English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For March 16/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For
today
Jesus sighed and said to the deaf man, ‘Ephphatha’,
that is, ‘Be opened.’ And immediately his ears were opened, his tongue was
released, and he spoke plainly
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Mark
07/31-37:”Then he returned from the region of Tyre, and went by way of Sidon
towards the Sea of Galilee, in the region of the Decapolis. They brought to
him a deaf man who had an impediment in his speech; and they begged him to
lay his hand on him. He took him aside in private, away from the crowd, and
put his fingers into his ears, and he spat and touched his tongue. Then
looking up to heaven, he sighed and said to him, ‘Ephphatha’, that is, ‘Be
opened.’ And immediately his ears were opened, his tongue was released, and
he spoke plainly. Then Jesus ordered them to tell no one; but the more he
ordered them, the more zealously they proclaimed it. They were astounded
beyond measure, saying, ‘He has done everything well; he even makes the deaf
to hear and the mute to speak.’”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese
Related News & Editorials published on March 15-16/2024
May The Curse Be Upon Political parties & Officials Who betrayed the Cedar
Revolution and sold out the March 14 Coalition/Elias Bejjani/March 14/2023
Hezbollah playing ‘dangerous game’ in Lebanon: US official
Leaf says Nasrallah taking Lebanon to "dangerous place"
Hezbollah tells Iran it would fight alone in any war with Israel
Report: Nasrallah, Iran's Qaani agree on avoiding war with Israel
Israel-Hezbollah border clashes: Latest developments
Lebanon officially replies to French paper
Report: Iran uses European ports for arms sent to Hezbollah
Aoun dubs Hezbollah's involvement in Gaza war 'a losing battle'
Army dismantles Israeli aircraft missile in Hrajel
Hamas responds to LBCI report
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on March 15-16/2024
Houthis claim first attacks on ships in Indian Ocean
Missile hits ship off Yemen as rebels threaten wider campaign
Israel sends team to Doha for new Gaza peace talks
Proposed US resolution would back global efforts for immediate cease-fire
Israel's dual goals: Qatar talks on prisoner deal and delaying war's end
UN envoy warns Gaza war, Red Sea attacks risk propelling Yemen back into war
Proposed US resolution would back global efforts for immediate cease-fire
Hamas proposes new six-week Gaza truce, hostage-prisoner exchange
Israel denies Hamas claim troops killed 20 Gazans seeking aid
Hamas lashes out at Abbas's 'unilateral' designation of new PM
Palestinian leader names adviser Mohammed Mustafa as PM
Spanish aid vessel visible off Gaza coast
Egypt appeals for more aid deliveries by land to Gaza
Australia resumes funding for UNRWA and pledges more Gaza aid
Woman sets fire to voting booth in Moscow
German, French and Polish leaders meet to discuss support for Ukraine
Macron and Putin: from 'dear Vladimir' to 'existential' threat
Middle East conflicts revive clash between US president and Congress
Top Democrat Schumer calls for new elections, says Netanyahu obstacle to peace
on
March 15-16/2024
Biden Should be Threatening Qatar and the Terrorists, Not Israel/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone
Institute./March 15, 2024
Israel’s army exemptions for the ultra-Orthodox are part of a bigger challenge:
The Jewish state is divided over the Jewish religion/Michael Brenner, American
University/The Conversation/March 15, 2024
Question: “What is more important, the death of Christ or His resurrection?”/GotQuestions.org?/March
15, 2024
Why the Gulf states have an interest in Russia-Ukraine peace/Luke Coffey/Arab
News/March 15, 2024
Turkiye’s mediation plans face complex challenges/Sinem Cengiz/Arab News/March
15, 2024
Should the world call time on the WTO?/Ranvir S. Nayar/Arab News/March 15, 2024
Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese
Related News & Editorials published on March 15-16/2024
May The Curse Be Upon Political parties &
Officials Who betrayed the Cedar Revolution and sold out the March 14 Coalition
Elias Bejjani/March 14/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/?p=116550&preview=true&_thumbnail_id=53330
On the 18 anniversary of the March 14 uprising, we pray
reverently for the souls of all the righteous, sovereign and patriotic heroic
martyrs.
Definitely, it was a deadly sin committed by the all the mercenary Lebanese
leaders, officials and politicians who betrayed the Cedar’s Revolution, and sold
out the March 14 Coalition.
These mercenaries belittled the martyrs sacrifices by their low and despicable
entry into the Trojan presidential deal with the occupier, the terrorist Iranian
Hezbollah Armed Militia.
History will not remember those dwarfs who sold the Cedar’s Revolution, and the
March 14 coalition, without humiliation, contempt, if it mentions them. They we
be remembered with shame, they surely will rest for ever in history’s dustbin.
These foolish traitors fell into the traps and instinctive Satan’s temptations
and drowned themselves in greed. They sold the March 14 Sovereign-patriotic
Coalition with national myopia and blindness of insight.
They exchanged the people’s revolution, sovereignty, and the blood of martyrs,
with authority and personal benefits. They ungratefully stepped over the
sacrifices and blood of Lebanon’s righteous martyrs.
As a result of their greed, shortsightedness, narcissism, and worshipping of
authority, the terrorist Iranian Hezbollah armed militia managed to entirely
control and occupy Lebanon.
Because of this patriotic deviation and sin, Lebanon has lost its role and
message, and fell under the Hezbollah hegemony and occupation.
Meanwhile, we affirm with peace of conscience that the sovereign and patriotic
spirit of March 14 coalition is alive and active in the souls, hearts and
consciences of our free sovereign Lebanese people, while it is completely dead
in the hearts and minds of all political parties, politicians and puppet
officials who betrayed it and traded sovereignty with personal benefits and
authority.
Hence, in times of misery and unhappiness, the people of March 14 Coalition are
a national necessity.
In times of servility and surrender, the popular spirit of March 14 Coalition is
the answer.
And in a time of deceit, heresy, outrageous, and the lie of what was falsely and
cowardly called “political realism,” the people of March 14 Coalition have
knocked down the Trojans’ masks and exposed them.
At a time when personal interests prevail over public and national ones,
people’s support to the culture and values of March 14 Coalition continues to
prevail.
And at a time when belittling the blood of the martyrs and forgetting their
sacrifices, the March 14th Coalition of consciences will not forget the
sacrifices of its heroes, and will not trade in their blood.
And in a miserable and betrayal time where the Trojans, scribes and Pharisees
dominate our Lebanon’s official Decision Making process, and dragging the
country and its people into astray and alien paths, the people of March 14
Coalition is a must.
And at a time when politicians have lost the compass of freedom, dignity and
self respect, the goals and struggles, of March 14 Coalition remain the
solution, the foundation and the cornerstone.
In conclusion, the spirit of March 14, remains an urgent need for the
continuation of struggle and strengthening the ranks of the liberals.
Hezbollah playing ‘dangerous game’ in Lebanon: US
official
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arab News/March 15, 2024
Warning comes as Lebanon calls French proposal a ‘significant step’ toward peace
BEIRUT: Hezbollah risks taking Lebanon to a “perilous place,” a senior US
official said on Friday, though hopes remain for a peaceful solution to the
country’s conflict with Israel. Barbara Leaf, assistant secretary of state for
Near Eastern affairs, said in a statement that Lebanon was facing “great
instability.”“We have seen how Hezbollah has taken a lot of risks and this is
something that could move the scene to a perilous place and put Lebanon itself
in a perilous position,” she said. However, there remains hope, with US special
envoy Amos Hochstein in talks with Lebanon on reaching a diplomatic resolution
to the border fighting. “We believe it will happen when the humanitarian truce
begins (in the Gaza Strip). We are actively working on this front,” Leaf said.
“In the meantime, a dangerous game is being played and Hezbollah may
misunderstand the rules of the game or Hezbollah may misunderstand the risk
limits.”
She continued: “The Israeli government and the Israeli army will not take a risk
by launching a large-scale offensive in the north without knowing what will
happen and whether they will be embarrassed.”Leaf’s statement came as caretaker
Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib on Friday met French Ambassador Herve Magro
to present Lebanon’s response to a French proposal submitted last month aimed at
ending hostilities with Israel. The plan outlines three phases: military
operations would cease, Lebanese armed groups would withdraw combat forces and
Lebanese regular army troops would be deployed in the south. In its letter to
the French Embassy, the Foreign Ministry said Beirut “believes that the French
initiative could be a significant step” toward peace and security in Lebanon and
the broader region. It did not address the specific steps outlined in the
proposal but said UN Security Council Resolution 1701 — which ended the last big
war between Hezbollah and Israel in 2006 — was the “cornerstone to realizing
enduring stability.”That resolution calls for non-state armed actors to quit
south Lebanon and for Lebanese army troops to deploy there. Lebanon has said it
would need logistical assistance to deploy 15,000 soldiers to the area. Friday’s
letter said that “Lebanon does not seek war” but wanted a halt to what it called
Israeli violations of its territorial sovereignty by land, air and sea. Once the
violations had stopped, it said, Lebanon would commit to resuming tripartite
meetings with UN peacekeepers and Israel “to discuss all disputes and reach an
agreement on a full and comprehensive implementation of UNSC 1701.”Those
meetings have been on hold since hostilities in southern Lebanon resumed in
October. Bou Habib said the French plan had many “excellent points,” while
others needed further discussion. On the ground, hostilities resumed on the
southern front on Friday, with Israel conducting airstrikes on residential
neighborhoods already mostly devoid of their inhabitants. Israeli media reported
that two rockets were fired from Lebanon toward the Margaliot Israeli military
site in the Galilee panhandle.
Leaf says Nasrallah taking Lebanon to "dangerous place"
Naharnet/March 15, 2024
U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs Barbara Leaf has
accused Hezbollah of putting Lebanon on a slippery slope. "It is a place of
great volatility and risk," Leaf said in an interview with Sky News Arabia,
adding that Hezbollah and its leader are "taking a lot of risks" that could take
the group and Lebanon itself into a "dangerous place."Since the war in Gaza
erupted in October, there have been near-daily exchanges along the
Lebanon-Israel border and international mediators have scrambled to prevent an
all-out war in tiny Lebanon. "It's a dangerous game that Hezbollah has played,"
Leaf warned, as she accused Iran of escalating tensions by arming Hezbollah, the
Yemeni Houthi rebels and other armed groups in the region. The United States and
other governments continue with efforts to prevent the ongoing war in the Gaza
Strip from spilling over into Lebanon. Hezbollah has vowed not to stop the
fighting until a cease-fire is reached in Gaza. After weeks of fruitless
mediation efforts, Hamas proposed a new six-week truce in Gaza and an exchange
of several dozen Israeli hostages for Palestinian prisoners. It is still not
clear whether a Gaza ceasefire would apply to Lebanon. Although Hezbollah said
it would abide by any Gaza truce, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said
that Israel would increase its strikes on Hezbollah even if a ceasefire is
reached in Gaza.
Hezbollah tells Iran it would fight alone in any war
with Israel
DUBAI (Reuters)/Samia Nakhoul, Parisa Hafezi and Laila Bassam/March 15, 2024
With ally Hamas under attack in Gaza, the head of Iran's Quds Force visited
Beirut in February to discuss the risk posed if Israel next aims at Lebanon's
Hezbollah, an offensive that could severely hurt Tehran's main regional partner,
seven sources said.
In Beirut, Quds chief Esmail Qaani met Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah,
the sources said, for at least the third time since Hamas' deadly Oct. 7 attacks
on southern Israel and Israel's devastating retaliatory assault on Gaza.
The conversation turned to the possibility of a full Israeli offensive to its
north, in Lebanon, the sources said. As well as damaging the Shi'ite Islamist
group, such an escalation could pressure Iran to react more forcefully than it
has so far since Oct. 7, three of the sources, Iranians within the inner circle
of power, said. Over the past five months, Hezbollah, a sworn enemy of Israel,
has shown support for Hamas in the form of limited volleys of rockets fired
across Israel's northern border.
At the previously unreported meeting, Nasrallah reassured Qaani he didn't want
Iran to get sucked into a war with Israel or the United States and that
Hezbollah would fight on its own, all the sources said. "This is our fight,"
Nasrallah told Qaani, said one Iranian source with knowledge of the discussions.
Calibrated to avoid a major escalation, the skirmishes in Lebanon have
nonetheless pushed tens of thousands of people from their homes either side of
the border. Israeli strikes have killed more than 200 Hezbollah fighters and
some 50 civilians in Lebanon, while attacks from Lebanon into Israel have killed
a dozen Israeli soldiers and six civilians. In recent days, Israel's
counter-strikes have increased in intensity and reach, fuelling fears the
violence could spin out of control even if negotiators achieve a temporary truce
in Gaza. Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant indicated in February that Israel
planned to increase attacks to decisively remove Hezbollah fighters from the
border in the event of a Gaza ceasefire, although he left the door open for
diplomacy. In 2006, Israel fought a short but intense air and ground war with
Hezbollah that was devastating for Lebanon. Israeli security sources have said
previously that Israel did not seek any spread of hostilities but added that the
country was prepared to fight on new fronts if needed. An all-our war on its
northern border would stretch Israel’s military resources. Iran and Hezbollah
are mindful of the grave perils of a wider war in Lebanon, two of the sources
aligned with the views of the government in Tehran said, including the danger it
could spread and lead to strikes on Iran's nuclear installations.
The U.S. lists Iran as a state sponsor of terrorism and has sought for years to
rein in Tehran's nuclear program. Israel has long considered Iran an existential
threat. Iran denies it is seeking a nuclear weapon. For this story, Reuters
spoke to four Iranian and two regional sources, along with a Lebanese source who
confirmed the thrust of the meeting. Two U.S. sources and an Israeli source said
Iran wanted to avoid blowback from a Israel-Hezbollah war. All requested
anonymity to discuss sensitive matters. The U.S. State Department, Israel's
government, Tehran and Hezbollah did not respond to requests for comment.
The Beirut meeting highlights strain on Iran's strategy of avoiding major
escalation in the region while projecting strength and support for Gaza across
the Middle East through allied armed groups in Iraq, Syria and Yemen, analysts
said. Qaani and Nasrallah "want to further insulate Iran from the consequences
of supporting an array of proxy actors throughout the Middle East." said Jon
Alterman of Washington's Center for Strategic and International Studies think
tank, responding to a question about the meeting. "Probably because they assess
that the possibility of military action in Lebanon is increasing and not
decreasing."Already, Tehran's carefully-nurtured influence in the region is
being curtailed, including by Israel's offensive against Hamas along with
potential U.S.-Saudi defence and Israel-Saudi normalisation agreements, as well
as U.S. warnings that Iran should not get involved in the Hamas-Israel conflict.
IN ISRAEL'S SIGHTS
Qaani and Nasrallah between them hold sway over tens of thousands of fighters
and a vast arsenal of rockets and missiles. They are main protagonists in
Tehran's network of allies and proxy militias, with Qaani's elite Quds Force
acting as the foreign legion of Iran's Revolutionary Guards.
While Hezbollah has publicly indicated it would halt attacks on Israel when the
Israeli offensive in Gaza stops, U.S. Special Envoy Amos Hochstein said last
week a Gaza truce would not automatically trigger calm in southern Lebanon. Arab
and Western diplomats report that Israel has expressed strong determination to
no longer allow the presence of Hezbollah's main fighters along the border,
fearing an attack similar to Hamas' incursion that killed 1,200 people and took
253 hostages. Israel's retaliatory assault in Gaza has killed more than 31,000
Palestinians and laid waste to the coastal enclave.
"If there is a ceasefire in (Gaza), there are two schools of thought in Israel
and my impression is that the one that would recommend continuing the war on the
border with Hezbollah is the stronger one," said Sima Shine, a former Israeli
intelligence official who is currently head of the Iran program at the Institute
for National Security Studies: A senior Israeli official agreed that Iran was
not seeking a full-blown war, noting Tehran's restrained response to Israel's
offensive on Hamas. "It seems that they feel they face a credible military
threat. But that threat may need to become more credible," the official said.
Washington, via Hochstein, and France have been working on diplomatic proposals
that would move Hezbollah fighters from the border area in line with U.N.
resolution 1701 that helped end the 2006 war, but a deal remains elusive.
"FIRST LINE OF DEFENCE"
A war in Lebanon that seriously degrades Hezbollah would be a major blow for
Iran, which relies on the group founded with its support in 1982 as a bulwark
against Israel and to buttress its interests in the broader region, two regional
sources said. "Hezbollah is in fact the first line of defense for Iran," said
Abdulghani Al-Iryani, a senior researcher at the Sana'a Center for Strategic
Studies, a think tank in Yemen. If Israel were to launch major military action
on Hezbollah, the Iranian sources within the inner circle of power said, Tehran
may find itself compelled to intensify its proxy war.
An Iranian security official acknowledged however that the costs of such an
escalation could be prohibitively high for Iran's allied groups. Direct
involvement by Iran, he added, could serve Israel's interests and provide
justification for the continued presence of U.S. troops in the region.
Given Tehran's extensive, decades-long ties with Hezbollah, it would be
difficult, if not impossible, to put distance between them, one U.S. official
said. Since the Hamas attack on Israel, Iran has given its blessing to actions
in support of its ally in Gaza: including attacks by Iraqi groups on U.S.
interests. It has also supplied intelligence and weapons for Houthi operations
against shipping in the Red Sea. But it has stopped well short of an unfettered
multi-front war on Israel that, three Palestinian sources said, Hamas had
expected Iran to support after Oct. 7. Before the Beirut encounter with
Nasrallah, Qaani chaired a two-day meeting in Iran in early February along with
militia commanders of operations in Yemen, Iraq and Syria, three Hezbollah
representatives and a Houthi delegation, one Iranian official said.
Revolutionary Guard's Commander-in-Chief Major General Hossein Salami was also
present, the official said. Hamas did not attend. "At the end, all the
participants agreed that Israel wanted to expand the war and falling in that
trap should be avoided as it will justify the presence of more U.S. troops in
the region,” the official said. Shortly after, Qaani engineered a pause in
attacks by the Iraqi groups. So far, Hezbollah has kept its tit-for-tat
responses within what observers have called unwritten rules of engagement with
Israel. Despite decades of proxy conflict since Iran's 1979 revolution, the
Islamic Republic has never directly fought in a war with Israel, and all four
Iranian sources said there was no appetite for that to change. According to the
Iranian insider, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is not inclined to see a
war unfold on Iran, where domestic discontent with the ruling system last year
spilled over into mass protests. "The Iranians are pragmatists and they are
afraid of the expansion of the war," said Iryani.
"If Israel were alone, they would fight, but they know that if the war expands,
the United States will be drawn in."
(Reporting by Samia Nakhoul and Parisa Hafezi in Dubai and Laila Bassam in
Beirut; Additional reporting by Ahmed Rasheed in Baghdad, Arshad Mohammed and
Matt Spetalnick in Washington, Dan Willimas and James Mackeenzie in Jerusalem;
Writing by Samia Nakhoul; Editing by Frank Jack Daniel)
Report: Nasrallah, Iran's Qaani agree on avoiding war
with Israel
Naharnet/March 15, 2024
As the efforts to reach a truce in Gaza ran aground and Israel’s threats to
invade Rafah escalated, the Quds Force head of Iran's Revolutionary Guard
visited Lebanon, Syria and Iraq last week and held talks with the leaders of the
groups that are allied with his country, a media report said. “He once again
informed them of Tehran’s stance on the need to keep all eyes fixed on Gaza and
to avoid engaging in any war with Israel at any cost,” a senior Quds Force
source told Kuwait’s al-Jarida newspaper. The Quds Force chief “held a lengthy
meeting with Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah in which they
discussed the details of the military situation in Lebanon,” the source said.
“The two sides agreed that Israel is seeking to drag Hezbollah into a war and
that the Iran-led Axis of Resistance’s higher interest requires avoiding the
Israeli trap and refraining from entering a direct war with Israel, despite the
hefty prices Hezbollah has been forced to bear in terms of the number of those
killed among its ranks, the targeting of its positions and the destruction of
Lebanese border towns,” the source added. “Nasrallah agreed with Qaani that
Hezbollah must absorb the pain and not engage in an all-out war unless Israel
tries to invade Lebanon,” the source went on to say. The source also revealed
that a Hamas military wing representative participated in a part of the
Nasrallah-Qaani meeting, telling the two men that Hamas’ military situation in
Gaza is “very good.”“It lost a little more than 10% of its military capabilities
during the past five months, whereas it had been expected that it would lost
more than half of its capabilities,” the Hamas official reportedly said. He also
also told them that “starting an all-out war would harm the Palestinian stance,”
the Iranian source said. “Qaani and Nasrallah discussed means to boost the
smuggling of logistic, military and medical aid to Hamas out of fear that the
few remaining smuggling routes might soon be closed,” the source added. “They
also agreed to plan assassination operations against Israelis in response to the
assassination of Revolutionary Guard and Hezbollah officials,” the source
alleged.
Reuters meanwhile quoted “seven sources” as saying that Qaani had visited Beirut
in February to discuss the risk posed if Israel next aims at Lebanon's
Hezbollah, an offensive that could severely hurt Tehran's main regional partner.
“At the previously unreported meeting, Nasrallah reassured Qaani he didn't want
Iran to get sucked into a war with Israel or the United States and that
Hezbollah would fight on its own,” the sources said. "This is our fight,"
Nasrallah told Qaani, according to an Iranian source with knowledge of the
discussions.
Israel-Hezbollah border clashes: Latest developments
Naharnet/March 15/2024
The Israeli army bombed Friday several southern border towns while Hezbollah
attacked several posts in northern Israel. Hezbollah said it targeted the posts
of al-Malkia and al-Marj and a group of soldiers near al-Raheb post. Israeli
warplanes meanwhile raided al-Naqoura, Alma al-Shaab and Aita al-Shaab, while
Israeli artillery targeted the outskirts of al-Wazzani. The Israeli army had
bombed overnight Kfarkela, al-Naqoura and the outskirts of Alma al-Shaab, Tayr
Harfa and Shamaa. Hezbollah carried out Thursday six attacks on northern Israel
and the occupied Kfarshouba Heights. Since the war in Gaza erupted in October,
there have been near-daily exchanges along the Lebanon-Israel border and
international mediators have scrambled to prevent an all-out war in tiny
Lebanon. At least 322 people have been killed in Lebanon, mainly Hezbollah
fighters but also 56 civilians, according to an AFP tally. In Israel, at least
10 soldiers and seven civilians have been killed in the cross-border exchanges,
the military says.Hezbollah's chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said Wednesday that
Israeli forces were too "exhausted" to launch an all-out war. "This enemy is
showing signs of fatigue," he said.
Lebanon officially replies to French paper
Naharnet/March 15/2024
Caretaker Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib on Friday met with French
Ambassador to Lebanon Herve Magro and handed him Lebanon’s official response to
the paper that has been recently submitted by Paris as part of its efforts to
pacify the situation on the Lebanese-Israeli border.
Expressing Lebanon’s “deep appreciation for the French efforts,” Bou Habib said
the Lebanese response describes the French initiative as “an important step to
reach peace and security in south Lebanon.”“The Foreign Ministry reiterated the
Lebanese stance that does not seek war and demands the full and comprehensive
implementation of U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701,” Bou Habib added.
Al-Jadeed TV had earlier reported that Lebanon’s response “included a general
vision in which Lebanon expressed its readiness for an instant implementation of
Resolution 1701 on the condition that Israel abide by implementing its
stipulations.” Lebanon also expressed its “readiness for the resumption of
tripartite meetings in Naqoura” between representatives of UNIFIL and the
Lebanese and Israeli armies, al-Jadeed added. France’s proposal would involve
Hezbollah withdrawing its forces 10 kilometers from the border with Israel., a
Lebanese government official has recently told The Associated Press. Since
October 8, Hezbollah and Israel have exchanged near-daily fire. At least 322
people have been killed on the Lebanese side since fighting erupted, most of
them Hezbollah fighters but also including 56 civilians. On the Israeli side, 10
soldiers and seven civilians have been killed according to the Israeli army. The
fighting has also displaced tens of thousands of residents on both sides of the
border and Israel has repeatedly warned that it might launch an operation
against Hezbollah to secure its residents' return.
Report: Iran uses European ports for arms sent to Hezbollah
Naharnet/March 15/2024
Iran is using European ports to “provide cover for shipments of weapons to
Hezbollah,” British newspaper The Telegraph has reported. The Lebanese,
Iran-backed group has received missiles and bombs on ships that go on to dock in
ports in Belgium, Spain and Italy, The Telegraph quoted sources as saying. Iran
has switched to shipping weapons by sea after Israel’s air force began to target
consignments coming in by land into northern Syria via Iraq, the sources said.
Weapons and other goods are now shipped to the Syrian port of Latakia before the
vessels go on to ports in Antwerp, Valencia and Ravenna, in an attempt to
disguise the purpose of the journeys, the Telegraph reported. From Latakia, the
weapons are transported south to Lebanon, it added. “Using Europe helps to hide
the nature and the source of the shipments, switching paperwork and containers…
to clean the shipments,” a senior intelligence source in Israel told The
Telegraph. “Europe has huge ports so Iran is using that as a camouflage.
It’s very easy to do manipulations in those big ports where things have to get
moved quickly, rather than a small port where there will be more scrutiny,” the
source said. “It’s like a cat and mouse between us and the Iranians. They’re
trying to smuggle and we’re trying to stop it. It’s been at least three years
like this,” the source added. Ronen Solomon, an independent intelligence analyst
based in Israel, said that Iran was also shipping weapons directly to Syria. The
use of separate routes via Europe was to “legitimize” their cargo and “distract
attention” from those direct shipments, Solomon added. The port of Latakia was
targeted by air strikes in 2021, though these were not claimed by Israel, which
rarely confirms operations in Syrian territory. Since the beginning of the Gaza
war in October, five Iranian ships – Daisy, Kashan, Shiba, Arezoo and Azargoun –
have unloaded goods in Syria, starting their journey in Bandar Abbas in Iran,
according to intelligence handed to Solomon. “Co-ordinated by Iran’s Quds Force
Unit 190, the weapon transfers are then managed by Hezbollah’s Unit 4400, which
is responsible for arms shipments,” The Telegraph said.
Aoun dubs Hezbollah's involvement in Gaza war 'a losing
battle'
Naharnet/March 15/2024
Former President Michel Aoun has informed Hezbollah that he does not support the
group's point of view regarding involving Lebanon in Gaza's war. "This is a
losing battle," al-Akhbar newspaper quoted Aoun as saying, in a report published
Friday. The daily said Aoun has told a Hezbollah delegation he met last week
that he finds their point of view "weak" and "unconvincing." Aoun reportedly
said he supported Hezbollah during the 2006 war as it resisted against an
Israeli aggression and during the Syrian war, as Hezbollah prevented terrorism
and defended its people. "But involving Lebanon in the Gaza war is different,"
Aoun explained. "It is not resistance nor self-defense."He added that Hezbollah
took the decision alone, without consulting other parties and committed Lebanon
to a war it can not handle. "The government did not decide to start this war. Is
there a joint defense treaty between us and Gaza?" Aoun asked. Since the war in
Gaza erupted in October, there have been near-daily exchanges along the
Lebanon-Israel border and international mediators have scrambled to prevent an
all-out war in tiny Lebanon. The United States and other governments continue
with efforts to prevent the ongoing war in the Gaza Strip from spilling over
into Lebanon as Hezbollah militants and Israeli soldiers trade fire across the
volatile Lebanon-Israel border. Hezbollah has vowed not to stop the fighting
until a cease-fire is reached in Gaza. Since hostilities began, at least 322
people have been killed in Lebanon, mainly Hezbollah fighters but also 56
civilians, according to an AFP tally. In Israel, at least 10 soldiers and seven
civilians have been killed in the cross-border exchanges, the military says. The
fighting has raised speculation Israeli forces could stage an invasion into
Lebanon as well.
Army dismantles Israeli aircraft missile in Hrajel
Naharnet/March 15/2024
The army’s Engineering Regiment on Friday dismantled the unexploded Israeli
aircraft missile that fell three days ago between residential buildings at the
entrance of the Keserwan district town of Hrajel, the National News Agency said.
Media reports had said that the army would wait for three days to dismantle the
missile in order to give time for its battery to run out.The missile was
discovered shortly after Israeli warplanes and drone carried out strikes in the
eastern Baalbek region, not too far from the Keserwan district. Low-altitude
Israeli overflights were reported that day over the Keserwan region.
Hamas responds to LBCI report
LBCI/March 15/2024
Hamas' media office in Lebanon issued a statement on Friday in response to a
report by LBCI, denouncing it as biased and unfair. The report, titled "War of
Lunatics and Extremists," compared the actions of the Israeli occupation
government to the resistance in Gaza, drawing criticism from Hamas for its
alleged distortions and implicit alignment with Israeli narratives. The
statement highlighted the report's attempt to equate recent atrocities with
historical context, overlooking decades of Israeli occupation, settlement
expansion, and aggression against Palestinian territories. Hamas accused the
report of disregarding its perspective and justifying Israeli crimes while
criminalizing Palestinian resistance efforts. Moreover, Hamas condemned the
report's alleged intent to incite against the resistance and criminalize its
methods, considering accusations of Hamas killing Israeli civilians as a
vindication of Israeli atrocities. The comparison drawn between resistance
leaders and Israeli occupiers was deemed as biased support for the occupation's
agenda. The statement concluded with a call for LBCI to uphold impartiality and
stand with the victims, urging the channel to refrain from aligning with Israeli
narratives and promoting dehumanizing wars against the Palestinian people.
Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on March 15-16/2024
Houthis claim first attacks on ships in Indian Ocean
SAEED AL-BATATI/Arab News/March 15, 2024
AL-MUKALLA: Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi militia claimed on Friday that it had
attacked Israeli and American ships in the Indian Ocean for the first time, only
hours after its leader promised to extend action against Israel-linked ships in
the area. Houthi military spokesperson Yahya Sarea said the militia launched
drones and anti-ship missiles at three Israeli and American ships in the Indian
Ocean following its attacks in the Red Sea, Bab Al-Mandab Strait, and the Gulf
of Aden. He also claimed that forces used missiles to strike an “Israeli” ship
named Pacific 01 which was traveling through the Red Sea, as well as firing
drones at a US Navy ship. The Houthis warned that the militia will now attack
any Israel-linked ships or those going to Israel in the Indian Ocean through the
Cape of Good Hope. Its statement said: “The Yemeni armed forces warn all Israeli
ships heading to or coming from the ports of occupied Palestine not to pass
through the Cape of Good Hope, or they will be a legitimate target for our armed
forces.” In recent months the Houthis have seized a commercial ship and its
crew, and launched hundreds of drones, missiles, and remotely operated boats
against foreign commercial and naval ships operating in international seas off
Yemen’s shores in the Red Sea, Bab Al-Mandab Strait, and the Gulf of Aden. The
Houthis claim that the group targets Israel-linked or vessels bound for Israel
to force the country to allow humanitarian aid into the Gaza Strip. Houthi
militia leader Abdul Malik Al-Houthi said on Thursday that his forces would
expand their actions against Israel. Al-Houthi claimed that since March 7 the
militia had launched 58 ballistic missiles and drones against dozens of
commercial and naval ships in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Indian Ocean. He
said in a televised speech: “We declare that ships affiliated to the Israeli
enemy will be prohibited from traversing the Indian Ocean, even in the area next
to South Africa, toward Israel.” The Houthi claims came as the US Central
Command said on Friday that the militia had launched 13 ballistic missiles and
two drones targeting international commercial and naval ships in the Red Sea and
Gulf of Aden during the past 24 hours. CENTCOM said that the Houthis had fired
four anti-ship ballistic missiles from areas under the militia’s control in
Yemen toward the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea, none of which struck any ships,
while its forces shot down nine similar missiles and two drones fired by the
group. CENTCOM added: “These actions are taken to protect freedom of navigation
and make international waters safer and more secure for US Navy and merchant
vessels.”
Missile hits ship off Yemen as rebels threaten wider
campaign
Associated Press/March 15/2024
A suspected attack by Yemen's Houthi rebels struck a ship in the Red Sea early
Friday, causing damage to the vessel, authorities said. The attack off the port
city of Hodeida comes as part of the rebels' campaign against shipping over
Israel's ongoing war on Hamas in the Gaza Strip. The British military's United
Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations center said the ship reported being "struck by
a missile.""The vessel has sustained some damage," the UKMTO added. It described
the crew as being "safe" and said the ship was continuing on its way, suggesting
the damage wasn't severe. The private security firm Ambrey also reported the
attack. The Houthis did not immediately claim the attack, though it typically
takes the rebels hours to acknowledge their assaults. The Houthis have attacked
ships since November, saying they want to force Israel to end its offensive in
Gaza. The ships targeted by the Houthis, however, have increasingly had little
or no connection to Israel, the U.S. or other nations involved in the war. The
rebels have also fired missiles toward Israel, though they have largely fallen
short or been intercepted. The assaults on shipping have raised the profile of
the Houthis, who are members of Islam's minority Shiite Zaydi sect, which ruled
Yemen for 1,000 years until 1962. A report Thursday claimed the Houthis now had
a hypersonic missile, potentially increasing that cachet and putting more
pressure on Israel after a cease-fire deal failed to take hold in Gaza before
the Muslim holy month of Ramadan.
Hypersonic missiles also would pose a more serious threat to American and allied
warships in the region. Earlier in March, a Houthi missile struck a commercial
ship in the Gulf of Aden, killing three of its crew members and forcing
survivors to abandon the vessel. It marked the first fatal attack by the Houthis
on shipping. Other recent Houthi actions include an attack last month on a cargo
ship carrying fertilizer, the Rubymar, which later sank after drifting for
several days.
Israel sends team to Doha for new Gaza peace talks
AFP/March 15, 2024
JEDDAH: Israel on Friday sent a delegation to Qatar for new talks on a Gaza
ceasefire despite dismissing the latest proposal from Hamas as “unrealistic.”
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has also approved a plan for a military
offensive on Rafah, the city on the southern edge of the Gaza Strip where up to
1.5 million Palestinians are sheltering. Negotiators failed last week to reach a
ceasefire deal in time for Ramadan, but mediators are still determined to reach
an agreement to head off the Israeli assault on Rafah and allow the delivery of
humanitarian aid to stave off mass starvation. Even the US, Israel's closest
ally, has pleaded with it not to attack Rafah because it would cause a
humanitarian catastrophe. Israel claims it will move people to safety first.
More than two weeks after receiving an Israeli-approved proposal for a truce,
Hamas replied with a counter proposal of a six-week truce to allow aid in, and a
prisoner-hostage swap at a ratio of up to 50 Palestinian prisoners for every
Israeli hostage. It also calls for talks at a later stage on ending the war
completely.Analysts noted a change in Israel’s language in rejecting the new
Hamas offer.
Netanyahu dismissed last month’s proposal from the militant group as “completely
delusional” and “from another planet,” while the most recent one was merely “unrealistic.”Hamas
official Sami Abu Zuhri said Israel’s rejection showed that Netanyahu was
“determined to pursue the aggression against our people and undermine all
efforts exerted to reach a ceasefire agreement.” Washington should push its ally
to accept a truce, he said. Meanwhile the first ship bringing aid by sea, the
Open Arms, arrived off the Gaza coast on Friday towing a barge containing 200
tonnes of food. The charity World Central Kitchen aims to land the cargo using a
temporary jetty, although humanitarian agencies say aid delivered by sea or air
is inadequate and Israel must stop blocking land deliveries by truck.If the new
sea route is successful, it may ease the hunger crisis affecting Gaza, where
hundreds of thousands of people face malnourishment and hospitals in the
worst-stricken northern areas have reported children dying of starvation. The UN
says all of Gaza’s 2.3 million people are suffering from food shortages and a
quarter of them are on the brink of famine, especially in the north.
Proposed US resolution would back global efforts for
immediate cease-fire
Associated Press/March 15/2024
The United States circulated the final draft of a United Nations Security
Council resolution late Thursday that would support international efforts to
establish "an immediate and sustained cease-fire" in Gaza as part of a deal to
release hostages taken captive during Hamas' surprise attack on southern Israel
on Oct. 7.No time has been set for a vote, and the draft, obtained by The
Associated Press, could still be changed. The U.S. circulated the initial draft
on Feb. 19, a day before it vetoed a widely supported Arab-backed resolution
demanding an immediate humanitarian cease-fire in the war in the embattled Gaza
Strip, saying it would interfere with negotiations on a deal to free the
hostages. It was the third U.S. veto of a Security Council resolution demanding
a cease-fire in Gaza, and has put President Joe Biden's administration at odds
with much of the world, including many allies. Diplomatic talks have stalled
since efforts failed to produce a cease-fire before the start of the Muslim holy
month of Ramadan — an informal deadline that passed without any agreement. The
Israeli military said Wednesday it will go ahead with its planned offensive in
the southern city of Rafah — where 1.4 million displaced Palestinians have
sought safety — and plans to move civilians toward "humanitarian islands" in the
center of the territory.
The U.S. draft put "in blue" late Thursday — meaning it is in a form that can be
voted on — is the fifth version of the text and makes some key changes. The
initial draft would have underscored that a temporary cease-fire "as soon as
practicable" required the release of all hostages, and called for the lifting of
all restrictions on the delivery of humanitarian aid. Both of these actions
"would help to create the conditions for a sustainable cessation of
hostilities," it said. The final draft "unequivocally supports international
diplomatic efforts to establish an immediate and sustained cease-fire as part of
a deal that releases the hostages, and that allows the basis for a more durable
peace to alleviate humanitarian suffering" — eliminating the word "temporary."It
also says that "the window of opportunity created by any cease-fire" should be
used to intensify diplomatic efforts to create conditions "for a sustainable
cessation of hostilities and lasting peace." The initial draft said Israel's
planned major ground offensive into the southern Gaza city of Rafah "should not
proceed under current circumstances." That language disappeared in the final
draft. Instead, in an introductory paragraph, the council would emphasize its
concern that a ground offensive into Rafah "would result in further harm to
civilians and their further displacement, potentially into neighboring
countries, and would have serious implications for regional peace and security."
The final draft "rejects any forced displacement of the civilian population in
Gaza in violation of international law."
Since Oct. 7, more than 31,000 Palestinians have been killed in the Israeli
offensive, according to the Gaza Health Ministry, which doesn't distinguish
between civilians and combatants but says about two-thirds of the victims were
women and children.
The U.S. draft would demand that all parties comply with international law
requiring protection of civilians and "civilian objects," which include
hospitals, schools and homes. The draft would also express the council's "deep
concern about the threat of conflict-inducted famine and epidemics presently
facing the civilian population in Gaza, as well as the number of undernourished
people," and the "catastrophic" levels of hunger. The council would reiterate
its demand for "the full, immediate, safe, sustained and unhindered delivery of
humanitarian assistance at scale directly to the Palestinian civilian population
throughout the Gaza Strip." The draft says this should be facilitated by using
all available routes, including border crossings. If the resolution is approved,
it would for the first time condemn "the Hamas-led attacks of Oct. 7, 2023, as
well as its taking and killing of hostages, murder of civilians, and sexual
violence including rape" and condemn "its use of civilian infrastructure for
military purposes and to hold hostages." It would also demand that Hamas and
other armed groups immediately grant humanitarian access to all remaining
hostages.
Israel's dual goals: Qatar talks on prisoner deal and
delaying war's end
LBCI/March 15/2024
In a decisive move, the Israeli War Cabinet and the ministerial security cabinet
of the Israeli government have finalized their stance, opting to send a
delegation to Doha to continue negotiations on a prisoner exchange deal with
Hamas. This decision comes after Hamas presented new proposals through
mediators, outlining a two-stage process. The first stage involves a six-week
ceasefire and the release of 42 hostages held by Hamas. Israel has deemed Hamas'
new conditions unrealistic, particularly regarding the number of Palestinian
prisoners it demands to be released and the insistence on Palestinians returning
to the northern Gaza Strip. However, some insiders familiar with the deal
suggest that reaching a compromise remains possible. Following the revelation of
Hamas' conditions, the Israeli Prime Minister approved an operation in Rafah,
coinciding with the military's start of evacuating Palestinians from the area.
Nonetheless, reports from Israel indicate that the army is not fully prepared to
execute the operation as planned in the upcoming weeks. Meanwhile, it has been
disclosed that Washington has obligated Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant to
sign a written commitment to use US-supplied weapons in the operation under
international law. Some Israelis view the operation's postponement as a mistake
until the prisoner exchange deal is clarified. Israel remains cautious about
significant progress in the deal. Nonetheless, Prime Minister Netanyahu sets two
goals, according to insiders: to initiate the attack amidst increasing pressure
from the US, Egypt, and Qatar to finalize the deal during Ramadan and to ensure
a postponement of the end of the war, consequently delaying investigations into
its causes and responsibilities.Once again, attention turns to Qatar and the
possibility of announcing the success of the prisoner exchange deal.
UN envoy warns Gaza war, Red Sea attacks risk propelling
Yemen back into war
Associated Press/March 15/2024
The longer the war in Gaza goes on and Yemen's Houthi rebels keep attacking
ships in the Red Sea the greater the risk that Yemen could be propelled back
into war, the U.N. special envoy for the poorest Arab nation warned Thursday.
Hans Grundberg told the U.N. Security Council it has been impossible to shield
his promising efforts to restore peace to Yemen because the reality is, "what
happens regionally impacts Yemen – and what happens in Yemen can impact the
region." Since November, the Iranian-backed Houthis have targeted ships in the
Red Sea to demand a cease-fire in Israel's offensive in Gaza. It began after
Gaza's Hamas rulers launched a surprise attack in southern Israel on Oct. 7 that
killed about 1,200 people and led to about 250 others being taken captive.
Israel's ongoing military operation has killed more than 31,000 Palestinians,
according to the Gaza health ministry. The Houthi attacks targeting vessels
since November, however, have increasingly had little or no connection to
Israel, the United States or other nations involved in the war. In the first
fatal strike, a Houthi missile struck a commercial ship in the Gulf of Aden last
week, killing three of its crew members and forcing survivors to abandon the
vessel. The war between the Houthis and pro-government forces backed by a
coalition of Gulf Arab states has raged since 2014 when the Houthis swept down
from the mountains, seized much of northern Yemen and the country's capital,
Sanaa, and forced the internationally recognized government to flee into exile
to Saudi Arabia. Since then, more than 150,000 people have been killed by the
violence and 3 million have been displaced.
Fighting has decreased markedly in Yemen since a truce in April 2022, but there
are still hotspots in the country. Grundberg, who has been trying to mediate a
cease-fire and launch a political process, told the council that the U.N. had
hoped, "and Yemenis had expected," that by the Muslim holy month of Ramadan,
which began several days ago, "we would have had an agreement on a nationwide
cease-fire and measures to improve living conditions in Yemen."The U.N. envoy
said he also had hoped to be briefing council members about preparations "for an
inclusive political process."But with the ongoing Gaza War and continuing Houthi
attacks, he warned the council that "the longer the escalatory environment
continues, the more challenging Yemen's mediation space will become.""With more
interests at play, the parties to the conflict in Yemen are more likely to shift
calculations and alter their negotiation agendas," he said. "In a worst-case
scenario, the parties could decide to engage in risky military adventurism that
propels Yemen back into a new cycle of war."Edem Wosornu, the U.N. humanitarian
office's operations director, said positive progress in Yemen after the
U.N.-brokered truce in 2022 is now "at risk of unraveling.""Levels of food
insecurity and malnutrition have surged in recent months, posing a real and
increasing threat to the lives and well-being of millions of people,
particularly women and children," she said. Wosornu pointed to an 11% increase
in food insecurity since last November in assessments by the U.N. children's
agency UNICEF and the U.N. World Food Program that food insecurity in Yemen has
increased by 11% since last November. That assessment also found that nearly
half of all children in Yemen under the age of five are experiencing moderate to
severe stunting in growth and development – a 4% increase since 2022, "and more
than double the global stunting prevalence," she said. Because of a lack of
funds, the World Food Program has cut the number of people receiving aid in
government-controlled areas and the size of rations, Wosornu said. In Houthi-controlled
areas, WFP suspended food assistance to 9.5 million people in November while it
continued discussions on who to prioritize for aid. Agreement has been reached
on "a pilot retargeting exercise" in Houthi areas, and if it succeeds, she said
a broader resumption of food distribution will take place depending on available
funding. WFP is appealing for $230 million over the next five months to provide
food for the most vulnerable families in Houthi-controlled areas and Wosornu
urged donors to step up.
Proposed US resolution would back global efforts for immediate cease-fire
Associated Press/March 15/2024
The United States circulated the final draft of a United Nations Security
Council resolution late Thursday that would support international efforts to
establish "an immediate and sustained cease-fire" in Gaza as part of a deal to
release hostages taken captive during Hamas' surprise attack on southern Israel
on Oct. 7. No time has been set for a vote, and the draft, obtained by The
Associated Press, could still be changed. The U.S. circulated the initial draft
on Feb. 19, a day before it vetoed a widely supported Arab-backed resolution
demanding an immediate humanitarian cease-fire in the war in the embattled Gaza
Strip, saying it would interfere with negotiations on a deal to free the
hostages. It was the third U.S. veto of a Security Council resolution demanding
a cease-fire in Gaza, and has put President Joe Biden's administration at odds
with much of the world, including many allies.Diplomatic talks have stalled
since efforts failed to produce a cease-fire before the start of the Muslim holy
month of Ramadan — an informal deadline that passed without any agreement. The
Israeli military said Wednesday it will go ahead with its planned offensive in
the southern city of Rafah — where 1.4 million displaced Palestinians have
sought safety — and plans to move civilians toward "humanitarian islands" in the
center of the territory. The U.S. draft put "in blue" late Thursday — meaning it
is in a form that can be voted on — is the fifth version of the text and makes
some key changes. The initial draft would have underscored that a temporary
cease-fire "as soon as practicable" required the release of all hostages, and
called for the lifting of all restrictions on the delivery of humanitarian aid.
Both of these actions "would help to create the conditions for a sustainable
cessation of hostilities," it said.
The final draft "unequivocally supports international diplomatic efforts to
establish an immediate and sustained cease-fire as part of a deal that releases
the hostages, and that allows the basis for a more durable peace to alleviate
humanitarian suffering" — eliminating the word "temporary."It also says that
"the window of opportunity created by any cease-fire" should be used to
intensify diplomatic efforts to create conditions "for a sustainable cessation
of hostilities and lasting peace." The initial draft said Israel's planned major
ground offensive into the southern Gaza city of Rafah "should not proceed under
current circumstances." That language disappeared in the final draft. Instead,
in an introductory paragraph, the council would emphasize its concern that a
ground offensive into Rafah "would result in further harm to civilians and their
further displacement, potentially into neighboring countries, and would have
serious implications for regional peace and security."
The final draft "rejects any forced displacement of the civilian population in
Gaza in violation of international law."Since Oct. 7, more than 31,000
Palestinians have been killed in the Israeli offensive, according to the Gaza
Health Ministry, which doesn't distinguish between civilians and combatants but
says about two-thirds of the victims were women and children. The U.S. draft
would demand that all parties comply with international law requiring protection
of civilians and "civilian objects," which include hospitals, schools and homes.
The draft would also express the council's "deep concern about the threat of
conflict-inducted famine and epidemics presently facing the civilian population
in Gaza, as well as the number of undernourished people," and the "catastrophic"
levels of hunger. The council would reiterate its demand for "the full,
immediate, safe, sustained and unhindered delivery of humanitarian assistance at
scale directly to the Palestinian civilian population throughout the Gaza
Strip." The draft says this should be facilitated by using all available routes,
including border crossings. If the resolution is approved, it would for the
first time condemn "the Hamas-led attacks of Oct. 7, 2023, as well as its taking
and killing of hostages, murder of civilians, and sexual violence including
rape" and condemn "its use of civilian infrastructure for military purposes and
to hold hostages." It would also demand that Hamas and other armed groups
immediately grant humanitarian access to all remaining hostages.
Hamas proposes new six-week Gaza truce, hostage-prisoner exchange
Agence France Presse/March 15/2024
Hamas has proposed a new six-week truce in Gaza and an exchange of several dozen
Israeli hostages for Palestinian prisoners, an official from the militant group
told AFP on Friday. "The agreement is for a six-week ceasefire and a prisoner
exchange," the official said after weeks of so far fruitless mediation efforts,
adding that the group would want this to lead to "a complete (Israeli)
withdrawal from the Gaza Strip and a permanent ceasefire".During the proposed
truce, Gaza militants would release about 42 hostages seized during the October
7 attack that triggered the war in Gaza, the official said, requesting anonymity
because of the sensitivity of the talks. The official said that between 20 and
50 Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails would be released per hostage --
up from a previous proposal of a roughly 10-to-one ratio, according to a Hamas
source in late February.Under the new proposal, the initial exchange could
include women, children, elderly and ill hostages, the official said. During the
October 7 attack, militants seized about 250 Israeli and foreign hostages,
dozens of whom were released during a week-long truce in November. Israel
believes about 130 captives remain in Gaza including 32 presumed dead. The
latest proposal appears to be a shift for Hamas, whose armed wing said earlier
this month there would be "no compromise" on its demand that Israel withdraw
from Gaza before any more hostages are freed. Now the militants are saying that,
during a six-week truce, Israeli forces would need to withdraw from "all cities
and populated areas in the Gaza Strip" and allow for the return of displaced
Gazans "without restrictions", the official said. The Hamas proposal also calls
to ramp up the flow of humanitarian aid, the official added. The terms of an
eventual ceasefire would see Israel's "complete military withdrawal from the
Gaza Strip" and a comprehensive hostage-for-prisoner exchange involving the
release of all hostages for "an agreed-upon number of Palestinian prisoners",
according to the official. "Egypt and Qatar, along with the United States, are
responsible for following up and ensuring the implementation of the agreement,"
the official said. Hamas's October 7 attack killed about 1,160 people in Israel,
mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally of official figures. Israel's
retaliatory military campaign to destroy Hamas has killed at least 31,490 people
in Gaza, mostly women and children, according to the health ministry in the
Hamas-run territory. Israel has so far refused to withdraw from Gaza, saying
such a move would amount to victory for Hamas. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu's office said late Thursday that Hamas "is continuing to hold
unrealistic demands" but that an update on truce talks would be submitted to
Israel's war cabinet on Friday.
Israel denies Hamas claim troops killed 20 Gazans seeking
aid
Associated Press/March 15/2024
The Palestinian Health Ministry in Gaza accused Israeli forces of launching an
attack near an aid distribution point in war-wracked northern Gaza, killing 20
people and wounding 155 others. The Israeli military said those reports “are
false,” adding it was assessing the event “with the thoroughness that it
deserves.”
The violence occurred late Thursday near the Kuwaiti Roundabout, which has been
a point for the distribution of aid in north Gaza over the past weeks. The
health ministry said a group waiting there for aid was hit by Israeli shelling.
The United Nations says one-quarter of Gaza’s 2.3 million people face
starvation, many of them in the isolated north, the largely devastated target of
Israel’s initial offensive in Gaza. Bloodshed surrounding an aid convoy on Feb.
29 killed 118 Palestinians in northern Gaza. The Israeli military said some of
its forces fired at people in the crowd who were advancing toward them.
Witnesses and hospital officials said many of the casualties were from bullet
wounds. The Israeli military said many of the casualties were caused by a
stampede over the food and people being run over by the aid trucks. Following
the violence, the United States announced plans to build a temporary pier in
Gaza to bring in food by sea and joined with other countries to airdrop food
into the isolated north.
Hamas lashes out at Abbas's 'unilateral' designation of new
PM
CAIRO (Reuters) -Nidal al-Mughrabi/March 15, 2024
The Islamist group Hamas on Friday criticized the "unilateral" designation by
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas of an ally and leading business figure as
prime minister with a mandate to help reform the Palestinian Authority (PA) and
rebuild Gaza. Mohammad Mustafa's appointment comes after mounting pressure to
overhaul the governing body of the occupied Palestinian territories and improve
governance in the occupied West Bank where it is based. Hamas said the decision
was taken without consulting it despite recently taking part in a meeting in
Moscow also attended by Abbas's Fatah movement to end long-time divisions
weakening Palestinian political aspirations."We express our rejection of
continuing this approach that has inflicted and continues to inflict harm on our
people and our national cause," Hamas said in a statement. "Making individual
decisions and engaging in superficial and empty steps such as forming a new
government without national consensus only reinforces a policy of unilateralism
and deepens division."At a time of war with Israel, Palestinians needed a
unified leadership preparing for free democratic elections involving all
components of their society, it added.
The war began with an attack by Hamas fighters from Gaza who killed 1,200 people
and seized 253 hostages in Israel on Oct. 7, according to Israeli tallies. Since
then, an Israeli assault has killed more than 31,000 people and driven nearly
the entire 2.3 million population of Gaza from their homes.
FOREIGN DEMANDS
As president, Abbas remains by far the most powerful figure in the Palestinian
Authority, but the appointment of a new government showed willingness to meet
international demands for change in the administration. Mustafa, who helped
organise the reconstruction of Gaza following a previous conflict, was assigned
to lead the relief and rebuilding of the area, which has been shattered by more
than five months of war, and reform Palestinian Authority institutions,
according to the designation letter. He replaces former Prime Minister Mohammed
Shtayyeh who, along with his government, resigned in February. Arab and
international efforts have so far failed to reconcile Hamas and Fatah, which
makes the backbone of the PA, since the Hamas 2007 take over of Gaza, a move
that reduced Abbas's authority to the Israeli-occupied West Bank. Palestinians
want both territories as the core of a future independent state. Hamas said any
attempt to exclude it from the political scene after the war was "delusional".
In a recent warning, a security official told a Hamas-linked news website that
attempts by clans or community leaders to cooperate with Israel's plans to
administer Gaza would be seen as "treason" and met with an "iron fist." But the
group denied media reports it killed some local clan leaders in recent days for
meddling with aid distribution.
Palestinian leader names adviser Mohammed Mustafa as PM
Associated Press/March 15/2024
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has appointed his longtime economic adviser
to be the next prime minister in the face of U.S. pressure to reform the
Palestinian Authority as part of Washington's postwar vision for Gaza. Mohammad
Mustafa, a U.S.-educated economist and political independent, will head a
technocratic government in the Israeli-occupied West Bank that could potentially
administer Gaza ahead of eventual statehood. But those plans face major
obstacles, including strong opposition from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu, and the Israel-Hamas war that is still grinding on with no end in
sight.
It's unclear whether the appointment of a new Cabinet led by a close Abbas ally
would be sufficient to meet U.S. demands for reform, as the 88-year-old
president would remain in overall control. "The change that the United States of
America and the countries of the region want is not necessarily the change that
the Palestinian citizen wants," said Hani al-Masri, a Palestinian political
analyst. "People want a real change in politics, not a change in names ... They
want elections." He said Mustafa is "a respected and educated man" but will
struggle to meet public demands to improve conditions in the occupied West Bank,
where Israeli restrictions imposed since the start of the war have caused an
economic crisis. In a statement announcing the appointment, Abbas asked Mustafa
to put together plans to re-unify adminstration in the West Bank and Gaza, lead
reforms in the government, security services and economy and fight corruption.
Washington welcomed his appointment but urged that Mostafa quickly form a
Cabinet to implement changes. "The United States will be looking for this new
government to deliver on policies and implementation of credible and
far-reaching reforms. A reformed Palestinian Authority is essential to
delivering results for the Palestinian people and establishing the conditions
for stability in both the West Bank and Gaza," National Security Council
spokesperson Adrienne Watson said. Mustafa was born in the West Bank town of
Tulkarem in 1954 and earned a doctorate in business administration and economics
from George Washington University. He has held senior positions at the World
Bank and previously served as deputy prime minister and economy minister. He is
currently the chairman of the Palestine Investment Fund. The previous prime
minister, Mohammad Shtayyeh, resigned along with his government last month,
saying different arrangements were needed because of the "new reality in the
Gaza Strip." The Palestinian Authority was established in the 1990s through
interim peace agreements and was envisioned as a stepping-stone to eventual
statehood. But the peace talks repeatedly collapsed, most recently with
Netanayahu's return to power in 2009. Hamas seized power in Gaza from forces
loyal to Abbas in 2007, confining his limited authority to major population
centers that account for around 40% of the Israeli-occupied West Bank. Abbas is
deeply unpopular among Palestinians, many of whom view the PA as little more
than a subcontractor of the occupation because it cooperates with Israel on
security matters. His mandate ended in 2009 but he has refused to hold
elections, blaming Israeli restrictions. Hamas won a landslide victory in the
last parliamentary elections, in 2006. Although it is considered a terrorist
group by Israel and Western countries, Hamas would likely perform well in any
free and fair vote. Abbas, unlike his Hamas rivals, recognizes Israel, has
renounced armed struggle and is committed to a negotiated solution that would
create an independent Palestinian state alongside Israel. That goal is shared by
the international community. Israel has long criticized the PA over payments it
makes to the families of Palestinians who have been killed or imprisoned by
Israel, including top militants who killed Israelis. The PA defends such
payments as a form of social welfare for families harmed by the decades-old
conflict.
The dispute has led Israel to suspend some of the taxes and customs duties it
collects on behalf of the PA, contributing to years of budget shortfalls. The PA
pays the salaries of tens of thousands of teachers, health workers and other
civil servants.
The United States has called for a reformed PA to expand its writ to postwar
Gaza ahead of the eventual creation of a Palestinian state in both territories.
Netanyahu has ruled out any role for the PA in Gaza, and his government is
opposed to Palestinian statehood. Israel captured the West Bank, Gaza and east
Jerusalem in the 1967 Mideast war. The Palestinians want all three territories
to form their future state. Israel annexed east Jerusalem in a move not
recognized internationally and considers the entire city — including major holy
sites sacred to Jews, Christians and Muslims — to be its undivided capital.
Israel has built scores of settlements across the West Bank, where over 500,000
Jewish settlers live in close proximity to some 3 million Palestinians. Israel
withdrew soldiers and settlers from Gaza in 2005, but along with Egypt imposed a
blockade on the territory when Hamas seized power two years later. Netanyahu has
vowed to dismantle Hamas and maintain open-ended security control over Gaza in
the wake of Hamas' Oct. 7 attack, in which militants stormed into southern
Israel, killing some 1,200 people and taking another 250 hostage. Israel's
subsequent invasion of Gaza has killed more than 31,000 Palestinians, according
to Gaza health officials. The Palestinian Authority has said it will not return
to Gaza on the back of an Israeli tank, and that it would only assume control of
the territory as part of a comprehensive solution to the conflict that includes
statehood.
Spanish aid vessel visible off Gaza coast
Associated Press/March 15/2024
A ship carrying 200 tons of aid approached the coast of Gaza on Friday in a
mission to inaugurate a sea route from Cyprus that was intended to bring more
assistance to alleviate the humanitarian crisis in the enclave five months into
the war between Israel and Hamas. The ship, manned by the Spanish aid group Open
Arms, left Cyprus on Tuesday towing a barge laden with food sent by World
Central Kitchen, the charity founded by celebrity chef José Andrés. It could be
seen off Gaza's coast Friday morning. Israel has been under increasing pressure
to allow more aid into Gaza after five months of war between Israel and Hamas.
The United States has joined other countries in airdropping supplies to the
isolated region of northern Gaza and has announced separate plans to construct a
pier to get aid in. Aid groups said the airdrops and sea shipments are far less
efficient ways of delivering the massive amounts of aid needed in Gaza. Instead,
the groups have called on Israel to guarantee safe corridors for truck convoys
after land deliveries became nearly impossible because of military restrictions,
ongoing hostilities and the breakdown of order after the Hamas-run police force
largely vanished from the streets. The daily number of supply trucks entering
Gaza since the war began has been far below the 500 that entered before Oct. 7.
Earlier in the week, Israel allowed six aid trucks to enter directly into the
north, a step aid groups have long called for. World Central Kitchen operates 65
kitchens across Gaza from where it has served 32 million meals since the war
started, the group said. The aid includes rice, flour, lentils, beans, tuna and
canned meat, according to World Central Kitchen spokesperson Linda Roth. It
plans to distribute the food in the north, the largely devastated target of
Israel's initial offensive in Gaza, which has been mostly cut off by Israeli
forces since October. Up to 300,000 Palestinians are believed to have remained
there despite Israeli evacuation orders, with many reduced to eating animal feed
in recent weeks. A second vessel being loaded with even more aid will head to
Gaza once the aid on the first ship is offloaded and distributed, Cyprus'
Foreign Minister Constantinos Kombos said. He declined to specify when the
second vessel would leave, saying it depends in part on whether the Open Arms
delivery goes smoothly. The Israel-Hamas war was triggered by Hamas' Oct. 7
attack on Israel that killed 1,200 people and left another 250 taken into Gaza
as hostages. Israel's offensive in Gaza has killed over 31,000 Palestinians and
driven most of Gaza's 2.3 million people from their homes. A quarter of Gaza's
population is starving, according to the United Nations.
The ship could be spotted from the coast hours after the Palestinian Health
Ministry in Gaza accused Israeli forces of launching an attack near an aid
distribution point in northern Gaza, killing 20 people and wounding 155 others.
The Israeli military said those reports "are false," adding it was assessing the
event "with the thoroughness that it deserves."The health ministry said a group
waiting for aid near the Kuwaiti roundabout was hit by Israeli shelling late
Thursday. Bloodshed surrounding an aid convoy on Feb. 29 killed 118 Palestinians
in northern Gaza. The Israeli military said some of its forces fired at people
in the crowd who were advancing toward them. Witnesses and hospital officials
said many of the casualties were from bullet wounds. The Israeli military said
many of the casualties were caused by a stampede over the food and people being
run over by the aid trucks. After that, plans for the sea route took shape and
the United States and other countries joined Jordan in dropping aid into the
north by plane. But people in northern Gaza say the airdrops are insufficient to
meeting the vast need. Many can't access the aid because people are fighting
over it, said Suwar Baroud, 24, who was displaced by the fighting and is now in
Gaza City. Some people hoard it and sell it in the market, she said. A recent
airdrop that malfunctioned plummeted from the sky and killed five people.
Another drop landed in a sewage and garbage dump, said Riham Abu al-Bid, 27. Men
ran in but were unable to retrieve anything, she said. "I wish these airdrops
never happened and that our dignity and freedom would be taken into
consideration, so we can get our sustenance in a dignified way and not in a
manner that is so humiliating," she said.
Egypt appeals for more aid deliveries by land to Gaza
Associated Press/March 15/2024
Egypt’s top diplomat has made an emotional appeal for an urgent increase in
humanitarian aid going into Gaza by land, even as an aid ship loaded with some
200 tons of food was on its way to the enclave, where hundreds of thousands of
Palestinians are on the brink of starvation. The push to get food in by sea —
along with a recent campaign of airdrops into isolated northern Gaza —
highlighted the international community’s frustration with the growing
humanitarian crisis and with Israel's restrictions that have prevented more aid
getting in by land. Australia announced early Friday it would funding to the
United Nations relief agency for Palestinians and pledged additional money to
UNICEF to provide urgent services in Gaza. A quarter of Gaza’s population is
starving, the United Nations has warned, and the territory's Health Ministry
says more than 31,314 Palestinians have been killed. The ministry doesn’t
differentiate between civilians and combatants in its count, but says women and
children make up two-thirds of the dead. Some 1,200 people, mostly civilians,
were killed in southern Israel during the Hamas-led incursion on Oct. 7 that
sparked the war. Around 250 people were abducted, and Hamas is believed to still
be holding about 100 hostages.
Australia resumes funding for UNRWA and pledges more Gaza
aid
Associated Press/March 15/2024
Australia will restore funding to the United Nations relief agency for
Palestinians, weeks after the agency lost hundreds of millions of dollars in
support following Israeli allegations that some of its Gaza-based staff
participated in the Oct. 7 attack.
The Australian government also pledged Friday to increase aid for the besieged
enclave, with Foreign Minister Penny Wong expressing horror at the deteriorating
humanitarian situation in Gaza. Australia's move follows Sweden, the European
Commission and Canada in reinstating funding for the United Nations Relief and
Works Agency for Palestine Refugees, which had seen its international funding
frozen while the allegations were investigated. "The best available current
advice from agencies and the Australian government lawyers is that UNRWA is not
a terrorist organization," Wong told reporters Friday in Adelaide while she
announced the aid package. "(We have) been working with a group of donor
countries and with UNRWA on the shared objective of ensuring the integrity of
UNRWA's operations, rebuilding confidence, and so importantly, ensuring aid
flows to Gazans in desperate need." Australia, alongside 15 international
partners, froze funding to UNRWA in January, leaving the agency — which employs
roughly 13,000 people in Gaza and is the main supplier of food, water and
shelter there — on the brink of financial collapse. A small number of the
agency's staff were fired following the accusations.
Israel has claimed that 450 UNRWA employees were members of militant groups in
Gaza, though it has provided no evidence. Wong also pledged an additional 4
million Australian dollars ($2.6 million) to UNICEF to provide urgent services
in Gaza, and a C17 Globemaster plane will also deliver defense force parachutes
to help with the U.S. led airdropping of humanitarian supplies into the enclave,
which is on the brink of famine, according to the United Nations. The U.S. is
also scrambling to open a new humanitarian aid corridor by building a floating
dock off the coast of Gaza so aid can flow by sea.
Hamas' Oct. 7 attack, in which about 1,200 people, mostly civilians, were killed
and around 250 taken hostage, sparked Israel's retaliatory invasion of Gaza that
has killed more than 31,000, according to local health officials, left much of
the enclave in ruins and displaced some 80% of Gaza's 2.3 million people.
Woman sets fire to voting booth in Moscow
Agence France Presse/March 15/2024
A woman set fire to a voting booth Friday at a polling station in southern
Moscow on the first day of presidential elections, Russian state and independent
media reported. The RIA Novosti news agency said a "woman set alight a polling
booth" in the capital, while the independent SOTA outlet published video of a
woman walking up to a booth before calmly stepping out of it as it was in
flames, saying it was in the southern Marino district.
German, French and Polish leaders meet to discuss support for Ukraine
Associated Press/March 15/2024
The leaders of Germany, France and Poland plan to meet in Berlin Friday to
discuss support for Ukraine, seeking to send a signal of unity and solidarity as
Kyiv grapples with a shortage of military resources and Russia votes in an
election all but certain to extend President Vladimir Putin's reign.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is welcoming French President Emmanuel Macron and
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk for a summit of the so-called "Weimar
Triangle" of the three major European powers, a format that they are trying to
revitalize after relations were strained under Poland's previous nationalist
government. Kyiv's forces are hoping for more military supplies from Ukraine's
Western partners, but in the meantime, they are struggling against a bigger and
better-provisioned Russian army that is pressing hard at some front-line points
in Ukraine. The European Union's plans to produce 1 million artillery rounds for
Ukraine have fallen well short, while aid for Ukraine is being being held up in
the United States by political differences. "We must do everything we can to
organize as much support as possible for Ukraine," Scholz said on Wednesday,
pointing to the "very practical question of whether there is enough ammunition,
whether there is enough artillery, whether there is enough air defense — many
things that play a major role." He downplayed recent differences with Macron
after the French leader said at a conference last month that sending in Western
ground troops should not be ruled out in the future. Scholz said then that
participants had agreed there will be "no ground troops" on Ukrainian soil sent
by European countries. On Thursday, Macron reiterated his position, though he
said today's situation doesn't require sending ground troops. Germany, France
and Poland are among Ukraine's key allies. Germany has become Ukraine's
second-biggest supplier of military aid after the United States and is stepping
up support this year, although Scholz has faced criticism for refusing to send
Taurus long-range cruise missiles. Macron on Thursday described the
Russia-Ukraine war as "existential" to France and Europe. The three European
leaders are meeting as Russia holds a three-day presidential election that is
all but certain to give Putin another six years in power after he stifled
dissent. Speaking in Washington on Thursday, EU foreign policy chief Josep
Borrell said that a Ukrainian victory "is essential for European security, but I
think it's also essential for the U.S." He warned of "the price of delaying
decisions." "I want to stress the importance of the time," he said. "Time is of
the essence. The next month will be decisive. Many analysts expect a major
Russia offensive this summer and Ukraine cannot wait on (the) result of the next
U.S. elections."
Macron and Putin: from 'dear Vladimir' to 'existential'
threat
Agence France Presse/March 15/2024
French President Emmanuel Macron for half a decade sought to cultivate a
partnership with Russia but has now become an implacable foe of the Kremlin,
warning that Vladimir Putin poses a threat not just to Ukraine but the security
of all Europeans. Weeks after taking office in 2017, Macron signalled his
intentions towards Russia by rolling out the red carpet for Putin at a summit in
the former royal residence of the Versailles Palace. In 2019, the Russian leader
was invited to the French president's Mediterranean summer residence where
Macron addressed Putin as "dear Vladimir" and famously declared Russia was part
of a Europe that extended from "Lisbon to Vladivostok". Even after Putin ordered
Russian tanks into Ukraine in the February 2022 invasion, Macron sought to keep
up a channel of dialogue with the Russian leader, speaking to him on multiple
occasions until September that year and insisting on the need "not to humiliate
Russia". Macron openly acknowledges his position has now undergone a major
turnaround, citing a "hardening" in Russia's stance at home and abroad, which
has seen the prison death of opposition figure Alexei Navalny that supporters
have blamed on the Kremlin, as well as a flurry of cyberattacks and
disinformation campaigns against countries including France. He has repeated as
a mantra that "Russia cannot win this war" and shocked European allies in
February by refusing to rule out the sending of Western ground troops."Who would
think for a single second that President Putin, who did not respect any of his
limits and engagements, would stop there?" he said in an interview with French
television on Thursday, insisting there should be "no limits" in support for
Ukraine and describing the war as "existential" for Ukraine and Europe. Macron
gave the interview on the eve of stage-managed presidential elections in Russia
that should see Putin win another six-year term. He also is in Berlin Friday for
talks with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who has expressed discomfort with
France's more bellicose stance, and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk."If Russia
wins the life of the French will change. We will have no more security in
Europe," Macron warned.
- From 'dove to hawk' -
A French presidential official, who asked not to be named, said that Macron had
"gone to the end" in seeking a possible diplomatic path with Putin, even
visiting Moscow in February 2022 in a last ditch attempt to prevent war.
After this "he (Macron) is the one who has the best justification to say that
this path is not possible", the official said, adding: "It is the Kremlin which
has changed, not him (Macron)".The breakdown in their relationship is shown
starkly in a February 2022 telephone conversation on the eve of the invasion --
which extremely unusually was filmed and broadcast in a French TV documentary –
where both men drop diplomatic niceties for open shows of anger. "Listen to me
carefully! What's up with you?" said Putin in the conversation recorded in the
documentary which was broadcast in the summer of 2022 but was shared virally on
social media this week. In a sign of their previous intimacy, both men still use
the informal "you" ("tu" in French, "ty" in Russian). "The metamorphosis of
Emmanuel Macron, the dove become hawk," said the Le Monde daily this week. In an
interview this week with French channel BFMTV, Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelensky said Putin had "deceived" Macron by promising him and several leaders a
few days before the war there would not be an invasion. "I think he realised
that Putin had personally deceived him."
'Gallic cockerel' -
Macron's more assertive position, and in particular the warning that the sending
of Western ground troops was not ruled out, has raised hackles in Russia.
Interviewing Putin this week, the star presenter with the state-run Rossiya
channel Dmitry Kiselev asked the Russian leader "what has happened to Macron?
Has he lost his marbles? … He looks like a fighting Gallic cockerel! He has
frightened all Europeans."Putin swatted the question away, claiming that "such a
sharp reaction, quite an emotional one" from Macron was linked to France losing
influence in African countries where Russia has gained the upper hand through
the Wagner mercenary group. "Putin's position has not significantly changed.
There are very serious changes in Macron's position," Sergei Markov, pro-Kremlin
director of the Institute of Political Studies in Moscow, told AFP. For Tatiana
Kastoueva-Jean, Russia specialist at the French Institute of International
Relations (IFRI), the change in Macron's stance towards Putin triggered this
reaction from Russia. "There is incomprehension (in Russia) over how someone who
wants to discuss with Russia, to be the mediator, turns into someone who takes
the lead of the toughest camp opposing it," she told AFP.
Middle East conflicts revive clash between US president and Congress
Associated Press/March 15/2024
A major deadline under the half-century-old War Powers Resolution came this week
for President Joe Biden to obtain Congress' approval to keep waging his military
campaign against Yemen's Houthis, in line with its sole authority under the U.S.
Constitution to declare war and otherwise authorize military force.
Came, and went, in public silence — even from Senate Democrats frustrated by the
Biden administration's blowing past some of the checkpoints that would give
Congress more of a say in the United States' deepening military engagement in
the Middle East conflicts. The Biden administration contends that nothing in the
War Powers Resolution, or other deadlines, directives and laws, requires it to
change its military support for Israel's five-month-old war in Gaza, or two
months of U.S. military strikes on the Houthis, or to submit to greater
congressional oversight or control. That's left some frustrated Senate Democrats
calibrating how far to go in confronting a president of their own party over his
military authority.
Democrats are wary of undercutting Biden as he faces a difficult reelection
campaign. Their ability to act is limited by their control of only one chamber,
the Senate, where some Democrats — and many Republicans — back Biden's military
actions in the Middle East. While Biden's approach gives him more leeway in how
he conducts U.S. military engagement since Hamas' Oct. 7 attacks, it risks
making any crisis deeper if things go badly wrong. James A. Siebens, leader of
the Defense Strategy and Planning project at the Stimson Center in Washington,
called it a "latent constitutional crisis." The Middle East conflicts have
revived what's been a long-running clash between presidents, who are the
commanders in chief, and Congress, which holds the authority to stop and start
wars, or lesser uses of military force, and controls their funding. U.S. and
British warships, planes and drones opened attacks on Houthi targets in Yemen on
Jan. 11. Hundreds of U.S. strikes have followed. The U.S. strikes are aimed at
knocking back what has been a surge of attacks by the Iran-backed Houthis, a
clan-based movement that has seized control of much of northern Yemen, on
international shipping in the Red Sea since the Israel-Hamas war began. Biden
formally notified Congress the next day. The administration took pains to frame
the U.S. military campaign as defensive actions and not as "hostilities" that
fall under the War Powers Resolution.
The resolution gives presidents 60 days after notifying Congress they've sent
U.S. forces into armed conflict either to obtain its approval to keep fighting,
or to pull out U.S. troops. That deadline was Tuesday. The White House continues
to insist that the military actions are to defend U.S. forces and do not fall
under the resolution's 60-day provision. Congress pushed through the War Powers
Resolution over presidential veto in 1973, moving forcefully to reclaim its
authority over U.S. wars abroad as President Richard Nixon expanded the Vietnam
War. Since then, presidents have often argued that U.S. involvement in conflicts
doesn't amount to "hostilities" or otherwise fall under the resolution. If
lawmakers disapprove, their options include pressuring the executive branch to
seek an authorization of military force, trying to get Congress at large to
formally order the president to withdraw, withholding funding or stepping up
congressional oversight. For Yemen, Democratic Sen. Chris Murphy is looking at
introducing legislation within weeks that would authorize the U.S. campaign
against the Houthis under set limits on the time, geographical range and scope.
The plan has not been previously reported.
Murphy and other Democrats in Congress have expressed concern about the
effectiveness of the U.S. attacks on the Houthis, the risk of further regional
escalation and the lack of clarity on the administration's end game. They've
asked why the administration sees it as the U.S. military's mission to protect a
global shipping route. "This is 'hostilities'.' There's no congressional
authorization for them," Sen. Tim Kaine, a Virginia Democrat, told a Senate
Foreign Relations subcommittee hearing on obtaining congressional authorization
for the U.S. strikes on the Houthis. "And it's not even close."Asked this week
what happens now that the 60 days are up, Kaine said it would be premature for
Congress to consider authorizing the U.S. action against the Houthis without
understanding the strategy. Idaho Sen. James Risch. the top Republican on the
Senate Foreign Relations Committee, had no such doubts. "I believe that the
president has all the power that he needs under the Constitution to do what he's
doing in Yemen," Risch said this week. But it's Gaza, and the soaring death toll
among Palestinian civilians, that has stirred the most protests from Congress.
The Israel-Hamas war also has a far higher profile in U.S. domestic politics.
While many Americans are dead-set against any cut in military support to Israel,
a growing number of Democrats have begun withholding votes from Biden in state
presidential primaries to demand more U.S. action for Gaza's trapped people.
Some in Congress were frustrated early in the war that the administration
bypassed congressional review to rush additional military aid to Israel, by
declaring a national security emergency. A presidential order negotiated with
Senate Democrats requires Israel to certify in writing by March 25 that it will
abide by international law when using U.S. weapons in Gaza and will not impede
humanitarian aid to Palestinian civilians — or face a possible cut in U.S.
military aid. The United Nations has said Israeli restrictions are keeping many
aid trucks from getting into Gaza. The U.S. this month began air drops and work
on a sea route to get more food and other vital goods into the territory. Some
in Congress are pushing the administration to cut the military aid now, under
existing federal law requiring countries that get U.S. military support to use
it in compliance with international law, including by allowing humanitarian
access to civilians in conflicts. A group of Senate Democrats and independent
Sen. Bernie Sanders wrote Biden this week that it was already plain that Israel
was obstructing humanitarian aid to Gaza. They urged him to cut military aid
immediately, absent a turnaround by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's
government, under existing laws on U.S. foreign assistance. "I'm still
flabbergasted" that the administration hasn't acted, Maryland Democrat Chris Van
Hollen, one of the senators pushing hardest on the point, said.
Top Democrat Schumer calls for new elections, says
Netanyahu obstacle to peace
Associated Press/March 15/2024
Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has called on Israel to hold new elections,
saying he believes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has "lost his way"
and is an obstacle to peace in the region amid a growing humanitarian crisis in
Gaza. Schumer, the first Jewish majority leader in the Senate and the
highest-ranking Jewish official in the U.S., strongly criticized Netanyahu in a
40-minute speech Thursday morning on the Senate floor. Schumer said the prime
minister has put himself in a coalition of far-right extremists and "as a
result, he has been too willing to tolerate the civilian toll in Gaza, which is
pushing support for Israel worldwide to historic lows.""Israel cannot survive if
it becomes a pariah," Schumer said. The high-level warning comes as an
increasing number of Democrats have pushed back against Israel and as President
Joe Biden has stepped up public pressure on Netanyahu's government, arguing that
he needs to pay more attention to the civilian death toll in Gaza amid the
Israeli bombardment. The U.S. this month began airdrops of badly needed
humanitarian aid and announced it will establish a temporary pier to get more
assistance into Gaza via sea. Schumer has so far positioned himself as a strong
ally of the Israeli government, visiting the country just days after the brutal
Oct. 7 attack by Hamas and giving a lengthy speech on the Senate floor in
December decrying "brazen and widespread antisemitism the likes of which we
haven't seen in generations in this country, if ever."But he said on the Senate
floor Thursday that the "Israeli people are being stifled right now by a
governing vision that is stuck in the past." Schumer says Netanyahu, who has
long opposed Palestinian statehood, is one of several obstacles in the way of
the two-state solution pushed by the United States. Netanyahu "has lost his way
by allowing his political survival to take precedence over the best interests of
Israel," Schumer said. The majority leader is also blaming right-wing Israelis,
Hamas and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas. Until they are all
removed from the equation, Schumer said, "there will never be peace in Israel
and Gaza and the West Bank."The United States cannot dictate the outcome of an
election in Israel, Schumer said, but "a new election is the only way to allow
for a healthy and open decision-making process about the future of Israel, at a
time when so many Israelis have lost their confidence in the vision and
direction of their government." At the White House, national security spokesman
John Kirby declined to weigh in on Schumer's remarks, saying the White House is
most focused on getting a temporary cease-fire in place. "We know Leader Schumer
feels strongly about this and we'll certainly let him speak to it and to his
comments," Kirby said. "We're going to stay focused on making sure that Israel
has what it needs to defend itself while doing everything that they can to avoid
civilian casualties."Israeli ambassador Michael Herzog called the speech
"counterproductive to our common goals."
"Israel is a sovereign democracy," Herzog posted on X, formerly known as
Twitter. "It is unhelpful, all the more so as Israel is at war against the
genocidal terror organization Hamas, to comment on the domestic political scene
of a democratic ally."The speech also drew a swift reprisal from Republicans.
Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell said on the Senate floor immediately
after Schumer's speech that "Israel deserves an ally that acts like one" and
that foreign observers "ought to refrain from weighing in."
The Democratic Party has an anti-Israel problem, McConnell said. "Either we
respect their decisions or we disrespect their democracy," he said. And at a
House GOP retreat in West Virginia, House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., called
Schumer's speech "inappropriate."
"It's just plain wrong for an American leader to play such a divisive role in
Israeli politics while our closest ally in the region is in an existential
battle for its very survival," the Republican speaker said. Netanyahu has long
had a cozy relationship with Republicans in the United States, most notably
speaking at a joint session of Congress in 2015 at the invitation of GOP
lawmakers to try to torpedo former President Barack Obama's nuclear negotiations
with Iran. The move infuriated Obama administration officials, who saw it as an
end run around Obama's presidential authority and unacceptably deep interference
in U.S. politics and foreign policy. Just this week, Netanyahu was invited to
speak to Republican senators at a party retreat. But Herzog took his place due
to last minute scheduling issues, according to a person familiar with the
closed-door meeting.
It is unclear how Schumer's unusually direct call will be received in Israel,
where the next parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 2026. Many
Israelis hold Netanyahu responsible for failing to stop the Oct. 7 cross-border
raid by Hamas, which killed 1,200 people, mostly civilians, and his popularity
appears to have taken a hit as a result. Protesters in Israel calling for early
elections have charged that Netanyahu is making decisions based on keeping his
right-wing coalition intact rather than Israel's interests at a time of war. And
they say he is endangering Israel's strategic alliance with the United States by
rejecting U.S. proposals for a post-war vision for Gaza in order to appease the
far-right members of his government. U.S. priorities in the region have
increasingly been hampered by those far-right members of his Cabinet, who share
Netanyahu's opposition to Palestinian statehood and other aims that successive
U.S. administrations have seen as essential to resolving Palestinian-Israeli
conflicts long-term.
In a hot-mic moment while speaking to lawmakers after his State of the Union
address, Biden promised a "come to Jesus" moment with Netanyahu. And Vice
President Kamala Harris, Schumer and other lawmakers met last week in Washington
with Benny Gantz, a member of Israel's War Cabinet and a far more popular rival
of Netanyahu — a visit that drew a rebuke from the Israeli prime minister. Gantz
joined Netanyahu's government in the War Cabinet soon after the Hamas attacks.
But he is expected to leave the government once the heaviest fighting subsides,
signaling the period of national unity has ended. A return to mass
demonstrations could ramp up pressure on Netanyahu's deeply unpopular coalition
to hold early elections. Schumer said that as the highest ranking Jewish elected
official in the United States, he feels an obligation to speak out. He said his
last name derives from the Hebrew word Shomer, or "guardian.""I also feel very
keenly my responsibility as Shomer Yisroel — a guardian of the People of
Israel," he said. Schumer said that if Israel tightens its control over Gaza and
the West Bank and creates a "de facto single state," then there should be no
reasonable expectation that Hamas and their allies will lay down arms. It could
mean constant war, he said. "As a democracy, Israel has the right to choose its
own leaders, and we should let the chips fall where they may," Schumer said.
"But the important thing is that Israelis are given a choice."
Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on March 15-16/2024
Biden Should be Threatening Qatar and the Terrorists, Not Israel
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute./March 15, 2024
Biden's reported threat to halt or suspend US military supplies to Israel if the
IDF enters Rafah is what encourages Hamas to continue fighting and reject every
proposal to release the hostages. When Hamas leaders hear that Biden is
threatening Israel to prevent the IDF from entering Rafah, they must say to
themselves: "Why should we make any concessions to Israel? America doesn't want
the Israelis to destroy the four remaining battalions. The US administration is
opposed to Israel's plan to eliminate Hamas, so let's wait!"
A total defeat means the elimination of all of Hamas's battalions. An Israeli
victory will never be complete as long as one, or even half, a Hamas battalion
remains intact.
Biden is actually sending a message to Hamas and Iran's other terror proxies,
including Hezbollah, Palestinian Islamic Jihad and the Houthis, that America is
about to throw Israel under the bus. Cutting off US weapons supplies to Israel
is the ultimate fantasy of the terrorists.
The administration could show impressive leadership and in fact "bring this to
an end as quickly as we can" -- not just for Israel but for all in the region
who are seeking peace -- by encouraging Israel to take out the terrorists in
Rafah without delay.
Instead of pressuring Israel, Biden should be pressuring his friends in Qatar to
force their Hamas puppets to hand over the Israeli hostages and surrender.
Instead of threatening to cut off weapons supplies to Israel, he should be
threatening the leaders of Qatar with the withdrawal of US forces from the
country's Al Udeid Air Base and to officially designate Qatar as a State Sponsor
of Terrorism (for its funding of Hamas, Hizballah, ISIS, Al Qaeda, Taliban, Al
Shabab, Al Nusra Front, among others).
This is the way – the only way – to end the war quickly, as well as to send a
signal to America's adversaries looking on, that the US is prepared to uphold
the values of civilization, not the values of terror.
US President Joe Biden's reported threat to halt or suspend US military
supplies to Israel if the IDF enters Rafah is what encourages Hamas to continue
fighting and reject every proposal to release the hostages.
US President Joe Biden will consider conditioning military supplies to Israel
if the Israeli army moves forward with a large-scale invasion of the city of
Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip, according to four US officials.
Biden has also told MSNBC that a Rafah operation would cross a "red line,"
although he balanced that statement with a commitment to support Israel's right
to self-defense.
Israeli security sources have revealed that the Iran-backed Hamas terror group
has at least four battalions in Rafah. Many of the Israeli hostages kidnapped by
Hamas terrorists and other Palestinians on October 7, 2023, are also believed to
be held in Rafah.
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have succeeded in destroying most of Hamas's
battalions in other areas of the Gaza Strip.
Israeli forces have dismantled 17 of Hamas's 24 combat battalions in the Gaza
Strip, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on February 4.
"The increasing defeat of Hamas in Gaza is an important achievement for the IDF,"
said Middle East expert Seth Frantzman.
"Hamas terrorists have lost control of significant areas in Gaza, enabling the
dismantling of the terrorist infrastructure the group built up over previous
decades. It is essential the IDF be supported in its efforts to prevent further
threats by Hamas and other terrorist groups to Israel and the region."
Biden's reported threat to halt or suspend US military supplies to Israel if the
IDF enters Rafah is what encourages Hamas to continue fighting and reject every
proposal to release the hostages. When Hamas leaders hear that Biden is
threatening Israel to prevent the IDF from entering Rafah, they must say to
themselves: "Why should we make any concessions to Israel? America doesn't want
the Israelis to destroy the four remaining battalions. The US administration is
opposed to Israel's plan to eliminate Hamas, so let's wait!"
Asking Israel not to invade Rafah and destroy the Hamas terrorists holed up in
the city is akin to requesting that someone running in a marathon stop before
reaching the finish line. There is no alternative to a total defeat of Hamas,
especially in the aftermath of its October 7 massacre of 1,200 Israelis. A total
defeat means the elimination of all of Hamas's battalions. An Israeli victory
will never be complete as long as one, or even half, a Hamas battalion remains
intact.
According to Brigadier General (res.) Amir Avivi, Chairman and Founder of Israel
Defense and Security Forum:
"The Americans should understand the consequences of [Biden's] red line: a
guarantee that another October 7 will happen again, that hostages will never
come home, that an emboldened Iran will intensify on all fronts and that Hamas-oppressed
civilians will suffer indefinitely.
"One of the reasons for this could be President Biden's willingness to avoid
dissent at the Democratic National Convention in August, and he is worried about
losing the state of Michigan in the coming election as young people and
Arab-Americans defect over his Israel policy. Israel has a right to defend
itself, he seems to now be saying, but it should stop the war now. President
Biden expressed this dichotomous position in his State of the Union address last
week and reiterated this point in the MSNBC interview."
On November 25, 2023, Biden was quoted as saying that Israel's goal of
eliminating Hamas was a legitimate but difficult mission. "I don't know how long
it will take," Biden told reporters.
"My expectation and hope is that as we move forward, the rest of the Arab world
and the region is also putting pressure on all sides to slow this down, to bring
this to an end as quickly as we can."
Four months later, Biden appears to have changed his mind about obliterating
Hamas. His warning to Israel not to enter Rafah implies that the Biden
administration actually wants Israel to lose the war against Hamas. This would
mean that Hamas will continue to rule the Gaza Strip and plan more October
7-style massacres against Israelis. Hamas official Ghazi Hamad has clearly said
that the terror group will repeat the October 7 attack, time and again, until
Israel is annihilated.
The most dangerous part of Biden's statements is the threat to suspend or halt
US shipments of weapons and ammunition aid to Israel should it proceed with its
plans to launch a ground offensive in Rafah, destroy Hamas and release the
hostages.
Biden is actually sending a message to Hamas and Iran's other terror proxies,
including Hezbollah, Palestinian Islamic Jihad and the Houthis, that America is
about to throw Israel under the bus. Cutting off US weapons supplies to Israel
is the ultimate fantasy of the terrorists.
It is no wonder, then, that in their statements, several Hamas and Palestinian
Islamic Jihad leaders have been calling for an immediate halt to US weapons
shipments to Israel.
The Palestinian terrorists want the Americans to stop supplying Israel with
weapons and ammunition because that would facilitate their mission of killing
Jews and destroying Israel. The terrorists are angry because they want Israel to
be weak and defenseless. Hamas leaders have just one problem with carrying out
more October 7-like massacres against Israelis: the US and other Western
countries' providing armaments to Israel complicates the terrorists' dream of
slaughtering Jews.
"We must teach Israel a lesson," Hamad said.
"The Al-Aqsa Flood [Hamas's name for its Oct 7 invasion of Israel] is just the
first time, and there will be a second, a third, a fourth. Will we have to pay a
price? Yes, and we are ready to pay it. We are called a nation of martyrs, and
we are proud to sacrifice martyrs."
The Biden administration would see more success if it stopped underestimating
such threats from a brutal terror group that has shown itself perfectly capable
of the mass murder, rape, beheadings, and burning alive of Israeli civilians.
The administration could show impressive leadership and in fact "bring this to
an end as quickly as we can" -- not just for Israel but for all in the region
who are seeking peace -- by encouraging Israel to take out the terrorists in
Rafah without delay.
The administration would also do well to stop the talk about punishing Israel by
cutting off military supplies. Instead of pressuring Israel, Biden should be
pressuring his friends in Qatar to force their Hamas puppets to hand over the
Israeli hostages and surrender. Instead of threatening to cut off weapons
supplies to Israel, he should be threatening the leaders of Qatar with the
withdrawal of US forces from the country's Al Udeid Air Base and to officially
designate Qatar as a State Sponsor of Terrorism (for its funding of Hamas,
Hizballah, ISIS, Al Qaeda, Taliban, Al Shabab, Al Nusra Front, among others).
This is the way – the only way – to end the war quickly, as well as to send a
signal to America's adversaries looking on, that the US is prepared to uphold
the values of civilization, not the values of terror.
**Bassam Tawil is a Muslim Arab based in the Middle East.
© 2024 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
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or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Israel’s army exemptions for the ultra-Orthodox are part of a bigger challenge:
The Jewish state is divided over the Jewish religion
Michael Brenner, American University/The Conversation/March 15, 2024
Just when you think nothing can surprise you anymore in Israeli politics,
someone always comes along with a new twist.
This time it was Yitzhak Yosef, one of Israel’s two chief rabbis. In response to
debates over whether ultra-Orthodox Jews should be required to serve in the
military, or continue to be excused to study religious texts full time, he had a
simple answer:
“If they force us to go to the army, we’ll all go abroad,” he declared on March
9, 2024.
Ultra-Orthodox resistance to conscription is nothing new.
But the forcefulness of this declaration is new, especially coming in the midst
of a war. And Yosef is not any random rabbi. He is the son of Ovadia Yosef, who
was the spiritual leader of the Shas Party: an important partner in Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing and religious governing coalition.
Ever since the state of Israel’s founding in 1948, ultra-Orthodox Jews – those
who take the strictest approach toward following Jewish law, and are now around
14% of the population – have been exempt from military service. Among all other
Jewish citizens, from the secular to the modern Orthodox, men are required to
serve 32 months, and women 24, plus reserve duty. In 2017, the country’s Supreme
Court ruled against the exemptions, but they have continued through a series of
legislative workarounds. The latest is due to expire at the end of March 2023,
however – and other Israelis’ resentment toward the ultra-Orthodox exemption is
at a high. As a historian, I see the conscription debate as more than a
political crisis for Israel’s government. The question is so sensitive because
it opens up fundamental questions about the cohesion of Israeli society in
general, and of the ultra-Orthodox, or “Haredi,” population’s attitude toward
the Jewish state in particular. It also illustrates the complexity of a country
that is not as easily explained as many of its supporters and critics alike
believe.
Initial compromise
Historically, Orthodox Jews struggled to justify the idea of a Jewish state.
They prayed for centuries to return to Jerusalem and rebuild the temple, but had
a specific return in mind: a Jewish state established by the Messiah. Any other
kind of Jewish sovereignty, they believed, would be blasphemy. Theodor Herzl,
who founded modern political Zionism in the late 1800s, had a long beard and
looked like a Biblical prophet. Yet he was thoroughly secular and assimilated –
he even lit a Christmas tree with his family. Herzl’s movement to encourage more
European Jews to migrate to the Holy Land had little appeal for the Orthodox.
There was, however, always a minority among the Orthodox who identified with
Zionism, the belief that Jewish people should have a sovereign political state
in the land of Israel. According to the Talmud, the central source of Jewish
law, saving lives is more important than other commandments – and Zionism saved
Jews from pogroms and other anti-Jewish violence in Europe. During the
Holocaust, the vast majority of observant Jews in Eastern Europe were murdered.
Afterward, many survivors who had previously opposed Zionism sought refuge in
the new state of Israel.
On the eve of Israel’s independence, David Ben-Gurion, the prime minister of the
state-to-be, entered an agreement with the leaders of the two camps of Orthodox
Jews. The Haredim, or ultra-Orthodox, still refused to recognize the legitimacy
of a secular Jewish state. The so-called national religious camp, on the other
hand, embraced it. Among other concessions, the new state granted exemption to
young Haredi Jews who wanted to study religious texts full time instead of
joining the army. That hardly seemed consequential, as the young men in question
numbered only a few hundred.
Shifting views
During the Six-Day War of 1967, Israel captured the Jewish holy sites in
Jerusalem as well as the Gaza Strip, West Bank, Golan Heights and Sinai
Peninsula. Since then, the national religious camp, once a moderate force, has
developed into the spearhead of the right-wing settler movement. Unlike the
first generations of Orthodox Zionists, national religious Israelis today are
Zionists not despite but because of messianism. Israel, they believe, will help
bring about the messianic age. Therefore, right-wing religious Zionists – like
Netanyahu’s cabinet ministers Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich – are
enthusiastic proponents of army service.
Not so the Haredim, the ultra-Orthodox.
To be clear, Haredi Jews are very diverse. This demographic includes families
with roots everywhere from Poland and Romania to Morocco and Iraq. It includes
people who support Israel’s existence, and opponents who burn the flag on
Independence Day. It includes men who join the workforce and men who dedicate
their life to religious study. The majority of Haredim living in Israel are not
Zionists, yet live there because it is the Holy Land and the state subsidizes
their study. Anything else – secular education, army service, and often paid
work – is seen as a distraction. A minority of Haredi Jews serve in the armed
forces voluntarily, and more have enlisted since the beginning of the latest
Israel-Hamas war. But they have no legal obligation to do so; nor do Israel’s
Arab citizens.
Growing Haredi sector
Israel’s governments have continued to tolerate this situation as ultra-Orthodox
political parties became much-needed partners.
Yet legal and popular opposition has increased.
In 1998, the Supreme Court ruled that the defense minister has no right to
exempt Haredi Jews from military service and asked the government to find ways
to draft them. In 2014, a center-right government under Netanyahu passed a law
aiming to have 60% of Haredi men serving within three years. But the 2015
elections brought Haredi parties back in power, and implementation was
effectively abandoned. Since then, Haredi parties have become more powerful as
their population grows. Yet the Supreme Court has made clear that by the end of
March 2024, the government either needs to draft Haredim, or the legislature has
to come up with a new law to excuse them. Seven in 10 Israeli Jews oppose the
blanket exemption, meaning another exemption might jeopardize Netanyahu’s
government. Frustration is also rising over plans to raise the military service
of men to three years and to double the duty of reservists to 42 days a year
during emergencies. None of this would matter if the Haredim were still the same
tiny segment of society they were in 1948. Today, however, ultra-Orthodox women
have 6.5 children on average, compared with 2.5 among other Jewish Israeli
women, and 1 in 4 young children are ultra-Orthodox.
The resulting transformation of Israeli society is easy to see. If the trend
continues, Israel will become a very different, very religious society – one
that can hardly survive economically. On average, a non-Haredi household pays
nine times more income tax than a Haredi one, while the latter receives over 50%
more state support. Even if they were ready to work, most Haredim would have a
hard time finding well-paid jobs, as their state-subsidized private schools
teach hardly any secular topics. For Israeli society, this portends further
fragmentation and a weakening of the economy – to say nothing of the army.
But, Chief Rabbi Yitzhak says, this will never happen. In his and other
Haredim’s eyes, Israel’s soldiers succeed only because religious Jews study and
pray for them.
“They need to understand that without the Torah, without the yeshivas, there’d
be nothing, no success for the army,” he said.
Question: “What is more important, the death of Christ or His resurrection?”
GotQuestions.org?/March 15, 2024
Answer: The death and resurrection of Christ are equally important. Jesus’ death
and resurrection accomplish separate but necessarily related things. The death
and resurrection of our Lord are really inseparable, like the warp and weft of
cloth.
The cross of Christ won for us the victory that we could never have won for
ourselves. “Having disarmed the powers and authorities, he made a public
spectacle of them, triumphing over them by the cross” (Colossians 2:15). On the
cross God piled our sins on Jesus, and He bore the punishment due us (Isaiah
53:4–8). In His death, Jesus took upon Himself the curse introduced by Adam (see
Galatians 3:13).
With the death of Christ, our sins became powerless to rule over us (Romans 6).
By His death, Jesus destroyed the works of the devil (John 12:31; Hebrews 2:14;
1 John 3:8), condemned Satan (John 16:11), and crushed the head of the serpent
(Genesis 3:15).
Without the sacrificial death of Christ, we would still be in our sins,
unforgiven, unredeemed, unsaved, and unloved. The cross of Christ is vital to
our salvation and was thus a main theme of the apostles’ preaching (Acts 2:23,
36; 1 Corinthians 1:23; 2:2; Galatians 6:14).
But the story of Jesus Christ did not end with His death. The resurrection of
Christ is also foundational to the gospel message. Our salvation stands or falls
based on the bodily resurrection of Jesus Christ, as Paul makes clear in 1
Corinthians 15:12–19. If Christ is not physically risen from the dead, then we
ourselves have no hope of resurrection, the apostles’ preaching was in vain, and
believers are all to be pitied. Without the resurrection, we are still sitting
“in darkness and in the shadow of death” waiting for the sunrise (Luke 1:78–79).
Because of Jesus’ resurrection, His promise holds true for us: “Because I live,
you also will live” (John 14:19). Our great enemy, death, will be defeated (1
Corinthians 15:26, 54–55). Jesus’ resurrection is also important because it is
through that event that God declares us righteous: Jesus “was raised to life for
our justification” (Romans 4:25). The gift of the Holy Spirit was sent from the
resurrected and ascended Lord Jesus (John 16:7).
At least three times in His earthly ministry, Jesus predicted that He would die
and rise again after three days (Mark 8:31; 9:31; 10:34). If Jesus Christ had
not been raised from the dead, He would have failed in His prophecies—He would
have been yet another false prophet to be ignored. As it is, however, we have a
living Lord, faithful to His Word. The angel at Jesus’ empty tomb was able to
point to fulfilled prophecy: “He is not here; he has risen, just as he said”
(Matthew 28:6).
Scripture links the death and resurrection of Christ, and we must maintain that
link. Jesus’ entrance into the tomb is as equally important as His exit from the
tomb. In 1 Corinthians 15:3–5, Paul defines the gospel as the dual truth that
Jesus died for our sins (proved by His burial) and that He rose again the third
day (proved by His appearances to many witnesses). This gospel truth is “of
first importance” (verse 3).
It is impossible to separate the death of Christ from His resurrection. To
believe in one without the other is to believe in a false gospel that cannot
save. In order for Jesus to have truly arisen from the dead, He must have truly
died. And in order for His death to have a true meaning for us, He must have a
true resurrection. We cannot have one without the other.
Why the Gulf states have an interest in Russia-Ukraine
peace
Luke Coffey/Arab News/March 15, 2024
At a meeting of the G7 in October 2022, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky
launched his Peace Formula. It consists of 10 points that can lead to a just and
honorable end to the war with Russia.
The 10 points address important issues such as respecting Ukraine’s
internationally recognized borders, radiation and nuclear safety, the security
of food exports, and accountability for war crimes committed during the
conflict. It remains the only proposal on the table to end the war in Ukraine.
Zelensky and his government have been promoting the initiative on the world
stage with a series of meetings. One of the most important took place last year
in Saudi Arabia. It was particularly noteworthy because China also took part.
The importance of Saudi Arabia, indeed all the Gulf states, cannot be overstated
in Ukraine’s quest for a just peace. Kyiv knows the Kingdom is influential, not
only among other Muslim states but also with many countries in the Global South.
Saudi Arabia has also played an important role negotiating prisoner swaps
between Ukraine and Russia. Zelenskyy has visited Saudi Arabia three times since
Russia invaded in February 2022. He addressed the Arab League in Jeddah in May
2023, there was the visit for the Peace Formula summit in Jeddah last September,
and last month Zelensky was in Saudi Arabia again for talks on the state of the
war, the Peace Formula, and Ukrainian-Saudi relations. When I was in Kyiv last
week for meetings with Ukrainian officials, I was surprised by how many
references were made to Saudi Arabia. Zelensky’s right-hand man, Andry Yermak,
spoke by phone last week with Saudi national security adviser Musaed Al-Aiban
about the next meeting on the Peace Formula in Switzerland this summer.
Other Gulf states have played an important role mediating and brokering prisoner
exchanges and the release of Ukrainian civilians from Russian custody. Qatar has
negotiated the release of Ukrainian children, and the UAE has brokered at least
three deals between Ukraine and Russia for the release of prisoners of war.With
so much to focus on in the Middle East, you may wonder why the Gulf states
should care about the war at all. There are five main reasons.
Kyiv knows the Kingdom is influential, not only among other Muslim states but
also with many countries in the Global South.
The first reason is the issue of food security in the Global South if Ukrainian
agricultural exports are restricted because of the war. Many countries in North
Africa and the Middle East receive a sizable amount of their grain imports from
Ukraine. After an initial disruption in grain exports due to the war, they have
returned to pre-war levels. The Gulf states want to ensure it remains this way.
Second, the war offers opportunities for Gulf states to play a bigger role in
international diplomacy. In recent years, some have stepped up their diplomatic
activity, becoming key interlocutors for engagement between rival and warring
parties around the world. Saudi Arabia’s engagement with Ukraine and Russia is a
natural extension of this. The same can be said of Qatar and the UAE.
Third, the Iranian angle is important. Since Russia started using Iranian drones
in Ukraine, there has been a rapid evolution in Tehran’s drone capabilities due
to the lessons being learned there. This could have profound security
implications for the Middle East. It also means no country in the world has more
experience shooting down Iranian drones than Ukraine. There is no doubt that
Gulf states are interested in learning these lessons.
Fourth, the principle of respecting territorial integrity is important for Gulf
states. Before Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, the last time a country used
military force to annex part of another was when Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait
in 1990 to make it Iraq’s 19th province. Another good comparison with Russia’s
occupation of Crimea is Iran’s control over the three UAE islands of Abu Musa
and the Greater and Lesser Tunbs, and the presence there of the Revolutionary
Guards navy.
Finally, the plight of the Crimean Tatars, the indigenous Sunni Muslim people of
the peninsula, should concern many in the Gulf. They have faced persecution for
centuries, from Catherine the Great in the 18th century to Stalin in the 20th.
Since Russia’s annexation there have been further civil liberty and religious
freedom crackdowns aimed at them.
If Russia stopped fighting, the war in Ukraine would end immediately. If Ukraine
stopped fighting, its future as a country would be in doubt. So while the
Ukrainians must continue fighting for survival, they are also showing the world
that they seek a fair and just peace to end the war. This makes the work of
Saudi Arabia to help find a just peace and a fair conclusion to the war more
important than ever.
In the lead up to the next Peace Formula meeting in the summer, keep an eye on
the Gulf states. There is no doubt that they will be playing an important role
behind the scenes. This is a positive contribution to peace that should be
welcome.
• Luke Coffey is a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. X: @LukeDCoffey
Turkiye’s mediation plans face complex challenges
Sinem Cengiz/Arab News/March 15, 2024
In the 2000s, Turkiye actively engaged in high-profile mediation attempts in
some perennial intrastate and interstate conflicts in the Middle East to both
consolidate its place in the regional order and to increase its leverage among
regional and global stakeholders.
And in Turkish foreign policy today, there has been a growing emphasis on the
importance of mediation as a diplomatic tool. Despite mediation evolving into a
crucial tool for crisis resolution, it still faces numerous challenges due to
its complex nature, including factors such as the intentions of the disputing
parties and the motives of third-party interveners — a factor that is evident in
Turkiye’s mediation attempts.
Recently, Ankara has expressed an interest in mediating or has actively offered
to mediate in three distinct disputes, spanning from Ukraine to Africa, via the
South Caucasus. The divergence among these conflicts is related not only to
Turkiye’s direct or indirect involvement, but also to Ankara’s close ties with
the conflicting parties. These conflicts are between Russia and Ukraine, Armenia
and Azerbaijan, and Somalia and Ethiopia.
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan last week stated Turkiye’s readiness to host a
summit between Ukraine and Russia in a bid to end the war, following talks with
his Ukrainian counterpart in Istanbul. Turkiye hosted peace talks between Russia
and Ukraine in 2022 but has since complained that no diplomatic steps have been
taken to advance these discussions. It has repeatedly offered to host further
talks, saying a summit of leaders was needed.
Ankara has expressed an interest in mediating or has actively offered to mediate
in three distinct disputes
Erdogan tries to maintain cordial relations with both leaders, Vladimir Putin
and Volodymyr Zelensky, aiming to position himself as the only leader who can
deal with both conflicting sides. Erdogan’s balancing act has allowed it to help
produce some noticeable outcomes, including the deal that lifted a de facto
Russian blockade of Ukrainian grain exports and an agreement on the exchange of
prisoners of war.
During the course of the conflict, NATO member Turkiye has managed to preserve
its strategic autonomy by refraining from aligning with the West in placing
sanctions on Russia, while also maintaining its connections with both Moscow and
Kyiv without jeopardizing its own geostrategic interests. However, Turkiye’s
balancing act faces constraints concerning its relations with the EU, NATO and
the US; thus, it is hard for it to play the roles of both an ally and a mediator
at the same time.
The second conflict, involving Armenia and Azerbaijan, also intertwines with the
dynamics between Russia and the US. Erdogan has emphasized the importance of
concluding a peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan, saying that
maintaining stability in the Caucasus is a priority for Turkiye. He underlined
that Ankara wants a new era in the region to begin with the signing of a peace
agreement between Yerevan and Baku.
Washington has been trying to carve out a possible mediation role for Ankara in
this conflict as an attempt to push Moscow out of the region. According to the
West, Russia’s mediation is questionable and its policies allow Turkiye to claim
the role of the new official moderator of Armenian-Azerbaijani talks. The
tensions in the South Caucasus and the talks over a possible mediator are
actually facilitated by the ongoing confrontation between the West and Russia
due to the Ukraine war.
The feasibility of Turkiye’s mediation began to be actively discussed in Armenia
after last Saturday’s joint statement by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken
and Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan. They announced their readiness “to
work together to promote a balanced and lasting peace agreement between Armenia
and Azerbaijan.”
Turkiye’s balancing act faces constraints concerning its relations with the EU,
NATO and the US
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan on Tuesday stated that, while addressing
the question of whether he sees an attempt by the West to engage Turkiye in the
Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement process, “something important is happening in
our relations with Turkiye ... We are talking to each other, and I believe that
we have a dialogue with the president of Turkiye. That dialogue is very
complicated, not easy, but it is very important to have it.” This statement
underscored that, even though Turkiye might appear to be a questionable
candidate for Armenia due to its alliance with Azerbaijan, an Armenian
willingness to engage with Ankara suggests a shift driven by US pressure.
However, Turkiye’s potential role as a mediator in this conflict might also face
challenges. Although it has engaged in a normalization process with Armenia in
recent years, given its role in the Nagorno-Karabakh war, it might be hard for
Turkiye to maintain its balancing act between the two sides.
The last conflict pertains to tensions between Somalia and Ethiopia, which were
sparked by the January signing of a memorandum of understanding between Ethiopia
and Somaliland that proposed giving landlocked Ethiopia access to the Red Sea in
exchange for Addis Ababa’s recognition of the self-declared republic. This was
followed by Somalia’s recent deal with Turkiye, which has raised the stakes in a
simmering maritime dispute with Ethiopia.
Rather than being dragged into this conflict, Turkiye wants to play the role of
mediator to preserve its cordial relations with Somalia and Ethiopia, both of
which attach great importance to their relations with Ankara. Turkiye has
already attempted to launch a mediation process between Somalia and Somaliland
but without making any serious progress. Most likely, any possible Turkish
mediation in the Somali-Ethiopian tensions will face a similar outcome due to
the involvement of several external actors and the complexity of the problem.
Despite Turkiye’s eagerness to mediate between all these parties, its mediation
efforts have limits and may face challenges due to both its relationships with
the conflicting parties and the role of external actors.
• Sinem Cengiz is a Turkish political analyst who specializes in Turkiye’s
relations with the Middle East. X: @SinemCngz
Should the world call time on the WTO?
Ranvir S. Nayar/Arab News/March 15, 2024
The 13th Ministerial Conference of the World Trade Organization in Abu Dhabi
ended last week without any agreement on several of the key issues that the
annual gathering of commerce ministers from around the world was meant to
urgently address.
Even after running into overtime, as has become the norm with international
negotiations nowadays, the only agreement that could be salvaged from the
conference was a two-year extension of the tax-free status for digital
e-commerce data transmissions. Meanwhile, key discussions on agriculture,
fisheries and a host of other issues remained unfulfilled, with deep divisions
among the participants.
Before the week-long negotiations began, the delegates knew exactly what lay on
the table for them to resolve. Brazenly, the Western nations were quick to blame
the developing world, notably India, for holding out on an agreement on
fisheries and agriculture.
While it may be true that India had opposed any agreement, its opposition
stemmed from a long-pending demand by it and almost 100 other developing nations
about the manner in which the developed world has reneged on its commitments
under the WTO.
First, in November 2001, the WTO members began negotiating a comprehensive round
of agreements, called the Doha Development Round. The name reflects the spirit
and the stated objective of the negotiations, which is to bring together a
series of initiatives and trade agreements to help the developing countries
achieve some level of development through tax concessions and other special
statuses.
The Doha Development Round is today almost dead, as the developed nations have
gone back on their word
However, the Doha Development Round is today almost dead, as the developed
nations have gone back on their word. Instead of making special provisions for
the developing world, allowing the poorer nations to play some catch-up with the
rich countries, they have begun treating the developing nations at par and
asking them to make the same, if not more, concessions on import tariffs and
other issues as the rich nations.
On top of that, the rich nations have also been adding to their demands more
lopsided agreements that help them in areas where their industries or businesses
are strong, while holding off in areas, notably farming and fisheries, where the
developing world can have the upper hand.
Take fisheries for instance. For many developing nations, fishing is an
important source of employment, as well as nutrition, for a significant
proportion of their populations, often as high as 10 percent. In sharp contrast,
fisheries are a source of livelihood for less than 0.05 percent of the total
British workforce. Yet Britain has indulged in a “cold war” with France over
fishing rights in the English Channel and British ships still go far to the
south in the Atlantic Ocean to catch fish.
The situation is not much different in France, which also keeps on heaping
subsidies on its fisherfolk, while in the same breath urging India and other
developing countries, where tens of millions of workers depend on fishery as a
means of survival, to…
Similar is the case with agriculture. The US, the EU and other rich nations
spend upward of $60 billion each on subsidizing their farmers, while lashing out
at countries like India for continuing with its own subsidies. A European farmer
can get €35,000 ($38,200) in subsidies every year, while an Indian farmer
receives less than €110 annually.
It is absolutely fine for the developing nations to have stood their ground and
not buckled under the pressure of the rich world
In the face of such a hypocritical stance by the rich nations, it is absolutely
fine for the developing nations to have stood their ground and not buckled under
the pressure of the rich world. They are right not to agree to terms that would
go on to harm hundreds of millions of people for several years, if not decades.
Another area where the stance of the Western nations has completely exposed them
is the issue of dispute settlement. The WTO developed a relatively effective
mechanism that had, for decades, addressed disputes arising between member
countries through dispute settlement bodies. These are similar to courts in
common parlance, where nations would sue each other for breaching their
commitments or where unfair practices like excessive duties or even the dumping
of products could be challenged.
However, for the past several years, the US has single-handedly wrecked even
this part of the WTO, which was perhaps the sole functioning part. Naming
“judges” to the dispute settlement panels needs a consensus among all member
countries and the US, which has felt “outraged” that it could possibly be found
guilty and penalized by the WTO, has refused to agree to the candidates proposed
by a majority of the members of the organization.
As a result, many countries have gone about acting in total breach of their
commitments, rendering the entire agreement and the organization itself useless
and powerless.
Amid such realities, the failure of the Abu Dhabi Ministerial Conference is not
such a disaster for anyone. Moreover, almost every country is now in clear
violation of the spirit and perhaps the act of the WTO as well, since they have
all — notably the US and the EU — launched big subsidies for their domestic
industries, spending hundreds of billions of dollars on them.
With no government seemingly in the mood to pull back from narrow-minded
national policies and focus on the broader global agenda, the world is clearly
headed for years of the unraveling of globalization, which had dominated the
global business world for almost four decades.
Maybe the time has come to put the WTO into a suspended state, since it is
unlikely to serve any useful purpose for some years to come. This way, we will
not only avoid the misery of failed ministerial conferences but also end the
unrealistic hopes that are built on such weak foundations.
• Ranvir S. Nayar is the managing editor of Media India Group and
founder-director of the Europe India Foundation for Excellence.