English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For January 16/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2023/english.january16.23.htm

News Bulletin Achieves Since 2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006

Bible Quotations For today
If any want to become my followers, let them deny themselves and take up their cross and follow me
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 16/24-28: “Then Jesus told his disciples, ‘If any want to become my followers, let them deny themselves and take up their cross and follow me. For those who want to save their life will lose it, and those who lose their life for my sake will find it. For what will it profit them if they gain the whole world but forfeit their life? Or what will they give in return for their life? ‘For the Son of Man is to come with his angels in the glory of his Father, and then he will repay everyone for what has been done. Truly I tell you, there are some standing here who will not taste death before they see the Son of Man coming in his kingdom.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on January 15-16/2023
Lebanon's national and sovereign image was embodied in the courageous stances adopted by Jbeil Emam Ahmed Laqees's, in advocating with faith and love for William Noun's case./Elias Bejjani/January 15/2023
Sheikh Laqees warns: You will see additional anger.
Al-Rahi: Noon's arrest showed that judiciary has become tool for vengeance
Bishop Aoudi to the honorable officials and judges: Stop the immoral abuse of the families of the suffering victims and the unprofessional transgression of the law, and impose justice
Makhzoumi at a dinner in honor of "Global Political Exchange Foundation": The Lebanese are waiting for an end to the situation, with the support of...
Al-Murtada: Let us all move in the spirit of fearing God, overcome the barricades of sectarian fear
Murad criticizes political class, warns of educational sector's collapse
Abiad to inaugurate new surgery departments at Al-Zahraa Hospital tomorrow
Energy Minister to hold press conference tomorrow to explain latest developments, present an initiative
Minister Hajj Hassan from Baalbek: For a national dialogue, the gateway of which is electing a president

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on January 15-16/2023
UK urged to expel Iranian diplomats over ‘shocking’ execution
UK to reassess Iran nuclear deal after dual national’s execution
NATO: More Heavy Weapons for Ukraine 'in the Near Future'
As Russia tries to grow its army, a mobilized soldier recounts horror of Makiivka attack
Qatar, France discuss Syrian humanitarian cooperation
Iraq PM backs continued US troop presence
Iran, Syria set to renew long-term agreement, Raisi to visit Damascus
Turkish offensive in Syria ‘possible any time,’ says Erdogan aide
Palestinians say Israeli troops kill man in West Bank
Netanyahu moving ahead on legal overhaul despite outcry
Where are the Gulf Arab tourists? Israel's hopes fall short

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on January 15-16/2023
Iran must be punished for supplying weapons to Houthis/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/January 15, 2023
It is vital for Europe that Ukraine prevails/Col. Taras Dzuba/Arab News/January 15, 2023
Mysterious assassination may shake Erdogan’s coalition partner/Yasar Yakis/Arab News/January 15, 2023
Destroying American Democracy - An Inside Job/Pete Hoekstra/Gatestone Institute/January 15/2023
Egypt And Saudi Arabia…an Important Statement/Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 15 January, 2023

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on January 14-15/2023
Lebanon's national and sovereign image was embodied in the courageous stances adopted by Jbeil Emam Ahmed Laqees's, in advocating with faith and love for William Noun's case.
Elias Bejjani/January 15/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/114955/elias-bejjani-lebanons-national-and-sovereign-image-was-embodied-in-the-courageous-stances-adopted-by-jbeil-emam-ahmed-laqeess-in-advocating-with-faith-and-love-for-william-nouns-case/
The heresy of arresting William Noun, unequivocally demonstrated the resounding failure of the enemies of Lebanon, the message of love, history, identity, peace, sanctity and coexistence.
Failure, disappointment, and brokenness were the harvest of all the mercenaries, the occupation forces, the haters, the Trojans, the temple merchants, the scribes, the Pharisees, the stone ages' officials, and the thugs of the fake hypocritical resistance and liberation merchants.
The scandal of the arbitrary and illegal detention of William Noun, confirmed and proved to Lebanon's internal and foreign enemies, that they can never ever hold on to subjugating the Lebanese people, or maintain their bloody and evil occupation.
Noun's case must be a lesson to Lebanon's enemies and occupiers, that all their criminality, terrorism, theft and arrogance will not achieve their satanic plans.
In this patriotic, courageous, and faith-context, comes the role of f the city of Jbeil's, Emam, Ahmed Al-Laqees.
Laqees's  sympathy and support for Noun's cause, was patriotic, remarkable, encouraging and extremely positive, in the scene of the popular crowds that rose up to defend William Noun's rights and freedom.
Emam Al-Laqees was sincerely at the side of Noun's mother, father, family and beloved ones.
Emam Al Laqees bravely and with a spirit of patriotism, emerged as a religious role model in defending freedom of opinion, and in the adherence obligation to law, justice and human rights.
There is no doubt, that with the devotion of honorable, patriotic and courageous Lebanese, of the caliber, education and devotion of Imam Laqees, with efforts of many other free people, with God’s blessings, the determination, faith perseverance of the Lebanese from all denominations and walks of life, Lebanon will be victorious and shall definitely very soon return to its historical bright status, which is an oasis of freedom, love, democracy, coexistence, and common living.
Heartily felt Greetings of respect and appreciation to the honorable, Imam Ahmed Laqees.

Sheikh Laqees warns: You will see additional anger.
MTV/January 14/2023
The imam of Jubail, Sheikh Ahmed Al-Laqees, said from the house of William Noun's uncle, Father George Soma: "If the Friday scenario is repeated on Monday, you will see additional anger, and the issue is national, not personal. Sadly we have begun to talk about a national issue that separates the Lebanon that we want, the Lebanon of the state, and the Lebanon of chaos and explosions.We will not get bored, we will not tire, and we will continue to bear witness to the truth in our Friday sermons.

Al-Rahi: Noon's arrest showed that judiciary has become tool for vengeance
Naharnet/January 15/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/114980/%d9%81%d9%8a%d8%af%d9%8a%d9%88-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%82%d8%af%d8%a7%d8%b3-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b0%d9%8a-%d8%aa%d8%b1%d8%a3%d8%b3%d9%87-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d8%b7%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1%d9%83-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b1%d8%a7-3/
Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Beshara Boutros al-Rahi, on Sunday, strongly condemned the arrest of prominent port blast case activist William Noon, saying his detention proved that the judiciary “has become a tool for vengeance, malice and hatred and that security agencies are carrying out police state practices.”
“Aren’t they ashamed of themselves after they requested the arrest of William Noon, the search of his house and his imprisonment, not caring for his tragedies and the tragedies of his family?” al-Rahi said in his Sunday Mass sermon. Turning to the presidential file, the Patriarch called on lawmakers to “stop destroying the country and its institutions and impoverishing citizens” and instead to “elect a president according to the constitution.” The new president “must come to give, not to take,” he added. “It is shameful that Arab and foreign countries are holding meetings and consulting in order to help Lebanon and elect a president while parliament is preventing voting, hiding behind the heresy of securing a prior agreement on the president,” al-Rahi went on to say.
“They are stabbing our democratic parliamentary system in the heart,” the patriarch decried.

Bishop Aoudi to the honorable officials and judges: Stop the immoral abuse of the families of the suffering victims and the unprofessional transgression of the law, and impose justice
LCCC/NNA/January 15/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/114980/%d9%81%d9%8a%d8%af%d9%8a%d9%88-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%82%d8%af%d8%a7%d8%b3-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b0%d9%8a-%d8%aa%d8%b1%d8%a3%d8%b3%d9%87-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d8%b7%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1%d9%83-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b1%d8%a7-3/
In his today's homely Bishop Aoudi said: While Christ the God hears the cries of people who descended to take their image, we find the officials of our country arrogant over their own kind, and appoint themselves as rulers above humans, who judge according to what suits them, deafening their ears to the cries of the hungry, the sighs of mothers, the crying of children and the groans of the sick. The sound of an explosion that shook the capital and the whole world did not reach their ears, and what shook their consciences, so they did not move a finger, but rather strived to obstruct the disclosure of the truth, and we still see them being exposed to the families of the victims, working to silence mouths, blur the truth and silence the voice of justice.
He continued: "What happened yesterday in terms of the arrest of a young man asking to know the truth about the bombing that killed his brother and his comrades, and the assault of the military forces on the protesters against his arrest, including a priest, is unacceptable and condemned. Is he aware of the anger of the young man who uttered words emanating from a wounded heart?" And he broke glass in the Palace of Justice, saying that a large part of the capital had been destroyed, and that hundreds of its people had their bodies torn to pieces, and thousands of wounded and disabled people were left behind in the sinful bombing? Their rush to pursue and arrest the perpetrators? Instead of punishing the perpetrators, here they are exercising their authority over the families of the victims and taking revenge on the abused. What a miserable authority that empowers the weak, even if he has a right, and fills the criminal, the perpetrator, and the corrupt, either in collusion with him or out of fear of him. It is the duty of the political, military and security leaders to defend the oppressed. In the face of the oppressor, and it is the duty of judges to rule in the name of the people, not against the people. Therefore, I appeal to the conscience of every official and every honest and honorable judge to stop this immoral abuse of the suffering families of the victims, and this unprofessional transgression of the law. Wa justice. As for those obstructing investigations and fugitives from justice, if they succeed in escaping from the justice of the earth, how will they escape from the justice of heaven?”
And he asked: "Who will hold accountable those who disrupt justice, those who transgress state borders, those who deprive citizens of electricity, and those who impose fines and burdens on a bankrupt state? Who will punish the corrupt, the oppressors, the thieves of people's money, the bombers of the capital and the killers of its people? Who will restore the soul to the victims? If one of the victims of the disaster was the son of someone." Did the rebels against the judiciary remain silent or act recklessly? He who does not care about his destroyed capital and the physical and psychological wounds of its people, will he care about the fate of the country and the people's money? We need officials who do not distract themselves, but work to devise a plan based on a clear vision that rebuilds the state and rid it of The sins of this class that ruled it for decades and dominated its people, quarreled with each other, shared its bounties, and took over all its wealth.We need a head of the state and new blood to revive the body of this worn out country, and adopt new methods based on integrity and science, and adopt accountability, accountability and punishment in Anyone who violates the constitution or underestimates the state, its prestige and sovereignty, or dares to interfere in the work of the judiciary or extends a hand to public money, we need great figures who rule with justice, take great positions and produce great solutions.
He concluded, "We called today to imitate the blatant faith of the ten lepers together, because the cry of pain emanating from deep faith in a single Savior, the Lord Jesus, can bring salvation to all. Our call is to thank God for everything like the tenth leper, and not to forget to return to God, because salvation is with Him alone. Let us place our hearts above and let us give thanks to the Lord, because “from Him and through Him and to Him are all things. To Him be glory forever, Amen” (Romans 11:36).

Makhzoumi at a dinner in honor of "Global Political Exchange Foundation": The Lebanese are waiting for an end to the situation, with the support of...
NNA/January 15, 2023
Head of the "National Dialogue" Party, MP Fouad Makhzoumi, and his wife, Mrs. May, hosted a dinner banquet in their home in honor of a large delegation from the "Global Political Exchange Foundation", on the sidelines of the 21st Beirut Exchange Conference.
The dinner was attended by CNN journalist Brent Sadler, MP Makhzoumi's team and a number of businessmen and media professionals, with various local, regional and international developments featuring high during sideline discussions.
In his welcoming speech, Makhzoumi said: "Today, the international community is required to put more pressure on electing a president for the republic, and implementing the reforms demanded by the International Monetary Fund," stressing that "the situation in the country is constantly deteriorating, and it is necessary to put an end to procrastination and wasting of time." He continued, "The Lebanese are awaiting an end to these difficult situations, with the support of the international community, leading to the election of a president for the republic, and the formation of an effective government that possesses a comprehensive reform and rescue plan that gradually puts an end to their suffering and crises, and is capable of coordinating with the international community and restoring Lebanon's presence on the map of successful countries."

Al-Murtada: Let us all move in the spirit of fearing God, overcome the barricades of sectarian fear
NNA/January 15, 2023
Caretaker Minister of Culture, Judge Muhammad Wissam al-Murtada, said in a statement on Sunday, "The fear of God makes us carry the burden of working together...to cooperate to find ways out of our constitutional crises and to find solutions that secure people's salvation from their suffering...People are aching with pain, their groaning reached the ears of the sky, and did not reach the ears of many on earth...."He added: "They talk about rights, powers, and the rights of sects... Only awareness, mercy, love, and the fear of God among people can build a homeland for us; otherwise our fate will all be on the side of the road!"

Murad criticizes political class, warns of educational sector's collapse
NNA/January 15, 2023
In his delivered speech during a ceremony commemorating the late Jamal Abdel-Nasser, MP Hassan Murad accused “the political class and those who must find solutions in Lebanon of bankruptcy,” stressing that they “are waiting to steal what the World Bank will give them, in addition to withdrawing what is left in people’s pockets after stealing their savings!"Murad warned, "of a major national catastrophe represented in the collapse of the educational sector, which, if it occurs, will have huge repercussions, and entire generations will pay for it."With regard to the western Bekaa region and the severe power cuts, the MP , Murad pointed to the unfair distribution of electricity in said region, blaming "allies and adversaries alike."

Abiad to inaugurate new surgery departments at Al-Zahraa Hospital tomorrow
NNA/January 15, 2023
Caretaker Minister of Public Health, Firas Abiad, is scheduled to inaugurate the new departments of Advanced Bariatric Surgery - Orthopedic Surgery at Al-Zahraa Hospital in Bir Hassan - Beirut, at 12:30 p.m. tomorrow, Monday.

Energy Minister to hold press conference tomorrow to explain latest developments, present an initiative
NNA/January 15, 2023
Caretaker Minister of Energy and Water, Dr. Walid Fayyad, will hold a press conference at 11:30 a.m. tomorrow, Monday, at the Ministry of Energy, during which he will explain the latest developments in the electricity issue and present an initiative in this regard.

Minister Hajj Hassan from Baalbek: For a national dialogue, the gateway of which is electing a president

NNA/January 15, 2023
Caretaker Minister of Agriculture, Abbas Hajj Hassan, highlighted the dire need for dialogue at this critical stage in the country, noting that the election of a president of the republic would be the national gateway for this dialogue. His words came in his delivered address during a book signing ceremony organized by the "Baalbek Cultural Council" in its center in Baalbek. "We believe that we are in the era of the dialogue of civilizations, which depends on the logic of understanding and the logic of reason," he said. "In politics, we must approach matters from the beautiful logic of culture, and when we talk about the dialogue of civilizations and write volumes and rant about the dialogue of civilizations, and that we are advocates of such dialogue, we must commit ourselves internally to dialogue away from arrogance at the table, until we are able to emulate people's torments," Hajj Hassan added. "Today, there is no electricity in the country, and we are facing a real complex crisis, so we must all call for a real dialogue, and start the dialogue from its national gateway until we reach every detail," he asserted. "I firmly believe that now is the real moment when all the political parties in the country can be worthy of this homeland, and that they will be able, God willing, to save it in the near future, starting with the election of a President of the Republic, up to an authentic government, and then working to resolve all social and economic dossier and more...," Hajj Hassan affirmed.

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on January 15-16/2023
UK urged to expel Iranian diplomats over ‘shocking’ execution
Arab News/January 15, 2023
LONDON: The UK must expel Iranian diplomats in response to the execution of a British-Iranian dual national, a relative of the deceased has told the Daily Telegraph. Alireza Akbari, a former Iranian deputy defense minister, was charged with spying for Britain before his death. He said he had endured 3,500 hours of brutal torture before confessing to the charges, leading to his hanging on Saturday. The 61-year-old served in the reformist administration of former President Mohammad Khatami between 1997 and 2005. Akbari left Iran for the UK in 2008 after facing harassment by the country’s new hard-line regime led by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. In 2009, Akbari was arrested while visiting Iran on charges of espionage. His nephew Ramin Forghani told the Telegraph that his uncle’s execution “could not go unanswered” and that the UK’s minimum response should be the expulsion of Iranian diplomats. The British government urged Iran to abandon Akbari’s planned execution but to no avail. “I’d just woken up when I saw the news. I don’t know what to say. It’s terrible. It’s shocking,” said Forghani. “It wasn’t unexpected from this regime but I think we were all expecting them to change their minds like they did with Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, but it wasn’t to be. “On the diplomatic front, considering that a Briton has been executed despite the calls for his release by Whitehall, the least response would be to expel the staff and recall the British (diplomats). “I appreciate what the British government did but they’re dealing with an unsavory regime that has no regard for human life. “I hope there will be consequences diplomatically from the British government and this does not remain unanswered.”The UK government on Saturday said it was placing sanctions on Iran’s prosecutor general and temporarily recalling its Ambassador in Tehran Simon Shercliff. But British officials have yet to make a decision on the status of Iran’s diplomats in London. Forghani denied the charges leveled against Akbari, saying his uncle was a “patriot” who “did all he could to help the country,” including playing a key role in bringing an end to the Iran-Iraq War.
“It would be (unthinkable) for him to try to do anything in any shape or form to jeopardize the country or the regime,” Forghani told Sky News. “I can’t think of his character being somebody that would try to do anything against the country. That’s just not digestible.
“I do believe it is a political game. The regime does anything it can, unfortunately, to suppress the population, but also to distract the global perspective to what is happening to the people in the country.” Forghani told the Telegraph: “Akbari was a good man who was devoted to his family. Brutal regimes do this to good people and unfortunately this was one of those cases. “I have fond memories of him visiting us pretty much every Iranian New Year regardless of his work schedule. He was kind to me when I was growing up. I remember his smiles. “As I got older, he could see that I was not a supporter of the regime but regardless of that, because we were family members, he was always kind to me. “He was always smiling. He would always try to help anybody as much as he could, family or friends, and that’s the memory that I will continue to have of him.” UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak described Akbari’s execution as “appalling,” while Foreign Secretary James Cleverly said the British government’s “disgust” had led to the summoning of Iran’s charge d’affaires to the Foreign Office.

UK to reassess Iran nuclear deal after dual national’s execution
Arab News/January 15, 2023
LONDON: Britain is reassessing its backing of the Iran nuclear deal after Tehran executed a British Iranian dual national, drawing strong condemnation from Western governments. Alireza Akbari, 61, was hanged after being convicted of “corruption on earth and harming the country’s internal and external security by passing on intelligence.” When or where the execution took place is unknown. The execution has led to a huge escalation in tensions between the West and Iran, which were already running high over Tehran’s crackdown on protests over the death in custody of Mahsa Amini and the regime’s military support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The UK has been a key player in talks on reviving the nuclear deal, which placed significant restrictions on Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief. Senior government sources said that the “landscape” has changed significantly since the negotiation process began and as such Britain is now reviewing its options regarding future involvement in reviving the deal, The Sunday Telegraph reported. They said the relationship with Tehran has been under pressure in recent months because of the regime’s harsh repression of anti-government protests. UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said that he was “appalled” by the execution. “This was a callous and cowardly act, carried out by a barbaric regime with no respect for the human rights of their own people,” Sunak said. Foreign Secretary James Cleverly warned that the execution would not go unchallenged, before announcing sanctions on Iran’s prosecutor general to underline Britain’s “disgust.” Britain said it would summon Tehran’s envoy and in response, Iran summoned the British ambassador to protest against what it described as “unconventional interventions.”France’s Foreign Ministry also condemned the execution “in the strongest terms” and said that the killing “cannot go unanswered.” President Emmanuel Macron denounced Akbari’s execution as a “heinous and barbaric act.” Tehran has been accused of using the talks as cover to ramp up work on its nuclear program with a view to obtaining a bomb — a charge that it denies.

NATO: More Heavy Weapons for Ukraine 'in the Near Future'
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 15 January, 2023
Ukraine can expect more deliveries of heavy weapons from Western countries soon, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said in an interview with German media on Sunday. Kyiv has long pushed for heavier weaponry, including tanks, but Western nations have been reluctant, citing fears of becoming drawn into the war or provoking Russia. "The recent pledges for heavy warfare equipment are important -- and I expect more in the near future," Stoltenberg told the Handelsblatt daily. The comments come ahead of a meeting this week of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, which coordinates arms supplies to Kyiv, at Ramstein Air Base in Germany. "We are in a decisive phase of the war," AFP quoted Stoltenberg as saying. "Therefore, it is important that we provide Ukraine with the weapons it needs to win."Since the invasion, the Ukrainians have built momentum and Western nations have been expanding the range of weapons being provided. Earlier this month, France, Germany and the United States respectively promised French AMX-10 RC light tanks, 40 German Marder infantry vehicles, and 50 Bradley fighting vehicles. However, pressure is growing on the allies to go further and agree to the delivery of battle tanks. British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak on Saturday pledged to provide 14 Challenger 2 tanks to Ukraine, making it the first Western country to supply the heavy tanks Kyiv has been calling for. Stoltenberg said Russian President Vladimir Putin had made a mistake by attacking Ukraine. "He overestimated the strength of his own armed forces. We see their missteps, their lack of morale, the leadership problems, the poor equipment," he said. But the Russians "have demonstrated that they are prepared to take heavy losses to achieve their goals".

As Russia tries to grow its army, a mobilized soldier recounts horror of Makiivka attack
CBC/January 15, 2023
On New Year's Day, when at least four HIMARS rockets slammed into a school building in Eastern Ukraine housing hundreds of newly drafted Russian soldiers, it was another group of newly mobilized young men stationed nearby who got the call to help with the grim task of digging through the rubble and remains.One Russian soldier told CBC News that he and others in his group were ordered to search for the severely injured and the dead, but sometimes found only body parts.
"There are way more than 100 people (dead)," he said in a message to CBC News.
"I can't even describe to you what I saw."
The soldier, who CBC News agreed not to name for his personal safety, first spoke to online Russian news site Verstka about what he believes is Russia's attempt to cover up how many died in the attack in Makiivka, Ukraine.
Russian officials say 89 were killed, including the regiment's deputy commander. Ukraine has said it believes the true toll is likely 400. "There is not just war here," the young man said. "But an information war. "The deadly attack comes as Russia is nearly a year into its war on Ukraine and has announced plans to beef up its military by adding hundreds of thousands of troops. While a timeline for that move is unclear, Russian officials have signalled that the country will soon raise the upper age limit for conscription. They insist that Russia isn't about to embark on another unpopular round of mobilization, even as Ukrainian officials speculate that an announcement could come any day. The soldier, stationed near Makiivka, messaged CBC News over the course of a week and expressed confusion, stress and mistrust of his commanders, who he accused of frequently being drunk.
He said they would frequently ask the soldiers for money, saying it was needed for important equipment. The soldier said he has only been in Ukraine for six weeks, and was drafted outside his home in the Russian republic of Bashkortostan, which lies more than 1,200 kilometres east of Moscow. In order to help verify his story, he shared a copy of his identity documents and draft papers. He says he regrets not immediately heading for the border like the hundreds of thousands of other Russian men who flocked to Georgia, Finland and Kazakhstan in an effort to escape the draft.
The soldier doesn't have an international passport and has a wife and young daughter at home. At the beginning of the conversation, the soldier sounded defiant and spoke about how he would rather be sent to jail than to the front. But days later, his tone was more resigned, and he spoke about the potential consequences of deserting."There are many of us who do not want to fight, including me, but we do not know what to do, he wrote.
"There's no way out."
On Jan. 4, when Russian Lt.-Gen. Sergei Sevryukov announced that 89 soldiers had been killed in the rocket strike, he blamed the soldiers themselves for inadvertently giving away their location by using their cell phones, which Sevryukov said was banned.
The soldier described that accusation as "bullshit," saying his peers and commanders frequently used their phones with local SIMs to call home. While they were told not to use them, he understood that was because they didn't want them taking any photos or posting videos complaining about the conditions.
In recent months, videos have been posted to social media platforms of newly drafted soldiers showing off their inadequate equipment and lack of training. After weeks of controversy around the country's "partial mobilization" campaign, Russia's Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu announced on Oct. 28, that 300,000 had been called up and mobilization was over. But there was never an official decree, and some say there are reports of men continuing to receive draft papers ordering them to report to an enlistment office.
"Mobilization is still underway," said Boris Bondarev, a former diplomat who quit his post at Russia's UN mission in Geneva last May in protest over what he called Russia's "aggressive war."
In an online statement posted after his resignation, Bondarev called the war "not only a crime against the Ukrainian people," but also "the most serious crime against the people of Russia."
He dismissed speculation by Ukrainian officials who have stated that they believe the Russian government will start calling men up en masse starting in mid-January. He says he doesn't think the government needs to announce a new round of mobilization because the defence ministry can just continue drafting people on a "daily basis," particularly from Russia's remote, poorer regions. "Russia has one great advantage over Ukraine and over the West," Bondarev told CBC during a zoom interview from Geneva.
"Russian officials don't count the losses ... they don't think about casualties."The last time Russia's defence minister publicly acknowledged the number of soldiers killed in Ukraine was early last fall, when he said nearly 6,000 had died.
Ukraine and Western officials believe that is a dramatic under-estimate. Bondarev says the Kremlin believes it can weather any loss of life because it has framed the war as an "existential" fight. He says his 75-year-old father, who has disowned him because of his anti-war stance, strongly supports what Russia still calls its "special military operation."His father went down to the draft office in the fall because he wanted to sign up to fight in Ukraine, Bondarev said, but he was turned away because of his age.
Raising conscription age
This week, the chairman of Russia's parliamentary defence committee said that the country could raise the upper age limit for conscription from 27 to 30 ahead of this year's spring draft. He said there is also a plan to raise the lower age limit from 18 to 21, but that change might not happen for another three years.
Ekaterina Schulmann, a Russian political scientist who is currently a fellow with the Berlin-based Robert Bosch Academy, says she believes there will be increasing pressure on conscripts to sign military contracts and make up the force that will be sent into Ukraine.
She says this "hidden kind of mobilization" will be the most likely way for the military to compensate for the ongoing losses and keep sending men to the front. Schulmann says she believes the Russian government will do everything it can to avoid what happened in the fall when hundreds of thousands of men fled Russia to escape the draft, and there were what she describes as "rocketing levels of anxiety" throughout the country. Back in Eastern Ukraine, the soldier who spoke with CBC News said he and his group were waiting for orders to be sent to the front. Whenever he hears bombing, he says he tries to run and hide. He wants to raise his daughter and live a normal life, he said, instead of "rotting away" for an unclear reason. "Right now I feel like a live corpse," he said. "I have no feelings. "

Qatar, France discuss Syrian humanitarian cooperation
Arab News/January 15, 2023
DOHA: Qatar and France are discussing joint cooperation in humanitarian and development aid for Syria, Qatar News Agency reported on Sunday. Talks were held between officials from Doha’s Foreign Ministry, Fund for Development, Education Above All Foundation and Qatar Charity, and French Special Envoy for Syria Brigitte Curmi, who is visiting the country. The meeting was also attended by French Ambassador to Qatar Jean-Baptiste Faivre.

Iraq PM backs continued US troop presence
AFP/January 15, 2023
BAGHDAD: Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani defended the open-ended presence of US and other foreign troops in his country, in an interview published Sunday. “We think that we need the foreign forces,” Sudani told The Wall Street Journal in his first US interview since taking office in October. US and NATO forces have been training Iraqi soldiers on how to fight the Daesh group. “Elimination of Daesh needs some more time,” Sudani added. His comments are significant because the parties that back him and control parliament are aligned with pro-Iranian factions and very hostile to the United States. Iraq also depends on Iran for natural gas and electricity. The United States has about 2,000 troops stationed in Iraq to train and advise Iraqi forces. NATO has several hundred troops there, also in a non-combat role. Sudani said Iraq wants to have good relations with both the United States and Iran. “We strive for that,” he said. “I don’t see this as an impossible matter, to see Iraq have a good relationship with Iran and the US.” Sudani also faces a populace hit hard by an economic crisis and eager for a better life. His visit to Tehran in late November was marked by promises of stronger cooperation on economic and security matters. In the interview published Sunday, Sudani made clear he wants to get along with the United States, which is locked in confrontation with Iran. He said he would like to send a high-level delegation to Washington soon, perhaps as a prelude to meeting with President Joe Biden.

Iran, Syria set to renew long-term agreement, Raisi to visit Damascus
The Arab Weekly/January 15/2023
Syria and key ally Iran agreed Saturday to renew an economic strategic arrangement between the two countries as Damascus prepares to welcome Iran’s president in the near future. Since Syria’s uprising turned into civil conflict in 2011, Tehran has sent thousands of Iran-backed fighters to help President Bashar Assad stay in power amid fighting that killed hundreds of thousands of civilians and displaced millions. Iran has also been a critical economic lifeline for Syria, delivering fuel and credit lines worth billions of dollars to help Damascus offset crippling Western-led sanctions. Syria’s economy across both government and opposition-held areas has hit an all-time low over the past decade, with spiraling inflation, a currency plunge, and rampant power cuts. Syria and Iran signed almost a dozen economic deals in 2019 as part of the long-term strategic economic agreement to bolster their commercial ties. Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian, who met in Damascus with Assad and his Syrian counterpart, Faisal Mekdad, did not set a date on where or when the signing of the extension will take place. “Tehran and Damascus will continue to cooperate in all matters, especially with energy,” Amirabdollahian said at a news conference following the meetings. Mekdad echoed similar sentiments, adding that developments in the “coming days” will further bolster them. “We explored ways to expand economic and commercial ties and enhance cooperation to confront the illegal Western coercive economic measures imposed on both countries,” Mekdad said. Israel is concerned about Iran’s influence in Syria and has conducted hundreds of airstrikes in recent years inside government-controlled parts of the country. Israel rarely acknowledges or discusses such operations, but has said it targets bases of Iran-allied militant groups, such as Lebanon’s Hezbollah, which has provided thousands of fighters to support Assad’s forces. Iranian support to Syria has suffered from Tehran’s loss of oil revenue as a result of US sanctions. But such support remains a key factor that would keep Damascus in Iran’s orbit as the Assad regime negotiates conditions for normalisaton with Turkey.

Turkish offensive in Syria ‘possible any time,’ says Erdogan aide

Arab News/January 15, 2023
JEDDAH: A new Turkish ground offensive in Syria is “possible any time,” a top aide to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Saturday, despite a Moscow-brokered rapprochement between Damascus and Ankara. The Kremlin is trying to end more than a decade of hostility between the neighbors that began when Turkiye backed rebel efforts to topple President Bashar Assad at the start of the Syrian civil war. Turkiye has since also launched a series of incursions into northern Syria, most of them targeting Kurdish forces it views as “terrorists.”Erdogan’s foreign policy adviser Ibrahim Kalin said the Russian push for peace did not mean Turkiye was abandoning the option of launching a new campaign that Ankara has been warning might happen for months. “A ground operation is possible any time, depending on the level of threats we receive,” Kalin told reporters. “Turkiye never targets the Syrian state or Syrian civilians.”His comments came two days after Assad said future talks with Ankara should aim for “the end of occupation” by Turkiye of parts of Syria. Turkiye has military bases in northern Syria and also backs some local militias fighting against the regime. Erdogan, who called Assad a “terrorist” in 2017, has opened up to the idea of meeting the Syrian leader ahead of Turkiye’s general election, now expected in May. Kalin said the two sides will hold a “series of meetings” in preparation for a possible presidential summit. Meanwhile, the administration of US President Joe Biden has told Congress it is preparing the potential $20 billion sale of F-16 fighter jets to Turkiye, sparking an imme- diate objection from a senior US lawmaker who has long opposed the deal. “As I have repeatedly made clear, I strongly oppose the Biden admin- istration’s proposed sale of new F-16 aircraft to Turkiye,” Sen. Bob Menendez, Democratic chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said.

Palestinians say Israeli troops kill man in West Bank
AP/January 15, 2023
JERUSALEM: Israeli troops shot and killed a Palestinian man in the occupied West Bank on Sunday, the Palestinian Health Ministry said, the latest death in a monthslong spiral of violence between Israelis and Palestinians. The circumstances behind the death were not immediately clear. Israeli media reported the man was carrying a knife and attempted to stab the soldiers who were standing guard near a Jewish settlement. The Palestinian Health Ministry identified the man as Ahmad Kahla, 45. The Israeli military had no immediate comment. Tensions have been surging for months in the occupied territory, where the Israeli military has been staging nightly arrest raids since last spring. The raids were prompted by a wave of Palestinian attacks against Israelis that killed 19 people, while another 10 Israelis were killed in a second string of attacks later last year. Nearly 150 Palestinians were killed by Israeli fire in the West Bank and east Jerusalem in 2022, according to figures by the Israeli rights group B’Tselem, making it the deadliest year since 2004. Since the start of this year, 13 Palestinians have been killed, according to a tally by The Associated Press. Israel says most of the dead were militants. But Palestinian stone-throwers, youths protesting the incursions and others not involved in confrontations also have been killed. Israel says the raids are meant to dismantle militant networks and thwart future attacks. The Palestinians see them as further entrenchment of Israel’s open-ended, 55-year occupation of lands they seek for their future independent state. Israel captured the West Bank in the 1967 Mideast war, along with the Gaza Strip and east Jerusalem, territories the Palestinians want for their hoped-for state. Israel has since settled 500,000 people in about 130 settlements across the West Bank, which the Palestinians and much of the international community view as an obstacle to peace.

Netanyahu moving ahead on legal overhaul despite outcry
AP/January 15, 2023
rt and politicize the appointment of judges
TEL AVIV: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday his government plans to charge ahead with an overhaul of the country's judicial system, despite fierce criticism from top legal officials and protests against the changes that drew tens of thousands of people.
Netanyahu, who is on trial for corruption, has made the legal changes the centerpiece of his new government's agenda and the surging opposition to them is presenting an early challenge for the Israeli leader. Opponents say the changes could help Netanyahu evade conviction in his corruption trial, or make the court case disappear altogether. The overhaul would weaken the power of the Supreme Court, granting legislators the ability to pass laws the court has struck down with a simple majority, as well as give the government greater power over the appointment of judges and limit the independence of government legal advisers. The proposed changes have sparked an outcry from the Supreme Court's top justice, who in rare criticism called the overhaul an “unbridled attack on the justice system.” The country's attorney general has also spoken out against the plan, as have many of her predecessors, and tens of thousands protested the proposed changes in Tel Aviv on Saturday. Despite the opposition, Netanyahu told a meeting of his Cabinet that voters cast their ballots in November elections in support of his campaign promise to overhaul the justice system.
“We will complete legislating the reforms in a way that will correct what needs correcting, will totally protect individual rights and will restore the public's faith in the justice system that so much requires this reform,” Netanyahu said.
A poll released Sunday painted a more complex picture. The survey found that 58% of Israelis believe the Supreme Court should have the power to overturn laws passed by parliament if they conflict with democratic principles. The survey, conducted by the Israel Democracy Institute in October, just before the election, questioned 1,092 people and had a margin of error of 2.8%. The poll was part of the nonpartisan institute's annual “Israeli Democracy Index.” The same survey, however, found that public trust by Israeli Jews in the Supreme Court fell to 42% last year, down from a multiyear average of 59.5%. Trust in parliament was just 18.5%, it said. Levels of trust were slightly lower among the country's Arab minority. There have been calls in the past to reform Israel’s justice system, which was given greater clout in the 1990s and has been seen since by critics as being too interventionist in the process of lawmaking. But the sweeping changes sought by Netanyahu’s justice minister have raised an alarm among opponents who see them as a death knell to Israel’s system of checks and balances and in turn, its democratic fundamentals. Netanyahu and his allies see the changes as a way to ease the process of governance and recalibrate what they say is an imbalance between the country's executive and judicial branches.The proposed changes, tabled weeks after the government was sworn in, have exposed how deeply polarized Israeli society is, torn between preserving the country's liberal and democratic ideals or shifting away from them. They have also shown how quickly the country's government, its most right-wing ever, is intent on advancing its policies, many of which have sparked criticism, including from unexpected quarters. Netanyahu heads a government of ultranationalist and ultra-Orthodox parties who at times in the past have seen their agendas thwarted by Supreme Court decisions or unfavorable counsel by government legal advisers. That prompted them to make sure the legal changes were a top priority during negotiations to form the government. Netanyahu, eager to return to power under the shadow of his corruption trial, appeared to be generous to his partners in the talks.
Among those concessions was a promise to make Avi Maoz, head of a small, radical, religious ultranationalist party who has repeatedly spouted anti-LGBTQ rhetoric, in charge of certain educational programs. The Cabinet approved the pledge Sunday, despite an outcry from mayors and Israeli parents when it was initially discussed. Israel’s President Isaac Herzog, who normally wields a largely symbolic role, has stepped in to bridge the divide over the judicial changes. In a statement, Herzog said he was working to avert “a historic constitutional crisis" in a series of meetings with political figures. Hundreds of people protested outside his residence in Jerusalem on Saturday. Netanyahu has claimed the overhaul will be carried out cautiously and with parliamentary oversight.

Where are the Gulf Arab tourists? Israel's hopes fall short
JERUSALEM (AP)/Sun, January 15, 2023
When Israel struck an agreement with the United Arab Emirates to open diplomatic ties in 2020, it brought an electrifying sense of achievement to a country long ostracized in the Middle East. Officials insisted that Israel’s new ties with the UAE, and soon after with Bahrain, would go beyond governments and become society-wide pacts, stoking mass tourism and friendly exchanges between people long at odds.
But over two years since the breakthrough accords, the expected flood of Gulf Arab tourists to Israel has been little more than a trickle. Although more than half a million Israelis have flocked to oil-rich Abu Dhabi and skyscraper-studded Dubai, just 1,600 Emirati citizens have visited Israel since it lifted coronavirus travel restrictions last year, the Israeli Tourism Ministry told The Associated Press.
The ministry does not know how many Bahrainis have visited Israel because, it said, “the numbers are too small.”“It’s still a very weird and sensitive situation,” said Morsi Hija, head of the forum for Arabic-speaking tour guides in Israel. “The Emiratis feel like they’ve done something wrong in coming here.”The lack of Emirati and Bahraini tourists reflects Israel’s long-standing image problem in the Arab world and reveals the limits of the Abraham Accords, experts say.
Even as bilateral trade between Israel and the UAE has exploded from $11.2 million in 2019 to $1.2 billion last year, the popularity of the agreements in the UAE and Bahrain has plummeted since the deals were signed, according to a survey by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, an American think tank. In the UAE, support fell to 25% from 47% in the last two years. In Bahrain, just 20% of the population supports the deal, down from 45% in 2020. In that time, Israel and Gaza militants fought a devastating war and violence in the occupied West Bank surged to its highest levels in years. Israeli officials say Gulf Arab tourism to Israel is a missing piece that would move the agreements beyond security and diplomatic ties. Tourist visits from Egypt and Jordan, the first two countries to reach peace with Israel, also are virtually nonexistent.
“We need to encourage (Emiratis) to come for the first time. It's an important mission,” Amir Hayek, Israeli ambassador to the UAE, told the AP. “We need to promote tourism so people will know each other and understand each other.”Israeli tourism officials flew to the UAE last month in a marketing push to spread the word that Israel is a safe and attractive destination. The ministry said it's now pitching Tel Aviv — Israel’s commercial and entertainment hub — as a big draw for Emiratis. Tour agents say that so far, betting on Jerusalem has backfired. The turmoil of the contested city has turned off Emiratis and Bahrainis, some of whom have faced backlash from Palestinians who see normalization as a betrayal of their cause. The Palestinian struggle for independence from Israel enjoys broad support across the Arab world. “There’s still a lot of hesitation coming from the Arab world,” said Dan Feferman, director of Sharaka, a group that promotes people-to-people exchanges between Israel and the Arab world. “They expect (Israel) to be a conflict zone, they expect to be discriminated against.”
Feferman also cited Israel’s tight coronavirus restrictions that were in place for 2021 and for part of 2022, as well as the lack of waivers for visas for Bahrainis, as factors limiting tourism from the Gulf region.
He said he felt the trips left his visitors with a positive impression of Israel. Yet after leading two groups of Bahrainis and Emiratis to Israel, Sharaka shifted its focus away from the Gulf visits.
When a group of Emirati and Bahraini social media influencers in 2020 visited the Al Aqsa Mosque compound, the third-holiest site in Islam, they were spat on and pelted with shoes in Jerusalem's Old City, said Hija, their tour guide. When another group of Emirati officials visited the flashpoint site accompanied by Israeli police, they drew the ire of the grand mufti of Jerusalem, Sheikh Muhammad Ahmad Hussein, who issued a religious edict against Emiratis visiting the mosque under Israeli supervision.
Most Emiratis and Bahrainis who have visited Israel say they forgo their national dress and headscarves in order not to attract attention.
The Islamic Waqf, which administers the mosque, declined to answer questions about the number of Emirati and Bahraini visitors and their treatment at the compound. Palestinian rage against Emiratis is not confined to the sacred esplanade. Emirati citizens visiting and studying in Israel say they face frequent death threats and online attacks.
“Not everyone can handle the pressure,” said Sumaiiah Almehiri, a 31-year-old Emirati from Dubai studying to be a nurse at the University of Haifa. “I didn't give into the threats, but fear is preventing a lot of Emiratis from going.”The fear of anti-Arab racism in Israel can also drive Gulf Arabs away. Israeli police mistakenly arrested two Emirati tourists in Tel Aviv last summer while hunting for a criminal who carried out a drive-by shooting. Some Emiratis have complained on social media about drawing unwanted scrutiny from security officials at Israel's Ben-Gurion Airport. “If you bring them here and don’t treat them in a sensitive way, they’ll never come back and tell all their friends to stay away,” Hija said. Benjamin Netanyahu, who returned for a sixth term as prime minister last week, has pledged to strengthen agreements with Bahrain, Morocco, the UAE and Sudan. Formal ties with Sudan remain elusive in the wake of a military coup and in the absence of a parliament to ratify its U.S.-brokered normalization deal with Israel.
As a chief architect of the accords, Netanyahu also hopes to expand the circle of countries and reach a similar deal with Saudi Arabia.
Yet experts fear his new government — the most ultranationalist and religiously conservative in Israel’s history — could further deter Gulf Arab tourists and even jeopardize the agreements. His government has vowed to expand West Bank settlements and pledged to annex the entire territory, a step that was put on hold as a condition of the initial agreement with the UAE. “We have a reason to be worried about any deterioration in relations,” said Moran Zaga, an expert in Gulf Arab states at the University of Haifa in Israel. So far, Gulf Arab governments have offered no reason for concern. The Emirati ambassador was photographed warmly embracing Itamar Ben-Gvir, one of the coalition's most radical members, at a national day celebration last month. And over the weekend, the UAE's leader, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, called Netanyahu to congratulate him and invite him to visit.
It's a different story among those who are not in the officialdom. “I hope that Netanyahu and those with him will not set foot on the land of the Emirates,” Abdulkhaleq Abdulla, a prominent Emirati political scientist, wrote on Twitter. “I think it is appropriate to freeze the Abraham Accords temporarily."

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on January 15-16/2023
Iran must be punished for supplying weapons to Houthis

Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/January 15, 2023
The Iranian regime has been facing ongoing protests for four months now due to its citizens’ economic, political, religious and social grievances against the theocratic establishment. Nevertheless, this has not compelled the authorities to address the people’s demands. And, in spite of the serious domestic crisis it is encountering, the regime has also not halted or cut down on its illegal smuggling of weapons to its proxies.
The Iranian regime uses several methods to smuggle weapons, including ships and commercial airlines. Last week, a shipment of more than 2,100 Iranian assault rifles bound for the Houthis was intercepted by the US Navy within international waters in the Gulf of Oman. The shipment was destined for Yemen, based on a statement from the US military. “The illegal flow of weapons from Iran through international waterways has a destabilizing effect on the region,” said Gen. Michael Erik Kurilla, the commander of US Central Command.
In November, the US Navy also intercepted a “large quantity” of explosive material in the Gulf of Oman that was heading toward Yemen. A statement from US Naval Forces Central Command reported: “On Nov. 8, US 5th Fleet intercepted a fishing vessel in the Gulf of Oman smuggling lethal aid, including a large quantity of explosive material, from Iran to Yemen.”
The Iranian regime appears to have ratcheted up its efforts to illegally supply weapons to terrorist groups and its proxies, particularly the Houthis. When it comes to smuggling and supplying the Houthis with weapons, the Iranian regime is generally involved in four major actions. First is the supply, sale or transfer of short-range ballistic missiles known as Burkan-2H. Second is the supply of field storage tanks, which are utilized for storing liquid bipropellant oxidizers that can be used in the development of ballistic missiles. Third is the supply of unmanned aerial vehicles, such as the Ababil-T and Qasef-1. And fourth is the provision of ballistic missile technology. It is important to point out that the Iranian regime’s actions are in direct violation of UN Security Council Resolution 2216, which imposed an arms embargo on Yemen’s Houthi rebels. Even the UN has previously disclosed: “The panel has now identified strong indicators of the supply of arms-related material manufactured in, or emanating from, Iran.”As long as the Houthis, or any other of Iran’s proxies or militia groups, advance the ideological, geopolitical and parochial interests of the Iranian regime, Tehran appears determined to not let them run out of weapons or ammunition. This ought to offer insights into the tactics and long-term strategies of the Iranian-trained and armed proxies across the region. Their plans and agendas seem to be built on four pillars: Destabilization, which will allow Iran to benefit from the chaos; conflict; assassinations; and the rejection of any solution that has Sunni or Western origins.
It is also worth noting that the conflict in Yemen means more to the Tehran regime than merely taunting its Gulf rivals. Instead, it appears to be an ideological endeavor aimed at uniting the Muslim world under its own Islamist rule, which sees any attempts at peace as merely delaying the process.
The regime appears to have ratcheted up its efforts to illegally supply weapons to terrorist groups and its proxies. The Houthi militia, which Iran consistently and illegally supplies weapons to, “works closely” with Al-Qaeda and Daesh, according to a Yemeni government intelligence report. In addition, it commits crimes against humanity. Since 2015, it has reportedly killed or injured more than 17,500 civilians, while it also recruits, injures and kills children, according to Human Rights Watch.
The Houthis, by the same token, also use land mines. Human Rights Watch stated in its World Report 2020: “Houthi-planted land mines across Yemen continue to harm civilians and their livelihoods … Since January 2018, at least 140 civilians, including 19 children, have been killed by land mines in just the Hodeidah and Taiz governorates.” The Iranian-backed Houthis also routinely resort to various methods of torture. According to Human Rights Watch: “Former detainees described Houthi officers beating them with iron rods and rifles and being hung from walls with their arms shackled behind them … The (Abductees’ Mothers Association) reported that there are 3,478 disappearance cases, at least 128 of those kidnapped have been killed.”In a nutshell, the Iranian regime continues to illegally smuggle weapons to the Houthis. It is time for the international community to hold the Iranian leaders accountable for violating UNSC Resolution 2216 and sponsoring terrorism.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist. Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh

It is vital for Europe that Ukraine prevails
Col. Taras Dzuba/Arab News/January 15, 2023
It is a well-known fact that climatic conditions affect the pace of hostilities, and they affect both sides. The winner is always the one that is more ready to act in these climatic conditions.
We can say straight away that the winter months in the Ukraine-Russia war will be challenging from a military point of view. Low temperatures, limited duration of daylight, the need to create proper conditions for the presence of military personnel, the increased load on medical services and units typical for this time of year, etc., are added to the high dynamics of fire strikes. The combination of these factors reduces the pace of active offensive actions, but Ukraine has two significant advantages. The first is that we protect our homeland from the invaders, i.e., we fight on our territory with the full support of our population. The second is the real and effective support of the international community. As for the enemy’s actions, we expect a possible continuation of missile strikes on the territory of Ukraine, in particular on civilian infrastructure.
The success of the Russian occupying forces on the battlefield is unlikely. Still, they can continue offensive actions to fulfill the orders of their military-political leadership, which does not count on losses and often does not recognize the realities of war.
We are preparing for any possible scenario and will do everything to liberate the territory of Ukraine from the occupiers, regardless of the season, weather conditions or anything else.
It is essential to understand the motivation of the opposing sides to assess the chances of one side or the other. We are preparing for any possible scenario and will do everything to liberate the territory of Ukraine from the occupiers.
If we do not repeat the cliches of official Russian propaganda, which even the most ardent supporters of Vladimir Putin already doubt, the main motives of the servicemen of the Russian occupation army are the fear of disobeying orders and the desire to improve their material condition at the expense of participating in the war. Some of them are still hoping for a “trophy.”
We have a completely different motivation. The armed enemy came to our land with one goal — to take away everything we have: Our lives, our territory and our homes. That is, we have no choice. Win or die. This is the main thing that determines our chances. For Ukraine, this is a patriotic, people’s war.
In other words, if the enemy believes that some “special military operation” is being conducted there, then for our people it is a real war and victory is necessary for the complete liberation of our temporarily occupied territories and the creation of guarantees for a future peaceful life. These guarantees of peace are necessary not only for Ukraine today. Having unleashed aggression against Ukraine, Russia continues to deepen regional instability in Europe. This in turn will have negative consequences for the security architecture that developed in the world after the Second World War, the collapse of the Soviet Union and several regional conflicts in Asia and the Middle East.
Also read: Is the world heading toward order or disorder?
Based on this, it can be said that we have the chances necessary for victory over the enemy. No matter how difficult it is for us. Currently, Ukraine’s economy and armed forces receive assistance from many countries in Europe and the world. Our state is very grateful to its partners for their humanitarian, military and economic aid. The amount of assistance depends significantly on the partner countries and their capabilities. If we talk about quantitative indicators, the total military aid provided or planned for Ukraine by allies in 2022 was €41.3 billion ($44.7 billion).
The decision was made last month regarding another package of military aid to Ukraine from the US of $275 million. This includes aid for energy infrastructure, military support (including the training of specialists on the territory of other states) and humanitarian assistance. In addition, at least another $800 million has been earmarked in the US defense budget to support Ukraine in 2023.
Aid to Ukraine for 2023 of €18 billion from the EU has also been announced. However, one should not get attached to these quantitative indicators. Aid to Ukraine is directly proportional to the level of the Russian military threat to European regional and international security. If this level of threat increases, then, accordingly, we expect an increase in the amount of aid. Yes, of course, we are concerned about the level of international support for Ukraine in repelling Russian armed aggression, the prompt restoration of critical infrastructure facilities, the restoration and development of Ukraine after the end of hostilities, and the bringing to international criminal responsibility of all war criminals.
As for the possible weakening of the global economy this year, this issue is quite debatable. It is right to wait until after this week’s World Economic Forum in Davos. We can already say that, for example, last year was difficult for European countries, but almost all nations were able to find alternative sources to Russian energy and implement effective energy-saving programs. Green energy received another push for development. Not to mention strengthening the role of defense-industrial complexes by most countries of the world.
Last year was difficult for European countries, but almost all nations were able to find alternatives to Russian energy.
The consequences caused by the war, primarily economic, are felt by the citizens of countries all over the world and we are clearly aware that, the longer the armed aggression continues, the more resources it will require. At the same time, drawing historical parallels, it should be noted that if the civilized countries “leave” Ukraine as a victim for the aggressor as “pacification,” then they will merely postpone a more global conflict that will be provoked, as happened in Europe in the last century.
In response to all international initiatives to end the conflict and return to negotiations, Ukraine clearly states its position. We are ready for negotiations. And we always were ready. But only to negotiations that will actually end the war and provide security guarantees. This is a key condition officially presented to the international community, in particular to the aggressor state, by the president of Ukraine in the form of a 10-step program. We are ready for such negotiations.
Regarding the attempt to take a pause in the war in order to accumulate resources, prepare mobilized reserves and then resume aggression, we do not consider this as a proposal to end the war and, accordingly, it is unacceptable for Ukraine.
There is only one possible scenario — liberation of the whole territory of Ukraine. How will it be done?
Perhaps Putin will show a gesture of goodwill to the whole world and permanently withdraw his troops from the territory of Ukraine and refrain from further aggressive actions.
Perhaps the international community will find effective mechanisms to transfer the war to the political dimension.
It is quite possible that the declared lend-lease for Ukraine will work at full strength and we will have enough means to end this war with the victory of Ukraine.
In any case, there are plans of the military command to conduct operations to liberate the territories, and these plans will be implemented.
We can see that Europe has never been so united as it is today. The processes taking place around our state give a clear understanding that there is an urgent need to ensure the security of European countries bordering the Russian Federation. We see signals coming from countries that are part of the NATO alliance. Europe has a common security model and resources, which provides an opportunity to respond to the threat in a timely manner and provide a decent response to the Russian aggressor and stop the advance of Russian troops.
And today, both for Ukraine and for Europe, there is simply no other choice than to hold out and win this war. Russia will not stop; therefore, if Ukraine does not restrain its aggression, an immediate military threat will arise for the countries of Europe.
After Feb. 24, 2022, the entire civilized world realized that the security model that existed for more than 70 years is no longer there.
There is a certain fatigue in world public opinion from the war, but any significant changes are possible only as a result of significant changes in the state of the war itself. Changes that will allow not only Ukraine, but also the international community, to consider itself safe.
*Col. Taras Dzuba has more than 30 years’ experience in the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
This article first appeared in Asharq. It is part of a series titled “2023: A year of difficult questions.”

Mysterious assassination may shake Erdogan’s coalition partner
Yasar Yakis/Arab News/January 15, 2023
Sinan Ates, an illustrious member of Turkiye’s Nationalist Movement Party, known as the MHP, was assassinated on Dec. 30 in broad daylight in central Ankara. Ates was an associate professor at the Hacettepe University in Ankara. In 2019 and 2020, he served as the chairman of a movement associated with the MHP that is wrongly translated into English as “Nationalist Hearts” (Ulku Ocaklari) and may also be translated as “Home of the Idealists.” This organization was sometimes used as a breeding ground for adherents of the party, while at other times it was its backyard. Independent from his title and previous positions, Ates was a well-respected and appreciated person both in the MHP and in circles outside his party.
While all opposition parties strongly condemned this flagrant assassination, the coalition partners of the government kept silent for several days. Neither President Recep Tayyip Erdogan nor Devlet Bahceli, the chairman of the MHP, which is a member of Erdogan’s government, uttered a single word for days after the assassination. Only six days after the incident did the chairman of the local branch of the ruling AKP party pay a visit to the family to offer condolences. The family said: “The AKP chairman conveyed to us President Erdogan’s greetings and told us to push it as far as it goes.” Bahceli spoke for the first time 10 days after the incident and blamed everyone except himself. This background suggests that the assassination was a surprise for Erdogan and he could not immediately figure out all the consequences of the incident.
Thirteen people have been arrested so far, among them two plainclothes police officers. They were reportedly the ones who gave a lift to the hitman, who traveled all the way from Istanbul to Ankara to carry out the assassination. Most of the arrested suspects have turned out to be drug addicts. The coalition partners want to give the impression that the shooting was not an organized crime, but an accidental occurrence.
There is almost nothing consistent in the entire exercise.
The policemen claimed that they wanted to make a “sprint” to Ankara (a distance of 440 km) to enjoy themselves. A man (the hitman) had asked to join them, saying that he had to go to Ankara and he proposed sharing the cost of travel, so the policemen agreed to give him a lift. The hitman turned out to be a convicted murderer who had managed to remain at large for several years. Core members of the party are circumspect, but they may know who the mastermind is. The MHP community has a tradition of solving its problems within the family, but it may refrain from exposing all of its dirty linen in public.
One of the alleged culprits said they did not intend to kill Ates but to frighten him because he had refused to help with a case in the High Court. One of the easiest ways to discredit someone in Turkiye is to claim that he has been connected with the Muslim cleric Fethullah Gulen, who is in self-imposed exile in the US. In line with this practice, Ates has also been accused of having connections with Gulen, but such a claim does not easily hold out. On the contrary, when he was chairman of the so-called Nationalist Hearts, he managed to exonerate several members of the clan and secure their release from prison.
This unfortunate event coincided with the forthcoming national elections in Turkiye, which are scheduled to be held in a few months’ time. Erdogan’s AKP is far short of the winning range. The president is in dire need of every single vote. The MHP’s support was the only meaningful backing that he could count on. Now, if the MHP disintegrates as a result of Ates’ assassination, Erdogan may face greater risks.
If the MHP disintegrates as a result of Ates’ assassination, the Turkish president may face greater risks.
A bigger calamity may fall on the MHP. The Bursa branch of the party — where Ates was operating — is already in turmoil and looking for a scapegoat. As a skillful politician, Erdogan may still find a way to manage the situation within his own party, but the future looks bleaker for the MHP. This party had already been exposed to harsh criticisms from Meral Aksener’s IYI (Good) Party. One of the biggest winners of this situation may, therefore, be Aksener. The incident also promises more revelations because of its sensitivities.
If Erdogan manages to maintain Bahceli’s support until the elections, he may not rely on him afterwards. The MHP will probably emerge from this incident seriously bruised, if not shattered. Whether Erdogan will be able to emerge unscathed is difficult to tell.
*Yasar Yakis is a former foreign minister of Turkiye and founding member of the ruling AK Party. Twitter: @yakis_yasar

Destroying American Democracy - An Inside Job
Pete Hoekstra/Gatestone Institute/January 15/2023
Just last week it was revealed that the FBI again withheld pertinent information from the American public, for past two months, until after the November 8, 2022 federal election.
The combination of a politically weaponized Intelligence Community, operating hand-in-hand with organizations that are main gateways for information to millions of Americans, is a serious threat to American democracy and the integrity of our elections.
Let us just briefly look at the steep slope of lying, deceit and corruption that has seeped into the leadership of the U.S. Intelligence Community.
Having... false information -- some of which the FBI actually altered -- in the public domain was evidently intended to damage Trump.
Today we know that the "Russia hoax" was a lie.... the information in the "Steele dossier" was false -- and the FBI had known it was from the start.
For almost two years, the authenticity of the material found on Hunter Biden's laptop was questioned. Today, its authenticity has been verified; the information is real and damning. As summarized by the New York Post: "Yes that letter from the Dirty 51 had all the classic earmarks of a disinformation operation, all right – one designed to ensure Joe Biden won the presidency. And it was essentially a CIA operation, considering 43 of the 51 signatories were former CIA."
One final example of the Intelligence Community involving itself in domestic politics comes from the recent release of the Twitter files.... Tweet #17 states, "executives were also clearly liaising with federal enforcement and intelligence agencies about moderation of election-related content." Finally, the FBI paid Twitter $3.5 million reportedly to "handle requests from the bureau."
The FBI, DHS and the ODNI had literally had set up shop at Twitter.
Can our government, law enforcement, and the Intelligence Community still be trusted?
Have those federal government agencies literally weaponized law enforcement and intelligence against political opponents in the U.S.?
Has more than one solitary person -- former FBI attorney Kevin Clinemith, for altering an email -- been held accountable for these egregious abuses of power?
Who authorized the cozy relationship between law enforcement, the intelligence community with twitter?
Who in these government agencies reviewed and approved of the output and decisions coming from these joint efforts?
Who has the records, notes and decisions that emanated from these groups?
It is clear that our law enforcement community needs to be investigated, but most importantly we need to investigate how our Intelligence Community has evolved from having literally a non-existent relationship with speech in America to being inside the room determining what speech is allowed.
There... needs to be a significant investigation by an outside, non-government group to understand how far this massive government overreach into free speech and election manipulation went. Clearly the government has been influencing what we get to see and hear. It needs to stop -- now -- before our democracy is destroyed.
Can our government, law enforcement, and the Intelligence Community still be trusted? Have those federal agencies weaponized law enforcement and intelligence against political opponents in the U.S.? Today we know that the "Russia hoax" was a lie. The information in the "Steele dossier" was false -- and the FBI knew it was from the start. Pictured: Former British intelligence officer Christopher Steele arrives at the High Court in London on July 24, 2020, to attend a defamation trial brought against him by Russian entrepreneur Alexej Gubarev in connection with the "Steele dossier".
Over the last few years, there has been much written about the destruction of American democracy. Frequently the threat has been of alleged interference in U.S. elections by Russia, China or other state actors. Government agencies, the name of election integrity, were assigned to identify and disrupt these foreign intrusions. As more and more information is revealed about these agencies, it seems that America's Intelligence Community participated in these activities domestically, and in a way that poses a grave threat to both election integrity and American democracy.
Just last week it was revealed that the FBI again withheld pertinent information from the American public, for past two months, until after the November 8, 2022 federal election. As with the Bureau's reported cover-up of evidence influence-peddling reportedly found on Hunter Biden's laptop, agents knew, since November 2, 2022, about at least some of the three sets of classified material that illegally found their way into the garage and library of President Joe Biden and into the Penn Biden Center think tank at the University of Pennsylvania -- to which anonymous members of the Chinese Communist Party have donated $54.6 million.
Their existence only became known this week, after the newly elected Republican-majority House of Representatives announced that it would hold hearings on "how the [Justice] department handled investigations into classified materials found at former President Donald Trump's Florida home and those found at President Joe Biden's office in a Washington think tank bearing his name and his Delaware home..."
In addition, the recent release of the "Twitter Files" has raised at least two major concerns regarding actions by the Intelligence Community. The first is that the wall of separation between the Intelligence Community and the U.S. media has not only sprung a leak, it has totally collapsed. The report that officials from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) met weekly with Twitter executives to coordinate information is totally inappropriate. Would officials from the ODNI review, affirm or label certain sets of information as false? When ODNI was created, no one intended its officials to have a role in these types of discussions.
It also appears that intelligence officials in recent years have politically weaponized intelligence. The combination of a politically weaponized Intelligence Community, operating hand-in-hand with organizations that are the main gateways for information to millions of Americans, poses a serious threat to American democracy and the integrity of our elections.
Let us just briefly look at the steep slope of lying, deceit and corruption that has seeped into the leadership of the U.S. Intelligence Community.
First, there are not enough words to praise our Intelligence Community and the men and women who risk their lives to keep America safe. These are the rank-and-file professionals that form the core of the Intelligence Community. Most are dedicated to the mission of gathering the necessary information to protect our nation. Their leaders have a responsibility to serve these individuals. Too often, however, as the current array of whistleblowers indicates, those leaders have let these individuals down.
Imagine their reaction in 2013 when, in response to a question from Senator Ron Wyden to then-Director of National Intelligence (DNI) James Clapper about whether the National Security Agency (NSA) collects "any type of data on millions, or hundreds of millions of Americans," Clapper answered, "No sir, not wittingly." Clapper, who had been given the question the previous day, was asked after the hearing if he wanted to amend the answer, and declined. It was shortly thereafter that a massive NSA program containing millions of pieces of Americans' data was revealed. Clapper was caught in a huge lie -- to U.S. Senator Wyden and the American people.
On January 12, 2017, CNN reported that President-elect Donald Trump had been briefed by DNI Clapper, FBI Director James Comey, CIA Director John Brennan, and NSA Director Michael Rogers. The topic: "Russian operatives claim to have compromising personal and financial information about Donald Trump." It was intended to inform the President-elect that these allegations "are circulating among intelligence agencies, senior members of Congress, and other government officials in Washington." The briefing also touched on other major allegations they claimed were "circulating."
Having this false information -- some of which the FBI actually altered -- in the public domain was evidently intended to damage Trump. The Russian "hoax" allegations would haunt and damage the Trump presidency for almost two years. Clapper himself stated:
"I express my profound dismay at the leaks that have been appearing in the press ... they are extremely corrosive and damaging to our national security."
Clapper also released a statement that neither he nor anyone else in the Intelligence Community were responsible for the leaks. How did this highly classified information, then, get into the public domain?
A House Republican investigation provides the answer. Clapper denied leaking the dossier but admitted to discussing the dossier with CNN correspondent Jake Tapper and perhaps other journalists in early January 2017. Later in 2017, Clapper would go on to join CNN as a "national security" contributor and CNN would receive an award for its reporting at the White House Correspondents' dinner.
Today we know that the "Russia hoax" was a lie. After a 22-month investigation, no evidence of collusion between any element of the Trump campaign and Russia was uncovered. The supposedly compromising evidence had never existed; the information in the "Steele dossier" was false -- and the FBI had known it was from the start. The entire fabrication had been an attempt to attack and politically weaken Trump.
In October 2020, shortly before the elections 51 former intelligence professionals had even signed a joint letter stating that the Hunter Biden laptop had "has all the classic earmarks of a Russian information operation." They stated that their national security experience made them "deeply suspicious that the Russian government played a significant role in this case." They went on:
"If we are right, this is Russia trying to influence how Americans vote in this election, and we strongly believe that Americans need to be aware of this."
The New York Times raised questions about the authenticity of the materials found on the laptop. Bill Evanina, the National Counterintelligence and Security Center Director, had indicated in August that Russia was trying to denigrate the Biden campaign. All these manufactured "facts" were apparently intended to create circumstances where reasonable people would have to conclude that the Hunter Biden laptop was Russian disinformation.
Signatories of the 2020 letter included Clapper, Brennan, Michael Hayden, Jeremy Bash and David Buckley. Clapper and Brennan are familiar names. They were involved in the January 2017 briefing to President Donald Trump on the fake Steele dossier. Jeremy Bash and David Buckley are worth mentioning because they continue to play significant roles in domestic and national security areas in the U.S. government. Buckley was the majority staff director on the House Select Committee investigating January 6th. Bash has been named to co-chair a government commission to review the war in Afghanistan.
The fraudulent efforts by the U.S. government, Clapper, Brennan and the 49 others -- along with Hillary Clinton, her campaign committee, the Democratic National Committee and the suppression of the media and social media (here and here) -- to influence the public unfortunately met with some success. For almost two years, the authenticity of the material found on Hunter Biden's laptop was questioned. Today, its authenticity has been verified; the information is real and damning. As summarized by the New York Post:
"Yes that letter from the Dirty 51 had all the classic earmarks of a disinformation operation, all right – one designed to ensure Joe Biden won the presidency. And it was essentially a CIA operation, considering 43 of the 51 signatories were former CIA."
One final example of the Intelligence Community involving itself in domestic politics comes from the recent release of the "Twitter Files." According to tweet #20 of the third tranche released:
"This post about the Hunter Biden laptop situation shows that Roth not only met weekly with the FBI and DHS, but with the Office of the Director of National Intelligence."
Tweet #17 states: "executives were also clearly liaising with federal enforcement and intelligence agencies about moderation of election-related content."
Finally, the FBI paid Twitter $3.5 million reportedly to "handle requests from the bureau."
We now know what happened. Twitter suppressed discussion of the Hunter Biden laptop story and suppressed conservative messaging, while at the same time it appears the FBI, DHS and the ODNI had literally had set up shop at Twitter.
The American people should be outraged. This level of collaboration between federal law enforcement and a private sector company on controlling speech is terrifying. Having our Intelligence Community, which is supposed to be focused on foreign intelligence collection, involved is even more terrifying.
DNI James Clapper lying to the American people in 2013 about government surveillance of them, the promoting of the Russian hoax theory in 2017 by CIA Director Brennan, DNI Clapper, FBI Director Comey and others, the suppression of the Hunter Biden laptop story by 51 former intelligence professionals, and the close working arrangement between the FBI, DHS and the ODNI in 2020-2022 raises a staggering series of questions:
Can our government, law enforcement, and the Intelligence Community still be trusted?
Have those federal government agencies literally weaponized law enforcement and intelligence against political opponents in the U.S.?
Has more than one solitary person -- former FBI attorney Kevin Clinemith, for altering an email -- been held accountable for these egregious abuses of power?
Why wasn't there a more powerful response from the Intelligence Community and the law enforcement community about the disinformation from the 51 former intelligence professionals?
Who authorized the cozy relationship between law enforcement, the intelligence community with Twitter?
Who in these government agencies reviewed and approved of the output and decisions coming from these joint efforts?
Were political appointees in the review loop?
Who has the records, notes and decisions that emanated from these groups?
It is clear that our law enforcement community needs to be investigated, but most importantly we need to investigate how our Intelligence Community has evolved from having literally a non-existent relationship with speech in America to being inside the room determining what speech is allowed.
There also needs to be a significant investigation by an outside, non-government group to understand how far this massive government overreach into free speech and election manipulation went. Clearly the government has been influencing what we get to see and hear. It needs to stop -- now -- before our democracy is destroyed.
**Peter Hoekstra was US Ambassador to the Netherlands during the Trump administration. He served 18 years in the U.S. House of Representatives representing the second district of Michigan and served as Chairman and Ranking member of the House Intelligence Committee. He is currently a Distinguished Senior Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2023 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.


Egypt And Saudi Arabia…an Important Statement
Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 15 January, 2023
On Thursday, an important statement was issued by Egypt and Saudi Arabia after the meeting of the follow-up and political consultation committee, which is headed by Saudi Minister of Foreign Affairs Prince Faisal bin Farhan and his Egyptian counterpart, Sameh Shoukry. Several important points were made in the statement. I will present them in details here and offer brief commentary given the significance of the stances that, unfortunately, did not receive the media coverage needed. Among the main issues addressed is the two countries’ stable position on the Palestinian cause and their position on Iran and Syria, as well as everything tied to the Egyptian- Saudi security framework, Iraq, Yemen, Libya, and Sudan. Despite the latest statements about an Egyptian-Iranian rapprochement. The statement was made “in light of the central position both countries occupy in the Arab world and the region.”
Both sides stressed their “rejection of any attempts by regional powers to interfere in the domestic affairs of Arab countries or to threaten their stability and undermine the interests of their people, be it through tools of sectarian and ethnic incitement, terrorism and terrorist groups, or visions of expansion.”
The two sides also stressed “the need for Iran to fully respect its commitments to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, which prevents it from acquiring nuclear weapons, and the global efforts to ensure the peacefulness of its nuclear program.” In addition, the countries pledged to “support Arab efforts to compel Iran to comply with international principles of non-interference in the Arab states’ affairs, adhere to the norms regarding neighboring countries, and allow the region avoid all of its destabilizing activities, including its support for armed militias and its threats to maritime navigation and global trade.”And “the two sides condemned attempts to meddle with the security and safety of navigation in the Arab Gulf, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and the Red Sea.” They also emphasized “the importance of supporting Iraq so it once again can occupy its natural position as one of the pillars of stability in the Arab region,” as well as underlining their “rejection of all forms of external interference in Iraq’s affairs.”With regard to Syria, the two parties agreed on “the need to support the preservation of Syria’s independence and territorial integrity, as well as combating terrorism, facilitating the return of refugees and displaced persons, and reaching a political solution to the current crisis in line with Security Council Resolution No. 2254.”
They also stressed “the need to move forward with the political process through Syrian-Syrian negotiations under the auspices of the United Nations envoy to Syria, allowing for the emergence of a framework for a political solution.” This refers to a political solution that does not legitimize Assad but offers political solutions to save Syria and the Syrian people.
This is a clear and precise statement. It answers several points that have been obscured by what I call “news-washing,” be it about relations with Iran, its spheres of influence, or even its occupation of the region, from Syria to Lebanon and from Iraq to Yemen. This is especially significant given that the Iranian minister of foreign affairs has claimed, from Beirut, that he hopes to continue negotiations with Saudi Arabia and restore relations, almost the tenth statement in less than six months. No one wants absolute enmity with Iran. This does not mean that there ought to be negotiations that grant the Mullah regime the legitimacy it lost at home. Instead, we need negotiations on particular issues, which allow us to eliminate security risks, support stability, and growth, and bring an end to Iran’s interference in Arab affairs. Thus, the Saudi-Egyptian statement is consequential. It serves as a reminder of the positions that Riyadh and Cairo have taken on pressing issues, and it indicates ongoing coordination that is required for the region and is crucial for its stability.