English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For November 25/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Jesus answered them, ‘Do not complain among yourselves. No one can come to me
unless drawn by the Father who sent me; and I will raise that person up on the
last day.”I am the bread that came down from heaven
Saint John 06/40-44: “This is indeed the will of my Father, that
all who see the Son and believe in him may have eternal life; and I will raise
them up on the last day.’Then the Jews began to complain about him because he
said, ‘I am the bread that came down from heaven.’They were saying, ‘Is not this
Jesus, the son of Joseph, whose father and mother we know? How can he now say,
“I have come down from heaven”?’Jesus answered them, ‘Do not complain among
yourselves.No one can come to me unless drawn by the Father who sent me; and I
will raise that person up on the last day.”Formerly, when you did not know God,
you were enslaved to beings that by nature are not gods
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on November
24-25/2022
Lebanon MPs Again Fail to Elect President despite Economic Crisis
MPs fail anew to elect president as 1 vote goes to Badri Daher
Karami returns to parliament as wins of Fanj, Salloum annulled
Report: KSA backs Gen. Aoun for presidency as Marada-LF mediation begins
Mikati urges president election and final agreement with IMF
Institutional vacuum complicates economic crisis in Lebanon
Report: French initiative on Lebanon's presidential file hits dead end
UNRWA commissioner-general visits Lebanon
Report: Bassil proposes 3 candidates as Franjieh talks to Paris, Moscow
Lebanon: Tenfold Increase in Customs Duties
Constitutional Council annuls Rami Fenj and Firas Salloum’s parliament
membership
Berri broaches general situation with Choucair, receives congratulatory
independence cables
Mikati briefed by Caretaker Minister of Information on Tunisia talks, meets MP
Strida Geagea, International Finance Corporation delegation
Army Chief receives German Ambassador, Lebanese-Syrian Supreme Council Secretary
General
Presentation of findings for urban community Al-Fayhaa Local Economic
Development Assessment
IN BETWEEN Festival hosted by British Council Lebanon wraps up its extensive
programme of conversations and spaces
Zaynab, Daughter Of Hizbullah Leader Hassan Nasrallah: When My Brother Hadi Was
"Martyred," My Parents Did Not Shed A Single Tear; We Are Embarrassed That Our
Sacrifice Was That Small
How Lebanon collapsed into a state of paralysis/Nadim Shehadi/Arab News/November
24, 2022
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on November
24-25/2022
UN Calls on Iranian Authorities to Halt 'Unnecessary Use of Force' Against
Protesters
UN Rights Council Votes to Probe Iran’s Ongoing Crackdown
Iran Arrests Outspoken Player amid World Cup Scrutiny
Kurdish Groups Call for Strikes against Revolutionary Guards’ Suppression of
Protests
Govt: Netherlands Has No Consular Access to Dutch Man Detained in Iran
Kurdish Groups Call for Strikes against Revolutionary Guards’ Suppression of
Protests
Germany Urges UN Rights Council to 'Raise Voice' for Iranians
Russian-Ukrainian Meeting in UAE to Discuss Prisoner Swap, Ammonia
UK: Russia Likely Redeployed Major Elements of Airborne Forces to Eastern
Ukraine
US Senators Urge Biden Administration to Give Ukraine Advanced ‘Drones’
Poland Asks Germany to Send Patriot Missile Launchers to Ukraine
Pentagon: Turkish Air Strikes in Syria Threaten Safety of US Personnel
Turkish Drones Target Security Guards at Al-Hol Camp, ISIS Families Try to
Escape
In Kuwait, Sudani Affirms Iraq’s Keenness to Build Balanced Relations with
Neighbors
Titles For The
Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on November
24-25/2022
'A Nation Cannot Exist Without Confidence in its Ruler'/Lawrence Kadish/
Gatestone Institute/November 24, 2022
The Iranian Revolution is Reminiscent of the Shah’s Final Days/Huda al-Husseini/Asharq
Al-Awsat/November, 24/2022
The looming danger of Iranian regime’s nuclear program/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab
News/November 24, 2022
November
24-25/2022
Lebanon MPs Again Fail to Elect President
despite Economic Crisis
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Lebanese lawmakers failed for a seventh time Thursday to elect a successor to
former president Michel Aoun, even though the vacancy is hampering efforts to
rescue the stricken economy. Parliament is split between supporters of the
powerful Iran-backed Hezbollah movement and its opponents, neither of whom have
a clear majority. Lawmaker Michel Moawad won the support of 42 of parliament's
128 MPs, but his tally fell well short of the required majority and was exceeded
by the number of spoilt ballots cast by pro-Hezbollah lawmakers. Moawad's
candidacy is opposed by Hezbollah, whose leader Hassan Nasrallah called this
month for a president ready to stand up to the United States. "This is not an
electoral process, it's a process of waiting for compromise that is to the
detriment of the country, the people, the economy and the constitution," said
Christian MP and Moawad supporter Sami Gemayel. There have been delays in
electing previous Lebanese presidents. Aoun's own election in 2016 followed a
more than two-year vacancy at the presidential palace as lawmakers made 45
failed attempts before reaching a consensus on his candidacy. But the
failure to elect a successor to Aoun before his mandate expired at the end of
last month came with Lebanon mired in an economic crisis the World Bank has
dubbed one of the worst in modern history. The country has also had only a
caretaker government since May, despite warnings from creditors that sweeping
reforms need to be enacted to clear the way for the release of billions of
dollars in emergency loans. "An unprecedented institutional vacuum will likely
further delay any agreement on crisis resolution and critical reform
ratification, deepening the woes of the Lebanese people," the World Bank warned
in a statement on Wednesday. "Lebanon's total contraction of 37.3 percent in
real GDP since 2018 -- among the worst the world has seen -- has already wiped
out 15 years of economic growth and is scarring the country's potential for
recovery." Parliament will convene for an eighth attempt to elect a new
president on December 1.
MPs fail anew to elect president as 1 vote goes to Badri Daher
Naharnet/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Parliament on Thursday held a seventh session for the election of a new
president to no avail, prolonging the political crisis in the country. As 50
blank votes were cast by Hezbollah and its allies, 42 votes went to MP Michel
Mouawad, eight for “New Lebanon”, six went to the academic and historian Issam
Khalife, two went to ex-minister Ziad Baroud and one went to jailed Customs
chief Badri Daher. A new presidential election session has been scheduled for
next Thursday. Speaking after the session, Mouawad said: “Propose to us a
convincing and serious sovereign candidate and I'm willing to endorse him.” MP
Ali Ammar of Hezbollah for his part acknowledged that “Army chief Joseph Aoun
has set a good example in his management of the institution and has managed to
protect civil peace through his leadership,” but noted that “this matter is not
linked to the presidential juncture.”“We don’t use the term ‘veto’ in the
Lebanese interior,” Ammar added.
Karami returns to parliament as wins of Fanj,
Salloum annulled
Naharnet/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
The Constitutional Council on Thursday annulled the parliamentary membership of
Rami Fanj (Tripoli, Sunni) and Firas al-Salloum, declaring the win of Faisal
Karami (Tripoli, Sunni) and Haidar Nasser (Tripoli, Alawite). Karami is an ally
of Hezbollah and the March 8 camp while Fanj was a member of the 13-MP Change
bloc. Nasser meanwhile was a member of Fanj’s electoral list. Constitutional
Council chief Tannous Meshleb told al-Jadeed TV that the Council re-counted
votes from nearly 50 polling stations.“The lead between Rami Fanj’s list and the
other list was nominal and when the votes we re-counted the results changed,”
Meshleb added. He also revealed that the rulings in the appeals filed over the
electoral results in Metn and Akkar might be declared in two weeks.
Karami for his part told al-Jadeed that the proposals of the Change MPs
are similar to his aspirations. “A lot of work awaits us, especially that we are
in a state of presidential and governmental vacuum, and a president cannot be
elected without consensus and dialogue,” he added. Salloum meanwhile offered
congratulations to Nasser and said he trusts the Constitutional Council but he
noted that he was hoping that the Council would “re-count the votes of all
polling stations.”
Report: KSA backs Gen. Aoun for presidency as Marada-LF mediation begins
Naharnet/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Saudi Arabia has informed its allies in Lebanon that it supports the election as
president of Army Commander General Joseph Aoun, because he is “firm in his
stances, centrist, unbiased and capable of talking to all political parties in
Lebanon,” an Arab diplomat has said in a closed-door meeting. “He is the most
suitable candidate in the current period,” ad-Diyar newspaper quoted the Arab
diplomat as saying. An informed political source meanwhile told the daily that
“a prominent political official has launched a mediation to open communication
channels between the Lebanese Forces and the Marada Movement.” The source added
that the LF will be asked “not to strip quorum from a session that might lead
Franjieh to the presidency, seeing as the LF has decided not to vote for him but
Saudi Arabia’s non-opposition might contribute to securing quorum by the
opposition without voting” for Franjieh.
Speaking to ad-Diyar, LF sources declined to comment on the report, albeit
without denying it.
Mikati urges president election and final agreement with IMF
Naharnet/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati announced Thursday that exiting the
country’s multifaceted crisis should be through “a general solution and a
general settlement.”He added that such a settlement “should before anything else
entail the election of a president as soon as possible, the formation of a new
government, speeding up the cycle of the aspired reforms and reaching a final
agreement with the International Monetary Fund.”This would allow Lebanon to
“obtain the promised international aid in order contain the current risks, as a
precondition for any hoped for economic revival on the medium and long terms,”
Mikati went on to say. He was speaking at the Beirut
Economic Forum 2022 at the Phoenicia Hotel, organized by the Union of Arab Banks
(UAB) and titled "Arab Experiences in Economic Reforms and an Agreement with the
International Monetary Fund."
Institutional vacuum complicates economic crisis in
Lebanon
Naharnet/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
"This is not an electoral process, it's a process of waiting for compromise that
is to the detriment of the country, the people, the economy and the
constitution," said MP and Kataeb party chief Sami Gemayel. Gemayel decried the
results of a seventh parliamentary session that failed again Thursday to elect a
successor to former president Michel Aoun, even though the vacancy is hampering
efforts to rescue the stricken economy. There have
been delays in electing previous Lebanese presidents.
Aoun's own election in 2016 followed a more than two-year vacancy at the
presidential palace as lawmakers made 45 failed attempts before reaching a
consensus on his candidacy. But the failure to elect a
successor to Aoun before his mandate expired at the end of last month came with
Lebanon mired in an economic crisis the World Bank has dubbed one of the worst
in modern history. The country has also had only a caretaker government since
May, despite warnings from creditors that sweeping reforms need to be enacted to
clear the way for the release of billions of dollars in emergency loans.
"An unprecedented institutional vacuum will likely further delay any
agreement on crisis resolution and critical reform ratification, deepening the
woes of the Lebanese people," the World Bank warned in a statement on Wednesday.
"Lebanon's total contraction of 37.3 percent in real GDP since 2018 -- among the
worst the world has seen -- has already wiped out 15 years of economic growth
and is scarring the country's potential for recovery."
Parliament will convene for an eighth attempt to elect a new president on
December 1.
Report: French initiative on Lebanon's presidential file hits dead end
Naharnet/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
The French drive regarding the Lebanese presidential file has hit again a dead
end, al-Akhbar newspaper said Thursday, as foreign sources indicated a long
period of presidential vacuum.
The daily reported that the French are trying to imply a progress by
inaccurately interpreting the Saudi position, but that Saudi Arabia is standing
its ground regarding the file. Riyadh is sticking to the American-French-Saudi
statement of support for Lebanon. So is Washington. "It is critical to elect a
President who can unite the Lebanese people and work with regional and
international actors to overcome the current crisis," the joint statement had
read.
According to the daily, France has clearly been informed by Saudi Arabia that
the kingdom is not interested in the French attempts nor would it accept any
compromises regarding the presidential file. It is only adhering to the Taif
Agreement and the implementation of the international resolutions and is not
interested in the presidential file. France as a result sought to bring back the
humanitarian Saudi-French project to the spotlight, in an attempt to smooth the
rough edges, by keeping communication channels open, in the hope that it might
later lead to the reactivation of the presidential talks.
After the visit of Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil to Paris, France
decided to open its doors to all the Lebanese political forces for presidential
talks, as it became clear that the presidential file has become more and more
complicated, the daily said.
UNRWA commissioner-general visits Lebanon
Naharnet/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
People in Lebanon, among them Palestine refugees, are “suffering and paying the
price for something not of their making,” UNRWA Commissioner-General Philippe
Lazzarini said during a visit to the country. “I met with Palestine refugees
during my visit who are completely ravished by poverty, despair and lack of
prospect. The humanitarian situation of Palestine refugees in Lebanon is
extremely alarming. People are dying a slow death as many are unable to afford
medicines or co-share the cost of treatment especially for chronic diseases and
cancer. Levels of poverty and unemployment are unprecedented due to one of the
worst economic crises in recent history. The spread of cholera is the latest
tragic layer that adds to acute hardship and helplessness,” Lazzarini added.
“While I walked on dark streets due to long power cuts, I wondered if
Lebanon was at a point of no return,” he said. “In the
Beddawi Palestine refugee camp, north of Lebanon, I met Salim, who asked that I
relay his call for help so that his family can survive this dark episode of the
country’s economic freefall,” Lazzarini went on to say.
“Last month, I put out a plea on behalf of Palestine refugees
highlighting the levels of despair they are living in. I asked the world to
‘Hear Their Voices’ and act to help UNRWA help Palestine refugees with the bear
minimum, to make ends meet and live in dignity,” he added. Heeding UNRWA’s call
for urgent assistance, the Government of Germany “generously contributed US$ 6
million for Palestine refugees in Lebanon,” Lazzarini said. “With this support,
UNRWA will be able to do a round of cash assistance distribution to the most
vulnerable as they prepare for winter. This cash assistance also includes
Palestine refugees from Syria who depend on monthly assistance from UNRWA to
survive,” he added. “While this is very welcome, it’s only the tip of the
iceberg. People in Lebanon need and deserve to have a better life far from
dependence on humanitarian and cash assistance. It is a nation known for its
creativity, generosity and love of life against all odds,” Lazzarini said.
“However, and until a more sustainable solution is found, UNRWA will continue to
do everything possible to help Palestine refugees have a life of dignity. I call
for further support to UNRWA so that we continue to assist families in need.”
Report: Bassil proposes 3 candidates as Franjieh
talks to Paris, Moscow
Naharnet/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
During his latest visit to Paris, Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil
tried to convince the French with endorsing a number of presidential candidates,
a media report said on Thursday. “He raised the names
with them seeking ‘a bargain and an exchange of services,’ an approach that the
French side did not welcome,” highly informed sources told the Nidaa al-Watan
newspaper. The sources revealed that the names were
Jihad Azour, Ziad Baroud and George Khoury and that Bassil pledged to provide
for any of them a Christian cover, “something that (Marada Movement chief
Suleiman) Franjieh lacks in light of the Christian blocs’ rejection of his
election.”Franjieh for his part is seeking to “promote himself with the French”
and had recently dispatched an envoy to Paris to try to sway the French into
endorsing him for the presidential settlement that they are working on, the
newspaper quoted “credible” sources as saying. Franjieh is also “continuing to
activate his channels of communication with the Russian leadership, which have
stayed open since his latest visit to Moscow,” the sources added. “He had heard
forthright Russian support for his nomination and a promise that Russian
diplomacy would do all it can to push for boosting his presidential chances with
the allied and friendly countries,” the sources said.
Lebanon: Tenfold Increase in Customs Duties
Beirut - Ali Zeinddine/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday,
24 November, 2022
The Ministry of Finance announced on Wednesday that the government will start
collecting customs duties with a tenfold increase, starting the first of
December. The announcement came a day after the Governor of the Banque du Liban
said that the official exchange rate of the dollar would be raised to LBP 15,000
as of February. Minister of Finance in the caretaker government, Youssef Al-Khalil,
said that his ministry has sent a letter to Banque du Liban, informing it that
it would calculate foreign exchange rates on taxes and fees collected by the
Customs Administration on imported goods and merchandise, on the basis of LBP
15,000 pounds per US dollar, as of the first of December. Khalil noted that this
measure would limit the exploitation of price differences, and mitigate the
losses incurred by the treasury. In a televised interview on Monday, BDL
Governor Riad Salemeh said: “We are in the process of unifying the exchange
rates”.The BDL bank would have just two rates, he said, the LBP 15,000 and the
Sayrafa rate, the official exchange rate platform managed by the Central Bank,
where the Lebanese pound is currently trading at about 30,000 to the dollar.
Lebanon’s financial and banking circles were not surprised by the announcement.
In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, a senior banking official asserted that the
monetary authority’s moves were aimed at covering up the constitutional and
political voids on the one hand, and the executive authority’s continued
inability to find emergency solutions to stop the series of monetary and
financial collapses. He noted that any move to correct monetary losses caused by
the multiplicity of exchange rates would fall within effective approaches to
developing a methodology for managing the major monetary and financial crises
that the country has been experiencing for three years. It also contributes,
according to a previous assessment by the general manager of the First National
Bank, Najib Samaan, to alleviating the burdens and exchange losses incurred by
depositors in banks, who carry out withdrawals within monthly ceilings at the
rates of LBP 8,000 and 12,000 per one dollar.
In line with this assessment, Salemeh said: “We are trying, through these
circulars, to manage the crisis.”He continued: “This crisis came amid challenges
that are beyond the scope of the Banque du Liban… The most important of which
was the cessation of paying foreign Lebanese bonds, which largely isolated
Lebanon from the financial markets and made it difficult for dollars to enter
the country... in addition to the Covid-19 pandemic, which left its marks on the
economies of the world as a whole.”
Constitutional Council annuls Rami Fenj and Firas
Salloum’s parliament membership
NNA/November 24/2022
The Constitutional Council has annulled the parliament membership of Rami Fenj
and Firas Salloum, and declared the victory of Faisal Karame and Haidar Assef
Nasser respectively, our correspondent reported on Thursday.
Berri broaches general situation with Choucair, receives
congratulatory independence cables
NNA/November 24/2022
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Thursday received at the Second Presidency in Ain
El-Tineh, the head of the Federation of Chambers of Commerce, Industry and
Agriculture in Lebanon, former Minister Mohammad Choucair, with whom he
discussed the current general conditions, especially the economic ones.
On the occasion of Lebanon’s 79th Independence Day, Speaker Berri received
congratulatory cables, namely from the Secretary General of the Asian
Parliamentary Assembly (APA) Muhammad Reza Majidi, and from the former Iraqi
Vice President, Dr. Ayad Allawi. On the other hand, Berri received a response
letter from the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China.
Mikati briefed by Caretaker Minister of Information on
Tunisia talks, meets MP Strida Geagea, International Finance Corporation
delegation
NNA/November 24/2022
Caretaker Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, on Thursday met at the Grand Serail,
with Caretaker Minister of Information, Ziad Makary, with whom he discussed the
situation of the media sector in the country and relevant Ministry affairs.
Following the meeting, Caretaker Minister Makary said, "I briefed the Premier on
my talks in Djerba-Tunisia, on the sidelines of the Francophone Summit, where I
met with a number of heads of state and ministers concerned with the Lebanese
affairs."
He added: “The second issue we discussed pertains to the broadcast of the Qatar
World Cup. I am one of those who do not lose hope; however, we faced a major
obstacle, namely the absence of a session of the Council of Ministers. This has
hindered the signing of the commercial contract by the Lebanese government,
either represented by the Ministry of Telecommunications or Television of
Lebanon (TL), as per legal necessity."On the other hand, Caretaker Premier
Mikati met with MP Strida Geagea, in the presence of the Secretary-General of
the Higher Relief Commission, Major General Mohammed Khair.
On emerging, MP Geagea said: "My visit today comes in wake of the recent
unfortunate incident that took place in the Cedars. I came today to thank
Premier Mikati for commissioning Major General Mohammed Khair, to inspect the
damages, and I hoped compensations, even if partially, would be paid for the
losses incurred by the company.”Mikati later received, in the presence of Deputy
Prime Minister, Saade Al-Shami, a delegation representing the International
Finance Corporation, headed by the IFC's Regional Director for the Middle East,
Pakistan, and Afghanistan, Khawaja Aftab Ahmed. Discussions during the meeting
reportedly touched on prospects of helping Lebanon and some joint projects.
Army Chief receives German Ambassador, Lebanese-Syrian
Supreme Council Secretary General
NNA/November 24/2022
Lebanese Army Commander, General Joseph Aoun, received at his Yarze office on
Thursday, German Ambassador to Lebanon, Andreas Kindl, accompanied by the
Military Attaché, Lt. Col. Heino Matzken. An agreement was signed between the
two sides, according to which the German Ambassador presented a financial
donation to the military institution.On the other hand, Maj. Gen. Aoun received
the Secretary General of the Lebanese-Syrian Supreme Council Nasri Khoury, with
discussions reportedly touching on various issues.
Presentation of findings for urban community Al-Fayhaa
Local Economic Development Assessment
NNA/November 24/2022
In line with its efforts to support local authorities in addressing current
socio-economic and basic service challenges, and within the framework of the
Municipal Empowerment and Resilience Programme (MERP) funded by the European
Union, the United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-Habitat) and the
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) are presenting the findings and
recommendations on local economic development of the LED assessment for Urban
Community Al-Fayhaa November 29th 2022, at Florida Beach Hotel in Al-Herri.
The study is the first and to date the only analysis of the impact of the
economic and financial crisis at the local level and its implications for unions
and municipalities It is a unique opportunity for Urban Community Al-Fayhaa and
the local community to better understand key challenges threatening sustainable
economic development. The findings provide key figures and a tangible roadmap
for coordination and partnership between unions, the local community and the
local private sector to set the basis for a sustainable local economy that will
create jobs and economic opportunities and improve the living conditions of the
entire community. This event will present to the municipalities, the Urban
Community Al-Fayhaa, the local community and the private sector the results and
outcomes from the LED assessment work conducted under the MERP project in
partnership with Unites Cities Lebanon/Bureau Technique des Villes Libanaises
and a transdisciplinary team of experts including experts in economics, urban
planning, public financial management, legal affairs, capacity development, GIS
and data analysis expertise.
EVENT: The event is one of a series of launch events organized by the UN Habitat
and UNDP on unions of municipalities as enablers of local economic development.
The two other events: Matn (December 1st 2022) and Tyre (December 2nd 2022).
DATE: Tuesday November 29th 2022, from 9:30 to 13:15 p.m.
PLACE: Florida Beach Hotel – Al Herri.
PARTICIPANTS
Senior representatives from UNDP and UN-Habitat, LED experts, Union of
Municipalities and Municipalities representatives.
IN BETWEEN Festival hosted by British Council Lebanon wraps
up its extensive programme of conversations and spaces
NNA/November 24/2022
The IN BETWEEN Festival, which took place in nine different locations throughout
Beirut, concluded its multifaceted, 23-component programme, giving young artists
and more than 25 Lebanese and British professionals a chance to network
professionally through several creative sectors, including dance and performing
arts, music, games, and visual arts.
The festival, which took place from November 16 to November 20, 2022, and was
attended by 15 delegates from the United Kingdom, strengthened relationships and
started new projects with leaders in Lebanon's creative and cultural sector.
Conversations and spaces, the program's two main themes, were seen as
complementary parts that are important for finding new ways to live and make a
living, especially in the current situation, which creates a lot of uncertainty
about the creative economy and how we should respond to global issues.
For a special closing session, Fields of Power, a collaborative piece of art
that promotes environmental awareness and women's empowerment, was unveiled at
the Beirut Digital District (BDD) in the presence of HMA Hamish Cowell, the
British Ambassador to Lebanon, Skinder Hundal, the British Council Global Arts
Director, and Mayssa Dawi, British Council Country Director - Lebanon
During his speech, HMA Hamish Cowell, the British Ambassador to Lebanon stated:
“The whole festival is a testament to what makes Lebanon so special in this
region, that they include so many diverse issues - from gender and LGBTQ issues
to emigration and alienation to the environment to gaming.”
HMA Hamish Cowell, the British Ambassador to Lebanon
Photography by Jean Hatem Image Courtesy of British Council Lebanon
The mural work, Fields of Power, created by Lebanese artist Samer Bou Saleh and
Scottish artist Lauren Morsley, is now located in the centre of BDD's outdoor
amphitheatre and serves as a symbol of friendship and cross-cultural and
creative exchange between Lebanon and the UK.
The mural marks a collaboration between the British Council Lebanon, Art of
Change, Open/Close Dundee, and BDD.
During the unveiling event at the BDD, the hub and community for the digital,
Mayssa Dawi, British Council Country Director - Lebanon, announced that the hub
will now house the council's office.
Local and global landscapes that are always changing have led to a state of
complete liminality, where projections are unclear and boundaries are not clear.
As a result, new spaces for thinking and making have sprung up, offering new
chances to rethink how arts and culture can help us move forward.
As a response, the festival adds theatre and literature to a year-long programme
of professional capacity-building programmes in the visual arts, dance and
performing arts, music, and games sectors and asks the audience to think about
what could happen in the spaces between.
As British Council Global Arts Director, Skinder Hundal said: “In ART we trust,
and through activities like these we deepen the linkages that make us human and
we extend from port to port, city to city, building trust”.
The festival featured a variety of events, including plays, performances, book
releases, and displays of visual arts that offered readings in alternating
chronologies. Among them, the launch of The Rise of Shuruq: The New Platform
Showcasing Contemporary Music from the SWANA Region (south west Asia/north
Africa). Shuruq is a talent development and discovery platform for music from
Swana and its diasporas. Initiated by Station Beirut with partners, Shuruq seeks
to showcase artists and transmit the diversity of music cultures from Swana to
the world.
Zaynab, Daughter Of Hizbullah Leader Hassan Nasrallah: When
My Brother Hadi Was "Martyred," My Parents Did Not Shed A Single Tear; We Are
Embarrassed That Our Sacrifice Was That Small
MEMRI/November 24/2022
Source: Al-Manar TV (Lebanon)
https://www.memri.org/tv/zaynab-daughter-of-hassan-nasrallah-brother-hadi-martyrdom-did-not-shed-a-tear
Zaynab Nasrallah, the daughter of Hizbullah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah,
said in a November 10, 2022 show on Al-Manar TV (Hizbullah-Lebanon) that when
her brother Hadi Nasrallah was "martyred" by Israeli forces in 1997, her father
and her mother did not shed a "single tear." She said that her mother was not
being obtuse by not crying, but rather that she was convinced of the path of
Jihad that Hadi had chosen from a young age. Zaynab elaborated that her mother
had said that Hadi had "made a shortcut" to the afterlife and had not allowed an
atmosphere of mourning after his death. Rather, Zaynab said that there was an
atmosphere of pride and honor. The show host then invited Zaynab's son, who is
also named Hadi, to the stage, and he brought with him the uniform that Hadi
Nasrallah had worn while "waging Jihad." Hadi Nasrallah was killed in battle
with the Israeli military in September 1997.
Zaynab Nasrallah: "You can say that we have sacrificed much less than many other
families of martyrs, who sacrificed an only child, or two or three children. We
are embarrassed that we have made such a small sacrifice.
"When it became clear that [my brother Hadi] was one of the martyrs – when [his]
pictures emerged on Israeli websites and it was clear he was martyred – [my
mother] did not shed a single tear. When people started coming to
congratulate..."
Interviewer: "Excuse me, Zaynab, but some might see this as obtuseness..."
Nasrallah: "No, it's not obtuseness."
Interviewer: "Then what is it?"
Nasrallah: "It is a manifestation of the fact that she accepted that her son had
set out on Jihad from a young age. It is [a display of] conviction in this path.
The first thing she said when she learned that Hadi had been martyred, and the
people were coming to congratulate us – we don't say they were coming to extend
condolences... There was this atmosphere, with one woman crying, another getting
emotional... My mother said: 'If you don't mind, I don't want this atmosphere.
Hadi just made a shortcut.'
"I don't remember ever seeing my father shedding a single tear over the martyr
Hadi."
Interviewer: "Never?"
Nasrallah: "Never. Even my mother. Back then, I never saw her crying. We have
never gathered and had a memorial service or anything. Absolutely not. The
atmosphere is one of pride and honor."
Interviewer: "I would like to invite [your son, who is also called] Hadi. We
asked sister Zaynab to bring something left behind by [her brother, the] martyr
Hadi. Welcome, Hadi. Make yourself comfortable. Welcome, brother Hadi."
Hadi: "Hello."
Interviewer: "Tell us what you carried in and gave to your mother."
Hadi: "I gave her something left behind by my uncle – the uniform he was wearing
while waging Jihad."
نديم شحادة/عرب نيوز: كيف انهار لبنان ووصا إلى حالة الشلل
How Lebanon collapsed into a state of paralysis
Nadim Shehadi/Arab News/November 24, 2022
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/113622/113622/
Once upon a time, perhaps near the end of the last century, a
well-meaning bureaucrat was sold on the idea of a world where everyone — and he
or she did mean everyone — would own their own home, no matter their background.
This set in motion a process where bad or subprime loans were facilitated and it
ended as the global financial crisis of 2007-09, the most serious meltdown since
the 1929 Great Depression. There were many participants in the chain of events
that led to that collapse, but no one remembers who made the original decision.
In “The Big Short,” a 2015 movie about the crisis, we saw all the protagonists
unaware of the implication of their actions. Realtors, bankers, lenders,
borrowers, hedge fund managers, quantitative analysis whiz kids and fintech
brokers were all acting in character and at the same time contributing to the
collapse. If this was a crime that robbed widows of their pensions and savings,
then they are all guilty, yet they are all at the same time innocent — they were
doing no more than what they would normally do. If Oprah Winfrey brought them on
to her show, they would be pointing fingers and accusing each other. Our
well-meaning and faceless bureaucrat would hardly be mentioned as a suspect. It
was the perfect crime.
Something similar happened in Lebanon. The country has been catapulted into the
abyss and everyone is accusing everyone else. People accuse bankers, who accuse
the central bank, who accuse politicians, who accuse each other, and so on.
Everyone is guilty, including the depositors, who are accused of being greedy
for depositing their money in high-interest accounts; yet they are also somehow
innocent because they acted in character, doing what they do.
Total collapse is a complex phenomenon that can be explained through several
disciplines. Engineers have a concept whereby an accumulation of shocks — the
systematic and constant pounding of the edifice, with none of the shocks large
enough to collapse the structure alone — can have a fatal cumulative effect.
They call it fatigue failure. A classic example is the 1876 Ashtabula River
railroad disaster in Ohio. None of the many trains that passed over the bridge
were too heavy, but at some point, due to train after train, the bridge’s
cast-iron elements cracked and collapsed due to fatigue. Trains and planes have
crashed, tanks filled with molasses exploded and oil platforms keeled over, all
due to ruptures caused by constant pounding and fatigue.
Lebanon’s collapse can also be explained by the constant battering the country
has experienced over a long period. The chronology is astounding. I have
described it before and one wonders how many countries could have survived such
a systematic succession of crises. Cracks began starting to show in Europe when
it received the equivalent of 2 percent to 3 percent of its population as
refugees. Lebanon received as much as a third in a shorter period due to the
Syrian war.
Since 2004, the country has been through a series of assassinations that created
a paralytic state of terror. Then there was the destructive war with Israel in
the summer of 2006, the 18-month political crisis, Hezbollah’s attack on Beirut
in 2008, and then an imposed agreement in Doha that continues to paralyze
decision-making and government formation to this day.
A coup in January 2011 brought down the government. This happened when a
politician was forced to withdraw his party’s support due to threats of violence
against his person, his family and his community. Then the impact of the war in
Syria came after that, followed by a major political crisis with the country’s
main economic partners in the Gulf. The result of this isolation and boycott by
the Gulf states was a run on the banking system that began in November 2017, not
in October 2019 as is commonly believed. This was when the country’s partners
decided that Lebanon was completely dominated by Hezbollah and gave up on it.
The economy was being strangled year in, year out as a result of these
successive crises, with widening budgetary and balance-of-payment deficits,
until the coup de grace came when, under political pressure, a salary scale and
benefits review turned out to be several times more expensive than the Ministry
of Finance had estimated. This more than doubled the annual budget deficit in
one year. An MP opposed to it predicted that the consequences on the country
would be several times more severe than the war with Israel in 2006 — and they
were.
There could have been measures taken to prevent the country’s total collapse,
but not while there was a constant paralysis of government and state
institutions. Long-term stagnation and inactivity in any organism can bring
about what doctors describe as atrophy — deterioration and decline leading to
degeneration and an incapacity to function. This is, for me, what best describes
the effect of the political paralysis on Lebanon.
The cracks started to show in 2011 and a wise monetary policy could have
prevented the total collapse. Yet there was more than three years of total
paralysis, with no functioning parliament, government or president. All this
while constant tension was maintained by several declarations of war with Israel
every year, resulting in failed tourist seasons and canceled investment
projects. It is difficult, under these circumstances, to imagine a central bank
governor making decisions such as getting the currency off the peg with the US
dollar or announcing the cessation of subsidies for electricity and essential
items like bread and fuel, and then resigning as some suggest.
Developments after the initial crash were far worse. The default on debt
servicing in the spring of 2020 and declaration of bankruptcy precipitated the
downward spiral of the Lebanese currency, while the draining of what remained of
the reserves and with it people’s access to their deposits was continuing via
the smuggling of fuel and other subsidized commodities through porous borders.
Debts were also paid back in Lebanese lira at a fraction of their value.
One wonders how many countries could have survived such a systematic succession
of crises.
We have now entered another period of paralysis of the three principal
institutions: A caretaker government incapable of taking major decisions, a
parliament that meets with one item on the agenda, and the presidency in total
vacuum with no candidate in sight.
Prof. Saleh Machnouk estimates that, between 2005 and 2021, Lebanon was in a
state of paralysis and stagnation for 2,925 days, i.e., more than half the time.
This is how Hezbollah gained control of the country, thanks to the hollowing out
of institutions, the constant battering of the edifice and the paralysis of
decision-making, with everyone, including the protestors of the 2019 revolt,
accusing everyone else, including the experts, of being responsible.
*Nadim Shehadi is a Lebanese economist. Twitter: @Confusezeus
Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not
necessarily reflect Arab News' point of view
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on November
24-25/2022
UN Calls on Iranian Authorities to Halt 'Unnecessary Use of
Force' Against Protesters
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
The UN human rights chief on Thursday made a strong appeal to Iranian
authorities to stop their "unnecessary and disproportionate" use of force
against protesters in Iran in a speech to the Human Rights Council on the
ongoing crisis. "We are now in a full-fledged human rights crisis," High
Commissioner of Human Rights Volker Turk said in his first address to the
council since starting last month. "The unnecessary and disproportionate use of
force must come to an end," he said. Turk added that so far, more than 300
people have been killed in the protests, including more than 40 children, while
around 14,000 have been arrested. The body is debating a motion brought by a
group of some 50 countries led by Germany and Iceland to create a new
investigative fact-finding mission to probe alleged abuses since a wave of
protests began over the death in custody of 22-year-old Kurdish woman Mahsa
Amini on Sept. 16.
UN Rights Council Votes to Probe Iran’s Ongoing
Crackdown
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
The UN Rights Council voted on Thursday to appoint an independent investigation
into Iran's deadly repression of protests, passing the motion to cheers of
activists amid an intensifying crackdown in Kurdish areas over recent days.
Volker Turk, the UN rights commissioner, had earlier demanded that Iran end its
"disproportionate" use of force in quashing protests that have erupted after the
death in custody of 22-year-old Kurdish woman Mahsa Amini on Sept. 16. The
protests have particularly focused on women's rights - Amini was detained by
morality police for attire deemed inappropriate under Iran's religious dress
code - but have also called for the fall of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
The unrest has posed one of the boldest challenges to Iran's clerical ruling
elite since it came to power in the 1979 revolution, though authorities have
crushed previous rounds of major protests. The mission appointed by the rights
council's vote on Thursday will collect evidence into abuses during the
authorities' deadly crackdown. Evidence assembled by a mission appointed by the
same council was later used for the prosecution of a Syrian ex-officer in
Germany who was accused of war crimes. Tehran's representative at the Geneva
meeting Khadijeh Karimi earlier accused Western states of using the rights
council to target Iran, a move she called "appalling and disgraceful".
Thursday's vote had been seen as a test of Western clout in the council with
China pushing a last-minute amendment to strip out the investigation but it
eventually passed easily. Turk, who said Iran faced a "full-fledged human rights
crisis" with 14,000 people arrested, including children, said Tehran had not
responded to a request he had made to visit the country. Iran has given no death
toll for protesters, but a deputy foreign minister, Ali Bagheri Kani, said on
Thursday that around 50 police had died and hundreds been injured in the unrest
- the first official figure for deaths among security forces. He did not say
whether that figure also included deaths among other security forces such as the
Bassij or the Revolutionary Guards.
Crackdown
The crackdown has been particularly intense in Kurdish areas, located in western
Iran, with the UN rights monitor this week noting reports of 40 deaths there
over the past week. A parliament member from the mainly Kurdish city of Mahabad
said he had been issued repeated summons by the judiciary for his stance in
support of protesters. "The judiciary has raised a complaint against me as a
representative of the mourning people instead of conserving the legal rights of
the protesting people and the families of victims in Mahabad and Kurdish
cities," Jalal Mahmoudzadeh tweeted on Wednesday. Prominent Sunni Muslim cleric
Molavi Abdulhamid, a member of the Baluch minority in the southeast who has been
outspoken in criticizing the treatment of mostly Sunni ethnic minorities by the
mainly Shiite ruling elite, spoke against the crackdown. "The dear Kurds of Iran
have endured many sufferings such as severe ethnic discrimination, severe
religious pressure, poverty and economic hardships. Is it just to respond to
their protest with war bullets?" he tweeted on Wednesday. Several Sunni
religious scholars from the northwestern city of Urmia issued a video posted by
the activist HRANA news agency backing the protests and calling for the release
of prisoners and an end to the killing of demonstrators. Reuters could not
immediately verify the video's authenticity. The United States has sanctioned
three Iranian security officials over the crackdown in Kurdish-majority areas,
the Treasury Department said on Wednesday.
Iran Arrests Outspoken Player amid World Cup Scrutiny
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Iran has arrested a prominent former member of its national football team over
his criticism of the government as authorities grapple with nationwide protests
that have cast a shadow over the team as it competes in the World Cup before a
global audience. The semiofficial Fars and Tasnim news agencies reported
Thursday that Voria Ghafouri was arrested for "insulting the national soccer
team and propagandizing against the government." Ghafouri, who was not chosen to
go to the World Cup, has been an outspoken critic of Iranian authorities
throughout his career, objecting to a longstanding ban on women spectators at
men's soccer matches as well as Iran's confrontational foreign policy, which has
led to crippling Western sanctions. More recently, he expressed sympathy for the
family of a 22-year-old woman whose death while in the custody of Iran's
morality police ignited the latest protests. In recent days he also called for
an end to a violent crackdown on protests in Iran's western Kurdish region. The
reports of his arrest came ahead of Friday’s World Cup match between Iran and
Wales. At Iran’s opening match, a 6-2 loss to England, the members of the
Iranian national team declined to sing along to their national anthem and some
fans protested. The protests were ignited by the Sept. 16 death of Mahsa Amini,
a Kurdish woman arrested by the morality police in the capital, Tehran. They
rapidly escalated into nationwide demonstrations calling for the overthrow of
the republic. The western Kurdish region of the country, where Amini was from,
has seen particularly intense protests and a deadly crackdown by security
forces. Ghafouri, who is also a member of Iran's Kurdish minority, has
criticized government policies in the past. Officials have not said whether that
was a factor in not choosing him for the national team. He plays for the
Khuzestan Foolad team in the southwestern city of Ahvaz. The protests show no
sign of waning, and mark one of the biggest challenges to Iran's ruling clerics
since the 1979 revolution that brought them to power. Authorities have blamed
the unrest on hostile foreign powers, without providing evidence. The protesters
say they are fed up after decades of social and political repression, including
a strict dress code imposed on women.
Kurdish Groups Call for Strikes against Revolutionary
Guards’ Suppression of Protests
London, Tehran - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Kurdish parties opposed to the Iranian regime called on all Iranians to carry
out strikes and protest marches on Thursday. They urged demonstration in
response to the Revolutionary Guards’ oppression of protests in Kurdistan and in
several other areas. For the tenth week since the young Kurdish woman, Mahsa
Amini, died in the custody of the Iranian morality police, the Revolutionary
Guards have been suppressing widespread protests in Iran. Kurdish groups called
on political organizations, civilian activists, and Iranian citizens to strike
and protest in support of Iranian Kurdistan and unity among Iranians. “Several
days ago, the regime started a bloodbath with all its might in Kurdistan and
committed a general massacre,” the Kurdish Parties’ Coordinating Committee said
in a statement. The number of people killed by security forces during the
protest movement since mid-September has risen to 437. This figure, according to
the US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA), has included 61 minors.
HARANA also pointed to Iranian authorities arresting 18,055 individuals during
the unrest. As protests continue in various forms, senior officials in Iran have
defended the crackdown to quell the demonstrations. “People expect us to have a
firm confrontation,” said Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi. Member of Parliament
and general of the Revolutionary Guards Muhammad Ismail Kothari had also
approved sending ground forces to Kurdish cities to confront “separatists.”
Brigadier-General and Commander of the Revolutionary Guard Ground Forces
Mohammad Pakpour called on the people of the Iraqi Kurdistan region to evacuate
the centers and headquarters of what he labeled as “terrorists,” in a hint at
Iranian Kurdish groups. In a press conference, Foreign Minister Hossein
Amirabdollahian said that “76 terrorist centers that are opposed to the
revolution are active in the Kurdistan region.”“These groups have allowed US and
Israeli weapons to the country,” he added. “As long as there is a threat from
the neighborhood against us, our armed forces will continue their actions to
ensure the maximum national security of the country,” affirmed the top diplomat.
Govt: Netherlands Has No Consular Access to Dutch Man
Detained in Iran
Asharq A-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
The Netherlands said Wednesday it had no consular access to a Dutch man detained
in Iran, where authorities say they have arrested dozens of foreigners in
connection with mass protests. "It is disappointing that, despite continuous
pressure, the Iranian authorities have so far not granted consular access to
this Dutch detainee," the Dutch government said in a letter to parliament. Iran
has repeatedly accused outside forces of stirring up widespread protests
triggered by the death in custody of a 22-year-old Kurdish Iranian woman. Mahsa
Amini died three days after her arrest by the country's morality police for
allegedly breaching Iran's strict dress code for women. "Iran has not shared any
evidence of the alleged foreign interference," AFP quoted the Dutch government
as saying. On Tuesday Iran's judiciary said it had arrested 40 foreigners during
the two months of protests, accusing them of being "implicated in the recent
riots". It did not specify their nationalities, or when or where they were
arrested. In September, Iranian authorities announced the arrest of nine
foreigners in connection with the protests, including someone from the
Netherlands.
Kurdish Groups Call for Strikes against Revolutionary
Guards’ Suppression of Protests
London, Tehran/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Kurdish parties opposed to the Iranian regime called on all Iranians to carry
out strikes and protest marches on Thursday. They urged demonstration in
response to the Revolutionary Guards’ oppression of protests in Kurdistan and in
several other areas. For the tenth week since the young Kurdish woman, Mahsa
Amini, died in the custody of the Iranian morality police, the Revolutionary
Guards have been suppressing widespread protests in Iran. Kurdish groups called
on political organizations, civilian activists, and Iranian citizens to strike
and protest in support of Iranian Kurdistan and unity among Iranians. “Several
days ago, the regime started a bloodbath with all its might in Kurdistan and
committed a general massacre,” the Kurdish Parties’ Coordinating Committee said
in a statement. The number of people killed by security forces during the
protest movement since mid-September has risen to 437. This figure, according to
the US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA), has included 61 minors.
HARANA also pointed to Iranian authorities arresting 18,055 individuals during
the unrest. As protests continue in various forms, senior officials in Iran have
defended the crackdown to quell the demonstrations. “People expect us to have a
firm confrontation,” said Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi. Member of Parliament
and general of the Revolutionary Guards Muhammad Ismail Kothari had also
approved sending ground forces to Kurdish cities to confront “separatists.”
Brigadier-General and Commander of the Revolutionary Guard Ground Forces
Mohammad Pakpour called on the people of the Iraqi Kurdistan region to evacuate
the centers and headquarters of what he labeled as “terrorists,” in a hint at
Iranian Kurdish groups. In a press conference, Foreign Minister Hossein
Amirabdollahian said that “76 terrorist centers that are opposed to the
revolution are active in the Kurdistan region.” “These groups have allowed US
and Israeli weapons to the country,” he added. “As long as there is a threat
from the neighborhood against us, our armed forces will continue their actions
to ensure the maximum national security of the country,” affirmed the top
diplomat.
Govt: Netherlands Has No Consular Access to Dutch Man
Detained in Iran
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
The Netherlands said Wednesday it had no consular access to a Dutch man detained
in Iran, where authorities say they have arrested dozens of foreigners in
connection with mass protests. "It is disappointing that, despite continuous
pressure, the Iranian authorities have so far not granted consular access to
this Dutch detainee," the Dutch government said in a letter to parliament. Iran
has repeatedly accused outside forces of stirring up widespread protests
triggered by the death in custody of a 22-year-old Kurdish Iranian woman. Mahsa
Amini died three days after her arrest by the country's morality police for
allegedly breaching Iran's strict dress code for women. "Iran has not shared any
evidence of the alleged foreign interference," AFP quoted the Dutch government
as saying. On Tuesday Iran's judiciary said it had arrested 40 foreigners during
the two months of protests, accusing them of being "implicated in the recent
riots". It did not specify their nationalities, or when or where they were
arrested. In September, Iranian authorities announced the arrest of nine
foreigners in connection with the protests, including someone from the
Netherlands.
Germany Urges UN Rights Council to 'Raise Voice' for
Iranians
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock urged the UN Human Rights Council to
"raise its voice" for Iranians, during a special session Thursday about the
deadly crackdown on protests in the country. "The Iranian demonstrators have no
seat at the Human Rights Council in Geneva, they have no voice at the United
Nations," she said ahead of the urgent meeting. So the council "can raise its
voice for the indivisible rights of Iran's people," added Baerbock, who will
attend the session. Thursday's meeting, requested by Germany and Iceland with
the backing of more than 50 countries, will discuss whether to launch a
high-level international investigation into the Iranian crackdown. It
follows weeks of demonstrations in Iran sparked by the death of 22-year-old
Mahsa Amini, after she was arrested for an alleged breach of the country's
strict dress rules for women. Baerbock said that "day after day, we have had to
witness how Iranians have become victims of brutal violence". Germany supports
those "who demand their rights with courage and dignity," she said. "Just for
making these demands, they are killed by the hundreds, arrested by the
thousands, and oppressed by the millions." Diplomats at the council will
Thursday debate a call for an international investigation of alleged violations
linked to the ongoing protests. Baerbock called for the council to vote in favor
of the resolution, saying: "We owe it to the victims.""Every vote counts," AFP
quoted her as saying. "Our message is: We are not just looking on. We go where
we can use our vote to do something for the rights of Iranians." According to
Norway-based group Iran Human Rights, more than 400 people have been killed
across Iran during the violent suppression of protests. The UN says thousands of
peaceful protesters, including women, children and journalists, have also been
arrested.
Russian-Ukrainian Meeting in UAE to Discuss Prisoner Swap,
Ammonia
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
The UAE said that since the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, it has
called for de-escalation and dialogue, and has supported all diplomatic
initiatives in this regard. Lana Nusseibeh, Assistant Minister of Foreign
Affairs and International Cooperation for Political Affairs, issued a statement
saying that the UAE firmly believes that diplomacy remains the only viable way
to end the crisis. She also said her country shares the international
community’s deep concerns about the repercussions of the current situation on
civilians in and out of Ukraine, and regional and international peace, security
and stability.
"In times of conflict, our collective responsibility is to leave no stone
unturned towards identifying and pursuing paths that bring about a peaceful and
swift resolution of crises. As such, the UAE remains firmly committed to help
keep channels of communication open, encourage dialogue, support diplomacy,
leveraging all the tools at our disposal to alleviate suffering and find a
peaceful and sustainable solution that enhances international peace and security
and ends the humanitarian impact on civilians,” she added, state news agency WAM
reported. Also, representatives from Russia and Ukraine met in the UAE last week
to discuss the possibility of a prisoner-of-war swap that would be linked to a
resumption of Russian ammonia exports, which go to Asia and Africa, via a
Ukrainian pipeline, Reuters cited three sources with knowledge of the meeting as
saying.
UK: Russia Likely Redeployed Major Elements of Airborne Forces to Eastern
Ukraine
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Russia has lately redeployed major elements of its airborne forces to Eastern
Ukraine, the UK Defense Ministry said in its latest Intelligence update on the
situation in Ukraine. The ministry said the forces were likely redeployed to the
Donetsk and Luhansk fronts in the Donbas. Between September and October, most of
the VDV units were dedicated to the defense of Russian-held territory west of
the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast. Some weakened VDV units have likely been
reinforced with mobilized reservists. The Russian airborne forces are considered
an elite unit, a separate branch of the armed forces. At the beginning of the
war against Ukraine nine months ago, the troops were supposed to take over Kyiv
with the support of ground forces, but they were confronted.
US Senators Urge Biden Administration to Give Ukraine
Advanced ‘Drones’
Washington - London - Tehran - Kyiv - Elie Youssef & Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday,
24 November, 2022
A bipartisan group of US senators has urged the Biden administration to
reconsider its decision not to give Ukraine advanced drones, saying that the
technology could help Kyiv to hold its territory and gain battlefield momentum.
In a Nov. 22 letter to Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, 16 senators urged the
administration to give Ukraine MQ-1C armed drones, or Gray Eagles, which are
medium-altitude drones that can fly for more than 24 hours, The Wall Street
Journal reported. “The long-term upside of providing Ukraine with the MQ-1C is
significant and has the potential to drive the strategic course of the war in
Ukraine’s favor,” the legislators wrote. Among the signatories are Sen. Joni
Ernst, Sen. James Inhofe, who is the outgoing ranking Republican on the Senate
Armed Services Committee, Sen. Tim Kaine, Sen. Joe Manchin and Sen. Mark Kelly.
In the past few weeks of the nearly nine-month-long war, Iran has provided
Russia with drones that have been pummeling Ukrainian population centers and
civilian infrastructure, and which legislators said gave Russia a battlefield
advantage. The Ukrainians should have a US-supplied arsenal to counter what
Russia has received, they said. “This system’s operational
attributes—availability, lethality, survivability, and exportability—complement
existing weapon systems used by the Ukrainians and will increase the lethality
of the Ukrainian military,” the legislators wrote. Training Ukrainians on the
MQ-1C, which are made by General Atomics, would take 27 days, the senators
explained, adding that if Ukraine had access to its own drones it “could find
and attack Russian warships in the Black Sea, breaking its coercive blockade and
alleviate dual pressures on the Ukrainian economy and global food prices.” The
White House and the Pentagon declined Ukraine’s request for the drones earlier
this month. US officials, at times, have worried that the technology aboard the
drone could be stolen on the battlefield. The Pentagon is assessing what the
effect the provision of the drones would have on the US military, said Pentagon
spokeswoman Sabrina Singh.
“We are always assessing and evaluating what we can send to Ukraine,” she said.
US officials said the reluctance to provide the drones stemmed from technical
issues, not fears of escalation. The letter was the latest example of a
monthslong tension between Capitol Hill and the White House over what kind of
weapons to provide Ukraine.
Members of Congress from both parties have repeatedly pushed the administration
to give Ukraine armed drones. In a September letter, 17 lawmakers urged the
administration to speed up its review process about providing Gray Eagles,
leading to the decision earlier this month. In the latest letter, the
legislators asked Austin to explain by Nov. 30 the Pentagon’s reasons for
concluding that the US shouldn’t provide Ukraine MQ-1C drones. The new letter
contradicts the circulated speculation about the possibility of a change in the
support of the US Congress for the US aid to Ukraine. This comes amid remarks
that this support will not be given without any return. “Ukrainian successes on
the battlefield are encouraging, but [Russian President] Vladimir Putin’s intent
to conquer all of Ukraine remains unchanged. The timely provision of effective
lethal aid to stabilize Ukrainian defenses and enable long-term resistance
against future Russian aggression remains urgent,” the letter read. Kyiv is
under pressure from some of its Western backers to signal readiness for
negotiations with Moscow amid concerns about the global economic fallout of the
war. The United States announced $400 million in additional military aid for
Ukraine on Wednesday. The US continues to support Ukraine with additional
military assistance to help defend itself, including from the Kremlin’s
relentless attacks on Ukraine’s critical energy infrastructure, said a statement
by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Pursuant to a delegation of authority
from President Joe Biden, Blinken said he is authorizing twenty-sixth drawdown
of US arms and equipment for Ukraine since August 2021. “This $400 million
drawdown includes additional arms, munitions, and air defense equipment from US
Department of Defense inventories.”It will bring the total US military
assistance for Ukraine to an unprecedented level of approximately $19.7 billion,
since the beginning of the Administration. He pointed out that the artillery
ammunition, precision fires, air defense missiles, and tactical vehicles the US
is providing will best serve Ukraine on the battlefield. “We are joined in our
efforts by France and the UK, including the £50 million in air defense systems
offered by UK Prime Minister Sunak during his recent visit to Kyiv, and we note
Sweden’s recent air defense commitment valued at nearly $300 million,” the
statement said.
Poland Asks Germany to Send Patriot Missile Launchers to
Ukraine
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
Polish Defense Minister Mariusz Blaszczak said on Wednesday he had asked Germany
to send Patriot missile launchers offered to Poland to Ukraine. "After further
Russian missile attacks, I asked Germany to have the Patriot batteries offered
to Poland transferred to Ukraine and deployed at its western border," Blaszczak
wrote on Twitter. "This will protect Ukraine from further deaths and blackouts
and will increase security at our eastern border."On Monday Poland said it would
propose deploying additional Patriot missile launchers near its border with
Ukraine, following an offer from Germany, according to Reuters. Berlin offered
Warsaw the Patriot missile defense system to help secure its airspace after a
stray missile crashed in Poland last week. It had earlier said it would offer
its eastern neighbor help in air policing with German Eurofighters. The missile
that hit Poland last week, killing two people, appeared to have been fired
accidentally by Ukraine's air defenses rather than to have been a Russian
strike, NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg has said.
Pentagon: Turkish Air Strikes in Syria Threaten Safety of
US Personnel
Washington - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022
The Turkish air strikes in northern Syria threatened the safety of US military
personnel and the escalating situation jeopardized years of progress against
ISIS militants, the Pentagon said on Wednesday. “Recent air strikes in Syria
directly threatened the safety of US personnel who are working in Syria with
local partners to defeat ISIS and maintain custody of more than 10,000 ISIS
detainees,” Pentagon Press Secretary Brig Gen Patrick Ryder stated. Earlier on
Tuesday, Türkiye struck several targets in Syria after President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan issued new threats to launch a ground operation "soon" against Kurdish
fighters despite calls for de-escalation from Washington and Moscow. Ankara
launched a series of air strikes in Operation Claw-Sword on Sunday -- hitting
dozens of Kurdish targets across Iraq and Syria -- and announcing that its
military was once again "on top of the terrorists". The air raids followed a
bombing in Istanbul on Sunday that killed six people and wounded 81. Türkiye
blamed the attack on the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), which is blacklisted as
a terror group by the European Union and the United States.
Turkish Drones Target Security Guards at Al-Hol Camp, ISIS
Families Try to Escape
Damascus - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022 -
Two Turkish strikes Wednesday targeted forces guarding the exterior of Syria's
Al-Hol detention camp, amid a state of chaos and fear among ISIS families and
attempts by some of them to flee, a war monitor said. The camp is home to over
50,000 people including relatives of suspected ISIS militants.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) reported that the number of
airstrikes fired by Turkish drones on areas held by the Autonomous
Administration had amounted to 15 on Wednesday. A Turkish drone attacked two
positions in al-Malkiyah countryside in far north eastern Syria, the SOHR said.
In the first attack, the drone shelled positions in Shirk village, and in the
second attack the drone attacked a fuel station in Ala Qos area in al-Malkiyah
countryside near borders between Syria and Iraq. A Turkish drone also hit power
transmission station near a coronavirus hospital in al-Qamishli, while
ambulances rushed to the targeted area. The London-based war monitor had
previously reported that a Turkish drone targeted a checkpoint for the (Kurdish)
Asayesh security forces in Abu Rasin town in Hasaka’s northwestern countryside,
injuring members of the checkpoint. Another Turkish drone also targeted a house
in Kararshak village in the countryside of Ain al-Arab (Kobani). Turkish drones
further targeted an oil station in Mashuq village and the Kil Hasnak station in
al-Qahtaniyah countryside.
In Kuwait, Sudani Affirms Iraq’s Keenness to Build Balanced
Relations with Neighbors
Kuwait - Merza al-Khuwaldi/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 November, 2022 -
Kuwaiti Prime Minister Sheikh Ahmad Nawaf Al-Ahmad Al Sabah held on Wednesday
official talks with his Iraqi counterpart, Muhammad Shia Al-Sudani, who is on
his first visit to Kuwait since taking office. The Kuwait News Agency (KUNA)
said that the discussions were friendl” and touched on bilateral relations and
means to strengthen cooperation to serve the interests of the two peoples.
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Sheikh Mishaal Al-Ahmad Al Sabah also met with the Iraqi
premier on Wednesday. The Iraqi News Agency said that the Kuwaiti Crown Prince
affirmed his country’s “keenness to support Iraq’s stability and prosperity.”The
media office of the Iraqi Prime Minister stated that Al-Sudani met the Crown
Prince of Kuwait, Sheikh Mishaal Al-Ahmad, in the presence of Prime Minister
Sheikh Ahmed Nawaf Al Sabah, adding that the officials reviewed bilateral
relations, within the framework of the historical ties that unite the two
countries.According to the statement, Al-Sudani underlined “Iraq’s keenness to
build balanced relations with its neighbors, based on mutual respect and
preservation of the sovereignty of the two countries,” pointing to the need to
“resolve many files in a manner that supports common interests and achieves
stability in the region.”For his part, the Kuwaiti Crown Prince welcomed the
Iraqi premier, emphasizing “the strength of the distinguished relations that
bind the two countries and unite their peoples”He also reiterated Kuwait’s
keenness to support Iraq’s stability and prosperity, praising Baghdad’s pivotal
role in the region and its quest to enhance long-lasting security.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
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on November
24-25/2022
'A Nation Cannot Exist Without Confidence in its
Ruler'
Lawrence Kadish/ Gatestone Institute/November 24, 2022
Our election integrity is under assault, as is our Constitution. We have lost
confidence in our rulers. We have lost confidence in how we elect our rulers.
(Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)
"Tsekung asked about government and Confucius replied: 'People must have
sufficient to eat; there must be a sufficient army; and there must be confidence
of people in the ruler.' 'If you are forced to give up one of these three
objectives, what would you go without first,' asked Tsekung. Confucius said, ' I
would go without the army first.' 'And if you were forced to go without one of
the two remaining factors, what would you rather go without,' asked Tsekung
again. 'I would rather go without sufficient food for the people.... [A] nation
cannot exist without confidence in its ruler.'"
— From The Wisdom of China and India by Lin Yutang.
Our election integrity is under assault, as is our Constitution. We have lost
confidence in our rulers. We have lost confidence in how we elect our rulers. As
of this writing, the US midterm election has been over for more than two weeks;
in Arizona, which reported massive voting problems – from voting machines that
failed to work to "mixed ballots" -- the result still has not been tallied. We
have lost confidence in mail-in ballots -- a reservation about which the Carter
Commission warned in 2005; in ballot-harvesting and "ballot hunting" as opposed
to verifiable voting with one-man-one-vote. We have lost confidence in the
hundreds of "dirty," uncleaned voter rolls and the lack of voter identification
in many states.
Most of all we have lost confidence in the millions of political dollars such as
Mark Zuckerberg's "Zuckbucks", provided privately, where $400 million, laundered
through supposedly non-governmental organizations, effectively "swung" elections
in Georgia. Now, they are available "on steroids." After 25 states ruled out
private political donations such as Zuckbucks, the Biden administration put $370
billion in public funds -- nearly a thousand times what Zuckerberg used -- in
the hands of long-time Democrat political operative John Podesta, to be
disbursed at his discretion, ostensibly for climate change. What cannot be said
out loud is that the climate change NGOs that hope to receive this bounty,will
most likely be asked quietly to agree that a goodly percentage of what they get
be used to "educate" voters in districts known through gerrymandering to be
sympathetic.
We have lost confidence in the blindingly unequal application of the law. This
abuse of political power cuts through the leadership of virtually all of the
government agencies, starting with the Department of Justice and its offshoot,
the FBI.
The Department of Justice was recently exposed, among other matters, as having
supported a fake investigation for three years. costing $40 million in taxpayer
money, into a fraudulent campaign to unjustly discredit former President Donald
J. Trump when the people leading the investigation have been shown to have known
from the start that it was fraudulent. The FBI deliberately launched a campaign
to discredit as "having all the earmarks of Russian disinformation" the contents
of a laptop belonging to Hunter Biden, which again they know from the start to
be genuine – again to meddle in US elections and throw the vote to a mentally
incapacitated and reportedly compromised President Joe Biden.
The Internal Revenue Service was caught targeting "conservatives", and even the
Environmental Protection Agency has been capriciously harassing ranchers (here
and here). Now, Congress has voted $80 billion for the Biden administration to
hire 87,000 more IRS agents to harass small shopkeepers and hard-working
Americans who cannot afford expensive accounting firms -- not the billionaires
and large corporations who can -- into paying even more taxes. Worse, in the
middle of a recession that the Biden administration induced on day one by
launching a war on fossil fuels, thereby causing the price of literally
everything to skyrocket, people who can afford it the least are forced to choose
between "eat or heat."
Where were the dollars appropriated for more agents at the US Southern border to
stop the entry of 5 million illegal immigrants, along with fentanyl from China
that has been poisoning more than 100,000 Americans; massive human trafficking
and sex-slavery; the possible unspeakable future of thousands of unaccounted-for
children; nearly a million "gotaways" about whom we know nothing; and the nearly
one million who have died trying to enter?
These questions are not new. One year ago, on these pages, reprinted below,
similar questions were raised. The answers have only gotten worse.
Re Confidence in 'Ruler'
by Lawrence Kadish/November 29, 2021
An ancient philosopher is attributed to once observing that a nation can survive
deprivation or even a battlefield defeat but it cannot survive the loss of
confidence in its leadership.
As the Great Depression dismantled hopes and dreams across America, a president
who had once rescued Europe from famine following World War I -- and whose
organizational skills as U.S. Secretary of Commerce were extraordinary -- lost
the confidence of his countrymen.
Hebert Hoover would lose his reelection bid to a man who inspired hope, trust,
and most of all, confidence among citizens of a nation where nearly a quarter of
them were out of work. Franklin Delano Roosevelt would receive nearly 23 million
votes to Hoover's nearly 16 million. The electoral vote was even more telling:
472 to 59.
Yet, as historians will remind us, Roosevelt, despite all of his initiatives,
did not have the means to put an end to the Depression through most of his first
two terms. What he did manage to do, however, was restore and sustain the
confidence of the American people by allowing them to take pride in themselves
and the belief that there was a future worth waiting for.
President Lyndon B. Johnson found a nation solidly behind him following the
shocking assassination of John F. Kennedy. Yet by the time he announced he would
not seek a second term, his approval ratings had sunk to 36% as the Vietnam War
stalemated in Southeast Asia and anti-war protests rocked our cities.
The nation had lost confidence in the man who rallied America after those dark
days in Dallas. LBJ, ever the political pragmatist, recognized that with such
lost confidence was the end of his ability to govern effectively. He knew it was
time to exit the Oval Office.
President Jimmy Carter is still another example of a president who failed to
gain the confidence of the American people and lost at the polls against a
charismatic, inspiring leader, Ronald Reagan. Historians observe that even
Democrats were unhappy with Carter's tenure, coupled with his handling of the
Iran hostage crisis and a wretched economy.
President Joe Biden's tenure in office will be judged against a similar
perspective. There is little question that he will be viewed as the commander in
chief who ordered our chaotic Afghan retreat, stood mute in the face of
inflation creep, and proposed a multi-trillion dollar budget deficit that has
the ability to bankrupt future generations tasked with paying it down. The
result is that Biden may well be losing the confidence of the American people.
The most recent poll shows that more than half of the American public disapprove
of his tenure. Already Democrats are openly wondering who will be their
candidate when Biden's first term ends.
For Biden, it could be worse.
In Great Britain, the loss of confidence can immediately bring down a
government.
If the House of Commons passes a "no confidence" resolution, the current Prime
Minister and his cabinet are required to resign. It ensures that there is not a
day the Prime Minister isn't aware of the need to secure the confidence of
Parliament and those voters who sent those representatives to sit in that
historic hall.
The upcoming mid-term Congressional election may become the tipping point for
the Biden Administration's ability to govern. It will reveal far more accurately
than any poll whether the American people have confidence in a president who, in
his suggested confusion, has presided over multiple policy failures.
During its history, America has endured much but this much is clear: its
citizens have no patience for a president in which they have lost confidence.
*Lawrence Kadish serves on the Board of Governors of Gatestone Institute.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
The Iranian Revolution is Reminiscent of the Shah’s Final
Days!
Huda al-Husseini/Asharq Al-Awsat/November, 24/2022
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/113610/%d9%87%d8%af%d9%89-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b3%d9%8a%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%ab%d9%88%d8%b1%d8%a9-%d8%a5%d9%8a%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%86-%d8%aa%d8%b0%d9%91%d9%83%d8%b1-%d8%a8%d8%a2%d8%ae%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d9%8a%d8%a7%d9%85/
Iran has no friends left. It buys friendships with weapons, as it is doing with
Russia and Armenia, leaving death and victims behind it. That is how Hezbollah
managed to leave Lebanon without friends.
By the way, we must pay tribute to the Iranian national football team currently
playing in the World Cup in Qatar. It defied the injustice of its regime,
refusing to sing the national anthem of the Islamic Republic. “Our people are
not happy,” one player said. For his part, the captain declared: “I would like
to express my condolences to all the bereaved families. They should know we are
with them. We support them, and we sympathize with them.”
Of course, this is brave. However, fears of reprisals against the Iranian
players who refused to sing the national anthem have been growing, and they have
been threatened to repeat it. Several sources of divergent leanings have
reported that Mojtaba Hosseini Khamenei, the son of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei,
visited his father alongside former speaker of parliament and presidential
candidate Ali Larijani and Ali Larijani’s brother Sadeq (better known as Amoli),
who heads the Expediency Discernment Council. Though everyone close to the
Supreme Leader had agreed not to include him in discussions of sensitive topics
that could annoy or physically and intellectually exhaust him, the Supreme
Leader’s son subtly violated this agreement.
Mojtaba said that the brothers, Amoli and Ali, wanted to share their
apprehensions regarding the state of affairs in the country and sought the
direct council of Khamenei. Amoli explained that things are not right in the
country and that this is what has led to the popular uprising led by angry,
hopeless Iranian youths. Many people sympathize with them, and the harsh manner
with which Ebrahim Raisi has dealt with the situation has made things worse.
After the Basij brutalized protesters in cities across the country, they reacted
with counter-violence, and the uprising expanded, reaching regions far from the
capital.
Amoli Larijani went on to add that some security forces have fled and mutiny,
often out of apparent sympathy for the rebels. Ali then said that he need the
wise council of the Supreme Leader on how to resolve the crisis. Lying on his
bed, Khamenei replied that the conniving insurgents should only be negotiated
with after having been punished and requesting mercy. As for those who disobey
orders, they should be executed and made an example of.
One news source said that Ali Larijani told him, after visiting the Supreme
Leader, that what he saw is similar to what happened with the Shah the day he
order a clamp down on the protests. It was the end of the regime. The
overwhelming majority of the insurgents are Iranians seeking political change,
freedom, and democracy. More importantly, they want to hold the despots in power
accountable for the state of the country, which has become far worse than it had
been under the Shah, and repression should not be an alternative to dialogue.
What has been called the women’s insurgency in Iran has not stopped since Mahsa
Amini was murdered by the morality police because a few strands of her hair were
showing beneath her veil. They then claimed that she had died of a health
problem she had had while detained as videos documenting the violence she had
been subjected to while she was being taken to the police station to were going
viral.
Amini was the spark that lit the fuse of a generation that opposes the
ideological regime in power. It has two faces. One wants to build on the demands
of the 14 Iranian insurgencies that preceded it. The other face insists on
changing the ruling political system, greater freedoms, an end to the security
regime, bringing down the dictator, and accountability. In an interview
broadcast last on ITV, a protester says he wants “a regime that does not
interfere in the affairs of neighboring countries, spending everything the
country has to fund terrorist militias… and supply Russia with drones while its
people are now eating out of garbage cans and lack basic needs.”
The clampdown by the Basij was violent. Save the Children has condemned the
repression and demanded a response to reports of hundreds of children in Iran
being maimed and detained, calling for the establishment of an independent
investigative body. However, also worth noting is the resistance of the
insurgents, who fought with stones, sharp, and the light arms left behind by
fleeing security forces. Many civilians have died or been wounded, as have
several of the Basij forces. Despite this, neither the protests nor the
repression ended. Despite totally cutting the internet and cell phone reception,
social media pages associated with the insurgency continue to translate
information about the developments in Iran. They have reported on the
developments of the past week… Among them are the following:
- A mass protest was held in Saro Street in the Shahr-e-Ziba neighborhood of
Tehran. “This year is the year of blood, Khamenei will fall” was among their
chants.
- A mass protest was held in the city of Bijar in Iranian Kurdistan.
- Thousands of men and women revolutionaries took control of the city of Bukan,
occupying all the Basij headquarters there and setting them on fire. They gave
the forces of repression a deadline time to hand in their arms. In the city of
Kerman, protesters chanted: “Your end is near, Khamenei,” and “Victory to the
Iranian revolution.” All the government buildings, police headquarters, and IRGC
and army barracks in the city are under the control of the Kurdish
revolutionaries in Iranian Kurdistan.
- A member of the special unit, Ismail Chiraghi, was killed in clashes with the
rebels in the city of Isfahan.
- Protests were held in Sanandaj, where Basij colonel Hassan Yousefi on Saturday
during clashes with insurgents blocking the city’s roads to prevent the Basij
from entering it.
All international protocols would designate the use of a “nerve agent” in
Javanrud a clear example of war crimes. The Iranian people are calling on the
international community to invoke the Responsibility to Protect (R2P) law.
In Asulyeh, laborers in the 11th refinery located in South Pars Gas Company went
on strike. And, to put it briefly, Iran will significantly increase enrichment.
It announced that it had begun Uranium enriched at 60 percent.
Going back to Khamenei, he described the protesters as “weak, small, and unable
to harm the regime” while talking about the youths who have been in the streets
since September 16. Nonetheless, he demanded that they and those who “incited
them to take to the streets” be punished.
Khamenei is an 83 religious cleric who has led the Islamic Republic since 1988,
and he is growing more isolated by the day. He is totally out of touch with
reality and cannot understand the demands of the youths crying out “death to the
dictator.” Most of those who have been arrested are between 16 and 22 years old.
They do not care what Khamenei thinks about revolution, and they detest the
values that the so-called Supreme Leader and his aids claim to stand for. The
youths are chanting “women, life, freedom-” three vulgar terms in Khamenei’s
world.
This week, many older Iranians took part in the protests. Shopkeepers,
businessmen, and university students went on strike for three days, reminding
Iranians of the hundreds, some estimates say thousands, of Iranians killed in
November 2019.
Brute force ended that round of protests. The state spilled blood for longer
than the insurgency itself had gone it, and this came at a steep cost. However,
for those who had still been diluted, the veil has been lifted off of this
regime’s face forever. November reminds them that the Islamic Republic cannot be
reformed. It is a hopeless case. Even at this painful time, Iranians take the
time to pay tribute to those who will never see Iran free.
Doing so under a government that relies on people forgetting is an act of
defiance.
The regime has made flagrant mistakes, not only domestically but also
internationally. Regional expansion through militias that fight wars and repress
their people has become gospel in Iran. It also implicated itself in the war in
Ukraine, sending drones to Russia and choosing a side in this pointless war.
Instead of opting for positive neutrality, it took the option of antagonizing
the West, which was left with no choice but to deal with the Islamic Republic as
a source of evil and terror.
The Iranian regime’s media blames the “riots” on the great satan, the US, the
Israelis, and their allies, especially the Arabs. However, the regime and its
media seem unaware that their rhetoric about a global conspiracy is not working.
The Iranian people know that it is this stubborn, close-minded regime that is
responsible. The Gulf states, which are not richer than Iran, prosper and
progress, giving the Iranians an idea of what their country- stuck in
backwardness, darkness, and poverty- could have been. Iran, of course, has
enemies seeking the right moment to pounce on its divisions. However, they would
have no hope of succeeding if the Iranians had, first and foremost, reinforced
the home front and had played their diplomatic cards right.
The regime will probably maintain the clamp down- to defend itself and its
survival before anything else. Indeed, Ebrahim Raisi gives the orders, but he
takes orders from his boss Khamenei. Though Khamenei can hardly leave his bed,
Raisi wouldn’t be in the position he is in if the Supreme Leader had not decided
so. The Larijani brothers are well aware of this fact, though it did take some
time and a meeting with the Supreme Leader, who has now become known as a “child
killer” after killing over forty of them.
The looming danger of Iranian regime’s nuclear program
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/November 24, 2022
Since assuming office at the beginning of last year, the Biden administration’s
primary policy regarding the Iranian regime’s nuclear program has been centered
on employing diplomacy in order to revive the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
nuclear deal. But after nearly two years of negotiations, progress has stalled
and the White House does not seem to have any other plan to counter the Islamic
Republic’s nuclear threat and prevent it from potentially obtaining nuclear
weapons.
The Iranian regime is expanding its nuclear program amid the backdrop of the
stalled talks. Tehran is also seeking assistance from its ally, Russia, in order
to bolster its program, according to US intelligence officials. Iran has been
providing drones and plans to deliver ballistic missiles to Russia. As a result,
it makes sense that the Iranian leaders would seek something in return.
UK envoy to the International Atomic Energy Agency Corinne Kitsell wrote on
Twitter that Iran “continues its unprecedented nuclear escalation. This raises
serious doubts as to the nature of Iran’s nuclear program.” In addition,
diplomats from several European countries, including the UK, France and Germany,
this week issued a joint statement calling the situation concerning Iran’s
nuclear defiance “concerning.”
In addition, the Iranian leaders have also been stonewalling the IAEA, which
monitors the Islamic Republic’s nuclear activities and compliance. The regime
continues to keep cameras at its nuclear facilities turned off, effectively
preventing the UN nuclear watchdog from monitoring its nuclear activities,
including uranium enrichment and the use of centrifuges.
This led the EU to last week point out: “For the past years, the EU has
repeatedly expressed, and again reiterates today, its serious concerns at the
presence of nuclear material at undeclared locations in Iran. The EU is deeply
concerned that the current location of this nuclear material and/or of equipment
contaminated by nuclear material, which may still exist in Iran today, is not
known to the agency. On many occasions, the EU has called on Iran to provide the
IAEA with the necessary explanations in accordance with the obligations under
its Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement … Despite repeated calls for action, Iran
has yet to take the necessary actions and provide technically credible
explanations.”
The Iranian leaders have also been stonewalling the IAEA, which monitors the
Islamic Republic’s nuclear activities and compliance
Furthermore, the Iranian regime is continuing to refuse to answer the IAEA’s
questions about uranium particles found at three of its undeclared nuclear
sites. And the UK, France and Germany acknowledged last year that Tehran “has no
credible civilian need for uranium metal R&D (research and development) and
production, which are a key step in the development of a nuclear weapon.”
The Iranian authorities claim that their nuclear program is designed for
peaceful purposes. But if that is the case, why is the Islamic Republic refusing
to cooperate with the IAEA and why has it shut off its cameras at the nuclear
facilities? The evidence suggests that the regime wants to become a
nuclear-armed state.
Based on Israel’s 2018 seizure of documents from a “nuclear archive” in Tehran,
the Institute for Science and International Security explained that: “Iran
intended to build five nuclear warheads, each with an explosive yield of 10
kilotons and able to be delivered by ballistic missile.”
If the theocratic establishment becomes a nuclear-armed state, it is likely that
either nuclear weapons will fall into the hands of its proxy and militia groups
or the regime will share its nuclear technology with them. It has already set up
weapons factories abroad and manufactured advanced ballistic missiles and
weapons in foreign countries, including Syria. These include precision-guided
missiles with advanced technology to strike specific targets.
Furthermore, since the theocratic establishment is already supplying advanced
weapons to its proxies, what would stop it from sharing its nuclear technology
to empower these groups, undermine its perceived adversaries’ national security
interests and expand its reach? As a UN report revealed: “An increasing body of
evidence suggests that individuals or entities in the Islamic Republic of Iran
supply significant volumes of weapons and components to the Houthis.”
In a nutshell, since President Joe Biden assumed office, the Iranian regime has
been making major advances in its controversial nuclear research and defying the
IAEA. The international community must immediately chart a path to halt the
Islamic Republic’s nuclear program before it is too late.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist.
Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh