English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For November 13/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.november13.22.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
Verses telling the Story of Zechariah the Priest & His Wife Elizabeth, John the
Papist’s Parents
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint
Luke01/01-25/:”Since many have undertaken to set down an orderly account of the
events that have been fulfilled among us, just as they were handed on to us by
those who from the beginning were eyewitnesses and servants of the word, I too
decided, after investigating everything carefully from the very first, to write
an orderly account for you, most excellent Theophilus, so that you may know the
truth concerning the things about which you have been instructed. In the days of
King Herod of Judea, there was a priest named Zechariah, who belonged to the
priestly order of Abijah. His wife was a descendant of Aaron, and her name was
Elizabeth. Both of them were righteous before God, living blamelessly according
to all the commandments and regulations of the Lord. But they had no children,
because Elizabeth was barren, and both were getting on in years. Once when he
was serving as priest before God and his section was on duty, he was chosen by
lot, according to the custom of the priesthood, to enter the sanctuary of the
Lord and offer incense. Now at the time of the incense-offering, the whole
assembly of the people was praying outside. Then there appeared to him an angel
of the Lord, standing at the right side of the altar of incense. When Zechariah
saw him, he was terrified; and fear overwhelmed him. But the angel said to him,
‘Do not be afraid, Zechariah, for your prayer has been heard. Your wife
Elizabeth will bear you a son, and you will name him John. You will have joy and
gladness, and many will rejoice at his birth, for he will be great in the sight
of the Lord. He must never drink wine or strong drink; even before his birth he
will be filled with the Holy Spirit. He will turn many of the people of Israel
to the Lord their God. With the spirit and power of Elijah he will go before
him, to turn the hearts of parents to their children, and the disobedient to the
wisdom of the righteous, to make ready a people prepared for the Lord.’Zechariah
said to the angel, ‘How will I know that this is so? For I am an old man, and my
wife is getting on in years.’The angel replied, ‘I am Gabriel. I stand in the
presence of God, and I have been sent to speak to you and to bring you this good
news. But now, because you did not believe my words, which will be fulfilled in
their time, you will become mute, unable to speak, until the day these things
occur.’ Meanwhile, the people were waiting for Zechariah, and wondered at his
delay in the sanctuary. When he did come out, he could not speak to them, and
they realized that he had seen a vision in the sanctuary. He kept motioning to
them and remained unable to speak. When his time of service was ended, he went
to his home. After those days his wife Elizabeth conceived, and for five months
she remained in seclusion. She said, ‘This is what the Lord has done for me when
he looked favourably on me and took away the disgrace I have endured among my
people.’”
Question: “What does the Bible say about a Christian
serving in the military?”
GotQuestions.org?/Friday, 11 November, 2022
Answer: The Bible contains plenty of information about serving in the military.
While many of the Bible’s references to the military are only analogies, several
verses directly relate to this question. The Bible does not specifically state
whether or not someone should serve in the military. At the same time,
Christians can rest assured that being a soldier is highly respected throughout
the Scriptures and know that such service is consistent with a biblical
worldview. The first example of military service is found in the Old Testament
(Genesis 14), when Abraham’s nephew Lot was kidnapped by Chedorlaomer, king of
Elam, and his allies. Abraham rallied to Lot’s aid by gathering 318 trained men
of his household and defeating the Elamites. Here we see armed forces engaged in
a noble task—rescuing and protecting the innocent.
Late in its history, the nation of Israel developed a standing army. The sense
that God was the Divine Warrior and would protect His people regardless of their
military strength may have been a reason why Israel was slow to develop an army.
The development of a regular standing army in Israel came only after a strong,
centralized political system had been developed by Saul, David, and Solomon.
Saul was the first to form a permanent army (1 Samuel 13:2; 24:2; 26:2).
What Saul began, David continued. He increased the army, brought in hired troops
from other regions who were loyal to him alone (2 Samuel 15:19-22) and turned
over the direct leadership of his armies to a commander-in-chief, Joab. Under
David, Israel also became more aggressive in its offensive military policies,
absorbing neighboring states like Ammon (2 Samuel 11:1; 1 Chronicles 20:1-3).
David established a system of rotating troops with twelve groups of 24,000 men
serving one month of the year (1 Chronicles 27). Although Solomon’s reign was
peaceful, he further expanded the army, adding chariots and horsemen (1 Kings
10:26). The standing army continued (though divided along with the kingdom after
the death of Solomon) until 586 B.C., when Israel (Judah) ceased to exist as a
political entity. In the New Testament, Jesus marveled when a Roman centurion
(an officer in charge of one hundred soldiers) approached Him. The centurion’s
response to Jesus indicated his clear understanding of authority, as well as his
faith in Jesus (Matthew 8:5-13). Jesus did not denounce his career. Many
centurions mentioned in the New Testament are praised as Christians,
God-fearers, and men of good character (Matthew 8:5; 27:54; Mark 15:39-45; Luke
7:2; 23:47; Acts 10:1; 21:32; 28:16).
The places and the titles may have changed, but our armed forces should be just
as valued as the centurions of the Bible. The position of soldier was highly
respected. For example, Paul describes Epaphroditus, a fellow Christian, as a
“fellow soldier” (Philippians 2:25). The Bible also uses military terms to
describe being strong in the Lord by putting on the whole armor of God
(Ephesians 6:10-20), including the tools of the soldier—helmet, shield, and
sword.
Yes, the Bible does address serving in the military, directly and indirectly.
The Christian men and women who serve their country with character, dignity, and
honor can rest assured that the civic duty they perform is condoned and
respected by our sovereign God. Those who honorably serve in the military
deserve our respect and gratitude.
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on November
12-13/2022
French commando lifts lid on dramatic 1991 rescue of Lebanon's Aoun
Washington Increases Aid to Lebanon, Urges Election of President
First images of Tiffany Trump, Lebanese-born businessman Michael Boulos’s
wedding rehearsal revealed
Lebanon extradites to Iraq ‘Saddam grandnephew’ accused of Daesh link
Berri says consensus is 'obligatory' gateway for electing a president
Bou Habib visits Greece, discusses displaced Syrians issue
Berri discusses developments with Mikati
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on November 12-13/2022
UN rights body to hold urgent session
on Iran amid crackdown
At least 326 killed in Iran protest crackdown: New toll
Iran charges 11 over killing of Basij paramilitary member
German leader Olaf Scholz: Iran can expect more EU sanctions
Iranian Archer Says She Did Not Notice Headscarf Falling Off
What US election results mean for the future of Ukraine aid
Zelensky says Russians destroyed Kherson’s critical infrastructure
Bahrain websites attacked as it holds parliamentary election
Titles For The
Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on November
12-13/2022
A Cold Winter for Europe: Blame Strategic Blindness/Burak Bekdil/Gatestone
Institute/November 12, 2022
The Ordeal of Syrian Asylum in Lebanon!/Akram Bunni//Asharq Al Awsat/November
12/2022
The 'Valdai' Club and Russia's Ambition for a New World Order/Ramzy Ezzeldin
Ramzy/Asharq Al Awsat/November 12/2022
Post-Sudani government disasters foretold/Ibrahim al-Zobeidi/The Arab
Weekly/November 12/2022
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on November
12-13/2022
French commando lifts lid on dramatic 1991 rescue of Lebanon's Aoun
Tim Stickings/The National/November 12/2022
https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/2022/11/11/french-commando-lifts-lid-on-dramatic-1991-rescue-of-lebanons-aoun/
Rear admiral says the former leader was reluctant to put on a rain jacket
Lebanon’s former president Michel Aoun had to be persuaded to put on a raincoat
when French special forces spirited him out of the country in 1991, a French
officer has revealed. Mr Aoun — who left office a second time last month after
reclaiming power in 2016 — was whisked away in a secretive mission after taking
refuge in the French embassy. He headed into exile after losing a violent power
struggle at the end of Lebanon’s 1975-90 civil war. But he appeared to have
second thoughts after French special forces arrived on a beach to take him to
safety. “One of the biggest difficulties we had at the time was getting General
Aoun to put on a rain jacket,” said rear admiral Bertrand de Gaullier des Bordes,
who led a French commando unit. “I think it was probably a pretext for him to
not leave Lebanon, but he didn’t want to put on the sea clothing. “Eventually he
did, and it was very useful for him because the sea was a bit tricky when we
left and it was very wet.”The rear admiral’s recollections came as part of a new
exhibition on the history of the French special forces. He said the 1991
operation involved “everything you see in special forces films”, with an
armoured car waiting as French troops with lights and radios pulled up to the
beach. The rescue mission was arranged with the French embassy where Mr Aoun had
taken sanctuary in 1990, following his defeat by Syrian and Lebanese forces. Mr
Aoun, now 89, feared for his safety after surviving at least one assassination
attempt and was granted asylum by France, the former colonial power in Lebanon.
Reports at the time described decoy cars being used to lead potential witnesses
astray while Mr Aoun was driven to the beach at dawn. Smuggled away to France,
he lived in exile until 2005 — before returning to Lebanon and eventually
winning the presidency. In other stories from the exhibition, French elite
forces recalled tense moments in Afghanistan, Mali, the former Yugoslavia, and
while fighting alongside Kurdish forces. France’s Army Museum called it the
first exhibition to “lift the veil on one of our military’s most secretive
entities”. Eric Vidaud, a former special operations commander, recalled a
bizarre episode in which a Serbian general promised to comply with peace accords
if the Frenchman could beat him at shooting practice. After Mr Vidaud proved the
better pistol shooter, he diplomatically declared the contest a draw and the
Serbs pulled back their troops days later, he said. Another French trooper
recalled saving the life of a Kurdish fighter who had inadvertently set off an
improvised explosive. The sergeant, named as Charlie, managed to stem the man’s
bleeding after his legs were blown off in the explosion, which was apparently
triggered by motion sensors. “My work … sometimes involves taking lives, but my
fondest memory is of having saved a life,” he said.
Washington Increases Aid to Lebanon, Urges
Election of President
Washington - Ali Barada/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 12 November, 2022
USAID Administrator Samantha Power concluded on Friday her multi-day visit to
Lebanon where she announced additional humanitarian and educational aid and
discussed with officials the importance of urgent action to respond to the
economic crisis, elect a President and form a cabinet.
Power held in Beirut a series of meetings and events, according to a press
release by USAID spokesperson Jessica Jennings. She began by meeting with US
Embassy and USAID employees, thanking them for their dedication and work
advancing the US relationship with Lebanon, their support for the Lebanese
people in a period of crisis, and the recent accomplishment of finalizing the
agreement establishing a permanent Israel-Lebanon maritime boundary. Power also
visited the American University of Beirut (AUB) where she met with students from
AUB and the Lebanese American University (LAU) who have received financial
support from USAID for their undergraduate education. She celebrated the
individual achievements of the students and discussed with them the impact they
can achieve as a new generation of public and private sector leaders in Lebanon.
The Administrator then announced that Washington will provide an additional $50
million for new scholarships and financial aid to AUB, LAU, and Notre Dame
University-Louaize. US State Department spokesperson Ned Price had earlier
explained that of the $50 million, $15 million will support 140 full
undergraduate scholarships to AUB and LAU for financially disadvantaged yet
academically meritorious students. The remainder of the funds will provide
partial need-based financial aid for about 3,500 students over the next three
years to help students who can no longer afford tuition amidst Lebanon’s
economic crisis. In the Lebanese capital, Power met with Speaker Nabih Berri and
Prime Minister Najib Mikati to discuss US-Lebanon relations, and the importance
of urgent action to respond to the economic crisis, elect a President and form a
Cabinet, and make advances on economic reforms. In her discussions, she
congratulated Lebanon on concluding the historic maritime agreement and urged
officials to capitalize on this moment of progress to pursue steps that will
restore domestic and international confidence in Lebanon’s economy. Power then
visited the Port of Beirut, where she saw the visible devastation that still
remains from the explosion two years ago.
At the Port, she observed ships unloading critically-needed grain from Ukraine.
The Administrator saw that compounding shocks, including the destruction of
grain silos in the port blast and Putin’s war against Ukraine, have caused the
price of bread to skyrocket to about nine times higher than it was in the fall
of 2019, and grain shipments from Ukraine play an important role in helping
address the food insecurity being experienced by many Lebanese families.
First images of Tiffany Trump, Lebanese-born businessman Michael Boulos’s
wedding rehearsal revealed
Boulos and Tiffany were engaged in January 2021, the day before Trump left
office following defeat in the 2020 election
LONDON: The first images from the wedding rehearsal of Tiffany Trump and
Lebanese-born businessman Michael Boulos have emerged. The couple are getting
married at former US president Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in Florida on
Saturday. According to reports, the bride's wedding dress has been designed by
Lebanese designer Elie Saab and her dazzling engagement solitaire ring was
designed by goldsmith and fellow Lebanese Samer Halima. She went for an
elegantly simple white dress for the rehearsal festivities, while the groom
opted for a grey pinstripe-pink tie suit combo. The former president and father
of the bride opted for his trademark suit, block-color tie, but former First
Lady Melania Trump stunned in a floor-length, off-shoulder golden gown. Tiffany
is the fourth child of Trump with his ex-wife Marla Maples, who posed for photos
with Donald and Melania and was involved in the planning of the wedding,
according to reports. Boulos, of Lebanese and French descent, grew up in Lagos
where his father, Massad, runs Boulos Enterprises and who is the CEO of SCOA
Nigeria. Boulos and Tiffany were engaged in January 2021, the day before Trump
left office following defeat in the 2020 election.
Tiffany's sister, Ivanka, shared a photo of herself posing with the bride-to-be,
who was dressed in a traditional white lace dress, during their recent bridal
shower. And Ivanka also shared a sweet shot of her with her husband Jared
Kushner and their children ahead of the nuptials.
https://www.arabnews.com/node/2198461/lifestyle
Lebanon extradites to Iraq ‘Saddam grandnephew’ accused of
Daesh link
AFP/November 12, 2022
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/113319/%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b4%d9%86%d9%82%d8%a9-%d8%aa%d9%86%d8%aa%d8%b8%d8%b1-%d8%ad%d9%81%d9%8a%d8%af-%d8%b4%d9%82%d9%8a%d9%82-%d8%b5%d8%af%d8%a7%d9%85-%d8%ad%d8%b3%d9%8a%d9%86-%d9%84%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%a7/
BAGHDAD: Lebanon extradited a man said to be a grandnephew of Saddam Hussein to
Iraq, where he is accused of involvement in a massacre by Daesh group, a
security source said Saturday.Abdullah Sabawi, dubbed the “grandnephew” of the
executed dictator by Iraqi media, was extradited on Wednesday, the security
official told AFP on condition of anonymity. “He is accused of having been a
member of Daesh and having participated in the Speicher massacre” of 2014, in
which up to 1,700 air force cadets were executed by the militant group, the
source added. A Lebanese judicial source said Sabawi, born in 1994, “was
detained on June 11” following an Interpol notice calling for his arrest over
his alleged involvement in the massacre. “Iraq requested his extradition,” the
Lebanese source added. Sabawi’s family has denied the accusations, telling AFP
he had been in Yemen at the time of the killings.
The Camp Speicher massacre was considered one of Daesh’s worst crimes after it
took over large parts of Iraq in 2014. Video footage released by Daesh showed an
assembly-line massacre in which gunmen herded their victims toward the banks of
the Tigris, shot them in the back of the head and pushed them into the river one
after the other. Dozens have been sentenced to death by Iraqi courts over their
involvement in the killings, many of them having already been executed.
Berri says consensus is 'obligatory' gateway for
electing a president
Naharnet/November 12/2022
Speaker Nabih Berri has reiterated his warning that the country cannot bear
months of presidential vacuum, seeing as Lebanon's "dire" situation is much
worse than it was in the vacuum period that preceded Michel Aoun's election.
"Consensus is an obligatory gateway for electing a president, and without this
consensus the vacuum cycle will continue and the country will pay the price,"
Berri added, in an interview with al-Joumhouria newspaper. Berri, however, noted
that his suspension of his latest dialogue initiative does not mean that he will
"stand idly by," adding that he will give the parties until the end of the year
to reach consensus over a president before re-activating his initiative.
Bou Habib visits Greece, discusses displaced Syrians issue
NNA/November 12, 2022
Caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates Abdallah Bou Habib paid a
working visit to Greece, where he met his Greek counterpart Nikos Dendias.
During the meeting, an agreement was signed regarding exemption from visa
requirements for holders of diplomatic passports, and a memorandum of
understanding on cooperation in the field of diplomatic training. The minister
briefed the Greek side the aspects of the maritime border demarcation agreement
between Lebanon and Israel. Bou Habib also explained about the problem of the
Syrian refugee file, Lebanon's inability to bear this burden, and the need for
friendly countries to support Lebanon's position. On the other hand, he met with
Belgian Minister of Foreign Affairs, European Affairs and Foreign Trade and the
Federal Cultural Institution, Hadja Lahbib, during which he explained Lebanon's
position on a number of files, including the maritime demarcation file, the file
of the displaced Syrians and the Lebanese position on the Ukrainian crisis.
Berri discusses developments with Mikati
NNA/November 12, 2022
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri received Prime Minister-designate Najib Mikati at
the second presidential residence in Ain El-Tineh. The pair reportedly discussed
the general situation, the latest political developments, and legislative
affairs. After the meeting, Prime Minister-designate Mikati left without making
any statement. He only said, in response to a question about whether the
electricity file had been discussed in his meeting with Speaker Berri: "We
agreed on a formula."
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on November
12-13/2022
UN rights body to hold urgent session
on Iran amid crackdown
Associated Press/November 12, 2022
The U.N.'s top human rights body is poised to hold a special session on Iran in
the wake of the government's deadly crackdowns on protesters, threats against
journalists and other alleged human rights violations in the Islamic republic.
The Human Rights Council will hold the session in the week of Nov. 21 "if
possible on Nov. 24," following a diplomatic request by Germany and Iceland.
Germany sent a letter to the council offices Friday announcing the call for a
special session "to address the deteriorating human rights situation in the
Islamic Republic of Iran, especially with respect to women and children."At
least one-third of the council's 47 member states need to support such a request
and the move by Germany suggests it has lined up enough backing. The protests in
Iran, sparked by the Sept. 16 death of a 22-year-old woman after her detention
by the country's morality police, have grown into one of the largest sustained
challenges to the nation's theocracy since the chaotic months after its 1979
Islamic Revolution. Security forces have sought to quash dissent. After the
protests erupted, the United States and European Union imposed additional
sanctions on Iran for its brutal treatment of demonstrators and its decision to
send hundreds of drones to Russia for use in its war in Ukraine. EU foreign
ministers are expected to agree on additional sanctions Monday. At least 328
people have been killed in the Iran protests and 14,825 others arrested,
according to Human Rights Activists in Iran, a monitoring group. Iran's
government for weeks has remained silent on casualty figures.
At least 326 killed in Iran protest crackdown: New toll
AFP/November 12, 2022
PARIS: Iranian security forces have killed at least 326 people in a crackdown on
nationwide protests since Mahsa Amini’s death in custody, Iran Human Rights said
in an updated toll Saturday. The Islamic republic has been gripped by protests
that erupted over the death of Amini on September 16, three days after her
arrest for an alleged breach of the country’s strict dress code for women. The
protests were fanned by fury over the dress rules for women, but have grown into
a broad movement against the theocracy that has ruled Iran since the 1979
revolution. “At least 326 people, including 43 children and 25 women, have been
killed by security forces in the ongoing nationwide protests,” Oslo-based IHR
said in a statement posted on its website. The latest toll represents an
increase of 22 since the rights group issued its previous figures on November 5.
It includes at least 123 people killed in the province of Sistan-Baluchistan, on
Iran’s southeastern border with Pakistan, a figure which is also up, from 118 in
IHR’s last toll. Most of those were killed on September 30 when security forces
opened fire on protesters after Friday prayers in Zahedan, the capital of
Sistan-Baluchistan — a massacre activists have dubbed “Bloody Friday.” Those
protests were triggered by the alleged rape in custody of a 15-year-old girl by
a police commander in the province’s port city of Chabahar. Analysts say the
Baluchi were inspired by the protests that flared over Amini’s death, which were
initially driven by women’s rights but expanded over time to include other
grievances. IHR director Mahmood Amiry-Moghaddam called on the international
community to act as soon as possible to halt the crackdown. “Establishing an
international investigation and accountability mechanism by the UN will both
facilitate the process of holding the perpetrators accountable in the future and
increase the cost of the continuous repression by the Islamic republic,” he said
in the statement. Another rights group, Amnesty International, has also called
for such a mechanism, which it said was supported by a petition signed by more
than one million people. IHR said it was still investigating reports of other
deaths, meaning the actual number killed “is certainly higher.”
Iran charges 11 over killing of Basij paramilitary member
AFP/November 12, 2022
TEHRAN: Iran has indicted 11 people over the murder of a Basij paramilitary
force member during a ceremony last week in honour of a slain protester, a
judiciary official said Saturday.
The incident happened on November 3 in Karaj, capital of Alborz province, when
mourners were paying tribute to Hadis Najafi at the cemetery to mark 40 days
after she was killed in the city. Her death on September 21 came five days into
nationwide protests that erupted after the death in police custody of Mahsa
Amini, following her arrest for an alleged breach of Iran's hijab dress rules
for women. Eleven people, including a woman, had been summoned and charged over
the killing of Basij member Ruhollah Ajamian, said Alborz province's judiciary
chief Hossein Fazeli Harikandi. The indictments followed an investigation
launched after images posted on social media networks showed "a group of rioters
assaulting and killing" Ajamian, the judiciary's Mizan Online website quoted him
as saying. "Rioters attacked this security officer, who was unarmed, stripped
him naked, stabbed him with knives, beat him with brass knuckles, stones, and
kicks, and then dragged his naked and half-dead body on the asphalt street and
between cars in a horrific manner," Harikandi added. Some face charges of
"corruption on earth", one of the most serious offenses under Iranian law which
is punishable by death. They are also accused of serious disturbance of public
order leading to murder, gathering with the intention to commit crimes against
the country's security, and propaganda against the state. Amini, 22, died on
September 16 in the custody of the morality police three days after falling into
a coma, sparking street violence across the Islamic republic.
Dozens of people, mainly demonstrators but also security personnel, have been
killed during the demonstrations, which the authorities have dubbed "riots", and
hundreds more have been arrested. The Basij is a state-sanctioned volunteer
force that is linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
German leader Olaf Scholz: Iran can expect more EU
sanctions
AP/November 12, 2022
Iran to receive additional sanctions for its brutal crackdown and its decision
to send hundreds of drones to Russia for use in the war in Ukraine
EU foreign ministers are expected to agree on additional sanctions when they
meet on Monday
BERLIN: German Chancellor Olaf Scholz strongly criticized the Iranian government
Saturday for its bloody crackdown on protests in the country said Germany stands
“shoulder to shoulder with the Iranian people.”Scholz said the ongoing protests
sparked by the Sept. 16 death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini following her detention
by Iran’s morality police were no longer “merely a question of dress codes” but
had evolved into a fight for freedom and justice. The protests have grown into
one of the largest sustained challenges to Iran’s theocracy since the chaotic
months after its 1979 Islamic Revolution.
“We can barely begin to imagine how much courage this takes,” Scholz said in his
weekly video address. “More than 300 killed, dozens of death sentences and more
than 14,000 arrests. So far. Those who demonstrate against oppression in Iran
risk their lives, and often also the lives of their loved ones – and face the
prospect of torture and decades in prison.” Hundreds of thousands of people in
Germany with Iranian roots fear for their relatives and are “appalled and
disgusted by what the Mullah regime is doing to the demonstrators,” the
chancellor continued. “It is clear that the Iranian government is solely
responsible for this spate of violence.”Scholz said Iran would receive
additional sanctions for its brutal crackdown and its decision to send hundreds
of drones to Russia for use in the war in Ukraine. European Union foreign
ministers are expected to agree on additional sanctions when they meet on
Monday.
Germany’s foreign minister on Friday rejected a complaint by her Iranian
counterpart that she was taking an “interventionist” stance over protests in
Iran and pushed back against his pledge of a “firm” response. Earlier this
month, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian warned his German
counterpart, Annalena Baerbock, that she was taking an “interventionist” stance
over protests in Iran. Baerbock had made a speech to the German parliament in
which she said Berlin would not let up in pursuing further sanctions against
Tehran over the protest crackdown. Responding to Amirabdollahian’s threat of
consequences for Germany’s position, Scholz said, “What kind of government does
it make you if you shoot at your own citizens? Those who act in such a way must
expect us to push back.”
Iranian Archer Says She Did Not Notice Headscarf Falling
Off
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 12 November, 2022
An Iranian archer has said she did not notice her hijab falling from her head
during an awards ceremony in Tehran, after a video appeared to show her allowing
the headscarf to drop in what was widely assumed to be a show of support for
nationwide protests. In a video posted on Instagram, Parmida Ghasemi said she
had not noticed the hijab falling "due to wind and a lot of stress". "This led
to reactions which caused some misunderstandings. My family and I have not, nor
have ever had, any problem with the hijab. I wanted to apologize to the people,
officials and my teammates,” she said, wearing a headscarf in the video. Iran
has been swept by protests since 22-year-old Mahsa Amini died in the custody of
morality police nearly two months ago after being detained for "inappropriate
attire". Women have waved and burned headscarves - mandatory under Iran's
conservative dress codes - during the demonstrations that mark one of the
boldest challenges to the Iranian Republic since the 1979 revolution, Reuters
said. Videos posted on social media purportedly showed Iran's national
basketball team refraining from singing the national anthem during a match with
China in Tehran on Friday, after social media videos earlier this week showed
the national water polo team also failing to sing it at a competition in
Thailand. In the video of the ceremony at the archery competition shared on
social media this week, Ghasemi, standing alongside others on a podium, lets her
headscarf fall as unseen people in the audience clap and shout "Bravo". The
athlete standing next to her tries to pull up her scarf, but she moves away her
head. Last month, Iranian climber Elnaz Rekabi caused controversy by competing
in an international competition without a headscarf, later saying she had done
so unintentionally and apologizing. Iran's deputy sports minister, Maryam
Kazemipour, said on Wednesday some Iranian female athletes have acted against
Islamic norms and then apologized for their actions. Last week, national beach
soccer team players refused to sing Iran's anthem at the beginning of a match
against the United Arab Emirates in Dubai, according to a widely followed
activist Twitter account known as 1500tasvir. Then on Sunday, the players did
not cheer or celebrate after defeating Brazil to win the championship, the
account said.
What US election results mean for the future of Ukraine
aid
Associated Press/Saturday, 12 November, 2022
If Republicans win the House, where does that leave Ukraine?
It's a question that is top of mind in Washington as the GOP draws closer to
winning the majority in the U.S. House. Some fear the end of Democratic control
in Congress — and the empowerment of "America First" conservatives — could
ultimately result in the curtailment of American assistance as Ukraine battles
Russia's invasion. Recent comments from Kevin McCarthy, who is in line for
speaker if Republicans win the House, exacerbated those fears. He warned that
Republicans wouldn't support writing a "blank check" for Ukraine if they
captured the majority. But the hard-line rhetoric isn't the end of the story.
While Republican control of the House is likely to make sending tranches of
military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine more difficult, support for the country
runs deep in both parties.
Here is a look at the factors at play:
WHAT THE U.S. HAS GIVEN SO FAR
Since the Russian invasion began in February, Congress has approved tens of
billions in emergency security and humanitarian assistance for Ukraine. The
Biden administration has also shipped billions worth of weapons and equipment
from military inventories. In September, lawmakers approved about $12.3 billion
in Ukraine-related aid as part of a bill that finances the federal government
through Dec. 16. The money included assistance for the Ukrainian military as
well as money to help the country's government provide basic services to its
citizens.
That comes on top of more than $50 billion provided in two previous bills.
STRONG BIPARTISAN SUPPORT
All along, financial support for Ukraine has garnered strong bipartisan support.
In the Senate, GOP leader Mitch McConnell and Richard Shelby, the lead
Republican on the powerful Appropriations Committee, were early and consistent
voices in favor of Ukraine aid. In recent days, other Republicans including Sens.
Tom Cotton of Arkansas and Rick Scott of Florida have insisted in interviews
that their party's support for the Ukrainians is resolute. "I think we have to
continue to do everything we can to support Ukraine, who wants to defend their
freedom and stop Russia from continuing to expand," Scott said Sunday on NBC's
"Meet the Press."Republican Sen. Rob Portman of Ohio and Democratic Sen. Chris
Coons of Delaware also made a bipartisan show of support by visiting Ukraine
just days before the election. "I am confident that bipartisan robust American
support for the fight of the Ukrainian people will continue in Congress," Coons
said. "The United States has long been a nation that fights for freedom, and
this is the most important fight for freedom in the world today."The picture is
similar in the House, where Ukrainian aid enjoys majority support. Even a letter
published last month by the liberal flank of the party, asking the Biden
administration to pursue diplomatic talks with Russia over the war, was quickly
retracted after an outpouring of criticism from both parties. President Joe
Biden also attempted to ease concerns in a post-election briefing Wednesday,
expressing hope that he would be able to continue his "bipartisan approach" to
supporting Ukraine. He said he intends to invite congressional leaders from both
parties to the White House later this month for a discussion about how to
"advance the economic and national security priorities of the United States."
GROWING FAR-RIGHT OPPOSITION
Yet support for Ukraine is far from universal in the Republican Party. Some
lawmakers on the right, particularly those aligned with Donald Trump's "America
First" philosophy of foreign policy, say the United States cannot afford to give
billions to Ukraine at a time of record-high inflation at home.
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, a member of the ultra-conservative Freedom Caucus,
told a rally of Trump supporters in Iowa last week that, "under Republicans, not
another penny will go to Ukraine." In Ohio, Republican JD Vance, who just won
the state's Senate race, campaigned on ending financial support for the country,
saying Congress has "got to stop the money spigot to Ukraine
eventually."McCarthy seemed to be giving a nod to the Ukraine skeptics with his
comments before the election. "I think people are gonna be sitting in a
recession and they're not going to write a blank check to Ukraine," McCarthy
said in the pre-election interview. "They just won't do it. … It's not a free
blank check."McCarthy later walked back those comments, telling CNN that he's
very supportive of Ukraine but thinks there should be "accountability going
forward."Biden stressed that his administration has not granted every request
from the Ukrainians, including their demand for a no-fly zone that would risk
pulling America into the war. "We've not given Ukraine a blank check," Biden
said. "There's a lot of things that Ukraine wants we didn't — we didn't do."
FUTURE OF AID
Despite the escalating opposition from the right, there is little risk of
Congress ending America's financial and military support for Ukraine anytime
soon. Majorities in the House and Senate back the alliance with Ukraine, saying
the cost is worth paying to defend a democratic ally and resist Russian
expansion.
And most Americans who voted in the midterms were firmly behind the military and
financial support for Ukraine, according to AP VoteCast, a nationwide survey of
more than 94,000 voters. About 4 in 10 said it was about right and 3 in 10 said
it should be more active, while only about 3 in 10 wanted the U.S. to provide
less to Ukraine. Yet it's clear that a Republican takeover of the House would
make passing additional aid for Ukraine harder. McCarthy is likely to be under
intense pressure from the right to take a hard line with the Biden
administration, making it more difficult for him to work with Democrats.
With that reality in mind, lawmakers from both sides of the aisle are eying the
lame-duck session after the election as an opportunity to lock in billions of
dollars in additional military assistance for Ukraine. That aid could be passed
in an end-of-year government funding bill and ensure American support for months
to come.
VIEW FROM ABROAD
Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials are monitoring the midterm election results
closely. One official on Wednesday acknowledged having stayed awake the night
before, hitting refresh again and again on his phone to track the results. But
the country's defense minister, Oleksiy Reznikov, said Wednesday that he did not
anticipate American support would erode. "I have repeatedly met with
representatives of the Senate and Congress, and each time the delegations were
bipartisan," Resnikov said at a news conference. "I clearly understand that the
support of the United States will remain bipartisan and bicameral, too."Yulia
Svyrydenko, Ukraine's trade and economic development minister, said Thursday
that regardless of U.S. support, the country is intensifying efforts to run
leaner on spending, even as Ukrainians fight for what they see as an
"existential war."Svyrydenko said that while there had been no pressure from
American officials for Ukraine to cut its need for foreign help, Ukrainian
leaders know they have to do more to stabilize the economy itself even as they
battle Russian forces. Ukraine's emphasis at the war's outset had been rapidly
marshaling military aid from its allies, "but we understand that one day we
should rely very well on ourselves again," she said.
Zelensky says Russians destroyed Kherson’s critical
infrastructure
Reuters/November 12, 2022
“Before fleeing from Kherson, the occupiers destroyed all the critical
infrastructure,” Zelenskiy said in a video address
DUBAI: Russian forces destroyed the critical infrastructure in the southern city
of Kherson before fleeing, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on
Saturday, adding that local authorities were starting to stabilize the city.
Jubilant residents welcomed troops arriving in the center of Kherson on Friday
after Russia abandoned the only regional capital it had captured since the start
of the war. “Before fleeing from Kherson, the occupiers destroyed all the
critical infrastructure: communications, water, heat, electricity,” Zelensky
said in a video address. “(Russians) everywhere have the same goal: to humiliate
people as much as possible. But we will restore everything, believe me,” he
continued. Zelensky said Ukrainian troops had taken control of more than 60
settlements in the Kherson region. “Police have launched stabilization measures.
Stabilization measures are also underway in Kherson,” he said.
Bahrain websites attacked as it holds parliamentary
election
Associated Press/November 12/2022
Bahrain voted Saturday in a parliamentary and local election just hours after
hackers targeted government websites in the island kingdom. The Interior
Ministry did not identify the websites targeted, but the country's state-run
Bahrain News Agency could not be reached online nor could the website for
Bahrain's parliament. Later, Bahrain's election website could not be accessed
from abroad. "Websites are being targeted to hinder the elections and circulate
negative messages in desperate attempts that won't affect the determination of
citizens who will go to the polling stations," the Interior Ministry said.
Screenshots taken by internet users showed a picture after the hack claiming it
was carried out by a previously unknown account called Al-Toufan, or "The Flood"
in Arabic. Social media accounts associated with Al-Toufan said the group
targeted the parliament's website "due to the persecution carried out by the
Bahraini authorities, and in implementation of the popular will to boycott the
sham elections." A banned Shiite opposition group and others have called on
voters to boycott the election. Bahraini officials did not respond to a request
for comment about the hack. Bahrain state television aired footage of people
voting in the polls. The attack happened just hours ahead of the parliamentary
and municipal elections in Bahrain. Voters are picking the 40 members of the
lower house of Bahrain's parliament, the Council of Representatives. The
parliament's upper house, the Consultative Council, is appointed by royal decree
by King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa. Bahrain is in the midst of a decade-long
crackdown on all dissent after the 2011 Arab Spring protests, which saw the
island's Shiite majority and others demanding more political freedom. Since
Bahrain put down the protests with the help of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab
Emirates, it has imprisoned Shiite activists, deported others, stripped hundreds
of their citizenship and closed down its leading independent newspaper. Bahrain,
about the size of New York City, is home to the U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on November
12-13/2022
A Cold Winter for Europe: Blame Strategic Blindness
Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/November 12, 2022
In 2008, the "flawless democrat" Putin invaded Georgia. The West was shocked.
Putin critics... were shocked that the West was shocked. In 2014, Putin invaded
the Crimean Peninsula, sovereign Ukrainian territory. The West remained shocked.
In February 2022, Putin invaded Ukraine and annexed parts of the sovereign
state. Was the West still shocked? It should not have been.
Apparently the "flawless democrat" Putin is hoping to weaponize winter and force
Europe to surrender, but giving in to the Kremlin would be disastrous.
The EastMed pipeline project was designed to improve Europe's energy security by
diversifying its routes and sources and providing direct interconnection to the
production fields while reducing dependence on Russian gas supplies.... U.S.
President Joe Biden stepped in with a historic strategic miscalculation that
came with a strategic cost: appeasing NATO's pro-Putin, part-time ally Turkey
and jeopardizing Europe's energy security.
Only a few weeks before Russia invaded Ukraine in February, Biden surprised the
EastMed partners by abruptly withdrawing U.S. support for the pipeline, thereby
effectively killing the project, preventing a diversified energy supply to
Europe, and further assuring Putin's energy blackmail against Europe.
The White House said the $6.7 billion project was antithetical to its "climate
goals." Biden presumably hopes no one will actually still be using fossil fuels
by 2025, the date for the planned completion of the EastMed pipeline. The Biden
administration also cited a supposed lack of economic and commercial viability,
even though a 2019 study financed by the EU confirmed that "the EastMed Project
is technically feasible, economically viable and commercially competitive."
If the Europeans freeze this winter or must pay sky-high bills, they should
drink a toast to the likes of Schroeder and Biden.
The story goes back to early 2000's when German's then Chancellor Gerhard
Schroeder decided to develop strategic relations between Berlin and Moscow. He
went so far as to offer partnership to Russia in EADS, a multinational European
defense and aerospace powerhouse. In November 2004, Schroeder called Russian
President Vladimir Putin a "flawless democrat." Unsurprisingly, in 2004,
Schroeder hailed Turkey's Islamist autocrat, then prime minister (now president)
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan as a "great reformer."
On the evening of December 9, 2005, seventeen days after Schroeder left office
as chancellor, he got a call from his friend Putin. Since leaving public office,
Schroeder has worked for Russian state-owned energy companies, including Nord
Stream AG, Rosneft, and Gazprom, for a salary of $1 million a year. On March 8,
2022, German's Public Prosecutor General initiated proceedings related to
accusations against Schroeder of complicity in crimes against humanity due to
his role in Russian state-owned corporations.
In 2008, the "flawless democrat" Putin invaded Georgia. The West was shocked.
Putin critics, including this author, were shocked that the West was shocked. In
2014, Putin invaded the Crimean Peninsula, sovereign Ukrainian territory. The
West remained shocked.
In February 2022, Putin invaded Ukraine and annexed parts of the sovereign
state. Was the West still shocked? It should not have been.
In 1972, natural gas exports from the Soviet Union accounted for around 4% of
European gas consumption. By 2021, Russia was providing almost 40% of Europe's
gas. As Moscow's market share has gradually increased, so has its ability to
manipulate prices and trigger crises. Most Europeans now acknowledge that this
reliance on Russia represents a major strategic blunder. Too late. Europe's
"green energy transition" features one major flaw: it relies on Russian gas
imports.
Back to the future. This will be an extremely difficult winter for all
Europeans, whether they face blackouts or heating issues and sky-high energy
bills. Apparently the "flawless democrat" Putin is hoping to weaponize winter
and force Europe to surrender, but giving in to the Kremlin would be disastrous.
Back to the past. In 2017, the governments of Italy, Greece, Cyprus and Israel
signed a declaration to confirm their support for the development of the East
Mediterranean Pipeline (EastMed), a $6.7 billion, 1,900-km natural gas pipeline
project to connect the gas reserves of Israel and Cyprus to Greece and onward to
Europe. The pipeline would have an initial capacity to transport 10 billion
cubic meters per year (bcm/y) of gas to Greece, Italy and other southeast
European countries. The capacity would then be increased to a maximum of 20 bcm/y
in the second phase. The project was confirmed as a "Project of Common Interest"
(PCI) by the European governments.
The EastMed pipeline project was designed to improve Europe's energy security by
diversifying its routes and sources and providing direct interconnection to the
production fields while reducing dependence on Russian gas supplies. It would
provide an opportunity for European Union member state Cyprus to connect to the
European gas network, which would further enhance gas trading in southeast
Europe.
Turkey, after a punishing international isolation following several diplomatic
crises with Israel, threatened militarily to challenge EastMed. In contrast,
other countries in the region such as Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Gulf states
supported what later became the EastMed group, also favored by the EU and United
States. So far so good. But wait.
As the past several years saw the East Mediterranean turning into a slow-fuse
time bomb sitting over rich hydrocarbons that are claimed questionably by Turkey
as a stand-alone regional force, versus an alliance of Greece, Cyprus and
Israel, U.S. President Joe Biden stepped in with a historic strategic
miscalculation that came with a strategic cost: appeasing NATO's pro-Putin,
part-time ally Turkey and jeopardizing Europe's energy security.
Only a few weeks before Russia invaded Ukraine in February, Biden surprised the
EastMed partners by abruptly withdrawing U.S. support for the pipeline, thereby
effectively killing the project, preventing a diversified energy supply to
Europe, and further assuring Putin's energy blackmail against Europe.
The White House said the $6.7 billion project was antithetical to its "climate
goals." Biden presumably hopes no one will actually still be using fossil fuels
by 2025, the date for the planned completion of the EastMed pipeline. The Biden
administration also cited a supposed lack of economic and commercial viability,
even though a 2019 study financed by the EU confirmed that "the EastMed Project
is technically feasible, economically viable and commercially competitive."
Biden's miscalculation must have caused much laughter and substantial champagne
consumption in the Kremlin. "Welcome to the brave new world where Europeans are
very soon going to pay €2.000 for 1.000 cubic meters of natural gas!" tweeted
Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council, and the country's
former president and prime minister, on February 22, 2022.
Even if Putin was hesitant about making Ukraine his new war theater in January,
Biden's mistake assured him that he was on the right track. If the Europeans
freeze this winter or must pay sky-high bills, they should drink a toast to the
likes of Schroeder and Biden.
Burak Bekdil, one of Turkey's leading journalists, was recently fired from the
country's most noted newspaper after 29 years, for writing in Gatestone what is
taking place in Turkey. He is a Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
The Ordeal of Syrian Asylum in Lebanon!
Akram Bunni//Asharq Al Awsat/November 12/2022
The tears in his eyes didn’t conceal his anger and resentment of the humiliation
he felt when the owner of a Lebanese bakery refused to sell him bread because he
is Syrian. He raised his head, and looked at his sister, who asked him again:
“returning where? Are you insane? Yes, life here is awful, but you know that
staying here is less bad. You also know that many Lebanese sympathize with us
and help us in hard times.”
The aggravating fear among Syrian refugees is understandable, not only from cold
and heat, or from the decreasing aids and worsening life conditions in the camps
and the wasted future of many of their children, but also from the changing
stances in the communities that have hosted them.
Understandable is the bitterness and oppression the Syrian refugees have been
feeling because of the rejection and aggression shown by some Lebanese groups,
who have treated them inhumanly. However, what can never be tolerated is
supporting a hashtag against Syrians on Twitter, and the incitement practiced by
Michel Aoun, head of the highest authority in the country and the ‘strategic’
ally of Hezbollah, on kicking the refugees out from Lebanon, in addition to
Hezbollah’s direct intervention in the Syrian, bloody conflict.
The largest group of the Syrian refugees in Lebanon belong to a “sect” haunted
by the curse of terrorism, and accused of every attack implemented by ISIS or Al
Nusra on the Lebanese territories, which has significantly contributed to
creating a social and mental environment that refuses their existence, in
addition to the growing pressures practiced on them by political and economic
parties and security bodies, that seek normalization with the Syrian regime.
When he returned angry from the bakery, he admitted to his sister that he is
willing to enroll his name with those willing to come back to Syria. “They are
hundreds, and they were reassured that they won’t be hurt or arrested,” he told
himself in a motivating tone. Then, he asked his sister: “Why are we scared?
Haven’t we left the country while we were 10 and 9 years old? Were we aware of
what was going around us or do we hold any responsibility for it?”
“Our stalkers are many, and the spies of the Syrian regime here must have sent
tens of reports about our life and stances. What fate could be waiting for us if
someone reported our hatred of the regime, or our support of the opposition? Do
I have to remind you every time you think of returning, of what happened to your
friend Ahmed who left Syria when he was 10, too? Does anyone know anything about
him, his father and brother a year after they returned there? Isn’t his mother
looking for them in every security department,” the sister replies with a
decisive tone.
“Where are these hundreds willing to come back? The Lebanese authorities
themselves admitted that the number didn’t exceed tens of people. Do you want to
leave me alone here? You know I’ll never return to that hell, where I have to
smile every day at those who buried my parents and sister under the rubble.
Where would we live? How do we recover our family’s properties? Didn’t they ruin
and burn our house and seize our land? Didn’t they threaten your uncle Khaled
with prison and killing if he thinks of claiming his house and lands again?” she
added.
It’s not a secret that confiscating houses and properties has become a norm
among the leaders of the “big triumph” in Syria, and that anyone who thinks of
claiming his possessions and properties could face the direst fate, especially
in the regions that lived under long siege.
But the most dangerous thing is the hidden intentions of some “sectarian” groups
planning to put their hands on towns and neighborhoods that have religious and
security significance to establish a homogenous population of the “sectarian”
kind that helps them tighten their control.
The sister felt that her conversation was useless, and that her brother is still
considering the return. “Have you thought of the circumstances in Syria? How can
we provide our simplest needs? Have you forgotten the famine our people are
living in? They can’t even provide food, clothes, and heating, there are no
jobs, and the aids are being stolen. Have you forgotten the stories about abuse
and humiliation of people, about innocent citizens who were attacked,
humiliated, and blackmailed, even hurt and killed, for the silliest reasons and
the perpetrators who have never been held accountable” she continued.
The regime is responsible for the worsening crisis of refugees, and it would
never change its hostile stance, and its explicit exclusion of them from its
homogenous society. The Syrian opposition also has a negative role in this
matter, as it hasn’t been able to create healthy channels for communication and
solidarity with the refugees, maybe because it sees them as a secondary matter
that comes after the military and political priorities.
We must also keep in mind that Syrian refugees are influenced by the divisions
in Lebanon between two political factions with opposing views about the regime,
as well as the remarkable decrease in aid and grants allocated to protect the
refugees and empower them. All these factors give us a glance of the options
those refugees have in Lebanon.
The suffering of Syrian refugees, their degraded life conditions, the growing
humiliation and abuse they are facing, can be classified as a human disaster.
But when we look at the causes and results of the crisis, we see a political
matter.
In other words, it’s imperative to take care of those refugees and pressure
towards meeting their human needs, but it’s not sufficient, as long as there are
no political efforts to put an end to the Syrian conflict, kick out foreign
forces, and address the ongoing conflict in accordance with the UN Resolution
number 2254, calling for imposing a solution that meets the expectations and
protect the rights of Syrians, and provide the security, political, and economic
conditions that motivate millions of Syrians to return to their homeland.
The 'Valdai' Club and Russia's Ambition for a New World
Order
Ramzy Ezzeldin Ramzy/Asharq Al Awsat/November 12/2022
The Valdai Club has just concluded its nineteenth annual conference. Usually, it
is an event where participants from around the world converge in Russia, to
exchange views with Russian officials and experts on the state of the world and
Russia’s role therein.
This time round matters were somewhat different coming amidst the Ukraine
crisis. So the usual array of experts on Russia from the west shied away. In
fact, since 2014 western participation has been steadily declining. Only a
handful of academics, mostly Marxist showed up with a nostalgia for the Soviet
era. The only exception was the remote participation of two prominent American
academics and a conservative think tanker.
As is the tradition, President Putin spoke before the conference, spending some
four hours, mostly answering questions. He seemed confident, relaxed, and keen
to engage in debate with the audience.
President Putin was preceded by a number of senior officials from the
government, most notably Foreign Minister Lavrov, Deputy Prime Minister Novak
and Presidential Advisor Oreishkin.
The conference thus provided a window into official Russian thinking about not
only how they want the world to view their present domestic situation, but also
how Moscow relates to the international situation. But more importantly how the
government hopes to shape the future.
The message was clear. Russia is not only confident, but defiant. It is also
optimistic about the future.
As to the present, the Russian economy has proven to be resilient. What was
referred to as the “ Sanctions Blitzkrieg” from the West has failed to cause the
collapse of the economy. In fact, the rubble strengthened by 40 %.
Also Russia is not isolated. This was an important point to emphasize given the
setback Moscow suffered at the UN General Assembly recently on the resolutions
on Ukraine. It has friends everywhere. Certainly in China and developing
countries. But also in the west. Not the elite as President Putin mentioned, but
among those who share “ traditional values “ with Russia. Probably a euphemism
for the more conservative segments of western societies and the right-wing
parties that represent them.
Concerning the future, Moscow sees the world as inevitably and irreversibly
moving towards Multipolarity with new “ center's of power “ emerging. US
hegemony is ending. But the West is resisting change.
A Third World War may have already begun, but this time around it does not
necessarily involve the use of arms, but rather a whole array of weapons from
cyberwar, sanctions, food, energy, etc…
What was striking was the revival, by both the Russian officials and
participants as well as some of the foreign participants of jargon lifted from
the Soviet era playbook. Globalization was described as a neo-colonial ploy to
perpetuate the domination by the “ imperialist west “ of developing countries
and the international economy. However, once the West achieved its objectives,
it started to undermine globalization through a series of measures such as
imposing sanctions, trade barriers, and restricting financial flows.
The message to developing countries is specific. The West has exploited you
twice by plundering your resources: once through imperialism and now by
globalization. It was therefore time for the developing countries to join forces
with both Russia and China to establish a more balanced and equitable multipolar
international order.
True to the Russian sense of exceptionalism and messianic streak, Russia offers
the world spiritual purity in the form of a new international order based on
honesty and justice.
Contrary to the Biden National Security Strategy issued in early October which
stipulated that Globalization “ needs adjustment “, Russia considers it in its
last throws. It just needs to be nudged to its total collapse.
As to how to establish the new order, a number of ideas were presented.
First, the need to resist the notion of the “ rule-based international order
“which the West employs to undermine the principle of non-interference in the
domestic affairs of states. What is required is to uphold the UN Charter which
respects the free choice of every country to determine its own future.
Second, the reform of the United Nations, in particular the Security Council. In
this regard, the Russian position was clear: expansion of membership, in
particular the permanent one, should be confined to developing countries in
Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Also, Russia is open to discussing the working
methods of the Council to ensure that is able to better discharge its
responsibilities. However, there can be no compromise on the veto power of the
five permanent members.
Likewise the Bretton Woods institutions the World Bank and the IMF need reform
to better reflect the new configuration of economic power.
Third, it is necessary to revamp the international financial system by
diminishing the dependency on the US dollar as the international reserve
currency. While it was acknowledged that is a steep slope, it was possible.
President Putin indicated that Russia is increasingly conducting its trade with
China, India, and others in local currencies, suggesting if other countries
follow suit, the dollar will no longer hold sway over the international
financial system.
Fourth, Regionalization was presented as the best means to achieve the new world
order. Existing regional arrangements need to be enlarged and consolidated. They
also need to cooperate amongst themselves. This was particularly true in the
Eurasian space where Russia, China, and India would be the main pillars. In this
regard there was an emphasis on eastern Eurasia is probably designed to offer an
alternative to the United States' vision of an Indo- Pacific space.
The Eurasian Economic Union and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization SCO were
singled out. Also, BRICS was also presented as a promising inter-regional
arrangement that can support regional arrangements.
The accent on Eurasia makes sense for Russia, as it is the only country that
straddles both Europe and Asia and, therefore can have an advantageous position
in any economic arrangements in this space.
But while Russia, at this stage, is emphasizing eastern Eurasia, it appears to
leave the door open for Europe to join, provided that it is able to achieve
strategic autonomy from the United States.
As to Ukraine, the narrative remained the same. The 2014 coup d'état is
responsible for where we are today. Kiev did not respect the Minsk Accords and
was continuously shelling the Donbas. Russia needed to act before Ukraine, which
had been amassing weapons from the west, was going to take action against the
Donbas.
However, what is interesting is that some Russian participants acknowledged that
mistakes were made concerning Ukraine. Basically underestimating the will of the
Ukrainians to fight ( implicit acknowledgment of Ukrainian nationalism which is
contrary to the official Russian position which considers the two countries as
one nation ) and the extent to which the west was prepared to go to support
Ukraine.
Probably even more interesting is that in response to a question about the goals
Russia aspires to achieve from its “ special military operation “ in Ukraine,
President Putin stated, “But the plan was there, and the goal is to help the
people of Donbas. This is the premise under which we are operating”. There was
no mention of the two other provinces Kherson and Zaporizhia which were “
incorporated” in Russia.
What also appeared to be clear was a sense of resignation that the crisis in
Ukraine will not be resolved anytime soon and that Russia although prepared for
such an eventuality, was prepared to negotiate without delay.
In conclusion, while some of the main features of the proposed new order are
clear, others require elaboration, particularly those that relate to cooperation
between the various existing economic groupings and then between them and the
inter-regional ones. The challenge is to articulate these elements in a coherent
vision and convince both China and influential developing countries to
participate in transforming such a vision into a plan of action.
**Former Egyptian Ambassador and Senior UN official.
Post-Sudani government disasters foretold
Ibrahim al-Zobeidi/The Arab Weekly/November 12/2022
You cannot say the Iraqis know what they are doing, especially in light of the
pro-Iranian Coordination Framework kind of system produced by the failure of
Moqtada al-Sadr and the withdrawal of his faction from parliament and the whole
political process. Sadr has in fact handed over the country and its people to
his brothers in the Shia camp and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards to do with as
what they wish, without accountability or oversight.
Although this is the first time in the history of governments that leading
ministers have been chosen from terrorist-classified militias, the United States
and European and Arab countries welcomed this new government and expressed
confidence that it would usher in security, peace and tranquility for the Iraqi
people and for all of their neighbours.
They extended to this government a warm welcome even though they know a lot
about its realities and about Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani in particular.
Can it be that these foreign governments do not see the other side of the Sudani
government which Iraqi citizens can see? Do they not know, as Iraqis do, who is
behind Sudani and the coming storms that await the country?
Those entitled to be pleased with this government are Iran's Basij and
Revolutionary Guards, not Iranian protesters.
This is because today Iran’s regime in dire need of an Iraq free of
demonstrations, uprisings, sit-ins and rocket strikes. It wants no distraction
as it deals with its own internal crisis.
Iran is expected to be hypocritical and not to speak the truth about this
government, even if it is Tehran that defeated Moqtada al-Sadr, ordering him to
withdraw from parliament and the entire political process and to bequeath his 73
parliamentary seats to his brothers in the Shia camp.
But what excuses do the United States or European and Arab governments have when
they claim that Sudani is a man of peace, that he is the leader of the march of
independence from Iranian tutelage and the flag bearer of justice, integrity and
fighting corruption?
From the moment he entered premier’s office, he started digging up the files on
Mustafa al-Kadhimi, to take his revenge on his predecessor and senior officials
in his entourage. Part of his agenda is to strike with an iron fist at those
petty thieves who thought themselves entitled to practice embezzlement without a
license from the supreme Shia authority, the US or Iran.
These are the red lines for Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani not to cross. He cannot go
after corruption, embezzlers, killers and smugglers beyond those targeted by
Kadhimi. He cannot unearth the files of Adel Abdul-Mahdi, Haider al-Abadi nor
Nuri al-Maliki, who can remove him from office when they want.
It is inconceivable that those who welcomed Sudani and pledged to cooperate with
his government did not know that the Popular Mobilisation Forces had ordered the
army affiliated with the Sudani government to leave Baghdad and other major
cities, in order to keep security, defence and intelligence in the hands of Abu
Fadak, Abu Ali al-Askari, Qais al-Khazali and pro-Iranian militias as they
prepare for the looming showdown. What took place in Baghdad is a silent
military coup that does not say its name. Yes, calm has returned to Iraq, but
after the PMF and Nuri al-Maliki were able to take possession of the state, the
army, the ministries of interior and defence, as well as money, oil,
transportation and intelligence services.
After this government assumes office, there are two possibilities. Either the
Iranian protesters eventually win and in that case Iraq will witness an armed
invasion more sweeping than the US invasion of 2003.
The brigades of the Revolutionary Guards fleeing the Iranian people will flow
in, to establish Iraq as a base from which to fight the new Iranian regime and
the Wilayat al-Faqih will be established in Iraq.
But if the Revolutionary Guards and the Basij are able to crush the uprising of
millions, then Wilayat al-Faqih will turn Iraq into a pool of blood retaliating
against the clerical regime’s enemies. Iraq will then become another Iran or a
new Yemen.
Did not the head of the Popular Mobilisation Forces, Faleh al-Fayyad, say,
during a meeting with the Commander-in-Chief of the Iranian Revolutionary
Guards, Hossein Salami, that "the experience of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards
should be adapted to Iraqi laws and characteristics"?
Will those who were quick to welcome the Sudani government eventually see what
the Iraqi citizen sees and realise the meaning of the new Dawa Party government
being in power? Can they foresee the disasters and confrontations ahead? That is
the question.