English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For December 08/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Circumcision of the child, John: Zacharias, was full of the Holy Spirit, and
with the voice of a prophet said these words: Praise be to the Lord, the God of
Israel, for he has come to his people and made them free
Luke 01/57-80: Now it was time for Elisabeth to give birth, and
she had a son. And it came to the ears of her neighbours and relations that the
Lord had been very good to her, and they took part in her joy. And on the eighth
day they came to see to the circumcision of the child, and they would have given
him the name of Zacharias, his father's name; But his mother made answer and
said, No, his name is John. And they said, Not one of your relations has that
name. And they made signs to his father, to say what name was to be given to
him. And he sent for writing materials and put down: His name is John; and they
were all surprised. And straight away his mouth was open and his tongue was free
and he gave praise to God. And fear came on all those who were living round
about them: and there was much talk about all these things in all the
hill-country of Judaea. And all who had word of them kept them in their minds
and said, What will this child be? For the hand of the Lord was with him. And
his father, Zacharias, was full of the Holy Spirit, and with the voice of a
prophet said these words: Praise be to the Lord, the God of Israel, for he has
come to his people and made them free, Lifting up a horn of salvation for us in
the house of his servant David, (As he said, by the mouth of his holy prophets,
from the earliest times,) Salvation from those who are against us, and from the
hands of those who have hate for us; To do acts of mercy to our fathers and to
keep in mind his holy word, The oath which he made to Abraham, our father, That
we, being made free from the fear of those who are against us, might give him
worship, In righteousness and holy living before him all our days. And you,
child, will be named the prophet of the Most High: you will go before the face
of the Lord, to make ready his ways; To give knowledge of salvation to his
people, through the forgiveness of sins, Because of the loving mercies of our
God, by which the dawn from heaven has come to us, To give light to those in
dark places, and in the shade of death, so that our feet may be guided into the
way of peace. And the child became tall, and strong in spirit; and he was living
in the waste land till the day when he came before the eyes of Israel.
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on December 07-08/2024
Elias Bejjani/Text & Video: Mikati Should Be Prosecuted for Treason Over
His Statement on the Need for National Consensus to Disarm Hezbollah/Elias
Bejjani/December 07/2024
Elias Bejjani/Text and Video: Naim Qassem's Speech: Delusions, Illusions,
Denial, Deception, Cunning, and an Attempt to Subvert the Ceasefire
Agreement/Elias Bejjani/December 05/2024
Syria and the New Realities/Colonel Charbel Barakat/December 08/2024
Israeli strikes on southern Lebanese villages kill six, Lebanese health ministry
says
Israelis Wary of Lebanon Truce Trickle Back to Damaged Homes
Syria rebels enter Damascus as army and security forces withdraw from airport
Hezbollah withdraws forces from Homs, Damascus outskirts
Lebanese government approves a plan to deploy more troops along the Israeli
border
Lebanon closes all its land border crossings with Syria except one
Hezbollah sends '2,000 fighters' to Syria's Qusayr
Israel's army claims to target Hezbollah operative in South Lebanon, cites
'ceasefire violation'
Israel targets motorcycle in Deir Seryan, South Lebanon; driver killed
US urged to bolster Lebanese army as Syria crisis 'hampers' Hezbollah, says US
envoy Hochstein
Lebanon's PM Mikati heading to Vatican next week, sources tell LBCI
‘Stability and reconstruction of southern Lebanon key to regional stability’: PM
Tyre's session highlights: Lebanon’s Cabinet focuses on tactical steps to secure
ceasefire
Lebanon ceasefire: Back to the future, but is it a better on/Yossi Mekelberg/Arab
News/December 07, 2024
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on December 07-08/2024
The criminal Baathist Assad regime has fallen and Assad has fled
"Factions" announce the overthrow of the "tyrant" and Damascus is a "free city"
Damascus in the grip of the "factions" and Assad leaves by air... and the army
announces the "fall of the regime"
Syrian Prime Minister: We are ready to cooperate with any leadership chosen by
the people
Syrian army command tells officers that Assad's rule has ended
Syrian insurgents say they have entered Damascus as residents of capital report
sounds of gunfire
Syria rebels enter strategic city of Homs
Golan Heights tension: Israel breaches Syrian border to create buffer zone,
reinforces troops
Iran FM urges 'political dialogue' between Syria govt., opposition
Syrian protesters topple statue of Syrian president's father south of Damascus
city, residents and activists say
Syrian troops withdraw from the south of the country as they rush to defend Homs
Trump says US should stay out of fighting in Syria as opposition forces gain
ground
At least 20 killed in Gaza as Qatar voices hope for ceasefire
Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on December 07-08/2024
Make Persia Great Again/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute./December 7,
2024
Peace dividend: 80 years of US-Saudi relations/Jonathan Gornall/Arab
News/December 07, 2024
‘Britain is back’ as trade horizons widen/Andrew Hammond/Arab News/December 07,
2024
Seaweed as a workhorse of the regenerative blue economy/Carlos Duarte/Arab
News/December 07, 2024
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News &
Editorials published
on December 07-08/2024
Elias Bejjani/Text & Video: Mikati Should Be Prosecuted for Treason Over His
Statement on the Need for National Consensus to Disarm Hezbollah
Elias Bejjani/December 07/2024
Najib Mikati, Lebanon’s current Prime Minister, has once again proven himself a
pliable tool in the hands of Hezbollah—a terrorist, Iranian, and jihadist armed
militia. Through its war with Israel, Hezbollah has exposed Lebanon and its
people to unprecedented destruction, losses, and casualties, all to serve Iran’s
dictates and advance the mullahs’ destructive, expansionist, and colonialist
project.
Mikati’s government, which is effectively a 100% Hezbollah-controlled entity,
unanimously approved the ceasefire agreement with Israel, brokered under U.S.
supervision. This agreement was a necessary step to halt the bloodshed and
devastation Hezbollah had inflicted on Lebanon through its reckless war against
the state of Israel. The agreement explicitly mandated the termination of
Hezbollah’s military presence across all Lebanese territories and the
implementation of international resolutions 1559, 1701, and 1680. These
resolutions obligate Lebanon to disarm all Lebanese and non-Lebanese militias
and extend the authority of the Lebanese state, through its legitimate forces,
over the entire country.
Yet, in a brazen display of duplicity, Mikati shocked everyone on the 5th of
this month with a statement at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, claiming that
disarming Hezbollah requires “national consensus.” This impractical and illegal
condition is clearly intended to perpetuate Hezbollah’s armed dominance over
Lebanon and maintain its occupation of the country. His statement constitutes
treachery against the agreement he himself and his pro Hezbollah government
endorsed, which Hezbollah had accepted through its intermediary, House Speaker
Nabih Berri.
Moreover, this stance flagrantly contradicts the Lebanese Constitution and the
Taif Accord, both of which mandate the disarmament of all militias, Lebanese and
non-Lebanese, and the re-establishment of state authority over the entirety of
Lebanese territory through its legitimate forces—a principle enshrined in
Lebanon’s international commitments.
Mikati’s bizarre stance is not only illegal but also reveals his blatant
political hypocrisy. This Iscariot politician is known for his corruption and
the illicit accumulation of wealth. It is worth mentioning that he has a dubious
history, including business partnerships with the family of the Syrian butcher
Bashar al-Assad. It was the Syrian Assad regime that imposed him on Lebanon’s
political scene to serve its interests. Meanwhile, let us not forget that Mikati
was the Prime Minister of the “black shirts” government following Hezbollah’s
and Michel Aoun's Judas-like coup against Saad Al-Hariri’s government, in breach
of the Doha Agreement.
There is no shred of doubt that Mikati’s position on Hezbollah’s arms and his
insistence on linking their removal to national consensus are entirely
unacceptable by any means. This stance serves Hezbollah and Iran’s interests at
the expense of Lebanon’s sovereignty and the security of its people. It also
blatantly contradicts the Constitution, UN resolutions 1559, 1701, 1680, and the
terms of the ceasefire agreement.
This man, Mikati, who repeatedly demonstrates that he is merely a tool in the
hands of the Iranian armed, terrorist, jihadist proxy that has devastated
Lebanon and impoverished its people, must be prosecuted on treason charges.
In summary, Lebanon cannot rise as long as traitors, mercenaries, Iscariots, and
corrupt individuals like Mikati, Berri, Aoun, Bassil, and all their ilk hold
power.
Elias Bejjani/Text and Video: Naim Qassem's Speech: Delusions, Illusions,
Denial, Deception, Cunning, and an Attempt to Subvert the Ceasefire Agreement
Elias Bejjani/December 05/2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/12/137626/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zuO6LVRpm1c&t=173s
Sheikh Naim Qassem's recent televised appearance was a disappointing display of
rhetoric and deception. His speech, filled with baseless claims and inflammatory
language, insulted the intelligence of the Lebanese people. Rather than
acknowledging the reality of Hezbollah's defeat and the necessity of the
ceasefire agreement, Qassem attempted to undermine the agreement and perpetuate
a dangerous illusion of victory.
The content of Qassem's speech, like all Hezbollah leaders' statements and
stances since the party's inception in 1982, is a bundle of lies, baseless
rhetoric, delusional fantasies, and sectarian, inflammatory propaganda. This
rhetoric promotes hatred, distorts history, and serves the interests of the
Iranian mullah regime's expansionist, imperialist, and terrorist schemes and
sickening dreams.
Qassem's primary tactic was to downplay the significance of the ceasefire. He
falsely claimed that the agreement was limited to the area south of the Litani
River and only concerned the implementation of UN Resolution 1701. This is a
deliberate misrepresentation of the agreement's terms, which clearly encompass
all of Lebanon and mandate the disarmament of Hezbollah.
By denying the comprehensive nature of the agreement, Qassem seeks to maintain
Hezbollah's military capabilities and its ability to disrupt Lebanon's
stability. This strategy is not only a threat to Lebanon's security but also a
direct challenge to the international community's efforts to promote peace and
stability in the region.
With absurdity and falsification, he asserted that the other resolutions, 1559
and 1680, lack enforcement mechanisms and are solely under the jurisdiction of
the Lebanese state and its army. This is blatantly false. The agreement
unequivocally covers all of Lebanon, mandates the dissolution of Hezbollah, the
handover of its weapons to the Lebanese Army, and restricts the possession of
arms to state entities, as explicitly stipulated in the Taif Agreement, which is
enshrined in Lebanon's constitution.
Some may wonder why Hezbollah agreed to an accord that undermines its very
existence and exposes its false claims about resistance, liberation, and its
grandiose slogans of "throwing Israel into the sea" and "praying in Jerusalem."
The answer is simple: the party faced a crushing defeat against Israel and had
no other option but to surrender.
However, true to its nature, Hezbollah and its Iranian patrons specialize in
deceit, duplicity, and reneging on agreements. Despite their defeat and the
unprecedented calamity they have brought upon Lebanon's Shiite community and the
nation at large, they mistakenly believe they can once again evade the agreement
and renege on its provisions that do not align with their sinister and
expansionist agenda. Qassem's speech falls squarely within this context.
Neither Hezbollah, nor its Iranian sponsors, nor any faction of political Islam,
whether Sunni or Shiite, understand anything other than the language of force.
If they are not deterred by power and compelled to fully and strictly adhere to
the terms of the ceasefire agreement, they will inevitably revert to deceit,
noncompliance, and attempts to rebuild and recover everything they have lost.
To ensure that the ceasefire holds and that Lebanon can move towards a more
peaceful future, the international community must remain vigilant and hold
Hezbollah accountable for its actions. Any attempt by Hezbollah to undermine the
agreement must be met with a strong and decisive response.
Syria and the New Realities
Colonel Charbel Barakat/December 08/2024
(Freely translated from Arabic and quoted by Elias Bejjani, editor and publisher
of the LCCC website)
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/12/137763/
Introduction
Colonel Charbel Barakat, a retired Lebanese Army officer, historian, terrorism
expert, and author of numerous works on Lebanon, the Iranian regime’s schemes,
and jihadist movements, has testified multiple times before the U.S. Congress on
critical issues, including Iranian and Syrian terrorism, the Syrian occupation
of Lebanon, jihadist threats, and the pursuit of Middle East peace.
Colonel Charbel Barakat, shared his analysis today on the evolving events
in Syria and their far-reaching implications for Lebanon, Iran, and the broader
region. He explained: “The rapid developments in Syria underscore that the Assad
regime has entered a critical phase of decline. Major cities have fallen
swiftly, and areas surrounding the Syrian capital are now aligning with
opposition forces. These forces have demonstrated remarkable organization and
strategic planning, indicating that they know precisely what they are doing. In
contrast, the regime and its Iranian allies, who initially promised unwavering
support, have begun withdrawing key leadership elements rather than reinforcing
their collapsing frontlines.”
Barakat added that these shifts raise pressing questions about the region's
future and potential transformations. He noted: “Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu’s stern warning to Assad during his ceasefire announcement was both
explicit and forceful. Furthermore, the visit of the head of Israel’s Shin Bet
to Turkey for discussions with Turkish officials signals a coordinated
international and regional approach regarding Syria’s future and its role in
countering Iran’s expansionist agenda.”
He stressed that Israel’s patience with Iran’s regional interference—spanning
Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen—has reached its limit. Barakat said: “The recent
‘Al-Aqsa Flood’ operation highlights the devastating consequences of Iran’s
reach for Israel. Israel’s year-long war with Hezbollah, characterized by
unparalleled aggression and determination, was a necessary step to dismantle
Hezbollah’s image and limit its influence. This difficult but essential action
has set the stage for serious efforts toward a natural peace that ensures
stability for all regional peoples.”
Discussing the Syrian opposition’s growing control, Barakat observed: “The
opposition’s focus on addressing the suffering of the Syrian people—whether
within Syria, in exile, or in areas dominated by Assad’s regime and Iranian
militias—indicates a potential turning point for the country. The international
community’s attempts to resolve Syria’s crisis through UN Security Council
Resolution 2254, adopted unanimously in 2015, called for a ceasefire and a
political settlement. This included UN-mediated negotiations between the
opposition and regime representatives, aiming for a new constitution and a
peaceful transfer of power. Yet, the regime, emboldened by Iran’s support,
dismissed these efforts outright.”
He further explained that the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran has
increased pressure for regional change, effectively ending a status quo that
served only Damascus and Tehran. Barakat said: “Today, during the temporary
ceasefire between Israel and the Iranian regime, Syria stands on the brink of
transformation. As Assad’s regime collapses, new understandings among Syria’s
communities and regions could emerge, fostering stability, the return of
refugees, and reconstruction efforts to rebuild what war and hatred have
destroyed.”
Turning to Lebanon, Barakat warned: “Hezbollah clings to its illusions,
attempting to bypass agreements and regain dominance in Lebanon. The party tries
to convince the public it can fund reconstruction and compensate its displaced
supporters. However, with Iran’s financial support dwindling, these claims ring
hollow.”
He urged Lebanese leaders and the Shiite community to abandon these delusions.
He stated: “The bitter experiences of the past should serve as lessons for
future generations. It is time to avoid further calamities and seize available
opportunities for progress and development.”
Barakat concluded: *“Hezbollah is a relic of the past, as is the Assad regime,
and the Iranian regime will inevitably follow. Let us learn from these
experiences and move toward cooperation in peacebuilding and reconstruction
rather than perpetuating hatred and destruction.
The Shiite community in Lebanon must renounce arrogance and divisive rhetoric,
embracing equality within Lebanon’s diverse society. Together, we have endured
hardships and achieved success through collaboration. It is time to face
reality, turn setbacks into opportunities, and reclaim a constructive role in
rebuilding dignity and peace. When peace prevails, and its banners are raised
high, true prosperity will follow for all.”
Israeli strikes on southern Lebanese villages
kill six, Lebanese health ministry says
Reuters/December 7, 2024
Israeli strikes on two southern Lebanese villages killed six people and wounded
five, the Lebanese health ministry said on Saturday, in the latest potential
challenge to a fragile ceasefire that has been in place for less than two weeks.
Five people were killed in an attack on Beit Lif village while one person was
killed in a drone strike on Deir Seryan, the health ministry said in a
statement. The Israeli military has yet to comment on the incidents. Tensions
have persisted despite the ceasefire, with Israel and the Lebanese armed faction
Hezbollah trading accusations of violations. Earlier this week, Israel
threatened to return to war if its truce with Hezbollah collapsed. The U.S. said
last Monday that the ceasefire was holding, although it anticipated that there
might be violations.
Israelis Wary of Lebanon Truce Trickle Back to
Damaged Homes
Ethan Bronner/Bloomberg/December 7, 2024
-- The school is out of commission — hit by heavy shrapnel in July. Some homes
are boarded up from direct hits. The avocado orchards have lost many hectares
from fires sparked by missiles. But Kibbutz Dafna, an Israeli farming community
two kilometers (1 mile) from the Lebanese border, is giving off a tentative air
of hope just now, as a ceasefire with Lebanon that began Nov. 27 is largely
holding. “Listen to that silence,” said Major David Baruch as he stood in front
of Dafna’s administrative offices, wearing no helmet or protective gear. “It
hasn’t been heard in 14 months.”The US- and French-brokered deal started a
60-day transition during which Israel and the Hezbollah militia agreed to
silence their guns. In addition, Hezbollah would pull its forces some 30
kilometers north of the border, Israeli troops would return home, replaced by
Lebanese and international peacekeepers. And the tens of thousands of residents
forced out on both sides would slowly return. The start was rough. Israel
repeatedly fired at Hezbollah forces it said were violating the accord’s terms.
Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati complained to Washington and Paris that
Israel breached the agreement at least 60 times. And the other day Hezbollah
fired mortars, prompting Israel to hit back at its forces across Lebanon.
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said more such violations would lead Israel
to stop distinguishing between the militia and the state of Lebanon. Hezbollah,
designated as a terrorist group by the US, has held its fire.
One problem was that Hezbollah and Lebanese officials failed to make it
sufficiently clear to residents that they shouldn’t move back just yet because
the Israeli forces were still in place. Many Lebanese raced home right after the
deal was announced.
Israeli residents of the north, lodged for over a year at government expense in
hotels and temporary housing, were told to wait, and they have.
The other big difference between the two sides is the extent of death and
damage. Whole swaths of southern Lebanon have been reduced to rubble by the
Israeli air force and ground troops, and at least 3,000 Lebanese are dead, many
of them civilians. In Israel, the destruction is more contained and the death
toll is around 70.“In the villages close to the border, we found tunnels and
bunkers and battle plans, and destroyed them extensively,” Major Baruch said.
Never — not in the 1948 War of Independence or the 1973 Yom Kippur War — had
Kibbutz Dafna, founded in 1939, been evacuated before October 2023. It was a
sign of how traumatized the country was when thousands of Hamas operatives
poured into southern Israel, killing and kidnapping. The subsequent war in Gaza
has killed about 44,000 people, according to the enclave’s Hamas-run health
authority, which doesn’t distinguish between combatants and civilians.
“When we saw that, we feared Hezbollah would do the same here, so when we were
told to evacuate we did,” said Arik Yaacovi, who manages Dafna. The community’s
1,050 residents have earned a living through farming, solar energy and tourism
in one of the most bucolic and prized areas in Israel. The order went out at
6:30 am on Oct. 16 and by 4 pm everyone was gone. Among them was Orit Praag, 69,
who was born on the kibbutz and whose parents were among its founders. This week
she was walking around the community’s grounds in a way she’d been unable to do
for 14 months.
“Until a week or two ago, you couldn’t stand right here,” she said in front of
her son’s house, whose windows were boarded up after being broken when the house
next door took a direct hit last summer. “My grandchildren are coming back to
spend the night at our house for the first time since we all left.”School
principal Ravit Rosental said it will be a while before the pupils can return
because of the damage to the building’s roof. They’ve been studying 40
kilometers away in a converted factory and many students and teachers have
grappled with intense emotional turmoil.
“I’m talking about addiction, alcohol, sleeplessness,” she said outside the
school building. Manager Yaacovi said he hasn’t talked to a single kibbutz
family that doesn’t plan to come back. “Still,” he said, “It will take a
generation for a sense of security to return.”A 10-minute drive west is the town
of Kiryat Shmona, most of whose 24,000 residents were also evacuated at the
start of the war. Yotam Degani, a city official, said it had never occurred to
anyone that an evacuation would be ordered and there was no plan in place when
the order came.
“Over years we’d grown used to being shelled,” he said, “and we have probably
more bomb shelters per capita than any city in the world — 431 public bomb
shelters. Yet almost everyone left when the order came. This year alone we’ve
had 1,500 direct hits, 1,000 houses damaged or totaled.” Ahi Natan’s family
compound was one of those damaged. As he showed a visitor around, the
35-year-old married musician was asked for his view of the ceasefire and the
future. “Here’s what I know,” he said. “Ceasefire or no ceasefire, my sons are
going to be fighting in Lebanon. And their sons are going to be fighting in
Gaza. We know how they feel about us. They want us dead. And no matter what,
we’re not leaving.”
--With assistance from Julius Domoney.
Syria rebels enter Damascus as army and security forces
withdraw from airport
Agence France Presse/December 07/2024
Islamist-led rebels announced Sunday they had started entering the Syrian
capital Damascus, where residents told AFP they heard heavy gunfire.
"Our forces started entering Damascus," Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) said on
Telegram. The Syrian military and security forces meanwhile left Damascus
airport, a war monitor said.Sources from the Britain-based Syrian Observatory
for Human Rights reported officers and soldiers of government forces withdrew
from Damascus International Airport, as residents in the capital told AFP they
heard gunfire in the city.
Hezbollah withdraws forces from Homs, Damascus outskirts
Agence France Presse/December 07/2024
Hezbollah is pulling its forces from the outskirts of the Syrian capital
Damascus and the Homs area, a source close to the Lebanese group said Sunday, as
their ally President Bashar al-Assad faces a rebel offensive. The group "has
instructed its fighters in recent hours to withdraw from the Homs area, with
some heading to Latakia (in Syria) and others to the Hermel area in Lebanon,"
the source told AFP, noting that "Hezbollah fighters have also vacated their
positions around Damascus."
Lebanese government approves a plan to deploy more troops
along the Israeli border
Associated Press/December 07/2024
Lebanon’s government has approved a plan to deploy more troops along the border
with Israel, part of the ceasefire deal that ended the Israel-Hezbollah war.
In a rare Cabinet meeting outside of Beirut, held Saturday at a military base in
the southern port city of Tyre, the government also approved a draft law to
reconstruct buildings destroyed during the Israel-Hezbollah war that broke out
in October 2023 and ended with a U.S.-brokered ceasefire last week. Caretaker
Information Minister Ziad Makary told reporters after the meeting that the
committee whose job is to monitor the ceasefire that went into effect on Nov. 27
will hold its first meeting on Monday. The committee is made up of military
officials from the U.S., France, Israel and Lebanon as well as the U.N.
peacekeeping force deployed along the border. As part of the ceasefire deal,
during the first 60 days Israeli troops will have to withdraw from Lebanon,
while Hezbollah will have to pull its heavy weapons away from the border area to
north of the Litani river. The Lebanese Army said this week it will begin
recruiting more soldiers, apparently to deploy them along the border with
Israel.
Lebanon closes all its land border crossings with Syria except one
Associated Press/December 07/2024
Lebanon’s General Security Directorate said the country is closing all land
border crossing with Syria except for a main one that links Beirut with the
Syrian capital Damascus. The decision by the security agency in charge of border
crossings came hours after an Israeli airstrike damaged the Arida border
crossing with Syria in north Lebanon, days after it was reopened. “Border
crossings will be closed until further notice for the safety of travelers,” the
agency said in a statement posted on X. It said that the only border crossing
that will be kept open is Masnaa in Lebanon’s eastern Bekaa Valley. Lebanon’s
state news agency said Friday the airstrike on the Arida crossing caused heavy
material damage and cut the road. The Israeli military said fighter jets
attacked the border crossing between Lebanon and Syria, adding that they were
used to transfer munitions for Lebanon’s Hezbollah.
Hezbollah sends '2,000 fighters' to Syria's Qusayr
Agence France Presse/December 07/2024
A source close to Hezbollah said Saturday that the group sent 2,000 fighters to
a part of Syria near the border with Lebanon, as ally Damascus reels from a
rebel offensive that has seized major cities in recent days. "Hezbollah sent
2,000 fighters to the Qusayr area... to defend its positions there and has not
yet participated in any battles" with Syrian rebels, the source told AFP,
requesting anonymity to discuss sensitive matters.
Israel's army claims to target Hezbollah operative in South
Lebanon, cites 'ceasefire violation'
LBC/December 07/2024
In the past 24 hours, the Israeli army claimed to have operated in southern
Lebanon in response to several activities "posing a threat to the State of
Israel," military spokesperson Avichay Adraee said on Saturday.
"Earlier today, an air force aircraft targeted a Hezbollah operative spotted in
southern Lebanon, who posed a threat to army forces stationed in the area,
violating the agreement between Israel and Lebanon," Adraee alleged in a post on
X.
"The Israeli army remains committed to the understandings reached regarding the
ceasefire in Lebanon. The military is deployed in southern Lebanon and is
working to remove any threats to the State of Israel and its citizens," he
concluded.
Israel targets motorcycle in Deir Seryan, South Lebanon; driver killed
LBCI/December 07/2024
Israeli aircraft, using a drone, targeted a motorcycle in the village of Deir
Seryan, southern Lebanon, resulting in the death of the driver, according to the
National News Agency.
US urged to bolster Lebanese army as Syria crisis 'hampers'
Hezbollah, says US envoy Hochstein
LBCI/December 07/2024
U.S. envoy Amos Hochstein stated that the situation in Syria is weakening
Hezbollah, as it complicates Iran's ability to send weapons into the country. He
also clarified that while Hezbollah has not been defeated, it may lack the
strength to attack Israel or assist Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. The group
"may not be strong enough to fight Israel or to support Assad, but it doesn't
take a lot of strength to be a dominant presence in Lebanon, so you can also be
weakened and still strong at the same time when it comes to the Lebanese
context," Hochstein said, as cited by Reuters.
Hochstein emphasized that Washington must increase its support for the Lebanese
army, urging others to follow suit in strengthening the military’s capabilities.
Speaking during the Doha Forum on Saturday, he said that the collapse of the
Syrian army was not "that big of a surprise," noting that in the past, two great
powers, referring to Iran and Russia, came "to its aid in a very strong way."
Lebanon's PM Mikati heading to Vatican next week, sources tell LBCI
LBCI/December 07/2024
Lebanon's caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati is set to travel to the Vatican
next week, sources confirmed to LBCI. While details of the visit have not been
disclosed, the trip comes amid ongoing political challenges in Lebanon, as well
as heightened regional tensions.
‘Stability and reconstruction of southern
Lebanon key to regional stability’: PM
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arab News/December 07, 2024
BEIRUT: The Lebanese Cabinet on Saturday approved the deployment of the army
south of the Litani River during an exceptional meeting at a military base in
Tyre.The plan is “part of a broader strategy that aims to ensure security in
southern areas adjacent to the border with Israel,” Information Minister Ziad
Makary said. He added that the army had begun sending its forces to the
south.“However, the military institution needs additional support in terms of
personnel and supplies, as well as modern equipment, to carry out its duties
effectively,” Makary said. The decision came 10 days after the ceasefire
agreement between Israel and Hezbollah went into effect following a destructive
two-month war. The ministers met in the Benoit Barakat barracks in the coastal
city of Tyre, south of the Litani. They were briefed by Lebanese Army chief
Joseph Aoun, who delivered a presentation on strengthening the army’s
deployment.Ministers discussed a draft law to rebuild destroyed homes, put in
place an agriculture damage survey mechanism and remove rubble created by
Israeli raids in the south, Bekaa, as well as Beirut and its southern
suburbs.
Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati reiterated Lebanon’s commitment to UN
Resolution 1701 in a statement delivered before the ministers.He said that the
Lebanese Army would uphold the resolution south of the Litani River, in
cooperation and coordination with the UNIFIL, as it is the basis for the
ceasefire and Israel’s withdrawal from “our occupied land.”He said: “We are
kilometers from the ongoing operations of Israel’s army and its repetitive
ceasefire violations.“We are also near the location of the committee tasked with
monitoring the implementation of the arrangements agreed upon under US and
French guarantees.”
Mikati called on the international community, primarily the entities overseeing
the security arrangements, to put an end to Israeli violations of the ceasefire.
He paid tribute to slain Lebanese Army soldiers and those who sacrificed
themselves for the country. “All the threats and attacks aiming to confuse or
push us to change our national beliefs and choices will not scare us,” he
said.“We fully trust the wise army command, which assumes considerable
responsibilities with professionalism, discipline and ethics, preserving every
inch of our territory and safeguarding our national sovereignty.”
Mikati said that stability in the south and its reconstruction are key to
stability in the Middle East, which will only return to security and safety
through the implementation of international resolutions.Makary said after the
meeting that the Lebanese Army commander informed the ministers that the debris
and ruins of destroyed buildings will be removed, along with the cleaning of
areas in the south from cluster bombs.The army will also deploy along the
northern and eastern borders of Syria and take appropriate measures in response
to events in the country, he added. The cabinet allocated 4 trillion Lebanese
pounds ($44 million) for the removal of debris, rubble and cluster munitions.It
is part of a comprehensive plan to restore the regions impacted by the war.
Mikati and the ministers, accompanied by Aoun, toured several military centers
in Shawakir and Qleileh, as well as the headquarters of the Fifth Brigade in
Bayada. They met military personnel at the Qleileh center who were injured
during an Israeli airstrike on the facility. Also on Saturday, Israeli forces
that penetrated the Lebanese border area continued their violations of the
ceasefire agreement.
A military drone targeted a motorcycle in the town of Deir Siriane, killing its
rider.
The Lebanese Army is observing the activities of Israeli forces in Kfar Kila and
Khiam, where soldiers are demolishing buildings and residences. In other
developments, Wadad Halawani, the head of the Committee of Families of Kidnapped
and Disappeared in Lebanon, addressed a press conference on Friday.
It followed developments in neighboring Syria and the long-running issue of
missing and abducted Lebanese citizens. Halawani called on the Lebanese state to
assume its responsibilities on the issue. She called for the establishment of a
joint emergency committee that includes the relevant ministerial, security and
judicial bodies, and the National Commission for the Missing and Forcibly
Disappeared. Its goal should be to negotiate with Syrian parties to identify
released people and ensure their safe return to their families in Lebanon, along
with providing health care and psychological support.
“What was circulated on social media concerning the release of a Lebanese among
the prisoners who were freed from the Hama central prison stirred the emotions
of the families of the missing,” Halawani said. She added that Ali Hassan Al-Ali
from Akkar — arrested by Syrian forces in 1986 and not seen until this week —
appeared in a social media clip asking an activist who filmed him how to reach
his family in Lebanon. Halawani added that several Syrian organizations are
following up on the issue of detainees and missing people. The Syrian state had
repeatedly denied that Lebanese political prisoners were jailed in the country,
she added. The most recent denial came from President Bashar Assad and former
foreign minister Walid Muallem.
Tyre's session highlights: Lebanon’s Cabinet focuses on
tactical steps to secure ceasefire
LBCI/December 07/2024
In a clear message of support for the Lebanese army in implementing the
ceasefire agreement, the Cabinet held an exceptional session in Tyre,
specifically at the Benoit Barakat Barracks, named after an officer who was
killed in Arsal in 1958.
What made this barracks the chosen location for the session? The city of Tyre,
which suffered significant damage during the Israeli war on Lebanon, experienced
major destruction in its neighborhoods and buildings. During the session, Army
Commander General Joseph Aoun presented the military's plan to implement the
ceasefire agreement, including United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701.
Ministerial sources said the presentation was technical and confidential. LBCI
sources reported that attendees expressed regret over the absence of Defense
Minister Maurice Sleem, who did not attend the session due to political reasons.
They further added that communication between the Prime Minister’s office and
Sleem remains open, with "coordination ongoing."Meanwhile, in recent remarks,
Hezbollah's Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem stated that the agreement with
Israel pertains only to Hezbollah's weapons south of the Litani River. Lebanon's
Prime Minister Najib Mikati, however, confirmed in a statement from the Ministry
of Foreign Affairs that the issue of disarmament requires national consensus,
reworking the terms of the ceasefire agreement.Additionally, sources confirmed
to LBCI that the current government is responsible for implementing the
agreement south of the Litani River until a new president is elected and a
government is formed to handle the agreement's full implementation across
Lebanon. While awaiting developments in the political process, attention is
focused on the monitoring committee, which will begin its meetings next week.
Lebanon ceasefire: Back to the future, but is
it a better on
Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/December 07, 2024
The ink has barely dried on the ceasefire agreement to end the war in Lebanon
and both sides have already violated it, blaming each other for initiating these
violations. These might be teething problems — after all, old habits die hard —
or a way of sending early warnings that this time no hostile act will go
unpunished. It has taken nearly 14 months of hostilities, thousands of people
killed, many of them civilians, devastation, displacement, and suffering for
both Israel and Lebanon — although Israel’s war was with Hezbollah — to get back
to exactly where the 2006 war ended and agree to almost the exact terms of UN
Security Council Resolution 1701 that ended the war back then. Philosophically,
it makes one contemplate the sorry state of humankind, as so much destruction
and misery could have been avoided. Politically speaking, the questions that
remain are whether this time the agreed 60-day ceasefire could turn into a
permanent one, and whether this could also bring the war in Gaza to an end, or
actually prolong it. Both sides were quick to declare victory and leave their
options open. In reality, neither side is defeated, although of the two
Hezbollah has suffered the heavier losses, with its top leadership killed,
including long-time leader Hassan Nasrallah, and its military capabilities
degraded. However, Israel cannot ignore the fact that for more than a year
Hezbollah gained a strategic achievement in keeping northern Israel nearly empty
and more than 60,000 of the region’s inhabitants displaced, living in temporary
accommodation and still not feeling safe enough to return to their homes. In
Lebanon, it is estimated that roughly 1.4 million people have been uprooted by
the conflict, and although thousands headed back home as soon as the ceasefire
was announced, they did so for lack of an available alternative.
Reflecting on the war, there is a general agreement that Nasrallah miscalculated
Israel’s vulnerability on Oct. 7, when the country was caught by surprise by the
Hamas attack, and then joining on the following day a sort of war of attrition
that was enough to eventually trigger Israel to respond on a large scale. While
the lack of preparedness for the Hamas attack demonstrated a total perceptual
and intelligence failure that led to operational disaster, in the case of
Hezbollah, Israel had accurate intelligence on the location of its entire
leadership and much of its missile arsenal, and possessed the military plans and
capabilities to take much of it out.
Both sides agreed to a ceasefire because of the political and military price of
continuing the conflict. Hezbollah found itself in an inferior military
position, and under severe domestic and international pressure. The Israeli
government also responded to similar pressures, although in this case there was
at least domestic counter-pressure to continue the war with Hezbollah until the
elusive “total victory”; and as Netanyahu himself alluded to, the Israeli army
needed time to regroup and to restock ammunition.
Both sides were quick to declare victory and leave their options open. UN
Security Council Resolution 1701 was the right remedy back in 2006, and if
adhered to still provides a recipe to keep the Israeli-Lebanese conflict quiet,
as in principle it creates a buffer zone not between Israel and Lebanon, but
between Israel and Hezbollah, through the deployment of Lebanese troops and UN
peacekeepers to southern Lebanon, excluding both the Israeli army and Hezbollah
from the area between the Blue Line and the Litani River. However, this, like
any other agreement, is only as good as the commitment of all signatories to its
terms, and this is far from being guaranteed. Unlike the situation in the years
leading up to 2023, it is now for the US, France, and UNIFIL, as guarantors of
this agreement, to hold the sides to account should they violate it.
For Hezbollah to remain relevant in Lebanese politics, it must at least maintain
the pretense of resistance to Israel and of being the “defender” of Lebanon. For
Israel, there is a clear interest in maintaining a quiet border with Lebanon
that enables the displaced to return, but at the same prevents Hezbollah from
rearming or digging tunnels deep into Israel. UN Security Council Resolution
1701 also incorporates Resolution 1559, which states that all armed militias
should be disarmed, a resolution which will be fulfilled only when Hezbollah
dismantles its military capabilities, although in all probability this will not
happen. It is also the case that in light of the fragile Lebanese political
system and of Lebanon currently having a caretaker government with limited
authority, questions remain over whether it would be able, despite being
genuinely willing, to force Hezbollah to comply with the agreement.
But there is also another aspect to this ceasefire agreement: How will it affect
the war in Gaza? By Hezbollah’s decoupling of the two fronts, Hamas has been put
in an inferior position both militarily and politically in its negotiations with
Israel. Moreover, with the ultranationalist-religious parties calling the shots
within the Israeli government, there is no mood for any kind of compromise,
especially as the end of the war in Lebanon would ease the pressure on both its
regular army, but more importantly mainly on its reserve forces.
The most likely scenario is that instead of a ceasefire with Hezbollah being a
step toward ending the war in Gaza, and with it the end of the unimaginable
suffering of millions of Palestinians, and of the hostages and their families,
Israel is entrenching its presence in the enclave, and as was suggested by
former Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon, intends to ethnically cleanse the
north of Gaza. Moreover, leaders of the settler movement in the West Bank have
already been allowed to identify locations for building settlements. While there
are those in different international corridors of power who are working on plans
to govern Gaza after the war, ensuring it is under Palestinian rule with
international support, the Israeli government seems to have a completely
different plan, one that entails reoccupying at least parts of the Gaza Strip
and, if we are to believe Bezalel Smotrich, the finance minister, “encouraging”
half its population to leave. A ceasefire along the Israeli-Lebanese border is
one of the few positive developments in the region for more than a year. It
should not be allowed to become a catalyst for prolonging the tragedy of the war
in Gaza.
• Yossi Mekelberg is a professor of international relations and an associate
fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House.
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on December 07-08/2024
The
criminal Baathist Assad regime has fallen and Assad has fled
Agencies/December 8, 2024
The Assad regime has fallen and the Syrian army and the Syrian government have
confirmed the fall and expressed their readiness to hand over power, reassuring
the revolutionaries that there will be no revenge or violence and that Syria
will return to freedom, democracy and the rule of law. The Syrian Prime Minister
broadcasted a televised statement confirming the fall of the regime and
expressed his readiness to conduct a peaceful handover process.
"Factions" announce the overthrow of the "tyrant" and Damascus is a "free city"
Beirut: "Asharq Al-Awsat"/December
7, 2024
The Syrian opposition factions announced at dawn on Sunday that President Bashar
al-Assad had left Damascus, calling on the displaced abroad to return to "free
Syria" after declaring Damascus "free from the tyrant." The opposition factions
said in messages published via the Telegram application, "The tyrant Bashar al-Assad
has fled" and "We declare the city of Damascus free," adding, "After 50 years of
oppression under the rule of the Baath, and 13 years of crime, tyranny and
displacement (...) we announce today (...) the end of this dark era and the
beginning of a new era for Syria." For his part, Hadi al-Bahra, the leader of
the main Syrian opposition faction abroad, said today, Sunday, that Damascus is
now "without Bashar al-Assad."
Damascus in the grip of the "factions" and Assad leaves by air... and the army
announces the "fall of the regime"
Beirut: "Asharq Al-Awsat"/December
7, 2024
A well-informed Syrian military source told Reuters that the Syrian army command
informed officers of the fall of the regime shortly after the armed factions
announced that they had entered the capital, Damascus, while two senior officers
in the Syrian army revealed that President Bashar al-Assad left the country on a
plane to an unknown destination. Witnesses reported
that thousands of Syrians in cars and on foot gathered in a main square in
Damascus and chanted for freedom. The opposition forces said, "We announce to
the Syrian people the news of the liberation of our prisoners and the removal of
their chains, and the announcement of the end of the era of injustice in Sednaya
prison." Sednaya is a large military prison on the outskirts of Damascus where
the Syrian government had been detaining thousands. Data from the Flight Radar
website indicated that a Syrian Airlines plane took off from Damascus airport at
the same time that news of fighters taking control of the capital was reported.
The plane had initially flown towards Syria's coastal region, a stronghold of
Assad's Alawite sect, but then abruptly changed course and flew in the opposite
direction for a few minutes before disappearing from the map. Reuters could not
immediately confirm the identity of those on board. Hours earlier, Syrian rebels
claimed full control of the key city of Homs early on Sunday after just one day
of fighting, threatening Assad's 24-year rule. Two Damascus residents said on
Sunday they heard heavy gunfire in the centre of the capital, but its source was
not immediately clear. In rural areas southwest of the capital, young locals and
former rebel fighters took advantage of the absence of authorities to take to
the streets in defiance of Assad's rule. Thousands of Homs residents took to the
streets after the army withdrew from the city, dancing and chanting "Assad has
gone, Homs is free" and "Long live Syria, down with Bashar al-Assad." Rebel
fighters fired shots into the air in celebration, and young men tore up pictures
of the Syrian president, whose control over the country collapsed with the shock
week-long army withdrawal. Syrian Prime Minister: We are ready to cooperate with
any leadership chosen by the people
Syrian Prime Minister: We are ready to cooperate with any
leadership chosen by the people
Beirut: “Asharq Al-Awsat”/December 7, 2024
Syrian Prime Minister Mohammad al-Jalali said, at dawn on Sunday, that he is
“ready to cooperate” with any leadership chosen by the people and any “handover”
of power procedures, with the opposition factions announcing the beginning of
entering the capital. Al-Jalali announced in a speech broadcast via his Facebook
account, “This country can be a normal state, a state that builds good relations
with its neighbors and with the world (...) but this matter is left to any
leadership chosen by the Syrian people. We are ready to cooperate with it so
that we provide them with all possible facilities.”
Syrian army command tells officers that Assad's rule has
ended
Reuters/December 08, 2024
AMMAN/BEIRUT: Syrian President Bashar Assad flew out of Damascus for an unknown
destination on Sunday, two senior army officers told Reuters, as rebels said
they had entered the capital with no sign of army deployments.Thousands in cars
and on foot congregated at a main square in Damascus waving and chanting
“Freedom,” witnesses said. “We celebrate with the Syrian people the news of
freeing our prisoners and releasing their chains and announcing the end of the
era of injustice in Sednaya prison,” said the rebels. Sednaya is a large
military prison on the outskirts Damascus where the Syrian government detained
thousands. A Syrian Air plane took off from Damascus airport around the time the
capital was reported to have been taken by rebels, according to data from the
Flightradar website.The aircraft initially flew toward Syria’s coastal region, a
stronghold of Assad’s Alawite sect, but then made an abrupt U-turn and flew in
the opposite direction for a few minutes before disappearing off the map.Reuters
could not immediately ascertain who was on board. Just hours earlier, rebels
announced they had gained full control of the key city of Homs after only a day
of fighting, leaving Assad’s 24-year rule dangling by a thread. Intense sounds
of shooting were heard in the center of the Damascus, two residents said on
Sunday, although it was not immediately clear what the source of the shooting
was. In rural areas southwest of the capital, local youths and former rebels
took advantage of the loss of authority to come to the streets in acts of
defiance against the Assad family’s authoritarian rule.
Thousands of Homs residents poured onto the streets after the army withdrew from
the central city, dancing and chanting “Assad is gone, Homs is free” and “Long
live Syria and down with Bashar Assad.”Rebels fired into the air in celebration,
and youths tore down posters of the Syrian president, whose territorial control
has collapsed in a dizzying week-long retreat by the military. The fall of Homs
gives the insurgents control over Syria’s strategic heartland and a key highway
crossroads, severing Damascus from the coastal region that is the stronghold of
Assad’s Alawite sect and where his Russian allies have a naval base and air
base.Homs’ capture is also a powerful symbol of the rebel movement’s dramatic
comeback in the 13-year-old conflict. Swathes of Homs were destroyed by
gruelling siege warfare between the rebels and the army years ago. The fighting
ground down the insurgents, who were forced out.
Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham commander Abu Mohammed Al-Golani, the main rebel leader,
called the capture of Homs a historic moment and urged fighters not to harm
“those who drop their arms.”Rebels freed thousands of detainees from the city
prison. Security forces left in haste after burning their documents.
Residents of numerous Damascus districts turned out to protest Assad on Saturday
evening, and security forces were either unwilling or unable to clamp down.
Syrian rebel commander Hassan Abdul Ghani said in a statement early Sunday that
operations were ongoing to “completely liberate” the countryside around Damascus
and rebel forces were looking toward the capital. In one suburb, a statue of
Assad’s father, the late President Hafez Assad, was toppled and torn apart. The
Syrian army said it was reinforcing around Damascus, and state television
reported on Saturday that Assad remained in the city.
Outside the city, rebels swept across the entire southwest over 24 hours and
established control.
Existential threat to Assad rule
The fall of Homs and threat to the capital pose an immediate existential danger
to the Assad dynasty’s five-decade reign over Syria and the continued influence
there of its main regional backer, Iran. The pace of events has stunned Arab
capitals and raised fears of a new wave of regional instability.
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, Iraq, Iran, Turkiye and Russia issued a
joint statement saying the crisis was a dangerous development and calling for a
political solution. But there was no indication they agreed on any concrete
steps, with the situation inside Syria changing by the hour.
Syria’s civil war, which erupted in 2011 as an uprising against Assad’s rule,
dragged in big outside powers, created space for jihadist militants to plot
attacks around the world and sent millions of refugees into neighboring states.
Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham, the strongest rebel group, is the former Al-Qaeda
affiliate in Syria regarded by the US and others as a terrorist organization,
and many Syrians remain fearful it will impose draconian Islamist rule. Golani
has tried to reassure minorities that he will not interfere with them and the
international community that he opposes Islamist attacks abroad. In Aleppo,
which the rebels captured a week ago, there have not been reports of reprisals.
When asked on Saturday whether he believed Golani, Russian Foreign Minister
Sergei Lavrov replied, “The proof of the pudding is in the eating.”Lebanon’s
Iran-backed Hezbollah group withdrew from the Syrian city of Qusayr on the
border with Lebanon before rebel forces seized it, Syrian army sources said on
Sunday.At least 150 armored vehicles carrying hundreds of Hezbollah fighters
left the city, long a point on the route for arms transfers and fighters moving
in and out of Syria, the sources said. Israel hit one of the convoys as it was
departing, one source said.
Allies' role in supporting Assad
Assad long relied on allies to subdue the rebels. Russian warplanes conducted
bombing while Iran sent allied forces including Hezbollah and Iraqi militia to
reinforce the Syrian military and storm insurgent strongholds. But Russia has
been focused on the war in Ukraine since 2022 and Hezbollah has suffered big
losses in its own gruelling war with Israel, significantly limiting its ability
or that of Iran to bolster Assad. US President-elect Donald Trump has said the
US should not be involved in the conflict and should “let it play out.”
Syrian insurgents say they have entered Damascus as residents of capital report
sounds of gunfire
Bassem Mroue And Zeina Karam/The Associated Press/December 7, 2024
BEIRUT (AP) — Syrian insurgents said early Sunday they had entered Damascus as
residents of the capital reported sounds of gunfire. There was no immediate
official statement from the Syrian government. The insurgents also announced
they had entered the notorious Saydnaya military prison north of the capital and
“liberated our prisoners” there.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP’s earlier story follows below.
Insurgents' stunning march across Syria accelerated Saturday with news that they
had reached the gates of the capital and that government forces had abandoned
the central city of Homs. The government was forced to deny rumors that
President Bashar Assad had fled the country.
The loss of Homs was a potentially crippling blow for Assad. It stands at an
important intersection between Damascus, the capital, and Syria’s coastal
provinces of Latakia and Tartus — the Syrian leader’s base of support and home
to a Russian strategic naval base. The pro-government Sham FM news outlet
reported that government forces took positions outside Syria’s third-largest
city, without elaborating. Rami Abdurrahman who heads the Britain-based Syrian
Observatory for Human Rights, said Syrian troops and members of different
security agencies withdrew from the city, adding that rebels entered parts of
it.
The insurgency announced later Saturday that it had taken over Homs. The city's
capture was a major victory for the rebels, who have already seized the cities
of Aleppo and Hama, as well as large parts of the south, in a lightning
offensive that began Nov. 27. Analysts said rebel control of Homs would be a
game-changer.
The rebels' moves around Damascus, reported by the monitor and a rebel
commander, came after the Syrian army withdrew from much of southern part of the
country, leaving more areas, including several provincial capitals, under the
control of opposition fighters. For the first time in the country’s long-running
civil war, the government now has control of only three of 14 provincial
capitals: Damascus, Latakia and Tartus.
The advances in the past week were among the largest in recent years by
opposition factions, led by a group that has its origins in al-Qaida and is
considered a terrorist organization by the U.S. and the United Nations. In their
push to overthrow Assad's government, the insurgents, led by the Hayat Tahrir
al-Sham group, or HTS, have met little resistance from the Syrian army. The
rapid rebel gains, coupled with the lack of support from Assad's erstwhile
allies, posed the most serious threat to his rule since the start of the war.
The U.N.’s special envoy for Syria, Geir Pedersen, called Saturday for urgent
talks in Geneva to ensure an “orderly political transition.” Speaking to
reporters at the annual Doha Forum in Qatar, he said the situation in Syria was
changing by the minute. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, whose country is
Assad's chief international backer, said he feels “sorry for the Syrian people.”
In Damascus, people rushed to stock up on supplies. Thousands went to Syria's
border with Lebanon, trying to leave the country. Many shops in the capital were
shuttered, a resident told The Associated Press, and those still open ran out of
staples such as sugar. Some were selling items at three times the normal price.
“The situation is very strange. We are not used to that,” the resident said,
insisting on anonymity, fearing retributions. “People are worried whether there
will be a battle (in Damascus) or not.”It was the first time that opposition
forces reached the outskirts of Damascus since 2018, when Syrian troops
recaptured the area following a yearslong siege. The U.N. said it was moving
noncritical staff outside the country as a precaution.
Assad's status
Syria’s state media denied social media rumors that Assad left the country,
saying he was performing his duties in Damascus. He has had little, if any, help
from his allies. Russia is busy with its war in Ukraine. Lebanon’s Hezbollah,
which at one point sent thousands of fighters to shore up Assad's forces, has
been weakened by a yearlong conflict with Israel. Iran has seen its proxies
across the region degraded by regular Israeli airstrikes. U.S. President-elect
Donald Trump on Saturday posted on social media that the United States should
avoid engaging militarily in Syria. Separately, President Joe Biden’s national
security adviser said the Biden administration had no intention of intervening
there. Pedersen said a date for talks in Geneva on the implementation of a U.N.
resolution, adopted in 2015 and calling for a Syrian-led political process,
would be announced later. The resolution calls for the establishment of a
transitional governing body, followed by the drafting of a new constitution and
ending with U.N.-supervised elections. Later Saturday, foreign ministers and
senior diplomats from eight key countries, including Saudi Arabia, Russia,
Egypt, Turkey and Iran, along with Pederson, gathered on the sidelines of the
Doha Summit to discuss the situation in Syria. In a statement, the participants
affirmed their support for a political solution to the Syrian crisis “that would
lead to the end of military activity and protect civilians.” They also agreed on
the importance of strengthening international efforts to increase aid to the
Syrian people.
The insurgents' march
Rami Abdurrahman, who heads the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human
Rights, an opposition war monitor, said insurgents were in the Damascus suburbs
of Maadamiyah, Jaramana and Daraya. Opposition fighters were marching toward the
Damascus suburb of Harasta, he added. A commander with the insurgents, Hassan
Abdul-Ghani, posted on the Telegram messaging app that opposition forces had
begun the “final stage” of their offensive by encircling Damascus. HTS controls
much of northwest Syria and in 2017 set up a “salvation government” to run
day-to-day affairs in the region. In recent years, HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Golani
has sought to remake the group’s image, cutting ties with al-Qaida, ditching
hard-line officials and vowing to embrace pluralism and religious tolerance. The
shock offensive began Nov. 27, during which gunmen captured the northern city of
Aleppo, Syria’s largest, and the central city of Hama, the country’s
fourth-largest city. Opposition activists said Saturday that a day earlier,
insurgents entered Palmyra, which is home to invaluable archaeological sites had
been in government hands since being taken from the Islamic State group in 2017.
To the south, Syrian troops left much of the province of Quneitra, including the
main Baath City, activists said. Syrian Observatory said government troops have
withdrawn from much of the two southern provinces. The Syrian army said in a
statement that it carried out redeployment and repositioning in Sweida and Daraa
after its checkpoints came under attack by “terrorists." The army said it was
setting up a “strong and coherent defensive and security belt in the area,”
apparently to defend Damascus from the south.The Syrian government has referred
to opposition gunmen as terrorists since conflict broke out in March 2011.
Diplomacy in Doha
The foreign ministers of Iran, Russia and Turkey, meeting in Qatar, called for
an end to the hostilities. Turkey is a main backer of the rebels. Qatar's top
diplomat, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, criticized Assad for failing
to take advantage of the lull in fighting in recent years to address the
country’s underlying problems. “Assad didn’t seize this opportunity to start
engaging and restoring his relationship with his people,” he said. Sheikh
Mohammed said he was surprised by how quickly the rebels have advanced and said
there is a real threat to Syria’s “territorial integrity.” He said the war could
“damage and destroy what is left if there is no sense of urgency” to start a
political process.
**Karam reported from London. Associated Press writers Albert Aji in Damascus,
Syria; Qassim Abdul-Zahra in Baghdad; Josef Federman and Victoria Eastwood in
Doha, Qatar; and Ellen Knickmeyer in Washington contributed to this report.
Bassem Mroue And Zeina Karam, The Associated Press
Syria rebels
enter strategic city of Homs
Agence France Presse/December 7, 2024
A war monitor said late Saturday that Islamist-led rebels had entered the
strategic city of Homs, on the way towards Damascus where Syria's embattled
government said it was setting up an impenetrable security cordon. The capture
of Homs, Syria's third-largest city, would cut the seat of power in the capital
Damascus from the Mediterranean coast, a key bastion of the Assad clan which has
ruled Syria for the past five decades. Homs would be the third major city seized
by the rebels who began their advance 10 days ago, reigniting a years-long war
that had become largely dormant. "Rebel factions entered the city of Homs and
took control of some neighborhoods after the withdrawal of security forces and
the army from their last positions in the city," said Rami Abdel Rahman, head of
the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Commander Hassan Abdel
Ghani, of the rebel alliance that launched the offensive, said on Telegram that
"our forces have begun advancing into the city of Homs."Aron Lund, a fellow of
the Century International think tank, has said that should the government of
President Bashar al-Assad lose Homs, it wouldn't mean the end of his rule, but
"with no secure route from Damascus to the coast, I'd say it's over as a
credible state entity." In Damascus, about 140 kilometers (85 miles) south of
Homs, Interior Minister Mohammed al-Rahmoun told state television that "a very
strong security and military cordon" was being established around the capital
"and no one... can penetrate this defensive line that we, the armed forces, are
building."
Earlier, Assad's government denied the army had withdrawn from areas around
Damascus.
'Scared' -
Rebel commander Ghani had said his forces had "begun the final phase of
encircling the capital."The leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the Islamist
group which heads the assault, told fighters to prepare to take the capital.
"Damascus awaits you," he said on Telegram, using his real name instead of his
nom de guerre, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani. Residents of the capital described to AFP
a state of panic as traffic jams clogged the city center, people sought supplies
and queued to withdraw money from ATMs. "The situation was not like this when I
left my house this morning... suddenly everyone was scared," said one woman,
Rania. A few kilometrers away, the mood was starkly different. In a Damascus
suburb, witnesses said protesters toppled a statue of Assad's father, the late
president Hafez al-Assad. AFPTV images from Hama, Syria's fourth-largest city,
showed abandoned tanks and other armored vehicles, one of them on fire. Hama
resident Kharfan Mansour said he was "happy with the liberation of Hama and the
liberation of Syria from the Assad regime." The president's office denied
reports Assad had left Damascus, saying he was "following up on his work and
national and constitutional duties from the capital."
Soldiers 'fled' -
As government forces fall back, a war monitor and Abdel Ghani said rebels were
within 20 kilometers of Damascus. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said
government forces had ceded more key ground, losing control of all southern
Daraa province, cradle of the 2011 uprising. The army said it was "redeploying
and repositioning" in Daraa and another southern province, Sweida. The
Britain-based Observatory said troops were also evacuating posts in Quneitra,
near the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights. Jordan has urged its citizens to leave
neighboring Syria "as soon as possible," as have Assad ally Russia and the
United States, which both keep troops in Syria. An AFP correspondent in Daraa
saw local fighters guarding public property and civil institutions. In Sweida, a
local fighter told AFP that after government forces withdrew "from their
positions and headquarters, we are now securing and protecting vital
facilities." An Iraqi security source told AFP that Baghdad has allowed in
hundreds of Syrian soldiers, who "fled the front lines," through the Al-Qaim
border crossing. A second source put the figure at 2,000 troops, including
officers.
'Tired of war' -
HTS is rooted in the Syrian branch of al-Qaida. Proscribed as a terrorist
organization by Western governments, it has sought to soften its image in recent
years, and told minority groups living in areas they now control not to worry.
Since the offensive began, at least 826 people, mostly combatants but also
including 111 civilians, have been killed, the Observatory said. The United
Nations said the violence has displaced 370,000 people. U.N. special envoy to
Syria, Geir Pedersen, called for "urgent political talks" to implement Security
Council Resolution 2254 of 2015, which set out a roadmap for a negotiated
settlement. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social
platform that the United States should "not get involved", after outgoing U.S.
Secretary of State Antony Blinken called Friday for a "political solution to the
conflict", in a call with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan. After Fidan and
his Iranian and Russian counterparts discussed Syria in Qatar on Saturday,
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said they agreed on the initiation of
"political dialogue between the Syrian government and legitimate opposition
groups."Russia's Sergei Lavrov said it was "inadmissible" to allow a "terrorist
group to take control" of Syrian territory. Moscow and Tehran have supported
Assad's government and army during the war, as has Lebanese armed group
Hezbollah. A source close to Hezbollah said it had sent 2,000 fighters into
Syria, to an area near the Lebanese border, "to defend its positions." Turkish
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, whose government backs some armed groups in
northern Syria, said Saturday that Syria "is tired of war, blood and tears."
Golan Heights tension: Israel breaches Syrian border to
create buffer zone, reinforces troops
LBCI/December 7, 2024
In the border region of the Golan Heights, Israel has breached the frontier into
restricted Syrian territories it had not entered since the 1975 Agreement on
Disengagement. Prioritizing its security, Israel is implementing a plan to
establish a buffer zone within Syrian territory, including constructing barriers
and trenches along the "ceasefire line."Field observations indicate that the
Israeli army has expanded its deployment along significant stretches of the
border, using bulldozers and equipment to conduct excavation work inside Syrian
territory beyond the barbed-wire fence separating the two countries. These
activities, concentrated in the ceasefire zone, aim to complete the buffer zone.
Meanwhile, in the Golan Heights, medical unit buses have been seen, and
explosions were reportedly heard from Quneitra and Alonei Habashan. From Mount
Hermon to Tiberias in the south, the Israeli army has reinforced its troop
presence along the border. An army spokesperson further stated that all
necessary precautions have been taken to prevent movements from the Syrian side
that could threaten Israel's security. Defense Minister Israel Katz has
instructed the army to maintain a high level of readiness and continue
monitoring developments around the clock. Meanwhile, Israel's Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu has been holding consultations with security officials and
select ministers. He is also scheduled to convene a security cabinet meeting on
Monday to address developments in Syria. An Israeli security official stressed
that Israel is intensifying its strikes on targets in Syria to prevent the
transfer of Iranian weapons to the country and Hezbollah. Additionally,
according to the official, Israel is prepared to assist Kurds and Druze, who
seek help, while the army is taking measures to prevent the infiltration of
militants or civilians fleeing the battles into Israeli territory.
Iran FM urges 'political dialogue' between Syria govt.,
opposition
Agence France Presse/December 7, 2024
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi called for "political dialogue" between
the Syrian government and opposition groups after a lightning offensive by rebel
forces. After talks with Russian and Turkish foreign ministers on Syria,
Araghchi said parties agreed on the initiation of "political dialogue between
the Syrian government and the legitimate opposition groups."
Syrian protesters
topple statue of Syrian president's father south of Damascus city, residents and
activists say
Reuters/December 7, 2024
Protesters brought down the statue of the late father of Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad in a main square in Jermana suburb, nearly ten kilometers from the
centre of Damascus, a witness and activists told Reuters. The protesters in the
mainly Druze inhabited suburb, who called for the downfall of Assad, also headed
to government buildings in the heavily policed area of the capital where several
security branches are located, they said. The protesters headed to security
offices to demand they evacuate from their area, activist Ryan Marouf, editor of
Suwayda 24, a website that covers the province, told Reuters. The authorities
have tolerated most protests by the country's Druze minority, unlike in other
government-held areas where demonstrators are fired on by security forces. In a
rare act of defiance in areas under Assad's rule, protesters also tore down
posters of Assad, where the party has promoted a personality cult around him and
his late father, former president Hafez al-Assad. Last night saw clashes in the
predominately Druze city of Suweida that led to at least five people being
killed when local Druze militias raided the city's main police station, overran
security offices and freed prisoners from the main prison In Deraa city to the
west of Suweida city, where former rebels and dissidents took control after the
army pulled out its troops, a statue of Assad was brought down last night,
residents said, as people fired gunshots in celebration.
Syrian troops
withdraw from the south of the country as they rush to defend Homs
Bassem Mroue/BEIRUT (AP)/December 7,
2024
The Syrian army withdrew from much of southern Syria on Saturday, leaving more
areas of the country, including two provincial capitals, under the control of
opposition fighters, the military and an opposition war monitor said. The
redeployment away from the provinces of Daraa and Sweida came as Syria’s
military sent large numbers of reinforcements to defend the key central city of
Homs, Syria’s third largest, as insurgents approached its outskirts. The rapid
advances by insurgents is a stunning reversal of fortunes for Syria's President
Bashar Assad, who appears to be largely on his own, with erstwhile allies
preoccupied with other conflicts. His chief international backer, Russia, is
busy with its war in Ukraine, and Lebanon's powerful Hezbollah, which at one
point sent thousands of fighters to shore up his forces, has been weakened by a
yearlong conflict with Israel. Iran, meanwhile, has seen its proxies across the
region degraded by Israeli regular airstrikes. Rami Abdurrahman, who heads the
Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Syria war monitor, reported Saturday that
Iran’s military advisers have started leaving Syria. He added that Iran-backed
fighters in eastern Syria, mainly from Afghanistan and Pakistan, have withdrawn
into central Syria. The shock offensive began Nov. 27 led by the jihadi Hayat
Tahrir al-Sham group, or HTS, during which gunmen captured the northern city of
Aleppo, Syria’s largest, and the central city of Hama, the country’s fourth
largest city. The group has its origins in al-Qaida and is considered a
terrorist organization by the U.S. and the United Nations. HTS leader Abu
Mohammed al-Golani told CNN in an exclusive interview Thursday from Syria that
the aim of the offensive is to overthrow Assad’s government. The Britain-based
Observatory said Syrian troops have withdrawn from much of the two southern
provinces and are sending reinforcements to Homs, where a battle is looming. If
the insurgents capture Homs, they would cut the link between Damascus, Assad’s
seat of power, and the coastal region where the president enjoys wide support.
The Syrian army said in a statement Saturday that it has carried out
redeployment and repositioning in Sweida and Daraa after its checkpoints came
under attack by “terrorists.” The army said it is setting up a “strong and
coherent defensive and security belt in the area,” apparently to defend Damascus
from the south. Since Syria’s conflict broke out in March 2011, the Syrian
government has been referring to opposition gunmen as terrorists. In the
gas-rich nation of Qatar, the foreign ministers of Iran, Russia and Turkey were
scheduled to meet to discuss the situation in Syria. Turkey is a main backer of
the rebels seeking to overthrow Assad.
Qatar's top diplomat, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, criticized Assad
for failing to take advantage of the lull in fighting in recent years to address
the country’s underlying problems. “Assad didn’t seize this opportunity to start
engaging and restoring his relationship with his people,” he said. Sheikh
Mohammed said he was surprised by how quickly the rebels have advanced and said
there is a real threat to Syria’s “territorial integrity.” He said the war could
“damage and destroy what is left if there is no sense of urgency” to start a
political process. After the fall of the cities of Daraa and Sweida early
Saturday, Syrian government forces remain in control of five provincial capitals
— Damascus, Homs and Quneitra, as well as Latakia and Tartus on the
Mediterranean cost. Tartus is home to the only Russian naval base outside the
former Soviet Union while Latakia is home to a major Russian air base. On
Friday, U.S.-backed fighters of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces
captured wide parts of the eastern province of Deir el-Zour that borders Iraq as
well as the provincial capital that carries the same name. The capture of areas
in Deir el-Zour is a blow to Iran’s influence in the region as the area is the
gateway to the corridor linking the Mediterranean to Iran, a supply line for
Iran-backed fighters, including Lebanon’s Hezbollah. With the capture of a main
border crossing with Iraq by the SDF and after opposition fighters took control
of the Naseeb border crossing to Jordan in southern Syria, the Syrian
government's only gateway to the outside world is the Masnaa border crossing
with Lebanon.
Trump says US should
stay out of fighting in Syria as opposition forces gain ground
Ellen Knickmeyer, Will Weissert And
Tara Copp/WASHINGTON (AP)/December 7, 2024
President-elect Donald Trump said Saturday that the U.S. military should stay
out of the escalating conflict in Syria as a shock opposition offensive closes
in on the capital, declaring in a social media post, "THIS IS NOT OUR
FIGHT.”With world leaders watching the rapid rebel advance against Syria's
Russian- and Iranian-backed president, Bashar Assad, President Joe Biden's
national security adviser separately stressed that the Biden administration had
no intention of intervening. “The United States is not going to ... militarily
dive into the middle of a Syrian civil war," Jake Sullivan told an audience in
California. He said the U.S. would keep acting as necessary to keep the Islamic
State — a violently anti-Western extremist group not known to be involved in the
offensive but with sleeper cells in Syria's deserts — from exploiting openings
presented by the fighting. Insurgents’ stunning march across Syria sped faster
Saturday, reaching the gates of Damascus and government forces abandoning the
central city of Homs. The government was forced to deny rumors that Assad had
fled the country. Trump's comments on the dramatic rebel push were his first
since Syrian rebels launched their advance late last month. They came while he
was in Paris for the reopening of the Notre Dame cathedral. In his post, Trump
said Assad did not deserve U.S. support to stay in power. Assad's government has
been propped up by the Russian and Iranian military, along with Hezbollah and
other Iranian-allied militias, in a now 13-year-old war against opposition
groups seeking his overthrow. The war, which began as a mostly peaceful uprising
in 2011 against the Assad family's rule, has killed a half-million people,
fractured Syria and drawn in a more than a half-dozen foreign militaries and
militias.
The insurgents are led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, which the U.S. has designated as
a terrorist group and says has links to al-Qaida, although the group has since
broken ties with al-Qaida. The insurgents have met little resistance so far from
the Syrian army, the Russian and Iranian militaries or allied militias in the
country. The Biden administration says Syrian opposition forces' capture of
government-held cities demonstrates just how diminished those countries are by
wars in Ukraine, Gaza and Lebanon. “Assad’s backers — Iran, Russia and Hezbollah
— have all been weakened and distracted," Sullivan said Saturday at an annual
gathering of national security officials, defense companies and lawmakers at the
Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley. “None of them are prepared to
provide the kind of support to Assad that they provided in the past,” he later
added.
The U.S. has about 900 troops in Syria, including U.S. forces working with
Kurdish allies in the opposition-held northeast to prevent any resurgence of the
Islamic State group. Gen. Bryan Fenton, head of U.S. Special Operations Command,
said he would not want to speculate on how the upheaval in Syria would affect
the U.S. military’s footprint in the country. “It’s still too early to tell,” he
said. What would not change is the focus on disrupting IS operations in Syria
and protecting U.S. troops, Fenton said during a panel at the Reagan event.
Syrian opposition activists and regional officials have been watching closely
for any indication from the incoming Trump administration, in particular on how
the U.S. would respond to the rebel advances against Assad. Robert Wilkie,
Trump's defense transition chief and a former secretary of the Department of
Veterans Affairs, said during the same panel that the collapse of the “murderous
Assad regime” would be a major blow to Iran's power. The United Nations' special
envoy for Syria called Saturday for urgent talks in Geneva to ensure an “orderly
political transition” in Syria.
In his post, Trump said Russia “is so tied up in Ukraine” that it “seems
incapable of stopping this literal march through Syria, a country they have
protected for years.” He said rebels could possibly force Assad from power.
The president-elect condemned the overall U.S. handling of the war but said the
routing of Assad and Russian forces might be for the best.
“Syria is a mess, but is not our friend, & THE UNITED STATES SHOULD HAVE NOTHING
TO DO WITH IT. THIS IS NOT OUR FIGHT. LET IT PLAY OUT. DO NOT GET INVOLVED!” he
wrote in Saturday's post. An influential Syrian opposition activist in
Washington, Mouaz Moustafa, interrupted a briefing to reporters to read Trump’s
post and appeared to choke up. He said Trump’s declaration that the U.S. should
stay out of the fight was the best outcome that the the Syrians aligned against
Assad could hope for. Rebels have been freeing political detainees of the Assad
government from prisons as they advance across Syria, taking cities. Moustafa
pledged to reporters Saturday that opposition forces would be alert for any U.S.
detainees among them and do their utmost to protect them. Moustafa said that
includes Austin Tice, an American journalist missing for more than a decade and
suspected to be held by Assad. Hayat Tahrir al-Sham renounced al-Qaida in 2016
and has worked to rebrand itself, including cracking down on some Islamic
extremist groups and fighters in its territory and portraying itself as a
protector of Christians and other religious minorities. While the U.S. and
United Nations still designate it as a terrorist organization, Trump's first
administration told lawmakers that the U.S. was no longer targeting the group's
leader, Abu Mohammed al-Golani.
At least 20 killed in Gaza as Qatar voices hope for ceasefire
Reuters/December 7, 2024
CAIRO (Reuters) - Israeli strikes in Gaza killed at least 20 Palestinians on
Saturday, local health officials said, as Qatar voiced hope of fresh momentum in
efforts to reach a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas.
The Israeli military did not immediately comment on the reported strikes in Gaza
City and Rafah. At least eight of the fatalities were civilians, according to
residents and medics. It was unclear whether the rest of those killed were
fighters and Reuters could not independently verify the figures. Qatar's Prime
Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani said
Qatar was engaging with the incoming Trump administration on Gaza after sensing
fresh momentum for ceasefire talks following the U.S. election. Donald Trump's
Middle East envoy has travelled to Qatar and Israel to kick-start the U.S.
President elect's diplomatic push for a ceasefire and hostage release deal
before his inauguration on Jan. 20, a source briefed on the talks told Reuters
on Thursday. The war in Gaza has been raging for over 14 months, with much of
the enclave laid to waste and more than 44,000 Palestinians killed, according to
Gaza health authorities, as Israeli forces continue their drive to wipe out
Hamas and rescue hostages taken by the militant group. The deadliest
Israeli-Palestinian violence in decades began when Hamas stormed into Israel on
Oct.7, 2023, killing 1,200 people and taking more than 250 hostages back to
Gaza. In the occupied West Bank on Saturday, a Palestinian man was shot dead by
Israeli forces at a checkpoint, according to the Palestinian Red Crescent
Society. Police said a security guard had shot him after he threw firecrackers
at the forces there and that a knife was found on his person. (Reporting by
Nidal al-Mughrabi in Cairo, Ali Swafta in Ramallah and Maayan Lubell in
Jerusalem; editing by Clelia Oziel)
The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources
on December 07-08/2024
Make Persia Great Again
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute./December 7, 2024
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/2024/12/137720/
Unlike Iran's regime, the country's people are overwhelmingly pro-American and
pro-Jewish -- sentiments rooted in a historical alliance that made Iran the
closest ally of both Israel and the United States before the mullahs came to
power. The regime's anti-American and antisemitic stance is an affront to the
true nature of its citizens, who yearn for peace and global partnership.
Without the oppressive ruling mullahs, Iran could once again be a force for
good, both domestically and globally. Freed from their brutal rulers, the
Iranian people could channel their immense talent and potential into rebuilding
their nation as a thriving hub of innovation, culture and prosperity. This
revival would not only uplift Iran but also finally bring peace and stability to
the Middle East and beyond, setting an example of what a liberated, flourishing
nation can achieve.
Finally, there should be no negotiations, deals or trades with the regime. Such
engagements only empower and legitimize the mullahs while undermining the
people's struggle for freedom.
The time has come to support the cause of the Iranian people and ensure that
this great nation, with its rich history and boundless potential, rises once
more – without mullahs.
Without the oppressive ruling mullahs, Iran could once again be a force for
good, both domestically and globally. Freed from their brutal rulers, the
Iranian people could channel their immense talent and potential into rebuilding
their nation as a thriving hub of innovation, culture and prosperity.
Historically known as Persia, Iran stands as one of the most illustrious
civilizations in human history. For centuries, it was a beacon of cultural,
scientific and political advancements, earning respect and admiration across the
globe. This legacy of greatness persisted until 1979, when a group of Islamic
fundamentalists, obsessed with religion, hijacked a revolution that drastically
altered the nation's trajectory.
The mullahs seized control, installing a theocratic Islamist regime that has
since ruled with an iron fist — arguably one of history's most brutal and
oppressive reigns. The proud heritage of a nation that once symbolized
enlightenment and progress has been overshadowed by a reign marked by
suppression, regression and fear.
What the people of Iran longed for during the 1979 revolution was democracy,
freedom and the opportunity to thrive in a modern world. Yet, with astonishing
speed, the mullahs seized their aspirations, transforming a country celebrated
as a regional hub of hope, prosperity, and progress into an economically and
politically bankrupt state. For more than four decades, the Islamist regime has
steered Iran toward ruin, not only dismantling its potential but also
weaponizing its resources for militant agendas that sow chaos far beyond its
borders. The contrast between what Iran was and what it has become under this
regime is both tragic and stark.
Ironically, Iran's current regime stands in direct contrast to the values and
character of the majority of the Iranian people. The Iranian populace is largely
democratic in spirit, open-minded and highly educated, as evidenced by their
repeated uprisings against the dictatorship. In recent years, several nationwide
protests have erupted, demonstrating the people's resilience and their desire to
reclaim their country. However, each of these movements has been met with
unimaginable brutality.
Unlike Iran's regime, the country's people are overwhelmingly pro-American and
pro-Jewish -- sentiments rooted in a historical alliance that made Iran the
closest ally of both Israel and the United States before the mullahs came to
power. The regime's anti-American and antisemitic stance is an affront to the
true nature of its citizens, who yearn for peace and global partnership.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in a powerful message directed at the
Iranian people, recently captured this sentiment. He distinguished between the
oppressive regime and the citizens of Iran:
"When Iran is finally free—and that moment will come a lot sooner than people
think—everything will be different. Our two ancient peoples, the Jewish people
and the Persian people, will be at peace."
His words, which resonated deeply among the citizens of Iran, emphasized the
shared history and potential for renewed friendship between these two great
nations once the regime falls.
The call to "Make Persia Great Again" reflects the collective will of the
Iranian people to reclaim their nation's dignity and restore its historical
prominence. Yet, the regime continues to suppress its own people, not to mention
those around them. The facade of Iran created by the regime is so utterly
disconnected from the aspirations of its citizens.
Beyond the domestic repression, the regime has also become a global menace,
forging ties with Venezuela's Tren De Aragua criminal organization, which is
active in more than 16 states in the US; supporting terrorist proxy groups in
Lebanon, Yemen and the Gaza Strip, which are attacking Israel; arming Russia in
its war on Ukraine, and making alliances with authoritarian regimes in Africa to
plunder their resources and expand Iran's reach.
This network of chaos and terror underscores the extent to which the regime
misuses Iran's assets, perpetuating instability instead of fostering development
and peace.
Without the oppressive ruling mullahs, Iran could once again be a force for
good, both domestically and globally. Freed from their brutal rulers, the
Iranian people could channel their immense talent and potential into rebuilding
their nation as a thriving hub of innovation, culture and prosperity. This
revival would not only uplift Iran but also finally bring peace and stability to
the Middle East and beyond, setting an example of what a liberated, flourishing
nation can achieve.
What must be done to bring about this change? First, the West must take decisive
action to weaken the regime politically and economically. The most stringent
sanctions should be enforced to cut off Iran's oil and gas revenues, with strict
penalties for any country that violates these measures. Second, targeted
operations should neutralize the regime's nuclear facilities, ensuring that it
cannot develop nuclear weapons. Third, military strikes on key military and oil
infrastructure could send a strong message that the world will no longer
tolerate belligerence. Fourth, the global community must unequivocally support
the Iranian people, pledging solidarity if they rise against their oppressors.
Finally, there should be no negotiations, deals or trades with the regime. Such
engagements only empower and legitimize the mullahs while undermining the
people's struggle for freedom.
The time has come to support the cause of the Iranian people and ensure that
this great nation, with its rich history and boundless potential, rises once
more – without mullahs. "Make Persia Great Again."
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh, is a scholar, strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated
analyst, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and
president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has
authored several books on the US Foreign Policy and Islam. He can be reached at
Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2024 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/21180/make-persia-great-again
Peace dividend: 80 years of US-Saudi relations
Jonathan Gornall/Arab News/December 07, 2024
On Feb. 14, 2025, it will be exactly 80 years since King Abdulaziz of Saudi
Arabia stepped aboard a US warship moored in the Suez Canal for a historic
meeting with American President Franklin D. Roosevelt.
Roosevelt had a great deal on his mind. In Europe, where Soviet troops were
within 60 km of Berlin, the Second World War was drawing to its bloody
conclusion, but in the Far East the conflict was a long way from ending. As he
welcomed King Abdulaziz aboard the USS Quincy in Egypt’s Great Bitter Lake,
Roosevelt knew that in five days’ time thousands of US Marines would die in a
costly battle to seize the Pacific island of Iwo Jima.
The storming of the island of Okinawa, the last battle before an anticipated
invasion of the Japanese home islands, would follow on April 1. This would prove
even more bloody, costing the lives of 100,000 American and Japanese soldiers.
The president, who in 1942 had launched the top-secret Manhattan Project, was
wrestling with an epoch-defining decision: whether to end the war by using the
world’s first nuclear weapons.
But in February 1945, Roosevelt, on his way back to the US from the Yalta
conference of the soon-to-be-victorious Allies, made time to meet the man known
in the West as Ibn Saud — the enigmatic leader who in 1932 had successfully
united the tribes of Najd and Hijaz under the banner of the Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia. Roosevelt knew that, even as the Second World War was drawing to a
close, in the wings a new world order was taking shape — and that Saudi Arabia
was a nation that the US needed to befriend.
The president did not have long to live — in two months’ time he would be dead.
But the meeting with King Abdulaziz was the first step toward a close
relationship between the two countries that has endured for the past eight
decades.
Eighty years is a mere blink of the eye of time — there are Saudis alive today
who were alive when the president met the king. Yet in that time the Kingdom has
developed beyond all recognition, and its influence on the world stage has grown
exponentially. On the eve of a new year fraught with uncertainty, that influence
is set to play a pivotal role in the thinking of key players, including the new
US president-elect, as the Middle East seeks to turn its back on death and
destruction and looks forward with hope to a future of peace and prosperity.
It was not by chance that during his first presidency President Donald Trump’s
first official overseas trip, in May 2017, was to Saudi Arabia. At the time the
visit was portrayed in Western media as a departure from diplomatic norms, but
in fact since 1974 no fewer than eight US presidents have followed Roosevelt
eastward and walked on Saudi soil in recognition of the reality that the Kingdom
is an influential locus of security and stability in an otherwise troubled and
unstable region.
It is not yet known where President-elect Trump’s travels will take him after
his inauguration on Jan. 20. But what is clear is that his administration will
be looking toward Saudi Arabia as a key partner in Trump’s declared intention to
end the war in Palestine and Lebanon swiftly. The Americans are not alone in
looking to the Kingdom as a vital partner.
The Americans are not alone in looking to Saudi Arabia as a vital partner in
diplomacy and commerce, as the recent appearances of British Princess Beatrice
at the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh and, with her sister Princess
Eugenie, at the World Economic Forum meeting in the city in April testify.
The upcoming visit to the Kingdom of British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is
further evidence of the extent to which the polarity of the relationship between
the two countries has reversed since the days when Britain rather highhandedly
considered the Arabian Peninsula to be within its sphere of influence.
Eighty years ago, Roosevelt saw that the postwar world would become increasingly
dependent on the emerging oil reserves of Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf
states.
But his meeting with King Abdulaziz in 1945 had a second purpose — to persuade
the most influential leader on the Arabian Peninsula that, in the wake of the
Nazi persecution of Europe’s Jews, Palestine should become a Jewish homeland.
On this matter the king was adamant, and prescient.
At their meeting, with his words recorded by an American translator, the Saudi
ruler had told Roosevelt that “amends should be made by the criminal, not by the
innocent bystander. “What injury have Arabs done to the Jews of Europe?” he
asked. “It is the ‘Christian’ Germans who stole their homes and lives. Let the
Germans pay.”King Abdulaziz felt so strongly that a great catastrophe was about
to be unleashed on the Middle East that after their meeting he wrote to
Roosevelt to press his case again.
“To install Jews from every horizon in this sacred Muslim Arab country,” would
be “a calamitous and infamous miscarriage of justice,” he wrote in a letter
dated April 30, 1945. The Jews, he predicted, “will do wrong to the quiet and
peaceful Arabs. The Heavens will split, the earth will be rent asunder, and the
mountains will tremble at what the Jews claim in Palestine, both materially and
spiritually.”
Three years after the historic meeting on board the USS Quincy, on May 14, 1948,
Zionist leader David Ben-Gurion proclaimed the establishment of the State of
Israel, which was recognized by US President Harry S. Truman, Roosevelt’s
successor, that same day. The tragic consequences of the Jewish colonial
adventure, foretold by King Abdulaziz, are still with us. It can only be hoped
that in 2025 the relationship between the US and Saudi Arabia, begun 80 years
ago and alive today in the affinity between Trump and a Saudi leadership
committed to sovereignty for the Palestinian people, might yet yield the long
overdue dividend of peace, prosperity, and justice for the Arabs of Palestine.
• Jonathan Gornall is a British journalist, formerly with The Times, who has
lived and worked in the Middle East and is now based in the UK.
‘Britain is back’ as trade horizons widen
Andrew Hammond/Arab News/December 07, 2024
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has been the subject of recent UK media criticism
suggesting that he has spent too much time on foreign policy in his first 150
days in office. However, he hit back this week declaring that “Britain is back
on the world stage” and asserting, rightly, that this could help drive a new era
of domestic prosperity for the nation. Giving the annual Lord Mayor’s Banquet
speech in London, a major address on foreign policy, Starmer pledged that
renewed, post-Brexit UK international engagement will help drive much-needed
domestic economic growth. In coming months, the UK intends to continue a series
of business trade missions, including to the Middle East. One of the biggest,
potential longer-term opportunities comes with the UK’s accession on Dec. 15 to
the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, the
big trade bloc stretching from the Asia-Pacific to the Americas. While the UK
will be a clear geographical “outlier” among the agreement members, the move
makes a reality of aspirations, post-Brexit, to strengthen ties with
longstanding allies outside Europe — in effect, trying to create a stronger
business “bridge” from Europe to the Asia-Pacific and the Americas.
The CPTPP opportunity is seen most accurately as a long-term opportunity for
Britain. The last UK government’s impact assessment declared that the economic
gains will be fairly small in the medium term — only around .08 percent of gross
domestic product over the next decade.
However, optimists such as UK Conservative Party leader Kemi Badenoch, who
helped promote the deal as a former UK trade and business secretary, argue that
the partnership is akin to a “startup”. She says that those 10-year estimates do
not account for the fact that some members — for example, Vietnam — are rapidly
growing in importance in global trade. She also flags that a key perk of the new
deal is greater access to all CPTPP markets, including a pledge to eliminate or
reduce the overwhelming majority of import charges or tariffs.
It will be some years before it is possible to know if Badenoch is proven right,
or not. However, what is much surer already is that CPTPP opportunities for the
UK will be heavily country and sector specific, at least to begin with in the
2020s.
One of the most significant country opportunities, in the immediate term, may
well be Malaysia, the only CPTPP nation apart from Brunei with which the UK does
not have an existing trade agreement. While Malaysia is not in the UK’s largest,
existing export destination, it is a growing market, and businesses will see
some product-specific tariff and non-tariff barriers reduced as a direct result
of CPTPP accession.
In terms of sectors, one of the significant opportunities might be in food and
agriculture. For instance, with Malaysia and Brunei, UK manufacturers will
eventually see removal of tariffs, including more-or-less complete removal on
entry into force of Malaysian tariffs on a significant number of manufactured
products, such as confectionary items.
The UK intends to continue a series of business trade missions, including to the
Middle East. UK exports to the other CPTPP members could also become
significantly more competitive. In part, this is because the deal cuts tariffs
on a range of products, providing more competitive access for UK importers to
many ingredients and raw materials used in UK manufacturing that either are not
produced domestically or not in sufficient quantities. This includes access to a
tariff-free cheese export quota and grain opportunities in Canada; additional
access for dairy and cereals in Japan; dairy access in Chile; and the removal of
tariffs on chocolate and confectionery, plus better beef and poultry access to
Mexico.
CPTPP also provides more flexibility for manufacturers to access tariff-free
trade. Rules of origin are the terms and conditions that dictate if a trader is
able to access a preferential tariff in a trade agreement. CPTPP includes a
single set of rules that offer alternatives for businesses to those in the UK’s
existing trade agreements, and this may help to unlock additional opportunities
for UK exporters.
On the metals and mineral resources front, it is hoped that all tariffs will
eventually be eliminated on UK exports to Malaysia. There could also be
opportunities in wider markets, too, including Australia, and Chile, which is
part of the so-called “lithium triangle,” with just under two-thirds of global
reserves collectively with Argentina and Bolivia. Another sector where there
might be significant, new UK business opportunities is data flows. Joining CPTPP
will help remove remaining barriers faced by UK-based companies, such as data
localization requirements, ensuring data can flow between UK and CPTPP
members.CPTPP accession may also help the UK become a significantly stronger
international leader in digital trade, with modern rules on data and freer
access to bloc-wide services sectors. Moreover, CPTPP accession could also help
UK producers of items such as machinery and medicines — among the UK’s most
valuable, existing exports to the bloc — by allowing them to expand supply
chains across member nations.
Taken together, Starmer is right to argue that deeper UK international
engagement, including in the Middle East, Asia-Pacific and Americas, can help
boost UK prosperity in the generation ahead. While the CPTPP specifically will
probably not yield game-changing economic opportunities in the 2020s, it may
prove to be a significant source of UK growth in the second quarter of the 21st
century and potentially beyond.
• Andrew Hammond is an Associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.
Seaweed as a workhorse of the regenerative blue economy
Carlos Duarte/Arab News/December 07, 2024
As Saudi Arabia positions itself as a leader in the regenerative blue economy,
combining sea-based activities with sustainable development, all eyes are
turning to a long-overlooked resource: seaweed. Seaweed represents a group of
about 10,000 photosynthetic multicellular species that grow in the lighted zone
of the ocean, mostly attached to the seafloor. While it has provided economic
and cultural benefits to Asia-Pacific nations for millennia, most people around
the world, including in Saudi Arabia, are only aware of seaweed as an ingredient
in sushi or miso soup.
As an indicator of this huge awareness gap, the first legal code governing the
deployment of algal farms in Japan actually dates from the times of Prophet
Muhammad. In the 21st century, seaweed is emerging as a valuable commodity for
sustainable development, yet there remains massive untapped potential.
Every hectare of ocean can support seaweed farming, with the area that can be
farmed sustainably estimated at 48 million sq. km, matching the global land area
appropriated for agriculture. Seaweed farming is, within that ceiling, a
regenerative crop, as it removes excess nutrients and carbon dioxide from
seawater and provides habitat for marine life, contributing to water quality
while mitigating climate change.
Seaweed products are healthy for consumers and are climate-positive, carrying a
near-zero water footprint, and a zero-chemical footprint, as synthetic
fertilizers, pesticides and herbicides are not used in this industry. Seaweed is
rising as the Swiss army knife of marine biotechnology. Crops can be processed
to yield nutraceuticals, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, high-value molecules,
polymers displacing synthetic ones, biochar and biofuels.
All these products can be produced concurrently using biorefinery approaches,
with their combined value potentially multiplying by at least 50-fold the value
per tonne compared to conventional single-product uses. As a result, we are
witnessing an algal revolution. Saudi Arabia’s aquaculture program under the
Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture includes seaweed farming, while
Red Sea Global is exploring the potential of this regenerative marine crop.
Research led by the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology has
identified a range of promising compounds for pharma, which we named
Thuwalallenes, from the Red Sea algae Laurencia. The Red Sea seaweed
Asparagopsis is making headlines as a global climate solution.Feeding one
spoonful of dried Asparagopsis to cows and other ruminants every other day has
been found to greatly reduce methane production — something which accounts for
18 percent of global greenhouse gas emission. Hence, a Red Sea seaweed farming
industry can also be a tool to fight climate change at scale. This can be
supported by the more than 200 species identified in the Red Sea, of which about
10 percent are unique to the region.
The blue economy of the Red Sea is open for business with huge investment
opportunities. This includes regenerative tourism, led globally by Red Sea
Global, nutrition, cosmetics, technology and energy.
Seaweed farming can contribute to many of these pillars, as a superfood, a
source of material for biotechnology, biofuels, and, although historically
overlooked, an intrinsic part of the natural capital of Saudi Arabia.
• Carlos Duarte is executive director of the global coral reef research and
development accelerator platform at King Abdullah University of Science and
Technology