LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
November 19/15
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletins05/english.november19.15.htm
Bible Quotations For Today
You are from your father the devil, and you choose to do your father’s desires
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ
according to Saint John 08/41-45: "You are indeed doing what your father does.’
They said to him, ‘We are not illegitimate children; we have one father, God
himself.’Jesus said to them, ‘If God were your Father, you would love me, for I
came from God and now I am here. I did not come on my own, but he sent me. Why
do you not understand what I say? It is because you cannot accept my word. You
are from your father the devil, and you choose to do your father’s desires. He
was a murderer from the beginning and does not stand in the truth, because there
is no truth in him. When he lies, he speaks according to his own nature, for he
is a liar and the father of lies. But because I tell the truth, you do not
believe me."
It is not the hearers of the law who are righteous in God’s
sight, but the doers of the law who will be justified
Letter to the Romans 02/09-16: "There will be anguish and distress for everyone
who does evil, the Jew first and also the Greek, but glory and honour and peace
for everyone who does good, the Jew first and also the Greek. For God shows no
partiality. All who have sinned apart from the law will also perish apart from
the law, and all who have sinned under the law will be judged by the law. For it
is not the hearers of the law who are righteous in God’s sight, but the doers of
the law who will be justified. When Gentiles, who do not possess the law, do
instinctively what the law requires, these, though not having the law, are a law
to themselves. They show that what the law requires is written on their hearts,
to which their own conscience also bears witness; and their conflicting thoughts
will accuse or perhaps excuse them. on the day when, according to my gospel,
God, through Jesus Christ, will judge the secret thoughts of all."
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
November 18-19/15
How serious are
Hezbollah’s compromises in Lebanon/Myra Abdallah/Now Lebanon/November 18/15
Why the world, including Lebanon, grieved for Paris and not Beirut/Michelle
Ghoussoub/Now Lebanon/November 18/15
Acting on secret Obama-Putin Syria deal, Moscow’s air strikes focus first on
rebels, next on ISIS/DEBKAfile Special Report November 18/15
Video By Iranian Leader Khamenei's Office: U.S. And Its Allies Were Behind Paris
Attacks/MEMRI/November 18/15
Iran: Nuclear Deal Going, Going, Gone/Lawrence A. Franklin/Gatestone
Institute/November 18/15
The True Cost of Europe’s Muslim “Enrichment”/George Igler/Gatestone
Institute/November 18/15
Raymond Ibrahim: Obama administration Refuses to Arm Persecuted Christians
Fighting ISIS/By Raymond Ibrahim on November 18/15
Netanyahu: 'In Israel, as in France, terror is terror'/Akiva Eldar/Al-Monitor/November
18/15
Why Paris attacks will create backlash for migrants in Europe/Brenda Stoter/Al-Monitor/November
18/15
Will Rouhani and Zarif defy Khamenei by holding direct talks with US on
Syria/Ali Omidi/Al-Monitor/November 18/15
Democrats warn Syrian refugee ban would empower Islamic State/Julian Pecquet/Al-Monitor/November
18/15
Paris ‘mastermind’ not arrested in police raid/By Asma Ajroudi Al Arabiya
News/18 November 2015
This is no World War III – ISIS is still weak/Chris Doyle/Alarabiya?November
18/15
The ISIS ‘Storm’ and policy implications/Dr. Theodore Karasik/Alarabiya?November
18/15
A Syria intervention the world will be forced into/Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Alarabiya?November
18/15
ElBaradei and an Arab renaissance plan/Jamal Khashoggi/Alarabiya?November 18/15
Comparing live coverage between Paris and Beirut/Diana Moukalled/Alarabiya/November
18/15
Titles For
Latest LCCC Bulletin for Canadian Related News published on
November 18-19/15
Canada: Police
shoot Muslim wearing apparent suicide vest and holding triggering device
Peel cops shoot
suspected suicide bomber,
Family of mentally-ill Mississauga man
question police shooting
Titles For
Latest LCCC Bulletin for Lebanese Related News published on
November 18-19/15
Raouche
Rock Bathed in Colors of French, Lebanese Flags amid Protest
Bomb-Making Material Seized as 1 Lebanese, Many Syrians Held in Nationwide Raids
Top ISIS official’s aide coordinating Lebanon cells: report
10-Member Parliamentary Panel Formed to Devise Electoral Law
Saqr Charges Hujeiri, 8 others for Belonging to IS
Shehayyeb: My Trash Disposal Plan was Obstructed for Political Reasons
Change and Reform Wants 'Change and Solutions' President, Urges Fair Electoral
Law
Rocket Hits al-Labweh as Army Bombs Militants in Outskirts of Nearby Towns
Army Arrests more than 20 in Baalbek, Confiscates Trucks and Motorbikes
Salam to Attend Climate Summit in France
Lavrov: Moscow to Prevent Spread of Terrorism to Lebanon
How serious are Hezbollah’s compromises in Lebanon?
Myra Abdallah/Now Lebanon/November 18/15
Why the world, including Lebanon, grieved for Paris and not Beirut
Michelle Ghoussoub/Now Lebanon/November 18/15
Comparing live coverage between Paris and Beirut
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And
News published on
November 18-19/15
Jewish School Teacher
Stabbed by 3 Attackers in France's Marseille
Suspect sought in Sweden for
‘planning terrorist act’: police
Putin sets up commission to combat terrorism financing
Pope says church doors must stay open despite terror fears
CIA chief blasts Snowden in wake of Paris attacks
Obama calls Putin a ‘constructive partner’ in Syria talks
Paris Mosque urges Muslims to join ‘anti-terror’ protest Friday
Man arrested for anti-Islamic threat in U.S.
Paris attacker may have had accomplice on journey through Balkans
Video confirms ninth assailant in Paris attacks
Links From Jihad
Watch Site for
November 18-19/15
France: Islamic State supporters stab Jewish teacher in Marseilles
Islamic State says bomb in soda can brought down Russian airliner
Video of Paris jihad mastermind: “It is nice to see the blood of infidels”
Hamas-linked CAIR complains of post-Paris anti-Muslim “backlash”
Turkey detains 8 Europe-bound Islamic State jihadis “posing as refugees”
Muslim cleric in Belgium incited Paris jihad murderer to kill unbelievers
France: Only 30 Muslims show up for rally against Paris jihad attacks
Video: Gunfight as police raid Paris suburb searching for jihad attackers;
Muslima blows herself up in jihad suicide bombing
Robert Spencer in PJ Media: Governors’ Revolt Continues: No Syrian Refugees
Video: Muslims in Turkey celebrate Islamic State jihad massacre in Paris
Muslim soccer fans boo, scream “Allahu akbar” during moment of silence for Paris
jihad victims
Brother of Paris jihad murderer worked in Belgian immigration department
Video: Robert Spencer on Obama’s response to the Paris jihad terror attacks
Assyrians of Paris: ‘There are now many jihadists in France. We have the
impression of being invaded…’
Mark Durie: Paris attacks not ‘nihilism’ but ‘sacred strategy’
Raymond Ibrahim: D.C. Refuses to Arm Persecuted Christians Fighting ISIS
UK Muslim couple planned jihad suicide bombing of subway or shopping center for
the Islamic State
Canada: Police shoot Muslim wearing
apparent suicide vest and holding triggering device
Jihad Watch/November 18, 2015
http://www.jihadwatch.org/2015/11/canada-police-shoot-muslim-wearing-apparent-suicide-vest-and-holding-triggering-device
His family, however, says that he
was mentally ill and that they are “shocked” by the whole thing, and that police
unfairly targeted the poor man. You might almost think they were reading out of
some playbook.
Peel cops shoot suspected suicide bomber,
Chris Doucette, Toronto Sun, November 17, 2015:
Hours after the horrific terror attacks in Paris, a stand-off unfolded between
police officers and a suspected suicide bomber in a Mississauga neighbourhood,
the Toronto Sun has learned.
French officials were still counting their dead when Peel Regional Police
officers ended a frightening confrontation by opening fire on the 26-year-old
man at Golden Orchard Dr. and Grand Forks Rd. — near Bloor St. and Dixie Rd. —
shortly after 2 a.m. Saturday.
In the aftermath of the shooting, police downplayed the incident saying only
that the call involved “an emotionally disturbed person.”
But the presence of the service’s Explosive Disposal Unit and heavily armed
Tactical officers at the scene suggested a far more serious threat was afoot.
A source, who asked not to be named, revealed to Sun on Monday that the bomb
squad responded because the man in question was wearing what appeared to be a
suicide vest and holding what looked like a triggering device.It was not
immediately known if the vest actually contained explosives.
But suicide bombers and gunmen killed 129 victims in Paris less than eight hours
earlier. So police, who were on heightened alert, took the threat seriously.
source said.
Fortunately, the shooting was not followed by an explosion.
The man, whose nationality was not immediately clear, was rushed to the trauma
centre at St. Mike’s hospital in Toronto. He is expected to survive.
Another source said investigators have since determined the vest was not real….“
Family of mentally-ill
Mississauga man question police shooting
CBC News, November 17, 2015:
The family of a man shot by police Saturday is upset that some media are
referring to him as a suspected suicide bomber.
Peel Police say the incident unfolded after they responded to call about a
suicidal man in the Grand Forks Road and Golden Orchard Drive in Mississauga
early Saturday morning.
They say “there was an interaction with a male, he was shot by police,” and then
taken to a trauma centre.
According to the Toronto Sun, the bomb squad also responded to the call “because
the man in question was wearing what appeared to be a suicide vest and holding
what looked like a triggering device.”
Police are not confirming that, but one neighbour told CBC News police called
her and directed her to move her family to a safe place in the house.
The family of Hamza Abdi is upset about how police handled the situation.
They believe the 26-year-old, who suffers from bipolar disorder, schizophrenia
and anxiety, left the house because he was anxiously looking for cigarettes.
Abdi’s family said he was wearing a winter jacket when he left the house and the
only thing they know he had with him was an electric shaver.
Why did he take an electric shaver with him to buy cigarettes?
They claim Peel police knew about Abdi’s mental health issues because of
previous calls. And they believe tensions following the Paris attacks may have
played a role in how police responded.
Hamzi’s older brother, Mohamoud Abdi, told CBC News he was “puzzled and shocked
and couldn’t believe” media reports calling his brother a suspected suicide
bomber.
Shocked!“My brother is Canadian as you can get, he came here at a young age,”
Mohamoud said, adding that Hamzi was never violent toward anyone.
Hamzi has since been released from hospital. He faces several charges, including
uttering threats, failing to comply and a charge of possessing an imitation
weapon.
Raouche Rock Bathed in Colors of
French, Lebanese Flags amid Protest
Naharnet/November 18/15/Beirut's
famous Pigeons' Rock, better known as the Rock of Raouche, was illuminated
Wednesday in the colors of the French and Lebanese flags in homage to the
victims of the latest terrorist attacks. French Ambassador to Lebanon Emmanuel
Bonne took part in the illumination ceremony at Raouche's seaside corniche. The
initiative was launched by Beirut Governor Ziad Shbib. Thanking “all Lebanese”
for their solidarity with his country, Bonne expressed his appreciation of the
move. “Today is a day for solidarity and friendship between Lebanon and France,”
he said. Stressing that all countries have rejected terrorism, the envoy called
on everyone to “unite in the face of this terrorist threat.”For his part, Shbib
said Lebanon must confront terrorism through “resorting to the state of law.”
Bonne, Shbib and the rest of the participants were separated by a police human
chain from a protest organized by relatives, friends and supporters of jailed
Lebanese militant Georges Abdallah.
The activists demanded the release of Abdallah from French jails and denounced
the French state while expressing solidarity with the Paris victims. He was
jailed for life in 1987 after being convicted in the 1982 murders of U.S.
military attache Charles Robert Ray and Israeli diplomat Yacov Barsimantov.Last
year, a French court annulled a parole granted to Abdallah, after postponing its
final decision several times. Abdallah has been eligible for parole since 1999,
but seven previous applications were all rejected. The illumination initiative
comes four days ahead of Lebanon's Independence Day, which marks the end of the
French mandate over the country in 1943, after 23 years of colonial rule.It also
comes several days after Islamic State attacks killed 44 people in the Beirut
southern suburb of Bourj al-Barajneh and 129 people in the French capital Paris.
Hundreds of people were also injured in the Dahieh bombings and the France
shootings and blasts. Several Arab and Western cities had expressed their
support for France and Lebanon in a similar fashion in recent days. On Sunday,
the Great Pyramid in Egypt was bathed in French, Lebanese and Russian colors in
homage to the victims of attacks in Paris and Dahieh and the Sinai plane crash.
In Dubai, meanwhile, the world's tallest building the Burj al-Khalifa was lit up
Sunday in the colors of the French national flag. Elsewhere in the Gulf, Kuwait
City's landmark towers were also illuminated in the red, white and blue of
France. On Saturday, the iconic sails of the Sydney Opera House and New York's
One World Trade Center were also lit in the French national colors.
Bomb-Making Material Seized as 1 Lebanese, Many Syrians Held in Nationwide Raids
Naharnet/November 18/15/A quantity
of bomb-making material and arms was seized Wednesday and a Lebanese suspect was
captured as several Syrians were arrested in raids across the country, as part
of a massive crackdown launched in the wake of the Dahieh blasts. “The
Intelligence Bureau managed today to seize 150 kilograms of steel balls and
material and tools used in the making of suicide vests,” the Internal Security
Forces said in a statement. It also arrested Lebanese national Kh. Sh., “who has
ties to the terrorist network involved in the Bourj al-Barajneh bombings.”In an
earlier statement, the ISF said four Lebanese were arrested and around 180 kilos
of explosives and three suicide vests were seized during the raids that were
staged Tuesday in the Tripoli districts of al-Dam wal Farz and al-Qobbeh.
Weapons, steel balls, detonators, and fuses used in the making of suicide belts
were also confiscated in the raids. The ISF noted that “more than 50 suicide
vests” could have been produced from the seized bomb-making material. The four
arrested on Tuesday are accused of having communicated with the detainee Ibrahim
al-Jamal, who was arrested around a week ago in al-Qobbeh carrying a suicide
belt. The five men are members of the Islamic State network that carried out a
twin suicide bombing on Thursday in the Beirut southern suburb of Bourj al-Barajneh.
The blasts killed 44 people and wounded 239 others, in the worst such attack in
years. Security forces have in recent days also raided apartments in Bourj al-Barajneh,
Ashrafieh and Tripoli, arresting a number of Syrian and Lebanese suspects. On
Wednesday, state-run National News Agency said army intelligence agents arrested
several Syrians in Tripoli, the southern city of Sidon, and the Beirut districts
of Hamra and Gemmayze. Six Syrians were arrested in Gemmayze as several others
were apprehended in Hamra, NNA said. It later reported that army intelligence
agents had also arrested four Syrians in a raid in Sidon's al-Bawaba al-Fawqa
area and several Syrians in a raid in Tripoli's al-Mutran Street. The agency did
not say if the army's arrests were linked to the Bourj al-Barajneh attacks.
Top ISIS official’s aide
coordinating Lebanon cells: report
Now Lebanon/November 18/15/BEIRUT – An aide for a
top ISIS official has been coordinating the extremist group’s terror cells in
Lebanon, according to a local newspaper. Al-Akhbar reported Wednesday that a
Raqqa-based ISIS member named Abu al-Walid has served as the liaison officer who
has ordered Lebanon-based suicide cells into action. “The name of this man
recurred in the statements of a number of the detainees linked to the terrorist
cells,” the paper cited a well-informed source as saying. Most prominent among
the detainees, Ibrahim Barakat—ISIS’s purported top official in Lebanon’s
Tripoli—had mentioned Abu al-Walid under interrogation, the pro-Hezbollah
newspaper added. Al-Akhbar provided a brief profile of Abu al-Walid, reporting
that he serves as an aide to Abu Mohammad al-Adnani, ISIS’s official
spokesperson and head of Syria operations. “This Abu al-Waleed is currently in
the Syrian city of Raqqa. It should be noted that he has previously entered
Lebanon… via an illegal border crossing in Wadi Khaled to receive treatment in
Tripoli after he was injured in his thigh,” the report said. Al-Akhbar said its
source believed Abu al-Walid was probably “the extremist group’s security
official in the Lebanese arena.” “Information suggests that he is from the
Qusayr area, has previously lived in the city of Aleppo and is one of ISIS
spokesperson Abu Mohammed al-Adnani’s aides.”ISIS claimed credit for the twin
bombings in Beirut’s Bourj al-Barajneh quarter that left at least 46 people dead
in the deadliest terror attack to hit Lebanon’s capital since the 1975-1990
Civil War. The country’s security forces have sprung into action to round up the
cell responsible for the attack, with Interior Minister Nohad Machnouk
announcing Thursday that the Internal Security Forces had arrested “the entire
network behind the Bourj al-Barajneh bombings within 48 hours.”Lebanon’s
Internal Security Forces also rounded up a cell in the northern city of Tripoli
preparing terrorist attacks. The ISF Information Branch late Tuesday afternoon
conducted a wide-scale raid in Tripoli’s Qobbe, seizing a large cache of
explosives a week after arresting a would-be suicide bomber in the same
neighborhood of the city.
10-Member Parliamentary Panel Formed to Devise Electoral Law
Naharnet/November 18/15/A parliamentary committee
was set up Wednesday to devise a new electoral law, as part of the political
settlement that had led to holding a legislative session on Thursday and Friday
after around a one-year interruption. “The panel is comprised of 10 members and
it can convene with the presence of only six members,” Deputy Speaker Farid
Makari announced after a meeting for the parliament bureau. “Should it agree on
a law, it will be submitted to parliament for a vote,” he added. Makari noted
however that the committee “has nothing to do with the previous laws.”“It will
seek an agreement on the characteristics of the new law … It will not study the
17 draft laws” that have so far been submitted to parliament, Makari pointed
out. He added: “There is an inclination in the country to devise a law that
mixes the proportional representation and winner-takes-all systems, and this has
been agreed on.”
Makari reminded that “the Free Patriotic Movement and the Lebanese Forces had
agreed to attend the legislative session on the condition that the electoral law
would be discussed in the next sessions.”Speaker Nabih Berri told An Nahar
newspaper in remarks published Wednesday that he wants the committee to be truly
representative of the parliamentary blocs in order to avoid complaints from the
parties over being left out of the process. Ministerial sources told the daily
that forming the panel will meet a Christian demand and help revitalize the work
of cabinet. Ongoing disputes among the rival political parties over the
electoral law forced parliament to extend its term the first time in 2013 and a
second time in 2014.Previous media reports had said that the committee would
have two months to reach an agreement over the electoral draft law.
Saqr Charges Hujeiri, 8 others for Belonging to IS
Naharnet/November 18/15/State Commissioner to the Military Court charged on
Wednesday nine people with belonging to the Islamic State group, reported the
National News Agency.The suspects include detainee Mohammed Ibrahim al-Hujeiri,
who is charged with carrying out terrorist attacks, including bombing a meeting
of the al-Qalamoun Muslim Scholars committee in the northeastern border town of
Arsal on November 5.He is also accused of tossing a grenade at ant army patrol
in Arsal. He faces the maximum sentence of the death penalty if convicted. Other
suspects include four Lebanese and three Syrians. They are charged with plotting
to form an Islamic emirate in the North and bombing the Shekka tunnel for the
aim of separating the North from the rest of the Lebanese areas. They may also
face the death penalty if convicted. Saqr has since referred their case to First
Military Examining Magistrate Judge Riad Abou Ghida. At least six people were
killed in a bombing that targeted a meeting of the al-Qalamoun Muslim Scholars
committee in Arsal. The Qalamoun Muslim scholars committee is concerned with
aiding Syrian refugees and catering to the needs of their encampments. Hujeiri
had confessed to his involvement in the blast earlier this week, announced the
army on Tuesday.
Shehayyeb: My Trash Disposal Plan was Obstructed for Political Reasons
Naharnet/November 18/15/Agriculture Minister Akram Shehayyeb criticized how his
plan to end the country's garbage disposal crisis was managed, reported the
daily An Nahar on Wednesday.He told the daily: “My proposal was obstructed for
political reasons, as well as reasons linked to various areas in the
country.”“There are other causes that I will not divulge,” he added.Various
municipalities had rejected the establishment of landfills in their areas as
proposed by the minister's plan. The country was plunged in a waste disposal
crisis following the closure of the Naameh landfill without finding an
alternative for it. Progress had been made in setting up a landfill in the North
and another in the South, but obstacles have hindered this plan. Commenting on
the possibility of exporting the waste, Shehayyeb replied: “We have not taken a
decision on the matter.” “We are studying the health, legal, and environmental
aspects of the proposals,” he explained. Media reports had spoken of the
possibility of sending the trash to Syria or the Turkish part of Cyprus.
Exporting the waste to Europe is not possible because Lebanon does not have the
means needed to turn the garbage into the standards demanded by these countries.
Shehayyeb and the concerned committee tackling the garbage crisis are expected
to meet with Prime Minister Tammam Salam at the Serail later on Wednesday to
discuss proposals to resolve the issue, revealed al-Joumhouria newspaper. Media
reports on Tuesday said that the national dialogue conferees had agreed to
“export the waste” and the need to “schedule a cabinet session” to approve this
step upon the completion of the preparations.
Change and Reform Wants 'Change and Solutions' President,
Urges Fair Electoral Law
Naharnet/November 18/15/The Change and Reform bloc led by MP Michel Aoun on
Wednesday called for electing a president who would bring “change and
solutions,” as it stressed that the electoral law for parliamentary polls must
be “fair” for Christians.“We are advocates of a change and solutions
presidency,” said the bloc in a statement issued after its weekly meeting. The
statement was recited by former labor minister Salim Jreissati. “There will be
no leniency regarding the National Pact and the Constitution, in order to rescue
the State,” the bloc said. Turning to the issue of the electoral law, the bloc
emphasized that it must ensure “fairness, equality and proper representation.”
“The subcommittee is asked to focus on the constitutional standards in order for
the law to be fair,” it said. Earlier in the day, a 10-member parliamentary
panel was set up to devise a new electoral law, as part of the political
settlement that had led to holding a legislative session on Thursday and Friday
after around a one-year interruption. Ongoing disputes among the rival political
parties over the electoral law forced parliament to extend its term the first
time in 2013 and a second time in 2014.Media reports have said that the
subcommittee would have two months to reach an agreement over the electoral
draft law.
Rocket Hits al-Labweh as Army Bombs Militants in Outskirts
of Nearby Towns
Naharnet/November 18/15/A rocket fired from an unidentified place landed
Wednesday in an open field in the northern Bekaa town of Labweh, causing no
casualties, state-run National News Agency reported. Earlier in the day, the
Lebanese army fired heavy- and medium-caliber weapons at suspicious movements by
militant groups in the outskirts of the northern Bekaa towns of Arsal and Ras
Baalbek, NNA said. The shelling left several militants dead or wounded in the
vicinity of the Arsal amusement park, the agency added. The developments come
amid a major security crackdown in the country in the wake of a twin suicide
bombing in the Beirut southern suburb of Bourj al-Barajneh that killed 44 people
and wounded around 240 others. The attack was claimed by the jihadist Islamic
State group. The town of Arsal was the scene of fierce fighting in August 2014
between the Lebanese army and jihadists from the IS and al-Qaida's Syria
affiliate al-Nusra Front. As they withdrew from the town, the jihadists took
dozens of Lebanese police and soldiers hostage and are still holding them in the
hilly terrain on the town's outskirts.
Army Arrests more than 20 in Baalbek, Confiscates Trucks
and Motorbikes
Naharnet/November 18/15/The Army Intelligence arrested on Wednesday more than 20
individuals in raids on encampments and residents of Syrian refugees in the
eastern city of Baalbek, the state-run National News Agency said. The army
raided encampments and residences of Syrian refugees in the towns of Hosh
al-Arab and Hosh Sneid and confiscated several motorbikes, NNA added. The
detainees of Hosh al-Arab had no identity cards in their possession and have
illegally entered the country, it said. The army also raided Syrian encampments
in Hosh al-Nabi and confiscated the load of two trucks that contained
motorcycles, and three other trucks used to transport Syrian workers. Lebanon
hosts around 1.5 million Syrians fleeing their country's four-year war. Fears
that Jihadists could use the encampments as a safe haven and conduit to carry
out terrorist acts in Lebanon triggered intensified security measures.
Salam to Attend Climate Summit in France
Naharnet/November 18/15/Prime Minister Tammam Salam is expected to attend the
climate summit set to be held in France at the end of the month, reported al-Joumhouria
newspaper on Wednesday. The summit is scheduled to be held on November 30. Head
of state from over 40 countries are set to attend the meet, which would be a
form of support for the country in the wake of the Paris terror attacks should
it decide against postponing it for security reasons.Islamic State gunmen and
suicide bombers killed 129 people on Friday in an attack in the French capital.
Lavrov: Moscow to Prevent Spread of Terrorism to Lebanon
Naharnet/November 18/15/Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stated on
Wednesday that his country will do all it can to prevent terrorism from fanning
out to Lebanon, the National News Agency said. “Russia will do everything it can
to prevent terrorism from spreading to Lebanon,” said Lavrov prior to a meeting
with his Lebanese counterpart Jebran Bassil in Moscow. “Russia is ready to
support the Lebanese army. It is crucial to mobilize a broad front against the
Islamic State and to push the political operation in Syria,” said Lavrov in a
press conference afterward. “We respect Lebanon's sovereignty and fortify its
security. We will help it with all means possible to preserve its security,”
added the FM. For his part, Bassil: “I praise the positive role of Russia in
combating terrorism in Syria. “A political resolution is the only solution for
the crisis in Syria. It is what everyone agrees on,” he added. “The Syrian
people must decide their own country's destiny. The influx of migrants to
neighboring countries is a real concern and can even change the region,” stated
Bassil. “The Islamic State is no longer a threat solely to the region, but it
has become a threat to the whole world and the latest incidents in France are
the best proof of that.” “Security measures to combat terrorism are always
present,” he concluded. Bassil arrived in Moscow on Tuesday on a two-day
official visit for talks with Lavrov on combating terrorism, as well as
resolving the presidential deadlock in Lebanon. Last week a twin terrorist
bombing rocked the Bourj al-Barajneh neighborhood south of Beirut that killed at
least 43 and wounded over 200. The bombing was claimed by the Islamic state.
Lebanon has been without a president since May 2014 when the term of Michel
Suleiman ended without the election of a successor.
How serious are Hezbollah’s compromises in Lebanon?
Myra Abdallah/Now Lebanon/November 18/15
“Let’s come together and discuss the main issues and reach a settlement,” said
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah during a speech he delivered on 11 November.
Nasrallah delivered another speech on 14 November following the terrorist attack
that struck Burj-al Barajneh, leaving at least 43 people dead. The speeches he
delivered were unusually calm and positive, calling for cooperation between
various political parties in Lebanon and taking the initiative of offering a
settlement in internal Lebanese politics. This positivity in Nasrallah’s speech
has not been sensed before, at least not since Hezbollah’s intervention in
Syria.“Nasrallah’s positive speech and his readiness for an internal settlement
happened because of the Russian intervention in Syria,” analyst Ali al-Amin told
NOW. “Russia became the decision maker in Syria, making Iran, and consequently
Hezbollah, a secondary power. The Russian intervention suppressed the Iranian
intervention in being the most powerful side in any decision.” However, it was
in Iran’s favor to encourage Russian intervention in Syria due to all the
burdens Iran has had to shoulder. Russia’s intervention seemed to be encouraged
to minimize Iranian losses in Syria more than maximizing its gains. Regardless,
this intervention was not in Hezbollah’s favor. “The party interfered in Syria
to support the Syrian regime; the regime somehow abandoned Hezbollah for the
alliance with Russia,” Al-Amin told NOW. “Therefore, Hezbollah became a small
player in the Syrian equation and knew that a victory or any gain for the party
in Syria became impossible.”
Analysts NOW spoke to say that Nasrallah’s position is part of a larger
settlement. “When Hassan Nasrallah suggests a settlement, and when Naim Qassem
explains this settlement to Hezbollah’s crowd as accepting to make mutual
compromises, it means that Hezbollah is looking at an image larger than Lebanon
only,” said analyst Lokman Slim. “Similar to compromises that have been
suggested in Yemen and Syria, if there is one to happen in Lebanon, it should be
based on mutual compromises between parties.”
However, although some of March 14 politicians consider Nasrallah’s speech a
positive initiative, Lebanese political parties are trying to ensure the
settlement takes their own demands into account. “Some of the Lebanese
politicians asked Hezbollah practical steps. They want a settlement, but they
want it to happen according to their terms,” said Al-Amin. “This will hardly
happen because Hezbollah will not abandon Michel Aoun in the current time. The
settlement can’t start by abiding to this condition while other politicians
think that this should be the first step.”The presidential vacuum is a very
important struggle for a number of Lebanese politicians who think that resolving
this issue should be a priority to prove that Hezbollah has good intentions
regarding the Lebanese situation. “What is positive about Nasrallah’s speech is
that, for once, he started caring about Lebanese interests and abandoned the
idea of the constituent convention he previously suggested,” said Future
Movement MP Ahmad Fatfat. “However, the position of Hezbollah’s leaders —
specifically Mohammad Raad and Nawar al-Sahili, who will not accept a president
other than General Michel Aoun — neutralizes Nasrallah’s position. Hezbollah
needs to gain back our trust through their position regarding the presidential
elections.”
However, the presidential elections do not seem to be a priority for all
Lebanese politicians. According to Slim, each political party is trying to do
what is in its interests. “For example, the second Nabih Berri heard about a
positive initiative, he started mentioning the oil and gas sector again. The
presidential elections are not a priority for Hezbollah or any other party,
except for General Aoun,” he said. “In addition, more than 50% of [Nasrallah’s]
speech was meant to alarm Hezbollah’s crowd about the danger of conflicts
between Sunnis and Shiites or Lebanese and Palestinians, and that not any Syrian
or Palestinian is a potential terrorist. This reflects the current Lebanese
situation too.”Furthermore, given Hezbollah’s losses in Syria, Nasrallah’s
speech was also seen as a preparation for the return of Hezbollah fighters from
Syria. “Hezbollah started to prepare for its comeback to Lebanon by fortifying
its internal relations. Nasrallah’s initiative reflects Hezbollah’s willingness
for an internal settlement after it lost its strength to effect decisions in
Syria, making him a marginal player,” Al-Amin said.
But Hezbollah’s willingness to prepare the ground in Lebanon does not
necessarily mean offering compromises regarding the presidential elections.
Whether Nasrallah will offer practical steps or not, Slim says that aside from
some minor issues, basically related to corruption, Hezbollah will not offer
practical steps especially since Nasrallah’s positivity is not the fruit of a
Lebanese power dynamic but rather is related to regional power dynamics. “I
don’t think that the presidential elections will be discussed now. This is the
silver bullet. Also, it is true that Nasrallah’s positivity is a direct
recognition that Hezbollah’s power has limits, but the other Lebanese powers do
not have another choice than accepting his initiative. It is obvious that these
political sides do not have any power in objecting to Hezbollah’s decisions.
Their objection is only verbal but never practical.”Hezbollah prefers to settle
back in now rather than later. What the party can achieve today regarding the
presidential elections is definitely better than what it can achieve later when
the consequences may not be in its favor anymore. “We have a bad experience with
Hezbollah,” said Fatfat. “Hezbollah never respected the agreements we had in
2006 or in Doha. The presidential elections are a very important starting point
for Hezbollah to gain back our trust.”
Myra Abdallah tweets @myraabdallah
Why the world, including Lebanon, grieved for Paris and not
Beirut
Michelle Ghoussoub/Now Lebanon/November 18/15
As Friday’s terrorist attacks in Paris unfolded, people around the world tuned
in to watch blanket coverage of the events. Facebook activated a feature
allowing Parisians to check in as “safe.” By Saturday, millions of people had
added a filter of the French flag to their profile pictures to show solidarity
with Paris.
The bombings that killed 43 people in Beirut the day before were not met with an
international outpouring of sympathy, a discrepancy that was pointed out by many
bloggers and journalists, including the New York Times. For most Lebanese, it
came as no surprise that cedar trees were not projected on national monuments
around the world, or that late night news conferences were not called to condemn
the attack on Beirut. Having experienced 29 bombings since 2011, no one in
Lebanon expected that Facebook would create an option to add a Lebanese flag to
their profile pictures. Many on social media asked why, according to so many
viral hashtags, we are all Paris, and yet we are never all Beirut or Baghdad?
Some pointed fingers at journalists, asking why the media fails to cover
violence in other parts of the world (often linking to an article written by a
journalist while doing so). Others talked of the “selective outrage,”
orientalism and racism that permeates so much mainstream news coverage of the
Middle East.
Why the world collectively mourned the victims of Paris and not those in Beirut
is likely a combination of all of the above, coupled with the reality that most
westerners are simply accustomed to hearing about violence taking place in the
Middle East. Western audiences are not, on the other hand, used to hearing about
bomb attacks in cities that they consider their own. Media framing of events
does matter. The attacks in Paris drew shock and sympathy because the victims
were presented as the innocent bystanders that they were. Western media
headlines referred to “terror and confusion” in Paris, and described residents
of the city as “seeing chaos and looking for hope.”Meanwhile, Reuters’ headline
about Beirut read “Two suicide bombers hit Hezbollah bastion in Lebanon,”
seeming to imply that ISIS hit a military target rather than a street crowded
with civilians. The New York Times’ initial headline referred to Burj Al-Barajneh,
the location of the attacks, as a “Hezbollah stronghold.” It was then changed to
“Hezbollah Area” and later altered to “Deadly Blast hits Crowded Neighborhood.”
Western media often represents the residents of Beirut as plastic
surgery-obsessed party-goers, ignoring the fact that the majority of the
population lives below the poverty line. However when the story is about bombs,
the Lebanese are represented as members of a sect or supporters of a political
party, as though this somehow makes them less innocent, and less deserving of
sympathy.
This dynamic also plays out among Lebanese audiences. Some Lebanese who
expressed sympathy for Paris were silent about the attacks in Beirut. Many
likely reacted this way because it is shocking to hear of a major attack in a
European capital, or because there was no fast track way of adding a Lebanese
flag filter to social media accounts. (Bizarrely, some Facebook users uploaded
an image that combined the French colors with the Lebanese cedar, not realizing
that this is a flag that dates back to France’s mandate years over Lebanon.)
Many Lebanese who expressed sympathy with Paris were well meaning, likely
expressing solidarity with family and friends who live there. After all, if
there is any group who can relate to the numb disbelief that comes after a bomb
attack, it is Beirutis. But Lebanon’s deep sectarian divide means that some
Lebanese may have felt more sympathy towards French victims than those in Burj
al-Barajneh, seeing them as less innocent because of the neighborhood in which
they found themselves. These politics of division are as much a source of danger
to Lebanon as they are a product of it.
As reactions to the events in Paris and Beirut continue to unfurl, some are
calling out those who drew attention to Lebanon’s plight, accusing them of
“grief shaming.”However the discrepancy between the reactions to Paris and
Beirut is echoed when the world applauds European countries for welcoming a few
thousand refugees while Lebanon hosts 1.1 million. It was reflected when a
heartbreaking image of Alan Kurdi lying face down on a beach broke many hearts,
while the thousands of Syrian children who roam Beirut’s streets go unnoticed.
It is what motivates people to blame refugees for the Paris attacks, rather than
trigger sympathy for them as Europeans personally experience the very violence
that refugees are fleeing. It is the same double standard that reminds Beirutis
that while they may be labeled the Paris of the Middle East, they are not Paris.
Jewish School Teacher Stabbed
by 3 Attackers in France's Marseille
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 18/15/A history teacher at Jewish school
in the southern French city of Marseille was stabbed by three people shouting
anti-Semitic obscenities on Wednesday evening, the local police chief said. The
attack on the teacher, who is himself Jewish, took place around 8:00 pm (1900
GMT), police prefect Laurent Nunez said. His life was not in danger, Nunez said,
adding that a large number of police were combing the area for the attackers.
The stabbing comes as France is on heightened alert following the Islamist
attacks that killed 129 people in Paris at the weekend. The terror attacks,
which were claimed by the Islamic State jihadist group, were the worst in French
history.
Suspect sought in Sweden for ‘planning terrorist act’:
police
By Agencies Wednesday, 18 November 2015/Swedish police were hunting Wednesday
for a man wanted for “planning a terrorist act,” security services said, with
the country on high alert following the deadly terror assault in Paris last
week.An arrest warrant has been issued for the suspect, whose identity has not
been revealed, the head of domestic intelligence and counter-terrorism Anders
Thornberg told a press conference, saying no link had yet been proven with the
Paris attacks. On Wednesday, Sweden’s security police (SAPO) raised their
terrorist threat assessment by one step, to four on a scale of five, following
the attacks in France.“One of the reasons for the increase is that the Security
Police have received concrete information and made a judgement that we need to
act within the framework of our counter-terrorism operations,” SAPO said in a
statement.Level four means that there is a high probability that “persons have
the intent and ability to carry out an attack.”(With Reuters and AFP)
Putin sets up commission to combat terrorism financing
Reuters, Moscow Wednesday, 18 November 2015/President Vladimir Putin on
Wednesday set up a commission to combat terrorism financing, the Kremlin said,
in another sign of the Russian leader’s heightened focus on what he says is a
fight against Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) militants.After attacks in
Paris killed 129 people on Friday, security dominated the G20 summit at the
weekend, where the group’s leaders, in a rare departure from their usual focus
on the global economy, agreed to step up border controls and aviation security
and crack down on terrorist financing. In a decree, effective immediately, Putin
ordered the prosecutor general’s office, the central bank and regional
authorities to submit any information they may have on suspicious activities to
the commission. On Tuesday, the Kremlin said a bomb brought down the Russian
passenger plane that crashed in the Sinai Peninsula in Egypt last month, killing
all 224 people on board. The decree orders submission to the commission of any
information on suspicious activities of organisations and individuals who are
not on a list of those against whom there is sound information about their
involvement in extremist activities or terrorism, in order to freeze their
assets.
Pope says church doors must stay open despite terror fears
AFP, Vatican CityWednesday, 18 November 2015/Pope Francis said Wednesday that
the doors of Catholic churches around the world must remain open, despite
increased security fears in the aftermath of the Paris attacks. “Please, no
armoured doors in the Church, everything open,” the 78-year-old pontiff told
pilgrims in St Peter’s square, Italy’s AGI news agency reported. “There are
places in the world where doors should not be locked with a key. There are still
some but there are also many where armoured doors have become the norm. “We must
not surrender to the idea that we must apply this way of thinking to every
aspect of our lives ...” Francis said.“To do so to the Church would be
terrible.”The pope did not explicitly refer to last week’s attacks on Paris,
which he has condemned as “inhuman”.His comments came in the context of intense
discussion in Italy about the security of the Vatican and Rome, which are seen
as potential targets for Islamist militants. Francis’s comments also had a
spiritual significance -- he has urged the Church to keep its doors open to
lapsed believers who are considering returning and to the hundreds of thousands
of migrants arriving in Europe from Africa, the Middle East and South Asia.
Italy announced this week that it would close airspace over Rome to drones for
the duration of the upcoming Catholic jubilee year, which is expected to bring
more than a million extra visitors to the Italian capital. The move reflects
fears a remote-controlled aircraft could be used by Islamic State or other
militant groups to stage a potentially spectacular attack on the home of the
Catholic church. Security has also been stepped up at airports and train
stations and some 700 extra troops deployed in public spaces in Rome.
Individuals purporting to be Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) militants
have made a number of threats against Rome on social media and in the group’s
propaganda outlets. Italian officials say they take such statements seriously
but that they have never received evidence of a credible, specific plot to bomb
Rome, the Vatican or the Pope.
CIA chief blasts Snowden in wake of Paris attacks
By AFP, Washington Wednesday, 18 November 2015/CIA Director John Brennan on
Wednesday blasted former analyst Edward Snowden, saying his intelligence leaks
had undermined U.S. security. The comments from Brennan come at a time of
growing debate following last week’s attacks in Paris about whether intelligence
services have enough tools at their disposal to deal with tech-savvy jihadists
as they plan attacks. “Any unauthorized disclosures that are made by individuals
who have dishonored the oath of office that they raised their hand and attested
to undermines this country’s security,” Brennan said at a Washington event in
response to a question about Snowden. “Hero-izing such individuals I find to be
unfathomable as far as what it is that this country needs to be able to do again
in order to keep itself safe.”Brennan on Monday made a pitch for reviewing curbs
placed on intelligence services’ surveillance capabilities, saying leaks and
“handwringing” had made international efforts to track down terrorists more
challenging. The New York Times said in an opinion piece on Wednesday that the
comments by America’s top spy were “disgraceful” and that the issue in last
week’s attacks in Paris was not was not a lack of data, “but a failure to act on
information authorities already had.” “Law enforcement agencies should have the
necessary powers to detect and stop attacks before they happen,” the Times said.
“But that does not mean unquestioning acceptance of ineffective and very likely
unconstitutional tactics that reduce civil liberties without making the public
safer.”When asked whether the United States was doing enough to share
information with other countries, Brennan said the CIA had been working closely
with other nations including Russia to discuss the threat of the Islamic State
of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) group. “Over the last five weeks or so, I have had a
number of conversations with my Russian counterpart, despite the policy
difference we may have in Syria and Ukraine,” he said.
“These have been discussions about how we can in fact share more information
about this threat from” ISIS.
Obama calls Putin a ‘constructive partner’ in Syria talks
AFP, ManilaWednesday, 18 November 2015/U.S. President Barack Obama on Wednesday
praised Russia’s role in talks to end the Syria crisis and offered the prospect
of better ties if Moscow focused military strikes on the Islamic State of Iraq
and Syria (ISIS) group. Obama said Russia had been a “constructive partner in
Vienna in trying to create a political transition,” referring to international
talks in Austria. But, he said, there were still differences over the fate of
Syrian ruler Bashar al-Assad, and Moscow’s current military focus on defending
him. “There is obviously a catch, which is Moscow is still interested in keeping
Assad in power,” Obama said. But he added: “Those differences have not prevented
us at looking at how we could set up a cease fire.”Obama also expressed hope
that Russia may shift the military focus from defending Assad to attacking
ISIS.Obama slams U.S. ‘hysteria’Obama also on Wednesday slammed domestic
“hysteria” about the security risks posed by Syrian refugees, accusing his
political foes of demonizing “widows and orphans.” In an unusually fierce
rebuke, Obama struck out at American politicians who have called for migrant
curbs in the wake of the Paris terror attacks. Describing calls for different
rules for Christian and non-Christian migrants as “offensive and contrary to
American values,” Obama said shrill election-fueled debate on migration was only
helping ISIS.
Paris Mosque urges Muslims to join ‘anti-terror’ protest
Friday
AFP, ParisWednesday, 18 November 2015/The Great Mosque of Paris urged French
Muslims on Tuesday to gather at the country’s most important mosque Friday to
say “No to terror” and “We are all Paris!”.A statement called on “all Muslim
citizens and their friends” to gather at 2:00 pm (1300 GMT) to say “no to
terror” and voice “their deep attachment to Paris, its diversity and the values
of the Republic.”The gathering of French Muslims after Friday prayers was “the
best response to those seeking to instill the venom of discord and suspicion
within the national community,” the statement added.
The rector of the Great Mosque earlier this week called on all French imams to
lead the faithful in Friday prayers for the victims of the country’s worst ever
terror attacks. Rector Dalil Boubakeur voiced “horror” at the “unspeakable acts”
which had targeted “absolutely innocent” Parisians. “We, Muslims of France, can
only insist on the need for national unity in opposing this misfortune which has
afflicted us and which attacks indiscriminately,” he said. “We are all victims
of this barbarity,” he said. The suicide bombers behind Friday’s attacks on the
national stadium, a packed music venue and bars and restaurants were “people who
call themselves Muslims but who should, by rights, be called barbarians.”The
body representing Muslims in France said it would ask all 2,500 mosques in the
country to condemn “all forms of violence or terrorism” in prayers this Friday,
following the Paris attacks. The message will condemn such acts “unambiguously”,
the French Muslim Council (CFCM) said.
Man arrested for anti-Islamic threat in U.S.
By AFP Wednesday, 18 November 2015/The FBI on Tuesday arrested a man who
allegedly made a threat against a Florida Islamic center because he was angry
about the Paris attacks, authorities said.
Shortly after learning of the attacks in the French capital that left at least
129 people dead, Martin Alan Schnitzler left a message late Friday with the
Islamic Society of Pinellas County, according to the criminal complaint against
him. In his message, Schnitzler said his call was made in light of what happened
in France, warning that he was “going to personally have a militia that is going
to come down to your Islamic Society of Pinellas County, firebomb you, and shoot
whoever is there.” Police had no trouble finding Schnitzler via the cell phone
he used to place the call. In questioning over the weekend, Schnitzler said he
was “very mad” about the terror attacks and had searched on the Internet for
Islam and Pinellas county. A search of his home, however, turned up no evidence
of any dangerous materials, the court document said. Still, he faces up to 10
years in jail on the threat by telephone charge, if convicted.
Paris attacker may have had accomplice on journey through
Balkans
Aleksandar Vasovic and Lefteris Karagiannopoulos, Reuters, Belgrade/AthensWednesday,
18 November 2015/One of the Paris suicide attackers may have had an accomplice
with him as he travelled through the Balkans to western Europe after entering
Greece posing as a Syrian refugee, counter-intelligence and police sources say.
The assailant may also have reached Paris faster and more easily than expected
because asylum seekers were rushed across some national borders at the height of
the migration crisis in Europe this year to avoid bottlenecks after Hungary
closed its borders, ironically to keep out suspected militants. The man, who
blew himself up near the Stade de France stadium in Friday’s attacks that killed
129 people, has been identified from a Syrian passport found near his body as
25-year-old Ahmad al-Mohammad from the northwestern city of Idlib. The true
identity of the attacker has become a key line of inquiry for French
investigators, with the focus on whether the passport is genuine, sources close
to the investigation say. Despite media reports that it may be counterfeit,
investigators are also looking at the possibility that it is genuine - but could
have been stolen or bought from a refugee after he made his way into Europe and
subsequently used by the attacker, they say. The passport’s holder was
registered as arriving alongside 198 refugees by boat from Turkey on Oct. 3 in
Leros, a small picturesque Greek island. French authorities have said the
fingerprints of the attacker who blew himself up matched those of the man who
landed on Leros. Greek officials said on Sunday that Mohammad seemed not to be
travelling with anyone specific, despite arriving with others. But a
counter-intelligence source in Macedonia, one of the countries he passed
through, spoke of a “massive investigation in the Balkans about the route of two
of the terrorists.” The source, who declined to be named, indicated to Reuters
that Macedonia was coordinating its action with Greece, and that a companion was
with Mohammad by the time they bought ferry tickets taking them to Piraeus on
the Greek mainland. A Leros travel agent said that on Oct. 4 he issued two
tickets costing 51.50 euros ($54.90) each to the men for a ferry departing the
following night from the nearby island of Kalymnos, which is reached from Leros
by a local service. The 23:10 sailing reached Piraeus on the morning of Oct. 6.
The owner of the Kastis travel agency in Leros, 42-year-old Dimitris Kastis,
remembers selling tickets to Mohammad and a man who was with him. “He didn’t do
or say anything that caught my attention,” Kastis said, adding that both men had
paid in cash. He said the man travelling with him had a similar surname. Greek
media have published a photograph of the second man’s ticket which gives his
family name as al-Mahmod, and the initial of his given name as M. Kastis said he
recognized this as the name the second man provided when purchasing the ticket.
A Croatian police official, who declined to be named, also told Reuters that an
investigation was under way into Mohammed’s journey which was focusing on
whether he was travelling with anyone and, if so, with whom.
Balkan route
In Leros, Mohammad was registered as required under European Union rules, with
his fingerprints recorded in a European database known as Eurodac. Because his
passport looked authentic and there was no police record on him, he was given a
permit allowing him to stay in Greece for six months.A copy of Mohammad’s permit
was distributed to journalists by Immigration Minister Yannis Mouzalas. Written
in Greek only, it states that its holder should not leave the city of Corinth
for the whole period without alerting police. But within days, Mohammad had gone
at least as far as Croatia. The counter-intelligence source in Macedonia said
Mohammad was still travelling with a companion two days after reaching Piraeus.
They registered together at a refugee camp in the backyard of an old tobacco
plant in the Serbian town of Presevo, though Serbian officials have not
mentioned an accomplice. Mohammad then went on to Croatia, either by train or
bus, and was registered on Oct. 8 at the Opatovac refugee camp.
Reuters has been unable to determine what route Mohammad took after this, or
whether he was accompanied by anyone. Croatian police said he almost certainly
left for Hungary within 24 hours, though Budapest has no record of him entering
from Croatia, which at the time was offloading thousands of migrants every day
across its northern border with Hungary. Mohammad’s most likely destination from
Hungary would have been Austria. In early October migrants were being sent in
trains with locked doors to Hegyeshalom on the Austrian border, where Reuters
journalists said they were ushered into the country without having their
documents checked. Austrian Interior Ministry spokesman Karl-Heinz Grundboeck
said it was “conjecture and speculation” that a man going by the name of
al-Mohammad had passed through Austria which, like France, is part of the EU’s
Schengen zone where routine internal border controls have been removed. But
Vienna has confirmed that another of the attackers, Belgian-born Frenchman Salah
Abdeslam, entered Austria from Germany on Sept. 9. Hungarian government
spokesman Zoltan Kovacs told reporters on Tuesday that Budapest had no
information as to whether Mohammad traversed Hungary. At that time Hungary was
not registering migrants because Croatia had already done so. Both countries are
EU members but, unlike Croatia, Hungary is in the Schengen zone and had sealed
its frontier with Serbia to migrants on Sept. 15. This forced the migrants into
Croatia, which infuriated Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban by busing them
north across its own border with Hungary, in many cases without checks.
Orban’s touch stance
The irony of an Islamist militant moving quickly through the Balkans into
western Europe and the heart of the 28-nation EU will not be lost on Hungary,
where Orban based his tough stance on the flow of migrants on concerns that many
were immigrants rather than refugees fleeing poverty or war, and that some could
be "terrorists". The issue is also sensitive in Germany, where Chancellor Angela
Merkel has been criticized for her welcoming policy on refugees. And some
far-right and populist leaders have seized on the possibility that any of the
eight Paris attackers reached Western Europe by posing as a migrant, using it to
step up their anti-immigration message. Any security lapses are also a potential
embarrassment for the countries Mohammad passed through, but authorities say the
influx of migrants in recent months has made it almost impossible for them to
keep out would-be attackers. “We take fingerprints, but how do we check them?
Against which database? If there’s nothing on that person in the information we
received or if he’s not wanted by Interpol he can go ... He could be a shaven
Osama bin Laden for all we know,” said a senior Serbian law enforcement
official, speaking on condition of anonymity.
Video confirms ninth assailant in Paris attacks
By AFP, Paris Wednesday, 18 November 2015/Investigators have obtained a video
confirming there was a ninth attacker in Paris among the men who opened fire on
bars and restaurants, sources close to the inquiry told AFP on Tuesday. The
video indicates a second unidentified attacker could be on the run along with
26-year-old Salah Abdeslam, unless the man in the video is one of two suspected
accomplices being held in Belgium. French and Belgian police have launched a
manhunt for Abdeslam in connection with Friday’s carnage in Paris, which left at
least 129 people dead in the worst attacks in French history.Abdeslam is
believed to have fled after gunning down people at bars and cafes in Paris’ 10th
and 11th arrondissements alongside his brother Brahim Abdeslam, who later blew
himself up outside a bar on Boulevard Voltaire, seriously wounding one person.
Acting on secret Obama-Putin
Syria deal, Moscow’s air strikes focus first on rebels, next on ISIS
DEBKAfile Special Report November 18/15/
The secret deal for a political solution
for the Syria conflict reached by Presidents Barack Obama and Vladimir Putin on
the sidelines of the G20 summit in Antalya over the weekend has radically
changed and intensified Russia’s air strike tactics in the last 24 h ours.
For the first time since the intensified Russian military intervention in the
Syrian civil war in the last week of September, Russian air force planes took
off Tuesday, Nov. 17 for attacks on Syrian rebel and ISIS targets, from a home
base, the Morozovsk airbase in the southern Rostov district. Until now, the
Russian bombers had taken off from Hmeymim airbase near Latakia.Also for the
first time, they lofted Tupolev Tu-160 and Tupolev Tu-95 bombers. The Tupolev
Tu-160 Blackjack is a long-range strategic bomber and the biggest combat
aircraft in the world, while the Tu-95 Bear is a huge strategic bomber with four
turboprop-powered engines that is also used to launch missiles. debkafile’s
military sources note that that the entry of these heavy bombers marks an
increase in the frequency of the attacks and in the firepower used by Russia
against the rebels and ISIS. Together with the firing of advanced Russian Kalibr
cruise missiles at targets in Syria – also for the first time on Tuesday - these
changes substantially escalate the Russian military effort in Syria.
Western sources take these changes to mean that Putin is driving hell-bent to
settle accounts with the Islamic State after the downing of the Russian plane
over Sinai on Oct. 31, and that he will coordinate this effort with French
President Francois Hollande, who is due in Moscow in the coming days.
However, debkafile reports that the new, stepped up Russian aerial offensive is
fact bringing forward certain - not necessarily jihadist - Syrian rebel groups
as Moscow’s priority targets, with ISIS only in second place. In their 30-minute
conversation on Sunday, Nov. 15, our sources reveal, Obama secretly accepted
most points of Putin’s plan for a political resolution of the Syrian conflict
(first revealed by DEBKA Weekly earlier this month), with the exception of the
point relating to Bashar Assad’s future. The White House and the Kremlin
consequently announced a joint decision on a cease-fire in Syria to be followed
by UN-mediated negotiations between the rebels and the Assad regime.
The first point of the Russian blueprint called for intensified air strikes by
the US and Russia against rebel groups refusing to enter into these negotiations
in order to force them to toe the line. As a result of the deal between the two
presidents, 75 percent of Russian attacks in Syria Tuesday were aimed against
various rebel groups (around Hama and Aleppo), and only 25 percent against ISIS
(at its Raqqa headquarters) and Al-Nusra Front targets. Obama agreed to Russian
expanding its air campaign to this end for at least three weeks. It was also
decided that Russia would beef it up with another 25 heavy bombers and addition
warplanes. Meanwhile, also on Tuesday, Russia released the findings of its
investigation into the downing of a Russian airliner on October 31 in the Sinai
Peninsula that caused the deaths of all 224 passengers and crew. Putin and the
heads of the Russian intelligence community have concluded that the destruction
of Metrojet Flight 9268 soon after takeoff from Sharm El Sheikh was the result
of a bomb planted on board by terrorists. Egypt quickly rejected the conclusion,
claiming there was no proof of it whatsoever. But thes conclusion led Putin to
offer an unprecedented $50 million reward for information leading to the capture
of those who planted the bomb. According to our counterterrorism sources,
Russian intelligence chiefs are convinced that certain top Egyptian military and
security service officers know exactly who was responsible. The enormous reward
was offered to draw them out and tempt them to break ranks with Egyptian
President Abdel-Fatteh El-Sisi’s dogged resistance to the charges of a terrorist
hand at work behind the Russian air disaster. After all, 50 million dollars must
be hard to resist.
Video By Iranian Leader Khamenei's Office: U.S. And Its Allies Were Behind Paris
Attacks
MEMRI/November 18/15
https://bay174.mail.live.com/?tid=cmvcXD81uN5RG0egAhWtfBug2&fid=flinbox
A video posted November 17, 2015 on an IRGC-affiliated Facebook page, titled
"Who Was Behind the Paris Attacks" and produced by the office of Iranian Supreme
Leader Ali Khamenei, claimed that the real culprits behind the attacks were the
U.S. and its allies, who, it said, had created ISIS and provided it with arms
and training in order to further its own goals in the world.
The thumbnail preceding the video shows Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, U.S.
President Obama, and Islamic State (ISIS) leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi in
collusion.
The following are excerpts from the video, which was narrated in
computer-generated English:
Thumbnail preceding the video showing Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, U.S.
President Obama, and ISIS leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi in collusion.
Narrator: "France is going through sad bloody nights. Bloodiest blood has been
shed on the streets of Paris, reportedly by the ISIS terrorists. Many express
condolences. Even the Saudi king and the U.S. president. The same ones whose
involvement in creating the ISIS project is being exposed more than ever.
"All right, we’d better have a flashback to find out where the ISIS emerged
from.
"Western media on November 2014 revealed that the ISIS was established as a
results of a mistake by the government of the United States in Camp Bucca [in
Iraq] during the process of creating an alliance between Al-Qaeda and the Ba'th
party. When [ISIS leader Abu Bakr] Al-Baghdadi was released from the American
Bucca prison in Iraq, he had already turned from a typical Ba'thi fellow into a
super professional terrorist who had established a deep and rare relationship
with both [the] Ba'th party and the Al-Qaeda in Iraq.
"Considering that this story happened in an American prison and through a
special process, the relationship could not be regarded as a mere coincidence.
"After the creation of ISIS, which was an outcome of creating an alliance
between the Ba'th party and the Al-Qaeda in Iraq, the U.S. dropped weapons for
ISIS forces and claimed it was done by accident.
"Through a similar process, the United States trained forces in the name of
moderate Syrian rebels who would join the ISIS through two or three
intermediaries. The process did not end there and reports reveal that ISIS had
been enjoying financial adds [sic] from the U.S. and its allies.
Wesley Clark, former NATO supreme commander, in CNN interview (undated): "Look,
ISIS got started through funding from our friends and allies, because, as people
will tell you in the region, if you want somebody who will fight to the death
against Hizbullah, you don’t put out a recruiting poster and say, you know, sign
up for us, we're gonna make a better world. You go after zealots and you go
after these religious fundamentalists. That’s who fights Hizbullah."
Narrator: "Of course, no one should be surprised by U.S. support for ISIS, as
this was not unprecedented and American politicians had already admitted having
supported Al-Qaeda."
Hillary Clinton Testimony (undated): "I mean, let’s remember here, the people we
are fighting today, we funded. We funded."
Narrator: "When the 9/11 tragedy occurred in the U.S., and while the main
perpetrators of this event have not yet been introduced to the world, the U.S.
government launched attacks Iraq and Afghanistan as a response, and started to
spread insecurity and terrorism in the region for a decade.
"This act of war, in turn, distracted public opinion from Israeli crimes, the
spread of terrorism in West Asia, and set many Muslim countries against one
another.
"What are we going to witness after the Paris attacks?"
On screen: "Khamenei.ir" (website of Supreme Leader Khamenei)
Iran: Nuclear Deal Going, Going, Gone?
Lawrence A. Franklin/Gatestone Institute/November 18/15
http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/6891/iran-nuclear-deal-gone
Iranian military commanders, security chiefs and conservative media outlets are
coming close to questioning the competence and loyalty of those in the Iranian
regime who favor the JCPOA.
The surreal irony, of course, is that President Obama keeps assuring the world
-- as recently as last week again, when he met with Israel's PM Benjamin
Netanyahu -- that he is "preventing" Iran from getting nuclear weapons, while
the truth is that his "deal" -- if the Iranians ever sign it -- not only
green-lights Iran's nuclear program, but in fact finances it.
Iran's hardliners are pressing their attack on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of
Action (JCPOA), which has not yet been approved by Iran. Iran's opponents of the
JCPOA have succeeded in halting any steps toward implementation of Tehran's
responsibilities under the July14 settlement reached in Vienna by the five
permanent members of the UN Security Council -- the US, the UK, France, China
and Russia, plus Germany (the so-called P5+1). But who appointed them?
While some reports indicated that Iran was beginning to take off the production
line some of the uranium-enrichment centrifuges in the Natanz and Fordow
facilities, contradictory reports suggested that any such action was halted due
to pressure from Iran's hardliners, and that dismantling the centrifuges had not
been authorized by Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and was
therefore premature. Another report suggested that only a small number of
outdated centrifuges had been decommissioned.
However, a stern letter of warning was dispatched to President Hassan Rouhani
from 20 key members of Iran's Majlis [Islamic Consultative Assembly], many of
whom have close ties to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), informing
him to cease any dismantling activity.[1]
In addition, Iranian military commanders, security chiefs and conservative media
outlets are coming close to questioning the competence and loyalty of those in
the Iranian regime who favor the JCPOA.[2] These personal assaults have implied
that some officials are trying to whitewash the reputation of the United States
in order to improve relations with the "Great Satan."[3] The targets of those
criticisms appear to be Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif as well as
President Rouhani.
The Iranian military's Deputy Chief of the General Staff, Major General Gholam
Ali Rashid, said that there are two types of officials that favor the JCPOA, and
that their goal is "embellishing America's despicable image -- the
"simple-minded, which includes some government officials as well as spiteful,
traitorous, infiltrators."
General Rashid's comments dovetailed with other cautionary statements -- by the
Chairman of the Basij [a volunteer militia], Professor Sohrab Salahi[4] and
Majlis deputy Ali Reza Zakani -- warning against allowing the JCPOA to serve as
a channel to increase foreign influence in the Islamic Republic.[5]
President Rouhani, in an attempt to reassert his authority on the issue, has
criticized the conservative newspaper Keyhan, edited by Hossein Shariatmadari,
who has often been associated with expressing the will of Ayatollah Khamenei. On
8 November, Rouhani indirectly criticized Keyhan for its threatening article
that equated support for the JCPOA as helping America to increase its influence
inside the Islamic Republic. The hardliners, however, quickly struck back
against Rouhani in the person of Tehran's interim Friday prayer leader, Hojjat
ol Eslam Sedighi.
Rouhani also attempted to burnish his image by meeting publicly with a senior
Shia theologian, Grand Ayatollah Lotfollah Safi Golapayegani, and eliciting from
him a statement of tentative support for the airing of all opinions on the JCPOA.[6]
It seems that the hardliners are gaining the upper hand by piling new
requirements on the shoulders of the P5+1 nations, possibly in order to
extinguish the JCPOA altogether. Conservatives are also claiming that any new
sanctions imposed in response to Iran's human rights violations or foreign
policy operations will void the JCPOA altogether.
It also appears that President Rouhani and his political allies are losing
ground amid the Iranian hardliners' attack on the JCPOA arrangement and the
prospects of a possible opening to the West. Rouhani has attempted to appease
the hardliners by now demanding that President Obama personally apologize for
America's hostile behavior towards Iran.
The surreal irony, of course, is that Obama keeps assuring the world -- as
recently as last week again, when he met with Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu -- that he is "preventing" Iran from getting nuclear weapons, while
the truth is that his "deal" -- if the Iranians ever sign it -- not only
green-lights Iran's nuclear program, but in fact finances it.
*Dr. Lawrence A. Franklin was the Iran Desk Officer for Secretary of Defense
Rumsfeld. He also served on active duty with the U.S. Army and as a Colonel in
the Air Force Reserve, where he was a Military Attaché at the U.S. Embassy in
Israel.
[1] Bozorg Mehr Sharfedin, edited by Yara Bayoum and Raissa Kasakovsky.
[2] Ali Shamkhani Secretary/Supreme National Security Council speaking to
Iranian Student News Agency.
[3] Tasnim News Agency, 12 November 2015, via "The Iran Project."
[4] Sohrab Salahi also warns that publicity about Iran's scientists could help
target them for assassination.
[5] Ali Reza Zakani, Majlis Commission to Review the Nuclear Deal.
[6] Golpayegani/Rouhani meeting, 12 November 2015.
The True Cost of Europe’s
Muslim “Enrichment”
George Igler/Gatestone Institute/November 18, 2015
The United Nations, in 2000, advocated the “replacement” of Europe’s population
by Muslim migrants.
There seems to be an economic premise underlying this view: that importing the
Muslim world en masse into Europe is mutually beneficial. For decades, the mass
immigration of Muslims into Europe has been labelled “enrichment.” Shouting
“Islamophobia” does not negate how it is virtually impossible to think of a
country actually made richer by it.
Even in a country with an established Islamic population such as Britain, Muslim
unemployment languishes at 50% for men, and 75% for women.
Those using an economic rationale to implement Europe’s demographic
transformation fail to recognize the complexities of Islam: they ignore the
fundamentalist revival that has been ongoing for over a century. One feature of
this growing embrace of literalism is a belief — validated by scripture — that
Muslims are entitled to idly profit from the productivity of infidels.
The idea that with time, Islam’s religious tenets will somehow moderate and
dissolve, merely by being lodged in Europe, is wishful thinking, especially in
communities where Muslim migrants already outnumber indigenous Europeans.
The “blind eye” turned towards polygamy in Britain, France, Belgium and Germany
has ensured that some Muslim men have upwards of 20 children by multiple wives,
almost always at state expense. This suggests that families with fundamentalist
views are outbreeding their more moderate coreligionists.
The word “refugee” is a legal term, one defined by several international
treaties. These documents brought the United Nations High Commission for
Refugees (UNHCR) into existence, and sustain the relevance of the United Nations
agency responsible for refugees to this day.
The contents of these treaties, however, sit oddly with how the UNHCR has
comprehensively sought to hoodwink the European public about the predominant
status of the demographic influx into their continent this year.
None of these documents — the 1951 Refugee Convention; the 1967 Protocol
Relating to the Status of Refugees, or the EU’s own Dublin Regulations — grants
the right of refugee status to those traversing several safe countries, and
illegally crossing multiple borders, to shop for the best welfare state.
Even a legitimate refugee from Syria now living, for example, in Turkey or
Lebanon, loses his refugee status by paying a people-smuggler to travel to
Europe. According to international law, that refugee then becomes an “asylum
seeker.” Only when his asylum claim has been investigated and judged to be valid
by a requisite domestic agency, is he once again a “refugee.”
So far, the world’s media has dutifully followed the false narrative established
by the UNHCR. Those concerned by an unchecked and unlimited flood of Muslims
into Europe — concerns grimly validated by Friday’s jihadist atrocities in Paris
— have mostly been accused of heartlessness towards alleged refugees.
The press, however, has been far from alone in defining the welcome of the
illegal Muslim influx as a moral obligation. Economic arguments have also been
systematically deployed, to legitimate this year’s humanitarian flood, given the
ageing populations across European nations.
Hailing the findings of the World Bank’s Global Monitoring Report, “Development
Goals in an Era of Demographic Change,” published last month, its president, Jim
Yong Kim, confidently announced that:
With the right set of policies, this era of demographic change can be an engine
of economic growth … If countries with aging populations can create a path for
refugees and migrants to participate in the economy, everyone benefits.
Although having a governance structure different from that of the UN, the World
Bank is nevertheless part of the United Nations system.
The words “Development Goals” in the title of the World Bank’s report are
telling. They refer to the Millennium Development Goals, a comprehensive agenda
devised under the leadership of former UN Secretary General Kofi Annan, to
transition the United Nations Organization from a body primarily concerned with
limiting international warfare, into an engine of global “social justice.”
While media organizations, NGOs, morally-driven activists and celebrities have
all followed the UNHCR’s lead, many major financial institutions have equally
mimicked the World Bank’s declaration: that the migrant influx into Europe
should be welcomed.
One global banking giant, for example, HSBC, predicted firm fiscal benefits for
the countries of the European Union, after a “period of adjustment.” A research
note issued by HSBC, on October 8, and authored by a team of forecasters led by
Fabio Balboni, concluded:
From an economic perspective, Europe needs more workers. It is well known that
most parts of Europe have rapidly ageing populations. This results in slower
growth and thus tax receipts, while simultaneously increasing government
spending through pensions and healthcare. The eurozone, in particular, is about
to embark on this demographic challenge with a mountain of debt. The easiest way
to support more pensioners is to have more taxpayers.
HSBC’s European macroeconomic research group went further, drilling down into
numbers:
Out of a working age population of 220 million, we estimate that one million
more immigrants per year could boost eurozone potential growth by 0.2% per year,
and cumulatively potential GDP by 2025 could be EUR300bn higher than it would
have otherwise been. Whilst it takes time to integrate immigrants into the labor
force, even in the short term, higher public spending needed to cope with the
crisis could support growth.
That these predictions fly in the face of all the available evidence is
problematic.
Even in a country with an established Islamic population such as Britain, Muslim
unemployment languishes at 50% for men, and 75% for women.
Furthermore, Muslims in Britain represent the demographic with the highest birth
rates. Coupled with their levels of unemployment, these imagined saviors of a
moribund European social welfare model are, as a group, the recipients of the
state’s revenue, rather than contributors to it.
Successive generations of Muslims Europe-wide, as Christopher Caldwell noted in
2009, are not normalizing toward the birth rates of their host populations, as
previous immigrant groups have done. That trend might admittedly be useful in
boosting Europe’s population numbers, but it also highlights an alarming
pattern.
As recently announced by Baroness Caroline Cox, the “blind eye” turned towards
polygamy in Britain — and in France, Belgium and Germany – has ensured that some
Muslim men are having upwards of 20 children by multiple wives, almost always at
the state’s expense. This is grim news indeed for integration: families with
fundamentalist views are outbreeding their more moderate coreligionists.
Even if the demographic influx currently overwhelming Europe were composed
entirely of genuine Syrian asylum seekers, who have somewhat lower birth rates
than South Asian or African Muslims, the economic news would be worse.
A recent study in Denmark pinpointed that, of the full range of backgrounds of
migrants who had settled there, Syrians had the lowest levels of employment of
all (22.8%). A separate longitudinal study from Denmark also showed that, of
those Muslim migrants who had come to Denmark claiming to be refugees: only one
in four had actually succeeded in finding a job after a decade.
Despite there being four million persons displaced from Syria by conflict, and
despite the ready availability of counterfeit Syrian identity documents, of
those who entered Europe this year, Syrians are estimated to be only 20% of the
current — still-rising — total.
The large numbers of non-Syrians, who have exploited illegal passage to access
Europe’s welfare states and live at the expense of the continent’s taxpayers,
led one MEP to condemn the EU’s migrant relocation quotas. So far, the
relocation quota plan is the only solution put forward to address the enormous
numbers of migrants already in Europe. It is a measure, however, that
effectively “contracts out” the continent’s immigration policy to
people-smugglers.
As a result of the jihadist attacks in Paris last week, the EU’s quota scheme,
which forces member states to accept the illegal migrants imposed on them by EU
institutions, lies in tatters. As predicted at the Gatestone Institute, the
newly-elected Polish government, citing security concerns, has unilaterally
refused to participate.
Other countries appear destined to follow suit, especially after the
announcement this week by Greece that one of the suicide-bombers in Paris had,
on October 3, crossed as a “refugee” from Turkey to the Greek island of Leros.
The persistence of the mandatory quota policy in every EU summit convened this
year gave particular pause to the President of Lithuania. At a European Council
meeting in Brussels, on September 23, Dalia Grybauskaitė told journalists of her
confusion. Europe’s leaders, she said, had, since February, been discussing
“strategic” measures to tackle the migrant issue, with a view to stemming the
rising numbers pouring across the EU’s frontiers, and trying to secure its
borders.
Instead, she reflected, ever-climbing relocation quota numbers, aimed at the
“distribution” of Muslim migrants across member states, always seemed — for some
reason — to top their agendas. Consequently, on September 22, the European
Commission had been legally empowered to spread the rising number of migrants
from Islamic countries throughout the continent. Members of European countries
who objected were overruled.
Unfortunately, the financial costs — based on flawed macroeconomic forecasts
that are divorced from geopolitical realities — have kept piling up against the
one nation upon which the stability of Europe’s common currency is anchored:
Germany.
Initially, Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government claimed that this year’s
migrant wave would cost Germany only an extra €5 billion. Then a Japanese bank,
Mizuho, cited a prediction of €25 billion over two years. Even that calculation,
however, had failed to account for the near-guaranteed doubling of migrant
numbers in 2016. The latest forecast — issued by the Association of German
Cities on October 29 — of €16 billion for every year going forward, is already
fragmenting unity within the German’s beleaguered leadership.
Given Germany’s shrinking pool of working-age citizens, industrial powerhouses
such as Mercedes-Benz have added their own voices to the chorus welcoming the
human influx into Europe. But if 80% of the migrants are unskilled, and 20% are
illiterate, they can be employed in industry only if they receive an education.
Standards in German schools are already declining; officials recognize that, as
a pragmatic response to the sheer scale of migrant pressure, standards will have
to be lowered.
Often, the question of Europe’s failure to integrate Muslims has been put down
to accusations of inherent indigenous racism. This charge, however, seems
largely unfounded on a continent whose institutions have mainlined
multiculturalism for decades.
Germany’s experience is a case in point. Middle-class parents from its
pre-existing, and primarily Turkish, Muslim population would much rather send
their children to the dwindling number of schools in which German children
predominate. These Muslim parents are apparently concerned that wherever there
are mostly pupils of Turkish origin who barely acquire basic literacy — in any
language — at home, the academic attainment of their offspring will plummet.
Nevertheless, Europe’s government agencies have largely responded to this year’s
Muslim invasion by chartering ferries and hiring buses to help speed it along.
Those in charge of the EU’s border security describe such incursions as inward
“migration flows” that should be “managed” in the continent’s best interests.
One insight into this radical change in border policy, now being applied by EU
institutions, might lie in a detailed proposal published in 2000 by the United
Nations. It advocated the “replacement” of Europe’s population by Muslim
migrants from the Third World.
Since then, those who have speculated on the inevitable social, cultural and
security consequences of Europe’s demographic transformation as outlined by the
UN — such as Egyptian-born author Gisèle Littman, French writer Renaud Camus,
and Norwegian essayist Peder Jensen — have largely been condemned as deluded and
bigoted fantasists.
Setting aside such controversy, and how mass involuntary repopulation policies
seem worryingly close to breaching Article 2, clause (c), of the UN’s own 1948
Convention against genocide, there is an unaddressed economic premise underlying
the view: that importing the Muslim world en masse into Europe is mutually
beneficial.
The reasoning appears to be that once a country has a welfare state, the social
spending of that nation can only be maintained by perpetually increasing the
size of its population — an economic assumption with far-ranging consequences
amply demonstrated across Europe this year.
The larger problem seems to be that both the UN and the EU, these twin
transnational bureaucracies of extremely limited democratic legitimacy, have
much more in common with each other — in the visions and “solutions” they
promote — than they do with the wishes of the populations who have to live with
the results.
The results of 2015 point to how extensively the critical faculties of the EU’s
leaders have been blindsided by multiculturalism. It is doubtless an unwelcome
and caustic truth, given how frequently they accuse both their own, and Islam’s,
sternest critics — such as the Dutch PVV party leader, Geert Wilders — of a
two-dimensional understanding of the Muslim faith, lacking in nuance.
Those using an economic rationale to implement Europe’s demographic
transformation, fail to recognize the complexities of Islam: they ignore the
fundamentalist revival that has been ongoing for over a century. One feature of
this growing embrace of literalism is a belief — validated by scripture — that
Muslims are entitled to idly profit from the productivity of infidels. This view
puts the entitled conduct of a great many migrants into an unexpected, but much
needed, context.
Anjem Choudary (center), a prominent British Islamist, has urged his followers
to quit their jobs and claim unemployment benefits so they could have time to
plot holy war. “We [Muslims] take the Jizya, which is ours anyway. The normal
situation is to take money from the kuffar [non-Muslim]. They give us the money.
You work, give us the money, Allahu Akhbar. We take the money.”
For decades now, the mass immigration of Muslims into Europe has been labelled
“enrichment.” Shouting “Islamophobia” does not negate how it is virtually
impossible to think of a single country actually made richer by it.
The idea that with time, Islam’s religious tenets will somehow moderate and
dissolve, merely by being lodged in Europe, is wishful thinking, especially in
communities where Muslim migrants are already outnumbering indigenous Europeans.
Finally, is it not a grim irony that population growth in Europe — with its
responsibility for female emancipation — is now to depend entirely on importing
a culture in which women have far less freedom over their fertility, and much
else?
It also seems ironic that, despite Europe’s need to increase the number of women
having children, the vast majority of new arrivals, for “repopulation purposes,”
are young, often openly aggressive males.
Given such a gender disparity, with whom will these Muslim men expect — and be
expected — to procreate?
Europe’s females, as demonstrated by a number of recent unattractive incidents
mostly ignored by the mainstream media, have good reason to be alarmed by the
realities of the current crisis and the vision of their future that the
continent’s political masters have chosen for them.
George Igler, a political analyst based in the City of London, is the Director
of the Discourse Institute.
http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/6915/europe-muslim-enrichment
أداة الرئيس أوباما الإيرانية
النوى والداعشية النهج
الياس بجاني/11/15
إدارة الرئيس اوباما ترفض تسليح الميليشيات المسيحية في سوريا والعراق وهي مجموعات
متطوعين تسعى للدفاع عن مجتمعاتها وقراها في مواجهة داعش. ادارة اوباما التعيسة
تسلح إيران بالمال والحماية لإحتلال الدول العربية ولنشر الإرهاب وتتخلى عن من
يدافع عن نفسه. في أسفل تقرير يشرح هرطقات هذه الإدارة.
Raymond Ibrahim: Obama administration Refuses to Arm
Persecuted Christians Fighting ISIS
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2015/11/18/raymond-ibrahim-obama-administration-refuses-to-arm-persecuted-christians-fighting-isis/
By Raymond Ibrahim on November 17, 2015 in Muslim Persecution of Christians,
Other Matters
In recent months, Mideast Christians have been forming militias to fight the
Islamic State (IS) and other jihadi groups in both Iraq and Syria—even as the
Obama administration, which arms the “opposition,” refuses to arm them.
In Iraq, some of the few remaining Assyrian Christians have formed militias
under the name Dwekh Nawsha (literally meaning “self-sacrifice” in Christ’s
native tongue of Aramaic). Most of these fighters are from among those
Christians displaced from the Ninevah Plain due to the atrocities committed by
IS and are on the frontlines fighting the jihadis.
They were formed soon after the U.S.-supported Kurdish Peshmerga, which is
leading the fight against IS in the region, retreated from many Christian
villages without a struggle last summer, declining to protect them from the IS
advance which led to the usual atrocities.
According to the Christian Science Monitor, “Christians have taken up arms
because they want to protect their own land, and many no longer trust the Kurds
to do it for them.” Indeed, the Kurds, including the Peshmerga, have been known
to abuse and even persecute Christians. Like IS, Kurds are Sunni Muslims too.
“We will stay here, and Christians will protect Christians. Not Arabs or Kurds
protecting us, but Christians,” said local commander Fouad Masaoud Gorgees.
In neighboring Syria, approximately 500 Syriac Christian fighters recently
assembled and managed to prevent the Islamic State from entering the ancient
Christian settlement of Sadad. But on October 30, IS captured a town less than
five miles away, leaving Sadad vulnerable to continued assaults.
Even the Patriarch of the Syriac Orthodox church, Ignatius Aphrem II, traveled
to Sadad to boost the morale of Christian defenders. Said Aphrem:
It was emotional but it was also very encouraging to see our young people
determined to defend their land and stay in their homeland. To see them ready to
fight and to sacrifice for their land, I think that’s what’s very meaningful,
that made me very proud of them.
There’s a reason why Christians are frantically trying to save Sadad from the
clutches of IS. As one Syriac Christian fighter put it, Sadad “is a symbolic
place for us and we will not allow it to fall again.”
He is referring to the events of October 2013, when the U.S.-supported Free
Syrian Army—widely touted as moderate but in fact working with al-Qaeda’s Al
Nusra Front—captured the town. They made a graphic video (with English
subtitles) of those whom they killed, the “dogs of Assad”—“dog” being an ancient
Islamic epithet for Christians—while shouting Islam’s victory-cry, “Allahu
Akbar” (which John McCain equates to a Christian saying “thank God”) and praise
for the Free Syrian Army.
During their one week occupation of Sadad, the moderate/radical coalition
tortured, raped, and murdered 45 Christians; the bodies of six people from one
family alone, ranging from ages 16 to 90, were found at the bottom of a well (an
increasingly common fate for “subhuman” Christians).
At the time, Syriac Archbishop Selwanos Boutros called it Syria’s “largest
massacre of Christians.” Even so, this massacre was wholly ignored by the Obama
administration and so-called mainstream media in an effort to maintain the
narrative that the Free Syrian Army was “moderate.”
Concerning the Sadad massacres, the archbishop had asked in 2013:We have shouted
aid to the world but no one has listened to us. Where is the Christian
conscience? Where is human consciousness? Where are my brothers?
As persecuted Mideast Christians have well learned since, most Western
governments—the Obama administration at their head—could care less about their
fate. They care only about one thing: overthrowing Assad—at any cost, including
by directly or indirectly arming the Islamic terrorists that persecute
Christians in horrific ways, including slaughtering those who refuse to renounce
Christ for Muhammad.
Yet truly “moderate” Christian militias fighting the Islamic State are denied
arms from Washington: “Lobbyists in D.C. are blocking weapons and equipment from
reaching Dwekh Nawsha, the Christian militia force that has been fighting ISIS
in Iraq’s Assyrian Nineveh plains.”
Retired Lt. Col. Sargis Sangari, an Iraq war veteran who served 20 years in the
army, says: “As much as you’re giving money to all these individuals who are
killing each other [the “moderate” terrorists, Kurds, etc.], why don’t you try
to give it to the Assyrians?”…. Currently, their [Christians’] lack of resources
prevents them from launching an offensive.” U.S. funding, training, and
equipment would allow these Christian militias to take the fight to IS, added
Sangari.
Of course, all of this assumes that U.S. leadership actually wants the Islamic
State and other “moderate” jihadis to be defeated in an offensive by anyone—a
dubious assumption.
Still, persecuted Christian pleas have not totally fallen on deaf ears. A few
Western Christians, mostly Americans, have traveled to the Middle East to help
the indigenous Christians fight the jihadis.
Seeing their governments, which possess the military capability to annihilate
the Islamic State, do next to nothing—not even help arm Christians—against IS,
these Western Christians have decided to take it on themselves to fight the good
fight on behalf of the weak and oppressed.
Brett Felton, a former American soldier who once served in Iraq, now sees
himself as a “soldier of Christ” and has returned to help train Dwekh Nawsha
against IS.
According to the 28-year-old, “One man’s terrorist is another man’s freedom
fighter. But here we’re actually fighting for the freedom of the people … to be
able to live without persecution, to keep the church bells ringing.”
U.S. vet Jordan Matson, who has the words “Christ is Lord” inscribed in his
vest, said: “I decided that if our government wasn’t going to do anything about
it, I would… We’re getting shot at [by IS/jihadis] on pretty much a daily
basis…. We don’t have the technology that the United States military has to push
our enemies away.”
First the Christians of Iraq and then Syria implored the West for help against
the Islamic persecutors that the United States unleashed by overthrowing secular
strongman Saddam Hussein and now against Bashar Assad.
Brutally persecuted Christians were totally ignored by both government and
media—even as Obama and media now try to pull on the heartstrings of Americans
to accept tens and hundreds of thousands of Muslims.
Then Christians implored the Obama administration to simply stop arming their
persecutors. When that too fell on deaf ears, vastly outnumbered and
underequipped Christians gathered to fight the Islamic State head on, hoping the
U.S., which showers the “opposition” with weapons, would help equip them against
IS.
No such luck. As a result, a few Western Christians who believe in religious
freedom are risking their personal lives to help their Mideast brothers against
the scourge of “ISIS.”
In light of all this, to still fail to understand which “side” U.S. leadership
is on—they currently claim to be on the side of “democracy,” “freedom,” and
“human rights”—is to be beyond naïve.
Netanyahu: 'In Israel, as in France, terror is terror'
Akiva Eldar/Al-Monitor/November 18/15
“In Israel, as in France, terror is terror,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
said at the start of the weekly Cabinet meeting Nov. 15. “Behind it is radical
Islam and its desire to destroy its victims.” Netanyahu’s message was quickly
picked up by social media and the public discourse in the aftermath of the
murderous Paris terror attacks Nov. 13: Here’s your proof, spelled out with the
blood of at least 129 dead and hundreds injured, that we are all victims of
vicious Islamist terror, that those who fired at innocents in the heart of the
French capital are the same Muslims who stab innocents in the heart of the
Israeli capital, and they all have the same goal: to destroy anyone who is not
part of extreme Islam.
The message that “terror is terror is terror” runs like a thread throughout
Netanyahu’s demagogic rhetoric. In a statement to the cameras at the start of
the Cabinet meeting, he spoke in the same breath about the Palestinian who shot
dead a father and son (Ya'akov and Netanel Litman) near the settlement of Otniel
in the Hebron Hills Nov. 13, and about Europe becoming a terror target several
hours later.
“We are not to blame for the terrorism directed against us, just as the French
are not to blame for the terrorism directed against them,” Netanyahu said in
barely veiled mockery of Israel’s critics in Europe’s capitals. “It is the
terrorists who are to blame for terrorism, not the territories, not the
settlements and not any other thing.” The root cause of the conflict between
Israel and the Palestinians, according to Netanyahu, is “the desire to destroy
us.”
From there it is but natural to resort to preaching morality to the “world,”
which does not condemn terror attacks against Israel the way it condemns
terrorism everywhere else. And how can one not mention Palestinian President
Mahmoud Abbas, who thinks that condemning terrorism in France is enough and does
not act to stop the incitement motivating terrorism in the occupied territories.
“The terrorists who attack us have the same murderous intent as those in Paris,”
Netanyahu added. But unlike those French weaklings, we know how to handle them.
“Thanks to our aggressive policy against terrorism … we succeed many times in
frustrating and preventing more serious disasters." That justifies, Netanyahu
says, soldiers going into Palestinian villages, the demolition of family homes
and most importantly, “control of the ground,” meaning continued occupation.
According to Netanyahu’s warped logic, criticism of Israel’s occupation policy
hurts the victims of terrorism. On Nov. 11, he said the European Union should be
“ashamed” of its decision to approve the labeling of Israeli products made in
the West Bank and the Golan Heights. “The EU decision is hypocritical and
constitutes a double standard; it singles out Israel and not the 200 other
conflicts around the world.” The prime minister forgot to mention that eight
years ago Israel had already agreed to disclose the provenance of products made
in the settlements that are exported to Europe. Netanyahu ignored the fact that
the EU’s current move was, in fact, designed to provide European consumers with
the right to know where the snack displayed on the kosher foods shelf was
manufactured.
Condemning the decision was not enough for him, although Netanyahu himself said
that its economic impact is negligible. The prime minister took the opportunity
to portray the occupier as a victim. The EU, he claimed, has decided to label
only Israel and is “not prepared to accept the fact that Europe is labeling the
side that is being attacked by terrorism.” In other words, Europe’s decision to
label settlement products is a reward for terrorism and not a reaction to the
settlement policy. Two days later, as though echoing Netanyahu’s criticism about
the blow to the “side being attacked by terrorism,” a father and son, residents
of the settlement of Otniel, became victims of a murderous attack.
In a Nov. 4 article published in the Israeli Haaretz' Peace Conference
publication, Economic Nobel Prize laureate and psychology professor Daniel
Kahneman explained that it is easier to attribute European reservations about
Israeli policy to an expression of anti-Semitism than to see it, at least in
part, as opposition to policy that deviates from the norms of progressive
states. “If they are anti-Semites, then no matter what we do, they will treat us
the same way.” In the same manner it is easier to explain the Palestinian
attacks as an expression of eternal hatred than to internalize that the hatred,
at least in part, is a reaction to the prolonged occupation and its attendant
abuses. “If external hatred suffices as an explanation," notes the Israeli-born
psychologist, "then it doesn’t matter what we do to the Palestinians in the
territories. In any case, our deeds do not determine their attitude toward us.”
In Kahneman’s view, the resolution of national conflicts depends to a crucial
extent on a leader’s ability to overcome such simplistic thinking. He cites the
example of late Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, who told the Israeli public that
“peace is made with enemies,” and who signed the Oslo Accord with Palestine
Liberation Organization leader Yasser Arafat. Netanyahu tells the public that
with enemies, one makes war. Only war.
Parisians will not let themselves be cowed by terrorism. They are equipped with
a resilience that enables them to get back to normal on the morning after the
terror attacks at their neighborhood cafe. Their normal lives do not include the
oppression of other nations. Late French President Charles de Gaulle understood
more than 50 years ago that to lead normal lives, the French must vacate their
settlements in Algeria and grant independence to its inhabitants. Cruel terror
attacks will not change the standpoint of France and of other enlightened
countries vis-a-vis colonialist countries.
Netanyahu is determined to hold onto the settlements in the West Bank and East
Jerusalem, and believes global terrorism will divert Europe’s attention from the
occupation. To Israelis he pledges the vision of eternal life “by the sword."
The Islamic State and al-Qaeda can translate this vision into Arabic and print
it on their flags.
Why Paris attacks will
create backlash for migrants in Europe
Brenda Stoter/Al-Monitor/November 18/15
AMSTERDAM — The world did not need to speculate long to find out why the Islamic
State (IS) randomly killed at least 129 people and wounded hundreds in Paris,
most of them young adults in the prime of their lives. In an online statement
released the day after the attacks, the group explained its motives, in line
with its usual habit of claiming responsibility for attacks. IS claimed that the
attacks were meant as revenge for Paris’ participation in the US-led coalition
of nations, which bombs IS.However, the statement also revealed another reason
why they targeted a soccer stadium, a number of cafes and restaurants, as well
as a rock concert: because Paris is “the capital of prostitution and obscenity.”
The young Parisians who died during the attacks were labeled in the statement as
“crusaders,” as well as “apostates” who had gathered in a “profligate
prostitution party.” The term crusaders apparently, according to IS, refers to
indigenous non-Muslim Parisians, while the term apostates apparently refers to
Parisians with an Islamic background. To IS, it makes no difference; in their
eyes, they are all sinners deserving death.
They added, “The result of the attacks was the death of no less than 100
crusaders and the wounding of more than those, and unto Allah is all praise and
gratitude.”
But these motives might not be their most important goals. Apart from more
short-term motives, such as retaliation and the killing of those it regards as
sinners, the attacks also might fit into the more long-term strategic goals of
the group, which are to sow chaos and to create a backlash against Muslims
living in or migrating to the West. This would fit in well with the strategy
that has been outlined in a document written by al-Qaeda strategist Abu Bakr
Naji titled “The Management of Savagery: The Most Critical Stage Through Which
the Umma [Islamic Nation] Will Pass” and which is reportedly mandatory
literature for IS commanders as well.
In the document, Naji describes the need for jihadi groups to launch terrorist
attacks in order to create as much havoc and chaos as possible. This chaos will
not only terrorize its enemies, but it will also create a more polarized
environment; it forces people to choose sides, creating an “us vs. them”
situation, which is more attuned to the jihadi narrative and in which the
jihadis can more easily thrive. Because in this chaos people constantly live in
the fear of death, the thinking goes, they will become more receptive to the
jihadis' religious message of holy war and martyrdom. As such, the strategy aims
to fundamentally reshape the environment, making it easier for IS to spread its
message and to expand.
The attacks in Paris will have consequences for the refugee debate in the West,
an outcome that might not have been intended but which could benefit IS. After
the attacks, it emerged that one of the attackers carried a Syrian passport,
probably a fake one, and registered as a refugee in Europe, the Wall Street
Journal reported, and that six of the attackers had traveled to Syria before.
For years, there have been discussions in Europe on whether Western jihadis pose
a security threat back home. And for a couple of months, this debate has focused
on whether these jihadis — Western or Middle Eastern militants from IS — use
migrant routes to return to Europe.
However, many European countries, particularly Germany, showed an overall
welcoming attitude toward the refugees, especially those from Syria. Until now,
almost 800,000 refugees entered Europe illegally. This number is expected to
rise to 1 million refugees this year, with another 3 million next year. This
seems to contradict IS’ vision of a world in which believers and unbelievers can
only be in a state of war with each other.
Syrian refugees fear that the Paris attacks will most probably create an
anti-Muslim backlash in the West. More than two dozen US states said that Syrian
refugees are no longer welcome due to security fears after the Paris attacks.
And in Europe, the free movement of people within the EU is under pressure.
“If Europe cannot control its borders, we will see the return of barbed wire and
walls between us,” French President Francois Hollande said.
Also, some European refugee shelters immediately got extra security guards, as
people expected revenge attacks from the far right. Since the start of the
European migrant crisis this summer, the European right-wing parties gained a
lot more support as a result of their anti-immigration agenda. In The
Netherlands, for example, the party of Geert Wilders is now leading the polls.
Wilders’ Freedom Party is well-known for its anti-Islam and anti-immigration
rhetoric.
Obviously, the refugee crisis in Europe has not gone unnoticed within the ranks
of IS as well. In an issue of Dabiq, the IS online propaganda magazine, the
group published an article in which it used the death of Aylan Kurdi, a Kurdish
boy who drowned after his boat capsized on the way to Europe, to brand migrants
as “apostates.”
The article stated the following, “It should be known that voluntarily leaving
Darul-Islam [the land of Islam] for darul-kufr [the land of unbelief] is a
dangerous major sin, as it is a passage towards kufr [disbelief] and a gate
toward one’s children and grandchildren abandoning Islam for Christianity,
atheism or liberalism.”
IS would rather not see refugees leave the region, nor does it want them to be
sheltered by a welcoming Europe, where, as they say, they will find themselves
“under the constant threat of fornication, sodomy, drugs and alcohol.” It may
not have been their main goal, but one could suspect that IS wants to exploit
the refugee crisis in order to sow division, increase existing tensions and more
sharply polarize Europe. This undoubtedly benefits IS, which seeks to create
chaos and a religious war between Muslims and non-Muslims.
Will Rouhani and Zarif defy Khamenei by holding direct talks with US on Syria?
Ali Omidi/Al-Monitor/November 18/15
TEHRAN, Iran — Iran’s supreme leader plainly stated on Oct. 7 that “negotiations
with America is forbidden,” seemingly addressing President Hassan Rouhani and
Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif. Speaking before Islamic Revolutionary
Guards Corps commanders, he argued that the prohibition stems from the many
disadvantages it has. Indeed, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei believes
that the United States’ true intention with negotiations is to “infiltrate”
Iran, and that only “carefree” and “simple-minded” people who are indifferent to
“national interests” would support talks because they “don’t understand the
matter correctly.” Thus, Ayatollah Khamenei’s opinion on Syria is that “there is
no sense in other nations getting together and deciding on a system of
government and the head of that government. This is a dangerous innovation which
no government in the world would accept to be imposed on itself.”It appears that
Rouhani has taken the supreme leader’s red lines on board, as displayed in his
recent interview with Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera. Addressing the
topic of Iran-US relations, Rouhani said he sees no link between holding nuclear
talks with Washington and having relations with it. Yet he added that “one day,
these [Iranian and American] embassies will reopen, but what counts is behavior.
The Americans hold the key to this.” Through his further statement that “if they
[the United States] modify their policies, correct errors committed in these 37
years and apologize to the people of Iran, the situation will change and good
things can happen,” Rouhani has in effect adopted the same approach as his
predecessors Ayatollah Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani and Mohammad Khatami. However,
Rouhani has put all eggs, including bilateral talks on Syria, in the basket of
the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action — and its implementation. Indeed, Rouhani
has said that “if the agreement is implemented well, it can be the basis for
fewer tensions with the US and pave the way for a new era [in bilateral
relations] … and after that, it may be possible for the two countries to enter
talks on other issues.” This is while US officials, including President Barack
Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry, have on various instances supported the
idea of dialogue with Iran on issues other than its nuclear program.
The key question here is whether Iran’s policies in practice are different from
those it declares. It appears that there is indeed such a discrepancy. After the
signing of the JCPOA, a joke began circulating in Tehran which pointed to the
inevitability of Iran-US talks on other issues, and indicating a thaw in
bilateral relations. The content of the joke was that Iran would change the name
of its central city of “Arak” to “Barack,” in honor of Obama, and that in
return, the United States would change the name of Manhattan to “Mash Hassan,”
which is a very casual way of referring to Rouhani.
Such a trajectory of cooperation has precedence in the history of diplomacy and
international relations. For instance, the founders of the European Union
started their cooperation with functional and technical issues, and the success
they achieved in these fields was extended into cooperation on political, social
and cultural matters. Indeed, functional “spillover” is a theory in
international relations coined by David Mitrany and Ernest Haas that has been
proven in practice. Although Ayatollah Khamenei prefers that there be no
diplomatic contact between Iran and the United States on issues other than the
nuclear program — including Syria — in practice, this will not be possible for
several reasons.
First, given the multilateral nature of the talks on Syria that have been held
in Austria, the Iranian delegation — led by Zarif – is able to negotiate with
its American counterpart in the context of this multilateral setting, and there
is nothing that Iranian conservatives can do about it. Conservative forces
neither have an excuse to impose pressure on Zarif or Rouhani over such
engagement. During his years of teaching at the Iranian Foreign Ministry’s
School of International Relations, Zarif wrote a book entitled “Multilateral
Diplomacy: Theory and Performance of Regional and International Organizations";
it now seems that he is engaged in applying his own theories.
Second, considering that Russia, the principal ally of Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad, is actively participating in the talks in Austria, Iran believes that
it will become isolated and singled out if it fails to engage in dialogue with
the main parties to the conflict — including the United States. Experience has
also shown Iran that it will not be able to steer the crisis alone. In addition,
Iranian officials have realized that inaction on their behalf may cause
developments in Syria to move in an unfavorable direction.
Third, executive power is in the hands of Rouhani, and therefore, any initiative
or diplomatic maneuvering during talks in Austria fall within his purview, thus
placing Iranian conservatives in a passive position.
Fourth, the implementation of the JCPOA is a time-consuming process. Therefore,
any negotiation with the American side on the matter can be used as a pretext to
discuss Syria or other issues on the sidelines. Indeed, any interview by an
Iranian official that might follow such talks would simply announce that
discussions have been held with the Americans on the JCPOA, which is not a lie.
Fifth, Iranian public opinion and political culture view a lack of serious
negotiations with foreign actors — including the United States — as a sign of
weakness. There is also currently the expectation that if consultations can
resolve a complicated matter such as the nuclear issue, why can’t they resolve
the crisis in Syria? What’s wrong with engaging in talks with the American side
if it will reduce the pain and suffering of the Syrian people? A wide spectrum
of political and scientific elites inside Iran, including Rouhani, is now using
the political history of Islam to prove this point. The precedents in Islamic
history that are being presented by Rouhani’s supporters to justify talks with
the United States include the negotiation and reconciliation of Imam Ali, the
first Shiite imam, with Muawiyah, the caliph of his time — with Ali obviously
representing Iran and Muawiyah representing the United States. Other examples of
such precedent include the acceptance of Imam Hassan, the second Shiite imam, to
forge peace with Muawiyah, or even Imam Hussein, the third Shiite imam,
negotiating with Yazid, Muawiyah’s son and the caliph at the time, before the
historic battle in Karbala. Finally, the most important precedent being brought
up is the Hudaybiyyah peace treaty between the Prophet Muhammad and his enemies
in Mecca. It should be noted that such interpretations of the history of Islam,
by a religious government, are very significant.
As stated by former Iranian diplomat Seyed Hossein Mousavian, “It’s strange that
while [the officials] of both countries consider each other their No. 1 enemy,
the improvement of bilateral relations [between any two states] has not had as
many external enemies as that between Iran and the United States, and neither
have they been met with such internal opposition [in both Iran and the United
States].”
In sum, Iran and the United States will hold bilateral talks on Syria, but this
will probably take place in the form of discreet diplomacy accompanied by
admissions and denials. Despite the rhetoric, the road to talks between the two
nations on issues other than the JCPOA is open — but may be bumpy and fragile.
Democrats warn Syrian refugee ban would empower Islamic State
Julian Pecquet/Al-Monitor/November 18/15
Democrats in Congress are warning that slamming the door on Syrian refugees
would hurt the US-led campaign against the self-proclaimed Islamic State (IS).
The argument comes as Republican leaders and more than half of state governors
have announced their opposition to President Barack Obama's plan to admit up to
10,000 Syrian refugees over the next 10 months. Democrats on Nov. 17 denounced a
knee-jerk reaction to the attacks in Paris that they say would undermine US
efforts to build an international coalition against IS and feed into the
terrorist group's ideology of a civilization war between Muslims and the West.
“Refusing to help those who have passed repeated vettings will not keep us
safer,” Senate Foreign Relations Committee member Tom Udall, D-N.M., said in a
statement. “It will fuel the terrorists' hateful anti-Western ideology.”
Sen. Martin Heinrich, a fellow New Mexico Democrat whose father fled Germany
before World War II, slammed what he called the “anti-immigrant logic” of Syrian
refugee opponents.
“Let's remember that the enemy in the current scenario is [IS], not the refugees
who flee from their destruction,” Heinrich said in a statement. “We simply will
not have the moral standing as a nation to lead in this international crisis if
we ignore those who have lost everything at the hands of these barbaric
terrorists.”
The top Democrat on the House intelligence panel agreed.
“Being a constructive part of the refugee crisis is vital to our coalition
partners,” Rep. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., told Al-Monitor. “It's hard for us to
call on them to do more in terms of refugees, in terms of the war effort, if
we're unwilling to take on some component of this humanitarian crisis
ourselves.”
And Rep. Adam Smith, D-Wash., the top Democrat on the House Armed Services
Committee, said the United States would do well to avoid a “direct clash” with
IS on ideological grounds by singling out only non-Muslims for resettlement.
“We want to make sure that we don't act like we're against all Muslims, and yes,
if we say we won't take any, it aggravates it at least a little bit,” Smith told
Al-Monitor. “There is a component [of the war effort], yes, that says it's not
us versus the Muslims.”
The comments come as Republican leaders in the House and Senate have called for
a moratorium on Syrian refugee resettlement after one of the Paris attackers was
discovered to have entered the country posing as a refugee fleeing the war in
Syria.
Newly elected House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., tweeted Nov. 17 that Syrian
refugees should be barred “unless we can be 100 percent confident that they are
not here to do us harm” — an impossible metric.
“Our nation has always been welcoming,” Ryan said at a press conference. “But we
cannot allow terrorists to take advantage of our compassion. This is a moment
where it is better to be safe than to be sorry. So we think the prudent, the
responsible thing is to take a pause in this particular aspect of this refugee
program in order to verify that terrorists are not trying to infiltrate the
refugee population.”
The House is expected to vote this week on legislation that would require the
Obama administration to certify that none of the potential Syrian refugees being
admitted pose a security threat.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., also called for a “pause or
moratorium” on the president's resettlement proposal Nov. 17. Meanwhile, at
least 27 states have also objected to the president's proposal.
Administration officials counter that intense screening is already in place for
Syrian refugees and point out that they are vetted over an 18- to 24-month
period, negating the fear of a sudden deluge. They say that half of the fewer
than 2,000 refugees accepted since the civil war broke out four years ago have
been children, half have been women and a quarter have been older than 60.
Technically, they add, state leaders cannot stop the influx of refugees, who are
granted residency status and a pathway toward citizenship. But State Department
officials have been particularly frank about their reluctance to see a
historically popular program turned into yet another partisan hot potato.
“We don't want to send refugees anywhere where they would not be welcomed,” a
senior administration official said in a conference call with reporters Nov. 17.
The issue has already become clearly partisan, however, for a variety of
domestic political reasons.
Republican voters are more than twice as likely than Democrats to say they
wouldn't vote for a Muslim president — 73% versus 35% — according to a September
poll by Rasmussen Reports. And Republicans are also less likely to trust Obama's
ability to keep the nation safe.
“The fact that a number of governors, charged with their states’ safety, have
rejected Syrian refugees should be a signal to us all: Many Americans do not
believe they can trust this administration to properly vet these refugees,” Sen.
Ron Johnson, the chairman of the Senate Homeland Committee, said in a statement.
“The administration must address these legitimate concerns.”
The committee has scheduled a hearing on the issue for Nov. 19.
Some Republicans, including presidential candidates Ted Cruz and Jeb Bush, have
argued for only allowing Christians from Syria. A number of Democrats vigorously
denounced that idea.
“It's against US principles — it's against universal principles — to
discriminate,” Senate Foreign Relations Committee ranking member Ben Cardin, D-Md.,
told Al-Monitor. “Any time the United States does something that is easily
recognizable as wrong, it can affect the effectiveness of our international
strategy.”
Cardin did raise concerns about US screening and visa-free travel from Europe.
But he played down any direct link with the anti-IS effort.
“US leadership is not just because we have a strong military — it's because we
have universal values that we stick up for, and part of that is dealing with a
crisis such as the Syrian refugees,” he said. “I think it does deal with our
credibility.”
Rep. Eliot Engel, D-N.Y., the top Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs
Committee, resisted tying IS’ appeal to anything the United States does.
“I think [IS] is evil, and I think the people who would find [IS] appealing are
frankly also evil,” Engel said. “They will recruit, they will find people, they
will tell lies about the United States and the West. They will find a way to do
it. I don't think anything that we do or don't do aids and abets them.”
But he also endorsed the refugee resettlement proposal, drawing parallels to the
US reluctance to take in fleeing Jews in the 1930s. At the time, Jewish
communities were widely perceived as hotbeds of dangerous political ideologies,
including anarchism and Bolshevism.
“A lot of these people are victims of [IS],” Engel told Al-Monitor. “And if
we're going to fight [IS], we need to help its victims.”
Paris ‘mastermind’ not
arrested in police raid
By Asma Ajroudi Al Arabiya News/18 November 2015
The suspected mastermind of the Paris attacks, Abdelhamid Abaaoud, was not among
a number of people arrested in a huge police raid on Wednesday, the city’s
prosecutor said.At least two bodies were found in the apartment in Saint-Denis
after the shootout with police, but they have not yet been identified,
prosecutor Francois Molins told a press conference.
Monlins also said “commando” of people arrested or killed in a massive police
raid in a Paris apartment Wednesday were a terror unit capable of staging a
fresh attack. “A new team of terrorists was neutralized and all indications are
that given their arms, their organizational structure and their determination,
the commando could have struck,” he added. He also said police had found a
cellphone belonging to one of the gunmen and suicide bombers who staged France’s
worst-ever attacks Friday, killing 129 people and injuring over 350. The phone
was found in a dustbin outside the Bataclan music venue, scene of the worst
violence, where 89 people were gunned down. A text message showed one of the
gunmen had sent a message saying “we’re ready, let’s go.”The message was sent at
9:42 pm (2042 GMT), before the attack, Molins said, adding that police were
investigating who the message was sent to.
After the raid
Earlier, a woman died after detonating a bomb at the scene, the prosecutors'
office said, adding that three people in the apartment had been arrested and two
others were seized nearby. Several police officers were wounded in the raid.
The raid, which started at dawn, ended seven hours after the operation started,
but there was still no word at the time on whether the mastermind was caught.
French President Francois Hollande also urged the nation not to “give in to
fear” or excessive reactions in the wake of the jihadist attacks on Paris. “No
anti-Semitic or anti-Muslim act can be tolerated,” he told a meeting of the
nation’s mayors after police carried out the massive assault in Paris. A French
security forces officer stands by near the site of the dawn raid (Asma Ajroudi /
Al Arabiya News). Around 50 French soldiers had been deployed in the raid.
Security forces at the scene were unwilling to talk to members of the media, who
had gathered at the site where the pre-dawn raid took place. Schools and shops
were shuttered in the suburb, home to many people of North African descent, as
authorities ordered residents to stay at home. Soufiane Belaribi, a young man of
Algerian origin who lives in the suburb, said he had heard explosions while on
his way to work in the morning. “I never imagined they would be hiding here. I
didn’t see any suspicious movement in this neighborhood. I have been living here
for 12 years,” Belaribi told Al Arabiya News. French medical teams at the scene
in Saint-Denis, in northern Paris (Asma Ajroudi / Al Arabiya News) Karim Boujima,
another resident in the suburb, said: “We heard fire in the morning. We
immediately linked it to Friday’s events.
“I was very scared. I never thought France would be living this. Another
Saint-Denis resident said that “we are paying for their doing,” in reference to
the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), which carried out Friday’s attacks.
“I never thought they would be hiding here. Life was normal,” said the resident,
who gave only his first name, Lahouari. “This is sad for us because we are not
[thought of] well in comparison with the rest of French society… It is bad. We
are not scared for us, we are scared for our children and wives.” Another French
policeman stands by the scene in the suburb of Saint-Denis (Asma Ajroudi / Al
Arabiya News)
The area is home to the Stade de France, one of several places hit by gunmen and
suicide bombers on Friday in the worst ever attack on French soil, which was
claimed by the militant group. French prosecutors have identified five of the
seven dead assailants from Friday - four Frenchmen and a man who was
fingerprinted in Greece last month after arriving in the country via Turkey with
a boatload of refugees fleeing the Syria war. Police believe two men directly
involved in the assault subsequently escaped, including Salah Abdeslam, 26, a
Belgian-based Frenchman who is believed to have played a central role in both
planning and executing the deadly mission. Abdelhamid Abaaoud, who French
authorities believe is the 'mastermind' of last week's Paris attacks (Twitter)
Until Wednesday morning, officials had said Abaaoud was in Syria. He grew up in
Brussels, but media said he moved to Syria in 2014 to fight with Islamic State
of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). Since then he has travelled back to Europe at least
once and was involved in a series of planned attacks in Belgium foiled by the
police last January.
This is no World War III – ISIS is still weak
Chris Doyle/Alarabiya?November 18/15
The attacks in Ankara, Sinai, Beirut and Paris, all claimed by ISIS, highlight a
step change in the group’s strategy, taking its barbarism overseas and into the
skies. This might suggest an increased potency but equally some argue it
highlights that, as it is being squeezed in its Syrian and Iraqi heartlands,
ISIS is lashing out. Despite all the overblown rhetoric about World War III and
existential threats, ISIS is weak and those arrayed against it are strong when
united and determined.
Out of every series of disasters there is an opportunity. Hitherto, the key
international and regional actors have failed to coalesce either around an
anti-ISIS strategy or solutions for Syria. This might be changing. Defeating
ISIS and solving Syria are becoming more pressing issues for the major actors.
Russian and French strikes on ISIS highlight a shared desire to hit back. Putin
cannot afford to be engulfed by Syria and is likely to ditch President Assad if
it means he can exit the crisis whilst retaining Russia’s pre-eminent status.
Iran has for the first time ever signed up the Geneva communiqué of June 2012
that envisages a transition. Europe has backed France but also knows the refugee
crisis will not go away unless Syria is resolved. Two rounds of talks in Vienna
show that an international consensus on the way forward is inching closer with a
tentative perhaps unrealistic timetable for transition and elections. Solving
the conflict will be the biggest possible blow to those in Raqqa.
Despite all the overblown rhetoric about World War III and existential threats,
ISIS is weak and those arrayed against it are strong when united and determined.
A feature of the Syria crisis is that the merest hint of political progress has
been met by an increase of violence. The danger is that the attacks in Paris and
other cities could also derail these fledgling diplomatic moves. The reactions
to these may determine success or failure. So how should the international
community go forward not backward?
The blood had barely dried on the streets of the French capital before calls for
full-scale war and destruction were being heard. Calmer heads must come to the
fore.
So many Parisians have reacted with dignity and resilience. They are not being
cowed by the murderers at all. This reminds me of the atmosphere at the attacks
in London in 2005. Despite endless provocations and attacks over the recent
years, Lebanon has not been spit apart as many feared. This united collective
defiance is precisely what ISIS does not want to see, this is what these people
want to break.
United collective defiance
That said, vile anti-Muslim attacks have happened. Add to these, pretty much
every comment by American Republic Presidential candidates and Governors on the
Paris attacks will please the ISIS hordes. All efforts must be made to deter and
prevent the huge quadrupling of attacks on Muslims and mosques in the sixth
months after January’s Charlie Hebdo attacks.
Understanding what ISIS wants out of these attacks is highly informative about
just how the international community should proceed.
ISIS wants to be at war. As Peter Neumann from the International Centre for the
Study of Radicalisation has stated: “I fear that if you start talking about war,
you are almost playing into the hands of ISIS, because of course ISIS believes
of course it is at war and it wants its enemies to be at war.” As he said, ISIS
wants the choice to be solely - "I'm with the West or I'm with IS."
Escalating attacks on ISIS in Syria and Iraq can only achieve so much especially
when only from the air. The military route is all too well travelled and its
shortcomings have been all too well exposed in the past. ISIS has very much
invited these attacks – indeed it is counting on them. Ground troops are needed
but ideally from the region. But any military advances will mean nothing if
functioning state institutions are not established in area areas taken and
security restored. ISIS is banking on its enemies relying on Assad for help and
in the process alienating huge swathes of the Syrian population who will feel
betrayed.
We have to expect more attacks in Europe but see these as a sign of rank
desperation. Intelligence and security cooperation has to be upgraded. Addition
human and financial resources are being promised. Aviation security has to be
tightened. Contrary to Donald Trump’s call for arms, far from allowing all of
Europe to rack up a vast arsenal of AK47s and handguns, tighter controls on
access to weapons will be needed. Questions need to be asked as to why it is
possible to acquire gins so easily in Molenbeek. According to one expert “with
500-1000 euros you can get a military weapon in half an hour.”
Turning on the Syrian refugees and blaming them is another trap ISIS has laid in
front of Europe and the US. ISIS loathed the fact that Syrians fled to Europe
and did not seek sanctuary inside their ‘Caliphate.’ Be in no doubt that ISIS
did abuse the refugee routes into Europe, precisely to advance Trojan horse fear
mongering. Far right and ultranationalist parties in Europe have all too
predictably played ISIS’s tune. The fear must be that, even if ISIS does not
achieve this goal with the Paris attacks, future atrocities will likewise be
designed to create a greater backlash against Syrian refugees. Europe must not
ditch its humanity when dealing those who have left everything, many of whom are
already victims of ISIS.
Muslim communities in Europe will be another target with ISIS seeking to exploit
any grievances. Feelings of exclusion are precisely what ISIS and Al-Qaeda have
profited from. Muslims have much to lose and will need to work hard within their
communities to keep extremism at bay. The authorities have to engage with such
communities more effectively adopting an attitude of partnership not suspicion.
We need to find ways of increasing decent employment opportunities in such areas
as Molenbeek in Belgium, where these attacks seem to have been planned. Too many
leaders in Europe and the United States are not prepared to enter into a
meaningful working relationship with Muslim communities and for many bashing
Muslims is a vote winner. Well it is a vote winner of sorts for ISIS too.
Across the world Muslims are watching how Europe reacts. So are ISIS recruiters.
Politicians would be best advised to remind their constituents, some of whom are
genuinely scared, that Muslims have been the greatest victims of Al-Qaeda and
ISIS. Highlight how ISIS violates Islamic principles and values every single
day. Point out that Muslims are fully pledged citizens and the overwhelming
majority are genuinely patriotic. A 2011 survey in Britain showed that patriotic
feelings averaged higher in Muslim communities than in the overall population.
The huge outpourings of solidarity with Paris must be replicated when
non-western cities are similarly blighted. They are not lesser victims.
The best antidote to ISIS and Al-Qaeda is our unity and our values. Ditch either
of these and they start to win. Stand firm and these merchants of death have no
chance.
The ISIS ‘Storm’ and policy implications
Dr. Theodore Karasik/Alarabiya?November 18/15
ISIS attacks in Paris, Beirut, Iraq, in the past weeks, and about two weeks ago
against a Russian airliner in the Sinai are all spectacular attacks against
regional countries and international powers under the guise of ISIS’s “Storm”
operation. The attacks of late carry the hallmark and lessons learned of violent
extremists who have launched successful attacks not only in Mumbai (2008) but
also Chechen terrorist attacks against a hospital in Budennovsk (1995), a
theater Nord-Ost (2002), and a school in Beslan (2004). The Westgate Mall Attack
(2013) by Al-Shabaab in Kenya is also notable for its viciousness. The summation
of this violence is now seen. ISIS’s Storm is about sending waves of fighters
and target commercial aviation to exacerbate tensions in key countries and
arenas. In Paris, the attacks focused on gathering places including a stadium,
restaurants, and bars. In Beirut, the suicide bombings targeted a Palestinian
refugee camp in a Shiite zone of Lebanon’s capital. The targets in Iraq also
focused on Shiite pilgrims. Of course, Metrojet flight 9268, brought down by
what appears to be an ISIS bomb, killed Russian citizens.
Let’s also note that Boko Haram, who pledged allegiance to ISIS is on a roll in
Cameroon, Chad, and Niger in the past few weeks including the deploying female
suicide bombers. This wave from Western Africa is meant to destabilize North
Africa. Combined with ISIS’ province in Libya, a multi-prong push is obvious.
Thus, ISIS’s Storm is found in the group’s recent statements that, I believe,
were not taken seriously by intelligence officials or analysts of ISIS. This
lack of reading and analysis is tragic and cannot be repeated again. Electronic
monitoring may not have picked up any traffic regarding potential attacks. It
may be that ISIS is using better encrypted messaging platforms or had possibly
gone back to the old way of face to face communications. Drone attacks to target
ISIS leaders is not going to deter ISIS one iota.
Let’s be clear: the recent release of two ISIS messages to the world show the
group’s intent. ISIS’s Russian language “Soon Very Soon” video clearly showed
threats to Russia and to Europe:
These are our words
In your major cities
We will corner you.
You won’t be able to escape.
Nor spread your corruption.
You will live a life of humiliation
Only from now on.
In the hereafter,
Hellfire awaits you.
Hellfire is an important word: In connotes the end times, part of ISIS’s
horrific apocalyptic outlook. The ISIS claim on the Paris attacks specifically
target the UK and other countries in the same violent language including Rome.
Old threats
The Rome threat is not new. In February 2015, “A Message to France” that
threatens not only Paris but all French speakers and also Belgium, and “A
Message Signed in Blood to the Nation of the Cross” targeting Christians,
significantly France and Italy and especially Copts, was a clear warning. The
execution of 21 Egyptian Copts in one of the videos repeated in the “Soon Very
Soon” video. In August, a Croatian national was beheaded by ISIS who worked for
a French company in Egypt. What is clear is that there is warning of coming
attacks and there needs to be more serious analysis of these pronouncements.
Drone attacks to target ISIS leaders is not going to deter ISIS one iota.
These attacks are meant to inflame and incense communities and their respective
governments to attack ISIS in their heartlands, which are spread out from the
Levant to other geographical areas where ISIS has a strong and growing presence.
The reach is impressive because of the air-borne nature of ISIS ideology from
Africa to Southeast Asia to Europe and Eurasia. This is what I call “the
splatter effect” where continued aerial bombing and ground attacks by Russian
and American-led forces through Operation Inherent Resolve are sending new waves
of assailants with the dissemination of orders to conduct heinous attacks.
Unfortunately, more attacks are likely imminent as the ability for ISIS to
spread its message to its anti-social, anti-civilization base is strong and
robust.
The splatter effect is not new. In June 2015, the violence featured a mix target
set; a demonstration killing in France through decapitation and mutilation,
automatic weapons fired upon European beach tourists in Tunisia, and a targeted
suicide bombing on a Shiite mosque in Kuwait. Together the attacks sent multiple
messages of ISIS's capabilities and reach plus the fervent nature of ISIS
followers. It is important to remember that ISIS is achieving a cult-like
status, and so there is a real and serious coordination that is ongoing across
ISIS’s geo-strategic reach even before the events of the last few days. Thus,
the latest attacks are not a shift in tactics. They are an ongoing Storm that
requires new thinking and action.
What are the current requirements to fight this scourge? International
cooperation including more regional assistance in drawing up a dragnet to track
individuals of interest. Monitoring of social media helps immensely but with new
encrypted communication technologies is making it more difficult for
intelligence and law enforcement to monitor everyone in their two way
communications. If ISIS is now using word of mouth to help inspire cell
formation and ISR (intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance), the job is
crystal clear: Act now on issues such as migration, border control, and most
importantly, pay close attention to what ISIS is saying. We know the targets, we
know the means and the motives, so why not act on them in a robust manner. A
new, international gold standard for security and intelligence needs to be the
new norm besides kinetic options.
A Syria intervention the world will be forced into
Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Alarabiya?November 18/15
The terrorist attacks in Paris have further emphasized the importance of
intervening in Syria and putting an end to chaos that is a threat beyond the
Middle East. At the recent talks in Vienna, instead of proposing to resolve the
Syrian conflict by intervening, the suggestion is for a perfect friendly
political solution. Proponents of this must live in a fantasy world to believe
it is possible in a country where more than 300,000 people have been killed.
The proposal calls for a gradual transition, reassuring President Bashar
al-Assad that he will not exit power until after the implementation of several
phases that may extend for a long time. Fighting will not stop until he steps
down, but he may refuse to do so.
International intervention makes it possible to arrange for the return of
refugees, support those in need, stop proxy Turkish-Saudi-Iranian clashes, and
limit Russian and U.S. involvement
Therefore, intervention is inevitable. The only acceptable intervention today
would be that carried out under a U.N. flag, and in which most concerned
countries participate militarily and financially. This intervention must
establish a system that unites all the country’s components and parties, and
must prepare for governance based on elections. An international war against
terrorist groups in Syria must also be immediately launched.
Banishing Assad and all armed and terrorist groups may require a year or two, or
more. Regardless, this remains the best and fastest solution compared with the
Geneva and Vienna plans. International intervention makes it possible to arrange
for the return of refugees, support those in need, stop proxy
Turkish-Saudi-Iranian clashes, and limit Russian and U.S. involvement.
Wasting time
However, Western politicians are wasting their time. The Vienna meetings only
prolong the extent and duration of threats. The number of those fleeing death
and destruction has increased as a result. There are currently more than 12
million Syrians displaced! Thousands are trying to escape to Turkey en route to
Europe, while many refugees have become easy targets for recruitment by
terrorist groups.
All this amid a useless debate about whether Assad or the Islamic State of Iraq
and Syria (ISIS) should be banished first. The regime, which is the enemy of
most Syrians, is the cause of this war. It has become so weak that it can
neither govern the country nor defend itself.
Militias that Iran has brought from Afghanistan, Iraq and Lebanon to fight for
the regime have failed to win the war. Russia’s recent intervention in aid of
the regime has only succeeded in increasing the number of displaced, as 250,000
Syrians have fled Aleppo and Hama. As the situation in Syria quickly
deteriorates, Iran wants to prevent international intervention by wasting more
time suggesting solutions that further complicate the crisis.
Controlling the situation has become an international demand. To control it, the
international community must understand the importance of acting quickly to
banish Assad and fight terrorist organizations at the same time. With the
approval of such a solution, most of the region’s countries will volunteer to
implement it alongside U.N. troops, as the United Nations can manage the
situation in Syria until the transition to a new phase is complete.
Syria has become the biggest threat to the world. There have been explosions in
mosques and squares in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Turkey; the Russian plane
bombing over Egypt; and most recently the terrorist attacks in France. Worse may
be underway. It will be impossible to eliminate terrorism before ending chaos in
Syria, and before returning the displaced to their homes and cities instead of
looking for shelter for them in Europe and America.
Negotiators have lost their concentration due to their attempts to give warring
parties the chance to suggest solutions that prolong the crisis. Even if
negotiators listen to Iran’s or others’ solutions for resolving the crisis over
several phases, they will fail because developments on the ground are quickly
escalating and threats have extended beyond Syria.
The Vienna transition plan requires patience and time to implement, as well as
the various parties’ approval to cease fire, which needs to be arranged and
monitored. It also requires launching a gradual political process. Even if this
is implemented according to a reasonable schedule, results cannot be guaranteed
as Assad may refuse to exit power, in which case terrorist organizations will
thwart all attempts to resolve the situation.
After the Vienna plan fails, negotiators will meet again to search for another
solution. However, by then the world will have had enough as terrorism expands.
Millions more will be displaced. In that case, everyone will accept
international intervention - Syria would have been less tragic had this been
accepted two years ago.
ElBaradei and an Arab renaissance plan
Jamal Khashoggi/Alarabiya?November 18/15
We are still far from ending the conflicts in Syria, Yemen and other countries,
but we are on the right path. So is it the right time to talk about a
renaissance project that, after all these wars end, can push the Arab world
toward a reality different than that prior to the start of the Arab Spring in
2011? According to Dr Mohammed ElBaradei, we must do so.
The Nobel Prize winner has been extremely frustrated because despite his
attempts to make his country Egypt a better place, he was accused of treason by
both sides of conflict in his home country . Haunted by images of death the pain
of unfulfilled promises, he sees what is happing there as a reflection of the
struggles across the Arab world.
“I have everything I need, but I know for a fact that millions of Arabs and
Egyptians dream of coming to Europe, even as refugees. This isn’t a fair
choice,” he said last week as we headed to his favourite restaurant in Vienna.
I wish we would listen to ElBaradei and bring together Arab specialists in
economy, development and technology to discuss a renaissance plan for the Arab
world.
Recounting his experience at Google’s Zeitgeist events - a series of intimate
gatherings of top global thinkers and leaders - which he attended few weeks ago,
he said he felt like the Arab world was the fuel tank being detached from the a
space racket that fly high into space while fuel tank fall back to earth with no
significant , abandoned fuel tank .
Saudi leadership?
ElBaradei said Saudi Arabia should lead a plan toward an Arab renaissance
because it is a stable country. However, he has not lost hope in Egypt. Last
week’s agreement on a coordination council between the two countries is good
news to him.
However, he said this coordination was only linked to the military and
investment fields, but to achieve renaissance, three major plans were needed: to
reform education, to reform healthcare, and to spread tolerance by the rule of
law. This is how Japan, China and Singapore achieved their renaissances.
I told him I did not expect Saudi Arabia to begin working on a renaissance
project now. “So what will happen next?” asked ElBaradei. Do we go back to the
way it was before the Arab Spring? Do we go back to the phase of
underdevelopment in all fields? We must understand that before the Arab Spring,
the Arab world was in an extremely bad situation that is neither worth
maintaining nor restoring.
Arab Marshall Plan?
During World War II, a group of American researchers and European scientists was
commissioned to establish economic and political plans to make Europe a better
place after the war. Arabs must do the same to avoid restoring the circumstances
that led to the collapses of 2011.
The Arab world should have paid more attention to the imminent danger when a
U.N. human development report in 2000 highlighted the miserable situation of
Arabs. There have been several reform attempts since.
An Arab economic summit was held for the first time, and a project for reforming
the Arab League was presented. Late Saudi King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz al-Saud
called for an Islamic summit on sciences, and many countries and prominent Arab
figures launched several renaissance projects.
Qatar opened branches of the best global universities. Saudi Arabia founded the
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology. These were great ideas, but
Arab policies killed them.
We cannot escape from politics, or from searching for a formula for good
governance. However, until then, I wish we would listen to ElBaradei and bring
together Arab specialists in economy, development and technology to discuss a
renaissance plan for the Arab world.
I do not think ElBaradei will be able to stay away from politics, but let us not
listen to him as a politician, but as a scholar who is hurting because of what
is happening in his beloved homeland.
Comparing live coverage between Paris and Beirut
Diana Moukalled/Alarabiya?November 18/15
Like the rest of the world, the Lebanese people were preoccupied with following
up on the terrorist attacks in Paris. The Lebanese people’s interest in these
developments in France seemed like an echo of what happened a day earlier in
Beirut’s southern suburb of Borj al-Barajneh, where suicide bombers killed at
least 40 and injured others.
It’s true that the attacks in Paris resulted in more human losses and that they
were more dangerous than the level of the entire world; however, this did not
prevent Lebanese people and other Arabs from comparing the two attacks -
particularly in regards to media coverage.
Comments implied some sort of jealousy and joy, even though it’s about death
here. A Lebanese girl called Teema wrote that if she’s destined to die in a
terrorist attack, she’d rather be a victim in Paris and not in Lebanon - because
in the French capital she may find someone to cover her body before taking
pictures of her as she lies dead.
“Photos of me would thus not circulate on Facebook, and I’d be categorized as a
victim regardless of my identity and religion,” she said. This comment, and many
others like it, may not be exaggerated.
Our countries are full of security incidents, wars and explosions, and this has
pushed all local and Arab media outlets towards fierce competition on their
level of coverage, and particularly on the level of live coverage. Therefore
when an explosion happens in the Arab world, live coverage often includes scenes
of death, blood and human remains.
We’re almost incapable of counting the number of times when our hearts ache due
to ‘live coverage’
Coverage thus gets out of control as cameramen on field violate the sanctity of
the dead and the privacy of the injured.
Filling the hours
Live coverage lasts for long hours - so how can they fill these hours? They
therefore find it okay to unleash the emotions of angry citizens who’ve failed
to control their anger and voice their hatred towards others. All this poisons
the atmosphere.
We’re almost incapable of counting the number of times when our hearts ache due
to “live coverage” which in fact has become “live chaos” as coverage lasts for
hours under the excuse of following up on a security incident.
We’d see reporters struggling as they try to provide information or interview
survivors or control broadcasting gruesome and bloody images. What’s
disappointing is that most of the times, there are no real efforts to control
this and coverage ends up full of tensions, fear, hatred and empty political
analyses of a fresh event. We, until this day, still find someone who’d ask a
child who just lost his parents in an explosion: “Where’s your mommy?”
The number of victims of the Paris attacks stands at almost 130, and all French
and global media outlets covered the developing story. And although there are no
restrictions there and no security monitoring like the situation in our
countries, we did not see photos of dead people or human remains during the
coverage of this incident. This reminds me of the September 11 attacks - until
this day, we have not seen a single photo of blood or of a body.
No justification
There are no justifications at all as to why we haven’t yet learnt the lesson.
We know the lesson well and all media outlets know their duties and
responsibilities.
This is not about lack of experience and it’s neither about being under pressure
nor seeking the element of surprise which leads to improper live coverage.
Laziness and maliciousness - as well as the absence of professional deterrents
and accountability - are what push some to disregard people’s lives and
feelings.