English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For August 02/2024
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
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Bible Quotations For today
Such people do not serve our Lord Christ, but their own appetites, and by smooth talk and flattery they deceive the hearts of the simple-minded

Letter to the Romans 16/17-20/:"I urge you, brothers and sisters, to keep an eye on those who cause dissensions and offences, in opposition to the teaching that you have learned; avoid them. For such people do not serve our Lord Christ, but their own appetites, and by smooth talk and flattery they deceive the hearts of the simple-minded. For while your obedience is known to all, so that I rejoice over you, I want you to be wise in what is good, and guileless in what is evil. The God of peace will shortly crush Satan under your feet. The grace of our Lord Jesus Christ be with you."

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on August 01-02/2024
Hezbollah says fired ‘dozens’ of rockets at north Israel
Fears mount in Lebanon of a wider war as Hezbollah vows retaliation
Hezbollah leader says war with Israel has entered 'new phase' after killings of top militant figures
Five civilians killed in strike on Tyre's Shamaa
Report: Israel warns Hezbollah any attack on civilians leads to war
UK foreign and defense secretaries meet Lebanese leaders amid regional tensions
Israeli assault on Hezbollah in Lebanon to occur in three phases, Saudi reporter predicts
War of attrition: U.S. can deter Hezbollah by showing support for Israel/David Daoud/The Washington Times/August 01/2024
Who's who in Iran's 'axis of resistance'
I will present an indictment letter to the Attorney General of the Republic against Hassan Nasrallah and his various accomplices/Roger Bejjani/Face Book/August 01/2024

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on August 01-02/2024
Israel PM says in ‘very high level of defensive and offensive’ preparation
IDF confirms it killed Mohammed Deif in Khan Yunis attack
Iran, allies ready Israel response as funerals held for militant leaders
US deploys 12 warships to Mideast as regional tensions soar
Thousands attend funeral for assassinated Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh
Eliminating Haniyeh in Qatar would have been good, eliminating him in Tehran was better - analysis
IDF confirms killing Al Jazeera journalist, says he was Hamas operative
300 days in hell: It's time to bring the hostages home - editorial
'Gaza's Bin Laden': Politicians react to IDF confirmation of Deif's killing
Blinken calls on 'all parties' in Middle East to 'stop escalatory actions'
Mediators say Haniyeh killing harms deal, Israel wants hostage release
Palestinian homes were destroyed ‘for revenge,’ says Israeli soldier who served in Gaza
Turkey blocks NATO-Israel cooperation over Gaza war, sources say
US and Russia complete biggest prisoner swap in post-Soviet history, freeing Gershkovich and Whelan

Titles For The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources on August 01-02/2024
Dissecting the Haniyeh, Shukr assassinations and their impact/Keren Setton/The Media Line/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
Israel’s strike on Hamas Leader Haniyeh signals defiance to Iran/Dan Diker/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
After the assassinations: Does Iran retaliate? Can Hamas fight on? And what about the hostages?/Ron Kampeas/JTA//Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
Seven winners and six losers in the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, Hamas’s political leader/Philssa Cramer/JTA/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
Pinpoint assassinations: Israel’s message to Hezbollah, Lebanon, Hamas, and Iran/Herb Keinon/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
The Horror of an Iranian Nuclear Weapon/Nils A. Haug/ Gatestone Institute/August 1, 2024
Today in History: Outnumbered Christian Knights Defeat Hordes of Sadistic Muslims/Raymond Ibrahim/The Stream/August 01/2024
Bomb Smuggled Into Iran Guesthouse Months Ago Killed Hamas Leader/Ronen Bergman/The New York Times/ August 1, 2024

Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on August 01-02/2024
Hezbollah says fired ‘dozens’ of rockets at north Israel
AFP/August 01, 2024
BEIRUT: Hezbollah said it launched rockets at northern Israel Thursday “in response” to a deadly Israeli strike in south Lebanon — the group’s first attack after Israel killed a top commander earlier this week. The Iran-backed group said in a statement that it “launched dozens of Katyusha rockets... in response to the Israeli enemy’s attack on... (the southern village of Shama) that killed a number of civilians.” The Israeli military said that shortly after the rocket fire, the air force “struck the Hezbollah launcher from which the projectiles were launched.”Earlier Thursday, the Lebanese health ministry said four Syrians were killed in an Israeli strike on the south, where Hezbollah and Israel have exchanged near-daily fire since the Gaza war began in October. “The health ministry announces... four Syrian nationals were martyred” in an “Israeli strike” on the southern village of Shama, it said in a statement.
The ministry said the toll might rise once DNA tests had been carried out.The strike also wounded five Lebanese nationals, it added. Emergency services told AFP that the dead were farmer workers and part of the same family. Plumes of smoke billowed from the site of the strike, which heavily damaged two nearby buildings and burnt a vehicle to a crisp, a photographer contributing to AFP reported. The attack was Hezbollah’s first since an Israeli air strike killed its top commander Fuad Shukr on Tuesday evening, with leader Hassan Nasrallah saying operations would resume on Friday morning.
Nasrallah warned his group was bound to respond to the killing of Shukr. His death was followed hours later Wednesday, by the killing of Hezbollah ally Hamas’s chief Ismail Haniyeh in a strike in Tehran, which Iran and Hamas have blamed on Israel. Israel has declined to comment on his killing.
The violence since October has killed at least 542 people on the Lebanese side, most of them fighters but also including 114 civilians, according to an AFP tally. At least 22 soldiers and 25 civilians have been killed on the Israeli side, including in the annexed Golan Heights, according to army figures.

Fears mount in Lebanon of a wider war as Hezbollah vows retaliation
NAJIA HOUSSARI/Arab News/August 01, 2024
BEIRUT: Security measures in Lebanon increased on Thursday following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on Wednesday morning. This, in turn, came after the assassination of senior Hezbollah military commander Fouad Shukr on Tuesday night in Beirut’s southern suburbs.
Hezbollah asked those in southern towns not to film security events and to disconnect fixed surveillance cameras from the internet, which it claimed was “infiltrated by Israel.”Caution prevailed on the southern front, interrupted by Israeli raids and shelling on border towns. In an effort to contain any deterioration in security, British Foreign Secretary David Lammy and Defense Secretary John Healey arrived in Beirut for talks with Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, Prime Minister Najib Mikati, and Foreign Minister Abdullah Bou Habib. Lammy called on “all parties to respect and implement Resolution 1701 and all its provisions and stipulations.”Healy commended “the partnership between the Lebanese and British armies” and called for “addressing all conflicts through dialogue and diplomatic means, as the violence will have dire consequences for everyone.”
Berri informed the British delegation “that Lebanon does not want war but is ready to defend itself, and Israeli arrogance is dragging the region toward unpredictable dangers.”Mikati said Lebanon appreciated the message of support from British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, conveyed by the two secretaries of state. He stressed that “Israel has violated Lebanese sovereignty and attacked our land, in violation of international laws, and it assaults civilians blatantly every day” and added: “The solution can only be political by implementing international resolutions, including UN Resolution 1701.”
He called on Britain and the international community to “put pressure on Israel to stop its aggression.”Mikati’s appeal came as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs filed a complaint with the UN Security Council and the UN secretary-general through its permanent mission in New York.
The ministry called on Security Council members “to condemn the Israeli cyberattacks on Lebanon, which pose a serious threat to civil aviation services and endanger the security and safety of communication networks, devices, applications, and electronic data in vital Lebanese facilities.”
The ministry’s actions are based on a report from the Lebanese Ministry of Telecommunications, which revealed: “The source of GPS jamming is in northern Israel and caused a decline in the accuracy of positioning in Lebanon, affecting transport and communication services. “Repeated warnings from the Network Time Protocol server were reported, showing the frequent loss of GPS signals and a decline in the quality of service and user experience for mobile network operators.” The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has also requested its permanent mission in Geneva to file a complaint with the International Telecommunication Union, calling for necessary technical measures to stop such attacks and assist Lebanon in ensuring proper functioning of its communication networks.
Also on Thursday, Egyptian Ambassador to Lebanon Alaa Moussa discussed the latest developments with Berri. The envoy affirmed Egypt’s rejection of any aggression against Lebanon and highlighted Egypt’s support. Moussa stressed the importance of calm as expansion of the conflict would result in dire consequences for both Lebanon and the entire region. He said: “We have already warned that the Israeli aggression against Gaza will expand the cycle of violence circle and confrontations on many and multiple fronts, which actually happened in the past days.”
The ambassador conveyed a message from Egypt that warned “resorting to political assassinations and the consequences resulting of this approach that will lead us into a vicious circle.” Moussa added the international community must assume their responsibilities through the UN Security Council by issuing a binding resolution to reach a ceasefire in Gaza, achieving de-escalation on all fronts and especially in south Lebanon. The body of Hezbollah’s Fouad Shukr was found under the debris of a residential building in Haret Hreik, along with a second body that was identified as Iranian adviser Milad Bedi. The bodies of Hanaa Bashire and her daughter, Dr. Salwa Zuhair Al-Bitar, who lived in the targeted building, were also recovered. This brings the total number of Israeli airstrike victims to eight, two of whom were children. Iranian news agencies reported that Bedi was a “military adviser of Al-Quds Force, the overseas arm of the Revolutionary Guards. Shortly before Shukr’s funeral, Hezbollah hung giant portraits of him bearing the words “Fuad Al-Muqawama” — Arabic for “the heart of resilience” — on roads to the south. The Lebanese people held their breath on Thursday amid fears of retaliation from Hezbollah and Iran. Private institutions in Beirut shortened working hours for employees to 4 p.m., an hour before Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah’s speech at Shukr’s funeral procession. Nasrallah warned the group was bound to respond to the killing and said the deaths of both Shukr and the Hamas leader “crossed red lines.”

Hezbollah leader says war with Israel has entered 'new phase' after killings of top militant figures
The Associated Press/Abby Sewell And Kareem Chehayeb/ August 1, 2024
Hezbollah’s leader warned Thursday that the conflict with Israel has entered a “new phase,” as he addressed mourners at the funeral of a commander from the group who was killed by an Israeli airstrike this week in Beirut. Meanwhile in Tehran, Iran’s supreme leader prayed over the body of Hamas’ political leader, who was killed in a presumed Israeli assassination. The back-to-back killings have increased fears of an escalation into a wider war, leaving the region waiting to see how Iran and ally Hezbollah will respond. Iran has vowed retaliation against Israel for the strike that killed Hamas’ Ismail Haniyeh on Wednesday in the Iranian capital of Tehran. Israel has not claimed responsibility for Haniyeh’s assassination, but comments by Israeli military spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari stopped short of an outright denial. “There was no additional airstrike, not a missile and not an Israeli drone, in the entire Middle East that night,” he said Thursday, fueling speculation that Israel could have used other means to kill Haniyeh. Israel did confirm it carried out the strike Tuesday in Beirut that killed Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukur, along with an Iranian military adviser and at least five civilians. Israel said Shukur was behind a rocket attack days earlier that hit a soccer field in the Israeli-held Golan Heights, killing 12 children. Hezbollah denied being behind that strike, a denial that Nasrallah reiterated.
In a speech via video link to mourners gathered with Shukur’s coffin at an auditorium in a Beirut suburb, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah said, “We … have entered a new phase that is different from the previous period.”“Do they expect that Hajj Ismail Haniyeh will be killed in Iran and Iran will remain silent?” he said of the Israelis. Addressing Israelis who celebrated the two killings, he said, “Laugh a bit and you will cry a lot.”But as he often does, Nasrallah kept his comments vague, vowing a “very well-studied retaliation” without saying what form it would take. He said only that Israel “will have to wait for the anger of the region’s honorable people.”“The enemy and the one who is behind the enemy” — an apparent reference to Israel's chief ally, the United States — “will have to wait for our coming response,” he said. International officials have been scrambling to avert a cycle of retaliation before it spirals into a greater war. Since the Gaza war began in October, Hezbollah and Israel have traded fire almost daily across the border in exchanges that have caused deaths and the evacuation of tens of thousands from their homes. But they have also stayed within limits. Several times, strikes that appeared to cross red lines raised fears of an acceleration into full-fledged war, but outside diplomacy reined in the two sides. Hezbollah faces strong pressure not to draw Lebanon into a repeat of the militant group's 2006 war with Israel, which wreaked heavy death and destruction in the country. Israel and Iran risked plunging into war earlier this year when Israel hit Iran’s embassy in Damascus in April. Iran retaliated, and Israel countered in an unprecedented exchange of strikes on each other’s soil, but international efforts succeeded in containing that cycle before it spun out of control. In Beirut's southern suburbs, the biggest Shiite district in the capital, hundreds of black-clad mourners packed the auditorium, many of them holding Hezbollah flags or photos of Shukur. An escort of red-capped fighters carried Shukur’s coffin, also draped in a Hezbollah flag, down the aisle to the backing of a military band. In his speech, Nasrallah praised Shukur as a veteran commander and denied that Hezbollah carried out the deadly strike on the soccer field in the mainly Druze town of Majdal Shams in the Golan. “We have the courage to take responsibility for where we strike, even if it’s a mistake. If we made a mistake, we would admit and apologize,” he said, adding, "The enemy made itself the judge, jury, and executioner without any evidence.”
An unusual relative calm prevailed Thursday on the Lebanon-Israel border. Hezbollah claimed no rocket launches into Israel during the day. The Lebanese state news agency said a strike hit the house of a Syrian family in a southern Lebanese town, killing at least four people and wounding several others. Afterward, Hezbollah announced it had launched a barrage of rockets into Israel in retaliation. Nasrallah said Hezbollah's fighters would return to regular military operations Friday, ending the period of mourning for Shukur, but that the renewed strikes would be unrelated to the retaliation for his killing.
Earlier Thursday in Tehran, Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei prayed over Haniyeh’s coffin in a ceremony at Tehran University, with the new president, Masoud Pezeshkian, next to him. State television later showed the coffin placed in a truck and moved on the street toward Azadi Square in Tehran and people throwing flowers at it.
Haniyeh’s remains are to be transferred to Qatar for burial Friday. Haniyeh came to Tehran to attend the inauguration of Pezeshkian. Associated Press photos showed the Hamas leader seated alongside leaders from the Palestinian Islamic Jihad militant group and Hezbollah, and Iranian media showed him and Pezeshkian hugging. Haniyeh had met earlier with Khamenei. Hours later, he was killed in a strike that hit a residence Haniyeh uses in Tehran. Iranian authorities said the attack is under investigation but haven’t provided details. Israel had pledged to kill Haniyeh and other Hamas leaders over the group’s Oct. 7 attack on southern Israel that sparked the war in Gaza. On Thursday, Israel said it had confirmed that the head of Hamas’ military wing, Mohammed Deif, was killed in a July 13 airstrike in Gaza. Hamas, which earlier said Deif survived the blast, did not immediately comment.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said “all parties” in the Middle East must avoid escalatory actions that could plunge the region into further conflict. Speaking Thursday in the Mongolian capital of Ulaaanbataar, Blinken appealed for countries to “make the right choices in the days ahead” and said a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas in Gaza was the only way to begin to break the current cycle of violence and suffering. Blinken did not mention Israel, Iran or Hamas by name in his comments.

Five civilians killed in strike on Tyre's Shamaa
Naharnet/August 01/2024
A Syrian family of five were killed Thursday in an Israeli strike on their house in the southern village of Shamaa in the Tyre district. A mother and her four children were killed as Israeli warplanes targeted their house, local media reports said. Several others were injured in the strike. Warplanes had earlier Thursday raided the southern border town of kfarkila, with no casualties reported. The strike was carried out while Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah was addressing mourners at the funeral of a commander from the group who was killed by an Israeli airstrike this week in Beirut. An unusual relative calm had prevailed in the past two days on the Lebanon-Israel border. On Wednesday and Thursday, Hezbollah claimed no rocket launches into Israel. Since the Gaza war began in October, Hezbollah and Israel have traded fire almost daily across the border.

Report: Israel warns Hezbollah any attack on civilians leads to war
Naharnet/August 01/2024
Israel has communicated a “stern warning” to Hezbollah through Western and regional intermediaries following the recent assassination of top commander Fouad Shukur that any massive attack on Israeli civilians will lead to war, Israeli sources told the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper. “Israel intends to target fighters rather than combat-supporting infrastructure and urges Hezbollah to adopt a similar focus,” the sources added. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has meanwhile asked Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdurrahman Al-Thani to relay messages to Iran and Hezbollah, a source told CNN. Blinken spoke to the premier on Wednesday. “The messages were a call for pacifying the escalation and refraining from responding to the killing of Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukur and Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh,” the source added, noting that the Qatari PM agreed to convey the messages.

UK foreign and defense secretaries meet Lebanese leaders amid regional tensions
Naharnet/August 01/2024
Britain’s Foreign Secretary David Lammy and Defense Secretary John Healey arrived Thursday in Beirut following a trip to Qatar. They met with Speaker Nabih Berri and caretaker Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib following their arrival before heading to the Grand Serail for talks with caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati. Mikati told the British officials that “the solution can only be political, through the implementation of international resolutions, including Resolution 1701,” calling on the UK and the international community to “press Israel to halt its aggression,” his office said.
Lammy for his part called on all parties to respect Resolution 1701 and implement it with all its stipulations, as the British defense secretary lauded the partnership between the Lebanese and British armies and called for resolving all conflicts through dialogue and diplomatic means, Mikati’s office said. “Violence will have dire consequences for everyone,” the office quoted Healey as saying. Berri meanwhile told the British visitors that “Lebanon does not want war but at the same time is ready to defend itself.”He added that Resolution 1701 can be implemented through “a permanent cessation of the aggression against the Gaza Strip or through a several-week truce.” The British delegation for its part told Berri that the UK sees a need to reach a ceasefire in Gaza and Lebanon, expressing grave concern over the latest escalation and warning that any miscalculation might lead to an expansion of the war in the region, Berri’s office said. Britain says Lammy and Healey have traveled to the region to call for an end to the conflict in Gaza and de-escalation in the wider region. "Escalation and destabilization are in no one’s interests. It is absolutely vital that we engage closely with partners like Qatar, who play a key role in mediating the conflict in Gaza, so that we can bring this devastating war to an end," Lammy said in a statement while in Doha. For his part, Healey stated: "De-escalation must be our primary focus as this region stands at a crossroads. The loss of innocent life in recent weeks and months is unbearable. This has to end.""All sides must step back from conflict and step-up diplomacy," he said, adding that they will work with partners like Qatar for a renewed push for peace. Tension have peaked between Hezbollah and Israel following a rare airstrike on Beirut’s southern suburbs that killed the group’s most senior military commander Fouad Shukur, an Iranian military adviser and five Lebanese civilians. The strike also wounded dozens of people.Hour later, Palestinian group Hamas announced that its leader Ismail Haniyeh was killed in an Israeli airstrike in Iran’s capital Tehran, prompting Iran’s leaders to threaten revenge.

Israeli assault on Hezbollah in Lebanon to occur in three phases, Saudi reporter predicts
Rikki Zagelbaum/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
According to a Saudi news outlet Al-Hadath, the Israeli attack on Lebanon is planned to occur in three separate phases, targeting Hezbollah leaders and infrastructure. The Israeli attack on Lebanon will be carried out in three distinct stages, a source from Saudi news outlet Al-Hadath reported on Tuesday. Mahmoud Shukar, a reporter at Al-Hadath, stated in an interview on the Saudi channel that the first wave of the Israeli attack will target the usual Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon, “located deep within the area, around 20 to 30 km away.” He referred to these sites as “old military bases,” adding that they will be targeted with “different weapons compared to the past." The second wave, according to Shukar, will target the coastal road, specifically the routes from Tyre to Sidon and up to the outskirts of Beirut, “where Hezbollah targets such as warehouses and infrastructure may be located," he said. Lebanon-Syria border to be targetted. The third wave of attacks, Shukar continued, will target the area around the Lebanon-Syria border, specifically focusing on regions like Baalbek, a city about 67 km northeast of Beirut. This phase will reportedly extend deeper into Lebanon to strike key Hezbollah targets, including military and logistical support systems, he said. Shukar made these predictions on the same day that the IDF conducted a precision strike on a Hezbollah target in Beirut, which killed Hezbollah's most senior military commander and the head of its Strategic Unit, Fuad Shukr. Shukr was the Hezbollah commander responsible for the rocket attack three days earlier, which killed twelve children and teenagers in the northern Golan town of Majdal Shams. “As for Hezbollah, there are no visible actions or movements on the ground,” Shukar concluded. “No one knows what Hezbollah is planning.

War of attrition: U.S. can deter Hezbollah by showing support for Israel
David Daoud/The Washington Times/August 01/2024
If Israel and Lebanon had been teetering on the brink of war for nearly a year, Hezbollah’s strike in Majdal Shams on Saturday, which killed 12 Israeli children, could tip matters over the edge.
The tit-for-tat that erupted nine months ago quickly became a war of attrition that has decimated both sides of the border, displacing tens of thousands of Israelis and Lebanese. This conflict has always been one mistake away from erupting into a full conflagration between Israel and Hezbollah that promises to be even bloodier than the war in the Gaza Strip.
On Oct. 8, Hezbollah unilaterally ignited the border between the two countries to support its allied terrorist groups in Gaza. Its objectives, laid out in a Nov. 3 speech by its secretary-general, Hassan Nasrallah, were clear: to divide Israel’s attention and forces along two fronts and increase the cost the Israelis would bear to prosecute their war in Gaza. Hezbollah’s ultimate purpose was to force Israel into a premature cease-fire so “the Palestinian resistance in Gaza, in particular Hamas, will emerge victorious,” to fight the Israelis again in the future. Enter the diplomats. French and American envoys have spent months shuttling back and forth to Beirut and Jerusalem to avert this conflict — they’ve brought to bear every carrot, every bit of leverage they have in Lebanon to get the Lebanese to save themselves and restrain Hezbollah, or at least cajole the group into backing down by halting its attacks or withdrawing from the border with Israel. To no avail. The group answers to higher powers in Iran and will not disarm or withdraw from the region, and is stubbornly sticking to its promise to continue attacking Israel until the latter halts its campaign in Gaza. In desperation, then, the emissaries of Washington and Paris have been trying to merely restore quiet to the Blue Line — the de facto boundary between Israel and Lebanon — by any means possible.
But quiet has become a sacrosanct end, not merely a means to gradually degrade Hezbollah. Since taking office, the Biden administration has wanted to reorient U.S. foreign policy to other fronts — namely, supporting Ukraine and confronting China. It has also become imperative to silence the emerging discord over Gaza that threatens to tear the Democratic Party asunder in a critical election year. The cease-fire proposals are therefore focused on ending the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah for now. They center on some mixture of distancing Hezbollah a handful of kilometers from the Blue Line coupled with the unreliable guarantee that the Lebanese military and the U.N. peacekeeping force in Lebanon will prevent them from returning — despite the failure of these forces to restrain the group in any way for decades. To give Lebanon incentive to accept of these deals, as if the ultimate decision were Beirut’s, these Western powers have reportedly offered sweeteners: to help Lebanon overcome its presidential impasse, provide the financially crippled country with economic assistance, or to resolve its outstanding border disputes with Israel — on the assumption that doing so will deprive Hezbollah of continued justification to attack the Jewish state.
At best, this would achieve a cosmetic resolution to the conflict raging on Israel’s northern border. Hezbollah’s enmity toward Israel and its designs to destroy it would remain — and a cease-fire, without more, would give Hezbollah breathing room to resume its rearmament and preparations, to attack Israel at a more advantageous time later. That time will come because the group’s enmity toward Israel is unconditional and uncompromising. Hezbollah believes the Jewish state has been built upon stolen Arab land that is sacred to Islam and must therefore be destroyed. Yet the group opposes not just Israel, but Judaism itself, which it considers the true source of the problem.
Proposals to calm the northern border leave Israel to choose from a series of bad options. The first is to bow to the pressure arrayed against it — from the U.S. administration and the international community, a growing domestic constituency opposed to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s premiership and the grind of a 10-month war. At best, this would restore a deceptive, Oct. 6-style quiet to the north and allow the 80,000 Israelis displaced from the region to return to their homes in the shadow of Hezbollah’s ominous presence. But it would enable Hezbollah to claim victory and erase any semblance of Israeli deterrence: The group would say that it not only endured a 10-month Israeli onslaught, but that it also accomplished something unprecedented — for itself or any other Arab force — of creating a de facto no-man’s-land in Israel and forcing the Jewish state to seek the group’s permission for Israeli citizens to return home.
This would damage Israeli morale while giving a Hezbollah a much-needed popularity boost at home. Demonstrating Israeli frailty would also help justify the group’s demand of its own base that it continue enduring the pain necessary to liberate the Palestinians from the river to the sea.
The alternative option for Israel would be to go to war against Hezbollah, despite being battered by the Oct. 7 massacre and subsequent war in Gaza, bruised by international opprobrium and growing isolation, and without the guaranteed but vital support of its most critical ally, the United States. War could eliminate the spreading threat to Israel’s security before it becomes existential. It could also prove far more painful than the war in Gaza, in light of Hezbollah’s arsenal of 200,000 rockets, missiles and drones whose quality is far superior to that of anything in Hamas’ hands.
But there is a third option, one that could avert a war: for the United States to demonstrably back Israel’s right to defend itself, including through a campaign in Lebanon, while holding Beirut’s — and not Jerusalem’s — feet to the fire. Washington’s message to Hezbollah should be that, if its provocations continue, it stands to suffer irreversible and inescapable consequences. This restoration of U.S.-backed Israeli deterrence could keep the group in check indefinitely.
*David Daoud is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) focusing on Israel, Hezbollah and Lebanon. Follow him on X @DavidADaoud.

Who's who in Iran's 'axis of resistance'
Agence France Presse/August 01, 2024
The Iran-aligned "axis of resistance" against Israel and its allies have lost two major figures in less than 24 hours in attacks either blamed on or claimed by Israel. Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh was killed on Wednesday in Tehran in a strike the group blamed on Israel, hours after top Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukur perished in an Israeli strike on southern Beirut. Here are the main members of the "axis of resistance" which has supported Hamas since the Palestinian group launched the October 7 attack on Israel, sparking fears of a regional conflict.
Iran
Middle East powerhouse Iran is officially committed to the destruction of what it calls the "Zionist entity". It backs armed groups across the region who have attacked Israel since the Gaza war erupted.In April, Iran made its first ever direct attack on Israeli soil, firing a barrage of drones and missiles after a deadly strike on its Damascus consular annex blamed on Israel. Days later, explosions rocked Iran's central Isfahan province, with U.S. officials saying that Israel carried out a retaliatory strike. Israel has declined to comment on Haniyeh's killing, but Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei threatened a "harsh punishment".
Hezbollah
Lebanon's Hezbollah, the most powerful "axis of resistance" group, has traded near-daily cross-border fire with Israel since the start of the Gaza war. The killing Tuesday of Shukur, who Israel says was responsible for a weekend strike on the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights that killed 12 children, has raised fears of a fierce response. Hezbollah, or "Party of God" in Arabic, was founded during the 1975-1990 Lebanon civil war after Israel's 1982 invasion of Beirut. Created at the initiative of Iran's Revolutionary Guards, the group fought Israeli troops who occupied southern Lebanon until 2000. It is the only faction to have retained its weapons after the end of the civil war, and is considered to have a bigger arsenal than the army. Hezbollah has expanded the size and quality of its arsenal since it last fought an all-out war with Israel in 2006.Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has repeatedly said his group's advanced weaponry can strike deep into Israel.
Hamas
Hamas, which emerged from the Muslim Brotherhood movement, was created in 1987 after the first Palestinian uprising known as the intifada, and has ruled the Gaza Strip since 2007. For decades, targeted assassinations have killed Hamas political figures and military commanders, pushing its leadership abroad, in Syria, Lebanon, Qatar and Turkey. In recent years, the group improved its relations with Iran and gradually became a key "axis of resistance" member. The latest Gaza war was sparked by Hamas's October 7 attack on Israel. Israel has vowed to crush Hamas, and on Thursday announced it had killed the group's military chief in a July 13 air strike in Gaza. Hamas has yet to confirm this.
Iraq 'resistance' groups
Several Iraqi Shiite Muslim groups are also aligned with Iran and hostile to the United States, which still maintains troops in Iraq since the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of the country. They are demanding the departure of roughly 2,500 American troops deployed in Iraq as part of a U.S.-led anti-jihadists coalition.
In the first few months of the Gaza war, these groups which have formed a loose alliance known as the Islamic Resistance of Iraq have targeted U.S. forces in the country in support of the Palestinians, before suspending their attacks in late January. The alliance has also claimed to have targeted Israel with drones and rockets. The alliance's main groups are Kataeb Hezbollah, Al-Nujaba and the Sayyed al-Shuhada Brigades. These groups are also affiliated with Hashed al-Shaabi, mainly former paramilitaries now integrated into Iraq's armed forces.
Yemen's Houthis
In the wake of the Gaza war, the Houthis have launched numerous attacks against commercial shipping in the Gulf they say is linked to Israel, triggering retaliatory strikes by the United States and its allies.They have also claimed targeting Israel, sometimes in joint operations with Iraqi groups. On July 20, Israel struck Yemen's Houthi-controlled Hodeida port, its first attack on the Arabian Peninsula's poorest country, a day after a Houthi drone attack killed a civilian in Tel Aviv. Originating in northern Yemen, the Houthis were founded in the 1990s to fight the alleged marginalization of their minority Zaidi community, a branch of Shiite Islam, in the majority Sunni country. In 2014, the movement seized control of the capital Sanaa and large swathes of Yemen, prompting Saudi Arabia the following year to form a multi-national coalition in support of Yemen's internationally recognized government.

I will present an indictment letter to the Attorney General of the Republic against Hassan Nasrallah and his various accomplices
Roger Bejjani/Face Book/August 01/2024
I will present an indictment letter to the Attorney General of the Republic against Hassan Nasrallah and his various accomplices for (1) working for the benefit of a foreign country, (2) endangering the lives of Lebanese throughout the country, (3) endangering the Lebanese economy, of the country's infrastructure, Lebanese investments and freedom of travel, (4) violation of United Nations Security Council resolution # 1701 and the Armistice Agreement of 1949, in blatant contradiction of the Lebanese constitution and various ministerial statements.
I wonder how the Law Order didn't file such a complaint. So where is the truffle of parliament? Better against the other?
Should we wait for a cataclysm before we react?
In the absence of a government worthy of this name, maybe the Judiciary will move. It's naive but highly symbolic!

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on August 01-02/2024
Israel PM says in ‘very high level of defensive and offensive’ preparation
AFP/August 01, 2024
JERUSALEM: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Thursday that Israel was prepared for any “aggression” against it following threats of retaliation for the killings of top Hamas and Hezbollah figures. “Israel is at a very high level of preparation for any scenario, both defensive and offensive. We will make any act of aggression against us pay a very high price,” Netanyahu said in a statement. “Those who attack us, we will attack in return.” His comments came as Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah warned Thursday that the Lebanese armed group was bound to respond to Israel’s killing of its top military commander, Fuad Shukr, in a strike on Tuesday in a Beirut suburb. On Wednesday, Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh was killed in a strike in Tehran, which Iran and Hamas have blamed on Israel. Israel has declined to comment on his killing. “You do not know what red lines you crossed,” Nasrallah said addressing Israel during a speech broadcast at Shukr’s funeral. “The enemy, and those who are behind the enemy, must await our inevitable response.”

IDF confirms it killed Mohammed Deif in Khan Yunis attack
Yonah Jeremy Bob/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
The military said that only in recent hours it had received additional intelligence to confirm Deif's death to a complete certainty. The IDF on Thursday confirmed 100% that its July 13 airstrike targeting Hamas military leader Mohammed Deif succeeded in killing him.
The military said that only in recent hours it had received additional intelligence to confirm Deif's death to a complete certainty, taking into account that the defense establishment had been confident for the last two weeks that its air strike had killed him. Pressed, the IDF would not only not reveal what the new confirmatory information was, but would also not share what category of information it was. In such cases in the past, the information is often a very sensitive human spy or a very sensitive electronic spying element which the defense establishment feels would be lost if even a hint of who or what it was comes out. IDF sources indicated that some members of Hamas and Hezbollah have known for some time that Deif was dead, but that others may not have known because portions of Hamas are currently cut off from the broader Hamas operational network.
The IDF's July announcement
Already on July 21, the military had revealed that Deif was to a 100% certainty in the room with Hamas Khan Yunis Brigade Commander Rafah Salame, when the bombs which were dropped and killed Salame struck. The fact that Salame was in fact killed and the size of the bombs had already made it a practical certainty that Deif was also killed, though IDF sources until Thursday had cautioned that in one of the prior failed attempted assassinations of Deif, he was in the room which was hit, but happened to be in a tiny part of the room which was just shielded enough by the surrounding objects and setting to survive. As part of the assassination, the air force had kept a series of five different pairs of aircraft and drones rotating through the role of hovering and passing by the residence where Deif was expected to visit Salame, such that the moment the war cabinet approved an operation, the air force would be able to open fire in practically no time at all. This is different from the standard situation where aircraft only take off to strike a target after approval is given which creates a certain amount of gap time when a target might escape. Air force units were in the sky for more than a day and a half, waiting for the word to attack, though Israeli intelligence had been following Salame at the location for weeks.

Iran, allies ready Israel response as funerals held for militant leaders
Reuters/August 01, 2024
TEHRAN: Iran and its regional allies vowed retaliation on Thursday for the deaths of Hamas and Hezbollah leaders, raising regional tensions as mourners filled Tehran’s city center calling for revenge. A public funeral was held for Hamas’s political chief Ismail Haniyeh in the Iranian capital where he was killed early Wednesday in an attack which Israel has not commented on. Haniyeh’s body was then flown to Qatar, where he had resided and where he is to be laid to rest on Friday, when his group called for a “day of furious rage” in the Palestinian territories and across the region. Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah, addressing the funeral of the Lebanese group’s top military commander, said Israel and “those who are behind it must await our inevitable response” to Fuad Shukr’s and Haniyeh’s killings within hours of each other. “You do not know what red lines you crossed,” Nasrallah said, addressing Israel, a day after Shukr was killed in a strike in south Beirut. Israel, which said Shukr’s assassination was a response to deadly rocket fire last week on the annexed Golan Heights, warned its adversaries on Thursday they would “pay a very high price” for any “aggression.”“Israel is at a very high level of preparation for any scenario, both defensive and offensive,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a statement.“Those who attack us, we will attack in return.”
A source close to Hezbollah told AFP that Iranian officials met in Tehran on Wednesday with representatives of the so-called “axis of resistance,” a loose alliance of Tehran-backed groups hostile to Israel, to discuss their next steps. “Two scenarios were discussed: a simultaneous response from Iran and its allies or a staggered response from each party,” said the source who had been briefed on the meeting, requesting anonymity to discuss sensitive matters. The leader of Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels vowed a “military response” to Israel’s “major escalation.” Analysts told AFP that the retaliation would be measured to avoid a wider conflagration. Iran and the groups it backs “will more than likely try to avert a war, while also strongly deterring Israel from continuing with this new policy, this targeted shock and awe,” said Amal Saad, a Hezbollah researcher and lecturer at Britain’s Cardiff University.
In Tehran, Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei led prayers for Haniyeh having earlier threatened “harsh punishment” for his killing. Crowds, including women shrouded in black, carried posters of Haniyeh and Palestinian flags in a procession and ceremony that began at Tehran University, an AFP correspondent reported. Senior Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian and Revolutionary Guards chief General Hossein Salami, attended the ceremony, state television images showed. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards announced the day before that Haniyeh and a bodyguard were killed in a pre-dawn strike Wednesday on their accommodation in Tehran. The New York Times however reported, citing anonymous sources including two Iranian officials, that the blast was caused by an explosive device planted several months ago. When asked about the report, Israeli military spokesman Daniel Hagari told reporters “there was no other Israeli aerial attack... in all the Middle East” on the night of Shukr’s killing.Qatar-based Haniyeh had been visiting Tehran for Pezeshkian’s swearing-in on Tuesday.Pezeshkian said Iran “will continue to support with firmer determination the axis of resistance,” the official IRNA news agency said. Qatar-based network Al Jazeera reported that the plane carrying Haniyeh’s body had landed in Doha, where the Palestinian leader is to be buried following prayers at the Qatari capital’s largest mosque. Hamas called in a statement for a day of protests on Friday.
“Let roaring anger marches start from every mosque,” it said.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called Haniyeh a “martyr” and announced a national day of mourning on Friday “in solidarity with the Palestinian cause.” Pakistan too announced a national day of mourning. The international community has called for calm and a focus on securing a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip — which Haniyeh had accused Israel of obstructing.United Nations chief Antonio Guterres said the strikes in Tehran and Beirut represented a “dangerous escalation.” In a phone call, the foreign ministers of Jordan and Egypt blamed Israel for rising tensions and called for “de-escalation,” Jordan’s official Petra news agency reported. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken reiterated appeals for an end to fighting and said achieving peace “starts with a ceasefire.” But the prime minister of key ceasefire broker Qatar said Haniyeh’s killing had thrown the whole Gaza war mediation process into doubt.
“How can mediation succeed when one party assassinates the negotiator on the other side?” Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani said on social media site X. US President Joe Biden will speak to Netanyahu later on Thursday, the White House said. The killings are the latest of several major incidents that have inflamed regional tensions during the Gaza war which has drawn in Iran-backed militant groups in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen. Beyond Gaza, clashes continued on Thursday with Lebanese authorities reporting four Syrians killed in an Israeli strike, followed by Hezbollah announcing a barrage of “dozens” of rockets at Israel. Israel has vowed to destroy Hamas in retaliation for its October 7 attack that resulted in the deaths of 1,197 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures. Militants also seized 251 hostages, 111 of whom are still held captive in Gaza, including 39 the military says are dead. Concern over the fate of those still held has grown among Israelis, who demonstrated demanding a deal to free them in Tel Aviv on Thursday, marking the war’s 300th day. Israel’s retaliatory campaign against Hamas has killed at least 39,480 people in Gaza, according to the Hamas-run territory’s health ministry, which does not give details of civilian and militant deaths.

US deploys 12 warships to Mideast as regional tensions soar
Naharnet/August 01, 2024
The U.S. has deployed at least 12 warships to the Middle East, including the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt, amphibious assault teams and over 4,000 Marines and sailors, in response to escalating tensions in the region following the assassinations of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and Hezbollah military chief Fouad Shukur, the Washington Post reported on Thursday, citing a Pentagon official. According to the report, destroyers have been positioned in both the Gulf and the Eastern Mediterranean. The U.S. has redirected its warships from the Red Sea, where it combats Houthi missile and drone attacks from Yemen to protect commercial ships and support Israel.

Thousands attend funeral for assassinated Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh
Euronews/Thu, August 1, 2024
Hundreds of thousands of people attended a funeral procession and service for top Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on Thursday.The procession was held in the streets of the Iranian capital, where Haniyeh's coffin was carried through the city in an ornate vehicle. Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, led funeral prayers at Tehran University while Iran's new President, Masoud Pezeshkian, stood next to him. After the funeral services in Tehran, Haniyeh's remains were expected to be transferred to Qatar for burial, where he lived in exile for years. Iranians follow a truck, center, carrying the coffins of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and his bodyguard who were killed in an assassination blamed on Israel on Wednesday, Iranians follow a truck, center, carrying the coffins of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and his bodyguard who were killed in an assassination blamed on Israel on Wednesday, - Haniyeh travelled to Tehran to attend the inauguration of the country's new president, Pezeshkian. He was killed in an airstrike that struck a residence he used in the city. Iranian authorities said the attack is under investigation but have not released further details.The strike came just hours after Israel targeted a top commander of Iran’s ally Hezbollah in the Lebanese capital, Beirut. Israel had pledged to kill Haniyeh and other Hamas leaders over the group’s October 7 attack on southern Israel that sparked the war in Gaza.
Fears of wider war in the Middle East
The assassination was potentially explosive amid the region’s volatile, intertwined conflicts because of its target, its timing, and the decision to carry it out in Tehran. Most dangerous was the potential to push Iran and Israel into direct confrontation if Iran retaliates. The US and other nations scrambled to prevent a wider, deadlier conflict. In a statement on his official website, Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said revenge was “our duty” and that Israel had “prepared a harsh punishment for itself” by killing “a dear guest in our home.”Bitter regional rivals, Israel and Iran, risked plunging into war earlier this year when Israel hit Iran’s embassy in Damascus in April. Iran retaliated, and Israel countered in an unprecedented exchange of strikes on each other’s soil, but international efforts succeeded in containing that cycle before it spun out of control.
What we know so far about apparent Israeli attack on Iran
Haniyeh’s killing is, however, prompting fears that Hamas may pull out of negotiations for a ceasefire and hostage release deal in the 10-month-old war in Gaza, which US mediators had said were making progress. Before Haniyeh's assassination, Israel carried out a rare strike on Tuesday evening in the Lebanese capital that it said killed a top Hezbollah commander allegedly behind the rocket strike. Hezbollah, which denied any role in the Golan strike, confirmed the death of Fouad Shukur on Wednesday, saying he was in the building that was hit.
The strike also killed three women and two children, according to the Lebanese Health Ministry.

Eliminating Haniyeh in Qatar would have been good, eliminating him in Tehran was better - analysis
Amir Bohbot/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
If only the security establishment had wanted to, senior Hamas officials could have been eliminated or attacked in the heart of Beirut.
Following the assassination of the head of Hamas's political bureau, Ismail Haniyeh, sources in the security establishment explained that the choice to carry out the assassination in the heart of Tehran was precisely because Haniyeh was under Iranian security responsibility, which placed Iran at the heart of the world's focus as a host, director, and supplier of terrorism. If they had wanted to, they could have eliminated Haniyeh in Qatar but chose to do so in Tehran for two reasons: first, to take out the chief of Hamas, but mainly to place Iran at the center of the dilemma of the future and to what intensity will it raise the height of the flames in the Middle East and how will it respond. According to security sources, it has been a while since Iran felt that it might lose its "proxies" in the Middle East. As you can see, Israel did not hesitate to attack Yemen and Beirut as well, and according to foreign publications, also in Iraq and other destinations. The successful and precise countermeasures proved that Israel, unlike Iran and its affiliates, does not harm uninvolved civilians but strikes its enemies with great precision. Accordingly, senior Iranian officials understand the process that is developing throughout the Middle East and are beginning to fear for their own fate as well. Therefore, there are sources in the security system who think that the real story is not a targeted counterattack in the heart of Beirut but what happened in Tehran. Ending the war. Accordingly, sources in the security establishment estimated that Hezbollah wants Hamas to end the war with Israel and reach a deal for the release of the hostages. Wednesday's targeted countermeasures proved that even in the event of a cease-fire with Hamas, Israel will not rush to reach a cease-fire with Hezbollah at any cost and will insist on the conditions that suit it. Security officials told Walla, "The next few days will be very tense, and to that end, continuous situation assessments are underway. In the event that there is a change in the frontline command, the citizens will be notified. The IDF maintains a level of vigilance and alertness in front of all the arenas."
At the same time, criticism is heard in the security establishment for the apparent delay in carrying out the elimination in Lebanon. Security officials ask why only now was a decision made to eliminate a senior Hezbollah official in the heart of Beirut? Why did they wait for the massacre of 12 Israeli children?
Senior officials could have been eliminated or attacked in the heart of Beirut long before if they only wanted to

IDF confirms killing Al Jazeera journalist, says he was Hamas operative
Reuters/August 1, 2024
JERUSALEM (Reuters) - The Israeli military confirmed on Thursday that it had killed Al-Jazeera journalist Ismail Al-Ghoul in an airstrike in Gaza, saying he was a Hamas operative who had taken part in the Oct. 7 attack on Israel.Al-Jazeera dismissed what it said were "baseless allegations" which it said were an attempt to justify the deliberate killing of its journalists. "The network condemns the accusations against its correspondent Ismail Al-Ghoul, without providing any proof, documentation or video," it said in a statement, adding that it reserved the right to take legal action against those responsible.
The Qatari broadcaster said on Wednesday that Al-Ghoul and cameraman Ramy El Rify were both killed in an Israeli strike on Gaza City while on an assignment to film near the house of Ismail Haniyeh, the Hamas chief killed in Iran earlier on the same day. The Israeli military said Al-Ghoul was a member of the elite Nukhba unit who took part in the Oct. 7 attack and instructed Hamas operatives on how to record operations, and it said he was involved in recording and publicizing attacks on Israeli troops. "His activities in the field were a vital part of Hamas' military activity," it said in a statement. Al-Jazeera said Al-Ghoul had worked for the network since November 2023 and his only profession was as a journalist. It said he had been arrested and detained at Al-Shifa Hospital in the northern part of the Gaza Strip when it was taken by Israeli forces in March before being released, which it said "debunks and refutes their false claim of his affiliation with any organization." The Israeli government has banned Al-Jazeera from operating in Israel, accusing it of posing a threat to national security. Al Jazeera, which has been heavily critical of Israel's campaign in Gaza, has denied inciting violence. The Hamas-run Gaza government media office said the deaths of the two Al-Jazeera crew raised to 165 the number of Palestinian journalists killed by Israeli fire since Oct 7.
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300 days in hell: It's time to bring the hostages home - editorial
Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
After 300 days, Israel's military strikes Hamas leaders, yet hostage negotiations remain stalled. Will recent successes lead to a breakthrough deal?
Following the horrific events of October 7, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his government vowed to hunt down and eliminate everyone in Hamas’s leadership responsible for the brutal massacre. Three hundred days later, it seems Israel is finally carrying out that promise. After months of fighting, several top figures in Hamas’s military and political wings have been killed: Saleh al-Arouri, Marwan Issa, Mohammed Deif (supposedly), and now Ismail Haniyeh, whose death in Tehran, attributed to Israel by foreign reports, came hours after senior Hezbollah official Fuad Shukr was killed in Beirut. This was no simple feat. Haniyeh has been a pillar of Hamas since 1997 and has led the organization’s political bureau since 2017. For years, he has been at the center of every terrorist attack, atrocity, and statement made by Hamas. In many ways, he was the face of Hamas, and his prominence was rivaled only by Yahya Sinwar, the Hamas leader in Gaza. Now, the head of Hamas is gone; another name was crossed off the list of Israel’s targets. However, while progress has been made on targeted killings of top terrorist organization leaders 300 days into the war, efforts to come to a deal to free the hostages from captivity in Gaza have been far more stagnant.
300 days, and still no deal
For 300 days, 115 people have remained trapped in the Gaza Strip. For 300 days, their families and loved ones have been crying out for Israel to bring them home. And with no progress being made in negotiations through Qatari and Egyptian mediators, their fates remain uncertain.In the early days of the war, the shared trauma of October 7 and the desire to see the hostages returned home were what brought the Israeli public together, creating a sense of unity following the heightened social divisions of the judicial reform crisis. But as the war progressed, that unity has ebbed and faded, and tensions and divisions once again characterize this country’s fractured society. There is still no hostage deal in sight. Hamas may be to blame for that, but until the captives return home and this war comes to an end, these divisions are only going to get worse. One argument commonly cited by Israeli lawmakers and former IDF officials in recent months is that military pressure is essential to securing the hostages’ freedom. Some circles have met this claim with skepticism, citing a need for increased diplomatic efforts. Others even claim that Netanyahu is intentionally creating obstacles to achieve a deal so his coalition will stay intact.
Whether the need for increased military pressure is correct is up for debate. But one thing is clear: Israel has certainly proven its military capabilities once again. Israel’s hunting down of the figures it blames for the events of October 7 is proof enough of that. Sure, Sinwar remains alive and well for now, but the rest of Hamas’s leadership has been decimated. Speaking to 103FM radio, Iranian-Israeli journalist Babak Itzhaki of Iran International explained that the killing of Haniyeh in what was essentially his own bedroom restored Israel’s dignity and deterrence in the eyes of the Iranians.
This is also true of Hezbollah, which Israel has battered heavily over the past 300 days. In particular, the killing of Shukr, whom Israel blames for last week’s deadly Majdal Shams attack, sends a powerful and threatening message: those who commit terror attacks against Israel will not get away with it, no matter where they are. That is certainly significant military pressure and deterrence, so now, it’s time for Israel to put those cards on the negotiating table. Israel has proven it can back up its threats, but the hostages are still stuck in Gaza, and killing Haniyeh hasn’t changed that. If Jerusalem has truly restored its deterrence in the eyes of its enemies, it’s time to use that to hammer out a deal.
However, it can only be done with unity.
Before October 7, the debate over judicial reform tore Israeli society apart. It made the country seem weak, as well as neglectful of its borders. Only a unified domestic front can truly match the deterrence of military pressure to restore Israel’s strength in the eyes of the world.
Let’s put our grievances aside. It’s time to bring the hostages home and end their 300-day nightmare.

'Gaza's Bin Laden': Politicians react to IDF confirmation of Deif's killing

Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant shared a post on X, formerly Twitter, depicting him marking an X on a photo of Hamas's military commander.  Israeli politicians were quick to react to the IDF's confirmation on Thursday that it had killed Mohammed Deif in the July 13 strike in Khan Yunis in the Gaza Strip. Defense Minister Yoav Gallant shared a post on X, formerly Twitter, depicting him marking an X on a photo of Hamas's military commander.  'The Osama Bin Laden of Gaza' "Mohammed Deif, the ‘Osama Bin Laden of Gaza,’ was eliminated on 13.07.24. This is a significant milestone in the process of dismantling Hamas as a military and governing authority in Gaza and in the achievement of the goals of this war," Gallant wrote.  "The operation was conducted precisely and professionally by the IDF and ISA. This operation reflects the fact that Hamas is disintegrating and that Hamas terrorists may either surrender or they will be eliminated," he added. "Israel’s defense establishment will pursue Hamas terrorists - both the planners and the perpetrators of the 07.10 massacre. We will not rest until this mission is accomplished," Gallant concluded. Opposition head Yair Lapid also commented on the announcement, writing on X, "I Congratulate the IDF, the Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) and the security forces, for the successful elimination of Mohammed Deif. An unprecedentedly important military achievement. "The military achievements should be translated into strategic political achievements, and everything should be done to return the hostages home. now," he further noted. Yisrael Beytenu's head, Avigdor Liberman, also shared a post in X, writing, "I congratulate and support the security forces for the successful operation that led to the killing of the mass-murderer Mohammed Deif.
"The courage, professionalism, and determination demonstrated by the fighters are evidence of our ability to face any threat," Liberman noted.  "There is no place in the world for those despicable terrorists who massacred, raped, and kidnapped Jews on October 7, and we must make sure that none of them die a natural death," Liberman concluded.

Blinken calls on 'all parties' in Middle East to 'stop escalatory actions'
Agence France Presse/August 01/2024
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Thursday urged "all parties" in the Middle East to stop "escalatory actions" and achieve a ceasefire in Gaza, after Hamas's political leader was killed in a strike that Iran blamed on Israel.Achieving peace "starts with a ceasefire, and to get there, it also first requires all parties to talk (and) to stop taking any escalatory actions", Blinken told reporters in Mongolia.

Mediators say Haniyeh killing harms deal, Israel wants hostage release
Tovah Lazaroff//Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
Qatar and Egypt warn that Israel's actions endanger the hostage release deal following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. Qatar and Egypt have warned that the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh harms the possibility of finalizing a deal to free the remaining 115 hostages, while Israel has insisted that it is determined to secure their release through an agreement. “Political assassinations and continued targeting of civilians in Gaza, while talks continue, leads us to ask, how can mediation succeed when one party assassinates the negotiator on the other side?” Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani wrote on X. “Peace needs serious partners [and] a global stance against the disregard for human life.” Israel has not claimed responsibility for Haniyeh’s killing but is widely presumed to have been responsible. Haniyeh, who typically resides in Qatar, was killed just hours after Israel’s targeted killing of Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr, who was responsible for the rocket strike in the Golan Heights on Saturday that killed 12 children. White House National Security Communications Adviser John Kirby said the US was still pursuing a deal and had a team in the region working on that agreement. “We still believe the details can be hashed out,” Kirby said. These negotiations have been complicated and remain complicated, he explained. Events in the region over the last 48 hours “certainly don’t make it less complicated,” Kirby stated. Egypt’s Foreign Ministry said a “dangerous Israeli escalation policy” over the past two days had undermined efforts to broker an end to the fighting in Gaza. “The coincidence of this regional escalation with the lack of progress in the ceasefire negotiations in Gaza increases the complexity of the situation and indicates the absence of Israeli political will to calm it down,” the statement said. “It undercuts the strenuous efforts made by Egypt and its partners to stop the war in the Gaza Strip and put an end to the human suffering of the Palestinian people,” it added. Qatar and Egypt, with the help of the United States, have been the main mediators for a hostage and ceasefire deal, based on a framework unveiled by US President Joe Biden on May 31.An Israeli negotiating team was in Rome on Sunday for talks held by CIA Director William Burns. There was no sign of progress at those talks, where Israel delivered its clarifications on to the May 31 deal. Defense Minister Yoav Gallant stressed the importance of continuing to work towards reaching a deal during a phone call with his US counterpart Lloyd Austin on Wednesday.
Gallant's statement
“During the discussion, the minister also highlighted that, especially during these times, the State of Israel is working to achieve a framework for the release of hostages,” a statement by Gallant’s office said. Government spokesman David Mencer told reporters in an online briefing that Israel remained committed to the negotiations. “These talks are ongoing and Israel is committed to the success of these talks,” he said. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he believed that Israelis’ strong military responses, including the assassination of Shukr, had helped make it more possible to achieve a deal. Israel’s security cabinet met on Sunday in the aftermath of Haniyeh’s killing. Haniyeh had not been directly involved in the day-to-day Gaza ceasefire negotiations and was not leading the talks, but had been viewed as more moderate when compared with Gaza Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. The senior Hamas figure who has been central throughout ceasefire and hostage release negotiations is Khalil Al-Hayya, an official briefed on the talks told Reuters previously. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken clarified that the US was not involved in Haniyeh’s killing during an interview he gave to Channel News Asia. He later spoke with the Qatari prime minister about the importance of continuing with a deal. Blinken “emphasized the importance of continuing to work to reach a ceasefire to the conflict in Gaza that would secure the release of hostages, alleviate the suffering of the Palestinian people, and unlock the possibility of broader stability. He reiterated that the United States would continue to work to ensure an agreement is reached,” the State Department said in a readout of the meeting. Al Than discussed in a phone call with acting Iranian Foreign Minister Bagheri Kani the repercussions of Haniyeh’s assassination, Qatar’s state news agency reported on Wednesday. Reuters contributed to this report.

Palestinian homes were destroyed ‘for revenge,’ says Israeli soldier who served in Gaza
Ami Kaufman and Bianna Golodryga, CNN/August 1, 2024
Yuval Green, a 26-year-old former paratrooper, is one of a handful of soldiers who have served in Israel’s war against Hamas and are now publicly criticizing the way it is being prosecuted. Green described the behavior and alleged misdeeds of his reservist peers while serving in the Palestinian enclave, and the day he decided to tell his commanders he could no longer be part of his unit. Israel launched its military offensive in Gaza on October 7 after Hamas attacked southern Israel. At least 1,200 people were killed, and more than 250 others abducted in the assault, according to Israeli authorities. Israeli military action in the strip has killed nearly 40,000 Palestinians and injured over 90,000, according to Gaza’s Ministry of Health. As of early July, nearly 2 million people had been displaced in Gaza – almost the entire population, according to figures from the United Nations. Green, who served as a medic in his unit, told CNN that prior to October 7 – when he was recruited for reserve duty – he had intended to leave the army, objecting to its conduct in the Israeli-occupied West Bank. He had planned to tell his comrades on October 8, but after Hamas attacked, he felt duty-bound to support them as they were mobilized for the war.
“When the 7th of October struck, it was difficult for me at this time to tell them that I’m not willing to come with them,” Green said. “So I decided to join my friends … I didn’t know what would be the right thing to do.”
Atmosphere of ‘demonizing Gazans’
Green told CNN that he served in the Gaza perimeter in November last year before being sent into the strip on December 2, spending 51 days in the city of Khan Younis, in the south. He said that the anger felt by Israelis after October 7 and calls for revenge were expressed openly in his unit, as they waited to be sent into Gaza, and called it the “demonizing” of Palestinians. “In the days before we entered Khan Younis … there was this atmosphere that was kind of growing of demonizing the Gazans,” he said, adding that he heard people “speaking about killing, ruining all of Gaza. Wiping it out became something that people (were discussing), as if it was some kind of a legitimate idea.”IDF rules of engagement in Gaza have been under great scrutiny. Green claims that IDF commanders on the ground seemed to acquiesce to soldiers’ desires to have fewer restrictions on their conduct than in previous incursions.
“I felt like my commanders were trying to kind of go with the soldiers and try to say things that they thought … (were) what the soldiers wanted to hear. You know, saying things like, ‘We’re not going to have any boundaries in Gaza this time.’”Green said he did not serve during earlier cycles of violence in Gaza but took part in guard duty on the Gaza perimeter and in the West Bank, as well as training.
‘We don’t care enough’ about Palestinian lives
The war in Gaza has caused widespread material destruction to homes, infrastructure, hospitals and schools. Green says he witnessed the “unnecessary” destruction of Palestinian homes. “We’ve seen a lot of destruction that was not necessarily related to military reasons. Everything tends to (get) really mix up, you know – people are destroying houses because they believe that they should (get) revenge (for) what happened on (October 7) and it mixes up with the reasons to destroy houses for military reasons,” Green said, adding he witnessed “chaos … I could tell you 100% that we’ve destroyed houses at least for reasons that … we don’t care enough about the lives of Palestinians.”Describing the extent of the damage in Gaza, he said, “You can’t imagine it. Cities that are completely ruined.”
Accusations of looting
Green told CNN that one of the things that bothered him most was witnessing what he alleged was the looting of Palestinian homes by soldiers in his own unit. “You’re seeing looting by your peers all the time. That was something (that) was very difficult for me to see. I mean, people were taking ‘souvenirs’ (from) the Palestinians’ houses, which I think directly relates to the demonization we’ve seen before the entrance to Khan Younis,” he said. “People were taking, you know, necklaces and doing graffiti on the walls and … leaving behind damage to the houses that was just completely unnecessary.”When asked if he thinks this behavior was condoned by IDF commanders, Green said that officially, they disapproved of such conduct – but were unable to stop it. “The superior commanders of the IDF, I think they do believe that this shouldn’t happen – looting or graffiti,” Green said. “But I don’t think (the IDF) has the resources to stop it, and I think, you know, it all comes down to the soldiers (in) the field. You can’t stop any soldier from doing things.”While witnessing the alleged looting, Green said he confronted his peers, which resulted in “a lot of arguments,” but he was unable to sway his superiors to act: “Some of them agreed with me, some of them didn’t – or some of them, you know, were in between.” “But all of them weren’t able to control our actions.”
The decision to leave
In the end, one specific moment pushed Green to make the tough decision to leave his unit: when a commander allegedly ordered the burning of a Palestinian home they were stationed in. “At some point, my commander told my platoon to burn down the house we’re staying at,” Green recounted. “And I went to him, I approached him and I asked him, ‘Why are we doing that?’ And he gave me a few reasons, and I think those reasons were just not strong enough.”“They were, you know, military type of reasons, but they (were mixed up with) the revenge type of reasons. Now, I think this is just what’s going on in Gaza. Israel is doing things because it needs to fulfil a type of military purpose, but it all mixes up with our need for – or the Israeli need for – revenge.”“I said, ‘I’m not willing to participate in that. I’m not destroying a house that belonged to a few families that would become homeless because of that – and I’m leaving.’ And I just (left) with the next car that went out.”Green said he decided to speak out publicly to put pressure on the Israeli government to accept a ceasefire and hostage deal. The Israeli government said this week that it was Hamas leadership that was preventing an agreement. “I think there are concrete deals on the table right now, that Hamas is agreeing to, that make sense. I mean, those deals say that all the hostages would be freed – and Israel is not accepting the ending of the war. And this is crazy,” Green said. Green added that Israel’s alleged refusal to accept a deal was causing the deaths of hostages. “I’ve seen it from within,” he said. “I mean, we said nothing before we entered Gaza about the hostages. We could have killed them, you know, any moment, and it’s something that has happened. We know about more than 10 hostages that were killed directly from Israeli bombings or, you know, the three hostages that were killed,” referring to an incident of friendly fire by the IDF in December, in which soldiers fatally shot three hostages. The possibility that hostages have been killed during Israeli bombardments is a sensitive one in Israel. There have been occasions when officials have announced that hostages were believed to have been killed while in captivity, but at no point have any such announcements been attributed to Israeli airstrikes. The Israeli army has not responded to CNN’s request for comment on Green’s claims. “We have to tell our government to stop the war. This is the only right solution to save the lives of Palestinians that are dying every day and going through a living hell the past few months, saving the lives of soldiers, Israeli soldiers, that are now present in Gaza and dying every day, and obviously the lives of hostages.”
Facing criticism at home
In June, Green cosigned a letter with 40 other reservists refusing to serve in the southern Gaza city of Rafah. He is one of only three soldiers who have come out publicly, and his family and friends have voiced concern over his decisions. “Obviously it’s something very controversial in Israel, but I was willing to sacrifice, you know, my privacy and (to come) out with a topic as controversial as that, because I believe that right now, it’s a matter of life and death. “When people are criticizing me for that, and I’ve heard people … that said they were worried that I might get hurt in that process – that always felt very weird because, you know, I went inside Gaza. I literally have risked my life. But people are now more afraid that I might get hurt, you know, by just coming out with words,” he added. “It’s part of the problem with our situation right now.”Reflecting on the violence committed by Hamas, he also urged Palestinians not to support Hamas or call for an intifada: “They don’t understand that those calling for violence are damaging the Palestinian cause, and have been killing Palestinians for years now … I support Palestine too, but don’t confuse between supporting Palestine and supporting the violence of Hamas.”
CNN has reached out to the IDF for comment on Green’s allegations.
Responding to Green’s allegations, the IDF stated: “The actions of the IDF and its operational activity in particular are subject to Israeli law and international law, which is reflected, among other things, in the rules of engagement among other military orders … IDF commanders are guided by values of the IDF ​​and lead the soldiers on the battlefield in a professional manner. When events that defer from the expected conduct occur, they are handled by the commanders as required. “In some cases, IDF forces are required to act to remove a threat posed to them from buildings located in the territory of the Gaza Strip. The destruction of buildings is done with the appropriate means. Actions done otherwise, and not as a result of operational needs, are contrary to the army’s orders and the IDF’s values ​​and are examined. Taking property that is not in accordance with the army’s orders is prohibited by law and is not in line with the values ​​of the IDF. Incidents in which forces acted not in accordance with the orders and the law are examined and will continue to be examined, including as part of investigations by the MPCID (Military Police Criminal Investigation Division). As a general rule, when details concerning concrete events are given, they are reviewed and dealt with accordingly.”

Turkey blocks NATO-Israel cooperation over Gaza war, sources say
Tuvan Gumrukcu/Reuters/Thu, August 1, 2024
Turkey has blocked cooperation between NATO and Israel since October because of the war in Gaza and said the alliance should not engage with Israel as a partner until there is an end to the conflict, sources familiar with the process said. Israel carries the status of NATO partner and has fostered close relations with the military alliance and some of its members, notably its biggest ally the United States.Prior to Israel's offensive in Gaza - prompted by Palestinian militant group Hamas' Oct. 7 rampage - NATO member Turkey had been working to mend its long-strained ties with Israel. Since then, Ankara has been fiercely critical of Israel's operation in Gaza, which it says amounts to a genocide, and has halted all bilateral trade. It has also slammed many Western allies for their support of Israel. Speaking on condition of anonymity, the sources said Turkey had vetoed all NATO engagement with Israel since October, including joint meetings and exercises, viewing Israel's "massacre" of Palestinians in Gaza as a violation of NATO's founding principles. A U.N. inquiry in June found that both Israel and Hamas had committed war crimes in the early stages of the Gaza war. It said Israel's actions constituted crimes against humanity because of the immense civilian losses. Israel rejects this and says its operation in Gaza, which has killed nearly 40,000 people, aims to eradicate Hamas. The sources said Turkey would maintain this block and not allow Israel to continue or advance its interaction with NATO until there was an end to the conflict, as it believes Israel's actions in Gaza violate international law and universal human rights. After a NATO summit in Washington in July, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan said it was not possible for NATO to continue its partnership with the Israeli administration. Earlier this week, Israel's foreign minister urged the alliance to expel Turkey after Erdogan appeared to threaten to enter Israel, as it had Libya and Nagorno-Karabakh in the past.

US and Russia complete biggest prisoner swap in post-Soviet history, freeing Gershkovich and Whelan
The Associated Press/August 01/2024
The United States and Russia completed their biggest prisoner swap in post-Soviet history on Thursday, with Moscow releasing journalist Evan Gershkovich and fellow American Paul Whelan, along with dissidents including Vladimir Kara-Murza, in a multinational deal that set two dozen people free.
The trade unfolded despite relations between Washington and Moscow being at their lowest point since the Cold War after Russian President Vladimir Putin’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Negotiators in backchannel talks at one point explored an exchange involving Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, but after his death in February ultimately stitched together a 24-person deal that required significant concessions from European allies, including the release of a Russian assassin, and secured freedom for a cluster of journalists, suspected spies, political prisoners and others.
President Joe Biden trumpeted the exchange, by far the largest in a series of swaps with Russia, as a diplomatic feat while welcoming families of the returning Americans to the White House. But the deal, like others before it, reflected an innate imbalance: The U.S. and allies gave up Russians charged or convicted of serious crimes in exchange for Russia releasing journalists, dissidents and others imprisoned by the country's highly politicized legal system on charges seen by the West as trumped-up. “Deals like this one come with tough calls,” Biden said, He added: “There’s nothing that matters more to me than protecting Americans at home and abroad.”Under the deal, Russia released Gershkovich, a reporter for The Wall Street Journal who was jailed in 2023 and convicted in July of espionage charges that he and the U.S. government vehemently denied. His family said in a statement released by the newspaper that “we can't wait to give him the biggest hug and see his sweet and brave smile up close." The paper's editor-in-chief, Emma Tucker, called it a “joyous day.”
“While we waited for this momentous day, we were determined to be as loud as we could be on Evan’s behalf. We are so grateful for all the voices that were raised when his was silent. We can finally say, in unison, ‘Welcome home, Evan,’” she wrote in a letter posted online.
Also released was Whelan, a Michigan corporate security executive jailed since 2018, also on espionage charges he and Washington have denied; and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty journalist Alsu Kurmasheva, a dual U.S.-Russian citizen convicted in July of spreading false information about the Russian military, accusations her family and employer have rejected. The dissidents released included Kara-Murza, a Kremlin critic and Pulitzer Prize-winning writer serving 25 years on charges of treason widely seen as politically motivated, as well as multiple associates of Navalny. Freed Kremlin critics included Oleg Orlov, a veteran human rights campaigner convicted of discrediting the Russian military, and Ilya Yashin, imprisoned for criticizing the war in Ukraine. The Russian side got Vadim Krasikov, who was convicted in Germany in 2021 and sentenced to life in prison for killing a former Chechen rebel in a Berlin park two years earlier, apparently on the orders of Moscow’s security services. Throughout the negotiations, Moscow had been persistent in pressing for his release, with Putin himself raising it. At the time of Navalny's death, officials were discussing a possible exchange involving Krasikov. But with that prospect erased, senior U.S. officials, including national security adviser Jake Sullivan, made a fresh push to encourage Germany to release Krasikov. In the end, a handful of the prisoners Russia released were either German nationals or dual German-Russian nationals. Russia also received two alleged sleeper agents jailed in Slovenia, as well as three men charged by federal authorities in the U.S., including Roman Seleznev, a convicted computer hacker and the son of a Russian lawmaker, and Vadim Konoshchenok, a suspected Russian intelligence operative accused of providing American-made electronics and ammunition to the Russian military. Norway returned an academic arrested on suspicions of being a Russian spy; Poland sent back a man it detained on espionage charges.
“Today is a powerful example of why it’s vital to have friends in this world,” Biden said. All told, six countries released at least one prisoner and a seventh — Turkey — participated by hosting the location for the swap, in Ankara.
Biden placed securing the release of Americans held wrongfully overseas at the top of his foreign policy agenda for the six months before he leaves office. In an Oval Office address discussing his decision to drop his bid for a second term, Biden said, “We’re also working around the clock to bring home Americans being unjustly detained all around the world.” At one point Thursday, he grabbed the hand of Whelan's sister, Elizabeth, and said she’d practically been living at the White House as the administration tried to free Paul. He then motioned for Kurmasheva’s daughter, Miriam, to come closer and took her hand, telling the room it was her 13th birthday. He asked everyone to sing “Happy Birthday” with him. She wiped tears from her eyes. The Biden administration has now brought home more than 70 Americans detained in other countries as part of deals that have required the U.S. to give up a broad array of convicted criminals, including for drug and weapons offenses. The swaps, though celebrated with fanfare, have spurred criticism that they incentivize future hostage-taking and give adversaries leverage over the U.S. and its allies. The U.S. government's top hostage negotiator, Roger Carstens, has sought to defend the deals by saying the number of wrongfully detained Americans has actually gone down even as swaps have increased. Tucker, the Journal's editor-in-chief, acknowledged the debate, writing in a letter: “We know the U.S. government is keenly aware, as are we, that the only way to prevent a quickening cycle of arresting innocent people as pawns in cynical geopolitical games is to remove the incentive for Russia and other nations that pursue the same detestable practice."Though she called for a change to the dynamic, “for now,” she wrote, “we are celebrating the return of Evan.”
Thursday’s swap of 24 prisoners surpassed a deal involving 14 people that was struck in 2010. In that exchange, Washington freed 10 Russians living in the U.S. as sleepers, while Moscow deported four Russians, including Sergei Skripal, a double agent working with British intelligence. He and his daughter in 2018 were nearly killed in Britain by nerve agent poisoning blamed on Russian agents. Speculation had mounted for weeks that a swap was near because of a confluence of unusual developments, including a startingly quick trial for Gershkovich, which Washington regarded as a sham. He was sentenced to 16 years in a maximum-security prison.
In a trial that concluded in two days in secrecy in the same week as Gershkovich’s, Kurmasheva was convicted on charges of spreading false information about the Russian military that her family, employer and U.S. officials rejected. Also in recent days, several other figures imprisoned in Russia for speaking out against the war in Ukraine or over their work with Navalny were moved from prison to unknown locations. Gershkovich was arrested March 29, 2023, while on a reporting trip to the Ural Mountains city of Yekaterinburg. Authorities claimed, without offering any evidence, that he was gathering secret information for the U.S. The son of Soviet emigres who settled in New Jersey, he moved to Russia in 2017 to work for The Moscow Times newspaper before being hired by the Journal in 2022. Gershkovich was designated as wrongfully detained, as was Whelan, who was detained in December 2018 after traveling to Russia for a wedding. Whelan, who was serving a 16-year prison sentence, had been excluded from prior high-profile deals involving Russia, including the April 2022 swap by Moscow of imprisoned Marine veteran Trevor Reed for Konstantin Yaroshenko, a Russian pilot convicted in a drug trafficking conspiracy. That December, the U.S. released notorious arms trafficker Viktor Bout in exchange for WNBA star Brittney Griner, who’d been jailed on drug charges. “Paul Whelan is free. Our family is grateful to the United States government for making Paul’s freedom a reality,” his family said in a statement.

The Latest English LCCC analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources on August 01-02/2024
Dissecting the Haniyeh, Shukr assassinations and their impact - analysis

Keren Setton/The Media Line/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
The sequence of two high-profile attacks against Israeli enemies has heightened the stakes in ongoing Middle Eastern conflicts, signaling possible escalations in military actions across the region. In a dramatic turn of events, Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran early Wednesday in what is widely believed to be an Israeli operation.
For more stories from The Media Line go to themedialine.org
The assassination came hours after a senior Hezbollah commander, Fuad Shukr, was targeted in Beirut. For this, Israel took responsibility, saying Shukr was behind the weekend rocket attack on the Israeli-Druze village of Majdal Shams in which 12 children were killed. The Lebanese-based and Iranian-backed terrorist group has yet to confirm his death. The region now holds its breath as the dust settles on the two operations as their ramifications become clear. Israel promised to hunt down all of Hamas’ leaders after the Gaza-based terrorist organization carried out the deadliest attack ever perpetrated on Israeli soil on October 7 of last year. Hamas’ attack single-day attack killed approximately 1200 Israelis and wounded thousands of others. The organization also took about 250 people hostage. 115 Israelis still remain in Hamas captivity, their fate unknown.  In response to the attack, Israel launched a massive war against Hamas in Gaza. According to the Hamas-run Gaza health ministry, over 38,000 Palestinians have been killed as a result, and almost 90,000 injured. Over 300 Israeli soldiers have been killed since Israel began its ground operation in the Gaza Strip.
Haniyeh's demise
The demise of Haniyeh comes at a critical time in which Hamas and Israel have been negotiating a ceasefire agreement. Mediation by the US, Qatar, and Egypt is also meant to bring to the gradual release of at least part of the Israeli hostages. The impact of the assassination is unclear. Hamas’ leadership is divided between the political wing that Haniyeh led and the military wing led by Yahya Sinwar, who is believed to have been holed up in a tunnel somewhere in the underground of Gaza since October 7. Israeli media reported that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu instructed his cabinet ministers not to interview on either event, but two did rejoice on social media as the news of Haniyeh’s assassination broke out. “Careful what you wish for,” was what Minister of Diaspora and Combating Antisemitism Amichai Chikli posted on his X account together with a video snippet of Haniyeh nodding in approval as others chant “Death to Israel!” just hours before.
Heritage Minister Amichay Eliyahu also posted on his X account.
“This is the right way to clean the world from this filth. No more imaginary "peace"/surrender agreements, no more mercy for these mortals,” he wrote. “Haniyeh’s death makes the world a little bit better.”Israelis were jubilant in the morning. The images of Haniyeh in a celebratory prayer in the early hours of October 7 were etched in their minds as a sign of Hamas’ cruelty. Various media reports said Haniyeh and one of his bodyguards were killed by a missile fired into an apartment building in which they were staying in Tehran. “Once again, Israel has demonstrated remarkable intelligence and operational capabilities,” Professor Chuck Freilich, a senior researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), told The Media Line. “There is also an important psychological effect on the Israeli public, which is in the doldrums and really needs some reinforcement.”
Haniyeh, who has been living in Qatar in recent years, and other members of Hamas were in Tehran for the swearing-in ceremony of Iran’s new president, Masoud Pezeshkian. Hamas is funded and backed by Iran, as is Hezbollah. Also present at the ceremony were representatives of other members of Iran’s so-called “Axis of Resistance,” such as the Palestinian Islamic Jihad and the Yemen-based Houthi rebels. Participants chanted, “Death to Israel, Death to America!”.
Israel has been facing all of these enemies and more since the war began, creating a complex strategic situation and bringing to question the effect of targeted killings as part of its campaign. “It does not improve the overall strategic outlook for Israel,” Freilich continued. “Israel cannot kill every single Palestinian or Hezbollah leader. While it does somewhat disrupt operations, in the end, it makes Israel’s situation a little bit worse.” According to Freilich, Hezbollah may have been able to contain Israel’s retaliation for the Majdal Shams incident. However, the additional assassination of Haniyeh just hours later put the organization and its main backer, Iran, under pressure to retaliate.  The Israeli Home Front Command said there were currently no changes to the guidelines given to civilians, who were encouraged to continue their daily routine.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved the operation in Beirut and in Tehran if carried out by Israeli forces.  Netanyahu and the army have been the target of much criticism since the war broke out. Both are seen as responsible for the blunder that allowed Hamas to carry out the attack, which stunned Israel. There has also been mistrust between the political and defense echelon as Netanyahu and his allies have laid blame on the army for its ill-preparedness and lack of warning.
“Such an operation is an expression of the political echelon in the Israeli army,” said Col. (res.) Dr. Hanan Shai, an expert in military and diplomatic strategy at the Misgav Institute for National Security and Zionist Strategy, told The Media Line. “Also, credit must be given to the political echelon who made the brave decision to approve the operation. Should it have failed, the blame would be put on Netanyahu and not on the army.”
Despite being elated by the latest successes, there is still much work to be done towards the goals that Netanyahu set – eliminating Hamas and releasing all of the Israeli hostages. The departure of Haniyeh from the political stage may not have much impact. He is not believed to have played an important role in Hamas’ military strategy. Media reports have also alluded to major differences between him and Sinwar regarding negotiations with Israel on the release of the hostages. Sinwar is considered to be a more hardline figure than the late Haniyeh.
“How does this help achieve Israel’s objectives? Does it bring the war to an earlier close, does it bring the hostages home, and does it reduce the chances of a multiple-front war?” Freilich asked. “Israel has killed umpteen Palestinian leaders and Hezbollah leaders over the years. It hasn’t helped.”
“It doesn’t change anything and, at best, results in a temporary disruption,” he added. “It demonstrates the government's inability to form a strategy and a real substantive response.”
The Israeli government has been criticized both domestically and by the US for lacking a strategy that will end the war in Gaza while bringing about a different reality than the one that existed before October 7. As the war drags on, soon entering its tenth month, Netanyahu has been accused of deliberately elongating it in order to avoid the public backlash expected in the polls the day after the war is over. “It certainly helps Netanyahu politically. It plays to his base and strengthens people’s sense of pride and confidence in the army,” said Freilich. “The politics here may actually be the primary reason for the nature of these actions.”
Israel’s goal of obliterating Hamas has been criticized by many as far-reaching.
“Hamas is an idea that cannot be eradicated,” said Shai. “Israel’s premise should be that it needs to eliminate its military capabilities and that it cannot get rid of the idea. These capabilities will likely be renewed, but then Israel needs to be prepared to thwart them immediately and not like what happened previously when Hamas was allowed to strengthen.”The Netanyahu government has insisted that military pressure is the main way to get Hamas to agree to a deal. The assassination could be seen as part of that pressure.
“It is counterproductive military pressure,” said Freilich. “Haniyeh wasn’t a military figure, so it doesn’t achieve anything militarily. It will unite Palestinians, even those who want to see a deal. It does not encourage Sinwar to reach a deal and only causes them to harden their position.”
It is difficult to estimate the effect of the latest move by Israel. Haniyeh’s removal from the stage could either further entrench Hamas or put more pressure on it. Meanwhile, the war shows no signs of ending. Israeli ground forces are still in the Gaza Strip. A statement released by the military on Wednesday said the air force struck “dozens of terror targets in the Gaza Strip, including terror infrastructure sites, terrorists, underground terror tunnel shafts, military posts, and structures.” “Netanyahu was the first one to say that Israel has all the time in the world in its war on Hamas,” Shai said. “This was a grave mistake. Israel’s security is based on the premise that it cannot afford lengthy wars.” The war has taken a toll on Israel, its society, its economy, and its international standing. The Jewish state is under increasing pressure to stop, including arms embargos by several countries and accusations of genocide and war crimes in international courts.  Haniyeh was in charge of Hamas’ international relations and played a major role in fundraising for the organization, which enabled it to grow into almost an army along Israel’s southern border.
Hamas has threatened to retaliate the assassination. Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, also vowed to exact a price on Israel in a statement Wednesday

Israel’s strike on Hamas Leader Haniyeh signals defiance to Iran - opinion
Dan Diker/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
The elimination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh marks a pivotal shift in Israel's anti-terror strategy, sending a strong message to Iran and its proxies.
The elimination of Ismail Haniyeh, chairman of the Hamas political bureau (2017-2024) and former Palestinian prime minister in Gaza (2006-2014), was a long time in coming and sends several important messages from Israel to Iran and its terror proxy network.
Israel is widely assumed to be behind the action although it did not accept direct responsibility. The targeted killing would represent an important Rubicon that Israel has apparently now passed, from fear and containment to assertiveness and a policy of “no tolerance” for those trying to kill Israelis and destroy Israel. Haniyeh’s elimination conveyed a particularly strong message to Iran. It insulted the Iranians, revealed their weakness, and broadcast that Iranian leaders or their proxy officials could be targeted and eliminated by Israel anywhere, at the place and time of Israel’s choosing. Haniyeh’s elimination may come to some as a surprise. Following the July 27 mass murder of 12 children in Israel’s Druze community of Majdal Shams and the subsequent elimination of the senior Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr (also known as Hajj Mohsin), the world’s attention was primarily focused on how the Hezbollah-Israel war might evolve. However, it appeared to be, in sports terms, a “head fake.” Haniyeh was deeply involved for years in the planning of the October 7 Hamas atrocities. He had made frequent trips to Iran to meet and strategize with his counterparts in the Islamic Republic’s Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, the external terror organization under the command of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The elimination of Haniyeh is particularly important since it occurred in Iran, and especially because he was the guest of the incoming president Masoud Pezeshkian. The message is a strong one to the IRGC and the Iranian leadership that Israel can reach, target, and neutralize them with its advanced intelligence network and operational capabilities. The targeted killing of Haniyeh was also an important “psyop” – psychological operation action by Israel – because it sent a resonant message to the Iranian terror network and its proxies across the Middle East beginning with Hamas, extending to Hezbollah, the Houthis in Yemen, as well as the Iraqi forces under the Iranian regime’s control, and beyond – that Israel is capable of reaching any terrorist leader when it decides to reach them. TAKING OUT Haniyeh was also important since it was directed against a senior Hamas leader and not specifically at Hezbollah, which may reduce Iran’s justification for launching a major attack. Haniyeh’s bloody past extended many years since the 2006 parliamentary and presidential elections in which he defeated Fatah and Mahmoud Abbas by a landslide.
That election was then ignored by the US-backed Palestinian Authority because Hamas did not abide by the three conditions that the Oslo peace accords had determined for the Oslo-sanctioned election of a Palestinian leadership.
Haniyeh's reign of terror
Needless to say, the Hamas government that Haniyeh led in Gaza, until he was replaced in 2016 by Yahya Sinwar, had militarized Hamas’s operational capabilities extraordinarily since the early 2000s, with the assistance of Iran. Under Haniyeh’s leadership, Hamas prosecuted several terror wars, including in 2008-2009, the attacks of 2011-2012, 2014-2015, and the well-known Guardian of the Walls counterterror operation, following Hamas’s onslaught in 2021, triggering substantial violence within Israel. The operation to assassinate Haniyeh was a fitting reversal of his successful psychological warfare against Israel. His psychological operations and political warfare in 2014, including speaking in front of thousands of Gazans, using as a backdrop photos of Nelson Mandela, Martin Luther King, and Mahatma Gandhi to issue a psyop message to the world that Hamas was merely a resistance fighter organization defending its own people as opposed to a radical Islamic terror group being mobilized and operated by the Iranian regime. Even though he was a Sunni leader of Hamas, Haniyeh had become a well-known representative of the Iranian Shi’ite regime. Mobilized and directed by Tehran, Hamas had used “hybrid warfare” – traditional terror actions combined with popular mobilization of the public. It was Haniyeh who presided over Hamas when he directed and motivated thousands of Gazan boys and girls to try to storm the fence in 2018 in what was called the “Great March of Return,” another psychological operation.
It has been reported recently that Haniyeh had made his operational headquarters in Doha, Qatar, and had been behind some of the intensive Qatari-sponsored efforts to implement a ceasefire, positioning himself in Western media as a peacemaker. This couldn’t be further from the truth. Haniyeh’s interest was in saving the Hamas regime, keeping it in the cockpit, and also “blowing up” the negotiations between Israel and Hamas by intensifying Hamas’s demands.  Haniyeh’s elimination comes many months following Israeli reactive policy toward Hezbollah and Iran’s direct attacks on April 14. Israel took responsibility for the Beirut attack on Shukr. If it is also behind the attack in Tehran, this action would prove that Israel crossed a fear-Rubicon, and speaks and acts according to the political culture of the Middle East by eliminating any terrorist leader or operative who attempts to harm Israel or its people.
*The writer is president of the Jerusalem Center for Foreign Affairs.

After the assassinations: Does Iran retaliate? Can Hamas fight on? And what about the hostages?
Ron Kampeas/JTA//Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
Crushing Hamas in Gaza may allow Israel to focus on Lebanon, where Hezbollah has been firing missiles into Israel since shortly after Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack.
When Ismail Haniyeh, Hamas’ political chief, was killed in a targeted strike in Iran, it sent shockwaves through the region and across Israel, which is suspected of carrying out the assassination.
The strike comes just a day after Israel killed Fuad Shukr, Hezbollah’s top military commander, in Beirut. Shukr’s killing was in retaliation for a deadly Hezbollah missile attack on Majdal Shams, a Druze village in the Golan Heights, in which 12 children and youths were killed.
The details of Haniyeh’s assassination — and its fallout — are still not known. But here, scholars and analysts give their immediate views on what might happen next, how Iran might respond and how this affects efforts to free the Israeli hostages still held by Hamas.
Israel has slogged through nearly 10 months of war in Gaza, but the strikes on Shukr and Haniyeh reestablish Israeli deterrence, giving Israel the upper hand it enjoyed in the region for decades before Oct. 7, said Shira Efron, the senior director of policy research for the Israel Policy Forum, which has historically advocated for the establishment of a Palestinian state alongside Israel.
“Hopefully, it helps restore some of Israel’s deterrence, which was gravely affected and undermined Oct. 7,” said Efron, who lives in Israel. “It demonstrates not just to Hamas but to the whole Iran-led Axis of Evil that no one is invulnerable, and that no place is out of Israel’s long reach.” The aforementioned “axis” is thought to consist of Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis, a Yemeni terror group that has shot projectiles at Israel and is also funded by Iran. Jonathan Schanzer, vice president of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a Washington think tank that advocates for a more aggressive US policy toward Iran, said the assassination in Tehran likely marks an end of the road for Hamas. He noted that Haniyeh was only the latest victim in a series of successful Israeli assassinations targeting the terror group’s leaders in Gaza and beyond. He added that Israel has also conquered the strip of territory between Egypt and Gaza, which was crucial to Hamas’ supply lines.“Hamas’ senior ranks have been hollowed out by the Israelis,” he said. “And add to that that somewhere around 20,000 of Hamas’ 30,000 fighters are either killed or injured. As you start to look at all of these data points, it begins to consolidate a picture that Hamas is in trouble and is not likely to come out of this in one piece.”
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, delivering an address to the nation Wednesday night, did not acknowledge responsibility for Haniyeh’s killing, but said his strategy of focusing on wiping out Hamas — instead of focusing on inking a deal to release hostages still held by Hamas — was vindicated.
“For months, there has been no week in which they have not told us – at home and abroad – to end the war. ‘End the war’ because we have exhausted what can be achieved and it is impossible to win in any case,” he said. “If we gave in to this pressure – we would not have eliminated senior Hamas leaders and thousands of terrorists.”Crushing Hamas in Gaza allows Israel to focus on Lebanon, where Hezbollah has been firing missiles into Israel since shortly after Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack, said Schanzer.
“We might be looking at a pivot that Israel is going to be able to make if it wants to head north to fight that battle,” he said. “It probably can, with Hamas being in the position that it’s in.”
Lebanon is where an escalation might occur, said Harel Chorev, a senior researcher at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies at Tel Aviv University. Will Nasrallah let Shukr's assassination go unpunished?
Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah’s leader, has no vested interest in escalation because it could destroy the military and civilian infrastructure Hezbollah has built up over decades, Chorev said. But he added that Nasrallah won’t be able to let the assassination of Shukr, his military chief, go unpunished.
“This might drag the whole area into war because of miscalculation, because of overreacting or whatever, into an escalation that both sides currently don’t want,” Chorev said.
Matthew Levitt, a senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, which has close relationships with Israeli officials, said Hamas, depleted in Gaza, would likely intensify attacks on Israel from Lebanon. He added that the group could contemplate attacks on Israeli and Jewish targets outside of Israel, a strategy it has until now mostly avoided.
“Only once, maybe twice before depending on how you counted, has Hamas ever come close to carrying out an external operation,” Levitt, who has a background in US intelligence, said in a virtual press conference with reporters. “And I could see them now saying, ‘OK, these guys have gone too far.”
One country that’s expected to respond is Iran, which already exchanged fire with Israel earlier this year.
“Following this bitter, tragic event which has taken place within the borders of the Islamic Republic, it is our duty to take revenge,” tweeted Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader.
Avi Melamed, a former Israeli intelligence official and author of “Inside The Middle East: Entering a New Era,” said Iran would likely retaliate through proxies. “There is already likely a discussion going on between Iran and Hezbollah on the scope of such a strike, which would likely target a significant Israeli military installation rather than civilian communities or civil infrastructure, with advanced weaponry and or tactics,” he wrote in an email.
Chorev said he expected Iran to avoid a direct attack, which would likely draw in the United States and put its nuclear weapons program at risk.
“I don’t see them jeopardizing all their interests, their nuclear infrastructure, because it’s always on the table,” he said. The United States led an international coalition in backing up Israel in repelling a massive number of missiles Iran launched at Israel in April.
Michael Koplow, the Israel Policy Forum’s chief policy officer, said targeting Haniyeh made sense — except it likely doomed any imminent release of the hostages.
“If you have the opportunity to get rid of the leader of Hamas, you take it, even with the heightened risk of doing it in Tehran,” he said. “The mistake here isn’t killing Haniyeh, but having missed [past] opportunities for a hostage deal, which now becomes even more unlikely.”
Ghaith al-Omari, a senior fellow at the Washington Institute who was an adviser to the Palestinian peace negotiating team from 1999 to 2001, said Hamas would pull out of negotiating a ceasefire for hostages deal now, but would likely return to talks.
“Hamas will have no choice right now but to step away from the hostage talks in the short term, that my view will be only performative at the end of the day,” he said on the virtual press conference. He said Haniyeh was the chief negotiator, but the man calling the shots is Yahyeh Sinwar, the Hamas military chief who remains alive and hidden in Gaza.
“The calculation of Sinwar, who is the one that matters, has not really changed, and once things die out, they will find a quiet way to go back,” he said.
The Biden administration would not comment on the Haniyeh assassination, but the National Security Council spokesman, John Kirby, made clear on Wednesday that violence in the Middle East did not make the administration’s efforts to achieve a ceasefire for hostage exchange any easier.
“When you have events, dramatic events, violent events, caused by whatever actors, it certainly doesn’t make the task of achieving that outcome any easier,” he said.

Seven winners and six losers in the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, Hamas’s political leader
Philssa Cramer/JTA/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
The killing of Haniyeh, which is widely attributed to Israel, shifts the dynamics of the Israel-Hamas war and the hostage negotiations - who stands to win, and who to lose?
The assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, Hamas’ top leader, in Iran early Wednesday would appear to be an unvarnished win for Israel, which has been locked in war with Hamas since the Palestinian terror group invaded on Oct. 7.
But the killing, widely attributed to Israel even though the government has not claimed responsibility, is more complicated than that. Different groups within Israel stand to benefit more and less as a result, while the repercussions beyond Israel are even more widely varying.
Here’s our back-of-the-envelope analysis of who wins and who loses with Haniyeh’s death. (What did we leave out? Email us with your ideas).
Here are 7 people, places and ideas that stand to benefit from Haniyeh’s death
Israel: After Oct. 7, Israel vowed to eliminate Hamas’ leaders, wherever they are, as part of its larger goals of eliminating Hamas and returning the hostages. Ten months later, the pathway to many of those core objectives still feels tortuous or impassable: Israel continues to fight a grueling war in Gaza with a mounting death toll, no clear endpoint and little by way of a “day after” plan. Hostage negotiations, meanwhile, have gone on for months as the number of killed captives has risen. Killing Hamas’ senior officials — and particularly Haniyeh, the highest-ranking among those to be killed — provides a rare, unambiguous “mission accomplished” moment for the state. Video has circulated of Haniyeh celebrating Oct. 7 as he watched footage of his Hamas foot soldiers attacking, terrorizing and killing Israelis. Knowing he’s dead, likely at Israel’s hands, Is something many Israelis are celebrating, even as they remain concerned about the assassination’s fallout.
The particular circumstances of Haniyeh’s death, in a pinpoint strike within Iran, is a particular boon to confidence in Israel’s military and intelligence apparatus that was shaken by Hamas’ success on Oct. 7.
Benjamin Netanyahu: As his many critics and even some of his supporters would argue, Israel’s prime minister does not always have the same interests as the state he leads. Netanyahu has faced steep criticism for allowing Oct. 7 to happen, for empowering far-right ministers in his quest to maintain a political coalition, and for derailing hostage-for-ceasefire talks. Polling showed his popularity rising in recent weeks, and Haniyeh’s death on his watch seems likely to shore up his approval.
Netanyahu, in televised remarks Wednesday night, did not acknowledge an Israeli role in Haniyeh’s death, but speaking generally and referring to other recent killings of high-profile figures, he said he had been vindicated. “For months there hasn’t been a week where I wasn’t told, at home and abroad, to end the war. ‘End the war because we have achieved all we can, this can’t go on forever,’” he said. “I did not give into these voices then, and I won’t give in to them today.”
Pro-Israel activists: Those who have taken on advocating for Israel abroad and on social media have seen the task get harder as the Gaza war has ground on. But compared to, say, Israel’s invasion of Rafah a few months ago in the face of international condemnation, Haniyeh’s assassination is relatively uncomplicated to defend. Media coverage of Haniyeh’s record, which includes overseeing attacks on civilians and enriching himself at the cost of the Palestinian people, is also renewing attention on Hamas’ role as the instigator of the current war and as a major factor in the suffering of Gaza Palestinians.
Israel’s right-wing extremists: On Tuesday morning, Israel was reeling from an incident where right-wing extremists broke into army bases in defense of soldiers charged with abusing Palestinian prisoners. The incident exposed divides between the government and the military, while the abuse scandal raised moral alarm bells. Now, while coverage of that incident is continuing in Israel, and is sure to be raised again, it has been overshadowed by Haniyeh’s assassination.
The Biden administration: President Joe Biden has seen his outspoken support for Israel tested during the war in Gaza, as he has pressed for limiting civilian casualties while still providing arms to Israel and defending the prosecution of the war. For months, critics of the administration have seen the Biden administration as complicit in Gaza’s mounting death toll. Haniyeh’s assassination, by contrast, puts administration officials in a relatively comfortable position: Israel achieved a key objective in a war Biden is backing without civilian casualties. U.S. officials say they are working to prevent a broader war but stand by Israel’s right to defend itself.
Qatar: Haniyeh lived in Qatar, traveling with relative ease to Iran and other places that are friendly to Hamas. Oct. 7 made his residence politically problematic for the gulf state, which seeks a relationship with the West and does not enjoy its reputation as a sponsor of terror. Under pressure from the United States, Qatar reportedly threatened Haniyeh and other Hamas leaders there with exile if they did not seek an end to the Israel-Hamas war. Haniyeh’s death removes some of that pressure for Qatar, where Haniyeh is reportedly to be buried on Friday.
Yahya Sinwar: Sinwar, who heads Hamas’ military wing, sparred with Haniyeh over Hamas’ direction and tactics, with Haniyeh gaining a reputation as somewhat more moderate and willing to make short-term concessions. Now, Haniyeh is dead and Sinwar is alive, with one fewer obstacle to pursuing his own vision for violent Palestinian resistance.
And here are six people, places and ideas that stand to lose out
Israeli hostages and a deal to release them: As recently as a few days ago, U.S. and Israeli officials indicated that they were close to a deal that could see Israeli hostages in Gaza released in exchange for a cessation of hostilities. Haniyeh was negotiating on Hamas’ side; his death seems likely to undercut continuing talks around the more than 100 Israeli hostages who remain in Gaza, of whom dozens are thought to be alive. “How is David safer now?” one hostage family member asked on social media, even as she called Haniyeh “a monster of terror.” But some hostage families praised the killing, saying they hoped it would increase pressure on Hamas to make concessions. U.S. and Israeli officials say they do not want to abandon the negotiations, though John Kirby, Biden’s National Security Council spokesman, said, “Reports coming out of the region certainly don’t make it less complicated.”
Israelis in the north and south: Hundreds of thousands of Israelis have been evacuated from their homes since Oct. 7, with tensions simmering on two borders. Even so, dozens of Israelis have died from rocket strikes, including a dozen children and teens this week in Majdal Shams, in the Golan Heights. With hostilities renewed, and reprisals seen as likely, safety in these regions continues to be compromised.
Travelers to and from Israel: Several major airlines had only recently resumed regular flights to and from Israel after pausing them following Oct. 7. Now, several of them are suspending the routes again, citing safety concerns about rising tensions.
Iran: Haniyeh’s murder in the center of Tehran, hours after participating in public political ceremonies and reportedly in a building that was hosting Iran’s honored guests, is undeniably humiliating for Israel’s most powerful nemesis. In April, Iran launched hundreds of rockets at Israel; almost all were shot down, and relatively little damage resulted. (One girl was severely wounded by shrapnel.) Now, on a day that was supposed to mark the strength of its government, the country has been shown to have major security vulnerabilities — including a possible undetected Israeli presence.
Hamas: This goes without saying. Haniyeh effectively ran the organization; now it’s without a top leader. Israel killed Haniyeh’s top deputy in Beirut in January and he has not been replaced. The group is reportedly planning to meet in the coming days to appoint new leadership, but it’s clear that the war has weakened Hamas’ elite ranks and that the conditions are ripe for infighting about how to proceed.
Yahya Sinwar: Being the last leader standing has its downsides. Sinwar has long been a marked man for his role in Oct. 7 and in planning Hamas attacks previously. Now, without Haniyeh occupying Israeli attention, he stands alone at the top of Israel’s hit list.

Pinpoint assassinations: Israel’s message to Hezbollah, Lebanon, Hamas, and Iran - analysis
Herb Keinon/Jerusalem Post/August 01/2024
Israel’s recent operations in Beirut and Tehran highlight its renewed intelligence and deterrence capabilities post-October 7.
The question Saturday night after the Majdal Shams massacre was not whether Israel would respond but rather how and against whom.
Would the target be Hezbollah, which fired the rocket that killed 12 children and youths; would it be Lebanon, which houses Hezbollah and allows it to fire on Israel whenever it wants; or would it be Iran, which is Hezbollah’s patron, sponsor, and paymaster?
The answer came late Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning in the form of two pinpoint assassinations. The first hit was on Fuad Shukr, Hezbollah’s chief of staff, in Beirut’s southern suburbs. Then, a few hours later, Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was killed when a missile crashed into the apartment where he was sleeping in Tehran.While Israel took responsibility for the killing of Shukr, it officially stayed mum regarding the killing of Haniyeh, though Iran blamed Israel and vowed revenge.
In other words, in two blows, Israel—if indeed it was responsible for the assassination of Haniyeh—struck at Hezbollah, Lebanon, Iran, and, as an added bonus, Hamas. It struck at Hezbollah by killing Shukr, one of the organization’s most dominant figures. By killing him in Beirut, Israel signaled to Lebanon that nothing is out of bounds, and as easily as it can hit an apartment in the city’s southern suburbs, it can strike at Lebanon’s infrastructure.
By striking Haniyeh in Tehran, Israel signaled that it has no compunctions about hitting at the proverbial head of the “resistance camp” octopus and not only its tentacles (proxies). And by killing Haniyeh, Israel struck yet another blow against Hamas.
By doing this all together, in two precision blows just hours apart, Israel also took large strides toward restoring public faith—as well as the enemy’s understanding—of its capabilities, both operational and intelligence.
A new meaning to the word deterrence
BEFORE OCTOBER 7, this might have been called deterrence, and the twin attacks witnessed in some seven hours might have been seen as an effort to restore deterrence. October 7, however, gave a new meaning to the word deterrence.
Hamas’s brazen and barbaric attack showed that it was not deterred by Israel’s might, even though it was well aware of that might and equally well aware that Israel would hammer it in return—which it is doing. But that was not a disincentive, rather an incentive.
Hamas expected to get pounded but believed that this would further its long-term strategic goals: it would trigger a wider regional war, which to a certain degree it has, and as a result of civilian casualties and suffering in Gaza, which it invited, would weaken Israel by turning world opinion against it.
Hamas was not deterred by Israel’s might, not because it did not appreciate that might or because it did not understand that Israel would deploy it, but rather because its calculation of what constitutes victory and its cost-benefit evaluation is different from ours. As a violent non-state actor, it is far more willing than rational state actors to accept high levels of sacrifice.
When an organization disregards the safety of its civilians and the destruction of its territory, traditional deterrence based on overwhelming military power becomes ineffective.
This is similar to al-Qaeda’s calculation when attacking the US on 9/11. Did al-Qaeda and Osama Bin Laden not know that the US would respond with overwhelming force? Of course they knew, but that is what they wanted, in the hopes it would lead to a wider war between Islam and the West. American superior power was not a deterrence because al-Qaeda’s calculations were different from what Westerners expected.
IT IS DIFFICULT to say, therefore, whether the attacks in Beirut and Tehran helped restore Israel’s deterrence because the ideological extremists in control of Hamas and Hezbollah, and also Iran—even though it is a state actor and state actors generally take into consideration potential damage to infrastructure, economy, and the civilian population—may be immune to deterrence in the traditional sense.
Iranian leader Ali Khamenei and the ayatollahs ruling Iran, like the heads of Hamas and Hezbollah, may be so blinded by an ideological and theological hatred of Israel as to be willing to bring destruction upon themselves – as long as Israel suffers in the process.
What the attacks in Beirut and Tehran did restore, however, is appreciation of Israel’s capabilities.
On October 7, Israel was let down tremendously by its intelligence apparatus, raising questions about its vaunted intelligence agencies and whether it was not over-reliant on technological wizardry.
Since October 7, the intelligence has proven itself on numerous occasions, such as pinpoint assassinations carried out in Beirut in January when Israel killed Hamas’s Saleh al-Arouri and in Damascus in April when it killed Mohammed Reza Zahedi, a top commander in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. The back-to-back pinpoint operations in Beirut and Tehran this week —knowing exactly where the targets were and hitting them without causing massive collateral damage—are exceptional. It has to be sobering for Israel’s enemies.
Hezbollah has, over the last few months, tried to wow Israel with its intelligence capabilities by posting videos of Haifa’s port and the Ramat David Air Base. But hitting Shukr’s apartment—knowing exactly when and where he would be there and sending a precision-guided missile to that site—bespeaks of intelligence brought up to another level. The twin hits—against faraway targets in enemy lands— also reflect tremendous operational capabilities. These capabilities were also on display two weeks ago when Israel struck the Hodeida Port in Yemen in retaliation for a Houthi drone attack on Tel Aviv.

The Horror of an Iranian Nuclear Weapon

Nils A. Haug/ Gatestone Institute/August 1, 2024
Iran has hardly been shy about articulating its genocidal objectives against Israel. Iran's newly elected President Masoud Pezeshkian, in early July, reaffirmed "Tehran's dedication to destroying Israel." This aim, he added, is "rooted in the fundamental policies of the Islamic Republic."
The question, therefore, is what exactly is to be done to prevent a nuclear catastrophe initiated by Iran, one that could arrive at any moment?
"In the Middle East, Iran is virtually behind all the terrorism.... When he founded the Islamic Republic, Ayatollah Khomeini pledged, 'We will export our revolution to the entire world. We will export the Islamic revolution to the entire world'... which country ultimately stands in the way of Iran's maniacal plans to impose radical Islam on the world?... It's America, the guardian of Western civilization and the world's greatest power. That's why Iran sees America as its greatest enemy... Last month.... the foreign minister of Iran's proxy, Hezbollah... said this: 'This is not a war with Israel. Israel... is merely a tool. The main war, the real war, is with America.'" — Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, speaking before a joint session of the US Congress, July 25 2o24.
"Is this war now with Israel?... My answer is that this is not a war with Israel. Israel is merely a tool. The main war, the real war, is with America." — Khalil Rizk, Hezbollah's head of foreign relations on Al-Manar TV, June 17, 2024.
"The greatest tragedy of the Jewish people," Nobel Peace Prize laureate Eli Wiesel stated, "is that they listen to the promises of their friends and not the threats of their enemies."
The leaders of Israel should take seriously the threats of their enemies and act to protect both Israel and the Free World from potential imminent disaster.
Iran is racing ahead with its nuclear weapons program, with one primary aim in mind: the absolute eradication of Israel. Iran has hardly been shy about articulating its genocidal objectives against Israel. Iran's newly elected President Masoud Pezeshkian, in early July, reaffirmed "Tehran's dedication to destroying Israel." The primary obligation of any national leader, including Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is to protect the integrity of the country's borders and to ensure the safety of every citizen. Netanyahu's legal, political, and moral duty is to ensure that every citizen can live in peace, and be free, prosperous, and independent.
These objectives of peace, prosperity, and a secure homeland are precisely what the founders of Israel strove for and what led to so many successive defensive wars started by Israel's antagonists.
Concerningly, at this moment, Israel again faces a genocidal assault by a determined adversary, as Iran races ahead with its nuclear weapons program with one primary aim in mind: the absolute eradication of Israel. "The nuclear situation in Iran," the IDF's Deputy Chief of Staff, General Amir Baram, informed Israel's Knesset in July, "is like a car with all the parts ready – now they just need to be assembled."
Israel, given its lack of strategic depth, is in a vulnerable position. "The use of even one nuclear bomb inside Israel," said former Iranian President Akbar Rafsanjani, "will destroy everything."
That Iran desires nuclear capabilities necessary to wipe-out Israel is unfortunately not a matter of conjecture. There are many indicators of its intent. The "Doomsday Clock" in Tehran's "Palestine Square", for instance, counts down toward the hour of Israel's obliteration in 2040. This April, Iran itself let loose an indiscriminate barrage of more than 300 ballistic missiles and attack drones upon Israel , a country smaller than the state of New Jersey. The event possibly signaled "the end of 'Strategic Patience' and its replacement with a policy of direct retaliation against Israel."
Since the start of the Islamic Republic of Iran in 1979, under Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, -- when "The slogan... Death to America, and Death to Israel" was seen and heard almost everywhere" -- Iran has hardly been shy about articulating its genocidal objectives against Israel. Iran's newly elected President Masoud Pezeshkian, in early July, reaffirmed "Tehran's dedication to destroying Israel." This aim, he added, is "rooted in the fundamental policies of the Islamic Republic."
Earlier, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was recorded as saying, "It is the mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to erase Israel from the map of the region."
"Israel," he added separately, "is a hideous entity in the middle east which will undoubtedly be annihilated."
There is little realistic hope of altering Iran's agenda. In mid-July, the US, again in an exercise of futility, warned Iran against developing nuclear weapons. This admonition arose after March 2024 report which indicated "Iranian scientists were engaged in computer modelling and metallurgical research" – actions "relevant to nuclear explosive development."
They will have missiles "in exactly one year," promised Aziz Rashed, spokesman for Iran's proxy the Houthis, on July 13, that can "reach Europe or the Atlantic Ocean, so America's nuclear targets will be within the range of Yemeni missiles."
An Iranian nuclear weapon, it seems, is far closer to becoming a reality than readily admitted. On July 19, it became evident that circumstances have dramatically accelerated. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken disclosed on July 19 that "Iran is one or two weeks away from producing deadly nuclear fissile material." This potential development should be a crisis not only for Israel, but for the West.
The question, therefore, is what exactly is to be done to prevent a nuclear catastrophe initiated by Iran, one that could arrive at any moment?
Strategically, the US should already have acted years ago to prevent Iran's nuclear program from upending the balance of power in the region beyond, As Netanyahu reminded the US Congress last week:
"In the Middle East, Iran is virtually behind all the terrorism.... When he founded the Islamic Republic, Ayatollah Khomeini pledged, 'We will export our revolution to the entire world. We will export the Islamic revolution to the entire world' ... which country ultimately stands in the way of Iran's maniacal plans to impose radical Islam on the world? ... It's America, the guardian of Western civilization and the world's greatest power. That's why Iran sees America as its greatest enemy.
"Last month.... the foreign minister of Iran's proxy, Hezbollah... said this: 'This is not a war with Israel. Israel... is merely a tool. The main war, the real war, is with America.'"
Stopping Iran remains a highly contentious issue politically. The current US administration has for the most part seemed suicidally averse to dramatic deterrent action – and presumably would be more so before a forthcoming election.
Whether or not there are feasible alternatives to the US employing tactical, precision, conventional strikes is the topic of much polemic. In a July 2024 article published by Royal United Services Institute -- the UK's oldest defence and security "think tank" -- the headline reads, "The Limited Options for Managing the Iranian Nuclear Question."
The outcome of the assessment is that there exists no easy diplomatic means of preventing Iran's nuclear weapon agenda. The author, Darya Dolzikova, concedes, "the proposed solutions are imperfect – none guarantee success." The options therefore appear restricted to means other than talking.
Apart from military action as a last resort, the only possible way to secure the safety of Israel is through a severe increase in, and enforcement of, economic sanctions and an embargo against Iran's exports and imports. Such a program had been successfully in place before the current administration came to power in 2021. The Biden administration waived the sanctions in place, thereby allowing Iran and its proxies hold the world hostage in any way they deemed fit. Taking full advantage of US prevarication, Iran probably believes it has free rein to terrorise any nations it chooses, with Israel the current main target.
The lack of political will from the Biden administration and America's evident weakness through appeasement -– such as sending billions of dollars to Iran –- makes it understandable that Iran pays lip service to America's professed threats. By not following them up with concrete action, the US, in Iran's view, must have become pathetic– as well as in the view of Russia's President Vladimir Putin and China's President Xi Jinping. The present crisis in the Middle East is clearly the result of a vacuum of power – the US having, in practice, abdicated its role as the major world power by failing to deter its adversaries.
In the face of America's refusal to act with resolve on behalf of its allies, including Ukraine, Israel's options for survival appear limited. In 2020, Russian General Andrei Sterlin commented that "there is no way to determine if an incoming ballistic missile is fitted with a nuclear or a conventional warhead. The military has to see it as a nuclear attack."
Israel, the Gulf States, Europe and the US will soon be in no position to gamble whether a ballistic missile launched from Iran is a nuclear attack or not.
Highlighting Israel's dilemma, Professor Eyal Zisser of Tel Aviv University believes that "Israel might not have a choice" but to conduct a preventative strike on "Iran's nuclear sites and Hezbollah's strategic missile stockpiles." How, when, and if they attempt this objective is for them to decide, but time is pressing. Additional intelligence came to light in July 2024 that Iran is -- again -- secretly ratcheting up its ballistic missile production. These missiles could carry a nuclear warhead. Israelis have every reason to be alarmed.
Although Israel's leaders are well-aware of Iran's intentions, the US and other Western allies cannot be relied upon to participate or contain Iran's progress toward a nuclear weapon. They have shown that apparently they would rather deal with the situation through ineffectual diplomatic "meetings."
At the 2024 NATO summit in July, Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz highlighted the threat posed to Ukraine and NATO members:
"The Iranian drones and missiles that attack Ukraine and threaten NATO members are the same as those that tried to hit Israel on April 14. Iran is our common enemy."
Farhad Rezaei similarly stressed the exigent nature of the crisis: "An Iranian bomb could trigger a nuclear race in the Middle East and hasten US withdrawal from the region – a strategic advantage for China" -- as well as Iran.
Yet the Biden administration evidently "has no clear Iran strategy" but on the contrary "is willing to make deals with Iranians when it suits them," the UN Special Rapporteur for Human Rights in Iran clarified on July 9, 2024.
In response to an interviewer's question on June 26, 2024, concerning Iran and a nuclear bomb, Alan Dershowitz, Professor of Law Emeritus at Harvard Law School, replied:
"Israel has to act on its own. Israel has to understand that it can never again count on the unequivocal support of the United States. It can count on some support from the United States, but Israel has to make its own military and political decisions."
The result? Israel, alone in many respects and forced to act unilaterally, might need to find ways to prevent Iran from attacking it with nuclear weapons. The stakes could not be higher for Israel -- and, as the supposed bastion of Western democratic values, for America. "Is this war now with Israel?" asked Hezbollah's head of foreign relations, Khalil Rizk, on Al-Manar TV June 2024. "My answer is that this is not a war with Israel. Israel is merely a tool. The main war, the real war, is with America."
And so, the West waits for America's and Israel's next moves, designed to protect their people from the potential disaster promised by Iran's jihadist regime.
Despite diplomatic failure by the US to prevent Iran's nuclear ambitions, and on the grounds that the US will in all probability fail to act militarily to prevent Iran's nuclear breakout, Israel on its own may be left to protect both itself and the West.
"The greatest tragedy of the Jewish people," Nobel Peace Prize laureate Eli Wiesel stated, "is that they listen to the promises of their friends and not the threats of their enemies."
The leaders of Israel should take seriously the threats of their enemies and act to protect both Israel and the Free World from potential imminent disaster.
*Nils A. Haug is an author and columnist. A Lawyer by profession, he is member of the International Bar Association, the National Association of Scholars, a faculty member at Intercollegiate Studies Institute, the Academy of Philosophy and Letters. Retired from law, his particular field of interest is political theory interconnected with current events. He holds a Ph.D. in Apologetical Theology. Dr. Haug is author of 'Politics, Law, and Disorder in the Garden of Eden – the Quest for Identity'; and 'Enemies of the Innocent – Life, Truth, and Meaning in a Dark Age.' His work has been published by First Things Journal, The American Mind, Quadrant, Gatestone Institute, National Association of Scholars, Anglican Mainstream, Document Danmark, Jewish News Syndicate, and others.
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Today in History: Outnumbered Christian Knights Defeat Hordes of Sadistic Muslims
Raymond Ibrahim/The Stream/August 01/2024
In a feat of death-defying heroism that even Hollywood fiction cannot match, today in history witnessed a group of Christian knights, led by Richard Lionheart, put to flight a massive horde of Muslim terrorists that moments earlier had been sadistically torturing and murdering Christians.
Background: On July 27, 1192, Saladin, the great sultan-hero of Islam, besieged the tiny Christian-held town of Jaffa. According to contemporary chronicles, the Muslims numbered as many as 20,000 and “covered the face of the earth like locusts.”
Messengers were instantly dispatched to King Richard I, who was then in Acre, preparing to sail back to England. Before the battered and bruised men had finished relaying their message, Richard declared, “With God as my guide, I will set out to do what I can,” and instantly disembarked on his fleet with slightly more than 2,000 fighters.
Carnage
Jaffa, meanwhile, was fighting for its life. According to Saladin’s court historian, Baha’ al-Din, who was present, after one of its walls collapsed, all the Muslims rushed into the city “and there was not an enemy heart that did not tremble and shake.” Even so, the Christians “were more fierce and determined in the fight and more eager for and devoted to death.”Indeed, moments before the Muslims flooded Jaffa, when its main gate was finally battered down, bringing down with it the aforementioned wall, a “cloud of dust and smoke went up and darkened the sky.” Once it cleared, the Muslims saw that “spear-points had replaced the walls and lances had blocked the breach.” Only death would release the Crusaders of their charge to defend Jaffa.
Due to the great masses of rushing Muslims, the garrison was eventually driven to and holed up in the citadel, even as the sackers turned their attention to Jaffa’s civilian populace: “Alas for the pitiful slaughter of the sick!” recalls a chronicler. “They lay weakly on couches everywhere in the houses of the city; the Turks tortured them to death in horrible ways.”
The Berserker King Arrives
Richard’s fleets finally arrived on the evening of July 31, but did not disembark. As Baha’ al-Din explains, the just-arrived Crusaders “saw the town crammed with the Muslims’ banners and men and they feared that the citadel might have already been taken. The sea prevented their hearing the shouts that came from everywhere and the great commotion and cries of ‘There is no god but Allah’ and ‘Allahu Akbar.’”To make matters worse, “When the Turks saw the king’s galleys and ships approaching, masses of them ran on to the shore,” writes a chronicler, “raining down spears, javelins, darts and arrows densely so that they would have nowhere free to land. The shore was seething, so covered with crowds of the enemy that there was no empty space left.”Then, on the morning of August 1, a fighting priest holed up in Jaffa took his chances: he jumped out of the citadel’s window into the sea and swam to the fleets. On learning that, although the “Saracens had taken the castle and were rounding up the Christians as prisoners,” a remnant of the garrison was still holding out, Richard exclaimed, “If it so please God … let us die here with our brothers.”
Without donning his full armor, the chroniclers say, the king “armed himself with his hauberk, hung his shield at his neck and took a Danish axe in his hand.” With his crossbow in the other hand — and crying “death only to those who do not advance!” — he hurled himself into the water “and forced himself powerfully on to dry land,” all while firing his crossbow at the wild throng assembled along the shore and swiping incoming arrows away with his axe.
Resounding Impact
Inspired to no end by such a sight, the rest of the Crusaders followed their king; they plunged into the water and “boldly attacked the Turks who obstinately opposed them on the shore.” But “at the sight of the king,” whom the Muslims dreaded from earlier encounters, none of them “dared approach him.” Rather, they fled down the shore. One chronicle has the rest:
Brandishing his bared sword, the king followed in such hot pursuit that none of them had time to defend themselves. They fled from his weighty blows. In the same way the king’s comrades constantly assailed the fugitives, driving them on, crushing, rending, beheading and tossing them about until all the Turks had been violently expelled from the shore and left it empty…. The king fell on them with unsheathed sword, pursued them, beheaded and slew them. They fled before him, falling back in dense crowds to his right and left.
Once Richard, drenched in Muslim blood, became visible to Saladin’s entourage, “a horrible howl went up,” even as Turkic arrows rained down on the Christians.
Undeterred, their berserker king continued to “cut to pieces all he met without distinction” in his mad hunt for Saladin, prompting the sultan to dash
like a frightened hare… [H]e put spur to horse and fled before King Richard, not wishing to be seen by him…. The king and his fellow-knights steadfastly pursued him, continually slaying and unhorsing … for more than two miles.
It was a disorderly retreat and rout of the most ignoble kind; and it was the most humiliating defeat the great Saladin, who died months after, ever suffered.
Indeed, due to his exploits at Jaffa and elsewhere, the name of Richard Lionheart is the one that, in the popular Muslim consciousness, most personifies the archetypal Crusader enemy till this very day — a testimony to the havoc he wrought singlehandedly.
As proof, a personal anecdote is perhaps appropriate here: My parents, both of whose first names began with an R, gave their children names that do as well. When I was born, they had all but decided to name me Richard, but, in the last moment, changed their mind on the off chance that our family might move back to Egypt — in which case, as they later told me, they feared I would be heavily discriminated against if not outright killed by some fanatic still smarting from the Crusades. The fact that they chose to name me Raymond (also a popular Crusader name, though they never knew it) further underscores the singular weight the name “Richard” continues to have in the Middle East.

Bomb Smuggled Into Iran Guesthouse Months Ago Killed Hamas Leader
Ronen Bergman/The New York Times/ August 1, 2024
Ismail Haniyeh, a top leader of Hamas, was assassinated Wednesday by an explosive device covertly smuggled into the Tehran, Iran, guesthouse where he was staying, according to seven Middle Eastern officials, including two Iranians, and a U.S. official.
The bomb had been hidden approximately two months ago in the guesthouse, according to five of the Middle Eastern officials. The guesthouse is run and protected by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and is part of a large compound, known as Neshat, in an upscale neighborhood of northern Tehran.
Haniyeh was in Iran’s capital for the presidential inauguration. The bomb was detonated remotely, the five officials said, once it was confirmed that he was inside his room at the guesthouse. The blast also killed a bodyguard.
The explosion shook the building, shattered some windows and caused the partial collapse of an exterior wall, according to the two Iranian officials, members of the Revolutionary Guard briefed on the incident. Such damage was also evident in a photograph of the building shared with The New York Times.
Haniyeh, who had led Hamas’ political office in Qatar, had stayed at the guesthouse several times when visiting Tehran, according to the Middle Eastern officials. All of the officials spoke on the condition of anonymity to share sensitive details about the assassination.
Iranian officials and Hamas said Wednesday that Israel was responsible for the assassination, an assessment also reached by several U.S. officials who requested anonymity. The assassination threatened to unleash another wave of violence in the Middle East and upend the ongoing negotiations to end the war in the Gaza Strip. Haniyeh had been a top negotiator in the cease-fire talks.
Israel has not publicly acknowledged responsibility for the killing, but Israeli intelligence officials briefed the United States and other Western governments on the details of the operation in the immediate aftermath, according to the five Middle Eastern officials.
On Wednesday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the United States had received no advance knowledge of the assassination plot.
In the hours after the killing, speculation immediately focused on the possibility that Israel had killed Haniyeh with a missile strike, possibly fired from a drone or a plane, similar to how Israel had launched a missile on a military base in Isfahan, Iran, in April.
That missile theory raised questions about how Israel might have been able to evade Iranian air defense systems again to execute such a brazen airstrike in the capital.
As it turns out, the assassins were able to exploit a different kind of gap in Iran’s defenses: a lapse in the security of a supposedly tightly guarded compound that allowed a bomb to be planted and to remain hidden for many weeks before it would eventually be triggered.
Such a breach, three Iranian officials said, was a catastrophic failure of intelligence and security for Iran and a tremendous embarrassment for the Revolutionary Guard, which uses the compound for retreats, secret meetings and housing prominent guests such as Haniyeh.
How the bomb was stashed in the guesthouse remained unclear. The Middle Eastern officials said the planning for the assassination took months and required extensive surveillance of the compound. The two Iranian officials who described the nature of the assassination said they did not know how or when the explosives were planted in the room.
Israel decided to carry out the assassination outside Qatar, where Haniyeh and other senior members of Hamas’ political leadership live. The Qatari government has been mediating the negotiations between Israel and Hamas over a cease-fire in Gaza.
The deadly blast early Wednesday shattered windows and collapsed a portion of the wall of the compound, photographs showed and the Iranian officials said. It appeared to do minimal damage beyond the building itself, as a missile probably would have done.
At around 2 a.m. local time, the device exploded, according to the Middle Eastern officials, including the Iranians. Startled building staff members, the officials said, ran to find the source of the tremendous noise, leading them to the room where Haniyeh was staying with a bodyguard.
The compound is staffed with a medical team which rushed to the room immediately after the explosion. The team declared that Haniyeh had died immediately. The team tried to revive the bodyguard, but he, too, was dead.
The leader of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Ziyad al-Nakhalah, was staying next door, two of the Iranian officials said. His room was not badly damaged, suggesting precise planning in the targeting of Haniyeh.
Khalil al-Hayya, the deputy commander of Hamas in Gaza who was also in Tehran, arrived at the scene and saw his colleague’s body, according to the five Middle Eastern officials.
Among the people immediately notified, said the three Iranian officials, was Gen. Ismail Ghaani, the commander in chief of the Quds Force, the overseas arm of the Revolutionary Guard, which works closely with Iranian allies in the region, including Hamas and Hezbollah. He notified Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in the middle of the night, waking him up, the officials said.
Four hours after the blast, the Revolutionary Guard issued a statement that Haniyeh had been killed. By 7 a.m., Khamenei had summoned the members of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council to his compound for an emergency meeting, at which he issued an order to strike Israel in retaliation, according to the three Iranian officials.
Tehran had already been under heightened security because of the inauguration of Iran’s new president, Masoud Pezeshkian, with senior government officials, military commanders and dignitaries from 86 countries gathering at parliament in central Tehran for the ceremony.
Haniyeh had looked cheerful and triumphant Tuesday during the swearing in, hugging the new president after he delivered his inaugural speech, and the two men raised their hands together, making the victory sign.
In Iran, the method of assassination was the subject of rumor and dispute. The Tasnim News Agency, the media outlet for the Revolutionary Guard, reported that witnesses said an object like a missile had hit the window of Haniyeh’s room and exploded.
But the two Iranian officials, the members of the guard briefed on the attack, confirmed that the explosion had taken place inside Haniyeh’s room, and said that an initial investigation showed that the explosives had been placed there sometime in advance.
They described the attack’s precision and sophistication as similar in tactic to the remote controlled artificial intelligence robot weapon that Israel used to assassinate Iran’s top nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh in 2020.
Israeli assassination operations outside of the country are primarily carried out by Mossad, the country’s foreign intelligence service. David Barnea, the head of Mossad, said in January that his service was “obliged” to hunt down the leaders of Hamas, the group behind the Oct. 7 attacks in Israel.
“It will take time, as it took after the massacre in Munich, but our hands will catch them wherever they are,” Barnea said, referring to the killing of Israeli athletes by terrorists at the 1972 Olympics.
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