English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For October 17/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Do you not know that you are God’s temple and that
God’s Spirit dwells in you? If anyone destroys God’s temple, God will destroy
that person
First Letter to the Corinthians 03/10-23: “According to the grace
of God given to me, like a skilled master builder I laid a foundation, and
someone else is building on it. Each builder must choose with care how to build
on it. For no one can lay any foundation other than the one that has been laid;
that foundation is Jesus Christ. Now if anyone builds on the foundation with
gold, silver, precious stones, wood, hay, straw the work of each builder will
become visible, for the Day will disclose it, because it will be revealed with
fire, and the fire will test what sort of work each has done. If what has been
built on the foundation survives, the builder will receive a reward. If the work
is burned, the builder will suffer loss; the builder will be saved, but only as
through fire. Do you not know that you are God’s temple and that God’s Spirit
dwells in you? If anyone destroys God’s temple, God will destroy that person.
For God’s temple is holy, and you are that temple. Do not deceive yourselves. If
you think that you are wise in this age, you should become fools so that you may
become wise. For the wisdom of this world is foolishness with God. For it is
written, ‘He catches the wise in their craftiness’, and again, ‘The Lord knows
the thoughts of the wise, that they are futile.’ So let no one boast about human
leaders. For all things are yours, whether Paul or Apollos or Cephas or the
world or life or death or the present or the future all belong to you, and you
belong to Christ, and Christ belongs to God.
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on October 16-17/2024
Elias Bejjani / Text and Video: A Spiritual Summit of Hypocrisy, Lacking
Lebanon’s Spirit, and Its Statement a Replica of Hezbollah’s Declarations;
Elias Bejjani/Text & Video: The Epic Failure of Maarab Conference No. 2—Maronite
Misery Defined by Geagea and Aoun
Elias Bejjani/Lebanese Christian Leadership: Subservient, Neutered, and Ignorant
of Gratitude
A Failed Spiritual Summit/By Abu Arz – Etienne Sakr
Gallant: Any talks for truce in Lebanon must be conducted 'under fire'
Netanyahu says ‘state-of-the-art’ Russian weapons found in Lebanon
Israeli strikes kill 21 in Lebanon, including in Nabatiyeh
Israel resumes strikes on Dahieh after 6-day pause
Spiritual summit in peace push amid continued Israeli massacres in southern
Lebanon
At Bkirki summit, Shiite leader urges consensual president and end to 'crazy
war'
At least 4 killed in Israeli strikes on Bekaa
US sanctions 3 people and 4 firms for raising money for Hezbollah
State Dept affirms Israel’s right to target Hezbollah in Lebanon, urges civilian
protection
Berri: Paris, Doha seeking to draft ceasefire resolution
UNIFIL says Israeli tank fired at peacekeepers watchtower in Lebanon
Macron riles Netanyahu with jab on Israel's creation
Strike on Jwaya injures 2 Red Cross paramedics on UN-coordinated mission
16 dead in Israeli strike on Lebanese municipality building
Israel's air defences are straining under repeated attacks from Iran and
Hezbollah, expert says
Israeli strikes hit Lebanon and kill at least 15 in a town with a dark history
of civilian deaths
The Road to the Third Lebanon War/David Daoud & Ahmad Sharawi/FDD's Long War
Journal/October 16/2024
Time for Berri to lead Lebanon’s Shiites away from Iran/Hussain Abdul-Hussain/Arab
News/October 16/2024
Lebanon: assassinating sectarian leaders has always led to instability – this
time will be no different
Mohamad El Kari, PhD Candidate in the Department of War Studies, King's College
London/The Conversation/October 16/ 2024
Final Statement of the Bkerke Summit: Emphasis on Lebanese Unity and Call for
Immediate Security Council Session to Cease Hostilities and Begin Implementing
Resolution 1701, and Elect a President Who Enjoys the Confidence of All
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on October 16-17/2024
UNRWA 'very near' possible breaking point in Gaza operation, head says
Iran’s FM arrives in Egypt for first visit since 2013: state media
IDF arrests three more Hezbollah Radwan terrorists along with commander
At BRICS summit, Russia to push to end dollar dominance
UK considers sanctioning 2 ultranationalist Israeli Cabinet ministers
US warns Israel to boost humanitarian aid into Gaza or risk losing weapons
funding
Israeli strike targets Syria’s Latakia, fires break out, state media reports
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on October 16-17/2024
‘Axis of Resistance’ or ‘Axis of Espionage?’ Iran’s struggles to staff
leadership/Janatan Sayeh/FDD's Long War Journal/October 16/2024
The Biden-Harris Administration's Misguided Policy On The Palestinians/Bassam
Tawil/ Gatestone Institute./October 16, 2024
Why Syria’s Assad regime must toe a fine line as Israel-Iran tensions
escalate/ROBERT EDWARDS/Arab News/October 16, 2024
Starmer should be courageous despite bumpy first 100 days/Mohamed Chebaro/Arab
News/October 16, 2024
The Gulf states’ role in shaping Middle Eastern stability/Dr. Turki Faisal Al-Rasheed/Arab
News/October 16, 2024
Can international coalition to push for two-state solution succeed?/Bakir Oweida/Arab
News/October 16, 2024
US’ curious relationship with Netanyahu and Israel/Kerry Boyd Anderson/Arab
News/October 16, 2024
Selective Tweets for October 16/2024
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News &
Editorials published
on October 16-17/2024
Elias Bejjani / Text and Video: A Spiritual
Summit of Hypocrisy, Lacking Lebanon’s Spirit, and Its Statement a Replica of
Hezbollah’s Declarations; All It Lacked Was Praise for the Shameless Slogan of
"Army, People, and Resistance"
A Time of Decay, Misery, and Dwarfs Alienated from Lebanon's Identity, Mission,
and History
Elias Bejjani/ctober 16/ 2024
To start, anyone who cannot speak the truth in this critical moment—while the
war between Israel and Hezbollah rages, leaving behind casualties, destruction,
and displacement—anyone who lacks the courage to call things by their true
names, to testify without distortion, cowardice, or selfish motives, no matter
their position, be it clergyman, politician, party leader, media personality, or
even an ordinary citizen—it is a thousand times better for them to remain
silent! They should tie their tongues and cease their hollow, useless talk. They
should stay at home and stop burdening the Lebanese with their nonsense and
lies. Silence is far more merciful than the deceitful drivel of those who pander
and speak out of cowardice. Especially if all they are going to offer is the
pinnacle of hypocrisy, deceit, and denial of reality, hiding behind misleading
words that deceive themselves and others.
In this context, Patriarch Al-Rahi has utterly failed in his ecclesiastical and
pastoral duties. He has become estranged from the suffering of Lebanon and
indifferent to the injustices, oppression, violations of rights,
marginalization, and division his community and country have endured since he
was installed as Patriarch by agents of occupation. It would have been better if
he had shut the doors of Bkerke, locked himself in with his civilian and
ecclesiastical team, who are immersed in worldly, material pursuits, and
retreated in prayer, humbly seeking forgiveness and repentance for the mistakes
and sins they have committed. Only after sincere repentance could they begin to
atone.
Many of us, both in Lebanon and abroad, ask: What did this so-called spiritual
summit achieve? It was nothing more than a summit of hypocrisy, blindness, and
deceit, ignoring the root causes of the war, and failing to hold accountable
those who dragged Lebanon into this conflict against the will of its people.
There is no doubt—the culprit is Hezbollah, the Iranian jihadist and criminal
entity.
Anyone who reads the summit’s final statement (attached below in both Arabic and
English) will immediately realize that it might as well have been written by
Hezbollah’s propaganda machine. The only thing missing was the forced mention of
the worn-out slogan, “Army, People, Resistance.”
The statement deliberately ignored Hezbollah’s heinous crimes and the group’s
declaration of war on Israel. It was filled with meaningless, outdated phrases
that no longer fool anyone, all aimed solely at attacking the State of Israel
while conveniently bypassing the core issue: Hezbollah’s destructive occupation
of Lebanon.
If the participants of this spiritual summit had truly wanted to help Lebanon—to
liberate it, to restore its sovereignty, independence, and free will, to end the
war, and to rid the country of Hezbollah’s Iranian-backed terrorist
occupation—they would have acted boldly. By now, they should have packed their
bags, headed straight to the United Nations Security Council, and demanded that
Lebanon be placed under Chapter VII of the UN Charter as a failed and rogue
state, needing international protection and intervention.
In short, this so-called spiritual summit was nothing but a gathering of
hypocrisy and deceit, completely detached from Lebanon’s mission and sanctity,
and utterly incapable of bearing witness to the truth and justice. It was doomed
to fail before it even began and will have no impact whatsoever on the course of
the war.
Elias
Bejjani/Text & Video: The Epic Failure of Maarab Conference No. 2—Maronite
Misery Defined by Geagea and Aoun
Elias Bejjani, October 14, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/135690/
Let’s cut to the chase: the second Maarab Conference held
last Saturday was a colossal failure, just like the first. It was a disgrace to
the alienated Christian leadership, disconnected from the realities unfolding in
Lebanon and across the Middle East. The sole purpose of the conference was not
to address the concerns of Lebanon, its people, or the Christian presence under
Iranian occupation. Nor did it focus on the ongoing war between Hezbollah and
Israel, or the disasters plaguing the nation. What Geagea sought, and will never
achieve, is the fulfillment of his grandiose delusion of being the "one and only
Christian leader." This delusion has blinded him for years, and because of it,
untold catastrophes have befallen the Christians. Let us not forget that he
seized the leadership of the Lebanese Forces Party (LF) through violence,
without ever being elected to that position.
It is evident that this so-called conference achieved nothing but exposing
Geagea's illusions. There will be no presidency, no first lady, and it’s time to
wake up from these delusional daydreams. His obsessive hallucinations will
likely lead him to call for a third Maarab Conference soon, driven by the same
baseless fantasy of being the "sole Christian leader." Those who fail to learn
from their mistakes are doomed to repeat them.
On the other side, Aoun, his son-in-law, and their opportunistic herd held
prayers for the martyrs of October 13, 1990—the very martyrs they betrayed. It
was Aoun and his cronies who jumped over their blood, forming alliances with
those who killed them. Aoun and his son-in-law and their herd of puppets, just
like Geagea, live in a distorted reality and stuck in a 1990 déjà vu, as if they
were still in the presidential palace.
A Brief on Samir Geagea’s Failures
Geagea lacks any vision, and in every pivotal moment, his decisions have been
blind and destructive for the Christians. Some examples include: the execution
of two men he falsely accused of trying to assassinate him, his participation in
the killing of Tony Frangieh, his surrender of the Lebanese Forces’ weapons, his
drowning in the Taif Agreement, his idiotic alliance of mutual personal interest
with Aoun, his election of Aoun for presidency, and his failure to flee during
the Syrian occupation and stupidly go willingly to prison (even Christ
fled multiple times). He even extended condolences in Qardaha over Basil
al-Assad’s death, abandoned the South Lebanon Army members, and showed cowardice
in defending them. His hypocrisy knows no bounds, claiming Hezbollah’s martyrs
are like those of the Lebanese Forces, while also falsely stating that Hezbollah
liberated the South when he knows Israel withdrew by internal decision. His
shameless flattery of Hezbollah's MPs, calling them Lebanese representatives of
the Shiites, while in reality, Hezbollah holds the Shiite population hostage and
imposes its MPs by force. He opposed the Orthodox electoral law and sidelined
every intellectual in his circle. All this, coupled with his narcissistic
delusion of being the "sole Christian leader," leads to a total lack of
leadership and vision.
In conclusion, All Maronites' Failures, Disasters, and Downfalls since 1986 are
the Direct Products of Aoun & Geagea's Narcissistic and Blind Agendas"
Elias Bejjani/Lebanese Christian Leadership:
Subservient, Neutered, and Ignorant of Gratitude
Elias Bejjani / October 13, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/135609/
Nothing has destroyed Arab societies, their nations, and
Lebanon more than the ignorant and foolish phrase: "No voice is louder than the
voice of battle."
This unfortunate and self-destructive slogan has for years concealed the deep
existential problems eating away at the Lebanese state, allowing Hezbollah, the
armed, sectarian, and terrorist Iranian armed proxy to expand, take control of
the country, and turn it into a military base for Iranian arms, a battlefield
for its wars, and a launch pad for its destructive expansionist evil project.
Hezbollah was left free to roam under the "mafia-militia" equation (the mafia
covering corruption, the militia covering weapons and occupation), creating a
culture of fear, submission, surrender, and Dhimmitude. It suppressed, through
force, assassinations, and fabricated judicial cases, any attempt to confront
its terror that has been choking Lebanon and its people for more than 40 years.
In the midst of this ongoing war between Hezbollah and Israel that is burning
and destroying our homeland and displacing our people, we must speak honestly
and loudly, without fear: Hezbollah is not just a threat to Lebanon; it is a
plague that has infiltrated every corner of the Lebanese societies, oppressing
our people, particularly Christians, and assassinating Lebanese leaders who
stand against it.
Whether we like Israel or not, it is currently the only force capable of facing
this enormous challenge, dismantling Hezbollah's leadership, and breaking its
terrorist network. No other power in the world has the military capability or
strategic interest to accomplish this mission. Yet, many Lebanese Christian
leaders, driven by Dhimmitude and foolishness, continue to show vile
ingratitude, attacking Israel with empty rhetoric, labeling it "enemy"
"barbaric" and "criminal." etc
These leaders, whether secular or religious, are betraying their own people by
failing to recognize the importance of what Israel is doing to liberate Lebanon
from Hezbollah’s occupation and threat.
This is not just about regional politics; it is a matter of Lebanon’s survival
and existence, especially for the Christians, whom Hezbollah has systematically
targeted for decades in an effort to uproot them. Hezbollah's terrorism,
arrogance, and depravity have turned Christians into second-class citizens in
their own country, forced to live under the threat of violence, coerced into
submission, and stripped of their political power in governance.
In 1982, when Bachir Gemayel was assassinated, we, as Christians and Lebanese in
general, lost our greatest chance to reclaim Lebanon from the forces that sought
its destruction. Now, 42 years later, we are at another critical crossroads in
our history.
Instead of seizing this opportunity and aligning with the only force—Israel—that
can destroy Hezbollah, Lebanese Christian leaders are once again proving
themselves to be neutered and subservient, unable to break free from the
mentality and culture of Dhimmitude that has enslaved them. These leaders, in
their foolishness, continue to appease Hezbollah, standing idly by while Israel
does the hard work of dismantling a terrorist organization that has brought
nothing but pain and destruction to Lebanon and its people.
This is not just cowardice; it is a betrayal of the Lebanese people, especially
Christians, who deserve to live freely, like other Lebanese, in a sovereign and
independent nation.
If these Christian leaders had any dignity or vision, they would stop their
pointless and foolish attacks on Israel and start showing gratitude for what is
being done to free Lebanon from the grip of the Iranian militia.
History will not forgive those who, at the moment of Hezbollah's fall, chose
cowardice over courage, and ingratitude over the duty to acknowledge the favor.
The chance to reclaim Lebanon from the jaws of Iran and its terrorist proxy,
Hezbollah, is now. Israel is offering us this final opportunity. Let us not
repeat the mistake we made in 1982; this may be our last chance to restore our
homeland and live in peace.
A Failed Spiritual Summit
By Abu Arz – Etienne Sakr/October 16/2024
(Free translation from Arabic by Elias Bejjani)
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/135786/
The statement issued by the so-called Spiritual Summit, held today, Wednesday,
October 24, 2024, in Bkerke, does not represent the aspirations of free Lebanese
citizens who long to liberate their homeland from the Iranian occupation. This
occupation has oppressed them for over forty years through its exclusive proxy,
Hezbollah, which has spread corruption and terrorism across the country.
Hezbollah has committed heinous individual and collective crimes, seized control
of the state’s decisions regarding war and peace, and established a parallel
state within Lebanon, receiving orders and support directly from the Islamic
Republic of Iran. This parallel entity boasts its own military, educational,
financial, and social institutions—leading to the weakening of the Lebanese
state and the decay of its public and private institutions. The consequences
have been dire, plunging the nation into suffocating economic, financial, and
social crises, bringing Lebanon to the brink of total collapse.
Today, Lebanon stands before a historic opportunity to reclaim its lost freedom
and full sovereignty over its land. However, this can only be achieved if the
nation seizes this moment with courage, wisdom, and foresight. We warn the
spiritual and political leaders against squandering this golden opportunity
through reckless, shallow, and short-sighted actions, as was the case in 1982.
Beware.
Long Live Lebanon
Etienne Sakr – Abu Arz
Gallant: Any talks for truce in Lebanon must be
conducted 'under fire'
Naharnet/October 16, 2024
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said Wednesday that any negotiations to
end fighting in Lebanon must be conducted “under fire,” during a situational
assessment on the northern front. Meeting with commanders of the reservist 146th
Division, Gallant said the recent capture of Hezbollah operatives in southern
Lebanon proves the Israeli army's "success and Hezbollah's predicament,"
according to a Defense Ministry statement. “We are learning things through
questioning that we would not have learned any other way, and they will be
useful for us soon,” Gallant said, adding that the ongoing ground operation will
allow evacuated residents of northern Israel to return to their homes.
Netanyahu says ‘state-of-the-art’ Russian weapons found in Lebanon
AFP/October 17, 2024
PARIS: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told a French newspaper that
Israeli forces had found “state-of-the-art” Russian weapons in searches of
Hezbollah bases in south Lebanon. Netanyahu highlighted to Le Figaro newspaper,
in an interview released Wednesday, that under a 2006 UN Security Council
resolution only the Lebanese army was allowed to have weapons south of the
country’s key Litani river. “However, in this area, Hezbollah has dug hundreds
of tunnels and caches, where we have just found a quantity of state-of-the-art
Russian weapons,” the French article quoted Netanyahu as saying. The Washington
Post, quoting Israeli officials, has reported that Russian and Chinese anti-tank
weapons had been found in Israel’s raids inside Lebanon since it escalated its
conflict with the Iran-backed Hezbollah last month. The Israeli army did not
immediately respond to an AFP question about the prime minister’s comments.
Israel says the aim of its military campaign against Hezbollah is to make the
region safe so that about 60,000 evacuated residents of northern Israel can
return to their homes. Many left their homes because of cross-border shelling
between Israel and Hezbollah after the launch of the Gaza war on October 7 last
year. “A new civil war in Lebanon would be a tragedy. It is certainly not our
aim to provoke one. Israel does not intend to interfere in Lebanon’s internal
affairs,” Netanyahu told Le Figaro. “Our only aim is to allow our citizens
living along the Lebanon frontier to go home and feel safe,” he added.Hezbollah
and Israel fought a gradually mounting artillery duel after the Hamas attacks on
Israel set off the Gaza war. Since Israel started raids on Hezbollah, at least
1,373 people have died in Lebanon, according to an AFP tally of Lebanese health
ministry figures. The real toll is likely higher.
Israeli strikes kill 21 in Lebanon, including in Nabatiyeh
AP/October 16, 2024
BEIRUT: Israeli airstrikes pounded areas across Lebanon, killing at least 21
people, officials said Wednesday, including more than a dozen in a southern town
where Israeli bombardments in previous conflicts are seared into local memory.
Elsewhere in the south, a city’s mayor was among the dead in a strike that
Lebanese officials said targeted a meeting coordinating relief efforts. There
was no immediate comment from the Israeli military on the strikes late Tuesday
on the southern town of Qana, where 15 people were killed. Associated Press
photos and video of the scene showed several flattened buildings and others with
their top floors collapsed. Rescue workers carried away the remains of dead
people and used a bulldozer to remove rubble, as they searched for more victims.
In 1996, Israeli artillery shelling on a United Nations compound housing
hundreds of displaced people in Qana killed at least 100 civilians and wounded
scores more people, including four UN peacekeepers. During the 2006 war, an
Israeli strike on a residential building killed nearly three dozen people, a
third of them children. Israel said at the time that it struck a Hezbollah
rocket launcher behind the building. “Qana always gets its share,” Mayor
Mohammed Krasht told the AP, referring to the town’s grim history. Lebanon’s
caretaker prime minister, Najib Mikati, meanwhile accused Israel of
“intentionally targeting” a municipal council meeting to discuss relief efforts
in Nabatiyeh, where six people were killed. “What solution can be hoped for in
light of this reality?” he asked in a statement. The Israeli military said it
targeted Hezbollah command centers and weapons facilities that had been embedded
in civilian areas of Nabatiyeh in Wednesday’s strikes, without providing
evidence. Israel also resumed its barrage on Beirut’s southern suburbs after a
six-day pause, hitting what it said was an arms warehouse under an apartment
building, without providing evidence. The military warned residents to evacuate
before the strike, and there were no reports of casualties.
Israel resumes strikes on Beirut
The strikes on southern Beirut came after Mikati said the United States had
given him assurances that Israel would curb its strikes on the capital.
Hezbollah has a strong presence in southern Beirut, known as the Dahiyeh, which
is also a residential and commercial area home to large numbers of civilians and
people unaffiliated with the militant group. The Israeli military posted an
evacuation warning on the social media platform X ahead of the strike in Beirut.
An Associated Press photographer saw three airstrikes in the area, the first
coming less than an hour after the notice. In Nabatiyeh, more than half a dozen
strikes hit the city and surrounding areas, according to Lebanon’s Health
Ministry, which said at least six people were killed and 43 wounded, with rescue
efforts still underway. The city’s mayor, Ahmad Kahil, was among those killed,
provincial governor Huwaida Turk told The Associated Press. In his statement
about Nabatiyeh, Mikati, the caretaker prime minister, said the international
community has been “deliberately silent” about Israeli strikes that have killed
civilians. UN Special Coordinator for Lebanon Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert called
reports of Kahlil’s death “alarming.”“This attack follows other incidents in
which civilians and civilian infrastructure have been targeted across Lebanon,”
she said. Hezbollah began firing rockets into Israel on Oct. 8, 2023, in
solidarity with the Palestinian militant group Hamas, following the surprise
Hamas attack on southern Israel that triggered the war in Gaza. A year of
low-level fighting along the Israel-Lebanon border escalated into all-out war
last month, and Israel invaded Lebanon at the start of October. Israeli
airstrikes have killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and most of his senior
commanders, and Israel has vowed to continue its offensive until its citizens
can safely return to communities near the border. Some 2,300 people have been
killed by Israeli strikes in Lebanon since last October, more than
three-quarters of them in the past month, according to Lebanon’s Health
Ministry. The fighting has displaced some 1.2 million people in Lebanon.
Hezbollah’s rocket attacks, which have extended their range and grown more
intense over the past month, have driven around 60,000 Israelis from their homes
in the north. The attacks have killed nearly 60 people in Israel, around half of
them soldiers. Hezbollah has said it will keep up its attacks until there is a
ceasefire in Gaza, but that appears increasingly remote after months of
negotiations brokered by the United States, Egypt and Qatar sputtered to a halt.
Palestinians say 350 bodies recovered from Israeli operation in Gaza
Israel is still at war in Gaza more than a year after Hamas’ attack, in which
some 1,200 people were killed, mostly civilians, and another 250 were abducted.
Around 100 captives are still being held, about a third of whom are believed to
be dead. Israel has been carrying out a major operation for more than a week in
Jabaliya, an urban refugee camp in the territory’s north dating back to the 1948
war surrounding Israel’s creation. Israeli forces have repeatedly returned to
Jabaliya and other areas after saying that Hamas militants had regrouped.
Hospitals have received around 350 bodies since the offensive began on Oct. 6,
according to Dr. Mounir Al-Boursh, the director-general of Gaza’s Health
Ministry. He told the AP that more than half the dead were women and children,
and that many bodies remain in the streets and under the rubble, with rescue
teams unable to reach them because of Israeli strikes. “Entire families have
disappeared,” he said. Israel’s offensive has killed over 42,000 people,
according to the Health Ministry, which does not say how many were fighters but
says more than half were women and children. The offensive has left large areas
in ruins and displaced around 90 percent of Gaza’s population of 2.3 million
people, forcing hundreds of thousands into crowded tent camps or
schools-turned-shelters.
Israel resumes strikes on Dahieh after 6-day pause
Agence France Presse/Associated Press/October 16, 2024
Israeli warplanes targeted Wednesday Haret Hreik in Beirut's southern suburbs,
for the first time in nearly a week. The strikes on southern Beirut were the
first in six days, and came after caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati said the
United States had given him assurances that Israel would curb its strikes on the
capital. The Israeli army said it struck a "strategic weapons depot" belonging
to Hezbollah, under a residential building, without providing evidence. "You are
located near facilities and interests affiliated with Hezbollah, which the IDF
(Israeli military) will work against in the near future", Israeli military
spokesman Avichay Adraee wrote in Arabic on X. An Associated Press photographer
saw three airstrikes in the area, the first coming less than an hour after the
notice. Hezbollah has a strong presence in southern Beirut, which is also a
residential and commercial area home to large numbers of civilians and people
unaffiliated with the militant group. Israel also carried out Wednesday 11 air
strikes on Nabatiyeh and surrounding areas in south Lebanon, days after strikes
destroyed the southern city's marketplace. "For now, 11 strikes have mainly hit
Nabatiyeh but also its surroundings," Nabatiyeh governor Howaida Turk told AFP
when asked about Israeli strikes, adding that the intense raids "formed a kind
of belt of fire" in the area. She reported casualties but could not provide a
precise toll. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected Tuesday the
idea of a ceasefire in Lebanon that would leave Hezbollah close to his country's
northern border. In a call with French President Emmanuel Macron, Netanyahu said
he was "opposed to a unilateral ceasefire, which does not change the security
situation in Lebanon, and which will only return it to the way it was",
according to a statement from his office. "Prime Minister Netanyahu clarified
that Israel would not agree to any arrangement that does not provide this (a
buffer zone) and which does not stop Hezbollah from rearming and regrouping,"
the statement said.
Sonic booms rattle Beirut -
Israeli jets caused two sonic booms over Beirut and the surrounding area
Wednesday. "Enemy aircraft violently broke the sound barrier twice in the
airspace of (Beirut's) southern suburbs" and surroundings areas, the National
News Agency said. 50 projectiles fired from Lebanon -
Around 50 projectiles were fired from Lebanon at Israel's north early Wednesday,
without any reports of casualties. "Some of the projectiles were intercepted and
fallen projectiles were identified in the area," an Israeli military statement
said, while Hezbollah said it launched "a large salvo of missiles" at the town
of Safed.
Hezbollah downs two drones -
Hezbollah said it downed a second Israeli drone on Tuesday, adding that it was
seen "burning" over Israeli territory. Fighters from the group's "air defense
units shot down a second Israeli Hermes 450 drone," on Tuesday, Hezbollah said,
adding that "it was seen burning in the skies of occupied Palestine."
Spiritual summit in peace push amid continued Israeli
massacres in southern Lebanon
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arab News/October 16, 2024
BEIRUT: Islamic and Christian spiritual authorities in Lebanon have called
unanimously for “the immediate and full implementation of Resolution 1701,”
which includes supporting the Lebanese army, enhancing its capabilities to
defend the country, and ensuring its widespread deployment south of the Litani
River and across all Lebanese territories.The summit took place on Wednesday at
the Maronite Patriarchate headquarters in Bkerke amidst escalating Israeli
attacks and included Shiite representatives, despite previous differences
between the sect and Maronite Patriarch Bechara Boutros Al-Rahi over Lebanon’s
neutrality and Hezbollah’s weapons. The UN Interim Force in Lebanon was praised
for “remaining at their positions despite unjustified Israeli harassment and
warnings aimed at removing any witnesses to the brutal massacres Israel is
committing against our nation.”
In its closing statement, it added: “Solutions for Lebanon will only, and must
only, come through comprehensive national solutions. “These solutions should be
based on adherence to the Lebanese constitution, the Taif Agreement, the
Lebanese state, its unified authority, its free decision-making, and its
responsible role in protecting the nation, national sovereignty, and its
responsibilities toward its people, ensuring their security, stability, and
prosperity.” The summit stressed the need for “reforming constitutional
institutions, especially for parliament to immediately begin the election of a
president who enjoys the trust of all Lebanese, in accordance with the
provisions of the constitution, with as much understanding and consensus as
possible, based on a collective Lebanese will, adhering to the spirit of the
National Pact, prioritizing the national interest, and surpassing external
interests.”
It also called on the government to “fully assume its responsibilities and to
cooperate with parliament according to the Constitution, to mobilize the efforts
of Arab brothers and the many friends around the world, to contribute with the
Lebanese in saving Lebanon.”
Parallel to the summit, Israeli attacks and confrontations continued along the
border. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Health announced a case of cholera 01 in a
Lebanese woman in the Akkar region As a result, the national cholera plan and
containment measures were being deployed. Some 1.2 million people have been
displaced from the south, Bekaa and Beirut’s southern suburb as a result of the
war, moving toward central and northern Lebanon. Hundreds are without shelter,
sleeping outdoors or in their cars. Israeli airstrikes have targeted the
southern suburb of Beirut — specifically the uninhabited area of Haret Hreik —
following a week-long cessation of such attacks. It came after a warning to
evacuate residential buildings was issued by Israeli army spokesperson Avichay
Adraee on social media, claiming the raids “targeted, with precise intelligence
guidance from the Military Intelligence Service, a strategic weapons depot for
Hezbollah that was stored in an underground warehouse in the southern suburb.”
Airstrikes targeted the city of Nabatieh, 56 km from Beirut, unleashing a series
of missiles that destroyed the municipal building. At the time, the mayor,
council members and administrative personnel were organizing humanitarian aid
for displaced people in the region. The attack left six people dead, including
Mayor Dr. Ahmad Kahil, and 43 injured. Condemning the attack, Prime Minister
Najib Mikati said it was “a message to the world that remains deliberately
silent on the crimes of the occupation, which encourages it to persist in its
transgressions and crimes.”He added: “If all the countries in the world are
unable to deter a blatant aggression against the Lebanese people, what is the
point of turning to the Security Council to demand a ceasefire? What can
possibly dissuade the enemy from committing atrocities that have escalated to
the point of targeting peacekeeping forces in the south? What solution can be
anticipated in light of this reality?”
The UN’s special coordinator for Lebanon, Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, called for
“the protection of civilians at all times.”
She said “violations of international humanitarian law are entirely
unacceptable. It is imperative that all concerned parties immediately cease
hostilities and pave the way for diplomatic solutions.”Media reports indicated
that Israel had captured three additional members of Hezbollah after initially
detaining four on Tuesday. This was not confirmed by the organization.Airstrikes
on the town of Qana at dawn left three people dead and 54 more injured. The
Ministry of Health confirmed rescuers were working to clear rubble in an effort
to reach those trapped beneath it, while an infant who was found still alive had
been taken to hospital. Mourners and rescue teams in cemeteries in Jouya were
also targeted by airstrikes as they tried to buy the victims of previous
attacks, resulting in additional injuries. Direct confrontations between the
Israeli army and Hezbollah continued along the routes of Taybeh, Rab El-Thalathine,
Markaba, Hula, Ramya, Aita Al-Shaab, and Qaouzah.
Shebaa also experienced heavy artillery shelling, prompting the intervention of
the Lebanese Red Cross to evacuate several elderly individuals who insisted on
remaining in the town rather than relocating to Hasbaya.The Israeli army
reported 13 injured soldiers along the Lebanese front in the past 24 hours. A
statement said: “Israeli naval forces attacked dozens of Hezbollah terrorist
targets, in cooperation with the fighters on the ground.” Meanwhile, it also
waged psychological warfare by calling civilians directly. The Ghandour Hospital
in Nabatieh Al-Fawqa, which closed some years ago, received warnings to evacuate
after hosting displaced people from border villages. A man driving his car on
the coast ride in Sidon was also prompted to flee his vehicle after he received
a call. Six people were wounded in airstrikes on the town of Yammoune, while
Israeli drones flew at low altitude over the Lebanese-Syrian border area in
Hermel in an attempt to prevent the reopening of crossings shelled in previous
attacks. Hezbollah announced a series of targets on the Israeli side, including
Safed, the Yeftah settlement and Israeli army artillery positions in Dalton,
Dishon and Misgav Am.
The Israeli Broadcasting Corporation reported that two Israelis were wounded
after five Lebanese rockets struck the yard of a house in Safed. The Israeli
army said 50 missiles had been launched from Lebanon toward the north of the
country at dawn, some of which were intercepted.
At Bkirki summit, Shiite leader urges consensual
president and end to 'crazy war'
Naharnet/October 16, 2024
Higher Islamic Shiite Council deputy head Sheikh Ali al-Khatib on Wednesday
agreed that a “consensual president” must be elected for the country so that all
Lebanese can support him in addressing the “heavy burden” of the ongoing Israeli
war. “But first this crazy war must be stopped through the unity of the Lebanese
people,” Khatib added, during a spiritual summit in Bkirki organized by Maronite
Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi. “We are counting on the efforts of Speaker Nabih
Berri and caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati and we place our full confidence
in them,” Khatib added. “Hezbollah’s secretary-general, the martyr Hassan
Nasrallah, offered himself as a sacrifice for Lebanon and our people were forced
to flee. We salute the Lebanese people from all sects for opening their doors to
their brothers,” the Shiite leader added. “We are the advocates, sponsors and
protectors of the state and we are keen on its rise, strength and authority, but
throughout decades, the state renounced its sovereignty and showed impotence and
carelessness about the sovereignty and dignity of its people and their
suffering, abandoning them on the border to the Zionist monster,” Khatib
lamented. Saluting “the heroic men of the resistance,” the Shiite leader called
for “building a real and capable state that can shoulder their national
responsibilities in defending its sovereignty and the dignity of its people.”
Patriarch al-Rahi for his part said there is “a national tragedy” that is
“sweeping everyone.”“Today the time is for mending wounds and finding solutions,
and this is our role as spiritual leaders,” the patriarch added. Druze spiritual
leader Sheikh Sami Abi al-Mona meanwhile warned against seeking “foreign”
assistance against internal parties and against any attempt to “defeat any
sect.” A closing statement issued later in the day called on the U.N. Security
Council to "meet immediately to secure a ceasefire and stop the massacre against
Lebanon." "We call for electing a president who enjoys the biggest level of
consensus and for the immediate implementation of Resolution 1701," it added.
At least 4 killed in Israeli strikes on Bekaa
Associated Press/October 16, 2024
Israeli warplanes struck a two-story building in Yammouneh, in the Bekaa Valley,
killing two people, according to Lebanon's state-run National News Agency. The
victims in the strike Wednesday afternoon were a local woman and a displaced
person, the report said. Two people were killed and nine others were injured in
a separate airstrike on the Rayak-Baalbek highway, the Health Ministry said.
Several Lebanese army soldiers were wounded, the news agency reported.
US sanctions 3 people and 4 firms for raising money for
Hezbollah
Associated Press/October 16, 2024
The U.S. has sanctioned three people and four firms involved in a Lebanon-based
sanctions evasion network accused of generating millions in revenue for the
militant group Hezbollah. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control also
imposed sanctions on three people involved in trafficking of Captagon, an
amphetamine, from Lebanon into Jordan. The majority of the world’s Captagon is
produced in Syria, with smaller production in neighboring Lebanon. Western
governments estimate illegal trade in the pills generates billions of dollars
for senior members of the Syrian government. The penalties aim to block them
from using the U.S. financial system and bar American citizens from dealing with
them. Treasury’s Acting Under Secretary of the Treasury for Terrorism and
Financial Intelligence Bradley T. Smith said Wednesday’s action underscores
Hezbollah’s “destabilizing influence within Lebanon and on the wider region.”
U.S. State Department spokesman Matthew Miller said the U.S. will “continue to
target the illicit Captagon trade in the region.”
State Dept affirms Israel’s right to target Hezbollah in
Lebanon, urges civilian protection
REUTERS/October 16, 2024
Washington supports limited incursions by Israel to attack and degrade Hezbollah
WASHINGTON: Israel has a right to target Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah
even as it may be hiding in civilian buildings in Lebanon, but should do so in a
way that protects civilians, State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said
on Wednesday. Asked at a regular press briefing about an Israeli airstrike that
destroyed the municipal headquarters in the southern Lebanon town of Nabatieh
that killed 16 people including the mayor, Miller said he could not comment on
the specific strike, but “we don’t want to see civilian buildings destroyed.”“We
understand that Hezbollah does operate at times from underneath civilian homes,
inside civilian homes. We’ve seen footage that has emerged over the course of
the past two weeks of rockets and other military weapons held in civilian
homes,” he said. “Israel does have a right to go after those legitimate targets,
but they need to do so in a way that protects civilian infrastructure, protects
civilians,” he said. Washington supports limited incursions by Israel to attack
and degrade Hezbollah, but the US opposes a broad bombing campaign on Beirut and
attacks that don’t avoid civilian harm, Miller said. Lebanese officials
denounced Wednesday’s attack, which also wounded more than 50 people in Nabatieh,
a provincial capital, saying it was proof that Israel’s campaign against the
Hezbollah armed group was now shifting to target the Lebanese state. Lebanon’s
caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati said the strike hit civilians meeting to
coordinate relief efforts.Miller said if Israel intentionally targeted such a
meeting that would be “unacceptable,” but said the circumstances would need to
be verified. Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, on a visit to northern Israel near
the border, said Israel would not halt its assault on Hezbollah to allow
negotiations. “Hezbollah is in great distress,” he said according to a statement
from his office. “We will hold negotiations only under fire. I said this on day
one, I said it in Gaza, and I am saying it here.”
Berri: Paris, Doha seeking to draft ceasefire resolution
Naharnet/October 16, 2024Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri has lamented that “the
Americans are still endorsing the Israeli stance until the end, despite U.S.
Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s diplomatic tone.”
“There is no progress in the U.S. stance, whether through Blinken or U.S. envoy
Amos Hochstein,” Berri told his visitors. “The bet today is on the French and
Qatari roles and on the battlefield, with Paris and Doha seeking to draft a
ceasefire resolution,” the Speaker added.
UNIFIL says Israeli tank fired at peacekeepers
watchtower in Lebanon
REUTERS/October 16, 2024
CAIRO: The UN mission in Lebanon (UNIFIL) said its peacekeepers at a position
near southern Lebanon’s Kfar Kela observed an Israeli Merkava tank firing at
their watchtower on Wednesday morning. Two cameras were destroyed, and the tower
was damaged, the UNIFIL said in its statement.
Macron riles Netanyahu with jab on Israel's creation
Agence France Presse/October 16, 2024
French President Emmanuel Macron has further strained tense relations with
Israel with a comment referring o the creation of the Israeli state, a verbal
jab that was rapidly denounced by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as
distorting history. Macron has sought to take a more uncompromising stance on
the conflicts in the Middle East after Israel launched an offensive in Lebanon,
a former French protectorate. The French leader said last week that stopping the
export of weapons used by Israel in Lebanon and in the Gaza Strip was the only
way to stop the two conflicts. France, which is home to Europe's largest Jewish
population, has repeatedly urged a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon, but
has also increasingly criticized Israel over the heavy civilian toll in the
conflicts. Paris has also denounced Israeli fire against the 10,000 peacekeepers
of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) in southern Lebanon,
which includes a French contingent of around 700 troops. In a new sign of the
tensions between the countries, organizers of the major Euronaval defense show
outside Paris next month said that following a decision of the French
government, no Israeli stands or exhibits would be allowed at the salon.
'Not the time' -
"Mr. Netanyahu must not forget that his country was created by a decision of the
U.N.," Macron told the weekly French cabinet meeting on Tuesday, referring to
the resolution adopted in November 1947 by the United Nations General Assembly
to partition Palestine into a Jewish state and an Arab state. His comments
during the closed-door meeting at the Elysee Palace were quoted by two
participants who spoke to AFP and asked not to be named. "Therefore this is not
the time to disregard the decisions of the U.N.," he added. Netanyahu hit back
at Macron's comments later Tuesday, saying the country's founding was achieved
by the 1948 Arab-Israeli war, not a U.N. ruling. He also said that among those
who fought for Israel in 1948 were French Jews who had been sent to death camps
after being rounded up by the collaborationist Vichy regime, which governed
France during the Nazi occupation in World War II. "A reminder to the president
of France: It was not the U.N. resolution that established the State of Israel,
but rather the victory achieved in the war of independence with the blood of
heroic fighters, many of whom were Holocaust survivors -- including from the
Vichy regime in France," Netanyahu said.
The French presidency's readout of a phone call between both men Tuesday -- sent
deep in the night, several hours after the conversation took place -- made clear
the testy nature of the exchange. Macron told Netanyahu that he condemned "the
indiscriminate Israeli strikes that only add to an already intolerable human
toll, in Gaza as in Lebanon", it said.
'What does it imply?' -
But Macron's comment on Israel's creation had also caused concern within the
Jewish community in France. Yonathan Arfi, president of the Representative
Council of French Jewish Institutions (CRIF), an umbrella group, said the
remarks "dangerously strengthen the camp of those who contest the legitimacy of
Israel's right to exist". Caroline Yadan, an MP for Macron's centrist party,
asked "What does this statement imply? That what the U.N. has done, the U.N. can
undo? Is this a warning?" "Macron's words have sown trouble in the macronie,"
said the left-wing daily Liberation, using the colloquial term for Macron's
supporters.
Strike on Jwaya injures 2 Red Cross paramedics on
UN-coordinated mission
Agence France Presse/October 16, 2024
The Lebanese Red Cross said two paramedics were wounded in an Israeli strike on
Wednesday that hit a south Lebanon village while on a rescue mission coordinated
with U.N. peacekeepers.
Two rescuers in the village of Jwaya sustained "light injuries", said a
statement posted on social media, adding that the volunteers were dispatched
after "coordination with UNIFIL", the U.N. peacekeeping mission, to search for
casualties in an earlier Israeli strike on the same area.
16 dead in Israeli strike on Lebanese municipality
building
Laila Bassam and Maya Gebeily/Reuters/October 16, 2024
Smoke rises after an Israeli Air Force air strike in southern Lebanon village,
amid cross-border hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel, as seen from as seen
from Nahariya, northern Israel
By Laila Bassam and Maya Gebeily
The mayor of a major town in south Lebanon was among 16 people killed when an
Israeli airstrike destroyed its municipal headquarters in the biggest attack on
an official Lebanese state building since the Israeli air campaign began.
Lebanese officials denounced the incident, which also wounded more than 50
people in Nabatieh, a provincial capital, saying it was proof that Israel's
campaign against the Hezbollah armed group was now shifting to target the
Lebanese state.
The Israelis "intentionally targeted a meeting of the municipal council to
discuss the city's service and relief situation" to aid people displaced by the
Israeli campaign, caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati said. The U.N. mission
in Lebanon (UNIFIL) said its peacekeepers observed an Israeli tank firing at
their watchtower near southern Lebanon's Kfar Kela on Wednesday morning. Two
cameras were destroyed, and the tower was damaged, UNIFIL said.
There was no immediate comment from the Israeli military on the UNIFIL
statement.
Israel has previously called on the United Nations to move members of the UNIFIL
peacekeeping force in southern Lebanon out of the combat zone for their safety.
UNIFIL says its troops have come under Israeli attack several times, though
Israel has disputed accounts of those incidents. Israeli Defence Minister Yoav
Gallant, on a visit to northern Israel near the border, said Israel would not
halt its assault on Hezbollah to allow negotiations.
"We will hold negotiations only under fire. I said this on day one, I said it in
Gaza and I am saying it here," he said according to a statement from his office.
Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin on Wednesday spoke to Gallant and "reinforced the
importance of taking all necessary measures to ensure the safety and security of
UNIFIL forces and the Lebanese Armed Forces," according to the Department of
Defense. Israel launched its ground and air campaign in Lebanon to dismantle
Hezbollah after a year during which the Iran-backed militant group fired across
the border in support of the Palestinian militants Hamas in Gaza. In recent
weeks Israel has assassinated Hezbollah's senior leadership and pushed into
southern border towns, saying its aim is to make it safe for tens of thousands
of Israelis to return to homes in Israel's north evacuated under Hezbollah fire.
Israel first issued an evacuation notice for Nabatieh, a city of tens of
thousands of people, on Oct. 3. At the time, the city's Mayor Ahmed Kahil told
Reuters he would not leave.
Asked about Israeli strike on Nabatieh, State Department spokesperson Matthew
Miller declined to comment on the circumstances of specific strikes but said the
U.S. understands Hezbollah operates from places like civilian homes and
supported limited strikes to target the group.
"Obviously, we'd not want to see entire villages destroyed. We don't want to see
civilian homes destroyed," Miller said. Israel said on Wednesday it struck
dozens of Hezbollah targets in the Nabatieh area and its navy also hit dozens of
targets in southern Lebanon.
It said it had "dismantled" a tunnel network used by Hezbollah's elite Radwan
Forces in the heart of a town near the border with Israel, publishing a video
showing multiple explosions rocking a cluster of buildings. Lebanese officials
said it was the small town of Mhaibib.
STRIKES RESUME ON SOUTHERN BEIRUT SUBURBS
Israeli warplanes on Wednesday also hit Beirut's southern suburbs, in the first
attack on the city since Oct. 10, when two strikes near the city centre killed
22 people and brought down entire buildings in a densely populated neighbourhood.
Israeli operations in Lebanon have killed at least 2,350 people over the last
year, according to the health ministry, and more than 1.2 million people have
been displaced. The U.N. says a quarter of the country is under evacuation
orders. The toll does not distinguish between civilians and combatants but
includes hundreds of women and children. Around 50 Israelis, both soldiers and
civilians, have been killed in the same period, according to Israel. Having long
accused UNIFIL of failing in its mission to keep armed fighters out of the
border area, Israel adopted a more conciliatory tone earlier on Wednesday.
"The State of Israel places great importance on the activities of UNIFIL and has
no intention of harming the organization or its personnel," Foreign Minister
Israel Katz said in a statement.
The 10,000-strong peacekeeper force comprises contingents from 50 countries,
including 2,500 Italian, French and Spanish soldiers, causing strain between
Israel and some of its most prominent European allies. (Reporting by Laila
Bassam and Timour Azhar in Beirut, Humeyra Pamuk and Jasper Ward in Washington
and Andrew Gray in Brussels and John Irish in Paris; Writing by Peter Graff,
Deepa Babington and Costas Pitas; Editing by Stephen Coates)
Israel's air
defences are straining under repeated attacks from Iran and Hezbollah, expert
says
CBC/October 16, 2024
The arrival of a U.S. high-altitude defence battery — along with dozens of
American troops — will help boost Israel's air defence systems, which, according
to one Israeli defence expert, are straining under repeated attacks from Iran
and its proxy in Lebanon, Hezbollah. "Israel's air defence requires any help it
can get especially if the war escalates and it turns into a war of attrition
between Israel and Iran," said Ehud Eilam, who used to serve in Israel's
military and is a longtime researcher of its security issues and defence policy.
Israel's current, multi-layered defence system is designed to intercept incoming
missiles and other projectiles at various altitudes and has, for the most part,
protected cities and military installations that have come under fire during the
past year from Iran, Hezbollah and Houthi militias in Yemen. But as Israel gets
set to launch retaliatory attacks against Iran — for its recent barrage of more
than 180 ballistic missiles — there are concerns it will have to be ready for
additional, significant attacks from that country, which has the largest missile
stockpile in the Middle East. Israel, with the help of the U.S., intercepted
most of the missiles in Iran's Oct. 1 attack. But, Eilam told CBC News, that
they weren't all shot down likely means Israel is rationing its supply of
interceptors. "Israel will have to calculate very carefully how many missiles it
can use," Eilam said from Boston, where he is based.
"It definitely has a shortage of missiles."Israel's air defence network is
comprised of three different systems: the Iron Dome which shoots down
short-range projectiles, including rockets launched from Gaza; David's Sling,
which shoots down medium-range rockets, like those fired from Lebanon; and the
Arrow system which has intercepted long-range ballistic missiles from Iran. The
U.S.-made Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system will soon also be
operational. That system can even intercept missiles flying above the earth's
atmosphere. The battery, which can be repositioned as it is mounted on military
vehicles, costs about $1 billion US and will be operated by 100 U.S. troops.
While the deployment is seen as a significant step by Washington, Eilam says he
believes Israel and the U.S. can't keep producing missiles as quickly as may be
required.Israel is defending against attacks on multiple fronts, which is
extremely costly.
The country is ramping up its production of ammunition and other weaponry to arm
its soldiers who have been fighting in Gaza since last year, and in Lebanon
since the beginning of October.
In an article by the U.K.-based Financial Times, the chief executive of Israel
Aerospace Industries, which produces the missiles used for the Arrow system,
said its production facilities are working 24 hours a day, seven days a week to
try to meet demand. Eilam says each Arrow missile costs about $3 million US.
While ballistic missiles pose the greatest threat to communities and
infrastructure, drones have proved challenging for Israel to defend against, as
they are smaller, much slower and fly closer to the ground. They are also
relatively cheap to produce, so they can be deployed en masse. Four Israeli
soldiers were killed and dozens of others were wounded on Sunday after a drone
crashed into the roof of a dining hall at a military base near the town of
Binyamina-Giv'at Ada in central Israel. "There was no alarm, I didn't hear a
boom," said area resident Noam Weintraub, 20. "We have an amazing air defence
system… but sometimes mistakes can happen and of course, as we get better, also
the enemy gets better with their drones." The Israeli military says it is
investigating how the drone evaded the air defence systems. Eilam says missile
interceptors are sometimes not effective against drones. And while a single
drone won't cause anywhere near the damage of a ballistic missile, they can
still be lethal, and Iran has a large supply of them, he says.
Its drones have also been used by Russia — deployed throughout the war in
Ukraine against cities and infrastructure. Drones "are like a terror weapon
because they can come out of nowhere and just hit in the middle of some town,"
Eilam said. On Monday, several Israeli companies participated in a trial where
they tested prototypes for intercepting drones. The field test took place in
southern Israel, and included large defence contractors and startups. Israel's
government said it will select several of the technologies to go through
accelerated testing and production.
Israeli strikes
hit Lebanon and kill at least 15 in a town with a dark history of civilian
deaths
Kareem Chehayeb, Mohammad Zaatari And Samy Magdy/QANA, Lebanon (AP) /October 16,
2024
Israeli airstrikes pounded areas across Lebanon, killing at least 21 people,
officials said Wednesday, including 15 in a southern town where Israeli
bombardments in previous conflicts are seared into local memory. The other six
were killed in a wave of strikes on the southern city of Nabatiyeh, where an
earlier Israeli barrage destroyed a century-old market. The city's mayor was
among the dead. Lebanon’s caretaker prime minister, Najib Mikati, accused Israel
of “intentionally targeting” a meeting of the municipal council to discuss
relief efforts, and said the international community has been “deliberately
silent” about Israeli strikes that have killed civilians.
“What solution can be hoped for in light of this reality?” he asked in a
statement.
The Israeli military said it targeted Hezbollah command centers and weapons
facilities that had been embedded in civilian areas of Nabatiyeh in Wednesday's
strikes, without providing evidence.
Israel also resumed its barrage on Beirut's southern suburbs after a six-day
pause, hitting what it said was an arms warehouse under an apartment building,
without providing evidence. The military warned residents to evacuate before the
strike, and there were no reports of casualties.
There was no immediate comment from the Israeli military on the strikes on the
southern town of Qana late Tuesday. Associated Press photos and video from the
scene showed several flattened buildings and others with their top floors
collapsed. Rescue workers carried away the remains of dead people and used a
bulldozer to remove rubble, as they searched for more victims.
In 1996, Israeli artillery shelling on a United Nations compound housing
hundreds of displaced people in Qana killed at least 100 civilians and wounded
scores more people, including four U.N. peacekeepers. During the 2006 war, an
Israeli strike on a residential building killed nearly three dozen people, a
third of them children. Israel said at the time that it struck a Hezbollah
rocket launcher behind the building.
Israel resumes strikes on Beirut after a pause
The strikes on southern Beirut were the first in six days, and came after
Lebanon's caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati said the United States had given
him assurances that Israel would curb its strikes on the capital. Hezbollah has
a strong presence in southern Beirut, known as the Dahiyeh, which is also a
residential and commercial area home to large numbers of civilians and people
unaffiliated with the militant group. The Israeli military posted an evacuation
warning on the social media platform X ahead of the strike in Beirut. An
Associated Press photographer saw three airstrikes in the area, the first coming
less than an hour after the notice. In Nabatiyeh, more than half a dozen strikes
hit the city and surrounding areas, according to Lebanon's Health Ministry,
which said at least six people were killed. The city's mayor, Ahmad Kahil, was
among those killed, provincial governor Huwaida Turk told The Associated Press.
Hezbollah began firing rockets into Israel on Oct. 8, 2023, in solidarity with
the Palestinian militant group Hamas, following the surprise Hamas attack on
southern Israel that triggered the war in Gaza. A year of low-level fighting
along the Israel-Lebanon border escalated into all-out war last month, and
Israel invaded Lebanon at the start of October. Israeli airstrikes have killed
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and most of his senior commanders, and Israel
has vowed to continue its offensive until its citizens can safely return to
communities near the border. Some 2,300 people have been killed by Israeli
strikes in Lebanon since last October, more than three-quarters of them in the
past month, according to Lebanon's Health Ministry. The fighting has displaced
some 1.2 million people in Lebanon. Hezbollah's rocket attacks, which have
extended their range and grown more intense over the past month, have driven
around 60,000 Israelis from their homes in the north. The attacks have killed
nearly 60 people in Israel, around half of them soldiers. Hezbollah has said it
will keep up its attacks until there is a cease-fire in Gaza, but that appears
increasingly remote after months of negotiations brokered by the United States,
Egypt and Qatar sputtered to a halt. Palestinians say 350 bodies recovered from
Israeli operation in Gaza
Israel is still at war in Gaza more than a year after Hamas' attack, in which
some 1,200 people were killed, mostly civilians, and another 250 were abducted.
Around 100 captives are still being held, about a third of whom are believed to
be dead. Israel has been carrying out a major operation for more than a week in
Jabaliya, an urban refugee camp in the territory's north dating back to the 1948
war surrounding Israel's creation. Israeli forces have repeatedly returned to
Jabaliya and other areas after saying that Hamas militants had
regrouped.Hospitals have received around 350 bodies since the offensive began on
Oct. 6, according to Dr. Mounir al-Boursh, the director-general of Gaza's Health
Ministry. He told the AP that more than half the dead were women and children,
and that many bodies remain in the streets and under the rubble, with rescue
teams unable to reach them because of Israeli strikes. “Entire families have
disappeared,” he said. Israel's offensive has killed over 42,000 people,
according to the Health Ministry, which does not say how many were fighters but
says more than half were women and children. The offensive has left large areas
in ruins and displaced around 90% of Gaza's population of 2.3 million people,
forcing hundreds of thousands into crowded tent camps or
schools-turned-shelters.
The Road to the Third Lebanon War
David Daoud & Ahmad Sharawi/FDD's Long War Journal/October 16/2024
The conflict that Hezbollah initiated against Israel on October 8, 2023, is now
one year old. The group vowed to maintain this “support front” for its allies in
the Gaza Strip to bleed Israeli morale and treasure through attrition until a
premature ceasefire would allow “the Palestinian resistance in Gaza, and Hamas
in particular, to emerge victorious.” But Hezbollah doesn’t understand Israel.
It, therefore, misread the Israeli national mood on October 8, bogging itself
down in a war of attrition that lasted far longer than the group expected or
intended.
However, two things were predictable about this conflict from the outset: the
first was that Hezbollah could not back down from attacking Israel in support of
Gaza without looking weak and risking its own unraveling. The second was that
this war of attrition, having exposed a Hezbollah threat to northern Israel not
amenable to diplomatic resolution, would eventually and inevitably evolve into
the Third Lebanon War.
In the early stages of the escalation between Hezbollah and Israel, the conflict
was characterized by a recurring and almost predictable pattern of hostilities.
Skirmishes frequently erupted along the border, with Hezbollah launching rockets
and mortars toward Israeli military posts, while Israel responded with targeted
strikes against Hezbollah cells and the sources of fire. Though intense at
times, these exchanges remained largely localized, focused on border towns.
Hezbollah’s attacks served multiple purposes for the group: a show of solidarity
with Hamas in the wake of the October 7 assault and a means to divert Israeli
attention from the Gaza Strip, as iterated by Hezbollah’s former Secretary
General Hassan Nasrallah in his November 3 speech. Initially, the group
exercised caution in its use of advanced weaponry, such as loitering munitions,
as it sought to avoid provoking a large-scale Israeli retaliation. However, as
the group’s conflict with Israel evolved, the Israeli incursion into Gaza
deepened, and US-Israel relations grew more tense as a result, these more
sophisticated arms became a staple in Hezbollah’s arsenal, marking a shift in
the intensity of the group’s operations.
Israel’s strategy in the initial days was equally measured. The Israel Defense
Forces (IDF) concentrated Israel’s early retaliations on immediate threats.
However, as the conflict progressed, Israel broadened the scope of its strikes,
increasingly targeting Hezbollah’s infrastructure in southern Lebanon as well as
operational commanders. This tactical shift aimed to degrade the group’s
logistical and military capabilities.
As both sides adapted to the evolving conflict, their tactical approaches became
more aggressive, though they did not cross the threshold into all-out war. Their
strikes intensified, with Hezbollah adjusting its actions in response to shifts
in Israeli tactics that became more aggressive to force the group to decouple
Lebanon from a Gaza ceasefire. For example, Israeli strikes on high-level
operational commanders in southern Lebanon would prompt Hezbollah to escalate
its attacks on northern Israel, often by temporarily expanding the scope of its
targets or increasing the volume of munitions used. After these escalations,
Hezbollah typically reverted to its routine attacks on IDF positions along the
border.
Israel’s strategy can be described as carefully testing the boundaries of
engagement. By periodically escalating hostilities, Israel gauged Hezbollah’s
responses to determine whether to set the new escalation as a regular tactic. If
Hezbollah’s retaliations remained measured and within Israel’s
expectation—maintaining the same intensity without crossing red lines, such as
military or civilian casualties or serious damage to an IDF base or Israeli
population center—then these escalations would become normalized as part of
Israel’s operational routine.
For instance, in mid-November, Israel initiated targeted strikes on Hezbollah’s
Radwan commanders in the village of Beit Yahoun. Hezbollah’s response, a rocket
attack on the headquarters of the IDF’s 91st Division, had a minimal impact on
the base and caused zero casualties. This limited retaliation reinforced
Israel’s assessment that it could continue its targeted strikes on Radwan
commanders in southern Lebanon with little fear of intensification from
Hezbollah.
This situation culminated with Israel’s assassination of Hezbollah Chief of
Staff Fuad Shukr in the heart of the group’s Dahiyeh stronghold on July 30.
Israel had crossed all of Hezbollah’s red lines with the strike, and the group’s
underwhelming response on August 25 revealed its limits. From then on, Israel
could escalate to tip the weight of attrition heavily against
Hezbollah—including by assassinating Nasrallah—while being virtually assured the
group had hit its ceiling of violence.
It was necessary for Israel to press Hezbollah in this manner, for it faced two
equally unpalatable alternatives. The first was to accept Hezbollah’s (and the
collective Axis of Resistance’s) terms and cease military operations in the Gaza
Strip. This acquiescence would have bought Israel immediate quiet but allowed
Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and other allied militant groups to survive,
regenerate, rebuild, and resume attacking Israel. It would have also left
Israeli deterrence in shambles, as the Resistance Axis would have succeeded in
imposing terms upon Israel—so soon after the massive setback of October 7. It
would also have allowed Hezbollah to claim the unprecedented victory of pushing
Israelis out of Israel itself for the first time in the country’s history and
that its largesse, not the IDF’s efforts, returned them home—which could have
boosted Hezbollah’s popular support.
The second, equally unpalatable outcome was for Israel to accept American or
French ceasefire deals. These initiatives, whose failure was predictable from
the outset, proposed to distance Hezbollah a mere handful of kilometers from the
frontier—far below the Litani River, as required by Resolution 1701. The terms
also lacked a credible enforcement mechanism to prevent the group’s return from
even that limited buffer zone. There were no suggestions regarding disarming the
group.
In parallel, the proposed ceasefire deals offered several incentives to the
Lebanese government—including funds to rebuild Hezbollah-dominated south
Lebanon, assistance in resolving Beirut’s two-year presidential deadlock, and
territorial concessions from Israel in disputed frontier areas—even though it
was exploiting Hezbollah’s attacks to obtain these benefits. These diplomatic
initiatives, while ostensibly aimed at preventing further escalation, would have
merely delayed an inevitable Israel-Hezbollah confrontation, virtually ensuring
it would be more destructive when it finally happened. In any case, Hezbollah
rejected these deals, refusing to decouple a Lebanon ceasefire from one in Gaza.
Peaceful resolutions having run their course and Hezbollah’s limitations already
laid bare, Israel set returning its civilians to their homes in the north as a
war goal and decided to break the stalemate. It escalated the fight against
Hezbollah, dealing the organization several heavy blows in rapid succession to
make the group’s commitment to bombarding northern Israel unsustainable. But
even as the Israelis have tilted the pain of the war of attrition to weigh heavy
upon Hezbollah, the group is nevertheless unlikely to back down—suggesting the
current Israeli escalation may be an intermediate phase preceding an even larger
operation against Hezbollah.
See FDD’s interactive map: “Road to the Third Lebanon War: Mapping Hezbollah’s
War of Attrition Since October 8, 2023.“
David Daoud is senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, where
he focuses on Israel, Hezbollah, and Lebanon affairs. Ahmad Sharawi is a
research analyst at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies focused on Iranian
intervention in Arab affairs and the Levant.
Time for Berri to lead Lebanon’s Shiites away from Iran
Hussain Abdul-Hussain/Arab News/October 16/2024
With Hassan Nasrallah gone, Hezbollah reeling and Iran’s grip weakening, the
Lebanese have started crawling out of the woodwork. On Monday, a few oligarchs
and a bloc of 31 lawmakers, out of 128, called for Lebanon’s war to be untied
from the conflict in Gaza, for the enforcement of the constitution and UN
Security Council resolutions that call for the disarming of Hezbollah, and for
the revival of the 1949 truce between Lebanon and Israel. However, no change in
Lebanese affairs can be as consequential as steering the Shiites, who have long
served as the fodder for Hezbollah’s wars, away from Iran: enter Speaker Nabih
Berri.
At 86, Berri has proven to be the savviest of all. He was first elected as
speaker in 1992 and has held onto his position ever since, navigating a
treacherous and ever-changing political landscape and winning reelection six
times. Days before Nasrallah’s death, on Sept. 27, Berri said Lebanon would not
stop warring without a ceasefire in Gaza. Days after Nasrallah’s death, Berri
said Lebanon was ready for an unconditional ceasefire, dropping Gaza. When
whatever was left of the Hezbollah leadership blamed him for changing positions,
Berri claimed that Nasrallah himself had agreed to abandoning Gaza, a claim that
some in America used — without any reasonable substantiation — to depict
Nasrallah as having changed course and arguing that Israel took him out because
it wanted to continue fighting.
Berri’s change prompted caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati and the leader of
the Druze Walid Jumblatt to follow suit. The three said they agreed to an
unconditional ceasefire and the enforcement of UNSC Resolution 1701, which
stipulates disarming Hezbollah and deploying the Lebanese army to the south.
Jumblatt later added to his demands the 1949 truce.
While Hezbollah remains a formidable militia that could beat the army if the
army tried to disarm it, the Iran-backed militia has a fatal weak point. If all
the non-Shiite Lebanese oligarchs and lawmakers demanded that it surrender its
arms, keeping them would become increasingly untenable.
While Hezbollah remains a formidable militia that could beat the army,
the Iran-backed militia has a fatal weak point
While Hezbollah’s armament will become difficult if Lebanon’s non-Shiites demand
it, maintaining the militia would become impossible if the Shiites started
joining the rest of the Lebanese in demanding that Hezbollah be disbanded.
Berri can play an instrumental role in leading the Shiites to join the rest of
the Lebanese population, but being the shrewd politician he is, the speaker
always hedges and rarely miscalculates or takes risks. For Berri — and with him
his significant Shiite following — to abandon Hezbollah, world and Arab
capitals, especially Washington, must offer guarantees that they will not
reverse course and start making nice with Tehran midway. Global consistency in
insisting that Hezbollah disarm is the surest way to win Berri over to the
Lebanese side.
Should Berri decide to sign any statement that spells out that Hezbollah must
surrender its arms to the Lebanese army, he could find a wealth of ideological
justifications in the literature of the founder of his own party, Amal.
Sayyid Musa Al-Sadr, a charismatic and iconic Shiite cleric, cut his teeth in
opposing “resistance,” which at the time was a word that described armed
Palestinian militias attacking Israel from Lebanon’s predominantly Shiite south.
“Our problem is the launching of rockets and bombs at Israel from the south,”
Al-Sadr said, shortly before he disappeared in Libya in 1978. Launching attacks
on Israel was “absolutely not permitted,” he argued, because it meant that
“Lebanon (would be) in a state of war with Israel.” When the interviewer
challenged him by saying that Lebanon was already at war with Israel, Al-Sadr
retorted: “No. We have a truce that was signed between us and Israel until
further notice.”
Berri could find a wealth of ideological justifications in the literature of the
founder of his own party, Amal. If Al-Sadr, the founder of Berri’s Amal
Movement, opposed launching cross-border attacks into Israel and demanded that
the 1949 truce between the two countries be observed, just like Jumblatt and the
opposition bloc are now doing, then there is no reason why Berri should not
follow Al-Sadr’s antiwar vision and policy.
Until it was disbanded, alongside all civil war militias except for Hezbollah,
Berri’s Amal militia often clashed with Hezbollah. Berri then transformed
himself into a statesman, while Hezbollah stayed out of politics and focused on
war until Lebanon ejected Syria’s troops from the country in 2005. Starting in
2008, Nasrallah took over as the ruler of Lebanon and Berri was relegated to the
status of “junior partner,” often serving as a communication channel between the
world and the Iran-backed militia.
But now is the time for Berri to come back and assume the leadership of the
Shiites, help dissociate them from Islamist Iran and renew their allegiance to
Lebanon and its constitution.
The aging speaker might not have much time left on this Earth, but if he does
Lebanon and its Shiites this one last favor, history will remember him
favorably.
**Hussain Abdul-Hussain is a research fellow at The Foundation for the Defense
of Democracies (FDD).
Lebanon: assassinating sectarian leaders has always led to
instability – this time will be no different
Mohamad El Kari, PhD Candidate in the Department of War Studies, King's College
London/The Conversation/October 16/ 2024
The assassination of Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, in September sent
shock waves through the Middle East and beyond. Nasrallah had evolved into the
very embodiment of Hezbollah over his 32 years in charge, and had established
himself as a key figure in Iran’s so-called axis of resistance. At the height of
his influence, Nasrallah was so widely admired from North Africa to Iran that
shops sold DVDs of his speeches, cars were embellished with his image, and many
Lebanese even used his quotes as ringtones.
He is not the first sectarian leader to have been assassinated in Lebanon. And
on each occasion the killings have intensified sectarian tensions in the country
and have jeopardised social stability. The impact of Nasrallah’s death will, in
my opinion, probably be no different.
His killing could destabilise the fragile balance of power in the country. And
it could also trigger a reshuffling of political alliances within Lebanon’s
complex sectarian power-sharing framework that was established in 1990 after the
end of the civil war.
In 1977, the leftist leader of the Druze community, Kamal Jumblatt, was
assassinated by two unidentified gunmen in his stronghold in the Shouf mountains
of central Lebanon. Many of his followers believed they knew who was
responsible, and channelled their anger toward Lebanon’s Christian community.
Security officials reported that more than 250 Christians were killed in
revenge, many brutally, with their throats cut by Druze assailants. At least
7,000 Christians fled their villages after the killings, with around 700 of them
travelling to the presidential palace in Baabda, a suburb of Beirut, to request
government protection.
This spell of fighting marked a significant escalation of sectarian violence
during the civil war, and resulted in a persistent cycle of retaliation,
deepening division and entrenched sectarian identities.
The world is watching the US election campaign unfolding. Sign up to join us at
a special Conversation event on October 17. Expert panellists will discuss with
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Then, in June 1982, a powerful bomb explosion killed Lebanon’s Maronite
Christian president, Bashir Gemayel. The assassination was carried out by two
members of the Syrian Social Nationalist party, reportedly under orders from
Syria’s then president, Hafez al-Assad.
The next day, Israeli troops entered west Beirut in support of the Phalange, a
Lebanese Christian militia that blamed the Palestinian Liberation Organisation
(PLO) for Gemayel’s death. Israel had earlier that month launched a massive
invasion of Lebanon to destroy the PLO, which had been carrying out attacks on
Israel from southern Lebanon.
Knowing that the Phalangists sought revenge for Gemayel’s death, Israeli forces
allowed them to enter the Shatila refugee camp and the adjacent Sabra
neighbourhood in Beirut and carry out a massacre a few months later. Lebanese
Christian militiamen, in coordination with the Israeli army, killed between
2,000 and 3,500 Palestinian refugees and Muslim Lebanese civilians in just two
days. Scores of witness and survivor accounts say women were routinely raped,
and some victims were buried alive or shot in front of their families. Women and
children were crammed into trucks and taken to unknown destinations. These
people were never seen again.
Following the end of Lebanon’s civil war, there was a period of relative
stability as a delicate balance of power was established between Lebanese sects.
But a car bomb in downtown Beirut in 2005 killed the country’s former prime
minister, Rafic Hariri, and again altered the dynamics of sectarian rivalry in
Lebanon.
Lebanon lost one of its central figures, while fury over Syria’s alleged
involvement in Hariri’s murder raised international pressure on Syria to end its
29-year occupation. The withdrawal diminished Syria’s influence as the primary
mediator in the country, and the underlying tension between the two main
sectarian groups vying for power, the Sunnis and Shia, surfaced abruptly.
Lebanon experienced 18 months of political deadlock and protests, with Hezbollah
and its allies pushing for a veto power in the government. Hostilities
intensified and violence became a constant threat. Then, in May 2008, the
Lebanese government attempted to remove a Hezbollah-aligned security officer and
investigate the organisation’s private communications network. This ignited
fierce clashes between supporters of the government and the Hezbollah-led
opposition.
Hezbollah and its allies occupied west Beirut and at least 71 people, including
14 civilians, were killed over the following fortnight.
Hezbollah steadily expanded and enhanced its military capabilities over the next
ten years. And it also emerged as a powerful regional player by joining Iran and
Russia in supporting Bashar al-Assad’s regime in the Syrian civil war.
The organisation assumed an increasingly central role in Lebanese politics, and
secured a majority of seats in the 2018 parliamentary elections.
What happens now?
Lebanon’s modern history is rife with conflict. The assassination of Nasrallah
marks the latest in a series of bloody milestones that have served as sharp
turning points – and even transformational moments – in Lebanon’s sectarian
politics.
Christian and Sunni factions in Lebanon have for years viewed Hezbollah as
effectively commandeering the state, leveraging its powerful military wing and
Iranian backing. With Hezbollah now visibly weakened in the absence of its
powerful and charismatic leader, this longstanding power dynamic may be set for
a shift.
There are signs that divisions are already deepening. Videos from Tripoli, a
predominantly Sunni city in northern Lebanon, show residents dancing in the
streets in celebration of Nasrallah’s death. Other videos show people removing
Hezbollah stickers from the vehicles of displaced Shias.
Meanwhile, Hezbollah supporters have pledged retaliation for Nasrallah’s
elimination. Lebanon once again finds itself on the verge of fierce sectarian
tension and instability.This article is republished from The Conversation under
a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.
Final Statement
of the Bkerke Summit: Emphasis on Lebanese Unity and Call for Immediate Security
Council Session to Cease Hostilities and Begin Implementing Resolution 1701, and
Elect a President Who Enjoys the Confidence of All
National News Agency, October 16, 2024 (Google translation from Arabic)
A final statement was issued by the Christian-Islamic spiritual summit, held at
the Patriarchal See in Bkerke, and read by Bishop Antoine Aker, the Patriarchal
Vicar. The statement reads as follows:
"Out of a sense of spiritual, moral, and national responsibility, and in an
effort to foster a positive impact on Lebanese society and urge the salvation of
the nation, a Christian-Islamic spiritual summit was convened on Wednesday,
October 16, 2024, in Bkerke, upon the invitation of His Beatitude Cardinal Mar
Bechara Boutros al-Rai, Patriarch of Antioch and All the East for the Maronites.
The summit was attended by Christian and Muslim spiritual leaders, including His
Beatitude Cardinal Mar Bechara Boutros al-Rai, His Eminence the Grand Mufti of
the Lebanese Republic Sheikh Abdel Latif Derian, His Eminence Sheikh Ali al-Khatib,
Vice President of the Higher Islamic Shiite Council, His Beatitude John X Yazigi,
Greek Orthodox Patriarch of Antioch, His Eminence Sheikh Sami Abi al-Muna,
Spiritual Leader of the Druze community, His Beatitude Joseph Absi, Greek
Melkite Catholic Patriarch, represented by Bishop George Bacouni, His Holiness
Catholicos of the Armenian Orthodox Aram I Keshishian, represented by Bishop
Shahe Panossian, His Beatitude Patriarch of the Syriac Catholic Church Mar
Ignatius Joseph III Yonan, represented by Bishop Charles Mourad, His Holiness
Syriac Orthodox Patriarch Mar Ignatius Aphrem II, represented by Bishop Paulos
Saffar, Sheikh Ali Kadour, President of the Islamic Alawite Council, Reverend
Joseph Kassab, President of the Supreme Evangelical Council in Lebanon and
Syria, Bishop Michel Kassarji of the Chaldean Church, and Metropolitan Mar
Meelis Zia of the Assyrian Orthodox Church, represented by Archimandrite Korkis
Touma. The summit was attended by several other religious leaders.
The discussions centered on the brutal and savage aggression that Israel is
committing against Lebanon, disregarding international treaties and conventions,
particularly the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, and showing no regard
for the United Nations or the Security Council and its resolutions. Israel
continues to engage in violence, destruction, killing, and genocide, demolishing
infrastructure, institutions, and homes, burying their inhabitants underneath.
This comes after Israel completely destroyed Gaza, killing children, women, the
elderly, and leveling hospitals, mosques, and churches.
Faced with this catastrophic, tragic, and horrendous humanitarian reality,
unprecedented in modern history in terms of the scale of the atrocities and
massacres, the silence over the horrors committed, and the degree of passivity
and inaction in adopting measures to deter Israel and maintain international
peace and security, the spiritual leaders of Lebanon convened this national
gathering. They addressed the Lebanese people, particularly those in the south,
the Beqaa, Beirut, and its suburbs, and all areas targeted by the Zionist
aggression. The leaders expressed heartfelt condolences to the martyrs of the
nation who sacrificed their lives in defense of Lebanon, as well as to the
innocent civilian victims, including women, children, the elderly, and the
infirm. They prayed to God to heal the wounded and grant them a speedy recovery.
The summit affirmed that the barbaric Israeli aggression against Lebanon affects
the entire country and undermines the dignity and pride of all Lebanese. The
Lebanese, through their unity, solidarity, and attachment to their land and
nation, are capable of resisting and driving the enemy back. The leaders
stressed that solutions for Lebanon must come through national, inclusive
solutions rooted in adherence to the Lebanese constitution, the Taif Agreement,
the Lebanese state, its singular authority, free decision-making, and its
responsible role in protecting the nation, national sovereignty, and the
well-being, security, and prosperity of its people.
Based on this, the summit concluded the following:
Call for the United Nations Security Council to convene immediately and without
delay to take decisive action to cease hostilities and stop this humanitarian
massacre being perpetrated against Lebanon, a country that stands as a
remarkable model in the region, upholding values of justice, equality,
tolerance, openness, and peaceful coexistence among religious communities and
cultures. Lebanon was described by Pope John Paul II as a "message of peace and
love."
Call on all Lebanese to save their homeland. This is not the time for fruitless
debates or pursuit of demands and gains. It is a time to prove our worthiness as
united Lebanese and to deserve our belonging to this country, which the world
admires. Now is the time for understanding, cooperation, and solidarity, as
Lebanon's very existence is under threat from Israeli ambitions, which know no
bounds. It is time for sacrifice for the salvation of Lebanon, time for
solidarity, mutual support, and unity. Trust in one another must be
strengthened, and collaboration to build a capable and just state must be
fostered, so that Lebanese unity remains the most effective weapon in defending
Lebanon and asserting its right to freedom, independence, and sovereignty.
Urging all Lebanese to fulfill their national duties, starting with the
re-establishment of constitutional institutions. The Parliament must immediately
begin the process of electing a President of the Republic who enjoys the trust
of all Lebanese, in accordance with the constitution, with as much consensus as
possible, through a collective Lebanese will, in the spirit of the National
Pact, and by prioritizing national interests over external ones.
Immediate implementation of United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 in
its entirety, including supporting and strengthening the Lebanese Army's
capabilities to defend Lebanon and ensuring its broad deployment south of the
Litani River and throughout Lebanese territories. The Lebanese government, as
the custodian of executive authority, must assume its full responsibilities and
work in cooperation with the Parliament to mobilize efforts and engage the
support of Arab and international allies to contribute with the Lebanese people
to Lebanon's salvation.
Affirming Lebanese unity and the need for mutual support, especially in this
difficult period of widespread concern among all Lebanese. It is essential that
they return, as a united and cohesive team, to what is in their collective best
interest and in the interest of Lebanon, under the conditions and authority of
the Lebanese state. This means that the state must firmly hold the national
decision-making power, defend its sovereignty, and be the sole authority across
all Lebanese territory.
Expressing gratitude to all Lebanese for their goodwill initiatives throughout
Lebanon, which reflect their authenticity and patriotism in embracing one
another and in providing relief to their displaced compatriots, who were forced
to flee their villages and homes due to Israeli aggression. The summit stressed
the importance of hosting these displaced people as guests until they can return
to their villages, with care and attention, and with respect for private
property, rejecting any form of trespassing on individuals and their belongings.
Extending thanks to the brotherly Arab nations and friendly countries for their
supportive initiatives toward Lebanon, offering political backing and material,
medical, and food aid. The summit called on these nations to increase their
efforts in supporting Lebanon to stop the brutal Israeli aggression and to
reinforce the resilience of the Lebanese people, as Lebanon has now become a
disaster-stricken country in need of assistance from all brotherly and friendly
nations, as well as international and humanitarian organizations, to provide all
necessary and urgent aid to preserve the dignity of those displaced from their
villages and towns, and to begin rebuilding and reconstructing what has been
destroyed.
Thanking the United Nations forces operating in southern Lebanon for their
efforts and sacrifices in protecting Lebanon’s southern borders and the
residents of that region. The summit appreciates their determination to remain
at their posts despite unjustified Israeli harassment and warnings aimed at
eliminating any witnesses to the atrocities being committed against Lebanon. The
summit called on the international community to stand by these forces and
protect them.
Reaffirming that the central cause in the Arab region remains the legitimate
Palestinian cause, which still awaits a just and comprehensive solution,
allowing the Palestinians to have their homeland and establish their independent
sovereign state, in line with the Arab Peace Initiative launched at the 2002
Beirut Summit. This should be achieved through a fair and lasting solution under
the auspices of the United Nations and international and Arab capitals, bringing
about peace and ending the tragedy.
In conclusion, the summit participants prayed to God, the God of peace, to grant
us lasting, just, and comprehensive peace, making us builders of peace. They
beseeched Almighty God to protect Lebanon and the Lebanese from all harm, and to
grant the Lebanese people the strength and hope to endure this catastrophe,
while reinforcing their national unity, sovereignty, freedom, and the safety of
their land across all of Lebanon’s territory."
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on October 16-17/2024
UNRWA 'very near' possible breaking point in Gaza operation, head
says
Reuters/October 16, 2024
BERLIN (Reuters) - The U.N. Palestinian refugee agency is close to a possible
breaking point for its operations in the Gaza Strip due to increasingly
complicated conditions, its head said on Wednesday. "I will not hide the fact
that we might reach a point that we won't be able anymore to operate," UNRWA
chief Philippe Lazzarini told journalists at a news conference in Berlin.
"We are very near to a possible breaking point. When will it be? I don't
know. But we are very near of that," he said. He said the agency was facing a
combination of a financial and political threats to its existence, in addition
to difficulties in day-to-day operations, as aid is even more desperately needed
against the threat of disease and famine. He said there was a real risk, heading
into winter, with people's immune systems weakened, that famine or acute
malnutrition could become a likelihood. UNRWA provides education, health and aid
to millions of Palestinians in Gaza, the West Bank, Jordan, Lebanon and Syria.
It has long had tense relations with Israel but ties have deteriorated sharply
since the start of the war in Gaza.
Israel launched the offensive against Hamas after the Palestinian militant group
led attacks on Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, in which 1,200 people were killed and
around 250 taken hostage to Gaza, by Israeli tallies. More than 42,000
Palestinians have been killed in the offensive, according to Gaza's health
authorities. Israeli leaders in January accused UNRWA staff of collaborating
with Hamas militants in Gaza, leading some donors to suspend funding, although
many of those decisions have since been reversed. The U.N. launched an
investigation into Israel's accusations and dismissed nine staff.
Iran’s FM
arrives in Egypt for first visit since 2013: state media
AFP/October 16, 2024
TEHRAN: Iran’s top diplomat, Abbas Araghchi, arrived Wednesday in Cairo, state
media reported, the first visit by an Iranian foreign minister in almost 12
years. The last visit to Egypt was in January 2013 when Ali Akbar Salehi
traveled to Cairo during an African tour. Araghchi who is currently on a
multi-country tour, arrived in the Egyptian capital after a visit to Jordan
where he met and talked to his counterpart, Ayman Safadi. The two discussed
regional developments amid Israel’s “atrocity and aggression against Gaza and
Lebanon,” according to the foreign ministry spokesman, Esmaeil Baghaei. Araghchi,
while in Amman also met with Jordan’s King Abdullah II. Over the past week,
Araghchi has visited Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq and Oman in an
effort to ease tensions and contain the conflict from spreading into the region.
He is also expected to visit Turkiye after Egypt, according to the ministry. On
Tuesday, Araghchi spoke with his French counterpart Jean-Noel Barrot and the UN
Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, according to the same source. The diplomatic
measures by Tehran come with the region awaiting Israel’s retaliation for Iran’s
October 1 missile attack on Israel. Iran has said the attack was itself in
retaliation for the killing of the chiefs of Iran-allied groups, as well as a
commander of the Revolutionary Guards. Iran has said that it will hit back if
Israel attacks.
IDF arrests three more Hezbollah Radwan terrorists along with commander
Jerusalem Post/October 16/2024
The capture happened after the terrorists surrendered, realizing the IDF was
about to enter the tunnel where they were hiding.
Israeli troops captured three additional Hezbollah terrorists from the Lebanese
terror group's Radwan Force unit during Tuesday's operation, which also saw the
arrest of a Radwan Force commander, according to a Wednesday KAN News report.
During the same operation reported on by The Jerusalem Post on Tuesday, in which
Radwan commander Wadah Kamal Yunis was captured, the IDF had also arrested three
Hezbollah terrorists from the Radwan unit inside a tunnel in southern Lebanon,
according to a Wednesday KAN News report. The Tuesday
arrests happened after several hours of negotiations, during which the
terrorists surrendered after realizing that the IDF was about to enter the
tunnel where they were hiding, KAN News noted.
Yunis told investigators that after the killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan
Nasrallah, many members of the group, including local commanders, fled. Yunis
described the Radwan unit as "unbelievers, people without religion" who came to
receive money and ran away because they feared the IDF.
He also mentioned that they had planned to retaliate against an attack and move
into Israel’s Galilee region, but after Nasrallah's death, those members had
stopped showing up.
Underground Radwan lodging and storage complex
Yunis and the three other Hezbollah Radwan members were captured at a network of
shafts and underground infrastructure that included areas for lodging and
equipment storage, which the IDF had recently raided and uncovered a large cache
of weapons.
According to the IDF, these facilities were intended for use by Hezbollah’s
Radwan members in the event of an operation aimed at the "conquest of the
Galilee." The infrastructure was at the heart of a village, beneath Lebanese
civilian homes that Hezbollah terrorists had exploited.The complex was destroyed
by Task Force 8 and Yahalom Unit forces on Wednesday morning. Before the
underground complex was destroyed, Deputy Chief of Staff Major General Amir
Baram conducted a situational assessment on Tuesday with Brigadier General Shai
Kalper of the Galilee Division, Colonel Dori Saar of the "Zaken" Brigade, and
Colonel A, commander of the Yahalom Unit, as he met with soldiers engaged in
ground operations in southern Lebanon.
During his visit, Baram toured the underground complex, and stated,"For years,
Division 91 and the Northern Command have prepared for defense and containment
against what Hezbollah called the 'conquest of the Galilee.' It’s powerful and
pride-inducing that we are now fighting in the very area from which they planned
to attack us—destroying their infrastructure and plans. This is how it should be
done; there’s no other way. Continue with quality, meaningful operational
actions that will have an impact on us and the Middle East for years to come."
Four more terrorists captured
Previously, it has been reported that in two different operations, Hezbollah
terrorists were captured inside tunnels. The first operation was announced on
Sunday when IDF soldiers arrested a terrorist hiding in a tunnel with various
weapons and supplies for extended stays.
According to KAN News, in another operation, Battalion 13 of the IDF’s Golani
Brigade found the entrance to the tunnel in a Hezbollah building with terrorists
operating inside and surrounded it. The three terrorists inside surrendered and
were taken into custody. They were first interrogated by field investigators
from Unit 504 in military intelligence and then moved to a detention facility
for further questioning in Israel. Along with the terrorists, a large amount of
weapons and equipment for extended stays was discovered. All three suspects
cooperated with their interrogations, providing important information to Israeli
authorities.
At BRICS
summit, Russia to push to end dollar dominance
Gleb Bryanski/Reuters/October 16, 2024 at 10:42 a.m. EDT·3 min read
MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia is seeking to convince BRICS countries to build an
alternative platform for international payments that would be immune to Western
sanctions when it hosts the group's leaders at a summit next week. President
Vladimir Putin is keen to build up BRICS - which has expanded to include Egypt,
Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates as well as Brazil, Russia, India,
China and South Africa - as a powerful counterweight to the West in global
politics and trade. The Oct. 22-24 summit in the city of Kazan is being
presented by Moscow as evidence that Western efforts to isolate Russia have
failed. It wants other countries to work with it to overhaul the global
financial system and end the dominance of the U.S. dollar. Central to that is
the proposal for a new payments system based on a network of commercial banks
linked to each other through the BRICS central banks, according to a document
prepared by Russia's finance ministry and central bank, distributed to
journalists ahead of the summit. The system would use blockchain technology to
store and transfer digital tokens backed by national currencies. This, in turn,
would then allow those currencies to be easily and securely exchanged, bypassing
the need for dollar transactions. Russia sees it as a way to resolve increasing
problems in settling trade payments, even with friendly countries such as China,
where local banks fear they could be hit by secondary sanctions by the United
States. Yaroslav Lissovolik, founder of the BRICS+ Analytics think tank, said
the creation of such a system was technically feasible but would take time.
"After the significant expansion of BRICS membership last year, the attainment
of consensus is arguably harder," he said.
GRAIN EXCHANGE
The Russian document accuses existing institutions such as the International
Monetary Fund of serving the interests of Western countries and says they need
"improvements to better serve the evolving global economy". Russian Finance
Minister Anton Siluanov called on BRICS members last week to create an
alternative to the IMF. Among other initiatives to facilitate trade and
investment, Russia is also proposing to create a "BRICS Clear" platform to
settle trade in securities. The document calls for better communication between
credit rating agencies in member countries and for a common ratings methodology,
but stops short of proposing a joint BRICS rating agency, an idea that the group
had discussed earlier. Russia, the world's top wheat exporter, is also urging
the creation of a BRICS grain trading exchange, backed by a pricing agency, to
create an alternative to Western bourses where international prices for
agricultural commodities are set. But in a sign that Moscow will need to work
hard to push its proposals through, most BRICS members sent only lower-level
officials - not finance ministers or central bankers - to a preparatory meeting
last week. For the summit itself, Russia says it expects to welcome leaders from
all nine BRICS members and about 15 other countries keen to work as partners
with the group, as well as the foreign minister of Saudi Arabia, which has been
invited to join.
"BRICS is a structure that cannot be ignored," Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov told
reporters last week.
UK considers sanctioning 2 ultranationalist Israeli Cabinet
ministers
Associated Press/October 17, 2024
Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer said the U.K. government is considering
sanctioning two ultranationalist Israeli Cabinet ministers. Starmer said “we are
looking at” imposing sanctions on Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National
Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir. He said the pair had made “abhorrent”
comments about the situation in Gaza and the West Bank. Britain, France and
Algeria have called a meeting of the U.N. Security Council on Wednesday on the
humanitarian situation in northern Gaza, which Starmer called “dire.”
“Israel must take all possible steps to avoid civilian casualties, to allow aid
into Gaza in much greater volumes, and provide the U.N. humanitarian partners
the ability to operate effectively,” Starmer said in the House of Commons. David
Cameron, who was foreign secretary in the previous Conservative government until
its defeat in the U.K.’s July election, said Tuesday that while in office he was
working on a plan to sanction Smotrich and Ben-Gvir over their support for
blocking aid from entering the Gaza Strip and expanding illegal Israeli
settlements there and in the occupied West Bank. The sanctions were not put in
place before Britain’s snap election was called.
US warns Israel to boost humanitarian aid into Gaza or risk
losing weapons funding
Associated Press/October 17, 2024
The Biden administration has warned Israel that it must increase the amount of
humanitarian aid it is allowing into Gaza within the next 30 days or it could
risk losing access to U.S. weapons funding.
Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin warned
their Israeli counterparts in a letter dated Sunday that the changes must occur.
The letter, which restates U.S. policy toward humanitarian aid and arms
transfers, was sent amid deteriorating conditions in northern Gaza and an
Israeli airstrike on a hospital tent site in central Gaza that killed at least
four people and burned others. A similar letter that Blinken sent to Israeli
officials in April led to more humanitarian assistance getting to the
Palestinian territory, State Department spokesman Matthew Miller said Tuesday.
But that has not lasted. "In fact, it's fallen by over 50% from where it was at
its peak," Miller said at a briefing. Blinken and Austin "thought it was
appropriate to make clear to the government of Israel that there are changes
that they need to make again, to see that the level of assistance making it into
Gaza comes back up from the very, very low levels that it is at today." For
Israel to continue qualifying for foreign military financing, the level of aid
getting into Gaza must increase to at least 350 trucks a day, Israel must
institute additional humanitarian pauses and provide increased security for
humanitarian sites, Austin and Blinken said in their letter. They said Israel
had 30 days to respond to the requirements. "The letter was not meant as a
threat," White House national security spokesman John Kirby told reporters. "The
letter was simply meant to reiterate the sense of urgency we feel and the
seriousness with which we feel it, about the need for an increase, a dramatic
increase in humanitarian assistance." An Israeli official confirmed a letter had
been delivered but did not discuss the contents. That official, speaking on
condition of anonymity to discuss a diplomatic matter, confirmed the U.S. had
raised "humanitarian concerns" and was putting pressure on Israel to speed up
the flow of aid into Gaza. The letter, which an Axios reporter posted a copy of
online, was sent during a period of growing frustration in the administration
that despite repeated and increasingly vocal requests to scale back offensive
operations against Hamas, Israel's bombardment has led to unnecessary civilian
deaths and risks plunging the region into a much wider war. "We are particularly
concerned that recent actions by the Israeli government, including halting
commercial imports, denying or impeding 90 percent of humanitarian movements"
and other restrictions have kept aid from flowing, Blinken and Austin said. The
Biden administration is increasing its calls for its ally and biggest recipient
of U.S. military aid to ease the humanitarian crisis in Gaza while assuring that
America's support for Israel is unwavering just before the U.S. presidential
election in three weeks.
Funding for Israel has long carried weight in U.S. politics, and Biden said this
month that "no administration has helped Israel more than I have." Humanitarian
aid groups fear that Israeli leaders may approve a plan to seal off humanitarian
aid to northern Gaza in an attempt to starve out Hamas, which could trap
hundreds of thousands of Palestinians who are unwilling or unable to leave their
homes without food, water, medicine and fuel. U.N. humanitarian officials said
last week that aid entering Gaza is at its lowest level in months. The three
hospitals operating minimally in northern Gaza are facing "dire shortages" of
fuel, trauma supplies, medications and blood, and while meals are being
delivered each day, food is dwindling, U.N. spokesman Stephane Dujarric said.
"There is barely any food left to distribute, and most bakeries will be forced
to shut down again in just days without any additional fuel," he said. The U.N.
humanitarian office reported that Israeli authorities facilitated just one of
its 54 efforts to get to the north this month, Dujarric said. He said 85% of the
requests were denied, with the rest impeded or canceled for logistical or
security reasons. COGAT, the Israeli body facilitating aid crossings into Gaza,
denied that crossings to the north have been closed. U.S. officials said the
letter was sent to remind Israel of both its obligations under international
humanitarian law and of the Biden administration's legal obligation to ensure
that the delivery of American humanitarian assistance should not be hindered,
diverted or held up by a recipient of U.S. military aid. Israel's retaliatory
offensive since the Oct. 7, 2023, attacks by Hamas has killed over 42,000 people
in Gaza, according to the territory's Health Ministry. It does not differentiate
between fighters and civilians but has said a little more than half the dead are
women and children. The United States has spent a record of at least $17.9
billion on military aid to Israel since the war in Gaza began and led to
escalating conflict around the Middle East, according to a report for Brown
University's Costs of War project.
That aid has enabled Israel to purchase billions of dollars worth of munitions
it has used in its operations in Gaza and Lebanon. Those strikes have killed
civilians in both areas.
Israeli strike targets Syria’s Latakia, fires break out,
state media reports
REUTERS/October 17, 2024
CAIRO: An Israeli strike targeting Syria’s Mediterranean port city of Latakia
early on Thursday resulted in fires breaking out there, Syrian state news agency
SANA reported. Firefighters are working on extinguishing the fires, SANA added.
Syrian state television reported the country’s air defenses had confronted
Israeli targets over Latakia. Israel has been carrying out strikes against
Iran-linked targets in Syria for years, but has ramped up such raids since last
year’s Oct. 7 attack by armed group Hamas on Israeli territory.
The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on October 16-17/2024
‘Axis of Resistance’ or ‘Axis of Espionage?’ Iran’s struggles to
staff leadership
Janatan Sayeh/FDD's Long War Journal/October 16/2024
The Kuwaiti Al-Jarida newspaper reported on October 13 that Islamic Republic
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei appointed the Quds Force deputy commander of the
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Brigadier General Mohammad Reza
Fallahzadeh, as Hezbollah’s “supervisor” until a new secretary-general is named.
Tehran’s failure to appoint a Lebanese successor for its crown jewel not only
underscores Israel’s devastating blow to Hezbollah but also complicates the
leadership dynamics within the “Axis of Resistance” after numerous high-level
intelligence breaches.
Sanctioned by the United States and the United Kingdom in 2024 for terrorist
financing, Fallahzadeh was appointed as the deputy commander of IRGC’s Quds
Force in 2021. Prior, he served as the Quds Force deputy coordinator, and
Iranian state media has glorified his role of fighting alongside former IRGC
Quds Force Commander Qassem Soleimani during the height of the Syrian Civil War.
Fallahzadeh also led two IRGC ground force commands: Fajr 19 Division and Al-Ghadir
18 Brigade. His time overseeing IRGC ground forces, paired with his experience
coordinating Iranian military efforts with Bashar Al-Assad’s regime, made him a
prime candidate to implement Tehran’s damage-control strategy in Lebanon as
Israel launches ground operations in that country’s south.
Fallahzadeh’s new responsibility comes at a desperate time for the Islamic
Republic’s oldest proxy group. Not only has the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
eliminated Hassan Nasrallah’s successor as Hezbollah’s secretary-general, but it
has also decapitated the group’s broader leadership. Since late September, the
IDF has targeted approximately 20 high-ranking Hezbollah military and political
officials, including leaders of combat units and those overseeing unmanned
aerial vehicle (UAV) and missile operations.
The regime in Tehran perceives the IDF’s tactical military victories in Lebanon
as part of a greater troubling pattern: Israel’s intelligence superiority over
that of the Islamic Republic. The depth of Mossad’s penetration of the regime’s
intelligence apparatus—namely, the Ministry of Intelligence and IRGC
Intelligence Division—has led to sophisticated assassination plots inside Iran
targeting the likes of former Hamas Leader Ismail Haniyeh, Iranian Nuclear Chief
Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, and many others. Former Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad recently revealed that his administration’s secret intelligence unit
tasked with identifying Israeli espionage operations in Iran was, in fact, led
by a Mossad agent.
Israel’s intelligence campaign against the regime made headlines last week, with
rumors alleging that the regime suspects IRGC Quds Force Commander Esmail
Gha’ani of being a spy working at the behest of the Mossad. The Qatar-affiliated
Middle East Eye claimed on October 10 that Gha’ani and his team are on house
arrest and being investigated by the IRGC for potential ties to the Mossad. On
the same day, Sky News Arabia reported that Gha’ani had suffered a heart attack
while under interrogation under the suspicion of espionage for Israel. An
identified source affiliated with President Masoud Pezeshkian’s government
allegedly told IranWire that this administration is unable to confirm or deny
whether Gha’ani is alive.
To counter these narratives, the Islamic Republic announced that Gha’ani would
soon be awarded the “Fath” medal by Khamenei. Gha’ani eventually made a public
appearance on October 14 at the funeral of IRGC General Abbas Nilforoushan, who
was killed in the same Israeli strike that targeted Nasrallah. Gha’ani’s
temporary disappearance amid the wave of assassinations of Hezbollah officials
suggests that the Quds Force commander feared he could be the next casualty.
These instances of high-level security breaches both inside and outside
Iran have created a state of panic among various leaders and institutions.
Following the news of Nasrallah’s assassination, Khamenei was reportedly hiding
in a secure location until he officially led Tehran’s Friday prayer a week
later. The 85-year-old theocrat is now increasingly more paranoid about staffing
the regime’s critical position vacancies both domestically and abroad. In this
vacuum of reliable aides, Khamenei is compelled to increasingly entrust his son,
Mojtaba, to spearhead initiatives on behalf of the Supreme Leader’s Office. In
addition to the challenges of identifying a successor to his own reign after
former President Ebrahim Raisi’s death, Khamenei’s Axis of Resistance struggles
to appoint a trusted and experienced commander to navigate Hezbollah’s losing
battle against Israel.
*Janatan Sayeh is a research analyst at the Foundation for Defense of
Democracies focused on Iranian domestic affairs and the Islamic Republic’s
regional malign influence.
The Biden-Harris
Administration's Misguided Policy On The Palestinians
Bassam Tawil/ Gatestone Institute./October 16, 2024
On a number of occasions over the past few months, US Vice President and
Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris has declared her support for the
creation of a Palestinian state next to Israel. Last month, Harris said: "We
must have a two-state solution where we can rebuild Gaza where the Palestinians
have security, self-determination and the dignity they so rightly deserve."
Harris's repeated talk about the need to establish a Palestinian state in the
aftermath of the October 7 atrocities against Israelis is the best gift the
Iran-backed Hamas terrorist group could have wished for.
Harris seems to ignore that a majority of Palestinians continue to support Hamas
and the October 7 atrocities.... Two-thirds of the Palestinians [in a poll
conducted by Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in June]
said that the October 7 massacres were "correct."
What is most disturbing about Harris's advocacy for the establishment of an
Iranian-controlled Palestinian state is that it is seen by many Palestinians as
a reward for the October 7 atrocities.... So, when Harris talks about the need
to establish a Palestinian state, she is sending a message to Hamas and other
Palestinians that terrorism against Israel pays....
If Harris really cared about the Palestinians, she should be calling on Hamas to
surrender; and calling on the Palestinian Authority (PA) stop glorifying
terrorists and paying their families monthly salaries, dismantle all terror
groups operating in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, stop poisoning the hearts and
minds of their people, and recognize Israel's right to exist. Unfortunately, she
has done none of the above.
Moreover, the assumption that the PA can be "revitalized" and play a role in a
post-war Gaza shows that Harris and the Biden administration are unfortunately
clueless.... The poll also found that if presidential elections were held today,
Hamas arch-terrorist Yahya Sinwar would receive 41% of the votes, while Abbas
would get only 13%. A majority of 84% of the Palestinians want Abbas to resign.
Abbas is also well aware that the talk about "revitalizing" the corrupt PA is
nothing but a farce. The PA was established more than 30 years ago and its
leaders, first Yasser Arafat and now Abbas, have never shown any serious
intention to combat rampant corruption, anarchy and lawlessness in areas under
their control.
Abbas and the Egyptians appear to have renewed their talks with Hamas because
they sense that the Biden-Harris administration is not interested in ending the
terror group's rule over the Gaza Strip.
If Biden and Harris really wanted to see Hamas removed from power and the
Israeli hostages released, all they need to do, is issue an ultimatum to the
ruler of Qatar, who funds and hosts the terror group's leadership, that the US
will withdraw its air base from the Gulf state and impose sanctions on the
emirate if the issue is not resolved immediately.
If the Biden-Harris administration really wanted to get rid of Hamas, they would
be calling out Abbas and the Egyptians for negotiating with a terror group about
ways of incorporating it in a new administration in the Gaza Strip.
Talk about creating a Palestinian state emboldens terrorists everywhere and
assures the world that the US is on their side.
Vice President Kamala Harris's repeated talk about the need to establish a
Palestinian state in the aftermath of the October 7 atrocities against Israelis
is the best gift the Iran-backed Hamas terrorist group could have wished for.
Pictured: Harris and President Joe Biden on in New York City, September 11,
2024. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)
On a number of occasions over the past few months, US Vice President and
Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris has declared her support for the
creation of a Palestinian state next to Israel. Last month, Harris said: "We
must have a two-state solution where we can rebuild Gaza where the Palestinians
have security, self-determination and the dignity they so rightly deserve."
In July, she was quoted as saying that the two-state solution is the "only path"
forward for Israel and the Palestinians. Less than two months after the October
7, 2023, Hamas-led attack on Israel, which resulted in the murder of 1,200
Israelis, including many of them being raped, tortured and burned alive, Harris,
after meeting with a number of Arab leaders in the United Arab Emirates, talked
about the need to "revitalize the Palestinian Authority" headed by Mahmoud Abbas
and the need to "see a unified Gaza and West Bank under the Palestinian
Authority." She added: "A two-state solution remains the best path, we believe,
toward a durable peace. The President (Joe Biden) and I are committed to that
goal."
Harris's repeated talk about the need to establish a Palestinian state in the
aftermath of the October 7 atrocities against Israelis is the best gift the
Iran-backed Hamas terrorist group could have wished for. Harris is basically
saying that, if elected, she will pursue the Biden administration's policy of
appeasing Iran and its terror proxies by helping them establish a Palestinian
terror state that would undoubtedly be controlled by Hamas murderers and
rapists.
If such a state is created in the West Bank, Gaza Strip or east Jerusalem, it
will be used as a base from which to launch more October 7-style massacres and
eliminate Israel.
Harris seems to ignore that a majority of Palestinians continue to support Hamas
and the October 7 atrocities. A poll published by the Palestinian Center for
Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in June found that overall support for Hamas
among the Palestinians stood at 40%, a six-point increase from a previous survey
conducted three months earlier. According to the poll, only some 20% support the
ruling Fatah faction headed by Abbas. In addition, the poll showed that more
than half of the Palestinians, support the "armed struggle" (terrorism) against
Israel. Two-thirds of the Palestinians said that the October 7 massacres were
"correct."
What is most disturbing about Harris's advocacy for the establishment of an
Iranian-controlled Palestinian state is that it is seen by many Palestinians as
a reward for the October 7 atrocities. When asked by the PSR pollsters why they
believe the Hamas-led attack was "correct," 82% of the Palestinians said it was
because the massacres "revived international attention to the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict and could lead to increased recognition of
Palestinian statehood."
So, when Harris talks about the need to establish a Palestinian state, she is
sending a message to Hamas and other Palestinians that terrorism against Israel
pays and brings them closer to achieving their goal of creating a terror state
that would facilitate their goal of murdering more Jews and destroying Israel.
She has, in fact, revived the hopes of Palestinian terrorists that they are
closer than ever to fulfill their dream of replacing Israel with a jihadi-genocidal
state armed and funded by Qatar and the mullahs in Iran.
If Harris wants the Palestinians to live in security and dignity, she should be
urging them to revolt against the Hamas murders and rapists who, on October 7,
2023, launched the biggest massacre of Jews since the Holocaust. If Harris
really cared about the Palestinians, she should be calling on Hamas to
surrender; and calling on the Palestinian Authority (PA) stop glorifying
terrorists and paying their families monthly salaries, dismantle all terror
groups operating in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, stop poisoning the hearts and
minds of their people, and recognize Israel's right to exist. Unfortunately, she
has done none of the above.
The absence of a firm and tough US policy towards Hamas and terrorism has led
many Palestinians, including the PA's Abbas, to believe that it is fine to seek
unity with Iran's Palestinian terror proxies. Moreover, the assumption that the
PA can be "revitalized" and play a role in a post-war Gaza shows that Harris and
the Biden administration are unfortunately clueless. As several PSR polls have
shown, more than 80% of the Palestinians have no faith in Abbas and the PA. The
latest poll, published in September, showed that a majority of 57% of the
Palestinians believe that when the war ends, Hamas will continue to rule the
Gaza Strip. The poll also found that if presidential elections were held today,
Hamas arch-terrorist Yahya Sinwar would receive 41% of the votes, while Abbas
would get only 13%. A majority of 84% of the Palestinians want Abbas to resign.
Unlike Harris, Abbas is well aware that a vast majority of the Palestinians
prefer Hamas over him and his PA. That is why he has so far refused to condemn
the Hamas-led October 7 atrocities. Abbas is also well aware that the talk about
"revitalizing" the corrupt PA is nothing but a farce. The PA was established
more than 30 years ago and its leaders, first Yasser Arafat and now Abbas, have
never shown any serious intention to combat rampant corruption, anarchy and
lawlessness in areas under their control.
If Biden and Harris want to see a "revitalized" PA, the first thing they need to
do is ask Abbas, whose term in office expired in 2009, to step down. If they
want to see a "revitalized" PA, they should be asking the Palestinian security
forces in the West Bank immediately to crack down on hundreds of Iran-backed
militiamen who have formed terror groups to murder Jews. Biden and Harris are
misguided if they think that Abbas would ever be able to return to the Gaza
Strip, from where he and his PA were expelled by Hamas during a brutal and
bloody coup in 2007.
Abbas does not even have the courage to publicly call on Hamas to relinquish
control over the Gaza Strip. Instead, he is busy these days trying to forge an
alliance with Hamas. According to reports in the Arab media, Abbas loyalists and
Hamas leaders, who recently met in the Egyptian capital of Cairo, agreed to
"form a joint committee to manage the Gaza Strip." The committee, the reports
said, consists of 10-15 "professional members" who are not affiliated with any
Palestinian faction. If true, the reports demonstrate that Abbas continues to
view Hamas, whose charter calls for the elimination of Israel through jihad, as
a legitimate partner. Worse, it shows that Egypt, a key US ally in the Middle
East, also sees Hamas as a legitimate player in the Palestinian arena.
Future meetings between Fatah and Hamas in Cairo will be based on four pillars,
"in light of Egypt's commitment to the Palestinian cause as a matter of national
security," according to Egyptian academic and political analyst Dr. Tarek Fahmy.
"According to my understanding, these pillars include Cairo completing its
efforts to achieve Palestinian reconciliation," he said.
Ibrahim Al-Madhoun, a Palestinian political analyst close to Hamas, said that
the Fatah-Hamas meetings are being held under Egyptian sponsorship to discuss
ways of forming a new Palestinian unity government. Al-Madhoun believes that
"the Egyptian sponsorship will facilitate the course of the talks in that
meeting and will make everyone work with open hearts to reach agreements."
Abbas and the Egyptians appear to have renewed their talks with Hamas because
they sense that the Biden-Harris administration is not interested in ending the
terror group's rule over the Gaza Strip. If Biden and Harris really wanted to
see Hamas removed from power and the Israeli hostages released, all they need to
do, is issue an ultimatum to the ruler of Qatar, who funds and hosts the terror
group's leadership, that the US will withdraw its air base from the Gulf state
and impose sanctions on the emirate if the issue is not resolved immediately.
If the Biden-Harris administration really wanted to get rid of Hamas, they would
be calling out Abbas and the Egyptians for negotiating with a terror group about
ways of incorporating it in a new administration in the Gaza Strip.
Talk about creating a Palestinian state emboldens terrorists everywhere and
assures the world that the US is on their side.
*Bassam Tawil is a Muslim Arab based in the Middle East. His work is made
possible through the generous donation of a couple of donors who wished to
remain anonymous. Gatestone is most grateful.
© 2024 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Why Syria’s
Assad regime must toe a fine line as Israel-Iran tensions escalate
ROBERT EDWARDS/Arab News/October 16, 2024
LONDON: Over the past year, the Syrian regime of Bashar Assad has been at pains
to avoid direct involvement in Gaza and Lebanon, despite its informal alliance
with Hamas and Hezbollah and professed support for their cause against Israel,
not to mention the deadly Israeli strikes on Iranian military assets on Syrian
territory.
Crippled by 13 years of civil war, international isolation, and economic
weakness, this might seem a prudent move. Intervening in either conflict could
invite a devastating retaliation from Israel and drag the country into a wider
regional war.
However, Assad’s absence from the battlefield has raised questions about his
role within the so-called Axis of Resistance — the loose network of Iran-backed
Arab proxies that includes Hamas and Hezbollah — and, by extension, his
reliability as an ally of the Islamic Republic.
Ever since Iran came to Assad’s rescue in 2011-12 when an armed uprising
threatened his rule, Syria has effectively been a vassal of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps, used as a land bridge to deliver weapons to
Hezbollah, making it a favored target for the Israeli military.
The attacks have become more frequent since the wars in Gaza and along the
Israel-Lebanon border erupted in October last year — the most significant being
the April 1 strike on the Iranian Embassy annex in Damascus that killed multiple
high-level IRGC commanders.
“Israel has been striking alleged Hezbollah and Iran-linked targets in Syria for
years, but the pace of Israeli strikes has increased since 2023,” Aron Lund, a
fellow at Century International, told Arab News.
“With the war in Gaza and now also the invasion of Lebanon, Israel has adopted a
much more aggressive posture against Syria. Israeli jets strike with regularity
and impunity, and the Syrians are just soaking it up. They can’t do much to stop
it and are probably afraid to try, for fear of further escalation.”While Lund
highlights Israel’s intensifying air campaign in Syria, Karam Shaar, a political
economist and non-resident senior fellow at Newlines Institute, points to a
deeper concern driving the Syrian regime’s inaction. He suggests that Assad’s
reluctance to retaliate against these Israeli strikes stems from his regime’s
vulnerability. “It knows that the Israelis might actually just topple it
altogether,” Shaar told Arab News. “All it needs is a nudge for it to just come
down crashing.”
Although it has enjoyed years of Russian and Iranian support, the Syrian Arab
Army is today a shadow of its former self — ground down by more than a decade of
underinvestment and fighting with armed opposition groups.
According to Randa Slim, director of the Conflict Resolution and Track II
Dialogues Program at the Middle East Institute in Washington, D.C., Syria is in
no position to withstand a major Israeli offensive. “The Assad regime is weak
and cannot afford to get entangled in another war at the moment,” she told Arab
News. “His army is weak, with major parts of the country outside his control.
His two principal allies, Russia and Iran, cannot come to his defense at this
time in case Israel decides it is time to mount a major attack on Syria akin to
what is taking place in Lebanon.”
Elaborating on the point, she said: “Moscow is entangled in a protracted war
against Ukraine. Tehran has its own problems to contend with domestically and is
facing a potential war with Israel and the US. Assad’s modus operandi for now is
to avoid getting entangled in the Axis of Resistance war against Israel.”
FASTFACTS
• Hafez Assad established Alawite-minority rule in Sunni-majority Syria in 1971,
serving as its president until his death in 2000.
• Bashar Assad succeeded his father but presides over a nation riven by civil
war since the uprising against his rule began in 2011.
Some experts have suggested that in the case of Gaza, it is not just Syria’s
military weakness that is likely preventing a meaningful contribution: Assad’s
relationship with Hamas has been sour since 2011 when the Palestinian militant
group sided with the Syrian uprising against his rule.
“The relationship between Hamas and the regime is bad and has been bad since
2011, since Hamas stood in support of the Syrian revolution,” Jihad Yazigi,
editor in chief of The Syria Report, told Arab News. In the case of Lebanon, the
Syrian regime’s ability to project any kind of influence is a far cry from the
days before 2011 when its forces exerted considerable control from within
Lebanon itself.
“Remember that before 2005, it was the Syrian army that was in Lebanon,” said
Yazigi. “From there, it had a say in Lebanese affairs and to an extent on
Palestinian ones. Since 2011, it’s (Lebanon’s) Hezbollah that’s been on Syrian
territory.”
The consensus view of experts is that, far from playing the role of a regional
kingmaker, Assad’s primary concern today is maintaining power. At the same time,
just as he is reliant on Iran and Hezbollah to guarantee his survival, the IRGC
and its proxies are also highly dependent on continued access to Syrian
territory. “Hezbollah has no other choice but Syria as far as their strategic
depth is concerned,” said Slim.
“They need Assad’s acquiescence to maintain their Iranian weapons supply route
through Syrian territory as well as to use some of the regime’s weapons
production facilities in Syria to manufacture parts for their weapons.
“Given Israel’s unrelenting attacks on Hezbollah strongholds in Lebanon,
Damascus is also the only place where Hezbollah and the IRGC can meet and
coordinate their activities.”
The secular Syrian regime’s relationship with Iran and its Shiite and Sunni
proxies has long been described as a marriage of convenience, underpinned by
overlapping interests rather than ideological affinity. Some think Assad may
very well sell out his axis allies if a better offer comes along. “Hezbollah has
long realized that Assad is neither a dependable nor a trustworthy ally,” Slim
told Arab News. “He has always toyed with the idea of striking an agreement with
Israel. In 2006, in the midst of Israel’s war on Lebanon, he authorized an
indirect communication channel with Tel Aviv. “Despite their reservations about
his loyalty, they sent men and weapons in support of the Assad regime in 2011-12
primarily because they could not afford to lose this ‘strategic depth’ if the
Assad regime were to be replaced by an anti-Iranian, Sunni-majority government
in Damascus.”Although Syria’s role in Lebanese and Palestinian affairs has
effectively shifted over the years from active participant to passive supporter,
this does not mean the Assad regime has shirked responsibility altogether. “Even
in this weakened state and despite the risks, the Syrian government does seem to
be providing support for Hezbollah,” said Lund of Century International.
“Damascus has allowed Hezbollah and Iran to train and equip themselves on Syrian
territory, and Syrian state institutions offer medical care and other services
to Hezbollah fighters.
“Many of the heavy rockets that Hezbollah recently began firing on Israel are
Syrian in origin, although we don’t know when they were provided.”
Having been rescued by Iran and Hezbollah, Assad may have been expected by his
benefactors to do far more to support his axis allies — at the very least as a
sign of gratitude. It appears, however, that they recognized his limitations
early on in the conflict.
Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah’s late secretary-general, said as much shortly
before he was killed in an Israeli airstrike on Beirut on Sept. 27.
“It seems that Iran and Hezbollah have, so far, agreed on a more passive role
for Syria,” Armenak Tokmajyan, a nonresident scholar at the Malcolm H. Kerr
Carnegie Middle East Center, told Arab News. “Just weeks before his death,
Nasrallah said that ‘Syria is not required to enter the fighting because of its
internal circumstances,’ adding that Syria should take on a supportive role.
“The pattern of Israeli strikes in Syria suggests that Syria is indeed playing
this supportive role, such as allowing Hezbollah to store weapons on its
territory.
“However, a more active involvement would likely attract unwanted Israeli
attention, posing a significant risk to Assad’s regime.”
The expectation that he must feel eternally indebted to Iran and Hezbollah for
rescuing his regime may also be an indignity too far for Assad, according to
some analysts who also believe that Israeli pressure on his allies may offer
just the opportunity he has been waiting for to extricate himself from Iran’s
sphere of influence.
“Assad hopes that Iran and its militias will weaken after this war,” Bassam
Barabandi, a former Syrian diplomat who defected from the regime in mid-2013,
told Arab News, suggesting that Assad might already be quietly double-crossing
the axis.
“He anticipates that Arab countries will reward him for his stance against
Hezbollah and Iran by supporting the economy and reopening diplomatic channels
to restore his relationships with the Arab and Western worlds.
“A significant question arises regarding how Iran would respond if it realizes
that Assad has betrayed it. Trucks wait at the entrance of the Yarmuk camp for
Palestinian refugees, south of Damascus, during a delivery of humanitarian aid
provided by Iran on March 26, 2024. (AFP)
Although there is ongoing discussion about the possibility of Syria moving away
from Iran and closer to the Arab states, Yazigi of The Syria Report believes the
Assad dynasty’s ability to distance themselves from Tehran remains limited. “The
Iranian-Syrian relationship is very important. We don’t realize it enough,” he
said.
“They have had ties since the late 1970s, early 1980s. Even before Hezbollah was
created, you had a strategic alliance between Syria and Iran, which dates back
to the Iran-Iraq war and the Islamic Revolution. So, it is not even clear how
confident and how capable Bashar is to depart too much from the Iranians.
“The other aspect is if you want to build back ties with the Arab regimes,
departing from the Iranians is a good thing, it’s a starter, but it’s not
enough. Assad has shown a lot of difficulties making the required concessions to
gain more funding from the Arabs, to make a peace deal with the Turks.” Despite
Assad’s readmission to the Arab League in 2023, one sore point that has hindered
progress on the restoration of trust and economic ties is his perceived failure
to crack down on the production and smuggling of narcotics, particularly
Captagon, which appears to have become a valuable source of income for the
sanctions-squeezed regime. Avoiding active involvement in Gaza and Lebanon may
help preserve the Assad regime in the short term, but Syria’s dire economic
situation remains an existential threat. The arrival of hundreds of thousands of
people displaced from Lebanon, the bulk of them Syrians who had previously fled
the civil war in their own country, could also exacerbate Syria’s internal
instability.
Even though the majority are women and children, “Assad completely rejects the
return of refugees, viewing them as his enemies from whom he wishes to distance
himself,” Barabandi, the former Syrian diplomat, told Arab News. For his part,
Yazigi says that population movements have played a role in the past in
destabilizing Syria, comparing the current situation to the wave of returnees
from Lebanon following the killing of Lebanese Prime Minister Rafic Hariri in
2005. “If the uprising began in 2011, it is due to many factors, one of them is
the return of hundreds of thousands of Syrian workers from Lebanon after the
assassination of Hariri and the withdrawal of the Syrian army,” he said. “The
Syrians faced a lot of anti-Syrian acts in Lebanon, which led to hundreds of
thousands of people returning and staying in Syria without a job.
“Of course, the situation has completely changed since then. Everybody is
exhausted, and nobody has in mind in Syria to do anything in the form of an
uprising. But it is a (potential) factor of destabilization.”Despite Assad’s
passive support for the Axis of Resistance, some say keeping him in power in his
enfeebled state likely serves Israeli and US interests far better than the
alternative — regime change and all its associated chaos. “To date, Israel has
found Assad a reliable enemy,” said Slim. “They have him now at a position that
serves their interests: a weak ruler over a divided and bankrupt country.”
Ultimately, Syria’s limited role in the ongoing regional turmoil reflects
Assad’s delicate balancing act — caught between the competing demands of
regional powers, economic weakness and the need to preserve his own regime.
“There’s no doubt that Assad is grappling with multiple challenges on various
fronts,” said Tokmajyan. “A displacement crisis that brings social and economic
pressures at home, while also reducing remittances from Lebanon; the loss of an
important economic lifeline in Lebanon; an ally in Hezbollah, whose capabilities
are being eroded; the risk of being dragged into a war. “All of this comes on
top of Syria’s existing economic troubles. But will this lead to a revolt or the
regime’s collapse? It’s hard to say. Assad has proven to be resilient so far.”
Starmer should
be courageous despite bumpy first 100 days
Mohamed Chebaro/Arab News/October 16, 2024
Saturday was the 100th day since the UK Labour Party, under the leadership of
Keir Starmer, entered 10 Downing Street to end 14 years of chaotic Conservative
Party rule that had eroded the country’s reputation and the standing of its
political class and its institutions around the world.
Yet, even before Labour under Starmer won a landslide election victory in July,
shadows of doubt were beginning to encircle everything that it touched or could
touch in an attempt to stabilize the country and usher in a new vision. It
sought to reboot an austerity-hit state, compounded by a poorly thought through
Brexit, which severed Britain’s economic, social and political ties from the EU.
It was like the country had suddenly woken up to find itself on the margins and
out in the cold under a dysfunctional Conservative Party that was lurching
further and further to the right, entrenching a “me-first” approach to running
the country and its relationships with its neighbors.
Even outside the UK, the vibes on social and traditional media were skeptical.
Once, during an interview with a Middle Eastern channel, I nearly got convinced
by the journalist’s line of questioning that Starmer’s government would fall
before the end of its first year in power, or even before the end of its first
100 days.
Inside Britain, instead of rejoicing at the new government and the prospect of
hitting the restart button, many people have maintained a nonchalant air of
skepticism, even a malaise about what Labour can potentially achieve and whether
or not it will drive the change that the country has craved for years.
Many people have maintained a nonchalant air of skepticism, even a malaise about
what Labour can potentially achieve
The dilemma faced by the new prime minister is an age-old one. It is also faced
by most Western democracies, whether they are led by the left, the center, the
right, the populists or the extreme right. You cannot keep on shrinking the
state and believing that a self-regulating private sector will deliver
unsupervised, accountable leadership that meets the complex web of society’s
expectations and demands.
In a world that is more in transition than ever, the appeal of the welfare state
in Western society has never been clearer. Yet, no citizen on the left or the
right believes in paying more taxes to cater for those needs in a climate of
scarcity and economic uncertainty.
Labour wanted to hit the ground running. It hoped to present in government a
project that could deliver high investment and a growing economy, coupled with
high productivity and certainty that could limit inequality and social division,
while increasing security and safety. It also aimed to provide housing, access
to transport, education, health and social care, as well as a ladder to climb
the stairs of personal prosperity through more training and employment.
Instead, while trying to explain the conditions of the state it inherited, the
new government has indirectly hurt itself with its often gloomy but realistic
rhetoric about the dire state of the economy and public services. And just as it
was positioning itself to unveil its reform projects, Starmer’s government was
hit by the summer riots that were fueled by racism and divisions and which bore
all the hallmarks of the extreme right.
Just as the government then tried to catch its breath, stories about freebies
and cronyism piled up. These added to some unpopular announcements, such as the
scrapping of the winter fuel allowance for pensioners and the abandonment of a
planned cap on social care bills, as well as voting to retain the two-child
limit on social benefit payments, all as a means to balance the books.
Many voters in Britain, and I am one of them, believe that Starmer and the
Labour Party were elected because the country needed fresh thinking and more
plausible ideas. Away from the right-wing narratives that cannot be missed in
today’s UK, most people want Labour to succeed, as the country cannot afford
five more wasted years. The new government has a license to be innovative and
bold, especially as it is backed by a large majority in Parliament.
The new government has a license to be innovative and bold, especially as it is
backed by a large majority in Parliament
Starmer and his government are right to be frank and open about the dilapidated
state of the country they inherited, but equally they should be courageous in
revealing their vision without fearing being labeled as “lefties,” “socialists”
or “pro-Europe.” The biggest harm that plagues political discourses today — and
maybe stunts many policy ideas before they even become policies — are the
near-immediate court martials they get subjected to in the social media realm.
The political philosophies, ethics and values that could and should underpin any
legislation or policy rarely stand the test of focus groups or political chat
shows.
In this world plagued by misinformation, fake news and “multiple truths,” have
we become superficial consumers of whatever opinion is expressed in often
sensationalist soundbites at the expense of a deeper, multilayered approach to
what is right and what is wrong? This has been eroding trust in politicians,
institutions and any actor that might espouse an idea that some of us might deem
alien, just because it has earned no traction in terms of the number of “thumbs
up” on our social media feeds.
Despite its bumpy start, Starmer’s new government should worry less about being
attacked for raising taxes if raising taxes is the way to serve society and meet
its aspirations of law and order, improved healthcare and education, economic
growth and prosperity. A state that retains its empathy and fights poverty and
dispossession will not cancel out its commitment to opening new horizons for
investment, development and growth.
Starmer is likely to remain in Downing Street for at least five years and he
must not tire of persuading both the converted and the skeptics about his true
mettle and what his government stands for: the country and its people, despite
all the adversities and challenges it inherited.
**Mohamed Chebaro is a British Lebanese journalist with more than 25 years of
experience covering war, terrorism, defense, current affairs and diplomacy. He
is also a media consultant and trainer.
The Gulf states’ role in shaping Middle Eastern stability
Dr. Turki Faisal Al-Rasheed/Arab News/October 16, 2024
The Middle East, characterized by a rich mosaic of cultures, religions and
historical narratives, stands at a pivotal crossroads. The rising crises and
complex conflicts have underscored the region’s nuanced landscape of peace and
warfare. As tensions ebb and flow, the Gulf states are at the forefront,
grappling with the repercussions of regional instability while striving for
sustainable solutions. For more than 80 years, the Middle East has been shaped
by the influence of the American government, state corporations and special
interest groups, primarily focused on fostering conflict through various means.
These efforts include direct military interventions, weaponizing food and
manipulating financial instruments to ensnare nations in debt. The consequences
of these actions are evident today.
One notable historical moment is the March 1949 coup in Syria, orchestrated by
Army chief Husni Al-Za’im, which marked the first military coup in the country’s
modern history. This coup received support from the US government after the
previous administration refused to sign a truce with Israel or endorse a
pipeline agreement advantageous to the Saudi-American company, Aramco.
The Middle East has long been a battleground influenced by both internal strife
and external pressures, often resulting in the entrenchment of corrupt military
regimes. This situation has facilitated the rise of extremist groups and drawn
global powers into the fray, complicating the prospect of peace. The overarching
challenge remains the inability to meet the basic human needs of the populace.
The Middle East has long been a battleground influenced by both internal strife
and external pressures.
In this environment, Gulf nations such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar must
navigate a delicate balance between their national interests and regional
dynamics. Ongoing tensions with Iran, the humanitarian crisis in Yemen and the
aftermath of the so-called Arab Spring compel these countries to reassess their
foreign policies and security strategies, prioritizing domestic sustainability
over alignment with American agendas.
Historical events, such as the US-backed overthrow of Iranian Prime Minister
Mohammed Mosaddegh and the military coup against King Farouk of Egypt, exemplify
the documented external involvement that has shaped the current state of the
Middle East.
Despite the prevailing challenges, the potential for peace persists, partly due
to the influence of special interest groups and the far-right Netanyahu
government in Israel. Recent diplomatic efforts by Saudi Arabia, including
outreach to Iran and mediation in regional conflicts, indicate a possible shift
toward collaboration. Additionally, Gulf countries are increasingly focusing on
economic diversification and technological innovation, which could serve as a
foundation for stability.
By fostering economic interdependence, these nations can diminish incentives for
conflict and nurture an environment conducive to peace. Establishing regional
frameworks to tackle shared challenges, such as climate change and economic
development, can further enhance cooperation.
Nevertheless, the threat of war looms large. The risk of existing conflicts
escalating is significant, particularly if key players like Israel and Iran
persist in their proxy confrontations. Heightened military posturing and
aggressive rhetoric among various factions raise concerns about potential
miscalculations leading to broader conflicts.
Should tensions continue to rise, the Gulf countries may find themselves
embroiled in larger confrontations, jeopardizing their security and economic
stability. The repercussions of such scenarios would extend beyond the region,
potentially impacting global oil markets and international relations. The role
of external powers, notably the US and Russia, will be critical in determining
whether these conflicts can be contained or spiral out of control.
The international community plays a vital role in shaping the future of the
Middle East. Organizations like the UN and regional bodies must actively engage
in diplomatic efforts to mediate conflicts and facilitate dialogue.
International law, particularly concerning human rights and humanitarian issues,
should guide interventions and support sustainable resolutions.
However, the effectiveness of the international community has often come under
scrutiny. The lack of decisive action in response to humanitarian crises and the
failure to hold violators of international law accountable raise concerns about
existing frameworks. Moving forward, it is imperative to strengthen these
mechanisms to effectively address the region’s complexities.
Saudi Arabia’s ongoing commitment to fostering stability in the Middle East is
commendable. As a regional power, it has proactively sought to mitigate
conflicts and encourage dialogue among rival factions. The Kingdom’s Vision 2030
initiative reflects its dedication to economic diversification and social
reform, presenting a potential model for other nations in the region.
Moreover, Saudi Arabia’s leadership in initiatives such as the Gulf Cooperation
Council and its involvement in regional dialogues underscore its commitment to a
peaceful Middle East. By championing diplomacy and collaboration, the Kingdom
can help guide the region away from war and toward a more cooperative future.
By championing diplomacy and collaboration, the Kingdom can help guide the
region away from war. Looking ahead, the fate of the Middle East hinges on the
ability of regional and international actors to navigate the fragile balance
between peace and war. While the opportunities for peace are promising, they are
accompanied by significant challenges. The threat of war remains a pressing
concern, exacerbated by ongoing conflicts and external influences.
To cultivate a stable environment, it is crucial for Gulf countries to persist
in their diplomatic efforts, economic cooperation and conflict resolution
initiatives. The international community must also play an active role in
supporting these endeavors, ensuring that actions align with the principles of
international law.
Understanding the roots of conflict necessitates examining the financial
motivations behind them. The enduring Arab-Israeli conflict has largely
benefited those profiting from warfare and disaster, particularly the American
military-industrial complex — a sentiment echoed by President Dwight Eisenhower.
Analyzing who gains financially from these conflicts is essential to
comprehending their complexities.
Furthermore, the detrimental effects of cutthroat capitalism and corporate
interests extend beyond Western nations, impacting the global landscape. While
many endure the hardships resulting from these policies, a select few continue
to amass wealth and power. Unfortunately, the focus often remains on the
symptoms of conflict rather than addressing their root causes.
In conclusion, the Middle East is a region of profound contradictions, where the
potential for peace coexists with the persistent threat of war. The Gulf
countries, as pivotal players in this dynamic, have a unique opportunity to lead
the way toward a more stable and peaceful future. By embracing dialogue,
cooperation and sustainable development, they can shift the region’s narrative
from one of conflict to one of hope and resilience. The choice between war and
peace lies within their reach, and the time to act is now.
**Dr. Turki Faisal Al-Rasheed is an adjunct professor at the University of
Arizona, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Department of Biosystems
Engineering. He is the author of “Agricultural Development Strategies: The Saudi
Experience.”
Can international coalition to push for two-state solution
succeed?
Bakir Oweida/Arab News/October 16, 2024
In a significant diplomatic move, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin
Farhan last month unveiled a new international alliance that is dedicated to
implementing the long-discussed two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict.
The coalition’s primary objective is to establish an independent Palestinian
state alongside Israel. With Israel already established on historical
Palestinian land since 1948, the focus now turns to creating a viable
Palestinian state with full political autonomy, a robust economy that
effectively harnesses the state’s natural resources and capitalizes on the
potential of its youth, and the support of both regional Arab nations and the
international community.
However, this initiative faces staunch opposition from various extremist
factions. These include hard-line elements within Israel, currently led by Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, as well as Iran’s leadership and its proxies in
Lebanon, Iraq and Syria. Palestinian militant groups Hamas and Islamic Jihad
also stand in opposition to the two-state framework.
A diverse coalition of groups, often at odds with each other, consistently
opposes the creation of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as
its capital. Despite their differences, these factions find common ground in
rejecting peace initiatives. The root of this opposition likely stems from a
shared interest in maintaining the status quo. Establishing a Palestinian state
would threaten the collective benefits these groups derive from the current
situation. Chief among these interests is the preservation of extremist
ideologies that thrive in conflict. Historical evidence demonstrates a clear
pattern: forces opposed to regional peace consistently work to undermine
initiatives that challenge their positions.
A diverse coalition of groups, often at odds with each other, consistently
opposes the creation of an independent Palestinian state
Attempts to derail peace initiatives in the Middle East have a long history,
dating back to the Arab acceptance of UN Security Council Resolution 242 after
the 1967 war. This resolution, which implicitly recognized Israel as a state,
was notably supported by Egypt under Gamal Abdel Nasser’s influential Arab
leadership and international presence.
The pattern of obstruction continued with the formation of the “Steadfastness
and Confrontation Front” in response to Anwar Sadat’s controversial Camp David
Accords in 1978. This trend persisted in the reception of the Arab Peace
Initiative, which was adopted at the Arab League’s 2002 Beirut summit as the
official Arab stance on peace with Israel.
The persistent obstruction of peace initiatives by extremist factions has been a
hallmark of Middle Eastern politics for decades. This raises questions about the
effectiveness of the recently announced two-state solution alliance, launched
within the symbolic confines of the “matchbox,” as the UN building is described.
Can this new coalition succeed where others have failed? The answer lies in its
ability to exert meaningful pressure on key players, starting with Israel.
Success hinges on compelling Israel to adhere to international law and abandon
its perceived impunity in regional affairs. This approach aims to create an
environment in which peaceful solutions become not just possible, but preferable
for all parties involved.
Influencing Israel’s stance is crucial but insufficient on its own. Equal
diplomatic pressure must target Israel’s key allies, primarily the US and the
UK. With the US presidential election looming next month, timing is critical.
The alliance must now formulate effective methods to apply legitimate diplomatic
pressure across multiple fronts.
**Bakir Oweida is a Palestinian journalist who pursued a professional career in
journalism in Libya in 1968, where he worked at Al-Haqiqa newspaper in Benghazi,
then Al-Balagh and Al-Jihad in Tripoli. He has written for several Arab
publications in Britain since 1978. He worked at Al-Arab newspaper, Al-Thadamun
magazine and the international Arabic newspaper Asharq Al-Awsat. He has also
worked as a consultant at the online newspaper Elaph.
This article first appeared in Asharq Al-Awsat.
US’ curious
relationship with Netanyahu and Israel
Kerry Boyd Anderson/Arab News/October 16, 2024
In an excerpt from Bob Woodward’s new book, “War,” the journalist reports that
President Joe Biden’s frustration with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
burst out in expletives in the spring of this year, with Biden exclaiming that
Netanyahu is “a bad guy” and using some stronger words. Despite a decades-long
friendship between the two, Netanyahu has ignored every significant demand that
Biden has made during the current war in Gaza. Yet, Biden has been unwilling to
really use US leverage to pressure Netanyahu to change course.
Biden is not the first president to express annoyance with Netanyahu — or to
employ expletives. Even before Netanyahu became prime minister, he so annoyed
senior members of the George H.W. Bush administration, in his role as an Israeli
diplomat, that he was temporarily banned from visiting the State Department.
After Netanyahu became prime minister, he annoyed President Bill Clinton during
a joint press conference in 1996, prompting Clinton to ask his advisers, “Who’s
the (expletive) superpower here?” After losing an election in 1999, Netanyahu
was elected prime minister again in 2009, when President Barack Obama was in the
White House, and their relationship was frosty at best. Netanyahu had a warm
relationship with President Donald Trump during Trump’s presidency, but after
Netanyahu called Biden to congratulate him on his 2020 presidential win, Trump
was angry at what he saw as the Israeli PM’s disloyalty, reportedly also using
an expletive against Netanyahu.
Yet, despite his tendency to frustrate and annoy US presidents, Netanyahu often
gets what he wants from Washington. Indeed, it seems that he can usually ignore
any requests or demands from the president, despite the billions of dollars of
annual funding and other forms of support that the US consistently provides to
Israel. American leaders often try to use diplomatic and political relationships
to persuade Netanyahu to make minor policy changes, but they have been mostly
unwilling to suspend economic and military aid when he refuses requests to stop
taking steps that undermine peace efforts.
Despite his tendency to frustrate and annoy US presidents, Netanyahu often gets
what he wants from Washington.
Historically, US leaders have demonstrated a willingness to place significant
pressure on Israel or to break with Israeli leaders on issues that presidents
see as vital to US security and interests. In 1956, President Dwight Eisenhower
forced Israel and its allies to withdraw from the Suez Canal. During the Richard
Nixon and Gerald Ford administrations, Henry Kissinger — though generally
favoring Israel — viewed the Middle East through the lens of the Cold War and
was willing to pressure Israel when he believed it served US interests.
In 1991, Bush withheld $10 billion in loan guarantees to Israel over
disagreements about settlement expansion — an unusual case. Obama proceeded with
the nuclear deal with Iran, despite vehement objections from Israel.
However, the US has not seen Israeli-Palestinian peace as a core national
interest. Certainly, some presidents have seen peace as a helpful aspiration
that could also boost their legacy, but — at least during Netanyahu’s years in
power — they have not seen it as worth spending large amounts of political
capital on. This has allowed Netanyahu plenty of space to sabotage any efforts
toward a Palestinian state.
Netanyahu intentionally undermined peace efforts during the Clinton
administration, as Clinton later acknowledged. Netanyahu ignored calls from the
administration to pause settlement expansion and take other steps. However,
Clinton and many of his officials placed most of the blame for the failure of
peace talks on the Palestinians and did not use the strongest leverage they had
with Israel to promote greater concessions.
During the George W. Bush administration, Netanyahu remained influential but was
not prime minister. The Bush administration was closely aligned with Israel and,
by the time Netanyahu returned to power in 2009, the West Bank settler
population had expanded drastically.
Netanyahu has repeatedly and brazenly ignored Biden’s demands. Biden fumes but
continues providing huge amounts of aid.
Obama’s rise to the presidency raised hopes that the US might finally have a
president who would be willing to use the billions of dollars in aid to Israel
as leverage to compel it to make concessions for peace. Certainly, the
relationship between Netanyahu and Obama became increasingly frigid, but Obama’s
focus was on reaching a deal to block Iran’s nuclear development. Obama was
willing to ignore Netanyahu’s warnings about Iran but proved unwilling to spend
significant political capital to pressure Israel toward peace with the
Palestinians. Settlement expansion in the West Bank and the blockade of the Gaza
Strip continued.
Trump had no interest in pushing Israel to make peace with the Palestinians and
Netanyahu was able to pursue his policies vis-a-vis the Palestinians without
facing objections from the White House.
Biden entered office clearly assuming that he would have some influence with
Netanyahu, given Biden’s pro-Israel approach and long-standing relationship with
Netanyahu. While Biden’s team might claim some small diplomatic wins, Netanyahu
has, in all fundamental areas, repeatedly and brazenly ignored Biden’s demands.
He has not offered a day-after plan for Gaza, taken more effective efforts to
protect civilians, consistently allowed sufficient humanitarian aid into Gaza,
accepted ceasefire proposals for Gaza or accepted a ceasefire proposal for
Lebanon. He has directly rejected Biden’s insistence on a two-state solution.
Biden fumes but continues providing huge amounts of aid and weaponry.
Whoever is the next president should recognize that Netanyahu will ignore any
demands from Washington that he does not like, as long as the president is
unwilling to credibly and seriously threaten suspending aid. It is odd that a
country would provide billions of dollars to another without expecting some
significant influence and concessions in return, but such is the US-Israel
relationship.
*Kerry Boyd Anderson is a writer and political risk consultant with more than 18
years of experience as a professional analyst of international security issues
and Middle East political and business risk. Her previous positions include
deputy director for advisory with Oxford Analytica. X: @KBAresearch
Selective Tweets for October 16/2024
Hussain Abdul-Hussain
https://x.com/i/status/1846245414896619629
Wow! If you are a Mideast expert, leave everything and watch this video. I could
have watched hours of it. This is Waddah Younis, the Hezbollah fighter whom the
IDF captured when he got stuck (or was hiding) in a tunnel shaft in south
Lebanon. Waddah hails from a Communist family, but says that no one in Lebanon
would give a job to a Shia (totally not true), and says Hezbollah is the only
one that has money to employ people (true).
He says that Hezbollah launched attacks from south #Lebanon villages because it
controls municipal councils, such as in Hoola (formerly a bastion of Communists)
but not in Rmeish (predominantly Christian) because the mayor is a partisan of
Christian anti-Hezbollah leader Samir Geagea and his Lebanese Forces Party.
Waddah also says that Hezbollah fighters ran away. They were only interested in
the money. This should debunk our perception of Iran-led "resistance" fighters
as being ideological, whether Hamas or Hezbollah. These people are unemployed
and join terrorist organizations mainly because of unemployment.
Now that we know that Tehran has cashed more than $200 billion since Biden came
to power, it'd be wise to reconsider how "de-escalation" might work: Not by
holding back our allies from fighting back but by strangling the source of
terrorism and belligerence.