English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For August 28/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.august28.22.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
The Parable of the Sower/But that on
the good ground are they, which in an honest and good heart, having heard the
word, keep it, and bring forth fruit with patience.
Luke08/04-15/And when much people were gathered
together, and were come to him out of every city, he spake by a parable: A sower
went out to sow his seed: and as he sowed, some fell by the way side; and it was
trodden down, and the fowls of the air devoured it. And some fell upon a rock;
and as soon as it was sprung up, it withered away, because it lacked moisture.
And some fell among thorns; and the thorns sprang up with it, and choked it. And
other fell on good ground, and sprang up, and bare fruit an hundredfold. And
when he had said these things, he cried, He that hath ears to hear, let him
hear. And his disciples asked him, saying, What might this parable be? And he
said, Unto you it is given to know the mysteries of the kingdom of God: but to
others in parables; that seeing they might not see, and hearing they might not
understand. Now the parable is this: The seed is the word of God. Those by the
way side are they that hear; then cometh the devil, and taketh away the word out
of their hearts, lest they should believe and be saved. They on the rock are
they, which, when they hear, receive the word with joy; and these have no root,
which for a while believe, and in time of temptation fall away. And that which
fell among thorns are they, which, when they have heard, go forth, and are
choked with cares and riches and pleasures of this life, and bring no fruit to
perfection. But that on the good ground are they, which in an honest and good
heart, having heard the word, keep it, and bring forth fruit with patience.
Question: “How can I evangelize my friends and family
without pushing them away?”
GotQuestions.org/August 27/2022
Answer: At some point, every Christian has had a family member, a friend,
co-worker, or acquaintance who is not a Christian. Sharing the gospel with
others can be difficult, and it can become even more difficult when it involves
someone with whom we have close emotional ties. The Bible tells us that some
people will be offended at the gospel (Luke 12:51–53). However, we are commanded
to share the gospel, and there is no excuse for not doing so (Matthew 28:19–20;
Acts 1:8; 1 Peter 3:15).
So, how can we evangelize our family members, friends, co-workers, and
acquaintances? The most important thing we can do is pray for them. Pray that
God would change their hearts and open their eyes to the truth of the gospel (2
Corinthians 4:4). Pray that God would convince them of His love for them and
their need for salvation through Jesus Christ (John 3:16). Pray for wisdom as to
how to best minister to them (James 1:5).
We must be willing and bold in our actual sharing of the gospel. Proclaim the
message of salvation through Jesus Christ to your friends and family (Romans
10:9–10). Always be prepared to speak of your faith (1 Peter 3:15), doing so
with gentleness and respect. There is no substitute for personally sharing the
gospel: “Faith comes from hearing the message, and the message is heard through
the word about Christ” (Romans 10:17).
In addition to praying and sharing our faith, we must also live godly Christian
lives in front of our friends and family members so they can see the change God
has made in us (1 Peter 3:1–2). Ultimately, we must leave the salvation of our
loved ones up to God. It is God’s power and grace that saves people, not our
efforts. The best we can do is pray for them, witness to them, and live the
Christian life in front of them. It is God who gives the increase (1 Corinthians
3:6).
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on August 27-28/2022
Presidency Press Office: Some politicians and media professionals have
reached the extent of incitement and inciting sectarian strife to serve the...
Submarine finds 10 bodies on Lebanon's sunken migrant ship
Lebanese plane makes emergency landing in Athens
Lebanese singer George al-Rassi dies in tragic car crash
Lebanon officials battle to resolve power crisis
MoPH: 638 new Coronavirus infections, two deaths
Strong Republic bloc MPS launch a law proposal to turn Bisri meadow into a
nature reserve
Salam: Ministry of Economy implementing Digital Governance, a major quality
transformation for supervisory and administrative work
Education and Culture - Education Ministry denies news of distributing money to
encourage learning
Khoury: I support judges' demands
Halabi: No integration of Syrians into official education before noon
The Sharia Sunni Council supports Mikati: We are keen on powers
Lebanon seeks urgent solution to electricity crisis to avoid blackout
Titles For The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on August 27-28/2022
Pope expands ranks of cardinals who’ll likely pick successor
UN report says Arab region is the most unequal worldwide
Macron visits famed Disco Maghreb record shop on Algeria trip
German tourist detained in Iran — Berlin
Russia blocks adoption at UN of nuclear disarmament text
Israel expects re-appointment of ambassador to Turkey ‘within weeks’
Iraqi PM: Political crisis undermining security achievements
Iran-US skirmishes highlight fierce rivalry in eastern Syria
Wives, widows of Syrian detainees lead shackled life
Ukraine nuclear plant back online as inspection prepared
Risk of radioactive leak at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, operator says
Libya clashes kill 13, spark fears of new war
US approves sale of radio systems to strategic ally, Morocco
Titles For The
Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on August 27-28/2022
Still More Dangerous New Concessions by Biden Administration for a Nuclear Deal
with Iran's Mullahs/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/August 27/ 2022
What are the chances of a meeting between Putin and Zelensky?/Dr. Diana Galeeva/Arab
News/August 27/ 2022
Iraq gets deeper and deeper into a political quagmire/Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab
News/August 27/ 2022
Europe emerges as an anchor for a potential nuclear deal with Iran/Andrew
Hammond/Arab News/August 27/ 2022
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on August 27-28/2022
Presidency Press Office: Some
politicians and media professionals have reached the extent of incitement and
inciting sectarian strife to serve the...
NNA/August 27/2022
The Presidency Press Office issued the following statement:
“Since the beginning of the search for the formation of a new government, the
visual, audio and written media have been alternately publishing news, analyzes
and articles ascribing to the President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun,
positions, steps, and procedures that are in fact an allegation of reading
intentions, on one hand, and pure fabrication and slander on the other.
Again, within the framework of the ongoing plan to target the position of the
Presidency of the Republic and the person of the President, by saying that he
has a desire to disrupt the formation of the government at times, or to bypass
the constitution with regard to the end of his term at other times. The
Presidency Press Office refutes all these slanders, which some politicians and
media professionals continue to promote imaginative scenarios with the aim of
further insulting and deceiving public opinion at home and abroad.
The Presidency of the Republic always goes beyond such insults and lies, and is
satisfied from time to time by clarifying its positions, but the matter has
reached some politicians and media people to the point of provoking sectarian
strife, through suspicious calls for political and religious references to “not
remain silent about the dangerous tampering with the Constitution and the sect”.
Any coup adventures, or other inflammatory expressions that clearly reveal the
intentions of those who seek to mislead and try to fabricate sedition to serve
their known goals, and to pay bills to the parties behind them inside and
outside Lebanon, which use them to strike stability and further weaken the
state’s national and security unity, after these parties succeeded in exhausting
the state economically and financially, and the multifaceted life crises that
resulted from that.
The Presidency of the Republic affirms that all published jurisprudence,
interpretations and allegations related to the positions of the President of the
Republic, his decisions and the steps he intends to take before the end of his
term, are a mixture of lies and slander that cannot be relied upon.
The Presidency of the Republic also warns against the persistence of some in
planting false news and information, sectarian incitement, misleading public
opinion, and targeting the country’s security and stability, and stresses that
these attempts have become exposed and those behind them are known.
The Press Office calls on the Lebanese to be aware of the malicious intentions
of their paid owners and those responsible for major crimes committed against
the rights of the Lebanese, and they themselves, however, cling to playing
suspicious roles, and their past and present are the best evidence.
The Presidency of the Republic asserts that President Aoun's positions regarding
the formation of the new government are based on his firm conviction of the need
to protect national partnership, preserve the charter, and provide positive
climates that contribute to facing the difficult circumstances the country is
going through. As for presidential elections, the President of the
Republic, who took an oath without any other official, has demonstrated
throughout his rule his commitment to the provisions of the Constitution. The
President had exercised his full powers based on these principles, and he has
never been accustomed to breaking his oath. And in the hope that the foregoing
will put an end to the slander, lies and fabricated narratives circulated by the
media and some political forums, it may be useful to recall what was said in the
old days: “Errant wieners are the ones who tell the president what he didn’t
say, and blame him for actions he didn’t do”.
Submarine finds 10 bodies on Lebanon's
sunken migrant ship
Associated Press/August 27/2022
A submarine has found the remains of at least 10 migrants who drowned when their
boat sank earlier this year off the coast of Lebanon with about 30 people on
board, the navy announced. The boat, carrying dozens of Lebanese, Syrians and
Palestinians trying to migrate by sea to Italy, went down more than 5 kilometers
from the port of Tripoli, following a confrontation with the Lebanese navy.
Ten bodies were recovered that night, including one of a child, while 48
survivors were pulled from the Mediterranean Sea. According to navy estimates,
30 people were believed to have gone down with the boat.
Since Monday, the small, 3-person underwater craft -- a Pisces VI
submarine -- has been searching for the remains. The wreck was located on
Wednesday, at a depth of some 450 meters (about 1,470 feet).
The circumstances of the vessel's sinking are disputed to this day.
Survivors say their vessel was rammed by the Lebanese navy, while the military
claims the migrants' boat collided with a navy vessel while trying to get away.
Capt. Scott Waters, who operated the craft, told reporters at a press
conference in Tripoli Friday that the first body they found was outside the
wreck but much of it had decayed since the sinking, with mostly bits of clothing
and some bones remaining intact. He said the second body was found coming up
from the wreckage. Waters said the crew identified four more bodies inside the
wreckage and a substantial amount of debris around the vessel. At least four
other bodies were found away from the wreck. Some of the people who tried to
escape the boat, he assumed, got "tangled in that debris.""One of the very last
footage and images we took," he added, was of the remains of a person, an arm
around another. "They died holding each other."
Tom Zreika, a Lebanese-Australian and the chairman of Australian charity
AusRelief that helped bring the submarine to Lebanon, said the boat was a "fair
degree under silt," making it difficult to retrieve it. Zreika said what's next
is for Lebanon to bring the sunken boat out but that remains a difficult task.
Lebanon's navy chief, Col. Haitham Dinnawi, said all the video footage
from Waters' crew will be handed over to the judiciary as it investigates the
sinking.
Tripoli lawmaker Ashraf Rifi helped lease the submarine for cash-strapped
Lebanon through Zreika and his own brother, Jamal Rifi, who lives in Sydney.
Rifi and Zreika told The Sydney Morning Herald last month that an anonymous
donor had given just over $295,000 to lease the submarine. The April sinking was
the greatest migrant tragedy for Lebanon in recent years and put the government
further on the defensive at a time when the country is in economic free fall and
public trust in the state and its institutions is rapidly crumbling. With a
population of about 6 million people, including 1 million Syrian refugees,
Lebanon has been mired since 2019 in an economic meltdown that has plunged three
quarters of the population into poverty. Once a country that received refugees,
Lebanon has become a launching pad for dangerous migration by sea to Europe. As
the crisis deepened, more Lebanese, as well as Syrian and Palestinian refugees
have set off to sea, with security agencies reporting foiled migration attempts
almost weekly.
Lebanese plane makes emergency landing in Athens
Naharnet/August 27/2022
A plane belonging to Middle East Airlines -- Lebanon’s national carrier -- made
an emergency landing overnight in Athens due to an engine malfunction.
The plane took off from Beirut and was headed for the Heathrow Airport in
London. “All of the plane’s passengers were evacuated and they are all doing
well,” Al-Arabiya TV reported. In a phone call with al-Jadeed TV, Civil Aviation
Director General Fadi al-Hassan said the plane returned to Beirut on Saturday
with no passengers on board. “The passengers who were on board were transferred
to another plane and they have now become in London,” al-Hassan added.
Lebanese singer George al-Rassi dies in tragic car
crash
Naharnet/August 27/2022
Lebanese singer George al-Rassi was killed at dawn Saturday in a car crash in
the al-Masnaa area following his return from a concert in neighboring Syria.
He was 39 years old. The National News Agency said al-Rassi’s car crashed
into a median divider. A woman accompanying al-Rassi, identified by media
reports as Zeina al-Merehbi, also died in the crash. Civil Defense members used
special tools to pull the two bodies out of the badly damaged car. Al-Rassi is
the brother of Lebanese actress Nadine al-Rassi.
Lebanon officials battle to resolve power crisis
Gulf Daily News Online/August 27/2022
BEIRUT: Authorities in Lebanon are racing against the clock to resolve an
electricity crisis that threatens to plunge the country into total darkness,
officials said yesterday, reports Arab News. Utility provider Electricity of
Lebanon said it was “fighting tooth and nail” to find a solution before the
lights go out at Beirut’s airport, port and presidential palace. The problem
arose after Al Zahrani power plant ran out of gas oil and ceased operations.
Roumieh Central Prison is also on the brink of darkness. The families of its
inmates blocked a road in Baalbek on Friday in protest against the situation.
They said their relatives had been deprived of food since catering companies
stopped supplying prisons. A source from EDL said the company was now set to use
grade B gas oil instead of grade A, after the idea was approved by its board of
directors, caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati and Energy Minister Walid Fayad.
The plan also requires the use of the remaining diesel from the Tyre thermal
power plant, so EDL can restart the Zouk thermal power plant today. The
authorities also agreed to reduce the production at Al Zahrani plant from about
200 megawatts to 40 MW to provide electricity to the airport, port, Roumieh
prison, water pumps, sewers, Lebanese University, parliament, government
headquarters and the presidential palace. EDL said it was awaiting delivery of a
gas oil shipment from Iraq but that could take between 20 and 30 days to arrive.
Electricity production at EDL’s plants has been dependent on the Lebanese-Iraqi
agreement, as the dates for when electricity from Jordan will arrive and the
extraction of natural gas from Egypt will begin are still unknown. Funding for
both projects has yet to be secured by the relevant authorities. After meeting
President Michel Aoun yesterday to discuss the crisis, Fayad said resolving the
problem would require the use of the gas oil from Al Jiyeh and Zouk power
plants.
MoPH: 638 new Coronavirus infections, two deaths
NNA/August 27/ 2022
Lebanon has recorded 638 new coronavirus cases and two deaths within the last 24
hours, as reported by the Ministry of Public Health on Saturday.
Strong Republic bloc MPS launch a law proposal to turn
Bisri meadow into a nature reserve
NNA/August 27/2022
Strong Republic Bloc MPs, announced that they submitted a proposal to the House
of Representatives to turn Bisri meadow into a nature reserve. MP George Adwan
denounced, during a press conference, the policy of random dams, which proved
the failure of the dams experiment. He explained that "opposition to the dam was
based on practical matters, and all environmental and technical data did not
allow the dam to be built first, especially since no study of its environmental
impact was conducted." He concluded by saying: “We have to cooperate in
constructive projects to build a homeland, and we want to turn this green area
into a real paradise."
Salam: Ministry of Economy implementing Digital Governance, a major quality
transformation for supervisory and administrative work
NNA/August 27/2022
Minister of Economy and Trade Amin Salam announced that the ministry and UNDP
will begin work on the Digital Transformation Project of the Consumer Protection
Directorate, funded by the Lebanon Recovery Fund, a multi-partner trust fund
established to support recovery and reconstruction efforts.
This initiative comes as part of the efforts of the Ministry of Economy and
Trade to accelerate digital transformation at the national level, and as a
practical translation of the digital transformation strategy approved by the
Council of Ministers on May 12, 2022.
The initiative also comes at a time when Lebanon continues to suffer the
consequences of economic and financial crises including inflation and
significantly high prices in all consumer goods and services, as well as
disruption of supplies of some of the most important goods and utility services
such as electricity and water. Salam said: “Despite limited capabilities and
resources, the Ministry's Consumer Protection Directorate has played a crucial
national role in the past two years to ensure that consumers, especially
vulnerable groups, have access to safe and affordable goods as well as basic
facilities services. It has seen an increase in licensing applications from the
private sector to provide these services, to fill the growing gap caused by the
weakness of the public sector. The Directorate also plays a crucial role in
ensuring the timely and safe entry of imported goods into the country.” Salam
added: “The digital transformation project of the Consumer Protection
Directorate will be one of the first and most important national projects aimed
at digitizing key administrative functions and will constitute a qualitative
leap for the supervisory directorate's work. As part of this initiative,
processes will be streamlined and accelerated, with the aim of reducing the time
required for businesses and merchants to apply for licenses, improving the time
required to ensure the safety of imported goods for local consumption and use,
and ensuring that consumer complaints and regulatory workflows are promptly
responded to in an effective, timely and transparent manner.”The digitization of
administrative transactions and processes is an essential and critical start to
advancing the government’s digital transformation agenda and should ideally pave
the way for broader digitization efforts across other government functions.
Education and Culture - Education Ministry denies news of
distributing money to encourage learning
NNA/August 27/2022
The Media Bureau of the Ministry of Education & Higher Learning denied, in a
statement, distributing a sum of money to every citizen to encourage education.
"One of the social networking sites published that the Ministry of Education
distributes a sum of money to every citizen in order to encourage education....
Accordingly, the office categorically denies this news, and warns citizens
against circulating these rumors," the statement said. The statement confirmed
that the ministry will pursue the owner of the website and the promoters of
these rumors before the competent judiciary.
Khoury: I support judges' demands
NNA/August 27/2022
Caretaker Justice Minister Henry El Khoury confirmed to Radio Free Lebanon that
"the judges are not amateurs of seclusion, as the judiciary has been fighting
existential battles since independence until today.""I am with the judges'
demands. In the exceptional circumstances we live in, I am not against everyone
who takes his right," the minister said. Khoury indicated that today's meeting
with President Najib Mikati will be a review to discuss most of the issues and
solutions in which the ministry will play a major role. He expressed his hope
that the judges would suspend their strike, stressing that the ministry was
working to achieve their demands.
Halabi: No integration of Syrians into official education before noon
NNA/August 27/2022
Caretaker Minister of Higher Education Abbas Al-Halabi confirmed that Lebanon
will not integrate Syrian students into formal education before noon, stressing
that this matter is not on the ministry's agenda. "This case is a conspiracy
against formal education to discourage parents from enrolling their children in
government schools," he said, stressing that funding for the education of the
displaced is available from international institutions. Al-Halabi revealed,
during an interview, that he will visit Al-Diman next week to discuss with the
Patriarch the issues of installments in dollars and educational curricula.
The Sharia Sunni Council supports Mikati: We are keen on
powers
National News Agency/August 27/2022
The Supreme Islamic Sharia Council held its regular session at Dar Al-Fatwa
headed by the Mufti of the Republic, Sheikh Abdul Latif Derian, and discussed
Islamic and national affairs and the latest developments on the Lebanese arena.
In a statement, the Sharia Council indicated that it “was waiting for a long
time in front of an abnormal phenomenon represented in circumventing the issue
of electing a new president of the republic and taking care of an artificial
issue to form a new government, or amending the current government headed by
President Najib Mikati.” The statement added: “The Legitimate Council affirms
that Lebanon needs a new president for the republic, especially after a series
of pitfalls and regressive stances from the spirit of the Lebanese constitution,
the Taif Agreement, and the charter of coexistence. These values and
principles, sometimes by challenging and circumventing the legitimacy of the
current government, and at other times by putting forward slogans of sectarian
and sectarian representation.”
He continued, "The constitutional references in Lebanon showed how these
deliberately obstructive stances on the role of the government and the holding
of the presidential elections on time constitute a violation of the constitution
and the Taif Agreement." He also called on the Sharia Council to respect the
constitutional texts, warning that “circumventing these texts under any pretext
will only lead to more troubles and turmoil that push Lebanon toward the abyss,
instead of extricating it from its suffering.” He appealed to "all political
forces for cooperation, solidarity and unity to find effective national
solutions for the birth of the government," considering that "the formula
presented by the President-designate to the President of the Republic to form
the government is the fruit of the meetings, contacts and consultations that
President Najib Mikati conducted with the political forces and all parliamentary
blocs to complete the formation of the government, which is The first step is on
the right path to saving the country.”
The Sharia Council renewed "its support and support for President Mikati in his
efforts to form a government and in the steps he is taking for the sake of his
country and people." He pointed out that “he is keen on the powers of the prime
minister in exercising the tasks entrusted to him and specified for him in the
constitution and the Taif Agreement, especially with regard to the formation of
the government. The narrow calculations in it should be lifted.” The Council
expressed its “great pain at the failure of state agencies to address the
suffocating living crisis that the Lebanese suffer from, whether in terms of the
unaccountable rise in the dollar exchange rate, and consequently the rise in
food prices.” The most dangerous of these is school and university fees, which
are now paid in both Lebanese and American currencies. In this context, he
called on all officials to “pay attention, attention and effective treatment to
these living, social and life issues, instead of revolving in vicious circles of
accusations and counter accusations. The citizen wants bread, not fanfare. He
wants a decent life, medicine and treatment, not false promises.” In addition,
the Sharia Council stressed that “the issue of the displaced Syrians is a
Lebanese, Arab and international issue and requires more efforts to put an end
to the tragedy that Lebanon cannot bear alone, which calls for Arab and
international support for Lebanon in this humanitarian issue.” He stressed that
"exposing the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf Cooperation
Council countries from time to time is unacceptable and constitutes a
condemnation of Lebanon, which is keen on its relations with the Arab Gulf
countries, with which we want our relations to be at the best level, and any
threat to the Saudi embassy or any other Arab embassy is a threat to national
security." and peace in Lebanon, and this is with the care of the competent
security services, whose performance we trust.” The Sharia Council appealed to
the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz, and his Crown
Prince, Muhammad bin Salman, and the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council,
"not to abandon Lebanon and leave it in its ordeal. Lebanon is Arab in identity
and belonging, and it will only be with its Arab brothers." The statement
concluded: “On the occasion of the anniversary of the Israeli aggression on Al-Aqsa
Mosque and the continuation of this aggression day after day, and week after
week, the Council calls upon the countries of the Islamic world, especially the
League of Arab States and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, to work on
implementing the decisions previously issued by Arab and Islamic summit
conferences regarding Liberation of Arab and Islamic holy sites from the
clutches of the Zionist occupation.”
Lebanon seeks urgent solution to electricity crisis to
avoid blackout
Najia Houssari/Arab News/August 27/ 2022
BEIRUT: Authorities in Lebanon are racing against the clock to resolve an
electricity crisis that threatens to plunge the country into total darkness,
officials said on Friday. Utility provider Electricity of Lebanon said it was
“fighting tooth and nail” to find a solution before the lights go out at
Beirut’s airport, port and presidential palace. The problem arose after Al-Zahrani
power plant ran out of gas oil and ceased operations. Roumieh Central Prison is
also on the brink of darkness. The families of its inmates blocked a road in
Baalbek on Friday in protest against the situation. They said their relatives
had been deprived of food since catering companies stopped supplying prisons.
Relatives of victims of the deadly 2020 Beirut Port explosion hold portraits of
their lost loved ones as they block a main highway near the port. (AP)
A source from EDL said the company was now set to use grade B gas oil instead of
grade A, after the idea was approved by its board of directors, caretaker Prime
Minister Najib Mikati and Energy Minister Walid Fayad.
The plan also requires the use of the remaining diesel from the Tyre thermal
power plant, so EDL can restart the Zouk thermal power plant on Saturday.
HIGHLIGHTS
• Utility provider EDL’s board of directors issued a decision to increase the
tariff in parallel with the increase of electricity hours.
• The matter required the approval of the finance minister and the government,
Energy Minister Walid Fayad said.
• Fayad said that the go-ahead could be given in exceptional circumstances by
the president and caretaker prime minister.
The authorities also agreed to reduce the production at Al-Zahrani plant from
about 200 megawatts to 40 MW to provide electricity to the airport, port,
Roumieh prison, water pumps, sewers, Lebanese University, parliament, government
headquarters and the presidential palace.
EDL said it was awaiting delivery of a gas oil shipment from Iraq but that could
take between 20 and 30 days to arrive.
Electricity production at EDL’s plants has been dependent on the Lebanese-Iraqi
agreement, as the dates for when electricity from Jordan will arrive and the
extraction of natural gas from Egypt will begin are still unknown.
Funding for both projects has yet to be secured by the relevant authorities.
After meeting President Michel Aoun on Friday to discuss the crisis, Fayad said
resolving the problem would require the use of the gas oil from Al-Jiyeh and
Zouk power plants. The meeting discussed the possibility of renewing the Iraqi
deal, allowing Lebanon to receive 1 million additional tons of fuel after the
first quantity ran out, he said. Such a quantity would secure about three hours
of electricity, he added. Fayad said authorities were previously relying on the
World Bank, the Egyptian gas and electricity from Jordan. But he added that the
World Bank imposed new conditions, including increasing the tariff, developing a
plan to cover the cost and carrying out procedures for the establishment of the
regulatory body.
EDL’s board of directors issued a decision to increase the tariff in parallel
with the increase of electricity hours. The matter required the approval of the
finance minister and the government, Fayad said, adding that the go-ahead could
be given in exceptional circumstances by the president and caretaker prime
minister.
Fayad said Iraq would provide about 40,000 tons but Lebanon would still need
about 110,000 tons so a separate deal would have to be reached with another
country. Algeria had expressed its readiness to help in that regard, he added.
Concerns have also been raised about a possible interruption of the
telecommunications sector despite it having its own generators. Caretaker
Telecommunications Minister Johnny Corm confirmed on Friday that the sector did
not rely on EDL to operate.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on August 27-28/2022
Pope expands ranks of cardinals
who’ll likely pick successor
AP/August 27/2022
Pope Francis elevated 20 more churchmen to the rank of cardinal on Saturday,
formally expanding those now eligible to vote for his successor in case he dies
or resigns — the latter a step he has said he’d consider if the need arises. Of
the churchmen being named new cardinals in the consistory ceremony in St.
Peter’s Basilica, 16 are younger than 80 and thus eligible to participate in a
conclave — the ritual-shrouded, locked-door assembly of cardinals who cast paper
ballots to elect a new pontiff. The 85-year-old Francis has now named 83 of the
132 cardinals currently young enough to join a conclave. The others were
appointed by the previous two popes, St. John Paul II and Benedict XVI, whose
unexpected retirement in 2013 paved the way for Francis to be elected. With the
eight batches of cardinals Francis has named, prospects are boosted that whoever
becomes the next pontiff will share his vision for the future of the church.
Francis reminded the cardinals of their mission, which he said includes “an
openness to all peoples, to the horizons of the world, to the peripheries as yet
unknown.” Underlining Francis’ attention to those on society’s margins, among
the new cardinals is Archbishop Anthony Poola of Hyderabad, India. The prelate,
60, is the first member of the Dalit community, considered the lowest rung of
India’s caste system, to become a cardinal.
One by one, the cardinals, whose red cassocks and headgear symbolizes the blood
they must be prepared to shed if necessary in their mission, knelt before
Francis, who placed on their head the prestigious biretta, as the three-peaked
hat is known. That intimate moment was a chance to exchange a few words with
Francis, who smiled to put them at ease. At times, the seated Francis, himself
hobbled by mobility problems, lent his own arms to help kneeling cardinals stand
up. In choosing San Diego Bishop Robert Walter McElroy, Francis passed over U.S.
churchmen leading traditionally more prestigious dioceses, including San
Francisco Archbishop Salvatore Cordileone. McElroy has been among a minority of
American bishops who opposed to a campaign to deny Communion to Catholic
politicians who support abortion rights. Cordileone has said he’d no long allow
U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to receive Communion for her defense of abortion
rights.While staunchly against abortion as a grave sin, Francis has also decried
what he calls the weaponization of Communion.
McElroy last year was also among a small group of U.S. bishops signing a
statement denouncing the bullying that is often directed at LGBTQ youth. Francis
has tried to make gay Catholics feel welcome in the church, whose teaching holds
that same-sex intercourse is a sin.
Among the newest cardinals is Bishop Richard Kuuia Baawobr from Wa, Ghana, who
has spoken out against LGBTQ rights.Asked by The Associated Press about such
contrasting views among church leaders, McElroy replied that “there are always
cultural differences within the life of the church as there is within in the
human family. And different cultures approach these questions in different
ways.” McElroy added: “My own view is that we have an obligation in the church
to make the LGBT persons feel equally welcome in the life of the church, as
everyone else.” With electing future pontiffs a key role for cardinals, McElroy,
68, was asked what he thought of Francis’ saying that resignation for popes is a
valid option. “In principle, I think it is a good idea at a particular moment
when they feel they can no longer carry the burdens of that office, but I think
this pope is far from that moment,” the U.S. prelate said. “I believe he sees
himself as far from that moment. What he has is a mobility issue, but it has not
affected his mind. I can tell you he is still on top of things.” Archbishop
Ulrich Steiner of Manaus, Brazil, became the first cardinal from the Amazon, the
vast, environmentally-vulnerable region in South America on the Argentine-born
pontiff’s home continent. In remarks to The AP, Steiner expressed concern about
increasing violence in the Amazon. “But this violence was not born there, it
came from outside,″ Steiner, 71, said. ”It is always violence related to money.
Concessions, deforestation, also with the mines, also with the fishing.” At 48,
the youngest member among the cardinals’ ranks is an Italian missionary in
Mongolia, where Catholics number some 1,300. Francis “knows how important it is
supporting these little communities,″ said the new cardinal, Giorgio Marengo.
Originally, the pope had picked 21 new cardinals. But retired Belgian Bishop Luc
Van Looy declined the honor, citing his own inadequate handling of cases of
sexually abusive priests while he led the Ghent diocese from 2004-2020. --- AP
UN report says Arab region is the most unequal worldwide
Arab News/August 27,
2022
The report, called “Inequality in the Arab Region: A ticking time bomb,” said
the region had registered some of the highest levels of income inequality
globally
It said gender inequality had been systematically above the global average
JEDDAH: The Arab region is the most unequal worldwide, according to a new report
from the UN Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia, which warned there
was a risk of a “breakdown in social cohesion” if inequalities were not
addressed. The report, called “Inequality in the Arab Region: A ticking time
bomb,” said the region had registered some of the highest levels of income
inequality globally. In some countries, the top 10 percent of earners accounted
for more than 60 percent of national income, compared with 52 percent globally,
55 percent in Latin America, and 36 percent in Europe. Factors driving
inequality included demographic dynamics, poor education, the digital divide,
weak institutions, corruption and lack of transparency, data deficits, and
unaffordable housing. It said gender inequality had been systematically above
the global average, with an estimated 179 years needed to close the gender gap
compared with 142 years globally. This gender gap was one of the highest
worldwide in 2021 at 61 percent, compared with 67.7 percent globally. Youth
unemployment, which was 3.8 times higher than that of adult workers, had been
the highest globally for the past 25 years.
Unemployment among certain groups, such as women and people with disabilities,
was even higher than that of men and people without disabilities. “Such factors,
if left unaddressed, will deepen existing inequalities, hitting the poorest and
most vulnerable communities hardest. These factors risk inflaming greater
disaffection and alienation among Arab populations, resulting in a breakdown of
social cohesion,” said UNESCWA executive secretary Rola Dashti. “Despite this
bleak picture, Arab populations are optimistic and hopeful. A survey conducted
by ESCWA found that 52 percent of people in the region believe that equality
exists, either fully or partially, while 47 percent believe that equality will
increase in the next five years,” she said. She proposed the establishment of a
solidarity fund and a regional coalition to reconnect different population
groups across the wealthiest and poorest segments of society to create
opportunities. The report said the pandemic had highlighted “deep and
long-standing inequalities” across the region, hitting the poorest and most
vulnerable communities hardest. It pushed an additional 16 million people into
poverty, increasing the number of poor in the region to over 116 million, almost
a quarter of the population. People in the informal sector, vulnerable workers,
women, young people, less-educated workers, and those with disabilities suffered
the most from job losses during the pandemic.
Macron visits famed Disco Maghreb record shop on Algeria
trip
AFP/August 27/2022
French President Emmanuel Macron and his Algerian counterpart Abdelmadjid
Tebboune Saturday declared a "new, irreversible dynamic of progress" in their
nations' ties, concluding a visit by Macron aimed at ending months of tensions.
The three-day visit comes less than two months after Algeria marked six decades
of independence following 132 years of French rule and a devastating eight-year
war. It also comes as European powers scramble to replace Russian energy imports
-- including with supplies from Algeria, Africa's top gas exporter, which in
turn is seeking to expand its clout in North Africa and the Sahel.
In their joint declaration on Saturday, the two leaders said "France and Algeria
have decided to open a new era ... laying the foundation for a renewed
partnership expressed through a concrete and constructive approach, focused on
future projects and youth."At the signing ceremony, Tebboune addressed his guest
in French, gushing over an "excellent, successful visit... which allowed for a
rapprochement which wouldn't have been possible without the personality of
President Macron himself." Ties between Paris and Algiers have seen repeated
crises over the years. They had been particularly cool since last year when
Macron questioned Algeria's existence as a nation before the French occupation
and accused the government of fomenting "hatred towards France". Tebboune
withdrew his country's ambassador in response and banned French military
aircraft from its airspace. Normal diplomatic relations have since resumed,
along with overflights to French army bases in sub-Saharan Africa.
- 'Lack of courage' -
After vowing to "build a new pact", Macron was in the spiritual home of Rai
music on Saturday, visiting a record shop made famous by French-Algerian singer
DJ Snake's recent hit of the same name, "Disco Maghreb". He also met athletes
and artists and went for a somewhat chaotic walk in the streets where police
struggled with onlookers trying to shake his hand or take photos. On Friday
evening, Macron had dinner with Algerian writer Kamel Daoud and other Oran
personalities. He had also met young entrepreneurs who quizzed him on the
difficulties of getting visas to France, the decline of the French language in
its former colony and the contentious issues around the two countries' painful
past. Macron announced that an additional 8,000 Algerian students would be
admitted to study in France this year, joining 30,000 already in the country. He
also announced the creation of a joint commission of historians to examine the
colonial period and the devastating eight-year war that ended it. But in France,
both left and right-wing politicians were angered by the proposal. Socialist
party leader Olivier Faure noted that Macron in 2017 had called French
colonialism a "crime against humanity", then later questioned the existence of
Algeria as a nation prior to the colonial period. "The lightness with which he
deals with the subject is an insult to wounded memories," Faure tweeted. Far
right leader Thomas Menage tweeted that Algeria should stop "using its past to
avoid establishing true, friendly diplomatic relations". Macron's visit was not
universally welcomed by Algerians either. "History ca't be written with lies...
like the one that Algeria was created by France," read an editorial in the
French-language Le Soir newspaper. "We expected Macron to erase this gross
untruth during this visit," it said, criticising him for a "lack of courage...
to recognise his own faults and those of his country". ---
German tourist detained in Iran — Berlin
Reuters/August 27, 2022
BERLIN: A German tourist has been detained in Iran, the German foreign ministry
said on Saturday, declining to give further details beyond saying the man was
receiving consular assistance. On Friday, the Persian Service of Radio Liberty
said a 66-year-old German man was arrested about a month ago in Iran for taking
pictures in an area where photography was prohibited. The Iranian interior
ministry was not immediately available to comment on the detention.
Russia blocks adoption at UN of nuclear disarmament text
Agence France Presse/August 27/2022
Russia has prevented the adoption of a joint declaration following a four-week
U.N. conference on a nuclear disarmament treaty, with Moscow denouncing what it
said were "political" aspects of the text. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
(NPT), which 191 signatories review every five years, aims to prevent the spread
of nuclear weapons, promote complete disarmament and promote cooperation in the
peaceful use of nuclear energy. The nations have been gathered at U.N.
headquarters in New York since August 1 participating in a month of
negotiations, including a final session that was postponed for several hours on
Friday. In the end, the conference's president,
Gustavo Zlauvinen of Argentina, said it was "not in a position to achieve
agreement" after Russia took issue with the text.
Russian representative Igor Vishnevetsky said the draft final text, which was
more than 30 pages long, lacked "balance."
"Our delegation has one key objection on some paragraphs which are blatantly
political in nature," he said, adding that Russia was not the only country to
take issue with the text. According to sources close to the negotiations, Russia
was opposed in particular to paragraphs concerning the Ukrainian nuclear power
plant in Zaporizhzhia, which is occupied by the Russian military. The latest
draft text had expressed "grave concern" over military activities around
Ukrainian power plants, including Zaporizhzhia, as well as over Ukraine's loss
of control of such sites and the negative impact on safety. The signatories
discussed a number of other hot-button topics during the conference, including
Iran's nuclear program and North Korean nuclear tests. At the last review
conference in 2015, the parties were also unable to reach an agreement on
substantive issues. At the opening of this year's conference, UN
Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that the world faced "a nuclear danger
not seen since the height of the Cold War.""Today, humanity is just one
misunderstanding, one miscalculation away from nuclear annihilation," Guterres
said.
Israel expects re-appointment of ambassador to Turkey
‘within weeks’
AFP/The Arab Weekly/August 27/2022
The Israeli charge d’affaires in Turkey said on Friday the re-appointment of an
ambassador to Ankara could happen within weeks, while repeating Israel’s
expectation that the Hamas office in Istanbul be closed down. In a roundtable
meeting with journalists, Israel’s current top representative in Ankara Irit
Lillian said the process of re-appointing an ambassador to Turkey was only a
matter of “when and not if.” “It’s only because of elections in Israel that
things might be delayed on the Israeli side but I hope it will be on time and it
will be just a few more weeks and the process will be over,” Lillian said.
Israel will hold a general election on November 1. Earlier this month, Turkey
and Israel agreed to re-appoint respective ambassadors more than four years
after they were called back, marking another milestone after months of improved
relations. The two regional powers had expelled ambassadors in 2018 over the
killing of 60 Palestinians by Israeli forces during protests on the Gaza border
against the opening of the US Embassy in Jerusalem. But they have been working
to mend long-strained ties with energy emerging as a key area for potential
cooperation. Lillian reiterated the challenges to the ties, saying that the
biggest obstacle to the “positive tendency seen throughout the year” was the
existence of a Hamas office in Istanbul. “There are plenty of challenges, but
from our point of view, one of the main obstacles is the Hamas office in
Istanbul,” she said. “Hamas is a terrorist organisation, and it is no secret
that Israel expects Turkey to close this office and send the activists there
away from here,” Lillian added. A visit to Turkey by Israeli President Isaac
Herzog in March, followed by visits by both foreign ministers, helped warm
relations after more than a decade of tensions. Turkish President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan and Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid held a phone call earlier this
month, expressing their satisfaction with the progress in ties and congratulated
each other on the decision to appoint ambassadors. Erdogan said necessary steps
to appoint the ambassador would be taken as soon as possible, while Lapid said
the strengthening ties would lead to achievements in commerce and tourism.
Iraqi PM: Political crisis undermining security
achievements
AP/August 27, 2022
is threatens the security achievements and the nation’s stability,” al-Kadhimi
said
BAGHDAD: Iraq’s caretaker Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi warned Saturday that
the political crisis in the country is threatening security achievements made in
past years. Al-Kadhimi’s warning is a clear indication of the dangers of one of
Iraq’s worst political crises since the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq. It is the
result of disagreements between followers of influential Shiite cleric Muqtada
Al-Sadr and rival Iran-backed groups since last year’s parliamentary elections.
Al-Sadr won the largest share of seats in the October elections but failed to
form a majority government, leading to what has become one of the worst
political crises in Iraq in recent years. His bloc later resigned from
parliament and his supporters last month stormed the parliament building in
Baghdad. Al-Sadr has demanded that parliament be dissolved and early elections
held. “This political crisis threatens the security achievements and the
nation’s stability,” Al-Kadhimi said in a speech marking Islamic Day of
Combatting Violence against Women in Baghdad. “Now, the solution is for all
political parties to make concessions for the interests of Iraq and Iraqis,”
said Al-Kadhimi. Last week, Al-Kadhimi called for a meeting of senior political
leaders and party representatives to find a solution. He warned that if
“fighting erupts, the shootings will not stop and will remain for years.”
Earlier this month, Al-Sadr called on his followers to be ready to hold massive
protests all over Iraq but then indefinitely postponed them after Iran-backed
groups called for similar rallies the same day, saying he wants to preserve
peace and that “Iraqi blood is invaluable” to him. Iraq has witnessed relative
stability since the Daesh group was largely defeated in the country in 2017. But
militants have continued to wage attacks, frequently hitting security forces and
military targets with roadside bombs and firing on convoys or checkpoints.
During the rise of Daesh, when it controlled large parts of Iraq, deadly
explosions were common in the oil-rich country.
Iran-US skirmishes highlight fierce rivalry in eastern
Syria
AFP/The Arab Weekly/August 27/2022
Deadly skirmishes have been on the rise in recent days between US forces and
Iran-aligned militias in Syria’s oil-rich east, where both have carved out
strategic footholds. There is a number of rival zones of influence in the desert
province of Deir al-Zor, where rocket, mortar and drone attacks have increased –
just as negotiations over the revival of a nuclear deal between Iran and the
West come to a head. Syria’s eastern Deir al-Zor is a 33,000 square kilometre
(12, 741.37 square mile) desert province, divided diagonally by the Euphrates
River and mostly populated by tribes that share kinship with neighbouring Iraq.
Syria’s government and its backers on one side, and the United States and its
Syrian allies on the other, fought separately to oust Islamic State fighters
from the zone. Now, the US forces and their allies on the ground – the
Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces – are based in two large oil and gas
fields in the province’s eastern half. The fields – locally known as Al Omar and
Conoco – host most of the 900 US servicemen deployed in Syria. The provincial
capital of Deir al-Zor, the strategic border town of Albu Kamal and the area
south and west of the river are held by Syria’s government and allied fighters,
with the Iranian units among them seen as the most elite. These fighters have
also taken up bases on a collection of river islands known as Hweija Sakr, which
they use as a launching pad for attacks on US forces across the river. The
United States says its presence there aims to ensure the lasting defeat of the
Islamic State, but skirmishes with Iran-backed groups have sporadically broken
out over the last five years. In the first attack in June 2017, a suspected
Iranian drone targeted the outskirts of the Tanf garrison, a US outpost at the
intersection of Syria’s borders with both Iraq and Jordan. US warplanes
responded with strikes against Shia militias closing in on the base. Since then,
Iran-aligned groups have fired mortars, Iranian-manufactured rockets, and small
unmanned drones at Tanf and the oil and gas fields. The US-led coalition has
responded with air strikes by jets and helicopters, typically targeting weapons
depots or other infrastructure. In some cases, the United States has responded
to rocket attacks on its troops in neighbouring Iraq by bombing positions along
the Syrian-Iraqi border hosting Iraqi armed groups tied to Iran. Alongside
Russia, Iran and its proxies have been instrumental in helping Syrian President
Bashar al-Assad regain most of the territory his forces lost since conflict
erupted in 2011. That has allowed them to retain and build up their zones of
influence in far-flung parts of the country even after battles have subsided:
from the northern city of Aleppo, recaptured by government-aligned forces in
late 2016, to the vast desert zones in Homs and Hama and the suburbs of the
capital Damascus. In particular, Iran has extended support in energy and mineral
exploitation to Syria, helping rehabilitate power plants and extract phosphate.
Its troops and their allies retain effective control of Syria’s eastern front
with Iraq, where units from Iran’s elite Quds Force are suspected to be based,
and its western border with Lebanon. That corridor allows Tehran to transfer
people, goods and military equipment across several countries – prompting
serious concern in Israel, which has carried out its own air attacks against
Iranian forces and their allies in Syria.
Wives, widows of Syrian detainees lead shackled life
Agence France Presse/August 27/2022
In the decade since Syria's regime pronounced her jailed husband dead, Ramya al-Sous
was threatened by security forces, locked out of her spouse's estate and forced
to flee abroad. The mother of three, now a refugee living in Lebanon, was never
told how her husband died and is unable to sell or rent the properties
confiscated by authorities. "By virtue of me being a woman, everything becomes
nearly impossible," she told AFP, echoing a plight shared by many wives and
widows of Syrian prisoners. But the 40-year-old wants
to put up a fight. "My children wouldn't have suffered as much if it had been me
who was detained. They were left with nothing, but I insist on winning something
back," she said. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's
regime waged a brutal crackdown on an Arab Spring-inspired uprising in 2011,
sparking a war that has killed nearly half a million people. Around the same
number of people, mostly men, are estimated to have been detained in regime
prisons since, with tens of thousands dying either under torture or due to poor
conditions. Outside prison walls, their wives are
anything but free, facing a maze of red tape in a society and legal system that
favors men, said Ghazwan Kronfol, a Syrian lawyer living in Istanbul. Without
their husbands' formal death certificates, widows cannot claim inheritance or
property ownership, he said. Nor can they access their dead husbands' real
estate if it was confiscated or escrowed by the state, the lawyer added. Worse
still, guardianship over their children is not guaranteed, with judges often
granting it to a male next of kin. "All of this comes on top of financial
blackmail and sexual harassment" by security officers, Kronfol said.
'Easy prey'
Syria's 2012 anti-terrorism law stipulates the government can temporarily or
permanently seize the properties of prisoners accused of terrorism -- a blanket
charge used to detain civilians suspected of opposition links.
The government is believed to have seized $1.54 billion worth of prisoner
assets since 2011, according to an April report by The Association of Detainees
and The Missing in Sednaya Prison. The Turkey-based watchdog was founded by
former detainees held in Sednaya, a jail on the outskirts of Damascus which is
the largest in the country and has become a by-word for torture and the darkest
abuses of the Syrian regime. Sous's home and farmland were among the properties
escrowed after her husband was arrested in a raid in 2013 and later hit with
terrorism-related charges she says were trumped up. A few months later,
authorities handed her a "corpse number", she said. Alone and poor, she spent
years being bounced around from one security branch to another as she tried to
clear bureaucratic hurdles. Sous said she was met mainly with harassment and
intimidation. "Women are easy prey," she said. Fearing persecution by security
forces, she fled to neighboring Lebanon in 2016, clutching the old red and white
plastic bag in which she keeps her property deeds and reams of other official
documents. She has little money left but continues to pay bribes and lawyer fees
in an attempt to reclaim assets from the state.
"I want to sell them, not for me but for my children."
'Closed door' -
Salma, a 43-year-old mother of four, also fled to Lebanon after her husband
disappeared inside the black hole of Syria's prison system. The one time she
enquired about his fate in 2015, security forces locked her in a room and
threatened her. "I never asked about him again," Salma said, asking to use a
pseudonym due to security concerns. When she tried to sell her husband's car and
home, she found they had been seized by the state. "I sold all my jewelry to buy
that house," she said. In their ordeal, some women have found a rare silver
lining with the empowerment that being left to their own devices has brought
about. Tuqqa, a 45-year-old mother of five whose
husband also disappeared in prison, argued her life was already hard before the
war due to social and religious conservatism. "I wasn't even allowed to open the
front door of the house, let alone go out to buy groceries or bread," she said.
But all that changed when she became the sole guardian of her children.
She eventually moved to Lebanon, where she secured work and attended
livelihood trainings and workshops run by aid groups, a leap from her previously
sheltered life. When she was sexually harassed by her landlord, she blamed
herself: "That is what we were taught: women are always to blame."Her children
may not inherit a family home from their father but Tuqqa is adamant they will
inherit new values from her. "I am not raising my children the way I was
raised," she said. "War has given women strength. They are learning how to say
'no'," said a Damascus lawyer who asked not to be named. While the odds are
stacked against her, Tuqqa said she feels ready to face the challenges ahead. "I
lost a lot, but I became a strong woman," Tuqqa said. "I am no longer the woman
living behind closed doors."
Ukraine nuclear plant back online as inspection prepared
Agence France Presse/August 27/2022
Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, occupied by Moscow's troops, came back
online Friday, the state operator said after Kyiv claimed it was cut from the
national power grid by Russian shelling. The plant -- Europe's largest nuclear
facility -- was severed Thursday from Ukraine's power network for the first time
in its four-decade history due to "actions of the invaders," Energoatom said.
The operator said that as of 2:04 pm (1104 GMT) the plant "is connected
to the grid and produces electricity for the needs of Ukraine" once again.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said his country's nuclear experts had
managed to protect the plant "from the worst case scenario which is constantly
being provoked by Russian forces." But he added: "I want to underline that the
situation remains very risky and dangerous." The Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant has
been cause for mounting concern since Russian troops seized it in early March.
In recent weeks, Kyiv and Moscow have traded blame for rocket strikes around the
facility in the southern Ukrainian city of Energodar. Separately Friday, the EU
presidency vowed to hold an emergency summit on the spiraling energy crisis
caused by the war in Ukraine, which this week entered its seventh month. The
bloc has vowed to wean its 27 member states off Russian oil and gas in protest
against the invasion, which has led to tough international sanctions against
Moscow. Friday saw Norway, a major natural gas producer, say it was joining the
latest package of EU sanctions. However, anxiety over supply has sent prices
soaring, with Germany and France reporting Friday record electricity prices for
2023, more than 10 times higher than for this year. Czech Prime Minister Petr
Fiala said his country, which holds the EU presidency, "will convene an urgent
meeting of energy ministers to discuss specific emergency measures".
Anxiety over plant
Zelensky said late Thursday the power cut-off was caused by Russian shelling of
the last active power line linking the plant to the network. "Russia has put
Ukrainians as well as all Europeans one step away from radiation disaster," he
said. Energoatom said the outage was caused by ash pit fires at an adjacent
thermal power plant, which damaged a line connecting the only two of the plant's
six reactors in operation. Blaming Russian attacks for damage to the three other
power lines linking the complex to the national grid, Energoatom said Friday
afternoon one reactor had been reconnected "and capacity is being added".
International Atomic Energy Agency head Rafael Mariano Grossi said Thursday he
wants to visit the site within days, warning of potential disaster.
Ukraine energy minister adviser Lana Zerkal said an IAEA inspection "is
planned for the next week."Zelensky said Friday that the team needs to get there
as soon as possible "and help maintain the station under Ukrainian control on a
permanent basis." Zerkal told Ukraine's Radio NV late Thursday she was skeptical
the mission would go ahead, despite Moscow's formal agreement, as "they are
artificially creating all the conditions so that the mission will not reach the
site".
U.S. warning
Kyiv suspects Moscow intends to divert power from the Zaporizhzhia plant to the
Crimean peninsula, annexed by Russian troops in 2014. On Thursday, Washington
warned against any such move. "The electricity that it produces rightly belongs
to Ukraine," State Department spokesman Vedant Patel told reporters, saying
attempts to redirect power to occupied areas were "unacceptable".
Britain's defense ministry said satellite imagery showed an increased
presence of Russian troops at the power plant with armored personnel carriers
deployed within 60 meters (200 feet) of one reactor. In another development
Friday, French energy firm TotalEnergies said it was divesting its stake in a
Russian gas field following a media report that some of its fuel was ending up
in Russian fighter jets. The company said it had signed a deal Friday with its
local Russian partner Novatek to sell its 49 percent in the Termokarstovoye gas
field "on economic terms enabling TotalEnergies to recover the outstanding
amounts invested in the field". It said the divestment had been agreed in July
and Russian authorities gave the approval on August 25. A day earlier, French
daily Le Monde had reported the alleged refining of natural gas condensates from
Termokarstovoye into jet fuel for fighter-bombers involved in Russia's assault
on Ukraine. TotalEnergies is the only major Western energy group to continue its
operations in Russia but chief executive Patrick Pouyanne said in March Russian
gas fields exploited by the company's joint ventures were vital for supplying
energy to Europe.
Risk of radioactive leak at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant,
operator says
The National/August 27/2022
Ukrainian energy operator Energoatom has said there is a risk of “hydrogen
leakage and sputtering of radioactive substances” at Europe’s largest nuclear
power plant. The Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is currently occupied by
Russian troops. "As a result of periodic shelling, the infrastructure of the
station has been damaged, there are risks of hydrogen leakage and sputtering of
radioactive substances, and the fire hazard is high," Energoatom said on
Telegram. Earlier this week, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the
situation at the plant was risky. Its reactors were disconnected from the plant
for the first time in history on Thursday, following shelling in the area. Both
of the plant's two functioning reactors were subsequently reconnected to the
grid. “Let me stress that the situation remains very risky and dangerous,” Mr
Zelenskyy said in his regular evening address, praising Ukrainian experts
working to “avert the worst-case scenario”.“Any repeat of yesterday's events,
meaning any disconnection of the station from the grid, any action by Russia
that could provoke the disconnection of reactors, would once again place the
station one step away from a catastrophe,” he said.
Russia, which invaded Ukraine in February, took control of the nuclear plant in
March, although it is still operated by Ukrainian technicians working for
Energoatom.
Libya clashes kill 13, spark fears of new war
AP/AFP/The Arab Weekly/August 27/2022
TRIPOLI: Clashes between backers of Libya’s rival governments killed at least 13
people and damaged six hospitals in Tripoli on Saturday, sparking fears that a
political crisis could spiral into a major new armed conflict. Small arms fire
and explosions rocked several districts of the capital overnight and into
Saturday, when smoke could be seen rising from damaged buildings. An AFP
correspondent saw dozens of charred cars and buildings riddled with bullet holes
or burnt, and said clashes continued into Saturday evening. In an updated toll,
the health ministry in Tripoli said 13 people had been killed and 95 wounded in
the fighting. Six hospitals were hit and ambulances were unable to reach areas
affected by the clashes, the ministry had said earlier, condemning “war crimes.”
The two rival administrations vying for control of the North African country and
its vast oil resources — one based in the capital, the other approved by a
parliament in the country’s east — exchanged blame. The UN’s Libya mission
called for “an immediate cessation of hostilities,” citing “ongoing armed
clashes including indiscriminate medium and heavy shelling in civilian-populated
neighborhoods.” The US ambassador to Libya, Richard Norland, said in a statement
that Washington “condemns” the surge in violence, urging an “immediate
cease-fire and UN-facilitated talks between the conflicting parties.”News agency
Lana said actor Mustafa Baraka had been killed in one of the neighborhoods hit
by fighting, parking anger and mourning on social media.
The Government of National Unity (GNU) of Abdulhamid Dbeibah said fighting had
broken out after negotiations to avoid bloodshed in the western city collapsed.
Dbeibah’s government, installed as part of a United Nations-led peace process
following a previous round of violence, is challenged by a rival government led
by former interior minister Fathi Bashagha. Bashagha, who is backed by Libya’s
parliament and eastern-based military strongman Khalifa Haftar, says the GNU’s
mandate has expired. But he has so far been unable to take office in Tripoli, as
Dbeibah has insisted on only handing power to an elected government. Dbeibah’s
government accused Bashagha of “carrying out his threats” to seize Tripoli by
force. Dbeibah’s GNU said negotiations had been underway to “hold elections at
the end of the year to resolve the political crisis,” but that Bashagha had
“walked out at the last moment.”
Bashagha denied such talks had taken place, and accused Dbeibah’s “illegitimate”
administration of “clinging to power.” Local media reported later Saturday that
a group of pro-Bashagha militias that were making their way to the capital from
Misrata had turned back. Emadeddin Badi, a senior fellow at the Atlantic
Council, warned that the violence could quickly escalate. “Urban warfare has its
own logic, it’s harmful both to civilian infrastructure and to people, so even
if it isn’t a long war, this conflict will be very destructive as we have
already seen,” he told AFP.
He added that the fighting could strengthen Haftar and those close to him. “They
stand to benefit from western Libya divisions and have a better negotiating
position once the dust settles.”Meanwhile Badi said on Twitter: “It will be lost
on no one that the GNU is more concerned with entrenching itself in Tripoli than
with protecting any Tripolitan constituency.”“The same is valid for the parallel
government and its allies.” Oussama Ali, a spokesman for Tripoli’s ambulance
service, told Al-Ahrar television that an unknown number of civilians had been
wounded but that his service was “having difficulties moving around.”
Bashagha was appointed in February by the parliament, which was elected in 2014
and is based in the eastern city of Tobruk, but he has been unable to impose his
authority in Tripoli. Initially ruling out the use of violence, the former
interior minister has since hinted that he could resort to force. Last week, he
called on “Libyan men of honor” to drop their support for Dbeibah’s “obsolete
and illegitimate” administration. Last month, clashes between rival groups in
Tripoli left 16 people dead, including a child. It was the deadliest violence to
hit the Libyan capital since Haftar’s ill-fated attempt to seize it by force in
2019 and 2020.
US approves sale of radio systems to strategic ally, Morocco
AFP/The Arab Weekly/August 27/2022
The US State Department has approved the potential sale of joint tactical radio
systems to Morocco in a deal valued at up to $141.1 million, the Pentagon said
on Thursday. The principal contractors will be General Atomic Aeronautical
Systems, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, and Leonardo SpA, it said. The approved sale
will support Washington’s foreign policy and national security by helping to
improve the security of a Major Non-NATO Ally that has built stronger military
and security ties with the US, especially in the war on terror. “The proposed
sale will improve Morocco’s capability to meet current and future threats by
providing timely Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) and target
acquisition for its security and defense,” said the Defense Counterintelligence
and Security Agency (DCSA). “The capability is a deterrent to regional threats
and strengthens its self-defense. Morocco has demonstrated a commitment to
modernising its military and will have no difficulty absorbing these articles
into its armed forces,” it added. Last June, the United States and Morocco
conducted the vast annual “African Lion” military exercise, amid heightened
tensions between the North African kingdom and neighbouring Algeria. The
exercise, which began in the southern Moroccan region of Agadir and lasted for
the rest of the month, involved some 7,500 personnel from ten nations including
Brazil, France and the United Kingdom. It included observers from NATO and for
the first time, officials from Israel.The exercise caùe amid heightened tensions
over the Western Sahara since US president Donald Trump recognised Moroccan
sovereignty over the territory in 2020 in return for Rabat establishing ties
with Israel. Algeria responded months later by severing links with Morocco,
citing “hostile acts” and slamming its neighbour’s security cooperation with the
“Zionist entity” (Israel). Last June, Algiers also scrapped a long-standing
treaty with Madrid after the Spanish government broke with decades of neutrality
to back a Moroccan plan for autonomy in the desert territory. Morocco considers
it an integral part of the kingdom, while the Polisario has long demanded an
independence referendum there. The former Spanish colony boasts hundreds of
kilometres of coastline with rich Atlantic fishing waters, plentiful phosphate
resources and a key highway to West African markets.
The Latest LCCC English analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on August 27-28/2022
د. ماجد رفي زاده/ معهد
جيتستون: المزيد من التنازلات الجديدة الخطيرة من قبل إدارة بايدن لإسترضاء ملالي
إيران والتملق لهم بهدف قبولهم بالإتفاق النووي
Still More Dangerous New Concessions by Biden Administration for a Nuclear Deal
with Iran's Mullahs
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/August 27/ 2022
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/111499/dr-majid-rafizadeh-gatestone-institute-still-more-dangerous-new-concessions-by-biden-administration-for-a-nuclear-deal-with-irans-mullahs-%d8%af-%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%ac%d8%af-%d8%b1%d9%81%d9%8a-%d8%b2/
Newly leaked information from inside Iran, obtained by Iran
International, reveals that the Biden administration has made even more
concessions to revive the nuclear deal, which have not been revealed to the
public. According to the report, "the US guarantees that its sanctions against
IRGC would not affect other sectors and firms: e.g. a petrochemical company
shouldn't be sanctioned by US because of doing business with IRGC."
The Biden administration seems to have been bragging that Iran's leaders have
dropped a key demand: removing the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) from
the US foreign organizations terrorist list. But if other sectors that are
linked to the IRGC can freely do business under the nuclear deal, then the
designation of the IRGC as a terrorist organization, as well as the sanctions
against the IRGC, are merely cosmetic.
The IRGC has a large stake in almost every industrial sector in Iran, which
includes the energy sector, mining, telecommunications, gold, shipping and
construction. Private sector competitors are not permitted in these sectors
because the more closed the economy, the more easily the IRGC can monopolize it.
As a result, any economic growth in these sectors will directly benefit Iran's
military, the IRGC and its elite Quds Force branch, and Iran's militia and
terror groups across the Middle East. Since Iran's economy is predominantly
controlled by the IRGC or the state, additional revenues will likely be funneled
into the treasury of the IRGC and the office of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei.
The other critical concession being reportedly made is that "the participants
note the firm commitment of the US President [without mentioning Joe Biden by
name] for returning to JCPOA compliance as long as Iran remains committed to the
deal." This probably means that future US presidents are obliged to continue
with the implementation of the nuclear deal. But why should the US guarantee the
implementation of the nuclear deal if it is not even a legally binding treaty,
approved by two-thirds of the Senate, in accordance with Article II, section 2
of the US Constitution? In addition, it is illegal for any president to commit
future presidents to anything that has not been approved as a formal treaty by
two-thirds of the Senate.
This is a much worse deal than the 2015 nuclear deal. Because, first, the US or
EU3 (France, the United Kingdom and Germany) cannot call for reinstating
sanctions on Iran unilaterally even if they believe that the Iranian regime is
violating the nuclear deal. In the previous nuclear deal, at least, any single
party to the deal could unilaterally trigger the snap-back sanctions clause. In
addition, with the new deal, restrictions on the regime's nuclear program could
be lifted only two years after the agreement is signed; and the Iranian regime
will not be obliged to reveal its past nuclear activities, which had military
dimensions; and Russia will be trusted to store Iran's enriched uranium, a task
for which Moscow will be paid.
Reportedly, another concession that the Biden administration has made to Iran is
that the IAEA is expected to halt its investigation into the regime's past
nuclear activities.
"This shift to appeasement was never going to solve any of the world's issues
with the Islamic Republic. The regime's problem with the West is the West's very
existence, which obstructs its path to a global caliphate." — Reza Pahlavi,
eldest son of Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi and an advocate of secular democracy
for Iran, Wall Street Journal, August 8, 2022.
The Biden administration's policy towards the Iranian regime has been one of
capitulation and giving concessions, and it appears determined to enrich and
empower what the State Department has called "the world's top state sponsor of
terrorism," whose core policy since its Islamic Revolution in 1979 has been to
"export the revolution," as anchored in "Death to America" and "Death to
Israel". Pictured: A member of the Islamic Basij volunteer militia burns an
American flag in Tehran, Iran, on July 16 2022. (Photo by Atta Kenare/AFP via
Getty Images)
Since assuming office, the Biden administration's policy towards the Iranian
regime has been one of capitulation and giving concessions to the ruling
Islamist mullahs of Iran. So far, they include suspending some of the
anti-terrorism sanctions on Iran-backed Houthis, then revoking the designation
of Yemen's Houthis as a terrorist group; disregarding Iran's oil sales to China;
shipping oil to Syria, Lebanon's Hezbollah and Venezuela in direct violation of
US sanctions; ignoring the Iranian regime's crackdown on protesters, smuggling
weapons to the Houthis and Venezuela; attempting to murder US former officials
and citizens on American soil, and taking more foreign hostages.
On top of that, newly leaked information from inside Iran, obtained by Iran
International, reveals that the Biden administration has made even more
concessions to revive the nuclear deal, which have not been revealed to the
public. According to the report, "the US guarantees that its sanctions against
IRGC would not affect other sectors and firms: e.g. a petrochemical company
shouldn't be sanctioned by US because of doing business with IRGC."
The Biden administration seems to have been bragging that Iran's leaders have
dropped a key demand: removing the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) from
the US foreign organizations terrorist list. But if other sectors that are
linked to the IRGC can freely do business under the nuclear deal, then the
designation of the IRGC as a terrorist organization, as well as the sanctions
against the IRGC, are merely cosmetic.
The IRGC has a large stake in almost every industrial sector in Iran, which
includes the energy sector, mining, telecommunications, gold, shipping and
construction. Private sector competitors are not permitted in these sectors
because the more closed the economy, the more easily the IRGC can monopolize it.
As a result, any economic growth in these sectors will directly benefit Iran's
military, the IRGC and its elite Quds Force branch, and Iran's militia and
terror groups across the Middle East. Since Iran's economy is predominantly
controlled by the IRGC or the state, additional revenues will likely be funneled
into the treasury of the IRGC and the office of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei.
The other critical concession being reportedly made is that "the participants
note the firm commitment of the US President [without mentioning Joe Biden by
name] for returning to JCPOA compliance as long as Iran remains committed to the
deal." This probably means that future US presidents are obliged to continue
with the implementation of the nuclear deal. But why should the US guarantee the
implementation of the nuclear deal if it is not even a legally binding treaty,
approved by two-thirds of the Senate, in accordance with Article II, section 2
of the US Constitution? In addition, it is illegal for any president to commit
future presidents to anything that has not been approved as a formal treaty by
two-thirds of the Senate.
Additionally, one critical issue about Iran's nuclear program is linked to its
past nuclear activities, which reportedly have military dimensions. The IAEA
opened a probe into this issue, but the Iranian regime has been refusing to
provide answers about several clandestine nuclear sites. Reportedly, another
concession that the Biden administration has made to Iran is that the IAEA is
expected to halt its investigation into the regime's past nuclear activities.
Yet another major concession reportedly includes the term that only a report
from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) can trigger the snap-back
sanctions clause.
This is a much worse deal than the 2015 nuclear deal. Because, first, the US or
EU3 (France, the United Kingdom and Germany) cannot call for reinstating
sanctions on Iran unilaterally even if they believe that the Iranian regime is
violating the nuclear deal. In the previous nuclear deal, at least, any single
party to the deal could unilaterally trigger the snap-back sanctions clause. In
addition, with the new deal, restrictions on the regime's nuclear program could
be lifted only two years after the agreement is signed; and the Iranian regime
will not be obliged to reveal its past nuclear activities, which had military
dimensions; and Russia will be trusted to store Iran's enriched uranium, a task
for which Moscow will be paid.
To make things worse, even if the deal falls apart again for any reason, the
Iranian regime will be exempt from the US sanctions for 2.5 years. In other
words, even if the regime is found breaching the deal and the US decides to pull
out of the agreement, Tehran can continue enjoying sanctions relief for
additional 2.5 years.
Even though the concessions that Iran has been obtaining from the Biden
administration may be catastrophic to the region and even to the United States
-- presumably based on a fantasy that normalizing trade with Iran with normalize
its aspirations to be a hegemon and instead become a pacifist good neighbor --
the Biden administration nevertheless appears determined to enrich and empower
what the US Department of State has called "the world's top state sponsor of
terrorism," whose core policy since its Islamic Revolution in 1979 has been to
"export the revolution," as anchored in "Death to America" and "Death to
Israel". "
As Reza Pahlavi, the son of Iran's former Shah, explained last week: "This shift
to appeasement was never going to solve any of the world's issues with the
Islamic Republic. The regime's problem with the West is the West's very
existence, which obstructs its path to a global caliphate. Any efforts to
accommodate this radical regime are shows of weakness that Tehran can
manipulate" -- as Tehran already seems to be doing extremely well.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated
scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and
president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has
authored several books on Islam and US Foreign Policy. He can be reached at
Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2022 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/18821/iran-dangerous-concessions
What are the chances of a meeting between Putin and
Zelensky?
Dr. Diana Galeeva/Arab News/August 27/ 2022
Is a meeting likely between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Ukrainian
counterpart, Volodymyr Zelensky, the heads of two countries whose crisis in
relations is shaping the world? With small steps forward, a meeting should
indeed be on the horizon in an effort to resolve the conflict through diplomatic
channels, but is it still a long way off or can we expect it in the shorter
term?
This question has, from the beginning, been among those that are central to
finding a diplomatic solution to the Ukraine crisis, and last week promising
steps appeared to be taken in this direction. Reportedly, the issue of a meeting
was raised by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who played the useful
mediator role, when he visited Lviv on Aug. 18 to meet Zelensky and UN
Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.
It was not the first time Erdogan had suggested such an initiative; he did so
two weeks previously, on Aug. 6, when he invited Putin to meet Zelensky in
Ankara as a platform for a process of negotiations. The official responses from
both sides were not made public, other than a comment by Gennady Gatilov,
Russia’s permanent representative to the UN in Geneva, a few hours later during
an interview with the Financial Times in which he said there “was not any
practical platform for having this meeting” between Putin and Zelensky.
Indeed, in addition to other developments in the Ukraine crisis, the continuing
deterioration of relations includes the circumstances surrounding the
Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant and the investigation of the shelling of a
pretrial detention center in Yelenovka. Moreover, the car bomb attack outside
Moscow that killed Darya Dugina, the daughter of Russian philosopher and Putin
ally Alexander Dugin, the so-called ideologist of the “Russian world,” on Aug.
20 (a day after Erdogan was supposed to discuss a proposed meeting between Putin
and Zelensky) has further complicated matters.
Among other challenges facing efforts to arrange a meeting between the two
leaders are their countries’ successes on the battlefield, which clearly offer
trump cards they can play in the negotiations.
Ukraine seems very skeptical about proposals for a meeting of the presidents,
given that Zelensky has ruled out any negotiations while Russian troops remain
in Ukraine. Dialogue between Moscow and Kyiv is also likely to be impossible in
the event that captured Ukrainian soldiers are put on trial in Mariupol, or if
Moscow goes ahead with plans to hold referendums in Russian-occupied territories
on the issue of becoming part of Russia.
In addition, the Ukrainians say that negotiations with Russia cannot begin until
the Ukrainian army achieves an advantageous negotiating position through a
counteroffensive. Given all of these considerations, Ukraine’s readiness to
consider negotiations clearly depends on many variables.
Turkey and the UN have already played a crucial role in achieving and
implementing a deal to resume grain exports, one of the complicated issues
arising from the crisis.
On the Russian side, in contrast, there have been small signs of progress. On
Aug. 18, Moscow softened its stance on the conditions for a possible meeting
between Putin and Zelensky.
Previously, the Russians had insisted that a road map be drawn up before any
meeting of the two leaders. At the beginning of August, the Kremlin stated that
the necessary prerequisites had not been met for a summit meeting between Russia
and Ukraine because the delegations had not done their “homework.” Now,
according to reports by CNN Turkey, Moscow seems prepared to adjust its
conditions and the Russians have said that the leaders can first discuss and
define a road map, and their delegations can then start work on implementing it.
These facts suggest two possible scenarios, one positive, the other more
skeptical. The first scenario is linked to the active involvement of Turkish
mediators and Erdogan’s vision of ending the conflict quickly through diplomatic
channels. His desire for this was evident on Monday when the Turkish president
stated during a Cabinet meeting that his goal is to arrange a meeting between
Putin and Zelensky. His enthusiastic view on this is indeed very promising and,
as noted, there are small but positive steps that suggest Turkish mediation
might yet bring the two leaders to the table soon.
However, given the ongoing developments in the conflict and the importance to
both sides of the trump cards they hope to hold and play during the negotiation
process that will shape the roadmap for reconciliation, it is also worth
considering the more skeptical view of how events might play out.
While Erdogan emphasizes the necessity of a meeting between the presidents of
Ukraine and Russia, the UN secretary-general has said, with undisguised
skepticism, that: “I think there is probably a lot of time and ultimately a lot
of changes in the verification of the situation so that this becomes possible.”
He continued: “To be honest, I don’t know. I think we are not there yet. I think
it’s probably too early for that.”
Given the complexity of this conflict, both of these possibilities are worth
considering. However, as a believer in the power of diplomacy, and the view that
this channel is the only one that can end the crisis, I tend to favor Erdogan’s
efforts and his optimism. It should be noted that Turkey and the UN have already
played a crucial role in achieving and implementing a deal to resume grain
exports, one of the complicated issues arising from the crisis.
Perhaps this positive outcome serves as a good advert for Turkish diplomacy, and
as motivation for us to believe in the power of the positive thinking behind
Erdogan’s vision for ending this crisis through the use of diplomatic tools, and
that perhaps a meeting between Putin and Zelensky can happen sooner rather than
later.
**Dr. Diana Galeeva was an academic visitor to St. Antony’s College, Oxford
University (2019-2022). She is the author of two books: “Qatar: The Practice of
Rented Power” (Routledge, 2022) and “Russia and the GCC: The Case of Tatarstan’s
Paradiplomacy” (I.B. Tauris/Bloomsbury, 2023). She is also a co-editor of the
collection “Post-Brexit Europe and UK: Policy Challenges Towards Iran and the
GCC States” (Palgrave Macmillan, 2021).
Twitter: @diana_galeeva
Iraq gets deeper and deeper into a political quagmire
Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/August 27/ 2022
Ten months ago, Iraq was on the verge of pulling off a remarkable, albeit
improbable, feat after the conclusion of national parliamentary elections. Most
Iraqis were skeptical of the tired promises, delivered with the usual populist
grandeur typical of a country adrift in chaos and with an absentee leadership.
However, the October 2021 vote offered the last, best chance for a hopelessly
battered Iraq to break a nearly two-year political stalemate that was hampering
efforts to deliver improved public services, new jobs and much-needed reforms.
After the election, two broad coalitions formed, guided less than in the past by
sectarian, or even class-related, differences in visions for post-2019 Iraqi
politics, the economy and society at large. Instead, a tripartite gathering of
Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds emerged, seeking a majoritarian government that could
free Iraq from nearly two decades of ineffectual politicking and gridlock.
On the other hand, however, a loose coalition of Iran-backed Shiite groups
sought to reinforce the politicking by insisting on the traditional “tawafuq” —
a sort of “broad” consensus governance that came to define (and cripple) Iraqi
politics after the ill-fated US-led invasion 19 years ago.
The two sides have jostled, face-to-face and within the judiciary, for months
seeking ways to undermine each other and prevent their opponents from cobbling
together an acceptable base from which to advance the political process.
Each episode, interspersed with bizarre stunts and maneuvering by the followers
of Shiite cleric Muqtada Al-Sadr, has only complicated Iraqi politics and
scuttled promising alliances that could have been key to securing voting
majorities on a raft of legislation designed to tackle the country’s most
pressing challenges. Ironically, a constitutional requirement intended to
prevent the three confessional groups from sidelining each other during
government formation is now impeding them, since none of them can
single-handedly secure a two-thirds majority in parliament.
Fast-forward to this month and Iraq is even deeper in the thralls of worsening
political gridlock. There are no feasible solutions in sight beyond calls for
what will likely be open-ended dialogue coming mostly from the Shiite
Coordination Framework, which Iran, curiously, supports as well.
On the other hand, the tripartite coalition disintegrated after members of the
Sadrist bloc in parliament abruptly resigned, only to be replaced by political
rivals angling to fast-track a stalled political process. After all, if the
Sadrists were to try to outmaneuver parliament from the outside, or manacle its
work through “peaceful revolutions,” it would be before and during government
formation. Any later moves would force a now incumbent government to deploy the
security forces against the Sadrists. The latter would have likely summoned the
power of the state to suppress the opposition, justifying the use of force as
necessary for enacting change from within a seemingly broken political system.
Of course, the Sadrists dismiss these concerns as mere suppositions by a gilded
elite beholden to foreign agendas, which necessitate calls for more drastic
expressions of public furor. Patience is wearing thin among rival factions. They
hint at taking up arms when dialogue fails. There have already been
assassination attempts and attacks on the offices of key political figures,
underscoring the razor’s edge Iraq is walking ahead of a possible plunge into a
maelstrom that would make the horrors of Daesh’s emergence pale in comparison.
The current political crisis is easily the longest in almost two decades since
the 2003 invasion. Worse yet, now that there is a conspicuous lack of a common
“enemy” or cause — such as the “defeat” of Daesh or the end of Kurdish
secessionist ambitions — the bulk of Iraq’s maladies are coming from within,
where politics have become the purview of proxies, guided by brinkmanship and
not a lot of substance.
Patience is wearing thin among rival factions. They hint at taking up arms when
dialogue fails.
Last year’s elections may have elevated the Sadrists and afforded them some
political heft, but their ability to defy expectations and pick up a sizable
number of seats in parliament did not usher in a period of promised change, nor
liberation from a heavy-handed Tehran and a strangely indifferent US.
In turn, a peculiar multipolar system has emerged among a mostly leaderless,
feuding Shiite assemblage that includes both the Sadrists and the expansive
Coordination Framework, featuring an alliance led by former Prime Minister Nouri
Al-Maliki. Having failed to threaten or beguile fellow Shiites into falling in
line behind him, Al-Sadr has since resorted to outlandish actions such as
demanding the country’s Supreme Judiciary Council dissolve the parliament.
These latest efforts came to naught but did not dissuade staunch Sadrist
supporters from protesting outside the Supreme Judiciary Council in an effort to
pressure the court into issuing a favorable ruling next week in an unrelated
lawsuit seeking dissolution.
The chief concern among many keen observers is that escalating tensions, against
the backdrop of Iraq’s extreme socioeconomic and political challenges, might
lead to Iraqis fighting among themselves for completely different reasons.
Everyone in Iraq is armed, whether members of paramilitaries or civilians, and
so the possibility of further escalations and a heightened potential for
violence demand the utmost prudence — not a stubborn reversion to the
impracticable and incendiary.
Simply shutting the Sadrists out will not work either, even if their ultimate
goal is to rewrite the Iraqi constitution and social contract. Despite multiple
calls for this, and many changes in Iraq since 2003, the political will or
capital to amend the flawed constitution simply does not exist. In addition, the
US, Iran, Turkey and some other enterprising external actors would not accept
such a drastic change in the status quo, since the persistent dysfunction more
or less prevents other forces from seeking to dominate Iraqi dynamics, while
leaving enough space to exert some influence.
As a result, the inadvertent imbalances of power created by the constitution are
unlikely to be addressed in the short-to-medium term, despite fueling the
squabbling not only with the Sadrists but also among the Coordination
Framework’s multiple factions.
In addition, Sunnis and Kurds are particularly squeamish about any talk of
fiddling with the constitution — after all, talk of reforms is all well and good
but public outbursts or “spontaneous, peaceful resolutions,” could lead to a
systemic breakdown and intra-Shiite armed conflict that would disproportionately
affect minorities.
Looking ahead, it will not be easy to break this deadlock given the wide gulf
between the visions of the Coordination Framework and the Sadrists for an ideal
political system for Iraq. Nearly two decades of endemic corruption, backroom
deal-making and the apportioning of benefits has only served the interests of a
connected and well-to-do political elite, including Al-Sadr himself. Meanwhile
the rest of Iraq has languished despite having the fourth-largest proven oil
reserves in the world.
The Sadrist plan, which demands swift, radical political change, might appeal to
a desperate Iraqi public but its suspicious lack of coherence or clarity has
left more questions than answers, which the mercurial cleric has yet to provide.
• Hafed Al-Ghwell is a non-resident senior fellow with the Foreign Policy
Institute at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International
Studies. He is also a senior adviser at the international economic consultancy
Maxwell Stamp and the geopolitical risk advisory firm Oxford Analytica, a member
of the Strategic Advisory Solutions International Group in Washington, and a
former adviser to the board of the World Bank Group.
Europe emerges as an anchor for a potential nuclear deal
with Iran
Andrew Hammond/Arab News/August 27/ 2022
The two key parties in any new nuclear deal with Iran would be Washington and
Tehran. Yet to the surprise of some, it is Europe that has emerged as the
lynchpin of any agreement that might be concluded.
Josep Borrell, the EU’s foreign affairs chief, announced the “final” text of a
deal this month that he said is non-negotiable, based on parameters agreed in
March after about a year of talks in Vienna.
He stated that Washington and Tehran now have to make “political decisions”
about whether or not to move forward with the revival of the deal. The original
agreement, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, was signed
in 2015 but US President Donald Trump unilaterally withdrew the US from the deal
in 2018.
The external reactions to Europe’s brokering of a potential agreement, while its
focus is heavily diverted by Ukraine, have been hugely mixed. For one thing,
views differ dramatically on the wisdom of a deal. Many European countries, and
the Joe Biden team, believe an imperfect deal is probably better than no deal at
all. But there are vociferous critics of this approach, especially Israel.
There are also those who perceive that despite the efforts of Brussels, an
agreement remains a distant prospect. This includes market participants such as
Goldman Sachs, which last week poured cold water on the prospects of a deal.
Amid this cacophony of viewpoints, however, it is the perspective of the Biden
team and the decision-makers in Tehran that matter most. Among the latter, a
green light would be needed not only from Iran’s Supreme National Security
Council but also from Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
The two sides have broadly welcomed the European overtures. Iranian negotiating
team adviser Mohammed Marandi said that the “remaining issues are not very
difficult to resolve.” The US State Department acknowledged that the draft
circulated by Brussels represents “the best and only basis on which to reach a
deal.”
Even if a deal does not happen this year, Brussels, the Biden team and some of
the key decision-makers in Tehran will not want to see the negotiation process
break down completely.
Yet, multiple key differences remain. For instance, Iran reportedly wants the
international community to shut down a long-running investigation by the
International Atomic Energy Authority into traces of uranium found several years
ago at three undeclared nuclear sites.
While that, and some other demands, might be resolved, what is much more tricky
is Tehran’s desire for a guarantee that the new deal will be binding, regardless
of the changing views of future US administrations. The Biden team cannot
legally guarantee that and the reality remains that a new president could seek
to cancel any deal, just as Trump did. Significant hurdles therefore remain but
there does now appear to be a political tailwind that could get this process
“over the line.”
One of the potential upsides of a deal for Europe and the US is that some market
analysts think Iran could raise exports of oil by between 1 million and 1.5
million barrels a day, or up to 1.5 percent of global supply, possibly within
six months. This, combined with factors such as any continued economic weakness
in China and the wider, slowing world economy, could possibly result in
significant reductions in oil prices.
It is not only European leaders who would welcome lower energy prices but also
others, including Biden as the Democrats prepare for difficult midterm elections
in November. While the overwhelming majority of US voters will not be
influenced, per se, by the security elements of a nuclear deal with Iran, an
agreement could have wider beneficial effects for the Democrats if oil prices
continue to drop amid the backdrop of the continuing war in Ukraine.
Even if a deal does not happen this year, Brussels, the Biden team and some of
the key decision-makers in Tehran will not want to see the negotiation process
break down completely. For now, it suits all of their political interests for it
to remain “alive,” even if an agreement cannot currently be reached.
Some key Biden officials, whose current attention is primarily focused on
Ukraine, perceive that this might be the least-worst way to try to place some
constraints on Iran’s nuclear program for the foreseeable future. The Trump
team’s policy of using “maximum economic pressure” to incentivize Tehran to
amend its behavior is undermined by nations such as China and India continuing
to buy Iranian oil.
Biden has, of course, said that military action remains on the table, too.
However, there might not be a serious option to completely take out Iran’s
nuclear program in this way, and any such action would risk sparking a wider
regional war and/or attacks by Tehran on the US and its global interests.
For Iran, meanwhile, stretching out the negotiations provides a potential window
of opportunity for amassing a large stockpile of enriched uranium, in violation
of the terms of the 2015 deal from which Trump withdrew. Tehran is reportedly
enriching uranium to 60 percent purity, well above the limit agreed seven years
ago. So amid the huge uncertainty over whether a deal can be reached, what is
more clear is that Brussels will not want to see the negotiation process break
down completely, and probably neither will the Biden team or some of the key
players in Tehran. It suits all their political interests, for differing
reasons, that the negotiations remain in play — for now.
• Andrew Hammond is an associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.