LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
November 13/15
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletins05/english.november13.15.htm
Bible Quotation For Today/No
one sews a piece of unshrunk cloth on an old cloak; otherwise, the patch pulls
away from it, the new from the old, and a worse tear is made
Mark 02/18-22: "John’s disciples and the Pharisees were fasting; and people came
and said to him, ‘Why do John’s disciples and the disciples of the Pharisees
fast, but your disciples do not fast?’ Jesus said to them, ‘The wedding-guests
cannot fast while the bridegroom is with them, can they? As long as they have
the bridegroom with them, they cannot fast. The days will come when the
bridegroom is taken away from them, and then they will fast on that day. ‘No one
sews a piece of unshrunk cloth on an old cloak; otherwise, the patch pulls away
from it, the new from the old, and a worse tear is made. And no one puts new
wine into old wineskins; otherwise, the wine will burst the skins, and the wine
is lost, and so are the skins; but one puts new wine into fresh wineskins.’"
Bible Quotation For Today/It
is impossible for the blood of bulls and goats to take away sins.
Letter to the Hebrews 10/01-10: "Since the law has only a shadow of the good
things to come and not the true form of these realities, it can never, by the
same sacrifices that are continually offered year after year, make perfect those
who approach. Otherwise, would they not have ceased being offered, since the
worshippers, cleansed once for all, would no longer have any consciousness of
sin? But in these sacrifices there is a reminder of sin year after year. For it
is impossible for the blood of bulls and goats to take away sins. Consequently,
when Christ came into the world, he said, ‘Sacrifices and offerings you have not
desired, but a body you have prepared for me; in burnt-offerings and
sin-offerings you have taken no pleasure. Then I said, "See, God, I have come to
do your will, O God" (in the scroll of the book it is written of me).’When he
said above, ‘You have neither desired nor taken pleasure in sacrifices and
offerings and burnt-offerings and sin-offerings’ (these are offered according to
the law), then he added, ‘See, I have come to do your will.’ He abolishes the
first in order to establish the second. And it is by God’s will that we have
been sanctified through the offering of the body of Jesus Christ once for all."
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
November 12-13/15
Sinai plane crash: Why is Putin so silent/Efraim Halevy/Ynetnews/November
12/15
European hypocrisy: Why single Israel out/Ofir Haivry/Ynetnews/November
12-13/15
Under 50' Iranians killed in Syria/Arash Karami/Al-Monitor/November 12/15
Has Syria been a military success for Iran/Abbas Qaidaari/Al-Monitor/November
12/15
What is Islamic Jihad's role in the intifada/Asmaa al-Ghoul/Al-Monitor/November
12/15
Baghdad is the secret to ISIS victory/Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/November
12/15
Rewriting Mideast history and geography at Republican debate/Joyce Karam/Al
Arabiya/November 12/15
Money will buy Israel weapons but not security/Yossi Mekelberg/Al Arabiya/November
12/15
Titles For
Latest LCCC Bulletin for Lebanese Related News published on
November 12-13/15
Canadian Statement on Bombing in Beirut
Hollande Expresses 'Horror' over 'Despicable' Dahieh Blasts
ISIS claims deadly twin Beirut explosions
43 Dead, 239 Hurt as 2 IS Suicide Bombers Target Bourj al-Barajneh
Lebanese Leaders Condemn Bourj al-Barajneh Blasts, Urge Unity
Terror attacks foiled in Lebanon’s Tripoli
Lebanese Army Dismantles Bomb in Tripoli
Saad Hariri Slams Dahieh Blasts, Says Targeting Civilians a 'Vile, Unjustified
Act'
Hezbollah weapons warehouses were the target of Wednesday's Israeli airstrikes
in Syria
You Stink Activists Resume Action, Dump Trash by Ministries
Legislative Session Underway with LF, FPM Participation, Kataeb Boycott
Abou Faour Content as Parliament Passes Food Safety Law
Lebanese Army Arrests Terrorist Linked to Ibrahim al-Atrash Network
Report: LF, FPM Attending Legislative Session after Concession on Electoral Law
Khalil Credits Legislative Session Settlement to 'Mustaqbal-LF Political
Commitment'
Mustaqbal-Hizbullah Dialogue Postponed to Friday
Franjieh Mocks 'Don Quixotic Victory', Says Christians Win if 'Fair' Electoral
Law Passed
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And
News published on
November 12-13/15
Saudi Executes Murderer, 147th
Death Sentence this Year
Eight Civilians Killed in Egypt's Sinai
Saudi King Has 'Full Confidence' in Egypt Security
Kerry Tells U.N. Two-State Solution 'not Impossible Dream'
Italian Police Announce International Swoop on 'Jihadist Network'
Israeli Defense Forces tests new precision artillery shell
Report: Air force struck near Damascus airport
Rouhani: US apology to Iranian people is condition for restoring relations
Iraq Kurds Launch Major Offensive to Retake Sinjar from IS
Links From Jihad
Watch Site for
November 12-13/15
Bald Islamic State jihadist nabbed getting hair transplant.
Pakistani teachers launch “I Am Not Malala” to counter “anti-Islamic propaganda”.
UK: Four arrested as part of pan-European jihad recruiting ring.
Al-Azhar Muslim cleric suspected in Russian plane crash.
The Unknown: Islam and The Real Assault on Women.
Texas Muslim linked to Afghan jihad car bombing.
German nightclub refuses migrants to protect women from harassment.
France: Police and migrants clash for third straight night in Calais ‘Jungle’.
Muslim plots jihad mass murder in France after being twice prevented from
traveling to Syria.
Canadian Statement on Bombing in
Beirut
November 12, 2015 - Ottawa, Ontario
- Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development Canada
The Honourable Stéphane Dion, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today issued the
following statement:
“Canada strongly condemns today’s twin suicide bombings in southern Beirut,
Lebanon.
“Such violent extremism is a stark reminder of the grave threat that terrorism
poses to the people of Lebanon and the region. We expect that those responsible
for this horrendous attack will be brought to justice.
“On behalf of all Canadians, I offer my sincere condolences to the families and
friends of those killed and wish a speedy recovery to the injured.”
Contacts
Media Relations Office
Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development Canada
343-203-7700
Hollande Expresses 'Horror' over
'Despicable' Dahieh Blasts
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 12/15/French
President Francois Hollande on Thursday condemned as "despicable" the twin bomb
attack that killed 43 people and injured 239 others in the Beirut southern
suburb of Bourj al-Barajneh. "The president of the republic expresses his
indignation and horror after the attack that killed several dozen people this
afternoon in the Bourj al-Barajneh neighborhood of Beirut," he said in a
statement issued by the presidency. "The French share in the national mourning
of the Lebanese. France is more than ever committed to peace, unity and
stability in Lebanon," Hollande said. The twin attack was carried out by two
suicide bombers who blew up their explosive vests. The army said the dead body
of a third attacker who failed to blow himself up was found on the scene of the
second blast. The blast, which was claimed by the extremist Islamic State group,
is the first to target Beirut's southern suburbs since June 2014. But prior to
that, a string of attacks targeted Hizbullah strongholds throughout the country.
Between July 2013 and February 2014, there were nine attacks on Hizbullah
bastions, most claimed by jihadist extremists.
The groups claimed the attacks were in revenge for Hizbullah's decision to send
thousands of fighters into neighboring Syria to support President Bashar Assad's
forces against an Islamist-dominated uprising.
ISIS claims deadly
twin Beirut explosions
By Mariam Karouny and Laila Bassam
Reuters, Beirut Thursday, 12 November 2015
The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) group claimed responsibility for
Thursday's double attack on a Hezbollah stronghold in southern Beirut which
killed at least 37 people. The group said in a statement posted on Twitter by
its supporters, that its members blew up a bike loaded with explosives in a
street in the Borj al-Barajneh area and when people gathered, a suicide bomber
blew himself up among them causing more casualties and killing 40 people. The
bombings were the first attacks for more than a year in a stronghold of the
Iran-backed movement, which has sent members to Syria to fight alongside
President Bashar al-Assad’s forces in the country’s civil war. There was no
immediate claim of responsibility. Several bomb blasts struck Lebanon in June
last year, in a spillover of violence linked to Syria. The war in Lebanon’s
larger neighbor, with which it shares a border of more than 300 kilometers, has
ignited sectarian strife in the multi-confessional country, leading to bombings
and fighting between supporters of the opposing sides in Syria. Hezbollah
supports Assad; Sunni militants support rebels fighting against him and his
Shiite backers. Interior Minister Nouhad Machnouk gave the latest death toll. He
also said a third suicide bomber had been killed by one of the explosions before
he could detonate his own bomb. His body was found nearby. Medics rushed to
treat the wounded after the explosions, which damaged shopfronts and left the
street stained with blood and littered with broken glass. It was a blow to
Hezbollah’s tight security measures in the area, which were strengthened
following bombings last year. The army had also set up checkpoints around the
southern suburb entrances. Lebanon’s Prime Minister Tammam Salam condemned the
attacks as “unjustifiable,” and called for unity against “plans to create
strife” in the country, urging officials to overcome their differences.The
bombers struck as Lebanese lawmakers held a legislative session for the first
time in over a year. An ongoing political crisis has left the country without a
president for 17 months, with the government failing to take even basic
decisions.
Religious leaders warned last year that in the absence of a head of state,
sectarian strife was threatening a country that was gripped by its own civil war
from 1975 to 1990.
43 Dead, 239 Hurt as 2 IS
Suicide Bombers Target Bourj al-Barajneh
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 12/15/Twin suicide
bombings rocked a busy shopping street Thursday in the Beirut southern suburb of
Bourj al-Barajneh, killing 43 people and wounding 239 others, in the worst such
attack in years.
NNA said the attack was carried out by two suicide bombers who blew up their
explosive vests in the Ain al-Sikkeh street.
The Internal Security Forces said two men on foot set off suicide vests in front
of a shopping center.
Health Minister Wael Abou Faour, speaking from the scene on a street of shops
where vendors also sell from stalls, said many of the injured were in serious
condition.
The army said the body of a "third terrorist" was found at the scene of one of
the blasts after he apparently failed to blow himself up.
The extremist Islamic State group claimed the attack in a statement posted
online.
"Soldiers of the Caliphate detonated explosives planted on a motorbike in an
area frequented by Rafida (Shiites),” the statement said.
"After the apostates gathered in the area, one of the knights of martyrdom
detonated his explosive belt in the midst of them," the statement added.
The claim could not be independently verified but the statement followed the
usual format of IS claims of responsibility and was circulated on jihadist
online accounts.
An AFP photographer saw extensive damage to buildings around the site of the
blast and bodies inside some of the nearby shops.
There was blood on the streets, and security forces were trying to cordon off
the scene and keep people from gathering.
Local television stations showed footage of wounded people being carried away by
emergency services and civilians.
"I'd just arrived at the shops when the blast went off. I carried four bodies
with my own hands, three women and a man, a friend of mine," a man who gave his
name as Zein al-Abideen Khaddam told local television.
- 'Thought world ended' -
Another described the sound of the blasts.
"When the second blast went off, I thought the world had ended," he said.
The wounded were evacuated to several hospitals in the area, including the
Bahman hospital in neighboring Haret Hreik.
"We've received dozens of wounded people and they're continuing to arrive," a
doctor there told AFP.
The blast is the first to target Beirut's southern suburbs since June 2014, when
a suicide car bomb killed a General Security officer who had tried to stop the
bomber.
But prior to that, a string of attacks targeted Hizbullah strongholds throughout
the country.
Between July 2013 and February 2014, there were nine attacks on Hizbullah
bastions, most claimed by jihadist extremists.
The groups claimed the attacks were in revenge for Hizbullah's decision to send
thousands of fighters into neighboring Syria to support President Bashar Assad's
forces against an Islamist-dominated uprising.
Lebanese Leaders Condemn
Bourj al-Barajneh Blasts, Urge Unity
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 12/15/Lebanese leaders strongly condemned
Thursday the deadly twin bombings that rocked the Beirut southern suburb of
Bourj al-Barajneh, urging unity and vigilance. Prime Minister Tammam Salam
declared Friday a day of national mourning and called on all Lebanese to show
more “alert, unity and solidarity in the face of the seditious schemes.” He
hoped the attacks will push all officials to “overcome disputes and support
state and security institutions so that we can all protect our domestic front
and immunize it in the face of the terrorist assault.”Change and Reform bloc
chief MP Michel Aoun meanwhile described the attacks as “a crime of despair
after defeat.”“We must fight with all due confidence so that good can triumph
over evil,” he told OTV. Calling for “preserving security,” Aoun added: “How
many more blasts must happen to convince everyone of the need to eradicate
takfiri terrorism?” Meanwhile, Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea issued a
statement condemning the blasts “in the strongest terms” and urging Lebanese to
close ranks. He also called on the government to “hold an emergency and
extraordinary meeting in order to take more measures aimed at protecting Lebanon
and the Lebanese.”For his part, Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid
Jumblat condemned the attack and called for “rising above narrow and partisan
political disputes in order to immunize the Lebanese arena and prevent a new
wave of terrorist bombings.”Grand Mufti Sheikh Abdul Latif Daryan meanwhile
issued a statement condemning the attack as “black terrorism” and urging
“Islamic unity and national unity.”“The domestic arena must be protected with
further awareness, solidarity and unity,” he said. The March 14 General
Secretariat meanwhile condemned “the return of the bombings to the Dahieh
region,” voicing its solidarity with the families of the victims. The general
secretariat also noted that “stability in Lebanon is not merely a technical
process based on the ability of a security force to protect its regions, but
rather on consensus on the need to build the State, in the vein of what happened
today in parliament.”It also called on Hizbullah to “withdraw from the Syrian
conflict, which is clearly firing back at those who are involved in it.”The twin
attack, which killed 43 people and injured 239 others, was carried out by two
suicide bombers who blew up their explosive vests in the Ain al-Sikkeh street.
The army said the dead body of a third attacker who failed to blow himself up
was found on the scene of the second blast. The blast, which was claimed by the
extremist Islamic State group, is the first to target Beirut's southern suburbs
since June 2014, when a suicide car bomb killed a General Security officer who
had tried to stop the bomber. But prior to that, a string of attacks targeted
Hizbullah strongholds throughout the country. Between July 2013 and February
2014, there were nine attacks on Hizbullah bastions, most claimed by jihadist
extremists. The groups claimed the attacks were in revenge for Hizbullah's
decision to send thousands of fighters into neighboring Syria to support
President Bashar Assad's forces against an Islamist-dominated uprising.
Terror attacks foiled in Lebanon’s Tripoli
Now Lebanon/ November 12/15/BEIRUT – Two terror attacks have been foiled in
northern Lebanon’s Tripoli, less than a week after two explosions ripped through
the border town of Arsal. The Lebanese army on Thursday morning dismantled an
improvised explosive device next to Kanaan Café, which is located near the
city’s Sunni-populated Qobbeh neighborhood. Lebanon’s National News Agency
reported that that IED was rigged in a box placed alongside a road near American
Square, which is not far from the Alawite quarter of Jabal Mohsen. According to
a statement issued by the Lebanese Armed Forces, the IED consisted of 10
kilograms of explosives and metal shards wrapped in electrical tape attached to
five detonators. The Lebanese Armed Forces added that investigations are
underway to discover who left the IED—which was primed for explosion—outside the
café.Hours after the IED in Tripoli’s Qobbeh was dismantled, reports of another
foiled terror attack emerged, this time a suicide bombing. “The Internal
Security Forces Information Branch last night arrested a national in [Tripoli’s]
Qobbeh carrying a suicide vest ready for detonation,” Lebanese state media
reported. The report identified the suspect as Ibrahim J., but would not
go into further details on the incident, while the ISF has yet to issue a
statement on the matter. The local Tripoli News Network online outlet said that
the suspect had been fighting in Syria before returning to Lebanon. The security
incidents in Tripoli come after the deadly explosion last Thursday that targeted
a gathering of Sunni clerics in Arsal as well as the IED blast the next day that
hit a Lebanese Armed Forces convoy. Tripoli itself has been relatively peaceful
since the Lebanese government in April 2014 instituted a security plan in the
northern city that brought an end to the sectarian clashes that would regularly
erupt between Alawite militants of Jabal Mohsen and their Sunni neighbors.
Despite the security plan, Islamist militants sympathetic to ISIS in Tripoli and
north Lebanon launched a series of attacks against the Lebanese army in late
October 2014 that ended after days of heavy fighting that left 11 LAF troops
dead. Less than two months later, two suicide bombers detonated themselves in a
café in the Jabal Mohsen area, killing at least nine people in attack the Al-Nusra
Front took credit for.
Lebanese Army Dismantles Bomb in Tripoli
Naharnet/November 12/15/The army dismantled on Thursday a bomb in the northern
city of Tripoli, reported the National News Agency. It said that an explosive
was discovered in a box placed near Kanaan cafe in the Qobbeh neighborhood. A
military expert soon arrived at the scene and dismantled the 10kg explosive.Later on Thursday, the National News Agency reported that the army
arrested overnight a citizen in al-Qobbeh for possessing an explosive belt.
Saad Hariri Slams Dahieh Blasts, Says Targeting Civilians a
'Vile, Unjustified Act'
Naharnet/November 12/15/Al-Mustaqbal movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri condemned
Thursday in his name and in the name of his movement what he described as “the
heinous terrorist attacks against our people in Bourj al-Barajneh,” after two
suicide bombers killed at least 37 people and wounded 181 others in the Beirut
southern suburb. He said on twitter: “Targeting civilians is a vile and
unjustified act that cannot be downplayed by any allegations.” “Killing innocent
people is a heinous crime by all standards, in Bourj al-Barajneh and anywhere
else,” he added.Hariri also expressed his “deepest condolences” to the families
of the victims, asking God to “grant the wounded a speedy recovery and to
protect our country from all evil.”The twin attack was carried out by two
suicide bombers who blew up their explosive vests in the Ain al-Sikkeh street.
The army said the dead body of a third attacker who failed to blow himself up
was found on the scene of the second blast. The blast is the first to target
Beirut's southern suburbs since June 2014, when a suicide car bomb killed a
General Security officer who had tried to stop the bomber. But prior to that, a
string of attacks targeted Hizbullah strongholds throughout the country. Between
July 2013 and February 2014, there were nine attacks on Hizbullah bastions, most
claimed by jihadist extremists. The groups claimed the attacks were in revenge
for Hizbullah's decision to send thousands of fighters into neighboring Syria to
support President Bashar Assad's forces against an Islamist-dominated uprising.
Hezbollah weapons warehouses were the target of Wednesday's
Israeli airstrikes in Syria
By YASSER OKBI/ MAARIV HASHAVUA/J.Post/11/12/2015
The target of Israel's alleged airstrikes in Syria on Wednesday evening were
Hezbollah weapons warehouses, Arab media affiliated with the opposition to
Syrian Preisdent Basher Assad reported Thursday. Pro-Assad operatives on
Facebook said that the strikes, adjacent to Damascus airport, struck "military
outposts near the airport, and there is a high probability that it was IDF
warplanes that struck." New portal 'Damascus Alan,' which is affiliated with the
Assad regime, reported that heavy damage was caused to army outposts around the
airport, all of which went up in flames. The site did not specify what damage
was caused to the outposts, but they said that nobody was hurt. Syrian
opposition activist Ahmed Yabrudi said: "Israeli warplanes entered from south
Lebanon, arrived at Qalamoun and flew above the international airport in
Damascus where they struck nearby military outposts." He added that "the Israeli
planes remained in Syria's skies for a half hour, and there is no information
about the outposts that were hit - except that they belonged to
Hezbollah."Official Syrian media failed to report on the air strikes attributed
to Israel. Israeli defense officials also declined to comment on the foreign
media reports.
However, Israel did previously announce a strict-policy of intolerance towards
threats to the state, such as weapons transfers to Hezbollah in Lebanon. The
last reported Israeli strike in Syria, on October 31, targeted numerous
Hezbollah targets in Syria's south. In the October alleged attack, Syrian media
reported that up to a dozen Israeli war planes conducted the mission close to
the Lebanon-Syria border in the Qalamoun Mountains region. Estimated targets
included a weapons convoy destined for Hezbollah fighters traveling through
Syria. The alleged attack on Wednesday night would be the second attributed to
Israel since Russia began operating in the area. Israel has reportedly struck
Hezbollah in Syria several times over the past year.Jpost.com staff and Noam
Amir contributed to this report.
You Stink Activists Resume Action, Dump Trash by Ministries
Naharnet/November 12/15/You Stink activists dumped trash early on Thursday in
front of several ministries protesting the government’s dysfunction on a
months-long trash crisis, the state-run National News Agency reported.
The activists dumped waste near the ministries of Environment, Labor, Energy,
Foreign, Culture, Education, Social Affairs, Industry and Displaced. Three of
the campaigners were arrested including Tarek al-Mallah, Sukayna Fawwaz and
Claude Jaber who was later released, reports said. A trash crisis that erupted
in July following the closure of the Naameh landfill sparked a protest movement
led by You Stink activist group, which brought thousands of people into the
streets for several weeks of demonstrations. A plan that was approved by the
cabinet in early September to solve the waste crisis has run into a series of
obstacles.
Legislative Session Underway with LF, FPM Participation,
Kataeb Boycott
Naharnet/November 12/15/ A legislative session aimed at tackling a number of
financial draft-laws is underway at parliament amid the boycott of the Kataeb
Party and a rally staged by its supporters in protest against the meeting. The
Lebanese Forces and Free Patriotic Movement are taking part in the meeting
following an agreement that was reached on Wednesday that appeased their demands
regarding restoring the nationality of expatriates and the parliamentary
electoral laws. The meeting is being chaired by Speaker Nabih Berri and is
attended by Prime Minister Tammam Salam. The premier declared from parliament:
“This is a national moment and we hail the efforts that led to holding the
legislative session.”The parliament later approved the food safety law and
around 20 draft laws and proposals, "most of them related to international
financial agreements and commitments," state-run National News Agency said.
Following controversy over a draft law on equipping the army, the ministers of
defense and finance and Change and Reform bloc secretary MP Ibrahim Kanaan held
a meeting in Berri's office to "finalize a middle-ground solution," media
reports said. The move was coordinated with MP Samir al-Jisr of al-Mustaqbal
bloc. MTV meanwhile said all parliamentary blocs are expected to approve the
draft-law on renaturalizing emigrants of Lebanese origin after amendments were
introduced to it on Wednesday. Kataeb lawmakers had attended the meeting in hope
that Berri would turn it into a session to elect a president. The speaker
rejected the demand however and they withdrew from parliament where the
protesters were gathered. Kataeb chief MP Sami Gemayel told the protesters:
“Article 74 of the constitution stipulates that should there be a presidential
vacuum for any reason, parliament must immediately convene to elect a new head
of state.” “By law, the parliament in the absence of a president transforms from
a legislative body to an electoral one,” he added. “We must immediately elect a
new president without any debate or discussions in accordance with the
constitution,” he stated. “There are no technical, national, or constitutional
factors hindering the election of a president. Is the implementation of the
constitution prohibited and its violation permitted?” he wondered. “There is no
greater duty than respecting the constitution and the election of a president,”
Gemayel declared. The party had vowed not to attend any legislative session
before the election of a new president. Lebanon has been without a head of state
since May 2014 when the term of Michel Suleiman ended without the election of a
successor. The last legislative session was held in November 2014.
Abou Faour Content as Parliament Passes Food Safety Law
Naharnet/November 12/15/The parliament on Thursday approved the food safety law
during a much-anticipated legislative session, the first that the legislature
holds since around a year, Health Minister Wael Abou Faour announced. “Citizens'
health has become immunized and the quality of their food has improved, and we
now have a Central Commission,” he said. The minister noted that the law will
turn the page on an era during which the health of citizens had hinged on “the
enthusiasm of any minister or any ministry regarding issues related to food
safety.”Under Abou Faour, the Ministry of Health has launched an unprecedented
food safety campaign that has involved the closure of numerous restaurants and
institutions and the issuance of ultimatums to many violating businesses. The
campaign has also tackled medicines, hospitals and beauty centers across
Lebanon.
Lebanese
Army Arrests Terrorist Linked to Ibrahim al-Atrash Network
Naharnet/November 12/15/ The Information Branch arrested a dangerous fugitive
after raiding his place of residence in the northeastern town of Arsal and
chasing him, an army statement said. Mohammed Ibrahim al-Hujeiri, nicknamed
“Abou Ibrahim” and “Kahroub”, was arrested by the Information Branch with the
assistance of military forces in the al-Sabil neighborhood, the statement added.
Hujeiri was lightly injured after an attempted escape. He is wanted for
belonging to the network of Ibrahim Qassem al-Atrash and the Islamic State group
in al-Qalamoun. Hujeiri is an expert specialized in preparing explosives and
booby trapping cars with plans to carry out terrorist acts in some Lebanese
regions. He is also closely linked to a number of terrorist detainees. In
September, the Lebanese army arrested in Arsal Ibrahim Qassem al-Atrash,
nicknamed Abou al-Moaatasem, Abou Hassan and Ibrahim Tark. He has together with
the so-called emir of al-Nusra in Qalamoun Malek Abou al-Talleh, formed and
armed the al-Nusra Front in the outskirts of Arsal.
Report: LF, FPM Attending Legislative Session after
Concession on Electoral Law
Naharnet/November 12/15/ The Lebanese Forces and Free Patriotic Movement agreed
to attend the legislative session following concessions that were made over the
inclusion of the parliamentary electoral law on its agenda, reported al-Joumhouria
newspaper on Thursday. It said that an agreement was reached to form a committee
to prepare an electoral law and approve it. The committee has two months to
reach its goal, added the daily. Should it fail to do so, then no legislative
sessions will be held. Even if they are scheduled, they will not attend it, in
adherence to the announcement made by Mustaqbal Movement leader MP Saad Hariri,
explained al-Joumhouria. The former premier declared on Wednesday that the
movement will attend Thursday's legislative session to vote on financial
draft-laws, but that it will not attend any later session that does not tackle
the electoral draft-law. The LF-FPM settlement over the legislative session also
includes the approval of the draft-law on renaturalizing emigrants of Lebanese
origin after amendments were introduced to it on Wednesday. Other articles on
the agreement are linked to financial draft-laws.The legislative session is set
for November 12 and 13 amid the boycott of the Kataeb Party because it rejects
carrying out any legislation in the absence of a president.
Khalil Credits Legislative Session Settlement to 'Mustaqbal-LF Political
Commitment'
Naharnet/November 12/15/Finance Minister Ali Hassan Khalil expressed his
optimism over the upcoming legislative session, reported the daily al-Mustaqbal
on Thursday. He told the daily: “The consensual agreement over the meeting can
be attributed to the political commitment between the Mustaqbal Movement and the
Lebanese Forces.” “A political commitment however does not mean that a
legislative commitment will be made at parliament, especially over the electoral
law,” he added. “This means that the agreement between the two sides does not
obligate Speaker Nabih Berri to refrain from holding a legislative session
without this draft-law,” explained the minister. The LF and Free Patriotic
Movement announced on Wednesday that they will be attending the legislative
session after weeks of speculation that they will boycott it over the failure to
include the parliamentary electoral law on its agenda. “All disputes over the
agenda of the parliamentary session have been resolved and a comprehensive
agreement has been reached over them – the nationality law, the municipalities
law, the electoral law and other minor issues,” said FPM chief MP Michel Aoun.
The session will be held on Thursday and Friday.The Kataeb Party will be the
sole absentee from the meeting over its rejection to carry out any legislation
in light of the ongoing presidential vacuum.
Mustaqbal-Hizbullah Dialogue Postponed to Friday
Naharnet/November 12/15/The next round of talks between the Mustaqbal Movement
and Hizbullah has been rescheduled for Friday, reported al-Mustaqbal daily on
Thursday. The meeting was set to be held on Thursday, but was postponed due to
the officials' commitment to the legislative session held at parliament. The
dialogue between the two rival parties will take place at Speaker Nabih Berri's
residence of Ain el-Tineh.
Franjieh Mocks 'Don Quixotic Victory', Says Christians Win if 'Fair' Electoral
Law Passed
Naharnet/November 12/15/Marada Movement leader MP Suleiman Franjieh stressed
Wednesday that what achieves a “victory” for Christians is the approval of a
“fair” electoral law, dismissing the legislative settlement that was reached
earlier in the day as a “Don Quixotic triumph.” “The move that achieves a
victory for Christians is the approval of an electoral law, not slogans, and
what happened today was a 'Don Quixotic victory',” said Franjieh in an interview
on MTV. Earlier, Change and Reform bloc chief MP Michel Aoun and Lebanese Forces
leader Samir Geagea announced that their parliamentary blocs will take part in
Thursday's much-anticipated legislative session after a political "settlement"
was reached over the controversial issues. Aoun described what happened as a
“happy day” for the Lebanese as Geagea called it a “victory for
everyone.”Al-Mustaqbal movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri had earlier on
Wednesday announced that Mustaqbal will attend the session due to the pressing
nature of the financial draft laws, vowing that “after Thursday's session, the
movement will not attend any legislative session that will not be aimed at
addressing the parliamentary electoral draft-law.”
Franjieh questioned the motives behind Hariri's move. “Hariri's step is aimed at
paralyzing parliament in response to the paralysis of the cabinet,” he told MTV.
He added: “The electoral law battle will be won when we approve an electoral law
that is fair for Christians.”“Christian parties have not agreed on a certain
electoral law,” he pointed out. “The Christians' interest lies in clinging to
their rights, not to issues that dismay others,” he said. Franjieh also stressed
that the electoral law should be “Lebanese” and that it cannot be devised by “a
single camp or a single sect without the others.” “The electoral law is a
sensitive issue and we should address it around the dialogue table,” he went on
to say. Turning to the relation with Aoun, Franjieh added: “We share General
Aoun's view that it is dangerous to elect a president without consensus and this
also applies to the issue of the electoral law.”“If anyone tries to harm Michel
Aoun, I will not tolerate that, but I believe that I should not start an
unwarranted dispute with Speaker (Nabih) Berri today,” he said. He also voiced
his belief that the latest developments “have not affected the relation between
Aoun and Hizbullah.”Separately, Franjieh noted that he is against “obstructing”
the work of parliament and cabinet, emphasizing that “people's vital issues must
be addressed.”Earlier in the day, Aoun said that all disputes over the agenda of
Thursday's parliamentary session have been resolved. “A comprehensive agreement
has been reached over them – the nationality law, the municipalities law, the
electoral law and other minor issues,” he said. Tensions had peaked between
Christian parties who had threatened to boycott the legislative session and
other political blocs who announced that they will attend it, which raised fears
over its potential postponement. Berri had justified his decision to exclude the
draft electoral law from the legislative session's agenda, saying that this
issue “needs a national agreement that does not exist.” The Christian blocs of
the LF and the FPM had warned that they would not attend the meeting over the
failure to include the electoral draft-law on the agenda. The Kataeb Party has
announced that it will not attend the session due to the ongoing presidential
vacuum. The dispute over the electoral law dates back to 2013 when the political
parties failed to agree on a new one, resulting in parliament extending its own
term and postponing the elections.
Parliament again extended its term last year over the same dispute.
Saudi Executes Murderer,
147th Death Sentence this Year
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 12/15/Saudi Arabia on Thursday executed
one of its citizens convicted of murder, adding to a toll which rights group
Amnesty International says is the kingdom's highest in two decades. Nasser al-Qahtani
was put to death in Eastern Province after being convicted of shooting dead
another Saudi, the interior ministry said in a statement. According to Agence
France Presse tallies, he is the 147th local or foreigner put to death this
year, against 87 for all of 2014. Reasons for the surge are unclear, but it
coincides with the accession to power in January of King Salman, his powerful
son Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, and the veteran Interior Minister
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Nayef. London-based Amnesty on Monday put the number
of executions at 151 this year, the highest since 192 people were put to death
in 1995. The toll has rarely exceeded 90 annually in recent years, it said.
"Death sentences in Saudi Arabia are frequently imposed for non-lethal offences,
such as drug-related ones, and after unfair trials," the watchdog said.Saudi
executions are usually carried out by beheading with a sword, in what the
interior ministry says is a deterrent.
Eight Civilians Killed in Egypt's Sinai
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 12/15/Gunmen killed eight
civilians, including a child, in Egypt's Sinai peninsula where the army is
battling a jihadist insurgency, medical and security sources said Thursday.
Unidentified armed men shot and killed seven men and a four-year-old child in
their home in El-Arish in North Sinai on Wednesday night, a security official
said. The source said the victims, who were from the town of Rafah on the border
with the Gaza Strip and lived near a police station, had been killed for
cooperating with the security forces. The eight bodies were taken Thursday
morning to a hospital in El-Arish, an official there said. Egypt's affiliate of
the Islamic State jihadist group has previously claimed to have executed several
Sinai inhabitants that it accused of being informants for the security forces.
The jihadist group also claimed to have downed the Russian Metrojet A-321 plane
over the Sinai on October 31, killing all 224 people on board. Cairo says
militants have killed hundreds of police and soldiers since 2013, when the army
ousted Islamist president Mohamed Morsi. The army has regularly announced the
death or capture of jihadists since it launched an offensive against them in
2012, but its figures cannot be independently verified.
Saudi King Has 'Full Confidence' in Egypt Security
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 12/15/Saudi King Salman has expressed
"full confidence" in Egyptian security measures, ordering Riyadh's national
airline to continue flights to Sharm el-Sheikh despite suspicions a bomb downed
a Russian jet flying from the resort. An ally of Egypt's President Abdel Fattah
al-Sisi, the king "directed Saudi Arabian Airlines to continue running flights
to Sharm el-Sheikh from Riyadh and Jeddah in support of tourism in the Arab
Republic of Egypt," the Saudi Press Agency reported Thursday. "The king stressed
full confidence in Egyptian security, army and government," it said. Sisi on
Wednesday promised a transparent probe and cautioned against hasty conclusions
over what brought down the Metrojet Airbus A321 over Egypt's Sinai peninsula on
October 31, killing all 224 people on board. The Islamic State jihadist group's
Sinai branch claimed responsibility, but has not explained how it carried out
the attack.Britain suspended flights to Sharm el-Sheikh after saying it feared a
bomb caused the disaster and voicing concerns over airport security at the Red
Sea resort. Russia also halted all fights to Egypt. Egypt's tourism industry,
vital to its economy, has already suffered from years of political instability
and attacks claimed by jihadists. Saudi Arabia has offered billions of dollars
in aid to Egypt since the 2013 ouster of Islamist president Mohamed Morsi. Sisi
was in Riyadh this week for a summit of Arab and South American states. During
his visit, ministers from the two countries signed a document to create a
council for implementing the so-called Cairo Declaration agreed to in late July.
The declaration aims to boost military and economic ties.
Kerry Tells U.N. Two-State Solution 'not Impossible Dream'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 12/15/U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry
told an Israeli gathering at the United Nations on Wednesday that a two-state
solution in the Middle East was "not an impossible dream" but would require
courage. Kerry traveled to U.N. headquarters in New York to attend a
commemoration of the 1975 speech delivered by Israeli ambassador Chaim Herzog
denouncing a U.N. resolution that declared Zionism a form of racism. "The
Zionist dream embraces the concept of Israel as a Jewish democracy, a beacon of
light to all nations," Kerry told the event. "That dream can only be upheld by
two states living side by side in security. "We all know from years of
discussion and efforts: this is not an impossible dream. It is achievable."His
remarks followed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's visit to Washington
this week that saw little signs of progress in efforts to revive
Israeli-Palestinian peace talks. Those talks have been comatose since Kerry's
failed peace mission in April last year. Kerry argued that choosing to recognize
a Palestinian state "demands courage, demands leadership" and likened that
choice to Herzog's actions at the U.N. 40 years ago. "Fear and bigotry can be
defeated, but those are choices we now get to make. So now it's our turn." The
call for an Israeli-Palestinian settlement resonated at the United Nations,
where reviving the peace process is becoming a top agenda item at the Security
Council. Council members are weighing a draft resolution, presented by New
Zealand, that declares the two-state solution as "the only credible pathway to
peace" and demands that both sides prepare for new talks. International
diplomats desperately want to revive peace talks to avoid a slide into more
violence that many fear could lead to a third Palestinian intifada. A weeks-long
wave of violence has claimed the lives of at least 77 people on the Palestinian
side -- one of them an Israeli Arab -- along with 10 Israelis. Many of the
Palestinians killed were alleged attackers.
Italian Police Announce
International Swoop on 'Jihadist Network'
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/November 12/15/Italian police on Thursday
announced a swoop on a European jihadist network that was allegedly planning to
try to spring its leader out of detention in Norway. Seventeen people were
targeted in the raids across Europe -- 16 Kurds and a Kosovan. Six of them have
been arrested in Italy, four in Britain and three in Norway.Several members of
the group have traveled to Iraq and Syria to fight for the Islamic State group,
police said. Investigators said the network was trying to free Norway-based
fundamentalist preacher Najmuddin Ahmad Faraj -- also known as Mullah Krekar --
who is listed as a terrorist by the United States and United Nations. Giovanni
Governale of the Italian police's Special Operations Group told journalists the
operation had "dismantled an integrated cell that included -- in addition to
Italy -- Britain, Norway, Finland, Switzerland and Germany". The network
developed "on the 'dark web', little-known (Internet) platforms that we have
managed to penetrate," Governale said, adding that the swoop has allowed police
to scupper "a process of recruitment, of sending (fighters) into combat abroad".
Governale said the network "was about to continue sending many other jihadists
abroad; it was about to carry out attacks, including suicide bombings, to try to
free their chief, Mullah Krekar".The 59-year-old, a Kurdish Iraqi, has been
living in Norway since 1991. He has been at risk of deportation since 2003 after
Norwegian authorities ordered him to be expelled as a threat to national
security. While courts have upheld the ruling, Norwegian law bars him from being
deported to Iraq, where he risks the death penalty. Krekar also founded the
radical Islamist group Ansar al-Islam, but insists he has not led it since 2002.
Israeli Defense Forces tests new precision artillery shell
Yoav Zitun/Ynetnews/Published: 11.12.15/The IDF has successfully tested a new,
classified artillery shell recently, which the army says could be used to take
out a terrorist cell holed up in a room without endangering troops by sending
them in. The shell, which can penetrate through concrete walls, is currently in
advanced stages of development. The test was conducted in the heart of central
Israel, at a huge firing range where the army tries out all IDF weaponry.
Cameras installed for the test captured it from multiple angles and in slow
motion, in order to carefully examine every stage. The IDF's Artillery Corps is
expected to undergo a complete overhaul in the coming years, with the retirement
of outdated systems and deployment of more and more precision-guided munitions.
"Dumb" shells will still be used to soften targets, provide cover for ground
troops, and other functions – but the army has already begun using more
precision munitions as a cheap, quick and readily available substitute to Air
Force missiles and bombing. This year, the IDF successfully tested the
GPS-guided "Lance" rocket – a test shown in a video first published on Ynet.
"Every weapon, from 5.56 millimeter bullet used in soldiers' rifles to tanks, is
tested and inspected before it reaches the troops," a senior IDF officer told
Ynet. "Every bullet or surveillance device goes through an arduous series of
tests before it is given to troops in order to assure its quality and
reliability."
Report: Air force struck near Damascus airport
Roi Kais/Ynetnews/Published: 11.11.15/Israel's air force conducted strikes in
the vicinity of the Damascus airport, claimed a number of media outlets linked
to Syrian opposition groups on Wednesday. The source of the reports was unknown
and they were not confirmed by any official bodies in Syria or Israel. The
reports described pre-dawn loud explosions at the airport and rising pillars of
smoke, while electricity went out completely. It was further reported that
flights were temporarily halted for no known reason. The major Arab-language
media outlets had not reported the purported incident as of publication. Neither
had any official media outlets belonging to the Assad regime. But a Facebook
page linked to the regime did say that a military post near the airport had been
attacked before dawn and that it was believed to be the work of Israel's air
force. Photos were later posted that allegedly depicted damage from this attack,
and the account also claimed there had been no loss of life. About two weeks
ago, social media accounts linked with Syrian opposition groups reported that
Israeli military aircraft had conducted two airstrikes on Hezbollah and Syrian
army positions in the Damascus suburb of al-Qalamoun.
Rouhani: US apology to Iranian people is condition for restoring relations
REUTERS/11/12/2015/ROME - The nuclear deal reached between world powers and Iran
could lead to better relations between Tehran and Washington if the United
States apologised for past behaviour, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani was
quoted as saying on Thursday. The pragmatist president, who championed the July
14 deal, has pushed for closer engagement with the West since his 2013 landslide
election win.But Iran's top authority, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei,
has continued to rule out normalizing ties with the "Great Satan," as he
routinely calls the United States. In an interview with Italy's Corriere della
Sera newspaper, Rouhani suggested that the United States and Iran could open
embassies in each other's capitals after decades of mutual hostility, but said
Washington should apologize, without going into further detail."One day these
embassies will re-open but what counts is behaviour and the Americans hold the
key to this," Rouhani told the newspaper ahead of a trip to Italy this weekend,
his first to a European capital. "If they modify their policies, correct errors
committed in these 37 years and apologize to the Iranian people, the situation
will change and good things can happen." Iran and Washington severed ties
shortly after the 1979 Islamic revolution when radical students seized the US
embassy in Tehran and held 52 Americans hostage for over a year. Relations came
under further pressure in the last decade over Iran's nuclear ambitions. Under
the nuclear deal reached in July, Iran will curb its nuclear program in exchange
for an easing of sanctions on its economy. Tehran denied Western suspicions it
wanted to develop an atomic bomb. Khamenei, who has the final say on all state
matters, gave his conditional approval to the deal with six world powers
including the United States, but has warned against allowing any US political or
economic influence on Iran. Rouhani said Washington would have to fulfil its
part in the nuclear accord for relations to improve. The United States approved
conditional sanctions waivers for Iran, though these will not take effect until
Tehran has complied with the nuclear accord. "The way this agreement is applied
can have an impact on the future," Rouhani said in the interview. "If it is well
applied it can lay the foundation for fewer tensions with the United States,
creating the conditions to open a new era. But if the Americans don't respect
their part of the nuclear accord, then surely our relationship will remain as it
has been in the past," he said. Rouhani is due to see the Italian prime minister
and business leaders during his Nov. 14-15 visit to Rome and will also hold
talks with Pope Francis. He will then fly to Paris for talks on Nov. 16-17.
Iraq Kurds Launch Major Offensive to Retake Sinjar from IS
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/November 12/15/Iraqi Kurdish forces backed by
U.S.-led strikes launched a major operation Thursday to retake the town of
Sinjar from the Islamic State group and cut a key supply line to Syria. Severing
the supply line would hamper the jihadists' ability to move fighters and
supplies between northern Iraq and Syria, two countries where IS has overrun
significant territory. And retaking Sinjar -- where IS carried out a brutal
campaign of killings, enslavement and rape against the Yazidi religious minority
-- would also be an important symbolic victory. "The attack began at 7:00 am
(0400 GMT), and the (Kurdish) peshmerga forces advanced on several axes to
liberate the center of the Sinjar district," Major General Ezzeddine Saadun told
AFP. Columns of smoke rose over the town from US-led coalition strikes and
Kurdish shelling against IS positions in Sinjar, an AFP journalist said.
Peshmerga Major General Hashem Seetayi said that Kurdish forces had regained
multiple villages north of Sinjar. The autonomous Kurdish region's security
council said up to 7,500 Kurdish fighters would take part in the operation,
which aims to retake Sinjar "and establish a significant buffer zone to protect
the (town) and its inhabitants from incoming artillery."
"Coalition warplanes will provide close air support to peshmerga forces
throughout the operation," it said. The U.S.-led coalition carried out six
strikes in the Sinjar area on Tuesday, and five more across the border in
Syria's Al-Hol area. Kurdish forces face an estimated 300 to 400 jihadists in
the town, Captain Chance McCraw, a U.S. military intelligence officer, told
journalists in Baghdad. But it is not just the jihadist fighters they will have
to contend with: IS has had more than a year to build up networks of bombs,
berms and other obstacles in Sinjar. "This is part of the isolation of Mosul,"
Colonel Steve Warren, spokesman for the international operation against IS, said
of the battle for Sinjar, referring to the jihadists' main hub in northern Iraq.
"Sinjar sits astride Highway 47, which is a key and critical resupply route"
linking Mosul with Syria, Warren said in Baghdad. "By seizing Sinjar, we'll be
able to cut that line of communication, which we believe will constrict (IS's)
ability to resupply themselves, and is a critical first step in the eventual
liberation of Mosul."
The fact that the Sinjar operation comes at the same time as others against IS
in Iraq and Syria also increases pressure on the group. "It paralyzes the enemy,
right -- he's gotta make very tough decisions now on who does he reinforce,"
Warren said. In conjunction with the Sinjar operation, fighters from the Syrian
Democratic Forces group are battling IS across the border in the Al-Hol area.
And Syrian regime forces broke a year-long IS siege of a military air base in
the country's north on Tuesday with backing from Russian air strikes. After
seizing Mosul and driving south toward Baghdad in a disastrously effective
offensive in June 2014, IS again turned its attention to northern Iraq, pushing
Kurdish forces back toward their regional capital Arbil. IS overran the Sinjar
area in August 2014, attacking Yazidis in what the United Nations has described
as a possible genocide. Thousands of Yazidis fled to Mount Sinjar, which
overlooks the town, and were trapped there by IS. Aiding them was one of
Washington's main justifications for starting its air campaign against IS last
year. International forces are also advising and training Iraqi forces, and
American troops took part in a joint raid with the peshmerga last month in which
a U.S. soldier was killed. With support from international strikes, Kurdish
forces have managed to regain significant ground from IS, and have been
positioned on Mount Sinjar at the edge of town for months, with as little as 50
meters (yards) separating them from the militants.
But they had been concerned that retaking Sinjar would require a major
deployment beyond it to protect it from artillery fire. "That's absolutely been
addressed... There are enemy forces in towns south of Sinjar. We're gonna
isolate those with fires," said Warren, referring to strikes.
Sinai plane crash: Why is Putin so silent?
Efraim Halevy/Ynetnews/Published: 11.12.15/Since the Russian passenger plane
crashed in Sinai more than 10 days ago, Vladimir Putin has appeared only once on
Russian media. In a short eulogy on television, he offered his condolences for
the death of the 224 passengers, and has not been seen on the media since. Such
a silence is uncharacteristic of the Russian president's style. Putin recently
gave an interview in the city of Sochi, where he participated in an
international conference which was also attended by officials from the academic
world. One of the American academics asked how he had decided to launch the
battle to regain control of the Crimea Peninsula, and Putin responded that it
was a spontaneous decision - he didn't consult his people about it and issued
orders for the operation stage by stage. He was surprised by its tremendous
success himself, he said.
Russian Power
Analysis: Russian president seeks to enhance his country's influence in the
region through his alliance with Assad: A dangerous gamble, but Israel need not
worry for the moment. Full analysis Putin is not afraid of making decisions and
taking risks. If he is stalling now, it means that complicated aspects require
him to consider his moves before deciding on a response. The announcement made
by Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, who admitted Monday that the crash may have
been a terror attack, only emphasized the president's silence.
The Russian leader has been caught in a situation he does not want to be in.
First of all, he was surprised: He wasn't expecting such a blow. Putin prefers
to surprise. He has been quoted as saying that he learned from his experience On
the streets of St. Petersburg that a person who is destined to fight should show
up first on the battlefield and take initiative. He believes this strategy has
proved itself in recent years in the Middle East as well. In Syria, Russia seems
to have succeeded in leading so far, while the United States is perceived as
responding with hesitant moves.
In Putin's eyes, the march of leaders to Moscow, from his clear allies in Iran
to his rivals on Syrian soil - Saudi Arabia's representatives - demonstrated the
change in Russia's standing in the region. He was even crowned the strongest
leader in the world in an international survey conducted recently, while US
President Barack Obama was pushed back. While Putin remained silent, Obama and
other Western officials declared that there was a high probability that the
plane crash was a terror attack carried out by the Islamic State. Western media
sources reported of evidence confirming this assumption, allegedly using
classified intelligence information. These reports pushed the Russians into a
corner, and Putin had no other choice but to order the suspension of Russian
civil flights to Sinai. Putin is apparently still internalizing the meaning of
the disaster, for him and for his policy, and is taking a timeout for this
purpose. There is nothing coincidental in Russia. On November 9, Sergei Chemezov,
the chief executive of a Russian state-owned defense conglomerate, announced
that the contract to supply Iran with S-300 surface-to-air missile systems had
not only been signed but had already reached the execution stage. Israel waged a
difficult battle against the deal for years, and it is definitely unhappy with
this move. Chemezov is a senior figure in Putin's internal circle and has been a
personal friend of the Russian president since the two served together in the
KGB in East Germany. He is included on the list of officials subject to personal
sanctions by the US for their involvement in the Ukraine issue. Chemezov spoke
during a visit to an aerial exhibition in Dubai and his comments created a buzz
in the Persian Gulf's sensitive area. It was a "we are still here!" type of
declaration.
The options Putin is facing are not easy
. If he responds powerfully, while escalating the Russian involvement in Syria,
he will risk increasing the losses in the fighting and creating objection among
the public opinion in his country. If he ignores the incident, he will risk
losing his international and internal prestige, and the initial, aggressive
effect of reinforcing the Russian presence in Syria could disappear. The plane
disaster exposed vulnerability in an area Russia never imagined. Solving this
operational problem is not simple, and Putin is likely losing sleep over the
threat to uncover new weak spots.
Efraim Halevy is a former Mossad chief.
European hypocrisy: Why single Israel out?
Ofir Haivry/Ynetnews/Published: 11.11.15
The public debate in Israel over the European Union's initiative to label
Israeli products manufactured beyond the Green Line usually avoids addressing
the most troubling aspect of the initiative: The fact that of all the regions in
the world subject to a certain sovereignty conflict, the EU has only chosen to
label products originating in the area of conflict related to the Jewish state.
There are thousands of regions around the world subject to a certain sovereignty
conflict, and in hundreds of them the EU itself does not recognize the sovereign
government. In many of these regions, there are even United Nations resolutions
which define them as "occupied" or "conflict regions." Of all these, Europe
chooses to label products from one region only.
Fighting Labels
US senators to EU: Don’t label Israeli products / Yitzhak Benhorin
Following overwhelming vote in EU to label products from settlements, senators
warn that initiative sets ‘troubling precedent’ and urges not to implement it.
Tibet was an independent state for many years, until it was occupied by the
Chinese army in 1958 and unilaterally annexed by Beijing. The Tibetan government
led by the Dalai Lama was exiled, and the Tibetan people have since been subject
to a cruel occupation regime that is trying to annihilate their culture. Has the
EU demanded that China label products manufactured in occupied Tibet?
In 1975, when Spanish colonial rule ended in the Western Sahara colony, Morocco
invaded the region and unilaterally annexed it. Since then, the Plisario Front
has been waging an ongoing struggle to liberate the country from the Moroccan
occupation, which has led to the exile of hundreds of thousands of Sahrawis from
their country and established settlements with a Moroccan population. The UN
does not recognize the Moroccan occupation of the region, and the African Union
has even suspended Morocco's membership in the organization for its invasion of
the region. Has the EU demanded that Morocco label products manufactured in the
occupied Western Sahara region?
In 1974, the Turkish army invaded Northern Cyprus, expelled hundreds of
thousands of Greek speakers from the region and established the Turkish Republic
of Northern Cyprus, while the southern part of the Island is ruled by the
Cypriot government which is recognized by all international institutions. The
Cypriot case is particularly significant because in 2004 Cyprus joined the EU,
so the Turkish occupation in Northern Cyprus is taking place on sovereign
European territory. Is the EU demanding that Turkey label products manufactured
in its Northern Cyprus "republic"?
In 2014, Russia annexed the Crimean Peninsula, after taking over the region
militarily and conducting a "referendum" there. The world, including Europe of
course, does not recognize the referendum or the annexation. Has the EU demanded
that Russia label products manufactured in annexed Crimea?
There is not enough room to cover all the cases around the world and in Europe
itself, but the pictures seems clear. If the answer to all these questions is
no, there is no escape from the conclusion that while the EU has failed to
impose separate labeling in all the discussed areas, it has chosen to label
Jewish products only.
Under 50' Iranians killed
in Syria
Arash Karami/Al-Monitor/November 12/15
Rear Adm. Ali Shamkhani, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council,
has been making the media rounds lately, giving interviews about the latest
developments in Syria, Iranian-Arab relations and the status of Iran’s removal
of centrifuges under its nuclear deal with six world powers.
In his latest interview, the former defense minister under Reformist President
Mohammad Khatami spoke Nov. 11 to the Iran-funded Arabic news channel Al-Alam.
Shamkhani said the rising death toll in Syria of Iranian soldiers, which he
referred to as "advisers," is due to the increasing number of battles taking
place. In late September, Russian planes began assisting the Syrian army on the
ground in large-scale offensives to retake land in Aleppo and other parts of the
country.
Shamkhani put the number of Iranians killed in recent battles at “under 50.”
Despite the relatively high death toll, Iranian officials have shown no signs of
changing policy.
“The primary goal is to free the Syrian people from the claws of terrorists, and
this will continue in whatever form until the correct outcome is reached,” Gen.
Hossein Salami, deputy commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said
Nov. 11.
Commenting on the ongoing Vienna talks about Syria, Shamkhani said two goals
must be considered: fighting terrorism and allowing the Syrian people to decide
their own fate through elections. Iran participated in the last round of Vienna
talks Oct. 30, but it is not clear whether Iran will attend the next round, set
for this week. Deputy Foreign Minister for Arab and African Affairs Hossein
Amir-Abdollahian said Nov. 11 that Iran’s participation depends on whether the
United States will answer for its “one-sided behavior without consulting other
sides.”
The Syrian civil war has polarized the region, as many countries support and
fund their own proxies, with Iran and Saudi Arabia at opposing ends. Shamkhani
said Saudi money is playing a significant role in Syria. He accused Saudi Arabia
of funding terrorists who attacked a Shiite procession in October in Iran,
killing two people. He also accused Saudi Arabia of using its resources and
money to “mobilize Arabs against Iran.”
However, Shamkhani denied the existence of Iranian-Arab tensions, especially
with Arab countries in the Persian Gulf, saying that Iran has good relations
with Kuwait, Qatar and Oman. Shamkhani, who is of Arab descent and the only
Iranian to receive the Order of Abdul-Aziz Al Saud for his role improving
Iranian-Arab relations, said, “We have no problems with Arabs or with
Iranian-Arab talks.” He added that Iran’s only problem with some neighbors is
that they implement policies at the order of foreign powers.
On the nuclear deal, state media outlets reported Nov. 10 that Shamkhani said
Iran had stopped dismantling its centrifuges. The statement made headlines both
in Iranian and Western media. On Nov. 11, however, Shamkhani denied saying so,
adding that Iran is committed to implementing the nuclear deal, which requires
it to dismantle a number of centrifuges to receive sanctions relief.
Has Syria been a military success for Iran?
Abbas Qaidaari/Al-Monitor/November 12/15
TEHRAN, Iran — Brig. Gen. Hossein Salami, Iran's deputy commander of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), has made it known his country is ready to take
on all comers and is stepping up its role in the Syrian war.We ourselves are
dictating the new literature [and language] of Muslims’ struggle [against the
West]. … Therefore, we should be ready to manage multiple direct, and proxy,
wars,” Salami said at the National Civil Defense conference Oct. 28 in Tehran.
He also recently noted in a program broadcast by Iranian state television, “Our
[IRGC] presence in Syria has increased in both quality and quantity.”
Through Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran is trying to reach a
peaceful agreement with the world powers on Syria. However, it is simultaneously
pursuing a strategy of engaging in direct military combat against its
adversaries in Syria and Iraq. Despite widespread censorship, news about the
deaths of IRGC members in Syria is reported extensively in Iran.
It is well known that IRGC members are present in Syria and have taken up an
advisory role to President Bashar al-Assad's military. However, Iranian
officials have repeatedly denied that Iran is sending military aid. Yet in a
report aired by Iran’s Arabic-language Al-Alam news network, images of Iranian
Safir military vehicles, anti-bunker cannons, multiple-launch rocket systems and
Iranian-made armor could be seen briefly on the southern fronts of Aleppo.
In view of recent disclosures by Salami, it appears the Syrian army during the
past few months has been relying on IRGC advisory assistance to fundamentally
change its military strategy and combat organization.
Syria has a conventional army that relies on Soviet and Russian combat
doctrines. In this regard, the roles and strength of artillery and armored units
are quite apparent. However, since the armed opposition has been equipped with
TOW anti-tank missiles, the weaknesses of the Syrian army have become more
visible. Therefore, it appears that senior Syrian army commanders have decided
to employ the Iranian combat doctrine.
The type of weapons and forces Iran is sending to Syria indicates that we are
about to see a changed Syrian army. For instance, Iran has not sent its air
force or missile and armored units to Syria. Instead, Iran has dispatched
tactical weapons such as Safir vehicles, Zelzal tactical rockets and special
brigades such as Fatemiyoun and Hezbollah of Lebanon. It appears that the
approach favored by IRGC commanders has been more effective than that of its
Syrian counterparts. These days, it is evident that Iranian forces, alongside
Hezbollah, Fatemiyoun and the Syrian military, are taking part in large-scale
offensive operations with the support of the Russian air force. The target is
armed opposition in cities such as Aleppo, Homs, Damascus and Qalamoun. So what
is Iran’s active strategy in Syria and what are that strategy's characteristics?
Since the 1980s, Iran has been well aware of the difference between fighting
against a conventional army and fighting a civil war. This is why recently slain
Gen. Hossein Hamedani, who had participated in the war with militants in Iranian
Kurdistan, was chosen to be sent to Syria. Indeed, the independent and “mosaic”
nature of the advisory unit of the IRGC’s foreign operations branch — the Quds
Force — as well as the Fatemiyoun, Hezbollah of Lebanon and Defenders of the
Shrine Brigades shows that Iran has indeed implanted a so-called “mosaic”
strategy in Syria. This strategy, which has been implemented by the IRGC in
Iran, refers to a flexible and layered tactic with divided command and control.
The aim is to “strengthen unit cohesion at the local level and give commanders
more latitude to respond to potential threats.”
The Syrian army has experienced extensive sieges in various areas, including
Aleppo Prison. These experiences have shown that its units are not capable of
carrying out offensive and defensive operations. At the same time, Hezbollah
forces as well as the Fatemiyoun have made it apparent during numerous
conflicts, such as the one that took place in the Zainabia region of Damascus,
that by using a mosaic strategy, they can resist and maintain defense lines
without having to depend on backup units. Therefore, it is probable that instead
of continuing with the traditional style of dividing the army into infantry,
armor and artillery, the Syrian army has now decided to use a combination of
infantry forces, rangers, armor and artillery forces in each region alongside
independent Hezbollah and Fatemiyoun battalions as well as Iranian commanders.
It is well known that there are Afghan, Iraqi, Iranian and Lebanese forces
present in Syria. However, Salami has made it clear that Iran has based
Pakistani forces in Syria as well. The armed forces that fight against Assad’s
army have one thing in common: Their members come from a variety of
nationalities. Because of the fatwas issued by the Sunni ulama (religious
authorities), Muslims from Indonesia to the United States have gone to Syria to
take part in what is referred to as a holy war, or jihad. It appears that the
Islamic Republic is now also operating based on a similar fatwa and is
organizing Shiite forces from the region and sending them to Syria to take part
in a jihad, too. Such a scenario, if public opinion accepts it, can make up for
the lack of human resources in the Syrian army and also lend religious
legitimacy to Assad’s side.
Iran views the US, Europe, NATO, most Gulf Cooperation Council states, Egypt and
Jordan as direct threats. On the other hand, Iran also considers the cooperation
of its neighbors such as Azerbaijan, Pakistan, Turkmenistan and Turkey with the
US and the West as a potential threat. Bearing in mind the UN Security Council
sanctions on Iran and the stalled delivery of Russian S-300 air defense
missiles, it is evident that Russia does not have a good record when it comes to
Iran, either. Therefore, looking at the situation from Tehran’s point of view,
the only reliable allies of Iran in the region are the Iraqi and Syrian
governments, as well as Hezbollah. Geopolitically, the survival of this “Shiite
Crescent” is dependent on the survival of Assad’s Alawite regime. While willing
to sit down and negotiate with the world powers over its nuclear program, Iran
is not willing to endanger its vital and strategic interests in the region.
Therefore, just as Salami noted, Iran is capable of participating in direct, and
proxy, wars in the future.
What is Islamic Jihad's role in the intifada?
Asmaa al-Ghoul/Al-Monitor/November 12/15
GAZA CITY, Gaza Strip — Within the last month, the Islamic Jihad has organized
more than nine rallies in the Gaza Strip in support of the intifada that began
in early October in East Jerusalem and the West Bank. In the past, the movement
had typically organized rallies with other Palestinian factions, such as Hamas
and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine. The current rallies
organized independently are not part of a military initiative or a border
confrontation, but in fact go beyond any demarcation line of Israeli forces in
supporting and energizing the intifada from afar. For instance, one rally was
called Hebron Martyrs’ Friday, which is also reflective of the group's adopted
practice of individually naming marches held every Friday. Khaled al-Batsh, an
Islamic Jihad leader, told Al-Monitor, “There is no confrontation along the
occupation lines in the Gaza Strip, unlike in the West Bank, as we do not have
checkpoints such as Tulkarm and Tarqumia [where confrontations are taking
place]. We consider our movement to be political, not military.”
Movement spokesman Daoud Shihab, sitting in his office in Gaza City, explained,
“It is wrong to talk about rocket firings from the Gaza Strip now. Let us allow
the intifada to run its course, within the framework of popular resistance.” He
added, however, “But in principle, we have not ruled out the use of arms, as we
are at the heart of a resistance action. Taking up arms will come at the right
time.”
Batsh confirmed this perspective, stating, “It is a mistake to believe that Gaza
is scared. The resistance is only respecting the current stage and its
requirements.” He continued, “In the Islamic Jihad movement, we support this
broad form of struggle and intifada in Jerusalem and the West Bank cities. We
also support the tools used, including the slings and the stones, the burning of
tires and the use of knives. These are forms of mass popular resistance, and we
respect and support them as they are playing the required roles.”
Batsh stressed that any altering of the current form of resistance will depend
on what practices Israel pursues. For example, in the case of a mass killing,
there will be a military response. Batsch remarked, “If we, the people, are
asked to change the current form of resistance, then we are ready to do that.
But we believe that the intifada is thus far playing its role as it has managed
to show Israel’s madness, especially insofar as [Prime Minister Benjamin]
Netanyahu's remarks about the Holocaust are concerned. They have sparked
international censure.”
Shihab said that, in his view, Israel is trying to get out of the current crisis
by resorting to a military escalation against Gaza, but that the Islamic Jihad
is keen to deny Israel any excuse to escalate. “The world will see how
involvement of the Islamic Jihad’s military capabilities is not limited to
rockets,” said Shihab. “If Israel resorts to escalation, then we will be the
first to respond to the attacks. In this case, the truce that Israel failed to
respect will be truly devoid of any value, but we are so far keen on keeping the
intifada within a populist framework. Rockets are a tool of resistance, and the
resistance knows when rockets should be used. We, in the Islamic Jihad movement,
are not fans of war.”
The recent headlines of Alestqlal, the Islamic Jihad's biweekly newspaper, have
focused on the movement's target in a clear and organized show of support for
the intifada. For example, a headline on Oct. 15 read, “Jerusalem’s intifada:
Resist! Your hands are as powerful as a hurricane!” The same issue included a
picture of two young men throwing stones and 12 other headlines for stories
analyzing related events. A headline for the Nov. 5 edition read, “The will of
the people.”
The Islamic Jihad's message has been both clear and strong in print, on the
Internet and on the radio. Its affiliated Al-Quds radio station broadcast more
than 33 reports about the intifada within 40 days. These actions complement a
set of other political and morale-boosting activities organized by the movement.
Batsh noted, “There are daily events organized by the Islamic Jihad movement.
These include marches for the support of the intifada across the districts of
the Gaza Strip. Also, we have asked people to only raise the flag of Palestine
and to wear the Palestinian scarf. We also organized joint meetings with the
Palestinian factions, including Hamas and Fatah, and established a special
committee consisting of the national and Islamic factions to follow up on
activities aimed at supporting the intifada.”
Both Shihab and Batsh told Al-Monitor that the movement's young people are at
the heart of the intifada. It was Muhannad al-Halabi, an Islamic Jihad member,
who sparked the intifada with a stabbing and shooting on Oct. 3. Shihab said,
“In one night only [Oct. 7], 21 young people from the Islamic Jihad cadres were
arrested, including 17 youths from the city of Hebron.” He stressed that the
intifada is devoid of factions or parties, with youths from different political
affiliations displaying complete unity.
Hassan Abdo, a political analyst with close ties to the Islamic Jihad, said that
the movement rejects the militarization of the intifada but is in favor of
arming Palestinians. He explained to Al-Monitor that carrying arms is different
from militarization, as it creates a more secure environment that prevents
settlement expansion and thwarts Israel's complete seizure of the West Bank and
Jerusalem.
He stressed that military intervention and rocket firing could weaken the
intifada, the main strength of which lies in the West Bank and Jerusalem. It
could also lead to an escalation and a potential war in Gaza, which would move
the spotlight away from the West Bank.
“The Islamic Jihad movement is heavily represented in the intifada and is
organizing several marches. Also, it was youths from the movement who started
the stabbing operations, namely, Halabi and Moataz Hijazi. The Islamic Jihad was
the only movement that used the word 'intifada' from the very beginning instead
of ‘popular uprising,’” Abdo said.
Baghdad is the secret to
ISIS victory
Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya?November 12/15
The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) has controlled the city of Ramadi
since May. It seized the city center after Iraqi troops fled. The assault
included suicide bombings - 18 suicide car bombs reportedly went off at once.
The Iraqi command blamed the army for the city’s fall, and brought in Shiite
militias called the Popular Mobilization Forces to retake Ramadi, but they also
failed. The Americans refused to cooperate as they were well aware that they
would become the target of citizens of the Sunni-dominated Anbar province.
Terrorism, extremism and chaos will continue as long as Baghdad is torn apart
and politicians are confused. Fighting returned to Anbar - which shares borders
with Jordan and Saudi Arabia - after U.S. forces began participating in
anti-ISIS operations. They are only fighting via the air force, and are
directing Iraqi forces and Sunni tribes via consultants and intelligence. “The
coalition forces wish to expel ISIS from Ramadi as soon as possible, but this
may take a few weeks,” said a U.S. commander.
Challenges
Even if they liberate Ramadi, the challenge is in the city of Mosul, the
headquarters of ISIS’s command. “Battles there won’t be easy because ISIS will
fiercely fight to defend it,” said the U.S. commander. Why have all the above
failed to defeat ISIS in Iraq, a country with a central government, army, oil
exports, and a degree of stability? Not because ISIS is invincible, but because
political leaders in Baghdad are incapable of overcoming their own problems. The
capital suffers from political chaos, the prime minister’s incapability, the
interference of clerics, and an increase in Iranian influence over
decision-making. This is in addition to former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s
continuous incitement against his successor Haidar al-Abadi. If it had not been
for international forces’ desire to fight ISIS due to fears of its expansion, it
would have been close to Baghdad itself. Once Baghdad corrects its practises, it
can eliminate ISIS. However, we do not yet see such indications. Terrorism,
extremism and chaos will continue as long as Baghdad is torn apart and
politicians are confused.
This article first appeared in Asharq al-Awsat on Nov. 12, 2015.
Rewriting Mideast history and geography at Republican debate
Joyce Karam/Al Arabiya?November 12/15
"Russia flies in that zone at the invitation of Iraq...so, when you think it’s
going to be a good idea to have a no fly zone over Iraq, realize that means you
are saying we are going to shoot down Russian planes. If you’re ready for that,
be ready to send your sons and daughters to another war in Iraq."
-Senator Rand Paul, the Republican debate in Wisconsin, 10 Nov. 2015. The above
quote illustrates the level of inaccuracy and hyperbole on foreign policy that
went unchecked at the last Republican debate on Tuesday, hosted by Fox Business.
With the exception of Senator Marco Rubio and former businesswoman Carly Fiorina,
serious misstatements were made about the Middle East, substituting Syria for
Iraq for example, or claiming that China is at war, or viewing Israel’s wall as
a model to address illegal immigration in the United States. While foreign
policy is unlikely to be a make or break issue in the 2016 U.S. presidential
race, discrepancies over current affairs and basic geography of the Middle East
was all over the debate and should be a cause of concern for the GOP
establishment. The higher likelihood of facing the Democratic party candidate
Hillary Clinton in the general elections means bare minimum knowledge of the
location of Syria, or of U.S. involvement in Iraq is important for winning a
debate against the former Secretary of State.
Tuesday’s debate exposed a foreign policy disarray for the Republican Party in
being torn between the Putin admirers and adversaries, and in offering a
confused analysis over Syria’s war and geography.
Where is Syria
The biggest gaffe of the night was Rand Paul’s insisting four times that Russia
is bombing Iraq, in an answer to a question about a No Fly Zone (NFZ) in Syria.
Paul who comes from the isolationist wing of the Republican party, appeared to
be isolated and detached himself from the Middle East political reality. His
assumption that a NFZ in Iraq by the U.S. would drag Washington into “another
war in Iraq” is so outlandish that it make Donald Trump’s Syrian proposal sounds
rational. Moscow is neither bombing Iraq, nor has been invited to do so by the
government in Baghdad. Washington, on the other hand, is still bombing Iraq 12
years after promising a bustling democracy in Baghdad. As whimsical as Paul, was
candidate Ben Carson suggesting that China is fighting in Syria. In an answer on
the latest U.S. decision to deploy 50 Special Operations forces in Syria, Carson
said “well, putting the special ops people in there is better than not having
them there, because they — that’s why they’re called special ops”. Five seconds
later Carson added “you know, the Chinese are there, as well as the Russians,
and you have all kinds of factions there.” Carson is recently leading in the
states of Iowa, North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona. However, China is not a
faction anywhere in the Middle East and the U.S. Special operations forces are
part of a mission to train Kurdish and local forces.
Trump’s wall and Jeb’s Lebanon
Another odd moment in Tuesday’s debate was Trump’s analogy of Israel’s security
barrier as a model to his wall with Mexico, attempting to block the illegal
immigration on the long border. Trump said “if you think walls don’t work, all
you have to do is ask Israel” ignoring that Israel’s wall is against
international law for being built on annexed Palestinian land and covers 650
kilometers compared to the 3110 kilometers needed on the U.S.-Mexican border.
Trump also praised Putin’s efforts in Syria, saying if Russia “wants to go and
knock the hell out of ISIS, I am all for it, 100%.” A small caveat here is that
the majority of Russian strikes in Syria exclude ISIS. The U.S. State
Department’s spokesman John Kirby estimated on October 17th that “greater than
90% of the strikes that we’ve seen them take to date have not been against ISIS
or al-Qaida-affiliated terrorists.”Another far cry from reality came from Jeb
Bush stressing the threat of ISIS to a point that “if you’re a Christian,
increasingly in Lebanon, or Iraq, or Syria, you’re going to be beheaded.” There
hasn’t been any beheadings of Lebanese Christian civilians since ISIS declared
its Caliphate on June 2014, albeit the minority feels more threatened in Iraq,
Syria, Egypt and Libya. The debate had many valid attacks on Hillary Clinton’s
record including her flip flopping on the keystone pipeline and the trade
agreement issues, but one from Senator Ted Cruz did not. Cruz’s statement that
Clinton and the Obama administration “abandoned the nation of Israel” is
distortion. Coming on the week that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is
in Washington to secure an unprecedented $50 billion in military aid the next
ten years, the U.S. approach is nowhere near abandonment. Tuesday’s debate
exposed a foreign policy disarray for the Republican Party in being torn between
the Putin admirers and adversaries, and in offering a confused analysis over
Syria’s war and geography. It’s a frightening reality for those who could
potentially be on the receiving end in the Middle East, and perhaps puzzling for
others in China or Mexico.
Money will buy Israel weapons but not security
Yossi Mekelberg/Al Arabiya/November 12/15
If proof was required that personal antipathies are secondary to political
interests in the world of diplomacy, it was amply provided in the meeting on
Monday between U.S. President Barak Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu. It is hard to imagine a more awkward meeting in the history of
relations between the two countries. Obama could afford to be magnanimous in
victory, and Netanyahu was forced to eat humble pie. After all, despite numerous
blatant efforts by Israel to interfere in U.S. domestic politics, in its
attempts to derail the nuclear deal with Iran, Obama prevailed.
Netanyahu cannot risk a deeper rupture with the United States, and in his
typical insolence is requesting - almost demanding - that Israel be compensated
for the risks derived, according to him, from the nuclear deal. The U.S.
administration takes a long strategic view of relations with Israel. It is
resisting temptation to punish Israel for its intransigence, and for exploiting
- even aggravating - rifts between Congress and Obama. Yet Washington seems
reluctant to concede to all of Israel’s economic and military demands.
Israeli long-term security relies mainly on military might, with little room for
diplomacy.
Iran nuclear deal
It was widely reported that Netanyahu arrived in Washington with a large
shopping list that would have increased annual defense aid from $3 billion to $5
billion over the next decade. The Israeli argument is that an Iran free of
sanctions will direct much of its increased revenues toward military
expenditure, posing an ever-greater threat to Israel. The assumption among
decision-makers in Jerusalem is that Iran only agreed to the nuclear deal for
tactical reasons. The agreement will ease sanctions and avert a military attack
on its nuclear installations; both eventualities might have compromised the
stability of the regime. Common wisdom among Israeli politicians and strategists
is that Iran is cheating its way to obtaining a nuclear bomb.Even the less
pessimistic among them see the deal at best as no more than a 15-year hiatus for
Iran to gain regional hegemony and eventually nuclear military capability. Under
no circumstances are Israeli decision-makers capable of envisaging a political
change in Tehran that would lead to it being less threatening.
Israel’s request for a substantial increase in military aid is as much about
quality as quantity. The request apparently includes V-22 Osprey
aircraft-helicopters, refuelling aircraft, and F-15SE stealth fighter jets,
beyond the F-35 squadrons the Americans have already promised. This is an
addition to a separate U.S. budget that funds the development of rocket and
anti-ballistic missile defense systems.
Regional instability
Amid regional instability, it is not shocking that Israel would like to maintain
its technological superiority in order to deal with any eventuality. However, it
reflects a collective psyche in which Israeli long-term security relies mainly
on military might, with little room for diplomacy. The United States
consequently faces an arduous dilemma. Netanyahu and his advisors, who were
viciously critical of the Obama administration and particularly the president,
are banking Israeli security on their support. Despite the unwarranted Israeli
questioning of Obama’s commitment to the wellbeing of the Jewish state, he kept
pursuing a policy not that different from his predecessors in his support of
Israel. He justifiably, for the most part, has been more critical in public of
Israel’s policies toward the occupied Palestinian territories and Iran. However,
granting Netanyahu his wish to arm Israel to the teeth would reward behavior
that harms U.S. interests in the region and makes him even more inflexible,
especially vis-à-vis the Palestinians.On the other hand, in the troubled Middle
East, a stable and powerful Israel is an asset to U.S. interests in the region.
The almost impossible task for any American president is to keep Israel powerful
enough to stay safe, but not intransigent so as to adversely affect U.S.
interests. On the Iranian and Palestinian issues, Netanyahu’s government proved
to be more an obstacle for Washington than an ally or an asset.
U.S. domestic politics
Add to this a domestic scene in the United States, especially during an election
year, which requires any administration to overtly express in words and deeds
its support for Israel. This leaves Obama with very limited room to manoeuvre in
his policy toward Israel during his last year in office.
The meeting between Obama and Netanyahu was probably personally uncomfortable
for both of them. Nevertheless, it represented a recognition on both sides that
in the year or so left for Obama in the White House, their national and
political interests demand some level of collaboration and civility.
Israel is very unlikely to see its entire arms shopping list approved, even if
the triangle of the U.S. Congress, arms industry and Israeli lobby push for it
very hard. Nevertheless, Obama has as good as abandoned his earlier years’
aspiration to go down in history as peace broker between the Israelis and
Palestinians.If this is the case, he would rather leave office not being
perceived as someone who compromised Israeli security, or jeopardized the
chances of a third consecutive Democratic term in the White House.
Unfortunately, the immediate victims of this decision are Palestinian statehood
and peace.