Iran Between Procrastination, Sabotaging and Nuclear Proliferation Charles Elias Chartouni/June 08/2020 شارل الياس شرتوني: إيران بين التسويف والتخريب وانتشار الأسلحة النووية
The conventional tools of Iranian foreign policy are seizing upon the ongoing American travails to perpetuate its circumvention tactics, Middle Eastern subversion politics and nuclear sanctuarization.
Its late political course was predicated on the eventual reelection of Donald Trump, whereas, the actual political dynamics in the US are blurring the lines, and opening up the political repertoire, in case Donald Trump gets defeated in the forthcoming elections.
President Trump, in an obvious attempt to boost his re-election credentials, extends an invitation to Iran to reengage the negotiation process (after the late prisoners exchange), and the Iranian regime demonstrates its disinclination on account of the uncertainties of the forthcoming US presidential elections.
A realistic assessment of the eventual scenarios developing on the heels of a long hauled conflict should set down its markers and move beyond delusions and false expectations: the Iranian regime is unlikely to engage any normalization scenario for internal considerations which equate international normalization with internal liberalization, and henceforth, its willingness to reengage the international community is inherently tainted by ambiguity.
The nuclear accord was painstakingly negotiated by a chivvied Iranian diplomacy, saddled with shadowy commitments and symmetric sabotaging politics, which instrumentalized it to launch an overall destabilization strategy throughout the larger Middle East. The unraveling of the normalization dynamic started under Obama and came to completion under Trump, and is unlikely to be reviewed under Joe Biden, if ever elected.
The waffling modus operandi of Iranian Mullahs is no coincidence, it’s the expression of an embedded religious ethos, the double speak of a cynical and totalitarian dictatorship, the hazards of geopolitics, and the undermined legitimacy of a failed State. One should not be fooled by false projections associated to power rotation in Washington-DC, and any future policy course should be framed on the crossroads between the ongoing sanctions and a well crafted diplomacy, to checkmate the deliberate equivocations of deceitful statecraft.