English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For October 08/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
Unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it remains just a single grain; but if it dies, it bears much fruit
John 12/20-25: “Among those who went up to worship at the festival were some Greeks. They came to Philip, who was from Bethsaida in Galilee, and said to him, ‘Sir, we wish to see Jesus.’ Philip went and told Andrew; then Andrew and Philip went and told Jesus. Jesus answered them, ‘The hour has come for the Son of Man to be glorified. Very truly, I tell you, unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it remains just a single grain; but if it dies, it bears much fruit. Those who love their life lose it, and those who hate their life in this world will keep it for eternal life.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on October 07-08/2024
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on October 07-08/2024
Elias Bejjani/A thousand salutes to journalist Mariam Majdouline and every free, sovereign Lebanese who embodies her courage. We stand firmly by her side against a corrupt and compromised judiciary.
Hezbollah missiles hit Israel on Gaza war anniversary
Israel can't confirm death of Hezbollah's Safieddine, spokesperson says
Jordan’s foreign minister fears ‘abyss of full-scale regional war’
Lebanon says over 400,000 people fled to Syria in around 2 weeks
Opposition Bloc MPs Value National Solidarity and Present Their Vision for Saving Lebanon from the Brink of War
Berri Calls for Consensus President
The Israel-Hezbollah War: Facing the Reality
Sami Gemayel: It's Time for Hezbollah to Hand Over Authority to the State
Saving Lebanon or Saving Hezbollah?/Writer & Director, Youssef Y. El-Khoury
Two Seasons of Migration: From and to Lebanon/Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 07/2024

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on October 07-08/2024
Iran says it will hit back against any Israeli strike
Hezbollah missiles hit Haifa, Israel steps up bombings in south Lebanon
US spends a record $17.9 billion on military aid to Israel since last Oct. 7
Israeli military says it intercepts missile fired from Yemen
A day of reflection, Lammy says one year after Hamas attack
Israeli soldiers kill Palestinian boy in West Bank confrontations, health ministry says
Gaza is in ruins after Israel's yearlong offensive. Rebuilding may take decades
Gaza Journalist Hassan Hamad Killed in Drone Strike
Israel-Hamas war 1 year later: Key moments that have defined the conflict after Oct. 7 massacre
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant is alive, unharmed in Iran attack | Fact check
Saied re-elected Tunisia president with 90.7 percent of the vote

Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources on October 07-08/2024
When October 7 Was a Day of Victory Against Islamic Terror/Raymond Ibrahim/The Stream/October 07/2024
Israel is fighting to beat Iran's doomsday clock/Yossi Klein Halevi/Los Angeles Time/October 07/2024
The United Arab Emirates can help bring Israeli hostages home/Moshe Emilio Lavi, opinion contributor/The Hill/October 07/2024
The four observations that mark a year since Oct. 7/Faisal J. Abbas/Arab News/October 07, 2024
Israel’s search for a definitive military solution/Dr. Mohammed Al-Sulami/Arab News/October 07, 2024
Al-Qaeda, Daesh keeping their distance from Gaza war/Dr. Abdellatif El-Menawy/Arab News/October 07, 2024
Why did Iran take the Israeli bait?/Chris Doyle/Arab News/October 07, 2024

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on October 07-08/2024
Elias Bejjani/Text & Video: The End of Iran’s Reign of Terror and Hezbollah's Demise
Elias Bejjani/October 06/2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/135321/
I strongly recommend watching the five enclosed interviews posted on my website, https://eliasbejjaninews.com/. These interviews are crucial as they reveal the trajectory of the region, culminating in the conclusion that the mission of the criminal, repressive Iranian Mullah regime is nearing its end. This regime, having served its role as the Western alliance’s boogeyman, has frightened the Sunni Arab world into accepting Israel. Every Arab nation has now recognized Israel, viewing Iran as the true existential threat. Even Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince has publicly acknowledged that Israel could be a potential ally.
The anticipated event, either today or tomorrow, will be a massive Israeli military strike against Iran, backed by international Western (NATO) forces and with Arab blessings under the table. This attack will mark the first anniversary of Hamas's barbaric jihadist invasion on October 7 last year, restoring Israel’s deterrence and balance of power, as Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu promised. Netanyahu declared just yesterday that Israel will strike Iran, shift the regional balance, and obliterate Hezbollah by force, stripping it of its weapons once and for all.
Lebanon’s Political Puppetry
Anyone counting on Nabih Berri, the Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament, to lead the efforts aiming to restore Lebanon’s sovereignty and independence is as deluded as someone hoping a wolf will guard sheep. Berri is nothing more than a polished puppet of Hezbollah—a terrorist entity at its core and a servant of Iran, disguised with a necktie to further deceive the people. Berri, along with his Amal Movement and all other Shiite authorities, was militarily defeated and eliminated during the "Iqlim al-Tuffah" battle (March 1988) under Iranian orders, with Syrian backing and Israeli assistance.
As for Najib Mikati, Lebanon's current PM, he’s nothing but a hypocritical merchant whose shameful history and betrayal exposes his consistent service to the Assad and Mullah regimes at Lebanon’s expense.
Regarding our Christian Maronite leaders in particular, and Christians in general, it’s tragic that they have become nothing more than spineless, politically and nationally emasculated traders, much like the traitorous disciple who sold Christ to be crucified for 30 pieces of silver. These are the worst leaders we’ve seen in 1,400 years of our history, with no exceptions, whether civilians or clergy. Among the worst is Samir Geagea, whose  shameful silence throughout the ongoing Israel-Hezbollah war has been deafening, even as he prevents his supporters from expressing their views and concerns. Sadly, his supporters are stupidly accepting the role of sheep.
In regards to former President Michel Aoun and his corrupt son-in-law, Gebran Bassil, they are both a disgrace, and their pitiful status reflects that of the rest of the politicians and the heads of the commercial, narcissistic political parties. Sadly, our beloved Lebanon today is devoid of any national leadership, both religious and political, which is unsurprising given that the Palestinian, Syrian, and Iranian occupations since the 1970s have neutered the political and religious class and molded them to serve their interests.
The Path to Lebanon's Liberation
The salvation of Lebanon will not come from the hands of the current leaders, parties, or politicians who handed it over to foreign occupations, betrayed its people, conspired against it, robbed its bank deposits, displaced and humiliated its citizens, and reduced themselves to tools and empty puppets.
Lebanon’s solution lies in placing it under the guardianship of the United Nations Security Council, enforcing international resolutions—namely the Armistice Agreement, Resolution 1559, 1701, and 1680—by force under Chapter VII, with the aim of rehabilitating the Lebanese people to govern themselves.
In the same context, Former Minister Youssef Salameh’s predictions in an interview conducted with him yesterday are highly plausible in light of the ongoing war between Israel, Iran, Hezbollah, and their other terrorist proxies: He loudly with confidence and proves said:
The world western powers dealt with Hassan Nasrallah the same way they did with Bashir Gemayel, Rafic Hariri, and Kamal Jumblatt—the four were assassinated after their roles were finished. This historical reality supports the reasoning behind Nasrallah’s eventual elimination.
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard was created by NATO to divide Sunnis and Shiites, forcing the Sunnis to recognize Israel, which is precisely what happened. Hezbollah’s role has ended, and Nasrallah has been eliminated as a result.
Iran is not a strong state and does not wield significant influence on the international stage, not even in determining Nasrallah’s fate. Its regime’s collapse is inevitable now that its purpose has been exhausted.
Militarily unbalanced wars, such as the one Hezbollah and Hamas are waging against Israel, are suicidal endeavors, which is the current reality.
What protects Lebanon from Israel is the international system, not Hezbollah’s so-called resistance lie and heresy.
Lebanon must move toward peace with Israel, just like every other Arab nation.
There will be no compromise on Lebanon’s sovereignty and independence. The concept of "resistance" is obsolete, and no state can exist within the shadow of a militia.
Walid Jumblatt’s daily bizarre stances are circumstantial, and his support for Hezbollah does not reflect the Druze community’s stance, which opposes Hezbollah.
Hassan Nasrallah has always been alienated from Lebanon’s national entity, calling for an Islamic state and proudly declaring himself a soldier of Iran’s Supreme Leader, loyal to the Iranian regime.
The assassination of Nasrallah signifies the end of a regional era—the Mullah regime and its tentacles, including Hezbollah.
The era of Shiites political dominance in Lebanon is over, and Lebanon is on the path to sovereignty, freedom, and independence.

Elias Bejjani/A thousand salutes to journalist Mariam Majdouline and every free, sovereign Lebanese who embodies her courage. We stand firmly by her side against a corrupt and compromised judiciary.
Elias Bejjani/October 06, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/135331/
A thousand salutes to the patriotic journalist Mariam Majdouline for her brave, unwavering stance against Hezbollah—Iran’s notorious armed proxy in Lebanon. Eternal damnation upon those who have filed or might file complaints against her, and to every submissive, corrupt judicial authority that has issued or may issue an arrest warrant in her name.
Cursed be the judiciary that persecutes the free and sovereign voices of Lebanon.
With the distinguished activist Elie Khoury, we declare: Mariam Majdouline’s shoes hold more truth and honor than the highest-ranking mustache in the disgraceful, suicidal regime of occupied Lebanon.
*The author, Elias Bejjani, is a Lebanese expatriate activist
Author’s Email: [email protected]

Hezbollah missiles hit Israel on Gaza war anniversary
Reuters Videos/Reuters/October 7, 2024
STORY: Hezbollah rockets struck Israel on Monday (October 7) on the first anniversary of the Gaza war. That’s as Israel looked poised to expand ground incursions into Lebanon. Iran-backed Hezbollah said it targeted a military base in Israel’s city Haifa with a salvo of missiles. The group, allies of Palestinian militant group Hamas, said it also launched another attack on Israeli city Tiberias. This strike, one year on from Hamas' October 7 cross-border raid into Israel, underlines how much the Gaza conflict has since spread across the Middle East. There are fears that the U.S., Israel’s superpower ally, and Iran will be sucked in. In this latest attack, Israel’s military said five rockets were launched from Lebanon at Haifa and that 15 were fired at Tiberias - with some shot down. Hamas meanwhile targeted Israel's commercial capital Tel Aviv with a missile salvo, the group said. This barrage comes following a series of deadly blows against Hezbollah in Lebanon in recent weeks. Mohammed Kanso is one of 1.2 million people displaced in Lebanon while fleeing Israeli attack. He says this war has been imposed on his country and that he did not expect to be living on the streets. Israel accuses Hezbollah of deliberately embedding it command centers and weaponry beneath residential buildings in the heart of Beirut. Hezbollah denies storing weapons among civilians. On Sunday (October 6) night, Israeli missiles rained down across the Lebanese capital. Many fear Israel will unleash on Lebanon the same scale of destruction it waged on Gaza.

Israel can't confirm death of Hezbollah's Safieddine, spokesperson says

Reuters/October 7, 2024
JERUSALEM (Reuters) -Israel cannot confirm whether the potential successor to the slain Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has been killed, a government spokesperson said on Monday, following reports that he was targeted in an Israeli air strike last week.
Asked if Israel could confirm the death of Hashem Safieddine, spokesperson David Mencer told an online briefing: "We don't have that confirmation yet. When it is confirmed, as and when, it will be on the IDF (Israeli military) website." A Hezbollah official told Reuters on Sunday that Israel was obstructing search and rescue efforts in an area where Safieddine is thought to have been when Israel bombed Beirut's southern suburbs on Thursday. Israel has killed much of Hezbollah's military command and senior leadership in nearly a year of fighting that began when Hezbollah opened a front in solidarity with Palestinians the day after Hamas' deadly Oct. 7, 2023 attack on southern Israel.

Jordan’s foreign minister fears ‘abyss of full-scale regional war’
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Aran News/October 07, 2024
BEIRUT: Jordan’s Deputy Prime Minister Ayman Safadi, who also serves as foreign minister, has said that Israel’s war with the Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon is pushing the Middle East into the “abyss of full-scale regional war.”Safadi was speaking at a news conference following a meeting with Najib Mikati, Lebanon’s caretaker prime minister, in Beirut. Safadi’s remarks came as Lebanon commemorated the first anniversary of clashes between Israel and Hezbollah. As of Oct. 7, the death toll had reached 2,083, including children, women, and high-ranking Hezbollah field commanders, along with casualties from the Lebanese army and Hezbollah-affiliated groups, medical staff, paramedics, firefighters, and journalists.
Additionally, there have been 9,869 people injured.
Safadi said that Jordan backed the Lebanese government’s initiative to elect a new president and its commitment to implement the UN Security Council resolution that ended Israel’s last war with Hezbollah in 2006 and aimed to keep southern Lebanon under the control of the Lebanese military and UN peacekeepers. Safadi reaffirmed Jordan’s unwavering commitment to supporting Lebanon’s security, sovereignty, and the well-being of its citizens. He spoke of Jordan’s readiness to assist Lebanon in facing the aftermath of recent attacks, which he characterized as a flagrant violation of international law and Lebanese sovereignty. Safadi reiterated Jordan’s support for Lebanese efforts to strengthen its national institutions and make sovereign decisions. He asserted that Jordan “will not allow itself to become a battleground for any party, nor tolerate any breaches of its airspace or sovereignty that threaten the security of its citizens.”He added: “We have delivered this unequivocal message to both Iran and Israel.”Lebanon’s Interior Minister Bassam Mawlawi said that directives had been issued to enhance security measures. Transport Minister Ali Hamieh said: “The ministry does not grant permission for any aircraft to land at Beirut International Airport — which remains operational — without prior approval from the military.”He added that “all warships or vessels involved in military operations must secure a permit from the Joint Maritime Chamber — comprising the army, general security, internal security forces, state security, and other relevant agencies — before they are permitted to dock at any seaport.”Hamieh emphasized the importance of “conducting security checks on all individuals and trucks at land crossings.”
He said Mikati “is dedicated to keeping Lebanon’s land, sea, and air crossings open to facilitate humanitarian aid and bolster the economy, reaffirming that Lebanon remains accessible to all nations, with reinforced security protocols in place.” The Israeli army announced on Monday “the start of a focused and specific ground operation in southern Lebanon, with the Galilee Brigade 91 joining the operations.” Israeli forces conducted an airstrike on a building belonging to the Federation of Municipalities of Bint Jbeil District in the town of Barashi, resulting in the deaths of 10 firefighters from the Islamic Health Organization, which is associated with Hezbollah.
Destructive airstrikes also continued in the southern suburbs of Beirut, as well as in the south region and the Bekaa Valley. A spokesperson for the Israeli army told residents of 25 southern villages on Monday to evacuate the area, reminding those who had left their homes and villages not to “return until further notice, to ensure their safety.”Israeli warnings also extended to anyone attempting “to repair the border road between Lebanon and Syria at the Masnaa point that was bombed by Israeli raids last week.”Israel also warned “any party trying to approach the building that targeted the Head of Hezbollah’s Executive Council Hashem Safieddine, in the deepest tunnels under it last Friday in the southern suburbs of Beirut, not to approach it to rescue him and those buried with him under it.”Safieddine was regarded as one of the most prominent candidates to succeed killed Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah. Thick black smoke filled the sky over the southern suburbs following a night of intense violence marked by Israeli airstrikes that destroyed several residential buildings. Israeli warplanes conducted over 30 airstrikes within half an hour on villages and towns in the Tyre district, along with numerous strikes in the central and eastern sectors, extending to the Nabatieh Governorate and the Jezzine District. A raid on a residence in Srifa resulted in the deaths of four people, including a chief warrant officer in the Lebanese army, while a raid on a house in Kherbet Selem led to one fatality, and a strike on a house in Qaliya in Western Bekaa to the deaths of two people. Hezbollah expanded the scope of its military operations on Monday against northern Israel by launching attacks on the city of Haifa and its residential neighborhoods.
The group reported that it struck the Carmel base in southern Haifa using Fadi missiles. Hezbollah also targeted the settlement of Kiryat Shmona while extending its reach to the settlement of Dan near the occupied Golan Heights. Israeli media reported that missiles had exploded in locations within Haifa — including a residence and a restaurant — resulting in significant material damage. Channel 14 in Israel reported that several injured people from Haifa were transported to Rambam Hospital. Israeli media reported in the afternoon that 60 missiles had been launched from Lebanon in the space of 90 minutes toward northern Israel. Hezbollah indicated that the settlements of Karmiel and Kfar Vradim had been targeted.

Lebanon says over 400,000 people fled to Syria in around 2 weeks
AFP/October 07, 2024
BEIRUT: Lebanon’s government said Monday that more than 400,000 people had fled an Israeli escalation against Hezbollah across the border into Syria in less than two weeks. More than 300,000 of those who escaped from September 23 to Saturday were Syrians returning to their war-torn country, while more than 102,000 were Lebanese, a governmental crisis unit said. Lebanese state media said on Monday evening that two new strikes hit Beirut’s southern suburbs, after Israel’s military issued a warning to inhabitants of the area. An AFP correspondent saw smoke rise from the suburbs, and the country’s National News Agency reported that the area was “the target of two raids.”

Opposition Bloc MPs Value National Solidarity and Present Their Vision for Saving Lebanon from the Brink of War: Call for Separating Lebanon from Regional Conflicts, Rejecting External Pressures, and Setting an Immediate Date for Presidential Elections
NNA/October 7, 2024 (Translated from Arabic)
The "Opposition Bloc" MPs held a press conference at the Parliament, where they presented their shared vision for saving Lebanon from the brink of war and rebuilding state institutions.
The MPs addressed the Lebanese people in a statement read by MP Michel Douaihy, which stated:
"Dear Lebanese citizens,
In the face of the tragedy our people are enduring under the brutal Israeli aggression, especially our fellow citizens in the South, Bekaa, and Beirut’s southern suburbs—facing death, displacement, and destruction—we greatly value the national solidarity unfolding across all Lebanese regions. This solidarity is manifested in the united stance of the Lebanese people with their displaced brethren, reflecting the true will of Lebanese citizens to live together under the banner of Lebanon. In every hardship that strikes Lebanon or a part of it, we rediscover that there is no refuge other than the unified state—a state for all its citizens, which transcends any form of discrimination and remains above sectarian or regional considerations. Every time, we confirm that our national identity is our shield, refuge, and the best and only choice.
From our modern history, we have learned repeatedly that any form of isolation, exclusion, or deviation from the public system, the constitution, and the shared national interest has led us to calamities, both as groups and individuals. Today, we are reaffirming that our shared destiny and salvation lie in Lebanese citizens returning to one another. A return to Lebanon as the 'final homeland,' democratic, and a land of freedoms, dialogue, and openness.
Today, we have the duty to save ourselves, our people, and our country—together, with a united and sincere will.
Faced with the dangers threatening the Lebanese entity, the Opposition Bloc MPs call on the constitutional authorities to assume their responsibilities toward the Lebanese people, who are paying the price for a devastating war they did not choose. We urge the following immediate steps to save Lebanon and protect its citizens:
The Lebanese government must make the decision to separate Lebanon from any regional conflicts and reject all forms of external pressures and tutelage imposed on Lebanon. The government should commit to an immediate ceasefire, fully implement UN Resolution 1701, the Taif Agreement, and other international resolutions, particularly Resolutions 1680 and 1559. This would secure the armistice agreement and restore the state's control over decisions of war and peace, ensuring that weapons are exclusively in the hands of the state. It would also enable the return of all displaced persons to their villages, allowing all Lebanese, across all regions, to finally live under the protection of a unified, strong, sovereign, and just state, as equal citizens with equal rights and duties.
An immediate, final, and fixed date must be set by the Speaker of Parliament for a session to elect a President of the Republic, with consecutive voting sessions held as stipulated by Articles 49, 73, and 74 of the Constitution. This should be done without setting conditions or creating new constitutional or political precedents, to elect a reformist, sovereign, and rescue-oriented President who will safeguard the constitution and Lebanon's sovereignty.
A cohesive government must be formed, with its primary goals being the implementation of the Constitution, international resolutions, and launching a recovery and reform process, along with reconstruction efforts.
The Lebanese army must be deployed across all Lebanese territories, and all border crossings should be controlled, with the assistance of reinforced UNIFIL forces, along all of Lebanon's borders—South, East, and North, by land, sea, and air.
Support for the Lebanese army must be strengthened, enabling it to fully carry out its duties and protecting it from being drawn into any war the Lebanese state has not decided to engage in.
Emphasis must be placed on Lebanon's external relations, particularly with the Arab world, and in general with the international community, restoring balance to these relations. Lebanon must commit to Arab and international legitimacy, in accordance with the Taif Accord.
Dear Lebanese citizens, The time has come for us to turn our national tragedy into a 'historic opportunity,' to finally break free from the vicious cycle of repeating the past and its mistakes. We must all come together in unity to rebuild a homeland of freedom, partnership, human dignity, sovereignty, justice, and the rule of law, so that our people can reclaim their right to life, security, prosperity, and hope."

Berri Calls for Consensus President
This Is Beirut/October 07/2024
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri emphasized the critical necessity of a consensus president who does not present a challenge to any party, indicating his readiness to convene an electoral session once a majority of 86 votes is secured for a candidate. He acknowledged the severity of the situation by stating that he no longer insists on holding dialogues before the election. When asked about a shift in the balance of power after the Israeli war on Lebanon and the death of Sayyed Nasrallah, Berri promptly dismissed any notions of weakened influence, asserting, "Anyone entertaining such thoughts is delusional." He maintained that the parliamentary balance remains unaltered. "As far as I know, the balance of the parliament has not changed, nor have the sizes of the parliamentary blocs shifted. Therefore, no party holds a majority that would allow it alone to decide the identity of the president, which is why we are calling for consensus,” he said in an interview on Monday with local newspaper Al-Joumhouria. Berri debunked the notion that the "Shiaa duo" had diminished and hinted at the possibility of consensus regarding the election of Sleiman Frangieh. Commitment to the Joint American-French-European-Arab Appeal
The Speaker of Parliament affirmed his commitment to the joint American-French-European-Arab appeal issued on September 25, which calls for a 21-day ceasefire while negotiations continue to implement Resolution 1701. “This international statement forms the proper basis for ending the ongoing Israeli aggression against Lebanon,” he said. He noted that while Paris and London stand firmly behind this statement, Washington offers only formal support and fails to exert pressure on Israel for compliance. Berri expressed concerns about Netanyahu's unchecked actions, suggesting that he might be influencing the United States rather than the other way around. Berri emphasized the need to work on two fronts: continuing resistance to prevent occupation and pursuing diplomatic efforts to implement the international plan.
Ain al-Tineh Meeting
The Speaker of Parliament explained that the decision not to invite any Christian figures to the Ain al-Tineh meeting, which caused concern in Christian circles, was not intended “to exclude them.” He highlighted the apprehension that favoring one figure over another could trigger sensitivities. To address this, a nationalistic statement was issued to convey positive messages, with hopes for a reciprocal positive reception from others.
Displaced
Berri pointed out that the issue of displaced people is his biggest concern at this stage, stressing that "the Amal Movement is doing everything possible to alleviate the burden of displacement on our people,” while expressing “complete confidence that the displaced will return to their villages and towns within 24 hours after the war ends.”

The Israel-Hezbollah War: Facing the Reality

Michel Touma/This Is Beirut/October 07/2024
For exactly one year, parts of the Middle East, specifically Gaza and Lebanon, have been enduring the devastating fallout of two military ventures that have become symbols of madness and destructive chaos. On October 7, 2023, Hamas launched a deadly assault on Israeli soil. The very next day, Hezbollah unilaterally reignited the southern Lebanon front, which had been entirely peaceful for over 17 years.
The true objective, far beyond publicly stated false narratives, was to bolster Iran’s influence in the region. Tehran's involvement in igniting these two conflicts is undeniable, and the grim toll leaves little room for further comment.
In the specific case of Lebanon, calls have been growing in recent days for an immediate ceasefire. This is undoubtedly an urgent goal, given the worsening ordeal the Lebanese population is facing. However, Lebanon's long and painful history with Hezbollah over the past decades highlights a harsh truth that cannot be overlooked: a mere cessation of hostilities would only grant Hezbollah the chance to regroup, catch its breath, and prepare to strike again in the future, driven by the same irrational and reckless motivations.
The Lebanese can no longer be drawn into pointless wars every few years, serving no purpose except to fulfill the hegemonic ambitions of a regional power or to support a "cause" that holds no relevance for them. It has become crucial today to confront the truth directly.
A brief and succinct "review of history" illustrates the strategic destabilization and deconstruction methodically implemented — much like a chess game — by the leadership of the pro-Iranian party since the 1990s. In each episode, Western decision-makers established a ceasefire without coupling it with a robust and sustainable political solution. Consequently, hostilities would inexplicably flare up again after a while.
In 1996, Israel launched Operation Grapes of Wrath in retaliation for Katyusha rocket fire from Hezbollah directed at northern Israel. After approximately two weeks of intensive Israeli bombardments, a ceasefire agreement, known as the "April Arrangement," was reached. Hezbollah took advantage of this respite to recover and, more importantly, to begin constructing its mini-state. It gradually extended its influence across all levels of power and began implementing its strategy of deconstructing the state and encroaching upon the vital sectors of the country.
In July 2006, the pro-Iranian party unexpectedly launched a war against Israel, orchestrated directly by Qassem Soleimani, the military leader of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The unspoken objective was to decisively halt the state-building process initiated by the March 14 movement. After over a month of Israeli airstrikes targeting the southern suburbs and southern regions, the UN Security Council established a ceasefire based on Resolution 1701. This resolution called for not only an end to hostilities but also the withdrawal of Hezbollah to the Litani River and the prohibition of any militia presence in southern Lebanon. It also urged all countries to refrain from supplying arms and ammunition to Lebanon outside the framework of the Lebanese Army. However, the reality was far from straightforward.
In practice, Hezbollah was content with merely achieving a ceasefire and gradually resumed its military presence in southern Lebanon, albeit discreetly. The clause prohibiting the entry of illegal weapons and ammunition into the country was blatantly disregarded. This was to be expected, as Hezbollah controlled the porous borders with Syria, allowing it to carry out various smuggling operations freely, thus rendering Resolution 1701 effectively meaningless.
In May 2008, the pro-Iranian militia faction invaded the West Beirut neighborhoods controlled by the Future Movement, as well as certain areas within the Progressive Socialist Party's stronghold in the Chouf Mountains. Their goal was to forcibly overturn a government decision to dismantle Hezbollah's illegal telecommunications network and to remove the officer who oversaw Hezbollah's control of airport security services. The leader of the Shiite party, Hassan Nasrallah, justified this act of aggression with a highly symbolic phrase: "Weapons were used (internally) to protect the weapons!"
To top it all off, on October 8, 2023, Hezbollah initiated a new war against Israel under the misleading pretext of alleviating military pressure on Gaza. In doing so, it disregarded the current socio-economic crisis, Israel's absolute air supremacy, and the huge technological gap that separates it from the Israeli state. A year later, the tragedy engulfing both Gaza and Lebanon speaks for itself...
This brief "review of history" indicates that if calls for a ceasefire overlook the urgent need for a radical, robust, and sustainable solution to the dual problem of Hezbollah's armament and its militia's grip on the country, the Lebanese are doomed to endure recurring wars in the foreseeable future. A fundamental truth arises in this context: the path to national salvation undeniably leads, in one way or another, to Tehran. This is crucial for the stability of Lebanon and the broader Middle East.

Sami Gemayel: It's Time for Hezbollah to Hand Over Authority to the State

Kataeb Leader Samy Gemayel ©Kataeb Official Website/October 07/2024
Kataeb leader Samy Gemayel emphasized the need for Hezbollah to “recognize that the time has come to hand over authority to the State.”According to Gemayel, it is up to Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri to convince the pro-Iranian group to allow the Lebanese state to assume its rightful role in governing the country. Speaking on LBCI on Monday evening, the Kataeb leader stressed that the state must regain exclusive decision-making power in order to participate in post-war negotiations. He highlighted that “the immediate priority is to secure a ceasefire and reestablish the authority of the state and the army." He added, "Afterward, we can rebuild Lebanon on new foundations—there will be no going back.”“When we call on Hezbollah to integrate into the Lebanese army by handing over its weapons, it is not a surrender we are demanding, but equality among all Lebanese citizens through a return to state authority,” Gemayel stated. When asked about the possibility of a national dialogue with Hezbollah, he responded that “it is not our role to engage with Hezbollah; this is Berri and Mikati’s responsibility .”He argued that, following the death of Hezbollah's leader, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi came to Lebanon to directly intervene in the country’s affairs. In this context, Gemayel suggested that Hezbollah had retreated after the visit. Prior to this Iranian intervention, Hezbollah representatives had started to align themselves with Berri's efforts to secure a ceasefire in Lebanon. Gemayel also referred to Sleiman Frangieh’s Monday announcement that he would continue his presidential bid as part of this "backtracking."

Saving Lebanon or Saving Hezbollah?
Writer & Director, Youssef Y. El-Khoury
Free summary and translation from Arabic by Elias Bejjani,
  eliasbejjaninews.com Website, editor and publisher
October 07/2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/10/135352/

In a genuine, patriotic, awakening and educational editorial titled "Saving Lebanon" or "Saving Hezbollah?", the courageous and talented writer and director Youssef Y. El-Khoury raised several critical points regarding the situation in occupied Lebanon amidst the ongoing devastating war between the terrorist Hezbollah and Israel, particularly focusing on the occupier, Hezbollah. He opened by questioning whether the Lebanese people want to “embrace Hezbollah and cover up Iran’s violation of Lebanese sovereignty, or work according to Israeli PM, Benjamin Netanyahu’s will to save Lebanon,” reminding readers of Netanyahu’s stated demand that “Hezbollah must hand over its weapons to the Lebanese army.”
He stressed that the Jihadist, Iranian-armed proxy, Hezbollah, along with the current Lebanese puppet state and Iran behind them, continues to disregard Netanyahu’s demand, failing to recognize that the luxury of manipulation and clever tricks is no longer an option. He observed that the so-called road to Jerusalem has been turned into a high-speed highway directed towards Tehran, passing through Beirut.
The writer emphasized the gravity of the current situation, insisting that clear vision is an urgent necessity to avoid losing Lebanon due to a lack of awareness and willful blindness. He remarked that Lebanon is currently under two direct occupations: one by Hezbollah and the other by the ruling puppet elite since the Taif Agreement. He also highlighted the indirect Iranian occupation, alongside Israel’s control of Lebanese airspace and its preparations to annex parts of southern Lebanon.
Al-Khoury continued, asserting that now is the opportune moment, with multiple options available, to rid Lebanon of all these occupiers and rebuild the country with a little wisdom and insight. He suggested that the first step should be to curb the monster coming from the south, which possesses an arsenal beyond Lebanon’s capacity to confront, urging honesty and wisdom instead of deceit, stupidity, treason, delusions, and childish tricks.
He then outlined a roadmap, presenting the first option as Hezbollah surrendering to Israel in a bid to spare Lebanon further destruction and defeat. He suggested that Hezbollah hand over its remaining weapons to the international forces operating in southern Lebanon (UNIFIL), allowing the Lebanese judiciary to try the organization and manage its members. He emphasized that Hezbollah, as an organization, should be permanently banned from any political or military activity. He further recommended that the Lebanese state sever all ties with Iran, as Iran threatens Lebanon’s sovereignty and independence and uses Lebanese territory to wage its religious wars against Israel. The writer called for the withdrawal of Lebanese diplomats from Tehran and the expulsion of Iranian diplomats from Beirut. Additionally, he stressed that the Lebanese state must commit to preventing any military activity against Israel from southern Lebanon, applying the same rule to all illegal armed factions across the country.
In this scenario, El-Khoury pointed out, Lebanon would free itself from both Iran and Hezbollah. At that point, the people would have to act, either by rising up against the corrupt political system as they did in the October 17 revolution, or by holding quick parliamentary elections to remove the ruling puppets. He expressed hope that the Lebanese people would not allow the occupation of their country to continue after everything it has endured.
The second option he presented, in the event Hezbollah refuses to surrender, is that Israel will defeat Hezbollah since the decision to uproot the group has already been made. He warned that this could extend to more Lebanese regions, necessitating that the Lebanese state appeal to the international community and seek to place Lebanon under Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter. He explained that this would put Israel face-to-face with the international community, limiting Israel's retaliatory actions against Lebanon’s expansion and destruction. Under such conditions, international forces would take on the role of deterring Israel and preventing violations from Lebanese territories, making negotiations for Israel’s withdrawal easier and effectively separating Lebanon from the region's crises, particularly the Israeli-Iranian conflict, which may drag on.
However, the writer cautioned, should the ruling puppets dare to call for placing Lebanon under Chapter VII, this step should be completed according to the first option outlined earlier, aiming to rid the country of all occupations—this time, though, under Chapter VII and outside the will of the Lebanese people.
He concluded by offering a third option, although it does not require a roadmap—“the Israeli tank.” He warned that, in this scenario, Lebanon would be wiped out with Israeli-Western firepower due to the stupidity of fools, the cowardice of cowards, and the opportunism of traitors, not to mention Hezbollah’s subservience to the Iranian regime and its sale of Lebanon to the Iranians.
He concluded by asking, "What will benefit you, my beloved Lebanese people if Lebanon is lost, O you people?" He stressed that wisdom dictates recognizing that there are common denominators in all three options mentioned earlier, which should not be ignored. He clarified these commonalities as follows: the initiative, the separation of Lebanon from Iran, the neutrality of Lebanon, and the pursuit of peace.

Two Seasons of Migration: From and to Lebanon
Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/October 07/2024
The year 1982 might be when the national basis of Lebanese politics broke. Indeed, this basis had never been solid, and they had always been vulnerable to breaches. However, it was in 1982 that another fully-fledged political system emerged both theoretically and practically, swiftly overwhelming and subjugating the country’s traditional politics. What happened at the time, as the season of political migration from Lebanon began, is that, shortly after the Israeli invasion, President Elias Sarkis formed a "National Salvation Committee" that included prominent sectarian leaders, among them Nabih Berri, the head of the Amal Movement. However, in response to Berri’s decision to take part, Hussein Al-Moussawi broke with Amal and then established "Islamic Amal." Moussawi accused Berri and Amal of treason and derogatorily called them secular as the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps operatives were flocking to Baalbek through Damascus.
"Islamic Amal" soon turned into one of the constituent elements of a new party established inside the Iranian embassy in Syria, Hezbollah. Within just a few months, Hezbollah youths and IRGC forces launched a joint effort to occupy the "Sheikh Abdullah Barracks," the army’s most prominent barracks in the Bekaa region, successfully taking it over and turning it into their palace of residence. Hezbollah’s foundation, which coincided with Israel’s invasion of Lebanon and the Iran-Iraq war, provided Tehran with a base whose custodians had no intention of working alongside other Lebanese actors to find solutions for the Israeli occupation or the regional issues and conflicts aggravating the situation in Lebanon. Since then, the foundations of Lebanese national politics have been systematically destroyed along an increasing number of axes. Until 2005, with rare exceptions, the proliferation of these axes was tied to the Syrian security and military apparatus in Lebanon.
For the first time, a state ideology emerged in Lebanon, teaching us how we should think, what we must accept, and what we must reject. Thus, Syria’s "Lebanon of Arabism" gave rise to the trinity of "the army, the people, and the resistance," which was included in governments policy statements. Paralysis became a hallmark of Lebanese institutions; parliament’s gates would be closed, governments would be brought down by a "blocking third," and presidential elections would be disrupted or a particular candidate would be imposed, all for reasons that are difficult to link to political and constitutional life.
Violence, in all of its forms, became a feature of public life. Before and after the assassination of Rafik Hariri, the number of murdered and kidnapped politicians, writers, journalists, officers, Lebanese, Arabs, and Westerners in Lebanon rivaled the number of professionals registered in Lebanese syndicates.
Although the final quarter of that era witnessed a severe economic collapse and the Beirut port blast, Hezbollah clamped down on the reform movement of 2019 and obstructed the investigation into the port explosion, reminding many of how it had hindered the investigation into Rafik Hariri’s assassination.
After broadening friendships with both Arab and Western countries had been a pillar of Lebanese politics, the new wisdom became to alienate both and broaden hostility to them, leaving the country isolated and undermining its capacity to address its economic disaster.
After Lebanon was liberated in 2000, Hezbollah maintained its illegitimate arsenal, and six years later, it kidnapped two Israeli soldiers, dragging the country into a devastating war. Although this conflict was brought to an end through UN Resolution 1701, in practice, the army was prevented from heading south, and the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) was hindered from carrying out its duties and accused of collusion with Israel. As for UN Resolution 1559, which Resolution 1701 had built on, it was turned into a joke.
A war of occupation was launched against the Syrian people, fueling violence, human rights violations, and displacement, in parallel to interventions in Iraq, Yemen, and elsewhere. In addition to the rise of unprecedentedly sharp sectarianism, ultra-reactionary ideas and social values regarding women, freedoms, and progress were propagated...
Today, we are told that Lebanon is on the verge of entering a season of migration in the opposite direction - a season of migration toward Lebanon, its political traditions, and the pillars of what the country means and how it functions. The speaker of parliament and prime minister issued an atypical statement calling for a ceasefire, the implementation of Resolution 1701, and the election of a president. Lebanon's United Nations Representative spoke in terms we have not heard in four decades. Nonetheless, these initial steps are extremely modest when measured against the magnitude of the catastrophe that has befallen us and the disaster that could unfold if Israel’s madness drives it to occupy the South or a segment of it. We are in dire need of a consensus on ending the war, which must include Hezbollah if the world is to take us seriously and exert real pressure on Israel to end its mass murder, thereby allowing us to deal with our isolation, rebuild, and address our aggravating displacement crisis. Lebanon should be re-founded on the basis of its bitter experience and the lessons we have learned from it, not on the basis of the "support for our steadfastness" we received from the Iranian foreign minister on his visit nor his Supreme Leader’s call for more resistance, which promises nothing, in practice, but dignified funerals.
Lebanon’s re-establishment must break with the past and the era of militias, as well as announce the adoption of neutrality toward armed conflicts, that its legitimate government makes its decisions, and that its army is solely responsible for implementing those decisions.
There is no other path that leads us out of these suicidal wars and allows us to avoid constantly living on the brink of or under the shadow of civil war. Until then, talk of the season of migration back to Lebanon will not be convincing.

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on October 07-08/2024
Iran says it will hit back against any Israeli strike
AFP/October 07, 2024
TEHRAN: Iran said on Monday it would respond firmly to any Israeli attack on its soil, stressing that it did not want a wider war in the region. On Tuesday Iran launched around 200 missiles in its second direct attack on Israel, in what it said was retaliation for the killing of Tehran-aligned militant leaders in the region and a general in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. Israel has vowed to respond to the attack. Iran’s top diplomat, Abbas Araghchi, said the Islamic republic was “not afraid of war and will give a firm and appropriate response to any new action by the Zionist regime.”The foreign minister made the remarks in a telephone conversation with his Egyptian counterpart, Badr Abdelatty. Israel’s army chief Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi said Iran had fired about 200 missiles at Israel last week. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Iran had made a “big mistake” with its missile barrage, which follows Israel killing Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah on September 27. After the United States said it was discussing a joint response with Israel, Iran’s chief of staff warned that Tehran would hit Israeli infrastructure if its territory is attacked.

Hezbollah missiles hit Haifa, Israel steps up bombings in south Lebanon
REUTERS/October 07, 2024
JERUSALEM/BEIRUT: Hezbollah fired rockets at Israel’s third largest city Haifa on Monday as Israeli forces looked poised to expand ground raids into south Lebanon on the first anniversary of the Gaza war, which has spread conflict across the Middle East.
Iran-backed Hezbollah, an ally of Hamas, said it targeted a military base south of Haifa with “Fadi 1” missiles and launched another strike on Tiberias, 65 km (40 miles) away.
Hezbollah said it targeted areas north of Haifa with missiles later in the day. Israel’s military said around 135 projectiles had entered Israeli territory on Monday as of 5 p.m. (1400 GMT). Ten people were reported injured in the Haifa area and two others further south in central Israel.
Israel’s military said the air force was carrying out extensive bombings of Hezbollah targets in south Lebanon, and that two Israeli soldiers were killed in border-area combat, taking the military death toll inside Lebanon so far to 11.
Lebanon’s health ministry said 10 firefighters were killed in an Israeli airstrike on a municipal building in the border-area town of Bint Jbeil, and that other aerial attacks on Sunday killed 22 people in southern and eastern Lebanese towns.
The Israeli military has described its ground operation as “localized, limited and targeted” but it has steadily increased in scale since it began last week.
On Monday, the military said soldiers from its 91st Division had moved into southern Lebanon after a year of operations in northern Israel, where Israeli forces have been engaged in cross-border fire with Hezbollah for the past year.
Last week, the military said regular armored and infantry units had moved into Lebanon after commando units crossed the border a day earlier.
It has not said precisely where the troops are operating but it has said there were no plans to send them deep into Lebanon and that their aim was to clear border areas where Hezbollah fighters have been embedded.
Also on Monday, around 100 Israeli fighters carried out a wave of strikes, hitting 120 targets in southern Lebanon within the space of an hour, including Radwan special forces units, Hezbollah’s missile force and its intelligence directorate.
“This operation follows a series of strikes aimed at degrading Hezbollah’s command, control, and firing capabilities, as well as assisting ground forces in achieving their operational goals,” the military said in a statement.
The spiralling conflict has raised concerns that the United States, Israel’s superpower ally, and Iran will be sucked into a wider war in the oil-producing Middle East.
Iran launched a barrage of missiles at Israel on Oct. 1. Israel has said it will retaliate and is weighing its options. One possible target is Iran’s oil facilities.
Rockets hit Haifa
An Israeli military statement said five rockets were launched toward Haifa, also a major Mediterranean port, from Lebanon and interceptors were fired at them. “Fallen projectiles were identified in the area. The incident is under review.”
It said 15 other rockets were fired inland at Tiberias in Israel’s northern Galilee region, some of which were shot down. Israeli media said five more rockets hit the Tiberias area later.
A surface-to-air missile fired at central Israel from Yemen was also intercepted, the military said. The Iran-backed Houthi movement which controls northern Yemen has attacked Israel during the past year in what it says is solidarity with the Palestinians. Hamas, which triggered the Gaza war with a surprise attack on Israel a year ago, meanwhile targeted Israel’s commercial capital Tel Aviv with a missile salvo, the group said, setting off sirens in central areas of the country.
Many Israelis have regained confidence in their long vaunted military and intelligence apparatus after a series of deadly blows to the command structure of Hezbollah, Iran’s most formidable Middle East proxy force, in Lebanon in recent weeks. “Our counterattack on our enemies in Iran’s axis of evil is necessary for securing our future and ensuring our security,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said at a special cabinet meeting in Jerusalem marking the Gaza war anniversary. “We are changing the security reality in our region, for our children’s sake, for our future, to ensure that what happened on Oct. 7 does not happen again,” Netanyahu said.
Israel-Hezbollah conflict spreads
Israeli airstrikes have displaced 1.2 million people in Lebanon and as the bombing campaign intensifies, many are afraid their country will face the vast scale of destruction wrought on Gaza by Israel’s air and ground onslaught there.
Israeli forces also issued a warning in Arabic to beachgoers and boat users to stay away from a swathe of the southern Lebanese coast, saying its navy would soon begin operations against Hezbollah from the sea.
Hezbollah began launching rockets at Israel on Oct. 8, 2023 in solidarity with Hamas. After a year of exchanges of fire between Hezbollah and Israel mostly limited to the frontier region, the conflict has significantly escalated in Lebanon.
Israelis marked the first anniversary of the Hamas attack with ceremonies and protests on Monday including a memorial event for victims of the Nova Music Festival where militants killed 364 people and kidnapped 44 partygoers and staff.
In their shock rampage through Israeli towns and kibbutz villages near the Gaza border a year ago, Hamas-led militants killed some 1,200 people and took about 250 hostages back to Gaza, according to Israeli figures.
The huge security lapse led to the single deadliest day for Jews since the Nazi Holocaust, shattered many citizens’ sense of security and sent their faith in its leaders to new lows.
The Hamas assault unleashed an Israeli offensive on Gaza that has largely flattened the densely populated enclave and killed almost 42,000 people, Palestinian health authorities say.

US spends a record $17.9 billion on military aid to Israel since last Oct. 7
AP/October 07, 2024
WASHINGTON: The United States has spent a record of at least $17.9 billion on military aid to Israel since the war in Gaza began and led to escalating conflict around the Middle East, according to a report for Brown University’s Costs of War project, released Monday on the anniversary of Hamas’ attacks on Israel. An additional $4.86 billion has gone into stepped-up US military operations in the region since the Oct. 7, 2023, attacks, researchers said in findings first provided to The Associated Press. That includes the costs of a Navy-led campaign to quell strikes on commercial shipping by Yemen’s Houthis, who are carrying them out in solidarity with the fellow Iranian-backed group Hamas. The report — completed before Israel opened a second front, this one against Iranian-backed Hezbollah militants in Lebanon, in late September — is one of the first tallies of estimated US costs as the Biden administration backs Israel in its conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon and seeks to contain hostilities by Iran-allied armed groups in the region. The financial toll is on top of the cost in human lives: Hamas militants killed more than 1,200 people in Israel a year ago and took others hostage. Israel’s retaliatory offensive has killed nearly 42,000 people in Gaza, according to the territory’s Health Ministry, which does not distinguish between civilians and combatants in its count. At least 1,400 people in Lebanon, including Hezbollah fighters and civilians, have been killed since Israel greatly expanded its strikes in that country in late September.
The financial costs were calculated by Linda J. Bilmes, a professor at Harvard’s John F. Kennedy School of Government, who has assessed the full costs of US wars since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, and fellow researchers William D. Hartung and Stephen Semler.
Here’s a look at where some of the US taxpayer money went:
Record military aid to Israel
Israel — a protege of the United States since its 1948 founding — is the biggest recipient of US military aid in history, getting $251.2 billion in inflation-adjusted dollars since 1959, the report says. Even so, the $17.9 billion spent since Oct. 7, 2023, in inflation-adjusted dollars, is by far the most military aid sent to Israel in one year. The US committed to providing billions in military assistance to Israel and Egypt each year when they signed their 1979 US-brokered peace treaty, and an agreement since the Obama administration set the annual amount for Israel at $3.8 billion through 2028.
The US aid since the Gaza war started includes military financing, arms sales, at least $4.4 billion in drawdowns from US stockpiles and hand-me-downs of used equipment. Much of the US weapons delivered in the year were munitions, from artillery shells to 2,000-pound bunker-busters and precision-guided bombs. Expenditures range from $4 billion to replenish Israel’s Iron Dome and David’s Sling missile defense systems to cash for rifles and jet fuel, the study says. Unlike the United States’ publicly documented military aid to Ukraine, it was impossible to get the full details of what the US has shipped Israel since last Oct. 7, so the $17.9 billion for the year is a partial figure, the researchers said. They cited Biden administration “efforts to hide the full amounts of aid and types of systems through bureaucratic maneuvering.”Funding for the key US ally during a war that has exacted a heavy toll on civilians has divided Americans during the presidential campaign. But support for Israel has long carried weight in US politics, and Biden said Friday that “no administration has helped Israel more than I have.”
US military operations in the Middle East
The Biden administration has bolstered its military strength in the region since the war in Gaza started, aiming to deter and respond to any attacks on Israeli and American forces. Those additional operations cost at least $4.86 billion, the report said, not including beefed-up US military aid to Egypt and other partners in the region.The US had 34,000 forces in the Middle East the day that Hamas broke through Israeli barricades around Gaza to attack. That number rose to about 50,000 in August when two aircraft carriers were in the region, aiming to discourage retaliation after a strike attributed to Israel killed Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Iran. The total is now around 43,000. The number of US vessels and aircraft deployed — aircraft carrier strike groups, an amphibious ready group, fighter squadrons, and air defense batteries — in the Mediterranean, Red Sea and Gulf of Aden has varied during the year.
The Pentagon has said another aircraft carrier strike group is headed to Europe very soon and that could increase the troop total again if two carriers are again in the region at the same time.
The fight against the Houthis
The US military has deployed since the start of the war to try to counter escalated strikes by the Houthis, an armed faction that controls Yemen’s capital and northern areas, and has been firing on merchant ships in the Red Sea in solidarity with Gaza. The researchers called the $4.86 billion cost to the US an “unexpectedly complicated and asymmetrically expensive challenge.”Houthis have kept launching attacks on ships traversing the critical trade route, drawing US strikes on launch sites and other targets. The campaign has become the most intense running sea battle the Navy has faced since World War II.
“The US has deployed multiple aircraft carriers, destroyers, cruisers and expensive multimillion-dollar missiles against cheap Iranian-made Houthi drones that cost $2,000,” the authors said.
Just Friday, the US military struck more than a dozen Houthi targets in Yemen, going after weapons systems, bases and other equipment, officials said.The researchers’ calculations included at least $55 million in additional combat pay from the intensified operations in the region.

Israeli military says it intercepts missile fired from Yemen

REUTERS/October 07, 2024
JERUSALEM: A surface-to-surface missile fired from Yemen at central Israel on Monday was intercepted, the Israeli military said. The missile set off air raid sirens across large swaths of central Israel, sending residents running for shelter.“Following the sirens that sounded in a number of areas in central Israel, the surface-to-surface missile fired from Yemen was successfully intercepted” by the Israeli Air Force, the military said in a statement.The statement did not say who fired the missile. The Iran-backed Houthi movement which controls northern Yemen has frequently attacked Israel over the past year in what it says is solidarity with the Palestinians.

A day of reflection, Lammy says one year after Hamas attack
BBC/October 7, 2024
Foreign Secretary David Lammy has said it was "a day of deep reflection and pain", as he commemorated the victims of Hamas's 7 October attack on Israel. Lammy described the attack last year, which killed about 1,200 people, as "the worst attack on the Jewish community since the Holocaust". Speaking at South Tottenham Synagogue, he said he was thinking of the "many hostages that are still held in Gaza" - particularly Emily Damari, the only British-Israeli hostage still in captivity. Ms Damari, 28, was kidnapped from a kibbutz and taken into Gaza by Hamas along with 250 others. Her family have "no word of her fate or how she is doing", Lammy added. A total of 97 hostages remain unaccounted for. Israel responded to Hamas's attack with a military campaign in Gaza, which has killed thousands in the Palestinian territory. "This is a painful day for the Jewish community across this country and across the diaspora," Lammy told reporters. "It is a day of deep reflection and pain thinking about 7 October, the worst attack on the Jewish community since the Holocaust," he added. Addressing a memorial event in London on Sunday, Ms Damari's mother, Mandy Damari, said that hostages that were released last November told her they had contact with her in captivity. “Every day is living hell not knowing what Emily is going through," she said. She said Britain and other countries need to do more to secure the release of her daughter and the other hostages. “How is it that she is still imprisoned there after one year? Why isn't the whole world, especially Britain, fighting every moment to secure her release? She's one of their own," she said. She told the crowd how her daughter, who was born in Israel and lived there, loved to visit the UK - her "second home across the sea". Ms Damari loved watching Spurs play, going to the pub and shopping at Primark, her mother added. On Sunday, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said the country must "unequivocally" stand with the Jewish community and described 7 October as the "darkest day in Jewish history since the Holocaust”. “As a father, a husband, a son, a brother – meeting the families of those who lost their loved ones last week was unimaginable. Their grief and pain are ours, and it is shared in homes across the land," Sir Keir said.

Israeli soldiers kill Palestinian boy in West Bank confrontations, health ministry says
Reuters/October 7, 2024
QALANDIA, West Bank (Reuters) - A 12-year-old Palestinian boy was killed in confrontations between youths and Israeli soldiers in the occupied West Bank on Monday, the Palestinian health ministry said. The Israeli military said it was checking the report.
Video from the area of Qalandia showed youths blocking a road with burning tyres, with Israeli army vehicles and ambulances at the scene. Monday marked the first anniversary of Hamas' Oct. 7 attack against Israel, which triggered the war in the Gaza Strip and set off the worst bloodletting in the decades-old Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Violence has surged across the West Bank since last October. Hundreds of Palestinians - including armed fighters, stone-throwing youths and civilian bystanders - have been killed in clashes with Israeli security forces. Dozens of Israelis have been killed in Palestinian street attacks over the past year. Israel said it was on high alert for attacks on Monday. Movement in the West Bank was further restricted as many checkpoints shut down, residents said and some Palestinians with entry permits received notices on their mobile phones saying they will not be allowed into Israel.

Gaza is in ruins after Israel's yearlong offensive. Rebuilding may take decades
J
oseph Krauss And Sarah El Deeb/The Associated Press/October 07/2024
The Gaza Strip is in ruins.
There are hills of rubble where apartment blocks stood, and pools of sewage-tainted water spreading disease. City streets have been churned into dirt canyons and, in many places, the air is filled with the stench of unrecovered corpses.
Israel’s yearlong offensive against Hamas, one of the deadliest and most destructive in recent history, has killed more than 41,000 people, a little over half of them women and children, according to local health officials. With no end in sight to the war and no plan for the day after, it is impossible to say when – or even if – anything will be rebuilt. Even after the fighting stops, hundreds of thousands of people could be stuck living in squalid tent camps for years. Experts say reconstruction could take decades.
“This war is destruction and misery. It would make the stones cry out,” said Shifaa Hejjo, a 60-year-old housewife living in a tent pitched on land where her home once stood. “Whoever sees Gaza ... It will make them cry.”Israel blames the destruction on Hamas. Its Oct. 7 attack on Israel — in which some 1,200 people were killed and around 250 taken hostage — ignited the war. Israel says Hamas embedded much of its military infrastructure, including hundreds of kilometers (miles) of tunnels, in densely populated areas where some of the heaviest battles were fought. The fighting left roughly a quarter of all structures in Gaza destroyed or severely damaged, according to a U.N. assessment in September based on satellite footage. It said around 66% of structures, including more than 227,000 housing units, had sustained at least some damage.
If there's a cease-fire, around half of all families “have nowhere to go back to,” said Alison Ely, a Gaza-based coordinator with the Shelter Cluster, an international coalition of aid providers led by the Norwegian Refugee Council.
The devastation in Gaza rivals front-line towns in Ukraine
Almost as many buildings have been destroyed or damaged in Gaza as in all of Ukraine after its first two years of war with Russia, according to Corey Scher and Jamon Van Den Hoek, U.S.-based researchers who use satellite radar to document the wars' devastation.
To put that into perspective: Gaza is less than half the size of Ukraine's capital, Kyiv.
The amount of destruction in central and southern Gaza alone, Scher said, is roughly equivalent to what was lost in the front-line town of Bakhmut, the scene of one of the deadliest battles in the Ukraine war and where Russian forces destroyed nearly every building in their path to force Ukrainian troops to withdraw. The destruction in northern Gaza is even worse, he said.
Gaza’s water and sanitation system has collapsed. More than 80% of its health facilities — and even more of its roads — are damaged or destroyed. “I can’t think of any parallel, in terms of the severity of damage, for an enclave or a country or a people,” Scher said.
At the end of January, the World Bank estimated $18.5 billion of damage — nearly the combined economic output of the West Bank and Gaza in 2022. That was before some intensely destructive Israeli ground operations, including in the southern border city of Rafah.
’I couldn’t tell where people’s homes were’
When Israeli ground forces pushed into the southern city of Khan Younis in January, Shifaa Hejjo and her family fled their four-story home with only the clothes they were wearing.
They spent months in various tent camps before she decided to return – and the sight brought her to tears. Her entire neighborhood had been destroyed, her former home and the roads leading to it lost in a sea of rubble. “I didn’t recognize it,” she said. “I couldn’t tell where people’s homes were.” Around 90% of Gaza’s 2.3 million people have been displaced by the war, often multiple times, according to U.N. estimates. Hundreds of thousands have crowded into sprawling tent camps near the coast with no electricity, running water or toilets. Hunger is widespread.
Hejjo lived in a tent in the courtyard of a hospital. Before that, she was in Muwasi, the main tent camp in southern Gaza. “It smelled bad,” she said. “There were diseases spreading.”She said her husband, who was suffering from liver disease, was broken-hearted when he heard their home had been destroyed and he died shortly thereafter. She was among the first to return after Israeli forces withdrew in April. Her neighbors stayed away, fearful they would find bodies or unexploded bombs.
But for her it was still home.
“It is better to live in my home, where I lived for 37 years, even though it is destroyed,” she said.
Hejjo and her children dug through the rubble with shovels and their bare hands, going brick by brick and saving whatever could be reused. Torn clothes were used to feed cooking fires.
Rats had crept in, and swarms of mosquitoes hovered over the ruins. There was broken glass everywhere. They set up a tent fortified by corrugated metal sheeting and some bricks salvaged from her destroyed home. A light drizzle wet their clothes as they slept.
U.N. agencies say unemployment has soared to around 80% — up from nearly 50% before the war — and that almost the entire population is living in poverty. Even those with means would find it nearly impossible to import construction materials because of Israeli restrictions, ongoing fighting and the breakdown of law and order. There are mountains of rubble, little water and no electricity. The first obstacle to any significant rebuilding is the rubble – mountains of it. Where houses, shops and office buildings once stood, there are now giant drifts of rubble laced with human remains, hazardous substances and unexploded munitions. The U.N. estimates the war has left some 40 million tons of debris and rubble in Gaza, enough to fill New York’s Central Park to a depth of eight meters (about 25 feet). It could take up to 15 years and nearly $650 million to clear it all away, it said.
There’s also the question of where to dispose of it: The U.N. estimates about five square kilometers (about two square miles) of land would be needed, which will be hard to come by in the small and densely populated territory.
It isn’t just homes that were destroyed, but also critical infrastructure. The U.N. estimates nearly 70% of Gaza’s water and sanitation plants have been destroyed or damaged. That includes all five of the territory’s wastewater treatment facilities, plus desalination plants, sewage pumping stations, wells and reservoirs. The employees who once managed municipal water and waste systems have been displaced, and some killed. And fuel shortages have made it difficult to keep operating facilities that are still intact. The international charity Oxfam said it applied in December for a permit to bring in desalination units, and pipes to repair water infrastructure. It took three months for Israel to approve the shipment, but it still has not entered Gaza, Oxfam said.
The destruction of sewage networks has left streets flooded with putrid water, hastening the spread of disease. There has been no central power in Gaza since the opening days of the war, when its sole power plant was forced to shut down for lack of fuel, and more than half of the territory's electrical grid has been destroyed, according to the World Bank.
Can Gaza be rebuilt?
Wealthy Arab countries like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have said they are only willing to contribute to Gaza’s reconstruction as part of a postwar settlement that creates a path to a Palestinian state. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ruled that out, saying he won’t allow Hamas or even the Western-backed Palestinian Authority to govern Gaza. He has said Israel will maintain open-ended security control and delegate civilian affairs to local Palestinians. But none are known to have volunteered, and Hamas has threatened to kill anyone who aids the occupation. Rebuilding Gaza would also require the import of massive amounts of construction supplies and heavy equipment, which Israel is unlikely to allow as long as there’s a potential for Hamas to rebuild its militant infrastructure. In any case, Gaza has only a small number of crossings with limited capacity. The Israeli military body that coordinates civilian affairs in Gaza says it does not restrict the entry of civilian supplies and allows so-called dual-use items that could also be used for military purposes. Israel allowed some construction materials in before the war under what was known as the Gaza Reconstruction Mechanism, but it was subject to heavy restrictions and delays. The Shelter Cluster estimates that it would take 40 years to rebuild all of Gaza’s destroyed homes under that setup.
For now, aid providers are struggling just to bring in enough basic tents because of the limited number of trucks going into Gaza and the challenges of delivering aid. Efforts to bring in more robust temporary housing are still in the early stages, and no one has even tried to bring in construction materials, according to Ely. In September, the Shelter Cluster estimated 900,000 people were still in need of tents, bedding and other items to prepare for the region's typically cold and rainy winters.

Gaza Journalist Hassan Hamad Killed in Drone Strike
Stephanie Kaloi/The Wrap/October 07/2024
Hassan Hamad, the 19-year-old freelance journalist who often reported from his home in Gaza’s Jabalia refugee camp, was killed in a drone strike early Sunday morning, according a statement posted to Hamad’s account on X by a colleague.
Hamad often reported for Al-Jazeera over the last year. Maha Hussaini, a Palestinian journalist, told the news broadcaster that Hamad had received threats in the days that led to his death.
Hussaini posted on X in the hours after Hamad died that the journalist had received a message via WhatsApp that read, “Listen, If you continue spreading lies about Israel, we’ll come for you next and turn your family into […] This is your last warning.” He also received multiple calls which were said to be “an Israeli officer ordering him to stop filming in Gaza. He didn’t comply.”
The statement shared on Hamad’s account following his death by a colleague read, “With deep sorrow and pain, I mourn the journalist Hassan Hamad. I testify before God that you fulfilled your duty. Hassan Hamad, the journalist who did not live past the age of 20, resisted for a full year in his own way. He resisted by staying away from his family so they wouldn’t be targeted.”
“He resisted when he struggled to find an internet signal, sitting for an hour or two on the rooftop just to send the videos that reach you in seconds,” the statement continued. “Yesterday, from 10 p.m., he moved between the bombed locations and then returned to search for an internet signal, only to go back and cover the scenes of the scattered remains.”
“He endured the pain of an injury to his leg, yet continued filming. At 6 a.m., he called me to send his last video. After a call that didn’t last more than a few seconds, he said, ‘There they are, there they are, it’s done,’ and hung up. It’s a feeling no human can bear. Hassan also resisted the occupation, leaving behind a mark and a message that we will carry on after him. We belong to God, and to Him we shall return,” the statement concluded.
A video shared online by journalist Mohamed Mohana reportedly shows Hamad’s remains being carried in a small blue plastic bag.
The Committee to Protect Journalists reported Friday that to date, at least 128 journalists and media workers have been killed in Israel and Gaza since Oct. 7, 2023. CPJ also reported that at least 42,000 Palestinians have died in the conflict and cited numbers by the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs.
“Since the war in Gaza started, journalists have been paying the highest price – their lives – for their reporting. Without protection, equipment, international presence, communications, or food and water, they are still doing their crucial jobs to tell the world the truth,” CPJ program director Carlos Martinez de la Serna said in a statement. “Every time a journalist is killed, injured, arrested, or forced to go to exile, we lose fragments of the truth. Those responsible for these casualties face dual trials: one under international law and another before history’s unforgiving gaze.”
As civilians, journalists are protected by international law and are not supposed to be military targets, and to deliberately target a journalist is a war crime.
Foreign journalists are prohibited from entering Gaza without explicit permission from Israel, which has included being accompanied by Israeli forces. The result is that many Palestinian journalists have turned to the few options they have: a news station such as Al-Jazeera and social media platforms such as TikTok, Instagram and X.
The ban on allowing foreign journalists into Gaza limits the amount of information that can flow into or out of the territory and has also limited the ability of independent news to be reported. Journalists in Palestine are coping with two realities: their obligation to report in real-time what is happening on the ground as well as ensuring their own safety and protection from the ongoing war.
In May, cable news upstart NewsNation sent a letter to Israel’s embassy in Washington, D.C. and requested journalistic access to Gaza. The letter was signed by NewsNation programming and specials president Michael Corn and president and managing editor of news and politics Cherie Grzech. “Since the subsequent military operations by Israeli forces began, the worldwide public has had to rely on Palestinian accounts of the war, the humanitarian situation there, and the number of civilian casualties,” the letter reads. “The resulting information vacuum has led to reliance on reports that have often turned out to be exaggerated, inflated, or flat out false.”
Allowing independent journalists into Gaza would “allow the public to see for themselves what is happening with food aid intended for civilians, as well as whether Hamas tactics include operating in civilian enclaves, public infrastructure, and in and around hospital facilities.”
“We, as journalists, believe we have an essential role to play in the public’s right to know the details of a life-and-death struggle that will have international repercussions for years to come,” the letter continued. “We are asking your permission to allow us to fulfill that vital role.”
The CPJ reported that five journalists — Issam Abdallah, Hamza Al Dahdouh, Mustafa Thuraya, Ismail Al Ghoul and Rami Al Refee — are believed to have been deliberately targeted as part of the war in Israel.
Abdallah — who often reported on business, human rights, and culture for Reuters — died Oct. 13, 2023 after two shells fired by Israeli soldiers hit him and injured six other journalists who were covering cross-border fire exchanged between the Israeli Defense Forces and Hezbollah at the border with Lebanon. Reuters conducted its own investigation into Abdallah’s death and determined “the shells were fired from Israel, that the journalists were wearing helmets and flak jackets marked ‘press’ and were close to a car with ‘TV’ written across its hood, and that they were not near any active fighting or military targets at the time of the attack.”
Al Dahdouh, a journalist and cameraman for Al-Jazeera, and Thuraya, a freelance video journalist for Agence France-Presse, both died Jan. 7, 2024 following a drone strike that appeared to target their car. The Times of Israel reported the next day that Dahdouh and Thuraya were traveling with a “drone-operating terror operative.” The IDF did not reply to CPJ requests to release the identity of the third passenger who was an alleged terrorist.
Al Ghoul and Refee, who both worked for Al-Jazeera, were killed July 31, 2024. The pair were filming outside the home of assassinated Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Gaza just before the car they left in was hit by a drone strike. The IDF later confirmed they had targeted Al Ghoul, who they stated was a member of Hamas.
In February, members of a U.N. Human Rights Council-appointed panel of U.N. experts condemned the deaths of journalists in Gaza. “We are alarmed at the extraordinarily high numbers of journalists and media workers who have been killed, attacked, injured and detained in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, particularly in Gaza, in recent months blatantly disregarding international law,” the experts said in a statement.
“We condemn all killings, threats and attacks on journalists and call on all parties to the conflict to protect them.” The post Gaza Journalist Hassan Hamad Killed in Drone Strike appeared first on TheWrap.

Israel-Hamas war 1 year later: Key moments that have defined the conflict after Oct. 7 massacre
Katie Mather/Yahoo News/October 07/2024
Today marks one year since Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel, killing over 1,100 people at a music festival and taking hundreds more hostage. The event spurred the start of the Israel-Hamas War, which has killed tens of thousands of people, caused mass civilian casualties and destroyed critical infrastructure. While Egypt and Qatar have brokered several ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas in the last year, nothing has come to fruition to end the war.
Over the last year, more than 41,000 Palestinians — including over 16,000 children — have been killed, according to the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry, as reported by Human Rights Watch. More than 10,000 Palestinians are considered missing. In the West Bank, at least 723 Palestinians have been killed. At least 127 journalists and media workers have been killed, according to the Committee to Protect Journalists. In Israel, more than 1,100 people have been killed.
Below are the key events since Oct. 7, 2023, that have contributed to the historic, irrecoverable damage in the Middle East. Oct. 7, 2023: Hamas launches an attack on Israel during the Jewish holiday of Simchat Torah — the deadliest attack against Jewish people since the Holocaust. Over 1,100 people are killed and about 250 are taken hostage.
Oct. 8, 2023: Israel declares war against Hamas. A counterattack by Israeli forces in the Gaza Strip, one of two Palestinian territories, kills more than 400 people, including 78 children.
Oct. 9, 2023: Israel orders a complete siege of Gaza, which is home to more than 2 million Palestinians. Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005 but still had a land, air and sea blockade set since 2007. Days later, Israel warns residents in northern Gaza to evacuate.
Oct. 27, 2023: Israel launches ground invasion into Palestinian territory. The United Nations General Assembly votes for a resolution, calling for an immediate truce — the U.S. votes against it. Nov. 6, 2023: Gaza health ministry says more than 10,000 Palestinians have been killed in the first month of the war.
Nov. 24, 2023: Israel and Hamas call a temporary ceasefire to exchange hostages and prisoners. Hamas releases more than 100 Israeli hostages and Israel releases 240 Palestinians being held as prisoners. The truce only lasts for one week.
Dec. 4, 2023: Israeli forces push into southern Gaza, claiming that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who is credited with planning the Oct. 7 attack, is hiding in the area.
Dec. 22, 2023: More than 20,000 Palestinians have been killed, according to local officials.
Dec. 28, 2023: The U.N. condemns the “rapidly deteriorating human rights situation in the occupied West Bank.”
Jan. 26: The U.N. International Court of Justice orders Israel to do more to prevent more Palestinian civilians from being harmed or killed in Gaza.
Feb. 23: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu releases postwar plans, which include Israel having indefinite military control of Gaza and the southern border.
Feb. 29: More than 30,000 Palestinians were reported killed.
April 1: Seven humanitarian aid workers with World Central Kitchen, founded by celebrity chef José Andrés, are killed in Gaza by an Israeli airstrike.
May 7: The Israeli army launches a ground attack in Rafah, the southernmost city in Gaza, where a majority of Gazan citizens have relocated to find shelter. The Rafah Crossing, which connects Gaza and Egypt, is one of the few border areas not controlled by Israel and allows for aid to come into the territory.
July 24: Netanyahu addresses Congress, pledging a “total victory” against Hamas. During his U.S. trip, Netanyahu meets with President Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.
Aug. 6: Israel announces that the remains of the last missing person from the Oct. 7 attacks have been found.
Aug. 13: The U.S. approves $20 billion in weapons sales to Israel.
Aug. 15: More than 40,000 Palestinians have been killed.
Read more from the Associated Press: With Gaza's death toll over 40,000, here's the conflict by numbers
Aug. 18: Hamas rejects the newest U.S. proposal for a Gaza hostage and ceasefire deal, saying, “Netanyahu is still putting obstacles in the way of reaching an agreement, and is setting new conditions and demands with the aim of undermining the mediators' efforts and prolonging the war.”
Aug. 20: Protesters advocating for a ceasefire between Israelis and Palestinians, are arrested outside of the Democratic National Convention.
Sept. 30: Israel invades Lebanon targeting the terrorist group Hezbollah, making it Israel’s sixth invasion of Lebanon in 50 years. Hezbollah claims it was attacking Israel on behalf of the people in Gaza. Both Hezbollah and Hamas are groups backed by Iran with the common goal of eliminating Israel. Both organizations have been designated as terrorist groups by the U.S.
Oct. 4: Israel launches its deadliest airstrike attack on the West Bank, another Palestinian territory, since Oct. 7, 2023.

Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant is alive, unharmed in Iran attack | Fact check
BrieAnna J. Frank, USA TODAY/October 07/2024
The claim: Israel’s defense minister was killed in Iranian missile attack
An Oct. 2 Facebook post (direct link, archive link) includes a photo of Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant standing in front of the nation’s flag.
“Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant killed during Iranian missile attack,” reads the caption on the post.
Other versions of the claim spread on Facebook and X, formerly Twitter.
More from the Fact-Check Team: How we pick and research claims | Email newsletter | Facebook page
Our rating: False
Gallant was not killed in the Oct. 1 Iranian missile attack. He appeared in public days after the strike. A man in the West Bank was the only reported fatality.
Iran launched waves of missiles at Israel on Oct. 1 in retaliation for Israel's killing of Hezbollah leaders. Israel's air defense systems intercepted most of the missiles.
There has only been one reported death from the attack − and it wasn't Gallant. Various news outlets, including The Times of Israel and The New York Times, identified the one fatality in the attack as Sameh al-Asali, a Palestinian man who was staying in the Israeli-occupied West Bank.
There are no credible news reports about Gallant being injured or killed in the attack. There are likewise no statements about him being injured or killed on the Israel Defense Forces’ website or social media accounts. On the contrary, there is an abundance of evidence showing he is alive.
U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said he spoke with Gallant after the missile attack and "committed to remain in close contact" with him in an Oct. 1 X post.
Gallant also shared a photo of himself meeting with air defense fighters on Oct. 2 and a video of himself addressing a group of soldiers on Oct. 4 on his X account. He also met and was photographed with Israel Defense Forces officers in northern Israel on Oct. 4, as reported by The Times of Israel.
Fact check: Americans haven't been ordered to enlist for Israel-Hamas war
USA TODAY has debunked an array of claims about the conflict unfolding in the Middle East, including false assertions that a video showed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu fleeing to a bunker in October, that a video showed Israeli strikes in Yemen in September 2024 and that none of Iran’s rockets hit Israel in its April attack.
USA TODAY reached out to several users who shared the post for comment. One user told USA TODAY they later realized the information was incorrect.
Reuters also debunked the claim.
Our fact-check sources:
Israel Defense Forces, accessed Oct. 4, Facebook account
Israel Defense Forces, accessed Oct. 4, IDF Media Releases
Israel Defense Forces, accessed Oct. 4, X account
The Times of Israel, Oct. 4, Defense Minister Gallant: Israel has ‘more surprises in store’ for Hezbollah
The Times of Israel, Oct. 1, Shrapnel from Iranian missile kills Palestinian man near Jericho
Yoav Gallant, Oct. 4, X post
Yoav Gallant, Oct. 2, X post
Yoav Gallant, Oct. 1, X post
Lloyd Austin, Oct. 1, X post
The New York Times, Oct. 1, Laborer From Gaza Is First Reported Fatality of Iran's Missile Attack
Thank you for supporting our journalism. You can subscribe to our print edition, ad-free app or e-newspaper here.
USA TODAY is a verified signatory of the International Fact-Checking Network, which requires a demonstrated commitment to nonpartisanship, fairness and transparency. Our fact-check work is supported in part by a grant from Meta.
*This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: No, Israeli defense minister was not killed in attack

Saied re-elected Tunisia president with 90.7 percent of the vote
AFP/October 07, 2024
TUNIS: Kais Saied has been re-elected president of Tunisia with 90.69 percent of votes cast, electoral authority ISIE said Monday, although low turnout reflected widespread discontent in the cradle of the Arab Spring pro-democracy uprisings. Three years after Saied made a sweeping power grab, rights groups fear his re-election will entrench his grip on the only democracy to emerge from the 2011 protests. Saied, 66, won Sunday’s vote by a landslide with 2.4 million votes — but with turnout at only 28.8 percent of nearly 10 million eligible voters. His imprisoned rival Ayachi Zammel received just 7.3 percent, and third candidate Zouhair Maghzaoui only 1.9 percent, ISIE head Farouk Bouasker said on national television. Critics said the low turnout reflected widespread disillusionment with the election. On Sunday, the ISIE said just six percent of voters were aged 18-35, a category constituting a third of the initially eligible electorate. After longtime dictator Zine El Abidine Ben Ali was ousted in 2011, Tunisia prided itself on being the birthplace of the regional revolts against authoritarianism that became known as the Arab Spring.
But the North African country’s path changed dramatically after Saied was elected in 2019 with 73 percent of the vote.
Two years later, he dissolved parliament, and later rewrote the constitution. Sunday’s turnout was the lowest recorded in a Tunisian presidential after Ben Ali’s ouster. In 2019, 58 percent turned out to vote for Saied as president. “I didn’t vote yesterday, simply because I no longer have confidence and I am desperate,” said Houcine, 63, giving only one name for fear of retribution. Political commentator Hatem Nafti, author of a forthcoming book on Saied’s authoritarian rule, said: “The vote’s legitimacy is undoubtedly tainted with candidates who could have overshadowed (Saied) being systematically sidelined.”
On Monday, the European Union said it had “taken note” of criticisms from rights groups “concerning the integrity of the electoral process” and “various measures deemed detrimental to the democratic requirements of credibility” of the vote. Late Sunday, hundreds of Saied supporters took to the streets of Tunis in celebration after exit polls announced his potential win with 89 percent. “I voted yesterday, and the results are excellent, everything is going very well, the atmosphere is great,” said Mounir, 65.
“What we need now is a drop in prices. We want better education, health and above all safety.” Saied had been widely expected to win after the ISIE barred 14 candidates from standing, leaving just Zammel and Maghzaoui as challengers. Zammel, a little-known liberal businessman, has been behind bars since his bid was approved by the ISIE in September. He faces more than 14 years in prison for allegedly forging endorsements. Maghzaoui had backed Saied’s power grab, and was seen as no threat. Rights groups have condemned a democratic backslide in Tunisia in recent years. According to New York-based Human Rights Watch, more than “170 people are detained in Tunisia on political grounds or for exercising their fundamental rights.”Other jailed figures include Rached Ghannouchi, head of the Islamist-inspired opposition party Ennahdha, which dominated political life after the revolution. Also detained is Abir Moussi, head of the Free Destourian Party, which critics accuse of wanting to bring back the regime ousted in 2011.Saied had called on Tunisians to “vote massively” to usher in what he called an era of “reconstruction.”He cited “a long war against conspiratorial forces linked to foreign circles,” accusing them of “infiltrating many public services and disrupting hundreds of projects.”Ben Ali and other Arab leaders often cited foreign conspiracies to justify crackdowns on dissent. The International Crisis Group think tank has said that while Saied “enjoys significant support among the working classes, he has been criticized for failing to resolve the country’s deep economic crisis.”Celebrating the exit polls late Sunday, Saied again warned of “foreign interference,” pledging to rid Tunisia “of the corrupt and conspirators.” Nafti said Saied will use his re-election as carte blanche for further crackdowns. “He has promised to get rid of traitors and enemies of Tunisia,” Nafti said. “He will harden his rule.”

The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources on October 07-08/2024
When October 7 Was a Day of Victory Against Islamic Terror

Raymond Ibrahim/The Stream/October 07/2024
Before October 7 was known as a day of Islamic atrocities against Israel, it was known — indeed, was celebrated for centuries — as a day when Christians thoroughly chastised Muslims, also for committing atrocities.
Context: In 1570, Muslim Turks — in the guise of the Ottoman Empire — invaded the island of Cyprus, prompting Pope Pius V to call for and form a “Holy League” of maritime Catholic nation-states, spearheaded by the Spanish Empire, in 1571.
Before they could reach and relieve Cyprus, its last stronghold at Famagusta was taken through treachery. After promising the defenders safe passage if they surrendered, Ottoman commander Ali Pasha — known as Müezzinzade (“son of a muezzin”) due to his pious background — had reneged and launched a wholesale slaughter. He ordered the nose and ears of Marco Antonio Bragadin, the fort commander, hacked off. Ali then invited the mutilated infidel to Islam and life: “I am a Christian and thus I want to live and die,” Bragadin responded. “My body is yours. Torture it as you will.”
So he was tied to a chair, repeatedly hoisted up the mast of a galley, and dropped into the sea, to taunts: “Look if you can see your fleet, great Christian, if you can see succor coming to Famagusta!” The mutilated and half-drowned man was then carried near to St. Nicholas Church — by now a mosque — and tied to a column, where he was slowly flayed alive. The skin was afterward stuffed with straw, sown back into a macabre effigy of the dead commander, and paraded in mockery before the jeering Muslims.
The Sea and the Fire Seemed as One
News of this and other ongoing atrocities and desecrations of churches in Cyprus and Corfu enraged the Holy League as it sailed east. A bloodbath accordingly followed when the two opposing fleets — carrying a combined total of 600 ships and 140,000 men, more of both on the Ottoman side — finally collided on October 7, 1571 off the western coast of Greece, near Lepanto. According to one contemporary: The greater fury of the battle lasted for four hours and was so bloody and horrendous that the sea and the fire seemed as one, many Turkish galleys burning down to the water, and the surface of the sea, red with blood, was covered with Moorish coats, turbans, quivers, arrows, bows, shields, oars, boxes, cases, and other spoils of war, and above all many human bodies, Christians as well as Turkish, some dead, some wounded, some torn apart, and some not yet resigned to their fate struggling in their death agony, their strength ebbing away with the blood flowing from their wounds in such quantity that the sea was entirely coloured by it, but despite all this misery our men were not moved to pity for the enemy. … Although they begged for mercy they received instead arquebus shots and pike thrusts.
The pivotal point came when the flagships of the opposing fleets, the Ottoman Sultana and the Christian Real, crashed into and were boarded by each other’s fighters. Chaos ensued as men everywhere grappled; even the grand admirals were seen in the fray, Ali Pasha firing arrows and Don Juan swinging broadsword and battle-axe, one in each hand.
Victory for Christians
In the end, “there was an infinite number of dead” on the Real, whereas “an enormous quantity of large turbans, which seemed to be as numerous as the enemy had been, [were seen in the Sultana] rolling on the deck with the heads inside them.” The don emerged alive, but the pasha did not.
When the central Turkish fleets saw Ali’s head on a pike in the Sultana and a crucifix where the flag of Islam once fluttered, mass demoralization set in, and the waterborne mêlée was soon over. The Holy League lost twelve galleys and 10,000 men, but the Ottomans lost 230 galleys — 117 of which were captured by the Europeans — and 30,000 men. It was a victory of the first order, and hitherto quarreling Catholics and Protestants rejoiced. Practically speaking, however, little changed. Cyprus was not even liberated by the Holy League. “In wrestling Cyprus from you we have cut off an arm,” the Ottomans painfully reminded the Venetian ambassador a year later. “In defeating our fleet [at Lepanto] you have shaved our beard. An arm once cut off will not grow again, but a shorn beard grows back all the better for the razor.”
Islam Can Be Stopped
Nonetheless, this victory proved that the relentless Turks, who over the previous centuries had conquered much of Eastern Europe, could be stopped. Lepanto suggested that the Turks could be defeated in a head-on clash — at least by sea, which of late had been the Islamic powers’ latest hunting grounds. As Miguel Cervantes, who was at the battle, has the colorful Don Quixote say: “That day … was so happy for Christendom, because all the world learned how mistaken it had been in believing that the Turks were invincible by sea.”
Modern historians affirm this position. According to military historian Paul K. Davis, “More than a military victory, Lepanto was a moral one. For decades, the Ottoman Turks had terrified Europe, and the victories of Suleiman the Magnificent caused Christian Europe serious concern. … Christians rejoiced at this setback for the Ottomans. The mystique of Ottoman power was tarnished significantly by this battle, and Christian Europe was heartened.”
Even so, and underscoring the perennial nature of Islamic hostility, if October 7 was once a day of victory against Muslim atrocities, today that date is a reminder of them.
From “Lepanto” by G.K. Chesterton
And above the ships are palaces of brown, black-bearded chiefs,
And below the ships are prisons, where with multitudinous griefs,
Christian captives sick and sunless, all a labouring race repines
Like a race in sunken cities, like a nation in the mines.
They are lost like slaves that sweat, and in the skies of morning hung
The stair-ways of the tallest gods when tyranny was young.
They are countless, voiceless, hopeless as those fallen or fleeing on
Before the high Kings’ horses in the granite of Babylon.
And many a one grows witless in his quiet room in hell
Where a yellow face looks inward through the lattice of his cell,
And he finds his God forgotten, and he seeks no more a sign—
(But Don John of Austria has burst the battle-line!)
Don John pounding from the slaughter-painted poop,
Purpling all the ocean like a bloody pirate’s sloop,
Scarlet running over on the silvers and the golds,
Breaking of the hatches up and bursting of the holds,
Thronging of the thousands up that labour under sea
White for bliss and blind for sun and stunned for liberty.
Vivat Hispania!
Domino Gloria!
Don John of Austria
Has set his people free!
*Raymond Ibrahim is the Distinguished Senior Shillman Fellow at the Gatestone Institute and the Judith Rosen Friedman Fellow at the Middle East Forum. Portions of this article were excerpted from his book, Sword and Scimitar.
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Israel is fighting to beat Iran's doomsday clock
Yossi Klein Halevi/Los Angeles Time/October 07/2024
In Palestine Square in Tehran, a large screen keeps track of the number of days left until the destruction of Israel. The calculus is based on a 2015 prophesy by Iran’s supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, that within 25 years, the Jewish state would disappear. Ever since Khamenei’s prediction, a digital clock has maintained the countdown.
The purpose of the war Israel is fighting on multiple fronts is to beat Iran’s doomsday clock.
The Hamas massacre of Oct. 7, 2023, gave new credibility to Khamenei’s prophesy. On that day, Israel’s military deterrence — essential for a besieged state surrounded by enemies aligned with Iran — collapsed. The shock of Oct. 7 went far deeper than Hamas’ atrocities. The most devastating blow in Israel’s history was delivered by its weakest enemy. Israel’s high-tech, state-of-the-art border was overrun by terrorists on tractors.
The Hamas massacre was a pre-enactment in microcosm of the destruction of Israel: the Israel Defense Forces in disarray, the government AWOL, civilians left to fend for themselves with pistols. The strategic goal of Israel’s counteroffensive was to restore its shattered deterrence. Israelis across the political spectrum agreed that the first step was destroying Hamas’ ability to govern. Allowing the regime responsible for Oct. 7 to remain on Israel’s border would undermine Israelis’ belief in their ability to defend themselves while emboldening their enemies to commit further atrocities. Destroying the Hamas regime meant denying it immunity. Terrorists would not be allowed to massacre Israeli civilians, cross back into Gaza and hide behind Palestinian civilians. Destroying Hamas’ capacity to govern required pursuing terrorists wherever they operated, including inside hospitals and mosques. It meant entering homes, many of them booby-trapped, and Hamas’ vast network of tunnels. The result was Israel’s most brutal — and most necessary — war.
But the war that began in Gaza was never about Gaza alone. Defeating Hamas was only the first stage of a regional conflict between Israel and the Iranian-led axis of radical Islamism. Now that the fighting has largely shifted from Gaza to Lebanon, the true dimensions of this conflict are clear. Israel’s stunning success against Hezbollah — from the mass but pinpointed beeper attack on its operatives to the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and most of his senior staff — has gone a long way to restoring our military credibility.
Still, Iran’s massive ballistic missile strike against Israel last week proves that Israel’s enemies are hardly deterred. Tens of thousands of missiles and rockets are aimed at Israeli cities. If Iran and its proxies unleash their full arsenal, Israel’s much-vaunted Iron Dome anti-missile system will be overwhelmed. In its war against the Jewish state, Iran achieved two historic victories. The first was to surround Israel with terrorist enclaves. The second was to outwit the Israeli campaign — which included sabotaging nuclear installations and assassinating Iranian scientists — to prevent Iran from nuclear breakout. Today, Iran sits at the nuclear threshold.
No country, including the United States, is likely to use force to prevent the Iranian regime from developing a nuclear bomb. No country, that is, except Israel. The Jewish state, founded on the promise of providing a safe refuge for the Jewish people, cannot allow the ayatollahs to attain the means to fulfill Khamenei’s genocidal prophesy.
The culminating moment of this war to restore Israeli deterrence against existential threat will be preventing Iran’s nuclear breakout. Denying terrorists immunity applies most of all to the Iranian regime. For decades the ayatollahs have hidden behind terrorist proxies. Time and again, Israel has fought Hamas and Hezbollah, while avoiding direct conflict with the source of regional terrorism. On Oct. 7, the era of Iranian immunity ended.
Far from sabotaging chances for regional peace, Israel’s determination to prevent a nuclear Iran is precisely what has attracted Sunni Muslim states to seek normalization with the Jewish state. Arab leaders are terrified not of Israel but of an imperial Iran, which has spread its influence over at least four Arab nations — Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen — and seeks hegemony over the rest of the region. It is hardly coincidence that those Sunni nations dominated by Iran are all failed states. By contrast, Arab nations seeking an alliance with Israel — the Gulf states, Morocco, Saudi Arabia — are keen to modernize. The real divide in the Middle East is between those living in the past and those committed to the future.
The worst-kept secret in the Middle East is that Arab leaders are quietly hoping for an Israeli victory over Hamas and Hezbollah and most of all Iran.
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict was always part of a larger war. In Israel’s formative decades, it faced a united Sunni front seeking its destruction. Beginning with the Egyptian-Israeli peace of the late 1970s and culminating in the 2020 Abraham Accords between Israel and four Arab nations, the Sunni war against Israel has been gradually replaced by the Shiite-Israeli conflict.
Solving the Palestinian tragedy can only happen in the context of a wider peace agreement. The last remaining hope for a two-state solution is for Israel and its new Arab allies to work together to gradually end the occupation and create a demilitarized Palestinian state in the West Bank that would not become another Gaza, destabilizing the region.
Unlike Israeli governments in the past, which sought reconciliation with a recalcitrant Palestinian leadership, the hard-right coalition led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu cannot make the necessary compromises to enable regional peace.
But this government will not last forever. Since Oct. 7, polls have consistently shown the Israeli opposition winning the next election. Meanwhile, even Israelis who loathe the Netanyahu government agree that we must defeat the Iranian axis. Winning this regional war is the first step to creating a regional peace.
**Yossi Klein Halevi is a senior fellow of the Shalom Hartman Institute in Jerusalem. He is writing a book on the meaning of Jewish survival.
https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2024-10-07/israel-hamas-oct-7-iran-hezbollah

The United Arab Emirates can help bring Israeli hostages home
Moshe Emilio Lavi, opinion contributor/The Hill/October 07/2024
Families of hostages taken by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023, continue to plead with world leaders for the release of their loved ones. These appeals highlight not only the suffering of the families but also the international community’s failure to secure their release and hold Hamas accountable for its actions. While Israel’s role in the crisis is often scrutinized, the responsibility lies more broadly. The failure to reach an agreement to secure the release of the hostages — including my brother-in-law, Omri Miran, who was kidnapped from kibbutz Nahal Oz — doesn’t fall on Israel alone. Hamas, its accomplices and the international community have played an even more damaging role.
The failure to hold Hamas accountable has allowed the group to remain a destabilizing force in Gaza. Despite global outrage, little substantive action has been taken against Hamas on a global basis. Yes, Israel’s military campaign has weakened the group, but major global players have been reluctant to engage key international enablers such as Iran and Turkey, whose harmful policies shield Hamas from accountability. This protection has emboldened Hamas to prioritize its military objectives over the welfare of Palestinians.
Qatar has received the most attention, given its role in funneling funds to Hamas’s governing apparatus and hosting its leadership, both in coordination with Israel and the U.S. But Iran is Hamas’s most significant backer. Through financial support, weapons and military training, Iran has helped Hamas grow into the dominant force it was on the eve of the Oct. 7 atrocities.
Iran’s involvement has come at the cost of both Palestinian and Israeli lives, continuing to fuel conflict rather than fostering stability. This support mirrors Iran’s support of Hezbollah, another militant group that hijacked a territory, southern Lebanon, complicating efforts for stability in the region. Turkey, while not materially supporting Hamas to the same extent, offers rhetorical backing that is just as harmful. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has frequently portrayed Hamas as a legitimate resistance movement. He avoids acknowledgment of Hamas’s role in inciting violence and extremism, and supports it on the international stage. The international community’s broader failure to confront the group has played a significant role in Hamas’s continuing influence. Over the last three decades, global responses to conflicts between Israel and Hamas have disproportionately focused on Israel’s military actions, often ignoring Hamas’s exploitation of civilian infrastructure, the intentional targeting of civilians and its authoritarian grip over Gaza. Criticism of Israel’s military actions is necessary, but this imbalance in the narrative has allowed Hamas to escape accountability, while portraying itself as a champion of Palestinian rights rather than the main culprit in Gaza’s destruction.
Furthermore, Hamas’s strategy of hostage-taking is a war crime that the international community has failed to address adequately since Gilad Shalit was kidnapped in 2006. The hostages taken on Oct. 7 are held in tunnels under Gaza, deprived of basic needs and subjected to torture, as evidenced by revelations from released hostages. Some have been murdered, underscoring Hamas’s brutality. Yet global rhetoric focuses almost exclusively on Israel’s actions, ignoring Hamas’s culpability and depriving Gazans of any agency in taking down the oppressive Hamas regime. This imbalance emboldens Hamas, as the group believes it can escape consequences. Without acknowledging the central role that Hamas plays in perpetuating violence, there is little hope for a cessation of hostilities. The international community must shift its approach; failing to do so will only ensure that Hamas survives this conflict and remains in power, making future wars inevitable.
There is, however, a potential way forward that has yet to be undertaken earnestly. The United Arab Emirates could be key in brokering an end to the current round of violence. The UAE’s relationships with Israel, the U.S. and powers like Iran, Egypt, Turkey and Russia position it as a potential mediator. This is a role Qatar failed to exercise, as it continues to shield Hamas and propagate its narrative on the global stage — most recently by Sheikh Tamim ibn Hamad Al Thani in his address to the UN’s General Assembly.
The Abraham Accords have demonstrated the UAE’s ability to engage diplomatically with Israel while maintaining open channels with Palestinian leadership and regional actors. Its growing influence could persuade Hamas’s backers, particularly Iran, to reconsider their stance and force Yahya Sinwar to agree to a cease-fire deal. Such a deal would will bring home the hostages, release convicted Palestinian terrorists from Israeli prisons and provide relief to Gazans. It would create a new equation in Gaza, with Sinwar going into exile, as part of a comprehensive end to the crisis. This would align with Iranian interests in the region, as its strongest proxy, Hezbollah, gradually loses its assets in Lebanon due to Sinwar’s continuous refusal to sign a viable deal — and to Hassan Nasrallah’s bet on joining the hostilities on Oct. 8, which ultimately cost him his life.
Any solution must involve confronting Hamas. Israel’s policies should be scrutinized, including by its independent judicial system. Still, Israel, a democratic state actor that sought to resolve the conflict in the past, cannot be treated similarly to Hamas. This Islamist terrorist organization seeks to perpetuate the conflict. As long as Hamas remains entrenched in Gaza, a peaceful future remains out of reach. Without pressure on Hamas’s backers on the global stage and a shift in the international narrative, violence will continue. Increased involvement by the UAE may be the best path for achieving a hostage deal that could reunite families, offer Gaza a chance to rebuild and bring on board regional actors that back Hamas materially and ideologically. But this can only happen if the international community acknowledges the destructive role Hamas plays, and unites behind the demand to remove it from power in post-war Gaza.
**Moshe Emilio Lavi was born in Sderot, Israel. He is a former captain of the Israel Defense Forces and now works as a management consultant. His brother-in-law Omri Miran is a hostage in Gaza.
**Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

The four observations that mark a year since Oct. 7
Faisal J. Abbas/Arab News/October 07, 2024
One year after Oct. 7, it is now definite that the Middle East will never return to the way it once was.As the voice of a changing region, we try on this day to document and analyze what these groundbreaking events mean within our special coverage marking this horrific year.
The first observation to note is that Hamas, Hezbollah and other Iranian proxies in the Middle East may have been painted way taller than they actually are, as renowned political commentator and CNN anchor Fareed Zakaria told Arab News in an exclusive interview on our talk show: “Frankly Speaking.”
“It’s really extraordinary, first, just to note how well Israeli intelligence was able to penetrate Hezbollah,” Zakaria said, commenting on the exploding pagers, the locations of the weapons caches and the locations of the leadership, including that of its elusive Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah.
“I think that what we are seeing both with Hezbollah and with Iran is that perhaps we have painted them to be 10 feet tall when they were really, you know, more like 5 feet tall.”
It is unimaginable that, in 2024, a UN member state can have such impunity so as to kill more than 43,000 people, injure nearly 200,000 and displace 3 million across Lebanon and Palestine.
In his own recent interview with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on CNN, Zakaria even noted that the newcomer implied that Iran “did not have the capacity” to engage in an all-out war with Israel and that “this was up to Hezbollah.”
“He said, essentially, we should call a meeting of Islamic countries to condemn what Israel is doing. That’s not a particularly lethal response that you’d imagine, and very different from his predecessors,” Zakaria said.
That being said, perhaps Hamas and Hezbollah themselves did not realize this when they waged an attack that ended up causing unimaginable damage, destruction and death across Lebanon and Palestine.
The second observation is the obscene failure of the UN. As we point out in our story, the unconditional military and diplomatic support from many Western countries exacerbated internal divisions within the Security Council and severely impacted its ability to act.
Even the body’s Secretary-General Antonio Guterres — who has been declared a persona non grata in Israel — confessed to us in an interview on the sidelines of the General Assembly that “we (the UN) have no real power, let’s be honest. The body of the UN that holds some power is the Security Council, and that body is paralyzed.”You have the Saudi vision for a more integrated region versus the havoc of continuing to allow extremists to continue doing the same thing while the world expects a different result.
It is unimaginable that, in 2024, a UN member state can have such impunity so as to kill more than 43,000 people, injure nearly 200,000 and displace 3 million across Lebanon and Palestine, while a ceasefire continues to be vetoed and some Western allies, who have long preached to us about human rights, continue to arm them.
The third observation, which has become more and more apparent, is that you can win much more with an open palm than a closed fist. This is what Saudi Arabia has demonstrated with its marathon of diplomatic efforts, which managed to win recognition for Palestine, as our story elaborates, with its leading of the effort, notably securing more than 140 of the UN’s 193 member states’ recognition of the state of Palestine.
Fourth, and this has been repeated time and time again, the longer this continues, the wider it becomes — as highlighted in our story of Lebanon’s struggles as the world holds its breath and braces for a widely expected Israeli retaliation on Iran.
To conclude, violence begets violence and the blame game will never end.
As reiterated in a recent Financial Times column by Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan, the only guarantee for Israeli security is a two-state solution. However, there needs to be an appetite to push for it within Israel and on the agenda of the next US president, whoever it may be. The rationale cannot be any clearer: you have the Saudi vision for a more integrated, more prosperous and more peaceful region versus the havoc of continuing to allow extremists, be they in Benjamin Netanyahu’s government or militant groups, to continue doing the same thing while the world expects a different result.
*Faisal J. Abbas is the editor-in-chief of Arab News. X: @FaisalJAbbas

Israel’s search for a definitive military solution
Dr. Mohammed Al-Sulami/Arab News/October 07, 2024
The question of a possible endgame for Israel to declare victory and then think of a political process in the Middle East is a key one not only for regional states and citizens, but also for the international community. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu envisions a “Greater Israel” without a Palestinian state and he has no political solution for the endless military conflicts in Lebanon, Iraq or Yemen. Netanyahu’s dream is based on a security-only approach without any consideration for peace, which remains the main hurdle to integrating Israel into the regional landscape.
The endless occupation of Palestine and perpetual wars in the region cannot be a long-term political strategy for Israel. Overall, Israel’s strategic considerations in Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen reflect its broader security concerns in the Middle East. The region’s volatility, driven by non-state actors like Hezbollah, Iran’s influence and the ongoing conflicts in Yemen and Iraq, poses challenges for Israel’s national security. In such a complex landscape, Israel’s military and political objectives are shaped by its goals of attempting to neutralize threats, secure its borders and maintain its military dominance.
Hezbollah has been Israel’s primary concern. Israel views Hezbollah’s missile arsenal and military infrastructure as a major threat. A key objective is to neutralize Hezbollah’s ability to fire rockets into Israel. Tel Aviv is using precision strikes on Hezbollah’s weapons depots, rocket launch sites and military installations. And by targeting Iranian-backed infrastructure and logistics, Israel hopes to reduce Hezbollah’s power and undermine Iran’s influence in Lebanon.
Tel Aviv hopes to be in a position to militarily target Iranian territories without risking counterattacks by Hezbollah
By eliminating the threat of Hezbollah, Tel Aviv hopes to be in a position to militarily target Iranian territories without risking counterattacks by Hezbollah on its northern border. This is why Israel is keen on ensuring that Hezbollah cannot establish control over areas near the Israeli-Lebanese border. By creating buffer zones and enforcing demilitarized areas, Israel aims to reduce the threat of cross-border attacks. A significantly degraded Hezbollah — militarily and politically — would be a major victory for Israel.
Iraq is a major battleground for competing regional powers, particularly Iran, which exerts significant influence over the country’s Shiite militias. These militias, especially those aligned with Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, pose a direct threat to Israel. They could be used to facilitate the transfer of weapons or deployed as proxies in a conflict with Israel.
Tel Aviv has reportedly conducted airstrikes on weapons convoys and bases belonging to Iranian-backed militias in Iraq. The goal is to disrupt the flow of weapons, including advanced missile technology, to groups that might be deployed against Israel, particularly in Syria or Lebanon. The land corridor connecting Iran through Iraq to Syria and Lebanon is of strategic importance to Iran. Israel views preventing the consolidation of this corridor as essential to its broader strategy of curbing Iranian influence.
A victory for Israel would include severely limiting the operational capacity of Iraqi Shiite militias that pose a potential threat to its national security. From Israel’s perspective, this can only be achieved through a combination of airstrikes, intelligence operations and diplomatic pressure. If Iraq’s central government were to shift away from Iranian influence, perhaps through internal political realignments or international pressure, this would represent a significant win for Israel’s long-term regional security.
Also, Israel has strategic interests in ensuring that Iran does not gain a foothold in Yemen, as this would pose a threat to its maritime routes and regional allies. Israel’s primary concern is that Iran is using Yemen as a base to launch attacks against its territories and that the Houthis are receiving weapons, including advanced missiles, from Iran. Another Israeli objective is to secure the Red Sea and Bab Al-Mandab Strait. Indeed, controlling this critical maritime chokepoint is vital for Israel’s trade and military logistics. A Houthi-controlled Yemen, under Iranian influence, will disrupt shipping routes and pose a threat to Israel’s naval operations.
For Israel, favorable outcomes include diminishing Iranian support for the Houthis, limiting their military capabilities and preventing them from destabilizing the region. Israel wants to see Yemen as part of a regional pro-Western alliance. For Israel, victory is likely defined in terms of achieving security and deterrence rather than territorial gains.
For Israel, victory is likely defined in terms of achieving security and deterrence rather than territorial gains
Some possible conditions under which Israel might declare victory and move toward a political process include the de-escalation of hostilities. Once the immediate military threats are neutralized, Israel could think about a ceasefire, either unilaterally or through international mediation.
Moreover, Israel could seek greater international involvement to reinforce the new status quo, ensuring that Hezbollah, Iranian militias or the Houthis are constrained by international agreements. This would limit Tehran’s capacity to threaten Israel directly. This is why Israeli military forces are trying to directly strike Iranian territories with US approval.
The end Israeli goal is to target the head of Tehran’s regional network of influence. Nevertheless, Israel’s mistake is to think that regional proxies and partners of the Islamic Republic are merely puppets of the Iranian supreme leader. In fact, some are local actors that are seeking to achieve their own domestic interests, which also fall within the framework of Tehran’s broader objectives.
Israel’s potential plans in Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen are interconnected with its broader goal of countering Iranian influence and securing its borders from militant groups. Victory, from an Israeli perspective, involves weakening hostile forces like Hezbollah and Iranian-backed militias, while maintaining control over key security zones. The political process can only begin once Israel achieves a deterrence-based security arrangement; one that curbs Iran’s influence and minimizes the military threats from its proxies.
Nevertheless, this Israeli search for a definitive long-term military solution remains the main hurdle to any meaningful political solution to regional conflicts involving Israel, given the high-level regional polarization in the context of the Gaza war.
Dr. Mohammed Al-Sulami is the founder and president of the International Institute for Iranian Studies (Rasanah). X: @mohalsulami

Al-Qaeda, Daesh keeping their distance from Gaza war
Dr. Abdellatif El-Menawy/Arab News/October 07, 2024
As Israel’s war on the Gaza Strip rages on, notably absent from the conflict are the notorious extremist groups Al-Qaeda and Daesh. These organizations, historically vocal and active in conflicts involving Islamic nations such as Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, have remained unusually silent, particularly in terms of ground operations. This lack of involvement, both physically and through their propaganda outlets, raises questions about their current priorities and capabilities.
To comprehend why these groups are missing from the Gaza scene, one must look back at the ideological and strategic goals that guide them in their global operations. While Palestine has often been used as a rallying cry by such extremist movements, it has never truly occupied center stage in the agenda of either Al-Qaeda or Daesh. One major reason for the current absence of these groups from the conflict is their weakened state. Both Al-Qaeda and Daesh have been severely undermined in recent years.
Al-Qaeda has always focused its efforts on the US and other Western powers, which it refers to as the “far enemy.” In more recent times, its presence has mainly been within conflicts in regions like Yemen and West Africa, leaving little room to engage in Gaza.
One major reason for the current absence of these groups from the conflict is their weakened state
The issue of liberating Jerusalem has been part of Al-Qaeda’s rhetoric since its founding in the 1980s, despite the lack of attacks directed against Israel. Osama bin Laden justified this in 2009 by saying that the organization was unable to penetrate Israeli borders due to regional agreements. Its leadership argues that dismantling regimes seen as collaborators with the West is a prerequisite to any meaningful action in Palestine. Their strategy emphasizes broader global objectives, rendering Palestine more of a symbolic cause rather than a tactical priority.
Daesh, meanwhile, has shown little interest in the Palestinian struggle. Emerging from the shadow of Al-Qaeda, the group centered its efforts on establishing a caliphate in Iraq and Syria. However, after the loss of its so-called caliphate, its efforts have been primarily focused on surviving and regrouping in its remaining territories. Its leadership considers Palestinian factions like Hamas to be compromised by their participation in democratic processes and their focus on nationalistic rather than global objectives. This view has led Daesh to disregard the Palestinian question, sometimes even denouncing factions fighting Israel as apostates, thus rendering action in Palestine to be secondary to other fronts.
It is evident that this detachment is in large part strategic. With their resources stretched thin and leadership fragmented, both organizations have opted to focus on consolidating their existing operations rather than risk further losses by engaging in a high-stakes conflict like Gaza.
Engaging Israel directly could expose them to retaliatory strikes, not just from Israel but also from global powers aligned against them, further diminishing their already limited capabilities. This detachment underscores the declining influence of these groups on the broader fundamentalist landscape, as well as their diminishing relevance in conflicts like Gaza, where other actors have taken the lead.
There is also the issue of geographical and logistical challenges. With the increased security presence in countries surrounding Gaza, including Egypt, opportunities for these groups to infiltrate or establish a foothold have diminished. In addition, Israel’s advanced security apparatus poses a significant deterrent, making any meaningful infiltration or attack highly improbable.
Beyond these practical concerns, the question remains: do Al-Qaeda and Daesh even see Israel as a priority? Historically, these groups have focused more on overthrowing Arab regimes they see as complicit in the region’s problems, leaving Israel as a secondary target. Despite the symbolic importance of Jerusalem and other Islamic holy sites, neither group has mounted significant operations against Israeli targets.
They have not taken any concrete steps to support factions like Hamas or to launch attacks on Israel
While both Al-Qaeda and Daesh have issued statements of support for the Palestinian resistance, particularly after the outbreak of violence on Oct. 7, referred to as the “Al-Aqsa Flood,” their involvement has been limited to rhetoric. They have not taken any concrete steps to support factions like Hamas or to launch attacks on Israel. Their statements have mostly urged sympathizers to take action independently, often promoting so-called lone wolf attacks rather than organized military engagements.
In light of this, it can be observed that Al-Qaeda continues to exploit events to support its propaganda linked to the Palestinian cause, although it has failed to translate this support into direct operations against Israel. In contrast, Daesh is likely to remain focused on other geographical priorities, particularly in Africa, where it seeks to strengthen its presence and leverage regional conditions to its advantage.
In response, Israeli intelligence has been closely monitoring the potential for extremist groups to leverage the conflict. However, so far, these fears have not materialized, thanks in part to Israel’s stringent security measures in areas such as the West Bank.
One key observation is the position of these organizations toward Hamas. Al-Qaeda praised the military arm of Hamas, Al-Qassam Brigades, without mentioning Hamas itself, while Daesh ignored the organization entirely. This stance can be attributed to the ideological and political differences between these organizations and Hamas, particularly regarding political participation and Hamas’ relationship with Iran.
The current events in the region represent a pivotal moment that could have significant effects on these organizations, as well as on regional and international security.
It is expected that the current developments will impact the activities of both Al-Qaeda and Daesh. Al-Qaeda may escalate its attacks against Western targets in the coming period, attempting to regain the momentum it lost compared to Hamas. On the other hand, Daesh is likely to remain distant from the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, focusing instead on its expansion in Africa.
*Dr. Abdellatif El-Menawy has covered conflicts worldwide. X: @ALMenawy

Why did Iran take the Israeli bait?
Chris Doyle/Arab News/October 07, 2024
Iran’s launching of 180 ballistic missiles on Israel last week was some statement. Yes, most were knocked out. Yes, the sole fatality was an unfortunate Palestinian in Jericho hit by debris. Yes, these missiles did little damage.
But this, the second such direct Iranian strike on Israel this year, was all about showing that Iran was not cowed. Questions abound. Answers, convincing ones at least, are rare. To what extent have all the events of the last year over Gaza, the last month between Israel and Hezbollah and between Iran and Israel been by design? Or are they just a series of responses to the latest escalation? Where does this go now? Most crucially, how does it end?
My columns have hammered Israel for its lack of strategy, while acknowledging its tactical and operational brilliance. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is responsible for the former but, as the polls improve for him, his strategy may have moved beyond just personal survival to, as he has claimed, reordering the entire region. He boasted that the removal of Saddam Hussein would achieve this back in 2003. And who thinks that was a tremendous success?
One wonders whether the Iranian leadership would have been wiser to reign in Hezbollah earlier to prevent this outcome
But what of Iran? Does it still have a viable strategy? From its vantage point, one might understand its development over the last two decades of a so-called axis of resistance. Back in 2003, Iran seemed surrounded, with the US in both Iraq and Afghanistan. America and Israel have a hostile posture. Hezbollah in particular was a potent deterrent. That asset is now compromised. Israel has infiltrated the group, decapitated most of its leadership and is hell-bent on finishing the job. One wonders whether the Iranian leadership would have been wiser to reign in Hezbollah earlier to prevent this outcome. It underestimated Israel, just as Israel had underestimated Hamas.
Ballistic missile attacks on Israel hardly help Iran. These are a gift for Netanyahu, who is itching to deal Tehran a massive blow. Netanyahu can argue that these missiles could have killed thousands if they had not been stopped. Ten million Israelis, including Palestinian citizens of Israel, were terrified.
All the pressure on Israel that was slowly building up has evaporated. Back in April, many European states were on the cusp of an arms embargo. British ministers admitted to me that those Iranian attacks released all the pressure to hold Israel to account. It should not have done, but that was the political reality.
Some argue Iran had a right to defend itself. Like any state, it does — when attacked. Israel also claimed that right after the Oct. 7 attacks. Iran was attacked when Israel assassinated Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, as it was when Israel bombed its consular building in Damascus.
But that term “defend” has been hugely abused. Israel was not defending itself when putting 2.3 million Palestinians in Gaza under siege. Bombing civilian targets is not defense. Iran has given missiles to all sorts of groups in the Middle East, including Hezbollah, Hamas and the Houthis, all of which have fired on Israeli civilians. Lest one forgets, Hezbollah has killed Lebanese, Palestinians and Syrians. The Houthis sent missiles to hit Saudi Arabia, as well as civilian shipping in the Red Sea. Iran cannot just pretend it had nothing to do with this.
Even if legal arguments do not convince, what about the rational arguments? Will they help Iran or Iranians be safer? Will they liberate one inch of Palestine or Lebanon? Will one Palestinian or Lebanese be freer or safer? Will they stop a genocide?
Beware states and leaders that feel they have to prove they are strong. Real strength is about making the right choices, not posturing. The answer to all of these questions is a resounding no. Civilians across the Middle East are less safe. Israel will continue to ramp up its attacks on Gaza, the West Bank and Lebanon. By the time this article is in print, Israel may have bombed Iran.
What has held Netanyahu back in the past is the uncertainty of the US support required to do this. Israel needs US military capabilities to hit Iranian nuclear facilities and also to protect it from any counterattack. President Joe Biden is cornered. He cannot or will not thwart an Israeli response. Netanyahu can proceed knowing that the US weapons pipeline will continue, but also that US military assets in the region are at his disposal. Should he be wearing his pyromaniac hat, he can set fire to the region.
All of this must have been clear to the Iranian leadership. Perhaps the new reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian, elected to break free of international isolation, was against it, but the hard-liners clearly won the argument.
Beware states and leaders that feel they have to prove they are strong. Netanyahu falls into that category, but so too do the Iranian leaders. Real strength is about making the right choices, not posturing. Iran can only lose down this path, as will Israel. Many Iranians know that and are not impressed. Iran and Israel are both guilty of reckless violent behavior and of refusing real steps to compromise. Netanyahu has been deliberately goading Iran for months, baiting it. On Oct. 1, it took the bait and the region — civilians above all — will now pay the price in yet more blood.
*Chris Doyle is director of the Council for Arab-British Understanding in London. X: @Doylech