English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For November 08/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the
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Bible Quotations For today
Make My joy complete: be of the same
mind, having the same love, being in full accord and of one mind. Do nothing
from selfish ambition or conceit, but in humility regard others as better than
yourselves
Letter to the Philippians 02/01-11:”If then there
is any encouragement in Christ, any consolation from love, any sharing in the
Spirit, any compassion and sympathy, make my joy complete: be of the same mind,
having the same love, being in full accord and of one mind. Do nothing from
selfish ambition or conceit, but in humility regard others as better than
yourselves. Let each of you look not to your own interests, but to the interests
of others. Let the same mind be in you that was in Christ Jesus, who, though he
was in the form of God, did not regard equality with God as something to be
exploited, but emptied himself, taking the form of a slave, being born in human
likeness. And being found in human form, he humbled himself and became obedient
to the point of death even death on a cross. Therefore God also highly exalted
him and gave him the name that is above every name, so that at the name of Jesus
every knee should bend, in heaven and on earth and under the earth, and every
tongue should confess that Jesus Christ is Lord, to the glory of God the
Father.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on November 07-08/2021
Amer Fakhoury Foundation Delegation Meets With U.S. Officials in
Washington DC
AFF Delegation Discusses Human Rights Violations in Lebanon and Hezbollah’s
Heavy Influence on the Country
Al-Rahi Slams 'Some Judges' for 'Impeding Port Probe'
Breakthrough Hopes Low as Arab League Delegation Visits Beirut
Miqati Calls Iraq PM over Assassination Bid as Aoun Deplores Attack
'Cypriot of Lebanese Origin' among 6 to be Tried for Alleged Anti-Israeli Plot
Lebanon among Sponsors of U.N. Draft Condemning Attacks on Journalists
Iran's new policy put to the test in Lebanon and Iraq/Mouafac Harb/The Daily
Star/November 07/2021
Amputating Lebanon from the Arab world grants victory to Iran/Baria Alamuddin/Arab
News/November 08/2021
The European-Biden Partnership Must Stop Its Duplicity and Pretenses/Raghida
Dergham/The National/November 07/2021
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
November 07-08/2021
Biden Seeks Right Balance on Iran Pressure as Talks Resume
Iran Begins Annual War Games ahead of Nuke Talks with West
Iran Urges 'Vigilance' after Drone Attack on Iraqi PM
Iraqi PM survives drone attack on his home, in ‘dramatic escalation’ of tensions
Iraqi PM Survives Assassination Bid with Drones
Iraq PM Kadhemi: Former Spy Chief Facing Uncertain Future
U.S. Condemns Attack on Iraq PM as 'Apparent Act of Terrorism'
Saudi Arabia condemns ‘cowardly terrorist’ act that targeted Iraq’s PM
Arab League delegation meets Sudan’ army chief Burhan, ousted PM Hamdok
Canada withdraws Canadian embassy staff’s dependants and non-essential personnel
from Ethiopia
Canada strongly condemns attempted assassination of Iraqi prime minister
Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC
English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
November 07-08/2021
The World Food Program and Elon Musk make governments look bad/Omar Al-Ubaydli/Al
Arabiya/November 07/2021
Divided America is not noticing Joe Biden's victories/Hussein Ibish/The
National/November 07/2021
Harnessing the people’s strength key to Afghanistan’s future/Zaid M. Belbagi/Arab
News/November 08/2021
Turkey toying with idea of new military operation in Syria/Yasar Yakis/Arab
News/November 08/2021
Kadhimi must not become another Rafik Hariri/Faisal J. Abbas/Arab News/November
08/2021
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on November 07-08/2021
Amer Fakhoury Foundation Delegation Meets With U.S. Officials in Washington DC
AFF Delegation Discusses Human Rights Violations in Lebanon and Hezbollah’s
Heavy Influence on the Country
WASHINGTON, DC/November 07/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/103940/%d8%aa%d8%a7%d8%a8%d8%b9-%d9%85%d8%a4%d8%b3%d9%91%d8%b3%d8%a9-%d8%b9%d8%a7%d9%85%d8%b1-%d9%81%d8%a7%d8%ae%d9%88%d8%b1%d9%8a-%d8%aa%d8%ad%d8%b1%d9%91%d9%83%d9%87%d8%a7-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d8%a3%d9%85%d9%8a/
Amer Fakhoury Foundation (AFF) visited the US Capitol to discuss human rights
violations in Lebanon and Hezbollah’s influence on the government.
The delegation included Fakhoury’s daughters, who co-founded the foundation in
his name.
AFF discussed with Ambassador Peterson the violation of human rights under
articles 5, 7, and 19 of the universal declaration of human rights.
Throughout these meetings with US government officials, AFF was asked to provide
insights to a number of key topics including how the Iran-Hezbollah occupation
of Lebanon continues to be core to many of the challenges crippling the
physical, societal, and economic safety of Lebanese citizens. AFF was also asked
to share further on the details of the physical and mental torture Amer Fakhoury
suffered both while in the custody of the Lebanese General Security (LGS) and
later while in a military prison. “The linchpin,” one AFF leader shared, “is
Hezbollah’s direct involvement, unchallenged influence, and unchecked brutality
in both the LGS and military court.”
AFF shared with Congressman Wilson the importance of holding accountable those
responsible for the death of Amer Fakhoury. Congressman Wilson extended his full
cooperation as the Fakhoury family gets justice for their father. He invited AFF
to meet with additional members of congress and share their father’s story. With
AFF’s help, legislators are working to drive reviews under the Leahy and
Magnitsky Acts as Congress looks at matters of US budgeting for civilian and
military aid to Lebanon, accountability, and potential sanctions against
Lebanese officials believed culpable or corrupt.
Finally AFF shared the insight of their lawsuit against Iran and stressed the
danger of holding an election under the occupation of Iran and the presence of
Hezbollah’s militia.
“We look forward to being a part of less torture and the building of a better
Lebanon without corrupted officials”
Picture Enclosed: In Washington, AFF met with Congressman Joe Wilson (R-SC),
Assistant Secretary Ambassador Lisa Peterson from the Department of Human Rights
and Labor (DRL), and Deputy Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs Gillen from the
Special Presidential Envoy for hostages (SPEHA).
Al-Rahi Slams 'Some Judges' for 'Impeding Port Probe'
Naharnet/November 07/2021
Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi on Sunday lamented that "some judges are
increasing suspicions over the judiciary by taking part in impeding, suspending
or freezing the probe into the port bombing or by questioning the work of the
investigative judge."His remarks are apparently targeted against Court of
Appeals judge Habib Mezher who on Thursday suspended Judge Tarek Bitar's probe
in a controversial move. Mezher is reportedly close to Hizbullah and the Amal
Movement, which are both strongly opposed to Bitar's work. "It is a crime when
some judges turn the judiciary into partisan and sectarian squares, especially
in the port and Ain al-Remmaneh cases," al-Rahi decried in his Sunday Mass
sermon. He added: "In the face of the legal violations that we are witnessing,
we wonder whether some judges act at the request of some officials, parties and
sects." "What's happening regarding the probe into the port bombing is really
deplorable: an appeal after an appeal, a recusal request after a recusal request
and a suspension after a suspension, as the souls of the martyrs wait, as the
families of the martyrs wait and as the world waits," the patriarch went on to
say. "Why is there such disregard for the blood of more than 200 victims and
6,000 wounded people, for the destruction of half of Beirut and its suburbs and
for the displacement of hundreds of families?" al-Rahi wondered.
Breakthrough Hopes Low as Arab League Delegation Visits Beirut
Naharnet/November 07/2021
An Arab League delegation led by Assistant Secretary-General Hossam Zaki will
visit Beirut Monday in a bid to resolve Lebanon's row with the Gulf countries,
media reports said. Senior sources meanwhile told the PSP's al-Anbaa news portal
that the delegation is not expected to achieve a breakthrough due to "Hizbullah's
inflexible stance, which is preventing (Information Minister George) Kordahi
from bowing to the desire of (Prime Minister Najib) Miqati," who wants him to
resign to "preserve Lebanon's Arab relations." France, which supports Miqati and
rejects the government's resignation, has meanwhile failed to ease the stern
Saudi and Gulf stance on Lebanon, the sources added. MP Ali Darwish of Miqati's
parliamentary bloc for his part told al-Anbaa that "Miqati's behind-the-scenes
domestic and foreign contacts" are what led to the Arab League delegation's
visit to Lebanon.
The delegation will seek to "lower the levek of tension and start working for a
settlement," Darwish added.
Miqati Calls Iraq PM over Assassination Bid as Aoun Deplores Attack
Naharnet/November 07/2021
President Michel Aoun on Sunday condemned the dawn assassination attempt against
Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhemi, saying it is targeted against
"stability and security in Iraq and the efforts that are being exerted to boost
Iraqi national unity."Prime Minister Najib Miqati meanwhile held phone talks
with Kadhemi to congratulate him on his safety, wishing Iraq "continous security
and stability." Lebanon's Foreign Ministry also said that it strongly condemns
the attack.
'Cypriot of Lebanese Origin' among 6 to be Tried for
Alleged Anti-Israeli Plot
Agence France Presse/November 07/2021
Six people will stand trial in Cyprus on December 6 for allegedly plotting to
attack Israeli businesspeople on the Mediterranean island, police said. The case
prompted Israel to accuse Iran of plotting "terror" attacks against its citizens
in Cyprus. The six face charges of conspiracy to murder, participation in a
criminal organization, terrorism, illegal possession of firearms and circulating
fake documents. Although police have not identified the suspects, four are said
to be food delivery drivers from Pakistan and a Cypriot of Lebanese origin,
according to local media. The case reportedly began with the late September
arrest of another suspect, an "Azeri national" hitman according to local media,
found with a pistol and silencer in his car. On Friday, a Nicosia district court
decided to refer the case to trial before the criminal court next month. The
trial is expected to be held behind closed doors for security reasons, and the
six will remain in police custody until then. The alleged hitman was arrested on
September 27 while crossing from the Turkish occupied north through a Nicosia
checkpoint, where police officers intercepted him after being tipped off. Other
arrests came in the following weeks after police accessed the main suspect's
telecommunications data. A spokesman for Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett
said in early October: "I can clarify on behalf of the security establishment,
that this was an act of terror that was orchestrated by Iran against Israeli
businesspeople living in Cyprus."Cyprus police chief Stelios Papatheodorou has
said there was evidence before the court to prove a plot and a conspiracy to
commit crimes in "this serious case.""There is testimony that leads the police
to file a criminal prosecution against the suspects," he told reporters.
Lebanon among Sponsors of U.N. Draft Condemning Attacks
on Journalists
Associated Press/November 07/2021
A proposed U.N. resolution would "unequivocally" condemn all attacks, reprisals
and violence against journalists and media workers and urge governments to take
action to end the prevailing impunity and punish these crimes. The draft General
Assembly resolution circulated Friday also urges "the immediate and
unconditional release of journalists and media workers who have been arbitrarily
arrested, arbitrarily detained or taken hostage or who have become victims of
enforced disappearances."The resolution was drafted by Greece, France, Austria,
Costa Rica and Tunisia, according to U.N. diplomats, and lists 34 co-sponsors
including the United Kingdom, Germany and many other European and Latin American
countries as well as the Ivory Coast and Lebanon. The United States was not
included on the list, but an official at the U.S. Mission to the United Nations
told The Associated Press the Biden administration has signed on as a
co-sponsor. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because he wasn't
authorized to speak publicly. The draft resolution must first be approved by the
General Assembly's human rights committee and it then needs final approval from
the 193-member world body. Unlike Security Council resolutions, General Assembly
resolutions are not legally binding, but they do reflect global opinion. The
proposed resolution stresses that the right to freedom of opinion and expression
is guaranteed in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. It recognizes the
importance of "free, independent, plural and diverse media and access to
information, online as well as offline, in building inclusive and peaceful
knowledge societies and democracies." And it acknowledges that journalism is
continuously evolving and "contributing to the shaping of public debate."The
draft calls on governments to take legal measures to protect journalists and
media workers and to "do their utmost" to prevent violence, threats and attacks
against them. And it calls on them "to develop and implement effective and
transparent legal frameworks and measures for the protection of journalists and
media workers and for combating impunity."
It stresses the importance of accountability, first by conducting "impartial,
speedy, thorough, independent and effective investigations into all alleged
violence, threats and attacks against journalists and media workers, including
sexual and gender-based violence against women journalists and media workers in
armed conflict and non-conflict situations."The proposed resolution also urges
political leaders, public officials, and government authorities "to refrain from
denigrating, intimidating or threatening the media, including individual
journalists and media workers, or from using misogynist or any discriminatory
language towards women journalists, which thereby undermines trust in the
credibility of journalists as well as respect for the importance of independent
journalism." In addition, the draft would condemn "unequivocally" government
actions aimed at disrupting access to information -- or the dissemination of
information -- online or offline. This aims "to undermine the work of
journalists in informing the public, including through practices such as
Internet shutdowns or measures to unduly restrict, block or take down media
websites, such as denial of service attacks," it says. The proposed resolution
calls on all countries to halt such measures "which cause irreparable harm" to
efforts to build inclusive, peaceful and democratic societies. It also calls on
governments to ensure that defamation and libel laws are not misused.
Iran's new policy put to the test in Lebanon and Iraq
Mouafac Harb/The Daily Star/November 07/2021
The way Iran will approach the results of the upcoming Iraqi and Lebanese
parliamentary elections through their allies will signal whether Tehran will
pursue a more assertive foreign policy or a reconciliatory one with Arab and
Western capitals.
For years, Iran watchers tried to read between the lines in order to understand
the real policies of the spiritual guide, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who holds
absolute power, and conflicting statements by the official policy of the Islamic
Republic articulated by the elected president and his foreign minister. The
election of President Ebrahim Raisi, who is close to the spiritual guide and
known to be a hard-liner domestically and internationally, will make this
distinction between the spiritual guide and the president almost non-existing.
So for the first time the game played by Iran to determine who is a moderate and
who is a hawk is no longer viable.
This harmony between the presidency and the spiritual guide will shift to the
rivalry between the IRCG and the Iranian Intelligence Ministry, Itilaat. Lebanon
is known to fall under the direct influence of IRCG's Quds Brigade, while in
Iraq Itilaat is more active especially after the assassination of the iconic
Quds Brigade leader Gen. Qasem Soleimani in an American raid. Hence, the
conflicting signals coming from Tehran to their various proxies and allies in
Iraq.
Lebanon is less complicated. Tehran has one trusted ally that complies with the
overall Iranian agenda and provides it with a domestic Lebanese external shell
that would make Hezbollah appear as a local player defending Lebanese interests.
It is obvious that the new Raisi administration wants to consolidate Iranian
gains in the region while it is negotiating with Western powers and trying to
mend relations with Arab Gulf countries, which are constantly worried by
Iranians subversion activities.
In Iraq, Tehran may wish to see a change in the premiership following the
parliamentary election this month. Reports coming from Baghdad reveal that
Tehran prefers to see a new prime minister closer to its evolving agenda and has
already conveyed this message to its close allies. Following the assassination
of Soleimani, Itilaat gained more leverage in Baghdad, but with Raisi now on top
of the Iranian government, Tehran wants to see a change. Iraqis who maintain
good relations with Iran are feeling that the IRCG is reclaiming its influence
in Tehran.
In Lebanon, Hezbollah appears to be more public and open about its intentions
and pursuing a no-glove attitude. For years, Hezbollah tried to maintain a
political posture as a protector and preserving the resistance against Israel.
Recently, Hezbollah is meddling in an open manner with domestic politics. The
recent expression of dissatisfaction of Judge Tarek Bitar, investigating the
Beirut Port explosion, and the import of Iranian fuel into Lebanon are clear
signals that Hezbollah is shifting from being influential behind the scenes into
telling the world who is calling the shots in Beirut.
Lebanon, who is facing a severe economic crisis, is expected to hold
parliamentary elections and embark on tough negotiations with the World Bank and
IMF to secure needed loans. In both events Hezbollah has its own views and wants
to make sure that the outcome of both processes would not jeopardize its
influence in Lebanon. With Washington and NATO out of Afghanistan and the US
reducing its military presence in Iraq and the Gulf region, Iran may feel it can
negotiate with less pressure from the days when the US military was at its
borders.
The looming threat is what Israel sees as an acceptable level of uranium
enrichment by Iran. To what extent would Israel be willing to tolerate Iran's
nuclear moves before carrying its bombing threat?
The next few months are going to be key in the negotiations between Iran and the
Western powers with each side holding tight to its demands and negotiating
cards.
Mouafac Harb is a veteran American-Lebanese journalist based in Beirut. He
contributes a weekly column in The Daily Star.
Amputating Lebanon from the Arab world grants victory to
Iran
Baria Alamuddin/Arab News/November 08/2021
The dismissive retort of Lebanon’s ridiculous Foreign Minister Abdullah Bou
Habib to GCC proposals for addressing the latest crisis was: “If they just want
Hezbollah’s head on a plate, we can’t give them that.” Healso ludicrously blamed
Saudi Arabia for Hezbollah flooding the Gulf states with narcotics. Such was
BouHabib’s volley of abuse that he may need to serve up his own head on a plate
if there is to be any hope of salvaging this shattered relationship.
The logic of abandoning Hezbollah and Lebanon to drown together, as advocated by
some Arab opinion leaders, may appear seductive. However, this would be
disastrously counterproductive. Gaza was abandoned to Hamas; the economy
collapsed and people starved, but Hamas entrenched its monopoly. Gulf states
disassociated themselves from post-2003 Iraq, surrendering it to Tehran. Arab
abandonment of Syria rendered it a hellish playground for
Iranian-Hezbollah-Russian interests. Lebanon would be the cherry on the cake for
Iranian dominance of the Arab world. And once it is given away, wresting it back
will be no easy feat.
Hezbollah is Tehran’s Trojan horse for colonizing the Arab world. We must
dismantle it, not welcome it in. The Houthis in Yemen thrived thanks to
Hezbollah training and support. Hezbollah waded through a river of Syrian Arab
blood to maintain Tehran’s puppet in power, with Hezbollah deputy leader Naim
Qassim now threatening to send additional Hezbollah forces back to Syria.
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is the idol of thousands of bearded Hashd
thugs in Iraq — and after their recent electoral wipeout, Tehran wants Hezbollah
to play an even more direct role.
The international community is wrong to consider Lebanon in isolation. In the
context of escalating stakes in Iran’s game of nuclear brinkmanship, Hezbollah
is just one of the cards in Tehran’s efforts to dominate the region, buttressed
by nuclear and ballistic weapons. If we are to abandon Lebanon, we may as well
go the whole way and recognise Ayatollah Khamenei as Supreme Leader over the
entire region.
Iran and Hezbollah made inroads only because of the eclipse of Arab nationalism
— the belief that Arabs should stand together locally and on the world stage.
From Jerusalem to Sanaa, from Baghdad to Beirut, we should treat every inch of
Arab territory as sacrosanct and worth fighting for, particularly when UN
institutions, international law and multilateral forums are under sustained
attack. Every scrap of territory we relinquish only makes our enemies hungry for
more. With the Arab world’s mighty collective resources, the challenges posed by
tiny Lebanon and hostile Iranian encroachment should be well within our
capabilities. Let’s not rip our own heart out. The Arab world without Beirut —
without the Lebanon of Khalil Gibran, Mikhail Naimy, Fairuz — is inconceivable.
Generations of Khaleejis flocked to Lebanon and fell in love with the country
and its people, which is why so many are blessed with Lebanese mothers! The
largely Kuwaiti-owned town of Bhamdoun, near Beirut, is a microcosm of this
seamless Lebanese-Khaleej relationship. Generations of Arabs were raised on
Lebanese films and TV, art, music, poetry, and boundless creativity.
Lebanon’s cultural renaissance since the civil war was achieved thanks to vast
GCC investment. Its economy thrived thanks to millions of Arab visitors every
year, with tens of billions of dollars of investment in banking, telecoms,
media, infrastructure, culture and the military. Diaspora remittances amount to
about $7 billion a year, $2.2 billion from Saudi Arabia alone, and Lebanese
assets in Saudi Arabia are worth about $100billion. Eighty percent of Lebanese
fruit and vegetable exports went to Saudi Arabia until Nasrallah turned Lebanon
into a narco state.
This is not about gratitude, but rather a hard-headed understanding of the
foundations of Lebanon’s past and future prosperity. The transformation into an
Iranian appendage was always fated to fail. Aside from lavishing funds on
Hezbollah, would — or could — Tehran supply the merest fraction of Gulf
investment in Lebanon? The trickle of Iranian tourists encouraged by Hezbollah
have minuscule spending power compared with their Gulf predecessors.
Other than in Houthi-land, where George Kordahi is hailed a hero (his family
must be so proud!) Lebanon’s hapless information minister is a nobody who once
had a lucky break via a Saudi TV channel. The problem is infinitely larger than
his bigoted views. Virulent anti-Gulf propaganda has been pumped out for decades
by Al-Manar and dozens of other Iran-sponsored Beirut media channels. The damage
is entirely to Lebanon, cutting off its nose to spite its face in gratuitous
self-mutilation against Lebanon’s Arab identity.
GCC political leaders and intellectuals I speak to aren’t so much angry as
puzzled and saddened. They have lifelong ties with Lebanon and instinctively
desire to help. But how can you assist someone who is destroying themselves and
doesn’t want to be rescued?
Lebanon’s criminal leaders are beyond redemption (not just Hezbollah – kullun!),
but Lebanon’s citizens — Christian, Shiite, Druze, Sunni — are Arab to the bone.
They know where their interests lie. They know what severing ties with the Arab
world has cost them. They all have brothers, uncles, sons in Gulf and Arab
states, and so retain intimate material and emotional connections to the Arab
world.
Lebanon is drowning but it is not lost. Particularly with elections just months
away and a vigorous upswell of progressive anti-sectarian independents arising
from the 2019 movement, there is everything to play for. Hashd electoral losses
in Iraq demonstrate how public anger can be translated into political losses for
Iranian proxies. In Lebanon, Hezbollah’s political dominance is wholly reliant
upon hollowed-out Christian factions whose support base has cratered.
Lebanese citizens who lost everything are desperately looking for a savior. Arab
states can use the elections to toss Lebanon a lifeline. If citizens elect new
and non-discredited leaders who can marginalize Hezbollah then the GCC will
fully re-engage, while also encouraging international donors such as the IMF to
refloat the economy. This is a vision that every patriotic Lebanese citizen can
rally around, simultaneously giving them a reason to participate in the
democratic process, providing an exit route from their hellish situation, and
sweeping aside these ridiculous, hated figures who have dominated Lebanese
politics for decades too long. The Lebanese Arab nation today is held hostage,
with Hassan Nasrallah pointing a gun to her head. Will the Arab world hasten to
Lebanon’s rescue? *Baria Alamuddin is an award-winning journalist and
broadcaster in the Middle East and the UK. She is editor of the Media Services
Syndicate and has interviewed numerous heads of state.
The European-Biden Partnership Must Stop Its Duplicity and
Pretenses
Raghida Dergham/The National/November 07/2021
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Proudly wearing an Iranian cloak, Europe has enchanted the US president, who has
bound himself to the cause of lobbying the continent and NATO behind his vision
for transatlantic political and security partnership against myriad major
challenges led by China. President Joe Biden is deferring to the scattered
leaders of Europe, following their lead instead of them following his, in what
is an unusual shift in the dynamic of Euro-American relations. Yet this could be
a blip in the long-term relations between the two sides, because it would be
difficult to imagine the US sitting in the backseat of a car driven by a
continent fragmented in its economy, policy, wealth, and resources. But Europe
has lost the moral compass of the values it once claimed to have, seeing its
relations with Iran as leverage with the Biden administration. The continent’s
main powers have decided their interests are best served by caving to Iran, even
as it tramples the sovereignty and dignity of countries of whom Europe claims to
be a friend, led by Lebanon. The danger of this European duplicity requires the
Vatican to exceptionally intervene and help stop the terrifying political,
humanitarian, and legal deterioration in Lebanon, which has fallen into the same
Iranian hands that Europe’s leaders are kissing today. Only the Vatican can
influence the European powers, President Biden, and even Russia, as well as the
Arab countries’ and Lebanon’s powerful actors to rescue the country from Iranian
designs, enabled by Russia, China, the US, and Europe all for the sake of the
nuclear negotiations.
It is clear now that the P5+1 countries (the US, China, Russia, Britain, France,
and Germany) have fully agreed to Iran’s conditions that categorically oppose
any discussion of its regional behavior in the Vienna talks seeking to revive
the JCPOA. The European powers are still hoping to convince Iran’s leaders to
discuss the long-range ballistic missile program, but not the short and
intermediate range missiles that they do not care much for. However, the
European leaders have no intention to insist on any discussion of Iran’s
regional behavior, despite its threat to other countries’ sovereignty.
The moral duplicity of Europe’s leaders has been laid bare in Lebanon, including
through their public positions on Iran’s proxy in Lebanon, Hezbollah.
Ultimately, Tehran is the main force behind Hezbollah’s seizure of the levers of
the Lebanese state and its siege upon its judiciary. The verbal concern feigned
by Europe or any support expressed by it is nothing but a political lie, as long
as the European leaders yield – and convince Washington to yield – to Tehran’s
negotiating diktats and blackmail, and insistence on rejecting any linkage
between the Vienna nuclear talks and Iran’s regional policies.
On the ground, the European powers and Biden’s team have pledged that neither
them nor the Biden administration will compromise on their nuclear priority,
that their stances on Iran’s regional policies will not got beyond verbal
maligning, and that they will not push back against them as long as the nuclear
talks continue. In other words, any deal with Iran will not be exclusively a
nuclear deal but will also be a regional deal: As long as the nuclear talks
continue – even if they were to last years – the European leaders and the Biden
administration will not meddle with Iran’s regional project, no matter the cost,
because they have voluntarily become hostage to Iranian extortion.
The Biden administration has agreed to re-launch talks with Iran in Vienna on 29
November. The JCPOA may be revived before the year ends and serve as a farewell
present to German Chancellor Angela Merkel and her absolute determination to
appease Iran for the sake of the deal. The negotiations may accelerate, due to
this and Tehran’s need for the sanctions to be lifted and Europe’s rush to
benefit from the windfall. Or they may prove thorny and last longer than Biden
and his team want them to. But because he is in a rush, Joe Biden may make
further concessions, with the encouragement of Merkel, who wants to add this
achievement to her legacy as she leaves office by the end of the year.
Mr Biden discussed the Iranian question with his European counterparts in Rome
and Glasgow in the past two weeks in light of two key developments: First, the
result of US local elections, which carried a message of popular resentment
against the Democrats and President Biden, alerting them to the need to refocus
their attention on the domestic arena. Subsequently, the administration, already
enamored with Europe, has decided the time has come to fully turn the page on
the hostility shown by former President Trump to the continent, by caving to
European demands instead of pursuing an independent front against Iran. Second,
the Biden administration believes that reaching a deal with Iran will give it a
precious foreign policy win that will efface its chaotic withdrawal from
Afghanistan, otherwise foreign policy developments would continue to greatly
damage the president’s agenda.
These trends in the US however are causing resentment not just among Republicans
but also Democrats over Joe Biden’s lack of strategic thinking and firm
positions and focus on tactical steps. There are concerns that Joe Biden has no
opinions of his own and that he is too impressionable, easily influenced by the
last person in the room, evidenced by his deference to European pressures. All
this suggests there is a serious struggle within the US leadership, where some
quarters believe Biden’s surrender to European pressures strengthen Iran’s hands
in the nuclear talks and in the region, leaving America at a loss and Iran in a
winning position at both levels.
The Biden administration’s appeasement of Iran and the Europeans does not
constitute a policy. Rushing to close off the Iranian question without a vision
or strategy, while turning a blind eye to Iran’s actions in the region, is a
dangerous policy, responsibility for which the Europeans intend to avoid and
dump on Washington. In other words, the European powers want to turn the problem
into an American-Iranian one, having realized that they are weak and toothless
states whose only leverage is the ability to pressure Joe Biden and his
administration.
Some in Washington have started to resist the European aggressive lobbying on
behalf of Iran, which has exploited the emerging Bidenism, undermining US
interests and giving Iran a blank check to assail Arab countries. The US
military establishment is not satisfied with the performance of the Biden
administration and its tactics yet is unwilling to give the Gulf region on a
silver latter to Iran. The Republican Party also has started scrutinizing some
of the policies of the Biden administration vis-à-vis the region’s crises, which
have given the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps and Hezbollah instruments to
dominate countries, such as Lebanon.
Even Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati, who came to power with Hezbollah’s
consent to lead a government dominated by the Lebanese militant party, is fed up
of the obstructionism and unilateralism being unleashed on his government from
“within”, and is pushing back against “interference by the cabinet in the work
of the judiciary” pursued by Hezbollah and Amal, the Shia Duo\. Mikati is a
prime minister who cannot even convince a rogue minister to put the national
interest above his arrogance, refusing to resign or backtrack on his positions
against Saudi Arabia and the UAE, or even his ignorant views on Yemen. George
Kordahi has taken the country and government hostage on behalf of Hezbollah and
its allies in the Marada Movement and the Syrian regime, exactly because he
knows that no European state will object and that the Biden administration will
not come to Lebanon’s rescue against Iran. The Biden administration has after
all decided that handing over a small country like Lebanon to Iran is an
acceptable price to pay for the sake of the deal with Iran.
But neither the Biden administration nor the European powers have a right to
sacrifice a country for the sake of their policies and interests, or to cover up
their weakness and their betrayal of their own values. Let them negotiate with
Iran on its nuclear program and reject including Iran’s malign regional
activities but they have no authority to enable Iran and its proxies to spread
destruction in Lebanon and elsewhere. It is time to expose the direct link
between the nuclear negotiations and the blank check given by Europe and the
Biden administration to Iran, by adopting cowardly positions to safeguard the
Vienna talks, and giving Iran the time it needs to complete its insidious
projects.
Once again, Lebanon has no savior but the Vatican. Here, we do not mean prayers
but a serious initiative towards Washington and the European capitals, even if
just to instill a little sense of shame in their policies.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
November 07-08/2021
Biden Seeks Right Balance on Iran Pressure as Talks
Resume
Agence France Presse/November 07/2021
With nuclear talks set to resume this month with Iran, an increasingly skeptical
U.S. President Joe Biden is seeking the right balance between threats and
incentives to bring Tehran back into compliance with a 2015 deal. Iran has
agreed to resume talks on November 29 with world powers after a five-month gap
to salvage the agreement in which it promised to scale back nuclear work
drastically in return for economic relief. Much has changed since the talks
broke off in June, notably Iran's election of an ultraconservative president,
Ebrahim Raisi. During the break, Iran has kept pursuing its nuclear work,
leading even Western supporters of the 2015 accord to warn that the deal could
become useless due to Tehran's advances. "The Biden administration has to walk a
fine line between demonstrating to Iran that Tehran will benefit from sanctions
relief if the deal is restored, while not giving in to Iranian leverage," said
Kelsey Davenport, director for nonproliferation policy at the Arms Control
Association. "The United States cannot reward Iran for continuing to violate the
nuclear deal," she said, while adding that the Biden administration also needs
to show "concrete and immediate benefits." Biden entered the talks in Vienna --
held indirectly, with Iran refusing direct meetings with U.S. envoy Rob Malley
-- in hopes of a quick revival of the agreement from which former president
Donald Trump withdrew the United States. Trump slapped sweeping sanctions on
Iran, including a unilateral ban on its oil exports, leading Iran to move away
from its commitments.
Call for assurances
In one key point of friction, Iran is seeking a lifting of all sanctions while
the Biden administration says the only measures on the table are those imposed
by Trump over the nuclear program when exiting the deal. But the task is not
simple as the Trump administration in its final months duplicated many sanctions
on Iran, so measures taken over nuclear work are also in force over other
concerns. Iran, for its part, wants a guarantee that the United States will
maintain its commitments -- an unlikely promise for Biden, whose rivals in
Trump's Republican Party have made no secret that they would shift course if
they win back the White House in 2024. Biden, nonetheless, appeared to hint at
such a promise in a joint statement Saturday on the sidelines of a Group of 20
summit in Rome with the leaders of Britain, France and Germany -- nations that,
along with Russia and China, remain part of the nuclear deal, formally known as
the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. The three European leaders said they
"welcome President Biden's clearly demonstrated commitment to return the US to
full compliance with the JCPOA and to stay in full compliance, so long as Iran
does the same."Russia's ambassador to international organizations in Vienna,
Mikhail Ulyanov, called Biden's pledge "a significant step towards assurances
and guarantees Iran is looking for."
- War threats -
But Western nations have increasingly questioned whether Raisi, as well as
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, are interested in maintaining the accord and will
watch carefully in Vienna to see how Iran negotiates. In a sharp shift in tone
last month, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that the United States had
"all options" available as he sat next to Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid,
who openly warned of a military attack. In an opinion piece that drew wide
notice, Dennis Ross, a veteran Middle East adviser to Democratic presidents,
said that the United States needed to keep the threat of war on the table for
successful negotiations. "If the United States wants to reduce the risk of a
conflict and give diplomacy a chance to succeed, the Biden administration is
going to have to restore Iran's fear of a US reaction and apply pressure far
more effectively," he wrote in Foreign Policy. Adam Schiff, a Democrat who heads
the House intelligence committee, warned in an appearance this week that
Congress could reimpose sanctions if Iran does not budge. Davenport, however,
said there was no military solution and that there was fatigue on sanctions,
with China unlikely to cut back on its oil purchases from Iran. If Iran will not
return to compliance, Biden could instead pursue a short-term deal that includes
modest sanctions relief for a freeze on sensitive activities, she said. "The
United States has other options, but none of them are good," she said.
Iran Begins Annual War Games ahead of Nuke Talks with
West
Associated Press/November 07/2021
Iran's military began its annual war games in a coastal area of the Gulf of
Oman, state TV reported Sunday, less than a month before upcoming nuclear talks
with the West. The report said navy and air force units as well as ground forces
were participating in a more than 1 million square-kilometer area east of the
strategic Strait of Hormuz.Nearly 20% of all oil shipping passes through the
strait to the Gulf of Oman and Indian Ocean. The drill comes amid heightened
tensions between Iran and the U.S. in the wake of former President Donald
Trump's unilateral withdrawal of America from Iran's 2015 nuclear deal with
world powers. State TV said brigades including commandos and airborne infantry
deployed for the annual exercise. Fighter jets, helicopters, military transport
aircraft, submarines and drones were also expected to take part in the drill. It
wasn't immediately clear how long the exercise would last.
Dubbed "Zolfaghar-1400," the war games are aimed at "improving readiness in
confronting foreign threats and any possible invasion," state TV said. U.S.
officials said last week that Iran had seized a Vietnamese-flagged oil tanker in
the Gulf of Oman last month and was still holding the vessel in its port. Iran
offered conflicting accounts of what happened, claiming that elite Revolutionary
Guard commandos had thwarted a U.S. seizure of a tanker carrying Iranian oil in
the Gulf of Oman and freed the vessel. It aired dramatic footage on state
television but did not further explain the incident. The nuclear deal, known as
the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, promises Iran economic
incentives in exchange for limits on its nuclear program, and is meant to
prevent Tehran from developing a nuclear bomb. After the U.S. withdrew from the
deal in 2018 and restored sanctions on Iran, the Islamic Republic gradually —
and publicly — abandoned the deal's limits on its nuclear development. Iran says
its stockpile of 20% enriched uranium has reached over 210 kilograms (463
pounds), the latest defiant move ahead of upcoming nuclear talks with the West.
Under the historic nuclear deal, Iran was prohibited from enriching uranium
above 3.67%. Enriched uranium above 90% can be used for nuclear weapons, though
Tehran insists its nuclear program is peaceful. After months of delays, the
European Union, Iran and the U.S. announced last week that indirect talks to
resuscitate the deal would resume Nov. 29 in Vienna.
Iran Urges 'Vigilance' after Drone Attack on
Iraqi PM
Agence France Presse/November 07/2021
Iran on Sunday said it condemned a drone attack targeting Iraqi Prime Minister
Mustafa al-Kadhemi and urged "vigilance to foil plots aimed at the security and
development" of his country. Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Said Khatibzadeh
directed blame at the United States, which led the 2003 invasion of Iraq and
toppled dictator Saddam Hussein, kicking off years of sectarian conflict. "Such
incidents are in the interest of those who have violated the stability,
security, independence and territorial integrity of Iraq over the past 18
years," said Khatibzadeh. "They have sought to achieve their sinister regional
goals by creating terrorist groups that seek to cause sedition," he added. The
overnight drone attack, which was not immediately claimed, was the first to
target the residence of Kadhemi, in power since May 2020, who was not harmed. It
comes at a time when political parties are negotiating to form parliamentary
coalitions based on the preliminary results of October 10 legislative elections.
Iraqi PM survives drone attack on his home, in ‘dramatic
escalation’ of tensions
The Arab Weekly/November 07/2021
BAGHDAD--Iraq’s Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi survived an assassination
attempt with armed drones that targeted his residence early Sunday. The attack
was a major escalation amid tensions sparked by the refusal of Iran-backed
militias to accept last month’s parliamentary election results.Iraq’s Prime
Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi said he was unhurt and appealed for “calm and
restraint” after the drone attack on his residence. The attack in Baghdad’s
Green Zone was the first to target the residence of Kadhimi, who has been in
power since May 2020. It came as Iraq’s political parties negotiate alliances
over who will run the next government after elections last month. “The
assassination attempt is a dramatic escalation, crossing a line in unprecedented
fashion that may have violent reverberations,” wrote Ranj Alaaldin, a
nonresident fellow at the Brookings Institution, in a post on Twitter. That
October vote saw the Conquest (Fatah) Alliance, the political arm of the
pro-Iran Hashed al-Shaabi paramilitary network, suffer a substantial decline in
its parliamentary seats, leading the group to denounce the outcome as “fraud”.
The big winner, with more than 70 seats according to the initial count, was the
movement of Moqtada al-Sadr, a Shia Muslim cleric who campaigned as a
nationalist and critic of Iran although not a nemesis of Tehran. No group has
yet claimed responsibility for Sunday’s attack, which left two bodyguards
wounded, according to a security source. Gunfire sounded and smoke was seen
rising from the Green Zone area after the strike. Photos issued by Kadhimi’s
office showed debris strewn on the ground below a damaged exterior stairway and
a door that had been dislodged. In a tweet, Kadhimi called “for calm and
restraint on the part of everyone for the good of Iraq”. “My residence has been
the target of a cowardly assault. Praise God, I am fine and so are those who
work with me,” he then said in a short video shared on social media. His office
described the attack as a “failed assassination attempt”.
“Apparent act of terrorism”
The United States, which has around 2,500 troops in the country, said it was
“relieved to learn the Prime Minister was unharmed”. “This apparent act of
terrorism, which we strongly condemn, was directed at the heart of the Iraqi
state,” State Department spokesman Ned Price said. The US had offered assistance
to Iraqi security forces investigating the strike, he added in a statement.
Iraq’s President Barham Salih, who holds a largely ceremonial role, said the
attack “requires a united position in confronting the evil actors trying to mess
with this country’s security and the safety of its people. “We cannot accept
dragging Iraq into chaos and to a coup against the constitutional system.”A
large number of security forces were deployed in and around the Green Zone,
which also hosts the US embassy and is frequently targeted by rocket attacks. On
October 31, three rockets hit in Mansour, a neighbouring district, without
causing any injuries. The United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI)
joined Kadhimi’s call for restraint. It said it “strongly encourages all sides
to take responsibility for de-escalation and to engage in dialogue to ease
political tensions, upholding the national interest of Iraq”.The influential
cleric Sadr said the attack was “against Iraq and the Iraqi people”.
Mounting tensions
It came during a period of soaring tensions over the results of the October 10
elections, the fifth since the 2003 US-led invasion ousted dictator Saddam
Hussein with the elusive promise of bringing freedom and democracy. Hundreds of
Hashed supporters clashed with police on Friday while protesting near the Green
Zone to vent their fury over the preliminary result. One protester died of
injuries in hospital, according to a security source, while a Hashed source said
two demonstrators were killed. Several hundred supporters of pro-Iranian groups
returned to the Green Zone on Saturday to protest, and some burned a portrait of
the prime minister, whom they called a “criminal”. Some of the leaders of the
most powerful militia factions loyal to Iran openly blamed Kadhimi for Friday’s
clashes and the protester’s death and issued thinly-veiled threats. “The blood
of martyrs will hold you accountable,” said Qais al-Khazali, leader of the Asaib
Ahl al-Haq militia, addressing al-Kadhimi at a funeral held for the protester
Saturday. “The protesters only had one demand against fraud in elections.
Responding like this (with live fire) means you are the first responsible for
this fraud.”The pro-Hashed protests are aimed at strengthening its negotiating
position during the coalition bargaining process, Iraqi political analyst Ihsan
al-Shamari has said. According to initial tallies, the Conquest won around 15 of
the 329 seats in parliament, down from the 48 it held previously, which made it
the second-largest bloc. Final election results are expected within weeks.
Kadhimi brought forward the ballot, originally planned for next year, in a
concession to anti-government protests over endemic corruption, the influence of
Iran, unemployment and failing public services in the oil-rich but
poverty-stricken country. Activists accuse the Hashed’s armed forces — whose
160,000 fighters are now nominally integrated into Iraq’s state security forces
— of being beholden to Iran and acting as an instrument of oppression against
critics. Other drone attacks in Iraq have occurred over the last few months
particularly against American interests. Officials in the United States allege
Iran has supplied drones used in attacks by its allies around the Middle East.
In late October the Treasury Department sanctioned Brigadier General Saeed
Aghajani, who leads the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ Unmanned Aerial Vehicle
Command. Kadhimi, 54, was Iraq’s former intelligence chief before becoming prime
minister in May last year. He is considered by the pro-Iran militias to be close
to the US, and has tried to balance between Iraq’s alliances with both the US
and Iran.
Iraqi PM Survives Assassination Bid with Drones
Associated Press/November 07/2021
Iraq's Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi survived an assassination attempt with
armed drones that targeted his residence early Sunday and officials said he was
unharmed. The attack was a major escalation amid tensions sparked by the refusal
of Iran-backed militias to accept last month's parliamentary election results.
Two Iraqi officials told The Associated Press that seven of al-Kadhimi's
security guards were injured in the attack with two armed drones which occurred
in Baghdad's heavily fortified Green Zone area. They spoke on condition of
anonymity because they were not authorized to give official statements. "I am
fine and among my people. Thank God," the prime minister tweeted shortly after
the attack. He called for calm and restraint, "for the sake of Iraq." He later
appeared on Iraqi television, seated behind a desk in a white shirt, looking
calm and composed. "Cowardly rocket and drone attacks don't build homelands and
don't build a future," he said.
In a statement, the government said an explosives-laden drone tried to hit al-Kadhimi's
home. Residents of Baghdad heard the sound of an explosion followed by heavy
gunfire from the direction of the Green Zone, which houses foreign embassies and
government offices. The statement released by state-run media said security
forces were "taking the necessary measures in connection with this failed
attempt."There was no immediate claim for the attack. It comes amid a stand-off
between security forces and pro-Iran Shiite militias whose supporters have been
camped outside the Green Zone for nearly a month after they rejected the results
of Iraq's parliamentary elections in which they lost around two-thirds of their
seats. "The assassination attempt is a dramatic escalation, crossing a line in
unprecedented fashion that may have violent reverberations," wrote Ranj Alaaldin,
a nonresident fellow at the Brookings Institution, in a post on Twitter.
Protests turned deadly Friday when the demonstrators tried to enter the Green
Zone. Security forces used tear gas and live ammunition. There was an exchange
of fire in which one protester affiliated with the militias was killed. Dozens
of security forces were injured. Al-Khadimi ordered an investigation to
determine what sparked the clashes and who violated orders not to open fire.
Some of the leaders of the most powerful militia factions loyal to Iran openly
blamed al-Kadhimi for Friday's clashes and the protester's death.
"The blood of martyrs is to hold you accountable," said Qais al-Khazali, leader
of the Asaib Ahl al-Haq militia, addressing al-Kadhimi at a funeral held for the
protester Saturday. "The protesters only had one demand against fraud in
elections. Responding like this (with live fire) means you are the first
responsible for this fraud." The funeral was attended by leaders of the mostly
Shiite Iran-backed factions who together are known as the Popular Mobilization
Forces, or Hashd al-Shaabi in Arabic. Abu Alaa al-Walae, commander of Kataib
Sayyid al-Shuhada, in a tweet apparently addressed to al-Kadhimi that did not
name him told him to forget about another term. Al-Kadhimi, 54, was Iraq's
former intelligence chief before becoming prime minister in May last year. He is
considered by the militias to be close to the U.S., and has tried to balance
between Iraq's alliances with both the U.S. and Iran. Prior to the elections, he
hosted several rounds of talks between regional foes Iran and Saudi Arabia in
Baghdad in a bid to ease regional tensions. Ali Shamkhani, secretary of Iran's
national security council, said indirectly in a tweet Sunday that the United
States was behind the attack. The assault on al-Kadhimi "is a new sedition that
must be traced back to foreign think tanks, which have brought nothing but
insecurity, discord & instability to oppressed Iraqi people through creation &
support of terrorist groups & occupation of this country for years," he said.
The U.S. strongly denounced the attack.
"This apparent act of terrorism, which we strongly condemn, was directed at the
heart of the Iraqi state," said State Department spokesperson Ned Price. "We are
in close touch with the Iraqi security forces charged with upholding Iraq's
sovereignty and independence and have offered our assistance as they investigate
this attack," he added.
Egypt's President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi also condemned the assassination
attempt. Writing on Facebook, he called on all sides in Iraq to "calm down,
renounce violence and join forces to preserve the country's stability." Saudi
Arabia issued a statement of support for stability in Iraq and said it strongly
condemned the "cowardly terrorist attack that targeted Iraq's prime
minister."The United States, the U.N. Security Council and others have praised
the Oct. 10 election, which was mostly violence-free and without major technical
glitches.
But following the vote, militia supporters pitched tents near the Green Zone,
rejecting the election results and threatening violence unless their demands for
a recount were met. The unsubstantiated claims of voter fraud have cast a shadow
over the vote. The standoff with the militia supporters has also increased
tensions among rival Shiite factions that could spill into violence and threaten
Iraq's newfound relative stability. The election was held months ahead of
schedule in response to mass protests in late 2019, which saw tens of thousands
in Baghdad and predominantly Shiite southern provinces rally against endemic
corruption, poor services and unemployment. They also protested against the
heavy-handed interference of neighboring Iran in Iraq's affairs through
Iran-backed militias. The militias lost some popularity since the 2018 vote,
when they made big election gains. Many hold them responsible for suppressing
the 2019 protests, and for challenging the state's authority. The biggest gains
were made by influential Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, who won the largest
number of parliament seats, 73 out of 329. While he maintains good relations
with Iran, al-Sadr publicly opposes external interference in Iraq's affairs.
Iraq PM Kadhemi: Former Spy Chief Facing Uncertain
Future
Agence France Presse/November 07/2021
Iraq's prime minister Mustafa al-Kadhemi -- who survived an assassination
attempt on Sunday -- is a former spy chief and skilled negotiator who faces an
uncertain future following last month's legislative elections. Kadhemi, who
headed Iraq's National Intelligence Service (INIS), took the reins in May last
year after parliament granted his cabinet a vote of confidence, capping weeks of
horse-trading over ministerial positions. Born in Baghdad in 1967, he studied
law in Iraq but then left for Europe to escape repressive dictator Saddam
Hussein, working as an opposition journalist. After the U.S.-led 2003 invasion
toppled Hussein, Kadhemi returned to help launch the Iraqi Media Network,
archived crimes of the former regime at the Iraqi Memory Foundation and worked
as a human rights advocate. But he made an unusual career jump in 2016, when
then-PM Haider al-Abadi handpicked him to head the INIS at the height of the war
against the Islamic State jihadist group. It was there, sources close to Kadhemi
say, that he formed his uniquely close links with top players of key nations
including in Washington, London and closer to home. "He's got a pragmatic
mindset, relationships with all the key players on the Iraqi scene and good ties
with the Americans -- and he was recently able to put his ties to the Iranians
back on track," a political source and friend told AFP. The former journalist
has a particularly close friendship with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.
In footage from a visit to Riyadh after his appointment, the Saudi royal could
be seen warmly embracing Kadhemi. But the clean-shaven man, his closely trimmed
hair tinged by white around his ears, has otherwise mostly remained in the
shadows.
'Unprecedented' consensus
Kadhemi was first floated as premier in 2018 but political blocs instead opted
for Adel Abdel Mahdi -- the caretaker PM who resigned in December 2019 after
months of protests, and whom Kadhemi replaced. The intel chief's name began
circulating a few months later as President Barham Saleh's preferred candidate,
but a political adviser close to the talks told AFP he had hesitated to take the
risk. "He did not want to agree unless it was going to be a sure thing," the
adviser said, having seen two candidates -- lawmaker Adnan Zurfi and ex-minister
Mohammad Allawi -- fail before him. Allawi could not pull together a cabinet by
his 30-day deadline while Zurfi dropped his bid under pressure from Shiite
parties close to Iran, who saw the lawmaker as worryingly close to Washington.
In January 2020, those same factions had accused Kadhemi of being involved in
the U.S. drone strike that killed Iranian general Qasem Soleimani and Iraqi
commander Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis in Baghdad. But Kadhemi worked through the
caretaker PM's influential chief of staff Mohammad al-Hashemi to repair ties
with Iran and its allies in Iraq, the adviser and a diplomat based in Baghdad
told AFP. With pro-Tehran factions on board, the adviser said, Kadhemi scored
"an unprecedented Shiite-wide consensus".
'Superb negotiator'
That set Kadhemi up with better chances than the two prior candidates, but he
has faced a host of challenges, from the country's ailing economy to the
coronavirus. He brought forward elections, originally scheduled for 2022, in
response to the anti-government protests over endemic corruption, unemployment
and failing public services. But the results of those elections now mean he is
facing an uncertain future, with coalition wrangling and accusations of fraud. A
figure like Kadhemi could have the right connections to steer Iraq through these
crises, observers say.
"Kadhemi is a superb negotiator and an incredibly astute player," said Toby
Dodge, head of the London School for Economics' Middle East Centre. But, he
cautioned: "Iraq is on borrowed time -- the stakes have gone up much higher."
U.S. Condemns Attack on Iraq PM as 'Apparent Act of
Terrorism'
Agence France Presse/November 07/2021
The United States has condemned a drone attack on Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa
al-Kadhemi, which it characterized as an "apparent act of terrorism." "We are
relieved to learn the prime minister was unharmed. This apparent act of
terrorism, which we strongly condemn, was directed at the heart of the Iraqi
state," State Department spokesman Ned Price said. "We are in close touch with
the Iraqi security forces charged with upholding Iraq's sovereignty and
independence and have offered our assistance as they investigate this attack,"
he added.
Khademi called for calm after the attack on his residence in Baghdad's Green
Zone, saying he was unhurt. His office characterized the attack as a "failed
assassination attempt."Two security sources earlier confirmed the attack in the
heavily guarded Green Zone, which also hosts the U.S. embassy and is frequently
targeted by rocket attacks. A large number of security forces were deployed in
and around the Zone following the attack, according to a security source. The
attack came amid soaring political tensions over the results of October 10
elections. Preliminary results of that poll saw the Conquest (Fatah) Alliance,
the political arm of the pro-Iran multi-party Hashed al-Shaabi paramilitary
network, suffer a substantial decline in its parliamentary seats. The group's
supporters have denounced the outcome as "fraud."
Saudi Arabia condemns ‘cowardly terrorist’ act that targeted Iraq’s PM
Reem Krimly, Al Arabiya English/Published: 07 November ,2021
Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Sunday condemned the “cowardly
terrorist” act that targeted Iraq’s Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi, according
to a statement. “The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has expressed Saudi Arabia’s
strong condemnation of the cowardly terrorist act that targeted the Iraqi Prime
Minister,” the statement said. The Kingdom “affirms that it stands united by
Iraq, its government, and its people in confronting all terrorists who are
trying in vain to prevent Iraq from restoring its [role], consolidating its
security and stability, and enhancing its prosperity and development,” the
statement added. Iraq’s Prime Minister was targeted in a “failed assassination
attempt” after an explosive-laden drone struck his residence in Baghdad, Iraqi
military said early Sunday. Kadhimi said he was unhurt and appealed for “calm
and restraint” after a drone attack on his residence early Sunday as political
tensions mounted in the country. The attack in Baghdad’s Green Zone was the
first to target the residence of Kadhimi, who has been in power since May 2020,
and came as Iraq’s political parties wrangle over who will run the next
government after elections last month.
Arab League delegation meets Sudan’ army chief Burhan,
ousted PM Hamdok
Reuters, Cairo/07 November ,2021
Sudan’s army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan met with a delegation of the Arab
League, state television reported on Sunday.Sudan state TV gave no further
details. The Arab League, which has called for Sudanese parties to stick to the
democratic transition after the army took over power last month, had said on
Saturday that it would send a high-level delegation to Sudan. The Arab League,
which has called for Sudanese parties to stick to the democratic transition
after the army took over power last month, had said on Saturday that it would
send a high-level delegation to Sudan.
The Arab League delegation latermet ousted Sudanese Prime Minister Abdalla
Hamdok for “lengthy talks” on challenges facing the transitional process and
efforts to support dialogue, the regional organization said
in a statement.
Canada withdraws Canadian embassy staff’s dependants and
non-essential personnel from Ethiopia
Essential staff continues to support Canadians in Ethiopia
November 7, 2021 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
Global Affairs Canada today issued the following statement:
“The situation in Ethiopia is rapidly evolving and deteriorating. The safety of
Canadians is our highest priority and, as a result, the decision was made to
withdraw all the family members of Canadian embassy staff as well as
non-essential Canadian employees from Ethiopia.
“We encourage all Canadians in Ethiopia to check our Travel Advice and
Advisories often and to register to the Registration of Canadians Abroad.
“Our embassy in Addis Ababa remains open, and our consular officials stand ready
to help Canadians in need of emergency assistance. They can be reached at 251 11
317 0000 or by e-mail at consul.addis@international.gc.ca.
“Canadians can also contact Global Affairs Canada’s Emergency Watch and Response
Centre 24/7 at:
Phone: 1 613 996 8885
Email: sos@international.gc.ca
SMS: 1-613-686-3658
“Canada stands with all the people of Ethiopia. Documented violations and abuses
of human rights and violations of international humanitarian law are deeply
concerning. Canada calls for an immediate cessation of hostilities and an end to
indiscriminate attacks on civilians and humanitarian personnel in northern
Ethiopia. Humanitarian access must be guaranteed.”
Canada strongly condemns attempted assassination of Iraqi prime minister
November 7, 2021 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today issued the
following statement:
“Canada strongly condemns the attempted assassination of Iraq’s Prime Minister,
Mustafa al-Kadhimi, on November 7. We are relieved that the prime minister
remains in good health. We wish a prompt recovery to those injured.
“Terrorism, violence and other illegal acts have no place in the democratic
process. Canada will continue to stand with the Iraqi people and echoes Prime
Minister al-Kadhimi’s call for calm and restraint.
“Now is a time for all politicians to demonstrate leadership, engage in
dialogue, and find solutions for the good of all Iraqis.”
The Latest The Latest LCCC
English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on November 07-08/2021
The World Food Program and Elon Musk make governments look
bad
Omar Al-Ubaydli/Al Arabiya/November 07/2021
Last week’s twitter exchange between the World Food Program (WFP) and Elon Musk
regarding the cost of addressing world hunger was highly constructive and will
help to achieve this goal. The only losers were the governments who look bad
because they lack agility and transparency.
When WFP director David Beasley issued a plea to Elon Musk and other
billionaires to donate $6 billion to help save the lives of 42 million people,
several questions were raised. Has he checked his numbers? Is this a stopgap or
permanent solution? Is this just a publicity stunt?
Elon Musk responded that he would be willing to make a large donation if the WFP
would present a realistic plan coupled with transparent accounting. After a
brief pause, which many interpreted to be an indication of the WFP having its
bluff called, Beasley responded with a breakdown of his plan, which specified
hunger relief for 42 million people for one year via a combination of cash
transfers and in-kind food donations.
Beasley also presented assurances that his organization’s accounts are an open
book, as confirmed by the ability of the general public to peruse the accounts
from previous years at any time.
While Musk and other billionaires mull over their response, there are several
important points to take from this highly constructive exchange.
First, while social media has its drawbacks, two of its most salient virtues
were on display: the democratization of mass communication – neither Beasley nor
Musk had to navigate an entrenched media establishment with its own interests
for them to convey their messages; and the speed of engagement.
A lively debate erupted on the internet over the various issues raised by
Beasley’s call, and once you got past the vapid “it’s disgusting that someone
could be so rich” comments, there was a lot of useful content. We learned about
the complexities of solving world hunger, the nature of problems caused by
Covid-19, the type of work that agencies such as the WFP perform, and the
oversight that the WFP and other organizations are subject to. Second, the
exchange also highlighted the benefits of a competitive environment for
charitable contributions. When governments need more money to operate their
programs, they raise taxes.
The processes that even the most mature democracies go through are quite slow
and result in the existence of only a weak link between what the donor (the
taxpayer) wants their money to be spent on, and what the money actually gets
spent on when it eventually reaches its target.
While this is partially due to the checks and balances that help limit
corruption in modern political systems, the lethargy also reflects the fact that
the government has a monopoly on levying taxes, and so it isn’t really in a rush
to get things done at all, let alone getting them done properly. Moreover, while
financial transparency is generally passable in democracies, in non-democracies,
it is completely absent, meaning that taxpayers have well-founded fears of
corruption.
In contrast, international agencies frequently rely heavily on private donations
from wealthy individuals to carry out their work. These philanthropists have
many options when choosing where to donate, and this forces the agencies to be
considerably more agile than an average government.
This is illustrated by the speed with which Beasley responded to Musk’s request
for an elucidation. In the event that Musk and other billionaires have some
follow-up questions, I am confident that they will continue to receive prompt
and informative replies.
When facing similar calls for clarity, governments usually provide responses
that are slow, unclear, inaccurate, and sometimes even misleading. Consider the
US government’s cringeworthy response to questions about the drone attack
outside Kabul airport, or tune in to Prime Minister’s Questions in the UK on any
week to see empty rhetoric of the highest order.
Moreover, the WFP’s transparency levels are admirable: the financial statements
and operational documents are all publicly available, as are the independent
evaluation reports and audits. If – through incompetence or otherwise – Beasley
messes up the deployment of any significant donation that is forthcoming in the
wake of his exchange with Musk, the added transparency afforded by social media
will ensure that he and the WFP pay a heavy price in terms of credibility and
future ability to attract funds.
The incentives are very sharp, as they should be when one is being entrusted
with billions of dollars to address life-threatening problems.
A few days after the first tweet, the matter is yet to be resolved as Musk
considers how many Tesla shares to sell. However, it is possible that around
five tweets by Beasley and Musk end up doing more to address world hunger than
the work of any government.
Divided America is not noticing Joe Biden's victories
Hussein Ibish/The National/November 07/2021
The Democrats may have lost Virginia, but the Biden administration is winning
big in Washington
The past week saw both the low point and the high point, in rapid succession, of
Joe Biden's still very young presidency. From here on, his fortunes could go
either way, but the American leader probably has considerably more going for him
than most people think.
It's been a painful summer for Mr Biden. The chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan
was widely criticised, and he has been plagued by surging inflation and supply
chain bottlenecks. Although the pandemic is increasingly under control and the
economy seems to be gaining strength despite inflation, many Americans simply
don't feel good about where the country is right now.
Angst is pervasive.
In their daily lives, they still see pandemic-related problems with schools,
inflation – especially at the gasoline pump – and difficulties in buying many
consumer products as a result of supply chain issues. Dissatisfaction reached a
crescendo last Tuesday when Terry McAuliffe, a veteran Democrat and former
Virginia governor, lost the usually reliably Democratic state to a wealthy
Republican upstart, Glenn Youngkin. The defeat was long anticipated, but it
still was a stinging rebuke, especially coupled with the difficulty the
Democrats had in holding onto the governorship of solidly Democratic New Jersey.
Bitter recriminations ensued, and the media, yet again, was eager to pronounce
Mr Biden's presidency dead in the water. He has been the recipient of some of
the most pessimistic coverage in recent memory, possibly reflecting an effort by
the press to balance its undying hostility to his predecessor, Donald Trump.Yet,
Mr Biden and the Democrats did seem to get the message that they had better
start delivering, or else.
After months of endless negotiations, which often left the impression that
nothing would eventually be accomplished, on Friday the President and House
Speaker Nancy Pelosi fashioned a remarkable compromise in which progressive
Democrats agreed – against all their vows and instincts – to vote for the $1
trillion hard infrastructure bill without simultaneous action on social
spending.
Six of the most hard-left Democrats voted against the measure, though. The
leftists fear that by supporting the infrastructure bill, they relinquish all
their leverage on the also-pending $1.75tn social spending package. Nonetheless,
it is a significant and historic achievement. A whopping $110 billion is
allocated for roads, bridges and other surface infrastructure. Another $66bn
goes to rail, $39bn to public transport, $11bn for transportation safety, and
$65bn for broadband access and additional funds for upgrading power lines and
the energy grid, and providing clean drinking water. Airports get $25bn and
ports $17bn.
This is the largest-ever federal spending on transportation infrastructure, and
the most significant spending on hard infrastructure since the construction of
the interstate highway system in the 1950s. The scale of the achievement is
underscored by the fact that Mr Trump continuously promised major infrastructure
development but never even proposed, let alone passed, such a bill. Furthermore,
this package delivers on another of Mr Biden's promises: resurrecting
bipartisanship. Both in the House and the Senate, where the bill passed in the
summer, he managed to secure significant Republican support despite the tendency
of most Republicans to try to block almost all his initiatives. Securing such
significant spending with no majority in the Senate and only three spare votes
in the House is remarkable enough. Doing it with Republican support is even more
extraordinary.
Now, progressives will justifiably demand that centrists, with pressure from Mr
Biden, Ms Pelosi and others, return the favour and vote for the social spending
bill. Despite many reservations, that will probably happen in the House. A vote
is scheduled for November 15.
The bigger problem will be in the Senate, where two conservative-leaning
Democratic holdouts, Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, may be harder to convince.
It will be the biggest test yet of Mr Biden's persuasive powers. But the
progressives deserve the best effort possible.
Joe Biden will be chasing the support of Senator Kyrsten Sinema, pictured above.
Theoretically, this bill ought to be a turning point for the Biden
administration and the Democrats. Coupled with the $1.9tn pandemic relief bill
passed in March, in less than a year they have managed to pass two major pieces
of legislation on behalf of the general public.
Moreover, many of the key sources of widespread anxiety and dismay look set to
ease in coming months as the pandemic lifts further, with new treatments and
vaccines for children, supply chains begin to open, and labour markets regain
their balance.
Indeed, inflation appears to be the only major immediate issue to which they may
not have an obvious answer.
If Democrats can pass any version of the social spending bill before the
midterms, they will have an enormous set of governance achievements, with
virtually no majorities and an extremely polarised environment, to set before
the public. There are, however, two major challenges beyond that.
First, Democrats have traditionally been strikingly inept at selling their
achievements. Mr Biden, too, has suffered from this phenomenon, with Democrats
and the media focusing on conflicts within the party and the difficulties of
passing the legislation, not the achievement it means. So, he will have to
become a much better salesman, and move attention from the messy sausage-making
to the tasty sausages.
A more alarming question runs even deeper. Mr Biden's broad political strategy
is based on the idea that Americans really want effective governance, and for
politics to deliver improvements in their daily lives. But is that true of
enough Americans to prove a winning strategy?
Counterintuitively, given the polarised times and the deep social fissures,
there are reasons to suspect that large segments of the American public aren't
paying as much attention to what government is doing or isn't doing on practical
policies. Many, instead, seem more invested in cultural divides and prefer
politics as spectacle – a performative routine based on identity-signalling,
trolling, stunts and one-upmanship of the kind Mr Trump has specialised in and
which has become the particular stock-in-trade of the Republican Party.
The Democrats may go to the midterms with many significant achievements under
their belt but it's possible key American constituencies simply won't care.
Those Americans may only respond to tribal affirmations that express their
grievances.The more Mr Biden achieves, the more clearly this terrifying
possibility will be tested in the 2022 and 2024 elections. So far, governance
versus the politics of spectacle is emerging as the biggest contest on those
upcoming ballots.
Harnessing the people’s strength key to Afghanistan’s
future
Zaid M. Belbagi/Arab News/November 08/2021
Lyse Doucett, the BBC’s chief international correspondent, last week joined the
ranks of those lamenting recent events in Afghanistan with a poignant “Love
Letter to Kabul.” The gesture echoed the mood among many that, with the return
of the Taliban, the country’s diversity and rich heritage, which had only just
been rediscovered, will now be lost once again. However, fading glimmers of a
more pluralistic and inclusive Afghan society are not the real tragedy;
Afghanistan today is heading toward an economic and humanitarian disaster. With
Afghans facing starvation, the fate of Kabul’s movie theaters and rose gardens
can wait while a solution to the country’s imminent peril is found.
As the Taliban raised their standard over the presidential palace, Afghans
panicked at the sight of fighters still dusty from their rural campaigns taking
de facto control of the streets of the capital. Any hope of a rival power base
taking hold was also lost as resistance in the Panjshir Valley was swiftly
quashed. The Taliban, who went to great lengths to charm the public and reassure
international partners that they wished to rule with the Afghan people and not
over them, are now showing themselves to be unable to avert an all-out collapse
of the country. Just as in the 1990s, the Taliban’s lack of human resources,
coupled with the fragility of the Afghan state, are leading to what the UN
described last month as “the world’s worst humanitarian crisis.”
Access to education and healthcare have never been high on the Taliban’s list of
priorities. The Islamic emirate’s preoccupation with the private lives of
Afghans has returned, as the group — which seems to have tempered its views —
finds itself locked in a competition for the ownership of fundamentalist Islam
with Daesh-Khorasan militants. In the three months since the Taliban regained
control of the country, militants have tried the untested government with a
spate of attacks aimed at state infrastructure and minorities. With scores of
innocent Afghans killed, the Taliban are failing to deliver on the law and order
mandate they promised the people.
The Taliban, media savvy through years of competing with successive Afghan
governments for the country’s political stage, claim international recognition
is critical if they are to secure aid to see off the resurgence of Daesh on
their territory. Taliban leaders have warned their international counterparts
that, unchecked, militants in the country could become internationally
bothersome. However, with the US and others lukewarm about the Taliban and less
motivated still toward military cooperation with them, it is more likely that,
just as with Al-Qaeda, the Taliban will be unable to restrict the activity of
militant groups on Afghan territory.
The Taliban are showing themselves to be unable to avert an all-out collapse of
the country.
Until the flight of President Ashraf Ghani, a staggering two-thirds of Afghan
gross domestic product came from foreign aid. This valuable resource (much of
which was misappropriated) provided the fledgling state with the wherewithal to
face the country’s challenges. Since August, however, this has been withheld,
with the country’s $9 billion in foreign reserves also frozen as the
international community seeks to deprive the Taliban of significant capital
(previously, grants from overseas financed three-quarters of Afghan public
spending). This situation, coupled with a severe drought and the pandemic, have
pushed the economy to the brink of collapse.
An over-reliance on foreign aid has led to the absence of a sustainable economy.
And the informal businesses that lived off the black market were dealt a further
blow last week, when the Taliban banned the use of foreign currencies. With the
onset of the harsh Afghan winter, it is not just the state’s reserves that will
freeze: The UN World Food Programme has warned that 22.8 million people — more
than half of Afghanistan’s 39 million population — are facing acute food
insecurity and are “marching to starvation,” compared to 14 million just two
months ago. It estimates that $200 million per month is required to feed those
in need — funds the international community is still reluctant to unfreeze as
the Taliban have been unconvincing in illustrating their credentials for good
governance.
The question of the frozen aid comes amid an International Monetary Fund warning
of a 30 percent contraction in the size of the economy by next year. With
circumstances set to worsen, a longer-term solution to the country’s problems is
required. The Taliban cannot hope to secure international assistance when they
continue to fail to protect women and their right to education or to provide the
stability required for aid to be distributed. Separately, their governing
credentials should not be judged by their ability to unlock aid, but rather to
improve the circumstances of Afghans, break the aid curse and build an
alternative society to that which the country has known over the last five
decades.
Ghani, like Hamid Karzai before him, governed with generous international
assistance. However, this stunted the development of Afghanistan, encouraging a
system prone to corruption and the misuse of funds. Afghanistan cannot seek to
turn a corner until the strength of the people is harnessed to avoid successive
humanitarian catastrophes.
*Zaid M. Belbagi is a political commentator, and an adviser to private clients
between London and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Twitter: @Moulay_Zaid
Turkey toying with idea of new military operation in Syria
Yasar Yakis/Arab News/November 08/2021
Pro-government Turkish media outlets last week reported that preparations are
underway for a new set of military operations in Syria. A parliamentary motion
to authorize the government to continue sending troops abroad was tabled last
month and easily approved.
Previous motions approved a one-year mandate for such operations, but this time
it was done for a period of two years. This may be because the government is
forecasting harder times ahead, when the mandate may not be renewed as a result
of declining public support for the ruling party.
Turkey already has a strong military presence in four areas inside Syria: In the
northwestern province of Afrin as a result of Operation Olive Branch; the
Operation Euphrates Shield area in Al-Bab; territory to the east of the
Euphrates river captured in Operation Peace Spring; and several observation
posts in Idlib. It is now eyeing up three more areas: Manbij and Tell Rifaat in
Aleppo Governorate, and further land to the east of the Euphrates.
Although Turkey continues to keep its eye on Manbij, there are four parties that
would not be happy to see this town occupied by Turkey: The US, Russia, the
Syrian government and the Kurds. After the collapse of Daesh’s resistance in
Manbij in 2016, Turkey insistently asked the US to expel Kurdish fighters from
the town. Washington promised several times to meet Turkey’s request but failed
to do so because the leading role in the expulsion of Daesh from the town was
played by the Kurdish fighters of the People’s Protection Units, which make up
the bulk of the Syrian Democratic Forces, and the US did not want to antagonize
them. Turkey threatened to strike the Kurdish fighters in March 2018 but had to
refrain because of opposition from both the US and Russia.
The second area where Turkey wants to expand its control is Tell Rifaat, which
is also controlled by the Kurdish fighters of the SDF. On Friday last week, the
Turkish media published a detailed report about the anti-tank and anti-personnel
land mines laid by SDF fighters on the Turkish army’s possible approach routes.
The third area is the corridor along the Turkish-Syrian border east of the
Euphrates. Turkey was initially planning to occupy a 40 km-wide corridor,
running from Tell Abyad all the way to the Iraqi border, but this met stiff
objections from all quarters. The Syrian government said it would fight the
Turkish army; NATO offered to patrol the border instead; and then-US President
Donald Trump sent a letter to Recep Tayyip Erdogan using a tone unheard of in
correspondence between heads of state — “don’t be a fool,” he said in the
letter.
Despite Ankara’s preparations, there are reasons to believe that an operation
might not be imminent.
Eventually, Erdogan and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed in October 2019
to establish a 30 km-wide safe area between Tell Abyad and Ras Al-Ain, to be
patrolled by Syrian and Russian soldiers. The remainder of the corridor was to
be reduced to 10 km and jointly patrolled by Turkish and Russian soldiers. This
arrangement has worked more or less satisfactorily, but Turkey now wants to
occupy two more strategically important points — Ain Issa and Tell Tamr —
further to the south, where the Kurdish fighters of the SDF control the oil
wells.
Despite these preparations, there are reasons to believe that such a military
operation might not be imminent. One is the turbulent relations between Turkey
and the US. Erdogan last week held a meeting with US counterpart Joe Biden on
the margins of the G20 summit in Rome. The two leaders listed the outstanding
issues between them without necessarily trying to sort them out. The only
concrete outcome of the meeting was the formation of a joint mechanism to
discuss the outstanding issues on a technical level.
On his way back from the summit, Erdogan used a moderate narrative in his
briefing with journalists, which suggests he wants to avoid a confrontation with
Washington, be it in Syria or anywhere else. Furthermore, the US is heavily
pressing Turkey to deactivate the S-400 air defense system it purchased from
Russia. The EU is also squeezing Ankara on the Eastern Mediterranean issues.
Another reason for caution is the attitude of the Syrian government. Damascus is
on its way to reoccupying its seat in the Arab League. There has also been a
thaw in its relations with the Gulf countries and the international community
has acquiesced to the idea of Bashar Assad’s continued presidency.
If Turkey does carry out one or more of the military operations that seem to be
on the agenda, it will probably be aimed at boosting popular support among the
nationalist-minded segments of the electorate ahead of the next general
election, which is scheduled for 2023. Governments sometimes make decisions that
may contribute to their political survival but are against the national
interests of their people.
*Yasar Yakis is a former foreign minister of Turkey and founding member of the
ruling AK Party. Twitter: @yakis_yasar
Kadhimi must not become another Rafik Hariri
Faisal J. Abbas/Arab News/November 08/2021
Sunday’s attempt to assassinate Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi was
deplorable, unacceptable … and entirely predictable.
Since the comprehensive defeat of Iranian-aligned militias and parties at
legislative elections in October, it has been clear that the agents of Tehran
would react in the way they always do — by trying to kill those they could not
defeat at the ballot box.
There is no “smoking gun” yet to incriminate Iran or its stooges over the failed
assassination attempt, but it was clearly a product of the template Iran has
created for subversion in the region. Anyone who does not comply with its idea
of “armageddon,” or who fails to kowtow to the religious mercenaries in Tehran,
is marked for elimination. Before the attempt on Kadhimi’s life, several
activists — Shiite as well as Sunni — who called for an end to Iranian
interference in Iraq were killed.
The people of Iraq have seen through the Iranian gameplan, and understand it
only too well. They know that Iran is playing politics in the region, and doing
so with Iraqi blood. That is why Tehran’s consulates and missions have been
being torched by ordinary Iraqis. The popular movement against Iranian influence
in Iraq has gained ground in the past few years, since Iranian agents massacred
at least 1,000 peaceful protesters who began demonstrating in October 2019. That
further fed anti-Iran sentiment and the anti-Iran movement. This year’s election
results provided the most comprehensive proof so far that Iran is now viewed by
ordinary Iraqis as a foreign occupying power.
It should not surprise anyone that the attempt to assassinate Kadhimi came just
a few hours after he was threatened by Qais Al-Khazali of the pro-Iranian Asa’ib
Ahl Al-Haq militia; threats typical of Iranian-backed militias’ behavior toward
anyone who threatens their hegemony or does not bend to their whims. Kadhimi’s
primary aim was — and remains — to restore genuine Iraqi sovereignty. He has
appealed to national pride. During his time as prime minister he has taken a
clear stand against the militias and has repeatedly talked about not permitting
the development of a state within a state. He has not allowed himself to be
browbeaten or blackmailed into supporting Iran’s agenda.
Rafik Hariri was a good man who did all the right things; since his murder,
Lebanon has lost all hope. Kadhimi is also a good man doing the right things,
and with him Iraq actually stands a chance.
Kadhimi opened channels with Iraq’s natural allies in the Arab world. He took
the honorable and courageous position of seeking closer ties with Iraq’s Arab
neighbors, especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE. In return, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi
gave him full support in restoring Iraq’s prominent position in the Arab world.
This was, of course, a red flag for the mullahs in Tehran. They want Iraq to be
mired in misery and political instability. A weak Iraq is what the mullahs want.
They do not want reformers or moderates to succeed.
Kadhimi was targeted on Sunday by three explosives-laden drones. Had two of them
not been intercepted, there is every possibility that he would have become
another Rafik Hariri, the Lebanese prime minister blown up by Iranian-sponsored
Hezbollah operatives for having the temerity to chart an independent path to
success and sovereignty for his country. Look at what Iran has done to Lebanon —
turned a once thriving nation into an economic basket case and an international
pariah that exports drugs, drones and terrorism. Lebanon has become a country
where an armed militia is holding the government and the people hostage —the
very template Tehran wants to impose on all Arab states.
The international community, and especially the Biden administration in the US,
must finally wake up to the sinister Iranian game plan. The world should stop
appeasing this monster. What is needed is not mere verbal condemnation, but
tangible and robust action. This must be a stark warning to the US president
that these are not the kind of people his administration should be trying to
sign a deal with.
Without effective sanctions and a clear signal that such reckless behavior will
be punished, Iran and its militias will continue to destabilize the region and
eliminate any possibility of peace, tolerance and moderation taking root. Now is
the time to take a clear stand and let Iran know that its malign meddling stops
here, and it stops now.
Rafik Hariri was a good man who did all the right things; since his murder,
Lebanon has lost all hope. Kadhimi is also a good man doing the right things,
and with him Iraq actually stands a chance. However, he deserves more than the
world just crossing its fingers and hoping he escapes every time Tehran’s agents
of evil try to end his life.
Faisal J. Abbas is Editor in Chief of Arab News. Twitter: @FaisalJAbbas