Hospitals in the north have either stopped
providing medical services or are hardly operating because of the offensive.
Hospitals where medics have refused Israeli evacuation orders say they are
running out of blood for transfusions, as well as coffins and shrouds for the
dead.
"We call on the world, which has failed to provide protection and shelter for
our people and has been unable to deliver food and medicine, to make an effort
to send shrouds for our fallen," the Gaza health ministry said in a statement.
The polio vaccination campaign, launched after a baby was paralysed by the
disease in Gaza for the first time in 25 years, had to be halted. "We have not
been able to launch the campaign to vaccinate 120,000 children in Gaza City and
northern Gaza today because of the siege and the Israeli aggression," health
ministry official Majdi Dhair said. Israel's military humanitarian unit, COGAT,
which oversees aid and commercial shipments to Gaza, said the vaccination
campaign in northern Gaza will begin in the coming days, "after a joint
assessment and at the request" of the World Health Organization and the U.N.
International Children's Emergency Fund UNICEF.
CALL FOR TRUCE
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken visited Israel and was heading to Saudi
Arabia to push for a ceasefire, the first major U.S. peace initiative since the
killing of Hamas leader Sinwar and the last before a Nov. 5 presidential
election that could upend U.S. policy in the region. Washington has called on
Israel to allow more humanitarian supplies into northern Gaza. Israel says aid
has been delivered in scores of trucks as well as air drops, but Gaza medics say
the aid has not reached them. COGAT said on Tuesday that 237 trucks containing
humanitarian aid from Jordan and the international community had been
transferred to northern Gaza over the past eight days. Israel "will continue to
act in accordance with international law to facilitate and ease the humanitarian
response to the Gaza Strip," it said. Palestinian health officials and residents
said no aid has been allowed into Jabalia, Beit Hanoun, and Beit Lahiya, three
towns on the northern edge of Gaza. The Israeli military said its forces were
operating against Hamas militants who staged attacks from there, and that they
killed scores of militants and destroyed military infrastructure while helping
residents who heeded evacuation orders to leave. The overall death toll in Gaza
is approaching 43,000, according to the latest health ministry figures, and
nearly all of the 2.3 million Gazans have been displaced, many multiple times.
The Israeli offensive was triggered by the Hamas-led attack on Israel on Oct. 7,
2023, in which 1,200 people were killed and around 250 taken as hostages back
into Gaza.
Sirens Sound
Across Tel Aviv as Projectiles are Intercepted Near Blinken's Hotel
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23, 2024
Air raid sirens echoed across Tel Aviv on Wednesday as United States Secretary
of State Antony Blinken prepared to end a visit. Smoke, apparently from an
intercepted projectile, could be seen in the sky above the hotel where Blinken
was staying. Blinken urged Israel to use its recent tactical victories against
Hamas to seek a war-ending deal and bring back dozens of hostages, before
leaving Wednesday for Saudi Arabia as part of his 11th visit to the region since
the start of the Israel-Hamas war.
Both sides appear to be dug in. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has
pledged to annihilate Hamas and recover dozens of hostages held by the group.
Hamas says it will only release the captives in return for a lasting cease-fire,
a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and the release of Palestinian prisoners.
UNRWA Calls for Truce in North Gaza ‘Even if for Few Hours’
Gaza: Asharq Al Awsat/October 23, 2024
The United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near
East (UNRWA) called on Tuesday for a temporary truce to allow people to leave
areas of northern Gaza as health officials said they were running out of
supplies to treat patients injured in a three-week-old Israeli assault. Philippe
Lazzarini, head of the UNRWA relief agency, said the humanitarian situation had
reached a dire point, with bodies abandoned by roadsides or buried under rubble,
according to Reuters. “In northern Gaza, people are just waiting to die,” he
said in a statement on social media platform X. “They feel deserted, hopeless
and alone.”“I am calling for an immediate truce, even if for a few hours, to
enable safe humanitarian passage for families who wish to leave the area & reach
safer places,” he added. The call came as US Secretary of State Antony Blinken
arrived in Israel for talks in which he urged its leaders to capitalize on the
military’s killing last week of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar by taking steps to end
the shattering year-old war. Sinwar was the leader of the Palestinian group that
runs the Gaza Strip. ashington has called on Israel to allow more humanitarian
supplies into northern Gaza and Israel says aid has been delivered in scores of
trucks as well as air drops, but Gaza medics say the aid has not reached them. n
Tuesday, Gaza health officials said more than 20 people were killed by the
Israeli forces. The bodies of dozens of people were on roadsides and under
rubble, inaccessible to rescue teams because of ongoing strikes, they said. Many
wounded have died before our eyes and we couldn't do anything for them,” said
Munir Al-Bursh, the director of the Gaza health ministry, who is currently in
northern Gaza. Hospitals also ran out of coffins to prepare the dead and we have
asked people to donate any fabric they have at home.”The Israeli military, which
launched an assault against Hamas militants holding out in the northern town of
Jabalia this month, says it is evacuating people along designated routes and has
filtered out dozens of militants from civilians going south.
Israel Has Denied Requests to Deliver Aid to Northern Gaza, UN Humanitarian
Office Says
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23, 2024
The United Nations humanitarian office said Palestinians under an Israeli siege
in northern Gaza “are rapidly exhausting all available means for their
survival,” and Israel has denied UN requests to deliver life-saving aid to the
area.The UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs also reports
that Israeli authorities are still denying its requests to help rescue dozens of
people trapped under their collapsed homes in the Falouja area of the Jabaliya
refugee camp in the north, UN spokesperson Farhan Haq told reporters Tuesday.
The requests by the humanitarian office, known as OCHA, that were denied include
planned missions by UN agencies and their partners to deliver supplies including
blood, medications, food parcels and fuel to hospitals and water facilities, he
said. The United States warned Israel earlier this month that it must increase
the amount of humanitarian aid it is allowing into Gaza within 30 days or it
could risk losing access to US weapons funding. It said at least 350 trucks a
day need to get into Gaza and Israel must provide additional humanitarian pauses
and increased security for humanitarian sites.OCHA reported that 25 trucks
entered Gaza on Sunday, 25 on Saturday, and 65 on Friday. Haq said the director
of Kamal Adwan, one of the last functioning hospitals in north Gaza, which is
seeing a constant influx of casualties, reported Monday that blood supplies have
run out and medical teams are working non-stop with no food.
IDF soldiers
should refuse orders that may be war crimes, Israeli ex-security adviser tells
BBC
Fergal Keane - Special correspondent/BBC/October 23, 2024
As someone who served four Israeli prime ministers and was deputy head of the
country’s National Security Council, Eran Etzion’s judgement was trusted at the
highest levels of the state. A longstanding critic of Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu, he is also someone whose years of public service earned him
widespread respect. But now Mr Etzion, a former soldier himself, is warning that
Israel’s military - the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) - might be committing war
crimes in northern Gaza. And he is suggesting that officers and troops should
reject illegal orders.
“They should refuse. If a soldier or an officer is expected to commit something
that might be suspected as a war crime, they must refuse. That's what I would do
if I were a soldier. That's what I think any Israeli soldier should do,” he
tells me.We are sitting on the balcony of his home in Shoresh in central Israel.
Here there is the quiet sunshine of an autumn morning. A peaceful neighbourhood
where some builders are working on house improvements.
An emotional man is comforted by other men at the Kamal Adwan Hospital
Less than 40 miles down the road is the Gaza neighbourhood of Jabalia.
As Mr Etzion and I are speaking, doctors and medical staff at the Indonesian
Hospital in Jabalia are sending desperate voice notes to the international
community begging for aid. One senior nurse - in a message heard by the BBC -
speaks in an exhausted voice of relentless privations allegedly imposed by the
Israelis besieging Jabalia. “My friend, I’m so so tired,” he says. “I can’t
explain how tired I am. The water is empty. We don't have water. We contacted
the Israeli force to allow us to charge water to the tank, but they don't accept
that.... And we don't know what will happen tomorrow. The situation is very very
bad.” Another nurse says: “I am sorry for my language, I can't talk well. I am
very fatigued and dizzy. I haven't eaten since yesterday. We try to give the
food that we found to the patients and families and we don't eat ourselves.”Tens
of thousands of people are now fleeing Jabalia as the Israeli army continues its
offensive against what it says is an attempt by Hamas to regroup.
Mr Etzion is worried for the civilians of Jabalia and his country. “There is a
very dangerous erosion of norms. There is a very widespread sense of revenge, of
rage,” he says. This is because, Mr Etzion says, Israel is in the grip of trauma
after the 7 October 2023 Hamas attacks in which around 1,200 Israelis were
killed and more than 200 taken hostage into Gaza. “The will to revenge could be
understood. It's human, but we're not a gang, we're not a terror organisation,
and we're not a militia. We're a sovereign country. We have our history, we have
our morals, we have our values, and we must operate under international law and
under international standards if we want to continue to be a member of the
international community, which we do.” He is speaking out as a former soldier,
as someone whose children served in the IDF, and whose family and friends still
serve. “I'm just a concerned citizen trying to raise my voice. So that's what
I'm doing. I want to make sure that no soldier is involved in anything that
could be constituted as a war crime.”Israel has faced mounting international
criticism over its conduct during the war. The United States has threatened to
cut arms shipments if Israel does not surge aid into Gaza. The UN has accused
the Israelis of repeatedly blocking or impeding the transfer of aid, most
recently into northern Gaza. The IDF has consistently rejected allegations that
it is implementing a deliberate policy of starvation to force residents to flee
from Jabalia. Israel has long accused Hamas of using the civilian population as
human shields, launching attacks from schools and medical facilities.
“Hamas does not hesitate to abuse Gazans, exploit them, steal aid from them, and
forcefully prevent them from evacuating when it is necessary for them to do so,”
the IDF said in May.
One of Britain’s most prominent war crimes lawyers, Prof Philippe Sands KC, told
me that that while Israel had a right to self defence after the 7 October
attacks, it was now violating international law.
“It has to be proportionate. It has to meet the requirements of international
humanitarian law. It must distinguish between civilians and military targets.
"It doesn't allow you to use famine as a weapon of war. It doesn't allow you to
forcibly deport or evacuate large numbers of people.
"So it's impossible to see what is going on now in Gaza, as it's impossible to
see what happened on 7 October, and not say crimes are screaming out.”Prof Sands
has led the genocide case against Myanmar, and the case for Palestinian
statehood at the International Court of Justice in the Hague. His book East West
Street: On the Origins of Genocide and Crimes Against Humanity won the Baillie
Gifford Prize for non-fiction. The book also details his own Jewish family’s
experience of the Holocaust. War crimes lawyer Prof Philippe Sands KC told the
BBC Israel is violating international law [BBC]
I ask if the crisis in Gaza makes him worry about the survival of international
law. He points to the fact that the prosecutor of the International Criminal
Court (ICC) is seeking arrest warrants for Israel’s prime minister and defence
minister.
The prosecutor also sought warrants for three Hamas leaders. All three,
including Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, are now dead. "It [international law] is
not working on the ground in relation to Russia and Ukraine. It's not working on
the ground in relation to Sudan. It's not working on the ground in relation to
Palestine and Israel. "There's just no ifs and buts. We just have to, we have to
recognize that. But that is not a reason to tear up the entire system. "If you
ask yourself what the alternative is, which is basically no pieces of paper with
the words Treaties written on it, you're back to the 1930s, and at least what we
have now is a system of rules which allows people to stand up and say: ‘This is
a violation of a treaty'.”
We asked the IDF for an interview but they said no spokesperson was available
today, and referred us to an earlier statement which says: “The IDF will
continue to act, as it always has done, according to international law.”And
today the Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT), the
army’s humanitarian relief wing, said it was their policy to facilitate the
entrance of aid into Gaza “without limits”.This is Israel’s narrative. But as
scenes of civilian suffering continue to emerge from Jabalia it is being widely
challenged. With additional reporting by Rudabah Abbass, Haneen Abdeen and Alice
Doyard
Israel names Al
Jazeera reporters as Gaza militants, network condemns 'unfounded allegations'
Reuters/October 23, 2024
JERUSALEM (Reuters) - The Israeli military named on Wednesday six Palestinians
in Gaza as Al Jazeera reporters who it said were also members of the Hamas or
Islamic Jihad militant groups, an allegation which the Qatari network rejected
as an attempt to silence journalists.
"Al Jazeera condemns Israeli accusations against its journalists in Gaza and
warns against (this) being a justification for targeting them," the network said
in a statement. The Israeli military published documents which it said it had
found in Gaza that proved the men had a military affiliation to the groups.
Reuters was not able to immediately verify the authenticity of the documents.
The Israeli military said the papers included Hamas and Islamic Jihad lists of
personnel details, salaries and militant training courses, phone directories and
injury reports. "These documents serve as proof of the integration of Hamas
terrorists within the Qatari Al Jazeera media network," the military said. Al
Jazeera said that "The Network views these fabricated accusations as a blatant
attempt to silence the few remaining journalists in the region, thereby
obscuring the harsh realities of the war from audiences worldwide."Israel has
long accused Al Jazeera of being a Hamas mouthpiece and over the past year its
authorities have ordered it to shut down its operations for security reasons,
raided its offices and confiscated equipment. Al Jazeera has said the Israeli
actions against it were criminal, draconian and irresponsible and that the
latest allegations were "part of a wider pattern of hostility" towards it. The
network says it has no affiliation with militant groups and has accused Israeli
forces of deliberately killing several of its journalists in the Gaza war,
including Samer Abu Daqqa and Hamza AlDahdooh. Israel says it does not target
journalists. Qatar established Al Jazeera in 1996 and sees the network as a way
to bolster its global profile. Along with Egypt and the United States it has
mediated ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas, though the talks have
been deadlocked for months.
Israel's
military accuses 6 Al Jazeera journalists of acting as Hamas operatives
Chris Benson/UPI/October 23, 2024
Israel's military said it uncovered documents that it says proves six
journalists with the Middle East-based news source Al Jazeera are operatives
with Hamas and other Palestinian-linked terror squads. However, a New York-based
international journalism association was skeptical of Israel's accusations
against the journalists. On Wednesday, the Israeli Defense Forces said documents
recovered in the Gaza Strip -- including spreadsheets, training course lists,
telephone and salary records -- "unequivocally prove" that six journalists with
Al-Jazeera were operatives who also functioned as members of Hamas and
Palestinian Islamic Jihad terrorist syndicates. The IDF named Anas Al-Sharif,
Alaa Salama, Hossam Shabat, Ashraf Saraj, Ismail Abu Amr, and Talal Aruki as the
accused. In May, the Israeli government banned Al Jazeera from the country
because of its coverage of Israel's war in Gaza. The ban was extended, too.
"These documents are proof of the involvement of Hamas terrorists in the Qatari
media network, Al Jazeera," Israel's military said in a statement. Israel
claimed the accused staff journalists are "spearheading" propaganda for Hamas by
using Al Jazeera's global platform. It's alleged that al-Sharif was head of a
rocket launching squad. Salameh, IDF officials claimed, was deputy head of a
propaganda outfit and a sniper. And al-Sarraj, according to the IDF, was a
member of an Islamic Jihadist military unit while Abu Omar had been a training
company commander previously wounded in an IDF airstrike several months prior.
It's also alleged that al-Arrouqi was a team commander in a Hamas batallion. On
Wednesday, the international Committee to Protect Journalists took to social
media to say it was aware of the IDF's accusations against the Al Jazeera
reporters and it voiced skepticism over the IDF claims. "Israel has repeatedly
made similar unproven claims without producing credible evidence," the New York
City-based nonprofit posted on X close to noon. The global Al Jazeera network
has fiercely denied Israel's claims and accused the IDF of targeting Al Jazeera
staff working in Gaza. In January, the Israeli government iclaimed that an Al
Jazeera staff reporter and a freelancer killed in an airstrike also were Hamas
operatives. That was followed a month later by accusations that another Al
Jazeera journalist who had been wounded in a different IDF strike was a Hamas
leader, as well. According to the CPJ, Israel was responsible for the July
killing of Al Jazeera correspondent Ismail Al-Ghoul. However, Israel's military
"previously produced a similar document, which contained contradictory
information, showing that Al-Ghoul, born in 1997, received a Hamas military
ranking in 2007 -- when he would have been 10 years old," the journalist
watchdog group added on Wednesday. This follows an incident in May this year
when Israeli officials wrongly detained journalists it incorrectly believed were
working for the Israeli-banned Al Jazeera news broadcaster
Blinken urges Israel to seek deal after tactical gains
as truce efforts remain stalled
Farnoush Amiri And Samy Magdy/TEL AVIV, Israel (AP)/October 23,
2024
Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Wednesday that Israel needs to pursue an
“enduring strategic success” after its tactical victories against Hamas, urging
it to seek a deal that would end the war in the Gaza Strip and bring back dozens
of hostages.
He spoke before traveling from Israel to Saudi Arabia on his 11th visit to the
region since the outbreak of the war. Air raid sirens sounded in Tel Aviv
shortly before his departure as Israel intercepted two projectiles fired from
Lebanon, and a puff of smoke could be seen in the sky from Blinken's hotel.
“Israel has achieved most of the strategic objectives when it comes to Gaza,"
Blinken told reporters before boarding his plane. “Now is the time to turn those
successes into an enduring strategic success.”“There really are two things left
to do: Get the hostages home and bring the war to an end with an understanding
of what will follow,” he said.
No sign of a breakthrough after killing of Hamas leader
The United States sees a new opportunity to revive cease-fire efforts after the
killing of top Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar by Israeli forces in Gaza last week.
But there’s no indication that either of the warring parties have modified their
demands since talks stalled over the summer.
There was also no immediate sign of a breakthrough after Blinken met with Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and other top Israeli officials on Tuesday. Israel
blamed the failure of the talks on a hard-line stance adopted by Sinwar, but
Hamas says its demands for a lasting cease-fire, full Israeli withdrawal and the
release of a large number of Palestinian prisoners have not changed following
his death. Hamas blamed the failure of the talks on Israel's demand for a
lasting military presence in parts of Gaza.
There's talk of a more limited cease-fire and hostage release
Egypt has suggested the possibility of a short pause in fighting in which Hamas
would release a handful of hostages and humanitarian aid deliveries would be
ramped up, especially in northern Gaza, an Egyptian official told The Associated
Press.
The official, who was not authorized to brief media and spoke on condition of
anonymity, said Egypt and fellow mediator Qatar had discussed the idea with the
United States but it was not yet a firm proposal. The official said Israel and
Hamas were aware of those discussions.
A senior State Department official confirmed that a proposal for a limited
hostage release has been discussed in recent days but that no determination had
been made, even after Blinken's meetings with Israeli officials and families of
the hostages on Tuesday.
There was no immediate comment from Israel or Hamas. The militant group has
rejected such ideas in the past, saying it is intent on securing an end to the
war. It is still holding around 100 hostages captured in its Oct. 7, 2023,
attack that triggered the war, around a third of whom are believed to be dead.
Israel is warned on aid as it wages offensive in northern Gaza
Israel has meanwhile dramatically reduced the amount of humanitarian aid allowed
into Gaza as it wages another major operation in the hard-hit north of the
territory. Blinken reiterated a warning that hindering humanitarian aid could
force the U.S. to scale back the crucial military support it has provided to
Israel since the start of the war. “There’s progress made, which is good, but
more progress needs to be made," he told reporters, without elaborating. The
U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs says Israel has
severely restricted aid operations since the start of its offensive in Jabaliya,
a densely populated urban refugee camp in northern Gaza dating back to the 1948
war surrounding Israel's creation. It said one critical mission, to rescue
around 40 people trapped in the rubble in Jabaliya, had been repeatedly denied
since Friday. Northern Gaza, including Gaza City, was the first target of
Israel's ground operation and has been completely encircled by Israeli forces
since late last year. Most of the population heeded Israeli evacuation warnings
early on in the war, but an estimated 400,000 people have stayed there. The U.N.
estimates that 60,000 people have been displaced within northern Gaza since the
start of the operation in Jabaliya, the latest in a series of mass displacements
since the start of the war. The north has been more heavily destroyed than other
areas of Gaza, with entire neighborhoods obliterated. Israel has prevented
Palestinians who fled the north from returning to their homes, a key demand from
Hamas in the cease-fire talks.
Blinken says US rejects any reoccupation of Gaza
The renewed offensive in the north has raised fears among Palestinians that
Israel intends to implement a plan proposed by former generals in which
civilians would be ordered to leave the north and anyone remaining would be
starved out or killed. Far-right ministers in Netanyahu's Cabinet say Israel
should remain in Gaza and re-establish Jewish settlements there. Blinken said
the U.S. officials “fully reject” any Israeli reoccupation of Gaza and that it
was not the policy of the Israeli government. Hamas-led militants killed some
1,200 people, mostly civilians, and abducted another 250 when they stormed into
southern Israel on Oct. 7, 2023. Around 100 hostages are still inside Gaza, a
third of whom are believed to be dead. Israel’s offensive has killed over 42,000
Palestinians, according to local health officials, who don’t distinguish
combatants from civilians but say more than half the dead are women and
children. It has displaced around 90% of Gaza’s population of 2.3 million,
forcing hundreds of thousands into squalid tent camps.
Saudi Crown Prince, Blinken Discuss Efforts to Stop
Escalation in the Region
Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime
Minister, met in Riyadh on Wednesday with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken,
with whom he reviewed bilateral relations and cooperation. Discussions covered
the latest regional and international developments, particularly the situations
in Gaza and Lebanon, and efforts to end military operations and address their
security and humanitarian ramifications, SPA reported. Crown Prince Mohammed and
Blinken discussed their “common efforts to end the conflicts in the region and
establish greater peace and security,” said a State Department statement.
Blinken emphasized “the need to end the war in Gaza, free the hostages, and
enable the people of Gaza to rebuild their lives free from Hamas.. They
discussed efforts toward “a diplomatic resolution in Lebanon that allows
civilians on both sides of the Blue Line to return to their homes.”
They continued discussions on the need to establish lasting regional stability,
including through greater integration among countries in the region. They also
tackled the importance of ending the conflict in Sudan, protecting civilians,
and advancing a political transition to a civilian government. Blinken expressed
appreciation for Saudi Arabia’s role in promoting stability and peace in the
region. Attending the meeting were Saudi Minister of State, Cabinet Member and
National Security Adviser Dr. Musaed bin Mohammed Al-Aiban, and General
Intelligence President Khalid bin Ali Al-Humaidan. On the American side, US
Ambassador to Saudi Arabia Michael Ratney and Blinken’s accompanying delegation
attended the meeting.
An attack
targeting a Turkish defense company leaves 4 dead and 14 wounded
The Associated Press/October 23, 2024
Assailants set off explosives and opened fire in an attack Wednesday on the
premises of the Turkish state-run aerospace and defense company TUSAS, killing
four people and wounding several, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said.
At least two of the attackers died, Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya said. “We
have four martyrs. We have 14 wounded. I condemn this heinous terrorist attack
and wish mercy on our martyrs,” Erdogan said during a meeting with Russian
President Vladimir Putin in the sidelines of a BRICS meeting in Kazan, Russia.
Putin offered him condolences over the attack. Selim Cirpanoglu, mayor of the
district of Kahramankazan, told The Associated Press that the attack on the
company in the outskirts of the capital, Ankara, had abated but could not
provide more details.
It was not clear who may be behind it. Kurdish militants, the Islamic State
group and leftist extremists have carried out attacks in the country in the
past. Security camera images from the attack, aired on television, showed a man
in plainclothes carrying a backpack and holding an assault rifle. Turkish media
said three assailants, including a woman, arrived at an entry to the complex
inside a taxi. The assailants, who were carrying assault weapons, then detonated
an explosive device next to the taxi, causing panic and allowing them to enter
the complex. Multiple gunshots were heard after Turkish security forces entered
the site, the DHA news agency and other media reported. Helicopters were seen
flying above the premises. TUSAS designs, manufactures and assembles both
civilian and military aircrafts, unmanned aerial vehicles and other defense
industry and space systems. The UAVs have been instrumental in Turkey gaining an
upper hand in its fight against Kurdish militants in Turkey and across the
border in Iraq. Vice President Cevdet Yilmaz said the target of the attack was
Turkey's “success in the defense industry.”“It should be known that these
attacks will not be able to deter the heroic employees of defense industry,” he
wrote on X.
he Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on October 23-24/2024
'The House With Nobody In it' - In Washington D.C.?
Lawrence Kadish/Gatestone Institute/October 23, 2024
Our White House is not just a residence, it is a command post. The Free World
depends on it. If there is no apparent occupant, how will the U.S. contend with
threats to our allies and us?
"The House with Nobody In It" by Joyce Kilmers (1886-1918), brings to mind a
certain house in Washington, D.C. -- the White House. Our White House is not
just a residence, it is a command post. The Free World depends on it. If there
is no apparent occupant, how will the U.S. contend with threats to our allies
and us?
China, Russia, Iran and North Korea are "the new 'Axis of Evil,'" according to
Politico, hardly a right-wing outlet. How worried should we be? Probably very.
The United States is already facing two wars at full tilt, and another, it
seems, on the way. Russia is still trying to seize Ukraine the same way it
seized Crimea. In the Middle East, Israel, the size of New Jersey, is fighting a
defensive war on seven fronts to protect its existence and that of civilization
from a genocidal Iran -- about to have nuclear weapons -- and its proxies. In
the Pacific this month, warships from Communist China have been encircling
Taiwan, threatening Japan and the Philippines, and seemingly preparing to crush
US naval assets should they try to intervene.
At home, the United States has in recent years been overrun by more than 10
million illegal migrants, including an estimated 1.7 million "gotaways" about
whom nothing is known, such as how many there actually are. More than 323,000
children who have crossed the border are "missing." No one even knows their
names or where they are, or who might be abusing them. Presumably they have been
forced into slavery, sex slavery or dangerous labor. All those are in the U.S.
in addition to an estimated 10.5 million illegal migrants who were here before
2021.
Violent gangs, such as MS-13 and Tren de Aragua, which are made up of youths
mainly from South America, have been increasingly infiltrating the U.S. been
commandeering apartment blocks at gunpoint and terrorizing people in Colorado,
Texas and New York.
An unprecedented surge of 55,000 illegal migrants from China have entered the
U.S. in recent months. China does not grant visas to its people to vacation in
the Adirondacks. While some of these migrants might be seeking a better life,
others seem to have the "the makings of a Chinese army" inside the US. There has
been a "massive surge" of unaccompanied "military-age Chinese men," with "many
of them having 'known ties' to the ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and
People's Liberation Army," according to Rep. Mark Green. They are possibly
waiting for orders from CCP headquarters to sabotage the US electric grid, air
traffic control, bridges, ports and other infrastructure. Some of these men have
been trying to enter US military facilities. FBI Director Christopher Wray has
already warned that Chinese hackers might be waiting for "just the right moment
to deal a devastating blow."
China has already exported cargo cranes, loaded with hidden listening devices,
which are installed in US ports. "A great concern is that they could remotely
operate these cranes, and therefore disrupt these port operations at critical
times," says China expert Gordon Chang. The Chinese Communist Party could, in a
crisis, use them to shut down all maritime commerce or drop shipping containers
onto US vessels to destroy them.
The US also has China to thank for the death by poisoning of more than 100,000
Americans each year in the last few years, from fentanyl and other synthetic
opiates. The Biden-Harris administration has warned them to stop murdering
Americans, and China has said that it will -- but so far, two weeks before a
presidential election, has does nothing.
Then of course there was Communist China's spy balloon. It hovered over the most
sensitive US military sites and sent information to Beijing in real-time for a
week. When it was back out at sea, the president had it shot down.
Americans have also been plagued with mushrooming inflation, called "the silent
tax." It eats away at one's income as the cost of staples skyrockets. People are
reportedly having to choose between "heat or eat" -- and that does even include
medicine or rent. Much of the inflation has been propelled by the
administration's effective hobbling of domestic energy exploration from its
first week in office. The move resulted a spike in the price of oil and gas,
tripling the price of oil -- from less than $42 a barrel in 2020 to $130 a
barrel in 2022 -- and producing enough financing for Russia to invade Ukraine,
and for Iran and its proxies -- thanks to oil-sanctions lifted or waived by the
Biden-Harris administration -- to attack Israel on October 7, 2023 and every day
thereafter.
A U.S. national debt of $34 trillion-and-counting threatens to collapse the US
dollar as the world's reserve currency. The cost of interest on the debt is now
higher than the entire US defense budget – and in a world that is aggressively
militarizing to replace the US as the world's leading superpower.
Education in the US is, bluntly, a disaster. It is the most expensive in the
world per student but is graduating youths who can barely read or do the
simplest arithmetic. With a disadvantage like that, how can they ever hope to
participate in the American Dream?
Our children are also being manipulated on social media by the Chinese Communist
Party's anti-American propaganda on TikTok, and all of us have been manipulated
on social media by an administration that is censoring speech with which it
disagrees. This suppression has gone from the real origins of the Covid-19
virus, to possible cures for it, to the "Russia Hoax" -- lies by government
officials "to clear Hillary Clinton and frame Donald Trump," that he was under
the influence of the Russians – and cover up and deny the authenticity of Hunter
Biden's laptop and alleged influence-peddling. The administration even tried to
establish a "Disinformation Governance Board," until a court swiftly ruled that
it was a vehicle for censorship by the government.
The journalist Wayne Allen Root wrote that in addition to failing to increase
the US defense budget, the government has instead been "rooting patriots and
warriors out of the military and replacing them... brainwashing our children
with critical race theory; and using the FBI to arrest and intimidate parents
speaking out at local school board meetings."
As we head to the polls, perhaps we should vote for a White House with somebody
in it?
*Lawrence Kadish serves on the Board of Governors of Gatestone Institute.
© 2024 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Yes, It’s Time for Painful Decisions
Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Our newspaper published a story yesterday titled: “US Urges Hezbollah and Iran
to Make ‘Painful Decisions.’” This title captures the reality that Iran,
Hezbollah, and Hamas are facing difficult choices right now. The time for
painful decisions is not driven by Washington's wishes but by changing realities
on the ground. Iran now faces confrontation directly, rather than through its
proxies. Washington acts as a messenger until a new president is in place, after
which conditions are expected to worsen. This shift is due to Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu disrupting the balance of power in Gaza and Lebanon,
allowing Israel’s powerful military to operate without significant Iranian
interference. Iran is now experiencing a “painful patience” rather than a
strategic one. Hezbollah has captured the situation well. Yesterday, its media
relations official, Mohammed Afif, said: “There are no negotiations under fire;
what cannot be achieved by force cannot be obtained through politics.”
This accurately reflects Israel’s current approach.
Afif's comments are less about wisdom and more about defending Iran, which is
now reluctant to confront Israel. He claimed that Hezbollah takes “full,
complete, and exclusive responsibility” for targeting Netanyahu’s home. This
reinforces Iranian claims distancing themselves from the drone attack, implying
that if Israel wants to retaliate, it should focus on Lebanon, not Iran. This
suggests confusion and a sense of defeat. We are indeed in a time of painful
decisions, and the future appears even more challenging, especially after the
killing of senior Hamas leader Yehya Sinwar in Gaza and the recent targeting of
Hezbollah leaders. Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran want to turn back the clock to
Oct. 6, 2023, which is impossible. Neither the US nor France, nor Iranian
diplomatic efforts can make this happen. For over four decades, the region has
been stagnating, with each unresolved crisis complicating matters further. All
parties, including Israel after the Oct. 7 attack, are paying a heavy price.
It's crucial to understand each party's objectives. Iran seeks expansion and
influence and is nearing the point of paying the price. Meanwhile, Arab nations
want to resolve a crisis that has become almost trivialized, but most Arab
solutions are poorly timed. For Israel, especially under Netanyahu, the focus is
not on a two-state solution but on weakening its enemies. Israel aims to cut
Iranian influence and is close to drawing Washington into direct conflict with
Tehran.Everyone, including Iran, recognizes that we are facing a dangerous
shift.
Yet some Lebanese politicians still believe there is room for “smoothing over
differences,” which is a disastrous mistake. Tehran, its proxies, and Israel
will not hesitate to escalate the situation in their fight for survival,
prioritizing their interests over Gaza or Lebanon.
This is the harsh reality, requiring painful decisions, whether made willingly
or in response to changing circumstances.
Israel Does Not Intend to Stop
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
The sun rises again over Gaza and Lebanon, but this time without the dominance
of Hezbollah and Hamas, whether we see them as resistance movements or
extensions of Iranian influence. A new and a different scene is about to unfold,
demanding a Palestinian, Lebanese, Arab, and international effort to minimize
human and political losses and to prevent further collapses. Following the death
of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar and the destruction of Hamas’ power, Israel finds
itself in a stronger position than before, largely due to mismanagement of the
crisis earlier in the year. Israel is no longer pressured to negotiate hostage
exchanges or accept the compromises that were discussed during Cairo
negotiations over the administration of Gaza. Proposals from Paris are now off
the table, and no one can dictate to Israel how it will manage border crossings,
including the key “Philadelphi” corridor.
With the death of Hassan Nasrallah and most of Hezbollah’s leadership, Lebanon
too is in a different position. Israel is no longer content with just the
demands of Resolution 1701, which required the cessation of rocket fire and the
disarmament of Hezbollah fighters in exchange for Israeli restraint.
The Lebanese army can take full responsibility for protecting the borders and
dismantling Hezbollah’s military role. Without this, Israel will continue its
military operations until the spring, aiming to eliminate every last fighter in
Lebanon. This could lead to the complete destruction of Lebanon and the end of
Hezbollah’s political and military presence.
The war is not over yet. A new confrontation is looming, potentially on a third
front in Syria and a fourth with Iran. After its success in destroying Hamas and
most of Hezbollah’s capabilities, Israel fears that these threats could
resurface unless it cuts off Iran’s influence stretching from Iraq through
Syria. Although not officially stated, Israel’s current goal seems to be driving
Iran out of Syria, as reflected in its actions on the ground. For example,
Israel has cleared mines on the Golan Heights and called for the removal of
international forces, indicating plans for further military operations. Although
Syria has avoided getting involved in the Hamas and Hezbollah conflicts, not
giving Israel any excuse to target it, Netanyahu’s government is determined to
eliminate surrounding Iranian threats, which include Hamas, Hezbollah, and
Iranian bases in Syria.
Israel’s attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus in early April was a clear
message: Iran must pack its bags and leave Syria. If Iran withdraws peacefully,
it will be a gain for the Syrian government, which no longer needs Iran’s
presence as it did during the civil war. Now, Iran’s presence has become a
burden on Syria. Netanyahu may seem reckless, firing in all directions, but in
reality, he is following a well-structured plan with a clear objective. Few
expected him to be capable of this—dismantling the major regional Iranian
threats surrounding Israel. It is anticipated that he will strike Iran this
week, aiming for more than just Yahya Sinwar. If the attack happens, Iran will
face two choices: accept Israel’s conditions and curb the activities of its
external Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), or face an even more
dangerous conflict, both for Iran and the entire region.
Kurdish Democracy’s Last Chance
Lahur Sheikh JangiAsharq Al Awsat/October 23/2024
Amid aggravating regional escalation and major developments in the Middle East
that would develop into a multi-front war, the residents of Kurdistan headed to
the polls on October 20 to elect a new parliament. Everyone knows that state
institutions and the legislative and oversight authorities in the region are
short on legitimacy in light of the absence of a legislative body, parliament.
The vacuum means that the democratic process, a pillar of the region’s political
model, has been largely disrupted. Thus, holding elections was a necessary step
for legitimizing its institutions and its model of shared governance between the
two long-dominant parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic
Union of Kurdistan. The election was held amidst intractable crises that cast a
shadow over the future of the region, which faces numerous political, security,
and economic challenges. Voters are seeking to improve their economic conditions
and push back against outside intervention in the autonomous region's affairs,
which have put the path of governance, its unity, and its institutions at risk.
In this context, assessing the extent to which these elections meet basic
democratic standards is crucial. It is critical that we ensure the integrity and
transparency of these, and that the results are recognized by the influential
parties, especially since change through the ballot box is inevitable.
The Kurdistan Region, whose autonomy is recognized by Iraq’s federal
constitution, is currently undergoing a phase of unprecedented fragility as a
result of the paralysis of its executive body and legislative institutions and
oversight, as well as the suspicions regarding the role of the judicial
authorities and courts.
The Kurdistan Region is the only formal autonomous zone of the Kurdish people,
who are divided between four neighboring countries - Iraq, Iran, Türkiye and
Syria. It has held five legislative elections, which were all overseen by local
institutions affiliated with political entities. Thus, the results of those
elections have always been questionable, and they have never been up to standard
in terms of integrity and transparency.
Despite all the doubts, the Kurdistan Region has been distinguished by its
democracy for over three decades, and it has been a beacon of political, ethnic,
religious and intellectual pluralism. This is a fundamental feature of the
Kurdistan Region, which may be the only thing it can embody among its neighbors.
However, the paralysis of legislative, oversight, and governmental institutions
in recent years has undermined the democratic process and popular trust and
engagement in it.
Therefore, the elections were an excellent opportunity to advance the democratic
process and ensure political continuity by rebuilding citizens' trust and
encouraging them to participate by exercising their democratic right to choose
their representatives. They are particularly significant because they had been
postponed for two years due to divisions and conflicts among the influential
parties, which repeatedly brandished empty slogans and populist rhetoric that
did little to address actual needs. Ultimately, this led to the suspension of
the electoral process, with a variety of excuses and justifications raised to
defend the decision. These factors opened the door for the intervention of the
Federal Supreme Court, which decided to task the Independent High Electoral
Commission with managing the process instead of the two parties, and the
electoral process was a test of its ability to prevent violations and fraud.
During the war on terror and extremist organizations, the Kurdistan Region
gained the favor of the international coalition led by the United States, which
has always emphasized the importance of good governance, respect for human
rights, freedom of speech, safeguarding of public freedoms, and constructive
cooperation between Baghdad and Erbil, which enhances domestic unity.
Additionally, allied and friendly countries consider the elections a significant
achievement. As for Washington, its stance is crucial for ensuring the Kurdistan
Region retains the legitimacy of its institutions, renews its mandate, and
maintains its status in the constitution.
Real legitimacy can come only from the strength of the people, and history shows
that any regime and ruler can be replaced, but there is no alternative to the
people.
Political lexicons consider elections a fundamental pillar of democracy. Even
amid the turbulent conditions in the region and what seems to be a monopoly on
power, we hope that influential forces will take on the task of transitioning
from a semi-militarized democracy to a genuine civic democracy through the
frameworks that are available and draft and write a constitution for the
Kurdistan Region. Article 120 of the Iraqi constitution acknowledges this as a
step toward establishing the fundamental rules of administration and governance
in the region.
The priority, in the next stage, should be to work on drafting this
constitution, as the political process cannot overcome its chronic deficiencies
and setbacks without a constitution that regulates the role of institutions and
authorities, ensuring that the law is sovereign. All communities and segments of
society would feel secure and assured regarding the desires and aspirations of
its individuals. The goal of drafting the constitution is to protect
citizenship, which is a crucial objective of the modern democratic process. This
would enhance opportunities for participation and reinforce the principles of
freedom, democracy, human rights and citizenship. The lion’s share of the
responsibility that will fall on the shoulders of the next parliament is to
establish a unified military force tasked with protecting the Kurdistan Region
rather than serving narrow party interests. This armed force should be
politically neutral and keep an equal distance from all political actors.
Additionally, parliament must work to eliminate the repercussions of dual
administrations and the sharp divisions that the Kurdistan Region has been
suffering from since the domestic conflict began in the 1990s.
Yair Lapid urges deal to free all captives at once, pushes
for Saudi normalization - interview
Elav Brueer & Tova Lazaroff/Jeruselem Post/October 23/2024
The politician who heads the centrist Yesh Atid party spoke to the 'Post' a year
into the country's multi-front war against Iranian proxies.
Until October 7, opposition leader Yair Lapid could always shut down any
conversation questioning why Jews should live in Israel by recalling his
father’s story as a child Holocaust survivor.
“I have great answers. Always have. My father’s ghetto Jewish history – and it
used to kill the conversation in five minutes,” Lapid told The Jerusalem Post.
“It is not killing the conversation in five minutes anymore. The questions have
become deeper and more bitter” as Israel faces an unprecedented barrage of
external and internal existential threats, he said. The silver-haired politician
who heads the centrist Yesh Atid party spoke with the Post from his small Tel
Aviv office a year into the country’s multi-front war against Iranian proxies –
that began with the Hamas invasion of Israel on October 7 and quickly expanded
to include Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen and Tehran itself.
Lapid, who lost the premiership in November 2022, had already been in battle
mode as one of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s harshest and most vocal
critics, warning against the internal threat to Israeli democracy posed by
Netanyahu’s judicial reform program. October 7 added a new dimension to that
battle, underscoring Lapid’s belief that the prime minister and his government
posed a threat to Israel – and deepening the soul-searching societal crisis
within the country. “Even in 2023, during the judicial revolution or reform, if
you asked me what the State of Israel would look like three or four years from
now, I would say, ‘You know what? We’re going to win this struggle,’” Lapid said
as he sat behind his wooden desk. “We had the basic idea of what the country was
going to look like. Now we don’t.”
Moving forward, he said, “We don’t even know how we are going to feel, what kind
of people we’re going to be.” Young parents are telling me: ‘I’m not willing to
raise children this way,” Lapid said, and he understands them.
He has experienced that same sentiment watching his daughter and six-month-old
granddaughter race for shelter during a missile attack.
“We’re not going to live like this,” he said. A self-described 'depressed
optimist'
Describing himself as a “depressed optimist,” Lapid said that the depth of the
problem has distressed – but not overwhelmed – him as he pushes for a new
diplomatic and political reality for Israel.
“We now understand that we cannot keep on ignoring the more fundamental problems
this country has, and I actually welcome the discourse that is asking: ‘What’s
gonna make Israel more powerful?’”
A basic necessary first step, aside from the removal of the Netanyahu
government, Lapid said, was ending the war in Gaza in exchange for a deal that
would see the release of the remaining 101 hostages held in that enclave.
“Right now, the stoppage of the war is actually an Israeli interest,” he said.
Initially, it was critical for Israel to fight the war, but that, he explained,
has changed since July.
The IDF’s assassination of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar last week, Lapid said, has
only underscored the urgency he feels regarding the importance of concluding a
hostage deal and ending the war.
“The elimination of Sinwar” sends “an important message to the Middle East:
Whoever messes with us will die. It may take as long as it takes, but we will
reach everyone who threatens us and eliminate them.”
It also opens a new opportunity for a deal.
Israel needs to do two things, he said. First, it must announce that it will
offer significant financial incentives and a safe exit from Gaza to anyone who
brings hostages. Second, it must simultaneously strive for a comprehensive
hostage deal rather than the three-phased agreement put on the table in May.
“The stage of gradual releases is over,’ he said. “We need a single deal that
will release the living and return the bodies of the dead for burial.”
THE IDF should end the war before it has totally eliminated Hamas, he explained,
“so that there can be a hostage deal because the captives “are dying.”
Israel can afford to take this step because it has already destroyed the basic
components of Hamas’s military power – and vanquishing it completely could be a
prolonged process, he said. That destruction should be a strategic priority for
Israel, but he believes the IDF can afford to finish the process after the war
ends and the hostages are home.
Lapid dismissed the argument that Hamas cannot be annihilated because ideas
cannot be destroyed. Bad ideas can be vanquished, he said.
“Nazism was a bad idea, and therefore we have eliminated it... Communism was a
terrible idea, at least the Russian concept, and the world has succeeded in
eliminating this idea. Hamas is a horrible idea. It should be eliminated.
“But those of us who live in the real world understand it’s going to take a long
time,” he added.
One of the first and most critical steps, he said, was addressing the “day
after” plan for Gaza in a way that could solicit rather than discourage regional
and international cooperation.
Discussing Gaza's 'day after'
“We need to start discussing what the ‘day after’ in Gaza looks like,” so that
Hamas does not return to areas where it has been eliminated.
“Vacuums in nature are filled with something. And right now the something is
Hamas,” he said. It needs to be replaced with some sort of international
governing body that could include regional players such as the Saudis, the
Emiratis, and the Egyptians, as well as a “‘symbolic’ branch of the Palestinian
Authority, nothing, nothing more than that.”
“You take this structure” and “implement it into Gaza. It’s a process. It’s not
going to happen in a day.”
The IDF would have to retain control of the critical Philadelphia security
corridor and the Rafah crossing, as well as have the ability to re-enter Gaza
for security reasons when needed. It would be an arrangement similar to that
which exists in Areas A and B of the West Bank, he explained.
LAPID IS among those Israelis who, even in the aftermath of October 7, are still
willing to give a nod in the direction of Palestinian statehood and a two-state
resolution to the conflict.
As prime minister in 2022, Lapid recalled, he stood at the podium in the United
Nations General Assembly and stated: “An agreement with the Palestinians, based
on two states for two peoples, is the right thing for Israel’s security, for
Israel’s economy, and for the future of our children. Peace is not a compromise.
It is the most courageous decision we can make.”
Even now, he said, “I still do believe in the two-state solution, but not the
state they’re talking about.” A Palestinian state has to be “a peaceful one and
a peace-seeking one.” He added, “The ‘burden of proof’ is not on us but on them.
“We are saying that we are willing to consider the possibility, even though we
have learned the bitter lesson that we have learned” on October 7, he said.
Such a step would need to include a rehabilitated PA to ensure that a
Palestinian state would not turn into yet another terror state, he said. The
time frame will also be protracted, Lapid explained, given that for at least
five or six years, “it’s not possible to have a Palestinian state.”
“We were just attacked in the most vicious way by Palestinians,” he said as he
referenced the October 7 attack in which over 1,200 people were killed and
another 251 seized as hostages. PA President Mahmoud Abbas “has declined even
now to condemn it,” Lapid pointed out.
ISRAEL’S FOCUS, he explained, has to be on self-preservation.
“The next political issue will be the ability of the State of Israel to regain
the confidence that we will not be killed [upon] waking up in the morning. It’s
just more important right now than the self-recognition or world recognition of
the Palestinian state.
Lapid preferred to focus on the importance of “separating from the
Palestinians,” but said that the option for Palestinian statehood had to be on
the table so that Israel could move forward with the process of normalization
with Saudi Arabia, a step essential to combating Iran and its proxies.
“You have to have some sort of a vague goodwill to[ward] the concept, and then
you can start working with the Saudis and the Emirates,” he said.
“We have a regional problem and it needs a regional solution.”
The Saudi deal is more of a conceptual regional framework that involves the
United States and the Abraham Accords countries. “This is the right coalition to
deal with the hegemonic wishes of the Iranians and the nuclear problem. So this
is where we should go,” he said.
Netanyahu, Lapid said, should have moved on this issue, but as in so many other
instances, he has not done so out of concern that it would break up his
far-Right coalition.
THE CURRENT government, Lapid contended, was not going to move forward with a
hostage deal or with a regional peace agreement, and therefore, replacing it was
a pressing strategic necessity.
Already on October 7, Lapid reached out to Netanyahu and said he would be
willing to enter the government if the prime minister removed the two far-Right
parties, Religious Zionist Party and Otzma Yehudit, from the governing
coalition. However, not only did Netanyahu not consider the offer, he did not
even use it as leverage to keep his far-Right partners in check, Lapid said.
“He couldn’t care less and was not interested in the possibility – even
remotely.”
Contrary to general estimations, United Right chairman MK Gideon Sa’ar’s
decision to reenter the government with his four MKs in September did not give
the government more breathing room, Lapid said. He explained that the
government’s problems were in the “real world” and could not be swept away by
political maneuvering.
Sa’ar’s move is widely believed to have strengthened Netanyahu’s coalition, as
it both raised its majority from 64 to 68 MKs and neutralized the threat by
Otzma Yehudit Chairman and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir to bring
down the government with his six MKs.
“The two basic problems of this government are actually not political,” Lapid
said, referring to the ultra-Orthodox parties’ attempt to continue evading IDF
service and to the upcoming 2025 budget – which is expected to include heavy tax
increases.
“The fact that Gideon Sa’ar and three guys came in doesn’t mean you have the
money you didn’t have before... nor the fingers [votes] for this absurdity of
releasing tens of thousands of future soldiers [from service],” Lapid said.
When discussions on a new haredi draft bill began, the IDF said it was lacking
some 10,000 soldiers. Add to that an additional 11,000 soldiers who have been
injured in the war, alongside 750 killed, and you have a need for some 22,000
soldiers. There is no manpower pool of this size to recruit from other than
military-age ultra-Orthodox men, Lapid said.
“You cannot solve this with political maneuvering because it is happening in the
real world... the real world in which money doesn’t grow on trees, and the real
world in which there are no other 18-year-olds who are healthy and can be part
of the existential effort we are engaged in.”
Asked why the government will not succeed in at least delaying treatment of
these problems, Lapid said that “weirdly enough, the pressure on the [draft]
dodging bill is not coming from Israeli society... but from the ultra-Orthodox
[establishment],” such as United Torah Judaism Chairman Yitzhak Goldknopf
threatening not to support the 2025 budget if yeshiva students do not receive
legal exemptions from IDF service.
In addition, politics isn’t mathematics, and things can change quickly, Lapid
said. “I understand why journalists want me to say that by the end of 2024... we
might go into an election,” but “it’s a fluid world.”
DURING THE struggle over the government’s controversial judicial reforms in
2023, no one could have imagined where Israel would be a year later, and with
the state’s demographic shifting steadily toward religious conservatism and
right-wing militarism, Lapid was asked whether he was fighting a lost cause.
“I do not accept the premise,” he answered.
“I think that what is happening now... is that we now understand that we cannot
keep on ignoring the more fundamtal problems this country has.”
He proposed considering which version of Israel would be stronger – a religious,
bigoted country or a liberal democracy with a technological inclination. While
he understood the instinct for revenge, he said that “The only smart option is
the one that we are offering,” and that a majority of Israelis acknowledged
this.
Lapid explained that rather than the old Israeli Right vs Left on issues of
national security, the new political divide was between liberals and religious
conservatives, and according to polls, there were “way more” of the former –
including figures who are right-wing on national security issues, such as
Yisrael Beytenu Chairman MK Avigdor Liberman and former prime minister Naftali
Bennett.
“We don’t know where Israel is going, but if we don’t have a death wish... we
cannot go the Ben-Gvir-Smotrich route,” Lapid said.
“If we want to be radical and deplorable, then Yemen and Syria are so much
better than us at this. We are better than them at being smart and
technological.”
According to Lapid, the basic idea of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state is
being challenged by people who believe that Israel can no longer be both Jewish
and democratic, and have chosen the former over the latter. But he thought that
most Israelis recognized that Israel’s greatest threat, even in wartime, was
internal.
Another example of the path on which the government was leading the country was
judicial reform, the threat of which still exists, he said, noting Justice
Minister Yariv Levin’s ongoing attempt to “sabotage” the election of a permanent
Supreme Court Chief Justice.
Israel would not be out of the woods of the judicial reform as long as there are
“neo-fascist” parties in government, Lapid concluded.
HE ALSO blamed Netanyahu and his government for the current tensions with France
and the Biden administration, including with the American people.
“We have a real, huge crisis even with the next generation of Jews [in the
United States], let alone the next generation of intellectuals,” he said,
adding: “I know it is very fashionable to look down at elites these days, but
eventually [the] elites are the ones who are carving the paths countries are
taking.”
Lapid said, “This has come from years of negligence,” as well as a preference by
ministers for “talk-backs” and meme-style comments over dialogue.
Statements by government ministers such as Diaspora Minister Amichai Chikli –
who publicly threw his support behind Republican presidential contender Donald
Trump – have not helped.“I am reminding you, he is the one in charge of the
Diaspora,” Lapid said.
Lapid was careful, when speaking of Trump and Democratic presidential contender
Vice President Kamala Harris, to describe both of them as supportive of Israel.
“These are two very pro-Israeli candidates,” he said, recalling Trump’s historic
relocation of the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem in 2018. “I sat in the
event in which the American Embassy was opened in Jerusalem – I had tears in my
eyes.”
Harris, he said, is part of a US administration that has “supported Israel in
this war in ways that are unprecedented.”
Israel-US relations have to be handled wisely and in a long-term strategic
manner, something that this government is not capable of doing, Lapid said.
Instead, Netanyahu and his ministers have been airing video clips aimed against
the US president, even though the Biden administration has sent Israel $17
billion in military aid.
“An American friend who is a high-ranked officer of this [Biden’s] government,
told me, ‘It might not be a lot of money for you guys, but for us in the US, it
is considered a lot of money,” Lapid said.
“We have the fundamentals to maintain this friendship, but we have a government
who’s doing nothing about it,” he added.
Lapid said he did not believe that Israel was in danger of losing US military
support in the short term.
The US, he said, instinctively sees Israel as “an asset and not a burden,” and
he believes that sentiment has not disappeared, “but I am hearing doubts that I
did not hear before. It can be reversed because the basic sympathy is there,
it’s part of American culture, but not with this [Netanyahu’s] government,”
Lapid said. THE CRISIS with France was born of a similar form of neglect, he
explained. “You don’t wake up in the morning” and discover that French President
Emmanuel Macron is calling for an arms embargo against Israel, this is something
that the Israeli government should have known about in advance and worked to
thwart, through intelligence and dialogue.
“You are talking to him, you are reminding him of the bond you have with him,”
Lapid said, stressing that ties with France can be repaired. “You just have to
be smart and non-populist about it,” he said, rather than engaging in
demagoguery.
“They [the Israeli government] are not doing this because they are so addicted
to the immediate response of the political base that they are not capable
anymore of just doing the job.”
On the walls of Lapid’s office hang two photographs that remind him of the
complexity of Israeli politics and how time changes the lens through which
historical figures are viewed.One is of Israel’s first prime minister David
Ben-Gurion of the Mapai party which eventually became the Labor party; and the
other is of the country’s sixth prime minister Menachem Begin who was the
founder of the Likud party.
“We know one thing,” Lapid said as he stood by their photos to better explain
his relationship to the two men. “Neither of these gentlemen would have a
political place today because Ben-Gurion was way too militaristic for today’s
Israeli Left. He wouldn’t pass the primaries.”
Pointing to Ben-Gurion, Lapid said, “he’s too hawkish and too biblical, he is
the one who said the Bible is the mandate we have over this country. So he was
too hawkish and biblical for the Israeli Left, and he was way too democratic for
Likud today. So he [Begin] is not passing Likud these days and he [Ben-Gurion]
is not passing Labor these days. So they came here for political asylum,” he
jokes.
“They will not be accepted by the political establishments of their own
parties,” but they will be accepted by the Israeli public, he said.
Lapid noted that his centrist Yesh Atid party, which he founded in 2012, sits
right in the middle, in the narrow space between the two men.
A return to the premier's seat?
Lapid affirmed that he still has his sights set on the premiership.
“There are so many moving particles on the way that you can never tell,” he
said, as he slipped his speech into the royal “we.” “We want to go back there,”
he said.
Among the issues he would tackle upon his return, he said, would be
rehabilitating the economy and reorienting it “toward the working people.”
Referring to his term as 14th prime minister (from 1 July to 29 December 2022)
Lapid said: “I think we did a good job for the kind of challenges we have:
religion and state, Palestinians, and relations with the United States.”
Israel must not end war yet despite Sinwar success -
opinion
Gil Troy/Jerusalem Post/October 23/2024
We, who want this war to end yesterday, must keep fighting tomorrow and
tomorrow, until the aggressors – Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran – cave in.
When Israel’s soldier-heroes killed Yahya Sinwar, President Joe Biden declared:
“This is a good day for Israel, for the United States, and for the world.” Vice
President Kamala Harris agreed, echoing Biden that “Israel has a right to defend
itself, and the threat Hamas poses to Israel must be eliminated.”Even Thomas
Friedman, who has spearheaded The New York Times’ condemnation of Israel’s war
and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for supposedly prolonging the campaign for
political reasons, acknowledged: “it is impossible to exaggerate the importance
of the death of the Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar.” Yet somehow, these military
geniuses – like most others – failed to add four words: “and I was wrong.” But
they were – and still are.
They were wrong by constantly pressuring Netanyahu and Israel to end the war –
months ago. They were wrong by opposing Israel’s entry into Rafah, where Israeli
soldiers caught Sinwar in the broad net Israel needed to cast so wide and for so
long after Hamas’s bloodbath. They were wrong by unfairly politicizing
Netanyahu’s stubborn determination to crush Hamas. And they were – and are –
wrong, to treat this war as some video game that only kills really, really bad
guys, with no innocents getting caught in the crossfire as the fight ends
quickly and painlessly.
Urban warfare is grueling – especially with Hamas terrorists cowering behind
Palestinians who also hate Israel. Don’t forget: “There has rarely been a
military campaign like this, with Hamas leaders living and moving through
hundreds of miles of tunnels, organized in multiple stories underground,
determined to protect themselves with no care for the civilians suffering above
ground.” Guess who said that? Biden last week. Israelis appreciate the munitions
America has supplied, and Biden’s tremendous moral support. Still, the obsessive
attempts to restrain Israel terrify me as an American historian.
SUCH MORAL and strategic confusion does not bode well for America’s defense
posture. It telegraphs weakness to America’s enemies, who see the disdain with
which too many pro-Israel Democrats treat Israel, along with so many Americans’
impatience with the kind of sustained conflict required to defeat evil. Such
callowness cultivates among America’s population a sniveling, simplistic, and
unrealistic approach to foreign relations that underestimates the need to
unleash tremendous firepower when fighting totalitarians and terrorists. And
this remote-control moralizing has stained Israel’s reputation among too many
Americans – let alone the rest of the world.
Sinwar’s reign of terror ended only because Netanyahu and Israel defied
conventional wisdom and world opinion – including most American leaders and many
American Jewish leaders. Deploying unremitting, prolonged pressure on Gaza
worked. The Wall Street Journal headlined: “Israel Killed Sinwar by Forcing Him
From the Tunnels.”The IDF has destroyed over 40,000 military targets this year.
Nevertheless, both Southern Lebanon and Gaza still overflow with weapons depots,
command-and-control centers, and Jihadists vowing to destroy the Jewish State.
Consider the stockpile’s scale.
Imagine the courage, military prowess, weaponry and determination required to
eliminate so many threats – while also actively repelling attacks. And maybe,
just maybe, Americans and others should question their “conceptzia” – (mis)conception.
They, too, tolerated this buildup.
They then decided the war could be lightning short. And, even now, many resist
learning the lessons of the need to grind down the enemy, a valiant effort that
eventually ensnared Sinwar.
Alas, refusing to incorporate new, inconvenient, politically incorrect facts
into their worldviews, Biden, Harris, and Friedman instantly returned to the
same stale rhetoric they used to try to restrain Israel for months. Harris,
whose words most count now, insisted: “This moment gives us an opportunity to
finally end the war in Gaza, and it must end such that Israel is secure, the
hostages are released, the suffering in Gaza ends, and the Palestinian people
can realize their right to dignity, security, freedom, and self-determination.”
We in Israel crave those goals. But this year has confirmed that achieving them
requires a long, bloody process – and much more patience.
Indeed, we cannot “end the war in Gaza” until “Israel is secure.” And if the
Gazans are truly innocent, they should turn on Hamas and force it to surrender,
while freeing the hostages.
Until that happens, Israel must maintain the military pressure, and prepare its
security zone along the Gaza border, including taking Gazan territory, so the
Palestinians learn that every future attack will result in more territorial
losses. MEANWHILE, let’s end the hostage negotiation farce – by exposing the
self-destructiveness of Israel’s Hostage Deal movement. Politicizing the issue
keeps raising Hamas’s price to free the hostages.
The movement should only protest – and harass within the limits of the law –
Qatari and Turkish diplomats, as well as those in North America, Australia, and
Europe. Qatar and Turkey host and bankroll Hamas. Bibi-bashing may feel good –
but it’s counterproductive.
The Wall Street Journal reports that Sinwar kept “urging” Hamas officials “to
refuse a hostage deal. Hamas had the upper hand in negotiations, Sinwar said,
citing internal political divisions within Israel, cracks in Netanyahu’s wartime
coalition and mounting US pressure to alleviate the suffering in Gaza.”
A more unified global front against Hamas might have freed the hostages sooner;
it remains the only way to end their suffering, which weighs on all people of
conscience.
In short, we, who want this war to end yesterday, must keep fighting tomorrow
and tomorrow, until the aggressors – Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran – cave in.
Only then, once Israel is secured, will those Palestinians who actually want
“dignity, security, freedom, and self-determination” – rather than Israel’s
destruction – have a shot at making progress, too.
**The writer, a senior fellow in Zionist thought at the Jewish People Policy
Institute, is an American presidential historian. His latest book, To Resist the
Academic Intifada: Letters to My Students on Defending the Zionist Dream was
just published.
Will Israel assassinate Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei? - opinion
Salem Alketbi/Jerusalem Post/October 23/2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/136081/
The idea of assassinating the supreme leader may recede slightly in favor of
more vital targets. These could include Iran’s nuclear and missile program
facilities.
The image of Israeli assassination targets recently shown on Israel’s Channel 14
and picked up by the BBC featured several figures allegedly wanted by Israel but
did not include the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
Those listed included Iraqi Shi’ite cleric Ali Al Sistani, Hamas leader Yahya
Sinwar (killed by the IDF last week), Hezbollah Deputy Secretary-General Naim
Qassem, Yemeni Houthi leader Abdul-Malik Al Houthi, and Quds Force commander
Esmail Qaani.
However, recent strikes and intelligence breaches targeting Iranian security
institutions and their affiliated proxies, particularly Hezbollah in Lebanon,
make the scenario of assassinating Khamenei highly plausible. This possibility
is compelling Iranian security agencies to exercise extreme caution. The
situation is especially critical given the collapse of the tacitly agreed-upon
rules of engagement and conflict boundaries between Iran and Israel. Several
factors place Khamenei within the scope of potential Israeli targets, even if
his name was absent from the publicized “assassination list.”
Indeed, this very omission could be considered an indicator of purposeful
misdirection and deception. Such tactics are highly likely in these
circumstances.
A list that included Sistani
FIRST, THE list was not limited to military leaders of the Iranian Revolutionary
Guard Corps (IRGC) and Iranian proxies. It also included Sistani, a Shi’ite
religious authority of stature. This is noteworthy because Sistani does not
carry the same weight as Khamenei in managing the conflict with Israel.
He also lacks the authority to direct Iran-aligned proxies to participate in the
so-called “axis of resistance.” While Sistani’s political and ideological views
are akin to those of Khamenei, he lacks authority over the militant Iraqi
Shi’ite organizations. These groups receive orders directly from the IRGC. It
can be said that Sistani’s relationship with these groups is limited to the
spiritual aspect, particularly in terms of Shi’ite unity from Iran to Lebanon
and beyond. Sistani’s statements about the ongoing conflict between Hezbollah
and Israel in Lebanon follow the Iranian political line; however, they focus on
providing aid and emphasizing the necessity of helping the Lebanese face this
crisis.
He also issued an emotionally charged statement mourning Hassan Nasrallah,
describing him as the “great martyr.” His sons held a three-day mourning period
for Nasrallah in Najaf and Karbala, the two holiest cities in Iraq for Shi’ites.
Sistani strongly endorses the “support” operations carried out by Iranian-backed
proxies against Israel which contributes in great measure to the alignment of
pro-Iran Shi’ite organizations and their execution of missile strikes against
Israel.
Here, we can point to Sistani’s role in mobilizing Iraqi Shi’ite power during
the confrontation with ISIS by issuing his famous Sufficiency Jihad fatwa in
2016 and rallying all factions under the banner of what is known as Iraq’s
Shi’ite Popular Mobilization Forces. However, Sistani does not appear directly
in the conflictual relationship between Iran and Israel. This conflict involves
dimensions that go beyond religious issues and include struggles for hegemony
and strategic influence amid the increasing clash between the Iranian
expansionist project and Israel’s desire to ensure its security and stability.
With Sistani capable of mobilizing most, though not all of the Iraqi Shi’ite
front, it stands to reason that Israel might be considering adding Khamenei
himself to the assassination list.
The political and security costs would involve only slight differences in both
cases. Both are major Shi’ite leaders, and the expected Shi’ite anger in the
event of the assassination of either would be comparable. It might even be
greater in Sistani’s case, given the factor of power struggle within the circle
close to the Iranian supreme leader.
Khamenei enters the circle of Israel's potential targets
SECOND, THE current geopolitical climate – which Israel considers unique –
pushes Khamenei into the circle of potential Israeli targets. This is true in
terms of the successive victories Israel is achieving in weakening Iran’s power
and its regional proxies; it is also applicable to the current international and
regional support for Israeli military operations to neutralize the Iranian
threat.
It is evident that the succession and escalation of Israeli assassination
operations against prominent Iranian leaders or Iran loyalists has not resulted
in any significant cost to Israel; the reaction of the Islamic Republic did not
exceed verbal threats and the firing of antiquated missiles – which were
intercepted by Israel and its allies – to satisfy the psychological needs of the
pro-Iranian public.
These minimal consequences will encourage Israel to target Iran’s top leaders,
including Khamenei himself. It turns out Israel’s successive and escalating
assassinations of prominent Iranian or pro-Iranian leaders have not, as of now,
resulted in a cost that would compel the Israeli security establishment to
discontinue of these bold operations, even if they hit the head of the Iranian
regime.
What are the strategic assessments?
THIRD, THERE are strategic assessments that view the scenario of targeting
Khamenei as potentially the least costly and most impactful. This scenario would
have implications for disrupting the calculations of Iranian regime leaders and
igniting conflict within the narrow circle of power. It could also create the
conditions to spark popular unrest among those already primed to challenge the
regime. This is being fueled by deteriorating economic and security conditions
and the country’s preoccupation with ongoing external confrontations and
conflicts. The scenario of the assassination of Khamenei has become a genuine
Iranian concern. It is no longer dismissed by the security apparatus there,
especially after the series of targeted attacks by Israel against Nasrallah –
and reportedly against Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. Doubts and unanswered
questions surrounding the death of Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi, when his
helicopter crashed in May, have also contributed to this concern.
This explains reports confirming the rush to move the Islamic Republic’s Supreme
Leader to a secure location after receiving news of Nasrallah’s assassination.
The depth of Israeli intelligence penetration of IRGC security agencies and its
proxies has become apparent. This makes the possibility of reaching the head of
the Iranian power hierarchy a real concern for many, especially for the leaders
of the IRGC. The decisive factor in all of the above hinges on the assessment by
Israeli decision-makers of the cost-benefit analysis being conducted during this
period, which aims to maximize Israel’s strategic gains from the turbulent
regional scene. In my opinion, the idea of assassinating the supreme leader may
recede slightly in favor of more vital targets. These could include Iran’s
nuclear and missile program facilities. This depends on Israel’s operational
capability to carry out an effective strike against these facilities without the
risk of facing a second strike. It also depends on the IRGC’s capability to
retaliate against the potential Israeli attack. In this case, the scenario seems
open to all possibilities, including all-out war. Subjecting Iranian nuclear and
missile capabilities to a failed or limited-impact strike could compel the IRGC
to use all available offensive capabilities against Israel. They might do so
without restraint or political calculations.
*The writer is a UAE political analyst and former Federal National Council
candidate.
https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-825719
Netanyahu must put his ministers in order to make
successful 'day after' plan - editorial
Editorial/Jerusalem Post/October 23/2024
Netanyahu must put his house in order and instruct the MKs in his party and the
ministers in his coalition to wait with these ambiguous statements regarding
settlements.
With more than 100 hostages still unaccounted for in Gaza and Israel a year deep
into the war in Gaza as well as now also being entrenched in Lebanon, 500
activists gathered near Kibbutz Be’eri close to the Gaza border for a rally
concluding a two-day “Preparing to Settle in Gaza” festival.
The “revival” celebration was attended by the usual suspects of settler leaders
and hard-right activists and was organized by the Nahala pro-settlement
organization.
Monday’s gathering’s main premise was to promote the idea that Israelis must
resettle in Gaza to prevent future attacks similar to those that occurred on
October 7 last year. The attendees consider the 2005 Disengagement from Gaza to
be a fatal mistake that enabled Hamas to take over and use it for the next two
decades as a launching pad for rocket fire in southern Israel. Nahala leader
Daniella Weiss, who played a prominent role in opposing the 2005 withdrawal,
said Nahala had already reached an agreement worth “millions of dollars” to set
up temporary housing units near the Gaza border, which she said would eventually
make their way into the Gaza Strip. She quoted Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu, who said several months ago in an interview on Channel 14 that the
matter was “unrealistic,” and she responded that many people believed the same
about West Bank settlements, but the fact that there were now 330 settlements
and 850,000 people living there, according to Weiss, proved that it was
feasible.
In a country that touts free expression, there’s nothing wrong with Weiss
promoting that plan, no matter how farfetched and potentially damaging to
Israel’s image, which she and her compatriots think will make Israel more.
However, take a look at who else attended the rally: National Security Minister
Itamar Ben-Gvir (Otzma Yehudit), Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich (RZP),
Women’s Advancement Minister and Social Equality Minister May Golan (Likud), and
Development of the Negev and Galilee Minister Yitzhak Wasserlauf (Otzma Yehudit),
who all spoke passionately.
Calling to renew settlements in Gaza
MKs who attended the rally included Ariel Kallner, Avichay Boaron, Osher
Shekalim, Tally Gotliv, and Sasson Guetta from the Likud; Zvi Sukkot from the
Religious Zionist Party; and Limor Son Har-Melech from Otzma Yehudit.
“If we want it, we can renew settlements in Gaza,” Ben-Gvir told the crowd to
roaring applause. He also called for Israel to “encourage emigration” of
Palestinians from Gaza. “It’s the best and most moral solution, not by force but
by telling them, ‘We’re giving you the option; leave to other countries; the
Land of Israel is ours,’” he said. A minister like Ben-Gvir attending a fringe
rally and promoting a position that contradicts the government’s stated position
is bad enough, and it points to the anarchy within the coalition.
The Jerusalem Post’s Eliav Breuer, who attended the rally, reported that several
people wore Kahane Chai (“Kahane is Alive”) apparel in support of the Jewish
supremacist Kach movement formed by Rabbi Meir Kahane. During Ben-Gvir’s speech,
some of his supporters shouted “Kahane Chai.” But what is really astounding
about Monday’s event was the participation of the Likud ministers and MKs. They
are from the leading party of the coalition and are led by Netanyahu.
In a period of time in which the world is looking at Israel with magnifying
glasses, the fact that nearly a third of the members of the prime minister’s
party in the Knesset are in favor of a policy that not only Israel’s allies
oppose but that the government of Israel opposes is staggering.
Israel is in the worst diplomatic situation it’s been in since its
establishment. Allies such as France and the UK have been discussing different
types of arms embargoes on Israel, and the international media are dying to show
the extreme, perhaps racist elements of Israeli society.
Netanyahu must put his house in order and instruct the MKs in his party and the
ministers in his coalition to wait with these ambiguous statements for the time
being.
As we focus on day-after plans, we should think of realistic solutions.
Arab Advocates for Israel Speak Out on Social Media
Hllel Kuttler/The Magazine/October 23/2024
https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/community/articles/arab-advocates-israel-social-media
While their numbers remain small, a dam may have broken for others with similar
feelings
Rawan Osman interviews writer Yossi Klein Halevi on her Instagram forum, Arabs
Ask
Born in Damascus to secular Muslim parents and raised in the village of Chtaura
in Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley, Rawan Osman, 40, was on her fourth trip to Israel
this year when we dined outdoors at a Jerusalem restaurant in mid-September. She
plans to move here for good. In preparation, she spent two months this summer
studying modern Hebrew in Jerusalem. (“I’m at Level 4,” she told me in Hebrew,
during an interview otherwise conducted in English. “I attended an intensive
ulpan.”)
Osman has been a vocal advocate on social media for Israel and against Hamas,
Hezbollah, and Iran—including launching an Instagram forum, Arabs Ask, shortly
after Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, massacre, to answer questions about Israel in Arabic.
She’s a central figure in a new documentary, Tragic Awakening, about the plague
of antisemitism. In May, while visiting Israel on an all-female European
delegation, Osman addressed a parliament committee and condemned Hamas’ rape of
Israeli women during the terrorist group’s invasion. “I never felt prouder,” she
told me. “When I spoke at the Knesset, I officially and publicly announced my
recovery from antisemitism. That day was an act of atonement for me.”
Osman is also in the process of converting to Judaism; when we met, she was
wearing a gold necklace with a Star of David pendant.
It’s been a dramatic evolution for a woman reared on what she considers the
brainwashing of youth to despise Israel and Jews, and who admits to having been
an antisemite. Only after moving to France and then Germany, where she lives
now, did Osman realize that her parents and teachers had lied to her.
Osman experienced several turning points in her understanding of Jews and
Judaism. The first point came in her mid-20s, at a grocery store in Strasbourg,
France: When she realized that the other shoppers were Jewish—the first Jews
she’d ever encountered—she ran out of the store. But back at her apartment,
Osman felt ashamed of her reaction. She returned to the store and, in a
conversation with the Jewish shopkeeper, revealed her background.
“On that day, he converted me from an enemy to an ally through kindness,” Osman
told an audience at the Menachem Begin Heritage Center across town a few hours
after our meal together.
Another Jewish man would play a pivotal role in her reorientation. At a German
university, Osman took a course on Judaism. The teacher, a rabbi, taught that
“to be a good Jew, you have to become a better person every day,” she told me.
“It hit me at my core. I had an epiphany. I was thinking about what he said.
Months later, I told him, ‘Judaism is real. Judaism is humane.’ The
recipe—everyone can work with it. You can work on yourself bit by bit. There’s
no standard [to meet]. It’s you who have to be a bit better.
“It is open for everyone, and the universal morality that Judaism brought to the
world is open for everybody,” Osman continued. “It is idiotic to destroy the
source that brought order and kindness to the world.”
The experience, she said, “showed me the way back home, the source of light.”Her
final turning point came on Oct. 7, 2023, she said, when she understood after
the Hamas massacre that everyone “had to choose” between evil and good—and she
went all-in on Israel and the Jewish people
The post-Oct. 7, 2023, darkness enveloping the United Nations, European city
centers, American university campuses, and Middle Eastern streets is enough to
depress Israel partisans with the certainty that moral pollution is rotting the
earth, that Orwellian doublespeak is the world’s new language, that the struggle
between right and wrong is lost.
But then, six months ago, Osman appeared in my social media feed, advocating for
Israel and against barbarism. I heard her high-pitched voice speaking English
fluently in an Arabic accent, and sensed her no-nonsense eyes, determined mouth,
and empathetic heart delivering wisdom through Arabs Ask’s short video
clips—filmed in places like her Heidelberg apartment or a Jerusalem market or a
burned-out shell of a home of a kibbutz that Hamas terrorists had desecrated.
Some of the clips are personal, like Osman explaining why she left the Middle
East—“Back where I come from, we don’t demand. We are grateful if we find the
means to feed our children”—but most tackle broader themes: Is antisemitism
embedded in the Arab world? Are Jews evil? What is a kibbutz? Are all Israelis
white?
Take the video clip of Osman’s meeting in January with Ayelet Levy Shachar,
whose soldier-daughter Naama Levy was kidnapped on Oct. 7. “I think it’s
important for the Arab world, for women, for mothers, to hear your voice and to
understand that this could happen to any of them,” Osman told Levy Shachar in
English, with simultaneous subtitles appearing in Arabic.
Hers was a breath of fresh air fumigating the stench of inhumanity. Maybe not
representative of Arab masses or their leadership or their advocates worldwide,
but a necessary crutch to navigate the minefield out.
Osman is sure other Arab allies are out there. She said she hears from
supporters, most communicating privately due to safety concerns.
Cairo native Dalia Ziada, another Muslim woman I interviewed who publicly,
including on social media, supports Israel and opposes Iran and its anti-Israel
military proxies, stated that she, too, hears from Arabs who back her but fear
saying so aloud. Israeli Arabs Joseph Haddad and Jonathan Elkhoury, both
Christians, stridently speak and tweet on the subject. A British-American
Muslim, Elica Le Bon, has appeared regularly on television interviews and on
social media to denounce her parents’ homeland of Iran and support Israel’s
fight. So has Matthew Nouriel, a British-American Jewish activist whose parents
also are Iranian. Another stalwart has been Mossab Hassan Youssef, a
Muslim-turned-Christian native of Ramallah who in 2010 attained asylum in the
United States and whose father was a founder of Hamas.
For now, they are among the anecdotal examples. Dan Diker, president of the
Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs think tank, believes others,
perhaps many, are in Israel’s corner, or at least oppose the “axis of
resistance,” but surreptitiously.
It’s a sentiment that Brigitte Gabriel, a Christian Lebanese émigré who’s long
been an outspoken critic of radical Islam, understands. Gabriel said she’s been
able to freely speak out—she lives in Virginia—since her parents died and other
close relatives no longer live in Lebanon, so she needn’t fear repercussions on
them. For more than 20 years, Lebanese friends have been “afraid to say”
anything against Hezbollah, she said. But Gabriel told me that these friends
have encouraged her to speak out on their behalf, saying, “Please be our voice.”
“There are many goodwilled, intelligent, wise, forward-thinking, moderate Arab
voices, and [social media] influencers, who recognize the truth about these
terrorists, that they are as threatened as Israel is by [them],” Diker said of
people throughout the Middle East with whom he and his staff have spoken. Among
Christians in the Middle East they’ve been in touch with, he estimated that
5%-10% identify with Israel far more than with Muslims. One reason, Diker
explained, is that “the Muslims treat the Christians with the same disgust and
rage as they do the Jews.” Osman doesn’t know the backgrounds of the Arabs who
contact her, but said that Muslims open to dialogue “are in most cases secular
or ex-Muslim.”
Osman said, “It is easier for persecuted minorities to relate to the Israelis or
the Jews. By that I mean even Muslims if they are nonbelievers or gay. That
said, it surely is more significant to meet someone who is or was a Muslim, who
grew up in that culture and had an antisemitic upbringing and yet managed to
break out of it and emerged a righteous person.”
Diker said that some, like Ziada, a senior fellow at the center, “feel safe
enough to weigh in and heavily criticize the Arab extremists and side with
Israel. The problem is that people are afraid.”
They represent a “Jekyll and Hyde syndrome in the Arab public,” said Diker, a
native of Manhattan. “In a large part of that public, they suffer from a type of
psychiatric syndrome, a split-personality syndrome: Half support what Israel is
doing and are afraid to come out and say it. Some are still victims of Islamic
and Arab propaganda.”On a video call, Ziada, 42, told me that she feared for her
life after condemning the Oct. 7 attacks and secretly fled Egypt hours after a
fatwa, or religious edict, called for her death. Ziada said she notified Cairo
police officials, who refused to protect her on the grounds that she supported
Israel. She’s since lived in Washington, D.C.
Ziada’s journey began 24 years before, during an anti-Israel protest at Cairo’s
Ain Shams University, where she studied English literature. Along with burning
Israeli and American flags, the crowd torched an Egyptian flag. That flummoxed
the patriotic Ziada. It was a “cognitive dissonance moment,” she said. Ziada
researched Israel and Judaism, and discovered that Jews were accomplished
citizens of Egypt until being evicted a few decades before. “Since then, it’s
been my mission to fight against radical Islamists and for Arab-Israeli
dialogue, with the understanding that this will bring stability to the region,”
she explained. Just since May, she’s spoken at about 20 American campuses to
both Jewish and Arab groups, delivering pro-Israel talks to Israel advocates and
pro-Palestinian talks to advocates of the Palestinians. Ziada said she’s
dismayed by Jewish students’ isolation but also by their lack of understanding
of the threats against them and of the Middle East’s reality. She’s since worked
to “help them see the truth, to see how the other side is thinking,” to combat
their threats, she said. “It will not happen overnight, but we have no option
[other] than to keep pushing for the change to happen.”
Ziada’s image as a practicing Muslim—she wears a hijab, including during our
interview—might enhance her credibility. “I have an advantage: the fact I’m
Egyptian,” she said. “They’re disarmed. I’m not a conservative Muslim woman; I’m
liberal. I keep my religion. I’m proud of my religion, but at the same time I
don’t force it on other people. This appearance makes me more approachable.”
Signs hint at the Arab rank and file becoming emboldened by Israel’s dramatic
gains over the past month that include the air force’s destroying thousands of
Hezbollah’s missiles and killing its leadership up to Secretary-General Hassan
Nasrallah and his presumed successor, Hashem Safieddine; Israeli intelligence
pulling off the beeper and walkie-talkie caper that decimated thousands of
Hezbollah operatives; Israeli ground troops continuing to uncover Hezbollah
tunnels and weapons-storage depots near Lebanon’s southern border; and Iran
bracing for Israel’s expected strike to avenge Tehran’s launching of 181
ballistic missiles against the Jewish state on Oct. 1. Even before Nasrallah’s
assassination, videos made in Lebanon mocked him for some Hezbollah strikes
against Israeli farms that killed only hundreds of chickens. Christian villages
in northern Lebanon reportedly are refusing admission to Hezbollah officials
seeking refuge there. Ordinary Lebanese and Iranians are said to be cheering on
Israel’s victories that, the thinking goes, could ultimately topple Hezbollah
and the Islamic Republic, respectively. All of that is on top of the moderating
influence of the 2020 signing of the Abraham Accords that brought peace between
Israel and four Arab countries and heralded a breakthrough for the Jewish state
with Saudi Arabia that many see as imminent postwar.
Altering attitudes takes time, though. Gabriel said that those she knows in the
region have become more cowed in the past two decades because the “Islamic
influence has gotten worse.” Paul Gross, a senior fellow at the Begin Center,
said: “I think it’s going to be a very long game. I don’t think in the short
term there’ll be a lot of change in the Arab world.” Ziada is optimistic about
continued, small steps toward moderation, saying that “it doesn’t matter in
terms of numbers, [but] the mere fact that there’s an alternative” to radical
Islam being articulated.
Osman related that her mother, who lives in Europe with Osman’s father, wouldn’t
speak with her for eight months after Arabs Ask was launched. “She couldn’t
believe. These were her words: ‘You can’t seriously believe Muslims would do
this!’” Osman said of the Oct. 7 massacre. The two have since reconciled. But
Osman is ready to move on from Germany, where things got so bad that authorities
recommended that her son not invite friends over so they wouldn’t know the
family’s address. In Germany, she said, “I don’t feel at home.”
“In Jerusalem, I’m at home. I’m pretty sure I’ll get married here. I’m pretty
sure I’ll replace all the friends and relatives I lost with better relatives and
friends,” Osman said before adding, as Israeli Jews sometimes do when wishing
for God’s positive intervention: “B’ezrat Hashem.”
*Hillel Kuttler, a writer and editor, can be reached at hk@HillelTheScribeCommunications.com.
Why Canceled Christopher Columbus Sailed West (Hint: Islam)
Raymond Ibrahim/The Stream/October 23/2024
Another Columbus Day — or as it is increasingly known, “Indigenous Peoples Day”
— has come and gone, with more and more institutions ignoring it or worse,
repeating the hackneyed allegation that the Italian explorer committed a
“genocide” against the natives.
One need look no further than to the current star of the “left,” Kamala Harris,
for all the usual woke grandstanding and bromides against the Italian explorer.
Not only is she on record affirming that she wants to officially cancel Columbus
Day and replace it with Indigenous People Day, but in 2021, as vice president,
she condemned America’s “shameful past” in the context of Columbus:
Since 1934, every October, the United States has recognized the voyage of the
European explorers who first landed on the shores of the Americas. But that is
not the whole story. That has never been the whole story. Those explorers
ushered in a wave of devastation for Tribal nations — perpetrating violence,
stealing land and spreading disease. We must not shy away from this shameful
past, and we must shed light on it and do everything we can to address the
impact of the past on Native communities today.
Earlier this week, a Trump campaign spokesperson slammed Harris for this
position:
Kamala Harris is your stereotypical leftist. Not only does she want to raise
taxes and defund the police — she also wants to cancel American traditions like
Columbus Day. President Trump will make sure Christopher Columbus’ great legacy
is honored and protect this holiday from radical leftists who want to erase our
nation’s history like Kamala Harris.
Columbus’s “great legacy,” along with words like “radical” and “erasing
history,” are a reminder of something else — something almost always forgotten
in the debate about the explorer: why he sailed west in the first place. The
answer isn’t “for spices,” as we were taught in school, but to circumnavigate
and fight “radical” Muslims, in what is now an “erased history.”
A Lifetime of Jihad
When he was born, the then-more than 800-year-old war against Islam — or rather,
defense against jihad — was at an all-time high. In 1453, when Columbus was two
years old, the Turks finally sacked Constantinople, an atrocity-laden event that
rocked Christendom to its core.
Over the following years, Muslims continued making inroads deep into the
Balkans, leaving much death and destruction in their wake, with millions of
Slavs enslaved. (Yes, the two words — Slavs and slaves — are etymologically
connected for this very reason.)
In 1480, when he was 29, the Turks even managed to invade Columbus’s native
Italy. In the city of Otranto, they ritually beheaded 800 Italians — and sawed
the local archbishop in half — for refusing to recant Christianity and embrace
Islam.
It was in this context that Spain’s monarchs, Ferdinand and Isabella —
themselves avowed Crusaders, especially the queen, who concluded the
centuries-long Reconquista of Spain by liberating Granada from Islam in 1492 —
took Columbus into their service.
They funded his ambitious voyage in an effort to launch, in the words of
historian Louis Bertrand, “a final and definite Crusade against Islam by way of
the Indies” (which culminated in the incidental founding of the New World).
The True Story
Many Europeans were convinced that if only they could reach the peoples east of
Islam — who, if not Christian, were at least “not as yet infected by the
Muhammadan plague,” to quote Pope Nicholas V (d.1455) — together they could
crush Islam between them. The plan was centuries old and connected to the legend
of Prester John, a supposedly great Christian monarch reigning in the East who
would one day march westward and avenge Christendom by destroying Islam.
All this comes out in Columbus’s own letters: in one he refers to Ferdinand and
Isabella as “enemies of the wretched sect of Muhammad” who are “resolve[d] to
send me to the regions of the Indies, to see [how the people thereof can help in
the war effort].” In another written to the monarchs after he reached the New
World, Columbus offers to raise an army “for the war and conquest of Jerusalem.”
(That his voyages centered on liberating Jerusalem from Islam is further evident
in the title of one 2011 book, Columbus and the Quest for Jerusalem.)
Nor were Spain and Columbus the first to implement this strategy. Once Portugal
was cleared of Islam in 1249, its military orders launched into Muslim Africa.
“The great and overriding motivation behind [Prince] Henry the Navigator’s [b.
1394] explosive energy and expansive intellect,” writes historian George Grant,
“was the simple desire to take the cross — to carry the crusading sword over to
Africa and thus to open a new chapter in Christendom’s holy war against Islam.”
He launched all those discovery voyages because “he sought to know if there were
in those parts any Christian princes” who “would aid him against the enemies of
the faith,” wrote a contemporary.
Actually Not Racists
Does all this make Columbus, and by extension Ferdinand and Isabella — not to
mention the whole of Christendom — “Islamophobes,” as those few modern critics
who bother mentioning the true motivation of Columbus’s voyage allege? For
example, in an LA Times op-ed, Yale historian Alan Mikhail wrote:
A primary force behind Columbus’ Atlantic crossings was a fear and hatred of
Islam…. This shaped how white Europeans engaged with the “New World” and its
native peoples for centuries, and how today’s Americans understand the world.…
Columbus was born into Europe’s anti-Islamic mind-set in 1451…
While much of this is true, Mikhail does not bother explaining why there was
such a “fear and hatred of Islam,” or why Europe had an “anti-Islamic mind-set”
in the first place. Rather, “white Europeans” were just unenlightened bigots
(“racists” in contemporary, if infinitely overdone, parlance).
But therein lay the irony: Yes, Columbus and Europeans were “Islamophobes” — but
not in the way that word is used today. While the Greek word phobos has always
meant “fear,” its usage today implies “irrational fear.”
However, considering that for nearly a thousand years before Columbus, Islam had
repeatedly attacked Christendom to the point of swallowing up three-quarters of
its original territory, including for centuries Spain; that Islam’s latest
iteration, in the guise of the Ottoman Turks, was during Columbus’s era
devastating the Balkans and Mediterranean, slaughtering and enslaving any
European who dared travel east through their domains; and that, even centuries
after Columbus, Islam was still terrorizing the West — marching onto Vienna with
200,000 jihadists in 1683 and provoking America into its first war as a nation —
the very suggestion that Western fears of Islam were, or are, “irrational” is
itself the height of irrationalism.
**Raymond Ibrahim, author of Defenders of the West and Sword and Scimitar is the
Distinguished Senior Shillman Fellow at the Gatestone Institute and the Judith
Rosen Friedman Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
Today in History: Muslims Worship Allah Atop 2,400
Christian Heads
Raymond Ibrahim/The Stream/October 23/2024
Today in history, a battle that radical Muslims venerate took place between
Muslims and Christians in Spain (known back then as al-Andalus).
In 1085, Alfonso VI of Leon-Castile captured the Muslim city of Toledo,
launching the Reconquista. Great was the lamentation among Muslims and the
rejoicing among Christians. The Muslim emirs of al-Andalus — notorious for their
disunity and dissipated lifestyles — had to act fast, for “the arrogance of the
Christian dogs” had “waxed so great.”
So the emirs called on their fanatical coreligionists in North Africa, the
Almorivades, a sect devoted to waging jihad and enforcing sharia. Its elderly
leader was Yusuf bin Tashfin, “a wise and shrewd man,” who had “passed the
greater part of his life in his native deserts; exposed to hunger and privation,
he had no taste for the life of pleasure.”Dressed in black with a veil cloaking
all but the zeal in his eyes, the 76-year-old sheikh accepted the invitation and
entered al-Andalus. The Moorish emirs quickly “acknowledged his sway, hoping
that he would stop the victorious course of the infidel, and thus open, for the
prosecution of jihad, those gates which they had hitherto kept criminally
locked,” thereby “propping up the tottering edifice of Islam, and humbling the
pride of the insolent Christian.”
Eradicating Two Enemies at Once
By October 1086, a vast coalition of thousands of Almorivades and Andalusians
under Yusuf’s command found themselves facing King Alfonso and his knights at
Sagrajas, near Badajoz. While exact numbers are unclear, the Muslims outnumbered
the Christians by roughly three to one. According to a Muslim chronicler,When
the two armies were in the presence of each other, Yusuf wrote to Alfonso
offering him one of the three [conditions] prescribed by the law; namely, Islam,
tribute, or death.
On October 23, 1086, the Christians finally charged the front lines of the
Muslim army, where Yusuf had placed the Andalusian emirs, while he and his
African warriors held the rear. The battle soon “became fiercer than ever, and
the furnaces of war burned with additional violence; death exercised its fury.”
As expected, before long the Moorish line began to crumble and retreat before
the Christians, who “repeated their attacks with increasing fury.”
Yusuf’s unperturbed reaction belied the contempt he held for his “moderate”
Muslim allies: “Let the slaughter continue a little while longer,” he told a
concerned general. “They no less than the Christians are our enemies.” Moreover,
once the Christians had tired themselves out, added the shrewd sheikh, “we shall
vanquish them without great difficulty.”
By then, Alfonso and his knights had penetrated to the rear of the Muslim
encampment, but Yusuf was nowhere to be found. He had divided his forces into
three: one (finally) to aid the nearly routed Andalusians, and one to engage
Alfonso; the last, led personally by the wily emir, had circumvented the field
of battle. “Advancing with drums rolling and banners flying,” they went straight
to and put the Christian rear camp to fire and sword.
The Drums of Doom
Upon realizing he had been outflanked, Alfonso, rather than continuing to rout
his foes, ordered an about-face back to his own camp. This was a mistake. The
Christian knights crashed into their own fleeing men, even as “the Moslems began
to thrust their swords into their backs and their spears into their flanks.”
Always in the background was “this weird drum beating, which …dumbfounded the
Christians.” It was, in fact, a tactic of the Almorivades, whose units
rhythmically advanced to the beat of drums. As one historian explains:
The thundering roll of the Almoravide drums, now heard for the first time on
Spanish soil, shook the earth and resounded the mountains. And Yusuf, galloping
along the serried ranks of the Moors, nerved them to bear the fearful sufferings
inseparable from holy war, promising Paradise to the dying and the richest booty
to those who survived the day.
Soon, even the most effete of Moorish kings had returned to the fray. Now “the
clash between the two kings was terrific,” writes a Latin chronicler:
the earth quaked under the hoofs of their horses; the sun was obscured by the
clouds of dust rising under the feet of the warriors; the steeds swam through
torrents of blood. Both parties, in short, fought with equal animosity and
courage.
Muslim accounts concur:
the stormy din of drums, the clash of clarion and trumpet, filled the air; the
earth quaked [under the weight of the warriors], and the neighboring mountains
echoed the thousand discordant sounds.
At just the right moment, Yusuf unleashed his elite black guard — 4,000
bellowing Africans, armed with light blades, spears, and hippo-hide covered
shields — toward Alfonso and the bulk of his most stalwart knights holding their
ground. He ordered them “to dismount and join the fight, which they did with
awful execution, hamstringing the horses, spearing their riders when on the
ground, and throwing confusion into the enemy’s ranks,” to quote from an Arab
source:
In the middle of the conflict Alfonso attacked, sword in hand, a black slave who
had spent all his javelins, and aimed at his head; but the black avoided the
blow, and, creeping under Alfonso’s horse, seized the animal by the bridle;
then, taking out a khanjar [J-shaped dagger] which he wore at his girdle, he
wounded the Christian king in the thigh, the instrument piercing both armour and
flesh, and pinning Alfonso to his horse’s saddle. The rout then became general,
the gales of victory blew, and Allah sent down his spirit to the Moslems,
rendering the true religion triumphant.
Exhausted, bloodied, and now impaled, Alfonso and his few remaining men — just
500, almost all seriously wounded — retreated, even as the relentless Muslims
gave chase deep into the night and slaughtered some more. In the words of the
historian al-Maqqari, Alfonso “fled from the field of battle like the timid hare
before chasing dogs, and reached Toledo, beaten, dejected in spirits, and
wounded.”
Historically Grotesque
To mark the Islamic bona fides of this triumph, a grisly scene soon unfolded on
the field of battle. In keeping with the modus operandi of more than four
centuries of Muslim heroes and caliphs, stretching back to Muhammad’s treatment
of the Jewish tribe of Banu Qurayza in AD 627, “Yusuf caused the heads of all
the Christian slain [to the number of 2,400] to be cut off and gathered together
in massive piles.”
And from the tops of those gruesome minarets the muezzins called to morning
prayers the victorious soldiers, now worked into a frenzy by the sight of this
bestial treading underfoot of human remains, ‘In the name of Allah, the
Compassionate, the Merciful.’
The emir later had the by-then-rotten heads hauled off in carts to the kingdoms
of al-Andalus as material proof of victory — and a reminder of the fate of all
who resist Islam.
Yusuf bin Tashfin is still revered among Muslims, particularly those of the
jihadist bent, for his pious exploits at this battle. Indeed, with the exception
of perhaps the battle of Yarmuk, few if any other jihads of Islamic history are
as extolled in Muslim historiography as Sagrajas, though it is known by a
different name in Arabic: the battle of al-Zallaqa, meaning “slimy” — an
apparent reference to the slippery conditions caused by the copious amount of
blood shed on the battlefield, as echoed by a chronicler:
For many years after the field of battle was so covered with carcasses of the
slain, that it was impossible to walk through it without treading on the
withering bones of some infidel.
In the end, “this memorable battle and defeat of the Christian forces … inspired
new life into the body of [Andalusian Islam],” and set the stage for the next
150 years, which saw the fiercest fighting between Christian and Muslim forces
in Spain. But that is another story.
*Raymond Ibrahim is the Distinguished Senior Shillman Fellow at the Gatestone
Institute and the Judith Rosen Friedman Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
Portions of this article were excerpted from and are documented in his book,
Sword and Scimitar.