English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For June 11/2023
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
Those who love me will keep my word, and my Father will love them, and we will come to them and make our home with them

Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 14/21-27/:”They who have my commandments and keep them are those who love me; and those who love me will be loved by my Father, and I will love them and reveal myself to them.’Judas (not Iscariot) said to him, ‘Lord, how is it that you will reveal yourself to us, and not to the world?’Jesus answered him, ‘Those who love me will keep my word, and my Father will love them, and we will come to them and make our home with them. Whoever does not love me does not keep my words; and the word that you hear is not mine, but is from the Father who sent me. ‘I have said these things to you while I am still with you. But the Advocate, the Holy Spirit, whom the Father will send in my name, will teach you everything, and remind you of all that I have said to you. Peace I leave with you; my peace I give to you. I do not give to you as the world gives. Do not let your hearts be troubled, and do not let them be afraid.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 10-11/2023
Saint Rafqa/Saint Of The Day Face Book Page
Michel Aoun's visit to Damascus./Etienne Saqr- Abu Arz/June 10, 2023
FPM denies remarks attributed to Bassil on Baroud, Azour
Lebanon's Presidential Election: Are Amal-Hezbollah Capable of Disrupting the Quorum?
Culture Minister: Our candidate preserves Lebanon's identity and unity
Al-Bizri to LBCI: We are coordinating to ensure a third option in the Presidential election session
Tyre Coast Nature Reserve Director affirms southern coast is a habitat for sea turtles
Are Public Sector Salaries at Risk Amid Quorum Concerns?
Mikati calls for cabinet session on Tuesday
Ibrahim says he sees no president on the horizon, purpose of nominating Azour is to block Franjieh
Hamieh: Iraqi Transport Minister informed Speaker Berri of Iraq's invitation to Lebanon to be part of "development path"
Taymour Jumblatt: For a rational approach to entitlements, review of consensual, inclusive options
Boushkian commissions Chantal Akl to assume duties of Industry Ministry Director General
Mekdad, Abdollahian discuss bilateral relations, latest developments
Salam in Riyadh heading Lebanon's delegation to largest Chinese-Arab business gathering

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 10-11/2023
Iran's Raisi and France's Macron discuss promotion of ties
US says Iran helping Russia build drone factory east of Moscow
France warns Iran on drone deliveries to Russia
Israelis march against government's contentious plan to overhaul judiciary
Russians are cheering defeats of Western-made tanks. Their optimism may prove premature.
Zelensky says counteroffensive 'taking place' as Trudeau visits Kyiv
Sudan ceasefire brings rare respite for Khartoum civilians
Latest Sudan truce begins amid civilian skepticism
Turkiye investigates fatal explosion at munitions factory which killed 5/Investigation launched into cause of explosion
Egypt begins requiring visas for all Sudanese after detecting ‘unlawful activities’: MFA spokesman
UK politics reels from shock of ex-PM Johnson's departure
How Trump indictment could impact White House race
Former Wall Street exec named head of Turkey central bank
Saudi Crown Prince threatened to damage US economy – media
Somali security forces end Al Shabaab attack on Mogadishu beach hotel
Colombia plane crash: Four children found alive in Amazon after 40 days

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 10-11/2023
No Joke': The Baffling Silence by The Biden Administration, UN and EU on Iran's Human Rights Abuses/Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/June 10, 2023
Biden’s Iran Gamble/A Risky New Strategy to Keep Tehran From Going Nuclear/Eric Brewer and Henry Rome/Foreigin Affairs/June 10/2023
Morocco leads the way in building a sustainable future/Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/June 10, 2023
Full steam ahead for both Democrats and the Republicans/Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/June 10, 2023

Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 10-11/2023
Saint Rafqa
Saint Of The Day Face Book Page
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/116856/life-summary-of-saint-rafca-the-blind-mystic-of-lebanon-the-lily-of-himlaya/
Rafqa El-Rayess was born on June 29th 1832, in Himlaya, one of the northern Metn villages. She was the only child to her parents Mourad Saber el-Chobok el-Rayess and Rafqa Gemayel.
On July 7th 1832 she was baptized and christened Boutroussieh. Her mother died when she was seven.
Her father sent her to serve at Assad Badawi’s in Damascus in 1843. Rafqa came back after four years; her father was remarried to a woman named Kafa who wanted her to marry her brother, while her aunt wanted her to marry her son. In order to resolve the conflict, Rafqa chose to enter the monastic life.
In Our Lady of Delivrance monastery in Bekfaya and in front of her Icon, Rafqa asked God for help and hears His voice saying: ’’You’re becoming a nun’’.
Rafqa wore the initiation Robe on St Joseph day on March 19th 1861.
On March 19th 1862, Rafqa presented the monastic vows in the monastery of Ghazir. She became a nun in the Congregation of St Mary.
Rafqa stayed in Ghazir’s clericalism, amongst the clergy were Patriarch Elias Houwayek and Archbishop Boutros el-Zoughbi. She studied arabic, calligraphy and calculation.
Rafqa was sent to Deir el-Kamar to teach catechism in 1860. During the bloody event that took place in the Mont of Lebanon back then, Rafqa saw a lot of people getting killed and she saved a child by hiding him under her robe.
In 1864, she was transferred to Maad village where she stayed seven years and established a school to teach girls.
Crisis arises in the Congregation of St Mary in 1871, Rafqa prayed and saw in her dream St Anthony the Great, father of the monks, saying to her: ‘’ Become a nun in the Lebanese Order’’.
In the monastery of St. Simon el-Qam in Aito, Rafqa wore the Initiation Robe on July 12th 1871 and then presented her vows on August 25th 1872.
In October 1885, Rafqa asked God to make her a part of his divine pains. Pain started in her head then in her eyes, an American doctor pulled her right eye by accident while doing a surgery. Doctors considered treatments useless as her left eye was affected too.
She suffered unbearable pains for 12 years in patience, silence and prayer.
In 1897, she was sent to the new monastery of St. Jospeh al-Dahr in Jrabta, Batroun.
In 1899, she became blind. Her right hip and leg were disjointed, her shoulder dislocated.
On March 23rd 1914, Rafqa rested in peace.
Pope John Paul II declared her:
Venerated on February 11th 1982.
Beatified on November 17th 1985.
Role model in the adoration of the Eucharist in the Jubilee year 2000.
Saint for the whole church on June 10th 2001.

Michel Aoun's visit to Damascus.
Etienne Saqr- Abu Arz/June 10, 2023
https://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/118997/%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%a7%d9%86-%d8%b5%d9%82%d8%b1-%d8%a3%d8%a8%d9%88-%d8%a3%d8%b1%d8%b2-%d8%b2%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%b1%d8%a9-%d9%85%d9%8a%d8%b4%d8%a7%d9%84-%d8%b9%d9%88%d9%86-%d9%84%d8%af%d9%85%d8%b4/
President Aoun inaugurated the pilgrimage season to Syria, and some believed that the goals of the visit were to discuss urgent national files:
1- The file of the displaced Syrians, which has become disturbing the Lebanese and threatens the Lebanese entity in its existence.
2- The file of the Lebanese who have been missing for decades in Syrian prisons, which is still stuck in the corridors of Mezze and the torture cellars in Saydnaya, Palmyra and other Syrian death camps.
3- The file of demarcating the sea and land borders with Syria, and closing the illegal crossings that drain the Lebanese economy...
However, according to informed sources, nothing of the kind happened. Rather, the "son-in-law" was the focus of the conversation regarding the issue of his problems with "Hezbollah" and his choice to support Azour's candidacy for the presidency.
Lon Live Lebanon.
Abu Arz

FPM denies remarks attributed to Bassil on Baroud, Azour
Naharnet/June 10, 2023
The Free Patriotic Movement has denied remarks attributed to FPM chief Jebran Bassil by al-Jadeed TV as “totally baseless” and “misleading.”“The channel is carrying out a distortion campaign for known and exposed objectives,” the FPM said. Al-Jadeed had reported overnight that Bassil had told a number of FPM lawmakers that “his presidential choice in the second stage is ex-minister Ziad Baroud.”The channel also said that Bassil “had told FPM legislators that he would drop ex-minister Jihaz Azour’s nomination if they get a pledge from Hezbollah to give up Marada Movement chief Suleiman Franjieh.”

Lebanon's Presidential Election: Are Amal-Hezbollah Capable of Disrupting the Quorum?

LBCI/June 10, 2023
The Lebanese presidential election set for Wednesday teeters on uncertainty as the Parliament grapples with electing a new president. Both Sleiman Frangieh and Jihad Azour are in the running, but there are signals suggesting that the quorum could be lost, either in the first or second round.
In Lebanon's political landscape, the opposition parties and the Free Patriotic Movement collectively wield a significant portion of parliamentary votes. They have the power to disrupt the quorum if they decide it is necessary. But how strong is the support behind Frangieh? Do his backers secure one-third of the Parliament—43 MPs—to potentially disrupt the session in its first or second round by exiting the voting hall? Frangieh's backing team is composed of 30 MPs from the Amal Movement and Hezbollah blocs, including Speaker Nabih Berri. This faction is further fortified by the four MPs of the independent national bloc, considered as Frangieh's allies. It also includes the five deputies from the national consensus bloc, and MPs Jihad Samad, Haider Nasser, George Bushikian, and Jamil El Sayyed. In total, 43 MPs back Frangieh and could destabilize the session. Now the question is, will the Amal Movement and Hezbollah duo risk entering the session with this "bare minimum" number, or will they attempt to broaden their base by attracting MPs from other parties? The Armenian Revolutionary Federation (Tashnaq) deputies have yet to settle their stance, which will be taken on the eve of the session. Nonetheless, Tashnaq acknowledges the importance of seriously considering any candidate's received votes, especially if they reach an absolute majority. On the other hand, MP Karim Kabbara told LBCI that his position is firm, and he will not participate in disrupting the quorum of any electoral session. The Change bloc deputies and the independent deputies are fundamentally opposed to the principle of disrupting the quorum. In conclusion, the outcome of Wednesday's session remains uncertain by all standards. The true situation will only be revealed after the parliamentary votes are counted.

Culture Minister: Our candidate preserves Lebanon's identity and unity
LBCI/June 10, 2023
Lebanon's Caretaker Minister of Culture, Mohammad Mortada, confirmed that June 14th marks the electoral session, where presidential candidates will present themselves, including one of their own. These statements were delivered during the opening ceremony of Tyre's summer activities in 2023. He stated, "Our candidate is very serious and highly qualified to preserve the Lebanese formula and the constitution, and to safeguard the resistance, one of the most important pillars of our entity, against Israeli aggression and ambitions." He added, "Our candidate is qualified not only to preserve coexistence but also to protect the Lebanese formula and the entity itself and to counter various divisive projects […] We are waiting to see what will be presented during the session."

Al-Bizri to LBCI: We are coordinating to ensure a third option in the Presidential election session
LBCI/June 10, 2023
MP Abdel Rahman al-Bizri confirmed that a group of deputies is looking for a third option for the presidency who best represents its choices. He indicated that "if we find him, we can vote for him, and the nomination may be from the first or second round, and there may also be voting with a slogan or a specific phrase." Al-Bizri explained, in an interview on LBCI's "Naharkom Said" TV show, that they are coordinating among themselves to ensure the third option because they are convinced that the presidential election session may not produce a president, considering that there must be a "balanced voice" calling for moderation and change. He saw that the head of the Marada Movement, Sleiman Frangieh, and the former minister, Jihad Azour, are paying the price for the tensions, asking: "What guarantees that the "divorce" that took place between the two largest Christian blocs will not be repeated?" He stressed the need to find a formula that takes into account the common denominators of all parties in the country and enjoys the reassurance of the Lebanese people and Arab countries, refusing to impose a president on the Christians. Regarding Army Commander General Joseph Aoun, al-Bizri considered him a "comfortable" figure who had a crucial role in preserving the military institution, but his election faces many obstacles, the most important of which is the constitutional amendment that needs 86 deputies.

Tyre Coast Nature Reserve Director affirms southern coast is a habitat for sea turtles
LBCI/June 10, 2023
Tyre Coast Nature Reserve Director Ali Badreddine announced the discovery of dozens of nests belonging to a Loggerhead Sea Turtle along the sandy beaches stretching from Adousiyeh Beach to Abbasieh Beach, as well as within the various sections of Tyre Coast Nature Reserve, all the way to Mansouri.
He pointed out that the scientific monitoring team affiliated with Tyre Coast Nature Reserve launched a campaign to monitor the sandy beaches. In a statement, he added that since the beginning of the nesting season, the team had been tasked with monitoring the nests, protecting them, and creating a suitable environment until the hatchlings safely emerged without being exposed to any risks. Badreddine stated, "The increase in the number of discovered nests confirms that the southern coast serves as a sanctuary for turtles, and it is crucial to maintain its cleanliness and remove any pollutants that threaten marine life."
He reiterated the call to beachgoers "not to leave behind any waste that affects the cleanliness of the beaches." He also urged horseback riders "to adhere to the guidelines and avoid bringing horses onto the sandy beaches during the nesting season, as they directly contribute to the destruction of the nests, which poses a danger to the eggs laid by turtles in the sand, depriving them of reproduction and increasing their numbers for the sake of biodiversity in the sea."

Are Public Sector Salaries at Risk Amid Quorum Concerns?

LBCI/June 10, 2023
Roughly twenty days ago, a month before due, Lebanon's Ministry of Finance made a candid announcement from the Grand Serail: there would be no salaries if the Parliament did not approve the appropriations. This decision has implications for approximately 310,000 state employees, including retirees and military personnel, whose salaries hinge on a preoccupied Parliament tackling a presidential session on June 14. Two weeks following the Ministry of Finance's warning, it reiterated its position, confirming that nothing has changed and the salary problem is stuck pending a legislative session. Will the Speaker of the Parliament call a legislative session to solve the salary issue after the government approves it? Sources from Ain el-Tineh confirmed that the priority is the presidency, and no other issue will be discussed before Wednesday. So, what happens after the presidential session? The same sources hinted that the Speaker of the Parliament will not call a legislative session until it's assured that the legislative quorum—half plus one—is met. This leads us back to the constitutional issue regarding the Parliament's ability to exercise its legislative powers, a problem that was put under the spotlight after the session concerning the extension for municipalities. Among those who oppose attending legislative sessions before the election of a president, opposition deputies, some independents, and the change-makers boycotted after 46 deputies signed a petition refusing to attend any session not dedicated to electing a president of the republic. However, the Free Patriotic Movement attended the session, considering that the country cannot be paralyzed with the local authorities' operations at a halt. What about the salary session? Will the goal of the session justify its convening this time? The Strong Republic bloc, the Renewal bloc, and the Change deputies will not attend the session. The Kataeb deputies and other deputies, despite their clear stance of not attending any legislative parliamentary session before electing a president, have not yet decided on their position regarding the salary session. The Free Patriotic Movement's stance remains inaccessible. With around 20 days left until Eid al-Adha, will public sector employees have to celebrate without their salaries? The question remains open as Lebanon continues to navigate a multifaceted crisis.

Mikati calls for cabinet session on Tuesday
NNA/June 10, 2023
Prime Minister Najib Mikati called today for a cabinet meeting in the Grand Serail at 3:00 p.m. on Tuesday, June 6, 2023, to discuss the issue of the displaced Syrians and the Ministry of Justice's request to approve concluding a consensual agreement with French lawyers to assist in the case submitted by the French state in the file of Kosakova and her comrades.

Ibrahim says he sees no president on the horizon, purpose of nominating Azour is to block Franjieh
NNA/June 10, 2023
Major General Abbas Ibrahim indicated that he "does not see a president of the republic on the horizon, and whoever nominated former minister Sleiman Franjieh will not back down," adding that "the other team's nomination of former minister Jihad Azour was for the purpose of blocking Franjieh."Major General Ibrahim confirmed, during his meeting today with the Vice-President of the National Media Council and the Supervisor of the "Diaspora" Website, Ibrahim Awad, that "it would have been better for Azour not to get involved in all this confusion." On the issue of the return of the displaced Syrians to their homes, being the first to have initiated this and facilitated the return of thousands to their country before this process stopped, Ibrahim deemed that the return has not yet matured and requires significant internal and external efforts. "It is also important that the requirements for the return of Syrians to their land be available, in terms of money and shelter, and this entails tremendous aid that Damascus must obtain," he said. Finally, Ibrahim concluded: "How can Lebanon recover and rise if Syria does not recover?!"

Hamieh: Iraqi Transport Minister informed Speaker Berri of Iraq's invitation to Lebanon to be part of "development path"

NNA/June 10, 2023
Caretaker Minister of Public Works and Transport, Ali Hamieh, indicated in an issued statement today, that the meeting with House Speaker Nabih Berri came as a conclusion to the round of meetings and tours with the Iraqi Minister of Transport and the accompanying delegation during their visit to Beirut. He added that they briefed the Speaker on the outcomne of their talks, especially with regard to the "path of development" and Iraq's call for Lebanon to be part of it, through branching inside Syria, where they looked into the possibility of making the ports of Beirut and Tripoli its sea outlet.

Taymour Jumblatt: For a rational approach to entitlements, review of consensual, inclusive options

NNA/June 10, 2023
Head of the "Democratic Gathering", MP Taymour Jumblatt, stressed the need for a rational approach to the current entitlements, while avoiding the language of challenge and the tense positions related to it. In a statement on the sidelines of his Saturday meetings at Al-Mukhtara Palace, Jumblatt said: "Acceptance of the logic of democratic action based on the foundations of dialogue alone guarantees the continuation of the search for consensual and inclusive options that serve the interest of the country and its future."

Boushkian commissions Chantal Akl to assume duties of Industry Ministry Director General

NNA/June 10, 2023
Caretaker Minister of Industry, MP George Boushkian, issued Saturday Decision 42/1 by which he commissioned Acting Head of Technical Affairs and Industrial Services Authority - Head of the Cities and Industrial Zones Department in the Industrial Licensing Authority at the Ministry of Industry, Engineer Chantal Abdel-Nour Akl, to assume the duties of Director General at the Industry Ministry, alongside her main functions.

Mekdad, Abdollahian discuss bilateral relations, latest developments

NNA/June 10, 2023
Syrian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates, Faisal Al-Mekdad, discussed today with his Iranian counterpart, Hussein Amir-Abdollahian, during a phone call, bilateral relations between the two countries and positive developments on the Arab and regional arenas. During the call, they also discussed a number of issues of common concern and the importance of focusing on implementing the agreements between both countries, which were discussed and signed during Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi's visit to Syria. The depth of the relations between the two friendly countries was also emphasized during the phone call.

Salam in Riyadh heading Lebanon's delegation to largest Chinese-Arab business gathering
NNA/June 10, 2023
Caretaker Minister of Economy and Trade, Amin Salam, arrived in Riyadh on Saturday, where he is representing Prime Minister Najib Mikati at the head of Lebanon's delegation to the largest Arab-Chinese business gathering held under the auspices of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz. Salam was received by the Undersecretary of the Ministry of Investment, Mohammed bin Ahmed Al Hasna, at King Khalid Airport (Riyadh).

Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 10-11/2023
Iran's Raisi and France's Macron discuss promotion of ties
LBCI/June 10, 2023
Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi and his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron in a lengthy phone call on Saturday discussed ways to promote ties, state media reported. "The 2 sides discussed how to promote relations esp about ongoing negotiations & regional developments," IRNA state news agency quoted Raisi's deputy chief of staff Mohammad Jamshidi as saying in a tweet in English. "They agreed on a roadmap for engagement," Jamshidi added, saying that the call lasted 90 minutes. A 2015 nuclear accord between Iran and world powers gave the Islamic republic relief from international sanctions in return for curbs on its nuclear programme. But in 2018 the United States withdrew unilaterally from the deal and reimposed sanctions, prompting Tehran to suspend implementing its own commitments to restrict nuclear activity including uranium enrichment. Efforts to revive the deal have been fruitless so far. Saturday's call comes after the UN nuclear watchdog reported progress in Iran's cooperation with the agency, resulting in the closure of the file on the discovery of nuclear material at an undeclared site, an issue which has long exacerbated relations between the two. However, the International Atomic Energy Agency has also noted that Iran has significantly increased its stockpile of enriched uranium in recent months. The IAEA said that as of May 13, Iran's total stockpile of enriched uranium was estimated at 4,744.5 kilograms (10,459 pounds), much higher than the limit in the 2015 deal of 202.8 kilos. Iran has always denied any ambition to develop a nuclear weapons capability, insisting that its activities are entirely peaceful.

US says Iran helping Russia build drone factory east of Moscow
Associated Press/June 10, 2023
Iran is providing Russia with materials to build a drone manufacturing plant east of Moscow as the Kremlin looks to lock in a steady supply of weaponry for its ongoing invasion of Ukraine, according to a U.S. intelligence finding released by the White House. National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said U.S. intelligence officials believe a plant in Russia's Alabuga special economic zone could be operational early next year. The White House also released satellite imagery taken in April of the industrial location, several hundred miles east of Moscow, where it believes the plant "will probably be built."
President Joe Biden's administration publicly stated in December that it believed Tehran and Moscow were considering standing up a drone assembly line in Russia for the Ukraine war. The new intelligence suggests that the project, in the Yelabuga region of Tatarstan, has moved beyond conception.
Iran has said it provided drones to Russia before the start of the war but not since. Kirby said that U.S. officials also have determined that Iran continues to supply the Russian military with one-way attack drones made in Iran: The drones are shipped via the Caspian Sea, from Amirabad in Iran to Makhachkala, Russia, and then are used by Russian forces against Ukraine. As of May, Russia had received hundreds of one-way attack drones, as well as drone production-related equipment, from Iran, according to the White House. "This is a full-scale defense partnership that is harmful to Ukraine, to Iran's neighbors, and to the international community," Kirby said. "We are continuing to use all the tools at our disposal to expose and disrupt these activities including by sharing this with the public — and we are prepared to do more." The Biden administration on Friday issued an advisory meant to help businesses and other governments put in place measures to ensure they are not inadvertently contributing to Iran's drone program. The notice from the departments of Commerce, State, Justice and Treasury said it was "critical that private industry be aware of its legal obligations" to abide by U.S. export controls and sanctions.
The United States, the European Union and the United Kingdom in recent months all have issued rules designed to cut off the flow of drone components to Russia and Iran. The Biden administration has repeatedly publicized intelligence findings that detail how Iran is assisting the Russian invasion.
The persistent drip of intelligence findings from the administration is intended to detail what U.S. officials say is a deepening defense partnership between Russia and Iran. It's also part of a broader administration effort to spotlight Moscow's prosecution of its war in Ukraine in hopes of further promoting global isolation of Russia. The White House last month said Russia was looking to buy additional advanced attack drones from Iran after using up most of the 400 drones it had previously purchased from Tehran. The Biden administration last year first publicized satellite imagery and intelligence findings that it said indicated Iran sold hundreds of attack drones to Russia. For months, officials have said the United States believed Iran was considering selling hundreds of ballistic missiles to Russia, but White House officials have said they do not have evidence a deal was consummated. The White House has noted that Iran also has weapons flowing its way from Russia. Iran is seeking to purchase additional military equipment from Russia, including attack helicopters, radars and YAK-130 combat trainer aircraft, according to the White House. In April, Iran announced that it had finalized a deal to buy Su-35 fighter jets from Russia.

France warns Iran on drone deliveries to Russia
PARIS (Reuters)/Sat, June 10, 2023
French President Emmanuel Macron warned Iranian counterpart Ebrahim Raisi on Saturday about the consequences of delivering drones to Russia, Macron's office said on Saturday. In a phone call, Macron urged Iran to "immediately cease" the support it is giving Russia in the war against Ukraine. Macron also expressed concerns about the trajectory of the Iranian nuclear programme, the statement said. Britain, France, Germany, the United States and Ukraine say the supply of Iranian-made drones to Russia violates a 2015 U.N. Security Council resolution enshrining the Iran nuclear deal. The White House said on Friday that Russia appeared to be deepening its defense cooperation with Iran and had received hundreds of one-way attack drones that it is using to strike Ukraine.

Israelis march against government's contentious plan to overhaul judiciary
TEL AVIV, Israel (AP)/Sat, June 10, 2023
Israelis continued protests Saturday for the 23rd week against plans by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s far-right government to overhaul the judiciary in the country. The mass demonstrations started in January shortly after the government, made up of ultranationalist and ultra-Orthodox religious parties, was sworn in. Gaining momentum and seeing large turnouts of more than 200,00 demonstrators at times, protest organizers have said they will not give up until the government cancels the proposed legal changes rather than delaying them. The protests have become a weekly occasion to express on current affairs in the country. In the coastal metropolis of Tel Aviv, where the main protest with tens of thousands is held, protesters held a giant banner reading “Type of citizen: dead,” a reference to surging crimes among Israel’s Arab communities. Other protesters marched behind an effigy of a chained-up Netanyahu amid a sea of Israel’s blue-and-white flags. The plan would weaken the judiciary and limit judicial oversight on laws and government decisions, what critics say poses a direct threat to civil rights and the rights of minorities and marginalized groups. They also warn it will grant the government unrestrained power and upend the country’s system of checks and balances. The government says the judicial plan is meant to rein in what it says is an overly interventionist Supreme Court and restore power to elected legislators.

Russians are cheering defeats of Western-made tanks. Their optimism may prove premature.

Sam Fellman/Business Insider/Sat, June 10, 2023
A terrifying video captures a Russian drone's attack on a German-made Leopard tank below. Russians cheered these defeats. Some believe they are signs Ukraine's counter-offensive is a failure. They may yet be disappointed. Ukraine's counter-offensive has just begun. Scenes from the frontlines of the Ukraine War have recently looked dire for Ukraine's forces as their counteroffensive gets underway, including pile-ups of damaged or wrecked tanks and fighting vehicles. One terrifying video captures a Russian loitering drone's attack on a German-made Leopard 2 tank below. The hit is real but the full damage isn't shown and couldn't be independently assessed. The Leopard is among the more advanced weapons Ukraine has received from its Western backers to aid in retaking its land from Russian invaders. Russians celebrated. "Some prominent Russian ultranationalists claimed that damaged or destroyed Western-provided equipment indicated that Ukrainian forces failed to launch a large-scale counteroffensive," notes the Friday assessment of the Institute for the Study of War think tank, which closely tracks the conflict and the pro-Russian bloggers who shape their public's understanding of it. Accounts and images of the hard fighting are emerging from the Zaporizhia region, where Ukraine is using some of its most powerful weapons to try to punch through Russian lines and is confronting so-called dragon's teeth positions to stop tanks, minefields, relentless artillery, electronic jamming, drones, and even airstrikes. It is not clear if the dire scenes are coming from the fulcrum of Ukraine's counteroffensive, where casualties are likely to be highest as they attempt to press through what could be up to 20 miles of Russia's mutually reinforcing positions. As Insider's Ryan Pickrell has reported, it is in these maelstroms where even the best vehicles can be destroyed and troops killed. "Another Russian milblogger claimed that a counteroffensive can only last up to 10 to 15 days, implying that Ukrainian counteroffensive will soon culminate," according to ISW. That optimism may be misplaced. The counter-offensive is about six days in. Ukraine is advancing in its east and has made limited gains in Zaporizhia — gains that could be built upon in successive waves or supported via other assaults. Russia has parried some of Ukraine's attacks, but will these prove the main effort? Only time will tell.

Zelensky says counteroffensive 'taking place' as Trudeau visits Kyiv
LBCI/June 10, 2023
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Saturday that counteroffensive action was underway as Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau visited Kyiv and accused Russia over flooding from the breached Kakhovka dam. "Counteroffensive and defensive actions are taking place in Ukraine: at which stage I will not talk in detail," Zelensky said at a joint press conference in Kyiv with Trudeau. Zelensky commented after Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed that Kyiv's long-expected counteroffensive was already failing. Russia has reported thwarting Ukrainian attacks in the east and south that some observers have interpreted as the start of a large-scale counteroffensive. "It's interesting what Putin said about our counteroffensive. It is important that Russia always feels this: that they do not have long left, in my opinion," Zelensky said. He added that he was in daily touch with military commanders including armed forces chief Valery Zaluzhny and "everyone is positive now -- tell that to Putin!"Trudeau, 51, and Zelensky, 45, hugged each other and used each other's first names as the Canadian leader made his second unannounced visit to Kyiv since full-scale war broke out in February last year. Canada, which hosts a large Ukrainian diaspora, has been one of Kyiv's key allies since the Russian invasion. It has provided Ukraine with significant military aid, trained more than 36,000 soldiers and adopted sanctions against Moscow.
'Direct consequence'
Trudeau denounced Russia's role in the destruction of the Russian-controlled Kakhovka dam in southern Ukraine on Tuesday. The flooding from the breached dam has forced thousands to flee their homes and sparked fears of humanitarian and environmental disasters. Ukraine accuses Russia of blowing up the dam, while Moscow says Kyiv fired on it. Pledging 10 million Canadian dollars (US $7.5 million) in new funding for flood relief, Trudeau said the dam's destruction was the "direct consequence" of Russia's invasion. "There is absolutely no doubt in our minds that the destruction of the dam was a direct consequence of Russia's decision to invade a peaceful neighbour," Trudeau said. He added he was certain that Moscow would be held accountable for its actions in Ukraine. "Russia's war in Ukraine has devastated infrastructure, has destroyed families and taken lives and is causing economic, food, energy shortages around the world. Russia is responsible and will be held to account."
Pilot training
The Canadian leader said he would provide 500 million Canadian dollars in new funding for military assistance to Ukraine. He also pledged Canada would be part of the multinational efforts to train Ukraine's fighter pilots. Ottawa will also provide 10,000 ammunition rounds and 288 AIM-7 missiles to be repurposed in the United States and used in air defence systems. Earlier in the day Trudeau placed flowers by a wall of remembrance displaying the faces of soldiers killed in combat while a military orchestra played. He also visited an open-air exhibition featuring destroyed Russian military vehicles. Ukrainian Deputy Defence Minister Oleksandr Polishchuk handed Trudeau a box that he said held shrapnel from a rocket that fell on the Black Sea port city of Odesa. He said the gift was intended to remind Trudeau of Ukraine's suffering from Russian strikes. Three people were killed early Saturday in a fire sparked by debris from shot-down Russian drones in the Odesa region. A group of Ukrainian soldiers who had received training in Canada spoke with Trudeau. One of them, Colonel Petro Ostapchuk, told reporters the troops received specialised training for snipers, engineers and young commanders. "It's a great privilege to meet the prime minister," he said.

Sudan ceasefire brings rare respite for Khartoum civilians
LBCI/June 10, 2023
Khartoum residents reported a welcome lull in fighting in Sudan's capital on Saturday after a 24-hour ceasefire between two warring generals took effect, but few believed it would hold.the war started, this is the first time hours go by and we don't hear the sound of guns," said Hamed Ibrahim, adding that "today was completely different" in his east Khartoum neighbourhood. Fighting has raged in the country since mid-April, when army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and his former deputy Mohamed Hamdan Daglo, who commands the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), turned on each other.
Multiple truces have been agreed and broken since the conflict flared, and Washington slapped sanctions on both rival generals after the last attempt collapsed at the end of May. The air strikes and artillery bombardments that have rocked greater Khartoum almost daily subsided at least temporarily, allowing trapped civilians to venture outdoors to buy desperately needed supplies. "Today we have witnessed a total calm," said Othman Hamed, a resident of the capital's sister city Omdurman, just across the Nile. In one Khartoum market, people were seen scrambling to stock up on fruit and other basic goods. "The truce is a chance for us to get some food supplies after we lived on rationed quantities in recent days," said one of the shoppers, Mohamad Radwan. Hajar Youssef said she had gone out in search of an open pharmacy to buy insulin for her mother, who has diabetes. "Unfortunately, I did not find one."
Many people expressed disappointment that the promised ceasefire was so limited in scope. "A one-day truce is much less than we aspire for," said Khartoum North resident Mahmud Bashir. "We look forward to an end to this damned war."
Fleeing Khartoum –
Bus station employee Ali Issa said many people were using the truce to flee the capital for the relative safety of the provinces. "Today, numbers... have risen significantly, maybe even doubled," he said. In the conflict's other main battleground, the western region of Darfur, there was no immediate word on observance of the ceasefire. Upwards of 1,800 people have been killed in the fighting, according to the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project. Nearly two million people have been displaced, including 476,000 who have sought refuge in neighbouring countries, the United Nations says. Announcing the latest truce on Friday, US and Saudi mediators warned the warring parties they would break off their diplomatic efforts unless they honoured their commitments this time. "Should the parties fail to observe the 24-hour ceasefire, facilitators will be compelled to consider adjourning" talks in the Saudi city of Jeddah which have been suspended since late last month, they said. Sudan specialist Aly Verjee said he saw little reason why this truce should be any better than its predecessors. "Unfortunately, the incentives have not changed for either party, so it's hard to see that a truce with the same underlying assumptions, especially one of such short duration, will see a substantially different result," said Verjee, a researcher at Sweden's University of Gothenburg.
- 'Confidence building' -
The Saudi and US mediators said they "share the frustration of the Sudanese people about the uneven implementation of previous ceasefires". Both the army and the paramilitary RSF have declared their commitment to the latest truce, which they said could support humanitarian efforts, while cautioning against violations by their opponents. "If observed, the 24-hour ceasefire will provide an important opportunity... for the parties to undertake confidence-building measures which could permit resumption of the Jeddah talks," the US-Saudi statement said. Friday's ceasefire announcement came a day after Sudanese authorities loyal to Burhan declared UN envoy Volker Perthes "persona non grata", accusing him of taking sides. UN chief Antonio Guterres later expressed support for Perthes, who is currently in the Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa for talks. Speaking through his spokesman, Guterres said "the doctrine of persona non grata is not applicable to or in respect of United Nations personnel."The fighting has sidelined Perthes's efforts to revive Sudan's transition to civilian rule, which was derailed by a 2021 coup by the two generals before they fell out. It has also complicated the coordination of international efforts to deliver emergency relief to the 25 million civilians that the United Nations estimates are in need.

Latest Sudan truce begins amid civilian skepticism
AFP/June 10, 2023
KHARTOUM: A 24-hour cease-fire took effect Saturday between Sudan’s warring generals but, with fears running high it will collapse like its predecessors, US and Saudi mediators warn they may break off mediation efforts. With the fighting now about to enter a third month, civilians trapped in the battlegrounds in greater Khartoum and the flashpoint western region of Darfur are desperate for relief from the bloodshed but deeply skeptical about the sincerity of the generals. Multiple truces have been agreed and broken since fighting erupted on April 15, and Washington had slapped sanctions on both rival generals after the last attempt collapsed at the end of May. The nationwide truce announced by US and Saudi mediators on Friday took effect at 6:00 a.m. “Should the parties fail to observe the 24-hour cease-fire, facilitators will be compelled to consider adjourning” talks in the Saudi city of Jeddah which have been suspended since late last month, the mediators said. Civilians voiced disappointment that the promised cease-fire was so limited in scope. “A one-day truce is much less than we aspire for,” said Khartoum North resident Mahmud Bashir. “We look forward to an end to this damned war.”
Issam Mohamed Omar said he wanted an agreement that required fighters of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) who had occupied his home in Khartoum to leave so that he can return there from his temporary lodgings across the Nile in Omdurman. “For me, a truce that doesn’t kick the RSF out of the home they kicked (me) out of three weeks ago, doesn’t mean anything to me,” he said. Sudan specialist Aly Verjee said he saw little reason why this truce should be honored any more than its predecessors. “Unfortunately, the incentives have not changed for either party, so it’s hard to see that a truce with the same underlying assumptions, especially one of such short duration, will see a substantially different result, said Verjee, a researcher at Sweden’s University of Gothenburg. Upwards of 1,800 people have been killed in the fighting, according to the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project.
Nearly two million people have been displaced, including 476,000 who have sought refuge in neighboring countries, the United Nations says. The Saudi and US mediators said they “share the frustration of the Sudanese people about the uneven implementation of previous cease-fires.”
The army, led by Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, said it has “agreed to the proposal,” adding in a statement it “declares its commitment to the cease-fire.” The paramilitary RSF, commanded by Burhan’s former deputy Mohamed Hamdan Daglo, said: “We affirm our full commitment to the cease-fire.”
Both statements said the truce could support humanitarian efforts, while cautioning against violations by their opponents. “If observed, the 24-hour cease-fire will provide an important opportunity... for the parties to undertake confidence-building measures which could permit resumption of the Jeddah talks,” the US-Saudi statement said. Friday’s announcement came a day after Sudanese authorities loyal to Burhan declared UN envoy Volker Perthes “persona non grata,” accusing him of taking sides. UN chief Antonio Guterres later expressed support for Perthes, who is currently in the Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa for a series of talks. Speaking through his spokesman, Guterres said “the doctrine of persona non grata is not applicable to or in respect of United Nations personnel” and is contrary to Khartoum’s obligations under the UN charter. The fighting has sidelined Perthes’s efforts to revive Sudan’s transition to civilian rule, which was derailed by a 2021 coup by the two generals before they fell out. It has also complicated the coordination of international efforts to deliver emergency relief to the 25 million civilians that the United Nations estimates are in need. Alfonso Verdu Perez, outgoing head of the International Committee of the Red Cross delegation in Sudan, warned on Friday that “health care may collapse at any moment.”“The needs are immense and much more remains to be done” in both Khartoum and Darfur, he told reporters in Geneva.

Turkiye investigates fatal explosion at munitions factory which killed 5/Investigation launched into cause of explosion
June 10/2023
ANKARA: Five people were killed in an explosion at a military factory in Ankara’s Elmadag district early on Saturday. The bodies of the victims have been recovered and judicial and administrative investigations into the cause of the explosion are underway. Vasip Sahin, the governor of Ankara province, said initial investigations suggest the blast was caused by a chemical reaction. According to the Turkish Ministry of Defense, the explosion occurred in the manufacturing unit of the Machinery and Chemical Industry Corporation (MKE), a subsidiary of the ministry. Fatal accidents have previously occurred at the factory, which produces rockets and explosives for the defense and interior ministries. In 2018, Health and Safety Labor Watch (ISIG), a civil watchdog, issued a report about workplace fatalities at the factory after an explosion on May 24 that year left one worker dead and six others injured. The official investigation blamed the explosion on a technical fault, ruling out sabotage. ISIG criticized the factory for not having sufficient workplace security measures in place. On May 20, 2013, an explosion at the factory left two workers dead. Petrol-Is, Turkiye’s petroleum, chemical and rubber workers union, has long demanded improved working conditions at the same factory. Workers staged a three-day strike in November 2012 to draw the government’s attention to the situation. In July 2013, Petrol-Is claimed there were serious issues with the factory, that its technological infrastructure had not been modernized, and that more explosions could occur. Work at the factory was temporarily halted at that time so improvements could be made.

Egypt begins requiring visas for all Sudanese after detecting ‘unlawful activities’: MFA spokesman
Reuters/June 10, 2023
CAIRO: Egypt instituted a new policy requiring all Sudanese entering the country to obtain visas prior to entry, after detecting “unlawful activities” including the issuance of fraudulent visas, foreign ministry spokesman Ahmed Abu Zeid told Reuters.
The decision is a reversal of a longstanding exemption for children, women and elderly men. More than 200,000 Sudanese have entered Egypt since fighting erupted in April, Abu Zeid said.

UK politics reels from shock of ex-PM Johnson's departure
LBCI/June 10, 2023
Former British prime minister Boris Johnson's angry departure from parliament over Covid lockdown-breaking parties sparked fevered speculation Saturday over his and the current government's future, with allies and enemies trading barbs. Johnson announced he was leaving as a member of parliament on Friday, claiming he had been forced out in a stitch-up by his political opponents. One of Johnson’s allies quit earlier Friday, while another resigned on Saturday, triggering three by-elections for a government languishing in the polls and heaping pressure on current Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.
The 58-year-old Johnson has been under investigation by a cross-party committee about whether he deliberately lied to parliament over parties when he was in office. In evidence earlier this year, he insisted he had not. But as the committee prepares to make public its findings, he said they had contacted him "making it clear... they are determined to use the proceedings against me to drive me out of parliament". The Privileges Committee, which has a majority of MPs from his own Conservative party, has powers to impose sanctions for misleading parliament, including suspension. By quitting, Johnson avoids the consequences of a humiliating fight to remain an MP in his Uxbridge and South Ruislip constituency in northwest London where he holds a slim majority of just over 7,000. He denounced the committee, chaired by veteran opposition Labour MP Harriet Harman, as a "kangaroo court". "It is very sad to be leaving Parliament -- at least for now -- but above all I am bewildered and appalled that I can be forced out, anti-democratically... with such egregious bias," he said. He claimed the committee's report, which has not been published, was "riddled with inaccuracies and reeks of prejudice", adding he had "no formal ability to challenge anything they say". Their "purpose from the beginning has been to find me guilty, regardless of the facts", he said. Responding to the resignation, the Privileges Committee said Johnson "impugned the integrity of the House by his statement".
- 'Good riddance' –
Johnson loyalist Nadine Dorries also quit as an MP on Friday, while fellow supporter Nigel Adams announced on Saturday that he was leaving, meaning current Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, whom Johnson partly blames for his downfall, faces three daunting election tests. Johnson’s ability to generate strong feelings of admiration or hate was reflected in the reaction to his shock announcement. The Daily Mirror likened him to "a criminal who refuses to come to court for his sentencing."Labour's deputy leader Angela Rayner said the public -- battling a cost-of-living crisis -- had had enough of the "never-ending Tory soap opera" while her opposite number with the smaller Liberal Democrats, Daisy Cooper, said it was "good riddance". But Johnson's supporters rallied behind him, lauding his achievements in pushing through Brexit and galvanising support for Ukraine. Conservative-leaning tabloid The Sun hailed his "unique magnetism and historic achievements" which "dwarf those of the pygmies who set out to expel him as an MP and, appallingly, have succeeded".
- Revenge –
There was, however, widespread agreement that Johnson will remain a looming presence and a problem for Sunak. "He may have resigned as MP but he made very clear in his statement that he does not see this as the end of his political career," the Times wrote. The BBC added that "the ghost of Boris Johnson haunts Rishi Sunak. It is the last thing the prime minister needs". Johnson led the Tories to a thumping 80-seat majority in the December 2019 general election on a promise to "get Brexit done". That allowed him to railroad through parliament his divorce deal with the European Union, unblocking years of political paralysis. But he was undone by his handling of the Covid pandemic, "Partygate" and a succession of other scandals that led to a ministerial rebellion in July last year. He quit as prime minister and left office in September last year, though rumours persisted that he wanted another shot at the top job.
Sunak, who was one of Johnson's top team who quit, has been trying to steady the ship since becoming prime minister in October, after the turbulent tenure of his former boss and the short-lived premiership of Liz Truss. Johnson's resignation will likely be seen as his revenge on Sunak, whose Tories are well down in the polls with a general election looming next year.  "When I left office last year the government was only a handful of points behind in the polls. That gap has now massively widened," Johnson said in his letter, lashing out at Sunak. Johnson became an MP in 2001 until 2008, then quit to serve two four-year terms as London's mayor. He became an MP again in 2015, going on to be foreign secretary under Theresa May.

How Trump indictment could impact White House race
Agence France Presse/June 10, 2023
The latest twist in Donald Trump's attritional war with U.S. law enforcement, as with so much else in the former president's story, throws the United States into unprecedented territory. Facing multiple federal charges over his hoarding of government secrets, the mercurial Republican presents the country with the possibility of a winning candidate moving into the White House while under indictment -- or running the government from a jail cell. The defiant billionaire has dismissed the notion that he would ever drop out of his party's primary contest, reverting instead to a favored tactic of accusing his "corrupt" political adversaries of election interference. "It likely won't sway undecided voters but it will galvanize Trump supporters who might be wavering or looking to a candidate with less baggage," Matt Shoemaker, a national security analyst and former intelligence officer, told AFP. Prosecutors in both the federal documents case and the state-level financial fraud probe targeting Trump in New York will hope to have him face justice before the country goes to the polls in 17 months. But there is no guarantee of either case wrapping up that quickly and Trump also faces federal and state-level probes into his efforts to subvert the 2020 election. He would likely torpedo any outstanding federal prosecutions were he reelected, by attempting to pardon himself -- an unprecedented scenario that would almost certainly spark a constitutional crisis. But he would have little influence over state-level cases and his more immediate worry is the damage his legal woes could do to his campaign to win the Republican nomination in the first place.
- Going for the jugular? -
The latest indictment allows Trump's primary challengers -- Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former vice president Mike Pence and others -- to level the criticism that the runaway frontrunner is unfit for office. But they run the risk of alienating Trump's loyal base, whose support has only grown more fervent since the Manhattan indictment. As a result, many rivals have rallied to Trump's side, perhaps hoping to keep their powder dry until he is finally taken out of the running by further indictments expected in the coming months. Trump is under federal investigation over his role in the January 6, 2021 US Capitol insurrection and media reports suggest racketeering and conspiracy charges are set to drop in Georgia in August over the tycoon's campaign to overturn the election there. "They are hoping Trump is eventually knocked out of the race by a series of indictments, including those concerning January 6 and the attempt to overturn the election," said University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato."That's it. That's their strategy... They won't do anything. Go for the jugular? Trump's teeth will be in their jugular before they can do the same to him."Prosecutors on Friday said Trump had been charged with almost 40 counts filed under multiple charges, including illegal retention of government secrets, obstruction of justice and conspiracy.
- 'Serious crime' -
In a recent YouGov poll only half of respondents said it was a "serious crime" to falsify business records to conceal hush money payments to a porn star -- the case that he faces in Manhattan. But two-thirds said the same about removing classified government secrets from the White House and obstructing efforts to retrieve them. The figures are 28 percent and 42 percent respectively among Republicans -- a gap that suggests Trump's latest scandal could mark a turning point in his primary campaign. DeSantis -- who has been polling a distant second to Trump -- has exercised restraint in comments over his rival's legal woes but the rhetorical hand grenades lobbed between the camps have become more bellicose in recent weeks. Meanwhile Chris Christie, a political knife-fighter who has indicated he'll take on Trump more directly than the rest of the pack, has jumped into the race since the Manhattan indictment. "DeSantis would most benefit from Trump dropping out of the race but he seems to have calculated that they have many of the same potential voters so doesn't want to alienate them," Shana Gadarian, a professor of political science at Syracuse University, told AFP. "It may take someone like... Christie to shake up that narrative," she added. "Christie's candidacy is about bringing the mainstream back to the party and he may see the benefit of attracting former Republicans who were turned off by Trump's presidency."

Former Wall Street exec named head of Turkey central bank
LBCI/June 10, 2023
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan appointed former Wall Street executive Hafize Gaye Erkan as central bank governor on Friday, signalling a possible shift from his unconventional policies against soaring inflation. Erkan -- a former chief executive of US real estate finance firm Greystone, co-CEO of First Republic Bank and managing director at Goldman Sachs -- will be the first woman to head the central bank. She takes over from Sahap Kavcioglu, who lowered rates even though central banks worldwide have done the opposite to fight inflation. Her appointment was published in the official gazette on Friday. Under Kavcioglu's watch, the bank's policy rate was decreased to 8.5 percent. It had been at 19 percent in 2021. The central bank "replaces its puppet banker," Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank, said in a note. She suggested that the new governor would likely return the bank toward a more conventional monetary policy that would require rate hikes. The analyst also expects diminishing foreign exchange market interventions "which will first lead to a further lira depreciation to catch up a year-and-a-half coma -- an expensive coma." The bank is due to make a rate decision on June 22. Erdogan, who was re-elected to a third term in office last month, already signalled a shift on Saturday when he unveiled a new cabinet with Mehmet Simsek, a former Merrill Lynch economist, as finance minister. Simsek -- who worked as finance minister and deputy prime minister in the past ruling AKP governments -- is known to oppose Erdogan's unconventional policies of lowering interest rates to fight inflation. Turkey's inflation rate dropped below 40 percent in May for the first time in 16 months. Independent economists believe it is much higher, above 100 percent. Simsek welcomed the appointment as an "outstanding choice" while Turkish media have for days talked of Erkan as the "brilliant Turk" or "genius." "Her strong academic credentials and extensive experience in international financial markets mean that she is well positioned to guide Turkey through challenging economic times," Simsek tweeted.
'Purged' central bank economists
Analysts say investors are less interested in how talented the new economic team is than in their ability to resist pressure from Erdogan, who once called high rates "the mother and father of all evil". "Simsek & Erkan will be judged on monetary policy moves, inflation and lira," emerging markets economist Timothy Ash said on Twitter. The Turkish currency was down around 1 percent against the dollar on Friday, trading over 23 lira per dollar since Wednesday. One of Erkan's main challenges this year will be to repair the working atmosphere at the central bank, according to Erik Meyersson, chief emerging markets strategist. "Too many bright economists and bureaucrats were purged, reassigned, demoted, ostracized, and there's a talent reserve that she should look to tap into. But would they want to return?" he tweeted. Erdogan in the past sacked central bank governors after disagreements over interest rate policy, in a move that unsettled investors. After taking office, Simsek said Turkey had "no choice but to return to rational ground" -- a sign of turning away from the low-rate policy. Following the lira's latest plunge, he stated his commitment to rules-based policymaking.
"While there are no short cuts or quick fixes, rest assured that our experience, knowledge & dedication will help us overcome potential impediments ahead," he said on Twitter. "Our immediate priority is to strengthen our team and design a credible program."
- US career -

Saudi Crown Prince threatened to damage US economy – media
RT/June 10, 2023
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman privately threatened to harm the American economy after President Joe Biden warned Saudi Arabia of “consequences” for agreeing an oil production cut with Russia, the Washington Post has reported, citing leaked material. The Biden administration had said it would re-evaluate relations with the kingdom following a decision by Riyadh to slash crude production against the wishes of the US. The Crown Prince, who is widely referred to as MBS, warned that he would not deal with the US administration anymore if Biden penalized Saudi Arabia. He also promised “major economic consequences for Washington,” the Post reported on Thursday. The threat was contained in a classified document that was leaked on a Discord server, but it was not clear whether the remark was part of intercepted communications or a message sent privately to the US.
Biden made his dissatisfaction with Riyadh clear last October after the OPEC+ group of major oil producers including Russia agreed to cut production by two million barrels a day. Washington was working to punish Moscow with sanctions on its oil trade over the conflict in Ukraine. “There’s going to be some consequences for what they’ve done with Russia,” the US president said in an interview with CNN at the time, without specifying any possible measures. On the campaign trail before his election, Biden vowed to make Saudi Arabia a “pariah” over the Crown Prince’s alleged role in the 2018 murder of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi, which Riyadh blamed on rogue agents. This threat never materialized, with White House insiders indicating that the Biden administration had opted against jeopardizing bilateral relations. Under a decades-old arrangement, the US provides security to Saudi Arabia, and in exchange retains access to its oil, which the kingdom trades for dollars, propping it up as a global currency. A number of top US officials recently traveled to Saudi Arabia, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken. These relations contrast with the reportedly poor personal chemistry between Biden and MBS, who have not met since last July. The 37-year-old Saudi Crown Prince, who is responsible for the day-to-day affairs of the kingdom in lieu of his father, King Salman, reportedly mocks Biden in private, making fun of his gaffes and mental lapses. Critics of the US president have accused him of caving in to Saudi pressure. --- RT

Somali security forces end Al Shabaab attack on Mogadishu beach hotel
NNA/June 10, 2023
The rebels, affiliated with al Qaeda, have been waging an insurgency against the internationally backed federal government for more than 15 years and have often targeted hotels, which tend to host high-ranking Somali and foreign officials.
The security forces "shot and killed" rebels who carried out "the desperate terrorist attack on the Pearl Beach... in Mogadishu," SNTV reported on Saturday.
It added that security forces had rescued "many civilians from inside the hotel" and "shot and killed" those responsible.

Colombia plane crash: Four children found alive in Amazon after 40 days

BBC/June 10, 2023
Four children have been found alive more than a month after their plane crashed in Colombia's Amazon jungle, the country's president has said. The siblings, aged 13, nine, four and a one-year-old baby, were on board the plane with their mother, a pilot and a co-pilot when it crashed on 1 May. Their mother and the other adults on board the plane died. President Gustavo Petro said finding the children after weeks of searching was "a joy for the whole country". He called it a "magical day", adding: "They were alone, they themselves achieved an example of total survival which will remain in history.
"These children are today the children of peace and the children of Colombia."Mr Petro shared a photograph of several members of the military and Indigenous community tending to the siblings, who had been missing for 40 days. He said the children were receiving medical attention - and that he had spoken to their grandfather, who told him "the mother jungle returned them". The children have since been flown to Colombia's capital Bogota, where ambulances were waiting to take them to hospital for further medical treatment. The Cessna 206 aircraft the children and their mother had been travelling on before the crash was flying from Araracuara, in Amazonas province, to San José del Guaviare, when it issued a mayday alert due to engine failure.  The bodies of the three adults who had been with them were found at the crash site by the army. Preliminary information from the civil aviation authority suggested the children escaped the wreckage and wandered into the rainforest to find help, Reuters news agency reported. A massive search began and in May, rescuers recovered items left behind by the children, including a child's drinking bottle, a pair of scissors, a hair tie and a makeshift shelter. Small footprints were also discovered, which led search teams to believe they had survived the collision and were alive in the rainforest, which is home to jaguars, snakes and other predators. The children belong to the Huitoto indigenous group and members of their community hoped that their knowledge of fruits and jungle survival skills would give them a better chance of surviving. Indigenous people joined the search operation and helicopters broadcasted a message from the children's grandmother, recorded in the Huitoto language, urging them to stop moving to make them easier to locate. Colombia's president came under criticism last month when a tweet published on his account announced that the children had been found. He erased the tweet the next day saying that the information - which his office had been given by Colombia's child welfare agency - could not be confirmed. ---

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 10-11/2023
No Joke': The Baffling Silence by The Biden Administration, UN and EU on Iran's Human Rights Abuses
Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/June 10, 2023
[J]ust a few days after the regime executed two young men, Yousef Mehrad and Sadrollah Fazeli Zare, for "blasphemy," Iran was rewarded by being appointed chair of the United Nations Human Rights Council 2023 Social Forum, as well as being handsomely compensated by the European Union.
"Iran human rights role 'like granting Bin Laden a Nobel Peace Prize'." — The Telegraph.
As if to underscore this triumph, right after the UN appointment, Iran's regime on May 19 proceeded to execute three more men -- Majid Kazemi, Saleh Mirhashemi and Saeed Yaghoubi – for having participated in anti-regime protests.
"[Iranian] Authorities Execute Over 60 People in Past 2 Weeks." — Human Rights Watch, May 12, 2023.
"The Iranian authorities' dramatic escalation of executions in recent weeks is a serious violation of the right to life and should bring international condemnation... Since late April, the Iranian authorities have executed at least 60 people, including an Iranian-Swedish national on alleged terror-related charges. Many were executed after unfair trials or for charges, such as drug offenses as well and two executions for 'blasphemy,' that under international law should never result in the death penalty." — Human Rights Watch, May 12, 2023.
So, Germany, which preaches about human rights and its "feminist foreign policy", has actually increased its business with Iran....
"We believe it is time to hold the leadership of the Islamic Republic of Iran to account for its crimes.... We urge your nations to stand with the Iranian people in their quest for change and to take decisive steps against the current regime. This includes blacklisting the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) and holding regime officials accountable for their crimes against humanity." — Letter signed May 23, 2023 by former Vice President Mike Pence and 107 other former world leaders. Fox News; May 23, 2023.
It is abhorrent and unacceptable that the EU and the UN keep propping up a regime that is a world leader in executions and violations of human rights -- and that will not hesitate to use its nuclear weapons capability as well as the threat of it.
Just days after Iran was rewarded by being appointed chair of the United Nations Human Rights Council 2023 Social Forum, the regime on May 19 executed three more men for having participated in anti-regime protests. Pictured: A public execution Mashhad, Iran on December 12, 2022. (Photo by Mizan News/AFP via Getty Images)
Not only have the Biden Administration, the EU, and the UN have been silent in the face of the Iranian regime's increasing human rights violations, but just a few days after the regime executed two young men, Yousef Mehrad and Sadrollah Fazeli Zare, for "blasphemy," Iran was rewarded by being appointed chair of the United Nations Human Rights Council 2023 Social Forum, as well as being handsomely compensated by the European Union.
The grotesque move prompted The Telegraph to headline, "Iran human rights role 'like granting Bin Laden a Nobel Peace Prize.'"
As if to underscore this triumph, right after the UN appointment, Iran's regime on May 19 proceeded to execute three more men -- Majid Kazemi, Saleh Mirhashemi and Saeed Yaghoubi – for having participated in anti-regime protests.
"The world should be enraged over #Iran's executions of #MajidKazemi, #SaeedYaghoubi & #SalehMirhashemi," the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee tweeted.
"The regime may believe the world isn't watching as it terrorizes citizens into silence. We all must support those who stand by the Iranian people in the face of this brutality."
The suppression and execution of political prisoners and those who protest against the ruling mullahs of Iran has once again been on the rise. "Authorities Execute Over 60 People in Past 2 Weeks," Human Rights Watch wrote.
"The Iranian authorities' dramatic escalation of executions in recent weeks is a serious violation of the right to life and should bring international condemnation... Since late April, the Iranian authorities have executed at least 60 people, including an Iranian-Swedish national on alleged terror-related charges. Many were executed after unfair trials or for charges, such as drug offenses as well and two executions for 'blasphemy,' that under international law should never result in the death penalty."
Tens of thousands of people have signed a petition to Secretary General of the United Nations António Guterres to remove the Iranian regime from chairing the U​.​N. Human Rights Council Forum. The petition states:
"No Joke: The Islamic Republic of Iran has just been appointed Chair of the United Nations Human Rights Council 2023 Social Forum. This year's theme is technology and promotion of human rights; Iran's regime just hanged Yousef Mehrad and Sadrollah Fazeli Zare for using social media to criticize religion. Expel the Ayatollah's murderous regime!"
"I am at a loss to understand what has happened to the UN," one person commented under the petition. "They seem to have completely lost touch with reality."
The European Union's charter stresses:
"Human rights are at the heart of EU relations with other countries and regions. The European Union is based on a strong commitment to promoting and protecting human rights, democracy and the rule of law worldwide."
Some of Iran's major trading partners are, in fact, members of the European Union. According to Mehr News Agency:
"Iran and the European Union's 27 member states traded €4.36 billion worth of goods during the first 10 months of 2022, registering a 14.28% rise compared with last year's corresponding period... Germany was the top trading partner of Iran in the EU region during the period, as the two countries exchanged over €1.6 billion worth of goods, 15.44% more than in a similar period of the year before. Italy came next with €555.39 million worth of trade with Iran to register an 11.14% year-on-year rise.... the Netherlands with €351.94 million (down 10.76%) and Spain with €296.06 million (up 13.12%) were Iran's other major European trade partners."
So, Germany, which preaches about human rights and its "feminist foreign policy," has actually increased its business with Iran, even as the mullahs are brutally crushing women who are fighting tyranny and risking their lives to have freedom.
Fox News reported on May 23:
Former Vice President Mike Pence and 107 other former world leaders on Tuesday signed a letter to President Joe Biden and his counterparts in Canada, the United Kingdom, and Europe calling on the West to adopt a tougher approach to Iran and support Iranian anti-government protesters demanding regime change.
"We believe it is time to hold the leadership of the Islamic Republic of Iran to account for its crimes," the letter states. "We urge your nations to stand with the Iranian people in their quest for change and to take decisive steps against the current regime. This includes blacklisting the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) and holding regime officials accountable for their crimes against humanity."
It is abhorrent and unacceptable that the EU and the UN keep propping up a regime that is a world leader in executions and violations of human rights -- and that will not hesitate to use its nuclear weapons capability as well as the threat of it.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has authored several books on Islam and US Foreign Policy. He can be reached at Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2023 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Biden’s Iran Gamble/A Risky New Strategy to Keep Tehran From Going Nuclear
Eric Brewer and Henry Rome/Foreigin Affairs/June 10/2023
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/bidens-iran-gamble

After more than two years of trying and failing to restore the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, the Biden administration appears to have concluded that the agreement is beyond resuscitation. In March 2022 and again in September of last year, Tehran balked at restoring the pact, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, and instead made new demands it likely knew Western governments could not meet. Since then, Iran has brutally suppressed antigovernment protests at home and provided military aid to Russia, sapping all remaining enthusiasm for restoring the JCPOA in Western capitals. “It is dead,” U.S. President Joe Biden finally declared in November.
While the negotiations floundered, Iran’s nuclear program advanced in unprecedented and, in some cases, irreversible ways. Since U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew from the agreement in 2018, and especially over the past two years, Iran has reached important nuclear milestones. It has stockpiled hundreds of pounds of highly enriched uranium and installed thousands of advanced centrifuges. Iran could produce its first bomb’s worth of weapons-grade uranium in a matter of weeks and material for subsequent bombs shortly thereafter.
In recent months, Iran has paid almost no price for these nuclear advances. On the contrary, its geopolitical position has improved. It has bolstered ties with China and Russia while normalizing relations with some of its neighbors, including its regional rival Saudi Arabia. It is easy to see why Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei might believe he can have his nuclear cake and eat it, too.
If the Biden administration has given up on Plan A—reviving the JCPOA—it has also shied away from pivoting to the Plan B proposed by many analysts as well as Israeli officials: heaping economic, political, and military pressure on Tehran. Instead, it has opted for Plan C, an attempt to prevent the worst outcomes of the nuclear standoff with Iran while retaining the possibility of resolving it in the future. Washington seeks to prevent an Iranian bomb, avoid the risky escalation that could come with heightened pressure, and kick the can on a diplomatic solution in the hopes that conditions for a new deal to replace the JCPOA become more favorable over time.
But even if it is successful, Plan C would come with costs. It would allow Iran to steadily develop its nuclear program while shaking off its economic and political isolation. And instead of laying the groundwork for a deal that reverses Tehran’s nuclear program, this strategy risks cementing Iran’s status as a nuclear threshold state. As a result, the United States and other interested countries should redouble their efforts to prevent Iran from taking key steps on its path toward a nuclear weapon and complicate Tehran’s efforts to forge new economic lifelines and normalize its nuclear status. This approach offers the best chance of averting the worst-case scenarios of a nuclear-armed Iran or a war in the Middle East while also preserving the potential for some kind of diplomatic agreement down the road.
THE LIMITS OF PLAN C
The Biden administration’s embrace of Plan C reflects its desire to avoid provoking a crisis that would distract from other priorities. It also reflects the fact that the preferred option—a deal that reverses Iran’s nuclear advances and imposes strict limits and transparency measures on its program—will remain elusive and costly for the foreseeable future. In other words, Plan C is an acknowledgment that although the status quo is not good, the alternatives could be far worse.
Even before war erupted in Europe, the Biden administration was intent on shifting attention away from the Middle East and toward competition with China and Russia. A major showdown with Iran, U.S. officials reasoned, would absorb bandwidth and divert resources away from more important issues. And within the Middle East, the administration has other objectives that may have a better chance of success, such as brokering a normalization deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
As a result, “de-escalation” has been the watchword of U.S. policy toward Iran. In practice, this has translated into lax enforcement of U.S. oil sanctions on Iran and restrained responses to attacks on U.S. forces in Syria and Iraq by Iranian proxies. The United States also agreed to forgo censuring Tehran at a March meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency’s Board of Governors, after Iran was revealed to have briefly produced 84 percent enriched material—just shy of the typical 90 percent level for weapons-grade uranium but still high enough to be used in a bomb if produced in sufficient quantities. In addition, Iran has been allowed to indirectly access some of its frozen funds in Iraq, while Tehran has permitted a small but insufficient increase in international monitoring of its program.
If Iran can be deterred by other means, then a deal may be less urgent.
The Biden administration may believe that it can avoid the worst-case scenario—an Iranian nuclear weapon—just by staying the course. Even if Iran keeps expanding its uranium stockpile, Washington hopes that a combination of large-scale drills with Israel, Israeli threats to use military force against Iran, repeated U.S. statements that it will not allow Iran to acquire a weapon, and warnings by Europe that enriching uranium to 90 percent would trigger the reimposition of UN sanctions will deter Tehran from producing bomb-grade material. That it would probably take Iran between one and two years to build a deliverable nuclear weapon—a lengthy effort that would risk international detection—may be a further disincentive for Tehran to attempt a nuclear breakout. If Iran can be deterred by other means, then a deal may be less urgent.
The political costs of a renewed deal have also increased. The JCPOA was never popular in the U.S. Congress, but the Biden administration was initially willing to take a hit to revive the agreement. Circumstances have changed, however. It is difficult for the administration to ask Congress to support a nuclear deal that would inevitably enrich Moscow’s top military supplier. The memory of Tehran’s violent response to mass protests last year is still fresh, and Iran continues to commit human rights abuses, including executions of demonstrators. With the 2024 U.S. elections on the horizon, the Biden administration is probably loath to wage a fight in Congress, particularly for a deal that would almost certainly contain fewer restrictions on Iranian nuclear activity than the original JCPOA.
But embedded in Plan C is the hope that the prospects for diplomacy may ripen over time. Domestic conditions in Iran may worsen because of sanctions and economic mismanagement. The regime will continue to struggle to meet Iranians’ basic social, political, and economic needs, virtually guaranteeing the recurrence of major protests. A combination of these factors could eventually persuade the regime to seek a deal. And a potential end to Russia’s war in Ukraine could weaken opposition in the United States to diplomacy with Iran.
CATASTROPHIC SUCCESS
Plan C could still go wrong. Iran could begin accumulating weapons-grade uranium—either because it believes the United States will not respond to such a provocation or because it is angered by an Israeli assassination or covert attack. That, in turn, could trigger an escalatory cycle that leads to a U.S. or Israeli military attack on Iran’s nuclear sites.
But success—defined as no Iranian bomb, no escalation, and the prospect for diplomacy at some point in the future—will bring its own challenges. Time will not necessarily work in the United States’ favor. While Washington waits, Iran will advance its nuclear program, strengthen its relations with China and Russia, exploit weakened sanctions pressure, and become less isolated from the rest of the world. In the past, Iran has been willing to curb its nuclear activities when it believed the risks of continuing them were too high and it had a credible diplomatic off-ramp. But such conditions are unlikely to materialize anytime soon. Indeed, Iran may believe that its nuclear brinkmanship is finally paying off.
In the coming months, Iran will continue to improve its already advanced nuclear program by expanding its stockpile of enriched uranium, enhancing its centrifuge manufacturing capabilities, and better insulating its facilities from military strikes. Tehran will also continue to gain valuable knowledge by operating larger numbers of advanced centrifuges. Collectively, these steps will make it more difficult for the international community to curtail Iran’s nuclear program. Nuclear material can be eliminated, but nuclear knowledge cannot.
In theory, by advancing its nuclear program, Tehran will have more chips to play in any future negotiation. But Iranian leaders may be reluctant to trade away any progress toward a bomb. Since Iran halted its bomb-making program in 2003, its ultimate nuclear goal has probably been to become a “threshold” or “virtual” nuclear state––a country that can quickly build nuclear weapons if it needs to. For Tehran, that is not just a technical benchmark but a political one: it would force the world to accept Iran’s de facto nuclear status and thereby reduce international pressure on the regime. Believing they are on the path to achieving this goal, Iranian leaders may see little reason to unwind their nuclear program, especially given their concerns that sanctions relief from the United States is unreliable and hinges on the occupant of the White House.
FRIENDS IN HIGH PLACES
Shifting geopolitical winds may also harden Iran’s opposition to a deal. Although China and Russia will likely continue to oppose an Iranian nuclear weapon, both are increasingly running interference for Iran in international forums, and their cooperation with Iran weakens a sanctions regime that might otherwise convince Tehran to cut a nuclear deal. The days of China and Russia working with the other permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany to contain Iran, as they did to negotiate the 2015 nuclear deal, are likely over for now.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has played to Iran’s advantage as well, making Moscow more reliant on Tehran’s military capability. In exchange for hundreds of Iranian drones and shiploads of ammunition, Russia has provided Iran with political support, cash, and Western technology captured on the Ukrainian battlefield. It is also considering transferring advanced weaponry, such as fighter jets and missile technology, to Iran. That Russia will remain isolated from the West for the foreseeable future only increases Tehran’s leverage with Moscow.
Iran and Russia will continue to compete in global commodity markets, but their economic ties will likely deepen. As the United States seeks to crack down on Russian sanctions-evasion networks, Moscow is working to bolster other trade routes and financial ties, including with Iran, that bypass U.S. restrictions.
Iran is also expanding ties with China, its core economic lifeline. So far this year, China has imported about one million barrels per day of Iranian crude oil and condensate (a very light liquid hydrocarbon), accounting for about 80 percent of total exports. U.S. sanctions prohibit this trade, but Washington has not enforced them, and energy volumes have risen significantly over the past two years. The longer Washington refrains from acting, the more established and resilient this trade will become.
Beijing and Moscow have not delivered as much economic support to Tehran as it would probably like, and commercial and political constraints could undermine cooperation down the road. Moreover, these relationships cannot fully replace the benefits Iran would accrue from the sanctions relief that a comprehensive nuclear deal would provide, nor can they free Iran from its economic malaise in the near term. But as long as Iran believes that China and Russia will deliver more than the United States and Europe can, it will likely stay the course.
NORMALIZATION WITHOUT DENUCLEARIZATION
Dynamics in Iran’s immediate neighborhood also play to Tehran’s advantage. Over the last year, Iran has normalized ties with Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, lowering regional tensions. Tehran’s deal with Saudi Arabia, brokered by China in March, in particular could reduce missile threats to Saudi cities and bolster the chances for a resolution to the conflict in Yemen, assuming Iran abides by the deal.
Although the United States shares the goal of regional de-escalation, the detente in the Persian Gulf complicates Washington’s traditional model for nuclear diplomacy. The Biden administration and the Gulf countries have tried to frame a nuclear deal as a prerequisite to unlocking greater political and economic ties—an equation undermined by the recent normalization deals. For instance, the United Arab Emirates is seeking to increase trade with Iran and, according to one Emirati official, surpass China as Iran’s top trade partner. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed al-Jadaan said shortly after the normalization deal was announced that there were “a lot of opportunities for Saudi investments in Iran,” and in May, Iran’s Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance Ehsan Khandouzi visited Riyadh to discuss expanding economic links. Although U.S. sanctions will continue to impede economic flows, Gulf states may be more willing to test Washington’s limits over time.
Iran will probably also feel the wind at its back in October, when UN restrictions on its ballistic missile program and related sanctions are scheduled to expire. These include a provision, which Iran currently violates, banning it from shipping drones to Russia. If Western governments allow these provisions to expire without a plan to replace them, they will risk sending Iranian leaders the message that their approach is working.
China and Russia are increasingly running interference for Iran in international forums.
For their part, Western policymakers will likely still see a deal as too politically costly, at least into next year. In addition to supporting Russia’s war efforts and repressing its own citizens, Iran has rounded up and detained many dual nationals, especially Europeans. Even if Tehran takes steps to temporarily ease some of these tensions—for example, by releasing American prisoners—it will be hard-pressed to alleviate all of them. Within Iran, parliamentary elections in February 2024 and presidential elections in mid-2025 will likely create additional turmoil and raise the costs of political compromise for hardline Iranian officials. The death of Khamenei, the 84-year-old supreme leader, would kick off a potentially volatile transition period, during which Iran would probably shelve any attempts at nuclear diplomacy.
But there may be a silver lining to this otherwise dim outlook: Tehran’s improved geopolitical position could reinforce its decision not to weaponize its nuclear program—at least for now. To be sure, some within Iran may lobby for crossing the nuclear threshold. But Iran’s nuclear program has always been a means to an end—security, status, independence, and international influence—not an end in and of itself. If it is accruing these benefits, Tehran may conclude that going all the way to a bomb is not necessary and would place those gains at risk.
PREVENTING THE WORST
It is unclear how long the new status quo can last. One inflection point will come in October 2025, when the 2015 nuclear deal’s “snapback” mechanism expires, and the UN Security Council removes Iran’s nuclear program from its agenda. (The Security Council resolution that endorsed the JCPOA remains in effect even though the deal is defunct, and the sunsets on UN restrictions will continue on autopilot unless Western powers trigger the snapback provisions.) The United States and its allies will have to decide whether reimposing UN sanctions on Iran is worth the risk of Iran producing weapons-grade uranium and leaving the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, which Tehran has threatened to do in response. For its part, Iran will have to decide whether to carry out those threats and accept the risks of disrupting an otherwise favorable environment, including by inviting a potential military strike on its nuclear facilities. It is therefore possible that, as the 2025 deadline looms, these risks will concentrate minds in Washington and Tehran on finding a political solution.
Yet the United States need not wait until then to start mitigating the risks of a blowup. Even within the limits of Plan C, there are steps Washington should take to try to slow Iran’s nuclear progress and its burgeoning relationship with China and Russia.
First, the United States should increase its efforts to deter Iran from further advancing its nuclear program—whether by reaching higher levels of enrichment, diverting nuclear material, resuming weaponization work, or leaving the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. To that end, the Biden administration should organize a joint statement with a diverse set of countries—such as Brazil, India, Japan, South Korea, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates—to express concern about Iran’s nuclear provocations and the damage that further escalations, such as 90 percent enrichment, would incur. Washington should also encourage these and other countries, including China, to send that message to Iran directly.
Washington should not give up on diplomacy altogether.
Taking a page from its Ukraine playbook, the United States could work with other countries to agree on tough consequences for specific Iranian nuclear steps and make those consequences clear to Iran in advance. If Tehran’s strategy rests partly on developing new global partnerships to normalize its nuclear trajectory, then Washington should seek to deny it that objective.
Second, the United States should try to complicate Iran’s outreach to China and Russia, eroding the benefits of Tehran’s pivot east. Washington should ramp up the enforcement of sanctions on Iranian oil exports, including by raising pressure on intermediary states. It should also work with Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan to expose Iranian-Russian links and complicate sanctions-evasion routes.
Finally, even if the chances of a deal seem slim, Washington should not give up on diplomacy altogether. For example, it should explore how Iranian-Saudi diplomacy could open the door for regional nuclear constraints—potentially providing some limits on future nuclear activities and assurances against weapons production—while remaining realistic about what such arrangements can achieve. There is little reason to believe that, given the enormous gap between Iranian and Gulf nuclear capabilities, Tehran would be motivated to meaningfully curtail its enrichment program. That tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia are decreasing precisely when Iran’s nuclear program is reaching new heights probably reinforces Tehran’s belief that it can both move closer to the bomb and have better ties with its neighbors (or worse, that Iran’s nuclear expansion motivated Saudi Arabia to mend fences). Nevertheless, it is possible that Gulf countries will be able to agree on enhanced transparency measures and stronger nuclear safeguards, commitments not to reprocess nuclear fuel or produce weapons-grade uranium, and perhaps even mechanisms for peaceful nuclear cooperation.
These measures would be a far cry from the stringent limits in the JCPOA, and the United States would still have to contend with Iran as a virtual nuclear state. But in the absence of any real chance of a comprehensive nuclear deal, they may be the best the Biden administration can hope for.

Morocco leads the way in building a sustainable future
Hafed Al-Ghwell/Arab News/June 10, 2023
Climate change has emerged as one of the most pressing global challenges of our time, posing significant threats to ecosystems, economies and human well-being. Its impacts are expected to worsen existing vulnerabilities, especially in developing countries, leading to increased poverty, food insecurity and displacement. As global temperatures continue to rise, it is imperative that nations worldwide collaborate and take decisive action to mitigate and adapt to the warming planet.
Morocco has emerged as a surprising frontrunner in sustainable development strategies that center around the mitigation of climate risks. The country recognizes its vulnerability to climate-change impacts and has taken proactive steps to transition to a green economy. Morocco has also set ambitious goals, striving to generate more than half of its electricity from renewable sources by 2030. With initiatives such as the Noor Ouarzazate Solar Complex, Morocco is demonstrating its commitment to clean energy and setting an example for other nations to follow.
Addressing climate change is a particularly urgent priority for Morocco. Its vulnerability to various natural hazards, such as floods, droughts and heat waves is well-documented, putting more pressure on Morocco’s limited natural resources. Rising temperatures pose a significant threat to Morocco’s economy and society, primarily through impacts on agriculture, scarce water resources and worsening desertification. The latter, for instance, could lead to a decline in fertile land and exacerbates water scarcity. This, in turn, can result in the displacement of rural populations, increased poverty and heightened social inequalities.
Meanwhile, water shortages are expected to intensify in the coming years, especially in the south, and agriculture — a vital sector contributing 13 percent to Morocco’s GDP — is also at risk due to climate variability and change, with droughts affecting cereal yields by 60 percent. The agricultural sector, when combined with fishing and forestry industries, employs nearly a third of the country’s workforce, necessitating its insulation from further climate-induced shocks.
Morocco’s dependence on imported fossil fuels has been another cause for concern, beyond merely complicating its plans to reduce its emissions footprint. The North African country must also bolster its energy security while simultaneously accelerating its sustainable development. In contrast to neighboring countries such as Algeria and Libya, which are major oil and gas producers, Morocco has limited domestic energy resources and relies heavily on imports to meet its energy needs.
This reliance on imported fossil fuels puts Morocco at a disadvantage when it comes to its energy security and sustainable development compared to its resource-rich neighbors. This dependence on imported fossil fuels makes Morocco more susceptible to global market fluctuations, as it is vulnerable to price and supply shocks. Relying on fossil fuels also hinders the country’s transition to a sustainable future, as it contributes to greenhouse gas emissions and exacerbates the impacts of climate change.
Given these challenges, Morocco has charted a path toward mitigation and adaptation, ensuring a more resilient, sustainable future for its population. Morocco’s proactive approach to transitioning, as demonstrated by the country’s “Plan Vert,” is quickly becoming an important example of how peer nations can feasibly transform their economies and societies without sidelining development goals. Continued investment, trade and climate-focused engagement will further propel Morocco to overcome hurdles and lead the way in the planet’s fight to limit rising temperatures.
Morocco’s ambitious renewable energy targets are already paving the way for a greener future. The country has committed to adding 10 gigawatts (GW) of renewable energy capacity between 2018 and 2030, consisting of 4,560 megawatts (MW) of solar and 4,200 MW of wind power. These targets are part of a broader plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 18 percent and increase renewable power capacity to more than 50 percent by 2030. To achieve these goals, Morocco has been successful in attracting international investment, with key players such as ACWA Power, Aries and TSK partnering with the Moroccan Agency for Solar Energy, or Masen, to develop these projects.
By increasing renewable energy capacity, Morocco can achieve greater energy independence and reduce vulnerability to disruptions.
The resulting achievements in solar and wind energy by Morocco are truly impressive. The Noor Ouarzazate Solar Complex, with a combined capacity of about 580MW, is the world’s largest concentrated solar power plant. This complex plays a crucial role in providing clean energy, offsetting more than 770,000 tons of carbon dioxide emissions annually. In addition, Morocco boasts the Tarfaya Wind Farm, one of the largest wind farms in Africa, which produces roughly 325MW. These projects, and the many to come, exemplify the North African country’s push to accelerate renewable energy development, a critical component of the green economies of the future.
The positive impact of Morocco’s renewable energy initiatives on its economy and energy security is undeniable. First, the renewable energy sector has significant job creation potential, with the Solar Complex alone generating about 1,000 construction jobs and 60 permanent jobs during its operation and maintenance phases.
Second, these projects help to reduce the country’s dependence on imported fossil fuels, as 90 percent of its energy is currently imported. By increasing renewable energy capacity, Morocco can achieve greater energy independence and reduce vulnerability to disruptions. Lastly, there is export potential for Morocco’s renewable energy. As the country continues to develop its renewable energy infrastructure, it may be able to export clean energy to neighboring countries, further bolstering its economy and solidifying its position as a green leader in this part of the world.
Besides ambitions to “export the sun,” Morocco has been implementing robust water management strategies as part of its adaptation strategies. It has invested in desalination, such as the Agadir plant, which produces 275,000 cubic meters of water a day. This initiative not only tackles water scarcity but also provides clean water for agricultural purposes, helping to secure the livelihoods of local communities. Additionally, Morocco has been working on improving wastewater treatment infrastructure to combat water pollution and reuse treated water for irrigation. The country’s National Liquid Sanitation Program aims to increase wastewater treatment coverage to 60 percent by 2030.
Elsewhere, Morocco is actively engaged in reforestation efforts as a climate-change adaptation strategy. The country’s High Atlas Reforestation Project aims to restore degraded lands, combat desertification and preserve biodiversity. By planting native tree species, Morocco is enhancing the resilience of local ecosystems and preventing soil erosion. Furthermore, Morocco’s commitment to the Bonn Challenge — a global effort to restore 350 million hectares of deforested and degraded land by 2030 — underscores its dedication to reforestation and biodiversity conservation. Morocco aims to restore 1 million hectares of land by 2030, which will be a significant contribution to this global objective.
Beyond its borders, Morocco continues to play a significant role in advancing renewable energy across Africa, notably through its involvement in the African Renewable Energy Initiative, or AREI. Launched in 2015, AREI aims to develop at least 10GW of new renewable energy generation capacity on the continent and to mobilize financial support for African countries to transition to sustainable energy systems.
In addition to its contributions to AREI, Morocco has forged strong partnerships with other North African countries to share knowledge and resources. The country has collaborated with Tunisia and Egypt on various renewable energy projects, including the establishment of a joint research center for solar and wind energy technologies. Furthermore, Morocco is tipped as a major contributor in collaborations between European and North African countries to develop renewable energy projects across the region and export clean electricity to Europe.
As the world grapples with the urgent need to address climate change, Morocco’s leadership in fostering regional cooperation and championing global climate action serves as an inspiring example for other nations. Continued collaboration at both regional and global levels is essential for achieving the ambitious goals set forth in the Paris Agreement and ensuring a sustainable future for all.
Countries around the world should look to Morocco as a model for how bold action and collaboration can drive meaningful progress in the fight against climate change. By embracing renewable energy, forging partnerships and advocating for robust climate policies, Morocco has demonstrated that it is possible to achieve a greener and more sustainable future, and that other nations can follow suit.
• Hafed Al-Ghwell is a senior fellow and executive director of the Ibn Khaldun Strategic Initiative at the Foreign Policy Institute of the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, DC, and the former adviser to the dean of the board of executive directors of the World Bank Group.

Full steam ahead for both Democrats and the Republicans
Yossi Mekelberg/Arab News/June 10, 2023
There is a long way to go before the first ballot is cast in the US presidential election in November 2024. Nevertheless, it is already full steam ahead for both the main parties as the Democrats and, especially, the Republicans select their candidates for the nationwide poll that will decide who leads this mighty country for the next four years. When the dust has settled and the respective candidates are chosen, the most likely outcome seems to be a rematch between incumbent President Joe Biden and his predecessor, Donald Trump. All things considered, who could have imagined this turn of events in the aftermath of the 2020 election? When we consider US elections it would be foolish at this early stage to attempt to predict either the result of the presidential primaries or who the next occupant of the White House will be.
History has taught us that major upsets can and do happen, and when the field of candidates is rather crowded, as is the case with the Republicans, and the long, sharp knives are already out, anything could happen in the coming months.
It might seem like not a day goes by without another Republican hopeful throwing their hat into the ring. Most recently it was Mike Pence, former vice president under Trump, whose candidacy threatened to turn an already inflamed situation into an explosive one, which was followed by an announcement from the former governor of New Jersey, Chris Christie.
There are some elements of this particular presidential race that make it even more unpredictable than usual. One is the age factor, which cannot be ignored considering that the incumbent will be nearly 82 years old in November 2024, and the person he is most likely to face will be 78.
In a recent NBC News poll, 70 percent of those surveyed said Biden should not run again due to his age, although a majority of Democrats supported his candidacy. Asked whether age was a factor, 69 percent said yes.
The second issue, one which casts doubt on Trump’s candidacy, is the legal woes he faces wherever he goes. It is astonishing that following a court ruling in a civil suit that found Trump had sexually abused the journalist E. Jean Carroll in a New York department store changing room 27 years ago, a ruling that for the first time in history branded a former US president a sexual predator, that he is still regarded as a fit candidate to run for the highest office in the land by the vast majority of Republican primary voters.
This is as much a reflection of American society as it is of Trump himself. Yet, given that Trump will have to deal with a number of other legal battles before the next election, this support might yet dwindle or be surpassed by the legal implications of those cases.
There is a real danger that while the US is facing one of its most challenging periods, domestically and internationally, the primaries and the subsequent election campaign will turn into the kind of media circus that is inevitable when Trump is involved, and therefore distract from the country’s priorities.
Barring any unforeseen circumstances, however, we can be fairly certain Biden will be running for reelection, and so all eyes will also be on his running mate, Kamala Harris.
Many voters who are considering voting for Biden would not, under normal circumstances, be too concerned about whoever is running for vice president. On this occasion, however, considering the incumbent’s age and Harris being the most likely to take over should the president be incapacitated, those voters might give serious thought to her suitability for the top job.
The coming cycle of American elections is unlikely to be a shining example of the civility and constructiveness of democratic debate.
There is also a strength in continuity, and the current administration has done a much better job in running the country’s affairs than approval ratings give it credit for. Under difficult circumstances it managed to steady a very rocky ship after the tumultuous four years of Trump’s term, led the country out of the COVID-19 pandemic, stood up to Russia over the war in Ukraine, and changed budgetary priorities with considerable success.
On the Republican side, notwithstanding the large number of presidential wannabes, the agenda is still being dictated by Trump and his caprices. A party that once prided itself on providing a big tent that could house a wide range of opinions has been rapidly shrinking and lurching further and further to the populist right as it turns into a cauldron of chaos.
While voters have been expressing their concerns about a wide range of issues, the two leading Republican contenders, Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who are not so far apart in terms of their political and social views, are, despite or maybe because of this, already concentrating on their respective smear campaigns and the more emotive aspects of campaigning than on substantive issues.
For now, Trump continues to rally his core supporters, who instead of acknowledging his failings view criticism of him as part of a conspiracy by the state and his political rivals. Consequently, he continues to command the support of about half of the party, nearly double that of DeSantis. Meanwhile, Pence and Nikki Haley, a former US ambassador to the UN, enjoy only single-digit support, with the rest of the field trailing even further behind.
For now, a Trump candidacy looks like a done deal but, as noted, there is a very long way to go. The inquiry into the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol, his indictment on charges of falsifying his accounts in connection with hush money paid to an adult film star, the investigation in Georgia into whether he acted illegally in an attempt to overturn his defeat in the state’s 2020 presidential vote, and his improper retention of classified government documents at his Florida home could all land him in hot water and prevent him from running for president.
Inevitably, this is encouraging the other contenders, including those who previously worked for him, to remain in the race and add fuel to the fire of the various investigations through more information and allegations.
At this early stage, DeSantis is probably making a mistake by trying to out-Trump Trump in terms of disruption, but he also makes Trump look more liberal in comparison on issues such as freedom of speech or abortion — which is a very dubious achievement.
But this might be simply a tactical move, considering his young age, designed to position him as Trump’s heir apparent for the 2028 election.
From the perspective of the Democrats, the work might be done for them should the Republican primaries turn into a bloodbath while they themselves build on their better-than-expected mid-term successes and hope that, come November next year, the seeds of policies they planted at the beginning of the Biden presidency will yield convincing enough fruit before the American people make their final decision.
One thing is guaranteed, though: This coming cycle of elections, from the presidential vote to the last of the gubernatorials, is unlikely to be a shining example of the civility and constructiveness of democratic debate.
• Yossi Mekelberg is professor of international relations and an associate fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House. He is a regular contributor to the international written and electronic media.
Twitter: @YMekelberg