English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For April 04/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.april04.22.htm

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Bible Quotations For today
You will search for me, but you will not find me; and where I am, you cannot come
Saint John 07/32-36/:”The Pharisees heard the crowd muttering such things about Jesus, and the chief priests and Pharisees sent temple police to arrest him. Jesus then said, ‘I will be with you a little while longer, and then I am going to him who sent me. You will search for me, but you will not find me; and where I am, you cannot come.’ The Jews said to one another, ‘Where does this man intend to go that we will not find him? Does he intend to go to the Dispersion among the Greeks and teach the Greeks? What does he mean by saying, “You will search for me and you will not find me” and, “Where I am, you cannot come”?’

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on April 03-04/2022
Faith, Hope And Persistence Do Miracles/Healing miracle of the blind beggar/Elias Bejjani/April 03/2022
Lebanese Political Forces Fear Low Turnout in Upcoming Elections
Rochdi says U.N. making every effort to back Lebanon's education sector
Rahi presides over Mass service in Bkerki
Mufti urges Lebanese to vote as lists of Saniora, civil society announced
From Beirut to Baghdad: Lebanese flee crisis seeking jobs in Iraq
Australia PM denies having racially vilified Lebanese-origin rival in the past
Hamiyeh: The citizen is not a scapegoat

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on April 02-03/2022
Iran FM says agreement in Vienna nuclear talks ‘close’
US Administration Reluctant to Remove IRGC from Terror List
Missiles Hit Near Odesa in Ukraine as New Mariupol Evacuation Bid Planned
EU Accuses Russian Troops of Committing Atrocities in Ukrainian Town Bucha
Russia Says Peace Talks Not Ready for Leaders’ Meeting, Says Chief Negotiator
Ukraine says Russia 'verbally' agreed to its proposals
EU vows more sanctions as Russia accused of 'massacre' near Kyiv
Human Rights Watch Accuses Russian Forces of ‘Apparent War Crimes’ in Ukraine
Egypt, Cyprus Agree to Strengthen Military Cooperation
Canada/Minister Joly to travel to Finland, Germany and Belgium

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on April 02-03/2022
A Ukrainian Lesson to the Arabs?/Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/April, 03/2022
The Biden administration’s contradictory approach to Iran/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/April 03, 2022
Ukraine crisis contributes to strategic shift in Middle East/Dr. Diana Galeeva/Arab News/April 03, 2022
Consolidating fresh allegiances in Mideast reaches new summit/Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/April 03, 2022
Afghans continue to suffer as world is distracted/Luke Coffey/Arab News/April 03, 2022

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on April 03-04/2022
Faith, Hope And Persistence Do Miracles/Healing miracle of the blind beggar

Elias Bejjani/April 03/2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/73575/elias-bejjani-faith-and-persistence-do-miracles/
John 09:39: “I came into this world for judgment, that those who don’t see may see; and that those who see may become blind.”
On the sixth Lenten Sunday, our Maronite Catholic Church cites and recalls with great piety Jesus’ healing miracle of the blind beggar, the son of Timaeus, Bartimaeus. This amazing miracle that took place in Jericho near the Pool of Siloam is documented in three gospels:Mark 10/46-52. John 9/1-41 Matthew 20/:29-34.
Maronites in Lebanon and all over the world strongly believe that Jesus is the holy and blessed light through which believers can see God’s paths of righteousness. There is no doubt that without Jesus’ light, evil darkness will prevail in peoples’ hearts, souls and minds. Without Jesus’ presence in our lives we definitely will become preys to all kinds of evil temptations.John 09:5: “While I am in the world, I am the light of the world”.In every community, there are individuals from all walks of life who are spiritually blind, lacking faith, have no hope, and live in dim darkness because they have distanced themselves from Almighty God and from His Gospel, although their eyes are physically perfectly functional and healthy.
Meanwhile the actual blindness is not in the eyes that can not see because of physical ailments, but in the hearts that are hardened, in the consciences that are numbed and in the spirits that are defiled with sin. John’s Gospel gives important details about what has happened with Bartimaeus after the healing miracle of his blindness. As we read in the below enclosed Biblical verses that after his healing Bartimaeus and his parents were exposed to intimidation, fear, threats, and terror. But he refused to succumb or to lie.He held verbatim to all the course details of the miracle, bravely witnessed for the truth and loudly proclaimed his strong belief that Jesus who cured him was The Son Of God.His faith made him strong, fearless and courageous. The Holy Spirit came to his rescue and spoke through him.Romans 8:26: “In the same way, the Spirit helps us in our weakness. We do not know what we ought to pray for, but the Spirit himself intercedes for us through wordless groans”Sadly our contemporary world hails atheism, brags about secularism and persecutes those who have faith in God and believe in Him.Where ever we live, there are opportunists and hypocrites like some of the conceited crowd members that initially rebuked Bartimaeus, and tried with humiliation to keep him away from Jesus, but the moment Jesus called on him they changed their attitude and let him go through.Meanwhile, at the present time, Christian believers do suffer dire persecution in many countries on the hands of ruthless oppressors, Jihadists and rulers who refuse to witness for the truth.But despite of all the dim spiritual darkness, thanks God, there are still too many meek believers like Bartimaeus who hold to their faith no matters what the obstacles or hurdles are.Lord, enlighten our minds and hearts with your light and open our eyes to realize that You are a loving and merciful father.
Lord Help us to take Bartimaeus as a faith role model in our life.
Lord help us to defeat all kinds of sins that take us away from Your light, and deliver us all from evil temptations.

Lebanese Political Forces Fear Low Turnout in Upcoming Elections
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
Lebanon’s political forces fear a low turnout in the upcoming parliamentary elections on May 15, as recent opinion polls published by statistics centers have pointed to a lack of public enthusiasm over the elections. The situation has prompted the country’s politicians to urge the voters to participate massively in order to achieve the required change. Religious clerics, including Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai, Grand Mufti Sheikh Abdel Latif Derian, and other prominent figures, have been repeatedly calling for a wide participation in the elections, as a first step towards addressing the deteriorating economic and social crises. In this regard, Lebanese Forces MP Pierre Bou Assi, said he hoped that the voter turnout in Baabda constituency would reach one hundred percent, stressing that boycotting the polls was “the worst option under these circumstances.” In turn, member of the Democratic Gathering bloc, MP Wael Abu Faour, said that the Progressive Socialist Party (PSP) was facing a major electoral battle. “We are confident that the people of Rashaya and the Western Bekaa have understood this challenge,” he stated. A member of the Liberation and Development bloc, MP Ali Khreis, called for “a massive turnout in the elections,” which he said must constitute a referendum “to prove commitment to the principles of the Amal Movement.”Meanwhile, a delegation of observers and experts from the European Union met on Saturday with the Electoral Supervision Body, to discuss preparations for the elections, in line with a joint agreement between Lebanon and the EU. Headed by Deputy Chief Observer Jaroslaw Domansky, the delegation held talks with the Supervisory Commission for Elections, led by Judge Nadim Abdel-Malik, to review the role entrusted to the EU delegation. The turnout in the 2018 elections reached 49.2 percent across the country, with the highest percentage registered in the districts of Jbeil-Kesrouan and northern Bekaa, while the lowest was recorded in Beirut’s first constituency and Tripoli.

Rochdi says U.N. making every effort to back Lebanon's education sector
Naharnet/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
“For the future of Lebanon and its children, it is critical that the Lebanese Government and all stakeholders work together to rebuild the education system,” U.N. Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator for Lebanon Najat Rochdi has said. “With the vital support of international partners, U.N. agencies in Lebanon have been providing significant support to the entire Education sector. We are aware of the difficult situation that teachers are facing and are supporting the Ministry of Education and Higher Education to improve the conditions in schools for both teachers and children,” Rochdi said in a statement. She added: “We acknowledge the dedication and commitment of teachers to their students. The economic situation and the financial external environment are extremely challenging, and along with UNICEF, we have been advocating for the best interest of the teachers and the children.”Rochdi also noted that every day, U.N. agencies are “working closely with the Ministry of Education and Higher education and partners to ensure that the contracted teachers’ entitlements are fully paid.” “However, we are still waiting for the documents and data to be provided to UNICEF from the Ministry in order to pay the second shift teachers for hours completed so far in School Year 21/22. As such, U.N. agencies and International Community do not have any responsibility in the delay,” the U.N. coordinator pointed out. She added that it is critically important that the education of children “is not jeopardized, and that we keep schools open.”“Together with UNICEF and through generous funding from the European Union and Germany, we are supporting the enrolment of 336,000 Lebanese and approximately 198,000 Non-Lebanese children in the formal public school system. “During the 21/22 scholastic year and to support the safe school reopening, UNICEF together with donor partners has provided School Fund top-ups for every school, health and hygiene supplies, fuel, books and stationery benefitting all children in public formal education, no matter who they are, or what their nationality,” Rochdi went on to say. She added that the concerned U.N. agencies and the international community are “committed to providing the support, so that every vulnerable child living in Lebanon has access to quality education.”

Rahi presides over Mass service in Bkerki
NNA /Sunday, 3 April, 2022
"I ask the government to embrace doctors we are losing. If we lose our universities, doctors, and banks, what will remain of Lebanon, the Arab League, Arab Bank, and Arab Hospital?", Maronite Patriarch Mar Bechara Boutros Rahi said. Rahi, who presided over Sunday mass sermon in Bkerki, considered the elections an opportunity for people to change their reality for the better. "Successful parliamentary elections are a guarantee of successful presidential elections, and thus a president will come who is able to get the country out of its crisis."
Commenting on the issue of capital control, he considered that the law should have been passed in 2019

Mufti urges Lebanese to vote as lists of Saniora, civil society announced
Naharnet/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
Grand Mufti Sheikh Abdul Latif Daryan, the country’s top Sunni Muslim religious authority, has called on the Lebanese to turn out heavily in the May 15 parliamentary elections, despite a declared boycott by al-Mustaqbal Movement, Lebanon’s biggest Sunni political party. “There is a remaining peaceful path and the Lebanese must take it without hesitation. All Lebanese must head to polling stations,” Daryan said in his annual Ramadan message. “A lot of old and new candidates possess dynamism, uprightness and a will to change,” the mufti added. “They want us to remain silent, stay in our homes or emigrate, but we don’t want to do this or that. The era of submission and fear is over. The promise of revolution against tyrants, oppressors and corrupts has kicked off,” Daryan declared. “Let us go to elections together in order to produce alternatives together,” he urged. An electoral list that will compete in Beirut’s second district and is backed by ex-PM Fouad Saniora was meanwhile announced on Friday. The list, named ‘Beirut Confronts’, is led by ex-minister Khaled Qabbani and comprised of Bashir Itani, Majed Dimashqiyeh, Zeina al-Masri, Lina Tannir, Abdul Rahman al-Mubashirr, Ahmed Ayyash, Faisal al-Sayegh, Michel Falah and George Haddad. The list was announced at a rally at the Riviera Hotel in the presence of Saniora and representatives of Beiruti families. The civil society groups that took part in the Oct. 17, 2019 popular uprising meanwhile managed to agree on a unified list for Beirut’s second electoral district. The list comprises Ibrahim Mneimneh (Sunni, Beirut Tuqawem), Hasan Sinno (Sunni, Lana), Waddah al-Sadeq (Sunni, Ana Khatt Ahmar), Sara Yassine (Sunni, Madinati), Iman Tabbara (Sunni, National Bloc), Rushdi Qabbani (Sunni, Thuwwar Beirut), Ali Abbas (Shiite, Popular Observatory for Combating Corruption), Mahmoud Fakih (Shiite, Watani Alliance) and former Beirut Bar Association chief Melhem Khalaf (Greek Orthodox, independent). The two lists will mainly compete against four other lists backed respectively by the Shiite Duo, MP Fouad Makhzoumi, the Association of Islamic Charitable Projects and Nabil Badr, who is the chairman of the Al Ansar Football Club.

From Beirut to Baghdad: Lebanese flee crisis seeking jobs in Iraq
Agence France Presse/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
Iraq, once synonymous with conflict and chaos, is becoming a land of opportunity for Lebanese job-seekers fleeing a deep economic crisis back home. Akram Johari is one of thousands who fled Lebanon's tumbling currency and skyrocketing poverty rates. Last year, he packed his bags and boarded a plane from Beirut to Baghdad, using social media to search for opportunities. "I didn't have enough time to look for a job in the Gulf," the 42-year-old said, explaining why he eschewed the more traditional path for those seeking economic opportunities in the region. With its relative proximity and visas on arrival for Lebanese, the Iraqi capital seemed a good option. "I had to take quick action, and so I came to Baghdad and began searching for work on Instagram," Johari said, speaking in a restaurant he has run for about a month. Lebanon is grappling with an unprecedented financial crisis that the World Bank says is of a scale usually associated with war. Beirut's crisis, driven by years of endemic corruption, has seen Lebanon's currency lose more than 90 percent of its value against the dollar. Lebanon's 675,000-pound monthly minimum wage now fetches around $30 on the black market, and about 80 percent of the population now lives in poverty, according to the U.N. When he left Beirut, Johari was earning the equivalent of about $100 per month. In Iraq, he earns enough to support his family back home, he said.
Thousands flock to Iraq
More than 20,000 Lebanese citizens arrived in Iraq between June 2021 and February 2022, excluding pilgrims visiting the Shiite holy cities of Najaf and Karbala, according to the Iraqi authorities. Lebanon's ambassador in Baghdad, Ali Habhab, said that movement from Lebanon to Iraq "has recently multiplied." There are more than 900 Lebanese businesses now operating in Iraq, the majority of them in the restaurant trade, tourism and health, Habhab said. In particular, there have been "dozens of Lebanese doctors who offer their services" in Iraqi hospitals, he said. Iraq's decades of conflict -- from the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s, to the U.S.-led invasion of 2003 and subsequent sectarian conflict, and on to the rise of the Islamic State group in 2014 -- means that Baghdad might appear to be an unlikely magnet for those seeking to build a new life. But since the country declared victory over IS in 2017, Iraq has slowly begun to recover its stability. Today, streets in Baghdad that once witnessed atrocities are buzzing with shops lining main thoroughfares and cafes open late into the night. According to Iraqi economic expert Ali al-Rawi, many Lebanese companies came to Iraq because they "know the investment environment well," while many foreign companies from other countries "fear investing" because of its violent past. "There is a lot of space for Lebanese enterprises in the Iraqi economy," he said. But Iraqis themselves have seen their fair share of economic hardship. In a country where 90 percent of revenues come from oil sales, roughly a third of the population lives in poverty, according to the World Bank. In 2019, nationwide protests erupted across Iraq, driven by anger over rampant corruption, the absence of basic services and unemployment -- similar factors behind protests in Lebanon that erupted around the same time.
- Lebanese firms flourish -
Lebanon was once a prime destination for medical tourism, as Iraqis flocked to better equipped medical centers in Beirut and other cities. But, as with other sectors, Lebanon's economic crisis has hit healthcare. The Beirut Eye & ENT Specialist Hospital was once popular with Iraqi patients, but an official at the hospital, Michael Cherfan, said that "many doctors had left Lebanon." The hospital responded to the crisis in the way many Lebanese have -- by opening a branch in Baghdad, sparing Iraqis the trip to Beirut. "Our doctors come on a rotating basis," Cherfan said. "Every week, one or two doctors come and do consultations and surgeries, earn some money and then return to Lebanon, which helps offset some of their losses." For Johari, while the money he earns in Iraq supports his family, it comes with a bitter taste. He flies home once a month, but he misses his family. "It saddens me a lot that I can't watch my two-month-old daughter grow up," he said.


Australia PM denies having racially vilified Lebanese-origin rival in the past
Agence France Presse/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison on Sunday rejected claims he launched his political career by vilifying a rival over his Lebanese heritage and stoking rumors he was Muslim. Two members of Morrison's party signed legal declarations stating he told them back in 2007 that his competitor in a local election, Michael Towke, was too risky for the Liberals to back as their candidate. This was due to his ethnic background, the pair claimed, and "a strong rumor" the Lebanese Christian was actually Muslim, according to reports in The Saturday Paper. "I could not reject this more fundamentally," Morrison told reporters Sunday, adding that close to an election people "make all sorts of things up, because they have other motivations."Morrison is expected to call an election within days, seeking to capitalize on a recent budget stocked with sweeteners, but he had little chance to sell it before the scandal erupted. The allegations date from early in his political career, when he was battling to become a candidate for the Sydney seat of Cook, where in 2005 white and Lebanese Australians brawled on a beach during the racially-charged Cronulla riots. Towke told newspapers on Sunday that among tactics used to unseat him from Cook in 2007, "racial vilification was front and center and (Morrison) was directly involved." The 15-year-old claims surfaced after Morrison's Liberal party colleague Concetta Fierravanti-Wells alluded to them on Tuesday during an extraordinary attack on the prime minister in parliament. "In my public life, I have met ruthless people. Morrison tops the list," she said, adding that he "is not fit to be prime minister."The lashing by a member of his own party piled further pressure on Morrison, who must close a 10-point gap between his conservative government and the Labor opposition to hold on to power in the election, which is due by mid-May.

Hamiyeh: The citizen is not a scapegoat
NNA/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
"The citizen is not a scapegoat and it is not from their pockets that we want to cover the budget deficit. For this, we are working to activate the state's public facilities through which we can earn money," tweeted Minister of Public Works and Transportation, Ali Hamiyeh, this morning. "The optimal investment of public state property provides the treasury with abundant money," the minister went on, adding that taxes must be levied on the able, not on the exhausted.


The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on April 03-04/2022
Iran FM says agreement in Vienna nuclear talks ‘close’
AFP, Tehran / 03 April ,2022
Iran’s Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said Sunday an agreement is “close” in paused negotiations to restore the 2015 nuclear deal between Tehran and world powers. Iran has been engaged in negotiations to revive the deal, known formally as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), with France, Germany, Britain, Russia and China directly, and the United States indirectly. “We are close to an agreement in the negotiations,” Amir-Abdollahian said during a phone conversation with UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, according to a statement by the ministry. Iranian and US delegations in Vienna do not communicate directly, but messages are passed through other participants and the European Union, the talks’ coordinator. “We have passed on our proposals on the remaining issues to the American side through the EU senior negotiator, and now the ball is in US court,” Iran’s top diplomat added.
According to the Iranian statement, Guterres stressed the importance of the Vienna talks and expressed hope that the parties would reach an agreement as soon as possible. Nearly a year of negotiations brought the parties close to renewing the landmark 2015 accord. But the talks were halted last month, after Russia demanded guarantees that Western sanctions imposed following its invasion of Ukraine would not damage its trade with Iran. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov later said Moscow had received the necessary guarantees from Washington on trade with Iran. The JCPOA gave Iran sanctions relief in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program to guarantee that Tehran could not develop a nuclear weapon -- something it has always denied wanting to do. But the US unilateral withdrawal from the accord in 2018 under then-president Donald Trump and the reimposition of biting economic sanctions prompted Iran to begin rolling back on its own commitments. The Vienna talks aim to return the US to the nuclear deal, including through the lifting of sanctions on Iran, and to ensure Tehran’s full compliance with its commitments. Among the key sticking points is Tehran's demand to remove from the US terror list the Revolutionary Guards, the ideological arm of Iran’s military. Washington recently confirmed sanctions on the Guards would stay.


US Administration Reluctant to Remove IRGC from Terror List
Elie Youssef - Washington/Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
The region covered by the US Central Command “is where we protect waterways so that global commerce can flow,” said US Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin, in remarks during a change of command ceremony at CENTCOM. “It is where we fight terrorists who threaten our citizens. And it is where we work with our partners to confront instability from Iran and its proxies,” he added. He continued: “And so CENTCOM is central to our security. It is central to our readiness. And it is central to our mission.” In his speech, Austin focused on the partnerships that CENTCOM holds in the region, especially after Israel’s realignment. On Iran’s destabilizing role in the region, he said: “Iran has been expanding its nuclear program and investing in military capabilities, especially ballistic missiles. It has cultivated dangerous proxies. And it’s using unmanned aerial systems to threaten us and our partners.”He pointed to political difficulties faced by the administration of US President Joe Biden in “marketing” a return to a nuclear agreement with Iran, in light of its rejection to discuss its ballistic missile program and its regional policies.
“The President has been clear: the United States is committed to preventing Iran from gaining a nuclear weapon. And we’re still committed to a diplomatic outcome on the nuclear issue. But regardless of the outcome of the nuclear talks, we’ll keep working closely together with our many partners to confront the threats from Iran,” Austin stated. He continued: “In the short term, we’ll increase intelligence sharing and bolster regional air defense. And in the longer term, we’ll work together to tackle Iran’s use of missiles and its proliferation of unmanned aerial systems. And we’ll keep standing strong with our partners to hold Iran and its proxies accountable.”US Army Gen. Michael “Erik” Kurilla assumed the command of CENTCOM from his successor, Gen. Kenneth F. McKenzie. In comments during the ceremony, Kurilla said: “The regions that comprise CENTCOM: the Levant, the Middle East, South and Central Asia, are home to some of the most important and extraordinary scientific, artistic and social contributions to human history… Yet, they are home to violence, instability and conflict. There are areas of great suffering, abuse and human misery.”
He added that the central leadership must be involved in ensuring that global trade continues in the region, and must guarantee that threats there do not develop the ability to harm the American homeland. Meanwhile, a US official said that negotiations between the US and Iran were now suspended, because nothing at this stage was acceptable to both parties. “At this point, nothing mutually acceptable” has been proposed, according to a US official quoted by the Washington Post. He explained that Tehran’s demand that the United States lift its designation of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps as a foreign terrorist organization, and US refusal to do that, have brought the negotiations over reviving the Iran nuclear deal to a halt. The official said the decision rests with Biden. “The president hasn’t made a decision,” the official said. “Politically, we know that it’s an extremely difficult step to take.”


Missiles Hit Near Odesa in Ukraine as New Mariupol Evacuation Bid Planned
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
Missiles struck near Ukraine's southern port of Odesa on Sunday with Russia saying it had destroyed an oil refinery used by the Ukrainian military, while attempts to evacuate people from the devastated city of Mariupol were due to continue.
There was little sign of a breakthrough in efforts to negotiate an end to the five-week war, although Russia's chief negotiator said talks were due to resume on Monday. In Odesa, the city council said "critical infrastructure facilities" were hit by missiles. No casualties were reported. Russia's defense ministry said strikes by its military destroyed an oil refinery and three fuel storage facilities near Odesa. It said the facilities were used to supply Ukrainian troops near the city of Mykolaiv. Odesa, on the Black Sea, is the main base for Ukraine's navy. It has been targeted by Russian forces seeking a land corridor to Transdniestria, a Russian-speaking breakaway province of Moldova which hosts Russian troops. "Smoke is visible in some areas of the city. All relevant systems and structures are working ... No casualties reported," Vladyslav Nazarov, an officer of Ukraine's South Operational Command, said on Telegram. Dmytro Lunin, governor of the central Poltava region, said the Kremenchug oil refinery, 350 kilometers (220 miles) northeast of Odesa, had been destroyed in a separate rocket attack on Saturday. Evacuation efforts in Mariupol and nearby Berdyansk, both also on Ukraine's southern shores, were due to continue with a convoy of buses being prepared for the operation with help from the Red Cross. "Seven buses will try to get closer to Mariupol, accompanied by the International Committee of the Red Cross," Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk said in an online video posting. The ICRC abandoned earlier attempts due to security concerns. Russia blamed the ICRC for the delays. Mariupol is Russia's main target in Ukraine's southeastern region of Donbas, and tens of thousands of civilians there are trapped with scant access to food and water.
Peace talks
Russia's chief negotiator, Vladimir Medinsky, said a draft deal was not ready for any meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. On Saturday, Ukrainian negotiator David Arakhamia raised hope for negotiations with Russia, saying enough progress had been made for direct talks between the two. Medinsky said that while Ukraine was showing more realism by agreeing to be neutral, renouncing nuclear weapons, not joining a military bloc and refusing to host military bases, there had been no progress on other key Russia demands. "I repeat again and again: Russia's position on Crimea and Donbas remains UNCHANGED," he said on Telegram, adding talks via video-conference would continue on Monday. Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine in 2014 and has recognized declarations of independence by the self-proclaimed republics of Luhansk and Donetsk in the Donbas area of eastern Ukraine which rose up against Kyiv's rule.
Bucha Destruction
Ukraine said on Saturday its forces had retaken all areas around Kyiv, claiming complete control of the capital region for the first time since Russia launched its invasion on Feb 24. Russia has pulled back forces that had threatened Kyiv from the north to regroup for battles in eastern Ukraine. There was no Russian comment on the claim that the Kyiv region was entirely in Ukrainian hands, which Reuters could not immediately verify. The mayor of Bucha, a liberated town 37 km (23 miles) northwest of the capital, said 300 residents had been killed during a month-long occupation by the Russian army, and victims were seen in a mass grave and still lying on the streets. "The bastards!" Vasily, a 66-year-old man said, weeping with rage as he looked at more than a dozen bodies in the road outside his house. "I'm sorry. The tank behind me was shooting. Dogs!"The Kremlin and the Russian defense ministry in Moscow did not immediately reply to requests for comment when asked on Saturday about the bodies found in Bucha. Moscow denies targeting civilians and rejects war crimes allegations. Among those killed near Kyiv was Maksim Levin, a Ukrainian photographer and videographer who was working for a news website and was a long-time contributor to Reuters. British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss said she was appalled by atrocities in Bucha and voiced support for the International Criminal Court's inquiry into potential war crimes. Ukraine's emergencies service said more than 1,500 explosives had been found in one day during a search of the village of Dmytrivka, west of the capital.
Zelenskiy warned in a video address: "They are mining all this territory. Houses are mined, equipment is mined, even the bodies of dead people." He did not cite evidence. Russia's defense ministry did not reply to a request for comment on the allegations about mines. Reuters could not independently verify them.
Since the launch of what Putin called a "special military operation" to demilitarize and "denazify" Ukraine, Russia has failed to capture a single major city and has instead laid siege to urban areas, uprooting a quarter of the country's population.
British military intelligence said Russian naval forces were maintaining a blockade along the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, but the option of amphibious landings were becoming increasingly high-risk for Russia. It said reported mines, the origin of which remained unclear and disputed, posed a serious risk to shipping in the Black Sea.

EU Accuses Russian Troops of Committing Atrocities in Ukrainian Town Bucha
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
The European Union on Sunday accused Russian troops of committing atrocities in the Kyiv region after the mayor of the town of Bucha said 300 residents had been killed during a month-long occupation by Russian forces. "Shocked by news of atrocities committed by Russian forces. EU assists Ukraine in documenting war crimes," EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said on Twitter, adding all cases needed to be pursued by the International Court of Justice. Ukraine said on Saturday its forces had retaken all areas around Kyiv, claiming complete control of the capital region for the first time since Russia launched its invasion on Feb 24. The mayor of Bucha, a liberated town 37 km (23 miles) northwest of the capital, said 300 residents had been killed by the Russian army. "Shocked by haunting images of atrocities committed by Russian army in Kyiv liberated region," the president of the EU Council grouping the bloc's member states, Charles Michel, commented on Twitter. Russia has previously denied targeting civilians and rejected allegations of war crimes in what it calls a "special military operation" in Ukraine. The Russian defense ministry in Moscow did not immediately reply to a request for comment when asked on Sunday about bodies found in Bucha. Michel said the EU was assisting Ukraine and non-governmental organizations in gathering the necessary evidence for the prosecution of crimes in international courts. "Further EU sanctions and support are on their way," he added.

Russia Says Peace Talks Not Ready for Leaders’ Meeting, Says Chief Negotiator

Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
Russia said on Sunday that peace talks with Ukraine had not progressed enough for a leaders' meeting and that Moscow's position on the status of Crimea and Donbas remained unchanged. "The draft agreement is not ready for submission to a meeting at the top," Russian chief negotiator Vladimir Medinsky said on Telegram. "I repeat again and again: Russia's position on Crimea and Donbas remains UNCHANGED."The two sides have held periodic talks since Russia launched its invasion on Feb. 24 but there has been no breakthrough and they remain far apart on the question of territory. Medinsky said that Ukraine had started to show a more realistic approach to peace talks. He said Ukraine had agreed it would be neutral, not have nuclear weapons, not join a military bloc and refuse to host military bases. But on the questions of Crimea, which Russia annexed from Ukraine in 2014, and two Russian-backed rebel regions in the eastern Donbas that President Vladimir Putin recognized as independent in February, Medinsky indicated there had been no progress. Medinsky said he did not share the optimism of Ukrainian negotiator David Arakhamia, who told Ukrainian television on Saturday that the draft deal was advanced enough to allow consultations between Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. "Unfortunately, I don't share Arakhamia's optimism," Medinsky said. "Moreover, Ukrainian diplomatic and military experts lag far behind on confirming even those agreements which were already reached at the political level on the draft text."Talks via video-conference would continue on Monday, he said. Putin has said the "special military operation" in Ukraine is necessary because the United States was using Ukraine to threaten Russia and Moscow had to defend against the persecution of Russian-speaking people by Ukraine.
Ukraine has dismissed Putin's claims of persecution and saysit is fighting an unprovoked war of aggression.

Ukraine says Russia 'verbally' agreed to its proposals
Agence France Presse/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
Ukraine's top negotiator in peace talks with Russia has said that Moscow has "verbally" agreed to key Ukrainian proposals, raising hopes that talks to end fighting are moving forward. Negotiator David Arakhamia told Ukrainian television channels that any meeting between Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin would "with a high probability" take place in Turkey. "The Russian Federation has given an official answer to all positions, which is that they accept the (Ukrainian) position, except for the issue of Crimea (annexed by Russia in 2014)," Arakhamia said. He said that while there was "no official confirmation in writing," the Russian side said so "verbally." The comments came as Ukraine said it had retaken control of the whole Kyiv region. Arakhamia said Moscow had agreed in talks that a referendum on the neutral status of Ukraine "will be the only way out of this situation."Asked what would happen if Ukrainians voted against a neutral status for the country, Arakhamia said "we will either return to a state of war, perhaps, or return to new negotiations." The Kremlin has insisted that Ukraine adopt a neutral status. Arakhamia said Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan "called both us and Vladimir Putin" Friday, saying he would host the meeting. "Neither the date nor the place is known, but we believe that the place will most likely be Ankara or Istanbul," he said. Turkey, which has good relations with both Russia and Ukraine, has sought to mediate the conflict. Since Putin launched his invasion of Ukraine, Zelensky has repeatedly called for face-to-face talks with the Kremlin chief.


EU vows more sanctions as Russia accused of 'massacre' near Kyiv
Agence France Presse/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
EU chief Charles Michel on Sunday condemned "atrocities" and pledged more sanctions on Moscow, as Ukraine accused Russia's forces of killing civilians near Kyiv in a "deliberate massacre.""Shocked by haunting images of atrocities committed by Russian army in Kyiv liberated region #BuchaMassacre," European Council head Michel wrote on Twitter. "EU is assisting Ukraine & NGO's in gathering of necessary evidence for pursuit in international courts."


Human Rights Watch Accuses Russian Forces of ‘Apparent War Crimes’ in Ukraine
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
A leading rights group said on Sunday it had documented what it described as "apparent war crimes" committed by Russian military forces against civilians in Ukraine. Human Rights Watch (HRW) issued a statement saying it had found "several cases of Russian military forces committing laws-of-war violations" in Russian-controlled regions such as Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv. The statement, published in Warsaw, came one day after dead civilians were found lying scattered through the streets of the Ukrainian country town of Bucha, three days after the Russian army pulled back after a month-long occupation of the area 30 km (20 miles) northwest of Kyiv. The Russian defense ministry in Moscow did not immediately reply to a request for comment when asked on Sunday about the bodies found in Bucha and the HRW statement. The Kremlin says its "special military operation" aims to degrade the Ukrainian armed forces and is targeting military installations and not carrying out strikes on civilians. Asked about separate war crime allegations on March 1, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told a conference call with reporters, "We categorically deny this". He dismissed allegations of Russian strikes on civilian targets and the use of cluster bombs and vacuum bombs as fakes. Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov said on March 21 that Russia's operation was being carried out by a professional and well-armed forces and denied Ukrainian claims that Russian forces had hit any civilian objects. The New York-based HRW referred to Bucha in its statement, for which it said it had interviewed 10 people, including witnesses, victims, and local residents, in person or by telephone and that some were to scared to give their full names. “The cases we documented amount to unspeakable, deliberate cruelty and violence against Ukrainian civilians,” said Hugh Williamson, HRW's Europe and Central Asia director. “Rape, murder, and other violent acts against people in the Russian forces’ custody should be investigated as war crimes.”These, it said, included a case of repeated rape; two cases of summary execution - one of six men - and other cases of unlawful violence and threats against civilians between Feb. 27 and March 14, 2022. "Soldiers were also implicated in looting civilian property, including food, clothing, and firewood. Those who carried out these abuses are responsible for war crimes," the report said. Reuters was not immediately able to verify the HRW evidence. Reuters journalists visited Bucha on Saturday, after being given access by Ukrainian forces who recaptured the area, and saw bodies wearing no military uniforms scattered in the streets. HRW said on March 4 Russian forces in Bucha, "rounded up five men and summarily executed one of them." Northeast of Kyiv in the Chernihiv region, the report said, Russian forces in Staryi Bykiv rounded up at least six men on Feb. 27, later executing them. It cited the mother of one of the men, who said she was nearby when her son was captured and who later saw the bodies of all six men. HRW said all parties to the armed conflict in Ukraine were obligated to abide by international law and the laws of war. “Russia has an international legal obligation to impartially investigate alleged war crimes by its soldiers,” Williamson said.

Egypt, Cyprus Agree to Strengthen Military Cooperation
Cairo - Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 3 April, 2022
Lieutenant-General Osama Askar, Chief of Staff of the Egyptian Armed Forces, concluded on Saturday an official visit to Cyprus, where he discussed the means to consolidate military cooperation. The military spokesman for the Egyptian Armed Forces said that Askar met Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades in the presence of the Cypriot Minister of Defense, the Commander of the Cyprus National Guard, and a number of officials and senior leaders of the armed forces. In a statement, the spokesman said that the Cypriot president praised the relations with Egypt and the convergence of views between the two countries, especially with regard to the development of bilateral military cooperation. Anastasiades praised Egypt's influential and effective role, which he said aims to achieve security and stability in the Middle East and the region. The Egyptian military spokesman said that Askar met with Charalambos Petrides, Minister of Defense of Cyprus. He stressed to him “the need to continue coordination between Egypt and Cyprus to achieve more cooperation in the defense and security fields, joint exercises, and exchange of experiences between the two countries’ armed forces.”Petrides, for his part, pointed to the “importance of coordination and joint action to face challenges, in order to achieve stability in the region.”The visit saw a session of talks between the Egyptian and Cypriot delegations, which touched on a number of issues of common interest.

Canada/Minister Joly to travel to Finland, Germany and Belgium
April 2, 2022 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today announced that she will be travelling to Finland, Germany and Belgium to coordinate with Canada’s partners on responses to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s unjustifiable invasion of Ukraine. Canada is unwavering in our support of Ukraine and its people. We will continue to work together with our partners and Allies to impose severe costs on those responsible for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, seek accountability for their illegal actions, and support Ukrainians fleeing to safety and those who remain in Ukraine.
In Helsinki, Finland, Minister Joly will meet with her Finnish counterpart, Minister Pekka Haavisto. As Transatlantic and Arctic partners, the Ministers will work to strengthen the Canada-Finland bilateral relationship and discuss ways to coordinate efforts on Arctic issues, support Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression and combat disinformation.
In Berlin, Germany, Minister Joly will attend the conference of the Moldova Support Platform, where she will exchange perspectives with partners on how to effectively support Moldova, counter Russian disinformation, and assist refugees forced out of Ukraine as a result of President Putin’s illegal war.
Finally, in Brussels, Belgium, Minister Joly will attend G7 and NATO foreign ministers’ meetings, where she will discuss continued coordination to enhance regional security in Eastern Europe.
Quotes
“The war in Ukraine affects us all, and we must work together with the international community to respond to Vladimir Putin’s egregious acts. In partnership with our allies, we will continue to hold the Russian regime to account, provide humanitarian assistance where it is needed and reiterate our strong support for Ukraine and its people. Ukraine’s security isn’t just important for Ukraine, but for the world.
Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs
Quick facts
Since Russia’s illegal occupation and attempted annexation of Crimea in 2014, Canada has sanctioned more than 1,000 individuals and entities, with many of those sanctions undertaken in coordination with allies and partners. Canada’s sanctions will impose asset freezes and prohibitions on listed persons.
Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Canada has sanctioned over 700 individuals and entities from Russia, Ukraine and Belarus.
Canada was a founding member of NATO in 1949. With its contributions to NATO since then, Canada’s has demonstrated an unwavering commitment to the Alliance and to strengthening Allied capacity to respond to evolving security challenges.
On March 8, 2022, Canada announced it will renew of its multi-year commitment to Operation REASSURANCE, the Canadian Armed Forces support to NATO’s assurance and deterrence measures in Central and Eastern Europe, in response to the changing security situation on the alliance’s eastern flank.
Canada has up to 3,400 troops pledged to the NATO Response Force who can be deployed if directly requested by the alliance. This is a mix of army, air force and naval capabilities.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on April 03-04/2022
A Ukrainian Lesson to the Arabs?

Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/April, 03/2022
Many traits have been attributed to Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky, with views on the man ranging between extremely positive, deep appreciation to deeply negative, sharp condemnation. One thing, however, is beyond doubt. He has put and continues to put exceptional effort into winning the world’s hearts and minds and influencing the governments that could play a role in shaping the course of the ongoing war in Ukraine.
To this end, we have seen him, on an almost daily basis, appeal to the governments and peoples of the countries that are assumed to have the ability to make a difference. Through their parliaments, he addressed each of them individually, as both states and peoples, emphasizing what they share, referencing each countries’ particular experiences and positions, and citing excerpts from their leaders’ speeches as he tries to convince them that giving up on his country undermines their interests and contradicts the values they claim to hold. From the US to Sweden, from Australia to Canada and from France to Israel… He turned his attention to each of them individually, tailoring his message to their sensitivities and particularities.
Other politicians, intellectuals, writers, and artists from his country did the same, writing for global newspapers or speaking to international broadcasters to make the case for supporting their country. They didn’t seem “servile” or “undignified” as they told their audience that it is their duty, and in their interest, to side with Ukraine. Like their president, they have criticized their audience, but from within the prism they share, blaming them for what the Ukrainians consider to be a failure on the part of these countries to fulfill their duties, or their supposed duties.
Regardless of the degree to which Ukrainian appeals hit the mark or extent of Ukrainian themselves believe them, these appeals have emphasized shared ethical and humanist values, like rejecting oppression, fighting on the side of justice, and condemning aggression, especially when the big prey on the small and the strong on the weak.
In the Arab world, we have never doubted the impact that some countries around the world have on the conflicts that concern us, especially the Palestinian problem. Arabs never doubted in particular the significance of US influence, and to a lesser degree that of Western Europe.
The October 1973 war, through which the late Egyptian President Anwar Sadat hoped would push the “United States to pay attention to the region” is one example. Many see the fight of the late Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat as a means to obtain the recognition of the US and other influential states. Even the stupid idea of hijacking planes was, according to its authors, aimed at “bringing our cause to the world’s attention.” The popular theory among Arabs of "Western double standards" was, and still is, a testimony to this acknowledgment in the grievance it expresses. Those who are fond of poetic citations kept reminding us of the poet Al-Mutanabbi's description of his prince Sayf al-Dawla as both a rival and arbiter at the same time. By that Hamadani prince, Arabs meant exclusively the West.
At any rate, this recognition was not complemented by continuous, meticulously prepared appeals to those assumed to carry influence. Except perhaps in the narrow diplomatic circles, similarities in culture, values, or experience, and shared interests were not emphasized. Even within these narrow diplomatic circles, only leaders and politicians have been addressed, while those shaping public opinion and civil society, in all its levels, have been ignored.
Moreover, there has always been a problem related to the language: for example, some of the critics of the Camp David negotiations between Sadat and the then Israeli prime minister Menachem Begin noted the former’s inability to speak in political terms: During moments of accord, Sadat would address Begin “like a brother,” and during moments of disaccord, he would threaten resumption of war. There was a discourse for fraternity and another for war, with nothing else but a void.
There is also a history of addressing, which we have not yet critiqued in any sense, arguing that “imperialism and Zionism” are one and the same, meaning that the West that we want to see intervene on our side and stop applying “double standards” is in the same category as the enemy we are fighting. Acting on this logic, those who hijacked planes chose to capture the West’s attention by kidnapping its civilian passengers! We thus, in the best of cases, relieved the West of having to worry about whether or not to intervene in our favor after having expanded the front of our enemies. In the worst of cases, we were feeding the West’s inclination to intervene in Israel’s favor.
Some have called upon the West to interfere to stop butchery in Syria or Libya throughout the past decade. Nonetheless, they followed up on this demand very timidly and inconsistently, with past experiences and fears of being accused of treason weighing heavily. Today, some might say: there is no point. Ukraine is European, and we are not. Westerners listen to Ukraine and don’t listen to us. In all likelihood, there is some truth to this argument because of the differing sentiments, interests, and degrees of being influenced by events. Nevertheless, this is all the more reason to put more effort into being heard and appeal to those capable of making an impact without necessarily agreeing with them on much else.
Of course, doing so demands overcoming several obstacles:
We have a deep sense of belonging to the periphery of the world that feeds on the conflicts of the past helping to undermine any universal awareness from emerging. We also have a conception of politics that limits it to what happens between a ruler and another, and very little discourse filling the gap between fraternity and war, and of course there is this imperial notion about ourselves that makes us believe that asking for help is begging, and the dignified don’t beg.
Overall, these forms of consciousnesses reinforce each other, and they do nothing for the defeated except deepening their defeat.

The Biden administration’s contradictory approach to Iran
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/April 03, 2022
In order for the US to effectively confront the Iranian regime’s destabilizing behavior and military adventurism in the Middle East, a coherent, robust and informed policy, which is devoid of contradictions, ought to be enacted.
The Biden administration’s move last week to impose new sanctions on Iran’s ballistic missile program is a step in the right direction. In response to Iran’s missile attack on Irbil last month, the Treasury Department announced new sanctions against the unit in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps that is in charge of the research and development of ballistic missiles, as well as against Iran’s Parchin Chemical Industries.
Iran’s ballistic missile program has long been a threat to the security of the region. Tehran’s missile capability is one of the most critical pillars of its national security policy. Apart from managing Iran’s nuclear program and supporting the regime’s proxies, the IRGC’s third important responsibility is its ballistic missile program. Tehran’s missiles can hit any country in the Middle East. The US Treasury statement also noted that: “The Iranian-enabled Houthi missile attack against a Saudi Aramco facility on March 25, as well as other missile attacks by Iranian proxies against Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are a reminder that Iran’s development and proliferation of ballistic missiles continues to pose a serious threat to international security.”
Not only has the Iranian regime been emboldened to the extent that it is violating the sovereignty of other states through its missile attacks, but the regime’s expanding program and frequent test-fires are also intended to create fear in the Middle East. This inevitably leads to further destabilization and militarization of the region. Instead of restraining their ballistic missile activities, the Iranian leaders are in fact proud of their advancements because they can project power and show their hard-line base, along with militia and terror groups, that the regime is a dominant power in the region.
For example, state-controlled Iranian newspaper Kayhan boasted in an article entitled “Gen. McKenzie: Iran’s Missile Capabilities ‘Remarkable’” that “US Central Command’s General Kenneth Franklin McKenzie told lawmakers that Iran now has about 3,000 ballistic missiles capable of hitting the Israeli city of Tel Aviv. McKenzie said over the last five to seven years, Iran has invested heavily in its ballistic missile program.”
But in order for the US sanctions on Iran’s ballistic missile program to be effective and send a strong message to the Iranian regime that its military adventurism and destabilizing behavior will not be tolerated, the Biden administration needs to show consistency. This means that it should not be lifting sanctions on other sectors or entities.
No robust position has been taken toward the Iranian government’s expanding and destabilizing roles in Iraq, Yemen, Syria and Lebanon.
To illustrate, here are some of the inconsistencies in the Biden administration’s policy toward Iran. The White House last year told the Iranian leaders that not only is it willing to lift nuclear-related sanctions, but also that it is considering lifting other sanctions. This was followed by the first concession to Iran’s proxy militia group, the Houthis. Even as the evidence — including a report by the UN — showed that the Iranian regime was delivering sophisticated weapons to the Houthis in Yemen, the Biden administration suspended some of the anti-terrorism sanctions that the Trump administration had imposed on the group. Soon after, the Biden administration revoked the Houthis’ designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization.
Additionally, last June, the Biden administration lifted sanctions on three former Iranian officials and several energy companies. Then, in a blow to the Iranian people and advocates of democracy and human rights — a few days after the Iranian regime had effectively hand-picked Ebrahim Raisi to be its next president — the US announced that it was also considering lifting sanctions against Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
The Biden administration is now even considering removing the IRGC from America’s terrorist list. How can the White House believe that it will impose pressure on Iran’s ballistic missile program if it is simultaneously appeasing the IRGC? In addition, no robust position has been taken toward the Iranian government’s expanding and destabilizing roles in Iraq, Yemen, Syria and Lebanon. Even Iran’s human rights violations have taken a back seat in the White House’s Iran agenda.
Another policy contradiction is that the Biden administration appears to have invested all its political capital in a renegotiated nuclear deal. The 2015 nuclear deal lifted all major economic sanctions against the Iranian regime. Returning to it now would boost Tehran’s ballistic missile program and enhance the regime’s legitimacy on the global stage. Subsequently, world powers would be less reluctant to hold the theocratic establishment accountable for its ballistic missile violations.
In summary, in order to address the Iranian regime’s threat, the US must show consistency in its pressuring of the Tehran government.
• Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist.
Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh

Ukraine crisis contributes to strategic shift in Middle East

Dr. Diana Galeeva/Arab News/April 03, 2022
While there are some prospects of further Russia-Ukraine talks this week, there are already signs that a month of conflict has contributed to a transformation of the Middle East’s strategic architecture.
Firstly, it concerns the status of global players in the region. In most analyses regarding the Middle East’s players and their links with the global powers, there have been discussions about whether the Pax Americana in the region has transformed into a more multifaceted arena. While it does not seem that the US will withdraw entirely from the Middle East, which was perhaps expected following last year’s exit from Afghanistan, the neutrality in the Ukraine crisis shown by the region’s players, including US and NATO members and allies, highlights the shift toward multipolarity.
Russia’s primary policies of recent years — which have consisted of anti-Western policies and building a multipolar world — have been specifically geared toward gaining great power status. The Ukraine conflict has demonstrated that the region already considers the geopolitical importance of other global players, in addition to the US (including the importance of the European powers, Russia, China and India).
At the regional level, the Ukraine crisis has also contributed to an adaptation of policies based on global circumstances. For example, the push last year by a number of Arab states to normalize relations with the Bashar Assad regime was primarily linked to the assumption that restoring ties would allow them to lobby Syria to change its relations with Iran. However, recent global events have arguably contributed to developing links with Moscow, as seen with Assad’s historic visit to the UAE last month. In return, perhaps it is expected that Russia will take a more active stance against Iran’s policies in the region, especially while the Tehran-backed Houthis continue to attack Saudi Arabia and the UAE. This might be possible in the short to medium term, as the Ukraine war has challenged the already-complex relations between Tehran and Moscow.
In January, prior to Russia’s invasion, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi visited Moscow. While there, he sought to establish stronger links through his anti-Western rhetoric, supporting Russia’s discourses during its ongoing tensions with the West. Raisi stated that the “strategy of domination” had failed and that the US was “in its weakest position.” He also slammed NATO, accusing it of “infiltrating various geographical areas with new coverings that threaten the common interests of independent states.” Nevertheless, this visit generated criticism back home, especially as Raisi left Moscow empty-handed. Among the objectives that were not achieved was that the previous 20-year cooperation agreement between Russia and Iran had ended and a renewal remains yet to be finalized.
This conflict has demonstrated that the region already considers the geopolitical importance of other global players, in addition to the US.
Another challenge in bilateral relations is the finalization of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action nuclear deal. When talks were seemingly close to a conclusion, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov last month stressed new demands for sanctions exemption, as “the avalanche of aggressive sanctions (on Russia) that the West had started spewing out” meant Moscow had to ask the US for guarantees, requiring a clear answer that the new sanctions would not affect its rights under the nuclear deal.
Among the first official Iranian reactions to Russia’s new demand was a tweet from Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Shamkhani, which stated: “Vienna participants act and react based on interests and it’s understandable. Our interactions… are also solely driven by our people’s interests. Thus, we’re assessing new elements that bear on the negotiations and will accordingly seek creative ways to expedite a solution.” Though Moscow walked back on its threat to torpedo the revival of the 2015 nuclear deal, reopening the way to an agreement after nearly a year of talks, the world has not yet witnessed its finalization. Additionally, the possibility of returning to the JCPOA might also turn Tehran into an economic competitor to Moscow, similar to Qatar. Iran and Qatar hold the second and third-largest gas reserves in the world, respectively.
At the same time, it seems that regional players — in an effort to counter Iran and the militias it backs — are following similar policies to the Kremlin in the Middle East by balancing adversaries. Russia, for example, has kept good relations with all of its regional partners, including Israel, Iran and the Gulf states. The region’s players are effectively balancing relations with the global powers.
While keeping a largely neutral stance toward Russia’s actions, the first multilateral Arab-Israel summit took place last week. This meeting of the top diplomats of Israel, the US and four Arab countries — the UAE, Bahrain, Egypt and Morocco — allowed them to collectively encourage America to remain engaged in the region, despite its focus on Russia and China. It was also a chance to lobby US Secretary of State Antony Blinken not to remove the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, a key Iranian military force, from the list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations in exchange for Iran curbing its nuclear ambitions. This might suggest we will witness the emergence of a new regional strategic architecture in the near future. *Dr. Diana Galeeva is an Academic Visitor to St. Antony’s College, Oxford University. *Dr. Galeeva is the author of two books: “Qatar: The Practice of Rented Power” (Routledge, 2022) and “Russia and the GCC: The Case of Tatarstan’s Paradiplomacy” (I.B. Tauris/Bloomsbury, 2022). She is also a co-editor of the collection “Post-Brexit Europe and UK: Policy Challenges Towards Iran and the GCC States” (Palgrave Macmillan, 2021).

Consolidating fresh allegiances in Mideast reaches new summit
Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/April 03, 2022
Not that long ago, the mere suggestion of Israel hosting a summit at which four foreign ministers from Arab countries, together with the US secretary of state, would sit around the table would have been treated as a sheer fantasy. Last week, a year and a half after the signing of the Abraham Accords, such an event took place, and it felt almost like a natural progression from the nascent and behind-closed-doors relations of earlier times. It was a clear expression of the growing mutual interests of Israel, Egypt, the UAE, Morocco and Bahrain that sent their foreign ministers to this summit in the Negev desert kibbutz of Sde Boker. This high-powered meeting followed on the heels of another summit last week, in the Egyptian Red Sea resort of Sharm El-Sheikh, where President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi of Egypt, the UAE’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al-Nahyan and Israel’s Prime Minister Naftali Bennett met to discuss the main challenges the region faces. The top of the agenda, as was the case at Sde Boker, was Iran. A US secretary of state taking time away from the cauldron of the Ukraine crisis to fly to the Middle East might not be an obvious course of action, but it has become a priority for Washington to consolidate support for NATO’s front against Russia and ensure there are no signs of cracks in it. Anthony Blinken was there not only to give America’s blessing to this far-reaching change in the region’s political architecture, but also to assuage the doubts of concerned allies who are not only suspicious that the US is scaling down its interests in the Middle East to concentrate on other areas, namely China and Russia, but even more acutely concerned by what they perceive as Washington’s rush into a new nuclear deal with Iran.
There is a common thread uniting all the participants in the Negev Summit, as well as most other countries in the region: All of them view the return of the US to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action with grave misgivings. They harbor little trust in Tehran’s intentions, and are extremely worried by the prospect of the removal of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps from Washington’s list of designated foreign terrorist organizations. The development of nuclear capability by Iran is a major threat, but the IRGC is an immediate one that manifests itself in too many parts of the region. If, as appears to be the case, the US is prepared to make such a concession, it would take more than a summit to allay the fears of the White House’s allies in the Middle East that it is looking for quick fixes that will come to haunt the entire region in due course.
Iran has for some time provided a strong impetus for Israel and other regional powers to put pressure on the international community to stop its nuclear program, and equally contain the aggression of Tehran and its proxies’ aggression toward them. For instance, it was reported that Israel and its new allies in the Middle East are developing a communications system that will allow each of them to warn the others in real time about incoming drones, mainly to curtail the actions of Iran and groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis. This, and further close military and intelligence cooperation, signals a new security architecture that is demarcating clear lines of alliances and enmities in the region. Without progress on the Palestinian issue, regional cooperation will be unable to reach its full potential.
In the midst of this summit’s celebratory mood, the news of a terrorist attack by two Daesh-inspired gunmen in the town of Hadera, which left two Israeli policemen dead and five others injured before the gunmen were shot dead themselves, reached the participants and understandably dampened the mood. All were quick to condemn the attack, demonstrating a united front in the face of such indiscriminate violence. This high-profile meeting of foreign ministers in the midst of what appears to be a nascent wave of terrorist attacks inside Israel highlighted the threat emanating from extremism across the region and the urgent need to unite in confronting it, and deal with its root causes.
For Israel, both summits were an opportunity for the Bennett/Lapid government to come of age and assert itself as one playing a leading role in taking the Abraham Accords to the next level of regional cooperation. It was also a move aimed to bust the myth that only the former prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, could build close relations with the regional powers. The recent attacks will also present it with an opportunity to assert itself on domestic security. If Iran was one of the major topics that instinctively brought the participating countries together, the major elephant in the room was, and will remain, the Palestinian issue. Regrettably, it was the attacks in the heart of Israel that brought home the fact that, as much as the Abraham Accords and the continuing improvement in relations between Israel and other Arab countries has been a welcome development, the dark cloud of the unresolved Israel-Palestinian conflict still casts a long shadow over what is an important and positive change in the region. All participants mentioned the importance of resolving the conflict along the lines of a two-state solution. Nevertheless, this was not accompanied by a concrete plan or timeline on how to advance this cause, which lives as no more than an aspiration, if not mere lip service. Since President Joe Biden entered the White House, the most obvious constructive gesture he could make — reopening the US Consulate in Jerusalem which served as a de facto embassy for the Palestinians until Donald Trump closed it in 2019 — has remained elusive. Without progress on the Palestinian issue, regional cooperation will be unable to shift to a higher gear or reach its full potential. The decision to convene this forum annually, with an alternating host country, and with the hope of adding others to this alliance, is a very powerful declaration of intent in terms of creating a different Middle East that is more collaborative and progressive, partnering not only on hard security matters but also on economic development and technology, while also promoting cultural and religious tolerance.
• Yossi Mekelberg is professor of international relations and an associate fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House. He is a regular contributor to the international written and electronic media. Twitter: @YMekelberg

Afghans continue to suffer as world is distracted

Luke Coffey/Arab News/April 03, 2022
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is now in its second month. Europe is facing a large-scale refugee and security crisis. Russia is coming under intense economic pressure from sanctions. And countries in the Middle East and across much of Africa are concerned about how the fighting will impact their imports of Ukrainian food. But even with this focus on Ukraine, there is another geopolitical matter that cannot be ignored: Afghanistan. Eight months after the Taliban took power, Afghanistan still faces an acute humanitarian crisis. The Taliban have been utterly incompetent when it comes to governing and they are not capable of handling the humanitarian crisis facing the country. The UN claims that 97 percent of Afghans could be living in poverty by the middle of this year. According to a report published by the Observer Research Foundation in India, 11 million people in Afghanistan are experiencing food insecurity.
It does not seem that the US, or the wider international community for that matter, has a strategy to confront the humanitarian crisis. Among American policy circles, it is as if Afghanistan barely exists. President Joe Biden did not mention the country once during his recent State of the Union speech before Congress, for example. Right now, all eyes are on Ukraine.
However, the situation for the international community is not straightforward. If money and resources are given directly to the Taliban, it is likely that most of it will be siphoned off. The US State Department announced this week that it would provide $204 million in humanitarian aid “to help the people of Afghanistan” and that this funding would be funneled through international aid organizations, but it is not clear that any aid group has the freedom and ability to operate effectively in Afghanistan.
Another crisis that will have a long-term impact on Afghanistan is the lack of female education. When the Taliban swept back into power in August last year, it banned girls over the age of 12 from attending school. They later relented and announced that, by the Nowruz holiday on March 23, girls would be back in the classroom. Girls across the country gathered their books and backpacks on that date, only to be told they were not welcome. Now, two weeks after the Taliban’s promised date for girls returning to school, they remain out of the classroom.
The deteriorating humanitarian situation and the pending food crisis will only drive more people into the arms of extremists.
Finally, the threat from terrorism coming from Afghanistan has not declined. The commander of US Central Command, Gen. Kenneth McKenzie, last month told Congress during his annual update that Daesh and Al-Qaeda “are seeking to exploit a reduction of US counterterrorism efforts in Afghanistan to reinvigorate their adherents and increase their ability to plot and direct external attacks.” He also stated that the deteriorating humanitarian situation and the pending food crisis will only drive more people into the arms of extremists.
At the time of America’s retreat from Afghanistan last year, assurances were made by the Biden administration that an “over the horizon” counterterrorism capability could strike at emerging terrorist threats in the country from bases outside the region. McKenzie told Congress that “conducting counterterrorism operations in Afghanistan from ‘over the horizon’ remains difficult, but not impossible.” However, since no details have been provided about how such a capability could work in practice, his claim that it is “not impossible” raises eyebrows.
Eight months since American forces left, there is no indication that the US has the ability to launch these long-range strikes and there is every indication that terrorist groups such as Al-Qaeda and Daesh are increasingly active in the country.
As Afghanistan enters spring and then heads into summer, observers should keep an eye out for moves made by the National Resistance Front of Afghanistan. The NRF is led by the capable and astute Ahmad Massoud, the son of the former resistance commander Ahmad Shah Massoud, who fought against Soviet forces and the Taliban in the 1980s and 1990s. Immediately after the Taliban took Kabul last year, thousands of fighters sought shelter in Afghanistan’s mountainous Panjshir Valley, about 100 km north of the capital. The Taliban immediately launched an attack on the region, but the resistance fighters were able to use the winter weather conditions and the region’s topography as protection. Now that the NRF has seemingly survived the winter, expect it to start making moves against the Taliban in the predominantly Tajik regions in the north of the country.
So as the world focuses on Ukraine, there is a lot happening in Afghanistan. As the situation continues to deteriorate, the effects will be felt beyond its border and even across the region. It seems unlikely that the international community has the ability, or even the desire, to deal with more than one major crisis at a time. As has been the case for more than 40 years, the Afghan people will continue to be the ones that suffer.
*Luke Coffey is the director of the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy at the Heritage Foundation. Twitter: @LukeDCoffey