English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For May 14/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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15 آذار/2023

Bible Quotations For today
While they were talking about this, Jesus himself stood among them and said to them, Peace be with you. They were startled and terrified. He said to them: Look at my hands and my feet; see that it is I myself.
Saint Luke 24/36-45: “While they were talking about this, Jesus himself stood among them and said to them, ‘Peace be with you.’They were startled and terrified, and thought that they were seeing a ghost. He said to them, ‘Why are you frightened, and why do doubts arise in your hearts? Look at my hands and my feet; see that it is I myself. Touch me and see; for a ghost does not have flesh and bones as you see that I have.’And when he had said this, he showed them his hands and his feet. While in their joy they were disbelieving and still wondering, he said to them, ‘Have you anything here to eat?’ They gave him a piece of broiled fish, and he took it and ate in their presence. Then he said to them, ‘These are my words that I spoke to you while I was still with you that everything written about me in the law of Moses, the prophets, and the psalms must be fulfilled.’
Then he opened their minds to understand the scriptures.”
.

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on May 13-14/2023
Mother's Day in Canada: All people have hearts, but Mothers' Hearts brings all hearts together/Elias Bejjani/May 14/2023
Franjieh vs Azour: President election reportedly imminent
Lebanese and UAE foreign ministers speak after man dies in custody
Lebanese man death in UAE custody raises questions about possible mistreatment
Hadi Hobeich to LBCI: We haven't made a decision yet to elect anyone for presidency
Here are Jumblatt's rules: On Frangieh and others alike
Supreme Islamic Council addresses the urgency to elect a president
Sanctions loom over obstruction of Lebanese presidential elections
Al-Murtada represents Mikati in Book Fair inauguration
Lebanon security sting targets crime gangs, smuggling networks
Nasrallah denies reports linking Hezbollah to Syria drug dealer
Foreign Ministry: Ghazi Ezzeddine's family confirmed his death from a heart attack
Geagea, UN Resident Coordinator discuss Syrian asylum file
Derian discusses with Evangelical Church delegation promotion of Islamic-Christian relations
Khodr urges people of Deir Al Ahmar to demonstrate self-restraint
Hamieh thanks Iraq for allowing the first Lebanese truck to cross the transit system, heading to Kuwait
Health Minister, Japanese Ambassador inaugurate solar energy project in Minnieh Governmental Hospital
FPM denounces Bar Association's permission to prosecute Attorney Wadih Akl: We will not rest until all those who contributed to Lebanese people's...
Daou: Together we will endeavor to complete the path of change
May 16: The Stranglehold Around Salameh’s Neck Tightens/Hanna Saleh/Asharq Al Awsat/May 14/2023

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 13-14/2023
Pope Francis Warns Pets Must Not Replace Children in Italy
Pope Francis Meets with Ukraine’s President at the Vatican
Israel and Islamic Jihad agree Gaza truce
Israel-Gaza fighting continues as 2 Palestinians killed in West Bank raid
Germany unveils 2.7 billion euro weapons package for Ukraine
Blasts rock Khartoum as warring sides affirm humanitarian pledge
Sudan’s army and RSF to resume talks on Sunday
UN refugee agency: 200,000 have fled Sudan
China and Russia are increasing their military collaboration, Japan’s foreign minister warns
Biden says US debt ceiling talks are moving along
Egypt implements second largest project in its history to save the country
European Countries Pressure the US to Revive Nuclear Deal

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 13-14/2023
Erdogan and the Future of an Islamist Autocracy/Charles Elias Chartouni/May 13/2023
The Biden Administration’s Green Light to Iran’s Terrorists and Nuclear Program/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/May 13, 2023
How Sudan crisis casts long shadow over Libya/Hafed Al-GhwellArab News/May 14, 2023
G7 summit will showcase revival of the Western alliance/Andrew Hammond/Arab News/May 13, 2023
Sudan conflict jeopardizes regional stability/Talmiz Ahmad/Arab News/May 13, 2023
No alternative to Ukraine joining NATO,’ Estonian President Alar Karis tells Arab News/Faisal J. Abbas/Editor In Chief/Arab News/May 13/2023

Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on May 13-14/2023
Mother's Day in Canada: All people have hearts, but Mothers' Hearts brings all hearts together
Elias Bejjani/May 14/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/86018/86018/
Canada celebrates today, on the ninth of May 14/2023, "The Mother's Day" and honors with love and gratitude all her sacrifices, devotion, and commitments.
This blessed ritual of genuine honoring is certainly a faith obligation and a human, moral, ethical, religious and ecclesiastical duty for each and every believer who fears God and the day of his last Judgement, and at the same adheres in his/her pattern of lifestyle, and practices to the Ten Biblical Commandments in which its fifth one verbatim reads: "Honor your father and your mother that your days may be long upon the land which the LORD your God is giving you".
Honor means to give high regard, respect and esteem to; to bring respect or credit to; an outward token, sign or act that manifests high regard.
Respect means to have deferential regard for, to treat with propriety and consideration; to regard as inviolable.
Meanwhile, this honor and respect, though primarily intended by God to be given to parents, are not limited to them. In spirit it includes civil, religious and educational authorities as well.
God want us to honor our parents because the family is the basic building block or unit of society, thus the stability of the community depends on the stability of the families that comprise it.
"In God's eyes—and in a small child's—a parent stands in the place of God Himself. In the physical sense, parents are the child's creator, provider, lawgiver, teacher, and protector—and sometimes even savior. A child's response to this relationship will greatly determine his later response to larger relationships in society. And it is ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN to affect his relationship with God. Thus, since parents represent God, it becomes their obligation to live lives worthy of that honor. Ultimately, the responsibility for keeping this commandment falls on the child, but it begins with the parents through child training and example. If parents neither provide the correct example nor teach the correct way, they can hardly expect their children to honor them" (John W. Ritenbaugh).
Mothers and fathers, through the bond of sacred marriage, secure the continuity of humanity. This holy and blessed institution, the institution of the family "Marriage" is the cornerstone of every society. Without it, societies disintegrate, lose values ​​and morals after which destructive chaos and all forms of loss of faith and immorality prevail.
In one of our proverbs back home in Lebanon we say: The Good mother is like a magnet that pulls together her family members and holds them under her wings. Practically this means that with her love, warm and big heart, devotion, passionate, role model, hard work and sacrifices she brings her family members together, embraces them, nurtures them, and always works to cultivate in them all values of love, forgiveness, giving, humility, tolerance, and faith.
We congratulate the mothers on their annual day, and pray for the eternal rest of the souls of the mothers who have passed away.
We ask our mothers who are in heaven dwelling in God's mentions to pray for us and for peace in the world, especially during this time of world wide state of loss, confusion, despair and fear, while facing the deadly threats of Corona Virus plague.
A Special Prayer For The Mothers
Dear God,
Thank you for your endless provisions of grace and mercy. We come to you today to lift up every woman who answers to the name of “mom.” We ask that you supply each one with the strength they need for those difficult days. Give them wisdom to know when to encourage and when to correct their children. Supply them with an extra dose of patience. Remind them that children are a heritage and a reward from You (Psalm 127:3 CSB), and shower them with special moments they can cherish. Lord, we also ask that you draw them close to you daily. Remind them of their worth in Your eyes - that they, too, are cherished children of a loving Father. We pray for contentment in this very special calling. May every mom realize that this is a mission from You, one that brings truly great rewards in the end. quoted from the Batchelor Brothers page)
Amen


Franjieh vs Azour: President election reportedly imminent
Naharnet/May 13/2023
Following "pressure" from Saudi Ambassador to Lebanon Walid Bukhari, the Lebanese parties appear to have agreed to go to parliament within two weeks to elect a president, media reports said on Saturday. “Those who met with Bukhari over the past days -- before and after his Thursday meeting with Marada Movement chief Suleiman Franjieh -- said that he called for electing the new president as soon as possible or facing international sanctions on those obstructing the election,” al-Akhbar newspaper reported. Bukhari also said that the International Monetary Fund would exert similar pressures, the sources added. “He urged the Christian blocs and parties to present a candidate who would face Franjieh,” noting that the kingdom would not have a problem with the winner “as long as he would be elected constitutionally and democratically,” the sources said. Bukhari also revealed that he was “exerting strenuous efforts to push for finalizing the juncture within weeks,” with the sources concluding that “his words indicated that the presidential election session might be held within two weeks at the latest.”“He reiterated to all those whom he visited or met with that they should go to parliament, elect a president and avoid blocking the session’s quorum,” the sources said. “May God grant success to whomever wins,” the sources quoted Bukhari as saying. According to al-Akhbar, the Lebanese Forces has lifted its veto on the nomination of ex-minister Jihad Azour, whose chances seem to be better than those of Army chief General Joseph Aoun, whose election would require a difficult constitutional amendment. “There are four candidates who might face off with Franjieh, but Azour seems to be the most likely candidate,” the daily added.

Lebanese and UAE foreign ministers speak after man dies in custody
AP/LBCI/May 13/2023
Lebanon’s foreign minister spoke Saturday with his counterpart in the United Arab Emirates following the death of a Lebanese citizen while in custody in the oil-rich Gulf nation, the foreign ministry said in a statement.
Lebanon’s Foreign Ministry said in a short statement that Lebanon’s ambassador to the UAE, Fouad Dandan, spoke by telephone with the wife and brother of the late Ghazi Ezzedine, 55. The envoy later received a signed letter from the family saying the man died as a result of heart problems.
Ezzedine’s death had earlier raised questions about his possible mistreatment by authorities in the UAE. Earlier this week, a committee of family members of Lebanese citizens detained in the UAE, including the man who died earlier this month, alleged in a statement that Ezzedine had died as a result of being tortured. The foreign ministry statement said UAE’s Foreign Minister Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan told his Lebanese counterpart Abdallah Bouhabib that Ezzedine’s family can leave the UAE or stay if they want. The statement did not say whether the family will be allowed to take the man’s body for burial in Lebanon following reports that they were prevented from do so. Sima Watling, a researcher with Amnesty International focusing on the Arab Gulf country, told The Associated Press on Friday that according to Ezzedine’s family, he had been arrested on March 22 along with eight other people, including two of his brothers, on unknown charges. Ezzedine died on May 4, she said. His family was only notified several days later, when his son was asked by authorities to come to the cemetery and identify the body, she added. Ezzedine’s son was only permitted to see his father’s face, while his body was kept covered. UAE authorities denied the family’s request to bring him back to Lebanon for burial, Watling said. The two brothers who were detained along with him were subsequently released from detention but banned from leaving the country. UAE authorities have detained dozens of Lebanese, mostly Shiites, in the past over alleged links to the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group Hezbollah. The UAE, like other Gulf Cooperation Council members, considers Hezbollah a terrorist organization. In 2019, the UAE sentenced one Lebanese national to life in prison and two to ten years in prison on charges of links to Hezbollah.

Lebanese man death in UAE custody raises questions about possible mistreatment

Associated Press/May 13/2023
A Lebanese man who was detained in the United Arab Emirates on unknown charges has died in custody, rights observers and family members said, raising questions about his possible mistreatment by authorities. A committee of family members of Lebanese citizens detained in the UAE, including the man who died earlier this month, alleged in a statement that Ghazi Ezzedine, 55, had died under torture. The UAE foreign ministry did not immediately respond to an Associated Press request for comment. Sima Watling, a researcher with Amnesty International focused on the Arab Gulf country, said that according to Ezzedine's family, he had been arrested on March 22 along with eight other people, including two of his brothers, on unknown charges. Ezzedine died on May 4, she said. His family was only notified several days later, when his son was asked by authorities to come to the cemetery and identify the body, she added. Ezzedine's son was only permitted to see his father's face, while his body was kept covered. UAE authorities denied the family's request to bring him back to Lebanon for burial, Watling said. The two brothers who were detained along with him were subsequently released from detention but banned from leaving the country. A Lebanese official who is following the case told The Associated Press that Ezzedine's cause of death was unknown. He said eight members of the same family were detained for unknown reasons. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because diplomatic contacts between Lebanon and the UAE are ongoing regarding the death and the repatriation of the body. Afif Shouman, head of a group of Lebanese families with relatives detained in the Gulf country, said Ezzedine had lived in the UAE for 30 years "without so much as a traffic ticket." There were "no suspicions about the man that he got involved in political matters or even religious ones," he said. UAE authorities have detained dozens of Lebanese, mostly Shiites, in the past over alleged links to Iran-backed Hezbollah. The UAE, like other Gulf Cooperation Council members, considers Hezbollah a "terrorist organization." In 2019, the UAE sentenced one Lebanese national to life in prison and two to ten years in prison on charges of links to Hezbollah. Amnesty International said in a statement at the time the trial of the men "failed to meet international fair trial standards," as the evidence included confessions that were "extracted under duress, and the defendants were detained incommunicado for months and denied access to lawyers during interrogation and investigation." Watling said Amnesty is concerned about the lack of transparency regarding Ezzedine's case and the linked detentions. "If it is found that his death was indeed unlawful, they must ensure that all those suspected of torture and unlawful killing, including those with command responsibility, are held accountable," she said.

Hadi Hobeich to LBCI: We haven't made a decision yet to elect anyone for presidency
LBCI/May 13/2023
The Secretary-General of the National Moderation Bloc and former MP clarified that "there is no doubt that the head of the Marada Movement, Sleiman Frangieh, is a friend of most members of the bloc, but we haven't made a decision yet to elect anyone for the presidency, emphasizing that the process of electing the president can only proceed through consensus."On LBCI's "Nharkom Said" TV show, Hobeich emphasized that "what distinguishes the National Moderation Bloc from all political blocs is that its members have declared from the beginning that they will not boycott any session to elect a president." "I support Speaker Nabih Berri calling for sessions to elect the president on a daily basis, and no one should boycott these sessions," he stressed.

Here are Jumblatt's rules: On Frangieh and others alike
LBCI/May 13/2023
No matter the justifications presented by the leader of the Marada Movement, Sleiman Frangieh, to explain the circumstances of his visit to Saudi Ambassador Walid Bukhari, it will be difficult for him to convince the Christian public of the importance of those justifications, especially since the Saudi ambassador has shown and will continue to show his readiness to meet a wide range of official, except in the case of the "prominent" candidate for the presidency. The latter decided to visit instead of being visited. Indeed, his step will be hard to analyze.
**This article was originally published in and translated from Lebanese newspaper Nidaa al-Watan.

Supreme Islamic Council addresses the urgency to elect a president
LBCI/May 13/2023
The political developments in Lebanon and the region were discussed during the meeting of the Supreme Islamic Council, chaired by Mufti Sheikh Abdul Latif Derian. The attendees urged MPs to bear their responsibilities and elect a President for the Republic as soon as possible. "When will the politicians in Lebanon change what is within themselves and all make concessions for the sake of the country and its institutions?" they asked. The issue of displacement was also addressed during the meeting.

Sanctions loom over obstruction of Lebanese presidential elections
LBCI/May 13/2023
In the past two weeks, Saudi Ambassador Walid Al-Bukhari withheld the roles of the 'godmothers' of the presidential file, the US ambassador, Dorothy Shea, and the French ambassador, Anne Grillo.
Saudi ambassador confirms non-interference in Lebanon's presidential elections
Just like the two ambassadors in previous months, whether they acted or remained silent, Bukhari has also become a part of this. If he kept quiet, his silence was viewed with suspicion and interpreted in various ways.
Similarly, the same scenario unfolds if his government requests him or he returns to the country.
In recent days, the presidential elections have revolved around him. Sometimes he becomes an obstacle in conducting the election, while other times, he is seen as rushing it.
Speculations have increased surrounding his actions, whether he receives someone or refrains from meeting someone else, with interpretations ranging from positive to opposing political stances.
Bukhari inherited his role from Shea and Grillo without expecting anyone else to inherit their roles.
Ultimately, the Saudi ambassador currently stands alone or enjoys the support of the Americans, who are the actual makers of the next president, without endorsing or opposing any candidate.
Regarding Bukhari's recent meetings, before and after his Thursday meeting with the leader of the Marada Movement, Sleiman Frangieh, the following information was deduced:
1- Bukhari is urging the election of a new president as soon as possible, or sanctions will be imposed on those responsible for obstructing the election. He did not disclose which countries would resort to sanctions, simply stating that they are international. The International Monetary Fund may also exert similar pressures. Additionally, Lebanese officials have received information indicating that IMF has decided to be the sole and mandatory conduit for anything entering Lebanon. It is also expected that the IMF tone will become more assertive starting from the beginning of next month in an unprecedented manner.
2- Lebanese parties have two options: reaching a consensus on one presidential candidate, which is the better choice to avoid further divisions, or going to the Parliament with two competing candidates seeking the votes of MPs to win.
Bukhari stated that the Kingdom has no problem with the eventual winner as long as the election is constitutional and democratic. Regardless of the next president, he will not be an adversary or an enemy of the Kingdom. The Kingdom has no enemies or opponents in Lebanon, and it is open to all parties.
So it is a positive signal regarding Frangieh if he becomes president, advancing beyond what was previously said that the Kingdom had vetoed his election and prevented its allied deputies from voting for him.
After the meeting between the two men on Thursday and the ambassador's repeated confirmation that there is no Saudi veto on any candidate, the importance of his new position and its progression in a week since his visit to Bkerke on May 3rd became clear. It went from saying there is no veto on anyone to showing readiness to cooperate with the elected president, whoever he/ she may be.
3- Lebanese should return to the Arab embrace by rebuilding their ties with the Arab world. Bukhari tackled the positives and the next phase by discussing ways Lebanon can cooperate with its neighbors like Iraq and Syria. He also praised the Shia community and anticipated that Lebanon would receive assistance for fulfilling its obligations. However, he also emphasized that the responsibility lies entirely with the Lebanese, and they should not delay action. He then revealed the extensive efforts being made to expedite the completion of these obligations within weeks. Based on his statements, it can be inferred that a session for electing the president could be held within two weeks at most.
4- He repeatedly urged everyone who visits or meets with them to go to the Parliament and elect the president and to "avoid obstructing the quorum of the session."
5- When asked if he sees Frangieh's alliance with Hezbollah as an obstacle, he answered, "There is no veto on anyone," before adding, "We have no problem about his relationship with Hezbollah. We are in dialogue with Iran, which is positive and ongoing."
Bukhari signals international sanctions for those obstructing presidential elections
In light of recent information, the possibility of a looming presidential election is being discussed more seriously than ever before.
The information indicates that various international pressures are being exerted on the Christian factions to agree on a candidate who can proceed to the election session. Several key developments contribute to this emerging scenario:
1 - Attention to conviction of opposition Christian blocs:
There are indications that opposition Christian blocs are considering the nomination of Frangieh and the necessity of overcoming their divisions by accepting a candidate they previously rejected. Insiders have noticed a slight retreat in the rigid opposition to Frangieh among Christian factions.
Previously, these factions had unanimously rejected attending the session of their sole candidate, the head of the Marada Movement. However, they now appear more inclined towards negotiating a candidate to confront Frangieh. This shift reflects the intensity of the pressures exerted on them.
2 - Potential collaboration between major Christian parties:
The information showed that the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) and the Lebanese Forces (LF) party might exchange their vetoes to push the ongoing dialogue toward a consensus candidate with the smaller Christian blocs.
The FPM has abandoned its veto on the Army Commander General Joseph Aoun, while the LF has withdrawn its veto on former minister Jihad Azour.
Azour's chances seem better than those of the Army Commander, given the latter's need for constitutional amendments that are not currently available within the limited remaining time. Furthermore, Speaker Berri has explicitly stated that there will be no return to what happened in 2008, subjecting the presidential election to Article 74 of the Constitution. Moreover, the Change MPs that oppose electing the LAF Commander threaten to challenge the constitutionality of his election outside the restrictions of Article 49.
3 - Difficulties in reaching a consensual election session:
Attaining a consensus-based presidential election session seems challenging. It necessitates Frangieh's withdrawal, which appears difficult and seemingly impossible at present, both for Frangieh himself and Hezbollah and Amal Movement. However, his chances, at least apparently, have improved after meeting with Bukhari on Thursday and lifting vetoes in all directions. 4 - Limited options and Azour as the closest competitor: The possible choices to challenge Frangieh have been narrowed down to four names. However, Azour seems to be the closest to being adopted as a competitor to Frangieh in the second round of voting to win an absolute majority (at least 65 votes). Without an opposing candidate to Frangieh, the session would lead to his election if the international sanctions are indeed on their way into the country, as currently being pursued. The cost of obstruction is expected to be steep in the twelfth session. As various factors converge, the possibility of a looming presidential election in Lebanon continues to grow, marking a critical juncture for the country's political landscape.

Al-Murtada represents Mikati in Book Fair inauguration

NNA/May 13/2023
Minister of Culture, Muhammad Wissam al-Murtada, representing Prime Minister Najib Mikati, inaugurated the sponsorship of the 49th Annual Book Fair of the Cultural Association in Tripoli, in the presence of the Minister of Information Ziad al-Makari and the Mufti of Tripoli and the North Sheikh Muhammad Tarek. In the opening speech, the minister considered that Tripoli is the oak of Lebanon, steadfast in the face of the wind and spreading its love in every direction.

Lebanon security sting targets crime gangs, smuggling networks
Najia Houssari/Arab News/May 13, 2023
BEIRUT: Drug gang and human trafficking ringleaders were arrested in a joint security operation targeting smuggling hotspots on the Lebanon-Syria border on Saturday. Large quantities of drugs, weapons and ammunitions were also seized in the combined Lebanese Army and Intelligence Directorate operation, which struck several locations in the northern Bekaa Valley simultaneously. Army and security personnel closed three illegal crossings used by human trafficking gangs and vehicle smugglers in Fessani, Wadi Al-Turkman, and Zeghrine in the Hermel district on the northeastern border with Syria.
Military intelligence also raided Syrian refugee camps and houses in Masharih Al-Qaa, a Lebanese region that overlaps Syrian territory, and arrested two Syrian nationals wanted in connection with Captagon smuggling and human trafficking. The two suspects were found with a large quantity of hashish and Captagon pills, a military source said. Another Syrian national, a member of a car theft and armed robbery gang, was also arrested. The gang fired on intelligence directorate personnel two months ago in Brital in the Baalbek-Hermel region. A Syrian national wanted on a string of weapons and narcotics charges was also arrested in the raids. In a coordinated ambush in Hermel, the Lebanese army in cooperation with the intelligence directorate arrested two Lebanese nationals, one said to be the leader of a human trafficking gang, while they were smuggling Syrians through illegal mountain crossings. The raid in Hermel also targeted a kidnapping and drug smuggling gang operating between Lebanon and Syria, the military source said. Residents of Masharih Al-Qaa last month complained about criminal activity in the border area, including illegal crossings by Syrians who carry out thefts, murders and kidnappings for ransom.
The arrests follow a visit by army chief Gen. Joseph Aoun to the 1st Land Border Regiment on Lebanon’s northern border with Syria. Aoun warned that terrorists, as well as arms and drug smugglers, could easily cross uncontrolled borders, and urged soldiers to be “patient because security cannot be compromised.” The army chief said: “We are safeguarding the supreme national interest, which for us remains an absolute priority.” In a speech on Friday night, Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah suggested that sending a ministerial security delegation to Damascus would help address the refugee issue.
Lebanon deported about 50 Syrians last month. All had entered Lebanon illegally, but it is unknown whether they were registered as refugees by the UNHCR. The deportations continue to spark protests by international institutions. In a statement, 20 Lebanese and global organizations said on Saturday that the deportations come amid an alarming surge in anti-refugee rhetoric in Lebanon and other coercive measures intended to pressure refugees to return to their countries. The statement was signed by groups such as Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch. Deportations should be halted and due process respected, it said. Lebanese authorities had “deliberately mismanaged the country’s economic crisis, but instead of adopting much-needed reforms, they have instead resorted to scapegoating refugees for their own failures,” it added. The organizations said that they “continue to document horrific violations committed against Syrian returnees, including unlawful or arbitrary detention, torture and other ill-treatment, rape and sexual violence, and enforced disappearance.”

Nasrallah denies reports linking Hezbollah to Syria drug dealer
Associated Press/May 13/2023
Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has denounced as "baseless lies" reports that one of Syria's most well-known drug dealers, who was killed earlier this week in an airstrike near the Jordanian border, was linked to his group.
Nasrallah's televised speech came four days after the rare strike that some Syrian opposition activists claimed was carried out by Jordan's air force. The activists and a war monitor said the amphetamine Captagon kingpin killed Monday was among the most wanted by Jordanian authorities for drug smuggling across the border with the backing of a small militia. Syrian activists say Merhi al-Ramthan, who was killed with his wife and six children, worked closely with militias linked to Syrian President Bashar Assad and Iran-backed Hezbollah. Western governments estimate that Captagon has generated billions of dollars in revenue for Assad, his Syrian associates and allies. Damascus has denied the accusations. "Had we been making billions of dollars it would have been noticed," Nasrallah joked about the charges. Speaking about linking al-Ramthan to Hezbollah, Nasrallah said "these are lies and unjust charges." Nasrallah added that had it not been for Hezbollah's help, the Lebanese state would not have been able to carry out raids against drug dealers in Lebanon. Hezbollah enjoys wide influence in northeast Lebanon, a region that for decades has been a center of drug production. Monday's strike in southern Syria that killed al-Ramthan and another that destroyed a factory came a day after Arab governments reinstated Syria to the Arab League following the country's suspension for its crackdown on protests that ultimately led to a lengthy civil war. As Arab governments gradually restore ties with Damascus, one of the key topics of discussion has been Syria's illicit drug industry, which has flourished during the ongoing conflict — especially the illegal amphetamine Captagon. "These are baseless lies. For us Captagon and other types of drugs are religiously prohibited," said Nasrallah, a Shiite Muslim cleric and major political figure in Lebanon. Hezbollah sent thousands of fighters to battle alongside Syrian government forces during the 12-year war, helping tip the balance of power in Assad's favor.

Foreign Ministry: Ghazi Ezzeddine's family confirmed his death from a heart attack
NNA/May 13/2023
Caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants, Abdullah Bou Habib, contacted Saturday the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the United Arab Emirates, Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan, after consulting with Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri and Prime Minister Najib Mikati, to discuss bilateral relations and the conditions of the Lebanese community residing in the UAE, where the Emirati minister assured his Lebanese counterpart of the freedom of the family of the late Lebanese national, Ghazi Ezzeddine, to leave the UAE or stay in it.
It is to note that Lebanon's ambassador to Abu Dhabi, Fouad Dandan, contacted yesterday the spouse and brother of the late Ezzedine. Dandan received a written letter signed by the family stating that "the late died of a heart attack and the funeral and burial service took place in the presence of the family in the Emirates, according to their wish.”Ambassador Dandan will also visit the family soon, to offer condolences and find out their needs.

Geagea, UN Resident Coordinator discuss Syrian asylum file
NNA/May 13/2023
Head of the "Lebanese Forces" party, Samir Geagea, met in Maarab with the United Nations Resident Coordinator in Lebanon, Imran Reda. Conferees discussed developments on the Lebanese and regional arenas, with Geagea affirming that Lebanon “has endured a lot in order to save and shelter the Syrian people, but the situation today is no longer bearable, and we must work together quickly to organize their return.” Geagea stressed that "Lebanon is a country of transit and not of asylum, according to an agreement signed with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees in 2003," calling on the international community to build on recent regional developments in order to get Lebanon out of this escalating crisis, given that the issue has gone beyond the economic or humanitarian concept or the economic one, especially since the provision of aid has turned into a sovereign existential problem, and its solution has become a top priority, to prevent its exacerbation and to preserve the stability of the country on the one hand and the region on the other.

Derian discusses with Evangelical Church delegation promotion of Islamic-Christian relations
NNA/May 13/2023
Grand Mufti of the Lebanese Republic, Sheikh Abdul-Latif Derian, received today a delegation at Dar al-Fatwa including the Archbishop of the Evangelical Church in the province of Wertenbach in southern Germany and the priest responsible for developmental and ecumenical relations in the diocese, members of the evangelical churches present in Lebanon, and a representative of the National Evangelical Church in Beirut, Dr. Habib Badr, in the presence of the Secretary General of the National Committee for Islamic-Christian Dialogue, Dr. Muhammad Al-Sammak. Discussions touched on strengthening Islamic-Christian relations and coexistence, in addition to general public affairs.

Khodr urges people of Deir Al Ahmar to demonstrate self-restraint
NNA/May 13/2023
Baalbek-Hermel Governor Bashir Khodr tweeted today: “After the attack on the cemetery, I call on our people in Deir al-Ahmar to exercise the highest degree of restraint, and await the results of the investigation. I am following up on the matter with the security services, and I am confident that they will arrest the perpetrators.”

Hamieh thanks Iraq for allowing the first Lebanese truck to cross the transit system, heading to Kuwait
NNA/May 13/2023
Caretaker Minister of Public Works and Transport, Ali Hamieh, indicated that the first Lebanese truck has crossed today the border with Jordan, and is currently inside Iraqi territory, heading to its final destination in Kuwait through the Safwan border crossing, following coordination by the Lebanese embassy this morning with the Iraqi authorities. Hamieh thanked the Iraqi authorities for facilitating customs procedures and passport control. According to a statement, this came after Hamieh’s visit in February 2022 to the Republic of Iraq, and based on the meetings he held at the time - and in the presence of the Lebanese ambassador to Iraq - with all concerned Iraqi officials in the Iraqi state., whereby discussions tackled all the dossiers that the Ministry of Public Works and Transport in Lebanon handles, especially allowing the transit system for Lebanese trucks loaded with goods to pass through Iraqi lands en-route to the Gulf countries and other countries neighboring Iraq. "Given the utmost importance this issue poses to Lebanon at the various economic and financial levels, and after follow-up and continuous contacts with the Iraqi side, the Iraqi authorities, thanks to a decision of the Iraqi Prime Minister's office, instructed all concerned parties at the Iraqi borders to permit Lebanese trucks to access the transit system and pass through Iraqi territory to their final destination in the other neighboring countries of Iraq,” a statement by the ministry indicated.

Health Minister, Japanese Ambassador inaugurate solar energy project in Minnieh Governmental Hospital
NNA/May 13/2023
Caretaker Minister of Public Health, Firas Abiad, inaugurated Saturday the alternative energy project for the Minnieh Governmental Hospital and the opening of the "CT-Scan" Center with a grant from Japan and the implementation of the United Nations Regional Service Center "UNIX", in the presence of the Japanese Ambassador Magoshi Masayuki, Deputy Ahmed Al-Khair, Head of the Higher Relief Commission, Major General Muhammad Al-Khair, District Commissioner of Minnieh-Dinnieh, Jean Al-Khauli, Mayors of Minnieh and neighboring municipalities, the hospital’s medical staff, and a crowd of activists and residents of the region. In his inaugural word, Minister Abiad said: “It gives me great pleasure to stand before you today on this important occasion of the inauguration of the new renewable solar energy project at this Primary Health Care Centre,“ pointing out that this project will reduce the energy costs and allow the transfer of resources towards facilitating patients' access to primary care, improving the quality of services, and supporting service providers and workers in health care centers. He added: "The importance of primary health care programs cannot be overemphasized. It is the second pillar of the National Health Strategy, which was launched by the Ministry of Public Health two months ago, and a significant step towards achieving comprehensive health coverage...This program serves as the basis for providing health services, especially in the underprivileged regions, and among the neediest segments of society.”
Abiad went on to underline that “healthcare partnerships are key to optimizing resource use and improving health outcomes,” expressing deep appreciation to UNICEF, one of his ministry’s main partners, for the support provided over the years. “This project is a testament to the strength of partnership and cooperation between Lebanon and UNICEF in the field of health care. This project is an important step towards better care, and a reminder that health care is a basic human right,” he said. “As we inaugurate this project, let us pledge our commitment to better care for our people and patients without any discrimination, and that the Ministry of Public Health will continue to strive to provide patients with better health services and costs that do not burden the most vulnerable classes,” promised Abiad. Following the Health Minister’s word, honorary shields were distributed to the Japanese ambassador and the representative of the United Nations as a token of appreciation for the contributions of the Japanese government and the United Nations in the implementation of this project.

FPM denounces Bar Association's permission to prosecute Attorney Wadih Akl: We will not rest until all those who contributed to Lebanese people's...

NNA/May 13/2023
In an issued statement by the Free Patriotic Movement this afternoon, it denounced "what was issued by the Council of the Bar Association in Beirut on giving permission to prosecute Attorney Wadih Akl, based on a lawsuit filed against him by Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, for crimes of defamation and provoking sectarian strife.""Everyone knows that this lawyer has rounds over dossiers suspected of corruption, including, for instance, those related to the Council for Development and Reconstruction, Intra Bank, the Middle East Airlines, Al-Nafaa, Casino du Liban, and others...,” the statement said.
“Attorney Akl assumed the tasks of prosecuting the corrupt, whether in Lebanon or abroad, and he had a key role in moving the foreign judiciary that is conducting its investigations today with the Governor of the Banque du Liban and his system...It is no secret that moving the criminal lawsuit submitted by Mr. Mikati aims to intimidate and limit the movement and enthusiasm of Attorney Akl and those who stand beside him or those who wish or have the intention to follow his path in combating corruption and confronting the corrupt, whether political or non-political,” then statement went on. It added: “The Bar Association is the main protector of public freedoms and the source of immunity for every lawyer who performs the duty to defend his clients, so how about if the client is the Lebanese people whose money was stolen by these corrupt individuals?” The statement stressed that the Free Patriotic Movement rejects the Bar Association’s decision and insists on continuing its path in combating corruption, no matter how heavy the sacrifices, assuring that Mikati's lawsuit will have no impact on it while declaring support to Attorney Akl through all available judicial procedures to challenge the decision of the Bar, according to the rules, before the concerned judicial authority. The Movement also called on anyone wishing to join its anti-corruption campaign “to keep pace with its steps aimed at following up on all files, foremost of which being the Beirut port explosion dossier.”The statement concluded by affirming that "the Free Patriotic Movement will not rest until all those who contributed to the impoverishment of the great Lebanese people are punished."

Daou: Together we will endeavor to complete the path of change
NNA/May 13/2023
MP Mark Daou wrote today on Twitter: "A political meeting, a year after the parliamentary elections, for parties, groups, and a number of figures and faces of change from all Lebanese regions, including Progress, Red Line, National Bloc, Change Movement in the South, North-Third District, Rise Up for Sovereignty...We evaluated the successes and failures during the past year, and called upon each other to coordinate work and all efforts to approach the main political battles in the future by having established a prelude on which to build further...We will confront together so as to complete the path of change.”

May 16: The Stranglehold Around Salameh’s Neck Tightens
Hanna Saleh/Asharq Al Awsat/May 14/2023
May 16 is just a few days away. In just a few days, Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh is scheduled to appear before the French judge Aude Buresi in Paris as part of the investigation into corruption and money laundering charges. Many questions about the great Lebanese theft could be answered that day. Whatever we should expect, the implications are already being felt in Beirut. Mikati has called for the question of the governorship to be settled by the government, and Nabih Berri was quoted as saying that “the imminent juncture is appointing a Central Bank Governor.”
They are preparing to turn a dangerous page opened by the foreign investigators, after ignoring the charges of embezzlement made by “Case Authority” in the Ministry of Justice, as well as its request that the property of Riad Salameh, his brother Raja and his assistant al-Hoayek be seized and that he be arrested and referred to the Criminal Court.
Judge Bourisi surprised Salameh by summoning himself on March 16, as soon as he finished questioning him in Beirut. Over two days, Salameh was bombarded with about 200 questions about $330 million worth of financial transfers via the offshore company Forry Associates, which is registered in the British Virgin Islands. Bourisi’s aim is to establish how the transfers ended up in his accounts and identify the bankers in Europe who facilitated these financial crimes.
For his part, Salameh certainly never considered the possibility that these crimes would be exposed, as he showered the Lebanese with lectures about his integrity and the awards he has won!
Salameh’s backers, politicians and beneficiaries, have been holding their breath since being informed of the request that secrecy be lifted from the accounts with links to the charges against the Central Bank Governor, as the information about transfers could expose many of them! Indeed, it has been reported that the investigators will probably surprise Salameh with the trove of information at their disposal thanks to Marwan Kheireddine, the head of Al-Mawarid Bank, and others...
There are rumors of a Forry 2 that played a role in dubious financial operations totaling around $8 billion through Optimum Invest. Thus, Salameh’s defenders have already begun anticipating the best case scenario, providing pretexts to justify Salameh not showing up for questioning. They are trying to find ways to bide their time, but they know that no matter what happens, the charges are not going anywhere!
In fact, several sources have stressed that we should know what to expect. If Salameh chooses not to show up, the investigation will be concluded, and an arrest warrant will be issued against him in absentia and sent to Interpol. If he does go, he will be charged, an arrest warrant will be filed against him, and he will go to trial. His legal team is thus seeking a settlement. As with Kheireddine, however, it would come at a steep price. The lawyers are looking to buy time and gauge the price that must be paid to mitigate his punishment after the charges are substantiated!
Meanwhile, nothing worries the people, who have been left to deal with the arrogant mafia alone, more than the fact that the Lebanese judiciary is hesitant to play the role demanded of it. It is neither acceptable nor comprehensible for the judiciary to refrain from addressing these charges seriously and responsibly, bearing in mind that the European investigators are building their case on that opened by the Lebanese Judge Jean Tannous over a year ago. The latter’s investigation was impeded by political interference, with the prime minister threatening to resign if the case was not closed, and the prime minister got what he wanted!
There are certainly many dimensions to the prosecution and trial of Salameh on charges of corruption and money laundering. The case will have implications for the alliance of politicians, bankers, and militias. The entire alliance is now trial. Indeed, for decades, Salameh was the monetary wing of the ruling clique that divided state revenues among its members and seized the deposits of citizens, who went from being affluent to being poor in the blink of an eye!
Throughout this process, Salameh engineered the policies that allowed this to happen. His role turned him into a model of success and a pivotal figure who gave lectures on integrity, and it rendered him a candidate for the presidency of the republic whenever a term ended!
Dr. Ghassan Ayyash (former Deputy Central Bank Governor) claims that those who brought Riad Salameh to the governorship 30 years ago tasked him with pegging the exchange rate and paying the balance of payments deficit, leaving the rest to him!
They put the Code of Money and Credit to one side from the beginning. Instead of the treasury taking care of the balance of payments deficit, subsidy policies, and pegging the exchange rate, these tasks were entrusted to the Central Bank Governor who had come from Merrill Lynch. He brought his bearer of secrets, Raja Bouaasli, with him. Raja has told the investigators everything he knows. The number of prominent positions he occupied is remarkable. He chairs the Higher Banking Commission, the Special Investigation Commission, and the BDL Central Council, as well as having the authority to regulate banks and presiding over the oversight committee.
Salameh was never held accountable. He rarely complied with Parliament’s requests to discuss monetary and financial matters, subsidies, debt, and interest rates, all of which are pivotal issues he decides that bear heavily on the standard of living of the Lebanese, Lebanon’s finances, and the economy. Salameh was behind the most prominent fraudulent claim to the Lebanese: The lira is fine. It was not fine for a single day of Salameh’s tenure!
His questioning in Paris will almost certainly turn the page on 30 years of Riad Salameh controlling monetary policy in Lebanon. A rare consensus among the entire political class has emerged on this matter. Will his crimes reawaken the judiciary and push it to finish what the European investigations have started, demonstrating where the looted funds have gone and who is responsible? The Lebanese are right to demand a Governor who is not part of the clique, so he can expose the plunder facilitated by the Central Bank... Could such a dream come true?!

Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on May 13-14/2023
Pope Francis Warns Pets Must Not Replace Children in Italy
Reuters/May 13/2023
Starting a family in Italy is becoming a "titanic effort" that only the rich can afford, Pope Francis has warned. Addressing a conference on Italy's demographic crisis, he said pets were replacing children in many households. Also on stage were dozens of young people, wearing t-shirts saying "we can do this" - alluding to convincing people to have more children. Italy has one of the lowest fertility rates in the EU and births dropped below 400,000 last year - a new low. In his speech in Rome, the Pope said the declining birth rate signalled a lack of hope in the future, with younger generations weighed down by a sense of uncertainty, fragility and precariousness. "Difficulty in finding a stable job, sky-high rents and insufficient wages are real problems," he said. Warning that pets were replacing children in some households, the Pope recounted how a woman had opened her bag and asked him to "bless her baby". Except it was not a baby, but a small dog. "I lost my patience and told her off: there are many children who are hungry, and you bring me a dog?" he added, triggering a round of applause from the crowd.
Birth rates are slowing in many places - such as Japan, South Korea, Puerto Rico and Portugal. But a shrinking population is a major worry for Italy - the third-largest country in the eurozone. The country could lose almost a fifth of its residents by 2050. At the same time, the population is ageing quickly - the number of centenarians in Italy has tripled over the last 20 years. Italy is often dubbed "The country of empty cribs". Even Elon Musk tweeted last month: "Italy is disappearing!" Experts warn the population crisis will lead to the impoverishment of the nation. Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti said that by 2042, Italy's declining birthrate would end up reducing its gross domestic product (GDP) by 18%. There are many reasons why women in Italy are having fewer babies. Young people struggle to find stable jobs and the childcare support system is often inadequate, which makes it hard for mothers to juggle work and family life. Six out of 10 mothers don't have access to nurseries, according to the charity Save the Children. Many pregnant women are forced to resign, and some get sacked when they get pregnant. Italy's plummeting birth rate "is a national emergency" said Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, who was speaking alongside Pope Francis. The image of the two leaders - both dressed in white head to toe - speaking together was very symbolic in Italy, as to show that the issue is so urgent, that it goes beyond politics or religion. "Fixing the problem is an absolute priority. We want Italy to go back to having a bright future," she said. Mrs Meloni, who won the largest share of the women's vote in September elections but does not consider herself a feminist, has made mothers and families a central part of her discourse. She has created an ad hoc ministry to address the issue of declining birth rates and her government has hinted at encouraging people to have children by exempting them from paying income tax. Pope Francis called for politicians to find "forward-looking solutions to avoid Italy degenerating into sadness". At the end of his speech, several pregnant women queued on stage to have him touch their belly and give them a blessing.
Shortly after, a flock of children encircled the Pontiff in a group hug - something likely to have been orchestrated by the organisers of the event. --- Reuters

Pope Francis Meets with Ukraine’s President at the Vatican
News Agencies/May 14/2023
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy held talks with Pope Francis at the Vatican on Saturday, saying it was a great honor to meet with the pontiff, who has previously offered to do what he can to try to end the war launched by Russia's invasion of Ukraine a year ago. Zelenskyy held his hand of his heart as the pope, using a cane, came to greet him before ushering the Ukrainian into a papal studio near the Vatican's audience call. "Thank you for your visit,'' Francis said, as their 40-minute-long meeting began. In a written statement, the Vatican said the two men spoke about Ukraine's "humanitarian and political situation provoked by the war going on.'' "The pope assured his constant prayer, paid witness to by his many public appeals and by his continued invoking of the Lord for peace, since February of last year,'' the Vatican said, a reference to the invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022, by Russia's military. “Both agreed on the need to continue humanitarian efforts” to help the population. “The pope underlined in particular the urgent need for ‘humanitarian gestures’ toward the most fragile persons, innocent victims of the conflict," the statement said.
Last month, Ukraine’s prime minister, Denys Shmyhal, met with Francis at the Vatican and said he asked the pontiff to help Ukraine get back children illegally taken to Russia during the invasion. Saturday's communique from the Vatican made no mention of that, and there were no immediate details from Zelenskyy's side about his meeting with the pontiff. Ahead of Zelenskyy's arrival in late afternoon, police moved tourists to one side of St. Peter's Square so the Ukrainian president's motorcade could speed across the vast cobblestone space. Earlier in the day, Zelenskyy met with Italian officials after his morning flight to Rome. He received pledges of both open-ended military and financial support as well as stronger backing for Ukraine's cherished aim to join the European Union. “The message is clear and simple,” Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said, flanked by Zelenskyy as the two briefed reporters after their meeting at her office, which lasted more than an hour. "The future of Ukraine is a future of peace and freedom. And it's the future of Europe, a future of peace and freedom, for which there are no other possible solutions.''Meloni, who had met with Zelenskyy in Ukraine in February, just ahead of the anniversary of the invasion, renewed her pledge to champion Ukraine's EU ambitions, saying Ukraine was moving ahead with required reforms despite the war. According to The Associated Press, the premier, who staunchly backs military aid for Ukraine, said Italy would back the country “360 degrees for all the time necessary and beyond.”Zelenskyy began his official meetings by calling on Italian President Sergio Mattarella at the presidential Quirinale Palace. “We are fully at your side,″ Mattarella told Zelenskyy as he welcomed him. Later, after their meeting, presidential palace sources said Mattarella assured his guest that Italy would continue supporting Ukraine militarily and financially, as well as with reconstruction and humanitarian aid, in both the short and long term. Since the war began, Italy has furnished about 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion) in military and financial aid, as well as humanitarian assistance. Zelenskyy is heading to Berlin next for what would be his first visit to Germany since the war began.

Israel and Islamic Jihad agree Gaza truce

Reuters/May 13, 2023
GAZA: Israel and the militant Islamic Jihad movement in Gaza have agreed a truce that will go into effect at 10 p.m. (1900 GMT), Palestinian officials said, signalling an end to the worst episode of cross-border fire since a 10-day war in 2021. Egypt, which brokered the ceasefire, called on all sides to adhere to the agreement, Egypt’s Al-Qahera News television channel reported. “In the light of the agreement of the Palestinian and the Israeli side, Egypt announces a cease-fire between the Palestinian and the Israeli side has been reached,” a text of the agreement seen by Reuters read, and added the truce would begin at 10 p.m. “The two sides will abide by the cease-fire which will include an end to targeting civilians, house demolition, an end to targeting individuals immediately when the cease-fire goes into effect,” it said. There was no immediate confirmation from Israeli officials. Even as the truce was being finalized, the two sides kept up firing, with warning sirens sounding in southern Israel and Israel’s military announcing it had hit six operational command posts of Islamic Jihad. Israel launched the latest round of airstrikes in the early hours of Tuesday, announcing that it was targeting Islamic Jihad commanders who had planned attacks in Israel. In response, the Iranian-backed group fired hundreds of rockets, sending one and a half million Israelis into air raid shelters. During the five days of the campaign, Israel killed six senior Islamic Jihad commanders and destroyed a number of military installations but the airstrikes also killed at least 10 civilians, including women and children.

Israel-Gaza fighting continues as 2 Palestinians killed in West Bank raid
Associated Press/May 13/2023
Israel and Palestinian militants unleashed salvos of fire for a fourth day on Saturday, with the Islamic Jihad militant group launching rockets and the Israeli military pounding targets inside the Gaza Strip. There were no immediate reports of casualties in Gaza or Israel on Saturday. But in a reminder of the combustible situation in the occupied West Bank, the Israeli military raided the Balata refugee camp in the northern city of Nablus, killing two Palestinians. The Palestinian Health Ministry identified the two as 32-year-old Said Mesha and 19-year-old Adnan Araj. At least three other Palestinians were wounded in the raid, the latest of near-daily Israeli arrest operations against suspected militants in the territory. Meanwhile, hopes for an imminent cease-fire between Israel and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad were fading as the Israeli military early Saturday bombed an apartment belonging to Islamic Jihad commander Mohammed Abu Al Atta, among other buildings in densely populated neighborhoods. Islamic Jihad militants fired a barrage of rockets toward southern Israel, where millions of Israelis were instructed to remain close to safe rooms and bomb shelters.
Israeli officials told media that Egyptian-led efforts to broker a cease-fire were still underway but that Israel has ruled out the conditions presented by Islamic Jihad in the talks. Israel has said only that quiet will be answered with quiet, while Islamic Jihad has been reportedly pressing Israel to agree to halt targeted assassinations, among other demands. If the rocket fire continues from Gaza, Israeli officials told local media, "the strikes (on Gaza) will continue and intensify." The hostilities erupted on Tuesday when Israel targeted and killed three senior Islamic Jihad commanders who it said were responsible for firing rockets toward Israel last week. At least 10 civilians, including women, young children and uninvolved neighbors were killed in those initial strikes, which drew regional condemnation. Over the past few days, Israel has conducted even more airstrikes, killing other senior Islamic Jihad commanders and destroying their command centers and rocket-launching sites. On Friday, Israel killed Iyad al-Hassani, an Islamic Jihad commander who had replaced a leader of the group's military operations killed in a Tuesday airstrike. The Palestinian Health Ministry has reported 33 Palestinians killed — six of them children — and over 147 wounded. Islamic Jihad has retaliated by firing rockets toward southern and central Israel. On Friday, the group escalated its assaults and fired rockets toward Jerusalem, setting off air raid sirens in the Israeli settlements south of the contested capital. Most of the rockets have fallen short or been intercepted by Israel's Iron Dome aerial defense system. But one on Thursday penetrated missile defenses and sliced through a house in the central city of Rehovot, killing an 80-year-old woman and wounding several others. Hamas, the larger militant group that has controlled Gaza since seizing power in 2007, has praised Islamic Jihad's strikes but remained on the sidelines, according to Israeli military officials, limiting the scope of the conflict. As the de facto government held responsible for the abysmal conditions in the blockaded Gaza Strip, Hamas has recently tried to keep a lid on its conflict with Israel. Islamic Jihad has taken the lead in the past few rounds of fighting with Israel. On Saturday, the deadly Israeli raid into the Balata refugee camp turned the focus of the conflict back to the long-simmering West Bank. Residents said that Israeli forces used shoulder-fired rockets to besiege a militant hideout, sharing footage of a large explosion and smoke billowing from the crowded camp. The two Palestinians killed were not the target of the arrest raid, witnesses said, but among the crowds of protesters throwing stones and explosives at Israeli troops. The Israeli military had no immediate comment. Israeli-Palestinian fighting has surged in the West Bank under Israel's most right-wing government in history. Since the start of the year, 111 Palestinians have been killed in the occupied territory, at least half of them affiliated with militant groups, according to a tally by The Associated Press — the highest death toll in some two decades. In that time, 20 people have been killed in Palestinian attacks on Israelis.

Germany unveils 2.7 billion euro weapons package for Ukraine
Agence France Presse/May 13/2023
Germany is preparing a new weapons package for Ukraine worth 2.7 billion euros, reportedly Berlin's largest since Russia invaded last year, the defense ministry said Saturday. "We all hope for a rapid end to this terrible war by Russia against the Ukrainian people, but unfortunately this is not in sight," Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said in a statement. "This is why Germany will supply all the help that it can, for as long as necessary," he said. The package, worth $3 billion, will include 30 additional Leopard-1 tanks, Marder armoured vehicles, air-defence systems and surveillance drones, the ministry said.
Der Spiegel magazine said it would be Germany's largest since the outbreak of the war. It comes as Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky is expected to travel to Rome on Saturday for talks with political leaders, which could be followed by a trip to Berlin. German officials have not confirmed the visit, but Berlin police have opened an inquiry after details of a possible trip attributed to the force appeared in the media. Western allies have delivered increasingly powerful weapons to Kyiv since Russia sent its forces into Ukraine in February 2022, though so far not the advanced fighter jets that Zelensky has requested.
Germany last year provided military support worth two billion euros and had earmarked 2.2 billion euros for this year, though details had not yet been finalised. Berlin has also promised to supply its more advanced Leopard-2 tanks, and has begun training Ukrainian soldiers on their use.

Blasts rock Khartoum as warring sides affirm humanitarian pledge
AFP/May 13, 2023
KHARTOUM: Airstrikes pummeled Khartoum on Saturday, with representatives of Sudan’s warring factions meeting in Saudi Arabia for talks to prevent a “humanitarian catastrophe” as the fighting entered a fifth week. A witness in west Khartoum reported army airstrikes on paramilitary forces, as brutal urban warfare continued in Sudan’s densely-populated capital. More than 750 people have been killed and hundreds of thousands displaced since fighting erupted on April 15 between army chief Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan and his deputy turned rival Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, who commands the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces. Over half a million people have fled Khartoum alone, according to the UN, with hospitals there having been shelled and rampant looting reported as residents suffer under chronic shortages of food, electricity and medicine.
BACKGROUND
Sudan has appealed to the international community, including the UN, the African Union, and other regional organizations, ‘to provide humanitarian assistance,’ a Foreign Ministry statement said. Representatives of both generals have been in the Saudi city of Jeddah for a week, for talks intended “to protect Sudan from any escalation that will lead to a humanitarian catastrophe,” a Saudi diplomat said. The diplomat also said Gen. Al-Burhan had been invited to attend the Arab League summit planned to take place in Jeddah on May 19 but it was unclear who would be representing Sudan. “We didn’t receive the name of the delegations, but we’re really expecting Sudan will be present in the Arab summit,” the diplomat said. Envoys in Jeddah agreed on Thursday to “affirm our commitment to ensure that civilians are protected.” However the deal, dubbed the Jeddah Declaration, did not amount to a truce and the situation on the ground appeared unchanged as battles raged throughout the week of negotiations and into Saturday. In the capital’s twin city of Omdurman, “houses are shaking from the force of explosions,” a witness said on Saturday, reporting “clashes using all kinds of weapons.” Thursday’s deal commits both sides to let in badly needed humanitarian assistance and also calls for the restoration of electricity, water and other basic services. Sudan launched on Saturday a call to the international community, including the UN, the African Union, and other regional organizations, “to provide humanitarian assistance,” a Foreign Ministry statement said. The government committed to “dedicating the port and airports of Port Sudan” on the Red Sea, Dongola airport in the country’s north and Wadi Seidna air base near the capital “to receive aid.” Civilians and aid groups have repeatedly pleaded for humanitarian corridors to secure vital assistance, as aid agencies have been systematically looted and at least 18 humanitarian workers killed. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres expressed hopes the Jeddah deal would “ensure that the relief operation can scale up swiftly and safely to meet the needs of millions of people in Sudan,” where a third of the population relied on aid even before the current conflict. Guterres also reiterated “his call for an immediate ceasefire and expanded discussions to achieve a permanent cessation of hostilities” in a Friday statement. An RSF statement on Friday said the group had signed the Jeddah agreement despite their “full knowledge” that the army “will not heed the suffering of our people.”Hopes for a ceasefire remain dim after multiple truces were violated in past weeks. US officials have described the talks as difficult, with one saying the two sides were “quite far apart.”But the Saudi diplomat said there had been “a positive response” and there was “a good spirit from the two parties.” For Aly Verjee, Sudan researcher at Sweden’s University of Gothenburg, “it is not surprising that the Jeddah Declaration is weak.”“Initial agreements usually are,” he said. ““The mediators are still in the public honeymoon phase ... this explains the claims of optimism, even when there is little evidence to justify such views.”On the ground, both sides have continued to trade gunfire and accusations, each blaming the other for attacking infrastructure and civilians. “We keep hearing that there will be a truce, but then you go out in the street and there are bullets everywhere,” Sudanese citizen Wahag Gafar said after a grueling journey to the border with Egypt, where over 60,000 have fled the fighting. Almost 200,000 people have escaped Sudan, in addition to hundreds of thousands who have been displaced inside the country, the UN said Friday.
The exodus has seen Sudanese rush to neighboring Chad, South Sudan and Ethiopia, where the UN refugee agency warned that its operations were “already significantly underfunded.”

Sudan’s army and RSF to resume talks on Sunday
Reuters/May 13, 2023
KHARTOUM: Sudan’s warring army and Rapid Support Forces paramilitary will resume talks on Sunday as air strikes and heavy fighting raged overnight around Khartoum despite an agreement to protect civilians. Saudi Arabia, which has been hosting the talks aimed at securing a cease-fire deal, has also invited army chief Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan to Friday’s Arab League summit in Jeddah, a diplomat told Reuters. The conflict that broke out suddenly a month ago has killed hundreds, sent more than 200,000 people into neighboring states, displaced another 700,000 inside the country and risks drawing in outside powers and destabilising the region. Despite Burhan’s invitation to the Jeddah summit, he is not expected to leave Sudan for security reasons. Burhan was invited because he is head of Sudan’s Sovereign Council that was meant to be overseeing a planned transition to civilian rule before the conflict erupted, the Saudi diplomat said. His rival RSF chief Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti, is deputy head of the council. “We haven’t yet received the names of the delegation, but we are expecting Sudan to be represented in the summit,” the Saudi diplomat said. The two sides agreed on Thursday to a “declaration of principles” to protect civilians and allow humanitarian access, but there has been no let up in the fighting, with clashes and strikes ringing around Khartoum and neighboring areas. In the resumed talks in Jeddah, the sides will start by discussing mechanisms to implement Thursday’s agreement including plans for aid delivery, safe corridors and the removal of forces from civilian areas. Talks would then move onto ways to end the conflict, eventually paving the way for a civilian government. “The nature of the conflict affects the dialogue. Yet I found a very good spirit from both sides,” the Saudi diplomat said. In public neither side has shown any sign it is willing to compromise and they battled through previous truces. Although the RSF has promised to uphold Thursday’s agreement, the army has not yet commented on it. Neither side seems able to secure a quick victory, with the RSF dug into residential districts throughout the capital and the army able to call on air power.

UN refugee agency: 200,000 have fled Sudan
Reuters/May 13/2023
Some 200,000 people have fled from Sudan to neighbouring countries since violence erupted last month, a spokesperson for the U.N. refugee agency said on Friday, including many malnourished children arriving in Chad. Some 60,000 have arrived through the desert to Chad, including about 30,000 in the past few days, U.N. refugee agency (UNHCR) spokesperson Olga Sarrado told a Geneva press briefing. Nearly 90% of the new arrivals are women and children, she said, and one fifth of the young children are malnourished. "UNHCR calls for immediate financial support for all actors involved in the response to avoid a humanitarian catastrophe, prevent tensions over strained resources and support those forcibly in a dignified manner," she said. "Support from the private sector has been slow compared to other emergencies, despite the urgency and severity of the crisis," she added, saying a new appeal was expected after the agency called for $445 million last week. At the same briefing, a spokesperson from the U.N. children's agency said that a factory in Sudan's capital, Khartoum, producing food for malnourished children had burnt down. "This is the darkest, most distinct illustration to date of how this conflict threatens the lives of children through multiple means," said UNICEF spokeperson James Elder. He did not know whether the factory, which produces 60% of the ready-made food cartons in Sudan, was deliberately torched. --- Reuters

China and Russia are increasing their military collaboration, Japan’s foreign minister warns
LBCI/May 13/2023
Japanese Foreign Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi expressed concern Saturday about Russian and Chinese military cooperation in Asia and said the security situation in Europe and the Indo-Pacific region was indivisible since Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Speaking at a meeting of European and Indo-Pacific foreign ministers in Sweden, Hayashi said Russia’s war in Ukraine had “shaken the very foundation of the international order” and must face a united response by the international community. “Otherwise, similar challenges will arise in other regions and the existing order which has underpinned our peace and prosperity could be fundamentally overturned,” Hayashi said. Japan firmly backs Ukraine in the war but China says it remains neutral while declaring a “no limits” relationship with Moscow and blaming the US and NATO for provoking the conflict. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida visited the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, in March at the same time as Chinese President Xi Jinping met Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in Moscow. Hayashi accused Beijing of “continuing and intensifying its unilateral attempts” to change the status quo in the East and South China seas by force and increasing its military activities around Taiwan. “In addition, China and Russia are strengthening their military collaboration, including joint flights of their bombers and joint naval exercises in the vicinity of Japan,” Hayahshi said. China, which claims most of the South China Sea as well as Japanese-held islands in the East China Sea, says it has the right to defend its sovereignty and development interests. Hayashi also warned that North Korea was “escalating provocations” in the region by conducting ballistic missile launches “with a frequency and in a manner that are unprecedented.”He joined dozens of ministers from the European Union and the Indo-Pacific region for the meeting just north of the Swedish capital. China was not invited to the talks. “Since the aggression of Russia to Ukraine, the security situation here in Europe and the security situation in the Pacific are not separable. So this is very important and this is very meaningful that the European ministers and also the ministers from the Pacific area are jointly discussing about those issues here in Stockholm,” Hayashi told reporters as he arrived. Pakistani Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar said the whole world was affected by the war in Ukraine, adding to global challenges such as climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic. “We all try and address it in our own different ways,” she said. “I think a lesson a country like Pakistan has learned is that percolation of conflict is never the answer; that we want an end to hostilities, an end to conflict, so people can go back to building lives rather than destroying more lives.”

Biden says US debt ceiling talks are moving along
Reuters/May 13/2023
President Joe Biden said on Saturday that talks with Congress on raising the US government's debt limit were moving along and more will be known about their progress in the next two days. "I think they are moving along, hard to tell. We have not reached the crunch point yet," Biden told reporters at Joint Base Andrews. "We'll know more in the next two days," he said. Biden is expected to meet with Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and other congressional leaders early next week to resume negotiations. The leaders had canceled a planned meeting on Friday to let staff continue discussions. Aides for Biden and McCarthy have started to discuss ways to limit federal spending as talks on raising the government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling to avoid a catastrophic default creep forward, Reuters has reported.
The Treasury Department says it could run out of money by June 1 unless lawmakers lift the nation's debt ceiling.

Egypt implements second largest project in its history to save the country
NNA/May 13/2023
Egypt is implementing huge projects in the field of agricultural development to increase the agricultural area and expand productivity to save the country from a shortage of strategic crops, according to "Russia Today".
The project aims to add about 230,000 acres to the agricultural area, which is completely irrigated from the waters of the underground reservoir in the region, where the project applies the method of clean farming, with the aim of providing agricultural produce free of pollutants to be exported abroad, and the number of companies for which land is allocated in the region is 16, all of which have started implementation.

European Countries Pressure the US to Revive Nuclear Deal
Washington : Elie Youssef/Asharq Al Awsat/May 14/2023
Iran continues to improve its capability to produce a nuclear weapon, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark A. Milley has said. "[Iranian leaders] continue to improve their capability to produce a nuclear weapon," Milley told the Senate Appropriations Defense Subcommittee on Thursday. The general said Iran could produce enough materiel to produce an atomic weapon quickly, and then it would only be a few months before a deliverable weapon was ready. He stressed that US policy remains the same. “The United States remains committed that Iran will not have a nuclear weapon.”
Milley added that Iran continues to disturb the peace in the Middle East and beyond by its support of terrorists and proxy forces. His comments came as the United States said it was sending reinforcements to the Gulf after what it called increasing harassment by Iran of ships in the region’s waters. This move raised questions whether Washington wanted to send a message of reassurance to European countries which are fearing that the White House might have put a possible revival of the nuclear deal with Iran on the side. On Friday, The Wall Street Journal said that European countries are pressing the Biden administration to revive the diplomatic track with Tehran that they hope would help avoid a possible nuclear crisis. It said the EU countries are alarmed by Iran’s progress in enriching uranium at close to weapons-grade levels. After 18 months of negotiations, talks on reviving the 2015 nuclear accord collapsed in August when Tehran rejected a deal that would have largely restored the original pact’s terms. Iran is now amassing 60 percent highly enriched uranium and recently produced a small amount of near-weapons grade material, according to the United Nations atomic agency.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on May 13-14/2023
Erdogan and the Future of an Islamist Autocracy
Charles Elias Chartouni/May 13/2023
The elections scheduled on Sunday (May 14, 2023) may usher a new era in the life of the Turkish Republic, and put an end to the self defeating politics of an Islamist autocracy, undermined by rampant inflation, pervasive corruption and clientelism (highlighted after the late earthquakes catastrophes), economic failures, highly fractured political landscape, revival and strengthening of ethno-religious cleavages (Kurds, Alevis and anti-Christian discrimination), Neo-Ottoman Islamism, Pan-Turanianism, and the revival of the imperial legacy, the celebration of the genocidal narrative, the unraveling of the Kemalist political legacy of secularism, Constitutional Statehood and professional public administration, and the cumulative imbroglios of a contentious foreign policy and its power politics blunders and strategic overstretching.
The defeat of Erdogan, after an absolute reign of twenty years, over Turkish politics brings about major transformations on both the domestic and foreign aisles of Public Affairs, it brings back normalcy and helps Turkey extract itself from the pitfalls of autocracy, its hubris and conflict prone political positioning. The stakes of this election, far from being incidental, are decisive insofar as the future of Democracy and Constitutional Statehood, the peaceful resolution of ethno-political conflicts within Turkey, the tackling of regional conflicts on the interfaces with Syria, Iraq, Iran and the European Community, the dissipation of the strategic ambiguities in regard to NATO, the EU partnership and the rising Cold War configuration.
The declining fortunes of a discredited autocracy are counterweighted by a long term trail of political fraud and violence, excavated judiciary, debased stature of the army as the guardian of the secular legacy and the pro-Western political culture, and shifting strategic alliances which aim at buttressing the discretionary power of a contested and fledgling autocracy. Far from being a strictly Turkish political event, the upcoming election is a decisive episode with manifold consequences that are invariably impacting the future of Turkish Politics, the regional and European political equilibriums, and utmostly the resurgence of authoritarianism and its variants, as a political paradigm and the ordering variable of an international counter-system. The outcomes of this contest and its aftermath are quite symptomatic of the chances of orderly democratic transitions in Turkey, and countries dealing with controversial political legacies and geo-strategic dilemmas.

The Biden Administration’s Green Light to Iran’s Terrorists and Nuclear Program
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/May 13, 2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/118199/118199/

إدارة بايدن تعطي الضوء الأخضر لإرهاب إيران ولبرنامجها النووي
ماجد رفي زاده/معهد جيتستون / 13 آيار/ 2023
ترجمة موقع غوغل
“It is unacceptable that a U.S. government program, which makes the United States and its allies safer, provides funds to remediate the victims of terrorism, and generates income for the United States in a cost-effective manner has been allowed to languish. United States sanctions should be enforced to the fullest extent of the law. As Iranian oil sales continue to rise, and the IRGC continues to target U.S. citizens and servicemembers, including inside the U.S., it is imperative that we use all available government assets to limit the activities of the Iranian regime.” — Senator Joe Manchin and 11 other Senators, in a letter to President Joe Biden, April 27, 2023.
Under the Biden Administration, however, which suspended new oil and gas leases on US public lands and waters, Iran is now producing more oil and selling it at levels close to the pre-sanctions era to countries such as China…
Iran reportedly is exporting more than 1.5 million bpd — approximately 80% of the oil they used to export before the sanctions.
Iran is also shipping considerable amounts of oil to Venezuela without either country fearing repercussions from the Biden Administration.
The Biden Administration’s appeasement policies towards Iran is contributing to the regime’s increased revenue, the major beneficiaries of which are the IRGC, terrorist and militia groups — and of course the Iranian regime’s nuclear weapons program.
Under the Biden Administration, Iran’s oil exports have expanded to more than 1.5 million bpd — approximately 80% of the oil they used to export before the sanctions.
Under the Biden Administration, sanctions against the ruling mullahs of Iran have simply become superficial and cosmetic. The Administration appears to be turning a blind eye when Iran’s violates the sanctions, thereby allowing the regime vastly to increase its revenues. Most of these usually assist the regime’s powerful militia and terror group, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), designated as a terrorist organization by the US Department of State.
Recently, US Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV), a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, led a bipartisan group of 12 Senators in urging the Biden Administration to completely enable the Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS) Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) office to seize Iranian oil and gas shipments.
According to a press release on Manchin’s Senate website:
Despite several additional sanctions issued against Iranian petrochemical and petroleum sales over the past year, the volume of Iranian oil exports from Iran from 2021 to 2022 increased by 35%, approximately 430 million barrels of oil, evading sanctions. When HSI seizes and processes Iranian oil, 75% of seizure revenues are allocated to the U.S. Victims of State Sponsored Terrorism Fund.
“It is unacceptable that a U.S. government program, which makes the United States and its allies safer, provides funds to remediate the victims of terrorism, and generates income for the United States in a cost-effective manner has been allowed to languish,” the Senators continued. “United States sanctions should be enforced to the fullest extent of the law. As Iranian oil sales continue to rise, and the IRGC continues to target U.S. citizens and servicemembers, including inside the U.S., it is imperative that we use all available government assets to limit the activities of the Iranian regime.”
As the Senators’ letter added:
“Specifically, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) – Quds Force, an arm of the Iranian regime and a designated Foreign Terrorist Organization, continues to sponsor attacks on U.S. citizens and servicemembers, as well as our partners and allies. Enforcement of sanctions against Iranian petrochemical and petroleum sales will defund terrorists’ intent on harming the United States and our partners.”
The regime’s major revenues come from selling oil. The Iranian regime reportedly possesses the second-largest natural gas reserves and the fourth-largest proven crude oil reserves in the world, and the sale of oil accounts for nearly 60% of the government’s total revenues and more than 80% of its export revenues. Iranian leaders have spoken of Iran’s major dependence on oil exports. “Although we have some other incomes, the only revenue that can keep the country going is the oil money,” then President Hassan Rouhani said in 2019.
During the Trump administration, Iran’s oil exports were significantly reduced to 100,000 to 200,000 barrels a day. Iran is currently exporting more than 1 million barrels a day. “Oil sales have doubled,” Iran’s hardline President Ebrahim Raisi previously boasted. “We are not worried about oil sales.”
Under the Biden Administration, however, which suspended new oil and gas leases on public lands and waters, Iran is now producing more oil and selling it at levels close to the pre-sanctions era to countries such as China, which desperately needs more oil. China has been steadily ramping up its oil imports from Iran, to currently nearly 1 million bpd, while global oil prices have increased. Iran reportedly is exporting more than 1.5 million bpd — approximately 80% of the oil they used to export before the sanctions.
Iran is also shipping considerable amounts of oil to Venezuela without either country fearing repercussions from the Biden Administration. According to a June 13, 2022 report by Reuters:
“An Iran-flagged tanker carrying about 1 million barrels of crude from the Middle Eastern country arrived in Venezuelan waters over the weekend, according to a shipping document seen by Reuters on Monday.
“The cargo is the third of Iranian crude supplied by Iran’s Naftiran Intertrade Co (NICO) to Venezuela’s state-run oil firm PDVSA following a supply contract providing the South American nation with lighter crude. Venezuela has been processing the Iranian oil in its refineries.
“Other two Iran-flagged tankers, the very large crude carriers (VLCCs) Dino I and Silvia I, had arrived last month at Venezuelan ports carrying the first cargoes of Iranian crude for Venezuela.”
The Biden Administration’s appeasement policies towards Iran is contributing to the regime’s increased revenue, the major beneficiaries of which are the IRGC, terrorist and militia groups — and of course the Iranian regime’s nuclear weapons program.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has authored several books on Islam and US Foreign Policy. He can be reached at Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2023 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/19643/green-light-to-iran

How Sudan crisis casts long shadow over Libya
Hafed Al-GhwellArab News/May 14, 2023
As crisis grips a Sudan strangled by years of political instability, economic hardship and widespread unrest, neighboring countries such as Libya could become casualties of Sudan’s rapid deterioration. The North African country remains crippled by its political crisis, and a conflagration at its border with similar dynamics has grave implications for a Libya expecting some dividends from the latest UN-led push to secure its long-term stability and unification of its institutions. Given the interconnectedness of the region’s political, economic and security environments, key stakeholders, regional playmakers, aspiring statesmen or potential mediators must acknowledge and address the possible consequences of Sudan’s crisis beyond Libya’s political landscape.
Any interventions suing for de-escalation and dialogue must be accompanied by effective, practicable strategies for promoting stability in both countries and the wider North Africa region so as not to repeat the unforced errors of the post-2011 decade that are partly responsible for Libya’s woes. As neighboring countries, it is easy to pinpoint how the civil war in Sudan could quickly spill over into Libya and other countries from Egypt to Chad, Eritrea, Ethiopia and South Sudan.
For Chad, worsening conditions in Sudan already present significant risks, as many refugees, armed personnel and weapons will likely cross the border. The Sahelian country already hosts 400,000 Sudanese refugees, despite facing acute challenges ranging from extreme poverty to acute food insecurity that will only worsen with more displaced Sudanese. It previews how a Darfur-like conflict could become another potent stressor, particularly in porous border zones between fragile states. Additionally, their respective governments there could potentially use the crisis to justify more illiberalism, unperturbed by threats of sanctions or isolation since the international community will likely be distracted by events in Sudan.
Similarly, for Libya, cross-border migration will be one of the ways Sudan’s maladies could seep their way into the North African country. As Sudanese citizens flee the deteriorating situation in their country, they may seek refuge in Libya, thereby adding pressure on the already strained resources and security apparatus. Alternatively, Libya could become a launch point for migrant vessels headed for European shores, transporting desperate Sudanese, much like Tunisia is today for sub-Saharan Africa.
The influx of migrants could exacerbate tensions between various factions in Libya, further escalating the country’s political crisis. Additionally, the increased presence of refugees in Libya could create a humanitarian crisis, with inadequate resources to address the basic needs of the new arrivals, further straining Libya’s already fragile social fabric.
Secondly, instability in Sudan could also contribute to the proliferation of arms trafficking and non-state armed groups in the region. As the Sudanese state weakens, its control over arms depots and border regions may diminish, leading to a further increase in the illegal flow of arms into Libya. This, in turn, could empower non-state actors in Libya, such as militias and extremist groups, who may capitalize on the chaos to expand and terrorize areas they control, undermining efforts to establish a unified Libyan government. Even before the mid-April clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, a report by the UN highlighted the role of Sudan in the proliferation of arms in Libya, emphasizing the need for effective border control and regional cooperation to counter this threat — an unachievable prospect now.
Cross-border migration, arms trafficking, economic interdependence and shifting international relations could further destabilize Libya and undermine attempts to establish a unified government there.
Moreover, escalations in Sudan endanger plans to repatriate Sudanese mercenaries from Libya, further complicating Libya’s already tenuous political situation. The continuing uncertainty in Libya, exacerbated by Sudan’s deepening conflict, threatens to prolong Libya’s political transition and intensify security risks. Libya relies on Sudan for coordination and information exchange concerning the repatriation of Sudanese mercenaries and limited commercial trade. The presence of more than 10,000 Sudanese mercenaries in Libya, primarily aligned with the Libyan National Army, or LNA, raises concerns about potential spillovers and increased cross-border movements of combatants into Libya, which would worsen border insecurity in southern Libya. This development could prompt the LNA to focus on securing the border with Sudan to limit the flow of arms and fighters to its adversaries in Libya while also providing sanctuary to Sudanese soldiers, many of whom may have previously served in LNA ranks before the October 2020 ceasefire.
Thirdly, Sudan and Libya share some economic ties, particularly in trade and investment. The UN estimated that a peaceful transition and reconstruction in Libya could potentially enhance Sudan’s economic performance by more than $20 billion over four years beginning in 2021. However, continued turmoil and escalating violence in Sudan may dampen these economic prospects due to heightened concerns about security and political and economic management. A conflict in Sudan will further disrupt these economic links, affecting both countries’ economies and exacerbating existing hardships.
In addition, a destabilized Sudan could have broader implications for the regional stability of North Africa, as it may hinder regional cooperation efforts and undermine the international community’s attempts to restore peace and order in Libya. For instance, the African Union and the Arab League have been key players in the mediation efforts in Libya. Still, a crisis in Sudan could divert their focus and resources away from the situation. Egypt is also active inside Libya and will likely move to exert some influence over the developing situation in Sudan to safeguard its regional strategic interests now under threat, especially the dispute with Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, or GERD.
Egypt’s policy toward Sudan has always focused on aligning with Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan due to their shared approach to the GERD issue. However, an all-out conflict will undermine Egypt’s efforts to create a united front with Sudan, emboldening Addis Ababa to continue taking unilateral action despite Egypt’s repeated warnings. Prolonged conflict in Sudan also raises the risk of GERD talks collapsing and the likelihood of Egypt becoming more militarily aggressive in the region, possibly directed at Ethiopia, or reasserting itself on its borders, including in Libya.
Sudan’s crisis was never going to be a localized affair likely to wax and wane between brief skirmishes, ceasefires, protracted talks and vague settlements within its borders. Its spillovers will complicate diplomatic efforts to resolve Libya’s political impasse while putting pressure on neighboring countries. Thus, as regional and international actors become increasingly preoccupied with managing the catastrophic fallout from Sudan’s turmoil, they may be less able or willing to focus on Libya’s challenges, which still need sustained external support. Furthermore, divergent or combative responses to Sudan’s crisis by members of the global community will worsen divisions among key stakeholders, making it more difficult to build consensus around a common strategy for resolving Libya’s political deadlock. The fragmentation of the international community’s approach has been a critical obstacle in the Libyan peace process, and the crisis in Sudan could further exacerbate this.
In conclusion, the crisis in Sudan poses a significant risk to Libya’s efforts to overcome its political crisis. The spillover effects, such as cross-border migration, arms trafficking, economic interdependence and shifting international relations, could further destabilize Libya and undermine attempts to establish a unified government. As such, it is crucial to highlight the potential consequences of Sudan’s crisis on Libya’s political landscape in order to develop effective strategies for promoting stability in both countries as well as in the wider region. Failing to do so could result in a protracted conflict that will not only affect the two countries but also have far-reaching consequences for the stability and security of North Africa as a whole.
*Hafed Al-Ghwell is a senior fellow and executive director of the Ibn Khaldun Strategic Initiative at the Foreign Policy Institute of the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, DC, and the former adviser to the dean of the board of executive directors of the World Bank Group. Twitter: @HafedAlGhwell

G7 summit will showcase revival of the Western alliance

Andrew Hammond/Arab News/May 13, 2023
In the build-up to this week’s G7 summit, a wide range of issues, from climate change to the global economy have been discussed by Western ministers. However, the overriding issue to be discussed in Hiroshima from May 19-21 is the conflict in Ukraine and its ongoing ramifications.
It is getting close to 500 days since Russia’s invasion, and there is no obvious sign that the conflict will be over any time soon. This was highlighted last Tuesday by UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, who said: “I don’t think peace negotiations are possible at the moment. … Both sides are convinced they can win … I don’t see Russia being willing to pull out of the territories it’s occupying at the moment and I think Ukraine is hoping to retake them.”
The outcome of the conflict therefore remains highly uncertain. What is much clearer is the galvanizing effect it has had on the West, including the G7, in the past year and a half.
While Joe Biden is still widely criticized, it is his presidency that has helped rebuild and renew the transatlantic and wider Western alliance, and also highlight the areas in which international cooperation is now most urgently needed.
The G7’s revival as a political and economic force has surprised many, especially after the woes of Donald Trump’s presidency, and also the early successes of the G20 after it became a leadership forum following the 2007-08 financial crisis.
Indeed, for some time it was speculated that the G7 might even cease to exist. Part of the reason for that was the G7’s declining share of the world economy. In the 1970s, the members of the Western club were responsible for about 80 percent of global gross domestic product; the figure is now closer to 30 percent. Fast forward to 2023, however, and the unexpectedly unified Western response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed the G7’s self-confidence. To be sure, that might yet unravel, especially if there are any “bumps in the road” arising from Ukraine.
One such challenge could be the return of higher energy prices. Last Tuesday, for example, Goldman Sachs predicted gas prices will nearly treble this coming winter across Europe. It forecast prices could rise above €100 ($108) per megawatt hour in the second half of this year, compared with the current €36.
However, for now at least, there has been a reversal of the trend in the years between 2017 and 2021 when a dominant narrative was the uncertainty about the enduring purpose of the West (which some analysts termed “Westlessness”).
It should be remembered, too, that while the G7’s membership no longer includes all of the world’s most-dominant economies, as it did in the 1970s, it still retains significant economic strength and its members accounted for almost 15 percent of global GDP growth in the period from 2012 to 2022.
Of course, key questions about the future of the West predate Trump’s term as US president. Moreover, it is not only Trump who has highlighted the problems with key Western alliances, as illustrated by the UK’s Brexit vote in 2016 to leave the EU.
What is now needed is a multiyear dialogue during which forums such as NATO and the G7 step up to the plate.
Yet, there is no question that Trump’s presidency intensified the concerns about the future of the West, which is why there has been such a sense of urgency among transatlantic partners since then to develop a strategy for a new, unfolding era of great-power competition.
The revival of the West as the world’s leading political and economic force is far from complete, however, even now. Significantly more needs to be done to accomplish Biden’s goal of seeing the Western community reunify against what he perceives as common challenges from not only Russia but also China.
One necessary move is for all key parties, including the EU, Canada and Japan, to acknowledge that it might not be possible for the old liberal order to be brought back in exactly the same form as before. Desirable as that might be for many, it is now clear that a return to the full mosaic of the old rules-based international order might not be realistic, not least given that significant portions of populations in Western societies remain supportive of populist leaders such as Trump.
The window offered by Biden’s presidency is therefore the right moment to try to address these issues. It is also the time to explore what a new Western-led approach to global governance should look like.
A prerequisite for enabling these goals is concentrating on the big strategic questions facing the West. While Ukraine is currently top of that list, there are many more beyond it.
One example is the future of international trade, more than a quarter of a century after the creation of the World Trade Organization. This system is creaking and may yet collapse under the strain of recent sanctions imposed around the globe.
To help address this, and other key questions, there is a need for more of the West, and its allies, to agree that there are a range of economic, and not just military, challenges that are better met together. What is now needed is a multiyear dialogue during which forums such as NATO and the G7, imperfect though they are, step up to the plate, given that they are organizations of powerful, like-minded democracies with shared values.
Some skeptics will say nothing significant will change any time soon. Yet this might be too pessimistic.
At this latest moment of geopolitical and economic crisis following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, 2023 and 2024 might well prove to be decisive years during which to build the foundations of a renewed West, a project that would be galvanized if Biden wins a second term in next year’s election.
*Andrew Hammond is an associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.

Sudan conflict jeopardizes regional stability
Talmiz Ahmad/Arab News/May 13, 2023
Sudan has, since last month, been witnessing a serious military confrontation between two of its own generals: Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, who heads the nation’s armed forces, and Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, popularly called “Hemedti,” who leads a militia, the Rapid Support Forces, or RSF. This month-old conflict has already claimed at least 600 lives, displaced several thousand nationals and plunged the volatile Horn of Africa region into a deep political and economic crisis.
At the heart of the current crisis is the “existential” rivalry between the country’s two generals. Al-Burhan had earlier cooperated to subvert the nascent democratic government in October 2021. However, with no challenge from advocates of democracy, the rivalry between the two generals was exacerbated as each attempted to undercut the other. Al-Burhan started to recruit army personnel from Dagalo’s home base in Darfur, while the latter moved his troops from Darfur to Khartoum.
The framework agreement put together in December 2022 by the “Quad,” made up of the US, the UK, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, provided a roadmap toward popular participation in governance. This agreement collapsed as neither of the two generals was willing to dilute his political and military authority and financial advantages from control over domestic commercial assets.
On April 15, Dagalo’s RSF launched surprise attacks on several army bases across the country, including in Khartoum. Since then, several ceasefires have gone unheeded, while the trail of killing, displacement and destruction continues unabated. During the latest round of negotiations in Riyadh, the representatives of Sudan’s warring sides have signed up to a framework agreement to protect civilians and allow for humanitarian aid flows into the country. Diplomats have clarified that this is not a ceasefire, though there were hopes that this agreement would eventually lead to one.
This could be wishful thinking. There is continuing fierce fighting not only in Khartoum, but two other strategically important areas — the North Kordofan province in the south and Darfur in the west. North Kordofan lies on the route from Khartoum to Darfur, the home-base of Dagalo and most of his men. It also has an airstrip that gives a military advantage to Burhan’s forces as they control the country’s air force; hence Dagalo’s interest in taking control of this province.
In Darfur, the fighting appears to be between the RSF and local African militants, suggesting a replay of the earlier conflict two decades ago. In both arenas, civilians, including displaced persons, have been caught in the crossfire and have suffered heavy casualties.
Sudan’s recent history is not very reassuring. The country has a population of 45 million and is the third-largest country in Africa. It dominates the geography of northeastern Africa, bordering seven countries — Egypt, Libya, Chad, the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Ethiopia and Eritrea — as well as having an 850 km coastline on the Red Sea. The White and Blue Nile rivers merge in Sudan, providing the country with 60 percent of the Nile River Basin. Sudan lost 75 percent of its oil reserves with the secession of South Sudan in 2011, but it still has gold mines and 80 percent of the world’s gum Arabic, which is used in the food and soft drinks industry and to make cosmetics, glue and paints.
The personal ambitions of the two generals have become the central feature of Sudan’s politics.
Sudan’s recent history is replete with turbulence. Since 1956, it has experienced more than 15 military coups. Its two civil wars in the south, from 1955 to 1972 and 1983 to 2005, left more than a million dead, while the conflict in Darfur from 2003 to 2020 caused the deaths of another 200,000 people.
Given Sudan’s instability and its location in an extremely volatile region, the conflict is likely to have deleterious implications for its neighbors, particularly those in the Horn of Africa — Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti and Somalia — all of which, with the exception of Djibouti, are in the throes of severe domestic turmoil.
The countries of the Horn, such as Egypt and Chad, have porous borders for refugees fleeing from the region’s conflicts. The present confrontation in Sudan has unleashed a massive movement of refugees. By early May, 42,000 Sudanese had gone to Egypt, 30,000 had left for Chad, more than 27,000 were in South Sudan, nearly 10,000 were in Ethiopia and another 6,000 in the Central African Republic. The UN has warned that, if the conflict continues, more than 800,000 Sudanese could flee their country.
Before this conflict, Sudan itself had accommodated more than 1 million refugees from its neighbors, as well as 2 million internally displaced persons, mainly from Darfur.
With the zero-sum perspective shaping the approaches of both sides, the most likely prospect is a long-drawn-out conflict, with widespread death, displacement and economic privation. Already, Sudan and its seven neighbors have 40 million people experiencing food insecurity and the situation will only get worse, possibly beyond the capacity of international agencies to provide relief. South Sudan’s economy could also collapse; being landlocked, the only outlet for its oil exports is a pipeline through Sudan.
A prolonged conflict would also sound the death knell for democratic aspirations in Sudan, as well as the prospect of the country emerging as the breadbasket of the Middle East.
The Red Sea, already at the center of geopolitical competitions, will see greater big power activity as a result of a prolonged conflict. This could also lure extremist forces, which thrive on state breakdown to spread their messages of hate and wanton violence. All of this will lead to state disintegration and warlords claiming control over bits of valuable real estate for personal advantage. State breakdown will encourage greater drug and human trafficking from Sudan to Libya and on to the Mediterranean.
Unless both of Sudan’s feuding generals are exiled and a democratic process reinitiated, the country faces breakdown and ruin, with its neighbors being dragged into the quagmire as well.
• Talmiz Ahmad is a former Indian diplomat.

No alternative to Ukraine joining NATO,’ Estonian President Alar Karis tells Arab News
Faisal J. Abbas/Editor In Chief/Arab News/May 13/2023
TALLINN, Estonia: There is no alternative to Ukraine joining NATO, Alar Karis, the president of Estonia, told Arab News in an exclusive interview at the presidential palace in the capital Tallinn on the margins of the annual Lennart Meri Conference on Friday. In recent days, 95 Estonian legislators have signed a statement calling for Ukraine’s immediate ascension to NATO at the alliance’s July summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, claiming it was the only option for ensuring world order, peace and security. Karis said the Estonian government was seeking a “road map” for Ukraine’s acceptance into NATO to strengthen the bloc’s collective security against Russia, which invaded Ukraine in February last year. “The same with the EU. We need to have these steps, concrete steps, of what one country has to do to become a member,” he said.
However, there is currently little alignment between key NATO member states on the timing or necessity of Ukraine’s inclusion in the bloc, with Hungary, Germany, and even the US voicing concerns over the move.
In September, asked if Ukraine’s request for accelerated membership in NATO is something that Washington was ready to consider, Jake Sullivan, the US national security adviser, said the best way to support Kyiv is “through practical, on-the-ground support” and that “the process in Brussels should be taken up at a different time.” How do nations on NATO’s eastern fringes react to this attitude of the Biden administration?
“Different countries, of course, have different opinions,” Karis said. “The same also with EU membership. So that means we have to discuss and explain how and why it’s important. It doesn’t happen overnight, but that doesn’t mean that we shouldn’t talk about it. So we should discuss how to reach this goal. It doesn’t mean we have to keep silent also in Vilnius.
“It is important to be a member of an alliance, and the only ally, defense ally, which is now available is NATO. There is no other way actually. But that would require all member states to approve.”
For Karis and other Eastern European leaders, it is a matter of collective defense. “It’s not only us. It’s not only Estonia — Latvia, Lithuania and now Finland. It affects all of us. It’s not only Europe. There is also a transatlantic dimension,” he said. “So, as I said, you have to explain why it is important, and go back to history, looking for a future because there is no other alternative. What’s the alternative? If somebody comes up with an alternative, we can discuss. But there is no alternative at the moment.” Drawing a parallel with the Baltic state’s past, Karis said: “Estonia was in the very same situation at the beginning of the 1990s, or even the end of the 1980s, when we were about to leave the Soviet Union. We had started to talk about NATO already. “And even when we regained our independence, in the beginning of the 1990s, we still had Soviet forces here in our country. And we started to discuss NATO membership and we managed to get this membership, and now we are already 19 years a NATO member.
“So we have to start the same discussions with Ukraine, although there is a war going on at the moment.”
NATO Article 5
Not everyone views Ukraine’s inclusion in NATO as the best security guarantee. Some argue that aggressively expanding NATO into Russia’s traditional sphere of influence has actually provoked Moscow, forcing it to act out of self-defense.
In a survey of 7,000 people in 14 Arab countries, conducted for Arab News by the UK-based polling agency YouGov, most felt it was NATO and US President Joe Biden that were to blame for the situation in Ukraine.
Other analysts have argued that had Ukraine’s NATO membership been expedited prior to the war, the Russian invasion would likely never have happened, as Moscow would never have dared challenge Article 5 of the NATO charter, which obliges members to lend collective support to any member when attacked.
Estonia has been a member of both the EU and NATO since 2004, placing it under the protection of the wider alliance. With a 183-mile shared border with Russia, Estonia and other frontier states are considered especially vulnerable to acts of aggression or retaliation.
Drone attack mystery
On May 3, a drone was shot down over the Kremlin in Moscow. Many commentators believe the incident constituted a direct attack on President Vladimir Putin, raising fears of a potential Russian retaliation against Ukraine or a NATO member state.
Owing to its NATO membership and the guarantee of collective security, Karis said he was not concerned about the possibility of a retaliatory attack.
“First of all, we don’t know where the source of this attack is. So it’s not clear at all,” he said. “And we have been next to Russia for centuries, so we know what to expect and what not to expect. We are not afraid of anything.
“As I mentioned, we are a member of NATO’s alliance. And I do believe, and we do believe, that Article 5 still is going to work. So we are not afraid of any threat. Of course, we have to be prepared. That’s why we need to increase our defense budget, to have more NATO forces on our ground to train and practice and so forth. So this is how to deter Russia.”
Estonia has come under attack on a different front — in cyberspace. Last year, it was subjected to a record number of cyberattacks by pro-Russian hackers. Still, Karis said his country’s cybersecurity defenses were top notch.
“We were first attacked in 2007. And we started to prepare ourselves, to defend ourselves, to build up our cybersecurity defense system. And it’s really good,” he said. “We are all under constant attack, not only our country but many countries. Nothing really has happened so far but we have to continue preparing and developing our defense system as far as cybersecurity is concerned.
“And the same actually in Ukraine. We have assisted the Ukrainians and they have been defending themselves very well as far as cybersecurity is concerned or cyberattacks are concerned.” Given Estonia’s position as a leader in the digital transformation of commerce and services, among countries in the region it perhaps offers the most opportunities for hackers to try their luck.
“We have to develop our defense system, and we are doing it constantly,” Karis said. “And not only us but together with other countries. And we even have NATO’s security defense center over here. So there are many ways to be prepared.”While Karis highlighted Estonia’s cybersecurity prowess, he refused to be drawn into discussing whether the nation’s defense analysts have determined who was behind the Kremlin drone attack.
“There are many conspiracy theories, of course, among Russians themselves as well,” he said. “We do not know and this is not our aim to figure out who has done it, at least from our point of view. But of course, we follow the news of what the result of this kind of investigation is.”
International tribunal
In a recent interview with Newsweek, Kaja Kallas, Estonia’s prime minister, launched a scathing attack on Russia’s conduct in Ukraine, accusing Russian forces of exhibiting the same “brutality” as the Soviet troops in eastern and central Europe during the Second World War.
Kallas called for a special international tribunal to try Russian officials in absentia for alleged war crimes and abuses, which she claimed had gained the backing of 30 nations, including Ukraine, Lithuania and the new entrant to NATO, Finland.
“Russia has to be accountable for these crimes and atrocities that they have made,” Karis said. “I have been to Kyiv and the Kyiv suburbs, so I have seen what this aggression has done in Ukraine. So that means they have to be accountable. “There should be a discussion about what kind of court, what kind of tribunal is going to have any effect on this situation. It’s an ongoing discussion.
“Estonia and some other countries have proposed a special tribunal … the most prominent are neighboring countries, which realize it’s important. And we have a history, again, after the Second World War the Soviet Union didn’t have any tribunal over the atrocities against our nation and other nations of theirs.”
Asked whether the establishment of such a tribunal for Russia but not for Israel concerning its treatment of the Palestinian people constituted a double standard, Karis said the two issues were entirely separate and had to be addressed on their individual merits.
“We’re just discussing now about the war in Ukraine and not different conflicts around the world — other conflicts as well, not only in Israel and Palestine,” he said. “So, it’s a case we want to solve first and then we can continue with other conflicts in other regions in the world.”
Urmas Reinsalu, Estonia’s former foreign minister, broke with the EU’s stance on the issue of Israel and Palestine late last year when he said the Baltic state would no longer vote for UN resolutions condemning Israeli actions in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip. “It’s the position of a former foreign minister. And now we have a new government,” Karis said. “You can ask our new minister of foreign affairs what’s his opinion or what’s that government’s opinion.”
Sudan refugees
Ukraine is not the only conflict on the international agenda. The violence in Sudan, which began on April 15 between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, has raised the specter of a new influx of displaced people into Europe. European nations, alongside Saudi Arabia, acted quickly to evacuate foreign citizens from Sudan and have mobilized aid deliveries to help those displaced by the fighting and the collapse of infrastructure.
Although grappling with the arrival of some 50,000 Ukrainians on Estonian soil, Karis did not shy away from the question whether, in principle, Estonia would be welcoming to Sudanese refugees.
“If we discuss the matter and make sure that we are able to take, and how many we are able to take,” he replied.
But would he flat out refuse to take Sudanese refugees?
“No,” he said, adding: “We have limited resources and we already have so many refugees from Ukraine. So, it’s impossible to take another, let’s say, 10,000 or 20,000 migrants from Sudan. But of course, there are other countries who have taken and will take, probably, like Germany and some others.
“Of course there is a burden for these countries who are next door. But I think we start to understand more about what’s happening, what kind of migrants are coming from different countries.”
For the time being, there is a great deal of goodwill and openness among Estonians to assisting refugees from Ukraine. But if the war drags on for several years and burdens on the economy grow, how sustainable is this longer term?
“So far, we have been able to give shelter, give education to Ukrainian children, and give jobs,” Karis said. “But then again, we are not the only ones here, because Finland is next door and they propose that if there are too many and we cannot manage with refugees, they will take them. That’s why you need allies and friends.”
He added: “Of course, we are a small country, with limited resources, also military-wise, but we still can provide ammunition and some other things as well. And our people giving humanitarian aid, these numbers are also very high. So we are trying.
“But of course, it’s not only Estonia, but also the US has limited resources if this war lasts dozens of years. So, we have to make sure that this war is going to be over as soon as possible.”
ALAR KARIS: BIOLOGIST TURNED PRESIDENT
For an apolitical academic whose background is in molecular genetics, Alar Karis created a sensation when he replaced the incumbent president of Estonia in the second round of voting on Aug. 31, 2021, with almost unanimous support in parliament.
Since then, Karis has sought to strengthen Estonia’s relations with its EU, NATO and OECD partners as well as the wider world, including the Gulf countries, while underscoring the need for a rules-based world order and respect for the principles of international law. To this end, he has repeatedly drawn attention to Estonia’s achievements in education, innovation and digital transformation.
For instance, visiting the Estonia pavilion at the Dubai Expo in 2020 in March last year, Karis mentioned that Estonia had the highest number of unicorns per capita in Europe, had a lot to offer in education technology, and had made maximum use of e-services in the public sector and businesses to build a digital society.
At home, Karis has expressed a desire to talk to the different people and communities, including ethnic Russians, who make up Estonia’s population of 1.2 million. The war in Estonia’s neighborhood has, however, obliged Karis to be a vocal defender of the government’s staunchly pro-Ukraine foreign policy.
He has described the Russian invasion as not only an attack on a neighboring country but a war on transatlantic values and democracy itself.
Before becoming president, Karis served as the rector of both the Estonian University of Life Sciences and the University of Tartu, led the work of Universities Estonia a number of times, founded the University of Tartu-spawned Visgenyx, and worked at universities in Germany, Britain and the Netherlands. Born on March 28, 1958, in Tartu, Karis has been married to Sirje Karis since 1977, with whom he has three children and five grandchildren.