English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For November 14/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Verses
telling the Story of Zechariah the Priest & His Wife Elizabeth, John the
Papist’s Parents
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke01/01-25/:”Since many have
undertaken to set down an orderly account of the events that have been fulfilled
among us, just as they were handed on to us by those who from the beginning were
eyewitnesses and servants of the word, I too decided, after investigating
everything carefully from the very first, to write an orderly account for you,
most excellent Theophilus, so that you may know the truth concerning the things
about which you have been instructed. In the days of King Herod of Judea, there
was a priest named Zechariah, who belonged to the priestly order of Abijah. His
wife was a descendant of Aaron, and her name was Elizabeth. Both of them were
righteous before God, living blamelessly according to all the commandments and
regulations of the Lord. But they had no children, because Elizabeth was barren,
and both were getting on in years. Once when he was serving as priest before God
and his section was on duty, he was chosen by lot, according to the custom of
the priesthood, to enter the sanctuary of the Lord and offer incense. Now at the
time of the incense-offering, the whole assembly of the people was praying
outside. Then there appeared to him an angel of the Lord, standing at the right
side of the altar of incense. When Zechariah saw him, he was terrified; and fear
overwhelmed him. But the angel said to him, ‘Do not be afraid, Zechariah, for
your prayer has been heard. Your wife Elizabeth will bear you a son, and you
will name him John. You will have joy and gladness, and many will rejoice at his
birth, for he will be great in the sight of the Lord. He must never drink wine
or strong drink; even before his birth he will be filled with the Holy Spirit.
He will turn many of the people of Israel to the Lord their God. With the spirit
and power of Elijah he will go before him, to turn the hearts of parents to
their children, and the disobedient to the wisdom of the righteous, to make
ready a people prepared for the Lord.’Zechariah said to the angel, ‘How will I
know that this is so? For I am an old man, and my wife is getting on in
years.’The angel replied, ‘I am Gabriel. I stand in the presence of God, and I
have been sent to speak to you and to bring you this good news. But now, because
you did not believe my words, which will be fulfilled in their time, you will
become mute, unable to speak, until the day these things occur.’ Meanwhile, the
people were waiting for Zechariah, and wondered at his delay in the sanctuary.
When he did come out, he could not speak to them, and they realized that he had
seen a vision in the sanctuary. He kept motioning to them and remained unable to
speak. When his time of service was ended, he went to his home. After those days
his wife Elizabeth conceived, and for five months she remained in seclusion. She
said, ‘This is what the Lord has done for me when he looked favourably on me and
took away the disgrace I have endured among my people.’”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on November 13-14/2021
Hardened hearts, Poor insights, and death of consciences/Elias Bejjani/November
13/2021
Hezbollah Armed Militiamen Spotted In Oyoun Al-Siman region
Probe launched after video shows emaciated patients tied to filthy beds in
Lebanese healthcare center/Najia Houssari/Arab News
Cyprus to Probe How Migrant Boat from Lebanon Slipped Away
Health Ministry: 1133 New Corona Cases & Six deaths
Frem introduces "Project Watan” To Byblos citizens
FPM: We are concerned about the continued disruption of the council of ministers
Jumblat: To Releae The Cabinet, Reformulate Relations With Arab Brothrens
Okais: Hezbollah is not an enemy, but a political opponent
From bust to boom: Lebanese fashion houses spy unlikely opportunity amid
economic crisis/Gareth Browne/Kaslik, Lebanon/The National
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
November 13-14/2021
Israeli Couple Arrested in Turkey on Espionage Charges
Turkey Says Blaming It for Belarus Border Crisis 'Misguided'
Air Force Official Says U.S. to Maintain Presence in Mideast
US hid an airstrike that killed 70 women, children in Syria in 2019: Report
Pro-Iran Hashed groups press ahead with protests in Iraq
Drought, water conflict spark farmers’ protests in Iran’s Isfahan
Sudanese rally against army tightening grip on power; 5 dead
Burhan faces criticism from West, risk of isolation after appointment of new
ruling council
Paris conference threatens spoilers of Libya election with sanctions
Qatar provides US with diplomatic bridge to Taliban
Jordan dam reserves at all-time low as water crisis looms
Arab Coalition: 186 Houthis killed in 42 attacks in Sirwah and al-Bayda
Anti-Houthi forces move out from Hodeidah
Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC
English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
November 13-14/2021
Human Rights Violations: European Union Gives Iran’s Mullahs Full
Impunity/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh Gatestone Institute/November 13/2021
Rewriting Syria’s constitution has failed. Time for plan B/Faisal Al Yafai/The
Arab Weekly/November 13/2021
Attempt on PM Mustafa Al-Kadhimi’s life shows destructive effect of pro-Iran
factions on Iraqi state/Paul IddonArab News/November 13/2021
A new kind of security for the Middle East/Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/November
13/2021
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on November 13-14/2021
Hardened hearts, Poor insights, and death of consciences
Elias Bejjani/November 13/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/104083/elias-bejjani-hardened-hearts-poor-insights-and-death-of-consciences/
"Jesus said, For judgment I am come into this world, that they which see not
might see; and that they which see might be made blind.” (John 09/39)
Undoubtedly, our beloved occupied Lebanon has been going through extremely harsh
and difficult times for several years.
Sadly, the great and bright Lebanon has been by force replaced by
everything that is not Lebanese, because of the hegemony and occupation imposed
by the terrorist Iranian Armed proxy, Hezbollah.
The savage and cancerous Iranian occupation has hit badly all sets of norms,
values, faith and the basic foundations of patriotism.
In bid to cajole and appease the occupier, many Lebanese individuals and groups chose to be blind in both heart and
insight.
What actually is disastrous the most, lies in the fact that many Lebanese are not able any
more to differentiate between what is right and what is wrong.
Therefore, they live in a complete cognitive darkness, far from God and His
teachings.
They fell into the traps of sin, and became enemies of their own sacred
homeland, Lebanon. They sided with the Iranian occupier and abandoned their
fellow citizens who are impoverished, persecuted and tortured.
As a result of this terrifying “faith abandonment,” many of our people, leaders,
and political parties have become role models to every thing that is shame,
surrender, and
corruption.
Self inflicted atrocities in thinking and acts are no longer confined to the
majority of the corrupted leaders, who sold themselves to the demons of
occupation because of selfishness and greed, but are also prevalent among large
segments of our citizens.
In the same frames of defamation and obscenity of standards, we find that many
free Lebanese people and true believers in sovereignty, freedoms, identity, and the
deeply rooted history of Lebanon are subjected to unfair official and judicial harassment and
persecution.
This sad reality exposes the shame of many politicians, and the so-called leaders
who replicate the evil acts of those who bet on the clothes of Christ and shared
them after His crucifixion .
However, despite all sorts of abandonment, disbelief and denial, the free
and the faithful among our people and leaders, although they are few, will
ultimately
leaven the dough of the whole nation, and return it to where it was, and to where
it should be..
Those free and patriotic Lebanese citizens, and despite all the harassments that
befall them, shall continue to resist stubbornly, relying on God's will, who
made Lebanon His temple and blessed it with dozens of saints.
It remains, that currently the rudder of the ship of our mother country,
Lebanon is held and controlled by wicked shepherds, leaders, politicians and officials
who not wise, blind and not insightful.
Lebanon's corrupted Leaders, officials and politicians have fallen
into the devil's temptations because of their lack of faith, hope greediness,
and accordingly put our sacred Lebanon into all kinds of dangers, hazards and
difficulties.
In summary, when a blind person leads another blind person, both will definitely fall into
the pit . Therefore, what is required of our people, for the sake of their
salvation and the salvation of our country, is that they do not put their support
behind
blind leaders with hardened hearts, poor insights, and death of consciences, and the same time stand tall
to say No to all kinds of earthly
temptations.
Hezbollah Armed Militiamen Spotted In Oyoun Al-Siman
region
Agencies/November 13/2021
Hezbollah armed militiamen in black clothes carried out a massive spread in the
outskirts of Oyoun Al-Siman, and set up a checkpoint one kilometer from the
Lebanese army’s checkpoint on the old junction road leading to Zahle
(Qaddumiya). Citizens in the area said that Hezbollah men installed surveillance
cameras in the place, and stopped some cars, without knowing the background of
the this unexplained challenge. Radio "Free Lebanon" indicated that Hezbollah
had intensified its presence with military vehicles during the night in the
outskirts of Oyoun Al-Siman and Aqoura. These Hezbollah challenges that come
after the bloody events of Tayouneh, aroused the serious concern by the
citizens in the region. Former MP Fares Saeed told Al-Seyassah Kuwaiti Newspaper
that , “The news about the presence of Hezbollah elements in the outskirts of
Al-Aqoura and the outskirts of Oyoun Al-Siman is well-known and old. All the
slopes of Mount Lebanon, from Bcharre to Jezzine, are areas under the control of
Hezbollah, and this is known by the Lebanese army and the people, just as
Lebanon is under the control of the party. And a member of the “Strong Republic”
bloc, Representative Shawqi Daccache, tweeted, via Twitter, writing: “We put the
news of the spread of Hezbollah members in the outskirts of Oyoun al-Siman, and
the installation of cameras, and the establishment of a checkpoint in the
custody of the Lebanese army, and we ask it to verify the matter and take
appropriate measures.” He added, "We remind Hezbollah that the road to Syria and
Iran, does not and will not pass through Ayoun al-Saiman, just as the Palestine
road did not pass through Jounieh." Subsequently, the mayor of the town of Kafr
Debian, Waseem Muhanna, explained in a statement, “The pictures circulated that
they are military checkpoints for Hezbollah members on the Baalbek-Kafr Debian
road, are for the opening ceremony of an artesian water well in the outskirts of
Hadath Baalbek.”
Probe launched after video shows emaciated patients tied
to filthy beds in Lebanese healthcare center
Najia Houssari/Arab News/November 13/2021
BEIRUT: Lebanese health officials have launched an investigation after video
images reportedly filmed by a doctor showed emaciated patients tied to filthy
beds in a city healthcare center.
The footage documented by the Wataawanou Association charity, sparked public
outrage when broadcast on news channels on Friday.
It highlighted poor conditions in rooms and corridors at the Santa Maria
Healthcare Center in Byblos that caters for 55 male and 15 female patients with
neurological and mental illnesses.
Shots showed skeletal-looking patients sitting or lying on dirty beds, unable to
speak, and some with their hands strapped to the bed. Pots with spoiled food and
loaves of moldy bread were seen in a kitchen, and other images appeared to
depict unhygienic bathrooms.
After the video went viral, Lebanese Health Minister Dr. Firas Abiad and
Minister of Social Affairs Hector Hajjar visited the center on Saturday to
inspect the premises along with a team of experts from the World Health
Organization’s office in Lebanon. “An investigation has been opened to hold
those responsible accountable and define the reasons why the center reached such
a deteriorating state without informing the ministry, which has a duty to ensure
that its patients are treated in good conditions,” Abiad said.
The ministry has arranged for the Santa Maria patients to be moved to other
facilities pending the completion of a clean-up operation there.
A similar health scandal was exposed in February 2019 at Al-Fanar Hospital in
Al-Msayleh, in southern Lebanon. Again, patients were transferred to other
health centers, including the one at Byblos which received 38 people out of
around 90.
Following the airing of the latest footage, officials at Santa Maria Healthcare
Center reportedly attempted a swift clean up and prevented journalists from
entering the premises.
Abiad told Arab News: “Despite the attempt to clean up, what we have seen shows
great neglect and the extent to which the economic crisis in Lebanon has
affected the center.”
Lebanon is in the midst of an economic and financial meltdown which has left 55
percent of the country’s population below the poverty line.
“All social welfare centers in the world are facing problems, but many reasons
have led us here in Lebanon,” Abiad added. “The patients’ families do not check
on them. They leave them in the centers and forget about them. If one family had
complained, we would have acted.
“In addition, the health observers affiliated with our ministry are no longer
doing their job. The health observer who is supposed to visit the center said
that the cost of coming here from Beirut has become equivalent to half of his
monthly salary.“The Ministry of Health pays the center 24,000 Lebanese pounds
($15.88) per day on behalf of each patient it hosts, but this amount is no
longer worth anything. “The director of the center told me that the state is no
longer pumping water in the region because of the lack of diesel in the
stations, and he has to buy water himself, which is extremely costly, so it is
natural for cleaning services to worsen and consequently the patients’ hygiene,”
the minister said. However, he pointed out that none of these issues justified
the situation at the healthcare center.
Abiad noted that there were around 50 other centers in Lebanon offering similar
services, and that the ministry had distributed 2,000 cards to patients this
year allowing them access to the facilities.
“Thousands of others already have this card while other patients have been
placed in such centers by their families who cannot provide them with the
required health services,” he said. Santa Maria Healthcare Center director,
Joseph Harb, said he had “not received the fees the center is due since the
beginning of 2021, amounting to 900 million Lebanese pounds, which constitutes a
major obstacle to securing water, fuel, and food.”
Abiad added: “These centers have not received their dues because of the delay in
contracts awaiting transfer of credits for payment. The unpaid dues are
calculated based on the official rate, that is 1,507 Lebanese pounds to the
dollar, while the costs these centers have to endure are very high. This also
applies to first-class hospitals and associations, which causes a major problem.
“The healthcare system in Lebanon is unfair. The severe economic crisis has
further revealed its flaws and disadvantages,” he said.
Cyprus to Probe How Migrant Boat from Lebanon Slipped Away
Associated Press/November 13/2021
Cyprus police have suspended one officer and 11 constables after launching an
investigation into how a boat loaded with migrants gave them the slip and
continued its journey to Italy after docking at a local harbor. Police said in a
statement Friday that the boat carrying 61 people was intercepted early
Wednesday off the Mediterranean island's southern coast and escorted to port in
the resort town of Paphos. The boat had initially set sail from Tripoli,
Lebanon, and was headed to Italy, but had to stop in Cyprus due to choppy seas.
Police said the migrants expressed a wish to continue their trip to Italy and
that none had applied for asylum in Cyprus. But the boat resumed its journey
westward on Thursday evening without apparently anyone noticing. Once the alarm
was raised, police patrol boats gave chase and caught up with the boat, but its
occupants rejected police overtures to turn back. Police said they continued to
escort the boat until it reached 52 nautical miles (60 miles, 96 km) from
Cyprus' coastline. Police said two separate reports into the incident indicated
that there were grounds for a disciplinary investigation against the dozen
members of the police.
Health Ministry: 1133 New Corona Cases & Six deaths
NNA/November 13/2021
In its daily report on the COVID-19 developments, the Ministry of Public Health
announced on Saturday the registration of 1133 new infections with the
Coronavirus, which raised the cumulative number of confirmed cases to-date to
651,788.The report added that 6 deaths were also recorded during the past 24
hours.
Frem introduces "Project Watan” To Byblos citizens
NNA/November 13/2021
Chairman of the Executive Council of "Project Watan”, resigned MP Neemat Frem,
gathered today around five hundred people from the city of Byblos and its towns
with the aim of introducing them to “Project Watan” and the path of rebuilding
Lebanon on solid foundations.
Addressing the audience that included mayors and dignitaries from the region,
particularly members of the young generation, Frem called for "absolute faith in
the change we want and in victory in the path that must be determined according
to a clear vision to achieve this victory."
"Lebanon was born to continue in the image of the open, developed Lebanese who
dreams of a prosperous Lebanon," said Frem, warning against "surrendering to the
policies they are trying to impose on us and which will take us back to the
Middle Ages."He continued to stress "the importance of fighting the current war
with the weapon of reason, thought, knowledge, prosperity and keeping pace with
development," calling for having confidence in achieving victory by: i) defining
goals and working towards them with basic determination and organization; ii)
rebelling against the status quo and imposing the vision of a modern, prosperous
and developed homeland that resembles the human being and secures all the
necessities of life; iii) reaching change through the elections and what follows
at all levels; iv) adhering to Lebanon’s Arab identity and diversity in its
message, content and options; v) ensuring absolute independence of the
judiciary. "We are forbidden to despair, and together we will turn anger, pain
and fear into a project that we will invest in rebuilding the new Lebanon,"
pledged Frem before the attendees.
FPM: We are concerned about the continued disruption of the
council of ministers
NNA/November 13/2021
In an issued statement following its periodic electronic meeting on Saturday,
chaired by MP Gebran Bassil, the Free Patriotic Movement expressed its great
concern towards the continued disruption of the Council of Ministers’ work
without any convincing reason and the government paralysis amidst the dramatic
outbreak of the economic and social crisis. “Social priority is higher at this
stage, thus it has become a duty to rectify what is happening and show a high
sense of national and humanitarian responsibility,” the statement said, warning
against “exploiting the political crisis to aggravate the economic, financial
and security situation in order to achieve foreign agendas,” and calling on the
Parliament to question the government about the reasons behind its failing to
convene. At the social level, FPM renewed its call on the government to "launch
the financing card as a basis for the social safety net and to determine the
reasons for the delay and those responsible for it." It also called on the
Parliament to hold an urgent session to pass a bill to support the social safety
net, and consequently to release the funds from the World Bank which tens of
thousands of the most underprivileged families are waiting for, in parallel with
approving the bill for social assistance for employees submitted by the “Strong
Lebanon” Parliamentary Bloc. At the judiciary level, the Movement highlighted
the need for launching a wide and comprehensive reform workshop within the
judicial institution to restore its dignity and the confidence and appreciation
of the Lebanese, “who are rightfully awaiting the results of the investigation
into the crime of the port explosion and the Tayouneh sedition incidents, in
preparation for fair trials."
Jumblat: To Releae The Cabinet, Reformulate Relations With
Arab Brothrens
NNA/November 13/2021
Head of the Democratic Gathering, MP Taymour Jumblatt, underlined "the necessity
of getting out of the state of stagnation and the current government's
obstruction, by addressing the impasse with the Arab brothers, and reformulating
and activating the relationship with the Gulf brethrens on the basis of
confirming Lebanon's Arab identity and affiliation and preserving the common
interests between us."Jumblatt's words came during his meeting at Al-Mukhtara
Palace with a number of civil, social and municipal delegations this morning.
The MP stressed the need to "liberate the government from political pressures,
so that it can proceed with addressing the daily living, social, economic,
health and educational concerns and demands, and to manage the related crises in
the required manner...in addition to alleviating the Lebanese people's anxiety
and eliminating their worries, fears and burdens."
Okais: Hezbollah is not an enemy, but a political opponent
NNA/November 13/2021
MP George Okais called on President Michel Aoun and PM Najib Mikati, to "impose
the resignation of Minister George Kordahi as a goodwill gesture towards Saudi
Arabia," expressing his fear over the escalatory steps that it might take and
their impact on Lebanon. He considered that Hezbollah is not an “enemy” but
rather an “opponent” in politics and renders Lebanon a negotiating card in the
hands of Iran, pointing out that Hezbollah is in control of Lebanon and this is
a fact.
From bust to boom: Lebanese fashion houses spy unlikely
opportunity amid economic crisis
Gareth Browne/Kaslik, Lebanon/The National/November 13/2021
Falling manufacturing costs driving return of Lebanon's luxury fashion houses
In a factory overlooking the Mediterranean coast, a petite model glances over
her shoulder as a camera shutter clicks away. After holding her pose for a
moment, a team of designers rushes in to fix the swimsuit she is wearing,
brushing off the faintest blemishes. Scenes like this were once common in the
Lebanese capital. But the five-star hotels have closed and the high-rise
apartments that straddle Beirut’s Corniche no longer provide the backdrop for
music videos. Lebanon’s glamorous past life barely exists outside of memories.
As a punishing economic crisis continues to push people into poverty, a handful
of businesses are trying to get ahead of the curve. Amid the turmoil, Lebanon
has become a very cheap place to manufacture luxury clothing. “You will be
astonished how many factories are opening now in Lebanon,” says Elie Hourani,
CEO of Diamony Group, one of the country’s biggest fashion houses. “The trade
deficit for years was $17 billion or $18bn. Now, it’s down to $10bn or $11bn.
Within two or three years, there will be no deficit,” he says.
The godfather of Lebanese lingerie
If you were to label one man the godfather of Lebanon’s lingerie industry, it
would be Mr Hourani. “I started selling lingerie by mistake,” he jokes,
recalling how he bought a discounted batch of lingerie at the height of the
country’s fifteen-year civil war, and then found himself in the fashion
business. “I did a law degree in 1977, but there was war and no law back then,”
he says, with a wry smile. Within a few years, he was sponsoring the annual Miss
Lebanon beauty pageant. Diamony manufactured the winners’ tiara — the brand name
was, quite literally, stitched on to the country’s fashion scene. The financial
crisis is forcing the country to wean itself off an unhealthy reliance on
imports and become more independent. As the economy has collapsed, foreign goods
have become unaffordable. Major brands from Coca Cola to Victoria's Secret are
abandoning the market, but there is also opportunity. For years, Diamony Group
has imported fashion brands to Lebanon, now, it is producing for them. In 2017,
Mr Hourani’s daughter Carol founded Room 24, a high-end fashion label with
outlets in London and Rome. She began producing lingerie, loungewear and
swimwear from a factory in Italy, but rising production costs forced a rethink
and, in the summer of 2019, just months before popular protests erupted, they
moved production to Lebanon. “Economically, as a business, it just made sense,”
she says.
“It is super beneficial to the economy to create something locally, which we can
export, it's good for the reputation of the country, you are supporting the
local economy by supporting local families.”With the backing of her father, she
opened a factory in Kaslik, from which they can now produce up to 3,000 garments
a month — and plans to produce for other brands are also in the works. The
swimsuits retail online for anything upwards of $200, and with exports flying
out to more than 15 countries across Europe and to the US — the demand for
Lebanese lingerie is booming.
A new workforce
They are training hundreds of seamstresses in Lebanon, developing a whole new
workforce. All their operators are women, and salaries are raised every month to
address the lira’s continuing devaluation. Beyond the cheap manufacturing costs,
there are other factors enticing businesses to set up shop here. There are no
customs fees on imports of goods and machinery for industry. One company
recently brought in $6 million dollars worth of pasta-making machinery for a
factory in Jbeil. Significant challenges remain, however. As the fuel crisis
peaked in the summer, staff were often unable to make it to work. Meanwhile,
with the banking sector largely insolvent, those who need to pay for imports
must have a bank account abroad. Exporting or importing without one is
practically impossible. Recent weeks have further demonstrated just how
precarious exporting from Lebanon can be. Last month Saudi Arabia banned all
imports from Lebanon following comments by Information Minister George Kordahi.
Fortunately, the country’s lingerie exports are not entirely reliant on the
market in the kingdom, yet the threat to any business is obvious. Exporting
lingerie will not solve Lebanon’s economic crisis, but for Carol, a future of
manufacturing is imperative for the country. “We need to come to terms with the
situation. We are not a service economy any more. We cannot rely on tourism any
more,” she said. “We need to pivot to a manufacturing-exports economy. That, I
think, is the only way out of this mess.”
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
November 13-14/2021
Israeli Couple Arrested in Turkey on Espionage Charges
Associated Press/November 13/2021
An Israeli married couple were arrested for espionage late Friday after taking
photographs of the Turkish president's residence in Istanbul, Turkey's official
news agency said. Anadolu Agency said a Turkish national was also arrested.
Police detained them after a tip off from an employee working in the Camlica
radio and television tower on the Asian side of Istanbul. The employee claimed
they were taking photographs of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's nearby
home from the tower's restaurant earlier this week. They were formally arrested
pending trial for "political and military espionage" by an Istanbul court. In a
statement issued late Friday, Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid denied the
couple work for an "Israeli agency." He said his department has been in regular
contact with the pair and is trying to organize their release. Israeli newspaper
Haaretz identified the couple as Natalie and Mordi Oknin. Citing their lawyer,
it said they were taking photographs of the Ottoman-era Dolmabahce Palace while
taking a ferry. Parts of Dolmabahce, located on the city's European side, are
used as a presidential working office.
Turkey Says Blaming It for Belarus Border Crisis
'Misguided'
Agence France Presse/November 13/2021
Blaming Turkey or its national airline for the humanitarian crisis at the Polish
border with Belarus is "misguided," President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's top foreign
policy adviser told AFP on Saturday. "Travelers are going to Belarus and from
there to Lithuania, Poland and other EU countries. Blaming Turkey for that, or
Turkish Airlines, is simply so misguided, misplaced," Ibrahim Kalin said in an
interview.
Air Force Official Says U.S. to Maintain Presence in
Mideast
Associated Press/November 13/2021
The top U.S. Air Force general in the Mideast said Saturday that American airmen
would continue to be stationed in the region even as military planners consider
competition with China and Russia as Washington's next major challenge.Speaking
to journalists ahead of the Dubai Airshow, Lt. Gen. Gregory Guillot acknowledged
that presence "could adjust" after the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in
August. The U.S. Air Force operates a major base in nearby Qatar, which oversaw
operations in Afghanistan, as well as Iraq and Syria. "But I don't see any
scenario where the United States does not have an important role," Guillot said.
Guillot's comments come as tensions remain high between Iran and the U.S. after
years of confrontations following then-President Donald Trump's decision to
unilaterally withdraw America from Tehran's nuclear deal with world powers.
Israel meanwhile is suspected of launching a series of attacks targeting Iran's
atomic program. As talks over the deal remain stalled, Iran elected a hard-line
protege of the country's supreme leader as president and has itself seized
vessels at sea and is suspected of launching drone attacks.
Guillot several times declined to directly attribute recent drone attacks in the
region to Iran, though he acknowledged the rising number of such assaults in the
region. "The collaborative defense of multiple countries, you know, in the
region is going to be our key to detecting those and staying one step ahead of
the threat as it evolves," he said after appearing at the Dubai International
Air Chiefs' Conference. Russia is expected to display its Sukhoi Su-75 Checkmate
fighter jet at the Dubai Airshow this week. It's a direct competitor to the
American F-35 fighter, which the United Arab Emirates has been trying to buy
since diplomatically recognizing Israel last year. That sale has slowed under
President Joe Biden's administration. Asked about the Checkmate, Guillot said he
hoped that U.S. allies and partners would use equipment that would be
"interoperable" with the American military. He said buying the Russia fighter
"absolutely" would affect that.During his presentation, Guillot displayed a
graphic that included the Israeli flag among others in the region. The American
military now considers Israel as falling under U.S. Central Command due to the
recent recognition deals. Bahrain and the UAE just conducted a joint drill with
the U.S. Navy and Israel in the Red Sea.Guillot said air drills with Israel and
those nations could happen as well.
US hid an airstrike that killed 70 women, children in
Syria in 2019: Report
Tuqa Khalid, Al Arabiya English/13 November ,2021
The US military hid an airstrike in which it bombed a large crowd of women and
children in Syria’s Baghuz town, killing dozens, during the last days of the
battle against ISIS in 2019, the New York Times reported on Saturday. On March
18, 2019, an American F-15E attack jet dropped a 500-pound bomb on the crowd
huddled against a river bank, killing dozens. As survivors tried to scramble
away, the jet dropped a 2,000 pound bomb, then another killing most of them. An
analyst at the US military’s Combined Air Operations Center at al-Udeid Air Base
in Qatar typed on a secure chat system: “We jet dropped on 50 women and
children.”An initial assessment of the strike revealed that the death toll
amount to 70. The New York Times reported that “the Baghuz strike was one of the
largest civilian casualty incidents of the war against ISIS, but it has never
been publicly acknowledged by the US military”. “A legal officer flagged the
strike as a possible war crime that required an investigation. But at nearly
every step, the military made moves that concealed the catastrophic strike. The
death toll was downplayed. Reports were delayed, sanitized and classified.
US-led coalition forces bulldozed the blast site. And top leaders were not
notified,” NYT said. “Leadership just seemed so set on burying this. No one
wanted anything to do with it,” said Gene Tate, an evaluator who worked on the
case for the inspector general’s office. The NYT investigation found that
bombing had been called in by a classified American special operations unit,
Task Force 9, which was in charge of ground operations in Syria.
“The task force operated in such secrecy that at times it did not inform even
its own military partners of its actions,” NYT reported. This week, the US
Central Command acknowledged that the strike killed 80 people, but said it was
“justified”. It said “the bombs killed 16 fighters and four civilians. As for
the other 60 people killed, it was not clear that they were civilians, in part
because women and children in ISIS sometimes took up arms.”The NYT said its
investigation of the Baghuz strike showed that the special operations task force
skirted rules meant to protect civilians and the troops rarely faced
repercussions when they caused civilian deaths. CIA officers working in Syria
alleged that in about 10 incidents, the task force hit targets knowing civilians
would be killed, and raised concerns with the Department of Defense inspector
general. The inspector general investigated and determined that all the strikes
were legal.
Staff in the operations center in Qatar also became concerned with task force
strikes and Air Force lawyers starting tracking the self-defense justifications
the task force used to call the strikes then comparing them with drone footage.
They found that “the task force was adding details that would legally justify a
strike, such as seeing a man with a gun, even when those details were not
visible in the footage”.
Pro-Iran Hashed groups press ahead with protests in Iraq
The Arab Weekly/November 13/2021
Some 2,000 supporters of Iraq’s pro-Iran Hashed al-Shaabi network protested
Friday in Baghdad against alleged fraud at last month’s parliamentary polls, a
week after similar rallies turned violent. The demonstration comes days after
Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi, whom Hashed supporters accuse of
“complicity” in the alleged fraud, escaped unhurt from an unclaimed drone attack
on his residence in Baghdad’s Green Zone. Hashed supporters gathered on Friday
near one of the entrances to the Green Zone chanting slogans against Kadhimi and
“death to America,” correspondents said. The faced off against security forces
deployed to prevent them from storming the highly protected area, which is also
home to the electoral commission, government offices and the US embassy. Several
dozen pro-Hashed protesters had set up camp at the same location last Friday
after violent clashes with police that left one protester dead, according to a
security source. One of the Hashed factions said two demonstrators were killed.
Political tensions have soared in Iraq over the results of the October 10
elections. Kadhimi’s office described Sunday’s attack as a “failed assassination
attempt.”Preliminary results saw the Conquest (Fatah) Alliance, the political
arm of the Hashed, suffer a substantial decline in its parliamentary seats,
winning 15 of the 329 seats in parliament — down from the 48 it held previously.
The big winner this time, with more than 70 seats according to the initial
count, was the movement of Moqtada Sadr, a Shia preacher who campaigned as a
nationalist and critic of Iran. Hashed leaders have rejected the results as a
“scam”, though Iraq’s electoral commission said Monday that a manual vote
recount in some polling stations where complaints were filed by pro-Iran groups
did not show any “fraud”.Final results are expected in the coming days.The
preliminary results suggest the Hashed will nonetheless remain a considerable
political force in parliament through its alliances and the support of some
independent candidates.
Drought, water conflict spark farmers’ protests in Iran’s
Isfahan
The Arab Weekly/November 13/2021-
Hundreds of farmers rallied in Iran’s central city of Isfahan to decry the
drying up of its river and the impact of drought, state media reported on
Friday. Images broadcast on state television showed several hundred people
gathered in the dry bed of the Zayandeh Rood river, which cuts through the city.
“A large number of farmers have gathered here to have their voices heard by the
authorities,” a state television journalist said from the rally. Farmers were
demonstrating “against the drying out of the Zayandeh Rood river”, another
reporter said, as farmers chanted in the background. Apart from brief periods,
the river, crossed by a historic bridge that is a major tourist attraction, has
been dry since 2000. Isfahan residents have been protesting for years over the
diversion of its waters to neighbouring Yazd province. Last month, the Fars news
agency said protesters had damaged infrastructure east of Isfahan to prevent the
water being diverted. On Thursday, President Ebrahim Raisi met with
representatives from the provinces of Isfahan, Yazd and Semnan and promised to
resolve water issues. He said that a committee and a working group would be
formed with the aim of rehabilitating the river and resolving related problems,
according to the presidency website. Energy Minister Ali-Akbar Mehrabian told
another group of protesting farmers on Friday that the government would “take
fairness into consideration in water distribution”. With a population of around
two million, Isfahan is Iran’s third largest city and a magnet for tourists due
to its heritage sites. In July, deadly protests broke out in the southwestern
province of Khuzestan after drought led to widespread water shortages.
Sudanese rally against army tightening grip on power; 5
dead
Reuters/November 13, 2021
KHARTOUM: Sudanese security forces fired live ammunition and tear gas on
Saturday to disperse protesters denouncing the military’s tightening grip on the
country, killing at least five and wounding several, activists said. The
violence came as thousands of pro-democracy protesters yet again took to the
streets across Sudan to rally against the military’s takeover last month. The
coup has drawn international criticism and massive protests in the streets of
the capital of Khartoum and elsewhere in the country. Security forces used live
ammunition and tear gas to disperse protesters in different locations Saturday.
At least five protesters were killed in Khartoum and its twin city of Omdurman,
including four from gunshots and one from a tear gas canister, according to the
Sudan Doctors Committee. Several others were wounded, including with gunshots,
it said. The rallies, called by the pro-democracy movement, came two days after
coup leader Gen. Abdel-Fattah Burhan reappointed himself head of the Sovereign
Council, Sudan’s interim governing body. Thursday’s move angered the
pro-democracy alliance and frustrated the United States and other countries that
have urged the generals to reverse their coup.
“For me, this is an illegitimate council and this was a unilateral decision that
was taken by Burhan alone,” said protester Wigdan Abbas, a 45-year-old health
care worker. “It was a decision by one person ... without consulting the
coalition for freedom and change.”
The Sudanese military seized power Oct. 25, dissolving the transitional
government and arresting dozens of officials and politicians. The takeover
upended a fragile planned transition to democratic rule, more than two years
after a popular uprising forced the removal of longtime autocrat Omar Al-Bashir
and his Islamist government. Saturday’s protests were called by the Sudanese
Professionals Association and the so-called Resistance Committees. Both groups
were primary forces behind the uprising against Al-Bashir in April 2019. Other
political parties and movements joined the call. The Sudan Doctors Committee is
also part of the pro-democracy movement. The movement has opposed the return to
the power-sharing deal that established the deposed transitional government late
in 2019 and demand a full handover to civilians to lead the transition to
democracy.
Earlier Saturday, protesters gathered in Khartoum neighborhoods waved Sudanese
flags and posters of deposed Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok, who has been under
house arrest since the coup. They also chanted “civilian, civilian,” a reference
to their main demand that the generals hand over power to civilians. Later, the
demonstrators regrouped in Khartoum and barricaded at least one major street
with stones and burning tires. There were also protests in other Sudanese cities
and towns. “The youth ... will not give up and will not stop this revolution
until we achieve the goals of the revolution,” said Mohammed Ahmed, a
28-year-old university student.
Hamza Baloul, the information minister in the deposed government, took part in
Saturday’s rallies following his release from detention earlier this month.
There should be “no negotiations with the coup leaders,” he told the protesters
in Khartoum. “The Sudanese people insist on a civilian government ... the
civilian state (government) is our option and we will fight for it.”The
demonstrations took place amid tight security. Authorities had closed off
bridges over the Nile River linking Khartoum’s neighborhoods. Troops and
paramilitary forces also sealed off the area around the military headquarters,
where thousands of protesters set up camp in April 2019, forcing the military to
remove Al-Bashir. The UN envoy in Sudan, Volker Perthes, urged security forces
to “exercise utmost restraint” and called for demonstrators to “maintain the
principle of peaceful protest.” Since the Oct. 25 takeover, at least 17
anti-coup protesters have been killed due to excessive force used by the
country’s security forces, according to Sudanese doctors and the United Nations.
That tally includes the protesters killed on Saturday. Ongoing mediation efforts
are seeking a way out of the crisis. Perthes said he held “good discussions”
Friday with representatives of the protest movement in Khartoum, civil society
activists and Mohammed Hassan Al-Taishi, a civilian member of the council
dissolved in the coup. Nasredeen Abdulbari, justice minister of the deposed
government, also took part.
Burhan faces criticism from West, risk of isolation after
appointment of new ruling council
The Arab Weekly/November 13/2021
The United States and other Western powers expressed grave concern on Friday at
the appointment of a new Sudanese ruling council by the general who led last
month’s coup, saying it complicated efforts to restore a transition to
democracy. The United States, Britain, Norway, the European Union and
Switzerland also urged the Sudanese security forces to respect the right to free
speech “without fear of violence or detention” ahead of protests set for
Saturday by critics of the army’s move. Sudan’s Khartoum state said it would
close all but three bridges across the river Nile at midnight ahead of the
demonstrations on Saturday, Sudan TV reported, announcing what is a routine move
to tighten security before rallies.
General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan was sworn in on Thursday as head of the new
Sovereign Council, which replaces the power-sharing body he dissolved last month
in a takeover that derailed Sudan’s transition to civilian rule. The head of the
powerful paramilitary Rapid Support Forces in Sudan, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, was
sworn in as his deputy. The army’s move undermined its commitment to uphold
transitional arrangements requiring civilians on the council to be nominated by
the Forces for Freedom and Change, a coalition that had been sharing power with
the army since 2019, a joint statement by the United States and the other
countries said. It “complicates efforts to put Sudan’s democratic transition
back on track”, they said, adding the move was “in violation” of an accord
setting out the transition. “We strongly urge against further escalatory
steps.”French President Emmanuel Macron wrote on Twitter overnight that events
in Sudan were very worrying. “We demand the immediate freeing of all those who
embody the spirit and hope of the Sudanese revolution, which must not be
betrayed,” he wrote. Abdalla Hamdok, the prime minister ousted in the October 25
coup, remains under house arrest. Hamdok has demanded the release of top
civilians and a return to the transition that began after the removal of veteran
autocrat Omar al-Bashir in 2019.
Risk of isolation
Western donors which supported Sudan’s transition have frozen aid in response to
the October 25 takeover. Earlier, Volker Perthes, the U.N. special
representative for Sudan who has been involved in mediation to try to resolve
the latest crisis, said the unilateral decision “makes it increasingly difficult
to return to the constitutional order”.Referring to Saturday’s planned
demonstrations, Perthes also called on the security forces to exercise utmost
restraint and respect the right to peaceful assembly and free expression.
Burhan becomes the latest in a long line of military coup leaders who have ruled
Sudan for most of its history since independence from Britain in 1956. His
leadership could now face isolation as it tightens its grip, challenged by
opposition from a determined protest movement and cut off from cooperation by
Western states that had invested in a democratic transition, analysts and
diplomats say. Critics say Burhan’s actions reflect disregard for street
protests and civilian politicians, as well as a pragmatic recognition that his
junta lacks a political base inside Sudan. In response to criticism, Burhan has
said the army had no choice but to sideline politicians whom he accused of
inciting Sudanese against the military. He denied accusations by rights groups
that the army was responsible for killing protesters and insisted its takeover,
including the removal of civilian Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok, was not a coup.
“What the country is going through now is a real threat and danger to the dreams
of the youth and the hopes of the nation,” he said after seizing power,
promising to hold elections in July 2023 and hand over to an elected civilian
government then. Ahead of naming the new ruling council, which excludes the
civilian coalition that had been sharing power with the military, Burhan began
to draw on officials who served for decades under Bashir for key posts in the
state bureaucracy. Security forces shot dead three people during the last big
protest against the takeover on October 31. In total, 15 protesters have been
killed since the coup.
Paris conference threatens spoilers of Libya election with
sanctions
The Arab Weekly/November 13/2021
World powers will push for sanctions against anyone who disrupts Libya’s
electoral process and political transition, they agreed at a conference on
Friday in Paris. The meeting, which included the leaders of France, Libya,
Germany, Italy and Egypt, as well as the US vice president, was to cement
backing for the planned vote next month and efforts to remove foreign forces. In
a statement, participants expressed their support to holding “free, fair,
inclusive and credible presidential and parliamentary elections” on December 24.
“We reiterate our commitment to the success of the Libyan political process,”
they said and added they “reject all foreign interferences in Libyan affairs.”
“This is only a start, Turkey and Russia must withdraw without delay their
mercenaries,” French President Emmanuel Macron said. Libya’s interim leaders,
Mohammad Younes al-Menfi, head of the presidential council and Prime Minister
Abdulhamid Dbeibah, co-presided over the conference with France Italy and
Germany. Dbeibah stressed the importance of putting in place “real guarantees of
the acceptance of the results of these elections, and for there to be penalties
for those who obstruct or refuse these results.” Menfi, said, “There is a
consensus on holding the election on December 24”.
The elections are envisaged as a key moment in a UN-backed peace process to end
a decade of violent chaos that has drawn in regional powers and undermined North
African stability since the 2011 NATO-backed uprising against long time ruler
Muammar Gadhafi. The votes for a new president and parliament are still in doubt
with six weeks to go amid disputes between rival eastern and western Libyan
factions and political bodies over the rules underpinning the electoral schedule
and who can run. The wrangling threatens to unravel the wider political process,
which also includes efforts to unify long-divided state institutions and to pull
out foreign mercenaries who remain entrenched along frontlines despite a
ceasefire.
Powers in Paris said “that individuals or entities, inside or outside of Libya,
who might attempt to obstruct, undermine, manipulate or falsify the electoral
process and the political transition” could face sanctions. UN Secretary General
Antonio Guterres in a video message to the conference warned that “any party
that deliberately undermines or sabotages peace must be held accountable.”The UN
Security Council has previously agreed sanctions against Libyan political
figures for their role in the conflict. However there are questions over
Russia’s backing for positions agreed in Paris.
Amid disputes over the polling date, the powers said they backed a vote
“starting on December 24” with the results of the presidential and parliamentary
elections to be announced simultaneously. The UN roadmap had called initially
for both votes to be held on December 24.
All candidates The foreign powers want what they call an inclusive election –
likely meaning one that would allow all potential candidates to run, including
divisive figures seen as unacceptable in large swathes of Libya, as well as
serving officials. Italy’s Draghi called for an electoral law to be passed
urgently to ensure that the election process is fair. “There needs to be an
electoral law that … must be passed in the next few days because it’s urgent if
you are going to hold elections on Dec. 24th,” he said at a news conference.
Paris initially wanted the leaders of Russia and Turkey to attend. Turkey, which
fears France wants to accelerate the departure of Turkish forces from Libya, has
joined Moscow in sending lower level representatives. Ankara voiced reservations
over language in the final statement regarding the departure of foreign forces.
Turkey, which has dispatched thousands of mercenaries along with army troops to
th North African country, has claimed there is a difference between the presence
of its troops in Libya that were invited by a UN-recognised government and those
imported by other factions. The former Tripoli government had support from
Turkish regular forces in Libya as advisers, and from allied Syrian fighters,
the Turkish government has said. Diplomats have said Turkey was unlikely to act
before there were departures from the east.
Mercenaries from Russia’s Wagner Group are also entrenched alongside the
eastern-based Libyan National Army (LNA).
Qatar provides US with diplomatic bridge to Taliban
The Arab Weekly/November 13/2021
Qatar agreed to represent the United States in Taliban-run Afghanistan following
the closure of the American Embassy in Kabul and withdrawal of all US forces
from the country in late August. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and his
Qatari counterpart, Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani, announced Friday that
Qatar will serve as the US “protecting power” in Afghanistan. The announcement
is a clear indication the Biden administration doesn’t intend to re-open the
embassy anytime soon after bringing America’s longest-running war to an end
after 20 years.
Blinken, meanwhile, said the US has offered the opportunity to leave Afghanistan
to all American citizens it has identified as remaining in the country who wish
to depart and have appropriate travel documents. He and al-Thani also signed an
agreement formalising Qatar’s role as a main transit hub for evacuees. The
protecting power agreement means Qatar will set up a US “interests section”
within its own embassy in Kabul to handle consular services for American
citizens in Afghanistan, deal with routine official communications between
Washington and the Taliban government, and assume responsibility for the
protection of now-vacated US diplomatic facilities there. Shortly after the deal
was signed, al-Thani said that Qatar took its obligations seriously and would
add staff to its Kabul embassy to handle the increased workload. “Given the
Afghan situation, it isn’t going to be an easy job,” he said. “The situation in
Afghanistan overall is a complicated situation. So definitely, there are a lot
of complicated issues that need to be worked out and need to be settled.”The US
has numerous protecting power arrangements in countries where it does not have a
diplomatic presence. Those notably include Switzerland in Iran, Sweden in North
Korea and the Czech Republic in Syria.
Qatar has been a key player in discussions between the Taliban and the United
States for many years. It hosted months of US-Taliban peace talks and has since
been critical to the evacuation of American citizens and others from
Afghanistan. Roughly half the people who have left the country have transited
through Qatar. On the evacuation of American citizens and US green card holders
from Afghanistan, Blinken said that all of those who had expressed interest in
leaving and had proper documentation had been given the opportunity to depart.
“As of November 10, all US citizens who have requested assistance from the
United States government to depart and who we’ve identified as being prepared to
depart, having the necessary travel documents, have been offered an opportunity
to do so,” he said.
There was no way to independently confirm this and the administration has been
heavily criticised for the chaotic nature of the withdrawal. It has also been
accused of leaving thousands of Americans, green card holders, their families
and at-risk Afghans behind. Several hundred Americans are reported to still be
in Afghanistan, though not all have indicated they want to leave, Biden
administration officials have said. Friday’s agreement formalising Qatar as the
main transit hub for those fleeing Afghanistan is intended to regularise the
standards for the arrival and processing of evacuees as they make their way to
other destinations, al-Thani said. “We need to make sure that’s regulated and
governed and properly,” he said. “It’s very important for us to do the proper
vetting and security processes in order to ensure that we don’t end up with the
wrong people in our countries.” But some humanitarian groups have complained
that stringent entry requirements in transit countries like Qatar put the most
at-risk Afghans in further peril as they are unable to get proper travel
documentation from Taliban authorities. Al-Thani said Qatar would continue to
facilitate evacuations through charter flights on its state-run Qatar Airways.
“We will continue to be an instrument of peace and stability in the region,” he
said.
Jordan dam reserves at all-time low as water crisis looms
Arab News/November 13/2021
AMMAN: Amid a delay in rainfall, Jordan’s major dams are either completely empty
or facing critically low water levels, putting the country on the verge of an
unprecedented drought crisis should dry weather conditions persist. Of the
kingdom’s 14 major dams, three are now empty, according to officials, who said
that emergency plans are being put in place to save farmers in the fertile
Jordan Valley, known as the food basket of Jordan. In recent remarks to Arab
News, Omar Salameh, spokesperson of the water ministry, said that the Waleh,
Mujib and Tanour dams in the southern desert regions have dried up due to
crippling drought. Salameh added that the King Talal and Wadi El Arab dams in
the north are not yet empty, but are reporting critically low water levels. “All
in all, all the country’s dams have reached their lowest water levels due to
extremely dry seasons over the past two years,” he said. The official explained
that the 2020-2021 rain season — from December to May — was “very low” and
brought 60 percent less rainfall than the annual average.
“This coupled with high temperatures and high demand on water has led to all the
consequences we are having now.”However, citing data from the Jordan
Meteorological Department, the official said that the delay in rainfall is “not
exceptional” and that “it’s still too early to declare an emergency water
situation.”In a recent report, the JMD said that delayed rainfall is expected as
a result of climate change, adding that rainfall in autumn makes up less than 20
percent of the total wet season. Salameh said that the ministry has put in place
short and long-term plans to address a possible dry season. With low water
storage in dams meaning less water to be portioned out to farmers, Minister of
Agriculture Khaled Hneifat announced that farmers in the Jordan Valley are now
permitted to drill wells to access groundwater for irrigation — a practice that
was previously prohibited in the country. During a recent meeting with the Lower
House’s water and agriculture committee, Secretary General of the Water
Authority of Jordan Bashar Bataineh said that Jordan’s water deficit in 2021
stands at 40 million cubic meters, of which half is in Amman, the densely
populated capital of about 4 million people. Head of the Jordan Valley Farmers’
Union Adnan Khaddam blamed the government for the “risky” water situation,
adding that it “stood idly by and took no action.”Khaddam was quoted in local
media outlets as saying that the King Talal Dam, the largest in the kingdom, has
reached “dangerously low levels.”
He added: “The dam covers 80 percent of the water needs of farmers in the Jordan
Valley, but the available quantity in the dam is very low,” he said, warning of
serious drought if rain does not arrive.
National conveyor project
Jordan, classified as the world’s second most water-scarce country, announced
the launch of the Aqaba-Amman Water Desalination and Conveyance National Project
(AAWDC), described as “the largest water generation scheme to be implemented in
the history of the kingdom.”
During a meeting with lawmakers, Bataineh of Jordan’s Water Authority said that
the megaproject will “ensure the country’s water stability until 2040.”The water
ministry announced that the AAWDC, once completed, will generate 130 million
cubic meters of water each year.
Launching the project’s first phase in February 2020, the government said that
the AAWDC will be implemented on a build-operate-transfer basis and will provide
a sustainable water resource for future generations in all parts of the kingdom.
The government said at the time that the strategic scheme is part of the
Jordan’s efforts to adapt to climate change, dwindling water resources and
population growth.
Additional water from Israel
On Oct. 12, Jordan signed an agreement with Israel to purchase an additional 50
million cubic meters of water outside the framework of the peace agreement and
what it stipulates in regard to water quantities. The additional water Israel
will provide will come from the Sea of Galilee. The water ministry issued a
statement at the time, quoting an unnamed source who said that the agreement was
signed following a meeting in Amman of technical committees from both sides. The
agreement “was proof that we want good neighborly relations,” Karine Elharrar,
Israel’s minister of infrastructure, energy and water resources, told Israeli
media. Jordan and Israel in July said that they had reached a deal under which
the latter will sell an additional 50 million cubic meters of water annually to
the kingdom following a meeting between the foreign ministers of both countries.
Arab Coalition: 186 Houthis killed in 42 attacks in
Sirwah and al-Bayda
Ismaeel Naar, Al Arabiya English/13 November ,2021
At least 186 Houthi militants were killed in 42 separate attacks targeting the
Iran-backed militia group in cities west and south of Marib province, the Arab
Coalition said in a statement. The Arab Coalition said that it had conducted 42
military operations over the past 24 hours targeting Houthi positions and
convoys in Sirwah, west of the city of Marib, and Al-Bayda, south of Marib.In
total, that targeted operations included the destruction of 17 military vehicles
as well. The Iran-backed Houthis have been focusing their ground attacks on the
oil-rich province of Marib since February despite international calls for the
dangers threatening the safety and security of thousands of displaced children
and women in the province.
Anti-Houthi forces move out from Hodeidah
Arab News/November 13/2021
AL-MUKALLA: Yemen’s Joint Forces on the country’s western coast announced on
Friday a withdrawal from several liberated districts in the province of Hodeidah,
including areas in Hodeidah city. The Joint Forces, an umbrella term for three
major military units in the country’s western coast, said that it had withdrawn
forces from areas in Hodeidah that are included in a truce under the UN-brokered
Stockholm agreement and would redeploy the withdrawn forces to other areas. “Our
religious and patriotic duty prompts us into defending more important fronts
where we can exploit insufficient defenses,” the forces said in a statement,
claiming that the Stockholm agreement constrained the forces and prevented them
from taking control of the city of Hodeidah. “The Joint Forces considered it a
mistake to remain surrounded in defensive fortifications barred from fighting by
an international decision, while the various fronts require support in all
forms, including opening new fronts to reverse Houthi gains.”Local military
officers told Arab News by telephone on Saturday that they received orders from
commanders on Wednesday to pull out of Hodeidah within 24 hours.
Long convoys of military vehicles carrying fighters and military equipment were
seen leaving the districts Al-Houk, Hays, Attuhayta, Bait Al-Fakih, the Kilo16
sector and Sanaa Street in Hodeidah city. The forces built sand barricades and
deployed forces along a small coastal area called Al-Hayma, 80 kilometers south
of Hodeidah, the officers said.
The Joint Forces are formed of three major military units — the Giants Brigades,
National Resistance and Tehama Resistance — that were merged under the
supervision of the Arab coalition in July 2019. The forces managed to repel
Houthi advances in Hodeidah province and largely committed to the agreement
despite having the power to liberate the remaining Houthi-held areas in Hodeidah.
Shortly after the departure of the Joint Forces, the Houthis stormed cities and
villages in Hodeidah as their leaders in Sanaa announced the seizure of
province. Under the Stockholm agreement in late 2018, the Yemeni government,
whose forces reached the outskirts of Hodeidah city after a successful military
offensive, agreed to stop attacking Hodeidah in exchange for the Houthi handover
of the city’s seaport to neutral Yemeni forces that were not involved in the war
under the aegis of the UN.
At the same time, the government the Executive Unit for IDP Camps said that at
least 1874 people have been forced into fleeing their homes in Hays, Attuhayta
and Bait Al-Fakih into safer places outside Hodeidah since Thursday when the
Joint Forces began moving troops out of the province.
“The number is expected to increase. This huge number of displaced people are in
urgent need of intervention by humanitarian partners,” the government body said
in a statement. The Yemeni government said in a statement carried by the
official news agency that it was not alerted ahead of time about the withdrawal
of forces from Hodeidah.The UN Mission to Support the Hodeidah Agreement also
said that it was not informed in advance about the withdrawal. “We are liaising
with the parties to establish the facts on the ground and call on them to ensure
the safety and security of civilians in and around those areas where shifts in
front lines have taken place,” the UN mission said on Twitter.
The Latest The Latest LCCC English
analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on November 13-14/2021
د. ماجد رافيزادا/معهد كايتستون: الإتحاد
الأوروبي يتعامى عن كل انتهاكات النظام الإيراني لحقوق الإنسان ويمنحه حصانة كاملة
Human Rights Violations: European Union Gives Iran’s Mullahs Full Impunity
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh Gatestone Institute/November 13/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/104093/dr-majid-rafizadeh-gatestone-institute-human-rights-violations-european-union-gives-irans-mullahs-full-impunity-%d8%af-%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%ac%d8%af-%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%81%d9%8a%d8%b2%d8%a7%d8%af%d8%a7/
To execute political prisoners, Iran’s judiciary accuses defendants of vaguely
defined charges labeled as “national security crimes.” These “crimes” include
moharebeh (“enmity against God”), ifsad fil arz (“sowing corruption on Earth”),
and baghi (“armed rebellion”).
It is not only the number of executions that is appalling, but also the nature
of some of them. Executions have involved minor children, women and individuals
from ethnic and religious minority groups. Although Iran has ratified the
International Convention on the Rights of the Child, the government has made no
effort to alter the country’s Islamic Penal Code, which allows girls as young as
nine to be executed.
In addition, children, women and men are routinely tortured during
interrogations and behind bars. They are forced to confess. They are denied
access to lawyers and due process. They are denied family visits and medical
care.
The ruling mullahs of Iran refuse to halt their executions and human rights
violations, or to reform their repressive system, because they feel no pressure
from the usually moralizing European Union. So they act with full impunity. The
informed silence of the EU therefore makes it a willing accessory to their
crimes.
It is beyond repulsive that the EU — the same EU that incessantly lectures the
world about human rights — not only ignores the Iranian regime’s unspeakable
human violations, but that it also happily continues to do “business as usual”
with the leaders of Iran’s cruel and inhuman regime.
European Union special envoy Enrique Mora, despite the Iranian regime’s
horrendous and brutal human rights abuses, traveled to Iran in October and
discussed “mutual interests” with Iran’s leaders. Meanwhile, Iran’s regime has
been executing people “at an alarming rate”, and, according to a recent report
by Amnesty International, was “the top executioner in the Middle East” last
year. Pictured: Mora attends the swearing in ceremony of Iran’s newly elected
President in Tehran on August 5, 2021. (Photo by Atta Kenare/AFP via Getty
Images)
The European Union, which endlessly and hypocritically lectures the
international community on human rights, is turning a blind eye on the Iranian
regime’s expanding human rights violations.
EU special envoy Enrique Mora, despite the Iranian regime’s horrendous and
brutal human rights abuses, traveled to Iran in October and discussed “mutual
interests” with Iran’s leaders. Meanwhile, Iran’s regime has been executing
people “at an alarming rate”, and, according to a recent report by Amnesty
International, was “the top executioner in the Middle East” last year.
The EU has been cuddling the repressive rulers of Iran, even as the Special
Rapporteur on the Situation of Human Rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran
recently warned:
“There are extensive, vague and arbitrary grounds in Iran for imposing the death
sentence, which quickly can turn this punishment into a political tool. In
addition, the structural flaws of the justice system are so deep and at odds
with the notion of rule of law that one can barely speak of a justice system.
The entrenched flaws in law and in the administration of the death penalty in
Iran mean that most, if not all, executions are an arbitrary deprivation of
life.”
The suppression and execution of political prisoners and those who protest
against the ruling mullahs of Iran has been on the rise. According to Human
Rights Watch’s “World Report 2021,” the Iranian regime is one of the leading
“implementers of the death penalty”.
To execute political prisoners, Iran’s judiciary accuses defendants of vaguely
defined charges labeled as “national security crimes.” These “crimes” include
moharebeh (“enmity against God”), ifsad fil arz (“sowing corruption on Earth”),
and baghi (“armed rebellion”).
It is not only the number of executions that is appalling, but also the nature
of some of them. Executions have involved minor children, women and individuals
from ethnic and religious minority groups. Although Iran has ratified the
International Convention on the Rights of the Child, the government has made no
effort to alter the country’s Islamic Penal Code, which allows girls as young as
nine to be executed.
In addition, children, women and men are routinely tortured during
interrogations and behind bars. They are forced to confess. They are denied
access to lawyers and due process. They are denied family visits and medical
care. According to Amnesty International:
“Away from public view, Iranian security officials routinely subject men, women
and children behind bars to torture or other ill-treatment, particularly when
undergoing interrogations in detention centres run by the ministry of
intelligence, the Revolutionary Guards, and the investigation unit of Iran’s
police (Agahi).”
Iran’s regime, presumably to spread fear among those who criticize and oppose
the ruling mullahs, has for decades resorted to punishments of torture and
death. Torture is administered both physically and psychologically. According to
Amnesty International:
“… victims were frequently hooded or blindfolded; punched, kicked and flogged;
beaten with sticks, rubber hosepipes, knives, batons and cables; suspended or
forced into holding painful stress positions for prolonged periods; deprived of
sufficient food and potable water; placed in prolonged solitary confinement,
sometimes for weeks or even months; and denied medical care for injuries
sustained during the protests or as a result of torture.”
The ruling mullahs of Iran refuse to halt their executions and human rights
violations, or to reform their repressive system, because they feel no pressure
from the usually moralizing European Union. So they act with full impunity. The
informed silence of the EU therefore makes it a willing accessory to their
crimes.
The European powers do not only fail to hold Iran’s regime accountable for its
pervasive human rights violations; they also do business with the ruling
mullahs. From January-July 2021, the EU’s trade with Iran brought hundreds of
millions of dollars to the regime. The Financial Tribune reports:
“Germany remained the top trading partner of Iran during the seven months under
review, as the two countries exchanged €1.01 billion worth of goods. Italy came
next with €347.96 million worth of trade with Iran…. The Netherlands with
€264.48 million (down 9.23%), Spain with €178.33 million (up 9.25%) and Belgium
with €140.14 million (up 6.79%) were Iran’s other major European trading
partners. Estonia registered the highest growth of 709.52% in trade with Iran
during the seven months under review. Malta with 471.77%, Romania with 284.86%
and Croatia with 169.12% came next.”
It is beyond repulsive that the EU — the same EU that incessantly lectures the
world about human rights — not only ignores the Iranian regime’s unspeakable
human violations, but that it also happily continues to do “business as usual”
with the leaders of Iran’s cruel and inhuman regime.
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated
scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and
president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has
authored several books on Islam and US foreign policy. He can be reached at
Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2021 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Rewriting Syria’s constitution has failed. Time for plan B
Faisal Al Yafai/The Arab Weekly/November 13/2021
The UN’s special envoy for Syria scarcely needed to appear before reporters
recently to call the latest round of negotiations on a new Syrian constitution
“a big disappointment.” What else, barely five months after Bashar Assad won an
election, could they be?
The interminable talking shop that the process has become has rumbled on for
years; years in which representatives from the regime, the opposition and civil
society have met intermittently and practically pointlessly. “We lack a proper
understanding on how to move that process forward,” Geir Pederson, the UN envoy,
said on Friday.
What has moved forward are the Syrian regime’s plans to win the civil war. Now,
almost in control of the whole country and with no genuine possibility of regime
change or even reform, it is time to admit the constitutional talks have not
worked and should be scrapped. The fig leaf of reform is a failure. It is time
for Plan B. While the Geneva process and its delegates have talked
intermittently, Assad, backed by Russia, has fought relentlessly. The whole
purpose of rewriting the constitution, according to the UN Security Council’s
Resolution 2254, which forms the basis of the talks, was to pave the way for
free and fair elections under that constitution. That made sense in 2015, when
the resolution was passed, because Assad had just won an election the previous
year and it seemed possible he may agree to an amended constitution in the
future to end the fighting.
But much has changed since then, in particular the intervention by Russia on the
regime side, which happened that year. Now, having won another election and
essentially in control of the country, there is no possibility the regime will
accept any constitutional amendments. Does the UN intend to keep talking until
the next election in 2028? All the talks do now is provide a fig leaf for the
regime to claim it is seriously participating in negotiations. That fig leaf
should be stripped away.
Instead, the same delegations should be given a more tightly-defined remit for
negotiations, focused, especially, on political prisoners; on maintaining rights
and protections for refugees who return and on the status of Idlib, the only
province beyond regime control.
Those are three policy areas that, if the regime were willing to accept limited
reform, could make a big difference to Syrians inside the country by offering
information on where their family members held as prisoners are and help those
refugees who want to find a way to return home but are concerned about arbitrary
arrest by the regime.
Critics will say that scrapping the constitutional talks de facto accepts the
victory of the regime and removes the pressure for regime change. But that
pressure has faded, and not merely because of gains by the armies of Assad. A
maximal approach to negotiations may have worked when it seemed as if the United
States might remain involved. But since April, the Biden administration has
signaled it will treat America’s chief legal weapon, the Caesar Act, very
differently to the Trump era. The 2019 law allows Washington to impose sweeping
sanctions on those who work with the Assad regime. The Trump administration used
the Caesar Act multiple times; since the Biden administration came in, it has
not been used once. That reversal has allowed Arab allies to begin formulating
their own policy on Syria, with the tacit understanding that the US will look
the other way. The phone call at the start of October between King Abdullah of
Jordan and Assad, the first in ten years, was called the beginning of the return
of Assad to the Arab fold.
But in fact the April reopening of the border between the two countries was a
test run, to see if Jordanian companies would risk being sanctioned by the US
for dealing with Syria. In September, days before the phone call from King
Abdullah, the border was fully reopened. It followed another trial balloon from
another US Arab ally, when Egypt agreed to export natural gas to Lebanon, via
Syria. Taken together, it is clear that Joe Biden has taken a “see no evil”
approach to Syria, allowing Arab allies to go their own way and restart
relations. This is the inevitable result of Biden’s focus on domestic issues,
the so-called “building back boring” policy that prioritises economic issues
over far-flung political disputes. The scramble for Damascus is real. Against
that backdrop, for the UN and western governments to bury their collective heads
in the sand and continue purposeless negotiations is to stand by as the world
changes around them. Pretending the regime can still be forced to accept a new
constitution or that it is concerned by external condemnation of its unfree and
unfair elections is pointless. There will be no transition from the Assad
regime, and there will be no new constitution. Perhaps, in 2015, that was a
plausible, if challenging, outcome. But in 2021, it is mere fantasy. There are,
instead, real political successes that could be achieved, ones that could take
hundreds of thousands, perhaps more, of Syrians out of the refugee camps and
back into their homes; the kinds of imperfect, even grubby compromises that are
hard to justify, but which could make real contributions to the lives of
millions. A Plan B that would take all the institutional backing of the UN and
redirect it towards a politics that, while certainly not pretty, perhaps would
have a chance at change.
Attempt on PM Mustafa Al-Kadhimi’s life shows destructive
effect of pro-Iran factions on Iraqi state
Paul IddonArab News/November 13/2021
IRBIL, Iraqi Kurdistan:In the early hours of Nov. 7, three quadcopter drones
armed with explosives detonated inside the grounds of the official residence of
Iraq’s prime minister, Mustafa Al-Kadhimi, injuring seven members of his
security detail.
Al-Kadhimi, who escaped with only light injuries, promptly released a statement
appealing for calm. The question as to who was behind the attack, however,
remained unanswered and open to speculation.
Topping the list of likely conspirators are fighters affiliated with Iraq’s vast
network of Iran-backed Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi militias, also known as the Popular
Mobilization Forces.
Established in 2014 during the war against Daesh, these groups have since
morphed into something of a fifth column within the Iraqi state, officially
absorbed into the state security apparatus, but largely operating under their
own chain of command.
They have carried out similar drone attacks in recent months, targeting US
troops stationed in Iraq and the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region with the aim
of forcing their withdrawal.
If Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi was indeed responsible for the attempt on Al-Kadhimi’s
life, it raises the question: Did Iran sanction the attack?
Kyle Orton, an independent Middle East analyst, believes the identity of the
culprit or culprits behind the attack on Al-Kadhimi’s residence is murky by
design, giving the Iran-backed militias the luxury of plausible deniability.
“Iran’s militia network, especially in Iraq over the last few years, has worked
to create various splinter groups to claim responsibility for some of their more
politically sensitive attacks,” Orton told Arab News.
“It isn’t clear whether these groups actually exist beyond social media — at
most, they are cells answerable to preexisting Iranian Islamic Revolutionary
Guard Corps-run militias.”
The IRGC and its extraterritorial Quds Force exert tight control over their
Iraqi militia proxies, their personnel, training, finances and access to
weaponry, including explosive-laden drones, and demand total ideological loyalty
to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Such a brazen attack “does not proceed if Tehran does not want it to,” said
Orton. “Again, exactly how this came about — whether it was an order from IRGC
Quds Force leader Esmail Qaani or a Qaani non-veto of a militia initiative — we
will probably never know.”
Then there is the question of whether the militias actually intended to
assassinate Al-Kadhimi or simply wanted to intimidate him and send a message.
In May 2020, militiamen encircled Al-Kadhimi’s residence in Baghdad’s fortified
Green Zone in an apparent attempt to apply pressure on him. That was most likely
because Al-Kadhimi has consistently sought to strengthen Iraqi state
institutions, curtail the power of these militias, and restore genuine Iraqi
sovereignty since he assumed office.
Orton, however, has little doubt the attackers were out to kill Al-Kadhimi on
Nov. 7. “There has been a lot of analysis suggesting that this was a warning to
Al-Kadhimi, rather than an attempt to assassinate him, but this strikes me as
too clever by half,” he told Arab News.
If Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi was indeed responsible for the attempt on Al-Kadhimi’s
life, it raises the question: Did Iran sanction the attack?
“Al-Kadhimi was injured in the attack and it strains credulity to believe that
the IRGC agents who did this had calculated it to injure seven of his bodyguards
and wound the prime minister, but kill nobody.”
The timing of the attack was also hardly coincidental. In October, Iraq held
parliamentary elections, which had been a core demand of the popular grassroots
protest movement that began in October 2019 against rampant corruption,
unemployment and Iranian influence.
Several of Tehran’s consulates and missions across the country were torched by
Iraq’s young protesters, who have increasingly come to view Iran as a foreign
occupying power. Iran-backed militias responded by killing hundreds of
demonstrators.
The protest movement nevertheless succeeded in forcing then-prime minister Adel
Abdul-Mahdi to step down, clearing the way for new elections. However, the Oct.
10 ballot saw the country’s lowest ever turnout at just 41 percent.
Iran-backed political factions fared poorly. The Fatah Alliance won a paltry 17
seats, a substantial loss compared to the 48 they secured in 2018. Al-Sadr’s
alliance, Sayirun, meanwhile, increased its share, taking 73 of the parliament’s
329 seats.
Given the desire of Al-Sadr and his supporters to reduce foreign influence in
Iraq, the result came as a blow to Iran’s regional strategy. Insisting that the
election had been rigged, militia supporters came out in strength to demand a
manual recount.
Qais Al-Khazali, leader of the Iran-backed Asaib Ahl Al-Haq militia, joined the
protests against the result the night before the drone attack on the prime
minister’s residence, during which he accused Al-Kadhimi of orchestrating the
“fraudulent” election results.
“The timing is surely related to the aftermath of the election,” said Orton.
“The attacks on people close to Al-Kadhimi, particularly senior officers, a
number of whom were murdered, began months ago, when the militias could see Al-Kadhimi
forging a coalition against them ahead of the elections.”
A new kind of security for the Middle East
Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/November 13/2021
In the past decade alone, the Arab world has undergone several major
transformational shifts with varying ramifications for regional peace and
long-term stability.
Opportunities for long-term peace remain plentiful even as stabilizing actors
such as the US exit the region in the coming decade, and there has been a
revision of widely held perceptions of what constitutes long-term security in
the Middle East and North Africa, and the basis of enduring regional stability.
The Arab world is in an era where, increasingly, Arabs and Arabs alone will have
to define and forge their own “peace,” with little intervention from far-off
powers too distracted by domestic woes or pivoting to other foreign policy
priorities. However, to come close to attaining such an elusive future, the
region must confront several challenges posed by sub-state groups, transnational
ideologies, governance failures, violent extremism, and disillusioned people —
especially youth.
Contrary to established convention, most of the ongoing transformations
originated from within the region itself, instead of the usual spillover from
great power adventurism’s knack for failed interventions. This almost organic
surge toward fashioning an enduring regional peace is a strange phenomenon, and
it is challenging to project what the results will look like over the coming
years. Moreover, these recent developments are confounding discourse tethered to
aging perceptions of what constitutes long-term Arab peace.
A decade ago, the uprisings in 2011 toppled once unassailable regimes, and
conventional wisdom had many expecting a catastrophic domino effect with the
potential to destabilize the entire region. Similarly, the chaotic landscape
after Daesh’s defeat also left vast power vacuums that destabilizing actors were
all too happy to fill via sub-state or non-state proxies with varying
ideological orientations hostile to traditional state structures. Yet again,
there was no shortage of analyses and punditry angling for forceful
interventions to prevent a resurgence of more violent iterations of Daesh or
further metastasis of its offshoots.
Additionally, even after the Trump administration’s misguided retreat from Syria
—the first real sign of US disinterest-turned-policy — neither Syria nor
northern Iraq descended into the prolonged chaos reminiscent of the short-lived
Daesh era. Instead, the MENA region becoming less of a priority for Washington
appears to have ignited a scramble for normalization and rapprochement among the
unlikeliest of actors. After all, the growing likelihood of a total US departure
has contributed to the region’s changing power dynamics and substantially
altered each country’s threat perceptions without the guardrails provided by
what was once an enduring US military presence across the region.
In reality, America’s exit has had at least two parallel effects on present-day
realignments in the MENA region. First, among the relatively stable Arab states,
a dominant foreign player’s prospective or actual departure became a catalyst
for transactional utilitarian ties built on a convergence of interests and
shared threats. Alternatively, in the more volatile zones prone to or already
enmeshed in protracted conflicts, US disinterest created power vacuums now
divvied up among geopolitical rivals with limited ability to shape regional
dynamics but great power to halt post-conflict transitions and settlements.
In parts of the MENA region that sought reconciliation ahead of a US exit, there
is almost a cynical implication that the world’s greatest promoter of stability,
peace, and democracy had become a significant roadblock to the visible signs of
relative Arab cohesion seen today. However, the validity of that is up for a
debate that far exceeds the scope of this writing.
Elsewhere, an almost universal distaste for Middle East interventions among
Western democracies has arguably emboldened harmful actors. This disinterest has
left avenues for resurgent extremist groups or spawned armed non-state actors
not threatened by unenforced red lines, sanctions, and the growing preference
for non-kinetic counterinsurgency strategies.
As a result, while transformations and reconciliations in the Arab world are
trending toward the positive —declining conflict and enduring stability —
numerous threats persist that could unravel tenuous conciliatory processes and
derail long-term regional peace.
However, others would argue against assertions that the Arab world mostly took
to solving its own security and development challenges spurred by the growing
prospect of America’s departure. In their view, the foundations of the “new
order” establishing itself today lie in the geostrategic disruptions of the Arab
Spring and its numerous iterations.
The Arab world is in an era where, increasingly, Arabs and Arabs alone will have
to define and forge their own “peace,” with little intervention from far-off
powers too distracted by domestic woes or pivoting to other foreign policy
priorities.
A decade ago, tumultuous uprisings not only undermined the region’s traditional
dominant players such asEgypt, Algeria, Syria, and Iraq. It also benefited
emergent regional players — the Gulf states, which are rapidly evolving from the
drivers of regional development to the near-global hubs they are today.
It is implausible that the Arab world’s once-dominant actors will ever recapture
the spotlight or regain the wherewithal to shape regional dynamics. On the
contrary, they face a plurality of domestic challenges exacerbated by the
pandemic and the need to prepare their economies for the 21st century by, for
example, rationalizing public expenditures without ripping up decades-old social
contracts.
In addition, interventions are exceedingly costly and ill advised, even as a
tactic to distract citizens enraged by state failure, poor governance,
corruption, and political gridlock. Thus, as more Arab nations look inward to
resolve domestic challenges, there is a growing appreciation of a foreign policy
based on converging interests and the need to deter shared threats. It is a
massive departure from waging costly competitions or engaging in misguided
interventions for influence with all the risk and no reward.
Unfortunately, any discussion of MENA realignments focusing on security and
stability tends to be projected against a background of US-China-Russia
geopolitical rivalry, relegating organic trends to mere runaway offshoots of
grander ambitions elsewhere. Most literature on Arab world de-escalation is rife
with threats or warnings of how other non-US powers will wade in, sparking a new
era of escalations and possibly open conflict.
So far, however, the reality is different.
China remains attached to a limited, transactional engagement prioritizing
trade, investment, and development over open-ended or divisive interventions. On
the other hand, Russia is limiting its encroachment in areas where it already
had historical ties, making it easier to establish strategic footholds. Moscow
does not appear to want to become an influential player with as vast a reach as
the US. Instead, interventions in Syria and Libya point to tamer ambitions of
being an unavoidable actor with just enough leverage to influence domestic
affairs in Moscow’s favor, rather than lay an overbearing hand over most of the
MENA region.
As a result, the calculus in most Arab world capitals has since shifted from
piggybacking ambitions of far-off powers in favor of regional dialogue and
de-escalation. For now, normalization is still in its infancy, with most
progress hinging on, for instance, whether the Vienna talks on Iran’s return to
compliance with the 2015 nuclear deal will resume and come to a favorable
conclusion.
The same applies to the resolution of eastern Mediterranean tensions, not
excluding dealing with some of the roadblocks to Libya’s post-conflict
transition. In addition, progress now depends on Turkish President Recep Tayyip
Erdoğan’s diplomatic offensive to improve strained ties with Cairo and Riyadh.
Lastly, in Syria, regime change is no longer a realistic objective since Arab
states have gradually normalized relations with Damascus since 2018. This year
alone, discussions are underway regarding the conditions for rehabilitating the
Assad regime in the region.
Moreover, exhaustion with intra-Palestinian rivalry and further consolidation of
the Abraham Accords have relegated the relevance of the Palestinian question to
broader Arab world cohesion. It remains to be seen how deep or wide-reaching
this de-escalation trend will go toward fostering more regional dialogue,
managing conflicts better, and building inclusive, cooperative frameworks for
security, trade, and development. Hopefully, the desire to create enduring paths
away from endless conflicts might result in a MENA region free of nuclear
weapons and other divisive influences.
Hafed Al-Ghwell is a senior fellow with the Foreign Policy Institute at the John
Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies. Twitter: @HafedAlGhwell