English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For August 21/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
His master commended the dishonest manager because he had acted shrewdly; for the children of this age are more shrewd in dealing with their own generation than are the children of light.”
Luke 16/01-08: “The Lord Jesus said to the disciples: ‘There was a rich man who had a manager, and charges were brought to him that this man was squandering his property. So he summoned him and said to him, “What is this that I hear about you? Give me an account of your management, because you cannot be my manager any longer.” Then the manager said to himself, “What will I do, now that my master is taking the position away from me? I am not strong enough to dig, and I am ashamed to beg. I have decided what to do so that, when I am dismissed as manager, people may welcome me into their homes.”So, summoning his master’s debtors one by one, he asked the first, “How much do you owe my master?” He answered, “A hundred jugs of olive oil.” He said to him, “Take your bill, sit down quickly, and make it fifty.”Then he asked another, “And how much do you owe?” He replied, “A hundred containers of wheat.” He said to him, “Take your bill and make it eighty.”And his master commended the dishonest manager because he had acted shrewdly; for the children of this age are more shrewd in dealing with their own generation than are the children of light.

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on August 20-21/2024
Lebanon says Israeli strikes kill 4 as Hezbollah unleashes rockets, drones
Hezbollah rains down rockets on Israeli barracks in response to airstrikes deep in Bekaa Valley
'Situation is critical': Ex-IDF general speaks on violent settlers, Iran, Hezbollah, and Gaza
One Killed and Twenty Wounded in Israeli Airstrikes on the Bekaa
Hezb Retaliates After Tense Night
Southern Lebanon: 20 New Rockets Launched on the Western Galilee
Report: Hezbollah's response against Israel has become imminent
Hezbollah retaliates to Bekaa, Deir Qanoun strikes
Rockets from Lebanon ignite fires in northern Israel
Hezbollah says fired 'intense rocket barrages' at Israeli positions
Rules of engagement: Israeli airstrikes and Hezbollah's retaliation in Bekaa and Golan Heights
Three paramedics injured in Israeli drone strike near Lebanon's Naqoura
Israel Develops Gas Fields While Lebanon Awaits: An Energy Divide Amid Conflict
Lebanon complains to UN over Israeli sonic booms
Public prosecutor to question key electricity sector figures amid recent crisis
Electricity: Political and Financial Corruption/Bassam Abou Zeid/This Is Beirut/August 20/2024
Regional Conflict: Iran and Hezbollah Placing Retaliation on Hold Unless/Philippe Abi-Akl/This Is Beirut/August 20/2024

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on August 20-21/2024
Blinken wraps up Mideast tour with Gaza truce plea
US disputes report of Netanyahu, Blinken talk on Israeli troops on Gaza border
Hamas says Biden remarks 'green light' for Israel to continue war
Netanyahu tells hostage families 'not sure there will be a deal'
After US talks, Egypt urges Gaza ceasefire, warns of regional war
Israel recovers bodies of six hostages from Gaza Strip
Hamas says Joe Biden remark about group backing away from Gaza truce deal ‘misleading’
Egypt’s El-Sisi meets with US Secretary of State Blinken
US flouting Arms Trade Treaty with weapons exports to Israel: Amnesty
Death ‘the only certainty’ for Gazans, says UN official
Wait for Iran’s retaliation against Israel ‘could be long’, Revolutionary Guards spokesperson says
EU Red Sea mission escorts 300 vessels in region
Iran shuts down last language institute recognized by German Embassy
Modi's strong message to Netanyahu: India backs Israel against Hamas - opinion
Crossing between a government and opposition-held area in Syria closes after violence
Blinken hopes Sudan humanitarian progress brings broader deal

Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources on August 20-21/2024
'The Black Day': A Decade of Displacement for Iraqi Christians/Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/August 20, 2024
IRGC founder to ‘Post’: Iran unable to sustain long-term war with Israel/ALEX WINSTON/Jerusalem Post/August 20/2024
Kazakhstan calls for a new security system for Central Asia/Dr. Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg/Arab News/August 20, 2024
Social media’s incitement problem can no longer be masked/Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/August 20, 2024
The Democrats’ national convention begins … Their worry is Musk’s support for Trump/Eyad Abu Shakra/ Asharq Al-Awsat./August 20, 2024

Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on August 20-21/2024
Lebanon says Israeli strikes kill 4 as Hezbollah unleashes rockets, drones
AFP/August 21, 2024
BEIRUT, Lebanon: Lebanon’s health ministry said four people were killed Tuesday in Israeli strikes in the country’s south, while Hezbollah said its militants launched barrages of rockets and drones at Israeli troops. The Iran-backed Hezbollah, an ally of Palestinian armed group Hamas, has traded near daily cross-border fire with Israeli forces since the Gaza war began in October. But fears of a major escalation have grown in recent weeks after the Israeli killing of a top Hezbollah commander. On Tuesday, Lebanon’s health ministry said “Israeli enemy strikes on the village of Dhayra” killed four people and wounded two others, after earlier reporting three dead. It did not say whether the casualties were civilians or fighters. Hezbollah claimed a string of attacks on Israeli troops and positions, including sending barrages of Katyusha rockets at several north Israel military positions in stated retaliation for Israeli strikes, including in Dhayra. The Shiite Muslim movement also said it launched “squadrons of explosive laden drones” and “intense rocket barrages” at several Israeli positions in the annexed Golan Heights in response to Israeli strikes deep in east Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley a day earlier. The Israeli military in separate statements said a total of around 115 “projectiles” were identified crossing from Lebanon. It also said that “numerous suspicious aerial targets were identified crossing from Lebanon,” with air defenses intercepting some of them. No injuries were reported, though the military said the incidents sparked fires in some areas. The military also said air forces struck projectile launchers and several “Hezbollah military” structures in south Lebanon. Lebanon’s health ministry said three emergency personnel from the Hezbollah-affiliated Islamic Health Committee were hurt when the Israeli military “targeted them” in south Lebanon, causing “significant damage to the ambulance they were traveling in.” The ministry “condemned in the strongest terms the repeated targeting of health workers in south Lebanon.”Several militant groups in Lebanon operate health centers and emergency response operations, with at least 21 rescue workers killed since October, according to an AFP tally. The violence has largely been restricted to the Lebanon-Israel border area, but fears of a major escalation have mounted since Hezbollah and Iran vowed to respond to twin killings blamed on Israel late last month. An Israeli strike on Beirut’s southern suburbs killed a top Hezbollah commander, Fuad Shukr, shortly before an attack in Tehran blamed on Israel killed Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh. The cross-border violence has killed some 589 people in Lebanon, mostly Hezbollah fighters but also including at least 128 civilians, according to AFP’s tally. On the Israeli side, including in the annexed Golan Heights, 23 soldiers and 26 civilians have been killed, according to army figures.

Hezbollah rains down rockets on Israeli barracks in response to airstrikes deep in Bekaa Valley
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arab News/August 20, 2024
anese front will remain active as long as Israel’s aggression against Gaza continues
BEIRUT: Hezbollah responded on Tuesday to intense Israeli attacks that targeted its weapon depots in the Bekaa Valley on Monday night by launching dozens of rockets at Israeli military sites. The group said it attacked “the headquarters of the 210th Golan Division in the Nafah barracks, as well as the Artillery Battalion and the Armored Brigade of the 210th Division in the Yarden barracks, with intense rocket barrages,” and bombarded “the 146th Division headquarters in Ga’aton with salvos of Katyusha rockets.” Sirens sounded in Kabri, Eilon, Avdon, Manot, Neve Ziv and Shtula in Western Galilee on Tuesday. Israeli media reported “the launch of 80 rockets from Lebanon toward the north (of Israel) since the morning, with several rockets landing in the Kabri area east of Nahariya.”The Israeli army said it had detected “the launch of 55 rockets from southern Lebanon, some of which were intercepted, while the rest landed in open areas.” It added that “firefighting forces are battling several fires that broke out due to the latest rocket barrage on northern Israel.”Upper Galilee Regional Council urged residents of settlements that were evacuated to remain in protected areas, amid fears of further “heavy shelling targeting unusual locations in the north following Monday’s airstrikes in Lebanon.” The areas targeted by Israeli forces on Monday included the Qsarnaba plain, Tamnine El-Tahta, Sar’in and Al-Nabi Sheet. Images posted on social media of the scene of the attack in Tamnine El-Tahta showed a massive fire and burning objects flying in all directions for several minutes after the airstrike, and people were advised to avoid the area. Eleven people were injured by the airstrikes in the northern Bekaa region, the Lebanese Ministry of Health said, including a Syrian woman and two Syrian girls, one of them 5 years old and the other 15. Also on Monday night, Israel carried out strikes on Mashaa Al-Mansouri in southern Lebanon. Two Palestinian refugees, ages 17 and 18, reportedly were injured in the attack and taken to the Lebanese-Italian Hospital. And shelling of Lebanese villages close to the border with Israel, including the town of Khiam, resulted in “injuries to a young Syrian national, who was treated at the governmental hospital in Marjeyoun,” the Public Health Emergency Operations Center in Lebanon said. Hostilities between the Israeli military and Hezbollah have continued to intensify in recent days amid reports of difficulties during negotiations between Israel and Hamas for a ceasefire in Gaza and the exchange of prisoners. Hezbollah MP Hassan Fadlallah said on Tuesday that “the front of Lebanon remains active as long as the (Israeli) aggression continues against Gaza.”He added that “everyone today is waiting for the results of the outcome of the negotiations concerning the ceasefire in Gaza. What concerns us in Lebanon, and Hezbollah, is that the (Israeli) aggression on Gaza stops. From the outset, we have maintained that our position in Lebanon serves as a supportive front aimed at exerting pressure on the enemy to halt its attacks on Gaza.”

'Situation is critical': Ex-IDF general speaks on violent settlers, Iran, Hezbollah, and Gaza
WALLA/Jerusalem Post/August 20/2024
Former IDF General: "The 'hilltop youth' need to be treated like terrorists. We need a hostage deal and to focus on the north, and we must control the Philadelphi corridor in one way or another."Former Brigadier-General of the Gaza Division, Major-General (ret) Gadi Shamni, spoke about the regional tension in light of threats from Iran and Hezbollah of attacking Israel, about control of the Philadelphi corridor and the riots in the village of Jit, in Judea and Samaria, in an interview with radio station 103FM in August. “The situation now is critical,” said Shamni about the riots in Jit. “‘A handful’ is bullshit; this is not a handful. There are large groups of these people. They have representation in the Knesset and the government. There is no option other than to make a change in the issue. The Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) has to enter fields that it is not currently involved in. We cannot continue to call them ‘hilltop youth.’ These are armed gangs. The Shin Bet has to deal with them as they would with terrorists,” he added. Shamni spoke about the possibility of escalation leading to a regional war in the Eastern Mediterranean. “Until now, the statement that both sides are not interested in an all-out war and an escalation of the current war is still true," he said. "However," Shamni continued, "I do not doubt that if it were not for the significant American preparation and American deterrence against Hezbollah and Iran, we would already be experiencing a much more serious deterioration. Because we understand that when there is such an intensity of exchanges of fire and mutual vulnerability, the chance of slipping into an uncontrolled escalation is high.”Regarding Hezbollah and Iran, Shamni said that "they understand that there is something else here. That the Americans actually care and protect their own interests first; they do not want a conflict with Iran and a regional war." "There is a determination to defend the State of Israel and considerable Israeli capabilities. This entire story manages to keep a lid on this pressure cooker, but that doesn't mean it can't very quickly degenerate into a full-scale war," he continued.Shamni added, concerning the continuation of the war, “I think that for far too long, this situation should have been different. We have been fighting in the South for over ten months, and Gaza is defined as the main effort, which is a very problematic reality that does not allow the IDF to change its focus and concentrate its effort in the North. We understand that the IDF has been significantly reduced in recent years; it does not know how to respond offensively in two arenas simultaneously, and we are currently dealing with more than two arenas."Shamni added: "It was right to push as quickly as possible for a pacification in the South, a cessation of hostilities, an effort to reach a hostage deal, to make Gaza a secondary effort and to concentrate efforts in the North.”
Israel cannot stand alone
"We understand, unfortunately, that all the talk we’ve heard from the Israeli leadership that Israel will defend itself alone - there is a huge problem with this. We need the support of this coalition. The Iranian dream is not only the story of nuclear weapons; they understand that they can destroy Israel in a conventional way," he continued. Regarding the Philadelphi corridor, Shamni, the former Brigadier-General of the Gaza Division, stated that “Israel must control the corridor and influence the traffic there. Either we need to be physically present or find an alternative way."
"If we can find a suitable solution with US involvement, it will create a situation where we can allow ourselves to leave the corridor for several months to do what I have said about Philadelphi, in the North, in the fight against Iran, which is becoming worse," he added. “We are in a direct confrontation with Iran, unlike ever before. To achieve such a thing, we need a strategic shift. There is one thing that if we don’t achieve, we won’t get to a turning point, and that is a hostage deal.”

One Killed and Twenty Wounded in Israeli Airstrikes on the Bekaa
This Is Beirut/August 20, 2024
Lebanon’s health ministry said early Wednesday that Israeli strikes in the country’s east killed one person and wounded 20 others, hours after it said four people were killed in the south. The strikes came more than 24 hours after Israel carried out similar raids deep inside east Lebanon and as tensions mounted in the wake of the Israeli killing of a top Hezbollah commander. “Israeli enemy strikes on the Bekaa” valley killed one person “and wounded 20 others”, the health ministry said in an updated toll. The statement said one person was in critical condition, while “eight children and a pregnant woman were moderately wounded”. A Hezbollah source, requesting anonymity, said several strikes hit east Lebanon near the city of Baalbek, including the village of Nabi Sheet, without specifying what was targeted. A source from a local hospital told AFP that five children no older than 10, all from the same family, were among the wounded. The strikes around midnight came after similar raids in the Bekaa region on Monday evening that Israel said targeted “Hezbollah weapons storage facilities”. They also came as Hezbollah said four of its fighters had been killed, after the health ministry said Tuesday that four people died in Israeli strikes in the southern border village of Dhayra. With AFP

Hezb Retaliates After Tense Night
RABIH DAHER/ AFP/This Is Beirut/August 20, 2024
A new round of escalation began after an intense night of Israeli airstrikes that hit deep inside Lebanon. Hezbollah launched several rocket salvos at Israeli army positions in the annexed Golan Heights on Tuesday “in response” to Israeli strikes on Lebanon the previous day. Hezbollah fighters launched “intense rocket barrages” at two Israeli army positions in the occupied Golan Heights “in response to the Israeli enemy’s attack Monday night on the Bekaa” Valley – which a source close to Hezbollah said targeted weapons depots in the eastern region, according to AFP.
According to Israeli media, 55 rockets were launched from southern Lebanon. Some of them were intercepted, while others fell in open areas. The media also mentioned that several fires broke out. In a statement, the pro-Iranian group claimed responsibility for “firing a heavy barrage of rockets at the headquarters of the 210th Golan Division in the Nafah barracks and the headquarters of the artillery regiment and the armored brigade of the 210th Division in the Yarden barracks.”For its part, the Israeli army shelled Khiam, where one injury was reported, and the town of Talloussa in the Marjayoun district was targeted. Artillery shelling was also reported in the outskirts of Kfarchouba. The areas of Mansuri and Taybeh were also targeted on Tuesday morning, the Israeli army announced they had struck two Hezbollah launchers.The number of injuries from Monday’s Bekaa airstrikes rose to a total of 11, in addition to two injuries resulting from the raids at Al-Mansouri, in the caza of Tyre. According to the Public Health Emergency Department, 11 people were admitted to the hospital, three of which are Syrian nationals. Additionally, two young Palestinian women, aged 17 and 18, were treated at the Lebanese-Italian Hospital.

Southern Lebanon: 20 New Rockets Launched on the Western Galilee
This Is Beirut/August 20, 2024
Tensions continued unabated on Tuesday afternoon between Hezbollah and Israel, as Israeli media reported the launch of “20 new rockets from southern Lebanon towards the western Galilee,” after a very turbulent morning between the two sides in which Hezbollah had already fired 55 rockets in retaliation for Israel’s nighttime strikes. Hezbollah also announced targeting “the headquarters of the 146th division in Ja’toun with dozens of Katyusha rockets,” causing numerous fires in the western Galilee. The pro-Iranian formation also targeted the Branit barracks “with appropriate weapons and struck them directly.” On the other hand, the Public Health Emergency Department stated that “a total of 11 people were injured” from Monday’s Bekaa and South Lebanon airstrikes, all of whom were treated in the emergency room. As the daily Israeli bombardment of southern towns and villages continued, Tallusa and Marjayoun were targeted by heavy artillery shelling, while Israeli warplanes raided Aita al-Shaab. Earlier today, Hezbollah launched several rocket salvos at Israeli army positions in the annexed Golan Heights “in response” to Israeli strikes on Lebanon the previous day. Hezbollah fighters launched “intense rocket barrages” at two Israeli army positions in the occupied Golan Heights “in response to the Israeli enemy’s attack Monday night on the Bekaa” Valley, which a source close to Hezbollah said targeted weapons depots in the eastern region, according to AFP. The Israeli military later announced that “an Air Force aircraft struck one of the platforms from which the rockets that landed in the Golan this morning were fired.”According to Israeli media, 55 rockets were launched from southern Lebanon. Some of them were intercepted, while others fell in open areas. The media also mentioned that several fires broke out. In a statement, the pro-Iranian group claimed responsibility for “firing a heavy barrage of rockets at the headquarters of the 210th Golan Division in the Nafah barracks and the headquarters of the artillery regiment and the armored brigade of the 210th Division in the Yarden barracks.”For its part, the Israeli army shelled Khiam, where one injury was reported. Artillery shelling was also reported on the outskirts of Kfarchouba, on Mansouri and on Taybeh. The Israeli army announced it had struck two Hezbollah launchers.

Report: Hezbollah's response against Israel has become imminent

Naharnet/August 20, 2024
Hezbollah’s “powerful” response to the Dahieh airstrike that killed its military chief Fouad Shukur and six other people “has become imminent, after mediators exhausted the chance to reach a ceasefire and exchange of captives in Gaza,” a Lebanese political leader said. “Hezbollah refrained from carrying out the decided strike over the past period to allow the mediators to finalize a settlement based on U.S. President Joe Biden’s initiative and Egypt and Qatar’s proposals, but Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu’s intransigence and his insistence on obstructing the negotiations … prevented the success of the Doha talks last week, and will also destroy the last chance to stop the war and return the captives during the Cairo discussions tomorrow,” the political leader told al-Joumhouria newspaper. The Israel-Hezbollah clashes have killed 585 people in Lebanon since October 8, mostly Hezbollah fighters but also including at least 128 civilians, according to an AFP tally. On the Israeli side, including in the annexed Golan Heights, 23 soldiers and 26 civilians have been killed, according to army figures. Fears of an escalation have mounted since Hezbollah and Iran vowed to respond after an Israeli strike on Beirut last month killed Hezbollah commander Shukur, shortly before an attack in Tehran blamed on Israel killed Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh.

Hezbollah retaliates to Bekaa, Deir Qanoun strikes
Naharnet/August 20, 2024
Hezbollah launched Tuesday several rocket salvos at a command center in north Israel, in response to an Israeli strike that targeted a car in Deir Qanoun in the Tyre district the previous day, killing a Hezbollah fighter. Hezbollah said in a statement it targeted a command center in Ga'aton "in response to the assassination in Deir Qanoun."Hezbollah had announced the death of one of its fighters "on the road to Jerusalem". The fighter was killed in the Deir Qanoun strike. Earlier on Tuesday, Hezbollah targeted the Biranit barracks in northern Israel, and launched several rocket salvos at Israeli army positions in the annexed Golan Heights "in response" to Israeli strikes on eastern Lebanon the previous day. The strike Monday on the Bekaa wounded eleven Lebanese and Syrian civilians, while another strike on al-Mansouri late on Monday injured two Palestinian women.
Israel’s military said that a barrage of 55 rockets from Lebanon has ignited fires in northern Israel. It said only some of the projectiles were intercepted by Israel’s air defense systems, while others fell in open areas. Firefighters were working to contain the blazes. On Tuesday, Israeli warplanes raided the southern town of Aita al-Shaab while artillery shelled al-Khiam, wounding a Syrian worker, and the outskirts of Tallousa, Kfarshouba, al-Naqoura and Hamoul. The Israeli military said it struck a Hezbollah "rocket launcher" in Beit Leef and a building used by Hezbollah in Aita al-Shaab.
Later during the day, Hezbollah targeted the al-Marj post in northern Israel and surveillance equipment in the Jal al-Alam post. Israeli warplanes had struck overnight the southern village of al-Taybeh, and earlier on Monday Israeli artillery shelled the southern towns of Houla, Markaba, Qabrikha, Tallousa and Wadi Slouqi. Three civilians were hospitalized due to asphyxiation from inhaling white phosphorus in Qabrikha, the National News Agency said. Israel and Hezbollah have been exchanging fire since Oct. 8, causing widespread damage on both sides of the border and killing civilians and combatants on both sides. Fears have increased in recent weeks of a larger escalation, with Hezbollah vowing retaliation for an Israeli strike last month in Beirut that killed one of its top commanders. The violence has killed 586 people in Lebanon, mostly Hezbollah fighters but also including at least 128 civilians, according to an AFP tally. On the Israeli side, including in the annexed Golan Heights, 23 soldiers and 26 civilians have been killed, according to army figures.

Rockets from Lebanon ignite fires in northern Israel
Associated Press/August 20, 2024
Israel’s military said that a barrage of 55 rockets from Lebanon has ignited fires in northern Israel. The military said Tuesday that only some of the projectiles were intercepted by Israel’s air defense systems, while others fell in open areas. Firefighters were working to contain the blazes. Hezbollah said it fired “intense barrages of missiles” at military positions in Israel’s north. Israel said it struck the areas where the missiles were launched in Lebanon. Israel and Hezbollah have been exchanging fire since Oct. 8, causing widespread damage on both sides of the border and killing civilians and combatants on both sides. Fears have increased in recent weeks of a larger escalation, with Hezbollah vowing retaliation for an Israeli strike last month in Beirut that killed one of its top commanders.

Hezbollah says fired 'intense rocket barrages' at Israeli positions
Agence France Presse/August 20, 2024
Hezbollah said it launched several rocket salvos at Israeli army positions in the annexed Golan Heights on Tuesday "in response" to Israeli strikes on eastern Lebanon the previous day. Hezbollah fighters launched "intense rocket barrages" at two Israeli army positions in the occupied Golan Heights "in response to the Israeli enemy's attack on the Bekaa" Valley -- which a source close to Hezbollah said targeted weapons depots in the eastern region. The Israeli military confirmed that around 55 projectiles were identified crossing from Lebanese territory. "Some of the projectiles were intercepted, and the rest fell in open areas. No injuries were reported," the military said in a statement, adding that some of the rockets had ignited fires. The military said its forces struck one of the launchers from which the rockets were launched. The latest salvos from Hezbollah came after Israel said it struck weapons depots deep inside eastern Lebanon on Monday. That Israeli strike came after a soldier in northern Israel was killed by Hezbollah fire, the latest death in 10 months of cross-border exchanges between Hezbollah and Israeli forces. The violence has killed 585 people in Lebanon, mostly Hezbollah fighters but also including at least 128 civilians, according to an AFP tally. On the Israeli side, including in the annexed Golan Heights, 23 soldiers and 26 civilians have been killed, according to army figures. Fears of an escalation have mounted since Hezbollah and Iran vowed to respond after an Israeli strike on Beirut last month killed a top Hezbollah commander, Fouad Shukur, shortly before an attack in Tehran blamed on Israel killed Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh.

Rules of engagement: Israeli airstrikes and Hezbollah's retaliation in Bekaa and Golan Heights

LBCI/August 20, 2024
Three Israeli airstrikes targeted Hezbollah depots in three locations within Lebanon's Bekaa Valley on Monday evening. The strikes hit storage facilities in Nabi Sheet, Qasr Naba Temnine, and near Saraain, igniting fires in the Temnine area and leaving 11 people injured. After more than ten months of ongoing war, Hezbollah has evacuated many of its positions and storage sites, redistributing its forces while leaving some locations either empty or holding limited supplies and munitions.
The Israeli airstrikes on Bekaa provoked a swift response from Hezbollah, which launched rockets at key Israeli military installations, including the Golan Brigade 210 headquarters, the artillery regiment, and the armored brigade at Yarden base in the Golan Heights. The events of Monday and Hezbollah's retaliatory strikes on Tuesday morning highlight the evolving rules of engagement that have emerged throughout the war. The latest Israeli assault on the Bekaa Valley came in response to Hezbollah's successful drone strikes on the Yaara base and, for the first time, the Sant Jin base, located about 16.5 kilometers from the Lebanese border and north of Acre. These strikes resulted in Israel acknowledging the death of a sergeant and injuries to other soldiers at Yaara. This marks the eighth time the Israeli military has targeted Bekaa during the escalations, excluding various assassinations carried out by drones.
When Hezbollah's drones penetrate deep into Israeli territory, targeting military bases and causing casualties, or when Israeli drones are shot down, the Bekaa Valley becomes a focal point for Israeli retaliation, followed by Hezbollah's strikes on sites in the occupied Golan Heights. For instance, when Hezbollah shot down an Israeli Hermes 450 drone with a surface-to-air missile, Israel launched its first airstrike on Bekaa, specifically around Baalbek, on February 26. Similarly, after Hezbollah successfully targeted the aerial surveillance unit at Meron with drones and rockets, Israeli warplanes bombed Hermel, the deepest target struck during the conflict, approximately 135 kilometers from the Lebanese border. The war has effectively dismantled old rules of engagement and established new ones without formal negotiations or dialogue. While these rules shape the trajectory of war, will they try to prevent the conflict from escalating into a full-scale war?

Three paramedics injured in Israeli drone strike near Lebanon's Naqoura
LBCI/August 20, 2024
Three paramedics from the Islamic Health Organization's Civil Defense unit sustained minor injuries as a result of an Israeli drone strike. The strike targeted the area around the ambulance they were in, as they were transporting wounded individuals from the Hamoul area in Naqoura.

Israel Develops Gas Fields While Lebanon Awaits: An Energy Divide Amid Conflict

LBCI/August 20, 2024
More than ten months into the Israeli war in Gaza, Israel continues its attacks on one front while advancing its gas and oil sector on another. Recently, Energean, the company exploring gas in Israeli fields, announced in mid-July that it would invest approximately $1.2 billion to develop the "Katlan" field, located between the Karish and Tanin fields off the coast of Israel. Gas production from this field is expected to begin in the first half of 2027, with confirmed and potential reserves estimated at 1.10 trillion cubic feet.
However, these developments are unfolding against the backdrop of ongoing threats to Israel's economic waters, especially after the Israeli army shot down several drones launched from Lebanon, which were reportedly headed towards the Karish field.
Hezbollah, however, did not claim responsibility for these drones. Despite this, a spokesperson for Energean confirmed to LBCI that the company's operations in Israel continue unaffected. While Israel pushes forward, Lebanon lags behind in its own gas exploration efforts. The country is still awaiting a report from TotalEnergies regarding the results of drilling in Block 9, which was initially expected in March. TotalEnergies has cited delays in completing the report, while a ministerial source told LBCI that the Lebanese government is reluctant to press the French company on the matter. Hezbollah officials, on the other hand, accuse the US of obstructing Lebanon's gas exploration efforts. In this context, during recent visits by US envoy Amos Hochstein to Lebanon, he indicated that if a ceasefire is reached on the Lebanese front, progress could be made on Lebanon's oil and gas file.Ultimately, while Israel extracts and invests in its gas reserves, Lebanon remains a spectator, waiting for its turn.

Lebanon complains to UN over Israeli sonic booms

Naharnet/August 20, 2024
Lebanon’s permanent mission to the U.N. has filed a complaint to the Security Council over the repeated breaking of the sound barrier over the Lebanese regions by Israeli warplanes, including over the capital Beirut. The complaint comes at the instructions of caretaker Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib. “These violations represent a flagrant breach of Lebanon’s sovereignty and airspace and of U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701 (2006),” the complaint says. The mock raids and sonic booms “also violate several stipulations of international humanitarian law, which prohibits all forms of collective punishment and intimidation practiced by Israel through terrorizing civilians and sowing panic among them,” the complaint adds, noting that such practices “especially affect the most vulnerable segments of society, such as children.”Israeli warplanes have regularly broken the sound barrier over south Lebanon since the beginning of the current Israel-Hezbollah conflict in October 2023, but the sonic booms have become more frequent over Beirut and its suburbs in recent weeks, amid soaring tensions between Israel and Hezbollah over the assassination of top military commander Fouad Shukur.

Public prosecutor to question key electricity sector figures amid recent crisis

LBCI/August 20, 2024
Sources confirmed to LBCI that the Public Prosecutor at the Court of Cassation, Jamal al-Hajjar, will start hearings from key figures in the electricity sector on Wednesday, in response to the recent crisis in Lebanon. Judge al-Hajjar's action follows a referral from caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, which also included a referral to the Central Inspection and involved the Chairman of the Board of Directors and General Manager at Electricité du Liban (EDL), Kamal Hayek. It is also reported that Hayek is preparing a file consisting of hundreds of pages detailing the actions taken by the board to prevent the recent crisis. The file includes correspondence addressed to PM Mikati and the Ministry of Energy, asserting that the crisis was not a result of recent days but rather a culmination of issues that the government has not addressed for up to four months.

Electricity: Political and Financial Corruption
Bassam Abou Zeid/This Is Beirut/August 20/2024
The claims made by caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati during his recent visit to Iraq—that Iraqi fuel would easily resume its flow to Lebanon’s power plants—do not match the current reality in the electricity sector. The power plants in Deir Ammar and Zahrani have ceased production, and it has become clear that the Iraqis remain dissatisfied with the Lebanese authorities, as they have not transferred the funds owed from the extension of the Iraqi oil purchase and exchange agreement, which has exceeded $200 million. Additionally, the platform tasked to IDAL to provide Iraq with Lebanese goods and services in exchange for fuel has not yet been launched. This situation has led to the recent crisis. All proposed solutions to prevent the complete blackout, which particularly affects vital facilities such as the airport and water pumps, were dismissed in the Cabinet. One such solution was the procurement of a ship loaded with 30,000 tons of gas oil through a spot cargo tender. Ironically, Prime Minister Mikati, who was at the forefront of opposing this measure due to suspicions of corruption, later strongly advocated for it during the current crisis and managed to impose his opinion within the Board of Directors of Électricité du Liban (EDL). The chairman of the board, Kamal Hayek, had requested a written letter from Mikati approving the procurement of this ship, considering that Mikati had vehemently opposed this tender in the Cabinet, and his stance was well-documented. Therefore, EDL could not proceed contrary to what was stated in the Cabinet without written authorization, especially since it would pay for the ship’s cargo from its own cash reserves.
EDL had repeatedly warned, through numerous letters and communications sent to the Prime Minister’s office and the Ministry of Energy, that the power plants might shut down if fuel supplies were not secured in time. Reports indicate that these officials only realized the gravity of the situation on the eve of Kamal Hayek’s vacation, which he had obtained through proper procedures and informed the Prime Minister about, appointing Director Ibrahim Moussa to act in his place. The Board of Directors could have convened at the invitation of the oldest member, Samer Salim. However, political infighting within the board prevented the meeting, with reports suggesting that Karim Saba, who is affiliated with the Free Patriotic Movement, obstructed the meeting in question, while other reports indicated that his refusal was due to him not being invited to attend. Kamal Hayek’s referral to the inspection committee has further complicated the electricity issue, intensifying the blame and accusations of negligence between political parties, particularly as the FPM, which has monopolized the Ministry of Energy, bears the brunt of the responsibility for the collapse of this sector. The struggle for control over the Ministry of Energy and the electricity file seems poised to escalate, as raising tariffs and increasing collections have brought in more than $100 million for EDL so far. There are expectations that these figures will rise significantly with increased electricity supply hours, which has piqued the interest of political parties seeking to capture these funds for personal and political gain. In this context, some parties are trying to exploit Algeria’s recent gesture of providing Lebanon with fuel for EDL by pressuring the company to drop the lawsuit against Sonatrach over the fraudulent fuel scandal. This would pave the way for a new fuel purchase agreement with Algeria, allowing favored companies to benefit from the fresh dollars flowing into EDL, potentially the same parties who profit from the lack of electricity in favor of neighborhood generators and diesel fuel, whose annual costs exceed $2 billion.

Regional Conflict: Iran and Hezbollah Placing Retaliation on Hold Unless

Philippe Abi-Akl/This Is Beirut/August 20/2024
On his ninth visit to the region since the Al-Aqsa Flood operation and the subsequent war and massacres in Gaza, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived in Israel on Sunday to deliver a message from the American administration to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
US efforts to secure a ceasefire through the Doha and Cairo negotiations extend beyond Secretary Blinken’s visits. President Joe Biden has been actively involved, beefing up his ceasefire initiative for Gaza with several key actions such as Resolution 2735 on May 31, 2024. Ahead of the resumption of talks in Doha, Biden convened a meeting with top White House advisors, then dispatched his special envoy Amos Hochstein to Lebanon, CIA Director of the Central Intelligence Agency William Burns with a security delegation to Doha, and his Middle East advisor Brett McGurk to Cairo. Additionally, Biden bolstered US military presence with warships, aircraft carriers and F-22 fighter jets, while enhancing air capabilities with advanced warplanes. The aim is to deter Iran and Hezbollah—the so-called “Al-Moumanaa Axis”—from retaliating against Israel in response to the assassinations of Hamas Political Bureau Chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, and Hezbollah military commander Fouad Shokr in Beirut’s southern suburbs, by threatening a strong Israeli response.
In addition to the increased American diplomatic and military presence in the region, the White House issued a statement on August 8, co-signed by President Joe Biden, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, highlighting the urgent need to finalize a ceasefire agreement and release hostages and detainees. “With our teams we have developed a framework agreement that only requires minor adjustments. Time is running out, and we are ready, as mediators, to present a final proposal to bridge the gap. We have called on the parties to resume discussions on August 15,” the statement said.
In another significant move, a joint statement was released on August 2 by France, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and Italy, emphasizing full support for efforts to de-escalate tensions, achieve a ceasefire and secure the release of hostages and detainees in Gaza. It also endorsed the joint call by the US, Egypt and Qatar to resume negotiations. “There’s no more time to waste, and we affirm our support for defending Israel against Iranian aggression and attacks by Iran-backed terrorist groups. Moreover, we called on Iran to end its ongoing threats of military action against Israel and assessed the severe consequences for regional security if such an attack were to occur,” it said. In light of recent developments, Lebanon had prepared a document outlining “rules for achieving sustainable stability,” which was delivered by its diplomatic missions to the governments of the countries where they are accredited. The US, France, the United Kingdom, Germany and Italy also coordinated their diplomatic efforts with the Americans and Egyptians to prevent war, enforce a ceasefire in Gaza and southern Lebanon and separate Lebanon’s crisis from the Gaza war. They stressed the need to address Lebanon’s presidential vacancy, independently of regional crises, to allow Lebanon to participate in negotiations for a settlement and ensure it is not excluded from these talks. Representing Lebanon is the exclusive responsibility of the President of the Republic, neither the Prime Minister nor the Speaker of Parliament. As stated in Article 49 of the Constitution, the President is “the head of State and a symbol of national unity,” and according to Article 52, is responsible for negotiating treaties.
According to diplomatic sources, Western messages to Lebanon included a warning, particularly directed at Hezbollah through Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, urging Hezbollah to avoid exceeding the limits in retaliation for Shokr’s assassination. Instead, it emphasized the importance of focusing on political solutions to the conflict with Israel, irrespective of the outcomes of the ceasefire negotiations in Gaza. At the same time, US communications with Iran, conducted through meetings in Oman, stressed that Iran should refrain from retaliating to Haniyeh’s assassination, since Israel did not claim it, thus not constituting a breach of Iranian sovereignty.
An Arab official observes that all parties involved—Washington, Tehran, Tel Aviv, Hezbollah and Hamas—are perplexed and anxious, each for its own reasons. The US administration is against war during election time. Iran, which is negotiating with Biden’s team over nuclear issues, does not want to jeopardize the chances of Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris, whom it favors over Trump, hoping to negotiate a deal with her in the future. That is why Iran is delaying its response to Haniyeh’s slaying until after the US elections, while restraining Hezbollah.
This strategy aims to thwart Benjamin Netanyahu’s push for war, which would boost the chances of his ally, Republican candidate Donald Trump. Ultimately, the regional conflict reflects a clash between those seeking war to benefit Trump and those advocating for stability and a truce to support Harris’ presidential campaign. Following the meetings in Doha, President Biden announced that “an agreement is now within reach, with only technical details left to finalize.” Meanwhile, diplomatic sources reveal that the Israeli military establishment has advised the political leadership to accept Biden’s proposal and relax their conditions. As per the same sources, a solution in the region only hinges on Israel’s recognition of the Palestinian State, which is considered fundamental. Moreover, the sources highlighted Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas’ recent statement from Moscow, where he announced his initiative to visit Gaza. Will war break out, or will the contained conflict continue? Will the “Al-Moumanaa Axis” postpone its response until after the US elections, provided that no unexpected incidents lead to a confrontation that would force the Biden administration to intervene forcefully to restore stability and enforce a truce

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on August 20-21/2024
Blinken wraps up Mideast tour with Gaza truce plea
Reuters/August 20, 2024
DOHA: Top US diplomat Antony Blinken said Tuesday that “time is of the essence” to secure a Gaza truce as he wrapped up a Middle East tour with a plea for a deal. The US secretary of state, on his ninth regional visit since the 10-month-old Israel-Hamas war began, made a brief stop in mediator Qatar but was unable to meet its emir. Speaking on the tarmac in Doha before heading back to Washington, Blinken reiterated his call for Hamas to accept a “bridging proposal” for a deal, which he said Israel had accepted, and asked both parties to work toward finalizing it. “This needs to get done, and it needs to get done in the days ahead, and we will do everything possible to get it across the finish line,” he said. Palestinian militant group Hamas, whose October 7 attack triggered the war, said it was “keen to reach a ceasefire” agreement but protested “new conditions” from Israel in the latest US proposal. Earlier Tuesday, Blinken flew from Israel to Egypt for talks with President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, who told him that “the time has come to end the ongoing war,” according to an official Egyptian statement. El-Sisi warned of the consequences of “the conflict expanding regionally,” it said.
Blinken then traveled to Doha to meet with Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani, though a US official said the Qatari ruler was feeling unwell and the two will instead talk on the phone soon.
Mohammed bin Abdulaziz bin Saleh Al-Khulaifi, minister of state at the Qatari foreign ministry, met with Blinken to discuss “joint mediation efforts to end the war,” Doha said. Both Egypt and Qatar are working alongside the United States to broker a truce, which diplomats say would help avert a wider conflagration that could draw in Iran and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Israel and Hamas have blamed each other for delays in reaching an accord that would stop the fighting, free Israeli hostages and allow vital humanitarian aid into the besieged Palestinian territory. Medics and civil defense rescuers in the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip said Israeli bombardment on Tuesday killed more than two dozen people, and Israel announced it had recovered the bodies of six hostages. Mediators met last week with Israeli negotiators in Doha, and more truce talks are expected in Egypt this week. One of the main sticking points has been Hamas’s long-standing demand for a “complete” withdrawal of Israeli troops from all parts of Gaza, which Israel has rejected. Israeli media quoted Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as saying Israel would insist on maintaining control of a strategic strip on the Gaza-Egypt border, known as the Philadelphi corridor. A US official traveling with Blinken, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive matters, said that “maximalist statements like this are not constructive to getting a ceasefire deal across the finish line.” In Doha, Blinken said Washington opposes “any long-term occupation of Gaza by Israel.”Fears of a regional escalation have mounted since Hezbollah and Iran vowed to respond after an attack last month, blamed on Israel, killed Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, shortly after an Israeli strike on Beirut killed a top Hezbollah commander. Lebanon’s health ministry said four people were killed in Israeli strikes on Tuesday and Hezbollah claimed a string of attacks on Israeli troops, in the latest of the cross-border exchanges which have raged almost daily since the Gaza war began.
Hamas had called on the mediators to implement a framework set out by US President Joe Biden in late May, rather than hold more negotiations.
The Biden plan would freeze fighting for an initial six weeks while Israeli hostages are exchanged for Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails and humanitarian aid enters Gaza. Hamas said on Sunday that the current US proposal, which Washington had put forward after two days of meetings in Doha, “responds to Netanyahu’s conditions.” And on Monday, in response to comments by Biden that it was “backing away” from a deal, the Iran-backed group said the “misleading claims... do not reflect the true position of the movement, which is keen to reach a ceasefire.” Hamas officials as well as some analysts and critics in Israel have accused Netanyahu of prolonging the war for political gain. The October 7 attack on southern Israel resulted in the deaths of 1,199 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally of Israeli official figures. Israel’s retaliatory offensive in Gaza has killed at least 40,173 people, according to the territory’s health ministry, which does not give details of civilian and militant deaths.
Most of the dead are women and children, according to the UN human rights office. Out of 251 hostages seized during the attack, 105 are still held in Gaza, including 34 the Israeli military says are dead. Israeli army operations in Gaza have continued throughout the truce talks. An Israeli strike on Tuesday hit a school in Gaza City where the civil defense agency said at least 12 Palestinians were killed and the military said a Hamas command center was based. Thousands of displaced Palestinians had sought refuge in the facility, civil defense spokesman Mahmud Bassal said. AFP photos showed the Mustafa Hafiz school partly reduced to rubble, with Palestinians fleeing. Elsewhere in Gaza, Bassal and medical sources reported at least 17 killed in four separate strikes. The Israeli military said forces had retrieved the bodies of six hostages from a tunnel in the southern Gaza district of Khan Yunis. The United Nations said parts of a north-south Gaza road that is “a crucial passage for humanitarian missions were included in the latest evacuation order” issued by the Israeli military on Saturday. “This has made it nearly impossible for aid workers to move along this key route,” a UN statement said, preventing “critical supplies and services, such as water trucking” from reaching those in need.

US disputes report of Netanyahu, Blinken talk on Israeli troops on Gaza border
Reuters/ August 20, 2024
DOHA (Reuters) - The United States on Tuesday disputed a report that cited Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as saying he might have convinced U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken that Israel should keep troops on a border strip between Gaza and Egypt. According to an X post by an Axios journalist, Netanyahu told a gathering that Israel would not withdraw forces from the Philadelphi corridor between Gaza and Egypt as it was a strategic military asset and he told Blinken this during a meeting in Israel on Monday. Netanyahu said he might have managed to convince the top U.S. diplomat on the issue, Axios added. "The only thing Secretary Blinken and the United States are convinced of is the need for getting a ceasefire proposal across the finish line," a senior administration official told reporters en route to Doha. "Maximalist statements like this are not constructive to getting a ceasefire deal across the finish line and they certainly risk the ability of implementing ... working level, technical talks to be able to move forward," the official said.

Hamas says Biden remarks 'green light' for Israel to continue war
Agence France Presse/August 20, 2024
Hamas on Tuesday condemned claims by U.S. President Joe Biden that it was backing away from a Gaza truce deal, calling his remarks a "green light" for Israel to continue the war. The "misleading claims... do not reflect the true position of the movement, which is keen to reach a ceasefire" agreement, Hamas said in a statement, calling Biden's remarks an "American green light for the Zionist extremist government to commit more crimes against defenseless civilians".

Netanyahu tells hostage families 'not sure there will be a deal'

Naharnet/August 20, 2024
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Tuesday he’s "not sure there will be a deal," The Times of Israel reported. The Israeli online newspaper quoted a father of an Israeli hostage who met Netanyahu Tuesday as saying that his impression was that Netanyahu "doesn’t believe there will be a deal." Families of the hostages said Netanyahu told them during a meeting that should a deal end up being sealed, it would "safeguard Israel’s interests."They said Netanyahu has told U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken in their meeting yesterday that "Israel won’t leave the Philadelphi and the Netzarim corridors under any circumstances."

After US talks, Egypt urges Gaza ceasefire, warns of regional war

Associated Press/August 20, 2024
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived in Egypt on Tuesday as part of his latest Middle East tour to push forward talks aiming to end the 10-month Gaza war. Blinken held talks with Egyptian president Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty in the coastal city of El Alamein following a visit to Israel, where he met Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Al-Sisi called for a Gaza ceasefire and warned of a regional war, after he met with Blinken. "The time has come to end the ongoing war, and to resort to wisdom, and to uphold the language of peace and diplomacy," he said in a statement, adding all parties must be wary of the "danger of the conflict expanding regionally".

Israel recovers bodies of six hostages from Gaza Strip

GADI ZAIG, YAEL HALFON/Jerusalem Post/August 20/2024
The bodies of hostages Nadav Popplewell, Yagev Buchshtab, Yoram Metzger, Haim Peri, Alexander Dancyg and Avraham Munder were recovered from Gaza. Israel recovered the bodies of hostages Nadav Popplewell, Yagev Buchshtab, Yoram Metzger, Haim Peri, Alexander Dancyg, and Avraham Munder from the Khan Yunis area in Gaza, who were murdered in Hamas captivity, the IDF announced on Tuesday. The rescue operation was conducted by the IDF's 98th Division and carried out by the Paratroopers Brigade, 'Yahalom' Unit, and the 75th Battalion, along with ISA forces. The operation was done under military intelligence, ISA, and the IDF Intelligence Directorate Hostage Headquarters.  It was announced by Kibbutz Nirim earlier that the bodies of Popplewell and Buchshtab were retrieved from Gaza. Similarly, Kibbutz Nir Oz announced earlier that morning that the bodies of Peri, Metzger, and Dancyg were also retrieved. Munder was believed to be alive until Kibbutz Nir Oz announced his death while in Gaza captivity. The National Institute of Forensic Medicine, Israel Police, and the IDF Manpower Directorate's Hostage Team conducted an identification procedure of the bodies and notified their families and communities. The Hostages and Missing Families Forum stressed that the only way to return the 109 hostages is through a negotiated deal.
Nadav Popplewell
Popplewell, 51 years old, was kidnapped from Nirim on October 7. In June, the IDF announced he had been killed in Hamas captivity.
Kibbutz Nirim said that he loved books and science fiction.
Popplewell was taken hostage along with his mother, Channah Peri, who was released in the November hostage deal following 49 days in Gaza captivity. Both were taken from their home's safe room. Popplewell's brother Roi, aged 54, was murdered on October 7.
Yagev Buchshtab
Buchshtab, 35 years old, was seized from Kibbutz Nirim on October 7 along with his wife Rimon Kirsht Buchshtab, 36, who was released on November 28, as part of the hostage deal. In July, the IDF announced he had been killed in Gaza captivity. Buchshtab was a sound technician and had a passion for music. Yoram Metzger
Metzger, 80 years old, was seized from Nir Oz on October 7. In June, the IDF announced he had been killed while in Hamas captivity. He is survived by his wife, Tamar, who was kidnapped along with him and released in the November hostage deal, three children, and seven grandchildren. At the kibbutz, Yoram worked in the Nirlat factory and as a kibbutz mechanic.
Haim Peri
Peri, 79, was kidnapped from kibbutz Nir Oz on October 7. In June, the IDF announced he had been killed in Hamas captivity. "On the day of the massacre in the kibbutz, Haim managed to save his wife Asnat before being kidnapped himself. He survived in inhumane conditions in the Hamas tunnels for months, until he was brutally murdered in captivity," the kibbutz wrote in a statement on Tuesday.
Peri was a father of five, a grandfather to 13, a peace activist, and founder of an art gallery. He also taught at Sapir College.
Alexander Dancyg
Dancyg, 76 years old, was kidnapped from Nir Oz on October 7. In July, the IDF announced he had been killed in Gaza captivity. Born to Holocaust survivors, Dancyg was an educator and historian who worked at Yad Vashem for nearly 30 years. He was one of the founders of educational delegations to Poland and led many of them.
Avraham Munder
Munder was kidnapped from kibbutz Nir Oz on October 7. On Tuesday, kibbutz Nir Oz announced he had been killed in Gaza captivity. Munder fought and was wounded in the Six-Day War, according to the Hostages and Missing Families Forum.
Munder's nephew told KAN Reshet Bet earlier that his uncle's body had been recovered from Gaza and that "it's sad that a person who participated in liberating Jerusalem and answered the call to develop communities in the Negev had his life ended by being thrown aside in a tunnel in Khan Yunis."He lived in Kibbutz Nir Oz for more than 50 years and took part in the Eshkol choir. He was kidnapped to the Gaza Strip on October 7 along with his wife Ruti, his daughter Keren, and his nine-year-old grandson Ohad, who were released in the November hostage deal following 49 days in captivity.
*Eve Young and Yonah Jeremy Bob contributed to this report.

Hamas says Joe Biden remark about group backing away from Gaza truce deal ‘misleading’
Reuters/August 20, 2024
DUBAI: Hamas said on Tuesday that US President Joe Biden’s comment that the Palestinian group was backing away from a Gaza ceasefire agreement with Israel was “misleading.”Biden, responding to questions on a ceasefire deal, said: “Israel says they can work it out, they’re prepared. But I was told Hamas is now backing off.”While boarding a plane after giving a speech at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago on Monday, he added: “It remains to be seen. We’re going to keep pushing.”Hamas said Biden’s statements do not reflect the true position of the movement, which says it has been keen to reach a cessation of hostilities. “The proposal recently presented to us goes against what the parties had agreed on July 2, this is considered an American response and acquiescence to the terrorist Netanyahu’s new conditions and his criminal plans toward the Gaza Strip,” Hamas added, referring to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who is on his ninth trip to the region since the war began, expressed optimism after meeting Israeli officials on Monday. On Tuesday, Blinken was in Cairo pushing for areas of possible progress on a ceasefire and hostage release deal in talks planned for later this week, with major areas of dispute still unresolved. The US had put forward bridging proposals that the mediating countries — Qatar, the United States and Egypt — believe would close gaps between Israel and Hamas and end the hostilities that have destabilized the entire region.

Egypt’s El-Sisi meets with US Secretary of State Blinken
Gobran Mohamed/Arab News/August 20, 2024
CAIRO: President of Egypt Abdel Fattah El-Sisi has met with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, underlining the robust strategic partnership between their two nations.
Their discussions also reaffirmed a commitment to advancing joint efforts to restore security and stability in the region. The two sides reviewed the Egyptian-American-Qatari mediation efforts to reach a ceasefire in Gaza and bring about an exchange of hostages. El-Sisi and Blinken exchanged views on the results of the latest negotiations, held last week in the Qatari capital, Doha, and on ways to achieve progress.
Blinken briefed El-Sisi on the outcome of his visit to Israel, stressing the US commitment to calming the situation and reaching an agreement. He expressed huge appreciation for Egypt’s role and constructive efforts. El-Sisi emphasized that it was time to end the ongoing war, resort to the voice of reason and wisdom, and uphold the language of peace and diplomacy. He warned of the dangers of the conflict expanding regionally and confirmed that saving lives should be a major driving force for all parties.
A ceasefire in Gaza must be the beginning of broader international recognition of an independent Palestinian state and the enforcement of the two-state solution, he said, adding this would be the fundamental guarantor for stability in the region.
The meeting was also attended by Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty and Director of the General Intelligence Service, Major General Abbas Kamel, as well as US Ambassador Herro Mustafa Garg. The war in Gaza began on Oct. 7, 2023, when Hamas gunmen stormed into Israeli communities, killing around 1,200 people and abducting about 250 hostages, according to Israeli tallies. Israel’s retaliatory military campaign in Gaza has killed more than 40,000 people since October according to Palestinian health authorities, and of the remaining hostages being held there.
On Tuesday, Israel’s military said it had recovered the bodies of six hostages from southern Gaza. According to Israeli authorities, 109 hostages now remain in the Palestinian territory, of whom around a third are believed to be dead.
In Gaza, Israeli forces battled Hamas-led militants in central and southern areas, and Palestinian health authorities said at least 21 people had been killed early on Tuesday in Israeli strikes, including on a school housing displaced people.
Israel’s military said it had struck Hamas militants embedded in the school.
Gaza’s Hamas-run health ministry said on Tuesday it was still waiting for polio vaccines to arrive after the disease was discovered in the territory, where most people now live in tents or shelters without proper sanitation. It echoed a call by the UN last week for a ceasefire to allow the vaccination campaign.

US flouting Arms Trade Treaty with weapons exports to Israel: Amnesty
Arab News/August 20, 2024
LONDON: The US is continuing to violate a significant arms treaty by selling weapons to Israel, Amnesty International has warned. The NGO said the flouting of the Arms Trade Treaty is leading to “devastating loss of life” in the Occupied Territories, in particular Gaza. In 2013, 155 states worldwide adopted the treaty, which established new regulations on the sale of weapons in a bid to prevent “unlawful arms transfers that facilitate grave abuses.”But despite being a signatory, the US has continued to provide Israel with weapons that have been used in unlawful airstrikes, Amnesty reported. Last October, American JDAM bombs were launched by Israel on homes in Gaza, killing 43 civilians, including 19 children. In January, Israel used a US-built GBU-39 guided bomb to target a family home in Rafah, killing 18 civilians, including 10 children.Patrick Wilcken, the NGO’s researcher on military, security and policing, said: “Amnesty International has long been calling for a comprehensive arms embargo on both Israel and Palestinian armed groups because of longstanding patterns of serious violations of international human rights and humanitarian law, including war crimes, leading to horrific impacts on civilians, including women and children. “States parties and signatories, including the US — the largest provider of arms to Israel — continue to license arms transfers to Israel in spite of overwhelming evidence of war crimes committed by Israeli forces.” Amnesty described the continued sale of weapons to Israel by the US as a “stark example of failure … to fully comply” with the treaty. The NGO is calling for an end to weapons sales to Israel at the 10th Conference of States Parties to the Arms Trade Treaty, which began on Monday. The treaty “is the first of its kind to set global standards to govern the international trade in conventional arms and munitions. The legality of an arms transfer is now explicitly linked to international human rights and humanitarian law rules,” said Wilcken. “Although progress has been achieved, numerous governments continue to brazenly flout the rules, leading to a huge loss of life in conflict zones. “It is time for state parties to live up to their legal obligations and fully implement the Arms Trade Treaty, to prohibit the flow of arms to countries when it is known they would be used for genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes or if it could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international human rights or humanitarian law.”

Death ‘the only certainty’ for Gazans, says UN official
AFP/August 20, 2024
JERUSALEM: In war-ravaged Gaza, death appears to be the “only certainty” for 2.4 million Palestinians with no way to escape Israel’s relentless bombardment, a UN official said Tuesday, recounting the growing desperation across the territory. “It does feel like people are waiting for death. Death seems to be the only certainty in this situation,” Louise Wateridge, a spokeswoman for the UN agency for Palestinian refugees, also known as UNRWA, told AFP from Gaza. For the past two weeks, Wateridge has been in the Gaza Strip, witnessing the humanitarian crisis, fear of death and spread of disease as the war rages on.“Nowhere in the Gaza Strip is safe, absolutely nowhere is safe. It’s absolutely devastating,” Wateridge said from the Nuseirat area of central Gaza — a regular target of Israel’s aerial assaults. Since fighting broke out in October, Israeli forces have pounded the besieged territory from the air, land and sea, reducing much of it to rubble. Now in its eleventh month, the war has created an acute humanitarian crisis, with hundreds of thousands of people, most of whom have been displaced several times, running out of basic food and clean drinking water. “We are facing unprecedented challenges when it comes to the spread of disease, when it comes to hygiene. Part of this is because of the Israeli imposed siege on the Gaza Strip,” Wateridge said. The war began with Palestinian militant group Hamas’s unprecedented attack on southern Israel on October 7, which resulted in the deaths of 1,199 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures. Since then, Israel’s retaliatory military campaign has killed at least 40,173 people, according to the health ministry in the Hamas-run territory, which does not provide details of civilian and militant deaths. Most of the dead in Gaza are women and children, according to the UN human rights office.
Tens of thousands of people have taken refuge in schools across the Gaza Strip, an increasingly regular target of Israeli missiles. Israel’s military says these schools have been used as command and control centers by Hamas, a charge the group denies. “Even a school is not anymore a safe place,” said Wateridge.
“It feels like you’re never more than a few blocks away from the front line now.”Tired of reacting to the Israeli military’s “continuous” evacuation orders, more and more Gazans are reluctant to keep moving from place to place, Wateridge said. “They feel like they’re being chased around in circles... It’s quite a lot to move in terms of the heat, young children, elderly, disabled,” she said. Many Gazans AFP has interviewed say they no longer want to move their families, their tents and the few belongings they are still left with. They have criticized what they describe as a lack of clarity in Israeli evacuation orders — including maps dropped from planes — and communications challenges given Gaza’s lack of regular Internet access, electricity and telecommunications coverage. Those who are still moving say that wherever they go “there are rats, there are mice, there are scorpions, there are cockroaches,” Wateridge said, adding that insects “spread disease from shelter to shelter.” Last week the Gaza health ministry said the territory had recorded its first polio case in 25 years. Wateridge said that the UN was waiting for Israel’s green light to go from tent to tent and vaccinate children to prevent polio from spreading. Though talks have been deadlocked for months, Wateridge said Gazans “always hope for a ceasefire” and “keep a close eye on the negotiations.” In the coming days, international mediators the United States, Qatar and Egypt will hold a new round of talks in Cairo to again try to secure a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas.

Wait for Iran’s retaliation against Israel ‘could be long’, Revolutionary Guards spokesperson says

Arab News/August 20, 2024
DUBAI: There could be a long wait for Iranian retaliation against Israel, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards spokesperson Alimohammad Naini said on Tuesday.
The Middle East has been bracing for Iran’s avowed retaliation over the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on July 31. Israel has neither confirmed nor denied that it was behind the killing. “Time is in our favor and the waiting period for this response could be long,” Naini said, referring to potential retaliation against Israel.He said “the enemy” should wait for a calculated and accurate response. Iranian leaders were weighing the circumstances and the Islamic Republic’s response might not be a repeat of previous operations, he added, according to Iranian state media. Iran and Hamas have accused Israel of carrying out the strike that killed Haniyeh hours after he attended the inauguration of Iran’s new president Masoud Pezeshkian. The United States has asked allies that have ties with Iran to persuade it to de-escalate tensions in the Middle East, as US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is in the region to push for progress toward a Gaza ceasefire. Naini said that Tehran supported any move that led to an end to the war in Gaza and helped its people, but added: “We do not consider the US actions sincere. We consider the US to be a party to the (Gaza) war.”

EU Red Sea mission escorts 300 vessels in region

Saeed Al-Batati/Arab News/August 20, 2024
AL-MUKALLA: The EU naval mission in the Red Sea has said that its warships have provided security to 300 ships while traveling in commerce routes off Yemen and have destroyed 22 drones, drone boats, and ballistic missiles launched by the Yemeni militia during the past six months. No new assaults on ships have been claimed by the Houthis in the last two weeks, indicating another pause in their campaign. On Monday the EU naval mission, known as EUNAVFOR ASPIDES, said in a post on X: “As we reach the six-month milestone since the initiation of the operation, we remain committed to our mission and the core values of the European Union.” The EU announced it was launching a naval mission based in the Red Sea on Feb. 19 to safeguard ships traveling through the important maritime channel from Houthi drone, missile, and drone boat strikes. Since November, the Houthis have seized one commercial ship, sunk two others, and fired hundreds of drones, ballistic missiles, and remotely controlled boats at ships in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Indian Ocean in a campaign that the Yemeni militia claims is intended to put pressure on Israel to end its war in the Gaza Strip. Despite the Houthis’ continuous threats of vengeance, assaults on ships have significantly decreased since July 20, when Israel launched airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen’s western province of Hodeidah for the first time. Houthi military spokesman Yahya Sarea has not claimed credit for fresh assaults on any ships since Aug. 7. The Yemeni militia claimed that they postponed their response to the Israeli operation in Hodeidah in order to make it “more effective.” This comes as Rashad Al-Alimi, head of the internationally recognized Yemeni government’s Presidential Leadership Council, accused the Houthis on Tuesday of undermining efforts to end the war on the country and attempting to bankrupt his government. Speaking in the southern city of Aden after accepting foreign ambassador-designate credentials to Yemen, Al-Alimi urged the international community to punish the Houthis for attacking ships in the Red Sea and elsewhere, cracking down on civil society and aid organizations, and impeding peace talks. “The peace process has remained stalled because of the militia’s intransigence and its preference of the interests of its supporters over the interests of the Yemeni people,” he said. Meanwhile, 14 people were killed by lightning in Yemen’s northern province of Hajjah, as the National Center of Meteorology warned on Tuesday of severe weather in the following 24 hours. According to the Houthi-run Saba news agency, lightning killed three people in Abbes, three more in Kuhlan Affar, and eight more in other regions of Hajjah over the past several days. Heavy rains caused flash floods in Hodeidah, Ibb, Hajjah, Sanaa, Marib, and other Yemen provinces, killing over 100 people and displacing hundreds more since late last month.

Iran shuts down last language institute recognized by German Embassy
AP/August 20, 2024
TEHRAN: Iranian authorities on Tuesday closed down the last language institute certified by the German Embassy, local media said, in retaliation for the shuttering of Islamic centers in the European country. A report by Nournews.ir, believed to be close to Iran’s security bodies, published a photo of police forces taking down the sign showcasing the establishment’s name. The Institute For Teaching German Language was established in the capital in 1995, according to the embassy. Mizanonline.ir, a news website affiliated with the country’s judiciary, said judicial authorities ordered the closure of the institute’s two posts, located in separate Tehran neighborhoods, calling them “illegal centers affiliated with the German government” that “breached Iran’s law, committed various illegal actions and extensive financial violations.” The report also said authorities would investigate possible infractions by other German-affiliated centers, without elaborating. Its closure came after German authorities shut down The Islamic Center Hamburg, and five sub-organizations, in July, accusing it of being an “outpost” of Iran’s theocracy, promoting the ideology of its leadership and supporting Lebanon’s Hezbollah militant group. German police also raided 53 properties around the country. Imam Ali Mosque in Hamburg, the militant group’s most prominent facility, was among the properties raided. Hezbollah and Israel have been trading near-daily exchanges of fire across the Lebanon-Israel border since the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza broke out in October. Iran does not recognize Israel and supports anti-Israeli militant groups like Hamas and Hezbollah. In 1995, Iranian authorities shut down Tehran’s Goethe International Institute, which was part of over 100 sites around the world promoting German culture, language and education.

Modi's strong message to Netanyahu: India backs Israel against Hamas - opinion
HRIDAY SARMA/Jerusalem Post/August 20/2024
In a post-Independence Day call, Modi's firm stance with Netanyahu highlights India's growing support for Israel, signaling a major shift in its foreign policy and security approach. On August 16, the day following India’s 78th Independence Day, an important phone call took place between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Modi, in a firm tone, re-emphasized the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages held by Hamas. This conversation, set against the backdrop of escalating violence within Israel and in the areas surrounding its national borders, signals a clear and decisive shift in India’s foreign policy and military approach, both internationally and domestically. For decades, India maintained a delicate balance in its engagement with Israel and Palestine. While India established diplomatic relations with Israel in 1992, it also remained a strong supporter of the Palestinian cause, often advocating for a two-state solution and maintaining cautious neutrality in the Israel-Palestine. This policy was shaped by India’s non-aligned movement roots, its large Muslim population, and broader geopolitical considerations. However, recent events suggest that this long-standing policy is undergoing a profound transformation.
India’s open and unequivocal support for Israel in its conflict with Hamas and Iranian-backed proxies, notably Hezbollah, marks a significant departure from its traditional approach. The strategic partnership between India and Israel has grown considerably in recent years, with deepening ties in defense, agriculture, and technology. The relationship has moved from being covert to overt, and the solidarity expressed by Modi during his conversation with Netanyahu underscores a new era in India’s diplomatic and military posture – one characterized by assertive alignment with key international allies and a decisive stance on issues of global and regional security. The abrogation of Article 370 in Jammu and Kashmir in August 2019 was a watershed moment in India’s internal security policy. The revocation of the region’s special status was justified by the Indian government as a necessary step to combat terrorism and promote development. However, the reality on the ground has been more complex. Recent militant attacks in the Jammu region, such as the ambush on an Indian army convoy in Kathua and the assault on a bus carrying Hindu pilgrims in the Reasi district, illustrate that the insurgency has not been subdued. Instead, it has shifted geographically, resembling the evolving patterns of violence observed in Israel’s conflict with Hamas.
India changes strategy
India’s changing military strategy is evident in its increasingly aggressive posture toward cross-border terrorism. The surgical strikes conducted by Indian forces against terrorist camps in Pakistan-administered Kashmir in 2016, followed by airstrikes in Balakot in 2019, were clear indicators of a more proactive and preemptive approach. This mirrors Israel’s long-standing policy of targeted strikes against militant groups that pose an imminent threat to its national security. Moreover, the introduction of new legal frameworks, such as the Bharatiya Nyaya Sanhita (BNS) and the Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita (BNSS), which emphasize stringent measures against threats to national security, reflects India’s commitment to a no-tolerance policy toward extremism, both domestically and at its borders. These laws, coupled with the government’s push to arm local villagers in border areas like Jammu as a countermeasure against insurgent attacks, demonstrate a resolve to fortify internal defenses – a strategy not dissimilar to Israel’s own policies of civilian defense. Critics may argue that India’s open support for Israel could jeopardize its ties with important Middle Eastern countries, especially those with large Palestinian sympathies. However, given the evolving geopolitical landscape, where strategic and economic objectives outweigh ideological alignments, it appears that India is adjusting its foreign policy to better suit its national interest imperatives.
India’s vocal support for Israel in its conflict with Hamas and Hezbollah can also be interpreted as a signal to both domestic and international audiences that it will not shy away from taking clear and decisive stances on cross-border threats and strategic alliances. This new posture reflects a convergence of diplomatic support and military pragmatism, underscoring India’s commitment to securing its borders, protecting its citizens, and advancing broader regional interests. As India continues to navigate its complex regional dynamics, this shift toward a more assertive and less ambiguous stance in its foreign and domestic policies could redefine its role on the global stage. The phone call between Modi and Netanyahu on India’s Independence Day may very well be remembered as a pivotal moment in India’s diplomatic and military evolution.
*The writer is an India-based lawyer specializing in cross-border trade and investments and a fellow with the South Asia Democratic Forum in Brussels.

Crossing between a government and opposition-held area in Syria closes after violence
AP/August 21, 2024
IDLIB, Syria: A key crossing inside Syria between an area held by the government and one held by the opposition was closed again on Tuesday after violence followed its brief reopening this week. A local activist and a war monitor said that opposition groups protested the reopening of the Abu Al-Zandin crossing in Aleppo province, which had been closed since 2020, and that it was twice hit by artillery shelling. A few trucks on Sunday moved through the crossing in what appeared to be a trial reopening. The move was met by protests and the crossing was hit by artillery shelling from an unknown source on Monday and again on Tuesday. Reports of an initial planned reopening in June were met with angry protests by residents of the opposition-controlled area who saw the move as a step toward normalization with the government of Syrian President Bashar Assad. Sunday’s trial reopening was followed again by protests and a sit-in at a tent erected by local activists. The Britain-based war monitor Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported the shelling. It was not clear who fired. The monitor also said that gunmen opposed to the opening of the crossing “forced a number of trucks to return” as they were headed into government-held territory. An official with the Turkish-backed opposition government confirmed plans to reopen the crossing but denied it represented a step toward normalizing relations with Damascus. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to comment publicly. “The opening of crossings, whether commercial or humanitarian ... is not linked to reconciliation,” he said and also gave the example of function crossings in Syria between areas that Ankara controls and areas that are under the control of Syrian Kurdish local authorities. The official declined to elaborate or comment on the shelling. The anti-government uprising turned civil war in Syria, now in its 14th year, has killed nearly half a million people, displaced half of its prewar population of 23 million and crippled infrastructure in both government and opposition-held areas. The conflict today is largely frozen. In June, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Assad both signalled that they are interested in restoring diplomatic ties that have been ruptured for more than a decade. Several previous reconciliation attempts did not succeed.

Blinken hopes Sudan humanitarian progress brings broader deal
AFP/August 21, 2024
DOHA: US Secretary of State Antony Blinken voiced hope Tuesday that an emerging humanitarian agreement in Sudan would build momentum for a broader deal to end the country’s devastating war. Blinken, on visits to Egypt and Qatar mostly focused on bringing a ceasefire in the Gaza war, said he also consulted on the US-brokered talks on Sudan underway in Switzerland. “With everything else going on in the world, the worst humanitarian situation in the world right now is in Sudan,” Blinken told reporters as he left Doha. “There are more people in Sudan who are suffering from fighting, from violence, from lack of access to food and basic humanitarian assistance,” Blinken said. The United States said Monday that the talks in Switzerland were finalizing ways to open three humanitarian routes for badly needed food, including a critical crossing from Chad. “We obviously need to see that move forward, but that’s critical in bringing life-essential assistance to people who desperately need it,” Blinken said. “As we’re doing that, of course, we’re working on trying to get a broader agreement on a cessation of hostilities,” he said. The US point man on Sudan who is leading negotiations, Tom Perriello, joined Blinken for his talks earlier Tuesday with the Egyptian leadership in the coastal city of El Alamein. Perriello said he would also meet with a Sudanese government delegation in his latest bid to persuade Sudan’s army to take part in the talks. War broke out in April last year between Sudan’s army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), devastating what was already one of the world’s poorest nations. More than 25 million people — over half of Sudan’s population — face acute hunger, according to UN agencies, with famine declared in a displacement camp in Darfur, which borders Chad. The RSF has sent a delegation to Switzerland but the army has refused to join. Perriello has consulted with the army remotely and Blinken has twice called army chief Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan to press him to participate.

The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources on August 20-21/2024
'The Black Day': A Decade of Displacement for Iraqi Christians

Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/August 20, 2024
August 6 marked the tenth anniversary of "the Black Day," a day indelible to Iraqi Christians as the start of the unrelenting atrocities to which they were subjected on August 6, 2014, ten years ago.
On that day, the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) unleashed a jihadi massacre of unprecedented terror, brutally attacking ancient Christian communities across northern Iraq. Villages were overrun, homes and churches looted and destroyed, and countless lives shattered. Christians were murdered, raped and sold into slavery.
Even though ISIS has largely been neutralized, the remaining 154,000 Christians [in Iraq] face "very high" levels of persecution.
"We stayed in Mosul for 39 days under ISIS control because they initially offered us safety. But then they declared that as Christians and People of the Book, we were infidels. They demanded we either pay the jizya, convert to Islam or face execution." — Saadallah, an elderly Iraqi refugee from Mosul, recalling August 6, 2014.
"There are very few NGOs left that focus on our displacement and who continue to provide assistance for Iraqi Refugees; but American FRRME is still on the ground and actively helping." — Nate Breeding, Executive Director of the American Foundation for Relief and Reconciliation in the Middle East, interview with Gatestone, August 5, 2024.
On August 6, 2014, the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) unleashed a jihadi massacre of unprecedented terror, brutally attacking ancient Christian communities across northern Iraq. Villages were overrun, homes and churches looted and destroyed, and countless lives shattered. Christians were murdered, raped and sold into slavery.
August 6 marked the tenth anniversary of "the Black Day," a day indelible to Iraqi Christians as the start of the unrelenting atrocities to which they were subjected on August 6, 2014, ten years ago.
On that day, the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) unleashed a jihadi massacre of unprecedented terror, brutally attacking ancient Christian communities across northern Iraq. Villages were overrun, homes and churches looted and destroyed, and countless lives shattered. Christians were murdered, raped and sold into slavery. Those who survived were forced to flee, leaving behind everything they held dear.
Bassam from Qaraqosh, Iraq, recalled the horror:
"We were abruptly warned at 12:30 AM by neighbors that ISIS was closing in. Imagine being securely at home when suddenly a stranger bursts in, giving you only minutes to escape. You're forced to abandon everything—your life, belongings and future—under the threat of imminent danger."
A decade later, the impact of that day remains profound. The Christian population in Iraq has been decimated: once estimated to be 1.5 million, it is now about 154,000. Since then, many Iraqi Christians fled their homeland to seek in neighboring countries, as well as in the West.
Despite some progress, Iraq is still ranked 16th by Open Doors among the most dangerous countries for Christians. Even though ISIS has largely been neutralized, the remaining 154,000 Christians face "very high" levels of persecution. The overall security situation remains unstable. According to Open Doors:
"The Christian community continues to rebuild and restore as it heals from the horrors of the Islamic State group. Plus, Turkish and Iranian airstrikes continue in some parts of Iraq, impacting Christian communities.
"The historic Christian communities in Iraq also face issues with persecution and discrimination, particularly from Islamic militant groups and non-Christian leaders. In places where they are the significant minority, like central and southern Iraq, Christians often do not publicly display Christian symbols, as it can lead to harassment or mistreatment at checkpoints, universities, workplaces or governmental offices. Christians from both historic and newer denominations can face discrimination from the government. Any outspoken Christian group can also be accused of blasphemy if it is deemed it is sharing the gospel with Muslims.
"Finally, anyone who converts from Islam will likely face intense pressure from their families and communities. They can be threatened, abused, lose family members, pressured or even killed. Conversion can have practical consequences as well, including loss of inheritance and lack of opportunity."
The slow pace of rebuilding and persistent security concerns has rendered the dream of returning home elusive for many.
Nate Breeding, Executive Director of the American Foundation for Relief and Reconciliation in the Middle East ("American FRRME"), highlighted the challenges in an interview with Gatestone:
"Iraqi Christians continue to flee to Jordan due to ongoing instability, threats from extremist groups and a lack of security in their homeland. Even though ISIS has been defeated, the violence, sectarian tensions and slow rebuilding efforts have made it impossible for many to return. They have been forced to seek safety elsewhere, uncertain if their communities will ever be secure again."
Despite it all, ten years later, the few surviving members of these ancient Christian communities have demonstrated remarkable courage and fortitude, said Breeding. They have held onto their faith, culture and heritage, even in the midst of great hardship and displacement. Their stories of survival and the ongoing efforts to rebuild their lives serve as a powerful source of inspiration.
Hundreds of Iraqi refugees, for instance, recently came together at American FRRME's Olive Tree Center in Madaba, Jordan, to mark the ten-year anniversary of the Black Day. The gathering was a poignant tribute, featuring prayer, traditional Iraqi dabke dancing, music and food. The commemoration event honored and remembered families and friends who lost their lives or were displaced during the ISIS invasion.
Saadallah, an elderly Iraqi refugee from Mosul, who attended the event, shared a memory concerning the Black Day:
"We stayed in Mosul for 39 days under ISIS control because they initially offered us safety. But then they declared that as Christians and People of the Book, we were infidels. They demanded we either pay the jizya, convert to Islam or face execution. This ultimatum forced us to flee Mosul in August 2014. Ten years later, the memory of The Black Day remains a painful and haunting tragedy for us. It still generates deep fear and anxiety about our future, which remains uncertain and unknown."
Breeding went on to say:
"A decade after the horrors inflicted by ISIS, the deep scars left on these communities remain ever-present. Many Iraqi refugees are still paralyzed by fear, unable to return home. The critical shortage of funding and aid from other NGOs, both in Jordan and Iraq, only deepens their suffering, leaving them exposed and vulnerable in a region still plagued by violence and instability."
Despite some positive developments in Nineveh, the situation remains dire for many, and the Christian community continues to face significant challenges, including by remnants of ISIS — or perhaps merely ISIS-minded Muslims. Although recent years have seen a reduction in reported violence against Christians, the overall security situation remains unstable. While there is cautious optimism about gradual improvements in safety and support for minority groups, ongoing instability and persecution continue to create major obstacles for Iraq's Christian community.
There is, however, a glimmer of hope amid the continued challenges, according to Breeding. The resilience of the Iraqi Christian community and the ongoing efforts of organizations like American FRRME offer a beacon of optimism, he said, adding that, despite the ongoing difficulties, there are signs of progress and recovery. He quoted Ban, a young Christian woman in her twenties when ISIS invaded her hometown of Qaraqosh in 2014:
"On this 10th anniversary of The Black Day, I want to share a message of hope and resilience with the world. Despite the immense challenges and hardships we have faced, we have found strength in each other and in the support of organizations and individuals who have stood by us. Our journey has been difficult, but we have not lost our spirit or our sense of community... Since the events of 2014, organizations like American FRRME have had a significant impact on our lives. There are very few NGOs left that focus on our displacement and who continue to provide assistance for Iraqi Refugees; but American FRRME is still on the ground and actively helping."
This article is based on an interview Gatestone Institute conducted with American Foundation for Relief and Reconciliation in the Middle East and its Iraqi Christian associates.
**Raymond Ibrahim, author of Defenders of the West, Sword and Scimitar, Crucified Again, and The Al Qaeda Reader, is the Distinguished Senior Shillman Fellow at the Gatestone Institute and the Judith Rosen Friedman Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
*Follow Raymond Ibrahim on X (formerly Twitter) and Facebook
© 2024 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
**Picture Enclosed/On August 6, 2014, the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) unleashed a jihadi massacre of unprecedented terror, brutally attacking ancient Christian communities across northern Iraq. Villages were overrun, homes and churches looted and destroyed, and countless lives shattered. Christians were murdered, raped and sold into slavery. Pictured: The remains of a church that was attacked by ISIS in Mosul, Iraq, photographed in 2018. (Photo by Ahmad Al-Rubaye/AFP via Getty Images)

IRGC founder to ‘Post’: Iran unable to sustain long-term war with Israel - exclusive
ALEX WINSTON/Jerusalem Post/August 20/2024
Mohsen Sazegara: "Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, in the heart of Tehran, was a humiliation for Iran's intelligence organizations.”
Iran is in no position to fight a long-term war with Israel and even asked the US to intervene to prevent a possible large-scale Israeli retaliation to any Iranian attack, according to Mohsen Sazegara, founder of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), in an exclusive interview with The Jerusalem Post.
The IRGC was founded shortly after the 1979 revolution in Iran to protect the Islamic Republic’s religious control over the country, and to act as a counterbalance to the regular Iranian Army, many of whose officers were still loyal to the Shah of Iran, and therefore could not be trusted by the revolutionary regime.
Since 1979, its authority and influence has spread throughout the world and it is considered one of the leading sponsors of Islamic terror globally. The group is now designated a terrorist organization by the United States.Speaking from the US, where he is now based after leaving Iran more than 20 years ago, Sazegara also touched upon internal conflicts within the Islamic Republic and the problems facing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. “What Israel did, I mean the alleged assassination of [Hamas Chief] Ismail Haniyeh, in the heart of Tehran, in one of the most protected places, was a humiliation for the intelligence organizations of Iran,” Sazegara stated. “This has created a problem for Khamenei among his main powerbase – the intelligence services.”
“[Khamenei’s] first reaction was that we retaliate and don’t stop. But when he referred to his military commanders and the experts in the IRGC, and they should present the options of what to do, they told him that Iran is not in a position to fight Israel. They don’t have any strategic balance. They can send missiles toward Israel, especially hypersonic missiles that can reach Israel in six to eight minutes.‘ But when Israel retaliates, then we can’t defend the country, especially air defense,’ Khamenei’s commanders told him.
They told him that “Iran is not in a position to fight Israel,” Sazegara added. “They emphasized that ‘even if we launch an attack, we should immediately consider a ceasefire with international mediators.’” In a wide-ranging interview with the Post, the former revolutionary-turned-politician discussed his role in the revolution, his relationship with its leader Ayatollah Khomeini, the founding of the IRGC, and how his political views evolved against the State-Religion axis that rules in the Islamic Republic, which led to being barred from the 2001 Iranian presidential elections. Sazegara was managing director of the National Radio of Iran between 1979–1981, before serving in a multitude of political roles in the 80s. He served as political deputy in the prime minister’s office, deputy minister of heavy industries, chairman of the Industrial Development and Renovation Organization of Iran, and vice minister of planning and budget.
SPEAKING ABOUT the US role in the growing conflict between Israel and Iran, Sazegara stated that, “As far as I know, Iran, behind the scenes, negotiated with the US and the Biden administration and asked them to talk to Israel, stating that Iran would attack somewhere in Israel, and promise nobody will be killed, but Israel should not retaliate.
“Iran asked the US to put pressure on Israel not to retaliate enough to escalate. But this time, the US did not agree and told them that we can’t prevent Israel.” What challenges does Khamenei face in attacking Israel?
For Sazegara, Khamenei faces multiple challenges in considering any military action against Israel. First, a limited attack risks provoking a significant Israeli retaliation, which could lead to the defeat of Iran’s armed forces. Such a defeat could threaten Khamenei’s power, as historically, humiliated armed forces can often bite the hand that feeds them.
Secondly, Iran’s economy is fragile, struggling with issues like energy production, inflation, unemployment, and daily strikes. This economic instability further complicates the prospect of engaging in war.
Lastly, Khamenei lacks the support of the Iranian people for a war with Israel. Intelligence gathered indicates that the majority of Iranians oppose any conflict with Israel, leaving Khamenei potentially isolated if he chooses to pursue military action, although knowing the forcefulness with which the regime cracks down on dissent, that thought may be far from the ayatollah’s mind. Three senior Iranian officials told Reuters last week that only a ceasefire deal in Gaza could prevent Iran from directly retaliating against Israel for Haniyeh’s assassination. Diplomatic envoys have been working tirelessly behind the scenes to de-escalate the situation. This is a face-saving measure to allow the regime to fall back and present the people with some form of a pyrrhic victory, according to Sazegara.
“I’m sure that in Iran, the propaganda will say that ‘Israel was actually afraid of us and accepted the ceasefire,’” should a deal be agreed, he told the Post. “They have to do something to say to their followers that this was a show of power, that [Israel] accepted a ceasefire.
“And if these [Israel-Hamas] negotiations go nowhere and there is no ceasefire, I don’t know what Khamenei will do, but I guess that he would consider using Iran’s proxy groups to retaliate against Israel.”
The full interview with Mohsen Sazegara will be published in Friday’s Jerusalem Post.

Kazakhstan calls for a new security system for Central Asia
Dr. Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg/Arab News/August 20, 2024
Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev last week called for increased defense cooperation among the Central Asian countries known collectively as the C5 — Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan — potentially leading to a regional security architecture. This is a part of new efforts to reverse the old trend of the region having stronger relationships with external countries, such as Russia, than those within the region.
The new vision also reflects an anxiety Tokayev and other Central Asian leaders have expressed over polarization in international relations and a desire to remain neutral and positive while working with all sides, especially similarly independent midsize players such as the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, with which the C5 established strategic cooperation last year.
In an op-ed published last week, Tokayev pointed out the complex and persistent military-political challenges surrounding Central Asia and called for closer defense collaboration among the region’s states. He stressed: “The creation of a regional security architecture is becoming especially urgent, including through the development of a catalog of security risks for Central Asia and measures to prevent them.” He added: “As a responsible participant in the world community, Kazakhstan advocates strict adherence to the principles of international law, respect for sovereignty and the inviolability of borders.”
Tokayev outlined several priorities, including the formation of an indivisible regional security space, “comprehensive” approaches to traditional and emerging threats and the development of effective response and prevention strategies, while actively engaging with the UN and other international and regional organizations to enhance regional security.
Tokayev’s proposal came about a month after the Shanghai Cooperation Organization held its summit in Astana, where Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russia’s Vladimir Putin pressed the case for closer security, political and economic cooperation between the countries of the vast Eurasian region as a counterweight to Western alliances.
“SCO members should consolidate unity and jointly oppose external interference in the face of the real challenges of interference and division,” the Chinese leader said, while warning against a “Cold War mentality.”
President Putin reiterated Russia’s call for a “new architecture of cooperation, indivisible security and development in Eurasia, designed to replace the outdated Eurocentric and Euro-Atlantic models, which gave unilateral advantages only to certain states.” He said that the proposed new Eurasian security pact should be open to all countries across the region, including current NATO members. But the aim, he said, should be to gradually remove all external military presences from Eurasia.
In February, Putin launched the proposed Eurasian security system, stressing the need to form a “new contour of equal and indivisible security in Eurasia.” He said that Russia was ready for a substantive conversation on this topic with interested parties and associations. At the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit in Astana, he said: “The multipolar world has become reality. More and more countries support a fair world order and are ready to vigorously defend their legal rights and traditional values.”
That Tokayev presented his new vision just a month later reflects a desire to chart an independent path toward security, notwithstanding what was said at the Astana summit. He is clearly concerned about instability and security threats in the region, which he believes require a coordinated response that is independent of superpower rivalry.
Central Asian countries gained political independence in 1991 after about 150 years of Russian and then Soviet rule. Since gaining independence, they have sought to preserve their security and independence while promoting trade and investment. As landlocked countries, they lie thousands of miles away from any body of water other than the isolated Caspian Sea. As such, they need to build working relationships with their neighbors to secure supply routes and access to the sea.
Russia remained the Central Asia countries’ main trade partner even after independence. They all joined the Russian-led Commonwealth of Independent States, an economic integration organization, and some of them joined the Eurasian Economic Union. However, the war in Ukraine and Western sanctions have made it difficult for Russia to maintain its economic dominance in this region. In 2023, China became Central Asia’s top trade partner, pushing Russia into second.
The US has increased its engagement with the Central Asia countries ever since their independence, but especially since the outbreak of the Ukraine war. Last year, the US and the Central Asian states held their first ever summit. Kazakhstan is America’s top economic partner in the region, with bilateral trade of $4 billion in 2023. This is small compared to its trade with China and Russia, but it is growing. US direct investments in Kazakhstan reached $5 billion in 2022, with a total figure since independence of more than $62 billion. Besides its geostrategic location, Central Asia has abundant resources, including oil, gas, uranium and rare earth elements that are essential for high-tech industries and electric cars.
Competition between superpowers has seen them living cheek by jowl in these countries to try to woo them to one pole or the other, but the new security architecture proposed by Kazakhstan shows that Central Asia would like to stay neutral, friends of all and enemy of none. For example, they have not taken sides in the Ukraine war, with Tokayev publicly disagreeing with Putin during the 2022 St. Petersburg Economic Forum. The new security architecture proposed by Kazakhstan shows that Central Asia would like to stay neutral.
The main impetus toward closer cooperation in Central Asia has come from Uzbekistan, the region’s most populous country, especially since Shavkat Mirziyoyev came to power in 2016 and saw fresh opportunities for trade and political unity. In an article published last week, former Uzbek foreign minister and presidential adviser on foreign policy Abdulaziz Kamilov wrote that Uzbekistan “had assumed a special responsibility for the future of Central Asia” by “completely abandoning outdated approaches to establishing relations with neighbors,” meaning replacing animosities and suspicion with trust and cooperation. So, it is natural that Uzbekistan would support Kazakhstan’s proposal.
Azerbaijan, although not part of Central Asia, has also supported the proposal, emphasizing its collective defense aspects.
The only negative commentary on the proposal has come from outside Central Asia, dismissing it as a Western ploy.
As Central Asia and GCC ties grow, and as the two blocs prepare for their next summit in Samarkand next year, there will be plenty of exchanges on the idea of collective security. In March, the GCC released its first regional security vision, which also stressed collective defense and its central role in maintaining regional security, while avoiding polarization and confrontation and offering to support like-minded nations such as those in Central Asia.
*Dr. Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg is the Gulf Cooperation Council assistant secretary-general for political affairs and negotiation. The views expressed here are personal and do not necessarily represent the GCC. X: @abuhamad1

Social media’s incitement problem can no longer be masked
Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/August 20, 2024
One way to advance social and political agitation on social media and avoid being suspended from a platform appears to be to own it. When former US President Donald Trump’s Twitter account was suspended in 2021, he started his own platform, Truth Social. Elon Musk, the richest person in the world, later bought Twitter, renamed it X and welcomed back almost everyone. It now seems to be a case of the more incitement and hate speech they supply, the better.
In both cases, the owners of these social media platforms are active and zestful contributors to the spread of fake news and reckless opinions. In the case of Musk, his unwelcome interventions, through his tweets, in the recent racist riots in the UK led a former Twitter executive to suggest that Musk should face “personal sanctions” and even the threat of an “arrest warrant” if found to be stirring up public disorder on his social media platform.
The days of innocence, when we all thought that social media would serve as the “glocal” town square for deliberating social and political matters in the most inclusive and civilized manner, are long gone. Nevertheless, these platforms’ intentional toxicity is unexpected and has resulted in a distorted social discourse, the spread of untruths and the misrepresentation of reality on an industrial scale.
As we witnessed during the recent racist-xenophobic riots in the UK, social media was both a platform for spreading malicious incitement against minorities and migrants and a tool for organizing the many violent attacks against innocent members of the public and the police.
Social media has now existed for more than a quarter of a century and the era of trial and error and of it becoming the wild west of mass communication, promoted disingenuously in the name of freedom of speech and where everything is permissible, must come to an end.
Too much of it, because of the wealth and resultant political power accumulated by its owners, is allowed to spread incitement, malice and libelous claims without any accountability, neither social nor legal. This is not a call to suppress freedom of speech or to abandon social media, as it is here to stay, but it cannot be allowed to operate above the law, especially as it has become a force of disruption and it undermines social order by deliberately distorting reality and putting lives at risk in the process.
Social media must either change voluntarily or it becomes the duty of legislators to protect the public from it. To be sure, for quite some time, major advertisers and many users have been abandoning X, even before Musk’s antitrust lawsuit against brands that have boycotted it and his controversial activity on the platform during the recent UK riots. It is crucial to understand that freedom of expression is not an absolute freedom, as it carries with it a duty of responsibility.
Freedom of expression is not an absolute freedom, as it carries with it a duty of responsibility.
It took devious cynicism melded with extremism — at a time when a community was grieving over the fatal stabbing of three young girls, as was the case earlier this month in the northern English town of Southport — for far-right agitators to take to social media and spread misinformation and hateful anti-migrant and anti-Muslim narratives with the sole aim of fueling hatred and violence.
Posts appeared on X sharing the fake name of the perpetrator and were viewed by millions, contributing to one of the worst outbursts of mob violence in the country’s history. The role of moderators on social media, people responsible for managing and regulating user-generated content on digital platforms and in online communities, was created specifically to prevent such instances.
When these platforms are used to incite and organize criminal activities that target innocent people and those who serve to protect the public, they must not be allowed to host such criminals with impunity. Proper and effective sanctions must be applied not only against the users that spread hate and disinformation, but also on those who run these social media companies and make a fortune from them.
It gets worse when the owners of these platforms weigh in with their two cents, or 280 characters, or allow those with many thousands and sometimes millions of followers to amplify the initial fake claims of those with much more modest audiences.
And it was Musk who welcomed such people back to X. Allowing the presence of characters such as Stephen Yaxley-Lennon, aka Tommy Robinson, and Andrew Tate to have a presence on social media despite their previous antics is as good as endorsing their views. If one wanted to be kind to Musk, one could simply accuse him of being extremely naive in his belief in absolute freedom of speech, but more likely he is simply exploiting such characters to enhance his brand and his public profile, just as they use him to disseminate their social poison.
In the case of Musk, it is not only that he provided facilitation services to the organizers of the riots, but also that he weighed in recklessly in the most damaging manner, with interventions that some have suggested are worthy of criminal investigation. When the riots erupted, Musk, who has some 195 million followers, took to his X account and suggested that “civil war is inevitable.” When, sadly, too many people see social media accounts — and especially the users with huge followings — as modern-day oracles, the damage is bound to be immense.
Musk also shared with his followers a fake Daily Telegraph article claiming that UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer was considering sending far-right rioters to “emergency detainment camps” in the Falkland Islands, a claim that originated from the co-leader of the far-right group Britain First. Doing this during the most volatile period of the riots and calling the prime minister “two-tier Keir,” thereby advancing another baseless conspiracy theory that police are treating white far-right “protesters” more harshly than minority groups, was a deliberate case of adding fuel to the fire with potentially catastrophic consequences.
This irresponsible behavior unsurprisingly led to suggestions that the new Labour government was considering toughening up internet safety regulations in the UK, through legislation that would require tech giants to prevent the spread of illegal and harmful content on their platforms. If the social media companies will not put their house in order, it is the duty of legislators to enter the fray with much more determination. Moreover, the education system must also play its part and coach children from a very young age the responsible use of social media. Then it can perhaps do what it was intended to do in the first place: give a voice to everyone in society and not present a mere Punch and Judy show.
*Yossi Mekelberg is professor of international relations and an associate fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House. X: @YMekelberg

The Democrats’ national convention begins … Their worry is Musk’s support for Trump
Eyad Abu Shakra/ Asharq Al-Awsat./August 20, 2024
The Democratic National Convention kicked off on Monday in Chicago, before the echoes of former US president and current candidate Donald Trump’s “chat” with his new billionaire “friend,” X owner Elon Musk, had gone quiet (will they ever?). Under ordinary circumstances, the national convention of the president’s party is considered the most significant in the lead-up to the US presidential election. However, who said that these are ordinary circumstances? It is not normal for the Democrats to push their presidential candidate and current president (Joe Biden) out of the race, after he had effectively been confirmed as the party’s nominee, due to concerns around his health. Hastily resolving the issue of Biden’s replacement, with his Vice President Kamala Harris nominated even before the party’s delegates headed to Chicago, is not normal either. Moreover, it is not normal, at least for the Democrats, to present a unified front despite the presence of several wings, including Bernie Sanders’ progressive wing.
Nor is it normal to postpone discussing a series of prominent contentious issues or to supposedly keep the electorate in the dark with regard to the Democrats’ position on the war in Ukraine, the displacement war on Gaza and the unrest in US universities. These are all matters that concern Democratic Party activists, especially youths and minorities. With all of that in mind, there can be no doubt about what brings the party together: the situation at the opposite end of the political spectrum. True, the Republicans have once again placed their trust in Trump, despite all the legal issues that have threatened to derail his campaign. However, some say that the borderline consensus he had enjoyed until very recently can no longer be taken for granted. For the first time in a while, historically significant and influential Republican Party figures are questioning Trump’s supposed infallibility and challenging his firm “Make America Great Again” base. Among them are former Vice President Mike Pence, former Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, former President George W. Bush and former Vice President Dick Cheney and his daughter Liz Cheney, who used to be a party leader. Moreover, some are closely monitoring trends within a prominent and influential voting bloc of the American right, one that the Republicans have heavily relied on since the days of Ronald Reagan: evangelical Christians. Although the vast majority of evangelicals remain loyal to Trump, some projections indicate that we will see small shifts within certain conservative circles that are more focused on personal behavior than the theological dogma that has historically fueled evangelical votes for the Republican Party. Despite the media buzz that the Democratic National Convention is expected to generate, which could improve Harris’ standing in the polls, Musk and X’s entry into the ring in support of Trump could cancel out all the points the Democrats have scored. The Democrats received a reasonable bump in support, as several swing state polls demonstrate, after Biden withdrew from the race following his disastrous debate with Trump. These modest gains were reaffirmed after a consensus around naming Harris emerged smoothly. No such consensus emerged around Hillary Clinton, who lost the votes of many of Sanders’ supporters.
Finally, Harris’ choosing of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate was seen as a positive step by voters who consider themselves to be part of the traditional base of the Democratic Party. This bloc includes low-income rural farmers and small landowners, as well as the unskilled working class in the Rust Belt, who have been hit hard as a result of the decline in manufacturing and mining. Musk and X’s entry into the ring in support of Trump could cancel out all the points the Democrats have scored. In fact, Walz’s first speech, in which he proudly highlighted his humble family background and hard work, struck a chord with many poor and lower-middle-class Democratic voters. This bloc had abandoned the Democratic Party during the rise of Reagan in the 1980s, being known as “Reagan Democrats” since then. Anyone familiar with modern American history knows that this segment of the electorate (Reagan Democrats), along with the evangelical religious right and the economic (fiscal) right, is the Republican base. Trump’s current base is also made up of this trio, alongside the isolationist and nationalist MAGA movement. However, the decisive factor this November will be the extent to which Trump benefits from Musk’s support and explicit opposition to the Democratic ticket.Musk’s position and the degree of influence he can exert are two very important factors in this battle.
*Eyad Abu Shakra is managing editor of Asharq Al-Awsat. X: @eyad1949 This article first appeared in Asharq Al-Awsat.