English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For May 15/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
Here are my mother and my brothers! Whoever does the will of God is my brother and sister and mother
Mark 03/31-35//04/01-09: “Then his mother and his brothers came; and standing outside, they sent to him and called him. A crowd was sitting around him; and they said to him, ‘Your mother and your brothers and sisters are outside, asking for you.’And he replied, ‘Who are my mother and my brothers?’And looking at those who sat around him, he said, ‘Here are my mother and my brothers! Whoever does the will of God is my brother and sister and mother.’ Again he began to teach beside the lake. Such a very large crowd gathered around him that he got into a boat on the lake and sat there, while the whole crowd was beside the lake on the land. He began to teach them many things in parables, and in his teaching he said to them: ‘Listen! A sower went out to sow. And as he sowed, some seed fell on the path, and the birds came and ate it up. Other seed fell on rocky ground, where it did not have much soil, and it sprang up quickly, since it had no depth of soil. And when the sun rose, it was scorched; and since it had no root, it withered away. Other seed fell among thorns, and the thorns grew up and choked it, and it yielded no grain. Other seed fell into good soil and brought forth grain, growing up and increasing and yielding thirty and sixty and a hundredfold.’And he said, ‘Let anyone with ears to hear listen!’”
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Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on May 14-15/2023
Mother's Day in Canada: All people have hearts, but Mothers' Hearts brings all hearts together/Elias Bejjani/May 14/2023
Maronite Patriarch Al-Rahi to Lebanese officials: If they had listened to the word of God, they would have conducted negotiations with Syria and the international...
Patriarch Al-Rahi calls on officials to conduct negotiations with Syria, international community for Syrian refugees' return
Bishop Elias Aoudi: What is this impossibility in electing a figure to head the state? Is the country devoid of men whose heart beats with the love Lebanon?
Report: Berri to call for presidential vote, Safa to meet Bassil
Bou Habib talks to UAE foreign minister after Lebanese man dies in custody
Khawaja to LBCI: The other 'team' agreed not to support Frangieh, but did not agree on an alternative name
Lost potential: The untapped benefits of Lebanon's marijuana industry
Frem visits Bukhari, Rahi
Finance Ministry: Tomorrow, Monday, is the last day to benefit from exemptions from fines on taxes, violations
Global Ambassador for Peace tours political, religious figures in Lebanon, calls for cross-sectarian dialogue table that consolidates coexistence
Environment Minister underlines importance of transitioning to sustainable transportation to reduce pollution
BDL Third Deputy Governor: Sayrafa platform a financial & economic need, first step towards liberalizing exchange

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 14-15/2023
US Welcomes Israel-Gaza Ceasefire
Gaza residents wake up to quiet Sunday after announcement of ceasefire
Palestinians and Israelis Resume Normal Life after Gaza Truce
Syria's main insurgent group seeks to move away from al-Qaida past, get off Western terrorism lists
Khartoum region under bombardment as Sudan's rivals talk
Zelensky calls Germany a ‘true friend’ as Ukraine prepares counter-offensive
Zelenskiy: Ukraine, West can make Russia's defeat 'irreversible' this year
Ukrainian President Says Counterffensive Does Not Aim to Attack Russian Territory
Footage shows massive explosions and fireballs after a wave of Russian drones targeted a city in western Ukraine
Russia Says Ukraine Made ‘Mass Attempts’ to Break through Bakhmut Defenses
2 senior Russian commanders have been killed in fighting near Bakhmut, defense ministry says
Türkiye Votes in Pivotal Elections, with Erdogan Rule in Balance
Iran summons Iraq envoy over Kurdish opposition groups
As net tightens, Iranians pushed to take up homegrown apps
Abdollahian: We hope to see a serious breakthrough in Iranian-Egyptian relations
EU says latest Armenia-Azerbaijan talks should build momentum for peace


Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 14-15/2023
Washington… What about the People?/Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al Awsat/May 14/2023
Israel under Fire and The West's Pusillanimous Response/Richard Kemp/Gatestone Institute./May 14, 2023
Biden administration lacking a major foreign policy success/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/May 14, 2023
G7 summit will showcase revival of the Western alliance/Andrew Hammond/Arab News/May 14, 2023
Two Vital Summits This Week: Jeddah’s Arab Summit and Hiroshima’s G7/Raghida Dergham/The National/May 14/2023

Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 14-15/2023
Mother's Day in Canada: All people have hearts, but Mothers' Hearts brings all hearts together
Elias Bejjani/May 14/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/86018/86018/
Canada celebrates today, on the ninth of May 14/2023, "The Mother's Day" and honors with love and gratitude all her sacrifices, devotion, and commitments.
This blessed ritual of genuine honoring is certainly a faith obligation and a human, moral, ethical, religious and ecclesiastical duty for each and every believer who fears God and the day of his last Judgement, and at the same adheres in his/her pattern of lifestyle, and practices to the Ten Biblical Commandments in which its fifth one verbatim reads: "Honor your father and your mother that your days may be long upon the land which the LORD your God is giving you".
Honor means to give high regard, respect and esteem to; to bring respect or credit to; an outward token, sign or act that manifests high regard.
Respect means to have deferential regard for, to treat with propriety and consideration; to regard as inviolable.
Meanwhile, this honor and respect, though primarily intended by God to be given to parents, are not limited to them. In spirit it includes civil, religious and educational authorities as well.
God want us to honor our parents because the family is the basic building block or unit of society, thus the stability of the community depends on the stability of the families that comprise it.
"In God's eyes—and in a small child's—a parent stands in the place of God Himself. In the physical sense, parents are the child's creator, provider, lawgiver, teacher, and protector—and sometimes even savior. A child's response to this relationship will greatly determine his later response to larger relationships in society. And it is ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN to affect his relationship with God. Thus, since parents represent God, it becomes their obligation to live lives worthy of that honor. Ultimately, the responsibility for keeping this commandment falls on the child, but it begins with the parents through child training and example. If parents neither provide the correct example nor teach the correct way, they can hardly expect their children to honor them" (John W. Ritenbaugh).
Mothers and fathers, through the bond of sacred marriage, secure the continuity of humanity. This holy and blessed institution, the institution of the family "Marriage" is the cornerstone of every society. Without it, societies disintegrate, lose values ​​and morals after which destructive chaos and all forms of loss of faith and immorality prevail.
In one of our proverbs back home in Lebanon we say: The Good mother is like a magnet that pulls together her family members and holds them under her wings. Practically this means that with her love, warm and big heart, devotion, passionate, role model, hard work and sacrifices she brings her family members together, embraces them, nurtures them, and always works to cultivate in them all values of love, forgiveness, giving, humility, tolerance, and faith.
We congratulate the mothers on their annual day, and pray for the eternal rest of the souls of the mothers who have passed away.
We ask our mothers who are in heaven dwelling in God's mentions to pray for us and for peace in the world, especially during this time of world wide state of loss, confusion, despair and fear, while facing the deadly threats of Corona Virus plague.
A Special Prayer For The Mothers
Dear God, Thank you for your endless provisions of grace and mercy. We come to you today to lift up every woman who answers to the name of “mom.” We ask that you supply each one with the strength they need for those difficult days. Give them wisdom to know when to encourage and when to correct their children. Supply them with an extra dose of patience. Remind them that children are a heritage and a reward from You (Psalm 127:3 CSB), and shower them with special moments they can cherish. Lord, we also ask that you draw them close to you daily. Remind them of their worth in Your eyes - that they, too, are cherished children of a loving Father. We pray for contentment in this very special calling. May every mom realize that this is a mission from You, one that brings truly great rewards in the end. quoted from the Batchelor Brothers page) Amen

Maronite Patriarch Al-Rahi to Lebanese officials: If they had listened to the word of God, they would have conducted negotiations with Syria and the international...
NNA/May 14/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/118225/118225/
Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi, indicated, during Sunday Mass in Bkirki, that a third of Lebanon's population lives from the agricultural sector. In this regard, the Patriarch made three appeals, the first to the Lebanese state to support this sector, in order to protect the national produce, open markets for it, and increase production capacity, and the second to the expatriates in order to market Lebanese products in their countries of residence, and the third to international and donor organizations in order to incubate the agricultural sector and its advancement. He pointed out that "Lebanon's representatives and officials cannot continue to hear the voice of their interests at the account of the country's interest, starting with the election of a president who inspires confidence at home and abroad." In his address to the Lebanese officials, Al-Rahi indicated that "if they had listened to the word of God, they would have accelerated the reform of institutions and the financial situation, stopped the migration of our lively forces, and moved forward in conducting the necessary negotiations with Syria and the international community for the return of the displaced who have become a threat to our country."

Patriarch Al-Rahi  calls on officials to conduct negotiations with Syria, international community for Syrian refugees' return
LBCI/May 14/2023
Maronite Patriarch Cardinal Bechara Boutros al-Rahi considered during his sermon on Sunday Mass in Bkerki that "agriculture is of strategic importance for achieving food security by securing Lebanon's need for food and raw materials for food factories, limiting the import of food needs, which exceeded 75 percent, and increasing agricultural exports to bring hard currency into Lebanon." He said, "The patriarchate, eparchies, and monastic orders are in constant coordination with the Director General of Agriculture, agricultural colleges, associations, unions, and cooperatives to keep the farmer on his land, reduce displacement, migration, and the sale of land, and to create job opportunities for the youth." "A third of Lebanon's population lives off the agricultural sector, which includes plants, domestic animals, and sea fish," he added. During his sermon, al-Rahi launched three appeals: The first is for the Lebanese state to support this sector and make it essential in the national economy, reconsider the agreements to protect the national product, open markets for agricultural production, improve the livelihood of farmers and producers, increase production capacity, enhance the efficiency and competitiveness of agricultural and food production chains, and improve adaptation to climate change.  The second is for the Lebanese emigrants to market Lebanese agricultural products, food, and Lebanese cuisine in their countries. Third, international organizations and donor bodies to embrace and advance the agricultural sector, secure a food safety net, and transform the Lebanese agricultural and food system into a more resilient, inclusive, competitive, and sustainable system.  Additionally, he addressed the deputies by saying, "Our deputies and political officials cannot continue to deafen their ears from hearing the word of God and continue to hear the voices of their private and factional interests, and the voices of hatred and maliciousness, at the expense of demolishing state institutions." According to him, this starts with not electing a president of the republic that would inspire confidence at home and abroad, leading to the loss of the parliament's legislative power, the deprivation of the government of all its powers, the disruption of due appointments, and the spread of corruption in public administrations.  "If they had heard the word of God, they would hasten to reform the structures and institutions, to advance the economy and reduce the impoverishment of the people, and to reform the financial situation, and stop the migration of our living forces," al-Rahi expressed.  He went on to say: "Let them be firm and united in their word and proceeded to conduct the necessary negotiations with Syria and the international community for the return of the Syrian refugees to their country who have become an increasing danger to our country," calling on the United Nations to help them on their homeland.  "They would have heard the painful cry of the merchants, expressed by the Jounieh and Keserwan - Ftouh Traders Association in an open letter that they presented to us yesterday so that we join our voice to theirs." He added, "O deputies and political officials, all this ruin will fall on your heads and consciences because of your failure and pride. What is worse is that the region is in a state of change, settlements, dialogues, and calm. Where are you from the audacity of dialogue? And where are you going in Lebanon, making it a loose land? It is not yours, but the property of the benevolent Lebanese people who preserved it with sacrifices and redeemed it with the blood of its martyred sons."

Bishop Elias Aoudi: What is this impossibility in electing a figure to head the state? Is the country devoid of men whose heart beats with the love Lebanon?
NNA/LCCC
/May 14/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/118225/118225/
Bishop Elias Aoudi in his sermon today said: "Our country today is similar to Samaritan in its sin. Its multiple marriages, that is, the attachments of most leaders and officials in it and their attachment to an external affiliation, have brought it to the bottom of the chasm in which it languishes today. If our officials had returned to the Bible and read what was written in it about Lebanon, they would have known its value and their loyalty would have been to Him alone." Because God chose him, and built his temple from his cedars. The surrounding countries used to yearn for Lebanon, some of them loved him, some sought to be like him, and others envied him. Now they all preceded him, and they are searching for a solution to his cause because of the shortcomings of his sons and their differences and divisions. They say what They don't. They release stances and slogans based on principles and values, but their actions reveal their intentions. Everyone is calling for the necessity of electing a president and defining his characteristics. What are they waiting for? What is this impossibility in electing a figure to head the state? Is the country devoid of men whose heart beat with love for Lebanon? Isn't it necessary for all those responsible to return to the Lord, and seek the aid of the Holy Spirit, who, just as He helped the apostles in electing a successor to Judah, would inspire his petitioners and show them the path leading to their salvation? And he concluded: “The Church calls us today to drink from the fountain of living water, Christ who alone is able to revive our souls and bodies, and we are called to carry the word of God and hasten to thirst for it, just as the Samaritan did, who lit up the darkness of the hearts of a people who were darkened by distance and alienation from God. It was the reason for his salvation."

Report: Berri to call for presidential vote, Safa to meet Bassil
Naharnet/May 14, 2023
The “countdown” for Speaker Nabih Berri’s call for a presidential election session has started, informed sources quoted a prominent political leader as saying. “His remarks about June 15 as a deadline are not only aimed at pushing political forces to take decisions, but are also based on several indications and elements,” the sources added, in remarks to ad-Diyar newspaper published Sunday. “The positive atmosphere as to finalizing things is more serious than ever,” the political leader added. A prominent parliamentary source from the Shiite Duo meanwhile expressed to ad-Diyar his “relief” over the latest developments, saying that “there is a good and positive foreign atmosphere and an active domestic drive that can be counted on in securing the right circumstances for the election of the president.” “Speaker Berri is inclined to call for a presidential election session and the other camp must name its candidate,” the source added. Informed sources meanwhile told the daily that Hezbollah liaison and coordination officer Wafiq Saqa will meet next week in Sin el-Fil with Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil.

Bou Habib talks to UAE foreign minister after Lebanese man dies in custody

Associated Press/May 14, 2023
Lebanon's foreign minister has spoken with his counterpart in the United Arab Emirates following the death of a Lebanese citizen while in custody in the oil-rich Gulf nation, Lebanon's Foreign Ministry said in a statement. The Ministry said that Lebanon's ambassador to the UAE, Fouad Dandan, spoke by telephone with the wife and brother of the late Ghazi Ezzedine, 55. The envoy later received a signed letter from the family saying the man died as a result of heart problems. Ezzedine's death had earlier raised questions about his possible mistreatment by authorities in the UAE. Earlier this week, a committee of family members of Lebanese citizens detained in the UAE, including the man who died earlier this month, alleged in a statement that Ezzedine had died as a result of being tortured. The Foreign Ministry statement said UAE's Foreign Minister Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan told his Lebanese counterpart Abdallah Bou Habib that Ezzedine's family can leave the UAE or stay if they want. The statement did not say whether the family will be allowed to take the man's body for burial in Lebanon following reports that they were prevented from do so. Sima Watling, a researcher with Amnesty International focusing on the Arab Gulf country, told The Associated Press on Friday that according to Ezzedine's family, he had been arrested on March 22 along with eight other people, including two of his brothers, on unknown charges. Ezzedine died on May 4, she said. His family was only notified several days later, when his son was asked by authorities to come to the cemetery and identify the body, she added. Ezzedine's son was only permitted to see his father's face, while his body was kept covered. UAE authorities denied the family's request to bring him back to Lebanon for burial, Watling said. The two brothers who were detained along with him were subsequently released from detention but banned from leaving the country. UAE authorities have detained dozens of Lebanese, mostly Shiites, in the past over alleged links to Hezbollah. The UAE, like other Gulf Cooperation Council members, considers Hezbollah a "terrorist" organization. In 2019, the UAE sentenced one Lebanese national to life in prison and two to ten years in prison on charges of links to Hezbollah./May 14, 2023

Khawaja to LBCI: The other 'team' agreed not to support Frangieh, but did not agree on an alternative name
LBCI/May 14, 2023
Member of the Development and Liberation bloc MP Mohammad Khawaja considered that Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri set June 15 as a deadline for electing a president to "light the red light in front of all political forces represented in Parliament that there are important dues waiting us after June 15."
"If we reach presidential vacancy to the aforementioned date, it will be extended to the governorship of Banque du Liban and others, and we are against extending to the governor," he added. On the presidential issue, Khawaja said in an interview on LBCI's Nharkom Said TV show, "We support our candidate, Suleiman Frangieh, and our position is declared and cannot be changed, and the other party must decide its options for the sessions to be meaningful." "The other party agreed not to support Frangieh's name, but it did not agree on an alternative name," he added. He believed that all Speaker Berri aspired to was a "dialogue session." If it had taken place, "we would have had a president four months ago." Regarding the file of Syrian refugees, Khawaja indicated that "talking with Assad is necessary to resolve this issue" and believed that "Frangieh can carry out this task and he is known for his courage and frankness, and he can talk with the Syrian leaders in this file as a friend and not as an opponent."

Lost potential: The untapped benefits of Lebanon's marijuana industry

LBCI/May 14, 2023
Lebanon is the fourth largest producer of hashish in the world, but until today it has not been able to benefit from this plant. The cultivation of cannabis, also known as Indian hemp, started here in the plains of Lebanon, and this is its history: According to experts and residents, the cultivation of cannabis in Lebanon dates back to the Roman era, and the evidence is a carving of a cannabis leaf found on one of the stones of the Temple of Bacchus in Baalbek. It is also worth noting that during the Ottoman era, this cultivation flourished significantly. But what Lebanese people are aware of is that marijuana played a role during the years of the Lebanese Civil War (1975-1990), as it constituted a significant source of funding for political parties and militias. Not only did Lebanese political parties benefit from this cultivation, but the Syrian army also extended its control over the cultivation and trade of marijuana due to its significant financial return. This is the history of the thriving marijuana industry in Lebanon, which came to a certain end after the war when the government began trying to eradicate this cultivation and replace it with other crops without providing alternative plans that could have achieved substantial profits.

Frem visits Bukhari, Rahi
NNA/May 14, 2023
Chairman of the Executive Council of "Project Watan", MP Neemat Frem, visited today Saudi Ambassador to Lebanon, Walid Al-Bukhari, in Yarzeh, and Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Butros Al-Rahi, in Bkirki. Both visits came within the context of consultations and deliberations over latest developments and challenges facing Lebanon and the Lebanese, and the dire need for a quick exit from the presidential vacuum tunnel.

Finance Ministry: Tomorrow, Monday, is the last day to benefit from exemptions from fines on taxes, violations
NNA/May 14, 2023
In an issued statement on Sunday, the Ministry of Finance pointed out to all citizens and taxpayers that tomorrow, Monday, May 15, 2023, is the last day to benefit from exemptions from fines for taxes, fees, and violations amounting to 100% based on Article 20 of the Budget Law 2022.
The Ministry called on all those concerned who wish to benefit from these exemptions to head tomorrow to its centers in all governorates during official working hour, and also announced that it will extend the deadline for issuing receipts until twelve o'clock midnight on Monday, May 15th, in its main building at the Directorate of Imports and TVA in Adlieh - Corniche Al-Nahr. The Ministry encouraged those concerned with tax on built property to access its website www.finance.gov.lb to find out the status of their files.

Global Ambassador for Peace tours political, religious figures in Lebanon, calls for cross-sectarian dialogue table that consolidates coexistence
NNA - Global Ambassador for Peace, Hussein Ghamloush, met with a number of spiritual, political and administrative figures within the framework of his visit to Lebanon and encounters with Lebanese leaders. According to a statement, Ghamloush visited the Grand Mufti of the Republic, Sheikh Abdul-Latif Darian; the Deputy Head of the Supreme Shiite Islamic Council, Sheikh Ali al-Khatib; the Druze Sheikh Al-Aql, Sheikh Sami Abi al-Muna; the Archbishop of Ferzol, Zahle, and the Bekaa of the Melkite Roman Catholics, Ibrahim Mikhael Ibrahim, and the Archbishop of Bekaa and Zahle of the Zahle Maronite Archdiocese, Joseph Moawad. The statement indicated that he discussed with the religious authorities the current situation prevailiong in the country and called for "a cross-sectarian dialogue table in order to consolidate coexistence and civil peace in all regions," and to "exert pressure to elect a president of the republic to enhance stability so as to move the economic and tourism wheels in Lebanon."Ambassador Ghamloush also visited Lebanese Red Cross President, Antoine Al-Zoghbi, and the Vice-President of "Caritas Lebanon", Nicolas Hajjar. He also met with Caretaker Minister of Industry George Boushkian, with whom he discussed ways of cooperation between Arab and foreign businessmen in the European continent with Lebanon. In the context of his visit to the Bekaa, Ghamloush met with the Mayor of Hasbaya, Rawad Salloum, where the general situation in the Hasbaya district was reviewed, in addition to a number of development projects of interest to citizens in the region, especially in the agricultural sector. Finally, the Global Peace Ambassador concluded his tour by visiting Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri in Ain al-Tineh, affirming his support for his fellow Lebanese and his "relentless endeavors with donors to provide assistance in all development fields to enhance stability and internal civil peace in the country."

Environment Minister underlines importance of transitioning to sustainable transportation to reduce pollution
NNA/May 14, 2023
The Ministry of Environment organized a forum on "sustainable transportation" within the activities of the Electric Vehicles Exhibition in Beirut. In his address on the occasion, Caretaker Environment Minister Nasser Yassin stressed "the importance of moving to sustainable transportation in order to reduce pollution, protect public health and ensure justice," considering that "this transition achieves economic savings due to the waste caused by road congestion." The Environment Minister suggested "appointing a regulatory authority for the transport sector, with a modern organization of the sector based on the above-mentioned principles being among its tasks." He also suggested "taking advantage of climate finance and green finance opportunities to build sustainable public transport and encourage investments in this field, in addition to designing walking and cycling paths such as those set for Beirut."

BDL Third Deputy Governor: Sayrafa platform a financial & economic need, first step towards liberalizing exchange
NNA/May 14, 2023
Third Deputy Governor of the Banque du Liban, Salim Chahine, met in his office at BDL with a delegation from the Beirut Trustees Forum headed by Fadi Ghalayini, with talks centering on the overall financial and monetary conditions prevailing in Lebanon at the economic level. Chahine responded to the inquiries of the delegation members, explaining that the "Sayrafa exchange platform is a financial and economic need and a first step towards liberalizing the exchange rate and placing the financial situation on the right track," adding that "more transparency is required to know the movement of transactions on the platform as well as the motives for buying and selling.""It requires high-quality technical management far from any tensions, so that it can play its actual role in the markets and not be a competitive tool," he went on. Chahine revealed that there is no substitute for an effective role by the International Monetary Fund in ending the financial crisis in Lebanon. "This role is essential in rebuilding the financial and economic sectors," he said, stressing on "the Fund's demand for structural reforms in the public and financial sectors, while the Parliament Council solely focuses through the Capital Control Law on determining losses and the fate of depositors' funds." "What is required is to take bold decisions to move the national economy and not to be held hostage to the cash economies, and therefore we pushed for the approval of Circular 165, which gives a margin for action pending reform decisions," Chahine continued to explain. He emphasized that "there must be a separation between the Central Bank's responsibility as to the party entrusted with maintaining monetary stability and the role of other bodies required to effectively control the movement of the banking sector." Chahine considered that "the decisions issued by the Banque du Liban are the decisions of the Central Council, while the circulars are issued by the Governor personally, and he has the authority to do so, and those decisions may be after consultation with the government and the Minister of Finance." He also hinted that many of the statements that are issued are "populist" in nature and have nothing to do with reality. "It would be preferable if communication occurs with those in charge of financial policy to give these statements and positions their actual value, most recent of which being the statements about the value of gold," Chahine underlined.

Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 14-15/2023
US Welcomes Israel-Gaza Ceasefire
Reuters/Sun, May 14, 2023
The White House welcomed the announced ceasefire between Israel and the Gaza-based militant Islamic Jihad group on Saturday night, thanking Egypt for helping to broker a halt to escalating cross-border fighting. "The United States welcomes tonight's announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Gaza-based militants brokered by the Egyptian government after nearly five days of fighting," White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said. The White House said US officials worked with regional partners to achieve the resolution and thanked Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and senior Egyptian for "critical diplomatic efforts," as well as Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani of Qatar.

Gaza residents wake up to quiet Sunday after announcement of ceasefire
Agencies/Arab News/May 14, 2023
DEIR AL-BALAH, Gaza Strip: Residents of the Gaza Strip woke up to a Sunday morning without the sounds of bombardments and explosions after five days of continuous fighting between Islamic Jihad and Israel. Cars returned to the streets, stores opened their doors, and residents greeted each other, letting their neighbors know that they had not lost relatives or property. The Palestinian Ministry of Education in Gaza also announced the resumption of classes starting Monday, after inspecting school buildings to determine whether they had suffered damages from the bombing.
The Ministry of Economy said that the initial losses for each day of the “Zionist aggression on the enclave amounted to $10 million, with a total of $50 million as a result of the disruption of the production process.”Israel and Islamic Jihad agreed to a ceasefire on Saturday night, mediated by Egypt with efforts by Qatar, the UN and the US. Yahya Abu Obeid, 55, was searching through the rubble of his house in the city of Deir Al-Balah in the middle of the Gaza Strip, looking for clothes and the remnants of furniture or household supplies. “We left the house without any belongings,” he told Arab News, adding that he hoped to find items he could make use of while waiting for the rubble to be removed and, possibly, his house to be rebuilt. Israel bombed Abu Obeid’s house for the second time during the latest round of fighting. It was destroyed in the 2014 war as well.
“It took three years to rebuild the house in 2014. I don’t know when I will rebuild it again. We are currently living with relatives,” he said. There were 10 people — Abu Obeid and his sons — living in the two-story house. “Our lives as Palestinians are full of tragedies,” said Abu Obeid. “This is not the first time, and it may not be the last. “Israel does not differentiate between civilian homes and others. When it lacks goals, it destroys civilian homes to put pressure on the residents.”The destruction of Abu Obeid’s house by a single Israeli missile caused widespread destruction in the surrounding area, damaging several houses beyond repair. Ali Sarsour, 36, was cleaning his house with his wife. His apartment was next to Abu Obaid’s house and suffered extensive damage to the windows and walls. “There is no safety in this place,” said Sarsour. “How long must we suffer before the world understands that we deserve a better life?”The Palestinian Ministry of Health in Gaza confirmed that 33 Palestinians — including six children — were killed, while at 190 others were injured. During the fighting, 11 Islamic Jihad members were killed, including six of its most prominent military commanders and some of their children and families, according to an official statement. Islamic Jihad does not see the end of this latest round of fighting as an end to the confrontation with Israel, but rather as “one episode in a long war.” In a statement following the announcement of the ceasefire, Ziyad Al-Nakhala, secretary-general of Islamic Jihad, said: “Today we announce the end of another round of conflict with the Zionist project, in which we lost our dearest sons among the martyred leaders.”

Palestinians and Israelis Resume Normal Life after Gaza Truce
AFP/Sun, May 14, 2023
Life on both sides of the Gaza Strip border began returning to normal on Sunday after an Egyptian-mediated ceasefire halted five days of fighting between Israel and Islamic Jihad, which killed 34 Palestinians and an Israeli. Israel reopened its goods and commercial border crossings, allowing fuel to flow to the lone power plant in the blockaded coastal enclave. Shops and public offices reopened and crowds returned to streets that had been deserted for days. Leaders from both sides of the conflict confirmed their commitment to the truce, but gave different interpretations of the terms, such as whether Israel would end targeted killings of Palestinian militant leaders. The latest fighting, the longest bout since a 10-day war in 2021, began when Israel launched a series of air strikes in the early hours of Tuesday, announcing that it was targeting Islamic Jihad commanders who had planned attacks against it. In response, the Iranian-backed group fired more than 1,000 rockets, sending Israelis fleeing into bomb shelters. In areas of southern Israel around Gaza, schools were still closed on Sunday and many of the thousands of residents who had been evacuated had yet to return. "It's no simple matter to come back from such a situation," Gadi Yarkoni, mayor for several Israeli towns on the Gaza border, told radio station 103 FM.
Palestinian health officials said 33 people, including women and children as well as Islamic Jihad fighters, were killed in Gaza. In Israel, an Israeli woman and a Palestinian laborer were killed by Gazan rockets. Mohammad Al-Hindi, a senior Islamic Jihad official who co-negotiated a ceasefire in Cairo with Egyptian officials, said in a statement on Sunday that the group was prepared to halt its rocket launches in exchange for Israel's agreement to stop targeting houses, civilians, and militant leaders. "We are committed to the calm agreement as long as the enemy abided by it," he said. But Israel denied it had made any such undertakings, saying only that it would it hold fire as long as there was no threat. "I have said time and again: Whoever strikes at us, whoever tries to strike at us, whoever tries to strike us in the future - his blood is forfeit," Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told his weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem.
Israeli forces had "successfully concluded five days of fighting the Islamic Jihad terrorist group," he said in the televised remarks, without mentioning a ceasefire agreement. Hamas, the group that controls Gaza, did not take part in the fighting and Israeli military officials said their strikes did not target its infrastructure or leaders. How long the latest ceasefire will hold remained unclear. The latest bout of fighting came only a week after another round of overnight barrages and even as the truce was being finalized, the two sides kept up their firing. "We will continue doing everything that has to be done with one consideration alone: What serves the security interests of the State of Israel," Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, a member of Netanyahu's security cabinet told Kan radio. "We dealt a serious blow to Islamic Jihad (but) we have not solved the Gaza problem. This is a problem that requires a much more dramatic solution," Smotrich said. In Gaza, people were picking up the pieces after days of bombardment that Israel said targeted Islamic Jihad command centers and other military infrastructure, but which also damaged or destroyed dozens of houses. "This is my room, it had the toys I used to play with and the books I used to study, there was nothing left," said Ritaj Abu Abeid, 12, as she stood inside her wrecked bedroom. Maddah Al-Amoudi, 40, one of around 3,000 Gaza fishermen who had been blocked from going to sea, also welcomed the return to normality. "We have no alternative to the sea. If there is work in the sea, we can earn money and food for our children and if there is no sea, there is nothing."

Syria's main insurgent group seeks to move away from al-Qaida past, get off Western terrorism lists
IDLIB, Syria (AP)/Sun, May 14, 2023
The leader of an insurgent group that rules much of northwest Syria rose to notoriety over the past decade by claiming deadly bombings, threatening revenge against Western “crusader” forces and dispatching Islamist religious police to crack down on women deemed to be immodestly dressed. Today the man known as Abu Mohammed al-Golani is trying hard to distance his group, Hayat Tahrir al Sham, known as HTS, from its al-Qaida origins, spreading a message of pluralism and religious tolerance. As part of the rebranding, he has cracked down on extremist factions and dissolved the notorious religious police. For the first time in more than a decade, a Mass was performed recently at a long-shuttered church in Idlib province. Al-Golani told a recent gathering of religious and local officials that Islamic law should not be imposed by force. “We don’t want the society to become hypocritical so that they pray when they see us and don’t once we leave,” al-Golani said, pointing to Saudi Arabia, which has relaxed its social controls in recent years after decades of strict Islamic rule. The pivot comes at a time when al-Golani's group is increasingly isolated. Countries that had once backed insurgents in Syria’s uprising-turned-civil-war are restoring relations with Syrian President Bashar Assad.
Saudi Arabia, a one-time Assad foe, reversed course and led a push resulting in Syria's return to the Arab League last week, after 12 years of regional isolation. Even Turkey, the main remaining state backer of armed opposition groups in Syria, has signaled a shift. Last week, the Turkish foreign minister met with his Syrian counterpart in Moscow, the first such meeting since 2011. The foreign ministers of Russia and Iran, Assad's main allies, also attended. The meeting marked a significant step toward Damascus and Ankara restoring ties, even as the presence of Turkish troops in northwest Syria remains a sticking point. At the same time, the United States considers HTS a terrorist group and has offered a $10 million reward for information on al-Golani’s whereabouts. The United Nations also designates it a terrorist organization. Earlier this month, the U.S. and Turkey jointly slapped sanctions on two people who allegedly raised money for militant groups, including HTS. Al-Golani rose to prominence in the early months of the Syrian uprising in 2011, when he became the leader of al-Qaida’s branch in Syria, known at the time as the Nusra Front. Militants and top officials from Osama bin Laden’s al-Qaida flocked to the group’s base of operations in northern Syria, where many of them were later killed in U.S. strikes.
In July 2016, the Nusra Front changed its name to Fatah al-Sham Front and said it was cutting ties with al-Qaida, in what was seen by many as an attempt to improve its image. Fatah al-Sham later merged with several other groups and became Hayat Tahrir al Sham.
During that period, al-Golani showed his face publicly for the first time and changed his style of dress from white turbans and robes to shirts and trousers. His fighters went after Islamic State group militants who fled to Idlib after their defeat and cracked down on Horas al-Din or “Guardians of Religion,” another militant group that includes hardcore al-Qaida members who broke away from HTS. The change in al-Golani’s public image appears not to have impressed the U.S. government. Posts on social media accounts of the U.S. government’s Rewards for Justice show a photo of al-Golani wearing a light blue shirt and dark blue blazer with a caption in Arabic that reads: “Hello, handsome al-Golani. Nice shirt. You can change your uniform, but you will always be a terrorist. Don’t forget the $10 million reward.”In 2017, HTS set up a so-called “salvation government” to run day-to-day affairs in the region. At first, it attempted to enforce a strict interpretation of Islamic law. Religious police were tasked with making sure that women were covered, with only their faces and hands showing. Its members would force shops to close on Fridays so that people could attend the weekly prayers. Playing music was banned, as was smoking water pipes in public. In March 2020, Russia and Turkey, which support rival groups in the conflict, reached a truce. Since then, rebel-held northwestern Syria has witnessed relative calm, and HTS focused its efforts on cracking down on the remnants of IS and other jihadist groups. The International Crisis Group think tank, in a report earlier this year, said HTS has evolved and “distanced itself from global jihadism.”HTS has also sometimes portrayed itself as a defender of minorities in the primarily Sunni Arab northwest. In March, members of a Turkish-backed armed group shot dead four Kurdish men in the town of Jinderis as they lit a fire to celebrate the Kurdish new year. Al-Golani met with the victims’ families and other Kurdish residents of the area and promised revenge against the perpetrators.
In a 2021 interview with PBS, al-Golani called his group’s terrorist designation “unfair” and “political,” saying that while he had criticized Western policies in the region, “we didn’t say we want to fight (them).”Al-Golani said his involvement with al-Qaeda has ended, and that even in the past his group was “against carrying out operations outside of Syria.”The State Department said in a statement that al-Golani remains a designated terrorist and that it does not comment on possible deliberations about changing such designations. Aron Lund, a fellow with the Century International research center, said he believes it’s unlikely the U.S. will remove HTS and al-Golani from its terrorism list. “As far as I can tell, the U.S. government remains genuinely concerned about the group’s links to global jihadism,” Lund said. Waiel Olwan, a researcher at the Turkey-based think tank Jusoor for Studies, said he believes al-Golani is trying to show he is in control of Idlib and to guarantee a place for himself in Syria once the conflict ends. Asim Zedan, an activist whose group tracks violations by HTS, said the ongoing terror designation is a blow to al-Golani’s self-image. “After forming the salvation government and setting up ministries, al-Golani now sees himself as a head of state,” Zedan said.

Khartoum region under bombardment as Sudan's rivals talk
KHARTOUM (Reuters)/Sun, May 14, 2023
Shelling and air strikes pounded parts of Sudan's capital on Sunday with little sign that warring military factions were ready to back down in a conflict that has killed hundreds despite ceasefire talks in Saudi Arabia. Khartoum and the adjoining cities of Bahri and Omdurman across the Nile's two branches have been the main theatre of conflict along with western Darfur province since the army and Rapid Support Forces paramilitary started fighting a month ago. Shelling struck Bahri and air strikes hit Omdurman early on Sunday, according to a Reuters reporter and witnesses. Al Arabiya television reported heavy clashes in central Khartoum. "There were heavy air strikes near us in Saliha that shook the doors of the house," said Salma Yassin, a teacher in Omdurman. The fighting has killed hundreds of people, sent 200,000 into neighbouring countries as refugees, displaced another 700,000 inside Sudan triggering a humanitarian catastrophe and threatens to draw in outside powers and destabilise the region. The number of people killed in fighting on Friday and Saturday in Geneina, capital of West Darfur, reached more than 100, including the imam of the city's old mosque, the Darfur Bar Association said in a statement. The local rights group blamed the killings, looting and arson in Geneina, where hundreds died in violence last month, on attacks by armed groups on motorbikes and the RSF. The RSF has denied responsibility for the unrest. Army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and RSF leader Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti, had shared power after a 2021 coup that itself followed a 2019 uprising that ousted veteran Islamist autocrat Omar al-Bashir. But they fell out over the terms and timing of a planned transition to civilian rule and neither man has shown he is ready for concessions, with the army controlling air power and the RSF dug deep into city districts. Truce deals have been repeatedly broken but the United States and Saudi Arabia are mediating talks in Jeddah aimed at securing a lasting ceasefire. "You don't know how long this war will continue ... The house became unsafe and we don't have enough money to travel out of Khartoum. Why are we paying the price of Burhan and Hemedti's war?" said Yassin, the teacher. On Thursday the sides agreed a "declaration of principles" to protect civilians and secure humanitarian access, but with Sunday's discussions due to address monitoring and enforcement mechanisms for that deal, the fighting has not let up.

Zelensky calls Germany a ‘true friend’ as Ukraine prepares counter-offensive
AFP/May 14, 2023
BERLIN: Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky on Sunday called Germany a “true friend and reliable ally” in his country’s battle against Russia, as Berlin unveiled a huge new military package for Kyiv on his visit to the EU giant. Zelensky’s trip to Germany follows meetings in Rome with Italian leaders and the pope, and comes as Kyiv is preparing a much-anticipated counter-offensive. “In the most challenging time in the modern history of Ukraine, Germany proved to be our true friend and reliable ally, which stands decisively side-by-side with the Ukrainian people in the struggle to defend freedom and democratic values,” he wrote in the guestbook at the German president’s official residence. “Together we will win and bring peace back to Europe,” he added in the entry, before heading into talks with German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier. Ukrainian forces have been training troops and stockpiling Western-supplied munitions and hardware that analysts say will be key to reclaiming territory captured by Russia. Once accused of reticence in supplying military gear to Ukraine, Germany has since become a major contributor of tanks, rockets and anti-missile systems. On the occasion of Zelensky’s visit, Berlin unveiled its biggest armaments package for Ukraine yet, including tanks, missile defense systems and combat vehicles worth 2.7 billion euros. Zelensky said he “discussed the current situation and the intensive cooperation between Germany and Ukraine” with Steinmeier. He was later greeted by Chancellor Olaf Scholz with military honors before heading into talks behind closed doors.
He is also expected to head to the western German city of Aachen, which this year is awarding him and the Ukrainian people the Charlemagne prize — an honor awarded for efforts to foster European unity. Scholz, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki are due to attend the ceremony in Aachen. A meeting with the European leaders could help prepare the ground ahead of an EU summit in Reykjavik next Tuesday, followed by the G7 gathering of world leaders in Hiroshima, Japan. Zelensky’s visit rounds off over a year of choppy relations with Germany, which is now one of Ukraine’s biggest armaments suppliers, but only after much pressure from Kyiv. In a clear show of its backing for Kyiv, Berlin on Saturday said it would send Ukraine more firing units and launchers for the Iris-T anti-missile system, 30 additional Leopard 1 tanks, more than 100 armored combat vehicles and over 200 surveillance drones. “We all hope for a rapid end to this terrible war by Russia against the Ukrainian people, but unfortunately this is not in sight,” Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said in a statement. “This is why Germany will supply all the help that it can, for as long as necessary,” he said.
Mykhaylo Podolyak, an adviser to Zelensky, hailed the announcement, saying it indicated that Russia was “bound to lose and sit on the bench of historical shame.”Early on in the conflict, Kyiv had accused Germany of being too accommodating to Russian President Vladimir Putin, while Berlin’s reliance on Russian energy had proved tricky. Kyiv had also snubbed a visit by Steinmeier in the weeks following the invasion, which in turn delayed Scholz’s first trip to the war-torn country. Both Steinmeier and Scholz have since visited Ukraine. As Kyiv prepares its offensive to retake ground in the eastern Donetsk and Lugansk regions, as well as the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions in the south, Germany’s continued military backing will likely prove vital. High-tech German-made Leopard 2A6 tanks sought by Kyiv have already been put to use at the frontlines, and the medium-range Iris-T missile defense system from Germany is also helping to bolster Ukraine’s protection against Russian strikes. On the front line, near the eastern flashpoint town of Bakhmut, both sides claimed to be making progress. “Our soldiers are moving forward in some areas of the front, and the enemy is losing equipment and manpower,” commander of the Ukrainian ground forces Oleksandr Syrskyi said on social media on Saturday. Russia said its forces were still pushing inside Bakhmut. “In the Donetsk direction, assault detachments liberated a block in the northwestern part of the city of Artemovsk,” the defense ministry said, referring to Bakhmut by its Russian name. Western allies have delivered increasingly powerful weapons to Ukraine. Britain this week announced it was sending Storm Shadow missiles, becoming the first country to send longer-range arms to Kyiv. Russia described it as “an extremely hostile step” and on Saturday accused Kyiv of using the British missiles to target civilian sites in eastern Ukraine, wounding six children. In Rome, Zelensky said he discussed with Pope Francis the fate of “tens of thousands of children” that Kyiv says were deported to Russia, as well as his plans for peace. Zelensky also thanked Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni “for helping to save lives.” “I am convinced that Ukraine will win and be reborn stronger, more proud and more prosperous than before,” said Meloni in response.

Zelenskiy: Ukraine, West can make Russia's defeat 'irreversible' this year
KYIV (Reuters)/Sun, May 14, 2023
President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Sunday that Kyiv and its Western supporters could make Russia's defeat in the war in Ukraine "irreversible" this year, as he thanked Germany for its military support. The Ukrainian leader told a joint news conference with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Berlin that Kyiv would always be grateful to Germany for its support during Russia's full-scale invasion. "Now is the time for us to determine the end of the war already this year, we can make the aggressor's defeat irreversible already this year," he said. Ukraine is expected to launch major counter-offensive operations in the coming weeks to try to recapture tracts of its east and south from Russian forces who launched a full-scale invasion in February last year. Zelenskiy said Kyiv was prepared to discuss outside initiatives from other states to bring peace to his country but that those proposals should be based on Ukraine's position and its peace plan."The war is happening on the territory of our country and so any peace plan will be based on Ukraine's proposals," he said. Kyiv has ruled out the idea of any territorial concessions to Russia and has said it wants every inch of its land back. Russia claims to have annexed the Crimean peninsula and four other Ukrainian regions, which Moscow now calls Russian land.

Ukrainian President Says Counterffensive Does Not Aim to Attack Russian Territory
APSun, May 14, 2023
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Sunday his country is preparing a counteroffensive designed to liberate areas occupied by Russia, not to attack Russian territory. Speaking during a news conference with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Berlin, Zelenskyy said Ukraine’s goal is to free the territories within its internationally recognized borders, reported The Associated Press. Scholz told Zelenskyy that Germany will support Ukraine “for as long as necessary.” Zelenskyy was welcomed with military honors Sunday as he made his first visit to Germany since Russia invaded Ukraine. The Ukrainian president is visiting allies in search of further arms deliveries to help his country fend off the Russian invasion, and funds to rebuild what's been destroyed by more than a year of devastating conflict. A Luftwaffe jet flew Zelenskyy to the German capital from Rome, where he had met Saturday with Pope Francis and Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni. On the eve of his arrival — which is taking place amid tight security — the German government announced a new package of military aid for Ukraine worth more than 2.7 billion euros ($3 billion), including tanks, anti-aircraft systems and ammunition. “Already in Berlin. Weapons. Powerful package. Air defense. Reconstruction. EU. NATO. Security,” Zelenskyy tweeted Sunday, in an apparent reference to the key priorities of his trip. After initially hesitating to provide Ukraine with lethal weapons, Germany has become one of the biggest suppliers of arms to Ukraine, including Leopard 1 and 2 battle tanks, and the sophisticated IRIS-T SLM air-defense system. Modern Western hardware is considered crucial if Ukraine is to succeed in its planned counteroffensive against Russian troops. Zelenskyy first met with President Frank-Walter Steinmeier, Germany's head of state, who was snubbed by Kyiv last year, apparently over his previous close ties to Russia, causing a chill in diplomatic relations between Ukraine and Germany. Since then, both Steinmeier and Chancellor Olaf Scholz have visited Ukraine, assuring Zelenskyy of their support for his country's fight against the Russian invasion. Announcing the new arms package, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said Berlin would help Ukraine for “as long as it takes.” After meeting Scholz and other senior officials at the chancellery, the two leaders are expected to fly to the western city of Aachen for Zelenskyy to receive the International Charlemagne Prize awarded to him and the people of Ukraine. Organizers say the award recognizes that their resistance against Russia's invasion is a defense "not just of the sovereignty of their country and the life of its citizens, but also of Europe and European values.” While German leaders have expressed strong backing for Ukraine, German voters are divided on whether the country should provide further weapons, particularly advanced fighter jets of the kind Kyiv is asking its allies for.

Footage shows massive explosions and fireballs after a wave of Russian drones targeted a city in western Ukraine
Bethany Dawson/Business Insider/May 14, 2023
The Khmelnytskyi Oblast Military Administration confirmed "critical infrastructure" had been hit. Russia announced that they had destroyed an ammo depot and a hangar at an airbase. Dramatic footage circulating on social media shows a massive explosion rocking the western Ukrainian city of Khmelnytskyi following a mass attack by Russian drones. The Khmelnytskyi Oblast Military Administration confirmed on Telegram that "critical infrastructure" had been hit in the attack on Friday night. A wave of 21 attack drones were fired at the city, according to reports. "Unfortunately, not all drones were destroyed that night – 17 out of 21 UAVs. There are four hits in Khmelnytskyi region," said Yuriy Ihnat, spokesman for the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, per Mail Online. The mayor of the region, Oleksandr Simchyshyn, wrote that "educational institutions, medical facilities, administrative buildings, industrial facilities, multi-story buildings, and private houses have been damaged" in the attack. Simchyshyn confirmed that there had been civilian casualties. Local news outlets reported at least 21 civilians were injured, citing the Khmelnytskyi Oblast Military Administration. The Russian Ministry of Defense said that the attack had destroyed an ammunition depot and hangar at the Starokostiantyniv airbase in Khmelnytskyi, per Sky News. On Saturday night, another western city was bombed by Russia. Putin's forces struck Ternopil, the hometown of Ukraine's Eurovision contestants, the duo Tvorchi, moments before they went on stage for the international song contest in Liverpool. Ukrainian forces intercepted and destroyed three missiles and 25 drones overnight, Ukraine's air force said, per Sky News.

Russia Says Ukraine Made ‘Mass Attempts’ to Break through Bakhmut Defenses
AP/May 14/2023
Russia's Defense Ministry on Sunday said that Ukrainian forces made "mass attempts" to break through its defenses in the city of Bakhmut over the past 24 hours, Russian news agencies reported. "All attacks by units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been repelled. There have been no breakthroughs of the Russian troops' defenses," Interfax quoted Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov as saying. Separately, the defense ministry said it carried out long-range strikes on the Ukrainian city of Ternopil, targeting "units of Ukraine's armed forces and ammunition storage sites".

2 senior Russian commanders have been killed in fighting near Bakhmut, defense ministry says

Alia Shoaib/Business Insider/May 14, 2023
Russia's Defense Ministry said two senior commanders had been killed near Bakhmut, eastern Ukraine. It claimed Putin's forces were repelling Ukrainian attacks but admitted to losing the top officers. Ukraine has reportedly advanced in Bakhmut in recent days. The Wagner chief called it a Russian "rout."
Two Russian commanders have been killed in fighting near Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine, the Russian Ministry of Defense said on Sunday. The ministry said the commanders died while repelling Ukrainian attempts to break through the frontline. The commander of the 4th motorized rifle brigade, Colonel Vyacheslav Makarov, was wounded in the fighting and died while being evacuated from the battlefield, the ministry said. Meanwhile, the deputy commander of the army corps for military-political work, Colonel Yevgeny Brovko, died of multiple shrapnel wounds sustained during a battle, it said. The department claimed that Ukrainian forces had not succeeded in breaking through Russian defenses and that hundreds of Ukrainian troops had been killed. Russian Defence Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov said on Friday that Ukraine had launched an attack north of Bakhmut with more than 1,000 troops and up to 40 tanks, which would be the biggest Ukrainian offensive since November if confirmed, per Reuters. He said that some Russian troops had fallen back from the north of Bakhmut to regroup to better positions following further reports of Ukrainian advances in the south. The founder of the paramilitary Wagner Group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, who often criticizes the Russian military and blames them for not supporting his fighters in Bakhmut, described the retreat as "a rout' and not a regrouping." He added that Ukraine had taken high ground overlooking Bakhmut and freed up the Chasiv Yar-Bakhmut road, a vital supply line. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Sunday that his forces are preparing to launch a counteroffensive to free territories occupied by Russia. It is unclear whether the advances in Bakhmut are part of the much-anticipated counteroffensive.

Türkiye Votes in Pivotal Elections, with Erdogan Rule in Balance
Asharq Al Awsat/May 14/2023
Turks voted on Sunday in one of the most important elections in modern Türkiye’s 100-year history, which could either unseat President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and halt his government's increasingly authoritarian path or usher in a third decade of his rule. The vote will decide not only who leads Türkiye, a NATO-member country of 85 million, but also how it is governed, where its economy is headed amid a deep cost of living crisis, and the shape of its foreign policy. Opinion polls have given Erdogan's main challenger, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, who heads a six-party alliance, a slight lead, with two polls on Friday showing him above the 50% threshold needed to win outright. If neither of them wins more than 50% of the vote on Sunday, a runoff will be held on May 28. Polling stations in the election, which is also for a new parliament, will close at 5 p.m. (1400 GMT). Turkish law bans the reporting of any results until 9 p.m. By late on Sunday there could be a good indication of whether there will be a runoff. "I see these elections as a choice between democracy and dictatorship," said Ahmet Kalkan, 64, as he voted in Istanbul for Kilicdaroglu, echoing critics who fear Erdogan will govern ever more autocratically if he wins. "I chose democracy and I hope that my country chooses democracy," said Kalkan, a retired health sector worker. Erdogan, 69 and a veteran of a dozen election victories, says he respects democracy and denies being a dictator. Illustrating how the president still commands support, Mehmet Akif Kahraman, also voting in Istanbul, said Erdogan still represented the future even after two decades in power. "God willing, Türkiye will be a world leader," he said. The election takes place three months after earthquakes in southeast Türkiye killed more than 50,000 people. Many in the affected provinces have expressed anger over the slow initial government response but there is little evidence that the issue has changed how people will vote. Erdogan, voting in Istanbul, shook the hands of election officials and spoke to a TV reporter in the polling station. "We pray to the Lord for a better future for our country, nation and Turkish democracy," he said. A smiling Kilicdaroglu, 74, voted in Ankara and emerged to applause from the waiting crowd. "I offer my most sincere love and respect to all my citizens who are going to the ballot box and voting. We all miss democracy so much," he told the assembled media. The parliamentary vote is a tight race between the People's Alliance comprising Erdogan's Islamist-rooted AK Party (AKP) and the nationalist MHP and others, and Kilicdaroglu's Nation Alliance formed of six opposition parties, including his secularist Republican People's Party (CHP), established by Türkiye’s founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.
Change or continuity
In Diyarbakir, a city in the mainly Kurdish southeast, some said it was time for change while others backed Erdogan. Queues formed at polling stations in the city, with some 9,000 police officers on duty across the province. Kurdish voters, who account for 15-20% of the electorate, will play a pivotal role, with the Nation Alliance unlikely to attain a parliamentary majority by itself. The pro-Kurdish Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) is not part of the main opposition alliance but fiercely opposes Erdogan after a crackdown on its members in recent years. The HDP has declared its support for Kilicdaroglu for the presidency. It is entering the parliamentary elections under the emblem of the small Green Left Party due to a court case filed by a top prosecutor seeking to ban the HDP over links to Kurdish militants, which the party denies. Erdogan, a powerful orator and master campaigner, has pulled out all the stops on the campaign trail. He commands fierce loyalty from pious Turks who once felt disenfranchised in secular Türkiye and his political career has survived an attempted coup in 2016, and numerous corruption scandals. However, if Turks do oust Erdogan it will be largely because they saw their prosperity, equality and ability to meet basic needs decline, with inflation that topped 85% in Oct. 2022 and a collapse in the lira currency. Kilicdaroglu promises that if he wins he will return to orthodox economic policies from Erdogan's heavy management. Kilicdaroglu also says he would seek to return the country to the parliamentary system of governance, from Erdogan's executive presidential system passed in a referendum in 2017. He has also promised to restore the independence of a judiciary that critics say Erdogan has used to crack down on dissent. Erdogan has taken tight control of most of Türkiye institutions and sidelined liberals and critics. Human Rights Watch, in its World Report 2022, said Erdogan's government has set back Türkiye’s human rights record by decades.

Iran summons Iraq envoy over Kurdish opposition groups
AFP/May 14, 2023
TEHRAN: Iran has summoned Iraq’s ambassador to protest over the presence of Iranian opposition groups at an official ceremony in Iraq’s autonomous Kurdish region, media reported Sunday. Quoting the foreign ministry, ISNA news agency said that during Saturday’s meeting Tehran expressed its “strong objection” to the invitation of members of “separatist groups” at the ceremony “contrary to the recent security agreement between the Islamic republic and Iraq.” Iran uses the words “separatist groups” to describe Kurdish factions opposed to the Iranian government, and considers them to be “terrorist” organizations. Iraq’s autonomous Kurdistan region hosts camps and rear-bases operated by several Iranian Kurdish factions, which Iran has accused of serving Western or Israeli interests in the past. In March Iran and Iraq signed a deal to protect their common border, and the following month Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi acknowledged the “security” agreement saying “the security of Iraq and its borders is very important to us.” On Thursday a ceremony was held in the Kurdistan region to inaugurate a cultural center in tribute to the late Kurdish national hero Mustafa Barzani. The event was attended by Iraqi President Abdel Latif Rashid and Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani, as well as representatives of Iranian opposition groups. “Following the invitation of members of separatist groups to an official ceremony in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the continuation of some terrorist groups’ movements in this region, the Iraqi ambassador in Tehran was summoned to the ministry of foreign affairs on Saturday,” ISNA said. In November, Iran launched cross-border missile and drone strikes against several of the groups in northern Iraq, accusing them of stoking nationwide protests triggered by the death in custody last September of Iranian Kurdish woman Mahsa Amini.

As net tightens, Iranians pushed to take up homegrown apps
AFP/May 14, 2023
TEHRAN: Banned from using popular Western apps, Iranians have been left with little choice but to take up state-backed alternatives, as the authorities tighten Internet restrictions for security reasons following months of protests. Iranians are accustomed to using virtual private networks, or VPNs, to evade restrictions and access prohibited websites or apps, including the US-owned Facebook, Twitter and YouTube. The authorities went as far as imposing total Internet blackouts during the protests that erupted after the September death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, following her arrest for an alleged breach of the Islamic republic’s dress code for women. Connections are back up and running again, and even those who are tech-savvy are being corralled into using the apps approved by the authorities such as Neshan for navigation and Snapp! to hail a car ride. As many as 89 million people have signed up to Iranian messaging apps including Bale, Ita, Rubika and Soroush, the government says, but not everyone is keen on making the switch. “The topics that I follow and the friends who I communicate with are not on Iranian platforms,” said Mansour Roghani, a resident in the capital Tehran. “I use Telegram and WhatsApp and, if my VPN still allows me, I’ll check Instagram,” the former municipality employee said, adding that he has not installed domestic apps as replacements.
At the height of the deadly Amini protests in October, the Iranian government cited security concerns as it moved to restrict Internet access and added Instagram and WhatsApp to its long list of blocked applications. “No one wants to limit the Internet and we can have international platforms” if the foreign companies agree to introduce representative offices in Iran, Telecommunications Minister Issa Zarepour said last month. Meta, the American giant that owns Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, has said it has no intention of setting up offices in the Islamic republic, which remains under crippling US sanctions.
The popularity of the state-sanctioned apps may not be what it seems, however, with the government encouraging people to install them by shifting essential online public services to the homegrown platforms which are often funded by the state. In addition, analysts say, Iranian users have online safety concerns when using the approved local apps. “We have to understand they have needs,” said Amir Rashidi, director of digital rights and security at the New York-based Miaan Group. “As an Iranian citizen, what would you do if registering for university is only based on one of these apps? Or what would you do if you need access to government services?,” he said. The locally developed apps lack a “clear privacy policy,” according to software developer Keikhosrow Heydari-Nejat. “I have installed some of the domestic messaging apps on a separate phone, not the one that I am using every day,” the 23-year-old said, adding he had done so to access online government services. “If they (government) shut the Internet down, I will keep them installed but I will visit my friends in person,” he said. In a further effort to push people onto the domestic platforms, the telecommunications ministry connected the four major messaging apps, enabling users to communicate across the platforms. “Because the government is going for the maximum number of users, they are trying to connect these apps,” the analyst Rashidi said, adding all of the domestic platforms “will enjoy financial and technical support.” Iran has placed restrictions on apps such as Facebook and Twitter since 2009, following protests over disputed presidential elections. In November 2019, Iran imposed nationwide Internet restrictions during protests sparked by surprise fuel price hikes. A homegrown Internet network, the National Information Network (NIN), which is around 60 percent completed, will allow domestic platforms to operate independently of global networks. One platform already benefitting from the highly filtered domestic network is Snapp!, an app similar to US ride-hailing service Uber that has 52 million users — more than half the country’s population.
But Rashidi said the NIN will give Tehran greater control to “shut down the Internet with less cost” once completed.

Abdollahian: We hope to see a serious breakthrough in Iranian-Egyptian relations
NNA/May 14, 2023
Today, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian expressed his hope that Iranian-Egyptian relations will witness serious and mutual development and openness, according to "Russia Today" news agency. In an exclusive interview with IRNA, Abdollahian touched on the upgrading of relations between Iran and Egypt, and explained that the two countries' interests care office is active in Tehran and Cairo, so there is an official channel for direct communication between both countries. He said, "There are countries that are making efforts and encouraging the Islamic Republic of Iran and Egypt to raise the level of relations between them," stressing, "We always welcome the development of relations between Tehran and Cairo, and there are meetings that brought together the heads of the interests section of the two countries." On the other hand, Abdollahian shed light on the relations between Tehran and Riyadh, pointing out that "the Saudi Foreign Ministry presented its new ambassador to Tehran last Tuesday," adding that "Iran will appoint its new ambassador in Riyadh soon." On reopening the embassies of Iran and Saudi Arabia, he explained: "My colleagues in the Foreign Ministry have been making efforts for weeks to reopen the embassy and consulate."

EU says latest Armenia-Azerbaijan talks should build momentum for peace
(Reuters)/Sun, May 14, 2023
The European Union on Sunday welcomed the latest meeting between the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan as a positive step toward clinching a durable peace agreement between the two neighbouring states which have fought two major wars in 30 years.
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev met in Brussels at the EU's invitation. Neither leader commented after the meeting, the latest in a series since a six-week conflict between the two countries in 2020. During that fighting, Azerbaijan recaptured chunks of territory it had lost in a war that engulfed the region as Soviet rule was collapsing in the 1990s. The two countries' foreign ministers also met in the United States this month. Russia, which brokered a truce to halt the 2020 fighting, has also been active in peacekeeping. Charles Michel, president of the EU's Council, said the leaders made progress on issues including return of prisoners, demarcation of borders and access through each other's territory to reach isolated regions in the Caucasus. He said talks will continue on the conflict's focal point: the status of Nagorno-Karabakh, internationally recognised as part of Azerbaijan, but populated mainly by ethnic Armenians. "The leaders shared a common willingness for a South Caucasus at peace. I commend their respective efforts," Michel said in a statement on the EU Council website. "Following the recent positive talks held in the United States on the peace treaty, the momentum should be maintained to take decisive steps towards the signing of a comprehensive peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan." As talks have proceeded, border clashes remain constant. At least two Armenian soldiers and one Azerbaijani serviceman died in incidents last week and Azerbaijan accused Armenia on Sunday of training mortar fire on its positions in Kalbajar district near the border, an allegation denied by Armenia. In his statement, Michel said both sides agreed to recognise the borders set down after the end of Soviet rule in 1991. Referring to Nagorno-Karabakh, Michel said he encouraged Azerbaijan to "engage in developing a positive agenda with the aim of guaranteeing the rights and security of this population." He told both sides to "refrain from hostile rhetoric, engage in good faith and show leadership" to find solutions. The two leaders are due to meet again on June 1 at a development conference in Moldova, another ex-Soviet state lying between Ukraine and EU member Romania. Both French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz are to attend.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on May 14-15/2023
Washington… What about the People?
Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al Awsat/May 14/2023
Not a day passes without an article about our region and President Biden’s administration dealing with it, strategically and tactically, whether in American newspapers or research center reports. Most of these stories focus on the revival of Saudi-Iranian relations through Chinese mediation, and criticism of the administration’s handling of the region. These analyses about Saudi Arabia have a positive aspect following a period of systematic demonization, accompanied by some naivety in understanding the region and the Kingdom. Most importantly, attention is currently drawn to the vacuum created by the US administration in this part of the world as a result of the lack of diplomatic presence and the severance of communication channels with allies. What is odd about most of these articles is their neglect of the most important dimension - the people of the region, their future and their concerns. Instead, they talk arrogantly and naively about combating terrorism and “ensuring” that Iran does not obtain nuclear weapons. I used the inverted commas in the word above because there is basically no trust and no strategy for dealing with Tehran. Moreover, this coverage, which ignores the people of the region and their interests, is constantly and blatantly focusing on peace with Israel, as if the Netanyahu government is extending a hand for peace, while in reality, it is in conflict with the Israelis themselves.
I am saying this because I am a supporter of peace, and I am certain that the battle after peace will be fiercer than today’s conflicts. It will be a battle for scientific and economic supremacy, which will be felt by the Iranian citizens, for example, now that Saudi-Iranian relations have been restored, and movement between the two countries is possible. Therefore, the real story in our region is the people, their right to a dignified and secure life, education, self-development and children, health, a decent job, and above all, the ability to cover their basic living costs. People in the region are keen on their oil revenues to ensure a decent life more than guaranteeing the price of oil for the sake of an electoral campaign. The people of the region need to keep pace with technological progress to develop their way of life and the future of their children, and their eagerness to achieve this goal outweighs Washington’s endeavor to curb the Iranian nuclear file. The people of the region care about their lives in a serious manner, and more seriously than the way the US administrations have dealt with them, specifically during the Obama era, up to the current administration, where there is complete disregard for the lives of Syrians, and what the Assad regime has done to them, or the way the administration deals with Afghanistan. Despite all the US administration’s praise, for example, of the Saudi international and regional political efforts, we find that the discourse in the US media is focused on secondary issues, with an outdated rhetoric that does not take into account the changes in the region. For example, Saudi Arabia is today the best model of partnership for those who want positive change in the region, along with the Gulf States. All of this falls in the interest of people first, which is constantly ignored by analysts and politicians in Washington. If the American administration and elites are serious about what is being proposed, then the most important aspect that must be highlighted is the people who are looking for a decent life and a bright future, instead of talking about human beings with indelicate propaganda. Today, there is an opportunity for a partnership that elevates human values, coexistence, and opportunities for peace. Are some people in Washington aware of this fact? It is enough to visit Saudi Arabia, for example, or conduct a Gulf tour, to feel this opportunity. Does Washington want the Saudi model, or the model of demolishing the countries around us?


Israel under Fire and The West's Pusillanimous Response
Richard Kemp/Gatestone Institute./May 14, 2023
Neither Ukraine nor Israel has any territorial ambitions or aggressive intent against their attackers — both Ukraine and Israel are fighting purely defensive wars to protect their civilian populations.
There is another common factor. Islamic Jihad in Gaza is an Iranian proxy terrorist group, funded and directed from Tehran. Iran's hand is behind this conflict....
I do not recall any Western government or international body suggesting moral equivalence between the aggressor and the defender in the Ukraine war, but that is exactly what we have seen repeatedly in this and previous conflicts between Israel and Gaza with the UN Secretary General calling on "both sides" to exercise restraint.
Unlike the immediate condemnation of Russian violence, we have seen only silence in the US and Europe since Islamic Jihad's rockets began to fall on Israel. The best we have heard from the White House is that "Israel has the right to protect itself", a statement of the blindingly obvious. None of this is good enough when what is needed is the strongest support for Israel and the most blunt condemnation of Islamic Jihad, along the lines we see over the Ukraine war.
The usual media suspects, such as the BBC and CNN, both cheerleaders for Ukraine's defensive operations, have predictably been doing their best to slant their coverage against Israel.
As we can see from the Western approach to Ukraine as well as wars everywhere, no other country that is unlawfully attacked by a foreign power is portrayed as the aggressor or at best on a par with the attacker.... The IDF takes the greatest possible care to defend its civilians while avoiding unnecessary casualties among civilians on enemy territory, frequently aborting attacks when there is the risk of killing innocent people....
Gaza terrorist leaders, on the other hand, make sure their wives and children are nearby and ready to die whenever there is the risk of attack against them. They deliberately position their weapons stores, missile launch sites and fighters among the civilian population, including in schools, hospitals and occupied residential buildings. The IDF will frequently warn civilians to get out of the area when preparing an attack. Understanding how this undermines their policy of causing maximum casualties on their own civilians in order to achieve international condemnation of Israel, terrorists in Gaza have warned their citizens that anyone who complies will be punished.
In such circumstances it is impossible for the IDF to do the vital work of destroying offensive weapons aimed against their own population and eliminating the terrorist commanders who direct them without inflicting some civilian casualties. Despite the misguided or malign commentary of some journalists, politicians, academics and human rights groups, such collateral damage is not illegal or a war crime, provided all possible measures are taken to avoid it.
In the last five days, more than 1,234 rockets have been fired from Gaza, 976 of which have crossed into Israel – a country roughly the size of New Jersey -- with the remainder falling short into Gaza itself. The nearest comparable bombardment against Western countries was in 1944, when the Germans fired rockets at Britain with a maximum rate of 100 per day. Britain responded with a bombing campaign of devastating force in which many civilians were unavoidably killed.
The question Western commentators so eager to condemn Israel should ask themselves is: how many rockets fired into their own countries would be tolerated?
The Ukraine war has focused European governments' minds on this issue and their current planning includes not just improving missile defences but also offensive capabilities to strike at the enemy in his own territory, just as Israel is forced to do today.
The Israeli military takes the greatest possible care to defend its civilians while avoiding unnecessary casualties among civilians in enemy territory. Gaza terrorist leaders, on the other hand, make sure their wives and children are nearby and ready to die whenever there is the risk of attack against them. They deliberately position their weapons stores, missile launch sites and fighters among the civilian population, including in schools, hospitals and occupied residential buildings. Pictured: Terrorists fire rockets at Israel from within a densely populated residential area in Gaza City on May 13, 2023. (Photo by Mahmud Hams/AFP via Getty Images)
When Russia invaded Ukraine last year, Western governments, international organizations, media and human rights groups quite rightly rallied round without hesitation, recognising the need to give unreserved moral support to a nation defending itself from violent attack.
We see a very different picture today as Israel is assaulted by aggressors in Gaza, to all intents and purposes a foreign country.
There is some commonality between the two conflicts, although they are on an altogether different scale. Russia and Gaza's Islamic Jihad both believe the countries they are attacking are illegitimate, have no right to exist and need to be destroyed in their current forms by violence. Neither Ukraine nor Israel has any territorial ambitions or aggressive intent against their attackers — both Ukraine and Israel are fighting purely defensive wars to protect their civilian populations.
There is another common factor. Islamic Jihad in Gaza is an Iranian proxy terrorist group, funded and directed from Tehran. Iran's hand is behind this conflict and the ayatollahs have pressured Hamas terrorist leaders to join Islamic Jihad's assault on Israel while doing all they can to prevent a ceasefire brokered by Egypt. Iran's role in Ukraine is not as significant, but we should not forget that it has supplied Russia with explosive drones to fire at Ukrainian civilians.
I do not recall any Western government or international body suggesting moral equivalence between the aggressor and the defender in the Ukraine war, but that is exactly what we have seen repeatedly in this and previous conflicts between Israel and Gaza, with the UN Secretary General calling on "both sides" to exercise restraint.
Unlike the immediate condemnation of Russian violence, we have seen only silence in the US and Europe since Islamic Jihad's rockets began to fall on Israel. The best we have heard from the White House is that "Israel has the right to protect itself", a statement of the blindingly obvious. None of this is good enough when what is needed is the strongest support for Israel and the most blunt condemnation of Islamic Jihad, along the lines we see over the Ukraine war.
The usual media suspects, such as the BBC and CNN, both cheerleaders for Ukraine's defensive operations, have predictably been doing their best to slant their coverage against Israel. BBC commentary went as far as to imply that the killing of Gaza civilians is a deliberate policy of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his government while a CNN interviewer claimed that Israel deliberately targeted civilians. In Israel Haaretz published an article branding the IDF's operation as "patently illegal" and accused its soldiers of war crimes.
As we can see from the Western approach to Ukraine as well as wars everywhere, no other country that is unlawfully attacked by a foreign power is portrayed as the aggressor or at best on a par with the attacker. Yet in this conflict, the differences between the two sides could not be more stark. The IDF takes the greatest possible care to defend its civilians while avoiding unnecessary casualties among civilians in enemy territory, frequently aborting attacks when there is the risk of killing innocent people, and using attack profiles designed to minimise collateral damage even when targeting occupied apartment blocks.
Gaza terrorist leaders, on the other hand, make sure their wives and children are nearby and ready to die whenever there is the risk of attack against them. They deliberately position their weapons stores, missile launch sites and fighters among the civilian population, including in schools, hospitals and occupied residential buildings. The IDF will frequently warn civilians to get out of the area when preparing an attack. Understanding how this undermines their policy of causing maximum casualties on their own civilians in order to achieve international condemnation of Israel, terrorists in Gaza have warned their citizens that anyone who complies will be punished.
In such circumstances it is impossible for the IDF to do the vital work of destroying offensive weapons aimed against their own population and eliminating the terrorist commanders who direct them without inflicting some civilian casualties. Despite the misguided or malign commentary of some journalists, politicians, academics and human rights groups, such collateral damage is not illegal or a war crime, provided all possible measures are taken to avoid it. That is exactly what the IDF does in every engagement, to the extent that several Western generals have admitted that their own forces would be unable to achieve anything like the same standards in protecting civilian life.
In the last five days, more than 1,234 rockets have been fired from Gaza, 976 of which have crossed into Israel – a country roughly the size of New Jersey -- with the remainder falling short into Gaza itself. The nearest comparable bombardment against Western countries was in 1944, when the Germans fired rockets at Britain with a maximum rate of 100 per day. Britain responded with a bombing campaign of devastating force in which many civilians were unavoidably killed. The question Western commentators so eager to condemn Israel should ask themselves is: how many rockets fired into their own countries would be tolerated? The Ukraine war has focused European governments' minds on this issue and their current planning includes not just improving missile defences but also offensive capabilities to strike at the enemy in his own territory, just as Israel is forced to do today.
*Colonel Richard Kemp is a former British Army Commander. He was also head of the international terrorism team in the U.K. Cabinet Office and is now a writer and speaker on international and military affairs. He is a Shillman Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2023 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Biden administration lacking a major foreign policy success
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/May 14, 2023
President Joe Biden has now been in office for more than two years, which is an adequate time period to make an assessment regarding the successes, challenges and failures of his administration’s foreign policy up until now.
One of the important foreign policy issues that the Biden administration campaigned on was repairing the damaged ties between the US and its European allies. A month into his presidency, he told the Munich Security Conference: “America is back. The transatlantic alliance is back … I know the past few years have strained and tested our transatlantic relationship, but the United States is determined to reengage with Europe, to consult with you, to earn back our position of trusted leadership.”
Under Biden’s predecessor Donald Trump, relations between the transatlantic partners appeared to have been undermined beyond just simple disagreements. As Ian Bond, the director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform think tank, pointed out: “There had been serious transatlantic disagreements in the past — notably over Iraq in 2003 — but no previous president since World War II had challenged the very principle of the transatlantic alliance in the way that Trump did when he questioned whether the US should feel obliged to defend a NATO ally that was attacked.”
The Biden administration has pursued a more conventional foreign policy with the EU by reaffirming American support for NATO. And Biden has restored normality in transatlantic ties. Nevertheless, challenges remain when it comes to trade and subsidy concerns.
One example is the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, which provides $369 billion for climate-related investments and which provides tax breaks, but only to companies that have their operations located on US soil. Such protectionist policies tend to create tensions between allies.
And when it comes to US policy toward the Ukraine-Russia conflict, although some believe that the president’s cautious foreign policy has kept the US from being dragged into a full-fledged war with Moscow, many believe the administration has failed. This is because the White House does not appear to have a clear agenda or endgame for resolving the conflict.
In other words, the administration’s policy seems to be anchored in only providing weapons, ammunition and financial assistance to Ukraine. In February, Biden announced nearly half a billion dollars of additional assistance to Kyiv, including “the delivery of artillery ammunition, anti-armor systems, and air surveillance radars to help protect the Ukrainian people from aerial bombardments.” However, National Public Radio reported: “After Congress appropriated more than $112 billion in military and economic support in the space of a single year — and with no signs of an end to the conflict — polls show a growing number of Americans feel the United States is giving Ukraine too much.” Another conventional foreign policy move by Biden has been to reassert US respect for international and intergovernmental organizations. One of his first acts in office was to declare that the US would reengage with the World Health Organization. In addition, he signed an executive order to have the country reenter the Paris Agreement on climate change.
One of the most controversial policies was the Biden administration’s withdrawal from Afghanistan. Some people viewed the withdrawal as being poorly planned because the US had delivered seven new helicopters to Afghanistan just a month before it fully withdrew. “They’ll continue to see a steady drumbeat of that kind of support, going forward,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told reporters a few days after the delivery of the helicopters. Weeks later, the Taliban took control of the military equipment the US left behind.
For many, it was mind-boggling that the Biden administration announced its withdrawal from Afghanistan without any apparent plan to either secure the billions of dollars-worth of US military equipment or make the slightest effort to recover or destroy it. This military equipment cost $7 billion of American taxpayers’ money, according to the Department of Defense.
This has caused outrage among many lawmakers. As noted in a letter written by a group of Republican senators: “It is unconscionable that high-tech military equipment paid for by US taxpayers has fallen into the hands of the Taliban. Securing US assets should have been among the top priorities for the US Department of Defense prior to announcing the withdrawal from Afghanistan.” And Rep. Michael McCaul, the ranking Republican on the House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee, told Reuters: “We have already seen Taliban fighters armed with US-made weapons they seized from the Afghan forces. This poses a significant threat to the United States and our allies.”When it comes to the Middle East, at a time when the US military presence seems to be shrinking and other forces may be looking to fill the vacuum, it is more essential than ever for the Biden administration to improve its foreign policy by working closely with Gulf states and reconfirming America’s commitment to Middle Eastern security. Finally, concerning the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal, the Biden administration has failed to score a political victory, as several rounds of negotiations ended without any concrete progress toward a permanent resolution. So far, the Biden administration’s foreign policy can be characterized as cautious and conventional, while lacking any significant achievements. But Biden still has time to improve his administration’s foreign policy on several important fronts.
• Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist.
Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh

G7 summit will showcase revival of the Western alliance

Andrew Hammond/Arab News/May 14, 2023
In the build-up to this week’s G7 summit, a wide range of issues, from climate change to the global economy have been discussed by Western ministers. However, the overriding issue to be discussed in Hiroshima from May 19-21 is the conflict in Ukraine and its ongoing ramifications.
It is getting close to 500 days since Russia’s invasion, and there is no obvious sign that the conflict will be over any time soon. This was highlighted last Tuesday by UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, who said: “I don’t think peace negotiations are possible at the moment. … Both sides are convinced they can win … I don’t see Russia being willing to pull out of the territories it’s occupying at the moment and I think Ukraine is hoping to retake them.”
The outcome of the conflict therefore remains highly uncertain. What is much clearer is the galvanizing effect it has had on the West, including the G7, in the past year and a half.
While Joe Biden is still widely criticized, it is his presidency that has helped rebuild and renew the transatlantic and wider Western alliance, and also highlight the areas in which international cooperation is now most urgently needed.
The G7’s revival as a political and economic force has surprised many, especially after the woes of Donald Trump’s presidency, and also the early successes of the G20 after it became a leadership forum following the 2007-08 financial crisis.
Indeed, for some time it was speculated that the G7 might even cease to exist. Part of the reason for that was the G7’s declining share of the world economy. In the 1970s, the members of the Western club were responsible for about 80 percent of global gross domestic product; the figure is now closer to 30 percent. Fast forward to 2023, however, and the unexpectedly unified Western response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed the G7’s self-confidence. To be sure, that might yet unravel, especially if there are any “bumps in the road” arising from Ukraine.
One such challenge could be the return of higher energy prices. Last Tuesday, for example, Goldman Sachs predicted gas prices will nearly treble this coming winter across Europe. It forecast prices could rise above €100 ($108) per megawatt hour in the second half of this year, compared with the current €36.
However, for now at least, there has been a reversal of the trend in the years between 2017 and 2021 when a dominant narrative was the uncertainty about the enduring purpose of the West (which some analysts termed “Westlessness”).
It should be remembered, too, that while the G7’s membership no longer includes all of the world’s most-dominant economies, as it did in the 1970s, it still retains significant economic strength and its members accounted for almost 15 percent of global GDP growth in the period from 2012 to 2022.
Of course, key questions about the future of the West predate Trump’s term as US president. Moreover, it is not only Trump who has highlighted the problems with key Western alliances, as illustrated by the UK’s Brexit vote in 2016 to leave the EU. What is now needed is a multiyear dialogue during which forums such as NATO and the G7 step up to the plate.
Yet, there is no question that Trump’s presidency intensified the concerns about the future of the West, which is why there has been such a sense of urgency among transatlantic partners since then to develop a strategy for a new, unfolding era of great-power competition.
The revival of the West as the world’s leading political and economic force is far from complete, however, even now. Significantly more needs to be done to accomplish Biden’s goal of seeing the Western community reunify against what he perceives as common challenges from not only Russia but also China.
One necessary move is for all key parties, including the EU, Canada and Japan, to acknowledge that it might not be possible for the old liberal order to be brought back in exactly the same form as before. Desirable as that might be for many, it is now clear that a return to the full mosaic of the old rules-based international order might not be realistic, not least given that significant portions of populations in Western societies remain supportive of populist leaders such as Trump.
The window offered by Biden’s presidency is therefore the right moment to try to address these issues. It is also the time to explore what a new Western-led approach to global governance should look like.
A prerequisite for enabling these goals is concentrating on the big strategic questions facing the West. While Ukraine is currently top of that list, there are many more beyond it.
One example is the future of international trade, more than a quarter of a century after the creation of the World Trade Organization. This system is creaking and may yet collapse under the strain of recent sanctions imposed around the globe.
To help address this, and other key questions, there is a need for more of the West, and its allies, to agree that there are a range of economic, and not just military, challenges that are better met together. What is now needed is a multiyear dialogue during which forums such as NATO and the G7, imperfect though they are, step up to the plate, given that they are organizations of powerful, like-minded democracies with shared values.
Some skeptics will say nothing significant will change any time soon. Yet this might be too pessimistic.
At this latest moment of geopolitical and economic crisis following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, 2023 and 2024 might well prove to be decisive years during which to build the foundations of a renewed West, a project that would be galvanized if Biden wins a second term in next year’s election.
*Andrew Hammond is an associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.

Two Vital Summits This Week: Jeddah’s Arab Summit and Hiroshima’s G7
Raghida Dergham/The National/May 14/2023
What should we keep a close eye on next week and why? Two game-changing summits will be held on Friday 19 May. That day, Saudi Arabia is hosting the Arab summit, amid a major restructuring in the Arab, regional, and international landscapes under an unusually bold Saudi leadership determined to chart out a radically different course. On the same date, Japan is hosting the G7 summit of the world’s richest nations, where China is set to be the primary focus of attention, followed by Russia as the Ukraine war enters a new phase next week with Britain supplying long-range rockets to Kyiv, giving it the ability to strike inside Russian territory.
The other important event is the Turkish presidential elections, which may result in the defeat of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, not only because of the success of the opposition but also thanks to the momentum of the youth vote in Turkey. If Erdogan is routed in the presidential elections, his ambition for a neo-Ottoman Empire could go down with him, and Turkey may regain some of its secularism and end the quest to transform it into an Islamic state. The impact of the Turkish elections results will extend beyond the domestic scene because the United States, Russia, Europe, and the Middle East will be affected in no small measure by the outcome if Erdogan loses.
The Jeddah summit will mark the beginning of the year-long Saudi presidency of the Arab League. There are numerous expectations surrounding the plans of the Saudi leadership. However, comprehending the Saudi diplomatic trajectory is not an easy feat, given the level of secrecy and deliberate ambiguity for which it is traditionally known, rendering it difficult to anticipate what is being planned and prepared.
The opening act of the 32nd Arab summit is sure to generate much media intrigue and ingenuity. Many will refer to it as "The Assad Summit," due to the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's return to the Arab League after 12 years of banishment following the Syrian conflict, which began when he turned an uprising against his regime into a destructive war against his own people. Assad opened the doors for terrorists to sabotage the revolution and provide him with a pretext to destroy the opposition with help from Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah. He encouraged drug trafficking, especially to Arab Gulf countries, in what has become known as his "captagon" policy, which earns him huge amounts of money and instils terror in Saudi Arabia and other nations. Therefore, it was necessary to bring an end to this by using inducements as part of a deal for Assad's return and rehabilitation, and his attendance at the summit, despite some Arab countries' dissatisfaction and reservations regarding his restoration.
The welcome extended to Assad and his rehabilitation are not unconditional. It is a conditional return that hinges on the implementation of all his promises, which include ending drug trafficking and taking tangible steps towards a new constitution based on UN Security Council resolutions. Additionally, the reconstruction of Syria will be conditional on ensuring the return of Syrians who have been displaced and who have sought refuge in neighbouring countries.
This may be a summit of rehabilitation for Assad, but it is also a summit of testing his commitments, including to disengage in one way or another from Hezbollah's activities, not only inside Syria but also in Gulf countries.
Time will test Assad's intentions, particularly as the Saudi-Emirati initiative that brought Syria to the Arab Summit in Jeddah faces its own difficulties and obstacles. These countries do not intend to violate the Security Council resolutions pertaining to Syria or contravene US laws, such as the "Caesar Act," but rather aim to coordinate their efforts with the US administration.
The Biden administration doesn't seem to be very upset about the rush towards rehabilitating Assad or towards seeking exemptions from the "Caesar Act" which prohibits economic cooperation with Bashar al-Assad. However, Republicans in the US Congress will not remain silent on the matter, especially as we near the election cycle. Nonetheless, they are relenting to give Saudi Arabia a chance to implement the policy of containment towards Iran and Assad through inducement rather than intimidation.
The United States is encouraging Saudi Arabia's role in calming tensions and finding solutions to the problems of the region, from Sudan to Lebanon. A Gulf official has described Saudi Arabia as a "reservoir of moderation," that can be used in various issues and conflicts and can be built upon within the Saudi vision for the region's future. China is also at ease with this reservoir, as it seeks an open Middle East region to support its economic initiatives. However, Saudi Arabia is cautious not to fall into China's expectations, which are rooted in the competition between China and the United States. Furthermore, the Kingdom is not entirely prepared to fulfil American expectations within the framework of competition with China.
The Saudi vision for leading the 32nd Arab summit and presiding over the League for the next year is based on the belief that the Kingdom is uniquely capable of providing leadership, particularly given the decline of traditional leaders like Egypt and the instability spreading throughout North Africa. Saudi Arabia is also convinced that it is the most qualified country to lead within the Gulf region and that the roadmap it envisions will enable it to spearhead a new type of leadership. This is particularly important in light of waning American interest in the region and the Russian retreat due to Moscow's preoccupation with the Ukrainian war.
The issues that will be tackled at the summit are not limited to conflicts as the Saudi vision encompasses economic and developmental aspects, in addition to political ones. However, due to the ongoing wars and chaos in the Arab region, the summit cannot ignore some issues, even if it has to overlook others such as Tunisia's chaotic situation and Morocco's economic challenges.
It is expected that the Lebanese file will be on the agenda of the summit, albeit with a cautious approach to support a compromise solution acceptable to Saudi Arabia.
Likewise, the Palestinian cause will also be addressed at the summit, not to endorse Hamas or Islamic Jihad in their confrontation with Israel, but to promote moderation and discourage futile actions that harm the Palestinian people and their aspirations. Therefore, the summit is likely to support the moderate course of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and distance itself from the actions of Hamas and Jihad.
Iraq is a crucial issue. The Arab countries are aiming to demonstrate their support for Prime Minister Mohammed Al-Sudani and solidify his position in the policy of weakening Iran’s grip and influence on Iraq.
In Sudan, tribal wars and competition over gold and other spoils of war continue to rage, making it a top priority to secure a ceasefire that will put an end to these battles, which are serving conflicting local, regional, and international interests. The situation in Sudan poses a threat to the future of the Red Sea region, which is of great importance to the Saudi leadership. The Saudis realize that there are hidden threads behind the recent developments in Sudan, which are aimed at undermining the Saudi vision.
Of course, Yemen will also be on the agenda, as this challenging issue moves towards a possible solution, thanks to the Chinese-brokered Saudi-Iranian agreement and its outcomes. Today, Saudi Arabia is acting as a mediator between the Yemeni factions, and it hopes that Iran will continue to exert pressure on the Houthis to accept a genuine compromise and bring an end to the tragedy in Yemen.
Saudi Arabia wants to take the burden of Yemen off its shoulders to focus on its major projects, vision, and regional leadership. The upcoming Arab Summit presents a delicate and critical opportunity to achieve these ambitions, potentially serving as the "launchpad" for a new era in the Arab region and elevating Saudi's positioning in the Middle East. Therefore, calling it the "Assad Summit" reflects short-sighted and naive thinking, failing to acknowledge the broader and deeper Saudi project with its comprehensive vision.
Another summit of global interest, beyond the Middle East, is the G7 Summit in Hiroshima, where US President Joe Biden will join leaders from Britain, Germany, France, Italy, Canada, Japan, and the European Union. The first ‘present-absentee’ at the summit will be China, the focus of Western fear and Japanese doubt and mistrust. The second will be Russia, which was once the eighth member of the G7 and is now at odds with the West due to the Ukrainian war.
The Ukrainian war is undergoing an important phase change this week, with Britain delivering long-range missiles capable of striking deep into Russia with a radius of 300 km. There is speculation that Russia may retaliate with pre-emptive attacks targeting hubs of Western weapons deliveries to Ukraine on the Ukrainian-Polish border. While the Biden administration has stipulated conditions for the delivery of long-range missiles to Ukraine, prohibiting their use against Russian territory, Britain did not demand such guarantees. These events may lead to a new stage of the war, accompanied by reports of incoming counter-offensive operations this spring.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is in critical need of Germany's support, especially at this juncture. He is seeking guarantees from Germany, a crucial source of funding for him and the war effort. Thus, his visit to Germany holds utmost importance.
While European countries fundamentally support Ukraine, they are somewhat divided. Some welcome China's role in seeking to end the war and initiate negotiations, while others are hesitant. French President Emmanuel Macron aims to lead the negotiating process with China, independent of the United States and Germany. China does not want to be the sole advocate for negotiations before guaranteeing their outcome, and it is proceeding with great caution, especially given Russia's lack of enthusiasm for the idea.
The Biden administration is cautious about European acceptance of Chinese proposals, but it is aware of Europe's desire to avoid problems with China while fearing American pressure. The United States is preparing to impose its 11th round of sanctions, including, for the first time, sanctions on Chinese companies thought to be supporting Russia, which could create a significant new crisis. Europe finds itself in a dilemma because agreeing to US sanctions would trigger a severe Chinese economic response towards European countries.
All these issues will be present at the Hiroshima Summit, where draft proposals are being prepared to adopt a firm stance towards China. Some reported American formulations propose declaring that China poses a direct threat to the West, which would escalate the standoff to a new level. Thus, monitoring the Hiroshima Summit is of utmost importance for the Sino-European and American-European relationships as many fear that Japan may encourage an anti-China summit par excellence.