English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For March 16/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.march16.22.htm
News
Bulletin Achieves Since 2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006
Bible Quotations For today
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on March 15-16/2022
God says to Pharaoh, I have raised you up for the very
purpose of showing my power in you, so that my name may be proclaimed in all the
earth. So then he has mercy on whomsoever he chooses, and he hardens the heart
of whomsoever he chooses
Letter to the Romans 09/14-18/:”What then are we
to say? Is there injustice on God’s part? By no means! For he says to Moses, ‘I
will have mercy on whom I have mercy, and I will have compassion on whom I have
compassion.’So it depends not on human will or exertion, but on God who shows
mercy. For the scripture says to Pharaoh, ‘I have raised you up for the very
purpose of showing my power in you, so that my name may be proclaimed in all the
earth.’So then he has mercy on whomsoever he chooses, and he hardens the heart
of whomsoever he chooses.”
Titles For The Latest English
on March 13-14/2022
Geagea & Hariri Sold the Blood Of the 14Th
of March Martyrs/Elias Bejjani/March 14/2022
Aoun signs Competition Law, gets briefed on new housing plan
Berri tackles developments with Mikati, Ein al- Tineh visitors
Mikati chairs meeting of committee tasked to follow up on national food security
Lebanese govt talks with IMF moving in the
right direction: Deputy PM al-Shami
U.N. Chief Warns Russian War is Hurting
Lebanon, Poor Countries
Shea Denies Nasrallah's Accusations that Electricity Deals for Lebanon Shelved
Saniora Says Will Fully Engage in Elections without Running in Person
High-Level Saudi Team in France for Strategic Aid to Lebanon
Political Fog in Lebanon as Doors Close for Parliament Candidacy
Judge Aoun Freezes Assets of 5 Banks in Ongoing Probe
Sea Border Panel Meets Anew, Still Expected to Reject Hochstein's Proposal
Shami's Office Says IMF Negotiations 'Going Well'
Jumblat Decries Arab Abandonment Due to 'Absurd Statements'
Hariri Denies Scolding Mufti for 'Siding with Saniora'
Bou Habib inks agreement with Japanese Ambassador to establish JICA office in
Lebanon, discusses developments with Danish and Swiss diplomats
Energy Minister discusses electricity plan with US Ambassador
Visiting Iraqi delegation discusses oil-for-services agreement with Hamieh,
Boujikian
Fondation Diane” Calls for Women’s Solidarity and Organizes the Roundtable
Discussion: “8/8 Women Change Makers: Union in Times of Crises”
The Biden Administration is Poised to Hand Hezbollah a Win in Vienna/Tony Badran/Newsweek/March
15/2022
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on March 15-16/2022
Russia Says Received U.S. Guarantees on Iran Nuclear Deal
Russia Drafting Thousands in Syria for Ukraine War, Monitor Says
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky calls for no-fly zone in Canadian
Parliament address
Russia bars entry to Biden and Canada's Trudeau
Russian drone ‘shot down after flying into NATO airspace’
Zelensky Says Ukraine Must Recognize It Will Not Join NATO
Russian Forces Press in on Kyiv as Talks Resume
Russia Calls for U.N. Council Vote on Ukraine 'Humanitarian' Resolution
UK's Johnson to Visit Saudi Arabia for Oil Supply Talks
Canada imposes additional sanctions on enablers of President Putin’s illegal
invasion of Ukraine
GCC Seeks to Host Yemen Govt., Rebels in Riyadh for Rare Talks
Titles For The Latest LCCC English
analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on March 15-16/2022
Russia’s Putin looks to import Syrian
mercenaries to do the ‘dirty tricks’ against Ukraine’s population/Ben Evansky
and Benjamin Weinthal/ March 15/2022 |
Lifting Human Rights Sanctions on Iran Would Be a Mistake/Orde Kittrie/The
National Interest/March 15/2022
Russia sanctions grow faster, larger than South Africa sanctions in 1980s/
James Brooke/The Berkshire Eagle/March 15/2022
A chance for a ‘longer and stronger’ deal, rather than a contract of
capitulation/Jacob Nagel and Meir Ben-Shabbat/Israel Hayom/March 15/2022
North Korea Shows How the Iranian Nuclear Deal Will Fail/Anthony Ruggiero and
Michael Rubin/The National Interest/March 15/ 2022
on March 13-14/2022
Geagea & Hariri Sold the Blood Of the
14Th of March Martyrs
Elias Bejjani/March 14/2022 (From 2016
Archives)
الياس بجاني: جعجع والحريري باعوا دماء شهداء تجمع 14 آذار/من أرشيف عام 2016
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/47461/elias-bejjani-geagea-hariri-sold-the-blood-of-the-14th-of-march-martyrs/
All those Lebanese parties, political and clergymen who nominated MP, Michael
Aoun for the Lebanese president’s post, while he is still a dire servant and
cheap Trojan tool for the Iranian anti-Lebanese and anti-Arabs’ scheme,
especially Dr.Samir Geagea, the Lebanese Forces Party leader, and the Ex PM,
Saad Al Hariri, The Future Movement leader have openly and with no shame or self
respect sold Jobran Tuieni’s blood as well as all the sacrifices and martyrdom
of all the 14th of March Martyrs.
Samir Geagea and Saad Al Hariri have totally surrendered to Hezbollah’s
terrorism and betrayed the Lebanese people, the 14th of March Coalition aims and
objectives and with humiliation licked all their promises and vows.
Geagea and Hariri decided to be a replicate of MP, Michael Aoun and House
Speaker, Nabih Berri; mere servants to the terrorist Hezbollah Iranian militia
and its Iranian-Syrian masters.
They gave up on the holy cause of liberating Lebanon from the bloody
Iranian-Syrian occupation, abandoned cowardly their roles as top notch 14th of
March Coalition leaders and with no shame accepted to join the occupier against
their country and its people.
They belittled themselves, and betrayed every and each Lebanese citizen who
trusted them and believed their promises and vows.
Why did these two prominent 14th of March coalition surrender?
Did actually the Iranian occupier win in Lebanon, or the Iranian invaders have
been victorious in their expansionism fights against the Arab….Definitely no,
they are not.
Sadly both of them have lost their faith and hope.
They changed their skins, fell preys to Hezbollah’s power lust and governing
temptations.
Hariri is hoping to become the coming PM, as a price for his surrender, and
Geagea apparently was promised to have for his party two or three influential
ministerial portfolios.
Sadly Al Hariri is totally lost on all levels and in all domains. Meanwhile his
speech rhetoric is merely delusional. We strongly believe he did commit suicide
and did explode him self for just nothing in return. Hezbollah will not allow
him to drink from the rivers of honey and yogurt or enjoy the virgins of the PM,
post.
In conclusion, both Geagea and Hariri have betrayed the Lebanese people, licked
all their promises and vows and surrendered with humiliation to the
Iranian-Syrian Occupier, no more no less.
Accordingly they do not any more represent the free and sovereign Lebanese
people or the Cedar’s Revolution.
N.B: The Above Piece Is From The writer’s 2016 Achives
Aoun signs
Competition Law, gets briefed on new housing plan
NNA/March 15/2022
President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, signed Law No. 281 of 15/3/2022
relating to the Competition Law. This Law was approved in the last Parliament
session, and was referred to publication according to the rules.
Human Academy for Convergence & Dialogue:
The President chaired a meeting for the coordination cell for the establishment
of the Human Academy for Convergence and Dialogue.
The meeting was attended by Presidency Director-General, Dr. Antoine Choucair,
President Aoun’s Advisor for Christian-Islamic Dialogue, Mr. Naji Khoury, Dr.
Elham Kallab Bsat, and advisors Ibrahim Berbery, Osama Khashab, and Chris
Jabbour Tchourian.
The meeting was devoted to address the stages that the academy’s establishment
project has gone through, especially in terms of allocating the land provided by
Damour Municipality, which has an area of 100,000 square meters, setting the
administrative foundational structure and researching the academy’s curricula,
in addition to the on-going contacts to urge countries to sign the international
agreement in coordination with the Foreign Ministry.
Finding a temporary center to start administrative work and prepare for the
foundation stone-laying ceremony for the Academy was also tackled in the
meeting.
The President praised the efforts to complete the necessary preparations for the
launch of the Academy, which was approved by the United Nations General Assembly
at his initiative on 16/9/2019 and was approved by 165 out of 167 countries that
attended the voting session, bearing the United Nations resolution No.
A/73/L107.
Housing Corporation Director General:
President Aoun received the Chairman of the Board of Directors and Director
General of the Housing Corporation, Engineer Roni Lahoud.
The institution’s conditions, especially the amount of prepayment of housing
loans, which exceeded 15,000 loans, while work continues to complete the
remaining files that were affected by the Corona pandemic and staff shortage
were discussed in the meeting.
Eng. Lahoud indicated that he briefed the President on the new housing plan
prepared by the Foundation in 2018, which will be referred to the Cabinet for
approval. The plan includes rent, ownership rent and financing methods, which is
composed of 41 items, and also includes cooperation with the private sector,
joint transportation and urban planning.
For his side, the President noted the efforts made by the Housing Corporation in
addressing the housing file, especially in these difficult economic conditions,
and called prioritizing the social needs of citizens, especially in the housing
sector.—Presidency Press Office
Berri tackles developments with Mikati, Ein al- Tineh
visitors
NNA/March 15/2022
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Tuesday welcomed in Ein al-Tineh "Democratic
Gathering" MP Wael Bou Faour and former Minister Ghazi al-Aridi. Talks
reportedly focused on the country’s general situation, and the latest political
developments. Berri was separately briefed by Minister of Public Works and
Transportation, Ali Hamieh, about his ministry’s work environment and its
programs in the current and future phases. Later in the afternoon, Speaker Berri
discussed the general situation and the most recent political developments with
Prime Minister, Najib Mikati. However, Mikati left without making a statement.
Mikati chairs meeting of committee tasked to follow up on
national food security
NNA/March 15/2022
Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, is currently chairing a meeting by the ministerial
committee tasked to follow up on national food security. The committee includes
Ministers of Economy and Trade Amin Salam, Industry George Boujikian,
Agriculture Abbas Hajj Hassan, Culture Mohammad Mortada, and National Defense
Brigadier General Maurice Seleem, as well as Secretary General of the Council of
Ministers Judge Mahmoud Makieh, and Director of the PM’s Office, Jamal Karim.
Lebanese govt talks with IMF moving in the right
direction: Deputy PM al-Shami
Reuters/15 March ,2022
Talks between the Lebanese government and the International Monetary Fund are
moving in the right direction and have made important progress, Lebanese Deputy
Prime Minister Saadeh al-Shami told the National News Agency (NNA) on Tuesday.
The International Monetary Fund said in February it would remain “closely
engaged” with Lebanon’s authorities to help the crisis-ravaged country formulate
an economic reform program. Lebanon’s financial system unraveled in late 2019
under the weight of huge public debts, slicing more than 90 percent off the
local currency’s value and plunging a majority of the population into poverty.
U.N. Chief Warns Russian War is Hurting Lebanon, Poor
Countries
Associated Press/March 15/2022
Lebanon, facing skyrocketing food and fuel prices amid an unprecedented economic
crisis exacerbated by the Russian war, is now seeing its breadbasket “being
bombed.”The United Nations chief has warned that the war on Ukraine is holding
“a sword of Damocles” over the global economy, especially poor developing
countries. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres told reporters that “Russia and
Ukraine represent more than half of the world’s supply of sunflower oil and
about 30 percent of the world’s wheat” and that “grain prices have already
exceeded those at the start of the Arab Spring and the food riots of
2007-2008.”He told reporters that 45 African and least developed countries
import at least one-third of their wheat from Ukraine and Russia, and 18 of them
import at least 50%. These countries include Lebanon, Egypt, Congo, Burkina
Faso, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and Yemen, he said. “All of this is hitting the
poorest the hardest and planting the seeds for political instability and unrest
around the globe,” Guterres warned. Lebanese authorities are in talks with the
U.S., India and Canada to find other sources for a country already in financial
meltdown. A ministerial panel led by the economy minister was formed in March to
“tackle the food security crisis” in light of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The
committee would “protect the markets in terms of preventing monopolization and
price manipulation.”
Shea Denies Nasrallah's Accusations that Electricity
Deals for Lebanon Shelved
Naharnet/March 15/2022
U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy Shea announced Tuesday that she had a
“positive discussion” with Energy Minister Walid Fayyad, while denying claims by
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah about the fate of Lebanon's
U.S.-sponsored energy deals with each of Egypt and Jordan. “I am encouraged when
I hear about the continued progress on these regional energy deals. It is a long
and complicated process, and I would urge the audiences out there to not believe
the naysayers who would have you believe that there is no progress,” Shea said
after the talks, apparently responding to Nasrallah’s remarks.
“I just reviewed some very lengthy documents, contractual documents, that
require hours of painstaking review by lawyers on the part of multiple parties,
and I am really appreciative to the advice that the minister and his team have
been getting from the World Bank, because they are bringing to the forefront the
best practices in the international arena on such arrangements,” the ambassador
added. “We are relying on their very good advice, when it comes to things like
the overall plan for which the Council of Ministers gave their preliminary
approval some weeks ago, and we're looking forward to continued progress on
that,” she went on to say. Shea pointed out that “this is not an easy exercise,
especially not right now, given all the other complications in the world and the
disruptions to the world energy markets because of the Russian invasion of
Ukraine.”She, however, stressed that there is “ongoing communications between
the Minister and his counterparts, and the other stakeholders in these deals.”
“They are ongoing and they are productive and positive, and we look forward to a
successful outcome,” the ambassador added. “Hang in there. We have not given up
hope and you shouldn't either,” she said, addressing the Lebanese people. In a
speech on March 9, Nasrallah had said that “the U.S. State Department has not
granted Egypt and Jordan a written document confirming that they would be
exempted from the Caesar Act sanctions if they exported gas and electricity
through Syria.”“Until now, everything that the U.S. ambassador to Lebanon has
said has been lies and deception… Where is the electricity? There is no
electricity!” Nasrallah charged.
Saniora Says Will Fully Engage in Elections without
Running in Person
Naharnet/March 15/2022
Ex-PM Fouad Saniora on Tuesday officially announced that he will not nominate
himself for the upcoming parliamentary elections. At a press conference, Saniora
added that his decision is aimed at “making way for competent and new faces,”
while noting that he will be “fully involved” in the elections in terms of
backing certain electoral lists. He accordingly called on voters in Beirut,
Sidon, the North, the Bekaa, Mount Lebanon and the entire country to “take part
in this important and critical electoral juncture in order not to allow
opportunists and outsiders to falsify representation, and in order to fill the
vacuum” resulting from ex-PM Saad Hariri’s withdrawal from politics. Responding
to a reporter’s question, Saniora denied accusations that he has turned against
Hariri. “My relation with ex-PM Saad Hariri, and before him with martyr premier
Rafik Hariri, will continue… We share the same explanation, analysis and reasons
that pushed him to take this decision, but the difference is that he has decided
to suspend his participation in political actions, whereas I have sensed a need
to prevent newcomers and adventurists from filling this vacuum,” Saniora
explained.
High-Level Saudi Team in France for Strategic Aid to
Lebanon
Naharnet/March 15/2022
A high-level Saudi delegation has visited the Élysée Palace to strength the
strategic partnership in the Lebanese affairs, al-Jadeed TV said. The channel
said Tuesday that in late February, French foreign minister Jean-Yves Le Drian
had talked with his Saudi counterpart Prince Faisal bin Farhan about the
situation in Lebanon. The two foreign ministers had discussed how to support the
Lebanese people and agreed to finance humanitarian projects in Lebanon. The
French-Saudi aid will fund organizations for the distribution of food and infant
milk in Lebanon. The aid will also finance some educational facilities and some
hospitals and care centers in Lebanon, al-Jadeed said.
Political Fog in Lebanon as Doors Close for Parliament
Candidacy
Associated Press/March 15/2022
Today, Tuesday, doors will close for candidacy for the parliament elections on
May 15. A low turnout is expected in the Sunni community, as former prime
minister Saad Hariri's political exit created a vacuum and a need for a new
mantle. After former PMs Saad Hariri and Tammam Salam, Prime Minister Najib
Miqati also said he would not run for parliament, vowing to continue work to
pull Lebanon out of its crippling economic and financial crisis. Ex-PM Fouad
Saniora, for his part, will back a list in Beirut, al-Akhbar newspaper said
Tuesday, amid a lack of support from Beirut's families, who according to the
daily, have decided in a meeting to respect Hariri's wish. The daily added that
Grand Mufti Sheikh Abdul Latif Daryan has also informed Saniora that he will not
support his list after having received a message from Hariri who blamed him for
supporting Saniora. The Hariri-Saniora conflict was reflected in Dar al-Fatwa as
Sunni clerics were divided between Hairiri supportes and Saniora supporters, al-Akhbar
said. On another note, Lebanese opposition groups have struggled to form a
united front while Hizbullah will be running on a joint list with its allies,
including President Michel Aoun’s Free Patriotic Movement and Parliament Speaker
Nabih Berri's Amal group. Hizbullah and its allies hold majority seats in the
128-member legislature. Their opponents hope to deprive them of the majority in
May’s vote, riding on the wave of public anger against the country’s political
class. Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea, who launched his electoral campaign
on Monday, said Hizbullah is not a resistance but an "Iranian occupation."He
asked voters to "avenge the blood of all the martyrs who fell in order for
Lebanon to stay."
Judge Aoun Freezes Assets of 5 Banks in Ongoing Probe
Associated Press/March 15/2022
Mount Lebanon Prosecutor Judge Ghada Aoun has frozen the assets of five of
Lebanon's largest banks and those of their board of directors as she
investigates possible transfers of billions of dollars aboard during the
country's economic meltdown. The state-run National News Agency said the
decision covers real estate, vehicles and shares that the five banks or their
directors own in other companies. The move came days after Aoun imposed travel
bans on the directors of the five banks. Local TV stations said the travel bans
were precautionary as auditors look into transfers by the banks worth $5
billion. Lebanese banks have imposed informal capital controls since the
economic crisis began in October 2019 after decades of corruption and
mismanagement by the country's political class. Since then, people do not have
full access to their savings and those who withdraw cash from their U.S. dollar
accounts get an exchange rate far lower than that of the black market. In
January, Aoun also imposed a travel ban on Lebanon's central bank governor after
a corruption lawsuit accused him of embezzlement and dereliction of duty during
the crisis.
Sea Border Panel Meets Anew, Still Expected to Reject
Hochstein's Proposal
Naharnet/March 15/2022
A Lebanese committee studying a proposal put forward by U.S. energy envoy Amos
Hochstein held its second meeting yesterday in Baabda, al-Akhbar newspaper
reported on Tuesday. Hochstein had recently submitted to Lebanon a new proposal
for the demarcation of its sea border with Israel. According to the newspaper,
Hochstein’s suggestion includes modifications to the maritime border that would
give Lebanon less than the 860 square kilometers that Line 23 would secure. “The
atmosphere within the committee, whose meeting was partly attended by President
Michel Aoun, does not indicate that Lebanon has endorsed any option,” the daily
said. “It is still studying all possibilities,” the newspaper added. A source
informed on the meetings meanwhile told the daily that the conferees discussed
“the disadvantages of the U.S. proposal, with Lebanese Petroleum Administration
head Wissam Chbat and the head of the army’s hydrographic dept. Lt. Col. Afif
Ghayth presenting technical explanations about the proposal and warning of the
risks emanating from agreeing to Hochstein’s suggestion.”“Therefore, there are
broad expectations that the proposal in its current format will not be
accepted,” al-Akhbar said.
Shami's Office Says IMF Negotiations 'Going Well'
Naharnet/March 15/2022
The negotiations with the International Monetary Fund have not stopped and
"things are going well," Deputy Prime Minister Saadeh Shami's office said.
Shami's office negated, in a statement Tuesday, media reports that said the
negotiations had stopped and that no results have been reached.
The statement affirmed that negotiations are "progressing and going in the right
direction."It added that daily meetings with the IMF are being held "in a
technical and professional way" and that macro-economic reforms are being
discussed to help Lebanon recover financially and economically.
Jumblat Decries Arab Abandonment Due to 'Absurd
Statements'
Naharnet/March 15/2022
Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat on Tuesday lamented that the
Arab countries have “abandoned” Lebanon due to “the absurd statements of top
leaders against the Gulf countries.”“Amid this suffocating social and economic
crisis that Lebanon is going through, today we are bearing the price of the Arab
countries’ abandonment of us,” Jumblat tweeted. “Will we receive support from
the Great Orient through convoys of wheat, fuel, saffron and other goods as they
have promised us?” the PSP leader added rhetorically.
Hariri Denies Scolding Mufti for 'Siding with Saniora'
Naharnet/March 15/2022
Former prime minister Saad Hariri on Tuesday
denied a media report claiming that he has sent an admonishing message to Grand
Mufti Sheikh Abdul Latif Daryan over his “siding with” ex-PM Fouad Saniora in
his endeavor to “inherit the House of Hariri and al-Mustaqbal Movement.”“In line
with its habit of fabricating news, al-Akhbar newspaper today published a report
that is full of lies about what it called ‘an admonishing message from Hariri to
the Grand Mufti,’” Hariri’s press office said in a statement. “The Office
reiterates that the mere publishing of this report in al-Akhbar makes it a
flagrant fallacy,” it added.
Bou Habib inks agreement with Japanese Ambassador to
establish JICA office in Lebanon, discusses developments with Danish and Swiss
diplomats
NNAMarch 15/2022
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants on Tuesday inked a technical
cooperation agreement between the Lebanese and Japanese governments, stipulating
the establishment of an office for Japan’s International Cooperation Agency (JICA)
in Lebanon, which allows the Japanese government to assist the Lebanese
government in various fields, whether in kind or through experts and volunteers.
The agreement, which was signed by Minister of Foreign Affairs, Abdullah Bou
Habib, and Japanese Ambassador to Lebanon, Takeshi Okubo, comes in the wake of
lengthy negotiations between Lebanon’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the
Japanese Embassy in Beirut. It aims to organize the relationship between the two
countries and reveals the extent of Japan's desire to help Lebanon within the
legal frameworks required by Japanese laws. On the other hand, Minister Bou
Habib discussed with Danish Ambassador to Lebanon, Merete Juhl, the best means
to bolster cooperation between the ministry and the embassy. Bou Habib
separately discussed with Swiss Ambassador to Lebanon, Marion Weichelt, the
repercussions of the Ukrainian crisis on the two countries, as well as the means
to face said challenges on the levels of food security and energy. Talks between
the pair also touched on the impending parliamentary elections.
Energy Minister discusses electricity plan with US
Ambassador
NNAMarch 15/2022
Minister of Energy and Water, Dr. Walid Fayad, on Tuesday welcomed US Ambassador
to Lebanon, Dorothy Shea, with whom he discussed preparations underway within
the energy sector, especially those leading to an increase in power supply
nationwide.
For his part, Minister Fayad said that he had sensed Ambassador Shea’s ongoing
commitment to help with agreements to import gas from Egypt and electricity from
Jordan, as well as with the remaining steps leading to the final approval of the
electricity plan, which is listed on the cabinet's agenda tomorrow.
“Presenting this plan to the public opinion is a demand made by the funders,
especially the World Bank," Fayad added, stressing that "this plan is not
politicized, but based on scientific foundations and a guiding scheme developed
by France’s EDF.”
“The second step involves securing funds from the World Bank, and the third step
requires the approval of the US administration regarding the Caesar Act, and the
US ambassador has reiterated commitment to drop this project from the Caesar's
sanctions list."
The following are remarks made by U.S. Ambassador, Dorothy Shea, during her
meeting with Minister Fayad:
“Good morning, and thank you, Your Excellency, Mr. Minister, for the really
positive discussion that we had this morning. I am encouraged when I hear about
the continued progress on these regional energy deals. It is a long and
complicated process, and I would urge the audiences out there to not believe the
naysayers who would have you believe that there is no progress. You know, I just
reviewed some very lengthy documents, contractual documents, that require hours
of painstaking review by lawyers on the part of multiple parties, and I am
really appreciative to the advice that the minister and his team have been
getting from the World Bank, because they are bringing to the forefront the best
practices in the international arena on such arrangements. We are relying on
their very good advice, when it comes to things like the overall plan for which
the Council of Ministers gave their preliminary approval some weeks ago, and
we're looking forward to continued progress on that. Also the tariff structures,
and other arrangements to make sure that this sector, your electricity sector is
going to be run as efficiently as possible so that the end users, your
consumers, your Lebanese people, your hospitals, your other institutions can get
the benefit of sustainable electricity. This is not an easy exercise, especially
not right now, given all the other complications in the world and the
disruptions to the world energy markets because of the Russian invasion of
Ukraine–which is deplorable for other reasons. But I want to acknowledge the
ongoing communications between the Minister and his counterparts, and the other
stakeholders in these deals. They are ongoing and they are productive and
positive, and we look forward to a successful outcome. Hang in there. We have
not given up hope and you shouldn't either. Thank you.”
Visiting Iraqi delegation discusses oil-for-services
agreement with Hamieh, Boujikian
NNA/March 15/2022
Minister of Public Works and Transportation, Dr. Ali Hamieh, on Tuesday met with
a delegation representing the Iraqi government to discuss a joint cooperation
agreement between Lebanon and Iraq in several fields. The Iraqi delegation
included Iraqi Prime Minister’s advisor, Dr. Alaa Al-Saadi, Iraqi ambassador to
Lebanon, Haidar Al-Barrak, and other senior Iraqi and Lebanese officials.
Minister Hamieh welcomed the Iraqi delegation, noting that Iraq has never been
stingy with Lebanon and has always provided it with all kinds of support. He
also thanked Iraq for its permanent presence on Lebanon’s side. “Today, we’re
activating and strengthening bilateral relations within the mutual benefit of
both of our countries," Hamieh added, referring to the services that the
Ministry of Public Works and Transportation can provide to Iraq through Rafic
Hariri International Airport, the Aviation Training Center, and Lebanese ports,
in addition to the border crossings linking Lebanon from Syria to Iraq. “Had it
not been for the Iraqi fuel, Lebanon would have been submerged in complete
darkness,” Hamieh added. For his part, Ambassador Al-Barrak affirmed, "The
delegation's visit to Lebanon today is to guarantee the renewal of the
oil-for-services agreement before its expiry in September 2022."In turn, the
Iraqi Prime Minister’s advisor confirmed that "this agreement stems from the
Iraqi government's keenness to avoid any obstacles and ensure its continuity."
The Iraqi delegation also visited Minister of Industry, George Boujikian, with
whom discussions focused on the means to translate the Iraqi state’s decision to
supply Lebanon with oil derivatives, as well as on the means of payment with
Lebanese services, goods, and products.
Fondation Diane” Calls for Women’s Solidarity and Organizes
the Roundtable Discussion: “8/8 Women Change Makers: Union in Times of Crises”
NNAMarch 15/2022
In the occasion of the International Women’s Day, “Fondation Diane” organized a
roundtable discussion entitled “8/8 Women Change Makers: Union in Times of
Crises”. The event took place at Saint Joseph University (USJ) - Campus de
l'Innovation et du Sport (CIS), and gathered men and women, and representatives
of institutions, associations and organizations that believe in the effective
role of women in society and their cause. It featured interesting interventions
and discussions from 8 prominent figures for women empowerment: Diana Sfeir
Fadel, Ali Khalife, May El Khalil, Madiha Raslan, Michel El Helou, Sarah El Yafi,
Tracy Chamoun & Joellle Abu Farhat. This roundtable discussion falls within the
mission of “Fondation Diane” that is to empower women, and promote civic
awareness & active citizenship on the one hand, and achieving the 17 Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) on the other hand. Through this initiative, the
foundation contributes to the implementation of the fifth goal (SDG5) which
calls for “achieving gender equality and empowering all women and girls.”
Diana Fadel, Founder & President of “Fondation Diane”
In her opening speech, Mrs. Fadel delivered a touching and moving message about
Lebanon. She then shed the light on the effective role of women in society,
especially in times of crises. She continued: “The status of women in our
country is miserable and their rights are violated. Just look at the personal
status laws, and count the number of women in parliament”. In this context she
called for women’s solidarity “their union constitutes an unstoppable force for
change!” She focused on women's ability to revive the nation and put it back on
the right track, starting by reaching the parliament in big numbers, and
fiercely fighting for their rights. She concluded: “Women are majority. Since
they constitute 52% of the electorate in Lebanon, they are capable, with their
votes, to elect half of the parliament members. Let’s unite to make history and
empower women with decision-making positions they deserve with dignity,
independence, responsibility, and authority".
Ali Khalife, Researcher and Professor of Citizenship Education – Lebanese
University
Khalife focused on the declining status of women when it comes to their
participation in politics, and their diminished civil rights in light of the
religious personal status laws. He said: "The 2018 Global Gender Gap Report
ranked Lebanon amongst the lowest on the political empowerment of women in Arab
countries, knowing that the Lebanese women were given the right to vote and to
stand for a seat in the parliament since 1952, way before many Arab countries.
He believes that Lebanese women should be encouraged to stand for elections and
become at the center of the political scene, to be able to carry out necessary
gender reforms in order to advance the status of women in Lebanon, and
consequently the political situation in general. He concluded by focusing on the
importance of breaking the stereotyped image of women, starting from education
at home and school.
May El-Khalil, President of the “Beirut Marathon Association”
May El-Khalil stressed the role of women in sports. She said: "Contrary to
traditional beliefs, women are physically powerful and strong. That’s why we
introduced the annual Women’s Race and training programs. "This race aims at
empowering women, supporting their psychological and physical health, and
contributing to their self-realization. She concluded: "Our decision is to
continue our path as women for the sake of life and hope, and for the sake of
women. To every woman I say, your path is your decision. We will stand with you
inside and outside the parliament."
Madiha Raslan, President of the “Women Leaders Association” (WLA)
Raslan confirmed: “Businesswomen are agents of change, in many economic fields
as their fellow businessmen”. She continued: “We at the Women Leaders
Association are working towards promoting investment and trade in the Arab
World. Consequently, we established with the Union of Arab Chambers the Arab
Women Entrepreneurs Network (AWEN) which will enhance women's ability to
innovate and accumulate funds and technical expertise to benefit their nations.
AWEN was announced during the “Ana Lubnaniya –Arabiya” conference organized by
WLA at the Dubai Expo where Arab businesswomen convened to discuss business
opportunities”. Raslan affirmed: “Now is the best time for women to invest and
grow to become active players in the local economy especially in growing our
National GDP after this severe economic crisis”.
Michel El Helou, Candidate of the National Bloc - Baabda in the upcoming
parliamentary elections
El Helou affirmed that "the struggle for women's rights concerns all of us, and
the beneficiary is society as a whole, including men." He gave an example on the
strength of the European Union, which is headed by three women and the difficult
decisions they take in light of this exceptional crisis, namely the war between
Russia and Ukraine. “This strong image of women in decision-making ends all
doubts regarding their ability to reach the most important positions of power
and rule.” Moreover, he dwelled on the “huge gap between the Lebanese society’s
progress and the current unjust laws” that limit it. He continued: "Based on my
experience in journalism, topics related to women's rights attract a large
number of readers, which means that the Lebanese society is ready for change."
He concluded: "My message to all women who wish to stand for elections, don't
think, do it! Today our country needs a mother to protect it!"
Tracy Chamoun, Politician and former Lebanese Ambassador to the Kingdom of
Jordan
In her speech, Chamoun shed the light on patriarchy and its monopoly of the
political sector. "The representatives - who often fight each other - united and
voted against women's quota." she said. She added that "the Lebanese are in a
difficult situation, and women have a national duty and role. Women should be
encouraged to stand for elections, to elevate women in the political sector,
which to this day still deprives them access to decision-making positions." She
stressed the importance of amending masculine expressions regarding political
titles. Based on her experience as a former ambassador to Jordan, she explained
the bold step taken by Jordanian legislators which helped amend the constitution
to achieve gender equality. She also gave an example of the Irish sectarian war
which could not have ended without women’s unity.
Sarah El Yafi, Public Policy Consultant and Political Activist
El Yafi clarified some misconceptions, such as feminism and women's rights,
especially that a part of the society believes that women are not eligible to
demand for equality with men, because the two genders are biologically
different. Based on this concept of difference, she emphasized that men have
access to all positions of power, job vacancies, and history writing. El Yafi
presented a historical approach to the situation of women over the years,
stressing that the issue of equality was not addressed since Plato and Epicurus
300-400 B.C. and later on in the eighteenth century. "22 centuries of human
civilization and progress that are completely devoid of any mention on equality!
Moreover, women have been denigrated, deprived of power and dignity." She
concluded her speech by stressing that all societies that do not adopt equality
are more violent, poorer and less stable than others, underdeveloped on the
economic and cultural levels... and are doomed to disappear!
Joelle Abou Farhat, President of "Fifty Fiftylb"
In her speech, Abou Farhat touched on the importance of transforming women's
jealousy into an honest competition between them. She added, "Lebanon ranked
183rd out of 187 countries in the world, in terms of women's representation in
parliament, and 15th out of 17 in the Arab world, being the only Arab country
that did not take any serious measures to support women." She urged women to
participate massively in the upcoming parliamentary elections to modernize the
unfair laws against them. She stressed the responsibility of ruling and emerging
parties in putting out ballot lists that include 50% of women. Finally, she
highlighted the importance of the preferential vote in changing facts and
granting women seats in the parliament.
طوني بدران/ نيوزويك: تستعد ادارة الرئيس بايدن
لإهداء حزب الله الإرهابي مكسباً جديداً في المحادثات النووية الإيرانية
The Biden Administration is Poised to Hand Hezbollah a Win in Vienna
Tony Badran/Newsweek/March 15/2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/107064/tony-badran-newsweek-the-biden-administration-is-poised-to-hand-hezbollah-a-win-in-vienna-%d8%b7%d9%88%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%a8%d8%af%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%86-%d9%86%d9%8a%d9%88%d8%b2%d9%88%d9%8a%d9%83-%d8%aa/
The Biden administration is on the verge of announcing a new nuclear deal with
the Islamic Republic of Iran. Despite an eleventh-hour delay caused by Russian
maneuvering, the agreement is reportedly ready. As part of that deal, the
administration presumably will lift sanctions on a host of Iranian banks and
companies involved in terrorism, even removing the the Islamic Revolutionary
Guard Corps (IRGC) from the foreign terrorist organization list, releasing
billions of dollars to the clerical regime that will finance its regional
ambitions from the Gulf to the Mediterranean. In other words, the president and
his team are planting a bomb in the Middle East and lighting the fuse.
A primary beneficiary of the deal’s impending windfall will be Iran’s most
potent export: Hezbollah, the Lebanese legion of the IRGC. The terrorist group
knows what’s coming its way, because it has seen this play before. Back in 2015,
on the eve of the first Iran deal, the group’s leader Hassan Nasrallah gloated:
“If Iran gets back this money, what will it do with it? A rich and strong Iran
will be able to stand by its allies and friends…more than in any time in the
past.”
That is indeed what happened last time, and no doubt it will happen now, with
horrible results. As the cash that will fill Iranian coffers trickles down to
Hezbollah, the group will be able to further advance its arms buildup,
especially in the production of precision-guided munitions (PGM) and unmanned
aerial vehicles (UAV). It was no coincidence that, as the trajectory of the
talks in Vienna became obvious, Nasrallah highlighted in a speech his group’s
plan to enhance existing PGM and UAV capabilities.
Israel is watching these proceedings closely. Hezbollah’s growing PGM
capabilities are a primary threat to Israeli security. It’s bad enough to have
thousands of “dumb” rockets raining in randomly on civilian areas. It’s another
threat altogether if the IRGC unit on your border were able to hit strategic
targets with precision. UAVs pose a complementary threat, as evident from how
the Iranians deployed them against strategic targets and energy installations in
Arab Gulf states. Hezbollah itself launched two drones into Israel the day after
Nasrallah’s boastful speech.
Given the Biden administration’s determination to seal a deal with Iran, and
thereby reaffirm former president Obama’s legacy, Israel’s choices have been
clear for a while now—and they’re not good. The administration’s deal,
negotiated in partnership with Iran’s Russian patrons, reportedly guarantees
Iran will become a threshold nuclear state. This offer is intended to function
as a Sword of Damocles over the heads of those who oppose the administration’s
deal at home and abroad. Israel has been vocal that it is not bound by the new
deal, and that it will take any action it deems necessary to prevent a nuclear
Iran.
If Israel takes action against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, an Iranian
response likely will come through Hezbollah, potentially sparking a larger
conflagration. Other scenarios ensuing from the deal likewise raise the real
possibility of war on Israel’s northern border. Increased transfer of strategic
weapons from Iran to Lebanon, and accelerated local production of PGMs and UAVs,
could quickly cross Israeli red lines. This buildup of Hezbollah capabilities is
in part designed to protect Iran’s nuclear infrastructure by deterring Israel.
Team Biden, by paving Iran’s path to a nuclear weapon, has dramatically raised
the likelihood of conflict. More than ever, Israel cannot afford to let
Hezbollah’s buildup in Lebanon grow to the level of a strategic threat.
In Lebanon, too, Iran can count the Biden administration as an ally. Over the
last two years, following Lebanon’s 2019 financial meltdown, Washington has
spent hundreds of millions of dollars stabilizing the Hezbollah-run order in
Beirut. As part of this policy, the administration has been trying to resolve a
maritime border dispute between Israel and Lebanon to open the door for European
and Russian companies to begin energy exploration in Lebanese waters. Biden
administration officials have even spoken about having U.S. companies invest as
well.
The more the U.S. invests in Lebanon and treats it like an American
protectorate, the more loath it will be to see Israel act against Hezbollah
there. Israel would do well to disentangle itself from the administration’s
initiatives in Lebanon.
As it considers all its options, made narrower and more urgent by the Biden
team’s new deal, Israel will also need to walk a tightrope with Russia—the U.S.
administration’s preferred partner in brokering the deal. Russia controls the
airspace to Israel’s north ever since it entered Syria in 2015, a consequence of
Barack Obama‘s deal with Iran that year. Furthermore, the deal might include the
removal or non-enforcement of U.S. sanctions aimed at preventing Russia from
selling arms to Iran—which, under the 2015 deal, was to be allowed by October
2020, but which then-president Donald Trump blocked with an executive order just
before the expiration of the arms embargo.
During Russia’s war in Ukraine, Israel has had to maneuver very delicately to
avoid antagonizing Moscow. Israel pointedly refused to go out too far against
the Russians, and as a result has been attacked by administration surrogates in
the media. Heightened Israeli-Russian tensions, the Israeli government
understood, could constrain Jerusalem’s options for action against
Iran—unquestionably a Biden administration preference. Israel’s leadership has
wisely avoided this trap.
Still, the road ahead for Israel is littered with landmines. The Biden
administration’s Iran deal, the second act of Obama’s catastrophic turn toward
Iran, presents Jerusalem with a terrible choice: act alone or live under the
threat of a nuclear Iran and its Hezbollah army, operating under a nuclear
umbrella.
In other words, the Biden administration has sped up the countdown to a regional
explosion.
*Tony Badran is a research fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies,
where he focuses on Lebanon, Hezbollah, Syria and the geopolitics of the Levant.
He tweets @AcrossTheBay. FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research
institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.
https://www.newsweek.com/biden-administration-poised-hand-hezbollah-win-vienna-opinion-1687188?s=09
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
March 15-16/2022
Russia Says Received U.S. Guarantees
on Iran Nuclear Deal
Agence France Presse/Tue, March 15, 2022
Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Tuesday that Moscow had received
guarantees from Washington on its ability to trade with Tehran as part of
ongoing talks to salvage the Iran nuclear deal. "We received written guarantees.
They are included in the text of the agreement itself on the resumption of the
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on the Iranian nuclear program," Lavrov said
at a press conference in Moscow with Iranian counterpart Hossein Amir-Abdollahian.
More than 10 months of talks in Vienna have brought major powers close to
renewing the landmark 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on
regulating Iran's nuclear program.The negotiations halted after Moscow earlier
this month demanded guarantees that Western sanctions imposed following its
military operation in Ukraine would not damage its trade with Iran. Lavrov said
that the guarantees it had received from Washington would protect Russian
involvement in Iran's sole Bushehr nuclear energy plant. The minister said
Moscow and Tehran share the position that Western sanctions are imposed with the
aim of overriding international law and accused Washington and its partners of
directing the penalties "primarily against ordinary citizens". The 2015 deal
gave Iran sanctions relief in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program. The
agreement aimed to ensure Iran would not be able to develop a nuclear weapon,
which it has always denied seeking. "Russia will not be an obstacle to reaching
an agreement," Iran's Amir-Abdollahian said at the press conference with Lavrov.
"There will be no relation between Ukraine's developments... and Vienna
negotiations," he said, referring to the ongoing conflict and talks on renewing
the 2015 agreement. He praised Russia's "very positive and constructive role" in
the talks and said Moscow would "stay beside the Islamic Republic of Iran until
the end of the negotiations and reaching a good, strong and lasting agreement."
Russia Drafting Thousands in Syria for Ukraine War,
Monitor Says
Agence France Presse/Tue, March 15, 2022
Russia has drawn up lists of 40,000 fighters from Syrian army and allied
militias to be put on standby for deployment in Ukraine, a war monitor said
Tuesday. The Kremlin said last week that volunteers, including from Syria, were
welcome to fight alongside the Russian army in Ukraine.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights and activists said Russian officers, in
coordination with the Syrian military and allied militia, had set up
registration offices in regime-held areas. "More than 40,000 Syrians have
registered to fight alongside Russia in Ukraine so far," said Rami Abdel Rahman,
who heads the UK-based monitor. Moscow is recruiting Syrians who acquired combat
experience during Syria's 11-year-old civil war to bolster the invasion of
Ukraine it launched on February 24.
Russian officers deployed as part of the force Moscow sent to Syria in 2015 to
support Damascus had approved 22,000 of them, Abdel Rahman said. Those fighters
are either combatants drawn from the army or pro-regime militias who have
experience in street warfare and received Russian training. In a country where
soldiers earn between $15 and $35 per month, Russia has promised them a salary
of $1,100 to fight in Ukraine, the Observatory reported. They are also entitled
to $7,700 in compensation for injuries and their families to $16,500 if they are
killed in combat. Another 18,000 men had registered with Syria's ruling Baath
party and would be screened by the Wagner Group, a Russian private military
contractor with links to the Kremlin, the monitor said.
Misinformation about Syrian recruits in Ukraine has been spreading online. Last
week, pictures were shared of a Syrian soldier they said had died in Ukraine,
but it later appeared he had been killed in his homeland in 2015.
Lack of jobs
The Observatory said it had no confirmed reports yet of any Syrian recruits
leaving for Ukraine. Abdel Rahman said Russia had drawn Syrian army recruits
from the 25th Special Mission Forces Division, once better known as the "Tiger
Forces", and from the Russian-run 5th Division.
Fighters from the Palestinian Liwaa al-Quds group and the Baath party's military
branch had also enlisted. A Syrian government representative denied the
recruitment drive. "Until now no names have been written down, no soldiers
registered in any centers nor has anyone travelled to Russia to fight in
Ukraine," Omar Rahmoun of the National Reconciliation Committee told AFP. Syrian
mercenaries have already fought on opposing sides of foreign conflicts, in Libya
and Nagorno-Karabakh. More than a decade of war has pushed 90 percent of the
population into poverty, a factor Syrians for Truth and Justice said was a key
factor in the recruitment. A Syrian soldier told the activist group this month
that he enlisted to fight in Ukraine because he could not find a job after his
military service. "The situation is extremely dire. There is no electricity,
heating, or household gas," he said, adding he had registered at an air force
intelligence office near Damascus.
'A few hundred dollars'
Regime-allied forces opened recruitment centers in the eastern towns of Al-Mayadeen
and Deir Ezzor, according to Omar Abu Layla, who heads the Deir Ezzor 24 media
outlet. "Wagner started the whole thing in Deir Ezzor; only dozens have
registered so far," he said. "In a country that lacks basic necessities, some
have no choice but to fight... for a few hundred dollars." Turkey-backed rebels
in northern Syria are also gearing up to send fighters on the opposing side. An
AFP reporter in northern Syria said the factions preparing for Ukraine include
the Sultan Murad, Sulaiman Shah and Hamza divisions, all of which had previously
sent hundreds of fighters to fight in Libya and Azerbaijan. While money is the
main driver for Syrian mercenaries on both sides of the conflict, rights groups
said Ankara's proxies often exploited fighters and withheld wages. One fighter
told AFP he was promised $3,000 to join the Ukraine battlefield. "We are tired
of the hunger... I will go and never come back. From Ukraine, I plan to go to
Europe," another said.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky calls for no-fly
zone in Canadian Parliament address
Elisabetta Bianchini/Yahoo/Tue, March 15, 2022
In a historic moment, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy addressed Canadian
Parliament, asking Canadians to imagine the horror Ukraine has experienced over
the last 20 days. In Ukrainian, Zelenskyy said this is "an attempt to annihilate
Ukrainian people.""It's actually a war against Ukrainian people," he said.
Zelenskyy also called for more support and to close airspace by instituting a
no-fly zone, to stop the bombings as Russia is "destroying everything." Prime
Minister Justin Trudeau called Zelenskyy a "friend" and a "champion of
democracy," which resulted in resounded applause in the House of Commons.
"Your courage and the courage of your people inspires us all," Trudeau said.
"You're defending the right of Ukrainians to choose their own future and in
doing so, you’re defending the values that form the pillars of all free
democratic countries." "Beyond that, you’re inspiring democracies and democratic
leaders around the world to be more courageous, more united and to fight harder
for what we believe in. You remind us that friends are always stronger
together." The prime minister announced that with European allies, sanctions are
being imposed on 15 additional Russia officials, including government and
military elites who are "complicit in this illegal war.""Ukrainians are already
paying incalculable human costs," Trudeau said. "This illegal and unnecessary
war is a grave mistake. Putin must stop it now." "Ukrainians are standing up to
authoritarianism and as parliamentarians united in this House today, and all
Canadians, we stand with you. As friends, you can count on our unwavering and
stedfast support." Interim Conservative Leader Candice Bergen called Vladimir
Putin a "war monger" and a "violent predator.""Every day he tells the world lies
and then he proceeds to kill innocent and vulnerable Ukrainians,… and while on
his rampage he continues to threaten the world, saying if he doesn’t get his way
he will use the worst extremes possible," Bergen said. "It’s sickening to watch.
Putin must be brought to justice.""We must do more, together with our allies to
secure Ukraine's airspace. We need to protect, at a minimum, the airspace over
the humanitarian corridors so that Ukrainians can seek safe passage away from
the war zones and to allow humanitarian relief to reach those areas under
siege."
Russia bars entry to Biden and Canada's Trudeau
Reuters/Tue, March 15, 2022
Russia said on Tuesday it had put U.S. President Joe Biden, Canadian Prime
Minister Justin Trudeau and a dozen top U.S. officials on a "stop list" that
bars them from entering the country.
Alongside Biden, U.S. officials on the list included Defense Secretary Lloyd
Austin, CIA chief William Burns, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan and
former secretary of state and presidential candidate Hillary Clinton. The ban
was in response to sanctions imposed by Washington on Russian officials. The
foreign ministry later added Trudeau to the list of sanctioned individuals. The
measures appeared to be mainly symbolic, as the Foreign Ministry said it was
maintaining official relations and if necessary would make sure that high-level
contacts with the people on the list could take place.
(Reporting by Sujata Rao, Editing by Mark Trevelyan)
Russian drone ‘shot down after flying into NATO
airspace’
Kate Buck/Yahoo/Tue, March 15, 2022
A Russian drone breached Nato airspace after flying into Poland before being
shot down in Ukrainian territory, Ukraine's airforce have said. The unmanned
aircraft is said to have been circling the Ukrainian city of Yavoriv to assess
the damage caused by a Russian strike on the Yavoriv military base near Lviv. An
attack over the weekend killed at least 35 people and injured at least 134,
authorities said. Yavoriv is located just 15 miles from the Polish border, but
was targeted with more than 30 cruise missiles on Sunday. A spokesperson for the
Ukrainian forces said: "As we can see, the occupiers continue to carry out their
provocative actions without hesitation, flying into the airspace of Nato member
states." According to The Times, Ukrainian military sources said they thought it
was a Russian Forpost drone, which is not flown by any other country. "There are
no NATO personnel in Ukraine," a NATO official said, when asked if any NATO
personnel were at the base. Ukraine's government has pleaded with Nato to
enforce a no-fly zone in their airspace, but Nato have so far declined over
fears it would trigger a war against the Russian Federation. Speaking on
Thursday, Prime Minister Boris Johnson said bringing in the no-fly zone would
cause direct conflict between Russia and Nato - something he was determined to
avoid. On Monday, health secretary Sajid Javid warned of a "severe response" if
Russia encroached on Nato territory. He said: "We've been very clear from the
start, with our Nato allies, that if there is any kind of attack on Nato
territory then it will be war with Nato and there will be a severe response.
"Even if just a single toecap of a Russian soldier steps into Nato territory,
then it will be war with Russia and Nato would respond. "That hasn't changed
throughout this conflict and there would be a significant response from Nato if
there was any kind of attack from Russia. "Our message has been very clear from
the start. Any kind of attack, anything that touches Nato territory or impacts
Nato in any significant way, then we would respond."Our goal is to create a safe
and engaging place for users to connect over interests and passions. In order to
improve our community experience, we are temporarily suspending article
commenting.
Zelensky Says Ukraine Must Recognize It Will Not Join
NATO
Agence France Presse/Tue, March 15, 2022
Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky said Tuesday that his country should accept
that it will not become a member of the U.S.-led NATO military alliance, a key
Russian concern it used to justify its invasion. "Ukraine is not a member of
NATO. We understand that. We have heard for years that the doors were open, but
we also heard that we could not join. It's a truth and it must be recognized,"
Zelensky said during a video conference with military officials.
Russian Forces Press in on Kyiv as Talks Resume
Agence France Presse/Tue, March 15, 2022
Russian forces pressed in on Kyiv Tuesday with a series of strikes on
residential buildings that killed four people in the Ukrainian capital, despite
a fresh round of talks aimed at halting the war. In the highest-level EU
delegation to go to Kyiv since the war began, the leaders of Poland, the Czech
Republic and Slovenia travelled to the besieged capital in a sign of support for
Ukraine. But tensions were mounting, with Kyiv's mayor announcing a 35-hour
curfew to deal with what he called a "dangerous moment", while Russia broadened
its assault across Ukraine with a huge strike on an airport. Nearly three weeks
into Russia's invasion of its pro-Western neighbor, more than three million have
been forced to flee to neighboring countries and 97 Ukrainian children have
died, the country's president told Canadian lawmakers in a virtual address. In a
response to crushing Western sanctions on Russia, Moscow announced that US
President Joe Biden and a dozen other top officials had been banned from
entering the country, criticizing "the extremely Russophobic policy pursued by
the current U.S. administration." According to the United Nations, nearly 1.4
million children have fled Ukraine since the conflict began on February 24 --
nearly one child per second. The U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights has
reported 1,834 civilian casualties.Addressing a key Russian concern used to
justify the invasion, Zelensky said Ukraine should accept that it would not
become a member of NATO's military alliance. "We have heard for years that the
doors were open, but we also heard that we could not join. It's a truth and it
must be recognized," he told a video conference with military officials.
Ukraine's capital has been transformed into a war zone, with apartment blocks
badly damaged from Russian bombardments and half of the city's 3.5 million
people now gone. The 35-hour curfew will come into effect from 8:00 pm, the
city's mayor Vitali Klitschko announced, saying that four died in the capital on
Tuesday.
'Are you alive?'
"This is why I ask all Kyivites to get prepared to stay at home for two days, or
if the sirens go off, in the shelters," he added. Four large blasts were heard
from the center of the capital early Tuesday, sending columns of smoke high into
the sky. A fire raged in a 16-storey housing block and smoke billowed from the
charred husk of the building, as emergency services and stunned residents
navigated an obstacle course of glass, metal and other debris littering the
road. Another residential building in the Podilsk area also came under attack.
"At 4:20 everything was very thunderous, crackling. I got up, my daughter ran to
me with a question: 'Are you alive?'," Lyubov Gura, 73, told AFP. The district
was once "a place to get coffee and enjoy life. Not anymore," Ukrainian MP Lesia
Vasylenko said. A Fox News cameraman, Pierre Zakrzewski, was killed and his
colleague Benjamin Hall wounded when their vehicle was struck by incoming fire
in Horenka, outside of Kyiv, on Monday, the U.S. network announced. Earlier on
Tuesday, Ukrainian parliament's human rights chief said three other journalists
had been killed since the invasion began, including a U.S. reporter shot dead
Sunday in Irpin, also on the outskirts of the capital. Russian troops surround
the city to the north and east, and authorities have set up checkpoints, while
residents are stockpiling food and medicine. Overnight Russian shelling also
caused massive damage at the airport in the eastern Ukrainian city of Dnipro,
regional authorities said. "Two strikes. The runway was destroyed. The terminal
is damaged. Massive destruction," said regional governor Valentin Reznichenko.
'Pretty good' talks
An AFP team saw large plumes of black smoke spewing out of the airport site but
could not get closer as it was cordoned off by soldiers, who said the airport
could be bombed again anytime. In the besieged south-eastern city of Mariupol
around 2,000 civilian cars managed to escape along a humanitarian evacuation
route, local authorities said, following another 160 cars the previous day.
Outwardly, at least, the two sides are still far apart in negotiations, with
Moscow demanding Ukraine turn away from the West and recognize Moscow-backed
breakaway regions. Ukraine is pushing for a ceasefire and Russian troop
withdrawal. On Tuesday, Zelensky sounded a note of cautious optimism about
ongoing peace talks and claimed Russia was realizing victory would not come on
the battlefield. "They have already begun to understand that they will not
achieve anything by war," Zelensky said. He said Monday's talks were "pretty
good... but let's see."In an unprecedented show of solidarity with the embattled
president, the Polish, Czech and Slovenian prime ministers took a train to Kyiv
to meet Zelensky on Tuesday. "In such crucial times for the world, it is our
duty to be in the place where history is being made," Poland's Mateusz
Morawiecki said in a Facebook post. Russia's military progress has been slow and
costly, with Moscow apparently underestimating the strength of Ukrainian
resistance. Western defense experts believe Russia's military now needs time to
regroup and resupply its troops, paving the way for a possible pause or slowdown
in fighting.
- Fined and released -
NATO worries that Russia is gearing up to carry out a chemical attack in
Ukraine, secretary general Jens Stoltenberg said, citing "absurd claims" that
Ukraine possesses biological weapons labs and warning that Russia would pay "a
high price" if it did so. On Tuesday, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said
China does not want to be impacted by Western sanctions on Russia, as U.S.
pressure grows on Beijing to withdraw support from Moscow. "China is not a party
to the crisis, still less wants to be affected by the sanctions," Wang said.
Reports this week said Moscow had turned to Beijing for military and economic
help -- prompting what one U.S. official called "very candid" talks between
high-ranking US and Chinese officials. A Britain-based war monitor said Moscow
had drawn up lists of 40,000 fighters from Syrian army and allied militias to be
put on standby for deployment in Ukraine. In the face of the assault, Kyiv's
allies have piled economic pressure on Putin's regime, as Britain added 350 more
Russians to its sanctions list, hiked tariffs on a swathe of imports from vodka
to steel and banned exports of luxury goods. The Kremlin also faces domestic
pressure despite widespread censorship of the war. A journalist who brandished
-- in a brief but electrifying moment on live TV -- a slogan protesting the
invasion of Ukraine was fined and released by a Russian court on Tuesday after
pleading not guilty to violating demonstration laws. Marina Ovsyannikova, the
dissenting employee, barged onto the set of Russia's most-watched evening news
broadcast on Channel One late Monday, holding a poster reading "No War". Under
Russian law, she had risked a maximum sentence of 15 years.
Russia Calls for U.N. Council Vote on Ukraine
'Humanitarian' Resolution
Agence France Presse/March 15/2022 |
Moscow's envoys to the United Nations on Tuesday called for a Security Council
vote on a resolution it has drafted about the "deteriorating humanitarian
situation" in Ukraine, where Russian troops have launched an all-out assault.
Russia's ambassador to the UN, Vassily Nebenzia, said he regretted that France
and Mexico opted not to present a draft resolution on humanitarian aid to the
Council, and that Moscow would put forth its "own draft" for a vote. His deputy,
Dmitry Polyanskiy, told AFP that Russia would request that a vote on the text
take place Wednesday. The United Arab Emirates, which holds the council's
rotating presidency this month, would be asked to set a time. Nebenzia
emphasized that since French President Emmanuel Macron launched the prospect of
a Council resolution, Russia had said it was prepared to adopt one, provided it
did not include "political" language.
Paris and Mexico City, with significant pressure from London and Washington, had
planned to ask for a "cessation of hostilities" in its resolution -- but that
phrase would have likely sparked a Russian veto. The Russian draft expresses the
Council's "grave concern at the deteriorating humanitarian situation in and
around Ukraine" and amid "reports of civilian casualties, including
children."The resolution "demands that civilians, including humanitarian
personnel and persons in vulnerable situations, including women and children,
are fully protected."The text -- which takes up several ideas developed by
France and Mexico in their draft resolution -- would likely get the required
nine out of 15 votes to pass, unless one of the permanent members should veto
it. Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States have Council veto
power. Paris and Mexico City have opted to present their text to the U.N.
General Assembly, where Russia cannot veto. No date has been set for that vote.
Earlier this month, the General Assembly overwhelmingly passed a measure
condemning Russia for its invasion of Ukraine in late February, in a 141-5 vote
with 35 abstentions.
UK's Johnson to Visit Saudi Arabia for Oil Supply Talks
Associated Press/March 15/2022 |
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is set to visit Saudi Arabia and meet with
its crown prince for talks on oil supplies, as he stressed that the West must
end its dependence on Russian energy. Johnson will also use the trip to press
Saudi Arabia to condemn Russia's invasion of Ukraine, a Foreign Office official
said Tuesday. Ahead of the trip, Johnson said Western leaders made a "terrible
mistake" by letting Russian President Vladimir Putin "get away with" annexing
Crimea in 2014. He wrote in the Daily Telegraph that Western "addiction" to
Russian fuel had emboldened Putin's invasion of Ukraine.
"We cannot go on like this. The world cannot be subject to this continuous
blackmail," Johnson wrote. "As long as the West is economically dependent on
Putin, he will do all he can to exploit that dependence." Officials have not
confirmed details about the visit to Saudi Arabia but Johnson will reportedly
meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman this week in the hope the Gulf state
can increase its production of fuel supplies. The visit has met with an outcry
of protest from U.K. lawmakers, coming just days after Saudi Arabia said it
executed 81 people in the largest known mass execution carried out in the
kingdom in its modern history. Defending his trip, Johnson told reporters in
London that "if we are going to stand up to Putin's bullying," it will be
necessary to talk to other producers. His spokesman told reporters that Johnson
will raise the issue of executions reported in Saudi Arabia during his visit.
"We routinely raise human rights issues with other countries, including with
Saudi Arabia, and we'll raise Saturday's executions with the government in
Riyadh," the spokesman said. Johnson's government announced last week that the
U.K. will phase out the import of Russian oil and oil products by the end of the
year. But the U.K. is much less reliant on Russia fuel than its European allies,
taking about 3% of gas from Russia, Johnson said.
Canada imposes additional sanctions on enablers of
President Putin’s illegal invasion of Ukraine
March 15, 2022 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today announced that
Canada is imposing new sanctions under the Special Economic Measures (Russia)
Regulations in response to the Russian regime’s illegal and unjustifiable
invasion of Ukraine.
These new measures impose restrictions on 15 Russian officials who enabled and
supported President Putin’s choice to invade a peaceful and sovereign country.
As part of Canada’s growing list of sanctions on Russian leadership, these new
measures will apply additional pressure on President Putin to reverse course.
His choice to further invade violates Ukraine’s sovereignty, territorial
integrity and independence.
Aligning with measures taken by our partners in the international community, the
actions taken today demonstrate a global commitment to impose sweeping economic
measures on the Russian leadership to weaken its ability to wage war.
Quote
“Canada will not relent in its support of Ukraine and its people. President
Putin made the choice to furher his illegal and unjustifiable invasion, and he
can also make the choice to end it by immediately ending the senseless violence
and withdrawing his forces. Canada will not hesitate to take further action
should the Russian leadership fail to change course.”
Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs
Quick facts
Since Russia’s illegal occupation and attempted annexation of Crimea in 2014,
Canada has sanctioned over 900 individuals and entities, with many of these
sanctions undertaken in coordination with our allies and partners. Canada’s
sanctions will impose asset freezes and dealings prohibitions on listed persons.
Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Canada has sanctioned
nearly 500 individuals and entities from Russia, Ukraine and Belarus.
GCC Seeks to Host Yemen Govt., Rebels in Riyadh for Rare
Talks
Agence France Presse/March 15/2022 |
Gulf Arab countries are seeking to host rare talks between Yemen's warring
parties, including the Iran-backed Huthi rebels, in Riyadh at the end of the
month, officials said on Tuesday. Yemen, the Arab world's poorest country, has
been wracked by a devastating war since 2014, pitting the Huthis against the
internationally recognized government.
Repeated diplomatic efforts to get the two sides to agree a peace deal have
failed over the years. The Saudi-based Gulf Cooperation Council "is considering
holding talks between Yemen's warring parties to put an end to the conflict", an
official from the six-nation bloc, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said on
Tuesday. An official from the Saudi-backed Yemeni government, which has been
embroiled in a seven-year conflict with the Huthis, said the conference would
take place between March 29 and April 7. "We don't have a problem if the Huthis
attend the talks to try to find a solution to security, military and political
issues," the official told AFP. But he added it was unlikely the insurgents
would accept the invitation to go to Riyadh, which has been leading a military
coalition to back the government against the rebels since 2015. Another official
in Riyadh confirmed efforts for talks were underway, saying: "Saudi Arabia will
not be party to negotiations."Efforts would be led by Oman, which hosts Huthi
officials and has regularly played the role of mediator in regional conflicts. A
Huthi spokesman told AFP the rebels had yet to receive an invitation. "Saudi
Arabia wants to present itself as a neutral country... but this call (for talks)
is for media attention, nothing serious," he said, without confirming whether or
not. The talks are scheduled to take place as the Saudi-led coalition marks
seven years since its intervention in the Yemen war on March 26, 2015 -- shortly
after the rebels seized the capital Sanaa.
Famine conditions -
Riyadh has repeatedly called on the US administration to redesignate the Huthis
as a terrorist organization. The grinding war has cost hundreds of thousands of
lives, directly or indirectly, and displaced millions, in what the United
Nations calls the world's worst humanitarian crisis.
Around 80 percent of Yemen's population of nearly 30 million depend on some form
of aid for survival. On Monday, U.N. agencies warned the number of people in the
country starving in famine conditions is projected to increase five-fold this
year to 161,000 amid fears of a dire shortfall of life-saving aid. Over 30,000
people are already struggling in famine conditions, they said, calling the sharp
rise "extremely worrying". Efforts to convene Yemen's warring parties in Riyadh
comes on the heels of a high-level conference to raise aid for Yemen, as fears
mount that Russia's invasion of Ukraine threatens global food supplies.
Yemen depends almost entirely on food imports, with nearly a third of wheat
supplies coming from Ukraine, the U.N. said. The U.N. has repeatedly warned that
aid agencies are running out of funds, forcing them to slash "life-saving"
programs. Last year the UN pleaded for $3.85 billion for aid, but raised just
$1.7 billion.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
March 15-16/2022
Russia’s Putin looks to import Syrian mercenaries to
do the ‘dirty tricks’ against Ukraine’s population
Ben Evansky and Benjamin Weinthal/ March 15/2022 |
Putin launches recruitment operation of Syrian armed forces
As Russia’s war machine grinds into the third week of its brutal invasion of
Ukraine, President Vladimir Putin has launched a recruiting operation in the
Syrian Arab Republic in an effort to attract reinforcements for his armed
forces.
Commentators believe the announcement is in part due to Russia’s poor planning
of the war, which has led to many Russian soldiers being killed. Last week a U.S
official told CBS News the number of Russian deaths could be between 5,000 and
6,000.
Putin and his defense minister, Sergei Shoigu, recently declared that as many as
16,000 combatants from the Middle East will enter the Ukrainian war on the side
of Russia. The promised pay, according to news reports and anti-Assad
organizations, is around $3,000 per month.
“It appears that Russia has opened 14 mercenary recruitment centers in Syria in
territories controlled by the regime of Bashar al-Assad (Damascus, Aleppo, Hama,
Raqqa and Deir ez-Zor),” Theodore Karasik, a fellow on Russian and Middle
Eastern Affairs at the Jamestown Foundation in Washington, told Fox News
Digital. “After a short training, the mercenaries will be transported to Russia
through the Khmeimim Air Base by two Tu-134 (up to 80 passengers) and Tu-154 (up
to 180 passengers) aircraft to the Chkalovsky Air Base, Moscow region.”
Karasik added that “We need to be aware that there is an information war ongoing
regarding the recruitment of fighters by multiple parties to this conflict.
There is some evidence that these fighters will enter into the battle space in
greater numbers in the coming weeks.” The battle space, he continued, “is being
prepared for partisan warfare and taking lessons learned from Grozny and Syria
are going to be important for all actors. Recruitment drives are robust and
supported by state actors.”
Grozny saw intensive urban warfare conducted by Russian forces during the
initial stages of the First Chechen War in 1994-95 and the Second Chechen War in
1999-2000, with some military observers claiming they are now doing the same
with Ukraine.
Karasik said the recruiting effort is about applying Syrian fighters’ capacity
in another theater because of the experience they acquired in the long civil
war. “I think it’s a mixed picture because of the multiple groups [in Syria] and
how they’ve split and come back together again,” he said. “So really, it’s about
the quality of the recruits, and what we need to look at next is who are they
really sending? Who is signing up for this? How do they guarantee the quality of
the fighters?”
Brig. Gen. Ahmad Rahal, who resigned in protest from the Syrian military in 2012
over the policies of President Bashar Assad and joined the opposition Free Syria
Army, told Fox News Digital that the Russians will use the Syrian and other
mercenaries to carry out the “dirty tasks” of fighting in the cities, which will
lead to more civilian deaths and it will help them avoid being blamed for the
war crimes.
“The Russian army is besieging most of the Ukrainian cities, and now it is
taking the appropriate fighting arrangement around the cities, and the next
stage will be military operations by storming the cities, and these mercenaries
coming from Syria from Assad’s army and Assad’s mercenaries will perform a large
part of those tasks,” Rahal said.
He added, “As a military observer, it is clear that the Russian army had to
change its military plans. At first the Russians wanted a classic war, a war of
armies, and the task assigned to the Russian army was a lightning and quick
operation that President Putin called a ‘special operation’ through which the
Ukrainian army would be crushed and then the leadership would collapse political
in the capital Kyiv, but this did not happen.”
The brigadier general noted that, “It is clear that the Ukrainian military
leadership was a good reader of the military reality and the great difference
between the capabilities of the Russian army and the capabilities of the
Ukrainian army, so the Ukrainian leadership succeeded in dragging the Russian
army into a war of resistance around cities, a guerrilla war, a war of ambushes,
and later a street war if the Russian army stormed the Ukrainian cities.”
Rahal said his information about the forces coming to fight in Ukraine included
the following units: the 4th Division, commanded by Assad’s brother; the Syrian
army’s special forces; the republican guard; the 25th division; the Russian
backed 5th Corps; and “the Palestinian Al-Quds Brigade, which is fighting with
the Assad army (their nationalities are Palestinian and Syrian); and the
National Defense Forces militias (Syrian mercenaries who have been fighting
alongside the army since the start of the Syrian revolution in 2011).”
The Assad regime has been engulfed in war since 2011, when the Syrian dictator
launched a violent crackdown on citizens seeking democracy. Russian forces
intervened in 2015 to crush the revolt. The Syrian civil war has resulted in
over 500,000 deaths.
Retired Col. Richard Kemp, who commanded British troops in Afghanistan, told Fox
News Digital, “It’s not clear how many Syrians or other fighters from the Middle
East are likely to answer Russia’s call. They will have to be paid significant
amounts to volunteer to do so. There is no doubt that among them will be Islamic
State jihadists who might be looking to stay in Russia or even travel on from
there to Western Europe. They are likely to be disappointed if that is their
aim, unless Putin is looking to help some of them infiltrate westwards.”
Kemp noted that “Middle Eastern fighters will be used to a completely different
form of conflict than they will find in Ukraine. They are unlikely to be a match
for well-armed and organized Ukrainian forces, but Putin will be happy to throw
them away as cannon fodder.”
Rahal concluded with this warning: “As a Syrian general, I refuse to push the
Syrians into that war that Putin declared against the peaceful people of
Ukraine. Putin wants to achieve political and personal goals at the expense of
the Ukrainian people, and this is what Putin did before here in Syria.”
*Ben Evansky reports for Fox News on the United Nations and international
affairs. Benjamin Weinthal is a research fellow for the Foundation for Defense
of Democracies. Follow him on Twitter @BenWeinthal. FDD is a Washington,
DC-based, nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and
foreign policy.
إن رفع العقوبات عن إيران وتحديداً تلك المتعلقة منها
بانتهاكات حقوق الإنسان سيكون خاطئاً
أوردي كيتري/ناشيونال إنترست/15 آذار/2022
Lifting Human Rights Sanctions on Iran Would Be a Mistake
Orde Kittrie/The National Interest/March 15/2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/107067/orde-kittrie-the-national-interest-lifting-human-rights-sanctions-on-iran-would-be-a-mistake-%d8%a5%d9%86-%d8%b1%d9%81%d8%b9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b9%d9%82%d9%88%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%b9%d9%86-%d8%a5%d9%8a/
Lifting pressure on human rights abusers is not necessary to
negotiate effective arms control agreements.
The Biden administration is reportedly poised to lift all sanctions on many of
Iran’s worst human rights abusers and terrorism sponsors in exchange for
remarkably weak nuclear concessions from Iran. History has shown that
sacrificing human rights concerns to achieve arms control objectives is both
unnecessary and counterproductive.
Both Presidents Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan, due in part to the insistence of
Congress, maintained strong human rights pressure on the Soviet Union while
successfully negotiating major arms control agreements. The current Congress
should step in to ensure that the administration’s eagerness for a deal with
Iran does not undermine accountability for Iran’s egregious human rights abuses
and sponsorship of terrorism.
The Iranians who will reportedly be freed from all sanctions under the nuclear
deal include Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, President Ebrahim Raisi, Vice
President Mohsen Rezaei, and Hossein Dehghan, a former brigadier general in the
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Each has a horrific record of personal
responsibility for human rights abuses and terrorism.
Khamenei was Iran’s president from 1981 until 1989 and has been its supreme
leader since then. As such, Khamenei is ultimately responsible for four decades
of Iranian human rights abuses and support for terrorism. A U.S. federal court
held Khamenei personally responsible for the deaths of nineteen U.S.
servicemembers in the bombing of the Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia. Federal
courts have also held Khamenei personally responsible for the deaths of U.S.
civilians in three terrorist bombings in Israel—two on public buses and one at
an outdoor market in Jerusalem.
Raisi is responsible for the execution of thousands of political prisoners and
the unlawful torture and execution of hundreds of peaceful protesters. All
sanctions will likewise reportedly be lifted on Rezaei, a former IRGC commander
in chief who is wanted by Argentina for organizing a 1994 attack on a Jewish
community center that killed eighty-five people. Dehghan is responsible for mass
executions as commander of the IRGC’s Tehran branch. He also commanded the IRGC
in Lebanon when Iran ordered the Beirut barracks bombing, which killed 241 U.S.
Marines.
The nuclear deal is reportedly also poised to lift all sanctions on the IRGC,
which is responsible for the deaths of hundreds of Americans and has carried out
terrorist activities that have violated human rights around the world for
decades. This sends a particularly counterproductive message in the wake of
recent reports that the IRGC is actively working to assassinate former U.S.
government officials, including former U.S. national security advisor John
Bolton.
Lifting sanctions on these Iranian human rights abusers and terrorism sponsors
would send a dangerous message of impunity to Vladimir Putin and his henchmen at
a time when they are committing war crimes in Ukraine and human rights abuses in
Russia. Such a decision is contrary to America’s values, would wrongly abandon
the Islamic Republic’s many victims—including hundreds of current political
prisoners and detainees—and would also weaken deterrence against future abuses
in Iran and make it harder for the Iranian people to liberate themselves from
the Iranian regime. Iran saw mass uprisings in 2018, 2019, and 2020; the regime
reportedly killed 1,500 demonstrators in November 2019 alone. The regime’s
repression is likely to cause even more mass uprisings in the future. If
Washington lifts these sanctions, Iranian officials will have even fewer worries
about the personal price they might pay for crushing new uprisings.
Lifting sanctions on these Iranian human rights abusers will also empower these
hardliners in the broader Iranian political arena. Islamic Republic officials
who violate Iran’s legally binding obligations on human rights—including those
under the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, to which Iran is
a party—are among those most likely to violate Iran’s nuclear commitments. The
United States should isolate and sanction them, not relieve them of sanctions
pressure or otherwise rehabilitate them.
A decision to lift human rights and terrorism sanctions on these Iranian
officials would be inconsistent with the previously expressed policies of the
Biden and Obama administrations. For example, during his confirmation hearing,
Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl said that Washington “should
not be loosening sanctions on terrorism or human rights or anything else that
checks back Iran’s destabilizing activities.”
In 2015, while discussing the very deal that Biden officials say they seek to
resurrect, then-Secretary of State John Kerry told the Senate that the United
States would not be violating the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) if
Washington used “our authorities to impose sanctions on Iran for terrorism,
human rights, missiles, or any other nonnuclear reason.” Kerry also said that
“the JCPOA does not provide Iran any relief from United States sanctions under
any of those authorities.”
The United States’ experience negotiating with the Soviet Union, which had a
much more advanced nuclear program and military than Iran does today,
demonstrates that lifting pressure on human rights abusers is not necessary to
negotiate and implement verifiable arms control agreements. In fact, past
efforts have shown that it is counterproductive.
Neither Carter, while negotiating the Strategic Arms Limitation Treaty (SALT
II), nor Reagan, while negotiating the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF)
Treaty, made concessions on human rights in order to achieve progress on arms
control. Instead, both Carter and Reagan made clear to the Soviets that progress
on human rights was key to increasing trust on arms control.
In a June 1978 speech at the U.S. Naval Academy, Carter both discussed the
importance of the ongoing SALT II negotiations and sharply criticized Soviet
human rights violations, saying, “The abuse of basic human rights in their own
country … has earned them the condemnation of people everywhere who love
freedom.” Even at the height of the SALT II negotiations, Carter publicly
“condemned” and “deplored” a Soviet sentence on dissident Anatoly Sharansky.
Both Carter and his secretary of state, Cyrus Vance, used public and private
forums to impress upon Soviet leaders that continued human rights abuses would
anger the American public and hinder the possibility of the Senate ratifying the
completed SALT II treaty. Carter and Soviet chairman Leonid Brezhnev signed the
SALT II treaty in June 1979. The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan eventually
derailed Senate ratification, but both the United States and the Soviet Union
announced they would nevertheless abide by its provisions.
Reagan also negotiated and signed a major arms control agreement—the INF
treaty—while strongly pressuring the Soviets on human rights. Reagan publicly
called the Soviet Union an “evil empire.” He and his administration pressured
the Soviets by raising human rights in meetings with them, highlighting human
rights in presidential speeches, and openly discussing the issue with members of
Congress, human rights activists, and Soviet dissidents.
After a summit with the Soviets, Reagan publicly declared that “we didn’t limit
ourselves to just arms reductions.” Rather, he also discussed the Soviets’
“violation of human rights,” noting that “a government that will break faith
with its own people cannot be trusted to keep faith with foreign powers.”
Reagan, like Carter, found it helpful to portray Congress as a “bad cop” on
human rights issues. He emphasized to the Soviets that progress on other
bilateral issues, given the human rights concerns of both his administration and
congress, would be easier if Moscow would improve its human rights record.
Congressional action underscored this point to Moscow. The House and Senate
passed numerous resolutions condemning Soviet human rights violations, while
individual lawmakers criticized the administration when it even vaguely appeared
to subordinate human rights to arms control.
Kenneth Adelman, Reagan’s top arms control adviser at the time, eloquently
described the interplay between human rights and arms control in a January 1987
speech. He argued that human rights advocacy is not a hindrance, but rather a
contributor, to effective arms control agreements.
It is no surprise, said Adelman, that “a nation that makes no effort to abide by
its human rights agreement commitments also violates its arms control
agreements.” It also comes as no surprise, he added, when a nation “that
systematically lies to its own people fails to comply fully with an arms
agreement it signs with us.” Adelman concluded that “openness and arms control
go together.”
Thus, lifting human rights and counterterrorism sanctions would actually
decrease the prospects for Iran’s lasting and verifiable abandonment of its
nuclear weapons ambitions. It would also weaken deterrence against further
abuses, abandon victims, empower Iranian hardliners, and send a dangerous
message to Putin and his henchmen.
Much as it did with Carter and Reagan, Congress should act to ensure that the
United States continues to pursue an end not only to Iran’s nuclear program but
also to its egregious human rights abuses and state sponsorship of terrorism.
*Orde F. Kittrie is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies
and a law professor at Arizona State University. He previously served as the
U.S. State Department’s lead attorney for nuclear affairs. FDD is a Washington,
DC-based nonpartisan research institute focused on national security and foreign
policy. Follow him on Twitter @OrdeFK.
Russia sanctions grow faster, larger than South Africa
sanctions in 1980s
James Brooke/The Berkshire Eagle/March 15/2022
When I lived in Moscow, I worked for Bloomberg, banked at Citibank, used my Visa
card at Ikea, lunched at McDonald’s and flew home on Aeroflot to New York.
As of this week, all that is over. As more than 300 Western companies head for
the exits, financial sanctions have hit Russia’s economy like an atom bomb. Next
month, Russia is expected to default on its $40 billion worth of bonds held by
foreigners. This would be Russia’s first major default since the Bolsheviks
seized power in 1917. Since then, Czarist railroad bonds have made nice
wallpaper. Today, foreign banks, largely European, have $121 billion in exposure
to Russia.
For now, public opinion polls show a majority of Russians support Vladimir
Putin’s attack on Ukraine. Let’s see how they feel after the world’s 11th
biggest economy becomes the world’s biggest North Korea. For the last 23 years,
Putin’s post-Soviet deal with Russians was: You get a consumer goods revolution,
and I get unchecked political power.
With one stroke, Putin’s attack on Ukraine triggered the unwinding of three
decades of foreign investment in Russia.
In the two weeks following Russia’s attack on Ukraine, more than 300 major
western companies have halted Russian operations, according to a tally
maintained by Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, a Yale School of Management professor. This
exceeds the 200 big companies that took part in the 12-year campaign to divest
from white-ruled South Africa.
Let’s look at the Western companies that were my daily companions when I lived
in Moscow from 2006 to 2014. After Russia passed a law imposing 15-year jail
sentences on reporters calling Russia’s actions in Ukraine a “war,” Bloomberg
stopped covering Russia. The New York Times announced this week it is
withdrawing its reporters from Russia. Last week, Voice of America and Radio
Free Europe closed their joint bureau in Moscow. The VOA bureau opened in 1989
under Premier Mikhail S. Gorbachev. The Times bureau dates back to 1922, the
time of Vladimir Lenin.
Today, Citigroup is trying to sell its retail operations in Russia. UniCredit,
an Italian bank I also used in Moscow, warned Wednesday that it faces up to $8
billion of losses in Russia.
Last week, Visa, Mastercard, American Express and PayPal stopped processing
foreign purchases for millions of Russian citizens. Apple and Google shut off
their smartphone payments, cutting off cashless commuters at Moscow subway
stations.
Ikea, the Swedish home goods retailer, is temporarily closing its 17 stores
across Russia. Among the retailers joining the shutdowns are: Adidas, H&M Group,
L’Oréal, Nike, LVMH, Louis Vitton, Hermes, Chanel and Zara.
Levi Strauss & Company has stopped sales in Russia of its blue jeans — a symbol
of post-Soviet consumer freedom. From the consumer side, Russians’ purchasing
power vaporized after the ruble devalued by 50 percent since the war’s start.
On Tuesday, McDonald’s announced that it will temporarily close all 847
restaurants in Russia. Starbucks also said they would temporarily close all of
its 130 coffeeshops in Russia.
“Western companies probably haven’t lost so much money so quickly due to
geopolitics since the Shah was overthrown in Iran,” Renaissance Capital chief
economist Charlie Robertson told Reuters, referring to the Islamic revolution of
1979.
Aeroflot, Russia’s national flag carrier, is now a domestic airline. Last week
Aeroflot announced that the suspension of all international flights. Russian
airlines are banned from flying to the European Union, United Kingdom and the
U.S. Delta has dropped Aeroflot from its codeshare alliance.
Boeing and Airbus account for about two-thirds of all passenger jets used in
Russia. Last week, Boeing and Airbus said they will no longer service the
planes. Three Irish companies lease a total of 200 jets to Russian airlines. Now
the companies want to repossess the jets, valued at $3 billion, reports the
Irish Times. But a new Russian law may bar their return. On Thursday, President
Putin threatened to nationalize foreign-owned companies.
His chief propagandist, Russia Today editor Margarita Simonyan wrote on
Telegram: “Is there a reason why all these Pizza Huts and Ikeas and so on aren’t
nationalized already?”
Irritating Simonyan, the European Union last week banned Russia Today as a
propaganda arm of the Kremlin. RT America closed last week in the wake of a
massive boycott by U.S. cable networks.
Worrying the Kremlin is the threat that millions of jobs will evaporate due to
the West’s massive divestment campaign.
In Russia’s key natural resources sector, a series of heavyweights have
announced plans to pull out of Russia: Exxon Mobil, BP and Shell. Ford, GM,
Daimler Truck, Volvo and Volkswagen announced last week that they are suspending
operations in Russia.
Rio Tinto, the Anglo-Australian multinational that owns the world’s
second-largest metals and mining corporation, says it is “terminating all
commercial relationships it has with any Russian business.” Rio Tinto owns 80
percent of a joint venture with Rusal, the world’s second-largest aluminum
company. Vladimir Potanin, the nickels magnate and reportedly Russia’s richest
man after Putin, warns nationalizations would “bring us back 100 years, to
1917.”
For Russians, doing business, creating companies and selling products abroad are
increasingly difficult. Two weeks ago, most Russian banks were largely cut off
from SWIFT, the international payments system. This cutoff puts Russian in a
category approaching North Korea today and Iran a decade ago.
Goldman Sachs, emblematic of Russia’s go-go financial era, announced that it is
closing in Russia. Further hampering Russian companies ability to raise money,
the “big four” audit firms — E&Y, PwC, KPMG and Deloitte — plan to withdraw from
Russia. Robert Homans, an American financial expert, wrote Thursday on the
impact of the war: “[this departure] may make it difficult for lesser-known
Russian companies…to gain legitimacy with international investors, through
having audit reports prepared by Big 4 firms.”
With no sign of Putin withdrawing from Ukraine, the Biden Administration is
asking Congress to remove Russia’s status of “permanent normal trade relations.”
This could raise tariffs on U.S. imports of Russian goods from 3 percent to 33
percent. There are bipartisan calls in Congress to kick Russia out of the World
Trade Organization. Maersk and two other major shipping lines have stopped
servicing Russian ports. With Moscow’s stock market closed for last two weeks
and international ratings agencies cutting Russian sovereign bonds to junk
status, Russia’s gross domestic product is expected to contract by 15 to 20
percent this year.
“The crisis will be most severe for a minimum of three years — take the 1998
crisis and multiply it by three,” Oleg Deripaska, a metals billionaire, said
referring to the partial default, big devaluation and five percent GDP drop in
1998. This 1998 economic crisis paved the way for the rise of Putin to the
presidency in the following year.
Back in 1970, Andrei Amalrik, a young Soviet dissident, wrote an essay with a
heretical title: “Will the Soviet Union Survive Until 1984?”
Now the question may be: Will Putin survive until 2024?
*Lenox native James Brooke is a visiting fellow for the Foundation for Defense
of Democracies. FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research institute
focused on national security and foreign policy.
A chance for a ‘longer and stronger’ deal, rather than a
contract of capitulation
Jacob Nagel and Meir Ben-Shabbat/Israel Hayom/March 15/2022
The halt to the Vienna nuclear talks due to Russia's demand that sanctions on it
exclude trade with Iran, have led to a watershed moment to expose the dangers of
the deal.
Unexpectedly, the world powers have decided on an unspecified halt to the
negotiations for a new nuclear deal with Iran.
Russian envoy to the talks Mikhail Ulyanov – who was interviewed a few days ago
and expressed pride (justifiable, his opinion) that under his leadership and
with help from the Chinese, the Iranians were about to receive a much better
deal than they could have hoped for in their wildest dreams – fell into line
with orders from Moscow and led to a freeze in the talks. But he wasn’t acting
alone.
The round of talks last week was surprising from the opening gambit. Although
the leading EU representative declared that they were no longer negotiations but
rather political decisions, each side arrived with demands, both new and old.
The Iranians laid out at least three new demands: that the list of entities to
be removed from the sanctions list be reopened and include the Iranian
Revolutionary Guards Corps and its terrorist arms; precisely-worded guarantees
and compensatory mechanisms should the US withdraw from the agreement again; and
a promise about the final result of the IAEA’s open investigations, due in June.
The Americans made a new demand that the Iranians commit to stopping their
aggression in the Persian Gulf, including the launch of a direct communications
channel between Iran and the US. Even the Chinese appear to have made demands
having to do with restrictions placed on them in the past that have nothing to
do with the Iran nuclear negotiations.
Still, it appears that the demand that broke the camel’s back was when Russia
asked that the sanctions applied to them in response to the Ukraine invasion
exempt trade with the Iranian market, which was due to reopen after the deal was
signed.
The disadvantages of the deal
At the moment, the negotiations have been frozen, but because all sides want a
deal, it is likely that we will soon see them start again. Because most of the
demands, other than that of Russia, are issues that can be resolved, it is
important at this time to lay out the disadvantages and dangers of the deal and
point out steps that Israel will have to take (apparently on its own) if it is
signed, or with the US and other partners if it is not.
The nascent agreement, spearheaded by Russia and China, has the full support of
the American team, led by Robert Malley, minus those senior team members who
have resigned because of his ineffectual conduct. This deal is both bad and
dangerous, and it allows Iran to secure a nuclear bomb in the next few years,
which will lead to a nuclear arms race throughout the Middle East.
The deal, which is partly based on the 2015 agreement, hasn’t solved a single
one of the fundamental problems, and adds new ones. A “proper” agreement would
ensure that Iran will not become a nuclear threshold state and certainly not a
nuclear one, but the many mistakes made in the negotiations did not allow
anything close to a deal of that kind.
The deal does not have the tools or leverage to force the Iranians into another
round of negotiations for a “longer and stronger” agreement, as Biden promised.
According to the timeline of the original deal, the limitations on Iran’s
nuclear program are due to expire soon, and will certainly expire now that a
future deal will not be signed within the next few months.
The deal that has been reached is based only on good will and will give the
Iranians everything they want, and more – without demanding nearly anything in
return, other than a stop to some of their more blatant violations of the deal,
especially since Biden was elected president.
Dangers and harm
The world powers will almost immediately (in 2025) lose any practical ability to
reestablish the snapback mechanism, which allowed sanctions to be reapplied,
leaving them without any way of pressuring the Iranians, who – very soon after
the deal is signed – will see assets worth hundreds of billions of dollars
released.
The future of the IAEA’s open investigations met with an embarrassing defeat
after IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi’s visit to Vienna. The sides presented
the agreements as an achievement because unlike the decision to close the
handling of PMD under the 2015 deal, this time, the signing won’t end the
investigations.
The IAEA closed the investigation into illegal use of metal uranium, and left
three cases open, in which Iran must respond by the time the IAEA Board of
Governors meets in June. Can anyone doubt that after the deal is signed, no one
will dare demand real answers from the Iranians or threaten the deal? Even
without a deal, it doesn’t look like anything will happen in June. The stature
of the IAEA, which is supposed to oversee the deal, has been irreparably
damaged, but if the deal fell apart it might be possible to repair the harm.
The deal also does not address oversight of activity to develop its weapons
systems (Section T). It appears that a secret 2015 agreement between the
Russians, the Iranians, and the Americans, about a lack of intention to enforce
that section, is still in effect. We can assume that the new draft agreement
also includes secret documents and side deals.
In addition, the deal includes an almost immediate lifting of most of the
sanctions – including ones applied to organizations, institutions, and
individuals – regardless of the nuclear program. And this comes at a time when
the Iran-backed Houthis are attacking oil facilities in Riyadh and threatening
an escalation, and the Iranians are firing precision ballistic missiles at
American targets in Iraq. There can be no bigger prize for Shiite terrorism.
The goal: To weaken Iran
Whether or not the deal is signed, it is important to now expose all the
problematic details and create a wave of opposition to it in the US Congress
going into the midterm elections.
This is a watershed opportunity to make opposition to the deal a bilateral issue
and bring some Democrats on board so a message can be sent that business as
usual with the Iranians is very dangerous. This is why the Iranians asked for an
addendum outlining understandings stipulating that they are the ones who will
decide if the US (and Britain) will leave the deal, and ensure that if so, Iran
is compensated by receiving legitimacy to enrich uranium to 60%, as well as
permission to set up thousands of advanced centrifuges.
In the mid- and long-term, Israel has to prepare for a campaign to weaken Iran
in every way possible – economically, diplomatically, militarily, politically,
through cyber, kinetic means, soft and legal tools, and more – and invest the
appropriate resources in every aspect of this, like it has already begun to do.
Iran’s leader must realize that the era is over in which the head of the hydra
stays invulnerable while it reaches out (through satellites in the Middle East
and the Gulf) to attack and destabilize. This change first appeared in the
defense outlook Netanyahu published in 2018, and to which Prime Minister Bennett
recently returned.
Responsibility for the campaign to weaken Iran should be assigned to the Mossad,
the IDF, and the Shin Bet security agency, in conjunction with the Foreign
Ministry and the political leadership, through the National Security Council. It
is crucial to build a mechanism that can carry messages to the international
audience, especially in the US, that underscore the direct and expected nuclear
threat to every US city after Iran finishes testing its intercontinental
ballistic missiles. If the deal isn’t signed, this could be done in partnership
with the American administration.
Rather than exerting maximum financial pressure combined with a credible
military threat, the US was ready to sign a dangerous, disgraceful “contract of
capitulation” in Vienna. The halt to the talks has created an unplanned
opportunity for the US and Israel to build a joint plan that will force Iran to
move quickly toward a “longer, stronger deal,” one that would truly block its
path to a nuclear weapon.
*Brig. Gen. (Res.) Professor Jacob Nagel is a former national security adviser
to the prime minister and a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of
Democracies. Meir Ben-Shabbat, a visiting senior research fellow at the
Institute for National Security Studies, served as Israel’s national security
adviser and head of the National Security Council between 2017 and 2021.
North Korea Shows How the Iranian Nuclear Deal Will Fail
Anthony Ruggiero and Michael Rubin/The National Interest/March 15/ 2022
Nuclear negotiations with North Korea have shown us that limited nuclear deals
allow the proliferator the time and space to develop nuclear weapons.
Over thirty years ago, North and South Korea signed a “Denuclearization”
declaration forswearing plutonium reprocessing, uranium enrichment, and the
development, testing, or possession of nuclear weapons. To reach an agreement,
the United States removed its own nuclear missiles from South Korea and canceled
its annual military exercises. Secretary of State James Baker patted himself on
his back. “American diplomacy [was] directly responsible for an end to six years
of intransigence by the North.” The deal assuaged Washington but did not derail
Pyongyang’s ambitions. Fourteen years later, North Korea conducted its first
nuclear test. It was not the last time an American president would claim that a
limited nuclear deal ended a proliferators’ nuclear desire.
Rogues know that brinksmanship against the United States works. Thirteen months
after the United States declared victory, North Korea threatened to leave the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) over concerns about Pyongyang’s nuclear
activities. The Kim regime’s nuclear escalation should have raised red flags in
Washington, but failed to do so. Instead, diplomacy’s cheerleaders preferred to
blame Americans for these failures. As a remedy, President Bill Clinton briefly
considered military action but decided against it, and by the end of the year,
all signs of progress evaporated. North Korea threatened to turn Seoul into a
“sea of fire,” and Pyongyang again blocked inspections.
Clinton sought to keep North Korea inside the NPT at any price. “If North Korea
could walk away from the treaty’s obligations with impunity at the very moment
its nuclear program appeared poised for weapons production, it would have dealt
a devastating blow from which the treaty might never recover,” U.S. negotiator
Robert Gallucci explained.
It was a case of not seeing the forest for the trees. The scramble to preserve
the limited deal blinded Washington to Pyongyang’s greater interest: preventing
inspectors from sites that would demonstrate nuclear work. Just as with the Iran
nuclear negotiations now, the goal appeared more for the president to show “the
paper which bears his name upon it as well as mine” than to prevent an
adversary’s empowerment.
Clinton eventually reached a deal—the 1994 Agreed Framework—that, in theory, put
North Korea’s nuclear program in a box. But, it did nothing of the sort.
Instead, the agreement ignored Pyongyang’s past NPT violations and provided
Kim’s regime a $4 billion payout.
Unfortunately, the George W. Bush administration repeated this pattern. Almost
eight years after signing the Agreed Framework, North Korea admitted to pursuing
a covert uranium enrichment program after U.S. intelligence confronted them.
President Bush initially listed Pyongyang as a member of his “Axis of Evil,” but
six years later, he paid the Kim regime $2.5 million for the political theater
of blowing up the Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center.
Today, the same pattern repeats with only minor variations in the Iran
negotiations. When, in July 2015, the P5+1—the United States, France, Germany,
United Kingdom, Russia, and China—agreed to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of
Action (JCPOA) with Iran, politicians sang its praises. We have “achieved
something that decades of animosity has not — a comprehensive, long-term deal
with Iran that will prevent it from obtaining a nuclear weapon,” President
Barack Obama declared. The Biden administration is repeating this pattern with
its singular focus on returning to the expiring, limited nuclear deal.
Herein lies two interlinked problems with the limited Iran nuclear deal.
First, the JCPOA does not address past and future Iranian covert nuclear
activities. The deal spelled out an inspections regime for Iran’s declared
nuclear facilities. While JCPOA supporters claim the deal includes stringent
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspections—a debatable assertion—what
is certain is that the IAEA did not know about Tehran’s undeclared nuclear
activities before Israel stole Iran’s nuclear archive in 2018. That operation
proved false Obama’s assertion that the accord has “the most comprehensive
inspection and verification regime ever negotiated to monitor a nuclear
program.” He added, “The bottom line is, if Iran cheats, we can catch them—and
we will.”
Iran has also consistently blocked full inspections, especially of sites it
defined as military. Indeed, this has always been among the red lines
articulated by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. In February 2021, Iran reduced the
IAEA’s ability to monitor Tehran’s nuclear program. While partisans will blame
President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the JCPOA, this agreement did not
supplant Iran’s NPT commitments that it again violates. Countries do not reduce
monitoring if they have nothing to hide. It is possible to hide a centrifuge
cascade. The Institute for Science and International Security estimates that if
Iran used its current stockpile of enriched uranium in a clandestine 650 IR-6
cascade, a configuration that could be placed in a small warehouse, it could
make enough weapons-grade uranium for one nuclear weapon in about a month.
Second, the 2015 deal does not address Tehran’s cooperation with North Korea.
The UN Panel of Experts determined that Iran and North Korea had resumed
cooperation on long-range missiles in 2020. North Korea’s weaponization program
has advanced since its first nuclear test in October 2006. Pyongyang can provide
lessons learned or specific techniques to help Iran’s weaponization efforts.
Certainly, the renewed resourcing of the Islamic Republic as a result of
sanctions relief, waivers, and new foreign investment could allow Iran to fund
this cooperation from a North Korean regime that is willing to sell weapons and
missile technology to the highest bidder. At a minimum, Pyongyang could provide
expertise and information that allow Tehran to shorten its weaponization
timeline. The work could occur in North Korea or Iran if Tehran would not allow
any off site work by Iranian scientists. All of this covert activity would be
hard to detect and disrupt.
Nuclear negotiations with North Korea have shown us that limited nuclear deals
allow the proliferator the time and space to develop nuclear weapons. President
Joe Biden must reject the mistakes of his predecessors and insist on a longer
and stronger deal that eliminates Iran’s pathway to a nuclear weapon.
*Anthony Ruggiero and Michael Rubin are, respectively, senior fellows at the
Foundation for Defense of Democracies and the American Enterprise Institute.
Follow Anthony on Twitter @NatSecAnthony. FDD is a Washington, D.C.-based,
nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.