LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN

December 26/16

Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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Bible Quotations For Today
He has scattered the proud in the thoughts of their hearts. He has brought down the powerful from their thrones, and lifted up the lowly
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 01/,46-55/:"Mary said, ‘My soul magnifies the Lord, and my spirit rejoices in God my Saviour, for he has looked with favour on the lowliness of his servant. Surely, from now on all generations will call me blessed;
for the Mighty One has done great things for me, and holy is his name. His mercy is for those who fear him from generation to generation. He has shown strength with his arm; he has scattered the proud in the thoughts of their hearts. He has brought down the powerful from their thrones, and lifted up the lowly; he has filled the hungry with good things, and sent the rich away empty. He has helped his servant Israel, in remembrance of his mercy, according to the promise he made to our ancestors, to Abraham and to his descendants for ever.’

Blessed be the God and Father of our Lord Jesus Christ, who has blessed us in Christ with every spiritual blessing in the heavenly places

Letter to the Ephesians 01/03-14/:"Blessed be the God and Father of our Lord Jesus Christ, who has blessed us in Christ with every spiritual blessing in the heavenly places, just as he chose us in Christ before the foundation of the world to be holy and blameless before him in love. He destined us for adoption as his children through Jesus Christ, according to the good pleasure of his will, to the praise of his glorious grace that he freely bestowed on us in the Beloved. In him we have redemption through his blood, the forgiveness of our trespasses, according to the riches of his grace that he lavished on us. With all wisdom and insight. he has made known to us the mystery of his will, according to his good pleasure that he set forth in Christ, as a plan for the fullness of time, to gather up all things in him, things in heaven and things on earth. In Christ we have also obtained an inheritance, having been destined according to the purpose of him who accomplishes all things according to his counsel and will, so that we, who were the first to set our hope on Christ, might live for the praise of his glory. In him you also, when you had heard the word of truth, the gospel of your salvation, and had believed in him, were marked with the seal of the promised Holy Spirit; this is the pledge of our inheritance towards redemption as God’s own people, to the praise of his glory."

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on December 25-26/16
Hezbollah’s ties with Russia in Syria alarm Israelis/Nicholas Blanford/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
On the American role in Syria’s hell/Mshari Al Thaydi/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
Re-establishing the private sector in Saudi Arabia/Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
Saudi 2017 budget based on rationalization, not skimping/Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
Obama’s parting shot at Israel/Fawaz Turki/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
Obama – the beginning and the end/Eyad Abu Shakra/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
The Fifth Legion: A New Auxiliary Force/By Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi/ Syria Comment/December 24/16
Islamists Attack Christmas, but Europeans Abolish It/ Giulio Meotti/Gatestone Institute/December 25/16
How serious is the animosity between Israel and Iran/Mamoon Alabbasi/The Arab Weekly//December 25/16
In Iraq, more than 200 civilians arrested daily/ Mustafa Habib/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
The rise of the Russian Phoenix/Mohamed Kawas/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
The Middle East after Aleppo/Khattar Abu Diab/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
UN tiptoes back to Golan as Syrian tensions simmer/Nicholas Blanford/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16


Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on on December 25-26/16
President Aoun vows to end vaccuum in public posts
Hariri says vote for Aoun was to safeguard country
Raad Says 'Unacceptable' to Bin Proportional Representation over Some Parties' Concerns
Al-Rahi Urges 'Comprehensive National Reconciliation', Says Refugees Threat to Stability
Aude Says Women Should Constitute 'Half' of Cabinet
Aoun Visits Bkirki, Says State Institutions Vacancies to be Filled
Gunfire during Fatah Official Funeral amid Cautious Calm at Ain el-Hilweh
Berri Calls al-Rahi as AMAL Delegation Visits Bkirki
Hariri: Lebanon Today in a Better Situation
Report: Concerns over Iraq-Like Parliamentary Legalization of Hizbullah Forces
Berri Calls Parliament to Convene Next Week to Discuss Policy Statement
Hezbollah’s ties with Russia in Syria alarm Israelis

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on December 25-26/16
Pope Says Israelis, Palestinians Must 'Write New Page of History'
High-Security Christmas in Europe as Pope Comforts Terror Victims
Syria-Bound Russian Military Jet Crashes with 92 Onboard
Pakistan issues nuclear warning to Israel in response to 'fake news' story
Tunisia Security Forces Warn of Returning Jihadis
Russian military plane ‘carrying 92’ crashes
Sixteen hurt in Christmas eve blast at Catholic church in Philippines
Iraq patriarch urges protection for displaced Christians
Russian jets bolster raids on rebel-held Idlib and rural Aleppo
Trump: UN vote makes peace talks 'much harder'
Israel Strikes Back after U.N. Settlement Vote
Netanyahu fumes at ‘shameful, biased’ UN vote
Putin, Rowhani welcome Aleppo ‘victory’
Saudis among other Arabs arrested in US immigration sting
Syrian Opposition and the Iranian Resistance Held a Joint Demonstration in Paris
Iran: Plundering $15.5 Million Budget Belonged to Homeless People
Iran: Political Prisoner on Hunger Strike Urgently Transferred to Prison Infirmary
India's Center for Social Research Declares Support for Justice Seeking Campaign of 1988 Massacre in Iran

Links From Jihad Watch Site for on December 25-26/16
Pope, under heavy guard at Vatican, says refugees like “baby Jesus, who could not find shelter”
Twitter: “Robert Spencer should be exterminated immediately”
Video: Muslim “ex-extremist” explains why he is on the brink of leaving Islam
Death to the vase! Iran military parade turns awkward as special forces repeatedly fail to break flowerpot
Indonesia: Christmas ornament found bearing word “Allah,” Muslims outraged, hotel shut down
Germany: Muslim migrants watching Islamic State videos in asylum home
Tunisians protest against return of Islamic State jihad terrorists from abroad
University of Maryland: Muslim students demand prayer rooms in every ‘major building,’ shuttles to local mosque
“They asked me to convert to Islam, but I told them I will die a Christian and they can kill me if they want”
UK: Muslims arrested for jihad plotting “said I had to be a strict Muslim…they were always talking about religion”
Nigeria: Qur’anic School teacher marries off his 13-year-old daughter to 56-year-old man
German pol prevented cops from publishing pics of Berlin jihadi during manhunt for fear of inciting “racial hatred”
UK Muslim used Syria aid convoys to send cash to jihadis to fund jihad massacres
Islamic State burns alive two caged Turkish soldiers
Australia: Islamic Centre in Melbourne linked to Christmas jihad terror plot
Hugh Fitzgerald: Al-Beavis and Al-Butthead, Or, A Plane Is Not a Comedy Club

Links From Christian Today Site for on December 25-26/16
Pope Francis' Christmas Message Calls For End To War
Pope Francis: Christmas Has Been 'Taken Hostage'
Israel To Reassess UN Ties After Vote Condemning Settlements
Archbishop Of Canterbury: God's Glory Is Found Among Persecuted Christians
Queen's Speech: Jesus Christ's Example Shows Me Value Of 'Small Things With Great Love'
Queen Misses Christmas Church For First Time In Nearly 30 Years
Israel To Reassess UN Ties After Vote Condemning Settlements
Iraqi Christians Celebrate First Christmas Since ISIS Driven Out Of Ancient Towns
Laos Christians Exiled And Beaten For Their Faith

Latest Lebanese Related News published on December 25-26/16
President Aoun vows to end vaccuum in public posts

The Daily Star/December 25, 2016/BEIRUT: President Michel Aoun said Sunday that he will be working to end the vacuum in state institutions.  “We will be struggling... to fill the vacancies... in the authorities with competent personnel,” Aoun said in a brief statement following his meeting with Maronite Patriarch Beshara Rai in Bkirki east of Beirut.  When asked by a reporter, Aoun did not specify when the much anticipated electoral law would be endorsed.  Lebanese parties are divided between adopting a proportional vote law or a hybrid electoral law, which includes aspects of the proportional and winner-take-all systems. The current 1960 winner-take-all system, which was used in the 2009 elections, divides the constituencies based on administrative districts.  The Free Patriotic Movement, Hezbollah and Amal Movement have been lobbying for a pure proportional law with Lebanon as a single constituency.  A hybrid law would blend the proportional and winner-takes-all systems with varying electoral constituencies.  Aoun then joined the First Lady to attend the Christmas morning mass.  Later, Rai held a sermon during the mass in which he congratulated believers on the occasion of Christmas.  He also condemned corruption in state institutions and conflicts over appointments in public offices over sectarian backgrounds.  Rai noted the presence of more than 2 million refugees in Lebanon, citing security and economic threats against Lebanon. He, meanwhile, expressed full sympathy for their suffering.  The patriarch urged state institutions and international organizations to ensure a proper solution to the refugee crisis and granting them the right to return to their homelands.  Rai also called on politicians to address the pressing social issues like poverty and the deterioration of living standards, rather than acting for selfish reasons. 

Hariri says vote for Aoun was to safeguard country
The Daily Star/December 25, 2016/BEIRUT: Prime Minister Saad Hariri Sunday said that his endorsement of President Michel Aoun's candidacy was to safeguard the country and to prioritize its interests. "I did what I felt should be done," Hariri told Al-Jadeed TV in an interview. He pointed out that "anyone else would've favored his own interest, but we should always put the interests of the country at the top.""No one is bigger than his country." Hariri said that the important matter is to continue. "We should always look forward and learn from the past."Hariri announced his support for Aoun earlier in October, paving way for the president's election and ending more than two years of vacuum at the country's top Christian post. The PM formed his Cabinet last week and endorsed its policy statement on Saturday. The new government is expected to win a parliamentary vote of confidence next week after lawmakers discuss the policy statement in three consecutive sessions starting Tuesday. 

Raad Says 'Unacceptable' to Bin Proportional Representation over Some Parties' Concerns
Naharnet/December 25/16/Hizbullah's top lawmaker Mohammed Raad announced Sunday that it is “irrational and unacceptable” to bin proposals for passing an electoral law fully based on proportional representation in order to appease some political parties and leaders.
“The new government has a major responsibility, which is devising a new electoral law, because we will not accept the 1960 law and others are also saying they won't accept it. Let this materialize through debating a new electoral law,” Raad, the head of the Loyalty to Resistance bloc, said. “The mandatory path for achieving reform and change in our country is the adoption of a law that reflects the correct, fair and comprehensive representation of the Lebanese people in parliament, and such a law can only be fully based on proportional representation in a single or several expanded electoral districts,” Raad added. Admitting that “some parties have concerns over endorsing a law fully based on proportional representation,” he said the idea should be “discussed,” not “binned.”
Let us discuss these concerns in order to reach a conclusion that proportional representation is a valid system,” the lawmaker went on to say. “It would be irrational and unacceptable to bin a law fully based on proportional representation to appease the concerns of some Lebanese, leaders or groups,” he emphasized. Raad added: “We are concerned with debating others over a law fully based on proportional representation in a single or several expanded electoral districts, the same as we debated the laws that they have proposed.”
“We fear possible settlements and deals that would lead to passing the 1960 law after adding a slight hint of proportional representation to it, in a manner that would mislead the Lebanese public opinion and delude people into thinking that an achievement has been made at the level of the electoral law,” Raad added. “We realize that the Lebanese mosaic and the religious and sectarian components of Lebanon will hinder our endeavor to reach a correct and fair law that achieves satisfactory representation for all Lebanese,” the MP said.
MP Ghazi Aridi of MP Walid Jumblat's Progressive Socialist Party had stressed Wednesday that the PSP “cannot be blackmailed with any electoral law.”“When some parties propose the proportional representation system for sectarian motives, this has nothing to do with proportional representation, because it would not lead to political reform or correct representation in the Lebanese political system,” Aridi said. “We cannot accept that the electoral law be used to intimidate any main political component in the country or to threaten to push it away from the center of political decision-making,” the lawmaker added. A Free Patriotic Movement delegation had announced after talks with Jumblat earlier this month that the PSP leader “did not flatly reject a proportional representation system that takes concerns into consideration and does not eliminate any sectarian component.”Hizbullah has repeatedly called for an electoral law fully based on proportional representation but other political parties, especially al-Mustaqbal Movement, have rejected the proposal and argued that the party's controversial arsenal of arms would prevent serious competition in regions where the Iran-backed party has clout. Mustaqbal, the Lebanese Forces and the PSP have meanwhile proposed a hybrid electoral law that mixes the proportional representation and the winner-takes-all systems. Speaker Nabih Berri has also proposed a hybrid law. The country has not voted for a parliament since 2009, with the legislature instead twice extending its own mandate. The 2009 polls were held under an amended version of the 1960 electoral law and the next elections are scheduled for May 2017.

Al-Rahi Urges 'Comprehensive National Reconciliation', Says Refugees Threat to Stability
Naharnet/December 25/16/Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi on Sunday called for a “comprehensive national reconciliation” in Lebanon and issued an stark warning over the presence of “two million refugees” in the country. “Lebanon cannot rise unless all parties unite their efforts,” al-Rahi said during Christmas Day mass, hailing the formation of the new government “that represents all of the country's components.” “This proves that Lebanon is the land of pluralism and dialogue,” the patriarch added. Addressing President Michel Aoun, who attended the mass, al-Rahi said the country “needs a comprehensive national reconciliation containing the spirit of partnership and love.” Turning to the issue of refugees, the patriarch cautioned that “social security is threatened by the presence of two million refugees” from Syria and Palestine. “They are threatening domestic stability, depriving the Lebanese of vital income, representing a major burden, and subjecting themselves to sectarian, political and terrorist exploitation,” al-Rahi warned. Accordingly, he called for “serious and quick efforts in coordination with the international community to return them to their country and offer them aid there so that they can reclaim their homes, dignity and rights.”

Aude Says Women Should Constitute 'Half' of Cabinet
Naharnet/December 25/16/Greek Orthodox Metropolitan of Beirut Elias Aude on Sunday announced that women should have constituted “half” of the new government that was formed last week.“We hope women will be regarded as citizens with full rights and duties, which means that they must shoulder responsibility alongside men, not behind them, in state institutions and in parliament and Cabinet,” Aude said in a sermon during Christmas Day mass. “It's about time we saw in our parliament dozens of women MPs, in order to become equal not only with the European countries but also with some Arab countries that have outpaced us,” Aude added. “We hope women will be given several portfolios, and why not half the portfolios of Cabinet,” the metropolitan went on to say. Lebanon formed a 30-member government last Sunday with only one woman among its ranks, State Minister for Administrative Development Enaya Ezzeddine. The appointment of a man for a newly-created portfolio, state minister for women's affairs, has raised eyebrows in Lebanon and abroad.

Aoun Visits Bkirki, Says State Institutions Vacancies to be Filled
Naharnet/December 25/16/Michel Aoun announced Sunday that the vacancies in state institutions will soon be filled with “competent” civil servants. “We will do all we can to make the (new) year a good year and we will work seriously and vigorously to achieve what the Lebanese have been waiting for,” Aoun said in a brief statement in Bkirki before taking part in a Christmas Day mass led by Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi. “The vacancies in state institutions will be filled with competent individuals within a reasonable timeframe,” Aoun promised. The president had held a close-door meeting with al-Rahi upon his arrival to Bkirki.

Gunfire during Fatah Official Funeral amid Cautious Calm at Ain el-Hilweh
Naharnet/December 25/16/Gunfire was heard Sunday at the Ain el-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp during the funeral of Fatah Movement official Suleiman Abu al-Nimr, who was killed in a blast Saturday, state-run National News Agency reported. It earlier reported that cautious calm was engulfing the camp after a hand grenade exploded overnight on the camp's al-Fawqani street without causing casualties. A few volleys of machinegun fire were also heard in the morning amid a total closure of shops, NNA said. The violence had first erupted on Wednesday after the assassination of Samr Hmeid, aka Samer Nejmeh, who was a member of the hardline Islamist group Usbat al-Ansar. The assassination has since triggered several rounds of clashes that have resulted in the death of at least five people and the wounding of several others.

Berri Calls al-Rahi as AMAL Delegation Visits Bkirki
Naharnet/December 25/16/Speaker Nabih Berri on Sunday telephoned Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi to offer Christmas greetings as a delegation from his AMAL Movement visited Bkirki for talks with the patriarch, state-run National News Agency said. “In the name of Imam Moussa al-Sadr, the movement's leadership and its chief, Speaker Nabih Berri, we came to the patriarchal seat to offer seasons greetings,” AMAL's central cultural officer Sheikh Hassan Abdullah said from Bkirki. He described the election of a new president and the formation of a new government as promising developments for Lebanon. The delegation also comprised the head of AMAL's Mount Lebanon department, Mohammed Dagher, and Mount Lebanon's cultural officer Sheikh Bassam al-Itawi. “We hope the government will win the vote of confidence in parliament and that state institutions in Lebanon will stabilize through the approval of an electoral law based on proportional representation, which would meet the aspirations of the Lebanese and give everyone the right to vote and be represented,” Abdullah added. Ties between Berri and al-Rahi had witnessed some tensions prior to the election of President Michel Aoun and the formation of the new government. Al-Rahi had criticized Berri's call for a so-called package deal that precedes the presidential election and he later criticized some parties' insistence on certain ministerial portfolios after Berri and the Marada Movement refused to give up the finance and public works portfolios.

Hariri: Lebanon Today in a Better Situation
Naharnet/December 25/16/Prime Minister Saad Hariri announced Sunday that the situation in the country improved after his appointment as premier and the election of General Michel Aoun as president.“Lebanon today is in a better situation and we hope to start working on improving things after the government wins the vote of confidence in parliament,” Hariri added. Lebanon acquired a new 30-minister government last Sunday which brought together the entire political spectrum except for the Kataeb Party that rejected to be represented by a state minister. The government was formed six weeks after the election of Aoun. New portfolios include an anti-corruption post and, for the first time, a minister of state for women's affairs. Hariri's appointment and Aoun's election after two and a half years of presidential vacuum have raised hopes that Lebanon can begin tackling challenges including a stagnant economy, a moribund political class and the influx of more than a million Syrian refugees. The government agreed on its policy statement on Saturday and it is expected to win a vote of confidence during the parliamentary sessions that will be held on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

Report: Concerns over Iraq-Like Parliamentary Legalization of Hizbullah Forces
Naharnet/December 25/16/Concerns have surfaced that Hizbullah might be seeking an electoral law that allows it and its allies to take the parliamentary majority in a manner that would enable them to legalize Hizbullah's presence as a paramilitary force, a media report said on Sunday. “The ministers of the Lebanese Forces have been the most concerned over how to deal with the issue of the resistance in the policy statement and the calls for an electoral law fully based on proportional representation,” the Kuwaiti al-Anbaa newspaper quoted unnamed sources as saying. “Some circles have concerns that there are efforts to seize control of parliament, in the vein of what happened in the government, in a manner similar to the situation in Iraq,” the sources added, referring to the Iraqi parliament's legalization of the Shiite-led Popular Mobilization Forces. On November 26, the Iraqi parliament passed a bill recognizing the PMF, also known as Hashed al-Shaabi, as a government entity operating alongside the military. LF's ministers had on Saturday voiced reservations over a clause pertaining to resistance against Israel in the policy statement of the new government.

Berri Calls Parliament to Convene Next Week to Discuss Policy Statement
Naharnet/December 25/16/Speaker Nabih Berri called the parliament on Saturday to convene next week in order to discuss the government policy statement, the National News Agency reported. Berri called the lawmakers for meetings over three consecutive days starting Tuesday through Thursday where the meetings will begin at 11:00 a.m. The cabinet will be subject to a vote of confidence after the policy statement was approved by the council of ministers Saturday. The statement was approved amid some reservations expressed by the Lebanese Forces and State Minister Michel Pharaon over a clause on the so called “role of the resistance” in confronting Israel.

Hezbollah’s ties with Russia in Syria alarm Israelis
Nicholas Blanford/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/2016/12/25/nicholas-blanfordthe-arab-weekly-hezbollahs-ties-with-russia-in-syria-alarm-israelis/
Lebanese group’s own de­velopment in Syrian war is expected to expand further through growing tactical ties to Russian forces in Syria.
Hezbollah fighter looking towards Syria while standing in fields of border village of Brital
Beirut - Hezbollah’s importance in Syria has been en­hanced by the role its battle-hardened forces and its patron, Iran, are playing in reshaping the badly bat­tered Syrian Army from a conven­tional force structured to fight Isra­el to one more suited to the largely asymmetric Syrian conflict.
The Lebanese group’s own de­velopment in the Syrian war from a guerrilla organisation to a force more akin to a conventional army with tanks, artillery and drones is expected to expand further through growing tactical ties to Russian forces in Syria.
This has not gone unnoticed by Israel, which is concerned that Rus­sian influence on improving Hez­bollah’s combat capabilities could have ramifications for the Lebanese group’s enduring confrontation with the Jewish state.
While Hezbollah is passing on its own skill set to Syrian military for­mations, it is also looking to aug­ment its martial prowess by asso­ciation with Russian special forces units such as the elite Spetsnaz.
Lebanon’s Al Akhbar newspaper reported on November 24th that Russian officers and Hezbollah field commanders had met for the first time a week earlier at the Russians’ initiative. Previously, interaction between Russia’s military and Hez­bollah was limited to the operations rooms in Damascus and Baghdad, Al Akhbar said.
The Russians have been im­pressed with Hezbollah’s perfor­mance in Aleppo and now want to coordinate on a tactical level.
Abu Khalil, a veteran Hezbol­lah fighter, said it and “the cream of the Russian army”, specifically special forces and anti-tank missile teams, have been fighting together in Aleppo.
 “If you play with a good football team, you’ll learn something from them. We’re learning from them and they’re learning from us,” he observed.
 Israeli military officials are con­cerned that the battlefield experi­ences a new generation of Hez­bollah fighters are accruing in the Syrian cauldron and the operational lessons they learn from Russian forces could be used against the country.
 A report by Israel’s National Secu­rity Council warned that Hezbollah could develop skills from the Rus­sians in electronic warfare, training and commando operations.
 “Massive training in the tech­niques of Spetsnaz could consider­ably improve the general readiness of Hezbollah and its ability to deal with Israeli special units that pen­etrate into different theatres,” the report said.
 It is not clear how Iran, Hezbol­lah’s patron and paymaster, views the tactical cooperation between Russia and the Lebanese group, a move that supposedly would ex­pand Moscow’s control of the Syr­ian battlefield. But it must be as­sumed that Tehran has approved the development even though Rus­sia and Iran have divergent strategic objectives in Syria. So the emerging Russia-Hezbollah partnership may be limited.
 Nonetheless, if Hezbollah learns new war-fighting techniques that one day might be used against Is­rael, Tehran should have no reason to object to the new arrangement even if it adds another layer of com­plexity to an already bewildering conflict.
 Hezbollah is helping Syria rebuild its battered army, whose armoured and mechanised divisions have largely disintegrated after nearly six years of casualties, desertions and exhaustion.
 What has emerged is a leaner amalgam of military units fighting alongside foreign paramilitary forc­es, such as Hezbollah and Iraqi, Af­ghan and Pakistani Shia militias and some Russian infantry and special forces units.
 Hezbollah’s well-trained fighters have spearheaded many successful offensives but relations between Syrian troops and Hezbollah fight­ers have never been strong and appear to be deteriorating further even as the regime is making major battlefield gains.
 Hezbollah men have long grum­bled about ill-disciplined and un­trustworthy Syrian troops.
 “A Syr­ian soldier will happily take $10 and shoot us in the back,” Abu Khalil said.
 Today, Syrian units often take orders from Hezbollah command­ers and this is breeding resentment among Syrian officers. Sources close to Hezbollah said that in late November, Hezbollah fighters and Syrian soldiers fought each other in Aleppo using machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades.
 The dispute was triggered by a Syrian officer embarrassed at being given orders in front of his men by a young Hezbollah fighter.
 These intra-loyalist tensions probably do not pose a long-term risk to the durability of the pro- Assad military alliance but they do illustrate Hezbollah’s growing bat­tlefield influence.
 To ameliorate the perceived unre­liability of the Syrian Army and its chronic manpower shortage, Irani­an forces and Hezbollah have built a parallel military structure that falls largely under their command.
 Iran helped establish, train and fund the National Defence Force militia, thought to number 80,000 volunteers and used mainly to gar­rison areas conquered by the re­gime.
 In November, the Syrian Army announced plans to form a new commando force, the Fifth Attack Troops Corps of Volunteers. Leba­non’s As Safir newspaper reported that Hezbollah field commanders would play a major role in leading this unit.
 Over the past year, Hezbollah has trained a new 50,000-strong unit of Syrian volunteers in Qusayr in Homs province, which has become a major military base for the move­ment since it defeated rebels there in June 2013.
 Nicholas Blanford is the author of Warriors of God: Inside Hezbollah’s Thirty-Year Struggle Against Israel (Random House 2011). He lives in Beirut

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on December 25-26/16
Pope Says Israelis, Palestinians Must 'Write New Page of History'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/December 25/16/Pope Francis on Sunday hoped for peace between Israelis and Palestinians as he gave his Christmas address, urging the two sides to "write a new page of history." "Peace to women and men of the beloved Holy Land, the land chosen and favored by God," the pontiff told crowds at the Vatican in his traditional "Urbi et Orbi" (To the City and The World) message. "May Israelis and Palestinians have the courage and the determination to write a new page of history, where hate and revenge give way to the will to build together a future of mutual understanding and harmony."

High-Security Christmas in Europe as Pope Comforts Terror Victims
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/December 25/16/Pope Francis urged peace in the Middle East as tens of thousands gathered to hear his Christmas address Sunday, while offering comfort to victims of terrorism after a year of bloody jihadist attacks.
The 80-year-old Argentine called for guns to fall silent in Syria, saying "far too much blood has been spilled" in the nearly six-year conflict. And he urged Israelis and Palestinians to "have the courage and the determination to write a new page of history" in his message from the balcony of Saint Peter's Basilica to a crowd of 40,000 gathered in the square below which, despite the sunny weather, was far from full. As Europe ramped up security for the holiday just days after the truck attack that left 12 dead at a Berlin Christmas market, the leader of the world's 1.2 billion Catholics said he hoped for "peace to those who have lost a person dear to them as a result of brutal acts of terrorism."In Milan, where suspected Berlin attacker Anis Amri was killed in a police shootout on Friday, there was a heavy police presence around the cathedral. The entrance has been protected by concrete barriers since the Berlin attack. In France, where Berlin has raised grim memories of the jihadist truck rampage in June that left 86 people dead, 91,000 members of the security forces have been deployed to guard public spaces including churches and markets over the weekend. Religious ceremonies in Germany were heavy with the weight of Monday's attack, which was claimed by the Islamic State group. "Christmas this year carries a deep wound -- we are celebrating this festival in a different way this year," said Gebhard Fuerst, bishop of Rothenburg in the southeast. But Baden bishop Jochen Cornelius-Bundschuh offered a note of hope. "At Christmas, a light shines in the world -- it shines in powerful darknesses like those we have seen in recent years with the horror of war, civil war and terrorist attacks," he said.
'Closed doors, defended borders'
In Israel, security was
tight for Christmas celebrations coinciding with the Jewish festival of Hanukkah. Some 2,500 worshipers packed the Church of the Nativity complex, built over the grotto where Christians believe Jesus was born, for midnight mass in Bethlehem in the Israeli-occupied West Bank. Archbishop Pierbattista Pizzaballa used his homily there to plead for compassion for refugees and for a halt to the violence wracking the Middle East. "We fear the stranger who knocks at the door of our home and at the borders of our countries," he said. "Closed doors, defended borders, before personal and political choices, are a metaphor for the fear that inevitably breed the violent dynamics of the present time."Pope Francis struck a similar tone in his Christmas Eve mass, urging a 10,000-strong crowd in St. Peter's Square to feel compassion for children, notably victims of war, migration and homelessness. Justin Welby, the Archbishop of Canterbury who leads the world's Anglicans, meanwhile said 2016 had left the world more divided and fearful. "The end of 2016 finds us all in a different kind of world; one less predictable and certain, which feels more awash with fear and division," he was due to say in his sermon Sunday.
Icy swim, meat auction
Queen Elizabeth II missed the Christmas Day church service attended by the British royal family as she suffered from a heavy cold, Buckingham Palace said. The 90-year-old, who is the supreme governor of the Church of England, will join in the family festivities later in the day.
In London, meat-lovers converged on Smithfield Market for the traditional Christmas Eve auction at butcher Harts, waving banknotes in the air as they bid on turkeys, pork cuts and rump steaks. Elsewhere in the world, despite the security fears, many were braving winter temperatures to take part in traditional revelry. Among them some 30 hardy Slovaks participated in a winter swim at Bratislava's Zlate Piesky lake, some drinking beer in the nearly freezing water. But in the world's conflict-torn countries, there were reminders of the violence that has ravaged the world this year. Christians in Syria's Aleppo were preparing for Christmas services after President Bashar Assad's forces retook full control of the ruined former economic hub. The Old City's Saint Elias Cathedral, its roof collapsed under rocket fire, was set to host its first Christmas mass in five years. And in Bartalla, near the Iraqi city of Mosul, Christians filled the pews of the fire-scarred Mar Shimoni church for the first service since the town was retaken from IS jihadists who had seized it in 2014. In the mostly Catholic Philippines, a blast ripped through a police car outside a church as worshipers were arriving for a Christmas Eve mass south of Manila, injuring 13 people.

Syria-Bound Russian Military Jet Crashes with 92 Onboard

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/December 25/16/A Russian military plane heading to Syria crashed into the Black Sea on Sunday, with no sign of survivors among the 92 on board, including Red Army Choir members on their way to celebrate the New Year with troops.
The Tu-154 plane went down shortly after taking off from the southern city of Adler where it had been refueling, defense ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov said in a briefing broadcast on the ministry's website. It disappeared from radar just two minutes after it took off at 5:25 am (0225 GMT). The ministry told agencies there was no sign of any survivors at the crash site and that 10 bodies had been recovered off the coast of the resort city of Sochi, as authorities pledged to dispatch more than 100 divers to aid in the search. "Fragments of the Tu-154 plane of the Russian defense ministry were found 1.5 kilometers (0.9 miles) from the Black Sea coast of the city of Sochi at a depth of 50 to 70 meters (165 to 230 feet)," the ministry said. President Vladimir Putin told state television that Russia will observe a national day of mourning on Monday. The plane had been on a routine flight to Russia's Hmeimim air base in western Syria, which has been used to launch air strikes in Moscow's military campaign supporting its ally President Bashar Assad in the country's devastating civil war.
Among the plane's 84 passengers were Russian servicemen as well as 64 members of the Alexandrov Ensemble, the army's official musical group also known as the Red Army Choir, and its conductor Valery Khalilov. They were headed to Syria to participate in New Year celebrations at the air base. Authorities have not put forward any possible causes of the crash. A number of unnamed sources have provided news agencies with conflicting theories about the crash, but terrorism has so far not been invoked as a possible cause. The passengers also included nine journalists, with state-run channels Pervy Kanal, NTV and Zvezda saying they each had three staff onboard the flight. There were also eight crew members, the ministry said. A list of passengers published by the defense ministry also included Elizaveta Glinka, a doctor and charity worker who serves on the Kremlin human rights council.
Probing cause of crash
Mikhail Fedotov, who heads the council, said Glinka was traveling to Syria to bring medication to a university hospital in the coastal city of Latakia near the air base, agencies reported. Assad, as well as German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim and the U.S. Embassy in Moscow, expressed condolences over the crash. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that Putin was being kept updated on the search operation and was in constant contact with Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu. Konashenkov said that deputy defense minister Pavel Popov had flown to Adler along with a team tasked with clarifying the circumstances surrounding the crash. He later added that 32 ships, 80 divers, five helicopters and drones had been dispatched to the area to take part in the search operation. Transport Minister Maxim Sokolov, who is heading a state commission probing the crash, arrived in Sochi on Sunday evening, his ministry said, adding that the bodies recovered from the crash site would be sent to Moscow for identification. Konashenkov said that the aircraft had been in service since 1983 and had flown some 7,000 hours since. The plane last underwent repairs in December 2014 and was serviced in September, he said. Russia's Investigative Committee said a criminal probe had been launched to determine whether violations of air transportation safety had led to the crash.
Indefinite deployment -
Investigators are currently questioning the technical personnel responsible for preparing the plane for take-off, the committee said. Tu-154 aircraft have been involved in a number of accidents in the past. In April 2010 many high-ranking Polish officials, including then president Lech Kaczynski, were killed when a Tu-154 airliner went down in thick fog while approaching Smolensk airport in western Russia. Moscow has been conducting a bombing campaign in Syria in support of Assad since September 2015 and has taken steps to boost its presence in the country. In October, Putin approved a law ratifying Moscow's deal with Damascus to deploy its forces in the country indefinitely, firming up Russia's long-term presence in Syria.
Russian warplanes have flown out of the Hmeimim base to conduct air strikes, and the base is also home to an S-400 air defense system.

Pakistan issues nuclear warning to Israel in response to 'fake news' story
Matt Broomfield/Independent/December 25/16/The Defence Minister of Pakistan has issued a reminder to Israel of his country's nuclear capability, in apparent response to a false news story. Khawaja Muhammad Asif said in a tweet: "Israeli [Defence Minister] threatens nuclear retaliation presuming [Pakistani] role in Syria against Daesh. Israel forgets Pakistan is a Nuclear state too."Pakistan has remained relatively neutral in the Syrian civil war, though they have placed themselves on the side of the Assad regime, with their Foreign Secretary saying the world's sixth-largest country is "against foreign military intervention in Syria." But a fake story published on the website AWDnews falsely suggested that Pakistan planned to "send ground troops to Syria as part of an international coalition to fight against Islamic State". The anonymously-authored story then features an apparently invented quote from former Israeli defence minister Moshe Yaalon, who resigned in May this year, sayig: "If, by misfortune, they arrive in Syria... we will destroy them with a nuclear attack." It is this story, which also includes a fabricated quote from the Pakistani Foreign Minister, which seemingly prompted Mr Asif's tweet. The Israeli Ministry of Defence replied with a tweet of its own, pointing out the story was "completely fictitious". Pakistan is one of nine states officially considered to possess nuclear weapons, with its stockpile estimated at around 130 warheads. Israel, on the other hand, neither confirms nor denies having nuclear weapons. However, it is widely believed to have an unofficial stockpile, with one tally estimating the country has around 80 weapons.Mr Asif has previously warned he will use his country's nuclear capability to "annihilate" India "if our safety is threatened". He issued that threat in September of this year, during ongoing violence in the disputed Kashmir border region. Some of the news stories on the AWDnews site are legitimate. Others include "CIA created ISIS", "Foreign minister of Israel revealed that she practised sex with several Arab personalities in order to engage in sex scandals", and a warning from Vladimir Putin that he will "defeat the Illuminati with his bare hands". 

Tunisia Security Forces Warn of Returning Jihadis
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/December 25/16/Tunisia's security forces called on the government Sunday to take "exceptional measures" to combat the return of jihadists fighting for extremist groups abroad.
Tunisia has witnessed a wave of jihadist attacks since its 2011 revolution, including on foreign tourists, and the United Nations estimates that their are more than 5,000 Tunisians fighting for extremist outfits, mainly in Iraq and Syria. "The return of terrorists from hotbeds of unrest in Tunisia is worrying and could lead to the Somalization of the country," said a statement from the internal security forces' national union. Battle-hardened fighters "have received military training and have learnt to use all sorts of sophisticated weapons," it added. The warning came a day after Tunisian authorities said they had arrested three people including the nephew of Anis Amri, a national suspected of carrying out a deadly truck attack on a Berlin Christmas market this week. Hundreds of people gathered outside parliament in Tunis on Saturday to protest against letting jihadists back in the country. President Beji Caid Essebsi said earlier this month that Tunisia would refuse to pardon Tunisians who fight for jihadist organizations. "Many of them want to return, and we can't prevent a Tunisian from returning to his country," he told AFP, "but we will be vigilant."Following a storm of criticism in the press and on social media, on December 15 he told Tunisian local television that "we will not be indulgent with the terrorists."On Friday evening, the country's Interior Minister Hedi Majdoub told parliament 800 Tunisian nationals who had fought for extremist groups abroad had since returned to the country.

Russian military plane ‘carrying 92’ crashes
 Agencies Sunday, 25 December 2016/A Russian Defence Ministry TU-154 plane that had disappeared from radar over the Black Sea with 92 people on board has crashed, the Interfax news agency reported on Sunday, citing an unidentified source. A rescue team had found the crash site in the Black Sea near the coast of the Sochi, Interfax said. Other Russian news agencies reported earlier that the Russian aircraft had disappeared from radar soon after taking off from Sochi, a Black Sea resort town. The plane had disappeared from radar just minutes after take-off from Sochi, the BBC reported, citing Russian media sources. Sources at the defense ministry said that there were 84 passengers and 8 crew members on board.
 Fragments found
 Fragments of the plane have already been found at a depth of 50-70 metres at a distance of around 1.5 kilometres (0.93 miles)from the Russian coast, agencies reported. Russia's RIA news agency, citing an unidentified security source, said preliminary data indicated that the plane had crashed because of a technical malfunction or a pilot error. The Interfax news agency cited an unnamed source as saying the plane had not sent an SOS signal. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Sunday it was too early to say what had caused the crash. President Vladimir Putin was being kept informed of latest developments, Peskov added. More than 60 members of the internationally-renowned Red Army Choir were on board, Russia's defence ministry said. A list of passengers and crew published by the ministry showed that 64 members of the Alexandrov Ensemble, the army's official musical group, and its conductor Valery Khalilov were on board the Tu-154 traveling to Syria to celebrate the New Year with Russian troops. Russia's Defence Ministry regularly flies musicians into Syria to put on concerts for military personnel. The base they were heading for, Hmeymim, is in Latakia province. It is from there that Russia flies air strikes against Syrian rebels. Earlier in December, another Russian Defence Ministry crashed in Siberia with 39 people on board as it tried to make an emergency landing near a Soviet-era military base. Nobody was been killed in that incident, though 32 people were airlifted to hospital.  
 
Sixteen hurt in Christmas eve blast at Catholic church in Philippines
MANILA, Dec 24 (Reuters) - Sixteen people were wounded in a grenade explosion outside a Catholic church during a Christmas eve mass in the Philippines' restive southern island of Mindanao, a priest and police said on Saturday.  Security forces across Southeast Asia are on alert ahead of the Christmas and New Year holidays, as police in Australia and Indonesia said they had foiled bomb plots and Malaysian security forces arrested suspected militants.  No group has claimed responsibility for the Mindanao attack, but Muslim rebels and Islamist extremists are known to be active in the province, where there have been blasts in the past.  Bernardo Tayong, Midsayap town police chief, said most of the injured had been standing outside the Sto. Nino parish church in Midsayap town, North Cotabato.  Father Jay Virador said the blast sent the congregation fleeing.
 "There was no more concluding prayers as there was a commotion," Virador said. "People hurriedly left the Church."  One police officer was wounded because he was standing near a patrol car where the grenade exploded, about 30 metres from the church entrance, Tayong said.
 Tayong said bomb experts were still at the site. There were reports that another grenade or improvised bomb was also left in the area. "Our details are sketchy yet," he said.  The U.S. embassy in Manila said citizens had been warned against travelling to volatile southern islands due to kidnapping and bombing threats.  In September, 14 people died and 70 were wounded when an improvised bomb exploded in a crowded market in Davao City, hometown of President Rodrigo Duterte. Nine people, who were linked to an Islamic State militant-affiliated group have been arrested for the attack.  (Reporting by Manuel Mogato; Editing by Susan Thomas) 
 
Iraq patriarch urges protection for displaced Christians
Baghdad (AFP) - 25 December/16/The patriarch of Iraq's Chaldean Catholic Church has appealed for international protection to help Iraqi Christians displaced by war return to their homes. Tens of thousands of Christians fled northern Iraqi towns in 2014 as the Islamic State group seized second city Mosul and swathes of the surrounding Nineveh province. Iraqi forces launched a massive offensive on October 17 to oust the jihadists from their last Iraqi stronghold. "There was great joy among Christians at the start of the liberation of Nineveh," Patriarch Louis Raphael Sako told AFP on Saturday. "But as the battle continues, they are waiting with fear as well as hope," he said. Iraqi fighters backed by an international coalition have retaken parts of Mosul but are facing fierce resistance from jihadists defending their last Iraqi stronghold.
While the group has been ousted from several Christian-majority towns, others such as Tal Kayf, 15 kilometres (nine miles) north of Mosul, are still in jihadist hands. "In the liberated villages, the damage is immense. I have visited these villages, they are 30 to 40 percent destroyed," Sako said. "The churches have been damaged, the streets and the infrastructure too."But he warned that IS must be ousted from Mosul itself before Christians can safely return. "If Mosul is not liberated, Daesh will be able to infiltrate villages and sow panic," he said, using an Arabic acronym for the group. He urged Christians not to join militias such as the Babylon Brigade, a Christian unit within the Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilisation) a loose grouping of mainly Shiite paramilitary groups including several backed by Iran. "If Christians want to protect their towns, they should join the army or the (Kurdish) peshmerga," Sako said. "The militias, it's anarchy."
 Christian exodus
 Iraq had well over a million Christians before the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, but the population has dwindled to just 350,000 as sectarian violence wracked the country. The majority of those who remain are Chaldeans, an eastern Christian community affiliated with the Roman Catholic Church with roots in northern Iraq. The jihadist occupation of Nineveh and much of western Iraq in 2014 accelerated the exodus. IS presented Christians with a grim choice: conversion, a heavy tax, exile or death. Around 120,000 fled. Sako said they needed protection if they were to return to areas formerly occupied by the jihadists. "We have demanded guarantees from the international community," he said. "There should be some kind of UN or European Union office to monitor things, rather than throwing people unprotected into their villages where they risk being threatened by their neighbours."He suggested that European countries each take charge of reconstructing a village or town. "That would encourage inhabitants who have sought refuge in Europe to go home," he said. He called for a national dialogue to reconcile Iraq's mosaic of sects and ethnicities, saying Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi's Shiite-dominated government and Muslim religious authorities had changed their discourse. "(Muslim) religious authorities have said that it is good to celebrate Christmas with the Christians," he said.
  
Russian jets bolster raids on rebel-held Idlib and rural Aleppo
Reuters Sunday, 25 December 2016/Russian jets stepped up strikes on several towns in Syria's rebel-held Idlib province and rural Aleppo two days after the evacuation of rebels from their last pocket in the northern city of Aleppo, rebels and residents said on Saturday. They said at least eight strikes targeted Binish, Saraqeb and Jisr al Shaqour - main towns in the northwestern Syrian province of Idlib. There were reports of several casualties, mainly among civilians. Idlib province for months has been a target of Russia's heavy bombing campaign against rebel-held areas. It came even while the former eastern part of Aleppo under insurgent control faced an escalation in aerial raids and shelling until its defenses collapsed and the rebels were forced to agree to an evacuation deal. The Syrian army has hinted the next major campaign after its victory in Aleppo was to rout insurgents in their stronghold of Idlib province, where mainly Islamist brigades operating under a coalition known as Jaish al Fateh are in control. Residents and rebels said Russian and Syrian jets also staged heavy strikes on rebel-held parts of western and southern parts of rural Aleppo for the second day since the last rebels left their remaining pocket of territory in Aleppo city. They raided the town of Khan al Asal, about 14 km (9 miles) west of Aleppo, with cluster bombs while several strikes hit Hreitan and Andan, according to a rebel fighter from Jaish al Mujahdeen. The nearby town of Atareb was also hit. Although the Syrian army, with the help of Iranian-backed militias, was able to take full control of Aleppo city after Russia conducted hundreds of raids that pulverized rebel-held parts, large swathes of western and southern Aleppo countryside remain in rebel hands. Rebels said they repelled an Iranian-backed militia assault on Saturday to gain ground in the Rashideen area, west of Aleppo city.  The Syrian army continued to comb areas in eastern Aleppo that fell under its control on Thursday. The Lebanese Hizbollah- run military news service said weapons caches left by insurgents exploded, causing two deaths and wounding scores.

Trump: UN vote makes peace talks 'much harder'
 AFP/Ynetnews/December 25/16/US president-elect posted on Twitter that the vote constituted a 'big loss' for peace negotiations, but vowed that 'we will get it done anyway'; Trump also reiterated last week that Washington should use veto to block resolution.  US President-elect Donald Trump said Saturday that the UN vote demanding Israel halt settlements in the West Bank and declaring all those built thus far illegal—including those in eastern Jerusalem—would make a peace deal "much harder," but said it could happen anyway.  "The big loss yesterday for Israel in the United Nations will make it much harder to negotiate peace. Too bad, but we will get it done anyway!" Trump said in a message on Twitter. The US's decision to abstain from the vote, thereby enabling its passage, marked a stark departure from long-standing US policy to veto anti-Israel resolutions in the world body. The US abstention meant the adoption of the first UN resolution since 1979 to condemn Israel over its settlement policy. By deciding not to veto the move, the US took a rare step that deeply angered Israel, which accused President Barack Obama of abandoning its closest Middle East ally in the waning days of his administration. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected the resolution as a "shameful blow against Israel at the United Nations." Trump, who campaigned on a promise to recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital, had bluntly said Thursday that Washington should use its veto to block the resolution. "As the United States has long maintained, peace between the Israelis and the Palestinians will only come through direct negotiations between the parties, and not through the imposition of terms by the United Nations," he said in a statement. Trump has chosen as ambassador to Israel David Friedman, who has said Washington will not pressure Israel to curtail settlement building in the West Bank

Israel Strikes Back after U.N. Settlement Vote
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/December 25/16/Israel on Sunday summoned representatives of states that supported a U.N. resolution demanding it halt settlement activity, while cutting civilian coordination with Palestinians by way of rebuke. Foreign ministry spokesman Emmanuel Nahshon said that the 14 envoys of U.N. Security Council members will visit the ministry in Jerusalem throughout the day.The Council passed the measure Friday after the United States abstained, enabling the adoption of the first resolution since 1979 to condemn Israel over its settlement policy. The U.S. envoy was not summoned. The resolution demands "Israel immediately and completely cease all settlement activities in the occupied Palestinian territory, including east Jerusalem." It says settlements have "no legal validity" and are "dangerously imperiling the viability of the two-state solution." Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who had rejected the resolution as a "shameful blow against Israel," repeated on Sunday the Israeli claim that U.S. President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry were behind the resolution. "We have no doubt that the Obama administration initiated it, stood behind it, coordinated the drafts and demanded to pass it," Netanyahu said at the beginning of the weekly cabinet meeting. "This is of course in total contradiction to the traditional American policy of not trying to impose conditions of a final resolution," Netanyahu said, "and of course the explicit commitment of President Obama himself in 2011 to avoid such measures." While the resolution contains no sanctions, Israeli officials are concerned it could widen the possibility of prosecution at the International Criminal Court. They are also worried it could encourage some countries to impose sanctions against Israeli settlers and goods produced in the settlements. Earlier on Sunday, army radio reported that Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman ordered the Israeli security establishment to cease to all cooperation on civilian matters with the Palestinians, while retaining security coordination.
Israeli officials refused to comment on the report. The measures taken Sunday join Netanyahu's order to review engagements at the United Nations, including funding for U.N. agencies and the presence of U.N. representatives in Israel. Rightwing Public Security Minister Gilad Erdan said Saturday night that Israel should "announce a full annexation of settlement blocs" in response to the resolution. Education Minister Naftali Bennett of the far-right Jewish Home told army radio that his party would "soon propose a bill to annex Maale Adumim," a settlement city east of Jerusalem.
 
Netanyahu fumes at ‘shameful, biased’ UN vote
AFP, Jerusalem Sunday, 25 December 2016/Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Saturday rejected a UN resolution demanding a halt to Israeli settlements in the occupied Palestinian territories. "The decision that was taken was biased and shameful, but we will withstand it," he said in his first official reaction since Friday's Security Council vote. "It will take time, but this decision will be annulled," he said at a Hanukkah candle-lighting ceremony broadcast by Israeli television. The council passed the measure after the United States abstained, enabling the adoption of the first UN resolution since 1979 to condemn Israel over its settlement policy. Netanyahu hit out at the administration of US President Barack Obama, accusing it of striking a "shameful blow against Israel at the United Nations". He said Obama had broken a long-standing US commitment not to "dictate the terms of peace to Israel" at the UN body. Netanyahu added he had given Israel's foreign minister a month to review "all Israel's engagements at the UN, including Israeli funding for UN agencies and the presence in Israel of UN representatives".
 
Putin, Rowhani welcome Aleppo ‘victory’
AFP, Tehran Sunday, 25 December 2016/Iran’s President Hassan Rowhani and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin welcomed the “Syrian army’s victory against the terrorists in Aleppo” during a late-night phone call, Iranian media reported on Sunday.  “The Syrian army’s victory sends a message that the terrorists cannot achieve their objectives. We must stop terrorists using the ceasefire to rebuild their forces and create new bases in other regions of Syria,” Rowhani said following the call on Saturday night, according to a statement published by state media. Putin also welcomed the defeat of rebel forces in Syria’s second city and said cooperation between Tehran and Moscow “will continue”. They said peace talks would take place in Kazakhstan, without providing further details.  Iran and Russia have been the key backers of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and label all rebel forces in the country as “terrorists.”“The result of this cooperation is a major victory in the fight against international terrorism,” added Putin. Syrian troops this week retook control of eastern Aleppo, which has been held by disparate rebel groups since mid-2012, after a devastating month-long offensive that has caused tens of thousands of refugees to flee their homes. Russia’s entry into the conflict in September 2015 - primarily through air strikes - helped turn the tide for Assad, while Iran has provided military advisors and frontline “volunteer” fighters.
 
Saudis among other Arabs arrested in US immigration sting
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English Sunday, 25 December 2016/Saudi, Jordanian, Iraqi and Lebanese citizens were among 74 foreign nationals arrested in an operation carried out by the US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) across Michigan and Ohio.  “Those arrested had criminal histories with past convictions for drug trafficking, DUI, weapons violations, fraud, domestic violence, burglary and other serious criminal offenses. Four of those taken into custody were criminal aliens who now face federal prosecution for re-entry after deportation, a felony punishable by up to 20 years in prison,” an ICE statement said this week. Those who are not being criminally prosecuted will be processed administratively for removal from the United States. The arrestees who have outstanding orders of deportation, or who returned to the United States illegally after being deported, are subject to immediate removal from the country. "Targeted immigration enforcement operations like this one highlight ICE’s ongoing commitment to strategically use agency resources to make communities safer," said Rebecca Adducci, field office director for ERO Detroit, which covers Michigan and Ohio."These actions focus our resources on the most egregious offenders and promote public safety in the communities in which we live and work.”The foreign nationals arrested during the operation include citizens of 18 countries, including Mexico, Guatemala, Bosnia, Burma, Honduras, Ecuador, Bhutan, El Salvador, Jamaica, Iraq, Venezuela, Jordan, Ukraine, Pakistan, Lebanon, Zambia, Saudi Arabia, and Germany. The remaining individuals are in ICE custody awaiting a hearing before an immigration judge, or pending travel arrangements for removal in the near future. 

Syrian Opposition and the Iranian Resistance Held a Joint Demonstration in Paris
NCRI - on Saturday, December 24 a rally was held in front of the Iranian regime's embassy in Paris at the invitation of ‘Syrian Revolution coordination’. In this demonstration hundreds of Syrian people and the members and supporters of the Iranian resistance participated in order to protest the crimes against humanity which has been committed against heroic people of Aleppo by Bashar Assad and Iran regime’s forces and mercenaries, as well as condemning the attempts of the Iranian Guard blocking the evacuation of civilians and militants from East Aleppo. The protesters waved flags of the Syrian revolution and the flags of the Iranian resistance, as well as slogans against Khamenei and Bashar al-Assad and the need to be held accountable before international courts. Protesters chanted slogans like: “ Down with Bashar Assad” and “Down with Khamenei”, “Long live the Syrian revolution, long live the Free Syrian Army”, “expel the mullahs guards and militia mercenaries from Syria,” Khamenei and Assad are the butchers of Syrian people are war criminals and must be submitted to justice. The protesters also carried banners like: "Maryam Rajavi: Aleppo is the icon of suffering and steadfastness in the world, Aleppo will not kneel and will rise again, free, tall and full of pride » Maryam Rajavi: Aleppo is the icon of steadfastness and eternal flame of resistance and a source of inspiration for all freedom loving people, « Assad and Khamenei have committed the greatest crimes against humanity in the 21st century in Aleppo and must stand trial »,« Aleppo is the heart of the eternal resistance and will rise from the ruins and will be the herald of the demise of the mullahs all over the region. Participants in the rally chanted slogans "Khamenei is a Murderer", "Bashar is a murderer", "We must end the silence over the massacres in Syria" and "Syria will not kneel," "the people will not tolerate”. In this rally some Syrian, Iranian and French figures spoke on this occasion. Mr. Ahmed Drickznla General Coordinator of the Syrian community in Paris, stressed on the unity of the Syrian and Iranian people and their resistance in the face of two dictatorships ruling on the two countries. His Excellency Bishop Jacques Gaillot , whose presence in the rally on the Christmas Eve was not expected, surprisingly joined the demonstrators and gave a lecture in support of the Syrian and Iranian people and their heroic resistance against dictators and prayed for them. Mr. Asadolahi read the special message of Iranian political prisoners to Syrian people, On behalf of the Iranian resistance, Ms. Zolal Habibi, member of PMOI Central Council made a speech, following is the full text of her speech.
Dear friends, comrades,
We are gathered here today to voice our solidarity with the brave steadfast people of Syria in their struggle for freedom.
And from here we salute the brave people of Aleppo; Aleppo which President-elect of the NCRI, Maryam Rajavi rightly called the eternal symbol of resistance and an inspiration to the people of the region and all freedom seeking people striving to liberate themselves from the oppression of the religious dictatorship ruling Iran and its mercenaries. Today we witness the destruction of Syria on day to day basis via social media, it was evident in recent weeks that Aleppo was occupied by the IRGC and its mercenaries, with over 25000 militias on the ground; while the international community idly sat by and turned a blind eye on the situation on the ground in Syria; this inaction against the greatest carnage and crime against humanity in the 21st century is an inerasable stain, a shame and a mockery of the international community. In recent weeks it has become more evident and clear that the Iranian regime is the source of crisis in the region and the killings in Syria, and we will only witness peace and tranquility in the region once the Iranian regime is evicted from the region. Tonight, millions around the world honor and celebrate the birth of Christ, this Christmas eve we wish that the oppressed people of Syria and Iran will also see the face of peace, joy, and prosperity. And we call on people around the world to join in solidarity with the brave people of Syria for freedom and democracy and keep them in their prayers tonight. Syria and Aleppo are in our hearts and the message of the martyrs and victims will resonate through time; as we vow to continue this struggle till the dawn of freedom

Iran: Plundering $15.5 Million Budget Belonged to Homeless People
Sunday, 25 December 2016/NCRI - Tehran’s prosecutor, Abbas Jafari Dowlatâbâdi, admitted that 500 billion Tomans ($15.5 million dollar) funds allocated to homeless has been stolen by the government officials. According to him, government officials have used the names of homeless people as the shareholders of front companies to receive millions of dollars funds allocated to the homeless. “One of the Investment Bank offenses is issuing guarantees worth millions of dollars apparently for homeless such that 38 guarantees worth of 500 billion Tomans ($15.5 million dollars) has been issued to front companies and homeless people as the shareholders,” Dowlatâbâdi said. Tehran’s prosecutor also revealed financial corruption of the regime officials plundering 8000 billion Tomans ($24.8 billion dollars) of the Teachers and Educators Reserve Fund. According to Dowlatâbâdi, government officials plundered the fund by loaning half of it to only 10 people and by unrealistic assessment and illegal acquisition of properties. He said: “Of the $24.8 billion dollars Investment Bank’s loan, 10 people received $12.4 billion dollars and also former managers of Investment Bank, in their appraisal, assessed some properties fourteen times their actual price and possessed them.”

Iran: Political Prisoner on Hunger Strike Urgently Transferred to Prison Infirmary
Sunday, 25 December 2016/NCRI - Friday night, December 23, political prisoner Arash Sadeghi was urgently transferred to Evin prison infirmary due to his deteriorating health condition following severe drop in blood pressure, palpitations, shortness of breath and coughing up blood clots.A close source to this political prisoner said: “Doctors are extremely concerned about Arash Sadeghi’s health and ordered his transfer and hospitalization. The doctors also said Sadeghi’s nausea and coughing up blood clots is either from the stomach or esophagus problem. However, for correct diagnosis it is necessary to perform endoscopy and the detainees should receive medical care.”“Since Arash Sadeghi has lost a lot of weight (over 19 kg) due to the hunger strike and his body is extremely weak, he has to perform serum therapy before endoscopy, but Arash refused serum therapy and his transfer to hospital,” the source said. Frequent transfer of Arash Sadeghi to prison infirmary has placed his life and survival on alarming situation. However, prison officials have so far shown no reaction to his legitimate demands and deteriorating physical condition. The Iranian Resistance in a statement issued on December 23rd had warned of political prisoners currently facing death following long hunger strikes, and called on all international human rights organizations, especially the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights; the Special Rapporteur on torture and other cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment; Special Rapporteur on the right of everyone to the enjoyment of the highest attainable standard of physical and mental health; and the Working Group on Arbitrary Detention to take urgent and effective action to save their lives. The inhumane mullahs’ regime is depriving these prisoners of their most basic rights, recognized even under the regime’s own laws.

India's Center for Social Research Declares Support for Justice Seeking Campaign of 1988 Massacre in Iran
Sunday, 25 December 2016/NCRI - India’s Center for Social Research (CSR) issued a statement supporting the Iranian people's campaign for seeking justice for the victims and families of 30,000 political prisoners who were massacred in the summer of 1988 in Iran.
In parts of the statement, Dr. Ranjana Kumari, director of CSR, described the 1988 massacre as the worst crime against humanity since World War II and urged the UN and other international organizations to launch an inquiry into the massacre and bring those responsible to justice. Dr. Kumari wrote: “The cries of victims and their families were never heard and in fact were kept in silence. I support the efforts to hold those responsible for this indescribable crime accountable.”"Many of the victims were 15 or 16 years of age at the time of arrest and prosecution and horrendously even pregnant women were executed. They were all buried in unknown mass graves.”“The Iranian Resistance has called for international prosecution and trail of the masterminds and perpetrators of the 1988 massacre and this crime against humanity, but they are still holding high government positions in Iran. Therefore, I urge Amnesty International and other International Human Rights Organizations to renew their call for the trial of those responsible for the 1988 massacre.”"In memory of all those fallen for freedom, all the 30,000 martyrs who were executed in the summer of 1988, I support Mrs. Maryam Rajavi’s call for an investigation into the massacre and ask the United Nations and the UN Secretary General to hold an inquiry on the massacre and I hope that the perpetrators will finally be brought to justice. "Anywhere women are victims of violence and injustice, the Center for Social Research stands with them, and today the Center commemorates the memory all the steadfast women who were executed during the 1988 massacre.”
 
Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on December 25-26/16
On the American role in Syria’s hell
Mshari Al Thaydi/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
In an interesting interview published Wednesday in the London-based daily Al-Hayat, former American Ambassador to Syria Robert Ford - who still held this post when the Syrian revolution erupted - revealed a lot of information about the US and how it dealt with the Syrian problem during President Barack Obama’s term. Ford left his post as envoy to Syria two years ago. What attracted my attention in his interview, which was carried out after the recent massacres in Aleppo, is how he noted that what’s happening in Syria is in attempt by Iran and its Shiite militias from across the world to achieve “ethnic change in the country” through the aid of Russian military tyranny. He spoke about the current superiority of the regime in Aleppo’s battles and the expected superiority in the upcoming Idlib battle to kill remaining Syrian refugees in Aleppo’s neighboring city. However, he noted that this superiority is not the end of it as the regime will pay the price due to horrifying economic destruction. The regime, Iran and Russia cannot afford this cost and the West, Europe and America will not help pay the cost given the dominance of the condemned Assad regime.
 However, the most important point in his interview is about the sins of the Obama administration - which he was part of - in Syria. According to Ford, “Obama has not attempted to directly influence” developments ever since the Syrian crisis erupted.
 “For instance, we told them to avoid the al-Qaeda organization but we did not provide them with an alternative. Instead of helping them not turn into al-Qaeda, all we did was preach,” Ford added. He also spoke about his meeting with Nouri al-Maliki, when he was still Iraq’s prime minister and when the Iranian-Iraqi armament aircraft system aided the Syrian regime, and said: “We ignored the situation and overlooked it. I went and spoke with Maliki in 2012 and told him you must stop these flights but he ignored me despite my warnings that arming Assad will nurture extremism.”
 In the end, I think the biggest sin is that of the Obama administration
 These are few details narrated by someone who worked under the Obama administration and implemented American foreign policy towards the Syrian crisis. These details are enough to indicate the gravity of the political crime which the Obama administration committed. The results of this crime include the Russian and Iranian criminal acts, Assad’s brutality, the expansion of ISIS and the expulsion of the moderate national opposition and removing it from the scene. Speaking of the opposition, does it also bear part of the responsibility considering its many disputes, dependence on foreign agendas and reluctance on ground? Does the opposition bear responsibility because it overlooked extremist groups’ infiltration until al-Qaeda, represented by the al-Nusra Front, found its way into its ranks? These statements must be made, and they will be reiterated here later. It’s true that Assad, Khamenei and Vladimir Putin prevented establishing a national opposition and preferred, for obvious reasons, that all opposition parties be marked as either ISIS or al-Qaeda, however, this does not exonerate the Syrian opposition from bearing its national and historic duty.
 In the end, I think the biggest sin is that of the Obama administration.
 **This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on December 16, 2016.
 
Re-establishing the private sector in Saudi Arabia
Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
 Oil revenues greatly deteriorated this year to the extent that many Saudis accept the call to give up complete dependence on oil which they’ve grown addicted to for decades.
The proposed solution is bitter but it’s necessary to save the country, protect the future of the coming generations and build a stronger state and healthier economy. The declaration of the state’s new budget a few days ago woke many people up to the fact that we are entering a new phase. Work has begun to reduce dependence on oil and decrease the role of the “mother” government. Saudi Arabia is transferring within the spirit and text of the project. It says it depends on the private sector a lot as it chose it as a major partner to provide key services in terms of education, medication, transportation and other fields. This successful model can be seen in countries which do not count on the public sector in their economy.
 Transferring a big part of these tasks to the private sector is a wise move but I think the problem is that the private sector is weak and it cannot be depended upon to perform the major aspired-to tasks as except for a few companies, the rest are just a massive market of scattered shops that live off the easy money coming from oil. If the government looks forward to transforming into a country where the private sector is efficient and productive, it must rely on the economy of big companies. With all my respect to experts who always talk about supporting medium and small-sized institutions and who believe it’s a solution to hire thousands of people, I think the best option for Saudi Arabia is the opposite of that. Transforming into a market of large-scale companies will contribute to developing services and industries, facilitate citizens’ training and employment process and protect Saudization which the government failed to impose on the private sector for 30 consecutive years. Big companies can organize the market and develop it in their favor. Companies that have high capital can introduce complicated and costly technology, spend on building big networks for distribution and expand across the country. Perhaps it’s best for countries with labor intensive industries, like Egypt, or countries with low investments, like Pakistan, to develop small institutions because they are the way to employ people with minimum costs.
 Since the government decided that the private sector is its partner, it must shake it up and re-establish it
 Saudi Arabia’s option is to transform into the economy of big companies in construction, industries and healthcare, educational, technological and technical services, including engineering, plumbing and electricity. By resorting to global expertise and adopting the most modern technologies, it will build a massive and organized market. Big companies’ work alongside governmental institutions and can help them serve the market by imposing their needs on the educational and training sectors. The state’s important role will be “producing” giant companies by developing regulations and granting contracts and loans. We have few old examples in this field. Sabic is an example of a developed and industrial institution as it has 40,000 employees, most of whom are Saudis serving in advanced fields. There are experiments which failed, most of the time due to regulations or lack thereof. The most recent was Panda’s groceries project in neighborhoods. This is in addition to the experience of franchise shops that are similar to giant American companies. These may have failed due to the market’s disorder and due to the lack of controls on licenses. Failure is clear evidence of the bad role of small institutions as they’ve turned into cover-up businesses and they monopolize the market in favor of foreigners. The government will remain the source of economy’s life as it’s capable of building the market all over again. For instance, through its massive construction contracts, it can set the condition that a percentage of the work is performed by major local companies that are specialized in providing engineering and electrical services. This will employ thousands of professional Saudis for minimum wages, provide long-term contracts and guarantee consumers the safety of services for many years, like the case is with organized societies. Now, the Saudi private sector is poor except for major specialized companies. Most available companies are commercial brands which are not enough to depend on to establish a real, productive and permanent market. Big companies are few and can be counted on the fingers of one hand and it’s impossible for them to contain thousands of graduates especially after the government decided to abandon the role of the employee. The government’s philosophy is that it helps them learn and encourages them to train but they must work in the market and the market is small as there are thousands of small shops that do not train, expand and develop. Since the government decided that the private sector is its partner, it must shake it up and re-establish it. The current market was established for different aims and during a past era. I think the government should plan and encourage building different companies that resemble those in developed markets and list them on the stock exchange like it did with Sabic and the electricity and transportation companies. By doing so, the state can depend on the private sector and the government’s role can be organizational and regulatory.
 **This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on December 25, 2016.
 
Saudi 2017 budget based on rationalization, not skimping
Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
The 2017 Saudi budget was announced recently. Expenditure is estimated at 890 billion riyals while revenues are estimated at 692 billion riyals. The estimated deficit will be 33 percent less than the 2016 budget. In 2016, the budget deficit was 297 billion riyals while in 2017 it’s estimated at 198 billion riyals. Saudi King Salman voiced the necessity of accurately executing the 2017 state budget as the upcoming budget will harmonize with Vision 2030 considering it’s the basic plan to no longer be dependent on oil and to focus on non-oil revenues. This is the core of development between the two budgets. Some parties want to harm the reputation of the Saudi economy via mouthpieces whose orientations or identity are affiliated with Iran. Their aim is to intimidate people with unfounded crises or with imaginary measures that burden citizens. All these attempts aim to intimidate and spread false rumors. If we take a look at the budgets of countries in the region or at the budgets of the international community’s governments, we will see the reasonable effects the Saudi budget expects compared with other countries that suffer from deficit which weakened them. Many of these countries could not overcome their setbacks due to their political follies and social tyranny. Take Iran as an example, considering it calls for gloating and preying on others the most. The Saudi society however is more aware than others and it will not be shaken by the fuss of those spreading false rumors.
 **This article was first published in Okaz on December 25, 2016.
 
Obama’s parting shot at Israel
Fawaz Turki/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
There we were, those of us with press credentials, at the United Nations Headquarters in the Turtle Bay neighborhood of Manhattan last Thursday, hours before the much anticipated 3:00 pm Security Council vote on a resolution, sponsored by Egypt, declaring that Israel’s ongoing colonization practices in the Palestinian territories, including East Jerusalem, “have no legal validity” and represent a “flagrant violation of international law.” Would the United States, in its odious efforts to appease Israel, continue to act as if it is that entity’s retained advocate and veto the resolution, as it had repeatedly done in the past with others like it? Or would President Obama, in the waning days of his tenure as chief executive, take the audacious step - audacious, given the strangle-hold that Israeli pressure groups have traditionally had on American administrations - of firing a parting shot at a colonization policy he has long openly opposed and at an insufferable Israeli leader he has long loathed, by instructing his UN ambassador not to cast a veto? The international community, by virtue of its being an amalgam of different human collectivities with at times contrasting views on how the global dialogue of cultures should be conducted, does not of course always think in lockstep. But among the few issues member states at the United Nations are in full agreement on is that the acquisition of territory by force of arms is inadmissible in international law. And even more inadmissible is the transfer to and settlement in that territory by the population of the occupying power.
 Israel has already built, on occupied Palestinian land, a medley of 300 colonies to which it has transferred roughly 600,000 colonists, an act condemned far and wide, vehemently and forcefully, by world leaders - including American leaders, all the way from President Jimmy Carter, who declared bluntly, “we consider these settlements to be contrary to the Geneva Conventions, and that occupied territory should not be changed by establishment of permanent settlements by the occupying power,” to President Barack Obama, who declared equally bluntly, “America does not accept the legitimacy of continued Israeli settlements.”
 Donald Trump will occupy the White House as the 45th president of the United States. Folks, fasten your seat belts for it’s gonna be a bumpy ride
 And Zubin Mehta, the renowned Indian conductor of Western classical music, embodied the Third World’s view on the subject when he asserted, with no need for elaboration, “So long as Israel keeps building settlements, the world will be anti-Israeli.” Simple, but to the point.
 It is still Thursday morning and all eyes are on Samantha Power, the engagingly winsome, Irish American liberal academic and intellectual who serves as Obama’s UN ambassador. Will she be instructed - has she already been instructed - by her boss at the White House to veto the resolution, or perhaps to abstain, thus not just guaranteeing the resolution’s passage but turning the vote into a last symbolic poke into Benjamin Netanyahu’s eye, delivered by a frustrated American president who had supped his fill dealing with an incorrigible Israeli expansionist? Netanyahu, news reports had it, was beside himself, frantically taking to Twitter in the dead of night in Israel (the tweet clocked at 3:28 am) urging the Obama administration to veto the resolution. And Donald Trump - yes, we have to get used to that name - a man who has made no secret of his intention to upend long-held US Middle East policy by facilely moving the American embassy to Jerusalem and to appoint as the country’s next ambassador to Israel an ardent supporter of the colonies, wrote in a pre-dawn tweet, “The resolution being considered at the United Nation should be vetoed. This puts Israel in a very poor negotiating position and is extremely unfair to all Israelis.”That Trump is a passionate advocate of Israel’s expansionist project goes back to 2003 when, according to the Washington Post, he donated $10,000 - not a princely sum, but the man is known to be cheap - to the West bank colony of Beit El, built in 1977, which houses one of Israel’s most right wing media outlets, Arutz Shiva, and the most messianic of its colonists.
 Some analysts have argued, not altogether unreasonably, that UN resolutions condemning Israeli practices - pointing to numerous ones that continued to languish since 1948 - have proved ineffectual at the end of the day, which in turn is a measure of the limits of UN influence on Israel when it comes to this international body’s ability to enforce its own rulings. Nevertheless, a UN resolution represents a collective statement by the international community of where it stands on an issue. To that extent, if nothing else, it carries weight.
 What will the United States do? Will it be a veto or an abstention? Will Obama spring most completely to life and deliver a shot across the bow, or will he eat humble pie and go along to get along?
 It is now close to lunch time in New York.Time for one of those overpriced burgers - that a freelancer could ill afford - in this most expensive of cities. But wait. There’s a news bulletin. Egypt, which initially had proposed the resolution on Wednesday evening, suddenly instructed its envoy, Amr Aboulatta, to have it pulled, potentially indefinitely, with no word on when or if it would be brought up again. The envoy, it was later reported, had requested a “delay” in the vote to permit Cairo to conduct an "additional meeting of the Arab League’s foreign ministers to work on the resolution’s project." In other words, adios resolution. It all savored of anticlimax to a day that was a cliffhanger right up to lunchtime. But wait. Another news bulletin, this one the following day. Other countries, it seems, were prepared to take up the slack from where Egypt had left off. New Zealand, Malaysia, Venezuela and Senegal stepped in and re-sponsored the resolution, which then received a 14-to-0 vote, with the US - hold on to your hat - abstaining. Israel’s campaign to derail it had failed.
 Less than hour after the vote, the president-elect tweeted ominously: “As to the UN, things will be different after January 20.” At noon on that day, after giving his oath of office, Donald Trump will occupy the White House as the 45th president of the United States. Folks, fasten your seat belts for it’s gonna be a bumpy ride.
 **Fawaz Turki is a Palestinian-American journalist, lecturer and author based in Washington, DC.
 
Obama – the beginning and the end
Eyad Abu Shakra/Al Arabiya/December 25/16
Next month, the US and the whole world will turn the page on Barack Obama’s presidency; bidding farewell to eight years whose early days were full of promise, but for tens of millions ended in sadness and disaster. Like lottery tickets, electoral democracy is never a sure thing. Indeed, American voters throughout US history elected several presidents with big majorities and yet their terms in office ended either with scandals such as Richard Nixon’s Watergate, war quagmires such as Lyndon B. Johnson’s Vietnam, or economic recessions such as the one during Herbert Hoover’s presidency. When Barack Obama won the presidential race in November 2008, many regarded his victory as a revolution. It was a new hope for America, giving the nation a much needed dose of youthfulness and vitality, as well as tolerance, hope and belief in a future away from conservatism and racism. Why not, bearing in mind that when elected President Obama was a youthful senator in the middle of his first term in Congress? Why not, when he became the first Afro-American president, and the first president carrying a non-European name, as he was not a descendant of freed former slaves but rather the son of a Kenyan academic who hailed from the prominent Luo people of East Africa? Barack Obama’s victory in 2008 was, thus, truly historical. Perhaps this was most poignantly manifested by Rev Jesse Jackson’s tears of joy during inauguration day. That day Jackson witnessed what another Civil Rights hero Dr Martin Luther King Jr was dreaming of when he uttered his famous words: “I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character”, in the country described in the US national anthem as “The Land of the free and home of the brave.”
 Obama entered the White House under the banner of “Change” and optimism in his ability to affect change was almost as huge as the need to affect that change.
 If “change” was the motto of Obama’s first term in the White House, then “retreat” would be the most appropriate motto for his second
 Throughout the eight years of George W Bush’s presidency the neocons brought out almost all the cruel prejudicial policies that suited their ideology, without forgetting to satisfy the conservative Evangelist Right by giving it a free hand in domestic social affairs. In addition to launching pre-emptive and punitive wars under the pretext of eradicating terrorism and ignoring human rights, clean environment and anti-gun lobby campaigners, Bush Jr left market forces and big business unrestrained. Under pressure from extremist conservative Evangelists, Bush Jr also slowed down scientific – namely stem cell – research, thus delaying vital medical breakthroughs for years if not decades. Obama was just the opposite of all that. While Bush Jr was a parochial personality with a primarily domestic vision and culture, Obama had a cosmopolitan character with global dimensions and interests. Not only was he the son of a Kenyan Muslim, but also the son-in-law and half-brother of Indonesian Muslims and he actually lived for a while in Indonesia, and later in Hawaii – the only American state with non-White European population. While Bush Jr was a member of his white aristocratic Protestant family, and a hostage of religious, social and economic conservative lobbies, Obama – despite studying in some of America’s top colleges – was basically a self-made man who did his “rough and tumble” political apprenticeship in the poor neighborhoods of Chicago.
 The first impression about Obama was that he was a leader keen not only to understand the world – which his predecessor never cared much about getting to know – but also change it. This is at least what many thought after his famous Cairo Speech in Egypt on June 4, 2009.
 During his first few months in office, the new US president seemed quite interested in tackling the roots of problems rather than limiting his endeavors to symptoms. Indeed, during the first two years he retained the aura of idealism and goodwill that were the hallmark of his rhetoric since elections day, however, the momentum began to weaken and grind to a halt. Furthermore, despite succeeding in forcing courageous internal changes in the face of his stubborn Republican opponents, foreign relations approaches began to shroud his idealism and credibility with doubt. There were two early setbacks that uncovered the fragility of Obama’s idealistic push for change, both directly connected with the Arab and Muslim worlds: the first, beating a retreat on the Palestine-Israel peace front when confronted by the hawkish Binyamin Netanyahu; and the second, his failure to live up to his promises to shut down the Guantanamo Bay Detention Camp where suspected Islamist extremists are detained.
 Thereafter, Washington looked confused, giving contradictory and misleading information in the early 2011 during what came to be labelled the Arab Spring. Then, within a short time, the hitherto hushed up American – Iranian talks in the Omani capital Muscat were made public, although few at the time imagined these talks and agreements reached would become the cornerstone of Washington’s strategy towards the Arabs and the Muslim world.
 Few thought that the mullahs and Revolutionary Guards’ Iran, with its hyperactive gallows, sectarian agitation and incitement, and destructive expansionism would soon become a strategic ally to the US in the open war against a new enemy called ISIS. An enemy that appeared suddenly, and was allowed to grow, expand and occupy lands, and then used as an excuse to justify sacrificing hundreds of thousands of innocent people, uprooting and displacing tens of millions other, bringing down cities, wiping out communities and redrawing national borders. Thus, if “Change” was the motto of Obama’s first term in the White House, then “Retreat” would be the most appropriate motto for his second. It is not only a ‘retreat’ in the face of Iran which Obama’s policies allowed to become a regional time bomb, but against Russia, the old enemy from the Cold War days! Today the whole of Europe is paying a heavy price for Vladimir Putin’s strident and aggressive leadership and his unabated efforts to undermine the continent’s stability through aiding and abetting his extremist and racist new ‘allies’. The same allies who are now riding the waves of hatred and xenophobia against immigrants and refugees, tens of thousands of whom were made refugees by the Kremlin itself. Even America’s democratic system is no longer safe from Putin’s ambitious meddling, if we are to believe the CIA, no less! In a few words, “retreat” in the face of extremism and racism is now Barack Obama’s catastrophic legacy to America and the whole world.
 **This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on December 16, 2016.

The Fifth Legion: A New Auxiliary Force
By Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi/ Syria Comment/December 24/16
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Though numerous militias exist on the regime side in Syria, only a few have garnered wider media attention. The most notable of these few groups is of course the National Defence Forces (NDF), set up as a counter-insurgency and auxiliary holding force in late 2012 with help from Hezbollah and Iran. The NDF has centres throughout the Syrian provinces where the regime still maintains a viable presence and remains an important force. Another group that garnered attention was the Coastal Shield Brigade (Liwa Dir’ al-Sahel), set up in 2015 as the regime experienced substantial losses in Idlib province and the Homs desert to the rebels and the Islamic State (IS) respectively. The ‘shield’ aspect reflected a broader shift in the strategic thinking at the time, in which the emphasis shifted to defending vital areas amid exacerbating manpower problems.
If the previous year had a defensive focus for the regime though prior to the beginning of the overt Russian intervention in October 2015, then this year has very much seen the opposite approach, which has now culminated in the successful recapture of Aleppo city. While the assault on the rebel-held parts of eastern Aleppo was going on, a new auxiliary force was announced to have been formed last month. This force is called al-Faylaq al-Khamis (“The Fifth Legion”), with the word Iqtiham (“Assault”) appended to its name, very much signifying the offensive emphasis of the regime at the present time. The following statement was issued by the General Command for the Syrian Army and the Armed Forces on 22 November:
“In response to the rapid developments for events, to reinforce the successes of the intrepid armed forces and heeding the desire of our defiant people to put an end to the terrorist acts upon the lands of the Syrian Arab Republic, the General Command for the Army announces the formation of the Fifth Legion- Assault, from volunteers, with the mission of destroying terrorism alongside the rest of the formations of our heroic armed forces and the auxiliary and allied forces to restore security and stability to all the lands of the Syrian Arab Republic. The General Command for the Army and the Armed Forces calls on all citizens who desire to participate in realizing the final victory over terrorism to go to the reception centres in the provinces.”
The statement then defined a number of these reception centres:
Damascus: Southern Regional Command-Damascus Area Command-10th Division Command Qatana.
Homs: Central Regional Command.
Hama: Hama Area Command-Administrative Affairs College in Masyaf.
Aleppo: Northern Regional Command.
Tartous: Tartous Area Command.
Latakia: Coastal Regional Command.
Deraa: 5th Division Command.
Suwayda’: 15th Division Command-Special Forces.
Notably absent from this list are Hasakah, Deir az-Zor and Raqqa provinces. In Hasakah and Deir az-Zor provinces, the regime maintains remnant presences, primarily in Qamishli and Deir az-Zor city respectively. In Raqqa province, there is course no regime presence at all. Nonetheless, the statement by the General Command specified that people of the eastern region, like other citizens, could register at any of the centres mentioned above. Conditions for enlistment were specified as follows:
– Must be at least 18 years old and not obliged for compulsory military service (khidmat al-‘alam) and has not deserted from compulsory service.
– In good health.
Eligible for acceptance are state employees and those who have completed their compulsory military service from all classes, including officers, non-commissioned officers and ordinary personnel. Their enlistment will be according to a contract of one year subject to renewal through appropriate agreement. State employees in particular who enlist are entitled to claim a salary from the Fifth Legion while maintaining the salaries and benefits of their existing jobs.
From the conditions for recruitment outlined above, the most important point to note is the contrast with many of the militias that try to recruit through offering an amnesty for those who have avoided and deserted compulsory military service. In addition, the terms for state employees seems to suggest that the army is trying to tap into this demographic in particular as a potential source of manpower for the Fifth Legion. The emphasis on a definitive victory over ‘terrorism’ also points to the regime’s calculus at this point: namely, that it is on the road to decisive victory, eventually entailing the retaking of all of Syria.
It should be noted that a formation similar to the Fifth Legion was announced last year as the overt Russian intervention in the form of airstrikes was getting underway. That formation was called al-Faylaq al-Rabi’- Iqtiham (“The Fourth Legion- Assault”). This force was said to have been formed from Syrian soldiers and volunteers with Russian specialists, in addition to a joint Russian-Syrian command. Its first operations were due to take place in the Idlib, Hama and Latakia countrysides. Subsequent evidence quickly emerged of engagements on the ground. For example, in early November 2015, a ‘martyr’ for the Fourth Legion was claimed in one Rami Marwan al-Khouli, originally from the Homs province town of al-Qusayr near the Lebanese border and killed in fighting in Latakia province. Another individual presented as a Fourth Legion ‘martyr’ at the time by at least one account was Mohsen Afifa, also killed in the Latakia fighting. The Fourth Legion appears to have endured as a formation, with references to the contingent’s existence, its operations and slain fighters occurring throughout 2016, primarily on the Latakia front. In fact, in July 2016, the General Command for the Syrian army reportedly changed the leader of the Fourth Legion (Shuqi Yusuf) on account of repeated errors and false assessments of the battle, leading to substantial setbacks especially on the Kanasba front in Latakia at the time. Below are some more photos of slain fighters from the Fourth Legion.
Memdouh Ken’an, originally from al-Qardaha. Killed on the Latakia front. He was apparently a veteran of campaigns in Deraa and the Hawran area. At least one account also has him as being a part of the Syrian army’s 5th Mechanized Division.
Mahmoud Ahmad al-Ahmad, originally from al-Hamdaniya in Aleppo. Killed in fighting in Latakia province.
Abd al-Hameed Hilal al-Daman, originally from Himo Hanadi in Hasakah province. Killed in fighting in Latakia province.
Amir Ibrahim Hazim, originally from al-Salukiya of the Masyaf area. Killed in Kanasba area, Latakia province.
The issue of mistakes in the field, as illustrated partly in the experiences of the Fourth Legion, is touched upon in an article in the pro-Assad Lebanese newspaper al-Safir regarding the formation of the Fifth Legion. Specifically, the article says that some mistakes and insufficient levels of coordination were revealed in the field and battle experiences since the time of the Russian intervention and the formation of the Fourth Legion. These mistakes are said to have been looked at by the concerned parties, with an aim to resolving them, paving the way for the entry of the Fifth Legion into the battlefield.
The newspaper further claims that the foundational force for the Fifth Legion will be a mixture of existing combat groups that have acquired high-level experience, alongside new recruits or former fighters from the NDF branches. According to the article, forces of Suqur al-Sahara’ (a private elite militia) and Liwa al-Quds (a Palestinian-Syrian militia from the Aleppo area that played an important role in the recent retaking of east Aleppo) are expected to be the tip of the spear and strike force of the volunteers. In addition, the newspaper says it is expected that some of the military command of Hezbollah will play a foundational role in leading groups of the fighters that will join the Fifth Legion, and that some elite forces of Hezbollah will operate either under the Fifth Legion’s banner or in operational coordination with it.
Some commentary has focused on this suggested Hezbollah involvement in the Fifth Legion as a key development of “official integration” pointing to a future trend of Iranian-backed militias being granted legal cover in Iraq and Syria. Leaving aside the Iraqi aspect of the situation with regards to integrating the Hashd Sha’abi units (partly driven by PM Hayder al-Abadi’s desire to exert stronger control over the militias), this interpretation seems to be an over-reading of the available information on the Fifth Legion that also overlooks the fact that Iranian-backed militias are already using the legal cover of the Syrian state in certain ways, such as the Iraqi group Liwa Dhu al-Fiqar under the Dir’ al-Watan conglomeration of the al-Bustan Association, Liwa al-Imam al-Hussein overlapping with the 4th Armoured Division, and some Hezbollah personnel operating under the NDF.
In any case, characterizing the Fifth Legion as an “elite” part of the Syrian army is premature. Properly speaking, the Fifth Legion defines itself as affiliated with al-quwat al-sadiqa (“forces of friends”). To be sure, it is a slightly ambiguous term. On one reading, it can be seen as synonymous with Quwat al-Asdiqa’. This means a function as a formal auxiliary force of some sort for the Syrian army, and one should compare this designation with the case of Quwat al-Ghadab, a Christian militia in the Suqaylabiyah area of Hama province. In initial reporting, the pro-regime outlet Damascus Now wrote that the Fifth Legion will get its training, equipment and salaries from the Asdiqa’ (“The Friends”), though it did not specify further what it meant by this term. An alternative way to read al-quwat al-sadiqa is to look at other occasions on which the term has been used: it often refers to the regime’s foreign allies and their forces assisting the Syrian army on the ground (e.g. the Iraqi militia Harakat al-Nujaba’ and the Russian forces).
If al-Safir’s unconfirmed information on integrating forces from a variety of militias into the Fifth Legion is correct, a motivation clearer than just officially integrating Hezbollah into the Syrian state’s armed forces appears to be improving operational abilities through overcoming rivalries and competition for influence that have emerged between various forces on the regime side and sometimes impeded effective coordination. This is of course suggested in the newspaper’s article.
As of the time of writing, the Fifth Legion has not emerged as an actual operational force on the ground. Amusingly, mobile text messages urging people to join the Fifth Legion have become a subject of mockery and annoyance even among some people on the regime side, prompting the main page for the Fifth Legion to issue an apology:
“Messages are reaching us condemning the frequency of text messages that announce the Fifth Legion and call on the citizen brothers to join its ranks. We will say in simple words: ‘We apologize for annoying you, for we are working for your sake.'”
Where exactly the Fifth Legion will operate for its first assignment is not yet fully confirmed. That said, a post on 21 December by the Fifth Legion’s main page stated the following:
“Leadership from the officers of the Fifth Legion- Assault is participating in the preparation for the battle to recover the city of Palmyra from the Da’esh terrorist organization, and information about the possibility of ruling out one of the auxiliary forces that was a reason for what happened when the city fell.”
The latter part of that statement is particularly interesting. While the regime was focusing its efforts on Aleppo, the Palmyra front was manned by a number of militias, but they appear to have put on a pretty dismal performance in trying to defend the city from IS. These militias on the Palmyra front included Syrian Hezbollah groups like al-Ghalibun, Liwa al-Imam al-Mahdi and Quwat al-Ridha. In particular, the IS offensive on Palmyra was the first major engagement on the Palmyra front for Liwa al-Imam al-Mahdi and appears to have been set as an emergency assignment for al-Ghalibun. The Afghan Shi’a unit affiliated with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)- Liwa Fatemiyoun– has also had a presence in Palmyra, with four special contingents stationed there as part of a long-standing line of defence against IS, according to a Fatemiyoun commander quoted by IRGC news outlet Tasnim News. Since the fall of the city, the regime has called up additional forces like the Syrian army’s 10th division, the NDF branch Fawj al-Jowlan and the Qalamoun Shield Forces as IS has also threatened the important T4 airbase. Abu Hayder al-Harbi, an Iraqi member of Hezbollah’s forces in Syria, further told me that Hezbollah and the IRGC are currently fighting on the Palmyra front.
Quwat al-Ridha and the Syrian army on the Palmyra front. December 2016.
Fawj Nusur Homs, another militia (air-intelligence affiliated) on the Palmyra front.
Samer Kurdi, a Hezbollah fighter from the Idlib Shi’i village of al-Fu’a, recently killed on the Palmyra front.
How far the Fifth Legion will come to play a real and important role in the battlefield remains to be seen. The provincial governor of Latakia- Ibrahim Khidr al-Salim- seems particularly keen to have people enlist in the Fifth Legion, involving state administrative bodies in the process. He has even reportedly directed Latakia institutions and foundations to cancel work contracts of male workers in Latakia between 18 and 50 years old from other provinces if they do not join the Fifth Legion. This ultimatum is not to be applied if the worker has been exempted from the Syrian army for reasons such as health. The authenticity of documents circulated with regards to this matter appears to have been subsequently confirmed by postings such as this one on teachers in Latakia joining the Fifth Legion. This may indicate that recruitment efforts into the Fifth Legion have not been as successful as the regime might have hoped. Indeed, it is possible the Fifth Legion will end up going the way of Liwa Dir’ al-Sahel: much hype initially but then fading into obscurity and becoming of little or no operational significance. In any case, there is no doubt of the ongoing manpower problems facing the regime, despite the confident offensive-minded mentality in light of the Aleppo victory.
**The post The Fifth Legion: A New Auxiliary Force appeared first on Syria Comment.

Islamists Attack Christmas, but Europeans Abolish It
 Giulio Meotti/Gatestone Institute/December 25/16
 https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9637/europe-christmas-islamists
 A statue of the Virgin Mary was ordered taken away by a court in the French municipality of Publier. Senator Nathalie Goulet slammed the judges as "ayatollahs of secularism".
 A German school in Turkey just banned Christmas celebrations: the school, Istanbul Lisesi, funded by the German government, decided that Christmas traditions and carol-singing would no longer be allowed. A Woolworth's store in Germany scrapped Christmas decorations telling customers that the shop "is now Muslim".
 Europe is already mutilating her own traditions "to avoid offending Muslims". We have become our own biggest enemy.
 Muslims are also reclaiming "the mosque of Cordoba". Authorities in the southern Spanish city recently dealt a blow to the Catholic Church's claim of ownership of the cathedral. Now Islamists want it back.
 The final result of Europe's self-destructive secularism could seriously be a Caliphate.
 "Everything is Christian", Jean-Paul Sartre wrote after the war. Two thousand years of Christianity have left a deep mark on the French language, landscape and culture. But not according to France's Minister of Education, Najat Vallaud-Belkacem. She just announced that instead of saying "Merry Christmas", state officials should use "Happy Holidays" -- clearly a deliberate intent to erase from discourse and the public space any reference to the Christian culture in which France is rooted.
 Jean-François Chemain called it the "eradication of any Christian sign in the public landscape". A year ago, the controversy was ignited in the French town of Ploermel, where a court decided that the statue of Pope John Paul II, erected in a square, had to be removed for violating "secularism".
 Then, a statue of the Virgin Mary was ordered taken away by a court in the municipality of Publier. Senator Nathalie Goulet slammed the judges as "ayatollahs of secularism".
 The newspapers of the French "left", outraged by the "right's" ban on burkinis on the French Riviera, have been endorsing this anti-Christian policy.
 France's Council of State has just ruled that "the temporary installation of cribs [nativity scenes] in a public place is legal if it has a cultural, artistic or festive value, but not if it expresses the recognition of a cult or a religious preference". What precautions to justify a millenary tradition!
 In the town of Scaer, a nursing home has been the subject of a similar secularist complaint, for the presence of a fresco of the Virgin Mary. Then, it was the turn of the manger in the train station of Villefranche-de-Rouergue, in Aveyron. In the town of Boissettes, the church bells have been muted by court decision.
 Fortunately, some ideas from the Observatory of Secularism -- the organ established by President François Hollande to coordinate his neo-secularist policies -- have not been implemented. One proposed even to eliminate some Christian national holidays to make room for the Islamic, Jewish and secular holidays.
 President Hollande, on the occasion of Easter, "forgot" to express holiday wishes to the Christians of France. But a few months before, Hollande had extended his best wishes to the Muslims during the feast of Eid, which closes Ramadan. "Hollande's greeting to Muslims is opportunistic and political. For the Socialist Party, it is a crucial electoral clientele", said the French philosopher Gerard Leclerc in the newspaper, Le Figaro.
 This Christianophobia is the Trojan Horse of Islam. As Charles Consigny writes in the weekly Le Point, "Through this tabula rasa of the past, France will make a clean sweep of its future". Unfortunately, France is not an isolated case. Everywhere in Europe, a weary, secularist absence of purpose and confused values damns Christianity in favor of Islam.
 A jihadist terrorist, targeting a symbol of Christian tradition, last week slaughtered 12 people at a Christmas market in Berlin. But Europe is already mutilating her own traditions "to avoid offending Muslims". We have become our own biggest enemy.
 The annual candlelit Saint Lucia ("Sankta Lucia") procession, a Swedish Christian tradition celebrated for hundreds of years, is "dying" out. Uddevalla, Södertälje, Koping, Umeå, and Ystad are among the growing numbers of cities no longer holding this lovely cultural event. According to Jonas Engman, an ethnologist at the Nordic Museum, the declining interest in the St. Lucia procession accompanies a more general alienation from the culture of Christian Sweden. A study conducted by Gallup International reveals that in observing the Christian religion, Sweden is "the least religious in the West". In the meantime, with a young, strong, driven sense of purpose and a set of sharia values, Islam is growing.
 A German school in Turkey just banned Christmas celebrations. The school, Istanbul Lisesi, funded by the German government, decided that Christmas traditions and carol-singing would no longer be permitted. The Washington Post summarized the decision: "No teaching of Christmas customs, no celebrations and no Christmas caroling". It is not an isolated incident. A Woolworth's store in Germany also scrapped Christmas decorations, telling customers that the shop "is now Muslim".
 In Britain, David Isaac, the new head of the Equalities and Human Rights Commission (EHRC), told employers that they should not suppress Christian tradition out of fear of offending anyone. Previously, Dame Louise Casey, the British government's integration "tsar", warned that "traditions such as Christmas celebrations will die out unless people stand up for British values".
 In many Spanish towns, such as Cenicientos, the municipality of this Autonomous Community of Madrid removed the Christian Stations of the Cross. Then, Madrid's mayor, Manuela Carmena, decided to remove the city's traditional Nativity display at the Puerta de Alcalá.
 Muslims are also reclaiming "the mosque of Cordoba". Authorities in the southern Spanish city recently dealt a blow to the claim of ownership of the cathedral by the Catholic Church. Built on the site of Saint Vincent's church, it then served as a mosque for over 400 years when Islamic Spain was part of a caliphate, before the Christian kingdom of Castile conquered the city and converted it again into a church. Now Islamists want it back.
 Muslims are also reclaiming "the mosque of Cordoba". Authorities in the southern Spanish city recently dealt a blow to the claim of ownership of the cathedral by the Catholic Church. Built on the site of Saint Vincent's church, it then served as a mosque for over 400 years when Islamic Spain was part of a caliphate, before the Christian kingdom of Castile conquered the city and converted it again into a church. (Image source: James (Jim) Gordon/Wikimedia Commons)
 Belgium, the most Islamized democracy in Europe, is also purging its Christian heritage. The Nativity, the traditional manger scene, has not been put up in the Belgian town of Holsbeek, just outside Brussels. Claims were scenes it was scrapped to "avoid offending Muslims".
 As reported by the newspaper La Libre, school calendars within Belgium's French speaking community are also using a new secularized terminology: All Saints Day (Congés de Toussaint) is now be referred to as Autumn Leave (Congé d'automne); Christmas Vacation (Vacances de Noël) is now Winter Vacation (Vacances d'hiver); Lenten Vacation (Congés de Carnaval) is now Rest and Relaxation Leave (Congé de détente); and Easter (Vacances de Pâques) is now Spring Vacation (Vacances de Printemps). Then Belgium installed an abstract, de-Christianized Christmas tree in the capital, Brussels.
 In the Netherlands, the Christian tradition of Black Pete is under attack and it will soon be abolished. In Italy, Catholic priests this year canceled Christmas to "avoid offending Muslims".
 The final result of Europe's self-destructive secularism could seriously be a Caliphate, in which the fate of its ancient and beautiful churches recapitulates those in Constantinople, where the Hagia Sophia, for thousand years Christianity's greatest cathedral, was recently turned into a mosque. The muezzin's call now reverberates inside this Christian landmark for the first time in 85 years.
 Islamic terrorists targeted Christmas in Berlin, but it is the Christian secularists who are abolishing it all over Europe.
 **Giulio Meotti, Cultural Editor for Il Foglio, is an Italian journalist and author.
© 2016 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

How serious is the animosity between Israel and Iran?
Mamoon Alabbasi/The Arab Weekly//December 25/16
Some analysts say Netanyahu’s anti-Iran rhetoric is motivated more by political gains than genuine security fears.
London - The Israeli government confirmed that it was aware that Iran had a 4.5% stake — which could pay Tehran tens of mil­lions of dollars in dividends — in ThyssenKrupp, a German firm that is selling submarines to Tel Aviv.
“We have known Iran was a shareholder in the German com­pany since 2004,” Israeli Defence Minister Avigdor Lieberman said, adding that Israel “had no other al­ternatives”.
The revelations that the state-owned Iran Foreign Investment Company (IFIC) has shares in a Ger­man company that has supplied the Israeli Navy with ships and subma­rines sparked controversy in Israel.
Critics of Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu accused him of seeking to make personal profit from the deal while undermining Israel’s security and breaking Is­raeli law, which bans “trading with the enemy”. The German company is represented in Israel by Netan­yahu’s personal lawyer.
Israel’s Finance Ministry said that the deal does not break Israeli law as Iranian investment in Thyssen­Krupp is too small. Israeli Defence Ministry officials said the German company assured Tel Aviv that Iran did not have access to sensitive in­formation on the submarines.
The episode nevertheless has been embarrassing for Netanyahu, who is a vocal critic of internation­al dealings with Iran, most notably the nuclear deal with the United States and other world powers. Is­raeli arms dealers previously sold military equipment to Iran but such deals are not publicly state-sanctioned.
Netanyahu has at times been at odds with his own defence estab­lishment, which does not share his view regarding the level of threat Iran poses to Israel. Some analysts say Netanyahu’s anti-Iran rhetoric is motivated more by political gains than genuine security fears, as it would distract attention from the occupied Palestinian territories.
They argue that Iran and its prox­ies in Syria, Lebanon and Yemen also exaggerate their animosity towards Israel as that would serve their local and regional interests.
Iran’s rhetoric against Israel is often for local or regional con­sumption. They use the plight of the Palestinians, who are Sunnis, to hide their sectarian agendas in the Middle East,” said Ghassan Ibrahim, a London-based Syrian analyst.
“Take for example Qassem Soleimani, the commander of Iran’s al-Quds (Jerusalem) Force, who is involved in battles in Syria, Iraq and elsewhere but never set foot in Jerusalem,” he added.
“The same could be applied, to a large extent, to Hezbollah. The militant group now dominates Leb­anon in the name of ‘resistance’ against Israel but it is Hezbollah that is making sure that Israel’s bor­ders are not being attacked from anyone in Lebanon.”
Patrick Hilsman, a New York-based journalist who has reported from Syria, said the hostile rheto­ric from Iran, Assad and Hezbollah against Israel cannot be taken seri­ously because all three parties, with the exception of Hezbollah in 2006, have long been avoiding large-scale direct conflict with Israel.
The Syrian regime with the tacit blessing of Iran and Hezbollah has been building stronger relations with Cairo to secure Egyptian sup­port to quash the Syrian rebellion. “If they really cared about Pales­tinians, they would have pressed Egypt, which enjoys good ties with Israel, to open the Rafah border crossing with Gaza,” said Hilsman.
Mohammed Mohsen Abo El- Nour, an Egyptian researcher who specialises in Iranian affairs, ruled out any military conflict between Iran and Israel. “For purely geopo­litical reasons, the two sides (Israel and Iran) do not pose an existential threat towards each other, as they do not share borders,” he said.
Abo El-Nour said the two sides enjoyed strong bilateral relations before the 1979 Islamic revolution but added that even when Iran’s former supreme leader Ruhollah Khomeini took power and sided with the Palestinians, Israel and Iran have never been involved in direct wars against each other.
Iran was at war with Iraq in the 1980s and Israel bombed Iraq early in that decade but neither Tehran nor Tel Aviv were fighting each oth­er, said Abo El-Nour. “Add to that the Iran-Contra scandal,” in the mid-1980s in which Israeli weap­ons were purchased by Iran to fight Iraq, he said.
Mahan Abedin, an Iranian ana­lyst based in London, said that, although Israel and Iran seek to avoid direct clashes, there is strong enmity between them.
“The Israelis struggle to under­stand Iran’s anti-Israel ideology be­cause geopolitically the two coun­tries should not be foes but the Iranian leadership is ideologically committed to Israel’s destruction,” said Abedin.
“Otherwise the Iranians wouldn’t have pursued costly regional poli­cies, such as supporting militant Palestinian and Lebanese groups, which also invited the wrath of the United States, resulting in sanc­tions. If they didn’t believe in it why pay such a high price?”
Iran needs to be seen to be reaching out to Arab Sunnis,” said Abedin. “That’s why (Supreme Leader Ali) Khamenei met with representatives of the Palestinian group Islamic Jihad in the midst of Aleppo battle.”
**Omair Anas, a research fellow at the Indian Council of World Af­fairs, said Iranian-Israeli relations may become less hostile after the departure of Khamenei. “Relations may mature once the new supreme leader is elected and if the exist­ing Western-educated executive of (President) Hassan Rohani and (Foreign Minister) Mohammad Ja­vad Zarif remain popular.”
Mamoon Alabbasi is an Arab Weekly contributing editor based in London. You can follow him on Twitter @MamoonAlabbasi

In Iraq, more than 200 civilians arrested daily
 Mustafa Habib/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
 While numbers of those re­leased are published, releases do not always detail what detainees were charged with.
 Iraqi man showing his documents to policemen as he returns to his home in Falluja
 Mustafa HabibCrisis in Syria continues to reveal outlines of new international competition we thought was dead and buried.
 Baghdad - Official Iraqi statistics tell a worrying tale. They in­dicate that thousands of civilians are arrested and detained every month by a wide variety of security organisa­tions for no good reason.
 One can come by these numbers by following the statistics published between January 2015 and October 2016 in the digital archive of Iraq’s Federal Judiciary Authority, the body that oversees Iraq’s courts. The news releases issued by the Ju­dicial Authority are meant to be a record of courts’ work but, when the numbers are added up, the statistics tell a more controversial story.
 The releases indicate that the majority of detainees were released because the cases against them were found insubstantial. For most, the cases were thrown out before trial. Some were found not guilty in their trials.
 While the numbers of those re­leased are published, the releases do not always detail what the de­tainees were charged with and whether those charges were crimi­nal or related to terrorism. Nor do they tell how long the released Iraqis awaited for that decision — whether they were detained for days or years.
 Meanwhile, the various secu­rity forces involved — including the army, the police and Iraqi intelli­gence — do not publish the number of arrests they have made.
 In 2016, through October, 67,749 detainees were released from pris­ons after they were found not guilty or had been wrongfully detained. Among these were 8,810 accused of terrorist acts. That averages out to 6,775 wrongfully imprisoned locals per month — 223 per day.
 In 2015, there were 88,297 de­tainees released, indicating slightly more wrongful arrests per month and per day: 7,358 and 243, respec­tively.
 June and May of 2016 saw the most detainees released, with close to 11,000 Iraqis discharged each month. It is highly likely that the large number of arrests and re­leases coincided with the Iraqi mili­tary’s campaign against the Islamic State (ISIS) in Anbar province that began at the end of May and ended around mid-June.
 It is obviously difficult to com­pare Iraq’s catch-and-release sta­tistics with other countries’ rates of incarceration, as clearly the Iraqi situation is very different from that of the United Kingdom or the Unit­ed States.
 However, given the lack of Iraqi numbers of arrests, a snapshot may be instructive: For example, Brit­ish prison reformers point out that in 2015, 10,897 citizens remanded in custody — held in prison while awaiting trial — were subsequently acquitted. Statistics from previous years show that, on average, about 12,000 locals were held in remand in Britain before being eventually released.
 In the United States about “20% of detainees [who were in pretrial detention] eventually had their case dismissed or were acquitted”, according to the Americas Quarter­ly, a magazine focused on the West­ern Hemisphere. The study was based on US Justice Department figures from 1990-2004 and that percentage would add up to about 96,000 prisoner releases annually.
 If both the British and US figures are adjusted for population — both countries have many more people than Iraq, with Britain about dou­ble and the United States about ten times more — the annual number of those wrongfully arrested and de­tained in Iraq looks worse. It would appear to indicate that there is a genuine problem in the way that Iraq’s security forces investigate of­fences.
 To try to prevent violence, there are many random detentions taking place in Iraq. In fact, so many ran­dom detentions may be doing more harm than good, in that they dis­rupt the civilian peace and increase conflict between different political forces. Sunni Muslim politicians ac­cuse the security forces of sectarian bias while Shia Muslim politicians criticise those in Sunni-majority provinces of supporting extremists.
 These are not the only unwar­ranted or illegal detentions taking place, some Sunni Muslim critics say. They complain that the Shia Muslim volunteer militias, who re­cently became a legitimate security force in Iraq, have unofficial prisons too, where they hold their enemies illegally. The heads of the militias deny this.
 Ahmed al-Salmani, a member of parliament from Anbar province, has focused on issues pertaining to detainees. An estimated 3,000 residents in Anbar were detained by fighters from Shia Muslim vol­unteer militias. This includes about 2,000 from the Razazah area south of Ramadi in October 2015. Nothing has been heard from these locals since their disappearance.
 In August, Iraq’s parliament passed what is known as the gener­al amnesty law. It was supposed to facilitate the release of thousands of Iraqis imprisoned on what many believe to be a political basis and was aimed at calming sectarian ten­sions in the country.
 The law would encourage amnes­ty for as many as 36,000 detainees. However, looking at the numbers on the Judicial Authority website, that starts to feel like too little, too late.
 To encourage a respect for the rule of law and to avoid accusations of sectarian or political bias, it may be better to begin with a reform of the policy of random and apparent­ly unwarranted detentions.
 Mustafa Habib writes for niqash.org, which originally published this article.
 
The rise of the Russian Phoenix

Mohamed Kawas/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
Crisis in Syria continues to reveal outlines of new international competition we thought was dead and buried.
Historians will see the battle for Aleppo as a turning point that laid the foundation of a new world order that obliterates the maps drawn in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Aleppo is part of a process started in 2011 in which the United States has gradually relinquished its role as world leader. In Syria, the world seems to have entered a grey zone of uncertainties.
Due to the paranoia in reaction to thousands of refugees entering Europe, Britain has voted to exit the European Union. Conserva­tive movements within the European Union are also talking of abandoning ship.
Because of Syria, voices have risen in the West doubting democracy and praising dictator­ship as the best means to impose stability on the world. Thanks in part to Syria, US President-elect Donald Trump has become infatuated with Russian Presi­dent Vladimir Putin and conserv­ative leaders in Europe have followed suit.
Aleppo is a chance to discover the real might of world powers. The United States stayed away from Syria but granted freedom to the rest of the world to inter­vene. Taking their cue from the United States, European coun­tries also preferred to stand aside while others jumped on the opportunity and chose to invest in the Syrian drama.
“The tragedy in Aleppo did not come out of a vacuum; it was created by a vacuum, a vacuum of Western leadership, of American leadership, British leadership,” former British Finance minister George Osborne told parliament.
Turkish-Russian talks about evacuating civilians from eastern Aleppo symbolise US indiffer­ence. The United States has chosen to become a simple observer.
In Syria, as US influence fades, the Russian phoenix rises from the ashes. China has also sneaked in on the Syrian scene and shocked the world by declaring an alliance with Russia, a gesture meant to counteract the potential damage from the American meteorite Trump.
The crisis in Syria continues to reveal the outlines of a new international competition we thought was dead and buried.
Putin would have never started his Syrian adventure if the West were interested in Syria’s fate. It seems the United States is satisfied to have Russia do the job it does not want to do.
US President Barack Obama began rapprochement with Russia and Trump would be happy to continue collaborating with Putin, a figure he admires. For its part, Russia did a good job closing the deal with the United States over chemical weapons in Syria. Thus, Israel is safe and Russia has become a reliable partner.
It might be argued that the real target of the US strategy is China. Whether by seducing Russia or miring it in the Syrian quicksand, China would be deprived of a sizeable ally. This theory is difficult, but not impossible, to defend.
Russia is laying the foundation for a long stay in the region. While the United States antago­nises Iran and Turkey, Russia makes friends with them. Russia knows it is in the interest of Iran and Turkey to become its allies and align themselves with Putin.
The Russian president wants to appear as the major player in Syria. Until further notice, the conflict in Syria is no longer international but regional with Russia playing the leading role. All the major voices in the world calling for the departure of Syrian President Bashar Assad are just ambient noise with no real effect in Syria. What counts in the end are the positions of Moscow, Ankara and Tehran.
**Mohamed Kawas is a Lebanese writer.

The Middle East after Aleppo
Khattar Abu Diab/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
While Russian President Vladimir Putin gains in power, US President Barack Obama is getting ready to leave White House.
The outlook of the Middle East shifts with the changing condi­tions in Syria and Iraq. With the fall of Aleppo, the crises in Syria and the region cross into a phase laden with questions: Will Russia and Iran continue to cooperate in defining Syria’s future? How will Donald Trump’s administration in the United States react to emerging Russian dominance in parts of the Middle East? How will other players in the region, namely Turkey, Israel and Saudi Arabia, react? Do European powers have a role to play in the Middle East a century after the Sykes-Picot agreement?
The fall of eastern Aleppo would not have been possible were it not for the combination of the United States abandoning the Syrian revo­lutionary movement following the September 2013 chemical weapons deal with Russia, Turkey turning to Russia, Arab countries lacking unity and Europe being weak. While Russian President Vladimir Putin gains in power, US President Barack Obama is getting ready to leave the White House dragging behind him the weight of the disaster in Syria and his overall measly performance in foreign policy. He simply abandoned the region for a strategic breach by Russia and Iran’s expansionism.
He abandoned Aleppo to its fate without a word. He was like Judas, especially when Syrian President Bashar Assad tried to secure a victory in Aleppo, even though he played only a secondary role, while Iran was boasting about “divine victories”.
This new Middle East is a sanctu­ary for chaos that started with the destruction of Iraq in 2003. It has become a laboratory for a Russia eager to avenge its humiliation after losing the Cold War. It is also a growth zone for wars among Mus­lims as Arab countries are ripped apart, Israel remains safe and the Kurds impose themselves as major regional players.
Russia failed to prevent Islamic State (ISIS) forces from retaking the strategic and historical town of Pal­myra. Borders and entities in Syria continue to shift depending on the whims of US-Russian coordination, or lack of it, in the so-called war on terrorism.
UN Envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura is waiting for the bat­tle for Idlib to definitely unfold while evacuation operations from eastern Aleppo face difficulties. On the ground, the two major play­ers — Russia and Iran — are still in disagreement. Most likely, the situation will shift in accordance with the Russian vision. The coor­dination meeting between Russia, Turkey and Iran on December 27th will be a chance to discover Putin’s orientations and priorities.
Tehran and Damascus might pre­fer to carry the military momen­tum towards Douma, Homs, Daraa and Idlib but this may not suit Rus­sian intentions. It is quite plausible that Putin will stop at the victory in Aleppo and use it in negotiations with Trump.
It is clear that Aleppo’s fall will not put an end to the suffering of the Syrian people in the absence of a realistic political solution. Russia needs to learn from the situation in Iraq, where armed conflicts have continued to rage since the US-led invasion of 2003 and where both the United States and Iran failed to establish a fair and representative system of government. On a wider scale, the dawn of a new stable Middle East cannot rise on the basis of injustice, hegem­ony, intolerance and extremism. It must be built on compromise, citizenship and acceptance of the other. For that to happen, the region must cease to be used as playground of the major regional and world powers to the detriment of its peoples and their civilisa­tions.

UN tiptoes back to Golan as Syrian tensions simmer
Nicholas Blanford/The Arab Weekly/December 25/16
Beirut - The UN observer force in the Golan Heights has, because of deteriorating security in the area, in­cluding the capture and subsequent release of Fijian peace­keepers, begun a tentative phased return to positions abandoned more than two years ago.
In November, 150 Fijian, Nepa­lese and Indian soldiers with the UN Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF) returned to Camp Faouar in northern Quneitra province in the Golan Heights but concerns have been raised that their return could upset the delicate military balance between Syrian troops and rebel groups on the strategic vol­canic plateau that overlooks north­ern Israel.
The relatively lightly armed UN soldiers could find themselves caught in the middle of fighting between loyalist and rebel forces, potentially making them vulner­able to attacks by militants.
Another complicating factor, and one that has sharpened ten­sions in the region, is that Iran and Hezbollah have an interest in the Golan that extends beyond their immediate conflict with rebel groups opposed to their ally, Syr­ian President Bashar Assad.
Hezbollah, under Iranian guid­ance, has constructed a network of bunkers and firing positions in the northern Golan in an apparent effort to open a new front against Israel, say sources close to the Leb­anese group.
In January 2015, Israeli missile-firing drones killed five Hezbollah soldiers, including the son of the group’s former military chief, and General Mohammed Allahdadi of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps near Khan Arnabeh in the Syrian government-held part of the Golan. It was a clear warning by Israel to Iran and Hezbollah to keep their distance. Sources close to Hezbol­lah said Allahdadi had been tour­ing the new underground military facilities when he was killed.
 Israel has said that opening a new front in the Golan against it constitutes a “red line” requiring action if breached.
 For now, it is unlikely that Hez­bollah intends to mount any mili­tary action against Israel from the Golan while Assad’s allies are heavily engaged in battle in north­ern Syria. But with the United Na­tions scheduled to send an addi­tional platoon of peacekeepers to the Golan next April, the fragile military balance risks being upset in a volatile slice of Middle East real estate that links Syria’s war to Hezbollah’s long struggle against Israel.
 Syrian troops took over Camp Faouar in September 2014 after the UN forces withdrew. The Syrians destroyed the camp and laced the area with landmines to block rebel groups from operating in the area.
 The UNDOF was established in 1974 to oversee the ceasefire agree­ment that ended the Arab-Israeli war of the previous year. The Unit­ed Nations patrols and monitors a narrow corridor of territory sepa­rating the opposing forces.
 In August 2014, 45 Fijian observ­ers were abducted, then released, by the jihadist group al-Nusra Front, now known as Jabhat Fateh al-Sham. Another UN group of 72 Filipinos was besieged by militants but escaped.
 Amid the collapsing security situation, the United Nations in September 2014 ordered a UNDOF withdrawal from the Bravo Line — the eastern perimeter of the area of separation. The western side re­mained manned.
 Today, in the southern sector, rebel groups are consumed by fac­tional fighting. This has prevent­ed sizeable rebel reinforcements from moving north to assist in a stand-off with government forces between the loyalist-held Khan Arnabeh salient and the rebel-held Beit Jinn area at the foot of Mount Hermon, the highest peak in the region.
 The Khan Arnabeh salient allows the Syrian Army to dominate al­most all the territory west to the Al­pha Line, beyond which the Israeli Army is deployed, hampering the rebels’ ability to reach their forces in the proximity of Camp Faouar.
 These days, most of the fighting in the northern Golan is limited to daily exchanges of fire and there seems to be little appetite to en­gage in any major confrontation.
 “There’s a finely balanced equa­tion in play,” a UN military source said. For the Syrian regime, “the area’s at the bottom of the strate­gic food chain and the priority is to maintain the situation with the absolute minimum of force”, the source said.
 However, reintroducing UNDOF into the northern Golan could up­set that balance. The peacekeepers will replace Syrian troops currently deployed in the UN posts, taking advantage of their lofty views over the terrain, freeing Syrian soldiers for new offensives against rebels in the northern Golan.
 Rebel forces may have baulked at trying to capture the hilltop UN posts when they were defended by Syrian troops but may feel they have a better chance against the in­coming peacekeepers.
 **Nicholas Blanford is the author of Warriors of God: Inside Hezbollah’s Thirty-Year Struggle Against Israel (Random House 2011). He lives in Beirut.