English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For June 13/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
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Bible Quotations For today
We bless; when persecuted, we endure; when slandered, we speak kindly. We have become like the rubbish of the world, the dregs of all things, to this very day.

First Letter to the Corinthians 04/09-16: “For I think that God has exhibited us apostles as last of all, as though sentenced to death, because we have become a spectacle to the world, to angels and to mortals. We are fools for the sake of Christ, but you are wise in Christ. We are weak, but you are strong. You are held in honour, but we in disrepute. To the present hour we are hungry and thirsty, we are poorly clothed and beaten and homeless, and we grow weary from the work of our own hands. When reviled, we bless; when persecuted, we endure; when slandered, we speak kindly. We have become like the rubbish of the world, the dregs of all things, to this very day. I am not writing this to make you ashamed, but to admonish you as my beloved children. For though you might have ten thousand guardians in Christ, you do not have many fathers. Indeed, in Christ Jesus I became your father through the gospel. I appeal to you, then, be imitators of me.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 12-13/2023
Al-Rahi urges respect for 'dignities' after Franjieh's Baroud slur
National Moderation bloc says won't vote for Azour or Franjieh
Raad says rivals 'using' Azour to block election of 'resistance candidate'
Geagea: Hezbollah wants its candidate or to hell with presidency
Aoun: Every party has right to have candidate without being accused of treason
Aoun slams Hezbollah over 'treason accusations, threats'
Jihad Azour's candidacy statement: Pledges for Lebanon's unity, sovereignty, and national accord
Lebanon: Jihad Azour and Suleiman Frangieh officially declare presidential candidacies/Jamie Prentis/The National/June 12, 2023
Lebanese government calls for UN pressure on Israel's violations of the Blue Line
Presidential discussions: National Moderation Bloc and Change MPs seek national consensus
Damour property reclamation at stake: Nazem Ahmad obtains license from Public Works Minister
Caretaker Agriculture Minister affirms strategic plan for soft wheat cultivation
Mikati to UNIFIL’S Lazaro: Lebanon committed to provisions of 1701, coordination between Lebanese Army and UNIFIL
Mikati chairs meeting over electricity dossier in Palestinian, Syrian refugee camps
Berri broaches developments with French Ambassador, meets South African Ambassador
GS's Baissari meets Lebanese-Kuwaiti Businessmen Council delegation, Danish ambassador, Karim Pakradouni
Maronite Church Synod activities kick off in Bkerki
Riad Salameh is Now the Face of Lebanon’s Corruption Problem/Alexander Langlois/The National Interest/June 12/2023
Inside the rare 'convergence' by Lebanon's rival Christian parties over Jihad Azour/Jamie Prentis/The National/June 12, 2023

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 12-13/2023
U.S. Denies Reports of Cash Offers to Iran for Limited Enrichment Concessions
Iran says indirect talks with US continue via Oman
Iranian president in Caracas, kicking off regional tour
Draining reservoir from Ukraine's destroyed dam is revealing World War II weapons
France to intensify arms delivery to help Ukraine counter-offensive -Macron
The stealth strategy giving Ukraine the edge in counter-offensive
Russian fighter killed in northern Syria -monitor, security source
Israeli opposition leader says Netanyahu tried to get him to back tax breaks for
Sudan war traps civilians after ceasefire ends
Mikdad visits Syrian Embassy HQ in Riyadh, inspects preparations for its reopening
Enhancing cooperation: Syrian-Saudi relations extend to the Pacific Islands
Connecting the world: Riyadh Air to link Saudi capital with 100+ global destinations
NATO begins unprecedented air drill in 'show of strength'
US decides to rejoin UNESCO and pay back dues after Palestine row
Israel's opposition leader testifies at Netanyahu's corruption trial
Palestinian shot, four detained during Israeli raid in Nablus
Turkish shelling in north Syria kills a Russian soldier, wounds others
Iraq MPs approve budget granting Baghdad upper hand over Kurdish oil

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 12-13/2023
Boris Johnson's exit creates a test for Rishi Sunak/Gavin Esler/The National/June 12/2023
The United Nations' Jihad Against Israel/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute./June 12, 2023
Egypt Renovates and Rededicates Mosque to Notorious Religious Persecutor and Mass Slaver/Raymond Ibrahim/Coptic Solidarity./June 12, 2023
Blinken and the Diplomacy of Rebuilding Trust/Sam Menassa/Asharq Al Awsat/June 12/2023
Saving Russia and the World/Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al Awsat/June 12/2023

Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 12-13/2023
Al-Rahi urges respect for 'dignities' after Franjieh's Baroud slur

Naharnet/June 12/2023
Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi on Monday stressed that running for president and nominating a president are “democratic and constitutional” rights. “Respecting the dignities of candidates is an ethical and essential right in order to live together in peace, confidence and cooperation for the sake of our same country,” al-Rahi added. His remarks come a day after Marada Movement chief Suleiman Franjieh addressed an apparent slur to ex-minister Ziad Baroud, a potential presidential candidate, using a Lebanese term that roughly translates into “unmanly” or “soft.”Baroud himself considered it a “personal insult,” telling Franjieh that “insulting people does not make you a strong person.”

National Moderation bloc says won't vote for Azour or Franjieh
Naharnet/June 12/2023
MP Walid al-Baarini of the largely-Sunni National Moderation bloc has said that the grouping of lawmakers will attend Wednesday’s presidential election session without voting for Suleiman Franjieh or Jihad Azour. “Amid the current alignments, the bloc will only take part in the elections through a consensual candidate on whom most parliamentary blocs would agree,” Baarini told the al-Anbaa news portal of the Progressive Socialist Party. “The election of a president amid this rift and sharp divisions will not lead the country to the shore of safety,” the MP warned.

Raad says rivals 'using' Azour to block election of 'resistance candidate'
Naharnet/June 12/2023
The head of Hezbollah’s parliamentary bloc, MP Mohammed Raad, on Monday accused the rival camp of “using” ex-minister Jihad Azour to block the election of “the candidate of the resistance,” in reference to Marada Movement chief Suleiman Franjieh. “The people of the resistance are being competed against by a group of Lebanese who are nominating and backing a person whom they don’t want to be elected as president. They are only using him to block the election of the candidate of the resistance,” Raad said. “National partnership is to fulfill the interests of all Lebanese without iscrimination, selectivity or persecution of anyone, but others understand national partnership as the use of another group of Lebanese to achieve their partisan interests at the expense of all Lebanese,” the MP added.

Geagea: Hezbollah wants its candidate or to hell with presidency
Naharnet/June 12/2023
Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea has accused the Axis of Defiance of over-reacting to the nomination of former minister Jihad Azour. "They called him Tel Aviv's candidate and an American conspiracy between the LF and the Free Patriotic Movement," Geagea told Nidaa al-Watan newspaper, in remarks published Monday."It is clear that Hezbollah wants to impose its candidate or to hell with the presidency," Geagea said. "They want to undermine the democratic game and the national partnership," he added. Geagea said that the "Axis of Defiance" might block the June 14 session's quorum, warning that his rival political camp might use other ways to obstruct the presidential election. "They might strip the session from its quorum from the first round, not necessarily from the second," Geagea claimed.

Aoun: Every party has right to have candidate without being accused of treason
Naharnet/June 12/2023
Ex-president and Free Patriotic Movement founder Michel Aoun has stressed that “our system is democratic and our constitution protects freedom of opinion.”“Accordingly, every political party has the right to have a presidential candidate, without that drawing a rhetoric of treason accusations and threats of biblical proportions,” Aoun tweeted. “Respecting the other and their rights is part of the foundations of national unity and coexistence,” he added. “Those who want the country must respect these principles,” the former president stressed.

Aoun slams Hezbollah over 'treason accusations, threats'

Naharnet/June 12/2023
Ex-president Michel Aoun on Monday criticized Hezbollah for launching “treason accusations and threats through newspapers.”“I did not let them down, neither in the July War, nor in keenness on the resistance nor in the confrontation against Daesh (Islamic State group),” Aoun said in an interview with the journalist Sami Kleib, when asked whether a mending of ties between Hezbollah and the Free Patriotic Movement is possible.“I have not said anything against them. Should my reward be treason accusations and threats through newspapers?” Aoun wondered. Told that FPM chief Jebran Bassil has escalated his rhetoric in recent months, the ex-president said: “Jebran talks politics and we and (Hezbollah chief) Sayyed (Hassan) Nasrallah have repeatedly agreed that a political dispute does not negate the friendship.”“Is it reasonable to be accused of treason because we have merely rejected a supposed candidate?” the ex-president added. Asked how the “problem” can be “overcome,” Aoun said: “We did not start it and democracy stipulates the freedom of choice. The other party must make the first step towards the solution.”As for his recent meeting with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and whether Damacus is pressing for Suleiman Franjieh’s election, Aoun said: “I did not feel any pressure and we only discussed this issue in a swift manner.” “The Syrian president has told me more than once that they do not interfere in the presidency and do not want to interfere,” the president added.

Jihad Azour's candidacy statement: Pledges for Lebanon's unity, sovereignty, and national accord
NNA/June 12/2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/119038/119038/
Former Minister Jihad Azour issued a statement on Monday in which he thanked the political parties and blocs, the independent and Change MPs who nominated him as a "moderate and inclusive" candidate for the presidency at a stage that is "one of the most delicate and difficult in the history of our beloved country." In the statement, Azour stated that "I do not want my candidacy to be the minimum intersection between the positions and projects of the various political forces, but rather the maximum convergence between the dreams of the Lebanese men and women for a homeland that we all deserve, a free, independent and prosperous master." He stated he is not "the scion of an old political family […] Nor am I the son of a partisan experience with full respect for the Lebanese parties without exception." He denied being a "champion" of one sect in the face of another sect, saying that he belongs to the Lebanese experience, affirming that "Jihad Azour is not a challenge to anyone." Jihad Azour stated that the only challenge is restoring this experience, with all the reforms it requires, for future generations to meet the opportunities he had, instead of ending up with desperate generations carried to Western and Easters countries "by one of the most dangerous waves of migration in Lebanon's modern history." He affirmed that his candidacy is a call for unity, breaking alignments, and searching for common grounds to get out of the crisis.
In the statement, he revealed that the "gigantic" economic challenges Lebanon is facing and the serious social unrest the country and its people are experiencing are not just abstract concepts or statistics and numbers.
"They are bitter daily experiences that the Lebanese live, united by fatigue, anxiety, and fear of the future. They are the stories of the daily struggle to cover the minimum elements of human dignity."
He stated that they have no choice but to put aside divisions, transcend narrow alignments and considerations, and unite on one common goal, which is to save our country, adding that the Lebanese and the younger generation deserve that their leaders seek to fortify the country's unity with a comprehensive rescue project that crosses sects and alignments.
"Indeed, Lebanon's problems are not easy to solve, but they can be dealt with. Throughout my human and practical experience, I have learned that complex problems do not solve themselves, nor do they disappear by ignoring or wishing. At the same time, I saw for myself the enormous capacity for recovery and growth when there are the right strategies, the sincere will to change, and the reliance on joint action," the statement added. Affirming, "We are all concerned with breaking the isolation of our country as much as possible."  Azour noted that he wants his candidacy to be an inspiration for hope, not a reason for fear, and a contribution to the solution and not an element added to the crisis, saying that since he belongs to the school of dialogue and convergence, "I start from here with an outstretched hand so that the dialogue includes all components and partner political forces in the country based on convergence to achieve a national consensus that Lebanon needs most." Additionally, he stated that he is here on a simple and significant mission, which is to get out of the situation as soon as possible and to establish a prosperous future in which Lebanon will return to being a source of radiance and leadership thanks to the scientific and cultural capabilities of its children and youth. "The soul and pulse of Lebanon are its people, who on every occasion expressed their yearning for cohesion, unity, and joy in our common Lebanese identity that transcends any regional, religious, or political affiliation," the statement continued.
However, Jihad Azour confirmed that translating this aspiration into reality requires a set of elements, the foremost of which is complete independence from any external interference, protection of the land and full sovereignty, restoration of consideration for the state and its institutions, adherence to the constitution, and the fortification of the national accord through its full implementation with all its components. Adding that, he will also work, in cooperation with everyone, to reconnect what was severed with the Arab surroundings and with other countries of the world.
"I am committed to leading this change, and I cannot do it alone. I need every Lebanese woman and man to be part of this adventure so that we can work hand in hand to restore Lebanon's glory and ensure a prosperous future for all of us. And if I am lucky, I will seek to be the bridge to the future, reconciliation, and the guarantee of coexistence based on trust, cooperation, and openness," Jihad Azour affirmed in the statement.

Lebanon: Jihad Azour and Suleiman Frangieh officially declare presidential candidacies
Jamie Prentis/The National/June 12, 2023
Parliament is set to reconvene on Wednesday in bid to elect next president and end seven-month vacuum.
Jihad Azour and Suleiman Frangieh have officially declared their candidacies to be Lebanon's next president and end the seven-month presidential vacuum. After a five-month hiatus, presidential election sessions will resume on Wednesday. Powerful parliamentary speaker Nabih Berri, leader of the Amal Movement, had refused to schedule sessions until at least two serious candidates emerged. In the 11 previous sessions, no person had come anywhere near to reaching the required vote threshold. It was no secret that Mr Azour and Mr Frangieh were the candidates of key factions within the 128-seat parliament. Mr Frangieh, the scion of a prominent north Lebanon family and a close friend of Syria's President Bashar Al Assad, has been backed by the powerful Iran-backed armed group and political party Hezbollah and its Shiite ally Amal. But only a small amount of Christian MPs are expected to back him, including his son Tony. In Lebanon's confessional system, the role of president is reserved for a Maronite Christian. Mr Azour is backed by Lebanon's largest Christian parties, some of which are traditionally rivals. But they have found a "convergence" around Mr Azour, in their bid to block Mr Frangieh's candidacy. Officially announcing his candidacy on Monday, Mr Azour – normally a senior official at the International Monetary Fund, although he has taken a leave of absence to avoid accusations of conflict of interest – insisted he was not a "challenge" candidate. Supporters of Mr Azour insist he is not a confrontational candidate, even though Hezbollah insists he is. The IMF official said in a statement that he wanted to be a candidate of "hope", especially given how bitterly divided Lebanon is and the economic crisis from which it is suffering. Announcing his candidacy on Sunday, Mr Frangieh said nothing united his rivals and all they sought to do was boycott him. He called for dialogue and insisted he did not seek to impose his candidacy on anyone. But Mr Frangieh also hit out at his rivals. He said some claimed to want a candidate outside of the ruling classes of Lebanon but instead had backed someone from the heart of the traditional system. Mr Azour was Lebanon's finance minister from 2005-2008.

Lebanese government calls for UN pressure on Israel's violations of the Blue Line
LBCI/June 12/2023
What has been happening recently near the southern border of Lebanon in the towns of Kfarchouba and al-Adeisseh? While authorities agree that there is no cause for major concern, an incident in Kfarchouba last week has raised some fears. During a protest against encroachments on their land, Israeli forces targeted the demonstrators with tear gas canisters, sparking concerns about potential security risks. In order to prevent any security escalation, the incident was promptly discussed by the Prime Minister and the Commander of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), General Aroldo Lázaro, during their meeting at the Grand Serail on Monday.The Lebanese government reaffirmed its commitment to UN Security Council Resolution 1701 and stressed the coordination between the Lebanese Armed Forces and UNIFIL in maintaining stability along the southern border.
In addition to these discussions, the Lebanese side called on the UN to pressure Israel to cease its repeated violations of the Blue Line and Lebanese sovereignty. The Lebanese government also urged Israel to halt its encroachments within Lebanese territory, as these actions contribute to dangerous tensions.
While the situation in Kfarchouba has calmed down, Israeli military activity has been observed in the middle sector, particularly near the town of al-Adeisseh. Israeli forces have deployed three Merkava tanks, a D9 bulldozer, and excavation equipment at the B78 point. They have started excavating and constructing earth barriers, extending from occupied Palestinian territories into Lebanese territories under preservation. Near Markaba, 25 Israeli soldiers crossed the gate near the fence and conducted maintenance work on barbed wire without breaching the Blue Line.
However, Israeli tanks pointed towards Lebanese territories, prompting a similar reaction from the Lebanese Army. Commenting on the events in al-Adeisseh and Markaba, authorities emphasized that the situation in al-Adeisseh is routine, and the army's presence in the area where construction works occur is natural. They further reassured that the situation in the south remains stable.

Presidential discussions: National Moderation Bloc and Change MPs seek national consensus

LBCI/June 12/2023
After meeting the National Moderation Bloc and Change MPs to discuss the presidential file, MP Mohammad Sleiman announced that they would be present in all sessions of the first and second rounds and would not obstruct any quorum stating that they would have a candidate. However, he emphasized that their priority is to complete the presidential process rather than the number of votes, saying, "we are against sharp divisions that hinder the election of a president, and our meetings will remain open until Wednesday. We do not favor vertical divisions but rather national consensus that produces a president."As for MP Imad Hout, he stressed that they would not announce a suitable candidate in order to allow room for discussion with other parties. He stated, "our options are open, and we are still consulting with several MPs whose stances align with ours." Furthermore, Hout added, "we are not focused on numbers of votes but rather on the presidential elections. We have a point of view, but we will not announce the suitable name to allow for discussion with the other parties."

Damour property reclamation at stake: Nazem Ahmad obtains license from Public Works Minister
LBCI/June 12/2023
In Damour, Nazem Said Ahmad has obtained a license from the Public Works Minister to reclaim and restore properties submerged by the sea. However, Minister Ali Hamieh confirmed that the license is based on a permit from the Damour Municipality and authenticated maps, as the properties are privately owned. Hamieh expressed his astonishment at how the municipality granted the permit and then halted the work. The minister emphasizes that the license holder must implement any regulations the Environment Ministry sets. On the other hand, there is an opinion that asserts the duty of the Public Works Minister to protect public property. According to Decree 1925, public property is defined as the highest point reached by the waves and sand dunes. These areas in Damour have become public property, and many countries worldwide have a trend of not reclaiming them. Nevertheless, the land reclamation operations will affect the unity and continuity of the beach.

Caretaker Agriculture Minister affirms strategic plan for soft wheat cultivation
LBCI/June 12/2023
Caretaker Agriculture Minister, Abbas Al Hajj Hassan, emphasized that the strategic plan for cultivating soft wheat is a national plan that must be maintained. It is considered a top priority for the current government and will be one of the critical elements in the agricultural work strategy for the upcoming government. The Cabinet and the Economy Ministry have called for expediting the process of purchasing soft wheat, durum wheat, and barley from Lebanese farmers in accordance with previous decisions made by the Cabinet. This comes as the harvest season has already begun in areas such as Akkar and will soon commence in the Bekaa region.

Mikati to UNIFIL’S Lazaro: Lebanon committed to provisions of 1701, coordination between Lebanese Army and UNIFIL
NNA/June 12/2023
Caretaker Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, on Monday reaffirmed "Lebanon's commitment to the provisions of International Resolution 1701 and coordination between the Lebanese Army and UNIFIL forces to maintain stability in the south and along the Lebanese borders." Moreover, the Premiere called on the United Nations to "pressure Israel to stop its repeated violations of the Blue Line and of Lebanese sovereignty and to stop activities within Lebanese territories because this matter sparks serious tensions." "Lebanon adheres to its right to recover its occupied lands and not to abandon them,” Mikati added. The Prime Minister’s words came before UNIFIL Commander-in-Chief, General Aroldo Lazaro, who visited him in the company of UNIFIL Deputy Head of Mission, Herve Lecoq. The meeting, which also took place in the presence of Caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants, Abdallah Bou Habib, also touched on the security situation in South Lebanon.

Mikati chairs meeting over electricity dossier in Palestinian, Syrian refugee camps
NNA/June 12/2023
Caretaker Prime Minister, Najib Mikati, on Monday chaired a meeting at the Grand Serail to discuss the electricity dossier in Palestinian and Syrian refugee camps, in the presence of Caretaker Energy and Water Minister, Walid Fayyad, United Nations Coordinator for Humanitarian Aid, Imran Reza, UNRWA Affairs Director in Lebanon, Dorothee Klaus, Electricité du Liban chairman, Kamal Hayek, and others. Following the meeting, Minister Fayyad announced that "electricity bills must be paid with the cost of production, distribution, maintenance, and salaries.”
"The Lebanese are not required to cover the cost of power consumption by Syrians and Palestinians. Each party must cover the cost of its own consumption," he added. Fayyad went on to explain that there would be two technical committees; the first dealing Syrian camps, and the second dealing with Palestinian camps. “Electricité du Liban has finished setting up about 900 meters in Syrian camps,” he added. In response to a question about the UN and UNRWA agreement to cover the costs, Fayyad said, "They have expressed their willingness to address this issue and seek solutions, and I found it very necessary to draw their attention to this pressing issue.”

Berri broaches developments with French Ambassador, meets South African Ambassador
NNA/June 12/2023
House Speaker, Nabih Berri, on Monday welcomed at the Second Presidency in Ain El-Tineh, South Africa’s Ambassador to Lebanon and Syria Barry Philip Gilder, and they discussed the current general situation in Lebanon and the region, and the bilateral relations between the two countries. Speaker Berri also met in Ain El-Tineh, with French Ambassador to Lebanon, Anne Grillo, with whom he discussed the latest political developments and the general situation, especially the presidential election entitlement. Ambassador Grillo made no statement on emerging.

GS's Baissari meets Lebanese-Kuwaiti Businessmen Council delegation, Danish ambassador, Karim Pakradouni
NNA/June 12/2023
Acting Director General of General Security, Brigadier General Elias Baissari, on Monday received in his office, a delegation from the Lebanese-Kuwaiti Businessmen Council, headed by Asaad Al-Saqqal, with talks reportedly touching on the Council’s activities. Brigadier General Baissari also met with the Danish Ambassador to Lebanon, Christoffer Vivike, and discussed with him matters of common interest.
Baissari then received former President of the Kataeb Party, Karim Pakradouni, with whom he discussed the general situation.

Maronite Church Synod activities kick off in Bkerki
NNA/June 12/2023
The Patriarchal edifice in Bkerki on Monday kicked off the activities of the Maronite Church’s Synod headed by Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Mar Beshara Boutros Al-Rahi, in the presence of bishops representing sects in Lebanon and abroad. “The Patriarchate is at an equal distance from all the presidential candidates and supports the accomplishment of the presidential election with a consensual and democratic spirit,” Al-Rahi stressed in his opening speech.

Riad Salameh is Now the Face of Lebanon’s Corruption Problem

Alexander Langlois/The National Interest/June 12/2023
The recently-issued arrest warrants for the country’s central banker represent an ever-growing skepticism amongst the international community of Lebanon’s elites and its capacity to govern in a technocratic and effective manner.
The unfortunate narrative that has defined Lebanon for much of its existence is one of corruption and conflict, culminating in the country’s current (and worst) economic and political crisis. France’s May 16 decision to issue an arrest warrant, followed by a similar May 23 German arrest warrant, for the embattled Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh and two associates offers no exception to this dynamic—hitting the small eastern Mediterranean country’s former financial paragon with money laundering and fraud charges just months before he steps down after nearly thirty years at the helm of the Banque Du Liban.
Yet Paris and Berlin’s decision is hardly the end of the road for Salameh or Beirut’s deeply rooted corruption problem. Rather, the move represents an ever-growing skepticism amongst the international community of Lebanon’s elites and its capacity to govern in a technocratic and effective manner.
France and Germany are only two of many other states currently investigating the central bank chief. Switzerland, Liechtenstein, and Luxembourg are also investigating Salameh for similar concerns related to money laundering and fraud. Each case focuses on some or all aspects of roughly $300 million in transfers to European banks from Lebanon via the central bank, which was used to buy various properties and other assets. Investigators and other anti-corruption experts assert the funds likely belong to the Lebanese people. In line with these investigations, France, Germany, and Luxembourg seized assets worth $130 million in early March 2022. Swiss media has reported up to $300 to $500 million in assets embezzled into twelve Swiss banks.
Lebanon is also actively investigating Salameh in spite of strong political resistance from the country’s thoroughly co-opted judicial system. Led for some time by Judge Ghada Aoun—who has become renowned within anti-corruption circles for her brave attempts to hold Lebanon’s banking sector accountable—charged Salameh with illicit enrichment in early 2022. Following a year of back-and-forth questioning and obstruction, the Lebanese judiciary’s disciplinary council removed Aoun from office. She is currently appealing the decision, allowing her to remain in office today.
Salameh continues to deny all charges against him, both in Lebanon and abroad. His brother Raja and a former assistant also deny charges that they aided the governor in efforts to transfer and hide funds in Europe. While all three of these individuals have attended rounds of questioning in Europe and Lebanon with investigators, they have actively delayed the investigation numerous times with the help of Lebanese officials. For example, Lebanon’s Court of Cassation granted Salameh and every central bank employee sweeping legal immunities in September 2022, protecting them from Lebanon’s already poorly enforced banking regulations.
Salameh and associates have also regularly cited health problems or violations of Lebanese sovereignty to avoid hearings and depositions, culminating in his refusal to attend a May 15 hearing or recognize the rights of the investigators that led to the French and German arrest warrants. Rather than cooperate with the Interpol red notice released, however, Lebanese officials instituted a travel ban on Salameh.
Lebanese prime minister Najib Mikati has previously defended the bank chief, recently arguing alongside Salameh that he will complete his term that ends in July, given there is no serious replacement. It should be noted that Mikati and his brother, Taha, have deep ties to Lebanon’s banking system and connections to specific bank transfers facilitated by Raja Salameh between Lebanon and Europe—a point of investigation by the government of Monaco. That said, others in Lebanon—such as Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah—have openly called for his resignation. Critically, Lebanese law makes it illegal to extradite Lebanese citizens. Thus, Salameh finds himself in a bind but is still largely protected by Lebanon’s ruling class. For figures like Nasrallah, the central bank governor represents low-hanging fruit and is easy to criticize publicly—especially to distract from Hezbollah’s corrupt actions and participation in a government that is increasingly understood to sit at the core of the country’s rot. Other politicians may increasingly concur that Salameh represents an easy target and scapegoat. The question is whether this effectively distracts from the Beirut government’s broader failures inside the country, especially as the international community already understands the country’s elites to be the root cause of Lebanon’s slow collapse.
While unlikely, it would be a mistake for the international community to view Salameh as the sole source of Lebanon’s corruption problem or an easy win to push addressing root issues to the future. While he likely is a key architect of Beirut’s currency exchange Ponzi scheme, his removal from the central bank will not cure the country’s vast corruption problems as he is simply one actor amongst many robbing the Lebanese people. Ultimately, broader political issues—namely banking secrecy, capital controls, and judicial independence reforms—will play a much more transformative role in solving Lebanon’s long-running issues. That being said, accountability measures must be implemented in parallel with such reforms.
For this reason, Salameh can and should be made an example of Lebanon’s near-term future—namely, one that holds corrupt officials to account for crimes that plunder the country at the expense of the average Lebanese citizen. But Salameh cannot be the beginning and end of such efforts. World leaders can support such efforts if they give the Lebanon file a higher priority. This includes supporting the International Monetary Fund’s reform plan through a combination of carrots and sticks that entice Beirut’s leaders and empower the independent opposition. More important, although less realistic anytime soon, should be a broader effort to combat the international kleptocracy that has come to define the neoliberal order and bolstered corrupt actors across the globe.
*Alexander Langlois is a foreign policy analyst focused on the Middle East and North Africa. He holds an M.A. in International Affairs from American University’s School of International Service. Follow him at @langloisajl.
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/lebanon-watch/riad-salameh-now-face-lebanon%E2%80%99s-corruption-problem-206546

Inside the rare 'convergence' by Lebanon's rival Christian parties over Jihad Azour
Jamie Prentis/The National/June 12, 2023
Exclusive: Parties traditionally at odds tell The National why they have gathered behind the candidacy of the IMF official.
All concerned insist it is a “convergence”, not an agreement.
Lebanon's largest Christian parties, traditionally rivals, have come together in a rare, informal understanding to vote for International Monetary Fund official Jihad Azour to end a seven-month presidential vacuum.
This coming together of some of the country's largest and oldest Christian parties, as well as Christian and Muslim independents, resulted in key players announcing their backing for Mr Azour before parliament convenes for the 12th time to elect a president on Wednesday. And while they normally might be at each other's throats in and outside parliament, they hold common ground on one thing – they do not want Suleiman Frangieh, who is supported by Iran-backed armed group and political party Hezbollah and its Shiite ally the Amal Movement, to succeed Michel Aoun as Lebanon's head of state.
“Nobody can succeed alone. So, they had to talk with us. Our political adversaries, who refused to talk, [then] accepted to talk. And on the contrary, they were proactive from their side, addressing us and talking to us,” said Gebran Bassil, the leader of the Free Patriotic Movement Christian party.
“They realised that nothing can be done without us, and we cannot do anything without the others,” he told The National.
The FPM, one Lebanon's largest political parties, is presenting itself as a third bloc, in between a grouping that includes two other Christian parties – the Lebanese Forces and Kataeb Party – and the Shiite duo of Hezbollah and Amal.
Mr Bassil says his support for Mr Azour did not mean the FPM was entrenched in its position, and that the priority should be on attaining parliamentary consensus.
“It's not an agreement. There was a convergence over the name of Mr Azour,” said a source from the LF, parliament's largest party and historically an opponent of the FPM.
“We don't have an agreement, because an agreement would be based on a working plan,” the source said, adding that the only agreement the sides had was on the phrase “convergence”. Samy Gemayel, the leader of the Kataeb Party, which typically aligns with the LF, and a strident critic of Hezbollah, said: “It doesn't mean that this is an alliance. We are not on the same page politically with [the FPM] and I don't think in the near future we will be.
“But on the presidential issue, they found a common interest in joining the opposition to block Frangieh and we are happy to see this. And this is weakening Hezbollah,” he said.
However, this rare understanding between the FPM and LF, the two largest parties in parliament, is unlikely to get Mr Azour enough votes to be elected in the first round of voting on Wednesday.
But it redraws the battle lines in the presidential race in Lebanon's bitterly divided legislature, where no side holds a majority.
Michel Moawad won about a third of votes in previous electoral sessions, through support from opponents of Hezbollah and a handful of independents. He withdrew in favour of Mr Azour last Sunday.
The support for Mr Azour followed months of negotiations behind the scenes over a possible new name.
“It was not easy. Getting parties, groups and MPs that are in total opposition to each for years to agree on one candidate is not an easy task,” said Mr Gemayel.
“So, you have to do all the mediation to make sure that everyone understands that there's a common interest here.” Although extended presidential vacuums are not uncommon in Lebanon, the latest one comes with the country in a precarious state, entrenched in an economic crisis that has been described as one of the worst in modern history.
It was two and a half years before Mr Aoun, the FPM's founder and a former army general, was elected to the post in 2016 with the backing of Hezbollah, his party's traditional ally, and after reaching an agreement with traditional foes including LF leader Samir Geagea – an opponent in the 1975-1990 civil war.
The LF increased its share of seats in elections last year while the FPM lost seats, but no bloc holds a majority in parliament. The presidency is reserved for a Maronite Christian in Lebanon's confessional political system, which also reserves half of the seats of the 128-seat legislature for Christians.
Some see the Christian “convergence” as an indicator that the FPM-Hezbollah relationship is not as strong as it once was.
But Mr Bassil believes the FPM's support for Mr Azour, rather than Hezbollah's choice of Mr Frangieh, will not damage the relationship.
“I don't think it should, because they did this first. They had their choice for the president, regardless of our known position of refusing it. And still with that, they kept supporting him, knowing that we are a big bloc of the Christian community and their choice was for the small one,” said Mr Bassil, referring to the fact that hardly any Christian MPs are expected to vote for Mr Frangieh next Wednesday.
“They did not respect our sensitivity and they went with that choice. And despite this, we didn't say 'we break with [Hezbollah], we don't talk to them'.”
Mr Gemayel claimed that while the FPM and opposition blocs agreed on Mr Azour, their motivations were different.
“It's not us who went to Hezbollah, [Mr Bassil] defected from Hezbollah. I think that the main reason was that there is a jealousy between the two persons, between him and the candidate of Hezbollah. He didn't agree with Hezbollah on the nomination of Suleiman Frangieh. “We are blocking Frangieh because of his political position. He is blocking Frangieh from a personal or partisan perspective. But it doesn't change anything for us as long as he is taking a stand, as long as he is accepting a candidate that is accepted by us. Why not?”
Mr Frangieh, the scion of a north Lebanon political dynasty, has long had good ties with Hezbollah and is childhood friends with Syria's Bashar Al Assad.
The LF source said that many uncertainties remained and repeated that Mr Azour had not been the party's first choice, but insisted that the IMF official was “a million times” better than Mr Frangieh.
“Now, of course, we still favour Michel Moawad, Dr Samir Geagea, Samy Gemayel, anyone within this camp. But we are pragmatic enough to know that right now, the only thing that will help us break this deadlock that was imposed on the Lebanese people [is] going to be a candidate who can represent a common space for several groups.”
The pro-Azour bloc insist his nomination was not “confrontational”, even if representatives of Hezbollah have described him as such and insisted he will not become president.
“We refused all the names that are considered confrontational or provocative by [Parliament Speaker and Amal Movement leader] Nabih Berri's side, Hezbollah's side, Frangieh's side, etc,” said Mr Bassil.
Mr Gemayel concurred that Mr Azour should not be seen as a confrontation candidate. “Whoever we would have nominated, the reaction would have been the same.”
https://www.thenationalnews.com/mena/2023/06/12/inside-the-rare-convergence-by-lebanons-rival-christian-parties-over-jihad-azour/

Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 12-13/2023
U.S. Denies Reports of Cash Offers to Iran for Limited Enrichment Concessions
FDD/June 12/2023
Latest Developments
Multiple reports this week suggest the United States is offering financial incentives to the Islamic Republic of Iran in exchange for Tehran slowing its production of enriched uranium. On June 7, Haaretz reported that the United States was offering to release $20 billion in frozen Iranian funds — currently held by South Korea, Iraq, and the International Monetary Fund — in exchange for Iran limiting further production of high-enriched uranium.
Another report on June 8 by Middle East Eye (MEE) echoed much of Haaretz’s reporting but added that the administration would allow Iran to export an additional one million barrels of oil per day, which would likely require the president to issue a national security waiver. The National Security Council called the MEE report “false and misleading.” However, questions remain about whether an agreement may proceed without official text or notification to Congress, as required under existing law.
Expert Analysis
“The Biden administration hopes that Tehran will be more amenable to a ‘longer and stronger’ deal after getting major nuclear and economic concessions in exchange for a ‘shorter and weaker’ arrangement. This is an illusion. Iranian leaders understand power and leverage better than President Biden and his team do. The emerging ‘less for more’ deal is the worst deal of all.” — Mark Dubowitz, FDD CEO
“The administration may be looking to evade congressional review by trading billions of dollars to Iran in exchange for a temporary halt to higher levels of enrichment, all without a written agreement or public acknowledgment. Paying Iran to sit patiently on the nuclear threshold won’t stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons, but it will subsidize attacks against Americans, Israelis, Ukrainians, and Iranians.” — Richard Goldberg, FDD Senior Advisor
Biden Administration May Sidestep Congress
The Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act of 2015 (INARA) requires the president to notify Congress of an agreement or waiver of congressional sanctions on Iran. Congress then has 30 days following notification to review the agreement and potentially vote to reject it.
Given mounting bipartisan political opposition to lifting sanctions on Iran while Tehran provides drones to Russia and cracks down on women and protestors, there is suspicion that the administration is searching for ways to sidestep INARA’s requirements in order to provide economic relief to Iran in exchange for a temporary arrangement on Iran’s enrichment.
Israel Opposes Agreement, Reserves Right to Defend Itself
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke by phone on June 8. According to a statement from the prime minister’s office, Netanyahu told Blinken that Israel’s position remains consistent in that a return to a “nuclear agreement with Iran would not stop the Iranian nuclear program and that no arrangement with Iran will obligate Israel, which will do everything to defend itself.”

Iran says indirect talks with US continue via Oman
Agence France Presse/June 12/2023
Iran on Monday said it has continued indirect negotiations with the Unites States through the Sultanate of Oman over its nuclear deal and a possible prisoner swap. Iran's nuclear program has long been the subject of scrutiny from Western powers, resulting in sanctions that have crippled the country's economy. A 2015 deal granted Tehran much-needed sanctions relief in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program before it was torpedoed by the United States' unilateral pullout in 2018. In recent days, the two capitals have denied media reports that they were close to reaching an interim deal to replace the 2015 accord. "We welcome the efforts of Omani officials and we exchanged messages with the other party through this mediator" over the lifting of US sanctions, Iran's foreign ministry spokesman Nasser Kanani said Monday. "We have never stopped the diplomatic processes," he added during his weekly press conference, emphasizing that the talks "were not secret".Diplomatic ties between Tehran and Washington soured in 1980 following the 1979 Islamic revolution led by Iran's first supreme leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. Efforts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal have so far failed to yield results. Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Sunday reiterated the denial of moves towards acquiring a nuclear weapon. He also said deals could be reached, provided they do not change "the existing infrastructure of the nuclear industry". Iran and its arch-nemesis the United States have also been involved in Oman-mediated talks over a possible prisoner swap. Kanani on Monday said a prisoner exchange could be agreed "in the near future", provided that Washington exhibits "the same level of seriousness" as Tehran. At least three Iranian-Americans are being held in Iran, including businessman Siamak Namazi, arrested in October 2015 and sentenced to 10 years in prison for espionage. In the last few weeks, Iran has released six European citizens and recovered an Iranian diplomat, Assadollah Assadi, who was convicted of terrorism and imprisoned in Belgium. Kanani also denied that Iran had provided Russia with equipment to "build a drone factory".White House national security spokesman John Kirby on Friday warned that Russia was receiving materials from Iran to build a drone factory on its territory. "We deny any accusations regarding the export of arms to Russia for use in the war against Ukraine," Kanani said.

Iranian president in Caracas, kicking off regional tour
CARACAS (Reuters)/Mon, June 12, 2023
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi was in Caracas on Monday meeting with Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro during his first stop on a Latin American tour which will also include Cuba and Nicaragua, Venezuelan state television showed. Raisi is expected to sign documents to expand bilateral cooperation during the visit, Iran's state news agency said last week, without providing further detail. State television images showed Raisi's arrival at an airport near Caracas and then his entrance to the presidential palace, where he greeted Maduro and both leaders stood for their countries' national anthems.
Iran and Venezuela, both under U.S. sanction, signed a 20-year cooperation plan in Tehran last year, pledging partnership on oil, defense and other issues. That deal includes repairs to oil refineries in Venezuela, which has the world's largest crude reserves but has struggled to produce enough gasoline and diesel, leading to intermittent shortages that have forced drivers to queue for hours to fill up their tanks. Iran has provided fuel and diluents to convert Venezuela's extra-heavy crude into exportable varieties and since 2020 has supplied parts for repairs to the refining circuit.
A unit of Iran's state-owned refiner NIORDC signed a 110 million Euro contract in May 2022 to make repairs at Venezuela's smallest refinery, El Palito, which has a 146,000 barrels per day capacity. Iran is also set to be involved in a modernization project at Venezuela's largest refinery complex, which includes the Amuay and Cardon refineries, partly to restore distilling capacity.

Draining reservoir from Ukraine's destroyed dam is revealing World War II weapons
Sam Fellman/Business Insider/Mon, June 12, 2023
The lurking dangers are also a reminder of the heavy fighting Ukraine saw in World War II. Explosive techs are destroying mines and other weapons found. Authorities ordered civilians to stay away. As the waters of the vast Kakhovka reservoir recede, the emerging mud flats are showing scars from Ukraine's wars. The muddy banks left after the destruction of the Kakhovka dam have yielded remnants of modern air-defense missiles of the kind that Russia and Ukraine fire at each other's aircraft and much older weapons that date back to World War II, when Soviet and Nazi forces clashed across Ukraine.
"Ammunition, in particular, even from the time of the Second World War, is found in the areas of the Kakhovsky Reservoir," Ukraine's Ministry of Internal Affairs announced Sunday as it ordered civilians to stay out of the receding reservoir. "The water area of the reservoir is contaminated with ammunition. On June 10, explosives technicians carried out 5 controlled explosions." Oleksandr Chechko, the head of the Ukrainian demining team, was quoted by Reuters saying, "We often recover remnants of S-300 rockets, remnants of Smerch rockets, and after the water (level) fell we are finding munitions from World War Two." S-300s are Russian-made surface-to-air missiles, and Smerch rockets are heavy rockets fired from mobile launchers. The older dangers lurking in the area are a reminder of the heavy fighting Ukraine saw in World War II. Determined to regain its former territory after it fell to the Germans, the Soviets drove back the Nazi Wehrmacht in the nearly four-month Battle of the Dneiper with a force of over 2.5 million Red Army troops that suffered massive loses. Some social media users have shared striking, but unverified, videos and images of skulls found in mud. This area is made dangerous by unexploded ordnance and Russian shelling, both of which are complicating any efforts by officials and journalists to verify them. The Guardian's Julian Borger reports that the bodies could be those of German soldiers who were left to rot after the 1943 battle.

France to intensify arms delivery to help Ukraine counter-offensive -Macron

PARIS (Reuters)/Mon, June 12, 2023
French President Emmanuel Macron on Monday said that a long-anticipated Ukrainian counter-offensive against occupying Russian forces had started, and he promised more military aid to the Kyiv government. At a press conference after a meeting with Polish and German leaders, the so-called Weimar Triangle, Macron said: "We have done everything to help it." "We have intensified the delivery of ammunitions, weapons and armed vehicles ... We'll continue in coming days and weeks," said Macron, who in recent days said he had spoken with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy confirming the start of the counter-offensive. Asked whether Germany agreed Ukraine needed to be given security guarantees at a NATO summit in July, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said: "It's clear we need this and we need it in a very concrete way," he said. Ukraine on Monday claimed new gains in the early phase of the counter-offensive, saying its forces recaptured seven villages from Russian troops along an approximately 100-km (60-mile) front in southeastern Ukraine. The three-way meeting in Paris was meant to send a signal of unity between eastern and western Europe, after Warsaw took on a major logistical and diplomatic role in helping Ukraine, while often castigating German and French leaders for being too slow. Macron said the meeting was proof that there was no division between "old" and "new" Europe, a distinction once made by the United States when eastern European countries refused to back France and Germany over the war in Iraq 20 years ago. However, divisions emerged during the short question-and-answer session with journalists. Both Macron and Scholz said they supported the migration deal agreed by EU ministers last week, in which EU countries unwilling to take in refugees at home would be asked to give a financial contribution to their hosting peers. But Polish President Andrzej Duda said he was "skeptical". "We took in those who needed help in Poland ... we helped, to be honest, we did not receive any particular help especially from EU institutions," he said. "I hope that no institution in the EU will come up with an idea to punish us for the fact that while still having the perspective of more Ukrainian refugees arriving, we are skeptical about accepting migrants from other directions as well."

The stealth strategy giving Ukraine the edge in counter-offensive

Roland Oliphant/The Telegraph/Mon, June 12, 2023
Ukrainian forces are taking advantage of Western-supplied night-vision equipment to attack under the cover of darkness, seizing villages and territory. Kyiv has launched repeated night-time assaults since its counter-offensive in the Zaporizhzhia region began a week ago, triggering alarm among Russian war correspondents reporting the losses. On Monday morning, Ukraine claimed to have captured Storozhov, a village near Velyka Novosilka. It came a day after it claimed to have liberated the villages of Neskuchny and Blahodatne and Makarivka, in the same area.
Later on Monday Ukraine said it has retaken seven villages in total from Russian forces. Meanwhile, a Russian train carrying fuel to the front lines appeared to have been blown up in a possible attack by partisans working behind enemy lines. The Ukrainian military has refused to discuss tactics for the assaults, but the timing of the attacks on the villages suggests they have a tactical advantage after dark. “Why is the war conducted at night? It’s as clear as day! ” Vladimir Sladkov, a Russian war correspondent, wrote on Telegram on Saturday. “Imported equipment has amazing night optics. It can move, observe, and target, and correct the accuracy of fire. That’s why the enemy is choosing the night.” Vladimir Rogov, a Russian-installed official in the Zaporizhzhia region, suggested that the Ukrainian offensives came after dark to frustrate Russian air power and drones and “maximise the advantage from Western-supplied equipment and instruments”. Leopard 2 tanks and Bradley fighting vehicles, which have both played a prominent role in the offensive so far, are known to have cutting-edge night sights. Most Russian and Ukrainian tanks and armoured vehicles also have night-vision capabilities. However, some older Soviet-pattern systems operated by both sides, like unmodernised BMP infantry fighting vehicles and Strela-10 air defence systems, often have no night-vision capability at all. The US began supplying Ukraine special forces with night-vision goggles (NVGs), including $40,000 GPNVG goggles, as early as 2018. Nato countries, including the US and Norway, have included night-vision devices in military aid packages since the full-scale invasion began last year, but have not specified the number or particular models provided. But they have remained relatively scarce on the battlefield, with those available concentrated in a handful of select units in both the Russian and Ukrainian armies. Ukraine’s apparent preference for night fighting in the Zaporizhzhia area may reflect the broader move to Nato equipment and tactics.
As a result, the military alliance’s training exercises are designed to reflect the fact that most combat missions are undertaken under the cover of darkness.
Teachings have been passed on to Ukraine’s troops through various training programmes, such as Britain’s Operation Interflex. Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, a former commander of the 1st Royal Tank Regiment, said: “From an attacker’s perspective, you get the great advantage that you can move unseen. From a defender’s perspective, you get the fear of hearing tanks moving around in the dark and you just can’t see them.”The cover of darkness also diminishes one of Russia’s most potent defensive weapons – its superior artillery and deep-fire capabilities. While Moscow has an array of military-grade drones, its forces have relied largely on commercial unmanned aerial vehicles, such as the Chinese-made DJI Mavric, for reconnaissance. Such drones are not fitted with night-vision capabilities, rendering them useless at night. “This offers more opportunity to build surprise, with vehicles then pulling back and going to ground during the daytime to avoid an artillery response,” Justin Crump, of Sibylline, an intelligence and geopolitical risk firm, said. However, according to some Ukrainian soldiers, the equipment is still a rarity on both sides. “One group we worked with had a thermal scope, that’s it,” said a soldier in a special forces unit who has been involved in patrols behind Russian lines.
Some volunteers have tried to plug the gap by crowdfunding. Come Back Alive, a Ukrainian crowdfunding charity, says it has provided 9,000 thermal and night-vision optics for the armed forces since 2014. ATN, a Florida-based company that provides night scopes for hunters and law enforcement, said last year it had gained clearance to ship 9,000 optics including binoculars and goggles to Ukraine. Some volunteers have even procured expensive thermal imaging drones usually used by firefighters to locate people in burning buildings. Commercial equipment comes with its own hazards, however. While modern military NVGs use expensive “image intensifier tubes” to make the most of what ambient light is available, the most affordable commercial products use an infrared LED to illuminate the target. That’s the same technology behind the very early night-vision systems used by some tanks in the Second World War. It also happens to be “very visible to enemy night vision users” and “incredibly dangerous”, according to Night Fox, a UK-based producer that has warned customers not to buy its products for the war. And while Ukraine might have a slight edge in night fighting, it certainly cannot claim absolute dominance. Russia’s armed forces also field night-vision devices for vehicles, reconnaissance drones, and special forces, including the Catherine FC optic produced by the French company Thales. The T80BV tank in particular has a competitive night vision. Accounts of the Wagner mercenary group’s tactics during the battle of Bakhmut emphasise groups of experienced mercenaries equipped with night-vision devices following behind the more poorly equipped assault units. Last month, MOO Veche, a cultural heritage organisation that now fundraises for the war, thanked supporters for helping fund thermal imagers for various Russian units. It posted videos of night attacks on Ukrainian positions that it said were made possible by the donations, and appealed for more. Meanwhile, Emmanuel Macron, the French president, said he expected the offensive to last “weeks or even months”. Broaden your horizons with award-winning British journalism. Try The Telegraph free for 1 month, then enjoy 1 year for just $9 with our US-exclusive offer.

Russian fighter killed in northern Syria -monitor, security source

QAMISHLI, Syria/BEIRUT (Reuters)/Mon, June 12, 2023
A Russian fighter was killed and several others wounded in Syria's northern province of Aleppo on Monday, a war monitor and a Kurdish security source said. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, which monitors conflict in Syria, said the Russian casualties occurred when their convoy was hit by Turkish shelling. The security source said the attack came from an area where Turkish troops are deployed and that the wounded were treated in a hospital in a nearby area controlled by Kurdish forces. The Russian defence ministry did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. Russia intervened in Syria's conflict in 2015, using air strikes and deploying advisers as well as military police to help Syrian President Bashar al-Assad retake territory from rebels, some of them backed by Turkey. A Turkish defence ministry official said on Monday reports that Turkish forces had shelled positions in Aleppo's northern countryside and hit Russian armoured vehicle were "untrue."The Syrian National Army, an opposition faction backed by Turkey which controls the area near where the attack took place, did not respond to a Reuters request for comment. A video published by Ronahi TV, a station affiliated with the Kurdish-led autonomous administration in northeast Syria, showed men in fatigues transporting at least two men on stretchers into a Russian helicopter. The helicopter is then seen taking off. It was not immediately clear where the helicopter was flying to, who the apparently wounded men were or what was being said in the video. Syria's 12-year conflict has carved the country into complex zones of control where outside actors - including government allies Russia and Iran, as well as Turkey and the United States - hold significant sway. In 2015, Turkey shot down a Russian warplane near the Syrian border but Ankara and Moscow have since mended relations. They coordinate joint patrols in northern Syria and Russia is trying to mediate between the governments of Turkey and Syria.

Israeli opposition leader says Netanyahu tried to get him to back tax breaks for
JERUSALEM (AP)/Mon, June 12, 2023
Israel's opposition leader testified Monday that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu apparently tried to persuade him — twice — to back legislation that would have given a Hollywood mogul millions in tax breaks.But Yair Lapid, a former prime minister himself and a major Netanyahu rival, said he was not convinced. Lapid made the statements as he testified in Jerusalem in one of three corruption cases against Netanyahu. The indictment claims Netanyahu used his position of power to further Hollywood mogul Arnon Milchan’s interests in exhange for gifts, representing a conflict between the premier's public duties and personal friendship. Netanyahu did personal favors for Milchan, including asking U.S. officials to extend Milchan’s U.S. resident’s permit and extending Israeli regulations exempting Israeli returnees from declaring foreign income, according to the indictment. Lapid testified Monday that Milchan and his attorneys had tried first without success to persuade him that extending the tax breaks for a decade would be good for Israel, Israeli media reported. Then Netanyahu broached the matter twice with Lapid, he testified — once at the prime minister's residence and once outside a Cabinet meeting, according to the reports. Lapid said he told Netanyahu that it wasn't going to happen, and the prime minister responded that it was “a good law.” Netanyahu, Israel's longest-serving leader, denies claims of wrongdoing, saying he was not acting in Milchan’s personal interests and even occasionally acted against them. He says the exchanges of gifts were just friendly gestures. Milchan is expected to testify in the case in a video call from London, where he resides, sometime later this month. Haaretz newspaper has reported that in 2013 Lapid, then finance minister, sought legal advice on the possibility of promoting the legislation that would have benefitted Milchan. Earlier, Lapid had reportedly said he replied, “no way,” to Netanyahu and Milchan about the prospects for the legislation. Netanyahu is charged with fraud, breach of trust and accepting bribes in three separate scandals involving powerful media moguls and wealthy associates. He denies wrongdoing. Critics say that Netanyahu is driven to weaken the courts and change the judicial system as a way to open an escape route from his trial, claims he dismisses as untrue. The corruption charges also have been at the center of a protracted political crisis that sent Israelis to the polls five times in less than four years — each vote essentially a referendum on Netanyahu’s fitness to rule. After losing power in 2021 to a coalition of opponents, Netanyahu returned as prime minister late last year, despite his legal problems. Under Israeli law, the prime minister has no obligation to step aside while on trial. The trial, which began in May 2020, has featured more than 40 prosecution witnesses, including some of Netanyahu’s closest former confidants who turned against the premier. Witness accounts have shed light not only on the three cases but also revealed sensational details about Netanyahu’s character and his family’s reputation for living off the largesse of taxpayers and wealthy supporters.

Sudan war traps civilians after ceasefire ends
KHARTOUM (Reuters)/Mon, June 12, 2023
Air strikes, artillery and gunfire rocked several areas of Sudan's capital on Monday as fighting between warring factions intensified for a second day, trapping civilians in a worsening humanitarian crisis. The war between the country's army and paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has raged for almost two months, forcing almost 2 million to flee and wrecking the economy, causing frequent electricity and water outages. Talks in Jeddah have failed to permanently end fighting and clashes intensified as soon as a ceasefire ended on Sunday. While the RSF has spread out across most of the capital, controlling main streets and setting up camp inside some homes, the army has the advantage of air and artillery weaponry. Residents of eastern Khartoum reported being hit by air strikes, while in southern Khartoum as well as northern Omdurman reported being hit by artillery fighting. Eyewitnesses reported clashes in central Khartoum as well. "Since yesterday, the war has come back and there's strikes from all direction," said Awatif Sidahmed, 43, living in Sharq el-Nil across the Nile from Khartoum. "Our neighbourhood is a war zone so leaving is difficult and staying home is difficult. We don't know what to do."Those who stay also struggle with dwindling funds as the government has stopped paying salaries and pensions. More than 200,000 of the 1.9 million Sudanese who have managed to flee their homes have gone to Egypt, which this week imposed a visa requirement for children, women and the elderly who had previously been exempt. Hundreds of Sudanese were turned back at Cairo airport and sent back on return flights, according to Cairo airport sources, after a similar exemption for those with residencies in western and Gulf states was removed.
DARFUR FIGHTING
No side has made clear progress, and the fighting has spread to several cities to the west in the Kordofan and Darfur regions. In the westernmost city of El Geneina, militias backed by the RSF have launched attacks on the city, which has now lost access to power and running water. Tens of thousands have fled to Chad. Activist Kamal Alzein told Reuters that he had heard from three activists in the city that has been largely cut off from telecom networks that 1,100 people had been killed and 3,000 injured since attacks began in April. Reuters could not immediately verify the numbers. The highest official death toll from the Sudanese health ministry was 510, reported in late May. The Darfur Bar Association, which monitors the conflict in the region, said that 17 people had been killed on Monday as a result of shelling, while 100 had died over the past five days. “Geneina remains under siege,” it said. In a statement on Sunday's intense fighting in Bahri, the army says that while they were able to make gains against the RSF and claim to have killed hundreds, it had also lost several soldiers. It blamed the RSF for deadly air strikes on civilians in southern Khartoum.The RSF in turn said that the army had used the 24-hour ceasefire on Saturday to reposition troops and attack immediately after. Kenyan President William Ruto said on Monday that East African countries would conduct face-to-face meetings with the heads of the army and RSF within 10 days to discuss stopping the war and humanitarian corridors.The U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs said on Monday agencies had been able to deliver supplies for 2 million people including 57 cross-line movements. That included medical supplies to 42,000 people living on the island of Tuti on the Nile, where residents have said their single bridge to the mainland was blocked by the RSF, cutting off food and medicine supplies.

Mikdad visits Syrian Embassy HQ in Riyadh, inspects preparations for its reopening
SANA/June 12/2023
Within the framework of his visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Syrian Foreign and Expatriates Minister, Dr. Fayssal Mikdad, and his accompanying delegation were briefed on the ongoing preparations at the headquarters of the Syrian Embassy in the capital, Riyadh, for reopening it.
“Minister Mikdad and his accompanying delegation visited the headquarters of the Syrian embassy in Riyadh to inspect the readiness of the building and the ongoing preparations for reopening the embassy, especially in terms of resuming the provision of consular services to the Syrian community in Saudi Arabia as soon as possible,” Foreign and Expatriates Ministry said in a tweet on Monday. Minister Mikdad and his accompanying delegation arrived on Sunday in the Saudi capital, Riyadh, at the invitation of his Saudi counterpart, Prince Faisal bin Farhan bin Abdullah, where he was received by senior officials at the Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Mikdad is participating in the 2nd ministerial meeting of the Arab states with the countries of the Pacific islands, which began its work yesterday at the level of experts.--

Enhancing cooperation: Syrian-Saudi relations extend to the Pacific Islands
LBCI/June 12/2023
The doors opened by Arab normalization, especially Saudi Arabia's, with Damascus have expanded effects, reaching the countries of the Pacific Islands. Among the meetings that paved the way for the resumption of bilateral relations and the reopening of embassies, to the decision of Syria's return to the Arab League, Syrian Foreign Minister Faisal Mekdad attended the second joint ministerial meeting between Arab countries and Pacific Island states at the foreign ministers level, with the invitation of his Saudi counterpart. Through this conference, Saudi Arabia seeks to promote shared interests with Pacific Island countries and enhance cooperation in security, energy, trade, investment, and logistical services. Saudi Arabia also aims to join the Pacific Islands Forum as a dialogue partner, according to Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan. During the meeting, Mekdad emphasized the importance of cooperation and coordination between countries and regional blocs to confront the challenges whose negative repercussions affect all countries indiscriminately, requiring a comprehensive and coordinated response to overcome their adverse effects and address their causes. As part of his third visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia since the normalization of relations, Mekdad met with bin Farhan on the sidelines of the ministerial conference. Moreover, Mekdad also reviewed the ongoing preparations for reopening the Syrian embassy in Riyadh.

Connecting the world: Riyadh Air to link Saudi capital with 100+ global destinations

LBCI/June 12/2023
The lilac color that blankets the Kingdom's deserts during spring made its first appearance in the skies of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. In 30 minutes, the highly anticipated Saudi carrier displayed its new brand identity in the Kingdom's sky as one of its aircraft flying at a low altitude above Riyadh, passing by prominent landmarks such as Boulevard Riyadh City, King Saud University, King Khalid Grand Mosque, Al Faisaliah Tower, and Al Murabba. The flight concluded with a Riyadh Airplane landing at King Khalid International Airport. This flight witnessed and captured through photos and videos by Saudis, serves as a glimpse of what will be available to passengers starting from 2025. Riyadh Air plans to connect the Saudi capital to over 100 destinations worldwide, aiming to facilitate 100 million visits to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by 2030, welcoming travelers worldwide. The establishment of "Riyadh Air" aligns with the strategy of the Public Investment Fund to unlock the potential of promising local sectors, supporting the diversification and non-oil economic growth of the Kingdom with investments of up to 75 billion riyals and creating over 200,000 direct and indirect job opportunities. Moreover, the new carrier aims to rely on innovation in providing air transportation services and to become an integral part of the National Transportation Plan and National Tourism Plan. The goal is for Riyadh to become a gateway to the world, a global destination for transportation, business, and tourism.

NATO begins unprecedented air drill in 'show of strength'

Agence France Presse/June 12/2023
NATO began its largest ever air force deployment exercise in Europe on Monday, in a display of unity toward partners and potential threats such as Russia. The German-led "Air Defender 23" will include some 250 military aircraft from 25 NATO and partner countries including Japan and Sweden, which is bidding to join the alliance. It will run until June 23. Up to 10,000 service members are to participate in the drills intended to boost interoperability and preparedness to protect against drones and cruise missiles in the case of an attack within NATO territory. "The significant message we're sending is that we can defend ourselves," Lieutenant General Ingo Gerhartz of the German Luftwaffe told public television. "Air Defender" was conceived in 2018 in part as a response to the Russian annexation of Crimea from Ukraine four years before, though Gerhartz insisted it was "not targeted at anyone".He said the exercise would not "send any flights, for example, in the direction of Kaliningrad," the Russian enclave bordering alliance member states Poland and Lithuania. "We are a defensive alliance and that is how this exercise is planned," he said. The first flights began in the late morning at the Wunstorf, Jagel and Lechfeld air bases, a Luftwaffe spokesman confirmed to AFP. Hundreds of demonstrators had gathered at Wunstorf in northern Germany on Saturday against the drills, under the banner "Practice peace -- not war". Protesters called for a "diplomatic solution" to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and an immediate ceasefire. US Ambassador to Germany Amy Gutmann said the exercise would show "beyond a shadow of a doubt the agility and the swiftness of our allied force" and was intended to send a message to countries including Russia. "I would be pretty surprised if any world leader was not taking note of what this shows in terms of the spirit of this alliance, which means the strength of this alliance, and that includes Mr Putin," she told reporters, referring to the Russian president. "By synchronizing together, we multiply our force."Russia's war on Ukraine has galvanized the Western military alliance set up almost 75 years ago to face off against the Soviet Union. Finland and Sweden, which long kept an official veneer of neutrality to avoid conflict with Moscow, both sought membership in NATO after Russia's February 2022 invasion.Under NATO's Article Five, an attack on one member is considered an attack on all.
- 'Great power competition' -
The exercise includes operational and tactical-level training, primarily in Germany, but also in the Czech Republic, Estonia and Latvia, with a total of around 2,000 flights. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz will visit pilots based at the Jagel airfield in northern Germany on Friday. General Michael Loh, director of the US Air National Guard, said NATO's duties were at an "inflection point". "A great deal has changed on the strategic landscape throughout the world, especially here in Europe," he said. The exercise will focus on "supplementing the permanent United States presence in Europe" as well as providing training "on a larger scale than what was usually accomplished on the continent", Loh added. He said many of the alliance pilots were working together for the first time. "It's about fostering the old relationships that we have but also building new ones with this younger generation of airmen," he said. "And so this is about now establishing what it means to go against a great power in a great power competition." Gutmann said that while there were no plans to make "Air Defender" a recurring exercise, she added: "We have no desire for this to be the last." Asked about potential disruption to civilian air transport during the exercise, Gerhartz said the planners would do "everything in our power" to limit flight delays or cancellations. German authorities and industry groups have warned that flight schedules could be impacted, particularly at major hubs such as Frankfurt and Berlin-Brandenburg due to their proximity to drill zones.

US decides to rejoin UNESCO and pay back dues after Palestine row

Associated Press/June 12/2023
U.N. cultural and scientific agency UNESCO announced Monday that the United States plans to rejoin — and pay more than $600 million in back dues — after a decade-long dispute sparked by the organization's move to include Palestine as a member. U.S. officials say the decision to return was motivated by concern that China is filling the gap left by the U.S. in UNESCO policymaking, notably in setting standards for artificial intelligence and technology education around the world. The U.S. and Israel stopped funding UNESCO after it voted to include Palestine as a member state in 2011, and the Trump administration decided in 2017 to withdraw from the agency altogether the following year, citing long-running anti-Israel bias and management problems. U.S. Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources Richard Verma submitted a letter last week to UNESCO Director General Audrey Azoulay formalizing the plan to rejoin. Verma noted progress in depoliticizing debate about the Middle East at UNESCO and reforming the agency's management, according to the hand-delivered letter, obtained by AP. Applause rang out in the solemn UNESCO auditorium as Azoulay announced the plan to ambassadors at a special meeting Monday, and delegate after delegate stood up to welcome the news. The return of the U.S., once the agency's biggest funder, is expected to face a vote by its 193 member states next month, according to a UNESCO diplomat. The decision is a big financial boost to the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, known for its World Heritage program as well as projects to fight climate change and teach girls to read. China's ambassador to UNESCO, Jin Yang, said his country "appreciates" UNESCO's efforts to bring the U.S. back, saying its absence had a "negative impact" on the agency's work. "Being a member of an international organization is a serious issue, and we hope that the return of the U.S. this time means it acknowledges the mission and the goals of the organization," the ambassador said. Since her election in 2017, Azoulay has worked to address the reasons the U.S. left, through budget reforms and building consensus among Jordanian, Palestinian and Israeli diplomats around sensitive UNESCO resolutions. Azoulay — who is Jewish — won broad praise by UNESCO ambassadors for her personal efforts to address U.S. concerns around Israel in particular. The U.S. decision to come back "is the result of five years of work, during which we calmed tensions, notably on the Middle East, improved our response to contemporary challenges, resumed major initiatives on the ground and modernized the functioning of the organization," Azoulay told The Associated Press. She met with Democrats and Republicans in Washington to explain those efforts, according to a UNESCO diplomat. Thanks to those bipartisan negotiations, UNESCO diplomats expressed confidence that the U.S. decision to return is for the long term, regardless of who wins next year's presidential election.
The diplomats were not authorized to be publicly named discussing the behind-the-scenes work that led to the U.S. decision. Under the plan, the U.S. government would pay its 2023 dues plus $10 million in bonus contributions this year earmarked for Holocaust education, preserving cultural heritage in Ukraine, journalist safety, and science and technology education in Africa, Verma's letter says.
The Biden administration has already requested $150 million for the 2024 budget to go toward UNESCO dues and arrears. The plan foresees similar requests for the ensuing years until the full debt of $619 million is paid off. That makes up a big chunk of UNESCO's $534 million annual operating budget. Before leaving, the U.S. contributed 22% of the agency's overall funding. Undersecretary of State for Management John Bass said in March that the U.S. absence from UNESCO has strengthened China, and ''undercuts our ability to be as effective in promoting our vision of a free world."
He said UNESCO is key in setting and shaping standards for technology and science teaching around the world, "so if we're really serious about the digital-age competition with China … we can't afford to be absent any longer."
The U.S. absence plunged the agency into financial uncertainty. UNESCO diplomats described belt-squeezing across agency programs and aggressive efforts by Azoulay to boost voluntary financing from other countries to fill gaps. One diplomat expressed hope that the return of the U.S. would bring "more ambition, and more serenity" — and energize programs to regulate artificial intelligence, educate girls in Afghanistan and chronicle victims of slavery in the Caribbean. The diplomat said that the agency would also "welcome" Israel back if it wanted to rejoin. There was no immediate response from the Israeli government. Israel has long accused the United Nations of anti-Israel bias. In 2012, over Israeli objections, the state of Palestine was recognized as a nonmember observer state by the U.N. General Assembly. The Palestinians claim the West Bank, east Jerusalem and Gaza Strip — territories captured by Israel in the 1967 Mideast war — for an independent state. Israel says the Palestinians' efforts to win recognition at the U.N. are aimed at circumventing a negotiated settlement and meant to pressure Israel into concessions. The United States previously pulled out of UNESCO under the Reagan administration in 1984 because it viewed the agency as mismanaged, corrupt and used to advance Soviet interests. It rejoined in 2003.

Israel's opposition leader testifies at Netanyahu's corruption trial

Associated Press/June 12/2023 Israel's opposition leader testified for the prosecution on Monday against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in his corruption trial in Jerusalem. Yair Lapid, a former prime minister himself and a major Netanyahu rival, is testifying in one of three cases against Netanyahu. The indictment claims Netanyahu used his position of power to further Hollywood mogul Arnon Milchan's interests in exhange for gifts, representing a conflict between the premier's public duties and personal friendship. Netanyahu did personal favors for Milchan, including asking U.S. officials to extend Milchan's U.S. resident's permit and extending Israeli regulations exempting Israeli returnees from declaring foreign income, according to the indictment. Netanyahu, Israel's longest-serving leader, denies claims of wrongdoing, saying he was not acting in Milchan's personal interests and even occasionally acted against them. He says the exchanges of gifts were just friendly gestures. Milchan is expected to testify in the case in a video call from London, where he resides, sometime later this month. Haaretz newspaper has reported that in 2013 Lapid, then finance minister, sought legal advice on the possibility of promoting the legislation that would have benefitted Milchan. Earlier, Lapid had reportedly said he replied, "no way," to Netanyahu and Milchan about the prospects for the legislation. Netanyahu is charged with fraud, breach of trust and accepting bribes in three separate scandals involving powerful media moguls and wealthy associates. He denies wrongdoing. Critics say that Netanyahu is driven to weaken the courts and change the judicial system as a way to open an escape route from his trial, claims he dismisses as untrue. The corruption charges also have been at the center of a protracted political crisis that sent Israelis to the polls five times in less than four years — each vote essentially a referendum on Netanyahu's fitness to rule. After losing power in 2021 to a coalition of opponents, Netanyahu returned as prime minister late last year, despite his legal problems. Under Israeli law, the prime minister has no obligation to step aside while on trial. The trial, which began in May 2020, has featured more than 40 prosecution witnesses, including some of Netanyahu's closest former confidants who turned against the premier. Witness accounts have shed light not only on the three cases but also revealed sensational details about Netanyahu's character and his family's reputation for living off the largesse of taxpayers and wealthy supporters.

Palestinian shot, four detained during Israeli raid in Nablus
WAFA/June 12/2023
A Palestinian youth was Monday shot by Israeli gunfire, while four others were detained, during an Israeli military raid in the occupied West Bank city of Nablus. Security sources told WAFA that the Israeli army raided several neighborhoods in the city, broke into a slain Palestinian’s house and ransacked a coffee shop before firing live bullets and toxic gas, injuring a youth with a live bullet in his foot. The sources added that the soldiers raided several villages and towns south of Nablus, and detained four Palestinians, including a minor.-

Turkish shelling in north Syria kills a Russian soldier, wounds others
Associated Press/June 12/2023
Turkish shelling in northern Syria early Monday hit a vehicle killing one Russian soldier and injuring several others, Syrian Kurdish media and an opposition war monitor reported. Monday's shelling came after a day of violence between U.S.-backed Kurdish fighters and Turkish troops in northern Syria left several dead on the Kurdish side. There was no immediate comment from the Russian military, the Syrian government or Turkish officials on the reported shelling. The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an opposition war monitor, reported that one Russian soldier was killed and four others were wounded when Turkish troops shelled a road linking the villages of Herbel with Um Hawsh in Aleppo province. The news agency for the semiautonomous Kurdish areas in Syria, Hawar News, reported that a Russian vehicle was hit, adding that there were casualties, but did not give a breakdown. Another Kurdish news agency, North press agency, said one Russian soldier was killed and three wounded. Turkey's defense ministry said Monday that at least 12 suspected members of the main Syrian Kurdish militia known as the People's Protection Units, or YPG, were killed after Turkish forces retaliated to a mortar attack on Turkish targets. The ministry said on Twitter that Kurdish militants struck the Jibreen base area in northern Syria as well as the Oncupinar region in southern Turkey on Sunday. There was no damage to the base or Turkish soldiers. Turkey's military killed at least seven suspected militants in retaliatory strikes on Sunday and five others on Monday, according to the ministry. The Observatory reported that a Turkish drone attack late Saturday killed three YPG fighters and wounded two others leading to the shelling the next day. Siamand Ali, a spokesman for the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces, told The Associated Press that Turkish troops have intensified their attacks on Kurdish-held areas in northern Syria since this month's presidential elections in Turkey. He had no comment on Monday's attack. Russia joined the war in Syria in 2015, launching an aerial campaign against Syria's armed opposition and has since helped Syrian government forces gain control of much of the country. Syria's 12-year conflict has left nearly half a million people dead and displaced half the country's pre-war population of 23 million.

Iraq MPs approve budget granting Baghdad upper hand over Kurdish oil
Agence France Presse/June 12/2023
Iraq's parliament on Monday approved a budget that boosts public spending in the war-scarred nation and grants the federal government the upper hand over oil exports from the autonomous Kurdistan region. The 198.9 trillion dinar ($153 billion) budget -- valid for three years though subject to future amendments -- also sets out record spending on public wages, investments and development projects. Lawmakers approved the bill after days of voting and months of wrangling over its articles in a country long accustomed to budget delays. The new bill allocates 12.7 percent of the budget to the oil-rich autonomous Kurdistan region of northern Iraq. It follows long-standing tensions with Kurdish leaders who had previously denounced amendments relating to oil in the budget, resulting in repeated delays to the vote. In April, a deal was reached between the authorities in Baghdad and the Kurdish regional government in Arbil, granting the federal government control over Kurdish crude exports to Turkey. The Kurdish regional government had for years earned billions of dollars in revenues exporting oil to Turkey without the Iraqi federal government's approval. But operations ceased in late March after international arbitrators recognised Baghdad's exclusive right to manage exports of Iraqi crude via Turkey. Under the budget, 400,000 barrels per day of oil will be shipped from the Kurdistan region to Baghdad, with revenues going to a central bank account overseen by Baghdad. The new budget sets total revenues at $103.4 billion, based on a three-year projection of oil prices at $70 per barrel, with oil accounting for 90 percent of income. Iraq has been previously warned to wean itself off its overdependence on oil. The International Monetary Fund said last month that "a significantly tighter fiscal policy is needed to strengthen resilience and reduce the government's dependence on oil revenues while safeguarding critical social spending needs". The new budget also sets aside $37.9 billion for investments, with Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani noting that his "priority" is to develop infrastructure in a country where basic services have long been sorely lacking. The oil-rich country has long been wracked by rampant corruption even as it struggles to emerge from decades of war that ravaged its infrastructure.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 12-13/2023
Boris Johnson's exit creates a test for Rishi Sunak
Gavin Esler/The National/June 12/2023
Johnson's resignation over the rule-breaking parties means there will be by-elections in autumn.
One of the popular tunes from the 1960s film The Sound of Music is about the tricky character played by Julie Andrews, a nun called Maria. She is constantly getting into scrapes. The song asks “How do you solve a problem like Maria? / How do you catch a cloud and pin it down?”
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak might think of adapting the words and singing the same song about his former leader Boris Johnson. How do you solve a problem like Boris Johnson? Isn’t he, as The Sound of Music lyrics continue, “A flibbertigibbet! A will-o’-the-wisp! A clown!” (A flibbertigibbet is – according to the dictionary definition – a frivolous, flighty or excessively talkative person.)
You can understand Mr Sunak’s irritation. He goes off to the US, is treated graciously by the Biden White House, returns to London in the hope of finally shaking off the past seven years of Conservative party in-fighting, and then? Boom! Another performance of the Boris Johnson All-About-Me-Show, as the former prime minister quits parliament in a huff. It comes after an investigation into Mr Johnson’s attendance at rule-breaking parties during the coronavirus lockdown that he himself imposed on Britain. Two Johnson allies, including the former culture secretary Nadine Dorries, are also quitting parliament.
That means there will be by-elections this autumn. And that is unwelcome news for Mr Sunak. His popularity – or lack of it – will be put to the test. So, let’s be blunt. Since 2016, the Conservative party has been riven by feuds, plots and disloyalty. They appear to loathe each other. Four prime ministers – David Cameron, Theresa May, Mr Johnson and Liz Truss – have come and gone. Various factions, including the so-called European Research Group, act like parties within the party. Mr Johnson, despite his serious policy and personal failures, remains a hero to one faction within the party. And yet an inquiry by a cross-party group of MPs – a majority of whom are Conservatives – has decided to sanction Mr Johnson over his conduct, and to do so in a way that would open up the possibility of him personally facing a by-election and losing his parliamentary seat.
Rather than risking the voters wrath, Mr Johnson has quit, leading to charges of cowardice. Some newspapers see his resignation as a “declaration of war” on the Conservative government of Mr Sunak.
Meanwhile, Mr Johnson-supporting newspapers parrot Mr Johnson’s own view that he is a victim of a "Kangaroo Court" and a "witch-hunt".
All this seems ridiculous until you look across the ocean and digest the news about Donald Trump.
The former US president is facing extremely serious charges over his handling of classified documents. And he also claims there is a witch-hunt against him, while using his many scandals and legal battles to his own advantage, fundraising and bolstering his anti-establishment image.
Although the allegations against Mr Johnson are not of the same magnitude, he also employs the same “I am the victim here” strategy as Mr Trump. Both men seem to believe that there is no such thing as bad publicity. Anything which puts them in the public view seems to burnish their image among supporters as “mould breakers” prepared to smash up “politics as usual” and victims of “the Establishment".
For an American billionaire and an Old Etonian to make claims of being “outsider” takes considerable chutzpah. These brazen techniques have worked at least with some sections of the electorate. But can these two extraordinary survivors continue to survive and thrive? Can Mr Trump really regain the US presidency in 2024? Can he end up in the White House – or in jail? Can Mr Johnson really be plotting a political comeback? After helping to unseat his predecessors, Mr Cameron and Ms May, can he do the same with Mr Sunak? All this seems unlikely. But not impossible. I’ve just finished reading Anthony Seldon’s new book, Johnson at 10, the inside story of Mr Johnson’s time in Downing Street. It ends with Seldon going through all the reasons Mr Johnson says he has been cast aside and concludes that he was not unseated by his enemies. He was undone by himself, his incompetence, careless, and inability to deliver. Will he be back? Personally, I doubt that the traditionally ruthless Conservative party will ever again want to turn their fortunes over to the man who has divided the party for years. The flibbertigibbet, the will-o’-the-wisp and the clown, however, may yet have the last laugh. Mr Johnson will make millions on the international speaking circuit, entertaining wealthy business audiences with tales of his many battles and wicked enemies. The trouble is that his record of achievement, beyond personal advancement, is meagre.
Mr Johnson has no ideology. He has very few political convictions. What he does have is an astonishing ego and self-belief. He has been a disaster for his party and his country, and yet I can confidently predict one version of history will be kind to him, for he will write it. A self-justifying book will undoubtedly follow.

The United Nations' Jihad Against Israel
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute./June 12, 2023
The UN, ostensibly dedicated to protecting human rights, and has, in fact, devolved into hurling bogus, tabloid-style allegations as it joins other blood-libel false charges by considering the addition of Israel to its list of blacklisted entities in its 2023 Children and Armed Conflict (CAAC) Report.
The UN resolution draft bizarrely, with no evidence, "accuses Israel of recruiting three Palestinian minors as human shields and combatants," among other offenses....
One of the leaders, in the zeal unjustly to add Israel to the UN blacklist, is World Vision International. It circulated an open letter -- with 18 co-signatory NGOs -- addressed to UN Secretary General António Guterres, repeating the phony and libelous charges against Israel regarding child recruitment.
In addition to this evangelical missionary organization's own anti-Israel history -- which features comparing Israel to Hitler's army and falsely accuses it of funding Hamas -- World Vision International's list of co-signers features a "Who's Who" of anti-Israel organizations, including Human Rights Watch, authors of the notorious report accusing Israel of "apartheid" and "crimes against humanity".
Importantly, Israel is recommended for blacklisting while Palestinian and Iranian armed groups are distinctly not.
The Palestinian Authority (PA) disassociates itself, when it is convenient, from its armed wing, Fatah, and other terror groups while "unofficially" inciting them to violence and even genocide. This is the PA we are talking about -- dominated by the ruling Fatah faction headed by Mahmoud Abbas -- not Hamas or Islamic Jihad,
"In response to threat that this posed to IDF forces, the IDF repeatedly conveyed warnings to the hospital staff, Palestinian officials, and international aid organizations, including the World Health Organization, requesting that they act in order to stop the hospital from being used for military purposes." — Mission of Israel to the UN in Geneva, July 27, 2104.
[T]he early childhood indoctrination to terrorism by Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad is so well documented that it is beyond dispute. The same brainwashing administered by Mahmoud Abbas's Palestinian Authority is only slightly more discreet, but has consistently been presented as the supposedly "moderate" face of the Palestinian struggle, as if the organization concerns itself more with legal and diplomatic warfare.
Unfortunately, Abbas's statements to his constituents on official PA television as opposed to the general English-speaking media -- leave a dramatically different impression: "We salute every drop of blood spilled for the sake of Jerusalem... shed for the sake of Allah, Allah willing. Every martyr will be placed in Paradise, and all the wounded will be rewarded by Allah."
With the astronomical sum of pooled international donations that flood into Palestinian control every year through countless NGOs and humanitarian organizations, it is inconceivable that the poverty among so many Palestinians, especially in the refugee camps, is anything but a desired and designed effect: the result of, shall we say, "questionable" governance. The combination of intense early childhood indoctrination to hatred and terror with hopeless deprivation are a deliberate recipe for terrorism.
Photos of these dead children fuel sympathy donations, funds flow in the billions, and Palestinian officials, their families, and their friends enjoy the high-life at the expense of their own people – all in the name of "the Palestinian cause" and the fight against Israel.
The website of Defense of Children International – Palestine regularly features standard-looking photos of adolescents such as 17-year-old Mahmoud Majed al-Aydi and claim them as victims of Israeli aggression. Eventually, the not-so-innocent photos emerge of this same teen toting an automatic rifle.
None of these supposed child-welfare organizations seriously takes Palestinian groups to task for terrorizing children in Israel, for rocket strikes on kindergartens. None of them gives aid to expand the availability of rocket shelters in Israeli playgrounds or barricades at bus stops to defend against car-rammings, or to offer trauma counseling to children terrorized across Israel by both rocket and terror attacks.
The question needs to be asked: Is it actually "child welfare" that is at issue here, or is it the demonization of Israel, the only democratic country in the region, and one that actually respects human rights, thereby threatening the repressive dictatorships around it that is at the heart of the matter?
"One cannot consider the cynical exploitation of Palestinian children by the Palestinian nationalist movement without recognizing that international NGOs that claim to act on the behalf of the welfare of children often encourage this exploitation by refusing to criticize this practice." — Ahron Shapiro, senior policy analyst, AIJAC, May 30, 2018.
"Nowhere is this more evident than in the case of the NGO Defence of Children International-Palestine, which has been identified by NGO Monitor as having close ties with the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine.... and their responsibility to supervise children and prevent them from engaging in violent activity, must be addressed with the same vigour as allegations of mistreatment at the hands of Israelis." — Ahron Shapiro, AIJAC, May 30, 2018.
Instead of waging Jihad (holy war) on Israel, the UN might start paying attention to the human rights violations and massive child abuse committed by Palestinian and Arab leaders against their own people as well as against Jews.
The United Nations has adopted the nasty habit of many Palestinians: throwing everything at Israel but the kitchen sink. The UN, ostensibly dedicated to protecting human rights, and has, in fact, devolved into hurling bogus, tabloid-style allegations as it joins other blood-libel false charges by considering the addition of Israel to its list of blacklisted entities. Pictured: Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas addresses the United Nations General Assembly in New York on September 23, 2022. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith/AFP via Getty Images)
The United Nations has adopted the nasty habit of many Palestinians: throwing everything at Israel but the kitchen sink. Accusations against Israel have ranged from fabricated claims not merely of "apartheid," but climate apartheid, water apartheid, violating women's rights (the only country accused of that in the midst of a sea of crushing Islamic fundamentalist regimes!), to kidnapping and murdering Palestinian children to harvest their organs.
The UN, ostensibly dedicated to protecting human rights, and has, in fact, devolved into hurling bogus, tabloid-style allegations as it joins other blood-libel false charges by considering the addition of Israel to its list of blacklisted entities in its 2023 Children and Armed Conflict (CAAC) Report.
The UN resolution draft bizarrely, with no evidence, "accuses Israel of recruiting three Palestinian minors as human shields and combatants," among other offenses, which the Israeli Embassy to the UN has called, "strange" and "extreme and unusual allegations," asserting that, "no such cases took place... and that the claims are false."
One of the leaders, in the zeal unjustly to add Israel to the UN blacklist, is World Vision International. It circulated an open letter -- with 18 co-signatory NGOs -- addressed to UN Secretary General António Guterres, repeating the phony and libelous charges against Israel regarding child recruitment.
In addition to this evangelical missionary organization's own anti-Israel history -- which features comparing Israel to Hitler's army and falsely accuses it of funding Hamas -- World Vision International's list of co-signers features a "Who's Who" of anti-Israel organizations, including Human Rights Watch, authors of the notorious report accusing Israel of "apartheid" and "crimes against humanity".
The open letter also complains that the "Israeli government forces have never been listed in the annexes [aka blacklist]" and says that both Palestinian armed groups and Israeli government forces should be added to the list.
Importantly, Israel is recommended for blacklisting while Palestinian and Iranian armed groups are distinctly not.
The Palestinian Authority (PA) disassociates itself, when it is convenient, from its armed wing, Fatah, and other terror groups while "unofficially" inciting them to violence and even genocide. This is the PA we are talking about -- dominated by the ruling Fatah faction headed by Mahmoud Abbas -- not Hamas or Islamic Jihad,
All the NGOs that signed this petition to the UN Secretary General cite a document titled "A Credible List: Recommendations for the Secretary-General's 2023 Annual Report on Children and Armed Conflict," which was published by the NGO Watchlist on Children and Armed Conflict ("Watchlist").
It is uncertain as to how Watchlist acquired this influential position with the UN, but apparently the other NGOs are all grinning triumphantly at Israel's nomination to this year's child-rapist and junta-laden top-ten list of shame.
Watchlist explains that it reached its conclusions solely via "a desk review of various publicly available reports... to inform the recommendations included in this policy note." This means that Watchlist did not send independent experts to verify the claims of the highly anti-Israel biased NGOs who provided the reports and whose livelihoods are linked to perpetuating the crisis. The official allegation reads: "Israel / Occupied Palestinian Territory: Israeli Government Forces for killing and maiming and attacks on schools and hospitals."
There seems to have been a lot of concentrated work trying to fit Israel into some of these definitions. As NGO Monitor notes:
"In the report, the primary cause of 'maiming of children by Israeli forces' is tear gas (more than 50% of incidents)... Indeed, tear gas uniquely appeared in the Israel section in the 2019 report, as well. However, in that year, the Secretary-General's report listed tear gas inhalation as 'injuries' distinct from 'maiming.' In a July 2019 press conference, UN Special Representative for Children and Armed Conflict Virginia Gamba acknowledged this distinction and indicated that her office was going to examine expanding the definition of 'maiming' to include tear gas."
Addressing the allegation of Israel's "attacks on schools and hospitals," it is well-substantiated with verbal and video confirmation that this has not been considered in the context that, "In Hamas' world, hospitals are command centers, ambulances are transport vehicles, and medics are human shields, in flagrant violation of international law."
"In response to threat that this posed to IDF forces, the IDF repeatedly conveyed warnings to the hospital staff, Palestinian officials, and international aid organizations, including the World Health Organization, requesting that they act in order to stop the hospital from being used for military purposes. On July 23, after confirming that no civilians were present, the IDF attacked the compound and the terrorists within the hospital grounds, in order to remove the threat posed to IDF forces."
Israel has been lauded by many for taking unprecedented pains to avoid civilian casualties and any unavoidable deaths, even of terrorists and combatants, and has even prosecuted its own soldiers for violations.
By contrast, the early childhood indoctrination to terrorism by Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad is so well documented that it is beyond dispute. The same brainwashing administered by Mahmoud Abbas's Palestinian Authority is only slightly more discreet, but has consistently been presented as the supposedly "moderate" face of the Palestinian struggle, as if the organization concerns itself more with legal and diplomatic warfare.
Unfortunately, Abbas's statements to his constituents on official PA television as opposed to the general English-speaking media -- leave a dramatically different impression:
"We salute every drop of blood spilled for the sake of Jerusalem... shed for the sake of Allah, Allah willing. Every martyr will be placed in Paradise, and all the wounded will be rewarded by Allah."
With the astronomical sum of pooled international donations that flood into Palestinian control every year through countless NGOs and humanitarian organizations, it is inconceivable that the poverty among so many Palestinians, especially in the refugee camps, is anything but a desired and designed effect: the result of, shall we say, "questionable" governance. The combination of intense early childhood indoctrination to hatred and terror with hopeless deprivation are a deliberate recipe for terrorism.
In the PA-controlled refugee camps, teens give in to the engineered combination of hopelessness with the promoted hero-worship of martyrs:
"Unemployment and frustration are high here.... we want to become... martyrs for God, to the grave, nothing else. We don't want to get married or work. To the grave directly, nothing else."
Photos of these dead children fuel sympathy donations, funds flow in the billions, and Palestinian officials, their families, and their friends enjoy the high-life at the expense of their own people – all in the name of "the Palestinian cause" and the fight against Israel.
On the list supporting Israel's addition to the UN's Children and Armed Conflict report is the NGO Defense of Children International – Palestine, which misleadingly lays the blame on Israel for the death of underage terrorists.
The organization's website regularly features standard-looking photos of adolescents such as 17-year-old Mahmoud Majed al-Aydi and claim them as victims of Israeli aggression. Eventually, the not-so-innocent photos emerge of this same teen toting an automatic rifle.
Nikki Haley, as US ambassador to the UN, lamented the fate of Palestinian children:
"Anyone who truly cares about children in Gaza should insist that Hamas immediately stop using children as cannon fodder in its conflict with Israel... It is quite simply an issue of decency. Humanity itself loses when the barbaric practice of human shields is tolerated and unanswered."
Virtually all of the child welfare NGOs that support the UN's latest Israel-slamming resolution declare their unwavering support for the "psychosocial wellbeing" and all other conceivable needs of Palestinian children, while completely ignoring those of terror-traumatized Israeli children.
None of these supposed child-welfare organizations seriously takes Palestinian groups to task for terrorizing children in Israel, for rocket strikes on kindergartens. None of them gives aid to expand the availability of rocket shelters in Israeli playgrounds or barricades at bus stops to defend against car-rammings, or to offer trauma counseling to children terrorized across Israel by both rocket and terror attacks.
The question needs to be asked: Is it actually "child welfare" that is at issue here, or is it the demonization of Israel, the only democratic country in the region, and one that actually respects human rights, thereby threatening the repressive dictatorships around it that is at the heart of the matter?
Australian senior policy analyst Ahron Shapiro encapsulates much of the issue:
"One cannot consider the cynical exploitation of Palestinian children by the Palestinian nationalist movement without recognizing that international NGOs that claim to act on the behalf of the welfare of children often encourage this exploitation by refusing to criticize this practice.
"Nowhere is this more evident than in the case of the NGO Defence of Children International-Palestine, which has been identified by NGO Monitor as having close ties with the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine.
"If Palestinian children's rights are protected in the same way as children anywhere – as they should be – then the politicisation of the issue must end. Palestinian parental and governmental responsibility for raising and educating children in an environment free from incitement and hate, and their responsibility to supervise children and prevent them from engaging in violent activity, must be addressed with the same vigour as allegations of mistreatment at the hands of Israelis."
This bullying and agenda-mongering during the most current blacklisting resolution by the UN, the signatory NGOs, and the entire Israel-demonizing, Palestinian-promoting agenda in the crocodile-tears guise of legitimate concern for the welfare of children, is not only sickening, it also serves to further delegitimize the UN and other organizations that perpetrate such fraud.
Instead of waging Jihad (holy war) on Israel, the UN might start paying attention to the human rights violations and massive child abuse committed by Palestinian and Arab leaders against their own people as well as against Jews.
*Bassam Tawil is a Muslim Arab based in the Middle East.
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Egypt Renovates and Rededicates Mosque to Notorious Religious Persecutor and Mass Slaver
Raymond Ibrahim/Coptic Solidarity./June 12, 2023
While statues, monuments, and buildings dedicated to and/or named after heroes of American history—including Washington, Jefferson, and Lincoln—get vandalized, toppled, removed, and/or renamed, a terrorist, religious persecutor, and mass-slaver was lavishly honored in Egypt earlier this week.
On Sunday, June 3, 2023, the thirteenth century Sultan al-Zahir Baibars Mosque was reopened in Cairo following 16 years of restoration work commissioned by Egypt and Kazakhstan and costing more than 181 million Egyptian pounds.
The reopening ceremony in Cairo was attended by several dignitaries, including the Grand Imam of Al-Azhar, Sheikh Dr. Ahmed al-Tayeb. During that event, Maulen Ashimbaev, chairman of the Kazakh senate, said:
President Tokayev [of Kazakhstan] conveys warm greetings to all participants in the events dedicated to the 800th anniversary of Sultan Baibars [b.1223]. Over 600 events were organized as part of the anniversary, including some held in Egypt…. Sultan Baibars, a renowned commander, also dedicated himself to the construction of mosques and madrasas, as well as the advancement of science and education. The reopening of the Sultan al-Zahir Baibars Mosque, after restoration, rightfully recognizes it as a unique object of world cultural heritage. Therefore, today’s event holds great importance on an international scale.
Actually, if “Western standards” were used to evaluate this event, it would indeed “hold great importance on an international scale”—but in a very scandalous way. After all, for all of Baibars’ achievements—including playing a pivotal role in halting the Mongols destructive advance into the Middle East at the Battle of Ayn Jalut, 1260—he was everything (and then some) that Western progressives claim to detest in the heroes of history.
Bronze bust of Baibars in Cairo
For starters, this former slave-soldier (mamluk) assassinated, poisoned, and killed his way to the sultanate. A “radical” Muslim, once in power, Baibars ushered in one of the most horrific persecutions of Coptic Christians since Islam’s invasion of Egypt six centuries earlier: churches and monasteries were desecrated, burned or transformed into mosques; Christians were randomly executed in brutal ways, including by being sawn in half or thrown into pits and burned alive; the Coptic Orthodox Church was regularly extorted into paying exorbitant bribes. At one point, Baibars decreed that all Christian and Jewish scribes—who then formed the majority of the government (or diwan)—either convert to Islam or be beheaded. Some converted; others were martyred. (For more on the persecution of Copts at the hands of both Baibars and the Mamluk sultanate he ushered in, see Adel Guindy’s A Sword Over the Nile.)
In Syria, which also fell under his sway, Baibars, in 1263, “gave orders,” his biographer, Ibn Abdul Zahir approvingly writes, “that the church of Nazareth should be demolished, this being the most important place of worship for them; it is said that the religion of the Christians had its origin there.”
Having ravished the Christians under his authority, Baibars next turned to the much weakened coastal Crusader kingdoms. In 1265, he conquered Caesarea and Haifa and massacred every Christian who could not flee. He then besieged Arsuf, which was staunchly defended by 260 Knights Hospitaller. So outnumbered and eventually pushed to and holed in the city’s citadel, they eventually accepted Baibars’ terms of surrender, which included allowing them all to go free. Once they opened their gates, the Muslim sultan reneged on his word and ordered them all shackled and enslaved and sent to march through the streets of Cairo—to jeers, slaps, and spits—wearing heavy wooden crosses around their necks.
In 1266 Baibars besieged the great Templar castle at Safed. When the Christian defenders had reached their final extremity, Baibars offered them surrender terms to withdraw unmolested to Acre. Unaware of his betrayal of the Hospitallers, they accepted, and again he broke his word, ordering them all beheaded. Then he turned to the undefended Christian village of Qara, massacring all the adults and enslaving their women and children.
Of especial note is Baibars sack of the Christian kingdom of Antioch in 1268. After the sultan’s men had breached the city, which was swollen with Christian fugitives, especially women and children, Baibars ordered its gates shut behind them. An orgiastic bloodbath—also known as the “single greatest massacre of the entire crusading era,” to quote Thomas Madden—followed. In a letter to Bohemond VI, who was not present at Antioch’s fall, Baibars gloated over what took place in explicitly jihadist terms:
You would have seen your knights prostrated beneath the horses’ hooves, your houses stormed by pillagers and ransacked by looters…your women sold four at a time and bought for a dinar of your [own] money! You would have seen the crosses in your churches smashed, the pages of the false Testaments scattered, the Patriarchs’ tombs overturned. You would have seen your Muslim enemy trampling on the place where you celebrate the mass, cutting the throats of monks, priests, and deacons upon the altars, bringing sudden death to the Patriarchs and slavery to the royal princes. You would have seen fire running through your palaces, your dead burned,…your palace lying unrecognizable, the church of St. Paul and that of Qusyan [Cathedral of Saint Peter] pulled down and destroyed.
Such is the man that Egypt has spent millions in order to rededicate a mosque to, even as “progressive” Americans fall over themselves trying to “cancel” the heroes of U.S. history—including abolitionists who died fighting slavery—on the charge that they were no saints.

Blinken and the Diplomacy of Rebuilding Trust
Sam Menassa/Asharq Al Awsat/June 12/2023
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s visit to Saudi Arabia, where he held meetings with high-ranking officials and made several pledges, is another promising indication that Washington has reconsidered its policy choices. Indeed, coming just a few weeks after President Joe Biden’s National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan made his trip, Blinken’s visit affirmed that Washington is keen on addressing the region’s concerns and helping it find solutions to problems. His discussions with Saudi officials addressed a long list of issues: Iran, the efforts to end the Yemen war, and how to expand and diversify US-Saudi cooperation in non-energy and non-defense sectors. Blinken also met with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council and discussed consolidating the coalition against ISIS.
This diplomatic overture towards Riyadh comes with the framework of the US response to the Saudi-Iranian agreement signed under the auspices of China. Indeed, the first sign that the US has changed its posture since the agreement was its reported attempts to resume negotiations with Iran regarding the latter’s nuclear program. However, leaks indicate that Iran is not enthusiastic about the prospect. Moreover, a statement released by France, Germany, and Britain last week expressed concerns about Iran’s enrichment of Uranium. Another indicator is that it is playing a more active role in ensuring maritime security in the Gulf. Although Washington’s foreign policy remains ambiguous, these steps seem geared towards achieving three objectives: the first attempts to reproduce and coopt China’s success in facilitating Saudi Arabia and Iran’s agreement to normalize relations. The second intends to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons through negotiations on a deal that remains vague and to prevent Israel from taking military action to end this program. As for the third, it confronts Iran’s actions in Gulf waters and fortifies America’s role in safeguarding this region’s security in general. The pursuit of three tracks could be read as a reaction to the course of changes in the region that were anchored by the recent agreement between Riyadh and Tehran and its results.
The US must overcome several difficult hurdles to achieve these goals. This includes what we hope to achieve regarding Iran’s nuclear program, which also continues to worry the Gulf states and other countries in the region. An agreement with Tehran could alleviate these concerns, but it would not dispel them. The ultimate question is whether Washington will manage to resolve this matter in a manner that does not threaten the security and stability of the Gulf and involve them in the negotiation process. The answer could well determine the future of Washington’s relations with the countries of the region.
As for fortifying Washington’s role in safeguarding the security of the Gulf region in general, its trajectory hinges on the long-term impact of the Iranian-Saudi rapprochement, which is still in its infancy and cannot be assessed yet.
Nonetheless, the traditional US approach to ties with Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states is certainly now a thing of the past. The US should recalibrate in response to these countries’ attempts to reformulate their economic and social domestic agenda and their ties with the rest of the world. The current US administration has yet to properly understand that Saudi Arabia, like the Gulf countries in general, now prioritizes its national interests and the aspirations of its people. It is trying to balance its relations between East and West, pursuing a policy of “zero problems.” The reconciliation of Saudi Arabia and Iran should be seen from this lens.
Will the US strategy for the region revolve around these objectives? The answer is no because it has no comprehensive economic and political strategy and is almost exclusively focused on combating terrorism. Moreover, it is dealing with issues “piecemeal.” Meanwhile, human rights questions do not generally speak to what Washington wants or what the region expects from it. Despite its recent push, the US administration’s efforts are weak when compared to China’s openness, which is nonetheless confined to facilitating political settlements and resolving economic and security disputes.
Whatever Blinken achieves from this visit, which is part of the US effort to “not leave a vacuum for our strategic competitors in the region,” as President Biden put it during his visit to Jeddah last summer, the US will remain weak. It has not done enough in the face of the threats presented by the tensions in Yemen, Syria, Iraq, and other conflict zones, most notably the region’s most recent civil war in Sudan. We have the broad challenges posed by the tensions between Iran and Israel, which may explode unless progress is made through negotiation and audacious steps are taken to curb greater enrichment and Iran’s support for Russia in its war against Ukraine.
Last but not least, we have the Israeli government’s brutal treatment of Palestinians, which destabilizes the region as a whole.
Indeed, the main requisite for saving itself is finding a just and comprehensive peaceful solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict that accounts for the rights of the Palestinians, thereby avoiding the pitfalls that folded John Kerry’s initiative during Barack Obama’s second term and Jared Kushner’s initiative during Donald Trump’s term. Only Washington can revitalize the Israeli-Palestinian peace process and diffuse this time bomb hindering its return to the region. The US should cooperate with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in particular and the countries of the region in general to forge new bilateral relationships through which to address shared concerns and seize new opportunities... If it does, the US will ride back to the region on a white horse.

Saving Russia and the World

Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al Awsat/June 12/2023
The strong Russia is in a crisis. It is like a strong boxer who has chosen to fight a smaller one and yet, cannot deal the knockout blow. The West is also in a crisis. Russia’s victory would be too much for it to bear, while Russia’s defeat will be too much for the world to bear.
A defeated Russia in Ukraine is more dangerous than a victorious one. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s defeat may force him to expand the war or bring it closer to nuclear war. Sometimes you need to save your rival after depriving them of victory.
I recall statements from a man who knows the international game and its players. He said the United States is a massive empire, and yet, it can be ruled by an ordinary, weak or moody man.
It can also lose a war. It can launch a probe and conclude that changes are needed: a new president, administration and perhaps even a new majority at Congress. It boasts institutions that can absorb shocks and blows.
The institution in the US is more powerful than the man. It grants him wide authority, but it can rein him in if he takes risks or violates the basic rules. Russia is another story. It can only feel reassured when a strong man is in power. The weak man makes it feel that it is being surrounded and under threat.
It is standing at an important crossroads where all choices are costly. The strong man relieves it of its concerns, fears of others and of the forces within its maps.
The Soviet experience is rife with lessons. Russia is a continent that boasts ethnic, religious and cultural wealth. Its stability is necessary for the security or Europe and Asian and international balances. That is why Russia must be helped in getting out of the Ukraine crisis.
It won’t bode well if we witness advanced western jets fighting Russian jets over Ukraine. No one can guarantee that the war will remain contained within its current boundaries. And yet, the world cannot withstand the consequences of the war becoming open-ended and stretching on for years.
The crisis of the current war runs deep. The West cannot agree on giving Russia what it wants because Russia will only view this as a victory. On the other hand, Putin’s Russia cannot leave Ukraine defeated. The defeat of the master of the Kremlin may threaten the Russian federation itself.
Delivering the knockout blow in Ukraine is not on the cards. Ukraine has no other choice than to resist the invading Russians even if it seems like a suicide mission that has cost it massive human and economic losses. Even if its counteroffensive fails, Ukraine will not surrender. It will seek more support from the West and pledge before its people to carry out another counteroffensive.
Russia is unable to deal the knockout blow, but it can afford the cost of a lengthy war. This does not deny the truth that Russia has upended international equations by waging the war and weakened its position in the club of major powers.
Ukraine and Russia have no choice but to keep going in the war. However, the prolongation of the conflict will pose many dangers to countries near and far. For nearby countries, they fear the war may expand to them, while distant ones are suffering the consequences of rising energy and grain prices. The world cannot withstand more years of war.
A real will to stop the war must be formed. China must play the role of some sort of savior, especially if Europe begins searching for a solution and the US starts to believe that Russia has not received a reward for its “aggression”.
It is not impossible to put conflicts on the right path towards a solution. The feeling that the knockout blow is out of reach must not mean that war should go on indefinitely. Rather, it should pave the way for an equation of semi-victory and semi-defeat, where small gains are distributed, and major disappointments are shared.
Has Putin’s long stay in power affected his convictions? Those who knew him have said that in his early years in office, he had sent positive messages to the West. He was prepared for Russia to join the rules and institutions that ran the world. He was ready to establish balanced or semi-balanced relations with the US and normal and strong relations with Europe.
He then realized that the West had never forgiven Russia for its Soviet journey. It still approached it as a danger that should be contained. The speed at which former Soviet republics threw themselves in the European Union or NATO laps reawakened old Russian fears in him. That is why he began to believe that his country would make its own security, borders and roles by bringing its neighbors to heel.
He even came to believe that he must stage a major revolt against the world that was born out of the Soviet rubble. This explains his annexation of Crimea, his military intervention in Syria, need to avenge NATO’s intervention in Serbia and Kosovo, and confront the colored revolutions that erupted near Russia’s borders.
The US can live under the rule of a weak man, but Russia cannot. The world will pay the price of Putin’s victory and will pay a higher one for his defeat. Will the potential failure of the Ukrainian counteroffensive make the decision-makers in the West realize that it is time to search for a solution where both sides are semi-defeated and semi-victorious?
Is it time to save Russia and the world? Does the Kremlin feel like it needs someone to help it end the costly conflict in Ukraine? It is evident that Putin made an error in launching the war. The master of reports was fooled by reports.