English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For December 10/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
Jesus Embarrasses The Chief Priests & The Elders
Matthew 21/23-27: When he had come into the temple, the chief priests and the elders of the people came to him as he was teaching, and said, “By what authority do you do these things? Who gave you this authority?”Jesus answered them, “I also will ask you one question, which if you tell me, I likewise will tell you by what authority I do these things. The baptism of John, where was it from? From heaven or from men?”They reasoned with themselves, saying, “If we say, ‘From heaven,’ he will ask us, ‘Why then did you not believe him?’ But if we say, ‘From men,’ we fear the multitude, for all hold John as a prophet.” They answered Jesus, and said, “We don’t know.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on December 09-10/2021
Lebanese President: Parliamentary Elections Will Be Held On Time
Egypt to supply Lebanon with gas to alleviate power crisis
Miqati Arrives in Cairo, Meets al-Sisi, Aboul Gheit
Miqati Fears Calling for Cabinet Session if Bitar Row Not Resolved
KSA, UAE Say Lebanon Shouldn't be a Launchpad for 'Terrorist' Hizbullah
Yemen army kills Hezbollah military expert, Akram Al-Sayed in Marib
Yemeni Minister Urges Stance from Lebanon after 'Hizbullah Commander' Killed
Bitar Reportedly Says He’ll Issue Indictment in Three Months
Bassil Slams Labor Minister Decision to Allow Palestinians to Work in Lebanon
Judge Bitar resumes Beirut blast probe; unwilling to budge
BDL Hikes Bank Withdrawal Exchange Rate to LBP 8,000
Shami: IMF Talks Difficult if Cabinet Doesn't Convene
Lebanon Reports Its First Omicron Cases
Water Pipe Bursts in Beirut, Causing Material Damage
Lebanese rulers’ desperate positive spin on country’s crisis/Mohamed Chebaro/Arab News/December 09, 2021
Sixteen months/Ronnie Chatah/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Macron’s Lebanon initiative will have a placebo effect/Makram Rabah/Al-Arabiya/December 09/2021
Les élections et AlbertSuperHarry/Jean-Marie Kassab/Decembre 09/2021

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on December 09-10/2021
US preparing for outcome where no Iran deal is reached: Senior US diplomat
Return to 2015 Iran deal should only be first step to longer, stronger deal: Saudi FM
US, Israel to Discuss Military Drills for Iran Scenario
US to Decide Quickly if Iran Serious About Nuclear Talks
Half of Iran's Civil Jets Grounded For Lack of Spare Parts
US Seizes Iranian Arms Destined for Yemen’s Houthis
UAE, Saudis decry Hezbollah, back Palestinian capital in Jerusalem
US eyes joint military drills with Israel to deal with Iranian nuclear threat
Israeli Foreign Minister in Cairo to Strengthen Ties
Qatari Emir, Saudi Crown Prince Chair Joint Coordination Council Meeting in Doha
Joint UAE-Saudi Statement Reaffirms Distinguished Ties, Deep-rooted Historic Relations
Muslim Brotherhood ups campaign to postpone Libya elections
Congress Demands Biden’s Administration Clarify US Strategy on Syria
Iraqi Official Says US-led Troops End Combat Mission, as Planned
Burhan Warns Diplomats Not to Interfere in Sudan's Internal Affairs
Le Drian Urges Easing of Tension with Algeria
As ties warm up with Arab countries, Syria to host 2024 energy conference
Sudan in danger as death toll in Darfur tribal clashes mounts
Canada/Minister Joly and Minister Sajjan to participate in G7 Foreign and Development Ministers’ Meeting in Liverpool, United Kingdom

Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on December 09-10/2021
Arabs to Biden: Do Not Let Iran Play You for a Fool/Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/December 09/2021
Have political parties lost their role in Algeria?/The Arab Weekly/December 09/2021
West must learn from its Iran nuclear deal mistakes/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/December 09, 2021
Adapting to the changing face of the space race/Khaled Abou Zahr/Arab News/December 09, 2021

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on December 09-10/2021
Lebanese President: Parliamentary Elections Will Be Held On Time

Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
President Michel Aoun has underlined Lebanon’s commitment to international resolutions and confirmed that the parliamentary elections would take place in the spring. He also said that efforts were underway to resume cabinet sessions. His remarks came during a meeting on Wednesday with the United Nations Special Coordinator for Lebanon, Joanna Wronecka, at the Baabda Palace. “Any attempt by external sides to interfere in the elections to influence voters will be faced firmly,” Aoun said, pointing to “parties, organizations, and associations trying to exploit the country’s difficult living and economic conditions to pressure voters.”He added that contacts were underway to overcome obstacles paralyzing the cabinet, reiterating his rejection of political interference in judicial affairs, in particular the ongoing investigations into the Beirut port explosion. Aoun also emphasized “Lebanon’s commitment to implementing international resolutions, especially UN Security Council Resolution 1701,” highly valuing “the existing cooperation between the Lebanese Army in the South and UNIFIL for the sake of stability and security in the region,” a statement issued by the presidential office said. Wronecka, for her part, informed the president on the discussions following her briefing to the UN on the implementation of Resolution 1701 and the position of member states. UNSCR 1701 stipulates that the government must have control over all Lebanese territories and disarm all armed groups in the country. Aoun welcomed the expected visit of UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres to Lebanon later this month, revealing ongoing preparations and coordination with the UN Secretariat in New York.

Egypt to supply Lebanon with gas to alleviate power crisis
AFP/Arab News/December 09, 2021
CAIRO: Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi met with Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati in Cairo on Wednesday. The meeting was attended by Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, Minister of Foreign Affairs Sameh Shoukry, and Abbas Kamel, head of General Intelligence.
Speaking after the meeting, El-Sisi stressed the importance Egypt places on the safety and stability of Lebanon and his desire to help maintain “the strength and capacity of the Lebanese state.”Mikati praised Egypt’s efforts to mobilize international support for Lebanon, which is facing several crises politically and economically. He noted that Egypt plays a vital role in maintaining stability in the Arab world and said he sees the country as a model for others to follow, in light of its economic success and development. In their meeting, the two leaders reviewed the latest developments in Lebanon, in addition to ways of strengthening the existing relationship between their countries. Mikati had a separate meeting with Madbouly attended by Lebanon’s Ambassador to Cairo Ali Al-Halabi, diplomatic advisor Boutros Asaker, and Assistant Foreign Minister of Egypt for Arab Affairs Alaa Moussa.
Madbouly said Mikati’s visit to Egypt came at a very important time for Lebanon, and noted that El-Sisi had ordered the urgent supply of gas to Lebanon to help solve the country’s power shortage.n Mikati reviewed proposed areas of cooperation and support, which include strengthening cooperation on gas and electricity, trade — especially in regard to Lebanese agricultural products, and the provision of aid including food, baby formula and medicine. Madbouly confirmed that El-Sisi had issued clear instructions to the government that any necessary aid should be provided as soon as possible.
He added that the Lebanese proposal for a shared-electricity would be assessed as quickly as possible, and that a date would soon be set for the next session of the Joint Higher Committee of the two countries. Mikati has proposed that the next session should be held in Beirut. Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs Yair Lapid, also visited Cairo this week, and met with El-Sisi, who assured Lapid that Egypt will continue its efforts to achieve comprehensive and just peace in the Middle East on the basis of the two-state solution. The Egyptian president also highlighted Egypt’s work in the Gaza Strip, and its long-standing efforts to ease tension between Palestine and Israel.

Miqati Arrives in Cairo, Meets al-Sisi, Aboul Gheit
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Prime Minister Najib Miqati arrived Thursday in Cairo on an official visit to Egypt. He met with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and Egyptian Prime Minister Mustafa Madbouli. Miqati and al-Sisi discussed the Lebanese-Egyptian relations and the situation in the region, the Premiership said.
Miqati also visited the Arab League's headquarters where he met with the League's Secretary General Ahmed Aboul Gheit.

Miqati Fears Calling for Cabinet Session if Bitar Row Not Resolved
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Prime Minister Najib Miqati still doesn't want to call for a Cabinet session, if the standoff continues over Judge Tarek Bitar's investigations, ministerial sources said. The sources told al-Joumhouria newspaper, in remarks published Thursday, that the prime minister "fears that such a step would cause more negative repercussions on the government’s situation.”Cabinet hasn't convened since Hizbullah and Amal said they would boycott cabinet meetings until Miqati's administration heeds their demands to replace Bitar.

KSA, UAE Say Lebanon Shouldn't be a Launchpad for 'Terrorist' Hizbullah
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
KSA and UAE urged Lebanon, in a joint statement, "to make political and economical reforms and to limit the possession of arms to the legitimate state institutions." "Lebanon shouldn't be an incubator for organizations and groups that target the security and stability of the region, such as terrorist Hizbullah," the statement said. The statement stressed that Lebanon shouldn't be a launchpad for any terrorist acts." They also said that Lebanon shouldn't be a source of drug smuggling, which "threatens the safety of societies in the region and the world."
The statement comes at the end of the Saudi crown prince's visit to the United Arab Emirates on Wednesday, during a high-profile tour of Gulf states.

Yemen army kills Hezbollah military expert, Akram Al-Sayed in Marib
Saeed Al-Batati/Arab News/December 09, 2021
AL-MUKALLA: A Hezbollah military leader fighting for the Iran-backed Houthis has been killed in clashes with government forces in the central province of Marib, Yemen’s information minister revealed on Thursday. In a tweet, Moammar Al-Eryani said that expert adviser Akram Al-Sayed died when Yemeni army troops shelled Houthi positions south of Marib, inflicting a blow to a Houthi militia push to seize control of Marib city. The Houthis are being supported by thousands of fighters, including many from Iran, Lebanon, and Iraq. Al-Eryani called on the international community and UN Security Council permanent members, “to condemn this blatant interference, which undermines de-escalation efforts in Yemen, continues bloodshed, and exacerbates humanitarian suffering of Yemenis.” The minister urged an intensification of sanctions against Lebanese Hezbollah and demanded that the government in Lebanon curb the influx of Hezbollah fighters to Yemen. The Yemeni government has long accused Iran of deploying fighters from its proxy militias in the region to reinforce the Houthis.
In August, the Yemeni government announced the death in a coalition airstrike in Serwah of an Iranian military officer who was providing the Houthis with frontline military advice in Marib. Last year, Arab coalition warplanes killed two Hezbollah military experts in Yemen during airstrikes on a training camp outside Houthi-held Sanaa. Meanwhile, sources in Marib reported an increasing number of attacks by the Houthis on government troops over the past two weeks which had been concentrated on a chain of mountains known as Al-Balaq, on the southern edges of Marib. Heavy fighting had left dozens of combatants dead on both sides, they said. Yemen’s Defense Ministry denied Houthi claims that the group had seized control of strategic eastern parts of Al-Balaq saying that army troops and allied tribesmen had repulsed attacks.  Several civilians were wounded on Thursday when two missiles fired by the Houthis ripped through Al-Hamma camp that hosts 264 internally displaced families on the outskirts of Marib, the government’s Executive Unit said. It added that the number of displaced people living in Marib city and its surrounding areas had increased to 2,231,460 after 96,328 people had fled districts south of Marib since early September.

Yemeni Minister Urges Stance from Lebanon after 'Hizbullah Commander' Killed
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Hizbullah military commander and expert Akram al-Sayyed has died in artillery shelling in Yemen’s Marib governorate, Yemeni Information, Culture and Tourism Minister Moammar al-Aryani has said, describing the development as “a painful blow to Tehran’s regime and its sectarian militias.” “Al-Sayyed, 35, had entered Yemen in August 2017 among a host of terrorists belonging to Hizbullah, and on December 3 he was sent with a number of Hizbullah experts to the fronts of southern Marib to lead operations and implement Iran’s scheme of escalating the magnitude of confrontations in the governorate,” Aryani said in a social media post. He added: “The terrorist was killed alongside Huthi militia commander Abu Ashraf al-Asadi and eight members of the militia, while his body was evacuated in an ambulance to the al-Jouba area before being transferred to the Saada governorate, where the bodies of dozens of Iran and Hizbullah experts and fighters are being buried in full secrecy.”The Yemeni minister accordingly called on the Lebanese government and people to “take a decisive stance over Hizbullah’s continued interference in the Yemeni affairs and its involvement in the shelling of cities and villages and the death of Yemenis.”
He also called on the international community, the U.N. and the permanent members of the U.N. Security Council to “condemn this blatant interference which is undermining the efforts of pacification and peacemaking in Yemen,” while urging them to “toughen the sanctions against Hizbullah’s leaders.”

Bitar Reportedly Says He’ll Issue Indictment in Three Months
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Beirut port blast investigator Judge Tarek Bitar has told the families of the detainees in the case that he will issue the indictment within three months, a media report said on Thursday. The detainees “will be eventually released” and they “did not commit a premeditated offense,” Bitar added, according to al-Akhbar newspaper. There will be a “timeframe” for the imprisonment of each of the detainees, based on the responsibility of each one of them, the judge reportedly went on to say. “No one can remove me, and if they remove me I will return,” Bitar also told the families, according to al-Akhbar.

Bassil Slams Labor Minister Decision to Allow Palestinians to Work in Lebanon
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Free Patriotic Movement head Jebran Bassil tweeted Thursday that the decision by the labor minister to allow Palestinians and the unregistered individuals to practice dozens of professions is "illegal.""The decision violates the Labor Law and the Constitution," Bassil said. "It is veiled naturalization and it is rejected," the MP added. Bassil called on the labor syndicates to reject it before the State Council, and on the Lebanese to refuse to comply with it. "This is unacceptable and we will not allow stealing the jobs from the Lebanese in such circumstances,” Bassil decried. Labor Minister Mostafa Bayram later affirmed that "the decision is not against the law," and that he has taken it based on his "powers" as a minister. He said that "the ethical aspect and the economical benefit are the two motives for the decision," stressing that "the humanitarian side was one of the main motives."

Judge Bitar resumes Beirut blast probe; unwilling to budge
Najia Houssari/Arab News/December 09, 2021
BEIRUT: The lawyers of the Beirut port explosion victims and the 17 arrested defendants fear the lawyers of the politicians accused of being involved in the crime would resort to the Court of Cassation after they exhausted their cases before the Court of Appeal. Tarek Bitar, the judge leading the probe, had resumed his meetings on Wednesday in his office at the Justice Palace after the judiciary defied the pressures to remove him from the case. Every setback in the investigations delays the indictment and the trials even further.
The horrific blast occurred on Aug. 4, 2020, after 1,750 tons of ammonium nitrate stored at the Beirut port along with seized explosives exploded, killing 220 victims, injuring over 6,500 people, and destroying the Beirut waterfront and its back neighborhoods. Bitar and his predecessor, Judge Fadi Sawan, accused former PM Hassan Diab and four former ministers, Ali Hassan Khalil, Ghazi Zeaiter, Nohad Machnouk and Youssef Finianos of being involved in the crime and charged them with “a felony of probable intent to murder and a misdemeanor of negligence because they were aware of the presence of the ammonium nitrate, and did not take measures to spare the country such a disaster.”
Director-General of State Security Maj. Gen. Tony Saliba, his counterpart at the General Security Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim and several judges have also been accused of being involved. Bitar has not yet received the results of the simulation he conducted of the explosion in August. A security source told Arab News that security experts are still reviewing the simulation before drawing up their report and presenting it to the judge. Bitar is yet to receive the satellite images [from the day of the explosion] that the Russian administration handed over to the Lebanese Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib over a week ago. “The satellite images have been given to experts from the security forces for reviewing,” the source noted.
He downplayed the possibility of these images revealing significant details. “These satellites are always rotating, so they might not have taken any images right before or during the explosion. If these satellites were above the Beirut port following the blast, then these images are worthless to the investigation because what matters is what led to the explosion.”The security source noted that the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) asked many countries for satellite images when it was investigating the assassination of former PM Rafik Hariri, but none of the satellites had taken images right before or during the crime.
On Thursday, former minister and lawyer Rachid Derbas, representing Diab, submitted formal pleas before Bitar, regarding the jurisdiction of the Judicial Council and the Supreme Council for the Trial of Presidents and Ministers.
A judicial source told Arab News that all the arrests and charges made by Bitar “were based on acts that led to the explosion, and anyone who says otherwise is lying. The investigation does not focus only on the explosion. It is rather manifold; how the ship loaded with ammonium nitrate arrived in Lebanon and all the events that led to the day of the explosion. This investigation is carried out by a single judge, while such crimes usually have an integrated team to expedite things.”
He questioned why Hezbollah is suspicious of the investigation's path and is accusing Bitar of politicizing the case.
The judicial source recalled a speech Hezbollah’s Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah gave in the wake of the blast, in which he said he will not provide a cover for anyone involved, no matter their sect, especially if they were Shiites, then, later on, started accusing Bitar of politicizing the investigation and targeting specific sects. “Bitar’s investigation is still ongoing and he is summoning everyone he believes the facts point to as being involved. He still has a lot of suspects he needs to question.” Whenever Bitar takes a step forward, he stumbles over new obstacles. The source wondered: “How come the STL’s verdict did not provoke any offensive stances such as the ones Bitar is facing today?”
The judicial source believed Bitar would not step down, “otherwise, he would be admitting to all the accusations made against him. “Bitar’s conscience is clear and he is simply doing his duty,” he said, adding: “The judiciary has to shelter Bitar, just as the military court did and imprisoned the journalist who dared to utter offensive words against the military institution.”
The ruling class is trying to evade Bitar by insisting that politicians should be tried before the Supreme Council for the Trial of Presidents and Ministers.
Legal expert and former MP Salah Hanin had previously told Arab News: “The PM and ministers do not have immunity when they commit a criminal offense such as the port explosion crime. It subjects them to ordinary laws and to the same judiciary that exercises its authority over all citizens.”
Hanin cited Article 70 of the Constitution, which stipulates that the parliament has the right to impeach the PM and ministers for high treason or breach of their duties. “This article does not include criminal offenses; they thus must appear before the judiciary.”

BDL Hikes Bank Withdrawal Exchange Rate to LBP 8,000
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
The central bank on Thursday hiked the dollar exchange rate for bank withdrawals from LBP 3,900 to LBP 8,000 while setting a $3,000 monthly cap per account. In a statement, the bank said its measure comes ahead of “devising an integrated and comprehensive governmental pan that is based on the economic and reformist principles and the requirements of the International Monetary Fund. ”The bank also called for a governmental plan that “allows for unifying exchange rates, protecting social and economic stability, and limiting the losses of depositors.”BDL also noted that a $3,000 monthly cap will be imposed on every account in order to limit the growth of money supply (M1) in the market and its impact on inflation. The Lebanese pound, pegged to the dollar for 30 years at 1,507, has been in a free fall since late 2019. It is now trading at nearly 25,300 to the dollar at the black market. The financial crisis has driven more than half of the population into poverty, caused the local currency to lose more than 90% of its value, and prompted banks to lock deposits through informal capital controls, eroding trust in a once-thriving banking sector.

Shami: IMF Talks Difficult if Cabinet Doesn't Convene
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Deputy Prime Minister Saadeh Shami said that "we need the approval of the Cabinet to start with the IMF's plan.""If Cabinet doesn't convene, there would be difficulties to negotiate with the IMF," Shami said.He added that there is a preliminary agreement on the numbers, and "we are still studying the way to treat the gap." An IMF delegation met with Lebanese officials, Shami said, adding that the "meetings were not limited to protocols, but included policies and strategies.""We hope a broader delegation will visit Lebanon in mid-January to discuss the details of the monetary and economic recovery program," the deputy PM said. Shami stated that the capital control draft law is "the result of merging two draft laws submitted by the finance and justice committees, based on the recommendations of the International Monetary Fund."
"The capital control draft law aims to protect the depositor before anything else," he added.

Lebanon Reports Its First Omicron Cases

Agence France Presse/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
The Lebanese health ministry said Thursday that it had confirmed the country's first two cases of the Omicron variant of Covid in passengers tested upon arrival at the airport. "Two cases detected in airport testing" were confirmed to be of the Omicron variant, Health Minister Firass Abiad told a press conference.
He said both passengers had flown in from the African continent and had been placed in quarantine. Early data suggests the variant is more contagious, posing an increased infection risk for people who have already had the virus or been vaccinated compared to previous variants, but is also milder in its symptoms, World Health Organization head Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said on Wednesday. Lebanon reported 1,994 new Covid cases on Wednesday, one of the country's highest figures for a single day since the start of the pandemic, the minister said. Abiad voiced concern over a resurgence of the virus he said the crisis-hit country's ailing health system was even less prepared to handle than during previous waves. When cases spiked in late 2020, the influx of critical patients had brought Lebanon's hospitals to breaking point.
A worsening depreciation of the local currency and the mass emigration of health workers has only made the situation worse. Lebanon has recorded more 683,000 cases of Covid-19 since the start of the pandemic two years ago and 8,804 deaths, according to government figures.

Water Pipe Bursts in Beirut, Causing Material Damage
Naharnet/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
An old water pipe burst Thursday in Mohammad al-Hout street in Ras al-Nabaa, Beirut, causing major material damage. The burst submerged 13 cars in a building's parking in water, and damaged the main road. A car fell into the sinkhole caused by the road's subsidence. The Beirut Fire Brigade, in cooperation with specialized technical engineers from the Municipality of Beirut, worked on removing the water. The burst was not due to the stormy weather conditions, media reports said, but rather to a malfunction in the over 100-year-old water pipe. “The incident sheds light on the water networks' condition in old and neglected buildings of Beirut,” Governor of Beirut Marwan Abboud said. "We have treated three cases of road subsidence in the recent period," he added."There is no maintenance and no one is taking care of the infrastructure," Abboud said.

Lebanese rulers’ desperate positive spin on country’s crisis
Mohamed Chebaro/Arab News/December 09, 2021
The dust has now settled on last month’s COP26 climate change summit in Glasgow, with the result being a clearly limited, cosmetic improvement in our chances of surviving the climate crisis beyond 2050, since the pledges continue to fall short of what is needed. Actions to curb methane levels, to help abandon coal use or to curb deforestation and promote afforestation remain too limited and marred by international discord, particularly differences between rich and poor nations and between the Global North and the Global South.
But don’t worry. Lebanon, the little Mediterranean Arab nation, despite its historically unprecedented economic meltdown, sees in its demise a perfect opportunity to improve the country’s environmental policies and tackle its festering waste management crisis.
Environment Minister Nasser Yassin, an academic who was appointed to Lebanon’s so-called “apolitical” technocrat government under Prime Minister Najib Mikati in September, said that the cash-strapped state should turn away from big and expensive waste management contracts toward a more rational, recycling-oriented local approach.
“The financial crisis makes it difficult to manage the waste issue but it is also an opportunity… if we manage this sector and put it back in the hands of local authorities that do not seek profit,” Yassin told AFP in an interview last month.
The minister apparently thinks that the time has come to map out a puzzle of sustainable partnerships between local authorities and economic players in the divided country. He hopes to establish, for example, a new partnership with the syndicate of paper industries, whereby paper waste can be bought for a set price and recycled. Yassin also cited plans for Beirut’s fruit and vegetable waste to be turned into compost for the farming sector.
Though Yassin stated that the country generates about 40 percent less waste due to the economic crisis, the waste disposal problem has remained unresolved since 2015, when the country’s main rubbish management contracts collapsed due to differences between the political elites over how to distribute the spoils. This saw the country drowning in its own garbage for months.
Since then, as the major waste treatment plants have been going bankrupt, wildcat landfill sites, which often incinerate their trash or dump it in the sea or in rivers without any care for people’s health or well-being, have mushroomed.
One must commend the insight and the foresight of ministers like Yassin, who are capable of talking about a better future for those who might survive Lebanon’s multiple crises. Just to remind the minister, we are talking here about a country that is suffering from a political stalemate after the rise of Hezbollah as the key powerbroker, which is interested only in serving the agenda of its patrons in Syria and Iran.
Therefore, Lebanon’s government, in which Yassin serves, is labelled as Hezbollah’s government. It is not interested in solving the urgent problems, let alone the long-term ones. The complete meltdown of the economy over the past two years was long in the making due to the corruption and mismanagement of the de facto rulers of the country and their domestic and regional masters.
The situation in Lebanon, which has defaulted on its debts internationally and seen its currency lose more than 90 percent of its value, has been ranked by the World Bank as likely among the three most severe crises globally since the mid-19th century.
The International Monetary Fund has offered assistance, but the same domestic political barons have failed to form a government that could deliver the needed reforms that would allow foreign aid to reach the country. According to the World Bank, the nation’s economy contracted by 7 percent in 2019 and then 20 percent in 2020. The only solution the Lebanese authorities — that President Michel Aoun has been hailing as “the strong regime” — have put in place in an attempt to ease the crisis is to place the entire burden on small depositors by freezing their assets, sending the country’s not-so-perfect banking system, which was an important driver of the economy, into freefall.
This bankrupt state has been unable to settle many of its bills, leaving the country without power, medicine and other vital supplies. This has led to a sharp deterioration in the provision of basic services, such as hospital care, education and safety, and has encouraged those who can to migrate. All leading worldwide institutions have said this will damage Lebanon permanently, with the loss of human capital particularly hard to recover from.
But the Lebanese need not worry, as the environment minister thinks that every crisis carries in its midst limitless new opportunities. Perhaps the polluted air caused by the diesel-powered electric generators people are using to replace the nonexistent national power grid might help make the people’s lungs more resistant to pulmonary diseases.
This bankrupt state has been unable to settle many of its bills, leaving the country without power, medicine and other vital supplies.
Some employees in Lebanon are surviving on less than $100 a month, teachers and nurses even less, while doctors are increasingly looking for work abroad and parents can no longer afford school or university tuition fees. But using the same reasoning as the environment minister, if the population goes hungry, then maybe that fasting can be a means to bolster their immunity and general well-being.
In short, I want to hang on to any positive spin from Lebanon’s ruling elite that regeneration is possible despite the desperate state of affairs being experienced by the country and its people. The problem, however, is that the writing on the wall has been clear for the past two decades at least.
Waste and graft, which have been the order of the day for the de facto rulers of Lebanon for so long, are to blame, not the COVID-19 pandemic, the port of Beirut explosion, the Syrian civil war, the Israeli occupation of Palestine or colonialism. This was authored by a political class that has no regard for basic human dignity and is used to kidnapping and holding hostage the people, state and society for its own higher, holiest and nonhuman but greener economic goals.
*Mohamed Chebaro is a British-Lebanese journalist with more than 25 years of experience covering war, terrorism, defense, current affairs and diplomacy. He is also a media consultant and trainer.

Sixteen months
Ronnie Chatah/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
France’s strategy to find a solution to the Lebanese crisis has been flawed since Emmanuel Macron decided to sidestep the country’s independence, Ronnie Chatah writes. French President Emmanuel Macron arrived in Beirut two days after the port blast destroyed large swathes of the city. At a moment no Lebanese politician dared to show their face in public, he walked down a shattered Rue Gouraud – Gemmayze’s main thoroughfare – named after general Henri Gouraud’s presiding role during the First World War as Ottoman authority gave way to French administration. Amidst rubble, blood, torment and tears Macron promised that France would never leave Lebanon’s side. We watched him gather many of the country’s post-civil war former militiamen-turned-political-elders at La Résidence des Pins. Tail ends of a century of France’s legacy in Lebanon. In the backdrop, a famous photo of Gouraud’s proclamation of Le Grand Liban on September 1, 1920 along the palatial steps. A snapshot instilled of a territorially expanded Mount Lebanon to coast and valley, and a cross-confessional experiment that would give way – in the middle of the Second World War – to elusive independence.
And in the foreground, a roundtable of misery. The usual suspects were chastised by Macron, who warned that if they did not reform, they would lose control. Either the regime gets its act together, or it is tossed to history’s dustbin, adding to the protestors’ demands, heard for months on end.
French President Emmanuel Macron hugs a resident as he visits a devastated street of Beirut, Lebanon, on August 6, 2020 two days after the massive explosion that devastated the Lebanese capital. French President Emmanuel Macron pledged support and urged change. Photo: Thibault Camus, AFP Pool.
On parle
The old and inefficient way we govern – inherited from centuries of Ottoman dominion and enshrined by two decades of French rule – we can update ourselves. In fact, it is no one’s responsibility but our own. Endless academic research papers, think tank panel discussions and NGO initiatives on how to caress sectarianism’s insecurities while learning from secularism’s advantages are, in the end, a sideshow. Our society’s concerns reflect our multi-layered history and multitude of identities. And pluralism is one of our strengths. The long and arduous job of channeling communal differences into sounder ways of political expression has been on pause for over half a century. And that has nothing to do with the way we were born. Our nascent cosmopolitanism is real, with or without a French midwife. It is how we grew up, independently, in the 20th century that brought us to our knees. An adolescence that barely hit maturity before losing the most important tool to chart our destiny: sovereignty. Our adulthood has been mired by cycles of wealth and despair. A rollercoaster ride that lets us shine at times, while losing most of our modernity to invasion, occupation and war. And a guarantee that the 21st century shall not fare better, far better expressed by Samir Kassir in his ‘Histoire de Beyrouth’: “extravertie dans sa prospérité, la ville l’est encore dans sa ruine.”Our sovereign foundation has been left out of Macron’s calculations or resolution to Lebanon’s problems. Our sovereign foundation has been left out of Macron’s calculations or resolution to Lebanon’s problems. I use the word resolution here, somewhat chidingly, because there is no practical path for successful reform within a country burdened by its perpetual battlefield role for rogue regimes. Instead, at La Résidence, weeks from Greater Lebanon’s centennial, Macron sidestepped conflict resolution for a typical crisis managerial role. A position many leaders, including Macron, have tried and struggled with before ultimately fading. Short-term ideas meant to alleviate some suffering, while accepting an abnormal state of affairs where a foreign-backed militia holds more sway than the local population. Avoiding a foundational flaw that ensures continued failure.
And since hindsight is ‘2020’, neither reform nor regime change has happened.
Macron treated the main contributor to our post-war status quo as ‘one in the same’ – ignoring what Assad’s soldiers and intelligence inherited when they left Lebanon, looking away from indirect control over all security matters, ranging from border control, airport access and port oversight, and leaving foreign policy out of the discussion. The hardest question Macron asked Mohammad Raad in a private meeting two days after the largest non-nuclear blast in modern history was whether he could prove his Lebanese identity. As challenging an accomplishment as offering Fairouz an award or planting a cedar tree.
Je m’excuse
Macron lectured, pressured, threatened European Union-backed sanctions (their framework is in place and yet to be implemented) and scolded Lebanese leaders to get over their differences and work together. And it took thirteen months before Hassan Diab’s caretaker government gave way to Najib Mikati’s currently paralyzed cabinet, following Hezbollah’s demands to remove Judge Tarek Bitar from the port blast investigation. Regardless of his determination and valiant effort, Bitar’s work, inherited from dismissed Judge Fadi Sawan, has been effectively stalled and suspended, and threatened directly by Hezbollah.
Hezbollah is not a political party. They are an Iranian-sponsored proxy army based in Lebanon, with a veneer of civic engagement. Their local politics is the least important domestic weapon they use for influence. To even consider such an important component to the IRGC’s external military as on par with other Lebanese groups completely ignores the reasons why our state collapsed. The leaders Macron engaged with are collateral to generations of political violence, spared individuals that navigate such moments in order to retain relevance. Most importantly, they shield the proxy from serious scrutiny. In return, they are offered rampant abuse of the power sharing system born out of 1920, enhanced in 1943 and cosmetically altered in 1989. Their idea of governance is better defined by state plunder and rampant corruption. But their longevity and ability to stay well into the 21st century is what happens to any country at war.
Not civil war, any longer, but a consistent warzone. Our territory secured Syrian and Iranian regimes’ influence in the region. Yes, negligence and ineffective state control over sensitive transit sites allowed 700 tonnes of ammonium nitrate to detonate in 2020. But saving Assad’s life is what brought over 2,700 tonnes in 2013.
Au revoir
Fast forward to December 2021.
On one of the first visits of a Western leader to Mohammed Bin Salman following Jamal Khashoggi’s murder in 2018, Macron pushed for the Saudi regime to reengage Najib Mikati’s government in light of George Kordahi’s resignation. A free fall (and that is being polite) from expectations when he first arrived after the port blast. And the latter-day attempts of another crisis management leader on their way out of Lebanon, searching for marginal success and far more concerned about presidential elections at home than another country’s problems. Sixteen months that showed there is no eagerness, or willingness, to help end Lebanon’s nightmare. Macron, himself, witnessed the price we paid for storing the Syrian regime’s preferred barrel-filled weapon. He was emotional with us on Rue Gouraud. He cried with us, embraced us…his anger was real. I trust his feelings were sincere. And hours later he mistakenly bet on reform taking hold in a country still ruled by political violence. And on our centennial, from declaration to diminished role, one thing is certain: France let go of Lebanon.
*Ronnie Chatah hosts The Beirut Banyan podcast, a series of storytelling episodes and long-form conversations that reflect on all that is modern Lebanese history. He also leads the WalkBeirut tour, a four-hour narration of Beirut’s rich and troubled past. He is on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter @thebeirutbanyan.

Macron’s Lebanon initiative will have a placebo effect
Makram Rabah/Al-Arabiya/December 09/2021
The recent visit of French President Emmanuel Macron during the week to The Gulf was a chance to reaffirm France’s bilateral ties as well as its role in bringing stability to a region which is plagued with Iran’s unrestricted expansionist project.
Macron’s visit to Saudi Arabia also took on further importance to the people of Lebanon who were anxiously awaiting his initiative to bring an end to the diplomatic crisis which saw the country ostracized by its Arab brethren, who reacted violently to the statements of Lebanon’s Minister of Information George Kordahi over Yemen and his support of the Houthis. While initially Kordahi - a mouthpiece for the alliance of minorities and the Syria-Iran axis - refused to apologize and tender his resignation, he quit one day before Macron met with the Saudi leadership, in what many saw as an opportunity to break the ongoing deadlock. True to his promise Macron was able to convince the Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman to agree to take a phone call with Lebanon’s Prime Minister Najib Mikati. It was a conversation which underscored France and Saudi’s commitment to help Beirut implement much needed reforms to escape its current economic and political crisis.
People with health issues or inactivated vaccine should get COVID-19 booster: WHO
To the Lebanese, and particularly the pro-Iran faction, this simple phone call was affirmation that they had won this diplomatic duel and that Saudi Arabia had once again failed to force Lebanon to publicly stand up to Hezbollah and its occupation of the country and its sovereignty.
In reality a re-examination of the French initiative and Saudi acquiescence to it reveals otherwise, as the move actually places Lebanon and its ruling establishment under more pressure to reform and importantly - to challenge Hezbollah’s hold over it. This is something that both countries have repeatedly failed to do. The Saudi-French-Lebanese cordial phone call was an occasion to remind the murky Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati that the recent diplomatic debacle substantiated that he had no sway over his own cabinet, and that the Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, and the ruling elite were in command of this so-called technocratic independent government. Both Macron and Mohammad bin Salman reminded the Lebanese that normalization can only happen once Lebanon ceases to be “a launching pad for any terrorist acts that destabilize the security and stability of the region, and a source of drug trafficking.”They also stressed the importance of maintaining Lebanon's stability and respecting its sovereignty and unity in accordance with Security Council resolutions (1559), (1701) and (1680) and other relevant international resolutions.
In reality, the Macron initiative further disenfranchised the Lebanese state and consequently the public who have failed to realize that their perpetual suffering will not end unless they understand that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states are no longer willing to bankroll a country that doubles as a base for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and its Levant outlet Hezbollah.
The new road map for Lebanon’s recovery set in Jeddah over the weekend requires Mikati to challenge Hezbollah each and every time it acts, starting with the ongoing smuggling of Iranian diesel, a situation that Mikati coolly sidestepped by timidly declaring “the violation of Lebanon's sovereignty makes me sad."
Mikati and the Lebanese apprehension to also stand up to Hezbollah transforming their country into a narco-state that exports millions of amphetamine pills to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the wider region, will not be brushed under the rug.
Above all Lebanon must understand that Hezbollah and its trans-regional activities have direct repercussions on the national security of the many Arab Gulf states. This does not only apply to the Yemeni conflict. Kuwait, regarded by many as the most restrained among the Gulf nations is in the process of dismantling another Hezbollah cell. Contrary to what Iran and its Lebanese lackeys are promoting, Saudi Arabia is not the only obstacle for Lebanon normalizing relations with the Arab world, but rather it is Hezbollah. It is important to remember the last time President Macron intervened to contain the fallout of Saad Hariri’s resignation in 2017 while visiting Saudi Arabia. The outcome was undesirable. At the time Macron’s good relationship with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia saw the Lebanese state pledge to maintain neutrality, something which it obviously failed to uphold and it contributed to Hariri’s eventual political downfall. Macron has in fact committed Mikati and Lebanon to an impossible goal, similar to the parents of a lazy student requesting a makeup exam to a son whose abysmal record speaks for itself. Mikati must be cautious that Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf might be willing to humor the French president, but ultimately it will not compromise on its own security and wellbeing. More importantly, Mikati’s pledges that are similar to his predecessors need to be put into action, or he will face Hariri’s fate of driving Lebanon further under Iranian control.

Les élections et AlbertSuperHarry
Les élections et AlbertSuperHarry/Jean-Marie Kassab/Decembre 09/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/104667/%d8%ac%d8%a7%d9%86-%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b1%d9%8a-%d9%83%d8%b3%d8%a7%d8%a8-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a7%d9%86%d8%aa%d8%ae%d8%a7%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d9%88%d8%a3%d9%84%d8%a8%d8%b1%d8%aa-%d8%b3%d9%88%d8%a8%d8%b1-%d9%87/

Jean-Marie Kassab/Decembre 09/2021
Juste qu’on m’explique comment les élections parlementaires, si elles auront lieu pourraient changer les choses.
Scenario Idéal : La majorité au nouveau parlement sera souverainiste, propre, non corrompue. Michel Aoun puisqu’ il est toujours président convoquera ces nouveaux élus pour choisir un nouveau premier ministre. Puisque nous serons dans LalaLand, ils choisiront le meilleur : un mélange d’Albert Einstein, de Superman et de Harry Potter. AlbertSuperHarry, formera son équipe toujours Lalalandienne, le moins con ayant deux Doctorats de Harvard et de la Sorbonne, le meilleur un prix Nobel. Il l’a présentera à Aoun qui la soumettra illico à Gebrane qui la refilera aux Iraniens avant même que AlbertSuperHarry ne quitte Baabda.
La suite du scenario idéal : La liste sera refusée 100 fois parce que ni Gebrane ni Hassan sont intéressées par les deux susdites qualifications. Ils sont plutôt intéressés par des références Arsène Lupin ou émanant d’un mollah de Qom.
AlbertSuperHarry s’en ira épuisé et la queue entre les jambes etcetera etcetera.
Scenario réaliste : Les élections n’auront pas lieu , Michel Aoun l’ avait annoncé : « Je resterai si le parlement l’exige ».
Les élections dans un pays occupé sont un immense mensonge et une illusion d’optique partagée entre le peuple (bien intentionné) et les candidats souvent moins bien intentionnés et en soif de pouvoir ou de maintien de pouvoir.
Vive la Résistance
Vive le Liban

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on December 09-10/2021
US preparing for outcome where no Iran deal is reached: Senior US diplomat
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/10 December ,2021
The US is preparing for an outcome where no deal is reached with Iran to curb its nuclear program, Washington’s lead negotiator said Thursday. But there is still time to reach a deal, and the US is ready to get back into the 2015 nuclear deal “as soon as possible, as soon as Iran is,” US Special Envoy for Iran Rob Malley said. The US and Iran have been engaged in indirect talks over returning to the now-defunct JCPOA, from which former US President Donald Trump withdrew in 2018. Iran is demanding the lifting of all US sanctions before returning to the deal in exchange for a cap on its nuclear program. The previous agreement, brokered by former President Barack Obama, failed to address Iran’s support for militias across the region and its ballistic missile program. “We are privileging the path of diplomacy,” Malley told Al Jazeera, adding that it was the best way forward. “We suspect it’s best for Iran, but Iran will have to decide,” he said. While the US has repeatedly voiced its willingness to reenter the JCPOA, an acronym for the 2015 deal, it has also waited for almost one year. The Biden administration quickly said it wanted to reenter the deal, but presidential elections in Iran resulted in a so-called hardline government that stalled talks for months. In the meantime, Iran has continued increasing the materials and enriching the uranium needed for a nuclear bomb. The US will lift all sanctions “inconsistent with the JCPOA” if a deal is reached, Malley said. “But in the meantime, we can’t stand by and not be prepared for a world in which Iran may be choosing to delay the program, try to build more leverage,” Malley said. “We obviously have to respond. And so, that’s what we’re doing. We’re preparing ourselves for that outcome.”

Return to 2015 Iran deal should only be first step to longer, stronger deal: Saudi FM
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/ 09 December ,2021
“The current deal doesn’t protect us from an Iranian nuclear or military capability,” Prince Faisal said.
Saudi Arabia would welcome a return to the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and world powers, but that would “only be the first step” in addressing Tehran’s malign behavior, Riyadh’s top diplomat said Thursday. “As previously announced, we continue to support a return to the deal. But we see it as incomplete; any return [to the JCPOA] should be only the first step towards a longer and stronger deal,” Prince Faisal bin Farhan said in televised remarks. The US and Iran have been engaged in indirect talks over returning to the now-defunct JCPOA, which former US President Donald Trump withdrew from. Iran is demanding the lifting of all US sanctions before returning to the deal in exchange for a cap on its nuclear program. The previous agreement, brokered by former President Barack Obama, failed to address Iran’s support for militias across the region and its ballistic missile program. The talks also excluded regional countries that are endangered by Iran. “The current deal doesn’t protect us from an Iranian nuclear or military capability,” Prince Faisal said. US Special Envoy for Iran Rob Malley, who is leading the US delegation in Vienna, said that he held “another constructive conversation with GCC partners” this week. “We remain united in our call for a rapid return to mutual JCPOA compliance. This is the best avenue to strengthen regional economic ties and avoid nuclear crisis. We will remain in close consultation,” Malley tweeted on Wednesday. The Saudi foreign minister said it was still to be determined if a deal would be reached. “In the event that a deal is reached… it’s only [one] step towards the security and stability of the region,” he said, explaining that Iran’s nuclear program, its ballistic missile program, “and other movements in the region jeopardize security.

US, Israel to Discuss Military Drills for Iran Scenario
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
US and Israeli defense chiefs are expected on Thursday to discuss possible military exercises that would prepare for a worst-case scenario to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities should diplomacy fail and if their nations' leaders request it, a senior US official told Reuters. The scheduled US talks with visiting Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz follow an Oct. 25 briefing by Pentagon leaders to White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan on the full set of military options available to ensure that Iran would not be able to produce a nuclear weapon, the official said on Wednesday, speaking on condition of anonymity. The US-Israeli preparations, which have not been previously reported, underscore Western concern about difficult nuclear talks with Iran that President Joe Biden had hoped would revive a 2015 nuclear deal abandoned by his predecessor, Donald Trump. But US and European officials have voiced dismay after talks last week at sweeping demands by Iran's new, hardline government, heightening suspicions in the West that Iran is playing for time while advancing its nuclear program. The US official declined to offer details on the potential military exercises. "We're in this pickle because Iran's nuclear program is advancing to a point beyond which it has any conventional rationale," the official told Reuters, while still voicing hope for discussions.
Gantz, in a post on Twitter as he departed for the United States, said: "We will discuss possible modes of action to ensure the cessation of (Iran's) attempt to enter the nuclear sphere and broaden its activity in the region." He did not elaborate. Nuclear negotiations will resume on Thursday, according to the European Union official chairing the talks, and the US special envoy for Iran plans to join them over the weekend. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said last week that Iran had started the process of enriching uranium to up to 20% purity with one cascade, or cluster, of 166 advanced IR-6 machines at its Fordow plant, which is dug into a mountain, making it harder to attack. The 2015 agreement gave Iran sanctions relief but imposed strict limits on its uranium enrichment activities, extending the time it would need to produce enough fissile material for a nuclear weapon, if it chose to, to at least a year from around two to three months. Most nuclear experts say that period is now considerably shorter. Underlining how badly eroded the deal is, that pact does not allow Iran to enrich uranium at Fordow at all, let alone with advanced centrifuges. With the deal's nuclear benefits now badly compromised, some Western officials say there is little time left before the foundation of the deal is damaged beyond repair.
Such drills by the United States and Israel could address calls by Dennis Ross, a former senior US official and Middle East expert, and others to openly signal to Iran that the United States and Israel are still serious about preventing it from obtaining a nuclear weapon.
"Biden needs to disabuse Iran of the notion that Washington will not act militarily and will stop Israel from doing so," Ross wrote last month. Ross even suggested the United States should perhaps signal a willingness to give the Israeli's the US military's bunker-busting Massive Ordnance Penetrator, a 30,000-pound bomb. Asked about such remarks about deterrence, the senior US official said: "When President Biden says Iran will never get a nuclear weapon, I mean, he means it." Central Intelligence Agency Director Bill Burns said on Monday that the CIA does not believe Iran's supreme leader has decided to take steps to weaponize a nuclear device but noted advances in its ability to enrich uranium, one pathway to the fissile material for a bomb. Burns cautioned that, even if Iran decided to go ahead, it would still require a lot of work to weaponize that fissile material before attaching a nuclear weapon to a missile or other delivery system. "But they're further along in their mastery of the nuclear fuel cycle and that's the kind of knowledge that is very difficult to sanction away or make disappear, as well," he said. US officials have also long worried about America's ability to detect and destroy dispersed components of Iran's nuclear weaponization program once enough fissile material for a bomb were produced.

US to Decide Quickly if Iran Serious About Nuclear Talks
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
The United States will swiftly determine whether Tehran is acting in "good faith" in talks about reviving the Iran nuclear accord, a State Department spokesman said Wednesday, one day before negotiations were due to resume. "We should know in pretty short order if the Iranians are going... to negotiate in good faith," said the spokesman, Ned Price, warning that "the runway is getting very, very short for negotiations." The European Union, which is coordinating the indirect talks between Washington and Tehran, confirmed they would resume Thursday in Vienna after a break of a few days.
US envoy Rob Malley "will plan to join the talks over the weekend," Price said. The talks began in April but were suspended in June due to the election of a new Iranian president, only to resume last week. After a week of negotiations, Americans and Europeans alike accused the Iranians of having backtracked since the spring. Washington has warned it will not let Tehran block negotiations for much longer while developing its nuclear program at the same time, but has not yet laid out an ultimatum. The next few days look set to see a last-chance diplomatic push, although it appears ever more unlikely that the talks will lead to any breakthrough. "I don't think you will see a long lag between the resumption of this round and when the United States and our allies and partners are in a position to judge whether the Iranians have returned... with a willingness to engage in substantive negotiations," Price told reporters. "It will not always be in our interest to seek a return to the JCPOA," he said, using the formal title of the landmark 2015 accord that aimed to curb Iran's nuclear program to ensure it could not develop an atomic weapon, in exchange for sanctions relief for Tehran. The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action was initially agreed between Iran and Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States. But it began unravelling in 2018 when then US president Donald Trump pulled out and reimposed sanctions, prompting Iran to start exceeding limits on its nuclear program the following year.

Half of Iran's Civil Jets Grounded For Lack of Spare Parts
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
More than half of Iran's fleet of civilian aircraft is grounded due to a lack of spare parts, the deputy head of the country's airlines association has said. "The number of inactive planes in Iran has risen to more than 170... as a result of missing spare parts, particularly motors," Alireza Barkhor said in an interview with state news agency IRNA. The shortage represented more than half of the civilian aircraft in the sanctions-hit country, he said in an interview this week, AFP reported. "If this trend continues, we will see even more planes grounded in the near future," Barkhor was quoted as saying. "We hope that one of the priorities of the government will be helping to finance airlines so that they are able to provide the spare parts to refurbish the grounded planes," he added. According to the Iranian economic daily Financial Tribune, national carrier IranAir currently operates a fleet of 39 planes, the majority of them Airbus jets. Iran's economy has struggled under sanctions that were lifted after a landmark nuclear deal in 2015 but reimposed again after the US withdrew from the pact in 2018. In 2016, following the lifting of sanctions, Iran concluded deals to purchase 100 Airbus jets, 80 Boeing planes and 40 ATR aircraft. But Iran received only 11 planes as deliveries were interrupted following the reimposition of sanctions, according to the daily.

US Seizes Iranian Arms Destined for Yemen’s Houthis
Asharq Al-Awsat/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
The US Justice Department announced on Tuesday that it has seized two large caches of Iranian arms, including 171 surface-to-air missiles and eight anti-tank missiles, destined for Yemen’s Houthi militias. “The US Navy seized the weapons from two vessels in the Arabian Sea while conducting routine maritime security operations,” said the Justice Department. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) orchestrated the arms shipments, which were destined for the Houthis, it said. “The US government similarly seized the Iranian petroleum products from four foreign-flagged tankers in or around the Arabian Sea while en route to Venezuela. These actions represent the government’s largest-ever forfeitures of fuel and weapons shipments from Iran,” it added. The US in the two cases struck a "resounding blow” to the Iranian government and to the criminal networks supporting the IRGC, said Assistant Attorney General Matthew G. Olsen of the Justice Department’s National Security Division. “The Department of Justice will continue to use all available tools to combat the threats posed by terrorist organizations and all those who seek to harm the United States and its allies.”“These two cases demonstrate that not only can we disrupt the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ ability to finance its operations through petroleum sales, but we can also thwart its ability to use the proceeds of such sales to arm its terrorist proxies and export terrorism abroad,” said US Attorney Matthew M. Graves for the District of Columbia. “Given our expertise and special statutory authority, the US Attorney’s Office for the District of Columbia is uniquely positioned to support its law enforcement partners in such terrorism cases. We are deeply committed to this mission.”“The combined efforts of the FBI and our partners to seize missiles and over a million barrels of petroleum demonstrate our commitment to defend against foreign terrorist organizations and enforce US sanctions,” said Assistant Director Alan E. Kohler Jr. of the FBI’s Counterintelligence Division. “The Government of Iran’s sponsorship of terrorism has left innocent victims in its wake and its attempts to support regimes dangerous to the United States and our allies will be met with the full force of the law. The FBI has a continued resolve to hold the Government of Iran accountable for its illegal actions, and we urge anyone with information about violations of sanctions on Iran to contact the FBI.”US Navy Central Command (NAVCENT) seized the weapons from two flagless vessels in the Arabian Sea on Nov. 25, 2019, and Feb. 9, 2020, respectively. The weapons included 171 guided anti-tank missiles, eight surface-to-air missiles, land attack cruise missile components, anti-ship cruise missile components, thermal weapons optics and other components for missiles and unmanned aerial vehicles. On Aug. 20, 2020, the Justice Department filed a complaint seeking to forfeit the seized weapons in US District Court for the District of Columbia. The complaint alleged that the arms shipments were part of an IRGC trafficking network designed to distribute illicit weapons to the Houthis in Yemen. The court granted the government’s motion for default judgment and entered a final order of forfeiture on Nov. 15. In its opinion, the court found that the government had adequately alleged that the weapons belonged to the IRGC and that the IRGC constitutes an entity engaged in planning or perpetrating a federal crime of terrorism against the US.

UAE, Saudis decry Hezbollah, back Palestinian capital in Jerusalem
Tzvi Joffre/Jerusalem Post/December 09/2021
The UAE and Saudi Arabia warned against the "terrorist Hezbollah" in a joint statement on Tuesday.
The United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia stressed the need to ensure that Lebanon "will not be a starting point for any terrorist acts," pointing specifically to Hezbollah, and expressed support for a Palestinian state with its capital in east Jerusalem, in a joint statement at the end of a visit by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on Wednesday. The two countries stated that they reviewed developments and issues of concern for them on the regional and international arenas, stressing the "coordination of their positions to serve their interests and support and enhance security and stability in the region and the world," according to the official Saudi Press Agency. "On the Lebanese issue, the two sides stressed the need to carry out comprehensive political and economic reforms to ensure that Lebanon can overcome its crises, limit arms to the legitimate state institutions, and that Lebanon will not be a starting point for any terrorist acts and a hub for organizations and groups that target the security and stability of the region such as the terrorist Hezbollah or to be a source of drug scourge that threatens the safety of societies in the region and the world," read part of the joint statement.
The UAE and Saudi Arabia affirmed their "full support" for the rights of the Palestinian people "foremost of which is their right to establish an independent and sovereign Palestinian state on the borders of June 4, 1967, with East Al-Quds (Jerusalem) as its capital...in a way that achieves the aspirations of the fraternally Palestinian people."The statement did not make any references to Israel. The two states also stressed the importance of dealing "seriously and effectively" with Iran's nuclear and missile file in a way that contributes to achieving regional and international security and stability and sparing the region from "all destabilizing activities and interventions." The statement also pointed to deep coordination between the UAE and Saudi Arabia in a number of fields, including energy, technology, health, tourism, food security and human development, among others.
A diplomatic crisis exploded last month after Saudi Arabia expressed outrage against comments made by Lebanese Information Minister George Kordahi supporting the Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and criticising the military intervention led by Saudi Arabia, calling the war in the country "futile."
Saudi Arabia and the UAE, along with other Gulf states, withdrew their diplomatic envoys and expelled Lebanese envoys in response to the comments. Saudi Arabia also designated the financial charity body Al-Qard Al-Hasan Association, which is linked to Hezbollah, as a terrorist entity, saying it "works on managing funds for the terrorist organization (Hezbollah) and its financing."While Kordahi is a Maronite Christian, he received strong support from the Hezbollah movement who expressed strong opposition against calls for the minister to resign. The movement claimed Saudi Arabia was "waging war" on Lebanon with its diplomatic measures issued in response to Kordahi's statements. Despite the support from Hezbollah, Kordahi resigned last week, saying that he was doing so "for the mere fact that Lebanon is more important than my position. I do not accept to be used as a reason to harm the Lebanese residing in Gulf countries because the interests of my country and my loved ones are way above my personal ones," according to Lebanon's National News Agency. Kordahi claimed that France had requested that he resign before a planned visit by French President Emanuel Macron to Saudi Arabia.

US eyes joint military drills with Israel to deal with Iranian nuclear threat
The Arab Weekly/December 09/2021
US and Israeli defence chiefs are expected on Thursday to discuss possible military exercises that would prepare for a worst-case scenario to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities should diplomacy fail and if their nations' leaders request it, a senior US official told Reuters.
The scheduled US talks with visiting Israeli Defence Minister Benny Gantz follow an October 25 briefing by Pentagon leaders to White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan on the full set of military options available to ensure that Iran would not be able to produce a nuclear weapon, the official said on Wednesday, speaking on condition of anonymity. Iran denies seeking nuclear weapons, saying it wants to master nuclear technology for peaceful purposes. But its bellicose behaviour in the region raises serious doubts about its peaceful intent. The US-Israeli preparations, which have not been previously reported, underscore Western concern about difficult nuclear talks with Iran that President Joe Biden had hoped would revive a 2015 nuclear deal abandoned by his predecessor Donald Trump. But US and European officials have voiced dismay after talks last week at sweeping demands by Iran's new, hardline government, heightening suspicions in the West that Iran is playing for time while advancing its nuclear program.
The US official declined to offer details on the potential military exercises.
"We're in this pickle because Iran's nuclear programme is advancing to a point beyond which it has any conventional rationale," the official said, while still voicing hope for discussions. The Israeli embassy in Washington and Iran's mission to the United Nations did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
The European Union official chairing the talks has said they will resume on Thursday, and the US special envoy for Iran plans to join them over the weekend. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said last week that Iran had started the process of enriching uranium to up to 20% purity with one cascade, or cluster, of 166 advanced IR-6 machines at its Fordow plant, which dug into a mountain, making harder to attack. The 2015 agreement gave Iran sanctions relief but imposed strict limits on its uranium enrichment activities, extending the time it would need to produce enough fissile material for a nuclear weapon, if it chose to, to at least a year from around two to three months. Most nuclear experts say that period is now considerably shorter. Underlining how badly eroded the deal is, that pact does not allow Iran to enrich uranium at Fordow at all, let alone with advanced centrifuges.
-Compromised benefits-
With the deal's nuclear benefits now badly compromised, some Western officials say there is little time left before the foundation of the deal is damaged beyond repair. Such drills by the United States and Israel could address calls by Dennis Ross, a former senior US official and Middle East expert, and others to openly signal to Tehran that the United States and Israel are still serious about preventing it from obtaining a nuclear weapon. "Biden needs to disabuse Iran of the notion that Washington will not act militarily and will stop Israel from doing so," Ross wrote last month. Ross even suggested the United States should perhaps signal a willingness to give the Israeli's the US military's bunker-busting Massive Ordnance Penetrator, a 30,000-pound bomb. Asked about such remarks about deterrence, the senior US official said: "When President Biden says Iran will never get a nuclear weapon, I mean, he means it." Central Intelligence Agency Director Bill Burns said on Monday that the CIA does not believe Iran's supreme leader has decided to take steps to weaponise a nuclear device but noted advances in its ability to enrich uranium, one pathway to the fissile material for a bomb. Burns cautioned that, even if Iran decided to go ahead, it would still require a lot of work to weaponise that fissile material before attaching a nuclear weapon to a missile or other delivery system. "But they're further along in their mastery of the nuclear fuel cycle and that's the kind of knowledge that is very difficult to sanction away or make disappear, as well," he said. US officials have also long worried about America's ability to detect and destroy dispersed components of Iran's nuclear weaponisation program once enough fissile material for a bomb were produced.

Israeli Foreign Minister in Cairo to Strengthen Ties
Associated Press/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Israel's foreign minister arrived in Cairo on Thursday on a diplomatic visit aimed at strengthening ties and shoring up a tenuous cease-fire between Israel and Gaza's militant Hamas rulers. Foreign Minister Yair Lapid met with Egypt's president, Abdel Fattah el-Sissi, and the country's foreign minister, Sameh Shokry, for talks that reflected budding ties between Egypt and Israel's new government. Egypt's intelligence chief also participated in the meetings. Egypt, the first Arab country to reach a peace agreement with Israel, has served as a key mediator between Israel and Hamas. The bitter enemies have fought four wars since Hamas seized control of the Gaza Strip in 2007, most an recently an 11-day conflict in May, and Egypt has been working quietly to arrange a long-term truce. Hamas is demanding that a crippling Israeli-Egyptian blockade be eased, while Israel is seeking the release of two Israeli captives and the remains of two dead soldiers held by Hamas. Israel's foreign ministry said Lapid presented a plan to develop Gaza's economy in return for assurances of quiet, and eventually disarmament, by Hamas. It said the plan must address "the issue of captives and missing persons." Lapid also discussed Israeli efforts to strengthen the rival Palestinian Authority, whose forces were toppled by Hamas in 2007. Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas governs only limited autonomous areas in the Israeli-occupied West Bank.
Lapid raised Israel's concerns about Iran's nuclear program and expressed his country's desire to ramp up cooperation with Israel in the civilian fields of economics, energy, agriculture, and trade, according to the Israeli Foreign Ministry. "Egypt is an especially important strategic partner for Israel," Lapid said. "My goal is to strengthen our security, diplomatic, and economic relations with Egypt. It's important to continue to work on the peace between our two nations."
Upon his arrival, Lapid was welcomed by el-Sissi, who stressed his country's commitment to a two-state solution and to achieving a "comprehensive and just" peace in the Middle East, according to statement released by el-Sissi's office. The Palestinians seek an independent state in the West Bank, east Jerusalem and Gaza — areas captured by Israel in the 1967 Mideast war. Egypt, like most of the international community, has been consistently supportive of the Palestinian right to an independent state. Israel's new prime minister, Naftali Bennett, opposes Palestinian independence and has ruled out peace talks, though he favors steps at reducing tensions and boosting the Palestinian economy. During separate talks with his Egyptian counterpart, Lapid handed over 95 Egyptian archeological items that were seized in Israel earlier this year.
In January, the Israeli police had recovered thousands of stolen archeological artifacts including gold coins, jewelry, ancient Egyptian sarcophagus lids, bronze statues and clay vessels. The items were found in central Israel, after a series of raids described as the largest in the country's history.
Egypt and Israel reached a historic peace accord in 1979. Relations have generally been cool between the countries, though behind-the-scenes security cooperation remains strong. There have been growing signs of overall cooperation in recent months. Lapid's visit came three months after Bennett held talks with el-Sissi in the Red Sea resort town of Sharm el-Sheikh. It was the first official trip to Egypt by an Israeli premier in over a decade. At the time, the visit signaled a warming in a relationship that had been security-focused but somewhat cool under Bennett's predecessor, Israeli hard-liner Benjamin Netanyahu.
Also in May, Israel's then foreign minister, Gabi Ashkenazi, met his Egyptian counterpart in Cairo. It was the first by Israel's top diplomat to Egypt in 13 years.

Qatari Emir, Saudi Crown Prince Chair Joint Coordination Council Meeting in Doha
Dubai, Damam - Mosaed al-Zayani, Merza al-Khuwaldi/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has arrived in Doha on the third stop of his tour of the Gulf states which comes ahead of the 42nd Gulf Cooperation Council summit hosted by Saudi Arabia later this month. Crown Prince Mohammed was received on arrival by Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, after which the two leaders held meetings on Wednesday night. They also chaired the sixth meeting of the Qatari-Saudi Joint Coordination Council at the Amiri Diwan and discussed bilateral relations and regional and international developments. During the meeting, the Saudi Crown Prince relayed the greetings of Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz to Emir Sheikh Tamim. The Council reviewed the strong brotherly bilateral relations and the ways to support and develop them in various fields to broader horizons, to meet the aspirations of the leadership of the two countries and serve the interests of their peoples, especially in the political, security, economic, investment fields, as well as other fields. The Council also dealt with several regional and international issues of joint interest, particularly the latest developments in the region, in addition to exchanging views on everything that would protect stability and security in the region. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Emir Sheikh Tamim signed the minutes of the sixth meeting of the Qatari-Saudi Coordination Council. “The relations of brotherhood and cooperation between Qatar and Saudi Arabia are based on solid foundations of a common history and destiny,” said the Emir in a tweet. “Today, I discussed with my brother, Prince Mohammad bin Salman, ways to enhance this cooperation between our two countries (and) I also affirmed with him our common concern to support security and stability in our region and the region,” Sheikh Tamim said, adding: “Welcome my brother Mohammad to Qatar.”Moreover, Saudi and Qatari companies signed agreements in the hospitality and tourism sectors at the Saudi-Qatari Business Forum in Doha on Wednesday.
The forum was organized by the Federation of Saudi Chambers and Qatar Chamber, with participation from private and public bodies and businesspeople.

Joint UAE-Saudi Statement Reaffirms Distinguished Ties, Deep-rooted Historic Relations

Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
The UAE and Saudi Arabia issued a joint statement following the end of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdul Aziz's visit to Abu Dahbi. The statement affirmed the distinguished ties and deep-rooted historic relations between the leaderships and peoples of both countries.
It also revealed that the Crown Prince's visit to the UAE comes in light of efforts exerted between both countries to boost and develop strategic cooperation, and economic and development integration to shape a better future, and ensure security and prosperity.
During the visit, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman congratulated the leadership, government and people of the UAE on the occasion of the country’s Golden Jubilee. He lauded the distinguished achievements of the UAE government in a variety of fields and wished the country further progress, wellbeing, prosperity, security and stability under the rule of its wise leadership.
During their meetings, the two leaders discussed the fraternal ties between the two countries, and ways of boosting bilateral ties.
The two sides lauded the distinguished level of cooperation between the two countries in political, security, military, economic and development areas, and the cooperation and integration under the framework of the Saudi-Emirati Coordination Council which was established upon the directives of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, and President of the UAE. The two sides stressed their determination to develop and strengthen the role of the council in all areas.
The two sides also highlighted the abundant economic potential and distinguished opportunities that could be generated through the strengthening of the strategic partnership between the two countries and increasing joint investments, stressing the importance of highlighting promising sectors to investors in both countries.
On energy, both sides lauded their close cooperation and the successful efforts of OPEC Plus to restore stability to the global oil market. They also affirmed the importance of continuing this cooperation, as well as the commitment of the member states of OPEC Plus to the agreement, stressing the importance of continuing their joint cooperation in the field of oil, gas and petrochemicals, as well as in the peaceful use of nuclear energy, oil products trade, capitalizing on the electricity connectivity and the electricity trade exchange, artificial intelligence, digital transformation, cybersecurity and advanced technologies.
Regarding climate change, the two sides said they are keen to strengthen their ongoing cooperation in implementing the circular economy approach launched by Saudi Arabia during its presidency of the G-20, and was approved by the group as a comprehensive framework aimed at addressing the challenges resulting from emissions that cause global warming.
The UAE also highlighted the local, regional and international achievements of the Green Middle East Initiative launched by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to address climate change. Also, the Saudi side lauded the UAE’s pioneering role in addressing climate change, most notably its hosting of COP28 in 2023.
The two sides stressed they will continue enhancing their cooperation in various areas, including health, tourism, food security and social development.
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman congratulated the UAE for the successful organisation of Expo 2020 Dubai while Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed highlighted the UAE’s support for Saudi Arabia’s bid to host Expo 2030.
- AlUla -
Saudi Arabia and the UAE emphasised the AlUla GCC Summit Declaration issued on 5th January, 2021, which stipulated the full and accurate implementation of the vision of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz, which was approved by the 36th Gulf Cooperation Council for Arab States (GCC) Leaders' Summit in December 2015 according to a specific timetable and careful follow-up.
This includes the completion of economic unity, the joint defense and security systems pillars, as well as coordinating positions in a way that enhances the solidarity and stability of the GCC countries and promotes their regional role through unifying political positions, developing political partnerships with the international community, regional and international organisations, strength and cohesion of the GCC states and unity among its member states.
- Palestine -
The two sides further reviewed the latest regional and global developments of mutual interest and emphasized coordination of their positions in a manner that serves their interests and supports and enhances security and stability in the region and the world.
In this regard, the two sides drew attention to their full support for all the legitimate rights of the Palestinian people, foremost of which is their right to establish an independent and sovereign Palestinian state on the borders of 4th June, 1967, with East Jerusalem as its capital, in accordance with the Arab Peace Initiative, the relevant United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolutions, and the Madrid Conference references, and other agreed international references, to achieve the aspirations of the fraternal Palestinian people.
-Yemen -
The two sides emphasized the compatibility of their views regarding the continuation of their efforts to reach an overall political solution to the Yemeni crisis in accordance with the terms of reference represented by the Gulf initiative and its executive mechanism, the outcomes of the Comprehensive National Dialogue Conference, the UNSC Resolution 2216, and Saudi Arabia's initiative to end the Yemeni crisis and reach a comprehensive political resolution in a manner that preserves Yemen's unity and integrity, respects its sovereignty and independence and rejects any interference in its internal affairs.
They also stressed the need to complete the implementation of the Riyadh Agreement. The two sides also condemned the Houthi militia's continued targeting of airports, civilian and vital facilities in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
- Lebanon, Iraq, and Sudan -
Regarding Lebanon, Saudi Arabia and the UAE underscored the importance of implementing comprehensive political and economic reforms to guarantees that Lebanon overcomes its crises and confines weapons in the hands of legitimate state institutions.
They also stressed that Lebanon will not be a starting point for any terrorist acts and an incubator for organizations and groups that target the security and stability of the region such as the terrorist "Hezbollah", and a source of the drug scourge that threatens the safety of societies, the region and the world.
They also welcomed the success of the electoral process in Iraq, and expressed their wishes for the formation of an Iraqi government that will continue to work towards enhancing Iraq's security, stability and development, and putting an end to terrorist activities and foreign interference in its internal affairs.
On Sudan, the sides welcomed the agreements reached by the parties to the transitional phase in the country, and affirmed their continued support for any steps that would help achieve security and stability in Sudan, expressing their wishes of stability and prosperity for Sudan and its people.
- Iran and Afghanistan -
The UAE and Saudi Arabia underscored the importance of dealing seriously and effectively with Iran's nuclear and missile dossier with all its components and repercussions to ensure achieving regional and international security and stability, respecting the principles of good neighborliness, the UN resolutions and international legitimacy, and sparing the region from all destabilizing activities and interventions. In that context, they demanded that the concerned parties take into consideration the interests, security and stability of other countries in the region.
With regard to Afghanistan, they stressed the importance of supporting security and stability and disallowing the existence of safe havens for terrorists and extremists in it. Furthermore, they condemned any acts aimed at recruiting Afghan refugees in various conflict areas, and expressed the importance of supporting relief efforts and humanitarian work in Afghanistan. In this regard, the UAE valued Saudi Arabia's invitation to an extraordinary ministerial meeting of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation countries, to be held in Pakistan on 19th December, 2021, to discuss the situation in Afghanistan.
Also, Saudi Arabia commended the UAE's efforts in the evacuation operations in Afghanistan.
- Syria and Libya -
Saudi Arabia and the UAE affirmed that a political solution is the only way out of the Syrian crisis, and in that context, they announced their support for the efforts of the UN and its Special Envoy to implement the relevant international resolutions, foremost of which is UN Security Council Resolution No. 2254, and to stop regional interventions and projects that threaten Syria's unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity. They also highlighted their support of the Syrian people and the need to support the international humanitarian efforts in Syria. As for Libya, the sides welcomed the Libyan and UN efforts to support the implementation of the agreed-upon political plan, and called for empowering the Libyan people to achieve their aspirations of unity, peace and stability. They also underlined the need to withdraw foreign mercenaries, fighters and forces from Libya. At the end of the visit, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressed his thanks and appreciation to Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed for the hospitality he showed to him and his accompanying delegation. For his part, Sheikh Mohammed conveyed his best wishes to the Saudi Crown Prince and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, wishing them continued progress and prosperity under the country's wise leadership.

Muslim Brotherhood ups campaign to postpone Libya elections
The Arab Weekly/December 09/2021
A group of demonstrators affiliated with the Muslim Brotherhood in Libya began a sit-in in front of the headquarters of the Electoral Commission in the capital, Tripoli, to demand elections be postponed until a referendum on the country’s constitution is held. The sit-in signals an escalation by the Muslim Brotherhood to postpone the presidential elections set for December 24. This escalation comes after reports, very much doubted by one close Libya watcher, that Islamists had reached a deal with parliamentarians affiliated with the former Libyan National Army commander and presidential candidate Khalifa Haftar, regarding the postponement of polls. Haftar stepped back from his LNA role in order to be able to run. The opposition of Libya’s Islamists to the presidential elections does not come as a surprise. For years, the Muslim Brotherhood has been pushing against polls, justifying its position by the need to hold a referendum on the constitution first. Videos posted on social media showed the moment when protesters arrived at the headquarters of the Electoral Commission and set up tents in front of the building to carry out a sit-in, raising slogans "No to elections without a constitution."Libyan media confirmed on Tuesday evening that the demonstrators belong to the Ghenewa militia led by Abdel Ghani al-Kikli and militias from Zawiya and Misrata which are also affiliated with the Muslim Brotherhood.
Observers believe that the Muslim Brotherhood's escalation, which comes after Islamist leaders called for a sit-in in front of the headquarters of the Electoral Commission, reflects the group’s lack of confidence that the caretaker Prime Minister Abdelhamid al-Dbeibah, who is close to the Muslim Brotherhood and Turkey, will win the presidency. The Brotherhood's concerns over a Dbeibah's possible electoral defeat rose after a Libyan court ruled that Seif al-Islam, a son of the late Libyan leader Muammar Gadhafi, can compete in upcoming presidential elections, overturning a decision by the country’s top electoral body to disqualify him. Observers believe that the Muslim Brotherhood is currently manoeuvring to postpone the votes for fear of losing its political clout, especially in the light of the decline of Islamists’ popularity in the North African country.
Parliament member Saleh Fahima called on political actors to stop tampering with the elections, saying in a Facebook post, “When you confiscate the judgment of the majority and impede the realisation of their wishes in exercising their democratic right, that means that you have abandoned the peaceful expression of your opinion and entered the process of trying to subject the opinions of others to yours.”Fahima stressed that the elections are not a goal in themselves, but rather a means to reach political stability, adding, "Whoever accepts democracy as a way to rule and a way to reach power, must accept its results."
This comes at a time when attitudes are changing regarding holding the presidential elections on time, with a radical shift in the position of Libya’s parliament, the House of Representatives (HoR).
In fact, the HoR, which had earlier been pressing for the vote to be held on time, is now moving toward postponement. During a closed session on Tuesday, members reportedly discussed the developments of the electoral process.
Informed sources told The Arab Weekly that the meeting’s goal was to postpone the elections and block the release of the final list of presidential candidates.
The candidacies of Seif al-Islam Gadhafi and Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dbeibah have confused the calculations of the House of Representatives, which is close to Haftar, who is also running for the presidency. Over the past few days, Libya has seen court battles, with appeals against Dbeibah’s candidacy and a challenge by Gadhafi’s son of the Electoral Commission’s rejection of his candidacy. On Wednesday, MP Ziad Daghim, who is known for his support for Haftar and the Libyan National Army, called for the postponement of the elections, echoing the Muslim Brotherhood's stance against holding the polls on time. Daghim said in a statement to the local “24 hour” website, that “the electoral process entered the recovery room and the parliament is trying to save it by forming a follow-up committee and communicating with the commission and the relevant institutions,” stressing “the need to inject new blood in the legislative authority next February according to two steps; The first is to hold parliamentary elections, even if partial until a settlement is reached on the presidential elections," He continued: "The second is the re-election of a new presidency in parliament, according to partial parliamentary elections."Before that, on Wednesday, the Muslim Brotherhood-linked president of the State Council, Khalid Al-Mishri, called for postponing the presidential and parliamentary elections until February.

Congress Demands Biden’s Administration Clarify US Strategy on Syria

Washington - Muath Alamri/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
The US House of Representatives has passed a law on disclosing the sources of the wealth of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, his family and his inner circle, and requested that US federal agencies submit a detailed report. It also requested the Biden administration to announce its strategy for Syria. This came during the Congressional approval of the US Department of Defense budget for the year 2022 and now awaits the support of the Senate for the law to take effect. Many see the law’s passing as a legislative victory for the US against the Assad regime in Syria. It plays to the benefit of the Syrian revolution and popular opposition, which have long pressed the US to take stricter measures against the regime in Syria. The initial draft of the bill included an interagency strategy to disrupt the Assad regime’s illicit drug networks in Syria. However, that part was excluded from the bill, which maintained the law on presenting a report on the wealth of Assad and his family members, including his cousins, such as the Makhloufs and others. Among the amendments that were discussed, but did not succeed in obtaining enough votes to pass, is an amendment that requires a strategy for Syria and for making the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) self-sufficient enough to let go of the help of the US forces eventually. According to the final version that was voted on and approved by submitting the law to the Senate, which is what Democratic Congresswoman Claudia Tenny had submitted, orders a report from the State Department on the net wealth of Assad and his family members, including his wife, children, siblings, as well as paternal and maternal cousins. The approved amendment, No. 6507, included disclosure of “income from corrupt or illegal activities practiced by the Syrian regime.”
The legal amendment stressed the need for interagency coordination to apply US sanctions against Assad in Syria and the importance of “monitoring rampant corruption to ensure that no funds are directed to terrorist groups and malicious activities.”The House bill also included a provision requiring the Secretary of Defense to report on the estimated cost savings from the complete withdrawal of US personnel and local contractors from Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria, compared to the actual costs in the fiscal year 2021. It also requested presenting the estimated cost of redirecting US personnel and materials and “increasing the budgetary power of ships, aircraft, nuclear weapons, key personnel, and operational costs, to actively participate in great power competition with Russia and China, and to effectively restrain and deter Russia and China militarily in all regions.”
In amendment No. 1222, legislators requested the submitting of a detailed report explaining the US military and political strategy in Syria in no more than 90 days, starting from the entry into force of the budget of the US Government, Fiscal Year 2022. The amendment stipulated that after the date of enactment of this law, the US president, acting through the Secretary of State and in coordination with the Secretary of Defense, “shall submit to the appropriate congressional committees a report containing a description of the US strategy on defense and diplomacy toward Syria.”For his part, Representative French Hill of Arkansas issued a statement voicing his disappointment that his provision to go after the multi-billion-dollar drug trade in Syria was not included. “While I was disappointed my provision to go after the multi-billion-dollar drug trade in Syria was not included because of a disjointed process, I was pleased to see the note in the Conference Committee Report that indicated support for an interagency strategy to disrupt and dismantle the Assad regime’s illicit production and trafficking of Captagon in Syria. I look forward to pursuing other legislative avenues to move these important provisions forward,” said Hill.
Hill had previously released a video clip saying that the Biden administration must do everything in its power to stop the systematic drug smuggling operations in Syria, describing the Assad regime as a narcostate.

Iraqi Official Says US-led Troops End Combat Mission, as Planned
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Iraq's national security adviser said on Thursday that US-led forces had ended their combat mission in Iraq, a move that transfers all remaining troops into a training and advising role. According to Reuters, Qasim al-Aaraji said on Twitter that the combat mission had ended on schedule ahead of the end of the year and that combat troops were to withdraw. US President Joe Biden and Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi sealed an agreement in July to formally end the US combat mission in Iraq by the end of 2021. Western security and diplomatic officials say that calling the shift a withdrawal is misleading because it changes little in terms of the number of forces based in Iraq. The US has kept around 2,500 troops in Iraq since 2020. The Western officials say that most of those forces have been operating only in a training and advising role for some time. The US-led military mission focuses on countering the remnants of ISIS. It began its mission in 2014 as part of an international effort to defeat the extremist group which had taken over vast areas of Iraq and Syria.

Burhan Warns Diplomats Not to Interfere in Sudan's Internal Affairs

Khartoum - Mohammed Amin Yassin/Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
Sudan's military chief Gen. Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan has warned of possible measures against foreign diplomatic missions for their alleged incitement against the Sudanese army. Burhan also reiterated his commitment to the political agreement struck with Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok.
On 25 October, the military dismissed Hamdok's transitional government. However, Burhan later reinstated the PM to form a civil government after coming under local and international pressure. “A number of diplomatic envoys are … clearly trying to incite the people to turn against the armed forces in order to seize the opportunity of interfering in Sudanese affairs,” said Burhan at a military graduation ceremony in River Nile state in northeastern Sudan. “We will not hesitate to take action against anyone committing violations against the security of Sudan,” he warned. On the agreement with Hamdok, he said the army was committed to maintain peace and to prepare for the elections.

Le Drian Urges Easing of Tension with Algeria
Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 9 December, 2021
France's top diplomat Jean-Yves Le Drian called Wednesday for an easing of tensions with Algeria, during a surprise visit to Algiers after repeated crises between the North African country and its former colonial power.
Addressing journalists after meeting President Abdelmadjid Tebboune, Le Drian said the countries should move past "misunderstandings" and "wounds of the past". "I hope that our two countries will return together to the path of a peaceful relationship and look to the future," AFP quoted him as saying.
He voiced hope that both would work together to bring stability to Algeria's neighbors, Libya and Mali. Relations between Algiers and Paris have been strained for much of the six decades since the former French colony won its independence after a 130-year occupation. President Emmanuel Macron has gone further than his predecessors in owning up to French abuses during the colonial era. But ties collapsed in October after Macron accused Algeria's "political-military system" of rewriting history and fomenting "hatred towards France". In remarks to descendants of independence fighters, reported by Le Monde, Macron also questioned whether Algeria had existed as a nation before the French invasion in the 1800s. Coming a month after Paris decided to sharply reduce visa quotas for citizens of Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia, those comments sparked a fierce reaction from Algeria. The country withdrew its ambassador and banned French military planes from its airspace, which they regularly use to carry out operations against militant groups in West Africa and the Sahel region. The comments also prompted Tebboune to boycott a major November summit in Paris on Libya, vowing that Algeria would "not take the first step" to repair ties. The dispute prompted a rare expression of contrition from the French presidency, which said it "regretted" the misunderstandings caused by the remarks. An aide from Macron's office said the French leader "has the greatest respect for the Algerian nation and its history and for Algeria's sovereignty."
Algerian Foreign Minister Ramtane Lamamra welcomed that statement and, in the end, represented Algeria at the Libya conference. Le Drian's visit comes as Algeria prepares to celebrate the 60th anniversary of its independence in March.

As ties warm up with Arab countries, Syria to host 2024 energy conference
The Arab Weekly/December 09/2021
Syria will host an Arab energy conference in 2024, the country’s energy ministry said Thursday, the latest sign that Arab countries are moving to re-engage with the government of Syria’s embattled President Bashar Assad. The announcement followed a unanimous vote from members of the Organisation of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries during a virtual meeting Thursday, the ministry said. The conference will be held in Damascus, according to a ministry statement on Facebook and the official state news agency SANA. Qatar is hosting the 2023 conference. Arab countries have in recent months been making limited moves to improve relations with Syria, a decade after it was shunned and kicked out of the Arab League at the onset of the country’s civil war in 2011. The rapprochement has included the reopening of several embassies, visits by Arab officials to Damascus and restoring some commercial ties with the war-torn country. The moves are a recognition of the facts on the ground — after years of war and despite the initial support by some Arab countries to his opposition, Assad’s government has survived and his forces have regained control of much of the country. Syria’s civil war has displaced half of its population, killed hundreds of thousands and driven the country’s economy into the ground. Before the war, Syria produced 350,000 barrels of oil a day, exporting more than half of it. It now averages around 24,000 barrels a day, covering only a fraction of domestic needs. Most of its oil fields are in the hands of Kurdish-led forces, who administer an autonomous region in the country’s northeast. Assad’s government has relied on a top ally, Iran, for oil supplies. In recent weeks, a deal was signed with Egypt to extend natural gas through Syria to Lebanon using an Arab oil pipeline that has been out of service for a decade. OAPEC was founded in Beirut in 1968 with Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Libya as its first members. Its headquarters are in Kuwait. Algeria, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain joined three years later. The organisation’s charter was later changed to allow members where petroleum is an essential source of income, though not the main one. Syria and Egypt also subsequently joined the group. The organisation’s website says the total reserves of the member states are estimated at 704 billion barrels a year.

Sudan in danger as death toll in Darfur tribal clashes mounts

The Arab Weekly/December 09/2021
A Sudanese medical group said Wednesday that the death toll from weekend tribal clashes between Arabs and non-Arabs in the country’s western Darfur region had climbed to at least 88. The fighting grew out of a financial dispute late Saturday between two individuals in a camp for displaced persons in the Kreinik area in West Darfur province. The following day, Arab militias known as Janjaweed attacked the camp and surrounding villages. The militias torched and looted properties, forcing thousands of people to flee their homes. Most of the displaced are from the African Masalit tribe, who were forced to leave their homes during the Darfur conflict, according to Adam Regal, the spokesman for the General Coordination for Refugees and Displaced in Darfur. The Sudan Doctors Committee said it tallied at least 88 dead and 84 wounded from all sides since the clashes erupted on December 4. It said most of the causalities suffered gunshots and that the humanitarian situation in the area was “catastrophic.” Sudan’s ruling Sovereign Council on Tuesday said it would deploy a joint force to Darfur, to help secure the region which has seen a spike in tribal violence in recent weeks.
The African country is on a fragile path to democracy after a popular uprising forced the overthrow of President Omar Bashir and his Islamist government in April 2019, ending nearly three decades of autocratic rule. Before the weekend violence, since October 62 people had been killed in several bouts of intercommunal clashes in West Darfur and South Darfur provinces, according to the doctors' committee. With the latest killings, the overall death toll for this time period is at least 150. The tribal violence poses a significant challenge to the transitional government in the Sudanese capital of Khartoum, which is seeking to end decades-long rebellions in Darfur and elsewhere in the country. The Darfur conflict began in 2003 when ethnic Africans rebelled, accusing the Arab-dominated government in Khartoum of discrimination. Bashir’s government has been accused of retaliating by arming local nomadic Arab tribes and unleashing the Janjaweed on civilians, a charge it denied. Bashir, jailed in Khartoum since his ouster, faces international charges of genocide and crimes against humanity related to the Darfur conflict.

Canada/Minister Joly and Minister Sajjan to participate in G7 Foreign and Development Ministers’ Meeting in Liverpool, United Kingdom
December 9, 2021 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, and the Honourable Harjit S. Sajjan, Minister of International Development and Minister responsible for the Pacific Economic Development Agency of Canada, will take part in the G7 Foreign and Development Ministers Meeting in Liverpool, United Kingdom, from December 10 to December 12, 2021.
This will be the second such meeting in 2021, and the first for Ministers Joly and Sajjan in their new roles. It will serve as an opportunity to continue to make progress together on several pressing international development and foreign policy challenges.
Ministers Joly and Sajjan will look to align Canadian efforts with likeminded partners on a number of priorities, including increasing access to COVID-19 vaccines, advancing gender equality, and supporting global economic growth. They will also discuss coordinated responses to threats to human rights and democracy; these discussions will include efforts to deter and end arbitrary detention for leverage in the context of diplomatic relations. G7 Ministers will also exchange views on pressing geopolitical issues, including Afghanistan, China, Ethiopia, Iran, Myanmar, North Korea, Russia, Sudan and Ukraine.
The ministers will have the opportunity to engage with many of their counterparts, in-person and virtually, including ministers from Australia, India, and the Republic of Korea along with representatives from many countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), who have been invited as guests to join parts of the G7 Foreign and Development Ministers’ Meeting.
As the host country, the United Kingdom will implement strict COVID-19 health measures, including social distancing and daily testing to ensure the health and wellbeing of all staff and attendees. Ministers Joly and Sajjan and Canadian delegates will follow all applicable health and safety protocols and adhere to any quarantine requirements upon their return to Canada.
Quotes
“This meeting with G7 partners and guests will allow us to continue working towards a coordinated worldwide response to the ongoing challenges posed by COVID-19. I look forward to having important discussions with my colleagues and seeking real solutions to some of the most pressing issues of our time.”
- Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs
“Global problems demand global solutions. During my first trip as Canada’s minister of international development, I look forward to working together with G7 colleagues to address critical issues, including equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines, and the empowerment of women and girls worldwide.”
- Harjit S. Sajjan, Minister of International Development and Minister responsible for the Pacific Economic Development Agency of Canada
Quick facts
The G7 is an informal group of like-minded partners that brings together Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, the United States and the European Union.
The G7 dates back to the mid-1970s, and the G7 presidency, which rotates annually between member countries, sets the agenda for the year in consultation with G7 partners. The United Kingdom has held the presidency in 2021 and Germany will assume the presidency for 2022. Canada last held the presidency in 2018.
This second ever G7 Foreign and Development Ministers’ Meeting offers its members a unique forum where they can develop coordinated approaches through open and honest discussions on issues related to foreign affairs, international development, and international security.
G7 foreign and development ministers last met in-person and virtually in May, 2021.

The Latest The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on December 09-10/2021
خالد أبو طعمة/معهد جيتستون : العرب لبايدن يقولون االرئيس، لا تدع إيران تخدعك

Arabs to Biden: Do Not Let Iran Play You for a Fool

Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/December 09/2021
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/104661/khaled-abu-toameh-gatestone-institute-arabs-to-biden-do-not-let-iran-play-you-for-a-fool-%d8%ae%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%af-%d8%a3%d8%a8%d9%88-%d8%b7%d8%b9%d9%85%d8%a9-%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%87%d8%af-%d8%ac%d9%8a/
Iran has been insisting on its conditions and demands, including that Washington and the Western powers release frozen Iranian funds before reaching an agreement, according to Tariq Alhomayed, a Saudi journalist and former editor-in-chief of the Arabic-language newspaper Asharq Al-Awsat. He added that Iran was refusing to discuss ballistic missiles, drones and its terrorist militias in the Middle East as the mullahs continue their alarming rate of uranium enrichment.
"It is evident that Washington has been begging Iran to return to the negotiating table," he said. "Washington did not threaten Iran with the use of force. It is true that we hear statements from Washington about impatience, but they are neither serious nor real. The Americans did not convey any serious message to the Iranians." — Tariq Alhomayed, Asharq Al-Awsat, November 24, 2021.
Iraqi writer Ali Alsarraf believes that by seeking guarantees that the US will not reimpose sanctions on Iran in the future, the mullahs in Tehran are hoping that they will become immune from anything that their militias do in the Middle East, including striking American bases and forcing them to leave Iraq and Syria.
"As with North Korea, the world would be forced to grapple with Iranian aggression very cautiously because of the likelihood that it could rain down ballistic and nuclear weapons upon neighbors. Unlike North Korea, Iran has proxy forces deployed throughout the region which henceforth could act with impunity, shielded by Iran's nuclear umbrella." — Baria Alamuddin, award-winning Lebanese journalist and broadcaster, Arab News, November 28, 2021.
It is impressive to see that a growing number of Arabs, especially those... whose countries are occupied by Iranian-backed militias, share Israeli fears of the mullahs' evil plans.
The message these Arabs are sending to the Biden administration: take a tough stance towards Iran before it is too late. Far from being a danger to Israel alone, Iran is terrorizing Arab countries and threatening world peace and security.
On the eve of the resumption of the Iran nuclear talks in Vienna, Arabs have again warned the Biden administration against being duped by the mullahs of Tehran.
The Arabs, who share Israel's concern over Iran's accelerated efforts (and deceptive tactics) to achieve nuclear weapons, also warned the Biden administration against reaching a temporary deal that would give Iran more time to proceed with its disastrous and dangerous plans.
"Undoubtedly, a temporary nuclear agreement, if it is implemented, reflects the failure of the policy of President Biden's administration, which announced that it would seek a wider, stronger and more comprehensive agreement," wrote Saudi writer and political analyst Yahya Talidi.
Talidi pointed out that the US administration seems confused because of its changing policy priorities and objectives in the Middle East, "which reflects a lack of interest in strengthening and factors of stability and security in the region." The previous nuclear agreement in 2015, he added, was a failure.
"The failure has logical and realistic causes, most notably that it was limited to a specific time period (it expires in 2025) and did not address the ambitions of hegemony and expansion of the Iranian regime and its ballistic missiles.
"This failure may be repeated today in Vienna. A temporary agreement could become permanent, allowing Iran to maintain its nuclear infrastructure and supply it with uranium, with which it has doubled its stockpile, and then the region will become mired in an uncontrollable nuclear arms race."
Tariq Alhomayed, a Saudi journalist and former editor-in-chief of the Arabic-language newspaper Asharq Al-Awsat, warned the Biden administration that Iran was only trying to buy more time by returning to the negotiations with the US and other world powers:
"The Vienna negotiations aimed at reaching a final agreement on the Iranian nuclear file are supposed to resume next week, and all indications are that we are facing time-wasting negotiations...
"It is clear that the Iranian [leaders] are not seeking to seriously revive these negotiations, and therefore are not keen on the completion of the agreement, especially since the achievement of the agreement may weaken them at home."
Alhomayed pointed out that Iran has been insisting on its conditions and demands, including that Washington and the Western powers release frozen Iranian funds before reaching an agreement. He added that Iran was refusing to discuss ballistic missiles, drones and its terrorist militias in the Middle East as the mullahs continue their alarming rate of uranium enrichment.
"Iran is doing all of this to take advantage of the time factor... If a nuclear agreement is not achieved, Tehran will have reached levels of enrichment that would allow it to implement its nuclear project by imposing a fait accompli and declaring victory."
According to Alhomayed, the Biden administration has failed to send a tough message to Iran ahead of the resumption of the Vienna talks.
"It is evident that Washington has been begging Iran to return to the negotiating table... Washington did not threaten Iran with the use of force. It is true that we hear statements from Washington about impatience, but they are neither serious nor real. The Americans did not convey any serious message to the Iranians."
Iraqi writer Ali Alsarraf expressed concern that Biden might commit with Iran the same "sin" he committed with Afghanistan.
Iran, he said, cannot make any concessions on its demands because other parties, including Russia, are encouraging the mullahs to endorse a hardline approach in its dealings with the Biden administration:
"The current situation is that Iran and Russia are speaking with one voice, saying that there is no way to reach an agreement unless the original agreement is preserved without any additions to it...
"This position says, in other words, that all the previous six rounds were meaningless. Iran also wants all sanctions to be lifted at once, and on top of that, it wants guarantees that the US will not reimpose sanctions after the full return of the agreement. Returning to the original version of the nuclear agreement means refraining from adding any issues related to Iran's destabilizing activities in the region, including the activities of its terrorist militias in Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen."
Alsarraf believes that by seeking guarantees that the US will not reimpose sanctions on Iran in the future, the mullahs in Tehran are hoping that they will become immune from anything that their militias do in the Middle East, including striking American bases and forcing them to leave Iraq and Syria.
"With Iran's recent announcement that it has produced 25 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium, postponing the talks for an unknown period does not appear to be an acceptable option... Because 90% of the enrichment required to produce a nuclear weapon is very close. There is no doubt that Iran is using this for blackmail purposes."
Baria Alamuddin, an award-winning Lebanese journalist and broadcaster in the Middle East, said she supported the use of military force to stop Iran from gaining nuclear weapons.
Iran's attainment of nuclear capacity, Alamuddin wrote, has immediate implications for global security.
"As with North Korea, the world would be forced to grapple with Iranian aggression very cautiously because of the likelihood that it could rain down ballistic and nuclear weapons upon neighbors... Unlike North Korea, Iran has proxy forces deployed throughout the region which henceforth could act with impunity, shielded by Iran's nuclear umbrella."
She pointed out that despite spectacular Israeli acts of sabotage, Iranian scientists have gone to extraordinary lengths to rebuild and keep nuclear development on schedule, even at a time when thousands of impoverished citizens are dying from never-ending COVID-19 outbreaks and much of the country is running out of water.
"According to intelligence officials, Tehran replaced damaged equipment with new technology that operates faster and at higher volumes... Hence, reliance on cyberattacks and pin-prick sabotage has only made Iran double down on its efforts. The US dilemma is simple: If Iran is hellbent on developing nuclear weapons, and the world is serious about stopping Iran, then ultimately there may be no alternative to some form of military force, such as surgical strikes for permanently eliminating nuclear sites. There is no sugaring this pill. The ayatollahs must be under no illusion that they can stealthily filibuster their way toward nuclear breakout capacity".
Alamuddin warned that Western ambivalence and naivety have only made matters worse: "Iran must be bluntly and forcefully told: If you proceed down this path, we will stop you!"
Rafik Khoury, another Lebanese writer and political analyst, also expressed concern over the Biden administration's soft approach towards Iran.
"Washington seems to be begging Tehran to return to the indirect negotiations," Khoury noted.
"The men of the first row in the Biden administration were the men of the second row in the administration of President Barack Obama. Biden's men learned the lesson of driving from the back seat, despite Biden's statement that 'America is back in command.'"
Khoury advised the Biden administration to avoid making the same mistake Obama did by relying on empty and false promises by Iran.
He noted that Biden, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, and National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan initially insisted on a broader and more permanent agreement that would be linked to a halt to missile development and "destabilizing" activities by Tehran in the Middle East.
"When Tehran refused to discuss any issue outside of returning to the nuclear agreement and the lifting of sanctions, the US administration backed down," Khoury added.
The views expressed by these Arab writers and journalists are not uncommon in the Arab world, where many continue to regard Iran as a major threat to security and stability in the Middle East.
It is impressive to see that a growing number of Arabs, especially those living in the Gulf states or those whose countries are occupied by Iranian-backed militias, share Israeli fears of the mullahs' evil plans.
The message these Arabs are sending to the Biden administration: take a tough stance towards Iran before it is too late. Far from being a danger to Israel alone, Iran is terrorizing Arab countries and threatening world peace and security.
*Khaled Abu Toameh is an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem.
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Have political parties lost their role in Algeria?
The Arab Weekly/December 09/2021
Recent elections in Algeria showed that affiliation with political parties has become simply an administrative requirement for electoral candidacy applications. During the three weeks of the past electoral campaign, no party programmes nor visions to advance local development were presented to voters.
The turnout rate did not exceed 35 percent, but despite that, the winners were excited about what they have achieved, trying to hide a grim reality produced by the new political scene. That reality is that a silent gap is widening between the candidates and the new political institutions, on the one hand, and political parties on the other hand. It seems that the different parties no longer represent anything but a mere political cover or an administrative requirement to be filed with the national electoral commission. Other than that, there is no organic nor spiritual relationship between the new generation of candidates and their parties. This transformation can only increase the disintegration and dissolution of the political class. When parties can no longer convince their candidates to adopt their programmes, how can they convince Algerians about their platforms?
Over the course of three weeks of the election campaign, the Algerian voters did not hear about this or that party having any programme to promote local development or to address the daily concerns of the population. The reason was that candidates seemed too shy to promote their parties’ policies. Many of them contented themselves with simply advertising their candidacies on social media.
The political divorce between the Algerian street and the elections is directly linked to the crisis of political parties that have lost their credibility and their role and no longer have programmes nor an identity. The new logic of Algerian parties is to be with or against the authorities. Even the largest and oldest parties have become satellites and not locomotives. They are mostly satisfied with a piece of the cake without being a partner, or even trying to inject part of their programme into government policies, which effectively they support.
From the Algerian perspective, the political party is no longer a school with ideas, viewpoints and principles, but rather has become an administrative requirement to run in elections. In the absence of a political link between the candidate and the party, the voters have become disillusioned about the electoral game where candidates seek their narrow interest in linking up to parties that have no substance. It seems that the new electoral pattern adopted by the authorities to prevent what it called “political corruption and the seepage of money into party competition”, has had the opposite effect. It has confused weary voters and embarrassed others into voting for relatives while entrenching the practice of individualistic opportunism in elections and further diminishing the value and prestige of the political parties.
Until recently, party loyalty and a candidate’s performance was the first test for those wishing to run. But the equation has now changed. Parties are giving up everything and looking for candidates on social media or through official statements, which is an alarming indication of the advanced erosion of the party institution. The Socialist Forces Front, which is the oldest opposition party in the country, created underground during the early years of independence, remains the most prominent example of the gradual dissolution of the political forces since the passing of its historic leader Hacine Ait Ahmed.
It is a party where a high-ranking member dares to run under the banner of the National Liberation Front and not his own party and where candidates quickly turn their backs on their party after winning seats in its name.

West must learn from its Iran nuclear deal mistakes
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/December 09, 2021
The failure of the 2015 nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, should have taught the US, France, Germany and the UK several lessons when it comes to dealing and negotiating with the Iranian regime. If the West wants to reach an enduring agreement with Tehran, it should show that it has learned from its mistakes.
This means that any nuclear deal with Tehran must not be transitory, which is what the Iranian regime wants it to be.
The primary objective of the nuclear talks was to halt Iran’s nuclear program permanently, hence eliminating the possibility of a nuclear arms race in the region and removing the strategic threat that a nuclear-armed Iran might pose in the region via its hegemonic ambitions, thereby shifting the balance of power and creating new alliances.
Unfortunately, the 2015 JCPOA, which the Biden administration, Germany, France and the UK are currently trying to revive, fundamentally moved away from this key goal. At the time, as the Obama administration attempted to add to its Middle Eastern achievements, the Iranian nuclear team managed to obtain an unprecedented number of compromises from the White House, removing crucial restrictions on Iran’s nuclear program, lifting sanctions and ensuring it had the ultimate legal right and international legitimacy to become a nuclear threshold state.
The objective of permanently halting Iran’s nuclear program unfortunately morphed into limiting Tehran’s nuclear ambitions for a set period, while removing sanctions and ultimately rewarding the theocratic regime with the sunset clauses.
The Biden administration has suggested extending the sunset clauses from 15 years to 25 years. But this would still be a transitory agreement that would allow the regime to resume enriching uranium at any level it chooses, spin as many advanced centrifuges as it wants, make its reactors fully operational, build new heavy water reactors, produce as much fuel as it desires for its reactors, and maintain higher uranium enrichment capability, with no restrictions after the period of the agreement. In other words, the sunset clauses will most likely ensure that Iran will be a nuclear state after the 15 or 25-year period, assuming that Tehran will not covertly violate the rules in the meantime. After the expiration of such an agreement, Iran would be rewarded with an unrestricted nuclear program.
Technologically speaking, after Iran becomes a nuclear threshold state, it takes only a matter of weeks to produce weapons-grade material. In fact, the regime hopes for such a temporary agreement, as it would allow Tehran to enrich uranium and be free of sanctions.
A second mistake that needs to be learned from is the decision to lift all sanctions against Iran on the first day of the agreement. When this happened in 2015, the West lost all leverage against the regime and Iran immediately rejoined the international community and increased its oil sales and trade revenue, strengthening the ruling clerics’ hold on power and eliminating the economic danger that had been causing potentially revolutionary domestic unrest.
In 2015, the Iranian regime received an extremely favorable deal from the P5+1 powers, as all four rounds of UN sanctions, which took decades and a significant amount of political capital to put in place, were lifted on day one of the nuclear deal. This move by the Obama administration, which led the negotiations, was a result of misguided diplomacy and was politically and strategically dangerous.
Three conditions must be included in any new agreement to replace the failed 2015 JCPOA.
If all sanctions are lifted immediately and Iran later decides to breach the terms of the deal, it would be extremely difficult to again find consensus in the UN Security Council on imposing sanctions on Tehran.
Finally, Iran’s ballistic missile program is interconnected with the nuclear program. The international community witnessed how the Iranian regime expanded and launched far more ballistic missiles after the 2015 nuclear deal, despite UN Security Council Resolution 1929, which states: “Iran shall not undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using ballistic missile technology, and that states shall take all necessary measures to prevent the transfer of technology or technical assistance to Iran related to such activities.”
In conclusion, any new deal with the Iranian regime must permanently bring an end to its nuclear threats and defiance, allow for sanctions to be lifted gradually, and also restrict Tehran’s ballistic missile program.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist. Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh

Adapting to the changing face of the space race

Khaled Abou Zahr/Arab News/December 09, 2021
During French President Emmanuel Macron’s official visit to Saudi Arabia last weekend, much attention focused on the geopolitical aspects of the high-level discussions. However, there was another important aspect: Space. The CEO of the Saudi Space Commission, Dr. Mohammed bin Saud Al-Tamimi, signed a cooperation agreement with Philippe Baptiste, his counterpart at the French National Center for Space Studies.
This agreement included strengthening the strategic partnership between the two sides and laying the foundations for cooperative activities in the peaceful use of space. The accord completes other steps the Saudi Space Commission has taken to facilitate the exchange of information and technologies, and contribute to capacity-building in the Kingdom. It is also the focus for development of public and private-sector activities to build up an attractive environment for investment in the space sector and the growth of its economy.
Regrettably, most headlines about space today portray the sector in a negative light — a game in which billionaires show off and waste resources that could be better directed to other, more worthy, projects and causes. This is a major misunderstanding of the opportunities, as well as challenges, that the “new space” is presenting. Space has become a key component for the security and the economy of every country and region. It simply cannot and should not be ignored.
There is obviously a geopolitical aspect to the development of innovation in space. From the beginning, it was perceived as an ideological and political competition between the US and the USSR — a way of highlighting the advances in research and discovery for each of the superpowers. Everyone knows of the famous “Sputnik moment.” And it is often said that the US anti-missile Strategic Defense Initiative played a key role in ending the Cold War, leaving the Soviet Union with a challenge that it was unable to meet due to its limited resources. The SDI never materialized, but it had the desired impact.
Yet, the story of space is not only about geopolitics, but also scientific discovery and economic development. Today, this industry is valued at more than $400 billion and is expected to be worth $1 trillion by 2040. If you watch the latest football matches live, it is thanks to the space and satellite industry. Moreover, without space and global positioning systems, you would be unable to use most of the applications on your smartphone. That is why space has shifted from solely a geopolitical competition to a commercial one as well.
One of the key points in the agreement and steps taken by the Saudi Space Commission is the empowerment of the private sector. This is an important and necessary action that can no longer be ignored. One could make a comparison with the rise of social media platforms. These companies today have full control over the entire supply chain of information and are acting as the main infrastructure, or utility company, for data. They have been left unchecked and now have the power to decide which voices are heard and which are not. The same can and will happen in space.
Just as social media has transformed every company into a media company, in the future every company will become a space company.
In this sense, Josef Aschbacher, director-general of the European Space Agency, recently said that Elon Musk was being allowed to “make the rules” in space. This refers not only to the advances in the launching capacity of SpaceX, but also the Starlink satellite internet constellation it operates. Aschbacher has encouraged states to avoid competition and, instead, focus on empowering the private sector to achieve better results faster.
It is also true that the revolution in the space sector today was brought about partly by Musk. By democratizing access to space and making it cheaper, he has unleashed a historical opportunity for a large number of new space companies to offer various applications. A big part of the financing of SpaceX comes from NASA and US government contracts, of course. Yet, the US has moved quickly and shifted the power toward the private sector. The same is now happening in the region that covers Europe, the Middle East and Africa.
And so, just as social media has transformed every company into a media company, in the future every company will become a space company. Once again, the key point is that whoever has control over the supply chain, whether private sector or government, will have the capacity to shut down others and generate chaos.
Hence, the development of a sustainable framework among friends and allies — as Saudi Arabia and France have initiated — is an absolute necessity to grasp the economic opportunities space is creating. Nevertheless, it is also important to build for a future that protects and offers security, especially as the risk of geopolitics morphing into astropolitics increases.
*Khaled Abou Zahr is CEO of Eurabia, a media and tech company. He is also the editor of Al-Watan Al-Arabi.