English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For 01 August/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
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Bible Quotations For today
Your eye is the lamp of your body.
If your eye is healthy, your whole body is full of light
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint
Luke 11/33-36/:”‘No one after lighting a lamp puts it in a cellar, but on the
lampstand so that those who enter may see the light. Your eye is the lamp of
your body. If your eye is healthy, your whole body is full of light; but if it
is not healthy, your body is full of darkness.
Therefore consider whether the light in you is not darkness.
If then your whole body is full of light, with no part of it in darkness, it
will be as full of light as when a lamp gives you light with its rays.’”
Titels
For English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News
& Editorials published on July 31-01 August/2022
Patriarch Al-Rahi’s Sermon Text/Rejection of all fabricated security –
judicial pressures, Irreversible insistence to implement his four demands, in a
bid to correct the unprecedented encroachments and abuses that Archbishop
Al-Hajj and the Patriarchate have been subjected to.
Patriarch Al-Rahi: We cannot accept the closure of the government formation
file, and we are afraid that a president will not be elected
Patriarch Al-Rahi: Fears of a huge fall if forces fail to elect a new President
of the Republic
Al-Rahi urges state to protect Rmeish residents under Resolution 1701
S. Nasrallah: To See What Message US Envoy Holds, Hezbollah Behind Lebanese
State
Hochstein begins Lebanon meetings, Fayyad says he's carrying positive proposal
US on Hochstein visit: Reaching a resolution can only be done through diplomacy
Lebanese Army on its Martyrs’ Day: We pledge to pursue the march no matter the
challenges
Ibrahim discusses with Hochstein, Shea demarcation file developments
Army Chief confers with Hochstein, Shea over border demarcation dossier
Lebanon Speaker Nabih Berri says no presidential vote until parliament passes
reforms
Hezbollah threatens to attack infrastructure in disputed Mediterranean gasfield
Hezbollah airs footage of Karish barges, warns Israel against 'wasting time'
Hezbollah airs drone footage of Israeli barges in disputed gas field
Hezbollah warns Israel against 'playing with time' over maritime border dispute
Part of Beirut port silos, damaged in 2020 blast, collapses
Lebanese face long 'insulting' queues to buy bread
Lebanon seizes ship carrying 'stolen' Ukrainian grain
Lebanese Army on its Martyrs’ Day: We pledge to pursue the march no matter the
challenges
Health Ministry: 2,312 new Corona cases, 3 deaths
The Syrians of Lebanon Are Not the Ones Threatening us with War!/Hazem
Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 31/2022
Titles For Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
July 31-01 August/2022
Israel to accelerate establishment of joint industrial zone with Jordan
Fears rise for young boys missing in UK-funded Syrian jails for Daesh members
Ukraine denies carrying out drone attack on Russian fleet HQ
Global food crisis in focus as Zelenskyy warns Ukraine harvest could be halved
Turkey says first grain cargo could leave Ukraine port Monday
Briton leaves Iraq after antiquities conviction quashed
Arab League chief urges Iraqi parties to avoid escalation
Hundreds camp at Iraqi parliament for second day
Iraq’s Moqtada Al Sadr asks supporters to push for 'radical change'
Chinese booster rocket makes uncontrolled return to Earth
Titles For LCCC English
analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on July 31-01 August/2022
Iran regime fears opposition’s growing strength/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab
News/July 31/ 2022
Iraq: The Shiite-Shiite Conflict/Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 31/2022
Russia softens its attitude on Ukrainian grain corridor/Yasar Yakis/Arab
News/July 31/2022
Potential 2024 candidates begin jostling for position/Dalia Al-Aqidi/Arab
News/July 31/2022
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese &
Lebanese Related News & Editorials published
on July 31-01 August/2022
Patriarch Al-Rahi’s Sermon Text/Rejection of all fabricated security – judicial
pressures, Irreversible insistence to implement his four demands, in a bid to
correct the unprecedented encroachments and abuses that Archbishop Al-Hajj and
the Patriarchate have been subjected to.
Patriarch Al-Rahi: We cannot accept the closure of the government formation
file, and we are afraid that a president will not be elected
LCCC/July 31/2022
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/110854/%d9%86%d8%b5-%d8%b9%d8%b8%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d8%b7%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%b1%d9%83-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%b9%d9%8a-%d8%b1%d9%81%d8%b6-%d9%84%d9%83%d9%84-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b6%d8%b9%d9%88%d8%b7%d8%a7/
The Maronite Patriarch Mar Beshara Al-Rahi indicated that “we cannot accept the
closure of the file of forming a new government, as if the government was just a
detail in the structure of the Lebanese system. There is no value for assignment
unless it entails formation.” He was surprised that “those concerned with
forming the government are making fun of this matter, contrary to the
constitution and Taif, and what we fear is that if the political forces are
unable to form, they will be unable to elect a president for the republic
tomorrow.”
In his Sunday mass, Patriarch Al-Rahi regretted the incident that took place two
days ago in Rmeish between armed elements affiliated with one of the parties and
the people. in their areas.”
Al-Rahi pointed out that “the Lebanese army celebrates its seventy-seventh
anniversary tomorrow, and we pray that God protects it from all dangers and
strengthens its unity.”
Al- Rahi: In All That Is Related To Bishop El Hagge, matter, we call on those
responsible for the incident of Archbishop Musa Al-Hajj and the detention of
those who unlawfully detained him, to do the following:
1. That they return his Lebanese passport and phone to him.
2. To hand him the trusts of money and medicines that he was carrying in name to
people and institutions, because it is a trust on his neck.
3. To ensure his passage from Naqoura, like all those who preceded him, to his
diocese back and forth without arrest or search.
4. To stop calling the Lebanese citizens in occupied Palestine “agents.”
If the official does not comply with these demands, they will cause great evil
to our diocese in the Holy Land, as they prevent its bishop from going to it,
and make it as if it were vacant, and this is a serious matter for which they
will be held accountable.
We ask God that this does not happen. To him alone be all glory, praise and
thanksgiving, Father, Son and Holy Spirit, now and forever, Amen.
Patriarch Al-Rahi:
Fears of a huge fall if forces fail to elect a new President of the Republic
NNA/Jul 31/2022
Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Bechara Boutros al-Rahi, presided this morning over
Sunday Mass service in Diman.
In his religious homily, the Patriarch underlined that “dropping the new
government formation issue cannot be accepted as it if were just a detail in the
structure of the Lebanese state system, knowing that the Taif Agreement made the
Council of Ministers, along with the Presidency of the Republic, the pivotal
pillar and the center of the executive authority.”He added: “There is no value
for appointing a new prime minister if it is not followed by cabinet
formation...We are surprised that those involved in forming the government are
belittling this matter, contrary to the Constitution and the Taif Agreement.”
Al-Rahi stressed that “the formation of a new government is a sign of respect
for the democratic system, ensuring the completion of the contract of
constitutional institutions, the functioning of governance and the separation of
powers, and the continuation of legitimacy through a government with full powers
in the event of an obstacle, God forbid, with regards to electing a new
President of the Republic.”The Patriarch continued to consider that “the
existence of a legitimate government gives the state the ability to negotiate
with the Arab and international communities, to take decisions and sign
treaties,” adding, “What we fear is that if the political forces are unable
today to form a government, then tomorrow they will be unable to elect a new
president...and hence the huge fall!” “But we hope and pray that it won't
happen...” he said. Referring to the incident involving Archbishop Moussa
al-Hajj, Patriarch al-Rahi considered that it constitutes a test of the extent
of separating between religion and state. “Some were complaining about the
interference of sects in the state, while the state attacked a constituent sect
and a religious cleric, known for his piety and service to the people, who ought
to have been respected by the state by preserving his movement between Lebanon
and his parish...Instead, they fabricated an incident, turned it into a case,
and organized media campaigns to distort the image of the Archbishop and the
Church's humanitarian and national mission...”He added: “We reaffirm that
working with an ‘enemy country’ was never part of our culture, our spirit and
our dignity. We are the first to respect and defend the laws, so we ask the
authority to respect and abide by them. We are the first to respect and defend
the judiciary, but we ask judges and judicial officials to respect the sanctity
of the judiciary and liberate it from maliciousness and dependence on political
and sectarian forces.”
The Patriarch, thus, highlighted the following demands pertaining to Archbishop
Moussa al-Hajj’s case:
1. Return his Lebanese passport and mobile phone
2. Hand him back the entrusted money and medicines that he nominally carried to
people and institutions
3. Ensure that he crosses from Naqoura, like all those before him, to his
diocese back and forth without any arrest or search
4. Stop labeling the Lebanese citizens in occupied Palestine as “agents”
Al-Rahi warned that “if officials do not comply with these demands, they would
be causing great harm to our diocese in the Holy Land as they prevent its bishop
from visiting it, thus rendering the parish astray, and this is a serious matter
for which they will be held accountable.”On the other hand and marking Lebanon’s
Army Day, the Patriarch said: “Tomorrow the Lebanese army celebrates its
seventy-seventh founding anniversary, and we pray for it so that the Lord may
protect it from dangers, develop it, strengthen the bond of its unity, and
preserve the well-being of its members. We express our congratulations and best
wishes to the Army Commander, officers and soldiers.”
Al-Rahi urges state to protect Rmeish residents under
Resolution 1701
Naharnet/Jul 31/2022
Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi on Sunday voiced regret over the clash in the
southern border town of Rmeish between Hezbollah members and town residents."We
urge the security agencies to perform their duty of protecting and reassuring
our sons, so that they feel that they belong to a state that protects them and
guarantees their safety and freedom to work in their land, under U.N. Security
Council 1701, which prohibits any armed forces from being present in their
area,” al-Rahi added in his Sunday Mass sermon.
S. Nasrallah: To See What Message US Envoy Holds,
Hezbollah Behind Lebanese State
Al-Manar English WebsiteظJuly 31, 2022
Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah said on Sunday that the
Resistance will wait to see what message the US energy envoy Amos Hochstein
holds to Lebanon regarding the maritime borders talks, stressing that Hezbollah
stands behind the Lebanese State in the issue of negotiations.
During a speech on the third night of Muharram, Sayyed Nasrallah described the
oil and gas off Lebanon’s shores as a ‘golden chance’ to cope with the current
economic crisis facing the country. “There is a golden chance to save our people
from queuing to get bread and oil. Let’s take this risk… this calculated risk,”
his eminence addressed mourners in Beirut’s southern suburb (Dahiyeh) via video
link. Sayyed Nasrallah, meanwhile, slammed those who are relating between
maritime talks with Iran’s nuclear affair. “Since they are puppets who serve the
interests of the US and Saudi Arabia, they think that Hezbollah is so.”In this
context, his eminence stressed that Hezbollah “wants to help the Lebanese people
and to provide the Lebanese states with points of strength during the
negotiations on the maritime borders” with the Zionist entity. “In the morning,
the US envoy will be meeting the Lebanese officials. Let’s see what message he
will deliver. We will act according to this message.” The Lebanese Resistance
Leader reiterated here, that Hezbollah is not part of the negotiation process,
stressing that the Lebanese State is the side responsible to decide on this
issue and that Hezbollah stands behind the Lebanese State.
Earlier on Sunday morning, Hezbollah’s Military Media Department released a
video including coordinates of the Israeli platforms operating in the
Mediterranean, in a clear warning that they are within the reach of the Lebanese
Resistance’s missiles. Sunday’s video echoes threats by Sayyed Nasrallah to the
Zionist entity against attempts to plunder Lebanon’s gas and oil fields.
Hochstein begins Lebanon meetings, Fayyad says he's
carrying positive proposal
Naharnet/Jul 31/2022
U.S. energy mediator Amos Hochstein arrived Sunday in Lebanon carrying a new
Israeli proposal regarding the sea border demarcation with Lebanon.
He began his talks in Lebanon by meeting with caretaker Energy Minister
Walid Fayyad and General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim. Speaking after
the meeting, Fayyad said Hochstein is “carrying a new proposal to the Lebanese
officials.”“He told me that it is positive and denied all rumors about joint
(gas) extraction between Lebanon and Israel,” Fayyad added. “Hochstein told me
that he will negotiate with the World Bank over the conditions for endorsing the
electricity plan that Lebanon has devised,” the minister went on to say.
MTV meanwhile quoted Hochstein as telling Fayyad that the video released
Sunday by Hezbollah will not help the negotiations because Israel will become
more intransigent due to its parliamentary elections. The video shows gas
production barges in the Karish field and their coordinates. It ends with
footage of a rocket with the words "within range" in Arabic and Hebrew.
Hezbollah also warned Israel in the video against "wasting time."A senior
Israeli meanwhile said that Hochstein would deliver a new Israeli proposal that
"includes a solution that would allow the Lebanese to develop the gas reserves
in the disputed area while preserving Israel's commercial rights.""The offer
that has been relayed is a serious proposal that can transform Lebanon from a
country of economic ruin and energy crises to a natural gas-producing country,
by enabling it to cultivate this resource," the official said.
US on Hochstein visit: Reaching a resolution can only be
done through diplomacy
Naharnet/Jul 31/2022
The U.S. State Department on Sunday announced that reaching a solution in the
sea border talks between Lebanon and Israel can only be reached through
“negotiations and diplomacy,” shortly before the arrival of U.S. mediator Amos
Hochstein in Beirut for talks with Lebanese officials. “Following visits to
Paris, Brussels, and Athens to discuss European energy security, Special
Presidential Coordinator for the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and
Investment Amos Hochstein will travel to Beirut July 31 to discuss sustainable
solutions to Lebanon’s energy crisis, including the Biden Administration’s
commitment to facilitating negotiations between Lebanon and Israel on the
maritime boundary,” the State Dept. said in a statement.
“Reaching a resolution is both necessary and possible, but can only be
done through negotiations and diplomacy,” it stressed. Shortly after the U.S.
statement, Hezbollah’s war media department released a video showing the
coordinates of the gas platforms in the Israeli-operated offshore gas field
Karish. The video also showed missiles and warned Israel that “wasting time is
not beneficial
Lebanese Army on its Martyrs’ Day: We pledge to pursue
the march no matter the challenges
NNA/Jul 31/2022
Following his visits to the French capital, Paris, Brussels, and the Greek
capital, Athens, to discuss energy security, US President Joe Biden's Special
Envoy for the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment, Amos
Hochstein, will travel to Lebanon today, the US State Department said in a
statement on its website
Ibrahim discusses with Hochstein, Shea demarcation file
developments
NNA/Jul 31/2022
Public Security Director-General, Major General Abbas Ibrahim, received in his
office this afternoon a US delegation headed by the US Envoy for Global Energy
Security, Amos Hochstein, in the presence of US Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy
Shea.
Talks during the meeting centered on developments in the maritime border
demarcation file.
Army Chief confers with Hochstein, Shea over border
demarcation dossier
NNA/Jul 31/2022
Army Chief, General Joseph Aoun, received at his Yarzeh office this afternoon,
the head of the American delegation in the indirect technical negotiations for
the demarcation of the maritime borders, Amos Hochstein, accompanied by US
Ambassador Dorothy Shea.
Discussions focused on the demarcation of the maritime borders, where Hochstein
briefed General Aoun on the latest developments in this dossier.In turn, the
Army Commander reiterated "the military institution's commitment to any decision
taken by the political authority in this regard," hoping that "the negotiations
will reach the desired results for the interest of Lebanon."
Lebanon Speaker Nabih Berri says no presidential vote
until parliament passes reforms
The National/Jul 31/2022
Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri said he will not call for a session to
elect a new president until the legislature passes reforms sought by the
International Monetary Fund as preconditions for a bailout. An IMF deal is
regarded as vital to Lebanon's economic recovery from a meltdown that has
plunged the country into its most destabilising crisis since the 1975-1990 civil
war. Senior politicians have voiced concern about
greater institutional deadlock if no successor is found to President Michel Aoun
before his six-year term ends on October 31, especially if a new government has
not been installed since elections in May. “I will not
call for a presidential election session until after the reform laws required by
the IMF have been adopted,” Mr Berri said during media briefing at his Beirut
residence on Saturday. He said Parliament should work to pass the reforms before
the end of August. Mr Berri, the leader of the Amal
party who has been Speaker for nearly three decades, said on Friday that a
“miracle” would be needed for a government to be formed soon. He did not
elaborate. Caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati was named as prime
minister-designate in June but has yet to present a Cabinet line-up for
Parliament's approval. His nomination for a fourth term in office was supported
by 54 of the 128 members of parliament. Under the constitution, the president
issues the decree appointing a prime minister based on binding consultations
with MPs, and must co-sign on the formation of any new Cabinet. Lebanon reached
a staff-level agreement with the IMF for a $3 billion bailout in April but a
full deal is conditional on the passing of bills including capital controls,
banking restructuring legislation and the 2022 budget.
Lebanon's constitution says the Speaker must convene Parliament “one month at
least and two months at most before the expiration of the term of office of the
President of the Republic”. Failing that, the chamber meets automatically on the
10th day preceding the term's expiration, the constitution says. Mr Aoun came to
power after a 29-month presidential vacuum in which Parliament was unable to
agree on electing a president. The stalemate ended with a series of deals that
secured victory for Mr Aoun and his powerful Iran-backed ally Hezbollah. Mr Aoun
is limited to one term, and major political parties have not announced any
agreement on his successor.
Hezbollah threatens to attack infrastructure in disputed
Mediterranean gasfield
The National/Jul 31, 2022
Lebanese militant group Hezbollah has threatened to launch anti-ship missiles at
Israeli-operated gas infrastructure at the Karish gasfield in the Mediterranean.
The gasfield has been at the centre of a dispute over the two countries’
maritime borders, with negotiations between Israeli and Lebanese delegations
failing to reach a compromise on the disputed stretch of ocean.
The threat came a US envoy appointed as a mediator in the talks arrived
in Beirut, reportedly with a new proposal to manage the disputed area. Amos
Hochstein met with senior government officials including President Michel Aoun
and Energy Minister Walid Fayad. "Reaching a resolution is both necessary and
possible, but can only be done through negotiations and diplomacy," the US State
Department said in a statement ahead of Mr Hochstein's visit.
The issue has been highly sensitive in Lebanon, with Mr Aoun warning last
month that “any activity or action in the disputed area is considered a
provocation and aggressive act.”A drilling vessel was sent to Karish in June,
operated by Energean, an Israeli-British venture. Wells could be operational by
September. In June, Hezbollah were accused of sending
unarmed reconnaissance drones to monitor operations at the site. Lebanese
Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib criticised the drone mission, saying any
actions “outside the state's framework and diplomatic context,” would create
“unnecessary risks.”Last week, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah warned that his
country’s government was “incapable of making the right decision that would
protect Lebanon and its riches, therefore the resistance must take this
decision.”But the latest video represents an explicit threat, portraying a mock
attack on the infrastructure using anti-ship missiles that analysts say are
supplied by Iran. Hezbollah is thought to possess a
number of Chinese-made C-802 anti-ship missiles that have been upgraded by Iran.
The group used two of the weapons during the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah war,
seriously damaging an Israeli warship and killing four crew members.
Lebanon and Israel are locked in US-mediated negotiations to delineate
their shared maritime border that would help determine which oil and gas
resources belong to which country and pave the way for more exploration.
Lebanese officials have said they are optimistic that this round of talks
can result in a deal after years of on-and-off indirect negotiations, but
Hezbollah has warned it is ready to prevent Israel from extracting hydrocarbons
should Lebanon not be allowed to do the same. Sunday's video, which also
contains a rare glimpse of Hezbollah weaponry, was broadcast on the group's
Al-Manar TV station hours before the US official mediating the maritime dispute,
Amos Hochstein, was scheduled to meet Lebanese officials in Beirut.
It was issued by Hezbollah's War Media that the group uses to broadcast footage
of military operations and battles, and contains images of ships involved in
drilling for and extracting hydrocarbons, along with what appear to be their
co-ordinates.The video begins with the words of Mr Nasrallah during a recent
speech in which he warned that “playing with time is not useful” on the maritime
issue.“The message is a serious threat,” a top Al Manar correspondent said on
Twitter. A statement on Saturday by the US State
Department said Mr Hochstein's Beirut visit would aim to facilitate talks on the
maritime boundary. “Reaching a resolution is both necessary and possible, but
can only be done through negotiations and diplomacy,” it said.
A senior Israeli official told Reuters that Mr Hochstein would represent
a new Israeli proposal that “includes a solution that would allow the Lebanese
to develop the gas reserves in the disputed area while preserving Israel's
commercial rights”. If this reaches agreement, it would entail “some drilling
there” by the Lebanese, the unnamed Israeli official said, without elaborating.
“The offer that has been relayed is a serious proposal that can transform
Lebanon from a country of economic ruin and energy crises to a natural
gas-producing country, by enabling it to cultivate this resource,” the official
said.
Hezbollah airs footage of Karish barges, warns Israel against 'wasting time'
Associated Press/Jul 31, 2022
Hezbollah on Sunday aired drone footage of Israeli ships in a disputed gas field
in the Mediterranean Sea, highlighting the tension at the center of
U.S.-mediated maritime border talks between Lebanon and Israel. The footage was
aired as the U.S. energy envoy, Amos Hochstein, was landing in Beirut to mediate
ongoing talks between Lebanon and Israel over their sea borders. Lebanon claims
the Karish gas field is disputed territory under ongoing maritime border
negotiations, whereas Israel says it lies within its internationally recognized
economic waters. Caretaker Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib in a statement
Friday said Hochstein will inform Lebanon of Israel's response to Lebanon's June
proposal, adding that he was optimistic about reaching an agreement soon. There
was no immediate response to the video from Israel. The footage aired on the
group's al-Manar television showed barges in the Karish gas field and their
coordinates. It ended with footage of a rocket with the words "within range" in
Arabic and Hebrew. The video also contained a phrase previously voiced by
Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah warning that "wasting time is not
beneficial." The Israeli military earlier this month shot down three Hezbollah
unarmed drones flying over Karish the gas field in the Mediterranean Sea.
caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati criticized Hezbollah at the time, saying
the move could pose risks to the country.
Nasrallah in an interview last week said that the group can locate and strike
Karish and any other Israeli gas field. Following his last visit in June,
Hochstein told U.S.-funded Al-Hurra television that the Lebanese government took
"a very strong step forward" by presenting a more united approach, and
anticipated that there could be progress to reach a settlement.
Lebanon and Israel, which have been officially at war since Israel's
creation in 1948, both claim some 860 square kilometers of the Mediterranean
Sea. Lebanon hopes to exploit offshore gas reserves as it grapples with the
worst economic crisis in its modern history.
Hezbollah airs drone footage of Israeli barges in disputed
gas field
Associated Press/Jul 31, 2022
As U.S. energy envoy Amos Hochstein lands in Beirut to mediate ongoing talks
between Lebanon and Israel, Lebanese terror group publishes video from
reconnaissance drones over Karish gas field and their coordinates
Lebanon's Hezbollah on Sunday aired drone footage of Israeli ships in a disputed
gas field in the Mediterranean Sea, highlighting the tension at the center of
U.S.-mediated maritime border talks between Lebanon and Israel.
The footage was aired as the U.S. energy envoy, Amos Hochstein, was landing in
Beirut to mediate ongoing talks between Lebanon and Israel over their sea
borders. Lebanon claims the Karish gas field is disputed territory under ongoing
maritime border negotiations, whereas Israel says it lies within its
internationally recognized economic waters. Caretaker
Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib in a statement Friday said Hochstein will
inform Lebanon of Israel's response to Lebanon's June proposal, adding that he
was optimistic about reaching an agreement soon.
There was no immediate response to the video from Israel.
The footage aired on the Iran-backed party and militia's Al-Manar
television, showed barges from reconnaissance drones over the Karish gas field
and their coordinates. It ended with footage of a rocket with the words "within
range" in Arabic and Hebrew. The Israeli military earlier this month shot down
three Hezbollah unarmed drones flying over Karish gas fieldin the Mediterranean
Sea. Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati criticized Hezbollah, saying
the move could pose risks to the country.
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in an interview last week said that the
militant group can locate and strike Karish and any other Israeli gas field.
Following his last visit in June, Hochstein told U.S.-funded Al-Hurra
television that the Lebanese government took "a very strong step forward" by
presenting a more united approach, and anticipated that there could be progress
to reach a settlement. The two countries, which have
been officially at war since Israel's creation in 1948, both claim some 860
square kilometers (330 square miles) of the Mediterranean Sea. Lebanon hopes to
exploit offshore gas reserves as it grapples with the worst economic crisis in
its modern history.
Hezbollah warns Israel against 'playing with time' over
maritime border dispute
BEIRUT (Reuters)/Sun, July 31, 2022.
- Lebanon's armed Hezbollah group issued a video on Sunday showing vessels
involved in the Israeli offshore oil and gas industry and warned against
"playing with time", underlining its threat of military escalation amid maritime
border demarcation talks.Lebanon and Israel are locked in U.S.-mediated
negotiations to delineate their shared maritime border that would help determine
which oil and gas resources belong to which country and pave the way for more
exploration. Lebanese officials have said they are optimistic that this round of
talks can result in a deal after years of on-and-off indirect negotiations, but
Hezbollah has warned it is ready to prevent Israel from extracting hydrocarbons
should Lebanon not be allowed to do so. Israel and
Hezbollah fought a month-long war in 2006 and have traded fire on several
occasions since but have avoided a large-scale confrontation. Sunday's video,
which also contains a rare glimpse of Hezbollah weaponry, was broadcast on the
group's Al-Manar TV station hours before the U.S. official mediating the
maritime dispute, Amos Hochstein, was scheduled to meet Lebanese officials in
Beirut. It was issued by Hezbollah's War Media that the group uses to broadcast
footage of military operations and battles, and contains images of ships
involved in drilling for and extracting hydrocarbons, along with what appear to
be their coordinates. The video begins with the words
of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah during a recent speech in which he warned
that "playing with time is not useful" on the maritime issue.
"The message is a serous threat," a top Al-Manar correspondent said on
Twitter. A statement on Saturday by the U.S. State
Department said Hochstein's Beirut visit would aim to facilitate talks on the
maritime boundary. "Reaching a resolution is both necessary and possible, but
can only be done through negotiations and diplomacy," it said.
A senior Israeli official, speaking to Reuters on condition of anonymity,
said Hochstein would represent a new Israeli proposal that "includes a solution
that would allow the Lebanese to develop the gas reserves in the disputed area
while preserving Israel's commercial rights". If this reaches agreement, it
would entail "some drilling there" by the Lebanese, the Israeli official said
without elaborating. "The offer that has been relayed is a serious proposal that
can transform Lebanon from a country of economic ruin and energy crises to a
natural gas-producing country, by enabling it to cultivate this resource," the
official said. (Reporting by Timour Azhari and Laila
Bassam in Beirut and Dan Williams in Jerusalem; Writing by Timour Azhari;
Editing by Nick Macfie)
Part of Beirut port silos, damaged in 2020 blast,
collapses
AP/July 31, 2022
BEIRUT: A section of Beirut’s massive port grain silos, shredded in the 2020
explosion, collapsed in a huge cloud of dust on Sunday after a weekslong fire,
triggered by grains that had fermented and ignited in the summer heat.
The northern block of the silos collapsed after what sounded like an
explosion, kicking up thick gray dust that enveloped the iconic structure and
the port next to a residential area. It was not immediately clear if anyone was
injured. Assaad Haddad the General Director of the
Port Silo, told The Associated Press that “everything is under control” but the
situation has not subsided yet. Minutes later, the dust subsided and calm
returned. The 50 year-old, 48-meter tall giant silos
withstood the force of the explosion two years ago, effectively shielding the
western part of Beirut from the blast that killed over 200 people, wounded more
than 6,000 and badly damaged entire neighborhoods.
In July, a fire broke out in the northern block of the silos due to fermenting
grains. Firefighters and Lebanese Army soldiers were unable to put out the fire
which continue smoldering for weeks, releasing odors into nearby cities. The
environment and health ministries last week issued instructions to residents
living near the port to stay indoors in well-ventilated spaces.
Emmanuel Durand, a French civil engineer who volunteered for the
government-commissioned team of experts, told the AP that the northern block of
the silo has already been tipping since the day of the 2020 blast, but the
latest fire had weakened its frail structure, accelerating a possible collapse.
When the fermenting grains ignited earlier in July, firefighters and
Lebanese soldiers tried to put out the fire with water, but withdrew after the
moisture made it worse. The Interior Ministry said over a week later that the
fire had spread, after reaching some electric cables nearby.
The silos continued smoldering for weeks as the odor of fermented grain
seeped into nearby neighborhoods. Residents who had survived the 2020 explosion
said the fire and the smell reminded them of their trauma. The environment and
health ministries last week instructed residents living near the port to stay
indoors in well-ventilated spaces. The Lebanese Red
Cross distributed K-N95 masks to those living nearby, and officials ordered
firefighters and port workers to stay away from the immediate area near the
silos. Emmanuel Durand, a French civil engineer who
volunteered for the government-commissioned team of experts, told the AP earlier
in July that the northern block of the silo had been slowing tilting over time
but that the recent fire accelerated the rate and caused irreversible damage to
the already weakened structure. Duran been monitoring
the silos from thousands of miles away using data produced by sensors he
installed over a year ago, and updating a team of Lebanese government and
security officials on the developments in a WhatsApp group. In several reports,
he warned that the northern block could collapse at any moment.Last April, the
Lebanese government decided to demolish the silos, but suspended
the decision following protests from families of the blast’s victims and
survivors. They contend that the silos may contain evidence useful for the
judicial probe, and that it should stand as a memorial for the tragic incident.
The Lebanese probe has revealed that senior government and security
officials knew about the dangerous material stored at the port, though no
officials have been convicted thus far. The implicated officials subsequently
brought legal challenges against the judge leading the probe, which has left the
investigation suspended since December.
Lebanese face long 'insulting' queues to buy bread
Agence France Presse/July 31/2022
In bankrupt Lebanon, Khalil Mansour has to queue for hours every day just to buy
bread for his family and some days he can't afford any. In a country which once
boasted the nickname "Switzerland of the Middle East" for its thriving banking
sector before financial crisis hit in 2019, the chronic shortage of the staple
of the Lebanese diet has been hard to take. Lebanon defaulted on its national
debt in 2020 and its currency has lost around 90 percent of its black market
value. The World Bank has branded the financial crisis one of the worst since
the 19th century while the United Nations now considers four out five Lebanese
to be living under the poverty line. Faced with demands from international
creditors for painful reforms in return for the release of new aid, the
embattled government has been forced to end subsidies on most essential goods --
although not so far on wheat.
The price of subsidized bread has gone up, although by less than if there were
no subsidy, but bakeries have started rationing the staple. A bag of flat Arabic
pitta-like bread now officially sells for 13,000 Lebanese pounds (43 U.S.
cents). On the black market it costs more than 30,000. "Last week I went without
bread for three days because I cannot afford to pay 30,000," said Mansour, 48.
For Mansour and most Lebanese, buying bread means standing for hours in long
queues outside bakeries and sometimes, when their turn comes, the bakeries have
run out of bread. "Today I queued for three hours, yesterday two-and-a-half.
What next?" Mansour said on Friday outside a Beirut bakery. "I have to feed my
family. What else can I do?" asked Mansour, who earns the equivalent of $50 a
month working in a pastry shop.
'Wild West'
Most bakeries limit the sale of bread to one or two bags per customer, and each
bag contains six flatbreads. Subsidized bread is often bought in large
quantities and sold again on the black market by unscrupulous dealers. "The
queues have become worse over the past two weeks," said bakery owner Mohammed
Mehdi. "We are facing huge shortages."The 49-year-old said the bakery business
had become like the "Wild West". "Some customers come armed with guns and
knives," he complained. Lebanese media carry frequent reports of fights breaking
out at bakeries, and even shots fired by customers demanding more bread. In
Taalbaya, in eastern Lebanon, a customer stormed a bakery on Tuesday furious he
could not buy more bread, one report said. The client shoved an employee then
ransacked the bakery, forcing the army to intervene, it added.
"What is happening is an insult... and it is even more difficult than the petrol
shortage" that gripped Lebanon last year, Mehdi said.
'Incitement'
Lebanon imports 80 percent of its wheat from war-torn Ukraine, according to
industry figures. But the country's capacity to store wheat took a heavy blow
when a deadly blast at Beirut port in August 2020 severely damaged the country's
main grain silos.
The government and bakeries have traded blame for the bread shortage.
Bakeries accuse cash-strapped authorities of failing to provide enough
subsidized flour. The economy ministry denies the
claim and has accused bakeries of hoarding subsidized flour to use in
unsubsidized products such as sweets. Authorities also claim that the presence
in Lebanon of more than one million refugees from war-torn Syria is partly to
blame for Lebanon's economic collapse. Some Lebanese have even gone as far as
accusing Syrian refugees of buying subsidized bread to sell on the black market,
fueling resentment against the refugees and demands for them to go home. There
have been reports of some bakeries imposing separate queues for Lebanese and
Syrians. This has prompted the U.N. refugee agency to voice its concern.
"Lebanon is witnessing an increase in tensions and incitement between different
communities, leading to localized violence in the streets, including against
refugees," the UNHCR warned on Friday.
Lebanon seizes ship carrying 'stolen' Ukrainian grain
Agence France Presse/July 31/2022
Lebanon's State Prosecutor Ghassan Oueidat has ordered the seizure of a
Syrian-flagged ship that docked at a northern port with a cargo of Ukrainian
grain Kyiv's embassy in Beirut said was "illegal."Oueidat instructed police to
investigate the Laodicea, which docked in Tripoli earlier this week, a judicial
official said. Oueidat "ordered the seizure of the ship until the investigation
is completed," the official said on condition of anonymity.
Lebanese police were also instructed to consult Ukraine's embassy after
it claimed that the grain aboard the Syrian-flagged ship was loaded from a
region occupied by Russian forces.
Ukraine, which Russia invaded in February, has regularly accused Moscow forces
of ransacking its grain warehouses. According to the Lebanese foreign ministry,
the "Syrian-flagged ship is carrying barley and flour."Ukrainian ambassador Ihor
Ostash told President Michel Aoun on Thursday that "illegal barley from occupied
Ukrainian territory" was on board the ship. Preliminary reports indicate that
the owner of the shipping company is a Turkish national and the grain belongs to
a Syrian merchant, the judicial official said. Part of
the cargo was due to be unloaded in Lebanon and the rest shipped to Syria, the
official added. A customs official told AFP that the vessel's documents were
"all in order and there is no proof that the merchandise was stolen.""The ship
traveled through Turkey, and would have been seized by Turkish authorities if
the vessel was under sanctions," said the official who declined to be named.
According to some media reports, the U.S. sanctioned the Laodicea several years
ago as part of measures taken against the government of Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad. The incident came as Ukraine, one of the world's largest grain
exporters, prepares to resume grain exports following a U.N.-backed deal.
Millions of tons of Ukrainian grain are stranded by a Russian naval blockade and
Ukrainian mines laid to avert an amphibious landing on the Black Sea coast.
The seizure of the Laodicea comes as Lebanon, which is struggling with
one of the world's worst financial crises, is also facing a major bread
shortage.
Lebanese Army on its Martyrs’ Day: We pledge to pursue
the march no matter the challenges
NNA/July 31/2022
The Lebanese Army said today on Twitter: "The Army Martyrs' Day is an occasion
in which we remember the bright and honorable legacy of our righteous martyrs in
the record of immortality, embodied by our wounded through their dedication and
sacrifices in defense of Lebanon and the preservation of its dignity…To them we
pay the highest meanings of appreciation and loyalty, and we pledge to them to
continue the march, no matter how severe the challenges."
Health Ministry: 2,312 new Corona cases, 3 deaths
NNA/July 31/2022
In its daily report on COVID-19 developments, the Ministry of Public Health
announced today the registration of 2,312 new Corona virus infections, which
raised the cumulative number of confirmed cases to-date to 1,173,871.
Three deaths were recorded within the past 24 hours, the report added.
The Syrians of Lebanon Are Not the Ones Threatening us with War!
Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 31/2022
And so, we are faced with the prospect of a war through which we retrieve our
wealth and die. We could die without retrieving our wealth. We could die and
others could retrieve the wealth. And we could die without there being any
wealth to be retrieved.
In all cases, the specter of generalized death looms in Lebanon. With every
sunrise, Hezbollah, through its top brass and talking heads, warns us that this
is a very real and serious, indeed likely, prospect.
True, the contradictions commanding the lives of the Lebanese are infinite -
economic and political as well as cultural and ethical. Nonetheless, in the face
of the prospect of war, confronting generalized death becomes the mother of all
contradictions that must be confronted, influencing and shaping all the others.
Let us imagine that we reformed our politics and economy, controlled pollution,
achieved gender justice, developed the labor laws governing foreign workers, and
then plunged into, or were plunged into, a war! We know, with a swift
reexamination of our modern history, that our sense of total powerlessness in
the face of wars was established by two instances in which we were lax in
confronting it.
After 2000, because of the Lebanese-Syrian security regime, those who had wanted
to disarm Hezbollah were defeated. As for the result, it is that we were made to
remain in an endless conflict because its objectives are ambiguous, and its
decisions are in distant hands.
After that, with the Syrian revolution that later became a war, we were lax
again. This time, our laxity was in deterring the Lebanese who had intervened
and made several false claims about why they had gotten involved, ranging from
the need to protect the Sayyeda Zeinab shrine to keeping the gates of the
country closed to ISIS. Unfortunately, many believed these rumors; rather, they
defended them with enthusiasm.
Naturally, these two instances of laxity can be explained. Some of the factors
have to do with political authority, others with the domestic balance of
military power, in addition to regional factors and pressures. However, two
degenerations activated these factors and reinforced them: the first time, it
became apparent that we had not learned the lesson of the war that exploded in
the mid-1970s after omens - the most pivotal of which was the transformation of
the country into a battlefield - had begun appearing in the late 1960s.
Hezbollah thus maintained its arsenal in what was perpetuation of that theory,
which was not foreign to an old body of literature and convictions prevalent
throughout the region about confronting Israel regardless of the costs.
The second time, this degeneration in the majoritarian consciousness of the
Sunnis was met with degeneration in the minoritarian consciousness of the
Christians, taking the form of complicity in Hezbollah’s war against the
majority of the Syrian people.
If theories about resisting imperialism, Zionism, and devils of every kind were
at the forefront the first time, theories about an alliance of minorities and
countering Sunni Islam, which was presented as countering Islamic extremism,
were at the forefront the second time. The fact is that the militarism that
dragged us into wars that branched out into other even more horrifying wars was
behind the implosions of our modern history.
This kind of “glory” was not achieved by the disputes between the Lebanese -
which have always been there - about economic disparities, development, equity
between the sects, cultural or generational issues, and others.
If we had been able to build some immunity and develop some form of consensus
against militarism that crosses borders, all borders, in 1969 as in 2000 and
2013, we would not have seen the worst and darkest chapters of our history.
This is enough reason to say that opposing war and militarism are not a
sectarian matter that forces for change can avoid or leap over. Indeed, it is a
national issue at the forefront of any potential for positive change and a
requisite for it.
There is no room for neutrality here; otherwise, we would be adding to the times
we had been excessively lax and another episode of generalized death to the
history of mass death in Lebanon.
Confronting the potential eruption of this war is perhaps searching for forms to
take, and some among us may be looking to crystalize them. However, there is no
doubt that the war against the Syrians residing in Lebanon is the most
degenerate of those forms and the most cowardly.
More precisely, it is a falsification of the actual challenges facing the
country and the threats they pose that chooses to run away from them. This is
patently obvious in the escalating campaign backed by politicians, media
outlets, and religious figures who suggest that it is the Syrians in Lebanon who
threaten the brilliant economic, social, and political success that country has
achieved! We know that the blend of an economic crisis, broad sense of
hopelessness, and a narrow, parochial consciousness is enough to elicit such
revolting reactions. We have an abundance of all three today.
However, knowledge alone is not enough, especially since being satisfied with
dead knowledge could coexist with all this ignorance about the real source of
the danger and an even greater readiness to replace it with another alleged
source.
The danger is not here. It is not in a few loaves of bread Syrians have obtained
or in some of them breaking the curfew imposed on those who reside in towns
ruled by ignorant municipalities. The danger lies over there, where lie the
missiles and the rhetoric about missiles, regional strategies, and a sacred
cause that does not even promise to pray for us after we die, nor of another
world that follows our forced expulsion from this planet.
The Latest English LCCC
Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on July 31-01 August/2022
Israel to accelerate establishment of joint industrial zone with Jordan
Arab News/July 31, 2022
LONDON: Israel said Sunday it would accelerate the process of setting up a
shared industrial zone with Jordan. The decision to accelerate the construction
and operation of the Jordan Gateway park was taken to enhance cooperation with
Jordan, the government added. The project was first proposed during talks on the
Jordan-Israel Peace Treaty that was signed in 1994. The final details of the
initiative were addressed last week during Lapid’s visit to Amman where he met
with King Abdullah II. “Twenty-eight years since the peace agreement with
Jordan, we are taking the good neighborly relations between our two countries
another step forward,” Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid said. “This is a
breakthrough that will contribute greatly to developing and strengthening the
region. The final details regarding this initiative were addressed last week
during my visit with King Abdullah II in Amman.”Lapid said the initiative would
increase employment in both countries, advance economic and diplomatic
relations, and enhance the peace and friendship between Jordan and Israel. “This
is a joint industrial zone on the border. It will allow Israeli and Jordanian
entrepreneurs and businesspeople to communicate directly. It will produce joint
initiatives in trade, technology, and local industry.”The decision includes
advancing the operation of the Jordan Gateway Park Terminal for pedestrians,
which will also be a crossing for entrepreneurs interested in the initiative and
the industrial zone on the Jordanian side. The Israel Airports Authority will
build and operate the Jordan Gateway Park Terminal, subject to budgetary
agreements and the approval of the Knesset Economics Committee. It will include
a facility for hosting executives and guests arriving from Jordan for business
purposes. The immediate construction of an entrance facility and the necessary
structures for operating the park would be evaluated while allocating resources
for completion, the government added.
Fears rise for young boys missing in UK-funded Syrian jails
for Daesh members
Arab News/July 31, 2022
LONDON: As many as 750 boys, some as young as nine, are being held in prisons
for people linked to Daesh in northeast Syria. None of the boys, including at
least one UK national and several other Westerners, have ever been charged with
a crime. In some cases, they have been held in the
prisons, funded partly by the UK, for over three years, without education,
family visits, proper food, or even natural sunlight.
The prisons are run by the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces, which captured
the boys along with 10,000 Daesh members and their families. The SDF has refused
NGO requests to evacuate wounded and ill boys from its facilities on security
grounds. Earlier this month, an Australian teenager,
Yusuf Dahab, died from wounds sustained during a Daesh raid in January on a
prison in the Ghwayran neighborhood of Hassakeh, 40 miles from the Turkish
border, while others were believed to have died during or soon after the
incident. Tuberculosis is rife, and many boys struggle with serious injuries,
some sustained in the January raid and there is limited access to medical
treatment.
In February, UNICEF’s representative in Syria, Bo Viktor Nylund, told the
New York Times after a tour of the area that the boys in the prisons lacked food
and medicine.
But the most pressing concern is that the whereabouts and conditions of some
boys, dubbed “Cubs of the Caliphate” by their captors, are unknown.
Fionnuala Ni Aolain, the UN special rapporteur on counterterrorism and
human rights, told the Daily Telegraph: “There are at least 100 children
missing. Either children who were killed during the attack or moved out of the
prison to locations where they have not been identified. Under international
law, we would call that enforced disappearance. “I
believe there are a number of children with serious and potentially
life-threatening injuries who remain in that prison, and I believe that some of
those children are ... from Western states,” she added.
The SDF told the New York Times in February that 121 of its personnel
were killed in the January raid but did not give details about the number of
casualties among inmates.
Most of the boys are from Iraq and Syria. But at least 150 are foreign nationals
— which poses a legal headache for the SDF and the governments of those foreign
nationals, most of whom have no wish to repatriate them — leading to countries
like the UK paying to maintain the prison system in northern Syria.
US Lt. Gen. Paul Calvert, a senior commander in the coalition against Daesh,
suggested last year that the UK alone gave around $20 million to the SDF for the
prison system. Experts have warned that funding the
SDF’s prison system likely violates international law. UN officials wrote to the
UK government in February, saying its actions facilitated “mass arbitrary
detention,” which was “incompatible” with the International Covenant on
Political and Civil Rights. The UK responded that it was “particularly concerned
about the condition of minors — including reports of possible casualties or
injuries resulting from the recent attack on Ghwayran, a lack of access to
healthcare, the prevalence of TB and possible malnutrition.”But it denied that
funding the prisons entailed legal liability. “We are planning to scale up
humanitarian assistance for minors in detention in 2022,” it added.
Letta Tayler, associate director and counterterrorism lead at Human Rights
Watch, told the Telegraph: “The silence on the numbers raises yet more questions
as to why dozens of governments are allowing an under-financed, embattled,
non-state actor to manage a population of tens of thousands foreign (Daesh)
suspects and family members, none of whom have ever been before a court, much
less charged with a crime. “The UK’s funding of
facilities holding detainees indefinitely in life-threatening conditions with no
due process whatsoever raises serious legal questions,” she added.
The death of Dahab gained prominence after voice notes left by the teenager
asking for help were revealed by his family in Australia in the aftermath of the
raid. “I got injured in my head and my hand,” he said.
“I lost a lot of blood. There’s no doctors here, there’s no one who can help
me.”He added that 15 to 20 children had been killed in the raid, saying: “I’m
very scared. I need help.”Dahab’s family announced his death on July 18. Since
then, neither the SDF nor the Australian government has confirmed his death.
“The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade is seeking to confirm
reports an Australian male has died in Syria,” an Australian government
spokesperson told the Telegraph. Tayler said: “Yusuf
could be one of many boys who have met or are about to meet this same fate. How
many more lives will it take before governments take responsibility for their
nationals held unlawfully in life-threatening conditions in northeast Syria, the
majority of them children?”
Ukraine denies carrying out drone attack on Russian fleet
HQ
Agence France Presse/Jul 31, 2022
Ukraine on Sunday denied carrying out a drone attack on the headquarters of the
Russian Black Sea fleet in annexed Crimea, that Russian officials said wounded
six personnel. Sergiy Bratchuk, spokesman for the
coastal Odessa military region, dismissed claims that Ukraine was behind the
attack as "sheer provocation." "Our liberation of Crimea from the occupiers will
be carried out in another way and much more effectively," he wrote on Telegram.
Global food crisis in focus as Zelenskyy warns Ukraine
harvest could be halved
The National/Jul 31, 2022
Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Sunday that Ukraine's harvest could be half its
usual amount this year due to the Russian invasion. “Ukrainian harvest this year
is under the threat to be twice less,” the Ukrainian president wrote in English
on Twitter. “Our main goal — to prevent global food crisis caused by Russian
invasion. Still grains find a way to be delivered alternatively,” he said.
Ukraine is one of the world's most fertile countries and a standstill in the
Black Sea has led to soaring food prices and fears that millions will go hungry
worldwide. Russia and Ukraine signed a deal earlier this month to reopen grain
and fertiliser exports that have been blocked by the five-month war. However,
optimism over the deal was tarnished less than 24 hours later when Russian
missiles hit the port of Odesa, raising doubts about Moscow's commitment to the
plan. The agreement, brokered by Turkey and the UN on July 22, provides for safe
passage for ships carrying grain out of three southern Ukrainian ports.
The vessels are due to sail this week and in a bid to safeguard their
passage they have been offered up to $50 million in insurance by brokers in
London. Insurance market Lloyd's of London,
underwriter Ascot and broker Marsh said the scheme would help to ease mounting
pressure on global food supplies caused by the war between Russia and Ukraine.
Chris McGill, head of cargo at Ascot, said the new financing was a “bespoke,
mission-focused facility” that would help ships to sail through safe corridors
from designated Ukrainian ports. Lloyd's chief of markets Patrick Tiernan said
it would “add essential protection” to the deal announced by Turkey and the UN
and help address market uncertainty over grain supplies.
Turkey says first grain cargo could leave Ukraine port
Monday
AFP/July 31, 2022
ANKARA: A spokesman for the Turkish presidency said there was a “high
probability” that a first ship carrying Ukrainian grain could leave Ukraine’s
port of Odessa on Monday. That is despite Russian
missiles hitting the city in the wake of the July 22 agreement on shipping grain
between Russia, Turkey, the UN and Ukraine. “There is a strong possibility that
a first ship could leave tomorrow morning if everything is sorted out by this
evening,” Ibrahim Kalin said in an interview with Kanal 7 television Sunday. But
Kalin said there were still “one or two subjects to be settled in the
negotiations with the Russians.”“Preparations have reached a point to allow the
ships to leave the port of Odessa. The ships have been loaded, they are ready to
leave, but we need good logistical coordination,” he said.
The resumption of exports was also discussed in talks between the Turkish
and Ukrainian defense ministers, Ankara said Sunday. “It is planned to begin
transport as soon as possible,” the Turkish ministry said in a statement. The
Joint Coordination Center, charged with controlling Ukrainian grain exports via
the Black Sea, was officially inaugurated Wednesday in Istanbul in line with the
deal. The deal to lift the blockade — the first significant text involving both
sides since the conflict began — is aimed at easing a global food crisis that
has seen prices soar in some of the world’s poorest countries. The coordination
center is responsible for registering and tracking merchant ships taking part in
the convoys, monitoring them via the web and satellite, and inspecting the ships
as they are loaded at Ukrainian ports and when they arrive at Turkish ports.
Briton leaves Iraq after antiquities conviction quashed
AP/July 31, 2022
LONDON: A retired British geologist jailed in Iraq for antiquities smuggling has
been freed and has left the country, his family said Sunday.
Jim Fitton, 66, was sentenced in June to 15 years in an Iraqi prison. A
Baghdad appeals court overturned the conviction and last week ordered his
release.
Fitton has now been reunited with family in Malaysia, where he lives. Son-in-law
Sam Tasker said Fitton arrived at Kuala Lumpur airport on Friday, and the family
was “absolutely over the moon.” Fitton missed the wedding of his daughter Leila
and Tasker in May while he was imprisoned. Fitton was arrested in March at
Baghdad Airport and charged under antiquities laws that carried the possibility
of a death sentence. His case drew international
attention after he was convicted of picking up shards of pottery and other
fragments from an ancient site in southern Iraq while on an organized geology
and archaeology tour. Fitton told the court that he had no criminal intent, and
some of the pieces he picked up from an unguarded site were no larger than a
fingernail. Volker Waldmann, who was arrested
alongside Fitton, was also accused of stealing antiquities but was aquitted at
trial. Many feared the incident would deter tourists from visiting Iraq, where
the government hopes to grow the nascent tourism sector. Frustrated by perceived
inaction on the part of the British government, Fitton’s family started a
petition that garnered more than 350,000 signatures.
Tasker said the public support was “evidence that the actions of the many can
move the needle in situations like this, you spurred us on when we were
struggling to find hope.”“We as a family will never again doubt the kindness of
strangers,” he said.
Arab League chief urges Iraqi parties to avoid escalation
Arab News/July 31, 2022
CAIRO: Arab League Secretary-General Ahmed Aboul Gheit has appealed to all Iraqi
parties to avoid further escalation in the country’s political crisis. He urged
all Iraqi parties to prioritize the national interest, and said dialogue is the
only way to solve the political crisis. Supporters of powerful Iraqi cleric
Muqtada Al-Sadr occupied Parliament on Saturday with no plan to leave, deepening
a months-long political standoff. Following the failure of last October’s
elections to produce a Cabinet, the Shiite cleric’s supporters have entered the
legislative chamber twice in recent days. They oppose Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani,
the candidate for prime minister from a competing Shiite bloc that supports Iran.
Hundreds camp at Iraqi parliament for
second day
AFP/July 31, 2022
BAGHDAD: Hundreds of followers of powerful Iraqi Shiite preacher Moqtada Sadr
camped at the country’s parliament Sunday for a second day, protesting against
corruption and political mismanagement. Despite tear gas, water cannon and
baking temperatures that touched 47 degrees Celsius (116 degrees Fahrenheit),
they stormed the complex on Saturday after pulling down heavy concrete
barricades on roads leading to Baghdad’s fortified Green Zone of diplomatic and
government buildings. The health ministry said at least 100 protesters and 25
security personnel were hurt in the confrontation. Nearly 10 months after
October elections, Iraq is still without a new government despite intense
negotiations between factions. Analysts have said Sadr, a mercurial cleric who
once led a militia against US and Iraqi government forces, is using street
protests to signal that his views must be taken into account in any government
formation. Both the United Nations and European Union warned about escalating
tensions. The immediate trigger for the occupation was the decision by a rival
Shiite bloc, which is pro-Iran, to pick former cabinet minister Mohammed Shia
Al-Sudani for the prime minister’s post.
On Sunday morning, the demonstrators marked the Muslim month of Muharram, a
traditional Shiite celebration, with religious chants and collective meals. “We
were hoping for the best but we got the worst. The politicians currently in
parliament have brought us nothing,” said one of the protesters, Abdelwahab Al-Jaafari,
45, a day laborer with nine children. Volunteers distributed soup, hard-boiled
eggs, bread and water to the protesters.
Some had spent the night inside the air-conditioned building — which dates from
dictator Saddam Hussein’s era — with blankets spread out on the marble
floors.Others took to the gardens, on plastic mats under palm trees.
In multi-confessional and multi-ethnic Iraq, government formation has involved
complex negotiations since a 2003 US-led invasion toppled Hussein. Sadr’s bloc
emerged from elections in October as the biggest parliamentary faction, but
still far short of a majority.
In June, his 73 lawmakers quit in a bid to break a logjam over the establishment
of a new government. That led to a pro-Iran bloc becoming the largest in
parliament, but still there was no agreement on naming a new prime minister,
president or cabinet.
The occupation that began on Saturday was the second time within a week that
Sadr’s supporters had forced their way into the legislative chamber.
They left on Sadr’s orders last Wednesday after about two hours inside. The
protests are the latest challenge for a country trying to overcome decades of
war and now facing the impact of climate change. Despite oil wealth and elevated
global crude prices, Iraq remains hobbled by corruption, unemployment and other
woes, which sparked a youth-led protest movement in 2019. As a result of past
deals, the Sadrists also have representatives at the highest levels of
government ministries and have been accused by their opponents of being as
corrupt as other political forces. But protesters see in Sadr an opposition
figure and champion of the anti-corruption fight. One of them, Oum Hussein, 42,
said the sit-in sought a government of “people with integrity who serve the
country.”She accused Sadr’s opponents of choosing for a new government figures
“known for corruption.”Sudani is the prime ministerial choice of the
Coordination Framework alliance which includes lawmakers from the party of
Sadr’s longtime foe, ex-prime minister Nuri Al-Maliki.It also represents the
pro-Iran former paramilitary group Hashed Al-Shaabi, now integrated into the
regular forces. On Sunday, a spokesperson for the European Union expressed
concern about “the ongoing protests and their potential escalation.”The EU
called for “constructive political dialogue.”United Nations Secretary General
Antonio Guterres urged “peaceful and inclusive dialogue” to form an effective
national government, his spokesperson said.
Iraqi Kurdish authorities in the country’s north offered to host talks in their
capital Irbil.
Iraq’s Moqtada Al Sadr asks supporters
to push for 'radical change'
Sinan Mahmoud/The National/Jul 31/ 2022
World and regional powers have expressed their concerns over the political
escalation in Iraq after the seizure of the parliament building by mercurial
Shiite cleric Moqtada Al Sadr’s supporters, pushing a months-long struggle to
form the next government into uncharted territory.
On Sunday evening, Mr Al Sadr called on his followers to push for a complete
overhaul of the political system, including a new constitution, rising up to
expel the country's elites whom he condemned as corrupt.
The brinkmanship has rattled his political opponents, some of whom command
well-armed militia groups linked to Iran. This has led to fears of renewed civil
war, since Mr Al Sadr also commands large numbers of armed supporters.
For the second time in less than a week, Mr Al Sadr flexed his muscles, ordering
thousands of his followers back to the heavily fortified government complex on
Saturday. Despite security forces using tear gas and water cannons, the crowds
tore down concrete blast walls protecting the site. Once inside the sprawling
complex known as the Green Zone — home to key government buildings including the
cabinet office, parliament, foreign embassies and residences of senior
politicians, they announced an open-ended sit-in.
At least 125 people — 100 protesters and 25 security personnel, were wounded,
according to the Health Ministry. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres said he
“is following with concern the ongoing protests in Iraq”, calling for
self-restraint.
In a statement, Mr Guterres said that “freedom of expression and peaceful
assembly are fundamental rights that must be respected at all times”. He
appealed to “all relevant actors to take immediate steps to de-escalate the
situation, avoid any further violence, and ensure the protection of peaceful
protesters and state institutions”. He called for a “peaceful and inclusive
dialogue” to form “an effective national government that will be able to deliver
on long-standing demands for reform, without further delay”. The Secretary
General of the Arab League, Ahmed Aboul Gheit, also appealed to all Iraqi
political forces to work quickly to stop the escalation and start a sincere
political dialogue.Mr Aboul Gheit warned that “getting things out of control
will not be in the interest of Iraq or in the interest of any party”.
Others echoed the same concerns.The EU delegation to Iraq called on all parties
to “exercise restraint to prevent further violence” and urged the rivals to
“solve issues through a constructive political dialogue within the
constitutional framework”. The UAE president's diplomatic adviser, Dr Anwar
Gargash, said “Iraq’s stability means stability to the region and a boost to its
security”.“We are looking forward to a prosperous and stable Iraq capable of
solving its internal issues through dialogue and consensus in order to retain
its vital role at the Arab and regional levels,” Mr Gargash added.
'Fighting back'
Emerging as a clear winner in October's national election with 73 seats in the
329-seat parliament, Mr Al Sadr sought to form a majority government with Sunni
and Kurdish allies, sidelining his Iran-backed rivals, the Co-ordination
Framework.
But the CF — an umbrella group that consists of influential Tehran-allied
militias and political parties — with some smaller parties not directly aligned
to Tehran derailed Mr Al Sadr’s efforts through different means. A series of
legal challenges and parliament session boycotts to block candidates put forward
by Mr Al Sadr's allies for the role of president, a vital step in government
formation, combined with alleged intimidation tactics, forced him to order his
MPs to resign last month. That has given the CF the lead to form the government.
In the past week, Mr Al Sadr voiced a series of angry objections when the CF
nominated Shiite politician Mohammed Shia Al Sudani for the role of prime
minister.
He has called Mr Al Sudani a “shadow” of his rival, former prime minister Nouri
Al Maliki, one of the senior CF leaders. The years-long antagonism between the
two men has been one of the reasons behind the delay in forming a new
government, more than 10 months since national elections were held.
As the CF pushed to hold a parliament session on Thursday to choose a new
president — who in turn has to task the largest political bloc to nominate a
prime minister, Mr Al Sadr's followers briefly occupied parliament. Mr Al Sadr
said the move was a “warning”.
As the parliament planned to hold a session on Saturday, the Sadrists once again
entered, prompting the parliament speaker to suspend all sessions until further
notice.
In his tweet on Sunday, Mr Al Sadr praised what he called a “spontaneous and
peaceful revolution that liberated the Green Zone", describing it a “golden
opportunity” for change.
“This is a great opportunity to fundamentally change the political system and
the constitution,” he said, urging Iraqis not to miss it in order to "eliminate
the darkness, corruption, exclusivity in power, loyalty to the outside,
[sectarian-based] quotas, and sectarianism that have perched upon Iraq”.
The quickly unfolding events have raised the stakes and deepened the struggle
for influence between Mr Al Sadr and his Iran-backed rivals.“The coming period
will be a one of escalation,” Hadi Jalo chairman of the Political Decision think
tank in Baghdad, told The National.
“Al Sadr’s message is, 'I also can hamper your efforts to form the government,'”
Mr Jalo said. “The Sadrist Movement is now fighting back and has succeeded in
putting everything on hold now,” he added.
Saturday’s move took Mr Al Sadr’s rivals by surprise, showing division among its
leaders. Mr Al Maliki and Qais Al Khazaali, who commands the militia Asaib Ahl
Al Haq — both prominent rivals to Mr Al Sadr, insisted on issuing a statement
that called for counter-protests, two legislators said.
But other senior leaders — Hadi Al Amiri, Haider Al Abadi and Ammar Al Hakim,
issued more conciliatory statements, refusing escalation and calling for
dialogue. Hours later, CF called off the protests. Mr Al Sadr has not responded
to their calls for dialogue and instead ordered his supporters to continue their
sit-in inside the parliament. This has raised questions as to what Mr Al Sadr's
ultimate aim may be. “Since it’s hard to go back to parliament, Mr Al Sadr may
now aim at dissolving the legislative body, keeping the caretaker government and
holding early elections,” Mr Jalo said. Few hours after Mr Al Sadr's statement,
the CF called for "peaceful" demonstration outside the Green Zone on Monday
afternoon.
Chinese booster rocket makes
uncontrolled return to Earth
Agence France Presse/July 31/ 2022
A Chinese booster rocket made an uncontrolled return to Earth on Saturday,
leading U.S. officials to chide Beijing for not sharing information about the
potentially hazardous object's descent. U.S. Space Command "can confirm the
People's Republic of China (PRC) Long March 5B (CZ-5B) re-entered over the
Indian Ocean at approx 10:45 am MDT on 7/30," the U.S. military unit said on
Twitter. "We refer you to the #PRC for further details on the reentry’s
technical aspects such as potential debris dispersal+ impact location," it said.
In a statement posted to its official WeChat profile, the China Manned Space
Agency later gave coordinates for an impact area in the Sulu Sea, about 35 miles
(57 kilometers) off the east coast of the Philippines' Palawan Island. "Most of
its devices were ablated and destroyed during re-entry," the agency said of the
booster rocket, which was used last Sunday to launch the second of three modules
China needed to complete its new Tiangong space station. Malaysia's space agency
said it detected rocket debris burning up on re-entry before falling in the Sulu
Sea northeast of the island of Borneo. "The debris of the rocket caught fire
while entering the Earth's airspace and the movement of the burning debris also
crossed Malaysian airspace and could be detected in several areas including
crossing the airspace around the state of Sarawak," it said.
- NASA criticism -
NASA administrator Bill Nelson criticized Beijing on Twitter, saying the failure
to share details of the rocket's descent was irresponsible and risky. "All
spacefaring nations should follow established best practices, and do their part
to share this type of information in advance," Nelson wrote, "to allow reliable
predictions of potential debris impact risk, especially for heavy-lift vehicles,
like the Long March 5B, which carry a significant risk of loss of life and
property."He added: "Doing so is critical to the responsible use of space and to
ensure the safety of people here on Earth."The Tiangong space station is one of
the crown jewels of Beijing's ambitious space program, which has landed robotic
rovers on Mars and the Moon, and made China only the third nation to put humans
in orbit. The new module, propelled by the Long March 5B, successfully docked
with Tiangong's core module on Monday and the three astronauts who had been
living in the main compartment since June successfully entered the new lab. When
China launched its first Tiangong module in April 2021, there was a similar
frenzy around the possibility of damage caused by an unpredictable booster
reentry. Objects generate immense amounts of heat and friction when they enter
the atmosphere, which can cause them to burn up and disintegrate. But larger
ones such as the Long March-5B may not be destroyed entirely. In 2020, debris
from another Chinese rocket fell on villages in the Ivory Coast, causing
structural damage but no injuries or deaths.
China has poured billions of dollars into space flight and exploration as it
seeks to build a program that reflects its stature as a rising global power.
The Latest
LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published
on July 31-01 August/2022
Iran regime fears opposition’s growing
strength
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/July 31/ 2022
The Iranian authorities are becoming increasingly concerned about the rising
power of the resistance against the regime both inside the country and abroad.
For example, Albania’s Special Anti-Corruption Task Force in July busted a
network of Iranian regime agents and infiltrators who were actively surveilling
and preparing for terrorist attacks on the Iranian resistance. Some members of
the regime’s terrorist ring were detained and put under official investigation.
It is worth noting that, every summer, the organized Iranian resistance movement
holds its annual gathering in an attempt to showcase a better future for Iran
and to tell Western governments to end their appeasement of Tehran and instead
side with the Iranian people as they call for a free, secular, pluralistic,
democratic and non-nuclear Iran, living in harmony and cooperation with its
neighbors and the free world.
The huge Free Iran World Summit 2022 was scheduled to convene at the Ashraf 3
camp in Albania — home to principal opposition group the National Council of
Resistance of Iran — on July 23-24. However, a credible terrorist threat to the
event, targeting the oppositional group’s leadership, was identified, meaning
the rally had to be canceled. Hundreds of dignitaries from around the world were
due to attend and show their support for the Iranian resistance.
The Iranian regime has used its diplomatic presence in Europe to plot terrorist
bomb and assassination attacks against dissidents on the continent for decades.
Back in 2018, the regime used an active diplomat, who was in charge of its
intelligence operations against dissidents in Europe, to carry explosives on a
passenger plane from Tehran to Vienna and then transfer them to accomplices, who
were tasked with bombing that year’s Free Iran summit near Paris. Assadollah
Assadi was convicted and sentenced to 20 years in prison by a Belgian court for
his role in this potentially lethal terrorist plot. He is now the subject of a
shameful treaty between Belgium and Iran’s hostage-taking regime that may see
him released.
As well as planning such attacks, Tehran is simultaneously illegally detaining
Western citizens as a form of hostage-taking in a mafia-like bid to extort
concessions from weak European governments like Belgium and force them to free
its captured diplomat terrorists. It is also impeding the Iranian resistance and
checking the opposition’s political and diplomatic progress in Europe.
Tehran has used its diplomatic presence in Europe to plot terrorist bomb and
assassination attacks against dissidents for decades.
At about the same time as the Albania event was targeted, the Iranian Foreign
Ministry published a list of 61 current and former US officials who it had
blacklisted due to their “deliberate support” for the NCRI. The list included
former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and
Sens. Ted Cruz and Cory Booker.
But it is critical to point out that change is inevitable, as events in Iran and
the region likely show. President Joe Biden’s earnest efforts to revive a dying
agreement on Iran’s nuclear weapons program have been met with a change of
tactics in Tehran. The resulting intransigence and running down of the clock
have led even the most ardent advocates of the deal to admit it is likely
doomed.
The Iranian people, however, are not waiting for outside actors and they have
organized a nationwide network of resistance units to protest and revolt against
the regime’s tyranny. They are rebelling against their leaders’ violent
suppression of the people’s rights and the plunder of their national wealth for
use in proxy wars and on nuclear weapons development.
As social protests take root in cities and towns across the nation and as these
resistance units challenge the regime’s authority at every chance — in the
marketplace, universities, offices, schools and factories, as well as in
cyberspace — the mullahs become ever more desperate to strike at the
oppositional group, which is the engine of resistance and political alternative
to their religious fascism.
In another defeat for the Iranian regime, Hamid Nouri, one of the accessories to
mass murder during the 1988 massacre of political prisoners in Iran and a former
aide to President Ebrahim Raisi, who himself has been implicated as a member of
the death committee, was in July convicted by a Swedish court under the
principle of universal jurisdiction and sentenced to life in prison.
As the US and Europe grapple with the reality that the theocratic establishment
will not abandon its nuclear ambitions and that appeasement has never worked,
new global geopolitical imperatives offer further reasons to seek change in
Iran.
• Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political
scientist.
Iraq: The Shiite-Shiite Conflict
Tariq Al-Homayed/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 31/2022
The current developments in Iraq are an inter-Shiite struggle for power. This is
at the heart of the crisis at hand and fears are real that a miscalculation
could lead to a bloody clash that would spell disaster.
We are confronted today with a Shiite Iraqi side that enjoys the parliamentary
majority that was won through elections. It is confronted with another Shiite
bloc that does not acknowledge these results and does not understand the
language of negotiations. All it wants is power.
The Sadrists, the holders of the majority, and their allies are attempting to
practice their rights according to the rules of the game and protests and
sit-ins after they exhausted all negotiations to form a government and elect a
president.
The other side had met these efforts with more intransigence.
The other side wants power, even if it has to resort to force. It is led by
Nouri al-Maliki, who recently made an appearance from his home. He was seen
holding a weapon even though he was not in imminent danger. Perhaps, one would
then interpret the image that he would not shy away from turning to force if
needed.
The side eyeing power is the pro-Iran Coordination Framework. It will not only
expose Iraq to major confrontation and humanitarian tragedy, but some believe
that it may deal a deafening blow to Iran’s agenda in Iraq.
Some experts in Baghdad insist that Iran is at a loss with what to do in Iraq
and lacks a clear vision. I have my own reservations over this view because Iran
does not practice politics in Iraq, but rather it acts like a thug and bully
there.
So, no one can guarantee that Iran would resort to violence that target specific
figures to change the rules of the game, just as it did in Lebanon when it
assassinated former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, marking a pivotal moment in the
country.
Amid this inter-Shiite conflict there remain some sides that have yet to make
their stance clear. They are the army and security agencies that have been
developed with new equipment and improved with recruits.
Should the crisis persist and God forbid, develop even further, especially with
reports that Maliki is expected to deliver a speech – and nothing rational could
ever come of him – and the Framework intent on taking to the streets, then all
eyes will be turned to the army and security forces that will find themselves
obligated to take a stand.
We are not asking for a coup or return to military rule, but rather that a
decision be taken to protect what remains of the Iraqi state, because the whole
of Iraq will be impacted should this inter-Shiite struggle for power devolve
into violence.
No sect will be spared from this conflict. No matter what Iran loses, the
greatest loser in this scenario will be the Iraqi state and social peace.
The truth is today’s crisis has been in the making for a while. We hope that it
will be confronted with reason and wisdom because anything other than that will
spell a new tragedy in Iraq and the region.
Russia softens its attitude on Ukrainian grain corridor
Yasar Yakis/Arab News/July 31/2022
Before a breakthrough was achieved in July to open a grain corridor from
Ukraine, Russia had been dragging its feet over allowing shipments of Ukrainian
grain to international markets. It first objected to making a deal because sea
mines had been laid outside the Ukrainian harbors. After painstaking efforts, a
deal was signed in Istanbul in the presence of UN Secretary-General Antonio
Guterres and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Turkey received merited
applause for its role in securing the deal. Without an open communication line
between Erdogan and Russian President Vladimir Putin, this agreement could not
have been reached easily.
Several points have to be underlined in this context. First, Russia did not
resist the pressure of the international community that direly needed grain.
Blocking the deal would have damaged Moscow’s image due to it being such an
important humanitarian issue. On the other hand, Russia did not agree to this
deal only for unselfish purposes. In exchange for its consent, it drew
advantages from the softening of economic sanctions imposed on it by the US and
EU. Deputy Foreign Minister Andrei Rudenko has since said that, if the obstacles
on Russia’s grain exports are not removed entirely, the Istanbul deal will be
doomed to collapse.
Second, the flexibility demonstrated by Russia on this subject may set a good
precedent. If the war drags on, we may need similar shows of flexibility. The
Kremlin refused to make a direct deal with Ukraine, so two identical agreements
were signed: One between Turkey, Russia and the UN and another between Turkey,
Ukraine and the UN. So, both parties maintained their political positions, but
the controversy was eliminated.
The two warring countries are, after all, the main but indirect actors in the
same deal; therefore, they have to interact in one way or another. For instance,
Ukraine has said it will need about 10 days to get the ports ready. This
exercise will also require some sort of coordination between the Russian and
Ukrainian authorities. Therefore, we may hope that similar cases of coordination
might lead to a relative slackening of the rigid attitudes between them.
Third, Russia and Ukraine produce roughly a third of the world’s total grain
output. Many Middle Eastern countries rely on these two countries’ agricultural
products. The financial scope of the deal is estimated to be about $10 billion.
The agreement will transform Ukrainian agricultural products into cash at a time
when the country needs every penny. Furthermore, if the grain is not exported,
there will be no space to store this year’s harvest.
The arrival on the market of such a huge volume of grain will ease prices and
this will have a positive effect all over the world.
Estimates of the quantity of the grain to be exported vary between 22 and 28
million tons, which is enough to supply basic food to many countries that are
short of bread. If the grain corridor was to remain blocked, prices would go up
even further and the main sufferers would again be the relatively poor
countries. On the other hand, the arrival on the market of such a huge volume of
grain will ease prices and this will have a positive effect all over the world.
Fourth, the deal brought to the forefront the importance of an international
convention signed in Montreux, Switzerland, in 1936. This convention authorizes
Turkey to block, in case of war, the passage through the Turkish Straits of any
navy ships. But an agreement has now been reached between Russia and Ukraine
providing for the inspection of merchant ships. The ships will be inspected in
Istanbul to find out if they are carrying weapons on their way back to Ukraine.
This question has reopened in Turkey a debate on whether the Montreux Convention
is an important document. Officials from Turkey’s ruling AKP party, including
the speaker of the parliament, have made statements to the effect that this
multilateral convention could be abrogated if necessary. The AKP probably opened
this debate with a view to belittling founding father Kemal Ataturk’s
achievement. Only last year, a group of 103 retired admirals issued a statement
bringing the importance of the Montreux Convention to the attention of Turkey’s
domestic audience. The government immediately initiated a public prosecution
against these admirals “for having conspired against the state security and the
constitutional order.”
Fifth, until recently, Turkey’s name was more frequently mentioned in negative
contexts in the international arena. The balanced role that it is now trying to
play has brought some success. It has also brought together the Russian and
Ukrainian foreign ministers in Antalya and delegations of the two countries for
ceasefire negotiations in Istanbul. These two initiatives did not lead to a
breakthrough, but it was worth trying. Unlike the first two attempts, the grain
corridor deal is likely to hold.
One can only hope that this deal opens the way for other similar initiatives in
the future.
• Yasar Yakis is a former foreign minister of Turkey and founding member of the
ruling AK Party.
Potential 2024 candidates begin jostling for position
Dalia Al-Aqidi/Arab News/July 31/2022
America’s 2020 presidential election continues to make headlines in the domestic
and global media due to the uproar surrounding it and the failure of the
majority of former President Donald Trump’s supporters to recognize its
impartiality, followed by the attack on Capitol Hill and its never-ending
repercussions.
The House Select Committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the US Capitol
will hold a new round of hearings in September, while the US Department of
Justice continues to investigate whether Trump took steps to overturn the
election result. All these efforts are aimed at preventing the former president
from holding public office in the future.
Although there are still several months until the midterm elections are held,
both parties have already begun to discuss their potential 2024 presidential
candidates. It is unusual to publicly discuss this sensitive issue at this time.
However, the circumstances the US is facing and the Biden administration’s
failure to face fundamental challenges, from the shameful withdrawal from
Afghanistan to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the overt Chinese threat,
have put the Democratic Party in a critical position.
Due to President Joe Biden’s embarrassingly low approval rating, liberal US
media outlets have not been shy to point out that, if he decided to run for a
second term, the White House would likely return to the Republicans.
A Newsweek report published on July 23 said that, despite the evidence and
testimony presented in the congressional hearings, Trump is still favored to
defeat Biden in a 2024 rematch if both politicians ultimately become their
respective party’s nominees. The million-dollar question is whether or not they
will be nominated.
Several names are circulating in both circles. Although it would be logical to
consider Vice President Kamala Harris as a possible candidate to run against
Biden in the Democratic primary, no political strategist would dare mention her
name due to her abysmal job performance.
Politicians like Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, California Gov. Gavin
Newsom, Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams and Sen. Amy Klobuchar
could be considered. Even Sen. Bernie Sanders, who lost the party’s nomination
to Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Biden in 2020, might try his luck again.
Last week, 78-year-old political activist Jerome Segal announced that he had
decided to pursue the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination for 2024,
focusing his campaign on job security and peace in the Middle East — two issues
the Biden administration has so far failed to deal with.
On the other side, Republicans seem to be hesitant when it comes to Trump, who
has been hinting that he will announce his presidential campaign after the
midterms.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis would be the perfect presidential candidate. He would
be hard to beat due to his job performance in his state. He is young, determined
and well supported by several high-ranking Republican politicians. In a recent
survey conducted by Suffolk University and USA Today, DeSantis surpassed Trump
in hypothetical presidential primary polling that combined first and second
choices among possible candidates.
Liberal US media outlets have not been shy to point out that, if Biden decided
to run for a second term, the White House would likely return to the
Republicans.
Former Vice President Mike Pence potentially has his eyes on a bid to lead his
party in 2024. He has been attending conservative events to endorse several
midterm Republican candidates. At a conference of students in Washington last
week, Pence distanced himself from his former boss by outlining his vision for
the conservative movement. “Now, some people may choose to focus on the past,
but elections are about the future. And I believe conservatives must focus on
the future to win back America,” Pence told his audience.
Other names have also surfaced as potential runners, like former UN Ambassador
Nikki Haley, Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
Regardless of all these names, the two sides’ goal remains finding the best
candidate to win the critical 2024 presidential race. The US has never been more
ready for change and, if it were up to the American people, they would vote for
a new president today.
*Dalia Al-Aqidi is a senior fellow at the Center for Security Policy. Twitter:
@DaliaAlAqidi
Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not
necessarily reflect Arab News' point of view