LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
September 29/15
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletins05/english.september29.15.htm
Bible Quotation For Today/See,
I am sending you out like sheep into the midst of wolves; so be wise as serpents
and innocent as doves.
Matthew 10/16-22: ""See, I am sending you out like sheep into the midst of
wolves; so be wise as serpents and innocent as doves. Beware of them, for they
will hand you over to councils and flog you in their synagogues; and you will be
dragged before governors and kings because of me, as a testimony to them and the
Gentiles. When they hand you over, do not worry about how you are to speak or
what you are to say; for what you are to say will be given to you at that time;
for it is not you who speak, but the Spirit of your Father speaking through you.
Brother will betray brother to death, and a father his child, and children will
rise against parents and have them put to death; and you will be hated by all
because of my name. But the one who endures to the end will be saved."
Bible Quotation For Today/Obey it,
and repent. If you do not wake up, I will come like a thief, and you will not
know at what hour I will come to you.
Book of Revelation 03/01-06: "‘To
the angel of the church in Sardis write: These are the words of him who has the
seven spirits of God and the seven stars: ‘I know your works; you have a name
for being alive, but you are dead. Wake up, and strengthen what remains and is
at the point of death, for I have not found your works perfect in the sight of
my God. Remember then what you received and heard; obey it, and repent. If you
do not wake up, I will come like a thief, and you will not know at what hour I
will come to you. Yet you have still a few people in Sardis who have not soiled
their clothes; they will walk with me, dressed in white, for they are worthy. If
you conquer, you will be clothed like them in white robes, and I will not blot
your name out of the book of life; I will confess your name before my Father and
before his angels. Let anyone who has an ear listen to what the Spirit is saying
to the churches."
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on September
28-29/15
Congress pursues 'death by 1,000 cuts' strategy against Iran deal/Julian
Pecquet/Al Monitor/September 28/15
What Israel should do about Iran/amir Libel/Kamran Bokhari/Al Monitor/September
28/15
US can defer on Assad until IS is defeated/Al Monitor/September 28/15
What Israel should do about Iran/Amir Libel/Kamran Bokhari/Al Monitor/September
28/15
US can defer on Assad until IS is defeated/Al Monitor/September 28/15
Migration Crisis: "Islam Will Conquer Europe Without Firing a Shot"/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone
Institute/September
28/15
Lies about Islamic Taqiyya (Dissimulation)/Dr. Carson Right: Washington Post and
Academics Wrong/Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/September
28/15
Obama is not going to save Syria/Andrew Bowen/Al Arabiya/September 28/15
Did the Russians just ‘invade’ Syria?/Faisal J. Abbas/Al Arabiya/September 28/15
Divergent views on the Middle East at the U.N. General Assembly/Raghida Dergham/Al
Arabiya/September 28/15
Khalaf Al-Habtoor, The Influential Emirati Business Leader And Commentator: Side
Deal With Iran/MEMRI/September
28/15
Russia opposes “lawless”pro-Assad militias: report/Now Lebanon/September 28/15
The Islamic State’s Frantic Response To The Wave Of Refugees Fleeing Syria/R.
Green/MEMRI/September
28/15
Titles For
Latest LCCC Bulletin for Lebanese Related News published on
September 28-29/15
Elias Bejjani/Tweets For Today/September 28/15
Elect the Conservatives, To Keep
Canada A Free & Safe Country/Elias Bejjani/28.09.15
Honoured To Be
Canadian/Elias Bejjani/September 28/15
Lebanese journalist fined for contempt of court in Hariri murder case
Hollande Announces October Visit to Lebanon, Expresses Sympathy over its Refugee
Burden
Lebanon garbage showdown looms
STL Contempt Judge Sentences Karma Khayat to €10,000 Fine
Shehayyeb Meets Aoun: We Want to Eliminate Trash Dumps in Favor of Sanitary
Landfills
Kataeb Says Lebanese Failure to Elect President Will Draw Foreign Role
Salam: I Support the Civil Movements' Demands
Lebanese Army Refers Kasha to the Judiciary for Terrorist Ties
Report: Security Appointments Will Top Agenda of Next Cabinet Session
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And
News published on
September 28-29/15
Rowhani: Assad’s govt ‘cannot be weakened’
Obama hits out at ‘child-killing’ Assad, ISIS at U.N.
Saudi arrests ISIS-related terror cell in two cities
Turkey’s Davutoglu sees no transition period for Syria’s Assad
Sources: Iranian diplomat may have entered Saudi under unknown identity
Qatar plans to invest $35 billion in US over 5 years
Obama 'prepared to work' with Russia, Iran on Syria
Iran's Rouhani to join repatriation ceremony for hajj dead
Links From Jihad Watch Web site For Today
Video: Obama calls for “rejection by non-Muslims of the ignorance that equates
Islam with terror”
Now 30,000 foreign Muslims have joined ISIS; analyst says they’ve lost momentum
Bethlehem monastery torched by Islamic jihadists
Russia, Iraq, Syria, and Iran to share intelligence about the Islamic State
Where the Islamic State has directed or inspired jihad attacks worldwide
Putin to those who supported “Arab Spring” in Middle East: “Do you realize what
you have done?”
New U.S. Army patch for fight against the Islamic State closely resembles Muslim
Brotherhood logo
slamic State jihadis deride “coconuts”: Muslims who participated in interfaith
activities with Pope
Video: Arabic-speaking woman tells what “migrants” really say about “infidels”
Afghanistan: Islamic jihadists murder nine with attack on sports match
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar Should Not Be President
Mecca: Muslim pilgrim commits suicide in “hope of entering paradise”
Relax: Australia and Indonesia to work together to rehabilitate jihadis
Raymond Ibrahim: Obama Throws Christian Refugees to Lions
UK Muslims pelt soldier in uniform with eggs, excrement
ABC’s “Quantico” tackles terrorism, offends Mormons
Elias Bejjani/Tweets For Today/September 28/15
The Conservatives In Canada are strongly heading for a
majority government. The two other confused parties are trailing far far behind. No wonder why, Well Canadians have a good taste and know very well to whom
they must vote.
Mr. Justin Trudeau, the Canadian Liberal Party leader is totally ignores the ABC of terrorism. He is not fit or
qualified to be our PM. He needs to go back to school and educate himself on
terrorism and on many other issues needed for governing
Lebanon's FM, Jobran Bassil does not represent the free people of Lebanon. He
is a mere Iranian trumpet and mouthpiece. All his allegations uttered in the USA
about a Muslim Christian crisis in Lebanon are mere fabrications
Iran via its terrorist Hezbollah occupies fully Lebanon & oppresses, intimidates
and threatens 24/24 all those who oppose its occupation.
Non of Lebanon's every day problems could be solved as long as Hezbollah, the
Iranian army remains occupying Lebanon and terrorizing it people.
Honoured To Be
Canadian
Elias Bejjani/September 28/15/The main issue is not at all being disappointed or not, but the readiness to
fully respect and accept the peoples' choice. This is Freedom and democracy. In conclusion, We are so fortunate as millions
from the Middle East countries to be Canadians and enjoy the gift of
freedom. SO, let us as Canadian-Lebanese wisely elect the Conservatives who
did prove their efficiency, especially in fighting terrorism locally and
globally.
Lebanese journalist fined for contempt
of court in Hariri murder case
By Reuters | The Hague/Monday, 28 September 2015/A judge in The Hague on Monday
fined a Lebanese journalist 10,000 euros ($11,000) for contempt of court in the
case against the alleged killers of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik
al-Hariri. Karma al-Khayat was convicted 10 days ago of failing to obey a court
order to remove from the internet video interviews that risked exposing
witnesses in the case against the five suspects in the 2005 bomb blast that
killed Hariri and 21 others. She was acquitted of the more serious charge of
exposing the witnesses, but prosecutors had nonetheless asked for a one-year
jail term for the journalist, who has described her conviction as an attack on
the freedom of the press.
Hollande Announces October Visit to
Lebanon, Expresses Sympathy over its Refugee Burden
Naharnet /September 28/15/French President Francois Hollande highlighted the
“difficult” responsibilities Lebanon has to endure over the huge number of
refugees it is harboring, reported the daily An Nahar on Monday.He expressed his
understanding over the burden it is supporting, revealing that he “will travel
to Beirut in October.” He did not specify the date of his trip. The French
president made his remarks to the daily from New York where he is attending the
United Nations General Assembly. Furthermore, Hollande stressed the importance
of the election of a new president in Lebanon. He had discussed on Sunday the
presidential vacuum with Prime Minister Tammam Salam, who is also in New York. A
source close to the French president told An Nahar: “European officials will
exert new efforts in cooperation with Iran and Saudi Arabia in order to resolve
this crisis.”It remarked however that all officials Salam is discussing the
presidential deadlock with are linking the fate of this file to the developments
in Syria. The country has been without a head of state since May 2014 when the
term of Michel Suleiman ended without the election of a successor. Ongoing
disputes between the rival March 8 and 14 camps over a compromise candidate have
thwarted the polls.
Lebanon garbage showdown looms
Now Lebanon/September 28/15/BEIRUT – Lebanese civil society activists have
introduced a plan for resolving the country’s worsening garbage crisis as
Agriculture Minister Akram Chehayeb continues his efforts to begin
implementation of the cabinet’s own plan. Heavily reliant on recycling and
decentralization, the activists’ plan claims it will eliminate the need to
re-open the Naameh landfill for seven days and the establishment of another
sanitary landfill in the Bekaa, two main points of the government’s proposal.
Environmental activist Paul Abi Rached introduced the plan in a press conference
Monday afternoon that was joined by organizers from the civil society groups
behind the recent wave of grassroots protests in Lebanon that have railed not
only against the cabinet’s mishandling of the trash crisis, but also systemic
corruption and sectarianism. Rached, who is the president of the T.E.R.R.E.
Liban environmental education NGO, said the plan calls for banning the use of
compactors—hydraulic equipment that reduce the size of trash—so as to allow for
easier composting and the recycling of up to 35% of waste material. It also
calls for treating waste with anaerobic fermentation to destroy bacteria
developing in the festering garbage piles strewn haphazardly across the country
following the closure of the Naameh landfill. The plan, which was made available
in a PowerPoint presentation by the #YouStink movement, emphasizes the need to
sort trash at the source and to empower and finance municipalities to start
handling waste management. A showdown now looms as civil society organizations
have geared up for further protests regarding the garbage plan while the
government ostensibly moves forward with the implementation of its own plan. The
activists’ plan comes after Chehayeb, who is the point-man for the cabinet’s
garbage plan, voiced hope Monday that his proposal would go into effect later in
the week and asked his critics not reject his efforts for the “sake of
rejection.” The agriculture minister met with Free Patriotic Movement leader MP
Michel Aoun on Monday morning, after which he reiterated the need to establish
two sanitary landfills, even after he admitted two weeks ago that the original
site for a Masnaa landfill was nixed due to fears of water table contamination.
The day before, civil society activists held a sit-in outside the Naameh
landfill to protest against the proposed re-opening of the site, which was
closed on July 17, years after its originally slated closing date of 2004.
Nearby municipalities have backed Chehayeb’s plan, which was approved by the
cabinet on September 9 after weeks of growing protests.
STL Contempt Judge Sentences Karma Khayat to €10,000 Fine
Naharnet /September 28/15/Special Tribunal for Lebanon Contempt Judge Nicola
Lettieri on Monday sentenced al-Jadeed TV deputy chief editor Karma Khayat to a
fine of 10,000 euros on charges of “interfering with the administration of
justice” by failing to remove online content on alleged witnesses.
After hearing the arguments of the Amicus Curiae Prosecutor, or Friend of the
Court, and the Defense lawyer, Lettieri said he sentenced Khayat to “a fine of
€10,000 to be paid in full by 30 October, 2015.”The Judge stated that written
reasons for his decision were to follow in due course. On September 18, the
judge found Khayat guilty and Al-Jadeed S.A.L. not guilty with respect to the
charges under Count 2, meaning for failing to remove the information on the
alleged witnesses from al-Jadeed TV’s website and YouTube channel despite an
order by the STL Pre-Trial Judge to do so. Lettieri found both Khayat and Al-Jadeed
S.A.L. “not guilty with respect to the charges under Count 1 of the order in
lieu of indictment.”The first count includes diffusing information that
undermines public confidence in “the court's ability to protect the
confidentiality of information about, or provided by, witnesses or potential
witnesses.”Naharnet has learned that the Friend of the Court, who is similar to
a prosecutor in contempt cases related to the STL, is on the verge of making a
decision to appeal three out of four verdicts issued by Lettieri against al-Jadeed
S.A.L. and Khayat. According to informed sources, the Friend of the Court's
appeal of the fourth verdict considering Khayat guilty in one of two charges of
contempt was hinging on Monday's ruling. If the verdict came "light," then the
Friend of the Court would appeal the four verdicts in an attempt to get the
Appeals Chamber to condemn the three cases that Lettieri cleared al-Jadeed and
Khayat of, and to give a stronger sentence in the fourth case in which the judge
found Khayat guilty with the obstruction of justice, the sources said. On the
other hand, both parties continue with making media and legal campaigns in an
attempt to prove slander on the court's part and a violation of freedom of
speech in Lebanon. Therefore, those closely informed about the contempt case
against Khayat believe that she will appeal the verdict that was issued on
Monday. Set up in 2007, the court is the only international ad hoc tribunal with
the jurisdiction to try an act of terror. It is specifically trying suspects
charged with the murder of former premier Rafik Hariri, killed with 22 others in
a massive suicide car bombing on the Beirut waterfront on February 14, 2005. Al-Jadeed
-- which had been critical of Hariri -- broadcast five programs in August 2012
on the alleged witnesses due to testify at the highly-sensitive trial. The
prosecutor had later said "11 witnesses were approached," raising concerns about
protecting the identities of those giving evidence. Five suspected members of
Hizbullah have been indicted by the court. The party has slammed the court as an
American-Israeli scheme and vowed that the suspects will never be found. Their
trial in absentia opened in January 2014, but despite international warrants for
their arrest, the five are yet to appear in court. While al-Jadeed had concealed
the witnesses' faces and names were not mentioned, "nobody was fooled" about
their identities, prosecutors told the judge during the trial. Speaking from
Lebanon, Khayat gave a scathing reaction on September 18. "The verdict of
innocence in the contempt charge means that you (the STL) wasted our time and
disrupted our workflow for two years, and in the end, we were right." Referring
to an email ordering the broadcasts to be removed which Khayat said she had not
opened, she said "a single email cannot be considered enough evidence against
me."The court "took this decision (to convict me) just to save face. (At) this
stage it isn't over yet."Khayat is the first-ever accused to appear willingly
before the STL, a hybrid tribunal that uses both international and Lebanese law
in its judgments. At the trial's opening in April, Khayat told the court her
television station aimed to ensure that money to fund the tribunal was not being
squandered. Her lawyer Karim Khan said prosecutors were "shooting the messenger"
because al-Jadeed was not responsible for any leaks of the witnesses'
identities. The charges are punishable by a maximum seven-year prison sentence,
and/or a fine of up to 100,000 euros.
Shehayyeb Meets Aoun: We Want to Eliminate Trash Dumps in
Favor of Sanitary Landfills
Naharnet /September 28/15/Agriculture Minister Akram Shehayyeb hoped on Monday
that his plan for resolving the garbage disposal crisis will be implemented this
week, seeing as the people “can no longer tolerate the accumulating trash.”He
said after holding talks with Free Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun: “We
are seeking to eliminate garbage dumps in favor of establishing two sanitary
landfills.”“We will look into solutions that adhere to scientific and
environmental standards,” he stressed, while adding that he will consider any
new proposals if they are better than his own. “If some sides are rejecting my
plan for the sake of rejection, then I say that the people can no longer stand
the trash,” said the minister in response to his critics. “The price of
prolonging the crisis has become too high as our capabilities would not be able
to handle it,” he warned earlier to As Safir newspaper. Shehayyeb added that
there are concerns that the delay in adopting the plan will lead to the
accumulation of more waste that could exceed the capacity of the Naameh
landfill. According to the minister's proposal, around 50,000 to 70,000 tons of
waste will be disposed at the landfill during a seven-day period after which it
will be closed in preparation for a project to produce electricity, for nearby
areas, from the trash.Turning to his critics, Shehayyeb hoped that they would
approach it from a “realistic point of view, because we have very limited
options and little time to find a practical and immediate alternative to the
plan.”The minister's proposal calls for the reopening of the Naameh landfill
whose closure on July 17 sparked the country's garbage crisis. Earlier in
September, the municipal union of towns in the vicinity of the Naameh landfill
announced its approval of Shehayyeb's proposal to reopen the facility for seven
days to dump the trash that has been accumulating in Beirut and Mount Lebanon
since the dumpsite's closure. The union, however, insisted that other landfills
cited in the minister's plan must be also activated at the same time. On Sunday,
the residents of the town of Ain Drafil expressed the readiness of their region
to support Shehayyeb's to tackle the garbage disposal crisis despite the
opposition of some locals and civil society activists. Later on Monday, the
civil society movement held a press conference to present its own proposal to
end the garbage disposal crisis, rejecting Shehayyeb's plan. It explained that
its plan can be implemented “as soon as tomorrow, while the minister's needs
time.”It emphasized the importance of sorting trash from the source, demanding
that regulations be imposed to raise awareness on this issue. It also called for
ceasing the use of garbage compression trucks “that render the waste ineligible
for export.” The movement reiterated its demands for the resignation of
Environment Minister Mohammed al-Mashnouq and that the waste collection company
Sukleen be prevented from resuming its duties “due to its
corruption.”Furthermore, it rejected attempts by the government to blame it for
the prolongation of the trash crisis, demanding that the case be kept away from
political dealings.
Kataeb Says Lebanese Failure to Elect President Will Draw
Foreign Role
Naharnet /September 28/15/The Kataeb Party warned Monday that
continued failure to elect a new president would allow foreign countries to
interfere once again in the key constitutional juncture. “The party warns that
failure to facilitate the election of a president through inter-Lebanese
consultations, especially around the (national) dialogue table, will open the
door once again to foreign powers to have the final say,” said the party in a
statement issued after the weekly meeting of its political bureau. It called on
all parties to “renounce their selfishness and foreign commitments and allow the
election of a president who is not part of the current political alignments.”It
said the new president should be capable of “uniting the Lebanese, preserving
Lebanon's independence and sovereignty, and improving its institutions.”Turning
to the issue of the paralyzed government, Kataeb said the parties “that are
impeding cabinet sessions are to blame for the state's failure to address
people's concerns, especially that the economic situation is on the verge of
collapse.”Commenting on Prime Minister Tammam Salam's visit to the U.N. General
Assembly in New York, the party said it supports the premier's efforts that are
aimed at “pushing the international community to shoulder its responsibilities
towards Lebanon,” noting that the country “is reeling from the refugee crisis'
economic and social burden.”Speaker Nabih Berri has called for dialogue among
the main political parties to discuss a stalemate that has frozen government
institutions for months. Parliament has extended its own mandate twice since the
last elections in 2009. Political rivalries have also paralyzed the cabinet,
formed in early 2014 on a caretaker basis, and the parliament has been so
divided that it has failed more than 20 times to elect a president since Michel
Suleiman's term expired in May 2014.
Berri has said his call for dialogue is an attempt to jump-start the work of
these institutions.
Salam: I Support the Civil Movements' Demands
Naharnet /September 28/15/Prime Minister Tammam Salam disclosed on Monday that
he supports the demands of the civil society, slamming accusations that the
demonstrations are orchestrated from abroad. “The demands of the civil society
are righteous, I am probably somewhere in support of their demands and I'm not
with the political forces in this matter,” Salam told the pan-Arab al-Hayat
daily. “I have never made any negative or angry positions on their mobilizations
because I believe that their demands are legal,” he added. Moreover, the Premier
called on the leaders of the civil society to open up for dialogue with him and
with the government to reach consensual solutions, stressing at the same time
that the anger which drives the civil demonstrations is “just.” On accusations
claiming that the protests are orchestrated by forces from abroad, Salam said:
“These are accusations used by feeble ones,” warning that some parties are
trying to exploit the demos in their favor. A waste management crisis that
started in July when the Naameh landfill was closed triggered a series of
demonstrations that fanned all over the country. What started as demands to find
an alternative for the landfill that receives wastes of Mount Lebanon and
Beirut, spiraled to include anger over the government's dysfunction and
paralysis to tackle the country's pressing demands, including water, electricity
and others.
Lebanese Army Refers Kasha to the Judiciary for Terrorist Ties
Naharnet /September 28/15/The army intelligence referred detainee Ahmed Ghazi
Kasha to the related judiciary on charges of having connections with terrorists
and is involved in attacks against the army, possessing narcotics and many other
crimes. Kasha has links to two terrorist detainees, Ahmed Salim Miqati and
Ibrahim Barakat, and for taking part in attacks against the army. Several arrest
warrants have been issued against him including opening fire and possessing
narcotics, the army said in a communique. Kasha had admitted to having had
transported wanted individuals, weapons and explosives from the Bab al-Tabbaneh
neighborhood of the northern city of Tripoli to Asoun in favor of Miaqti who had
plans to establish a security zone in al-Dinniyeh. He has also admitted to
having had carried out attacks at army positions on October 25 and 26 in 2014 in
the markets of Tripoli. He said the attacks came in parallel with the detention
of Miqati and the attacks at army positions carried out by Khaled Hoblos in
Bhanine and Bab al-Tabbaneh. Militant Miqati was arrested in 2014 during an army
raid in the town of Asoun in the northern district of Dinniyeh, and 12 members
of his terrorist cell, had plans to execute violent attacks on the 27th of Oct.
against Ashura gatherings in several Shiite Lebanese areas. The cell led by
Miqati, had further plans to assassinate Lebanese political figures including
Speaker Nabih Berri and al-Mustaqbal MP Ahmed Fatfat, in a bid to trigger a
Shiite-Sunni strife, reports had said. In a separate arrest, the army also
arrested Imad Riad Saleh in Baalbek's al-Sharawneh on counterfeiting charges
after he failed to obey an army order to stop at a checkpoint. The army opened
fire and injured him
Report: Security Appointments Will Top Agenda of Next
Cabinet Session
Naharnet /September 28/15/The Mustaqbal Movement has agreed to a proposal by the
Free Patriotic Movement for the implementation of the national defense law,
which covers security appointments, reported al-Akhbar newspaper on Monday. This
will therefore allow the contentious issue of security appointments to top the
agenda of cabinet's next session. The meeting will be scheduled upon Prime
Minister Tammam Salam's return to Beirut from New York where he is attending the
United Nations General Assembly. Ministerial sources told the daily that the
Mustaqbal Movement “succeeded in reaching a settlement with its rivals over the
security appointments as part of a package deal that would revitalize cabinet
and parliament's work.” Ministers representing Change and Reform bloc leader MP
Michel Aoun have been boycotting cabinet sessions over their insistence to agree
on a working mechanism for the government in the absence of a president and the
promotion of army officers. Their boycott has paralyzed the cabinet, adding to
the country's woes, which started with the vacuum at Baabda Palace following the
end of President Michel Suleiman's six-year tenure in May 2014. Parliament has
also been paralyzed. The last time it met was when MPs extended their own term
in November. Change and Reform totally rejects the extension of the terms of top
military and security officials, calling for the appointment of new figures
instead. It is also backing the promotion of army officers to keep Commando
Regiment chief Chamel Roukoz in the military and make him eligible to become
army commander because differences among rival parties are hindering new
appointments in the absence of a president. Roukoz is Aoun's son-in-law.
Rowhani: Assad’s govt ‘cannot be weakened’
By AFP, Reuters | United Nations/Monday, 28 September 2015/Iran's President
Hassan Rowhani said on Sunday fighting radical militants like ISIS in Syria is
the top priority and if they are to be defeated then President Bashar al-Assad's
government "can't be weakened.""This does not mean that the Syrian government
does not need reform ... Of course it does," Rowhani told an audience of U.S.
think-tanks and journalists on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly
meeting in New York, but he added that the removal of his ally Assad would turn
Syria into an extremist safe haven. Discussions of political reform in Syria
should come after the threat of extremism in Syria has been removed. Separately,
Iran's state news agency IRNA said Rowhani will cut short his visit to New York
and return to Tehran for the funeral of Iranians killed in the hajj tragedy in
Saudi Arabia, Iran's state news agency IRNA reported on Sunday.
"Some of his meetings and scheduled programs will be canceled and he is
returning (to Tehran) on Monday afternoon," IRNA quoted a senior official from
Rowhani's office as saying. Earlier, Rowhani said in an interview that he was
ready to discuss a “plan of action” for Syria’s post-war future after ISIS is
defeated. Iran, which along with Russia is allied with Assad in the war, has
until now been kept out of U.N. diplomatic efforts to piece together a political
solution for Syria. “That is not a problem for us from right now, to start
holding discussions and dialogues so as to determine and reach the conclusion of
the next plan of action after the terrorists are driven out that territory,”
Rowhani said in an interview to NPR radio. “But we must all act in unison and
have a formula that is required to drive out the terrorists,
immediately.”Rowhani is expected to address the crisis in Syria in his speech to
the U.N. General Assembly on Monday, after President Barack Obama and Russian
leader Vladimir Putin take the podium. The Iranian leader said his country was
ready to discuss “the upcoming options” and added that the Syrian government
should be included to “reach a plan of action.”Tehran has been providing
financial and military support to the Damascus regime as well as military
advisers on the ground in Syria, where more than 240,000 people have died and
four million people have been driven from their homes. Western powers are
seeking to enlist Iran in a new strategy to address the crisis after Russia
beefed up its military presence in Syria in a bid to gain the upper hand on the
future political transition. The West has softened its demands for Assad to
leave power, signaling that the president could stay on in an interim role as
part of a two-stage transition. Rowhani added that the Syrian people must “have
the last word and most important word” on the future of the county, in reference
to elections that could cap an interim transition. Seperately, President
Francois Hollande told his Iranian counterpart in a meeting on Sunday, that Iran
can be a facilitator in a political solution in Syria but President Bashar
al-Assad cannot be part of it, according to a French official. "Iran is a player
(in the region), but also a facilitator," the official, speaking on condition of
anonymity, said. "(Hollande) said that the question of Assad could not be
offered as an answer." Hollande also offered his condolences to Rowhani
following the hajj tragedy, but cautioned that the incident should not add to
tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia, the official added.
Obama hits out at ‘child-killing’ Assad, ISIS at U.N.
By Staff writer | Al Arabiya News/Monday, 28 September 2015/U.S. President
Barack Obama on Monday called for a “managed transition” in Syria apart from
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, whom he accused of killing children and
creating the turbulence that unleashed the ongoing four-year bloody conflict.
Obama took the podium at the U.N. General Assembly to denounce those who support
leaders like Assad, accusing him of slaughtering children. The barb, a direct
attack on Russia and Iran for their ongoing military backing for Syria’s
beleaguered regime, came shortly before Moscow’s President Vladimir Putin was to
speak. Obama said some states prefer stability over the international order
mandated by the U.N. Charter, and try to impose it by force. “We’re told that
such retrenchment is required to beat back disorder, that it’s the only way to
stamp out terrorism or prevent foreign meddling,” he said. “In accordance with
this logic, we should support tyrants like Bashar al-Assad who drops barrel
bombs to massacre innocent children, because the alternative is surely
worse.”Russia and Iran have argued that world powers should support Assad’s
regime, at least until Syrian forces manage to defeat ISIS jihadist group. Obama
said he was nevertheless “prepared to work with any nation, including Russia and
Iran, to resolve the conflict.” Syria, ISIS ‘not one nation’s affair’“When a
dictator slaughters tens of thousands of its people, it is not one nations’
affair, but it brings magnitude of suffering of all, likewise when a terrorist
group beheads captives, it is not one single nations problem but it is an
assault on all humanity,” Obama said.He added: “I said before and I will repeat
there is no room to an apocalyptic cult like ISIS.” He vowed that there will be
no safe haven for “cults” like ISIS. Unlike some Western leaders who
green-lighted Assad as part of the political transition in the war-torn country,
Obama thought otherwise. He also said the U.S. is prepared to work with any
nation, including Iran and Russia, to resolve the Syria crisis.
Obama backs U.N. values
Obama, meanwhile, lashed out at powers who want to take the world to the “old
ways,” rejecting the use of “coercion” and force by bigger countries against
smaller ones during his U.N. address on Monday, in an indirect reference to
Russia supporting the Syrian regime. “I lead the strongest military in the world
ever known,” Obama said, adding that he could act “unilaterally,” “by force when
necessary” but “I stand before you... I believe we the nations of the world
cannot turn to the old ways of coercion.” While Obama said it is worth
reflecting over what the U.N. has achieved, the U.S. president said the U.N.
charter - which buttressed universal human rights in 1945 - should be
protected.He also criticized powers, who are centered around “zero-sum games”
want to “predate” by going back to such achievement. He said “we live in an
integrated world,” and success of nations depends on their people. (With AFP)
Saudi arrests ISIS-related terror cell in two cities
By Staff writer | Al Arabiya News/Monday, 28 September 2015/The Saudi Interior
Ministry announced Monday it has intercepted an ISIS cell during four
simultaneous operations in the Saudi capital Riyadh and the eastern city of
Dammam, Al Arabiya News Channel reported on Monday. During the operations, two
ISIS members were killed and three others were arrested. The ministry confirmed
that the cell was linked to the suicide bomber behind the Abha mosque attack
that took place in August. A suicide bomber killed 15 people at a mosque inside
a special forces headquarters in the southern city.
It also said that Saudi forces have arrested Faysal Hamed al-Ghamdi, a wanted
ISIS member in Riyadh who had threatened to kill his father. The ministry said
Aqeel Ameesh al-Mutairy, who was killed during heavy clashes with police in
Riyadh, was one of the most 85 wanted by the Saudi authorities.
Aqeel Ameesh al-Mutairy (pictured) was killed during heavy clashes with Saudi
police in Riyadh. (Photo: Al Arabiya) Over the last few months, ISIS carried out
several attacks on mosques in the kingdom which killed dozens of people. ISIS
controls swathes of neighboring Iraq and Syria, and has claimed widespread
abuses including the beheading of foreign hostages. Saudi Arabia and its Gulf
neighbors last year joined a U.S.-led military coalition bombing ISIS in Syria,
raising concerns about possible retaliation in the kingdom.
Turkey’s Davutoglu sees no transition period for Syria’s
Assad
By Reuters | Ankara/Monday, 28 September 2015/Turkey remains opposed to any
political transition in Syria involving President Bashar al-Assad, Turkish Prime
Minister Ahmet Davutoglu was quoted as saying on Monday in an apparent
clarification of its policy. Turkey has been Assad’s most outspoken critic since
Syria descended into bloodshed in 2011, blaming him for violence that has killed
hundreds of thousands and displaced millions more, and insisting he had to be
removed. But last week, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan floated the idea that
Assad could be part of a transitional period. He later said his comments did not
represent a policy change. Davutoglu, in New York to attend the United Nations
General Assembly, said on Sunday that Turkey would accept whatever political
solution Syrians choose, but it could not include Assad, Hurriyet Daily News
reported. “We have the conviction that with al-Assad in charge during the
transition period, that transition period would no longer be transitory. We
believe that this situation would turn into a permanent status quo. Our
conviction on this matter hasn’t changed,” the newspaper quoted him as saying.
Ankara has long maintained that removing Assad is critical to solving the
humanitarian crisis in Syria. Turkey is home to the world’s largest refugee
population with more than 2 million. In comments reported by local media that
appeared to signal a policy shift, Erdogan said last week: “Either a transition
process without al-Assad, or with al-Assad, is possible.” But he also echoed
Ankara’s long-standing view, saying: “Nobody can foresee Syria’s future with
al-Assad. It’s not possible to accept a person responsible for killing 300,000
to 350,000 people, a dictator.” Speaking on Sunday, UK Prime Minister David
Cameron told Sky News that Assad could be part of a transitional government but
not Syria’s long-term political future.
Sources: Iranian diplomat may have entered Saudi under
unknown identity
By Staff Writer | Al Arabiya News/Monday, 28 September 2015/Saudi sources told
Al Arabiya News that official records show that the name of the former Iranian
ambassador to Beirut Ghazanfar Abadi does not appear among this year’s pilgrims.
If his presence during the pilgrimage is confirmed, that would mean that he has
entered the country by “unknown manners,” possibly registering with a different
name and description. He is feared to have died in the stampede during hajj last
week that killed hundreds. Ghazanfar Abadi, who worked as the country’s
ambassador in Beirut until last year, has been declared missing and is believed
to have been at the pilgrimage to Makkah, Iran’s state TV said. An Iranian state
TV broadcast on Saturday said that two state TV reporters and a prominent
political analyst were also missing after the stampede, which killed at least
769, according to the latest figures from Saudi health minister Khalid al-Falih,
and injured hundreds more.
Qatar plans to invest $35 billion in
US over 5 years
AFP/September 28, 2015 /Qatar plans to invest $35 billion over the next five
years in the United States, as the energy-rich Gulf state diversifies its global
stakes, its sovereign wealth fund said Monday. The Qatar Investment Authority
revealed its US investment plans in a statement announcing the opening of an
office in New York. The office "will enable QIA to develop and expand its global
investment portfolio, with the State of Qatar having committed to investing $35
billion in the United States of America over the next five years," it said. QIA
said it also "remains committed to its investments in Europe, Asia and the
Middle East," while the New York office "facilitates access to significant
investment opportunities".Qatar's portfolio -- valued at between $256 billion
and $334 billion - includes significant stakes in British supermarket chain
Sainsbury's and the London Stock Exchange, as well as owning Harrods department
store and the Shard skyscraper in the capital.
Obama 'prepared to work' with Russia, Iran on Syria
AFP/September 28/15/President Barack Obama declared Monday that the United
States does not want a new Cold War over the Ukraine conflict and is prepared to
work with Russia and Iran on the Syrian crisis. "The United States is prepared
to work with any nation, including Russia and Iran, to resolve the conflict,"
Obama said of Syria, addressing the United Nations General Assembly. Russia's
President Vladimir Putin was due to address the assembly later and has urged
world powers to back Syria's President Bashar al-Assad in his battle against the
Islamic State group. Obama argued it would be wrong to support a "tyrant" like
Assad, but that Washington was ready to work with anyone ready to take on the
jihadist threat, even Moscow and traditional US foe Tehran. And he insisted that
the sanctions Western powers imposed on Moscow in the wake of Russia's
intervention in Ukraine were meant to protect Kiev's sovereignty not trigger
conflict with Moscow. "We cannot stand by when the sovereignty and territorial
integrity of a nation is flagrantly violated," he said. "If that happens without
consequence in Ukraine, it could happen to any nation gathered here today.
"That's the basis of the sanctions that the United States and our partners
impose on Russia. It is not a desire to return to a Cold War," he said.
Iran's Rouhani to join repatriation ceremony for hajj dead
AFP/September 28/15/President Hassan Rouhani will fly home early from New York
to attend a repatriation ceremony in Tehran on Tuesday for Iranian pilgrims
killed in the stampede at the hajj, his office said. Rouhani is to head home
straight after his address to the UN General Assembly later on Monday, the
Iranian mission at the United Nations said. A total of 169 Iranians are now
known to have died in Thursday's stampede in Mina, outside Mecca, and the bodies
of 130 of them will be flown home on Tuesday, state media reported. Iran has
been deeply critical of Saudi Arabia over the tragedy. It accuses its regional
rival of serious safety lapses and of failing to provide the proper cooperation
in the search for the missing or the repatriation of the dead and injured.
Iran's hajj organising committee said that 298 Iranian pilgrims remained
unaccounted for on Monday, while 46 were receiving treatment in either Iran or
Saudi Arabia. A total of 769 pilgrims were killed in the worst tragedy to hit
the hajj in a quarter-century. The nationalities of many of them have yet to be
confirmed but Iranians make up the single largest national group among those
that have.
A special section has been set aside in Tehran's largest cemetery for the graves
of the "Mina martyrs," city council spokesman Reza Taqipour told state
television.
Obama calls for Assad's removal
Ynetnews Reuters/Published: 09.28.15/US President Barack Obama took the podium
at the UN General Assemby on Monday to denounce those who support leaders like
Syria's Bashar Al-Assad, accusing him of slaughtering children. The United
States is willing to work with Iran and Russia to try to end the Syrian
conflict, U.S. President Barack Obama said on Monday but insisted there could
not be a return to the status quo under Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
Speaking at the U.N. General Assembly, Obama described Assad as a tyrant and as
the chief culprit behind the four-year civil war in which at least 200,000
people have died and millions have been driven from their homes internally or
abroad as refugees. "The United States is prepared to work with any nation,
including Russia and Iran, to resolve the conflict," Obama said at the annual
gathering of world leaders. "But we must recognize that there cannot be, after
so much bloodshed, so much carnage, a return to the pre-war status quo." In
voicing a willingness to deal with Iran and Russia, both staunch backers of
Assad, Obama was openly acknowledging their influence in Syria and swallowing a
somewhat bitter pill for the United States. Tehran has armed the Syrian
government and, through its backing of Lebanese Hezbollah fighters, has helped
Assad fight rebels seeking to end his family's four-decade rule. Russia has
recently engaged in a military build-up in Syria, where it has a naval base that
serves as its foothold in the Middle East.
Obama is scheduled to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin later on Monday on
the sidelines of the gathering, for talks that could provide some hint on how it
might be possible to end a conflict that has defied years of diplomatic efforts
Congress pursues 'death by 1,000 cuts' strategy against
Iran deal
Julian Pecquet/Al Monitor/September 28/15
Republicans are launching a multipronged offensive to undermine the nuclear
agreement with Iran after failing to vote it down.The House of Representatives
is expected to take up legislation this week that would prohibit sanctions
relief until Tehran pays court-ordered damages to the families of terror
attacks, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., announced Sept. 25. The
bill from Rep. Pat Meehan, R-Pa., would first require President Barack Obama to
certify that Iran has paid $43.5 billion in damages — a clear violation of the
terms of the July 14 agreement. The vote is the latest evidence that the
Republicans will preserve their pro-Israel, anti-Iran deal strategy despite a
pending change of leadership that has raised concerns in Israel. The surprise
Sept. 25 announcement that House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, would be stepping
down at the end of October reverberated across the Israeli press, which
highlighted his close ties to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Boehner's
decision to invite Netanyahu to address Congress about the dangers of the
nuclear deal. Boehner's announced departure comes some 15 months after the
surprise defeat of House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, R-Va., who had been in
line to become the first Jewish House speaker before being undone by the same
Tea Party forces that drove Boehner out. The pro-Israel forces remain strong
within the Republican Party, where House Republican Israel Caucus Co-Chairman
Peter Roskam, R-Ill., is believed to be eyeing the No. 3 House majority whip
spot after the chairs get reshuffled. Instead, Iran hawks appear more worried
that the intraparty fighting could pave the way for Democrats to take back
Congress and keep the presidency. Cybersecurity will dominate the congressional
debate this coming week, in the wake of Chinese President Xi Jinping's state
visit and promises by both sides to play nicer. While China and Russia are the
main concerns, Iran has also been cited as a cyberwarfare adversary. The House
Armed Services Committee will hold hearings on the issue Sept. 29 and 30. The
Senate Armed Services Committee holds its hearing on the cyberwar issue Sept.
29, while the House Foreign Affairs panel follows suit Sept. 30. On Sept. 29,
the House Foreign Affairs terrorism panel holds a hearing on "US
Counterterrorism Efforts in Syria: A Winning Strategy?" And the Eurasia
subcommittee holds a hearing Sept. 30 on "the threat of Islamist extremism in
Russia."In the Senate, the Foreign Relations Committee will hold a hearing Sept.
29 on the US role in tackling the humanitarian crisis in the Middle East.
Witnesses include International Rescue Committee chief David Miliband, Great
Britain's former foreign secretary and brother of Ed Miliband, the former leader
of the Labour Party; the routing of the party in the May 2015 parliamentary
elections led to Ed Miliband's replacement by socialist member of parliament
Jeremy Corbyn. On Oct. 1, the committee votes on Obama's choice for ambassador
to Tunisia, former special envoy for Syria Daniel Rubinstein. The vote comes as
the House Foreign Affairs panel on the Middle East passed a resolution last week
urging the country to reform its security services if it hopes to be recognized
as a full-fledged democracy. The Senate Judiciary Committee, meanwhile, holds a
hearing Oct. 1 on the Obama administration's plans to accept many more refugees
next year — including up to 10,000 Syrians. Finally, the Senate Banking panel
marks up crude oil export legislation Oct. 1.
What Israel should do about Iran
Amir Libel/Kamran Bokhari/Al MonitorPosted September 27, 2015
There are two major reasons why Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu should
pull back from his hard-line opposition to the Iranian nuclear deal. First, Iran
is on a path toward international rehabilitation, whereby the United States and
its European allies will increasingly be working with Tehran on regional
security in the Middle East. Second, geosectarianism is reshaping the regional
strategic environment to where the bulk of the threat to Israeli security will
be from Sunni as opposed to Shiite actors.
Ever since the signing of the July 14 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, a
large number of serious voices from within Israel’s security establishment have
come out criticizing the Netanyahu administration’s opposition to the deal. Many
of these critics hold the view that the threat is not from a nuclear Iran, but
rather an Iran that is on the path toward international rehabilitation.
Intuitively, an Iranian regime unencumbered by sanctions indeed has far more
room to pursue its anti-Israel policies. However, it is important to take stock
of the constraints upon the Islamic Republic in light of the nuclear deal.
It is unlikely that a Tehran that has made the strategic decision to end its
international isolation will engage in activities that could reverse its current
course. More important, Iran needs to focus on rebuilding its economy. And on
the foreign policy front, it is facing serious crises throughout its sphere of
influence, which will preoccupy Iranian strategic planners and thus limit its
ability to alter the balance of power currently in favor of Israel. It is
interesting to note that those very forces (Islamic State, Jabhat al-Nusra and
the many other Salafist-jihadist militias that have their epicenter in Syria)
that threaten Iranian interests are a bigger threat to Israeli national
security. While Tehran is working to limit the extent to which these entities
undermine the fabric of its regional sphere of influence, Israel faces a far
greater challenge from these forces, which pose a direct threat to its national
security. Furthermore, Tel Aviv has very few tools to deal with them. Jacky Hugi
has argued in these pages that it is in Israel’s interest that the Syrian regime
survives, because its collapse will destabilize Israel’s northern frontier.
In recent years, Israel has had to deal with threats from Lebanon’s Hezbollah as
well as Palestinian Hamas and other smaller groups. The key thing here is that
these two nonstate actors have been sponsored by various states, in particular
Syria, whose influence ensured that Hezbollah and Hamas operated within certain
boundaries. However, we are now in an age where the Arab world is experiencing
the weakening and collapse of states coupled with the rise of jihadi nonstate
actors of various stripes. While the situations in Egypt and Jordan are
currently not as bad as that in Syria, the growing inability of Cairo and Amman
to control their territories is a bigger threat to Israel than an Iran on the
path toward rehabilitation. The geosectarian struggle between the Iran-led
Shiite camp and the Saudi-led Sunni Arab camp is exacerbating the chaos brought
about by state meltdown and growing transnational jihadism.
The nuclear deal is a way for the United States to establish a balance of power
between these two sides, which is all the more complicated by the fact that
Washington is relying on Turkey to play a lead role in bringing order to the
growing regional chaos. For Israel, though, the stakes are much higher given
that it does not have the advantage that the United States has of being an
extraregional player. Thus, the Israelis need a much more sophisticated approach
than their current one, which is heavily focused on opposing the nuclear deal,
especially now that the Obama administration succeeded in preventing Republicans
in Congress from striking it down — without having to resort to a presidential
veto.
Therefore, it is only logical that at a time when Washington is restructuring
its regional policy to include Iran as a de facto partner, and the major threat
to Israel comes from radical Sunni nonstate actors (which Sunni state actors
seem incapable of controlling), Israel should try to establish a back-door,
covert and direct communication channel with Iran. While a rapprochement of
sorts between Israel and Iran is unlikely in the foreseeable future, both sides
still have much to benefit from institutionalizing concrete coordination
mechanisms. Israel would have better prospects to sort out escalations with
Hezbollah and Hamas before they develop into bigger crises, thereby ensuring the
maintenance of stability. Instead of negotiating with these groups through ad
hoc third parties, Israel could benefit from having a backchannel with their
patron. Creating a mechanism for dealing with the threat from the Iran-led camp
will allow Israel the bandwidth to focus on devising a strategy for dealing with
the much more critical threat from Salafist-jihadi entities, who by undermining
Sunni Arab states are weakening the structures that Israel has relied on for its
security. Such Israeli-Iranian communication would also complement American
efforts to manage a region with Tehran as a major participant in regional
diplomacy. After much bad blood between the Obama and Netanyahu administrations,
such a course of action could be a major step in reharmonizing US-Israeli
relations.
Pulling back from the almost singular focus of opposing the nuclear deal could
thus aid Israel on two fronts. It would first and foremost help realign Israel’s
relations with its main great power patron, the United States. It would also be
a way for Tel Aviv to more effectively manage the twin emerging threats to its
national security: an ascendant Iran and the jihadist nonstate actors gaining
ground on its doorstep. The choice to achieve these objectives is Netanyahu’s to
make.
US can defer on Assad until IS is
defeated
Al Monitor/September 28/15
Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin’s expanded military assistance to
the government of Syria could provide an opening to expand the US-led coalition
to defeat the Islamic State (IS).
Vitaly Naumkin writes that Putin’s bid can be understood in the context of
Russia’s consistent support for the government of Syria, and of a piece with a
new multilateral effort to combat terrorism that has been endorsed by Iran, and
could at some point include China.
Putin’s moves have put the United States on defense over its Syria policy. On
Sept. 16, Gen. Lloyd Austin, commander of US Central Command, testified to the
Senate Armed Services Committee that only “four or five” US-trained Syrians were
in the fight against IS, far short of the projected 5,400 fighters, as part of
program costing $500 million. On Sept. 25, a CENTCOM spokesman said that
US-trained “New Syrian Forces” provided trucks and ammunition to
al-Qaeda-affiliated Jabhat al-Nusra in return for safe passage.
As the US-backed train-and-equip program has proven to be both failure and
fiasco, and the US reports of the actions of coalition bombings remind some of
the “body counts” during the Vietnam War, Washington has also been stymied until
now by its insistence, since August 2011, that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
should “step aside.”
While Assad may have lost ground, he is not on the way out, backed to the teeth
by Russia, Iran and Hezbollah. The Obama administration’s aspirational Assad
strategy began in the heady days of what was once called the Arab Spring and has
probably complicated US diplomacy to negotiate and lead a political transition
in Syria, opening up the space for Russia and Iran to seize the initiative,
which they have done. As Julian Pecquet reported last week, members of both US
political parties are starting to question US policy toward Assad.
Russia’s power play this month forced US Secretary of State John Kerry to
seemingly backtrack when he said on Sept. 20 that the Syrian president’s role in
a political transition would be “defined through negotiation. Nobody knows what
the answer to that is. I can’t tell you standing here today. But most people
have accepted that to get somewhere it’s not going to happen on day one or week
one; there’s got to be some period of time. I don’t know what it is, but it has
to be negotiated.”
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan seemed to follow suit Sept. 24, a day
after meeting with Putin in Moscow, when he said, “We can have a process without
Assad, or something like going with Assad during a transition period,” as Semih
Idiz reports this week. Erdogan also referred to a “triple initiative” among the
United States, Turkey and Russia and Syria, which could also include Saudi
Arabia and Iran.
Iran’s role in Syria is just as vital to negotiating a political transition to
end the war. Both Ali Hashem and Hassan Ahmadian write that the Joint
Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) agreed to between world powers and Iran has
its critics in Tehran, and that cooperation on regional issues will likely
depend on its implementation. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said on CBS' 60
Minutes on Sept. 20 that with regard to the United States and Iran, “common
goals, or common interests may exist. But what is important is that in the
nuclear agreement we see how the two sides behave in action. Enacting this deal
in a good way will create a new environment.”
On Syria, Rouhani said, “How can we fight the terrorists without the government
staying? Of course, after we have fought terrorism and a secure environment is
created, then it is time to talk about the constitution, or the future regime to
talk and discuss opposition groups and supporters sit at the table, but during a
situation of bloodshed and during an occupation of the country, what options
exist?”
Barbara Slavin reports that Rouhani told journalists in New York on Sept. 25
that Iran has “'common objectives’ with Russia in Syria in fighting terrorist
groups. However, he denied that Iran and Russia have anything ‘resembling a
military coalition’ despite a recent buildup of Russian military personnel and
weapons in Syria.”
Kerry raised Syria in his meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad
Zarif on Sept. 26 in New York. UN and Iranian mediation have been instrumental
in finally reaching a solution to the Syrian government’s siege of rebel-held
Zabadani, which has been covered by Al-Monitor’s Syria Pulse.
So when US President Barack Obama meets Putin this week on the sides of the UN
General Assembly meetings in New York, he should focus on the common ground in
the US and Russian positions, not the differences. It was Obama who was way out
front in May 2014 on the need for a new global counterterrorism strategy, which
this column endorsed as a means to test Iran’s intentions in Syria.
The same could be said for Russian intentions. The United States has the lead
against IS, and should welcome Russian help to end the so-called caliphate’s
reign of terror in Syria and Iraq. Kerry explained the shared interests of the
United States and Russia in Syria on Sept. 22: “We agree that we both want a
Syria that is whole and peaceful and stable and secular and where its
sovereignty is respected. We both want to see [IS] destroyed and defeated and
gone, as well as any other violent extremist entity. We both have concerns about
the need to end the flow of foreign fighters and the attraction of those foreign
fighters, which draws people to this battle which is dangerous for everybody.”
Kerry’s statement is a good start for Obama’s talking points with Putin. The
United States has done an admirable job assembling an international coalition
against IS, but there is no sign of imminent victory. The United States should
welcome and coordinate Russia’s efforts against the common enemy. This is
overdue. And it does not mean “giving in” on Assad, but rather playing it smart,
getting Russian and Iranian support for a negotiated political transition on the
front end, and dealing with the Syrian president on the back end. The United
States can’t hide its weak hand in trying to negotiate around Assad, and should
enlist Russia, as well as Iran, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, to help bring this
terrible and tragic war to an end, as soon as possible.
Iraqi Kurdistan’s "silent resistance"
Denise Natali writes this week that “political divisions are being encouraged in
the hyper-fragmented Iraqi state and fight against IS as local groups seek to
gain power, resources and recognition.”
“The result,” Natali adds, “has been an inadvertent enhancing of Barzani’s power
through coalition military support, stronger reactions by those seeking
political reform and deepening distrust between groups. … These trends have
strengthened the role of political hard-liners who are unwilling to compromise.”
Natali concludes, “At the moment, a formal split between regions or a mass
mobilization is unlikely, given the war against IS, deep party patronage
networks and no clear alternative offered by opposition groups. Yet as the
financial crisis deepens, corruption continues, political legitimacy is ignored
and calls for decentralization go unheeded, the KRG [Kurdistan Regional
Government] may have an administrative breakup, even in de facto form. At worst,
these issues will continue to fester through open and silent resistance that may
further stifle the stability and economic development of the Kurdistan Region.”
Migration Crisis: "Islam Will Conquer Europe Without Firing
a Shot"
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute./September 28, 2015
http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/6542/migration-crisis-islam-will-conquer-
The failed foreign policies of the EU and the US under President Obama, have
brought the Arabs to the brink of chaos, and destroyed regimes which, even
though they were not democratic utopias, at least provided governance and public
order. These failed policies have abandoned the Arabs to the atrocities of the
Sunni Islamists and to the murderous proxies of the Iranian Islamic Revolution
-- and are ultimately the cause of the tsunami of refugees beating at the gates
of Europe.
Now the EU and Obama want to bring the catastrophe of Gaza to the West Bank.
The American FDA is more careful with experiments on animals than the White
House is with experiments on the people of the Middle East.
Every time the Palestinians have taken steps against the Israelis, we have hurt
no one but ourselves, and are left with -- nothing.
The Arabs living in Israel and the Palestinian Authority territories know,
although it is a bitter pill to swallow, that we have been favored by fortune,
because under the State of Israel we live in security.
In the face of ongoing mass murder in the Middle East, what arcane
consideration, apart from Federica Mogherini being a racist, could possibly
bring the EU to deal with something as marginal to global issues as boycotting
Israeli face-cream and cookies?
With the anniversary of Al-Qaeda's September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks in the
United States, internal Palestinian discourse revolves around radical Islam and
America's actions. It relates to the slaughter, rape and millions of refugees
who have fallen victim to Al-Qaeda, humanitarian calamity of and the Islamist
terrorist organizations to which it gave birth, such as ISIS. Today an
apocalyptic proportions is unfolding in territories that used to be Arab states
but are now the battle grounds for feuding Arab tribes, whose only objective is
to destroy one another.
In their heart of hearts, the Arabs living in Israel and the Palestinian
Authority territories know, although it is a bitter pill to swallow, that we
have been favored by fortune because under the State of Israel we live in
security. This reality is brought home to us by the feeble international
response and the strange behavior of U.S. President Barack Obama and the leaders
of the Western world who have abandoned the Arabs to the atrocities of the Sunni
Islamists (and their supporters in Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar), and to the
murderous proxies of the Iranian Islamic Revolution (mainly in Syria, Iraq,
Yemen and Lebanon).
In view of what is happening in neighboring countries, it is clear to us what
will happen if Israel is in danger of destruction: no Western state will come to
its aid and no Arab state will come to our aid. Our fate will be the same as
that of our brothers beyond Israel's borders. It is hard not to identify and
sympathize with Israel's efforts to fight terrorism and with its objections to
the nuclear agreement with Iran.
Despite the chaos and worse than chaos in the Middle East, the EU's foreign
minister, Federica Mogherini, recently announced that the EU had decided to mark
products made in the Israeli settlements. That is mind-boggling, so say the
least. In the face of the ongoing mass murders in the Middle East, what arcane
consideration, apart from Mogherini being a racist, could possibly bring the EU,
now, to deal with something as blatantly marginal to global issues as the
provenance of face cream and cookies?
In the final analysis, if the Europeans harm Israel's ability to market goods
manufactured in the West Bank, the first victims will be the Palestinian workers
in the Israeli settlement factories. Every time the Palestinians have taken
steps against the Israelis, we have hurt no one but ourselves. The last time we
boycotted Israeli products we wound up buying them on the black market at double
and triple the price. When we refused to work on construction sites, the
Israelis switched to modular, prefabricated units, and the Palestinian
construction workers who went on strike are unemployed to this day. When we
refused to work in Israeli agriculture, they brought in workers from Thailand,
who took our jobs and left us with -- nothing.
The Western pressure on Israel and the Palestinians to establish a Palestinian
state as soon as possible, when viewed through the prism of the mass murders and
uncertainty in the Middle East, is incomprehensible. The initiative, and the
obsession, to promote such a dangerous project at a time when everyone
understands that the conditions on both sides are not yet ripe is dangerous; and
the motives involved, whatever they really are, are suspicious. The
Israeli-Palestinian conflict is not new, it has been waged in an atmosphere of
terrorism and violence and hostility and complete lack of trust for a hundred
years. So why exert pressure now?
Everyone, at least everyone living in the Middle East, knows full well that the
conflict will not end with a "peace for our time" agreement forced on the two
sides and accompanied by a handful of empty, meaningless documents; the dynamics
are too dangerous. For both us and the Israelis it is a matter of life and
death, not semantics; and it will probably take another hundred years before
enough trust can be built on both sides to find a just solution.
The irony is staggering. At a time when the Arab states that were artificially
created after the First World War crumble to dust, the EU is pressing for the
creation of another artificial Arab state, this one called "Palestine," to be
carved out of territories once belonging to Jordan and Egypt. If "Palestine" is
granted the status of statehood, it will force not only Israel but the rest of
the world to grant it complete control over its borders, airports and a seaport.
That will expose the new weak "state" to a rapid and certain takeover by Hamas,
ISIS and various other terrorist organizations. Given the current situation in
the West Bank, the elected government of "Palestine" will be controlled by
Hamas. It will overthrow the Palestinian Authority, the way it did in the Gaza
Strip, take over the West Bank, use its airports and seaport to import missiles,
various other weapons and Islamist terrorists, and help Islamist terrorism in
general, and ISIS in particular, to operate from its territory. The Islamists
will proceed to attack Israel and Jordan the way ISIS is currently attacking
Egypt in the Sinai Peninsula. Worse, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad will enter
the new "Palestine" and strengthen its relations with Iran, just as it has in
the Gaza Strip and Syria, and with Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Evidently the Israeli withdrawal in 2005, which led directly to Hamas's
bloodbath and takeover of the Gaza Strip, the expulsion of the Palestinian
Authority and the entrenchment of Islamist terrorism, was not enough for Europe.
Now the EU and U.S. President Barack Obama want to bring the catastrophe of the
Gaza Strip to the West Bank. The American Food and Drug Administration is more
careful with experiments on animals than the White House is with experiments on
the people living in the Middle East.
In view of the events in the Arab countries, it is clear to the Palestinians
that American and European actions in the Middle East are the direct result of
stupidity and complete ignorance of the Middle Eastern mindset, if not outright
racism and malevolence. What is inescapable is that under Obama, both America
and Europe brought the Arabs to the brink of chaos and beyond, destroyed regimes
which, even though they were not democratic utopias like the United States, at
least provided governance and public order. That is ultimately the cause of the
tsunami of refugees beating at the gates of Europe, all of it caused by the
United States and its failed foreign policy.
All the signs indicate that the Middle East disaster is hardly far from over. It
is actually just beginning. it will get worse because of the tens of billions
that will now pour into the Ayatollahs' coffers from the insane agreement with
Iran. Much of this money will go directly not only to the Iranian Islamic
Revolutionary Guards' Qods Force, Iran's arm of international terrorism, but to
the various proxy terrorist organizations Iran supports, thus hastening the
total destruction of the Middle East and eventually large swaths of Africa.
The wave of refugees will increase, and the price will be paid by the Europeans,
already faced with legions of refugees and no plan for dealing with them.
Eventually Gaddafi's prophecy will come true: Islam will conquer Europe without
firing a shot.
**Bassam Tawil is a scholar based in the Middle East.
Lies about Islamic Taqiyya (Dissimulation)
Dr. Carson Right: Washington Post and Academics Wrong
Raymond Ibrahim/Gatestone Institute/September 28, 2015
http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/6587/carson-taqiyya-dissimulation
Tell that to Ka'b ibn Ashraf, whose head was cut off. for The prophet of Islam
allowed his followers to lie to the Jew to slaughter him.
Muslims deceived non-Muslims not because they were being persecuted for being
Muslim — according to the Washington Post's definition of taqiyya — but in order
to make Islam supreme.
Dr. Ben Carson got it right when he said that taqiyya "allows, and even
encourages, you to lie to achieve your goals." The prophet makes that clear.
Dr. Ben Carson's recent assertion that the Islamic doctrine of taqiyya
encourages Muslims "to lie to achieve your goals" has prompted the Washington
Post's Glenn Kessler to quote a number of academics to show that the
presidential candidate got it wrong:
The word "taqiyya" derives from the Arabic words for "piety" and "fear of God"
and indicates when a person is in a state of caution, said Khaled Abou El Fadl,
a professor of law at the University of California at Los Angeles and a leading
authority on Islam.
"Yes, it is permissible to hide the fact you are Muslim" if a person is under
threat, "as long as it does not involve hurting another person," Abou El Fadl
said.
The other academics whom Kessler quotes — including Omid Safi, director of the
Duke University Islamic Studies Center, and Noah Feldman of Harvard Law School —
make the same argument: yes, taqiyya is in the Koran but it only permits
deception in the case of self-preservation, nothing more.
Not exactly.
Although the word taqiyya is related to the Arabic word "piety" and its root
meaning is "protect" or "guard against" — and the Koran verses that advocate it
(3:28 and 16:106) do so in the context of self-preservation from persecution —
that is not the whole story.
Dr. Ben Carson asserted that the Islamic doctrine of taqiyya encourages Muslims
"to lie to achieve your goals." (Image source: Wikimedia Commons/Gage Skidmore)
Unfortunately, none of the academics quoted by Kessler acknowledges that the
Koran is not the only textual source to inform Muslim action. They ignore the
Hadith, the collected words and deeds of Muhammad. Koran 33:2, for instance,
commands Muslims to follow Muhammad's example, and his example — also known as
the prophet's Sunna — is derived from the many volumes of Hadith.
The importance of Muhammad's example is seen in that the Sunnis, approximately
90% of the world's Muslim population, are named after his Sunna. As one Muslim
cleric puts it, "Much of Islam will remain mere abstract concepts without Hadith
[whence the Sunna is derived]. We would never know how to pray, fast, pay zakah,
or make pilgrimage without the illustration found in Hadith..."
It is therefore either careless or disingenuous for Kessler and his "experts" to
ignore Muhammad's example as recorded in the Hadith in their discussion of
taqiyya.
As usual, for the complete truth, one must turn to scholarly books written in
Arabic. According to Dr. Sami Mukaram, an Islamic studies professor specializing
in taqiyya, and author of the only academic book exclusively devoted to it, "Taqiyya
in order to deceive the enemy is permissible."[1]
This sounds quite close enough to Carson's assertion that taqiyya allows Muslims
"to lie to achieve your goals." As proof, Mukaram documents two anecdotes from
Muhammad's Sunna — his example to Muslims — that make clear that the prophet
allowed his followers to lie and deceive non-Muslims above and beyond the issue
of self-preservation:
The Assassination of Ka'b ibn Ashraf
An elderly Jewish leader, Ka'b ibn Ashraf, mocked Muhammad, prompting the
prophet to exclaim, "Who will kill this man who has hurt Allah and his
messenger?" A young Muslim named Ibn Maslama volunteered on condition that to
get close enough to Ka'b to murder him, he needed to be allowed to lie to the
Jew. Allah's messenger agreed. Ibn Maslama traveled to Ka'b and began to
complain about Muhammad until his disaffection from Islam became so convincing
that Ka'b eventually dropped his guard and befriended him.
After behaving as his friend for some time, Ibn Maslama eventually appeared with
another Muslim pretending to have apostatized, slaughtered Ka'b' and brought his
head to Muhammad to the usual triumphant cries of "Allahu Akbar!"
The Disbanding of the Confederates
In another account, after Muhammad and his followers had attacked, plundered,
and massacred a number of non-Muslim Arabs and Jews, the Jews and Arabs
assembled, poised to annihilate the Muslims, to try to neutralize the Muslims
once and for all (at the Battle of the Trench, 627). But then Naim bin Mas'ud,
one of the leaders of these "confederates," as they became known in history,
secretly went to Muhammad and converted to Islam. The prophet asked him to
return to his tribesmen and allies — without revealing that he had joined the
Muslim camp to try to get the Jews and Arabs to abandon the siege. "For,"
Muhammad assured him, "war is deceit."
Mas'ud returned, pretending to be loyal to the Arabs and Jews, and began giving
them bad advice. He also subtly instigated quarrels between the various tribes
until, no longer trusting each other, they disbanded. Mas'ud became a hero in
Islamic tradition. He is often seen as being responsible for helping an
embryonic Islam grow at a time when its existence was threatened. One English
language Muslim site even recommends his actions as illustrative of how Muslims
can subvert non-Muslims. In the two examples above, Muslims deceived non-Muslims
not because they were being persecuted for being Muslim — according to the
Washington Post's definition of taqiyya — but in order to make Islam supreme.
(The Arabs and Jews met Muhammad at the Battle of the Trench because Muhammad
and his followers first attacked them at the Battle of Badr and massacred
hundreds of them on other occasions.)
Despite these stories being part of the Sunna to which Sunnis adhere, UCLA's
Abou El Fadl — the primary expert quoted by the Washington Post in an effort to
show that Islam does not promote deceit — claims that "there is no concept that
would encourage a Muslim to lie to pursue a goal. That is a complete invention."
Tell that to Ka'b ibn Ashraf, whose head was cut off for believing Muslim
taqiyya. The prophet of Islam allowed his followers to lie to the Jew to
slaughter him.
Dr. Ben Carson got it right when he said that taqiyya "allows, and even
encourages, you to lie to achieve your goals." The prophet makes that clear.
Raymond Ibrahim, author of Crucified Again: Exposing Islam's New War on
Christians, is a Shillman Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center and Judith
Friedman Rosen writing fellow at the Middle East Forum.
[1] (At-Taqiyya fi'l-Islam, or "Dissimulation in Islam," p. 32)
Obama is not going to save Syria
Andrew Bowen/Al Arabiya/September 28/15
President Putin’s guarantee of Assad’s survival has led many to call for a
change of Obama’s Syria policy. Frankly, a policy re-think is needed. The
deepening Russian intervention in the Middle East, Iran’s assertiveness in the
region, the growing refugee crisis, the deteriorating stability of Syria’s
neighbors, and ISIS’ cancerous spread are all crises that require pro-active
American leadership to preserve and to advance U.S. national interests and to
support Washington’s allies. However, President Obama is unlikely to use his
UNGA speech as a stage to chart a new course, but instead, to defend his current
course, which he will hope to maintain until he leaves office in 2017.
An attitude instead of a strategy
Shunning a consistent strategy or set of policies, President Obama has displayed
a disinterested attitude towards the civil war. Obama has viewed Syria as
another potential misadventure in the Middle East where the U.S. could be drawn
into a conflict with few interests at stake and where Washington’s ability to
make an effective difference is questionable. American public opinion, even on
Assad’s use of chemical weapons, has been broadly divided and has never fully
supported a deepened role for the U.S. in the conflict. These poll numbers have
only re-enforced Obama’s own disinterest in deepening his involvement. The Iran
talks also created disincentives to potentially confront Iran in Syria at a time
when a nuclear deal was being negotiated. Signs indicate that Washington is
receptive as well to Tehran and Moscow’s terms for a civil war settlement.
President Putin’s escalation is the latest example. The White House showed no
inclination to respond to the Russian President’s push beyond a few stern words
of public criticism. Instead of a strategic pushback, Kerry responded with a
public concession that Washington would more seriously consider Russia’s
proposals on Assad’s future. The already shaky rhetorical position, “Assad must
go,” became even less credible then. Putin’s moves come as well on the heels of
the already rising criticism regarding both the “train and equip program” and
the Syria refugee policy.
Intellectual shortcomings
The merits for and against Obama’s Syria policies can fill pages of books for
years to come, but these policies’ most salient problem has been their
intellectual shortcomings and the absence of any imagination to anticipate and
to respond to the civil war’s impact. From the early days assessment that civil
war wouldn’t last long and it could be contained in its borders to
underestimating the rise of ISIS to not having a pro-active policy to address
the refugee crisis, President Obama’s own disinterested perspective cultivated
an environment where these questionable assessments were nurtured and the
proclivity as well to pursue status quo policies with all their shortcomings.
However, as past episodes have highlighted, events in Syria may push Washington
to the point where the administration has to deepen its role when the conditions
are the least ideal. So far, President Obama has managed to keep this role
limited. Most prominently, the President stepped back from enforcing his “red
line” when a deal was reached on chemical weapons disarmament. Despite questions
about its effectiveness, the campaign against ISIS in Syria has been largely
done by air and the “train and equip” program, despite its cost and the
embarrassing few trained, was predicated on a more conservative U.S. role.
Equally, so the administration has always cautiously pursued arming the Syrian
opposition.
Kerry’s lone diplomatic push
The U.S.’s diplomacy to end the civil war, pushed more so by his Secretary of
State John Kerry, has also been half-hearted and sublimated as a third or fourth
foreign policy priority. The White House has never wanted to expend the
resources necessary to change the calculus of President Assad and his patrons,
and instead, has preferred to see what a low resourced policy could achieve as
the President pursued other foreign policy and domestic policy initiatives. Even
now with clear U.S. national interests at stake and the consequences of the
civil war likely to hit the region for years to come, the further collapse of
the Syrian state and the instability around its borders will only re-enforce the
Obama’s own perspective that there are no good options for the U.S. to take at
present.
Waiting out the clock
President Obama then is unlikely to use his last fifteen months in office to
alter course. Obama will focus on addressing effects of the civil war but not
the cause. In other words, the White House is frankly more focused on triage
than treating the patient who’s on life support. The only real optimism is that
a diplomatic settlement could be reached, but for the time being, by allowing
Russia and Iran such a free hand in Syria, the U.S. will not be the one shaping
the settlement. Signs indicate that Washington is receptive as well to Tehran
and Moscow’s terms for a civil war settlement. Some optimism exists that better
relations between Tehran and Washington will make a settlement easier, but such
thinking is purely speculative since Tehran hasn’t taken any real substantive
steps to bridge its differences with the GCC. The U.S. is also importantly not
in a favorable position to push regional allies to support a settlement in light
of Obama’s own disinterested approach to the conflict. Without a diplomatic
settlement, Syria’s civil war will unlikely be addressed until 2017 when a new
American President enters office. However, by that point, the damage the civil
war has wrought on the region is likely to be to such a degree that the U.S. and
its allies’ interests and positions in the region are less secure and less
stable.
Did the Russians just ‘invade’ Syria?
Faisal J. Abbas/Al Arabiya/September 28/15
“No,” Assad-loyalists would rush to say when asked if the current Russian
military build-up in Syria can be considered an “invasion” or indeed, a new
foreign “occupation,” of Arab lands. To them, Assad is a “legitimate” leader and
as such, he has the right to request outside intervention on behalf of the
people who “elected” him (of course, there is no use arguing with such devotees
about the validity of these so-called elections, which at best can be described
as an colossal exercise in vanity). Among the latest advocators of Russia's
military presence in Syria was none other than the “Master of Resistance”
himself: Hezbollah Leader Hassan Nasrallah. For those who aren’t familiar with
him, Nasrallah is an Iranian-backed, pro-Assad Lebanese militia leader who - for
decades - used anti-hegemonic rhetoric to legitimize himself and portray
moderate Arab states as “traitors” and agents of the “West” (whom he describes
as being against Islam). Not only did Nasrallah welcome Russia’s intervention,
but he sought to portray it positively by saying that it will help rid the world
of the evils of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS), after the U.S.-led
coalition failed to do so.
Of course, given that his statements came as part of an interview which he gave
to the Hezbollah-owned al-Manar TV channel, Nasrallah’s views were not really
challenged. One valid question would have been what the Hezbollah leader
(supposedly an arch-enemy of Israel) thinks of a recent statement by PM Benjamin
Netanyahu, in which he said “Russia will coordinate Syria military actions with
Israel” For instance, one valid question would have been what the Hezbollah
leader (supposedly an arch-enemy of Israel) thinks of a recent statement by PM
Benjamin Netanyahu, in which he said “Russia will coordinate Syria military
actions with Israel.” (Last night, Israel also bombed a number of Assad military
positions in the Golan Heights). Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) and
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu shake hands during their meeting at
the Novo-Ogaryovo state residence outside Moscow, Russia, September 21, 2015.
(Reuters) Another unasked question to Nasrallah would have been whether he
believes the Russians would leave Syria after defeating ISIS? And if not, would
Hezbollah declare war against Moscow and seek to “liberate Syria” from the
Russian invasion?
Why would Russia leave?
However, regardless of how Russian intervention is perceived by Moscow’s allies
and foes (by default, one party’s “occupying force” would be another party’s
“liberators”); there is no dispute that there will be very little that can be
done to challenge whatever Russia decides to do next in the Middle East.
(Essential reading: Putin has checkmated Obama in Syria – by veteran
Washington-based analyst Hisham Melhem) To put these recent developments into
context, we should remember that none of this would have been possible had the
U.S. and the international community intervened directly when the crisis first
erupted in Syria in 2011. Russian President Vladimir Putin tested his American
counterpart one more time in Crimea, but the U.S. Commander-in-Chief blinked yet
again and Crimea has since been absorbed by Russia. Then, President Barack
Obama’s infamous “Red Line fiasco” of 2013 gave a clear indicator (to the Syrian
regime, but importantly to the Russians) that the White House isn’t prepared to
commit militarily to end what has now evolved to become the biggest human
catastrophe of modern times. Russian President Vladimir Putin tested his
American counterpart one more time in Crimea, but the U.S. Commander-in-Chief
blinked yet again and Crimea has since been absorbed by Russia – despite
Ukraine’s desperate pleas to the U.S. and its other Western allies. As such, one
should simply accept the new reality in Syria, however, this leaves a number of
questions unanswered: Will Russia decide to hold on to Assad in the end? Or will
Assad be sacrificed in favor of a fairer resolution to this conflict which has
left more than 300,000 killed and millions of refugees displaced? Will Moscow
necessarily tow the Iranian line? Is there really a
Russian-Chinese-Iranian-Syrian regime axis being formed? (Recent unconfirmed
reports suggest a Chinese aircraft carrier and military advisors were on the way
to assist Assad in the battle against ISIS).One thing is for sure: Russia (which
is unlikely to let go of its only military base on warm waters in the Syrian
port of Tartous) is most probably here to stay, and with a diminishing American
presence, we should now expect – and accept – that Moscow (for better or for
worse) will have a much bigger say in regional affairs.
Divergent views on the Middle East at the U.N. General
Assembly
Raghida Dergham/Al Arabiya/September 28/15
The 70th anniversary of the United Nations will not end with a serious
resolution of the crises of the Middle East, which will dominate bilateral and
multilateral talks between leaders, led by the crises of Syria and Yemen.
Attitudes are diverging increasingly between local, regional, and international
players, and hopes for breakthroughs in Gulf-Iranian or U.S.-Russian meetings –
and European initiatives – are fading. Understandings may be reached regarding
the issues of terrorism and migration caused by the Syrian crisis, for example.
However, the differences regarding the nature and conditions of a political
solution will continue to hit the Assad Obstacle, in light of the Russian
insistence on the Syrian president as a key component of the fight against ISIS
and of any political solution in Syria. All this means that the next stage will
be more complicated in the Arab region, not only in Yemen, Iraq, Libya, and
Syria, but possibly elsewhere in their vicinity too.Russia has made a strategic
decision and has adopted a roadmap and mechanisms for implementing it. Some
European powers, such as France and Britain, are starting to feel infuriated by
the Russian military build-up in Syria, but they do not have plans or strategies
except to continue to reject the rehabilitation of Assad on a full and permanent
basis, while accepting his provisional rehabilitation without a specific
timeframe for his departure for now.
Moscow has made it clear that it wants to rehabilitate Assad, but the answer
from Washington been that it will not be involved in this plan
The United States is taking half steps, and is deliberately circumventing
anything that could negatively affect its priorities in engaging with Iran. This
is tying its hands in Yemen, Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, where Iranian roles are
increasingly rigid and where the Russian-Iranian alliance is leaving an adverse
mark on all issues.Western members of the Security Council – the United States,
Britain, and France – are unhappy with Russia, which has embarrassed them by
escalating its military role in Syria, both covertly and overly, while seeking
to rehabilitate Bashar al-Assad through the Security Council. In the beginning,
the reactions were lukewarm. But Russia’s insistence on its military and
political plans has forced the Western powers to step up the level of their
objections and come up with counter proposals, especially that many of these
countries are directly affected by the Syrian crisis and the migrant crisis it
has engendered.
Currently, European diplomats at the Security Council are saying that Russia,
through its military intervention in Syria, has closed down the door on
diplomacy and political solutions in Syria. A promising diplomatic window had
been opened following the meetings between Russian Foreign Minister Sergei
Lavrov in Doha and ministers from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), together
with U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry. Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir
went to Moscow afterwards, followed by a high-level visit by senior Emirati and
Saudi officials, in conjunction with a visit by Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah
al-Sisi, to Moscow.
Those movements came in the wake of the nuclear deal between Iran and the five
major powers plus Germany. Everyone was optimistic about a positive détente
between the Gulf countries and Russia, in conjunction with the Gulf welcoming of
the nuclear deal. There was also hope regarding a breakthrough in Gulf-Iranian
and Saudi-Iranian relations. But all this optimism disappeared after the overt
Russian military escalation and covert Iranian escalation in Syria. So what
happened? Some believe the imminent collapse of the regime in Syria forced
Russia to intervene to avert total defeat. Others believe that Moscow has
decided to strengthen Assad to become a strong card in its hands during
negotiations.Some also believe that Russia has escalated militarily to ensure
the survival of the regime in Damascus, and politically by clinging to Assad, in
preparation to drop him at the right time, when it would be ready to trade
Assad’s departure for the survival of the regime.
Assad’s fate at the forefront
Regardless of what the Russian diplomacy has in mind, it is clear now that the
issue of Assad’s fate has returned to the forefront. European diplomacy –
especially French and British diplomacy – is focusing on the timing of “when”
Assad will step down, as they see him as part of the problem, and reject the
Russian logic that states he is part of the solution.European and American
diplomacies agree with the Russian view that Bashar al-Assad may be a temporary
necessity to defeat ISIS and its ilk, but they insist on refusing to consider
him a key part of the strategy to defeat ISIS because Assad, in their view, is
one of the main causes of the existence of ISIS.The European diplomacy is
reiterating that Assad has lost legitimacy, that Russian support for Assad
contradicts with the Geneva Communique, and that there is a need for a new
“creative” approach that would include regional players – the Gulf and Iran.
The European diplomacy says that the Russians have obstructed diplomatic
progress, and work is ongoing to restore the diplomatic track. There are debates
taking place in major capitals, including Washington and London, regarding a new
approach to the transitional process in Syria, which would begin with Assad and
end without him.
This week, French President Francois Hollande called on all those who can
contribute to a political solution in Syria to sit at a round table in a new
conference to reactivate the peace process, which started in Geneva (1 and 2).
Iranian absence
Meanwhile, Turkey has decided to propose to the European Union summit a request
for a “safe zone” in northern Syria to remedy the migrant crisis. Europe,
already panicked by the major influx of refugees to its borders, is ready to
look into this idea. The Bulgarian Foreign Minister said the idea is being
studied with the Turkish president, to aid and allow people to remain close to
their home country. Politically, there are discussions in various capitals
regarding transition in Syria that would preserve the structure of the regime
but not Assad. There are proposals regarding the numbers and names of regime
pillars who would be kept in place to guarantee the continuation of the regime.
The key actor absent from these discussions so far has been Iran. Tehran wants
to be officially part of the talks over Syria’s future. Yet if it becomes
involved in an official capacity, it will most likely cling on to the regime and
its leader, because Tehran rejected from the outset the logic of the Geneva
process, which called for establishing a transitional governing body with full
executive powers, neutralizing Bashar al-Assad’s role.
For its part, Riyadh has made it clear to Moscow and other capitals that it
objects to Assad remaining in power and to Iranian involvement in shaping the
future of Syria, as long as Iran is involved in the civil war there. With all
these facts in mind, it is difficult to be optimistic regarding a shift in the
Syrian issue, one that would take the country away from its current humanitarian
disaster and status as an arena for a global war on terror – exactly as it was
intended by the regime in Damascus and the powers that wanted to fight terror
away from their cities in Russia, Europe, and the United States. European
proposals backed reluctantly by the United States do not amount to a
comprehensive strategy that can counter the Russian proposals. Arab proposals
are incoherent, and there are no signs of a breakthrough in the Saudi-Iranian
relationship, bar a surprise. So far, all reports about Saudi-Iranian meetings
on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly are in the realm of speculation.
In truth, most sources say there is a lack of appetite for a Gulf-Iranian
meeting, because there are no bases for an agreement at present, from Syria and
Yemen, to Iraq and Lebanon. This will not prevent casual-but-important meetings
that usually take place at U.N. summits. Yet the long-awaited serious meeting
seems improbable.Terrorism and migration will dominate all discussions.
President Obama will host a summit on terrorism. President Putin will emphasize
fighting ISIS as his priority, but Russia could fail in its bid to get an
official U.N. Security Council position backing its strategy, during the
exceptional Security Council ministerial meeting it called for resolving the
crises of the Middle East. Moscow has made it clear that it wants to
rehabilitate Assad, but the answer from Washington been that it will not be
involved in this plan.
Khalaf Al-Habtoor, The Influential Emirati Business Leader And
Commentator: Side Deal With Iran, Which Allows It To Inspect Itself, Belies
Obama's Claim That Iran Agreement Is Safe; Europe's Haste To Embrace Iran Is
Unseemly
MEMRI/September 28, 2015 Special Dispatch No.6169
In two articles he published in the UAE English-language daily The National,
prominent businessman and writer Khalaf Ahmad Al-Habtoor harshly criticized the
nuclear arrangements recently reached with Iran. In an August 23, 2015 article,
he leveled criticism at the side deal between the IAEA and Iran. He stated that
this deal proves that an organization "known for its professionalism and
stringent monitoring" has been politicized by the agreement's signers, who he
said are either seeking to cut lucrative trade deals with Iran or, in the case
of President Obama, are aiming to cement their legacy.
Al-Habtoor wrote that the self-monitoring arrangement agreed to by the IAEA
belies Obama's assertion that the deal between Iran and the P5+1 would enjoy
"unprecedented verification," and undermines the main selling point in Obama's
promotion of the agreement – i.e. that it prevents an Iranian nuclear weapon for
10 years.
Noting that he cannot understand why Iran, with its unbroken record of hostility
to the West, is being treated so deferentially in comparison with Saddam
Hussein's Iraq, Al-Habtoor added that this disparity fuels suspicions that the
agreement, and its farcical verification procedures, are part of a broader
strategy of deliberately empowering Iran "to fit a geopolitical end-game."
In an August 27, 2015 article, Al-Habtoor slammed European countries, as well as
the U.S., for the sudden change in their attitude towards Iran. He noted that
European countries, which until very recently was treated Tehran as a bitter
enemy, are now rushing headlong to reopen their embassies there and to invite
Iranian leaders to visit their capitals – and this despite the fact that Iran
has given no indication that it means to change its ways, such as the
suppression of minorities and its support of terrorism. He assessed that this
sudden warming of relations is driven by nothing more than greed, for "all
[these countries] see now are flashing neon dollar signs." Mentioning again the
clause in the nuclear agreement that trusts Iran to inspect its own nuclear
facilities, he expresses a concern that the Obama administration may have other
secret arrangements with Iran, as part of a "Grand Bargain" being struck between
this country and the West. He also warned that the Western leaders now pandering
to Iran will live to rue the day, because it is only a matter of time before
Iran starts targeting their interests. The Arab world, he concluded, and
especially the Gulf states, must defend themselves against the danger by
"erecting an impenetrable wall in terms of military, surveillance and
intelligence capabilities."
The following are excerpts from A-Habtoor's two articles, in the original
English. [1]
"Iran Deal Goes From Risky To Farcical"
At First, "I Shrugged Off The News" Of The Secret Agreement "As A Figment Of
Someone's Heated Imagination"
In his August 25 article, Al-Habtoor wrote: "When I first learned from the news
that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) had signed a secret agreement
permitting Iran to self-monitor at least one of its major nuclear sites, I
shrugged off the news as a figment of someone's heated imagination.
"It is inconceivable that the world's nuclear watchdog, known for its
professionalism and stringent monitoring, would sign off on something so bizarre
– or so I initially believed.
"Iraq, whose nuclear activities, both civilian and military, were dismantled
following the Gulf War, certainly did not get off that lightly. Even after years
of intrusive inspections, the IAEA under the directorship of Mohammed ElBaradei
declined to present Iraq's deserved clean bill of health to the UN Security
Council prior to the US-led invasion.
"Yet the Islamic Republic of Iran, that has been spinning thousands of
centrifuges to enrich uranium beyond accepted civilian levels and has refused to
come clean on its past activities in this sphere, is trusted to inspect itself.
"The IAEA cannot be accused of lacking innovation. Perhaps we will soon see
drivers suspected of being under the influence allowed to test their own
substance levels. Moreover, given that the ayatollahs, whose mantra is 'Death to
America,' are suddenly considered trustworthy, years of negotiations could have
been avoided. A simple affidavit signed by the Supreme Leader would have
sufficed just as well. Something does not smell right here."
"The Obama Administration's Claim That The U.S. Was Not A Party To This
Agreement" Is "Just As Fishy"
"Just as fishy is the Obama administration's claim that the U.S. was not a party
to this agreement specific to the Parchin Military Complex – known as Separate
Arrangement II – when it was approved by all P5+1 countries.
"A White House spokesman has confirmed the administration is 'comfortable' with
the terms of the confidential side agreement between Iran and the IAEA. Are we
to suppose that the IAEA took this dangerous, lackadaisical approach off its own
bat?
"According to a leaked draft of this 'Separate Arrangement' divulged by the
Associated Press, Iran is bound to provide the IAEA with photographs and videos
of the various locations within Parchin, together with environmental samples.
The question remains, how can those photos, videos and samples be verified as
relating to the Parchin complex – and even if they are legit, who is to know
whether or not they have been cherry-picked?
"President Obama's assurances that Iran's activities would be subject to
'unprecedented verification' sound ever more hollow. The IAEA has been barred
from this site, suspected of carrying out explosives tests related to nuclear
weapons, since 2005 and now it has assented to being locked-out for the
duration, which is out of character."
Like Other UN Bodies, The IAEA Too Is Now Politicized
"This surrender on the part of the IAEA leads me to believe that like so many
other UN bodies, the IAEA is politicized; in this case, it has shaped its usual
rock-solid strategies to suit political goals. However it is spun, this does not
amount to 'the most robust inspection regime' ever, as touted by the Obama
administration.
"The AP news report has been slammed by the IAEA as 'misleading.' However, the
agency's Director General Yukiya Amano has not disclaimed the draft's published
content. He insisted that the arrangements are in conformity with
long-established IAEA practices, while emphasizing that he has 'a legal
obligation not to make them public.' One is left wondering why the public, not
to mention U.S. lawmakers, are being left in the dark."
"My Suspicions That Iran Is Being Deliberately Empowered To Fit A Geopolitical
End-Game Are Heightened"
"I have been against this unsatisfactory arrangement with Iran since day one,
primarily because of its narrow remit. An acceptable deal would have been
conditional upon Tehran ceasing its troublemaking and its attempts to topple
governments throughout the region.
"My view broadly reflects the opinions of many of Iran's neighbors, who are
rightly fearful that the lifting of sanctions will see Iran's coffers
overflowing into the hands of its armed proxies.
"President Obama has repeatedly countered our concerns on the grounds that
curbing Iran's nuclear ambitions for 10 years is better than no deal. I did not
find his arguments credible then, but now that the existence of secret side
agreements have come to the fore, my suspicions that Iran is being deliberately
empowered to fit a geopolitical end-game are heightened.
"I would love to know why a country that has been hostile to Western powers and
their allies since its inception in 1979 is being so rewarded. Or is this
animosity with the West just a farce to fool us?"
"Obama Has Been... Bribing America's Middle East Allies, Appealing To The
American People, And Playing The Heavy With Congress To Seal His Deal, To The
Point Of Being Unseemly – At Stake Is His Legacy"
"European capitals are eyeing up lucrative trade deals and planning to reopen
their embassies in Tehran. Iranian-Russian trade is set to expand
exponentially... Iran's oil industry is gearing up to expand production of crude
to pre-sanctions levels, which could see already depressed oil prices spiraling
to new lows.
"Obama's hard-sell campaign is not working, despite his frequent appearances on
U.S. news networks to plug the deal for all he is worth, and his furious
lobbying of Congress. He has even resorted to pleading with the American people
to press their Congressional representatives to vote 'yes,' but is making little
headway. A recently released CNN/ORC poll indicates that 56 per cent of
Americans want Congress to reject the deal.
"Just about every Republican presidential hopeful – with the exception of Jeb
Bush who is on the fence – vows to undo the deal and re-impose sanctions; most
of their Democratic rivals are trying to distance themselves from the topic.
"Congress has 60 days to put the issue under a spotlight and is set to vote
early next month on a 'Resolution of Disapproval.' If the vote fails to go in
the President's favor, in theory Congress could prevent him from lifting
sanctions against Iran. Obama has threatened to use his veto, risking putting
the White House and Congress on a war footing. It will take a two-thirds
majority in Congress to override that veto.
"President Obama has been browbeating and bribing America's Middle East allies,
appealing to the American people and playing the heavy with Congress to seal his
deal, to the point of being unseemly. At stake is his legacy. It is my hope that
America's lawmakers will vote in sufficient numbers to ensure that we in this
part of the world are not doomed to pay the price."[2]
"Europe's Unseemly Haste To Embrace Tehran"
"The Mullahs Have Gone From Zero To Hero In The Blink Of An Eye"
In his August 31 article, Al-Habtoor wrote: "The ink hardly dried on the Iran
nuclear deal before European countries were racing to seal trade deals and
reopen embassies. The mullahs have gone from zero to hero in the blink of an
eye. Forgotten are Tehran's links to terrorists, attempts to overthrow Middle
Eastern governments and mass gatherings organized to hurl insults and threats at
the West.
"Cast aside are concerns about Iran's suppression of minorities, its dismal
human rights record or its practice of stoning women. I believe Iran has made no
substantial statements to the effect it is willing to change. On the contrary,
its message throughout has been one of defiance. It has not been required to
denounce terrorism let alone its participation in terrorist acts.
"Iran's crimes are suddenly of no consequence to Europe's democracies; I believe
they have purposefully put their blinkers on and are literally queuing with
their hands out to beat down Tehran's golden doors. All they see now are
flashing neon dollar signs. The Islamic Republic, soon to be flush with an $80
billion plus bonanza, is destined to become Europe's latest cash cow.
"I was extremely disappointed and saddened at Britain's rush to reopen its
Tehran embassy that has been closed for four years subsequent to coming under
mob attack in November, 2011. I have always had great respect and admiration for
the UK that I consider my second home, based on my homeland's historic ties and
the principled stances taken by great leaders like Winston Churchill and
Margaret Thatcher, who kept the 'Great' in Britain, politically, militarily,
industrially and economically.
"I cannot imagine that those prime ministers, whose names remain engraved on
world history to this day, groveling before a country that five minutes ago was
their enemy, just to get their clutches on a fistful of dollars."
"Iran's Crimes Are Suddenly Of No Consequence To Europe's Democracies; They Have
Purposefully Put Their Blinkers On"
"The UK's Foreign Secretary, Philip Hammond, was the first to beat a track to
Tehran since 2003. Naturally, he arrived with a trade delegation and took the
opportunity to stress the 'huge appetite' shown by British business to invest in
Iran as well as the readiness of British banks to finance deals.
"As the Iranian network Press TV has reported, Iran has recently hosted 'a
delegation of government ministers from Italy,' who has signed a Memorandum of
Understanding to fund industrial, construction and infrastructure projects worth
over 3 billion euros. This comes on the heels of a visit by Germany's Minister
for Economic Affairs and Energy, Sigmar Gabriel, with a team of manufacturers,
as well as visits from Austrian, Serbian, Swiss and Azerbaijani government
officials. Spain is also champing at the bit to board the gravy train.
"Moreover, President Hassan Rohani has been invited to visit Rome 'in the coming
weeks'. Rohani's red carpet travel schedule is getting fuller by the day.
Following a visit to Tehran by France's Minister of Foreign Affairs and
International Development, Laurent Fabius, accompanied by business leaders, he
has been invited to visit the Elysees Palace in November. Russia and China,
which have always been cosy with Tehran, are waiting in the wings with lucrative
energy and weapons contracts at the ready.
"No doubt President Barack Obama is rubbing his hands together awaiting his turn
to get in on the action, delayed by pesky lawmakers who refused to take his word
that his deal is the best thing that has happened since the invention of the
wheel.
"Iran and its Lebanese proxy in Lebanon, Hezbollah, have not changed.
Nevertheless, America inexplicably saw it fit to remove those entities from its
terror threat list even as it is fighting to preserve Syria's Killer-in-Chief
and supporting a Houthi takeover of Yemen.
"At least one senior Iranian official has gleefully announced his country's
continued support for 'resistance' groups, which translated means their armed
minions and spies targeting Arabian Gulf States. Who can blame Iran's Arab
neighbors for being rattled when a massive cache of weapons were recently
discovered in Kuwait in the hands of a Hezbollah cell poised to create mayhem
and bloodshed!..."
"A 'Grand Bargain' Between The West And Iran Is Unfolding Before Our Eyes"
"I am starting to wonder whether there is more to the nuclear deal, which
permits Iran to carry out self-inspections of its suspect Parchin Military
Complex, than meets the eye - especially when there are other secret agreements
between Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency which the nuclear
watchdog is legally bound not to disclose, even to the U.S. and the other P5+1
countries. Believe that if you will!
"In this case, one can only speculate about the existence of other secret
arrangements between Iran and the Obama administration that has displayed
unprecedented determination to ensure the deal passes muster with Congress and
has gone to extreme lengths to persuade America's longstanding Middle East
allies to come on board, including invitations to the leaders of Gulf States to
weekend talks at Camp David. Likewise, President Obama is trying,
unsuccessfully, to bribe the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu into
silence with a massive 'military compensation package.'
"The Shah of Iran may have sat on the Peacock Throne, but it is my bet that
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Hosseini Khamenei is strutting around like a peacock
these days, his feathers plumped up by European sycophants and endless praise
from U.S. officials. He is getting everything for nothing. Iran's nuclear
infrastructure remains intact, uranium enrichment will be ongoing. Opening up
some of the country's nuclear facilities, barring military sites, to intrusive
inspections for 10 years is just a mere inconvenience paling by comparison with
the glittering rewards.
"I warned again and again of the potential of a 'Grand Bargain' being struck
between the West and Iran many years ago and now it is unfolding before our
eyes. I recall President Obama saying the nuclear deal could possibly lead to
normalization of relations with Iran way into the future provided it sticks to
its commitments. What is happening now makes a mockery of those cautious words.
"Here is another prediction. Those Western leaders prostrating themselves before
the Iranian leadership will live to rue the day. Enriched and emboldened, I
believe it is only a matter of time before Tehran strikes at their countries
interests because its ideology and hatred for all things western are immutable.
"The Arab World, in particular Iran's closest neighbors, the Arabian Gulf
states, must not only be alert to the coming danger, but should take a leaf out
of Donald Trump's book by erecting an impenetrable wall in terms of military,
surveillance and intelligence capabilities, to keep Iran, its mercenaries and
proxies far from our shores. If we are not careful, the West's lust to bolster
their failing economies will leave us hung out to dry." [3]
Endnotes:
[1] Subheads added by MEMRI.
[2] The National (UAE), August 23, 2015. The article was also published on
English.alarabiya.net on August 25, 2015.
[3] The National (UAE), August 27, 2015. The article was also published on
English.alarabiya.net on August 31, 2015.
Russia opposes “lawless”pro-Assad militias: report
Now Lebanon/September 28/15
As-Safir said that the actions of NDF militias have weakened the authority of
the Syrian government.
BEIRUT – Amid its growing military buildup in Syria, Russia has proposed the
axing of the pro-Assad National Defense Force militias which have come under
scrutiny for their lawless actions, according to a pro-Damascus newspaper.
Lebanese daily As-Safir reported Monday that the “Russians believe the NDF
experiment has failed to stand up to the armed groups and that it has weakened
the authority of the Syrian state and the Syrian army.”Citing “corroborative
information,” the paper went on to say that Moscow wants to “strengthen the
Syrian state’s role through a proposal to reduce the role of the NDF and popular
committees, and form a fourth legion of the Syrian Army.”According to As-Safir,
the new fourth legion would bring NDF units under its command “and re-habilitate
75,000 fighters.”“It would raise the army’s capability to renew its forces and
reduce disorder in the chain of command.”
Originally formed in late 2012, the NDF acts as an auxiliary force for the
Syrian army, assisting the regular regime forces in their battles against
rebels.
However, NDF units throughout regime controlled areas have come under increasing
criticism from local residents, who accuse the militia forces of acting like
criminal gangs under the cover of government protection. Pro-government militias
in Tartous have clashed intermittently with regime security forces while facing
accusations of being behind kidnappings and car thefts in a wanton crime spree.
Meanwhile, an NDF militia reportedly fought regime troops in Homs in mid-April,
while reports emerged in late September that a militia force fought local
security in the center of Hama. Regime media slams pro-government militias A
September 22 segment on Syria’s semi-official Sama TV broached the controversial
topic, with the host Nizar Alfarra blasting the “the phenomenon of lawlessness…
caused by a collection of people who, unfortunately, are exploiting the state’s
name.”
He further said that NDF militias in the Alawite-populated region stretching
from the coastal city of Tartous to the rural villages west of Hama, have found
that “robbing, stealing, pilfering and all [other] sinful actions can yield more
money” than “defending the homeland, which may not produce a material return.”
“There is a genuine complaint about gangs [that] rob and steal, [and] have
become completely uncontrollable in that area.”“Who has an interest in giving
Syrian citizens the feeling that their state’s… security apparatuses are weak…
and leave criminals whose names and activities are known… to do as they please?”
Alfarra asked. The program’s guest, Syria Home News editor-in-chief Haytham
Mohammad called for concrete regime action against the rogue militias. “We have
paid a big price but we will pay a higher and higher price if this phenomenon
does not end and if these [criminals] are not arrested and brought to justice.”
Tartous lawlessness
In the latest incident to raise the ire of residents of pro-Assad areas, a local
NDF unit in the Tartous town of Dreikish attacked police officers on September
21, leaving two dead. Residents of Dreikish blasted the local NDF militia and
called for the regime to strike it with an “iron fist.” “There is a large group
of murderous criminals who have banded together in a militia under the
leadership of the criminal Ahmad Houry,” read a post late Monday on the
pro-regime Al-Dreikish Facebook page. “They gathered all the degenerates… and
because the state did not do its duty and bury them they ran rampant and set
themselves up as a de-facto state,” the bitter post added. A subsequent post on
the page accused Houry’s militia of operating “in cooperation with the governor
of Tartous, and those above him too.”The Dreikish incident comes on the heels of
a long series of incidents of local pro-regime militias taking the law into
their own hands amid lawlessness in the Tartous region. On June 22, members of a
local National Defense Force militia opened fire on residents of the Tartous
town of Safita, which is populated by a nearly equal mix of Greek Orthodox and
Alawites approximately 20 kilometers southeast of Tartous.
A pro-regime Facebook page covering news in the town roundly condemned the
incident and called for a government crackdown. “We call on the competent
authorities to put an end to this chaos which is increasing day after day,” a
post on the pro-regime Safita News Network read.
The Islamic State’s Frantic Response To The Wave Of
Refugees Fleeing Syria
By: R. Green*MEMRI
Jihad & Terrorism Studies Project
September 28, 2015Inquiry & Analysis Series Report No.1187
The following report is a complimentary offering from MEMRI‘s Jihad and
Terrorism Threat Monitor (JTTM). For JTTM subscription information, click here.
Introduction
In response to the refugee crisis involving the migration to Europe of hundreds
of thousands of people from Syria and other Middle Eastern countries, the
Islamic State (ISIS) has launched a large-scale media campaign urging Muslims
not to seek refuge in the West but rather to come to the territories under its
control. As part of the campaign, ISIS has released 13 videos and has published
numerous articles and pamphlets; additionally, its activists have flooded social
media with this message, including with a Twitter campaign under the hashtag
“Refugees – to where?”[1]
The massive scale of the media output on this issue shows that ISIS sees the
Syrian wave of migration to Europe as an acute challenge. ISIS leaders see this
challenge is twofold: It undermines ISIS propaganda that promotes ISIS as a
burgeoning state to which Muslims are flocking, and it constitutes an actual
demographic problem.
ISIS’s migration campaign has revolved largely around a negative message, namely
condemnation of those who choose to flee to the West and an assertion that
migration to Europe and the West will only bring the refugees further
misfortune. Moreover, ISIS and its supporters stress all Muslims’ obligation to
perform hijra (migration) to the Islamic State, and the view that Muslims who
live elsewhere are neglecting their religious duties.
The messages in the campaign revolve around comparisons. ISIS propagandists
juxtapose the negative aspects of migrating to the West with the positive
aspects of life in the Islamic State and migrating to it. Thus, they present the
Islamic State as an Islamic utopia, as opposed to Europe, presented as a land of
moral depravity. The ISIS territories are presented as lands where Muslims live
in peace, security, and prosperity, in contrast to the dangers and perils that
await refugees in Europe. Life in the Islamic State, they say, may perhaps be
dangerous, but it promises glory and honor through waging jihad, most
prominently for the people of Syria – but life in the West will be a life of
humiliation and abuse for those who choose to leave battle-torn countries of the
Middle East, for they will be targets of Europeans’ conspiracies and European
attempts at converting them to Christianity.
Writers quote passages from the Koran and Hadith, and from renowned scholars to
emphasize the obligation to live in an Islamic land. They frequently quote ISIS
leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi, who has called upon Muslims to migrate to the lands
under his rule.
A tweeted quote by ISIS leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi warning Muslims against
living among non-Muslims, posted as part of the migration campaign
Several propaganda techniques are noticeable in the campaign: The videos open
with scenes of the plight of refugees attempting to reach Europe, including the
images of the drowned toddler Aylan Kurdi, refugees being beaten by police, and
so on. The videos feature many fighters who came to Syria from the West
providing an inside view of the negative aspects of life in Europe. The videos
also include many “man on the street” interviews with supposedly ordinary people
speaking out against migration to Europe and in favor of living in ISIS
territories.
The following report will review the campaign’s main messages:
Dar Al-Islam vs. Dar Al-Kufr
The most poignant message in ISIS’s set of arguments against migration to Europe
is that the territories under ISIS control are considered dar al-Islam (“the
abode of Islam”), whereas the West is considered dar al-kufr (“the abode of
unbelief”). ISIS territories are presented as lands of the Islamic caliphate.
They stress that it is incumbent upon those able to perform hijra to migrate to
lands under ISIS control, especially in the core areas in Syria and Iraq.
In a video produced by ISIS’s Salah Al-Din province, an ISIS cleric states:
“Those who have left and those who are leaving today [i.e. the migrants to the
West] do not know their religion… since it is every Muslim’s duty to emigrate
from dar al-kufr to diyar al-Islam [the lands of Islam].” The cleric notes that
the only place that implements the shari’a is the Islamic State, and that it is
therefore every Muslim’s duty to join it. He adds that even if most Muslims do
not live within the borders of the Islamic State, it is still defined as dar
al-Islam, and therefore they must leave dar al-kufr and the “lands of idolatry”
and immigrate to it.[2]
An ISIS fighter appearing in another video speaks about Muslims’ duty to live in
the Islamic State’s territories in Syria and Iraq: “In our times, Allah has
bestowed His grace upon the nation of Prophet Muhammad by establishing the
Islamic State in Al-Sham and in Iraq, and elsewhere upon the earth. Any Muslim
for whom Allah has established dar al-Islam in his country should live in it,
and any Muslim living in an infidel country should emigrate to dar al-Islam, as
was ordained by Allah and the Prophet Muhammad… If you consider emigrating from
the land of Islam to the land of Infidels, leaving your brothers, the mujahideen,
behind, to defend the honor of your women and the women of your brothers, and
leaving behind your sisters, who are being raped day and night in Damascus,
Homs, and elsewhere – you should know that you are committing a grave sin.”[3]
Migration Must Only Be To The Islamic State
Seeing that ISIS sees its territories as the only “land of Islam,” the ISIS
campaign stresses that the only form of migration that is permitted is to the
Islamic State. A writer who goes by the name of Gharib Al-Surouriyya admonished
migrants to Europe: “The basic principle is that the Muslim must migrate,
fleeing for his religion, to the lands of Islam. How can one abandon migration
to the land in which shari’a law is applied and Allah’s laws are manifest, and
migrate to the lands of unbelief… If Allah, exalted be He, does not excuse those
who abandon migration from the lands of unbelief to the lands of Islam, what can
be said of those who spend their money and energy and risk their lives and
families by migrating to the lands of unbelief, as we see today… Oh monotheist
Muslim, if you choose to abandon migration to the land of Islam – the Islamic
State which made the laws of shari’a master over any human law, and which made
the word of Allah supreme – the least you can do is refrain from migrating to
the lands of unbelief. Remaining in your land and fighting on the front lines
would be better for your religion and for your worldly life than fleeing.”[4]
Tweeted photo of a Japanese convert to Islam who joined ISIS in Syria, presented
as an honorable example of a foreigner who travelled the route that is the
opposite of the route of the refugees.
Glory Under ISIS vs. Humiliation In The West
A recurrent theme in the ISIS campaign is the juxtaposition of its territories
as a land of glory and honor in light of the jihad being waged there with the
West, which is a land of dishonor and humiliation for Muslims who migrate to it.
A writer who goes by Umm Abdallah Al-Jazrawiyya beseeched the refugees: “Return
to your lands, for that is where there are slaves for whom Allah is their Lord.
He supports them and strengthens them; with his support, they liberate your
lands and establish Allah’s law in them. Return to your religion, your jihad,
and your glory and retrieve your honor.”[5]
ISIS fighters in a video produced by Raqqa province in Syria expressed similar
sentiments. An interviewer asked: “Will the refugees find glory in those
countries where they seek refuge?” One fighter, of French origin, responded: “By
Allah, in truth I was in France, in Paris, and I saw them, those refugees,
sleeping in the streets and in the parks, and the infidels would bring them food
and drink every now and then. Whereas here, in the land of the Islamic State,
there is the diwan al-zakkat [the bureau of alms] which enables [the needy] to
live in glory.” Another fighter replied: “Definitely not. There is glory only in
Islam. Definitely, glory is here, in jihad for the sake of Allah. Glory is in
the Islamic State, not elsewhere.” A third fighter said: “Those people [who
migrated to the West] will be humiliated, Allah willing.”[6]
French ISIS fighter speaking in video produced by Raqqah province
Gharib Al-Ikhwan admonished those who flee their land due to the danger of war
and death, saying: “Some may bring up the pretext of the danger of life in their
country due to the war. They should know that protecting the religion is
prioritized over protecting the soul. That is why Allah made jihad obligatory,
although it entails the loss of the soul… It is but a few years until [the
caliphate] will become a lighthouse sought by people from everywhere. So, oh you
refugees: ‘Will ye exchange the better for the worse?’ [Koran 2:61]… or do you
want for your children unbelief in Europe or death like that of Aylan Kurdi on
its shores?”[7]Yamani Wa-Aftakhir Bi-Islami, an ISIS supporter, urged people to
join ISIS in its expected victory: “Their argument [for fleeing Syria and Iraq]
is the war and death in their countries, as though death is present only in Iraq
and Syria and not in the depths of the sea and in the lands of unbelief. There
is no escape from death; it will reach you even if you are in fortified towers.
Victory for the religion of Islam is coming, undoubtedly. Glory and power are
coming everywhere with us or without us, so let us have the honor of being
bearers of this religions and trailblazers on this path to glory. We are all on
one of Islam’s frontier outposts; do not let it [Islam's victory] pass you by.
The first brick of the victory for this religion [was laid] with the return of
the Islamic caliphate in the land of Syria and Iraq and its spread to the lands
of the Muslims, and with the effort to liberate them from the tyrants, the tails
of the Crusaders…”[8]
Image accompanying an anti-migration article juxtaposes the humiliation of
refugees in Europe with the alleged glory of ISIS, as illustrated by a little
boy aiming a pistol.
An ISIS fighter, apparently himself from France, appealed to those considering
fleeing Syria for Europe: “Those who emigrate to the lands of unbelief,
especially France – we tell you: You will face problems in terms of wearing the
niqab and the hijab. You will face difficulties throughout your lives. You will
not have honor in these countries, but only humiliation… You have no honor.
Honor is only found in jihad and in the land of the caliphate.”[9]
A writer calling himself Abu Abdallah Muhammad Ayoub Al-Qurashi summed up this
argument by stating: “Perseverance against hardship in the land of the caliphate
is better than a carefree life in a land in which the Lord of Glory is cursed
and in which a child is attributed to him [i.e. a Christian land], in which His
shari’a is prevented and depravities and abominations are abundant.”[10]
Tweet by the French Islamist design team LVD. “To give up and flee towards the
European mirage or fight the secular bloody dictatorships of the Arab regimes?”
Images, left to right: “Flee towards the European paradise”; “Flee towards
Allah’s paradise”
The Islamic Utopia Vs. The Impure West
Another prominent feature of ISIS propaganda is touting the contrast between its
territories, presented as a utopia where Islamic laws and values dominate, and
European countries, ruled by ungodly laws and whose values are incompatible with
those of Muslims.
One ISIS supporter tweeted in this vein: “Oh Muslims, the taghout[11] does not
for one day want your good. Do not seek refuge with your enemy! Congratulations
to the subjects of the commander of the faithful [the caliph, Abu Bakr
Al-Baghdadi]: [they enjoy] safety and faith, happiness and prosperity in the
shadow of a glorious Islamic caliphate… How can your heart agree to you living
in a land where one of your neighbors might be a polytheist or loyal to the
tawaghit or to the rawafid [Shiites]? Will you travel by sea seeking a land
where pig is eaten, wine is consumed, and corruption and immorality are spoken
of openly?”[12]
In a video, an ISIS cleric from Mosul asked: “Will those who left be secure?
Will they be secure in their religion? Will they have sufficient religion and
faith that will enable them to defend their religion and faith in the land of
unbelief? Will they be able to carry out Allah’s commands as they are fulfilled
today in the state of the caliphate? Will they be able to pray the five prayers
in the mosques? Will they be able to grow their beards, as the Islamic State
ordered men to grow them in compliance with the command of the Prophet?
Moreover, will they be able to protect their women? This is a country of
prostitution, Allah protect us from it, this a land of immorality and wine, a
land of fornication, a land of depravity, may Allah protect us from it. Oh
Muslim, how can you protect your honor [i.e. your wife] in this land?”[13]
Dangers And Conspiracies
As part of the intense effort to dissuade Syrians and others from migrating to
Europe, ISIS videos also emphasized the physical dangers involved in the journey
itself and the dangers to the migrants’ religious beliefs posed by life in
Europe. They presented Europe’s welcoming of Muslim migrants as a conspiracy
against ISIS and against Muslims in general.
The main speaker in the video titled “The Camp of Desertion,” which was released
by ISIS in Al-Khair province (Deir Al-Zour), addressed Christianization of
refugees in Europe: “Don’t you see the Christianization campaigns which are
spreading around the world, especially in the land of Kufr, whose tyrants have
tried and used all means to combat Allah’s religion? They became lands where
Muslims are being Christianized and forced out of their religion.”[14]
Tweet under “Refugees – to where” hashtag: “The Hungarian borders.”
One ISIS fighter, featured in a video produced by Al-Janoub province, which
corresponds to southern Iraq, stated: “What is the interest of the infidels, oh
reasonable person, when they opened their lands accepting and welcoming you?
What is the interest of these infidels when they compete over welcoming and
sheltering you in these lands, in which there is no sound of Islam heard nor a
scent of it smelled?”
Hailing the migrants who now live in the Islamic State “proud, with their heads
lifted,” he asked those fleeing to Europe: “Where do you stand with regards to
them, as you leave your lands and your families to seek refuge with the
infidels? All they want from you is to disbelieve in the religion of
Muhammad.”[15]
ISIS fighter speaking in video produced by Al-Janoub province
An article titled “the immigration of Muslims to the Land of Kufr (the great
Fitna),” by one Abu Rida Al-Sunni, listed what the author saw as the real
reasons that Western countries have agreed to accept Muslim refugees – among
them “exploiting the plight of the refugees and their condition to influence
them to change their religion and convert to Christianity, which actually
started with the pope’s approval and his request that religious establishments
host some of these refugees.”[16]
An ISIS supporter warned fellow Muslims: “On the way, you will face death and
humiliation. For what? To reach the land of infidels? Will you respect their
infidel laws? They will look at you like a dog or even worse. You won’t be able
to raise your daughter according to shari’a there. Do you know that when your
daughter reaches the age of majority you are not able to control her? These are
their laws, oh you who are unaware.”[17]
The ISIS member featured in a video produced by Yemen’s Hadramawt province
warned migrants to Europe about falling into the hands of human traffickers:
“Look at the situation of those who migrated and left the lands of Islam! How
they are [in danger of] drowning in the depths of the seas, then thrown on the
beaches of the lands of unbelief, a lifeless, motionless body, while others fall
into the hands of criminal gangs, prostitution networks, and more, who will turn
their families into prostitutes in the lands of the West. Those of them who
reach the lands of unbelief will live miserably, wretchedly, and humiliated
under the law of the infidels, who will look upon them as wretched and
lowly.”[18]
A writer calling himself Fajr Al-’Anzi wrote in an article titled “Migration to
Germany – Dream or Nightmare?”: “Every day the newspapers expound to us reports
of attacks on foreign refugees or arson [attacks] on their shelters. Moreover,
to date, Germany has provided no plan to integrate Syrian refugees into the job
market, and thus has abandoned them to the German extremists. They see Islam as
threatening Europe demographically, and [think that] by getting special housing
and jobs, the refugees pose a danger to the entire European entity.”[19]
An Ominous Fate Awaits Migrants To The West
Pro-ISIS writers and speakers warn migrants to the West that they will be
punished by God and bring about their own downfall, since God will abandon them
and will choose others to carry His message and earn a place in Paradise.
ISIS supporter Minbar Al-Khilafa began an article by informing migrants to the
West of the ominous fate that awaits them: “Praise Allah who said [in Koran
4:97] ‘When angels take the souls of those who die in sin against their souls,
they say: ‘In what (plight) were ye?’ They reply: ‘Weak and oppressed were we in
the earth.’ They say: ‘Was not the earth of Allah spacious enough for you to
move yourselves away (from evil)?’ Such men will find their abode in Hell, What
an evil refuge!’ This verse is explicit about the obligation of migration from
the lands where Muslims are oppressed and unable to fulfill their religion to
the lands of Islam where the Muslim glorifies his religion, and about the
punishment for those who do not do this despite being able to. [Their
punishment] is eternal hellfire. Why? Since they preferred the life of this
world to their religion. Therefore, godly punishment comes upon them. And peace
upon the Prophet… who said [in a hadith]: ‘I disavow any Muslim who lives among
the polytheists.’”[20]
Tweet juxtaposing an image of ISIS fighters, illustrating the honor of jihad,
with one of miserable refugees. Caption: “They left the lands of glory and
sought shelter in the lands of humility and vileness. By Allah, this is the
principle of replacement [istibdal – see explanation below].”
A writer who goes by Abu Al-Ahnaf Al-Shibani explains the concept of replacement
(istibdal) in this context: “This principle is crystallized in the fall of
governments and leaderships and their replacement by others, and in the decline
of nations and groups whose position is taken by others. If we see a government
or a leadership or a group replaced by another, the meaning of this is that the
phenomenon has been brought about due to this principle [of replacement]. This
is what we see clearly today in the replacement of peoples in Iraq and Syria.
Today we see the Muslim youth, who were graced by Allah with the establishment
of the caliphate in their midst, taking themselves and traveling to the lands of
the infidels which are ruled by the laws of the jungle on baseless and weak
pretenses.”[21] Among these pretenses Al-Shibani lists fear of death and search
for livelihood. He also accused the youth that has fled to Europe for evading
their duty to wage jihad.
Peace, Security And Prosperity Under ISIS
To convince refugees to remain in ISIS territories or to travel to them rather
than to flee to the West, ISIS propaganda stresses that those who live under its
control enjoy a secure and peaceful life as well as material comfort. It should
be mentioned that the theme of normal, plentiful life is a regular feature of
ISIS publications.
In the video titled “The Camp of Desertion,” ISIS members and local residents
interviewed spoke positively about their lives in the caliphate. One of them,
who claimed that he had lived in Europe in the past, said: “We now [live] under
the blessing of Islam. By Allah’s name, we eat, drink, enjoy ourselves, have air
conditioning, cars, Internet and cellphones, thanks to Allah. We have the
worldly pleasures which they [the refugees] left to acquire.”[22]
ISIS photos showing the festive ‘Eid Al-Adha atmosphere in Al-Bab, an
ISIS-controlled town near Aleppo. The photos were posted under the “Refugees –
to where?” hashtag
Gharib Al-Surouriyya wrote: “We have not heard, praise Allah, of any person who
died in the Islamic State from hunger, thirst, or oppression, nor have we seen
one of its subjects throughout its vast territories migrate to the lands of
unbelief, except in rare cases. Those who stay in them are safe with regards to
their life, family,and honor, in contrast to those Muslims who abandoned their
home and migrated to the lands of unbelief. We have seen how some have died,
some have drowned, and those who escaped death are not safe with regard to their
religion, nor are they safe from the Christians’ abuse, trading in their
weakness and exploiting their circumstances.”[23]
Another writer, “Minbar Al-Khilafa,” noted that Muslims should migrate to the
Islamic State, not Europe, and asked: “If you are seeking a peaceful life, why
don’t you immigrate to the Islamic State where you will find security, dignity,
and stability?” He added “if you are in doubt, the Islamic State media is
truthful with its visual materials, which show stability in the Islamic State
despite the war which is being waged against it.”[24]
* R. Green is a Research Fellow at MEMRI.
Endnotes:
[1] Twitter.com/hashtag/%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%AC%D8%A6%D9%88%D9%86_%D8%A5%D9%84%D9%89_%D8%A3%D9%8A%D9%86?src=hash
[2] See MEMRI JTTM report ISIS Fighters To Refugees: Do Not Migrate To France Or
Germany, ‘Migrate Immediately To The Islamic State’, September 17, 2015.
[3] See MEMRI JTTM report ISIS In Al-Khair Province Criticizes Refugees Fleeing
To Europe, Urges Them To Return To Land Of Caliphate, September 17, 2015; view
the clip here.
[4] Twitter.com/battar_isi33309, September 17, 2015.
[5] Twitter.com/saarya_ash, September 18, 2015; Justpaste.it/nsiv.
[6] “To those who are thinking of migration,” Shamikh1.info, September 18, 2015;
Archive.org, September 18, 2015.
[7] Gareeb-alikhwan.blogspot.si, September 17, 2015.
[8] Yemney-9adimoun.blogspot.com, September 20, 2015.
[9] See MEMRI JTTM report ISIS Fighters To Refugees: Do Not Migrate To France Or
Germany, ‘Migrate Immediately To The Islamic State’, September 17, 2015.
[10] Twitter.com/alwafaa3333, September 17, 2015.
[11] Taghout is a concept used by Salafis to denote any entity that is
worshipped instead of or aside God. In this parlance it is commonly used for
non-Islamic rulers and governments.
[12] Twitter.com/u_16_u, September 18, 2015.
[13] See MEMRI JTTM report ISIS Fighters To Refugees: Do Not Migrate To France
Or Germany, ‘Migrate Immediately To The Islamic State’, September 17, 2015.
[14] Twitter.com/u_16_u, September 17, 2015.
[15] See MEMRI JTTM report ISIS Al-Janoub Province Criticizes Muslim Refugees
Who Left Islamic State For ‘Crusader’ Countries, September 17, 2015.
[16] Twitter.com/alwafaa3333, September 17, 2015.
[17] Twitter.com/xYYvj, September 17, 2015.
[18] Shumoukh Al-Islam, September 16, 2015.
[19] Twitter.com/saarya_ash, September 18, 2015.
[20] Twitter.com/battar_isi3290, September 16, 2015.
[21] Twitter.com/battar_isi3290, September 18, 2015.
[22] See MEMRI JTTM report ISIS In Al-Khair Province Criticizes Refugees Fleeing
To Europe, Urges Them To Return To Land Of Caliphate, September 17, 2015.
[23] Twitter.com/battar_isi33309, September 17, 2015.
[24] Twitter.com/battar_isi33309, September 16, 2015.