English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For March 13/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
The Third
Lent Sunday/The Miracle Of Healing The haemorrhagic Woman
Luke 08/40-56: 40/Now when Jesus returned, a crowd welcomed him, for
they were all expecting him. 41 Then a man named Jairus, a synagogue leader,
came and fell at Jesus’ feet, pleading with him to come to his house because his
only daughter, a girl of about twelve, was dying. As Jesus was on his way, the
crowds almost crushed him. And a woman was there who had been subject to
bleeding for twelve years, but no one could heal her. She came up behind him and
touched the edge of his cloak, and immediately her bleeding stopped. “Who
touched me?” Jesus asked.
When they all denied it, Peter said, “Master, the people are crowding and
pressing against you.” But Jesus said, “Someone touched me; I know that power
has gone out from me.” Then the woman, seeing that she could not go unnoticed,
came trembling and fell at his feet. In the presence of all the people, she told
why she had touched him and how she had been instantly healed. 48 Then he said
to her, “Daughter, your faith has healed you. Go in peace.” While Jesus was
still speaking, someone came from the house of Jairus, the synagogue leader.
“Your daughter is dead,” he said. “Don’t bother the teacher anymore.” Hearing
this, Jesus said to Jairus, “Don’t be afraid; just believe, and she will be
healed.” When he arrived at the house of Jairus, he did not let anyone go in
with him except Peter, John and James, and the child’s father and mother.
Meanwhile, all the people were wailing and mourning for her. “Stop wailing,”
Jesus said. “She is not dead but asleep.” They laughed at him, knowing that she
was dead. 54 But he took her by the hand and said, “My child, get up!” Her
spirit returned, and at once she stood up. Then Jesus told them to give her
something to eat. 56 Her parents were astonished, but he ordered them not to
tell anyone what had happened.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on March 12-13/2022
The Bleeding Women's Miracle: Faith & Hope/Elias Bejjani/March 13/2022LF
Accuses FPM of Stirring Political Clashes to Postpone Elections
Corona - Healh Ministry: 763 new Corona cases, 7 deaths
What is happening in Lebanon is unacceptable, tweets Abdel Samad
Taymour Jumblatt: Upcoming elections an essential juncture along the struggle
path towards sovereignty
Lebanon goes international with 'AMACO'
"Sulkiness hears no logic," tweets Bassil
Abou Faour: Handing Lebanon over to Iran will not happen
The General Directorate of Oil reminds fuel traders of strict measures in the
event of manipulation of the official price
Cash or card? Confusion rages over Lebanon’s new payment system
Takieddine: Losses of the US, the Zionist entity and Europe from the fall of
Ukraine into the hands of the Russians are incalculable
Supermarket owners: Payment method will become 50% cash-50% credit card
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on March 12-13/2022
Russian Demands Threaten to Derail Iran Nuclear Talks
US pays $2 million every month to protect Pompeo, aide from Iran threat
US official warns Israel not to be 'last haven for dirty money' funding Russian
invasion of Ukraine
Leaders of France and Germany Hold New Talks with Putin
Ukraine President Appeals to Mothers of Russian Soldiers
Russian Forces Squeeze Kyiv, Surround Mariupol
UN Experts Say Russian Media Law Amounts to Information ‘Blackout'
US Accuses Russia of Violating Nuclear Safety Principles in Ukraine
Israel, Ukraine Deny Report Bennett Recommended Yielding to Russian Demands
Eastern Europe Embraces Ukraine Refugees as Workforce
Concern Grows over Traffickers Targeting Ukrainian Refugees
Will Russia Bring Syrian Fighters to Ukraine?
Croatia Urges NATO Cooperation after 'Drone from Ukraine' Crashes in Zagreb
Turkey, Armenia Hold 'Constructive' Talks on Mending Ties
Titles For The Latest LCCC English
analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on March 12-13/2022
Turkey: Occupies Northern Cyprus, Goes for the Rest/Uzay Bulut/Gatestone
Institute/March 12/2022
Sisi in Riyadh…The Consolidation of an Arab Regional Order/Zuhair Al-Harthi/Asharq
Al Awsat/March 12/2022
Another Chernobyl Disaster? Russian Invaders Are Taking the Risk/Tobin Harshaw/Bloomberg/March
12/2022
Russia and the US Helped the Demise of the Iran Talks/Camelia Entekhabifard/Asharq
Al Awsat/March 12/202
War Crimes Charges Wouldn’t Scare Putin/Stephen L. Carter/Bloomberg/March
12/2022
Why Are the Biden Administration, EU, Appeasing the Iranian Regime?/Dr. Majid
Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/March 12/ 2022
Dealing with Egypt’s demographic dilemma/Mohamed Abulfadl/The Arab Weekly/March
12/2022
on March 12-13/2022
The Bleeding Women's Miracle: Faith &
Hope
Elias Bejjani/March 13/2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/36973/elias-bejjani-the-bleeding-women-faith-hope/
(John 6:68): “Lord, to whom would we go? You have the words of eternal life"
Whenever we are in real trouble encountering devastating and harsh conditions
either physically or materially, we unconsciously react with sadness, anger,
confusion, helplessness and feel abandoned. When in a big mess, we expect our
family members and friends to automatically run to our rescue. But in the
majority of such difficult situations, we discover with great disappointment
that in reality our heartfelt expectations do not unfold as we wish.
What is frustrating and shocking is that very few of our family members and
friends would stand beside us during hardships and endeavour to genuinely offer
the needed help. Those who have already walked through these rocky life paths
and adversities definitely know very well the bitter taste of disappointment.
They know exactly the real meaning of the well-know saying, "a friend in need is
a friend indeed".
Sadly our weak human nature is driven by inborn instincts that often make us
side with the rich, powerful, healthy and strong over the poor, weak, needy and
sick. Those who have no faith in Almighty God find it very difficult to cope in
a real mess.
Meanwhile, those whose faith is solid stand up with courage, refuse to give up
hope, and call on their Almighty Father for help through praying and worshiping.
They know for sure that our Great Father is loving and passionate. He will not
abandon any one of us when calling on Him for mercy and help because He said and
promised so. Matthew 11/28-30: "Come to me, all you who labor and are heavily
burdened, and I will give you rest. Take my yoke upon you, and learn from me,
for I am gentle and lowly in heart; and you will find rest for your souls. For
my yoke is easy, and my burden is light."
One might ask, 'Why should I pray?' And, 'Do I have to ask God for help, can't
He help me without praying to Him?' The answer is 'no'. We need to pray and when
we do so with faith and confidence God listens and responds (Mark 11/:24):
"Therefore I tell you, all things whatever you pray and ask for, believe that
you have received them, and you shall have them"
Yes, we have to make the effort and be adamant and persistent. We have to ask
and knock in a bid to show our mere submission to Him and He with no doubt shall
provide. (Matthew 7/7 & 8): "Ask, and it will be given you. Seek, and you will
find. Knock, and it will be opened for you. For everyone who asks receives. He
who seeks finds. To him who knocks it will be opened".
On this second Sunday of Lent in our Catholic Church's Eastern Maronite rite, we
cite and recall the miraculous cure of the bleeding woman in Matthew 9/20-22,
Mark 5/25-34, and Luke 8/43-48. As we learn from the Holy Gospel, the bleeding
woman's great faith made her believe without a shred of doubt that her twelve
years of chronic bleeding would stop immediately if she touched Jesus' garment.
She knew deeply in her heart that Jesus would cure her even without asking him.
Her faith cured the bleeding and made her well. Her prayers were heard and
responded to.
Luke 8/:43-49: "A woman who had a flow of blood for twelve years, who had spent
all her living on physicians, and could not be healed by any, came behind him
(Jesus), and touched the fringe of his cloak, and immediately the flow of her
blood stopped. Jesus said, “Who touched me?” When all denied it, Peter and those
with him said, “Master, the multitudes press and jostle you, and you say, ‘Who
touched me?’” 8:46 But Jesus said, “Someone did touch me, for I perceived that
power has gone out of me.” When the woman saw that she was not hidden, she came
trembling, and falling down before him declared to him in the presence of all
the people the reason why she had touched him, and how she was healed
immediately. He said to her, “Daughter, cheer up. Your faith has made you well.
Go in peace.”
The woman's faith cured her chronic bleeding and put her back in the society as
a normal and acceptable citizen. During that era women with uterus bleeding were
looked upon as sinners, defiled and totally banned from entering synagogues for
praying. Meanwhile, because of her sickness she was physically unable to be a
mother and bear children. Sadly she was socially and religiously abandoned,
humiliated and alienated. But her faith and hope empowered her with the needed
strength and perseverance and enabled her to cope successfully against all odds.
Hallelujah! Faith can do miracles. Yes indeed. (Luke17/5 & 6): " The apostles
said to the Lord, “Increase our faith.” The Lord said, “If you had faith like a
grain of mustard seed, you would tell this sycamore tree, ‘Be uprooted, and be
planted in the sea,’ and it would obey you". How badly do we today need to have
a faith like that of this women?
Let us all on this second Lent Sunday pray with solid faith.
Let us ask Almighty God who cured the bleeding women, and who was crucified on
the cross to absolve our original sin, that He would endow His Holy graces of
peace, tranquility, and love all over the world. And that He would strengthen
the faith, patience and hope of all those persecuted, imprisoned, and deprived
for courageously witnessing the Gospel's message and truth.
LF Accuses FPM of Stirring Political Clashes to Postpone
Elections
Naharnet/March 12/202
Lebanese Forces sources have accused the Free Patriotic Movement of stirring
“political clashes” with the aim of postponing the May 15 parliamentary
elections. “The FPM remembered the issue of megacenters only two and a half
months before the elections, and it did not mention it in 2018, which raises
suspicions,” the sources told ad-Diyar newspaper in remarks published Saturday.
“The LF backs the megacenters idea because it boosts the voting turnout and this
is in its interest, and it also lessens the burdens on citizens amid the current
economic and financial crisis,” the sources pointed out. The sources also noted
that prior to the megacenters controversy, the FPM had “raised the issue of the
sixteenth district and the prosecution of Maj. Gen. Imad Othman, which means
that it is deliberately stirring political clashes in order to postpone the
parliamentary elections.”“The Strong Lebanon bloc is seeking to tell people that
it is reformist on the eve of parliamentary elections, although it is
non-reformist, seeing as it has not accepted the appointments mechanism law and
the judiciary’s independence law,” the sources added. “Therefore, the FPM has
nothing to do with reform,” the LF sources charged. Cabinet had this week
dropped the megacenters plan, postponing it to 2026, but senior FPM sources have
said that the Movement might seek parliament’s ruling on the issue in addition
to other escalatory measures.
Corona - Healh Ministry: 763 new Corona cases, 7 deaths
NNA/March 12/2022
In its daily report on the COVID-19 developments, the Ministry of Public Health
announced Saturday the registration of 763 new Coronavirus infections, which
raised the cumulative number of confirmed cases to-date to 1,084,114.The report
added that 7 deaths were recorded during the past 24 hours
What is happening in Lebanon is unacceptable, tweets Abdel
Samad
NNA/March 12/2022
Former Information Minister, Dr. Manal Abdel Samad Najd, tweeted today on the
dire economic situation, saying: "What is happening in Lebanon is not
acceptable, whether at the economic, daily-living or social level...Politics was
created to serve a country, not to destroy it!! The black market dollars rise
and drop, yet consumer prices rise and do not drop...and the people are
oppressed at all instances...Let us have mercy on what's left of our people....#Lebanon_is_not_ok!"
Taymour Jumblatt: Upcoming elections an essential juncture
along the struggle path towards sovereignty
NNA/March 12/2022
Head of the Democratic Gathering, MP Taymour Jumblatt, affirmed that "the
upcoming parliamentary elections will be an essential junction along the path of
the ongoing struggle for sovereignty and what we see today of old - new attempts
to control the country and besiege sovereign votes..." He added: "The date of
these elections will be a date to confirm political constants so that Lebanon
remains an oasis of diversity in the face of all the abolitionists of some
political forces and civil movements." The MP's words came during a working
meeting he held with the central electoral committee of the "Progressive
Socialist Party" at Al-Mukhtara Palace today, in the presence of his sister
Dalia Jumblatt, and with the participation of Deputies Marwan Hamadeh, Akram
Chehayeb, Bilal Abdallah and Faisal Al-Sayegh, and the new candidates expected
to run in the upcoming elections. Jumblatt gave his directives "to demonstrate
the required and effective interaction with the youth, and to involve them in
decision-making and building the future they aspire for...in the face of the
despair and frustration that has afflicted the Lebanese people in general and
pushed the youth to emigrate.
Lebanon goes international with 'AMACO'
NNA/March 12/2022
"AMACO Group" participated in the "Paper One Show" Exhibition on March 7-9, 2022
- the seventh edition of the first international exhibition of tissue paper in
the Middle East and North Africa, which was held in Sharjah in the United Arab
Emirates. The exhibition was a success after it brought together many of the
world's leading manufacturers of sanitary paper, and major producers and
suppliers in this sector from across the region, including Eastern Europe,
Russia, the CIS, the Middle East, Central Asia and North Africa. Several heads
and managers of leading Arab and international companies in the sanitary paper
industry visited Lebanon's "AMACO" pavilion, where they were briefed on the
latest developments in the industrial group's machinery technologies, making it
a pioneer in the manufacture of tissue paper converting machines.
"Sulkiness hears no logic," tweets Bassil
NNA/March 12/2022
Free Patriotic Movement Chief, MP Gebran Bassil, said today via Twitter: "In the
parliamentary session of October 19, the 'sullen group' dropped many reform
provisions in the electoral law, such as the Lebanese Diaspora constituency and
voting at the place of residence, and March 27 was fixed as the date for the
parliamentary elections....I am not an expert in weather forecasts, but during
said session I presented a census of the last 10 years on the storms occurring
in the month of March, yet 'grump' hears no logic...!"He added in a second
tweet: "It is good that the President of the Republic, in his authority, set the
elections date on May 15 and hence, rescued the elections...But as for the
megacenter and the representatives of the immigrants, neither does he have any
powers nor do we have the majority...That is why the "sulky group" dropped them
in Parliament, the Constitutional Council and the government."
Abou Faour: Handing Lebanon over to Iran will not happen
NNA/March 12/2022
Member of the "Democratic Gathering" parliamentary bloc, MP Wael Abu Faour,
considered Saturday that "Lebanon's huge catastrophe was in the Mar Mikhael
agreement, which in fact meant handing Lebanon over to Iran, in exchange for
satisfying the greed of the presidential and authoritarian Free Patriotic
Movement, which was achieved by President Michel Aoun reaching
presidency..."However, Abou Faour asserted that "Aoun's presidential mandate is
in its final phase, and the handing over of Lebanon to Iran will not happen."
The General Directorate of Oil reminds fuel traders of
strict measures in the event of manipulation of the official price
NNA/March 12/2022
“A number of social media platforms are circulating news about the intention of
some fuel traders to take advantage of the harsh winter conditions and the
citizens’ need for heating, by adopting a price that is different from the
official price," the General Directorate of Oil indiacted in a statement this
Saturday. "It is important for the General Directorate of Oil to remind fuel
traders that it will take the maximum measures against the violators, up to
completely depriving them of obtaining fuel from any of the importing and
distributing companies in the event of any such news from the Ministry of
Economy or any security authority empowered to protect the citizen," it warned.
Cash or card? Confusion rages over Lebanon’s new payment
system
Najia Houssari/Arab News/March 12, 2022
Supermarkets asked to split payments between systems, as gas stations refuse to
accept full card payments
Ukraine crisis adds to country’s 'inflationary depression' as generator kingpin
warns people may soon run out of money to buy fuel
BEIRUT: Supermarket owners in Lebanon have blamed “hard-line measures” from the
Banque du Liban for the introduction of a new payment system for their
customers. The central bank’s change requires the payment of 50 percent of the
value of purchases in cash, and 50 percent through bank cards, on account of
“low liquidity” in markets, according to Nabil Fahed, head of the Syndicate of
Supermarket Owners. This development came the same day as gas station owners
decided to stop accepting full payments for fuel via bank card. Dr. Jassem Ajaka,
an economist, described the repercussions as “economically catastrophic, as long
as the amount of banknotes in Lebanese pounds that a citizen can withdraw from
banks is limited while prices are rising.” This situation, he claimed, would
make people consume less, causing a decline in GDP and a larger contraction in
the economy.
Charles Arbid, president of the Economic and Social Council, said that Lebanon
“is experiencing inflationary depression: That is, consumption and economic
movement are stalled.”
Operational prices are also rising for sectors such as energy and
transportation, developments which, he said, require the immediate launch of a
three-dimensional participatory dialogue at government level with employers and
workers to devise solutions and take action.
He added: “No solutions are magical and readily available.”
The Association of Banks in Lebanon, meanwhile, will pay the government-approved
social assistance to public sector employees, including the military. This
assistance is equivalent to half of an additional salary per month, with a
minimum of 1.5 million Lebanese pounds ($993) and a maximum of 3 million pounds.
Sixty percent of this is paid in cash, and other means of payment are being
adopted to transfer the remaining 40 percent by bank card or check. Nawal Nassr,
president of the Public Administration Staff Association, said: “We can no
longer afford to be approached with this level of absurdity. “So far, we are
committed to a day of attendance and we will stop doing so if this procedure is
applied.”The repercussions of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which has
exacerbated the world’s oil crisis and its derivatives, have also reached
Lebanon.
A gallon of gasoline in the mediterranean country currently costs 500,000
pounds, and must now be paid for in cash.
Abdo Saade, head of a group of private generator owners, warned on Saturday that
monthly subscription charges would increase between 30 percent to 40 percent due
to the high price of diesel for his generators. Prices currently range between
800,000 and 2 million pounds, and possibly even more depending on consumption,
he said, “After March 15, we may turn off generators in most areas because of
people’s inability to pay consumption fees and (the) lack of liquidity,” Saade
added. The severe economic crisis that Lebanon has faced for two years has
prevented bank transfers abroad, with several banks introducing new rules to
manage deposits. Withdrawal ceilings in Lebanese pounds and dollars are no
longer commensurate with the amount of money that citizens need to pay for their
expenses.Traders argue that they have resorted to this procedure because they
pay importers in cash for their goods.
Ajaka explained: “Why do they want to pay cash? The first reason is that
suppliers accept only cash, meaning that the problem is with the supplier, whose
reasons to do so need to be investigated. The second reason is that traders work
with illegal people. The third reason is to keep the money in cash as a safety
margin in the event of a deterioration in the situation.”
He pointed out that traders “argue that banks ask them to put their daily income
in (the) banks for them to transfer money in cash to their employees when paying
their salaries.”Ajaka added that reliance on cash increased tax evasion, because
traders then declare less of their business, and deprived the banking sector of
resources to pump back into the economy. One Beirut bank manager, who declined
to be named, told Arab News that the BdL “works by activating a banking text to
dry the market from the Lebanese lira (pound), in addition to taking other
measures aimed at curbing the black market that manipulates the dollar exchange
rate. “At the same time, it has decided not to respond to the banks’ requests
for liquidity in the Lebanese lira, asking them to get it from the market.” The
bank manager added: “The central bank believes that the liquidity in lira that
came out of it in huge quantities did not return to the central bank through the
circulation. So where did this money go? It either went to storage or to supply
the black market.” The source said although Greece adopted this measure during
its economic crisis, it cannot be adopted for a long time. Ajaka believes that
the authorities are likely to “issue laws and decrees to oblige traders to
accept payment by bank cards because it is not possible to continue with cash in
this way.”
Takieddine: Losses of the US, the Zionist entity and Europe
from the fall of Ukraine into the hands of the Russians are incalculable
NNA/March 12/2022
Head of the National Accord Party, Bilal Takieddine, said via Twitter today:
"The losses of the United States of America, the Zionist entity, and Europe from
the fall of Ukraine into the hands of the Russians are incalculable...Ukraine is
an advanced base for money laundering and espionage, and laboratories for
biological weapons...!Today, all their dreams have collapsed before their eyes,
and they have nothing else to do but wailing and weeping!"
Supermarket owners: Payment method will become 50% cash-50%
credit card
NNA/March 12/2022
The Syndicate of Supermarket Owners announced in a statement that "all of its
members have started applying the new payment method, based on 50% cash and 50%
using bank cards."
The statement indicated that "the syndicate was forced to adopt the new payment
mechanism, under the pressure of the strict measures taken by the Central
Bank."The syndicate also hoped that "the monetary situation in the country will
be stabilized as soon as possible so that things will return to the way they
were in the past, which is in the interest of everyone, especially the
citizens."
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
March 12-13/2022
Russian Demands Threaten to Derail Iran Nuclear
Talks
Agence France Presse/March 12/2022
Last-minute Russian demands related to the Ukraine conflict threatened to derail
the near-complete process of reviving the Iran nuclear deal, as the EU announced
negotiations would be paused. The EU's foreign policy chief Josep Borrell
tweeted that the pause was "due to external factors," despite the fact that "a
final text is essentially ready and on the table."The current round of
negotiations started in late November in the Austrian capital Vienna between
Britain, China, France, Germany, Iran and Russia, with the U.S. taking part
indirectly. They had progressed most of the way toward their aim -- the revival
of the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which began unravelling
when former U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew from the deal in 2018. The EU
diplomat who has been chairing the talks, Enrique Mora, told reporters that
delegations had got to the point of "negotiating footnotes."He praised in
particular the United States and Iran for their "very constructive, very
positive approach", adding that he hoped to see the talks resume "very, very
soon."However, last week Russia said it was demanding guarantees that the
Western sanctions imposed on its economy following its invasion of Ukraine would
not affect its trade with Iran. As with the original JCPOA in 2015, Moscow had
been expected to play a role in the implementation of any fresh deal, for
example by receiving shipments of enriched uranium from Iran. "The Ukraine
conflict has now entered the Vienna talks in a very real way," Eric Brewer of
the Nuclear Threat Initiative told AFP. He said the "blanket guarantee" demanded
by Moscow "has thrown a wrench into this process at the last minute that really
threatens to upend talks and prevent the restoration of the JCPOA."The United
States on Friday put the ball in Iran and Russia's court after the EU
announcement. "We are confident that we can achieve mutual return to
compliance... (if) those decisions are made in places like Tehran and Moscow,"
State Department spokesman Ned Price told reporters.
Energy 'weapon'
One EU source close to the talks said that Russia had at first made "reasonable"
requests related to its civilian nuclear activities in Iran, but that they were
then broadened "outside the scope of the JCPOA."Another diplomat from one of the
European parties to deal said that "if the Russian block is confirmed to be
definitive, we will be obliged to look at other options," adding that Moscow
could not be allowed to "take the deal hostage."The head of the British
delegation Stephanie al-Qaq tweeted that she was "deeply disappointed" at the
pause in the talks. The last-minute hitch must be resolved in the "next few
days", she warned, or else the agreement was "likely to unravel."After he
withdrew from the JCPOA, Trump went on to reimpose sanctions on Iran, including
on its vital oil sector. That prompted Iran to start disregarding the curbs laid
down in the deal on its nuclear activity. The JCPOA aimed to ensure Iran would
not be able to develop a nuclear weapon, which it has always denied seeking.
"Russia's gambit may be to delay the revival of the deal in order to avoid a
flood of Iranian oil on the market" and the subsequent fall in prices, Clement
Therme, Iran specialist at France's Paul Valery University told AFP. "In keeping
prices high, the Kremlin can use energy as a weapon against the West," he added.
Russia rejects blame
As for Iran itself, "the Islamic Republic isn't in a position to counter the
Russian strategy," Therme said. "Moscow is making use of Iran's weakness."Tehran
itself has blamed the US for "creating challenges" in the final stage of the
talks. Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh said in a tweet
Friday that "no external factor will affect our joint will to go forward for a
collective agreement."Russia's ambassador to the U.N. in Vienna, Mikhail Ulyanov,
told reporters outside the talks venue that he rejected "attempts to put all the
blame on the Russian Federation", insisting that other parties to the talks
"need additional time."A European source said it was now up to Iran and China to
apply pressure to Moscow to make sure the deal was not scuppered.
US pays $2 million every month to protect Pompeo, aide
from Iran threat
The Associated Press, Washington/12 March ,2022
The State Department says it’s paying more than $2 million per month to provide
24-hour security to former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and a former top aide,
both of whom face “serious and credible” threats from Iran. The department told
Congress in a report that the cost of protecting Pompeo and former Iran envoy
Brian Hook between August 2021 and February 2022 amounted to $13.1 million. The
report, dated February 14 and marked “sensitive but unclassified,” was obtained
by The Associated Press on Saturday. Pompeo and Hook led the Trump
administration’s “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran and the report says US
intelligence assesses that the threats to them have remained constant since they
left government and could intensify. The threats have persisted even as
President Joe Biden’s administration has been engaged in indirect negotiations
with Iran over a US return to a landmark 2015 nuclear deal. As a former
secretary of state, Pompeo was automatically given 180 days of protection by the
State Department’s Bureau of Diplomatic Security after leaving office. But that
protection has been repeatedly extended in 60-day increments by Secretary of
State Antony Blinken due to “a serious and credible threat from a foreign power
or agent of a foreign power arising from duties performed by former Secretary
Pompeo while employed by the department,” the report said. Hook, who along with
Pompeo was often the public face of the Trump administration’s imposition of
crippling sanctions against Iran, was granted the special protection by Blinken
for the same reason as Pompeo immediately after he left government service. That
has also been repeatedly renewed in 60-day increments. The latest 60-day
extensions will expire soon and the State Department, in conjunction with the
Director of National Intelligence, must determine by March 16 if the protection
should be extended again, according to the report. The report was prepared
because the special protection budget will run out in June and require a new
infusion of money if extensions are deemed necessary. Current US officials say
the threats have been discusses in the nuclear talks in Vienna, where Iran is
demanding the removal of all Trump-era sanctions. Those sanctions include a
“foreign terrorist organization” designation of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary
Guard Corps (IRGC) that Pompeo and Hook were instrumental in approving.
The Vienna talks had been expected to produce an agreement soon to salvage the
nuclear agreement that President Donald Trump withdrew the US from in 2018. But
the talks have been thrown into doubt because of new demands made by Russia and
a small number of unresolved US-Iran issues, including the terrorism
designation, according to US officials.
US official warns Israel not to be 'last haven for dirty
money' funding Russian invasion of Ukraine
Josh Marcus/Yahoo/Sat, March 12, 2022
Amid the ongoing invasion of Ukraine, the US is urging Israel to take a harder
line against Russia and cease accepting its “dirty money.”“What we are asking
among other things is for every democracy around the world to join us in the
financial and export control sanctions that we have put on Putin. We have to
squeeze the regime, we have to deny it the income that it needs,” US under
secretary of state for political affairs Victoria Nuland – a former UN
ambassador to Nato – told Israel’s Channel 12 News on Friday. “You don’t want to
become the last haven for dirty money that’s fueling Putin’s wars,” she added.
Thus far, Israel hasn’t joined the US and the EU in levying tough sanctions
against Vladimir Putin and his cronies, or in giving military aid to Ukraine.
Instead, the country has sought to balance its relations with Ukraine and
Russia. It has received thousands of refugees from Ukraine and sent humanitarian
aid like medical equipment to the former Soviet republic, while Israeli prime
minister Naftali Bennett became the first foreign leader to meet with Vladimir
Putin since the war began during a visit to Moscow on Saturday. Mr Bennett has
also reportedly urged Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky, who is Jewish and
an admirer of Israel, to accept Russian terms for a ceasefire, which would
likely include formally ceding eastern regions of Ukraine to Russian influence
and backing away from a goal of joining Nato. High-net worth individuals already
appear to be heading from Russia to Israel, with 14 private jets taking off from
St Petersburg and landing in Tel Aviv in the last 11 days. Russian-Israeli
oligarch Roman Abramovich, known for his past ties to Putin, has been a
particular target of sanctions in other countries including the UK and Canada.
Earlier this month, a number of prominent Israeli leaders including those from
Yad Vashem, the country’s official Holocaust memorial and museum, urged the US
to avoid sanctioning Mr Abramovich, given his prolific financial support of
Jewish causes.
The memorial later announced on Thursday it would suspend ties with Mr
Abramovich, despite a recently announced “eight-digit” donation he made to the
institution
Leaders of France and Germany Hold New Talks with Putin
Agence France Presse/March 12/2022
French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz were holding
new talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin about the war in Ukraine on
Saturday, the Elysee palace said. The three leaders had already spoken by
telephone on Thursday when both Macron and Scholz had "demanded an immediate
ceasefire by Russia." Since meeting Putin in the Kremlin on February 7, Macron
has had nine phone calls with the Russian leader, his office said.
Ukraine President Appeals to Mothers of Russian Soldiers
Asharq Al Awsat/March 12/2022
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky on Saturday called on the mothers of
Russian soldiers to prevent their sons being sent to war in Ukraine. "I want to
say this once again to Russian mothers, especially mothers of conscripts. Do not
send your children to war in a foreign country," Zelensky said in a video
address released on Telegram. "Check where your son is. And if you have the
slightest suspicion that your son could be sent to war against Ukraine, act
immediately" to prevent him being killed or captured, he said. "Ukraine never
wanted this terrible war. And Ukraine does not want it. But it will defend
itself as much as necessary," he added. On Wednesday, Russia for the first time
acknowledged the presence of conscripts in Ukraine and announced that a number
of them had been taken prisoner, AFP said. Moscow had previously claimed that
only professional soldiers were fighting there. The announcement came as posts
from mothers without news of their sons sent to Ukraine multiplied on social
networks. Kyiv last week invited mothers of Russian soldiers captured on its
territory to come and pick their children up. The Ukrainian defense ministry
published phone numbers and an email through which they could obtain information
about them. Kyiv claims to have taken dozens of prisoners since the start of the
Russian invasion. During the conflict between Moscow and Chechen separatists in
the 1990s and 2000s, many young Russian conscripts were sent to the front, and
some were taken prisoner. In a movement that fueled anti-war protests in Russia
at the time, women mobilized to try and bring their sons back alive or bring
their bodies back -- even going to Chechnya themselves.
Russian Forces Squeeze Kyiv, Surround Mariupol
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 12 March, 2022
Russian forces inched towards Kyiv Saturday and pounded civilian areas in other
Ukrainian cities as concerns grew over the besieged southern port of Mariupol,
where officials said more than 1,500 people had been killed. Air raid sirens
sounded Saturday in several cities, including the capital Kyiv, Odessa, Dnipro
and Kharkiv, according to Ukrainian media. More than two weeks after Moscow
shocked the world by invading Ukraine, the United Nations and others said it may
be committing war crimes in cities such as Mariupol, which for days has been
under attack by Vladimir Putin's forces, AFP reported.
Survivors have been trying to flee Russian bombardment in a freezing city left
without water or heating and running out of food. The situation is "desperate,"
a Doctors Without Borders official said. "Hundreds of thousands of people... are
for all intents and purposes besieged," Stephen Cornish, one of those heading
the medical charity's Ukraine operation, told AFP in an interview. "Sieges are a
medieval practice that have been outlawed by the modern rules of war for good
reason." Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelensky said they were trying to arrange
evacuations from besieged cities but Russian forces were disrupting efforts. "Mariupol
remains blocked by the enemy. Russian troops did not let our aid into the city
and continue to torture our people, our Mariupol residents," Zelensky said in a
video address late Friday. "Tomorrow we'll try again. Once again, send food,
water and medicine for our city." As Russia widens its bombardment and talks
between Moscow and Kyiv seemingly go nowhere, Zelensky's pleas for NATO to
intervene have grown increasingly desperate. US President Joe Biden on Friday
again ruled out direct action against nuclear-armed Russia, warning that it
would lead to "World War III".
Instead, Washington added more layers of sanctions to those already crippling
Russia's economy, this time ending normal trade relations and announcing a ban
on signature Russian goods vodka, seafood and diamonds. The United States and
the European Union also suspended the export of their luxury goods to Russia.
"Putin must pay the price. He cannot pursue a war that threatens the very
foundation of international peace and stability and then ask for help from the
international community," Biden said from the White House.
He spoke as the United Nations said 2.5 million people had now fled Ukraine and
around two million more had been internally displaced by the war.
'Nobody buries them' -
Yulia, a 29-year-old teacher who fled Mariupol, said her mother-in-law was still
there and told them "the attacks don't stop". "There are many corpses on the
street and nobody buries them," she told AFP. In a video address released
Saturday, Zelensky appealed to Russian mothers to prevent their sons from being
sent to war. "I want to say this once again to Russian mothers, especially
mothers of conscripts. Do not send your children to war in a foreign country,"
he said. Zelensky said more than 12,000 Russian troops had been killed in the
invasion. US estimates put the number of Russian fatalities at 2,000 to 4,000
while Moscow's only official toll, announced last week, said 498 Russian troops
had been killed. In Ukraine's second city Kharkiv, doctors at a hospital
described spending two days pumping ash from the stomach of an eight-year-old
child whose home was blasted by a Russian missile.
"He still has cinders in his lungs," Dima Kasyanov's doctor told AFP. Dnipro, an
industrial hub of one million inhabitants, saw its image as a relatively safe
haven shattered when three missiles hit civilian buildings Friday. Images of its
charred or destroyed buildings -- including a kindergarten with windows blown
out -- now join those from Kharkiv and Mariupol as testimony to the brutal
conflict. "Today, we were supposed to host people who need a lot of support,"
said Svetlana Kalenecheko, who lives and works in a clinic that was damaged.
"Now we can't help anyone."The attacks on civilians prompted a new flurry of
warnings from the Hague and the United Nations on Friday that Russia is
committing war crimes. "We are really heading towards an unimaginable tragedy,"
Cornish, of Doctors Without Borders, warned, insisting that "there is still time
to avoid it, and we must see it avoided".
'Catastrophe'
Meanwhile, the Kremlin is slowly surrounding Kyiv, with Ukrainian presidential
adviser Mykhailo Podolyak calling it a "city under siege".He tweeted that it was
"ready to fight", with checkpoints prepared and supply lines in place, adding:
"Kyiv will stand until the end". The Ukrainian military has said Russia is
trying to take out Kyiv's defenses to the north and west, where suburbs
including Irpin and Bucha have already endured days of heavy bombardment.Russian
armored vehicles are also advancing on the capital's northeast. As the slow but
steady advance continues, so has the tide of refugees.
About 100,000 people have been able to leave the northeastern city of Sumy, the
eastern city of Izyum, and areas northwest of Kyiv in the past two days,
Ukrainian officials said. Zelensky warned living conditions were deteriorating
fast. "In the Sumy, Kyiv and Donetsk regions, there is no more electricity. Yes,
there are problems with heating. There is no gas, no water," he said."It's a
humanitarian catastrophe."
'Murderers from Syria' -
Foreign combatants have already entered the Ukrainian conflict on both sides,
and on Friday, the Kremlin ramped up efforts to bring in reinforcements,
particularly from Syria. A furious Zelensky accused Russia of hiring "murderers
from Syria, a country where everything has been destroyed... like they are doing
here to us". In southern Ukraine, Russian soldiers abducted the mayor of
Melitopol, which Zelensky said was a "sign of weakness" and a "crime against
democracy". The global ripple effects of the conflict continued elsewhere.
Last-minute Russian demands related to the conflict threatened to derail the
near-complete process of reviving the Iranian nuclear deal Friday. And the
fighting spurred vows to bolster the European Union's defenses, with EU leaders
describing the invasion as a wake-up call. "There's no denying the fact that two
weeks ago we woke up in a different Europe, in a different world," European
Council chief Charles Michel said. Russia also moved Friday to block Instagram
and launch a criminal case against its owner Meta, as Moscow fired back at the
tech giant for allowing posts calling for violence against Russian forces.
- 'We will not fight'
Talks have so far made no progress towards ending the fighting. Putin has said
negotiations were being held "almost daily", but US Vice President Kamala
Harris, speaking in Bucharest, said the Russian leader had shown "no sign of
engaging in serious diplomacy". At the United Nations, Western countries accused
Russia of spreading "wild" conspiracy theories after Moscow's envoy told
diplomats that America and Ukraine had researched using bats to conduct
biological warfare. The US envoy said Russia had made the claims as part of a
"false flag effort" for using chemical weapons of its own in Ukraine. Biden
warned Russia would pay a "severe price" if it used chemical weapons. But he
again carefully steered clear of any indication that such an attack would be a
red line that could draw direct US military action. "We will not fight a war
against Russia in Ukraine," he said.
UN Experts Say Russian Media Law Amounts to Information
‘Blackout'
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 12 March, 2022
A Russian law giving Moscow stronger powers to crack down on independent
journalism is placing Russia under a "total information blackout" on the war in
Ukraine, UN independent experts said on Friday. Moscow, whose forces invaded
Ukraine on Feb. 24, last week blocked Facebook and other websites and passed a
law that imposed a prison term of up to 15 years for spreading intentionally
"fake" news about the military. The move prompted the BBC, Bloomberg and other
foreign media to suspend reporting in the country, although the BBC said it was
resuming English-language reporting from Russia on March 8 because of the
"urgent need to report from inside Russia". "Russia's recent adoption of a
punitive 'fake war news' law is an alarming move by the government to gag and
blindfold an entire population," three independent UN experts appointed by the
top UN rights body, the Human Rights Council, said in a statement. "...the law
places Russia under a total information blackout on the war and in so doing
gives an official seal of approval to disinformation and misinformation," they
continued. The experts, known as Special Rapporteurs, are Irene Khan, Clement
Voule and Mary Lawlor and are tasked with reporting on violations of the freedom
of expression, the right to peaceful assembly and on the situation of human
rights defenders. Russian officials have said that false information has been
spread by Russia's enemies such as the United States and its Western European
allies in an attempt to sow discord among the Russian people. It calls its
actions in Ukraine a "special operation" to disarm it, counter what it views as
NATO aggression and capture leaders it calls neo-Nazis. The UN experts also
called on a newly-established international commission of inquiry being set up
by the UN Human Rights Council to investigate alleged violations of freedom of
expression and the media by Russia. The council is the only intergovernmental
global body to promote and protect human rights worldwide. While its decisions
are not legally binding, they carry political weight and can authorize probes
into violations.
US Accuses Russia of Violating Nuclear Safety
Principles in Ukraine
Asharq Al Awsat/March 12/2022
The United States on Friday accused Russia of violating nuclear safety
principles in Ukraine and demanded its invading forces stop firing on nuclear
power plants, but added that there were no signs detected yet of any
radiological release.US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said in a Twitter
post that radiation monitors in much of Ukraine were still functioning although
the United States was concerned by lack of data from safeguards monitors at
Chernobyl or Zaporizhzhia, which is Europe's largest nuclear power plant. Both
sites are under Russian forces' control but are being operated by Ukrainian
staff in conditions that the International Atomic Energy Agency says endanger
the safety of the facilities. "We remain concerned about Russia's reckless
actions and violations of nuclear safety principles," Granholm said. "We are
monitoring reports of damage to a research facility in Kharkiv. Near-term safety
risk is low, but the continued Russian firing on nuclear facilities must cease,"
she said. After fighting and apparent shelling around the Zaporizhzhia plant a
week ago, the Russian military accused Ukrainian forces of a "provocation."
Granholm said the US could not confirm reports that power has been restored to
Chernobyl. Russia's energy ministry said on Thursday that Belarusian specialists
had restored electricity supply to the Chernobyl nuclear power plant. Ukraine
and its allies are concerned about the risk Russia's invasion poses to nuclear
facilities across the country, including power plants and research centers. The
head of a nuclear research facility in the northeastern Ukrainian city of
Kharkiv said the grounds of the institute had been struck by Russian shells
during recent fighting, but the core housing nuclear fuel remains intact.
Israel, Ukraine Deny Report Bennett Recommended Yielding
to Russian Demands
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 12 March, 2022
A top Ukrainian adviser and an Israeli official on Saturday pushed back against
a media report suggesting Israel tried to nudge Ukraine into caving to Russian
demands during talks. Israel has been engaged in diplomatic efforts to try to
end the war in Ukraine. Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett has held talks
with Russian President Vladimir Putin and spoke by phone with Ukrainian
President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. A report carried by Israel's Walla news, the
Jerusalem Post and US news site Axios had suggested, citing an unidentified
Ukrainian official, that Bennett had urged Ukraine to give in to Russia.
Israel, "just as other conditional intermediary countries, does NOT offer
Ukraine to agree to any demands of the Russian Federation," Ukrainian adviser
Mykhailo Podolyak said on Twitter. "This is impossible for military & political
reasons. On the contrary, Israel urges Russia to assess the events more
adequately."A senior Israeli official, who requested anonymity due to the
sensitivity of the matter, called the report "patently false"."At no point did
Prime Minister Bennett advise President Zelenskiy to take a deal from Putin -
because no such deal was offered to Israel for us to be able to do so," the
official said.
"Bennett has at no point told Zelenskiy how to act, nor does he have any
intention to."
Eastern Europe Embraces Ukraine Refugees as Workforce
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 12 March, 2022
Eastern European countries are embracing the millions of Ukrainians fleeing
Russia's invasion as a potential workforce but analysts warn it be challenging
to integrate them all. Some 2.5 million people have already fled Ukraine,
according to the United Nations, which calls it Europe's fastest-growing refugee
crisis since World War II. More than half are now in Poland but tens of
thousands are also staying in Moldova and Bulgaria, which have some of the
fastest shrinking populations, AFP said. "Those who are now arriving in the
territory of the EU are well-qualified and meet the demand for labor," said
Sieglinde Rosenberger of the University of Vienna, though she warned the
welcoming attitude could change. Other experts asked how eastern European
countries, which have a lower GDP than their western counterparts, can handle a
huge influx. Acutely aware of the burden, some countries have already called for
more assistance.
'Intelligent, educated'
In a letter to the government, the association of Bulgarian employers'
organizations said they could employ up to 200,000 Ukrainians. They said those
who were of Bulgarian origin and able to speak the language would be
particularly welcome. Meanwhile, IT, textile, construction and tourism sector
representatives also said they were keen to hire tens of thousands of people.
Bulgaria's population has dwindled from almost nine million at the fall of
communism to 6.5 million now, owing in part to emigration. The welcome comes
from the highest levels. Bulgarian Prime Minister Kiril Petkov described
Ukrainian refugees as "intelligent, educated... highly qualified." "These are
people who are Europeans, so we and all other countries are ready to accept
them," he said. Some 20,000 Ukrainians are currently in Bulgaria -- the EU's
poorest member -- though their numbers are expected to rise if Russia seizes
Odessa on the Black Sea. Hungary -- which touts its restrictive migration policy
but also struggles with a labor shortage -- has also welcomed Ukrainians. "We
are able to spot the difference: who is a migrant, they are coming from the
South... and who is a refugee," nationalist premier Viktor Orban said. "Refugees
can get all the help," he said last week. Whether Ukrainians will stay is
another question as many arriving move on to elsewhere in Europe where they may
have relatives or better prospects.
Integration issues
But countries where a large number of refugees end up staying, such as Poland,
could become overburdened since many are children and elderly -- thus unable to
work. "How will these large numbers be integrated across Europe? This is going
to be a problem," Brad Blitz of the University College London told AFP. The
"breaking point" was yet to come, he added. Moldova, wedged between Ukraine and
Romania with a population of 2.6 million people, has called for urgent help with
about 100,000 refugees. "We will need assistance to deal with this influx, and
we need this quickly," Moldovan Prime Minister Natalia Gavrilita told visiting
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken last weekend. Gerald Knaus of the think
tank European Stability Initiative said the EU should prepare now to move
hundreds of thousands of people within the bloc. "It will not work with strict
quotas. It will rely on bottom up political support and political leaders
saying, 'We step forward,'" he told AFP. He said the crisis, however, could turn
"into one of the great moments of bringing Europeans together around a
humanitarian cause". The University of Vienna's Rosenberger said governments
that sought to restrict migration had now quickly changed their stance in the
face of public sympathy with Ukraine. But that welcome might not last forever
when "in a few months, poorer and less qualified people are expected to come,"
she said.
Concern Grows over Traffickers Targeting Ukrainian Refugees
Asharq Al Awsat/March 12/2022
One man was detained in Poland suspected of raping a 19-year-old refugee he’d
lured with offers of shelter after she fled war-torn Ukraine. Another was
overheard promising work and a room to a 16-year-old girl before authorities
intervened. Another case inside a refugee camp at Poland’s Medyka border, raised
suspicions when a man was offering help only to women and children. When
questioned by police, he changed his story, AFP said. As millions of women and
children flee across Ukraine’s borders in the face of Russian aggression,
concerns are growing over how to protect the most vulnerable refugees from being
targeted by human traffickers or becoming victims of other forms of
exploitation. “Obviously all the refugees are women and children,” said Joung-ah
Ghedini-Williams, the UNHCR’s head of global communications, who has visited
borders in Romania, Poland and Moldova. “You have to worry about any potential
risks for trafficking — but also exploitation, and sexual exploitation and
abuse. These are the kinds of situations that people like traffickers … look to
take advantage of,” she said. The UN refugee agency says more than 2.5 million
people, including more than a million children, have already fled war-torn
Ukraine in what has become an unprecedented humanitarian crisis in Europe and
its fastest exodus since World War II. In countries throughout Europe, including
the border nations of Romania, Poland, Hungary, Moldova and Slovakia, private
citizens and volunteers have been greeting and offering help to those whose
lives have been shattered by war. From free shelter to free transport to work
opportunities and other forms of assistance — help isn’t far away.
But neither are the risks.
Police in Wrocław, Poland, said Thursday they detained a 49-year-old suspect on
rape charges after he allegedly assaulted a 19-year-old Ukrainian refugee he
lured with offers of help over the internet. The suspect could face up to 12
years in prison for the “brutal crime,” authorities said. “He met the girl by
offering his help via an internet portal,” police said in a statement. “She
escaped from war-torn Ukraine, did not speak Polish. She trusted a man who
promised to help and shelter her. Unfortunately, all this turned out to be
deceitful manipulation."
Police in Berlin warned women and children in a post on social media in
Ukrainian and Russian against accepting offers of overnight stays, and urged
them to report anything suspicious. Tamara Barnett, director of operations at
the Human Trafficking Foundation, a UK-based charity which grew out of the All
Party Parliamentary Group on Human Trafficking, said that such a rapid, mass
displacement of people could be a “recipe for disaster.”“When you’ve suddenly
got a huge cohort of really vulnerable people who need money and assistance
immediately,” she said, “it’s sort of a breeding ground for exploitative
situations and sexual exploitation. When I saw all these volunteers offering
their houses … that flagged a worry in my head.”The Migration Data Portal notes
that humanitarian crises such as those associated with conflicts “can exacerbate
pre-existing trafficking trends and give rise to new ones” and that traffickers
can thrive on “the inability of families and communities to protect themselves
and their children.”
Security officials in Romania and Poland told The Associated Press that
plain-clothed intelligence officers were on the lookout for criminal elements.
In the Romanian border town of Siret, authorities said men offering free rides
to women have been sent away.
Human trafficking is a grave human rights violation and can involve a wide range
of exploitative roles. From sexual exploitation — such as prostitution — to
forced labor, from domestic slavery to organ removal, and forced criminality, it
is often inflicted by traffickers through coercion and abuse of power. A 2020
human trafficking report by the European Commission, the EU’s executive branch,
estimates the annual global profit from the crime is 29.4 billion euros ($32
billion). It says that sexual exploitation is the most common form of human
trafficking in the 27-nation bloc and that nearly three-quarters of all victims
are female, with almost every fourth victim a child. Madalina Mocan, committee
director at ProTECT, an organization that brings together 21 anti-trafficking
groups, said there are “already worrying signs,” with some refugees being
offered shelter in exchange for services such as cleaning and babysitting, which
could lead to exploitation.
“There will be attempts of traffickers trying to take victims from Ukraine
across the border. Women and children are vulnerable, especially those that do
not have connections — family, friends, other networks of support,” she said,
adding that continued conflict will mean “more and more vulnerable people”
reaching the borders. At the train station in the Hungarian border town of
Zahony, 25-year-old Dayrina Kneziva arrived from Kyiv with her childhood friend.
Fleeing a war zone, Kneziva said, left them little time to consider other
potential dangers. “When you compare ... you just choose what will be less
dangerous,” said Kneziva, who hopes to make it to Slovakia’s capital of
Bratislava with her friend. “When you leave in a hurry, you just don’t think
about other things.”A large proportion of the refugees arriving in the border
countries want to move on to friends or family elsewhere in Europe and many are
relying on strangers to reach their destinations. “The people who are leaving
Ukraine are under emotional stress, trauma, fear, confusion,” said Cristina
Minculescu, a psychologist at Next Steps Romania who provides support to
trafficking victims. “It’s not just human trafficking, there is a risk of
abduction, rape ... their vulnerabilities being exploited in different forms.”At
Romania’s Siret border after a five-day car journey from the bombed historical
city of Chernihiv, 44-year-old Iryna Pypypenko waited inside a tent with her two
children, sheltering from the cold. She said a friend in Berlin who is looking
for accommodation for her has warned her to beware of possibly nefarious offers.
“She told me there are many, very dangerous propositions,” said Pypypenko, whose
husband and parents stayed behind in Ukraine. “She told me that I have to
communicate only with official people and believe only the information they give
me.”
Ionut Epureanu, the chief police commissioner of Suceava county, told the AP at
the Siret border that police are working closely with the country's national
agency against human trafficking and other law enforcement to try to prevent
crimes. “We are trying to make a control for every vehicle leaving the area,” he
said. “A hundred people making transport have good intentions, but it’s enough
to be one that isn’t … and tragedy can come.”
Vlad Gheorghe, a Romanian member of the European Parliament who launched a
Facebook group called United for Ukraine that has more than 250,000 members and
pools resources to help refugees, including accommodation, says he is working
closely with the authorities to prevent any abuses. “No offer for volunteering
or stay or anything goes unchecked, we check every offer,” he said. “We call
back, we ask some questions, we have a minimal check before any offer for help
is accepted.” At Poland’s Medyka border, seven former members of the French
Foreign Legion, an elite military force, are voluntarily providing their own
security to refugees and are on the lookout for traffickers.“This morning we
found three men who were trying to get a bunch of women into a van," said one of
the former legionnaires, a South African who gave only his first name, Mornay.
"I can’t 100% say they were trying to recruit them for sex trafficking, but when
we started talking to them and approached them — they got nervous and just left
immediately.”“We just want to try and get women and kids to safety," he added.
“The risk is very high because there are so many people you just don’t know who
is doing what.”Back at her tent on the Siret border, Pypypenko said people were
offering help — but she wasn't sure who she could trust. “People just enter and
tell us that they can take us for free to France,” she said. “Today we are for
three hours here … and we had two or three propositions like that. I couldn’t
even imagine such a situation, that such a big tragedy could be the field of
crime.”
Will Russia Bring Syrian Fighters to Ukraine?
Associated Press/March 12/2022
With Russia's war on Ukraine now in its third week, Russian President Vladimir
Putin on Friday approved bringing in volunteer fighters from the Middle East,
particularly Syria. Syria clearly has a rich pool of fighters to draw from.
Russia's military is deeply entrenched in the Mideast country, where its
intervention - starting in 2015 - helped Syrian President Bashar Assad gain the
upper hand in the ongoing, 11-year civil war. But less clear is how significant,
large or effective a Syrian deployment would be. On Friday, Russian Defense
Minister Sergei Shoigu spoke of "more than 16,000 applications" already from the
Middle East, though he didn't specify which country. Syrian opposition activists
say Russia recently began recruitment efforts in Syria for the Ukraine war, but
put the scale of those efforts so far at far lower numbers. The announcement
came after the Ukrainian government said about 20,000 foreigners from various
nations have already joined the so-called International Legion for the
Territorial Defense of Ukraine, most of them from Western countries. So who are
these potential pro-Russia volunteers?
- NO SHORTAGE OF FIGHTERS -
Syria's long, grueling war has given rise to a multitude of armed factions,
militias and mercenaries on all sides of the conflict. The ranks of
pro-government paramilitary groups in Syria include tens of thousands of
so-called National Defense Forces, Christian militia fighters and army defectors
skilled in urban and guerilla warfare. They also include other Russian-supported
auxiliary units and militias that fought alongside the Syrian military. "If need
be, Russia could quickly recruit members of these groups to fight in Ukraine,"
according to Danny Makki, a Syria analyst. Joined by Iran-backed fighters from
nearby Iraq, Lebanon and elsewhere in the region, these forces not only battled
Syrian rebels, they also helped fight the Islamic State group after it overran
large parts of Iraq and Syria in 2014. Thousands of mercenaries from the Russian
private contractor Wagner Group have also deployed in Syria. "Given the misery
of the Syrian economy, there would be no shortage of combat-hardened men of
military age willing to put their lives on the line for a modicum of material
gain," Makki wrote in an analysis for the Middle East Institute, where he is a
non-resident scholar. It wouldn't be the first time Syrian fighters are
recruited for conflicts abroad. Turkey, another major actor in Syria, recruited
Syrian mercenaries to boost its fighters in other wars. These include conflicts
in Azerbaijan and Libya, where the presence of thousands of foreign fighters,
including those from Syria, Sudan and Turkey, remains a major obstacle to peace.
- CURRENT RECRUITMENT EFFORTS -
Evidence is only just beginning to emerge of recruitment among Syrian fighters,
particularly in government-controlled territories.
Omar Abu Layla, a Europe-based activist who runs the DeirEzzor 24 Syria war
monitoring group, said recruitment run by the Wagner Group has gone on for days
in the eastern province Deir el-Zour near the border with Iraq. Abu Layla said
that so far, dozens of men have signed up in the province. He claimed Russia was
offering volunteers from the country between $200 and $300 to operate as
security guards in Ukraine for six months at a time. Some Syrian observers and
activists suggest any recruitment going on is so far largely symbolic and
remains in the very early stages. On Friday, an ad for a "combat role" in
Ukraine was posted on a closed Facebook group for soldiers of the Fourth Armored
Division, one of the largest in the Syrian army. It offered a payment of $3,000
depending on an applicant's expertise and said registration was limited.
Russia's Defense Ministry-run TV channel aired footage purportedly from Syria
showing armed men in uniform it described as would-be volunteers. The men waved
Russian and Syrian flags and held up a sign bearing the letter "Z" - used on
Russian armored vehicles in Ukraine and now a symbol of support for Russian
troops. Ahmad al-Ahmad, an opposition activist in northwestern Syria, said that
in the government-controlled northern town of Ethraya, the Russians have asked
senior officers with the Fifth Corps, a Russian-backed Syrian army force, to
recruit young men with experience in urban fighting who are ready to go to
Ukraine. As many as 3,000 people have registered in southern Syria, he said. It
was not immediately possible for The Associated Press to confirm those reports.
Syrians for Truth and Justice, an independent civil society organization, said
in a report this week that it had interviewed at least two Syrians based in
Damascus' countryside who registered with Syrian government security services.
They confirmed that lists with potential recruits' names are to be presented to
Russian forces in Syria for approval to deploy to Ukraine.
- WHAT DO MIDEAST RECRUITS OFFER? -
Battle-hardened fighters with experience in urban warfare in Syria have in some
cases little to lose. Still, despite their decade at war, Syrian fighters, for
example, are not known for being particularly competent combatants. Back in
2015, It took the Russian air force, Lebanon's Hizbullah fighters and Iranian
forces to shore up Assad's fledgling military against the opposition. Foreign
fighters have usually had the upper hand in battlefields throughout the
conflict, including in the war on IS. Syria experts have also questioned the
usefulness of recruits from the Middle East in Ukraine, where they don't speak
the language and are not familiar with the terrain or the harsh weather
conditions. However, if the war stretches on and Russian forces get bogged down,
foreign fighters will become a more attractive option. Makki, the analyst, said
reports of Syrians fighting with Russia are premature. "However, given Moscow's
increasing losses, Syrians make for attractive, low-cost mercenaries in Russia's
eyes," he said.
Croatia Urges NATO Cooperation after 'Drone from
Ukraine' Crashes in Zagreb
Agence France Presse/March 12/2022
Croatia's prime minister Saturday urged closer cooperation within NATO after a
military drone, which he said was launched from Ukraine, crashed in Zagreb. The
Soviet-era Tu-141 reconnaissance drone crashed in the Croatian capital late
Thursday, damaging around 40 parked vehicles, but no one was injured. It entered
Croatia's airspace from Hungary, having flown in from Romania, officials said
earlier. All three countries are NATO members. "According to what we know now it
was obviously launched on Ukraine's territory," Prime Minister Andrej Plenkovic
told reporters on Saturday. "We don't know in whose possession it was," he said,
adding that both Ukraine and Russia claimed it was not theirs. Plenkovic,
speaking at the site of the incident, said he had sent a letter to his European
Union counterparts and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg over the
incident. "Whether it was accidental, a mistake or intentional, we do not know
at this moment." The incident "points to the need for closer cooperation within
NATO", he said. He stressed the drone flew undisturbed over the alliance's three
member states. "We cannot tolerate such a situation any more," the prime
minister said. "It was a very clear threat that requires a reaction." According
to officials, the drone flew over Hungary and Croatia before crashing. Local
security experts immediately labelled the incident a NATO failure. President
Zoran Milanovic said Friday "it's a matter of NATO joint command." On Friday, a
NATO official told AFP that the military alliance's "integrated air and missile
defense tracked the flight path of an object which subsequently crashed in
Zagreb."The drone crashed around 11:00 pm (2200 GMT) Thursday in a park close to
the Jarun lake. Some six kilometers (four miles) from the city center, the site
is just next to a students residence with some 4,500 people and residential
buildings. The 14-meter (46-foot) drone, weighing more than six tons, still has
to be dug out from a crater that it made when crashing. Zagreb is located some
550 kilometers flying distance from the border with Ukraine, which Russia
invaded on February 24.
Turkey, Armenia Hold 'Constructive' Talks on Mending Ties
Asharq Al Awsat/March 12/2022
Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said he held "productive and
constructive" talks with his Armenian counterpart Ararat Mirzoyan on Saturday as
they bid to mend ties after decades of animosity. The two met at a diplomatic
forum in Antalya on Turkey's southern coast. Ankara has had no diplomatic or
commercial ties with Armenia since the 1990s but they held talks in January in a
first attempt to restore links since a 2009 peace accord, which was never
ratified. Saturday's meeting was the first sit-down meeting between the two
countries' foreign ministers since 2009. They spoke briefly on the sidelines of
an OSCE meeting in November last year, AFP said. "It was a very productive and
constructive conversation," Cavusoglu told reporters after the talks, which
lasted 30 minutes. "We are making efforts for stability and peace." Speaking
through a translator, Mirzoyan said: "We are continuing the process of
normalizing relations without preconditions ... We are making efforts."The two
countries are at odds over several issues, primarily the 1.5 million people
Armenia says were killed in 1915 by the Ottoman Empire, the predecessor to
modern Turkey. Armenia says the 1915 killings constitute a genocide. Turkey
accepts that many Armenians living in the Ottoman Empire were killed in clashes
with Ottoman forces during World War One, but contests the figures and denies
killings were systematic or constitute genocide. The two countries have said the
January talks were "positive and constructive," raising the prospect that ties
could be restored and borders reopened. Tensions flared during a 2020 war over
the Nagorno-Karabakh territory. Turkey accused ethnic Armenian forces of
occupying land belonging to Azerbaijan. Turkey has since called for a
rapprochement, as it seeks greater regional influence.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
March 12-13/2022
Turkey: Occupies Northern Cyprus, Goes for the Rest
Uzay Bulut/Gatestone Institute/March 12/2022
"The air and sea invasion yesterday devastated the resort strip of tourist
hotels on the north coast of Cyprus. Greek Cypriots and foreigners huddled under
mattresses in the cellars of ruined buildings." — The New York Times, July 22,
1974.
"But back in Ankara today, the newspapers were full of photos of smiling Turkish
troops clustered in front of tanks draped with the star and crescent flag,
holding their weapons high, and of Greek Cypriot hostages being given water by
Turkish soldiers." — The New York Times, July 28, 1974.
Currently, Turkey appears to be targeting the rest of the Republic of Cyprus, a
member of the European Union. The government of Cyprus is now dealing with an
"illegal immigration crisis" which it says Turkey is orchestrating. Government
authorities state that the majority of migrants entering the free part of Cyprus
are being smuggled illegally through the Turkish-occupied northern Cyprus.
Meanwhile, according to Turkish media, Turkey is planning to construct a
military naval base in the Karpasia Peninsula in the Turkish-occupied north.
Despite the uncountable war crimes Turkey has committed in Cyprus, the Turkish
government has condemned the UN for having its "peacekeeping forces" there.
The West, however, remains silent -- not merely empowering Turkey to commit
further atrocities but rewarding it. The US recently killed, at Turkey's
request, the EastMed natural gas pipeline project, which would have transported
gas from US allies Israel and Cyprus, via Greece, to Western Europe. The EastMed
pipeline would have been particularly important in light of Russia's ability,
with the Nord Stream and other pipelines, to blackmail the continent in winter
by cutting off much of its gas supplies.
Turkey will now be able to continue its crimes against the Yazidis in Iraq, the
Kurds in Syria and the Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh with no repercussions.
"Turkey's occupation of Cyprus has now become the first modern Islamist
fundamentalist attempt to capture Western world territory and resources." —
Philip Christopher, president of the International Coordinating Committee -
Justice for Cyprus, Ekathimerini, May 20, 2018.
Aggression by Turkey's military appears to be on the rise in Cyprus -- in areas
it does not yet occupy. According to the Cypriot media, on February 8, Turkish
soldiers approached Greek Cypriot farmers working in fields near the village of
Denia in the United Nations "Buffer Zone," and threatened to kill them if they
did not leave. Pictured: Turkish Army soldiers and tanks on parade in Nicosia,
in Turkish-occupied northern Cyprus, on July 20, 2021.
Aggression by Turkey's military appears to be on the rise in Cyprus -- in areas
it does not yet occupy. According to the Cypriot media, on February 8, Turkish
soldiers approached Greek Cypriot farmers working in fields near the village of
Denia in the United Nations "Buffer Zone," and threatened to kill them if they
did not leave.
The Turkish soldiers threatened the Greek Cypriot farmers about ten days after
Turkey "slammed" the UN for extending its Cyprus peacekeeping mandate.
When the UN Security Council approved a six-month extension of the UN
Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus (UNFICYP) on January 27, 2022, the government of
Turkey was not pleased. They condemned the UN decision on the grounds that the
UN had not received "the consent of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC)",
an illegal entity recognized only by Turkey.
"Reiterating that Turkey supported the TRNC's condemnation of the U.N.
resolution on the extension, the statement said that Ankara will fully back the
steps the [TRNC] administration chooses to take in this regard," the Turkish
newspaper Daily Sabah reported.
To accompany its news report, Daily Sabah published an aerial photo of the
"flag" of the TRNC next to a quote by the founder of Turkey, Mustafa Kemal
Ataturk that reads (in Turkish): "Happy is the one who says 'I am a Turk'". The
"flag" had been painted on the Kyrenia mountain range, north of Nicosia, in
Turkish-occupied northern Cyprus.
The Turkish presence in Cyprus dates back to 1570: Ottoman troops invaded and
plundered the island. Thousands were murdered, many churches were converted into
mosques, and some Muslims from Anatolia were transplanted to Cyprus. In 1878,
Britain assumed administration of Cyprus; in 1914, it annexed Cyprus, which
became an independent republic in 1960. Britain, Greece and Turkey became
guarantors of the constitution and territorial integrity of the Republic of
Cyprus under the 1960 "Treaty of Alliance". Fourteen years later, however,
Turkey would violate the treaty and commit an ethnic cleansing there.
So, how did that "Turkish flag" end up on the Kyrenia mountain range?
Noted for its historic harbor and castle, Kyrenia is a Greek Cypriot city built
by the ancient Greeks, who were named Achaeans. Since the 1974 Turkish invasion,
however, Kyrenia has been under unlawful Turkish occupation and the city's
population consists now almost completely of illegal settlers from Turkey, who
were allocated properties stolen from Greek Cypriots. The city -- like the rest
of the Turkish-occupied part of Cyprus -- is now controlled by the TRNC, which
is not recognized by international law.
Turkey's massive military invasion against Cyprus in 1974 was purportedly meant
to restore constitutional order after a Greek coup, which lasted for less than a
week. Turkey's actions, on the other hand, indicated that their goal had
actually been ethnic cleansing and colonization. Until the 1974 invasion, the
northern part of Cyprus - like the rest of the island – had been majority-Greek.
The Turkish invasion forcibly changed that. Today, more than 40,000 Turkish
troops are illegally stationed in the occupied area. The indigenous Greek
Cypriot residents have never been allowed to return and reclaim their homes and
lands.
The democratically-elected mayoral officials of Kyrenia, who had to leave the
city after the invasion, wrote:
"The Turkish invasion of July 20th 1974 destroys everything. The Greek residents
of Kyrenia, terrified by the gunfire of the Turkish air force, scatter and seek
shelter in basements. Three days after the invasion a cease fire agreement is
achieved, but the Turkish troops violate it, invade and loot the city while many
citizens are slaughtered. Most of the Kyrenians who choose to stay find
themselves trapped and are transferred to the Dome hotel from where the Turks
force them to gradually abandon the city along with the rest of the Greeks in
the district."
The Turkish invasion, launched on July 20, 1974, was reported by The New York
Times, which noted that that Turkish forces started bombing northern part of
Cyprus indiscriminately:
"Striking at dawn, Turkish troops borne by transport ships and assault boats
stormed ashore on the north coast near Kyrenia and on the south coast near
Limassol. Simultaneously, hundreds of paratroopers dropped into the capital of
Nicosia.
"Turkish jets bombed and strafed a variety of targets, including the Nicosia
airport, a Greek Army encampment and other garrisons. Turkish Warships,
meantime, pounded Greek‐Cypriot/shore installations on both coasts...
"A pooled dispatch said that Turkish fighter‐bombers had struck a mental
hospital in Nicosia, killing at least 20 persons and wounding 60."
The next day, the New York Times continued:
"The air and sea invasion yesterday devastated the resort strip of tourist
hotels on the north coast of Cyprus. Greek Cypriots and foreigners huddled under
mattresses in the cellars of ruined buildings.
"Turkish warships shelled the northern port of Kyrenia and smaller communities
to the west as American‐made A4 Skyhawks of the Turkish Air Force bombed roads,
bridges, hotels and other buildings.
"The shelling and bombing seemed indiscriminate, with no regard for civilian
areas or casualties."
On July 28, 1974, according to the New York Times:
"The reporters said that for many people being held by the Turks at the
Kyrenia's Dome Hotel there was 'confusion, despair and terror.'
"One correspondent related the tale of one tourist, Margaret Gavrielides, a
British citizen, who with her son Andreas was being held in the Dome Hotel .
"The Gavrielides family... crawled under beds. They heard an artillery shell
explode in the backyard, and then voices.
"Mr. Gavrielides went to the door. A Turkish soldier fired, according to his
wife.
"Her husband was taken to a medical station. She has not heard of or from him,
since that day a week ago. The Turkish soldiers separated the men and threatened
to rape the women, Mrs. Gavrielides said.
"But back in Ankara today, the newspapers were full of photos of smiling Turkish
troops clustered in front of tanks draped with the star and crescent flag,
holding their weapons high, and of Greek Cypriot hostages being given water by
Turkish soldiers."
The Turkish military campaign was accompanied by murders, unlawful detention of
both soldiers and civilians in what amounted to concentration camps, systematic
execution of civilians, as well as the torture and mistreatment (including
systematic rapes) of Greek Cypriots. These crimes were documented by the two
volumes of a historic report by the then European Commission of Human Rights,
adopted in 1976, initially covered up, but then leaked to the British Sunday
Times in 1977 and eventually declassified in 1979.
On August 6, 1974, the New York Times reported:
"Greek Cypriots from small villages around Kyrenia told stories today of murder,
rape and looting by the Turkish Army after its invasion of Cyprus. The villagers
are among 20,000 civilians driven from their homes by the Turks along the
northern coast of the island.
"One ashen-faced man told tearfully how his wife and two young children were
shot before his eyes by Turkish soldiers who rounded up villagers before
shooting them. A married woman whose husband was shot by the Turks and young
girl who saw her fiancé shot told how they were then raped at gunpoint by
Turkish soldiers...
"Eleni Andrea Mateidou, 28, who was married with two children, told of another
mass shooting of able-bodied men at her village, Trimithi. Her husband Andreas,
27, and father-in-law were among them. Later she was among village women raped
at gunpoint by the Turkish soldiers, she alleged. 'We went out with our hands
raised but the Turks started beating us,' she said. 'They took off the top
clothes of my husband and father-in-law and led them to the river bed in the
village. Then they were shot. The women of the village were taken to the house
of a British woman who had been evacuated. They were there raped at gunpoint.'
"'At one point another soldier came up with a baby in his arms. He asked who the
mother was. I thought if I said it was mine it might save me. However, when I
said I was the mother he threw it to the ground.'"
Despite the collapse of the coups in Greece and Cyprus by July 23, 1974,
restoration of the legitimate government of Cyprus, and a ceasefire agreement,
Turkey launched a second invasion of Cyprus three weeks later, on August 14,
1974. This time, Turkey gave no pretext but its second military campaign was
even more violent, terrorizing more Greek Cypriot natives into fleeing their
homes and lands. Those two invasions resulted in the Turkish occupation of 36%
of the territory of Cyprus and 57% of its coastline.
On August 15, the New York Times reported:
"Turkish forces, which began a heavy air and ground attack early yesterday,
appeared today to be on their way toward seizing control of much of northern
Cyprus... A strong air strife [sic] on Nicosia sent thousands of Greek Cypriots
fleeing southward.
"A psychiatric hospital close by a Greek Cypriot camp was hit for a second time
in less than a month. Three bombs struck outbuildings, injuring 36 patients and
3 staff members. In the previous attack, a direct hit on a ward killed 27
patients and wounded nearly 100."
Despo Marango, a 17-year old from the village of Ashia in the Famagusta
District, fled in her father's truck after Turkish tanks entered the town. "We
took 20 people on the truck including old women," she recounted. "The Turkish
troops came and fired on us and hurt four people. The Turks came into our homes
and stole things."
On August 17, 1974, the New York Times wrote:
"Turkey's invasion forces completed the division of Cyprus into two areas
yesterday and declared a ceasefire... on the 14th anniversary of the
independence of Cyprus from Britain."
To this day, approximately 170,000 Greek Cypriot refugees are still denied by
Turkey their right to return home. Over 160,000 illegal settlers or colonists
have been transferred to the occupied area by Turkey (the exact number of the
illegal settlers is not known; Turkey has not revealed the data). More than a
thousand persons in Cyprus are still listed as missing.
Meanwhile, the ancient culture and history of the occupied north are being wiped
out to perpetrate the myth that the area is Turkish. Geographical names have
been Turkified and many Christian churches and monasteries have been destroyed
or used for sacrilegious purposes.
The Archangelos Michael Church, built in Kyrenia in 1860, was converted into "an
icon museum" in 1990 after its congregants had fled the invading Turkish
soldiers in 1974. According to a 1994 report, icons were "stolen from the
church". According to a 2021 news report:
"The church, which was closed for renovation years ago due to the crookedness of
its minaret [tower], is kept in ruins despite the completion of the renovation.
A shopkeeper said: 'Since the minaret of the icon museum was crooked, it was
considered dangerous so the minaret was rebuilt. It took several years to build.
They built it, and it has been 6-7 years since it's finished, but it [the
museum/former church] is still waiting in ruins.'"
Currently, Turkey appears to be targeting the rest of the Republic of Cyprus, a
member of the European Union. The government of Cyprus is now dealing with an
"illegal immigration crisis" which it says Turkey is orchestrating. Government
authorities state that the majority of migrants entering the free part of Cyprus
are being smuggled illegally through the Turkish-occupied northern Cyprus. The
Cypriot government added that Cyprus was facing "significant demographic
change", "ghettoisation in urban areas" and "acute socio-economic effects" as a
result of the illegal migrant crisis.
Meanwhile, according to Turkish media, Turkey is planning to construct a
military naval base in the Karpasia Peninsula in the Turkish-occupied north.
Despite the uncountable war crimes Turkey has committed in Cyprus, the Turkish
government has condemned the UN for having its "peacekeeping forces" there.
Turkey has also refused to comply with its obligations under the UN resolutions
concerning Cyprus and many international conventions it has signed. In 2018, for
instance, in response to a ruling by the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR)
demanding the release of Selahattin Demirtaş, former co-chair of Turkey's
pro-Kurdish Peoples' Democratic Party, Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan,
said: "ECHR's rulings are not binding on us."
The West, however, remains silent -- not merely empowering Turkey to commit
further atrocities but rewarding it. The US recently killed, at Turkey's
request, the EastMed natural gas pipeline project, which would have transported
gas from US allies Israel and Cyprus, via Greece, to Western Europe. The EastMed
pipeline would have been particularly important in light of Russia's ability,
with the Nord Stream and other pipelines, to blackmail the continent in winter
by cutting off much of its gas supplies.
Turkey will now be able to continue its crimes against the Yazidis in Iraq, the
Kurds in Syria and the Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh with no repercussions.
Philip Christopher, president of the International Coordinating Committee -
Justice for Cyprus, wrote: " Turkey's occupation of Cyprus has now become the
first modern Islamist fundamentalist attempt to capture Western world territory
and resources."
*Uzay Bulut, a Turkish journalist, is a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the
Gatestone Institute.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Sisi in Riyadh…The Consolidation
of an Arab Regional Order
Zuhair Al-Harthi/Asharq Al Awsat/March 12/2022
The Arab scene continues to affirm, with its successive setbacks that reflect
its nature par excellence, that the Arab world’s problems are deeply rooted and
becoming increasingly complex and difficult as time goes on.
That is evident from how crises/ alliances are dealt with, whether within the
Arab region or at the regional and international levels. Arabs’ relations with
another or other neighboring countries have, since the middle of the twentieth
century, gone through several phases, with several factors playing a significant
role- whether it is the formation or disintegration of alliances or among
themselves or even with the great powers of the time.
Nonetheless, there have been several inspiring episodes, courageous and positive
stances were made. They inspire optimism about what is to come despite all the
tragedies and frustrations. Perhaps the years 1973, 1990 and others saw
remarkable alliances between Saudi Arabia and Egypt being formed for the first
time in the history of Arab solidarity.
Any serious discussion about an Arab bloc genuinely capable of confronting
today’s challenges simply amounts to securing the Arab circle. Thus, it is
correct to say, as some have been asserting, that compromising the security of
Egypt or Saudi Arabia compromises Arab national security. “Egypt and Saudi
Arabia are the backbone of an Arab regional system in crisis that only a
strategic alliance between the two countries can address.”
That can be achieved once they shape their “bilateral relationship according to
national security requirements and needs.” It is no secret that Riyadh and Cairo
coming to an agreement is tantamount to an Arab alliance being formed. The
constant visits between the leaders of the two countries have exposed those who
tried to undermine it.
The Saudi-Egyptian rapprochement means, in my estimation, rearranging regional
priorities and confronting the projects of regional influence. Thus, traditional
and old Arab alliances are no longer tenable, especially with the rise of Iran
and Turkey. Indeed, the situation is deteriorating at all levels. The
Saudi-Egyptian alliance has become a requisite for safeguarding Arab national
security. This alliance is a requisite for confronting the Iranian,
Ottoman/Turkish, and American/Israeli axes, as well as creating a balance of
power in the region.
It has become evident that we are missing an effective Arab policy that can fill
the void, which has become necessary, though we acknowledge that this Arab
policy is not being shaped as we would like it to be. That is a crucial aspect
of the crisis, and once we begin developing and implementing a solid Arab
policy, it means the solution stage has begun.
The agreement between Riyadh Cairo has come at the right time, and it is
tantamount to the development of an Arab alliance that can confront any other in
a new political environment.
President Sisi’s visit to Riyadh was made to enhance the two sides’ exchange of
“views on issues and matters of concern to the two countries on the regional and
international leveled,” as demonstrated by their affirmations that they are
working on coordinating their positions in a manner that serves their interests
and enhances security and stability in the region and the world.
They also emphasized the importance of joint Arab action and the importance of
the role of the Arab League in framing and strengthening the mechanisms of joint
Arab action and resolving the crises in the region in line with relevant UN
Resolutions and the principles of international law. Perhaps the crux of their
position is continued support for peace in the Middle East, stressing the need
to reach a comprehensive and final settlement for the Palestinian-Israeli
conflict in accordance with the two-state solution, relevant UN resolutions, and
the Arab Peace Initiative in a manner that guarantees the right of the
Palestinian people to establish their independent state on the 1967 borders,
with East Jerusalem as its capital. That puts the brakes on the plots of
opportunists seeking to exploit circumstances or situations and conjure up lies
to unjustly attack and insult Saudi Arabia. And so, it is not surprising that
they emphasized the importance of concerted international efforts to provide
humanitarian aid to the Palestinian people.
Riyadh and Cairo affirmed the “indivisibility of Arab security and the
importance of joint Arab action and full Arab solidarity for preserving Arab
national security through its countries’ capabilities and capacities, which are
sufficient for allowing them to assume this responsibility, which falls on all
Arab countries.”
They also stressed their “rejection of any attempts by regional parties to
interfere with Arab countries’ internal affairs or threaten their stability and
undermine the interests of their people- whether through the incitement of
ethnic and sectarian tensions, terrorism and terrorist groups, or expansionist
perceptions that do not respect the sovereignty of states and the principles of
respect and good neighborliness.”
And they agreed to “continue to fight terrorist organizations in the region in
all their forms” ... and praised “the level of cooperation and security
coordination between the two countries and their intentions to enhance this
coordination to further security and stability in the two brotherly countries.”
The two sides focused on the threats posed by Iran’s hostile behavior towards
the countries of the region and the dangers that the regime possessing weapons
of mass destruction would pose to the region and the world, stressing that any
international agreement in this regard must include the countries of the region.
They voiced their “rejection of terrorist militias continuing to threaten
maritime navigation,” stressing that “these militias’ military capabilities
cannot be overlooked. They are a direct threat to the security of the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia and the countries of the region.” This powerful message was clear
and to the point, leaving our Arab world reassured because an Arab alliance is
standing up for it and that Cairo and Riyadh are standing behind this alliance.
Our beloved Egypt, as usual, reiterated its full solidarity with Saudi Arabia,
its support for all the measures the Kingdom has taken to protect its national
security, and its rejection of any attacks on Saudi territory, stressing that
the security of the Kingdom and the Arab Gulf region is an integral part of
Egyptian national security.
Riyadh and Cairo are laying the groundwork for the reformulation of priorities
in a way that safeguards Arab national security and confronts terrorism. Their
agreement on an array of objectives and the types of threats facing them means
the emergence of an Arab front capable of facing risks and dealing with
challenges. This strengthens efforts to develop a framework joint Arab action
system and supports it for the good of its people.
Another Chernobyl Disaster? Russian Invaders Are Taking the Risk
Tobin Harshaw/Bloomberg/March 12/2022
In the fantastically terrifying HBO miniseries “Chernobyl,” the scientist Valery
Legasov warns, "If we don't find out how this happened, it will happen again."
The same could be said, I fear, about the predations of a revanchist Russia,
where President Vladimir Putin seems as blinkered to reality as the most deluded
members of the Soviet Politburo.
The explosion of the No. 4 reactor at the Chernobyl nuclear plant outside
Pripyat, Ukraine, in April 1986 was one of the great failures of the Communist
regime. Now, in trying rebuild that Soviet empire, Putin’s troops have seized
not just the radioactive ruins at Chernobyl but also the functioning nuclear
plant at Zaporizhzhia, the largest in Europe.
What are the odds of another Chernobyl-scale disaster? The International Atomic
Energy Agency says it’s unlikely. But I raised the issue with Serhii Plokhy, the
author of the forthcoming “Atoms and Ashes: A Global History of Nuclear
Disasters,” and he takes a darker view. Plokhy, who grew up in Ukraine, is the
director of the Ukrainian Research Institute at Harvard University. He also
wrote a fantastic book on another potential nuclear catastrophe: “Nuclear Folly:
A History of the Cuban Missile Crisis.” Here is a lightly edited transcript of
our discussion:
Tobin Harshaw: The Chernobyl site is no longer transmitting data to the IAEA,
and the electricity has been cut off. How much of a concern is that?
Serhii Plokhy: The concern is enormous, and the threat of a nuclear accident is
very real. The emergency generators can work for only 48 hours; after that there
will be no electricity to keep the equipment going. In the new 1.5 billion euro
confinement over the damaged 4th unit of the station, electricity is needed to
keep the pressure lower than in the atmosphere, not allowing the radioactive
particles to get out of the structure.
But the biggest concern is the spent-fuel facility that contains 20,000 fuel
assemblies. One needs electricity to keep the assemblies from overheating, or
they can start disintegrating and releasing enormous amounts of radiation into
the atmosphere.
TH: How dangerous is it that an exhausted skeleton crew of Ukrainian prisoners
of war is now overseeing the ruins?
SP: The Ukrainian personnel at the Chernobyl facilities are kept in virtual
captivity, are not allowed to communicate with their superiors or loved ones,
have no medicine, little food — which they are saving, as no one knows what
comes next. They are doing their best, working in shifts to keep the equipment
functioning and radiation levels under control. With the recent damage to the
power supply by the military action in the area, a lot depends on their
professionalism. But they are under enormous stress, and if this is not a recipe
for a nuclear disaster, I do not know what is.
TH: More generally, how stable is the facility now, in terms of a potential
disaster in either war or peacetime? Is the “new safe confinement” that covered
the old steel and concrete sarcophagus a lasting solution?
SP: Yes, it is a lasting solution. The structure should be good for another 100
years or so. But there is one caveat: There should be no war in the area, no
shelling, no disruption of the supply of electricity, etc. The facility prevents
the escape of radiation from the damaged reactor, but does nothing to deal with
the source of that radiation — the remains of the fuel and radioactive debris in
the damaged reactor. The removal of that source of radiation is a task for the
next few decades. That is, of course, if the current war ends and the Ukrainian
nuclear regulating authorities restore their control over the facility and the
unpopulated Exclusion Zone as a whole.
TH: When the Russians were seizing the Zaporizhzhia plant, Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelenskiy warned in a video message that an explosion there could
spell the “end of Europe.” Was that hyperbole?
SP: The continuing occupation of the Zaporizhzhia plant could lead to a nuclear
disaster that could dwarf Chernobyl. The reactors have been shut down by the
Ukrainian personnel. But it takes a long time for their active zones to be
cooled. If the war continues, the electricity can be cut like happened at
Chernobyl.
What could follow is well known from the story of the Fukushima plant in Japan.
There, four reactors either experienced a partial meltdown, or their containment
structures exploded, because of the lack of electricity needed to pump water and
cool the reactors. In Fukushima, the prevailing direction of winds was toward
the ocean. There is no ocean around Ukraine, just European landmass. So, yes,
the end of Europe as we know it was and still is a distinct possibility.
TH: Why have the Russians apparently made taking these plants a high priority?
To scare the West?
SP: The Chernobyl nuclear power plant was in the way of the Russian troops
moving from the Belarus border to Kyiv, the shortest route available to the
aggressors, and they used it, raising radiative dust in the Exclusion Zone with
their tanks and equipment. The Zaporizhzhia plant happened to be on the way from
Crimea, which Russia annexed in 2014, toward central Ukraine. But the Russians
could easily have passed it by. The point was indeed to scare Ukraine and the
world. We are dealing here with nuclear terrorism.
TH: Apparently people are stockpiling against disaster. Bloomberg News reports
that the price of a bottle of potassium iodine pills on Amazon has more than
doubled since the beginning of the year. Is this sort of precaution smart or
silly?
SP: Ukrainians lived through Chernobyl, so for them a threat of another
Chernobyl happening is not purely theoretical. The new nuclear crisis is
happening literally in their backyards; the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is
located next to the city called Enerhodar [“energy’s gift”] of over 50,000
inhabitants. Under the circumstances, it would be silly not to take precautions.
The media outlets put on their sites instructions on what to do in case of a
nuclear emergency.
TH: Finally, you grew up mostly in Ukraine. What are your hopes and fears right
now about the war?
SP: My hope is that it ends soon, and that Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial
integrity, along with the basic principles of international order, are restored.
My fear is that the war drags for a long, long time. Out of that fear comes
another hope, for the international action, not just solidarity, that would not
allow that to happen.
Russia and the US Helped the Demise of the Iran Talks
Camelia Entekhabifard/Asharq Al Awsat/March 12/2022
European Union’s foreign policy chief Josep Borrell has declared a pause in the
Iranian nuclear negotiations in Vienna, caused by “external factors.”
“A final text is essentially ready and on the table,” Borrell tweeted. “As
coordinator, I will, with my team, continue to be in touch with all JCPOA
participants and the US to overcome the current situation and to close the
agreement.”
These vague words left the people of Iran and other observers in the world
wondering: Why were the talks stopped? Were all the issues raised in almost a
year of indirect Iranian-American talks already solved? What did he mean exactly
by “a final text” being “ready and on the table”? Have the US and Iran reached
an agreement on lifting the sanctions on the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps
(IRGC)? How about the sanctions on Ali Khamenei’s household? Or has Iran
accepted the conditions put out there by the European Union and crossed its own
red lines?
Until just a couple of weeks ago, before Russia’s military attack on Ukraine,
there was no news of even relative agreements on the above-mentioned issues.
Tehran had openly declared that it won’t cross its own red lines and has asked
for lifting of all sanctions and US’s commitment to the continuation of the deal
in future governments as a condition for reviving the Iran deal.
It would be very naive if we believed the “external factors” (which most guess
to be linked to Russia) are the main reason for the pause in the talks or
disruption of attempts at the JCPOA’s resurrection.
As the Western attempts to increase pressure on Russia heighten, and there is
even a danger of a military confrontation with the Russians, the EU and the US
do all they can to put the blame for all international conflicts on Russia.
The 2015 Iran deal had many shortcomings. I say this not as an opponent of Iran
or an extremist in the West but as an expert of the regional geopolitics and
international relations.
In the final months of his second administration, President Obama attempted to
bring about this deal and finally inked it despite many existing criticisms of
Tehran’s policies in the region and the conditions of human rights inside Iran.
The deal was not desired by the regional countries and Israel. It also failed to
bring about the needs of the Iranian nation.
The deal came about but the Western countries showed no desire to be present in
the Iranian market. As a dictatorship with a securitized regime, Iran is not
considered a sure and stable market.
Following the nuclear deal, the relations of Iran with neighbors did not
improve. Iran’s regional interventions and tensions created by IRGC-linked
militias were not reduced.
In 2013, when a new round of nuclear talks began, Iran had a pre-condition to
enter them: sticking to the nuclear program and not going beyond this issue.
Optimism about the outcome of the talks and how they could change Iranian
behavior opened the way for the inking of the JCPOA in 2015. The deal was
finally reached.
The next US president, Donald Trump, left the deal in 2018. We should ask a
simple question: In more than two years that had passed since the deal, did
Western countries respect their promises to support investment of foreign
companies in Iran and create more jobs in Iran?
Or did the Iranian behavior change in the region? Did it stop supporting Houthi
militias in Yemen or Lebanon’s Hezbollah? What happened to Iran’s relationship
with Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain?
With the current regime, and given the political and security approach in Iran,
how rational and practical is it to believe that the EU and US truly wanted to
resurrect the previous deal?
The Iranian nuclear program has led to some serious concerns. If we are to
believe the reports by the US security and military establishment, Iran is only
a few weeks away from building the nuclear bomb. If there is such a worry in the
West, it also exists for China and Russia. Russia, an ally of Iran, is now
presented by the EU and the US as the indirect agent leading to the defeat of
the talks in Vienna and is itself amongst the main opponents of arming Iran with
a nuclear weapon.
Russia’s attack on Ukraine was prompted by its worries about Kyiv acquiring a
nuclear weapon (since it has the knowledge for producing nuclear weapons and
also the necessary nuclear plants) and also its joining of the EU which would
mean a nuclear armed state close to Russian borders.
It is naive to consider Russia the reason for the collapse of the talks with the
West just because it has asked a guarantee for exemptions from sanctions in
return for inking the deal.
Russia has repeatedly voted yes to resolutions in the UN Security Council that
condemn Iran. There is nothing it won’t do to stop Iran from becoming nuclear.
Russia’s demand from the US and the West that its commercial and technical deals
with Iran be exempt from sanctions, should be seen alongside the West’s many
worries about the return of the JCPOA. Russia has now given the West an easy way
out of the dead-end it had reached in the nuclear talks: It can blame Moscow.
We should remember that the UN arms embargo on Iran already expired in October
2020 and the sunset clause will also kick in by 2025. These are serious worries
for the US.
On January 11, 2022, 110 Congressmen wrote to US Secretary of State Antony
Blinken. They asked the Biden administration to leave the Vienna talks. This was
less than two months ago. The letter explicitly asked for a deal without a
sunset clause. The letter asked for increased pressure by US and partners on
Iran to stop the progress in its nuclear program. It asked for the use of
sanctions that would lead to negotiations for a better and harsher deal without
any sunset clause.
Russia’s attack on Ukraine and the clash between the US and the West and
Russia’s new demands in the Iran talks have now given an opportunity to the West
to claim there is no possibility of the talks continuing.
In the current conditions, Iran won’t be able to blame the West for the
disruption in the talks. The status quo now favors the West, the US and even
Russia and China.
While it’s not clear how long the Ukrainian crisis can last, the increase in oil
prices will take care of some of the immediate needs of the Iranian regime and
its financial problems.
But the disruption of nuclear talks can lead to an uptick in tensions and more
Iranian provocations in the region. Seizure of ships, tensions in the Arabian
Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, increased rocket and drone attacks by Houthis
against countries of the region can all be part of the subsequent strategies by
Iran and the IRGC to show their anger from the failure of the nuclear deal.
In such conditions, the Europeans will organize a new round of negotiations with
Iran which will not need Russia. They’ll take care of the minimum demands of
Iran and the West.
In the next three months, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will
submit a new report about the questions raised following the observance of
radioactive material in three undeclared regions. Following the responses by
Iran, the full report will be sent to the Board of Governors. After that, we can
expect new talks. In such talks, there will be no "sunset" clause, no repeal of
the arms embargo and there will be banking and financial exemptions and an end
to the boycott of Iranian oil. In response, the Iranian nuclear program will be
limited and under the full supervision of the IAEA.
In simpler words, we can say that the Russian attack on Ukraine led to an
opportunity for the sun to finally set on the JCPOA.
War Crimes Charges Wouldn’t Scare Putin
Stephen L. Carter/Bloomberg/March 12/2022
The horrific carnage in Ukraine has led to cries across the world for Vladimir
Putin to be charged with war crimes. I share the outrage, and would like to see
the Russian president punished. But the threat of a future war crimes trial
isn’t likely to prove much of a deterrent.
Let’s start at the top. Although for many people, “war criminal” is a political
category, legally the conclusion follows indictment, arrest, trial and
conviction — none of which are easily obtained. Nowadays, the trial is typically
held in the Hague before the International Criminal Court, but special courts
can also be established. (Under US law, war crimes can also sometimes be tried
in federal courts. )
Could Putin face formal charges? Easily. Under the Rome Statute, the 1998 treaty
that created the ICC, targeting civilians is a crime. Since 2010, launching a
war of aggression has also been a crime. We can make the list as long as we
like. It’s easy to imagine that an investigation of the invasion opened by the
ICC on Feb. 28 will result in Putin’s indictment.
Then the problems begin.
For one thing, it’s tricky to get him arrested. The ICC has not held trials in
absentia. As the then-president of the court pointed out in 2007, “without
sufficient support in arresting and surrendering persons, there can be no
trials.” Recent hints that the court might be reconsidering this principle have
been met with derision by international lawyers. So Putin might avoid trial
simply by staying put.
However, a court established for a limited purpose can set up the rules however
it wants. When the Special Tribunal for Lebanon was established in 2009, for
example, many observers were surprised by its reintroduction of trial in
absentia. A special Ukraine court could hear the case against the Russian
president without his participation. But such a process would make it easier for
Putin and his supporters to reject the outcome for violating fundamental norms
of fair process.
Even if Putin somehow does wind up facing trial, conviction is often difficult,
even when the world expects it to be easy. The ICC acquits most defendants.
Small wonder. Conviction of a war crime requires proof of intention. Deaths of
noncombatants won’t automatically lead to an inference of intent — not without
evidence clearly indicating a “plan or policy” to attack them.
Moreover, even when evidence abounds, at the ICC the wheels of justice grind
exceeding slow. Consider the case of Laurent Ggabo, the former president of
Ivory Coast, who in 2011 was sent to the Hague to face charges, including
murder, stemming from the violence that followed his 2010 electoral defeat. The
trial did not begin until 2016, at which point Ggabo had already spent nearly
five years in custody. Presentation of evidence took two years more. In January
2019 — three years after the trial began — charges were dismissed. The
prosecution appealed. Ggabo was finally released in March of 2021, nearly a
decade after his arrest.
It’s no defense of Ggabo, whom most observers believe has lots of blood on his
hands, to say that 10 years is a long time. As attractive as we might find the
image of Putin languishing in jail for a decade, stripped of wealth and power,
awaiting a final verdict, that can’t happen unless it’s possible to arrest him.
If Ukraine wins the war and Putin is toppled from his throne, his successors
might be only too happy to turn him over. (Assuming they haven’t already dealt
with him.) But if Putin prevails — annexing, say, the eastern third of Ukraine
as a new Russian province — then there would be a contest of wills. An indicted
Putin could be arrested if he set foot in any signatory nation, but he could
choose simply to remain at home, testing the mettle of the West. Sanctions can’t
last forever, particularly once the war ends. Putin might reason that the West
won’t be willing to go on sacrificing economically if the only justification is
enforcing a warrant.
There are political obstacles, too.
Enthusiasm for the ICC has been waning of late, in part because of its large
budget, in part because it acquits more often than it convicts, and in part
because it’s increasingly seen as a tool of the West. Moreover, the court isn’t
exactly flavor-of-the-week in Washington just now. ICC prosecutors are currently
looking into crimes allegedly committed by the US (and the Taliban) in
Afghanistan. Although President Joe Biden has revoked his predecessor’s
sanctions on the ICC over the investigation, his administration continues to
insist that no probe of the conduct of US forces is necessary.
If the ICC process proves too cumbersome, alternatives might be available.
Ukraine (aided by my Yale Law School colleague Harold Koh) is currently suing in
the International Court of Justice, demanding an injunction to halt the
invasion. Purely symbolic? Maybe not. Ukraine could then pursue war reparations.
As of this writing, the estimated damage from the invasion exceeds $10 billion.
An award of, say, triple the final figure, to be paid in a currency of Ukraine’s
choice — on top of the astonishingly high cost of Russia’s military losses —
might prove a stronger deterrent than a war crimes indictment of Putin.
But none of this is likely to matter unless Russia is first defeated on the
field of battle. Tribunals rarely convene to punish winners.
د. ماجد رفي زاده/معهد جيتستون: لماذا تقوم إدارة بايدن
والاتحاد الأوروبي باسترضاء النظام الإيراني في كل ما يتعلق بالإتفاق النووي؟
Why Are the Biden Administration, EU, Appeasing the Iranian Regime?
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/March 12/ 2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/106987/106987/
Many Iranians, meanwhile, in defiance of Iran’s regime, gathered outside the
Ukrainian embassy in Tehran to express their support for the Ukrainian people,
criticize the Iranian government for supporting Russia, and chanted “Death to
Putin”.
As police began cracking down on the protesters, the Biden administration and
the EU remained silent.
Why are the Biden administration and the EU appeasing the Iranian regime, which
has for four decades attacked Americans and carried out terrorist activities and
assassinations?
The Biden administration and the other members of the JCPOA nuclear deal
negotiated in 2015 (China, France, Russia, the UK and Germany) — with the
European Union — instead of holding Iran to account, are evidently determined to
reward it. It is not quite clear for what. For years of unspeakable behavior,
both to its own citizens and internationally?
Meanwhile, as the US has been negotiating this new agreement, US intelligence
services have just identified “at least two Iranians” as trying to assassinate
former officials of the Trump administration. The Biden administration is said
to have been trying to cover up the plot lest it derail the negotiations to
shower Iran with “rewards”.
The Iranian regime, an official state sponsor of terrorism, has carried out
terrorist activities around the world for almost four decades. Why are the Biden
administration and the EU not implementing the same policies towards Iran’s
regime as they are towards Russia?
Iran’s theocratic regime, an officially designated state sponsor of terrorism,
has carried out terrorist activities around the world for almost four decades.
Why are the Biden administration and the EU not implementing the same sanctions
and policies towards Iran’s regime as they are towards Russia? Pictured: Iran’s
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei hosts Russian President Vladimir Putin in
Iran on November 23, 2015. (Image source: khamenei.ir via Wikimedia Commons)
While the European Union has leveled different kinds of sanctions on Russia,
including restricting access to the EU’s capital and financial markets, the EU
nevertheless continues to appease Moscow’s staunch ally, the world’s largest
sponsor of state terrorism, Iran.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is opportunistically using the
humanitarian tragedy in Ukraine to spread the narrative that the war is not
Russia’s fault, but rather that the West and the “mafia regime” of the US, which
is trying to negotiate a new nuclear deal with the mullahs, are to be blamed.
Meanwhile, he is trying to advance his country’s revolutionary principles and
hegemonic ambitions and promoting his long-held anti-American and anti-Western
policy.
Iranian politicians are also pointing the finger at NATO concerning the Ukraine
crisis. Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, who was part of the “Death Committee”
in the 1988 massacre, telephoned Russian President Vladimir Putin expressing his
support and stating, according to Iran’s state-controlled Mehr News Agency: “The
continued expansion of NATO is a serious threat against the stability and
security of independent countries in various regions of the world.”
Many Iranians, meanwhile, in defiance of Iran’s regime, gathered outside the
Ukrainian embassy in Tehran to express their support for the Ukrainian people,
criticize the Iranian government for supporting Russia, and chanted “Death to
Putin”.
As police began cracking down on the protesters, the Biden administration and
the EU remained silent.
The protestors, however, mobilized on social media outlets and disseminated
chants such as “the Russian embassy is a den of spies”, “Putin murders, the
stupid ones support him”, “Long live Ukraine” and “Long live peace.”
No matter how much blood is shed in Ukraine, it is extremely unlikely that the
Iranian regime will abandon its favorable policy towards Russia. As the current
tensions continue between Russia and the West, based on Russia’s invasion of
Ukraine, Moscow also finds no better geopolitical ally than the Iranian regime.
The Ukraine crisis brings Russia and Iran’s theocratic establishment closer
together, as both of them confront the West.
Both Putin and Iran’s leaders seem to be attempting to restore their empires and
their wounded prestige and pride, both regionally and internationally. Iran and
Russia have been attempting to reinforce how the international community views
them, for example, presenting themselves as influential state actors in Syria,
by significantly ratcheting up the political and economic capital they spend to
secure Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s hold on power. Assad, a physician who
in 2011 had promised to push for more political reforms, has, a decade later and
with Russia’s help, piled up a record of massive abuses and war crimes that
include gassing innocent civilians with chemical weapons, bombing schools and
hospitals, and causing thousands to disappear.
Why are the Biden administration and the EU appeasing the Iranian regime, which
has for four decades attacked Americans and carried out terrorist activities and
assassinations?
Iran’s proxy, Hezbollah, has been accused of terrorist attacks, such as the 1983
bombing of the U.S. Marines barracks in Beirut, in which 241 U.S. Marines were
killed; the 1983 U.S. Embassy bombing in Beirut; the 2000 attack on the USS Cole
in which 17 sailors were killed; the 1984 United States Embassy annex bombing in
Beirut; as well as the 9/11 attacks in the United States, for which federal
courts ordered Iran to pay the families of the victims $7.5 billion. Hezbollah
and Iran were also reportedly behind the 1992 attack on Israel’s Embassy in
Buenos Aires, in which 29 people were killed.
A Washington, DC district court found:
“The government of the Islamic Republic of Iran (“Iran”) has a long history of
providing material aid and support to terrorist organizations including al
Qaeda, which have claimed responsibility for the August 7, 1998 embassy
bombings.”
It was also the Iranian government that provided aid to Al Qaeda to carry out
terrorist attacks against the US in general. The court added:
“Iran had been the preeminent state sponsor of terrorism against the United
States and its interests for decades. Throughout the 1990s — at least — Iran
regarded al Qaeda as a useful tool to destabilize U.S. interests. As discussed
in detail below, the government of Iran aided, abetted and conspired with
Hezbollah, Osama Bin Laden, and al Qaeda to launch large-scale bombing attacks
against the United States by utilizing the sophisticated delivery mechanism of
powerful suicide truck bombs.”
Iran has also been funding and supporting at least three proxy terrorist groups:
Hamas, which controls the Gaza Strip; Hezbollah, which has effectively taken
over Lebanon, and the Houthis in Yemen, who, under Iranian supervision, seem to
be trying to help Iran displace Saudi Arabia’s monarchy. According to the Wilson
Center in Washington, DC:
“Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and the elite Qods Force provided arms, training
and financial support to militias and political movements in at least six
countries: Bahrain, Iraq, Lebanon, the Palestinian Territories, Syria and
Yemen…. In 2020, the State Department estimated that Iran gave Hezbollah $700
million a year. In the past, Tehran had historically given $100 million annually
to Palestinian groups, including Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad. “
The Biden administration and the other members of the JCPOA nuclear deal
negotiated in 2015 (China, France, Russia, the UK and Germany) — with the
European Union — instead of holding Iran to account, are evidently determined to
reward it. It is not quite clear for what. For years of unspeakable behavior,
both to its own citizens and internationally? The new deal, which has been has
been called the “worst deal ever,” would reportedly provide the mullahs with the
ability to enrich uranium, the ability soon to have an unlimited number of
nuclear weapons, the missile systems to deliver them, removal of from the US
list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations, international legitimacy and billions
in cash. If anyone thinks that this arrangement will stop, or even slow down,
Iran’s malign activates at home or abroad, they are living in a world of
make-believe. Iran never even signed the 2015 deal, let alone honored it.
Meanwhile, as the US has been negotiating this new agreement, US intelligence
services have just identified “at least two Iranians” as trying to assassinate
former officials of the Trump administration. The Biden administration is said
to have been trying to cover up the plot lest it derail the negotiations to
shower Iran with “rewards”.
The Iranian regime, an officially designated state sponsor of terrorism, has
carried out terrorist activities around the world for almost four decades. Why
are the Biden administration and the EU not implementing the same sanctions and
policies towards Iran’s regime as they are towards Russia?
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated
scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and
president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has
authored several books on Islam and US foreign policy. He can be reached at
Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/18315/biden-administration-eu-iran
Dealing with Egypt’s demographic dilemma
Mohamed Abulfadl/The Arab Weekly/March 12/2022
As one compares the demographic policies of Egypt and Thailand one cannot miss a
striking paradox. While Egypt is sparing no effort to reduce population growth,
using both enticement and intimidation to urge citizens to have no more than two
children, a poor country like Thailand, which is no better off than Egypt,
offers cash grants and tax incentives to increase the country’s birth rate, even
though it boasts a population of about 70 million, some 40 million less than
Egypt.
Overall economic capacity may be somewhat similar in both nations, but the way
of dealing with the population issue is different. Successive governments in
Egypt have tried for nearly forty years to push people to cut the birth rate,
but with no real success. They used a range of propaganda but did not bother to
think out of the box, so as to invest in this demographic bulge.
What happened in Thailand in Southeast Asia, is that its government realised
that the population will see a significant decrease by 2030, which means that
with an ageing population, there could be labour shortages and a decline in the
working-age group.
All birth-control programmes in Egypt have so far failed to achieve their goals,
as there are religious, social and economic considerations at play in a large
segment of the population. It does not matter how much money the authorities
spend on their public relations efforts.
The Egyptian government wants to blame the population for the increase and
refuses to question its own plans and methods.
Instead of complaining about demographic growth, the government could be working
on educating, training, rehabilitating and preparing its labour force to adjust
to the needs of neighbouring markets.
The government is talking about giant development projects, the construction of
sophisticated infrastructure, splendid new cities and the reclamation of
millions of acres of land. All such projects can absorb a large part of the
population growth, which officials are trying to depict as one of the most
serious challenges the country faces, without however offering any solution to
it.
The main problem lies in the failure of the government’s plans to prepare young
people for the job market. Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi recently said
the government needed to hire engineers. About 300,000 local graduates in
engineering and computer sciences came forward. But only 111 passed the tests.
Some have described Sisi’s words as an abdication of responsibility. But he was
pointing to a problem in the educational system, which has granted these
students practically useless university degrees. This is a situation that must
be corrected, as all previous plans to modernise education were unable to supply
the labour market with adequately-trained graduates in engineering and other
disciplines.
Therefore, the population increase is a symptom of a disease and not the disease
itself. It requires some more innovative thinking in order to maximise its
potential assets and limit its risks. How otherwise does the government explain
why some Egypt-based companies have to rely on foreign labour ?
Appreciating the human resources potential in Egypt, as in Thailand, is the
first step that the government must take to avoid behaving as if it is facing a
devastating scourge due to overpopulation.
The demographic decline will come automatically once anarchic urbanisation is
curbed. Against such a background, some families see more births as a useful
economic tool.
Instead of focusing its efforts on holding conferences and making statements
urging people to reduce the number of newborn, the government should offer out
of the box thinking which could resolve a large part of the problem. Just
blaming the population will not solve anything.
*Mohamed Aboelfadl is an Egyptian writer.