English LCCC Newsbulletin For
Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For April 02/2022
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/aaaanewsfor2021/english.april02.22.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
Jesus sighed and said to the deaf man, ‘Ephphatha’, that
is, ‘Be opened.’ And immediately his ears were opened, his tongue was released,
and he spoke plainly
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Mark
07/31-37:”Then he returned from the region of Tyre, and went by way of Sidon
towards the Sea of Galilee, in the region of the Decapolis. They brought to him
a deaf man who had an impediment in his speech; and they begged him to lay his
hand on him. He took him aside in private, away from the crowd, and put his
fingers into his ears, and he spat and touched his tongue. Then looking up to
heaven, he sighed and said to him, ‘Ephphatha’, that is, ‘Be opened.’ And
immediately his ears were opened, his tongue was released, and he spoke plainly.
Then Jesus ordered them to tell no one; but the more he ordered them, the more
zealously they proclaimed it. They were astounded beyond measure, saying, ‘He
has done everything well; he even makes the deaf to hear and the mute to
speak.’”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese
Related News & Editorials published on April 01-02/2022
Crisis-hit Lebanon struggles to supply power on polling day
Rochdi lauds Lebanon's adoption of U.N. charter on rights of persons with
disabilities
IMF spokesman says talks with Lebanon on right track
Hizbullah MP says his party seeking to recover depositors money
Berri Says Lebanon's fate, exit from crisis hinging on elections' outcome
Raad: Hizbullah cannot fight corrupts with weapons
Raja Salameh lawyer says release bail 'unprecedented' in Lebanon's history
Report: Miqati meets potential candidates for replacing Salameh
Aoun portrait torn up as protesters storm Energy Ministry
Cash-strapped Lebanon struggles to turn lights on for polling day
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on April 01-02/2022
Pope Francis apologizes to Indigenous delegates for 'deplorable' abuses
at residential schools
Ramadan moon sighted in Saudi Arabia, holy month begins on Saturday/Lebanon
follows
Will Iran use the Ramadan period to increase tensions with Israel?
Ukraine air strike hits fuel depot in Russia
US sees sanctions driving Russia to be closed economy, on lookout for gaps
Russia using church as staging ground for Kyiv assault -U.S. official
US will not ‘push’ Ukraine to make concessions in peace talks with Russia: State
Dept
Australia to send armored vehicles to Ukraine after request
Iraq's al-Sadr steps back, asks rivals to try form government
Israel and UAE agree 'milestone' free trade deal
Israeli forces kill Palestinian in West Bank
Two-month ceasefire agreed in Yemen: UN envoy
Turkey to OK Khashoggi murder trial's move to Saudi Arabia
Tunisia probes speaker for 'conspiracy' after parliament meets
Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published on April 01-02/2022
Ukraine, the Plodding Conflict and the Ongoing Tragedy/Charles Elias
Chartouni/April 01/2022
In Iniochos Exercise, Israel Rehearses Iran Strikes as Saudis Observe/Bradley
Bowman/Ryan Brobst/Seth J. Frantzman/Real Clear Defense/April 01/2022
The Challenge of Containing a Nuclear Iran/Reuel Marc Gerecht/The Dispatch/April
01/2022
Biden Administration Failing to Reform U.N.’s Palestinian Refugee Agency/David
May/The Bulwark/April 01/2022
Question: "What is the meaning of, “The fool says in his heart, ‘There is no
God’” (Psalm 14:1; 53:1)?"/GotQuestions.org/April 01/2022
Even when they fail to win, Iran's Iraqi loyalists refuse to lose/Hussain Abdul-Hussain/The
Arab Weekly/Friday 01/04/2022
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News
& Editorials published
on April 01-02/2022
Crisis-hit Lebanon struggles to supply power
on polling day
AFP/April 01/2022
The government is trying to provide just half a day’s worth of power to polling
stations for the critical vote. Lebanon’s electricity company is seeking $16
million to supply power on the day of the May 15 parliamentary polls, a sum that
exceeds the overall election budget by nearly 30 percent, the interior minister
said. Holding credible elections is one of the main steps Lebanon’s major donors
are insisting on to deliver more assistance to the country, which is mired in a
deep financial crisis fuelled by endemic corruption.
‘Very high cost’
The state-owned Electricite du Liban (EDL) presented a quote of $16 million to
the government, which is trying to provide just half a day’s worth of power to
polling stations for the critical vote. “I held several meetings with EDL, which
apparently couldn’t provide electricity except at a very high cost,” Interior
Minister Bassam Mawlawi said. “The entire elections, at home and abroad, don’t
cost this much,” Mawlawi said, saying his total budget for the vote was capped
at $12.5 million. Mawlawi was adamant the government was working for the polls
to go ahead as scheduled, despite persistent rumours they could be called off.
Lebanon, grappling with an unprecedented economic crisis since 2019 which
moreover defaulted on its debt in March 2020, has suffered from severe power
shortages for nearly a year, largely because the government cannot afford fuel
for power stations. Power cuts last up to 22 hours a day in most regions,
forcing many to rely on expensive generator subscriptions to keep the lights on.
The international community has long demanded a complete overhaul of Lebanon’s
loss-making electricity sector, which has cost the government more than $40
billion since the end of the 1975-1990 civil war, as one of the basic conditions
to disburse billions of dollars in desperately needed financial support.EDL had
asked for its payment in cash, Mawlawi said.
‘Can’t rely on the state’
Mawlawi said the government may turn to private generators to power voting
centres, which will need electricity to light the room at night when the votes
are counted immediately after polls close. “I can’t rely on the state because
despite the high cost demanded, EDL can’t guarantee solid results … which may
lead to a sudden blackout,” the interior minister said. “The issue of
electricity is the biggest problem facing Lebanon … but we will be able to solve
it for the day of elections,” he added. Lebanon’s energy crisis is just one of
its many economic woes, with the currency having lost more than 90 percent of
its value. Most of Lebanon’s population lives below the poverty line. Power
outages mean streets are dark at night and surveillance cameras are effectively
obsolete, leading to a spike in certain types of crime, Mawlawi said, who cited
deepening poverty as another driving force. Interior ministry figures show armed
robberies surged by 135 percent in 2021 compared with the previous year and car
theft increased by nearly a quarter over the same period. At the same time,
Lebanon’s security forces have been weakened because officers have quit to look
for other work, since their salary barely covers enough to buy basic food for a
family. At least 478 security officers working for Internal Security Forces or
the General Security Agency have quit the ranks since the start of the country’s
crisis, documents provided by the ministry showed. “There is a problem,” Mawlawi
said. But “the number of those defecting is not large. We should not exaggerate
the problem,” he added.
Rochdi lauds Lebanon's adoption of U.N. charter on rights
of persons with disabilities
Naharne/April 01/2022
U.N. Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator for Lebanon Najat Rochdi welcomed on
Friday "the important step by the Lebanese Parliament towards the ratification
of the U.N. Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities (CRPD) by
adopting a law, on 29 March, authorizing the Government to proceed with the
ratification process.""Lebanon showed its commitment to the human rights of
persons with disabilities by signing the Convention in 2007. Lebanon now needs
to take the next step of ratification to join the current 185 States parties to
the Convention and fully commit to promote, protect, and ensure the full and
equal enjoyment of all human rights by persons with disabilities," Rochdi said.
She encouraged Lebanon to join the 100 U.N. Member States that have ratified the
Optional Protocol to the CRPD allowing the U.N. Committee on the Rights of
Persons with Disabilities to receive individual communications concerning
violations of the Convention. Rochdi added that "the articles of the CRPD cover
the full spectrum of human rights and set out principles that should guide
legislative, administrative and other measures to address barriers to persons
with disabilities’ effective participation and inclusion in society, including
their ability to live independently in the community, to vote, to access
justice, to participate in sport and cultural activities and to access their
physical environment, transportation, and information."
IMF spokesman says talks with Lebanon on right track
Naharnet/April 01/2022
International Monetary Fund spokesman Gerry Rice has affirmed that the
negotiations with Lebanon are making progress. He said in a statement that the
IMF delegation is working with the Lebanese authorities to prepare a reform plan
that will help Lebanon and the Lebanese. "We hope we will be able to achieve
this," Rice added, stressing the deep and complicated challenges that Lebanon is
facing. High-level Lebanese sources have also reportedly affirmed that the
negotiations are on the right track. Meanwhile, sources have told LBCI that the
U.S. believes "there is an actual opportunity for Lebanon to reach an
agreement," pointing that the U.S. is willing to support Lebanon, "as the
Lebanese stance against the Russian war has strengthened the relations between
Lebanon and the U.S." An IMF delegation had kicked off talks in Beirut Wednesday
as part of a two-week mission aimed at securing progress towards funding for
crisis-hit Lebanon. Lebanon is hoping to secure a rescue package to exit a deep
financial crisis that started in 2019 and has seen most of the country's
population fall into poverty.
Hizbullah MP says his party seeking to recover depositors
money
Naharnet/April 01/2022
Hizbullah's MP Hassan Ezzeddine said Friday that the capital control law should
have been issued at the start of the financial crisis and not after three years
from its onset. Ezzeddine claimed that Hizbullah is concerned about protecting
the depositors' rights, just the way it is concerned about protecting the
Lebanese from the Israeli enemy. "We will work to find guarantees within the
recovery plan to recover the depositors' money," Ezzeddine said. The Shiite Duo
ministers, along with al-Marada and the Lebanese Democratic Party's ministers
had voiced reservations over the capital control law that was approved on
Wednesday in Cabinet. The ministers reportedly considered that the approved
version did not take into consideration some important points related to the
depositors' rights.
Berri Says Lebanon's fate, exit from crisis hinging on
elections' outcome
Naharnet/April 01/2022
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri on Friday told his popular base and that of
Hizbullah that “Lebanon’s future, fate, identity, principles and means to exit
the crisis are linked to the outcome” of the May 15 parliamentary elections.
Claiming that electoral rivals have so far spent 30 million dollars in the
second electoral district in the South, Berri called on supporters in a speech
in Msayleh to turn out heavily in the elections.Commenting on the August 4, 2020
explosion at the Port of Beirut, Berri said protesters carried mock nooses with
cardboard cutouts of him and Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah days after
the blast because the parliamentary blocs of the two parties “have managed to
restore the rights that the sons of the South and Western Bekaa had been
deprived of throughout six decades.”“Through your victory and defeat of the
Zionist scheme you showed a dose of dignity that they cannot bear,” Berri added,
addressing supporters.
Raad: Hizbullah cannot fight corrupts with weapons
Naharnet/April 01/2022
Hizbullah “cannot fight the corrupts in our country” with weapons, “but it can
besiege, rein in and punish them,” the head of the party’s parliamentary bloc,
Mohammed Raad, said on Friday. “We’re the guarantee for protecting this country
and its security and stability, and our concern has been and will always to
protect Lebanon against what harms our people,” Raad said in remarks in the
southern town of Arnoun. “Yes there is corruption in the state and we want to
press on with the reform process, but the method of confronting corruption in
the state is different from the method of confronting the enemy that is
threatening us with weapons,” the lawmaker explained. He added: “Hizbullah
cannot fight the corrupts in our country (with weapons), but it can besiege,
rein in and punish them.”“Corruption in Lebanon hides behind a lot of covers and
it is rampant and deep-rooted,” Raad decried, adding that “corruption in Lebanon
is confessionally distributed and those who own more media outlets have a bigger
ability to incite and accuse others of their own deeds.”“Corruption in our
country is not Shiite, Sunni or Maronite. Corruption has no sect, but the
corrupts are the ones who hide behind their sects,” Raad went on to say.
Raja Salameh lawyer says release bail 'unprecedented' in
Lebanon's history
Naharnet/April 01/2022
Raja Salameh's lawyer has said that the LBP 500 billion bail that Investigative
Judge Nicolas Mansour had ordered for the release of Salameh is an
"unprecedented" order in the history of the Lebanese Justice Palace. "The amount
is unreasonable and illogical," lawyer Marwan al-Khoury said, after having filed
an appeal demanding that the bail amount be slashed. Mansour on Thursday had
ordered the release of Raja Salameh, Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh's
brother, on a bail of LBP 500 billion, but Mount Lebanon Prosecutor Judge Ghada
Aoun appealed against the decision and demanded that he be kept in custody. Aoun
had charged Raja with "facilitating money laundering" after he was arrested last
month over financial misconduct. The same charge was filed against Ukrainian
national Anna Kosakova, who jointly owns a company with Raja Salameh. The judge
is also overseeing several legal cases against Riad Salameh, who has repeatedly
failed to show up at hearings.
Report: Miqati meets potential candidates for replacing
Salameh
Naharnet/April 01/2022
Prime Minister Najib Miqati met in the past days with a number of potential
candidates for replacing embattled Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh, who is
facing a host of lawsuits inside and outside Lebanon, a media report said on
Friday. The latest European measures against Salameh and some associates are
what pushed Miqati to consider Salameh’s replacement, especially after Monaco
“requested judicial cooperation from the Lebanese Justice Ministry in filed
related to Miqati and members of his family” and after “the French threatened
sanctions should the obstruction of investigation continue,” informed sources
told al-Akhbar newspaper in remarks published Friday. “This pushed him to make a
step back by loosening his protection of Salameh and, based on a French request,
he met over the past days with some potential candidates for replacing the
central bank governor, knowing that the candidate Samir Assaf’s rejection of
this post has made him a main party in picking another candidate,” the sources
added.
Aoun portrait torn up as protesters storm Energy Ministry
Agence France Presse/April 01/2022
A group of protesters stormed on Friday the Ministry of Energy and Water in
Corniche el-Nahr. An activist was meanwhile seen on TV smashing then tearing up
a picture of President Michel Aoun that was hung on a wall in the ministry.
Lebanon, grappling with an unprecedented economic crisis since 2019, and which
defaulted on its debt in March 2020, has suffered from severe power shortages
for nearly a year -- largely because the government can't afford fuel for power
stations.Power cuts last up to 22 hours a day in most regions, forcing many to
rely on expensive generator subscriptions to keep the lights on. The
international community has long demanded a complete overhaul of Lebanon's
loss-making electricity sector -- which has cost the government more than $40
billion since the end of the 1975-1990 civil war -- as one of the basic
conditions to disburse billions of dollars in desperately needed financial
support.
Cash-strapped Lebanon struggles to turn lights on for
polling day
Agence France Presse/April 01/2022
Lebanon's electricity company is charging $16 million to supply power on the day
of the May 15 parliamentary polls, a sum that exceeds the overall election
budget by nearly 30 percent, the interior minister said. Holding credible
elections is one of the main steps Lebanon's major donors are insisting on to
deliver more assistance to the country, which is mired in a deep financial
crisis fuelled by endemic corruption. The state-owned Electricite du Liban (EDL)
presented a quote of $16 million to the government, which is trying to provide
just half a day's worth of power to polling stations for the critical vote. "I
held several meetings with EDL, which apparently couldn't provide electricity
except at a very high cost," Interior Minister Bassam Mawlawi said. "The entire
elections, at home and abroad, don't cost this much," Mawlawi said, saying his
total budget for the vote was capped at $12.5 million. Mawlawi was adamant the
government was working for the polls to go ahead as scheduled, despite
persistent rumors they could be called off. Lebanon, grappling with an
unprecedented economic crisis since 2019, and which defaulted on its debt in
March 2020, has suffered from severe power shortages for nearly a year --
largely because the government can't afford fuel for power stations. Power cuts
last up to 22 hours a day in most regions, forcing many to rely on expensive
generator subscriptions to keep the lights on. The international community has
long demanded a complete overhaul of Lebanon's loss-making electricity sector --
which has cost the government more than $40 billion since the end of the
1975-1990 civil war -- as one of the basic conditions to disburse billions of
dollars in desperately needed financial support.EDL had asked for its payment in
cash, Mawlawi said.
- 'Can't rely on the state' -
Mawlawi said the government may turn to private generators to power voting
centers, which will need electricity to light the room at night when the votes
are counted immediately after polls close. "I can't rely on the state because
despite the high cost demanded, EDL can't guarantee solid results... which may
lead to a sudden blackout," the interior minister said. "The issue of
electricity is the biggest problem facing Lebanon... but we will be able to
solve it for the day of elections," he added. Lebanon's energy crisis is just
one of its many economic woes, with the currency having lost more than 90
percent of its value. Most of Lebanon's population lives below the poverty line.
Power outages mean streets are dark at night and surveillance cameras are
effectively obsolete, leading to a spike in certain types of crime, Mawlawi
said, who cited deepening poverty as another driving force. Interior ministry
figures show armed robberies surged by 135 percent in 2021 compared with the
previous year, and car theft increased by nearly a quarter over the same period.
At the same time, Lebanon's security forces have been weakened because officers
have quit to look for other work, since their salary barely covers enough to buy
basic food for a family. At least 478 security officers working for Internal
Security Forces or the General Security Agency have quit ranks since the start
of the country's crisis, documents provided by the ministry showed. "There is a
problem," Mawlawi told AFP.
But "the number of those defecting is not large. We should not exaggerate the
problem," he added.
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on April 01-02/2022
Pope Francis apologizes to Indigenous delegates for 'deplorable' abuses at
residential schools
Yahoo/April 01/2022
Pope Francis has apologized for the conduct of some members of the Roman
Catholic Church in Canada's residential school system, following a week of talks
with First Nations, Inuit and Métis delegations. The delegates had gathered for
a final and public audience with the Pope at the Vatican on Friday as Francis
spoke of feeling "sorrow and shame" for the conduct of those who ran the
schools. "I also feel shame ... sorrow and shame for the role that a number of
Catholics, particularly those with educational responsibilities, have had in all
these things that wounded you, and the abuses you suffered and the lack of
respect shown for your identity, your culture and even your spiritual values,"
he said. "For the deplorable conduct of these members of the Catholic Church, I
ask for God's forgiveness and I want to say to you with all my heart, I am very
sorry. And I join my brothers, the Canadian bishops, in asking your pardon."
WATCH | Pope Francis apologizes to Indigenous delegates for 'deplorable' abuses
at residential schools
https://link.theplatform.com/s/ExhSPC/media/guid/2655402169/2018744899957
Francis also said he hoped to visit Canada "in the days" around the church's
Feast of St. Anne, which falls on July 26. Dene National Chief Gerald Antoine,
who led one of the delegations, said Indigenous leaders should be part of the
planning of such a visit. "Today is a day that we've been waiting for and
certainly one that will be uplifted in our history," he said after the meeting.
"It's a historical first step. However, only a first step. The next step is for
the Holy Father to apologize to our family at their home. We seek to hear his
words. They also seek the words of apology at home."
The apology comes at the end of a week of private separate meetings between the
First Nations, Inuit and Métis delegations and the Pope about the Roman Catholic
Church's role in Canada's residential school system. The Inuit delegation had
also been pushing for the church to intervene in the case of fugitive Oblate
priest wanted in Canada for sex crimes, and the First Nation delegates also
urged the Pope to revoke centuries-old papal decrees used to justify the seizure
of Indigenous land in the Americas by colonial powers. More than 150,000
Indigenous children were forced to attend residential schools between the 1880s
and 1996, and more than 60 per cent of the schools were run by the Catholic
Church. The Truth and Reconciliation Commission — which from 2008 to 2015
examined the record of Canada's residential school system — called for a papal
apology as part of its 94 calls to action. The commission also urged all
religious and faith groups to repudiate concepts used to justify European
sovereignty over Indigenous lands and people. Colleen Jacob, the former chief of
Xaxli'p First Nation in British Columbia, wrote about her experience attending
residential school in a letter to the Pope delivered during his private meeting
this week with Assembly of First Nations delegates. Jacob said she can still
remember vividly the bus picking her up for the first time in 1974, when she was
just seven years old. She said she was dropped off and separated from her big
brother. "It was a big shock to me because back home I used to follow him
everywhere," Jacob said. "I would cry when he wouldn't take me."
https://ca.yahoo.com/news/pope-francis-respond-first-nations-080000916.html
Ramadan moon sighted in Saudi Arabia, holy month begins
on Saturday/Lebanon follows
Amani Hamad, Al Arabiya English/01 April ,2022
The Ramadan crescent moon was sighted in Saudi Arabia on Friday evening, meaning
the holy month will officially begin on Saturday, according to an official
announcement from the Kingdom’s Supreme Court. Muslims follow a lunar calendar
consisting of 12 months in a year of 354 or 355 days. Sighting a crescent moon
heralds the start of Ramadan, the ninth month of the Islamic calendar. Four
other Arab countries of the Gulf, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and the UAE, have also
announced the Saturday start of Ramadan, while Oman said it is expected to begin
a day later. The starting date of the dawn-dusk fasting month of Ramadan is
determined by both lunar calculations and physical sightings of a new moon.
Observant Muslims refrain from eating and drinking from dawn to dusk, and
traditionally gather with family and friends to break their fast in the evening.
It is also a time of prayers, during which Muslims converge in large numbers on
mosques, especially at night. Ramadan is a holy month for the world’s more than
1.5 billion Muslims. With AFP. In Lebanon the Sunni Grand Mufti declared also
that Holy Ramadan Month starts on Saturday April 02/2022
Will Iran use the Ramadan period to increase tensions with
Israel?
The Jerusalem Post/April 01/2022
Iran knows it can stoke tensions over several thousand miles of potential
frontline – including the Gaza Strip, northern Israel and the Golan Heights.
The recent series of terrorist attacks in Israel are of the sort that can easily
cause violence to escalate and lead to Iran or its partners, such as Hamas and
Hezbollah, to think it is time to challenge Israel. Last year, a series of
incidents in Jerusalem and tensions over Sheikh Jarrah led to Hamas firing
rockets at Jerusalem. This led to a short war between Israel and Hamas. It was a
war whose tempo was largely dictated not only by Hamas but by Iran. The war in
May 2021 taught us several lessons. First was that Iran and Hamas were willing
to use incidents in Jerusalem to justify massive rocket fire on Israel. Second,
Hamas had planned this war for some time, stockpiling rockets to fire in large
salvos of up to 140 at a time. Iran likely coordinated with Hamas on those
attacks. Iran wanted to use Hamas not only to fire rockets indiscriminately; it
also wanted to use drones and long-range rockets to try to carry out coordinated
attacks on infrastructure. Iran has also used this model with the Houthis in
Yemen, backing attacks on Saudi Arabia and Aramco energy facilities. This means
Iran may believe that with another Ramadan taking place right after several
attacks in Israel, it may want to operationalize various groups against Israel.
This could involve Palestinian Islamic Jihad, which praised the recent terrorist
attack in Bnei Brak. In addition, it could involve groups in Syria or even
Iraq.Last May, Iran used a drone from Iraq to target Israel. Recent reports
indicate Israel also used F-35s to shoot down Iranian drones targeting Israel.
In addition, the US has downed Iranian drones. Iran also has assets in Yemen
with the Houthis that could be used either against Israel or the Gulf states.
This could include targeting shipping, as Iran has done in the past. Recent
reports in Iranian media have made veiled threats against the Gulf states.
The foreign ministers of Bahrain, the UAE, Egypt and Morocco were recently in
Israel for the Negev Summit. In addition, Israel has participated in several
joint military drills with US Central Command, the US Navy and its Gulf partners
over the past six months. This is important, and Iran is watching these
developments. Iran knows it can stoke tensions over several thousand miles of
potential frontline – including the Gaza Strip, northern Israel and the Golan
Heights – or using bases in Iraq and also potentially using drones to target
shipping in the Gulf of Oman, as it did last July.
All of this presents a very real threat that is constantly shifting. Iran often
tries to use local incidents to stoke a “cycle” of violence that then gives it
an excuse to use groups such as Hamas. In the past, Iran has also sent Hezbollah
cells with drones to areas near the Golan to target Israel.
Iran also upped threats to Israel in May and June 2019, when it was stoking
tensions with the US in Iraq and the Gulf. In 2019 Israel had to neutralize a
Hezbollah drone team in the Golan. In addition, Iran used a drone from the T-4
base in Syria in February 2018 to target Israel. In December 2018, Israel
launched Operation Northern Shield to neutralize Hezbollah tunnels in the North.
All of this is connected, and it is worth paying close attention to what Iran’s
next move may be over the next month.
Ukraine air strike hits fuel depot in Russia
Associated Press/April 01/2022
A Russian governor on Friday accused Ukrainian helicopters of bombing a fuel
storage depot in western Russia, sparking a huge fire, in Kyiv's first reported
air strike on Russian soil. The Kremlin said the reported Ukrainian air strike
on Belgorod, a town around 40 kilometers (25 miles) from Russia's border with
Ukraine, would hinder future peace talks. "Of course, this is not something that
can be perceived as creating comfortable conditions for the continuation of
negotiations," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters. Also on Friday,
Russian and Ukrainian negotiators resumed peace talks via video conference,
following face-to-face talks in Istanbul earlier this week. Both Ukraine's
foreign and defense ministries said they could neither confirm nor deny that
Kyiv was behind the attack. "I am a civilian," Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro
Kuleba told reporters in Warsaw. Defense ministry spokesman Oleksandr Motuzyanyk
said Ukraine should not "take responsibility for all miscalculations, all
disasters and all events taking place on Russian soil". The incident marked the
first time Russia has reported a Ukrainian air strike on its territory since the
conflict began. Russia's announcement came on the 37th day of Russia's military
campaign in Ukraine, with thousands killed and more than 10 million displaced in
the worst refugee crisis in Europe since World War II. - Petrol panic buying
-Moscow has repeatedly said it has destroyed Ukraine's air force. "There was a
fire at the petrol depot because of an air strike carried out by two Ukrainian
army helicopters, which entered Russian territory at a low altitude," Belgorod
region governor Vyacheslav Gladkov wrote on messaging app Telegram. Two
employees at the storage facility were injured in the fire, he said. Some 170
firefighters battled to put out the enormous blaze, which started around 6:00 am
(0300 GMT), the emergencies ministry said. A massive fire was raging, with black
and white smoke billowing overhead, a video released by the ministry showed.
Russian energy giant Rosneft, which owns the facility, said it had evacuated
staff. Long lines of cars formed at filling stations, but the governor urged
residents to refrain from panic buying, saying there was enough petrol. "There
aren't any problems with fuel in the region and there won't be any," Gladkov
said. Russian President Vladimir Putin has been notified of the strike, Peskov
told reporters. He insisted that it was "an absolute fact" that Russia had air
supremacy in the conflict. Earlier this week, explosions could be heard from an
arms depot in Belgorod, but the authorities did not provide any clear
explanation for the blasts. Belgorod lies around 80 kilometers from the
Ukrainian city of Kharkiv, which has been pummeled by Russian forces since
Moscow sent troops to Ukraine on February 24. Separately, the Russian defense
ministry said that Moscow had destroyed six military facilities in Ukraine,
including five depots containing ammunition, rockets and artillery weapons.
US sees sanctions driving Russia to be closed economy,
on lookout for gaps
Reuters/02 April ,2022
Massive sanctions imposed by the United States and its allies on Moscow over its
invasion of Ukraine are turning Russia into a closed economy that is
ill-equipped to produce its own consumer and technology goods, a senior US
Treasury Department official said on Friday. The official, speaking on condition
of anonymity, told reporters that restrictions on foreign exchange put in place
by the Russian government meant the international valuation of the ruble, which
fell sharply early in the war but has recovered somewhat in recent days, was not
being set by supply and demand. Emerging black-market activity showed a sharply
depreciated value of the currency, and reflected the weakness of the ruble as a
financial instrument, the official added. Sharply higher domestic inflation
indicated an erosion of the ruble’s purchasing power. The official said the
international valuation of the ruble is disconnected from the performance of the
Russian economy because of controls to preserve scarce foreign exchange. The
official said the coordinated sanctions have had a very significant impact on
the Russian economy, and outside analysts were now forecasting a contraction of
about 10 percent in Russian gross domestic product this year. The official said
Washington was comfortable with enforcement of the sanctions and export controls
thus far, but remained on the lookout for any violations. The ruble had become a
deeply impaired currency in terms of purchasing power, the official said, noting
that weekly inflation averaged about 1.5 percent in the last three weeks for a
cumulative increase of nearly 6 percent. The ruble’s value against the dollar
has largely recovered its losses since Russia’s invasion started on Feb. 24. The
ruble touched a more than five-week high in early Moscow trade on Friday before
settling in the 83-84 range to the dollar. The United States intended for the
sanctions to be debilitating to the Russian economy and cripple the Russian
military’s ability to procure parts and equipment for the war effort, the
official said, adding that technology export restrictions administered by the US
Commerce Department would contribute to that goal. Washington planned to
maintain humanitarian exemptions from the sanctions, given growing food
insecurity problems and Russia’s role as a major wheat producer, the official
said. Other exemptions were intended to protect Western financial institutions
that hold Russian assets, through a license to allow Russian debt payments to be
made.
Russia using church as staging ground for Kyiv assault
-U.S. official
Reuters/April 01/2022
Russian forces have established a deployment cite at a church northwest of Kyiv
and are using it as a staging ground as part of their assault on the Ukrainian
capital, a senior U.S. administration official said on Friday. "Military
personnel are situated both on the grounds of the church and the surrounding
residential area," the official said on condition of anonymity and without
citing evidence. The official said the information was based on declassified
intelligence. "We believe the Russian military is using this staging point as
part of its assault on Kyiv," the official said. After failing to capture a
single major Ukrainian city in five weeks of war, Russia says it is pulling back
from northern Ukraine and shifting its focus to the southeast, including
Mariupol. Russia has painted its draw-down in the north of Ukraine as goodwill
gesture for peace talks. Ukraine and its allies say the Russian forces have been
forced to regroup after sustaining heavy losses due to poor logistics and tough
Ukrainian resistance. Over the past 10 days, Ukrainian forces have recaptured
suburbs near Kyiv, broken the siege of Sumy in the east and driven back Russian
forces advancing on Mykolaiv in the south.
US will not ‘push’ Ukraine to make concessions in peace
talks with Russia: State Dept
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/01 April ,2022
The US says it will not push Ukraine to make concessions it feels are not in its
best interests, the State Department said Friday, after British officials voiced
their concerns that Washington and other European nations would press Kyiv
during peace talks with Russia.“We will not push Ukraine to make concessions,
and we have consistently stated that sovereign states have the right to choose
their own alliances and make their own decisions about their security,” a State
Department official told Al Arabiya English. On Thursday, a senior government
source told British newspaper The Times that the UK was worried that Washington,
France and Germany were “over-eager” and might push Ukraine to “settle” for
major concessions during peace talks with Russia. The top US diplomat, Antony
Blinken, spoke with British counterpart Liz Truss on Friday to discuss
“additional possible actions to ratchet up their response to Russia’s invasion
of Ukraine,” the State Department said in a readout of the call.
Australia to send armored vehicles to Ukraine after request
Associated Press/April 01/2022
Prime Minister Scott Morrison said Friday that Australia will send armored
Bushmaster vehicles to Ukraine after President Volodymyr Zelenskyy specifically
asked for them while appealing to Australian lawmakers for more help in
Ukraine's war against Russia. Zelenskyy addressed the Australian Parliament on
Thursday and asked for the Australian-made, four-wheel-drive vehicles. Morrison
told reporters the vehicles will be flown over on Boeing C-17 Globemaster
transport planes. He didn't specify how many would be sent or when. "We're not
just sending our prayers, we are sending our guns, we're sending our munitions,
we're sending our humanitarian aid, we're sending all of this, our body armor,
all of these things and we're going to be sending our armored vehicles, our
Bushmasters, as well," Morrison said. Zelenskyy has been tailoring his message
to individual countries through video appeals like the one shown to legislators
in the Australian Parliament. Lawmakers gave him standing ovation at the start
and end of his 16-minute address. Zelenskyy also called for tougher sanctions
and for Russian vessels to be banned from international ports. "We need more
sanctions against Russia, powerful sanctions until they stop blackmailing other
countries with their nuclear missiles," Zelenskyy said through an interpreter.
Zelenskyy specifically asked for Bushmaster vehicles. "You have very good armed
personnel vehicles, Bushmasters, that could help Ukraine substantially, and
other pieces of equipment," Zelenskyy said.
While the Ukrainian capital Kyiv is 15,000 kilometers (9,300 miles) from the
Australian capital Canberra, Zelenskyy said Australia was not safe from the
conflict which threatened to escalate into a nuclear war. He suggested that a
Russian victory over Ukraine would embolden China to declare war on Taiwan. "The
most terrible thing is that if we don't stop Russia now, if we don't hold Russia
accountable, then some other countries of the world who are looking forward to
similar wars against their neighbors will decide that such things are possible
for them as well," Zelenskyy said. Zelenskyy also said Russia would not have
invaded Ukraine if Moscow had been punished for the 2014 downing of a Malaysia
Airlines plane in Ukraine. Two weeks ago, the Australian and Dutch governments
launched a legal case against Russia at the International Civil Aviation
Organization to hold Moscow accountable for its alleged role in the missile
strike that killed all 298 people on MH17. Of the victims, 196 were Dutch
citizens and 38 were Australian residents. Prime Minister Scott Morrison had
earlier told the president that Australia would provide additional military
assistance including tactical decoys, unmanned aerial and unmanned ground
systems, rations and medical supplies. He later said the additional help would
cost 25 million Australian dollars ($19 million). "You have our prayers, but you
also have our weapons, our humanitarian aid, our sanctions against those who
seek to deny your freedom and you even have our coal," Morrison said. Australia
has already promised or provided Ukraine with AU$91 million ($68 million) in
military assistance, AU$65 million ($49 million) in humanitarian help and 70,000
metric tons (77,200 U.S. tons) of coal.Earlier Thursday, the government
announced Australia was imposing an additional 35% tariff on all imports from
Russia and Belarus starting April 25. Oil and energy imports from Russia will be
banned from that date. Exports to Russia of Australian aluminum ore will also be
banned. Sanctions have been imposed on more than 500 individuals and entities in
Russia and Belarus. The sanctions cover 80% of the Russian banking sector and
all government entities that handle Russian sovereign debt.
Iraq's al-Sadr steps back, asks rivals to try form
government
Associated Press/April 01/2022
A powerful Iraqi Shiite cleric has said that he was stepping back for the next
40 days and giving his Iran-backed rivals the chance to form the country's next
government. The surprising move by Muqtada al-Sadr comes against the backdrop of
a persisting political deadlock in Iraq, five months after general elections.
Al-Sadr's offer came in a tweet, in which he also called on his followers not to
interfere "neither positively not negatively" as his rivals form the
Coordination Framework, a coalition of Iran-backed Shiite parties, try to cobble
together a Cabinet. This translates into a nod to al-Sadr's rivals to pursue the
cleric's Kurdish and Sunni allies in possible negotiations. There was no
immediate response from the Coordination Framework to al-Sadr's offer. Iraqi
political parties are at an impasse, and al-Sadr — the winner of the election —
has been unable to form a coalition government. He has assailed his rivals,
saying they "obstructed and are still obstructing" the process. The parties are
at odds over the choice of candidate for president, an obstacle that may also
extend to the premiership. It is also not clear which party constitutes the
largest bloc in parliament because of unclear and shifting loyalties of some
lawmakers and parties. The 40-day window offered by al-Sadr would start on the
first day of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, expected to begin this weekend,
depending on the sighting of the new moon. The Islamic calendar is a lunar one,
meaning the timeframe offered by al-Sadr would stretch beyond Ramadan, when
observant Muslims fast from dawn to dusk. The development is "a clear challenge
and dare" directed at his rivals while also being a "test of partners," tweeted
Farhad Alaaldin, chairman of the Iraq Advisory Council, a policy research
institute. It was not immediately clear how sincere al-Sadr's offer was. The
cleric, with a strong grassroots base, won the largest number of seats in the
election but not enough to declare a parliamentary majority. Iran-aligned
parties, including that belonging to former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, have
become his chief rivals. A parliament session last Saturday failed to reach the
two-thirds quorum necessary to elect a president. It was largely boycotted by
lawmakers associated with the Coordination Framework. Al-Sadr's move is a
gamble: A failure by the Coordination Framework would give his party, Sairoon,
significant leverage, but its success would relegate al-Sadr's party to the role
of the opposition.
Israel and UAE agree 'milestone' free trade deal
Agence France Presse/April 01/2022
Israel and the United Arab Emirates said Friday they had agreed on the terms of
a free trade agreement to boost commercial relations following their
normalization of ties. Israel described as "historic" the deal abolishing
customs duties on "95 percent of the products" exchanged between the Jewish
state and Gulf Arab country.The 2020 normalization deal reached between the two
countries was one of a series of US-brokered agreements known as the Abraham
Accords, and trade between them last year totaled some $900 million dollars,
according to Israeli figures. Talks for a free trade agreement began in November
and were concluded Friday after four rounds of negotiations, including last
month in Egypt between Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and the UAE's de
facto leader, Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al-Nahyan. "The good
relations forged between our two countries are strengthened today by this free
trade agreement, which will significantly improve economic cooperation for the
benefit of the citizens of both countries," Bennett said. The deal was now
"ready for signature", the UAE's Minister of State for Foreign Trade Thani al-Zeyoudi
said. "This milestone deal will build on the historic Abraham Accords and cement
one of the world's most important and promising emerging trading relationships,"
Zeyoudi said. Israel this week hosted a summit of top diplomats from the United
States and three Arab states -- the UAE, Bahrain and Morocco -- with which it
has normalized ties since 2020. Sudan also agreed to normalize ties with Israel,
although it has yet to finalize a deal.
Israeli forces kill Palestinian in West Bank
Agence France Presse/April 01/2022
Israeli forces shot dead a Palestinian on Friday during clashes in the
flashpoint occupied West Bank city of Hebron, the latest in a surge of violence,
the Palestinian health ministry said. The 29-year-old Palestinian was shot and
killed "with live ammunition", the ministry said in a brief statement. The
Palestinian Wafa news agency identified the dead man as Ahmad al-Atrash, who had
previously served six years in an Israeli prison. Asked by AFP, the Israeli army
had no immediate comment. Clashes erupted in the center of Hebron between
Palestinian residents and Israeli forces, an AFP journalist said.
Hebron, the biggest city in the West Bank, is home to about 1,000 Jewish
residents living under heavy Israeli military protection, among more than
200,000 Palestinians. The clashes come amid heightened tensions ahead of the
start of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan. Hebron hosts a disputed holy site,
known to Muslims as the Ibrahimi mosque and to Jews as the Cave of the
Patriarch, which is revered by both faiths. The Palestinian Red Crescent said it
also treated 70 people wounded in clashes with the Israeli army on Friday in the
Nablus area of the northern West Bank. On Thursday, Israeli security forces
raided the West Bank city of Jenin after three fatal attacks rocked the Jewish
state. Two Palestinians were killed in clashes, the health ministry said.
Elsewhere in the West Bank the same day, a Palestinian man who stabbed and
seriously wounded an Israeli civilian with a screwdriver on a bus was shot dead
south of the city of Bethlehem. The escalation in violence follows an attack on
Tuesday night in Bnei Brak, an Orthodox Jewish city near Tel Aviv. A Palestinian
with an M-16 assault rifle killed two Israeli civilians, two Ukrainian nationals
and an Israeli-Arab policeman. A total of 11 people have been killed in
anti-Israeli attacks since March 22, including some carried out by assailants
linked to or inspired by the Islamic State group for the first time. Ramadan
tensions last year escalated into an 11-day war between Israel and Hamas, the
Islamist group that controls Gaza. Israel captured the West Bank from Jordan in
the Six-Day War of 1967.It has since built a string of settlements across the
territory that are considered illegal under international law but are home to
some 475,000 Israelis. Peace talks between Israelis and Palestinians have been
frozen for years. Ramadan tensions last year escalated into 11 days of bloody
conflict between Israel and Hamas, the Islamist group that controls the Gaza
Strip.
Two-month ceasefire agreed in Yemen: UN envoy
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/01 April ,2022
Warring parties in Yemen have agreed to a two-month ceasefire starting this
weekend, the UN special envoy for Yemen announced on Friday. “The parties
accepted to halt all offensive military air, ground and maritime operations
inside Yemen and across its borders; they also agreed for fuel ships to enter
into Hodeidah ports and commercial flights to operate in and out of Sanaa
airport to predetermined destinations in the region,” UN envoy Hans Grundberg
said in a statement. Grundberg added that the sides agreed to meet open roads in
Taiz and other governorates in Yemen. “The Truce can be renewed beyond the
two-month period with the consent of the parties,” Grundberg added. “The aim of
this Truce is to give Yemenis a necessary break from violence, relief from the
humanitarian suffering and most importantly, hope that an end to this conflict
is possible.”Grundberg thanked regional and international stakeholders for their
support in helping reach the ceasefire. “All Yemeni women, men and children that
have suffered immensely through over seven years of war expect nothing less than
an end to this war,” he said. Read more: US sanctions Iran ballistic missile
program supplier after Saudi Aramco, Erbil attack Get the latest stories from
AlArabiya on Google News
Turkey to OK Khashoggi murder trial's move to Saudi Arabia
Associated Press/April 01/2022
Turkey's justice minister said Friday that the government will recommend that an
Istanbul court close a trial in absentia against 26 Saudi nationals charged in
the slaying of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi and transfer the case
to Saudi Arabia. Bekir Bozdag spoke a day after a Turkish prosecutor requested
the transfer, in line with a request from the kingdom. The request, which came
as Turkey and Saudi Arabia have been working to improve ties, raised fears of a
possible coverup of the killing that triggered an international outcry and cast
a cloud of suspicion over Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. A panel of
judges hearing the case made no ruling on the surprise request by the prosecutor
on Thursday but said it would seek the Justice Ministry's opinion. Trial was
adjourned until April 7. "We will send our opinion today," the state-run Anadolu
Agency quoted Bozdag as saying. "We will provide a positive opinion concerning
the transfer of this case." Amnesty International has urged Turkey to press
ahead with the trial, arguing that the case would be placed under wraps if moved
to Saudi Arabia. Bozdag said, however, that should the case be moved to the
kingdom, the Turkish court would evaluate any verdict reached by a Saudi court.
The Turkish judiciary would then drop the case if it is satisfied with the
verdict reached in Saudi Arabia or resume proceedings if the defendants are
acquitted, Anadolu reported. The trial's transfer to Saudi Arabia "does not
abolish the jurisdiction of the Turkish courts," Anadolu quoted the minister as
saying. Moving Khashoggi's trial to Saudi Arabia would provide a diplomatic
resolution to a dispute that exemplified the wider troubles between Ankara and
the kingdom since the 2011 Arab Spring. Turkey under President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan supported Islamists as the uprisings took hold, while Saudi Arabia and
its ally the United Arab Emirates sought to suppress such movements for fear of
facing challenges to their autocratic governments. Meanwhile, Turkey sided with
Qatar in a diplomatic dispute that saw Doha boycotted by Bahrain, Egypt, Saudi
Arabia and the UAE. Khashoggi, who wrote critically of Saudi Arabia's crown
prince, disappeared on Oct. 2, 2018, after entering the Saudi consulate in
Istanbul, seeking documents that would allow him to marry his Turkish fiancee.
He never emerged. Turkish officials allege that the Saudi national, who was a
United States resident, was killed and then dismembered with a bone saw inside
the consulate by a team of Saudi agents sent to Istanbul. His body has not been
found. Turkey began prosecuting the defendants in absentia in 2020 after Saudi
Arabia rejected requests for their extradition. In arguing for the transfer, the
prosecutor told the court that the Saudi chief public prosecutor's office
requested the Turkish proceedings be transferred to the kingdom in a letter
dated March 13, and that international warrants issued by Ankara against the
defendants be lifted, according to the private DHA news agency. The prosecutor
said that because the arrest warrants cannot be executed and defense statements
cannot be taken, the case would remain inconclusive in Turkey.
Tunisia probes speaker for 'conspiracy' after parliament
meets
Agence France Presse/April 01/2022
Tunisia has summoned for questioning the speaker of the dissolved parliament for
"conspiracy against state security" after lawmakers met online in the North
African nation, a spokesman said Friday. Rached Ghannouchi, who also heads the
Islamist-inspired Ennahdha party, received a summons on Thursday "to question
him about the holding of a plenary meeting", party spokesman Imed Khemiri said.
Ghannouchi, 81, was accused of "having plotted against state security, which is
a dangerous precedent", said Khemiri, who was also summoned for the same
reasons. On Thursday, Ghannouchi said at least 30 parliamentarians had been
summoned for questioning by anti-terrorism police. President Kais Saied
dissolved parliament on Wednesday, dealing another blow to the political system
in place since the North African country's 2011 revolt which sparked the Arab
Spring. It came eight months after he sacked the government, froze parliament
and seized sweeping powers, later moving to rule by decree in moves opponents
have dubbed a "coup". The president's announcement on Wednesday evening came
hours after parliamentarians held a plenary session online -- their first since
Saied's power grab -- and voted through a bill against his "exceptional
measures". Ghannouchi subsequently rejected Saied's dissolution of parliament.
Many Tunisians initially welcomed Saied's moves against political parties ofter
seen as self-serving and corrupt. Many blame Ghannouchi's party Ennahdha --
which has dominated Tunisia's post-revolution politics -- for the political
stalemate and economic problems faced over the past decade. But Saied's moves
have prompted accusations that he is taking Tunisia back towards autocracy.
Saied, a former law professor elected in 2019 amid public anger against the
political class, has given himself powers to rule and legislate by decree, as
well as seizing control over the judiciary. The parliament building in Tunis has
remained closed off and guarded by security forces for the past eight months.
The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on April 01-02/2022
شارل الياس شرتوني/أوكرانيا: الأزمة المستمرة
والمأساة المتمادية
Ukraine, the Plodding Conflict and the Ongoing Tragedy
Charles Elias Chartouni/April 01/2022
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/107528/charles-elias-chartouni-ukraine-the-plodding-conflict-and-the-ongoing-tragedy-%d8%b4%d8%a7%d8%b1%d9%84-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b3-%d8%b4%d8%b1%d8%aa%d9%88%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%a3%d9%88%d9%83%d8%b1/
The Ukrainian conflict is the perfect epitome of Putin’s Policies:
arbitrariness, moral callousness and nihilism, which altogether account for the
absurdity of this war, its goriness and devastations. The faked victimization he
features all along this conflict reflects his unqualified mendacity, cynicism,
total indifference to its humanitarian consequences and discretionary power in a
predatory State structure. It’s striking to notice that Russians and their
political institutions are mere expedients, and the autocrat is secure about his
hermetic hold on power, and the brittleness of countervailing powers,
institutions in Russia are simulacrums and mere appendages to the autocratic
regime. The only chance for Russia to extract itself from the autocratic clasp
is political murder as a typical hallmark of Russian Statehood.
Having said that, what are the chances of this conflict coming to a halt in the
absence of an unlikely steady military containment and a working diplomacy?
Russians, Ukrainians and the international community are the hostages of a
psychotic murderer in power, with nuclear armament, no moral qualms, and an
unrestricted instrumentalization of the public treasury. The enforcement of
sanctions and the politics of systemic foreclosures applied to various economic
and technological sectors are not dissuasive, as long as he finds bypasses and
exit routes which enable him to circumvent his state of incremental isolation,
let alone his delinquency and nuclear blackmailing.
The extensive support provided to Ukraine and the corollary sanctions, however
effective, are not enough to sway the adversity and arrogance of an unleashed
beast, while the deleterious humanitarian, economic, social and ecological
outcomes of this conflict have reached a climax. Short of a diplomatic
breakthrough to overcome the stalemated conflict, the priority should be given
to strengthening the Ukrainian resistance, the tightening of international
sanctions, and the steadying of transatlantic unity, while keeping alert to the
nihilistic tendencies of a psychotic autocrat. Fighting a criminal autocracy is
not an easy task since strategic and moral thresholds are trampled with no
further consideration.
In Iniochos Exercise, Israel Rehearses Iran Strikes as Saudis Observe
Bradley Bowman/Ryan Brobst/Seth J. Frantzman/Real Clear Defense/April 01/2022
The Greek-hosted Iniochos 2022 military exercise began this week, with Athens
welcoming military contingents from the United States, Israel, Cyprus, France,
Italy, and Slovenia. The exercise, which also includes observers from more than
10 other countries, will provide participants with an opportunity to work with
partner forces and hone their ability to detect and strike air, ground, and
maritime targets.
While this year’s exercise is largely similar to last year’s, two elements stand
out. First, Saudi Arabia is sending observers for the first time publicly to the
exercise. Second, Israel is using Inochios 2022 to rehearse some of the combat
capabilities it would need to conduct strikes against Iran’s nuclear program.
The Inochios annual military exercise, led by the Hellenic Air Force, runs from
March 28 to April 7 this year. The exercise provides participating air forces
with an opportunity to practice advanced air-ground-maritime integration in what
the Hellenic Air Force calls “one of the largest exercise areas in Europe.”
That is one of the reasons the United States Air Forces Europe (USAFE) sent
F-15E Strike Eagles from the 48th Fighter Wing based at the United Kingdom’s
Lakenheath airbase. The Iniochos exercise’s sophistication and large training
area enable the American pilots to fulfill important annual training
requirements.
In addition to the F-15Es, USAFE sent joint terminal attack controllers, or
JTACs, from the 4th Air Support Operations Group and an element of the 52nd
Fighter Wing Intelligence stationed at Spangdahlem Air Base in Germany. USAFE
also sent an MQ-9 Reaper stationed in Italy.
The exercise will also feature the French Rafale fighter aircraft and airborne
early warning system, the Italian Tornado fighter aircraft, the Slovenian PC-9
training aircraft, and the Cypriot AW139 helicopter. Israel, for its part, sent
the F-16, G550 surveillance plane, and Boeing 707 air refueler.
The list of countries that sent observers is equally robust. They include
Albania, Austria, Canada, Croatia, Egypt, India, Kuwait, Morocco, North
Macedonia, the United Kingdom — and Saudi Arabia.
Unlike Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates, which established diplomatic
relations with Israel in 2020 as part of the U.S.-brokered Abraham Accords,
Saudi Arabia still does not have formal diplomatic relations with Israel. That
makes Riyadh’s decision to observe the Iniochos exercise publicly noteworthy,
given that Israeli forces are participating again this year.
Saudi Arabia increasingly acknowledges in public what it has long understood in
private: Tehran and its terror proxies — not Israel — represent the real threat
to regional peace and security.
Perhaps that is why Riyadh was willing to have Israeli and Saudi fighter jets
escort (albeit at different times) a U.S. Air Force B-1B Lancer Bomber on a
patrol mission that circumnavigated the Arabian Peninsula in October 2021.
Earlier this year, a common Saudi-Israeli perception of the Iranian threat may
have also motivated both Israel and Saudi Arabia to participate in the U.S.-led
International Maritime Exercise, the Middle East’s largest maritime exercise.
The more Israel, the United States, and its Arab partners conduct military
exercises together, the more they can strengthen the readiness of their
individual forces, share intelligence on threats, and develop common best
practices for countering Tehran-supported terrorist groups that endanger
Israelis, Americans, and Arabs alike. This is especially important as Iran and
its proxies have stepped up attacks in recent months, from drones targeting
Israel to strikes on Saudi energy infrastructure to attacks on ships at sea. In
fact, the Iranian-backed Houthis just conducted a three-week-long assault
against Saudi Arabia, demonstrating the danger Tehran poses to regional
stability.
The second noteworthy feature of the Iniochos exercise also relates to Iran. As
Washington and Tehran appear close to a new nuclear deal that many worry would
provide Iran with a patient pathway to a nuclear weapons capability, the Israel
Defense Forces remain focused on building the capability to successfully strike
against Iran’s nuclear program if necessary.
Iniochos provide an opportunity to do just that. The distance from Israel to
Greece is roughly equivalent to the distance from Israel to Iran. By sending the
F-16, G550 surveillance plane, and 707 air refueler to Iniochos 2022, Israel
gains a valuable opportunity to practice conducting long-range airstrikes that
require air refueling support.
When Israel hones and demonstrates that capability, it sends a positive
deterrent message to Tehran that supports U.S. interests and promotes regional
security.
So, while this year’s Iniochos exercise may look relatively mundane on the
surface, a careful examination reveals growing Saudi and Israeli concern
regarding Iran, as well as a renewed determination to maintain military
readiness.
Bradley Bowman is the senior director of the Center on Military and Political
Power at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, where Ryan Brobst is a
research analyst. Seth Frantzman has been covering conflict in the Middle East
since 2010 as a researcher, analyst, and correspondent for various publications.
Follow Bradley on Twitter @Brad_L_Bowman. FDD is a Washington, DC-based,
nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.
The Challenge of Containing a Nuclear Iran
Reuel Marc Gerecht/The Dispatch/April 01/2022
Barring a great surprise, the Islamic Republic will get its nuke. How will the
U.S. respond?
Start with a probable assumption: The Islamic Republic will soon be able to
produce a nuclear weapon whenever the supreme leader decides to do so. A new
atomic accord, currently being negotiated in Vienna, won’t change the
fundamental atomic fact: Biden’s deal undoubtedly will leave in place Tehran’s
progress with high-speed centrifuges and a loose inspection regime that doesn’t
account for, let alone eliminate, Iran’s ample stockpile of the high-tech
components and maraging steel needed for the production of advanced centrifuges.
Removing Iranian surpluses of highly enriched uranium by allowing its export
abroad to Russia—an embarrassing destination now for the White House and the
Europeans—or to China doesn’t really matter so long as advanced centrifuges can
produce bomb fuel quickly. Iran’s nuclear engineers have shown that they can
build high-speed, sufficiently reliable, machines rapidly.
Barring a great, felicitous surprise, the theocracy, which has clandestinely and
overtly striven at great expense to develop the bomb since the 1980s, will have
its nuke. Which brings up the question of what a post-nuke Iran policy would
look like—assuming those who still want America to confront the clerical regime
are in power with sufficient will and means to do something more than sanctions.
Let us take preventive war out of the equation since that’s certainly not
happening with a Democratic president—even a hawkish Republican president likely
wouldn’t strike, assuming Tehran doesn’t have the bomb by 2025 (would Ron
DeSantis or Nikki Haley want to start their term with another Middle Eastern
war?). And the Israelis, too, are clearly not riding to the rescue: The current
government of Naftali Bennett doesn’t nearly have the determination of Prime
Minister Bibi Netanyahu, who tried and failed to get his cabinet to approve air
raids against the Islamic Republic’s nuclear sites. Existential threat or not,
senior commanders of the Israeli Defense Forces just don’t want to undertake
this mission. The doctrine of mutually assured destruction is, by default, what
Jerusalem will henceforth reluctantly accept.
So what’s actually left for those who oppose the Biden administration’s
approach? It’s a conundrum since anything likely to prove effective would risk
conflict. Most things that might matter, for example, in an aggressive
containment/regime-change strategy, would oblige Republicans either to bluff or
bring the military to bear. And if you bluff in the Middle East repeatedly,
you’re likely to get called. A fresh round of Iranian terrorism—say a successful
version of what could have happened in the exurbs of Paris in 2018, when the
clerical regime tried to bomb an opposition rally that likely would have killed
many Americans—might reignite an awareness that the Islamic Republic is
irredeemable, possibly building the requisite volition for military action. When
thinking about the ramifications of Iran’s long embrace of terrorism, however,
it’s always worthwhile (and depressing) to remember the first mass-casualty
event aimed at Americans: the Beirut barracks bombings in 1983.
That act was then extraordinary: 241 Americans died. Intercepts at the time and
later writings by Iran’s ambassador in Syria, Ali Akbar Mohtashemi-pur, and the
theocracy’s major domo, Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani, showed Iran to be proudly
culpable. Although Secretary of State George Shultz strongly advocated for a
military response, Ronald Reagan declined. A few years later, Reagan was trading
arms for hostages. And to move forward: In Iraq, George W. Bush didn’t do
anything serious against the Islamic Republic when it was killing American
soldiers, even though we knew through Iraqi prisoners an impressive amount about
its lethal operations. Military action against Iran, for its nuclear ambitions,
terrorism, or imperialist designs, just seems unlikely. Covert action, however,
like sanctions, offers the possibility of doing something for those who can’t
countenance war.
Most large-scale anti-Iranian covert action would cost too much money and likely
need to last too long for the programs to operate without bipartisan support.
The history of non-lethal American covert action during the Cold War, against
the Soviets, Communist Chinese, or on the periphery, against the Islamic
Republic, isn’t particularly inspiring; the big programs that endured all had
bipartisan buy-in, at least among senior members of Congress. Central
Intelligence Agency funds that the head of the Directorate of Operations can use
with presidential approval, which aren’t subject to a congressional veto or
even, if the president wants to push it, congressional oversight, aren’t large.
And any president today has to be aware that Langley will leak if it strongly
disapproves of what a president is doing. Ditto the congressional oversight
committees. Some programs collapse with leaks, others don’t. Given how much both
political parties hate each other, it’s not inconceivable that a president who
didn’t have sufficient support on the Hill could find himself facing impeachment
if a significant, controversial covert action were undertaken without
congressional support.
To get sufficient funds to run significant operations lasting a few years
requires the support of Democrats on the intelligence oversight committees. It’s
a good guess that most Democrats are unalterably opposed to a regime-change
policy aimed at the Iranian theocracy—unless the ruling mullahs and the
Revolutionary Guards do something truly atrocious, worse than anything they have
done so far. America-cocks-things-up-in-the-Third World is deeply rooted among
progressives, who appear to have the party’s moral high ground. This has
particular impact with Iran given the canonical role the CIA-supported 1953 coup
has in the American left’s understanding of modern history (simply put: The
coup, which supposedly aborted democracy, gave us the 1979 Islamic revolution).
Many Republicans, both Trumpian and more establishmentarian, might also
subscribe to this view, though there is a larger chance that some of them might
be fibbing, proscribing regime change in public but willing to be a bit bolder
in closed chambers.
It’s certainly possible to imagine more American support for Iranian
human-rights organizations outside of Iran, provided these groups would accept
official U.S. aid. Such efforts haven’t so far proven convulsive inside Iran,
which is why many of these groups are located in Europe and receive some
assistance from the European Union—they are considered non-threatening to the
EU’s long-standing policy of engaging the clerical regime, commercially and
diplomatically (France and Germany started their outreach in the early 1990s).
They offer a means for European officials to feel a bit better about all that
trade.
The Democrats, following the European example, could also likely find ways to
support Iranian dissidents so long as serious sanctions weren’t used, which
would undermine any nuclear agreement. Most Republicans would also support such
dissident/human-rights aid since it’s morally compelling, doesn’t commit the
United States to do anything on the ground, and doesn’t cost much. The rub would
come with the CIA. Most Democrats would likely oppose having Langley involved;
the operations directorate, which doesn’t much care for covert action owing to
possible political blowback and because most case officers lack the background
and languages to even pretend to do the work, would detail to Congress its
reservations. The experiment during the George W. Bush administration, where aid
to Iranian dissidents was open and administered through the State Department,
wasn’t a resounding success, leading to the arrest of Iranians who briefly
associated with these efforts. The Islamic Republic is much nastier internally
today than it was then.
However, the dissidents themselves—at least many of them—might not have a big
problem with CIA subventions. There has been something close to a sea change
among many oppositionists, especially among the expatriates: They have realized
that the Western left is unreliable owing to its almost monomaniacal preference
for arms control over human rights. That doesn’t necessarily mean they would
welcome association with the agency. It does mean, however, that they are less
scared of American right-wingers who, not long ago, would have been socially
unacceptable.
There might be some room for Langley to maneuver if a program developed to
better organize the expatriate opposition in the United States and Europe. It’s
remotely conceivable that Democrats might join Republicans in growing and
organizing this opposition. Expatriates certainly need help: Their capacity to
splinter remains profound. Secular liberal democrats, monarchists, fallen
left-wing Islamic revolutionaries, Iranian-Americans, who are now more American
than they are Iranian, Iranians in Europe, who have acquired all the pluses and
minuses that come with Europe’s cultural and political diversity, the
non-Persian ethnic minorities who want greater autonomy or outright freedom from
Tehran—they all have a lot of things they all don’t like about each other and
few personalities whom they all trust. Patient support from outsiders, either
clandestine or open, could prove crucial in turning the overseas opposition into
a more coherent, cohesive, influential voice against the theocracy. The same
might be true in Lebanon, where a big slice of the Lebanese Shiite community, at
home and abroad, seems to want distance from Hezbollah, Iran’s favorite Arab
child of the Islamic revolution. Soft-power covert action might have a small but
important role to play in advancing more Lebanese Shiite criticism of the
clerical regime’s malevolent role in the Levant.
Although the Iranian opposition has become technically pretty savvy about secure
communications, the opposition isn’t cash rich. The eye-popping success of many
Iranians abroad, especially in the United States, hasn’t yet led to a reliable
donor class willing to give tens of millions of dollars to support innovative
ways to bring opposition groups and the Iranian people closer together. All of
these things are easier to do if a foreign intelligence service helps. Supreme
Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is absolutely paranoid about an Iranian fifth
column, which depending on the day, the cleric sees as a small, cancerous
minority or a vast legion who’ve fallen irretrievably into the grip of Western
culture. The echo effect inside Iran of a better organized expatriate opposition
might be substantial.
Although Iranian expatriates love to focus on the deficiencies of the Persian
services of the Voice of America and Radio Free Europe-Radio Liberty, and some
of these deficiencies are serious, America’s official broadcasting in Persian
probably doesn’t warrant much further attention—beyond giving it more money.
Neither service by statute can become a vehicle for activists, outside of Iran
or within, which is often what frustrated expatriates understandably want.
A lot of information gets into the Islamic Republic via all the Western news
services broadcasting in Persian, through radio, the Internet, and TV; private
services also have some influence and a following. The problem inside Iran isn’t
the rapid conveyance of accurate information—that happens sufficiently. What
doesn’t happen is what the human-rights activists and oppositionists want:
reliable vehicles, with secure communications, to publicize immediately the
human-rights outrages and help organize protests and other activities that
confront the regime. Tech-savvy Westerners with a lot of money and desire—this
would probably have to be sponsored by, or via, an intelligence service—might
provide serious aid and comfort to those inside who are willing to risk
imprisonment, torture, and death.
Hard Containment
When it comes to the use of hard power against the clerical regime, the
situation is more challenging. It is by no means clear that American military
pressure, at least what might be remotely plausible, would now put that much
strain on the theocracy. The Islamic Republic has deployed, at least since the
Israeli Air Force, with its relentless bombing campaign, made a heavier
footprint in Syria too costly, a light, coercive approach in Mesopotamia and the
Levant. In Iraq, Iran’s lethal reach is executed almost exclusively through Arab
Shiite allies. They are too insulated in the country’s complex matrix of
domestic politics for the United States to actually hurt Iran through greater
military pressure on those allies. And our presence there, which still has some
significance for the country’s future, can no longer be increased without that
country’s democratic, nationalist politics working against us.
If we borrowed a page from the clerical regime’s machinations against us in
Iraq, then the CIA would develop a plan for American-led foreign assassination
teams to take out Iranian personnel, especially Islamic Revolutionary Guard
officers in Syria. Israel is already killing IRGC personnel routinely there. The
agency probably can’t add that much to that effort, perhaps better targeting
information coming from America’s unrivaled intercept capabilities, plus more
lethal drones and cruise missiles. If we were willing to station CIA officers in
greater numbers in a wider area in Syria, or work through the Turks or the
Jordanians, Langley might be able to develop small operational Syrian cadres
that would have the sole mission to find and eliminate IRGC staff. Langley’s
paramilitary efforts with the Syrian opposition during Barack Obama’s years were
nothing to write home about, but they would have provided some basic familiarity
with possible players and their liabilities. Such operations likely wouldn’t
have a shortage of Syrian volunteers. It would take time to get this up and
running, but less time than non-military covert action, which is always, by
definition, less concrete.
Syria is still the Wild West: The regime doesn’t have tight control over much of
its territory. We just might discover opportunities to amplify significantly the
damage the Israeli Air Force brings. These efforts certainly wouldn’t reignite
the civil strife/civil war that our European allies, who fear new waves of
Muslim refugees, dread. Obviously, no such program could develop under
Democrats, and it would be a bold Republican president to take this on. And this
is likely one of those clandestine efforts that leaks could kill.
Plus, the clerical regime has shown that it can absorb fairly significant IRGC
losses and adapt. The only event that might bleed Iran dry, à la the Soviets in
Afghanistan, would be the re-ignition of nationwide strife between the majority
Sunni Syrian population and the Shiite Alawite dictatorship. It’s unlikely that
there would be much political appetite in Washington, even among the most
hawkish Republicans, for turning the Syrian civil war back on given the near
certainty that it would restart refugees moving toward Europe.
In the southern Middle East, Washington could restore some of its support to the
Saudis and Emirates in Yemen, but this isn’t going to rise to the level that
could hurt Iran since the clerical regime risks little in its support to the
Shiite Houthis. Playing on decades of internecine strife, the Islamic Republic
and Hezbollah have encouraged the Houthis’ radicalization. Yemen is a low-cost
blackjack game for Iran, one where it’s the dealer. Over time, it will always
win. Probably not a lot but enough to be satisfying and easily worth the cost.
Terrifying the Saudis and Emirates with missiles launched from over the border
probably makes the Iranian elite just giddy.
Although we lack good information on exactly what transpires in Yemen, it
certainly doesn’t appear that Tehran has a significant, perhaps not even a
permanent, IRGC presence in the country. And the Sunni Gulf Arabs aren’t going
to commit more to this cause than they already have; even without American
pressure, Riyadh had been reducing its commitment; “Little Sparta,” a truly
generous sobriquet for Abu Dhabi, keeps financing local proxies, with varying
effectiveness, but is no longer deploying its own troops into harm’s way. The
Saudi and Emirati militaries, not without their successes since the intervention
began in 2015, certainly don’t evince any confidence now that they can win in
Yemen. For cause: the Houthis are militarily too strong, geographically
well-positioned, and represent the most organized religious and tribal groups in
the country. Riyadh and Abu Dhabi now know they can’t possibly win the
propaganda war since their bombing campaigns, which unavoidably are going to
fall way short of First World standards, and impoverishing naval blockades play
poorly.
Washington’s military aid to the Gulf States should focus on providing more and
better means for intercepting medium and short-range missiles. Finding, let
alone killing, IRGC and Lebanese Hezbollah operatives, who serve as the IRGC’s
vanguard among the Arabs, would be extremely difficult. Yemen is just a perfect
arena for Tehran to win at little cost; there’s little that the United States
can do about it.
Northwest of Yemen, in the Arabian Sea, the Gulf of Oman, and the Persian Gulf,
a Republican White House could make it crystal clear that the pre-Trump
understanding about American naval intervention is back in force: We will
protect all shipping that transits these waters and all ports and oil facilities
along the littoral. That isn’t going to put much new pressure on Tehran, but it
will check its appetite. And Washington can do this at relatively low cost and
avoid the unhelpful, possibly dangerous, illusion that the Saudis and Emirates
can do much on their own.
Certainly selling more advanced weaponry to these two states shouldn’t be part
of any anti-Iran containment strategy. They can’t absorb and properly use the
armaments that they already have. Both kingdoms are probably fragile—something
their rulers likely know. Hence the “secret” messengers from Saudi Arabia and
the Emirates to Tehran whenever they are scared, which is often. Donald Trump
had many bad foreign-policy ideas; imagining the Gulfies as America’s tribunes
against the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps was among his worst.
The hostility that many Democrats have toward Saudi Arabia and the Jamal
Kashoggi-butchering Saudi crown prince is overwrought, but it does keep
Washington today from assigning Saudi Arabia and the Emirates destabilizing
roles. The kingdom has enough to handle with Mohammad bin Salman’s modernizing,
dictatorial ambitions—they could easily be too much for a deeply religious
society in rapid transition. The Abraham Accords shouldn’t be viewed as the glue
for a new Gulf-Israel-U.S. alliance; they are, first and foremost, the product
of American weakness and a bipartisan desire to retrench in the region. Gulfie
self-confidence and a final acceptance of the Zionist dream didn’t produce the
accords; fear of Shiites did.
That fear is primarily and most easily countered by the U.S. Navy—always the
cutting edge of America’s containment of the Islamic Republic. And the more
present the U.S. Navy is in the Persian Gulf, the greater the opportunity for
the clerical regime to do something stupid that might lead to a U.S.–Iranian
confrontation that could seriously diminish the Islamic Republic’s armed forces.
Any sensible containment strategy would increase substantially America’s
intrusive presence there, reminding the Revolutionary Guards that the waterway
is Persian in name only. Any nuclear accord with the mullahs ought to oblige the
United States to “pivot to the Middle East” since Washington should want to
reassure Israel, the Sunni Arab states, and Turkey, the most likely state to
next go nuclear. It should want to show Tehran that America can quickly and
decisively punish it.
Nuclear diplomacy should have meant, by definition, that the United States was
gearing up for at least an expanded military containment of the Islamic
Republic. The nuclear negotiations in Vienna are quite close to achieving their
end if Washington can find work-arounds for Russia’s contributions and
sanctions-avoiding trade with the Islamic Republic (certainly doable) and
diplomatic legerdemain that neutralizes the Trump administration’s
foreign-terrorist designation of the Revolutionary Guards (trickier but
surmountable). A new deal will undoubtedly leave the Iranian theocracy with the
means to produce the bomb and a lot of cash to buy conventional weapons.
The clerical regime has, however, survived American collisions before (see
Operation Praying Mantis that left much of Iranian navy in flames in 1988).
Outside of Syria, American hard power, if Washington can muster it, isn’t likely
to add the kind of pressure that could fray Iran’s writ anywhere in the region.
By default, the American “containment” of Iran may remain limited to U.S. ground
forces in Syria at Dayr uz-Zohr, the U.S. Navy and the Air Force in the Persian
Gulf, and sanctions—whatever Republicans may reinstitute after they return to
power. That’s not a particularly vigorous approach to constraining the clerical
regime, but it’s helpful. In an utterly polarized Washington, where Obama’s
nuclear deal, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, and its imminent successor
have become litmus tests for most Democrats, this may be all that Washington can
do.
Once Iran has a nuke, the theocracy might let hubris get the better of it.
America’s willpower and capacity may change. In the 1970s, when the United
States was in a profound funk and the fall of Saigon and Henry Kissinger’s
détente defined Washington’s declining capacity, an American resurgence seemed
far-fetched. And yet, Reagan flipped the switch.
Such a change today vis-à-vis the clerical regime would require the theocracy to
demonstrate that it’s a big league threat to America’s well-being or that it’s
just too troublesome, with too much American blood on its hands, for a recharged
liberal hegemon to tolerate. If the Islamic Republic were bigger and more
dangerous or smaller and with fewer hopeful Westerners making excuses for it,
then Washington would likely be much more forceful. The Islamic Republic is a
talented, nefarious, oil-rich middleweight whose lethal machinations rarely get
punished. Secretary Shultz was right: The United States should punish the
theocracy routinely, harshly, and without exception. Malevolent habits will only
grow worse with nukes to fuel the mullahs’ pride and mission civilisatrice.
*Reuel Gerecht, a former Iranian-targets officer in the CIA, is a senior fellow
at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Follow him on Twitter @ReuelMGerecht.
FDD is a Washington, DC-based, non-partisan research institute focusing on
national security and foreign policy.
Biden Administration Failing to Reform U.N.’s Palestinian Refugee Agency
David May/The Bulwark/April 01/2022
No signs yet of the promised “neutrality, accountability, and transparency” from
UNRWA.
Its textbooks promote anti-Semitism and violence. Its previous leader resigned
amid allegations of “misconduct, nepotism, retaliation . . . and other abuses of
authority.” There is no question that the United Nations Relief and Works Agency
for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) is in need of drastic reform.
Yet the Biden administration just appointed a former top UNRWA official to the
State Department bureau that oversees hundreds of millions of dollars of U.S.
funding for her previous employer. Elizabeth Campbell, a new deputy assistant
secretary in the Bureau of Population, Refugees, and Migration, worked for UNRWA
from 2017 until earlier this year, representing its interests in Washington.
UNRWA currently faces a serious financial shortfall, presenting the Biden
administration with an opportunity to push for much-needed reform and
accountability. However, it seems unlikely that Campbell—who just weeks ago was
paid to publicly defend UNRWA and its budget—would now clamp down on her former
employer.
The Trump administration cut off all U.S. funding for UNRWA in 2018, concluding
that UNRWA needed to be reformed completely, if not dismantled. With a mandate
to care for refugees, providing basic services like health care and education,
but not resettle them, UNRWA has perpetuated the problem it exists to deal with.
By conferring refugee status on multiple generations of Palestinians—a departure
from U.N. practice in other conflicts—an initial refugee population of
approximately 750,000 in 1948 has ballooned to 5.7 million. This expansive
definition of who is a refugee, coupled with UNRWA’s support for the “right of
return,” the Palestinian claim that all these millions of Palestinians have a
right to resettle inside Israel, makes the agency a vehicle for prolonging the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict. To boot, UNRWA has also had serious issues of
waste, fraud, and abuse.
When the Trump administration zeroed out aid to the U.N. agency in August 2018
after it resisted making changes, a State Department spokesperson announced,
“The United States will no longer commit further funding to this irredeemably
flawed operation.”
The Biden administration opted to restore funding to the agency before securing
structural changes in UNRWA’s mandate or operations—all but ensuring no change
would occur. When announcing the decision last April, Secretary of State Antony
Blinken vowed U.S. taxpayer money would promote “neutrality, accountability, and
transparency.” Since then, the United States has donated or pledged some $416.8
million to UNRWA, including more than $32 million contributed in the wake of the
May 2021 Hamas-Israel war.
The Biden administration would likely defend its decision by pointing to the
framework for cooperation with the State Department that UNRWA signed on July
14, 2021, in which it committed to stopping incitement against Jews and Israel
in its education system and ensuring it does not support or provide assistance
to terrorist groups. Days later, the United States announced another $135.8
million for the cash-strapped agency. On December 30, 2021, the State Department
pledged an additional $99 million, again stressing the need for UNRWA to focus
on “accountability, transparency, neutrality, and stability.”
But America’s return on investment appears to be negative. A report published in
January 2022 by the Jerusalem- and London-based watchdog group IMPACT-se shows
that UNRWA has continued to distribute teaching materials that glorify and
promote violence. (Previous reports from the group, which pre-date the agreement
with the Biden State Department, showed the same thing, as did an EU-funded
report released in June 2021. Even the UNRWA commissioner-general, Philippe
Lazzarini, admitted last September that textbooks distributed by his agency
promote anti-Semitism, hatred, and violence.)
UNRWA has frequently hidden behind a claim that it merely uses the curriculum of
its “host country.” With this approach, UNRWA has deflected accusations that the
Palestinian Authority textbooks it uses in the West Bank and Gaza incite
Palestinians to violence, even though UNRWA is under no obligation to use these
materials.
Beyond teaching materials, UNRWA personnel are also part of the problem. In
August 2021, another watchdog group, UN Watch, issued a report detailing 113
UNRWA staffers who promoted terrorism, violence, and anti-Semitism, mainly on
social media. For example, multiple teachers praised Hitler, espoused conspiracy
theories of global Jewish domination, and shared Hamas propaganda videos.
Following the report, UNRWA suspended at least six employees. What happened to
the other 107 remains unclear.
UNRWA has also failed to demonstrate its neutrality. During the latest
Hamas-Israel war, then-UNRWA Gaza chief Matthias Schmale drew Hamas’s ire and
earned himself a one-way ticket out of Gaza for merely acknowledging that
Israel’s strikes in Gaza were precise and largely avoided civilian casualties.
Schmale is no longer with UNRWA. His replacement quickly met with Hamas and
thanked the terrorist group for its “positivity and desire to continue
cooperation.”
UNRWA also appears to be failing in its commitment not to support terrorists,
having contracted with at least two organizations tied to terrorist groups in
2021. In both cases, the contracts were with health-care related institutions,
but the connections to terrorist entities are troubling. UNRWA spent over
$366,000 at Rassoul al-Azam, a Hezbollah-owned and -operated hospital in Beirut.
UNRWA also paid over $1.2 million to the Union of Health Work Committees (UHWC),
reportedly the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine’s (PFLP) Gaza-based
health organization. (The U.S. government designated the PFLP as a Foreign
Terrorist Organization in 1997.) The August 2019 murder of an Israeli teenager
perpetrated by members of several PFLP-linked nongovernmental organizations
elevated concerns regarding the PFLP’s use of NGOs as fronts.
With the Biden administration’s inability or unwillingness to force sorely
needed change at UNRWA, there are several ways for Congress to intervene.
Appropriators should consider tying any further assistance to UNRWA to key
reforms: zero tolerance for anti-Semitism and incitement to violence; vetting
all UNRWA beneficiaries, employees, and contractors according to U.S. terrorist
designations; and a change in UNRWA’s mandate to support a durable solution to
the refugee issue and help Palestinians achieve economic independence.
The United States should halt its contributions to this flawed organization
until it cleans up its act, demonstrating the accountability, transparency, and
neutrality it promised.
*David May is a senior research analyst at the Foundation for Defense of
Democracies. Follow him on Twitter @DavidSamuelMay. FDD is a Washington,
DC-based, non-partisan research institute focusing on national security and
foreign policy.
Question: "What is the meaning of, “The fool says in his
heart, ‘There is no God’” (Psalm 14:1; 53:1)?"
GotQuestions.org/April 01/2022
Answer: Both Psalm 14:1 and Psalm 53:1 read, “The fool says in his heart, ‘There
is no God.’” Some take these verses to mean that atheists are stupid, i.e.,
lacking intelligence. However, that is not the only meaning of the Hebrew word
translated “fool.” In this text, the Hebrew word is nabal, which often refers to
an impious person who has no perception of ethical or religious truth. The
meaning of the text is not “unintelligent people do not believe in God.” Rather,
the meaning of the text is “sinful people do not believe in God.” In other
words, it is a wicked thing to deny God, and a denial of God is often
accompanied by a wicked lifestyle. The verse goes on to list some other
characteristics of the irreligious: “They are corrupt; their deeds are vile; /
there is no one who does good.” Psalm 14 is a study on the universal depravity
of mankind.
Many atheists are very intelligent. It is not intelligence, or a lack thereof,
that leads a person to reject belief in God. It is a lack of righteousness that
leads a person to reject belief in God. Many people do not object to the idea of
a Creator, as long as that Creator minds His own business and leaves them alone.
What people reject is the idea of a Creator who demands morality from His
creation. Rather than struggle against a guilty conscience, some people reject
the idea of God altogether. Psalm 14:1 calls this type of person a “fool.”
Psalm 14:1 says that denying God’s existence is commonly based on a desire to
lead a wicked life. Several prominent atheists have admitted the truth of this.
Some, such as author Aldous Huxley, have openly admitted that a desire to avoid
moral restraints was a motivation for their disbelief:
“I had motives for not wanting the world to have a meaning; and consequently
assumed that it had none, and was able without any difficulty to find satisfying
reasons for this assumption. The philosopher who finds no meaning in the world
is not concerned exclusively with a problem in pure metaphysics. He is also
concerned to prove that there is no valid reason why he personally should not do
as he wants to do. For myself, as no doubt for most of my friends, the
philosophy of meaninglessness was essentially an instrument of liberation from a
certain system of morality. We objected to the morality because it interfered
with our sexual freedom. The supporters of this system claimed that it embodied
the meaning - the Christian meaning, they insisted - of the world. There was one
admirably simple method of confuting these people and justifying ourselves in
our erotic revolt: we would deny that the world had any meaning whatever.” ―
Aldous Huxley, Ends and Means
Belief in a divine Being is accompanied by a sense of accountability to that
Being. So, to escape the condemnation of conscience, which itself was created by
God, some simply deny the existence of God. They tell themselves, “There is no
overseer of the world. There is no Judgment Day. I can live as I please.” The
moral pull of the conscience is thus more easily ignored.
Trying to convince oneself there is no God is unwise. The point of “The fool
says in his heart, ‘There is no God’” is that it is an impious, sinful heart
that will deny God. The atheist’s denial flies in the face of much evidence to
the contrary, including his own conscience and the universe he lives in.
A lack of evidence of God’s existence is not the true reason atheists reject a
belief in God. Their rejection is due to a desire to live free of the moral
constraints God requires and to escape the guilt that accompanies the violation
of those constraints. “The wrath of God is being revealed from heaven against
all the godlessness and wickedness of people, who suppress the truth by their
wickedness, since what may be known about God is plain to them . . . so that
people are without excuse…Their thinking became futile and their foolish hearts
were darkened. Although they claimed to be wise, they became fools…Therefore God
gave them over in the sinful desires of their hearts…They exchanged the truth
about God for a lie” (Romans 1:18–25).
Even when they fail to win, Iran's Iraqi loyalists refuse
to lose
Hussain Abdul-Hussain/The Arab Weekly/Friday 01/04/2022
Iran has therefore changed its narrative from demanding the “Shia share” to
insisting on “national unity,” which means giving Iran’s tiny minority veto
power or live with a shutdown state. Benefitting from a skewed Supreme Court
interpretation of the Iraqi constitution, Iran’s loyalists this week once again
prevented the Iraqi parliament from electing a president, thus violating a
constitutional mandate that a presidential election be held within 30 days of
electing a speaker, which happened in January. With parliament stalled, Iran and
its tiny minority bloc are forcing Iraq’s parliamentary majority to choose
between forming a “national unity cabinet” with Iranian loyalists or keeping
parliament closed indefinitely. Whichever way it plays out, the stand-off has
only deepened a political crisis that has plagued the war-scarred country for
months. In February, Iraq’s Supreme Court dealt the country’s anti-Iran majority
a stinging defeat when it offered an unconvincing explanation of how parliament
should elect a president. The court in effect saved Iran from the humiliation
suffered in October’s parliamentary election, when its loyalists won only 62 out
of parliament’s 329 seats. While most of the judges on the court are Shia, there
is no clear evidence that they are partisans of Iran. That is because the court
does not share its deliberations or detail how it reaches its decisions. It only
issues a verdict with the signature of all nine judges. In this case, it seems
the court was thinking that the inclusion of more blocs in government would
produce stronger cabinets.
The Iraqi constitution stipulates that a simple parliamentary majority of 165
MPs constitutes a quorum. For the election of a president, the constitution says
that a winner should collect support from two-thirds “of members,” without
specifying whether that means all 329 office holders, or just those present for
the vote. Shutting down parliament was Iran’s only hope for stopping the
majority from electing a president and prime minister and forming a cabinet.
Iraq’s Supreme Court raised the quorum bar from one-half to two-thirds with its
interpretation that two-thirds meant all 329 members. But by doing so, the court
undermined the basic constitutional principle of forming a simple majority
government and forced in its stead a super majority. In past elections, no bloc
or alliance reached the simple 165 majority and Iran’s loyalists usually won the
biggest number of seats. Hence, the disagreement was usually over defining
whether the biggest bloc meant the biggest party or the largest alliance. By the
time a majority was obtained, a quorum was achieved and everything else fell in
place
But Iraq’s 2021 election handed anti-Iran Shia cleric Moqtada Al-Sadr the
biggest bloc, with 73 MPs. Sunnis won two blocs that were merged to form a
51-seat alliance. The Kurdistan Democratic Party won 31 seats. These three blocs
then formed a 155-seat coalition and called it Rescue the Homeland (RH). Of the
43 independents elected, RH snatched enough MPs to become a simple majority
coalition of 165 seats. The parties Etimad and New Generation also joined,
raising RH’s seat count to 202. And yet, while a 202-seat majority is big, it
falls short of the super majority now required to elect a president and form a
cabinet.
Before the court’s ruling, the RH majority re-elected, on January 9, Sunni
Muhammad Al-Halbousi for a second term as speaker. The Iraqi constitution
stipulates that the election of a president should have followed within 30 days.
But Iran’s loyalists took up the issue with the Supreme Court, disputing
Halbousi’s election. Trying to split hairs, the court affirmed Halbousi’s win
but fixed quorum for the presidential election at 220.
While the pro-Iran bloc won only 62 seats, it managed to win over many
legislators by twisting their arms, at times threatening violence. But on
Wednesday, just as it did during the previous two attempts, the quorum
collapsed, leaving RH with two bad options: either let Iranian loyalists join a
new cabinet or continue to linger under an interim one. Sadr did not his mince
words when he tweeted his preference: “I will not reach a consensus with you. A
stalemate is better than dividing state spoils.”
Iran and its loyalists do not care much about government. Iraq, Lebanon, and
Yemen are failed states and Tehran has never showed willingness to lift a finger
to bring about settlements. What Iran does, however, is make sure that no
cabinets are formed without its loyalists, which gives it the power to kill
decrees or executive orders that might lead to the disarmament of its militias.
While Iran usually cloaks its quest for veto power behind insisting on the “Shia
share,” such cover has been blown in Iraq where the biggest elected Shia bloc
opposes Iran’s Islamist regime. In fact, all the components of Iraq’s majority
coalition, the Shia, the Sunni and the Kurd, represent their electorates and
oppose Iran. Iran has therefore changed its narrative from demanding the “Shia
share” to insisting on “national unity,” which means giving Iran’s tiny minority
veto power or live with a shutdown state. Before the Supreme Court handed Iran
its ability to bring the state to a halt, Tehran’s loyalists often threatened
civil war if a cabinet was formed without them.
And thus, Iraq finds itself at a political standstill. Should Tehran’s loyalists
win a majority, they would form a cabinet while leaving the minority in their
rearview mirror. For Iran, politics in Iraq comes down to this: find a way to
win elections or employ strategies to ensure its loyalists never lose.