English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For 09-10 July/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.july10.22.htm

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Bible Quotations For today
When they hand you over, do not worry about how you are to speak or what you are to say; for what you are to say will be given to you at that time; for it is not you who speak, but the Spirit of your Father speaking through you.
Matthew 10/16-25/:”‘See, I am sending you out like sheep into the midst of wolves; so be wise as serpents and innocent as doves. Beware of them, for they will hand you over to councils and flog you in their synagogues; and you will be dragged before governors and kings because of me, as a testimony to them and the Gentiles. When they hand you over, do not worry about how you are to speak or what you are to say; for what you are to say will be given to you at that time; for it is not you who speak, but the Spirit of your Father speaking through you. Brother will betray brother to death, and a father his child, and children will rise against parents and have them put to death; and you will be hated by all because of my name. But the one who endures to the end will be saved. When they persecute you in one town, flee to the next; for truly I tell you, you will not have gone through all the towns of Israel before the Son of Man comes. ‘A disciple is not above the teacher, nor a slave above the master; it is enough for the disciple to be like the teacher, and the slave like the master. If they have called the master of the house Beelzebul, how much more will they malign those of his household!”

Whoever does not take up the cross and follow me is not worthy of me
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 10/34-39/:”‘Do not think that I have come to bring peace to the earth; I have not come to bring peace, but a sword.For I have come to set a man against his father, and a daughter against her mother, and a daughter-in-law against her mother-in-law; and one’s foes will be members of one’s own household. Whoever loves father or mother more than me is not worthy of me; and whoever loves son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me; and whoever does not take up the cross and follow me is not worthy of me. Those who find their life will lose it, and those who lose their life for my sake will find it.”

Titels
For English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on July 09-10/2022
Israel Confirms Lebanon’s Approval of its Share in Karish Gas Field
President Aoun congratulates the Lebanese on Al-Adha Eid, calls for drawing lessons from the meaning of sacrifice
Aoun urges 'some' parties to sacrifice their interests for Lebanon's sake
Lebanon attempts to restore membership in World Customs Organization
Reports: US mediates to give Lebanon Qana field, negotiations to resume soon
Mikati stresses need to form govt. before presidential election
Reports: Line-up talks to resume after Adha, no govt. before presidential election
Qaouq says Hezbollah drones had a 'quick effect'
Samir Geagea hopes Lebanese will get rid of 'hijackers'
MP Strida Geagea: We are fighting an existential and fateful battle
Corona - MOPH: 1741 new coronavirus infections, one death
Bassil, Khazen meet
Foreign Ministry condemns Abe's assassination
Working for the future Lebanon deserves: An op-ed by outgoing UK ambassador
EU EOM led a roundtable with stakeholders to explore ways to implement its recommendations to improve future electoral processes in Lebanon
Berri discusses general situation with French Ambassador, meets Belgian Ambassador and UNICEF’s Beigbeder, receives congratulatory cables marking...
Lebanon: Economy Minister Speaks of ‘Gangs’ in Ministries
Justice for Lebanon

Titles For Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on July 09-10/2022
Former Iranian FM Responds to Criticism
IRGC Says it Neutralized Terrorist Cell, 4 of its Members Killed
Iran Detains Prominent Activist, 2 Filmmakers on Security Charges
Turkey Convicts 14 Accused of Killing Iranian Dissident
Britain Refutes Iranian Media Reports on British Diplomat Arrest
Iran, Oman Discuss Nuclear Talks
British Navy Says it Seized Smuggled Iranian Missiles Early this Year
Assad Makes Rare Visit to Syria’s North
Abbas, Gantz Meet Ahead of Biden’s Visit
Egypt Pardons Dozens of Prisoners of Conscience
New Partnership Between Rabat, EU to Tackle Human Smuggling Networks
Zelenskiy sacks Ukraine's envoy to Germany, other ambassadors
Russia threatens broad Ukraine offensive as U.S. presses China over war stance
Blinken, China's Wang Yi hold talks covering Ukraine war and trade
Sri Lanka leader flees as protesters storm home, office
Shinzo Abe murder suspect: What we know
Canada/Minister Joly announces additional sanctions targeting Russian disinformation and propaganda agents

Titles For LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July 09-10/2022
‘When they call you “apostate”, they don’t see you like a human anymore’/July 09/2022/articleeighteen.com/news
Reassessing U.S. International Broadcasting/Alberto M. Fernandez • Summer 2022
Wanting the Iran Nuclear Deal for the Wrong Reasons/Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute./July 09/2022
European Scientists Empowering China's Military/Judith Bergman/ Gatestone Institute/July 09/2022
Boris Johnson Leaves a Mixed Legacy With His Brexit Gambit/Peter Coy/The New York Times/July 09/2022
Jobs Report Gives Powell a Little More Runway on Rates/Jonathan Levin/Bloomberg/July 09/2022
We're Starting to See Clear Signs of Tech Troubles/Tim Culpan/Bloomberg/July 09/2022
Shinzo Abe's Assassination Will Scar Japan Forever/Gearoid Reidy/Bloomberg/July 09/2022
Ukraine War: Unified Command Needed/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
Biden’s Devious Rhetoric on Saudi Arabia/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on July 09-10/2022
Israel Confirms Lebanon’s Approval of its Share in Karish Gas Field

Tel Aviv - Nazir Magally/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
An agreement put forward by US mediator Amos Hochstein stipulated that Lebanon gain control over the Qana field in exchange for granting Israel full rights in the Karish oil field, well-informed sources in Tel Aviv said. The sources noted that most politicians in Lebanon have voiced support for this agreement, except for the Shiite duo Hezbollah and Amal. The draft agreement reached by Hochstein stated that the dispute was limited to an area of 860 square kilometers, not 2,350 km as previously claimed by Lebanon. Tel Aviv, however, is asking for guarantees that the Shiite duo would abide by the Lebanese official position and that it would refrain from threatening the Israeli wells. These Israeli fears emerged after Hezbollah launched three drones towards the Israeli Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) on Saturday. Another drone was launched towards the Israeli EEZ earlier last week, before being shot down by an Israeli aircraft near the border with Lebanon. In an attempt to persuade Israel to respond positively to the agreement with Lebanon, Hochstein is set to visit Israel next week, as part of the delegation accompanying President Joe Biden to the region. He will meet with Energy Minister Karine Elharrar and other officials in Tel Aviv to finalize the agreement. The Israeli Broadcasting Corporation (KAN 11) quoted a high-ranking Israeli official as pointing to the “possibility of achieving great progress in the file of demarcating the maritime border with Lebanon during Hochstein’s expected visit,” noting that the American mediator will convey to Israel the Lebanese stance.

President Aoun congratulates the Lebanese on Al-Adha Eid, calls for drawing lessons from the meaning of sacrifice
NNA/July 09/2022
President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, congratulated the Lebanese on the occasion of the blessed Al-Adha feast. President Aoun called for recalling the true meanings of this feast by sacrificing for the interest of Lebanon and the Lebanese, in contrast to the positions of some who put their interests and selfishness ahead of the nation's interest.
The President wrote on his Twitter account:
“On the onset of the blessed Al-Adha, we draw lessons from the meanings and dignity of sacrifice.
It would be desirable if some would sacrifice their interests and selfishness for the sake of the interest of their homeland and the happiness of its people.
I hope that through every feast, Lebanon and the Lebanese remain fine”.
Congratulations to heads of Arab and Islamic countries:
The President sent congratulatory cables to kings, presidents and princes of Arab and Islamic countries, on the occasion of Al Adha.
President Aoun wished that God would bless their countries and peoples with goodness, peace of mind, stability and progress.
The President also expressed his hope that bilateral relations would witness development and progress in various fields. -- Presidency Press Office

Aoun urges 'some' parties to sacrifice their interests for Lebanon's sake
Naharnet/July 09/2022
President Michel Aoun urged the Lebanese on Friday to learn from Eid al-Adha the meaning of sacrifice. "If only some (politicians) would sacrifice their interests for the sake of their homeland and the happiness of the Lebanese people," Aoun said in a statement on social media. As Muslim pilgrims offer prayers of repentance today on the sacred hill of Mount Arafat in Saudi Arabia, commemorating the prophet Ibrahim’s willingness to sacrifice his son Ismail at God’s request, Lebanon's leaders haggle over a new cabinet line-up. Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri had said he will not accept Adha greetings as Lebanon struggles with an unprecedented economic crisis, while former PM Saad Hariri prayed for Lebanon to get out of its crisis and enjoy stability.

Lebanon attempts to restore membership in World Customs Organization
Naharnet/July 09/2022
Lebanon's membership in the World Customs Organization (WCO) has been suspended weeks ago, due to payment problems, al-Jadeed reported Friday.
"Lebanon has failed to pay its dues," the media outlet said, adding that "the Higher Customs Council is communicating with the WCO to restore Lebanon's membership. Al-Jadeed said that Lebanon has received promises that its membership will be restored.

Reports: US mediates to give Lebanon Qana field, negotiations to resume soon
Naharnet/July 09/2022
A major progress is expected in the negotiations over the sea border demarcation between Lebanon and Israel, according to media reports and to both Lebanese and Israelis. Lebanese newspaper al-Akhbar said Friday that Washington has been assuring the Lebanese political forces, through continuous talks, that Israel and the U.S. are not seeking escalation and that they are committed to resuming the negotiations. The daily added, as it quoted informed sources, that the U.S. will try to convince Israel to give Lebanon the Qana field, "without any compensation in return." On Saturday, Hezbollah had launched three unarmed reconnaissance drones towards the offshore Karish gas field and Israel said it shot them down. Caretaker Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib and Prime Minister-designate Najib Mikati later condemned the drones' launching. Al-Joumhouria newspaper said Friday that the official Lebanese position has been unified in the recent hours, as high-level politicians have discussed the drones incident during lengthy meetings. "They have agreed that all the statements will serve Lebanon's interest in the negotiations," the report said, adding that the negotiations with U.S. mediator Amos Hochstein will officially resume in the coming days.

Mikati stresses need to form govt. before presidential election
Naharnet/July 09/2022
Prime Minister-designate Najib Mikati stressed Friday the need to speed up the government formation, before President Michel Aoun's term comes to an end. "The tight timeline and the upcoming junctures require us to take proactive steps and to form a new government quickly, before the presidential election," Mikati said in a statement. He urged the Lebanese for national unity to face the collapse, along with "the government's intensive efforts to put the country on the path of economic, financial and social recovery." Mikati said the caretaker government is still "cooperatively and positively" working, in collaboration with the Parliament, in order to approve the budget draft law and other reform projects that are required for a final agreement with the International Monetary Fund.

Reports: Line-up talks to resume after Adha, no govt. before presidential election
Naharnet/July 09/2022
All consultations over the Cabinet formation have been halted, al-Akhbar newspaper said Friday, as it considered that no government will be formed before the end of President Michel Aoun's term. Another media report, also published on Friday, said that Aoun and Prime Minister-designate Najib Mikati will not meet before Wednesday, which marks the end of the Adha holiday. The report added that the Free Patriotic Movement ministers might resign in an attempt to press Mikati to speed up the government formation. Last week, Mikati handed Aoun the new government’s draft line-up, after a week of being re-appointed as Prime Minister. The line-up was leaked on the same day. Only some of the caretaker ministers were replaced and the energy portfolio was not given to the FPM, neither to a Christian candidate. Greek Orthodox caretaker Minister Walid Fayyad was replaced by a Sunni candidate. Later last week, after the two leaders met again, Mikati said he is "ready to amend" the cabinet line-up and that any line-up will respect equal power-sharing between Christians and Muslims.

Qaouq says Hezbollah drones had a 'quick effect'
Naharnet/July 09/2022
Senior Hezbollah official Sheikh Nabil Qaouq on Saturday boasted that the three drones that Hezbollah sent towards the Karish gas field last Saturday had a “quick effect” on the course of the sea border demarcation negotiations.
“The resistance today is a strategic treasure, the shield of Lebanon and the title of its glory. It has performed its duty in a manner that serves the interest of the Lebanese and preserves their dignity and resources,” Qaouq, who is a member of Hezbollah’s central council, added, referring to the drones flight.
“The drones message took place at the appropriate place and time and it had a quick effect. It was a 100% patriotic message and its objectives were Lebanese and not related to Iranian negotiations nor to U.S. visits,” the Hezbollah official went on to say. “The drones plunged the Israeli enemy into new equations and calculations, and the post-drones period does not resemble the pre-drones one,” Qaouq said. He added: “The stances of the officials should enhance Lebanon’s position in the negotiations and block the interferences and dictations of embassies, because when Lebanon’s resources are threatened by the enemy, it is not acceptable to submit to an ambassador, regardless of the identity of this ambassador.”

Samir Geagea hopes Lebanese will get rid of 'hijackers'

Naharnet/July 09/2022
Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea on Saturday hoped the Lebanese people will manage to get rid of whom he called the “hijackers” of their “dreams.”“On Eid al-Adha, we extensively reflect on the meanings of this feast, hoping the Lebanese people’s sacrifices over the past years will translate into a better future that is full of welfare, safety and peace, after we get rid of the hijackers of our dreams,” Geagea tweeted.

MP Strida Geagea: We are fighting an existential and fateful battle
NNA/July 09/2022
MP Strida Geagea conducted an inspection field tour to reveal the progress of the "Labor and Roads" project funded by the World Bank. During the tour, MP Geagea said that "we are fighting an existential and fateful battle for Lebanon, and the next presidential entitlement is a crucial and critical one." The MP called on all the new deputies, to join efforts and overcome some considerations and learn from what happened in the last two months, in order to prove together their presence. "We should all be as confident as people have given us, uniting our efforts to choose a sovereign president who represents the aspirations of the Lebanese people and lifts us out of the deep chasm we are in," she added. "We promise that we will always be by our people's side in this difficult stage until we get out of this dark tunnel," Geagea concluded.

Corona - MOPH: 1741 new coronavirus infections, one death
NNA//July 09/2022
Lebanon has recorded 1741 new coronavirus cases and one death in the last 24 hours, as reported by the Ministry of Public Health on Saturday.

Bassil, Khazen meet
NNA/July 09/2022
Free Patriotic Movement, MP Gebran Bassil, met this Saturday in Laqlouq with MP Farid Heikal Al-Khazen.According to a statement from MP Khazen Media's office, the pair reportedly discussed the upcoming constitutional entitlements and how political forces cooperate and open to each other to get Lebanon out of the crisis.

Foreign Ministry condemns Abe's assassination
NNA/July 09/2022
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants condemned, in the strongest terms, the assassination of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. "This crime claimed the lives of a prominent Japanese and international figure with distinguished fingerprints in all international forums and in the establishment of the rules of international law," the statement said. 'His assassination was a loss not only for the friendly Japanese people but for the entire international community," it added. “The late was a friend of Lebanon and his people as a member of the Japan-Lebanese Parliamentary Friendship Committee, and he has previously visited Lebanon in this capacity,” the statement went on. "I extend my sincere condolences to His Majesty the Emperor, the Government and the Japanese people, especially his family," the statement concluded.

Working for the future Lebanon deserves: An op-ed by outgoing UK ambassador
Naharnet/July 09/2022
Below is the op-ed’s full text as received from the British embassy:
After an eventful year serving as the British Ambassador to Lebanon, this week I will leave your uniquely beautiful country to return to my own. I am sad to go. I have greatly enjoyed my Lebanese experiences. Exploring stunning landscapes, delving back through your archaeological history, tasting your delicious food, and above all meeting so many of you on my travels, from north to south, into the mountains and the Bekaa. Thank you for welcoming me with open arms and sharing with me your culture, your counsel and your wisdom.
Lebanon may be small, but it is in several respects perfectly formed. Lebanon enjoys many of the ingredients necessary for success, in particular a foundation cemented in its rich and deep history, complemented by a modern vibrancy, entrepreneurship and undeniable human capacity.
Yet, the jewel of the eastern Mediterranean is not living up to its potential. Many of you are suffering amid the ongoing failure of Lebanon’s powerbrokers to serve your interests – the interests of the Lebanese people.
If the ingredients are present, the recipe for a brighter future is also clear and within grasp. It is clear that Lebanon’s broken economy desperately needs the support of an IMF deal.
In my meetings with politicians and bankers, most seem not to want to accept that Lebanon must do everything that is asked in order to receive an international rescue package. There can be no Lebanon exceptionalism any more. Lebanon must adopt the necessary laws, open the books without preconditions, and reset the banking sector. The alternative is more and more of you forced into increasingly desperate measures to survive.
Reform, done now, is the key to resolving Lebanon’s economic woes. Now is not the time for politicking. Never has it been more critical for your leaders to take the necessary decisions, however challenging that may be. They owe it to you to deliver better governance, transparency and accountability. They must show compassion and a commitment to bettering the lives of their fellow country people. Public interest must outweigh personal interest.
The UK’s priorities remain clear. The British government is committed to supporting Lebanon’s stability and security. We have deepened and broadened our partnerships with the Lebanese Armed Forces and the Internal Security Forces. Our support to the education sector has helped build a better future for Lebanon’s youth, those who will be the future generation of Lebanese leaders. We will continue to provide humanitarian support to the most vulnerable, advocate for their rights, and stand up for those at risk of prejudice and persecution. Lebanon matters. In 2019, Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II said that Lebanon was a “symbol of diversity, tolerance and resilience”. She wished for continuing strong bonds of friendship between our two countries for many years. As I depart as British Ambassador, I share her ambition. I am proud that we, the United Kingdom, continue to fulfil our role as your steadfast friend – a friend of the Lebanese people.

EU EOM led a roundtable with stakeholders to explore ways to implement its recommendations to improve future electoral processes in Lebanon
NNA/July 09/2022
As last step of its return visit to Lebanon, this morning the European Union Election Observation Mission (EU EOM) together with the EU Delegation led a roundtable with different stakeholders, such as Lebanese authorities, political parties’ representatives, civil society and international organisations, and media associations. The aim was to explore possible ways to implement the mission’s recommendations to improve future electoral processes in the country. As part of its methodology, in the last days a representation of the EU EOM returned to Beirut. At a press conference last Monday, the Chief Observer György Hölvényi, publicly presented the mission’s final report which, in addition to a detailed analysis of the electoral process, includes 23 recommendations. Following this event, the Chief Observer and the mission’s members met on bilateral basis a number of interlocutors, ranging from the Lebanese high authorities, political parties of the whole spectrum, civil society representatives to present them the Final report. “In the course of today’s roundtable, the interlocutors invited by the EU EOM discussed the recommendations, trying to assess to which extent and how to implement those recommendations in the near future”, said Jarek Domański, the deputy chief observer of the mission. Mr Domański emphasised that: “the recommendations are the most important contribution that the mission offers to the country, the starting point of possible future electoral reforms”.“The European Union stands ready to support Lebanon in order to implement the recommendations and in order to make future electoral processes strengthened and improved”, he concluded. -- EU EOM

Berri discusses general situation with French Ambassador, meets Belgian Ambassador and UNICEF’s Beigbeder, receives congratulatory cables marking...
NNA/July 09/2022
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Friday received at the Second Presidency in Ain El-Tineh, French Ambassador to Lebanon, Anne Grillo, with whom he discussed the current general situation and the latest developments, in addition to the Lebanese-French bilateral relations.
Speaker Berri also received UNICEF Representative in Lebanon, Edouard Beigbeder, who came on a protocol visit, during which Beigbeder briefed the Speaker on UNICEF's work programs in Lebanon, especially the areas of cooperation with the Parliament. Speaker Berri later met with Belgium's Ambassador to Lebanon, Hubert Cooreman, who came on a farewell visit upon the end of his diplomatic mission in the country.On the other hand, Speaker Berri received a congratulatory cable marking the blessed Adha Eid, from Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, in which he highlighted the need for the spirit of solidarity and bonding among the peoples of the nation. Berri also received similar congratulatory cables on the blessed Adha Eid, notably from: the Speaker of the Federal National Council of the United Arab Emirates Saqr Ghobash, Speaker of the Shura Council of the Sultanate of Oman Khalid bin Hilal bin Nasser Al-Maawali, Secretary General of the Asian Parliamentary Assembly Mohammed Reza Majdi, Former Iraqi Prime Minister Ayad Allawi, and Head of Hamas Political Bureau, Ismail Haniyeh.

Lebanon: Economy Minister Speaks of ‘Gangs’ in Ministries
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
Lebanon’s caretaker Economy Minister Amin Salam said on Friday that 40% of Lebanon's flour stock is being smuggled into Syria, pointing to what he described as “gangs in the ministries” controlling the issue. “We can’t confront the thieves and smugglers alone. Reports show that 40% of the flour is being smuggled into Syria. The long queues of people standing outside bakeries to get bread are mainly Syrians,” said Salam in a press conference. The Minister stated that some important documents and evidence linked to the country’s bread and wheat crisis are in his procession. His remarks came in light of accusations blaming the Ministry of negligence in providing flour to bakeries. “There is a surplus of 10,000 tons of flour that has been stolen. We (our government) are here to clean up the mess done by previous administrations,” he said, adding that “some have brought in gangs to the ministries.”“Accusations must not be fired arbitrarily,” he said, demanding the state and administrations to “work according to the rules.”“Those selling the bread for 20 and 30 thousand a pack are nothing but thieves. A bread pack should be sold for around 14 thousand only,” he added.In a radio interview, the representative of the Bekaa bakeries and a member of the Syndicate of Beirut and Mount Lebanon bakeries, Abbas Haidar, said: “Nothing more to say after so many constant meetings and sit-ins. “We want to deliver bread to the people as quickly as possible, and therefore demand the Ministry of Economy to form a crisis cell to secure wheat for all mills, especially in the Bekaa region."Lebanese flocked to bakeries early mornings desperate to find affordable bread in a country where fuel and medicine are already in critically short supply. The country, struggling with political turmoil since 2019, has also been hit by the worst global economic crisis in 150 years, according to the World Bank. Many bakeries have already closed down because they cannot afford the rising cost of fuel needed to power private generators as electricity cuts last for around 20 hours a day.

Justice for Lebanon
At the Occasion of the World Day for International Justice
July 17, 2022
July 17 is the World Day for International Justice, yet in Lebanon, impunity reigns supreme.
Spanning from the civil war to the present day, perpetrators of political crimes evade arrest and investigations remain incomplete in Lebanon. Throughout the country’s history, the few cases of justice rendered for select political crimes constitute the exceptions that nonetheless confirm the rule of impunity. Neither the forced oblivion through the Amnesty Law of 1991 nor the recent convictions pronounced by the Special Tribunal for Lebanon on Rafic Hariri’s assassination have appeased the need for justice in Lebanon.
This need is even more urgent as Lebanon is still reeling from the explosion in the port of Beirut on August 4, 2020. The investigation into one of the biggest non-nuclear explosions in the history of the world is being actively undermined by the very people who might be implicated.
Amid all these types of violence, the countless victims still hope and fight for justice in Lebanon.
Therefore, we invite you to join UMAM Documentation & Research, Lokman Slim Foundation, Dar Al-Jadeed, and IUSTICOM in commemorating the Day for International Justice by raising awareness locally and internationally about the need to end impunity and to continue demanding #JusticeforLebanon.
Please join us at 6:00 pm on 17 July 2022 at the Station in Sin El Fil
for a roundtable discussion on justice and accountability in Lebanon, accompanied by a photo exhibition and screening of messages from victims and rule of law defenders.
The event is supported by Heinrich Böll Foundation.
Program
18:00 Opening of the Event
Photography Exhibition (projection on large screens)
Photographers
Elie (Noir) Barakat
Hussein Baydoun
Elsie Haddad
Marwan Tahtah
Chérine Yazbek
18:30-20:30 Justice for Lebanon Roundtable
Introductory speeches
Ms. Monika Borgmann-Slim, director of UMAM Documentation & Research
Ms. Anna Fleischer, director of Böll Foundation
Participants
Mr. Ronnie Chatah, podcaster
H.E. Dr Andreas Kindl: German Ambassador
Mr. Moussa Khoury, lawyer of Ms. Borgmann for Lokman Slim’s assassination case
Ms. Aya Majzoub, researcher at Human Rights Watch
Mr. Nizar Saghieh, director of Legal Agenda
Ms. Reina Sfeir, Human Rights professor at La Sagesse University, former liaison officer with families of victims for the STL
Moderator
Ms. Najat Rushdie, UN Representative in Lebanon
20:30-21:30 Friendly gathering on the rooftop of Station
Video messages on justice/ accountability/ impunity will be displayed during the event

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on July 09-10/2022
Former Iranian FM Responds to Criticism
London - Tehran - Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 9 July, 2022
Former Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif is again the focus of internal debate between supporters and opponents of the previous government's approach to nuclear negotiations. Zarif responded to criticism against him in an Instagram post, following an interview stating his reasons for not running for presidential elections. In an interview published last week, Zarif revealed details of a meeting with former reformist President Mohammad Khatami and Hassan Khomeini, who heads his grandfather's foundation, the first Iranian Supreme Guide. He pointed out that he was pressured to run for the presidential race but announced the following day that he was not a candidate. Zarif told Khatami that people would be punished for voting for him, as they were punished for voting for Rouhani in the 2017 elections for a second term, adding that he did not see his candidacy would benefit the country. He also referred to a letter he addressed to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei stressing that he did not intend to run in the elections and said, "I swore that I did not intend to participate in the elections."
Zarif also asked Khamenei to recommend that friends not refer to the nuclear deal in the elections. The last Iranian presidential elections saw the lowest participation rate since the 1979 revolution. Ahead of the elections last year, Zarif was a top candidate for the pro-government coalition in the presidential elections, but an audio leaked in April removed him from the race. In an audio leak, Zarif criticizes the Russian role in the nuclear negotiations, accusing Moscow of trying to turn the tables on the Iranian talks. The former official also criticizes the absence of compatible field activities and diplomacy in regional politics in the first statement by an official on the influence of the Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) on Iranian diplomacy. In the new interview, Zarif said that he learned from Hessameddin Ashena, the then director of the Presidency Research Center, of the leak of the audio recording three days before it was published. Zarif notes that two reformist politicians with ties to General Qassem Soleimani contacted him and confirmed that the recording had been leaked. "I don't see any reason for this [leak] other than the conspiracy," he said. A few days after the interview, a video containing old statements from Zarif about the nuclear deal and the Vienna talks between Iran and the 5+1 group was leaked. Fars news agency, affiliated with the IRGC, reported that Zarif accuses his critics of being unable to write the nuclear agreement. The agency wondered about the timing of the new leak, saying reformist media activists and politicians are trying to imply that the negotiating team in the current government does not have the required capabilities for the negotiations. Zarif touched on the case of the assassination of scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh whom Western and Israeli governments have long suspected of being the mastermind of a secret nuclear weapons program.He said Fakhrizadeh is one of the "most negligent people" in the security field, and he did not listen to his security team, adding that Israel's purpose was to destroy the nuclear agreement.
Zarif protested a new law passed by parliament after the assassination of Fakhrizadeh, under which Tehran made advanced nuclear violations. In response to Zarif's comments, Fakhrizadeh's son, Hamid, wrote, "I wish I could be like you, and say what I want to say without taking the country's interests and national security issues into consideration." The Iranian parliament adopted the Strategic Action Plan to Counter US Sanctions law two days after the assassination of Fakhrizadeh. Meanwhile, the team of Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf responded to Zarif's criticism of the law on reducing nuclear commitments. State-run Mehr news agency quoted the speaker's advisor on strategic affairs, Mehdi Mohammadi, as saying it is not hard to understand the reason behind the hatred of people like Zarif over the Strategic Action Plan. Mohammadi noted that this law proved their mistakes in strategic assessments, adding that Ghalibaf fought a covert war for five months in preparation for passing this law.

IRGC Says it Neutralized Terrorist Cell, 4 of its Members Killed
London - Tehran - Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 9 July, 2022
The Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) said its forces had neutralized a "terrorist cell" in Salmas near the Turkish border. The IRGC issued a statement announcing that its ground forces tasked with protecting the border triangle with Turkey and the Kurdistan region of Iraq "neutralized a terrorist cell after intelligence monitoring." The statement explained that the cell intended to enter the country and carry out sabotage acts, but the officers of Hamza Sayyid al-Shuhada base in the border area, ambushed it ahead of the attack. "The cell was destroyed," the statement asserted, noting that the IRGC officers confiscated equipment and ammunition. The statement asserted "no losses" for the Revolutionary Guards without referring to the timing of the clashes. On Friday, the Hengaw website for human rights violations in Iran reported that at least four Revolutionary Guards members were killed in armed confrontations with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). The Kurdish website pointed out that the clash occurred Thursday evening in the mountains of Salmas. The report said at least four IRGC members were killed in the clashes and taken to hospital in Salmas. Armed factions loyal to the Iranian-Kurdish opposition are active in the area between Iran, Turkey, and the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Usually, the region witnesses bloody confrontations between the IRGC and parties that say they are fighting for Kurdish national rights. Last May, an IRGC artillery fire hit an area north of Erbil, targeting what Iranian state television described as "terrorist" bases. In March, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards launched about ten ballistic missiles at the capital of the autonomous Kurdistan region in an unprecedented attack aimed at the US and its allies.

Iran Detains Prominent Activist, 2 Filmmakers on Security Charges
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 9 July, 2022
Iranian authorities have arrested a prominent reformist activist and two filmmakers on charges of acting against national security, local media said on Friday. Mostafa Tajzadeh, a former reformist deputy interior minister turned activist, was detained on charges of "acting against national security and spreading lies to disturb public opinion", the semi-official news agency Mehr reported. The hardline government of President Ebrahim Raisi has been facing public discontent, with soaring food prices sparking protests in recent months. Indirect US-Iran talks to resurrect a 2015 nuclear accord and lift sanctions have stalled.
Tajzadeh, an outspoken government critic, has said Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei should be held responsible if efforts to revive the nuclear deal fail. "Under the current deplorable economic conditions and public dissatisfaction, the failure to revive the nuclear deal has destructive consequences, and its responsibility primarily lies with the Leader," Tajzadeh wrote in a tweet last week. It was unclear if Tajzadeh's arrest was linked to the tweet. Separately, dissident director Mohammad Rasoulof and a colleague, Mostafa Aleahmad, were detained on Friday, state news agency IRNA reported, accusing them of having ties to anti-government groups and committing security offences. The two were among a group of actors and filmmakers who had signed an appeal that called on security forces to "lay down your weapons and return to the nation's embrace" during street protests that followed a deadly building collapse in May which officials blamed on corruption and lax safety. Tajzadeh and Rasoulof have both faced charges in the past. Tajzadeh was jailed between 2009 and 2016, mostly over his involvement in unrest that followed a disputed election in 2009. Rasoulof faces at least two pending jail terms over offences ranging from filming without a permit to "collusion against national security". Rasoulof won the Berlin Film Festival's Golden Bear award in 2020 for "There Is No Evil," about capital punishment and filmed in secret defiance of Iranian government censorship.

Turkey Convicts 14 Accused of Killing Iranian Dissident

Ankara - Saeed Abdulrazzak/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 9 July, 2022
A Turkish court handed down jail sentences to 14 accused of assassinating Iranian dissident Masoud Molavi-Vardanjani in Istanbul. Abdul Wahab Kocak, the main suspect, was sentenced to life in prison for the murder of Molavi -Vardanjani, who was shot dead in November 2019 in Sisli in Istanbul.
Molavi-Vardanjani had a telegram channel called "Black Box," which criticized the Iranian regime and the Revolutionary Guards. He repeatedly accused the judiciary and security forces of financial corruption and assassination of opposition figures by publishing documents. Kocak was among 14 defendants who were sentenced in the case. Three others were sentenced to 15 years, 12 years, and six months, respectively. Two of the three convicts, still in detention, were accused of providing and transporting weapons for the assassination, while the third was convicted of providing a hideout for the killer. He was released on condition of judicial supervision. A fifth defendant was given a 30-month suspended prison sentence, while the rest of the defendants were acquitted. Before he was killed, Molavi-Vardanjani wrote: "God willing, I will root out these corrupt mafia leaders...Pray that they don't kill me before I accomplish that."Molavi-Vardanjani worked for a decade as a consultant and director of a data security company in Isfahan before starting his work as a military consultant specializing in artificial intelligence. The Turkish authorities watched 320 hours of CCTV footage on the streets, and the security forces searched 49 locations and interrogated 185 people about the assassination. Pictures published by the Turkish media after the assassination showed Molavi-Vardanjani walking with a friend towards Sisli at night on November 14, 2019, when a gunman opened fire on them. Security sources confirmed that the person with Molavi-Vardanjani came with him to Turkey in June 2018. He made friends and leaked information about the victim to Iranian intelligence. The police report identified him as Ali Esfanjani. The sources said that Esfanjani visited the Iranian consulate the day before the assassination and met the defendants to discuss the details of the operation. The police report identified Esfanjani as the mastermind behind the plot to kill Molavi-Vardanjani. He was transported to the other side of the Turkish-Iranian border by an Iranian smuggler three days after the assassination. Last February, the Turkish police arrested 16 members of a group linked to the Iranian security services, which is in charge of kidnapping Iranian dissidents and handing them over to the authorities in Tehran. Turkish media also published, in mid-February last year, a video clip circulated by Iranian media showing the arrest of Mohammad Reza Naserzadeh on charges of involvement in the assassination of Molavi-Vardanjani. Turkish sources said that the Turkish and Iranian suspects, who were arrested after the killing, admitted they acted on the orders of two intelligence officers at the Iranian consulate in Istanbul. A Turkish official said the suspects' statements revealed they had received assassination orders from Iranians with diplomatic passports. He indicated that the evidence and witness statements confirmed that these two people were intelligence officers who played a role in inciting and coordinating the assassination.

Britain Refutes Iranian Media Reports on British Diplomat Arrest
London/Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 9 July, 2022
Britain’s Foreign Office has refuted reports on the arrest of a British diplomat in Iran. “Reports of the arrest of a British diplomat in Iran are completely false,” a foreign ministry spokesman said in London. On Wednesday, Iran’s Fars news agency and state television had reported that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps had arrested — on an unspecified date —several foreign diplomats including British deputy head of mission Giles Whitaker, accusing them of “spying.” Britain’s ambassador to Iran on Thursday said the diplomat had ended his term and left Iran in December 2021. Video footage showed images of a man presented as Whitaker speaking in a room. “These reports that our Deputy Ambassador is currently detained are very interesting... He actually left Iran last December, at the end of his posting,” British ambassador Simon Shercliff wrote on Twitter. The Fars report said Whitaker was captured on drone footage with others “sampling the soil of the forbidden area” in the Shahdad Desert in central Iran, Iranian state television, meanwhile, showed videos of the group appearing to collect soil samples and take pictures in the desert, where the IRGC’s aerospace missile exercises were conducted. Fars said that Whitaker had been expelled from Iran after apologizing. But state TV said only that he had been expelled from “the area” where the diplomats were arrested. State television accused him of “carrying out intelligence operations” in military areas, AFP reported.
A state TV journalist said the diplomat “was among those who went to the Shahdad desert with his family as tourists.”The report linked the incident to Israel, accusing it of “using nationals from third countries who are linked to foreign embassies” to investigate “the possible military dimension of Iran’s nuclear program”. No evidence was provided for the connection with Israel. One man was identified in the state television report as “Maciej Walczak, head of the microbiology department at the Nicolaus Copernicus University in Poland.”
“This university is linked to the Zionist regime,” it said, referring to Israel. Walczak, whose nationality was not specified, “entered Iran with three other people in the context of scientific exchanges, but he went to the desert region of Shahdad as a tourist while missile tests were being carried out,” state television said. It said he took rock and soil samples. But a spokesman for the university, where Walczak is reported to be an expert in environmental microbiology, said it was “an old story.”“Iran cites the names of three people, two of whom have returned to Torun for months,” the spokesman said.

Iran, Oman Discuss Nuclear Talks
London /Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 9 July, 2022
Oman's Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr al-Busaidi discussed with Iran's chief negotiator Ali Bagheri-Kani the latest developments on the nuclear agreement known as the "Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action" (JCPOA). The Iranian Foreign Ministry issued a statement carried out by the state-run Agency (ISNA), saying Bagheri-Kani held consultations with Busaidi on regional and bilateral developments and follow-up on the agreements signed during the visit of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi to Muscat. According to Oman News Agency (ONA), the two sides reviewed relations of cooperation between Oman and Iran. They also discussed several regional and international matters of common interest, particularly the developments regarding the return to the nuclear deal, ONA reported. The meeting stressed the importance of this deal in maintaining regional security and stability. This is Bagheri-Kani's second foreign visit within a week, after his unannounced trip to Moscow, in the first diplomatic move after the failure of the latest rounds of talks in Doha. Earlier, Qatari Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani held talks with his Iranian counterpart Hossein Amir Abdollahian and the Secretary-General of Iran's National Security Council, Ali Shamkhani, on the nuclear negotiations. Abdollahian said Iran is making no demands outside the parameters of its 2015 nuclear deal, asserting: "We have no requirement which goes beyond the nuclear agreement -- contrary to certain claims by the US party in the media." He noted that the recent talks in Doha focused on the issue of guarantees, stating: "During the recent talks in Doha, one of the main questions we focused on was an effective guarantee from Washington assuring us of economic advantages linked to the agreement."Iranian lawmaker Mahmoud Abbaszadeh criticized the Iranian Foreign Ministry for the lack of results in the Doha talks. Abbaszadeh, the spokesman of the parliamentary National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, downplayed Abdollahian's statement about Tehran's "positive" assessment of the last round, noting that the US special envoy to Iran, Rob Malley, described it as a "waste of time.""We could have worked better in Doha," said the lawmaker, adding: "We did not enter into the Doha talks with a calculated plan and a road map.""The reason is that our foreign diplomacy apparatus does not have a well-prepared road map in this regard," said Abbaszadeh.

British Navy Says it Seized Smuggled Iranian Missiles Early this Year
Asharq Al-Awsat/Saturday, 9 July, 2022
Britain's Royal Navy said on Thursday one of its warships had seized Iranian weapons, including surface-to-air-missiles and engines for cruise missiles, from smugglers in international waters south of Iran early this year. A helicopter from the frigate HMS Montrose spotted speedboats moving away from the Iranian coast on Jan. 28 and Feb. 25 and dozens of packages containing the advanced weaponry were confiscated, Reuters quoted the Royal Navy as saying in a statement. The Iranian foreign ministry rejected Britain’s claim. Britain “does not have the moral authority to make a claim against” Iran, it said.
The Royal Navy said: "The seized packages were returned to the UK for technical analysis which revealed that the shipment contained multiple rocket engines for the Iranian produced 351 land attack cruise missile and a batch of 358 surface-to-air missiles." It did not say where the missiles were bound, but said the 351 cruise missile, with a range of 1,000 km, is often used by Yemen's Houthi militias to target Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. The US Navy destroyer USS Gridley supported the February seizure, the Royal Navy said. Both seizures occurred while HMS Montrose was on routine maritime security operations, it added. "This action demonstrates that we will not allow irresponsible and aggressive acts by Iran to go unchecked on land, sea, and air," US Central Command spokesperson Colonel Joseph Buccino said in a statement.

Assad Makes Rare Visit to Syria’s North
Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
President Bashar Assad made a rare visit to the northern province of Aleppo on Friday to inaugurate a power station that was once held by insurgents and suffered wide damages during the war, state media reported. Regime-held parts of Syria endure more than 12 hours of power cuts a day as production is far less than the needs of the country. Syria’s infrastructure saw much destruction during the 11-year conflict. Syria's state news agency, SANA, said Assad visited the power station in the eastern part of Aleppo province, adding that part of the station is now ready and can produce up to 200 megawatts. According to The Associated Press, the report said work was underway to also fix other parts of the station. Friday's inauguration comes on the sixth anniversary of Syrian troops retaking the station from militants, the report said. Syrian government forces now control much of the country, thanks to allies Russia and Iran, which have helped tip the balance of power in Assad’s favor. The civil war that began in 2011 has killed hundreds of thousands of people, displaced half the country’s population and left large parts of Syria destroyed. Syria’s Prime Minister Hussein Arnous recently told parliament that the country’s needs stand at about 7,000 megawatts but stations only produce a bit over 2,500 megawatts. Arnous added that a main reason for electricity shortages is that Syria’s production of natural gas dropped sharply during the conflict as some of the country’s largest oil and gas fields are held by US-backed Syrian Kurdish-led fighters.

Abbas, Gantz Meet Ahead of Biden’s Visit
Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz met Thursday in the occupied West Bank to discuss security coordination ahead of US President Joe Biden's visit to the region next week. The peace process collapsed more than a decade ago. High-level meetings between Israeli and Palestinian leaders are rare and tend to focus on day-to-day economic and security coordination. An Israeli statement said the meeting in Ramallah, where the Palestinian Authority is headquartered, was conducted in “positive terms.” It said the two sides agreed to “continue security coordination and to avoid activities that may cause instability.”Gantz wished Abbas and the Palestinian people a happy Eid al-Adha, a Muslim holiday beginning this weekend, the statement said, The Associated Press reported. Abbas “stressed the importance of creating a political horizon, respecting the signed agreements and stopping the actions and measures that lead to the deterioration of the situation,” Hussein al-Sheikh, a senior aide, tweeted. Abbas also stressed the importance of having a "calm atmosphere before President Biden’s visit, which we welcome,” the tweet said. Gantz met with Abbas a couple of times last year and announced measures to improve economic conditions in the occupied West Bank. He remains defense minister in a caretaker government ahead of elections planned for Nov. 1. Abbas leads the Palestinian Authority, which administers parts of the occupied West Bank. Polls say nearly 80% of Palestinians want him to resign, in part because of his close cooperation with Israel. Last year he called off the first Palestinian elections in 15 years. Biden is expected to meet with top Israeli and Palestinian leaders next week. The Palestinians seek a state in the occupied West Bank, east Jerusalem and the Gaza Strip, territories Israel captured in the 1967 war. Israel annexed east Jerusalem in a move not recognized internationally and views the entire city as its capital. It withdrew soldiers and settlers from Gaza in 2005 but imposed a crippling blockade when the Islamic militant group Hamas seized power from Abbas' forces two years later, limiting his authority to parts of the West Bank.

Egypt Pardons Dozens of Prisoners of Conscience
Cairo/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
Egyptian authorities released on Thursday dozens of prisoners of conscience under a presidential pardon, on the occasion of Eid al-Adha. MP Tarek El Khouli, a member of the Presidential Pardon Committee, revealed the names of 60 pardoned prisoners of conscience. He also announced the release of the first batch of imprisoned debtors in Egypt, comprising 75 men and women, in coordination with civil society organizations. Separately, Egypt on Tuesday kicked off the national dialogue called for by President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi. All political forces were invited, except for the one that had resorted to violence, namely the banned Muslim Brotherhood. Sisi tasked on April 26 the Youth National Conference with coordinating with political parties, movements and youth groups to hold political dialogue and prepare for the so-called “new republic.” He also called for reactivating the Presidential Pardon Committee and expanding its work base in cooperation with the relevant agencies and civil society organizations. He further released dozens of political prisoners, journalists and activists from pre-trial detention. Dialogue coordinator Diaa Rashwan told a press conference following the National Dialogue's Board of Trustees’ first meeting that more prisoners will be released soon.

New Partnership Between Rabat, EU to Tackle Human Smuggling Networks
Rabat / Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
European Union Home Affairs Commissioner Ylva Johansson and Spain’s Home Affairs Minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska held talks with Morocco’s Interior Minister Abdelouafi Laftit in Rabat on Friday. They highlighted the solid results of their cooperation based on shared responsibility in matters of migration. As part of the regular political dialogue between the kingdom and the EU, they agreed to “renew their partnership in order to work together to tackle human smuggling networks, in particular following the emergence of new, extremely violent, methods adopted by such criminal networks,” a joint statement read. The Commissioner and the two ministers regretted “every death of people attempting unlawful entry, including those that occurred during the recent distressing events on June 24.” They also regretted the injuries, including to members of the Moroccan and Spanish border forces. “These events put traditional methods of combatting human smuggling under strain,” the statement said. Besides the human tragedy, they showed how very dangerous and violent human smuggling networks were, and the extent to which they were prepared to take any risk. Investigations were under way to clarify the circumstances surrounding these events. At the same time, they welcomed the fact-finding commission set up by the Moroccan National Human Rights Council, noting that the protection of fundamental rights is a value shared by Morocco and the EU. The statement stressed that Rabat is a strategic and committed partner of the EU, with which the EU has been cooperating on migration issues for a many years. It pointed out that the National Immigration and Asylum Strategy (SNIA) is one of the most well-developed migration management systems, in both legislative and institutional terms, and has enabled the legalization of the administrative status of thousands of migrants, and their integration into Moroccan society. Morocco was also one of the founding States of the Rabat process, the statement added, noting that King Mohammed VI was appointed leader for Africa on the issue of migration by African heads of states. “Morocco's practical efforts have resulted in H1 2022 in preventing more than 26,000 irregular departures – one tenth of them saved at sea. In the same period, Morocco has dismantled around a hundred criminal trafficking networks.”It pointed out that in connection with the New Pact on Migration and Asylum, the Commission is establishing migration partnerships with the countries of origin, transit and destination to combat human smuggling networks, address the root causes of migration and improve legal migration routes so that people do not feel the need to risk their lives on dangerous journeys.

Zelenskiy sacks Ukraine's envoy to Germany, other ambassadors
KYIV/Reuters/Reuters/July 09/2022
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Saturday dismissed several of Kyiv's senior envoys abroad including the country's outspoken ambassador to Germany, the presidential website said. In a decree that gave no reason for the move, Zelenskiy announced the sacking of Ukraine's ambassadors to Germany, India, the Czech Republic, Norway and Hungary. It was not immediately clear if the envoys would be assigned new positions. Zelenskiy has urged his diplomats to drum up international support and military aid for Ukraine as it tries to fend off Russia's Feb. 24 invasion. Kyiv's relations with Germany, which is heavily reliant on Russian energy supplies and also Europe's biggest economy, are particularly sensitive. Andriy Melnyk, who was appointed by Zelenskiy's predecessor as ambassador to Germany in late 2014, is well-known among politicians and diplomats in Berlin. The 46-year-old regularly engages in outspoken social media exchanges, and has branded politicians and intellectuals who oppose arming Ukraine to fight the Russian invasion as appeasers. He once accused German Chancellor Olaf Scholz of behaving like an "offended liver sausage" when Scholz did not immediately accept an invitation by Zelenskiy to visit Kyiv. Kyiv and Berlin are currently at odds over a German-made turbine undergoing maintenance in Canada. Germany wants Ottawa to return the turbine to Russian natural gas giant Gazprom to pump gas to Europe. Kyiv has urged Canada to keep the turbine, saying shipping it to Russia would be a violation of sanctions imposed on Moscow. (Reporting by Pavel Polityuk and Thomas EscrittWriting by Tom BalmforthEditing by Helen Popper and Frances Kerry)Our goal is to create a safe and engaging place for users to connect over interests and passions. In order to improve our community experience, we are temporarily suspending article commenting

Russia threatens broad Ukraine offensive as U.S. presses China over war stance
Pavel Polityuk/KYIV/Reuters/July 09/2022
Ukrainian defenders battled on Saturday to contain Russian forces along several fronts, officials said, as the United States urged China to align itself with the West in opposing the invasion following an ill-tempered G20 meeting. A missile strike on the northeastern city of Kharkiv wounded three civilians, its governor said, though Russia's main attacks appeared focused southeast of there in Luhansk and Donetsk. Those two provinces, swathes of which were held by pro-Russian separatists before the conflict began in February, comprise the eastern industrial region of the Donbas. Ukrainian officials reported strikes in both on Saturday, while Britain's Ministry of Defence said Moscow was assembling reserve forces from across Russia near Ukraine.. Donetsk regional Governor Pavlo Kyrylenko said on the Telegram messaging service that a Russian missile had struck Druzhkivka, a town behind the front line, and reported shelling of other population centres.Luhansk Governor Serhiy Gaidai said on Telegram that Russian forces were "firing along the entire front line", though a subsequent Ukrainian counter-attack that hit weapons and ammunition stores had forced Moscow to halt its offensive. Russia, which claimed control over all of Luhansk province last weekend, denies targeting civilians. On Friday, Ukraine had pleaded for more of the high-end weapons from the West that Kyiv said had enabled it to slow Russia's advance. Hours later, U.S. President Joe Biden signed a weapons package for Ukraine worth up to $400 million, including four additional high mobility artillery rocket systems (HIMARS). (nL1N2YP1NH) .Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said the armaments were priority needs. "It is what helps us press on the enemy," he said on Twitter.
In reaction, the Russian embassy in Washington said the United States wanted to "prolong the conflict at all costs".
CHINA-US FRICTIONS
On Saturday U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, urging the international community to join forces to condemn Russian aggression, told journalists he had raised concerns with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi over Beijing's alignment with Moscow. The pair held over five hours of talks on the sidelines of the G20 gathering of foreign ministers on the Indonesian island of Bali. On Friday, Russia's Sergei Lavrov had walked out of a meeting there, denouncing the West for its "frenzied criticism". The Chinese foreign ministry said, without giving details, that Wang and Blinken had exchanged views on "the Ukraine issue".
It also quoted Wang as saying that Sino-American relations were in danger of being further led "astray", with many people believing that "the United States is suffering from an increasingly serious bout of 'Chinaphobia'."Shortly before the Russian invasion, Beijing and Moscow announced a "no limits" partnership, although U.S. officials have said they have not seen China evade U.S.-led sanctions on Russia or provide it with military equipment. Kharkiv's Governor Oleh Synehubov said on Telegram that, as well as the missile strike, fighters had repulsed two Russian attacks near Dementiivka, a town situated between the city and the border with Russia. Russia's defence ministry said its forces hit two "bases of foreign mercenaries deployed near Kharkiv". Ministry spokesperson Igor Konashenkov also said two Ukrainian Su-25 aircraft had been shot down in the southern Mykolaiv region, and that it had destroyed ammunition depots there and in the eastern regions of Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk. Russian-backed forces on the territory of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) said three people died and 17 were wounded there in the past 24 hours as Ukrainian forces shelled 10 locations.
Reuters could not independently verify battlefield accounts.
SANCTIONS PLEA
Following Friday's testy G20 exchanges, President Vladimir Putin also signalled that the Kremlin was in no mood for compromise, saying sanctions against Russia risked causing "catastrophic" energy price rises. Ukraine's Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said on Saturday that sanctions were working, and echoed calls for more deliveries of high-precision Western weapons. "Russians desperately try to lift those sanctions which proves that they do hurt them. Therefore, sanctions must be stepped up until Putin drops his aggressive plans," Kuleba told a forum in Dubrovnik by videolink. Russia's ambassador to Britain, Andrei Kelin, on Friday offered little prospect of a pullback from parts of Ukraine under Russian control and said Russian troops would capture the rest of Donbas. Since Russia, which has also seized a big chunk of territory across Ukraine's south, started what it calls a special operation to demilitarize Ukraine, cities have been bombed to rubble, thousands have been killed, and millions displaced.
Ukraine and its Western allies say Russia is engaged in an unprovoked land grab.
(Reporting by Reuters bureaus; Writing by John Stonestreet; Editing by Frances Kerry)

Blinken, China's Wang Yi hold talks covering Ukraine war and trade
David Brunnstrom and Stanley Widianto/NUSA DUA, Indonesia/Reuters/July 09/2022
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Saturday he had discussed Russian aggression in Ukraine during more than five hours of talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in which he raised concerns over Beijing's alignment with Moscow. The diplomats both described their first in-person discussions since October as "candid", with the meeting taking place a day after they attended a gathering of G20 foreign ministers on the Indonesian island of Bali. "I shared again with the state councillor that we are concerned about the PRC's alignment with Russia," Blinken told a news conference after the talks, referring to the People's Republic of China. He said did not think China was behaving in a neutral way as it had supported Russia in the United Nations and "amplified Russian propaganda". Blinken said Chinese President Xi Jinping had made it clear in a call with President Vladimir Putin on June 13 that he stood by a decision to form a partnership with Russia. Shortly before Russia's Feb. 24 Ukraine invasion, Beijing and Moscow announced a "no limits" partnership, although U.S. officials say they have not seen China evade tough U.S.-led sanctions on Russia or provide it with military equipment.
U.S. officials have warned of consequences, including sanctions, should China offer material support for the war that Moscow calls a "special military operation" to degrade the Ukrainian military. Kyiv and its Western allies say the invasion is an unprovoked land grab. Asked about his refusal to hold talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov at the G20, Blinken said: "The problem is this: we see no signs whatsoever that Russia, at this moment in time, is prepared to engage in meaningful diplomacy."Wang exchanged in-depth views on "the Ukraine issue" during Saturday's talks, according to a statement released by his ministry, without giving details. He also told Blinken that the direction of U.S.-China relations was in danger of being further led "astray" due to a problem with the United States' perception of China. "Many people believe that the United States is suffering from an increasingly serious bout of 'Sinophobia'," Wang was quoted as saying. Wang also said Washington should cancel additional tariffs imposed on China as soon as possible and cease unilateral sanctions on Chinese companies. U.S. officials had said before the talks that the meeting was aimed at keeping the difficult U.S.-China relationship stable and preventing it from veering inadvertently into conflict. "Moving forward, the United States wants our channels of communication with Beijing to continue to remain open," Blinken said. Presidents Joe Biden and Xi Jinping are expected to speak again in coming weeks, Blinken said. Daniel Russel, a top U.S. diplomat for East Asia under former President Barack Obama who has close contact with Biden administration officials, said ahead of the talks a key aim for the meeting would be to explore the possibility of an in-person meeting between Biden and Xi, their first as leaders, possibly on the sidelines of a G20 summit in Bali in November. The United States calls China its main strategic rival and is concerned it might one day attempt to take over the self-ruled democratic island of Taiwan, just as Russia attacked Ukraine.Despite their rivalry, the world's two largest economies remain major trading partners, and Biden has been considering scrapping tariffs on a range of Chinese goods to curb surging U.S. inflation before November midterm elections, with control of Congress in focus.
(Reporting by David Brunnstrom Stanley Widianto; Additional reporting by Ryan Woo in Beijing; Writing by Ed Davies; Editing by Christian Schmollinger, Robert Birsel, William Mallard and Christina Fincher)

Sri Lanka leader flees as protesters storm home, office
Agence France Presse/July 09/2022
Sri Lanka's President Gotabaya Rajapaksa fled his official residence on Saturday shortly before protesters, angered by an unprecedented economic crisis, overran the compound and stormed his nearby office. Thousands of people had surrounded the leader's home to demand his resignation, blaming government mismanagement for a downturn that has subjected the island nation's 22 million people to months of bitter hardship. As the crowd surged at the gates of the presidential palace, troops guarding the compound fired in the air to hold them back until Rajapaksa was safely removed. "The president was escorted to safety," a top defence source told AFP on condition of anonymity. "He is still the president, he is being protected by a military unit." Footage broadcast live on social media showed hundreds of people walking through the palace, with some among the boisterous crowd jumping into the compound's pool for a swim.
Others were seen laughing and lounging in the stately bedrooms of the residence.
The colonial-era state mansion is one of Sri Lanka's key symbols of state power and officials said Rajapaksa's departure raised questions as to whether he intended to remain in office. "We are awaiting instructions," a top civil servant told AFP. "We still don't know where he is, but we know he is with the Sri Lanka navy and is safe." Private broadcasters showed what appeared to be a vehicle convoy belonging to the president at Sri Lanka's main international airport, but there was no confirmation on whether he had left the island.
Soon after the crowd stormed the presidential palace, Rajapaksa's nearby office also fell into the hands of protesters. Security forces attempted to disperse the huge crowds that had mobbed Colombo's administrative district. Three people were hospitalized after being shot along with 36 others who suffered breathing difficulties following intense tear gas barrages, a spokeswoman for the main hospital in Colombo said.Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, who would assume the presidency in the event of Rajapaksa's resignation, has called an urgent cabinet meeting to discuss a "swift resolution" to the political crisis.
'Not a deterrent' -
Sri Lanka has suffered through months of food and fuel shortages, lengthy blackouts and galloping inflation after running out of foreign currency to import vital goods. Thousands of people had poured into the capital for Saturday's demonstration, the latest outbreak of unrest sparked by the crisis.
Police had withdrawn a curfew issued on Friday after opposition parties, rights activists and the bar association threatened to sue the police chief.
Thousands of anti-government protesters ignored the stay-home order and even forced railway authorities to operate trains to take them to Colombo for Saturday's rally, officials said. "The curfew was not a deterrent, in fact it encouraged more people to get on the streets in defiance," the defence official said. "Passengers had commandeered trains to reach Colombo."
The country has nearly exhausted already scarce supplies of petrol, but protesters backed by the main opposition parties hired private buses to travel to the capital.
Demonstrators had for months been camped outside Rajapaksa's seafront office to demand his resignation over the government's mismanagement of the crisis.
Soldiers armed with assault rifles were bussed into Colombo on Friday to reinforce police guarding Rajapaksa's official residence. Authorities said they had deployed nearly 20,000 troops and police officers for a security operation to protect the president. Sri Lanka has defaulted on its $51 billion external debt and has been in bailout talks with the International Monetary Fund. Nine people were killed and hundreds wounded when clashes erupted across the country after Rajapaksa loyalists attacked peaceful protesters outside the president's office in May.

Shinzo Abe murder suspect: What we know
Agence France Presse/July 09/2022
The man accused of assassinating Japan's former prime minister Shinzo Abe has been arrested and named by police as Tetsuya Yamagami. Police say the unemployed 41-year-old admits shooting Abe with a homemade gun at a campaign event on Friday, but what else do we know about the suspect so far?
- Who is Yamagami? -
Yamagami told police he had served in Japan's navy, the Maritime Self-Defense Force, for three years from 2002. More recently, he worked at a factory in western Japan for around a year and a half, but quit in May this year, local media reports said. "His attitude towards work had not been a problem. I'm surprised and shocked," his former manager at the plant told the Mainichi Shimbun newspaper. Yamagami spoke to police after the attack in a "matter-of-fact" way, according to officers. Former middle school classmates interviewed by public broadcaster NHK said the suspect had been quiet but not a loner, and was good at both sports and academics.
What could the motive be?
"The suspect stated that he held a grudge against a particular organization, and that he committed the crime because he believed former prime minister Abe had a connection to it," police said Friday. They did not give the name of the organization in question, but Japanese media said it was a religious group, citing unnamed investigative sources. NHK and the Mainichi Shimbun said Yamagami's family had suffered troubles as a result of his mother's financial donations to the organization. Yamagami had originally planned to target the head of the group but then switched focus to Abe, who he believed had promoted the organization in Japan, Kyodo News reported, also citing anonymous investigative sources.
- How was the crime carried out? -
Yamagami said he had used a handmade gun to carry out the attack, and images from the scene showed a crude, boxy weapon with two barrels, covered in heavy-duty black tape. Police searched his home and confiscated "several handmade gun-like items." He is suspected of making at least one of the weapons several months ago, Jiji news agency said. Jiji also reported that Yamagami had taken part in live-fire shooting exercises in the Navy. The officers said Yamagami had found out about Abe's visit to Nara online. He is believed to have taken a train to the station where the former prime minister was giving a stump speech.
- What does he look like? -
In dramatic footage from the shooting, Yamagami is wearing brown cargo pants and a plain grey shirt. His mouth and nose are hidden by a white surgical mask, and he is wearing narrow-framed glasses under a long fringe. He was carrying a shoulder bag from which he apparently drew the weapon before dropping it on the ground when apprehended.

Canada/Minister Joly announces additional sanctions targeting Russian disinformation and propaganda agents
July 8, 2022 - Bali, Indonesia - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today announced additional sanctions in relation to Russia’s illegal and unjustifiable invasion of Ukraine, while attending the G20 Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in Bali, Indonesia.
Minister Joly reaffirmed Canada’s unwavering commitment to support Ukraine, a friend and ally, as it fights for freedom. Canada will not stand by as President Vladimir Putin wages his illegal and unjust war and seeks to justify it through disinformation, manipulation and propaganda.
To counter the Kremlin’s disinformation campaign, Canada is imposing sanctions against 29 state-sponsored disinformation and propaganda agents and 15 entities controlled or owned by the Russian government and involved in disinformation efforts. This includes Sumbatovich Gasparyan, the Head of the International Department at Russia Today (RT) state media holding, with considerable influence in Russia. These sanctions include those announced by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau at the G7 Summit in Elmau, Germany. Also, effective immediately, Canada has banned the import of certain gold imports from Russia.
Canada has also launched a webpage dedicated to countering disinformation with facts. Canada will continue to use this platform to shed light on how the Russian regime is using lies to justify its illegal, unprovoked and unjustifiable invasion of Ukraine.
Quotes
“The Russian propaganda machine must answer for its lies. Canada is committed to fighting disinformation wherever and whenever it is found. Today, we make it clear to those who peddle deception: you will be held accountable. Canada stands with Ukraine.”
- Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs
Quick facts
Since Russia’s illegal occupation and attempted annexation of Crimea in 2014, Canada has imposed sanctions on more than 1,600 individuals and entities. Many of these sanctions have been undertaken in coordination with Canada’s allies and partners.
Since Russia’s further invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Canada has imposed sanctions on more than 1,150 individuals and entities from and in Russia, Ukraine and Belarus.
In March 2022, Canada referred the situation in Ukraine to the International Criminal Court (ICC), in concert with other ICC member states, in light of the numerous allegations of serious international crimes committed by Russian forces in Ukraine, including war crimes and crimes against humanity.
Associated links
Sanctions – Russian invasion of Ukraine
Canada’s efforts to counter disinformation - Russian invasion of Ukraine
Countering disinformation with facts - Russian invasion of Ukraine
Contacts
Adrien Blanchard
Press Secretary
Office of the Minister of Foreign Affairs
Adrien.Blanchard@international.gc.ca
Media Relations Office
Global Affairs Canada
media@international.gc.ca
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The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July 09-10/2022
في إيران عندما تسمى مرتداً لا يروا فيك مخلوقاً بشرياً
‘When they call you “apostate”, they don’t see you like a human anymore’
July 09/2022/articleeighteen.com/news
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/109954/109954/
Iranian Christian convert Mojtaba Hosseini was one of the speakers at a fringe event on the side of the International Ministerial on Freedom of Religion or Belief in London this week, which focused on apostasy and blasphemy laws around the world.
Iran is one of a dozen countries where leaving Islam is still punishable by death, even if this has not been enforced since the hanging of Rev Hossein Soodmand in 1990.
And Mojtaba, who spent three years in prison for joining a house-church after converting to Christianity, said: “When they call you ‘apostate’, maybe they don’t kill you, but they don’t see you like a human anymore, so they give this right to themselves to just treat you anyway they like.”
Mojtaba explained how before converting to Christianity he wasn’t even aware that it was dangerous to practise the Christian faith in Iran.
“Me and my brother went to official church, an Anglican church in my city, Shiraz,” he said. “And the person opened the door and said, ‘I’m sorry, we can’t let you in. The government has banned us to let anyone in.’”
And after joining a house-church, Mojtaba was then arrested and held in solitary confinement for 22 days, and subjected to what he described as “such heavy interrogations”.
Aged 20 at the time, he said the whole experience was “a big shock”.
“It was so tough,” he said. “I think I can say it was the toughest experience I’ve had, even harder than when my dad passed away.”
Mojtaba said he was later “forced” to flee Iran and become a refugee in Turkey, which he called “a continuance of all I faced and the suffering I had, because I didn’t have any rights in Turkey, and lots of trauma with me; I didn’t have any support, and the immigration pain added to previous pains.”
“The Iranian government not only they put chains on my hands and my feet,” he said. “By forcing me to leave Iran, they put a chain on my heart.”
‘One of my heroes’
Introducing the event, organiser Kamal Fahmi, founder of Set My People Free, had described another Iranian “apostate”, Mehdi Dibaj, as one of his heroes.
“He was the head of the Bible Society [in Iran],” Kamal explained. “And he was arrested and convicted for apostasy. He was sentenced to death, and he was imprisoned for nearly 10 years.
“He said, ‘I’m not just willing to suffer for Christ, I’m also willing to die for him.’ And he was released after a lot of pressure from the international community. And when he was released, two weeks later, the pastor who helped to get him out [Haik Hovsepian] was murdered. And people said to Mehdi Dibaj, ‘Leave Iran, you will get killed!’, but he decided to stay. And six months later, he was kidnapped and disappeared. And his body was found cut to pieces in a plastic bag.”
‘The most dangerous thing’
Another speaker, Thomas Schirrmacher, Secretary General of the World Evangelical Alliance, described converting from Islam to Christianity as “the most dangerous thing you can do”.
“Everyone should have the right to decide on his own faith, on his own worldview, and whatever way he changes should be free to do this without being threatened by any kind of penal law, and truly not by death,” he said.
“But at the same time, we have to see that the most dangerous thing in the moment, statistic-wise, you can do is change from Islam to Christianity.”
Thomas Schirrmacher, Secretary General of the World Evangelical Alliance.
Meanwhile, Ulrika Sundberg, Sweden’s Special Envoy to the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation on Interreligious and Intercultural dialogue, said blasphemy laws were “counterproductive”, as “not only do they have a chilling effect, but they actually censor all inter- and intra-religious belief and dialogue, debate and criticism, most of which would be constructive, and in many times is needed.”
Ms Sundberg also noted how Article 6 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights allows for the death penalty to be used only for the most heinous crimes.
“Now, can we consider blasphemy to be one of those?” she asked. “No, I think we can reasonably convince them [countries that apply the death penalty for blasphemy] that it’s not necessary.”
Jennifer Tridgell, Senior Legal Advisor to the UN’s Special Rapporteur on Freedom of Religion or Belief, agreed that both apostasy and blasphemy laws are “neither justified, nor justifiable within international human rights law”.
She added that Special Rapporteur Ahmed Shaheed has “also been very clear that freedom of religion or belief as a human right protects individuals, not religions or belief as such, from critique or criticism”.
Meanwhile, former Dutch parliamentarian Joël Voordewind explained how his involvement in the case of Mariam Ibraheem, a Sudanese woman sentenced to death for apostasy while pregnant, had “opened [his] eyes to the cruelty of not being able to convert from Islam to other faiths, or even to be a non believer”.
*Picture Enclosed/Mojtaba Hosseini (left), alongside three other survivors of apostasy and blasphemy laws around the world.
Mariam was another of the speakers at the event, alongside other survivors from Pakista/Click on the link below
https://articleeighteen.com/news/11306/?fbclid=IwAR2Jn7n1bOZ26lut3aHrVl7RKwLWEwpcwtOyxsswQa_HsKYJrEvkAhF9NuQ

Reassessing U.S. International Broadcasting

Alberto M. Fernandez • Summer 2022
Jewish Policy Center/July 09/2022
We live in an age of information overload. It is not so much that accurate information is lacking, but rather that it is subsumed in a crowded, cacophonous environment. The internet, cellphones, and social media platforms have revolutionized the way information is consumed and this trend will only accelerate with future waves of technology.
While many legacy private news media companies are struggling to survive in this new environment, there is no dearth of state-funded or supported media enterprises. America’s adversaries have understood the adage, written in a letter by al-Qaeda leader Aymen al-Zawahiri to an Iraqi subordinate, that “more than half of the battle is taking place in the battlefield of the media.” Russia, China, Iran, and Islamist terrorist groups are aggressive in the media space. The states mentioned not only use social media but broadcast media as well in addition to trying to disrupt the messaging of their adversaries.
In the United States, government foreign broadcasting was – correctly – initially connected to conflict and an ideological struggle. The beginning of U.S. government broadcasting in foreign languages is intimately connected to the Second World War and the need to counter Axis propaganda in Latin America and on the warfront. Voice of America (VOA) was first, followed by Radio Free Europe (broadcasting to the captive countries of Eastern Europe) in 1949 and Radio Liberty (broadcasting to the Soviet Union) in 1953. Those two outlets would eventually merge in 1976 as Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). VOA’s own broadcasting in Russian began in 1947, even before RFE/RL.
From the beginning, there was an effort to differentiate between two models of broadcasting. VOA was the official, state media outlet representing accurate news and the views of the U.S. government. RFE/RL (and other networks to follow) were meant to be surrogate media, representing news and views impossible to hear in countries under the Communist yoke. It is no surprise that RFE/RL was funded by the Central Intelligence Agency for decades (until 1972) through a cutout anti-Communist exile organization. The CIA supposedly exercised very light oversight over these broadcasters to the extent that the radios sometimes presented views of opposition political trends – nationalists, monarchists, rightists, liberals, whatever was banned in the motherland – as much as an American agenda. It was RFE that directly encouraged Hungarian freedom fighters during the 1956 revolt in that country. RFE/RL was such a thorn in the side of the Communists that it was subject to a terrorist attack in 1981 by Carlos the Jackal bankrolled by the Romanian Securitate and Soviet KGB.
Freedom’s Megaphone Expands
These broadcasters would be joined in 1985 by U.S. government broadcasting to Cuba, Radio and TV Marti and then by Radio Free Asia (RFA) in 1996, focusing on East Asia, particularly China. Finally Middle East Broadcasting Networks (MBN), broadcasting in Arabic, began in 2002 with Radio Sawa and then al-Hurra Televison (note: I was president of MBN from 2017 to 2020). RFA had its genesis as a response to the 1989 Tiananmen Square crackdown in China while MBN was very much a response to what was seen as a failure to communicate following the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks.
VOA and Radio/TV Marti are government agencies, while RFE/RL, RFA and MBN are technically private corporations – “grantees” – fully funded by the U.S. government. All five broadcasters are overseen by the Agency for Global Media (USAGM), formerly the Broadcasting Board of Governors (BBG), an independent government agency often derided in employee polling as the worst agency to work for in the federal government.
It is both ironic and unsurprising that the absolute nadir of American international broadcasting came with the fall of the Soviet Union. The period of 1999 to 2015 was one in which there seemed to be no one in charge at BBG. I was still in government at the time and the open derision expressed by senior State Department and White House officials for BBG operations was painful to hear.
Despite the seeming drift of those years, criticism of lack of direction and absence of solid measurements, those years did see the establishment of Farsi-language Radio Farda in 2002 as a joint VOA/RFE/RL initiative, the launching of Arabic language MBN in 2002-2004, and most importantly, the launch in 2014 of a modest Russian language television news program Current Time (Nastoyashchee Vremya) by RFE/RL in conjunction with VOA. The idea was that this would provide a “reality check” alternative to Russian regime propaganda. By 2017, Current Time had expanded to be a 24/7 operation in broadcast and digital formats.
Despite this ostensible progress on the American side, these same years saw a great expansion in Russian, Chinese and Iranian media propaganda networks. These were also the years that saw the rise of Qatari-funded al-Jazeera television to prominence after its launch in 1996 and, from 2013, the innovative use of social media by the terrorist group known as the Islamic State or ISIS.
In relative terms, American broadcasting improved with better management after media executive John Lansing was hired in 2015 as CEO (a position he held from 2015 to 2019). A small but significant launch during those years was the Russian language fact-checking site factograph.info (Polygraph.info in English), started in 2017, to counter Moscow’s disinformation. This was later expanded to counter Chinese disinformation. The Lansing era rightly saw the Russian, Chinese, and Iranian media spaces identified as priorities to be addressed immediately and in the future. The Biden administration requested $840 million in fiscal 2023 for the USAGM agencies.
Challenges from Russia, China, and Iran
Despite some successes and a correct focus on the most important issues, major challenges confront American international broadcasting. Given the nature of the threat, USAGM has still “underinvested” in confronting China. Radio Free Asia seems underfunded given China’s oversized and nefarious role in the world. There is still no 24/7 U.S. government television broadcasting to China in Mandarin and Cantonese. RFA is much smaller than RFE/RL because Russia was regarded as the bigger threat than China, but the reverse seems to be true now.
RFE/RL’s Radio Farda and VOA’s Persian Service both seek to reach the Farsi speaking population in Iran. Both services have been the subject of repeated and credible complaints by Iranian diaspora communities claiming pro-regime bias, especially at VOA. A logical change would be to combine the services and make a refurbished Radio/TV Farda a true surrogate network offering the oppressed Iranian people encouragement and inspiration – and hard, verified news – as they struggle under regime oppression.
The ambivalent position that the last two Democratic administrations have had toward the Iranian regime have made it more difficult for American broadcasting in Farsi to find its own voice and tone in its outreach to the people of Iran. U.S. broadcasting to Iran is also in the wrong agency; instead of being in Radio Free Europe, it should be part of an expanded Middle East Broadcasting Networks (MBN), creating obvious synergies and harmonizing content and regional focus.
While there has been underinvestment on China and division and confusion on Iran, the focus on Russia has been relatively clear, at least over the past five years. USAGM – working through RFE/RL and VOA – plan to “surround” Russia with enhanced media sites seems technically sound and eminently logical.
The Question of Ideology
The bigger problem facing American broadcasting to China, Russia and Iran is not so much a technical nor a financial one but an ideological one. There is, as President George H.W. Bush called it, “the vision thing.” All U.S.-funded broadcasters must adhere to ethical and professional news media standards, but beyond that the question remains: what kind of broadcasters are they to be? The “VOA model” is that of a government-funded media outlet very much along the lines of typical liberal American legacy media. It is no surprise that VOA is the “wokest” of these government media outlets and indeed was headed from 2016 to 2020 by veteran journalist Amanda Bennett, liberal media royalty. Bennett was nominated by the Biden administration in 2021 to be the next CEO of USAGM, overseeing all of U.S. international broadcasting, not just VOA.
Challenges in the Studio
A recent Heritage Foundation study by Max Primorac and James Roberts outlined how American foreign aid has all too often become an extension of one party, the Democratic Party, “seeking to advance its radical global agenda of ideological indoctrination,” weaponizing foreign aid programs to inflict the latest Washington Beltway progressive causes on an unsuspecting world. The same risk exists in international broadcasting; political and ideological diversity can be lacking, in which case the default editorial position can reflect whatever the Washington Post or New York Times deems significant. The brief, chaotic tenure of Trump appointee Michael Pack as CEO at USAGM (June 2020-January 2021) ironically only entrenched that default progressive ideology often found in federal bureaucracy.
The challenge today is even deeper, perhaps, given America’s ideological turmoil and partisan divide the past few years. How do you promote a positive, engaging and uplifting American vision of the world when significant elements of the American elite – certainly the media and cultural elite – themselves see America not just as deeply flawed but racist and rotten from its origin to this day? Such an image of the United States was, of course, propagated by Soviet propaganda and it is alive and well today in the messaging of Russia, China, and Iran. All of them, and Islamists too, have learned how to manipulate and implement the very language of American evil exceptionalism found on many American university campuses or in progressive newsrooms.
In contrast to the VOA model, we have the surrogate broadcasting model pioneered by RFE/RL in its CIA days. The risk in this model is that, left to their own devices, such broadcasters can fall into the trap of promoting their own agenda or even that of their target country regime, instead of providing a truthful news alternative to the state propaganda to which their listeners are subjected. Instead of being too official and safe, U.S. government foreign media can become too biased and reckless.
When I was at MBN that was the biggest risk and something I had to watch closely – ensuring that the Lebanese-origin journalist was not soft on Hezbollah or that the Syrian-born editor was not easy on Bashar al Assad. This is also the complaint about broadcasting to Iran, that U.S. Government outlets could be weak toward the regime. Similarly, some criticism of VOA broadcasting to China that it was occasionally relatively accommodating to Beijing’s Communist Party regime.
How to maneuver in such turbulent waters? The task is to find and cleave to a golden mean of messaging which is both deeply rooted in ethical and professional journalism but also has an engaged and expansive vision of a humane, democratic and pluralistic Russia, China, or Iran that is not just a knockoff of whatever conventional wisdom is in fashion along the Acela Corridor.
This is easier said than done. But it has the virtue of truly speaking to the aspirations of these peoples, all of them heirs to ancient empires and civilizations, in a way that is more convincing than just saying that they need to be like Americans because the West knows best. The most vital element in a rejuvenated and empowered American outreach to the world is not just a nuanced understanding of the world and our adversaries but an understanding of ourselves.
Ambassador (ret.) Alberto M. Fernandez is Vice President of the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI).

Wanting the Iran Nuclear Deal for the Wrong Reasons
Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute./July 09/2022
The EU partly wants the deal so it can buy oil and gas from the Iranian regime.
The EU also appears to want the nuclear deal in order not to lose its other economic relationships and trade with the ruling mullahs of Iran. Despite US sanctions, European countries are still trading with Iran; the Biden administration has yet to hold them accountable.
According to the Financial Tribune, Germany is Iran's top trading partner, and Italy comes in second.
By reaching a nuclear deal, the Biden administration may think that it can claim a foreign policy accomplishment and a political victory, as the Obama administration did, by arguing -- falsely -- that it had finally curbed Iran's nuclear program and prevented the Islamic Republic from obtaining nuclear weapons. Unfortunately, that was about as accurate as Obama's claim – which he repeated 37 times -- that "If you like your healthcare plan, you can keep it."
After the 2015 nuclear deal, however, the ruling mullahs of Iran were not only gifted a newfound global legitimacy. The removal of sanctions also generated billions of dollars in revenue for Iran's military institution, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, as well as for Iran's militia and terror groups. The regime used those revenues to expand its influence throughout the region, especially in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq....The Iranian-armed Houthis ratcheted up their efforts to cause death and destruction in Yemen, and Hezbollah escalated its involvement and control of large swathes of Syrian territory. The region also saw a greater propensity for Houthi rocket launches at civilian targets in Saudi Arabia, the deployment of thousands of Hezbollah foot soldiers in Syria, and the constant bombardment of southern Israel with Hamas rockets funded by Iran.
The objective of any nuclear deal with a rogue state ought to be anchored in completely and permanently halting that regime from obtaining nuclear weapons. The objective should not be to further empower and embolden it, or to facilitate it becoming a nuclear state.
It seems, nonetheless, that the Biden administration and the European Union have other motives. The EU partly wants the deal so it can buy oil and gas from the Iranian regime. The EU's foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, surprisingly acknowledged this to the Financial Times:
"We Europeans will be very much beneficiaries from this [nuclear] deal, the situation has changed now. For us it was something... 'well, we don't need it', now it would be very much interesting for us to have another [oil and gas] supplier."
Borrell clearly appears to be stating that the EU's motive behind the nuclear negotiations is to buy oil from a country that, according to the US State Department, is "the world's worst state sponsor of terrorism." The Iranian regime, desperate for cash to fund its terror activities around the world as well as its militia and terror groups in the region, would undoubtedly be delighted to be the EU's supplier of energy and oil.
The EU also appears to want the nuclear deal in order not to lose its other economic relationships and trade with the ruling mullahs of Iran. Despite US sanctions, European countries are still trading with Iran; the Biden administration has yet to hold them accountable. As the Tehran Times reported:
"The value of trade between Iran and the European Union reached €4.863 billion in 2021, registering a nine-percent growth compared to the previous year.... According to the data released by the Tehran Chamber of Commerce, Industries, Mines and Agriculture (TCCIMA), Iran exported €554 million worth of commodities to the union during the said nine months, while importing goods valued at €2.7 billion".
According to the Financial Tribune, Germany is Iran's top trading partner, and Italy comes in second.
The Biden administration, meanwhile, has been investing all its political capital to resurrect the Obama's catastrophic nuclear deal that would permit Iran to have unlimited nuclear weapons and the missiles to deliver them. The Biden administration keeps appeasing the mullahs with almost any policy they want.
Currently, according to a Gallup poll, the majority of the American people disapprove of President Joe Biden's handling of foreign affairs. By reaching a nuclear deal, the Biden administration may think that it can claim a foreign policy accomplishment and a political victory, as the Obama administration did, by arguing -- falsely -- that it had finally curbed Iran's nuclear program and prevented the Islamic Republic from obtaining nuclear weapons. Unfortunately, that was about as accurate as then US President Barack Obama claim -- which he repeated 37 times -- that "If you like your healthcare plan, you can keep it."
At the time, Obama also pledged that he was "confident" the nuclear deal would "meet the national security needs of the United States and our allies".
After the 2015 nuclear deal, however, the ruling mullahs of Iran were not only gifted a newfound global legitimacy. The removal of sanctions also generated billions of dollars in revenue for Iran's military institution, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, as well as for Iran's militia and terror groups. The regime used those revenues to expand its influence throughout the region, especially in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq. Iran's aggressive expansion campaign proved immensely successful. The Iranian-armed Houthis ratcheted up their efforts to cause death and destruction in Yemen, and Hezbollah escalated its involvement and control of large swathes of Syrian territory. The region also saw a greater propensity for Houthi rocket launches at civilian targets in Saudi Arabia, the deployment of thousands of Hezbollah foot soldiers in Syria, and the constant bombardment of southern Israel with Hamas rockets funded by Iran.
Furthermore, as we now know, the Iranian regime was violating the nuclear deal by having a secret nuclear weapons program during the agreement.
At present, the ruling mullahs of Iran will continue skillfully to play the EU and the Biden administration to obtain as many concessions and as many billions as they can before, they doubtless hope, being handed the ultimate gift they wish for: the nuclear deal.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has authored several books on Islam and US Foreign Policy. He can be reached at Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

European Scientists Empowering China's Military
Judith Bergman/ Gatestone Institute/July 09/2022
"Western universities need to understand that Chinese military scientists have only one client, and that is the People's Liberation Army." — Meia Nouwens, researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), Politiken, May 19, 2022.
"[T]here is an attempt to take as much knowledge as possible from our research communities back to China. In my home country, the Netherlands, there are researchers who have been working on artificial intelligence with Huawei instead of with NATO. It's the world turned upside down." — David van Weel, NATO's Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, Politiken, May 23, 2022
In one Danish case... a Chinese military engineer, saying that he came from a Chinese research institute that turned out to not exist, collaborated with Aalborg University in Denmark on advanced radar technology. The engineer was, instead, from the People's Liberation Army Information Engineering University.... [T]he university did not take steps to vet the Chinese engineer's credentials. — Politiken, November 30, 2021
"If you look at... 40 years ago, [the CCP] had zero satellites... They had no ICBMs... They had no nuclear weapons... They had no navy.... Look at what they have today.... We're witnessing one of the largest shifts in global geostrategic power that the world has witnessed." — General Mark Milley, Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, breakingdefense.com, November 4, 2021.
British universities have accepted £240 million from Chinese institutions, many with links to the military, including £60 million from institutions sanctioned by the US government for supplying the Chinese military with fighter jets, communications technology and missiles. In... just six years, the number of research collaborations between scientists in the UK and Chinese institutes with deep connections to the country's defense forces tripled to more than 1,000. — The Times, February 4, 2022.
[O]ne of the UK's "foremost" high-tech weapons experts, Professor Clive Woodley at Imperial College London – one of the British universities that has received the most funding from China -- had been freely working with China for years.... Most of Woodley's research has been funded by the Ministry of Defence.... He has advised the MoD about many of its key lethal systems." — David Rose, investigative journalist, Unherd, May 21, 2022.
"Adapting to a world affected by the rise of China is the single greatest priority for MI6" — Richard Moore, UK's spy chief, head of MI6, Sky News, November 30, 2021.
New research has found that European scientists have "shared militarily sensitive knowledge with the Chinese army on a large scale." 2,994 scientific collaborations between Europe and China have taken place with the Chinese military, nearly half of which involved scientists affiliated with China's elite National University of Defense Technology (NUDT). Pictured: The NUDT campus in in Changsha, Hunan Province, China. (Image source: Huangdan2060/Wikimedia Commons)
New research done by Follow the Money, a Dutch platform for investigative journalism, and ten other European media outlets, found that European scientists have "shared militarily sensitive knowledge with the Chinese army on a large scale."
The project, known as the China Science Investigation, collected a staggering 353,000 scientific collaborations between Europe and China and found that, of these, 2,994 have taken place with the Chinese military, defined as, "studies where scientists from Western European universities collaborated with Chinese colleagues directly linked to an institute that is part of the Chinese army."
Moreover, for the past ten years, these collaborations had also increased all throughout Europe. According to Deutsche Welle, nearly half of the scientific 2,994 collaborations that the China Science Investigation evaluated were published by scientists affiliated with China's elite National University of Defense Technology (NUDT) at universities in the United Kingdom, followed by the Netherlands and Germany. The NUDT's explicit purpose is to "strengthen the armed forces and the nation."
"It [NUDT] is the top institution of the People's Liberation Army, which among other things is known for its research into supercomputers and hypersonic missiles," noted Rebecca Arcesati, a researcher at the Mercator Institute for China Studies (Merics) in Germany. "The fact that this particular university is so actively engaged in research collaborations in Europe should cause the warning lights to flash." In Germany alone, at least 230 research articles were published from 2000 through early 2022 in which Chinese military researchers had collaborated with German research institutions.
According to the China Science Investigation, "Collaboration took place in all kinds of areas: from drone studies to artificial intelligence, from space travel to shipping, and from radar to underwater communication."
There were also collaborations with the Chinese Academy of Engineering Physics, known for its research into nuclear and other weapons.
In the Netherlands alone, where the Dutch intelligence services had already warned in 2010 that China's intelligence services were showing interest in high-quality technology and science developed in the Netherlands, more than "90 military scientists from China have gathered knowledge at Dutch universities and knowledge institutions. They conducted research into militarily sensitive technologies, such as hypersonic aircraft and reinforced concrete."
One Ph.D. student, He Lei from NUDT, who received his degree at Delft University in the Netherlands, told a Chinese newspaper that:
"The country and the military chose us for foreign studies to learn and master groundbreaking science and technology. This way, we will be able to take on the heavy task of strengthening and modernizing the army."
In Denmark, as well, the China Science Investigation project identified 91 research articles in which Chinese military researchers had collaborated with one or more Danish research institutions. In November 2021, Reuters revealed how a Chinese professor, Guojie Zhang, working at the University of Copenhagen had conducted genetic research with the Chinese military without disclosing the connection:
"Zhang and a student he was supervising worked with a People's Liberation Army (PLA) laboratory on research exposing monkeys to extreme altitude to study their brains and develop new drugs to prevent brain damage – a priority the PLA has identified for Chinese troops operating on high plateau borders."
Such studies could, for instance, assist Chinese troops stationed on the mountainous border with India.
"Western universities need to understand that Chinese military scientists have only one client, and that is the People's Liberation Army," Meia Nouwens, who is a researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in London, told Politiken.
"Their raison d'être is to modernize the Chinese army. Your study shows that although the EU has identified China as a 'systemic rival', Europe needs to do more to protect our research. Especially when it comes to technologies that we believe will be crucial for the future of warfare."
These revelations have caused consternation in NATO, where David van Weel, NATO's Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, says that European universities need to stop being naïve. "We have noticed that Chinese scholars linked to the People's Liberation Army, as well as Chinese investment firms, are very, very active in our research ecosystems," Weel said.
"It's about becoming less naive about the fact that there is an attempt to take as much knowledge as possible from our research communities back to China. In my home country, the Netherlands, there are researchers who have been working on artificial intelligence with Huawei instead of with NATO. It's the world turned upside down. This is because we have not invested enough and committed enough in recent years. But we are changing that now."
Several factors seem at play here. Naïveté combined with an almost extreme form of carelessness is one factor. In one Danish case, for instance, Chinese scientists from the NUDT collaborated for several years with Denmark's Technical University (DTU) on technologies with military potential, such as quantum physics, cryptology, optical communication equipment, battery technology and navigation systems. Several of the Danish scientists knew that they were dealing with Chinese military scientists, but did not consider that a problem because they "did not give the Chinese access to confidential information."
Deception is another factor, but, again, combined with carelessness on the part of European universities. In another Danish case, for instance, a Chinese military engineer, saying that he came from a Chinese research institute that turned out to not exist, collaborated with Aalborg University in Denmark on advanced radar technology. The engineer was, instead, from the People's Liberation Army Information Engineering University. The problem, however, was not only deception on the part of the engineer, but that the university did not take steps to vet the Chinese engineer's credentials.
There is no doubt that European scientists, through their collaboration with Chinese researchers working directly for China's military, have contributed to China's accelerating military modernization.
"If you cooperate with NUDT, then you cooperate directly with the Chinese military. It would be the same as the Russian army having a university, of which the Chief of Defense was the top leader," said Emily Weinstein, nonresident Fellow at the Global China Hub at the Atlantic Council.
"It is possible that you as a Danish or German researcher think the research is completely harmless. But to that I would say that civilian scientists are not trained to think in the same way. We are talking here about active military officers, and we should basically expect that no matter what they research, even if it seems harmless, they do it from a military point of view. They are trained to absorb knowledge and apply it in a military context."
In November 2021, General Mark Milley, chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, expressed his concern at how fast China had accelerated its military modernization after testing a hypersonic weapon:
"If you look at, again, 40 years ago, they had zero satellites... They had no ICBMs... They had no nuclear weapons... They had no fourth or fifth-generation fighters or even more advanced fighters, back then... They had no navy... They had no sub-force. Look at what they have today... So if you look at the totality, this test [of a hypersonic weapon] that occurred a couple weeks ago, is only one of a much, much broader picture of a military capability with respect to the Chinese. That is very, very significant. We're witnessing one of the largest shifts in global geostrategic power that the world has witnessed."
The collaborative articles between European scientists and Chinese researchers working for China's People Liberation Army that the China Science Investigation has uncovered are just a small part of the knowledge that Chinese researchers have accumulated, according to Alex Joske, an independent researcher formerly with the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. "What is particularly worrying is that the number of published articles constitutes only one part of the relationships between the researchers," Joske said.
"For every handful of articles we see here, there has probably been a Chinese military scientist who has worked and studied at a European university, where he has built relationships and knowledge. This data is just the tip of the iceberg."
China also has invested large sums in many European universities, not least in the UK. An investigation by The Times published in February showed that British universities have accepted £240 million from Chinese institutions, many with links to the military, including £60 million from institutions sanctioned by the US government for supplying the Chinese military with fighter jets, communications technology and missiles. In addition, in just six years, the number of research collaborations between scientists in the UK and Chinese institutes with deep connections to the country's defense forces tripled to more than 1,000.
Recently, investigative journalist David Rose published a piece in Unherd, revealing that one of the UK's "foremost" high-tech weapons experts, Professor Clive Woodley at Imperial College London -- one of the British universities that has received the most funding from China -- had been freely working with China for years:
"Most of Woodley's research has been funded by the Ministry of Defence. A former president of the International Ballistics Society, he served as Chief Scientist at the MoD-controlled company QinetiQ from its inception in 2001 — when the MoD privatised its own labs — to 2018. He has advised the MoD about many of its key lethal systems...
"[O]ver the past eight years, Woodley has participated at least seven times in seminars and lectures for senior figures from China's defence industry and university departments that work with its military. He is also a co-editor of two Chinese journals funded by weapons firms. Since 2014, he has had eight papers either published in Chinese journals or co-written with Chinese scientists working with Chinese arms makers — the most recent, in 2021."
"This case raises serious concerns about the integrity of our military secrets and the level of cooperation between a British expert and a potentially hostile state," Tom Tugendhat, chairman Britain's Foreign Affairs Select Committee said.
According to the Unherd report, however, the Ministry of Defense denied that Woodley's activities had posed any risk.
"Its spokesperson refused to answer a single question about Woodley's involvement with China, other than to say: 'We have robust procedures in place to make sure research contracts do not contribute to overseas military programmes and that individuals or organisations with foreign-state links cannot access our sensitive research... we ensure that stringent vetting checks are carried out.'"
"Adapting to a world affected by the rise of China is the single greatest priority for MI6," the UK's spy chief, head of MI6 Richard Moore said in November 2021.
"We are deepening our understanding of China across the UK intelligence community and widening the options available to the government in managing the systemic challenges that it poses."
*Judith Bergman, a columnist, lawyer and political analyst, is a Distinguished Senior Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
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Boris Johnson Leaves a Mixed Legacy With His Brexit Gambit
Peter Coy/The New York Times/July 09/2022
Prime Minister Boris Johnson will be remembered for Britain’s exit from the European Union long after the world has forgotten the tousled hair, the quotations in Homeric Greek, the fibs, fabrications and scandals — not to mention the time he got stuck on a zip line while serving as London mayor, sheepishly waving Union Jacks. When Britain finally left the European Union on Jan. 31, 2020, it took an almost irreversible step away from integration with the continental economy for the sake of greater national sovereignty, including more control over immigration and freedom from some European regulations.
Evaluating Johnson’s legacy really amounts to evaluating Brexit, since his fingerprints were all over the departure. “Johnson’s decision to come out for Brexit in 2016 was one of the pivotal moments in the campaign,” Jonathan Portes, a professor of economics and public policy at King’s College London, told me.
Once Johnson became prime minister in 2019, Portes said, “he cut through the political turmoil and delivered the hardest possible Brexit — doing so by accepting the Northern Ireland solution proposed by the E.U., which of course he repudiated after the election.”
So how is Brexit working out? The results are mixed. It has been clearly negative for the British economy, although not as bad as some prognosticators feared. People who think it was wrong to leave outnumber those who think it was right (see the chart below). And there have been a few bright spots, including a zero-tariff deal with the European Union and surprisingly liberal rules for immigration from non-E.U. nations.
An e-book that Portes edited, “The Economics of Brexit: What Have We Learned?” provides a balanced perspective. It was released last month and was produced and written by two networks of academic economists: UK in a Changing Europe, which is based at King’s College and is made up of British scholars; and the Center for Economic Policy Research, which is Europe-wide.
Some critics of Brexit predicted that the “leave” vote in the Brexit referendum would harm the British economy by rattling confidence, even before the separation occurred. That didn’t happen. “While the pound did indeed fall much as expected, market interest rates did not rise, and neither the equity market nor house prices fell,” Portes wrote in his introduction. “More importantly, after an initial shock to confidence, businesses and consumers largely shrugged off the result. The labor market remained strong, and unemployment actually fell slightly.”
But now that Brexit has actually occurred, things aren’t going so well, the scholars found. “Those areas that voted most heavily for Brexit are the worst affected, while London has escaped largely unscathed, at least so far,” Portes wrote. The recent rise in the cost of living, he added, is “likely not only to hit the poorest hardest, but to be exacerbated by inflation-driven cuts in benefits and public services.”
Food prices rose about 6 percent more in the two years through the end of 2021 than they might have in the absence of Brexit, according to a calculation by Jan David Bakker, an assistant professor at Bocconi University in Milan, and four other authors. While that’s not a huge difference, it defies forecasts by Leave campaigners that Brexit would cause food prices to fall. About 10 percent of the assets that were in the British banking system have moved abroad, although a far smaller proportion of jobs has been lost, researchers concluded. Some results are hard to explain. On one hand, British imports from the European Union fell by about 25 percent more than British imports from the rest of the world after the Trade and Cooperation Agreement came into effect in 2021, according to a chapter by Rebecca Freeman of the London School of Economics and three other authors. On the other hand, there’s no evidence in the data that Brexit had any effect on British exports to the European Union. “We plan to study the reasons for this asymmetry in future research,” they write.
Those who believed that Brexit was just a way to keep out foreigners might be surprised to learn that while the new immigration rules restrict immigration from the European Union, they actually liberalize immigration from non-E.U. nations. “That surprised lots of people, myself included,” said Portes. “The immigration system is quite a liberal one. A lot more liberal than the US.” Julian Jessop, an independent British economist, offers a somewhat more upbeat analysis of Brexit on his website. In a post last week he wrote: “Of course, it would also be wrong to deny that Brexit has had any negative impacts on the UK economy whatsoever. Business uncertainty has indeed increased, trade with the E.U. is more difficult, some workers are harder to find, and inflation may be a little higher too.”“However,” he added, “this does not mean that the doomsters are right, either. There is still plenty of room for disagreement about the size and the likely duration of all these effects — and the implications for policy. It is therefore increasingly important that other voices are heard too.”
Fair enough. But if the best that can be said of Boris Johnson’s crowning achievement is that there’s “still plenty of room for disagreement” about the size of its negative economic effects — maybe he should have stayed up on that zip line, waving his Union Jacks.

Jobs Report Gives Powell a Little More Runway on Rates
Jonathan Levin/Bloomberg/July 09/2022
The Federal Reserve’s runway for raising interest rates to tackle the worst inflation in 40 years just got a little bit longer after a Labor Department report Friday showed unemployment remained near generational lows in June.
That means the Fed is likely to deliver on another 75-basis-point increase in the fed funds rate this month and may have room to push rates toward 4% if needed. The bond market is wasting no time adjusting to that new reality.
As the latest report showed, predictions of the economy’s imminent demise have been greatly exaggerated.
Despite surging borrowing costs as a result of the Fed’s policies, nonfarm payrolls rose 372,000 last month, beating expectations and keeping unemployment at 3.6%, just a hair above the pre-pandemic low of 3.5%. Average hourly earnings remained fairly strong, climbing 0.3% from a month earlier as the previous month’s figure was revised up slightly. The three-month trend indicates wages are growing at a roughly 4.2% annualized pace, not quite enough to keep up with consumer prices but clearly above the level that the Fed will deem consistent with its 2% inflation target.
The report also came just days after another one showed there were still nearly two job openings for every unemployed person, and workers continue to quit their jobs at accelerated rates. Those features of the unusual post-pandemic economy have been a source of repeated concern for Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who is trying to avoid a situation in which wage pressure forces companies to raise the prices of goods even more to offset costs. Members of the Federal Open Market Committee that votes on monetary police have said they hope that they can cut openings without hurting employment too much, as they noted in the minutes of their June 14-15 meeting published this week:
In light of the very high level of job vacancies, a number of participants judged that the expected moderation in labor demand relative to supply might primarily affect vacancies and have a less significant effect on the unemployment rate.
Of course, it’s never quite that easy, and the picture for workers wasn’t all sunshine and roses. The jobs report includes a survey of work establishments as well as a household survey, which incorporates other workers including the self-employed, and the household measure showed a decline in jobs. As Bleakley Financial Group Chief Investment Officer Peter Boockvar noted, the unemployment rate stayed steady only because the denominator — the number of people who say they’re working or looking for work — also fell by a similar amount.
Overall, it’s no mirage that the economy is slowing, as recent manufacturing and personal spending data have suggested. That’s a feature, not a bug, of the Fed’s policies. Ideally, the Fed would love to slow the economy to a pace consistent with more stable prices without sending it into recession, but that’s a trick central bankers have rarely been able to pull off. The unemployment rate may be one of the last places that economic trouble becomes evident, creating some peril if the Fed overemphasizes it in calibrating monetary policy. But its own projections show that unemployment will probably rise above 4%, which some economists view as a healthy and necessary part of the disinflationary process.
The upshot? Two-year Treasury yields were surging Friday as the market rushes to reverse the rally of the last couple of weeks. Market doves who thought the Fed would blink at the first sign of trouble were always misguided. Powell has made clear that he sees inflation as his primary concern and that he’s willing to cause some economic pain to rein it in. For all the caveats in Friday’s report, the fact that unemployment hasn’t even budged during the Fed’s interest rate campaign suggests that its runway may be even longer than previously expected.

We're Starting to See Clear Signs of Tech Troubles
Tim Culpan/Bloomberg/July 09/2022
Samsung Electronics Co. reported just enough earnings data Thursday to tease us about what might be heading our way. Second quarter revenue and operating profit at the South Korean Goliath portend a tough second half for global technology hardware manufacturers.
Sales pipped estimates by a little, but that’s mostly because analysts have been cutting their forecasts over the past two weeks in anticipation of a worsening market for Samsung’s chips, smartphones and other electronics. The figure was likely boosted by a slide in the Korean won of almost 7% during the period. Crucially, operating profit missed by a wider margin than revenue beat. Samsung only provided a preliminary range for the data, and this analysis is based on the median of that information. A full breakdown of numbers by division will come later this month.
What we do know so far, though, is that prices of its bread-and-butter products are weakening. Although Samsung is best known for smartphones, and recently grabbed headlines for claiming to be first to make semiconductors at the advanced 3-nanometer node (an announcement that’s mostly a marketing ploy), a large swathe of its revenue and bulk of profit comes from making memory chips, notably DRAM which helps speed up a computer, and Flash which stores data.
Because these components, which are used in most electronic devices, are a commodity product, any slowdown tends to impact both shipments and prices. There are already signs manufacturers are willing to sell for less just to move stock. “Facing uncertain peak-season demand in 2H22, some DRAM suppliers have begun effectively expressing clear intentions to cut prices,” Taipei-based researcher TrendForce wrote this week. “This situation will cause 3Q22 DRAM pricing to drop from the previous 3% to 8% to nearly 10% quarter on quarter.”
Slowdowns in commodity products tend to have a multiplier effect. A 10% drop in prices coupled with a 10% fall in demand means a 19% drop in revenue (0.9 times 0.9 is 0.81). Another 15% decline in both (0.75 times 0.75 is 0.56) equates to a 44% hit on sales. This means the bottom could fall out of the memory chip market very quickly.
Samsung’s announcement “may push analysts to cut forecasts for the firm's 2022 operating profit by 4% to 6%,” Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Masahiro Wakasugi wrote after the announcement. “Its 3Q sequential profit growth may not be as strong as expected, due to weaker PC and smartphone demand caused by inflation.”US rival Micron Technology Inc. sounded an early warning last week. While the world’s third-largest maker of DRAM posted revenue and operating profit for the quarter ended June 2 that was largely in line with estimates, its forecast for the coming three months was 20% lower than expectations. It now sees the PC and smartphone markets much weaker than previously thought.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., which doesn’t make many memory chips but is the major player in processors that run phones, computers and servers, is also seeing signs of a slowdown amid reports that key clients have asked to cut or delay orders. It was barely six months ago that the technology hardware sector looked quite immune to a global slowdown as streaming services and cloud computing continued to drive demand for chips and servers, while consumers remained eager to buy the latest gadgets. That picture is now fading fast and investors need to brace for more tough news to come.

Shinzo Abe's Assassination Will Scar Japan Forever
Gearoid Reidy/Bloomberg/July 09/2022
Japan has been brought to a standstill by the news that former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe died after being shot on the campaign trail for Sunday’s upper house elections. A lone gunman attacked Abe, who was pronounced dead at a hospital in Nara from wounds in his chest and neck. This is a tragedy that will have repercussions far beyond this weekend’s voting.
It’s hard to think of a more unexpected place for this to happen: Japan prides itself on being a safe society. The impact of sarin gas attacks on the Tokyo subway by the Aum Shinrikyo cult, nearly 30 years on, still reverberate precisely because such incidents are so rare — shootings in particular. The unsolved 2013 killing of Takayuki Ohigashi, the head of a famous restaurant chain shot outside his company headquarters, still linger in memory. Political assassinations are even more extraordinary: The yakuza-related fatal shooting of the mayor of Nagasaki in 2007 might be the only recent corollary.
Random attacks of violence do occur. Recent years have seen an uptick in such events, such as the mass murder of 26 in Osaka last December, where the suspect set a mental health clinic on fire, killing himself in the process; or the knife attacks on Tokyo’s subways last Halloween, which mercifully resulted in no fatalities. While some guns are available in Japan for the likes of hunters, any purchase requires stringent checks. Photos apparently from the scene show an unusual, almost handmade-looking firearm. Last year, a man killed himself in Ibaraki with a gun believed to have been made with a 3D printer. But because of Japan’s safety record, security at political rallies is weak. It’s not at all unusual to see former prime ministers or other big-wigs campaigning at a street corner or in front of a train station, without a visible police or security detail.
The assassination of Abe will have a resounding effect on the country. While outsiders might think of him as a former politician, he maintained immense influence at home. He led the largest faction in the Liberal Democratic Party, and at just 67, was still in his prime. Many speculated he could have taken another run at the premiership. Even if he didn’t, Abe was certainly in place to help decide the next prime minister.
At the time of writing, we know little of the suspect and nothing of his motivations. Abe has attracted violent protest in the past, including a 2014 self-immolation against security legislation that he spear-headed. But this kind of attack on a national figure of his stature is utterly without precedent in the country’s modern history. One thing seems certain: July 8 is a day that will scar Japan forever.

Ukraine War: Unified Command Needed
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
As a shorthand phrase “the war in Ukraine” may please headline writers and politicians keen on facile simplifications. The phrase gives the impression that the war is going on in a remote place called Ukraine and only tangentially affects the rest of the world. The rest of the world is divided into three categories.
The first is that of ringside spectators, nations that watch the war on TV but have little or no concern about its outcome. Next, we have nations that try to play both sides in the hope of reaping some benefits from whichever side emerges as the victor in the end. Finally, we have those, principally the so-called G-7 nations and their allies in the European Union and NATO, who are taking Ukraine’s side while anxious to limit their involvement to writing cheques and shipping a range of surplus weapons to “heroic” Ukrainians.
What all the three categories mentioned above have in common is their refusal to acknowledge the fact that this conflict, though not a world war by the classic definition, affects the whole world.
Soon, the ringside spectators will see that the threat to the world order, or, to be more exact the international order is bound to affect them in ways that they might not welcome. The blood that is shed in the ring is bound to splash on the ringside as the Spanish Civil War showed more than 80 years ago.
Those who try to hedge their bets by one day drinking Vladimir Putin’s health and the next day complimenting Volodymyr Zelensky for his “heroic leadership” will also reap nothing but shame because this war, in fact like most other wars, is likely to produce more losers than winners.
Compared to the nations in the two above-mentioned categories, the Western democracies and Japan have the merit of admitting that the “Ukraine war” is bound to affect them along with all other nations.
The problem is that their admission is not translated into full awareness of the fact that, like it or not, they are getting involved in a war in which they have no control on one side and largely symbolic influence on the other. War can never be a part-time indulgence, either you are in it full-time with bare knuckles or you are not. Georges Clemenceau, the French Prime Minister in the First World War, had a mantra: “You ask what I do? In the morning I wage war, in the afternoon I wage war, throughout the night I wage war!”
You might say that what we have here is a proxy war that does not require the kind of focused energy, not to say obsessions that Clemenceau boasted about. But even proxy wars require a coherent strategy and a unified overall command even if nested within the shell of a proxy, much like Matryuhska dolls.
Again you might quip that Zelensky is in overall command.
In reality, however, he is not and cannot be because he does not control the resources needed for war. He is an effective communicator on behalf of his beleaguered nation and a paragon of courage in adversity. However, he does not have the key to the war chest and the passcode for arsenals of necessary weapons. Nor does he control the flow of electronic and space-based intelligence gathering that plays a crucial role in modern warfare.
The lack of a unified command based on a joint analysis of the situation, and a perception of shared interests, is also felt in political, economic, and diplomatic fields related to this war. Despite joint communique and end-of-term photos by G-7, NATO and EU leaders, different member states play their separate tunes, albeit on the same theme.
Some like Emmanuel Macron in France and Boris Johnson in Britain try to appear heroic in Ukraine in order to divert attention from their respective failures at home. Others, like Joe Biden in the US and Olaf Shultz in Germany, hope to burnish their tarnished images by posturing low-cost as war leaders. They are unable or unwilling to tell their peoples that they are under attack from a delusional despot with creepy messianic pretensions.
Then there are bit-players like Viktor Orbán and Recap Tayyip Erdogan who try to collect some of the crumbs or pinch some of the tips thrown on the Ukrainian table. Treating the Ukraine war on an ad-hoc basis means that no one is in charge of overall strategy.
Some NATO members have assigned one or two diplomats or military men to monitor the war while NATO as a whole has not deemed it necessary to create a specific coordinating task force. At the same time there is no unified mechanism to monitor and assess the implementation of sanctions imposed on Russia and the so-called “oligarchs” and the effect, if any, they might have had.
Much energy is spent on what one might call gesture politics, notably, inviting Ukraine and Moldova to start negotiating a putative membership of the European Union and allowing Ukrainian refugees visa-free entry into the EU.
More importantly, perhaps, the Western democracies will soon face the need to put their armaments industries in high gear. And that means a massive increase in military budgets. Yet, most NATO members are still proceeding with old plans to reduce the size of their armed forces and switch arms production from what is needed in a classical war, such as the one we witness in Ukraine, to warfare in cyberspace or outer space.
In any war, the belligerents also try to turn neutrals into allies and the allies of the foe into neutrals. That, too, requires a unified command capable of pursuing a course of creative diplomacy. So far, only Putin has been active in that direction, fortunately with little success. The Western democracies, on the other hand, have developed no common position and, in some cases continued their petty rivalries as if nothing has changed.
It is time for everyone to realize that the war to destroy Ukraine isn’t a sideshow. This is not a low-intensity war in which one is involved only vicariously. True, it's Ukrainian blood that is shed on the battlefield. But citizens of almost all other countries also pay a price in galloping inflation, widespread shortages and a growing threat to security.
It is time for NATO, the EU and allies to move beyond the welcome, though largely symbolic, a show of unity through symbolic gestures and develop a common analysis of what is involved and what needs to be done to curb Putin. And that would require a mechanism for unified overall political leadership with Zelensky as field commander.

Biden’s Devious Rhetoric on Saudi Arabia
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 09/2022
Responding to news indicating that he backed off from his electoral promise to relinquish Saudi Arabia, US President Joe Biden initially replied by saying that he might visit Israel but probably not the Kingdom. Later, following the leak of further confirmed news on a potential visit to Riyadh, he said that he might very well head there but would probably not meet the Saudi King or Crown Prince.
However, a week later, further circulated reports made him confess that he was going to participate in the GCC Consultative Summit hosted by Saudi Arabia, and to which the leaders of the US, Egypt, Iraq, and Jordan were invited. He added that he will meet the convening leaders there.
President Biden’s evasive replies lack cleverness because they are simply untrue. Nobody believes them. Not even that minority that opposes his visit to Riyadh. The President thinks that by resorting to evasiveness, he can avoid embarrassment, especially since he had made a promise during the elections, which he is now about to break.
Everyone, including his friends and opponents, knows that he will eventually visit Saudi Arabia and meet up with King Salman bin Abdulaziz and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, probably more than once and in private. Everyone knows that the President is not telling the truth at all. Hence, the question arises of why would he expose himself to such an embarrassing situation again?
While a presidential candidate, former US President Donald Trump had said even worse things about Saudi Arabia than Biden or any other previous US president. However, he convened with his administration’s leading figures once he started his presidential term. He quickly decided to make Riyadh the first overseas capital he would visit on a presidential tour.
Compared to Trump, President Biden seems to be a more cautious politician who wishes to get closer to Saudi Arabia, but through evasive rhetoric and lengthy approaches. He dispatched several his acting officials over the last few months to meet with the Crown Prince, including the US Secretary of State and the CIA Director. Similarly, the US Chief of Staff visited Al Diriyah Joint Forces Command in Riyadh. The US Administration hosted Saudi Deputy Defense Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman. He met with the US National Security Advisor and the Secretary of Defense.
Before the recent major global events, President Biden started efforts to mend the relationship with Saudi Arabia early on. In October 2021, he dispatched his National Security Advisor Jack Sullivan to Riyadh, some four months before the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the price hike of oil barrels to $80. In other words, the US Administration is fully aware of the priorities of its national interests.
However, Biden, who wished to appear with a variant political approach than Trump regarding relations with Saudi Arabia – probably in response to pressure by distinct sides – has wasted his time attempting to appease a minimal sector in the US. Eventually, he ended up prioritizing US’s higher national interests.
Nevertheless, Washington needs to mend its relations with its major partners significantly as the conditions on the global level are worsening rather than improving, particularly with the mounting threatening geopolitical stances of Iran and China, let alone the Russian war in Europe, which revived oil and gas as two effective weapons in the international geopolitical game.
At any rate, Biden is not the first US President to have disagreements with Saudi Arabia, and the history of Washington’s ties with Riyadh has had several electoral thorns. Meanwhile, all US presidents – with no exception to the best of my knowledge – become good friends of Saudi Arabia once they make it to the White House.
It is customary for presidential candidates to try to appease US segments regarding issues such as women’s rights, oil, Israel, or the churches. Even during normal times, when US delegations met with their Saudi counterparts, they suggested to the latter hearing observations made by the former on issues like “reservations on the status of Saudi women” without having to comment on them.
It indicates that such observations are made only to appease sides in the US that later would scrutinize the minutes of such meetings to make sure that these observations were made clear by the US Government to Riyadh. It was the method according to which both parties met up and skipped discussing any controversial issues. Most of the problems that US official delegations had earlier raised have become passe following the critical social and economic shifts in Saudi Arabia.
Amongst other thorny and controversial issues, Riyadh wishes to keep Russia as a significant oil reserve that can guarantee stability in the oil market. It also aspires to preserve China as a primary importer of its oil. Last but never least, it would never accept Iran’s takeover of Yemen, which is situated in its southern backyard, as Tehran already did with Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and the Gaza Strip.
Hopefully, suppose the two nations’ leaders meet up in mid-July as expected. In that case, they might work together to resolve these disputes and develop a mutual agreement. In the meantime, this should not give the false impression that US-Saudi ties are at their best nowadays.