English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For November 23/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
Jesus said to them, ‘Very truly, I tell you, before Abraham was, I am
John 08/56-59/:”Your ancestor Abraham rejoiced that he would see my day; he saw it and was glad.’Then the Jews said to him, ‘You are not yet fifty years old, and have you seen Abraham?’Jesus said to them, ‘Very truly, I tell you, before Abraham was, I am.’So they picked up stones to throw at him, but Jesus hid himself and went out of the temple.

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on November 22-23/2024
Elias Bejjani/Text & Video: Independence Day: A Mere Memory for Occupied Lebanon
Elias Bejjani/Walid Jumblat's hypocrisy in politics, his role as a resistance merchant, and his partnership with Berri in everything must end with Hezbollah and Berri.
Elias Bejjani: Text and Video/Naiem Qassem’s Speech: A Bundle of Deceit, Dhimmitude-Taqiyya, and Political Hypocrisy
Almost Half of Attacks on Heath Care in Lebanon Have Been Deadly, WHO Says
Four Italian Peacekeepers Injured in Lebanon, Rome Points to Hezbollah
Hochstein’s Tour: Key Issues in US Proposed Ceasefire Deal Remain Unresolved
Larijani: "Hezbollah Has Not Yet Used Its Important Weapons"
Israeli strikes batter Lebanon, killing five medics
UN reports heavy clashes between Israeli troops and Hezbollah in south Lebanon
Strikes hit Beirut’s southern suburbs after Israeli evacuation call
Israel hits Lebanon with widespread bombing and shelling, killing at least 47
Israeli strike destroys building in Beirut's southern suburbs
Heavy clashes between Hezbollah and Israeli forces in south Lebanon
Reports: Israel rejects French role in Lebanon truce as Lebanese, US officials optimistic
Fresh Israeli airstrikes target Beirut southern suburbs
Israeli strikes in Lebanon kill more than 50 people nationwide
Four Italy peacekeepers hurt in new UN Lebanon 'attack'
Almost half of attacks on heath care in Lebanon have been deadly, WHO says
'Significant progress' in Lebanon-Israel talks but no deal before 'next week'
Israel probes death of 70-year-old 'history researcher' in Lebanon battles
Fairouz, musical icon of war-torn Lebanon, turns 90
The Overlooked Aspect of Lebanon's 1943 Independence/Michel Touma/This is Beirut/November 22, 2024

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on November 22-23/2024
Monitor raises toll in Israel strikes on Syria’s Palmyra to 92
Israelis unite behind their prime minister as Netanyahu faces an international arrest warrant
Israel says to end ‘administrative detention’ for West Bank settlers
Record 281 aid workers killed in 2024, says UN, with 1 month left
Israel armys says ‘eliminated’ five Hamas militants in north Gaza raid
Gaza ministry: hospitals to cut or stop services ‘within 48 hours’ over fuel shortages
UN could meet with Israel PM despite warrant: UN
Palestinians welcome ICC arrest warrants for Israeli PM and former defense minister
Iran says it is activating new centrifuges after being condemned by UN nuclear watchdog
UK would arrest Netanyahu over ICC warrant: Senior politician
Iran Guards chief says Netanyahu ICC warrant ‘political death’ of Israel
Orban Invites Netanyahu to Hungary as ICC Warrant Divides Europeans
NATO and Ukraine to Hold Emergency Talks after Russia’s Attack with New Hypersonic Missile
World leaders split as ICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu

Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources on November 22-23/2024
Socio-Feudalism's War on the Individual/Daniel Greenfield/Gatestone Institute/November 22, 2024
The New Torture Industry of Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, China and India: Abductions, Beatings and Death/Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/November 22, 2024
Question: “Why should we study the Old Testament?”/GotQuestions.org//November 22, 2024
Russia: The Big Enchilada for Trump/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/November 22/2024

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on November 22-23/2024
Elias Bejjani/Text & Video: Independence Day: A Mere Memory for Occupied Lebanon
Elias Bejjani/November 22, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/11/137152/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0WxOm8g2Gc&t=4s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lYvkf-jZcTo&t=43s
November 22, Lebanon’s Independence Day, was once a celebration of freedom and sovereignty. However, today, the reality we live stands in stark contrast to the values of independence. Independence has been reduced to a mere memory, stripped of its core elements such as free decision-making, liberty, law, equality, democracy, services, peace, security, stability, and protected borders—the list goes on, and all are absent.
Today, Lebanon has completely lost its independence and against the will of its majority, it finds itself under sectarian, jihadist, and terrorist Iranian occupation. This occupation is enforced through a local armed militia comprised of Lebanese mercenaries working under the command of Iran’s mullahs, operating under the blasphemously named "Hezbollah." This armed Iranian proxy, through its actions of force, terror, assassinations, wars, and displacement, stands against everything Lebanon represents—justice, rights, love, peace, stability, identity, and openness to the world.
As a result of this occupation, Lebanon is now witnessing a destructive war between Iran's Hezbollah and the State of Israel. This is an Iranian-Israeli war in which Lebanon and its vast majority have no stake. It is not Lebanon's war while Hezbollah initiated it under direct orders from Iran, serving Tehran's terrorist, expansionist, and colonial agendas.
There is no independence to celebrate today. Lebanon has effectively become a Hezbollah state. This failed and rogue state continuously violates the constitution and paralyzes governance. Hezbollah prevents the election of a president, shuts down parliament, and dismantles state institutions.
The current parliament, subservient and failing in its constitutional duties, was formed under an electoral law crafted by Hezbollah to ensure its dominance. This law predetermined the election results before they even took place.
How can we celebrate Independence Day when state institutions are infiltrated, the judiciary is controlled, citizens' savings have been stolen from banks, borders are wide open for smuggling, and chaos reigns? Killings, theft, poverty, displacement, and humiliation define the daily lives of Lebanese citizens.
The independence we should be celebrating today has become an empty memory. True independence will not return to Lebanon until it is liberated from Hezbollah's occupation and Iran's domination. Achieving this liberation requires implementing all international resolutions pertaining to Lebanon, including the Armistice Agreement and Resolutions 1559, 1701, and 1680. It also demands conducting free parliamentary elections under a modern electoral law, eradicating corruption, and holding the corrupt political class accountable.
Until then, Lebanon remains an occupied state, and Independence Day is but a painful reminder of a freedom that is no more.


Elias Bejjani/Walid Jumblat's hypocrisy in politics, his role as a resistance merchant, and his partnership with Berri in everything must end with Hezbollah and Berri.
Elias Bejjani, November 21, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/11/137135/
Jumblat's heresy in demanding the inclusion of Hezbollah elements in the Lebanese army turns the Lebanese army into a new Hezbollah—a legal, jihadist, terrorist party affiliated with the Iranian mullahs and a tool in their hands. This is a suicidal project that eliminates Lebanon and turns it into a militarized Iranian state. Walid Jumblat is a political charlatan and hypocrite. What some call his wisdom and realism is, in reality, nothing more than stupidity, Dhimmitude-taqiyya, and a murderous cowardice.
Jumblat's talk about the Palestinians' right to eternal resistance and Lebanon's refusal to make peace with Israel isolates Lebanon and keeps it a playground-battlefield for charlatans who trade in the Palestinian cause, just as its fate since the establishment of the Israeli State, while all Arab countries have made peace with Israel. Enough of these illusory ideologies.
Iran is the enemy.
Iran is a terrorist and jihadist state that occupies Lebanon through its jihadist, criminal proxy (Hezbollah), the assassination machine, and the Party of the Devil, which specializes in smuggling, drugs, prostitution, and money laundering. It has ruined Lebanon, struck the Shiites, displaced them, killed their youth, and destroyed their areas. Any Lebanese who is Iranian and acts as a cover for the Iranians can go to the Iran. Dr. Charles Chartouni is a Lebanese patriot, brave, and truthful. We need peace with Israel and peace treaties like all Arab countries. Anyone who doesn't like it can go to Iran, which has sold out Hezbollah or failed to protect it and has traded in the Shiites and is fighting through them. Israel is a neighboring country, not an enemy. Lebanon's enemy is Iran, its party, Hezbollah and anyone who carries a Lebanese identity but is loyal to someone other than Lebanon. Enough of the charlatanry and bravado."
Summary of Key Points:
The statement accuses Jumblat of hypocrisy and a "resistance merchant" who has partnered with Hezbollah and Nabih Berri.
Hezbollah is portrayed in the statement as a terrorist organization affiliated with Iran, and its integration into the Lebanese army is seen as a threat to Lebanon's sovereignty.
Iran is blamed according to the statement for Lebanon's problems and is accused of occupying the country through Hezbollah.
The statement advocates for peace with Israel and criticizes those who support the ongoing Palestinian war against Israel, that it has isolated Lebanon.
The statement supports Dr. Charles Chartouni as a true Lebanese patriot and criticizes those who are loyal to Iran.

Elias Bejjani: Text and Video/Naiem Qassem’s Speech:  A Bundle of Deceit, Dhimmitude-Taqiyya, and Political Hypocrisy
November 21, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/11/137102/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTOWTIr-AM&t=103s
Anyone who listened to Sheikh Naiem Qassem’s speech yesterday or read its text would undoubtedly recognize the absolute Iranian identity of Hezbollah. It was glaringly obvious that the speech was packed with lies, hypocrisy, heresies, and delusions that tainted every word Qassem uttered in his recorded address.
In his actions and roles, Qassem is no more than a submissive servant to Iran’s rulers, carrying out their orders without any decision-making power or personal opinion. He is merely a reader of dictated texts, just like all Hezbollah members and leaders, who have been completely subservient to the Iranian mullahs since the organization's establishment in the 1980s as a sectarian, jihadist, Persian, terrorist, and armed proxy fully controlled by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Qassem’s speech yesterday was a blatant example of deceit, Dhimmitude-taqiyya, evasion, and political duplicity. It was summarized in four points, through which he boasted with deceptive and misleading pseudo-Lebanese rhetoric. He said verbatim:
1-"We will rebuild together, in cooperation with the state, all honorable individuals, and the countries and forces that will help, God willing, to restore Lebanon, making it better and more beautiful."
2-"We will actively contribute to electing a President of the Republic through the parliamentary process in accordance with the constitution."
3-"Our political actions and state affairs will remain within the framework of the Taif Accord", in cooperation with political forces."
4-"We will be active in the political arena with our representative and popular strength and our significant presence, to build and protect the nation simultaneously."
It is worth recalling that Hezbollah has never adhered to the "Taif Accord", which explicitly demands the disarmament of all Lebanese and non-Lebanese militias and the transfer of their weapons to the state. It also requires the extension of state authority over all Lebanese territories.
Hezbollah is the antithesis of the "Taif Accord", the constitution, the Lebanese people, civil peace, and freedom. Hezbollah, like a snake, may change its skin but remains venomous, treacherous, and dangerous, never to be trusted.
Hezbollah cannot adopt a Lebanese identity, affiliation, culture, or loyalty. Doing so would nullify its raison d’être as an armed, sectarian, jihadist, Persian and terrorist tool solely serving Iran’s expansionist and imperialist project.
The critical conclusion: Every word spoken by Naiem Qassem, from start to finish, was nothing but bundles of deceit and political duplicity brimming with evasion and Dhimmitude-taqiyya. Accordingly, No one should be deceived by it.
There is no doubt that Hezbollah, in its military, political, or social form, is a Persian cancer and a sectarian, jihadist terrorist tool. Lebanon cannot regain its health, sovereignty, or independence as long as Hezbollah exists. For Lebanon to survive, Hezbollah must be completely dismantled, its existence terminated, and its leaders arrested and tried. Hezbollah is the antithesis of everything Lebanon and Lebanese stand for.

Almost Half of Attacks on Heath Care in Lebanon Have Been Deadly, WHO Says
Asharq Al Awsat/November 22/2024
The World Health Organization says nearly half of the attacks on health care in Lebanon have been deadly since the Middle East conflict erupted in October last year, the highest such rate anywhere in the world. The UN health agency says 65 out of 137, or 47%, of recorded “attacks on health care” in Lebanon over that time period have proven fatal to at least one person, and often many more. WHO’s running global tally counts attacks, whether deliberate or not, that affect places like hospitals, clinics, medical transport, and warehouses for medical supplies, as well as medics, doctors, nurses and the patients they treat. Nearly half of attacks on health care in Lebanon since last October and the majority of deaths occurred since an intensified Israeli military campaign began against Hezbollah in the country two months ago. The health agency said 226 health workers and patients have been killed and 199 injured in Lebanon between Oct. 7, 2023 and this Monday.

Four Italian Peacekeepers Injured in Lebanon, Rome Points to Hezbollah
This is Beirut/November 22, 2024
Four Italian soldiers were lightly hurt in a rocket "attack" on the UN peacekeeping mission in Lebanon, Rome said on Friday, with Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani saying initial evidence pointed to Hezbollah. "It is believed that there were two missiles. From what it appears, they are believed to have been launched by Hezbollah," he said in Turin. A foreign ministry spokesman said the Italians would await an investigation by UNIFIL. A UNIFIL statement issued on Friday afternoon said that “two 122-mm rockets struck the Sector West Headquarters in Shamaa, injuring four Italian peacekeepers who are now receiving treatment at the base hospital. Fortunately, none of the injuries are life-threatening.”It said the rockets, likely launched by Hezbollah or affiliated groups, impacted a bunker and a logistics area used by the international military police, causing significant damage to nearby infrastructure. One of the affected structures caught fire, but the blaze was swiftly extinguished by base personnel. This is the third attack on this UNIFIL base in Shamaa in a week. Today’s attack comes amid heavy shelling and ground skirmishes in the Shamaa and Naqoura areas in recent days, heightening tensions in the region. “UNIFIL strongly urges combating parties to avoid fighting next to its positions. Inviolability of UN premises and personnel must be respected at all times and the deliberate or accidental targeting of peacekeepers serving in south Lebanon must cease immediately to ensure their safety and uphold international law,” the statement said, adding, “Any attack against peacekeepers constitutes a serious violation of International Law and United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701.”"These attacks are unacceptable," Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said in a statement, calling on "the parties on the ground to guarantee, at all times, the safety of UNIFIL soldiers and to collaborate to quickly identify those responsible". She expressed "deep indignation and concern" over "new attacks suffered by the Italian headquarters of UNIFIL in southern Lebanon". Meloni did not attribute blame to Hezbollah. For his part, Defense Minister Guido Crosetto slammed the attack as "intolerable." In a statement, Crosetto said he contacted his Lebanese counterpart, "reiterating that the Italian contingent of UNIFIL remains in southern Lebanon to offer a window of opportunity for peace and cannot become hostage to attacks by militias.""I will try to speak with the new Israeli Minister of Defense, which has been impossible since he took office, to ask him to avoid using UNIFIL bases as a shield," he said. "Even more intolerable is the presence of terrorists in South Lebanon who are endangering the safety of the blue helmets and the civilian population," he added.

Hochstein’s Tour: Key Issues in US Proposed Ceasefire Deal Remain Unresolved
This is Beirut/November 22, 2024
US Presidential envoy Amos Hochstein wrapped up his regional tour on Friday, aimed at promoting an American proposal for a ceasefire in Lebanon, leaving Tel Aviv without issuing any public statements after his meetings. Israeli officials also remained tight-lipped, even as the Israeli military escalated its raids and advanced further into Lebanese territory. In general, an agreement seems unlikely in the near term, as both Israeli and Lebanese officials have reportedly raised substantial concerns over elements of the US-proposed roadmap, a sentiment reflected in various media reports. According to sources cited by the pan-Arab networks Al-Arabiya and Al-Hadath, Israeli officials informed Hochstein of their opposition to France’s involvement in the agreement or its participation in the international committee expected to oversee its implementation.Additionally, the same sources revealed that Israel rejects linking the resolution of six out of thirteen disputed points along the Lebanese-Israeli-Syrian border to the proposed ceasefire deal. Meanwhile, US-based outlet Axios reported on Friday that no ceasefire on the Lebanese front is expected before next week. Similarly, Israeli newspaper Haaretz, citing Israeli sources, indicated that a potential agreement could take several weeks to finalize.
“We are facing a real opportunity for a solution,” US envoy Amos Hochstein said on Wednesday after meeting with Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, calling the discussions “constructive.” He pledged to continue efforts to “narrow differences” and stressed the need to “bridge the gaps.”
While expressing optimism, Hochstein made it clear that the final decision rests with the parties involved, noting that a solution was “within reach.”During his two-day visit to Beirut, which began on Tuesday, the US envoy met with several prominent figures, including Berri, Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, Army Commander-in-Chief General Joseph Aoun, Caretaker Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib, Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea, and former Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Joumblatt. According to Lebanese security sources, the US proposal outlines a 60-day transitional period following a ceasefire. During this time, the Israeli Army would maintain a presence in southern Lebanon, allowing the Lebanese Army to dismantle the remaining elements of Hezbollah’s military infrastructure. If a ceasefire is agreed upon, Lebanon and the Hebrew State would then need to enter negotiations on fully implementing UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which grants the Lebanese Army and UN peacekeeping forces (UNIFIL) exclusive authority over areas south of the Litani River, roughly 30 kilometers from the current Israeli border. However, the American proposal has generated significant controversy, with several of its elements facing strong opposition from both sides. For Israel, a key post-war priority is to control “sensitive” areas in southern Lebanon, in order to prevent Hezbollah from rearming or launching further attacks. This demand has been firmly rejected by Lebanese officials, who view it as a violation of Lebanon’s sovereignty. Hezbollah’s Secretary-General, Naim Qassem, reinforced this stance on Wednesday, stating that the group would “not accept any ceasefire agreement that undermines Lebanon’s sovereignty.”In addition, a senior Lebanese official revealed on Thursday that Lebanon had requested amendments to the US proposal, including a quicker Israeli withdrawal from the South and the recognition of both parties’ right to self-defense. The official stressed that Lebanon is insisting on an immediate Israeli pullback once a ceasefire is implemented, allowing the Lebanese Army to deploy across the region. This would facilitate the rapid return of displaced people to their homes, according to Reuters. Unfortunately, the outcome of these diplomatic efforts remains uncertain. As Lebanon marks the 81st anniversary of its independence, the country continues to face Israeli airstrikes and the persistent drone surveillance overhead, particularly over the capital, casting a shadow over the national day.

Larijani: "Hezbollah Has Not Yet Used Its Important Weapons"
This is Beirut/November 22, 2024
Ali Larijani, senior advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, declared on Friday, that Hezbollah “has not yet used its important weapons” in its war against Israel. In parallel, he emphasized that “if they did, the equation would change radically on the ground and in the region.”In a conversation with the Iranian news agency Tasnim, affiliated to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Larijani also said that his country is “fully convinced” of Hezbollah’s victory over Israel, despite the fact that much of southern Lebanon has been destroyed, as have many neighborhoods in the southern suburbs, that Hezb has lost its main commanders in the war it has imposed on Lebanon, and that the number of Lebanese casualties is exceeding 3,000. After the Israeli attacks with exploding pagers and walkie-talkie devices and the assassination of Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, Ali Larijani, whose statements primarily served a propaganda agenda completely at odds with reality, felt that “the resistance has found new energy and reorganized its leadership, which has led to a change in the situation on the ground.”He went on to say that the message he had delivered last week on behalf of Ayatollah Khamenei to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Lebanese parliamentary speaker Nabih Berry “will certainly have an impact” on the situation in the region, without giving details on the content of this message, to which the two men had, according to him, “reacted appropriately because it corresponds to what the region needs at the moment.”Larijani also claims that Nabih Berri and Bashar al-Assad “view Khamenei as the leader of the region, involved in the resolution of its problems and crises.”

Israeli strikes batter Lebanon, killing five medics
Reuters/November 22, 2024
BEIRUT: Israeli strikes battered southern Lebanon and the outskirts of the capital Beirut on Friday, killing at least five medics, as ground troops clashed with Hezbollah fighters in the south. Israel has pushed on with its intense military campaign against the Iran-backed armed group Hezbollah, tempering hopes that efforts by a US envoy could lead to an imminent ceasefire. US mediator Amos Hochstein said earlier this week in Beirut that a truce was “within our grasp.” He traveled on to meet Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz before returning to Washington, according to the news outlet Axios. His trip aimed to end more than a year of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah along Lebanon’s southern border, which escalated dramatically when Israel ramped up its strikes in late September and sent ground troops into Lebanon on Oct. 1. Israeli troops have fought Hezbollah in a strip of towns all along the border and this week pushed deeper to the edges of Khiyam, a town some six km (four miles) from the border. Hezbollah said it had fired rockets at Israeli troops east of Khiyam at least four times on Friday. Lebanese security sources told Reuters that Israeli troops had also advanced in a string of villages to the west as well. They said Israel was most likely trying to isolate Khiyam ahead of a major attack on the town. Israeli strikes on two other villages in southern Lebanon killed a total of five medics from a rescue force affiliated with Hezbollah, the Lebanese health ministry said. The more than 3,500 people killed by Israeli strikes over the last year include more than 200 medics, the health ministry said. Israel says its aim is to secure the return home of tens of thousands of people evacuated from Israel’s north due to rocket attacks by Hezbollah, which began firing across the border in support of Hamas at the start of the Gaza war in October 2023. Israel also mounted more strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs, a once densely populated stronghold of Hezbollah. It issued evacuation orders on the social media platform X for several buildings in the area on Friday. Reuters footage showed one of the strikes appearing to pierce the center of a multi-story building, sending the whole structure toppling in a massive cloud of smoke.

UN reports heavy clashes between Israeli troops and Hezbollah in south Lebanon
AP/November 22, 2024
BEIRUT: Israeli troops fought fierce battles with Hezbollah fighters on Friday in different areas in south Lebanon, including a coastal town that is home to the headquarters of UN peacekeepers. A spokesman for the UN peacekeeping force known as UNIFIL told The Associated Press that they are monitoring “heavy clashes” in the coastal town of Naqoura and the village of Chamaa to the northeast. UNIFIL’s headquarters are located in Naqoura in Lebanon’s southern edge close to the border with Israel. “We are aware of heavy shelling in the vicinity of our bases,” UNIFIL spokesman Andrea Tenenti said. Asked if the peacekeepers and staff at the headquarters are safe, Tenenti said: “Yes for the moment.”Several UNIFIL posts have been hit since Israel began its ground invasion of Lebanon on Oct. 1, leaving a number of peacekeepers wounded.
The fighting came a day after the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, his former defense minister and a Hamas military leader, accusing them of war crimes and crimes against humanity over their 13-month war in Gaza and the October 2023 attack on Israel respectively. The warrant marked the first time that a sitting leader of a major Western ally has been accused of war crimes and crimes against humanity by a global court of justice. Israel’s war has caused heavy destruction across Gaza, decimated parts of the territory and driven almost the entire population of 2.3 million people from their homes, leaving most dependent on aid to survive. Israel launched its war in Gaza after Hamas-led militants stormed into southern Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, killing some 1,200 people, mostly civilians, and abducting another 250. Around 100 hostages are still inside Gaza, at least a third of whom are believed to be dead. Israel has also launched airstrikes against Lebanon after the Hezbollah militant group began firing rockets, drones and missiles into Israel the day after Hamas’ attack last October. A full-blown war erupted in September after nearly a year of lower-level conflict.

Strikes hit Beirut’s southern suburbs after Israeli evacuation call
AFP/November 22, 2024
BEIRUT: Strikes hit the southern suburbs of Beirut, a bastion of Hezbollah militants, shortly after an Israeli evacuation warning early on Friday, according to Lebanese official media and AFPTV footage. The state-run National News Agency said “enemy warplanes” had carried two raids on south Beirut, and that “thick smoke was seen rising from the vicinity of the Lebanese University” in the Hadath neighborhood. Live AFPTV footage showed plumes of smoke over the area after the Israeli military called for the evacuation of three locations, warning on social media of imminent attacks. The military later said in a statement its “fighter jets completed a new round of strikes” on Beirut’s southern suburbs. The latest raids follow intense Israeli attacks on south Beirut as well as other areas in Lebanon’s south and east, where Israel says it has been targeting Iran-backed Hezbollah militants. More than 11 months of cross-border fire between Israel and Hezbollah over the Gaza conflict escalated into all-out war in September, with Israel conducting an extensive bombing campaign, primarily targeting Hezbollah strongholds, and sending ground troops into southern Lebanon. The Lebanese health ministry said at least 52 people were killed on Thursday in Israeli strikes, including some 40 dead in Lebanon’s east. On Friday, the Israeli army also issued evacuation warnings for parts of the coastal city of Tyre and the nearby Burj Al-Shemali Palestinian refugee camp. The pace of the strikes across Lebanon has increased since US envoy Amos Hochstein ended his visit to Beirut on Wednesday, seeking to broker an end to the Israel-Hezbollah war. Lebanon’s health ministry said Thursday that at least 3,583 people had been killed in the violence since October 2023. Most of the deaths have been since September this year.

Israel hits Lebanon with widespread bombing and shelling, killing at least 47
Doug Cunningham/United Press International/November 22, 2024
Israel Friday continued widespread bombing attacks in southern and eastern Lebanon in a series of air strikes near Beirut and Tyre, killing at least 47 and wounding 22 in Baalbek district strikes, according to Lebanon's Health Ministry. A series of raids hit Dahiya in the southern district of Beirut, according to Israel Defense Forces spokesman Col. Avichay Adraee. The area is largely controlled by Hezbollah, according to the IDF. Dahiya once had a big civilian population but the attacks have displaced many. Palestinian National Authority news agency Wafa reported, "Israeli occupation forces have continued their air and artillery strikes across Lebanon, with airstrikes and shelling targeting various areas of the country, including the capital Beirut, causing widespread destruction to buildings, infrastructure, and civilian homes."According to Wafa, heavy bombardment was reported in Shiyah, Tayouneh, Al-Kafa'at, Haret Hreik, Hadath, and Ghobeiri. Residential neighborhoods and local infrastructure was severely damaged. Tyre was hit along with the smaller towns and villages that included Ghazieh, Al-Burj Al-Shamali, Al-Maashouq, Maarakeh, Choukin, Ain Qana, Mayfoudoun, Nakoura, and others in southern Lebanon. Israeli artillery shelling also hit thetowns near the Israeli border, including Kfar Kila, Shihine, Jibeen, Al-Qatarani, Khiyam, Alma al-Shaab, Ain Alma, and Arnoun among others. Turkey's state-run Anadolu Agency reported six towns were hit in Lebanon's the Baalbek district about 42 miles northeast of Beirut.
Baalbek-Hermel Gov. Bachir Khodr wrote on X that the district experienced a "very violent day." "The number of martyrs has so far reached 47, with 22 injured," he wrote. China's state-run Xinhua news agency, citing anonymous Lebanese military sources, said Israeli warplanes launched 19 airstrikes on 16 villages and towns in southern Lebanon and five raids on four villages and towns in eastern Lebanon, while Israeli artillery shelled 14 border towns and villages with about 75 shells. World Health Organization representative in Lebanon Abdinasir Abubakar told reporters Friday Lebanon's health system has been hit in 126 attacks this year, mostly on ambulances. They have killed 233 health workers and hurt 183 others. The bombing and artillery attacks came a day after U.S. envoy Amos Hochstein spoke with Israeli officials in Israel to try to get a cease-fire agreement. He had been in Beirut earlier in the week for two days of talks there. According to the New York Times, an Israeli official expressed "cautious optimism" about reaching a finalized deal, while a Lebanese official said it's essentially up to Israel whether to strike a cease-fire agreement.

Israeli strike destroys building in Beirut's southern suburbs

Reuters/November 22, 2024
The casualty toll since Oct. 2023 stands at more than 3,583 people killed in Lebanon, the Lebanese health ministry said on Thursday, (November 21) most of them killed during the Israeli offensive since September. The figures do not distinguish between combatants and civilians. Hezbollah strikes have killed more than 100 people in northern Israel and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. They include more than 70 soldiers killed in strikes in northern Israel and the Golan Heights and in combat in southern Lebanon, according to Israel. U.S. mediator Amos Hochstein was in Israel for talks with Israeli officials on Wednesday (November 20) to try to secure a ceasefire which he said was "within our grasp" during a visit to Beirut the day before.

Heavy clashes between Hezbollah and Israeli forces in south Lebanon
Associated Press/November 22, 2024
Israeli troops fought fierce battles with Hezbollah fighters on Friday in different areas in south Lebanon, including a coastal town that is home to the headquarters of U.N. peacekeepers. A spokesman for the U.N. peacekeeping force known as UNIFIL told The Associated Press that they are monitoring “heavy clashes” in the coastal town of Naqoura and the village of Shamaa to the northeast. UNIFIL’s headquarters are located in Naqoura in Lebanon’s southern edge close to the border with Israel. “We are aware of heavy shelling in the vicinity of our bases,” UNIFIL spokesman Andrea Tenenti said. Asked if the peacekeepers and staff at the headquarters are safe, Tenenti said: “Yes for the moment.” Several UNIFIL posts have been hit since Israel began its ground invasion of Lebanon on Oct. 1, leaving a number of peacekeepers wounded.

Reports: Israel rejects French role in Lebanon truce as Lebanese, US officials optimistic
Naharnet/November 22, 2024
Israel has told U.S. mediator Amos Hochstein that it rejects France's participation in the monitoring committee that will supervise any ceasefire agreement with Lebanon, Arab and Israeli media reports said on Friday. U.S. sources meanwhile told Israel's Channel 12 that Israel and Lebanon are nearing an agreement that "could be finalized within days.""The contacts might lead to a ceasefire ageement by the weekend if no obstacles come up," Lebanese official sources told Sky News Arabia overnight. Al-Jadeed TV meanwhile reported that "the U.S. received signals from Israel that the meetings were positive, but the agreement needs further discussions."

Fresh Israeli airstrikes target Beirut southern suburbs
Agence France Presse/November 22, 2024
Strikes hit the southern suburbs of Beirut shortly after an Israeli evacuation warning early on Friday, according to Lebanese official media and AFPTV footage. The state-run National News Agency said Israeli warplanes had carried two raids on south Beirut, and that "thick smoke was seen rising from the vicinity of the Lebanese University" in the Hadath neighborhood. Live AFPTV footage showed plumes of smoke over the area after the Israeli military called for the evacuation of three locations, warning on social media of imminent attacks. The military later said in a statement its "fighter jets completed a new round of strikes" on Beirut's southern suburbs. The latest raids follow intense Israeli attacks on south Beirut as well as other areas in Lebanon's south and east, where Israel says it has been targeting Iran-backed Hezbollah militants. More than 11 months of cross-border fire between Israel and Hezbollah over the Gaza conflict escalated into all-out war in September, with Israel conducting an extensive bombing campaign, primarily targeting Hezbollah strongholds, and sending ground troops into southern Lebanon. The Lebanese health ministry said at least 52 people were killed on Thursday in Israeli strikes, including some 40 dead in Lebanon's east. On Friday, the Israeli army also issued evacuation warnings for parts of the coastal city of Tyre and the nearby Burj al-Shamali Palestinian refugee camp. The pace of the strikes across Lebanon has increased since U.S. envoy Amos Hochstein ended his visit to Beirut on Wednesday, seeking to broker an end to the Israel-Hezbollah war. Lebanon's health ministry said Thursday that at least 3,583 people had been killed in the violence since October 2023. Most of the deaths have been since September this year.

Israeli strikes in Lebanon kill more than 50 people nationwide
Associated Press/November 22, 2024
Israeli strikes killed at least 51 people on Thursday in towns and villages across Lebanon, according to the country's Health Ministry. In eastern Lebanon, intensified Israeli airstrikes killed 40 people in 10 different towns in Baalbek province, the ministry said. Rescuers were searching under the rubble of destroyed buildings, said Gov. Bachir Khodr, calling it “a very violent day” in his province. In southern Lebanon, five people were killed by an Israeli strike in Tyre province, and seven others were killed by a strike in Nabatiyeh province, the Health Ministry said. As of Thursday, the Health Ministry has recorded at least 3,583 people killed and 15,244 wounded in Lebanon during the 13-month war between Hezbollah and Israel, with the majority of casualties taking place after Israel’s escalation and ground offensive in late September.

Four Italy peacekeepers hurt in new UN Lebanon 'attack'
Agence France Presse/November 22, 2024
Four Italian soldiers have been lightly hurt in an "attack" by two rockets on the UN peacekeeping mission in Lebanon (UNIFIL), Italian authorities said Friday. "I have learned with deep indignation and concern of the news of the new attacks suffered by the Italian headquarters of UNIFIL in southern Lebanon, which have also caused the injury of some of our soldiers engaged in a peacekeeping mission," Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said in a statement.

Almost half of attacks on heath care in Lebanon have been deadly, WHO says
Associated Press/November 22, 2024
The World Health Organization says nearly half of the attacks on health care in Lebanon have been deadly since the Middle East conflict erupted in October last year, the highest such rate anywhere in the world. The U.N. health agency says 65 out of 137, or 47%, of recorded “attacks on health care” in Lebanon over that time period have proven fatal to at least one person, and often many more. WHO’s running global tally counts attacks, whether deliberate or not, that affect places like hospitals, clinics, medical transport, and warehouses for medical supplies, as well as medics, doctors, nurses and the patients they treat.
Nearly half of attacks on health care in Lebanon since last October and the majority of deaths occurred since an intensified Israeli military campaign began against Hezbollah militants in the country two months ago. The health agency said 226 health workers and patients have been killed and 199 injured in Lebanon between Oct. 7, 2023 and this Monday.

'Significant progress' in Lebanon-Israel talks but no deal before 'next week'

Naharnet/November 22, 2024
Significant progress has been made towards a ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel, but there are still some gaps to be closed, Israeli and U.S. officials told U.S. news portal Axios on Thursday. The report comes after U.S. mediator Amos Hochstein held talks in Israel with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Israel Katz, Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer and Army chief Herzi Halevi. "Hochstein is expected to fly back to Washington tonight and an agreement is not expected to be announced before next week," Israeli officials told Axios. "The (Israeli) political-security cabinet is expected to receive an update on the status of the talks during its meeting tonight, but it seems that there will be no vote," Axios reported. A senior U.S. official meanwhile told Axios that "we are moving in the right direction, but there is still work to be done." "Negotiations are continuing with both sides," the official added. Lebanese official sources were more optimistic, telling Sky News Arabia that "the contacts might lead to a ceasefire ageement by the weekend if no obstacles come up."Israeli officials meanwhile told Israeli newspaper Maariv that "there is a clear desire by the parties to reach a settlement." "Hochstein conveyed a clear message to the Lebanese: 'It's time to reach a settlement, don't miss the opportunity,' and it seems that the message was received," Maariv added. "As part of the settlement, Israel will maintain freedom of action in Lebanon and there will be a strong and significant enforcement mechanism. It seems that the Lebanese side has started to digest it," the newspaper said. It added: "The settlement is indeed close, but it will not happen tomorrow. Even after the talks that Hochstein had in Lebanon and Israel, there are still final gaps that must be closed." "The U.S. envoy is about to return to the United States. All parties in the negotiations will hold consultations and continue contacts and it is estimated that a settlement can be reached within a few weeks, perhaps even within two weeks," Maariv added.

Israel probes death of 70-year-old 'history researcher' in Lebanon battles
Associated Press/November 22, 2024
The Israeli military has launched an investigation into the death of a 70-year-old Israeli man who entered Lebanon with Israeli forces and was killed in a Hezbollah ambush. Investigators are trying to determine, among other things, who allowed Zeev Erlich into the combat zone with the forces and why he was permitted to enter. According to Israeli media reports, Erlich was not on active duty when he was shot, but was wearing a military uniform and had a weapon. The army said he was a reservist with the rank of major and identified him as a “fallen soldier” when it announced his death. Erlich was a well-known West Bank settler and researcher of Jewish history. Media reports said Erlich was permitted to enter Lebanon to explore a local archaeological site. The army said a 20-year-old soldier was killed in the same incident, while an officer was badly wounded. The army announced Thursday that the chief of staff, Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, has appointed a team of experts “to examine and strengthen operational discipline and military culture” following the incident. It said its commander for northern Israel, Maj. Gen. Ori Gordin, would launch a separate “command inquiry,” while Israeli military police conduct a separate probe. Such investigations can lead to criminal charges.

Fairouz, musical icon of war-torn Lebanon, turns 90

Agence France Presse/November 22, 2024
Legendary Arab singer Fairouz, whose ballads have told of love, her native Lebanon and the Palestinian cause, turned 90 on Thursday as her conflict-weary country is wracked by the Israel-Hezbollah war. Social media users lit up the internet with her songs and tributes to the Lebanese star, who has seldom been seen in public in recent years but remains a rare symbol of national unity in the crisis-hit country. In one for her most well-known songs, which came out during Lebanon's civil war, Fairuz crooned: "I love you, oh Lebanon, my country, I love you."
In a post on Instagram, French President Emmanuel Macron said Fairouz "embodies the soul of this region with dignity." She "watches over the hearts of many Palestinians and Lebanese who are deprived of the peace they deserve," Macron said. Composer and oud player Marcel Khalife, in a tribute on social media platform X, wrote: "My homeland is Fairouz's voice."Born Nouhad Haddad in 1934 to a working-class Christian family in Beirut's Zokak al-Blat district, Fairouz -- a stage name that means "turquoise" in Arabic -- studied at the national music conservatory as a teenager. She shot to fame after her first performance at the Baalbek International Festival in 1957. On Monday, Zokak al-Blat was the target of a deadly Israeli strike, while Baalbek's ancient ruins, where the music festival is still held annually, were granted "provisional enhanced protection" by UNESCO amid the Israel-Hezbollah conflict.
Fairouz, her composer husband Assi Rahbani and his brother Mansour revolutionized traditional Arabic music by merging classical Western, Russian and Latin elements with eastern rhythms and a modern orchestra. Fairouz worked closely with her eldest son Ziad, known as the "enfant terrible" of the Lebanese stage and song, who composed Arabic music for her with a jazz influence. Fairouz's reign as the queen of Arabic music was partly thanks to her championing the Palestinian cause, including "Sanarjaou Yawman" or "We Shall Return One Day", an elegy to Palestinians exiled by the creation of Israel in 1948.
She won national acclaim for remaining in Lebanon throughout the country's 1975-1990 civil war, and for refusing to side with one faction over another. In 2020, France's Macron kicked off a trip to Lebanon by calling on Fairouz, awarding her France's Legion of Honour.
It was a rare public appearance for the aging star that delighted the country, which at the time was reeling from a catastrophic explosion at Beirut's port.

The Overlooked Aspect of Lebanon's 1943 Independence
Michel Touma/This is Beirut/November 22, 2024
For many years, the Lebanese have marked the anniversary of November 22 with a sense of disillusionment, reflecting on the advanced state of decline of Lebanon’s independence, proclaimed in 1943. This feeling of bitterness has been exacerbated by a series of regional interventions, which have fostered a chronic climate of instability and discord within the country. From Nasser's Egypt in the late 1950s to the Iranian mullah regime, as well as Yasser Arafat's PLO and Hafez el-Assad’s regime from the 1960s to the 1990s, the core principles of the state's sovereignty have been consistently undermined over time. A retrospective glance at history reveals the underlying causes that have steadily eroded the national autonomy process.
When, in 1943, the two fathers of independence, Bechara el-Khoury and Riad Solh, alongside other prominent figures, succeeded in ending the French mandate, they had to establish the character of the new Lebanon and define its political system. This task was particularly challenging, as the country was divided by two conflicting lines: the Christians, generally aligned with the West, and the Muslims, who were drawn to calls for Arab nationalism and unity. To reconcile these two divergent sensitivities, Bechara el-Khoury and Riad Solh crafted a historic approach that would shape the foundation for the new Lebanese entity. They thus reached an unwritten pact, which later became known as the National Pact of 1943. This pact entailed a dual commitment: the Christians would turn away from their Western orientation, while the Muslims would relinquish their aspirations for Arab unity. The essence of the pact was encapsulated in the equation "neither East nor West," or more precisely, neither Westernization nor Arabization. In short, borrowing a term commonly used in contemporary political discourse, Bechara el-Khoury and Riad Solh had opted for Lebanon’s neutrality as a strategy to defuse the tensions by the two opposing views: the pro-Western stance and the pan-Arab aspirations. To translate the Pact’s core principles into reality, it was crucial to simultaneously establish the framework for the political system and lay the foundations for the equitable distribution of power between Christians and Muslims. This gave rise to the Lebanese Formula, which set the terms for how communities would participate at different levels of power. This formula would later be known as political confessionalism.
Foreign Interferences and Violations of the Pact
Lebanon’s persistent crises and wars over the past decades stem from the flawed application of the Lebanese formula and repeated violations of the National Pact, largely driven by foreign interferences. The earliest indication of the Pact’s violation dates back to the late 1950s, during the Cold War. At that time, Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser, promoting pan-Arabism, aligned to the Soviet bloc, to support his vision of transnational Arab unity. This ideology found significant support among many Lebanese, particularly within the Sunni community, undermining the Pact’s foundational principles.
President Camille Chamoun perceived this wave of Nasserist support as a potential avenue for Soviet influence in Lebanon. In response, he sought US military intervention, calling on the Marines and endorsing the Eisenhower Doctrine, which aimed to curb communist expansion in the region.
The Palestinian, Syrian and Iranian Factors
The Sunni street’s embrace of Nasser’s pan-Arab aspirations, alongside President Chamoun’s pro-Western stance, marked the first major violation of the Pact, ultimately culminating in the bloody events of 1958.
Stability was only partially restored when General Fouad Chehab assumed the presidency and brokered an American-mediated agreement of non-interference with Nasser, reasserting Lebanon’s neutrality. This led to a temporary restoration of independence and internal calm. However, this stability was soon disrupted by regional turmoil surrounding the Palestinian issue and the broader Israeli-Arab conflict. In the late 1960s, the establishment of Palestinian armed groups in Arkoub (the Fatahland) in South Lebanon, and the widespread popular support, particularly among the Islamo-leftist factions, for the free operation of the fedayeen (Palestinian militants) came at the expense of Lebanon’s sovereignty. This development marked another stark violation of the National Pact, as ideological and strategic motives once again took precedence over state sovereignty.
This trend of disregarding for the Pact persisted through the 1980s and until 2005, with Lebanon subordinating itself to Syrian occupation under the guise of fostering “privileged relations” with Damascus. The situation further deteriorated after 2005 with Iran’s growing influence in Lebanon, compounded by Hezbollah’s submission to the wilayat al-faqih (Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic) on key strategic decisions, including matters of war and peace, delivering a yet more profound blow to the National Pact.
The Absence of Governance
The ongoing disregard and repeated violations of the solemn commitment made by Presidents Bechara el-Khoury and Riad Solh in 1943 account for the crises and wars that have destabilized Lebanon in recent decades. However, these breaches were also enabled by an equally serious issue: the mismanagement, or even the absence of governance, that has plagued the implementation of the Lebanese Formula. This neglect of public affairs was evident from the very beginning. Georges Naccache, founder of L’Orient and a trailblazer in Francophone journalism, underscored this in a 1949 editorial: “What is called the state is nothing but a filthy fairground open to the most audacious adventurers, who have looted the nation’s wealth.” Over seventy years later, his assessment remains strikingly relevant.
Beyond governance failures, Naccache highlighted an even deeper problem in his celebrated editorial, “Two Negations Do Not Make a Nation.” Published on March 10, 1949, this incisive critique of the National Pact earned him three months of imprisonment and a six-month suspension of L’Orient. Naccache offered a piercing observation of the Pact’s essence (neither East nor West; “neither the West nor Arabization”): “What half of the Lebanese do not want is very clear; what the other half does not want is equally clear; but what both halves want in common is what we cannot see.”
That was 1949. In 2024, Lebanon still stands at the same crossroads. It is undeniably time for Lebanon’s diverse communities to unite in crafting a shared vision for the nation’s destiny and political identity. Embracing the neutrality enshrined in the National Pact is an essential step toward reclaiming and effectively managing an independence that is far too long overdue.

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on November 22-23/2024
Monitor raises toll in Israel strikes on Syria’s Palmyra to 92
AFP/November 22, 2024
BEIRUT: A Syria war monitor said on Friday that Israeli strikes on the city of Palmyra this week killed 92 pro-Iran fighters, after a United Nations representative said they were likely the deadliest to date. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said Wednesday’s attack targeted three sites in Palmyra, with one hitting a meeting of pro-Iranian groups that also involved commanders from Iraq’s Al-Nujaba group and Lebanon’s Hezbollah. The toll has risen to “92 dead: 61 Syrian pro-Iran fighters,” 11 of them working for Hezbollah, “and 27 foreign nationals mostly from Al-Nujaba, plus four from Hezbollah,” the Observatory said. The Britain-based war monitor, which relies on a network of sources inside Syria, had previously reported 82 dead, while the Syria defense ministry on Wednesday said 36 people were killed. The UN deputy special envoy to Syria, Najat Rochdi, told the Security Council on Thursday that the raid was “likely the deadliest Israeli strike in Syria to date.”The Observatory said the strikes also targeted “a weapons depot near the industrial area” in Palmyra, a modern city adjacent to globally renowned Greco-Roman ruins. Since civil war erupted in Syria in 2011, Israel has carried out hundreds of strikes in the country, mainly targeting the army and Iran-backed groups. Israel rarely comments on individual strikes in Syria but has repeatedly said it will not allow Iran to expand its presence in the country. The Israeli military has intensified its strikes on targets in Syria since almost a year of hostilities with Iran-backed Hezbollah in neighboring Lebanon escalated into full-scale war in late September.

Israelis unite behind their prime minister as Netanyahu faces an international arrest warrant
Ivana Kottasová, CNN/November 22, 2024
ICC arrest warrant for Netanyahu ‘a gut punch’ for Israel, says journalistScroll back up to restore default view. A decision by the International Criminal Court to issue arrest warrants for Israeli officials was met with anger and annoyance at Jerusalem’s bustling Mahane Yehuda Market. But the most palpable sentiment was one of unity. “I think it’s terrible. What about Putin? What about the real evil people?” Sarita Katzin Sarfati said about the court’s decision to call for the arrest of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant for war crimes committed in Gaza after the October 7 attack on Israel last year. “Netanyahu is thinking about his people… and I think that all the world should support us and Bibi is our prime minister, and they should support Bibi as well,” Sarita told CNN, using the Israeli nickname for Netanyahu. As shoppers rushed through the narrow alleyways of the market, Netanel Yehuda told CNN he too was outraged. “I’m against it. We’re a nation, we are independent, and we can take our own decision here. Nobody else can tell us to put someone in jail or anything else,” he said.
That sentiment is shared by many in Israel, according to experts.
Gil Siegal, a legal scholar at the Ono Academic College in Israel, said The Hague-based court’s decision has united Israelis, many of whom believe the ICC and other international organizations, including the United Nations, are biased against their country.“Israelis come together when under pressure,” he told CNN. “We can disagree because we think Netanyahu should do A over B, fine, but when the outer world is coming to get us, so to speak… this external pressure is a uniting force, not a breaking force,” he said. Many Israelis still support the war in Gaza, he said, seeing it as a just fight and the only means to keep their country safe. And while many oppose Netanyahu and his government – mass protests calling for his resignation are now happening weekly – most feel he has been targeted unfairly by the ICC and see the move as an attack on Israel rather than just the prime minister. The limited opposition to the war is motivated by the rising death toll of Israeli soldiers in Gaza and the hope that a ceasefire would secure the release of the 101 hostages still held there, with the suffering of Palestinians largely absent from the anti-war discourse. This is partly because the shock of the brutal October 7 terror attack, during which Hamas-led militants killed more than 1,200 people, is still raw in the country. Many Israelis know someone who was directly impacted by the attack and most have family members or friends who are currently fighting in Gaza or are serving in the military in another capacity.
Portraits of the hostages are on display across Israel, along the sea promenade in Tel Aviv and in the arrivals hall at the country’s airport. Some Israelis are also outraged that the ICC issued warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant alongside one for Mohammed Al-Masri, also known as Mohammed Deif, the Hamas leader who Israel claims was one of the masterminds of the October 7 attack.
The ICC “is saying that Gallant and Netanyahu are equal to Mohammed Deif… this is something that Israelis truly cannot comprehend, truly, truly cannot comprehend,” Siegal said.
Yael Vias Gvirsman represents the families of hundreds of Israeli victims of the October 7 attacks at the ICC and was in The Hague on Thursday when the warrants were issued. She said the warrant against Deif was an important recognition “that Hamas attacks consisted of extermination, torture, rape and other sexual crimes and inhumane treatment” and that it was good news for families she represents. “It’s the first step for recognition and the first step for them rebuilding their lives,” she said. But she added that the simultaneous warrants against Netanyahu and Gallant were understandably met with “great shock” in Israel, “because it is a nation at its most difficult hour.”The court said it found “reasonable grounds” to believe that Netanyahu bears criminal responsibility for war crimes including “starvation as a method of warfare” and “the crimes against humanity of murder, persecution, and other inhumane acts.”
More than 43,000 Palestinians have been killed since October 7 last year, according to the health ministry in Gaza. Netanyahu denounced the ICC move on Thursday, calling it an “antisemitic decision” and “a modern Dreyfus trial,” referring to the 1894 wrongful conviction of Jewish-French soldier Alfred Dreyfus, an affair that has since come to symbolize antisemitic persecution. The prime minister said the ICC judges were “motivated by antisemitic sentiments against the one and only Jewish state.” Meanwhile, opposition leader Yair Lapid called the arrest warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant a “reward for terrorism.”
Implications for soldiers fighting in Gaza
While the ICC arrest warrants target only Netanyahu and Gallant, some are worried about the implications for the Israel Defense Forces and its soldiers. Conscription is mandatory for most Jewish Israelis and some 300,000 reservists have been called up because of the war, on top of the estimated 170,000 active-duty soldiers. The right-wing Israeli legal organization Shurat HaDin has warned about the arrest warrants “creating a dangerous precedent for the ICC to target other democratic armies and leaders.” The group has long warned about the ICC possibly opening a criminal investigation against Israeli soldiers. Legal action at the ICC against Israeli soldiers, it said on its website, would “carry devastating effects” on Israel, and cause immediate personal risk to individuals “whose only blame is for serving their country and fighting terror.”
Refusals by potential recruits and reservists to serve are rare in Israel, but there are signs that they have been increasing amid the global outrage over the toll of the war in Gaza. Taking an unusually public stance, a group of more than 130 Israeli reservists signed an open letter to Netanyahu and Gallant last month, stating that they refuse to serve unless a deal is signed to end the war and bring back the hostages, saying that for some of them “the red line has already been crossed.”Soul Behar Tsalik, an Israeli who intends to refuse his mandatory enlistment in the IDF next week, said the ICC warrant strengthens his commitment to refuse. “Israel’s war machine does not only destroy Gaza but also hurts Israelis – in body and in spirit,” he told CNN. “I hope the ICC’s ruling will help make a change, will make my fellow Israelis realize the truth and severity of the claims against our leaders, and push Israel to leave Gaza, free the hostages and end the occupation as soon as possible.” Breaking the Silence, an organization of Israeli veterans who oppose the war in Gaza and the occupation of the West Bank, was a rare voice of support for the ICC’s decision.
It said in a statement that the “flood of condemnations, an array of whataboutisms and countless allegations of antisemitism” was indicative of the Israeli “society’s insistence, even now, to not see what we are doing in Gaza.”

Israel says to end ‘administrative detention’ for West Bank settlers
AFP/November 22, 2024
JERUSALEM: Israeli authorities will stop holding Jewish settlers in the occupied West Bank under administrative detention, or incarceration without trial, the defense ministry announced Friday. The practice allows for detainees to be held for long periods without being charged or appear in court, and is often used against Palestinians who Israel deems security threats.Defense Minister Israel Katz said it was “inappropriate” for Israel to employ administrative detention against settlers who “face severe Palestinian terror threats and unjustified international sanctions.”But, according to settlement watchdog Peace Now, it is one of only few effective tools that Israeli authorities to prevent settler attacks against Palestinians, which have surged in the West Bank over the past year. Katz said in a statement issued by his office that prosecution or “other preventive measures” would be used to deal with criminal acts in the West Bank.
B’Tselem, an Israeli rights group, said authorities use administrative detention “extensively and routinely” to hold thousands of Palestinians for lengthy periods of time. The Palestinian Prisoners Club advocacy group said in August that 3,432 Palestinians were held in administrative detention. Israeli daily Haaretz reported on Friday that eight settlers were held under the same practice in November. Yonatan Mizrahi, director of settlement watch for Peace Now, said that although administrative detention was mostly used in the West Bank to detain Palestinians, it was one of the few effective tools for temporarily removing the threat of settler violence through detention. “The cancelation of administrative detention orders for settlers alone is a cynical... move that whitewashes and normalizes escalating Jewish terrorism under the cover of war,” the group said in a statement, referring to a spike in settler attacks throughout the Israel-Hamas conflict over the past 13 months. Western governments, including Israel’s ally and military backer the United States, have recently imposed sanctions on Israeli settlers and settler organizations over ties to violence against Palestinians. On Monday, US authorities announced sanctions against Amana, a movement that backs settlement development, and others who have “ties to violent actors in the West Bank.” “Amana is a key part of the Israeli extremist settlement movement and maintains ties to various persons previously sanctioned by the US government and its partners for perpetrating violence in the West Bank,” the US Treasury said. Excluding Israeli-annexed east Jerusalem, the West Bank — which Israel has occupied since 1967 — is home to three million Palestinians as well as about 490,000 Israelis living in settlements that are illegal under international law.

Record 281 aid workers killed in 2024, says UN, with 1 month left
AFP/November 22, 2024
Geneva: A staggering 281 aid workers have been killed around the world so far this year, making 2024 the deadliest year for humanitarians, the UN aid chief said Friday.“Humanitarian workers are being killed at an unprecedented rate, their courage and humanity being met with bullets and bombs,” said Tom Fletcher, the United Nations’ new under-secretary-general for humanitarian affairs and emergency relief coordinator. With more than a month left to go of 2024, the “grim milestone was reached,” he said, after 280 humanitarians were killed across 33 countries during all of 2023.
“This violence is unconscionable and devastating to aid operations,” Fletcher said. Israel’s devastating war in Gaza was driving up the numbers, his office said, with 333 aid workers killed there — most from the UN agency supporting Palestinian refugees, UNRWA — since Hamas’s Oct. 7, 2023 attacks, which sparked the war. “States and parties to conflict must protect humanitarians, uphold international law, prosecute those responsible, and call time on this era of impunity,” Fletcher said. Aid workers were subject to kidnappings, injuries, harassment and arbitrary detention in a range of countries, his office said, including Afghanistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Sudan, and Ukraine. The majority of deaths involve local staff working with non-governmental organizations, UN agencies and the Red Cross Red Crescent movement, Fletcher’s office said. “Violence against humanitarian personnel is part of a broader trend of harm to civilians in conflict zones,” it warned. “Last year, more than 33,000 civilian deaths were recorded in 14 armed conflicts — a staggering 72 percent increase from 2022.”The UN Security Council adopted a resolution last May in response to the surging violence and threats against aid workers. The text called for recommendations from the UN chief — set to be presented at a council meeting next week — on measures to prevent and respond to such incidents and to increase protection for humanitarian staff and accountability for abuses.

Israel armys says ‘eliminated’ five Hamas militants in north Gaza raid

AFP/November 22, 2024
JERUSALEM: The Israeli military said on Friday it had “eliminated” five Hamas militants, including two commanders, in an overnight raid in northern Gaza’s Beit Lahia.
In a statement, the military and the Shin Bet security agency said they had “eliminated five Hamas terrorists, including a Nukhba (commando) company commander and an additional company commander who participated in the October 7 massacre” that sparked the Gaza war last year, adding that the slain militants had “led the murders and kidnappings in the area of Mefalsim,” a kibbutz in southern Israel.

Gaza ministry: hospitals to cut or stop services ‘within 48 hours’ over fuel shortages
AFP/November 22, 2024
GAZA: The Hamas government’s health ministry warned Friday all hospitals in Gaza would have to stop or reduce services “within 48 hours” for lack of fuel, blaming Israel for blocking its entry. “We raise an urgent warning as all hospitals in Gaza Strip will stop working or reduce their services within 48 hours due to the occupation’s (Israel’s) obstruction of fuel entry,” Marwan Al-Hams, director of Gaza’s field hospitals, said during a press conference.

UN could meet with Israel PM despite warrant: UN

AFP/November 21, 2024
UNITED NATIONS: The arrest warrant issued against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over the war in Gaza does not bar UN officials from meeting with him in the course of their work, the UN said Thursday. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres and Netanyahu have not spoken since the war started as a result of the Hamas attack against Israel on October 7, 2023, although there have been contacts with the Israeli leader by UN officials in the region. Guterres has been declared persona non grata by Israel, which accuses him of being biased in favor of the Palestinians. So talks between him and Netanyahu are very unlikely. After the warrants issued Thursday by the International Criminal Court against Netanyahu, former defense minister Yoav Gallant and Hamas’s military chief Mohammed Deif, UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric said UN policy on contacts with people facing arrest warrants dates back to a document issued in 2013. “The rule is that there should not be any contacts between UN officials and individuals subject to arrest warrants,” Dujarric said. But limited contacts are allowed “to address fundamental issues, operational issues, and our ability to carry out our mandates,” he added. In late October, at a summit of the BRICS countries in Russia, Guterres met with President Vladimir Putin, who faces an arrest warrant from the ICP over the war in Ukraine. That meeting, during which Guterres reiterated his condemnation of the Russian invasion, angered Ukraine.

Palestinians welcome ICC arrest warrants for Israeli PM and former defense minister
Arab News/November 22, 2024
LONDON: Palestinians welcomed the decision by the International Criminal Court on Thursday to issue arrest warrants for Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his former minister of defense, Yoav Gallant. The Palestinian Authority said the court’s decision comes as Israeli forces continue to bomb Gaza in a conflict that has killed nearly 45,000 Palestinians since the Oct. 7 attacks by Hamas, and it hopes the ruling will help to restore faith in international law, the official Palestinian WAFA news agency reported. Netanyahu and Gallant are the first leading officials from a nation allied with the West against whom the ICC has issued arrest warrants since the court was established in July 2002. It also issued an arrest warrant for Mohammed Deif, the head of the military wing of Hamas. Israeli authorities said in August he was killed by their forces in an attack the previous month, though Hamas have not confirmed this. All three men are accused of war crimes and crimes against humanity over their actions during the war in Gaza or the Oct. 7 attacks. The PA said the decision to issue warrants against Netanyahu and Gallant was important because Palestinians “are being subjected to genocide and war crimes, represented by starvation as a method of warfare,” as well as mass displacement and collective punishment. The PA, which signed up to the ICC in 2015, called on all UN member states to ensure the warrants are acted upon and to “cut off contact and meetings with the international wanted men, Netanyahu and Gallant.” Israel is not a member of the ICC. The EU’s chief diplomat, Josep Borrel, posted a message on social media platform X on Thursday in which he described the court’s decisions as “binding” on all those who have signed up to it. “These decisions are binding on all states party to the Rome Statute (the treaty that established the ICC), which includes all EU member states,” he wrote. Netanyahu, Israel’s longest-serving prime minister who has spent 17 years in office during three spells in charge since 1996, denounced the decision by the ICC to issue the warrant as “antisemitic.”He said it would “have serious consequences for the court and those who will cooperate with it in this matter.”

UK would arrest Netanyahu over ICC warrant: Senior politician

Arab News/November 22, 2024
LONDON: The UK will arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu if he enters the country, a senior British politician has said. The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Netanyahu on Thursday for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity, alongside his former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, pertaining to the Gaza war. Emily Thornberry — Labour chair of the foreign affairs committee, and former shadow foreign secretary and shadow attorney general — told Sky News: “If Netanyahu comes to Britain, our obligation under the Rome Convention would be to arrest him under the warrant from the ICC. “(It is) not really a question of should — we are required to, because we are members of the ICC.”UK Home Secretary Yvette Cooper has refused to be drawn on whether Netanyahu would be arrested if he set foot on British soil, saying it “wouldn’t be appropriate for me to comment.”She told Sky: “We’ve always respected the importance of international law, but in the majority of the cases that they pursue, they don’t become part of the British legal process. “What I can say is that obviously, the UK government’s position remains that we believe the focus should be on getting a ceasefire in Gaza.”Netanyahu’s arrest warrant is the first to be issued against the premier of a major Western ally by an international court for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity. His office denounced the warrant as “anti-Semitic,” adding that Israel “rejects with disgust the absurd and false actions.” Israel is not an ICC member and rejects the court’s jurisdiction. US President Joe Biden called the warrants against Netanyahu and Gallant “outrageous,” adding: “Whatever the ICC might imply, there is no equivalence — none — between Israel and Hamas.” Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said he plans to invite Netanyahu to visit Budapest, adding that the arrest warrant will “not be observed” by his government. The Italian and French governments, however, have indicated that Netanyahu will be arrested if he visits either country. The ICC said on Thursday it has “reasonable grounds to believe” that Netanyahu and Gallant “bear criminal responsibility” for “the war crime of starvation as a method of warfare; and the crimes against humanity of murder, persecution, and other inhumane acts.”The court also issued a warrant for Hamas commander Mohammed Diab Ibrahim Al-Masri for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity. Israel says Al-Masri, believed to have been the mastermind behind the Hamas attack of Oct. 7, 2023, was killed in Gaza earlier this year. The ICC said it issued the warrant for his arrest because of insufficient evidence to prove his death.

Iran says it is activating new centrifuges after being condemned by UN nuclear watchdog
Mohammed Tawfeeq, Eyad Kourdi and Jessie Yeung, CNN/November 22, 2024
Iran announced Friday it was activating new advanced centrifuges – which enrich uranium for the country’s nuclear program – after the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog criticized the country for not cooperating with the agency. Iran will activate “a noticeable number of new and advanced centrifuges of different types,” state news agency IRNA reported, citing a joint statement from Iran’s foreign ministry and its Atomic Energy Organization. “The steps are being taken to protect the country’s interests and further develop the peaceful nuclear energy,” in line with national needs and within Iran’s rights, the statement said according to IRNA. Injecting gas into centrifuges is part of the process to enrich uranium, which could ultimately be used to develop a nuclear weapon, though Iran has repeatedly denied it has any ambitions of building a bomb. The move was in response to the UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), whose board passed a resolution Thursday ordering Iran to urgently improve its cooperation with the agency. In a statement, the IAEA said it reiterated calls “upon Iran to fully cooperate with the Agency and decided that it is essential and urgent in order to ensure verification of the non-diversion of nuclear material that Iran act to fulfil its legal obligations.” The resolution also requires the IAEA “to produce a comprehensive and updated assessment on the possible presence or use of undeclared nuclear material in connection with past and present outstanding issues regarding Iran’s nuclear programme,” the statement said. The IAEA and Iran have long tussled over various issues, including traces of uranium found at locations that have not been declared nuclear sites. On Thursday, the IAEA board also asked the agency to compile an assessment of whether Iran had possible undeclared nuclear material, and of its cooperation with the organization. Iran decried the resolution, claiming in the joint statement that it was politically motivated, IRNA reported. The statement added that Iran would continue its technical and safeguards cooperation with the IAEA as previously agreed. In a statement Thursday, Iran’s foreign ministry claimed the resolution was made “under pressure and insistence from three European countries and the US,” and warned it could trigger “an appropriate response from Iran.”Iran maintains its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes only. But IAEA chief Rafael Mariano Grossi has previously warned that Tehran has enough uranium enriched to near-weapons-grade levels to make “several” nuclear bombs if it chose to do so. He has acknowledged the UN agency cannot guarantee that none of Iran’s centrifuges may have been peeled away for clandestine enrichment. Israel Defense Minister Gideon Sa’ar also praised the IAEA’s resolution, writing on X that “Iran’s nuclear race must be stopped.” The resolution “is a significant part of the diplomatic effort to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons,” Sa’ar wrote. Under the terms of the nuclear deal struck in 2015, Iran was limited to operating around 5,000 older-model centrifuges, and the nation was allowed to use advance centrifuges for research purposes only. But Tehran gradually scaled back its commitments to the nuclear deal after then-President Donald Trump withdrew from the pact in 2018 and reimposed economic sanctions on Iran, which crippled its economy. By 2019, Iran was launching new centrifuges in a major break from the deal. Earlier this year, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that Iran’s breakout time – the amount of time needed to produce enough weapons grade material for a nuclear weapon – “is now probably one or two weeks,” the shortest breakout time that US officials have ever referenced.

Iran Guards chief says Netanyahu ICC warrant ‘political death’ of Israel

AFP/November 22, 2024
TEHRAN: The head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards on Friday described the arrest warrant issued by the International Criminal Court for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and a former defense minister as the “end and political death” of Israel, in a speech. “This means the end and political death of the Zionist regime, a regime that today lives in absolute political isolation in the world and its officials can no longer travel to other countries,” Revolutionary Guards chief General Hossein Salami said in the speech aired on state TV. In the first official reaction by Iran, Salami called the ICC warrant “a welcome move” and a “great victory for the Palestinian and Lebanese resistance movements,” both supported by the Islamic republic. Israel and its allies criticized the ICC’s decision to issue an arrest warrant on Thursday for Israeli Premier Benjamin Netanyahu and the country’s former defense minister Yoav Gallant. The court also issued a warrant for the arrest of Hamas’s military chief Mohammed Deif. The warrants against Netanyahu and Gallant were issued in response to accusations of crimes against humanity and war crimes during Israel’s war against Hamas in the Gaza Strip, sparked by the Palestinian militant group’s attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. The move drew angry reactions from Netanyahu, who denounced it as antisemitic and from Israel’s closest allies, including the United States, but was welcomed by rights groups including Amnesty International. The ICC’s move theoretically limits the movement of Netanyahu, as any of the court’s 124 national members would be obliged to arrest him on their territory. The court’s chief prosecutor Karim Khan urged the body’s members to act on the warrants, and for non-members to work together in “upholding international law.”

Orban Invites Netanyahu to Hungary as ICC Warrant Divides Europeans
Asharq Al Awsat/November 22/2024
Prime Minister Viktor Orban invited Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu on Friday to visit Hungary but several other European nations said the Israeli premier would be detained if he set foot on their soil, following the issuing of an arrest warrant for him. The International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants on Thursday for Netanyahu, his former defense chief Yoav Gallant, and for a Hamas leader, Ibrahim Al-Masri, for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in the Gaza conflict. All EU countries are members of the court, which means they are supposed to enforce its warrants. But the diverging reactions - and the fact that EU heavyweights Germany and France have not said if they would arrest Netanyahu - highlight the major diplomatic and political challenge posed by the ICC decision, which drew swift condemnation from Israeli leaders and the White House. "For us Europeans, this warrant exposes a real dilemma between international law, which is our law, and our foreign policy, especially for those member states that are unconditionally backing Israel," Eurointelligence analysts wrote in a note. Assuring Netanyahu that he would face no risks if he visited Hungary, Orban branded the arrest warrants a "brazen, cynical and completely unacceptable decision". Orban, who is often at odds with his EU peers, has forged warm ties with Netanyahu. "Today I will invite Israel's prime minister, Mr. Netanyahu, for a visit to Hungary and in that invite, I will guarantee him that if he comes, the ICC ruling will have no effect in Hungary, and we will not follow its contents," Orban said. The ICC, which does not have its own police force to carry out arrests, has only limited diplomatic means to force countries to act if they do not want to.
The Netherlands, Italy, Spain, Finland, Portugal, Slovenia and Ireland, are among EU states that have said they would meet their ICC commitments. Netanyahu will be arrested if he set foot in Ireland, Irish Prime Minister Simon Harris told RTE radio. "Yes absolutely. We support international courts and we apply their warrants," Harris said. Cyprus, which has close ties to Israel, regards the warrants as binding in principle, a government source told Reuters.
GERMANY TORN
But Berlin declined to spell out what it would do until and unless Netanyahu planned to travel to Germany, adding that legal questions had to be clarified regarding the warrant. Germany "is one of the biggest supporters of the ICC - this attitude is also the result of German history," a government spokesperson said. "At the same time, it is a consequence of German history that we share unique relations and a great responsibility with Israel," the spokesperson added, alluding to the Nazi era. France was also non-committal, toning down its initial reaction, which had been to say that its response would align with ICC statutes. Paris said on Friday it took note of the ICC decision but that it was not a ruling but a "formalization of an accusation". France has been working on Lebanon ceasefire efforts and officials said cornering Netanyahu now could scupper those efforts. Non-EU Britain - also an ICC member - was similarly circumspect in its response. In the Netherlands, far-right leader Geert Wilders said he would meet his "friend" Netanyahu in Israel soon, even though the Dutch government has said it will act on the ICC's arrest warrant if the Israeli leader were to visit the country. Wilders is the leader of the largest Dutch government party, but is not himself a cabinet member. The Czech Republic, which like neighboring Hungary has traditionally sided with Israel, appeared similarly conflicted.The Czech foreign ministry said Prague would respect its international legal obligations, while Prime Minister Petr Fiala described the ICC decision as "unfortunate" and said it would undermine the court's authority. Israel launched its assault on Gaza after Hamas-led fighters stormed across the border fence, killed 1,200 people and seized more than 250 hostages on Oct. 7, 2023, according to Israeli tallies. Since then, more than 44,000 Palestinians have been killed in Gaza, according to the health ministry there.

NATO and Ukraine to Hold Emergency Talks after Russia’s Attack with New Hypersonic Missile
Asharq Al Awsat/November 22/2024
NATO and Ukraine will hold emergency talks Tuesday after Russia attacked a central city with an experimental, hypersonic ballistic missile that escalated the nearly 33-month-old war.
The conflict is “entering a decisive phase,” Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Friday, and “taking on very dramatic dimensions.” Ukraine’s parliament canceled a session as security was tightened following Thursday's Russian strike on a military facility in the city of Dnipro. In a stark warning to the West, President Vladimir Putin said in a nationally televised speech to his nation that the attack with the intermediate-range Oreshnik missile was retaliation for Kyiv’s use of US and British longer-range missiles capable of striking deeper into Russian territory. Putin said Western air defense systems would be powerless to stop the new missile. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov kept up Russia's bellicose tone on Friday, blaming “the reckless decisions and actions of Western countries” in supplying weapons to Ukraine to strike Russia. "The Russian side has clearly demonstrated its capabilities, and the contours of further retaliatory actions in the event that our concerns were not taken into account have also been quite clearly outlined," he said. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, widely seen as having the warmest relations with the Kremlin in the European Union, echoed Moscow's talking points, suggesting the use of US-supplied weapons in Ukraine likely requires direct American involvement. “These are rockets that are fired and then guided to a target via an electronic system, which requires the world’s most advanced technology and satellite communications capability,” Orban said on state radio. “There is a strong assumption ... that these missiles cannot be guided without the assistance of American personnel.”Orban cautioned against underestimating Russia’s responses, emphasizing that the country’s recent modifications to its nuclear deployment doctrine should not be dismissed as a “bluff.” “It’s not a trick... there will be consequences,” he said. Separately in Kyiv, Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavský called Thursday's missile strike an “escalatory step and an attempt of the Russian dictator to scare the population of Ukraine and to scare the population of Europe.”
At a news conference with Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha, Lipavský also expressed his full support for delivering the necessary additional air defense systems to protect Ukrainian civilians from the “heinous attacks.”He underlined that the Czech Republic will impose no limits on the use of its weapons and equipment given to Ukraine. Three lawmakers from Ukraine's parliament, the Verkhovna Rada, confirmed that Friday's previously scheduled session was called off due to the ongoing threat of Russian missiles targeting government buildings in central Kyiv.
In addition, there also was a recommendation to limit the work of all commercial offices and nongovernmental organizations "in that perimeter, and local residents were warned of the increased threat,” said lawmaker Mykyta Poturaiev, who added this is not the first time such a threat has been received. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s office continued to work in compliance with standard security measures, a spokesperson said. Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate said the Oreshnik missile, whose name in Russian means “hazelnut tree,” was fired from the Kapustin Yar 4th Missile Test Range in Russia’s Astrakhan region, and flew 15 minutes before striking Dnipro. The missile had six nonnuclear warheads each carrying six submunitions and reached a spoeed of Mach 11, it said. Test launches of a similar missile were conducted in October 2023 and June 2024, the directorate said. The Pentagon confirmed the missile was a new, experimental type of intermediate-range missile based on its RS-26 Rubezh intercontinental ballistic missile. Thursday's attack struck the Pivdenmash plant that built ICBMs when Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union. The military facility is located about 4 miles (6 1/2 kilometers) southwest of the center of Dnipro, a city of about 1 million that is Ukraine’s fourth-largest and a key hub for military supplies and humanitarian aid, and is home to one of the country’s largest hospitals for treating wounded soldiers from the front before their transfer to Kyiv or abroad.
The stricken area was cordoned off and out of public view. With no fatalities reported from the attack, Dnipro residents resorted to dark humor on social media, mostly focused on the missile’s name, Oreshnik. Elsewhere in Ukraine, Russia struck a residential district of Sumy overnight with Iranian-designed Shahed drones, killing two people and injuring 13, the regional administration said..Ukraine’s Suspilne media, quoting Sumy regional head Volodymyr Artiukh, said the drones were stuffed with shrapnel elements. “These weapons are used to destroy people, not to destroy objects,” said Artiukh, according to Suspilne.

World leaders split as ICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu
AFP/November 22, 2024
PARIS: Israel and its allies denounced the International Criminal Court’s decision to issue an arrest warrant Thursday for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, even as Turkiye — and rights groups — welcomed the move. The court also issued warrants for Israel’s former defense minister as well as Hamas’s military chief Mohammed Deif. They were issued in response to accusations of crimes against humanity and war crimes in Israel’s war on Hamas in Gaza, set off by the militant Palestinian group’s October 7, 2023 attack. “The anti-Semitic decision of the International Criminal Court is comparable to the modern-day Dreyfus trial — and it will end in the same way,” Netanyahu said in a statement. He was referring to the 19th-century Alfred Dreyfus affair in which a Jewish army captain was wrongly convicted of treason in France before being exonerated. “The ICC issuance of arrest warrants against Israeli leaders is outrageous,” US President Joe Biden said in a statement. “Let me be clear once again: whatever the ICC might imply, there is no equivalence — none — between Israel and Hamas. We will always stand with Israel against threats to its security.” Argentina “declares its deep disagreement” with the decision, which “ignores Israel’s legitimate right to self-defense against the constant attacks by terrorist organizations like Hamas and Hezbollah,” President Javier Milei posted on social media platform X. “(It’s) an important step toward justice and can lead to redress for the victims in general, but it remains limited and symbolic if it is not supported by all means by all countries around the world,” Hamas political bureau member Bassem Naim said of the warrants against Israeli politicians. “It is not a political decision,” said EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell, speaking during a visit to Jordan. “It is a decision of a court, of a court of justice, of an international court of justice. And the decision of the court has to be respected and implemented.”“This arrest warrant against Mr.Deif is massively significant,” said Yael Vias Gvirsman, who represents 300 Israeli victims of the October 7 Hamas attacks. “It means these victims’ voices are being heard,” she added, speaking from outside the court in The Hague. The Palestinian Authority, a rival of Hamas, said that “the ICC’s decision represents hope and confidence in international law and its institutions.”It urged ICC members to enforce “a policy of severing contact and meetings’ with Netanyahu and Gallant. “Prime Minister Netanyahu is now officially a wanted man,” said Amnesty’s Secretary General Agnes Callamard. “ICC member states and the whole international community must stop at nothing until these individuals are brought to trial before the ICC’s independent and impartial judges.” “The ICC arrest warrants against senior Israeli leaders and a Hamas official break through the perception that certain individuals are beyond the reach of the law.” The ICC’s decision “is a belated but positive decision to stop the bloodshed and put an end to the genocide in Palestine,” Turkish Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunc said on X. Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan welcomed the warrants as “an extremely important step.” Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto said his country would be obliged to arrest Netanyahu and Gallant if they visited, although he added he believed the ICC was “wrong” to put Netanyahu on the same level as Hamas. Spain said it would follow the ruling, with official sources telling AFP the country “respects the decision and will conform to its commitments and obligations in compliance with the Rome Statute and international law.”“It is important that the ICC carries out its mandate in a judicious manner. I have confidence that the court will proceed with the case based on the highest fair trial standards,” Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide said. “Sweden and the EU support the important work of the court and safeguard its independence and integrity,” Foreign Minister Maria Malmer Stenergard said. “The fight against impunity wherever crimes are committed is a priority for Belgium, which fully supports the work of the (ICC),” Belgium’s foreign ministry said on X. “Those responsible for crimes committed in Israel and Gaza must be prosecuted at the highest level, regardless of who committed them.”


The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources on November 22-23/2024
Socio-Feudalism's War on the Individual
Daniel Greenfield/Gatestone Institute/November 22, 2024
The transformation of the medieval world into the modern world came about with the idea that man could and should transform his lot in life. The liberal individualism of the Enlightenment however was soon countered by reactionary movements, feudal and socio-feudal, seeking to put the genie of individual autonomy back in the box through collectivist movements.
Socialism postured as progressive when it was reactionary. Its leaders, most often hailing from the upper class and upper middle class, reverted newly liberated societies in Russia and China back to feudalism under the guise of liberating them. The Bolsheviks took Czarist feudalism and rebranded it as collective farming, forbidding the "liberated" farmers from owning property or livestock, and even from leaving their farms to seek a better life in the big cities.
The empowerment of the individual had given way to the enslavement of man in the service of an ideal society. Individuals were once again worthless, except as they fit into a larger plan.
The ultimate struggle will be less about movements and more about individuals. The more the system fails, the more repressive it will become. And only millions of individuals can defeat it.
Socio-feudalism has the destruction of individual autonomy as its central goal. Socialists justify the elevation of the collective over the individual through fatalism about the role of man: All evidence to the contrary, man has no ability to change his lot in life. He is only an atom in the larger phalanxes of life. As Robert Owen, the father of British Socialism, told the US Congress in an address in 1825, man "never did, nor is it possible he ever can, form his own character." Pictured: The decaying remains of houses in Owen's failed utopian socialist town of New Harmony, Indiana. (Photo by iStock/Getty Images)
The transformation of the medieval world into the modern world came about with the idea that man could and should transform his lot in life. The liberal individualism of the Enlightenment however was soon countered by reactionary movements, feudal and socio-feudal, seeking to put the genie of individual autonomy back in the box through collectivist movements.
Among the most prominent of these was what would eventually be called socialism. While early socialist movements had been a radical Christian heresy emphasizing communal living, these experiments invariably failed on a local level, leaving behind a trail of wrecked lives.
Nineteenth-century radical theorists began laying out plans for the communal transformations of entire societies. Fourier's socialist "phalanxes" which would influence everything from Soviet communal farms to hippie communes in the United States, were feudal mass communities with no private property and everyone assigned a role in life under the rule of a centralized "omniarch".
Socialists had to justify the elevation of the collective over the individual through fatalism about the role of man. All evidence to the contrary, man has no ability to change his lot in life. He is only an atom in the larger phalanxes of life. As Robert Owen, the father of British Socialism, told the US Congress in an address in 1825, man "never did, nor is it possible he ever can, form his own character," but is "universally plastic" and socialists could make him over into anything at all.
The US Declaration of Independence asserted that man was born free, but to the socialists he was born a slave and the best that he could ever hope for was to be a slave to the right cause.
Ralph Waldo Emerson insightfully critiqued Fourier:
"He treats man as a plastic thing, something that may be put up or down, ripened or retarded, moulded, polished, made into solid, or fluid, or gas, at the will of the leader... but skips the faculty of life, which spawns and scorns system and system-makers, which eludes all conditions, which makes or supplants a thousand phalanxes and New-Harmonies with each pulsation.
Was man a "plastic thing" or the bearer of the mystery of the "faculty of life"?
Leftist revolutionary movements might begin by hailing the power of the individual, but invariably ended up in a socio-feudalism system making malleable man over to fit the five-year plan.
Socialism postured as progressive when it was reactionary. Its leaders, most often hailing from the upper class and upper middle class, reverted newly liberated societies in Russia and China back to feudalism under the guise of liberating them. The Bolsheviks took Czarist feudalism and rebranded it as collective farming, forbidding the "liberated" farmers from owning property or livestock, and even from leaving their farms to seek a better life in the big cities.
The empowerment of the individual had given way to the enslavement of man in the service of an ideal society. Individuals were once again worthless, except as they fit into a larger plan.
The socialist argument against individualism was human fallibility. The muckrakers gathered every example of misery and described them as social ills that society had to collectively remedy. Outwardly private philanthropic organizations claimed to help the poor, but their embrace of eugenics, including mandatory sterilization, seizing children from parents, prohibition, and greater state intervention, including mandatory centralized state education, set a pattern that was innately socialist even when its proponents avoided the use of the word.
Every crisis, including World War I and the Great Depression, was seen as a reason for replacing smaller institutions with larger ones and further disempowering the individual. Hitler's National Socialist party blamed Germany's loss in WWI partly on free enterprise. Roosevelt and the Democrats blamed the Great Depression on free enterprise. Both built state systems for seizing control of it. The Russian Bolsheviks not only blamed individual farmers for their famine, but used it to wipe them out.
The post-war economic rebound in America and Europe did not end socialism, but rebooted it, with governments confiscating even more wealth for "the benefit of society." The macro conflicts of WWII and the Cold War, the threat of nuclear annihilation, were used to define the individual as too small to make a difference on his or her own except as part of a larger mass movement.
In the 1960s, class warfare gave way to identity politics. Individuals had to join groups to fight for a fairer society. What governmental institutions had failed to accomplish in fully transforming man, the new movements set out to accomplish in the psychedelic decade. The individual was told that liberation would come from losing his bourgeois background, worldview, inhibitions, morality and values to a new emerging humanistic blob shooting along the rainbow to the right side of history.
The 1980s marked a reassertion of individual priorities over mass movements. The movements that had broken the country were distrusted. Socio-feudalism struck back with an environmental crisis taking place on such a scale that individuals were nothing when measured against it. Global authorities had to immediately seize total power to save the human race.
Environmentalism has brought socio-feudalists closest to realizing Fourier's vision of abolishing private property and packing everyone off to collective compounds with a defined role in life: Man has had his day, but individuals can't help selfishly wrecking the planet. Only subservience to larger systems can stop global warming, end human misery and transform the world.
A new wave of gender identity activism further eliminated the line between the individual and the state. The personal was political at the most granular level. The pronouns you used, the products you bought, whether you left the light on or not, were political choices. Human existence became a series of political tests measuring allegiance to a state ideology.
When the personal is political, there is nothing personal left to the individual.
Socio-feudalism had contrived to reduce man to a state of total subservience.
Medieval England banned playing games, especially "fute-ball" because it was seen as a distraction from the priorities of the state. Postmodern California passed two laws outlawing Indian mascots, along with plastic bags, gendered toys and a thousand other things.
Postmodern man occupies a world of illusory technologies and shrinking possibilities where children are discouraged from riding bikes, packed off to early schooling at toddlerhood and indoctrinated to believe that their playthings are the reason for the destruction of the world.
Socio-feudalism has the destruction of individual autonomy as its central goal, and the pandemic lockdowns showed how easy that goal is to achieve in the face of a crisis. Government could and did assert control over what an individual could wear and whether he could leave the house. The public eventually responded to it not with a mass movement, as those mostly failed or were repressed, but by unilaterally discarding the prohibitions of the state.
Americans had ultimately fulfilled Emerson's faith in "the faculty of life, which spawns and scorns system and system-makers, which eludes all conditions." And that is why socio-feudalism will fail unless it can reduce mankind to a state of abject helplessness, ignorance and fear. That is what Communist and Islamist regimes strove for, with varying degrees of success. And it is still the great aim of socio-feudalism today.
The ultimate struggle will be less about movements and more about individuals. The more the system fails, the more repressive it will become. And only millions of individuals can defeat it.
*Daniel Greenfield is a Shillman Journalism Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center.
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The New Torture Industry of Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, China and India: Abductions, Beatings and Death

Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/November 22, 2024
“Transnational repression” is a little-known practice that refers to pressure exerted by a government, through illegal or violent means, to silence expat citizens of other nations, increasingly, those living in the West.
A recent report, based on the audio recording of a Pakistani state agent trying transnationally to repress a Pakistani expat living in Australia – written for Drop Site News by Ryan Grim and Murtaza Hussain – exposes the practice:
A government—or individuals working at the behest of a government to target its rivals —cracking down on the political activity of people who live outside its borders. The act goes beyond a typical human rights abuse because it not only violates the rights of its immediate target, but also challenges the sovereignty of the nation the victim calls home.
In short, transnational repression exists when a government, such as the Chinese Communist Party, tracks, intimidates and persecutes you from one country to another. The report continues:
When Saudi Arabia sent a hit squad to murder American journalist and resident Jamaal Khashoggi in Istanbul, the killing was seen not just as an act of aggression against the free press, but as a slap in the face of both Turkey and the United States….
‘Australians would be alarmed to learn of foreign governments using coercive measures against Australia citizens and their families,’ said Andrew Wilkie, a member of Australia’s House of Representatives, responding to Shabbir’s case.
The recording (which was translated into English and can be heard here) is of a call made to Salman Shabbir, an Australian citizen of Pakistani descent, who runs a small X account called Citizen Action, focused on promoting democratic reform in Pakistan. Among other things, he has helped collect and circulate letters and petitions concerning Pakistan’s abysmal human rights record and its rigged elections, and has called for outside investigations.
Prior to the call made to Shabbir, his brother had been abducted by half a dozen men dressed in black. Shabbir responded by posting about the abduction on his Citizen Action account. On the following day, he received a call from his brother’s number.
After briefly hearing his brother’s voice, another man yanked the phone and asked, “Where is your brother?”
“Now listen to me,” the man proceeded, “and don’t try to pull a trick or be clever. If you do, you will create problems for your brother.”
The man, who only towards the end of the call identified himself simply as “Hamza,” went on to warn Shabbir against interfering with Pakistani politics, especially seeing that he had relocated from Pakistan and now lives in Australia: “You should mind your own business… You should not be indulging in Pakistan’s affairs.”
Shabbir was then asked who runs the Citizen Action portal. When Shabbir replied that he did, “Hamza” ordered him to give him his username and password. When Shabbir objected, “Hamza” said, “If you don’t send it, we have your brother with us, and you will be responsible.” The call ended.
Later that day, the phone rang again, and Shabbir heard his brother’s voice: “Salman, brother, this bro has got me here and I am in a lot of trouble and I request you to please do as they say.”
When Shabbir asked what they wanted, his brother said, “You are speaking against the government of Pakistan—don’t do it, otherwise I would run into trouble.”
After asking him about his well-being and gathering that his brother had been tortured, Shabbir said, “Ok, I won’t speak against the government. All good?”
At this point, the brother addressed his abductor, “Sir, do you have another demand?”
“Hamza” went on to say that he no longer needed the username and password, but rather that Shabbir needed instantly to delete his more recent post saying his brother had been abducted, and instead say that it had all been a mistake. When Shabbir said he would do so only after he knew that his brother had been released and was home safe, his brother pled for him to comply without condition: “Salman, they will torture me!”
The phone was again seized from his brother, and “Hamza” returned: “Right now, I have abducted your brother, next time I will bring your whole family.”
Sounds of a beating are then heard.
“Did you hear that?”
“Yes, I heard,” Shabbir responds.
The beating and screams continue until Shabbir agrees to delete the tweet and cease criticizing Pakistan. His brother was released soon after.
Shabbir later learned that his brother had been taken to a nearby jail, held in a traditional cell, all of which confirmed that his brother’s abductors and torturers were state agents, most likely of the notorious Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI).
Discussing this incident with Drop Site News, Shabbir said:
They told me to be quiet so that there could be ‘stability’ in Pakistan, but it is their own actions that are causing instability. I told them that what they were doing was illegal, counterproductive, but they mocked me when I mentioned the law and forced me to listen to them torturing my brother on the phone.
As unsettling as such dispatches may be in the West, they are also unsettlingly common. The report lists several more examples of Pakistani expatriates being threatened, or their family members being threatened and attacked, if the expatriate does not cease casting a negative spotlight on Pakistan:
American citizens—even ones with celebrity status in Pakistan—have not been spared from this dragnet. Salman Ahmad, a Pakistan-American physician and well-known musician with the Pakistani rock band Junoon, said that he has faced violence targeting his family in Pakistan, including the abduction and torture of his brother-in-law last year. Ahmad is a supporter of imprisoned former prime minister Khan, and his family was targeted as a result of his activism. Like Shabbir, he also received demands to hand over his internet passwords and other personal information.
Ahmad said during an interview:
My family and I feel like hunted animals. The psychological torture is made worse by the physical threats to our lives and businesses. We’re taking on the ISI because we’re dead anyway.
In a separate incident, as Wajahat Saeed Khan, a veteran Pakistani journalist and permanent U.S. resident and his partner were preparing dinner in their NY apartment, an anonymous number called. Picking it up, Khan’s partner was greeted by the voice of an unfamiliar man who immediately began rattling off the names and addresses of her relatives living in Pakistan, where she was born. When the woman asked who the caller was, he replied,
We know who you are, and you know who we are. Maybe you should tell your gentleman caller [Khan] to relax, and to stop doing his work with so much anger.
These practices, according to the report, are not limited to beatings and threats:
Over the past several years, a number of Pakistani dissidents have died in murky circumstances abroad. Among them was Sajjid Hussain, a Pakistani journalist who had been granted asylum in Sweden and found dead in 2020, as well as Karima Baloch, a dissident human rights activist who died in Canada the same year. In 2022, a British man was found guilty in a murder-for-hire plot targeting Waqas Goraya, a Pakistani blogger living in exile in the Netherlands and vocal critic of the government. And last year, prominent Pakistani journalist Arshad Sharif was murdered in Kenya after likely being tortured, a Kenyan court concluded.
While the above reports from Pakistan underscore the terrors involved with transnational repression, they are not limited to Pakistan. Many more high profile cases have taken place at the hands of Saudi Arabia—which assassinated dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi in Turkey in 2018—and of India, which assassinated Hardeep Singh Nijjar, a Sikh political dissident and separatist living in Canada last year.
During a US Congressional hearing on transnational repression held earlier this year in response to the assassination of Nijjar, John Sifton of Human Rights Watch underscored the chilling effect such foreign governments have on legitimate criticism and consequently reform:
Transnational repression leads to self-censorship. Even if some reporters and human rights defenders continue their work, others cannot afford to do so. As a result, intended research and reporting on a government’s human rights record does not happen.
The Drop Site report relates:
Despite the objections of some members of Congress over increasing repression and the rigging of elections this February, the U.S. has continued to embrace the military-backed Pakistani government.
The hug apparently includes a planned $101 million aid package and an IMF loan for Pakistani arms to Ukraine.
Drop Site continues:
A spokesperson for the State Department said they couldn’t comment publicly on individual cases involving private citizens or residents, but added, ‘the Department takes allegations of abuse or mistreatment of U.S. citizens, permanent residents, and international visitors by foreign entities very seriously. We coordinate closely with other federal, state, and local authorities to engage local communities on their concerns, and always encourage individuals with safety or

Question: “Why should we study the Old Testament?”
GotQuestions.org//November 22, 2024
Answer: There are many reasons to study the Old Testament. For one, the Old Testament lays the foundation for the teachings and events found in the New Testament. The Bible is a progressive revelation. If you skip the first half of any good book and try to finish it, you will have a hard time understanding the characters, the plot, and the ending. In the same way, the New Testament is only completely understood when we see its foundation of the events, characters, laws, sacrificial system, covenants, and promises of the Old Testament.
If we only had the New Testament, we would come to the Gospels and not know why the Jews were looking for a Messiah (a Savior King). We would not understand why this Messiah was coming (see Isaiah 53), and we would not have been able to identify Jesus of Nazareth as the Messiah through the many detailed prophecies that were given concerning Him [e.g., His birth place (Micah 5:2), His manner of death (Psalm 22, especially verses 1, 7–8, 14–18; 69:21), His resurrection (Psalm 16:10), and many more details of His ministry (Isaiah 9:2; 52:13)].
A study of the Old Testament is also important for understanding the Jewish customs mentioned in passing in the New Testament. We would not understand the way the Pharisees had perverted God’s law by adding their own traditions to it, or why Jesus was so upset as He cleansed the temple courtyard, or where Jesus got the words He used in His many replies to adversaries. The Old Testament records numerous detailed prophecies that could only have come true if the Bible is God’s Word, not man’s (e.g., Daniel 7 and the following chapters). Daniel’s prophecies give specific details about the rise and fall of nations. These prophecies are so accurate, in fact, that skeptics choose to believe they were written after the fact.
We should study the Old Testament because of the countless lessons it contains for us. By observing the lives of the characters of the Old Testament, we find guidance for our own lives. We are exhorted to trust God no matter what (Daniel 3). We learn to stand firm in our convictions (Daniel 1) and to await the reward of faithfulness (Daniel 6). We learn it is best to confess sin early and sincerely instead of shifting blame (1 Samuel 15). We learn not to toy with sin, because it will find us out (Judges 13—16). We learn that our sin has consequences not only for ourselves but for our loved ones (Genesis 3) and, conversely, that our good behavior has rewards for us and those around us (Exodus 20:5–6).
A study of the Old Testament also helps us understand prophecy. The Old Testament contains many promises that God will yet fulfill for the Jewish nation. The Old Testament reveals such things as the length of the Tribulation, how Christ’s future 1,000-year reign fulfills His promises to the Jews, and how the conclusion of the Bible ties up the loose ends that were unraveled in the beginning of time.
In summary, the Old Testament allows us to learn how to love and serve God, and it reveals more about God’s character. It shows through repeatedly fulfilled prophecy why the Bible is unique among holy books—it alone is able to demonstrate that it is what it claims to be: the inspired Word of God. In short, if you have not yet ventured into the pages of the Old Testament, you are missing much that God has available for you.

Russia: The Big Enchilada for Trump
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/November 22/2024
Can Donald Trump bring peace to Ukraine in a day as he asserted during the presidential campaign even before he enters the White House?
The short answer is: no.
To be sure, his election has helped change the tone of the protagonists.
Ukrainian President Wolodymir Zelensky says he is ready to work for peace in 2025.
Russian President Vladimir Putin, too, has readmitted the word “peace” into his vocabulary. The trouble is that both leaders have also attached modifiers that cast a long shadow of doubt in the noble word. Zelensky’s modifier is “just” when in reality there has never been and will never be a peace that is accepted as just by both sides of a war. Peace will be possible only if it is considered or imposed on its own, naked and free of adjectival ornaments.
There are, as yet, no signs that either Zelensky or Putin is prepared to drop the conditions they attach to any movement towards peace.
Next question: Can Trump end the war without a formal peace? Again the short answer must be: no. Both sides still have enough weapons, money, hate-fueled energy and foreign support to keep the killing machine in motion. Neither can afford to emerge as the loser because in Zelensky’s case that could cost him his life while in the case of Putin the end of a political career to say the least. Attempts to end this war and move towards peace started from the first day of the Russian invasion on February 24, 2022. Two days after the invasion, French President Emmanuel Macron phoned Putin to present himself as peacemaker. He continued his peacemaking by phone for several months until he realized that there are more things in heaven and earth than are dreamt of in the Elysees Palace.
However, Macron wasn’t alone to succumb to the temptation of casting oneself as peacemaker. Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski says only Putin can end this war in 15 minutes, presumably by ordering a ceasefire and declaring victory. American columnist Anne Applebaum believes that the war will end when Putin’s career ends.
British pundit Niall Fergusson suggests that to end the war, Putin must be roundly defeated in the battleground. Others speculate that Putin will end the war after invading Moldova and annexing Transnistria which, when added to his annexation of Crimea, South Ossetia and Abkhazia would secure him a placed in the gallery of Russian military heroes from Peter the Great to Josef Stalin. Anti-American figures cynically advise Europeans to learn to fight their own wars, forgetting about “Big Brother America”, thus encouraging Putin’s dream of de-coupling Europe and the United States. Ever since the war started no one expected it to last so long. After a few months, however, it was absorbed into the organized chaos of human existence as “one of those things”. NATO powers led by the United States have found the cost affordable with the added advantage of giving their arm industries a fantastic boost while, in the case of Europeans, almost doubling expenditure on defense without their bleeding-heart constituencies murmuring a complaint. China may also be happy to see the war go on a bit longer. It has punctured Russia’s superpower balloon and made it dependent on China for political support and as a market for Russian oil and gas. That in turn forces Iran to offer even larger discounts for oil sold to China. Europe has a long history of long wars such as the 100-Years and the 30-Years War, a history forgotten with the two short world wars of the 20th century.
So, what can Trump do? He can’t bring peace if neither side is ready for it. He can’t end the war as long as it has not crossed the threshold of pain not only in Ukraine and Russia but globally. What he can do is to pause the war and a suggested timeframe to consider other options including an interim status quo. In his best-seller book “The Art of the Deal” Trump insists on never regarding a deal as impossible. He then suggests not to try for a deal without having leverage. Whether anyone likes it or not, the United States under a serious administration that knows what it wants has that leverage. That in the case of Ukraine needs no elaboration. In the case of Russia that leverage is the promise to help the former superpower a pathway to inclusion in the global system with a status commensurate with its history, geopolitical importance and legitimate ambitions.
The challenge that Trump faces is much bigger than ending the war in Ukraine which can be ended through tested diplomatic methods used in a number of similar cases after World War II.
The big enchilada is to bring Russia in from the cold, something that successive US administrations took seriously enough. Can Trump do it? When in his first presidential term he launched his Peace of Abraham plan, I was among those who doubted his success. So this time I keep my fingers crossed. In is “The Art of the Deal” Trump writes “I like thinking big. I always have. To me it’s very simple: If you’re going to be thinking anyway, you might as well think big.”