English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For January 21/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For
today
To whom much has been given, much will be required; and from one to whom
much has been entrusted, even more will be demanded.”
Luke 12/42-48: “The Lord said, ‘Who then is the faithful and
prudent manager whom his master will put in charge of his slaves, to give
them their allowance of food at the proper time? Blessed is that slave whom
his master will find at work when he arrives. Truly I tell you, he will put
that one in charge of all his possessions. But if that slave says to
himself, “My master is delayed in coming”, and if he begins to beat the
other slaves, men and women, and to eat and drink and get drunk, the master
of that slave will come on a day when he does not expect him and at an hour
that he does not know, and will cut him in pieces, and put him with the
unfaithful. That slave who knew what his master wanted, but did not prepare
himself or do what was wanted, will receive a severe beating. But one who
did not know and did what deserved a beating will receive a light beating.
From everyone to whom much has been given, much will be required; and from
one to whom much has been entrusted, even more will be demanded.”.
Titles For The Latest
English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on
January 20-21/2024
Elias Bejjani/Video: Commemorating the Annual Brutal Damour Massacre
Elias Bejjani/Video and Text: Commemorating the Annual Brutal Damour Massacre
Elias Bejjani/ Video: Hezbollah is as an Iranian army, did not liberate the
south; rather, it occupies Lebanon
Elias Bejjani/Text and Video: Hezbollah is as an Iranian army, did not liberate
the south; rather, it occupies Lebanon
The necessity of defeating Hamas, the mullahs, and all branches and groups of
the Muslim Brotherhood/Elias Bejjani
Elias Bajani/Video/Dangers and Disasters of the Victory of the Jihadist and
Terrorist Iranian Governance Model
Elias Bajani/Video and Text/Dangers and Disasters of the Victory of the Jihadist
and Terrorist Iranian Governance Model
Israeli strike on southern Lebanon kills liaison officer between Hezbollah, Quds
Force, Hamas
Israel bombs car killing 2 Hezbollah members as clashes continue
Report: Efforts to avert war on Lebanon nearing success
Hezbollah's Qassem warns Israel against continued aggression
Senior officer among 4 Iranians killed in Israeli strike in Damascus
Israel to US ambassador: Hezbollah threat must be ended diplomatically or
militarily
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published
on
January 20-21/2024
Israeli strike on Damascus kills four Iranian Revolutionary Guards
Senior Iran Revolutionary Guard officials killed in strike blamed on Israel
US troops injured in major missile attack in Iraq
US strikes another Houthi anti-ship missile
Biden and Netanyahu have finally talked, but their visions still clash for
ending Israel-Hamas war
EU's Borrell accuses Israel of 'creating' and 'financing' Hamas
Denial of Palestinian statehood ‘unacceptable’, says UN chief
An Israeli airstrike on the Syrian capital killed at least 4 Iranian advisers,
state media say
Israel Hamas war: UN say women and children main victims of conflict as IDF hit
Damascus
Hostage families protest outside Netanyahu's home, ramping up pressure for a
truce-for-hostages deal
What is happening between Iran and Pakistan?
Russia's elite paratroopers and marines are refusing orders to launch 'human
wave attacks,' Ukraine official says
North Korea says it tested a nuclear-capable underwater drone in response to
rivals' naval drills
At Davos, leaders talked big on rebuilding trust. Can the World Economic Forum
make a difference?
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources
on
January 20-21/2024
On Confronting the Iranian Regime/Majid Rafizadeh/ Gatestone Institute./January
20, 2024
Who Will Blink First In The Gaza War?/Amb. Alberto M. Fernandez/ MEMRI Daily
Brief No. 564/January 20/2024
Britain must proscribe Iran’s IRGC and their Houthi friends as terrorist
groups/Robert Jenrick/The Telegraph/January 20, 2024
Humanitarians must do more, and better, in Sudan/Mukesh Kapila/Arab News/January
20, 2024
India-Europe ties at tipping point/Andrew Hammond/Andrew Hammond/January 20,
2024
American bases create stability in Mideast, says US-Lebanese Trump advocate/Dastan
Muwaffaq/(Kurdistan24/January 20/2024
Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published
on
January 20-21/2024
Elias Bejjani/Video:
Commemorating the Annual Brutal Damour Massacre
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CKGYNVyj_Os&t=31s
Elias Bejjani/January 21, 2024
Elias Bejjani/Video and Text:
Commemorating the Annual Brutal Damour Massacre
Elias Bejjani/January 21, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/126326/elias-bejjani-video-and-text-commemorating-the-annual-brutal-damour-massacre/
The memory of the Damour Massacre, perpetrated by the Syrian Assad regime,
Palestinian terrorism, leftist and Arab nationalist groups, and jihadists on
January 20, 1976, remains etched in the Lebanese, Christian, moral, national,
and faith-based consciousness. It serves as a painful reminder of a brutal
chapter in Lebanon's history and the resilient struggle of its free Christian
community.
This anniversary reflects a dark period where internal traitors and mercenaries
aligned with Palestinian, Arab, leftist, and jihadist terrorism executed brutal
and barbaric massacres against the peaceful inhabitants of the Damour Town, and
the Christian residents along the Shouf region coast. This period culminated in
the siege of President Camille Chamoun in the town of Saadiyat.
The Damour Massacre anniversary symbolizes a bloody chapter in the ongoing evil
attempts to uproot Christians from Lebanon, dismantle Lebanon's entity, disrupt
coexistence, undermine its role, erode identity, and attack its civilization.
Enemies of Lebanon, civilization, and humanity destroyed homes and churches in
Damour and its neighboring coastal towns, burning fields and displacing the
Christian population.
The innocent victims of the Damour Massacre, estimated at 684 individuals,
including children, women, elders, and fighters, will not be forgotten.
planners and executors of this atrocity, along with their demonic objectives to
uproot and displace Christians from Lebanon, remain ingrained in our collective
memory.
These sinister schemes persist today, targeting not only Christians, but various
Lebanese sovereign and independent groups through local, regional, and
international entities, each with its distinct identity, yet united under
hostile, sectarian, and terrorist concepts.
In the present time, the Iranian Mullahs' regime, through its terrorist proxy
Hezbollah, the criminal Assad regime, and numerous local mercenaries from
leftists, jihadists, and resistance traders, continue the chapters of the Damour
Massacre.
The occupation faced by Lebanon goes beyond Damour to encompass the entire
country and its social community fabrics. The Mullahs' regime seeks, through
force and terrorism, not only to uproot Christians from Lebanon, but also to
destroy its entity, overthrow its coexistence and civilized system, aiming to
replace it with an Islamic Republic annexed to Tehran's rulers. This serves as a
base to overthrow all Arab regimes and establish the Persian Empire.
On this painful anniversary, all Lebanese sovereign, independent, and peaceful
social and denominational groups, led by the Christians, will not forget the
heroism of our noble, honorable, and brave people who stood against invaders and
mercenaries, sacrificing themselves for their sacred homeland.
No, we will not forget our Lebanese righteous Damour martyrs, and we will not
forget their sacrifices. On this somber day, we raise prayers, humbly asking for
their souls to rest in peace in God's eternal heavenly mansions.
Elias Bejjani/ Video: Hezbollah is as an Iranian
army, did not liberate the south; rather, it occupies Lebanon
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2pEpzd-H0A
January 18, 2024
Elias Bejjani/Text and Video: Hezbollah is as an Iranian
army, did not liberate the south; rather, it occupies Lebanon
January 18, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/126285/126285/
The Shiite sect in Lebanon has been held hostage by the terrorist Iranian armed
proxy, Hezbollah, since 1982. Hezbollah was not a voluntary choice for the
Lebanese Shiites; instead, it was forcibly imposed upon them and on all the
Lebanese in the 1980s during the Syrian occupation era, in an agreement between
the Iranian Mullahs and the Baathist Assad regime.
Hezbollah gained complete control over the Shiites in Lebanon in favor of the
Mullahs' regime in 1988, following armed battles in the Iqlem Al Tefah Region
with the Shiite Amal movement. After defeating Amal, Hezbollah forcefully
subjugated its armed presence, rendering it a subservient entity.
Since then, Amal has become a symbolic facade executing Hezbollah's agenda
without independent decision-making power.
Since 1982, Hezbollah has isolated the Shiites from other Lebanese, the Lebanese
state, Arabs, and has forcefully dominated their decisions, representation,
educational, religious, economic, and social institutions. Hezbollah imposed 27
parliamentary deputies on the Shiites by force, recruited Shiites men to fight
on various battlefields for the Mullahs' regime in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Gulf
countries, and in many Western and American countries.
Hezbollah proudly asserts that it is a military force under the command of the
Iranian Supreme Leader, with all its possessions, weapons, and capabilities in
all fields originating from Iran and in service to Iran.
Contrary to its false claims of being a resistance devoted to the liberation of
Palestine since its creation in 1982, Hezbollah is, in fact, an Iranian army
under full Iranian command.
In 2000, Hezbollah claimed to liberate South Lebanon, but it actually occupies
the entire country.
In conclusion, Hezbollah's status is Iranian, rooted in Iranian ideology,
completely subservient to Iran and its regime, and serves as one of its prime
Jihadist terrorist military proxies.
The necessity of defeating Hamas,
the mullahs, and all branches and groups of the Muslim Brotherhood
Elias Bejjani/January 16/2024
Can anyone imagine what the situation of Lebanon and the rest of the countries
would be like if jihadist Hamas won the war, and behind it were the mullahs,
ISIS, Hezbollah, and the Muslim Brotherhood? They will certainly take us back to
the law of the jungle and to pre-lithic eras
Elias Bajani/Video/Dangers
and Disasters of the Victory of the Jihadist and Terrorist Iranian Governance
Model
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tyIYzVche54&t=32s
Elias Bejjani/January 17, 2024 The Video is in Arabic)
Elias Bajani/Video and Text/Dangers and Disasters of the Victory of the
Jihadist and Terrorist Iranian Governance Model, Represented by its
proxies: Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis, Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF)/ &
Baku Haram
Elias Bejjani/January 17, 2024 The Video is in Arabic)
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/126298/126298/
There is a significant and vast difference between the culture of life, peace,
and human rights represented by most Arab countries, led by Lebanon and the Gulf
states, and the culture, schemes, delusions illusions, and hallucinations of the
so-called political Islam embodied by ISIS, Al-Nusra, Baku Haram, and the Muslim
Brotherhood in all its jihadist branches. In the same diabolical and jihadist
category, we can freely list the terrorist, jihadist, and expansionist regime of
the Iranian mullahs, along with all its terrorist proxies like the Houthis,
Hezbollah, Hamas, PMF, and others.
The model of political Islam, with all its sectarian variations, knows nothing
but invasions, wars, destruction, expansion, bigotry, hatred, eternal enmity.
This evil model practices its destructive, oppressive, revengeful, arbitrary,
dictatorial, suppressive, and impoverishing culture and satanic education and
governance in Iran, Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, and Gaza. The unprecedented
destruction caused by Hamas in Gaza is a bold example.
As for the Western and civilized model, it strives for peace, stability, decent
living, securing and maintaining the rule of human rights, respecting humanity,
democracy and freedom.
Therefore, the victory of the Hamas's model and its sponsor Iran will only bring
disasters of all kinds and forms not only to the region. (Middle East), but
definitely to the whole world.
It is imperative to defeat Hamas, the mullahs, and all branches and groups of
the Muslim Brotherhood, or otherwise the whole world will know no peace or
stability at any level.
Can anyone imagine what the situation in Lebanon and other countries will be
like if the jihadist war led by the Iranian mullahs are victorious? Surely, they
will drag humankind to the law of the jungle and for stone age and
prehistoric eras
Israeli strike on southern
Lebanon kills liaison officer between Hezbollah, Quds Force, Hamas
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arab News/January 20, 2024
BEIRUT: Two people were killed on Saturday in southern Lebanon in an Israeli
airstrike that hit their vehicle on the Burj Al-Chamali road in the village of
Al-Bazourieh. The attack follows the death of several Iranian leaders in an
Israeli raid that targeted a civilian building in a neighborhood in Damascus on
Saturday morning.Several passersby were also injured and transported to the
village’s hospitals. Security reports state that one of the victims was Ali
Mohammed Hodroj from Al-Bazourieh.
BACKGROUND
Israel has been carrying out airstrikes on southern Lebanon against militant
groups based there as well as Hezbollah, which have fired rockets across the
border at Israel. According to media reports, he was a leader in the Palestine
branch operating under the Quds Force in the east of Tyre in Lebanon.
He reportedly played the role of a liaison officer between the Quds Force and
Hezbollah in the cooperation between Hamas and the Iranian axis in the areas of
cyberwarfare and air defense. Russian TV channel RT Arabic announced that its
press staff survived the airstrike.
A security source in the south told Arab News that the incident is “an
unprecedented escalatory strike in 105 days of ongoing hostilities on the
southern front.” He added: “Al-Bazourieh is 4 km from Tyre and is the hometown
of Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah. The road where the car was targeted links
Tyre to the border village of Bint Jbeil.”Israeli drones had previously hit
several targets in the Qlaileh valley, which is 7 km from Tyre. However,
Saturday’s airstrike is considered a deep incursion into inhabited areas, as it
hit a well-trafficked road.The source said that “Israel has a list of targets
and doesn’t miss a chance to strike whenever possible.”Confrontations between
Hezbollah and the Israeli army in the south have been violent since Saturday
morning. Israeli shelling targeted southern villages and houses. A drone carried
out a strike in Marwahin, hitting a house that had been targeted many times
before.
Artillery shelling targeted the outskirts of the towns of Yarine, Chihine,
Jebbayn, Tayr Harfa, Aita Al-Shaab and Al-Dhayra.
Israeli warplanes also raided the town of Odaisseh.
According to Israeli media, Israel has raised the alert level on the northern
front.
Hezbollah meanwhile announced in its statements that it had targeted a gathering
of Israeli soldiers in the vicinity of Hunin Castle with missile weapons,
achieving a direct hit. It also targeted “a gathering of Israeli soldiers in the
vicinity of the Al-Dhayra site, causing confirmed casualties.”
The party added that it “targeted Israeli soldiers in the vicinity of the Zar’it
barracks and achieved a direct hit.”The Israeli army continued to comb Lebanese
villages and forests adjacent to them with its heavy machine guns. Its heavy
artillery fired dozens of shells on the outskirts of Ramyah, Naqoura, the
Labouneh Mountains, Al-Alam, and Al-Dhayra. At the same time, its planes raided
the outskirts of the village of Aita Al-Shaab. From Friday night until Saturday
morning, reconnaissance aircraft stayed in the airspace above the Litani River,
the villages of the western and central sectors, and the outskirts of the Tyre
region and the seacoast. Light bombs were dropped over the villages of the Tyre
district, the seacoast, and above the Blue Line. Hezbollah’s Al-Manar channel
published the contents of a message from Nasrallah at an international forum on
Gaza held in Tehran.
He said: “What Israel has lost to date in Gaza in terms of officers and soldiers
at the hands of Palestinian resistance groups exceeds by far its losses in the
1967 war.” Nasrallah believes that the Israeli army “is being defeated today in
part of the Gaza Strip and is unable to achieve a goal, declare an occupation,
or come close to victory. Rather, it is retreating and withdrawing under the
pretext of moving to a new stage.”The Hezbollah chief claims that betting on
international institutions and the so-called international community has been
unsuccessful, producing nothing but frustration. “These international
institutions are dependent on the will of the US administration,” Nasrallah
said. On Saturday, Hezbollah mourned the death of Hodroj, the liaison officer
from the town of Al-Bazourieh in southern Lebanon, “who rose as a martyr on the
road to Jerusalem.”
The border town of Al-Tibiya mourned Mohammed Baqir Diab, who was also killed in
the raid.
Israel bombs car killing 2
Hezbollah members as clashes continue
Naharnet/January 20, 2024
Two Hezbollah members were killed Saturday in an Israeli drone strike on their
car in the southern town of al-Bazouriyeh near Tyre, some 20 kilometers from the
nearest point of the border with Israel. An Israeli drone also targeted a house
in Marwahin, which has been repeatedly bombed since the eruption of the
fighting, as Israeli warplanes carried out two strikes on Adaisseh. Israeli
artillery shelling meanwhile targeted the outskirts of Alma al-Shaab and al-Dhayra
as well as the Marjeyoun plain and the al-Hamames hill. Hezbollah for its part
announced fresh attacks on Israeli forces at the Hounine, al-Dhayra and Zar'it
Israeli posts. The violence has killed around 197 people in Lebanon, including
at least 144 Hezbollah fighters. On the Israeli side, 15 people have been
killed, of whom nine were soldiers and six civilians, according to the Israeli
army.
Report: Efforts to avert war on Lebanon nearing success
Naharnet/January 20, 2024
Efforts to avert an Israeli war on Lebanon are nearing success, Kuwait's al-Anbaa
newspaper reported on Saturday. "Behind-the-scenes contacts outside Lebanon have
almost managed to prevent the spread of the war to Lebanon, after it was
confirmed that no one wants it," the daily said. "A senior figure played an
effective role in light of his broad ties with U.S. President Joe Biden," the
newspaper added."U.S. envoy Amos Hochstein will certainly return to Beirut to
expand the negotiations in order to reach an agreement over the land border
between the two countries," al-Anbaa said. It added: "The effort now will be to
obtain a pledge from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to commit to what
might be agreed on, because that would facilitate the return of the settlers in
the north to their homes as well as the return of the displaced Lebanese to the
border areas."
Hezbollah's Qassem warns Israel against continued
aggression
Agence France Presse/January 20, 2024
Hezbollah deputy chief Sheikh Naim Qassem has warned that Israel would "receive
a real slap in the face" if it expanded the conflict along the Lebanon-Israel
border. Since the surprise October 7 attack by Hamas on southern Israel, there
have been near daily exchanges of cross-border fire between the Israeli army and
Hezbollah, an ally of the Palestinian militants. Israel has repeatedly bombarded
border villages, with the violence killing more than 195 people in Lebanon,
including at least 142 Hezbollah fighters, according to an AFP tally. On the
Israeli side, 15 people have been killed, of whom nine were soldiers and six
civilians, according to the Israeli army. "If Israel decides to expand its
aggression, it will receive a real slap in the face in response," Qassem said in
a statement. Any restoration of stability on the border is contingent on "the
end of the aggression in Gaza," he added. "The enemy must know the party is
ready, that we are preparing based on the principle that an endless aggression
can happen, just like our will to push back the aggression is infinite." His
remarks came after Israeli air strikes "completely destroyed" at least three
houses in southern Lebanon on Friday, the official Lebanese news agency NNA and
the mayor of the affected border community said. The agency reported four houses
were targeted "since this morning by the Israeli air force in Kfar Kila," a
village near the Israel-Lebanon border, while three were "completely destroyed."
A fifth home was also targeted by artillery fire, NNA said. The Israeli army
said on Friday it had "conducted air strikes and carried out artillery and tank
fire against Hezbollah observation posts and terrorist infrastructure" in the
Kfar Kila sector. "There are around 100 residents left in Kfar Kila, but by
chance, when the bombings took place, the destroyed homes were empty," the mayor
of the village, Hassan Sheet, told AFP. On Friday afternoon, Hezbollah claimed
three attacks, including two against "deployments of soldiers of the Israeli
enemy" on the border, including using Burkan missiles, which can carry a large
explosive payload.
War would be 'complete disaster' -
Israel "is not prepared for a war against what the Islamic resistance in Lebanon
has in store for it," Mohammad Raad, the head of Hezbollah's parliamentary bloc,
said on Friday, according to the NNA. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant told
soldiers on Friday that Israel was ready to "achieve security by force" on its
northern border with Lebanon. "As long as the war continues in the south, there
will be war in the north. But we will not accept this situation for prolonged
periods," he said. "There will be a moment if we do not reach an agreement in
which Hezbollah respects the right of the residents to live here in security --
we will have to achieve security by force." On Wednesday, Israeli army chief
Herzi Halevi said the probability of a war between Israel and Hezbollah "in the
coming months is much higher than it was in the past." The same day, U.N.
Secretary General Antonio Guterres said a "total confrontation" between the two
would be a "complete disaster."
Senior officer among 4 Iranians killed in Israeli strike in
Damascus
Agence France Presse/January 20, 2024
An Israeli airstrike Saturday on Damascus' Mazzeh neighborhood killed four
Iranian Revolutionary Guard officers, including the head of the Quds Force's
intelligence unit in Syria, media reports said. The strike also killed Hezbollah
official "Hajj Youness," who was in charge of transferring weapons from Iran by
land, the reports said, noting that the targeted meeting was discussing
transfering arms by land rather than by air. The Syrian Observatory for Human
Rights said the strike killed five people in a building where "Iran-aligned
leaders" were meeting. "An Israeli missile strike targeted a four-story
building, killing five people... and destroying the whole building where
Iran-aligned leaders were meeting," said the Observatory. The British-based
monitor with a network of sources inside Syria said the targeted neighborhood is
known to be a high-security zone home to leaders of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary
Guard Corps (IRGC) and pro-Iran Palestinian factions. "They were for sure
targeting senior members" of those groups, said Observatory director Rami Abdel
Rahman. The mid-morning strike, which caused a large plume of smoke to billow
into the sky, was also reported by Syrian state media. "An attack targeted a
residential building in the Mazzeh neighborhood in Damascus, resulting from an
Israeli aggression," the official SANA news agency reported. It did not say if
there were any casualties. An AFP correspondent at the scene said the destroyed
building was cordoned off with ambulances, firefighters and Syrian Arab Red
Crescent rescue teams all present at the site. Civil defense were busy searching
for survivors under the rubble of the totally collapsed building, he said. The
Mazzeh area is also home to the United Nations' headquarters, embassies
including the Lebanese embassy and restaurants. "I heard the explosion clearly
in the western Mazzeh area, and I saw a large cloud of smoke," a resident told
AFP. "The sound was similar to a missile explosion, and minutes later I heard
the sound of ambulances," he added.
Hundreds of Israeli strikes -
During more than a decade of civil war in Syria, Israel has launched hundreds of
air strikes on its territory, primarily targeting Iran-backed forces as well as
Syrian army positions. But it has intensified attacks since the war between
Israel and Hamas, which like Lebanon's Hezbollah movement is an ally of Iran,
began on October 7. In December, an Israeli air strike killed a senior general
with Iran's Revolutionary Guards, the military force said. Razi Moussavi was the
most senior commander of the Guards' foreign operations arm, the Quds Force, to
be killed outside Iran since a U.S. drone strike in Baghdad on January 3, 2020
killed the Force's commander, Qasem Soleimani. In the same month, air strikes in
eastern Syria, "likely" carried out by Israel, killed at least 23 pro-Iran
fighters, the Observatory said at the time, reporting four more dead in the
country's north. Recent months have also seen regular cross-border exchanges of
fire between Israel and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Israel rarely comments on
individual strikes targeting Syria, but it has repeatedly said it will not allow
arch foe Iran, which backs President Bashar al-Assad's government, to expand its
presence there. Since 2011, Syria has endured a bloody conflict that has claimed
over half a million lives and displaced several million people.
Israel to US ambassador: Hezbollah threat must be ended diplomatically or
militarily
Naharnet/January 20, 2024
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant on Friday said that Israel is “committed
to returning the residents of the north to their homes,” after tens of thousands
were evacuated amid daily clashes with Hezbollah.“We are nearing this decision,”
Gallant added. "We prefer returning the residents to the north through a
settlement and we're also ready to do so through military force," he said. The
commander of Israel’s northern command, Ori Gordin, meanwhile briefed the U.S.
ambassador to Israel on “Hezbollah’s threats.”“The Lebanon threat must be
eliminated diplomatically or militarily,” Gordin added. “There can be no return
to the pre-October 7 situation,” he stressed. Over 190 people have been killed
in Lebanon during more than three months of cross-border clashes, including over
140 Hezbollah fighters and over 20 civilians, among them three journalists. In
northern Israel, nine soldiers and six civilians have been killed, according to
Israeli authorities. The fighting has also displaced tens of thousands of
Lebanese and Israeli residents on both sides of the border and Israel says it is
keen on returning its residents to their homes even if that required a military
campaign.
Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published on
January 20-21/2024
Israeli
strike on Damascus kills four Iranian Revolutionary Guards
Reuters/January 20, 2024
BEIRUT/DAMASCUS: An Israeli missile strike on Syria’s capital Damascus on
Saturday killed four members of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, including the head
of the force’s information unit in Syria, a security source in the regional
pro-Syria alliance told Reuters.
In a statement carried on Iranian state television, the Revolutionary Guards
confirmed that four of its military advisers were killed in the Israeli strike
and said further details would be announced later. State TV said the targeted
building was the residence of Iranian advisers in Damascus.
There was no immediate comment from Israel, which has long pursued a bombing
campaign against Iran-linked targets in Syria. It has shifted to deadlier
strikes in the wake of the Oct. 7 attack on Israel by militants of the
Iranian-backed Palestinian Islamist group Hamas from Gaza.
Syrian state media said a building in the Mazzeh neighborhood of Damascus was
targeted in a likely Israeli attack, without giving further details. Other local
media in Syria said explosions were heard across the Syrian capital.
The security source, part of a network of groups close to Syria’s government and
its major ally Iran, said the multi-story building was used by Iranian advisers
supporting President Bashar Assad’s government, and that it was entirely
flattened by “precision-targeted Israeli missiles.”
The source said a fifth person was also killed but could not immediately
identify the nationality.
Essam Al-Amin, head of the Al-Mowasat Hospital in Damascus, told Reuters that
his hospital had received one corpse and three wounded people, including a
woman, following Saturday’s attack.
A Reuters witness in Mazzeh saw ambulances and fire trucks gathered around the
site of the strike, which had been cordoned off. Rescue operations for people
stuck under the rubble were ongoing throughout the late morning.
A spokesman for the Palestinian Islamic Jihad told Reuters that no members of
their group were wounded in the strike, following reports that some were at the
bombed-out building.
Israel responded to the shock Hamas assault on Oct. 7 by launching a devastating
air and ground war in Gaza with the aim of eradicating its ruling Islamist
group. The conflict has reverberated across the Middle East with violence
surging in Syria, Lebanon, northern Iraq and in the Red Sea.
In December, an Israeli air strike killed two Guards members, and another near
Damascus on Dec. 25 killed a senior adviser to the Guards who was overseeing
military coordination between Syria and Iran.
Iran and its military allies in Syria have entrenched themselves in wide areas
of eastern, southern and northern Syria and in several suburbs around the
capital.
Senior Iran Revolutionary Guard officials killed in strike blamed on Israel
Oliver Slow - BBC News/January 20,
2024
Four senior members of Iran's security forces have been killed in a suspected
air strike on the Syrian capital. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard blamed
Israel for the attack, which it said killed four military advisers as well as a
number of Syrian forces. Israel has not commented. For years it has carried out
strikes on Iranian-linked targets in Syria. Such strikes have intensified since
the Israel-Gaza war began following Hamas's 7 October attacks on Israel. Senior
figures among the Revolutionary Guard - a major military, political and economic
force in Iran - have been present in Syria since the civil war began there in
2011, helping to support the regime of President Bashar al-Assad against
widespread rebellion to his rule. Saturday's attack is understood to have taken
place in the Mazzeh neighbourhood, south-west Damascus, an area home to a
military airport, as well as the UN headquarters in Damascus, embassies and
restaurants.
A resident told AFP news agency that they saw "explosions" in the western Mazzeh
area and "a large cloud of smoke". "The sound was similar to a missile
explosion, and minutes later I heard the sound of ambulances," he added. Iran's
semi-official Mehr news agency said the attacks killed the IRGC's Syria
intelligence chief, his deputy, as well as two other Guard members. Videos,
which the BBC has not verified, showed a large cloud of smoke and buildings
destroyed. Last month a suspected Israeli air strike just outside Damascus
killed a senior IRGC commander. The Middle East has been on heightened alert
since 7 October, when Hamas launched an attack on southern Israel, killing
around 1,300 people, mainly civilians, and taking 240 hostages back to Gaza.
More than 132 hostages are thought to still be held in the territory. Iran's
sudden strikes show just how perilous region has become. More than 24,900 people
have been killed in Gaza since Israel launched its military response, according
to the Hamas-run health ministry. Israel says its ground and air operation in
Gaza is aimed at destroying Hamas. The conflict has raised concerns about a
wider war spreading around the region, particularly between fierce rivals Israel
and Iran, and amid a series of overlapping crises. Israel is targeting the
Palestinian group Hamas, which is supported by Tehran. It is also exchanging
fire with Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon. Iran-backed groups in Iraq and Syria
are also targeting US forces in the region, and the US and UK have struck the
Houthis - another Iran-backed group - in Yemen, who have been attacking ships in
the Red Sea. Fears about an even wider conflict were further heightened this
week, when Iran exchanged strikes with its neighbour Pakistan. On Tuesday, Iran
admitted carrying out a missile and drone attack in south-western Pakistan,
killing two children, saying it was targeting an "Iranian terrorist group" in
Pakistan. Days later, Islamabad hit back, launching strikes it said were
targeting "terrorist hideouts" in south-eastern Iran, killing nine people.
Although both sides insisted they were targeting militant bases in each other's
countries, Iran and Pakistan withdrew their ambassadors from the respective
capitals. But following talks, diplomatic ties were restored.
US troops injured in major missile attack in Iraq
Michael Murphy/The Telegraph/January 20, 2024
Several US troops were injured in a major missile attack targeted an airbase in
Iraq, officials have said. US personnel suffered minor injuries and a member of
Iraq’s security forces was seriously wounded in the attack on Iraq’s Ain al-Asad
air base, a US official said. At least a dozen rockets were fired at the base in
western Iraq, which is used by US-led coalition forces, a US defence source and
an Iraqi police official told AFP. The attack came after a suspected Israeli
strike killed Iran’s intelligence chief in Syria as well as three other military
officials, according to Iranian media reports. “The Revolutionary Guards’ Syria
intel chief, his deputy and two other Guards members were martyred in the attack
on Syria by Israel,” Iran’s Mehr news agency reported.
US strikes another Houthi anti-ship missile
WASHINGTON/CAIRO (Reuters)/Sat, January 20, 2024
U.S. Central Command forces on Saturday struck a Houthi anti-ship missile that
was aimed into the Gulf of Aden and prepared to launch, the U.S. military said,
with the latest round of strikes coming hours after the United States struck
three other Houthi anti-ship missiles.
"U.S. forces determined the missile presented a threat to merchant vessels and
U.S. Navy ships in the region, and subsequently struck and destroyed the missile
in self-defense," the U.S. Central Command said in a statement on X.
The incident, the latest amid growing tensions in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden
that have disrupted global trade and raised fears of supply bottlenecks, took
place around 0400 Yemen time (0100 GMT), the U.S. Central Command added.
Hours earlier on late Friday, U.S. Central Command forces conducted strikes
against three Houthi anti-ship missiles that they said were aimed into the
Southern Red Sea. Attacks by the Iran-aligned Houthi militia on ships in and
around the Red Sea for the past several weeks have slowed trade between Asia and
Europe and alarmed major powers in an escalation of the war in Gaza.
The Houthis, who control most of Yemen, say their attacks are in solidarity with
Palestinians under attack from Israel in Gaza.
Since last week, the United States has been launching strikes on Houthi targets
in Yemen, and this week returned the militia to a list of "terrorist" groups.
President Joe Biden said on Thursday that air strikes would continue even as he
acknowledged they may not be halting the Houthi attacks.
The confrontation risks an expansion of the conflict beyond Hamas-governed Gaza,
where the local health ministry says over 24,000 people - or more than 1% of
Gaza's 2.3 million population - have been killed in Israel's assault.
Israel launched its offensive following Oct. 7 attacks on Israel by the
Palestinian Islamist group, which Israeli officials say killed 1,200 people.
Saturday's strikes were the fifth in the past week by the U.S. against Houthi
missile launchers that were prepared to launch attacks.The Houthis launched two anti-ship ballistic missiles at a U.S.-owned tanker
ship late on Thursday that hit the water near the vessel but caused no injuries
or damage, according to the U.S. military.
Biden and Netanyahu have
finally talked, but their visions still clash for ending Israel-Hamas war
Associated Press/January 20, 2024 20:59
U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu finally
spoke Friday after a glaring, nearly four-week gap in direct communication
during which fundamental differences have come into focus over a possible
pathway to Palestinian statehood once the fighting in Gaza ends.
Biden and his top aides have all but smothered Netanyahu with robust support,
even in the face of global condemnation over the mounting civilian death toll
and humanitarian suffering in Gaza as the Israelis have carried out military
operations in the aftermath of the Oct. 7 attack on Israel.
But the leaders' relationship has increasingly shown signs of strain as
Netanyahu has repeatedly rebuffed Biden's calls for Palestinian sovereignty,
gumming up what the U.S. president believes is the key to unlocking a durable
peace in the Middle East — the oft-cited, elusive two-state solution.
Neither side shows signs of budging. Friday's phone call came one day after
Netanyahu said that he has told U.S. officials in plain terms that he will not
support a Palestinian state as part of any postwar plan. Biden, for his part, in
Friday's call reaffirmed his commitment to work toward helping the Palestinians
move toward statehood. "As we're talking about post-conflict Gaza ... you can't
do that without also talking about the aspirations of the Palestinian people and
what that needs to look like for them," said National Security Council spokesman
John Kirby.
The leaders spoke frequently in the first weeks of the war. But the regular
cadence of calls between Biden and Netanyahu, who have had a hot-and-cold
relationship for over three decades, has slowed considerably. Their 30- to
40-minute call Friday was their first conversation since Dec. 23.
Both sides are hemmed in by domestic political considerations.
The chasm between Biden, a center-left Democrat, and Netanyahu, who leads the
most conservative government in Israel's history, has expanded as pressure
mounts on the United States to use its considerable leverage to press Israel to
wind down a war that has already killed nearly 25,000 Palestinians.
There is also growing impatience with Netanyahu in Israel over the lack of
progress in freeing dozens of hostages still held by Islamic militants in Gaza.
"There is certainly a reason to be concerned," says Eytan Gilboa, an expert on
U.S.-Israeli relations at Israel's Bar-Ilan University, "The more and more we
see political considerations dominating the relationship between Biden and
Netanyahu, which is likely to continue because of the upcoming presidential
election and the weakness of both leaders, the more we will see them pulling
apart."In their most recent calls, Biden's frustration with Netanyahu has grown
more evident, even though the U.S. leader has been careful to reaffirm his
support for Israel at each step, according to U.S. officials who requested
anonymity to discuss the leaders' private interactions. Yet, Biden, at least
publicly, has not given up on the idea of winning over Netanyahu. Asked by a
reporter on Friday if a two-state solution is impossible while Netanyahu is in
office, Biden replied, "No, it's not."
Aides insist Biden understands the political box Netanyahu finds himself in with
his hard-right coalition and as he deals with ongoing corruption charges that
have left the prime minister fighting for his freedom, not just his political
future.
Biden, meanwhile, faces American voters in November, in a likely rematch with
former President Donald Trump. Netanyahu and Trump forged a close relationship
during the Republican's term in office. Biden faces criticism from some on his
left who believe he hasn't pushed the Israelis hard enough to demonstrate
restraint as it carries out military operations.
Key Democratic lawmakers, including Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and
Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy, this week warned that Netanyahu's position on
statehood could complicate negotiations in the Senate on a spending package that
includes military aid for Israel.
Expect Netanyahu to "use every trick that he has to keep his coalition together
and avoid elections and play out the clock," said Michael Koplow, chief policy
officer at the Israel Policy Forum. "And I'm sure that part of it is a
conviction that if he waits until November, he may end up with Donald Trump back
in the Oval Office." In recent weeks, some of the more difficult conversations
have been left to Ron Dermer, a top aide to Netanyahu and former Israeli
ambassador to the U.S., and Biden's national security adviser, Jake Sullivan.
The two top aides talk almost daily — sometimes multiple times during a day,
according to a U.S. official and an Israeli official, who were not authorized to
comment publicly and spoke on the condition of anonymity. Other senior Biden
administration officials including Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense
Secretary Lloyd Austin, as well as senior advisers Brett McGurk and Amos
Hochstein, have been at the forefront of the administration's push to engage the
Israelis and other Middle East allies as the Biden-Netanyahu dialogue has become
less constructive.
Netanyahu, who has opposed calls for a two-state solution throughout his
political career, told reporters this week that he flatly told U.S. officials he
remains opposed to any postwar plan that includes establishment of a Palestinian
state.
The prime minister's latest rejection of Biden's push in that direction came
after Blinken this week said at the World Economic Forum in Davos that Israel
and its Middle East neighbors had "a profound opportunity" to solve the
generational Israel-Palestinian conflict. Asked if he thought Netanyahu was up
to making the most of the moment, Blinken demurred.
"Look, these are decisions for Israelis to make," Blinken said. "This is a
profound decision for the country as a whole to make: What direction does it
want to take? Does it see — can it seize — the opportunity that we believe is
there?"
The Biden-Netanyahu relationship has seen no shortage of peaks and valleys over
the years. As vice president, Biden privately criticized Netanyahu after the the
Israeli leader embarrassed President Barack Obama by approving the construction
of 1,600 new apartments in disputed East Jerusalem in the middle of Biden's 2010
visit to Israel. Netanyahu publicly resisted, before eventually relenting to,
Biden's calls on the Israelis to wind down a May 2021 military operation in
Gaza. And in late 2019, during a question and answer session with voters on the
campaign trail, Biden called Netanyahu an "extreme right" leader.
The path to a two-state solution — one in which Israel would co-exist with an
independent Palestinian state — has eluded U.S. presidents and Middle East
diplomats for decades.
But as the war grinds on, Biden and his team have pressed the notion that there
is a new dynamic in the Middle East in which Israel's Arab and Muslim neighbors
stand ready to integrate Israel into the region once the war ends, but only if
Israel commits to a pathway to a Palestinian state.
Biden has proposed that a "revitalized" Palestinian Authority, which is based in
the West Bank, could run Gaza once combat ends. Netanyahu has roundly rejected
the idea of putting the Palestinian Authority, which is beset by corruption, in
charge of the territory.
Netanyahu argues that a Palestinian state would become a launchpad for attacks
on Israel. So Israel "must have security control over the entire territory west
of the Jordan River," Netanyahu said. "That collides with the idea of
sovereignty. What can we do?"White House officials have sought to play down
Netanyahu's public rejection of Biden's call for a two-state solution, noting
that the prime minister's rhetoric is not new. They hold out hope Israel could
eventually come around to accepting a Palestinian state that comes with strong
security guarantees for Israel. "I don't think Biden has any illusions about
Netanyahu," said Daniel Kurtzer, who served as U.S. ambassador to Egypt during
the Bill Clinton administration and to Israel under George W. Bush. "But I don't
think he's ready to slam the door on him. And that's because he gets the
intersection between the policy and the politics."
EU's Borrell accuses Israel of 'creating' and 'financing' Hamas
Agence France Presse/January 20, 2024
The EU's top diplomat Josep Borrell has accused Israel of having "created" and
"financed" the Palestinian militant group Hamas, which launched unprecedented
attacks on Israel on October 7. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has in
recent days reaffirmed his opposition to the creation of a Palestinian state,
drawing criticism from his U.S. ally, which is still advocating a "two-state
solution". "We believe that a two-state solution must be imposed from outside to
bring peace. Although, I insist, Israel is reaffirming its refusal (of this
solution), and to prevent it they have gone so far as to create Hamas
themselves," Borrell said. "Hamas has been financed by the Israeli government to
try to weaken the Palestinian Authority of Fatah. "But if we do not intervene
strongly, the spiral of hate and violence will continue from generation to
generation, from funeral to funeral, as the seeds of hatred that are being sown
in Gaza today flourish," he added during a speech in Spanish at the University
of Valladolid in central Spain, which awarded him an honorary doctorate. Hamas
was created in December 1987 shortly after the start of the first Palestinian
intifada, or uprising, in the Israeli-occupied Palestinian territories by a
group of Islamist militants claiming to be from the Muslim Brotherhood,
including the influential Sheikh Ahmed Yassin. Hamas, the Arabic acronym for the
Islamic Resistance Movement, was notably founded to counter the Islamic Jihad
militant group and compete with the mainly secular Palestine Liberation
Organization (PLO) then led by Yasser Arafat. Twenty years later, in June 2007,
Hamas took control of the Gaza Strip following a quasi-civil war against the
Fatah movement of Arafat's successor Mahmoud Abbas, president of the Palestinian
Authority, which partially administers the occupied West Bank. In recent years,
the Gaza Strip, controlled by Hamas and under Israeli blockade, has received
millions of dollars in aid from Qatar, provoking criticism of Netanyahu, who is
accused of having favoured financing of the movement. The prime minister denies
the accusation.
Denial of Palestinian statehood ‘unacceptable’, says UN
chief
AFP/January 20, 2024
KAMPALA: The right of the Palestinian people to build their own state “must be
recognized by all,” UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres told the Non-Aligned
Movement summit in Uganda on Saturday. “The refusal to accept a two-state
solution for Israelis and Palestinians, and the denial of the right to statehood
for the Palestinian people, are unacceptable,” the UN leader insisted in the
Ugandan capital Kampala. Such a stance “would indefinitely prolong a conflict
that has become a major threat to global peace and security; exacerbate
polarization; and embolden extremists everywhere,” Guterres warned.
FASTFACT
The World Health Organization has deplored the ‘inhuman living conditions’ in
the small coastal territory of 2.4 million inhabitants.
“The right of the Palestinian people to build their own state must be recognized
by all.”The ongoing bloodshed in the Palestinian Gaza territory was prompted by
the October 7 attack on Israel by Hamas fighters. That attack resulted in the
deaths of about 1,140 people, most of them Israeli civilians, according to an
AFP tally based on official Israeli figures. Israel’s relentless bombardment and
ground offensive since then have killed at least 24,927 people in Gaza, mostly
women and children, according to the Hamas government’s health ministry. In its
final summit communique, the Non-Aligned Movement on Saturday “strongly
condemned the illegal Israeli military aggression against the Gaza Strip,” and
called for “a lasting humanitarian ceasefire.”The assembled leaders in Kampala
also called for “the independence and sovereignty of the State of Palestine,
with East Jerusalem as its capital, in order to achieve a two-state
solution.”The Non-Aligned Movement is a forum of 120 countries that aren’t
formally aligned to any major power bloc. Its members include India, Iran, Iraq
and South Africa.The World Health Organization (WHO) has deplored the “inhuman
living conditions” in the small coastal territory of 2.4 million inhabitants,
many of whom have been displaced by the Israeli action. On Monday, Guterres
appealed for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire in Gaza. The United States,
Israel’s main ally and key supporter in its war against Hamas, has also recently
reiterated its support for the creation of a Palestinian state.
In recent days, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reaffirmed his
opposition to the creation of a viable Palestinian state, drawing criticism from
his American ally.
An Israeli airstrike on the Syrian capital killed at least
4 Iranian advisers, state media say
DAMASCUS, Syria (AP)/Sat, January 20, 2024
An Israeli strike on the Syrian capital on Saturday destroyed a building used by
the Iranian paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, killing at least four Iranians,
Syrian and Iranian state media reported. Iranian state television said four
advisers from the Revolutionary Guard had been killed in the strike in Damascus,
without identifying them, adding that Israel was behind the strike. Nour News,
which is believed to be close to the country’s intelligence apparatus,
identified two of the dead as Gen. Sadegh Omidzadeh, the intelligence deputy of
the guard's expeditionary Quds Force in Syria, and his deputy, who goes by the
nom de guerre Hajj Gholam. An opposition war monitor, the Syrian Observatory for
Human Rights, said at least six people — five Iranians and a Syrian — were
killed in the missile attack that struck while officials from Iran-backed groups
were holding a meeting. The Observatory's chief, Rami Abdurrahman, said three of
the Iranians were commanders, adding that four other people are still missing
under the rubble. Syrian state TV reported that the “Israeli aggression”
targeted a residential building in the tightly guarded western Damascus
neighborhood of Mazzeh, home to several diplomatic missions. Saturday's strike
was close to the embassies of Venezuela and South Africa. An official with
knowledge of the situation said that the building was used by Revolutionary
Guard officials, adding that the “Israeli missiles” destroyed the whole building
and that 10 people were either killed or wounded in the attack. The official is
from an Iran-backed group, but asked that his name and affiliation not be used
because he was not authorized to speak publicly about security affairs.
The Israeli military did not comment on the strike.
Security forces deployed around the destroyed four-story building as ambulances
and fire engines were seen in the area. A search for people trapped under the
rubble was underway. Windows were also shattered in nearby buildings. A grocer
near the scene of the strike said he heard five consecutive explosions at about
9:15 a.m., adding that he later witnessed the bodies of a man and a woman being
taken away as well as three wounded people. “The shop shook. I stayed inside for
few seconds then went out and saw the smoke billowing from behind the mosque,”
the man, who asked that his name not be used for security reasons, told The
Associated Press. “What happened was terrifying. I collapsed,” said Khaled Mawed,
who lives nearby. The strike came amid widening tensions in the region as Israel
pushes ahead with its offensive in Gaza. Israel’s assault there, one of the
deadliest and most destructive military campaigns in recent history, has killed
nearly 25,000 Palestinians, according to Gaza health authorities, caused
widespread destruction and uprooted over 80% of the territory’s 2.3 million
people from their homes. Israel launched the offensive after an unprecedented
cross-border attack into Israel by Hamas on Oct. 7 that killed 1,200 people and
took some 250 others hostage. Roughly 130 hostages are believed by Israel to
remain in Hamas captivity. The war has stoked tensions across the region,
threatening to ignite other conflicts. Last month, an Israeli airstrike on a
suburb of Damascus killed Iranian general Seyed Razi Mousavi, a longtime adviser
of the Iranian paramilitary Revolutionary Guard in Syria. Israel has also
targeted Palestinian and Lebanese operatives in Syria over the past years.
Iranian and Syrian officials have long acknowledged Iran has advisers and
military experts in Syria, but denied there were any ground troops. Thousands of
fighters from Iran-backed groups took part in Syria's conflict that started in
March 2011, helping tip the balance of power in favor of President Bashar Assad.
Israel has carried out hundreds of strikes on targets inside
government-controlled parts of war-torn Syria in recent years.
Israel rarely acknowledges its actions in Syria, but it has said that it targets
bases of Iran-allied militant groups, such as Lebanon’s Hezbollah, which has
sent thousands of fighters to support Syrian President Bashar Assad’s forces.
Earlier this month, a strike said to be carried out by Israel killed top Hamas
commander Saleh Arouri in Beirut. Over the past weeks, rockets have been fired
from Syria into northern Israel and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights, adding
to tensions along the Lebanon-Israel border and attacks on ships in the Red Sea
by Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels.
Israel Hamas war: UN say women
and children main victims of conflict as IDF hit Damascus
Euronews/Sat, January 20, 2024
UN: Women and children main victims of Israel-Hamas war with 16,000 killed
Women and children are the main victims in the Israel-Hamas war, with some
16,000 killed and an estimated two mothers losing their lives every hour since
Hamas’ surprise attack on Israel, the United Nations agency promoting gender
equality has said. As a result of the more than 100-day conflict, UN Women
added, at least 3,000 women may have become widows and heads of households and
at least 10,000 children may have lost their fathers. The agency pointed to
gender inequality and the burden on women fleeing the fighting with children and
being displaced again and again. Of the territory’s 2.3 million population, it
said, 1.9 million are displaced and “close to one million are women and girls”
seeking shelter and safety.
UN Women’s executive director, Sima Bahous, said this is “a cruel inversion” of
fighting during the 15 years before the Hamas attack on 7 October. Previously,
she said, 67% of all civilians killed in Gaza and the West Bank were men and
less than 14% were women.
She echoed UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres’ calls for a humanitarian
cease-fire and the immediate release of all hostages taken captive by Hamas.
“However much we mourn the situation of the women and girls of Gaza today, we
will mourn further tomorrow without unrestricted humanitarian assistance and an
end to the destruction and killing,” Bahous said in a statement accompanying the
UN’s report. “These women and girls are deprived of safety, medicine, health
care, and shelter. They face imminent starvation and famine. Most of all they
are deprived of hope and justice,” she said.
The health ministry in Hamas-run Gaza says nearly 25,000 Palestinians have been
killed in the conflict, 70% of them women and children. The United Nations says
more than a half million people in Gaza - a quarter of the population - are
starving.
An Israeli strike on the Syrian capital, Damascus, destroyed on Saturday a
building used by Iranian paramilitary Revolutionary Guard killing and wounding
10 people, state media outlets and an official with an Iran-backed group said.
An opposition war monitor, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, said at
least five people were killed in the missile attack that struck when officials
from Iran-backed groups were holding a meeting.
State-TV reported that the “Israeli aggression” targeted a residential building
in the tightly guarded western Damascus neighbourhood of Mazzeh, home to several
diplomatic missions, including the Lebanese and Iranian embassies.
An official with an Iran-backed group in the Middle East told The Associated
Press that the building was used by Revolutionary Guard officials, adding that
the “Israeli missiles” destroyed the whole building and that 10 were either
killed or wounded in the attack.The strike came amid widening tensions in the
region and the Israeli offensive on Gaza that has killed thousands. Last month,
an Israeli airstrike on a suburb of Damascus killed Iranian general Seyed Razi
Mousavi, a longtime adviser of the Iranian paramilitary Revolutionary Guard in
Syria. Israel has also targeted Palestinian and Lebanese operatives in Syria
over the past years. Israel has carried out hundreds of strikes on targets
inside government-controlled parts of war-torn Syria in recent years. Israel
rarely acknowledges its actions in Syria, but it has said that it targets bases
of Iran-allied militant groups, such as Lebanon’s Hezbollah, which has sent
thousands of fighters to support Syrian President Bashar Assad’s forces. Biden
and Netanyahu speak at last - but their visions for ending conflict still clash.
President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu finally spoke
late on Friday after a glaring, nearly four-week gap in direct communication
during which fundamental differences have come into focus over a possible
pathway to Palestinian statehood once the fighting in Gaza ends.
Biden and his top aides have all but smothered Netanyahu with robust support,
even in the face of global condemnation over the mounting civilian death toll
and humanitarian suffering in Gaza as the Israelis have carried out military
operations. However, the leaders' relationship has increasingly shown signs of
strain as Netanyahu has repeatedly rebuffed Biden's calls for Palestinian
sovereignty, gumming up what the US president believes is the key to unlocking a
durable peace in the Middle East — the oft-cited, elusive two-state solution.
Neither side shows signs of budging. Friday's phone call came one day after
Netanyahu said that he has told US officials in plain terms that he will not
support a Palestinian state as part of any postwar plan. Biden, for his part, in
Friday's call reaffirmed his commitment to work toward helping the Palestinians
move toward statehood. “As we’re talking about post-conflict Gaza... you can’t
do that without also talking about the aspirations of the Palestinian people and
what that needs to look like for them,” National Security Council spokesman John
Kirby said. The leaders spoke frequently in the first weeks of the war, but the
regular cadence of calls between Biden and Netanyahu, who have had a
hot-and-cold relationship for over three decades, has slowed considerably. Their
30-to 40-minute call on Friday was their first conversation since 23 December.
Hostage families protest outside Netanyahu's home, ramping
up pressure for a truce-for-hostages deal
JERUSALEM (AP/Sat, January 20, 2024
Relatives of hostages held by Hamas in Gaza protested Saturday outside the home
of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, expressing frustration over his
government’s seeming lack of progress in getting the more than 100 captives
released as the war in Gaza drags on.
A group representing families of the hostages said they had "begged for 105
days" and now demanded that the government show leadership and take bold steps
to free the hostages. A member of Israel’s War Cabinet has called a cease-fire
the only way to secure their release, a comment that implied criticism of
Israel's current strategy. The protest outside the prime minister's home and the
remark by former Israeli army chief Gadi Eisenkot were among signs of growing
strife in Israel over the direction of the war in its fourth month. Netanyahu
has said he will push for “complete victory” against Hamas but has not outlined
how he would achieve it. Critics have accused him of preventing a Cabinet-level
debate about a post-war scenario for Gaza, alleging Netanyahu was stalling in
hopes of avoiding conflict that could potentially break up his right-wing ruling
coalition. Israel launched its war against Hamas following the militant group's
unprecedented Oct. 7 attack that killed about 1,200 people, mostly civilians, in
Israel and saw about 250 others taken hostage from the country's south. Health
authorities in Hamas-ruled Gaza say Israel's offensive has killed nearly 25,000
Palestinians, most of them women and children. The offensive, one of the most
destructive military campaigns in recent history, has pulverized much of
territory and displaced more than 80% of its population of 2.3 million people.
An Israeli blockade that allows only a trickle of aid into Gaza has led to
widespread hunger and outbreaks of disease, United Nations officials have said.
Netanyahu has insisted that the only way to secure the hostages’ return is by
crushing Hamas through military means. But relatives of the remaining captives
have been escalating their campaign seeking a deal for the release of their
loved ones. More than 100 hostages, mostly women and children, were released
during a brief November ceasefire in exchange for the release of Palestinian
women and minors imprisoned by Israel. Israel has said that more than 130
hostages remain in Gaza, but only about 100 are believed to be alive. On Friday,
the father of a 28-year-old man who has been held by Hamas since Oct. 7 began
what he called a hunger strike outside Netanyahu’s home in the coastal town of
Caesarea. Eli Shtivi, who son Idan was among the people kidnapped from a music
festival in southern Israel, pledged to eat only a quarter of a pita a day — to
show how little food some hostages were reportedly given on some days— until the
prime minister agreed to meet with him. Dozens of people joined Shtivi late
Friday and were still there Saturday morning. Eisenkot, the former army chief
who is one of the five members of Israel’s War Cabinet, has called into question
Netanyahu’s insistence that only Israel's blistering air and ground offensive
would bring the hostages home.
Eisenkot, whose son was killed in December while fighting in Gaza, said during a
television interview late Thursday that claiming the captives could be freed
without a deal and a cease-fire “is to spread illusions.” The hostages “will
only return alive if there is a deal, linked to a significant pause in
fighting,” he said. Dramatic rescue operations are unlikely because the hostages
are apparently spread out, many of them in underground tunnels, he said. As part
of its search for the hostages, Israel's military dropped leaflets on the
territory's southernmost town of Rafah that asked people to provide information
about the captives. The leaflets, with photos of dozens of hostages, carried a
message suggesting benefits for anyone providing information. “You want to
return home? Please report if you identified one of them,” read the message,
which also listed a phone number and a link to a website containing images and
names of the hostages in Arabic. In Gaza, residents reached by phone following
the end of a seven-day communications blackout reported heavy bombardment and
fighting between militants and Israeli troops Saturday morning in and around the
southern city of Khan Younis and the urban refugee camp of Jabaliya in the
north.
Israeli warplanes and shelling hammered areas in and east of Khan Younis, with
gun battles raging overnight into the early morning in Bani Suheila, a town on
the city's outskirts, residents said. The town is one of the hotspots in
Israel’s military operations in the Khan Younis area.
Halima Abdel-Rahman, a woman displaced from northern Gaza who has sheltered in
Bani Suheila since November, said Israeli airstrikes hit several buildings in
the town over the last couple of days and that bombing was intense overnight
into Saturday.
The fighting has forced many families to leave their homes, many of which were
reduced to rubble, and Bani Suheila is largely empty, she said. In Jabaliya,
“the heavy bombing returned,” with Israeli warplanes striking buildings and open
areas, local fisherman Assad Abu Radwan said. Israel withdrew a significant
number of troops from the northern half of Gaza earlier this week after the
military said it had broken up Hamas command structures there. However, Hamas
gunmen continued putting up resistance in parts of northern Gaza, prompting
renewed questions in Israel about the feasibility of the government's stated
goal of crushing Hamas. In the Israeli-occupied West Bank, meanwhile, mourners
gathered Saturday for the funeral of a 17-year-old American Palestinian who was
shot and killed a day earlier near the city of Ramallah.The circumstances of the
shooting remained unclear Saturday. In a statement, Israeli police said they
received a report Friday regarding a “firearm discharge, ostensibly involving an
off-duty law enforcement officer, a soldier and a civilian.” Police did not
identify who fired the shot but described the shooting as taking place over
people “purportedly engaged in rock-throwing activities" along a main highway.
Police said the incident was being investigated, including by its internal
affairs department. The Israeli military did not immediately respond to a
request for comment. Friends of the teenager identified him as Tawfiq Ajaq, and
said the family had returned to its home village in the West Bank from Harvey,
Louisiana, about a year ago. Asked about the shooting, U.S. national security
spokesman John Kirby said officials at the White House were “seriously concerned
about these reports.”“We don’t have perfect context about exactly what happened
here,” Kirby said. “Seriously concerned about it. And we’re going to be in
constant touch with counterparts in the region to — to get more information.”In
recent months, the Biden administration has repeatedly expressed concern about
growing volatility in the West Bank, including violence by settlers against
Palestinians.
What is happening between
Iran and Pakistan?
ABC/January 20, 2024
An unprecedented turn of events took place between Iran and Pakistan this week
when the neighboring nations exchanged cross-border airstrikes on what they
claim were militant hideouts and safe havens being used against one another.
First, Iranian airstrikes targeted what Tehran described as bases for the Sunni
separatist group Jaish al-Adl in southwestern Pakistan on Tuesday. At least two
children were killed and three others were injured, according to the Pakistani
Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which called the attack an "unprovoked violation of
its airspace."Then, Pakistani airstrikes targeted what Islamabad described as
training camps belonging to Baluch insurgents in southeastern Iran on Thursday
in retaliation for Tuesday's attack. At least nine people -- four children,
three women and two men -- who were non-Iranian citizens were killed, according
to Iranian Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi, who condemned the strikes. Tehran has
accused Jaish al-Adl of carrying out attacks across the border inside Iran,
alleging that Pakistan provides hideouts for the group and other militants known
for high-profile attacks against the Iranian military -- claims which Islamabad
denies. Meanwhile, Baluch separatist groups such as the Balochistan Liberation
Army and the Baluch Liberation Front have attacked law enforcement, government
personnel and buildings in southwestern Pakistan's Baluchistan province.
Islamabad has accused Tehran of giving them a safe haven across the border in
Iran where they receive funding and training -- charges which Tehran denies.
Pakistani Foreign Minister Jalil Abbas Jilani spoke with Iranian Foreign
Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian on Friday and the two "agreed to de-escalate
the situation," noting that their countries have to maintain "mutual trust and
cooperation," according to a statement from Pakistani Ministry of Foreign
Affairs.
Relations between Pakistan, a Sunni majority country, and Iran, a Shia majority
nation, have never been favorable with both blaming the other for using their
minorities as proxies for their own benefits. Nevertheless, the neighbors have
historically managed to maintain routine diplomatic, trade and military
activities between them. There were even bilateral events taking place this week
when Iran launched its airstrikes in Pakistan on Tuesday, forcing the meetings
to be canceled. Ijaz Khan, an Islamabad-based researcher and the former head of
the University of Peshawar's Department of International Relations, said this
week's cross-border airstrikes are the first high-profile attacks to take place
between the two countries and that bilateral ties "cannot go back" to how they
were. "Iran and Pakistan had differences in the past over a range of issues, but
still they were able to keep their differences at a certain level and downplay
them," Khan told ABC News in an interview Thursday. "It was never public
expression of disagreement between them." "For a long time, they were always
suspicious of each other. Those suspicions will increase," he added. "The
chances of reacting negatively against each other would be much more than
before."
Pakistani-Iranian relations have taken a turn for the worse at a time when the
wider region is already roiled by Israel's ongoing war with Iran-backed
Palestinian militant group Hamas in the neighboring Gaza Strip. Since the war
began last October, Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels have repeatedly used
drones and missiles to target commercial ships in the Red Sea and the Gulf of
Aden, supposedly in support of Hamas and the scores of suffering Palestinian
civilians in Gaza. The United States has since led large-scale retaliatory
airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen.
"Iran restrained itself from jumping into it, but there was always fear that
this may happen and this may escalate," Khan told ABC News. "A lot of
realignment may take place in the region."
Now, Iran has simultaneously opened three fronts by striking Syria, Iraq and
Pakistan within a week. Tehran conducted airstrikes in Iraq and Syria late
Monday in response to a suicide bombing that killed more than 90 people earlier
this month, for which the Sunni militant group Islamic State claimed
responsibility. Regardless of whether this week's chain of events are connected
to what's already happening in the Middle East, Khan warned that there will be
"implications." Khan said he and other regional analysts are "baffled" by Iran's
recent decision-making and worry that further escalation on any of the fronts
will trigger warfare. "Before this, thinking of an open conflict between Iran
and Pakistan was not a serious topic for discussion," Khan told ABC News. "But
now, it cannot be ruled out. It can never be ruled out, even if they are able to
contain the current thing from escalating.""Even if it doesn't escalate
physically," he added, "politically, it will."
Russia's elite paratroopers and
marines are refusing orders to launch 'human wave attacks,' Ukraine official
says
Business Insider/January 20, 2024
Elite Russian troops are refusing to launch "human wave attacks," a Ukrainian
official said. Nataliya Humenyuk said the marines and paratroopers were
concerned over huge losses in the assaults. Former prisoners and poorly-trained
reservists typically carry out costly frontal assaults, she said. Russian
marines and paratroopers are refusing to launch certain types of assaults due to
concerns over the huge losses other troops are suffering, a Ukrainian official
said, per the Kyiv Post. Nataliya Humenyuk, press secretary for the AFU's Joint
Command South, said that the soldiers considered "themselves 'elite troops'" and
did not "want to go into frontal assaults" typically carried out by former
felons and reservists, the outlet reported. Over the course of the Russian
invasion, it has become increasingly reliant on high-risk frontal assaults. It
involves waves of attacks that probe Ukrainian positions and seize small
portions of territory but cost a huge loss of life. The Wagner leader, Yevgeny
Prigozhin, who was killed in a mysterious plane explosion after leading a failed
mutiny in June, described the tactic as a "meat grinder."Humenyuk cited Russian
attacks on Krynky in Kherson Oblast, southern Ukraine, as an example, saying
that Russian troops assaulting Ukrainian marine positions there were being hit
with more than 50% losses. The number of 'Storm-Z' units (low-grade Russian
formations made up older reservists and former convicts) committed to carry out
human wave attacks against the Ukraine bridgehead on the eastern side of the
Dnipro were now falling, and more naval infantry and paratroopers were being
deployed, said Humenyuk "But they consider themselves 'elite troops,' and they
don't want to go into frontal assaults like that," Humenyuk said.
One of Russia's newly formed Russian paratrooper units, the 104th Guards
Airborne Division, appeared to be hit particularly hard in its combat debut in
the Kherson region late last year, the UK Ministry of Defence said in an update
on the conflict in December. It said the unit "highly likely suffered
exceptionally heavy losses and failed to achieve its objectives" during its
operations in the area, aimed at dislodging Ukrainian positions near Krynky.
Krynky has been the scene of heavy fighting over the past few months as
Ukrainian forces have been attempting to recapture ground from Russia across the
Dnipro River. Conditions in the region have made the conflict difficult for both
sides, with marshes, water-filled bomb craters, and mud making it almost
impossible for troops to dig in, The New York Times reported.
Despite Ukrainian officials' claims that the country's marines had gained ground
on the eastern side of the river, soldiers and marines told The Times that this
was an exaggeration. "There are no positions. There is no such thing as an
observation post or position," Oleksiy, a soldier who fought in Krynky and who
only gave his first name, said. "It is impossible to gain a foothold there. It's
impossible to move equipment there." "It's not even a fight for survival," he
added. "It's a suicide mission."However, its success in the skies above the
Dnipro bolstered Ukraine's difficult position on the ground. Russia appears to
be unable to counter Ukraine's drone attacks because of a shortage of electronic
warfare capability in the area, the UK's Ministry of Defence said. Ukraine's
forces have been using first-person view drones to strike Russian armor and
artillery, the UK department said in an intelligence update on Sunday. A Russian
military blogger estimated that 90% of Russian military equipment in the Krynky
sector, a village on the east bank of the river, has been destroyed, the
department said.
North Korea says it tested a
nuclear-capable underwater drone in response to rivals' naval drills
SEOUL, South Korea (AP)/January
20/2024
North Korea said Friday it has tested a nuclear-capable underwater attack drone
in response to a combined naval exercise by South Korea, the United States and
Japan this week, as it continues to blame its rivals for raising tensions in the
region. The test of the drone, purportedly designed to destroy naval vessels and
ports, came days after North Korean leader Kim Jong Un declared he is scrapping
his country’s long-standing goal of a peaceful reunification with South Korea
and that his country will rewrite its constitution to define South Korea as its
most hostile foreign adversary. Tensions on the Korean Peninsula have risen to
their highest point in years, with Kim accelerating his weapons testing and
threatening nuclear conflict. The United States and its Asian allies have
responded by strengthening their combined military exercises, which Kim calls
rehearsals for an invasion.
The underwater drone, which North Korea said it first tested last year, is among
a broad range of weapon systems demonstrated in recent years as Kim expands his
arsenal of nuclear-capable weapons. South Korea’s military says North Korea has
exaggerated the capabilities of the drone. North Korea’s military said it
conducted the test in the country’s eastern waters in response to a naval drill
by the U.S., South Korea and Japan which ended Wednesday in waters south of Jeju
island. It did not say when the test occurred. “Our army’s underwater nuke-based
countering posture is being further rounded off and its various maritime and
underwater responsive actions will continue to deter the hostile military
maneuvers of the navies of the U.S. and its allies,” North Korea’s Defense
Ministry said in a statement.
“We strongly denounce the U.S. and its followers for their reckless acts of
seriously threatening the security of (North Korea) from the outset of the year
and sternly warn them of the catastrophic consequences to be entailed by them,”
it said.
South Korea’s Defense Ministry denounced North Korea’s recent tests as a
violation of U.N. Security Council resolutions and a threat to “peace in the
Korean Peninsula and the world.” It said in a statement that the U.S. and South
Korean militaries were maintaining a firm defense posture against possible North
Korean provocations. U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres is very concerned
about the current situation on the Korean peninsula, U.N. spokesman Stephane
Dujarric said. Guterres reiterated his call “for de-escalation, the full
implementation of Security Council resolutions and for the creation of an
environment that's conducive to dialogue and the resumption of diplomatic talks
which are frankly the only possible path forward,” Dujarric said. North Korea in
recent months has tested various missile systems designed to target the United
States and its Asian allies, and announced an escalatory nuclear doctrine that
authorizes the military to conduct preemptive nuclear strikes if North Korea's
leadership is under threat. North Korea conducted its first ballistic missile
test of 2024 on Sunday. State media described it as a new solid-fuel,
intermediate-range missile tipped with a hypersonic warhead, likely intended to
target U.S. military bases in Guam and Japan. At an emergency meeting of the
U.N. Security Council on Thursday, South Korea urged the council “to break the
silence” over North Korea’s escalating missile tests and threats. Russia and
China, both permanent members of the Security Council, have blocked U.S.-led
efforts to increase sanctions on North Korea over its recent weapons tests,
underscoring a divide deepened over Russia’s war on Ukraine. South Korea is
serving a two-year term on the council.
At Davos, leaders talked big on
rebuilding trust. Can the World Economic Forum make a difference?
DAVOS, Switzerland (AP)/January
20/2024
Business and political elites descended on the Swiss Alpine snows of Davos to
suss out “rebuilding trust” in a splintering world. If there’s any takeaway from
the World Economic Forum's annual meeting — boldly touting that theme — it’s
that we still have a long way to go. From full-blown wars in Ukraine and the
Middle East to suspicions that corporate chiefs and tech whizzes are out to make
a buck off of displacing workers with artificial intelligence, trust is clearly
in short supply. The Davos gathering wrapped up Friday after a yearly
pulse-taking of leading decision-makers. The idea is getting people together,
and big announcements are often just a byproduct — not the aim. That's if they
come at all. “It’s unrealistic to think that Davos — or any meeting, anywhere in
the world — in one meeting can rebuild trust when it’s fragmented on so many
dimensions," said Rich Lesser, chairman of Boston Consulting Group. But
thousands of conversations between the social, private and public sectors help
create "a starting point for rebuilding trust,” he said. A big artistic wall
headlined “Rebuilding Trust” that greeted bigwigs from Bill Gates to the Iranian
foreign minister was full of phrases like “Growth and Jobs,” “Climate Nature
Energy” and “Cooperation and Security” — buzzwords that, to some, smack of empty
talk. Critics say the annual meeting, which started more than half a century
ago, are a preserve of business chieftains who covet greater wealth and
politicians who want to stay in power. The event is hard-wired to foster can-do
optimism, but geopolitical gloom weighs heavy. “What is striking, if not
shocking, for me at Davos is this weird commitment on the part of the
participants to adopt an optimistic mindset,” said Agnès Callamard,
secretary-general of Amnesty International. “But optimism for the purpose of
maintaining the status quo and keeping my privilege. That’s not optimism.”
“That’s craziness, frankly, and it’s battering our poor world,” she added. The
general conclusion, attendees said, was that the global economic picture is a
bit brighter than might have been thought — interest rates and inflation seem to
have peaked in the richest markets — but it’s still anybody’s guess where
intractable wars and looming elections in places like the U.S., India, the
European Union and South Africa will redirect the world. Here are some takeaways
from Davos and the work that still lies ahead:
UKRAINE NEEDS MORE MONEY
Long before Russia's war, Ukraine staked out prime real estate on the Davos
Promenade main drag to promote its development and efforts to turn westward.
Over the last two years, authorities in Kyiv have used the event to call for
more support for their fight. In 2022, months after Russia's invasion, that was
an easier ask. This year, Ukraine war fatigue in Europe and the U.S. have set
in. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy headlined Tuesday's action, pleading for more
support from Western allies as billions in new funding from the United States
and European Union remain locked up by homegrown political squabbles.
“Please, strengthen our economy, and we will strengthen your security,”
Zelenskyy urged. Britain, for its part, played up its recent 2.5-billion pound
($3.2 billion) contribution to Kyiv and urged allies to follow suit.
AI: THE FUTURE AND THE RISK
Concerns about the economy that dominated last year have given way to hope — at
least from business execs — that generative AI could boost productivity and cut
down on rote tasks. But naysayers fear explosive growth of the technology is
going too fast for regulators, threatens to push people out of their jobs and
could foment greater misinformation than is already found on social media. Some
say humans have to maintain control, not allow technology to make crucial
decisions on its own. “No matter how much AI can do, humans are still the
deciding factor. So we have to focus on the training of human resources,
especially the highly skilled workers,” Pham Minh Chinh, Vietnam's prime
minister, said on a Davos panel.
THE CLIMATE OF FEAR ...
The plight of Israeli hostages held by Hamas and fears about Israel’s long-term
security were on people's lips, as was what some critics of Israel call genocide
in Gaza — an accusation that Israeli leaders, whose people were massacred in the
Holocaust, vociferously deny. Renewed talk of the creation of a Palestinian
state — an idea rejected by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu again this
week — animated discussions with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and
others, as did hopes for a normalization of Israel’s ties with the Arab world,
especially Saudi Arabia. Both seem unlikely in the near future. Fears raged
about how many more Palestinians will die or be injured, whether Israeli
hostages will survive captivity and whether the conflict will spill over to even
more of the Middle East.
Iran and its proxies, for instance, have stepped up military action in several
parts of the region, and it's triggered retaliatory strikes from the likes of
Pakistan, the U.S. and Britain.
... AND FEAR ABOUT THE CLIMATE
An unusually rainy Thursday — snow is far more often the norm in Davos this time
of year — sent tongues wagging about another possible, if temporary, sign of
climate change that future-minded CEOs and political leaders want to address.
The gabfest at the Swiss ski resort, just a month after the latest U.N. climate
conference, wasn't likely to push forward the effort to battle global warming.
But corporate leaders shared ideas about how they're trying to help. The U.N.
chief, citing the hottest year on record in 2023 and fears that it could be
hotter still in coming years, said countries are not doing enough.
“In the face of the serious — even existential threats — posed by runaway
climate chaos and the runaway development of artificial intelligence without
guardrails, we seem powerless to act together,” Secretary-General Antonio
Guterres said in Davos. "As climate breakdown begins, countries remain hellbent
on raising emissions.” But “the phaseout of fossil fuels is essential and
inevitable" he added. “No amount of spin or scare tactics will change that.”
Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on
January 20-21/2024
On Confronting the Iranian
Regime
Majid Rafizadeh/ Gatestone Institute./January 20, 2024
Any evaluation of the Biden administration's policy towards the Iranian regime
(and towards the Palestinians) reveals a failure: the deadly Western
miscalculation that "being nice" will be reciprocated. In the culture of the
Middle East, that simply does not work. Instead, one is looked on as a gullible
sucker or juicy "mark," like a jolly drunk at a strip club.
As Osama bin Laden pointed out, especially for his region, "When people see a
strong horse and a weak horse, by nature they will like the strong horse."
Former U.S. Army General Jack Keane recently noted that many possible targets
are already on "the list" and suggested taking out the military installations
that have been launching such attacks. Other possible responses floated include
sinking Iran's spy ship currently in the Red Sea and taking out Iran's military
communications systems.
If Iran itself is not made to pay a price, it will simply continue using its
proxies to escalate aggression and take the hits. After all, that is why Iran
has proxies in the first place.
The Biden administration's reluctance to robustly respond to the rogue Islamist
regime of Iran apparently only reinforces the inclination of Iran's political
and military leadership to inflict more harm. In 1988, President Reagan launched
Operation Praying Mantis, which retaliated against Iran for its attack on a U.S.
Navy ship, sent a strong message to Iran, and reduced the threat posed by
Iranian naval forces in the Persian Gulf.
The Biden administration's reluctance to robustly respond to the rogue Islamist
regime of Iran apparently only reinforces the inclination of Iran's political
and military leadership to inflict more harm.
When US responses lack decisiveness, the Islamic Republic interprets this
"restraint" as a failure of nerve on the part of the US and the international
community. Such leniency, it seems, simply invigorates the regime to persist in
disrupting regional and global stability, and escalate its assertive military
maneuvers and support for terrorist activities.
As Osama bin Laden pointed out, especially for his region, "When people see a
strong horse and a weak horse, by nature they will like the strong horse."
The Iranian regime's militaristic involvement has currently been unfolding its
tentacles across multiple conflicts: Iran's support for the Houthis; attacks on
ships in the region, blocking international commerce along the Suez Canal's
vital international trade route; encouraging, supplying and funding its proxies
Hamas and Hezbollah in their attacks on Israel, and supplying Russia with drones
to attack the West's ally Ukraine. At the center of all these malign activities
is Iran.
Its participation in attacks on American bases and soldiers in both Syria and
Iraq simply showcases it intent to drive the US out of the region, the sooner to
entrench its Shiite hegemony in the oil-rich region.
So far, just since mid-October, Iran has orchestrated more than 137 attacks
using drones, mortars, and short-range missiles on US soldiers in Syria and
Iraq, wounding many of them severely. Iran's military assistance to Russia
underscores its key destabilizing role on the global stage as well.
Any evaluation of the Biden administration's policy towards the Iranian regime
(and towards the Palestinians) reveals a failure: the deadly Western
miscalculation that "being nice" will be reciprocated. In the culture of the
Middle East, that simply does not work. Instead, one is looked on as a gullible
sucker or juicy "mark," like a jolly drunk at a strip club. Alternative
approaches, conversely, as exemplified in the Reagan administration's masterful
execution of Operation Praying Mantis, stand as a testament to their success.
Operation Praying Mantis was a military action conducted by the US on April 18,
1988, in the Persian Gulf, in response to the mining of the U.S. Navy frigate
USS Samuel B. Roberts by Iran during the Iran-Iraq War. The mining had taken
place on April 14, 1988, causing damage to the frigate.
President Ronald Reagan authorized Operation Praying Mantis to retaliate against
Iran for the mining and to neutralize Iran's naval capabilities in the region.
The operation, carried out by the U.S. Navy, marked the largest U.S. naval
engagement since World War II. The primary targets were Iranian naval units,
including warships and small boats, which were considered a threat to U.S. and
international shipping in the Persian Gulf.
The U.S. Navy deployed surface ships and aircraft to engage Iranian forces. The
USS Enterprise aircraft carrier, along with other vessels, played a crucial role
in the operation. During the engagement, U.S. forces sank or severely damaged
several Iranian naval vessels, including frigates, gunboats, and speedboats.
Operation Praying Mantis aimed to demonstrate U.S. resolve in protecting its and
its allies interests and maintaining freedom of navigation in the Persian Gulf.
The U.S. suffered no casualties during the operation, while Iran suffered the
loss of multiple naval vessels and personnel.
After the operation, there was a notable cessation in Iran's harassment of ships
and tankers for as long as Reagan was in office. Operation Praying Mantis
achieved its immediate objectives of retaliating against Iran for the mining
incident, sending a strong message to Iran, and reducing the threat posed by
Iranian naval forces in the Persian Gulf.
Clear and unwavering actions against rogue actors are imperative to deter
disruptive behavior and send a firm message about America's commitment to
ensuring stability. Why does the Biden administration persist in adhering to a
strategy that has clearly proven to be unsuccessful?
The Biden administration appears terrified of delivering a strong response to
the Iranian regime – a failure of nerve that will surely not be lost on
America's adversaries. Biden might fear that a strong response would escalate
tensions and have adverse implications for his chances of re-election on
November 5, 2024. It is important to bear in mind, however, historical lessons,
such as the reluctance of European countries to provide a robust response to
Hitler's actions -- a move that ultimately strengthened him and contributed to
the outbreak of World War II.
An approach of "escalate to de-escalate" is probably the most prudent policy; it
allows the US firmly to assert its stance. The strategy means that a nation,
through a show of force or a strong response, temporarily escalates a situation
with the goal of prompting the opposing party to de-escalate. Former U.S. Army
General Jack Keane recently noted that many possible targets are already on "the
list" and suggested taking out the military installations that have been
launching such attacks. Other possible responses floated include sinking Iran's
spy ship currently in the Red Sea and taking out Iran's military communications
systems.
If Iran itself is not made to pay a price, it will simply continue using its
proxies to escalate aggression and take the hits. After all, that is why Iran
has proxies in the first place.
**Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated
scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and
president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has
authored several books on Islam and US Foreign Policy. He can be reached at
Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2024 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/20319/confronting-iranian-regime
Who Will Blink First In The Gaza War?
Amb. Alberto M. Fernandez/ MEMRI Daily Brief No. 564/January 20/2024
The war launched by Hamas on October 7, 2023, not only caught Israel by
surprise, it caught the Americans unaware as well. The Americans have since then
tried to balance a variety of priorities, supporting Israel against Hamas,
preventing a wider war in the Middle East, defending its military presence in
the region, and, most recently, securing vital international waterways.
Now well into its fourth month, the war has only grown in complexity (a smaller
war in 2006, between Hezbollah and Israel, lasted only 32 days) as Iran has
activated its broad network of proxies from the "Axis of Resistance" to fulfill
various tasks. Both Hezbollah and the Houthis in Yemen have fired rockets at
Israel while Iranian-supported militias have targeted American bases in Syria
and Iraq. Israel has responded in kind, hitting high value targets in Lebanon
and Syria and even Yemen. And not content to work through its proxies, Iran
recently used ballistic missiles launched from bunkers in its own territory
against targets in Syria, Iraq, and Pakistan while a one-way attack drone from
Iran targeted a chemical tanker in the Indian Ocean, only 200 miles off the
Indian coast.
While the U.S. has slowly ratcheted up the pressure on the defiant Houthis in
Yemen and eventually responded to provocations in Iraq and Syria, the looming
American political confrontation is not with its many adversaries but with the
government of Israel. Relations between Biden and Netanyahu were already poor
and have gotten worse and the Americans are increasingly frustrated that Israel
may not transition to lower-intensity warfare in Gaza by the end of January. And
whatever happens in Gaza in the next few weeks, the possibility of a war with
Hezbollah in Lebanon looms as a distinct possibility. Biden and company also
know that an end to the war may signal the fall of Netanyahu's government, an
outcome Washington really wants to see. The gap between Washington's intentions
and those of Jerusalem seem to be growing wider the longer the war continues.
Who will blink first in this sub-rosa political confrontation over Gaza between
America and Israel? The Biden Administration has provided both weapons and
international political cover for Israel, both very valuable commodities, but
neither is absolutely essential in the short run as a strong majority in Israel
considers this to be an existential fight for its own survival. It is not so
surprising that trying to dismantle 15 years' worth of a deeply rooted Hamas
military-industrial terror complex in Gaza, while trying to minimize both your
own and civilian losses, was going to take much more than three or four months.
On January 18, Netanyahu promised "many more months" until victory is achieved,
but the Biden team's patience is wearing thin.
In the unlikely eventuality that the war essentially ends in the next few weeks
in Gaza (with no war in Lebanon) it will codify what can only be seen as a
strategic defeat for Israel. Yes, the IDF has on the battlefield likely "won"
Israel a few years of precious breathing space from terrorist threats in Gaza,
that is something tangible. But the severe battering Hamas has suffered
militarily contrasts with the political success it has secured both regionally
and in its competition with its PLO rivals in the West Bank.
Worse yet than Hamas, its two main patrons in the war, Qatar and Iran, may
emerge from the conflict completely untouched and even emboldened. This was a
conscious decision taken by the Biden Administration early on to avoid
pressuring Qatar or provoking Iran. Another negative development will be the
emergence of Houthi Yemen as a new strategic player, an enhanced weapon in the
Iranian regional arsenal. Here are all the seeds of the next war.
If Israel faces some daunting new strategic equations, the Biden Administration
faces both domestic and international political challenges of its own.
Bizarrely, the Biden Administration needs for war to stop in the Middle East and
for it to continue in Ukraine for domestic political reasons. The Gaza conflict
tears at the fabric of the Democratic Party (the home of the majority of both
"Free Palestine" leftists and of American Jews) and so it needs leave the front
pages sooner rather than later. Conversely, Ukraine has become Biden's signature
conflict, symbolizing the much-hyped fight against "authoritarianism" both at
home and abroad. If Ukraine cannot defeat Russia, it needs to at least look like
it is steadfast and still gallantly fighting until Election Day 2024.
Internationally, the Biden Administration needs this war to end because it is
one too many a conflict to contemplate as Washington handles the current
confrontation with Russia and a coming one with China. It exacerbates an already
dire supply chain challenge. Israel has taken weapons and ammunition intended
for Ukraine while Ukraine has taken weapons and ammunition intended for Taiwan.
The U.S. Navy has, so far, used 94 Tomahawk land-attack cruise missiles (costing
over a million dollars per missile) against the Houthis. That is the equivalent
of two to three years' worth of Tomahawk purchases from Raytheon for the Navy.
But perhaps almost as dangerous as supply and readiness is the international
perception of American power. The chaos and tumult in the region make the United
States look overwhelmed and confused, daunted by its allies and taunted by its
adversaries. The rollout of Operation Prosperity Guardian against Yemen was a
diplomatic disaster. South Africa is reportedly contemplating dragging the
United States before the World Court, after doing the same with Israel. Arab
states like Saudi Arabia already viewed this administration with suspicion and
disdain even before the war. And while the U.S. definitely remains the strongest
single player on the field, perceptions do matter even if they are mistaken.
Perceptions drawn from the debacle in Afghanistan almost certainly influenced
policy-making in Moscow in 2021-2022. Perceptions of the last three years of the
Biden Administration are coloring policy decisions now in Tehran, Beijing, and
Pyongyang. All four of these capitals are not only weighing American policies
and motives, they are also, no doubt, learning valuable lessons from American
and Israeli weapons – and from those weapons and tactics used against them – for
the next war, looming in the Middle East or elsewhere.
*Alberto M. Fernandez is Vice President of MEMRI.
Britain must proscribe Iran’s IRGC and their Houthi
friends as terrorist groups
Robert Jenrick/The Telegraph/January 20, 2024
We live in times of great change. Yet amidst the fog formed by the shift in
power from West to East or the rise of artificial intelligence upending old
industries, Britain’s global interests are remarkably clear. As a free trading
island nation, open shipping lanes have always been crucial to our prosperity
and security. So when, nearly seventy years after the Suez crisis, another
critical artery for U.K. trade in the Middle East was threatened, we clearly had
strong reasons to act.
Direct missile attacks from the Houthis on HMS Diamond then ended any strategic
debate and compelled the Government to respond. To do anything less would have
invited further attacks on our people and assets.
But until commercial shipping is able to pass through the Red Sea unmolested,
the Houthi’s piracy will cost us in our pockets. Ships travelling on the
European-Asian maritime highway will continue to be diverted around the Cape of
Good Hope, taking longer and costing more. If the Houthis, or the Iranians
themselves, turn their cheap and plentiful drones to disrupt the passage of
energy supply, the inflationary impact to the U.K., and global economy, will be
far worse.
Behind the Houthis lies the hand of Iran who have spent years training and
supplying them as one of their many regional proxies. Indeed, Hamas’s October
7th massacre would not have been possible without Iran, even if Tehran’s
tactical involvement is currently unclear. And in the last fortnight alone the
Iranian regime itself has sent a wave of violence reverberating through the
region, striking Syria, Pakistan and US assets in Iraq and Syria.
Against this backdrop, it cannot be business as usual for the UK’s posture
towards Iran. It’s time we took the fanatical Iranian regime at their word and
treated them as the zealots they openly profess to be. Their friends the Houthis
should be proscribed as a terrorist group as the American Government has now
done for the second time, as should the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corp, which
we have been painfully slow to do.
That the Biden administration has been forced to reverse its earlier de-listing
of the Houthis shows the naïveté of its approach to Iran and its proxies - one
which the UK has largely gone along with. Much like Biden’s attempts to
resurrect the flawed Iran Nuclear deal, such diplomatic efforts are doomed to
fail.
But the response must go well beyond clarifying the legal definitions of the
actions of this pariah state and their proxies. The Houthis’s behaviour forces
EU states to confront the coming geopolitical reckoning. A combination of an
inability to deploy naval assets in the case of Germany and an unwillingness in
the case of France and Italy has thus far left the U.K. and US tasked with
restoring order at sea. But the option for Europe to free-ride on US power is
disappearing. A second Trump presidency is the most likely outcome of the 2024
election and it would appear that he, like many of his predecessors, does not
view the Red Sea as a critical interest. China’s unprecedented military build up
in the Pacific and South China Sea clearly poses the greatest challenge to
America and to contain China Trump knows he will have to disengage from less
strategically important theatres.
The U.K. must ready itself too. We must ask difficult questions about the
availability of our current naval fleet as part of a review of current
capability. But in the meantime we must prioritise where we deploy our assets.
It is clear now, as it was in 1956, that the volume of trade passing through
shipping lanes in the Middle East makes them crucial to our prosperity. And it
is also clear that we are well placed to be able to project force there, for
instance with a base in Bahrain. As America pivots to the Pacific to confront
the defining geopolitical challenge of the century, the U.K. should secure the
space that Iran and her proxies will otherwise exploit. While our own naval tilt
to the Pacific is alluring, our strategic interests lie above all in the defence
of Europe and our near-abroad. In the end, realism must prevail over romance.
From supporting Ukraine against Russian aggression to promoting stability in the
Red Sea, successive Conservative Prime Minister’s have led Europe. As Trump and
Washington rightly focus their time and resources on China, our leadership will
only become more important. We must start persuading and, if necessary, cajoling
our European partners to follow us, or resign ourselves to permanent
instability.
**Robert Jenrick is MP for Newark and a former cabinet minister
Humanitarians must do more, and better, in Sudan
Mukesh Kapila/Arab News/January 20, 2024
When did Sudan’s civil war start? This is a surprisingly difficult question to
answer, with the most common response being April 2023. But that was just the
start of the current phase, triggered by a falling out between Gen. Abdel Fattah
Al-Burhan and Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, commonly known as Hemedti, the commanders
of the Sudanese Armed Forces and rival militia the Rapid Support Forces
respectively.
In reality, there has been little peace in the country since independence in
1956. Its first civil war raged from 1955 to 1972 and a second followed between
1983 and 2005, punctuated by the Darfur genocide in 2003-2004. South Sudan broke
away in 2011 and conflicts rumbled on in the Nuba Mountains and Blue Nile.
Several factors lie behind the turmoil: ethnic, ideological, and religious
differences; grievances around representation in governance; greed over
possession of the nation’s immense natural wealth; and the geopolitical
interests of outsiders.
Along the way, any brief experimentation with civilian democracy was
extinguished by military regimes.
The question of when Sudan’s strife will finally end is easier to answer: not
yet, and not for some time. The country’s power brokers and their external
sponsors are not ready to make peace as no side has achieved ascendance in the
existentialist struggle between the belligerents.
Also consider history’s iron rule: The past must be squared away before a better
future can be built. We can learn that from the Palestine-Israel conflict, even
if peacemakers in Sudan do not. Attempting to brush aside the harm and hurt of
the past, especially the Darfur genocide, without ensuring accountability,
justice and restitution simply means repeating Sudan’s toxic history.
Nevertheless, history also offers the consolation that all wars do eventually
end. And experience teaches us that the spirit of humanity is eventually
required to bridge the divide between war and peace. Preventing that precarious
passage from being completely ruptured is the role of humanitarian provision.
This is important in Sudan. Not only out of pity for the desperate, suffering
people of the country. Nor as a cynical calculation that assistance now will
reduce the burden on the international purse of future recovery.
More importantly, humanitarianism is about reaching the place where wars begin:
the minds of men. The Sudanese people are deeply traumatized, whether as victims
of terrible and degrading atrocities or as the perpetrators who inflict them on
others without compunction. Brutalized psyches cannot be expected to think
peacefully. But could paranoid minds be opened by humanitarian solidarity?
All else having failed, this is certainly worth trying. But we are not doing
very well on the humanitarian front. Among Sudan’s population of 49 million, 25
million people need assistance, 6 million are internally displaced and 1.5
million are new refugees.
This is the biggest national humanitarian caseload in the world. And other
records for misery and deprivation continue to be set. Nearly 40 percent of the
population are seriously food insecure, including 3.5 million children who are
suffering from acute malnutrition. Ninety percent of Sudanese children get
little or no schooling. Two-thirds of the population lack access to healthcare,
and 80 percent of hospitals in conflict areas are non-functional. Outbreaks of
disease, including malaria, measles, dengue and cholera, continue, and there is
a resurgence of desert locusts.
The economy has shrunk by 12 percent since the start of the war and gross
domestic product is expected to fall by 18 percent this year. In comparison, the
decline in Syria over the course of its long civil crisis has averaged 5 percent
annually.
A UN humanitarian appeal seeks $2.7 billion in lifesaving aid for Sudan this
year, compared with $2.57 billion last year. However, only 42 percent of that
2023 UN target, which aimed to help 18.1 million people, was funded. This year
the outcome is likely to be similar, though the targeted population is smaller,
at 14.7 million. This suggests that this year’s appeal is designed to help fewer
people but overall needs have grown.
In any case, these UN numbers are somewhat moot as the organization’s own
reports reveal it managed to reach only 5.7 million people in 2023 — a third of
its target. Even that number is disputed and rejected by some as an
overestimation, with some independent surveys indicating that less than 16
percent of the population received aid. This means Sudan is unique in having the
largest number of people in need of help and the smallest number receiving
assistance.
Even accepting the UN figures at face value, the reduced numbers of accessed
beneficiaries should have been well catered-for with the relatively greater
proportion of the appeal funded. But we do not know the true aid impact and
especially what happened to the two-thirds of the target population not reached.
Did they perish? That is unlikely according to mortality statistics.
Among Sudan’s population of 49 million, 25 million people need assistance, 6
million are internally displaced and 1.5 million are new refugees.
That being the case, how did these non-recipients of UN aid manage to help
themselves, or who helped them? The contribution of the Sudanese diaspora and
local aid networks, including front-line “emergency response rooms” created by
“resistance committees,” is critical but not quantified, and UN coordination
mechanisms do not include them.
There is also the continuing question about the current shortfall between the
number of people assessed as being in need and the smaller number targeted by
the official UN appeal. That gap currently stands at 10 million, an increase
from 6 million last year.
Who is responsible for serving the needs of these people? Probably the
International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement and other agencies that are
not part of the official UN appeal. But we do not know for sure because data is
not comparable, openly shared or verifiable. This also means the comparative
efficiency of agencies cannot be assessed.
The UN appeal works with 165 partner agencies but their in-country presence and
reach are unclear. It would be unethical if Sudan’s agony was serving as a
fundraising opportunity for organizations that are unable themselves to deliver
aid on the ground but extract a proportion of donations as fees or overheads
simply for acting as intermediaries for the groups that are actively providing
assistance.
Such “rent-seeking” practices add to inefficiencies in the delivery process at a
time when resources are severely constrained and the moral imperative is to use
every available dollar to help ease suffering.
However, the difficulties of delivering aid inside Sudan cannot be
underestimated. Red tape delays imports at Port Sudan. Aid convoys are harassed
at checkpoints, including through the solicitation of bribes, the looting of
warehouses, fraud and corruption. The fierce fighting causes unpredictable
delays. International humanitarian law is violated with impunity.
The courage and commitment of the humanitarian aid workers is not in dispute.
Fifty-four of them were killed, wounded or kidnapped in 2023, a five-fold
increase from the year before. But the hasty exit from the country by
international workers transferred the risks to local staff who do not receive
the same protection and benefits.
As suggested previously, humanitarians could potentially help build a movement
toward peace in Sudan but only by tackling their own dysfunctions first. The
first step is to regain stakeholder trust. Perhaps we need some sort of “blue
tick” system for international and local bodies that verifies and certifies
credibility.
Secondly, there must be greater transparency within the humanitarian sector
through the sharing of consistent and verified statistics. Aid agencies alone
cannot be the judges of needs, the jury that grades their own work, and the ones
responsible for executing the delivery of aid. There are obvious conflicts of
interest there that could perhaps be resolved through the introduction of
independent accountability mechanisms.
Thirdly, with international organizations constrained from working in Sudan,
localization of aid must be vigorously promoted as a way to develop
context-specific solutions, generate greater value for money and, ultimately,
increased outreach.
Fourthly, if negotiators cannot help end the fighting, let them expend more of
their diplomatic capital on the issues of humanitarian access and challenges in
protecting aid workers. This could build confidence and perhaps provide a path
toward real peace.
To be fair, the problems of providing humanitarian aid in Sudan are not unique.
They reflect a global aid system that is over-burdened with many crises. Given
its complexities, Sudan perhaps is not the most obvious place to try to
instigate difficult reforms that challenge entrenched practices. But a crisis is
also an opportunity for change, especially when the survival of the suffering
millions is as existential a struggle as the war is for the belligerents.
Although it would be good to be proved wrong, 2024 is unlikely to be the year
that brings peace in Sudan. But neither must we allow it to be the year the
world failed, yet again, to perform better in the name of humanity.
• Mukesh Kapila is professor emeritus of global health and humanitarian affairs
at the University of Manchester and a former senior official at the UN and the
International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies.
India-Europe ties at tipping point
Andrew Hammond/Andrew Hammond/January 20, 2024
UK Prime Minister Winston Churchill famously described Russia during the Second
World War as a “riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.” Yet, fast forward
almost a century later and similar sentiments are felt today toward India by
many Europeans. The relationship between Europe and the world’s most populous
democracy is a tantalizing mix of complexity, ambiguity, frustration and wonder
too. This was encapsulated in a report released this month by the European
Parliament, which rightly asserted “the partnership has not yet reached its full
potential,” despite momentum in recent years. This viewpoint is widely shared
across the continent with, for instance, a report by the Jacques Delors
Institute in France recently stating that “EU-India economic relations are well
below their potential.”
To be sure, perceptions of New Delhi have changed dramatically across much of
the bloc in recent decades. Back then, India was aligned with the Soviet Union
and was a protectionist economy moving away from the colonial era. Much of
Europe therefore had a remote relationship with the Asian giant.
Today, however, India is a €3 trillion ($3.3 trillion) economy with vast
potential. It is also increasingly aligned with Europe and the wider West,
despite disagreements over key issues including Ukraine.
The EU 27 nations (taken as a whole) and India are the world’s two largest
democracies, while continental Europe is India’s largest single trade and
investment partner, and that is why a bilateral trade deal is a key potential
prize for both parties. There are also converging interests around shared
defense mechanisms, including for maritime security in the Indian Ocean where 40
percent of bilateral trade passes.
The latest signal of the potential upside in relations comes this week when
French President Emmanuel Macron will be the chief guest at the Indian Republic
Day celebrations on Jan. 26. This honor reflects both the respect that Prime
Minister Narendra Modi and Macron appear to have for each other but also the
mutual regard France and India have for each other, especially in defense,
security, civilian nuclear cooperation and emerging technologies.
Last year, Modi was also the guest of honor at the annual Bastille Day
celebrations in Paris. The prime minister was joined by Indian troops in the
military parade marking what Macron called “a new phase in the strategic
partnership between France and India.”
The Indian government last year approved the purchase of 26 naval variants of
the Rafale combat jet from France, building on an earlier acquisition of 36
Rafale jets for the Indian Air Force. Paris and New Delhi have also stepped up
collaboration on maritime security in the Indian Ocean.
Part of France and wider Europe’s fascination with India is the belief that it
is a potential future superpower that could play a huge balancing role in the
21st century vis-a-vis China. While India’s development lags behind China, one
indication of future potential is that the Asian giant is believed by many
demographers now to be the most populous nation in the world at almost 1.5
billion people, overtaking China — a potentially significant moment in human
history. So, the nation that has long been the world’s largest democracy becomes
the world’s largest country of any political stripe, a position it may hold for
decades if not centuries to come.
Part of France and wider Europe’s fascination with India is the belief that it
is a potential future superpower.
India’s higher fertility rate means the population is forecast to continue
growing for several decades with some predictions it could peak around 1.7
billion in the second half of the century. Moreover, India’s over 250 million
people aged 15-24 is the largest in the world, and more than two-thirds of all
Indians are between the ages of 15 and 59, so the country’s ratio of
non-working-age adults (children and retirees) to working age adults is very
low.
What much of Europe now wonders is whether and how New Delhi will seek to
leverage this new global population stature with some talk of an “Indian
century,” for the milestone comes at a time when New Delhi is trying to promote
itself as a rising international player.
The concern in Europe is that, despite the warmth of relations that it enjoys
with India, there is a misalignment on key security issues like the Ukraine war.
Here, New Delhi has sought to balance its relations between its remaining
dependence on Russia, including for energy, and the West.
Moreover, Russia continues to be India’s largest arms supplier even though its
share has dropped to about 50 percent from 70 percent due to New Delhi’s
decision to diversify its portfolio and boost domestic defense manufacturing.
This could leave India vulnerable to US sanctions from legislation such as the
Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, which prohibits any
country from signing defense deals with Russia, Iran and North Korea.
There is also some concern in Europe over India’s human rights record under Modi.
This includes the treatment of Sikh and Christian minority groups by the Hindu
nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party, which he heads. Indeed, Modi himself was
once subject to US and UK travel bans over 2002 communal violence during his
tenure as chief minister of the western Gujarat state that killed around 1,000
people, mostly Muslims.
Nonetheless, if key European leaders, including Macron, continue to prioritize
ties with India, such controversies will continue to be largely deemphasized.
The huge appetite for greater economic and security collaboration, as Europe
seeks to offset cooling relations with Beijing and Moscow with warmer ties with
New Delhi, is trumping all else.
• Andrew Hammond is an associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.
American bases create stability in Mideast, says
US-Lebanese Trump advocate
Dastan Muwaffaq/(Kurdistan24/January 20/2024
https://www.kurdistan24.net/en/story/33803-American-bases-create-stability-in-Mideast,-says-US-Lebanese-Trump-advocate
Harb is also the President of the World Council of the Cedars Revolution (WCCR),
established in 2006 after Lebanon experienced turmoil at the height of the
Hezbollah-Israel conflict in 2005.
ERBIL (Kurdistan24) - Tom Harb, the Co-Chair of the American Middle East
Coalition for Democracy (AMCD), on Thursday held an exclusive interview with
Kurdistan24, where he gave his perspective on the recent Jan. 15 Iranian missile
strikes in Erbil and, broadly, the varying geopolitical interests among Iran,
the US, and Saudi Arabia in the region.
“Iran is attacking its neighbors in Pakistan, Syria, and its Houthi proxy is
attacking ships in the Red Sea. Everybody here in the United States is now
saying the problem we are facing is Iran,” Harb told Kurdistan24.
Born and raised in Lebanon and educated in the United States, Harb is also the
Chairman of the American Maronite Union, an organization seeking to advance the
interests of the Christian Lebanese diaspora in the West.
Notably, the AMCD was a proponent of former US President Donald Trump, advising
Americans of Middle Eastern descent to vote for him during both the 2016 and
2020 elections.
“There are a lot of members of Congress calling on President Biden to hit Iran
to try to hit the oil refinery for Iran, because it seems Iran is not getting
the message that what they are doing is horrible for the region,” he continued.
After the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel, the AMCD published a statement strongly
condemning Hamas and holding Iran responsible for undermining the expected peace
deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
For Harb, the power struggle between Iran and its regional rival, Saudi Arabia,
led the former to encourage a preemptive strike on Israel. “There are two two
branches, one branch going toward peace led by Saudi Arabia and other coalitions
in the Arab world and there's Iran trying to undermine any peace movement.”
Harb is also the President of the World Council of the Cedars Revolution (WCCR),
established in 2006 after Lebanon experienced turmoil at the height of the
Hezbollah-Israel conflict in 2005.
With the WCCR, he became particularly influential in introducing UNSCR 1559; a
resolution centering on the disarmament of militant organizations in Lebanon and
earning him senior leadership roles in Lebanese-American civil institutions.
Harb later discussed the presence of the Americans in Iraq, saying that the two
US bases in the country “create stability in Iraq and in the region.”
He further touched upon US foreign policy with some strong criticism for Biden.
“This administration is weak. [It] is the opposite of the prior administration
under President Trump, who put the heaviest sanctions on Iran and he also put
sanctions on the Houthis in Yemen. Then President Biden came and lifted the
sanctions on the Houthis and now he had to go back and replace those sanctions.”
“But [Biden] has also lifted some sanctions on Iran, and he flooded them with
cash so up until now, this administration is very weak to deal with Iran because
they want to go back to the nuclear deal, which was under President Obama,” the
co-chair concluded.