English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For January 08/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the
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Bible Quotations For today
This is my Son, the Beloved, with whom I am
well pleased
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint
Matthew 03/13-17: "Then Jesus came from Galilee to John at the Jordan, to be
baptized by him. John would have prevented him, saying, ‘I need to be baptized
by you, and do you come to me?But Jesus answered him, ‘Let it be so now; for it
is proper for us in this way to fulfil all righteousness.’ Then he consented.
And when Jesus had been baptized, just as he came up from the water, suddenly
the heavens were opened to him and he saw the Spirit of God descending like a
dove and alighting on him. And a voice from heaven said, ‘This is my Son, the
Beloved, with whom I am well pleased.’
Question: "What are the different names of God, and what
do they mean?"
GotQuestions.org?/January 07/2022
Answer: Each of the many names of God describes a different aspect of His
many-faceted character. Here are some of the better-known names of God in the
Bible:
EL, ELOAH [el, el-oh-ah]: God "mighty, strong, prominent" (Nehemiah 9:17; Psalm
139:19) – etymologically, El appears to mean “power” and “might” (Genesis
31:29). El is associated with other qualities, such as integrity (Numbers
23:19), jealousy (Deuteronomy 5:9), and compassion (Nehemiah 9:31), but the root
idea of “might” remains.
ELOHIM [el-oh-heem]: God “Creator, Mighty and Strong” (Genesis 17:7; Jeremiah
31:33) – the plural form of Eloah, which accommodates the doctrine of the
Trinity. From the Bible’s first sentence, the superlative nature of God’s power
is evident as God (Elohim) speaks the world into existence (Genesis 1:1).
EL SHADDAI [el-shah-dahy]: “God Almighty,” “The Mighty One of Jacob” (Genesis
49:24; Psalm 132:2,5) – speaks to God’s ultimate power over all.
ADONAI [ˌædɒˈnaɪ; ah-daw-nahy]: “Lord” (Genesis 15:2; Judges 6:15) – used in
place of YHWH, which was thought by the Jews to be too sacred to be uttered by
sinful men. In the Old Testament, YHWH is more often used in God’s dealings with
His people, while Adonai is used more when He deals with the Gentiles.
YHWH / YAHWEH / JEHOVAH [yah-way / ji-hoh-veh]: “LORD” (Deuteronomy 6:4; Daniel
9:14) – strictly speaking, the only proper name for God. Translated in English
Bibles “LORD” (all capitals) to distinguish it from Adonai, “Lord.” The
revelation of the name is given to Moses “I Am who I Am” (Exodus 3:14). This
name specifies an immediacy, a presence. Yahweh is present, accessible, near to
those who call on Him for deliverance (Psalm 107:13), forgiveness (Psalm 25:11)
and guidance (Psalm 31:3).
YAHWEH-JIREH [yah-way-ji-reh]: "The Lord Will Provide" (Genesis 22:14) – the
name memorialized by Abraham when God provided the ram to be sacrificed in place
of Isaac.
YAHWEH-RAPHA [yah-way-raw-faw]: "The Lord Who Heals" (Exodus 15:26) – “I am
Jehovah who heals you” both in body and soul. In body, by preserving from and
curing diseases, and in soul, by pardoning iniquities.
YAHWEH-NISSI [yah-way-nee-see]: "The Lord Our Banner" (Exodus 17:15), where
banner is understood to be a rallying place. This name commemorates the desert
victory over the Amalekites in Exodus 17.
YAHWEH-M'KADDESH [yah-way-meh-kad-esh]: "The Lord Who Sanctifies, Makes Holy"
(Leviticus 20:8; Ezekiel 37:28) – God makes it clear that He alone, not the law,
can cleanse His people and make them holy.
YAHWEH-SHALOM [yah-way-shah-lohm]: "The Lord Our Peace" (Judges 6:24) – the name
given by Gideon to the altar he built after the Angel of the Lord assured him he
would not die as he thought he would after seeing Him.
YAHWEH-ELOHIM [yah-way-el-oh-him]: "LORD God" (Genesis 2:4; Psalm 59:5) – a
combination of God’s unique name YHWH and the generic “Lord,” signifying that He
is the Lord of Lords.
YAHWEH-TSIDKENU [yah-way-tzid-kay-noo]: "The Lord Our Righteousness” (Jeremiah
33:16) – As with YHWH-M’Kaddesh, it is God alone who provides righteousness
(from the Hebrew word tsidkenu) to man, ultimately in the person of His Son,
Jesus Christ, who became sin for us “that we might become the Righteousness of
God in Him” (2 Corinthians 5:21).
YAHWEH-ROHI [yah-way-roh-hee]: "The Lord Our Shepherd" (Psalm 23:1) – After
David pondered his relationship as a shepherd to his sheep, he realized that was
exactly the relationship God had with him, and so he declares, “Yahweh-Rohi is
my Shepherd. I shall not want” (Psalm 23:1).
YAHWEH-SHAMMAH [yah-way-sham-mahw]: "The Lord Is There” (Ezekiel 48:35) – the
name ascribed to Jerusalem and the Temple there, indicating that the
once-departed glory of the Lord (Ezekiel 8—11) had returned (Ezekiel 44:1-4).
YAHWEH-SABAOTH [yah-way-sah-bah-ohth]: "The Lord of Hosts" (Isaiah 1:24; Psalm
46:7) – Hosts means “hordes,” both of angels and of men. He is Lord of the host
of heaven and of the inhabitants of the earth, of Jews and Gentiles, of rich and
poor, master and slave. The name is expressive of the majesty, power, and
authority of God and shows that He is able to accomplish what He determines to
do.
EL ELYON [el-el-yohn]: “Most High" (Deuteronomy 26:19) – derived from the Hebrew
root for “go up” or “ascend,” so the implication is of that which is the very
highest. El Elyon denotes exaltation and speaks of absolute right to lordship.
EL ROI [el-roh-ee]: "God of Seeing" (Genesis 16:13) – the name ascribed to God
by Hagar, alone and desperate in the wilderness after being driven out by Sarah
(Genesis 16:1-14). When Hagar met the Angel of the Lord, she realized she had
seen God Himself in a theophany. She also realized that El Roi saw her in her
distress and testified that He is a God who lives and sees all.
EL-OLAM [el-oh-lahm]: "Everlasting God" (Psalm 90:1-3) – God’s nature is without
beginning or end, free from all constraints of time, and He contains within
Himself the very cause of time itself. “From everlasting to everlasting, You are
God.”
EL-GIBHOR [el-ghee-bohr]: “Mighty God” (Isaiah 9:6) – the name describing the
Messiah, Christ Jesus, in this prophetic portion of Isaiah. As a powerful and
mighty warrior, the Messiah, the Mighty God, will accomplish the destruction of
God’s enemies and rule with a rod of iron (Revelation 19:15).
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials
published on January 07-08/2022
Lebanon’s General Security Head Faces Lawsuit in Washington
Lebanese Hezbollah 'threatens Arab security,' says Saudi envoy
Corona - Health Ministry: 7,974 new Corona infections, 19 deaths
Aoun Meets Miqati over National Dialogue Proposal
President Aoun receives PM Mikati as part of preparatory consultations for
National Dialogue Conference
President Aoun meets French Senator, receives copy of French Senate President's
speech
Hariri informs Aoun he will not partake in national dialogue session
Mikati discusses WB projects in Lebanon with Kumar Jha, meets French Ambassador
Starting over/Nicholas Frakes/Now Lebanon/January 07/2022
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
January 07-08/2022
Canadian Human Rights Activist Firas Al-Najim At Vigil For Qasem
Soleimani Outside U.S. Consulate In Toronto: We Will Set Out To Defend Islam In
The Martyrdom-Seeking Style Of Karbala, At The Behest Of Khamenei, Sistani;
Death To America! Down, Down Biden!/MEMRI/January/January 07/2022
US, Israel Reaffirm Pressure on Iran to Stop ‘Nuclear Enrichment’
Iran Displays Missiles Amid Nuclear Talks
Canada, Other Nations Vow Action Against Iran over Downed Jet
France Sees Progress in Iran Nuclear Talks, but Time Pressing
Assad Calls for Expanding Iran-Led ‘Axis of Resistance’
Dutch Government Ends Funding for Palestinian NGO over Links to PFLP
Biden Taps Kurilla to Become Top US Commander for Mideast
UN Security Council to Meet Monday on N.Korean Missile Launch
Kazakhstan Leader: Constitutional Order Restored amid Unrest
Japan Extends US Military Support amid China, N.Korea 'Challenges'
Sidney Poitier, Oscar-winning actor and Hollywood's first Black movie star, dies
at 94
Canada/Statement on protests in Kazakhstan
Government of Canada honours victims on the second National Day of Remembrance
for Victims of Air Disasters
Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC
English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
January 07-08/2022
The Imponderables of a Reconstructed Political Order in the Middle
East/Charles Elias Chartouni /January 07/2022
Four Mideast trend lines to watch in 2022/Jonathan Spyer/Jerusalem Post/January
07/2022
Exposing the Lie of Israel Apartheid/Richard Kemp/Gatestone Institute/January
07/2022
Syria’s Children 2022/Akram Bunni/Asharq Al-Awsat/January, 07/2022
World Order: Back to the Future/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/January, 07/2022
‘Putin Doctrine’ Becomes Clear in Ukraine and Kazakhstan/Hal
Brands/Bloomberg/January, 07/2022
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on January 07-08/2022
Lebanon’s General Security Head Faces Lawsuit in
Washington
Major Washington - Muath Alamri//Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday,
7 January, 2022
The family of Amer Fakhoury, who had worked with the South Lebanon Army (SLA)
during the Israeli occupation of southern Lebanon, is now suing Lebanon and its
General Directorate of General Security before a US district court in
Washington. According to Fakhoury’s grieving relatives, “high-ranking” officials
in the Lebanese intelligence were involved in his arrest and torture two years
ago, which subsequently led to his death. Fakhoury was a US citizen and a former
resident of New Hampshire.
His family accused the Lebanese government of arresting Fakhoury in September
2019 in Lebanon while he was on a family visit and said that he was subjected to
“brutal treatment” in prison at the hands of the Lebanese General Security. In a
statement, the lawyer for the US-based family, Robert Tolchin, confirmed that
the Fakhourys were suing Iran in a US federal court.
The family accuses Iranian officials and Tehran of using their arm in Lebanon,
the terrorist Hezbollah group, which has a firm grip on the country’s political
system, of orchestrating the order by which Lebanese intelligence detained and
tortured Fakhoury in 2019. “The Iranians were hoping to pressure the Trump
Administration to trade the captive American for a Hezbollah operative, Kassim
Tajideen, a Lebanese national who was imprisoned in the US for his role in
financing Hezbollah terrorist activities around the world,” a statement from
Fakhoury’s family and lawyer said on Wednesday.
Fakhoury was a member of the Israeli-backed SLA in the 1970s and 1980s. When the
Israeli army, which had occupied southern Lebanon since 1982, decided to
withdraw in 2000, many members of the SLA feared for their lives, including
Fakhoury, who made the decision to flee to the United States.
He did not return to Lebanon for over two decades.
According to the lawsuit, which was reviewed by Asharq Al-Awsat, after Fakhoury
was arrested in Lebanon and tortured by General Security agents in Beirut, he
developed lymphoma and was not treated by his Lebanese captors. He was
eventually released in a dramatic US military rescue operation in Beirut and
returned to the US in 2020. He died of cancer in August that year. Tolchin notes
that although it would not have been possible to sue the Lebanese government
because it enjoys sovereign immunity, the family can sue the government of Iran.
This is because Iran’s activities fall under an exception in US law, which
allows US citizens to file civil claims against regimes the US designates as
“state sponsors of terrorism.”While Lebanon enjoys sovereign immunity, making it
illegal to be named as a defendant in US courts, a move by the General Security
head Abbas Ibrahim may have upended the privilege.
On December 12, Ibrahim filed a motion to strike his name and his agency from
the lawsuit against Iran. The fact that he filed the motion on behalf of General
Security, which is a state institution, has allowed Fakhoury’s family to pursue
him and Lebanon legally. Tolchin voiced his shock over the Lebanese government’s
decision to intervene in the family’s case against Iran and said that the move
allows for a significant opportunity to expose Ibrahim’s relationship with
Hezbollah.
Asharq Al-Awsat contacted the Lebanese embassy in Washington to comment on this
issue but received no response.
For her part, Fakhoury’s daughter, Zoya, accused the Lebanese General Security
institution of threatening her family for shedding light on her father’s case in
the media. “Since our father’s death, we have received threats for talking about
the torture and injustice our father was subjected to,” she told Asharq Al-Awsat,
adding that the lawsuit against Lebanon and Ibrahim was the first step towards
achieving justice for her late father. “Through this lawsuit, we shed light on
human rights violations in Lebanon and the great impact of (Hezbollah) on the
country,” she noted. Fakhoury, according to the lawsuit, met with Lebanese
President Michel Aoun during a visit to Boston before traveling and being
tortured in Lebanon in 2019. He was also in contact with a member of Aoun’s
presidential office.
Lebanese Hezbollah 'threatens Arab
security,' says Saudi envoy
MEM/January 07/2022
Saudi Arabia's ambassador to Lebanon accused Hezbollah of threatening Arab
national security, Anadolu News Agency reports. Speaking to the Saudi Okaz
newspaper on Thursday, Walid Bukhari said the Lebanese group's "activities and
behaviour constitute a threat to the Arab national security." "The insistence of
the terrorist Hezbollah to impose its control over the will of the (Lebanese)
state and its constitutional institutions disrupt peace and security in
Lebanon," Bukhari added. He underlined the need to stop Hezbollah's hegemony
over the Lebanese state and to end its possession of arms which it uses outside
the scope of the State. Hezbollah has yet to comment on the Saudi envoy's
remarks. On Monday, Hezbollah Secretary-General, Hassan Nasrallah, attacked
Saudi Arabia's monarch and accused the Kingdom of exporting and spreading
"Islamic extremist ideology." "The terrorist is the one who sent thousands of
Saudis to conduct suicide operations in Iraq and Syria, and it's you," Nasrallah
said, referring to King Salman bin Abdul Aziz. Nasrallah's comments came in
response to comments by King Salman, who also described Hezbollah as a
"terrorist" group and called for an end to its control of Lebanon. For his part,
Lebanese Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, distanced his government from Nasrallah's
remarks and said they did not reflect the Lebanese government's official
position, nor that of a broad part of the Lebanese population.
Corona - Health Ministry: 7,974 new Corona infections,
19 deaths
NNA/January 07/2022
In its daily report on the COVID-19 developments, the Ministry of Public Health
announced on Friday the registration of 7,974 new infections with the Corona
virus, thus raising the cumulative number of confirmed cases to-date to 761,853.
The report added that 19 deaths were recorded during the past 24 hours.
Aoun Meets Miqati over National Dialogue Proposal
Naharnet/January 07/2022
President Michel Aoun held talks Friday afternoon in Baabda with Prime Minister
Najib Miqati. Speaking after the talks, Miqati said Aoun requested the meeting
to discuss his call for holding a national dialogue conference.
“I informed him of my opinion and the discussions will be continued later,” the
premier added. In a speech on December 27, the President had proposed “urgent”
national dialogue over a host of key issues, mainly "broad administrative and
financial decentralization, a defense strategy to protect Lebanon, and a
financial and economic recovery plan that would include the necessary reforms
and a fair distribution of losses."
President Aoun receives PM Mikati as part of preparatory
consultations for National Dialogue Conference
NNA/January 07/2022
As part of the consultations initiated by the President of the Republic, General
Michel Aoun, with heads of the parliamentary blocs in preparation for the
national dialogue conference, President Aoun received Prime Minister, Najib
Mikati, this afternoon at Baabda Palace. The President discussed the invitation
to dialogue to discuss a number of basic issues which he referred to in his last
speech, and what could be raised of other issues that fall within the framework
of the national consensus required at this critical stage.
After the meeting, PM Mikati told reporters:
“Within the framework of the President's invitation for national dialogue, His
Excellency called me and asked me to meet together to discuss this issue. I gave
my opinion, which I would like to keep with His Excellency, and deliberations
are ongoing”. -- Presidency Press Office
President Aoun meets French Senator, receives copy of
French Senate President's speech
NNA/January 07/2022
President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, met French Senator, Ronan Le
Gilt, and French Advisor Abroad for Lebanon and Syria, Lucas Lamah, today at
Baabda Palace. The French Senator conveyed the greetings of the President of the
French Senate, Gerard Larcher, and his warm wishes for the beginning of the new
year, in addition to his constant keenness to strengthen friendship bonds
between Lebanon and France. The President of the French Senate also hoped for an
internal Lebanese-Lebanese dialogue to address the challenges of sovereignty.
Statement:
After the meeting, Senator Le Gilt made the following statement:
“Today, as the French Senator who represents the French residing outside France,
I had the honor to meet His Excellency President Michel Aoun, and this is a
cause of great pride for me, because Lebanon wears a unique and exemplary
character in relation to the relations that France can establish with other
countries.
All our work comes from here, both in the House of Representatives and the
Senate in general, and what I do in particular within the Senate Committee on
Foreign Relations, Defense and Military Forces, consistently emphasizes that
Lebanon has a unique, distinctive and important position in our interests.
In addition, I am a member of the Senate, and I represent the French residing
outside France, that is, in various parts of the world. In Lebanon, in
particular, there are about twenty thousand French who constitute a very
important and strong community. The French-Lebanese relations are personal and
individual, and for this reason I think that meeting with His Excellency the
President is of great importance to the French Senate. I handed President Aoun a
copy of the speech delivered by the President of the Senate, Gerard Larcher,
during the month of November, in which he hoped to hold a Lebanese-Lebanese
meeting to discuss the challenges of sovereignty”.
Questions & Answers:
In response to a question about the content of President Larcher’s speech, he
replied: “You know the extent of President Larcher’s attachment to Lebanon, and
the depth of his love for this country. Throughout his life, and in any position
in which he worked, he focused his interests in order for the French-Lebanese
relations to be deep, special and lively. I am thankful to the President for
reminding me of this, especially in terms of the depth of his relations with
President Larcher, especially since he lived part of his life in France, which
he knows amazingly, which we also discussed”.
Asked about the importance of the current election year that France is going
through, which will culminate in the election of a new President, and whether
the result of French interest will witness a temporary decline for this reason,
and what about the post-election period, Le Gilt replied: “France will decide in
April its fate for the coming years, through the presidential elections. What I
can tell you about the French Republican Party to which I belong is, our
candidate for this election, Mrs. Valerie Pecresse, also worked, in turn, to
strengthen the friendship between France and Lebanon, in a lively way, as
Minister and also as President of the Ile-de-France region. She was elected
President of the French Republic, and I can assure you that the strong ties
between France and Lebanon will strengthen Mrs. Pecresse, and with her there
will be no doubt about the depth of French-Lebanese relations in the future”.
Regarding the possibility of Mrs. Pecressevisiting, as a candidate, to Lebanon,
according to the tradition of presidential candidates, he answered: “I am not in
the position to specifically answer this question, but as soon as information is
available on the subject, it will be known”.
Dr. Yammine:
The President met Lawyer, Dr. Adel Yammine and his wife Nadine.
Dr. Yammine presented his new book, Sharing the Lebanese Constitutional System”,
to President Aoun. For his part, the President congratulated Yammine on the
content of his book, and the efforts he made to achieve it, considering that it
would constitute a reference for researchers and those in public affairs.
New Year Congratulations:
President Aoun received a New Year-Greeting card from Spanish King, Philippe VI.
-- Presidency Press Office
Hariri informs Aoun he will not partake in national
dialogue session
NNA/January 07/2022
Former Prime Minister, Saad Hariri, contacted by phone President of the
Republic, General Michel Aoun, after the call received by the Center House from
the presidential palace regarding President Aoun’s invitation to a national
dialogue conference. In this connection, Hariri apologized for not partaking in
the national dialogue session, “because any dialogue at this level must take
place after the parliamentary elections,” according to Hariri’s Press office.
Mikati discusses WB projects in Lebanon with Kumar Jha,
meets French Ambassador
NNA/January 07/2022
Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, on Friday welcomed at the Grand Serail Saroj Kumar
Jha, the World Bank’s Regional Director of the Mashreq Department (Lebanon,
Iraq, Syria, Jordan and Iran), with whom he discussed the World Bank’s projects
in Lebanon. “We’ve followed up on the registering process of the social
protection program’s beneficiaries, which has witnessed huge progress,” the WB’s
Kumar Jha said. “We’ve agreed to speed up all remaining steps, so as to start
transferring funds to the families mostly in need as soon as possible,” he
added. “We’ve also discussed reforms in the electricity sector, and the other
pressing reforms that the government must adopt before the World Bank finances
the electricity sector. The meeting was generally good,” Kumar Jha concluded.
Mikati separately met with French Ambassador to Lebanon, Anne Grillo, with whom
he discussed the most recent developments in Lebanon and the region.
Starting over
Nicholas Frakes/Now Lebanon/January 07/2022
Lebanese who emigrated to Turkey amid the ongoing economic crisis recount their
experiences and struggles of starting a new life in a new country as they
continue to try to navigate the challenges posed by leaving.
People sit near the shore of the bosphorus strait near Karakoy port on December
6, 2021 in Istanbul. Photo: Ozan Kose, AFP.
Soha Fawaz says she often lies in bed trying to sleep, her thoughts moving
through her head at a lightning-fast pace, forcing her to stay awake.
The 30-year-old NGO worker had moved to Gaziantep, a city in southern Turkey
near the Syrian border, a little less than a month ago and was still trying her
best to adjust to life in Turkey.
She did not speak the language. She did not have an apartment of her own. She
was even still finding her favorite path to walk to work every day.
Still, she did not regret her decision to move to Turkey after she finished her
Master’s program in Crete, Greece. It was a better choice than returning to her
native Lebanon. “I miss [my family] a lot but I don’t miss Lebanon because when
I returned during summer, I felt like I didn’t belong to that place,” Fawaz told
NOW. “[My family] lives on a street very close to Hamra and one time I returned
by walking and it was at night and I was so afraid because there was no
electricity. There was nothing.”Just like Fawaz, many Lebanese left their
collapsing home country to find a more secure place to live, despite the
inevitable struggle that comes with starting over in a new country.
Searching for stability
Lebanon is no stranger when it comes to emigration. For years, Lebanese who feel
like there are few opportunities for them at home have looked abroad to start a
new life, chased out by civil wars, sectarian strife and constant economic
instability. Lebanon has a domestic population of around 6.8 million, although
exact numbers are hard to produce as Lebanon has not held an official census
since 1932, the Lebanese diaspora vastly outnumbers the total Lebanese in
Lebanon, with an estimated 16 million living outside of their home country.
Since the start of Lebanon’s economic crisis in October 2019, the number of
Lebanese leaving their country increased dramatically. In 2o21 alone, around an
estimated 78,000 Lebanese left to seek stable lives abroad. According to
Beirut-based Information International consultancy firm, almost 200,000 Lebanese
have emigrated since 2018. Many Lebanese who hold a second passport or who are
working on their postgraduate degrees have been able to leave for European
countries or the US. But those who only hold the Lebanese nationality have few
choices left.
Many chose to move to Turkey or travel between Istanbul and Beirut because they
do not need a visa to enter the country and the flight is only one hour and a
half. Turkey also makes it easier than other states for Lebanese citizens to
obtain a short-term residency permit which costs between $130-$160.
According to the Turkish Directorate General for Migration Management official
statistics released in December 2021, Lebanese are not among the top 10
nationalities that sought and were granted residency permits in Turkey. But the
numbers of residencies issued by Turkish authorities were significant. Turkey
only returned 7 Lebanese citizens to their country last year.
Ali Hamdar, 38, from Sidon, a city south of Beirut, moved to Istanbul in
November 2021 with his wife and two young children after working for several
years as a salesperson. “There is nothing good in Lebanon [at this point],” he
explained. “I would prefer a European country because it would be better for
sure. But they will never let me into these countries.”
After Fawaz finished her degree in Greece, she could only find work in Lebanon
or Turkey, so she chose Turkey because it felt more stable.
“I didn’t stop applying for [work with] NGOs abroad other than applying in
Lebanon because I didn’t want to come back and work there,” Fawaz said.
The hurdles of relocating
One of the biggest shocks for Fawaz and Hamdar has been their lack of ability to
communicate with people in Turkey. While Turkish citizens might study English,
it is not widely spoken. The vast majority of the population speak very basic to
no English. “In Greece, we used to speak in English so it was okay. Even at my
university. A lot of young people know English,” Fawaz stated. “[In Turkey],
young people or teenagers, it is difficult for them to speak [English].”
Fawaz says she has had to rely on Google Translate to communicate with people.
However, since Gaziantep is by the Syrian border, Arabic is more commonly spoken
than in other parts of the country, which allows her to communicate with more
people than Hamdar who lives in Istanbul.
Hamdar says he speaks four languages, but Turkish is not one of them. He
recently started taking courses so that he can learn the language.
The hardest part of moving for the two Lebanese has been finding a place to
live. Upon their initial move to Turkey, they both lived in hotels, forcing them
to spend more money. “I spent $8,000 since I came because I didn’t know
anything,” Hamdar recalled. “I faced many scammers who made me lose a lot of
money. Here you can face a scammer with anything, even if you want to rent a
flat.”Eventually, Hamdar was able to find an apartment for him and his family.
I faced many scammers who made me lose a lot of money. Here you can face a
scammer with anything, even if you want to rent a flat.
Fawaz, though, is still trying to find a place to live. She stayed in a hotel
for about a week and, during that time, she went to social media in the hopes
that someone would be able to help her find an apartment.
She got lucky, finding a Lebanese man also living in Gaziantep who introduced
her to another Lebanese woman who insisted that she move in with her for the
time being so that she could save some money instead of spending it on a hotel.
“She told me that after one week of staying in the hotel that I was moving out
from there because I’m paying [a lot] and it was costly for me and until I could
find an apartment, I could stay with her,” Fawaz said. “Now, I’m still staying
at her place and the anxiety and my stress levels have dropped by like 80
percent because I don’t have to pay since I’m just staying with her. She’s
supporting me a lot and she’s helping me whenever we go out such as where to buy
and where not to.”Her new friends have also told her that she needs to find an
apartment nearby so that they were in reach if she ever needed help.
Hamdar was eventually able to find a job working 10 hours a day at a cafe where
he makes 4,000 Turkish lira a month ($290 at the current exchange rate), while
his wife is looking for work online. However, this is far less than the around
$1,000 that he needs to make to ensure that his family can live comfortably,
forcing him to use the money that he had saved up.
But he remains hopeful and added that he is waiting on the Turkish authorities
to issue him a residency permit which, from what he was told, should only take
around another month. His children are currently at home as it was too late for
them to register for school, but he plans on doing this upon the next enrollment
as soon as they receive the residency permit.
“I will never regret that I took the decision to leave Lebanon,” Hamdar said.
“It was a choice between bad and worse.”While they might have left Lebanon, in
some cases the trauma and anxiety that they experienced while living in Lebanon
followed them.
Gone but not forgotten
When Fawaz first moved to Turkey, the country was in the midst of its own
economic crisis, caused by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s economic
policies, with the Turkish lira going from just over six lira to $1 to nearly 17
in the span of a month. I think that one of the challenges from Lebanon and
living in Lebanon is that you are always anxious about everything. You move your
anxiety with you even after you move to another country. Even if it’s super
safe. For the Lebanese who had moved to Turkey in order to escape the financial
meltdown in Lebanon, this was an all too familiar scenario.
“I tried to ask locals and people who have lived here more than me about the
situation. Is this going to escalate where things get worse,” Fawaz stated. “The
economy here is not stable but, now, I’m pretty sure that they won’t reach the
situation in Lebanon. I hope not.”
Although the economic situation in Turkey has somewhat stabilized, the fact that
she went from one economic crisis to another terrified Fawaz, who feared that
she would have to look for yet another country to move to.
This was not the first time that her anxiety was triggered since moving to
Turkey.
She was having trouble falling asleep.
“Whenever I try to sleep, I feel like my brain is still active,” she said. “It’s
like these moments when you sleep but you are still awake and you need to rush
things as if you are not settling down and as if you are not stable. I think
that one of the challenges from Lebanon and living in Lebanon is that you are
always anxious about everything. You move your anxiety with you even after you
move to another country. Even if it’s super safe.”
Fawaz continues to worry about her parents who are still in Lebanon, and hopes
that they will also decide to move, even though she knows deep down that they
will never leave.
“I just wish that my family could leave also, but, of course, they won’t,” she
stated. “Right now, I have all of my cousins outside of the country. Two of them
left now. I left. Another one left one month ago. We are leaving. Only our
families, like my mom and dad, are staying and it’s frustrating for them after
all of these years. Their children are leaving this country.”
*Nicholas Frakes is a multimedia journalist with @NOW_leb. He tweets
@nicfrakesjourno.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
January 07-08/2022
Canadian Human Rights Activist Firas Al-Najim
At Vigil For Qasem Soleimani Outside U.S. Consulate In Toronto: We Will Set Out
To Defend Islam In The Martyrdom-Seeking Style Of Karbala, At The Behest Of
Khamenei, Sistani; Death To America! Down, Down Biden!
MEMRI/January/January 07/2022
Source: The Internet - "DARS TV on YouTube"
https://www.memri.org/tv/candian-human-rights-activist-firas-najim-vigil-memory-qasem-soleimani-consulate-america-toronto-martyrdom-khamenei-death-biden
Canadian human rights activist Firas Al-Najim of CD4HR pledged to set out in the
"martyrdom-seeking style of Karbala" in response to a fatwa by Iranian Supreme
Leader Ayatollah Khamenei or Ayatollah Sistani. He spoke in a vigil in
commemoration of Qasem Soleimani held in front of the U.S. consulate in Toronto,
which he referred to as the "representative of the Great Satan," on January 2,
2022 and which was posted on Dars TV on YouTube. Al-Najim added that Soleimani
is "one of us, the people of Iraq," and that "Iran is our ally." He said: "We
will continue to fight alongside the Islamic Republic of Iran and the resistance
axis – the PMU, Ansar Allah in Yemen, Hamas in Palestine, and Hizbullah in
Lebanon." Al-Najim led the vigil participants in chants such as: "We respond to
your call, oh Qasem Soleimani!" "We respond to your call, oh Abu Mahdi Al-Mahandis!"
"Allah's curses upon America!" "Death to the U.S. administration!" "Death to
America!" "Down, down Biden!" For more information about the vigil, see MEMRI TV
clip no 9279.
Firas Al-Najim: "Today, we are saying: Soleimani is one of us, the people of
Iraq. We will not agree to any attack on the sovereignty of either Iraq or Iran.
Iran and Iraq constitute one body, one soul, one nation.
"If Sayyid Ali-Hosseini Khamenei or Sayyid Ali-Husseini Al-Sistani issue a fatwa
calling to set out to defend the Islamic nation, we will set out in the
martyrdom-seeking style of Karbala. I am saying this from Canada, from the land
of the West. We say this from any place. We are not afraid. Away with
humiliation!
Crowd: "Away with humiliation!"
Al-Najim: "Away with humiliation!"
Crowd: "Away with humiliation!"
Al-Najim: "We will bow down to no one but Allah!"
Crowd: "We will bow down to no one but Allah!"
Al-Najim: "We will bow down to no one but Allah!"
Crowd: "We will bow down to no one but Allah!"
Al-Najim: "I have a message to the Saud clan and to the criminal 'normalizers,'
who stand by Israel and America. This is also a message to the supporters of
Saddam, and to the anarchists who demonstrate in Iraq, shouting: Iran out!
"Iran is our ally and it will remain our ally. We will continue to fight
alongside the Islamic Republic of Iran and the resistance axis — the PMU, Ansar
Allah in Yemen, Hamas in Palestine, and Hizbullah in Lebanon. Their blood is our
blood, their women are our women, their honor is our honor, the honor of their
women is the honor of our women, and their lands are our lands. We are one
nation. The Quran says: 'This nation of yours is one nation.' We all want to
liberate Palestine. We respond to your call, oh Palestine!"
Crowd: "We respond to your call, oh Palestine!"
Al-Najim: "We respond to your call, oh Jerusalem!"
Crowd: "We respond to your call, oh Jerusalem!"
Al-Najim: "We respond to your call, oh Qasem Soleimani!"
Crowd: "We respond to your call, oh Qasem Soleimani!"
Al-Najim: "We respond to your call, oh Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis!"
Crowd: "We respond to your call, oh Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis!"
Al-Najim: "Brothers and sisters, everybody turn towards the American consulate.
This is a representation of the Great Satan. It is a representative of Pharaoh,
of Yazid, of Namroud. Allah's curses upon America! Everybody say it!
Crowd: "Allah's curses upon America!"
Al-Najim: "Death to the U.S. administration!"
Crowd: "Death to the U.S. administration!"
Al-Najim: "Death to America!"
Crowd: "Death to America!"
Al-Najim: "Death to America!"
Crowd: "Death to America!"
Al-Najim: "Death to America!"
Crowd: "Death to America!"
Al-Najim: "Down, down U.S.A."
Crowd: "Down, down U.S.A."
Al-Najim: "Down, down Biden!"
Crowd: "Down, down Biden!"
Al-Najim: "Down, down Biden!"
Crowd: "Down, down Biden!"
Al-Najim: "Down, down Trump!"
Crowd: "Down, down Trump!"
Al-Najim: "Down, down Obama!"
Crowd: "Down, down Obama!"
Al-Najim: "Down, down Bush!"
Crowd: "Down, down Bush!"
Al-Najim: "Down, down Clinton!"
Crowd: "Down, down Clinton!"
US, Israel Reaffirm Pressure on Iran to Stop ‘Nuclear
Enrichment’
Washington - Muath Alamri/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022
The United States and Israel affirmed that the challenges posed by Iran in the
region are going to be confronted, as Washington emphasized commitment to the
"security and safety of Israel". The US position came as major countries are
meeting in Vienna for indirect negotiations between Iran and the United States,
aimed at saving the 2015 nuclear agreement. The State Department said in a
statement that US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and his Israeli
counterpart, Yair Lapid, discussed, in a phone call, Wednesday evening, a set of
regional and global issues, including "the challenges posed by Iran."
The two sides also discussed "the dangers of Russian aggression against
Ukraine," noting that "Blinken reiterated the administration's firm commitment
to Israel's security." In a tweet, Lapid said he discussed the regional and
global challenges with Blinken, and the need to “pressure Iran to halt its
nuclear weapons race.”Lapid and Blinken did not mention the exact nature of the
"pressure on Iran."
The call came a few hours after Axios reported that US National Security Adviser
Jake Sullivan, during a visit to Jerusalem last month, informed Israeli
officials that the “snapback” mechanism in the nuclear agreement, was an
effective way to "deter Iran from enriching weapons-grade uranium.”
Sullivan said he was very concerned that the Iranians felt they were getting
closer to the possibility of breaking out toward a nuclear weapon. The sanctions
would be particularly devastating to Iran's economy because all UN members would
be bound to comply, the report said.
In turn, Israeli Foreign Ministry officials told Sullivan they believe the
United States and the European troika (France, Germany, and Britain) should move
forward with the “snapback” mechanism if the Vienna negotiations yield nothing,
regardless of Iran’s enrichment levels and uranium production.
“Only the UK had shown any openness to the snapback idea so far,” Israeli
officials say after Iran abandoned all of its commitments under the agreement
and increased its uranium enrichment from less than 4 percent to 60 percent, a
"technical short" step from weapons levels seen by some observers, as
international inspectors face challenges in monitoring progress.
Israel strongly opposed talks aimed at restoring the agreement; but in recent
weeks, officials have indicated a shift toward "accepting an agreement in some
form." State Department spokesperson Ned Price said there had been “some modest
progress” in recent days. Meanwhile, several Republican lawmakers accused the
Biden administration of opposing a provision in the Department of Defense budget
law for 2022, which requires the administration to provide Congress with
"detailed reports" on Iran's military capabilities, funds, and related
activities. According to the law's provisions, it requires a "detailed
description" of Iran's military progress, all arms sales and transfers to and
from Iran, all missile launches by Iran, and changes in the capabilities of
Iranian-backed military groups. The American Free Beacon website quoted foreign
policy leaders of the Republican Party in Congress, criticizing the Biden
administration's decision not to comply with the legal mandate, by providing
details to Congress about Iran's capabilities, and how easing sanctions on Iran
would not enhance the regime's ability to launch terrorist attacks.
“Biden’s administration does not want Congress to know how much money Iran's
terrorist allies are getting because of sanctions relief, while negotiations
continue with Tehran on a new nuclear deal,” Republicans say.
The "strict reporting" requirement in the National Defense Authorization Act, is
the first of its kind and will compel the administration to "provide details
about how sanctions relief will support Tehran's terrorist allies," and
strengthen the capabilities of the militias, referring to Lebanon's Hezbollah,
the Houthis in Yemen, and the Hamas movement.
Iran Displays Missiles Amid Nuclear Talks
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022
Iran displayed three ballistic missiles at an outdoor prayer esplanade in
central Tehran on Friday as talks in Vienna aimed at reviving Tehran’s nuclear
deal with world powers flounder. The missiles — known as Dezful, Qiam and
Zolfaghar — have official ranges of up to 1,000 kilometers (620 miles) and are
already-known models, the paramilitary Revolutionary Guard said. Diplomats from
countries that remain in the 2015 nuclear deal — Britain, France, Germany,
Russia and China — are working with Tehran to revive the accord, which had
sought to limit Iran's nuclear ambitions in exchange for lifting of economic
sanctions. American diplomats are present at the nuclear talks in Vienna but
they are not in direct talks with Iranians. The accord collapsed in 2018 when
then-President Donald Trump unilaterally withdrew the United States from the
deal and re-imposed sanctions on Iran. According to The Associated Press, a
report by Iranian state television said the missiles on display were the same
types as those used to strike US bases in Iraq. The display came on the second
anniversary of a ballistic missile attack on bases housing American troops in
Iraq in retaliation for the US drone strike that killed top Iranian general
Qassem Soleimani in Baghdad in 2020.
Canada, Other Nations Vow Action Against Iran over Downed Jet
London - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022
Canada, Britain, Sweden and Ukraine on Thursday said they had abandoned efforts
to talk to Tehran about reparations for an airliner downed by Iran and would try
to settle the matter according to international law.
Most of the 176 people killed when Iran shot down the Ukrainian jet in January
2020 were citizens from those four countries, which created a coordination group
that seeks to hold Tehran to account. "Despite our best efforts over the past
two years and multiple attempts to resolve this matter through negotiations, the
Coordination Group has determined that further attempts to negotiate with Iran
... are futile," Reuters quoted it as saying in a statement.
"The Coordination Group will now focus on subsequent actions to take to resolve
this matter in accordance with international law," it continued, but did not
give details. Tehran says Revolutionary Guards accidentally shot down the Boeing
737 jet and blamed a misaligned radar and an error by the air defense operator
at a time when tensions were high between Tehran and the United States. A court
in Ontario, Canada, this week awarded C$107 million ($83.8 million), plus
interest, to the families of six people who died. In June, Canada said it had
found no evidence that the downing of the plane had been premeditated.
France Sees Progress in Iran Nuclear Talks, but Time
Pressing
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022
Progress has been made regarding the Iran nuclear talks although time is running
out, France's foreign minister said on Friday. Indirect talks between Iran and
the United States on salvaging the 2015 Iran nuclear deal resumed on Monday,
reported Reuters. Western diplomats have indicated they are hoping to have a
breakthrough by the end of January or early February, but sharp differences
remain with the toughest issues still unresolved. Iran has rejected any deadline
imposed by Western powers. "I remain convinced we can reach a deal. Bits of
progress have been made in the last few days," Jean-Yves Le Drian told BFM TV
and RMC Radio. "We have been reading in a positive direction in the last few
days, but time is of the essence, because if we don't get an accord quickly
there will be nothing to negotiate."The eighth round of talks, the first under
Iran's new hardline President Ebrahim Raisi, resumed on Monday after adding some
new Iranian demands to a working text. Another positive sign this week was the
arrival in Vienna of South Korea's Vice Foreign Minister to discuss with Iran,
the United States and other parties the possible release of $7 billion of frozen
Iranian assets held in the Asian country because of US sanctions. Any release
would need to be approved by Washington. The ministry said in a statement that
the vice minister had agreed with the Iranians that the release of the frozen
assets "should take place in an urgent manner." "It will be discussed at the
sanctions removal working groups in Vienna," an Iranian official said,
clarifying that the funds would not be released immediately. Western powers have
said progress was too slow and negotiators had "weeks not months" left before
the 2015 deal becomes meaningless. Iran refuses to meet directly with US
officials, meaning that other parties - Britain, China, France, Germany and
Russia, must shuttle between the two sides. In an interview with Al Jazeera on
Thursday, Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian also suggested the
situation was positive, but repeated Tehran's position that all sanctions must
be lifted and that Washington should provide guarantees that it will not pull
out again. Little remains of that deal, which lifted sanctions against Tehran in
exchange for restrictions on its atomic activities. Then President Donald Trump
pulled Washington out of it in 2018, re-imposing US sanctions, and Iran later
breached many of the deal's nuclear restrictions and kept pushing well beyond
them.
Assad Calls for Expanding Iran-Led ‘Axis of Resistance’
Damascus - Beirut - London - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022 -
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has called for the expansion of the “axis of
resistance” led by Iran, to include Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and other local
militias. The official Syrian News Agency (SANA) quoted Buthaina Shaaban,
Assad’s special advisor, as saying in a speech she gave on his behalf, that
relations must be established and developed between Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon,
Yemen and Palestine. Shaaban delivered the speech during a ceremony held in
Damascus on Thursday, on the second anniversary of the killing of Iranian
commander Qassem Soleimani in a US raid in Iraq.
Assad underlined the need to “work to strengthen communication, harmony and
integration in this axis.”“The rail and power network between Iran, Iraq and
Syria may be a good start to link the countries of the region with open
relations,” he said, according to the speech conveyed by Shaaban.
Damascus commemorated the second anniversary of Soleimani’s killing in an
official ceremony, and unveiled a memorial in his honor in the countryside of
Aleppo, while no events were held on this occasion last year. Meanwhile, the
Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) said on Thursday that Iran-backed
militias continue to train Syrian fighters in military sites affiliated with the
Fourth Division, which is led by Assad’s brother, Major General Maher al-Assad.
Sources quoted by SOHR noted that the exercises “began three months ago...The
military drills are held under the supervision of Iranian officers and military
personnel.” “Nearly 390 Syrian fighters loyal to regime forces and Fourth
Division have conducted military exercises. However, there has been no confirmed
information about the real aim behind these drills, whether it is a new way of
recruiting Syrians into the ranks of Iranian proxies or for involving them in
fighting and battles for Iranian interests in Syria,” the Observatory said on
its website. On Dec. 31, the Observatory reported that eight Russian helicopters
arrived at Palmyra military airport from Russia’s Hmeimim base in Lattakia
province. It added that a convoy of joint forces of the Fifth Corps and Liwaa
Al-Quds, comprising one hundred soldiers, armored vehicles, and tanks, headed
from Deir Ezzor to Palmyra in eastern Homs countryside, at Russia’ orders. The
convoy was escorted by Russian helicopters. According to SOHR sources, “Russian
forces intend to establish new military posts for the Russian-backed Fifth Corps
and Liwaa Al-Quds in Palmyra city and its desert, with the aim to compete with
Iranian-backed militias, which are also deployed in that region in large
groups.”
Dutch Government Ends Funding for Palestinian NGO over Links to PFLP
The Hague, London- Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022
The Netherlands has suspended funding for the Union of Agricultural Work
Committees (UAWC) after an investigation found individuals’ links to an EU and
US-designated terrorist group. The UAWC, which provides hands-on aid to
Palestinian farmers, is one of six Palestinian civil society groups that Israel
labeled as terrorist organizations in October over accusations of being
affiliated with the left-wing Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP).
It issued a statement in which it said it was “shocked” and “saddened” by the
Dutch government’s decision, which was welcomed by Israel. It stressed that
“this is the first time a government ends its funding for Palestinian civil
society based on political conditionality.” In a letter to the Dutch parliament,
the government said 34 employees of the UAWC were shown to be active in the PLFP
from 2007 to 2020, during which the UAWC received Dutch funding. It conducted an
investigation and found links “at an organizational level,” yet it did not find
any financial connections or “organizational unity with or control by the PFLP.”
It also found that 12 UAWC employees held leadership positions with both UAWC
and PFLP over the same period. The government considered the large number of
board members of UAWC with a dual mandate “particularly worrying.”In July 2020,
the Dutch ministry for foreign trade and development cooperation had ordered a
review following the arrest of two Palestinian employees of the organization.
The now-former employees were accused by Israel of being responsible for an
August 2019 roadside bomb attack that killed a 17-year-old Israeli girl in the
West Bank. They received part of their salaries from the Dutch-funded overhead
costs.
Biden Taps Kurilla to Become Top US Commander for Mideast
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022
A senior Army three-star general with extensive experience in the Iraq and
Afghanistan wars has been nominated to become the top US commander for the
Middle East. President Joe Biden has nominated Army Lt. Gen. Erik Kurilla to
head US Central Command and be promoted to four-star general, according to
multiple US officials. The Senate Armed Services Committee notice says only that
Kurilla has been nominated to become a general, and does not detail which job he
would get if confirmed. But his nomination for US Central Command has been
expected for several months. US officials confirmed the planned job on condition
of anonymity because it has not yet been made public, The Associated Press said.
If confirmed by the Senate, Kurilla would replace Marine Gen. Frank McKenzie,
who has led the command for the past three years and is expected to retire.
Kurilla would take over as the Pentagon continues to try and shift its focus to
the Indo-Pacific and counter a rising China, and to bolster defenses against
Russia in Europe, where Moscow is massing troops near the Ukraine border,
fueling fears of an invasion. The US has withdrawn all forces from Afghanistan
and has now formally shifted its role in Iraq from combat to advising and
assisting the Iraqi forces. But the US strategy to put more emphasis on China
and Russia has been repeatedly stymied by Iran, forcing the Pentagon to maintain
a significant troop presence across the Middle East and cultivate strong
relations with allies in the region.
Kurilla, who is from Elk River, Minnesota, is currently commander of the 18th
Airborne Corps at Fort Bragg, North Carolina, but previously served as the chief
of staff at Central Command, working for McKenzie and, before that, Gen. Joseph
Votel. He graduated from the United States Military Academy at West Point in
1988, and has served multiple tours in Iraq and Afghanistan, commanding
conventional and special operations forces. He commanded a Stryker battalion in
Iraq in 2004, and was shot and wounded. He later was commander of the 75th
Ranger Regiment, overseeing combat teams deploying to Iraq and Afghanistan. He
also served as director of operations at the Joint Special Operations Command
and was commander of the 82nd Airborne Division.
UN Security Council to Meet Monday on N.Korean
Missile Launch
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022
The UN Security Council will meet behind closed doors Monday to discuss the
testing of what North Korea said was a hypersonic missile, according to
diplomatic sources. The meeting was requested by the United States, France and
the United Kingdom -- three of the five permanent members on the Security
Council -- as well as Ireland and Albania, the sources said Thursday. In 2017,
the Security Council unanimously passed three sets of economic sanctions after
North Korea carried out nuclear and missile tests -- a rare showing of unity for
the often gridlocked body, AFP reported.
No joint declaration is expected after Monday's meeting, one diplomat said,
although another added that statements are likely to be issued before or
afterwards. The Korean Central News Agency (KCNA), a state media outlet, said
Wednesday's missile carried a "hypersonic gliding warhead" that "precisely hit a
target 700 km (435 miles) away," without identifying the launcher. The warhead
also demonstrated a "new" capability, moving 120 kilometers laterally after it
detached from the launcher to strike the target, it added. The launch was the
second reported test of what Pyongyang claimed were hypersonic gliding missiles,
after a similar trial last September. The United States, Japan and Canada were
among those quick to condemn Wednesday's launch, stating that it violated
multiple Security Council resolutions and threatened safety in the region as
well as the international community. Pyongyang has argued that the continued
development of its weapons technologies is necessary to defend itself against a
possible American invasion.
Kazakhstan Leader: Constitutional Order Restored
amid Unrest
Asharq Al-Awsat/January, 07/2022
The president of Kazakhstan on Friday declared that constitutional order was
“mainly restored” after the country was engulfed in unprecedented unrest in
recent days. “An anti-terror operation has commenced. Law enforcement agencies
are working hard. Constitutional order has been mainly restored in all regions
of the country. Local authorities are in control of the situation,”
Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was quoted by his spokespeople as saying Friday. The
president added, however, that “terrorists are still using weapons and are
damaging people’s property” and that “counterterrorist actions” should be
continued, said AFP. Kazakhstan is experiencing the worst street protests since
the country gained independence three decades ago. The demonstrations began over
a near-doubling of prices for a type of vehicle fuel and quickly spread across
the country, reflecting wider discontent over the rule of the same party since
independence. Protests have turned extremely violent, with government buildings
set ablaze and dozens of protesters and more than a dozen law enforcement
officers killed. In a concession, the government on Thursday announced a 180-day
price cap on vehicle fuel and a moratorium on utility rate increases. Tokayev
has vacillated between trying to mollify the protesters, including accepting the
resignation of his government, and promising harsh measures to quell the unrest,
which he blamed on “terrorist bands.”
In what was seen as one such measure, the president has called on a Russia-led
military alliance for help. The alliance, the Collective Security Treaty
Organization, includes the former Soviet republics of Kazakhstan, Belarus,
Armenia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan and has started deploying troops to
Kazakhstan for a peacekeeping mission. Kazakh officials have insisted that the
troops will not be fighting the demonstrators.
Japan Extends US Military Support amid China,
N.Korea 'Challenges'
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 7 January, 2022
Japan moved ahead with an expansion of support to US troops as the allies held
top-level talks on Friday over tensions with China and North Korea. US Secretary
of State Antony Blinken announced that the two nations were signing a five-year
extension of the support package provided by Japan for the hosting of around
50,000 US troops on its soil, AFP reported. The new agreement "will invest
greater resources to deepen our military readiness and interoperability,"
Blinken said at the opening of four-way virtual talks between the allies'
foreign and defense chiefs, held Friday Tokyo time.
"Our allies must not only strengthen the tools we have but also develop new
ones," Blinken said Thursday in Washington. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin,
appearing from isolation after a mild case of Covid-19, said the allies were
"evolving our roles and missions to reflect Japan's growing ability to
contribute to regional peace and stability." Japan renounced its right to wage
war after World War II and has since developed a close alliance with Washington,
which is treaty-bound to defend the world's second-largest developed economy.
Tokyo pays the costs of the US forces in the country as well as utilities. A
previous agreement was set to expire in March 2021 but was extended for a year
amid a change of administration in Washington. According to Japanese press
reports, the new five-year package will amount to 211 billion yen ($1.8 billion)
per fiscal year, an increase of about five percent. The package comes amid
growing tensions with China, which has stepped up incursions near Taiwan, a
self-ruling democracy that enjoys close ties with Washington and Tokyo but which
Beijing considers a province awaiting reunification. "Beijing's provocative
actions keep raising tensions across the Taiwan Strait and in the East and South
China Sea," Blinken said. He also described North Korea's missile programs as an
"ongoing threat" after Pyongyang fired a suspected ballistic missile into the
sea. A joint statement issued after the talks took aim at "efforts by China to
undermine the rules-based order," with specific reference to activity in the
East and South China Seas. The allies also expressed "serious and ongoing
concerns" about rights violations in China's Xinjiang region and Hong Kong, and
called for "peace and stability" in the Taiwan Strait. Japan's Foreign Minister
Yoshimasa Hayashi told reporters later that he again raised the issue of Covid
clusters on US bases, which are believed to have spilled over into local
communities in several areas. Japan's government is expected to approve Friday
new virus restrictions in three regions that host US bases, and Hayashi said he
had urged "the US side to strengthen anti-infection measures including efforts
like introducing limits on off-base outings".
Sidney Poitier, Oscar-winning actor and Hollywood's
first Black movie star, dies at 94
CNN/January 07/2022
Sidney Poitier, whose elegant bearing and principled onscreen characters made
him Hollywood's first Black movie star and the first Black man to win the best
actor Oscar, has died. He was 94. Clint Watson, press secretary for the Prime
Minister of the Bahamas, confirmed to CNN that Poitier died Thursday
evening.Poitier overcame an impoverished background in the Bahamas and a thick
island accent to rise to the top of his profession at a time when prominent
roles for Black actors were rare. He won the Oscar for 1963's "Lilies of the
Field," in which he played an itinerant laborer who helps a group of White nuns
build a chapel.
Canada/Statement on protests in Kazakhstan
January 6, 2022 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today issued the
following statement:
“Canada is closely monitoring the situation in Kazakhstan. We emphasize the
importance of upholding democratic values, respecting human rights, and
refraining from violence and destruction.
“We extend our condolences to those grieving the lives that have already been
lost.
“Canada calls for restraint and de-escalation. We urge that the situation in
Kazakhstan be resolved quickly and through peaceful dialogue.
Government of Canada honours victims on the second
National Day of Remembrance for Victims of Air Disasters
January 7, 2022 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
Tomorrow marks two years since the downing of Ukraine International Airlines
Flight 752 (Flight PS752), as well as the second National Day of Remembrance for
Victims of Air Disasters. On this solemn occasion, we remember the victims of
all air disasters, including Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 (Flight ET302),
Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 and Air India Flight 182, and stand in solidarity
with all those who have lost loved ones to air disasters.
Canada continues to work with our International Coordination and Response Group
partners—the United Kingdom, Sweden, and Ukraine—to ensure justice and
accountability for the victims of the passengers and crew aboard Flight PS752.
We stand in solidarity with the victim’s loved ones and are determined to hold
Iran accountable for the downing by their military forces and to ensure Iran
makes full reparations for the acts and omissions that led to the deaths of 176
innocent people.
Today, the Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs; the Honourable
Omar Alghabra, Minister of Transport; the Honourable Sean Fraser, Minister of
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship, along with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
and High Commissioner Ralph Goodale, met with family members of victims of
Flight PS752 to reiterate their commitment to justice and inform them of
progress made to date.
In support of the families of victims of air disasters, the Government of Canada
is delivering on several commitments.
Building on previously implemented measures to support families of the victims
of Flight ET302 and Flight PS752, the government is developing a new pathway to
permanent residence for certain family members that are outside Canada. We
recognize that victims who were Canadian citizens, permanent residents or were
approved to become permanent residents would have had the opportunity to build a
life here in Canada with their families. The two permanent residence pathways
honour their memory and support family members in Canada who have lost their
loved ones.
Based on the feedback received during the consultations with family members and
loved ones, the government will proceed with the formal establishment of a
scholarship program in memory of victims of Flight PS752. The program is
expected to disburse 176 scholarships averaging $25,000 for each beneficiary.
This program will also strengthen the bonds between people through international
academic exchanges. Open to both international and Canadian students, the
program will aim to launch its first call for applications in the fall/winter of
2023 to 2024. In the coming weeks, the government will consult Flight ET302
family members on the scope and details of a similar scholarship initiative to
honour those lost in this air disaster.
Additionally, the Government of Canada is launching a public consultation on a
memorial in remembrance of those who have lost their lives in air disasters.
Families and members of the public are invited to share their thoughts on the
creation of a physical tribute for meaningful commemoration.
Finally, the Government of Canada is advancing the Safer Skies Initiative,
working with our international partners to ensure the safety of civilian
aircraft travelling in conflict zones. Canada is also working with its partners
to review the International Civil Aviation Organization’s (ICAO) aircraft
accident investigations framework.
Together, these actions pay homage to the victims of air disasters and help to
ensure that no one suffers such loss in the future. Canada will continue to
remember those who were lost, and stand in solidarity with the people they
loved. They will not be forgotten.
Quotes
“Too many Canadians’ lives were forever changed by the loss of a loved one in an
air disaster. Most recently, Canadians were amongst the victims of the downing
of Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 and the Ethiopian Airlines Flight
302 crash. We will continue to stand by the families of victims, and through the
scholarship program and commemoration tribute, we will continue to remember and
honour their legacies.”
– The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs
“Canada honours the victims of air disasters and continues to support the
families of those who perished in Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 and Ukraine
International Airlines Flight 752. To help families of the victims, we have
implemented a new permanent residence pathway for certain families in Canada,
and we continue to work on establishing a pathway to permanent residence for
certain families who are outside Canada. More details on this new pathway will
be announced in the coming months.”
– The Honourable Sean Fraser, Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship
“Air disasters have taken the lives of too many Canadians and left many families
grieving the loss of their loved ones. Today, we are announcing a public
consultation on how we can best pay tribute and remember those who have lost
their lives in an air tragedy. Participation in this survey will ensure we
create a meaningful and permanent place where families and those impacted by air
disasters are able to find some comfort and peace.”
– The Honourable Pablo Rodriquez, Minister of Canadian Heritage
“We are working with our partners to help ensure air disasters, like Ukraine
International Airlines Flight 752 and Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302, never
happen again. At the same time, we need to honour the memories of those who lost
their lives. As we mark the second National Day of Remembrance for Victims of
Air Disasters, we continue to grieve with their families and remember the loved
ones lost.”
– The Honourable Omar Alghabra, Minister of Transport
Quick facts
Following the air disaster of flight PS752, the government enacted policy
measures to issue temporary resident visas to victims’ families who needed to
come to Canada to settle affairs. Given the COVID‑19 pandemic, and the inability
of some to travel, the government extended this policy. As of November 30, 2021,
240 individuals have been issued temporary resident visas under this public
policy.
On May 13, 2021, the government announced a permanent residence pathway for
in-Canada families of victims of air disasters ET302 and PS752. As of November
30, 2021, 75 individuals have been approved for permanent residence under this
pathway. A new permanent residence pathway for certain families who are outside
Canada will be launched in the coming months.
The Safer Skies Initiative allows countries to work together to share
information, advice, warnings, and best practices to better identify and manage
risks to civil aviation in or near conflict zones. The initiative aims to
develop better risk assessments, effective safeguards, and clear accountability
for authorities who manage airspace.
From March 29 to 30, 2022, Canada will host the second Safer Skies Forum,
bringing together experts from many countries, international organizations, and
the civil aviation industry.
The public consulation on the physical tribute will run from January 7 to
February 7, 2022. A summary of the results will be made available on the
Canadian Heritage website. It will inform the vision and objectives of the
commemoration.
Physical tributes can take many forms—monuments, plaques, commemorative gardens,
and more—and should resonate with the affected citizens and be a permanent
public space for reflection and contemplation.
In October 2021, Canada secured the support of 55 contracting states on our
proposal to review the investigation framework through a dedicated ICAO panel.
In addition, Transport Canada recently established a dedicated unit to review
and identify other opportunities to reform protocols for aircraft accident
investigations and to secure broader international support in these efforts.
Associated links
Consultation on physical tribute in remembrance of those who have lost their
lives in an air tragedy
In-Canada families of Canadian victims of recent air disasters public policy
Canada’s response to Ukraine International Airlines Flight PS752 tragedy
Statement by the Prime Minister announcing National Day of Remembrance for
Victims of Air Disasters
The Latest The Latest LCCC English
analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on January 07-08/2022
شارل الياس الشارتوني : الأمور المستحيلة لإعادة بناء
النظام السياسي في الشرق الأوسط
The Imponderables of a Reconstructed Political Order in the Middle East
Charles Elias Chartouni /January 07/2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/105405/105405/
Observers of the Middle Eastern political scenery have to reckon with the
inability of this region to rebuild its systemic equilibriums, recast the matrix
of Statenness, recover a modicum of self determination away from crashing
imperial politics, address effectively the problems of national cohesion,
diffuse political unruliness, functional governance, and inherent incapacity to
manage the dilemmas of ethno-political pluralism and its political imperatives,
let alone the aporias of democratization. Lebanon, two and a half years after
the unleashing of the severest crisis of governance it has ever experienced, is
still struggling with deliberate oligarchic foreclosures, malevolence insofar as
tackling the interlocking financial, economic, social and environmental muddle,
and its instrumentalization by a vocal subversion policy structured on the
intersection between Iran’s Shiite imperial policy all across the larger Middle
East, the disintegration of the centennial regional order which succeeded the
demise of the Ottoman Empire, and the spawning patterns of economic delinquency
and underground economies steered by Muslim autocracies, criminal oligarchies
and terrorist movements (The cases of Iran, Turkey, ISIS, Hezbollah, autocrats
and political oligarchs throughout the region….).
Syria has become a typical case study of State failure, protracted conflicts,
irreconcilable differences and a platform for clashing power politics, Iraq,
Lybia and Yemen are camping on the thresholds of combustible ethno-religious,
strategic and ideological faultlines, and the chances of negotiated conflict
resolution, moral atonement and reconciliation politics are not only remote and
idle yearnings, but have no incidence whatsoever on the nuts and bolts of
clashing power politics, where none of the aforementioned predicates has an
incidence. The ethno-political differences and their dynamics are unlikely to
adjust around the norms of democratic conflict resolution and nomothetic rules
of politics, and convey a scenario of rowdy power politics and raw brutality
with no alternative perspective whatsoever. The overlapping political, financial
and economic crises and their overall deleterious impact on the respective
societies in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Turkey, coupled with the colliding Islamic
imperialisms and the disarraying dynamics of the monumental unraveling which
undermined the interstate system and its widespread geopolitical reverberations,
have left no room for political rationality, discursive arrangements and ethical
considerations, and led inevitably to the nihilistic drifts that prevail over
the region.
The militarization scenarios are functional equivalents of political failures,
rampant strategic voids, expanding anomie, and the destruction of the rudiments
of a civilized political order which account for this state of institutional
violence and lingering warfare.The resurgent Cold War, its geopolitical mapping
and projected evolutions (e.g, Ukraine, Iran, Taiwan, Venezuela, Turkey, Iraq,
Yemen, Lybia…), strategic black holes, subversion politics and attempts at
creating a countervailing international political order have complicated the
configuration, disrupted the order of priorities and prompted various scenarios
of chaos, structural instability, open ended violence, demographic shifts
through forced migration and displacement, whose compounded effects have yielded
the rise of Islamist terrorism, the regeneration of Islamic imperialism and
their detrimental impact on the Western hosting countries and their underlying
social contracts, normative and institutional consensuses. The state of void
cannot perdure without putting at stake the future peace regionally and across
various geopolitical divides (extending between South and Central Asia and the
European limes), consolidating the disarraying dynamics, and yielding a context
of endemic instability that compromises the ultimate need for a viable
geopolitical political order.
Four Mideast trend lines to watch in 2022
Jonathan Spyer/Jerusalem Post/January 07/2022
BEHIND THE LINES: The perception that the US is drawing down in the region is
leading to cracks and fissures in the pro-Western camp.
As 2022 begins, the Middle East strategic picture is in a state of flux and
change. Stable and long-held assumptions about the region – its dynamics, its
main players and its power structures – are being challenged.
So what are the main points of friction? Here are four emergent trend lines
worth watching.
In Israel, it became customary in recent years to identify a number of rival
camps operating against one another in the Middle East. Four main blocs or
alliances were identified.
These were: 1. the Iranians and their allies and proxies; 2. a loose gathering
of US-aligned countries, including Israel, Egypt, Jordan, the United Arab
Emirates, Saudi Arabia and a number of smaller players; 3. a gathering of
countries and movements identified with conservative Sunni political Islam,
including Turkey, Qatar, the Government of National Accord in Libya and the
Hamas enclave in Gaza; and 4. the regional networks of Salafi jihadi political
Islam – namely, al-Qaeda and Islamic State.
With the start of 2022, however, it is clear that this picture no longer
conforms in its entirety to the observable dynamics of the region. What has
changed?
THE PERCEPTION that the US is drawing down in the region is leading to cracks
and fissures in the pro-Western camp.
The picture here is not a simple one. The Abraham Accords signed in August 2020
between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain were a breakthrough of profound importance
for regional diplomacy. On the economic level, the accords have been a success.
Trade between Israel and the UAE moved forward at an impressive pace, standing
at $610 million at the half-year point, and nudging $1 billion by the end of the
year. Flagship and groundbreaking initiatives, such as the Emirati-brokered
cooperation agreement between Israel and Jordan in November 2021, were made
possible through the accords.
But on the strategic level, things aren’t quite so rosy. US regional drawdown is
the key issue here.
The Emiratis and other Gulf countries noted in recent years the US failure to
back allied governments in Egypt and Tunisia at the start of the Arab Spring;
failure to enforce redlines and back allies in Syria from 2012-19; failure to
respond to Iranian harassment of Emirati and Saudi vessels in the Gulf of Oman
in 2019; nonresponse to the drone and missile attack on Saudi oil processing
facilities at Abqaiq and Khurais on September 14, 2019, and to the downing of a
US drone in June of that year.
The hasty withdrawal from Afghanistan in the summer of 2021 confirmed the
picture. The US wishes to avoid further major commitments in the region.
The response of Gulf countries has been to abandon notions of a power bloc to
rival the advance of the Iranians – the main anti-status quo force in the
region. Instead, efforts were underway in 2021 by the UAE and Saudi Arabia to
repair relations with Tehran, and thus “hedge” between Tehran and its enemies.
Israel, which also observes the process of US drawdown with concern, does not
have the option of appeasing Iran. Tehran is committed to the Jewish state’s
destruction. As 2022 begins, with negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program going
nowhere in Vienna, the emerging picture is one in which Israel is somewhat
isolated as it prepares a possible military option against Iran’s nuclear
program, and continues its shadow war against Iranian influence building across
the region.
Will this solitude continue across the coming year, or will the Gulf countries,
disappointed in their overtures toward Iran, form up with Israel for
confrontation with Tehran?
The issue has relevance for Syria, too, where Israel’s campaign against Iranian
advances continues, even as the major Arab countries seek the rehabilitation of
the Assad regime.
THE IRANIANS are facing dilemmas of their own.
The years 2020 and 2021 showed the limits of the IRGC/Quds Force’s model for
building influence through proxies in the Arab world.
Iran’s militia franchises remained dominant in Lebanon, ascendant in Iraq and
active on the ground in Syria and Yemen. But the results of the presence of
these militias for social and economic development were also becoming apparent.
In Lebanon, the withdrawal of economic engagement as a result of Hezbollah’s
domination of public life is bringing the country close to collapse.
Iraq, and Iran itself, in Isfahan and elsewhere, witnessed major protests
against economic mismanagement and impoverishment over the last year.
Iran has no economic model to propose, and no clear answer to the identifiable
economic decline and disruption that its political model brings.
Will this lead to further protests and instability in the Iranian zones of
influence in 2022? Worth watching carefully.
FOR THE Salafi jihadis, it has been a lean couple of years.
The “caliphate” in Syria and Iraq is already a fading memory – destroyed by US
airpower and Kurdish and Iraqi ground forces in 2019. ISIS remains a disruptive
presence in remote Sunni areas of both countries, but little more.
The erstwhile al-Qaeda franchise in Syria, meanwhile, has been co-opted by the
Turks and is today dependent on their presence for its survival.
But the West’s withdrawal from Afghanistan may offer a glimmer of hope to the
Salafists. Taliban rule in Kabul opens up the possibility of a new center for
recruitment, organization and planning for both al-Qaeda and, in particular,
Islamic State.
The latter maintains a powerful franchise in Afghanistan, known as Islamic State
– Khorasan Province, or IS-K. This structure is currently engaged in a campaign
of daily bombings and attacks against the Taliban authorities. It now has a
presence in all of Afghanistan’s provinces.
Testifying to the US Congress in late October 2021, Colin Kahl, undersecretary
of defense for policy, predicted that IS-K could develop the capacity for
carrying out attacks on foreign targets within “six or 12 months.”
Large and disaffected Sunni populations remain in the important countries of the
Arab world. Political Islam has been tarnished over the last decade by its
disastrous experiences in government in Egypt, and as a quasi state in parts of
Iraq and Syria. At the same time, no rival ideology has emerged to replace it on
the popular level.
Afghanistan’s reemergence as a possible incubator for a revived
transnational-terrorist force is a significant development.
LASTLY, AND perhaps most fatefully, the question of China and its preferred path
in the Middle East looms over the region.
Geopolitics abhors a vacuum. As the US lightens its regional footprint, China is
emerging as an increasingly significant source of power and influence in the
Middle East. The region is a vital hub in Xi Jinping’s Belt and Road Initiative,
intended to create a series of interlinked, China-dominated trade routes across
the globe.
The question is: what form will Chinese regional engagement take? Will Beijing
continue to trade with all sides, confident that its size and power precludes
the need for picking allies among the competing elements? Or will the emergent
US-China Cold War find its way inevitably into the Middle East, too?
There is no definitive answer yet. Iran, Saudi Arabia, Israel and the UAE all
enjoy burgeoning trade relationships with Beijing. A new terminal at Haifa Port,
operated by the state-owned Shanghai International Port Group, was inaugurated
in September 2021.
But there are warning signs on the horizon, too – 2021 saw Iran gaining approval
for its full membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. On March 27,
2021, China and Iran signed a 25-year strategic agreement, intended to lead to
$400b. of Chinese investment in the Iranian economy.
In Israel, the emerging area of deep concern is increased military cooperation
between Iran and China.
In a recent article published at the INSS think tank in Tel Aviv, Brig.-Gen.
(ret.) Assaf Orion noted: “The strategic agreement between China and Iran, to
the extent that the draft reflects the final version, outlines a zone of
agreement on cooperation in intelligence, cyberwarfare, precision navigation
systems, weapons research and development and military training and
instruction.”
Orion described this prospect as “alarming” for Israel. This trend, too, is one
to carefully watch in 2022.
The global strategic pillars are currently in motion. Will the coming period
bring renewed equilibrium or further crisis? An interesting year lies ahead for
the Middle East.
Exposing the Lie of Israel Apartheid
Richard Kemp/Gatestone Institute/January 07/2022
The breakdown in Israel-Soviet relations was later compounded by Israel's
defensive victories against the Arabs in 1967 and again in 1973. Over this
period all hope of Israel becoming a Soviet client had steadily evaporated. Arab
armies sponsored, trained and equipped by the USSR had been humiliated, and so
had Moscow. Thus the Soviets progressively developed a policy of undermining
Israel. Their primary objective was to use the country as a weapon in their Cold
War struggle against the US and the West.
"We needed to instil a Nazi-style hatred for the Jews throughout the Islamic
world, and to turn this weapon of the emotions into a terrorist bloodbath
against Israel and its main supporter, the United States." — Yuri Andropov,
Chairman of the Soviet KGB, later General Secretary of the Soviet Communist
Party, as reported by General Ion Pacepa, former chief of Romania's intelligence
services.
As well as mobilising the Arabs to the Soviet cause, Andropov and his KGB
colleagues needed to appeal to the democratic world. To do so, the Kremlin
decided to turn the conflict from one that sought simply to destroy Israel into
a struggle for human rights and national liberation from an illegitimate
American-sponsored imperialist occupier. They set about transforming the
narrative of the conflict from religious jihad — in which Islamic doctrine
demands that any land that has ever been under Muslim control must be regained
for Islam — to secular nationalism and political self-determination, something
far more palatable to Western democracies. This would provide cover for a
vicious terrorist war, even garnering widespread support for it.
To achieve their goal, the Soviets had to create a Palestinian national identity
that did not hitherto exist and a narrative that Jews had no rights to the land
and were naked aggressors. According to Pacepa, the KGB created the Palestine
Liberation Organization (PLO) in the early 1960s, as they had also orchestrated
so-called national liberation armies in several other parts of the world. He
says the 1964 Palestinian National Charter was drafted in Moscow. This document
was fundamental to the invention and establishment of an artificial Palestinian
nationhood.
The details of Moscow-sponsored terrorist operations in the Middle East and
elsewhere are set out in 25,000 pages of KGB documents copied and then smuggled
out of Russia in the early 1990s by senior KGB archivist Vasili Mitrokhin and
now lodged in the UK, at Churchill College, Cambridge.
The initial charter did not claim the West Bank or the Gaza Strip for
"Palestine". In fact, it explicitly repudiated any rights to these lands,
falsely recognising them respectively as Jordanian and Egyptian sovereign
territories. Instead, the PLO claim was to the rest of Israel. This was amended
after the 1967 war when Israel ejected the illegal Jordanian and Egyptian
occupiers, and the West Bank and Gaza for the first time were re-branded as
Palestinian territory.
Moscow first took its campaign to brand Israeli Jews as the oppressors of their
invented "Palestinian people" to the UN in 1965. Their attempts to categorise
Zionism as racism failed at that attempt but succeeded nearly a decade later in
the infamous UN General Assembly Resolution 3379.
Zuheir Mohsen, a senior PLO leader, admitted in 1977: "The Palestinian people do
not exist. The creation of a Palestinian state is only a means for continuing
our struggle against the state of Israel for our Arab unity... Only for
political and tactical reasons do we speak today about the existence of a
Palestinian people, since Arab national interests demand that we posit the
existence of a distinct 'Palestinian people' to oppose Zionism. Yes, the
existence of a separate Palestinian identity exists only for tactical reasons."
The Mitrokhin documents show that both Yasser Arafat, and his successor as PLO
chief, Mahmoud Abbas, now President of the Palestinian Authority, were KGB
agents. Both were instrumental in the KGB's disinformation operations as well as
its terrorist campaigns.
For his dealings with Washington, Ceaușescu told Arafat in 1978: "You simply
have to keep on pretending that you'll break with terrorism and that you'll
recognize Israel — over, and over, and over."
Ceaușescu's advice was reinforced by North Vietnamese communist General Vo
Nguyen Giap, whom Arafat met several times: "Stop talking about annihilating
Israel and instead turn your terror war into a struggle for human rights. Then
you will have the American people eating out of your hand".
Like his predecessor Arafat, Abbas's consistent rejection of every offer of
peace with Israel, while concurrently talking the talk about peace and while
sponsoring terrorism, shows the continuing influence of his Soviet masters.
Meanwhile the Palestinian movement created by Moscow, in the words of American
historian David Meir-Levi, is "the only national movement for political
self-determination in the entire world, and across all of world history, to have
the destruction of a sovereign state and the genocide of a people as its only
raison d'être."
Moscow's campaign was significantly undermined by the 2020 rapprochement between
Israel and Arab states. The lesson here is the importance of American political
will against authoritarian propaganda, which led to the game-changing Abraham
Accords.
The Soviet Union progressively developed a policy of undermining Israel. Their
primary objective was to use the country as a weapon in their Cold War struggle
against the US and the West. To achieve their goal, the Soviets had to create a
Palestinian national identity that did not hitherto exist and a narrative that
Jews had no rights to the land and were naked aggressors. According to General
Ion Pacepa, former chief of Romania's intelligence services, the KGB created the
Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) in the early 1960s. Pictured: PLO
Chairman Yasser Arafat (right) lays a wreath at the Lenin Mausoleum during his
12th visit in Moscow, on August 30, 1977.
Last month the UN General Assembly re-affirmed its implacable hostility to one
of its own member states. It voted overwhelmingly — 125-8, with 34 abstentions —
to fund an unprecedented permanent Human Rights Council (UNHRC) commission of
inquiry (COI) into allegations of war crimes and human rights abuse by Israel.
Taxpayers' funds will pay an eyewatering $5.5 million budget in the first year
alone, well over twice that of the UNHRC commission investigating the Syrian
civil war.
Since its creation in 2006, the council has established 32 inquiries, nine of
which — one-third — have focused entirely on Israel. But this latest COI is the
first open-ended inquiry it has set up. It has no time-limit and no restriction
on its scope. The US voted against the move, saying it "perpetuates a practice
of unfairly singling out Israel in the UN". Among the abstainers was Australia,
whose representative said, with characteristic plain-speaking: "We oppose
anti-Israel bias".
As the US, Australia and others fear, it is inevitable that Israel will be
falsely pronounced guilty of the "systematic discrimination and repression based
on national, ethnic, racial or religious identity" that the COI says it will
probe.
I understand the COI plans to explicitly brand Israel an "apartheid state". This
lie will be taken up across the world, fuelling antisemitic hatred against Jews
everywhere. It will contribute to what Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid
described this week as an imminent debate "unprecedented in its venom, or in its
radioactivity, around the words, 'Israel as an apartheid state'."
The lie of "Israeli apartheid" was dreamt up in Moscow during the Cold War and
driven home by a relentless Soviet propaganda campaign until it took hold in the
UN and across the Middle East and the West. This included the repeated
comparison of Israel with South Africa in the Soviet media and in books such as
"Zionism and Apartheid", an official state publication of Ukraine, then part of
the Soviet Union.
The sometimes naive, sometimes malign students who will again be holding their
poisonous "Israel apartheid week" at universities across the globe this year
will be parroting the same Soviet propaganda as their predecessors have done for
decades. They, and many other Israel-haters use the apartheid slogan regardless
of the reality that under no rational measure can Israel be considered an
apartheid state. They do so because its meaning is easily understood, it
disgusts people and rallies them to the anti-Israel cause. That is why it was
invented by Moscow.
The apartheid smear is just one part of the greatest slur campaign in history,
organized over many years against Israel by the Kremlin with the KGB in the
lead, utilising the formidable resources of intelligence services of the USSR.
It was perhaps the most successful disinformation campaign — of many — in Soviet
history. It endures and gains strength even today, more than 50 years after it
was first conceived and 30 years after the USSR collapsed.
It is worth understanding how this malevolent project originated and evolved,
not only to help defend against the continuing political warfare waged on Israel
and Jews, but also as a case study for the ongoing disinformation campaigns
against the West by authoritarian states such as Russia, China and Iran. To gain
even a superficial insight into this carefully contrived scheme we must take a
trip back into history.
When Israel was re-established in 1948, following UN General Assembly Resolution
181, the new state initially pursued a policy of non-alignment. Surrounded by
enemies, it needed economic support and arms from either or both the USA and
USSR or their allies. Given the socialist political influences in Israel, the
Soviet leadership expected the country would turn towards communism and align
with the USSR, thus strengthening Soviet power in the Middle East and its wider
competition with the West. One of Stalin's main reasons for quickly recognising
Israel in 1948 was the intention to use it to undermine British dominion in the
Middle East.
Even with significant Soviet covert and overt efforts to lure Israel into its
fold, this may have been a vain hope from the beginning. In any case, the
pressures of the Cold War in the 1950s, as well as domestic political
considerations and concerns over antisemitism inside the Soviet Union, led
Israeli prime minister David Ben Gurion to align his country with the West,
beginning with support for US-led UN intervention in Korea, against the Soviet
will.
Israel's participation with the UK and France in the 1956 Suez campaign further
alienated the Soviet government, which wrote a letter to Jerusalem (as well as
to Paris and London) threatening rocket attacks and promising direct military
support to the Egyptian army.
The breakdown in Israel-Soviet relations was later compounded by Israel's
defensive victories against the Arabs in 1967 and again in 1973. Over this
period, all hope of Israel becoming a Soviet client had steadily evaporated.
Arab armies sponsored, trained and equipped by the USSR had been humiliated, and
so had Moscow. Thus the Soviets progressively developed a policy of undermining
Israel. Their primary objective was to use the country as a weapon in their Cold
War struggle against the US and the West.
The Kremlin understood that conventional attacks against Israel could not
succeed, so instead focused on using Arabs as terrorist proxies, directing,
training, funding and arming groups like the Popular Front for the Liberation of
Palestine (PFLP), PFLP-General Command (PFLP-GC), Democratic Front for the
Liberation of Palestine (DFLP) and Fatah to carry out attacks against Israeli
and Jewish targets, including wave after wave of aircraft hijacking.
The Soviets employed the same terrorist tactics elsewhere, including in Europe,
using proxies such as Baader-Meinhof and the Red Army Factions. The details of
Moscow-sponsored terrorist operations in the Middle East and elsewhere are set
out in 25,000 pages of KGB documents copied and then smuggled out of Russia in
the early 1990s by senior KGB archivist Vasili Mitrokhin and now lodged in the
UK, at Churchill College, Cambridge.
General Ion Pacepa, chief of Romania's foreign intelligence service, played a
significant role in Soviet bloc operations directed against Israel and the US.
In 1978 he became the highest-ranking intelligence officer ever to defect from
the Soviet sphere and, among many secret revelations, provided details of KGB
operations against Israel.
Pacepa says the chairman of the KGB, Yuri Andropov (later Brezhnev's successor
as General Secretary of the Soviet Communist Party), told him:
"We needed to instil a Nazi-style hatred for the Jews throughout the Islamic
world, and to turn this weapon of the emotions into a terrorist bloodbath
against Israel and its main supporter, the United States."
An important element of Moscow's anti-Israel/US campaign in the Middle East was
a propaganda war. Andropov told Pacepa:
"Islam was obsessed with preventing the infidels' occupation of its territory,
and it would be highly receptive to our characterization of the US Congress as a
rapacious Zionist body aiming to turn the world into a Jewish fiefdom."
In other words, he knew that the Arabs would be easy tools in the anti-Israel
propaganda war and were already playing their part. Their work only needed to be
focused, intensified and funded.
To achieve its objectives, the Kremlin devised Operation SIG, a disinformation
campaign intended "to turn the whole Islamic world against Israel and the US".
Pacepa reported that by 1978, under Operation SIG, the KGB had sent some 4,000
Soviet bloc "agents of influence" into Islamic countries to help achieve this.
They also printed and circulated vast amounts of anti-Israel and anti-Jewish
propaganda, translated into Arabic.
This included the "Protocols of the Elders of Zion", a fabricated antisemitic
text setting out supposedly secret plans of the Jews to rule the world by
manipulating the economy, controlling the media and fostering religious
conflict. It was written by agents of the Tsarist secret police and subsequently
used by the Nazis in their antisemitic propaganda.
As well as mobilising the Arabs to the Soviet cause, Andropov and his KGB
colleagues needed to appeal to the democratic world. To do so, the Kremlin
decided to turn the conflict from one that sought simply to destroy Israel into
a struggle for human rights and national liberation from an illegitimate
American-sponsored imperialist occupier. They set about transforming the
narrative of the conflict from religious jihad — in which Islamic doctrine
demands that any land that has ever been under Muslim control must be regained
for Islam — to secular nationalism and political self-determination, something
far more palatable to Western democracies. This would provide cover for a
vicious terrorist war, even garnering widespread support for it.
To achieve their goal, the Soviets had to create a Palestinian national identity
that did not hitherto exist and a narrative that Jews had no rights to the land
and were naked aggressors. According to Pacepa, the KGB created the Palestine
Liberation Organization (PLO) in the early 1960s, as they had also orchestrated
so-called national liberation armies in several other parts of the world. He
says the 1964 Palestinian National Charter was drafted in Moscow. This document
was fundamental to the invention and establishment of an artificial Palestinian
nationhood.
The initial charter did not claim the West Bank or the Gaza Strip for
"Palestine". In fact, it explicitly repudiated any rights to these lands,
falsely recognising them respectively as Jordanian and Egyptian sovereign
territories. Instead, the PLO claim was to the rest of Israel. This was amended
after the 1967 war, when Israel ejected the illegal Jordanian and Egyptian
occupiers, and the West Bank and Gaza for the first time were re-branded as
Palestinian territory.
The first mention of a "Palestinian people" to mean Arabs in Palestine appeared
in the 1964 charter. Previously, and particularly during the League of Nations
Mandate for Palestine 1919-1948, "Palestinians" had been commonly used to
describe Jews living in the territory.
Zuheir Mohsen, a senior PLO leader, admitted in 1977:
"The Palestinian people do not exist. The creation of a Palestinian state is
only a means for continuing our struggle against the state of Israel for our
Arab unity... Only for political and tactical reasons do we speak today about
the existence of a Palestinian people, since Arab national interests demand that
we posit the existence of a distinct 'Palestinian people' to oppose Zionism.
Yes, the existence of a separate Palestinian identity exists only for tactical
reasons."
This reality has been publicly supported, sometimes inadvertently, in statements
by several other Palestinian leaders. Quoted by Alan Hart in his 1984 book,
"Arafat: A Political Biography", PLO leader Yasser Arafat himself said:
"The Palestinian people have no national identity. I, Yasir Arafat, man of
destiny, will give them that identity through conflict with Israel."
Moscow first took its campaign to brand Israeli Jews as the oppressors of their
invented "Palestinian people" to the UN in 1965. Their attempts to categorise
Zionism as racism failed at that attempt but succeeded almost a decade later in
the infamous UN General Assembly Resolution 3379. Its determination that
"Zionism is a form of racism and racial discrimination" was revoked under US
pressure in 1991 but by then had gained great traction and is frequently cited
today by anti-Israel campaigners.
The Mitrokhin documents show that both Yasser Arafat, and his successor as PLO
chief, Mahmoud Abbas, now President of the Palestinian Authority, were KGB
agents. Both were instrumental in the KGB's disinformation operations as well as
its terrorist campaigns.
Moscow, through Egypt, had installed Arafat as leader of the PLO in 1969 and its
support kept him there in the face of internal dissent following the PLO's
expulsion from Jordan in 1970. According to Pacepa:
"In 1969 the KGB asked Arafat to declare war on American 'imperial-Zionism'...
It appealed to him so much, Arafat later claimed to have invented the
imperial-Zionist battle cry. But in fact, 'imperial-Zionism' was a Moscow
invention, a modern adaptation of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion and long a
favorite tool of Russian intelligence to foment ethnic hatred. The KGB always
regarded anti-Semitism plus anti-imperialism as a rich source of
anti-Americanism...."
Moscow had assigned to Romania the task of supporting the PLO, and Pacepa was
Arafat's handler during his KGB career. He provided Arafat with $200,000 of
laundered cash every month throughout the 1970s. Pacepa also facilitated
Arafat's relationship with Romanian President Nicolae Ceaușescu, a master
propagandist who had been given the job of schooling him in hoodwinking the
West. For his dealings with Washington, Ceaușescu told Arafat in 1978: "You
simply have to keep on pretending that you'll break with terrorism and that
you'll recognize Israel — over, and over, and over."
Ceaușescu's advice was reinforced by North Vietnamese communist General Vo
Nguyen Giap, whom Arafat met several times: "Stop talking about annihilating
Israel and instead turn your terror war into a struggle for human rights. Then
you will have the American people eating out of your hand". (David Meir-Levi,
"History Upside Down: The Roots of Palestinian Fascism and the Myth of Israeli
Aggression")
An internal KGB document among the Mitrokhin archives reported: "Krotov [Mahmoud
Abbas's cover-name] is an agent of the KGB." The KGB definition of agents is:
those who "consistently, systematically and covertly carry out intelligence
assignments, while maintaining secret contact with an official in the agency."
Among other tasks, Abbas was used by the KGB to spread propaganda accusing
"Western Imperialism and Zionism" of cooperating with the Nazis. He attended a
Moscow university controlled by the KGB in the early 1980s.There, under the
supervision of his professor who later became a senior communist politician,
Abbas wrote a doctoral dissertation denying the Holocaust and accusing Zionists
of assisting Hitler.
Abbas is now entering the 18th year of his four-year elected term of office.
Like his predecessor Arafat, his consistent rejection of every offer of peace
with Israel, while concurrently talking the talk about peace and sponsoring
terrorism, shows the residual influence of his Soviet masters.
The KGB disinformation campaign transformed the image of Israel from regional
underdogs, surrounded by powerful enemies, into widely hated colonialist
oppressors and occupiers of the downtrodden Palestinian people, a narrative that
remains as strong as ever today.
Meanwhile the Palestinian movement created by Moscow, in the words of American
historian David Meir-Levi, is "the only national movement for political
self-determination in the entire world, and across all of world history, to have
the destruction of a sovereign state and the genocide of a people as its only
raison d'etre." This remains explicit in Hamas's charter, while somewhat more
opaque in the Soviet-influenced utterances of Abbas's Palestinian Authority,
especially those directed towards the West.
Moscow's campaign was significantly undermined by the 2020 rapprochement between
Israel and several Arab states. The lesson here is the importance of American
political will against authoritarian propaganda, which led to the game-changing
Abraham Accords. Had this project been vigorously pursued after its initial
success, it might have eventually led to the collapse of the Soviet-initiated
Palestinian project and perhaps a form of peace between Israel and the
Palestinian Arabs. It might yet achieve that if the US again musters the resolve
to carry it through.
Meanwhile the December UN General Assembly vote and the Human Rights Council's
determination to brand Israel a racist, apartheid state prove that the Soviet
Cold War narrative remains alive and well. Most Western nations also still
slavishly follow the Soviet programme.
Britain, for example, already aligned with Arab states against Israel because of
both oil and antisemitism among influential politicians and officials, was more
than willing from the start to swallow the Soviet invention of a struggle
between Palestinian nationalism and Jewish oppression, hook, line and sinker.
Today you will not hear any statement about Israel from any government official
or minister that does not echo the KGB's line.
Increasing media-driven erosion of popular support for Israel in the US, and the
suppurating divisions it causes, are evidence of the Soviet ghosts' success
against their primary target: America.
The chief victims, however, have been Palestinian Arabs, whose lives have been
worsened; and Jews in the diaspora who have suffered immeasurable antisemitism
based on Soviet-initiated propaganda. The former may not have been intended but
would have been of no concern to Moscow; the latter was very much part of the
plan.
Israelis of course have paid a great price from KGB-inspired terrorism and
propaganda, but have survived and flourished even under such enormous pressure.
North Vietnamese General Giap, who once advised Arafat as we have seen, has an
explanation for this, as recounted by Dr Eran Lerman, former Israeli deputy
national security adviser. According to Giap:
"The Palestinians are always coming here and saying to me, 'You expelled the
French and the Americans. How do we expel the Jews?' I tell them that the French
went back to France and the Americans to America. But the Jews have nowhere to
go. You will not expel them."
*Colonel Richard Kemp is a former British Army Commander. He was also head of
the international terrorism team in the U.K. Cabinet Office and is now a writer
and speaker on international and military affairs. He is a Jack Roth Charitable
Foundation Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Syria’s Children 2022
Akram Bunni/Asharq Al-Awsat/January, 07/2022
“A tent”… is this new year’s wish. The word was repeated by a 10-year-old girl,
Shahad, from a camp in the northern countryside of Idlib after wind and heavy
rain ripped her family’s tent apart. Samer’s (11 years old) wish was to escape
the camp’s mud and resume his studies in order to become a doctor who treats
people’s wounds. Lara (8 years old) from Aleppo wished to live in any country
other than Syria, one where she could be safe, go to school and play games.
Issam (9 years old) teared up as he wished for his father and two brothers’
release from prison so his life would change…
Simple, heartbreaking wishes voiced by hungry and exhausted children whose lives
and dreams were crushed by the devastation left by a war whose belligerents want
to perpetuate and make more destructive. United Nations reports have indicated
that the Syrian war is among the biggest crises and challenges the country has
faced in modern history. According to its figures, children have been the most
vulnerable to the agonies of the protracted war that has not only deprived them
of their innocence but also their most basic rights, the right to grow up and
develop, be safe and healthy, and receive an education.
This year will not grant the millions of Syrian children a chance at a safe and
secure life. Many are at risk of dying. Those in regime-controlled areas are
facing displacement, the deterioration of medical services, and life in a family
too poor to afford basic necessities and the cost of medicine and medical
treatment. Those in camps are in danger because of the paucity of humanitarian
aid, which is on the decline, mother nature’s fury, the health care system’s
total collapse, diseases that had been forgotten spreading among children, and
the lack of access to the vaccines used around the world.
The reasons are multiple, but death is one and the same… Thousands of Syrian
children were killed by airstrikes and weapons that are banned internationally.
Thousands of others lost their lives to hunger and grief in besieged areas, and
thousands were detained for various periods of time to pressure family members
who had fled or because the children had spontaneously decided to take part in
protests. Hundreds of these child detainees were tortured to death or died
because of detention centers’ depraved conditions. A higher number of little
ones, some of whom had not been a day above 10 years old, were killed, maimed or
disabled after being forcibly recruited to fight the wars of grown men by
various parties and armed groups.
Over 50 percent of Syrian children lack a minimal degree of safety and food
security amid skyrocketing prices and plummeting living conditions, with the war
having displaced millions of these children, be they internally displaced or
refugees living in neighboring countries... Hundreds of thousands have been
separated from their families, falling victim to subjugation, becoming orphans,
and living in deprivation. They look for shelter and a way to quell their
hunger, and tens of thousands of them, the lucky ones, live with their
grandfather or grandmother and have lost most of the members of their families.
The families of others who were born outside the country do not possess the
documents necessary for registering them and proving their lineage and
nationality.
With the new year approaching, millions of Syrian children are still deprived of
their right to receive an education and continue their studies. The first time,
because of the deliberate or arbitrary bombardment of their schools... One
school out of three is no longer operational today because it has been destroyed
or heavily damaged, has been transformed into a shelter for displaced families,
or is being used as a hospital or as a military site.
The second time, because many children are unable to attend school, either
because they don’t have the required official documents and certificates after
they had been burned or lost under the rubble of what had previously been their
home, or because of the insecurity in the country and the damages to
infrastructure and transportation routes, which is especially relevant to
children residing in villages and girls, who are most vulnerable to being
harassed, kidnapped and raped.
This problem is worse in areas that the state has retrieved control over.
Neither is there a sufficient number of schools nor are there enough teachers,
as most of them there were either recruited to fight in the war or fled for
safety after receiving threats. Meanwhile, in the areas they control, Islamist
groups have imposed particular religious curricula, and nothing can protect
those who dare to go beyond those curricula from the Islamists’ fury!
While it is true that no one can argue against the fact that education is a
basic right and the urgency of developing children’s awareness and knowledge, it
is also true that the war has imposed a new formula on these children. It
renders staying alive and surviving the priority, even if that comes at the
expense of education and other needs.
“I have to feed my mother and brothers,” Khaled, 12, replies firmly when asked
about his schooling. Many others, like him, suffered the loss of their family’s
breadwinner to death, arrest, injury, or familial disintegration and were forced
to support themselves and their families by working menial jobs that are
sometimes extremely taxing and not suitable for children their age. These jobs,
be they in bakeries, restaurants, construction sites, car mechanics, or on the
street, leave them vulnerable to physical, psychological and sexual abuse.
It is a scene that has become commonplace in most Syrian cities or areas where
Syrians had migrated and fled to, children as young as ten years old either
mortifyingly begging for money or roaming streets and residential areas to sell
tissue boxes or bundles of bread, wipe car windows, or collect leftover food and
plastic cans from heaps of rubbish. There, you see young Syrian girls, whom
poverty forced into working as housemaids in return for accommodation and a puny
wage, leaving their innocent bodies victimized by sexual harassment and rape.
Those who married off at an early age, and there are many, have it the least
bad, with no attention paid to the effects this has on their mental and physical
health.
Worst of all is the spread of disturbing behavior and a proclivity for reckless
cynicism and violence among Syrian children. These tendencies became widespread
because of loss, oppression, orphanhood and extreme destitution, which have made
Syrian vulnerable to being recruited to engage in all kinds of illicit activity,
as well as becoming hooked on drugs, forced into child prostitution, and having
their organs sold on the black market. The prevalence of this phenomenon has
become apparent in some everywhere Syrian children are found, both inside and
outside the country.
“Do not forget us” is the slogan of “Amal,” a giant doll of a Syrian child
searching for her mother. She began her journey towards Western capitals months
ago, passing through Berlin, Paris and London. It could perhaps draw the
attention of the world’s governments and peoples, reminding them of their duty
to address the extreme suffering of children like their own. Like them, Syrian
children also deserve a future and a secure life.
World Order: Back to the Future
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/January, 07/2022
In the next few days we will witness a tsunami of diplomatic agitations spanning
over Geneva and Brussels as American, Russian and European leaders try to create
the impression that they know what is going on and what must be done about it.
The diplomatic marathon is set to start on 9 January with a US-Russia summit,
something Russian President Vladimir Putin for weeks has been building up as a
major event. It will be followed by a Russia-NATO encounter on January 12,
reviving a process that began almost 30 years ago and abandoned in the last
decade. The final bouquet will come with a conference of all member states of
the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) with memories of
the love-fest known as the Helsinki Accords.
The question is what each of the participants expects to gain from an exercise
that is manifestly improvised in a rush and lacking a clear agenda.
The Russians say they will be seeking “security guarantees”, whatever that
means. The Americans and Europeans talk of “persuading Putin not to invade
Ukraine”, knowing that he neither wants nor can do so.
Putin is seeking a return to the power play formed in the 20th century when
summit conferences first started with the so-called “Big Five” that is to say
the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council: the US, Great
Britain, France, the Soviet Union and pre-Communist China.
It morphed into the “Big Four” when China was excluded before becoming the “Big
Three” when France, under General De Gaulle decided to go “tous azimuth”. Next,
Great Britain, massively by the loss of empire and economic decline was pushed
aside, leaving the US and the USSR as the “superpower” couple. It is that
“couple” that Putin hopes to bring back.
This is why he is talking of “raising issues of global concern” in a summit with
US President Joe Biden who, on the other hand, hopes to cut Russia down to size
as a middling power that could cause occasional nuisance but could never be
regraded an equal partner in global leadership. The whispering in Moscow is that
Putin will try to tempt Biden with a number of promises.
These include persuading the Islamic Republic in Iran to re-endorse the Obama
“nuke deal” which President Donald Trump denounced as a sham. Tehran’s
acceptance of a new version presented by the US would give Biden his first
diplomatic victory. Putin may be exaggerating his influence with the Tehran
mullahs but is certainly in a position to persuade them to tone down their
aggressive behavior, something which could help reduce tension in Iraq, Lebanon
and Yemen where the mullahs play perturbation through proxies.
Next, Putin is also offering cooperation in Syria as part of a broader scheme to
stabilize the Middle East.
Other promises would include taming Belarussian President Lukashenko and
lowering the flame of conflict in Ukraine. In exchange Putin wants the removal
of sanctions, a promise not to extend NATO to Ukraine, and to gradually accept
the annexation of Crimea and South Ossetia, the virtual occupation of Abkhazia,
and Russia’s military presence in Transcaucasia, as so many faits accomplis. The
problem is that Putin’s hope of reverting to the status quo ante, a balance of
power that no longer exists sounds more like a fantasy than a serious strategy.
This is no longer a bipolar system in which a US-USSR accord could have an
immediate impact on a crisis.
We know how the US persuaded Britain, France and Israel to halt the Suez War
with a few telephone calls. Yevgeny Primakov, the senior Soviet politician who
played multiple roles during the Cold War, recalls in his memoirs how he was
sent to Cairo in June 1967 to tell Egyptian leader Gamal Abdul-Nasser to accept
a ceasefire with Israel. Nasser immediately complied although, as a military
man, he must have known that no war is actually won until one side accepts
defeat.
In the old world that Putin hopes to revive the US could count on almost
unconditional support from its European, Japanese and other allies. This is no
longer the case as even small European powers, not to mention Arsb and other
Asian allies try to shape policy options of their own on a case by case basis.
This is why Turkey, still a NATO ally, is gyrating in different directions while
a bunch of European Union members, including Germany, preach leniency in dealing
with Moscow.
In the same old world, the USSR could bluff with the claim of influence in
Communist China. That, too, is no longer the case. In fact, in next week’s
diplomatic marathon China will be the elephant in the room.
While Putin’s back-to-the-future gambit is aimed at reviving the last century,
his Chinese counterpart, President Xi Jinping, takes 19th century imperialism as
model for global power projection. Forging a neo-nationalist narrative that
reminds us of British jingoism in the heyday of empire-building Xi speaks of
acquiring a blue-water navy and an ultra-modern nuclear arsenal while planning a
network of bases, similar to the” coal stations” the British made for their
empire, across the globe.
Last week, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi visited the first of those bases in
Djibouti and encouraged musings on acquiring other bases in Eritrea and the
Comoros. Beijing has also built numerous “platforms” on South China Sea islands
and is working on securing a base in The Solomon Islands in the Pacific.
What Xi may want to ponder is that all those “coal stations” and bases didn’t
save the British Empire while the biggest nuclear arsenal in history didn’t save
the USSR from collapse. For their part the Europeans, their lip-service to EU
unity notwithstanding, are back to the 17th century and the Westphalian Treaties
with the emphasis on “each for himself, in some cases reflecting the chauvinist
mood in many European societies, dramatically illustrated by Brexit.
What about the US? If the current isolationist mood is as dense as some claim,
the US is trying to crawl back to the old times when the Monroe Doctrine
shielded it against troubles caused by others. We may be witnessing what
Montaigne called “branler” or jaywalking or dodging all problems without solving
any.
With so many players trying to deal with the problems of the 21st century with
solutions shaped in 17th, 18th, 19t and 20th centuries we are unlikely to
witness the emergence of a new world order anytime soon, certainly not through
next week’s diplomatic razzmatazz.
‘Putin Doctrine’ Becomes Clear in Ukraine and Kazakhstan
Hal Brands/Bloomberg/January, 07/2022
For most Westerners, the news that Russia has sent troops to quell a popular
uprising in Kazakhstan may seem like a minor event in a far corner of the world.
But seen in the context of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s rule, and of his
coercion of Ukraine, it takes on a more sinister significance. Thirty years
after the Soviet collapse ushered in the post-Cold War era, Putin has
articulated a vision — call it the Putin Doctrine — meant to bring that era
decisively to a close.
Putin’s vision is most evident from the draft treaties his government proposed
as its price for not (again) invading Ukraine. Those proposals amount to a
demand for an internationally acknowledged Russian sphere of interest
encompassing the former Soviet Union and much of Eastern Europe.
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization would be required to cease all further
expansion to the east, and to foreswear assistance to countries, such as
Ukraine, that are presently outside the alliance. It would have to severely
circumscribe training and exercises in areas that Moscow deems sensitive, and
refrain from deploying American nuclear weapons anywhere in Europe. Most
striking, it would have to commit to leaving the Eastern European countries that
joined the alliance after 1997 virtually defenseless.
The upshot would be a badly weakened NATO and an Eastern Europe in which
countries must defer to Russian wishes or suffer the consequences.
Putin’s demands have led to suggestions that he is a 19th-century man living in
the 21st century. In reality, coercion and geopolitical aggrandizement never
really go out of style. Yet Putin is indeed trying to turn back the clock by
rolling back the post-Cold War order.
After the Soviet collapse, the animating theme of US policy was promotion of an
expanding liberal international order that would relegate autocratic spheres of
influence to history. Within Europe, America sought a continent whole, free and
at peace — one in which all countries could choose their own geopolitical
alignments and political systems.
This vision combined soaring idealism with cold strategic calculus. It was meant
to allow the countries of Eastern Europe to determine their own fates after
decades, or even centuries, of subordination to larger powers. At the same time,
allowing former Soviet allies or even countries that had once been part of the
Soviet Union to join NATO would strengthen Washington’s hand in any future
confrontation with Russia.
This project reached its apogee between 2003 and 2005, when NATO completed its
second and largest round of post-Cold War expansion and “color revolutions”
replaced corrupt rulers with Western-leaning leaders in Georgia and Ukraine. In
retrospect, however, this was also when a once-prostrate Russia began recovering
its geopolitical strength, and when Putin began pushing back. The Russian leader
gave fair warning at the Munich Security Conference in 2007, in an angry tirade
accusing a hegemonic America of overstepping boundaries in Europe and beyond.
The same year, Russian hackers launched a major cyberattack in Estonia after its
government removed a Soviet-era monument — a symbolic reminder that the Baltic
states could not so easily escape their past. In the years since, Putin has
developed a multipronged approach to restoring Russia’s dominance in its “near
abroad.”
The modernization of a once-decrepit military gave Putin the ability to prevent
nearby states from drifting into the Western orbit: In 2008 and 2014, Moscow
vivisected Georgia and then Ukraine when they appeared to be slipping away.
Russia has simultaneously used cyberattacks, disinformation and other
destabilization programs to keep vulnerable neighbors in disarray, and to
undermine the institutions — NATO and the European Union — that Putin sees as
encroaching on his flank.
Putin also formed the Eurasian Economic Union, a free-trade pact of five members
including Kazakhstan, as a way of binding former Soviet states to Moscow, and
invested more heavily in the Collective Security Treaty Organization, a loose
military alliance with similar motives. Putin has accompanied these measures
with ideological and historical justifications for coercing small states. In
2021, he published an essay arguing that Ukraine is an artificial entity with no
right to political or geopolitical autonomy.
As all of this indicates, the Putin Doctrine has become more assertive over
time. A country whose influence recoiled rapidly after the Cold War is now
calling for a bipolar division of Europe and using force along its periphery.
Whether the Putin Doctrine will succeed is another question. Putin grabbed large
chunks of eastern Ukraine in 2014 but drove the western half of the country
toward a NATO that was finally getting serious about defending its eastern
members. Today, Finland and Sweden are openly flirting with joining, or at least
moving closer to NATO if Russia once again invades Ukraine. The US has warned
that it would respond to a Russian attack by putting more military assets in
Eastern Europe, in addition to imposing economic sanctions.
These costs may not deter Putin, who appears ever-more committed to breaking the
resistance of Ukraine and unraveling the post-Cold War order in Eastern Europe.
But the chief legacy of the Putin Doctrine could be ironic: The harder Russia
pushes to restore a sphere of influence, the more strategically encircled it
will become.
*Hal Brands is the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor at the Henry A.
Kissinger Center for Global Affairs at Johns Hopkins University's School of
Advanced International Studies and a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic
and Budgetary Assessments. His latest book is "American Grand Strategy in the
Age of Trump."