LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

November 02/16

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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Bible Quotations For Today
The Parable Of The King Who wanted To Settle With His Slaves
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 18/23-35/:"‘For this reason the kingdom of heaven may be compared to a king who wished to settle accounts with his slaves. When he began the reckoning, one who owed him ten thousand talents was brought to him; and, as he could not pay, his lord ordered him to be sold, together with his wife and children and all his possessions, and payment to be made. So the slave fell on his knees before him, saying, "Have patience with me, and I will pay you everything."And out of pity for him, the lord of that slave released him and forgave him the debt. But that same slave, as he went out, came upon one of his fellow-slaves who owed him a hundred denarii; and seizing him by the throat, he said, "Pay what you owe."Then his fellow-slave fell down and pleaded with him, "Have patience with me, and I will pay you." But he refused; then he went and threw him into prison until he should pay the debt. When his fellow-slaves saw what had happened, they were greatly distressed, and they went and reported to their lord all that had taken place. Then his lord summoned him and said to him, "You wicked slave! I forgave you all that debt because you pleaded with me. Should you not have had mercy on your fellow-slave, as I had mercy on you?"And in anger his lord handed him over to be tortured until he should pay his entire debt. So my heavenly Father will also do to every one of you, if you do not forgive your brother or sister from your heart.’
 
There are varieties of gifts, but the same Spirit; and there are varieties of services, but the same Lord
and there are varieties of activities, but it is the same God who activates all of them in everyone.
 First Letter to the Corinthians 12/01-11/:"Now concerning spiritual gifts, brothers and sisters, I do not want you to be uninformed. You know that when you were pagans, you were enticed and led astray to idols that could not speak. Therefore I want you to understand that no one speaking by the Spirit of God ever says ‘Let Jesus be cursed!’ and no one can say ‘Jesus is Lord’ except by the Holy Spirit. Now there are varieties of gifts, but the same Spirit; and there are varieties of services, but the same Lord; and there are varieties of activities, but it is the same God who activates all of them in everyone. To each is given the manifestation of the Spirit for the common good. To one is given through the Spirit the utterance of wisdom, and to another the utterance of knowledge according to the same Spirit, to another faith by the same Spirit, to another gifts of healing by the one Spirit, to another the working of miracles, to another prophecy, to another the discernment of spirits, to another various kinds of tongues, to another the interpretation of tongues. All these are activated by one and the same Spirit, who allots to each one individually just as the Spirit chooses. 
 
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 02/16
Local politicians welcome the election of President Aoun/Joseph Haboush/The Daily Star/October 01/16
Iran’s Man in Beirut/Lebanon’s new president has been a putschist, a neocon fellow traveler, and now an ally of Hezbollah/Alex Rowell/The Daily Beast/November 01/16
Won Lebanon’s Presidency But Lost His Voice/Diana Moukalled/Arab News/November 01/16
Lebanon’s New Head of State /Aoun Gets His Wish/Bilal Y. Saab/Foreign Affairs/November 01/16
 A New President for Lebanon/David Schenker/The Washington Institute/October 31/16
Jews Die, Turks Celebrate/Palestinians: Back into Bed with Hamas
Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/November 01/16
Palestinians: Back into Bed with Hamas/Robert Jones/Gatestone Institute/November 01/16
Obama: Don't Destroy the Peace Process by Turning it Over to the U.N./Alan M. Dershowitz/Gatestone Institute/November 01/16
German Streets Descend into Lawlessness, "We are losing control of the streets."/Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/November 01/16
India and UNESCO: Historical View vs. Jihad View/Jagdish N. Singh//Gatestone Institute/November 01/16
Russia has already won in the US presidential election/Joyce Karam/Al Arabiya/October 01/16/
The challenge of dealing with Houthis in Yemen/Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/October 01/16/
On the missile launched at Makkah and al-Jawhara plot/Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/October 01/16
Checks and balances are needed to raise government employee productivity/Khaled Almaeena/Al Arabiya/October 01/16/

Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on on November 02/16
Iran: Aoun’s election a victory for Hezbollah
UN council welcomes election of Lebanon’s president
Qassem Says President Election 'Victory for Lebanon', Hails Aoun's Oath of Office
Local politicians welcome the election of President Aoun
Aoun receives felicitations from Kerry: Rapid political solution to Syrian crisis would reflect positively on Lebanon
Issam Fares returns to Lebanon, congratulates Aoun in Baabda
FPM: Sayyed Nasrallah Our Partner in Victory
Bassil announces nominating Saad Hariri to premiership
Report: Hizbullah Won't Name Hariri for Premiership
Beiri Lauds President's Oath of Office, Says Work Must Now Begin
Mustaqbal Nominates Hariri for PM Post, Eyes 'Cooperation' with Aoun
Alain Aoun: Government Formation Will be Quick, Berri Doesn't Want Disruption
Harb Urges for Cooperation with New President for Lebanon's Sake
Algerian Ambassador hosts reception on Algeria's National Day
Aoun receives felicitations from Kerry: Rapid political solution to Syrian crisis would reflect positively on Lebanon
Aoun receives Bishops delegation dispatched by Rahi to congratulate him on election
ISF: Truck loaded with captagon seized on Chekka highway
Heavy traffic on President Lahoud Highway towards Sayyad
Iran’s Man in Beirut/Lebanon’s new president has been a putschist, a neocon fellow traveler, and now an ally of Hezbollah.
Won Lebanon’s Presidency But Lost His Voice
Lebanon’s New Head of State /Aoun Gets His Wish
A New President for Lebanon'

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 01/16
Russia: Peace in Syria postponed ‘indefinitely’
Syrian army makes gains in Damascus
UN reports more civilians forced to Mosul, possibly as shields
Turkey military deployment in Silopi related to Iraq developments
Kurdish authorities detain Japanese journalist in Iraq
Iran: 20 ‘undeclared’ sentences on Saudi embassy attackers
Coalition targets Houthi missile launch pads
Interactive: Mapping history of terror attacks in Saudi Arabia
Italian prosecutor in Egypt to discuss probe into student’s killing
Kuwait Bars 47 Candidates from Contesting Polls
Iranian Regime's Economic Expert: Having Seven to Eight Million Unemployed Is a Major Challenge for the Country
Execution lingers in Iran Prisons
Deceptive maneuver of changing the law and reducing the number of executions by the mullahs
Morocco Arrests 11 over Fish Seller's Death
 
Links From Jihad Watch Site for on November 02/16
Jews die, Turks celebrate
Germany: Migrant camp built next to jihadi mosque that Muslim migrants are now frequenting
Sweden: Muslim migrants given preference over Swedish families for housing
Stunning defeat for BDS activists: Universities Canada adopts “anti-BDS criterion”
Sharia UK: British Gymnastics suspends Olympic medalist for 2 months for insulting Islam
Hillary receives thousands from Islamic supremacists AFTER she was revealed as leading recipient of jihad terror-tied cash
Imam shortage in Kashmir after numerous imams arrested for inciting violence
U.S. admitted 13,210 Syrian refugees so far in 2016; up 675% from 2015; 99.1% are Muslims
Pakistan: Muslims imprison, torture 9-year-old Christian boy on false claim that he burned Qur’an
Banned: How Facebook Enables Militant Islamic Jihad — on The Glazov Gang
Germany: Muslim woman screaming “Allahu akbar” attacks police officers with box-cutter

Minnesota Muslim says he joined the Islamic State because “if I didn’t do it, I would be basically a disgrace to God”

Links From Christian Today Site for on November 02/16
 
Is This The Original Tomb Of Jesus?
 Raped, Tortured And Forced To Convert: One Yazidi Woman's Abuse Under ISI
 Pope In Sweden: Conservatives Are Furious, But Francis Thinks Luther Got A Lot Right
 Trump Raises Spectre Of Crisis If Clinton Wins White House
 Give Unto Caesar...Christian Pastor Refuses To Obey Order To Hand Sermons To The State
 Are Anglicans Really Protestants? Complex Row Between Christians In Egypt Reignites Old Argument
 How Much Longer Must These Three Christian Men Suffer In Jail For A Crime They Did Not Commit?

 

Latest Lebanese Related News published on on November 02/16

Iran: Aoun’s election a victory for Hezbollah

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Tuesday, 1 November 2016

Iran welcomed the election of Michel Aoun as Lebanon’s new president on Monday, calling it a victory for the Shiite group Hezbollah, Tehran’s ally in Lebanon.

Aoun, a leader of Lebanon’s Christian community, secured the post in a parliamentary vote, ending a 29-month presidential vacuum in a deal with Sunni leader Saad al-Hariri, who is now expected to become prime minister.

"The election of Michel Aoun as president shows new support for the Islamic resistance (against Israel)," Ali Akbar Velayati, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s top foreign policy adviser, was quoted as saying by Iran’s Tasnim news agency.

"This is surely a victory for Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of (Hezbollah and) Islamic Resistance in Lebanon."

Iran helped create Hezbollah in the early 1980s, when it fought Israeli forces that had invaded Lebanon.

Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani congratulated Aoun, a former army commander, in a phone call, an official in Rouhani’s office tweeted, calling it a victory for resistance and for ethnic tolerance in Lebanon.

Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah also called Aoun to congratulate him, the group’s al-Manar TV station reported.

Regarding the impact of the election on the Syrian crisis, Khamenei’s advisor said Aoun’s election will affect the Syrian conflict because of what he called “the positive role of aid in support of the resistance front in Syria.”

Velayati stressed that Lebanon is important in a series of what he called "resistance" that begin from Iran and include countries such as Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Palestine.

The top advisor did not mention support to any other Lebanese blocs and parties, including the Future Movement led by Saad al-Hariri, but stressed that support for Hezbollah and its insistence on the nomination of Aoun is what led to his election as President of Lebanon.

 

UN council welcomes election of Lebanon’s president

AFP, United Nations, United States Wednesday, 2 November 2016/The UN Security Council on Tuesday welcomed the election of Michel Aoun as Lebanon’s new president and said a new unity government and national elections next year would be critical for stability. The council unanimously adopted the statement, a day after the 81-year-old former army chief was elected after four rounds of voting in parliament. “The election is a long-awaited and critical step to overcome Lebanon’s political and institutional crisis,” the council statement said. The election ended a two-year power vacuum at the top at a time when the country is struggling to cope with the impact of the devastating war in neighboring Syria. The council stressed that “the formation of a unity government and the election of a parliament by May 2017, in accordance with the constitution, are critical for Lebanon’s stability and resilience to withstand regional challenges,” the statement read. UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon on Monday welcomed Aoun and called for a new government to be formed without delay. Lebanon is hosting more than one million Syrian refugees while hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians have been living in squalid and often lawless camps in the country.

 

Qassem Says President Election 'Victory for Lebanon', Hails Aoun's Oath of Office

Naharnet/November 01/16/Hizbullah deputy chief Sheikh Naim Qassem announced Tuesday that the election of a president after two and a half years of vacuum is a “victory for Lebanon,” as he hailed President Michel Aoun's oath of office as “patriotic and pro-independence par excellence.”“We consider that holding the presidential election is a victory for Lebanon in the face of the internal and external complications, and the oath of office that was declared by President General Michel Aoun was patriotic and pro-independence par excellence,” Qassem said during a meeting with the Muslim Scholars Gathering. “It is suitable for devising political, security and social plans,” Qassem went on to say, referring to Aoun's oath of office. Turning to the issue of the next government, Hizbullah number two said it should be a “national unity government” in which “all political parties would be represented.” “This achieves real partnership, regularizes the work of institutions, and protects Lebanon from the Israeli and takfiri threats on the southern, eastern and northern borders,” Qassem noted.

He also called on the next government to contribute to devising “an electoral law that achieves correct representation.”Aoun was elected president on Monday after around two and a half years of presidential void. His presidential chances were largely boosted by a key endorsement from al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri in mid-October. Aoun's nomination also received crucial support from Hizbullah and the Lebanese Forces. Binding parliamentary consultations for picking the new premier will be held on Wednesday and Thursday and Hariri is poised to be re-designated as premier. Hizbullah has announced that it is “not opposed” to Hariri's return to the premiership but it is not clear whether or not its parliamentary bloc will nominate Hariri for the post.

 

Local politicians welcome the election of President Aoun

Joseph Haboush/The Daily Star/October 01/16

BEIRUT: Lebanese politicians voiced readiness to cooperate to re-activate long-paralyzed government institutions Monday, despite a number of politicians’ disapproval of Gen. Michel Aoun prior to his election to the presidency.

Maronite Patriarch Beshara Rai: “The election of Gen. Michel Aoun as president gives us great joy and happiness. Let the president and the government live by the word of the Apostle Paul, ‘Forget what is behind me and let what is in front of me unroll.’”

Lebanese Forces leader

Samir Geagea: “I congratulate all the Lebanese people following a 2-1/2-year vacancy, and I also congratulate Gen. Aoun and assure him that our bilateral cooperation is guaranteed for his term.”Future Movement leader and

former Prime Minister Saad Hariri:“We hope there will be a national unity government for all the Lebanese.”

Future Movement parliamentary bloc head and former

Prime Minister Fouad Siniora:

“We now have a president, and we will work together with him on every issue that will be good for Lebanon. ... His inauguration speech was pleasing and we will now endorse Saad Hariri as the prime minister of this government.”

Marada Movement leader MP

Sleiman Frangieh:“I congratulated Gen. Aoun. He is the president for all of Lebanon, and he is our ally in politics. Our political path [has emerged] victorious.”

Speaker Nabih Berri:“We pledge to you to lead the ship to the shores of safety, as winds and waves surrounding us are threatening more divisions. Your election should be the start and not the end.”

Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblatt: “Finally we are out of the crisis after [more than two] years ... it is important that we all turn a new page to face national challenges.”

Tourism Minister Michel Pharaon:“This event is a triumph of the Christian political legitimacy required by all parties ... We have started a phase of political stability and fortification of unity and reconciliation in the country.”

Former Prime Minister and MP Najib Mikati:“I congratulate the Lebanese people ... We respect the will of the Parliament to elect Aoun and we will be a constructive opposition.”

Education Minister Elias Bou Saab:“We are keen on our partnership with all factions including Speaker Berri.”MP Mohammad Safadi:“I congratulate President Michel Aoun and I wish him success ... for a strong Lebanon to rebuild a strong republic.”

Foreign Minister Gebran Bassil:“It is resurrection day ... We will remain with Aoun from now until the end of time and he represents all of Lebanon.”

Independence Movement leader Michel Mouawad:“I congratulate the election of President Michel Aoun ... We hope the election of a president will restore an equal balance of power.”

Former Brig. Gen. Chamel Roukoz: “The election of Michel Aoun as president is a victory for all Lebanese, and the most important thing is that the Lebanese are the victorious ... The road has opened to a strong Lebanon.”

Former MP Faisal Karami:“I hope that [Aoun’s] national duty is a success ... I hope that this presidential term is a term defined by success, consensus, stability and the rebuilding of the government and its institutions.”

MP Nidal Tohme:“Congratulations to Lebanon and all of the Lebanese on the election of a new president ... I hope this will be a good omen for the country.”

Hamas representative in Lebanon Ali Barakeh:

“We hope that the new president will be able to lead Lebanon to safety, prosperity and stability ... We urge President Aoun to take comprehensive approach to the Palestinians’ conditions.”

Armenian Catholic Patriarchate: “On the occasion of the election of Gen. Michel Aoun as president, the Armenian Catholic Patriarchate would like to congratulate the new president, [and] especially the Lebanese people ... We wish for health, success, stability and peace in our beloved Lebanon.”

Nazek Hariri, wife of assassinated late PM Rafik Hariri, on the

occasion of Hariri’s birthday: “We will be hand in hand in a unified nation.”

World Lebanese Cultural

University head Elias Kassab: “Aoun’s election offers a glimmer of hope for local residents and for the diaspora [who wish to] return to Lebanon.”

Model-turned-singer Myriam Klink commented on a popular talk show: “I endorse Michel Aoun for president.” She received one vote Monday. But, after some debate, Berri declared the vote null due to her not being Maronite Christian. “I was the target of sarcasm today because I am Orthodox. Why?” Klink asked. “What happened today was the marginalization of the Lebanese woman and I reject this.”

 

 Aoun receives felicitations from Kerry: Rapid political solution to Syrian crisis would reflect positively on Lebanon

Tue 01 Nov 2016 /NNA - President Michel Aoun received on Tuesday evening a telephone call from US Secretary of State, John Kerry, congratulating him on his election as President of the Republic. Kerry stressed the United States' support for Lebanon, and its commitment to assisting the Lebanese Army in its battle against terrorism. Kerry pointed out that his country and the international community were looking forward to the formation of a new government in Lebanon, as soon as possible. President Michel Aoun, for his part, thanked Kerry on his congratulatory call and stressed "the importance of continued US aid to the Lebanese Army which endeavors to promote security and stability in the country."President Aoun said "reaching a quick political solution to the Syrian crisis will reflect positively on the situation in Lebanon and its various aspects, especially in terms of finding a solution to the tragedy of displaced Syrians in Lebanon."

 

Issam Fares returns to Lebanon, congratulates Aoun in Baabda

The Daily Star/November 01/16/BEIRUT: Former Lebanese deputy Prime Minister and business tycoon Issam Fares visited the newly-elected President Michel Aoun at the Baabda Palace Tuesday after returning briefly to the country following a 12-year absence. “We came here to congratulate his Excellency, the president, and we will then go back to our work. We came to congratulate Lebanon. I am confident that there will be a new Lebanon,” Fares said in a news conference after meeting with Aoun. When asked if he will return to Lebanon for good, Fares said: “We have now broken the ice, so it will be easier to come back ... but this was just a special visit for the president.”Fares said that he will continue to serve Lebanon in any capacity, when asked by a reporter whether he is thinking about returning to politics. He left Tuesday afternoon with his family on a London-bound flight from Beirut's Rafik Hariri International Airport. Fares had left Lebanon following the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri in 2005. He served as deputy premier three times. The businessman has also helped fund election campaigns for Aoun’s Free Patriotic Movement.

 

FPM: Sayyed Nasrallah Our Partner in Victory

Al-Manar/November 1, 2016/The Head of the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) in Lebanon, Gibran Bassil stressed that Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah is the movement’s partner in the victory achieved in the presidential vote.In a crowded ceremony celebrating the election of General Michel Aoun for presidency, Bassil praised Sayyed Nasrallah’s political honesty. “To our partner in victory, Sayyed Nasrallah we say: we have never doubted your honesty,” Bassil addressed Hezbollah S.G. Hezbollah has been backing Aoun, FPM founder, since the presidential vacuum started in  May 2014, with Sayyed Nasrallah repeatedly said that the 81-year old politician is qualified to such post. “Let the Lebanese know that there are still honest people in this country, Bassil said referring to Sayyed Nasrallah. Meanwhile, he stressed that the FPM’s supportive stance towards the resistance in July war in 2006 was a national duty.

 

Bassil announces nominating Saad Hariri to premiership

Tue 01 Nov 2016/NNA - Caretaker Foreign Affairs Minister, Gibran Bassil, said, "After nominating head of Future Movement Saad Hariri to premiership by the Future Bloc, we agree on such nomination which is a normal stance. All our votes will be in favor of Hariri and we will remain by his side across all the difficulties he faces. We will accept the one who accepts us and reject the one who rejects."Bassil's stance came Tuesday in the context of the regular weekly meeting of the Bloc of Reform and Change in Rabieh. "We want a national unity government in accordance with clear standards based on proper representation," said Bassil, who added that General Michel Aoun is a president for Lebanon and all Lebanese.

 

Report: Hizbullah Won't Name Hariri for Premiership

Naharnet/November 01/16/Hizbullah will not name al-Mustaqbal Movement leader MP Saad Hariri for the post of premiership, al-Akhbar daily reported on Tuesday. The daily pointed out to expectations and agreements that were reached before the presidential election that suggested assigning MP Hariri at the head of the government. But all eyes are on the leadership of two main parliamentary blocs, Hizbullah and AMAL Movement bloc, which have not made any decision as yet with regard to assigning Hariri.The daily said that all indicators so far show that Hizbullah will not name the Mustaqbal head. On Monday Lebanon's parliamentarians elected founder of the Free Patriotic Movement MP Michel Aoun president of the republic after a longtime vacuum that has been plaguing Lebanon since May 2014 when the term of the president ended. Aoun was tipped to become president after ex-PM Hariri formally endorsed his nomination earlier this month. Reports say that Aoun is expected to nominate Hariri to return as prime minister, leading some to describe his support for the ex-general as a tit-for-tat. Binding parliamentary consultations for the designation of a new premier have been scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday, hours after Michel Aoun was elected as Lebanon's 13th president. Earlier on Monday, Aoun signed a decree accepting the resignation of Prime Minister Tammam Salam's government and asking it to act in caretaker capacity until the formation of a new government.

 

Beiri Lauds President's Oath of Office, Says Work Must Now Begin

Naharnet/November 01/16/Speaker Nabih Berri lauded the oath of office taken by President Michel Aoun, as he stressed the necessity to restore the State's activity now that a president has been elected, al-Joumhouria daily reported on Tuesday. “What I and the Lebanese have wished for has become true. Now we have a president which means that the phase of action must start,” visitors to Berri quoted him as saying. On the speech he made at the beginning of the parliament session that saw Aoun become president, and whether it sends a message that he extends his hand to all parties, Berri said: “Of course it is, it is much more than that. It is a stimulus for all political parties without exception, particularly for the president so that we are able to cooperate and save Lebanon from the crises it is living. “I referred to this in my speech, and I have expressed full readiness to be the first to collaborate with the president to launch the wheel of the state again. The foundation here, as I have said and I repeat, is the election law which is the only rescue factor for the state and the institutions as it rectifies balance and representation for all components,” said the Speaker. “President Aoun and I have referred to these points in our speeches,” he went on to say, adding “I am relieved that the president has stressed the need to agree on an electoral law before the end of the parliament mandate.” President Aoun took his oath of office on Monday at the parliament shortly after his election by the majority of 83 MP votes out of 127. Elected by the legislature as Lebanon's 13th president, Aoun said that “the first prerequisite of real equal (Christian-Muslim) power-sharing is the approval of an electoral law that ensures fair representation before the date of the next elections.”Aoun's election ends a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. The FPM founder was tipped to become president after his nomination was formally endorsed by al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri earlier this month.

Analysts have warned his election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees.

The 81-year-old former army chief had long eyed the presidency, and his candidacy was backed from the beginning by Iran-backed Hizbullah, his ally since a surprise rapprochement in 2006.

 

Mustaqbal Nominates Hariri for PM Post, Eyes 'Cooperation' with Aoun

Naharnet/November 01/16/Al-Mustaqbal parliamentary bloc on Tuesday formally nominated al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri for the premier post, saying it is looking forward to “cooperation” between Hariri and newly-elected President Michel Aoun. “The bloc lauds the positive content of the oath of office, especially in terms of underlining commitment to the constitution and the laws and adherence to the implementation of the Document of National Accord without selectivity,” said the bloc in a statement issued after its weekly meeting. Mustaqbal also lauded Aoun for stressing “the need to enhance national unity and favor a unifying national rhetoric over a sectarian one while committing to dissociating Lebanon from the region's conflicts and highlighting the importance of the Lebanese army's role in defending Lebanon.”Turning to the issue of the next government, the bloc formally nominated Hariri for the premiership and said it will stand by him in “his mission as the leader of the next government.” “The bloc looks forwards to positive results from cooperation between President Michel Aoun and ex-PM Saad Hariri, in line with the constitution's stipulations and the Taef Accord,” it added. Aoun was elected president on Monday after around two and a half years of presidential void. His presidential chances were largely boosted by a key endorsement from Hariri in mid-October. Aoun's nomination also received crucial support from Hizbullah and the Lebanese Forces. Binding parliamentary consultations for picking the new premier will be held on Wednesday and Thursday.

 

Alain Aoun: Government Formation Will be Quick, Berri Doesn't Want Disruption

Naharnet/November 01/16/Change and Reform bloc MP Alain Aoun assured that the government formation is going to be a speedy process as he stressed that Speaker Nabih Berri does not have plans for obstruction. The MP voiced hopes that the “election of President Michel Aoun paves way for new opportunities for Lebanon. The process of forming a new government will be quick and there are negotiations in this regard,” Aoun told LBCI. Hailing Speaker Nabih Berri, the MP said: “Head of the parliament Nabih Berri behaved like a statesman yesterday and carried out his duties to the fullest. Berri does not want disruption, and it is definite that he has special procedures, but that does not mean that he will not participate in the government.”“The stage of competition is behind us now, and we face a new stage under the title of cooperation among all parties,” he concluded.On Monday, Lebanon's parliamentarians elected founder of the Free Patriotic Movement MP Michel Aoun president of the republic after a longtime vacuum that has been plaguing Lebanon since May 2014 when the term of the president ended. Before the elections, Berri had explicitly said that he will not vote for Aoun. Binding parliamentary consultations for the designation of a new premier have been scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday, hours after Michel Aoun was elected. Earlier on Monday, Aoun signed a decree accepting the resignation of Prime Minister Tammam Salam's government and asking it to act in caretaker capacity until the formation of a new government. There are fears that the formation of a new government could be obstructed by some. Aoun's election ends a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. The FPM founder was tipped to become president after his nomination was formally endorsed by al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri earlier this month. Analysts have warned his election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. The 81-year-old former army chief had long eyed the presidency, and his candidacy was backed from the beginning by Iran-backed Hizbullah, his ally since a surprise rapprochement in 2006.

 

Harb Urges for Cooperation with New President for Lebanon's Sake

Naharnet/November 01/16/Caretaker Minister of Telecommunications, Butros Harb said on Tuesday that everybody must cooperate with the newly elected president General Michel Aoun for the sake of Lebanon's best interest. “General Michel Aoun is now president for all the Lebanese and this is how we shall deal with him; it is everybody's duty to cooperate with him for the sake of national interest,” Harb said on Twitter. “All the previous experiences of a national accord governments have failed. Therefore, I call President Aoun to protect the democratic system, as well as to form a cabinet with a ruling majority alongside an opposition that can hold it accountable,” he added. “If we are on the opposition side, our opposition will not be aimed at the president of the republic, but we shall cooperate with him. The president is the arbitrator in the political game,” he concluded. Harb's comments came one day after Aoun was elected president as Lebanon's 13th president with a majority of 83 votes out of 127. Binding parliamentary consultations for the designation of a new premier have been scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday, hours after Michel Aoun was elected. Earlier on Monday, Aoun signed a decree accepting the resignation of Prime Minister Tammam Salam's government and asking it to act in caretaker capacity until the formation of a new government. Aoun's election ends a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. The FPM founder was tipped to become president after his nomination was formally endorsed by al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri earlier this month. Analysts have warned his election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees.The 81-year-old former army chief had long eyed the presidency, and his candidacy was backed from the beginning by Iran-backed Hizbullah, his ally since a surprise rapprochement in 2006.

 

 Algerian Ambassador hosts reception on Algeria's National Day

Tue 01 Nov 2016/NNA - Ambassador of Algeria to Lebanon, Ahmed Bouziane, held a reception at the Bristol Hotel on the occasion of his country's national day, in the presence of representatives of House Speaker, Nabih Berri, and caretaker Premier, Tammam Salam, as well as a crowd of Ambassadors, MPs and ranking dignitaries. The Algerian ambassador delivered a speech in which he said "It is a great pleasure to associate this anniversary with the end of the presidential vacuum in this brotherly country. We are pleased to share your joy over the election of General Michel Aoun as President of the Republic." "We extend to the new President our warmest congratulations and blessings, wishing him success in his mandate. We also congratulate the Lebanese people on this important achievement and wish upon him further prosperity, welfare and progress," he said.  "Algeria enjoys today the grace of security and stability as a result of diligent efforts made by the Army and the security services and institutions," Bouziane noted. "To keep pace with the significant steps taken by Algeria in the embodiment of renewed economic, social, cultural and political track, and in addressing the challenges of maintaining security and stability in the tense surroundings, the constitution was revised, at the beginning of this year to reinforce pluralism and support for the opposition's status and rights even inside the parliament, and to enrich the electoral system with new guarantees of transparency and impartiality by the establishment of an independent supreme body to monitor the elections," the ambassador said. "The Algerian-Lebanese relations are historic and characterized by mutual respect, consultation and coordination within the framework of constant talks between the two foreign ministries," he went on, noting that discussions were made between officials of the two countries on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly to emphasize the will to strengthen fraternal relations and bilateral cooperation in all fields. "The embassy is also working with the private sector in Lebanon to prepare a project to establish a joint Algerian-Lebanese Business Council," the diplomat concluded.

 

 Aoun receives felicitations from Kerry: Rapid political solution to Syrian crisis would reflect positively on Lebanon

Tue 01 Nov 2016/NNA - President Michel Aoun received on Tuesday evening a telephone call from US Secretary of State, John Kerry, congratulating him on his election as President of the Republic. Kerry stressed the United States' support for Lebanon, and its commitment to assisting the Lebanese Army in its battle against terrorism. Kerry pointed out that his country and the international community were looking forward to the formation of a new government in Lebanon, as soon as possible. President Michel Aoun, for his part, thanked Kerry on his congratulatory call and stressed "the importance of continued US aid to the Lebanese Army which endeavors to promote security and stability in the country." President Aoun said "reaching a quick political solution to the Syrian crisis will reflect positively on the situation in Lebanon and its various aspects, especially in terms of finding a solution to the tragedy of displaced Syrians in Lebanon."

 

 Aoun receives Bishops delegation dispatched by Rahi to congratulate him on election

Tue 01 Nov 2016 /NNA - President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, received on Tuesday afternoon at Baabda Palace a delegation of Maronite Bishops, dispatched by Maronite Patriarch Cardinal Bechara Boutros Rahi to offer congratulations to General Aoun on his election.

On emerging, speaking in the name of the delegation, Patriarch Boulos Matar said that they relayed to President Aoun the well-wishes of Patriarch Rahi to succeed in leading the nation towards the safety shores. "This nation is in need of a new start, in addition to a balanced work and consensus amongst all the Lebanese," Matar said, noting that they stand by the President in every act that would be in the welfare of the nation. In reply to a question, Matar said that the longstanding demand by all the Lebanese would be a nation of freedom for all, equality and genuine partnership.

On the other hand, President Aoun received this evening a phone call from UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon congratulating him on his election. The phone call was a chance to dwell on the current situation in the region. Aoun hoped that all organizations affiliated to the UN would continue in supporting Lebanon at the various levels.

The President also received a phone call from Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to congratulate him on his election.

Greek Orthodox Patriarch of Antioch and All the East, Yohanna tenth Yazigi, also contacted Aoun to congratulate him on presidency post.

Moreover, Aoun received a cable of congratulations from Brazilian President Michel Tamer, who invited him to visit Brazil, and said: "We will work together to deepen the existing friendship relations between the two countries."

President Tamer stressed the importance of the Lebanese community in Brazil, which is the largest in the world.

German President, Joachim Gauck, also congratulated in a cable President Aoun on his election, saying that Aoun's election renews Germany's hope in the strength of the Lebanese democracy, immunity and its ability, even under difficult circumstances, to overcome political divisions and shape the future.

President Gauck underlined that Germany shall continue to stand by Lebanon to surpass current challenges, wishing the Lebanese president and people a future laden with peace, freedom and prosperity.

 

ISF: Truck loaded with captagon seized on Chekka highway

Tue 01 Nov 2016/NNA - Internal Security Forces Directorate General on Tuesday issued a statement saying that a unit from the Information Branch managed to seize a truck on Chekka highway loaded with a big quantity of captagon whereupon the driver (49 years) was arrested along with another one (56 years) accompanying him in a Mercedes car. The arrestees and the seized material were accordingly referred to the anti-drug office in the North for investigations after a judicial notice.

 

Heavy traffic on President Lahoud Highway towards Sayyad

Tue 01 Nov 2016/NNA - Heavy traffic is registered on President Lahoud Highway towards al-Sayyad, Internal Security Forces Traffic Control Chamber said on Tuesday.

 

Aoun declares Lebanon’s alignment with Iran, Hezbollah and Assad

Hussain Abdul-Hussain/Now Lebanon/November 01/16

During the inaugural address, the new Lebanese president gave some indication about his vision for the nation going forward

For the untrained ear, President Michel Aoun’s inaugural speech sounded like a mishmash of old chewed slogans about Lebanese “national unity”, harmony and patriotism. But between the lines, Aoun loaded his speech with code words that gave away the nation’s policy under his tenure.

First, according to Aoun, Lebanon will stay diplomatically neutral, thus giving Iran the advantage over Saudi Arabia. Second, Lebanon will sponsor “resistance" to “liberate” Israeli-occupied Lebanese territory. Third, Lebanon will “fight terrorism preemptively” inside Syria, and — in coordination with Assad — will deport Syrian refugees.   Even though Aoun called for the implementation of the Constitution, including its 1990 Taif Amendment, he contradicted Taif in his very same inaugural speech. After 1990, Lebanon’s president lost the prerogative to independently define the country’s policies. Instead, policies were to be agreed on — collectively — by a nationally representative cabinet. Aoun should have promised to protect the constitution, not violate it in his first speech.

In his “presidential foreign policy,” Aoun said Lebanon should “steer clear from foreign conflicts.” While such statement sounds good, it came in the same paragraph that talked about the Arab League. Aoun wants a policy independent of this league, read Riyadh and Doha. Aoun’s son-in-law Foreign Minister Gebran Bassil had already raised the ire of the Saudis when the league unanimously voted to denounce the attacks on Saudi diplomatic missions in Iran in January. Back then, even Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani denounced the attacks, and so did Iran’s closest Arab allies, like Iraq. Bassil’s vote stood out and caused Gulf countries to deport Lebanese expats. It seems Aoun thinks that vote was good and should become policy.

Right after giving Iran what it wanted, President Aoun delivered what Hezbollah wanted. “In the conflict with Israel, we will not spare any effort or resistance to liberate what remains of occupied Lebanese land,” Aoun said, thus trashing UNSC Resolution 1701, which calls for diplomatic resolution for disputed border territory between Lebanon and Israel. The paragraph that followed saw Aoun take Assad’s side in the Syrian war, as he declared that Lebanon will combat terrorism “preemptively,” a word that Hezbollah leaders often use to explain that the party should fight terrorism on Syrian territory before terrorists find their way to Lebanese territory.

Interestingly, Aoun made an exclusive connection between terrorism and Syria. Terrorism is a worldwide epidemic that nations are standing up to and fighting. But in Aoun’s speech, the word terrorism preceded his talk about Syria. “We will deal with terrorism preemptively… until we eradicate it, and we also have to deal with the issue of Syrian refugees by securing their swift return,” Aoun said, adding that his policy for Syria will be implemented in coordination with “relevant states and authorities.” In other words, Aoun plans to reinforce bilateral cooperation with the Syrian government under Assad, a government that has been isolated by three fourths of the planet’s governments. Before closing his speech, Aoun presented Hezbollah with another favor. “Security stability is dependent on coordination between security agencies and the judiciary… and it’s the duty of the state to liberate both from political patronage,” Lebanon’s new president said in a clear message that, on top of his priorities, will be to undermine the Internal Security Force (ISF), a police agency that has been on Hezbollah’s bad side for a long time, to the extent that some believe the party liquidated the agency’s top intelligence officer, Wissam al-Hassan, in October 2012.

So while Aoun’s inauguration speech sounded rosy and benign, it was in fact dedicated to paying back his backers, and promising to go after his detractors. Needless to say, the Lebanese state is in such a dire situation that it does not matter who the president is or what he promises. The Lebanese state is weak, its president irrelevant, its agencies corrupt and its debt overwhelming. No matter what Aoun says in his inaugural speech, or any other speech, Hezbollah is the force that has the final word on every Lebanese issue, domestic or foreign. Aoun only gives Hezbollah’s de facto policies an official state blessing. The presidency will be a nice retirement plan for the aging Aoun. He will use it to leverage his share in the state and promote his guys. But he will have little influence, whether in regional conflicts, the Syrian crisis or local issues.

 

Iran’s Man in Beirut/Lebanon’s new president has been a putschist, a neocon fellow traveler, and now an ally of Hezbollah.

Alex Rowell/The Daily Beast/November 01/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/01/alex-rowellirans-man-in-beirutlebanons-new-president-has-been-a-putschist-a-neocon-fellow-traveler-and-now-an-ally-of-hezbollah/

On the morning of 13 October, 1990, the Syrian Air Force launched fighter jet strikes on the Lebanese presidential palace in Baabda, southeast of Beirut. Their target was a General Michel Aoun, an army commander appointed two years previously by an outgoing president to lead a temporary cabinet until elections could be held, who instead went rogue, moving himself into Baabda Palace and effectively declaring himself ruler of the republic—and happy to fight anyone who said otherwise.

His reign, such as it was, saw thousands killed in quixotic military campaigns against rival warlords and the Syrian army then occupying Lebanon. By October 1990, the Syrians were determined to finish him off, and the United States – of whom he had also managed to make an enemy—was willing to let them, not least as a nod of gratitude for Damascus’ assistance in the liberation of Kuwait from Saddam Hussein. “I am ready to die on the battlefield of honor rather than surrender—be sure I shall die fighting,” Aoun told a crowd of supporters on the 12th, when it was clear a final Syrian push was imminent. By noon the following day, Aoun had surrendered without firing a shot and fled to the French embassy, leaving scores of his men massacred in the ground and air onslaught, and the presidential palace in ruins. Lebanon’s fifteen-year civil war was over.

Today, the same Michel Aoun—now 81 years old—was elected to return as president to the same Baabda Palace, ending Lebanon’s thirty-month leadership vacuum after spending over a quarter of a century between exile in France and Lebanon, tirelessly plotting his eventual comeback with near-Shakespearean ambition. “I can add colours to the chameleon,” boasts the rapacious Richard III in Henry VI; “Change shapes with Proteus for advantages/ And set the murd’rous Machiavel to school.” Aoun’s long life has seen him morph from a Fort Hill-trained commander in a US-backed army (once even photographed in Israeli company) to an anti-American proxy of the Iraqi Baath regime to a Bush-supporting neoconservative fellow traveler (speaking at the Hudson Institute in favor of the Iraq War on a 2003 tour of Washington, during which he also testified to Congress in support of the Syria Accountability and Lebanese Sovereignty Restoration Act) to, most recently, a stalwart comrade of the Iranian-Syrian “Axis of Resistance.” His election today came after he and his Hezbollah ally boycotted all electoral sessions for more than two years, bluntly refusing to attend unless and until his victory was guaranteed in advance. Earlier in the month, the last of his major remaining opponents—Saad al-Hariri of the Saudi Arabia-backed Future Movement—caved in, endorsing Aoun in what he called a “sacrifice […] for the nation, the state, and stability.”

Such bullheaded singleness of mind is a great part of what makes “The General,” as Aoun is known, so strongly adored—and detested. To fans, he’s a plucky, steel-willed Knight Templar who’ll restore the diminished Christian community—around a third of Lebanon’s population—to the preeminence it lost after the civil war. To foes, he’s a foul-tempered, megalomaniacal narcissist; an opportunist and bigot with a Napoleon complex and, possibly, the beginnings of dementia. Memes likening him to Donald Trump are already ubiquitous on Lebanese social media. The two certainly share an aversion to refugees; a soft spot for dictators; an inclination to the personality cult; and a pronounced contempt for the journalistic profession. “You’re not a journalist, you’re a provocateur,” is the sort of thing he says to journalists whose questions he doesn’t like. Others get banned from his press conferences. In one of those jokes-but-not-really of the sort to which Trump watchers have now become accustomed, he laughed in 2006 that if his party wanted to get back at one of their rivals “we’d have burned their television station down ages ago.”

Yet aside from a new ability to jail anyone who “disparages” him or “violates his dignity” —thanks to Draconian lèse-majesté laws courtesy of French colonialism—it’s unclear how much power President Aoun will really have to implement any sort of political platform. The presidency is a largely ceremonial post, watered down considerably (to the advantage of the prime minister and parliament speaker) in the constitutional amendments that followed the civil war. Aoun differs, however, from other postwar presidents in having a sizable popular base, reflected in the second-largest bloc in parliament, which he “will use to advance and intervene in politics,” according to Lebanese American University political science professor, Dr. Imad Salamey.

“President Aoun will have a solid parliamentary bloc, strong support coming from Hezbollah and Iran, and quite a lot of leverage over the military situation in the country,” Salamey told The Daily Beast. “He won’t be a bystander or a weak figure.”

Certainly, those in the Aounist camp are unperturbed about the constitutional limits on his powers. “Even if he doesn’t have many prerogatives, the personality of the president – with his wisdom, his conviction, and his persuasive projects—means no one will be able to tell him no,” The Daily Beast was told by Habib Younes, spokesperson for Aoun’s political movement. By Younes’ account, Aoun has a plethora of ideas for improving the country – set out in his 2007 book, My Vision for Lebanon – touching on everything from education to the oil and gas sector to military reforms to man’s relationship with God. “We have an opportunity now,” said Younes, “to save Lebanon.”

Well, even critics of Aoun concede there will be some upside to his election, as there would be no matter who put an end to thirty months of sovereign vacuum. The mere fact of having a president will begin to resuscitate vital state institutions such as parliament, which is constitutionally forbidden from passing any laws in the absence of a head of state (and has consequently been effectively shut down since May 2014). This in turn ought to breathe a modicum of life back into the stagnant economy (the Beirut Stock Exchange is up 7% on last month at the time of writing) and restore at least a minimum of state functionality on such fronts as garbage collection, which, staggeringly, is still in crisis more than a year on from last summer’s mass protests.

Beyond that, however, Lebanon will remain hostage to malevolent forces beyond Aoun’s control, as well as quite a few to which he has actively contributed. To the extent that the Syrian war, Hezbollah’s participation therein, and the consequent refugee influx and Gulf Arab boycott of the country are the causes of Lebanon’s present political and socioeconomic woes, a case could be made that Aoun’s vocal support for the Assad regime (“the closest to democracy” in the Middle East) and Hezbollah’s intervention (“necessary”) places a degree of moral responsibility on his shoulders. To the endemic corruption and nepotism that rot state institutions, he has been no stranger, or so at least many Lebanese concluded from the revelation his son-in-law, Foreign Minister Gebran Bassil, a middle-class engineering graduate before he married Aoun’s daughter, has been able to purchase $22 million worth of real estate since Aoun’s return from exile in 2005. When Bassil announced in July he’d reached an agreement with the parliament speaker’s party on the extraction of Lebanon’s untapped offshore natural gas reserves, the joke in Beirut was it would be better to keep the gas in the sea.

Lebanon, in other words, will remain Lebanon. Which isn’t to say Aoun’s election hasn’t reshuffled the political deck domestically, and even regionally. With Hezbollah’s two former greatest foes—the mainly Sunni Muslim Future Movement led by Hariri, now tipped to be the new prime minister, and the Christian Lebanese Forces (LF) —suddenly allied to Hezbollah’s president and joining their cabinet, the split that defined the last eleven years of Lebanese politics between the Hezbollah-led March 8 movement and Future-led March 14 has been wordlessly discarded as though it (and the people who died for it) never existed. A cynic might presume so precarious a house of cards could only ever be one car bomb away from ruin, but the Aounist-LF alliance, at any rate, seems sincere. And with Hariri’s finances being what they are – that is, billions of dollars in the red—he seems to have calculated that the “risk,” as he called it, of making nice with Hezbollah was necessary to stay politically alive.

Small wonder, then, that the general consensus is Iran “wins” this bout of its regional rumble with Saudi Arabia. The arrival in Beirut Thursday of the most senior Saudi official to visit Lebanon in over eight years was an interesting sign the Kingdom would grudgingly acquiesce in the new order and even, in the minister’s words, “try to revitalize relations” with Lebanon that have been on ice since January. Riyadh may engage once again with Beirut, though it knows it can’t hope to mount a victorious confrontation against Tehran here in the prevailing circumstances.

Also interesting has been the apparent lack of any meaningful Syrian role in Aoun’s election—a conspicuous lacuna considering it wasn’t long ago Lebanese presidents were appointed by phone from Damascus. Iran’s coup is thus two-fold; against Saudi and, more subtly, against Syria.

How curious that the man who lost Baabda Palace in 1990 fighting to rid Lebanon of a foreign power should finally return to his coveted throne straddling the saddle of that same foreign power’s successor.

 http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/10/31/iran-s-man-in-beirut.html?via=desktop&source=email

 

Won Lebanon’s Presidency But Lost His Voice

Diana Moukalled/Arab News/November 01/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/01/diana-moukalledarab-news-won-lebanons-presidency-but-lost-his-voice/

http://www.arabnews.com/node/1005016/columns

For a while, the main hall of the Lebanese parliament was overwhelmed by worry and suspicion wrapped by smiles and jokes. All seem to be repeatedly switching from laughs triggered by sarcastic comments to fears from any last-minute surprises. Everyone was questioning what was behind these ballots cast in the box. MPs mostly suspected that there was a problem at hand when they were requested to write the name of their presidential candidate four times after the number of votes did not match the number of envelopes for three consecutive times. But all suspicions soon diminished when loud claps were heard as Gen. Michel Aoun was declared the president of Lebanon during the fourth round of election.

It was previously expected that the political settlement reached prior to yesterday’s session was going to make the session quick and predictable. Now while one could argue that it was indeed quick and predictable, however it seemed that the Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, the most prominent member of those who opposed Aoun’s presidency, still wanted to show his ability to manuever and “play with nerves” as we say in Lebanon. No one except Berri would have been able to perform something such as the envelopes trick. Now, while he certainly hadn’t plan to block Aoun’s election, but I suppose Berri thought a bit of breath holding and delivering a few subliminal messages - before Aoun realizes his 26-year-old dream of presidency - wouldn’t hurt.

Of course, the envelope “joke” ended, and Aoun took the oath which made him the 13th president of Lebanon. However, President Aoun’s speech was not similar to the former General’s usual discourse. President Aoun’s speech lacked that nerve that was characteristic of the former army commander and the strong Christian leader. Aounism has for long been based on hostility. He had enmity with Christian rivals like the Lebanese forces, and was involved in bitter hostility with the Syrian regime in Lebanon. These hostilities even continued when he returned from French exile, extending to several parties, like the Future Movement and the Lebanese Sunnis.

Today, Aounism has reconciled with the Syrian regime and reached compromises with its arch foe Samir Geagea, the leader of the Lebanese Forces, as well as a settlement with the leader of the Future Movement Saad Al-Hariri. Today Aoun is the president, yet without his usual voice and without his nerve.

This was obvious in Aoun’s monotonous speech in which the new president seemed keen to begin a new and quiet era without any kind of clashes. What has caused Aounism to change? Is it the presidential post alone?

That’s what seemed to be clear since the initiative of the presidential settlement. It was even more obvious in the inaugural address, which came as a repetition of general headings. Of course, no one expects Aoun to practice politics in a way that is unusual to the established Lebanese traditions. But it is impossible to overlook the fact that Aoun only came to the presidency after the post had been weakened and divided among allies and opponents.

What kind of authority will President Aoun have in his next six years in office? How will he react to the fact that Hezbollah’s fighting in Syria and its violation of both the Lebanese and Syrian borders? Would it be then a strong presidency that cannot deal with such a reality?

Aounism has always been a loud voice in Lebanese politics. Michal Aoun has always been termed “the strong president” as his supporters would like to call him. However, the question now if he is still strong today, or does the strength belongs to his allies in Hezbollah. The answer is probably obvious!

**Diana Moukalled is a veteran journalist with extensive experience in both traditional and new media. She is also a columnist and freelance documentary producer. She can be reached on Twitter: @dianamoukalled.

 

Lebanon’s New Head of State /Aoun Gets His Wish

By Bilal Y. Saab/Foreign Affairs/November 01/16

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/11/01/bilal-y-saabforeign-affairs-lebanons-new-head-of-stateaoun-gets-his-wish/

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/lebanon/2016-10-31/lebanon-s-new-head-state

The longest presidential void in Lebanon’s history—two and a half years—was finally filled today when 83 out of the 127 parliamentarians who were present cast their votes for candidate Michel Aoun, the leader of the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) and former army commander. This outcome, long in the making, will help arrest the decaying of Lebanon’s state institutions, defuse social and sectarian tensions, and put an end to a deadly political paralysis.

Yet, although Lebanon’s long journey to chart a more hopeful future has received a much needed boost with the election of a new head of state, the far more challenging work—including the nomination of a new prime minister, the formation of future cabinets, the promulgation of a new electoral law, and political reconciliation among the country’s key factions—starts immediately. If history is any indication, the road ahead will be rocky.

But first, some optimism. The return of Aoun to the presidential palace in Baabda, 26 years after he was ousted by the Syrian army, is a direct result of political pragmatism by the leaders of the Lebanese Sunni and Shiite communities, the Future Movement’s Saad Hariri and Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah, respectively.

Hezbollah, which was indicted two years ago by an international tribunal for the 2005 murder of Hariri’s father, Rafik, the most influential prime minister to ever serve in Lebanon—supported Aoun’s presidential bid the moment it signed a memorandum of understanding with the FPM in 2006. Yet Hariri and, particularly, his Christian ally Samir Geagea, were never comfortable with Aoun because of his turbulent past, difficult character, political rigidity, and newfound alliance with their nemesis, Hezbollah.

However, when earlier this year, Geagea chose to put aside all his reservations about Aoun, with whom he fought bitterly in the past, and did the unthinkable by backing his candidacy, Hariri was in a bind. All of a sudden, the wheels of the Lebanese presidency were turning. Hariri was unhappy with Geagea’s fait accompli because it torpedoed his initial plan to endorse Suleiman Frangieh, an old rival of Geagea, and a candidate perceived by Hariri at the time as a lesser evil than Aoun, despite Frangieh’s close personal relationship with Syrian President Bashar Al Assad and strategic alliance with Hezbollah. Hariri was also hoping to create frictions and possibly a rift within Hezbollah’s camp. But Hezbollah kept quiet, showing little interest in Hariri’s tactical move, playing the long game as it always does, and continuing to reassure Aoun that he remained its guy.

Months passed, and still Hezbollah did not budge. With the tide of war in Syria seemingly turning in Hezbollah, Iran, and Russia’s favor, and Saudi Arabia gradually distancing itself from Lebanon due to its preoccupation with more vital matters in Yemen and Syria, Hariri felt compelled to adjust his political choices and reconsider Aoun. That his personal finances were reportedly in terrible shape must have also influenced his decision-making. For Hariri to engineer his own political revival and rejuvenate his own crumbling coalition, he had to return to the premiership, which he had held from 2009-2011. Yet the only way to achieve that was by agreeing to the 81-year-old Aoun becoming president.

And so he did just that a couple of weeks ago, to the chagrin of many of his own allies including former prime minister Foad Siniora. Speaking with a solemn voice in a televised press conference from his home, Hariri lamented the lack of good options, suggesting that the bitter pill of Aoun was worth swallowing for the wellbeing of Lebanon. An optimist might praise Hariri for engaging in an act of political maturity, bravery, and selflessness that could save the country from reaching the abyss. Skeptics, or hard-nosed realists, however, would argue that the man had no choice but to cut his losses, and given his dwindling financial and political fortunes, and rumors of Riyadh’s displeasure with Hariri after decades of support for the Hariri’s, that was the only thing he could do to ensure his and his party’s survival.

Yet regardless of Hariri’s motivations for endorsing Aoun, the outcome – the termination of the presidential logjam and the beginning of national political rehabilitation – is positive, which is what matters most. Furthermore, it’s not as if Hezbollah was a total winner, either. It too had to make concessions, though they should ultimately work in its favor.

Hezbollah is not obligated to green light Hariri’s premiership, but the more likely scenario is that it will, because of this unwritten quid pro quo of Aoun for president and Hariri for prime minister, which has upset its closest ally Nabih Berri, the leader of the Shiite Amal party. Why Berri opposes Aoun is the stuff of political mysteries, but a common explanation is that the aging Parliament speaker felt slighted by Hariri who did not consult him prior to endorsing Aoun. To Berri, this signaled a betrayal—that Hariri had deliberately kept him in the dark, regarding Aoun and Hariri’s political maneuvers, with Hezbollah’s blessing. But Berri also has concerns about Aoun: Berri is the guardian of the status quo in Beirut. Aoun, on the other hand, could be anything but, given how he has always revolted against the very makeup of the Lebanese post-war system.

To speak of a serious feud between Berri and Hezbollah would be an exaggeration, but it is certainly worth monitoring how Hezbollah manages Berri’s likely opposition to Aoun’s reign down the road. That shouldn’t be too difficult a task for Hezbollah, however, because Berri does not have a ton of leverage: if Berri plays the role of spoiler, he would have to do it virtually alone and suffer the consequences of political isolation. (Druze leader Walid Jumblatt has jumped on the Aoun bandwagon despite his hesitancy earlier while the rest of Lebanon’s political class is more or less irrelevant.)

The reason why Hezbollah ultimately benefits from Hariri’s potential return to the premiership is because it would be promoting moderate Sunni politics and advancing Sunni-Shiite rapprochement at a time when sectarian tensions in the region are at an all-time high. The alternative is Lebanese Sunni politicians who are hot-headed or who have even flirted with extremist ideology.

Assuming Hariri comes back to power, the next step would be to form a new cabinet. This is an area where Lebanese politicians have typically fought, causing considerable delays in the process due to a desire to maximize political gains and ensure ministerial representation. Aoun might have high demands this time around because his party is the largest Christian bloc in Parliament. Geagea will want his piece of the pie too for agreeing to postpone his own presidential ambitions early on in the process. But, since a new cabinet might be formed before the country’s parliamentary elections in mid-2017, any appointments now would be short-lived. Therefore, a more likely outcome for the cabinet, in the interest of averting futile political fights, is one whose majority is made of technocrats.

Aoun’s presidency will reshuffle the political deck in Lebanon. Indeed, the organization, or perhaps the division of domestic Lebanese politics, which has traditionally fallen along the lines of a “pro-Syrian March 8” and an “anti-Syrian March 14” camp, is no more. There is a new political structure and an uneasy system of alignments in Beirut that should be more accommodating. Should Hariri become prime minister, ensuring the political representation of the most influential and popular leaders of the Sunni, Shiite, and Christian communities is the best recipe for political stability and national security.

The prevailing wisdom is that Lebanon’s success in electing a president after such a long wait is a result of some kind of regional entente between the Saudis and the Iranians, the most powerful regional players in Lebanon. That’s understandable. National political appointments in Lebanon have always been at the mercy of regional and international powers’ whims. Some might even argue that the fate of the Lebanese presidency was intrinsically tied to the outcome of the battle of Aleppo. As soon as it became clear who had the upper hand in Syria, as the argument goes, Hariri and Saudi Arabia sensed defeat and rushed to make a deal before it was too late.

Don’t buy into these analyses. The Lebanese are fond of telling the world that their troubles are caused by foreigners and that what happens or doesn’t happen in Lebanon is always a reflection of regional developments. Although this is true more often than not, this time around, however, it is false. The decision to elect Aoun and the way a settlement was reached was all made in Lebanon. This doesn’t mean that the Iran-Saudi Arabia power struggle did not influence Lebanon at all. But it does suggest that there was sufficient room for independent political maneuvering among the Lebanese to make their own choices. Did it help that Tehran and Riyadh are busy fighting by proxy in other more strategic theaters? Of course it did. But what probably helped the most was the likely realization by the Saudis and the Iranians that Lebanon, because of its inbuilt system of checks and balances, could not be “won” by anybody. And therefore, it is in the interest of all to preserve it, along with the model of sectarian coexistence it represents, which might come in handy when the bullets stop flying in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and elsewhere.

 

 A New President for Lebanon

David Schenker/The Washington Institute/October 31/16

Although filling the long-vacant office could help pull the country out of its political stagnation, Hezbollah and Iran will continue undermining Lebanese state institutions unless the situation next door in Syria changes significantly.

After more than two years without a president in Lebanon, the parliament convened on October 31 and elected Maronite Christian figure Michel Aoun. The previous president, former Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) chief of staff Michel Suleiman, finished his six-year term in May 2014, but the legislature was unable to reach consensus on his successor due to sectarian divisions (mostly between Sunnis, Shiites, and Christians) and competing foreign alignments (whether with Sunni Saudi Arabia or Shiite Iran).

Aoun has long been a controversial figure in Lebanon. Once the country's most anti-Syrian political figure, since 2005 he has been aligned with the Assad regime and its principal ally in Lebanon, the Iranian-backed Shiite militia Hezbollah. Today's decision represents a significant victory for the ambitious octogenarian general, but it also suggests new pragmatism among his political opponents -- the so-called March 14 coalition, which had opposed his candidacy for a decade. While many welcome the potential end of political stagnation produced by the presidential vacuum, the key question is whether the agreement to elect Aoun also implies increased Iranian control.

INTO SYRIA'S ARMS

As LAF chief of staff at the end of Lebanon's civil war, General Aoun militarily opposed both Syrian hegemony and the Taif Accord, which ended the conflict but diminished Christian political power. In 1990, as the Syrians occupied Lebanon, Aoun sought refuge in France; he later returned home in 2005 when the Syrians withdrew, aspiring to be president. Yet his hopes were dashed when the Sunni, Christian, and Druze leaders who made up the pro-West/anti-Syrian March 14 coalition opposed his candidacy.

With his path to office blocked, Aoun's party -- the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) -- signed a memorandum of understanding with Hezbollah in February 2006 establishing a political counterweight to March 14. The resultant coalition between Aoun's Christian constituents and Hezbollah is called the March 8 alliance; the general has been reliably aligned with the Shiite group and its Iranian patron ever since.

Once the FPM claimed the most seats among Christian parties in the 2005 and 2009 parliamentary elections, it consistently backed Tehran's agenda in Lebanon, supported the Assad regime, and became widely viewed as a sectarian actor hostile toward Lebanon's Sunni community, which comprises approximately 35 percent of the population. Yet after two years without a president, the Sunni leader of March 14, Saad Hariri, faced an unpalatable choice between pro-Syrian parliamentarian Sleiman Frangieh and Aoun. Hariri initially chose Frangieh, but that decision was blocked by his coalition partner Samir Geagea of the Christian party Lebanese Forces, who surprisingly backed his own Christian political rival, Aoun. Given Geagea's move and the fallout from the May municipal elections, in which former coalition partner Ashraf Rifi won an insurgent local campaign against his erstwhile allies, Hariri convinced most of his bloc to accept Aoun in a bid to keep March 14 from falling apart.

HEZBOLLAH'S CALCULUS

While Hezbollah ostensibly backed its political partner Aoun for the post, its behavior toward his candidacy has suggested ambivalence. Indeed, the militia initially balked at supporting him, and it did not change its mind until weeks after Aoun became a viable candidate.

This indecision was not surprising because Hezbollah benefitted greatly from the political vacuum, which weakened March 14 and gave the militia a freer hand in its military deployments to Syria. Moreover, now that he has won office, Aoun -- who is known for his stubbornness and his maverick, even megalomaniac tendencies -- could be hard for Hezbollah to control. The organization had a bad experience with former president Suleiman, whose candidacy it backed in 2008. At first, Suleiman proved a reliably pro-Hezbollah president, but he tilted against the militia in his last two years in office.

Hezbollah's smaller Shiite rival, Amal, has been more openly opposed to Aoun. The party's leader, Speaker of the Parliament Nabih Berri, has made his distaste clear -- last week he told Aoun, "I am against you and will vote against you," and he ordered his thirteen-member bloc not to choose the general in today's balloting. Perhaps reflecting differences in Shiite opinion, Amal engaged in violent clashes with Hezbollah in recent weeks as Aoun's candidacy gained steam.

PROSPECTS

To become the president and -- in theory at least -- national symbol of Lebanon, Aoun had to resign his membership in and leadership of the FPM. That position has since been awarded to his son-in-law, Gebran Bassil, another controversial figure long mired in corruption scandals and allegations of sectarian incitement. In the lead-up to the presidential election, Bassil extended an olive branch of sorts, improbably tweeting of his newfound admiration for Lebanon's "moderate Sunnis." Yet Lebanon's political realities and electoral map remain the same, and Aoun's election in no way implies dissolution of the FPM's political alliance with Hezbollah.

For his part, Hariri's task of convincing his political allies to accept an Aoun presidency was not easy. Six members of his 33-seat Future Movement bloc in Lebanon's 128-seat parliament did not support the deal. More complicated, however, will be the negotiations that lie ahead to determine the composition of the new government. Hariri consented to Aoun as the least bad among terrible options; in exchange, he anticipates serving as prime minister, and his coalition supports this goal.

Assuming this scenario comes to pass, Hariri will face other challenges as premier. It will be quite difficult, for example, to accommodate all the competing demands for ministries to be chosen by various players, including Aoun (who will likely insist on naming about a third of the approximately thirty-member cabinet), Hezbollah, the FPM, and Hariri's own ten-party bloc. And even if he becomes prime minister, there is no guarantee Hariri will serve for long; last time he won the post, he was ousted by March 8 after just two years.

More consequential than the politics, however, will be the new dynamics created by an Aoun presidency. As mentioned previously, he has been a remarkably divisive figure over the past decade. After waiting nearly three decades to be president, will he become a unifying national actor, or will he remain a partisan, sectarian nationalist who is sympathetic to Iran's increasingly influential position in Lebanon? Precedent suggests little reason for optimism, though there are some within the March 14 camp who believe that Aoun's advanced age will lead him to avoid fights with his former rivals and instead focus on securing his legacy. In their view, this could mean helping to solve some of Lebanon's more vexing economic and environmental problems, particularly the crisis caused by Syrian refugees, who now comprise nearly one-third of the population.

POLICY IMPLICATIONS

Thus far, Washington has publicly applauded Aoun's election and called on the new government to "uphold" its obligations, "including those contained in UN Security Council Resolutions 1559 and 1701," which emphasize Lebanon's sovereignty and the need to disarm Hezbollah. But these admonishments are likely to fall on deaf ears. Given current realities, Hezbollah will continue to possess a massive arsenal of weapons outside the government's authority for the foreseeable future. It will also continue deploying into Syria at will to fight on the Assad regime's behalf, with or without Beirut's consent. To wit, even if Hariri becomes premier, the ministerial statement issued by his government will likely legitimize Hezbollah's weapons.

For these and other reasons, many in the United States and the region are declaring Aoun's election a victory for Hezbollah and Iran. Yet Hariri and his coalition had few alternatives, and it is difficult to imagine an Aoun presidency being worse for March 14 -- and U.S. interests -- than the ongoing vacuum. Aoun may even surpass the extremely low expectations for his presidency. Likewise, a Hariri government, if adeptly managed, could revitalize the moribund March 14 coalition, making it a more potent and popular political force. In any event, Aoun's departure from the FPM will all but certainly exacerbate the party's internal divisions and dilute its popular support -- a development that over time will benefit March 14. Most important, the agreement to elect him apparently received Saudi Arabia's blessing, perhaps spurring Riyadh to reengage in Lebanese politics as a useful counterbalance to Iran.

Finally, while today's decision may have ended Lebanon's prolonged political impasse, significant national challenges remain. The presidency has limited powers, so filling the office is no panacea. And with or without Aoun, Hezbollah and Iran remain the country's dominant political actors. Absent an effective U.S. policy that deals Tehran and its proxies a setback in Syria, Lebanon will remain on the precipice of crisis.

**David Schenker is the Aufzien Fellow and director of the Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute.

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 02/16

Russia: Peace in Syria postponed ‘indefinitely’

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Tuesday, 1 November 2016/As the United Nations warned on Tuesday that all sides may be committing war crimes in Aleppo, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu on Tuesday accused the US-led coalition in Syria of failing to rein in hardline rebels, making the chance of a political settlement remote. He said the coalition was “putting spokes in the wheel” of Russia’s military operation in the country and failing to “act in unison.”“As a result, the prospect of the start of a political settlement and a return of the Syrian people to peaceful life has been postponed indefinitely,” he said at a televised meeting with top brass. He said rebels were shooting “dozens of peaceful civilians” every day for attempting to use humanitarian corridors set up by Russia out of rebel-held eastern Aleppo, which so far have seen only a trickle of people leave. “Is that really opposition you can come to an agreement with?” he said.A view shows a damaged minaret of a mosque after rebel fighters took control of Dahiyet al-Assad, west Aleppo city, Syria October 29, 2016. (Reuters) Moscow has been conducting a bombing campaign in Syria in support of long-time ally Bashar al-Assad since September 2015. Russia has now ceased air strikes on eastern Aleppo for 16 days, Shoigu said, after criticism over a Russian-backed Syrian government assault that has killed hundreds of civilians and destroyed infrastructure including hospitals. Defiantly hitting back at Western opposition to Russian warships using European ports en route to Syria, Shoigu called on Western countries to “decide who they are really fighting: terrorists or Russia.” Russia’s battle group led by nuclear-powered Pyotr Veliky battle cruiser has now entered the Mediterranean, Shoigu said. “Our ships’ voyage caused a sensation among our Western partners,” Shoigu said, adding that Russia was “particularly amazed by the position of certain countries which under pressure from the US and NATO publicly announced a refusal for our warships to enter their ports.” Russia last week scrapped plans to refuel Syria-bound warships in a Spanish port after Madrid came under pressure to refuse access to a flotilla that may be used to help attacks on Aleppo.Shoigu insisted this did not affect the ships’ schedule “since they are equipped with all the necessary resources.”He said Russia’s Hmeimim military base in Syria and its Tartus naval facility also receive regular supplies.

Kremlin accuses Aleppo rebel attacks

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov also said on Tuesday Russia will not be able to prolong a moratorium on air strikes against targets in Syria’s Aleppo if rebels in the city continue their attacks on the ground. “At the moment the pause is continuing, the exit of the civilian population from eastern Aleppo is being enabled, conditions are being created for humanitarian aid,” Peskov told a conference call with reporters.

“But all that is impossible if the terrorists continue to fire on neighborhoods, humanitarian aid routes, launch attacks, and continue to hide behind a (human) shield. That will not permit the continuation of the humanitarian pause.”    All parties in Aleppo are conducting hostilities that are resulting in large numbers of civilian casualties and creating an atmosphere of terror for those who continue to live in the city

UN human rights spokeswoman Ravina Shamdasani

UN on war crimes in Aleppo

Meanwhile, UN human rights spokeswoman Ravina Shamdasani told a regular UN briefing in Geneva on Tuesday that all sides fighting over the Syrian city of Aleppo may be committing war crimes through indiscriminate attacks incivilian areas.

Last week insurgents launched an offensive against government-held western Aleppo, more than a month into an operation by the army to retake the city’s rebel-held eastern districts, which it had already put under siege.

The UN estimates 250,000-275,000 civilians are trapped and 8,000 rebel fighters holed up in the eastern part.

“All parties in Aleppo are conducting hostilities that are resulting in large numbers of civilian casualties and creating an atmosphere of terror for those who continue to live in the city,” Shamdasani said.

Over the weekend, the UN documented the deaths of more than 30 civilians, including 10 children, as well as dozens of injuries, resulting from strikes by mortars, rockets and other improvised explosive devices on western Aleppo, she said.

“The reported use of ground based missiles, along with the use of armed vehicles loaded with explosives, used in an area containing more than 1 million civilian inhabitants, is completely unacceptable and may constitute a war crime,” Shamdasani said. The high number of civilian casualties suggested the rebels were ignoring the “fundamental prohibition” on indiscriminate attacks and the principles of precaution and proportionality, she added. The UN did not have detailed enough information to attribute the attacks to specific groups, she said. Government forces and their allies were also continuing to shell opposition-held eastern Aleppo, and the UN had documented at least 12 civilian casualties, including two children, on Saturday and Sunday, she said.“Strikes against hospitals, schools, market places, water facilities and bakeries are now commonplace and if proven to be intentional may amount to war crimes.” (With AFP, Reuters)

 

Syrian army makes gains in Damascus

Reuters, Amman Tuesday, 1 November 2016/The Syrian army and its allies seized a strategic area in the besieged rebel-held eastern Ghouta area of Damascus, tightening their grip on the biggest insurgent stronghold near the capital. Opposition forces said the army stormed the town of Tel Kurdi on Sunday bringing them only a few kilometers from the city of Douma, the once sprawling urban heart of the eastern rural area of Damascus known as al Ghouta. “After intensive battles on this front that continued more than fifty days in which the Assad militias used a scorched earth policy, the Mujahdeen were forced to retreat from the area,” said Hamza Bairqdar, the military spokesman for Jaish al Islam, the biggest rebel group in the area. Since the start of the year, Syrian government forces and their allies, including Lebanese Hezbollah fighters, have moved into Eastern Ghouta from the south, the southwest, and the east, helped by infighting among rebel groups that control the area. “The collapse of the fronts is due to the internal fights,” said Adnan Abdul Aziz, a lawyer in the rebel run Douma local council. Tel Kurdi comes after a string of advances from the towns of Hosh Nasri, al Fara and before that Maydaa and Deir al-Asafir that culminated in the seizing of a southern agricultural belt. The densely populated rural Ghouta area consists of farms and towns stretching northeast from Damascus that has been in rebel hands since the uprising began in 2011.

Securing Damascus

Several hundred thousand people are believed to be trapped in Eastern Ghouta, an action similar in scale to the 250,000 civilians under siege in Aleppo. Government troops, backed by Russian air power and Iranian-backed militias, have been rooting out pockets of rebellion near the capital, notably taking the suburb Daraya. Daraya's fall put pressure on other besieged rebel strongholds, boosting government hopes of subduing western and eastern suburbs of Damascus whose close proximity to Assad's seat of power posed a major threat. Separately, in the southwest of Damascus, in an area known as the Western Ghouta, the Syrian army and its allies have severed supply lines between rebel-held Khan al Shih, a Palestinian refugee camp, and the town of Zakiya to its south. The army had earlier seized the nearby town of Deir Khabyeh.

Aleppo attacks

Meanwhile, a tank shell hit the United Nations office in western Aleppo on Sunday, damaging the top floors of a building that is well known to be the UN base in the contested Syrian city, a UN statement said on Monday. “It is appalling that the building that houses the UN offices was directly targeted,” the top UN official in Syria, Ali Al-Za’tari, said in a statement. “We strongly condemn the increased violence in all of Aleppo, east and west, which has resulted in the death and injury of scores of civilians, including children.” The UN statement did not mention any people being hurt by the explosion, nor did it specify how it was known to be a tank shell, rather than any other type of munition, or which side was responsible for firing the shell.Rebel groups have launched an assault on western Aleppo in the past few days to try to lift a siege on the eastern half of the city, where an estimated 275,000 people, and 8,000 rebels, are surrounded by forces loyal to Assad. Over 40 people have been killed and many more wounded by rockets indiscriminately launched by non-state armed groups on civilian areas in western Aleppo, the UN statement said.

 

UN reports more civilians forced to Mosul, possibly as shields

By AFP, Geneva Tuesday, 1 November 2016/The UN said Tuesday it had received more reports of ISIS militants forcing thousands of civilians into Mosul, possibly to be used as human shields against advancing Iraqi troops. The militants also reportedly killed another 40 former Iraqi Security Force (ISF) members before dumping their bodies in the river, UN rights office spokeswoman Ravina Shamdasani told reporters in Geneva. The rights office has listed numerous ISIS atrocities, including tens of thousands of forced relocations and hundreds of executions, allegedly committed in and around Mosul since a government operation to retake the northern city began last month. Some of the allegations have been termed “preliminary” and needing more investigation. Asked about the credibility of the fresh reports, Shamdasani said: “This is raw information. It hasn’t gone through our usual verification processes,” while stressing that rights office sources were “reliable.”In the early hours of Monday, ISIS fighters “brought dozens of long trucks and mini-buses to Hamam al-Alil City, south of Mosul, in an attempt to forcibly transfer some 25,000 civilians towards locations in and around Mosul,” the rights office said in a statement. Most of the vehicles were prevented from reaching Mosul because of coalition aircraft patrolling the area, the statement added. Shamdasani said there was “a pattern” of the militants surrounding their offices and bases with civilians. “That seems to support the assertion that they are planning to use these people as human shields as well as to make sure that the area is heavily populated with civilians to frustrate a military operation against them,” she added. Separately on Saturday, 40 ex-ISF officers “were killed and their bodies thrown in the Tigris River,” after being kidnapped by ISIS earlier in the week, Shamdasani further said. That brings to 296 the number of former Iraqi security officers killed by ISIS since last Tuesday, according to the UN. The UN made its statements after Iraq’s special forces entered the outskirts of Mosul on Tuesday and were advancing toward its more urban center despite fierce resistance by ISIS militants who hold the city, an Iraqi general said.

 

Turkey military deployment in Silopi related to Iraq developments

Reuters, Istanbul Tuesday, 1 November 2016/The deployment of Turkish military to an area near the Iraqi border is related to the “fight against terrorism and developments” in Iraq, Turkey’s defense minister said on Tuesday. Fikri Isik also told broadcaster A Haber that Turkey has “no obligation” to wait behind its borders and will do what is necessary if militants from the outlawed Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) take a foothold in Iraq’s Sinjar region. Turkey’s armed forces have begun deploying tanks and other armored vehicles to the Silopi area of the southeastern Sirnak province near the Iraqi border, military sources said earlier. The deployment comes after President Tayyip Erdogan said on Saturday Turkey was aiming to reinforce its troops there, saying Ankara would have a “different response” for Shi’ite militia groups if they “cause terror” in the Iraqi city of Tal Afar. Tal Afar, some 170 km from Silopi, is home to a sizeable ethnic Turkmen population with historic and cultural ties to Turkey. Sirnak province, where Silopi is located, is also one of the main areas of conflict between the Turkish military and PKK militants, who have bases in northern Iraq.

 

Kurdish authorities detain Japanese journalist in Iraq

The Associated Press, Tokyo Tuesday, 1 November 2016/A Japanese freelance journalist covering the fighting in Iraq has been detained by Kurdish authorities. Japanese government spokesman Yoshihide Suga said Tuesday in Tokyo that "we are aware that he is currently being detained" and that Japan is trying to determine why. Japan's Kyodo News agency says that journalist Kosuke Tsuneoka was reporting on the battle to recapture the city of Mosul from the ISIS group. Kyodo reported he is being held by the Kurdish militia known as the peshmerga. Suga said that the Japanese Embassy in Iraq is requesting access to Tsuneoka. He added that "we are still confirming the details of his charges with local authorities."Iraqi forces and their Kurdish allies, Sunni tribesmen and Shiite militias have been converging on Mosul since Oct. 17.

 

Iran: 20 ‘undeclared’ sentences on Saudi embassy attackers

Salih Hamid, Al Arabiya.net Tuesday, 1 November 2016/An Iranian judiciary official has announced that there are 20 “undeclared suspects” accused of storming and attacking Saudi Arabia’s embassy in Tehran and its consulate in Mashhad last January. However, “the convictions will be made public soon,” Alkhadi Husseini said. The statement comes after Iranian authorities released in October Hassan Kord Mihin, the mastermind behind the attack on the Saudi diplomatic missions in Iran. It has also been said that Iran had also deliberately stalled the trial of the 20 defendants for nearly 11 months. In March, Gholam Hossein Mohseni Aajia, the spokesman for the Iranian judiciary, announced the acquittal of 154 detainees charged with attacking the Saudi embassy, including a clergymen linked to the Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. Mihin, who publicly acknowledged that he was the planner behind the embassy attack, said others joined him in the attack as the “revolutionary sons of Hezbollah” from the Basij and the Revolutionary Guards.The Basij is a paramilitary volunteer militia established in Iran in 1979.

 

Coalition targets Houthi missile launch pads

Staff writer, Al Arabiya News Channel Tuesday, 1 November 2016/Iran-backed Houthi militias have incurred major loses in their military equipment in both Hajjah and Sanaa provinces following the Arab Coalition’s airstrikes against the militia group, killing dozens of its members, Al Arabiya News Channel reported on Tuesday. In the northwestern province of Hajjah, the coalition targeted missile launch pads and armed vehicles in the Haradh district. The coalition has also targeted launch pads for ballistic missiles west of the capital Sanaa. Military sources also said that the coalition’s jets pounded arms storage sites in Bani Mater district - west of Sanaa - in addition to weapons depots in Jabal Naqam and Al-Haqa military camp east of the capital. Meanwhile, the operation to target Houthi militias’ arms also continued in Sarawih frontier west of Maarib city, 20 km east of Sanaa. The coalition also targeted militia forces in the northern al-Jawf province, bordering Saudi Arabia. Houthis’ military sites in the western coastal area of al-Hudayda were also targeted. So far, figures of the damages were not disclosed.

 

Interactive: Mapping history of terror attacks in Saudi Arabia

Al Arabiya Tuesday, 1 November 2016/Since Saudi Arabia signed a treaty pledging to combat international terrorism during the conference of the Islamic Forum Association in May 2010, the kingdom continues its efforts to eradicate terror through diverse means. It aims to collaborate with the international community in all international platforms designed to repel and confront the phenomenon and incriminate those responsible. Saudi Arabia has been a victim of many attacks since 1979, resulting in the deaths of more than 208 people and the injuries of 1,127.

November 20, 1979, an armed attack on the Grand mosque became infamously known as the Juhaiman incident. The attack resulted in the deaths of 28 people and nearly 17 injured.

 

Italian prosecutor in Egypt to discuss probe into student’s killing

Reuters Tuesday, 1 November 2016/Italy’s deputy chief prosecutor arrived in Cairo on Tuesday to discuss developments in the investigation into the killing of Italian student Giulio Regeni, sources at Cairo airport said. Regeni, who was doing postgraduate research into Egyptian trade unions, was last seen by his friends on Jan. 25. His body, showing signs of torture, was found in a roadside ditch on the outskirts of Cairo on Feb. 3. Deputy chief prosecutor Sergio Colaiocco will meet Egyptian Public Prosecutor Nabil Sadek and other senior judicial and security officials, according to the sources, who participated in welcoming the Italian delegation at the airport. Italy has repeatedly complained that Egyptian authorities have not cooperated to find those responsible for the 28-year-old student’s murder. In April, it withdrew its ambassador to Egypt for consultations. The Italian Senate voted in June to halt supplies to Egypt of spare parts for F16 warplanes in protest against what some senators said was the slow pace of investigation. Italy was Egypt’s fourth-largest trade partner in terms of imports and exports in 2015, according to Egypt’s statistics agency CAPMAS. The Senate vote was Italy’s first commercial step against Cairo over the Regeni case. Human rights groups have said that torture marks, including cigarette burns, cuts and contusions, indicated Regeni died at the hands of the security forces, an allegation Cairo denies. But security and intelligence sources told Reuters in April that Regeni had been arrested outside a Cairo metro station on Jan. 25 and was taken to a Homeland Security compound. Regeni’s case is an “open wound” for Italy, Foreign Minister Paolo Gentiloni said last week. Sadek told his Italian counterpart in September that the head of Egypt’s independent union of street vendors reported Regeni to police a few weeks before he disappeared. Regeni had been researching independent labor unions in Egypt for his doctorate studies at Cambridge University, and had been in contact with the leaders of the street vendors’ union. Police then carried out checks on Regeni’s activity for three days but found nothing of interest and stopped the checks, Sadek said. Italy has significant economic interests in Egypt, including the giant offshore Zohr gas field, which is being developed by the Italian state energy producer Eni. Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has also sought to be Egypt’s main political partner in Europe, offering to be “a bridge” to the region for Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi.

 

Kuwait Bars 47 Candidates from Contesting Polls

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 01/16/Kuwait's election authorities on Tuesday barred 47 candidates from contesting parliamentary polls later this month for being convicted in courts or not fulfilling nomination requirements, candidates said. Those barred include former opposition MPs Bader al-Dahum and Safa al-Hashem, as well as controversial Shiite ex-MP Abdulhameed Dashti who has been sentenced in absentia to jail for insulting fellow Gulf states Saudi Arabia and Bahrain. The Kuwaiti ruler dissolved parliament last month because of a crisis between MPs and the government over hiking petrol prices, and set November 26 for an election. Dahum wrote on Twitter that he was informed by the election authority that he had been barred from standing but not told why. He said he will mount a legal challenge to he decision. Hashem also tweeted that she had been told she could not stand for office and that she will challenge the decision. Dashti has been living outside Kuwait for several months and won a court order last week allowing his son to submit nomination papers on his behalf. Also barred was Sheikh Malek Humoud Al-Sabah, a member of the ruling family who announced his candidacy in a rare move in the oil-rich Gulf state where royals normally stay away from elections. There has been no comment from either Dashti or Sheikh Malek on their exclusion.Kuwaiti courts can overturn the decision of the authorities and allow candidates to run. Although no official details were given on the decision, local media websites reported that 31 candidates were banned because of court verdicts and the remaining 16 for not completing procedures. A total of 454 candidates, including 15 women, have registered to stand for election to the 50-seat parliament. The election sees the return of major opposition groups and individuals ending a four-year boycott in protest against the government for amending the voting the system.

 

Iranian Regime's Economic Expert: Having Seven to Eight Million Unemployed Is a Major Challenge for the Country

Tuesday, 01 November 2016/NCRI - Yahya Ale Eshaq, an Iranian regime’s economic expert, has stated that having 7-8 million unemployed is a major challenge for the regime. In an interview with the terrorist Quds Force’s ‘Tasnim’ news agency on Sunday October 30, Ale Eshaq said that “ when the bureau of statistics announces the unemployment rate, it should make it clear according to which criteria the rate has been calculated? Should someone who works for only an hour a week be regarded as a working person? A two-million youth unemployment figure does not reflect the reality. The fact is, that there are currently around seven to eight million jobless in the country.”The economic expert said that at the moment there are five million unemployed graduates and added: “according to the bureau of statistics, we have currently about two and a half million unemployed, but some sources speak of a six and a half million unemployment figure which, Considering the social realities, the latter seems to be the correct one.”Ale Eshaq stated that stagnation, unemployment, inflation and lack of jobs for the youth are the major challenges for the Iranian regime. He added: “one of the major challenges for the country is having 7 to 8 million unemployed people most of whom are educated. Therefore, we should pay special attention to this issue so as to figure out a solution.”

 

Execution lingers in Iran Prisons

NCRI /Tuesday, 01 November 2016/NCRI - This morning, Tuesday, November1, two prisoners were hanged in the Salmas prison. Their names is Sami Mamedi and Iraj Hamedi. According to published reports, the Iranian clerical regime intends to execute 9 more prisoners in Salmas prison (North Western Iran) on drug related charges. n October 29, these prisoners have been transferred to solitary confinement for execution. According to same reports on Sunday, October 30th the prisoners had their last meeting with their families. The execution of prisoners is pending.

Today, also three prisoners called, Farhad, Darius and Shoaib have been transferred to solitary confinement in Urmia prison (who are under an imminent risk of execution.

 

Deceptive maneuver of changing the law and reducing the number of executions by the mullahs

NCRI /Tuesday, 01 November 2016/ coincident with the general assembly session on the eve of elections show

In a deceptive maneuver that has been started since several years ago mullah Pour Mohammadi, Rouhani's Minister of Justice, underscoring the fact that death penalty cannot be ignored said, " the number of death penalties and its application should be reviewed.... However, death penalty continues to be in the agenda but not as much as it is being done nowadays" (ILNA, state news agency- 29 October 2016). Coincident with the General Assembly session, he is repeating this crude pledge while the regime sent to the gallows 77 people just in this September.

Pour Mohammadi is one of the members of Death Committee in Tehran in the course of political prisoners massacre in 1988. Defending such a crime against humanity, he said two months ago, " we are proud to have implemented the God's law against the PMOI, and stood firm in the face of the enemies of God and the nation... There should be no mercy for the Monafeqin (the term used by the regime for PMOI members and supporters)." There is no doubt that the remarks of Pour Mohammadi and other regime's officials are on the one hand to prevent ratification of a strong resolution by the UN General Assembly condemning violation of human rights in Iran, and on the other hand because of the regime's fear of growing public opposition to executions. Accordingly, the time has come for the international community to hold the religious fascism ruling Iran accountable for its crimes, and to prevent it from continuing repression, instead of falling prey to it hollow maneuvers and making concessions to it by helping it get released out of the corner and encourage it to continue executions and killings.

Since two years ago the leaders of the Iranian regime have pledged repeatedly that the number of executions will be reduced by changing the law. Coincident with the sessions of the General Assembly of the United Nations, or on the eve of the regime's sham elections, such lies, extremely needed more than before by the regime's appeasers to justify their deals with the regime, are being heard more and more. Also, in these days that the Justice Seeking movement for 30,000 martyrs of the 1988 massacre is getting widespread, the mullahs' regime is in more need of such ridiculous maneuvers. In his report to the current session of General Assembly regarding the human rights in Iran, the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon worte, "since 2009, there has been a pattern of executions dropping significantly before polling day then dramatically increasing afterwards."

Javad Larijani, in charge of the so-called human rights in the regime", told France 24 two years ago, "we have this much drug-related crimes according to the existing law which they are receiving capital punishment. We are crusading to change this law and if we are successful to pass it in the parliament almost 80 percent of the executions would go away and it is a big news for us." (5 December 2014)

Seventy days ago he said, "we are against full removal of capital punishment because for some very dangerous crimes there should be capital punishment. Furthermore, there are cases such as castigation that is related to divine Law. Even regarding drug-related crimes, we do not advocate full removal of capital punishment, rather we are after reviewing the law…reviewing drug law is not equivalent to removal of death penalty. ...one of the issues for which we execute capital punishment is of course the issue of castigation that... we are very proud of." (state media- 23 August 2016)

The regime's parliament (Majlis) has also participated in this deceptive and ridiculous maneuver for the last 2 years. Mohammad Ali Esfanani, the spokesman of the Majlis judicial committee, talked two years ago about the bill of reduction of capital punishment. He said, "the idea of reducing capital punishment about drug-related crimes will be definitely welcomed by many in Majlis.... At the same time the legal and judicial committee of Majlis in the Code of Criminal Procedure that is going to be enforced from July 2015 has referred to commutation of the punishment for drug-related crimes." (IRNA news agency- 23 December 2014)

Last year and coincident with the session of General Assembly, Mir Hadi Gharaseyyed Roomiani, member of the judicial committee board of directors of Mjlis informed that more than 70 MPs had signed for the plan of removal of capital punishment from the drug law and said, "By ratifying this plan, capital punishment will be implemented only in armed smuggling cases." He added, "Once this plan has been ratified, all prisoners who are currently in prison will be released." (state media- 8 December 2015)

Once again this same disgusting game was repeated this fall when the General Assembly started. Mullah Hassan Nowrouzi, the spokesman of Majlis legal and judicial committee, informed of the plan of commutation of capital punishment signed by 100 MPs. He said, "Today this plan is going to be presented to the parliament's board of directors." He reiterated, "This plan will cover only those individuals who have carried drugs for the first time or a small amount of it." (Tasnim- Quds Force news agency, 4 October 2016)

A month later on 30 October 2016, this same mullah said in his interview with the regime's radio and TV news agency, "We presented a plan with 76 signatures to the Majlis board of directors today which says individuals who have carried drugs or were fallen prey to drug traffickers, provided that they do not have criminal record, should not be executed," however "those who act as a gang and have criminal record are referred to as corrupt on earth and should be eliminated and executed…we are not against destroying corrupt on earth."

These deceptive maneuvers are indicative of weakness and fragile situation of a regime that is deeply scared of frustrated people uprising, and has no way forward and no way back in the deadlock of increasing domestic and international crises.

Secretariat of the National Council of Resistance of Iran/November 1, 2016

 

Morocco Arrests 11 over Fish Seller's Death

Agence France Presse/November 01/16/Morocco has arrested 11 people over the death of a fish seller whose crushing in a rubbish truck sparked widespread demonstrations, prosecutors said on Tuesday. The suspects have been brought before an investigating magistrate in connection with allegations of involuntary manslaughter and forgery of public documents, a statement said.Mouhcine Fikri, 31, was crushed to death on Friday in the truck in the northern city of Al-Hoceima as he reportedly tried to protest against authorities seizing and destroying his wares.

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis& editorials from miscellaneous sources published on on November 02/16

Jews Die, Turks Celebrate

Robert Jones/Gatestone Institute/November 01/16

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9237/jews-die-turks-celebrate

"Idiots, since when have non-Muslims been wished to rest in peace?" — Tweet after the death of a Jewish businessman in Turkey.

All of this history and narrative makes one ask: What is a radical Muslim and what is a moderate Muslim? Is "being radical" only about being an armed militant? Can Muslims who do not engage in violent action but who have extremely hate-filled and murderous speech be considered "moderate"? Or would their supremacist or even genocidal speech be enough to name them as "radical?"

What then is the difference between armed Islamic State terrorists who threaten Jews with massacres, and unarmed Turkish Twitter users who celebrate Jewish deaths and call for massacring more Jews?

Two important Jew have lost their lives lately: Shimon Peres, the ninth President of Israel, and Ishak Alaton, a Jewish businessman from Turkey.

Upon receiving the news of the deaths of these two men, many Turks rushed to Twitter proudly and openly to show off their hatred of Jews, according to the Turkish news site, Avlaremoz, which covers Jewish affairs.

Some of the Tweets posted after Peres's death on September 28 included:

"Shimon Peres died, there is now one fewer Jew. I wish the same for other Jews and their sperm..."

"Shimon Peres died. One fewer Jew. The world has got rid of one more piece of dirt."

"Shimon Peres, you'll get a nice tan there. May your hellfire be fierce. Jewish dog."

"It would be great if we do salah [Islamic prayer] of thankfulness every time a Jew drops dead."

"Hellfire is calling you, Jewish dog Shimon Peres."

Some people might attempt to normalize these Turks' hatred of Peres by pointing out that Peres was an Israeli state leader. However, the reactions many Turks gave on social media after a Turkish businessman of Jewish origin died shows that these reactions are instead simply raw Jew-hate, which has little to do with the policies of the state of Israel.

Ishak Alaton, a Turkish businessman and investor of Jewish descent, born in Istanbul in 1927, died of heart failure on September 11, at the age of 89. This is how some Turks on Twitter paid farewell to him:

"Ishak Alaton, the darling of Soros and the Jewish usurer, has croaked. Master Baphomet was not able to protect him. I wish the same for other Jewish vampires."

"Even those whose top expertise is making money eventually bid farewell to life. Ishak Alaton lost his life."

[Responding to a tweet that wished Alaton to rest in peace:] "Idiots, since when have non-Muslims been wished to rest in peace? You do not even know about that. You have nothing to do with religion."

"Even his air conditioners will not be enough to cool him down in the afterlife."

"It is cause for rejoicing that one more Jew falls before the Bayram [Eid al-Adha, the Islamic 'Sacrifice Feast']."

Alaton had contributed immensely to the Turkish economy, and culture, as well as to the efforts of democratization of the country.

Between 1947 and 1948, he performed his military service in the Turkish army, compulsory for all male Turks. After studying and working in Sweden from 1951 to 1954, he returned to Turkey, co-founded the Alarko group of companies, and employed thousands of people.

A prominent businessman and philanthropist, Alaton was granted the Swedish Order of the North Star and the Spanish Order of Civil Merit. Yet he preferred to live in Turkey. There he became the chairman of one of the most prominent businesses in the country and established the Turkey Foundation of Economic and Social Studies.

The Turks that spewed Jew-hatred after his death are evidently sure that no prosecutor in Turkey will hold them accountable account for their remarks calling for hatred and even violence against Jews. They seem to think that no matter what you say or write about Jews, you can get away with it. In fact, celebrating Jewish deaths on social media seems to be a tradition for some Turks. Following an attempted stabbing at the Israeli Embassy in Ankara on September 21, and the bombing attack in Istanbul's Taksim district which resulted in three Israeli deaths, many Turkish Twitter-users had filled Twitter with hate-filled messages again.

Turkish police and soldiers are deployed outside the Israeli Embassy in Ankara after an attempted attack on the facility, on September 21. (Image source: TeleSur video screenshot).

This should come as no surprise: 71% of the Turkish adult population harbors anti-Semitic attitudes, according to the 2015 Anti-Defamation League Global 100 Poll.

"I do not think that there has ever been a period in this country in which anti-Semitism and hatred against Jews has decreased," said Isil Demirel, an anthropologist from Turkey and an author for Avlaremoz. "And during the current political atmosphere, hate speech against Jews in Turkey is even more commonplace."

The Jewish community in Turkey has also been exposed to deadly terror attacks at the hands of Muslim groups. On September 6, 1986, Palestinian Arab terrorists affiliated with the Abu Nidal Organization bombed and opened fire at Neve Shalom Synagogue in Istanbul during a Sabbath service; 22 people were killed.

On November 15, 2003, Islamist Turks and Al-Qaeda sympathizers exploded near-simultaneous car bombs outside two Istanbul synagogues -- Neve Shalom and Beth Israel -- both filled with worshippers. At least 23 people were murdered, and more than 300 wounded. According to Demirel:

"The attacks against synagogues in particular have made security an even more alarming issue for the Jewish community. That is why, for many years, synagogues and other Jewish institutions have been protected by safety measures.... The government should immediately recognize anti-Semitism as a hate crime and impose penal sanctions on the perpetrators. I think this is the most important step to be taken to help the Jewish community live in peace here."

But given the anti-Semitic and anti-Israeli statements of state authorities in Turkey, it does not seem realistic to expect them to make laws that would recognize anti-Semitism as an offense in Turkey.

For example, on July 18, 2014, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said:

"The state that knows best how to kill children is Israel. The obvious reality is that Israel is the country that threatens peace in the world and in the Middle East. Israel has never been pro-peace. It has persecuted and continues the persecution.

"Israel might seem to be the winner now. But it will eventually be defeated. This will also bother the Jews living in certain parts of the world. We as Turkey and myself -- as long as I am in charge -- can never have a positive view of Israel."

According to a 2014 Pew Poll, Israel is the most hated country in Turkey, with 86% of respondents holding an unfavorable view of the Jewish state, and only 2% viewing it positively.

Although the Jewish people have not been allowed to live free and safe lives in Turkey, they have resided there for millennia -- as have the Armenians and the Greeks, who were also persecuted, and the Alevis and the Kurds who are persecuted now. "The Jewish presence in Asia Minor dates back to Biblical times," writes Professor Franklin Hugh Adler. "This is mentioned by Aristotle and several Roman sources, including Josephus.

"Jews, in fact, had inhabited this land long before the birth of Mohammed and the Islamic conquests of the seventh and eighth centuries, or for that matter, the arrival and conquests of the Turks, beginning in the eleventh century.

"At the beginning of the Turkish Republic, in 1923, the Jewish population was 81,454. Nevertheless, Turkey's current Jewish population has diminished to 15,000."

Many verbal and physical attacks on Jews have played a significant role in Jewish emigration from Turkey. These included the "Citizen Speak Turkish" Campaign of 1930s, the 1934 anti-Jewish pogrom in eastern Thrace, the 1941-1942 conscription of the "twenty classes" (an attempt to conscript all male non-Muslim populations, including the elderly and mentally ill during World War II), and the 1942-1944 Wealth Tax. Today, under the current Islamist government, life for Jews in Turkey is no easier than before.

Meanwhile, militants linked to the Islamic State in the Sinai Peninsula recently released a new video that contains more threats against the Jews and Israel. "Oh Jews, wait for us," the narrator in the video threatens. "The punishment is severe and soon you will pay a high price."

This history and narrative leads one to ask: What is a radical Muslim and what is a moderate Muslim? Is "being radical" only about being an armed militant? Can Muslims who do not engage in violent action but who have extremely hate-filled and murderous speech be considered "moderate"? Or should their supremacist or even genocidal speech be reason enough to think of them as "radical?"

What then is the difference between armed Islamic State terrorists who threaten Jews with massacre and unarmed Turkish Twitter users who celebrate Jewish deaths and call for massacring more Jews?

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

Palestinians: Back into Bed with Hamas

Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/November 01/16

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9228/palestinians-abbas-hamas

If Abbas is unable to make peace inside his own Fatah faction, how will he ever be able to end the dispute with Hamas? And the more crucial question: How can Abbas ever be expected to make peace with Israel when he cannot even control his own Fatah loyalists? The Palestinian political situation, plagued with anarchy on all fronts, is deteriorating on a daily basis.

Israel and the rest of the world are currently facing two Palestinian camps: one (Hamas) that does not want to make peace with Israel because it believes Israel ought not to exist, and the second (Fatah) that cannot make peace with Israel because it is too weak to do so. The next US administration, whatever political persuasion it may be, would do well to mark this reality.

This has become predictable. Given two minutes of breath, Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas resorts to the old tactic of courting Hamas as a way of hiding from the disaffection of his own Fatah faction. The overtures towards Hamas are a smokescreen for what many Palestinians are beginning to perceive as the beginning of a revolt against Abbas.

Last week, Abbas held a surprise meeting in Qatar with Hamas leaders Ismail Haniyeh and Khaled Mashaal. The meeting reportedly considered ways of ending the longstanding dispute between Fatah and Hamas and achieving "national reconciliation."

Abbas aides said the meeting also dealt with the possibility of forming a Palestinian "national unity" government and holding long-overdue presidential, parliamentary and municipal elections in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

The unexpected meeting was held under the auspices of the rulers of Qatar, a country that has long been the Number One sponsor of the Muslim Brotherhood organization, of which Hamas is an offshoot.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas walks with Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, Emir of Qatar, during a visit to the Gulf state last week. The Emir hosted a meeting between Abbas and Hamas leaders, with the goal of ending the dispute between Hamas and Abbas's Fatah faction, and achieving "national reconciliation."

The surprising nature of the meeting between Abbas and the Hamas leaders makes sense: for one thing, the two sides had, prior to the encounter, denied that it would take place.

Moreover, the meeting came only weeks after Fatah and Hamas traded allegations over the cancellation of the Palestinian municipal election, supposed to be held in the West Bank and Gaza Strip on October 8. Tensions between the two rival parties have since been mounting over the cancellation of the local election, with each side holding the other responsible for "foiling the democratic, electoral process."

So what is really behind Abbas's latest decision to throw himself into the open arms of Hamas? Is the PA president suddenly smitten with genuine concern for "national reconciliation", or did something else prompt him to rush to Qatar?

The timing of the meeting in the Qatari capital of Doha is most telling.

Abbas's chat with Mashaal and Haniyeh coincided with an unprecedented wave of violent protests that have erupted against him in a number of Palestinian refugee camps in the West Bank. In the past few weeks, scenes of armed clashes between PA security forces and gunmen have become a daily scene in the refugee camps of Balata, Jenin and Al-Amari in the West Bank.

Palestinians say the confrontations are the worst in many years and pose a serious and open challenge to Abbas. The most recent clashes took place last week in Balata, when hundreds of PA security officers stormed the camp in an attempt to arrest "outlaws" and "criminals." At least four people were wounded during the exchange of gunfire between the gunmen and policemen.

Similar clashes have also occurred in the Al-Amari camp (near Ramallah) and the Jenin camp.

Abbas aides claim that ousted Fatah strongman Mohamed Dahlan is behind the latest unrest in the refugee camps.

They claim that Dahlan and his supporters are seeking to overthrow Abbas as part of a "wider conspiracy" to appoint new leaders for the Palestinians.

They also claim that some Arab countries, particularly Egypt, Jordan and the United Arab Emirates, are backing the alleged conspiracy to remove Abbas from power.

Abbas's paranoia has reached the point that he has begun expelling or arresting any Fatah member whom he suspects of being affiliated with Dahlan. Hardly a day passes without the Palestinian Authority's expulsion of yet another unruly Fatah official.

According to Palestinian sources, at least thirteen Fatah officials have been run out of the faction in the past few months, most of them on suspicion of being linked in one way or another to Dahlan.

The most recent target of Abbas's crackdown is Jihad Tamliyeh, a top Fatah operative from Al-Amari, who was accused of trying to convene a meeting of Dahlan loyalists in the camp. After breaking up the gathering and threatening to arrest participants, Abbas signed an order expelling Tamliyeh from Fatah. The decision to ban the meeting and the subsequent expulsion of Tamliyeh from Fatah sparked a wave of violent protests and widespread condemnations in the West Bank.

Later, Abbas ordered his security forces to arrest Ra'fat Elayan, a senior Fatah official from East Jerusalem, also on suspicion of being affiliated with Dahlan.

Dahlan, who has denied any connection to the recent turmoil in Fatah, has accused Abbas of running Fatah and the PA as his private fiefdom.

"Since when was Fatah a company or a fiefdom from which people are expelled in accordance with personal agendas?" Dahlan wondered. He also denied that he has ambitions to replace or succeed Abbas.

Further evidence of the expanding turmoil in Abbas's Fatah faction emerged last week with a report that claimed that the PA security forces had uncovered a plot to assassinate three top Fatah officials: Ghassan Shaka'ah, Jamal Tirawi and Amin Maqboul - all critics of Abbas. According to the report, three of the suspects are PA security officers.

The rising tensions and skyrocketing discontent with Abbas's autocratic rule in Fatah are yet another sign of the failure of the PA president to control his own faction. Fatah is the dominant party in the PA; thus, the way it goes, so goes PA establishment.

Most, if not all, the members of the PA security forces are Fatah loyalists. So are most of the PA's civil servants. Many PA security officers and senior Fatah officials are said to be unhappy with the way Abbas is cracking down on suspected Fatah dissidents.

"The Palestinian Authority has violated the Palestinian law by raiding Palestinian refugee camps to prevent conferences," said top Fatah official Sufyan Abu Zaida. "What is happening in the refugee camps (in the West Bank) is dangerous and unacceptable."

Some PA officials have privately criticized Abbas for failing to realize the degree to which his Fatah faction represents a threat to him. They expressed surprise that he has not yet abandoned his globe-trotting habit and remained in Ramallah to tackle what they call the "Camp Intifada" against him. The officials also pointed out that the increased tensions in Fatah could spoil efforts to convene Fatah's seventh conference to elect new members and discuss reforms in the faction. Abbas is hoping to convene the conference before the end of this year. The last time Fatah held a conference was in 2009. Under the current circumstances, the likelihood that the long-awaited conference will actually take place appears to be nearly nil. The internecine fighting in Fatah and the growing challenges to Abbas's leadership are to thank for those poor odds.

Meanwhile, the 81-year-old Abbas is busy searching for ways to escape from the most recent fire to have broken out in his back yard. And the best way to do so, he remembers from eruption to eruption, is to appear to be getting his Fatah faction back into bed with the Islamist movement.

The prospect of a Fatah-Hamas unity certainly gets the world salivating. Only the very naïve, however, could ever imagine such a union, at least in the foreseeable future. Just as only the foolhardy could imagine Hamas relinquishing its goal of the destruction of Israel for the sake of a tryst with Fatah.If the Fatah-Hamas rift was once considered the major obstacle to Palestinian statehood, today it has become obvious that divisions among Fatah pose even a bigger threat to Palestinian aspirations.

If Abbas is unable to make peace inside his own Fatah faction, how will he ever be able to end the dispute with Hamas? And the more crucial question: How can Abbas ever be expected to make peace with Israel when he cannot even control his own Fatah loyalists? The Palestinian political situation, plagued with anarchy on all fronts, is deteriorating on a daily basis.

Israel and the rest of the world are currently facing two Palestinian camps: one (Hamas) that does not want to make peace with Israel because it believes Israel ought not to exist, and the second (Fatah) that cannot make peace with Israel because it is too weak to do so. The next US administration, whatever political persuasion it may be, would do well to mark this reality.

Khaled Abu Toameh, an award-winning journalist, is based in Jerusalem.

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

Obama: Don't Destroy the Peace Process by Turning it Over to the U.N.

Alan M. Dershowitz/Gatestone Institute/November 01/16

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9238/obama-un-israel

The Obama Administration is sending strong signals that once the election is over it may make a major push to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict at the United Nations. Despite repeated invitations by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to Palestinian Authority President Abbas to meet without preconditions, the stalemate persists. Some blame it on Palestinian unwillingness to recognize Israel as the nation state of the Jewish People and to compromise to the so-called "right of return." Others — including the current U.S. Administration — lay the blame largely at the feet of the Netanyahu government for continuing to build in the West Bank, most recently approval of between 98 and 300 new homes in Shiloh. Whatever the reasons – and they are complex and multifaceted — President Obama should resist any temptation, during his final weeks in office, to change longstanding American policy — that only direct negotiations between the parties will achieve a lasting peace.

In particular, Obama should veto an expected French resolution in the Security Council establishing an international peace conference under the auspices of the U.N. The general parameters of the French resolution would likely call for:

"Borders based on the 1967 Lines with agreed equivalent land swaps; security arrangements preserving the sovereignty of the Palestinian State and guaranteeing the security of Israel; a fair, equitable, and negotiated solution to the refugee problem; an arrangement making Jerusalem the capital of both states."

These guidelines may sound reasonable. Indeed, they are strikingly similar to the offers made to and reject by the Palestinian leadership in 2000-2001 from former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak and former U.S. President Bill Clinton, and in 2008 by former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert. The U.N., however, has disqualified itself from playing any constructive role in the peace process. Recent attempts by the U.N. to intervene in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict have produced unmitigated disasters. The so-called Goldstone Report, which sought to investigate allegations of war crimes committed during the 2009 Israeli intervention in Gaza, was so blatantly biased against Israel that Richard Goldstone himself had to retract some of its key findings in 2011.

Since then, the U.N. has done nothing to reassure Israel that it is capable of offering an unbiased forum for negotiations. In the past year alone, the U.N. has singled out Israel for special criticism on issues like health rights, and most laughably, women's rights, while failing even to mention regimes whose record on these issues is truly abominable. Last year alone, at least twenty separate resolutions were adopted by the U.N. General Assembly, which singled out Israel for special criticism. Most recently UNESCO attempted to erase millennia of Jewish history with regard to the Temple Mount in Jerusalem. In light of such behavior, the U.S. should not trust that Israel would receive a fair hearing at any U.N. sponsored peace conference.

As Netanyahu said in his most recent speech to the U.N. General Assembly, "The road to peace runs through Jerusalem and Ramallah, not through New York." In other words, the only way forward for the Israeli-Palestinian peace process is bilateral negotiations between the two parties. Netanyahu and Abbas must sit down and agree to necessary but painful compromises aimed at establishing a Palestinian state, while addressing Israel's security concerns, and the realities on the ground. Resolutions such as the proposed French resolution undermine such efforts by encouraging the Palestinians to believe that direct negotiations — and the mutual sacrifices they would entail — are unnecessary, and that a Palestinian state can be achieved on the basis of U.N. resolutions alone. It would also make it more difficult, if not impossible, for the Palestinian Authority to accept anything less than that already given them by the U.N. — which would in turn guarantee the failure of any realistic negotiations.

It is for these and other reasons that American policy has long been to veto or otherwise derail U.N. attempts to interfere with the Israeli-Palestinian peace process even when it is stalled. As President Obama said in 2013:

"We seek an independent, viable and contiguous Palestinian state as the homeland of the Palestinian people. The only way to achieve that goal is through direct negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians themselves."

Hillary Clinton, too, has stated in the past, that she supports bilateral negotiations between the Israelis and Palestinians, and her campaign has said that she "believes that a solution to this conflict cannot be imposed from without." So, too, has Donald Trump.

Recently, however, several past and present Obama officials have apparently advised the president to support, or at least not veto the French resolution, as well as a one-sided Palestinian push to have the U.N. declare Israeli settlements illegal. It would be wrong — and undemocratic — for Obama to unilaterally reverse decades of U.S. foreign policy during the lame duck period. After all, in 2011 his administration vetoed an almost identical Palestinian proposal that called for Israel to "immediately and completely cease all settlement activities in occupied Palestinian territory, including East Jerusalem". Similarly, until now, Obama has repeatedly pressured the French and other European nations not to put forward any proposal related to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, on the grounds that such initiatives discourage bilateral negotiations. This is surely the view of the majority of the Senate, which has its own constitutional authority to participate in foreign policy decisions. In fact, 88 senators signed an open letter to Obama in which they called on the President to veto any Security Council resolutions regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

The period between the election and the inauguration is the only time a president can act without the checks and balances of American democracy. He should not take action that would tie the hands of his successor.

U.S. President Barack Obama addresses the UN General Assembly's seventy-first session, September 20, 2016. (Image source: United Nations)

Obama must realize that no lasting peace can be achieved in the remaining months of his presidency: there are a multitude of complex and contentious issues — most notably the status of Jerusalem, the rights of so-called Palestinian refugees, and the situation in Gaza — that must be thoroughly addressed in order to achieve a lasting peace. Our next president will undoubtedly have to wade into the Israeli-Palestinian peace process again. The new administration — with the agreement of the Senate — should have full latitude to do what it deems most appropriate. It should not be stuck with parameters bequeathed to it by a President desperate to secure a short-term foreign policy "victory" that in the long term will make a resolution of the conflict more difficult to achieve.

If Obama feels that he must intrude in an effort to break the logjam before he leaves office, he should suggest that the current Israeli government offer proposals similar to those offered in 2000- 2001 and 2008 and that this time the Palestinian leadership should accept them in face-to face negotiations. But he should take no action (or inaction) that invites U.N. involvement in the peace process — involvement that would guarantee failure for any future president's efforts to encourage a negotiated peace.

We should hear the views of both candidates on whether the U.S. should support or veto a Security Council resolution that would tie their hands were they to be elected president. It is not too late to stop President Obama from destroying any realistic prospects for peace.

Alan M. Dershowitz, Felix Frankfurter Professor of Law, Emeritus and author of Taking the Stand: My Life in the Law and Electile Dysfunction. An earlier and somewhat different version of this article appeared in the Boston Globe.

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

German Streets Descend into Lawlessness, "We are losing control of the streets."

Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/November 01/16

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9229/germany-lawlessness

During the first six months of 2016, migrants committed 142,500 crimes, according to the Federal Criminal Police Office. This is equivalent to 780 crimes committed by migrants every day, an increase of nearly 40% over 2015. The data includes only those crimes in which a suspect has been caught.

Thousands of migrants who entered the country as "asylum seekers" or "refugees" have gone missing. They are, presumably, economic migrants who entered Germany on false pretenses. Many are thought to be engaging in robbery and criminal violence.

Local police in many parts of the country admit that they are stretched to the limit and are unable to maintain law and order.

"Drug trafficking takes place right before our eyes. If we intervene, we are threatened, spat on, insulted. Sometimes someone whips out a knife. They are always the same people. They are ruthless, fearless and have no problems with robbing even the elderly." — Private security guard.

According to Freddi Lohse of the German Police Union in Hamburg, many migrant offenders view the leniency of the German justice system as a green light to continue delinquent behavior. "They are used to tougher consequences in their home countries," he said. "They have no respect for us."

"It cannot be that offenders continue to fill the police files, hurt us physically, insult us, whatever, and there are no consequences. Many cases are closed or offenders are released on probation or whatever. Yes, what is happening in the courts today is a joke." — Tania Kambouri, German police officer.

The rape of a ten-year-old girl in Leipzig, the largest city in Saxony, has drawn renewed attention to the spiraling levels of violent crime perpetrated by migrants in cities and towns across Germany — and the lengths to which German officials and the media go to censor information about the perpetrators of those crimes.

The girl was riding her bicycle to school at seven o'clock in the morning on October 27 when a man ambushed her, threw her to the ground and raped her. The suspect is described as being in his mid-thirties with short brown hair and a stubble beard.

Leipzig police have explicitly refused to say whether the suspect is a migrant, but have implicitly admitted that he is. They published a facial composite of the suspect with the politically correct warning:

"This image is to be published only in print media in the greater Leipzig area. Publishing this image on the internet, including on social media such as Facebook, is not covered by the court's manhunt order (Beschluss zur Öffentlichkeitsfahndung) and is therefore prohibited."

The effort to censor information about the rape, in which German officials show themselves to be more concerned about protecting the identity of the rapist than the welfare of the victim or other girls he might attack, is almost unprecedented in Germany.

To its credit, the Berlin-based newspaper, Bild, responded: "BILD is ignoring this request. We want to ensure that the suspect is arrested as quickly as possible." Indeed, Bild has been one of the only newspapers in Germany even to publish not only the image but also report the story of this rape.

Violent crime — including rapes, sexual and physical assaults, stabbings, home invasions, robberies, burglaries and drug trafficking — has skyrocketed in Germany since Chancellor Angela Merkel welcomed into the country more than one million mostly male migrants from Africa, Asia and the Middle East. Few, if any, of the migrants were vetted before being allowed to enter Germany.

Migrants committed 208,344 crimes in 2015, according to a confidential police report leaked to Bild. This figure represents an 80% increase since 2014 and is equivalent to 570 crimes committed by migrants every day, or 23 crimes each hour, in 2015 alone.

The actual number of migrant crimes is far higher, however: the report, produced by the Federal Criminal Police Office (Bundeskriminalamt, BKA), includes only crimes that have been solved (aufgeklärten Straftaten). According to police statistics, on average only around half of all crimes committed in Germany in any given year are solved (Aufklärungsquote). This implies that the actual number of crimes committed by migrants in Germany in 2015 may have exceeded 400,000.

During the first six months of 2016, migrants committed 142,500 crimes, according to a BKA report released on September 6. This is equivalent to 780 crimes committed by migrants every day, or 32.5 crimes each hour, an increase of nearly 40% over 2015. Again, the 2016 data includes only those crimes in which a migrant suspect has been caught. Crimes similar to the rape in Leipzig would not appear in the statistics because the suspects remain at large.

Migrant crime statistics for all of 2016, when they become available, are likely to show a significant increase over the 2015 numbers. One reason for this is that thousands of migrants who entered the country as "asylum seekers" or "refugees" have gone missing. They are, presumably, economic migrants who entered Germany on false pretenses. Many are thought to be engaging in robbery and criminal violence to sustain themselves.

Most of the crimes committed by migrants are being downplayed by German authorities, apparently to avoid fueling anti-immigration sentiments. For example, the BKA report states that most of the migrant crimes involve fare evasion — using public transportation without a ticket. As for other crimes, almost invariably they are said to be isolated incidents (Einzelfälle), not part of a nationwide problem.

Gatestone Institute has reviewed hundreds of reports of migrant crime in local police reports and local or regional newspapers. The evidence points to a nationwide surge in migrant crime: cities and towns in all 16 of Germany's federal states are affected. In fact, local police in many parts of the country admit that they are stretched to the limit and are unable to maintain law and order.

The growing sense of lawlessness is substantiated by an October 24 YouGov poll which found that 68% of Germans believe that security in the country has deteriorated during the past several years. Nearly 70% of respondents said they fear for their lives and property in German train stations and subways, while 63% feel unsafe at large public events.

German police are shown deployed to break up a mass brawl between migrants (Image source: SAT1 video screenshot)

In Hamburg, statistics show that migrants committed nearly half of the 38,000 crimes reported in Hamburg during the first six months of 2016, although migrants make up only a fraction of the city's 1.7 million inhabitants. Police say that many of the crimes were committed by "migrant gangs" (ausländischen Banden).

City police say they are helpless to confront a spike in crimes committed by young North African migrants. Hamburg is now home to more than 1,800 so-called unaccompanied minor migrants (minderjährige unbegleitete Flüchtlinge, MUFL), most of whom live on the streets and apparently engage in all manner of criminal acts, including purse snatching.

More than 20,000 purses are snatched in Hamburg every year. Most of those are stolen by males between the ages of 20 and 30 who come from the Balkans or North Africa, according to Norman Großmann, the director of the federal police inspector's office in Hamburg. In recent months, police have carried out operations (here and here) to confront the problem, but the actions have yielded few arrests.

Local media report that gangs of migrant youth have effectively taken over parts of the Jungfernstieg, one of the most prestigious boulevards in Hamburg. Many citizens are avoiding the area, which recently underwent a multi-million euro rehabilitation, because it has become too dangerous.

More than 50 people have been physically assaulted along the Jungfernstieg since the beginning of 2016, and police are being called in almost daily to respond to complaints of aggressive begging, public drunkenness, drug dealing and sexual assault. Restaurant owners are complaining about a spike in robbery and vandalism, and taxi drivers say they are avoiding the area, where Arabic and Farsi are commonplace.

The newspaper, Die Welt, reported that unaccompanied minor migrants at a refugee shelter in the Hammerbrook district are "working" at the Jungfernstieg. Stashes of mobile phones, laptops and other stolen goods were recently found hidden in their rooms. Police also arrested a 20-year-old Egyptian named Hassan who repeatedly attacked passersby with a knife. He was filmed groping a girl's breasts and genitals. When she resisted, he punched her in the face.

Residents of the Alsterdorf district in Northern Hamburg have asked their mayor to do something about a group of 40 highly aggressive unaccompanied minor migrants who are terrorizing the neighborhood. Residents complain about burglaries, robberies and even extortion. A 65-year-old resident said she was attacked by a ten-year-old who was trying to break into a car. A 45-year-old business owner said he is afraid to confront the youths because they might smash his windows. A 75-year-old pensioner said he no longer dares to step outside of his house after dark.

Thomas Jungfer, the deputy director of the German Police Union (DPolG) in Hamburg, warns that the city does not have enough police officers to maintain law and order. He says that private security companies are needed to fill in the gaps. "Dissatisfaction among our colleagues is growing," he said.

In nearby Bremen, police have effectively surrendered the fight against organized crime run by clans from the Balkans and Kurdistan because of the need to pour limited personnel resources into the fight against spiraling street crime by unaccompanied migrant youths.

Rainer Wendt, head of the German Police Union (DPolG) has criticized city officials for their lack of resolve. "Bremen has capitulated to extremely dangerous clans. The state's monopoly of the legitimate use of physical force [Gewaltmonopol des Staates] is now becoming the law of the jungle. Security continues to go down the drain."

In Berlin, criminal migrant clans "with strong group loyalties" are operating with impunity in the districts of Neukölln, Wedding, Moabit, Kreuzberg and Charlottenburg. The newsmagazine, Focus, reported that the Kottbusser Tor area in Kreuzberg, an area with many migrants, has become a "legal vacuum" because of a reduced police presence. The place has been overrun with drug trafficking, crime and violence, and residents and shopkeepers report crimes every hour, every day on public streets. A shopkeeper said: "In the past, children could run around here freely. Also, no one paid attention to whether the bag or backpack are secure. Today all this is no longer possible."

According to Focus, "During the day the area is full of heroin corpses, and at night pickpockets are on the go." A private security guard said:

"Drug trafficking takes place right before our eyes. If we intervene, we are threatened, spat on, insulted. Sometimes someone whips out his knife. They are always the same people. They are ruthless, fearless and have no problems with robbing even the elderly."

His colleague added: "Of course, we always call the police. The last time, however, they took two hours to get here."

In the Rhine-Ruhr region, the largest metropolitan region in Germany, police statistics show that Algerians committed more than 13,000 crimes in 2015, more than twice as many as in 2014. Moroccans committed 14,700 crimes, and Tunisians more than 2,000 crimes.

In North Rhine-Westphalia, a report by the interior ministry revealed that Moroccans committed 6,208 crimes in 2015. Algerians committed 4,995 crimes and Tunisians 1,084. These are significant increases compared to previous years.

According to the NRW Interior Ministry, "Immigrants from North African are increasingly disproportionate as offenders — mainly in large cities. The suspects are most often single young men. Their criminal specialties are robbery and assault."

In Düsseldorf, local politicians have been accused of ignoring the growing threat posed by violent gangs of migrants from Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia. The city is home to a total of 2,244 criminal suspects from North Africa, the majority of them (1,256) from Morocco. On average, they commit an offense every 3.5 hours. A police inspector said: "The group as a whole is disrespectful and absolutely without shame."

In Stuttgart, police are fighting a losing battle against migrant gangs from North Africa who are dedicated to pickpocketing. In the Rems-Murr district near Stuttgart, rival gangs of migrant youth from the Balkans are "stealing anything that is not nailed down." Roma and Kosovar youth skip school to go on daily forays systematically to break into cars to steal cell phones and other valuables. They also enter doctor's offices, residences for the elderly, kindergartens and schools to ransack handbags and jackets.

In Aalen, a 14-year-old Kosovar has a police file with more than 100 entries. A local newspaper reports: "All attempts by the police, judiciary and youth welfare office to instill in him a sense of right and wrong and to re-socialize him have so far failed. On Facebook he brags about his undertakings and his love for gangster rap."

In Leipzig, the public transportation system has become a magnet for criminals. The number of reported cases of theft on public transport jumped 152% between 2012 and 2015. The number of physical and sexual assaults on public transportation are also up. Overall, the number of reported crimes in buses and trams jumped 111% between 2012 and 2015, and the number of reported crimes at bus stops during that period were up by 40%.

Leipzig police attribute the spike in crime to the rapid increase in the city's population. They could not confirm the nationality of the perpetrators, however, because that would require a review of each of the crimes, a task that would "exceed the personnel-time capacity."

In Dresden, migrants from Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia have effectively taken control over the iconic Wiener Platz, a large public square in front of the central train station. There they sell drugs and pickpocket passersby, often with impunity. Police raids on the square have become a game of "whack-a-mole," with a never-ending number of migrants replacing those who have been arrested.

In Schwerin, roving bands of migrant youths armed with knives have made the city center increasingly dangerous day and night. City officials have drawn up an action plan to regain control of the streets. A centerpiece of the plan calls for the deployment of more social workers (Straßensozialarbeit) to promote integration.

In Bavaria, Sigrid Meierhofer, the mayor of the resort town of Garmisch-Partenkirchen complained that local police have responded to more migrant-related crimes during the past six weeks than in all of the previous 12 months combined. In a letter to the Bavarian government, she threatened to close a shelter in the town that houses 250 mostly male migrants from Africa if public safety and order cannot be restored. She has also warned female residents of the town to avoid being outside after dark.

In a bestselling book, Tania Kambouri, a German police officer, describes the deteriorating security situation in Germany due to migrants who she says have no respect for law and order. In an interview with Deutschlandfunk radio, she said:

"For weeks, months and years I have noticed that Muslims, mostly young men, do not have even a minimum level of respect for the police. When we are out patrolling the streets, we are verbally abused by young Muslims. There is the body language, and insults like 'sh** cop' when passing by. If we make a traffic stop, the aggression increases ever further, this is overwhelmingly the case with migrants.

"I wish these problems were recognized and clearly addressed. If necessary, laws need to be strengthened. It is also very important that the judiciary, that the judges issue effective rulings. It cannot be that offenders continue to fill the police files, hurt us physically, insult us, whatever, and there are no consequences. Many cases are closed or offenders are released on probation or whatever. Yes, what is happening in the courts today is a joke.

"The growing disrespect, the increasing violence against police.... We are losing control of the streets."

According to Freddi Lohse, Vice Chairman of the DPolG German Police Union in Hamburg, many migrant offenders view the leniency of the German justice system as a green light to continue delinquent behavior. "They are used to tougher consequences in their home countries," he said. "They have no respect for us."

Soeren Kern is a Senior Fellow at the New York-based Gatestone Institute. He is also Senior Fellow for European Politics at the Madrid-based Grupo de Estudios Estratégicos / Strategic Studies Group. Follow him on Facebook and on Twitter.

Appendix

Murders, Sexual Assaults and Rapes by Migrants in Germany, October 2016.

German crime reports use a variety of politically correct euphemisms to describe foreign suspects without using the terms "migrant" or "Muslim migrant."

October 1. Two "southern-looking" (südländische Erscheinung) men raped a 23-year-old woman in Lüneburg. The woman was walking in a park with her young child when the two men approached from behind. The men forced the child to watch while they took turns attacking her mother. A "southerner speaking Arabic" (Südländer, sprach Arabisch) attempted to rape a 34-year-old woman in Volksgarten. The man ran away when the woman pushed her fingers into his eyes. A "southerner" (südländische Erscheinung) pulled a knife on a 12-year-old girl in Kirchdorf. A "southerner" (südländischen Teint) exposed himself to two girls, aged eight and ten, in Legden.

October 2. A 19-year-old migrant from Morocco raped a 90-year-old woman as she was leaving a church in downtown Düsseldorf. Police described the suspect as "a Southern European with North African roots." It later emerged that the man is a Moroccan with a Spanish passport. A migrant from Africa (dunkler/afrikanischer Typ) sexually assaulted a 22-year-old woman in Altötting.

October 3. A "southerner" (südländisch ausgesehen) attempted to kidnap a 14-year-old girl in Landau. The man ran away when the girl activated an electronic whistle (akustischen Notfallstick).

October 4. A "southerner" (südländisches Erscheinungsbild) exposed himself to two children, aged 8 and 10, in a playground. A 15-year-old girl from Goldbeck pulled a knife on a 16-year-old migrant from Afghanistan who repeatedly harassed her.

October 5. A migrant from Syria sexually assaulted a 14-year-old girl who was on a walk with her grandmother in Gießen. A "southerner" (südländisch aussehenden Täter) sexually assaulted two girls, aged 16 and 17, in front of a train station in Böblingen. A "dark-skinned" (dunklere Haut) man sexually assaulted a 30-year-old woman on a bike path in Oberursel. A "dark-skinned" (dunkler Hautfarbe) man sexually assaulted a 21-year-old woman in Ulm.

October 6. A man speaking broken German sexually assaulted a 16-year-old girl in Weingarten. A "black African" (Schwarzafrikaner) assaulted a 27-year-old woman in Braunschweig.

October 7. A migrant from North Africa sexually assaulted a 25-year-old woman in downtown Stuttgart.

October 8. A 26-year-old asylum seeker from Syria attempted to rape a 36-year-old woman in a park in Böblingen. A 25-year-old Syrian groped a 15-year-old girl in Moers. The girl responded by slapping the man in the face. The man called the police and complained that the girl had assaulted him. He was arrested for sexual assault. A drunk 33-year-old "migrant from the Middle East" (Zuwanderer aus dem Nahen Osten) sexually assaulted a woman in Krefeld.

October 9. A 22-year-old migrant from Eritrea sexually assaulted a 23-year-old woman in Lispenhausen. A man speaking broken German sexually harassed a 23-year-old woman in Bietigheim-Bissingen.

October 10. A 26-year-old asylum seeker from Pakistan sexually assaulted a 24-year-old woman in Bad Hersfeld. A "dark-skinned" (dunkelhäutig) man assaulted a 21-year-old woman on a train in Stuttgart.

October 11. A migrant groped and fondled a seven-year-old girl on a bus in Demen. A "North African" groped four girls on the subway in Mannheim. A "southern-looking" (südländisches Aussehen) man sexually assaulted a 19-year-old woman in Wesel. A 31-year-old migrant from Syria exposed himself to a 24-year-old woman in Markgröningen. A "southern-looking" (südländisches Aussehen) man exposed himself to two 14-year-old girls in Kevelaer.

October 12. Two "southern-looking" (südländisches Aussehen) man sexually assaulted a 15-year-old girl at a bus stop in Weikersheim. A 21-year-old migrant from Libya sexually assaulted a woman in Leipzig. A man speaking German with an accent assaulted a 36-year-old woman in Siegen.

October 13. A 19-year-old migrant from Pakistan physically assaulted an 18-year-old woman in Monschau. As police were taking the man to the station, he head-butted a female officer. A "dark-skinned" (dunkelhäutige Mann) man exposed himself to a 16-year-old girl in Aichach. A 33-year-old migrant from Iraq was sentenced to 6.5 years in prison for raping a 55-year-old woman in Heilbronn. A 20-year-old migrant from Mali was sentenced to 2.5 years in prison for sexually assaulting a 42-year-old woman in Munich.

October 14. A "southern-looking" (südländisches äußeres Erscheinungsbild) man sexually assaulted a seven-year-old girl at a park in Ahaus. A man with an Arabic tattoo groped two 11-year-old girls at a public swimming pool in Gronau. Two men with "very dark skin" (sehr dunkle Hautfarbe) sexually assaulted two teenage girls in Bad Hersfeld. A "southerner" (südländisch) assaulted a 23-year-old woman in Wilhelmshaven.

October 15. A "dark-skinned" (dunklen Teint) man in his twenties sexually assaulted a 77-year-old woman in Bothfeld. Police believe the same man is responsible for four other assaults in the town that occurred in July, September and early October. Just days after arriving in Germany, three Afghans aged 17, 24 and 29 sexually assaulted two 14-year-old girls at a public swimming pool in Gronau. Two 18-year-old migrants from West Africa raped two 18-year-old women in Bremen. A man "apparently of foreign origin" (offenbar ausländischer Abstammung) physically assaulted a woman in front of the train station in Oranienburg. When a 32-year-old passerby intervened to protect the woman, he was attacked by the migrant, who remains at large.

October 16. A 16-year-old boy and his 15-year-old girlfriend were walking along the banks of the Alster, a lake in the heart of Hamburg, when a stranger ambushed him from behind and plunged a knife into his back. The attacker then pushed the girl into the water and walked away. The girl survived but the boy died of his wounds. The suspect, a "southern-looking" (südländischer Erscheinung) man in his early twenties, remains at large. Police say the victims were not robbed and there is not evident motive for the crime: The suspect appears to have randomly stabbed the boy just because he felt like it. On October 29, the Islamic State claimed responsibility for the murder, but German police say they doubt that claim. Also on October 16, a 31-year-old migrant from Pakistan raped a 26-year-old woman at a park in Dresden.

October 18. A "southerner" (südländischer Typ) sexually assaulted a 19-year-old woman in Hildesheim.

October 19. A 29-year-old migrant from Syria appeared in court on charges of sexually molesting ten children in Freiburg and Müllheim. The father of one of the victims took a photograph of the suspect, but police waited ten days before acting on the lead.

October 22. An 18-year-old migrant from Somalia murdered an 87-year-old woman in Neuenhaus.

October 24. Seventeen migrants surrounded two women and sexually assaulted them near the central train station in Freiburg. Only three of the men, all from Gambia, were arrested, and they have been released. The crime is similar to the taharrush gamea "collective sexual harassment" that occurred in Cologne and other German cities on New Year's Eve, when large groups of migrant males surrounded females and sexually assaulted them.

October 27. A ten-year-old girl was raped while she was riding her bicycle to school in Leipzig. Police published a facial composite of the suspect with the politically correct warning: "This image is to be published only in print media products in the Leipzig region. Publishing it on the Internet, including on social media such as Facebook, is not covered by the court order and is therefore not allowed." Two men speaking broken Germany sexually assaulted a woman in Fürstenzell.

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

India and UNESCO: Historical View vs. Jihad View

Jagdish N. Singh//Gatestone Institute/November 01/16

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9223/india-israel-unesco

King Solomon built the First Temple here around 1000 BC. The Babylonian King Nebuchadnezzar tore it down 400 years later. In the first century BC, King Herod refurbished a Second Temple. It is here that Jesus Christ lashed out against the money-changers. The Roman General Titus exacted revenge against Jewish rebels, sacking and burning the Temple in 70 AD.

UNESCO seeks to erase this history of faiths and replace it with a jihadi narrative that would deny both Christians and Jews their age-old access to the symbols of their faiths. If they are not stopped, the Islamist backers of the UNESCO resolution will be emboldened eventually to back Islamist elements in India to question its Hindu historical and religious sites.

After so many recent votes at UNESCO erasing Judeo-Christian history in favour of Islamist misrepresentation one thing is clear: the sooner democracies leave the UN, the better. Consider the UN's oil-for-food scandal of 2004-2005 and its growing sex-for-food scandal that is still ongoing. Now, with the UN's wholesale erasure of Biblical history, the only intelligent response is to head for the exits. The UN seems nothing more than a bloated, corrupt jobs program of champagne for diplomats. It does far more harm than good. Nothing worth having can come from such a degraded place.

One wonders what India's Permanent Delegation to the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) is doing in Paris today. India joined it way back on November 4, 1946. Given the potential of this cultural agency in spreading enlightenment derived from scientific education and fostering development throughout the world, New Delhi sent to the organization internationally acclaimed philosopher and future President, S. Radhakrishnan as a member. He rose to become its chairman during 1948-49. New Delhi's abstention from voting on the October 18 resolution in UNESCO's Executive Board, however, indicates the Indian delegation now in Paris is absolutely ineffective.

In a 24-6 vote, the Executive Board ratified a resolution that refers to Jerusalem's Temple Mount and its adjoining Western Wall solely by their Muslim names of Al-Haram Al-Sharif and the "Buraq Wall." The nations that voted for it included: Brazil, China, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Morocco, Mexico, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Oman, Russia, South Africa, and Vietnam.

The six countries that voted "no" were Estonia, Germany, Lithuania, Netherlands, United Kingdom and United States.

Those that abstained included: Albania, Argentina, Cameroon, El Salvador, France, Ghana, Greece, Guinea, Haiti, India, Italy, Ivory Coast, Japan, Kenya, Nepal, Paraguay, Saint Vincent and Nevis, Slovenia, South Korea, Spain, Sri Lanka, Sweden, Togo, Trinidad and Tobago, Uganda and Ukraine.

New Delhi's abstention from voting on this resolution falls short of the expectations the enlightened international community probably has on the issue of the Jewish Temple. India, which boasts an age-old slogan, "Satyamev Jayate" ("Let Truth Triumph"), recalls, since ancient times the Temple Mount as part of India's indelible memory. In his historic address to the Parliament of the World's Religions at Chicago in 1893, India's legendary spiritual thinker, Swami Vivekanand, said:

"I am proud to tell you that we have gathered in our bosom the purest remnant of the Israelites, who came to Southern India and took refuge with us in the very year in which their holy temple was shattered to pieces by Roman tyranny..."

The Temple Mount refers to a walled compound having two magnificent structures -- the Dome of the Rock and the al-Aqsa Mosque -- and the Western Wall. For the last 3000 years, the complex has served as a witness to the faithful of the three great monotheistic religions. King Solomon built the First Temple here around 1000 BC. The Babylonian King Nebuchadnezzar tore it down 400 years later. In the first century BC, King Herod refurbished a Second Temple. It is here that Jesus Christ lashed out against the money-changers. The Roman General Titus exacted revenge against Jewish rebels, sacking and burning the Temple in 70 AD.

The second Jewish Temple, completed by King Herod in 19 BC, was destroyed by the Romans in 70 AD (depicted at left in a 1626 painting by Nicolas Poussin). The current al-Aqsa Mosque (right) on the Temple Mount was first built in the year 705 AD, seventy-three years after Muhammad's death in 632, and rebuilt several times after earthquakes. (Images source: Wikimedia Commons)

Muslims call the Temple Mount "Haram al-Sharif" ("the Noble Sanctuary"), and the al-Aqsa mosque "the farthest mosque" -- although no one knows how far the farthest mosque actually was; it may well have been in Arabia -- where in a dream the Islamic Prophet Muhammad supposedly ascended to the "Divine Presence" on the back of a winged horse.

In modern times, the antiquity of the complex can easily be determined by archaeological excavations and scientific tools. But this has not been acceptable to the authority of the compound, an Islamic council called the Waqf, which spuriously insists that archaeological excavations would amount to a desecration of their religious sites. In the late 19th century, European adventurers conducted some clandestine surveys. Some minor archaeological work was conducted by the British from 1938 to 1942, when the al-Aqsa Mosque was undergoing renovation.

It is clear from the history of faiths that the holy scriptures of the Jews are far older than the Islamic ones. The Temple Mount is the ultimate -- and only -- physical expression of the Jewish faith in God. The Prophet Muhammad's Islam and its symbols, Al-Haram Al-Sharif and the Buraq Wall (where Muhammad is said to have chained his winged horse upon entering Jerusalem in his dream) came in the world at least a thousand years later.

Regrettably, UNESCO seeks to erase this history of faiths and replace it with a jihadi narrative that would deny both Christians and Jews their age-old access to the symbols of their faiths.

UNESCO is supposed to help preserve the entire world's heritage, but this cultural agency seems to have been hijacked by the leadership and allies of the Palestinians and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC). UNESCO accepted "Palestine" as a member state in 2011, although the United Nations has not done it so far. Since 2015, the Palestinian leadership has been on a drive to change UNESCO's terms of reference not only for the Temple Mount but also for every trace of legitimate Judeo-Christian history. Is what we are sheepishly witnessing actually the perversion of history, the perversion of the work UNESCO knows full well that it is supposed to be doing and a submission to the counterfactual demands of a group that is expansionist and predatory? What mutilation of reality will be next?

It is heartening to note that the resolution has been criticized by the White House, outgoing UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon, UNESCO Director-General Irina Bokova, and nearly 40 members of the U.S. Congress. Bokova distanced herself from it, saying in a statement "nowhere more than in Jerusalem do Jewish, Christian and Muslim heritage and traditions share space."

India, as a leading democracy, would do well fully to support a historically and morally correct stand on the UNESCO resolution. It must see to it that the UNESCO does what it is supposed to: spread education and enlightenment.

India recognized Israel in 1950. Israel stood by India in 1962, 1965 and 1971. Since India's Prime Minister P. V. Narsimha Rao established full diplomatic relations with Israel in 1992, ties between the two democracies have grown from strength to strength in the areas of defence, counter-terrorism, intelligence, agriculture, science and technology.

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi is openly appreciative of what Israel does in its self-defence, and sees it as a model for India.

New Delhi must not allow any anti-Israel bias within the United Nations to prevail. It must constantly bear in mind that the resolution in question could be passed only because at the UN, through the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (56 Islamic states plus "Palestine"), Muslim nations with an Islamist agenda dominate it. If they are not stopped, the Islamist backers of the UNESCO resolution will be emboldened eventually to back Islamist elements in India to question its Hindu historical and religious sites.

After so many recent votes at UNESCO erasing Judeo-Christian history in favour of Islamist misrepresentation, and now in this fraudulent representation of Judaism's holiest site (a city more than twice as old as Islam) as primarily Muslim, one thing is clear: the sooner democracies leave the UN, the better. Consider the UN's oil-for-food scandal of 2004-2005:

"bribes, kickbacks, fraud, smuggling; stories of graft involving tens of billions of dollars and countless barrels of oil, and implicating big business and high officials in dozens of countries; allegations that the head of the program himself was on the take..."

Consider also the UN's growing sex-for-food scandal that is still ongoing after more than a decade. Now, with the UN's wholesale erasure of Biblical history, the only intelligent response is to head for the exits. The UN in its present form seems nothing more than a bloated, corrupt jobs program of champagne for diplomats. It does far more harm than good. Nothing worth having can come from such a degraded place.

**Jagdish N. Singh is a senior journalist based in New Delhi.

© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

 

Russia has already won in the US presidential election

Joyce Karam/Al Arabiya/October 01/16/

Whoever prevails next Tuesday in the US presidential vote, Russia and its President Vladimir Putin have already carved unprecedented influence and clout inside the American political landscape that will go well beyond this one election. With the latest revelations that the server of the Republican nominee Donald Trump was communicating with a Russian bank and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) looking into his ex-Manager Paul Manafort’s ties to Moscow, the Kremlin shadow will be one of the major hallmarks remembered of this campaign regardless of the fate of Trump’s candidacy. Coming on the heels of the recent quarreling between the Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and the FBI director James Comey, and the continued Wikileaks dump of the Democrats’ hacked emails, Putin has every reason to be ecstatic about this election. Not in Putin’s wildest dreams would the former KGB operative have envisioned a US candidate amplifying his propaganda, while questions are being raised about the independence and legitimacy of institutions that are at the heart of American democracy.

Trump-Putin ‘bromance’

If you had somewhat just returned from a two and a half decades’ exile with zero access to the news, and turned on the TV and listened to Trump, you could fall under the impression that Russia has won the Cold War. Trump’s rhetoric from day one has been complimenting, defending and justifying Putin’s actions, and at times putting him at a higher standard of leadership than US President Barack Obama. His embrace of “rigged election” slogans, and accusation that “Obama founded ISIS” sound like a carbon copy of headlines in Russian propaganda outlets.

Not in Putin’s wildest dreams would the former KGB operative have envisioned a US candidate amplifying his propaganda, while questions are being raised about the independence and legitimacy of institutions that are at the heart of American democracy

Even when Russia was accused by 17 US intelligence agencies of hacking the DNC servers, Trump refused to blame Moscow, joking that it “could be somebody sitting on their bed that weighs 400 pounds.”The connection grows deeper as the US intelligence investigates Trump’s adviser Carter Page as well as Manafort for their ties to the Kremlin. These connections have not stopped at electoral politics, with Trump forcing policy adjustments to the Republican platform before he was nominated. The GOP platform was gutted from any anti-Russia stance on Ukraine ahead of the convention, hours before Trump backtracked on a major commitment to NATO refraining from defending Eastern European allies if they were to face Russian aggression.

A bet on polarization

The slanderous, vicious and polarizing nature of this US Presidential campaign has also been a gift that keeps on giving to Russia and the Kremlin. The current split between the FBI and the Justice Department over Comey’s letter examining Huma Abedin emails, and the sparring between him and the Clinton campaign could further undermine confidence in US institutions. These divisions and doubts will unlikely go away whoever wins on November 8th, making the mission of unifying the country a priority and a challenge for the next president.

Absent of a landslide for one of the candidates on voting day, however, a limited electorate mandate will only complicate the job of bringing America together. If Trump wins, Russia would have landed itself a chance at complete policy realignment with the US at the expense of NATO.

But even if Trump loses, the rumors about the possibility of launching a “Trump TV”, will mean that Russia at the very least will have a friendly outlet in the United States. There are also reports of Trump possibly running again in 2020, which implies he will remain a force in US politics after the vote. The extreme rhetoric and divisive forces that 2016 has unleashed will not go away whether Trump wins or loses, and they will remain a useful tool for Russia to meddle in American politics. For now, Putin has every reason to smile big at the US Presidential race and perhaps wishing it never ends. Russia has already won, thanks to a rhetoric that has bolstered his policies, undermined US institutions and could grant him long-term influence within American politics.

 

The challenge of dealing with Houthis in Yemen

Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/October 01/16/

Nearly two decades ago, relations between a small group of Houthis, in north Yemen, and Iran, was established with encouragement of the then Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh. The relations were established as a balancing act based on the premise that different sects compete against each other in this region. Years later, Iranians turned them into their proxy and a group that supports them politically. Subsequently, they became a problem for Saleh’s government who linked them to religious groups in Iran and got them involved in various wars. After being president for 40 years, Saleh was ousted during what came to be known as the Arab Spring in 2011. He also sustained injuries in an assassination attempt against him. Later on, Saleh allied with his Houthi rivals and seized power by force. They now govern almost half of Yemen. This is a summary of the Houthi story, which is now part of the war situation in Yemen. This raises questions that cannot be underestimated during serious negotiations going on to find a solution to the conflict in the country. Perhaps the most important question, which must be raised, is about the future of the Houthis as they are a dangerous group. They serve Iran’s interests by playing a role in an expanded regional game in which Iran uses its proxies in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Bahrain and Palestine. On the ground, Houthis are a strong military unit that expanded until they reached Aden in the south, 800 kilometers away from their center in the Saada province. The first thing they did after staging the coup was seizing the Yemeni army warehouses and transferred weapons to areas controlled by them. As a result, they owned a huge arsenal overnight. It is obvious that the Iranians have prepared them for this day.

 During the years ahead, whether the war continues or peace prevails, it will not be easy for Houthis to impose themselves as a dominating power

There are reports which confirm that Hezbollah trained around 3,000 Houthi fighters during the period which followed their war with Saudi Arabia in 2009. It launched television stations and websites for them and helped them manage their local areas. The Iranians are trying to manipulate the Houthi situation in Yemen in a way that they become like Hezbollah in Lebanon i.e. a military power that can be managed from Tehran. The Houthis are the Iranian pocket project inside Yemen and south of Saudi Arabia. They are similar to Hezbollah which controls the Lebanese state and which the Iranians militarily use against Israel to serve their political aims. This picture has become clear and many of those who doubted it at the beginning of the Yemeni war now accept it. These people also doubted that Iran was militarily present in Syria but Tehran later officially acknowledged its presence.

A failed project

I think the Houthis are a failed project and, despite Tehran’s efforts, they will not be like Hezbollah for several reasons. The organization in Yemen was named Ansar Allah, similar to Hezbollah, and were taught similar propaganda by using slogans such as “death to America, death to Israel.”Its religious curricula were taught in schools, they were trained, their leaders were chosen, they were trained for fighting and arms were supplied to them. Despite this Iranian perseverance, the big obstacle is that Yemen is not Lebanon and is in fact very different from it. Houthis are a small minority in a big society. During the years ahead, whether the war continues or peace prevails, it will not be easy for Houthis to impose themselves as a dominating power. Houthis constitute only 5 percent of the population and they live in the Saada province which is very far from the state’s center. This will weaken their ability to play a pivotal role in a country with difficult terrains. Hence domination will be almost impossible without completely seizing power in suitable circumstances. Apart from these, they also believe in a small branch which the Zaidiyyah, the major sect in north Yemen, does not approve of.  The secret behind Hezbollah’s influence is Israel’s occupation of south Lebanon, which justified its establishment and allowed legitimacy to resistance. However, this is not the case with Houthis as Saudi Arabia has been Yemen’s biggest supporter when it used to be a monarchy and even after it became a republic.

Millions of Yemenis do not have an alternative to their neighbor and a market, which is Saudi Arabia. All this puts the Houthis in a different situation than that of Hezbollah in Lebanon. I am certain that stability in Yemen will weaken the Houthis. War is what grants them a role and what gives them value. By cooperating with Yemen’s political and religious leaders it is possible to diminish their presence and tame them.

**This article was first published Asharq al-Awsat on Nov. 01, 2016.

 

On the missile launched at Makkah and al-Jawhara plot

Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/October 01/16

/As children jumped in joy and people cheered out of sheer passion for football, there were those who lurked in the darkness. Two days before the World Cup qualifier match between Saudi Arabia and the UAE, a Syrian, a Sudanese and two Pakistanis, worked together to place a bomb inside a car. They parked the car in al-Jawhara car park and plotted to blow it up in the midst of more than 60,000 attending the match. This is what the interior ministry said on Sunday. The ministry also announced the arrest of a terror cell made of four Saudis – Ahmed al-Moaayli, Abdullah al-Otaibi, Abdulaziz al-Otaibi and Mujahed al-Rashid – in the province of Shaqra. The cell was led by Abdulaziz who has been communicating with ISIS in Syria to target different security zones in Riyadh, Tabuk and the eastern province.

Security forces also revealed the names of nine terrorists, eight Saudis and one Bahraini, in a cell in Qatif. These cells show the extent of the challenge Gulf countries face as extremist organizations renew their methods and look for security gaps to carry out attacks that are worse than blowing up of mosques and assassinating security men. The more important point and the worse tragedy for the Saudis and Emiratis is the terror plot against al-Jawhara stadium. Saudi Arabia and the UAE are allies and their people have strong and brotherly ties. The aim behind targeting the stadium was clearly to harm this relation. Terrorism has one common goal and that is systematic murder. From the territories of Nouri al-Maliki to the turf of Ayman al-Zawahiri it means the same and does not end with Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi or Abdulmalik al-Houthi. All of them are directing their assaults against Saudi Arabia. Not even Madinah or the tomb of the prophet, or the holy city of Makkah have been spared. So what are the objectives behind these cells, which sources say, range from Shiites to Houthis or even Sunnis?

Houthi terrorists aim to completely transform Yemen and turn it into a strategic and geographic expansion of Iran and bury Yemen’s historical identity

Shiite militias are trying to mobilize to avenge Saudi Arabia for supporting the moderate opposition in Syria. They are reportedly doing so on the encouragement of the Syrian regime, Nouri al-Maliki and the Iranian regime. They are continuously recruiting and targeting civilians in cafe in Tarout, Qatif, or mosques and Shiite places of worship. They aim to ignite Sunni-Shiite strife and spark unrest and protests. There is a desire to ignite conflict between Sunnis and Shiites in the Gulf, particularly in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain. These people want to punish Saudi Arabia which supports moderate Muslims in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen. Saudi Arabia is at the forefront of the Iranian project and is relentlessly fighting it in Yemen.

The Management of Savagery

Terrorism attributed to Sunnis has a clear strategy that is based on The Management of Savagery, the manifesto written by Abu Bakr Naji. It is probable that its author is the coordinator of political and intelligence affairs in al-Qaeda and that his real identity is Mohammed Khalil al-Hakaymah. It is also claimed that it is written by Abu Musab al-Souri. In other words, the book stipulates that no targets are prohibited. The book’s dangerous influence seems to have developed and reached ISIS. Its ideas were developed to achieve more brutal results and carry out worse terrorist attacks. It’s taught in American military academies to understand the terrorist mind. The major aim of its tactics is to harm the society itself and not just security men or “polytheists in the Arabian Peninsula.” It is on this basis that they targeted a theatre in Paris where they also tried to blow up a stadium. They also target malls and more recently tried to target al-Jawhara stadium, which is one of the biggest stadiums in the region. The Houthi terrorists, on the other hand, aim to completely transform Yemen and turn it into a strategic and geographic expansion of Iran and bury Yemen’s historical identity. It has been contained though through the Operation Decisive Storm. What it has in common with ISIS is savagery and management of fear. The Saudi interior ministry did not rule out collusion between the Houthis and ISIS over al-Jawhara terror plot. Such collusion is not ruled out at all. Haven’t the Houthis launched a missile to blow up Makkah and target the Ka’aba in the recent past? The names of terrorism, references of terrorist cells and basis of doctrines have differed. However, murder, savagery, targeting of sanctities and killing of civilians are what terrorists of different identities have in common. The victims here are the Gulf countries, the success stories which are shining in this era of bloodshed and destruction and which are hated by some in the East and the West.

**This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on Nov. 01, 2016.

 

Checks and balances are needed to raise government employee productivity

Khaled Almaeena/Al Arabiya/October 01/16/

There have recently been many discussions about the productivity of Saudi employees, especially those in the public sector.This subject became more intense after the former Minister of Civil Service Khaled Al-Araj claimed that government workers put in barely an hour a day at the office. There was an immediate outcry and tweeters expressed anger at his remark. I do not know from where Al-Araj got his figure since there are no accurate key performance indicators to gauge individual employee performance nor has any accurate poll ever been done.

Others described the minister’s remark as an exaggeration, but admitted that productivity was low in government departments. Many people whom I spoke to said that three hours would be a somewhat more accurate figure. However, let’s be very frank and face the facts. Our productivity is low. No one can convince me that our work ethics are on a par with other advanced countries in the world. Our productivity rate is far below Singapore, Korea, Japan, China, Taiwan, Vietnam and Thailand. Individually, there are employees who are hard working and productive; however, the majority of them do not make the grade. Part of the problem lies with the poor management system and managers who do not lead by example. Having said that, it is unfair to blame only the employees for their inefficiency. Part of the problem lies with the poor management system and managers who do not lead by example. They provide neither guidance nor incentives. Government offices need to be managed in a more professional way. There should be a proper management system that ensures discipline and efficiency. Employees lack discipline due to the absence of checks and balances and poor leadership from senior management. I went to a government office a month ago and was told that my file was with an employee who had gone on vacation for 10 days and, therefore, the paperwork was delayed. Thus members of the public are at the mercy of employees who are either on vacation or do not show up in office or come very late to work. In some other instances, the manager is not there and the paperwork is delayed because of his required signature. To make matters worse, some employees simply disappear after noon prayers. Yes, this often happens and people should not deny the fact that it does. The frustration of people lining up in the morning waiting for government employees to arrive is a common sight. The lazy attitude and lethargy of many employees must be addressed by good leadership in all government departments. Unless there are professionally trained managers who can lead and act as role models, this sorry state of affairs will continue.What is also needed is a reward scheme and better incentives to encourage better performance. The public has a right to expect better service.

**This article was first published the Saudi Gazette on October 31, 2016.