English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For December 23/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.december23.22.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
I have come as light into the world, so that everyone who believes
in me should not remain in the darkness
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John
12/44-47/:’Then Jesus cried aloud: ‘Whoever believes in me believes not in me
but in him who sent me. And whoever sees me sees him who sent me. I have come as
light into the world, so that everyone who believes in me should not remain in
the darkness. I do not judge anyone who hears my words and does not keep them,
for I came not to judge the world, but to save the world.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on December 22-23/2022/
Lebanese Journalists,Tony Francis, Ali Hamada, As’ad Bechara, Charles
Jabbour: Hizbullah Responsible For Death Of Irish UNIFIL Soldier/MEMRI/December
22/2022
Hezbollah to remove facilities near Rmeish after accusations of encroachment
Abul Gheit says Arab League ready to play its role in Lebanese dialogue
Berri meets Arab League’s Aboul Gheit in Ain El-Tineh
Judicial Council dismisses electoral appeals of Jad Ghosn, Haidar Issa
Mikati says sweeping reforms still needed despite return to growth
Report: Arab, Western officials to meet in Paris over Lebanon
Dollar surge causes medicine and baby milk shortages at pharmacies
Geagea meets MP Abou Faour dispatched by Jumblatt
Lebanon’s Ministry of Tourism signs MoU with Lebanon Traveler
Mikati broaches political developments and bilateral ties with German Ambassador
Bou Habib meets with US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs in
Washington
Holberton software engineering school brings its capacity-building programs to
Lebanon in partnership with LAU
Lebanon drinks giant Kassatly Chtaura reveals plans to open factory in Cyprus
Parents of 2020 Beirut blast victim drive Christmas initiative to help feed
Lebanon's poor
Lebanon PM says sweeping reforms still needed despite return to growth
Why Lebanon lacks a cohesive Sunni bloc/Sami Moubayed/December 22, 2022
Lebanese Journalists,Tony Francis, Ali Hamada, As'ad Bechara, Charles Jabbour:
Hizbullah Responsible For Death Of Irish UNIFIL Soldier/MEMRI/December 22/2022
Why are there so few answers to Irish peacekeeper’s murder in Lebanon?
Lebanese Columnist, Tony Francis : The Death Of The Irish Soldier Was The First
Price Paid By UNIFIL For The Amendment To Resolution 1701/MEMRI/December 22/2022
Lebanese Journalist, Ali Hamada The Killing Of The Irish Soldier Was
Intentional; Hizbullah Uses South Lebanon As A Forward Operating Base For Iran
Against Israel/MEMRI/December 22/2022
Lebanese Journalist: As'ad Bechara: It Is Hizbullah That Controls South Lebanon
And Initiates Operations Against UNIFIL Forces/MEMRI/December 22/2022
Lebanese Politician:, Charles Jabbour: The International Community And UNIFIL
Are Capitulating To Hizbullah And Covering Up The Non-Implementation Of
Resolution 1701/MEMRI/December 22/2022
Hezbollah’s UNIFIL ambush with impunity from the world breeds terror/Makram
Rabah/Al Arabiya/December 22/2022
What Christmas is all about!/Charlie Brown/December 22/2022.
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on December 22-23/2022/
US hits more Iranian officials with human rights sanctions
Italian MPs approve resolution condemning Iran for death sentences
Iran used unlawful deadly force against protesters in ‘Bloody Friday’ massacre:
HRW
Russia’s Wagner Group denies US claims it tried to buy weapons from North Korea
for use in Ukraine
Putin Hints Russian Army Is Struggling Amid Reports Of Belarusian Intervention
White House: Russia's Wagner received arms from North Korea
Ukraine's 'cat and mouse' battle to keep Russian missiles at bay
Russia scrubs Mariupol's Ukraine identity, builds on death
Netanyahu Informs President He Has Formed a Government
Chile president says planning to open embassy in Palestine
Netanyahu regime under US pressure to contain far-right tactics in West Bank
Palestinian militant killed in Israel West Bank incursion
Gaza Christians say travel curbs separate families at Christmas
Turkey, Saudi Arabia decry Taliban university ban for women
Explosion in northern Iraq kills two soldiers, injures three
Titles For The
Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on December 22-23/2022/
Saudi Arabia Welcomes China's Xi as US Snubs Allies, Courts Enemies/Lawrence A.
Franklin/Gatestone Institute/December 22, 2022
Designate the Iranian regime’s paramilitary group as a terror organization/Dr.
Majid Rafizadeh/Arabg News/December 23, 2022
After 300 days of war in Ukraine, what next?/Andrew Hammond/Arab News/December
23, 2022
Democracy in Israel/Alan M. Dershowitz/Gatestone Institute/December 22, 2022
December 22-23/2022/
من موقع ميمري: الصحافيون طوني فرنسيس
وعلي حمادة واسعد بشارة وشارل جبور: حزب الله يتحمل مسؤولية مقتل الجندي الإيرلندي
في جنوب لبنان
Lebanese Journalists,Tony Francis, Ali Hamada, As’ad Bechara, Charles Jabbour:
Hizbullah Responsible For Death Of Irish UNIFIL Soldier/MEMRI/December 22/2022
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/114276/lebanese-journaliststony-francis-ali-hamada-asad-bechara-charles-jabbour-hizbullah-responsible-for-death-of-irish-unifil-soldier-%d9%85%d9%86-%d9%85%d9%88%d9%82%d8%b9-%d9%85%d9%8a%d9%85%d8%b1/
Hezbollah to remove facilities near Rmeish after accusations of encroachment
Najia Houssari/Arab News/December 22, 2022
BEIRUT: Hezbollah is to remove structures it was building close to the southern
Lebanese town of Rmeish following pressure from residents and Maronite Patriarch
Bechara Boutros Al-Rahi, who accused it of encroachment. The party’s Green
Without Borders environmental organization has been told to remove all of the
facilities, which encroached on properties owned by the Al-Ameel, Al-Alam and
Al-Hajj families. The developments had angered local people, municipal
authorities and religious leaders.
Rmeish is located in the far south of Lebanon, about 135 km from Beirut in Bint
Jbeil district. It is the largest parish of the Maronite diocese of Tyre. Father
Najib Al-Ameel from Rmeish said: “Since the encroachment took place on property
on the outskirts of the town, I went with a delegation of locals to those
locations and demanded that such violations stop. However, those who were
present insulted us and refused our demands, and even threatened some of us.”
Residents earlier this week accused “the de facto forces in the region of
encroaching on lands belonging to the people of Rmeish and threatening some of
the owners.”“These forces bulldozed large areas of land, uprooted trees, erected
structures and used heavy equipment to dig in forests belonging to the people of
Rmeish,” they said. “All of this is taking place under the nose of the Lebanese
army, which operates in an area subject to Resolution 1701 in the south.”
The Maronite patriarch joined the call for an end to the encroachments and all
similar practices that harm coexistence and could lead to an escalation of
tensions. It is unusual for Hezbollah to bow to such pressure, especially in the
south, which is considered an incubator for the party.
Rmeish is located within the area of operation of the United Nations Interim
Force in Lebanon and is subject to UN Resolution 1701, which was issued in 2006
following Israeli aggression against Lebanon. It calls for “security
arrangements to prevent the resumption of hostilities, including the
establishment between the Blue Line and the Litani River of an area free of any
armed personnel, assets and weapons other than those of the government of
Lebanon and of UNIFIL.”It also calls for a “full implementation of the relevant
provisions of the Taif Accords, and of resolutions 1559 (2004) and 1680 (2006),
that require the disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon.” Lawmaker Saeed Al-Asmar,
from the southern Jezzine district, said: “We hope such shameful acts will not
be repeated because they will have devastating consequences as we will never
accept to be weakened or insulted.”He described the encroachments in Rmeish as
“unacceptable.”“We are counting on the intervention of the security services to
deal with these blatant violations, although we know they will not be able to
confront the ministate in light of the state’s complete impotence,” he said.
Hezbollah’s media office said: “What happened was a small issue, not a big deal.
It was immediately resolved. The media exaggerated the issue.” Meanwhile,
investigations are ongoing into the attack on a UNIFIL vehicle and the death of
an Irish peacekeeper in the southern coastal town of Al-Aqabiya, which lies
outside the scope of UNIFIL operations.
A Lebanese security source told Arab News that the suspects were Lebanese
nationals who went into hiding following the incident but were later arrested.
Fingers were pointed at Hezbollah as its supporters have a long history of
attacking UNIFIL patrols.
Both UNIFIL and the Lebanese Army Intelligence Directorate are investigating the
incident.
Abul Gheit says Arab League ready to play its role
in Lebanese dialogue
Naharnet/December 22/2022
Arab League chief Ahmed Abul Gheit said Thursday that Lebanon can not bear a
presidential vacuum and that the league is willing to play its role in a
Lebanese dialogue. During the Arab Economic Forum in Beirut, Abul Gheit
considered that the way to recovery is by electing a new president and making
reforms, urging parties to rise above the divisions and to prioritize Lebanon's
interests. Abul Gheit also called for maintaining an open and direct dialogue
between all parties. "The Arab League has the willingness to do what it is asked
to do in this regard," Abul Gheit said, adding that the Taif Accord remains an
indispensable national pact for "stability and civil peace in Lebanon."
Berri meets Arab League’s Aboul Gheit in Ain
El-Tineh
NNA/December 22, 2022
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Thursday welcomed at the Second Presidency in Ain
El-Tineh the Secretary-General of the Arab League, Dr. Ahmed Aboul Gheit, in the
presence of Assistant Secretary General of the Arab League, Ambassador Hossam
Zaki, and the accompanying delegation. Discussions reportedly touched on the
current general situation and the latest political and economic developments,
especially the presidential elections’ deadline. Speaking to media
representatives on emerging, Aboul Gheit said, "I had the honor to meet with
Speaker Nabih Berri this morning. In fact, discussions majorly focused on the
Lebanese situation and on how to get out of the current dire political-economic
situation.” Aboul Gheit expressed his belief that despite all the Lebanese
political and economic difficulties, Lebanon will certainly emerge from this
crisis, saying this matter starts with electing the president of the republic
and then launching the Lebanese economy’s mechanisms.
Judicial Council dismisses electoral appeals
of Jad Ghosn, Haidar Issa
Naharnet/December 22/2022
The Judicial Council on Thursday dismissed the electoral appeals filed by Jad
Ghosn in Northern Metn and Haidar Issa in Akkar. The rulings mean that MP Ahmed
Rustom of Akkar and MPs Razi al-Hajj and Hagop Pakradounian of Northern Metn
will keep their parliamentary seats. The Council had on November 24 annulled the
parliamentary membership of Rami Fanj and Firas al-Salloum of Tripoli, declaring
the win of Faisal Karami and Haidar Nasser.
The Council had dismissed six other appeals earlier this year.
Mikati says sweeping reforms still needed despite
return to growth
Naharnet/December 22/2022
Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati said Thursday that sweeping reforms remain
vital to rescue the stricken economy, despite a return to modest growth this
year. Mikati said the economy had grown by nearly two percent in 2022 after two
straight years of severe recession that saw Gross Domestic Product fall by 25.9
percent in 2020 and by 10.5 percent in 2021, according to World Bank figures. He
said increased revenues from tourism and a rise in remittances from Lebanese
living abroad were factors behind the modest growth. He said the country was now
"at a crossroads -- it will either mark the start of the economic revival we
have been hoping for, or a dark decline."Mikati has led a caretaker government
since a May general election failed to deliver a majority to either of Lebanon's
rival power blocs. The political deadlock has deepened since end of October,
when former president Michel Aoun's mandate ended without agreement on a
successor. As caretaker leader, Mikati has limited powers and cannot deliver the
sweeping reforms demanded by international lenders in exchange for releasing
billions of dollars in bailout loans. "If a new president is elected swiftly and
a new government formed that commits itself to real reforms... the country will
begin to recover", Mikati told a business forum. "If not, God forbid, the
economic stagnation will only get worse," he said.
Report: Arab, Western officials to meet in Paris
over Lebanon
Naharnet/December 22/2022
A meeting over the Lebanese presidential file will be held in Paris, by the end
of the year, al-Akhbar newspaper reported. The daily said Thursday that an
American-French-Saudi-Qatari meeting is being prepared to discuss possible
presidential candidates, adding that France has set a deadline for a political
settlement to be reached. Informed sources have told al-Akhbar that France is
still trying to involve Saudi Arabia in the Lebanese details, while the latter
is still refusing to discuss candidate names. "KSA is holding to a list of
conditions and has no intention to get involved in a settlement," the sources
said, adding that Riyadh is only committed to the French-Saudi humanitarian
fund. The Saudis and the Americans are not interested in the Lebanese file,
despite the French and Qatari initiative, the daily said. Meanwhile, French
affairs journalist Tammam Noureddine told al-Jadeed TV that none of the foreign
countries is interested in the Lebanese file and that the
American-French-Saudi-Qatari meeting won't be a high-level meeting. "The meeting
will be attended by political advisors and will not involve any leaders,"
Noureddine said.
ISF denies 'Soldiers of God' intervened after robbery call
Naharnet/December 22/2022
The Internal Security Forces on Thursday denied claims by MP Paula Yacoubian
alleging that the newly-formed hardline Christian group Soldiers of God had
intervened following an alleged robbery in Ashrafieh. In a video circulated on
social media, Yacoubian had said that a woman in Ashrafieh had called the
relevant police station to report a robbery, after which young men from the
Soldiers of God group arrived and told her that they had been "informed by the
police station" about the incident. “After the gathering of information and a
follow-up, it turned out that no call in this regard had been received by any of
the Ashrafieh, Gemmayze or Nahr police stations,” the ISF said in a statement.
“The Beirut Police Operations Room also did not receive any call from a woman in
this regard,” the ISF added. Moreover, it stressed that it has “no relation or
contact with the group mentioned by MP Yacoubian,” adding that the issue of the
group is being “followed up” by the ISF and that it “rejects any idea based on
the principle of vigilante groups.”And stressing its “commitment to preserving
security and order” and “aiding citizens so that they enjoy serenity and
safety,” the ISF called on Yacoubian to verify her information with ISF’s
officers before making such statements.
Dollar surge causes medicine and baby milk shortages
at pharmacies
Naharnet/December 22/2022
The head of the Order of Pharmacists of Lebanon, Joe Salloum, warned Wednesday
that the dramatic surge in the dollar exchange rate on the black market has led
to “a near-complete halt of the delivery of medicines and baby milk to
pharmacies.”
Pharmacies are “gradually running out” of medicines and baby milk, Salloum
cautioned. “As the head of the Order of Pharmacists of Lebanon, who is entrusted
with the pharmaceutical sector and citizens’ health, I urge politicians in the
country and the international community to rescue the patients and the health
sector which is breathing its last breaths,” Salloum added. “Rescue starts with
the election of a president for the republic to ensure the least level of
financial and economic stability,” Salloum went on to say, warning that there
could be “an inevitable collapse and a forced suspension of the entire
pharmaceutical sector within days.”The black market dollar exchange rate has
witnessed a dramatic surge over the past few days, reaching the record level of
LBP 46,400 at around 4:30 pm Wednesday.''
Geagea meets MP Abou Faour dispatched by Jumblatt
NNA/December 22, 2022
Lebanese Forces leader, Samir Geagea, on Thursday met at the Party’s
headquarters in Meerab with “Democratic Gathering” bloc MP Wael Abu Faour,
dispatched by Progressive Socialist Party head, Walid Jumblatt, in the presence
of “Strong Republic” bloc MP Melhem Riachy. Discussions reportedly touched on
the latest political developments in the country, especially the the
presidential elections’ dossier.
Lebanon’s Ministry of Tourism signs MoU with Lebanon
Traveler
NNA/December 22, 2022
On December 9, 2022, Lebanon Traveler, the country’s top tourism reference and
online platform, signed an MoU with the Lebanese Ministry of Tourism to support
the latter in its various activities and campaigns, promoting Lebanon as a
tourist destination. H.E. Walid Nassar, Lebanon’s Minister of Tourism, said: “We
have a long-standing relationship with the team at Lebanon Traveler and look
forward to some exciting collaborations that encourage even more people to visit
our beautiful country in 2023.” Lebanon Traveler was established in 2011 by
Hospitality Services, an event management and publishing company. As the
country’s first tourism publication, it is committed to promoting the social,
cultural, historical and natural wealth and diversity of Lebanon, which it
achieves through its online platforms and magazine. Recognized as the go-to
guide for domestic and international travelers interested in exploring Lebanon’s
urban and rural gems, Lebanon Traveler’s website attracts over 20,000 users per
month, while its social media platforms reach over 3.2 million accounts.
Joumana Dammous-Salame, managing director of Hospitality Services, said:
“Through our events and online platforms, we will continue our efforts to
promote all the amazing destinations across the country. The Ministry of
Tourism’s support means a great deal to us, and we know we can achieve great
things through positive dialog and collective action.”
Mikati broaches political developments and bilateral ties with German Ambassador
NNA/December 22, 2022
Caretaker Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, on Thursday received at the Grand Serail,
German Ambassador to Lebanon, Andreas Kindl, where they discussed the latest
political developments in Lebanon and the region, and the distinguished
bilateral relations between the two countries. Caretaker Premier Mikati hailed
the active role played by Ambassador Kindl in Lebanon and highly appreciated his
undertaken efforts in developing the bilateral Lebanese-German relations in all
domains. Mikati also hailed Germany's offers to rebuild some vital sectors, and
its contributions to supporting the displaced Syrians and their host communities
in Lebanon, making it the second largest donor country in this regard.
Bou Habib meets with US Assistant Secretary of State
for Near Eastern Affairs in Washington
NNA/December 22, 2022
Caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants, Dr. Abdallah Bou Habib, met
with US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs, Barbara Leaf, at
the headquarters of the US Department of State in Washington, where they
discussed the latest developments on the Lebanese arena, especially the
presidential elections, the anticipated reforms, in addition to the agreement
with the International Monetary Fund and the displaced Syrians’ dossier.
Holberton software engineering school brings its capacity-building programs to
Lebanon in partnership with LAU
NNA/December 22, 2022
In its latest move to enhance the career prospects of Lebanese youth in a
globally competitive job market, LAU has signed an agreement with Holberton, a
software engineering school founded in Silicon Valley with 27 campuses in five
continents. The partnership was made possible by Lebanese businessman Alexandre
Harkous who gifted LAU the Holberton Lebanon license he held through his fintech
company StartechEUS. With student employability at the heart of Holberton’s
approach, its graduates have landed jobs in software engineering across all
industries and at top tech companies such as Google, Apple, Facebook, LinkedIn,
IBM, Tesla and the like. The Holberton learning method provides Silicon
Valley-level training for software development jobs. Based on the premise that
computer engineering involves a mix of technical and soft skills, the school
offers a collaborative project-based environment where students work with their
peers across campuses. Students also have access to the Holberton network and
alumni community. The courses are practical and are not taught by teachers.
Instead, much like a real-job tech setup, students are given increasingly
difficult tasks to solve. Guided by experts or faculty members, they draw on
their soft skills – such as problem-solving, critical thinking, communication
and teamwork – and rely on peer collaboration across campuses. In the process,
they are continually upscaling their skillset. Classes are intensive and held
daily. The admission process, like the learning methodology, consists of a
series of mini-challenges that the student must complete to qualify.
By opening a Holberton school in Lebanon, one of the best capacity-building and
training programs in computer engineering, LAU would be “empowering Lebanese
technology-driven students, and giving them the opportunity to grow, thrive and
realize their potential by equipping them with the required skills to compete in
the local, regional and international markets,” said Dr. Elie Badr, vice
president for Business Development and Global Affairs. In the current situation
in the country, he added, “we believe that the impact of Holberton school
programs will provide a positive role in the Lebanese economy.”
The programs will be housed at LAU’s Academy of Continuing Education, based on
the Beirut campus, where a dedicated team of faculty and staff will provide
support from a local perspective to software engineering issues, onboarding
assistance during the first week, monitoring and guidance during Peer Learning
Days, and mock interviews. The Holberton specialization programs, all based on
three-month modules, are Machine Learning & AI (artificial intelligence), AR/VR
(augmented and virtual reality), Web React, Blockchain & Cryptocurrency,
Front-End Web Development and Back-End Web Development. As students gain deep
knowledge in computer science, they will be able to build web servers or
websites, implement a blockchain, create a mobile app or CRM dashboard,
configure a bot or a chatbot, devise facial recognition and object detection
codes, create video games, build marketplaces, create VR / standing VR
experiences, and more. LAU-ACE is offering the programs at a more affordable
price than any other Holberton campus around the world, and the university is
working on securing full scholarships from different foundations to help
Lebanese tech students enroll.
Launched in July 2020, Holberton Middle East has so far trained more than 90
students enrolled in different specialization programs. The first upcoming
cohort at LAU-ACE will be starting with Blockchain as of March 6, 2023.
At the signing ceremony on December 20, Provost George E. Nasr, representing LAU
President Michel E. Mawad who was called away on a trip, conveyed the
president’s delight in the university’s association with Mr. Harkous and in this
collaborative agreement “which is aligned with the university’s mission to help
the workforce of tomorrow and meet the requirements of the new generation.” Mr.
Harkous, who left Lebanon in 1985 for Paris and worked as a computer engineer in
Europe and the US, returned to Lebanon in 2019, when he decided to purchase the
Holberton Middle East license through his company StartechEUS. His reasons for
doing so, he said, were because he “wanted to give back to his country and the
Lebanese youth, secondly because nothing happens without technology nowadays,
and thirdly because one had to be surrounded by the best people to deliver.”
Holberton, he added, is a sustainable school that is growing, and he was “more
than happy to give it to LAU because we trust you to make sure that it helps the
next generation.”While Holberton Lebanon was Mr. Harkous’ gift-in-kind to LAU,
thanks to him and his team the university has also signed an agreement to
operate Holberton New York on LAU’s academic center in Manhattan as of February
6. Commenting on these new venues, the CEO of the Holberton School Network
Florian Bucher recently said: “We are very proud of this partnership with a
great organization and great people at LAU. With these two new openings In
Lebanon and New York, I really want to establish a strong partnership with LAU
to join our strengths. We have more than 10 years’ experience training great
software engineers in Silicon Valley, Europe and Latin America, and LAU has a
very strong network and a great community of students in the Middle East.” --
LAU
Lebanon drinks giant Kassatly Chtaura reveals plans
to open factory in Cyprus
Jamie Prentis/The National/December 22/2022
CEO says 2021 Saudi ban on Lebanese imports was spark behind the move.
One of Lebanon’s largest drinks producers is to set up a factory in nearby
Cyprus to meet rising international demand.
But while the plan had been in the offing for a while, Nayef Kassatly, chief
executive of Kassatly Chtaura, said a 2021 Saudi ban on Lebanese imports was the
spark that triggered the move.
Kassatly Chtaura produces an array of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages that
are sold in Lebanon, the wider region and elsewhere, and is credited with
introducing bottled jallab syrup to Lebanon in the 1980s. Mr Kassatly said the
firm’s factory in Chtaura, Bekaa Vallery, did not have sufficient capacity to
meet a surge in Middle Eastern and European demand for the carbonated
non-alcoholic drink Freeze. The move, Mr Kassatly said, would strengthen the
company’s presence in Europe and perhaps pave the way to the US as a future
potential market. He said the decision to set up at the 50,000 square metre
area, expected to be up and running towards the end next year, near Limassol was
also prompted by tax incentives. He was keen to stress that this was an
expansion — expected to double production — and not a move away from Lebanon. “I
need to emphasise and stress on the point that it's not a relocation at all,
it's an expansion to strengthen our roots at home,” he insisted. About 100 jobs
are expected to be created — a 50 per cent split between Lebanese and Cypriots.
Amid a 2021 diplomatic row between Saudi Arabia and Lebanon, Riyadh banned
Lebanese imports. While tensions have cooled and the Saudi ambassador has
returned to Beirut, Lebanese exports have not returned. “The expansion plan was
always there but what really triggered it and put it back on the table was the
Saudi embargo” said Mr Kassatly, whose father Akram established the company in
1974. "Saudi represented 20 per cent of our exports; losing 20 per cent of your
exports was a big hit for us. “Fortunately for us, Freeze was booming everywhere
else, and we had the excess in demand. But you know, when you lose a market it's
not a fun thing to do. It was a reason to do this expansion outside Lebanon. It
gave us a wake-up call to spread the risk.
“You know, we're in a volatile country, it's true, but it's our home. And we
will, we will resist, we will maintain our presence. But having this insurance
cushion across the Mediterranean half an hour away was not a bad idea.” A
devastating economic crisis that first became apparent in 2019 has pushed many
in import-reliant Lebanon into poverty, with the local currency losing more than
95 per cent of its value against the US dollar. There are widespread shortages
in basic essentials including electricity, clean water and medicine. But Mr
Kassatly said the company was used to dealing with electricity problems in
Lebanon, and relied on generators to regulate its supply while also looking into
solar panels. He said: “For 25 years we’ve been producing our own electricity,
it's an ongoing problem that we that we've been juggling with.”
Parents of 2020 Beirut blast victim drive Christmas
initiative to help feed Lebanon's poor
Jamie Prentis/The National/December 22/2022
Alexandra Naggear was one of the youngest victims of the August 4 explosion two
years ago.
It’s the third Christmas since the deadly 2020 Beirut Port blast, but the memory
of three-year-old Alexandra Naggear — one of the explosion's youngest victims —
continues to spread solidarity in Lebanon as the country grapples with a
devastating economic crisis.
Now in its third year, Alexandra’s Christmas Initiative has helped raise more
than $70,000 and received food donations to help feed those in need during the
holiday period.
The initiative has been organised by Paul and Tracy Naggear, Alexandra’s
parents. They are two of the most prominent faces in the campaign for justice
over the August 4 blast which killed more than 215 people, injured thousands and
destroyed large parts of Beirut. It occurred after a huge stock of ammonium
nitrate, left in storage at the port for years, caught fire. The blast is viewed
as a symptom of the country's many systemic problems, including corruption and
mismanagement — so far, no senior officials have been held accountable for the
blast and a judicial investigation has been stalled for a year.
“It was difficult for us to come back to our apartment in Gemmayze, even back to
the neighbourhood, after the blast,” Paul says. “Tracy’s idea was; let’s do
something positive and good that would allow us and the other people in our
neighbourhood and in the neighbourhoods affected by the blast to come back.”
Gemmayze, a lively and popular area of East Beirut near to the port, was
particularly hard hit by the blast and the impact of August 4, 2020 can still be
seen on the neighbourhood today. “We thought that cooking for others and
distributing food during this period of the year — particularly in December
after the blast where things were very gloomy still, it was a dark period for
Beirut — we thought that it would be good to bring some hope, some joy to the
heavily affected areas, and to ask people to cook from their homes and
distribute food,” said Paul. “So, this is where the where the idea started. And
of course, for us it was doing good in the name of our daughter.” Lebanon is
struggling with the effects of a financial crisis — that first became apparent
in 2019 — that has been described by the World Bank as one of the worst in
modern history. Much of the population has been plunged into poverty, there are
widespread shortages in basic essentials including clean water, electricity and
medicines, and many have their life savings trapped in the banks amid informal
capital controls. “Our main motivation this year was to really bring back a
sense of solidarity and, and responsibility towards one another,” says Paul.
“You can’t imagine … there is such a great energy around this campaign. There's
450 donors, which is huge.
“There's so many messages that we receive from people, the expats coming back,
the Lebanese that are here that want to volunteer, that want to help in any way
and are sending us messages: ‘You guys are giving us strength and hope during
this time of year. How can we help? How can we contribute?’”
Moving forward, the plan is to better formalise and structure the good work
being done by setting up the Alexandra Foundation.
“We want to do more, we don't want to do just food distribution, and gifts and
toys for children during the end-of-year period. We want to be able to actually
contribute to projects that are not only one off initiatives. “So, we've set
three priorities that our food safety, education and employment — particularly
for women.”And on Friday as part of the initiative from 11am to 3pm in Gemmayze,
the Naggear’s have organised a blood donation campaign in collaboration with
local NGO Donner Sang Compter — an association which supported both Tracy’s
mother in 2014 when she was sick and when Alexandra was in the hospital after
the 2020 blast. Last Christmas’s campaign saw more than 14,000 meals distributed
to families in need, 2,500 gifts and toys offered to children, and the
mobilisation of more than 100 volunteers who came together to put everything
into action. Paul recalls the Christmases he has with Alexandra as “very joyful
memories”. “As for any kid, she was super happy. We used to make a big deal out
of it. “Every day for the week before Christmas, we put a small gift for her
under the tree. She would be super excited … very joyful moments.”The theme of
the initiative this year is solidarity as the economic crisis tightens its grip
on Lebanon and makes life increasingly difficult. “That's the general idea of
solidarity, responsibility. And all of that, for Tracy and I, is doing good in
the name of Alexandra.”
Lebanon PM says sweeping reforms still needed
despite return to growth
AFP/December 22, 2022
Increased revenues from tourism and rise in remittances factors behind modest
growth
Beirut: Lebanon’s caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati said Thursday that
sweeping reforms remain vital to rescue the stricken economy, despite a return
to modest growth this year. Mikati said the economy had grown by nearly two
percent in 2022 after two straight years of severe recession that saw Gross
Domestic Product fall by 25.9 percent in 2020 and by 10.5 percent in 2021,
according to World Bank figures. He said increased revenues from tourism and a
rise in remittances from Lebanese living abroad were factors behind the modest
growth. He said the country was now “at a crossroads - it will either mark the
start of the economic revival we have been hoping for, or a dark decline.”Mikati
has led a caretaker government since a May general election failed to deliver a
majority to either of Lebanon’s rival power blocs. The political deadlock has
deepened since end of October, when former president Michel Aoun’s mandate ended
without agreement on a successor. As caretaker leader, Mikati has limited powers
and cannot deliver the sweeping reforms demanded by international lenders in
exchange for releasing billions of dollars in bailout loans. “If a new president
is elected swiftly and a new government formed that commits itself to real
reforms... the country will begin to recover”, Mikati told a business forum. “If
not, God forbid, the economic stagnation will only get worse,” he said.
Why Lebanon lacks a cohesive Sunni bloc
Sami Moubayed/December 22, 2022
With Hariris gone and for lack of other alternatives, Sunni community feels
leaderless
It’s been almost twelve months since former Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Al
Hariri announced his withdrawal from Lebanese politics. He called on his
followers to boycott Lebanon’s May 2022 parliamentary elections, insisting that
his Future Movement neither nominates candidates nor takes part in the voting. A
handful of Sunni figures refused to abide by his command, including his own
brother Bahaa Al Hariri, and his predecessor Fouad Al Siniora, a lifetime friend
and ally of his slain father, Rafiq Al Hariri. None of them were able to make
any serious breakthrough last May, resulting in a chamber of deputies that lacks
a strong and cohesive Sunni bloc. Twenty-seven Sunni MPs were voted into office,
mostly independents, newcomers, or allies of the Hezbollah-led 8 March
Coalition. Lebanese Shiites voted in May — in large numbers — securing 30 seats
for the twin Shiite parties, Amal and Hezbollah. So did the Christians, who took
the lion’s share of seats in parliament: 19 for the Lebanese Forces (LF) and a
total 21 for the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) and its allies.
Three decades of the Hariri family
The Hariri family had led Lebanon’s Sunnis since 1992. For three solid decades,
they were protected and promoted first by Rafik Al Hariri, then by his son, who
succeeded him at the helm of the family business empire, and that of the Sunni
community, in 2005. During the Hariri years, all the traditional Sunni families
of Lebanon, like the Solhs, Itanis, Salams, and Bayhums, were either sidelined
or forced to work with the Hariris in order to maintain their relevance in the
Sunni community. Those who refused, like ex-Prime Minister Salim al-Hoss, were
defeated in the 2000 elections. Others, like Omar Karami of Tripoli, chose to
work with Hezbollah. The sudden disappearance of the Hariris ought to have been
a golden opportunity for ambitious Sunnis from all stripes to make a comeback.
But they were too weak now, too divided, and both uncharismatic and unable to
stand up to more powerful leaders of other communities. They also lacked
Hariri’s deep pockets to bankroll their politics. With the Hariris gone and for
lack of other alternatives, members of the Sunni community were left vulnerable
and without a leader.
Choosing a new president
That wasn’t immediately clear until President Michel Aoun’s term came to an end
on 31 October 2022. Post-civil war, presidents were chosen by consensus, making
sure that all major components of the country’s confessional system sign off any
new occupant at Baabda Palace.
That meant Maronite Christians, Druze, and both Sunnis and Shiites all had a say
in who their next president would be. Yet today, nearly two months after Aoun
left office, the debate over Lebanon’s next president is taking place
exclusively between Christians and Shiites, with Samir Gagegea of the LF
lobbying for Michel Mouwwad, Hezbollah rooting for Suleiman Frangieh, and the
FPM pushing for their leader, Aoun’s son-in-law, Gibran Bassil. Sunnis have no
candidate, forced to play along with one of the names on the table, although two
Sunni figures are being consulted on the matter, rather ceremonially, being
Prime Minister Najib Mikati and Lebanon’s Grand Mufti Abdul-Latif Deiryan.
Mikati’s approval is mandatory only because he happens to be premier, but had he
been out office, he would have minimal say — if any — on the identity of
Lebanon’s next president.
No Sunni heavyweights
Additionally, Christian parties have begun to eye important posts in government
previously exclusive to Sunnis, like the Ministry of Interior, which Gibran
Bassil tried claiming for the FPM. They feel it is the right time to make such
claims, with no Sunni heavyweight around.
This Sunni absence is unprecedented in Lebanon’s modern history. President
Beshara al-Khoury came to office in 1943 through allying himself with Sunni
heavyweight Riad Al Solh. The two men famously put together the National Pact, a
gentlemen’s agreement that has been observed ever since, giving the presidency
to a Maronite Christian and the premiership to a Sunni Muslim. Khoury’s
successor, Camile Chamoun, took the country entirely into the US orbit, but was
brought down in 1958. His successor Fouad Shihab was an all-time favourite of
Lebanese Muslims, who were given more equal access to jobs, and better
representation in the civil service. The list goes on and on, reaching up to the
early 1990s, when Rafik Al Hariri became prime minister, leading the country
through what was then-described as a powerful “troika” between him, Nabih Berri,
and President Elias Hrawi representing Maronite Christians.
Thirty years down the road, Berri is still around. Various Christian figures are
there too, but the Sunni component of the “troika” is nowhere to be seen in
Lebanon.
**Sami Moubayed is a Syrian historian and former Carnegie scholar. He is also
author of Under the Black Flag: At the frontier of the New Jihad.
من موقع ميمري: الصحافيون
طوني فرنسيس وعلي حمادة واسعد بشارة وشارل جبور: حزب الله يتحمل مسؤولية مقتل
الجندي الإيرلندي في جنوب لبنان
Lebanese Journalists,Tony
Francis, Ali Hamada, As'ad Bechara, Charles Jabbour:
Hizbullah Responsible For Death Of Irish UNIFIL Soldier
MEMRI/December 22/2022
https://www.memri.org/reports/lebanese-journalists-hizbullah-responsible-death-irish-unifil-soldier
Following the incident that occurred on December 14, 2022 in the village of Al-Aqbieh
in South Lebanon, during which Irish soldier Seán Rooney (23) was killed and
three other members of the UNIFIL unit were wounded, Hizbullah took pains to
stress that it had not been involved in the incident. Wafiq Safa, head of
Hizbullah's Coordination and Communications Department, hastened to explain to
the Reuters news agency that it was an "unintentional incident that took place
between the residents of Al-Aqbieh and individuals from the Irish unit." He
conveyed his condolences to the UNIFIL forces and called not to involve
Hizbullah in the matter.[1] Ibrahim Al-Moussawi, a Hizbullah MP who paid a
condolence visit to the UNIFIL headquarters, called the death of the Irish
soldier "a loss for all humanity," and urged that coordination and cooperation
between UNIFIL and the authorities in Lebanon be increased in order to prevent
the recurrence of such instances.[2] The Lebanese Al-Akhbar daily, which is
close to Hizbullah, also contended that the incident was "the result of a
succession of unintentional errors on the part of all those involved" and that
neither UNIFIL nor Hizbullah had any interest in politicizing it in any
way.[3]Furthermore, several days after the incident, Hizbullah reportedly
arrested two people suspected of involvement in it.[4]
However, despite the efforts of Hizbullah officials to deny any involvement by
the organization, articles in the Lebanese press insisted that Hizbullah had
been responsible for it and for the death of the Irish soldier. These articles
contested Hizbullah's claim that the assailants were South Lebanon locals,
asserting that the shooting was deliberate and carried out on orders from
Hizbullah. This organization, they added, has usurped control of South Lebanon
from the Lebanese government, and this incident, like similar incidents before
it, is further evidence of the grim reality in Lebanon whereby the state is
unable to impose its authority and sovereignty over this region. Some of the
journalists claimed that the killing of the Irish soldier was Hizbullah's
response to UN Resolution 2650, from August 31, 2022, which extended UNIFIL's
mandate in Lebanon by another year and stipulates that UNIFIL has freedom of
operation in the areas under their authority, with no need for prior approval
from anyone. When it was passed this resolution sparked furious reactions from
Hizbullah officials, who called it "a grave development that transforms [UNIFIL]
into an occupying force."[5]
This report reviews excerpts from articles by Lebanese journalists who hold
Hizbullah responsible for the death of the Irish UNIFIL soldier.
Why are there so few answers to Irish
peacekeeper’s murder in Lebanon?
Serh J. Frantzman/Jerusalem Post/December 22/2022
Since the attack, there has been a tendency in major media outlets, including in
Lebanon, to either downplay the incident or push a “wait and see” narrative. The
murder of Irish UN peacekeeper Seán Rooney, 24, in Lebanon last Wednesday is a
significant escalation against the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL).
In the immediate aftermath of the attack on Rooney and his fellow soldiers,
there were claims that the incident lacked clarity. A week after the attack,
many questions remain. Since the attack, there has been a tendency in major
media outlets, including in Lebanon, to either downplay the incident or push a
“wait and see” narrative, one that would give the perpetrators time to escape.
And the only way that could transpire is if Hezbollah is somehow involved. Irish
leader Taoiseach Leo Varadkar has expressed his confidence in the ongoing
investigations to determine what happened in Lebanon and why an Irish soldier
was killed.
Lebanese Columnist, Tony Francis
: The Death Of The Irish Soldier Was The First Price
Paid By UNIFIL For The Amendment To Resolution 1701
MEMRI/December 22/2022
https://www.memri.org/reports/lebanese-journalists-hizbullah-responsible-death-irish-unifil-soldier
On December 17, 2022, in his column in the Lebanese Nidaa Al-Watan daily, Tony
Francis wrote: "On August 31, 2022, the UN Security Council renewed the mandate
of the [UNIFIL] international forces in the south for another year. The
resolution includes an important amendment related to [UNIFIL's] activity, which
stresses that it does not need 'prior authorization or permission from anyone to
undertake its mandated tasks and is authorized to conduct its operation
independently.' However, the matter did not end there, for in his September 17,
2022 speech, Hizbullah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah warned the
international bodies that, 'if they intend to operate [in South Lebanon]
independently of the state and its army, which is responsible for the activity
south of the Litani, they will create a situation not to their benefit.' His
comments were preceded by statements made six days earlier by Sheikh Mohammad
Yazbek [a founder of Hizbullah and Iranian leader Ali Khamenei's representative
in Lebanon]…, who attacked the Security Council resolution and claimed that it
turned UNIFIL into an 'occupying force.'
"On Wednesday night an Irish UNIFIL soldier was killed, in what could be seen as
the first price [paid by UNIFIL] for the amendment of the international
resolution. The explanation given for his death was that his vehicle strayed
from the regular route, prompting angry 'locals' to shoot at him. This [Irish]
soldier, who came [to Lebanon] from the north of the globe on a mission of
peace, suffered the same fate as his comrade, the Lebanese officer and pilot
Samer Hanna, who strayed from his route in the air above the mountains of South
Lebanon and was killed by similar fire in his own homeland.[6] We are likely to
witness similar tragic incidents in the future if the current situation
persists, in which it is unclear who rules this part of the country [i.e. South
Lebanon].
"Neither Samer Hanna nor the Irish soldier deserved such a death. Samer Hanna
deserved a country that controls its own lands, and the Irish soldier deserved
to live a quiet life in the land of his birth, as do the thousands of his
comrades in the international [force], who came from across the world to carry
out a noble mission in a country whose residents have not known peace for the
past 50 years. No matter who killed the Irish soldier, it is safe to assume that
the promised investigation will not reveal his identity. [One may also assume]
that the question of the viability of leaving the UNIFIL forces in South Lebanon
will be raised aggressively by the mothers of its soldiers and by the
governments of their countries…"[7]
Lebanese Journalist, Ali Hamada The Killing Of The Irish
Soldier Was Intentional; Hizbullah Uses South Lebanon As A Forward Operating
Base For Iran Against Israel
MEMRI/December 22/2022
https://www.memri.org/reports/lebanese-journalists-hizbullah-responsible-death-irish-unifil-soldier
In his column in the Al-Nahar Lebanese daily, Lebanese journalist 'Ali Hamada
wrote, "I wouldn't be exaggerating if I said that the killing of a soldier from
UNIFIL's Irish battalion and the wounding of others was a very serious incident,
because it was neither accidental nor 'unintentional' as Hizbullah claimed in
its statement. Nor was it a response on the part of 'the locals.' [That is just]
a term that Hizbullah hides behind when it wants to clash with UNIFIL forces
that are trying to fulfil their mission in accordance with the relevant UN
resolutions.
"This was an intentional attack. The shooting at the vehicle which was carrying
the soldiers was deliberate, and couldn’t have occurred without an order from
the organization's leadership. Even if the shooting wasn't intended to kill, but
only to frighten the patrol and to convey a tougher message than usual,
Hizbullah's disparaging response to the shooting on this force, which represents
international legitimacy [i.e. the UN], was tantamount to 'vetoing' the recent
UN resolution [of August 2022], which extended UNIFIL's mandate and asserted its
right to hold patrols, enact surveillance, and conduct searches without need for
permission from any element on the ground…
"[The fact that the Hizbullah] militia exercises this kind of 'veto' by taking
up its weapons and shedding blood is clear evidence of the bitter reality that
prevails in Lebanon. It proves that the state of Lebanon is nothing more than an
illusion, for sovereignty is enforced in accordance with the law only among the
sections of the Lebanese people who believe that national life should be
conducted in accordance with the law, and not according to the rationale of
force, which is currently espoused by the group [i.e. Hizbullah] that is
committed to an external agenda [i.e. that of Iran]. Second, this reflects the
weakness of the state, its institutions and its leaders, from the top of the
pyramid to its base, when facing the oppressive force which actually holds the
reins of power and of sovereign decision-making. Third, the official [Lebanese]
decisions indicate that the cooperation between [Lebanon's state institutions]
and Hizbullah in plotting conspiracies is much deeper and more extensive than
people think…
"The investigation of the incident must go beyond the technical framework. We're
sick of hearing the lie [that these attacks are a response by] 'locals.' The UN
knows and understands that this euphemism, used by Hizbullah in UNIFIL's area of
operation… is [just] a means… to prevent the international forces from thwarting
Hizbullah's efforts to turn South Lebanon into a forward operating base on the
border with Israel. The purpose of these efforts is not to 'liberate Jerusalem,'
as is claimed in statements released by the Iranian regime and its local
apparatuses in Lebanon and elsewhere. [The purpose is] to facilitate the
promotion of Iranian policies and interests related to the broader struggle in
the region. One can thus regard Lebanon, as well as Syria, Iraq, Gaza and Yemen,
as buffer zones [protecting] the Iranian regime…
"We are not waiting for the findings of the Lebanese investigation… From what
occurred we conclude that, while Ireland has lost soldiers, we Lebanese have
suffered an [even] greater loss in terms of respect for the law and for the
country's institutions…"[8]
Lebanese Journalist: As'ad Bechara: It Is Hizbullah
That Controls South Lebanon And Initiates Operations Against UNIFIL Forces
MEMRI/December 22/2022
https://www.memri.org/reports/lebanese-journalists-hizbullah-responsible-death-irish-unifil-soldier
Lebanese journalist As'ad Bechara wrote in a December 16 column in Nidaa Al-Watan
titled "Who Remembers the Attack on the Spanish Battalion?": "…Several months
after the inception of the UNIFIL mission following the 2006 war, there was an
IED attack on [its] Spanish battalion that was operating in the south, in which
five soldiers were killed and others were wounded… Despite the official
[Lebanese] promises, the responsible element has not been identified to this
day. This incident caused UNIFIL to completely change its mode of operation and
focus all its efforts on protecting its soldiers and bases, instead of on
implementing Resolution 1701. UNIFIL forces began traveling in armored vehicle
and engaging in routine activities [and nothing more].
"[But] even in their routine activities UNIFIL forces encountered groups of
'locals' every time they attempted to carry out a raid or expose weapons south
of the Litani. Groups of residents consistently attacked the forces and impeded
them from carrying out their mission on the pretext that… UNIFIL may not enter
any area without first informing the Lebanese Armed Forces and receiving their
approval. This prevented UNIFIL from monitoring the implementation of Resolution
1701 and the UN published several reports holding Lebanon responsible for this.
Moreover, Israel's exposure of the tunnels [excavated by Hizbullah from South
Lebanon into northern Israel] conveyed to the international community that
Lebanon was violating the international resolution and preventing the UNIFIL
forces from carrying out their mission.
"The incident in Al-Aqbieh [in which an Irish UNIFIL soldier was shot and
killed] once again focuses the spotlight on this difficult reality and points to
Lebanon as the one responsible for it … It also indicates that the authority and
control in the south [of Lebanon] are in the hands of Hizbullah, which has
transformed the military and security presence [there] into a symbolic presence
with no meaning or viability. The [Lebanese] government, for its part, has no
tools to cope with this situation, which undercuts its presence there, except
the weapon of condemnation.
"As a result, the incident at Al-Aqbieh will [also] be glossed over without an
investigation, without us learning what happened and without the perpetrator,
whose identity is known [i.e. Hizbullah], being held to account. The absurd
[situation] in which Hizbullah, which orders these activities, is also the one
which supports the agreement for delineating the [maritime] borders with Israel,
will persist as well…"[9]
Lebanese Politician:, Charles Jabbour: The International
Community And UNIFIL Are Capitulating To Hizbullah And Covering Up The
Non-Implementation Of Resolution 1701
MEMRI/December 22/2022
https://www.memri.org/reports/lebanese-journalists-hizbullah-responsible-death-irish-unifil-soldier
Charles Jabbour, head of the Media and Communications Department in Samir
Geagea's Lebanese Forces party, which is known for its opposition to Hizbullah,
wrote in his column in the Lebanese daily Al-Jumhouriya: "…Resolution 1701 calls
for 'the establishment between the Blue Line and the Litani River of an area
free of any armed personnel, assets and weapons other than those of the
Government of Lebanon and of UNIFIL.' This significant clause of the resolution
is not implemented… Everyone knows that this specific area is under the
exclusive influence and control of Hizbullah, and that it is full of rocket
stockpiles, combat equipment, and bases [disguised as centers that belong to]
'the locals,' which is code for Hizbullah… As long as UNIFIL does not operate in
accordance with Resolution 1701, as long as Hizbullah's military infrastructure
controls every single detail – contrary to what is explicitly stated in this
resolution – and as long as the movements [of the UNIFIL forces] are so
restricted that any deviation from their [usual] route results in their being
blocked and fired on like a hostile patrol… we have no choice but to pose the
following questions:
"Why does UNIFIL remain in Lebanon when it is not fulfilling its mandate in
accordance with the relevant international resolutions? What obligates the
international community to be subordinate to the forces on the ground [i.e.
Hizbullah]? And why does it acquiesce to the conditions imposed by these forces?
Why does the Security Council allow its resolutions to go unimplemented and
agree to be regarded as a failed moral framework, devoid of any influence or
ability to determine [events]? How does it tolerate this insult to its honor and
its position? What prevents the international community from implementing its
resolutions, or at least Resolution 1701, by force? Especially considering that
there is a general impression that this resolution is being implemented, when
the fact is that Hizbullah is preventing its implementation.
"Why doesn't the Security Council present the Lebanese government with two
choices: either to commit itself to the content of Resolution 1701 and bear the
responsibility [for its implementation] or [see] UNIFIL leave Lebanon?... Is it
possible that the Security Council is behaving like the state of Lebanon
[itself] and accepting the situation on the ground? Even if the state [of
Lebanon] is helpless, which is understandable, what is the Security Council's
rationale for becoming helpless? Why must the UNIFIL member-states treat
Hizbullah with kid gloves for fear of their soldiers' [safety], instead of
withdrawing their forces [from Lebanon] and refusing to bear false witness [to
the supposed implementation] of the international resolution…? They should
either ensure the strict implementation of the resolution or withdraw [their
soldiers from the country]. The soldiers of these countries must not become
'hostages' and these countries must not be compelled to cover up the gross
violation of Resolution 1701 for fear of endangering their soldiers' lives…
"The questions do not end here, but the deliberate attack on the Irish vehicle
once again focuses the spotlight on three main facts. The first has to do with
the tragic situation to which the international community has deteriorated, for
it has become a body that does not make the decisions and which finds itself in
a position of defeat and surrender… The second fact is that, if the murderers
are not arrested and tried and UNIFIL continues its business as usual, this
force will become completely submissive… and this, in turn, will mean that it
has finished its role and can no longer be relied upon… The third fact is that,
if the international community fails to take the requisite decisions regarding
every aspect of the direct attack upon it, [the impression that] it can be
relied upon in matters pertaining to the lives of the Lebanese is a mere
illusion…
"The bitter, essential, and central truth is that the Lebanese constitution is
not being implemented, the international resolutions are not being implemented,
and the Lebanese people has been abandoned to its fate. No matter what the
import of this deadly message [i.e., the attack on the Irish force] – whether it
was intended to draw red lines for UNIFIL's movements… or was an Iranian
[message of] protest against the ongoing policy of subjecting it to sanctions
and leaving the nuclear issue dangling and stuck, or was [an attempt] by Tehran
to distract attention from the popular uprising which is taking place on its
soil and an attempt to incite wars [in other arenas] so as to quash this
uprising – the result is the same: Lebanon is a forsaken arena and the
international forces [i.e. UNIFIL] are just as helpless as the Lebanese
state…"[10]
[1] Reuters.com, December 15, 2022.
[2] Alahednews.com.lb, December 17, 2022.
[3] Al-Akhbar, (Lebanon), December 16, 2022.
[4] Almodon.com, December 17, 2022.
[5] For more about this UN resolution and the responses to it from the Lebanese
government and from Hizbullah, see MEMRI JTTM Report, Hizbullah Escalates Its
Threats To UNIFIL Following UN Resolution To Extend Its Mandate For Another Year
And Expand Its Authority, September 13, 2022.
[6] The reference is to an August 28, 2008 incident in which Hizbullah
operatives fired at a Lebanese Armed Forces helicopter in Sujoud. The pilot,
Samer Hanna, crash-landed the craft and he was killed. According to the "Now
Lebanon" website, sources close to Hizbullah claimed that the helicopter was
targeted because it entered what Hizbullah considers a sensitive area at the
intersection of the organization's communications network lines. The sources
added that Hizbullah had warned the Defense Ministry and the army not to enter
this area.
[7] Nidaa Al-Watan, (Lebanon), December 17, 2022.
[8] Al-Nahar (Lebanon), December 17, 2022.
[9] Nidaa Al-Watan, (Lebanon), December 16, 2022.
[10] Al-Jumhouriya, (Lebanon), December 19, 2022.
Hezbollah’s UNIFIL ambush with impunity from
the world breeds terror
Makram Rabah/Al Arabiya/December 22/2022
Last Wednesday night, the United Nations Interim Forces in Lebanon (UNIFIL), who
have been operating since 1978, were reminded of the scary reality of their
deployment in a volatile area. Iran’s Lebanese proxies militia Hezbollah faces
it, on the one hand, while on the other by Israel, which lurks in waiting and
observes an area it considers a national security threat.
The tragic incident involved a contingent of the Irish regiment deployed with
the UNIFIL. It was ambushed by the ‘people” of the southern village of Aqbieh
near Sarfand in the south of Lebanon. It’s an area 15 kilometers outside the
regiment’s sanctioned area of operation.
According to local sources - usually a cover name for Hezbollah - the UNIFIL
patrol had allegedly got lost and swayed off course while driving to the capital
Beirut. It traveled into the village of Aqbieh, where it got into a car accident
and ran over a person from the village. It was an act that unleashed the wrath
of the residents, who opened gunfire at the military convoy, leading to the
death of 23-year-old Private Seán Rooney and the injury of three other Irish
soldiers.
The UNIFIL statement was very much reserved and did not offer any justification
or details about the incident. Nor did it contradict the metanarrative by
Hezbollah, which denied any involvement of its members or supporters, dismissing
this incident as personal.
The Aqbieh incident is not the first of its kind. Time and again, Hezbollah has
used the villagers in different parts of the UNIFIL area of operation lying
south of the Litani River to send messages or to warn it off. It was the first
time Hezbollah resorted to using extreme violence.
The violence requires a deconstruction of the facts at hand and a re-examination
of the way Hezbollah departed from its earlier bullying practices and the timing
of the ambush: it fell before the holidays when most UNIFIL troops and
administrators entered vacation.
The presence of the UNIFIL patrol 15 km from its area of operation refutes the
“getting lost” tale. The Tyre-Sidon-Beirut road is straight and easy to
navigate. Peacekeepers have used this pathway for years to drive to Beirut to
resupply or for rest and recovery. Moreover, the UNIFIL vehicles are equipped
with GPS and connected to a central command room they would have contacted if
lost. In turn, UNIFIL would liaison with the Lebanese army and even Hezbollah to
ensure their safe passage.
Above all, the video clip circulating of the UNIFIL vehicle coming under fire
shows that the shooters were highly skilled in accurately hitting the car with
more than one shot while withdrawing from the crowd. Second and more
importantly, these so-called villagers who ambushed the UNIFIL were all of
military age and were drawn from the youth. Very few women and children were
around, as there usually are when village scuffles erupt. Notably, the pictures
of the ambush clearly show Hezbollah’s intention to use lethal force and not
only scare away the peacekeepers. It is hard to believe that villagers would
shoot at a UN convoy with the intent to kill without explicit instructions from
Hezbollah and assurances that whoever carries out this task is immune from
justice. All crimes involving Hezbollah are never adequately investigated by the
Lebanese state. It includes the assassination of my excellent friend and ardent
voice for freedom of expression, Lokman Slim. He was murdered deep in the heart
of the south on February 3, 2021, a few miles away from one of the biggest
UNFIFL bases. It was a crime that a private citizen had committed and would have
been apprehended within hours of the incident.
As UNIFIL chose to call it, this severe incident came almost ten days before a
rumoured visit of French President Emmanuel Macron to Lebanon. On Christmas Eve,
he will likely visit French troops operating alongside several international
forces in the south. It’s notable that one day before the incident, the former
French defense minister Michel Alliot-Marie speaking to al-Arabiya TV, accused
Hezbollah and the Syrian regime of assassinating former Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri. It marked the first time the French had come out with this accusation
towards Hezbollah.
The incident comes a few months after Hezbollah accused UNIFIL of expanding its
mandate. This allegation was outwardly denied by the latter as it assured that
its “freedom of movement has been reiterated in Security Council resolutions
renewing UNIFIL’s mandate, including Resolution 1701 in 2006, and UNIFIL’s
Status of Forces Agreement, signed in 1995.”
While all of the political speculations on the incident might be valid, the main
underlining reason for the Hezbollah ambush on the UNIFIL is a security and a
military motive. Al-Aqibiya and the coastal line is a critical line for
Hezbollah and an important location for weapons depots as it lies outside the
jurisdiction of UNSCR 1701. In the past few years, multiple explosions at
Hezbollah arms depot occurred, which were never investigated by the Lebanese
authorities and brushed aside by Hezbollah as accidents.
Consequently, Hezbollah has been actively transporting new weapons components
such as intelligent missiles, drone technology and even chemical weapons into
Lebanon. It’s something the Israelis will not sit idle about, and thus, the
south of Lebanon, specifically the area where the ambush took place, would soon
be the target of a routine airstrike by the Israeli air force. Hezbollah wants
to remind the international community that it will not tolerate any oversight of
its activity in the area or future aerial attacks against its depots. In its
eyes, the 10,000 peacekeepers from 48 troop-contributing countries stationed in
the south of Lebanon are merely hostages. The UNIFIL ambush is an affirmation of
what Hezbollah does best, using terror and violence to remind everyone what’s at
stake and bully nations within the UNIFIL to coincide with its demands. Many
European states have done so this year. The UNFIFL peacekeepers and the innocent
blood of Sean Rooney should act as an earnest reminder to apologists, chiefly
amongst them French President Emmanuel Macron, that violence and impunity will
never breed stability. Sitting down with the so-called political representatives
of Iran’s Lebanon proxy Hezbollah, as he has done in the past, will only drive
them to use terror more copiously.
What Christmas is all about!
Charlie Brown/December 22/2022.
During the making of the animated Christmas classic A Charlie Brown Christmas,
Peanuts creator Charles Schulz had a meeting with Lee Mendelson, the show’s
producer, and Bill Melendez, its lead animator. The discussion concerned
Schulz’s insistence about including a New Testament scripture reading of the
Christmas story from the Bible. The scripture reading was to be spoken by
Peanuts character Linus Van Pelt in response to Charlie Brown’s lament, “Isn’t
there anyone who knows what Christmas is all about?” Mendelson and Melendez both
voiced their concern about the reading, with Melendez telling Schulz, “It’s very
dangerous for us to start talking about religion now.” Schulz answered him by
saying, “Bill, if we don’t, who will?” In the end, the scripture reading was
retained, and the CBS special was the second-most-watched show of the week when
it debuted on December 9, 1965.
Linus’ King James version scripture reading from Luke 2: 8-14, read:
And there were in the same country shepherds abiding in the field,
keeping watch over their flock by night. And, lo, the angel of the Lord came
upon them, and the glory of the Lord shone round about them: and they were so
afraid. And the angel said unto them, Fear not: for, behold, I bring you good
tidings of great joy, which shall be to all people. For unto you is born this
day in the city of David a Saviour, which is Christ the Lord. And this shall be
a sign unto you; You shall find the babe wrapped in swaddling clothes, lying in
a manger. And suddenly there was with the angel a multitude of the heavenly host
praising God, and saying, Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace,
goodwill toward men.That’s what Christmas is all about.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on December 22-23/2022/
US hits more Iranian officials with
human rights sanctions
Associated Press/December 22/2022
The Biden administration has slapped sanctions on Iran's chief prosecutor, four
other Iranian officials and a company that supports the country's security
forces for their roles in an ongoing violent crackdown on antigovernment
protests.
The Treasury Department announced it is targeting the Prosecutor-General of
Iran, Mohammad Jafar Montazeri, two senior commanders in Iran's Revolutionary
Guards Corps, and two members of the Basij, a paramilitary volunteer group that
often enforces strict rules on dress and conduct. "We denounce the Iranian
regime's intensifying use of violence against its own people who are advocating
for their human rights," Treasury said in a statement, noting that Montazeri has
presided over prosecutions of protesters some of whom have been executed or
condemned to death. It identified the IRGC commanders as Hassan Hassanzadeh, the
head of its forces in Tehran, and Seyed Sadegh Hosseini, who runs its Beit-al
Moghadas Corps of Kurdistan province. The two Basij members are the group's
deputy coordinator, Hossein Maroufi, and Moslem Moein, its cyberspace chief, it
said. Treasury said it is also penalizing the Imen Sanat Zaman Fara Company,
which produces armored vehicles and other equipment for the security forces. The
sanctions freeze any assets that those targeted may have in U.S. jurisdictions
and bar Americans from doing business with them. Iran has been rocked by
protests since the Sept. 16 death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, who died after
being detained by the morality police. The protests have since morphed into one
of the most serious challenges to the theocracy installed by the 1979 Islamic
Revolution. Security forces have violently cracked down on the protests, killing
more than 500 protesters and arresting over 18,000, according to Human Rights
Activists in Iran, a group that has been closely monitoring the unrest. More
than 60 security forces have been killed, according to the group. "The United
States continues to support the people of Iran in the face of this brutal
repression, and we are rallying growing international consensus to hold the
regime accountable," Secretary of State Antony Blinken said. "Thousands of brave
Iranians have risked their lives and their liberty to protest the regime's long
record of oppression and violence," he said. "We again call on Iran's leadership
to immediately cease its violent crackdown and to listen to its people."
Italian MPs approve resolution condemning Iran
for death sentences
Agencis/Arab News/December 22, 2022
ROME: A resolution calling on Iran to immediately cease handing down death
sentences to anti-government protestors, to withdraw all charges against them
and free them from detention was unanimously approved by the Foreign and
European Affairs Committee of the Italian Chamber of Deputies.
The text calls for the release of those “arrested solely for having peacefully
exercised their rights to freedom of expression, association and peaceful
assembly in the context of the protests,” the speaker of the committee, Giulio
Tremonti, told Arab News. Tremonti stressed that the resolution “was backed by
all the parties, as a sign of the unity of Italy in the support to the Iranian
population,” calling the cross-party agreement “really remarkable.”The
resolution binds the Italian government to call for the annulment of the death
sentences issued against demonstrators and to request their immediate and
unconditional release. A few days ago the Italian Senate’s Foreign and Defense
Committee approved a similar resolution. Andrea Orsini, a deputy with the Forza
Italia party who presented the resolution at the committee, said in a press
conference attended by Arab News at the Montecitorio Palace that “it is
intolerable that Iran is so aggressive towards democracy and remains a factor of
instability for the world and for the Middle East.”MP Federica Onori of the Five
Star Movement stressed that “what is happening in Iran is seriously
unbelievable,” while Ettore Rosato from the Italia Viva party called for the
“need to politically isolate the regime in Tehran; that regime has nothing to do
with the population.”In a conference speech to Italian ambassadors based around
the world on Wednesday, Italy’s President Sergio Mattarella stated that he
deplored the brutal crackdown against the protests that have swept Iran since
the death of the 22-year-old Kurdish woman Masha Amini while in police custody
in September, after she was detained for allegedly wearing her hijab
incorrectly. Mattarella stressed that Iran “has exceeded all limits” in its
bloody crackdown on protests. “This cannot, in any way, be set aside,” he added.
Iran used unlawful deadly force against protesters in
‘Bloody Friday’ massacre: HRW
Arab News/December 22, 2022
LONDON: Human Rights Watch has accused Iranian security forces of using
“unlawful lethal force” in the city of Zahedan on Sept. 30, killing dozens of
protesters during what the group dubbed “Bloody Friday.”The organization also
called on the UN’s fact-finding mission in the country to focus on state acts of
violence in “minority-dominant” regions such as Kurdistan, and Sistan and
Baluchistan where the massacre took place in its provincial capital. And it
urged the need for Iran to respect the UN Basic Principles on the Use of Force
and Firearms by Law Enforcement Officials. The group noted that it had assessed
52 videos and images provided by Iranian human rights group Haalvsh, and
collated witness testimony, to determine that at least 12 people were killed in
Zahedan on Sept. 30, including a young boy. Thirty people were injured, and HRW
said at least eight more had been killed in the city in the days afterwards,
including a further three children. Balochi human rights groups in the area,
meanwhile, put the death toll as high as 97 between Sept. 30 and Oct. 5,
including nine children. The deaths center around security forces opening fire
on protesters from rooftops surrounding the city’s Grand Mosalla prayer hall as
a large group of demonstrators made its way toward a local police station, and
later at the city’s largest Sunni mosque as the dead and injured were taken to
it.
Protesters responded with stones and Molotov cocktails, and many bystanders were
caught between the two sides, HRW added. At least four members of Iran’s Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps were killed by protesters responding to the attack.
One witness told HRW: “As I came out (of the prayer hall) to look for my
brother, I saw bodies on the ground, mostly young people. At first, I didn’t
even realize the police were shooting but then I noticed that they were firing
from the buildings.” Another witness, Ismael Shahbakhsh, told HRW he had gone to
a local hospital searching for his nephew.
He said: “When I entered the emergency room, I saw a distressing scene that is
impossible to describe. “The white ceramic tiles of the floor had turned red … I
looked through three pages of 10 to 15 names of those injured and Farzad’s name
was not there ... Afterward a nurse came to me with five or six pages, each with
18 to 20 names on it, and told me Farzad was among those who died.”
State-affiliated news agency Tasnim News later claimed armed organization Jaish
Al-Adl was responsible for the violence, which it labeled “terror attacks.” The
group has since denied the accusations. Prominent local imam, Mowlana Abdol
Hamid Ismaeelzahi, told HRW: “It’s the police station that first starts
shooting, shooting indiscriminately, and shooting military ammunition, not only
toward the place where those youngsters were chanting and expressing their
feelings, but also even toward inside the Grand Mosalla, where people were
praying. “They shoot there and throw teargas inside, even the women’s section
gets gassed and is shot at, and one of the women is killed, is martyred, as
well.” On Oct. 28 local authorities announced that six members of the security
forces had been killed in Zahedan during the clashes, as well as 35 protesters
and members of the public, blaming “negligence” for the deaths of innocent
worshippers and dismissing the local police chief. That same day, HRW said,
authorities killed two children during protests in the city, a 13-year-old and
16-year-old, who were both shot in the head. Protests have engulfed Iran since
the death of 22-year-old Kurdish woman Mahsa Amini at the hands of the country’s
morality police in September, after she was accused of wearing her hijab
improperly. Hundreds of people have been killed throughout the country by
government forces, and thousands more arrested, with some of those detained
executed by the regime, and many more facing death or long, punitive prison
sentences, as well as widespread reports of torture and other forms of
mistreatment while in detention. As of Dec. 9, HRW said it had evidence for the
deaths of at least 255 people, with another 226 under investigation. It added
that it had further evidence of “handguns, shotguns, and military assault
rifles” being used against protesters “during largely peaceful and often crowded
demonstrations in at least 13 cities across the country,” with most of the
lethal force reserved for the country’s ethnic minority-led regions. The events
of Sept. 30 in Zahedan were the bloodiest in Iran this year, according to HRW’s
senior Iran researcher, Tara Sepehri Far. She said: “The number of protesters
and bystanders shot by Iran’s security forces on ‘Bloody Friday’ was the largest
killed in a single day during the protests, but no one responsible has been
arrested. “The government’s immense brutality has brought the struggles of
long-neglected communities like Zahedan to the center of protests.”
Russia’s Wagner Group denies US claims it
tried to buy weapons from North Korea for use in Ukraine
Andrew Buncombe/The Independent/December 22, 2022
Russia’s Wagner Group has denied a claim from the US that it has bought weapons
from North Korea, a move that would be in breach of UN resolutions. White House
National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said this week that US
intelligence had concluded the Wagner Group had obtained the equipment to help
its forces as they fight alongside Russian troops in Ukraine. “We assess that
the amount of material delivered to Wagner will not change battlefield dynamics
in Ukraine,” Mr Kirby said. “But we’re certainly concerned that North Korea is
planning to deliver more military equipment.”The Wagner Group rejected the claim
as “gossip and speculation”.“Everyone knows that North Korea has not been
supplying any weapons to Russia for a long time. And no such efforts have even
been made,” Reuters quoted Wagner owner Yevgeny Prigozhin as saying in a
statement.
Neither Mr Kirkby or Mr Prigozhin offered any specific evidence to support their
remarks. The military action in Ukraine have been accompanied by an attendant
information war, involving various parties. Ten months after Russian forces
invaded Ukraine, increased attention has been paid to the role of private
mercenaries such as the Wager Group, in the way US-based organisations, such as
Blackwater, received scrutiny during the so-called war on terror. Blackwater,
founded in 1996 by former Navy SEAL Erik Prince, has been called Academi since
2011.
In 2007, Blackwater received widespread notoriety for the Nisour Square massacre
in Baghdad, when a group of its employees killed 17 Iraqi civilians. While
several of the fighters were convicted in the US, they were later pardoned by
Donald Trump.
The Wagner Group, also founded by former military officers, has also been
accused of various misdeeds and atrocities, allegations it has routinely denied.
Earlier this month, Mr Kirby claimed the Wagner Group had 50,000 fighters in
Ukraine, including 10,000 contractors and 40,000 convicts. US officials briefing
the media claimed that with the alleged arms sales to the private military
group, North Korea was violating UN sanctions that ban Pyongyang from importing
or exporting weapons. Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the US envoy to the
United Nations, called it “despicable” that Russia, a permanent veto-wielding
member of the UN Security Council, which imposed the sanctions, was now using
weapons procured from North Korea and Iran “to pursue its war of aggression
against Ukraine”. The British government also condemned Russia for Wagner
alleged arm’s purchase. “The fact that President Putin is turning to North Korea
for help is a sign of Russia’s desperation and isolation,” said Foreign
Secretary James Cleverly. “We will work with our partners to ensure that North
Korea pays a high price for supporting Russia’s illegal war in Ukraine.” North
Korea has sought to strengthen relations with Russia as much of Europe and the
West has pulled away from Moscow.
Putin Hints Russian Army Is Struggling Amid Reports Of
Belarusian Intervention
Kate Nicholson/HuffPost UK/December 22, 2022
Vladimir Putin appeared to confirm reports that all was not well within the
Russian Army ranks in an unusual speech on Wednesday.
The Russian president, who has rarely acknowledged the problems his forces face
in the Ukraine war, listed all the areas where his troops need to improve during
a speech to the ministry of defence in Moscow. He said that drones have to
communicate targeting information “in real time”, following claims from Kyiv
that many Russian drones have been shot down before reaching their intended
destinations. He also said the military needs to “improve the command and
control system”, and its ability to hit back at enemy artillery. Throughout the
war, there’s been speculation that senior commanders have been fired for their
failings on the war front, while the freshly mobilised troops are being poorly
trained and confused by their superiors’ instructions. Putin also asked officers
to make sure soldiers have “medical kits, food, dry rations, uniforms, footwear,
protective helmets and bulletproof vests” at the frontline too, following
widespread reports that troops were without essential equipment and running low
on morale. Despite this tacit acknowledgement that the invasion was not going to
plan – after all, what was meant to be a 10-day battle has become a 10-month war
– Putin indicated that there was still no plan to withdraw. “We have no limits
in terms of financing,” he added: “The country and the government are providing
everything that the army asks for – everything.”Putin also compared the Russian
soldiers fighting in Ukraine to the “heroes” who fought off Napoleon in 1812 and
defeated Hitler in 1945. It comes as the UK ministry of defence’s latest update
suggested that Russia was having to lean on military support from Belarus. It
read: “Although Russia and Belarus prominently publicise Russian units’
deployment into Belarus, the armed forces of Belarus have likely recently taken
on a significant, but more discreet role in training thousands of newly
mobilised Russian reservists. “The likely use of Belarusian instructors is an
attempt to partially remediate the lack of Russian military trainers, many of
whom are deployed in Ukraine or have become casualties. “Although Russia and
Belarus have an extensive background of military co-operation, the training of
mobilised Russian personnel by Belarusians represents a role reversal.
“Belarusian forces have traditionally been considered by Russia as inferior to
Russian forces and their employment as trainers is an indication of overstretch
within the Russian military system.” Meanwhile, Putin’s Ukrainian counterpart
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has secured international headlines by making his first
overseas trip since the invasion began and visiting the White House.
White House: Russia's Wagner received arms from North Korea
WASHINGTON (AP)/December 22, 2022
The White House said Thursday that the Wagner Group, a private Russian military
company, has taken delivery of an arms shipment from North Korea to help bolster
its forces as it fights side-by-side with Russian troops in Ukraine. White House
National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said U.S. intelligence officials
determined that North Korea completed an initial arms shipment that included
rockets and missiles last month. “We assess that the amount of material
delivered to Wagner will not change battlefield dynamics in Ukraine,” Kirby
said. “But we’re certainly concerned that North Korea is planning to deliver
more military equipment." The White House has expressed alarm about Wagner's
growing involvement in the war as it has been particularly active in the eastern
Donbas region. Kirby said in certain instances Russian military officials have
even been “subordinate to Wagner's command."
Biden administration officials said with the arms sales to the private military
group North Korea is violating U.N. sanctions that ban Pyongyang from importing
or exporting weapons. Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the U.S. envoy to the
United Nations, called it “despicable” that Russia, a permanent veto-wielding
member of the U.N. Security Council, which imposed the sanctions, is now using
weapons procured from North Korea and Iran “to pursue its war of aggression
against Ukraine.”Kirby said the U.S. now assesses that Wagner has some 50,000
personnel fighting in Ukraine, including 10,000 contractors and 40,000 convicts
that the company has recruited from prisons. The U.S. assesses that Wagner,
owned by Yevgeny Prigozhin, an ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is
spending about $100 million a month in the fight, Kirby said.
Wagner Group mercenaries have also been accused by Western countries and UN
experts of numerous human rights abuses throughout Africa, including in the
Central African Republic, Libya and Mali. Earlier this month, Secretary of State
Antony Blinken announced he had de signated the Wagner Group as an “entity of
particular concern” for its activities in the Central African Republic. Wagner
has faced U.S. sanctions since 2017. The Commerce Department on Wednesday
unveiled new export restrictions targeting Wagner in a bid to further restrict
its access to technology and supplies. The White House has repeatedly sought to
spotlight intelligence findings that show Russia — struggling to maintain a
steady supply of arms for its war in Ukraine and pinched by sanctions that are
limiting access to key components for weapons manufacturing — has limited
options to help it resupply weapons.
Russia has also turned to Iran to provide drones to use against Ukraine, and the
Biden administration has expressed concern that Russia may seek to acquire
additional advanced conventional weapons from Iran. The White House has
previously said that Moscow turn to North Korea for artillery.
The British government also condemned Russia for Wagner arm's purchase. “The
fact that President Putin is turning to North Korea for help is a sign of
Russia’s desperation and isolation," Foreign Secretary James Cleverly said in a
statement. “We will work with our partners to ensure that North Korea pays a
high price for supporting Russia’s illegal war in Ukraine.”North Korea has
sought to strengthen relations with Russia as much of Europe and the West has
pulled away from Moscow. Tensions on the Korean Peninsula have heightened
because of concerns about North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs.
The North has carried out a series of weapons demonstrations, while the U.S. and
South Korea held stepped up joint defense exercises. Thomas-Greenfield said
Wagner's purchase “contributes to instability on the Korean Peninsula by giving
the DPRK funds it can use to further develop its prohibited weapons of mass
destruction and ballistic missile programs.”“Russia is not only defending the
DPRK as it engages in unlawful and threatening behavior, Russia is now a partner
to such behavior," Thomas-Greenfield added.
Ukraine's 'cat and mouse' battle to keep Russian missiles
at bay
Tom Balmforth/December 22, 2022
KYIV, Dec 22 (Reuters) - As Russian cruise missiles sped towards their target
this month, a Ukrainian pilot gave chase in an old Soviet MiG-29 fighter jet and
locked onto two of them, but could not take the shot: they were nearing a large
town and it was too risky. He said he passed the targets on to Ukraine's
ground-based air defences which shot them down, as they have done hundreds of
missiles since October, blunting the impact of a Russian air campaign that aims
to destroy the country's power grid. "Fortunately for us, they succeeded," the
29-year-old pilot, whose codename is Juice, told Reuters, describing the Dec. 5
incident. Such skirmishes are common in the skies over Ukraine, and their
outcomes have a direct bearing on the lives of millions of people who are left
without heat, power or running water during the freezing winter if defences
fail. Ukraine calls the attacks a war crime, aimed at cowing innocent civilians.
Russia says the electricity grid is a legitimate military target in its "special
operation". The Pentagon has said Russia's missile strikes are partly designed
to exhaust Kyiv's supplies of air defences and finally achieve dominance of the
skies above the country. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy travelled to
Washington on Wednesday to seek "weapons, weapons and more weapons", including a
Patriot missile battery that would shore up the country's defences against
incoming missiles and drones. The attacks on energy targets disrupt everyday
life, including vital services like hospitals and schools, and threaten to
further cripple the economy. It is already set to shrink by at least a third
this year, as shops and heavy industry struggle to keep the lights on. Russia
has launched nine, large-scale air attacks - usually firing more than 70
missiles at a time - since Oct. 10, knocking out power, running water, mobile
signals and heating. Ukraine's record of downing missiles has ranged from around
50% to as much as 85%, with more recent attacks coming closer to the higher end,
according to Reuters calculations based on Ukrainian data. After the most recent
attack on Friday it said it had shot down 60 out of 76 incoming missiles.
Still, those which come through inflict serious damage. Ukraine was forced to
implement emergency blackouts nationwide, and much of Kyiv region has been
without power and water for several days.
'CAT AND MOUSE'
Spread thinly across a country double the size of Italy, air defence units are
deployed mostly near cities and key infrastructure, while fighter pilots like
Juice cover the expansive gaps in between.It is a tall order. Juice says he has
not shot down a single drone or missile in his MiG-29, which came off the
assembly line before Ukraine won independence from Soviet Moscow in 1991. "Our
jets are not capable enough to do that efficiently," said the pilot, who is in a
constant high state of readiness at a location in central Ukraine that he would
not disclose. He said it was hard spotting incoming targets with old radars,
especially in the case of low-flying, slow-moving Shahed drones that look like
moving trucks on the radar screen. On occasions, like Dec. 5, Juice was unable
to fire at targets because he was too close to densely populated areas. It is
ground-based air defence units that shoot down the vast majority of missiles and
drones, not ageing warplanes, Air Force spokesman Yuriy Ihnat said. "Both
missiles and drones fly along the course of rivers to be as low as possible and
disappear from radars. If they are low enough, they just disappear ... Then they
pop up again; it's a game of cat and mouse," said Ihnat. After major missile
barrages, a days-long pause tends to follow as Russian intelligence assesses
what was hit and what was missed, tracks the repositioning of Ukrainian air
defences and looks for weak spots to exploit, Ukrainian officials told Reuters.
"Air defences don't remain in one place: we can't cover the whole country..."
Ihnat said. For Ukraine, intelligence gathering by both domestic and Western spy
agencies plays a major role in preparing for Russian air strikes, Denys Smazhnyi,
a senior air defence training official, told Reuters.
"So we usually know what objects are under attack, we can build around those
objects some kind of air defence," he said.
DWINDLING MISSILE STOCKS
Ukraine's military intelligence chief has estimated that Russia may only have
enough high-precision weapons for few more major air strikes.But Ukrainian
officials also acknowledge that their own stocks of defensive weapons are
dwindling as the invasion nears the 10-month mark.
Despite Western supplies of air defence systems to Ukraine including the
sophisticated U.S. NASAMS and German IRIS-T systems, Soviet-era systems make up
the core of Ukrainian air defences, said Ihnat. "Our Soviet air defence system
is being depleted - that is the S-300 and the BUK, which are the foundation. We
cannot maintain that indefinitely because all the unique spare parts of those
systems are made in Russia," he added. Western air defence systems supplied to
Ukraine have performed well, but supplies are far short of what is needed,
according to both air force officials. "The Russian equipment is getting older;
we are losing missiles. I'm not (saying) they will run out in a few days or a
few weeks ... It will still depend on the intensity of the Russian attacks,"
said Smazhnyi.By Dec. 7, Russia launched more than 1,000 missiles and rockets at
Ukraine's power grid, its operator said. On Wednesday, the United States
announced $1.85 billion in additional military assistance for Ukraine, including
a transfer of the Patriot Air Defense System, Smazhnyi said such systems would
provide protection against ballistic missiles that Ukraine is now exposed to.
Ihnat said IRIS-T production was already at maximum capacity and that Ukraine
should therefore focus on obtaining as many NASAMS supplies as it could. "We're
almost through one month of winter, we have one more and then February, which is
short. I think we'll survive. But it's better to supply missiles than
generators," he said. Juice, who speaks fluent English, said many of his peers
in the Air Force were taking English lessons in their free time in anticipation
that Ukraine would one day receive Western aircraft such as the U.S. F-16
multi-role fighter jet. There has been no sign that any delivery of F-16 was
imminent or agreed, and Ihnat said the pilots were acting on their own.
"Everyone understands that sooner or later we will switch to F-16s or some other
type of plane and English knowledge will be needed." (Reporting by Tom Balmforth;
editing by Mike Collett-White and Tomasz Janowski)
Russia scrubs Mariupol's Ukraine identity, builds on death
Associated Press/December 22, 2022
Throughout Mariupol, Russian workers are tearing down bombed-out buildings at a
rate of at least one a day, hauling away shattered bodies with the debris.
Russian military convoys are rumbling down the broad avenues of what is swiftly
becoming a garrison city, and Russian soldiers, builders, administrators and
doctors are replacing the tens of thousands of Ukrainians who have died or left.
Many of the city’s Ukrainian street names are reverting to Soviet ones, with the
Avenue of Peace that cuts through Mariupol to be labeled Lenin Avenue. Even the
large sign that announces the name of the city at its entrance has been
Russified, repainted with the red, white and blue of the Russian flag and the
Russian spelling. Eight months after Mariupol fell into Russian hands, Russia is
eradicating all vestiges of Ukraine from it – along with the evidence of war
crimes buried in its buildings, such as the famed Drama Theater where demolition
started Thursday. The few open schools teach a Russian curriculum, phone and
television networks are Russian, the Ukrainian currency is dying out, and
Mariupol is now in the Moscow time zone. On the ruins of the old Mariupol, a new
Russian city is rising, with materials from at least one European company, The
Associated Press found. But the AP investigation into life in occupied Mariupol
also underlines what its residents already know all too well: No matter what the
Russians do, they are building upon a city of death. More than 10,000 new graves
now scar Mariupol, the AP found, and the death toll might run three times higher
than an early estimate of at least 25,000. The former Ukrainian city has also
hollowed out, with Russian plans to demolish well over 50,000 homes, the AP
calculated. Associated Press journalists were the last international media in
Mariupol to escape heavy shelling in March, before Russian forces took the city
over. This is the story of what has happened since. AP reconnected with many
people whose tragedies were captured in photos and video during the deadliest
days of the Russian siege.
Death surrounds Mariupol in the rapidly growing cemeteries on its outskirts, and
its stench lingered over the city into the autumn. It haunts the memories of
survivors, both in Mariupol and in exile.
Every one of the dozens of residents the AP spoke with knew someone killed
during the siege of Mariupol, which began with the Feb. 24 invasion. As many as
30 people arrive at the morgue each day in hopes of tracking down a loved one.
Lydya Erashova watched her 5-year-old son Artem and her 7-year-old niece
Angelina die after a Russian shelling in March. The family hastily buried the
young cousins in a makeshift grave in a yard and fled Mariupol. They returned in
July to rebury the children, only to learn while on the road that the bodies had
already been dug up and taken to a warehouse. As they approached the city
center, each block was bleaker than the last. “It is horror. Wherever you look,
whichever way you look,” said Erashova. “Everything is black, is destroyed.”
Neither she nor her sister-in-law could bear to go inside the warehouse to
identify the bodies of their children. Their husbands, who are brothers, chose
the tiny coffins – one pink and one blue – to be placed together in a single
grave. Erashova, who is now in Canada, said no Russian rebuilding plan could
possibly bring back what Mariupol lost. “Our lives have been taken from us. Our
child was taken from us,” she said. “It’s so ridiculous and stupid. How do you
restore a dead city where people were killed at every turn?”
RECKONING WITH DEATH
The AP investigation drew on interviews with 30 residents from Mariupol,
including 13 living under Russian occupation; satellite imagery; hundreds of
videos gathered from inside the city, and Russian documents showing a master
plan. Taken together, they chronicle a comprehensive effort to suppress
Mariupol’s collective history and memory as a Ukrainian city. Mariupol was in
the crosshairs of the Kremlin from the first day of the invasion. Just 40
kilometers (25 miles) from the Russian border, the city is a port on the Sea of
Azov and crucial for Russian supply lines. The city was hit relentlessly with
airstrikes and artillery, its communications severed, its food and water cut
off. Yet Mariupol refused to give in for 86 days. By the time the last Ukrainian
fighters holed up in the Azovstal steel mill surrendered in May, Mariupol had
become a symbol of Ukrainian resistance. That resistance came at a high price.
The thoroughness of Russia’s destruction of Mariupol can still be seen today.
Videos taken across the city and satellite images show that munitions have left
their mark on nearly every building across its 166 square kilometers (64 square
miles). Large swaths of the city are devoid of color and life, with
fire-blackened walls, grey demolition dust and dead trees with shredded foliage.
But the worst destruction Mariupol suffered may be measured in its death toll,
which will never be fully known. An AP analysis of satellite imagery taken over
the past eight months of occupation shows 8,500 new graves in the outlying
Staryi Krym cemetery alone, with possibly multiple bodies beneath each mound.
There are at least three other trench gravesites around the city, including one
created by Ukrainians themselves at the beginning of the siege. In all, a total
at least 10,300 new graves are scattered around Mariupol, according to AP’s
methodology, confirmed by three forensic pathologists with expertise in mass
graves. Thousands more bodies likely never even made it to the graveyard. Back
in May, when the city finally fell, the municipal government in exile estimated
25,000 people at a minimum had died. But at least three people in the city since
June say the number killed is triple that or more, based on conversations with
workers documenting body collection from the streets for the Russian occupation
authorities. Svitlana Chebotareva, a Mariupol resident who fled in March, said
her neighbor died in a flat nearby, and the body is still there. Chebotareva
returned home this autumn for just long enough to retrieve her belongings, since
residents are free to come and go so long as they pass checkpoints. She said the
Russians expect gratitude with their offer of a few new apartments. “I don’t
know how it’s possible now to give us ‘candies’ in exchange for destroyed homes
and killed people,” she said in Kyiv. “And they still believe it anyway.”
ERASING A UKRAINIAN CITY
The notices are taped to peeling, pockmarked walls by the entry, and addressed
to “DEAR RESIDENTS.”This is how those who remained in Mariupol learn their
buildings are scheduled for imminent demolition. Often, despite shattered
windows, frozen pipes and no electricity, they are still living inside because
they have nowhere else to go. In a review of hundreds of photos and video clips
along with documents from occupation authorities, the AP found that more than
300 buildings in Mariupol have been or are about to be demolished. Some are
individual homes, but most are multistory apartment blocks in the khrushchyovka
style, launched by Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev in a housing crisis in the
1960s. With around 180 apartments inside or more, each building was designed to
house as many families as possible. That means in all, the demolitions will
remove well over 50,000 homes, according to AP calculations. “There is no
discussion, people aren’t prepared,” said an activist in Mariupol, who like all
inside Mariupol requested anonymity for fear of retribution. “People still live
in the basements. Where they can go is unclear.” Only Russians handle the debris
itself, according to another resident still in the city who works on the sites.
The stated reason is to avoid accidents, he said. But Petro Andryushchenko, an
aide to Mariupol’s mayor who is exiled in Dnipro, believes the real reason is to
ensure that people don’t see the rotting corpses being hauled away. He said many
of the buildings, especially in the neighborhood around Azovstal , contain 50 to
100 bodies each that will never get a decent burial. Those deaths will go
unrecorded.
110 Mytropolytska is one of the buildings on Russia’s demolition list, scheduled
to come down any day.
The smell of fresh-baked bread still brings Inna Nepomnyshaya, a doctor, back to
her last night in March in her sixth-floor apartment there. When she saw the
street price of bread in her besieged city, she decided to bake her own. The
smell warmed the air the next morning when her son-in-law arrived. It was time
to leave, he insisted. Russian forces were closing in. Nepomnyshaya was at her
daughter’s building when Russian tanks rolled up to her own at dusk on March 11.
As AP journalists watched and recorded from the upper floor of nearby Hospital
No. 2, one tank raised its gun at 110 Mytropolytska and fired. The shell
shattered the walls of Nepomnyshaya’s apartment and obliterated those of the
neighbors above, below and behind her. Most of the neighbors were huddled in the
basement, but two elderly women, Lydya and Nataliya, couldn’t make the trip up
and down the stairs. Their bodies would be buried in the courtyard soon after.
Weeks later, AP video showed the rough graves still there. With communications
to the city cut, Nepomnyshaya did not learn of the fate of her apartment until
her family had escaped to Ukrainian-held territory. Like many who left Mariupol,
she still speaks of the city in the present tense.
“I live in Mariupol, this is my home,” she said, speaking by candlelight in a
café in Dnipro, another city that had lost power. “This house was my fortress,
and they took it away from me.”Also on the demolition list are the buildings on
either side. One was hit by at least one airstrike on March 11; the walls of
another are in ruins. Russia is now moving into the historic city center.
Russian authorities in October dismantled Mariupol’s memorial to victims of the
Holodomor, the Soviet-engineered famine in the 1930s that killed millions of
Ukrainians, according to video posted on Russian television. They also painted
over two murals commemorating victims of Russia’s 2014 attack on Ukraine, images
obtained by the AP show. “They spend an inordinate amount of time focusing on
things like erasing demonstrations of Ukrainian identity and very little time
tending to the needs of the Mariupol people,” said Michael Carpenter, U.S.
ambassador to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, which for
years monitored eastern Ukraine. “It’s really a very brutal inhuman colonial
experiment unfolding before our eyes.”
BUILDING A RUSSIAN CITY
As it tries to raze the remains of Ukraine, Russia has laid out a plan for a new
city with a new population. At its heart will lie the historic Mariupol theater,
according to the master plan first reported by the Russian site The Village in
August and seen by The Associated Press. The majestic Drama Theater became the
city’s main bomb shelter until twin Russian airstrikes hit on March 16. Hundreds
died, an AP investigation found, and residents said the site reeked of bodies
all summer. To mask the ruins, Russian authorities put up a screen so tall it
can be seen from space, etching the theater’s outline on the paneling in a
ghostly reminder of its previous life. On Thursday, the theater itself fell
victim to the demolition campaign, according to video from the city seen by The
Associated Press. Also in the Russian documents are plans to restore the ruins
of the obliterated Azovstal steel mill, the last Ukrainian holdout. The site is
slated to be transformed into an industrial park by the end of next year, though
there are no signs that any work has begun. But a Russian military compound went
up in record time, according to satellite imagery from Maxar Technologies that
showed the vast U-shaped building with the Russian Army slogan emblazoned on the
rooftop. Russia already has constructed at least 14 new apartment buildings — a
small fraction of the number coming down — and is repairing at least two of the
hospitals it damaged by shelling. Video obtained by The Associated Press showed
rows of pallets stacked with insulation from the Danish company Rockwool, which
maintains its division in Russia despite criticism. Construction materials are
not subject to sanctions. In a statement, Rockwool’s Vice President of
Communications Michael Zarin said the insulation panels were distributed without
the company’s “knowledge or consent,” and that he hopes its products help
restore health care, warmth and shelter to Ukrainians. Videos show no furniture
visible in the windows of the new apartments and few people on the sidewalks
outside. Only pensioners, the disabled and those affiliated with the occupation
seem to be getting them, according to multiple people still in Mariupol. One man
applied to the list in September and found himself in 11,700th place. He has
friends in the 2,000 range who are still waiting, like him. And an old man he
knows, whose number was in the 9,000s has already moved into one of the new
buildings.
“I don’t know how it happens. I won’t speculate,” he said.
However, the man said he has no issue with the demolition of buildings that
aren’t fit to live in. He is cautiously relaunching his own company in the new
city. But the plans for a Russian Mariupol depend on a population that simply no
longer exists. Thousands of Mariupol’s former residents were sent to Russia with
little or no choice, and thousands more fled into other areas of Ukraine. Of
Mariupol’s former population of around 425,000, just over a quarter stayed,
according to estimates from Andryushchenko. The Russian master plan for Mariupol
calls for a population of 212,000 in 2022, and back to 425,000 by 2030. Right
now, about 15,000 of the people in Mariupol people are Russian troops, said
Andryushchenko, who drew his estimate from information about the soldiers taking
over homes and public buildings. He said Russian riot police have begun
patrolling the city to head off protests over the lack of heat, electricity and
water. Videos seen by the AP showed military convoys, along with construction
trucks, clogging the streets. The activist the AP spoke with also confirmed an
increase in the number of soldiers since Russian forces retreated from the
Kharkiv and Kherson regions.
Construction workers from Russia show no signs of leaving, and tents were
visible outside the Port City mall until the winter. Doctors and city
administrators also have come in from Russia, according to Russian government
announcements and physicians who left the city after refusing to work for the
occupation authorities. “There is no more Russian city now than Mariupol,”
Dmitry Sablin, a Russian lawmaker born in Mariupol, said in an interview with
Russian media in June after visiting the city. The Kremlin is moving as swiftly
as it can to ensure that those Ukrainians who stay see their future as Russians.
On Nov. 15, Russian President Vladimir Putin awarded Mariupol the title of “City
of Military Glory” for the heroism of people he described as its defenders. On
Dec. 7, Putin said his war against Ukraine had turned the Sea of Azov into
“Russia’s internal sea.” This suits many of those who remained behind just fine.
Mariupol has always had some residents who considered themselves Russian.
“Whoever doesn’t like it, doesn’t come back,” one woman said.
NO FUTURE IN SIGHT
Russia’s occupation of Mariupol has divided families and friends into two
categories: Those who stayed and those who fled. Both grapple with what Mariupol
once was and will be. When Ivan Kalinin escaped, he left behind the body of his
wife Iryna and their unborn first child, both killed in the March 9 Russian
airstrike on the maternity hospital. His parents and hers stayed in Mariupol. He
last saw his wife that morning when her labor began, and she sent him to fetch
clothes and diapers. He learned about the airstrike at a military blockade on
the way to the hospital. He and his father found her body the next day at
another hospital. “I do not even know how I survived it,” he said quietly. “I
was drinking every day to fall asleep.” Kalinin, who now lives in Wales, cannot
imagine going home. Nor can he imagine life anywhere else. “It is too painful
for me to be there. I might return at some point — it is my hometown, after
all,” he said. “I fall asleep every day hoping this is a dream. And I wake up
with understanding that it is a reality.”Mariupol is now torn between Russia and
Ukraine. Some people who stayed are waiting for Russian citizenship just to get
on with their lives. Yet the Ukrainian letter ï , which is not found in Russian,
is appearing as graffiti around the city — a small act of defiance in a place
many described as full of fear. Nepomnyshaya, whose apartment was struck by a
Russian shell, dreamed recently that she’d returned home and smelled bread. But
she is not sure if she ever can or will go back. “I believe that Mariupol will
be rebuilt, that it will be Ukraine after all,” she said. “But I know that this
smell is just a memory.”
*Hinnant and Stepanenko reported from Dnipro, Ukraine. El Deeb reported from
Beirut. Tilna reported from Lviv, Ukraine. Marshall Ritzel in New York, Michael
Biesecker in Washington, and Mstyslav Chernov, Jamey Keaten, Evgeniy Maloletka
and Inna Varenytsia in Kyiv, Ukraine, contributed.
Netanyahu Informs President He Has Formed a Government
Zen Read/Haaretz/December 22/2022
Likud chair Benjamin Netanyahu notified Israeli President Isaac Herzog that he
has been able to form a new government, to be sworn in within a few days,
barring any delays
Benjamin Netanyahu officially informed Israel's President that he has
successfully formed a new government, some six weeks after the Knesset
elections. The Likud chairman spoke with President Herzog, telling him he has
enough seats to build a majority in the 120-member legislature. The parties that
will make up the coalition will be Netanyahu's Likud, the ultra-Orthodox Shas
and United Torah Judaism, and the far-right factions Otzma Yehudit, Religious
Zionism and Noam. Outgoing Prime Minister Yair Lapid reacted to
Netanyahu's announcement, saying that "Ben-Gvir and Smotrich have formed the
most extreme government in Israel's history," envoking the names of the leaders
of Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism. The next step in the process will occur
when Knesset speaker Yariv Levin officially informs the lawmakers that a new
government has been formed. That move would trigger the Basic Law on the
Government, which states that the cabinet must be sworn in no more than seven
days afterwards. However, because of the Hanukkah holiday, the Knesset is not
expected to meet on Wednesday, and will convene again only on the following
Monday, December 26. Therefore, the swearing-in ceremony of the new cabinet will
take place no later than Monday, January 2. Netanyahu and Levin would like to
try to hold the swearing-in ceremony before the deadline. Sources close to the
two say that Wednesday or Thursday of next week, December 27 or 28, is a likely
date, barring any delays. The Knesset's legislative blitz proves no one trusts
Netanyahu. Whether the event takes place this week or next week is not
considered very important, because Likud believes the coalition laws will all be
passed by Wednesday of next week. The goal of moving up the date before the
deadline is symbolic, so as not to wait until the new year for the swearing-in
ceremony. On Monday, the Knesset is expected to vote on the final version of the
so-called “Dery bill,” which would enable Dery to become a minister despite
being given a suspended sentence following a plea deal for tax offenses in
January 2022. Immediately after, discussion is to begin on the so-called
“Ben-Gvir bill,” an amendment to the Police Ordinance subordinating the police
chief to the far-right National Security Minister-designate Itamar Ben-Gvir.
Chile president says planning to open embassy
in Palestine
Agence France Presse/December 22/2022
President Gabriel Boric of Chile, whose country has the largest Palestinian
population outside of the Middle East, said Wednesday that he planned to open an
embassy "in Palestine".
The announcement by the leftist president, who began his four-year term in March
2022, came at a Christmas ceremony for Chile's Palestinian community, estimated
to be more than 300,000 strong.
"One of the decisions we have taken as a government, I think we have not yet
made it public... is that we will raise the level of our official representation
in Palestine," Boric said. "We will open an embassy under our government." Chile
in 1998 opened a representative office to the Palestinian Authority in Ramallah,
and in 2011 recognized Palestine as a state and supported its entrance to
UNESCO. Palestinians began immigrating to Chile in large numbers during the 20th
century, when the area was still part of the Ottoman Empire. The large community
is prominent in Chile's textile industry and also involved in the country's
politics.
Netanyahu regime under US pressure to contain far-right tactics in West Bank
Arab News/December 22, 2022
RAMALLAH: Washington has informed Tel Aviv that it will not grant entry visas to
the US for Israeli security personnel or settlers who engage in violence in the
West Bank, according to Israeli sources. The US also indicated it may reduce its
military aid to Israel, or may not grant annual guarantees for $33 billion in
assistance for the next 10 years, if used against Palestinians in the West Bank.
This development coincided with incoming Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu announcing success in forming a new government. Washington has sent
warning messages to Netanyahu through its ambassador to Israel, Tom Nides, in
the wake of the success of right-wing Israeli parties in elections in early
November. The US identified red lines that President Joe Biden will not allow to
be crossed, including Israel taking unilateral steps to undermine the two-state
solution, and changing the status quo of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem. Israeli
political analyst Yoni Ben Menachem told Arab News that the Netanyahu government
is obliged to abide by the US requests because it needs weapons from Washington
for military operations in Iran. Netanyahu “will not enter into a confrontation
with Biden because he needs to obtain this American weapon, and he informed both
(coalition partners Itamar) Ben-Gvir and (Bezalel) Smotrich of this,” Ben
Menachem told Arab News. The analyst indicated that Biden does not want a
confrontation with Netanyahu as it would strengthen extremists in the incoming
government, undermine the Palestinian Authority and the two-state solution
Palestinian political analyst Ghassan Al-Khatib told Arab News that the
composition of the new Israeli government constituted a challenge and
embarrassment to the Biden administration. He said the president would
pressure Netanyahu to curb those far-right elements in his coalition, which, Al-Khatib
said, would also be in the interests of the new prime minister, so as to lessen
their influence over him. Netanyahu has for some time pursued a strategy of
exaggerating the Iranian threat to the region in order to entice more Arab
countries to normalize relations with Israel and to obtain advanced American
weapons, as well as using that threat domestically to imply an existential
threat against Israel. But he is struggling to promote the idea whilst
simultaneously claiming the Palestinian Authority poses an equally existential
threat. The PA, meanwhile, may benefit from US pressure on Israel and the
presence of extreme right-wing elements in government to revitalize its own
efforts to improve relations with international organizations and European
countries. In another development, Palestinians sources say the Jewish shrine of
Joseph’s Tomb, located in the center of Nablus beside the Balata refugee camp,
has become a hotbed of tension and violence.
The frequent storming of the site by dozens of religious settlers, protected by
the Israel Defense Force, often leads to stone-thowing or armed confrontations
between Palestinians, settlers and the IDF. The number of Palestinians killed at
the site since the beginning of the year is estimated at 20, the latest of whom
was soccer player Ahmed Daraghmeh, who died on Wednesday night in an incident
that saw 22 others injured when Palestinian militants exchanged fire with
Israeli troops escorting Jewish worshippers to the tomb in the Palestinian city.
Palestinian sources say incursions increased after Netanyahu and his allies
performed well in the polls in November, and that settlers stoke tensions by
posting photos and videos upon their arrival at the shrine on social media. A
high-ranking Palestinian security officer in Nablus, who preferred not to be
named, told Arab News that the IDF and settlers’ repeated incursions into the
area often occurred without prior official coordination with the Palestinian
security services, instead making announcements in advance through Israeli
social media and official settler webpages. Loud music, dancing, screaming and
partying are common when they arrive, said the Palestinian officer, adding that
settlers often set up tables laden with food at the shrine. “This is a
provocative act, not a prayer,” he added. The official said that before, visits
were limited to once a month during daylight hours, when Palestinians in the
area tended to be at work or school, but that they now take place more often and
usually at night, with increasingly provocative, far-right overtones. The visits
cause an increase in the security burden and widespread embarrassment for the
Palestinian security services, as every visit to the shrine ends with violence
and, increasingly, the killing and wounding of Palestinians. “Palestinian
citizens are wondering where the Palestinian security is to protect us from the
oppression of the army and the storming settlers. But, according to the
agreements with the Israeli side, we cannot engage in armed clashes with the
Israeli army, which harms the image and prestige of the Palestinian security
forces in the eyes of its people,” the source told Arab News. He described the
shrine as having become one of the most bloody and tense points between the
Palestinians, the IDF and the Israeli settlers in the West Bank, second only to
Al-Aqsa Mosque. Palestinian police guard the tomb around the clock, but withdraw
when the IDF and settlers arrive to visit the site. An Israeli source told Arab
News that the clashes at Joseph’s Tomb were due to the weakness of the
Palestinian security services in Nablus, which no longer control the city.
Palestinian militant killed in Israel West Bank incursion
Agence France Presse/December 22/2022
Israeli troops shot dead a Palestinian militant during an incursion into the
West Bank city of Nablus early Thursday, Palestinian sources said. The exchange
of fire came just hours after veteran Israeli hawk Benjamin Netanyahu announced
he had formed a new government, returning to power as the head of the most
right-wing coalition in Israel's history. The Palestinian health ministry said
Ahmed Atef Daraghmeh, 23, a footballer from the nearby town of Tulkarem,
sustained bullet wounds to the back and foot. Islamist group Hamas, which rules
the Gaza Strip, said Daraghmeh was a member of its military wing who "was killed
by occupation bullets during clashes at dawn on Thursday". The Israeli army said
its troops had entered Nablus to "secure the coordinated entrance of Israeli
civilians to Joseph's Tomb," a contested religious site that Muslims believe
houses the grave of a local sheikh, but many Jews revere as the burial place of
the Biblical patriarch Joseph. "Armed Palestinians hurled explosive devices and
fired toward the soldiers, endangering their lives," the army said. "The
soldiers responded with live fire. Hits were identified." Joseph's Tomb lies
within the built up area of Nablus, and Jewish pilgrims can visit only in groups
escorted by the Israeli army. Their entry often sparks clashes with Palestinian
residents. Nablus has seen frequent clashes between Israeli troops and
Palestinian militants in recent months, as the army has stepped up its
incursions into Palestinian towns and cities in response to a wave of deadly
attacks on Israeli targets earlier this year. The flare-up has seen the rise to
prominence of a new armed group, dubbed the "Lions' Den", that has brought
together fighters from established Palestinian factions united in their
opposition to the longstanding security coordination between the Palestinian
Authority and the Israeli army. The army killed some of the group's top leaders
in early October, but its militants said on Telegram that they had taken part in
Thursday's clashes. Members of the new governing coalition announced by
Netanyahu late Wednesday have called for an even tougher crackdown on
Palestinians. The prospective national security minister in the new government,
Itamar Ben Gvir of the far-right Jewish Power party, has repeatedly urged
Israeli security personnel to use more force when countering Palestinian unrest.
At least 150 Palestinians and 26 Israelis have been killed this year across
Israel and the West Bank, including Israeli-annexed east Jerusalem. A further 49
Palestinians were killed during three days of fighting between Gaza militants
and Israel in August.
Gaza Christians say travel curbs separate
families at Christmas
Reuters/December 22, 2022
GAZA: As pilgrims from around the world flock to Bethlehem, Jerusalem and
Nazareth for Christmas, members of Gaza’s Christian community wait to hear
whether Israel will grant them a travel permit. This year, Israeli authorities
have approved travel for nearly 600 Palestinian Christians in Gaza, according to
COGAT, a unit in Israel’s defense ministry that coordinates civilian issues with
Palestinians. But Palestinians say Israel’s permit allocations deny many
families a rare opportunity to leave the strip and travel together because
permits are not always granted to all family members. “It is a tragedy when the
mother or the father gets a permit and not the children or the opposite. That
means there is no travel and there is no celebration,” Suhail Tarazi, director
of Gaza’s Young Men’s Christian Association (YMCA).n“Such suffering happens to
many families and it is repeated every year,” Tarazi told Reuters during a
tree-lighting celebration in Gaza City on Dec 10. COGAT said the accusations
were an “absolute lie” and that it had denied about 200 applications from
Christians this year on security grounds. Gaza’s 2.3 million population
comprises an estimated 1,000 Christians, most of whom are Greek Orthodox who
celebrate Christmas in January. Gaza is run by the Islamist Hamas group. Citing
security concerns, Israel restricts the movement of people and goods and
maintains a naval blockade of the densely-populated coastal strip, where
unemployment and poverty are high. Egypt also maintains some restrictions along
its frontier with the territory. “I got a permit, but neither my wife nor my son
did, therefore, I won’t be able to travel and enjoy Christmas in Bethlehem, the
birthplace of Jesus,” Majed Tarazi said. He is not related to Suhail, the YMCA
director. For journalist Samer Hanna, the situation is reversed. He has been
denied permits for the last 15 years on security grounds, while his wife and two
children can travel.“They get upset when they go and I am not with them, and if
they stay here because of me, they still wish they could go to the West Bank or
Jerusalem,” Hanna said. Even though Bethlehem is only a 90-minute drive away,
the travel ban has prevented him from reconnecting with extended family and
friends in the West Bank. “It is a big problem when I see people from all over
the world going to Bethlehem easily and I can’t travel with my family,” he said.
Turkey, Saudi Arabia decry Taliban university
ban for women
Associated Press/December 22/2022
Turkey and Saudi Arabia became the latest Muslim-majority countries to condemn a
decision by Taliban authorities to bar women from universities, while about two
dozen women staged a protest in the streets of Kabul on Thursday. In another
sign of domestic opposition, several Afghan cricketers condemned the university
ban. Cricket is a hugely popular sport in Afghanistan, and players have hundreds
of thousands of followers on social media. The country's Taliban rulers earlier
this week ordered women nationwide to stop attending private and public
universities effective immediately and until further notice.They have yet to
publicly speak about the ban or react to the global backlash against it,
although a spokesman for the Ministry of Higher Education, Ziaullah Hashmi, said
in a tweet Thursday that a news conference would be held this week to explain
the move. Despite initially promising a more moderate rule respecting rights for
women and minorities, the Taliban have widely implemented their interpretation
of Islamic law, or Sharia, since they seized power in August 2021. They have
banned girls from middle school and high school, barred women from most fields
of employment and ordered them to wear head-to-toe clothing in public. Women are
also banned from parks and gyms. At the same time, Afghan society, while largely
traditional, has increasingly embraced the education of girls and women over the
past two decades. The latest condemnations of the university ban came from
Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said Thursday
that the ban was "neither Islamic nor humane." Speaking at a joint news
conference with his Yemeni counterpart, Cavusoglu called on the Taliban to
reverse their decision. "What harm is there in women's education? What harm does
it to do Afghanistan?" Cavusoglu said. "Is there an Islamic explanation? On the
contrary, our religion, Islam, is not against education, on the contrary, it
encourages education and science." Saudi Arabia, which until 2019 enforced
sweeping restrictions on women's travel, employment and other crucial aspects of
their daily life including driving, also urged the Taliban to change course. The
Saudi foreign ministry expressed "astonishment and regret" at Afghan women being
denied a university education. In a statement late Wednesday, the ministry said
the decision was "astonishing in all Islamic countries." Previously, Qatar,
which has engaged with the Taliban authorities, also condemned the decision. In
the capital of Kabul, about two dozen women marched in the streets Thursday,
chanting in Dari for freedom and equality. "All or none. Don't be afraid. We are
together," they chanted. In video obtained by The Associated Press, one woman
said Taliban security forces used violence to disperse the group. "The girls
were beaten and whipped," she said. "They also brought military women with them,
whipping the girls. We ran away, some girls were arrested. I don't know what
will happen." Several Afghan cricketers called for the ban to be lifted. Player
Rahmanullah Garbaz said in a tweet that every day of education wasted was a day
wasted in the country's future. Another cricketer, Rashid Khan, tweeted that
women are the foundation of society. "A society that leaves its children in the
hands of ignorant and illiterate women cannot expect its members to serve and
work hard," he wrote. Another show of support for female university students
came at Nangarhar Medical University. Local media reported that male students
walked out in solidarity and refused to sit exams until women's university
access was reinstated.
Explosion in northern Iraq kills two soldiers, injures
three
Associated Press/December 22, 2022
Two soldiers were killed and three were injured in an explosion in northern
Iraq, Iraqi state news said Thursday. The soldiers were traveling in an army
vehicle a day earlier in the Makhmour district when an explosive device
detonated, the state Iraqi News Agency reported. No group immediately claimed
responsibility for the attack. It was the latest in a string of similar
incidents in recent days. Eight people were killed and three injured Monday in
an attack by gunmen on the village of Albu Bali northwest of Fallujah,
previously held by the Islamic State extremist group. On Sunday, an explosive
device went off in northern Iraq, killing at least nine members of the Iraqi
federal police force who were on patrol in the village of Ali al-Sultan in the
Riyadh district of the province of Kirkuk. On Wednesday, Iraqi Prime Minister
Mohammed Shia al-Sudani had convened a meeting of security officials to discuss
the "terrorist attacks" and the army's plans to respond, according to an
official statement. Iraqi officials declared victory over the Islamic State
extremist group five years ago, but the group has continued to carry out
sporadic attacks, amid fears of a resurgence.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on December 22-23/2022/
Saudi Arabia Welcomes China's Xi as US Snubs Allies, Courts Enemies
Lawrence A. Franklin/Gatestone Institute/December 22, 2022
China is fully exploiting the cooling of US-Saudi relations engineered by the
Biden administration's repeated public personal attacks on Saudi Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) as well as perceived decreased support for the
Saudi-led coalition's efforts to blunt Iranian expansionism in Yemen.
The Saudis had most likely hoped that the US would finally scuttle the Iran
nuclear deal for good, which did not take place.
Just a few weeks into the Biden administration, on February 12, 2021, Secretary
of State Antony Blinken removed the Houthis from the list of Foreign Terrorist
Organizations. A few months later, the Houthis expressed their appreciation by
raining rockets and missiles down on Saudi Arabia's "critical energy facilities"
and the United Arab Emirates.
Saudi leaders therefore seem to be seeking to diversify their commercial and
security links by improving relations with China, as superficially symbolized by
the pomp and ceremony associated with Xi's welcome to Riyadh. If so, this Saudi
initiative plays well with Xi's concept of an emerging multi-polar world.
Xi has agreed to buy more oil from Gulf Cooperation Council states but suggested
that the purchases be paid for in Chinese yuan rather than US dollars. If the
oil-exporting states agree to Xi's request, it will further reinforce the notion
that US influence with Saudi Arabia is on the decline.
As evidence of this negative trend in US prestige, the Saudi crown prince
ignored US warnings not to sign deals with the Chinese telecommunications
company Huawei. Saudi Arabia inked Huawei-associated contracts on data centers
and cloud computing.
The Saudis seem to be welcoming China as a potential strategic partner -- one
that will not, unlike the US, interfere in what the Kingdom undoubtedly
considers its most urgent existential need.
China is fully exploiting the cooling of US-Saudi relations engineered by the
Biden administration's repeated public personal attacks on Saudi Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman as well as perceived decreased support for the Saudi-led
coalition's efforts to blunt Iranian expansionism in Yemen. Pictured: Saudi
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman attends a meeting with Chinese President Xi
Jinping in Beijing on February 22, 2019. (Photo by How Hwee Young/AFP via Getty
Images)
China is fully exploiting the cooling of US-Saudi relations engineered by the
Biden administration's repeated public personal attacks on Saudi Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) as well as perceived decreased support for the
Saudi-led coalition's efforts to blunt Iranian expansionism in Yemen.
China's first summit with Arab state leaders in Saudi Arabia occurs at a
propitious time for both Chinese President Xi Jinping and MBS. Xi is at the
height of his power, having been approved in November by the Chinese Communist
Party (CCP) Central Committee for an unprecedented third term as party General
Secretary. MBS, already Saudi Arabia's de facto leader, was just appointed as
the Prime Minister by his father, King Salman bin Abdulaziz.
MBS's recent meeting with US President Joe Biden further added to the crown
prince's reputation as a decisive leader. During their October meeting in
Riyadh, it was Biden who appeared to be the junior partner. During the sessions,
MBS dashed any US hopes that Riyadh would grant the American leader's request to
increase its oil production, which Biden had hoped would continue throughout
December. Such an increase, if implemented, could have helped reduce US domestic
gasoline prices at the pump in the run-up to US mid-term elections and during
the holiday shopping and travel season. Biden administration officials were
reportedly disappointed by an unexpected OPEC's Saudi-led decision to reduce oil
production by two million barrels per day. The Saudis had most likely hoped that
the US would finally scuttle the Iran nuclear deal for good, which did not take
place.
The Saudi chill toward the US president reflects the political reality that the
decades-long US-Saudi strategic partnership is at a nadir. Relations soured
following the murder of the Muslim Brotherhood-aligned US-resident and
Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi in Saudi Arabia's Consulate in
Istanbul in October 2018, although Washington never showed any signs of pique
toward Iran for the abduction and apparent murder of the retired FBI agent and
CIA contractor Robert Levenson. Allegations that MBS ordered the murder of
Khashoggi were embraced by Biden, who went on to publicly condemn the crown
prince. Subsequently, Biden's position was further weakened as he was forced to
climb down from his pledge to punish MBS, by admitting that MBS, as Saudi
Arabia's prime minister, is immune from prosecution.
The Kingdom also continues to absorb bizarre US criticism that Saudi airstrikes
hit 72 Yemeni targets whereas the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen bombed only 52
Saudi facilities Yemen is indeed suffering a profound humanitarian crisis but
the responsibility for this disaster lies wholly with Iran, which has been
arming, training and supplying its Shiite Houthi tribal ally to take over Yemen,
thereby threatening Sunni Saudi Arabia and its oil facilities. Iran's Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Lebanon-based Hezbollah continue to aid the
Houthis, who have launched missiles and weaponized drones against targets in
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Just a few weeks into the Biden
administration, on February 12, 2021, Secretary of State Antony Blinken removed
the Houthis from the list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations. A few months
later, the Houthis expressed their appreciation by raining rockets and missiles
down on Saudi Arabia's "critical energy facilities" and the United Arab
Emirates.
Saudi leaders therefore seem to be seeking to diversify their commercial and
security links by improving relations with China, as superficially symbolized by
the pomp and ceremony associated with Xi's welcome to Riyadh. If so, this Saudi
initiative plays well with Xi's concept of an emerging multi-polar world.
Riyadh choreographed a colorful and festive salute to the Chinese leader with
ceremonies equivalent to the elaborate welcome extended then President Trump in
his visit to Saudi Arabia in 2017. There is little doubt that MBS was sending a
message to the Biden Administration that Saudi Arabia and Gulf States will be
looking to expand relations with other geopolitical powers, despite the White
House's warnings about deepening ties to Communist China.
Xi has agreed to buy more oil from Gulf Cooperation Council states but suggested
that the purchases be paid for in Chinese yuan rather than US dollars. If the
oil-exporting states agree to Xi's request, it will further reinforce the notion
that US influence with Saudi Arabia is on the decline. As evidence of this
negative trend in US prestige, the Saudi crown prince ignored US warnings not to
sign deals with the Chinese telecommunications company Huawei. Saudi Arabia
inked Huawei-associated contracts on data centers and cloud computing.
China now imports about 18% of its crude oil from Saudi Arabia, slightly less
from Russia, and substantial quantities from other Middle East states such as
Iraq, Kuwait and Oman. China, as the world's largest importer of oil, may be
seeking to continue to diversify its sources of energy, as it already imports
petroleum products from 44 countries.
The Saudis seem to be welcoming China as a potential strategic partner -- one
that will not, unlike the US, interfere in what the Kingdom undoubtedly
considers its most urgent existential need.
*Dr. Lawrence A. Franklin was the Iran Desk Officer for Secretary of Defense
Rumsfeld. He also served on active duty with the U.S. Army and as a Colonel in
the Air Force Reserve.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Designate the Iranian regime’s paramilitary
group as a terror organization
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arabg News/December 23, 2022
Protests across Iran have entered their fourth month while the Iranian
authorities appear to be resorting to every possible mode of repression to
suppress the demonstrators.
Some violent modes of repression include shooting at protesters, injuring and
killing people, executing protesters, thousands of arrests, physical and mental
torture, and sexual violence, including rape.
One of the important steps that the international community ought to take to
hold the perpetrators of these crimes accountable is to impose crippling
sanctions on one of the leading forces behind the crackdown, the IRGC’s violent
paramilitary group, the Basij. In 1981, two years after its creation, the Basij
became an official part of the IRGC and it established centers across the
country.
This paramilitary group acts with impunity. It was granted extensive powers by
the IRGC that allowed its members to act as religious and moral police, to
enforce the regime’s revolutionary laws, monitor people’s daily activities,
suppress anti-regime protests, operate in foreign countries, organize religious
events throughout Iran, and recruit and train child soldiers for the IRGC. Basij
centers can be seen in almost every city, town, school and university across
Iran. In return, the Basij has significantly empowered and emboldened the
Iranian regime. As the US Treasury Department pointed out: “In addition to its
involvement in violent crackdowns and serious human rights abuses in Iran, the
Basij recruits and trains fighters . . . including Iranian children, who then
deploy to Syria to support the brutal Assad regime.”
In every wave of protests, including the latest one, the Basij has played a
critical role in cracking down on demonstrators and those who dare to criticize
the Islamic Republic and the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Many videos
on social media have revealed how the Basij officers are shooting and beating up
protesters. The Basij members appear in plain clothes (lebas shakhsi) in public,
which makes it extremely difficult for ordinary people to identify them before
being attacked. Iran International news agency reported that “According to
Rouydad24 news website in Tehran, when people produce evidence that they were
beaten or arrested by plainclothes individuals or even when videos of
plainclothes officers arresting, beating or shooting at protesters emerge, the
government always claims that they were “rogue elements.’”
As long as all law enforcement officers in Iran do not wear uniforms, the
government can get away with the criminal acts committed by them. Since 1999,
when plainclothes officers violently suppressed a student uprising in Tehran
killing several students, some regime insiders have been trying to convince the
security forces to issue uniforms to all law enforcers, to no avail. Security
forces are under the command of Khamenei, who needs plainclothes agents to save
the regime from the people.
Although the Iranian regime claims that the Basij is a voluntary resistance
group, many of its members are paid. In fact, the regime designates a large
budget to the group every year. The Basij has become an important player in both
the private and public sectors, and is reportedly one the largest investors in
the Iranian stock exchange. Those who join the group are given financial and
non-monetary incentives such as easier entry to universities, access to bank
loans, grants and employment.
While the theocratic establishment of Iran denies that the Basij are involved in
the crackdown, a member of Basij surprisingly revealed to France 24
International in a rare interview: “In our unit, we have shotguns, tear gas,
batons, paintball guns and stun guns. We had a few hours of introduction and
training on ‘non-combat’ weapons like these . . . I try not to hit protesters .
. . The others in my unit aim at people to hit them, to hit them in the chest or
head, to kill them. And if you kill someone, you won’t get in trouble. So
hotheads or officers who do not care shoot at people’s heads. That can be
deadly. We have some Kalashnikovs in our arsenal too, but we have not used them
yet. Kalashnikovs are now being used by IRGC members and the police. As far as I
know, the Basij arsenal is the same in all the big cities. As Basij, we have not
yet been ordered to use Kalashnikovs, but our unit used them in 2019. We will
use Kalashnikovs again when the orders come.” It is imperative that the UN take
action to hold the Iranian regime accountable. The IRGC’s paramilitary group is
a leading force in the brutal crackdown on protesters. The international
community must impose severe sanctions on this group. One of the most effective
ways to weaken it is to cut off the flow of funds, to the IRGC and its mercenary
group, the Basij.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist.
Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh
After 300 days of war in Ukraine, what next?
Andrew Hammond/Arab News/December 23, 2022
Tuesday marked the 300th day of the Ukraine war, with as much uncertainty
remaining over the course of the conflict as there was during most of 2022.
While there remain many key unknowns, there are also fundamentals that are most
likely to continue to hold true during much of the first quarter of 2023, before
which time the war is likely to be conducted at a subdued level owing to the
freezing weather on the battlefield. These forces will shape the landscape in
the coming weeks prior to what may be a full resumption of battlefield
hostilities in the spring.
One fundamental is that it seems neither side will win a decisive victory
imminently. Historically, wars have tended to end in one of two ways: When one
side imposes its will on the other on the battlefield, then at the negotiating
table; or when both sides embrace a compromise they deem preferable to fighting.
Unless something big changes early in 2023, neither of these outcomes is likely
in Ukraine for now, especially as both sides are prepared to expend massive
resources in the conflict.
The US alone has already committed well over $50 billion to Ukraine, which is
more than the entire annual Australian defense budget. Meanwhile, Western
intelligence estimates that more than 100,000 Russian soldiers have already
either died or been injured on the battlefield.
What is largely unknown in the West is what the impact of these losses is in
terms of the unpopularity of the conflict in Russia. One intriguing signal came
last month from Meduza, a website reporting Russian news from Latvia, which says
it obtained a confidential opinion survey conducted by the Federal Protection
Service, the organization in charge of guarding the Kremlin and providing
security to top government officials. The survey, apparently commissioned by the
Kremlin, found that 55 percent of respondents backed peace talks with Ukraine,
while only 25 percent wanted the war to go on. Therefore, unless Russia achieves
major battlefield successes early in the new year, maintaining even tacit
approval of the war among the population may be increasingly difficult for the
Kremlin.
Nonetheless, the most likely scenario in the coming weeks is probably a
continued war of attrition. Indeed, it is possible that the conflict will last
well into 2023 and potentially beyond, barring significant changes.
A second fundamental is that, even if the war continues at a subdued level
during the cold winter months, the level and range of risks remain exceptionally
high and this is why the outcome remains so unpredictable. In part, this is
because President Vladimir Putin’s exit strategy remains unclear and he may yet
miscalculate, including the possibility of chemical or nuclear weapons being
used by pro-Russian forces if Ukraine continues to chalk up conventional
battlefield wins.
Moreover, it is also important to highlight that the announced strategy of the
Western alliance led by the US is to try to inflict a defeat on Russia. In the
history of NATO in the post-Second World War era, this is a very important
difference from before and raises the stakes if Western resolve is maintained.
On the latter issue, while there will probably be further intra-Western tensions
over the strategy toward Russia in 2023, the most likely scenario is that the
alliance will stick together over the difficult winter to come. In part, this is
because of US leadership, which will corral the partners together, including the
disparate EU27. US President Joe Biden’s Democratic Party in November defied US
pollsters to retain control of the Senate and minimize losses in the House of
Representatives. This means that Biden, while far from sure of reelection
himself in 2024, currently has more political capital than expected.
Pessimistic as this central scenario of a continued war of attrition may seem,
with the human cost — including for millions of refugees — largest of all, it is
not the worst-case outcome. That future is most likely to be realized if the
conflict escalates beyond Ukraine to involve NATO countries, as remains a
significant possibility. While this still seems highly unlikely to many, it
cannot be dismissed, such is the volatility of the situation. Although NATO is
doing what it can to support Ukraine without getting itself entangled in a
direct military confrontation with Russia, a miscalculation by one or both sides
is a real concern.
This could be a genuine catastrophe for many and the use of nuclear or chemical
weapons could not be ruled out. Moreover, not only would the regime of sanctions
and counter-sanctions grow, but there would also be a wider economic collapse,
expediting the impulse toward deglobalization.
*Andrew Hammond is an Associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.
Democracy in Israel
Alan M. Dershowitz/Gatestone Institute/December 22, 2022
Israel's democratic system is based on a unicameral parliament, the Knesset, the
members of which are chosen in an election based on nationwide proportional
representation. Because no one single political party has ever in the country's
history won a majority of 61 out of 120 Knesset seats, multiple parties --
including small ones -- need to group together in a coalition to form the
government.
It is often necessary to make significant compromises among the parties in order
to make up a governing coalition. That is what is happening now with Likud Party
leader Benjamin Netanyahu, who .... promises to continue to oppose [bigotries]
in the new government he is working to form under himself as Prime Minister.
Israel, however, presents a very different face through the persona of its
President Isaac Herzog. In Israel, the presidency is a non-partisan ceremonial
role, without executive powers. Herzog... in 2015 ran unsuccessfully for prime
minister as leader of the left-wing Labor Party. Today, as president, he
represents all the citizens of Israel. His face is that of a centrist patriot
with a long history of supporting human rights for all....
Herzog can remind the world that no country in history has contributed more to
the world -- medically, scientifically, technologically, agriculturally,
culturally, in human rights and in other ways -- during its first 75 years of
existence than Israel. This, despite having to devote so much of its resources
to defending itself against genocidal threats from Iran and other nations and
terror groups committed to its destruction. Israel has signed peace treaties
with Egypt, Jordan and other Arab nations, and is seeking peace and
normalization with still others.
Netanyahu, who was Israel's longest-serving prime minister, has played an
extremely positive role in many of these developments, as well as in creating a
peace that few thought possible with four Arab countries -- the United Arab
Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco -- after decades of hostility – all while
countering deadly threats from Iran and leading Israel's economy away from
socialism into the high-tech wonder that it is. There is much for Israel to be
proud of, even as it faces challenges both from without and within. No nation is
subjected to more unfounded and disproportionate condemnation -- from the United
Nations, from international tribunals, from NGOs, from campus radicals, from
many in the media -- than the nation-state of the Jewish people.
A recent visit to Israel revealed matters different from previous visits -- and
similar to what is happening in the United States.
Today's Israel, like the US, is a deeply divided nation. Israel's democratic
system is based on a unicameral parliament, the Knesset, the members of which
are chosen in an election based on nationwide proportional representation.
Because no one single political party has ever in the country's history won a
majority of 61 out of 120 Knesset seats, multiple parties -- including small
ones -- need to group together in a coalition to form the government.
It is often necessary to make significant compromises among the parties that
make up the governing coalition. That is what is happening now with Likud Party
leader Benjamin Netanyahu, who is by nature a center-right moderate, and who had
to join forces with some parties considerably to the right of him. These include
individuals who unfortunately have histories of racism and homophobia --
bigotries that Netanyahu has always opposed and promises to continue to oppose
in the new government he is working to form under himself as Prime Minister.
These partners also include potential ministers who want to curtail the powers
of Israel's Supreme Court, which many believe favors the left.
Israel, however, presents a very different face through the persona of its
President Isaac Herzog. In Israel, the presidency is a non-partisan ceremonial
role, without executive powers. Herzog is a career politician who in 2015 ran
unsuccessfully for prime minister as leader of the left-wing Labor Party. Today,
as president, he represents all the citizens of Israel. His face is that of a
centrist patriot with a long history of supporting human rights for all.
Although the Israeli president's role and power is limited, just as the role of
king or queen is limited in Great Britain and other parliamentary monarchies, he
can do a great deal to represent the best of Israel , especially as it
approaches its 75th birthday in late April 2023. Herzog can remind the world
that no country in history has contributed more to the world -- medically,
scientifically, technologically, agriculturally, culturally, in human rights and
in other ways -- during its first 75 years of existence than Israel. This,
despite having to devote so much of its resources to defending itself against
genocidal threats from Iran and other nations and terror groups committed to its
destruction. Israel has signed peace treaties with Egypt, Jordan and other Arab
nations, and is seeking peace and normalization with still others. It has
revived an ancient language, turned malaria-infested swamps into productive
agricultural land, brought its great medical and agricultural discoveries to
other nations, and provided refuge to millions of Jews and others facing
persecution.
Netanyahu, who was Israel's longest-serving prime minister, has played an
extremely positive role in many of these developments, as well as in creating a
peace that few thought possible with four Arab countries -- the United Arab
Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco -- after decades of hostility – all while
countering deadly threats from Iran and leading Israel's economy away from
socialism into the high-tech wonder that it is.
There is much for Israel to be proud of, even as it faces challenges both from
without and within. No nation is subjected to more unfounded and
disproportionate condemnation -- from the United Nations, from international
tribunals, from NGOs, from campus radicals, from many in the media -- than the
nation-state of the Jewish people.
Together, Netanyahu and Herzog present what is best about Israel as well as
complications that can arise in any democracy. I am proud to be their friend and
a defender of the great country they represent -- Israel.
*Alan M. Dershowitz is the Felix Frankfurter Professor of Law, Emeritus at
Harvard Law School, and the author most recently of The Price of Principle: Why
Integrity Is Worth The Consequences. He is the Jack Roth Charitable Foundation
Fellow at Gatestone Institute, and is also the host of "The Dershow" podcast.
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.