LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
June 09/15
Bible Quotation For Today/All that the Father
has is mine. For this reason I said that he will take what is mine and declare
it to you.
John 16/12-15: "‘I still have many things to say to you, but you cannot bear
them now. When the Spirit of truth comes, he will guide you into all the truth;
for he will not speak on his own, but will speak whatever he hears, and he will
declare to you the things that are to come.
He will glorify me, because he will take what is mine and declare it to you. All
that the Father has is mine. For this reason I said that he will take what is
mine and declare it to you."
Bible Quotation For Today/The word of God
continued to spread; the number of the disciples increased greatly in Jerusalem,
and a great many of the priests became obedient to the faith.
Acts of the Apostles 06/01-12.: "Now during those days, when the
disciples were increasing in number, the Hellenists complained against the
Hebrews because their widows were being neglected in the daily distribution of
food. And the twelve called together the whole community of the disciples and
said, ‘It is not right that we should neglect the word of God in order to wait
at tables. Therefore, friends, select from among yourselves seven men of good
standing, full of the Spirit and of wisdom, whom we may appoint to this task,
while we, for our part, will devote ourselves to prayer and to serving the
word.’What they said pleased the whole community, and they chose Stephen, a man
full of faith and the Holy Spirit, together with Philip, Prochorus, Nicanor,
Timon, Parmenas, and Nicolaus, a proselyte of Antioch. They had these men stand
before the apostles, who prayed and laid their hands on them.The word of God
continued to spread; the number of the disciples increased greatly in Jerusalem,
and a great many of the priests became obedient to the faith. Stephen, full of
grace and power, did great wonders and signs among the people. Then some of
those who belonged to the synagogue of the Freedmen (as it was called),
Cyrenians, Alexandrians, and others of those from Cilicia and Asia, stood up and
argued with Stephen. But they could not withstand the wisdom and the Spirit with
which he spoke. Then they secretly instigated some men to say, ‘We have heard
him speak blasphemous words against Moses and God.’They stirred up the people as
well as the elders and the scribes; then they suddenly confronted him, seized
him, and brought him before the council."
Latest analysis, editorials from miscellaneous sources published on
June 08-09/15
Turkey: "An End to an Era of Oppression"/Burak
Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/June
08/15
Saudi Arabia and Iran heading to war/Jamal
Khashoggi/Al Arabiya/June 08/15
Analysis: Do the Turkish elections offer a modicum of hope in
preserving its democracy/ARIEL
BEN SOLOMON/June 08/15
ISIS purloined rockets from Hamas production lines to attack
Israel. Netanyahu marks out wide sterile zone/DEBKAfile/June
08/15
Gulf plan key to Yemen solution/Abdulrahman
al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/June 08/15
Lebanese Related News published on June 08-09/15
Geagea Meets Mustaqbal MPs: We Only Recognize Authority of Army in
its Deployment in Lebanon
Salam, not FPM, chooses Cabinet agenda: telecoms minister
Cabinet in Limbo as Salam Holds onto Authority on Setting the Agenda
Hariri Insists on Election of President as Solution to All Crises
Hezbollah official to March 14: Elect Aoun or face indefinite vacuum
Aoun's fight for security appointments 'legitimate': Hezbollah MP
Hezbollah controls 64 pct of Qalamoun: Al-Manar
Hizbullah Links Fleita, Arsal Outskirts
Kanaan holds 'constructive' talks with Berri
Lebanon’s Filipinos mark Independence Day
Gunman sticks up Mount Lebanon Burger King
Lebanon’s beach season kicks off in style
Hujeiri Says al-Talli Not in Arsal as Captive Soldier Family Meets
Son in Outskirts
Kataeb Questions Timing of Aoun's 'Escalation', Says Army Must
Defend Border
Rifi Promises to Stop Murderers from 'Killing the Truth'
Firefighters Contain Hadath Blaze
Lebanese-Australian Receives Queen Elizabeth’s Honors
Jumblat Urges Rivals to Stop 'Absurd' Dispute from Paralyzing
Country
Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
June 08-09/15
Obama talks Mideast crises on sidelines of G7 summit
Obama: US lacks 'complete strategy' for training Iraqis
US-led coalition hits ISIS stronghold in Syria
EU: No Iran nuclear deal without U.N. probe of past
Kurdish party thwarts Erdogan's ambitions
Plunged into uncertainty, Turkey could face early election
US Supreme Court: No 'Israel' allowed on passports of Americans born
in Jerusalem
French Islamic group faces trial after Jewish stores found on
'target' list
Germany saw dramatic increase in anti-Semitic, anti-Israel crimes in
2014'
Netanyahu: The Palestinians ran from talks with Barak, Sharon,
Olmert and now me
Israel-Gaza crossings to reopen after brief closure
Israel isn't on UN list of parties that kill or injure kids
Israel must rethink its policies in Middle East
Bennett: World must recognize Golan as Israeli
Gaza crossings shut after rockets reopened
What if ISIS emerges in Gaza?
Top Israeli Army officer: No operation over a few rockets
Israeli to play Jesus in Christian novel
Four Saudi children die due to chemical poisoning in Iran
Yemen's Hadi Says 'No Negotiations' with Rebels in Geneva
U.S.-led airstrikes aid Nusra against ISIS
Iran arrests hotel staff after Saudis pilgrims poisoned
Pre-Islamic State: Traveling into Iraqi Kurdistan
Iraqi troops beat ISIS in key refinery town
Sisi says sorry: Egypt president issues apology after lawyer beaten
Blair’s new employer, fighting for tolerance and reconciliation?
Opinion: Geneva talks throw a
lifeline to the Houthis
Opinion: The long-term fallout of
religious warfare
US-led airstrikes kill family in Syria: activists
Jehad Watch Latest Reports And News
Egypt: Terrified Christians flee homes following blasphemy
accusations
Libya: Islamic State abducts 86 Eritrean Christians
France arrests two more Muslims in jihad terror plot on churches
TSA failed to identify 73 workers “linked to terrorism”
AFDI Rolls Out New Free Speech Billboard Campaign Featuring Muhammad
Cartoon
Bible critic cancels book criticizing Qur’an for fear of jihad
attack
Islamic State jihadis funding jihad with UK welfare benefits
Analysts scratch their heads and wonder why Boston produces so many
jihadis
Robert Spencer, PJM: First They Came for Pamela Geller, and I Did
Not Speak Out
Florida: Imam may have recruited dozens for jihad behind bars
Lebanese-Australian Receives Queen Elizabeth’s
Honors
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Queen Elizabeth II has honored
Lebanese-Australian activist Tony Yacoub for his service to the
Lebanese community. He recently received a Medal of the Order of
Australia from the queen. Yacoub, 63, has been the World Lebanese
Cultural Union Australian and New Zealand president since 2011 and
between 2004 and 2009. “I’m really, really proud and honored to
receive the Order of Australia medal for my service to the Lebanese
community, not only in Victoria but all of Australia and New
Zealand,” Yacoub told Melbourne-based newspaper The Herald Sun in
remarks published on Monday. “We’re proud of Australia. I am
Australian but we will never forget the country that we are born,”
he said. The Herald Sun said that Yacoub underwent seven operations
between March and November 2014, but continued in his role as WLCU
president to organize events, festivals, and award ceremonies to
celebrate Lebanese emigrants. “I was running all the activities from
my mobile phone from text messages and emails,” he said. Yacoub
emigrated to Australia in 1974 with his parents and siblings, and
worked at picture frame shops for 33 years.
Cabinet in Limbo as Salam Holds onto Authority
on Setting the Agenda
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Prime Minister Tammam Salam has said that he was
procrastinating in calling for a cabinet session this week over a
dispute on the appointment of high-ranking officials while stressing
that he has the jurisdiction is setting the agenda. In remarks to
local newspapers published on Monday, Salam said he decided to
procrastinate on inviting cabinet ministers for a session on the
basis that such a move, in addition to setting the agenda, fall
under the powers granted to the premier. He slammed the Free
Patriotic Movement without naming it, saying “they always hold the
cabinet responsible and urge it to take measures while they paralyze
its work.”“They want us to work, follow up issues, preserve the
country's economy and security, while they play the game of
paralysis,” he told the newspapers. “This is not the first time that
we are witnessing such a behavior with the cabinet, but the only
difference today is that the obstruction of its work is being done
amid a parliamentary paralysis and a presidential vacuum that
entered its second year,” Salam said. The paralysis came as a result
of the warning issued by FPM officials last week that the party's
ministers would block any cabinet decision before security and
military appointments are made. FPM chief MP Michel Aoun has bluntly
rejected any attempt to extend the terms of the officials. He has
been lobbying for political consensus on the appointment of Commando
Regiment chief Brig. Gen. Chamel Roukoz as army chief as part of a
package for the appointment of other top security officers.Roukoz is
his son-in-law. “Is it fair to paralyze the country because of a
single post or because of a certain gain?” Salam asked. He hoped
that Speaker Nabih Berri and Progressive Socialist Party leader MP
Walid Jumblat, who met on Sunday, would make a positive
contribution. Berri reiterated to his visitors in remarks published
in al-Mustaqbal daily on Monday that he backed the cabinet. He vowed
to “confront the attempt to paralyze the work of the executive
authority and its productivity.”
Hariri Insists on Election of President as
Solution to All Crises
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Former MP Ghattas Khoury revealed Monday that
ex-Prime Minister and Mustaqbal leader Saad Hariri discussed with
the movement's officials in Saudi Arabia recently the latest crises
in Lebanon, in particular the controversy of appointing high-ranking
security and military officials. Khoury, who is Hariri's adviser,
pointed out that the Jeddah meeting included “all the surfacing
crises.” They “agreed on the necessity of appointing a new Army
chief after the election of the state's president,” describing it as
a priority.
The ex-MP denied reports saying that he was tasked with carrying out
contacts with the rival parties to resolve the thorny issue. Hariri
met with head of al-Mustaqbal parliamentary bloc MP Fouad Saniora
and Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq in the presence of his
adviser Nader Hariri. The meeting reportedly touched on Free
Patriotic Movement leader MP Michel Aoun's threats to paralyze the
cabinet. Lebanon has been without a head of state since the term of
Michel Suleiman ended in May last year. The government plunged in a
further crisis last week when it failed to agree on the appointments
of high-ranking security and military figures. Following the cabinet
session, Mashnouq issued a decree effectively extending the term of
Internal Security Forces chief Maj. Gen. Ibrahim Basbous for two
more years. His move prompted Foreign Minister Jebran Bassil, who is
a member of the FPM, to warn that Change and Reform bloc ministers
would block any cabinet decision before security appointments are
made.Aoun has bluntly rejected any attempt to extend the terms of
the officials. He has been lobbying for political consensus on the
appointment of Commando Regiment chief Brig. Gen. Chamel Roukoz, his
son-in-law, as army chief as part of a package for the appointment
of other top security officers.Roukoz's tenure ends in October while
the term of army commander Gen. Jean Qahwaji expires at the end of
September.
Geagea Meets Mustaqbal MPs: We Only Recognize
Authority of Army in its Deployment in Lebanon
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Lebanese Forces chief Samir Geagea rejected on
Monday "media campaigns" against the army and its deployment in
regions bordering Syria in the wake of clashes between Hizbullah and
Syrian regime forces with extremists in the neighboring country.
He declared: “We only recognize the authority of the army in its
deployment in Arsal and the Bekaa.”He made his remarks after holding
talks with a delegation from the Mustaqbal bloc.“The army is present
in the manner its deems necessary in Arsal,” continued Geagea.
“Regarding the outskirts of the northeastern border town, we must
decide on whether we adhere to the state or not,” he added. “For a
year, the military has taken up defensive positions along the
outskirts of Arsal, so what is the purpose of calls urging it to
deploy in certain areas there?” wondered the LF leader. “How can the
positions of the army be subject to media speculation?” he asked.
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah had recently warned that
Hizbullah would intervene against the militants of al-Nusra Front
and the Islamic State in Arsal's outskirts if the state failed to do
so. Since Wednesday, Hizbullah has made a series of military
advances in Arsal's outskirts, capturing several posts from al-Nusra's
hands.
Jumblat Urges Rivals to Stop 'Absurd' Dispute
from Paralyzing Country
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid
Jumblat has called on Lebanon's rival parties to prevent their
“absurd” differences from paralyzing the state, As Safir daily
reported on Monday. Jumblat, who visited Speaker Nabih Berri in Ain
el-Tineh on Sunday, told As Safir that the dispute among the
different parties, which is obstructing the work of constitutional
institutions, is “minor and silly” and should not paralyze the
entire country. Such paralysis comes as the region's “fires are
gutting everything around us and threatening to expand” to Lebanon,
the PSP chief warned. “We should all be aware of such dangers and
rush to overcome the selfish stances,” he added. Jumblat said
following his visit to Ain el-Tineh on Sunday that he will seek with
Berri “to overcome political obstacles and consolidate
stability.”His remarks came as the country plunges deeper in
paralysis as a result of a cabinet crisis that erupted after Free
Patriotic Movement officials warned last week that they would
boycott all sessions unless the government approves the appointment
of high-ranking security and military officials.
Hizbullah Links Fleita, Arsal Outskirts
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Hizbullah fighters managed to link Monday the
outskirts of the town of Fleita in the Syrian al-Qalamoun region
with the edges of the northeastern border town of Arsal. Hizbullah's
al-Manar TV channel reported that the party also seized a number of
valleys, including: Al-Turkman, al-Qusair, Aqbat al-Qusaira, al-Siri,
al-Hariqa, and al-Tanine. The party has succeeded recently in
achieving gains against al-Qaida-affiliate al-Nusra Front in the
area, compelling fighters to retreat from their positions. Al-Manar
said that Hizbullah inflicted several casualties in the ranks of al-Nusra
Front. Hizbullah insists it is fighting in Syria to prevent
extremist groups from entering Lebanon. On Friday, Hizbullah chief
Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah claimed that the party managed to "liberate
dozens of square kilometers" of land in al-Qalamoun, pushing back
al-Nusra Front and its allies. He vowed that Hizbullah will next
turn its sights on the Islamic State group which has seized chunks
of Syria and Iraq.
Hujeiri Says al-Talli Not in Arsal as Captive
Soldier Family Meets Son in Outskirts
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Sheikh Mustafa al-Hujeiri denied Monday media
reports alleging that Abou Malek al-Talli, the so-called emir of al-Nusra
Front in Qalamoun, had sought refuge at his residence in the
northeastern border town of Arsal after fleeing a Hizbullah
offensive in the outskirts. “Abou Malek al-Talli took part in the
meeting with the family of the (captive) soldier George Khoury. He
confirmed that he is present in the outskirts and will not enter
Arsal or allow a battle in it,” LBCI television quoted Hujeiri as
saying.
“Al-Talli will not close the door of negotiations in the case of the
captive servicemen and he hopes a solution will be reached as soon
as possible,” Hujeiri added.Khoury's family visited him in Arsal's
outskirts after it was “invited” by al-Nusra Front, state-run
National News Agency reported. The family “was reassured about his
health and it will issue a statement in this regard,” NNA added.
Earlier in the day, Hizbullah's al-Manar TV quoted witnesses as
saying that al-Talli “fled to Arsal and Mustafa al-Hujeiri, aka Abou
Taqiyeh, is hosting him in his house.” In its Monday issue, pro-Hizbullah
al-Akhbar newspaper had reported that al-Talli fled the fierce
battles with Hizbullah and Syrian regime forces into the town of
Arsal. Al-Talli entered Arsal on Sunday accompanied by two of the
group's prominent leaders, sources told the daily.The sources
identified one of the leaders as “Abou Souhaib”, saying he was in
charge of negotiations with the Lebanese state over the fate of the
servicemen who are being held hostage by the group. Al-Nusra and the
Islamic State group briefly overran Arsal last August, and are still
holding 25 soldiers and policemen hostage. Four have been executed
so far, and the jihadists have threatened to kill the remaining
hostages unless there is a deal to free Islamist prisoners in
Lebanon. Security sources told al-Akhbar that the Army Intelligence
obtained information that helped it in locating the hideout of one
of al-Nusra's leaders in Arsal. Such information was however denied
by the group, which noted that the intended leader was still on the
outskirts of the town. Hizbullah backed by Syrian troops has
succeeded in seizing swathes of territory under the control of al-Nusra
Front in Qalamoun, along the Lebanese-Syrian border. Last week,
Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah claimed that the party
managed to "liberate dozens of square kilometers" of land in al-Qalamoun,
pushing back al-Nusra Front and its allies. He vowed that Hizbullah
will next turn its sights in al-Qalamoun on the IS group, which has
seized chunks of Syria and Iraq. Hizbullah insists it is fighting in
Syria to prevent extremist groups from entering Lebanon. Security
sources denied to al-Joumhouria newspaper published Monday that
gunmen fleeing the Qalamoun battles breached the security measures
that the army took to separate the town from its outskirts. “There
are Syrian encampments on the outskirts of the town, which are not
under the control of the Lebanese security agencies,” the sources
stressed. The remarks come in light of media reports saying that the
number of male refugees at four Syrian encampments in areas between
Wadi al-Hosn and Wadi Hmeid, which are not under the Lebanese army
control, have soared. The sources estimated that gunmen are hiding
among refugees. The total area of the Qalamoun being contested is
about 1,000 square kilometers — of which 340 square kilometers (131
square miles) lie in Lebanon.
Kataeb Questions Timing of Aoun's 'Escalation', Says Army Must
Defend Border
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/The Kataeb Party on Monday criticized Free
Patriotic Movement chief MP Michel Aoun without naming him,
questioning the “timing” of his latest threats to resort to street
action. “Amid the renewal of the visits of envoys to Lebanon and
some regional capitals with the aim of helping Lebanon rescue itself
from the presidential void, some parties are continuing their
obstruction,” said the party in a statement issued after its
politburo's weekly meeting. It warned of “alarming indications that
are threatening governmental solidarity and pointing to further
disintegration and collapse.”“The Kataeb Party questions the timing,
extent and motives behind the current escalation and the threats to
resort to street action, at a time when all capabilities must be
utilized to elect a president before September, during which the
army chief's extended term will expire,” the party added. It said
two “positive developments” can happen simultaneously in September
through “ending the vacuum and giving the elected president the
right to take part in choosing the new army commander.” On Sunday,
Aoun warned that he may call for popular protests, amid a continued
dispute over the appointment of the country's top security and
military officials. “They are picking puppet officials who fill the
posts in an artificial manner,” Aoun told a popular delegation in
Rabiyeh. “Nowadays, we are voicing political objection, and me might
reach a phase of popular objection, that's why we might summon you
in the critical junctures to be by our side,” Aoun said. The FPM
chief has been lobbying for political consensus on the appointment
of Commando Regiment chief Brig. Gen. Chamel Roukoz, his son-in-law,
as army chief as part of a package for the appointment of other top
security officers. Separately, Kataeb commented on “the escalation
of military battles in the border areas,” renewing its “confidence
and support for the army.”It called on all parties to refrain from
encroaching on “the military institution's exclusive right” and not
to “implicate it in non-innocent burdens.”The party also stressed
that it is for the army to decide what to do in the “threatened and
unsafe areas, especially on the eastern border.”Hizbullah chief
Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah had recently warned that Hizbullah would
intervene against the militants of al-Nusra Front and the Islamic
State in the outskirts of the northeastern border town of Arsal if
the state failed to do so. Since Wednesday, Hizbullah has made a
series of military advances in Arsal's outskirts, capturing several
posts from al-Nusra's hands. Both Hizbullah and Aoun had called on
the Lebanese state and army to “liberate” the town and its
outskirts.
Rifi Promises to Stop Murderers from 'Killing
the Truth'
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Justice Minister Ashraf Rifi vowed on Monday on
the 16th anniversary of the murder of four Lebanese judges to stop
perpetrators from “killing the truth” in the series of
assassinations that targeted Lebanon in the past years. “We won't
allow anyone to assassinate our martyrs again by killing the truth,”
Rifi said at the Justice Palace of the southern city of Sidon. “We
are in conflict with outlaws, who are unfortunately hoisting slogans
in defense of the nation,” he said. He was referring to the series
of killings and assassination attempts that targeted Lebanese
officials and journalists since the murder of former Prime Minister
Rafik Hariri in February 2005. “We won't rest until the killers of
the judges receive their punishments,” Rifi said. He also vowed to
stop murderers from hitting the country’s stability and coexistence.
On June 8, 1999, Judges Hassan Othman, Walid Harmoush, Imad Shehab
and Issam Bou Daher were at a trial at the old Justice Palace in
Sidon when two perpetrators opened fire through the rear window of
the courtroom and killed them. Five others were injured in the
attack. “Justice is the guarantor for the state's existence,” said
Rifi in his speech. “It is time for the state to provide judges and
Justice Palaces with more security,” he said. He also hailed
Lebanon's judges, saying the Lebanese have a huge confidence in
them.
Firefighters Contain Hadath Blaze
Naharnet/ 08.06.15/Firefighters were able to control on Monday an
intense blaze that has been raging for the past few days at a
warehouse in Beirut's southern suburbs neighborhood of Hadath. Head
of the Municipalities Union in Dahiyeh Mohammed Dergham told Voice
of Lebanon radio (93.3) that firefighters contained the fire at the
upper storey at Qarout Mall. “Our efforts are focusing on cooling
the lower floors to enable firemen to enter the building this
evening.” Civil Defense teams and Beirut's Fire Department have been
struggling to douse the fire, which erupted on Friday. The blaze had
forced people in the residential area where the warehouse is located
to flee to safety. The cause of the blaze has not been disclosed.
Hezbollah official to
March 14: Elect Aoun or face indefinite vacuum
The Daily Star/ June.
08, 2015 /BEIRU: Lebanon has two choices: Either to accept Free
Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun as president, or deal with an
indefinite presidential vacuum, a Hezbollah official said Monday.
Speaking from the Bekaa Valley, Hezbollah's deputy chief Naim Qassem
said that “either FPM chief Michel Aoun is elected as president, or
the issue will be delayed indefinitely.” Addressing the March 14
coalition, he said that it was “better to choose Aoun” because he is
ready to make commitments, broker agreements and ensure that the
Taif agreement, which ended Lebanon’s civil war, is fully
implemented. He will also guarantee that the country transitions
into a more positive phase characterized by domestic cooperation,
Qassem added. “If you choose Aoun, then Lebanon will have a
president, and if you don’t choose him, then that means you don’t
want a solution,” he concluded. Lawmakers have failed in 24 sessions
to elect a successor to former President Michel Sleiman, whose term
ended in May 2014. Lawmakers from Aoun’s parliamentary Change and
Reform bloc, Hezbollah MPs and their March 8 allies, have thwarted a
quorum since April 2014 by boycotting parliamentary sessions,
demanding an agreement beforehand with their March 14 rivals over a
consensus candidate. The first election in May achieved quorum, but
no candidate received enough votes. The failure to pick a successor
to Sleiman has plunged the country into a presidential impasse that
has paralyzed Parliament.
Salam, not FPM, chooses
Cabinet agenda: telecoms minister
The Daily Star/ June.
08, 2015 |
BEIRUT: Telecoms Minister Boutros Harb said Monday he rejected the
Free Patriotic Movement's warnings that it would paralyze Cabinet if
it didn't discuss the issue of appointments.
Harb said he was against any paralysis resulting from attempts by
political groups to “impose items outside Cabinet’s agenda on the
government," according to a statement released by Prime Minister
Tammam Salam's office after a meeting between the two. The FPM has
been accused by its political rivals of seeking to paralyze the
government over the issue of security appointments after party
ministers said last week they would not allow the Cabinet to discuss
any topics or pass any decisions until successors to retiring top
security officials are chosen. Interior Minister Nouhad Machnouk
announced Sunday night that this week's Cabinet session has been
cancelled in light of the crisis. Harb noted that only the prime
minister was authorized with choosing the items on Cabinet’s agenda,
saying that respecting the premier’s prerogatives was essential to
preserving the stability of the Lebanese system. Progressive
Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblatt Monday also denounced what he
described as an “expected and almost complete paralysis of
government.” The PSP chief urged politicians to separate their
“narrow political and partisan” interests from national issues that
affect all Lebanese. One of these issues, he said in his weekly
column for Al-Anbaa, relates to helping farmers and transporters
export their goods after land routes were closed in Syria. He called
for “exceptional measures” that would allow the government to
subsidize the export of goods, given the importance of the sector to
the national economy. Jumblatt’s comments come after Agriculture
Minister Akram Chehayeb, one of two PSP ministers in Cabinet,
stormed out of Thursday's session after ministers postponed
discussions on how to help farmers and transporters export their
goods by sea. The minister said that at the beginning of the
session, he asked the Cabinet whether a plan he proposed to give
cash and logistical assistance to truck owners exporting to the Gulf
by sea would be discussed, and was disappointed when his suggestion
was ignored. Lebanese exporters were hit hard in April when the
Nusra Front and other Islamist groups took over the Nasib crossing
between Syria and Jordan. It was the last major crossing controlled
by the Syrian government. Jordanian authorities closed the border
from their side, and trucks were no longer able to cross in or out.
The crossing was considered a gateway for exporters to reach Gulf
countries.
Hezbollah controls 64 pct of Qalamoun: Al-Manar
The Daily Star/June. 08,
2015/BEIRUT: Hezbollah Monday seized several crossings linking a
northeastern Lebanese border town to a western Syrian village, Al-Manar
TV reported, adding that jihadis have been ousted from nearly
two-thirds of the border Qalamoun region. The Hezbollah-run channel
said party fighters also captured six militant positions on Arsal's
eastern outskirts during clashes that left a number of jihadis dead.
The report did not specify the number of crossings seized linking
Lebanon's Arsal to Syria's Flita, which remains under militant
control. A later report said Hezbollah and the Syrian army also
captured the Nusra Front's last “strongholds” on the outskirts of
the Syrian town of Jarajeer. Dozens of militants were killed in the
battle for the two position, Al-Manar said. Al-Manar also said
Monday that Hezbollah has cleared 64 percent of the territory once
occupied by ISIS and the Nusra Front in Syria’s Qalamoun mountain
range and along the border with Lebanon. In a breakdown of the
party's victories since the Qalamoun offensive began last month, the
report said Hezbollah and its Syrian army allies have seized 225
square kilometers of territory in Qalamoun, on the eastern outskirts
of Lebanon's Bekaa Valley. The figure includes 110 square kilometers
of land seized on the outskirts of the northeastern border town of
Arsal, which has seen pitched battles between Hezbollah and the
Nusra Front over the past week. The report added that Hezbollah has
taken 90 percent of Nusra's positions in Qalamoun since the
offensive began on May 4. Hezbollah fighters made major gains over
the weekend, recovering large swaths of land on the outskirts of
Arsal, including a cave that Al-Manar said once housed Abu Malek al-Talli,
the Nusra Front's top leader for the Qalamoun region. At least 29
Hezbollah fighters and hundreds of militants have been killed since
the launch of the offensive.
Free Patriotic Movement MP Ibrahim Kanaan holds 'constructive' talks
with Berri
The Daily Star/June 08,
2015/BEIRUT: Free Patriotic Movement MP Ibrahim Kanaan said Monday
he held “honest and constructive talks” with Speaker Nabih Berri
over the contentious issue of security appointments and other
matters. The talks also delved into the situation in Cabinet, the
year-long presidential impasse and the failure of Parliament to
legislate. Kanaan also discussed with Berri the declaration of
intent announced last week which outlined 16 general points of
agreement between the Lebanese Forces and the FPM on key issues
facing Lebanon. Berri, according to Kanaan, welcomed the thaw in the
decades-old rivalry between the longtime Christian foes, saying the
dialogue was necessary. Kanaan expressed hopes that a holistic
reading of the Constitution would prevail over what he described as
a “selective” interpretation of the text.
Aoun's fight for security appointments 'legitimate': Hezbollah MP
The Daily Star/June 08,
2015
BEIRUT: Hezbollah MP Nawwaf Musawi Monday said his party stands
behind Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun in his
“legitimate” battle over key security appointments.
“The FPM was not late in recognizing the rights of the Lebanese
political forces in political representation and administrative
appointments,” Musawi told a memorial service in the southern town
of Bazourieh.
“However, there are certain political forces that still practice an
undeclared ‘Elimination War’ and does not recognize political
representation or the right to administrative appointments,” he
added, in reference to Samir Geagea’s Lebanese Forces.
“So it is his [Aoun's] right to ask why when there are
administrative appointments that belongs to any [other] sect, names
would be selected in favor of this side or that, but when it comes
to appointments belonging to Christians in particular, some would
act as if the FPM does not have a strong Christian representation,”
Musawi argued. “Why does this continue?”
“We are on his side in this political confrontation."
Aoun vowed over the weekend not to back down on his demands,
accusing the government of trampling over the rights of Christians
by preventing them from choosing new security chiefs.
“Christians today have had their rights stolen from them,” Aoun told
a delegation of Baabda residents at his Rabieh residence Saturday.
“And our [rivals] refuse to give back what they have taken. So we
will confront them and we will not change our convictions for
whatever the reason, because this is the final battle.”
Addressing supporters in Rabieh Sunday, Aoun did not rule out the
possibility of resorting to street protests to press the FPM’s
demands.
On the other contentious issue of Arsal, Musawi said the
“liberation” of the northeastern border town from jihadis should be
a priority for the Future Movement.
"We tell the Future Movement that it is in their interest to recover
the town of Arsal before any other party, because keeping [Arsal]
under takfiri occupation will spark sectarian strife in Lebanon,”
Musawi warned. “Therefore, and to ward off strife, the Future
Movement has to take the initiative, before any other party, to use
its ties with Arab and regional parties that provide support for the
takfiri groups in order to withdraw from Arsal.” Musawi said the
Future Movement’s political effort coupled with the Lebanese Army’s
military power would be able to free Arsal of militants.
Gunman sticks up
Mount Lebanon Burger King
The Daily Star/June. 08, 2015/BEIRUT: A masked gunman robbed a
Burger King in the district of Kesrouan overnight Monday, making off
with about $6,000, a security source told The Daily Star. The gunman
entered the fast food joint on the Zouk Mosbeh highway at 1:30 am,
waving his weapon at employees. He told the staff he would shoot
them dead if they didn't hand over the cash. “He said that he has 40
bullets and he only needs one per kill,” the source said. The staff
then handed him approximately LL10 million ($6,633). The assailant
warned them staff that anyone who tries to follow him out would be
immediately killed. No customers were in the restaurant at the time
of the robbery, the source said. Police are investigating the
robbery. The restaurant did not have any surveillance cameras inside
or outside of the store.
Gulf plan key to Yemen
solution
Monday, 8 June 2015
Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya
The parties fighting in Yemen are not yet willing to accept a
political solution to the crisis. This inevitably means that peace
talks in Muscat, the upcoming Geneva negotiations and other
bilateral meetings being held across the region won’t amount to
much. Neither will a repeat of the recent Houthi attack on southern
Saudi borders achieve anything for the rebels. There is seemingly no
desire for all parties to reach consensus over a reasonable solution
to the crisis, unless either side claims a partial military victory
or the incapability to carry on fighting. But what makes
negotiations a good path for the legitimate government and its
allies is that the major mediators are sticking by U.N. Security
Council resolutions and the reconciliation plan approved by all
Yemenis, including the Houthis and ousted President Ali Abdullah
Saleh, who later turned against it after realizing how easy it was
to take over the capital Sanaa.
Legitimate or not?
Mediators have informed the Houthis that they refuse to negotiate
over the latter’s military presence in Yemeni cities. However, the
legitimate government has also confronted the problem of how to
categorize the Yemeni army (whether legitimate or not), which until
the fall of Sanaa was the army of legitimacy. It is no longer as
such, as many of its brigades joined the rebels and some of its
leaders declared their loyalty to Saleh. The Gulf project will be
the only possible solution to resort to, because it is reasonable
and based on letting Yemenis decide their fate via U.N.-supervised
elections. There is now a complicated situation in Yemen. The
government’s army has mostly become illegitimate, while the
legitimate president and government are in Riyadh. This situation is
likely to continue until the end of this year. The shelling and
fighting will go on, and Geneva might be useful to hold meetings,
negotiate and reach a middle-ground solution among the several
Yemeni fighting parties. In this case, the Gulf project will be the
only possible solution to resort to, because it is reasonable and
based on letting Yemenis decide their fate via U.N.-supervised
elections. The winner would thus represent the Yemeni people and
form a government. At the beginning, some Yemeni parties thought
this proposal would be an easy path to take over governance.
However, when Saleh in particular realized that he would neither
have a part in governance nor dominate power, he decided to sabotage
the plan by targeting the interim government. Foreign parties,
including the United States and Europe, will realize that the Gulf
initiative is the reasonable solution for the crisis via expediting
the elections and considering the results as the only legitimate
reference, whoever wins. Some parties loyal to Saleh will most
likely accept this solution because they will make partial gains.
However, the Houthis will object to it because they are a minority
that depends on the concept of militia rule. They will only agree to
it if they accept to join an expanded coalition that would guarantee
some gains but may lessen their influence. Considering the absence
of wisdom and rationality, unfortunately war will reign and exhaust
all Yemenis. Only then may they accept to go back to the only
reasonable plan, which was disrupted the day Sanaa was occupied.
Analysis: Do the Turkish
elections offer a modicum of hope in preserving its democracy?
By ARIEL BEN
SOLOMON/06/08/2015/J.Post
Regardless of the results of the parliamentary election on Sunday,
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is probably going to push
ahead in consolidating power for himself and his party and continue
to Islamize the state.
The question is how fast he will be able to move. If the election
results force his AK Party to form a coalition government, it could
slow the pace a bit, but many of the state institutions have already
been brought under his authority.
The oft-repeated Erdogan quote bears repeating – “democracy is a
train that you get off once you reach your destination.”
Rachel Sharon-Krespin, director of the Turkish Media Project at
MEMRI (the Middle East Media Research Institute) told The Jerusalem
Post on Sunday evening that the preliminary results so far, showing
that Erdogan’s AKP might be forced to form a coalition government,
could provide some hope for Turkish democracy.
“It would be an irony if the Kurds would save Turkish democracy,”
she said, referring to the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP),
which was projected at press time to make the 10 percent threshold
and get into parliament.
Sharon-Krespin wrote in a recently released report published by
MEMRI that these elections are crucial as they will determine if
Erdogan can become an absolute ruler or whether “his era has come to
an end.”
However, she said that in Turkey it is “highly expected that these
elections would be rigged,” adding that a Twitter account, known as
a whistle- blower and established to reveal truthful leaks, said a
team has been set up by the AKP to rig the elections and have a
presence at every ballot box.
Asked what would happen if the final results will suggest tampering
and rule out other parties making it into parliament, Sharon-Krespin
replied that there would “definitely be protests,” particularly in
the eastern and southeastern parts of the country.
However, if the Kurdish party is able to make it in, it could be
good for minority rights, and that means it would be positive for
Turkish Jews.
Michael Rubin, a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and a
former Pentagon official, told the Post, “Let’s be clear, Erdogan
got off the train of democracy several years ago.
“The AKP has always been over represented in parliament, sometimes
getting twice as many seats as they would have if other parties
passed the 10% threshold,” he said.
If the Kurdish HDP and the previous main opposition Republican
People’s Party (CHP) pass the 10% threshold, then the AKP
supermajority is over, added Rubin.
“But Erdogan has tasted dictatorship and he likes it.
He does not care much for elections unless people vote for him,”
continued Rubin, adding that just as “we saw in local elections in
places like Ankara, he won’t hesitate to fudge the numbers when the
votes are counted off site to ensure the right results.
“Most Turkish politicians tell me he gets at least a 5% bonus from
fraud.”
Not only can he manipulate the results, said Rubin, but “Turkey’s
democracy may be too far gone” since “Erdogan has staffed the
bureaucracy with his cronies so elections may not change much.”
“Erdogan looks in the mirror and sees a sultan,” he asserted, going
on to say that this may be the last chance for voters “to let him
and the world know that the emperor has no clothes.”
Daniel Pipes, scholar and president of the Middle East Forum think
tank, told the Post that the significance of the elections are being
overrated.
“Now, it hardly matters how the elections come out, just as it
hardly does in Iran,” he said.
“Erdogan signaled long ago that he sees democracy as a means to an
end. He rode the democracy bus until it brought him to
near-dictatorship,” argued Pipes.
Asked about Erdogan’s possible foreign policy after the election, he
replied that “Erdogan is a brilliant political operator within the
Turkish domestic context but far less capable abroad. His confidence
leads him to take risks and alienate other governments.”
“I expect something in this arena will bring him down,” he
predicted.
According to an article by Pipes published in the Washington Times,
he sees a possible foreign policy fiasco developing, perhaps with
Russia in Ukraine, Israel in Gaza, the civil war in Syria or the gas
fields of Cyprus. “And when that moment arrives, hardly a soul will
bring up the results of the June 7 election; and none will remember
it as a turning point,” he concluded. •
ISIS purloined rockets from Hamas
production lines to attack Israel. Netanyahu marks out wide sterile zone
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 8, 2015
Islamic State operatives in the Gaza Strip have been helping themselves to Hamas
rockets in recent weeks after furtively penetrating the factory teams operating
the group’s production and assembly lines, debkafile’s military and intelligence
sources reveal. The jihadis then secretly passed the stolen rockets to their
squads for launching against Israel.
By this device, ISIS newly arrived in Gaza has overcome its immediate
deficiencies:
1. They are tapping a local manufacturing source to steal rockets, instead of
having to smuggle them in from afar through Egyptian Sinai. As the ISIS presence
in the Hamas-ruled Palestinian enclave expands, so too will the intensity of its
rocket fire against Israel.
2. The Islamists count on acquiring more advanced longer-range missiles by the
same means as soon as they are developed by Hamas’ manufacturing plants.
It is hard to determine how this ominous reality relates to the comments the IDF
OC Southern Command, Maj. Gen. Sammy Turjman, made to the heads of the local
communities around the Gaza Strip Sunday night, June 7, to calm their fears over
the resumption of rocket fire in the last two weeks.
“In the Southern Command we have noticed that Hamas is making an effort to stop
the rocket fire, although we don’t absolve the organization of responsibility
and will respond accordingly,” the general said.
He added: “Because of a few rockets exploding on empty ground, the IDF won’t
embark on an operation in the Gaza Strip and jeopardize the gains we achieved
[last summer].”
The problem with these platitudes, say debkafile’s military analysts, is that
they represent a repeat of the mistake Israel made on its northern front, by
letting the Hizballah terrorists pile up a huge arsenal of up to 100,000 rockets
and missiles, all pointing one way – south.
Hamas may indeed be trying very hard to prevent rockets being fired against
Israel from the Gaza Strip, but it has not been able to keep ISIS undercover
agents out of its manufacturing plants or from stealing the rockets. Gen.
Turjman does not say how the Islamists managed to creep into the Hamas factories
or whether they have been able to invade other parts of the Palestinian military
organization.
The point is not how many rockets should be fired before the IDF goes to war in
the Gaza Strip, but for how long Israel’s leaders can afford to pretend to make
naught of the dangerous situation building up there. ISIS uses such make-believe
to fuel its policy of expansion.
Israel, Egypt and Hamas are in fact working together, out of their respective
interests, to put a stop to the rocket fire from the Gaza Strip. Egypt has been
blowing up smuggling tunnels; Hamas contingents are out there trying to nab the
rocket teams; Israel and its armed forces, acting on orders from Prime Minister
Binyamin Netanyahu, without informing the public, are marking out a broad
anti-rocket sterile zone, stretching from the Gaza border to encompass the
communities and towns in the south and up to the international airport to the
north. This area embraces a population of 1.6 million and ten cities – Ashkelon,
Ashdod, Netivot and Beersheba, long sufferers of Gaza rockets, and further
north: Modi’in, Ramle, Lod, Rehovot, Ness Ziona and Gedera. Another Iron Dome
battery was positioned in Rehovot, in addition to those defending the south.
Most Israelis are not aware of the size and destructiveness of the long-range
Grad missiles, at least three of which exploded in the last fortnight. debkafile
has attached a photo to this article to illustrate the deadly weapon now in the
hands of the Islamist State in Gaza. Since Hamas and Islamic Jihad alone possess
rockets capable of reaching Rehovot, some 30 km southeast of Tel Aviv and the
same distance from the Ben Gurion international airport, it is now obvious that
the Islamists have got hold of them, notwithstanding the efforts made by Israel,
Egypt and Hamas.
ISIS’s ability to stealthily invade Hamas poses them all with their most
daunting problem.
US Supreme Court: No 'Israel' allowed
on passports of Americans born in Jerusalem
By YONAH JEREMY BOB/J.Post/06/08/2015
In a major blow to a 13-year-old effort to bolster Jerusalem's status under
American law as an undisputed part of Israel, the US Supreme Court on Monday
struck down as unconstitutional a Congressional law which authorized placing
"Israel" on passports of Jerusalem-born Americans. The 6-3 split ruling was also
a victory for the administration of US President Barack Obama, which said the
law unlawfully encroached on the president's power to set foreign policy and
would, if enforced, undermine the US government's claim to be a neutral
peacemaker in the Middle East. Liberal justices Ruth Bader-Ginsburg, Stephen
Breyer, Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan combined with swing justice Anthony
Kennedy and generally highly conservative Justice Clarence Thomas for the 6-3
majority against Justices John Roberts, Antonin Scalia and Samuel Alito.
Justice Scalia took the majority to task for its legal reasoning, saying its
interpretation that putting the word Jerusalem on individual passport documents
was tantamount to recognition of Israeli claims over the city was a "leap worthy
of the Mad Hatter."
When the court heard oral argument on the issue in November 2014, it appeared
split on the historic question of whether it is constitutional to place "Israel"
on passports of Jerusalem-born Americans.
After the court hearing, Menachem Zivotofsky, the boy on whose behalf the case
was filed, told reporters, "I am an Israeli and I want people to know that I am
glad that I am an Israeli, and that I am not embarrassed by the fact that I am
an Israeli."
The case, Zivotofsky v. Kerry, has been winding through the US courts for years
with major setback decisions followed by unexpected decisions putting the case
back on track.
The policy of the US, both under Republican and Democratic presidents, since the
founding of the State of Israel has been that passports of Americans born in
Jerusalem will read merely "Jerusalem" as place of birth, not "Israel."
The basis of the policy has been to avoid taking sides in the ongoing
Arab-Israeli conflict over the status of Jerusalem, including the various
competing claims – this despite the state's annexation of Jerusalem decades ago.
But in 2002, the US Congress passed the Foreign Relations Authorization Act
which require the US government to place "Jerusalem, Israel" as the place of
birth for Jerusalem-born US citizens.
Former US President George W. Bush ignored Congress, claiming it had interfered
with his powers to direct foreign policy on the issue of if or when to recognize
foreign countries' claims to land, and US President Barack Obama has followed
suit. The parents of Menachem Zivitofsky, also born in 2002, sued, and along
with a coalition of supporters have pushed the case through the courts to try to
force the US president's hand and to comply with the Congressional law. In 2011
the US District of Columbia Appeals Court declined to even give a position on
the dispute, saying that it had to defer to the executive at the outset since
the issue involved foreign policy, which court's stay away from. The US Supreme
Court intervened and ordered the appeals court to revisit the issue and analyze
the merits of both sides' arguments. In revisiting the issue in July 2013, the
same appeals court declared the 2002 law unconstitutional, taking the
president's side that Congress had overreached into foreign policy areas
controlled by the executive branch. In April 2014, the US Supreme Court agreed
to hear the Zivotofsky family's appeal of the appeals court's second rejection
of its case – and its final decision on that final appeal came Monday. The
overall prediction had been that despite saving the case on an interim basis
twice, that the US Supreme Court would likely side with the president. Justice
Kennedy had indicated a possible compromise, suggested by some scholars, in
which the law is enforced, but the government adds disclaimers in passports
saying the place of birth is not intended to recognize Israel's sovereignty over
Jerusalem – theoretically alleviating concerns that the policy change would be
viewed as taking sides in the Israeli-Arab conflict. But ultimately, the
executive branch's position prevailed without compromise. The State Department
had argued that if the court rules for Congress and upholds the law,
"irreversible damage" could be caused to America's power to influence the
region's peace process. The Solicitor General, who represents the president, had
noted that US citizens born in other places in the region where sovereignty has
not been established, including the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, are similarly
prevented from stating a country of birth on their passports.
Reuters contributed to this story.
Netanyahu: The Palestinians ran from
talks with Barak, Sharon, Olmert and now me
By JPOST.COM STAFF/06/08/2015 /Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called on the
world to hold the Palestinians accountable for their continuing tactic of
fleeing peace talks which Israel has always shown itself ready to engage in.
Speaking ahead of a meeting with visiting Czech Foreign Minister Lubomir
Zaora'lek, Netanyahu voiced his commitment to a two-state solution, but said
that the Palestinians refused to engage in direct talks. He listed the long line
of Israeli prime ministers who have attempted to reach an agreement with the
Palestinians to no avail."They ran away from Barak; they ran away from Sharon;
they ran away from Olmert; they ran away from me. " Netanyahu called the
Palestinian tactic "a perfect trap." "What they do is they refuse to negotiate,
refuse to deal with the framework of John Kerry, in the White House, run to
Hamas, which calls for our destruction, go to the UN and try to get sanctions on
Israel," Netanyahu said. "They refuse to negotiate and then try to get boycotts
on Israel for there not being negotiations which they refuse to enter. Catch
22," he charged. "I think this cycle has to be stopped. I think we have to get
back to direct negotiations without preconditions. I think it’s important that
the international community stop giving the Palestinians a free pass," he said.
Obama talks Mideast crises on
sidelines of G7 summit
Associated Press/Ynetnews
Published: 06.08.15/Israel News
President meets with Hollande on Iran, Cameron and Iraqi PM on Islamic State, as
world leaders gather in Germany.
ELMAU, Germany -- US President Barack Obama was huddling with allies Monday on
the sidelines of an international summit to address pressing Mideast problems
while trying to convince European leaders not to waver on sanctions against
Russia in the face of fresh violence in Ukraine. Obama came to the final day of
the Group of Seven summit under the strain of an intimidating list of global
pressures and little signs of movement to address them among the world's largest
industrial democracies. Climate change and terrorism topped the official agenda,
but leaders also grappled with Russia's aggressive moves on Ukraine, an upcoming
nuclear deadline with Iran, tenuous trade pact politics and an impasse over
Greece's international bailout. Obama met privately with French President
Francois Hollande, a sometimes skeptical partner in the talks with Iran over its
nuclear weapons program. Obama also planned to consult with Iraqi Prime Minister
Haider al-Abadi as he struggles against an increasing threat from Islamic State
militants. Abadi has called for more help from the US and its partners to
confront the militants. He also was scheduled to address G-7 leaders during a
closed session focused on terrorism. Obama spokesman Josh Earnest said the
president wants to look for "more efficient ways that we can offer assistance to
Iraqi security forces" and he expects that will be part of the discussion among
the G7, which also includes Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Canada and
Japan.Meeting on Sunday with British Prime Minister David Cameron, Obama said he
wanted to address the fight against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria and
"assess what's working, what's not, and how we can continue to make progress
there in dismantling the infrastructure that ISIL has built."On another
battlefront, in Ukraine, Earnest said Obama was urging European leaders to renew
sanctions against Russia that are set to expire at the end of July. Obama wants
the Europeans to leave the financial penalties in place until Moscow complies
with the terms of a cease-fire agreement reached four months ago in Belarus.
Some of the worst fighting since the cease-fire was agreed to broke out last
week in eastern Ukraine. "Russia has essentially thumbed their nose at the
commitments that they made in the context of the Minsk negotiations," Earnest
said. He urged Europeans to stay the course, while acknowledging it could cause
financial pain because their economies are tied to Russia. Obama's meeting with
Hollande came as France at times has taken a harder line and expressed more
skepticism than Washington on the Iran negotiations. Richard Fontaine, president
of the Center for New American Security who worked on foreign policy in
President George W. Bush's White House, said he would advise Obama to deliver a
direct message to Hollande."What is it going to take to get you back on the bus?
Because let's keep these disagreements behind closed doors, rather than doing
this in the press, which is harmful to our position," Fontaine said.
Saudi Arabia and Iran heading to war?
Monday, 8 June 2015
Jamal Khashoggi/Al Arabiya
It is wrong to look at Operation Decisive Storm merely as an incidental Saudi
military operation against the Houthis. This is a Saudi policy combining
diplomacy and war to stop Iranian influence then push it out of Syria and Yemen.
We have heard this before, but where will this dangerous policy end and where
will the line be drawn? To what extent will Iran tolerate these consecutive
Saudi slaps in Syria and Yemen, and where do major powers stand on all of this?
Answering these questions will help us find an answer to whether Saudi Arabia
and Iran are heading to war. Does Iranian infiltration deserve taking such risks
and costing the kingdom huge amounts of money, along with the possibility of an
open war with Iran?
Iran should know that Saudi Arabia will not draw back from what it started
Let us lend our ears to former U.S. foreign minister, competent analyst and
illustrious politician Henry Kissinger. In his book “World Order,” published
last year shortly before Operation Decisive Storm, he said the conflict with
Iran was existential and covered the continuity of the kingdom, the state’s
legitimacy and the future of Islam.
While Riyadh is not executing an aggressive or intrusive policy toward Tehran
and its strategic interests, Iranians are behaving as if Kissinger’s description
applies to them too. First, the supposed friend of the kingdom, former Iranian
President Hashemi Rafsanjani - who was the godfather of the Saudi-Iranian
rapprochement in the 1990s - issued statements against it last week no less
harsh than any extremist from the Iranian Revolutionary Guards.
Iranian footholds
Then Qassem Soleimani, commander of the Quds Force and hero of Iranian forays
into the Arab world, broadcast that his army and Syrian military leaders are in
the midst of preparing for battle. What do they have up their sleeves? Will they
execute an airdrop on the Syrian coast to protect it from the rebels’ progress,
or send a large contingent from the Iranian army to protect the Alawite state
that they wish to establish as a foothold in Syria?
I do not know what the Saudi military response for such a folly would be, but I
am sure both the kingdom and Turkey categorically reject any direct Iranian
presence or division of Syria. Thus, we might consider Soleimani’s broadcast as
one of the demarcation lines that may lead to a direct Saudi-Iranian
confrontation.
Also, the kingdom will not allow an Iranian foothold in Yemen. This explains the
following Saudi attitude toward ongoing negotiations: The Houthis can live
however they want inside their country, but they will never be considered a
prevailing authority as the government is bound to be pluralist and
participatory.
Saudi Arabia does not want an open confrontation with Iran, realizing the high
cost of such a war. The same goes for Iran, which knows that the military
budget, especially for the air force, is not in its favor. Moreover, Riyadh has
alliances with a number of Arab and Islamic countries willing to defend the Land
of the Two Holy Mosques. Both countries have enough arms to destroy each others’
capacities. It is a binary threat and an important deterrence.
Iran’s allies in Yemen are subjected day and night to a Saudi-led war against
them until they turn to peace, and the blade is now closer to the necks of
Iran’s allies in Syria and Lebanon. It is time to either give up these allies in
a deal, or carry out the “surprises” Soleimani promised.
‘Fahd line’
Iran should know that Saudi Arabia will not draw back from what it started, and
will continue until complete victory. Even though Riyadh is open to a diplomatic
solution in Yemen, it is awaiting the outcome of the Muscat-Houthi talks under
U.S. patronage. Meanwhile, it has not reduced the intensity of its military
operations in Yemen, and was careful to let the Iranians know that the “Fahd
line” still exists.
This is an imaginary line drawn by the late Saudi King Fahd in the middle of the
Arabian Gulf during the Iran-Iraq war. Iran was informed that any of its planes
crossing this line would be shot down without warning. This happened on June 5,
1984, with two Iranian F-4 planes. Saudi F-16 fighter jets shot them down in the
Gulf Sea.
After that incident, Iran fully abided by the “Fahd line” until two weeks ago,
when a civilian plane tried to land by force in Sanaa airport. This was followed
by another entry attempt by a ship claiming to carry relief materials at
Hodeidah port. Both times, Saudi fighter jets and marine vessels intercepted the
intruders and made them retreat by force. Iran is now fully aware that the “Fahd
line” not only stands but has extended to Yemen, and that the kingdom will not
hesitate to deal with any crossing attempt.
In both cases, Iran applied its famous “Edge of the Abyss” policy, with one
unintentional mistake leading to ominous consequences: had the wings of both
planes slightly touched, they would have crashed, leaving a trail of victims.
This would have pushed one or both governments to an irrational war. In order to
prevent this, the rational one must stop the crazy one who wants to score an
absurd media victory.
U.S. involvement
From afar, the international community led by the United States does not want
such a nightmare to come true. Even China will agree with the West in this
regard. This explains why Washington is making every effort to reach a peace
agreement in Yemen, as it called for and sponsored the ongoing negotiations with
the Houthis in Muscat. It has taken charge of the talks alongside Oman, while
Riyadh and the Yemeni government are waiting.
U.S. involvement in the crisis is useful. Washington will get introduced the
hard way to the Houthis, who learned well from the Iranians in terms of lying,
procrastinating and dodging. Their true colors will then be evident to the
international community, and the latter will understand the Saudi position.
If negotiations in Geneva are conducted, the Yemeni people will request that the
Houthis and ousted President Ali Abdullah Saleh be bound by a ceasefire, that
thousands of detainees be released, and that politics in Yemen be free.
Victory to the Yemeni Popular Resistance can only be achieved by war, or the
Saudi threat of a bigger war. Wars are always ugly, but a just war is necessary
sometimes to achieve peace.
Turkey: "An End to an Era of Oppression"
Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute
June 8, 2015
http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/5915/turkey-election
"We, through democratic means, have brought an end to an era of oppression." —
Kemal Kilicdaroglu, leader of the main opposition, Republican People's Party
(CHP).
Erdogan is now the lonely sultan in his $615 million, 1150-room presidential
palace. For the first time since 2002, the opposition has more seats in the
parliament than the AKP.
For the first time since his Islamist party won its first election victory in
2002, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was nowhere to be seen on the night
of June 7. He did not make a victory speech. He did not, in fact, make any
speech.
Not only failing to win the two-thirds majority they desired to change the
constitution, the AKP lost its parliamentary majority and the ability to form a
single-party government. It won 40.8% of the national vote and 258 seats, 19
short of the simple majority requirement of 276. Erdogan is now the lonely
sultan at his $615 million, 1150-room presidential palace. For the first time
since 2002, the opposition has more seats in parliament than the AKP: 292 seats
to 258.
"The debate over presidency, over dictatorship in Turkey is now over," said a
cheerful Selahattin Demirtas after the preliminary poll results. Demirtas, a
Kurdish politician whose Peoples' Democracy Party [HDP] entered parliament as a
party for the first time, apparently with support from secular, leftist and
marginal Turks, is the charismatic man who destroyed Erdogan's dreams of an
elected sultanate. Echoing a similar view, the social democrat, Kemal
Kilicdaroglu, leader of the main opposition Republican People's Party [CHP],
commented on the early results in plain language: "We, through democratic means,
have brought an end to an era of oppression."
What lies ahead is less clear. Theoretically, the AKP can sign a coalition deal
with the third biggest party, the right-wing Nationalist Movement Party [MHP],
although during the campaign, MHP leader Devlet Bahceli slammed Erdogan harshly
for the embarrassing corruption allegations against the president. At the same
time, a CHP-MHP-HDP coalition is unlikely, as it must bring together the
otherwise arch-enemies MHP and HDP.
Turkey's Nationalist Movement Party leader Devlet Bahceli addresses supporters
after the release of preliminary election results, June 7, 2015. (Image source:
MHP video screenshot)
The AKP management may be planning for snap, or early, polls but there are
hardly any rational reasons for it except to risk another ballot box defeat.
Parliament may try a minority government, supported by one of the parties from
outside government benches, but this can only create a temporary government.
Two outcomes, however, look almost certain: 1) The AKP is in an undeniable
decline; the voters have forced it into compromise politics rather than
permitting it to run a one-man show, with in-house bickering even more likely
than peace, and new conservative Muslims challenging the incumbent leadership.
2) Erdogan's ambitions for a too-powerful, too-authoritarian, Islamist executive
presidency, "a la sultan," will have to go into the political wasteland at least
in the years ahead.
The AKP appeared polled in first place on June 7. But that day may mark the
beginning of the end for it. How ironic; the AKP came to power with 34.4% of the
national vote in 2002, winning 66% of the seats in parliament. Nearly 13 years
later, thanks to the undemocratic features of an electoral law it has fiercely
defended, it won 40.8% of the vote and only 47% of the seats in parliament,
blocking it from even forming a simple majority.