LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

November 01/16

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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http://www.eliasbejjaninews.com/newsbulletin16/english.november01.16.htm

 

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Bible Quotations For Today
Blessed are those who are persecuted for righteousness’ sake, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven.
 Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 05/01-12/:"When Jesus saw the crowds, he went up the mountain; and after he sat down, his disciples came to him. Then he began to speak, and taught them, saying:  ‘Blessed are the poor in spirit, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven.
 ‘Blessed are those who mourn, for they will be comforted.  ‘Blessed are the meek, for they will inherit the earth.  ‘Blessed are those who hunger and thirst for righteousness, for they will be filled.  ‘Blessed are the merciful, for they will receive mercy. ‘Blessed are the pure in heart, for they will see God.  ‘Blessed are the peacemakers, for they will be called children of God.  ‘Blessed are those who are persecuted for righteousness’ sake, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven.  ‘Blessed are you when people revile you and persecute you and utter all kinds of evil against you falsely on my account. Rejoice and be glad, for your reward is great in heaven, for in the same way they persecuted the prophets who were before you.
 
 You have not come to something that can be touched, a blazing fire, and darkness, and gloom, and a tempest
 Letter to the Hebrews 12/18-24/:"You have not come to something that can be touched, a blazing fire, and darkness, and gloom, and a tempest, and the sound of a trumpet, and a voice whose words made the hearers beg that not another word be spoken to them. (For they could not endure the order that was given, ‘If even an animal touches the mountain, it shall be stoned to death.’Indeed, so terrifying was the sight that Moses said, ‘I tremble with fear.’)But you have come to Mount Zion and to the city of the living God, the heavenly Jerusalem, and to innumerable angels in festal gathering, and to the assembly of the firstborn who are enrolled in heaven, and to God the judge of all, and to the spirits of the righteous made perfect, and to Jesus, the mediator of a new covenant, and to the sprinkled blood that speaks a better word than the blood of Abel."
 
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 01/16
President Michel Aoun’s address to Parliament/The Daily Star/November 01/16
Checks and balances are needed to raise government employee productivity/Khaled Almaeena/Al Arabiya/October 31/16
Will Hillary’s presidency rejuvenate America/Raghida Dergham/Al Arabiya/October 31/16
Is Turkey jumping on the Russian bandwagon/Mahir Zeynalov/Al Arabiya/October 31/16
Nouri al-Maliki’s dangerous speech/Mshari Al Thaydi/Al Arabiya/October 31/16

 
 Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on on November 01/16
Michel Aoun elected Lebanon’s president
Lebanon Elects Aoun President of the Republic after 29-Month Void
Lebanon's Aoun: Ex-General Who Long Dreamed of Presidency
Aoun Pledges 'Independent Foreign Policy', Vows to Protect Lebanon from Regional
Consultations for Picking New PM Set for Wednesday, Thursday
Aoun Receives Congratulatory Calls from Hollande, Regional Leaders
Int'l Support Group Congratulates Aoun, Urges Speedy Govt. Formation
Most Lebanese Leaders Welcome Aoun's Election, Pledge Cooperation
Aoun Urges Supporters to Comply to Regulations when Celebrating his Election
Geagea Urges Harmonious Govt., Lauds Aoun's Oath of Office
UK 'Looks Forward' to 'Working with President Aoun'
Iran Says Aoun's Election 'Consolidates Democracy, Ensures Stability'
U.N. Chief Urges Quick Govt. Formation after Aoun's Election
U.S. Says Aoun Election a 'Moment of Opportunity', Urges Respect for U.N. Resolutions
Canadian FM,on election of Lebanon’s new president
UAE court sentences Hezbollah cell

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 01/16
Syrian army vows to repel Aleppo militant attack
Syrian rebels progress in regime-held areas
Danish police find bodies of Syrian refugees in freezer
Iraqi Forces Move Toward East Mosul
Iraqi forces take village, position on Mosul's edge
Israel asks for delay in West Bank outpost demolition
Iranian opposition: Khamenei ordered Makkah attack
Iraqi troops resume Mosul offensive
Senior Iranian commander brags over “expanding borders”
Western powers support Libyan PM in standoff with rivals
478 expat medical professionals lose KSU jobs
Saudi king appoints new finance minister
King Salman receives Federica Mogherini
Prisoner in Saudi released after 15 years on death row
EU foreign chief due in Saudi for talks on Iran, Yemen
Nigerian soldiers, police sexually abuse Boko Haram victims: HRW
Turkey Detains Editor of Opposition Newspaper Cumhuriyet
Freed Indonesians recall Somali kidnap ordeal


Links From Jihad Watch Site for on November 01/16
Germany: Muslim woman screaming “Allahu akbar” attacks police officers with box-cutter

Minnesota Muslim says he joined the Islamic State because “if I didn’t do it, I would be basically a disgrace to God”
Canada: Imam says 50-year-old man marrying 9-year-old girl is “legitimate” in Islam
Bangladesh: Muslims vandalize 15 Hindu temples following “anti-Islam” post
Hillary hits Trump for insulting Iran and the Islamic State
Record number of illegals cross U.S./Mexico border, border protection agency “keeping this secret” to skew election
Muslim “child migrant” who claimed he was 16 to enter UK said he was 22 on dating site
CAIR’s Agenda: Islamization of America, Not Protecting Muslims from Civil Rights Abuses
Video: Dearborn, Michigan 2016
UK Sharia court “protects wife-beating suspects by sabotaging criminal proceedings against them”
Muslim cleric: Jews “are like a cancer…woe to the world and to the Jews themselves if they become strong”

Links From Christian Today Site for on November 01/16
Monks Pledge Their Church Will Rise Again From The Rubble Of Italy's Latest Earthquake
Pope In Sweden: Conservatives Are Furious, But Francis Thinks Luther Got A Lot Right
Iraqi Christians Celebrate Mass In Qaraqosh For The First Time Since Liberation From ISIS
More Than Half A Million People Sign Petition To Save Christian Mother Asia Bibi From Death Sentence
The Torture, Murder And Sexual Enslavement Of The Yazidis. Why Won't The British Government Do More To Help?
Elderly Christian Widow Forced By ISIS To Convert To Islam And Spit On A Crucifix

Latest Lebanese Related News published on on November 01/16
Michel Aoun elected Lebanon’s president

Reuters, Beirut Monday, 31 October 2016/Lebanon’s parliament on Monday elected Michel Aoun, an 81-year-old former army commander and strong ally of the militant group Hezbollah, as the country’s president, ending a more than two-year vacuum in the top post and a political crisis that brought state institutions perilously close to collapse. Aoun secured a simple majority of votes in the house after a chaotic session that saw several rounds of voting because extra ballots appeared in the ballot box each time. He garnered 83 votes out of 127 lawmakers present at the session.

He also failed to get elected by a two thirds majority in the first round, as had been widely expected. Members of parliament broke out in thunderous applause after Aoun finally was declared president by Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri. His supporters across the country erupted in cheers as they watched the proceedings on huge screens set up in the streets. Brief celebratory gunfire could also be heard in the capital.Aoun’s election is seen by many as a clear victory for the pro-Iranian axis in the Middle East, giving a boost to Hezbollah and the Shiite Lebanese group’s ally, Syrian President Bashar Assad. The election came at a time of great regional upheaval, especially in neighboring Syria, where the civil war has repeatedly spilled over into Lebanon on several occasions. “Lebanon is passing through minefields and has been safe from the raging regional fires, and we will prevent any spark from reaching it,” Aoun said in a speech shortly after he was elected. Lebanese people take to the streets of the coastal city of Batroun, north of Beirut, to celebrate the election of former general Michel Aoun

A rival candidate and strong supporter of Assad, Suleiman Franjieh, told reporters after the session: “Our alliance has won whether it is with me or with the general.”

Aoun has a wide support base, mostly among Lebanon’s educated youth, but is a divisive figure in Lebanon for his role in the 1975-90 civil war. Still, there is cautious hope that his election would breathe some life into state institutions that have been paralyzed for too long.

Lebanon has been without a head of state for 29 months after President Michel Suleiman stepped down at the end of his term in May 2014. Since then, 45 sessions to elect a new leader have failed due to political infighting that led to of a lack of quorum as Aoun’s block and allied Hezbollah lawmakers boycotted the sessions because his election was not guaranteed. In the end, it took an about-face by former Prime Minister Saad Hariri, Lebanon’s Saudi-backed main Sunni leader, who formally endorsed Aoun for president last week - reportedly in exchange for Aoun promising him the position of prime minister. “This is a very important day for Lebanon... today is the beginning of the end for the risks that threatened us,” Hariri said after the vote. Aoun was quickly sworn in as Lebanon’s 13th president, pledging political and economic reform and urging a “real partnership” among notoriously divided Lebanese political factions. Following the parliament session, Aoun drove to the presidential palace in the southeastern Beirut suburb of Baabda, returning exactly 26 years after he was forced out of it as army commander and interim premier by Syrian forces and Lebanese troops loyal to a rival commander. Ahead of the vote, army helicopters flew over the city and cars were banned from entering most of central Beirut. Metal detectors were set up in the streets around Parliament.

 

Lebanon Elects Aoun President of the Republic after 29-Month Void

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 31/16/Lebanon's parliamentarians elected on Monday founder of the Free Patriotic Movement MP Michel Aoun president of the republic after a longtime vacuum that has been plaguing Lebanon since May 2014 when the term of the president ended. Eighty-three deputies out of 127 voted for Aoun in the second round when the first round failed to secure him a two-thirds majority winning vote. In the first round, 84 deputies voted for Aoun, while 36 voted with a blank paper and 6 ballot papers were canceled. After four rounds of voting, including two unexpected repeat votes over the presence of an extra envelope in the ballot box, Aoun won support from 83 lawmakers, easily clearing the 50-percent-plus-one majority required. 36 MPs cast with blank ballot papers and 8 ballot papers were canceled. Lawmakers convened at noon (1000 GMT) for their 46th attempt to elect a president but the first expected to actually produce a result.

Ambassadors and diplomats from different countries, including Syrian Ambassador to Lebanon Ali Abdul Karim Ali, attended the meeting. Aoun's supporters had gathered in Beirut and several areas ahead of the session. Security was tight around the parliament and Beirut's Martyrs Square, where supporters of Aoun's FPM dressed in their trademark orange have been gathering for days. The 81-year-old former general had long eyed the presidency, and his candidacy enjoyed key support from Iran-backed Hizbullah, his ally since a surprise rapprochement in 2006. But the key to clinching the post has been the shock support of two of his greatest rivals: Samir Geagea, leader of the Christian Lebanese Forces party, and Sunni former premier Saad Hariri. Hariri has described his endorsement of Aoun as necessary to "protect Lebanon, protect the (political) system, protect the state and protect the Lebanese people." The streets of the capital were emptier than usual ahead of the vote, with most schools and universities closed, but Aoun's supporters were out in force.

'We have won'

"We're counting the minutes until General Aoun is elected, we've waited a long time," said Jean, a 35-year-old hairdresser in the Dekwaneh neighborhood outside Beirut. "I'm going to close the salon after he's elected and go to downtown Beirut to participate in the celebrations which will last until dawn," he told AFP. In the Jdeideh suburb of Beirut, dozens of supporters dressed in orange waved pictures of the stern-looking Aoun, as his party's anthems blared from loudspeakers. "We have won. Lebanon has returned to us," said Indira Georges Alwan, dressed in orange. The anticipated election was also being celebrated in Syria, despite Aoun's historical antipathy to Damascus. He once waged a war to push Syrian forces out of Lebanon, but in 2006 joined hands with Hizbullah, a key ally of Damascus that has dispatched fighters to bolster the regime against a rebellion. "The resistance axis has triumphed, Syria and its allies in Lebanon have triumphed," trumpeted the al-Watan daily, which is close to the Syrian government. Nicolas Sehnaoui, Lebanon's former minister of telecommunications and a member of Aoun's FPM, echoed many supporters in describing the election as a "dream (that) has come true.""He will be a president for all the Lebanese, not just his party," he told AFP.

Blank ballots in protest

At times the session threatened to descend into farce, with lawmakers casting votes for pop star Myriam Klink and "Zorba the Greek". Other lawmakers, including from Speaker Nabih Berri's bloc, cast blank ballots in protest at the horsetrading that secured Aoun's candidacy. "A blank ballot is an objection to the way things were done," MP Ali Khreis told AFP before the vote. "This country doesn't run on bilateral or trilateral agreements -- we believe in dialogue." After announcing Aoun's win, Berri said the election "should be a beginning, not an end." "This parliament is ready to extend its hand to lift up Lebanon," he said. Analysts have cautioned that despite the unexpected accord on Aoun, Lebanon's political landscape remains deeply divided and the formation of a government is likely to be a difficult process. And it remains unclear if the country's perpetually ineffectual political class can solve problems that citizens cite as key, like a trash collection crisis that has seen rubbish pile up in open dumps. The parliament that elected Aoun has twice extended its own mandate, avoiding elections, because of disagreements over a new electoral law.But for Aoun's supporters, the atmosphere was one of untrammeled joy."I'm so happy. After 25 years our dream has come true," said 33-year-old accountant Giselle Tammam, celebrating in Jdeideh outside Beirut.

"I can't believe it."Aoun is expected to nominate Hariri to return as prime minister, leading some to describe his support for the ex-general as a tit-for-tat. Aoun's detractors have ramped up criticism of him ahead of the vote, accusing him of allying with whoever will help advance his interests. In footage posted by an opponent, Aoun is heard railing against the same parliament set to elect him on Monday as an "illegitimate" body because it has twice extended its own mandate. While Aoun's election will end a vacuum seen as damaging for the country, experts say it is unlikely to resolve the underlying disagreements that kept the post empty for so long.

President Michel Aoun’s address to Parliament
The Daily Star/November 01/16
Below is the official translation of the full text of President Michel Aoun’s speech after he was sworn in at Parliament Monday.
“I had undertaken to content myself with the oath if I was elected president of the republic, especially that the oath of faithfulness to the nation, literally stated by the Constitution, is an imperative commitment for the president of the republic alone among the heads of the constitutional authorities in the state, and it bears all the meanings, connotations and commitments.
“Nevertheless, the prolonged political dysfunction, and the long vacancy in the presidency, urged me to directly address, through you, the great people of Lebanon who were always there for me, and were the strong fortress to which I resorted for the great commitments and crucial choices.
“The man who speaks to you today is the president of the republic in whom you – House and people – have placed your trust to assume the responsibility of the highest position in the state; a president who came from a long path of struggle which was filled with national responsibilities, whether in the military institution in which he grew and whose command he held, or in the exercise of public authority by constitutional mandate, or in the public service by popular mandate; a president who came in difficult times, and on whom high hopes are placed to overcome difficulties and not merely conform and adapt to them, and to ensure the stability that the Lebanese long for, so that their greatest dream is no longer the travel bag.
“The first step toward the desired stability is through political stability. This can only be achieved by the respect for the Pact, the Constitution and the laws, through the national partnership which constitutes the essence of our system and the uniqueness of our entity. In this respect comes the necessity to implement the National Entente Document, integrally, without any selectivity or discretion, and to develop it according to the need, through a national consensus. Indeed, it is, in one part, a constitution, and in another part, binding national commitments. It cannot therefore be implemented partially, otherwise it shall become pale and weak, no system or regime shall stand tall under it, and no legitimacy for any authority shall rise from it.
“The uniqueness of Lebanon resides in its plural balanced society, and this uniqueness consists of living the spirit of the Constitution, through an effective equal-sharing. The first of its obligations is to adopt an electoral law that ensures fair representation, prior to the next elections.
“As for security, the first of its pillars is national unity. We are all aware of the challenges that fall on us unexpectedly, and the need to address them relentlessly, with our unity and openness to one another, and the acceptance of the other’s opinion and belief. This is how we preserve the pillars of our strength, and how we fill the gaps from which may leak the poisons of sedition, fragmentation, tension and chaos.
Lebanon, which steps between the mines, is still immune to the flames raging around it in the region. It remains at the top of our priorities to prevent the transmission of any spark to it. It is therefore necessary to dissociate Lebanon from external conflicts, while remaining committed to the Charter of the League of Arab States, and in particular Article 8 thereof, and adopting an independent foreign policy based on Lebanon’s higher interest and the respect of international law, in view of safeguarding the country as an oasis of peace, stability and encounter.
“As for the conflict with Israel, we shall spare no effort and no resistance to liberate the remaining occupied Lebanese territories, and protect our country from an enemy that still covets our land, water and natural resources.
“We shall deal with terrorism by preventing, deterring, countering and even eliminating it. We also have to tackle the issue of the Syrian refugees by ensuring a quick return, striving to prevent the transformation of the displacement camps and agglomerations into safe havens, in cooperation with the concerned States and authorities, and in a responsible coordination with the United Nations, of which Lebanon was a co-founder and to whose charters it is committed in the preamble of its Constitution; while affirming that there cannot be a solution in Syria that does not guarantee and begin with the return of the refugees. As for the Palestinians, we always strive to consolidate and implement the right of return.
“Security stability can only be reached by a full coordination between the security and judicial institutions. Indeed, security and justice are linked with complementary tasks, and it is the duty of the regime to free them from political dependence, as it must control their excesses for the citizen to feel reassured about their performance and for the state to recover its prestige and respectability.
“The promotion of the Army and the development of its capabilities shall be my obsession and priority, in order to enable our Army to deter all kinds of aggressions against our country, and to become a guard for its land, a protector for its independence and a keeper for its sovereignty.
“In terms of the economic and social stability, the economic, social, financial, development, health, environment and educational situation is subject to consecutive, rather continuous, crises, for many external and internal causes. While the external causes are out of our control and we can only limit their repercussions, the internal causes compel us to tackle them with a transformational approach which begins with an economic reform that relies on planning and coordination between the ministries and computerization in the various state administrations. We cannot go on without a comprehensive economic plan based on sectorial plans. Indeed, the state without planning cannot stand tall, and the State without a civil society cannot be built.
“Investing natural resources in productive projects lays the foundations for the increase of the volume of a liberal economy based on individual entrepreneurship and a partnership between the private and public sectors, within a targeted and developed financial vision.
“Moreover, investing in human resources, particularly in the education and knowledge sector, contributes to building reliable generations to guarantee the future of a Lebanon we all aspire to. In effect, the main wealth of Lebanon resides in the Lebanese spread throughout the world, those Lebanese to whom we owe the continuity and dissemination of Lebanon’s message, as well as the resident Lebanese who are entitled to live in a sound political environment and a clean natural environment.
“The administrative decentralization, with its combination of flexibility and dynamism in providing people’s needs and services, while preserving its specificity within the formula of coexistence, must be a main axis, not only in the application of the National Entente Document or in harmony with the nature of Lebanon, but also in line with the development of the world regimes. This socio-economic reform can only succeed with the consecration of a transparency system by embracing the legal system that helps prevent corruption, by appointing an anti-corruption committee, and by activating the control organs and enabling them to carry out all their duties.
“The most important remains that the Lebanese have faith in each other and in their state, that the state is their protector, the provider of their rights and needs, and that the president of the republic is the guarantor of safety and peace.
“These are the headlines of a presidential term during which I truly hope that a paradigm shift will be achieved in consecrating real national partnership at various levels of the state and constitutional authorities, in launching an economic rising that would reverse the downward track, and in watching over the soundness of the judiciary and justice, which is likely to pave the way for the rise of the state of citizenship, after each of its components would have felt reassurance about their present, about their future and about the fate of Lebanon.
“It is true that we were late in fulfilling what we dreamed of and struggled for and for which many of our dear fellows were displaced in the four corners of the world and many of our loved ones fell as martyrs, injured, prisoners and missing. Nevertheless, I am confident that all the Lebanese, despite their awareness that the road is hard and long, have the determination, will and courage to achieve together what we vowed our life for: A strong and unified Lebanon for all its citizens, a Lebanon of freedom and dignity, a Lebanon of sovereignty and independence, a Lebanon of stability and prosperity, a Lebanon of Pact and message.”

Lebanon's Aoun: Ex-General Who Long Dreamed of Presidency

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 31/16/Former general Michel Aoun, who was elected Lebanese president Monday, was once in the vanguard of opposition to Syria's regime before an about-face that saw him join forces with Hizbullah.The stubborn 81-year-old now realizes his long-held dream of taking the country's highest office after winning support from two fierce rivals, the Christian leader of the Lebanese Forces, Samir Geagea, and Sunni ex-prime minister Saad Hariri. Both men are fiercely opposed to Syria's regime and its ally Hizbullah, but have decided to back Aoun for the presidency and end a void of more than two years. Aoun has long been a controversial figure in Lebanon, revered as a charismatic leader by his followers but loathed by his opponents. A Maronite Christian, Aoun was born in the working-class Beirut suburb of Haret Hreik and, like many Lebanese from modest backgrounds, pursued a military career. He rose through the ranks during Lebanon's 1975-1990 civil war to become the army's youngest-ever commander in chief in 1984. Four years later, he was appointed head of one of two rival governments in war-torn Lebanon. He launched the unsuccessful "war of liberation" against the Syrian army, which had entered Lebanon in 1976, and tried in vain to disarm the Christian Lebanese Forces militia led by his rival Geagea. The clashes between Aoun and Geagea's forces proved disastrous for Lebanon's Christians, who found themselves divided between the two leaders. Aoun refused to sign the 1989 Taif agreement which brought the civil war to an end, arguing it cemented Syria's military presence and reduced the power of the presidency, the key governmental post reserved for Lebanon's Christians. The agreement proceeded without his endorsement, and he was dismissed from his post as army chief with the ascension to the presidency of pro-Syrian Elias Hrawi.

Exile

On October 13, 1990, Aoun was forced by advancing Syrian army troops to seek refuge in the French embassy, heading to Paris the following year. He would spend 15 years in exile there, founding the staunchly anti-Syrian Free Patriotic Movement in 1996. In April 2005, Syria's army withdrew from Lebanon after massive protests sparked by the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafik Hariri. Aoun returned to Beirut, scoring a surprise win in that summer's parliamentary elections -- 21 out of 128 seats -- after running a campaign decrying sectarianism and corruption. But he made a dramatic about-face in 2006, aligning his FPM with Hizbullah, that backs Syria's President Bashar Assad.  Aoun's shift to the Hizbullah-led camp earned him the contempt of Rafik Hariri's son, Saad. Ironically, it was Hariri's endorsement 10 years later that finally secured Aoun the presidency.Aoun had the backing of his ally Hizbullah since 2015, and scored the endorsement of rival candidate Geagea in early 2016. Hariri initially backed Christian political figure Suleiman Franjieh -- a childhood friend of Assad -- but switched his endorsement to Aoun on October 20.

'The strong president'

Aoun had made no secret of his presidential ambitions since Michel Suleiman completed his term as head of state in May 2014. For two years, parliament failed to reach a consensus for a successor, with its political landscape divided by the war in neighboring Syria. Aoun used that time to campaign, insisting he could be the national leader who turned the page on the sectarian politics that fueled Lebanon's civil war and still determine its electoral system. In Christian-majority areas around the country, Aoun's supporters have strung up banners hailing him as "the strong president" who can "work miracles". Parliamentarian Alain Aoun -- Michel Aoun's nephew -- describes him as "patient, stubborn, and persevering". "He spent 15 years in Paris without giving up," the MP said. Referring to Aoun by his nickname of "the General", he added that the candidate was perfectly healthy despite his age, "and has an elephant's memory". He expects his uncle to be able to effect change, armed with a "broad political mandate" and allies across all major blocs in the country. But his opponents see him as high-strung and volatile, and ready to ally himself with rivals to get what he wants. In footage posted by an opponent, Aoun can be heard railing against the same parliament that elected him on Monday as an "illegitimate" body after it extended its own mandate twice. Detractors also accuse Aoun of nepotism, pointing to the ministerial posts held by his son-in-law Jebran Bassil and to his repeated efforts to secure the nomination of another son-in-law as army chief. "I swear to God the great that I will respect the constitution and its laws, and preserve the independence of the Lebanese nation and peace on its lands," he said as he took the oath of office on Monday.

 

Aoun Pledges 'Independent Foreign Policy', Vows to Protect Lebanon from Regional

 Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 31/16/President Michel Aoun pledged in his oath of office on Monday to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."Delivering the oath in parliament shortly after he was elected by the legislature as Lebanon's 13th president, Aoun stressed the need to “fully implement the (1989) Document of National Accord without any selectivity or exceptions” and to “improve it when needed through national consensus.”“The first prerequisite of real equal (Christian-Muslim) power-sharing is the approval of an electoral law that ensures fair representation before the date of the next elections,” he added. Referring to the conflicts in Syria and the region, Aoun said “preventing the spread of any spark” into Lebanon is among his top priorities as president. “Accordingly, we stress the need to respect the charter of the Arab League, especially Article 8, while endorsing an independent foreign policy based on Lebanon's highest interest and respect for international law,” the elected president added. Turning to the conflict with Israel, Aoun said: “We will spare no effort or resistance to liberate any Lebanese territory that is still under occupation or to protect our country from an enemy that still has ambitions regarding our land, water and national resources.” As for the anti-terror fight, Aoun vowed a “preemptive and deterrent” strategy against terrorism.“We must also address the Syrian refugee crisis through securing a quick return” for them to their country, Aoun added, stressing that “refugee encampments and gatherings must not turn into security ghettos.”The elected president also pledged to “strengthen the army and boost its capabilities to enable it to repel all kinds of attacks on out country and so that it protects its homeland and its independence and sovereignty.”Aoun's election ends a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. The FPM founder was tipped to become president after his nomination was formally endorsed by al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri earlier this month. Analysts have warned his election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. The 81-year-old former army chief had long eyed the presidency, and his candidacy was backed from the beginning by Iran-backed Hizbullah, his ally since a surprise rapprochement in 2006.

 

Consultations for Picking New PM Set for Wednesday, Thursday

Naharnet/October 31/16/Binding parliamentary consultations for the designation of a new premier have been scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday, state-run National News Agency reported, hours after Michel Aoun was elected as Lebanon's 13th president. Earlier in the day, Aoun signed a decree accepting the resignation of Prime Minister Tammam Salam's government and asking it to act in caretaker capacity until the formation of a new government. During consultations at the Baabda Palace, parliamentary blocs inform the president of their nominations for the prime minister post and the candidate who receives the highest number of votes becomes premier. Al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri is tipped to be re-designated as premier in light of his key support for Aoun's nomination and Hizbullah's announcement that it is not opposed to his return to the premiership. Aoun's election ends a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In addition to pledges of economic growth and security, Aoun said in his oath of office that Lebanon must work to ensure Syrian refugees "can return quickly" to their country. Aoun also pledged to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."

 

Aoun Receives Congratulatory Calls from Hollande, Regional Leaders

Naharnet/October 31/16/President Michel Aoun received phone calls Monday from a number of heads of state who congratulated him on being elected as Lebanon's 13th president.

French President Francois Hollande expressed “France's permanent readiness to help Lebanon in light of the historic ties that gather the two countries,” Lebanon's National News Agency reported. Aoun for his part thanked Hollande for congratulating him, stressing “the firmness of the Lebanese-French ties” and lauding “the efforts that France has exerted to assist Lebanon in all fields.”Iranian President Hassan Rouhani meanwhile congratulated Aoun and hoped his election will boost bilateral ties between Lebanon and Iran. “Your election comes at a very critical time during which the region is facing the threats of the takfiri movements and the terrorist groups and the ambitions of the Zionist entity (Israel). Iran is confident that your election will strengthen the axis of the Lebanese resistance in the face of these threat,” Rouhani added.

Aoun also received congratulatory phone calls from Syrian President Bashar Assad, Qatar's emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. Assad hoped Aoun's election would contribute to "reinforcing stability" in Lebanon, Syria's state news agency SANA said. Aoun's election ends a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In addition to pledges of economic growth and security, Aoun said in his oath of office that Lebanon must work to ensure Syrian refugees "can return quickly" to their country. Aoun also pledged to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."

 

Int'l Support Group Congratulates Aoun, Urges Speedy Govt. Formation

Naharnet/October 31/16/The International Support Group for Lebanon (ISG) on Monday congratulated President Michel Aoun over his election as Lebanon's 13th president, calling for a speedy government formation and for holding the upcoming parliamentary polls on time.“The members of the International Support Group for Lebanon congratulate Mr. Michel Aoun on his election today as President of the Republic of Lebanon. They welcome the election of a President as a long-awaited step to overcome Lebanon’s political and institutional crisis,” the ISG said in a statement. The ISG comprises the United Nations Special Coordinator for Lebanon and Ambassadors of the Arab League, China, the European Union, France, Germany, Italy, the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and the United States. It hoped the election “will give the Lebanese people renewed confidence and will pave the way for broader political progress.”The members of the ISG also stressed “the importance for domestic and regional stability of Lebanon’s continued commitment to the Baabda Declaration and relevant U.N. Security Council resolutions, including resolution 1701 (2006), as well as respect for its international obligations.”The global forces also underscored the need to “advance at this time with the formation of a Government as soon as possible as well as with the election of a Parliament by May 2017, in accordance with the Constitution.”

“The members of the ISG note that further international support for Lebanon will be facilitated by the reactivation of Lebanese State institutions, in particular a unified and functioning government, and stand ready to engage to that end with such a government, once it is formed,” they said. “The members of the ISG encourage all Lebanese parties to work constructively to that end, and further call on Lebanon’s regional partners to remain supportive of such efforts,” the ISG added. It also thanked Speaker Nabih Berri for “his efforts at fostering continued dialogue among all Lebanese parties” and Prime Minister Tamam Salam for “his leadership throughout this difficult period.” Aoun's election ends a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. The FPM founder was tipped to become president after his nomination was formally endorsed by al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri earlier this month. Analysts have warned his election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. The 81-year-old former army chief had long eyed the presidency, and his candidacy was backed from the beginning by Iran-backed Hizbullah, his ally since a surprise rapprochement in 2006.

 

Most Lebanese Leaders Welcome Aoun's Election, Pledge Cooperation

Naharnet/October 31/16/The majority of Lebanon's political leaders welcomed on Monday the election of Michel Aoun as president of the republic and the end of around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum. "We hope there will be a national unity government for all Lebanese,” al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri said after the vote. Hariri is tipped to become premier and his key support for Aoun's nomination had paved the way for the election as president of the Free Patriotic Movement founder. Meanwhile, al-Mustaqbal bloc chief ex-PM Fouad Saniora, who had announced that he would not vote in Aoun's favor, said: “We have a president now and we will cooperate with him.”“It's an excellent day. We have finally overcome the dilemma after three years,” Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat said. “Everyone's cooperation is important in order to confront the challenges that are facing Lebanon, in line with the president's oath of office and Speaker (Nabih) Berri's speech,” added Jumblat. Asked whether Hariri's mission of forming a new government will be easy, Jumblat said: “We all have to cooperate and must leave the disputes behind us.”

Most of Jumblat's Democratic Gathering bloc voted for Aoun after the nomination of its candidate MP Henri Helou was withdrawn in recent days. Marada Movement chief MP Suleiman Franjieh meanwhile congratulated Aoun, saying his election “is a victory for our political camp.”Franjieh was Aoun's main electoral rival until Saturday, when he called on those who support him to cast blank votes. “No one asked me to launch a call for blank votes. I took this decision to preserve my allies and not to embarrass them,” Franjieh added, referring to media reports that have suggested that Hizbullah was behind the move.

Meanwhile, Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea noted that his “cooperation” with Aoun will be “a main guarantee for the new presidential tenure.”“The oath of office was promising in terms of focusing on building the State, the army and the economy. As for foreign policy and after two and a half years of total chaos, the new president clarified Lebanon's commitment to the Arab League charter and the U.N. charter, putting Lebanon in the place it should be in terms of foreign policy,” Geagea added. Hariri had launched an initiative to nominate Franjieh for the presidency in late 2015 but his proposal was met with reservations from the country's main Christian parties as well as Hizbullah. Hariri's move prompted Geagea to endorse the nomination of Aoun, his long-time Christian rival. Geagea himself had been the candidate of the Hariri-led March 14 forces for several months and he received 48 votes in the first presidential election session that was held in April 2014.

“It is Resurrection Day,” FPM chief and Aoun's son-in-law Jebran Bassil meanwhile said via Twitter.

Ex-PM and Tripoli MP Najib Miqati meanwhile saluted Speaker Berri for “the commitment of his bloc to the attendance of all electoral sessions” amid “the obstruction of those who sought paralysis.”

And while lauding Aoun for “stressing adherence to the national principles in his oath of office,” Miqati hoped Aoun's tenure will be one of “security, stability, prosperity and full respect for the Constitution and the work of the executive authority.”

Miqati also announced that he will be among the ranks of the “constructive opposition” that “takes its stances according to the performance of the president and the government that will be formed.”

Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah meanwhile called Aoun to congratulate him over his election as president, Hizbullah's media department said in a statement.

"He wished him a long life and success in his new national responsibilities," the statement added. Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. The 81-year-old former army chief had long eyed the presidency, and his candidacy was backed from the beginning by Iran-backed Hizbullah, his ally since a surprise rapprochement in 2006.

 

Aoun Urges Supporters to Comply to Regulations when Celebrating his Election

Naharnet/October 31/16/Media office of presidential hopeful MP Michel Aoun issued a statement on Monday, ahead of a parliament session set to elect a president, and reminded the Lebanese, mainly Aoun's supporters, of the need to comply with the regulations during celebrations that will go in parallel with the election session. The statement urged the Lebanese especially supporters of Aoun to “comply with the regulations during the celebrations and to stay away from abusive manifestations,” said the statement. Lebanon's parliament is poised to elect former general Michel Aoun as president on Monday, after a dramatic shifting of alliances ended two years of political stalemate. Widespread celebrations are expected in Mount Lebanon and several Lebanese areas, with a huge gathering planned in central Beirut by Aoun's Free Patriotic Movement. In Christian-majority areas around the country, Aoun's supporters have strung up banners hailing him as "the strong president" who can "work miracles". The Lebanese are accustomed to a deadly practice of celebratory gunfire rounds into the air to show joy, political passion or even grief. Aoun has therefore asked his supporters to refrain from this practices during Monday's celebrations. Citizens in several Lebanese areas have reported hearing heavy celebratory gunfire during the weekend which triggering fears of stray bullets harming someone.

 

Geagea Urges Harmonious Govt., Lauds Aoun's Oath of Office

Naharnet/October 31/16/Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea on Monday hailed the oath of office of President Michel Aoun and called for the formation of a harmonious government. "I'm not against the formation of a national unity cabinet but I support the formation of a government that has a clear policy and a harmonious line-up," Geagea said in an interview on LBCI television. “Quarreling around the cabinet table will not lead to a result," he noted.Defending his support for Aoun's nomination, Geagea explained: “We thought that our endorsement of General Aoun would immediately lead to his election but this did not happen even after several months.”“When ex-PM (Saad) Hariri backed his nomination the March 8 forces had no excuse left not to elect him,” he added. “After the LF and al-Mustaqbal Movement backed General Aoun's nomination, it would have been a big scandal for Hizbullah not to support him and Hizbullah could not afford to lose its Christian cover,” Geagea went on to say. Turning to Aoun's presidential address, the LF leader said “the oath of office today was clear and sovereign par excellence and we must seek its implementation.”“Aoun's election is a step forward,” he stressed. Earlier in the day, Geagea noted that his “cooperation” with Aoun will be “a main guarantee for the new presidential tenure.”“The oath of office was promising in terms of focusing on building the State, the army and the economy. As for foreign policy and after two and a half years of total chaos, the new president clarified Lebanon's commitment to the Arab League charter and the U.N. charter, putting Lebanon in the place it should be in terms of foreign policy,” Geagea said.  Aoun was tipped to become president after ex-PM Saad Hariri formally endorsed his nomination earlier this month. Hariri had launched an initiative to nominate Marada Movement chief MP Suleiman Franjieh for the presidency in late 2015 but his proposal was met with reservations from the country's main Christian parties as well as Hizbullah. Hariri's move prompted Geagea to endorse the nomination of Aoun, his long-time Christian rival. Geagea himself had been the candidate of the Hariri-led March 14 forces for several months and he received 48 votes in the first presidential election session that was held in April 2014.

 

UK 'Looks Forward' to 'Working with President Aoun'

Naharnet/October 31/16/Britain on Monday congratulated President Michel Aoun on his election as Lebanon's 13th president, saying it “looks forward” to cooperating with him. “I congratulate General Michel Aoun on his election as President. His election brings an end to a two and a half year presidential vacuum and opens a new chapter for the country,” UK Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson said in a statement. “I hope this breakthrough will bring renewed hope to the Lebanese people, who want to see functioning institutions which deliver security, stability and prosperity for all,” Johnson added. “I look forward to continued strong UK cooperation with Lebanon on the basis of commitment to the Baabda declaration; strengthened Lebanese institutions; and international agreements including U.N. Security Council Resolutions and the commitments made at the 2016 London conference,” Britain's top diplomat went on to say. And noting that “this is a challenging time for Lebanon,” Johnson said Lebanon needs a “unifying leadership that works in the interest of all Lebanese.”“The UK remains steadfast in its commitment to Lebanon and looks forward to working with President Aoun,” Johnson added. Aoun's election ends a presidential void that lasted around two and a half years. Analysts have warned that Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for Lebanon, which has seen longstanding political divisions exacerbated by the war in neighboring Syria and has struggled to deal with an influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. In addition to pledges of economic growth and security, Aoun said in his oath of office that Lebanon must work to ensure Syrian refugees "can return quickly" to their country. Aoun also pledged to endorse an "independent foreign policy" and to protect Lebanon from "the fires burning across the region."

 

Iran Says Aoun's Election 'Consolidates Democracy, Ensures Stability'

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 31/16/Iran's foreign ministry on Monday congratulated the Lebanese people and all Lebanese parties on the election of Free Patriotic Movement founder Michel Aoun as president, calling the election "an important step to consolidate democracy and ensure Lebanon's stability."Aoun is allied with Tehran-backed Hizbullah and the latter's support for his nomination had played a key role in boosting his presidential chances. Aoun was tipped to become president after receiving support from al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri, who is close to Iran's regional rival Saudi Arabia. The election put an end to around two and a half years of presidential and political vacuum.

 

U.N. Chief Urges Quick Govt. Formation after Aoun's Election

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 31/16/U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon on Monday welcomed the long-awaited election of a president in Lebanon and said a new government must now be formed without delay. Ban congratulated Michel Aoun who was elected by Lebanese lawmakers, ending a two-year political vacuum in the country. He "hopes that Lebanese parties will now continue to work in a spirit of unity and in the national interest," said a statement from his spokesman. The U.N. chief "encourages the formation without delay of a government that can effectively serve the needs of all Lebanese citizens and address the serious challenges facing the country."The United Nations had repeatedly called on Lebanon's political leaders to elect a president and bolster institutional stability at a time when the war in Syria was rattling the region. Lebanon is hosting more than one million Syrian refugees while hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians have been living in squalid and often lawless camps in the country. Ban also said that parliamentary elections should be held on time. Those are scheduled for next year.

 

U.S. Says Aoun Election a 'Moment of Opportunity', Urges Respect for U.N. Resolutions

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 31/16/The U.S. on Monday described Michel Aoun's election as president of Lebanon as a “moment of opportunity,” while urging the next government to “uphold Lebanon’s international obligations.”“The United States congratulates the people of Lebanon on the election of President Michel Aoun, in accordance with Lebanon’s constitution. This is a moment of opportunity, as Lebanon emerges from years of political impasse, to restore government functions and build a more stable and prosperous future for all Lebanese citizens,” said U.S. State Department spokesman John Kirby in a statement.“As Lebanon forms a new government, we look to all parties to uphold Lebanon’s international obligations, including those contained in U.N. Security Council Resolutions 1559 and 1701,” he added. Kirby also underlined that Washington will “continue to stand shoulder to shoulder with the Lebanese people and support Lebanon’s independence, sovereignty, security, and stability.” The U.S. Embassy in Lebanon meanwhile took to Twitter to congratulate the Lebanese people and Aoun on “today’s election and this moment of opportunity for Lebanon.”Resolution 1701 ended the 2006 war between Hizbullah and Israel while Resolution 1559 calls for the disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon, including Aoun's ally Hizbullah. Earlier in the day, Lebanese lawmakers ended a lengthy political vacuum by electing as president ex-army chief Aoun, who promised to protect the country from spillover from the war in Syria. Syria's five-year war has been a major fault line for Lebanon's political class, and analysts have warned Aoun's election will not be a "magic wand" for divisions that have long plagued parliamentarians. The next challenge will be forming a government, which is expected to take months of wrangling. Presidential media office chief Rafik Chlala told reporters consultations on naming a premier would begin within 48 hours. The parliament that elected Aoun has twice extended its own mandate, avoiding elections, because of disagreements over a new electoral law. Aoun had long eyed the presidency, and his candidacy was backed from the beginning by Iran-backed Hizbullah, his ally since a surprise rapprochement in 2006. Aoun was tipped to become president after receiving key support for his nomination earlier this month from al-Mustaqbal Movement leader ex-PM Saad Hariri, who is close to Saudi Arabia.

 

Canadian FM,on election of Lebanon’s new president

October 31, 2016 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada

The Honourable Stéphane Dion, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today issued the following statement:

Lebanon’s Parliament today ended a two-year political deadlock with the election of President Michel Aoun.

“Notwithstanding the ongoing domestic and regional challenges, this is an important step for Lebanon. Canada encourages all parties to work together to ensure a successful transition toward a new government that reflects Lebanon’s diversity and the desire of its people for stability.”

 

UAE court sentences Hezbollah cell

AFP, Abu Dhabi Monday, 31 October 2016/A top Emirati court on Monday sentenced seven people to up to life in prison after convicting them of forming a cell linked to Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah movement, state media said. One Emirati national and two Lebanese men were given life sentences, while an Iraqi and another Lebanese man were jailed 15 years each, according to state news agency WAM. An Egyptian woman and another Emirati man were each jailed for 10 years, it said. The charges included "passing classified information about a governmental department to Lebanon's Hezbollah terrorist (group) and for the benefit of a foreign country," WAM said. The defendants were also accused of passing information about "oil production in one of the emirates as well as maps of oil and gas fields," it said. They were also charged with "forming and managing an international group belonging to the (Hezbollah) party without a license from the government," it added. The trial at the state security court was attended by some of the defendants' family members, as well as lawyers and representatives of local media, WAM said. Foreign press are not usually given access to state security trials. The Arab League and the Gulf Cooperation Council in March declared Hezbollah a "terrorist" group over the movement's backing for the Syrian regime. Hezbollah is fighting in Syria in support of the government of President Bashar al-Assad against opponents including Gulf-backed rebels. In a separate session, the court also sentenced in absentia, Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood leader Essam el-Erian, for five years in prison for insulting the UAE. El-Erian was sentenced to 20-years prison in Egypt earlier this month.

(This piece has been edited by Al Arabiya English)

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on on November 01/16

Syrian army vows to repel Aleppo militant attack

The Associated Press, Beirut Monday, 31 October 2016/Syria’s military said Monday that it is determined to repel an attack on the government-controlled western part of Aleppo as it continued to battle insurgents in intense battles on the city’s edge.

The military said in a statement that opposition fighters have killed 84 people, mostly women and children, since launching their offensive Friday. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights opposition monitoring group estimates that 51 civilians, including 18 children and 61 pro-government fighters, have been killed. Rami Abdurrahman, the director of the Britain-based Observatory, which relies on a network of activists on the ground in Syria, said about 70 opposition fighters were killed in the fighting that included airstrikes on the frontline. Amnesty International said the armed opposition offensive was “marked by indiscriminate attacks on civilian areas.”An insurgent alliance, known as the Army of Conquest and which includes an al-Qaida-linked group, attacked western Aleppo, aiming to breach a months-long siege on the rebel-held eastern side of the city. They captured al-Assad district on the western edge of government-controlled Aleppo Saturday, and the village of Minian further north. On Monday, insurgent media reported that they repelled an attempt by government and allied troops to regain control of the village. The Syrian military accused the insurgents of “criminal acts” that included an alleged attack of toxic gas that wounded several. But it said that won’t dissuade its troops from continuing its war on terrorism. The insurgents denied those allegations and also accused the government of using chlorine barrel bombs on civilians in rural Aleppo. Neither side’s claims could be independently verified. Amnesty International said the use of chemical weapons, regardless of who is behind the attack, can never be justified and constitutes a war crime. The rights group said insurgents showed a “shocking disregard for human lives,” using imprecise explosive weapons in the vicinity of densely populated areas. “The goal of breaking the siege on eastern Aleppo does not give armed opposition groups a license to flout the rules of international humanitarian law by bombarding civilian neighborhoods in government-held areas without distinction,” said Samah Hadid, deputy director for campaigns at Amnesty International in Beirut. Meanwhile, in southern Syria, government troops repelled an insurgent attack on military posts in rural Daraa. The state news agency said troops foiled an attack by four car bombs heading for the military area, killing dozens of militants.

 

Syrian rebels progress in regime-held areas

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Monday, 31 October 2016/Opposition factions in Syria continue to advance in western areas which the regime controls in Aleppo and they have announced their success in confronting the regime’s counterattack against them. The opposition has achieved notable progress in the battle which it has called “the great battle of Aleppo” and it has stormed the new Aleppo neighborhood and other areas in west Aleppo.

Great battle of Aleppo

The great battle of Aleppo has been launched according to a plan that’s different from their previous plan during the past battle. The battle this time has more momentum as it includes more forces which are better armed than before. Around 14 factions from the armed opposition are taking part in this war and they’ve been divided on two major operations rooms which are “the army of conquest” and “Fatah Halab.”Some of the factions which the army of conquest includes are Ahrar al-Sham, Suqour al-Sham Brigade, Ajnad al-Sham and the Nour al-Din al-Zenki Movement while some of the factions which joined Fatah Halab are the Levant Front, Army of the Mujahideen, Sham Legion and Jaysh al-Islam. When attacking regime forces’ posts, these factions use booby trapped cars, Grad rocket launchers, locally made elephant rockets, tanks, armored fighting vehicles and light weapons. These factions have shelled the regime posts in the Nayrab military airport and the military academy in Aleppo which is also called the Assad academy. The adopted strategy’s major phases aim to control the Assad suburb which is on the international road, southwest of Aleppo and to control the residential area in order to head to the area of Hamadeniya. The attack’s military plan aims to attack the regime forces from two axes, the axis of the military academies in the Ramusah neighborhood and the axis of Jamiyat al-Zahra and the new Aleppo neighborhood in the western side of Aleppo.

 

Danish police find bodies of Syrian refugees in freezer

The Associated Press, Denmark Monday, 31 October 2016/Danish police say the remains of a 27-year-old Syrian woman and her two daughters, aged 7 and 9, were found in a freezer inside their apartment in southern Denmark. Police made the gruesome discovery Sunday in the town of Aabenraa after a relative of the woman told them he hadn't been able to reach her for a few days. Investigators said Monday that the victims were killed but didn't give any details. The woman's husband wasn't in the apartment and is now being sought by police. The family arrived in Denmark in 2015 and received refugee status.

 

Iraqi Forces Move Toward East Mosul

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 31/16/Iraq's forces resumed their advance on the Islamic State group's bastion of Mosul Monday, aiming to position themselves a few hundred metres from the city's eastern limits. A senior officer with the elite Counter-Terrorism Service (CTS) told AFP reporters outside the recently retaken town of Bartalla that only two villages remained on the road to Mosul. "The target is to retake Bazwaya and Gogjali, the last two villages before Mosul," a lieutenant colonel said. "If we manage that, we'll only be a few hundred metres (yards) from Mosul," he said.As an aircraft struck a suspected IS mortar position in the distance, the officer's convoy of Humvees sprayed gunfire across the arid plain toward an industrial area still held by jihadists. The Joint Operations Command coordinating Iraq's war on IS said CTS and army forces launched a drive "to advance toward the left bank of the city of Mosul from three axes." Mosul is split down the middle by the Tigris River. Iraqis refer to the eastern half of the city as the left bank and the western side as the right bank. A huge offensive to retake Mosul, Iraq's second city and IS's last major stronghold in the country, began exactly two weeks ago. The tens of thousands of security personnel involved in Iraq's biggest military operation in years were moving mostly on three main fronts: north, east and south. Paramilitary forces dominated by Iran-backed Shiite militia groups opened a another front at the weekend. They are not directly headed for Mosul but setting their sights on the town of Tal Afar to the west, with the aim of retaking it and cutting supply lines between Mosul and the Syrian border. The initial shaping phase of the operation, during which dozens of villages and several towns have already been recaptured from IS, is still under way.Iraqi forces are then expected to besiege Mosul, attempt to open safe corridors for the million-plus civilians still believed to live there, and breach the city to take on diehard jihadists in street battles.

 

Iraqi forces take village, position on Mosul's edge

The Associated Press, Iraq/Bazwaya Monday, 31 October 2016/Iraqi special forces advanced on the ISIS-held city of Mosul from the east on Monday, taking heavy fire but seizing the last ISIS-held village before the city's eastern limits and clearing a path that was followed by army units. Armored vehicles, including Abrams tanks, drew mortar and small arms fire as they moved on the village of Bazwaya in the dawn assault, while allied artillery and airstrikes hit ISIS positions. By evening the fighting had stopped and the units took up positions less than a mile from Mosul's eastern border and some five miles from the city center. Three suicide car bombers tried to stop the advance during the day before the army took control of the town but the troops destroyed them, said Brig. Gen. Haider Fadhil. The army said another unit, its ninth division, had moved up toward Mosul and was now approximately 5 kilometers (3 miles) from its eastern outskirts, the neighborhood of Gogjali. At one point, a Humvee packed with explosives raced ahead in an attempt to ram the forces, but Iraqi troops opened fire on it, setting off the charge and blowing up the vehicle. Plumes of smoke rose in the air from ISIS positions hit by artillery, and airstrikes the army said came from its US allies. Iraqi state television described the operation as a "battle of honor" to liberate the city, captured by ISIS from a superior yet neglected Iraqi force in 2014. Some residents hung white flags on buildings and from windows in a sign they would not resist the government troops, said Maj. Salam al-Obeidi, a member of the special forces operation in Bazwaya. He said troops were requesting that villagers stay inside their homes as Iraqi forces made their way through the streets, as a precaution against potential suicide bombers. For two weeks, Iraqi forces and their Kurdish allies, Sunni tribesmen and Shiite militias have been converging on Mosul from all directions to drive ISIS from Iraq's second largest city. The operation is expected to take weeks, if not months. Since the offensive began on Oct. 17, Iraqi forces moving toward the city have made uneven progress. Advances have been slower in the south, with government forces there still 20 miles (35 kilometers) from the city. The US military estimates ISIS has 3,000 to 5,000 fighters inside Mosul and another 1,500-2,500 in the city's outer defensive belt. The total number includes around 1,000 foreign fighters. Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi announced on his website on Monday that he would be visiting troops near the front line. A day earlier, thousands of fighters flocked to join Iraq's state-sanctioned, Iran-backed Shiite militias who aim to cut off Mosul from the west. In a series of apparent retaliation attacks, bombers on Sunday struck in five of Baghdad's mostly Shiite neighborhoods, killing at least 17 people. The deadliest of the explosions, a parked car bomb, hit a popular fruit and vegetable market near a school in the northwestern Hurriyah area, killing at least 10 and wounding 34. On Monday, ISIS issued a statement claiming responsibility for the attack. Also Monday, separate attacks in and around Baghdad killed at least eight people and wounded 25 others, police said. The deadliest took place in the southern Dora neighborhood when a bomb ripped through an outdoor vegetable market, killing three civilians and wounding nine others, police added. Medical officials confirmed the casualty figures. All officials spoke on condition of anonymity as they were not authorized to release information.

 

Israel asks for delay in West Bank outpost demolition

The Associated Press, Jerusalem Monday, 31 October 2016/Israel has asked the country’s Supreme Court to delay the court-ordered evacuation of an illegal West Bank outpost slated for later this year. The state asked the court for a seven-month extension on Monday. The Supreme Court ruled in 2014 that the Amona outpost was built on private Palestinian land and must be demolished by Dec. 25. The impending evacuation has threatened to destabilize Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s hard-line coalition. Pro-settler lawmakers have tried to find a legal loophole to keep the outpost in its place, a move Israel’s attorney general says is unconstitutional. Amona is the largest of about 100 West Bank outposts built without permission but generally tolerated by the government. These are in addition to 120 settlements that Israel considers legal.

 

Iranian opposition: Khamenei ordered Makkah attack

Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Monday, 31 October 2016/President-elect of the Iranian Resistance “strongly” condemned on Sunday the targeting of Saudi’s holy city Makkah with rockets launched from inside Yemen on October 29. Maryam Rajavi said the strikes carried out were under the supervision of Quds Force, and ordered by Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. She referred to the attack as a “declaration of war to all Muslims around the world”. She called for the expulsion of the “anti-human” and “anti-Islamic” regime from the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), and requested Islamic countries cut relations with the current Iranian regime. “Even earlier the mullahs' regime spared no effort to conduct crimes and desecration of Makkah and the sacred House of God. Among others were sending explosives to Saudi in 1986, and causing riot and chaos in Mecca in 1987 that took the lives of more than 400 pilgrims. This is the very same regime that did not even hesitate to explode the shrines of Shiite Imams in Mashhad and Samarra in a bid to maintain its infamous reign,” Rajavi said. Earlier, the Iranian Resistance revealed transferring arm shipments by the mullah’s regime to Yemen.

 

Iraqi troops resume Mosul offensive

Reuters, Baghdad Monday, 31 October 2016/Iraqi troops resumed on Monday a coordinated offensive towards Mosul, the last major city held by ISIS, targeting the eastern bank of the Tigris river that divides the city, military officials said. The army’s counter-terrorism unit had paused its advance last week after it made ground quicker than forces on other fronts, to allow them to close the gap and get nearer to the city. Iraqi security forces and Kurdish Peshmerga fighters started the offensive on Oct. 17, with air and ground support from the US-led coalition against the hardline extremist group. Pro-Iranian Iraqi militias joined the fighting on Saturday, aiming to cut the route between Mosul and Raqqa, ISIS’s main stronghold in Syria. The battle for Mosul, still home to 1.5 million residents, is shaping up to be one of the toughest in a decade of turmoil following the US-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein in 2003. “The operation to liberate the left bank of Mosul has started,” said a military statement, referring to the eastern bank of the river that flows from north to south. Another statement said five villages were taken north of Mosul, where Peshmerga fighters are also being deployed. ISIS militants has been fighting off the two-week offensive with suicide car bombs, snipers and mortar fire. They have also set oil wells on fire to cover their movements and displaced thousands of civilians from villages toward Mosul, using them as human shields, UN officials and villagers who spoke to Reuters have said. Worst-case United Nations forecasts see up to 1 million people being uprooted by the fighting, which UN aid agencies said had so far forced about 17,500 people to flee - a figure that excludes those taken into Mosul by the retreating militants.

 

Senior Iranian commander brags over “expanding borders”

By Al Arabiya.net Monday, 31 October 2016/A senior Iranian commander bragged, Monday, on the expansion of the Islamic Republic boundaries from the Red Sea to the Mediterranean, vowing that the “defenders of the holy shrines” forces would crash Tehran opponents anywhere in the world. Brigadier General Hossein Salami, the deputy commander of IRGC, told a crowd of the Basij Forces in Orumiyeh city, western Iran, that the Iranian forces recently demonstrated “its capability of not recognizing the red lines in pursuing and punishing the regime adversaries”.

Salam added: “You can see how our borders expanded reaching the Red Sea and the eastern Mediterranean, due to the sacrifice of our martyrs”, according to Tasnim news agency. Iran calls its forces fighting in Syria, alongside Damascus regime militants, the “defenders of the holy shrines”, a term now being used for all its Basij forces.

 

Western powers support Libyan PM in standoff with rivals

By The Associated Press, London Monday, 31 October 2016/Western and some Middle Eastern powers expressed support on Monday for Libya’s UN-brokered unity government and Prime Minister Fayez Seraj’s push to restore order across the chaotic country and revive its oil-based economy. In London, officials from the United States, Britain, Italy, France, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia met Seraj for talks to tackle a standoff preventing the Government of National Accord (GNA) from expanding its authority outside the capital. After the meeting, a spokeswoman for US Secretary of State John Kerry said the ministers, who included British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson and Italy’s Paolo Gentiloni, said they had reaffirmed the “strong international support” for the GNA. “The ministers underscored their support for increasing the capacity of the GNA... to respond to the needs of the Libyan people,” State Department spokeswoman Elizabeth Trudeau said. “The ministers also called upon all Libyan economic institutions to work together in support of this effort.”Her statement did not indicate whether any concrete action might ensue from the pledge of support. The meeting included a session that focused on Libya’s economy, in particular how to enforce economic decisions and stabilize the economy without a finance minister. The fractured North African state has two rival central bank governors and the GNA has been unable to appoint a finance minister. Since the fall of dictator Muammar Gaddafi in an uprising in 2011, Libya has been beset by factional fighting among brigades of ex-rebels who battled him and then turned on each other. Western powers are alarmed about resistance to Seraj and his GNA from the country’s eastern military commander General Khalifa Haftar, who has blocked a parliamentary vote to endorse the UN-backed authorities. The parliament based in Libya’s east has twice rejected lists of ministers put forward by the GNA leadership meant to represent the various sides in Libya’s fragmented politics. The failure to appoint a finance minister has hobbled economic decision-making in the major oil-producing country, an OPEC member. Monday’s meeting was to try to address ways to tackle Libya’s slide towards economic collapse. Two other side-effects of Libya’s disorder are of major concern abroad - an uncontrolled flow towards Europe of migrants setting off in boats from Libya’s lawless shores where people-smugglers operate, and an infiltration of ISIS militants who now hold some territory along Libya’s Mediterranean coast.

 

478 expat medical professionals lose KSU jobs

Saudi Gazette, Taif Monday, 31 October 2016/The Replacement Administration in the Ministry of Civil Service has refused to renew the contracts of 478 expat medical professionals working at King Saud University (KSU). The university had requested the renewal of their contracts. But the ministry said these workers had spent a long period of time in the Kingdom and that there were qualified Saudis to replace them. Sources told Al-Watan Arabic daily that King Saud University had requested the Ministry of Civil Service to renew the contracts of 516 male and female medical professionals who had spent more than 10 years on the job. The university’s request was studied by the Replacement Administration, which refused to renew the contracts of 478 employees. The Administration exempted seven consultant doctors and 31 assistant doctors. Several Saudi postgraduate degree holders seeking jobs in Saudi universities are demanding a review of the contracts of expatriate workers in universities. They also called for the implementation of the Civil Service Ministry’s requirement that a contract worker’s period of service should not exceed 10 years in Saudi universities.

 

Saudi king appoints new finance minister

By Staff writer Al Arabiya English Monday, 31 October 2016

Saudi Arabia's King Salman Bin Abdulaziz issued a Royal decree to appoint Mohammed Al-Jadaan as the new finance minister on Monday to replace Ibrahim Abdulaziz Al-Assaf. Jaddan had previously been the chairman of the Saudi Capital Market Authority. He replaces Ibrahim Alassaf, who has been appointed minister of state and a member of the council of ministers, according to the royal decree. Meanwhile, the royal decree also included the appointment of Mohammed al-Qassem as president of the Saudi Red Crescent.Hesham al-Jadei was appointed as the new head of the Saudi Food and Drug Authority to replace Mohammed Meshaal.

 

King Salman receives Federica Mogherini

SPA Monday, 31 October 2016/King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud received at Yamamah palace, European Union High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy and Vice President of European Commission Federica Mogherini currently on a visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. During the meeting, they discussed a number of issues of common interest, and aspects of cooperation between the Kingdom and the Commission of the European Union.

 

Prisoner in Saudi released after 15 years on death row

Jeddah, Okaz/Saudi Gazette Monday, 31 October 2016/After 15 years on the death row, a Chadian prisoner was released due to the efforts of the National Human Rights Society. A source said Chadian prisoner Bashir Al-Ghali was sentenced to death for murder 15 years ago. “The prisoner spent 5,500 days in prison waiting for the day of his execution. He is the oldest prisoner on death row. And was freed after the President of the National Human Rights Society Saleh Al-Ghamdi reached out to the Director of Jeddah Prisons Col. Manie Al-Otaibi,” said the source. The source also said the prisoner shed tears of happiness and will soon be deported back to his country. “The prisoner is now 45 years old and has spent a third of his life in the prisons of Jeddah. He expressed his gratitude to the National Human Rights Society for exerting great efforts in reaching out to the family of the victim and asking for forgiveness on his behalf,” said the source. The source also said the prisoner was also grateful for Jeddah prisons as he was able to memorize the Holy Qur’an and the Prophetic sayings during his incarceration.

“He studied various subjects and is updated on using technology thanks to the programs offered at the prison. He also said he will never commit such a horrid crime again and will use the knowledge he gained to better his life,” said the source. The source added the prisoner was in a fight with a Sudanese man 15 years ago. “The Sudanese man, a shepherd, was killed by the prisoner in the fight and was sentenced to death for his crime. The family of the prisoner reached out to the National Human Rights Society imploring them to seek the forgiveness of the victim’s family,” said the source. The source said the National Human Rights Society was able to contact the father of the victim who was in Sudan. “The father of the victim used to work in Jeddah, also as a shepherd, but had left for his country after the death of his son. The National Human Rights Society brought the father of the victim to Kingdom after his consent and were able to complete the necessary procedures to release the prisoner,” said the source. The source also said the father of the victim said the President of the National Human Rights Society reached out to him and invited him to come to Makkah. “The father accepted the invitation and was received by the President of the National Human Rights Society at his home. The president offered to pay for all of the expenses and told the father that a donor is willing to give him a check of SR300,000 for the release of the prisoner,” said the source. The source also said the victim’s mother had already told the father to not to accept any money as blood money for her son. “The father said he had to contemplate a lot about forgiving the prisoner after 15 years of being on death row. The father prayed for an answer from Allah and eventually decided to forgive the prisoner without accepting any blood money,” said the source.

 

EU foreign chief due in Saudi for talks on Iran, Yemen

By Reuters, Doha Monday, 31 October 2016/The Saudi secretary-general of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) resigned on Monday for health reasons, according to a statement from the organization. “Secretary-General Iyad Madani has resigned for health reasons,” said the statement. It said Saudi Arabia had nominated Yusuf al-Othaimeen, a former minister of social affairs, as Madani’s replacement.

 

Nigerian soldiers, police sexually abuse Boko Haram victims: HRW

Reuters, Lagos Monday, 31 October 2016/Nigerian soldiers and policemen have raped and sexually abused women and girls fleeing the Islamist militant group Boko Haram, Human Rights Watch said on Monday. Forty-three cases of "sexual abuse, including rape and exploitation", were documented in July, HRW said. The women and girls were housed at seven camps in Maiduguri, the capital of Borno state, where Boko Haram's seven-year insurgency began. That insurgency has displaced more than two million people and killed some 15,000 in Nigeria's northeast.

An army spokesman declined to comment and referred the matter to the defense ministry. A spokesman for the department could not be reached by phone and did not respond to a text message. A spokesman for the Nigerian police could not be reached on his mobile phone. The rights group said it was also told of abuse carried out by camp leaders and members of security groups set up to help the military fight the insurgents. Four people told HRW they were drugged and raped. Thirty-seven said they had been coerced into sex through false marriage promises and material and financial assistance. A 17-year-old girl said she was raped by a policeman who approached her in a camp. "One day he demanded to have sex with me. I refused but he forced me," she said, adding that it happened once. She said he threatened to shoot and kill her when she discovered that she was pregnant. Another girl - a 16-year-old who fled an attack on Baga, near Lake Chad, last year - said she was drugged and raped in May 2015 by a community security group member in charge of distributing aid in the camp. Boko Haram, which controlled a swathe of land in the northeast around the size of Belgium early last year, has largely been pushed back to its base in the northeast's vast Sambisa forest in the last few months. Aid workers and soldiers have gained access to the group's former northeastern strongholds, revealing famine-like conditions which UNICEF says could kill 75,000 children over the next year if they do not receive aid. Nigerian lawmakers in early October said they would investigate the use of government funds intended to assist displaced people, amid claims that money had been diverted.

 

Turkey Detains Editor of Opposition Newspaper Cumhuriyet

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 31/16/Turkish police detained the editor-in-chief of the opposition newspaper Cumhuriyet, state media reported Monday, while the daily said several of its writers were taken into police custody. Murat Sabuncu was detained while authorities searched for executive board chairman Akin Atalay and writer Guray Oz, the official news agency Anadolu said.  The daily said Oz had in fact already been detained along with other journalists from the paper, including Aydin Engin, Hikmet Cetinkaya and Hakan Kara. According to CNN Turk, 13 arrest warrants were issued for journalists and executives from the daily. Police were searching the homes of Atalay and Oz, Anadolu said, but Atalay is believed to be abroad, CNN Turk reported. Cumhuriyet said the home of cartoonist Musa Kart was also being searched. The latest detentions came as authorities pressed a massive crackdown over a failed July bid by a rogue faction of the military to oust President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Turkey has been under a state of emergency since the July 15 failed coup. Tens of thousands of civil servants have been suspended, fired or detained, with the government pointing the finger of blame for the coup bid at exiled Muslim preacher Fethullah Gulen. The government has also shut more than 100 media outlets and detained dozens of journalists as it presses a purge that has come under fire by Western leaders and human rights organisations. The arrests also came as the government fought an insurgency from the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). - 'Unjustifiable limitations' -The Istanbul prosecutor said in a statement quoted by Turkish media that the newspaper and the Cumhuriyet Foundation, which owns the daily, were being investigated over links to the PKK and the Gulen movement. The investigation was probing whether they committed crimes on behalf of the two "terror organisations", the prosecutor said. The PKK -- proscribed as a terrorist organisation by Ankara, the EU and US -- has waged an insurgency inside Turkey since 1984. The daily said an arrest warrant was also issued for its former editor-in-chief, Can Dundar, who was sentenced in May by a Turkish court to five years and 10 months in prison for allegedly revealing state secrets. Dundar is now believed to be in Germany after he was freed earlier this year pending an appeal. The crackdown on Cumhuriyet came after authorities ordered the closure of several pro-Kurdish media outlets, including the Dicle Haber Ajansi news agency and the Ozgur Gundem newspaper, according to a decree published Saturday in the official journal. While Turkey insists it is acting within the rule of law, organisations defending free speech have accused the government of violating human rights."Restrictions imposed under the state of emergency go beyond those permissible under international human rights law, including unjustifiable limitations on media freedom," Reporters Without Borders (RSF) and other rights groups said earlier this month.

 

Freed Indonesians recall Somali kidnap ordeal

AFP, Jakarta Monday, 31 October 2016/Four Indonesian fishermen had an emotional reunion with their families Monday after returning home following a kidnap ordeal at the hands of Somali pirates, recalling the horrors they endured. Looking skinny, weak and tired, the sailors hugged their sobbing relatives at a ceremony in the capital Jakarta that came about a week after they were released, along with 22 other Asian captives following almost five years as hostages. "We are still traumatized, we're still afraid," said one of the captives, 24-year-old Sudirman, who like many Indonesians goes by one name. "We don't know what we are feeling right now. Even as we stand here, we can't believe it. Is this a dream? This must be a miracle -- thank you God."The crew, who also came from Cambodia, China, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam, were taken hostage after their fishing vessel was seized in March 2012 south of the Seychelles. The Omani-flagged vessel, the Naham 3, was the last commercial ship seized at the height of Somalia's piracy scourge, with its crew the second-longest held hostage by Somali pirates. Sudirman said the Indonesians spent one and a half years on the boat before being taken ashore and held at a site in the wilderness. He said the captives were usually only fed once a day with spoiled bread or rice and red beans, and half a litre of dirty water, leading them to suffer from constant diarrhoea. Some days the hostages got nothing, forcing them to hunt for their own food in the form of rats and cats, he said, but added this could be dangerous. "If we got caught our hands and feet would be tied up and we would be hung upside down, it hurt a lot," he said. Pirates initially took 29 crew hostage, but one person died during the hijacking, and two more died from illnesses -- including an Indonesian -- during their captivity. The first major commercial vessel was hijacked by Somali pirates in 2005 and the industry flourished in a country wracked by years of civil war and with few jobs and no central government.

 

Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis& editorials from miscellaneous sources published on on October 30-31/16

Checks and balances are needed to raise government employee productivity

Khaled Almaeena/Al Arabiya/October 31/16

There have recently been many discussions about the productivity of Saudi employees, especially those in the public sector. This subject became more intense after the former Minister of Civil Service Khaled Al-Araj claimed that government workers put in barely an hour a day at the office.

There was an immediate outcry and tweeters expressed anger at his remark. I do not know from where Al-Araj got his figure since there are no accurate key performance indicators to gauge individual employee performance nor has any accurate poll ever been done. Others described the minister’s remark as an exaggeration, but admitted that productivity was low in government departments. Many people whom I spoke to said that three hours would be a somewhat more accurate figure.However, let’s be very frank and face the facts. Our productivity is low. No one can convince me that our work ethics are on a par with other advanced countries in the world. Our productivity rate is far below Singapore, Korea, Japan, China, Taiwan, Vietnam and Thailand. Individually, there are employees who are hard working and productive; however, the majority of them do not make the grade. Part of the problem lies with the poor management system and managers who do not lead by example. Having said that, it is unfair to blame only the employees for their inefficiency. Part of the problem lies with the poor management system and managers who do not lead by example. They provide neither guidance nor incentives. Government offices need to be managed in a more professional way. There should be a proper management system that ensures discipline and efficiency. Employees lack discipline due to the absence of checks and balances and poor leadership from senior management.I went to a government office a month ago and was told that my file was with an employee who had gone on vacation for 10 days and, therefore, the paperwork was delayed. Thus members of the public are at the mercy of employees who are either on vacation or do not show up in office or come very late to work. In some other instances, the manager is not there and the paperwork is delayed because of his required signature. To make matters worse, some employees simply disappear after noon prayers. Yes, this often happens and people should not deny the fact that it does. The frustration of people lining up in the morning waiting for government employees to arrive is a common sight. The lazy attitude and lethargy of many employees must be addressed by good leadership in all government departments.

Unless there are professionally trained managers who can lead and act as role models, this sorry state of affairs will continue. What is also needed is a reward scheme and better incentives to encourage better performance. The public has a right to expect better service. **This article was first published the Saudi Gazette on October 31, 2016.

 

Will Hillary’s presidency rejuvenate America?

Raghida Dergham/Al Arabiya/October 31/16

The electoral compass indicates today that Hillary Clinton is set to return to the White House as the first female president in US history. Yet the political compass suggests this ambitious woman, whose career spans decades, will not spend a comfortable next four years in power. Her tenure could be burdened by careful calculations, but also a lot of second-guessing and attempts to harass her over both small and big mistakes. Hillary, the candidate who has been lacking in charisma and popularity, will not become overnight President Hillary around whom the American people shall rally. A significant segment of Americans do not trust her, and see her as the offshoot of the establishment, which comprises major civilian and military interests, and who are also loath to having the Clintons in the White House once again.

Divided America could become more divided if the results are close between Clinton and Donald Trump, the Republicans’ begrudged candidate. If the elections produce a landslide for Hillary, then her presidency will enjoy a mandate and perhaps she will be spared some of the bitterness otherwise lying in wait for her. In this case, Hillary will be a president bent on restoring US’s decisiveness and prestige on the world arena, which had taken a hit under Obama whose policy was marked by appeasement in an era of eroded principles and moral superiority. Hillary’s presidency will not be isolationist like Obama’s, as there are signs she intends to reshuffle the deck with Russia though not to the point of confrontation.

Clinton will want to let Putin know that America “the infirm”, as the Russians often characterized Obama’s US, will rejuvenate itself and disallow further belittling from the Kremlin. Hillary Clinton’s expected policies toward the Gulf region may revive traditional axioms, with a view to repair some of the tensions that have soured historical relations between the two sides.

However, one must not expect a full reversal of Obama’s policies, which bet everything on having historically different relations with Iran. It will not be easy for Hillary to convince Egypt that she no longer backs the Muslim Brotherhood; in the view of the administration in power in Egypt, she had played a key role in the rise of Islamists to power.    Clinton has expressed willingness to support safe zones in Syria, but it is not clear if this includes the unlikely prospect of establishing a no-fly zone. Either way, this suggests she has a different policy compared to Obama

Middle East conflicts

Mistrust of Hillary Clinton and her team, at least at the start of her tenure, will likely continue as Egypt’s leader el-Sisi continues to develop strategic ties with “anti-Islamist” Putin. Raging wars also await Clinton. Syria’s opposition is yearning for a new American policy, while the regime is seeking together with its allies in Moscow and Tehran to benefit from the “extra time” before her inauguration to impose military facts on the ground, especially in Aleppo. Turkey is preparing itself to prove how sharp and valuable its instruments are in Syria and Iraq. The US-led international coalition is seeking victory in Mosul against ISIS and then Raqqa, in the hope of concluding Obama’s tenure in the White House with a historic achievement before the successor takes over.

The whole world has its eyes set on the results of the US elections. They watched the campaign sometimes with glee and others with horror, as it dawned on everyone what it meant for Donald Trump to capture the presidency. But today, the White House will most likely be occupied by a grandmother, and the first female president of the United States. It’s still not impossible for Trump to win. However, barring a major surprise, the majority of observers agree that Clinton is almost certain to win. In Washington, deliberations have already started regarding which names to appoint for top posts. For example, Michelle Flournoy is being touted as the next defense secretary, and the first woman ever in the post. Other names include Admiral Jones Sevrides or General John Allen for secretary of state, or veteran diplomat Bill Burns while one of the two military men would instead be appointed national security advisor. In other words, Washington is already gearing up for a new Democratic administration after Trump spoiled any chance for a Republican administration to take over.

Donald Trump’s failure to take the White House is likely to annoy Putin, who has not concealed his biases. Russia has even been accused of interfering with US elections against Hillary Clinton, drawing the ire of many Americans included those opposed to her.

The US-Russia relations

US-Russian relations under Clinton will not turn into a hot war or even a cold war. But they will not follow the same truce-like if not appeasement pattern seen under Obama, especially in the interactions between Sergei Lavrov and John Kerry on Syria.

Hillary Clinton’s relationship with Lavrov when she served at the state department underwent a number of crises most notably over Libya, when Moscow saw NATO’s intervention there as cynical misinterpretation of a UN Security Council mandate and an affront to Russia’s prestige. Thus began the bad blood between Lavrov and Clinton, after which Russia’s ties with the West deteriorated, as nationalist sentiment was stoked in Moscow to the point of seeking revenge through Syria.

Russia stands accused nowadays of perpetrating war crimes in Aleppo, where it is fighting alongside the regime and Iran-backed forces and militias. Britain and France want to take Russia and the Syrian regime to the ICC to hold them accountable for war crimes and crimes against humanity. Turkey is fighting the war in Syria and backing moderate rebels, and is seeking to create no-fly zones and safe humanitarian zones, a bid opposed by Moscow. Russia has turned the Syrian tragedy from a war between regime and opposition into a war on the al-Nusra Front and moderate rebels simultaneously. Hillary Clinton has expressed willingness to support safe zones in Syria, but it is not clear if this includes the unlikely prospect of establishing a no-fly zone. Either way, this suggests she has a different policy compared to Obama, who washed his hands clean from Syria. Yet this does not mean she is willing to send US troops to Syria, except through the coalition against ISIS and similar groups like al-Nusra.There will never be US ground forces in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, or Libya, because this is what the Americans’ mood imposes today and in the near future. The different here is that Hillary will not let Russia continue its policies in Syria without a pushback, through Turkey and traditional allies in the Gulf, and without accountability for crimes by supporting European allies in their bid to activate the ICC.

Because Hillary Clinton will have realistic relations with the Arab Gulf nations, her policies in Syria could be more pragmatic. Still, it is unlikely Clinton will antagonize Assad’s other ally Iran and hold it and its militias accountable, because she will be keen to undermine the new page Obama has opened with the Islamic Republic through the nuclear deal. Clinton might instead reconsider that dangerous investment in sectarian tensions between Sunnis and Shiites. Indeed, the Obama administration has been accused of unshackling the Iranian Revolutionary Guards and the Quds Force led by Qassem Soleimani in Iraq and Syria, as a necessary partner in the war on ISIS.

Hillary Clinton could decide it is in the US interest now to extinguish the fires of sectarian strife, and that the time has come to dismantle the bid to replace regular armies with militias a la Popular Mobilization, meant to defend the Assad regime or the governments of Haidar al-Abadi or Nouri al-Maliki in Syria and Iraq respectively. This is one common trait between Iran and ISIS in the Arab region, as both parties want to tear apart the Arab nation states. The rise of the militias and paramilitaries is a threat not only to the Arab region, but has implications that extend to Europe and beyond, including the US. Furthermore, the vicious cycle of Shiite and Sunni vendettas counters Western and US values. For this reason, the best thing Hillary could do is reconsider this policy and decide to put a stop to fueling sectarian extremism and open a new page in Arab-Iranian-American relations. Some of the above are wishes rather than forecasts. But the political logic at this juncture in the history of the US presidency makes it necessary to think outside the box. Most likely, the next president will inherit enough problems to require radical solutions.

*This article was first published in al-Hayat on Oct. 28, 2016 and translated by Karim Traboulsi.

 

Is Turkey jumping on the Russian bandwagon?

Mahir Zeynalov/Al Arabiya/October 31/16

Back in 1952, Turkey was admitted to NATO to save this big, strategically located country from Russian aggression. A Soviet occupation of Turkey or a possible Communist revolution at that time would allow the Soviet Union to project power in much of Africa and the Middle East. Turkey’s single biggest security threat since then has been Russia. Ankara has attached importance to deepening its security integration with the West to check Russian power in the Black Sea and the Caucasus. Turkey is now said to be weaker than at any point since the 1950s in the face of Russian domination in the region but surprisingly it feels much more secure. Since 1568, the Ottoman Empire and Russia fought 12 wars. Nine of them were over controlling the Crimea. In 2014, however, Russia annexed the Crimea. Except mildly-formed condemnation, Ankara was largely silent. Controlling the Crimea allowed Moscow to project power across the region, given the fact that almost all of Russia’s shores are frozen nine months a year.

Russia’s growing dominance

Since the capture of the Crimea, Russia has significantly increased its military presence in the Black Sea. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan criticized Russia for turning the Black Sea into its “internal lake.” In August, the Russian army chief highlighted that its Black Sea fleet is now stronger than Turkey’s navy and that it is capable of striking the Bosphorus straits. Many countries around TurkeySyria, Iran, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Greece and Cyprus – are Russian allies. Russia is shoring up Syrian President Bashar al-Assad by deploying a significant military presence in areas close to Turkey. All this comes at a time when the relationship between Russia and Turkey’s chief ally, the US, are in its worst form in 40 years. Turkey is jumping on the Russian bandwagon, increasing cooperation from military to trade and looking to Moscow to advance its interests in the region

There are also reports that Russian President Vladimir Putin has moved nuclear-capable missiles close to eastern Europe. He sent aircraft carriers to the North Sea. Moscow said it would shoot down any coalition jets bombing Assad’s army.

Erdogan turns to Moscow. Normally, this would be the perfect reason for Turkey to feel insecure, deepen security ties with traditional NATO allies and try to contain and check Russian dominance. However, the opposite seems to be happening. Turkey is jumping on the Russian bandwagon, increasing cooperation from military to trade and looking to Moscow to advance its interests in the region. While Russia threatens the US over Syria, it promises intelligence sharing to Turkey. Since the failed military coup attempt on July 15, President Erdogan and Putin have met three times and talked on the phone four times. The Russian army chief even visited Turkey in August for the first time in 11 years. Turkey is looking forward to resuming Russian help in constructing a nuclear plant in Akkuyu while assuring Russia that Turkey is a safe country for Russian tourists. There are even reports that Russia could open an air base in Mersin, on the heel of the Mediterranean, a development that would upset NATO.

Disillusionment with the West

Erdogan’s turn toward Moscow is not without reason. The West keeps doling out criticism regarding every step Erdogan makes. Moreover, it seems, Western reluctance to unequivocally condemn the military coup plot in July convinced Erdogan that the biggest threat to his rule is from the West, not Russia. Turkey does not fall in Russia’s geographical orbit as the post-Soviet nations do. When Georgia sought NATO membership in 2008 or Ukraine signed an EU association deal in 2014, Moscow rolled tanks across the borders. Turkey is sovereign in making up its mind whether to look to Moscow or Brussels. President Erdogan vowed on Saturday once again that he will sign capital punishment into law – a move that would effectively end Turkey’s EU accession negotiations and a sign that Ankara is ready for this.

For decades, the EU offered values for Turkey to improve its public institutions and raise living standards. Washington was a security guarantee. Turkey, which is feeling more secure regarding Russia, could not care less about NATO and the EU. In the past few years, the US was nothing but an obstacle in Turkey’s plan to establish a safe zone in Syria and was arming Kurdish militants that struck Turkish forces back at home. With sections of the media blaring anti-American headlines every day and US popularity at an all-time low, Turkey may get comfortable with the idea that its future lies in partnership with Moscow, not a Western bloc that lectures about human rights and democracy.

 

Nouri al-Maliki’s dangerous speech

Mshari Al Thaydi/Al Arabiya/October 31/16

The Head of US Central Command General Joseph Votel told AFP recently that 800 to 900 ISIS fighters were killed during the current battle carried out by Iraqi forces with US military support in Mosul. The estimated number of ISIS members in Mosul is around 4,000 fighters. Let us say that the number has reached 10,000, even if it did not reach this extent. We should keep in mind that Mosul’s population is, despite the displacement and ISIS cruelty, estimated at 1.5 million, most of which are Sunni Arabs, including Turkmen, Kurds, Assyrian Christians, Shabak, Yazidis and even Shiites. We are talking about the population of the whole province of Nineveh. There is no doubt that any news about an ISIS fighter’s death is good news; it is a noble and honest battle. Any Muslim and any human being will surely support it and pray for it. However, are those who are fighting against ISIS today in Iraq blameless of extremism, atonement and sectarian revenge?

Let us read together these apparently brilliant ideas of the supposedly tolerant national Iraqi leader, who is said to be above and beyond militia thoughts, Mr. Nouri al-Maliki:

Days ago, Nouri al-Maliki thanked the Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei for helping Islam and Muslims in a speech delivered in Baghdad while Khomeini’s conference – the Conference on Islamic Awakening – was ongoing. The most dangerous part of Maliki’s tactical, perceivably Khomeinist, speech was when he said: “Nineveh, here we come,” because it also means: Raqqah, here we come; Aleppo, here we come; Yemen, here we come. We will go into all the regions where Muslims are fighting. Nouri seems to have declared a Shiite war, led by Iranian Khomeinism! He delivered his speech in the presence of Supreme Leader Khamenei’s adviser and political terrorism envoy Ali Akbar Velayati who is internationally accused of a terrorist crime that took place in the Argentinian capital. Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, the head of the Supreme Islamic Council, and Ammar al-Hakim (considered a moderate figure among them!) all participated in the retaliation-poisoned conference.

The ragged sectarian militiaman Nouri al-Maliki had posted on his page on Facebook a few days before, a status commenting on the battle of Mosul, coincided with the month of Muharram, the month representing Shiite sorrows and one which is marked with processions, especially this year:

“In these sacred times, during which we celebrate the anniversary of the victory of blood against the sword with the martyrdom of Imam Hussein, peace be upon him, we urge the faithful to pray for the victory of the fighters; those who are concerned about the country started the Liberation of Nineveh from terrorist ISIS.”Therefore, we can only say that even if all ISIS fighters are killed in Mosul, Raqqah, and other regions, the true salvation will come once Maliki’s ideology is eschewed, along with al-Baghdadi’s, as both, I believe, are the same.

**This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on Oct. 30, 2016.