English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For June 05/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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15 آذار/2023

Bible Quotations For today
I am the true vine, and my Father is the vine-grower. He removes every branch in me that bears no fruit. Every branch that bears fruit he prunes to make it bear more fruit.
John 15/01-08/: “I am the true vine, and my Father is the vine-grower. He removes every branch in me that bears no fruit. Every branch that bears fruit he prunes to make it bear more fruit. You have already been cleansed by the word that I have spoken to you. Abide in me as I abide in you. Just as the branch cannot bear fruit by itself unless it abides in the vine, neither can you unless you abide in me. I am the vine, you are the branches. Those who abide in me and I in them bear much fruit, because apart from me you can do nothing. Whoever does not abide in me is thrown away like a branch and withers; such branches are gathered, thrown into the fire, and burned. If you abide in me, and my words abide in you, ask for whatever you wish, and it will be done for you. My Father is glorified by this, that you bear much fruit and become my disciples.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 04-05/2023
Link to the video of the Divine Liturgy was presided today, June 04/2023, by Patriarch Al-Rahi in Bkerke Church with the text of his sermon, and the text of Bishop Odeh’s sermon that he delivered at St. George’s Cathedral – Beirut
Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi,: If political officials had invoked God according to their ranks, they would have elected a president
Maronite Patriarch urges politicians to invoke God and serve the common good
Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi,says 'winner and loser' approach would lead to national rift
Bkirki: Al-Rahi commissioned Abdel-Sater to meet with Nasrallah within framework of efforts to facilitate completion of presidential elections
Bishop Aoudi: Obstruction no longer works, and arrogance and hegemony do not lead to a safe place
Christian opposition backs Jihad Azour’s nomination for Lebanon presidency
Opposition officially endorses Azour for presidency
Moawad steps aside; opposition unites behind Azour for Lebanon's Presidency
Opposition Forces, FPM signal potential alliance, nominating Azour for Presidency
Moawad steps aside; opposition unites behind Azour for Lebanon's Presidency
Opposition Forces, FPM signal potential alliance, nominating Azour for Presidency
Yassine to LBCI: My choice will be what is best for everyone to get out of the "hell" we are in
President of coexistence: Jaafari Mufti stresses importance of national interests
Bassil: Safieddine spoke of need for consensus and we support it
"Azour does not have a reform vision & does not enjoy this advantage," deems MP Mohammad Khawaja
Bassil from Byblos: We crossed paths with other parliamentary blocs over the name of Azour, among other candidates
Fadlallah from Oslo: Mosques in the West have a great role in building civilized, human life
Jaafari Mufti Sheikh Ahmad Qabalan: Whoever loses the path to Parliament will find no benefit in the entire world
Paul Kanaan: Bkirki takes no action with anyone against another, neither locally nor internationally
Lebanon to send team to Paris after ambassador accused of rape, violence
Lebanon Launches Probe after Ambassador in France Accused of Rape, Violence
Gadhafi's son goes on hunger strike in Lebanon to protest detention without trial
Australia's Assistant Minister for Foreign Affairs to visit Lebanon, explore counterterrorism cooperation and opportunities
Syrian and Lebanese Culture Ministers discuss ways of bilateral cooperation
Jumblatt meets Arabs of '48 delegation in Cyprus: For enhancing communication on the basis of Arab-Islamic national heritage

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 04-05/2023
Iran's top leader defends hard-line approach toward West, blames protests on 'thugs and villains'
Financial Times: Rob Malley Holds Direct Talks with Iran’s UN Ambassador
Israel prepares funerals for soldiers killed near Egyptian border
Israel accuses U.N. nuclear watchdog of 'capitulating' to Iran
The private armies Putin has unleashed on Ukraine may lead to his downfall
Putin’s exploits as KGB spy likely to have been exaggerated, investigation finds
‘Everything Changed’: The War Arrives on Russians’ Doorstep
Ukraine keeps up pressure following Russian declaration of victory in Bakhmut
5 Drones Shot Downed in Crimea's Dzhankoi
Huge bunker to be built under elite hospital as war comes to Moscow
Kremlin: Western long-range missiles to Ukraine will fuel 'spiralling tension'
Navalny supporters hold demonstrations to mark Russian opposition leader's
Chinese warship passed in 'unsafe manner' near US destroyer in Taiwan Strait -US
US, Saudi Arabia urge Sudan’s warring parties to agree to a new cease-fire, fighting continues
Fighting escalates in Khartoum after ceasefire expires
Iraq and Syria discuss tackling cross-border drug trade
Gunmen kill dozens and kidnap children in northern Nigeria
Belgian Prime Minister Briefly Knocked Out in Bike Fall
China defends buzzing American warship in Taiwan Strait, accuses US of provocation

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 04-05/2023
Biden Is Not Serious about Ukraine Defeating Russia/Con Coughlin/Gatestone Institute./June 4, 2023
Is the Middle East on the threshold of restructuring?/Yasar Yakis/Arab News/June 04, 2023
The chances of Biden’s 2024 Democratic challengers/Dalia Al-Aqidi/Arab News/June 04, 2023
Cooperation between regional and global organizations important for addressing climate crisis/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/June 04, 2023
Redesign the business model to end plastic pollution/Ranvir S. Nayar/Arab News/June 04, 2023

Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 04-05/2023
Link to the video of the Divine Liturgy was presided today, June 04/2023, by Patriarch Al-Rahi in Bkerke Church with the text of his sermon, and the text of Bishop Odeh’s sermon that he delivered at St. George’s Cathedral – Beirut
*Patriarch, Al-Rahi,: If political officials had invoked God according to their ranks, they would have elected a president
*Patriarch, Al-Rahi,says 'winner and loser' approach would lead to national rift
*Bishop Aoudi: Obstruction no longer works, and arrogance and hegemony do not lead to a safe place
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/118784/118784/
/June 04/2023

Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi,: If political officials had invoked God according to their ranks, they would have elected a president
NNA/June 04/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/118784/118784/
Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi, presided this morning over Sunday Mass in the Church of Our Lady in Bkirki. In his homily, the Patriarch criticized the Lebanese officials for failing to elect a president for the republic until now. He considered that if Lebanese officials had invoked the presence of God, each in their rank and position, they would have succeeded in electing a president. "Our politicians are called to this pious practice that puts them in the presence of God, so they practice their political work as an art to serve the common good, from which the good of every citizen comes...Invoking God, before their deeds, words, and stances, removes them from their selfishness and personal interests, makes them prevail over differences, and adorns them with morality and sense of duty," the Patriarch said. He added: "If they invoked God today, eight months after the presidential vacancy, and in the face of the complete collapse politically, economically, financially, and socially, they would rush towards understanding and agreeing to elect a president that Lebanon direly needs under the current circumstances."Al-Rahi deemed that every step in this direction is very much blessed, away from the notion of victory and defeat between individuals or between the components of the same country. "This is a matter that leads to a serious rift in the life of the country, while what is required is the unity of Lebanon and its people and their goodness," he said. Finally, the Patriarch called for praying to God Almighty "to place all those responsible before His presence, so that they act according to His will."

Maronite Patriarch urges politicians to invoke God and serve the common good
LBCI/June 04/2023
Maronite Patriarch Cardinal Bechara Boutros al-Rahi, considered during his Sunday sermon that the politicians are invited for spiritual practice that brings them into the presence of God to perform their political work as a shroud in the service of the common good, which benefits all citizens. He urged them to invoke God before their actions, words, and positions, which removes them from their selfishness and personal interests and overcomes their differences, adorning them with morality. The Maronite patriarch stated that invoking God puts them before the feeling of their responsibility for the destruction of the state, the disruption of constitutional institutions, the failure of the work of public administrations, and the impoverishment of the people. He added that if the politicians invoked God according to their ranks, they would have elected a president within the two months preceding the end of President Michel Aoun's term, following Article 73 of the Constitution. "If they invoked God today, after eight months of a vacant presidency, and in the face of complete political, economic, financial, and social collapse, they would hasten to agree and reach a consensus to elect a president that Lebanon needs in the current circumstances." In his sermon, al-Rahi blessed the steps taken in this direction, far from "the winner and the loser" between individuals or the country's components. "This leads to a dangerous division in the nation's life, while what is required is unity for Lebanon, its people, and their well-being." He said, "Let us reach God so that he puts all officials before him, and they act according to his will."

Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi,says 'winner and loser' approach would lead to national rift
Naharnet/June 04/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/118784/118784/
Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi on Sunday said he welcomes “every step towards understanding and consensus over a president’s election,” as the opposition prepares to declare the name of its presidential candidate.
Al-Rahi, however, warned against the so-called “winner and loser” approach between “individuals or the country’s components.”“This would lead to a dangerous rift in the country, while the unity and welfare of Lebanon and its people are needed,” the patriarch added

Bkirki: Al-Rahi commissioned Abdel-Sater to meet with Nasrallah within framework of efforts to facilitate completion of presidential elections
NNA/04 June/2023
In an issued statement this evening, Bkirki’s media office disclosed that on Saturday, His Beatitude Cardinal Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi, commissioned Archbishop Boulos Abdel-Sater of Beirut to meet with the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, within the framework of the consultations and contacts that the Patriarch has initiated with all Lebanese parties, in order to facilitate the completion of the presidential election and end the deadly vacuum in the presidency.

Bishop Aoudi: Obstruction no longer works, and arrogance and hegemony do not lead to a safe place
NNA/LCCC/04 June/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/118784/118784/
In his sermon today, Bishop Aoudi said: "On this blessed feast, we ask the Holy Spirit to enlighten the minds of the officials of our country so that they know how to distinguish between good and evil, and work for goodness, truth, justice and righteousness. Our prayer is that they understand that the ship does not go without a captain, and becomes subject to sinking at any moment, so how many Rather, the ship of Lebanon lacks a captain and a specialized crew to assist him, who works to save the country, who pushes for the necessary reforms, and who implements them, if there is no president and government? Emptiness, loss and ambiguity, while its people are suffering and its resources are depleted. We need wisdom and foresight, goodwill and patience. Obstruction no longer works, and arrogance and domination do not lead to a safe place, but rather generate a harmful negative reaction. Hence the necessity of prudence and prioritizing the public interest over Every interest, had it not been for the grace of the Holy Spirit, the comforter, the situation of people would have been worse than it is. We are believers, nay, we are confident that the hand of the Lord is working powerfully in this country, but the Lord is waiting for us to work diligently and strive towards salvation, just as He is waiting for our return to Him, after the veil has fallen from us. Our eyes and our realization that salvation is in Him alone.
And he concluded: “May God, the Holy Trinity, preserve you with His divine grace at all times, and bestow upon you His blessings, and enlighten your minds, hearts, and all your being, so that you may walk according to His commandments, working for the salvation of your souls with repentance, humility, and love, with the guidance of the Holy Spirit.”

Christian opposition backs Jihad Azour’s nomination for Lebanon presidency
Najia Houssari/Arab News/June 04, 2023
BEIRUT: Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai has praised Christian politicians as they united around a presidential candidate, in a move that could end a nearly eight-month power vacuum in Lebanon. His blessings during Sunday sermon came after opposition parliamentary blocs agreed to support the nomination of Jihad Azour, a former minister who is the director of the International Monetary Fund’s Middle East and Central Asia department. He is expected to contest the presidency against Suleiman Frangieh, the preferred candidate of Hezbollah, the Amal Movement and their allies. Al-Rahi also sent Bishop Paul Abdel Sater on Sunday to meet Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah as part of “dialogue with non-Christian forces, especially Hezbollah, to elect a president for all of Lebanon.”The bishop is expected to continue visiting all political forces this week. Sunday’s move by the opposition parliamentary blocs follows an announcement by the Free Patriotic Movement on Saturday. There is now agreement between Christian MPs, Change MPs and some independent MPs to nominate Azour after Michel Moawad, an MP, withdrew from the election on Sunday. Some had previously supported Moawad, whom Hezbollah saw as a provocative candidate. The Progressive Socialist Party bloc is due to announce its position on Azour on Tuesday. The decision to back Azour by the FPM, the largest Christian party in parliament, came after its leader Gebran Bassil fell out with Hezbollah after the group’s nomination of Frangieh. “In the event of a call to a presidential election session, the FPM will vote for the agreed-upon name instead of submitting a blank ballot,” he said. Waddah Sadek, an MP, told Arab News that estimates of the opposition indicate that Azour will receive more than 65 votes, which means he would win if a vote went to a second round. “The ball will then be in the court of Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, who has been delaying the call for an election session since January unless he and his allies secure the election of Frangieh,” he said. MPs have failed in 11 sessions to elect a new president due to the lack of quorum in the second round of each, as a result of the withdrawal of Hezbollah and Amal Movement MPs. Hashem Safi, the head of the party's political council, dismissed the significance of Azour’s nomination.
“There is no single party capable of electing a president in Lebanon, regardless of the candidate's name, nature, affiliation, color, or political choices,” he said. “Therefore, unless the parties agree with each other, we cannot accomplish the presidential election." During his sermon, Al-Rahi said: “If the political officials invoked God, they would have elected a president within the two months before the end of Michel Aoun’s term. “They would have rushed to agree on electing a president that Lebanon needs in the face of complete political, economic, financial, and social collapse.” Mohammed Khawaja, an Amal MP, said that the nomination of Azour was a ruse to block Frangieh, adding that he lacked the reformist vision that Lebanon needed. Former MP Fares Souaid, head of the National Council to End the Iranian Occupation of Lebanon, described the Christian parties’ reconciliation as “brave.”He said that confronting Hezbollah could not be done through ballot boxes or electoral alliances. “The confrontation lies in re-forming internal unity around the Lebanese choice based on the Taif Agreement and coexistence,” he said. “Confronting one sect against another is dangerous. A ballot box against a gun is dangerous. Spreading illusions in the face of killing is dangerous.”

Opposition officially endorses Azour for presidency
Agence France Presse/4 June 2023
Opposition lawmakers on Sunday nominated Jihad Azour, an International Monetary Fund regional director and former minister, for president. MP Mark Daou of the Change bloc read a statement on behalf of 32 opposition legislators, endorsing Azour after weeks of negotiations "as a candidate that is not considered provocative by any political factor in the country." The lawmakers belong to the Lebanese Forces, the Kataeb Party and the Tajaddod bloc in addition to several independent and Change MPs. The same MPs had previously backed another presidential candidate, parliamentarian Michel Mouawad, who on Sunday announced he was withdrawing his nomination and backing Azour. Both declarations were made at Mouawad's residence. Azour, the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia director, served as Lebanon's finance minister from 2005 to 2008. He has yet to officially announce a presidential bid. The international community has urged Lebanese officials to fill the vacant presidency, which would allow the country, mired in a crippling economic crisis since 2019, to carry out reforms needed to unlock much needed IMF loans. Iran-backed Hezbollah, which has a huge hold over political life in Lebanon, has endorsed the pro-Damascus Suleiman Franjieh for the presidency. But opposition from the country's two main Christian parties, the LF and the Free Patriotic Movement, means that Franjieh lacks a clear path to majority backing in the divided parliament. Hezbollah lawmaker Hassan Fadlallah called Azour's nomination "a waste of time," insisting that "the candidate of confrontation" will not be elected president. Hezbollah's key Christian ally, the Free Patriotic Movement, said it would support Azour. With no clear majority for any candidate, it is unclear when Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri might call a new vote. Former president Michel Aoun's term expired last October. Since then, there have been 11 parliamentary votes to try to name a new president, but bitter divisions have prevented anyone from garnering enough support to succeed Aoun. Crisis-hit Lebanon has been run by a caretaker government with limited powers since legislative elections in May 2022 resulted in no side with a clear majority.

Moawad steps aside; opposition unites behind Azour for Lebanon's Presidency
LBCI/4 June 2023 
In a calculated move that underscores the shifting dynamics of Lebanese politics, Michel Moawad withdraws his candidacy for presidency and throws his weight behind the former Minister, Jihad Azour. This development unites a broad swath of the opposition, bringing new momentum to a campaign aimed at breaking the longstanding political impasse in Lebanon. Moawad explained his decision, saying, "I submitted my candidacy from the start, fully aware of the challenges I might face. The issue has always been the project, not the person. I have decided to join the consensus nominating Azour and to continue in this crucial struggle."In the wake of Moawad's withdrawal, Mark Daou, reading a statement on behalf of 32 opposition deputies, officially announced their unified support for Azour. "As opposition forces, we recognize our national responsibility," said Daou. "We reject the logic of defiance and chose, for the sake of the nation, to break the cycle of voids that is destroying our country." Daou stressed that Azour was not merely the opposition's candidate, but a consensus figure representing a broad spectrum of political views. The opposition has now called on Speaker Berri to convene a session to elect the President of the Republic, and urged the Lebanese people to stand with their representatives, pressuring the deputies to fulfill their duties and participate in this crucial election session. The rallying of opposition forces behind Azour marks a pivotal moment in Lebanon's political landscape, where a united front strives to bring change at the highest levels of governance.

Opposition Forces, FPM signal potential alliance, nominating Azour for Presidency
LBCI/4 June 2023 
In a significant development that could reshape Lebanon's political landscape, signals of a potential alliance between opposition forces and the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) have emerged. The announcement came from the Leader of the Free Patriotic Movement, Gebran Bassil, on Saturday in Jbeil, in the presence of former President Michel Aoun. Bassil declared that they had found common ground with other parliamentary blocs on the nomination of Jihad Azour for the presidency, among other suitable candidates. This convergence marks an important milestone in their efforts to demonstrate unity and agreement. This was completed with the positions launched from Deputy Michel Mouawad's office, chosen by opposition deputies from the Lebanese Forces and the Kataeb, and renewed with some Change MPs and independents intentionally because Mouawad was the opposition's primary candidate. He participated in this competition with competence, and he willingly agreed to withdraw in favor of a candidate with a higher percentage of votes. Of the twelve reformist deputies, the data show that two firmly refuse to elect Azour: Cynthia Zarazir and Halima Qaaqour, and three support his election: Mark Daw, Wadah Al-Sadek, and Michel Douaihy. As for the remaining seven, they have not taken a final position, but most of them lean towards supporting Azour. The Democratic Gathering, which will announce its final stance on Tuesday, is initially inclined towards supporting Jihad Azour. However, its sources mentioned that the focus lies not only on backing Azour but also ensuring a smooth transition to the presidency by preparing the necessary groundwork. This requires additional efforts to achieve a quasi-consensus without encountering any constitutional hurdles or exacerbating bilateral concerns. Furthermore, deputies of the Moderation Bloc are all cautious due to the lack of clarity surrounding the situation amidst the disagreement among the six deputies regarding the name. Before deciding to call for the twelfth session to elect the president, Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri awaited the accompanying information for announcing Azour's nomination and how it will be done. Does it represent a mere nomination or conceal seriousness, as stated by sources from the Development and Liberation Bloc, who added that Berri is prepared to schedule the session as soon as possible if it proves to be fruitful. However, according to sources familiar with their position, Hezbollah continues to stand by its candidate, Sleiman Frangieh, the Leader of the Marada Movement, until the end. The party has not formulated an alternative plan. These sources indicate that Hezbollah will participate if a session is convened, but they believe it will not produce a president. They anticipate repeating the scenario witnessed in the Maouad-blank ballot sessions until a viable settlement, primarily proposed by the French, is achieved.

Yassine to LBCI: My choice will be what is best for everyone to get out of the "hell" we are in
LBCI/4 June 2023 
MP Yassine Yassine stressed his keenness that his choice, regarding the presidential election, be the best for everyone to get out of the "hell" we are in, stressing that this is the choice he will take. In the event that an agreement is reached later on the name of Army Commander Joseph Aoun, Yassin explained on LBCI's "Nharkom Said" TV show that Aoun's program is not clear and unknown until this moment. He called for the next president to be a patriot.

President of coexistence: Jaafari Mufti stresses importance of national interests
LBCI/4 June 2023 
In a speech during a memorial ceremony in Meiss El Jabal on Sunday, Jaafari Mufti Sheikh Ahmad Qabalan stressed the urgent need to save the Lebanese entity and coexistence. "The focus of our national demand today revolves around saving the country and the people from the worst disaster affecting them and our national formula," Qabalan said. He added that the Lebanese want a president of coexistence, "not a president of challenge," since the challenge in this country "takes us towards ruin, and our interests are the same, Muslims and Christians, and we do not accept breaking anyone, for our national interests are above all considerations." The Jaafari Mufti urged to secure a clear settlement, to avoid leaving Lebanon "to an international lottery game." He added, "Some must understand that the international community is a stock exchange of ruin, and the history of the civil war has revealed to us the world that dealt with Lebanon as a barricade [...] A game of international graveyards, and endless attrition projects." He said the current political battle is a battle of sovereignty and belonging based on coexistence and national interests. "It is the same as what the resistance has presented and is presenting as a strategic guarantor for Lebanon, and it is the same as what the national duo is doing […] The solution lies within the parliament council as a constitutional institution that guarantees Lebanese sovereignty and national partnership, and whoever loses the way to parliament will find no benefit in the entire world," he stated.

Bassil: Safieddine spoke of need for consensus and we support it
Naharnet/4 June 2023 
Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil has announced that the FPM has “intersected” with the opposition over Jihad Azour’s nomination, while noting that “this intersection is important but not enough for the election of a president.”“This intersection is important in order to say that we have agreed, and when we made the agreement they (Suleiman Franjieh and his backers) went crazy,” Bassil added, during an overnight speech in Jbeil. He, however, said that “an agreement with the other camp is needed” as well as an agreement among Azour’s supporters over “the election mechanism and the president’s program.”“A reformist, salvation program is what would unite everyone over directions that are more important then the president. This would lead to the election of a president who would be immunized by the agreement over a program and his success would be guaranteed,” Bassil added. “We want a president not imposed by anyone on us, but we don’t want to impose a president on anyone, and this is the equation of national partnership,” he said. He added: “Hezbollah executive council head Sayyed Hashem Safieddine has spoken of the need for consensus and we support it.”

"Azour does not have a reform vision & does not enjoy this advantage," deems MP Mohammad Khawaja
NNA/Sun, June 4, 2023
MP Mohammad Khawaja commented this morning in an interview with “Voice of All Lebanon” Radio Channel, on the announcement of Free Patriotic Movement Chief Gebran Bassil, endorsing the nomination of former minister Jihad Azour for the presidency of the republic, where Khawaja considered that the name of Jihad Azour was proposed to undermine the candidacy of the head of the Marada Movement, Suleiman Franjieh. He added, "Azour does not have a reform vision and does not enjoy this characteristic."Regarding the call for a session to elect a president, Khawaja revealed that the majority of deputies hoped that House Speaker Nabih Berri would not call for an election session after 11 sessions have already been held to no avail. He also stressed that the Liberation and Development bloc insists on nominating Franjieh for presidency. Regarding the sanctions to be imposed on those responsible for obstructing the presidential elections, Khawaja confirmed that Speaker Berri is not subject to blackmail and threats, meaning that the issue of sanctions does not concern the "Amal Movement". He added, "Our relations are clear before a friend as well as an opponent." Regarding the role of the resistance, Khawaja considered that had it not been for the residence, Israel would not have given gas to Lebanon, deeming that "the resistance is a need and He added that he advocates equipping the Lebanese army with weapons, and supports diversified armament and not only American.

Bassil from Byblos: We crossed paths with other parliamentary blocs over the name of Azour, among other candidates
NNA/Sun, June 4, 2023
Free Patriotic Movement Chief, MP Gebran Bassil, announced that the Movement has intersected with other parliamentary blocs on the name of Jihad Azour as a presidential candidate, among other names that FPM considered appropriate and not provocative, and hence gave its approval and no objection to their reaching presidency. He considered that "the intersection over more than one name gives more flexibility and constitutes a positive and important development, so no one accuses FPM of obstruction." Bassil also deemed that having consensus over the name of a presidential candidate and the agreement of the main blocs to support him and give him the necessary representation, denotes compensation for those who lack access to Christian representation. "In the event of a call for a session to elect a president, the Free Patriotic Movement will vote for the name that was agreed upon instead of voting by a white ballot paper," he affirmed. Bassil called for "taking advantage of the historical moment and avoid wasting the opportunity of regional rapprochement around us," and to work on "unifying the national project so that we all succeed as Lebanese." "The only remaining victory is winning the state-building battle; after we won the battle against terrorism, and we achieved balance with Israel," he underscored. Bassil's words came during his speech at the Movement's dinner banquet organized in the area of Jbeil on Saturday evening, in the presence of former President Michel Aoun.

Fadlallah from Oslo: Mosques in the West have a great role in building civilized, human life
NNA/Sun, June 4, 2023
Religious Scholar Ali Fadlallah participated in the mass celebration that was held in the Norwegian capital, Oslo, on the occasion of the 10th anniversary of the inauguration of the Tawheed Mosque there. The celebration was attended by a large number of scholars and cultural and intellectual figures who came from various European countries, alongside a large number of Arab and Islamic community members residing aboard. In his delivered speech, Fadlallah referred to the importance of mosques in Western countries and the great role they play, considering that "Al-Tawheed Mosque in Oslo has played an effective role over the past ten years in building bridges of communication, openness, and dialogue, and is working to spread awareness and kindness among people."He congratulated the custodians of the Tawheed Mosque for their successes at all levels, underlining "the importance of abiding by the laws of the Western countries in which Muslims live, maintaining their security and stability, and contributing to building their societies in a way that enriches life and builds people while preserving their privacy."At the end of the ceremony, Fadlallah honored Mr. Shamshad Al-Radwi and Sheikh Mahmoud Jalloul and presented them with memorial shields in appreciation of their cultural and social efforts in Norway.

Jaafari Mufti Sheikh Ahmad Qabalan: Whoever loses the path to Parliament will find no benefit in the entire world

NNA/Sun, June 4, 2023
Jaafari Mufti Sheikh Ahmad Qabalan delivered a speech during a memorial ceremony in the town of Mays al-Jabal today, in which he stressed on the dire need to save the Lebanese entity and coexistence. "The focus of our national demand today revolves around saving the country and the people from the worst disaster affecting them and our national formula," Qabalan asserted. He added: "Therefore, we want a president of coexistence, not a president of challenge, because challenge in this country takes us towards ruin, and our interests are the same, Muslims and Christians, and we do not accept breaking anyone, for our national interests are above all considerations.""Nationally, it is necessary to secure a clear settlement, not leaving Lebanon to an international lottery game," Sheikh Qabalan went on. He added, "Some must understand that the international community is a stock exchange of ruin, and the history of the civil war has revealed to us the world that dealt with Lebanon as a barricade, lines of contact, sectarian funds, a game of international graveyards, and endless attrition projects.""The political battle today is a battle of sovereignty, homeland, and belonging on the basis of coexistence and national interests, and it is the same as what the resistance has presented and is presenting as a strategic guarantor for Lebanon, and it is the same as what the national duo is doing today...The solution lies within the parliament council as a constitutional institution that guarantees Lebanese sovereignty and national partnership, and whoever loses the way to parliament will find no benefit in the entie world."

Paul Kanaan: Bkirki takes no action with anyone against another, neither locally nor internationally
NNA/Sun, June 4, 2023
Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Boutros al-Rahi, received this morning following Sunday Mass in Bkirki the head of the "Maronites for Lebanon" assembly, lawyer Paul Youssef Kanaan, where talks centered on the present situation. On emerging, Kanaan confirmed that Patriarch al-Rahi's visit to France was for the sake of Lebanon, and to draw attention to the imminent dangers in light of the prevailing economic and financial crisis, the displacement crisis, and the need for the international community to take the initiative to help Lebanon get out of its crises and not abandon it. He added, "Our Father, the Patriarch, takes the initiative, through the bishops, archbishops, and through his contacts, to achieve the common Lebanese concern based on building bridges of communication to embrace everyone." Kanaan stressed that "Bkirki does not move with anyone against another, neither locally nor internationally, and for this reason it has sent out a call for the sake of Lebanon."In response to a question, Kanaan considered that Christians, with their leaders and deputies, must be aware that the national interest is above all personal interests, for if the entity is lost, everyone loses. "Therefore, Bkirki does not despair, and moves, alerts, warns, and corrects where possible, and the leaders must hear the patriarchal edifice and act according to its directives," he concluded.

Lebanon to send team to Paris after ambassador accused of rape, violence
Agence France Presse/4 June 2023 
Lebanon's foreign ministry has said it would send an investigation team to Paris following reports that Beirut's ambassador to France, Rami Adwan, has been accused of rape and intentional violence. The French probe into Adwan followed complaints by two former embassy employees, sources close to the investigation had told AFP, confirming an earlier media report. The French government has urged the Lebanese authorities to lift Adwan's diplomatic immunity and allow him to go on trial. The Lebanese foreign ministry has decided to "urgently send an investigation committee headed by the ministry's secretary-general... to the embassy in Paris to question the concerned ambassador and hear statements from embassy staff," it said in a statement. The committee will meet with French authorities "to clarify that which was reported in the media and which was not communicated to the Lebanese foreign ministry via diplomatic channels," the statement added. The first former employee, aged 31, filed her complaint in June 2022 for a rape she says was committed in May 2020 in the ambassador's private apartment, according to sources close to the investigation confirming a Mediapart report. According to the complaint, she had a relationship with the ambassador, who carried out "psychological and physical violence with daily humiliations." The second woman, aged 28, made a complaint last February after what she said was a series of physical attacks after she turned down sexual relations. She claims Adwan tried to hit her with his car after an argument on the sidelines of last year's Normandy World Peace Forum. "In view of the seriousness of the facts mentioned, we consider it necessary for the Lebanese authorities to lift the immunity of the Lebanese ambassador in Paris in order to facilitate the work of the French judicial authorities," the French foreign ministry told AFP late Friday. Adwan's lawyer Karim Beylouni has said that his client "contests all accusations of aggression in any shape or form: verbal, moral, sexual." He said Adwan had had "romantic relationships" with the two women between 2018 and 2022 that were "punctuated by arguments and breakups."

Lebanon Launches Probe after Ambassador in France Accused of Rape, Violence
Beirut: Asharq Al Awsat/4 June 2023
The Lebanese Foreign Minister has said it will investigate reports of rape and intentional violence by its Ambassador to France Rami Adwan. The Ministry said on Twitter on Saturday that it will send a committee to Paris to question the diplomat and embassy staff about the complaints. Adwan has already been investigated following complaints by two former embassy employees, informed sources said, confirming an earlier media report. Due to his position, Adwan enjoys diplomatic immunity from prosecution, but the French government urged the Lebanese authorities to lift this and allow him to go on trial. "In view of the seriousness of the facts mentioned, we consider it necessary for the Lebanese authorities to lift the immunity of the Lebanese ambassador in Paris in order to facilitate the work of the French judicial authorities", the French foreign ministry told AFP late Friday. The first woman, aged 31, filed her complaint in June 2022 for a rape she says was committed in May 2020 in the ambassador's private apartment, according to sources close to the investigation. According to her deposition seen by AFP, she made clear her lack of interest in having sex and that she screamed and burst into tears. The woman, who was working as an editor, had already reported to police in 2020 that Adwan, in his post since 2017, had struck her during an argument in his office. She said she had not filed a complaint because she did not want to "break the life" of the ambassador. According to the complaint, she had a relationship with the ambassador, who carried out "psychological and physical violence with daily humiliations". The second woman, aged 28, made a complaint last February after what she said was a series of physical attacks after she turned down sexual relations. She claims Adwan tried to hit her with his car after an argument on the sidelines of last year's Normandy World Peace Forum. She also accused the ambassador of trying to suffocate her at her home last December by pressing her face to her bed. "My client contests all accusations of aggression in any shape or form: verbal, moral, sexual," Adwan's lawyer Karim Beylouni told AFP. "Between 2018 and 2022 he had with these two women romantic relationships punctuated by arguments and breakups," Beylouni said. An informed source said the Paris judicial police had closed the case. Asked by AFP to comment, the Paris prosecutor's office said it was not immediately in a position to do so.

Gadhafi's son goes on hunger strike in Lebanon to protest detention without trial
Bassem Mroue, The Associated Press/Sat, June 3, 2023
BEIRUT (AP) — A son of Libya’s late leader Moammar Gadhafi, who has been held in Lebanon for more than seven years, began a hunger strike Saturday to protest his detention without trial, his lawyer said.
Hannibal Gadhafi has been held in Lebanon since 2015 after he was kidnapped from neighboring Syria where he had been living as a political refugee. He was abducted by Lebanese militants demanding information about the fate of a Shiite cleric who went missing in Libya 45 years ago.
Gadhafi was later taken by Lebanese authorities and has been held in a Beirut jail without trial. Attorney Paul Romanos told The Associated Press that his client started the hunger strike Saturday morning and “he is serious and will continue with it until the end.” Romanos did not go into details of the case as he was not authorized to speak about it to the media. Gadhafi issued a statement describing his conditions. “How can a political prisoner be held without a fair trial all these years?” Gadhafi, who is married to a Lebanese woman, wrote in his statement. The Libyan citizen added that now that he is on hunger strike, “those who are treating me unjustly” will be responsible for the results. He added that “the time has come to liberate the law from the hands of politicians.” Romanos said his client suffers from back pain due to being held in a small cell for years without being able to move or exercise. The disappearance of prominent Lebanese Shiite cleric Moussa al-Sadr in 1978 has been a long-standing sore point in Lebanon. The cleric’s family believes he may still be alive in a Libyan prison, though most Lebanese presume al-Sadr is dead. He would be 94 years old. Al-Sadr was the founder of a Shiite political and military group that took part in the lengthy Lebanese civil war that began in 1975, largely pitting Muslims against Christians. Born in the Iranian holy city of Qom, al-Sadr came to Lebanon in 1959 to work for the rights of Shiites in the southern port town of Tyre. In 1974, a year before Lebanon’s 15-year civil war broke out, al-Sadr founded the Movement of the Deprived, attracting thousands of followers. The following year, he established the military wing Amal — Arabic for “hope” and an acronym for the militia’s Arabic name, the Lebanese Resistance Brigades — which later fought in Lebanon’s civil war. The group is headed by Lebanon’s powerful Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri. Since al-Sadr’s disappearance, Libya has maintained that the cleric and his two traveling companions left Tripoli in 1978 on a flight to Rome and suggested he was a victim of a power struggle among Shiites. Most of al-Sadr’s followers are convinced that Moammar Gadhafi ordered al-Sadr killed in a dispute over Libyan payments to Lebanese militias. The Libyan leader was killed by opposition fighters in 2011, ending his four-decade rule of the north African country. Even after his death, al-Sadr’s fate is still unknown. Hannibal Gadhafi was born two years before al-Sadr disappeared. He fled to Algeria after Tripoli fell, along with his mother and several other relatives. He later ended up in Syria where he was given political asylum before being kidnapped and brought to Lebanon.

Australia's Assistant Minister for Foreign Affairs to visit Lebanon, explore counterterrorism cooperation and opportunities
LBCI/4 June 2023
Australia's Assistant Minister for Foreign Affairs, the Hon. Mr. Tim Watts, MP, is set to visit Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates to tackle critical national and regional security issues. Aiming to advance Australia's economic interests in the Middle East and strengthen people and business ties, the Assistant Minister for Foreign Affairs will affirm the cooperation on counterterrorism and transnational crime, financial challenges, and opportunities during his visit to Lebanon. During his visit set between June 4 and June 6, Watts will also seek the update regarding the investigation into the Beirut Port explosion and will meet with the Lebanese-Australian community. In turn, Tim Watts will also visit Saudi Arabia to exchange views on regional security with coalition partners, and discuss the regional impact of crucial issues, including climate change, and humanitarian challenges from regional conflicts, and the United Arab Emirates, to enhance close trade ties.

Syrian and Lebanese Culture Ministers discuss ways of bilateral cooperation

NNA/Sun, June 4, 2023 
Damascus, SANA- -The Minister of Culture, Dr. Labana Mashouh, discussed on Sunday with her Lebanese counterpart Muhammad Wissam Al-Mortada, ways to activate cultural cooperation between the two countries and the need to develop an executive program for this purpose. Mashouh underlined the importance to spread culture that would support common identity and values and advance the future of children of the two countries, especially there are many historical and geographical commonalities between the two countries. Mashouh voiced hope that the joint efforts to promote cultural relations would success to serve the interest of both countries. For his part, the Lebanese Minister of Culture referred to values, and literary and archaeological heritage which the two countries have them, highlighting the importance of cooperation in fighting the cultural and media war facing the two countries. The Lebanese Minister invited Mashouh to visit Lebanon to discuss the implementation of cultural cooperation steps. ---- SANA

Jumblatt meets Arabs of '48 delegation in Cyprus: For enhancing communication on the basis of Arab-Islamic national heritage
NNA/Sun, June 4, 2023 
Progressive Socialist Party Chief, Walid Jumblatt, and the head of the “Democratic Gathering”, MP Taymour Jumblatt, held a coordination meeting with a delegation of “1948 Arabs” from the occupied Palestinian territories, led by activist Saeed Nafaa, in the city of Larnaca in Cyprus, with the participation of MP Wael Abu Faour, former Minister Ghazi Al-Aridi and Mrs. Nora Jumblatt. Discussions centered on ways to enhance communication and cooperation in various fields and to emphasize the Arab identity of all segments of the Palestinian people. In his address during the meeting, Jumblatt said: "After a long period of interruption for subjective and objective reasons, and the outbreak of the revolution of the Arab peoples - I do not like the term 'Arab Spring' being an orientalist expression by the West, for the Arab people want their freedom and dignity as they are occupied by the regimes, just as Palestine is occupied by the Zionists - today we returned to communication, and what is important is having more of this communication, because today we have learned a lot about the well-known Arab community from inside occupied Palestine, and we want to continue with you on the basis of the Arab-Islamic national heritage, knowing that we are facing huge problems just like you...”Jumblatt touched in his word on the number of detainees inside the occupation prisons, and what the Zionist institutions are doing, stressing at the same time "the importance of ongoing commitment to the Palestinian cause and the full rights of the Palestinian people," expressing his belief in this context that the so-called two-state solution has failed. He considered that "things are heading towards more extremism in Israel...so we have to expect the worst...The danger is looming over all the people of the interior, not just the Druze Arabs, and the few moderate elites in Israeli society no longer exist."Jumblatt also shed light in his word on the conditions of the Druze Unitarians in Lebanon, referring to the establishment of the Institute of Monotheistic Sciences in Abey, in an attempt to reach the Higher Institute of Monotheistic Sciences which was in the past the project of his late father, Mentor Kamal Jumblatt, when he established the “Irfan Al-Tawhid Foundation” with Sheikh Ali Zeineddine.

Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 04-05/2023
Iran's top leader defends hard-line approach toward West, blames protests on 'thugs and villains'
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP)/Sun, June 4, 2023
Iran's supreme leader on Sunday defended his tough approach to the West, saying compromise would only invite further hostility from Iran's enemies and blaming recent anti-government protests on “thugs and villains.”Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's remarks come amid an intensifying standoff with Western countries over Iran's nuclear program, which has made major advances in the five years since then-President Donald Trump withdrew the U.S. from an international accord that restricted it. Trump restored crippling sanctions on Iran that have contributed to a severe economic crisis without forcing any concessions from its leaders. Iran has also lent support to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, supplying armed drones that have wreaked havoc on the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv. “Some people are mistaken to think if we back down from our stances in certain cases that will cause the enmity of the U.S, the global arrogance, or Israel toward us to diminish," said Khamenei, who has the final say on all major Iranian policies. "This is a mistake." He spoke at an annual speech marking the death of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, his predecessor and the founder of the Islamic Republic. Khamenei alluded to nationwide protests last fall sparked by the death of a 22-year-old woman, Mahsa Amini, who had been detained by the morality police for allegedly violating the country's strict dress code. The protests escalated into calls for the overthrow of the Islamic Republic before a deadly crackdown largely extinguished them. Iranian authorities have blamed the protests on a foreign conspiracy, without providing evidence, while the demonstrators said they were protesting over decades of repression and economic mismanagement. “Thugs and villains did what they did and malicious individuals chanted such slogans," Khamenei said. "According to their plot they thought the Islamic Republic was finished and they could take the Iranian nation as servants. These fools, once again, were wrong. Once again, they failed to know our people.”

Financial Times: Rob Malley Holds Direct Talks with Iran’s UN Ambassador
Asharq Al Awsat/4 June 2023
US’s Iran envoy Rob Malley has met several times with Iran’s UN ambassador Amir Saeid Iravani, amid reports that the 2015 nuclear accord “is not on the US government's agenda”, The Financial Times reported. The discussions focused primarily on the possibility of a prisoner exchange with Iran, a person close to the administration said. Tehran holds at least three US-Iranian nationals. Tehran last week agreed to a prisoner exchange with Belgium and separately released two Austrians held in Iran. A successful US prisoner exchange could improve the environment for any nuclear talks. Diplomats and analysts say potential options include some form of interim deal, or a de-escalatory move by both sides under which Iran reduces its enrichment levels in return for some sanctions relief. According to The Financial Times, US and EU powers have resumed discussions on how to engage with Iran over its nuclear activity "as fears mount that the Tehran's aggressive expansion of its program risks triggering a regional war." “There is recognition that we need an active diplomatic plan to tackle Iran’s nuclear program, rather than allowing it to drift,” said a western diplomat to the newspaper. “The thing that worries me is that Iran’s decision-making is quite chaotic and it could stumble its way into war with Israel,” he added. Iran has been enriching uranium to 60 per cent purity, and in January the International Atomic Energy Agency discovered particles enriched to about 84 per cent, which is almost weapons grade, at the Fordow plant. IAEA also said that Iran’s estimated stockpile of enriched uranium had reached more than 23 times the limit set out in nuclear deal. As of 13 May, Iran’s total enriched uranium stockpile was estimated at 4,744.5 kilograms (10,459 pounds). The limit in the 2015 deal was 202.8 kilograms.
The report also said that Iran is continuing its enrichment of uranium to levels higher than the 3.67 percent limit in the deal, AFP reported. The stockpile of uranium enriched up to 20 percent is now believed to be 470.9 kilograms — up 36.2 kg since the last report in February — while the amount enriched up to 60 percent stands at 114.1 kilograms, an increase of 26.6 kg.

Israel prepares funerals for soldiers killed near Egyptian border
AFP/June 04, 2023
JERUSALEM: Israel said Sunday it would investigate the shooting deaths of three soldiers at its border with Egypt, as it prepared to hold funerals for the slain trio. On Saturday, three Israeli soldiers were killed by an “Egyptian policeman” who had entered the country and was shot dead in a rare cross-border incident, the army said. Israel had sent Egypt a “clear message,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday at the opening of a cabinet meeting. “We expect that the joint investigation will be exhaustive and thorough. This is part of the important security cooperation between us, which has benefitted both countries over the years,” he said. Egypt’s army said a member of its security forces had crossed the border “chasing drug traffickers” before he was killed in an “exchange of fire which left three dead on the Israeli side.” Two of the Israeli soldiers’ bodies were found at the border Saturday morning at a guard post close to the Harif military base, near the town of Mitzpe Ramon in the Negev desert, the army said. They were identified as Lia Ben Nun, 19, and Ori Izhak Iluz, 20. The discovery of their bodies triggered a manhunt during which the third soldier, 20-year-old Ohad Dahan, and the Egyptian identified by the army as a policeman, were killed. A fourth Israeli soldier, a non-commissioned officer, was lightly wounded and evacuated to hospital, the military added. The three soldiers will be buried Sunday afternoon in their hometowns, the army said. On Sunday, Israeli media raised questions over the shootings, particularly how the assailant managed to cross the several-meters-high barrier running along the border. Netanyahu on Saturday promised a “full investigation” into the deaths and senior government figures stressed the importance of cooperation with Egypt. The army is conducting “a thorough investigation... in collaboration with the Egyptian armed forces,” Netanyahu’s chief of staff Herzl Halevi said. Defense Minister Yoav Gallant highlighted “the importance of the ties between the two countries” following a telephone call with his Egyptian counterpart Mohamed Zaki. Zaki meanwhile underlined “the joint coordination to take the necessary measures to avoid the repetition of incidents of this kind in the future,” according to a spokesman for the Egyptian army. Egypt was the first Arab country to make peace with Israel following the Camp David accords of 1978, though there remains widespread popular opposition toward normalization in Egypt. The border between the two countries is generally calm but is the scene of regular smuggling attempts. In recent years, there have been exchanges of fire between smugglers and Israeli soldiers stationed along the border. In 2014, two Israeli soldiers on patrol were wounded by unidentified men who fired an anti-tank weapon from the Sinai during an attempt to smuggle drugs.

Israel accuses U.N. nuclear watchdog of 'capitulating' to Iran
JERUSALEM (Reuters)/Sun, June 4, 2023
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accused the International Atomic Energy Agency on Sunday of ineffectually policing Iran's nuclear activities and suggested the U.N. watchdog risked becoming politicised and irrelevant. The unusual criticism followed an IAEA report last week that Iran had provided a satisfactory answer on one case of suspect uranium particles and re-installed some monitoring equipment originally put in place under a now-defunct 2015 nuclear deal. With Iran having enriched enough uranium to 60% fissile purity for two nuclear bombs, if refined further - something it denies wanting or planning - Israel has redoubled threats to launch preemptive military strikes if international diplomacy fails. "Iran is continuing to lie to the International Atomic Energy Agency. The agency's capitulation to Iranian pressure is a black stain on its record," Netanyahu told his cabinet in televised remarks. "If the IAEA becomes a political organization, then its oversight activity in Iran is without significance, as will be its reports on Iran's nuclear activity." The IAEA did not immediately respond to a request for comment. On Wednesday, it reported that after years of investigation and lack of progress, Iran had given a satisfactory answer to explain one of three sites at which uranium particles had been detected. Those particles could be explained by the presence of a Soviet-operated mine and lab there and the IAEA had no further questions, a senior diplomat in Vienna said. In an apparent reference to this, Netanyahu said: "Iran's excuses ... regarding the finding of nuclear material in prohibited locations are not only unreliable, they are technically impossible."However, the Vienna diplomat also told Reuters the IAEA's assessment remained that Iran carried out explosives testing there decades ago that was relevant to nuclear weapons. After then U.S. President Donald Trump quit the Iran nuclear deal in 2018, Tehran ramped up uranium enrichment. Israeli and Western officials say it could switch from enrichment at 60% fissile purity to 90% - weapons-grade - within a few weeks. In a 2012 U.N. speech, Netanyahu deemed 90% enrichment by Iran a "red line" that could trigger preemptive strikes. Experts are divided, however, on whether Israel - despite having an advanced military believed to be nuclear-armed - can deal lasting damage to Iran's distant, dispersed and well-defended facilities. "In the event that we reach decision-point, where the two options are the Iranians breaking out to a bomb or us taking action, we will take action," Israeli Energy Minister Israel Katz, a member of Netanyahu's national security cabinet, said. "We are making all of the preparations at this very moment," Katz told Galey Israel radio.

The private armies Putin has unleashed on Ukraine may lead to his downfall
Colonel Richard Kemp/The Telegraph/Sun, June 4, 2023
Putin’s misadventures in Ukraine could lead to violent turmoil across Russia and the regime’s end. In recent weeks we have seen humiliating drone strikes against Moscow, in the Bryansk and Klimovsky regions, Krasnodar district and Belgorod city. There has been shelling of the Belgorod region, intensified this week and forcing the evacuation of thousands of people. In a major blow to Putin’s authority earlier in May, the Russian Volunteer Corps and Freedom of Russia Legion launched a two-day raid across the Ukrainian border into Belgorod. This was followed in the past few days by an even more powerful ground operation. The Russian MoD reported that on Thursday, two motorised infantry companies with tanks were attacking again in Belgorod, four miles from the border with Ukraine. It had to use fighter jets and artillery on its own soil to counter them. These attacks are hugely significant: they represent the first external military ground offensive on to mainland Russian territory since the Second World War. They might well have consequences to match. Despite Kyiv’s denials that it was involved in either of the Belgorod raids, the intention now may be to sow panic inside Russia, forcing Moscow to pull forces away from the front line as the Ukrainian counter-offensive builds. If such raids continue they could have a more fundamental effect, perhaps creating even greater discontent among the people in the border regions who have already suffered more than most Russian civilians from Putin’s war. Taken together with the failures so far of the Russian army and the growing harm to the country’s economy, this could set off a chain reaction that spreads to Moscow itself. Putin, once thought of as a strategic genius, has unwittingly prepared the ground for what might follow. As he sought to privatise recruitment to fuel his war rather than impose another wave of forced mobilisation, private armies have snowballed. The biggest is Wagner, active in Ukraine since 2014 and now grown into a monster. Hot on its heels is Kadyrovtsy, the private army of infamous Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov. It is a large force notorious for brutal war crimes in Ukraine and about to return to front-line combat there. Many other private armies have been set up by former military officers, often made up of ex-servicemen, funded, equipped and trained by state resources. Remarkably to the non-Russian mind, even defence minister Sergei Shoigu has one of his own, Patriot. There are corporate militias as well, such as that belonging to the energy giant Gazprom, which has battalions fighting at the front.
Oligarchs including Gennady Timchenko and Oleg Deripaska have created their own combat units or attached themselves to existing private military companies. Tellingly, as Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin himself remarked: “Everyone is saying that there will be a power struggle at some point, and everyone needs their own army.”The Kremlin has also instructed authorities in each region to create their own volunteer battalions to fight in Ukraine, with allegiance to the local leadership rather than Moscow. Some of these men will return home disillusioned and embittered. Putin sees these armies as instruments to consolidate his own power and that of the Russian state, not as political players in their own right. But when the chips are down he may not be able to call the shots. Prigozhin, for example, is a politically ambitious and volatile man. Although he has declared war on the general staff and Moscow’s “elites”, he has remained loyal to Putin. It might not take much for that to change. He is unlikely to balk at using the forces at his disposal to manoeuvre for power and influence when he feels the time is right. Following Bakhmut, Prigozhin’s militia is now pulling back from the front line to its bases across Russia. That leaves a large group of armed, battle-hardened men, including many convicted criminals, at their leader’s command and poised for the fray. Alongside – or opposed to them – are many others, not just the private military companies and regional battalions, but also the plethora of armed organs of the government, including the FSB, GRU and Defence Ministry. Then there is the army itself, whose ranks include large numbers of abused, humiliated and disaffected soldiers, commanders and even generals. If Putin cannot repel the growing threats to his own homeland and at the same time secure some kind of victory in Ukraine, it is possible to envisage the Russian establishment falling apart into a violent mêlée of opposing armed camps. Perhaps we should not wish this bleak fate on the people of the Russian Federation, but we should certainly wish to see the back of their current leadership with the industrialised murder, mayhem and misery they have inflicted and, given the chance, will continue to inflict. If that is hastened by cross-border raids, artillery barrages and drone strikes we, like Ukraine, should welcome them, rather than, like the hand-wringing Joe Biden, deplore them. At least our Foreign Secretary, James Cleverly, has the resolve to make clear his support for Ukraine’s right to defend itself by hitting out against the Russian aggressors beyond its borders. Broaden your horizons with award-winning British journalism. Try The Telegraph free for 1 month, then enjoy 1 year for just $9 with our US-exclusive offer.

Putin’s exploits as KGB spy likely to have been exaggerated, investigation finds

The Telegraph/James Kilner/June 3, 2023
Vladimir Putin was not a Soviet super spy in East Germany in the 1980s but a plodding pen-pusher eager to please his superiors, an investigation has found. Germany’s Spiegel magazine investigated Mr Putin’s murky past on the suspicion that stories of his exploits as a KGB agent were exaggerated.
Instead of conducting vital missions to hold back the forces of democracy, Spiegel said that Mr Putin was focused on “banal” administrative work during his KGB posting to Dresden, “endlessly sorting through travel applications for West German relatives or searching for potential informants among foreign students”.Mr Putin was a 32-year-old officer when he was sent to Dresden in 1985, a tense time with the Kremlin’s grip over its vassal states fracturing. KGB officers were tasked with supporting East Germany’s Stasi secret police. Although the mission ultimately failed with the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 and the collapse of the Soviet Union two years later, stories of Mr Putin’s alleged valour have become legend. Perhaps the most famous is how in December 1989 he single-handedly faced down protesters planning to storm the KGB headquarters. ‘Facts and fiction sometimes blur’However, this probably didn’t happen, the magazine reported. “According to one version [of the story], a single small man stood at the entrance to the nearby Stasi headquarters and watched the spectacle from a safe distance,” Spiegel said. “It cannot be proved that the current Russian president was even there.”Spiegel also said that witnesses quoted widely on Mr Putin’s other alleged KGB heroics could not be trusted. A story about Mr Putin helping anarchists in West Germany plot assassinations was based on testimonies from a serial liar with a criminal record, Spiegel said. Another story of how he had groomed a German neo-Nazi leader into an informant was based on interviews with a former Stasi agent who has admitted that he embellished his statements. In fact, there was nothing in the Stasi archives to suggest Mr Putin was anything other than risk-averse, the magazine said. “Facts and fiction sometimes seem to blur,” Spiegel said. “Today’s Russian president was probably not a top agent.” Broaden your horizons with award-winning British journalism. Try The Telegraph free for 1 month, then enjoy 1 year for just $9 with our US-exclusive offer.

‘Everything Changed’: The War Arrives on Russians’ Doorstep
Valerie Hopkins and Anatoly Kurmanaev/ The New York Times /Sun, June 4, 2023
Over the last five days of May, Ruslan, an English teacher in a Russian town near the Ukrainian border, heard the distinct sound of a multiple rocket launcher strike for the first time. Shelling would begin around 3 a.m., sometimes shaking his house, and continue through the morning. He had heard the thud of explosions in distant villages in the past, he said, and in October, shelling damaged a nearby shopping mall. But nothing like this. “Everything changed,” he said. Fifteen months after Russian missiles first roared toward Kyiv, Ukraine, residents of the Russian border region of Belgorod are starting to understand the horror of having war on their doorstep. Shebekino, a town of 40,000 just 6 miles from the border, has effectively become a new part of the front line as Ukraine has intensified attacks inside Russia, including on residential areas near its own borders. The spate of assaults, most recently by militia groups aligned against Moscow, has sparked the largest military evacuation effort in Russia in decades. “The town became a ghost in 24 hours,” said Ruslan, 27, who evacuated Thursday after a sustained campaign of shelling. In the last several days, The New York Times interviewed more than a half-dozen residents of the border region to get a sense of the deepening anxiety among Russian civilians. Like Ruslan, most insisted on being identified by only their first names, citing a fear of retribution for speaking about the war.
“Shebekino was a wonderful, flowery town on the border with Ukraine filled with happy, neighborly people,” said Darya, 37, a local public-sector employee. “Now only pain, death and misery live in our town. There is no power, no public transport, no open businesses, no residents. Just an empty, shattered town in smoke.” The hardship is familiar to Ukrainians, who have seen cities like Bakhmut obliterated and others ravaged by civilian casualties. So are the sleepless nights; Russian missiles targeted Kyiv at least 17 times in May. But many Russians had not expected something similar to happen on their home turf. Explosions are audible, too, in the city of Belgorod, the regional capital 20 miles to the north of Shebekino, and residents there have increasingly begun seeking access to basements that can be used as bomb shelters. People who had previously tried to go about their daily business suddenly discovered they could not. “We are at a turning point right now,” said Oleg, a businessperson in the city. “When this all started,” he said, referring to the war, “the people who opposed it here were a minority. Now, after four days of being shelled, people are changing their minds.” Belgorod’s regional governor, Vyacheslav Gladkov, said 2,500 residents had been evacuated and taken to temporary shelters in sports arenas farther from the border.
Thousands more left on their own accord, residents said in interviews. Gladkov said nine residents had died from shelling over the past three days. It is unclear how many Russians in the border region have been killed overall, but this was almost surely the deadliest week for the Belgorod region since the start of the war. Flare-ups and cross-border shelling between Ukrainian and Russian forces have occurred regularly throughout the war. The recent attacks on Belgorod were undertaken by two paramilitary groups made up of Russians fighting for Ukraine’s cause; they have claimed that they target only security infrastructure and portrayed their fight as one for liberation from President Vladimir Putin’s rule. But their claims have clashed with accounts of widespread residential destruction described by witnesses and seen in videos posted on social media and verified by the Times. One of the two groups, the Russian Volunteer Corps, has also acknowledged shelling Shebekino’s urban area with “bouquets of Grads,” a Soviet-designed multiple rocket launcher that covers a large area with explosives. As footage of that shelling filled Belgorod’s public chat rooms, citizens volunteered to drive affected families to safety, donated money and opened homes to refugees. In doing so, they underlined what they said was the inadequacy of the local government’s response, and the growing realization that they had only themselves to rely on.
It was a sign of spontaneous social organization that Putin has systematically undermined in recent years as he tightened control. The arrival of the war on Russian soil is rekindling a grassroots civic spirit borne of necessity, with as yet unpredictable consequences for the country’s politics.
To some in the region, the assaults on Shebekino, the most sustained attack on a Russian town since the start of the war, made clear Moscow’s lack of concern for their fate. In social media posts, they used the hashtag #ShebekinoIsRussia, a cry for attention from the wider public across the country, which has largely carried on with daily life. In interviews, some in Shebekino expressed anger at how state television anchors struggled to pronounce the town’s name, even as they lauded the evacuation efforts. “It seems that in Moscow, they don’t understand what we have going on here,” said Ruslan, the English teacher. Citing explosions over the Kremlin last month, he said, “When drones flew to Moscow, there were immediately big stories; it was all over the news. And here, people have been under fire for months, and nothing.”Despite an uptick of attacks on Russian soil, only 1 in 4 Russians is following the war closely and most likely going beyond state media to seek information about it, according to a May poll conducted by the independent Moscow-based public opinion firm Levada Center. Almost half of respondents said they don’t follow the conflict at all, or only cursorily. Levada’s director, Denis Volkov, said it was too early to say whether the escalation of border attacks would rally Russians around the flag. “We have a very disjointed society,” he said.
“No one has much interest beyond their own nose.”But the violence is causing residents of Shebekino to reevaluate their apathy or support for the war, and the disruption of the last week is breeding resentment against authorities who they believe have failed to protect them. “People are disappointed that it has gotten to this stage, that this was permitted to happen,” said Elena, a Belgorod resident who volunteered to evacuate people from Shebekino. Darya, the public-sector employee, described a chaotic evacuation. As the sounds of explosions grew near, she said, her family gathered necessities and waited for the official transport promised by regional authorities. When it didn’t arrive, they called an evacuation help line set up by the governor and were told to wait, in vain.
They eventually left the town in their private car, leaving behind an older relative who could not be easily moved. “We saw many Shebekino residents sitting on the side of the highway in their cars, because they had nowhere to go,” she said. Evacuation did not always bring safety. Two women died near Shebekino after their car was hit by a shell on the side of the road Thursday, according to Gladkov, the governor. His claim could not be independently verified. There is also the realization among border residents that there is no end in sight to the war. Russia has annexed parts of four Ukrainian regions that it has occupied and is planning to hold elections there in September, despite the expected Ukrainian counteroffensive aimed at wrestling back territory from Moscow’s forces. “I don’t understand the point of these annexations; I don’t even know where they are,” said Alina, 31, a social media manager in Belgorod. “This is just some kind of farce.”In the city of Belgorod, with a population of 340,000, the pain and confusion of the war is made more acute by historical ties to Ukraine. It is only 25 miles from the border and only 50 miles from Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second-largest city. Before the war, people from Belgorod traveled to Kharkiv to shop or even just for a night out. Many have relatives living across the border. Ruslan, the English teacher, said that he was always opposed to the war and that his position hasn’t changed with the destruction of his city. But his feelings toward Ukraine have. “I thought I was able to empathize, but when it comes to your home, it’s a completely different feeling,” he said. “I understand that it’s all because of Putin, but at the same time, I have a slightly different attitude toward the Ukrainian armed forces,” he continued. “Now I think, maybe they are no different from ours.”

Ukraine keeps up pressure following Russian declaration of victory in Bakhmut

OUTSIDE BAKHMUT, Ukraine (AP)/Sun, June 4, 2023
Watching imagery from a drone camera overhead, Ukrainian battalion commander Oleg Shiryaev warned his men in nearby trenches that Russian forces were advancing across a field toward a patch of trees outside the city of Bakhmut. The leader of the 228th Battalion of the 127th Kharkiv Territorial Defense Brigade then ordered a mortar team to get ready. A target was locked. A mortar tube popped out a loud orange blast, and an explosion cut a new crater in an already pockmarked hillside. “We are moving forward,” Shiryaev said after at least one drone image showed a Russian fighter struck down. “We fight for every tree, every trench, every dugout." Russian forces declared victory in the eastern city last month after the longest, deadliest battle since their full-scale invasion of Ukraine began 15 months ago. But Ukrainian defenders like Shiryaev aren't retreating. Instead, they are keeping up the pressure and continuing the fight from positions on the western fringes of Bakhmut. The pushback gives commanders in Moscow another thing to think about ahead of a much-anticipated Ukrainian counteroffensive that appears to be taking shape. Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar said Russia sought to create the impression of calm around Bakhmut, but in fact, artillery shelling still goes on at levels similar to those at the height of the battle to take the city. The fight, she said, is evolving into a new phase. “The battle for the Bakhmut area hasn't stopped; it is ongoing, just taking different forms,” said Maliar, dressed in her characteristic fatigues in an interview from a military media center in Kyiv. Russian forces are now trying — but failing — to oust Ukrainian fighters from the “dominant heights” overlooking Bakhmut. “We are holding them very firmly,” she said.
From the Kremlin's perspective, the area around Bakhmut is just part of the more than 1,000-kilometer (621-mile) front line that the Russian military must hold. That task could be made more difficult by the withdrawal of the mercenaries from private military contractor Wagner Group who helped take control of the city. They will be replaced with Russian soldiers.
For Ukrainian forces, recent work has been opportunistic — trying to wrest small gains from the enemy and taking strategic positions, notably from two flanks on the northwest and southwest, where the Ukrainian 3rd Separate Assault Brigade has been active, officials said. Russia had envisioned the capture of Bakhmut as partial fulfillment of its ambition to seize control of the eastern Donbas region, Ukraine’s industrial heartland. Now, its forces have been compelled to regroup, rotate fighters and rearm just to hold the city. Wagner’s owner announced a pullout after acknowledging the loss of more than 20,000 of his men. Maliar described the nine-month struggle against Wagner forces in nearly existential terms: “If they had not been destroyed during the defense of Bakhmut, one can imagine that all these tens of thousands would have advanced deeper into Ukrainian territory.”The fate of Bakhmut, which lays largely in ruins, has been overshadowed in recent days by near-nightly attacks on Kyiv, a series of unclaimed drone strikes near Moscow and the growing anticipation that Ukraine's government will try to regain ground. But the battle for the city could still have a lingering impact. Moscow has made the most of its capture, epitomized by triumphalism in Russian media. Any slippage of Russia’s grip would be a political embarrassment for President Vladimir Putin. Michael Kofman of the Center for Naval Analyses, a U.S. research group, noted in a podcast this week that the victory brings new challenges in holding Bakhmut. With Wagner fighters withdrawing, Russian forces are “going to be increasingly fixed to Bakhmut ... and will find it difficult to defend,” Kofman told “War on the Rocks" in an interview posted Tuesday.
“And so they may not hold on to Bakhmut, and the whole thing may have ended up being for nothing for them down the line,” he added.
A Western official who spoke on condition of anonymity said Russian airborne forces are heavily involved in replacing the departing Wagner troops — a step that is "likely to antagonize” the airborne leadership, who see the duty as a further erosion of their “previously elite status" in the military.
Ukrainian forces have clawed back slivers of territory on the flanks — a few hundred meters (yards) per day — to solidify defensive lines and seek opportunities to retake some urban parts of the city, said one Ukrainian analyst. “The goal in Bakhmut is not Bakhmut itself, which has been turned into ruins,” military analyst Roman Svitan said by phone. The goal for the Ukrainians is to hold on to the western heights and maintain a defensive arc outside the city. More broadly, Ukraine wants to weigh down Russian forces and capture the initiative ahead of the counteroffensive — part of what military analysts call “shaping operations” to set the terms of the battle environment and put an enemy in a defensive, reactive posture. Serhiy Cherevatyi, a spokesman for Ukrainian forces in the east, said the strategic goal in the Bakhmut area was “to restrain the enemy and destroy as much personnel and equipment as possible” while preventing a Russian breakthrough or outflanking maneuver. Analyst Mathieu Boulègue questioned whether Bakhmut would hold lessons or importance for the war ahead. Military superiority matters, he said, but so does “information superiority” — the ability “to create subterfuge, to create obfuscation of your force, to be able to move in the shadows." Boulègue, a consulting fellow with the Russia and Eurasia program at the Chatham House think tank in London, said those tactics “could determine which side gains an advantage that catches the other side by surprise, and turns the tide of the war.”

5 Drones Shot Downed in Crimea's Dzhankoi
Asharq Al Awsat/June 04/2023
Five drones were shot down and four were jammed and did not hit their targets in Dzhankoi in Crimea, a Russian-installed official in the peninsula that Moscow annexed from Ukraine in 2014 said on Sunday. There were no casualties but windows were broken in several houses, Sergei Aksyonov, the Russian-backed head of Crimea's administration, said on the Telegram messaging app. He added that one unexploded drone was found on the territory of a residential house, forcing the temporary evacuation of about 50 people in the area.
Reuters could not independently verify the report. Russia has a military air base near Dzhankoi. Ukrainian officials have long said the city and surrounding areas have been turned into Moscow's largest military base in Crimea.

Huge bunker to be built under elite hospital as war comes to Moscow

The Telegraph/James Kilner/Sun, June 4, 2023
The Kremlin plans to build a bunker underneath a VIP hospital in Moscow to protect the Russian elite from Ukrainian drone and missile attacks. Plans for the 800-person bunker with filtered air-cooling systems were revealed after a Ukrainian drone attack on an upmarket Moscow suburb. The 35 million-rouble (£350,000) bunker will be capable of cleaning the air of “gaseous weapons of mass destruction” and be able to “perform medical procedures in wartime”, media reports quoted the tender document as saying. While the Kremlin has been quick to announce plans for a bunker underneath the exclusive Central Clinical Hospital, some Muscovites have criticised officials for not protecting ordinary people. At least three drones appear to have evaded air defence systems around Moscow on Tuesday and then crashed into Rubylovka, an upmarket residential suburb where many of Russia’s rich live. One of Vladimir Putin’s residences is based near Rubylovka, and analysts said that it may have been the intended target. Nobody was injured, but images of Russian FSB officers pouring over the charred remains of Ukrainian drones on a Moscow street and of damage to “elite” apartment blocks unnerved some locals. “Where do we run to?” one woman wrote on the Telegram social media app after the first explosion sounded out across Moscow. “Where is the bunker? By contrast, people living in Kyiv have had to develop a finely tuned plan to deal with drone and missile attacks, which have become a part of their nightly routine. They mocked Muscovites for finally getting a small experience of what they have had to endure for the past 15 months. Moscow has a deep metro system designed by Soviet engineers to withstand a nuclear attack. The deepest metro station is Park Pobeda, which is 275ft underground, three times the depth of the average London Underground station. The headache for many Muscovites, though, is that the metro stations are sparsely spread out. Russian media has already reported that rental prices for apartments near metro stations have already risen. Not that this is a worry for some of Russia’s millionaires, who have started building private air raid shelters. In November, Nikita Malezhik, the founder of BunkerHouse, was quoted by Russian media as saying that demand for bespoke air raid shelters had jumped by 430 per cent since Vladimir Putin ordered Russia’s first mobilisation since World War II. On its website, BunkerHouse says that it can build a private bomb shelter in Moscow within 21 days of receiving an order. “Equip your safe haven, only 10m from you,” it said next to photographs of air raid shelters kitted out with wine cellars, luxury kitchens and home cinemas. “You will no longer be afraid of being late and you will have time to take everything you need, calmly and without haste.”Broaden your horizons with award-winning British journalism. Try The Telegraph free for 1 month, then enjoy 1 year for just $9 with our US-exclusive offer.

Kremlin: Western long-range missiles to Ukraine will fuel 'spiralling tension'
(Reuters)/Sun, June 4, 2023
The Kremlin said on Sunday that any supply of long-range missiles to Kyiv by France and Germany would lead to a further round of "spiralling tension" in the Ukraine conflict. Britain last month became the first country to supply Ukraine with long-range cruise missiles. Ukraine has asked Germany for Taurus cruise missiles, which have a range of 500 km (311 miles), while President Emmanuel Macron has said France will give Ukraine missiles with a range allowing it to carry out its long-anticipated counteroffensive. "We are already starting to see discussions about deliveries from France and Germany of missiles with a range of 500 km or more," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told a reporter from the Rossiya-1 TV channel. "This is a completely different weapon which will lead to, let's say, another round of spiralling tension," he said. Russia has repeatedly criticised Western countries for supplying Ukraine with weapons and has warned that NATO members have effectively become direct parties to the conflict. Moscow has made clear it sees such weapons supplied by the West as legitimate targets in what it calls its "special military operation" in Ukraine, now in its 16th month. Ukraine says it needs more weapons, including long-range missiles, to defend itself against Russian attacks and re-capture its occupied territory. Peskov also reiterated that Russia would continue its operations in Ukraine until the "job is done... There is no alternative".Moscow says it had to act in Ukraine to protect its own security and push back against what it says is a hostile and aggressive West bent on the destruction of Russia.Kyiv and its Western allies say Russia is waging an unprovoked war of aggression and a land grab in Ukraine.

Navalny supporters hold demonstrations to mark Russian opposition leader's

MOSCOW (AP) /Sun, June 4, 2023
Alexei Navalny voiced hope for a better future in Russia as his supporters held pickets and demonstrations to mark the imprisoned opposition leader's 47th birthday on Sunday. Navalny is serving a nine-year sentence for fraud and contempt of court, charges he says were trumped up to punish him for his work to expose official corruption and organizing anti-Kremlin protests. He is facing a new trial on extremism charges that could keep him in prison for decades. Kremlin critics view the case as another Russian government attempt to isolate President Vladimir Putin's most prominent foe. Navalny’s associates called for demonstrations to show support for him in Russia and abroad on Sunday. Risking their own prison terms, some Navalny supporters in Russia marked his birthday by holding individual pickets, while others painted graffiti. Police quickly detained many for questioning.
Police beefed up their presence in downtown Moscow and moved quickly to round up those who tried to stage individual pickets on Pushkin Square and elsewhere in the capital. One man managed to throw around leaflets before being whisked away.
A woman holding a small black balloon with the words “Happy Birthday!” who was clad in a hoody with “You aren't alone” written on it was among those detained. She asked officers why they were detaining her, but they didn't answer. Navalny's supporters also showed up in St. Petersburg and other Russian cities, holding one-person pickets and leaving signs and graffiti in Navalny's support. Many were detained. Pro-Navalny demonstrations were held in several European cities. Navalny said in a social media post released by his allies that he would obviously prefer to spend his birthday with a family breakfast, kisses from his children and gifts, but “life is such that social progress and a better future can only be achieved if a certain number of people are willing to pay for the right to have beliefs."“The more there are such people, the smaller the price each has to pay,” he said. “And a day will certainly come when it will be routine and not dangerous at all to tell the truth and stand for justice in Russia.”Navalny was arrested in January 2021 upon returning to Moscow after he recuperated in Germany from nerve-agent poisoning that he blamed on the Kremlin. He initially received a 2½-year prison sentence for a parole violation. Last year, he was sentenced to nine years for fraud and contempt of court. He is currently serving time at a maximum-security prison 250 kilometers (150 miles) east of Moscow. The extremism charges against Navalny, which could keep him in prison for 30 years, relate to the activities of his anti-corruption foundation and statements by his top associates. His allies said the charges retroactively criminalize all the activities of Navalny’s foundation since its creation in 2011. The new accusations come as Russian authorities are conducting an intensified crackdown on dissent amid the fighting in Ukraine, which Navalny has harshly criticized. A Moscow court scheduled a preliminary hearing Tuesday to discuss technical issues related to a new trial of Navalny, rejecting a request by his lawyers for more time to examine voluminous new charges that he rejected as “absurd.”Navalny also has cited an investigator telling him that he also would face a separate military court trial on terrorism charges that potentially carry a life sentence. He said in a social media post Sunday that he sees his prison term “just as an unpleasant part of my favorite job” and thanked his supporters.
“My plan for the previous year was not to grow brutal and embittered and not to lose the nonchalance of behavior — this is where defeat begins,” he wrote. “And if I succeeded, it was only thanks to your support.”

Chinese warship passed in 'unsafe manner' near US destroyer in Taiwan Strait -US

WASHINGTON (Reuters)/Sun, June 4, 2023
A Chinese warship came within 150 yards (137 meters) of a U.S. destroyer in the Taiwan Strait in "an unsafe manner," U.S. military officials said, as China blamed the United States for "deliberately provoking risk" in the region. U.S. and Canadian navies on Saturday were conducting a joint exercise in the strait, which separates the island of Taiwan and China, when the Chinese ship cut in front of the U.S. guided-missile destroyer Chung-Hoon forcing it to slow down to avoid a collision, the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command said in a statement. The People's Republic of China (PRC) has claimed self-ruled Taiwan as its territory since the defeated Republic of China government fled to the island in 1949 after losing a civil war to Mao Zedong's communists. Taiwan's government says the PRC has never ruled the island and U.S. President Joe Biden has said the U.S. would defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion. China's military rebuked the United States and Canada for "deliberately provoking risk" after the countries' navies staged a rare joint sailing through the sensitive Taiwan Strait. The U.S. Indo-Pacific Command said the Chung-Hoon and Canada's Montreal were conducting a "routine" transit of the strait when the Chinese ship cut in front of the American vessel. The Chinese ship's "closest point of approach was 150 yards and its actions violated the maritime 'Rules of the Road' of safe passage in international waters," the U.S. command said. Video footage broadcast by Canadian website Global News showed the close encounter between the ships. The Chinese embassy in Washington did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The maritime encounter was the latest close call between the Chinese and U.S. military. On May 26, a Chinese fighter jet carried out an "unnecessarily aggressive" maneuver near a U.S. military plane over the South China Sea in international airspace, the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command said on Tuesday. The spokesperson for China's embassy in Washington, Liu Pengyu, did not comment on the specifics of the jet incident, but said the U.S. had "frequently deployed aircraft and vessels for close-in reconnaissance on China, which poses a serious danger to China’s national security."White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan said in a pre-recorded interview that aired on CNN on Sunday that the U.S. is seeking to maintain the "stable, cross-strait dynamic" between China and Taiwan and avoid a conflict "that would end up cratering the global economy." The interview for "Fareed Zakaria GPS" on CNN took place on Friday. Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu told Asia's top security summit on Sunday that conflict with the United States would be an "unbearable disaster" but that his country sought dialogue over confrontation.

US, Saudi Arabia urge Sudan’s warring parties to agree to a new cease-fire, fighting continues
CAIRO (AP)/Sun, June 4, 2023
Saudi Arabia and the United States urged Sudan’s warring parties Sunday to agree to and “effectively implement” a new cease-fire as fighting showed no signs of abating in the northeastern African nation. Sudan descended into chaos after fighting broke out in mid-April between the military, led by Gen. Abdel-Fattah Burhan, and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, commanded by Gen. Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo. For weeks, Saudi Arabia and the United States have been mediating between the warring parties. On May 21, both countries successfully brokered a temporary cease-fire agreement to help with the delivery of much-needed humanitarian aid to the war-torn country. Their efforts, however, were dealt a blow when the military announced on Wednesday it would no longer participate in the cease-fire talks held in the Saudi coastal city of Jeddah. Following the military’s decision, the U.S. and Saudi Arabia said they were suspending the talks “as a result of repeated serious violations of the short-term cease-fire." President Joe Biden’s administration imposed sanctions against key Sudanese defense companies run by the military and the RSF and people who “perpetuate violence” in Sudan.
In their statement on Sunday, Washington and Riyad said they continued to engage representatives of the military and the RSF who remained in Jeddah. They urged the Sudanese warring sides to agree to and implement a new cease-fire following the latest one which expired late Saturday. The aim is to eventually establish a permanent cessation of hostilities in the war-wrecked country, they said. The statement said the discussions focused on “facilitating humanitarian assistance" and reaching an agreement on "near-term steps the parties must take” before resuming the talks.
The fighting has turned the capital, Khartoum, and other urban areas into battlefields, resulting in widespread looting and destruction of residential areas across the country. The conflict has also displaced more than 1.65 million people who fled to safer areas in Sudan and neighboring countries.
Aid groups’ offices and warehouses, health care facilities and other civilian infrastructure have been attacked and looted, including most recently the warehouses of the World Food Program in the city of Obeid in North Kordofan on Jan. 1.There have been reports of sexual violence, including the rape of women and girls in Khartoum and the western Darfur region, which have seen some of the worst fighting in the conflict. Almost all reported cases of sexual attacks were blamed on the RSF, which didn’t respond to repeated requests for comment. Residents reported intense fighting over the past two days in Khartoum and its neighboring cities of Omdurman and Bahri. Shelling and gunfire were heard early Sunday in parts of Omdurman, as the military’s aircraft bombed RSF positions in the capital area. Fighting was also reported in the northern part of the Darfur region, which has witnessed some of the worst battles since the fighting began on April 15. The clashes intensified between the military and the RSF in the town of Kutum in North Darfur province. Residents reported that the town’s market, many houses, and a camp for displaced people were burned down. There were reports of dozens of casualties among civilians. Darfur Gov. Mini Arko Minawi said on Twitter on Sunday that Kutum residents have experienced “terrible violations” including killings and looting. Minawi, a rebel leader who was named governor of the western region as part of a 2020 peace deal, declared Darfur a “disaster area." He urged the international community to send humanitarian assistance “by all available means to save people in the stricken region.”

Fighting escalates in Khartoum after ceasefire expires

DUBAI (Reuters)/Sun, June 4, 2023
Fighting intensified in several areas of Khartoum on Sunday, residents of Sudan's capital reported, a day after the expiry of a ceasefire deal between rival military factions brokered by Saudi Arabia and the United States. The ceasefire had started on May 22 and expired on Saturday evening. It calmed the fighting slightly and allowed limited humanitarian access, but like previous truces was repeatedly violated. Talks to extend the ceasefire broke down on Friday. The deadly power struggle which erupted in Sudan on April 15 has triggered a major humanitarian crisis in which more than 1.2 million people have been displaced within the country and caused another 400,000 to flee into neighbouring states. It also threatens to estabilise the region as a whole. Live footage on Sunday showed black smoke billowing above the capital. "In southern Khartoum we are living in terror of violent bombardment, the sound of anti-aircraft guns and power cuts," said 34-year-old resident Sara Hassan by phone. "We are in real hell." Among the other areas where fighting was reported were central and southern Khartoum, and Bahri, across the Blue Nile to the north. Beyond the capital, deadly fighting has also broken out in the remote western region of Darfur, already grappling with long-running unrest and huge humanitarian challenges. Witnesses reported that heavy fighting on Friday and Saturday had brought chaos to Kutum, one of the main towns and a commercial hub in North Darfur. The army denied claims that the RSF, which developed out of Darfur militias and has its power base in the region, had taken over the town. Witnesses said a military plane had crashed in Omdurman, one of three cities around the confluence of the Nile that make up the greater capital region. There was no immediate comment from the army, which has been using warplanes to target the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) spread out across the capital.
FIRST RAINS
Separately Sudanese antiquities authorities said RSF fighters had withdrawn from the national museum in central Khartoum. On Saturday, the RSF released a video filmed inside the grounds of the museum, which houses ancient mummies and other precious artefacts, denying they had harmed the collection.
Fighting in the capital has led to widespread damage and looting, a collapse in health services, power and water cuts, and dwindling food supplies. In recent days the first rains of the year have fallen, heralding the start of a rainy season that runs till around October and brings flooding and a heightened risk of water-borne diseases. The rains could complicate a relief effort already hampered by bureaucratic delays and logistical challenges. Aid workers have warned that dead bodies have been left in the streets and uncollected rubbish has been piling up. Saudi Arabia and the U.S. said they were continuing to engage daily with delegations from the army and the RSF, which had remained in Jeddah even though talks to extend the ceasefire were suspended last week. "Those discussions are focused on facilitating humanitarian assistance and reaching agreement on near-term steps the parties must take before the Jeddah talks resume," the two countries said in a statement.

Iraq and Syria discuss tackling cross-border drug trade

BAGHDAD (Reuters)/Sun, June 4, 2023
Iraq and Syria's foreign ministers discussed ways to help end drug trafficking across their joint border at a meeting in Baghdad on Sunday, Iraq's Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein said. "Today we have discussed cooperation between Iraq and Syria to fight drug trade. It’s known that Iraq is a corridor for trafficking and regrettably drug consumption has begun in Iraqi society," Hussein told a joint press conference with Syria's Foreign Minister Faisal Mekdad, who arrived in Baghdad on Saturday evening for a two-day visit. Hussein said the humanitarian crisis of the Syrian refugees in Iraq, whom he estimated at around 250,000 people, was also part of the bilateral talks. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad received a warm welcome at last month's Arab League summit after Arab states agreed to reinstate Syria's full membership of the league, after it was suspended for 12 years over Assad's crackdown on protests against his regime. Having welcomed back Assad, Arab states want him to curb a flourishing Syrian trade in narcotics, which are produced in Syria and smuggled across the region. The Syrian government denies any role in the trade, for which Syrian officials and Assad relatives have faced Western sanctions.
Arab governments and the West accuse Damascus of producing the highly-addictive and lucrative amphetamine captagon and organizing its smuggling into the Gulf. The Iraqi and Syrian foreign ministers also discussed “steps Syria has achieved on the ground” to curb the illegal trade, an Iraqi government official who attended Sunday's meeting, but did not wish to be identified, told Reuters. During his visit to Baghdad, Mekdad will also meet Iraq's president, prime minister, parliament speaker and chief of the Supreme Judicial Council, Hussein said.

Gunmen kill dozens and kidnap children in northern Nigeria
BAUCHI, Nigeria (Reuters)/Sun, June 4, 2023
Gunmen in Nigeria have killed dozens of people and kidnapped a number of children in separate attacks in two northern states, police and residents said on Sunday, the latest incidents in a region dogged by armed violence. Armed gangs on motorbikes frequently take advantage of thinly stretched security forces in the region to kidnap villagers, motorists and students for ransom. Residents said armed men had attacked Janbako and Sakkida villages in northwestern Zamfara state on Saturday, killing 24 people. The gunmen also abducted several children who were collecting firewood in a forest in neighbouring Gora village. Hussaini Ahmadu and Abubakar Maradun, local residents in Janbako and Sakkida, told Reuters by phone that the gangs had earlier in the week demanded villagers pay a fee to enable them to farm their fields, but villagers did not do so. Zamfara police spokesman Yazid Abubakar confirmed the attacks but said only 13 people had been reported killed and nine young boys and girls kidnapped. In north central Benue state, gunmen killed 25 people and set their houses on fire during an attack on Saturday on the Imande Mbakange community, two residents said. The motive of the attack was not known. Police did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Belgian Prime Minister Briefly Knocked Out in Bike Fall
Reuters/June 04/2023
Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo fell from a bicycle and briefly lost consciousness but hospital tests revealed no lasting effects, national news agency Belga reported. The incident happened when De Croo, 47, was on a bike ride with his son late on Saturday afternoon near his home in the Flanders region, according to Belga, citing the prime minister's office. De Croo lost consciousness for a few moments and was taken to hospital for checks, Belga reported.The accident was not expected to affect the premier's schedule for the coming week, Belga said.

China defends buzzing American warship in Taiwan Strait, accuses US of provocation
Associated Press/June 04/2023
China's defense minister defended sailing a warship across the path of an American destroyer and Canadian frigate transiting the Taiwan Strait, telling a gathering of some of the world's top defense officials in Singapore on Sunday that such so-called "freedom of navigation" patrols are a provocation to China.
In his first international public address since becoming defense minister in March, Gen. Li Shangfu told the Shangri-La Dialogue that China doesn't have any problems with "innocent passage" but that "we must prevent attempts that try to use those freedom of navigation (patrols), that innocent passage, to exercise hegemony of navigation." U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told the same forum Saturday that Washington would not "flinch in the face of bullying or coercion" from China and would continue regularly sailing through and flying over the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea to emphasize they are international waters, countering Beijing's sweeping territorial claims. That same day, as a U.S. guided-missile destroyer and a Canadian frigate were intercepted by a Chinese warship as they transited the strait between the self-governed island of Taiwan, which China claims as its own territory, and mainland China. The Chinese vessel overtook the American ship and then veered across its bow at a distance of 150 yards (about 140 meters) in an "unsafe manner," according to the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command. Additionally, the U.S. has said a Chinese J-16 fighter jet late last month "performed an unnecessarily aggressive maneuver" while intercepting a U.S. Air Force reconnaissance aircraft over the South China Sea, flying directly in front of the plane's nose. Those and previous incidents have raised concerns of a possible accident occurring that could lead to an escalation between the two nations at a time when tensions are already high.
Li suggested the U.S. and its allies had created the danger, and should instead should focus on taking "good care of your own territorial airspace and waters."
"The best way is for the countries, especially the naval vessels and fighter jets of countries, not to do closing actions around other countries' territories," he said through an interpreter. "What's the point of going there? In China we always say, 'Mind your own business.'"In a wide-ranging speech, Li reiterated many of Beijing's well-known positions, including its claim on Taiwan, calling it "the core of our core interests." He accused the U.S. and others of "meddling in China's internal affairs" by providing Taiwan with defense support and training, and conducting high-level diplomatic visits. "China stays committed to the path of peaceful development, but we will never hesitate to defend our legitimate rights and interests, let alone sacrifice the nation's core interests," he said. "As the lyrics of a well-known Chinese song go: 'When friends visit us, we welcome them with fine wine. When jackals or wolves come, we will face them with shotguns.'"In his speech the previous day, Austin broadly outlined the U.S. vision for a "free, open, and secure Indo-Pacific within a world of rules and rights."In the pursuit of such, Austin said the U.S. was stepping up planning, coordination and training with "friends from the East China Sea to the South China Sea to the Indian Ocean" with shared goals "to deter aggression and to deepen the rules and norms that promote prosperity and prevent conflict."
Li scoffed at the notion, saying "some country takes a selective approach to rules and international laws." "It likes forcing its own rules on others," he said. "Its so-called 'rules-based international order' never tells you what the rules are and who made these rules."By contrast, he said, "we practice multilateralism and pursue win-win cooperation."Li is under American sanctions that are part of a broad package of measures against Russia — but predate its invasion of Ukraine — that were imposed in 2018 over Li's involvement in China's purchase of combat aircraft and anti-aircraft missiles from Moscow. The sanctions, which broadly prevent Li from doing business in the United States, do not prevent him from holding official talks, American defense officials have said. Still, he refused Austin's invitation to talk on the sidelines of the conference, though the two did shake hands before sitting down at opposite sides of the same table together as the forum opened Friday. Austin said that was not enough. "A cordial handshake over dinner is no substitute for a substantive engagement," Austin said. The U.S. has noted that since 2021 — well before Li became defense minister — China has declined or failed to respond to more than a dozen requests from the U.S. Defense Department to talk with senior leaders, as well as multiple requests for standing dialogues and working-level engagements. Li said that "China is open to communications between our two countries and also between our two militaries," but without mentioning the sanctions, said exchanges had to be "based on mutual respect."
"That is a very fundamental principle," he said. "If we do not even have mutual respect, than our communications will not be productive." He said that he recognized that any "severe conflict or confrontation between China and the U.S. will be an unbearable disaster for the world," and that the two countries need to find ways to improve relations, saying they were "at a record low.""History has proven time and again that both China and the United States will benefit from cooperation and lose from confrontation," he said. "China seeks to develop a new type of major-country relationship with the United States. As for the U.S. side, it needs to act with sincerity, match its words with deeds, and take concrete actions together with China to stabilize the relations and prevent further deterioration," Li said.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 04-05/2023
Biden Is Not Serious about Ukraine Defeating Russia
Con Coughlin/Gatestone Institute./June 4, 2023
[G]iven the unconscionable delays that have affected other commitments by the Biden administration to provide Kyiv with advanced weapons, concerns remain about whether the aircraft will actually arrive in time to make a material difference to Ukraine's war effort.
Procrastination and equivocation have been the key watchwords of Biden's response to the Ukraine crisis, with the supposed leader of the free world seemingly incapable of making a decision about how best to provide the Ukrainians with the weaponry they require to defeat their Russian adversaries.
Making the announcement at the recent G7 summit in Japan, US National security adviser Jake Sullivan said Biden "informed his G7 counterparts" of the decision during the summit, and that the US would also supervise training of Ukrainian pilots.
At the same time, the administration moved swiftly to dampen expectations that the aircraft would be delivered anytime soon and that, when they did materialise, it was unlikely to make a significant difference to Ukraine's war efforts -- not exactly the ringing endorsement of support the Ukrainians were expecting.
The US, while willing to provide training and support, had indicated it does not want to send American warplanes to Ukraine, mainly because of the Biden administration's aversion to upsetting Russian President Vladimir Putin.
All of which suggests that, rather than providing a tangible uplift to Ukraine's war-fighting capabilities, Biden's announcement about sending F-16s to Kyiv could prove to be little more than an empty gesture, one that raises serious doubts about whether the Biden administration really has any genuine interest in Ukraine winning this bloody war.
Given the unconscionable delays that have affected other commitments by the Biden administration to provide Kyiv with advanced weapons, concerns remain about whether the aircraft will actually arrive in time to make a material difference to Ukraine's war effort. Pictured: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and US President Joe Biden meet during the G7 Leaders' Summit in Hiroshima, Japan on May 21, 2023.
It has required a major U-turn on the part of President Joe Biden to finally give his approval for F-16 warplanes to be supplied to Ukraine. Even so, given the unconscionable delays that have affected other commitments by the Biden administration to provide Kyiv with advanced weapons, concerns remain about whether the aircraft will actually arrive in time to make a material difference to Ukraine's war effort.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and his senior military advisors have been appealing to their Western allies for months to be given access to Western warplanes as they seek to inflict a decisive victory against their Russian foes.
While the Ukrainian air force has exceeded expectations in withstanding Russia's aerial bombardment, questions have been raised about the ability of the country's ageing fleet of Soviet-era MiG fighters, which have suffered significant losses during the year-long conflict, to continue providing the air cover required to maintain military operations.
A shortage of available warplanes is said to be one of the key reasons Kyiv has postponed its long-anticipated spring offensive to liberate eastern Ukraine and the Crimea from Russian occupation.
As Zelensky himself recently conceded, without first establishing air superiority, Ukrainian forces could suffer heavy casualties if they advanced without proper protection. "We will lose a lot of people," the Ukrainian leader admitted in a recent interview.
Biden's decision, therefore, to back Western efforts to provide Ukraine with F-16 fighters, a vastly superior warplane compared with the country's current fleet of MiG fighters, therefore has the potential to be a game-changer for the Ukrainians, even if the Biden administration's characteristic dithering over the issue means it could be months before any Ukrainian F-16s actually see combat.
Procrastination and equivocation have been the key watchwords of Biden's response to the Ukraine crisis, with the supposed leader of the free world seemingly incapable of making a decision about how best to provide the Ukrainians with the weaponry they require to defeat their Russian adversaries.
At the start of the conflict, Biden hesitated about providing Kyiv with the long-range HIMARS rocket systems that, when finally introduced, enabled the Ukrainians to make a number of spectacular gains on the battlefield. Then he delayed making a decision about providing the Ukrainians with western battle tanks.
A similar pattern of unpardonable prevarication has defined Biden's response to Kyiv's request - made at the start of the year - to be provided with sophisticated Western warplanes.
Following Zelensky's public appeal to be supplied with sophisticated Western fighters such as F-16s, Biden initially responded by ruling out sending the warplanes to Ukraine which, as they were developed by the US, require Washington's approval before being handed over to third parties.
In an interview with ABC's David Muir in February, Biden declared that Ukraine "doesn't need F-16s now" and that "I am ruling it out for now," while the following month Colin Kahl, a top Pentagon policy official, told U.S. lawmakers that even if the president approved F-16s for Ukraine, it could take as long as two years to get Ukrainian pilots trained and equipped.
It was only after a number of key European allies, including the UK, France, Germany and Poland, backed the creation of a Western "coalition of jets" to boost Ukraine's war effort, that Biden eventually agreed that the transfer of the warplanes could go ahead – assuming, that is, that sufficient numbers of the warplanes were available to donate to the Ukrainian cause.
Making the announcement at the recent G7 summit in Japan, US National security adviser Jake Sullivan said Biden "informed his G7 counterparts" of the decision during the summit, and that the US would also supervise training of Ukrainian pilots.
At the same time, the administration moved swiftly to dampen expectations that the aircraft would be delivered anytime soon and that, when they did materialise, it was unlikely to make a significant difference to Ukraine's war efforts -- not exactly the ringing endorsement of support the Ukrainians were expecting.
US Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall was among a number of senior officials urging caution about the announcement, suggesting it could take several months to iron out the details of providing the aircraft.
"It will take several months at best for them to have that capability and there are a lot of details that are going to have to be sorted out," Kendall said. "It will give the Ukrainians an incremental capability that they don't have right now. But it's not going to be a dramatic game changer."
One of the big hurdles that needs to be overcome is finding F-16s that can be donated to Ukraine in the first place. The US, while willing to provide training and support, had indicated it does not want to send American warplanes to Ukraine, mainly because of the Biden administration's aversion to upsetting Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Meanwhile, European countries, such as the Netherlands, Belgium, Denmark and Poland, which operate F-16s and have led the campaign for them to be sent to Ukraine, say they have insufficient numbers of the aircraft to give to the Ukrainians.
All of which suggests that, rather than providing a tangible uplift to Ukraine's war-fighting capabilities, Biden's announcement about sending F-16s to Kyiv could prove to be little more than an empty gesture, one that raises serious doubts about whether the Biden administration really has any genuine interest in Ukraine winning this bloody war.
*Con Coughlin is the Telegraph's Defence and Foreign Affairs Editor and a Distinguished Senior Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
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Is the Middle East on the threshold of restructuring?
Yasar Yakis/Arab News/June 04, 2023
The political order that prevailed in the Middle East for centuries came to an end after the First World War. The victors of the war designed the region according to their own priorities.
Two British authors, David Fromkin and James Barr, have published two different books that provide details on how the Middle East was shaped after the First World War. The title of David Fromkin’s book is “A Peace to End All Peace,” and argues that the Versailles peace treaty put an end to peace in the Middle East and that the region could not recover from the calamity. The title of James Barr’s book is “A Line in the Sand.”
Both books describe the little care with which the present borders were drawn in the Middle East after the First World War, irrespective of tribal, sectarian and geographic considerations. We are now suffering from the consequences of this hasty and careless work. After more than a century, we may expect that the borders will be stabilized and neighboring countries will solve their problems in peaceful ways.
The US arrival in the Middle East dates back to the aftermath of the Second World War, especially with the emergence of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. More than 70 years after its arrival, the US influence in the Middle East is now diminishing despite Washington’s claims that it is not going to withdraw from the region any time soon. It hesitated at one stage about whether it should increase its presence in the Pacific Rim at the expense of its presence in the Middle East. However, international relations have gained importance in the region that it has become almost impossible for Washington to reduce its military presence. On the other hand, China is steadily increasing its economic and diplomatic weight in the region.
Is the Middle East on the threshold of a restructuring? China, which was almost absent in the region, has started to creep in only recently. It is now playing concrete roles in the Middle East. Beijing has so far avoided stationing a military presence in the region. However, as China further establishes itself as an economic actor it will also increase its diplomatic weight, and ultimately it may need to station soldiers to protect its interests.
China’s initiative may also counterbalance America’s role in the Middle East. US interference in Iraq has changed several paradigms in the region. On the other hand, the Iraq war caused enormous destruction of the infrastructure of the country. Estimates of the financial cost to the US vary between $1.1 trillion and $3 trillion.
The human cost is estimated to be 5 million orphans and 100,000 Iraqi lives. More than 7,000 US service members and more than 8,000 contractors have died. Iraq is practically divided into three, with Kurds in the north, Shiites in the south, and Sunnis in the middle. Daesh became the worst headache for the region and for distant countries such as Mali and Nigeria, and the group is still far from being eliminated.
The more the diplomatic and economic presence of China increases, the more US influence will be balanced by China.
During the last Iraq war, the author of this article was Turkiye’s foreign minister when the Turkish parliament refused the movement of US troops through Turkish territory for the purpose of opening a new American front in the north of Iraq. This decision did not change the course of events in Iraq, but at least the Turkish parliament proved its maturity by challenging a country such as the US in the Middle East. At a later stage, Turkiye had again to yield to US pressure, but this pressure died away slowly.
China is making efforts to mediate between two important Middle Eastern countries — Saudi Arabia and Iran. Both will gain from an increase in stability. All sources of conflict will not of course be eliminated overnight, but they may fade away one after the other as time goes by. For years, Riyadh and Tehran had fluctuating relations. China’s present mediation has the potential to open a new era, because after the turmoil that the Middle East has been through, a restructuring of relations has become almost a must.
Saudi-Iran relations suffered a breakdown in 2016 when rioters in Iran ransacked the Saudi Embassy in Tehran and the Saudi consulate in Mashhad.
China’s efforts to reconcile the countries of the Gulf region date back to 2020. It submitted to the UN Security Council a proposal for security and stability in the Gulf region because it has important stakes in the countries of the region, both in trade volume and in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative.
A more recent Chinese initiative took place on Dec. 7, 2022, when the Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, visited Saudi Arabia and signed more than 20 agreements — worth $29.3 billion in the energy, transport and housing sectors.
China has given both Saudi Arabia and Iran the status of “comprehensive strategic partners.” There are no other Middle Eastern countries that enjoy such a status. In view of the biting economic embargo imposed by the US on Iran, this gesture by China will bring relative relief to Iran by increasing trade volume.
In light of the Benjamin Netanyahu government’s diminishing strength, the circumstances have also become ripe for Saudi Arabia to bring back to the agenda the late King Abdullah’s Arab Peace Initiative of 2002 as a solution to the Palestinian issue.
China is also a country that remains equidistant between East and West, and gives a helping hand when it becomes necessary, thus avoiding staining its hands. The more the diplomatic and economic presence of China increases, the more US influence will be balanced by China. We may be on the threshold of a more stabilized Middle East but we are not yet there.
• Yasar Yakis is a former foreign minister of Turkiye and founding member of the ruling AK Party.
Twitter: @yakis_yasar

The chances of Biden’s 2024 Democratic challengers

Dalia Al-Aqidi/Arab News/June 04, 2023
In his third year in office, US President Joe Biden is diligently preparing for a critically significant round of elections aimed at securing a second term, despite facing challenges stemming from his relatively low approval ratings and perceived subpar performance.
Prior to contending against his Republican opponent in the general election, Biden must successfully navigate the Democratic primaries and secure his party’s official nomination. This process necessitates garnering support from within the Democratic Party, rallying party members, and triumphing over fellow contenders in a competitive and rigorous selection process, all in an effort to solidify his candidacy and pave the way for a robust campaign in pursuit of a second presidential term.
Alongside the emergence of seven Republican contenders vying for their party’s coveted nomination, Biden confronts a distinct challenge from within his own party. A cadre of fellow Democrats, each possessing their own unique strengths and policy platforms, has stepped forward to compete against Biden in the race for the party’s nomination.
As the primary season unfolds, the landscape of Democratic candidates comes into focus. Each contender brings attributes, be it a proven track record in public service, a charismatic and compelling persona, or a bold policy agenda to address the nation’s pressing challenges. The upcoming battle for the Democratic nomination promises to be a riveting display of political competition, with Biden navigating the complex landscape of party politics, facing not only external opposition from Republicans but also an internal struggle against his fellow Democratic contenders.
Ultimately, the fate of the Democratic Party’s nomination rests in the hands of voters as they weigh the merits, qualifications and promises of each candidate, deciding who possesses the vision and leadership qualities required to secure their party’s nomination and potentially unseat Biden from the pinnacle of Democratic politics.
Candidate No. 1 is President Biden, with Kamala Harris on the ticket. In a poignant video unveiling his candidacy, Biden drew on the resonating themes that defined his initial presidential bid, highlighting the continuing struggle for the very essence and character of the US. With an official declaration that ended widespread speculation, he has unequivocally announced his intention to embark on a quest for a second term in the upcoming 2024 presidential elections.
Recalling his steadfast declaration from four years ago, Biden invoked the prevailing notion of America being locked in a consequential battle for its soul, thereby underscoring the enduring urgency that continues to permeate the national consciousness. He emphasized that the crucial question confronting the nation in the years to come revolves around the fundamental principles it is built on: Preserving and expanding individual freedoms, safeguarding fundamental rights, and the overarching vision for a more inclusive and equitable society.
Ironically, Republicans are running to achieve the same goal, away from the far left.
Biden’s resolute declaration heralds the commencement of an arduous yet essential journey, wherein he seeks to persuade the electorate that his steadfast leadership will steer the nation toward a future marked by enhanced freedoms, expanded rights and a thriving society that embodies the values and ideals symbolic of a united and prosperous US. Nevertheless, he had his turn and failed; what would make his second term successful?
This raises an intriguing question: Who are the other two candidates, and what do they bring to the table in their bid to wrest the nomination from Biden’s grasp?
With their diverse backgrounds, they seek to capture the attention and support of Democratic voters, hoping to convince them that they offer a superior alternative to Biden’s leadership.
In a notable development, Marianne Williamson has become the first Democrat to formally announce her presidential bid, demonstrating an unwavering determination to enter the electoral fray.
The upcoming battle for the Democratic nomination promises to be a riveting display of political competition.
Williamson’s decision to enter the race positions her as the foremost primary challenger to Biden within the Democratic Party. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that her chances of securing the Democratic nomination are widely perceived to be highly improbable. At the age of 70, Williamson brings to the table her credentials as an esteemed author and spiritual adviser. Having previously pursued the Democratic nomination during the 2020 presidential election cycle, she encountered limited success in gaining significant traction amid a fiercely competitive field of contenders. After withdrawing from the race, Williamson extended her endorsement to Andrew Yang during the pivotal Iowa caucuses.
While Marianne Williamson’s candidacy adds a new dimension to the political landscape, it is essential to recognize the prevailing skepticism regarding her potential to emerge as the Democratic Party’s nominee. Nonetheless, her entry into the race signifies a continuing commitment to engaging in the democratic process and shaping the national discourse, contributing to the vibrant tapestry of ideas and perspectives that define American politics.
The second candidate is renowned as a scion of one of America’s most illustrious political families. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an activist espousing anti-vaccine sentiments, officially declared his candidacy for the presidency on April 5, signaling his intent to challenge incumbent Biden for the party’s nomination. However, Kennedy’s endeavor to secure the nomination in opposition to the president is widely regarded as a formidable undertaking, with limited prospects of success.
At the age of 69, Kennedy, the nephew of President John F. Kennedy and the son of Robert F. Kennedy, initially established himself as a bestselling author and an accomplished environmental lawyer, focusing his efforts on critical issues such as preserving clean water resources.
Kennedy veered down a controversial path more than 15 years ago, becoming deeply entrenched in the belief that vaccines pose inherent risks. Since then, he has emerged as a prominent figure within the anti-vaccine movement, a stance that has drawn criticism from public health experts and even members of his own family, who have characterized his work as misleading and hazardous to public health.
Notably, his anti-vaccine advocacy has intensified in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent development of vaccines, culminating in a notable surge in revenues for his anti-vaccine charity, which reportedly doubled to reach $6.8 million.
In 2021, Kennedy released a book, “The Real Anthony Fauci,” in which he leveled accusations against the country’s foremost infectious disease expert, alleging that he played a role in an unprecedented subversion of Western democracy. Furthermore, Kennedy used his platform to endorse unproven treatments for COVID-19, including the administration of ivermectin, primarily prescribed for parasitic infections, and the anti-malarial drug hydroxychloroquine.
While Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s entry into the presidential race adds a distinct facet to the political landscape, it is essential to acknowledge the controversial nature of his anti-vaccine activism and the ensuing skepticism surrounding his candidacy. Nevertheless, his decision to pursue the presidency contributes to the broader tapestry of ideas and perspectives that define American democracy, prompting continuing discussions about public health, scientific consensus and the boundaries of political discourse.
In adherence to electoral tradition, it is highly uncommon for prominent Democrats to challenge a sitting president. However, if circumstances transpire wherein President Biden chooses not to pursue re-election, whether due to concerns surrounding his age, which has sparked detailed discussions within his party or for other unforeseen factors, the political landscape could potentially witness the emergence of alternative Democratic contenders.
Ultimately, the unfolding political trajectory remains uncertain. However, the prospect of alternative Democratic candidates entering the race injects a sense of anticipation, compelling us to recognize the potential for a strong and diverse field of contenders who can ignite a spirited exchange of ideas and take the position away.
• Dalia Al-Aqidi is a senior fellow at the Center for Security Policy.
Twitter: @DaliaAlAqidi

Cooperation between regional and global organizations important for addressing climate crisis
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/June 04, 2023
The climate crisis has posed several critical threats and inflicted crippling losses across the world, particularly in the Middle East.
One of the important issues with the climate crisis is that when a sector in society is negatively impacted by climate change, it affects other parts as well since the various sectors are interconnected. For example, long periods of drought in some regions have a negative impact on food production, which will subsequently affect people’s health. This will likely put more pressure and strain on the healthcare system as well.
Climate change is not just linked to longer periods of droughts — it also causes more frequent and disastrous floods, as warmer air temperatures lead to more melting of glacier ice and warming of the oceans, along with rising sea levels. Additionally, it causes harm to animals, more wildfires, declining biodiversity, heatwaves, storms and tropical cyclones, and soil degradation, to name only a few problems.
In the long term, if some of the damage, such as water scarcity and lack of agricultural resources, continues to increase to the extent that freshwater resources are depleted in some countries, this will have an impact on national security and political stability.
Devastating impacts can lead to an increase in human morbidity as well, due to “increased heat and infectious diseases, inequality and poverty rates, risk to water and energy security due to drought and heat, and reduced economic output and growth.” As the UN has pointed out, other harmful impacts of climate change are “unquantifiable losses and damages, particularly for many communities and countries in the developing world — loss of lives and livelihoods, as well as degradation of territory, farmland, cultural heritage, indigenous knowledge, societal and cultural identity, biodiversity, and ecosystem services.”
As a result, damages and losses caused by climate change are not solely limited to non-economic factors. Economic losses include the cost of rebuilding communities and infrastructure, as well as the decreasing revenues in the agriculture industry. For instance, when it comes to the US, the total cost of weather/climate disaster events exceeds $2.5 trillion, according to the National Centers for Environmental Information.
Unfortunately, developing countries as well as communities with lower socio-economic classes, older people, women and children disproportionately experience the impacts of losses and damages caused by climate change. According to a recent study at Dartmouth College, global warming caused by only five countries, including the US, has caused $6 trillion in global economic losses, and those losses reportedly have not been “suffered equally — the burden has fallen disproportionately on low-income countries that have contributed the least to the problem.”
In other words, climate change does not recognize borders and one country’s policies and actions can affect not only its own sectors, but also other countries’ as well.
The Middle East and North Africa is one of the most vulnerable regions when it comes to climate change.
It is also worth noting that the Middle East and North Africa is one of the most vulnerable regions when it comes to climate change. This is due to the dry or semi-dry environment of the region. The Middle East and North Africa have been particularly impacted by climate change since temperatures are rising almost twice as quickly as in other parts of the world, according to a report by the Cyprus Institute’s Climate and Atmosphere Research Center and the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry. Countries such as Iraq, Syria, Jordan and Iran have witnessed significant desertification. Water scarcity is another critical factor for the Middle East because of its rising population growth. The MENA region is already characterized as the most water-scarce region of the world.
It is critical to point out that tackling the climate crisis requires that all countries, especially the developed ones, take action. This means that poorer countries need support in order to adapt and address the climate crisis.
Regional and global cooperation is extremely important. In the MENA, the Arab League can play a critical role through its work and collaboration with the UN, the EU and other regional or international organizations.
There are already effective programs such as the Middle East Green initiative, which was launched in 2021 by Saudi Arabia. The initiative can amplify “impact in the global fight against climate change, while creating far-reaching economic opportunities for the region.”
When it comes to tackling the climate crisis, some of the most critical steps to take are reducing greenhouse gas emissions, through investments in efficient infrastructure, which reduces emissions, and by conserving water. The world is increasingly facing water stress or scarcity, with demand frequently being higher than supply in some areas.
The UN estimated in 2016 that approximately two-thirds of the world’s population could be facing water shortages by 2025. This will also negatively impact the ecosystem. And a 2022 report by the Council on Foreign Relations highlighted that water stress can “differ dramatically from one place to another, in some cases causing wide-reaching damage, including to public health, economic development, and global trade. It can also drive mass migrations and spark conflict. Now, pressure is mounting on countries to implement more sustainable and innovative practices and to improve international cooperation on water management.”
In conclusion, to address climate change more effectively, regional and global organizations must collaborate more closely. Tackling the climate crisis is not only about protecting and preserving biodiversity and the planet, but it is also related to protecting our future and the coming generations.
• Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist.
Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh

Redesign the business model to end plastic pollution

Ranvir S. Nayar/Arab News/June 04, 2023
This World Environment Day 2023, which falls on June 5, is a special occasion. It is the 50th World Environment Day. The theme for this year is ending plastic pollution, one of the biggest and most pervasive hazards that the environment faces.
After the proliferation of plastic in every aspect of life during the past five decades, when mountains of plastics emerged in every corner of the world and traces of plastic were found in fish and other marine life, the dialogue over the past 10 years or so, at least in Europe, began to shift to recycling. This was seen as a solution to the toxic menace that global corporates, always on the lookout for easy solutions, had created by the excessive use of plastic.
This focus around recycling provided a thin veil of dignity, but even more than that a kind of secrecy for companies as business continued exactly as before. Under the magic mantra of “recycle,” companies and consumers began playing with plastics as never before. As a result, global plastic production has continued to increase every year since the 1950s, from 100 million tons a year in the 1990s to almost 400 million tons last year.
The rate of recycling is at the very best 9 percent a year, meaning that almost 360 million tons of plastic produced last year will end up in landfills, water streams and oceans, spreading highly toxic microplastics and entering the food chain of every animal.
After years of proactively promoting and advocating recycling, even the UN Environment Programme has admitted that recycling is no solution to the plastics menace. In a speech delivered in Paris earlier this week, Inger Andersen, executive director of UNEP, said that recycling was not the answer. She added that current commitments for cutting plastics would lead to a reduction of only 8 percent in total plastic production and consumption by the year 2040, a classic case of too little, too late.
Andersen admitted to something that environmentalists had long been saying, that recycling was no solution as the global recycling infrastructure was entirely unable to cope with today’s volumes of plastic.
Admitting the failure of recycling was remarkably frank, at least for a senior UN official. Andersen then hit the nail on the head, saying that everything about plastics and the use of plastics in businesses needed to be rethought and redesigned.
That requires businesses to get over their tendency to go for low-hanging fruit and immediate returns rather than looking for credible and reliable solutions to the problems of the world today. This involves commitment toward good and sustainable business practices as well as a significant increase in investments. And to ensure that businesses are doing what is required, governments must put in place policies and rules and also ensure that these norms are strictly followed to achieve a real and meaningful cut in the production and consumption of plastics.
The world needs to unlearn a significant number of its habits and ways of doing business which have developed over the past 50 years. A complete transformation of current practices and a significant cut in the consumption of plastics at every stage is needed.
Everything about plastics and the use of plastics in businesses needs to be rethought and redesigned.
To get there, the first thing that is needed is to redesign products so that they use far less plastic. Indeed, as Andersen put it, the world does not need shampoos, soaps and detergents to be liquified, put in a plastic container and then delivered to consumers.
One of the significant factors in rising plastic pollution lies in the packaging of products such as shampoos, which can come in sizes varying from sachets of a few milliliters to plastic bottles of several liters. One of the easier solutions is to develop packaging out of natural materials such as bamboo or paper, or simply transport dried chemicals that can become shampoos or creams once you add water.
The other, once again very evident and very simple exercise, would be to rethink and redesign the packaging and shipping of products — two more aspects of modern business that are responsible for a huge amount of plastic consumption and wastage.
The amount of waste generated by plastic packaging has also been rising in the past two decades, more so with the boom, initially just in e-commerce and during the COVID-19 pandemic, in food delivery services in the past three years. The amount of plastic waste generated by packaging accounts for more than 40 percent of total plastic waste, hence the more than 250 million metric tons of plastic packaging that ends up as garbage every year.
Here again, there have been calls to reduce plastic packaging and replace plastic with biodegradable material, but too little has been done and clearly it would need strict and well-enforced laws to remove plastics from the packaging side of business.
The third aspect concerns the creation of an ecosystem where products are designed for long-life use and also for reuse and recycling — for instance, replacing small cosmetic bottles with big containers that are refilled when needed. This is especially true of cosmetics, as well as hotel toiletries, and can be expanded to domestic toiletries and food and beverages, which can be sold only in refillable and/or reusable glass bottles. For hotels, large dispensers, preferably non-plastic, can be provided for guests and refilled by housekeeping staff as needed.
None of these measures are revolutionary or innovative. They have been around for decades but have been forgotten or cast aside by businesses that were looking for ease of operations and increasing sales. This has led to the proliferation of plastics and other packaging materials. Note the sachets of shampoos and all kinds of cosmetics that did not exist two decades ago and serve no real purpose other than to boost a company’s turnover at a massive cost to the environment.
The plastic menace can be swiftly and effectively curtailed and even terminated if governments and consumers take tough decisions, which may hurt briefly but will eventually save the planet. It is time to bite the plastic bullet.
• Ranvir S. Nayar is managing editor of Media India Group.